Welcome to our daily podcast featuring the day's top news commentary and technical recommendations delivered to you before the opening bells of the Egyptian Stock Exchange (EGX).Alongside our morning podcasts, we will be publishing a collection of episodes presenting indepth analysis and insights on EGX's equities, all brought to you by Al Ahly Pharos.
Egypt
In today's viewsStrategy | EFID versus ADIB. A valuation anomaly that deserves attentionMACRO | August inflation print is perfectly in line with expectations, maintaining our bias towards further easing till year-endOLFI | More than just another feta company FERC | Trading opens at IFA FV of EGP45.6/share, but pre session bids are pushing the stock towards our FV estimate of EGP72/shareEFIC | Initiation of coverage: EFIC for value, ICFC for arbitrage
In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy | OIH stock is on fire and it is not another "pump and dump" trade. It is a quasi SPACCPME| Insights from Our Roundtable with CPMEEGCH | OGM to discuss potential sale of ABUK stakeORAS | Modon's Ras El Hekma tender, an opportunity for Egyptian contractors
Strategy | Short carbs, long proteinETEL | Helios Investments binding offer to acquire a majority stake in RDH confirms deleveraging path and reinforces our positive outlook going forwardSKPC | Price cut to hit margin, yet higher volumes may offset
Strategy | What are corporate CEOs doing to trigger the next leg up? EGAL | MoU with Alba marks step toward vertical integration and margin stability
In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy | Alert to unsuspecting retail investors: Do not buy into the small cap frenzyETEL's inflection year | Peak capex behind and deleveraging ahead; position for a structural rebound in FCFABUK | Valuation dislocation versus peers and replacement economicsPHDC | Does PHDC generate positive operating cash flows?ISPH | Distributor model best positioned amid pharma price reform++6322
In today's Views: Strategy | Another "pump and dump" trade is sweeping "flour milling firms" and another crash is imminent.DSCW | Volumes ramping up, margin recovery in sightCLHO | Delivering growth; accumulate the stock
In today's viewsStrategy | A burst of the "land reclamation bubble" should not impact fundamentally-solid stocksPOUL | Broiler prices remain low for the second months in a row but that does not alter our positive view on POULMCRO | Early turnaround signs, waiting for 3Q catalystISPH | UPA dues unlock FCF; Overweight your positionsABUK | 10% dividend yield on resilient FY24/25
Strategy | Five inflation prints and three MPC meetings left until end of 2025. What to expect? ELEC | 2Q25 weak as expected; growth projects and lower rates underpin outlookABUK | Sector catalyst: potential shift to cash subsidiesBMIC | El Ashry raises offer, valuation in line with peers
In today's viewsStrategy | TALM may be amongst the top performers within defensives over the coming 16 monthsEGCH | FY24/25 results: strong core performance, but valuation stretchedMCRO | Recovery story with strategic optionality
Strategy | Five market moving events will likely drive the index towards the 40k mark by end 2025/early 2026ORAS | Another solid quarter, backlog growth supports outlookEFIC | 1H25 results show significant margin pressure, 3Q25 outlook remains challengingCSAG | FY24/25 results resilient; discount to ALCN offers upside opportunity; DCCC revaluation adds further upsideACRO | Voluntary delisting: exit price screens modest versus fundamentalsEKHO | Delta insurance exit gains ECA approval, unlocking c. EGP2.5 billion
In today's Views: Strategy| PHDC to join the list of winners if the CBE opts for a 2% plus rate cut on 28 August.ISPH | Arrears inflow to ease working capital; reiterate top pick
In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy | KPIs show that EGAL 4Q NPM compression was driven by a one-off expense/loss. NBFI's | Clear structural winners as Egypt eases monetary policyMTIE | Positive developments reaffirm our FV of EGP12.4/share by end-2025; Tata's manufacturing plans to shape the story thereafterDSCW | Volumes drive 2Q25 growth, margins temporarily capped by expansion; but growth outlook intact
Strategy | A strong EUR triggers aluminum price rally - reiterate long EGAL positionHealthcare & pharma | Beneficiaries of a potential policy rate cutCICH | Earnings momentum builds; Market mispricing persists
Strategy | A strong EUR triggers aluminum price rally - reiterate long EGAL positionHealthcare & pharma | Beneficiaries of a potential policy rate cutCICH | Earnings momentum builds; Market mispricing persists
Strategy| Post call with management and our analysis, ACTF should be held by retail investors seeking access to active managementEgypt fertilizers| Strong 2H25 tailwinds from urea rally and stable gas supply; ABUK best positionedEKHO| Deciphering a peculiarly priced instrument and how to play it
Strategy| AMIA is up 6% on higher than usual turnover and there is room for another rally if ATLC catches up Cement Sector| Elevated prices drive significant upside in scenario analysisFWRY management call| Revenue diversification and a strategic roadmap reinforce confidence; build positions for 2026 allocation
In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy | CIEB is mispriced and the magnitude of mispricing will be corrected when the greenshoots of loan growth emerge. JUFO | Earnings call highlights, gradually build positionsALCN | Stable operations with normalized profitabilityEKHO | From earnings call to strategy: Near-term challenges, medium-term drivers AMOC | Proposed dividend implies double-digit yield; stronger refining margins support near-term outlook
In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy | A quick thought on ETEL post the impressive August to date rally. Our telecoms/fintech team will publish a full valuation update on ETEL soon. EKHO| 1H25 results: Strong earnings recovery, AlexFert driving outperformance;, 2H looks promisingARCC | Strong 2Q25 results; outlook balanced by emerging risksMBSC | 2Q25 Volumes weigh on results, 1H25 still on track
In today's Views: Strategy | August urban CPI inflation rate will likely dip to 11-12% so we raise the probability of a 3% rate cut to 50% and name the list winners. PHDC | The market has already priced in NUCA's fees, Jirian net cashflows partially offsets the liabilityPHAR | 1H25 preliminary results, strong earnings growth; EIPICO 3 catalyst awaitedGBCO | 1H25 Earnings beat estimates, upside still aheadHRHO | Volatility priced in, growth engines running; we reiterate our FVBINV | Hold – Cash position and expansion support long-term valueLCSW | Pressured 2Q25 results amidst headwinds, volume rebound is keyEFIC | SSP-sulfur squeeze hits 1H25 standalone earnings, recovery aheadECAP | Losses extend into 2Q25 as demand recovery lagsISPH | Earnings call confirms positive outlook, reaffirm BUY (FV: EGP17.1/share)
Strategy| ISPH IH25 results draw a demarcation line between management and macro VALU 1H25| VALU delivers robust 1H25, international expansion in focusATLC 1H25| Steady growth, outlook intactFWRY 1H25| New services launch and organic growth should comfortably outpace policy rate cuts, beating our EGP2.7 bn for 2025 is in sight; maintain as one of our top picks for 2025ETEL 1H25| Sound fundamentals and 2H25 catalysts should trigger price performance during 2H25MTIE 1H25| Higher bottom-line contribution from investments should gradually unlock value and drive share price to EGP12.4/shareISPH 1H25| Strong results on price and volume rebound, expectations of a stronger 2H25JUFO| Confirming our view, equal weight short term, overweight long termACRO| Rapid growth at a bargain multiplePHDC| A MCAP of EGP23 billion is out of sync with PHDC record high new sales, sizable outstanding notes receivables and upcoming launch of Abu Dhabi project.
In today's Views: Strategy| BONY's GLV rises to a record high EGP17.4 billion and rental income jumps 35% y/y, but transient macro dynamics underpin bottom line contractionGBCO| Strong results ahead with focus on MNT HalanPOUL| 2Q25 results in line, outlook remains bullishRMDA| Solid 2Q25, growth momentum holdsSUGR| Inventory build-up pressures cash flows, 2H25 revenues likely flatORWE| Soft 2Q25, but guidance intact
In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy| Within banks, we now rank COMI as our most trusted alpha generator in 2025TMGH, ORHD 1H25| Hospitality and recurring revenues lead growth and explains share price performance skewness towards pricing the most evident and visible segments onlyEGBE 2Q25| Retail lending and CASA drive strong margins, but investor sentiment weighs on stockEFID| 2Q25 consistent with bottom line guidance of EGP1.9 billion on new size offerings and price risesOLFI| Margins under pressure, growth story intact
In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy | Tailwind is building up for BONY but a share price rally is contingent on expedited monetization of WOC. Macro | The probability of a 2% rate cut on 28 August is close to 100% and the probability of a 3% cut is 50%. OLFI | New factory on the wayBTFH | First glance at BTFH earnings ADIB | Exceeding net profit estimates amid lending volumes revival, but capital increase challenges cash dividendsBINV | BINV scales up high-marginplatforms HRHO | Capitalizing on market discrepancies within HRHO and VALUEFIH management meeting | A prime beneficiary of fiscal consolidationCSAG | COMI acquires pre-listing stake in DCCC at attractive valuation; CSAG poised for asset revaluationISPH | Government to settle EGP50bn in pharma arrears over three year
Strategy| Egypt secures the bulk of its natural gas deficit until 2040 at an estimated price of USD7.6/mmbtuABUK, MFPC, EGCH, EKHO| Long-term gas deal poised to bring stability to fertilizer sectorEGAL| Gas deal secures power costs, supports double-digit dividend yieldLCSW| New natural gas deal hedges key risk, preliminary fair value reaffirmedSUGR| Demand trails record-high sugar output
In today's viewsStrategy| Ismailia/Misr for Poultry (ISMA) yesterday's rally is difficult to justifyORAS| Ex-dividend resilience signals stronger underlying supportTMGH, ORHD, and EFIH| A play on tourism hike in 4Q25 and the Grand Egyptian Museum openingMTIE| A direct exposure to a potential home appliances' price reductionRMDA| 2Q25 expectations & what to watch for
Strategy| Egypt is projected to host a record high number of tourists in 2025 and ORHD stands out as a compelling exppsure to this themeEFID| Valuation stretched after 40% rally, time to reduce exposureMBSC| Treasury share termination drives price, raises strategic questionsBTFH| A high-risk, high reward bet with regional expansion
Strategy | It may be ISPH month if the CBE slashes policy rates by 200 bpsFERC, IFAP, ICFC | Promising first half for the new entity despite margin headwindsJUFO | Equalweight short term, Overweight long term