Al Ahly Pharos

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Welcome to our daily podcast featuring the day's top news commentary and technical recommendations delivered to you before the opening bells of the Egyptian Stock Exchange (EGX).Alongside our morning podcasts, we will be publishing a collection of episodes presenting indepth analysis and insights on EGX's equities, all brought to you by Al Ahly Pharos.

Al Ahly Pharos

Egypt


    • Aug 6, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • daily NEW EPISODES
    • 3m AVG DURATION
    • 1,834 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Al Ahly Pharos

    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 4:45


    Strategy| Egypt is projected to host a record high number of tourists in 2025 and ORHD stands out as a compelling exppsure to this themeEFID| Valuation stretched after 40% rally, time to reduce exposureMBSC| Treasury share termination drives price, raises strategic questionsBTFH| A high-risk, high reward bet with regional expansion 

    Technical Analysis 06 August 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 6:02


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 6:55


    Strategy | It may be ISPH month if the CBE slashes policy rates by 200 bpsFERC, IFAP, ICFC | Promising first half for the new entity despite margin headwindsJUFO | Equalweight short term, Overweight long term

    Technical Analysis 05 August 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 8:34


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 8:05


    Strategy | The ABCs of equity valuation suggest that OLFI offers an upside potential of around 30%. AMIA | Buy 68.4% of ATLC and literally get three 3 prime assets for free. PHDC | Follow the footsteps of PHDC chairman and BUY the stock on dipsJUFO | Trim JUFO to EW and add OLFIPOUL | Initiation of coverage ranks stock a BUY (FV: EGP25.8/share)ABUK | Gas cost pricing formula clarified, top pick status reaffirmed ATLC | We Initiate Coverage on ATLC with a STRONG BUY at FV of EGP5.5/share

    Technical Analysis 04 August 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2025 6:28


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2025 8:37


    Strategy | ACTF strategic partner is not BTFH but it is still a BUYMacro | US Bureau of Labor Statistics employment figures supports our bias towards a 2% August rate cutABUK, EGCH, MFPC, EKHO | Gas price floor hike a net positive, signals long-awaited reform; Strong urea tailwinds support earnings for our top pick ABUKLCSW | Natural gas price hike largely priced in, but downside risk remainsCement Market | BMIC counteroffer adds more fuel to M&A fire, recalibrating sector valuations

    Technical Analysis 03 August 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 4:53


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 8:14


    In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy| Our analysis suggests that ACTF and BTFH may be forging an alliance to create a rival to Thndr. Growth option is not priced in ACTF market price. CIEB| Cautious growth strategy limits profits, but stock offers 17% dividend yieldRAYA| RACC MTO and Ostool divestment signal ongoing portfolio streamliningEKHO, SVCE| M&A momentum builds in Egypt's cement sector as ATI secures ECA approval for BMIC acquisitionSUGR| Strong 2Q25 results likely to push FY25 earnings above forecastsACTF| ST play on EGX recovery; LT alpha in mobile trading platform “Wilzy”MCQE| Re-rating progresses, 2Q25 pivotal, watch for regulatory pressure

    Technical Analysis 31 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 4:44


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 7:34


    In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy| PHDC investors have already shaved off the fees imposed by NUCA from MCAP. Time to rebuild long positionsEFID| EFID exclusion from EGX30 supports short EFID callTMGH| SouthMed shouldn't be exposed to NUCA fee riskETEL| 2Q25 expectations – no surprisesDSCW| (BUY- FV: EGP5.5/share) 2Q25 recovery led by volumes; margins improve q/q but remain under pressure, foreign entrants viewed as strategic upsideMCQE| EGX30 inclusion adds fuel to fire as stock crawls towards our end 2025 FV of EGP67.7/share

    Technical Analysis 30 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 4:34


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 5:59


    Strategy| GBCO next leg up hinges on a single figure in 2Q25 results - "income from associates" and Tabby-related noise.ORAS| Eyes deeper market liquidity with ADX listing shift; Dividend yield confirms our EGP500/share valuation rangeCement| Syria's cement boom opens door to cross-border partnerships with Egyptian producersDSCW| Bonus share dividend approved; FV adjusted to EGP3.7/share

    Technical Analysis 29 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 7:49


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2025 4:01


    Strategy | COMI at EGP130 and EGX30 at 37,000 are around the cornerSUGR | Government intervention talks could ease inventory overhang, unlocking short term catalystSCEM | Market rejects VICAT's offer, signaling higher FV ahead

    Technical Analysis 28 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2025 5:21


    Technical Analysis 27 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2025 4:35


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 6:32


    In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy | PHDC to cross EGP10/share in 2025 despite NUCA feeCOMI | Discussions on higher dividends now underway!ARCC | Share buyback is meant to alter the shareholders' structure rather than deliver a valuation statementTMGH| A follow up on TMG's value drivers - road to EGP65-70/share should be smooth 

    Technical Analysis 23 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 4:59


    Technical Analysis 22 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 3:26


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 8:25


    Strategy | ISPH recent rally could be the start of a next leg up if 2Q25 surprises to the upsideCOMI| Strong 2Q25 performance signals potential price re-ratingCICH| Buy one get one freeBONY| 1Q25 doesn't change our view: a justified discounted entry, cashflow remains under watchIFAP | Short IFAP, long EFIC on unjustified valuation gap

    Pre-Trading Thoughts

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 5:33


    Strategy | EGAL on track to hit the EGP200/share mark post release of AGM minutes and surge in primary aluminum price.Libya reconstruction to unlock growth for Egyptian contractors and industrialsEFID | Signs of recovery gaining momentum; management confirms positive outlookORWE | Nothing material yet, but potential asset sale could support FY25 earningsEGCH, ABUK | Normalizing gas supply is key to unlocking value 

    Technical Analysis 21 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 3:17


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2025 8:11


    Strategy| Excluding EFIC and ABUK, valuations of n and p-based exposures seem frothyTMGH| Understanding the business model - segmenting the storyECAP vs. LCSW| Another violation of the Law of One PriceJUFO| Price surge in orange concentrates fuels stock performance, yet impact on earnings may be delayedMCQE| MBSC's move signals strategic play, price upside expected

    Technical Analysis 20 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2025 4:04


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 8:37


    Strategy| EFIH, FWRY, and GBCO violate the Law of One PriceELEC, GDWA| A holding discount opportunityECAP| At EGP37/share, is it too late to join ECAP rally? 

    Technical Analysis 17 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 3:05


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 2:56


    In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy| Banque Du Caire peer trade will likely trigger another 10-20% rally in COMI, CIEB and ADIB during 3Q25.ABUK undervalued despite sector headwinds; MFPC justifies premium

    Technical Analysis 16 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 6:22


    Pre-Trading Thoughts

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2025 2:06


    In today's viewsStrategy| KIMA outshines peers - ABUK may followCOMI| Riding YTD 11% growth ahead of 2Q25 results

    Technical Analysis 15 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2025 7:01


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2025 6:18


    Strategy| At an EV/sqm of EGP94k, BONY is valued at a discount to peersEFIH| Tourism momentum will flow through the numbers ABUK| Catalysts surface to potentially unlock Egypt's forgotten fertilizer beastATLC| Fair value anchored by solid capital base and expanding product mix 

    Technical Analysis 14 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2025 1:51


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 13, 2025 6:48


    Strategy| GBCO - Nostalgia and fundamentals rank the name as a SUPER STRONG BUYMacro| Dovish CBE language suggests that an August rate cut (up to -2%) is likelyCement Market| Short-term pain, long-term fix; Export quota now the most likely trigger for price declineDSCW| News Flow Reinforces Egypt's Rise as a Regional Hub for Ready-Made Garment Exports — DSCW Well-Positioned to CapitalizeSKPC | Weak polyethylene prices to weigh on 1H25 results and share price catalysts are limited

    Technical Analysis 13 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 13, 2025 5:42


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2025 6:58


    Strategy | Regardless of today's MPC outcome, odds are in favor of cumulative 4-5% rate cuts during 2H25BONY | A follow-up on BONY. What we like and do not likeQNBE | Took the deepest dive, down 12% YTD, despite solid results

    Technical Analysis 10 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2025 5:44


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2025 8:08


    Strategy| Market intelligence - Launch of Ras El Hekma should unlock IMF funding and inflate ORAS and ELEC valuationsRMDA| Acquisition of high-margin chronic disease molecule reinforces strategic outlook and FY25 targetsBONY| Discounted entry and an above average rent yield — but dividend void and cashflow thinness limit appealETEL| 12M rally = cost of equityGBCO| Another management call confirms our positive view on the stock; Margins hold firm amid regional challenges, GB Capital beats, incentives to boost 2H25 earningsEGAL| Hold EGAL to EGP200/share

    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2025 6:36


    Strategy| Placing KIMA under watchDSCW| Decline in Turkey's apparel exports highlights shift to Egypt, reinforcing our bullish outlook on DSCWDGTZ| A Nilex-born telecom contractor, riding on a concentrated c.EGP500 mn contractWeekly Commodities Update |   | Last Price | WoW Change, % | Brent, USD/bbl | 68.3 | 0.8% | Diesel-HSFO Spread, USD/ton | 336.6 | 34.3% | Egypt Urea, USD/ton | 455.0 | 0.0% | Polyethylene, USD/ton | 930.0 | 1.1% | Polypropylene, USD/ton | 970.0 | 0.5% | Iron Ore 65%, USD/ton | 116.3 | 2.3% | Steel/Iron Ore Spreads, USD/ton | 360.5 | -2.0% | LME Aluminum Cash Price, USD/ton | 2,586.6 | -0.3% | LME Copper Cash Price, USD/ton | 9,959.9 | -1.6% | Egyptian Retail Cement, EGP/ton | 3,830.0 | -3.2% | Steam Coal FOB Newcastle Australia, USD/ton | 110.0 | 3.2% | Orange Concentrates USD/Lbs | 2.1 | -5.9% | SMP, USD/MT | 2,718.0 | -2.1%

    Technical Analysis 07 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2025 2:45


    EGX30, EFIH, EGAL, FWRY, ISPH, AMIA, BINV, CICH, COSG

    Technical Analysis - 06 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2025 3:05


    EGX30, MTIE.CA, CICH.CA

    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2025 8:17


    Strategy| AMIA/ATLC arbitrage under watchMacro/commodities| OPEC+ output hike + Trump bias to black energy is outright positive to Egypt macroFWRY| Ignore interest rate and keep an eye on electricity prices' impact on throughputCeramics| Without a take-private deal, ECAP looks fully valued; Prefer LCSWOLFI| OLFI confirms new price increase to support FY25 GPM targetABUK, EGCH, MFPC| Futures still on the rise yet correction imminent

    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2025 6:02


    Strategy| ELEC is well positioned to re-rate in 2026ORAS| ICC ruling on Sidra dispute significantly lower than expectedJUFO post management meeting| JUFO's growth strategy lies in concentrates capacity expansion, backward integration, and regional market entryISPH| ISPH to offload Al Haram lease, driving further deleveraging and earnings upsideCement Market | Government steps in; Reinforces our USD60/ton target. 

    Technical Analysis - 02 July 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2025 4:12


    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2025 5:27


    In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy| If you are after total returns of 30-40% over the coming 12 months, ORWE is unlikely to meet your objectiveMACRO| Yield compression on track but our bullish view on COMI remains intact DSCW| Settlement of delayed export rebates could offer timely boost to DSCW's bottom lineVALU| Neutral impact on VALU post-FRA adjustment as focus shifts from cash to credit financingCement Market | Bagged cement prices post first decline in 2025 amid normalization

    Technical Analysis

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2025 1:10


    - Market Overview- Prepared by: Mayada Amin- CETA, CFTe

    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2025 4:30


    Strategy| PHAR may be poised for a catch-up rallyPOUL| Poultry prices hit YTD low; market dynamics set to drive price recoveryWeekly Commodities Update |   | Last Price | WoW Change, % | Brent, USD/bbl | 67.8 | -12.0% | Diesel-HSFO Spread, USD/ton | 250.6 | -24.1% | Egypt Urea, USD/ton | 401.0 | 0.0% | Polyethylene, USD/ton | 920.0 | 0.0% | Polypropylene, USD/ton | 965.0 | 0.5% | Iron Ore 65%, USD/ton | 111.4 | -1.1% | Steel/Iron Ore Spreads, USD/ton | 372.9 | 0.0% | LME Aluminum Cash Price, USD/ton | 2,595.2 | 1.3% | LME Copper Cash Price, USD/ton | 10,118.7 | 2.1% | Egyptian Retail Cement, EGP/ton | 3,958.0 | -0.2% | Steam Coal FOB Newcastle Australia, USD/ton | 106.5 | -0.1% | Orange Concentrates USD/Lbs | 2.2 | -4.1% | SMP, USD/MT | 2,775.0 | 0.0%

    Technical Analysis

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2025 1:42


    - Market Overview - COMI- prepared by: Mayada Amin- CETA, CFTe

    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2025 5:45


    Despite YTD rally, PHDC is still materially cheap. Copper/aluminum price ratio should provide solid support to EGAL.ORAS| Core business is trading for freeMCQE| Time to change our call from BUY to NEUTRALABUK,MFPC, EGCH| Urea prices surge on gas shortage, but regional ceasefire signals relief.MTIE| Bosch's factory inauguration reinforces appliances segment momentum. 

    Technical Analysis

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2025 2:38


    - Market Overview - COMI- ETEL- ADIB- EMFD- ISPH- prepared by: Mayada Amin- CETA, CFTe

    Pre-Session Views

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 6:46


    In today's Pre-Session Views:Strategy| POUL will likely find support in bottoming Brazilian chicken pricesDSCW Helwan facility visit| Expansion milestones validate robust growthRAYA| Ostool's exit could mark RAYA's strategic shift to core asset-light verticalsEGAL| Electricity price reduction reversal; Valuation remains intact JUFO| Merger accounting and concentrate prices weigh on margins

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