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Why would you NOT do the FREE 7 day trial to Seeking Alpha? Here are the links to all the sales: Seeking Alpha Premium: with a 7-day free trial—save $60SAVE ON TRENDSPIDER - GET THE ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION TO GET MY 4 HOUR ALGORITHM
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest picks for the action at TPC River Highlands -Discussing top 4 names on odds board -2 matchups -1 t10 -3 outrights (+325, 40/1, 110/1) -Sleeper, FRP -Scoring, Best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 The 2025 Travelers Championship podcast by Will Doctor offers a comprehensive breakdown of the final PGA Tour signature event of the season and a dramatic recap of the U.S. Open at Oakmont. JJ Spahn's emotional and improbable victory—highlighted by a bogey-free 66 in Round 1 and a comeback from five-over through six holes on Sunday—dominates the opening analysis. Spahn's perseverance, bolstered by past experiences like his playoff loss to Rory at Sawgrass and personal life moments, creates one of golf's most compelling storylines this year. Sam Burns, despite leading after 36 holes, faltered on Sunday with a back-nine 5-over but gained praise for his accountability in addressing a controversial rules decision on the 15th hole. Victor Hovland impressed with another top-10 major finish, while Tyrell Hatton and Cam Young finished tied for fourth, each undone by late bogeys. Carlos Ortiz's top-4 finish secured him future major spots and significant earnings. Scottie Scheffler posted a T-7 finish with elite iron play but struggled with driving accuracy. Brooks Koepka showed flashes of his major-winning form with a T-12 finish. Bryson DeChambeau and Keegan Bradley both disappointed due to poor putting and iron play, respectively. Collin Morikawa dazzled tee-to-green but suffered a shocking putting regression. Betting-wise, Will Doctor's card went down 2 units for the week, bringing his YTD loss to 70.7 units. Matchup wins included Rahm over McIlroy and Matsuyama as top Japanese, while Åberg missed the cut as the top Nordic. For the Travelers Championship, Doctor critiques the 72-man no-cut format, urging a return to 120-player fields with cuts and innovations like a shot clock. Course characteristics at TPC River Highlands favor accurate drivers and elite wedge players. Scottie Scheffler headlines as a strong pick at +325 with no statistical weaknesses. Rory McIlroy is passed on due to poor wedge play and fatigue. Morikawa is deemed overpriced despite his iron strength. Schauffele is dismissed for weak wedge approach stats. Matchups include Akshay Bhatia over Sungjae Im and Sepp Straka over Patrick Cantlay, based on wedge stats and recent form. Russell Henley is endorsed as a top-10 pick and outright bet due to his improved putting and elite iron play. Additional outrights include Bud Cauley at 110-1 for his course fit and Scottie Scheffler as the favorite. First-round bet goes to Sam Burns to start strong. Fantasy lineups are provided for both DraftKings and PGATOUR.com formats, featuring Straka, Henley, McIntyre, Spieth, Bhatia, and Cauley. The scoring prediction is -20 under par, with the best bet being Henley top 10 at +275. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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In this investing masterclass, expert stock picker Richard Crow (alias Cockney Rebel) walks me through his view of the markets and latest thoughts on 14 stock ideas, including: 01:00 Equity outlook 05:50 Portfolio held in cash & YTD returns 07:15 Filtronic 14:40 Kier 19:25 Watkin Jones 23:30 Liontrust Asset management 26:45 Earnz 29:20 Future 33:35 Carclo 39:05 Creightons 44:00 Warpaint 46:45 How does Rich create his stock watchlist & whether he uses Level 2 share prices 50:00 Wood Group 51:35 Capita 55:15 theWorks 65:30 Staffline 67:55 Favourite stock idea for the next 12 months. Churchill China
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 22nd UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly ‘TV show' on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Rob Smith, boss man of Hunters, Whitegates & Northwoods as we delve into the key property market headlines for 22nd week of 2025 ending on the 8th June 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/e6wchVvd5AU ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 39.3k new listings this week (last week 31.9k - which was a Bank Holiday) YTD 6% higher than Week 22 of 2024 YTD and 8% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 27.9k Price Reductions this week (last week 21.9k - again Bank Holiday the week before) Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.1 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 14%) …13.4% the month before For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 28.6k UK homes sold STC this week (last week 25k) YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 8% higher compared to 2024 (581k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 535k YTD 2024) and 16% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (499k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) May's sale run rate of 16.08 of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.08% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). 15.36% last month 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long term 8 yr average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 6,713 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 479k UK homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23.5% (last week 21.7%). That is below the 7-year average of 24.2%, and well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). May's figure 5.84% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, April '25 - 5.51%. 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 21.9k net sales this week (19.6k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20k. 2025 YTD is 6% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 11.2% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Stockport Graphs Available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-xM8meJ1nSN
Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links-Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.0:00 ADM Rug Pull3:17 Kim Reynolds and Eminent Domain4:39 US Weather5:53 USDA Preview8:46 Record Ethanol Production10:00 Weaker Dollar?11:30 US/China
US President Trump said at a certain point, they will send letters out for countries to take or leave and will send those letters out in a week and a half.Geopolitics is driving newsflow as Iran was judged to have violated IAEA rules. An update which has sparked increasingly escalatory rhetoric.Given the above, equities are in the red with the DXY pressured and havens leading FX while EUR/USD hits a new YTD peak and XAU climbs.Crude pressured despite the above, given the gains seen on Tuesday, Trump's tariff rhetoric, ongoing OPEC+ action and the lack of specificity on what the Iranian response will be.EGBs benefiting from the risk tone, Gilts outperform after soft GDP. USTs in-fitting but with magnitudes more contained into data.Air India flight AI171 to the UK from Ahmedabad, India crashed outside the airport after takeoff. Craft was a Boeing (BA) 787-8 Dreamliner; Boeing lower by as much as 8% in pre-market trade.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe & Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Today we had the pleasure of hosting our good friend Dr. Ken Medlock, Fellow in Energy and Resource Economics and Senior Director of the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University's Baker Institute. Ken joined the Rice University faculty in 2004 and holds adjunct professor appointments in the Department of Economics and the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, in addition to serving as director of the Master of Energy Economics program. He is also a Distinguished Fellow at the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan, and a sought-after voice on Capitol Hill, at OPEC, and in the media. The Baker Institute plays a key role in shaping energy policy debates in both the U.S. and globally and we were thrilled to welcome Ken to hear his latest insights on today's evolving energy landscape. In our discussion, we explore oil market dynamics and pricing, Middle East geopolitical complexity, Kuwait's production expansion plans, U.S. policy, including how recent grant eliminations impact the economics of carbon capture projects, as well as the importance of distinguishing short-term volatility from long-term energy strategy. We review the current state of carbon capture technology, with high costs remaining a significant barrier, the potential long-term opportunity to convert captured CO2 into valuable products, the potential impact of rolling back EPA emission rules on future generation mix, and how strong electricity demand growth will require all types of generation to meet future needs. Ken shares his perspective on the importance and challenges of coordination across U.S. energy agencies, the critical importance of supply chain resilience, how geopolitical risk premiums shape oil markets, and potential market impact if Iran advances its nuclear capabilities. We cover potential disruptions to energy flow through the Strait of Hormuz, the roles of the U.S. and Israel in Middle East tensions, OPEC+'s decision to accelerate production, low global inventories, and the Baker Institute's growth and expansion across ten programs. We also touch on the interconnectedness of energy and other sectors, the need to re-educate on supply chain dynamics, the intersection of energy infrastructure and disaster preparedness, evolving student interest in energy at Rice, and much more. It was a fantastic and wide-ranging conversation spanning many critical aspects of energy today. Mike Bradley kicked off the show by noting that the S&P 500 has rallied back to within 2% of its all-time high, while the S&P 500 Volatility (VIX) is hovering near YTD lows, which is a dangerous combination. U.S. equity markets appear to be largely driven by the ups/downs of Trump's “Big Beautiful Budget Bill” and tariff negotiations. On the bond side, the U.S. 10-year bond yield (4.45%) has traded sideways so far this week, but that could shift quickly given that several key economic reports are on deck this week, which also could go a long way in determining what the FED does at their June 18th FOMC Rate Decision Meeting. From a crude oil market standpoint, WTI price has recently surged to ~$65/bbl which has caught oil traders by surprise. The front-end of the WTI curve is trading in backwardation, while the back end of the curve is in contango, mostly due to a substantial global S/D surplus that's expected beginning in Q4'25. Last week, OPEC+ agreed to raise July production by ~0.4mmbpd (total 3mo production increase of ~1.2mmbpd), but these “stated” production increases are much higher than “actual” barrels that have entered the market, which is beginning to raise questions around OPEC's “real” spare production capacity. He further noted that Canadian wildfires, Iran nuclear deal delays, and the plunge in U.S. oil rig count (~40 rigs) over the last two months have all combined to move WTI price higher. He ended by highlighting that the EIA released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report this week, which forecasted that U.S. cru
U.S. and Chinese trade officials holding talks in London this morning: Sara Eisen, Carl Quintanilla, and David Faber got the latest from Washington and talked broader implications with longtime market vet Ed Yardeni, who remains bullish on equities here. Plus: Is the IPO market finally thawing? Hear from one expert about the key entrants to watch here, what's next in the pipeline, and whether the gains can continue overall. Also in focus: Apple shares on one of their worst YTD runs into their annual WWDC conference. Find out why – and what to watch out for – with one analyst who says their AI strategy is NOT the biggest risk to shares here… Also: key details behind a report that Meta could invest more than $10B into startup Scale AI. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 21st UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly ‘TV show' on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Toby Martin, as we delve into the key property market headlines for 21st week of 2025 ending on the 1st June 2025. Don't forget that all numbers are down from the previous week's as it late May Bank Holiday The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/X1BCZ8Nh4XA ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 31.9k new listings this week (last week 41.3k) YTD 5% higher than Week 21 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 21.5k Price Reductions this week (last week 27.2k) Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 25k UK homes sold STC this week (last week 28.9k) YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 8% higher compared to 2024 (551k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 511k YTD 2024) and 16% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (399k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) April's sale run rate of 15.36% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 15.36% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). May's figures not out yet - so will be next week March's was 16.3%. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 5,441 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 453k UK homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 21.7% (last week 22.9%). That is below the 7-year average of 24.2%, and well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). May's figure not out yet - April, as a whole, 5.51% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 19.6k net sales this week (22.2k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20k. 2025 YTD is 5% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 11.2% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Plymouth Graphs Available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-tz9cFoINVJ
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dig into the recent market rally and the surprisingly solid economic data that continues to confound many bearish predictions. From stock performance and inflation trends to the latest tariff drama, Ryan and Sonu break down what they believe is actually happening beneath the market's surface.Key TakeawaysMarkets Continue to Surprise on the Upside After a brief dip in April, stocks bounced back strong in May, and with only one down week out of the last six, the S&P 500 is up 1.1% YTD.Tariff Drama ContinuesA court ruling struck down President Trump's sweeping tariffs, though they remain in place for now. Ryan and Sonu dive into the latest drama surrounding tariffs, as well as the TACO trends that's bolstered many investors.Inflation Is Cooling in Key Areas Goods prices are down, shelter inflation is slowing, and real-time data suggests CPI and PCE will continue to moderate—supporting the idea that the inflation spike is behind us.No Sign of a Recession With inflation cooling and the labor market holding strong, odds of recession have retreated from what we saw earlier in the year.Financial Media Still Loves the Bear Case Ryan and Sonu note how recession headlines haven't caught up with the data. Fear sells, but facts are more bullish than many want to admit. Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #EconomicUpdate #JobsReport #FedPolicy #InflationTrends #RecessionDebate #BullMarket #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #MarketRally #FinancialPodcast #InvestmentInsights #S&P500 #HousingMarket #LaborMarket
Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links-Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.0:00 Rain on the Radar2:58 Monday Selloff4:38 Crop Progress & Conditions11:11 Weaker US Dollar?13:02 Crude Rally14:21 Grain Shipments
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 20th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly ‘TV show' on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Iain McKenzie, as we delve into the key property market headlines for 20th week of 2025 ending on the 25th May 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/lDlSupQsKdk ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 41.3k new listings this week (last week 40.6k) YTD 6% higher than Week 20 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 27.2k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 28.9k UK homes sold STC this week (last week 28.8k) YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 9% higher compared to 2024 (527k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 484k YTD 2024) and 17% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (399k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) April's sale run rate of 15.36% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 15.36% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). March's was 16.3%. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 6,618 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 453k UK homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 22.9% (last week 22.7%). That is below the 7-year average of 24.2%, and well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). In April, as a whole, 5.51% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 22.2k net sales this week (22.2k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20k. 2025 YTD is 6% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 11.5% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Canterbury Graphs Available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-nCHRQepW3h
In this episode of Talk Money To Me, Candice and Felicity sit down with acclaimed historian, author, broadcaster, and the brilliant mind behind the new book Gold - Professor Alan Ereira. In his latest work, 'Gold: How it Shaped History', which Candice and Felicity discuss in this episode, Alan explores the powerful and often surprising role this precious metal has played in the rise and fall of empires, economies, and belief systems.In this episode you will hear the deeper meaning of gold- not just as a financial asset, but as a force that continues to influence human behaviour and markets today. As of mid-May 2025, gold is trading around $3,234 USD per ounce, and some market participants are predicting a 15-20% uplift by the end of 2025 calendar year. That's despite the rally of 26% roughly so far YTD. Will the 2025 gold rush continue? Tune into this episode to find out more. Follow Talk Money To Me on Instagram, or send Candice and Felicity an email with all your thoughts here. Felicity Thomas and Candice Bourke are Senior Advisers at Shaw and Partners, and you can find out more here. *****In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Talk Money To Me acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people today. *****Talk Money To Me is a product of Equity Mates Media. This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs or objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional. Equity Mates Media operates under Australian Financial Services Licence 540697.Talk Money To Me is part of the Acast Creator Network. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
If you had enough crypto you could have bought dinner with the President.FEATURING:Victoria Jones (https://twitter.com/satoshis_page)Thomas Hunt (https://twitter.com/MadBitcoins)THIS WEEK: Why bitcoin has rallied to a $112,000 record high while stocks are wobblinghttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-bitcoin-has-rallied-to-a-112-000-record-high-while-stocks-are-wobbling-135373cfSource: Market WatchBitcoin Price Suddenly Soars As Congress Predicted To ‘Make History'https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2025/05/18/jpmorgan-just-flipped-on-bitcoin-issues-huge-new-2025-price-prediction/Source: ForbesTrump speaks with presidential seal at crypto dinner the White House billed as privatehttps://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/05/23/trump-presidential-seal-crypto-dinner-white-house/83814443007/Source: USA Today‘What life is this?': The crypto investors who bought a dinner with Trumphttps://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/22/crypto-memecoin-dinner-trump-warren-00360761Source: PoliticoJUST IN:
Watch on YouTube In this fascinating discussion, Exec Chairman Patrick Desouza of Water Intelligence #WATR and CEO Will Knell of American Leak Detection take me through last week's positive & in line Apr'25 YTD trading update. 00:00 Reminder of what the company does, its key USPs, StreamLabs partnership & secular growth drivers 10:05 Update on YTD'25 trading and reason for uplift in April's performance. 12:20 Importance & scale of partnerships with insurers. 14:45 Accessing US investors, outlook for the rest of the year and closing remarks Disclosure: I own shares in Water Intelligence, who is also a Vox Markets client.
På't igen som gubben sa. Måndag och nytt avsnitt. Det är sig likt, förutom att Gedda har kass röst. Vi går igenom vår SAVR-portfölj som levererat över 30% YTD. Vi pratar igenom lite om våra innehav och vi är ganska nöjda. Det är dock ett innehav som ryker, vilket också kommer behandlas i dagens avsnitt. Tack till fina SAVR som sponsrar podden! Tillsammans med SAVR har vi nu ett erbjudande där du som ny kund får 200kr att handla för när du skapar ett konto via länken: http://savr.com/gt200Det blir sedan rapporter tillsammans med PinPoint. Tack till vår fina sponsor PinPoint, och spana in deras finfina tjänst nedan:https://pinpointestimates.com/seVi pratar först om Eolus Vind (00:26:01), där Gedda håller låda. Caset har väl inte levererat och kommer verkligen det bli någon uppvärdering här? Vi är osäkra. Vi övergår sedan till BPC (00:38:27) som kom med en rapport som inte var så rolig. Sales och EBIT ner, men som vi varnat för tidigare så kan det vara slagigt på kvartalsbasis. Bruttomarginalen skyhög och ordrar är förskjutna. Den långsiktiga tesen finns kvar. Det blir sedan dags för Danmarks stolthet Freetrailer (00:48:32). Nikolai levererar som vanligt och det är svårt att inte imponeras. Vi vidhåller att Freetrailer är det finaste småbolaget i Danmark med god marginal. Vi klämmer sedan in en titt på HomeMaid (01:04:19) som gått urstarkt i år. Lönsamheten förbättras enligt plan och tillväxten är stabil. Är det fortsatt köpläge? Inte enligt Inderes iallafall. Vi tror risken är begränsad, men uppsidan är nog inte på den höjd vi eftersöker. Vi avslutar med en Veckans volley (01:14:30) som vi alltid gör. Tack återigen till SAVR och PinPoint! Ni gör det möjligt för oss att fortsätta. Kolla in vår SAVR-portfölj på Twitter/X och Bluesky: @GottTjotAktierMaila in till: gotttjotomaktier@gmail.comFölj oss på Twitter/X och Bluesky: @GottTjotAktier, @MarkusGedda & @aktiehesten-(00:06:25) - SAVR-portföljen(00:26:01) - Eolus Vind(00:38:27) - BPC(00:48:32) - Freetrailer(01:04:19) - HomeMaid(01:14:30) - Veckans volleySupport this show http://supporter.acast.com/nantingomaktier. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In this episode we answer emails from Pete, Kevin and Dale. We discuss Pete's "Berry Pie" portfolio experiments on the testfolio site, the ongoing debate about the size and value factors and why it doesn't matter that much for constructing diversified portfolios due to Shannon's Demon, and some basics on the process for constructing portfolios moving from asset classes to specific ETFs.We also roll out our "Top of the T-Shirt" Matching Campaign to benefit the Father McKenna Center. Please support the Father McKenna Center by visiting their website and mentioning "Risk Parity Radio" in the dedication box when donating. Your contribution will be matched dollar-for-dollar and help provide meals and services to homeless and hungry people in Washington DC.And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna CenterPete's Test Portfolios Analysis: https://testfol.io/?s=cTkuwqvwzMSShannon's Demon Article: Unexpected Returns: Shannon's Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus – Portfolio ChartsMeb Faber Interview of Professor Ken French: Famed Finance Expert Kenneth French Reveals: Most Dangerous Investor FallaciesBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:Ever walked into a dive bar and found unexpected wisdom? That's Risk Parity Radio—a refreshingly honest approach to investing where movie quotes mix with mathematical principles, and portfolio theory comes without the corporate jargon.In this episode, Frank Vasquez launches the "Top of the T-Shirt Campaign," where an anonymous donor will match up to $15,000 in listener contributions to the Father McKenna Center. This small but mighty charity serves thousands of meals to homeless and hungry people in Washington DC with remarkable efficiency, using a $1.5 million budget, donated space, and an army of volunteers to maximize impact.The heart of the episode tackles a fundamental investing misconception—that we include value stocks or small cap funds because they'll outperform. Frank explains that diversification isn't about prediction but about mathematical certainty: "That's Shannon's Demon. If you have two assets with similar long-term performance but they aren't fully correlated, you're better off holding both than either one alone." By splitting stock holdings between growth and value, investors create systematic rebalancing opportunities when these segments diverge—as they dramatically did in 2022, when growth cratered while value remained relatively stable.Listeners get practical portfolio construction wisdom too: start with your goals, select appropriate asset classes, then choose specific funds—not the other way around. Frank emphasizes that ETFs have made mutual funds largely obsolete for new investments, offering better tax efficiency and portability.Weekly portfolio reviews reveal gold's continued dominance (up 28% YTD) while diversified portfolios showed modest gains despite volatile markets. Risk parity approaches demonstrated their resilience, with the Golden Butterfly portfolio up 3.13% year-to-date and 38.12% since inception in 2020.Ready to build a portfolio that doesn't require predicting winners? Want to support a worthy cause while learning? This episode combines financial wisdom with practical generosity—a perfect introduction to the Risk Parity Radio approach.Support the show
As Trump's tariffs continue to disrupt global markets and the AI revolution reshapes the investment landscape, market leadership is shifting - and there are surprises emerging among them. One of them is the language app Duolingo, which has quietly outperformed some of the biggest names in tech with a 58.1% return, even pipping Palantir Technologies at 55.1%. In an interview with BizNews, Sean Ashton of Omba Investments delves beneath the surface of index and sector returns and reveals Duolingo's value lies in its strength in leveraging AI within its business model to accelerate content creation, with new offerings potentially including chess, mathematics, and even music. However, both Duolingo and Palantir remain highly valued, with Palantir described by Ashton as 'probably the poster child for extreme valuations in today's market.' Among the other standout performers, cybersecurity giant CrowdStrike has posted an impressive 37.3% YTD return. And where do the Magnificent Seven stand? With Alphabet, NVIDIA, Microsoft, and other dominant tech players, Ashton argues that despite passing on the baton, “if you delve below the surface of indices and even sector returns, it is far from over in tech land. As for Tesla, Ashton points out that the Cybertruck hasn't hit its stride, auto margins have collapsed, and Musk's entanglement in US government affairs has triggered a backlash. But Musk should not be written off. "He's come back from worse many times before.
Can you hit a 30% growth target YTD and still make a major contribution to your community? Apparently, you can. In this episode, we talk with Nevin Bansal. Nevin is the Founder and CEO of Outreach Promos, a Columbus-based company providing online brandstores, branded merch, and design solutions. Nevin is also the founder and Executive Director of Small Biz Cares, a nonprofit that engages small businesses for philanthropy and community impact. Tune in to learn how to impact your bottom line and your community!
Derek Moore reflects on market reaction to the 2011 US debt downgrade and explains what S&P, Fitch, and Moody's have for ratings. Plus, are markets poised for more positive returns based on several indicators? The bear case against the markets would be a reduction in profit margins. Later, Derek reviews some data of future 12-month returns when consumer confidence is low as a contrarian indicator. Finally, looking at several current indicators and random musing in markets for clues about the future. All that and more this week. S&P 500 Index net profit margins for Q1 2025 Consumer confidence and consumer sentiment are low but is that a good thing? Looking at how often intra year lows on average are -14% but often markets end higher 12-month inflation expectations are now 7.3% highest since 1981 Hard vs soft data Velocity of M2 Money Stock What has been working asset class wise in 2025 YTD 15 biggest rallies since 1950 and subsequent forward total returns Atlanta Fed GDP Now Investment banks starting to reduce recession probabilities Attribution of earnings EPS growth DeGraaf and Zweig Breadth Thrusts occurring within 1 month of each other Explaining the difference between Moodys, Fitch, and S&P bond ratings Moodys downgrades US Debt Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 18th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Simon Gates, as we delve into the key property market headlines for 18th week of 2025 ending on the 11th May 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/-tl_5WEIyLQ ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 34.9k new listings this week (last week 42.6k) Last week was a Bank Holiday week - meaning many numbers are lower than normal) YTD 5% higher than Week 18 of 2024 YTD and 10% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 22.9k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 23.4k UK homes sold STC this week (last week 28.3k) YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 8% higher compared to 2024 (469k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 433k YTD 2024) and 17% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (399k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) April's sale run rate of 15.36% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 15.36% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). March's was 16.3%. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 5,415 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 453k UK homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23.2% (last week 23.6%). Just below the 7-year average of 24.2%, and well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). In April, as a whole, 5.51% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 18k net sales this week (21.9k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20k. 2025 YTD is 6% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 11.5% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Salisbury Graphs Available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-PLMrlkC4zE
OpeningGolfPGA Championship at Quail Hollow. 156 players. Top 70 make cut. Qualification CriteriaCalifornia Budget$12 billion budget deficit. Newsom is proposing to close the deficit by rolling back state-funded insurance coverage for adults without legal immigration status, cutting coverage for weight loss drugs like OzempicCalifornia: 13.3%Hawaii: 11.0%New York: 10.9%New Jersey: 10.75%Oregon: 9.9%Investing$1000 to every kid. Home Alarm: $45/ monthMarketsTariffsTariff Game Theory: China has to blink because everyday that passes every company is studying and implementing supply chain changes. So much panic in last month or so. Now Flat year to dateIf investing on April 7. You are up 17% and 29% Downturns is when you make money!!! NetflixAll time high: $1182. Up 29% YTD. $500 billion market cap. Netflix said on Wednesday 94 million subscribers use its advertising-supported tier.BuffetBecoming old. 94 years old. Legend. I'm still pissed he didn't buy Tesla. CoinbaseRansomTurning it around. Will pay $20m reward to help find attackers!!! Tesla Stilll planning to go live with Robo-taxi in Austin in June. Shares could explode. $345 today. $480 ATH. If you bought Tesla 10 years ago. You're up 20x. 35-36% annualized returns.Robots dancing shown to Crown Prince and President Trump in Saudi. Talk in Saudi: Robots and wanting your own C3P0 or R2-D2 and productivity unlock. Universal “High Income”. How are we doing on Robotaxis. Robots on wheels. Bringing robotaxi to the Kingdom.Apple ATH $258. Now at $211. Was $172WHat is a buy-back?More of Eddy Cue testimony here. Alphabet/ GoogleSearch is dead. Cloud, Youtube, Google Biz suite alive and well.DOGEBig BallsThese kids are so hard core. No weekends. They know they're racing against a media and political clock that won't thank them for their service.Requiring receipts: "They were basically partying on taxpayer money." Recommendations:Friends and NeighborsTheo Von with David Spade. Listening to Ben Affleck.
Today we had the pleasure of hosting Dr. Francesco Sassi for a wide-ranging discussion on global energy and geopolitics. Francesco is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Oslo and previously served as a Research Fellow in energy geopolitics and markets at Ricerche Industriali ed Energetiche (RIE). Francesco holds a Ph.D. in Political Science – Geopolitics from the University of Pisa, where he focused his research on the Sino-Russian gas interdependence. We were drawn to his straightforward analysis, insightful commentary, and use of maps to bring complex dynamics to life. We were thrilled to visit with Francesco and learn from his perspective. In our conversation, we explore the rise of political risk in energy markets and the growing global interdependence of the energy system, driven by factors such as China's increasing influence in shaping energy geopolitics, new interdependencies created by energy technology, trade and manufacturing, as well as disruptions like COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. We examine Russian gas volumes to Europe, Spain's leadership in clean energy and the implications of its recent blackout, and the dual forces shaping Europe: rising cross-border interconnectivity projects alongside increasing energy nationalism. We touch on President Trump's recent visit to the Middle East, which is part of broader interest in energy and AI investment in the region, OPEC+ strategy, market share pressures, and the impact of low oil prices on Russia. Francesco shares his perspective on the potential for a Putin-Zelensky meeting, tensions between India and Pakistan, and how energy policy is becoming increasingly central to electoral platforms in Europe. We turn to Argentina's recent progress under President Milei, Israeli investment in lithium extraction technology in Argentina's lithium triangle, and how energy and mineral resources are increasingly being used as tools of foreign policy and geopolitical leverage. We close with Francisco's thoughts on the growing power of energy as a force shaping international relations and global industrial strategy. It was a dynamic and insightful conversation. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion by noting that broader markets rallied substantially on Monday following news that China and the U.S. have agreed to a “tentative” tariff deal. Broader equity markets (S&P 500) have completely retraced their losses since Trump's April 2nd Day of Liberation and are now up slightly (+4%). Meanwhile, the S&P Volatility Index has plunged from its April 8th tariff volatility highs and is now trading near YTD lows, something to be monitored closely as any surprise event could send broader markets lower. On the bond market front, the 10yr bond yield is trading sideways even though April CPI came in lower than expected. PPI will be released on Wednesday and if it too prints lower than expected, it could provide room for the Fed to begin cutting rates at their June 18th FOMC meeting. On the crude oil front, WTI price has rebounded nicely over the past week and now trades at ~$63/bbl. Oil traders remain focused on future OPEC+ production increases and increasingly on whether U.S. E&Ps will begin altering their 2025 capex plans at these lower prices levels. He wrapped up with a look at key events this week, notably NRG Energy's acquisition of LS Power's portfolio of natural gas generation assets (~13gw for ~$12 billion). The move follows Constellation Energy's mid-January deal to acquire Calpine Corp. and demonstrates that both companies are positioning themselves for an acceleration in electricity growth this decade. Many thanks to Francesco for sharing his time and insights with us today. We hope you enjoy the discussion as much as we did! Our best to you all.
It's clear - AI is the new oil - new gold - new currency. When Trump tells you to buy - BUY. SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 TRENDSPIDER SALE - SIGN UP FOR AN ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION AND GET ALL THE TOOLS I USE INCLUDING ALL MY ALGORITHMS AND STRATEGIES, CUSTOM WATCH LISTS AND SCANNERS. 1. This is my Quant 2. Fear and Greed - where are you? 3. Timeline of events over the last 60 days4. S&P Targets and the multiple 5. I am NOT positive YTD - but the markets are6. Alpha Picks are my top performers in my portfolio 7. Top Strong Buy Quant stocks with short squeeze potential 8. The Watch List - look at the gainers!9. Growth or Value - OR BOTH!10. $DIS11. $UNH12. $GOOG - why it will monetize 13. $NVDA - it's clearly being used as political currency 14. $SMCI - huge potential but I'm still trading it - not owning it15. Crypto - Rat Poison TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available -https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick Sign up at the top link (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day.Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $30 off coupon for a limited time Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here.FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at DAILYSTOCKPICK.SUBSTACK.COM
Investing in Bizarro World Episodes: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIAfIjKxr02sAztzlJNy1ug5bDvTVZkME&si=w2d_EF-B5jMo1dYD Subscribe to Investing In Bizarro World: @bizarroworld Programming Note: Bitcoin hits $100K again. And Gerardo buys Bitcoin for the first time. Chris Curl shows him how simple it is in this new video. https://bit.ly/3RXiJgbThe free version of the 316th episode of Investing in Bizarro World is now published.Here's what was covered:Macro Musings - GDP goes negative, and markets call it bullish. Powell punts again. Fed signals it may abandon the 2% inflation target if jobs suffer. Trump touts a “major” trade deal with the UK — that keeps tariffs the same. Tariff fallout grows: ports go quiet, shelves thin out. Paul Tudor Jones says stocks could hit new lows and warns of a 10% chance AI wipes out half of humanity within 20 years. Nick and Gerardo aren't laughing.Market Takes - Utilities and staples — the only S&P sectors up more than 2% YTD — continue to outperform as tariffs benefit domestically sourced goods. Philip Morris up 45% in 2024 because of no foreign dependence. Rotation into commodities is well underway. Bond and currency markets flashing stress. Nick sees more chop ahead but no recession — and new highs later in the year. How China is de-dollaring. Gold still under-owned. Bizarro Banter - The world gets a new pope — a Cubs fan from Chicago. Nick and Gerardo reminisce about 2016, the Cubs' last title, and the founding of Digest Publishing. AI warning bells ring louder as Elon Musk and other developers privately predict apocalyptic risk. Why NatGold, which tokenizes what it calls “naturally vaulted gold” isn't for serious investors. Gerardo jokes about naturally vaulted tokenized orgasms. Nick has a naturally vaulted six-pack. If you want to own gold, buy gold. If you want to own Bitcoin, buy bitcoin. Even Gerardo's buying Bitcoin. Learn more: https://bit.ly/3RXiJgbPremium Portfolio Picks - For paid listeners only. 0:00 Introduction1:06 Macro Musings: 2016 All Over? Paul Tudor Jones. Tariff Talk.11:33 Market Takes: S&P Sector Highlights. Uranium Snapback. Rick Rule. Gold Under-owned.24:06 Bizarro Banter: AI & Humanity. Gerardo Buys Bitcoin. NatGold Isn't Serious.28:41 Premium Portfolio Picks: Battery Technology Discussion. Two Lithium Stocks. Two Juniors Drilling Now. You need to subscribe to Bizarro World Live to get this section: https://bit.ly/4j4HRwDPLEASE NOTE: There are now two versions of this podcast. 1. Bizarro World Live — Pay $2 per episode to watch us record the podcast live every Thursday and get Premium Portfolio Picks every week. You can do that here. https://bit.ly/4j4HRwD2. Bizarro World Free — Published the Monday after the live recording with no Premium Portfolio Picks.Visit our website Daily Profit Cycle for more content like this and more! https://dailyprofitcycle.com/
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 17th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Toby Phillips from TPFG & Bossman of Martin & Co, CJ Hole , Parkers , Country Properties , Mullucks and Ellis and Co brands, as we delve into the key property market headlines for 17th week of 2025 ending on the 4th May 2025. The YouTube Show. https://youtu.be/1YWlyJI257A ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 42.6k new listings this week (last week 32.5k) YTD 6% higher than Week 17 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 27.2k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 28.3k UK homes sold STC this week, the highest its been for 145 weeks (late May 2022) YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 10% higher compared to 2024 (445k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 405k YTD 2024) and 19% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (375k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) April's sale run rate of 15.36% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 15.36% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). March's was 16.3%. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 6,449 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 453k UK homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 22.7% (last week 23.6%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). In April, as a whole, 5.51% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 21.9k net sales this week (17.4k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20k. 2025 YTD is 7% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 13% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Brighton & Hove Graphs Available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-cNpbatI0Eh
Markets are mixed in Asia, but earnings are anything but flat. Hosted by Michelle Martin with Ryan Huang, we unpack OCBC’s Q1 results and how it stacks up against DBS and UOB. Far East Orchard doubles its profits, ST Engineering surges 60% YTD, and Auntea Jenny stirs up Hong Kong markets with a 40% debut pop. We dive into a new US-UK trade deal and what it means for global investors. Plus, we play UP or DOWN with Pinterest, Emirates, and Restaurant Brands. Hear more of OCBC, DBS, UOB, ST Engineering, Far East Orchard, Auntea Jenny, Pinterest, Mapletree, Restaurant Brands and Emirates. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
หนังสือ Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side ของ Howard Marks - สินทรัพย์ภายใต้การจัดการรวมของ Oaktree ทั้งหมด อยู่ที่ 193 พันล้านเหรียญสหรัฐ หรือราว ๆ 6 ล้านล้านบาท - การจะรู้ว่าเราควรจะลงทุนในสินทรัพย์ใด ณ ช่วงเวลาใด จะขึ้นอยู่กับความรู้ บวกกับผลตอบแทนเฉลี่ยนับตั้งแต่ต้นปี (YTD) - ประวัติศาสตร์จะซ้ำรอยเดิม แต่จะไม่ได้เหมือนเดิมแบบครบถ้วนสมบูรณ์ มันจึงมีจุดแตกหักของการเข้าไปลงทุนของรายย่อยได้เสมอ - กองทุนของเอกชน และกองทุนของรัฐบาล ล้วนมีสิ่งที่คล้ายคลึงกันนั่นก็คือ เขาจะไม่ยอมขาดทุนโดยเด็ดขาด แล้วถ้าเกิดการขาดทุนรายย่อยจะเจ็บหนักสุด - ระยะเวลาของวัฏจักรตลาด คือ 1. เริ่มมองโลกในแง่ดี 2.ตื่นตัว นี่คือจุดสูงสุดของอารมณ์ หลังจากนั้น 3.เริ่มผิดคาด 4.เริ่มมองโลกในแง่ร้าย 5.ยอมแพ้ นี่คือจุดต่ำสุดของอารมณ์ และ 6.เริ่มฟื้นตัวต่อไป
Welcome to the 16th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Bryan Mansell as we delve into the key property market headlines for 16th week of 2025 ending on the 20th April 2025. It must be stressed that this was an Easter week, so many of the metrics are lower than normal (see the graphs to see this is a normal occurrence) The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/IZ19bMhoWEo ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 32.5k new listings this week (last week 37.5k) YTD 6% higher than Week 16 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 22.1k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 22.8k UK homes sold STC this week, down slightly as expected because of Easter Weekend YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 11% higher compared to 2024 (417k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 377k YTD 2024) and 19% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (351k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) March's sale run rate of 16.3% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.3% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). April's stats will shown next week. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 5,377 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 467,414 homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23.6% (last week 22.5%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). In March, as a whole, 5.75% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. Again, April's figure for this stat will announced next week ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 17.4k net sales this week (19k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 19.9k. (remember its Easter) 2025 YTD is 8% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 13% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Newport (Wales) Graphs available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-n6sRLhGF3Q
In this KE Report Daily Editorial, I welcome back Darrell Fletcher, Managing Director of Commodities at Bannockburn Capital Markets, for an in-depth discussion on the broad selloff across commodity markets and what's driving the recent shift in sentiment. Key Theme: Uncertainty is dominating commodity markets and driving capital outflows, even in the face of a weaker U.S. dollar. Discussion Highlights: Commodities under pressure: Despite a weaker USD, commodity indexes are down sharply - S&P GSCI down ~7%, LMEX metals down ~3-4%, and energy down ~15% over the past month. Gold stands out: Amid the selloff, gold has held up well, up ~26% YTD, with growing ETF inflows, particularly from Western investors. Open interest and liquidity: Major declines in open interest across crude oil (-22%), copper (-42%), and natural gas (-40%) point to reduced market conviction and tightening liquidity. Energy sector health check: Fletcher sees crude in a bearish pattern, while natural gas appears more constructive with disciplined production and balanced inventories. Copper's volatility: While short-term price action is volatile, the long-term forward curve remains strong, signaling confidence in future demand despite short-term macro drag. Darrell ties all these moves together with fund flows, futures positioning, and global macro signals, including the impact of falling factory activity in China and declining U.S. data. This episode offers a clear snapshot of how traders are navigating one of the most uncertain environments in recent years. Click here to learn more about Bannockburn Capital Markets.
Dave Erfle - Money Rotation Into Gold Juniors, M&A, and Silver's Setup In this KE Report interview, Dave Erfle, founder and editor of Junior Miner Junky, joins us to explore the recent rotation from senior gold producers to juniors, what it means for the broader bull market, and how M&A and fund flows are shaping the precious metals narrative. Dave breaks down key technical signals, fund positioning, and stock-specific strategies to help investors position ahead of the next phase. As gold consolidates near all-time highs and generalist money trickles in, Dave shares what separates the outperformers from the laggards, and where smart capital is going next. Key discussion points: Sector rotation underway: Juniors are gaining traction, especially as early investors take profits from majors and royalty names. ETF fund flows diverging: GLD sees ~$7B in inflows YTD while GDX sees ~$3B in outflows. M&A returns to early-stage assets: Lumina Gold's acquisition and other recent deals show growing interest in de-risked development-stage projects. Where to look next: Dave outlines the sweet spot - fully financed, late-stage developers nearing production or takeover - while cautioning on dilution risks and poor share structures in early-stage juniors. Silver stock selectivity: A small basket of well-funded, high-grade, tight-structure silver juniors is beginning to move, especially those with strong U.S. listings and institutional visibility. Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to learn more about Dave's investment letter.
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 15th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Kristian Stott as we delve into the key property market headlines for 15th week of 2025 ending on the 20th April 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/hlZhT28qqec ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 37.5k new listings this week (last week 41.1k) That's 8% higher than Week 15 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 21.2k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 24.5k UK homes sold STC this week, down slightly because of Easter Weekend YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 13% higher compared to 2024 (394k YTD 2025 vs 350k YTD 2024) and 20% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (328k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) March's sale run rate of 16.3% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.3% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 5,515 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 467,414 homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23% (last week 23.7%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). Last month, as a whole, 5.75% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 19k net sales this week (21k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20.1k. (remember its Easter) 2025 YTD is 10% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 14% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. ✅ Residential Sales Stock on the Market 705k properties on the market on the 1st April 2025 (monthly stat taken on the first day of the month). Historical comparison for 1st march : * 2024: 654k * 2023: 585k * 2022: 421k * 2021: 542k * 2020: 584k * 2019: 647k * 2018: 598k * 2017: 557k ✅ Residential Sales Sold STC Pipeline 467k sales agreed in Estate Agents Sales Pipeline (ie sold stc but not yet completed) as at the 1st April 2025 (monthly figure) Historical comparison for 1st March : * 2024: 404k * 2023: 371k * 2022: 487k * 2021: 474k * 2020: 335k * 2019: 337k * 2018: 314k * 2017: 306k ✅ UK House Prices (£/sq.ft) As always, the £/sq.ft metric predicts Land Registry figures 5 months in advance with 92% accuracy (the orange line of the graph). March's final figure: £343/sq.ft. * December '24 : £335/sq.ft * March '24 : £337/sq.ft * March '23: £333/sq.ft * March '19: £270/sq.ft This means UK house prices achieved on the sales agreed in March 25 were 2.36% higher than Dec 24, and 1.63% higher than a year ago (March 24). Local Focus this week - Norwich
Associates on Fire: A Financial Podcast for the Associate Dentist
Welcome back to The Dental Boardroom Podcast with Wes Read.In this follow-up to our previous episode on structuring your Profit & Loss (P&L) statement, we dive deeper into the how of using your financials strategically.This episode walks you through 10 essential questions—or rather, areas of focus—to ask each month when reviewing your financial statements. These questions will help you uncover trends, evaluate performance, and guide your practice toward long-term financial health.Wes also breaks down how to align your collections with personal financial goals like retirement and financial independence. He shares real-world advice on navigating fluctuations in revenue and expenses.Whether you're a seasoned practice owner or new to analyzing financials, this episode is packed with actionable insights that will help you become a more financially empowered business owner.Key Points:How to read your P&L like a narrative, not just a spreadsheetMonthly collection tracking: comparing last month, YTD, and last yearHow to know if you hit your goals-based breakeven pointStrategies for consistent collection growth through marketing and operationsIdentifying outlier expenses and validating through the general ledgerWhy your practice financials should align with your life visionQuestion 1: What were my collections last month and year-to-date (YTD), and how do they compare to last year? Understanding variations in collections and what they indicateQuestion 2: Did I reach my goals-based breakeven point for the month and year? The importance of setting and measuring against personal financial goalsQuestion 3: How can I grow my collections consistently? The role of marketing, operations, and planning in revenue growthQuestion 4: Do any expense categories look too high or too low? How to review the general ledger to validate expensesMindset: Be intentional about aligning your practice's performance with your life goals.#DentalBoardroomPodcast #WesRead #DentalFinance #ProfitAndLoss #DentalPracticeManagement #FinancialPlanning #PracticeOrbit #DentalBusiness #DentalCFO #CollectionsGoals #DentalGrowth #PlanAndProfit #FinancialIndependence #DentistLife
Yes, that somehow made the cut. Plus Trump vs Harvard, Trump vs J Powell, Trump vs the IRS, which now has its 5th head in 3 months. Plus plus YTD performance and possible relief for scam victims.
There's danger in the market - but should you buy this once in a decade opportunity? What I heard about $HOOD that made me bullish. $COST or $NVDA - which one would you buy? Get the Top 10 stocks of 2025 from Seeking AlphaTRENDSPIDER EASTER SALE - SAVE ALMOST 40%Click this link - Then email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com and I'll send you the welcome letter with everything to import to your setup with any annual plan 1. Chris Camillo convinced me - $HOOD2. Sell in May and Go Away - should you do that now? 3. Markets - inside candle - reversal? 4. Berkshire - quietly up 14% YTD in a down market5. Dangers in the market - Powell and mass selling6. $QQQ - once in a decade opportunity? 7. Costco or NVDA - which one are you buying? 8. Value or Growth - which one is the go forward sector?9. 5 value names including PPC 10. Earnings TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available -https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick Sign up at the top link (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day.Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $30 off coupon for a limited time Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here.FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at DAILYSTOCKPICK.SUBSTACK.COM
$BAC $C $NFLX $PLTR $CRWD $SNOW and others - I look at them Get the Top 10 stocks of 2025 from Seeking AlphaLimited Time offer on Trendspider - 2 week trials now - you won't get my tools until you sign up for a yearly plan, but it's a perfect time to try out Trendspider for less than $20 1. Alpha Picks - I tried to scalp it - it didn't work out - why? 2. $BAC - up 5% after earnings3. $C - up 5% after earnings4. $NFLX - up 5% - what to do now? 5. $PLTR - when to trim it6. 10 stocks trading over their 200 day moving average that are up YTD 10%-29%7. $CRWD - I bought - did you? 8. $SNOW - it's in the trading range I like to buy at 9. $UNH in to earnings10. Pelosi bought $VST here - you can get it cheaper11. $UAL earnings - $DAL will move with it12. $IBKR results show markets are getting cash inflow13. Crypto - $JNVR up 1200% over the last week 14. $NVDA will have a huge loss hit the books TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available -https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick Sign up at the top link (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day.Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $30 off coupon for a limited time Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here.FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at DAILYSTOCKPICK.SUBSTACK.COM
Tuesday, April 15, 2025 – Week 16 CURRENT NEWS #Sprint4Syngap 2025 is in eleven days! Start or join a team and fundraise! https://curesyngap1.org/sprint25 look at these faces, $167,979 of which $145k+ fromTavillas! Board Announcement: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1080490 LEARNING ABOUT SYNGAP1 ProMMiS NHS Webinar from Dr. McKee: https://youtu.be/zozwf1NDB5I we were waiting for this great paper: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1098360025000668 which I discussed in #S10e167. Also, learn from Dr. Knowles, Apple Pod: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stanford-medcast/id1529672674 YT https://youtu.be/VBWa0FklYJs Catatonia, watch these when you can: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/activity-7316937356194844672-PoUi/ Please ask me your ASO Questions - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1I0sRVZTY-A For instance, these won't repair, but they will will upregulate... = make work harder. MORE NEWS In #S10e168 I talked about Drs Bowie & Willsey, this week I can applaud Postilla! https://www.linkedin.com/posts/inflames-research-flagship_making-sense-of-missense-in-a-rare-children-activity-7316376546833833986--Qoc/ SIBLINGS Tell your story, please for the other ones. https://curesyngap1.org/syngap-siblings/shanaye-worth/ https://curesyngap1.org/sibling-support/ PUBLICATION COUNT PubMed is at 17 YTD, 325 in total (trending to 52+, but I'm not as confident) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/?term=syngap1&filter=years.1998-2025&timeline=expanded&sort=date&sort_order=asc SHARE BLOOD TO THE SRF BIOBANK AT CB! Read here for more information: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/fueling-research-syngap1-combinedbrain-biorepository-roadshow/ VOLUNTEER Join us: https://curesyngap1.org/volunteer-with-srf/ SOCIAL MATTERS - 4,009 LinkedIn. https://www.linkedin.com/company/curesyngap1/ - 1,334 YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@CureSYNGAP1 - 11,369 Twitter https://twitter.com/cureSYNGAP1 - 46k Insta https://www.instagram.com/curesyngap1/ NEWLY DIAGNOSED? New families have resources here! https://syngap.fund/Resources Podcasts, give all of these a five star review! https://cureSYNGAP1.org/SRFApple https://podcasts.apple.com/us/channel/syngap1-podcasts-by-srf/id6464522917 Episode 169 of #Syngap10 #Advocate #PatientAdvocacy #UnmetNeed #SYNGAP1 #SynGAP #SynGAProMMiS
Welcome to the Newcomer Investor Channel, where we uncover the story behind great businesses and make investing accessible and fun for everyone!Please note: this podcast is not financial advice. I'm not telling you what to do… just sharing what I do!Connect:Newcomer Investor on X: https://twitter.com/NewcomerInvestNewcomer Investor Email: iamthenewcomerinvestor@gmail.comGet a 15% discount on Finchat, my FAVOURITE Financial Research tool: https://finchat.io/?via=anthonyTimestamps:(0:00) - Intro(00:58) - Broad thoughts on investing in the age of uncertainty and tariffs(6:34) - What I bought since “Liberation Day”(7:50) - YTD returns (as of April 13th)
Wednesday, April 9, 2025 – Week 15 Condolences to the Brimsek family and thank you John & Tobi for all your support. We just shared an interview with our board member and John's son-in-law, Eric Moulton https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Stories Trip Report, two crazy days. Many takeaways. Trials may be coming soon. If there is a trail, sign up. Every time. khuba@jcu.edu Do the Frazier Study and do the follow-ups! https://curesyngap1.org/eye2 Global as well. Australia, UK, Canada, please help. We are busy too! DiMe announcement just came out https://www.linkedin.com/posts/curesyngap1_new-project-announcement-children-with-activity-7315615778366537728-c-gU Census is 1,581! https://curesyngap1.org/blog/syngap1-census-2025-update-q1/ Impact report has a webinar! https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Impact Both featured in Newsletter #44 - https://cureSYNGAP1.org/NL44 Monday 4/14 we have a webinar - Natural History & Clinical Trial Readiness - with Dr. McKee https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Jill We have one space available in Colorado on May 20, 2025, email Lauren@curesyngap1.org to sign up. Other blog about the CB Roadshow, please join us there https://curesyngap1.org/blog/fueling-research-syngap1-combinedbrain-biorepository-roadshow/ And the Polish Community speaking out about ASO trials: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/aso-choice-for-hope-syngap1-voices-from-poland/ #Sprint4Syngap 2025 is in one month! Start or join a team and fundraise! https://curesyngap1.org/sprint25 look at these faces, $66,383 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IW7owIsdjss Bowie - Our funding goes far: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1078836 remember in July 2022 https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/960181 Also see this from CZI, featuring SYNGAP1 in Dr. Willsey's work https://www.czbiohub.org/life-science/unlocking-biology-autism/ PubMed is at 17 YTD, 324 in total (trending to 52+, but I'm not as confident) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/?term=syngap1&filter=years.1998-2025&timeline=expanded&sort=date&sort_order=asc VOLUNTEER Join us: https://curesyngap1.org/volunteer-with-srf/ SOCIAL MATTERS - 3,996 LinkedIn. https://www.linkedin.com/company/curesyngap1/ - 1,334 YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@CureSYNGAP1 - 11,391 Twitter https://twitter.com/cureSYNGAP1 - 46k Insta https://www.instagram.com/curesyngap1/ NEWLY DIAGNOSED? New families have resources here! https://syngap.fund/Resources Podcasts, give all of these a five star review! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/channel/syngap1-podcasts-by-srf/id6464522917 Episode 168 of #Syngap10 #Advocate #PatientAdvocacy #UnmetNeed #SYNGAP1 #SynGAP #SynGAProMMiS
Tariffs are killing markets. A glimpse int what happens when we take a difference course Markets making some of the wort moves in decades Billionaires - all in on Trump lost billions... WAIT !!!!!! Maybe a 90-day pause on Tariffs now...Or Not... More finesse, less sledge hammer? PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - Markets making some of the worst moves in decades - Billionaires - all in on Trump lost billions... - WAIT !!!!!! Maybe a 90-day pause on Tariffs now...Or Not... - More finesse, less sledge hammer? Markets - Key Reversal Indicator - 1st Green cluster bottom on Monday.. Oversold? - Stock markets slammed - President Trump discussing stocks - Economic Pissing Match - Even more tariffs, or bluffs - VIX HITS 60! -- A Quick Poem - Green Eggs and Navarro --- One of the gents that responded to Vietnam's desire to have zero tariffs as "not enough" DAX on Monday and other Markets - Opened up down 10% - clawed back a bunch by end of the day - European stocks down 1.5% YTD 2024 - US Stock bearing the brunt of the move - Hong Kong (after being closed Friday) - closed Monday DOWN 13%! - Monday in Japan, Markets halted, futures trading suspended as Nikkei and Topix plunge more than 5% --- Follow up - then up 6% the next day - Monday YTD US Markets: Heads Up - Just in... - Tuesday at 12:30PM - 'White House Press Secretary says 104% additional tariffs went into effect at noon eastern time because China has not removed it's retaliation. The 104% additional tariff will be collected starting tomorrow April 9th' -Markets were trying to right themselves - up big to start the day - then this headline.... - What if - China comes back at 200%? More: - Tuesday afternoon : White House Secretary Karoline Leavitt answers questions on trade at briefing: President Trump not considering delay in tariffs that are due to go into effect tomorrow at 12:01 AM - Where is the negotiation? Seems like a pissing match or bluff with unlimited funds. If you are interested - Rand Paul making all sorts of sense this morning - Trades are win-win. Trade does not mean that one side has to win and one lose. - https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/04/08/sen-rand-paul-on-trump-tariffs-trade-is-an-integral-part-of-capitalism.html Stupid - Taiwan's top financial regulator said on Sunday it will impose temporary curbs on short-selling of shares to help deal with potential market turmoil from U.S. President Donald Trump's new import tariffs, and will take other steps as needed. - Taiwan's Financial Supervisory Commission said in a statement it would limit the number of shares that can be sold short and raise the minimum short-selling margin ratio to 130% from 90%, starting from Monday and lasting until Friday. - We have seen how this plays out in the past. More references to bluffing - "I think it was a big mistake, this Chinese escalation, because they're playing with a pair of twos," Bessent said during an interview on CNBC's "Squawk Box." "What do we lose by the Chinese raising tariffs on us? We export one-fifth to them of what they export to us, so that is a losing hand for them." VIX - Hits 60 on Monday - then backs off to 45 - Not often we see a run like that. - Still at 45 shows big concerned about near-term volatility. --- S&P 500 top to bottom 7% move today - VIX was at 37 - back to 52 BREAK - IBKR Billionaires losing $$ - Do we feel bad? - Sample of losses on Liberation Day - Zuck lost $18B - Bezos lost $15B What? - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says Americans looking to retire aren't concerned about day...
You're listening to The Mining Pod. Subscribe to the newsletter, trusted by over 10,000 Bitcoiners: https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com Want to mine Bitcoin? Check out the Blockspace Media store today! Welcome back to The Mining Pod! In this emergency market update, we analyze the brutal day for Bitcoin and mining stocks amid wider tariff-induced market terror. Bitcoin is below $80,000 and bitcoin mining stocks are bleeding. We examine the YTD declines for mining equities, how tariffs could impact miner CAPEX costs by 10-30%, and how the tariffs invite potential mining M&A consolidation. # Notes: - Bitcoin dipped below $80K, rebounded to high $70Ks - Mining stocks down 50%+ YTD across the board - 34% tariffs announced on Chinese goods - Hash price compressed to around $40 - Marathon has ~50,000 Bitcoin on balance sheet - Asics/infrastructure costs rising 10-30% with tariffs Timestamps: 00:00 Start 01:59 China responds to tariffs 04:00 Crypto outflows 11:14 Miners stocks bleeding out
Hello everyone, it's Bill Thompson – T Bill. Some of the things covered on today's session include: The market's reaction to the tariffs.How the tariffs were calculated. Possible scenarios going forward. The market's YTD returns. The movement of investor's money. Bitcoin down 20% from its highs.
This week: Guest Co-Host Charles Duncan; Guest: Eamonn Brennan, Fmr Director General, Eurocontrol; News: Trans Canada booking data conflicts; Potential market share shifts related to fees; Alaska/Hawaiian increasing Asian service from Seattle; Listener input: Lots about SWA, but not much about JetBlue's situation, YTD stock prices, and future pilots getting hours as a CFI.
In the first half, we discuss the imminent arrival of “Liberation Day”, and why uncertainty over tariffs is causing consternation to consumer, business, and investor confidence. We look at the most recent inflation data from the government and examine the widely divergent inflation expectations based on political affiliation. We also tie this to the likelihood of further rate cuts and the necessity to drive rates lower as sizable government debt is due to be refinanced in 2025. In the second half, we (finally) discuss what has been a challenging quarter for stocks, especially the Magnificent Seven: In the aggregate, the Mag Seven are in a bear market (down 20%). The S&P 500 is down 5% YTD and 10% below its all-time high, led lower by the Mag Seven. The average stock in the NASDAQ is 35% below its high. The path forward for the market depends on the impact of tariffs and spending cuts, both of which are likely headwinds in the near term. With both valuations and earnings expectations still elevated, there remains downside in the event of either an economic or earnings recession. However, value stocks have performed well year-to-date, as have non-U.S. stocks, which are garnering attention as a result of changing U.S. trade and foreign policy. In other words, diversification has (finally) been helping. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting www.formidableam.com.
Wednesday, March 26, 2025 – Week 13 #S10e166 was remarkable, #UnMetNeed https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rut1q0LzdtA, with almost 600 views this is the best S10 episode, ever. Don't miss it, or the comments. Feel free to add to them! One of the things we did was make a CTR Survey, we have 130+ respondents, half US, half ROW - Poland and Australia. Not too late to take part: https://forms.gle/tx5CUWXiQMDcJhHA8 Since CHCO PR in #S10e164, we have had two more: Dallman & Sohal PR36 for GI meds: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/julia-dallman-awarded-grant-for-syngap1-research/ PR37 for Cognition meds: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/dr-vikaas-sohal-ucsf-receives-syngap-research-fund-grant-for-syngap1-therapeutic-strategies/ #Sprint4Syngap 2025 is in one month! Start or join a team and fundraise! https://curesyngap1.org/sprint25 look at these faces https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IW7owIsdjss Getting to know our community: - Syngap Stories Podcast - KAH in Episode 32 https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Stories - Cafe SYNGAP1 with Jaime https://curesyngap1.org/podcasts/cafe-syngap1/jaime/ - Sibling Story with Kallen https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Sibling - DW of SRF AUS https://www.facebook.com/reel/1345989426605772 - Why Attend Cure SYNGAP1 Conference Video https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Pre25 - Tomorrow Webinar #100 Impact Report (3/27) https://cureSYNGAP1.org/IR24 PubMed is at 13 YTD, 321 in total (trending to 52+, but I'm not as confident) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/?term=syngap1&filter=years.1998-2025&timeline=expanded&sort=date&sort_order=asc Jillian McKee and CHOP team paper on SYNGAP1 now in Genetics in Medicine (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1098360025000668) but you can get the Preprint: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.02.24314452v1.full.pdf This paper was built on Citizen Health data, remember to sign up/refresh, early and often: Citizen Health - https://www.citizen.health/partners/srf or http://curesyngap1.org/citizen Bio-Repository and Roadshow Dates https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1IjaHILXj7AlBDlbTJgvYrkBS_0bnI8VCnTIiPXJ7JGM/edit#slide=id.g32f5fa46d32_0_3 Thank you for the 15 glowing reviews of SRF on Great Nonprofits! https://www.cureSYNGAP1.org/GNP VOLUNTEER Join us: https://curesyngap1.org/volunteer-with-srf/ SOCIAL MATTERS - 3,971 LinkedIn. https://www.linkedin.com/company/curesyngap1/ - 1,311 YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@CureSYNGAP1 - 11,427 Twitter https://twitter.com/cureSYNGAP1 - 46k Insta https://www.instagram.com/curesyngap1/ NEWLY DIAGNOSED? New families have resources here! https://syngap.fund/Resources Podcasts, give all of these a five star review! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/channel/syngap1-podcasts-by-srf/id6464522917 Episode 167 of #Syngap10 #Advocate #PatientAdvocacy #UnmetNeed #SYNGAP1 #SynGAP #SynGAProMMiS
Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains the stock market tumble and whether investors can hope for a rally.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing the recent Equity Market correction and what to look for next. It's Monday, March 17th at 11:30am in New York. So let's get after it. Major U.S. equity Indices are as oversold as they've been since 2022. Sentiment, positioning gauges are bearish, and seasonals improve in the second half of March for earnings revisions and price. Furthermore, recent dollar weakness should provide a tailwind to first quarter earnings season and second quarter guidance, particularly relative to the fourth quarter results; and the decline in rates should benefit economic surprises. In short, I stand by our view that 5,500 on the S&P 500 should provide support for a tradable rally led by lower quality, higher beta stocks that have sold off the most, and it looks like it may have started on Friday. The more important question is whether such a rally is likely to extend into something more durable and mark the end of the volatility we've seen YTD? The short answer is – probably not. First, from a technical standpoint there has been significant damage to the major indices—more than what we witnessed in recent 10 per cent corrections, like last summer. More specifically, the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 1000 growth and value indices have all traded straight through their respective 200-day moving averages, making these levels now resistance, rather than support. Meanwhile, many stocks are closer to a 20 per cent correction with the lower quality Russell 2000 falling below its 200 week moving average for the first time since the 2022 bear market. At a minimum, this kind of technical damage will take time to repair, even if we don't get additional price degradation at the index level. In order to forecast a larger, sustainable recovery, it's important to acknowledge what's really been driving this correction. From my conversations with institutional investors, there appears to be a lot of focus on the tariff announcements and other rapid-fire policy announcements from the new administration. While these factors are weighing on sentiment and confidence, other factors started this correction in December. In our year ahead outlook, we forecasted a tougher first half of the year for several reasons. First, stocks were extended on a valuation basis and relative to the key macro and fundamental drivers like earnings revisions, which peaked in early December. Second, the Fed went on hold in mid-December after aggressively cutting rates by 100 basis points over the prior three months. Third, we expected AI capex growth to decelerate this year and investors now have the DeepSeek development to consider. Add in immigration enforcement, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) exceeding expectations, and tariffs – and it's no surprise that growth expectations are hitting equities in the form of lower multiples. As noted, we highlighted these growth headwinds in December and have been citing a first half range for the S&P 500 of 5500-6100 with a preference for large cap quality. Finally, President Trump has recently indicated he is not focused on the stock market in the near term as a barometer of his policies and agenda. Perhaps more than anything else, this is what led to the most recent technical breakdown in the S&P 500. In my view, it will take more than just an oversold market to get more than a tradable rally. Earnings revisions are the most important variable and while we could see some seasonal strength or stabilization in revisions, we believe it will take a few quarters for this factor to resume a positive uptrend. As noted in our outlook, the growth-positive policy changes like tax cuts, de-regulation, less crowding out and lower yields could arrive later in the second half of the year – but we think that's too far away for the market to contemplate for now. Finally, while the Trump put apparently doesn't exist, the Fed put is alive and well, in our view. However, that will likely require conditions to get worse either on growth, especially labor, or in the credit and funding market, neither of which would be equity-positive, initially. Bottom line, a short-term rally from our targeted 5500 level is looking more likely after Friday's price action. It's also being led by lower quality stocks. This helps support my secondary view that the current rally is unlikely to lead to new highs until the numerous growth headwinds are reversed or monetary policy is loosened once again. The transition from a government heavy economy to one that is more privately driven should ultimately be better for many stocks. But the path is going to take time and it is unlikely to be smooth. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the podcast, leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
Another morning of stocks under pressure – after the S&P and NASDAQ's worst week of 2025 so far. Carl Quintanilla, Leslie Picker, and Michael Santoli broke down the latest with BMO's Chief Investment Strategist: who says don't let your feelings take control here. He still expects 10% gains on the S&P this year. A key part of the weakness? Big tech names selling off. Tesla now the worst performing stock on the S&P 500 YTD, and coming off its worst weekly losing streak EVER – why Baird still calls it a buy here. Plus: a look at Elon Musk's growing empire in China – and the latest on Apple, as the company delays AI enhancements for Siri… Are fears overblown at these levels? Also in focus: the CEO of Constellation Energy, talking the future of alternative energy at CERAWEEK; Why Novo's new trial data is sending shares slumping; Bitcoin falls below $80k; and how to trade China stocks here, as the country's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. Agricultural imports begins Squawk on the Street Disclaimer