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If you had enough crypto you could have bought dinner with the President.FEATURING:Victoria Jones (https://twitter.com/satoshis_page)Thomas Hunt (https://twitter.com/MadBitcoins)THIS WEEK: Why bitcoin has rallied to a $112,000 record high while stocks are wobblinghttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-bitcoin-has-rallied-to-a-112-000-record-high-while-stocks-are-wobbling-135373cfSource: Market WatchBitcoin Price Suddenly Soars As Congress Predicted To ‘Make History'https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2025/05/18/jpmorgan-just-flipped-on-bitcoin-issues-huge-new-2025-price-prediction/Source: ForbesTrump speaks with presidential seal at crypto dinner the White House billed as privatehttps://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/05/23/trump-presidential-seal-crypto-dinner-white-house/83814443007/Source: USA Today‘What life is this?': The crypto investors who bought a dinner with Trumphttps://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/22/crypto-memecoin-dinner-trump-warren-00360761Source: PoliticoJUST IN:
In this episode we answer emails from Pete, Kevin and Dale. We discuss Pete's "Berry Pie" portfolio experiments on the testfolio site, the ongoing debate about the size and value factors and why it doesn't matter that much for constructing diversified portfolios due to Shannon's Demon, and some basics on the process for constructing portfolios moving from asset classes to specific ETFs.We also roll out our "Top of the T-Shirt" Matching Campaign to benefit the Father McKenna Center. Please support the Father McKenna Center by visiting their website and mentioning "Risk Parity Radio" in the dedication box when donating. Your contribution will be matched dollar-for-dollar and help provide meals and services to homeless and hungry people in Washington DC.And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna CenterPete's Test Portfolios Analysis: https://testfol.io/?s=cTkuwqvwzMSShannon's Demon Article: Unexpected Returns: Shannon's Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus – Portfolio ChartsMeb Faber Interview of Professor Ken French: Famed Finance Expert Kenneth French Reveals: Most Dangerous Investor FallaciesBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:Ever walked into a dive bar and found unexpected wisdom? That's Risk Parity Radio—a refreshingly honest approach to investing where movie quotes mix with mathematical principles, and portfolio theory comes without the corporate jargon.In this episode, Frank Vasquez launches the "Top of the T-Shirt Campaign," where an anonymous donor will match up to $15,000 in listener contributions to the Father McKenna Center. This small but mighty charity serves thousands of meals to homeless and hungry people in Washington DC with remarkable efficiency, using a $1.5 million budget, donated space, and an army of volunteers to maximize impact.The heart of the episode tackles a fundamental investing misconception—that we include value stocks or small cap funds because they'll outperform. Frank explains that diversification isn't about prediction but about mathematical certainty: "That's Shannon's Demon. If you have two assets with similar long-term performance but they aren't fully correlated, you're better off holding both than either one alone." By splitting stock holdings between growth and value, investors create systematic rebalancing opportunities when these segments diverge—as they dramatically did in 2022, when growth cratered while value remained relatively stable.Listeners get practical portfolio construction wisdom too: start with your goals, select appropriate asset classes, then choose specific funds—not the other way around. Frank emphasizes that ETFs have made mutual funds largely obsolete for new investments, offering better tax efficiency and portability.Weekly portfolio reviews reveal gold's continued dominance (up 28% YTD) while diversified portfolios showed modest gains despite volatile markets. Risk parity approaches demonstrated their resilience, with the Golden Butterfly portfolio up 3.13% year-to-date and 38.12% since inception in 2020.Ready to build a portfolio that doesn't require predicting winners? Want to support a worthy cause while learning? This episode combines financial wisdom with practical generosity—a perfect introduction to the Risk Parity Radio approach.Support the show
Can you hit a 30% growth target YTD and still make a major contribution to your community? Apparently, you can. In this episode, we talk with Nevin Bansal. Nevin is the Founder and CEO of Outreach Promos, a Columbus-based company providing online brandstores, branded merch, and design solutions. Nevin is also the founder and Executive Director of Small Biz Cares, a nonprofit that engages small businesses for philanthropy and community impact. Tune in to learn how to impact your bottom line and your community!
Derek Moore reflects on market reaction to the 2011 US debt downgrade and explains what S&P, Fitch, and Moody's have for ratings. Plus, are markets poised for more positive returns based on several indicators? The bear case against the markets would be a reduction in profit margins. Later, Derek reviews some data of future 12-month returns when consumer confidence is low as a contrarian indicator. Finally, looking at several current indicators and random musing in markets for clues about the future. All that and more this week. S&P 500 Index net profit margins for Q1 2025 Consumer confidence and consumer sentiment are low but is that a good thing? Looking at how often intra year lows on average are -14% but often markets end higher 12-month inflation expectations are now 7.3% highest since 1981 Hard vs soft data Velocity of M2 Money Stock What has been working asset class wise in 2025 YTD 15 biggest rallies since 1950 and subsequent forward total returns Atlanta Fed GDP Now Investment banks starting to reduce recession probabilities Attribution of earnings EPS growth DeGraaf and Zweig Breadth Thrusts occurring within 1 month of each other Explaining the difference between Moodys, Fitch, and S&P bond ratings Moodys downgrades US Debt Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 18th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Simon Gates, as we delve into the key property market headlines for 18th week of 2025 ending on the 11th May 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/-tl_5WEIyLQ ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 34.9k new listings this week (last week 42.6k) Last week was a Bank Holiday week - meaning many numbers are lower than normal) YTD 5% higher than Week 18 of 2024 YTD and 10% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 22.9k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 23.4k UK homes sold STC this week (last week 28.3k) YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 8% higher compared to 2024 (469k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 433k YTD 2024) and 17% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (399k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) April's sale run rate of 15.36% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 15.36% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). March's was 16.3%. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 5,415 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 453k UK homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23.2% (last week 23.6%). Just below the 7-year average of 24.2%, and well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). In April, as a whole, 5.51% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 18k net sales this week (21.9k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20k. 2025 YTD is 6% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 11.5% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Salisbury Graphs Available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-PLMrlkC4zE
OpeningGolfPGA Championship at Quail Hollow. 156 players. Top 70 make cut. Qualification CriteriaCalifornia Budget$12 billion budget deficit. Newsom is proposing to close the deficit by rolling back state-funded insurance coverage for adults without legal immigration status, cutting coverage for weight loss drugs like OzempicCalifornia: 13.3%Hawaii: 11.0%New York: 10.9%New Jersey: 10.75%Oregon: 9.9%Investing$1000 to every kid. Home Alarm: $45/ monthMarketsTariffsTariff Game Theory: China has to blink because everyday that passes every company is studying and implementing supply chain changes. So much panic in last month or so. Now Flat year to dateIf investing on April 7. You are up 17% and 29% Downturns is when you make money!!! NetflixAll time high: $1182. Up 29% YTD. $500 billion market cap. Netflix said on Wednesday 94 million subscribers use its advertising-supported tier.BuffetBecoming old. 94 years old. Legend. I'm still pissed he didn't buy Tesla. CoinbaseRansomTurning it around. Will pay $20m reward to help find attackers!!! Tesla Stilll planning to go live with Robo-taxi in Austin in June. Shares could explode. $345 today. $480 ATH. If you bought Tesla 10 years ago. You're up 20x. 35-36% annualized returns.Robots dancing shown to Crown Prince and President Trump in Saudi. Talk in Saudi: Robots and wanting your own C3P0 or R2-D2 and productivity unlock. Universal “High Income”. How are we doing on Robotaxis. Robots on wheels. Bringing robotaxi to the Kingdom.Apple ATH $258. Now at $211. Was $172WHat is a buy-back?More of Eddy Cue testimony here. Alphabet/ GoogleSearch is dead. Cloud, Youtube, Google Biz suite alive and well.DOGEBig BallsThese kids are so hard core. No weekends. They know they're racing against a media and political clock that won't thank them for their service.Requiring receipts: "They were basically partying on taxpayer money." Recommendations:Friends and NeighborsTheo Von with David Spade. Listening to Ben Affleck.
Today we had the pleasure of hosting Dr. Francesco Sassi for a wide-ranging discussion on global energy and geopolitics. Francesco is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Oslo and previously served as a Research Fellow in energy geopolitics and markets at Ricerche Industriali ed Energetiche (RIE). Francesco holds a Ph.D. in Political Science – Geopolitics from the University of Pisa, where he focused his research on the Sino-Russian gas interdependence. We were drawn to his straightforward analysis, insightful commentary, and use of maps to bring complex dynamics to life. We were thrilled to visit with Francesco and learn from his perspective. In our conversation, we explore the rise of political risk in energy markets and the growing global interdependence of the energy system, driven by factors such as China's increasing influence in shaping energy geopolitics, new interdependencies created by energy technology, trade and manufacturing, as well as disruptions like COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. We examine Russian gas volumes to Europe, Spain's leadership in clean energy and the implications of its recent blackout, and the dual forces shaping Europe: rising cross-border interconnectivity projects alongside increasing energy nationalism. We touch on President Trump's recent visit to the Middle East, which is part of broader interest in energy and AI investment in the region, OPEC+ strategy, market share pressures, and the impact of low oil prices on Russia. Francesco shares his perspective on the potential for a Putin-Zelensky meeting, tensions between India and Pakistan, and how energy policy is becoming increasingly central to electoral platforms in Europe. We turn to Argentina's recent progress under President Milei, Israeli investment in lithium extraction technology in Argentina's lithium triangle, and how energy and mineral resources are increasingly being used as tools of foreign policy and geopolitical leverage. We close with Francisco's thoughts on the growing power of energy as a force shaping international relations and global industrial strategy. It was a dynamic and insightful conversation. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion by noting that broader markets rallied substantially on Monday following news that China and the U.S. have agreed to a “tentative” tariff deal. Broader equity markets (S&P 500) have completely retraced their losses since Trump's April 2nd Day of Liberation and are now up slightly (+4%). Meanwhile, the S&P Volatility Index has plunged from its April 8th tariff volatility highs and is now trading near YTD lows, something to be monitored closely as any surprise event could send broader markets lower. On the bond market front, the 10yr bond yield is trading sideways even though April CPI came in lower than expected. PPI will be released on Wednesday and if it too prints lower than expected, it could provide room for the Fed to begin cutting rates at their June 18th FOMC meeting. On the crude oil front, WTI price has rebounded nicely over the past week and now trades at ~$63/bbl. Oil traders remain focused on future OPEC+ production increases and increasingly on whether U.S. E&Ps will begin altering their 2025 capex plans at these lower prices levels. He wrapped up with a look at key events this week, notably NRG Energy's acquisition of LS Power's portfolio of natural gas generation assets (~13gw for ~$12 billion). The move follows Constellation Energy's mid-January deal to acquire Calpine Corp. and demonstrates that both companies are positioning themselves for an acceleration in electricity growth this decade. Many thanks to Francesco for sharing his time and insights with us today. We hope you enjoy the discussion as much as we did! Our best to you all.
It's clear - AI is the new oil - new gold - new currency. When Trump tells you to buy - BUY. SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 TRENDSPIDER SALE - SIGN UP FOR AN ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION AND GET ALL THE TOOLS I USE INCLUDING ALL MY ALGORITHMS AND STRATEGIES, CUSTOM WATCH LISTS AND SCANNERS. 1. This is my Quant 2. Fear and Greed - where are you? 3. Timeline of events over the last 60 days4. S&P Targets and the multiple 5. I am NOT positive YTD - but the markets are6. Alpha Picks are my top performers in my portfolio 7. Top Strong Buy Quant stocks with short squeeze potential 8. The Watch List - look at the gainers!9. Growth or Value - OR BOTH!10. $DIS11. $UNH12. $GOOG - why it will monetize 13. $NVDA - it's clearly being used as political currency 14. $SMCI - huge potential but I'm still trading it - not owning it15. Crypto - Rat Poison TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available -https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick Sign up at the top link (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day.Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $30 off coupon for a limited time Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here.FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at DAILYSTOCKPICK.SUBSTACK.COM
Market Roars Back: Ceasefire & Tariff Pause Spark ₹16 Trillion RallyPeace on the borders and a tariff truce overseas gave Indian markets their best day in over four years. With India-Pakistan tensions cooling and US-China easing trade friction, the Nifty soared 3.8% and Sensex jumped 3.7%, adding ₹16 trillion to investor wealth. IT, banking, and blue-chip stocks led the charge, as FIIs and DIIs poured in over ₹2,600 crore. “We're in a sweet spot,” said Marcellus' Saurabh Mukherjea, flagging optimism ahead of earnings and a potential EM bull run in 2025. Trump's Drug Price Bombshell Rattles Indian Pharma Donald Trump's executive order to slash US prescription drug prices by 59% has stirred unease among Indian pharma exporters. Branded drugmakers like Sun Pharma, with up to 17% US revenue exposure, face risks if the rule is enforced. Generic manufacturers may escape unscathed—for now. With Trump pushing for price parity with Europe, and past efforts blocked in court, Indian pharma must brace for policy volatility in its top export market. Yes Bank's SMBC Deal Signals Fresh Start Yes Bank is readying for a reset with a ₹13,482 crore lifeline from Japan's SMBC, which will pick up a 20% stake. CEO Prashant Kumar called it a triple win: reducing SBI's stake overhang, onboarding a global strategic partner, and potentially securing a credit rating upgrade. With PE options ruled out and M&A off the table, the bank is betting on stability, not survival. Approval is expected by September, as analysts cautiously back the move. Worldline Looks to Exit India in $200M Deal French fintech Worldline is quietly preparing to exit India, hiring BNP Paribas to find a buyer for its B2B payments business. The move is part of CEO Pierre Vacheron's cost-cutting and portfolio-pruning turnaround plan following steep losses and multiple profit warnings. Razorpay and PayU are seen as front-runners. If it goes through, the deal could reshape India's digital payments battlefield—and help Worldline reset focus on core markets. Hero's Pivot Moment: Munjal Returns Amid EV PressureLeadership churn at Hero MotoCorp has brought 71-year-old Pawan Munjal back into the spotlight. With CEO Niranjan Gupta exiting and Honda closing in on sales, India's two-wheeler giant is in reset mode. Interim CEO Vikram Kasbekar steps in as the company struggles with slow EV adoption and a 4.5% YTD stock drop. With just 48,674 EV scooters sold versus TVS and Bajaj's 2 lakh+, Munjal's next move will be critical. Investors await Tuesday's earnings for clues on Hero's growth, margins, and roadmap.
Investing in Bizarro World Episodes: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIAfIjKxr02sAztzlJNy1ug5bDvTVZkME&si=w2d_EF-B5jMo1dYD Subscribe to Investing In Bizarro World: @bizarroworld Programming Note: Bitcoin hits $100K again. And Gerardo buys Bitcoin for the first time. Chris Curl shows him how simple it is in this new video. https://bit.ly/3RXiJgbThe free version of the 316th episode of Investing in Bizarro World is now published.Here's what was covered:Macro Musings - GDP goes negative, and markets call it bullish. Powell punts again. Fed signals it may abandon the 2% inflation target if jobs suffer. Trump touts a “major” trade deal with the UK — that keeps tariffs the same. Tariff fallout grows: ports go quiet, shelves thin out. Paul Tudor Jones says stocks could hit new lows and warns of a 10% chance AI wipes out half of humanity within 20 years. Nick and Gerardo aren't laughing.Market Takes - Utilities and staples — the only S&P sectors up more than 2% YTD — continue to outperform as tariffs benefit domestically sourced goods. Philip Morris up 45% in 2024 because of no foreign dependence. Rotation into commodities is well underway. Bond and currency markets flashing stress. Nick sees more chop ahead but no recession — and new highs later in the year. How China is de-dollaring. Gold still under-owned. Bizarro Banter - The world gets a new pope — a Cubs fan from Chicago. Nick and Gerardo reminisce about 2016, the Cubs' last title, and the founding of Digest Publishing. AI warning bells ring louder as Elon Musk and other developers privately predict apocalyptic risk. Why NatGold, which tokenizes what it calls “naturally vaulted gold” isn't for serious investors. Gerardo jokes about naturally vaulted tokenized orgasms. Nick has a naturally vaulted six-pack. If you want to own gold, buy gold. If you want to own Bitcoin, buy bitcoin. Even Gerardo's buying Bitcoin. Learn more: https://bit.ly/3RXiJgbPremium Portfolio Picks - For paid listeners only. 0:00 Introduction1:06 Macro Musings: 2016 All Over? Paul Tudor Jones. Tariff Talk.11:33 Market Takes: S&P Sector Highlights. Uranium Snapback. Rick Rule. Gold Under-owned.24:06 Bizarro Banter: AI & Humanity. Gerardo Buys Bitcoin. NatGold Isn't Serious.28:41 Premium Portfolio Picks: Battery Technology Discussion. Two Lithium Stocks. Two Juniors Drilling Now. You need to subscribe to Bizarro World Live to get this section: https://bit.ly/4j4HRwDPLEASE NOTE: There are now two versions of this podcast. 1. Bizarro World Live — Pay $2 per episode to watch us record the podcast live every Thursday and get Premium Portfolio Picks every week. You can do that here. https://bit.ly/4j4HRwD2. Bizarro World Free — Published the Monday after the live recording with no Premium Portfolio Picks.Visit our website Daily Profit Cycle for more content like this and more! https://dailyprofitcycle.com/
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 17th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Toby Phillips from TPFG & Bossman of Martin & Co, CJ Hole , Parkers , Country Properties , Mullucks and Ellis and Co brands, as we delve into the key property market headlines for 17th week of 2025 ending on the 4th May 2025. The YouTube Show. https://youtu.be/1YWlyJI257A ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 42.6k new listings this week (last week 32.5k) YTD 6% higher than Week 17 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 27.2k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 28.3k UK homes sold STC this week, the highest its been for 145 weeks (late May 2022) YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 10% higher compared to 2024 (445k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 405k YTD 2024) and 19% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (375k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) April's sale run rate of 15.36% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 15.36% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). March's was 16.3%. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 6,449 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 453k UK homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 22.7% (last week 23.6%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). In April, as a whole, 5.51% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 21.9k net sales this week (17.4k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20k. 2025 YTD is 7% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 13% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Brighton & Hove Graphs Available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-cNpbatI0Eh
Markets are mixed in Asia, but earnings are anything but flat. Hosted by Michelle Martin with Ryan Huang, we unpack OCBC’s Q1 results and how it stacks up against DBS and UOB. Far East Orchard doubles its profits, ST Engineering surges 60% YTD, and Auntea Jenny stirs up Hong Kong markets with a 40% debut pop. We dive into a new US-UK trade deal and what it means for global investors. Plus, we play UP or DOWN with Pinterest, Emirates, and Restaurant Brands. Hear more of OCBC, DBS, UOB, ST Engineering, Far East Orchard, Auntea Jenny, Pinterest, Mapletree, Restaurant Brands and Emirates. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly stated that the fifth review of the IMF loan program will start within few days, according to local press. Egypt is committed to paying USD725 million to the IMF during the current month of May, and USD962 million in June, after paying USD1.56 billion during 4M2025.The Madbouly government expects to raise USD4-5 bn from selling stakes in 11 state-owned companies during the fiscal year 2025-2026, as a part of its privatization program.The government is putting together new incentive criteria and additional benefits for automakers participating in the Automotive Industry Development Program in a bid to boost local component rates to 65% from 45%. The revised incentive framework introduces a new methodology for calculating local component requirements and value-added metrics. The framework will be presented to Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly before being submitted to President Abdel Fattah El Sisi for final approval.The cabinet approved the official rollout of the Universal Health Ins. System in Aswan starting 1 July 2025. As part of the plan, non-emergency medical services will be suspended for uninsured individuals beginning 1 January 2026.Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said that Egypt is negotiating with Saudi Arabia on joint projects with the Egyptian private sector across different sectors.Egypt and Greece signed a strategic partnership yesterday during President Abdel Fattah El Sisi's visit to the country, according to an Ittihadiya statement. The two sides also inked agreements to boost cooperation in a number of fields.The Madbouly government increased Exxon Mobil's production share from the Masry and Cairo offshore concessions to 40%, up from 15%. The government also extended the concessions' cost recovery period to seven years from five to encourage the company to increase its investments in Egypt's energy sector.Thirty Egyptian companies are considering establishing new factories in Morocco in the coming period, to boost joint investments between the two countries.The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday but said the risks of higher inflation and unemployment had risen, further clouding the economic outlook as the U.S. central bank grapples with the impact of Trump administration tariff policies.TMGH achieved impressive YTD sales of over EGP160.0 billion, up 127.0% y/y, driven by the launch of the second phase of SouthMed which generated sales of EGP70.0 billion in one day.AMOC released 3Q24/25 unaudited financial indicators. Net profit surged to EGP463 million (+18% YoY, +158% QoQ) in 3Q24/25. Over 9M24/25, net profit inclined 5% YoY to EGP1.1 billion. AMOC is currently trading at a FY24/25e PE of 10.7x.EGBE released key financial indicators with 1Q25 standalone bottom line recorded EGP781 million (+26% q/q, +45% y/y, and +14% higher than Al Ahly Pharos Estimates of EGP686 million). EGBE is currently trading at P/E25 of 2.6x and P/B25 of 0.6x. AGM approved the distribution of cash dividends of 0.59/share, which implies a payout ratio of 12% and DY of 3.7%.
หนังสือ Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side ของ Howard Marks - สินทรัพย์ภายใต้การจัดการรวมของ Oaktree ทั้งหมด อยู่ที่ 193 พันล้านเหรียญสหรัฐ หรือราว ๆ 6 ล้านล้านบาท - การจะรู้ว่าเราควรจะลงทุนในสินทรัพย์ใด ณ ช่วงเวลาใด จะขึ้นอยู่กับความรู้ บวกกับผลตอบแทนเฉลี่ยนับตั้งแต่ต้นปี (YTD) - ประวัติศาสตร์จะซ้ำรอยเดิม แต่จะไม่ได้เหมือนเดิมแบบครบถ้วนสมบูรณ์ มันจึงมีจุดแตกหักของการเข้าไปลงทุนของรายย่อยได้เสมอ - กองทุนของเอกชน และกองทุนของรัฐบาล ล้วนมีสิ่งที่คล้ายคลึงกันนั่นก็คือ เขาจะไม่ยอมขาดทุนโดยเด็ดขาด แล้วถ้าเกิดการขาดทุนรายย่อยจะเจ็บหนักสุด - ระยะเวลาของวัฏจักรตลาด คือ 1. เริ่มมองโลกในแง่ดี 2.ตื่นตัว นี่คือจุดสูงสุดของอารมณ์ หลังจากนั้น 3.เริ่มผิดคาด 4.เริ่มมองโลกในแง่ร้าย 5.ยอมแพ้ นี่คือจุดต่ำสุดของอารมณ์ และ 6.เริ่มฟื้นตัวต่อไป
Welcome to the 16th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Bryan Mansell as we delve into the key property market headlines for 16th week of 2025 ending on the 20th April 2025. It must be stressed that this was an Easter week, so many of the metrics are lower than normal (see the graphs to see this is a normal occurrence) The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/IZ19bMhoWEo ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 32.5k new listings this week (last week 37.5k) YTD 6% higher than Week 16 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 22.1k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 22.8k UK homes sold STC this week, down slightly as expected because of Easter Weekend YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 11% higher compared to 2024 (417k Sales agreed YTD 2025 vs 377k YTD 2024) and 19% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (351k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) March's sale run rate of 16.3% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.3% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). April's stats will shown next week. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 5,377 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 467,414 homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23.6% (last week 22.5%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). In March, as a whole, 5.75% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. Again, April's figure for this stat will announced next week ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 17.4k net sales this week (19k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 19.9k. (remember its Easter) 2025 YTD is 8% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 13% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week Newport (Wales) Graphs available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-n6sRLhGF3Q
In this KE Report Daily Editorial, I welcome back Darrell Fletcher, Managing Director of Commodities at Bannockburn Capital Markets, for an in-depth discussion on the broad selloff across commodity markets and what's driving the recent shift in sentiment. Key Theme: Uncertainty is dominating commodity markets and driving capital outflows, even in the face of a weaker U.S. dollar. Discussion Highlights: Commodities under pressure: Despite a weaker USD, commodity indexes are down sharply - S&P GSCI down ~7%, LMEX metals down ~3-4%, and energy down ~15% over the past month. Gold stands out: Amid the selloff, gold has held up well, up ~26% YTD, with growing ETF inflows, particularly from Western investors. Open interest and liquidity: Major declines in open interest across crude oil (-22%), copper (-42%), and natural gas (-40%) point to reduced market conviction and tightening liquidity. Energy sector health check: Fletcher sees crude in a bearish pattern, while natural gas appears more constructive with disciplined production and balanced inventories. Copper's volatility: While short-term price action is volatile, the long-term forward curve remains strong, signaling confidence in future demand despite short-term macro drag. Darrell ties all these moves together with fund flows, futures positioning, and global macro signals, including the impact of falling factory activity in China and declining U.S. data. This episode offers a clear snapshot of how traders are navigating one of the most uncertain environments in recent years. Click here to learn more about Bannockburn Capital Markets.
Dave Erfle - Money Rotation Into Gold Juniors, M&A, and Silver's Setup In this KE Report interview, Dave Erfle, founder and editor of Junior Miner Junky, joins us to explore the recent rotation from senior gold producers to juniors, what it means for the broader bull market, and how M&A and fund flows are shaping the precious metals narrative. Dave breaks down key technical signals, fund positioning, and stock-specific strategies to help investors position ahead of the next phase. As gold consolidates near all-time highs and generalist money trickles in, Dave shares what separates the outperformers from the laggards, and where smart capital is going next. Key discussion points: Sector rotation underway: Juniors are gaining traction, especially as early investors take profits from majors and royalty names. ETF fund flows diverging: GLD sees ~$7B in inflows YTD while GDX sees ~$3B in outflows. M&A returns to early-stage assets: Lumina Gold's acquisition and other recent deals show growing interest in de-risked development-stage projects. Where to look next: Dave outlines the sweet spot - fully financed, late-stage developers nearing production or takeover - while cautioning on dilution risks and poor share structures in early-stage juniors. Silver stock selectivity: A small basket of well-funded, high-grade, tight-structure silver juniors is beginning to move, especially those with strong U.S. listings and institutional visibility. Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to learn more about Dave's investment letter.
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 15th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Kristian Stott as we delve into the key property market headlines for 15th week of 2025 ending on the 20th April 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/hlZhT28qqec ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 37.5k new listings this week (last week 41.1k) That's 8% higher than Week 15 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 21.2k Price Reductions this week - Monthly Run Rate in reductions - 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 24.5k UK homes sold STC this week, down slightly because of Easter Weekend YTD - The number of Sold STC Resi homes are 13% higher compared to 2024 (394k YTD 2025 vs 350k YTD 2024) and 20% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels (328k). ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) March's sale run rate of 16.3% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.3% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 5,515 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 467,414 homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23% (last week 23.7%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). Last month, as a whole, 5.75% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 19k net sales this week (21k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20.1k. (remember its Easter) 2025 YTD is 10% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 14% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. ✅ Residential Sales Stock on the Market 705k properties on the market on the 1st April 2025 (monthly stat taken on the first day of the month). Historical comparison for 1st march : * 2024: 654k * 2023: 585k * 2022: 421k * 2021: 542k * 2020: 584k * 2019: 647k * 2018: 598k * 2017: 557k ✅ Residential Sales Sold STC Pipeline 467k sales agreed in Estate Agents Sales Pipeline (ie sold stc but not yet completed) as at the 1st April 2025 (monthly figure) Historical comparison for 1st March : * 2024: 404k * 2023: 371k * 2022: 487k * 2021: 474k * 2020: 335k * 2019: 337k * 2018: 314k * 2017: 306k ✅ UK House Prices (£/sq.ft) As always, the £/sq.ft metric predicts Land Registry figures 5 months in advance with 92% accuracy (the orange line of the graph). March's final figure: £343/sq.ft. * December '24 : £335/sq.ft * March '24 : £337/sq.ft * March '23: £333/sq.ft * March '19: £270/sq.ft This means UK house prices achieved on the sales agreed in March 25 were 2.36% higher than Dec 24, and 1.63% higher than a year ago (March 24). Local Focus this week - Norwich
Associates on Fire: A Financial Podcast for the Associate Dentist
Welcome back to The Dental Boardroom Podcast with Wes Read.In this follow-up to our previous episode on structuring your Profit & Loss (P&L) statement, we dive deeper into the how of using your financials strategically.This episode walks you through 10 essential questions—or rather, areas of focus—to ask each month when reviewing your financial statements. These questions will help you uncover trends, evaluate performance, and guide your practice toward long-term financial health.Wes also breaks down how to align your collections with personal financial goals like retirement and financial independence. He shares real-world advice on navigating fluctuations in revenue and expenses.Whether you're a seasoned practice owner or new to analyzing financials, this episode is packed with actionable insights that will help you become a more financially empowered business owner.Key Points:How to read your P&L like a narrative, not just a spreadsheetMonthly collection tracking: comparing last month, YTD, and last yearHow to know if you hit your goals-based breakeven pointStrategies for consistent collection growth through marketing and operationsIdentifying outlier expenses and validating through the general ledgerWhy your practice financials should align with your life visionQuestion 1: What were my collections last month and year-to-date (YTD), and how do they compare to last year? Understanding variations in collections and what they indicateQuestion 2: Did I reach my goals-based breakeven point for the month and year? The importance of setting and measuring against personal financial goalsQuestion 3: How can I grow my collections consistently? The role of marketing, operations, and planning in revenue growthQuestion 4: Do any expense categories look too high or too low? How to review the general ledger to validate expensesMindset: Be intentional about aligning your practice's performance with your life goals.#DentalBoardroomPodcast #WesRead #DentalFinance #ProfitAndLoss #DentalPracticeManagement #FinancialPlanning #PracticeOrbit #DentalBusiness #DentalCFO #CollectionsGoals #DentalGrowth #PlanAndProfit #FinancialIndependence #DentistLife
Yes, that somehow made the cut. Plus Trump vs Harvard, Trump vs J Powell, Trump vs the IRS, which now has its 5th head in 3 months. Plus plus YTD performance and possible relief for scam victims.
There's danger in the market - but should you buy this once in a decade opportunity? What I heard about $HOOD that made me bullish. $COST or $NVDA - which one would you buy? Get the Top 10 stocks of 2025 from Seeking AlphaTRENDSPIDER EASTER SALE - SAVE ALMOST 40%Click this link - Then email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com and I'll send you the welcome letter with everything to import to your setup with any annual plan 1. Chris Camillo convinced me - $HOOD2. Sell in May and Go Away - should you do that now? 3. Markets - inside candle - reversal? 4. Berkshire - quietly up 14% YTD in a down market5. Dangers in the market - Powell and mass selling6. $QQQ - once in a decade opportunity? 7. Costco or NVDA - which one are you buying? 8. Value or Growth - which one is the go forward sector?9. 5 value names including PPC 10. Earnings TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available -https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick Sign up at the top link (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day.Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $30 off coupon for a limited time Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here.FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at DAILYSTOCKPICK.SUBSTACK.COM
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 14th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Alice Bullard as we delve into the key property market headlines for 14th week of 2025 ending on the 13th April 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/nSNpUoP_2KY ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 41.1k new listings this week (last week 41.3k) That's 9% higher than Week 14 of 2024 YTD and 9% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 24.9k Price Reductions this week - Run rate of 1 in 7.5 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 27.3k UK homes sold STC this week, down slightly from a fortnight ago, which was a near 3 year record breaking week of 28k Resi gross sales. That's 14% higher YTD compared to 2024 and 22% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels. ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) March's sale run rate of 16.3% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.3% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 6,275 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 467,414 homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23% (last week 23.7%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). Last month, as a whole, 5.75% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 21k net sales this week (21k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20.1k. 2025 YTD is 11% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 15.9% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week - Epsom Graphs - available for use in free valuations / internally. Please dont publish these on social media without my OK. Reason - my fee paying clients use them - so its not fair on them https://we.tl/t-B4j6DxPLAA
$BAC $C $NFLX $PLTR $CRWD $SNOW and others - I look at them Get the Top 10 stocks of 2025 from Seeking AlphaLimited Time offer on Trendspider - 2 week trials now - you won't get my tools until you sign up for a yearly plan, but it's a perfect time to try out Trendspider for less than $20 1. Alpha Picks - I tried to scalp it - it didn't work out - why? 2. $BAC - up 5% after earnings3. $C - up 5% after earnings4. $NFLX - up 5% - what to do now? 5. $PLTR - when to trim it6. 10 stocks trading over their 200 day moving average that are up YTD 10%-29%7. $CRWD - I bought - did you? 8. $SNOW - it's in the trading range I like to buy at 9. $UNH in to earnings10. Pelosi bought $VST here - you can get it cheaper11. $UAL earnings - $DAL will move with it12. $IBKR results show markets are getting cash inflow13. Crypto - $JNVR up 1200% over the last week 14. $NVDA will have a huge loss hit the books TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available -https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick Sign up at the top link (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day.Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - save over $150 SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $30 off coupon for a limited time Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here.FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at DAILYSTOCKPICK.SUBSTACK.COM
Tuesday, April 15, 2025 – Week 16 CURRENT NEWS #Sprint4Syngap 2025 is in eleven days! Start or join a team and fundraise! https://curesyngap1.org/sprint25 look at these faces, $167,979 of which $145k+ fromTavillas! Board Announcement: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1080490 LEARNING ABOUT SYNGAP1 ProMMiS NHS Webinar from Dr. McKee: https://youtu.be/zozwf1NDB5I we were waiting for this great paper: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1098360025000668 which I discussed in #S10e167. Also, learn from Dr. Knowles, Apple Pod: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stanford-medcast/id1529672674 YT https://youtu.be/VBWa0FklYJs Catatonia, watch these when you can: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/activity-7316937356194844672-PoUi/ Please ask me your ASO Questions - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1I0sRVZTY-A For instance, these won't repair, but they will will upregulate... = make work harder. MORE NEWS In #S10e168 I talked about Drs Bowie & Willsey, this week I can applaud Postilla! https://www.linkedin.com/posts/inflames-research-flagship_making-sense-of-missense-in-a-rare-children-activity-7316376546833833986--Qoc/ SIBLINGS Tell your story, please for the other ones. https://curesyngap1.org/syngap-siblings/shanaye-worth/ https://curesyngap1.org/sibling-support/ PUBLICATION COUNT PubMed is at 17 YTD, 325 in total (trending to 52+, but I'm not as confident) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/?term=syngap1&filter=years.1998-2025&timeline=expanded&sort=date&sort_order=asc SHARE BLOOD TO THE SRF BIOBANK AT CB! Read here for more information: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/fueling-research-syngap1-combinedbrain-biorepository-roadshow/ VOLUNTEER Join us: https://curesyngap1.org/volunteer-with-srf/ SOCIAL MATTERS - 4,009 LinkedIn. https://www.linkedin.com/company/curesyngap1/ - 1,334 YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@CureSYNGAP1 - 11,369 Twitter https://twitter.com/cureSYNGAP1 - 46k Insta https://www.instagram.com/curesyngap1/ NEWLY DIAGNOSED? New families have resources here! https://syngap.fund/Resources Podcasts, give all of these a five star review! https://cureSYNGAP1.org/SRFApple https://podcasts.apple.com/us/channel/syngap1-podcasts-by-srf/id6464522917 Episode 169 of #Syngap10 #Advocate #PatientAdvocacy #UnmetNeed #SYNGAP1 #SynGAP #SynGAProMMiS
Welcome to the Newcomer Investor Channel, where we uncover the story behind great businesses and make investing accessible and fun for everyone!Please note: this podcast is not financial advice. I'm not telling you what to do… just sharing what I do!Connect:Newcomer Investor on X: https://twitter.com/NewcomerInvestNewcomer Investor Email: iamthenewcomerinvestor@gmail.comGet a 15% discount on Finchat, my FAVOURITE Financial Research tool: https://finchat.io/?via=anthonyTimestamps:(0:00) - Intro(00:58) - Broad thoughts on investing in the age of uncertainty and tariffs(6:34) - What I bought since “Liberation Day”(7:50) - YTD returns (as of April 13th)
The Year of the Tariff continues with markets down 15% YTD. In this episode of Fastest Four Minutes in Finance, Scott Inman breaks down President Trump's sweeping reciprocal tariffs and what they could mean for investors. Learn how these tariffs might push effective rates from 3.1% to 15.6% - levels not seen since before WWII - and what this means for your portfolio.
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 13th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Steph Walker as we delve into the key property market headlines for 13th week of 2025 ending on the 6th April 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/65AxlI_snzM ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 41.3k new listings this week (last week 39.7k) That's 7% higher than Week 13 of 2024 YTD and 10% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 26.6k Price Reductions this week - meaning an approx run rate of 1 in 7.46 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (which represents 13.4%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 27.6k UK homes sold STC this week, down slightly from last weeks near 3 year record breaking week of 28k. That's 13% higher YTD compared to 2024 and 23% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels. ✅ Sell-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) March's sale run rate of 16.3% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.3% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 6,563 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 467,414 homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23.7% (last week 22.5%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). Last month, as a whole, 5.75% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 21k net sales this week (21.7k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 20.1k. 2025 YTD is 10% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 16.6% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week - Macclesfield Graphs https://we.tl/t-PDFqWgZ1bR
Wednesday, April 9, 2025 – Week 15 Condolences to the Brimsek family and thank you John & Tobi for all your support. We just shared an interview with our board member and John's son-in-law, Eric Moulton https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Stories Trip Report, two crazy days. Many takeaways. Trials may be coming soon. If there is a trail, sign up. Every time. khuba@jcu.edu Do the Frazier Study and do the follow-ups! https://curesyngap1.org/eye2 Global as well. Australia, UK, Canada, please help. We are busy too! DiMe announcement just came out https://www.linkedin.com/posts/curesyngap1_new-project-announcement-children-with-activity-7315615778366537728-c-gU Census is 1,581! https://curesyngap1.org/blog/syngap1-census-2025-update-q1/ Impact report has a webinar! https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Impact Both featured in Newsletter #44 - https://cureSYNGAP1.org/NL44 Monday 4/14 we have a webinar - Natural History & Clinical Trial Readiness - with Dr. McKee https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Jill We have one space available in Colorado on May 20, 2025, email Lauren@curesyngap1.org to sign up. Other blog about the CB Roadshow, please join us there https://curesyngap1.org/blog/fueling-research-syngap1-combinedbrain-biorepository-roadshow/ And the Polish Community speaking out about ASO trials: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/aso-choice-for-hope-syngap1-voices-from-poland/ #Sprint4Syngap 2025 is in one month! Start or join a team and fundraise! https://curesyngap1.org/sprint25 look at these faces, $66,383 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IW7owIsdjss Bowie - Our funding goes far: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1078836 remember in July 2022 https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/960181 Also see this from CZI, featuring SYNGAP1 in Dr. Willsey's work https://www.czbiohub.org/life-science/unlocking-biology-autism/ PubMed is at 17 YTD, 324 in total (trending to 52+, but I'm not as confident) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/?term=syngap1&filter=years.1998-2025&timeline=expanded&sort=date&sort_order=asc VOLUNTEER Join us: https://curesyngap1.org/volunteer-with-srf/ SOCIAL MATTERS - 3,996 LinkedIn. https://www.linkedin.com/company/curesyngap1/ - 1,334 YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@CureSYNGAP1 - 11,391 Twitter https://twitter.com/cureSYNGAP1 - 46k Insta https://www.instagram.com/curesyngap1/ NEWLY DIAGNOSED? New families have resources here! https://syngap.fund/Resources Podcasts, give all of these a five star review! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/channel/syngap1-podcasts-by-srf/id6464522917 Episode 168 of #Syngap10 #Advocate #PatientAdvocacy #UnmetNeed #SYNGAP1 #SynGAP #SynGAProMMiS
Tariffs are killing markets. A glimpse int what happens when we take a difference course Markets making some of the wort moves in decades Billionaires - all in on Trump lost billions... WAIT !!!!!! Maybe a 90-day pause on Tariffs now...Or Not... More finesse, less sledge hammer? PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - Markets making some of the worst moves in decades - Billionaires - all in on Trump lost billions... - WAIT !!!!!! Maybe a 90-day pause on Tariffs now...Or Not... - More finesse, less sledge hammer? Markets - Key Reversal Indicator - 1st Green cluster bottom on Monday.. Oversold? - Stock markets slammed - President Trump discussing stocks - Economic Pissing Match - Even more tariffs, or bluffs - VIX HITS 60! -- A Quick Poem - Green Eggs and Navarro --- One of the gents that responded to Vietnam's desire to have zero tariffs as "not enough" DAX on Monday and other Markets - Opened up down 10% - clawed back a bunch by end of the day - European stocks down 1.5% YTD 2024 - US Stock bearing the brunt of the move - Hong Kong (after being closed Friday) - closed Monday DOWN 13%! - Monday in Japan, Markets halted, futures trading suspended as Nikkei and Topix plunge more than 5% --- Follow up - then up 6% the next day - Monday YTD US Markets: Heads Up - Just in... - Tuesday at 12:30PM - 'White House Press Secretary says 104% additional tariffs went into effect at noon eastern time because China has not removed it's retaliation. The 104% additional tariff will be collected starting tomorrow April 9th' -Markets were trying to right themselves - up big to start the day - then this headline.... - What if - China comes back at 200%? More: - Tuesday afternoon : White House Secretary Karoline Leavitt answers questions on trade at briefing: President Trump not considering delay in tariffs that are due to go into effect tomorrow at 12:01 AM - Where is the negotiation? Seems like a pissing match or bluff with unlimited funds. If you are interested - Rand Paul making all sorts of sense this morning - Trades are win-win. Trade does not mean that one side has to win and one lose. - https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/04/08/sen-rand-paul-on-trump-tariffs-trade-is-an-integral-part-of-capitalism.html Stupid - Taiwan's top financial regulator said on Sunday it will impose temporary curbs on short-selling of shares to help deal with potential market turmoil from U.S. President Donald Trump's new import tariffs, and will take other steps as needed. - Taiwan's Financial Supervisory Commission said in a statement it would limit the number of shares that can be sold short and raise the minimum short-selling margin ratio to 130% from 90%, starting from Monday and lasting until Friday. - We have seen how this plays out in the past. More references to bluffing - "I think it was a big mistake, this Chinese escalation, because they're playing with a pair of twos," Bessent said during an interview on CNBC's "Squawk Box." "What do we lose by the Chinese raising tariffs on us? We export one-fifth to them of what they export to us, so that is a losing hand for them." VIX - Hits 60 on Monday - then backs off to 45 - Not often we see a run like that. - Still at 45 shows big concerned about near-term volatility. --- S&P 500 top to bottom 7% move today - VIX was at 37 - back to 52 BREAK - IBKR Billionaires losing $$ - Do we feel bad? - Sample of losses on Liberation Day - Zuck lost $18B - Bezos lost $15B What? - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says Americans looking to retire aren't concerned about day...
You're listening to The Mining Pod. Subscribe to the newsletter, trusted by over 10,000 Bitcoiners: https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com Want to mine Bitcoin? Check out the Blockspace Media store today! Welcome back to The Mining Pod! In this emergency market update, we analyze the brutal day for Bitcoin and mining stocks amid wider tariff-induced market terror. Bitcoin is below $80,000 and bitcoin mining stocks are bleeding. We examine the YTD declines for mining equities, how tariffs could impact miner CAPEX costs by 10-30%, and how the tariffs invite potential mining M&A consolidation. # Notes: - Bitcoin dipped below $80K, rebounded to high $70Ks - Mining stocks down 50%+ YTD across the board - 34% tariffs announced on Chinese goods - Hash price compressed to around $40 - Marathon has ~50,000 Bitcoin on balance sheet - Asics/infrastructure costs rising 10-30% with tariffs Timestamps: 00:00 Start 01:59 China responds to tariffs 04:00 Crypto outflows 11:14 Miners stocks bleeding out
Hello everyone, it's Bill Thompson – T Bill. Some of the things covered on today's session include: The market's reaction to the tariffs.How the tariffs were calculated. Possible scenarios going forward. The market's YTD returns. The movement of investor's money. Bitcoin down 20% from its highs.
UK PROPERTY MARKET WEEKLY UPDATE Welcome to the 12th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your go to weekly TV show on the UK Property Market on YouTube This week, I'm joined by Ben Madden as we delve into the key property market headlines for 12th week of 2025 ending on the 30th March 2025. The YouTube Show https://youtu.be/uDZe3e6rvp4 ✴️ UK Property Market Highlights this week . ✅ Listings (New Properties on the Market) 39.7k new listings this week (last week 38.4k) That's 7% higher than Week 12 of 2024 YTD and 10% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19. ✅ Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock) 24k Price Reductions this week - meaning an approx run rate of 1 in 8 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (12%). For comparison, 12.1% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%. ✅ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales) 28.1k UK homes sold STC this week, up from 27.1k last week in Week 11 That's 13% higher YTD compared to 2024 and 23% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels. ✅ Sale-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears) Last months sale run rate of 16.2% of Resi stock sold stc (ie 16.2% of Estate Agents properties on the market went sale agreed). 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%. ✅ Sale Fall-Throughs 6,315 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 451,074 homes sale agreed (sold stc). Another method is that week's sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 22.5% (last week 23.2%). Just above the 7-year average of 24.2%, yet well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022). Last month, as a whole, 5.48% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%. ✅ Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week) 21.7k net sales this week (20.8k last week), compared 2025 weekly average of 19.7k. 2025 YTD is 12% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 18% higher than YTD 2017/18/19. Local Focus this week - Redditch Graphs https://we.tl/t-5HVxZRT0zT
This week: Guest Co-Host Charles Duncan; Guest: Eamonn Brennan, Fmr Director General, Eurocontrol; News: Trans Canada booking data conflicts; Potential market share shifts related to fees; Alaska/Hawaiian increasing Asian service from Seattle; Listener input: Lots about SWA, but not much about JetBlue's situation, YTD stock prices, and future pilots getting hours as a CFI.
In the first half, we discuss the imminent arrival of “Liberation Day”, and why uncertainty over tariffs is causing consternation to consumer, business, and investor confidence. We look at the most recent inflation data from the government and examine the widely divergent inflation expectations based on political affiliation. We also tie this to the likelihood of further rate cuts and the necessity to drive rates lower as sizable government debt is due to be refinanced in 2025. In the second half, we (finally) discuss what has been a challenging quarter for stocks, especially the Magnificent Seven: In the aggregate, the Mag Seven are in a bear market (down 20%). The S&P 500 is down 5% YTD and 10% below its all-time high, led lower by the Mag Seven. The average stock in the NASDAQ is 35% below its high. The path forward for the market depends on the impact of tariffs and spending cuts, both of which are likely headwinds in the near term. With both valuations and earnings expectations still elevated, there remains downside in the event of either an economic or earnings recession. However, value stocks have performed well year-to-date, as have non-U.S. stocks, which are garnering attention as a result of changing U.S. trade and foreign policy. In other words, diversification has (finally) been helping. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting www.formidableam.com.
En este episodio, desglosamos los temas más importantes que están marcando el pulso de los mercados: • Mercados atentos al 'Día de la Liberación': Los futuros se mantienen estables mientras los inversores esperan los detalles de los aranceles que Trump anunciará el 2 de abril. Se teme una escalada comercial si las medidas son amplias. También se publican hoy el informe JOLTS (7.69M esperadas) y los indicadores manufactureros de marzo. • Petróleo y oro repuntan: El Brent sube a $75.14 y el WTI a $71.84 tras amenazas de Trump contra Rusia e Irán. El oro alcanza un nuevo récord de $3,148.88 antes de moderarse a $3,132.37, acumulando +20% en 2025. Saxo Bank reporta toma de ganancias en metales y compras sostenidas en energía. • Celsius apuesta por el segmento femenino: $CELH adquiere Alani Nu por $1.65B para atacar el mercado femenino de bebidas energéticas, que se proyecta como el principal motor de crecimiento del sector. Truist elevó la acción a Buy con PT de $45. Las acciones suben +33% YTD y marcan máximos de seis meses. Acompáñanos para entender cómo el panorama arancelario, la demanda por refugios seguros y las nuevas estrategias de mercado están moldeando el rumbo de la economía global.
Lululemon (LULU) reports earnings today after a rocky start to the year, with shares down 10% YTD. Can the retailer's strong holiday sales and product lineup for 2025 help it regain its footing? Morningstar's David Swartz and Greg Portell discuss what to watch for in Lululemon's guidance and whether it can navigate the competitive retail landscape. Plus, they share their takes on other retailers, including Nike (NKE) and Under Armour (UAA).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Wednesday, March 26, 2025 – Week 13 #S10e166 was remarkable, #UnMetNeed https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rut1q0LzdtA, with almost 600 views this is the best S10 episode, ever. Don't miss it, or the comments. Feel free to add to them! One of the things we did was make a CTR Survey, we have 130+ respondents, half US, half ROW - Poland and Australia. Not too late to take part: https://forms.gle/tx5CUWXiQMDcJhHA8 Since CHCO PR in #S10e164, we have had two more: Dallman & Sohal PR36 for GI meds: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/julia-dallman-awarded-grant-for-syngap1-research/ PR37 for Cognition meds: https://curesyngap1.org/blog/dr-vikaas-sohal-ucsf-receives-syngap-research-fund-grant-for-syngap1-therapeutic-strategies/ #Sprint4Syngap 2025 is in one month! Start or join a team and fundraise! https://curesyngap1.org/sprint25 look at these faces https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IW7owIsdjss Getting to know our community: - Syngap Stories Podcast - KAH in Episode 32 https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Stories - Cafe SYNGAP1 with Jaime https://curesyngap1.org/podcasts/cafe-syngap1/jaime/ - Sibling Story with Kallen https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Sibling - DW of SRF AUS https://www.facebook.com/reel/1345989426605772 - Why Attend Cure SYNGAP1 Conference Video https://cureSYNGAP1.org/Pre25 - Tomorrow Webinar #100 Impact Report (3/27) https://cureSYNGAP1.org/IR24 PubMed is at 13 YTD, 321 in total (trending to 52+, but I'm not as confident) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/?term=syngap1&filter=years.1998-2025&timeline=expanded&sort=date&sort_order=asc Jillian McKee and CHOP team paper on SYNGAP1 now in Genetics in Medicine (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1098360025000668) but you can get the Preprint: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.02.24314452v1.full.pdf This paper was built on Citizen Health data, remember to sign up/refresh, early and often: Citizen Health - https://www.citizen.health/partners/srf or http://curesyngap1.org/citizen Bio-Repository and Roadshow Dates https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1IjaHILXj7AlBDlbTJgvYrkBS_0bnI8VCnTIiPXJ7JGM/edit#slide=id.g32f5fa46d32_0_3 Thank you for the 15 glowing reviews of SRF on Great Nonprofits! https://www.cureSYNGAP1.org/GNP VOLUNTEER Join us: https://curesyngap1.org/volunteer-with-srf/ SOCIAL MATTERS - 3,971 LinkedIn. https://www.linkedin.com/company/curesyngap1/ - 1,311 YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@CureSYNGAP1 - 11,427 Twitter https://twitter.com/cureSYNGAP1 - 46k Insta https://www.instagram.com/curesyngap1/ NEWLY DIAGNOSED? New families have resources here! https://syngap.fund/Resources Podcasts, give all of these a five star review! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/channel/syngap1-podcasts-by-srf/id6464522917 Episode 167 of #Syngap10 #Advocate #PatientAdvocacy #UnmetNeed #SYNGAP1 #SynGAP #SynGAProMMiS
S&P futures are pointing to a slightly lower open today, down (0.23%). European equity markets are higher in early trading, following a positive close on Monday, while Asian equities advanced broadly, led by China's tech sector. Foreign portfolio inflows into mainland China securities hit a record $228.1B in February. Net flows, including outbound investments, turned positive for the first time since September. The MSCI China index is up +23% YTD, contrasting with a (3.5%) decline in the S&P 500. Foreign holdings of Chinese government bonds also rose for the first time in six months, reflecting renewed investor interest.Companies Mentioned: Google, Walgreen, Americold Realty Trust, BYD, NIO, CATL
European bourses are in the green ahead of German fiscal reform while US futures languish near the unchanged mark into data.Presidents Trump & Putin to hold a call between 13:00-15:00GMT, which the Kremlin says will last for as long as it takes. USD broadly on the backfoot, EUR/USD and GBP/USD both hit fresh YTD peaks while JPY hands back recent gains.Bunds softer into the Bundestag vote, USTs essentially flat with yields mixed and the curve steeper.Crude and Gold are underpinned by geopols while Gas pulls back into the Trump-Putin call.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Inflation, US Industrial Production, Imports/Exports, Japanese Exports/Imports, German Bundestag third reading on fiscal reform (vote), US President Trump-Russian President Putin Call, Speakers including ECB's Escriva & NVIDIA CEO Huang, Supply from the US, Earnings from XPENG.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains the stock market tumble and whether investors can hope for a rally.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing the recent Equity Market correction and what to look for next. It's Monday, March 17th at 11:30am in New York. So let's get after it. Major U.S. equity Indices are as oversold as they've been since 2022. Sentiment, positioning gauges are bearish, and seasonals improve in the second half of March for earnings revisions and price. Furthermore, recent dollar weakness should provide a tailwind to first quarter earnings season and second quarter guidance, particularly relative to the fourth quarter results; and the decline in rates should benefit economic surprises. In short, I stand by our view that 5,500 on the S&P 500 should provide support for a tradable rally led by lower quality, higher beta stocks that have sold off the most, and it looks like it may have started on Friday. The more important question is whether such a rally is likely to extend into something more durable and mark the end of the volatility we've seen YTD? The short answer is – probably not. First, from a technical standpoint there has been significant damage to the major indices—more than what we witnessed in recent 10 per cent corrections, like last summer. More specifically, the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 1000 growth and value indices have all traded straight through their respective 200-day moving averages, making these levels now resistance, rather than support. Meanwhile, many stocks are closer to a 20 per cent correction with the lower quality Russell 2000 falling below its 200 week moving average for the first time since the 2022 bear market. At a minimum, this kind of technical damage will take time to repair, even if we don't get additional price degradation at the index level. In order to forecast a larger, sustainable recovery, it's important to acknowledge what's really been driving this correction. From my conversations with institutional investors, there appears to be a lot of focus on the tariff announcements and other rapid-fire policy announcements from the new administration. While these factors are weighing on sentiment and confidence, other factors started this correction in December. In our year ahead outlook, we forecasted a tougher first half of the year for several reasons. First, stocks were extended on a valuation basis and relative to the key macro and fundamental drivers like earnings revisions, which peaked in early December. Second, the Fed went on hold in mid-December after aggressively cutting rates by 100 basis points over the prior three months. Third, we expected AI capex growth to decelerate this year and investors now have the DeepSeek development to consider. Add in immigration enforcement, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) exceeding expectations, and tariffs – and it's no surprise that growth expectations are hitting equities in the form of lower multiples. As noted, we highlighted these growth headwinds in December and have been citing a first half range for the S&P 500 of 5500-6100 with a preference for large cap quality. Finally, President Trump has recently indicated he is not focused on the stock market in the near term as a barometer of his policies and agenda. Perhaps more than anything else, this is what led to the most recent technical breakdown in the S&P 500. In my view, it will take more than just an oversold market to get more than a tradable rally. Earnings revisions are the most important variable and while we could see some seasonal strength or stabilization in revisions, we believe it will take a few quarters for this factor to resume a positive uptrend. As noted in our outlook, the growth-positive policy changes like tax cuts, de-regulation, less crowding out and lower yields could arrive later in the second half of the year – but we think that's too far away for the market to contemplate for now. Finally, while the Trump put apparently doesn't exist, the Fed put is alive and well, in our view. However, that will likely require conditions to get worse either on growth, especially labor, or in the credit and funding market, neither of which would be equity-positive, initially. Bottom line, a short-term rally from our targeted 5500 level is looking more likely after Friday's price action. It's also being led by lower quality stocks. This helps support my secondary view that the current rally is unlikely to lead to new highs until the numerous growth headwinds are reversed or monetary policy is loosened once again. The transition from a government heavy economy to one that is more privately driven should ultimately be better for many stocks. But the path is going to take time and it is unlikely to be smooth. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the podcast, leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
As investors continue to weigh whether to buy the dips or sell the rallies, Jason suggests how assessing President Trump's decision tree for implementing tariffs may deliver clarity. We also preview this week's FOMC meeting, reflect on the latest retail sales data, and acknowledge the YTD outperformance of international markets. Plus, thoughts on portfolio positioning. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Weekly beef harvests rose to 578K head from 566K last week. As the weather improves and grilling season picks up, harvests could approach 600K head. Middle meats, chucks, rounds, and grinds have likely bottomed out and are expected to climb, making now a good time to buy.Shell egg prices have dropped – not because of better availability but due to reduced demand from high prices. Avian flu reports were low this week, with only 4,800 birds affected. In chicken, boneless skinless breasts and tenders are rising, wings are declining, and YTD chicken production remains 3% higher than last year.Pork bellies dropped to $145 from last week's $153, though further declines are uncertain. Butts are gaining strength, ribs remain a good value, and loins continue to be an affordable protein option – making it a great time to feature pork.Savalfoods.com | Find us on Social Media: Instagram, Facebook, YouTube, Twitter, LinkedIn
European bourses are mixed; US futures are firmer attempting to consolidate following the prior day's hefty losses.DXY hits a fresh YTD low as EUR/USD reclaimed 1.09 on German defence spending optimism.USTs hold near unchanged while Bunds slump on the latest fiscal updates.Commodities broadly supported by a diving Dollar; XAU back above USD 2.9k.Looking ahead, US JOLTS, EIA STEO Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Lane, Villeroy & Escriva, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Another morning of stocks under pressure – after the S&P and NASDAQ's worst week of 2025 so far. Carl Quintanilla, Leslie Picker, and Michael Santoli broke down the latest with BMO's Chief Investment Strategist: who says don't let your feelings take control here. He still expects 10% gains on the S&P this year. A key part of the weakness? Big tech names selling off. Tesla now the worst performing stock on the S&P 500 YTD, and coming off its worst weekly losing streak EVER – why Baird still calls it a buy here. Plus: a look at Elon Musk's growing empire in China – and the latest on Apple, as the company delays AI enhancements for Siri… Are fears overblown at these levels? Also in focus: the CEO of Constellation Energy, talking the future of alternative energy at CERAWEEK; Why Novo's new trial data is sending shares slumping; Bitcoin falls below $80k; and how to trade China stocks here, as the country's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. Agricultural imports begins Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
Today we had a fantastic session with Neil Mehta, Managing Director and Head of North American Natural Resources Equity Research, alongside his colleague Carly Davenport, Vice President of Equity Research, with Goldman Sachs. Neil joined Goldman in 2008 and oversees research coverage across oil and gas, utilities, midstream, metals and mining, and clean technology, while also leading coverage for large cap energy equities. Carly joined Goldman in 2016 and covers U.S. utilities. She previously covered SMID cap refiners and was a member of the integrated oils & refiners team. With energy earnings season wrapping up, we wanted to reflect on key takeaways. We were fortunate to host Neil and Carly, whose coverage and breadth of knowledge made for a fascinating discussion. In our discussion, Neil first provides a detailed overview of key trends driving market performance, highlighting a shift from a broad sectoral view to a more focused approach on stock selection and performance dispersion. He emphasizes the significant performance differences among companies based on operational execution, capital allocation, and management quality. On the oil and gas side, Neil notes that range-bound commodity prices have reinforced the need for disciplined positioning, with an emphasis on capital efficiency and balance sheet strength. Carly walks us through key trends in utilities, including the surging focus on power demand driven by AI, data centers, and industrial expansion. We explore the growing interconnection between energy and technology markets and its impact on investor behavior, including how generalist investors are increasingly shaping energy sector valuations by focusing on growth and ESG considerations. We discuss the evolving natural gas landscape, the mounting pressure on power prices, and shifting attitudes among tech companies toward energy sourcing, with reliability and speed to market taking precedence over sustainability. We examine trends of investors seeking more access to company boards, the importance of engaged and visible boards in maintaining investor confidence, power price trends, how utilities can sustain investor confidence by tying equity raises to accretive growth opportunities, the role of power forward curves, best practices for managing earnings calls, and more. We greatly appreciate Neil and Carly for sharing their time and perspectives. For additional insights from Neil, we previously had the pleasure of hosting him on COBT in September 2022 (episode linked here). To start the show, Mike Bradley highlighted that the 10yr bond yield has plunged to its lowest level (~4.2%) of President Trump's second term. Bond markets are growing increasingly concerned that Canadian, Chinese & Mexican tariffs will lead to retaliatory measures against the U.S. which could impact/slow U.S. economic growth. He noted that bonds are now dialing in three interest rate cuts for 2025, and that on the broader equity market front, equities have become increasingly more volatile. He discussed the big intraday volatility on Tuesday in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (~750-point intraday swing) and that the S&P 500 was down ~3% over the last week (due to souring investor sentiment) and was approaching technically oversold territory. On the crude oil market front, WTI price slid to ~$68/bbl this week (approaching low-end of its 6mo trading range) due to OPEC+ unexpectedly signaling its intention to begin unwinding long-held oil production cuts, beginning in April. If OPEC+ does follow through with oil production increases, as planned, then it'll further widen the 2025 global oil surplus unless its offset by yet unannounced Iranian sanctions by the U.S. On the Energy equity front, the YTD performance dispersion in the Energy sector, and especially
When today's guest was last on this program back in December, he warned that after blockbuster double-digit returns in 2023 and 2024, stocks were likely to have a tougher time this year.Well, so far, with the S&P slightly down YTD for 2025, that prediction is proving prescient.So, where does he see the market headed from here?To find out, we're fortunate today to talk with money manager Michael Pento. president of Pento Portfolio Strategies.He maintains a 20-point model that guides his portfolio allocation, and today we'll hear what it's advising him to do right now.Spoiler alert: it is telling him we are at a dangerously high risk of a major downwards correction in both stock & home prices.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
It's Nvidia Day today; no matter what happens on Wall Street, tomorrow's activity will hinge on tonight's report. PCE revealed on Friday: This is the one the Fed watches, and it's expected to be weaker. Interestingly, Bonds have outperformed stocks, YTD, so far. Lance discovers RentTheChicken.com; hilarity ensues. Markets take out the 100-DMA, but rally forward; a discussion on stop-losses and knee-jerk reactions. Lance and Jonathan discuss their wives' proclivities based on the latest TikTok video: Chickens, fainting goats, and ducks. The Nvidia story: Is AI going to be "the next Internet?" Nvidia's forward guidance tonight will be all that matters; the consequences of improper estate planning; dealing with mortality. The interpretation of Consumer Confidence Surveys: what's the database? They're more a sample of psychology than economics; the economy IS slowing, but it's not recessionary, but more of a return to pre-pandemic "normal." What is the impact of Federal employee firings? Drill-down into the data; What is the source? Sentiment surveys and expectations are skewed by political preferences. The concern about tariffs: Can companies pass along the increased costs to consumers? SEG-1: Nvidia Day w Markets in Corrective Phase SEG-2a: Chickens, Goats, & Ducks on TikTok SEG-2b: Nvidia and "the Next Internet" SEG-3: Consequences of Improper Estate Planning SEG-4: Interpreting Consumer Confidence Surveys Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Due for a Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJZdgesfEqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #EstatePlanning #InheritanceTips #WealthManagement #FinancialLegacy #TrustsAndWills #RaisingChickens #RentaChicken #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Nvidia Day today; no matter what happens on Wall Street, tomorrow's activity will hinge on tonight's report. PCE revealed on Friday: This is the one the Fed watches, and it's expected to be weaker. Interestingly, Bonds have outperformed stocks, YTD, so far. Lance discovers RentTheChicken.com; hilarity ensues. Markets take out the 100-DMA, but rally forward; a discussion on stop-losses and knee-jerk reactions. Lance and Jonathan discuss their wives' proclivities based on the latest TikTok video: Chickens, fainting goats, and ducks. Lance and Danny share their ideas for a faux FB page to influence their spouses' buying habits. The Nvidia story: Is AI going to be "the next Internet?" Nvidia's forward guidance tonight will be all that matters. Lance and Danny discuss the consequences of improper estate planning; dealing with mortality. The interpretation of Consumer Confidence Surveys: what's the database? They're more a sample of psychology than economics; the economy IS slowing, but it's not recessionary, but more of a return to pre-pandemic "normal." What is the impact of Federal employee firings? Drill-down into the data; What is the source? Sentiment surveys and expectations are skewed by political preferences. The concern about tariffs: Can companies pass along the increased costs to consumers? SEG-1: Nvidia Day w Markets in Corrective Phase SEG-2a: Chickens, Goats, & Ducks on TikTok SEG-2b: Nvidia and "the Next Internet" SEG-3: Consequences of Improper Estate Planning SEG-4: Interpretting Consumer Confidence Surveys Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/ "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Due for a Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJZdgesfEqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #EstatePlanning #InheritanceTips #WealthManagement #FinancialLegacy #TrustsAndWills #RaisingChickens #RentaChicken #EggPrices #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CoronavirusDiscovery #StockMarketForecast #AnalystEstimates #ParabolicStocks #EarningsSeason #MarketTrends #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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