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Interview Recorded - Wednesday the 22nd of February, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Mark Spiegel, Managing Member & Portfolio Manager of Stanphyl Capital Partners.During our conversation we spoke about why the FED are causing a recession, whether stocks will go down big, why this will be led by Tesla and other overvalued stocks and what would have to change for Mark to go net long. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:50 - Overview of the markets3:38 - Are the FED causing a recession?5:50 - Risk free returns7:00 - Big stocks to go down?9:25 - Could a bear market be avoided?11:35 - What type of companies is Mark investing in?15:25 - Should you short Tesla due to its fanbase? 21:15 - No value on Tesla AI, Trucks or battery company?23:40 - Tesla target price?28:25 - What would have to change for Mark to go net long?30:30 - Any other industries that Mark is watching?34:25 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Mark B. Spiegel is the Managing Member & Portfolio Manager of Stanphyl Capital Partners (founded in 2011) and is a New York based equity investor. From late 2003 through early 2009 he was an investment banker (most recently as a Principal with Piper Jaffray & Co.) financing smallcap & microcap public companies. Prior to becoming an investment banker Mark spent a year working for a microcap Nasdaq tech company, and he began his career with 17 years in the commercial real estate industry where he negotiated hundreds of transactions and experienced firsthand the opportunities and challenges faced by a wide array of businesses. Mark believes that all of these experiences– banking public companies, working for a small public company and securing real estate for a wide variety of companies– combine to provide the kind of “real world” experience that makes him a better investor.Mark Spiegel - Twitter - https://twitter.com/StanphylCapWebsite - https://stanphylcap.com/WTFinance - Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail picture from - https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/insight/2021/defining-detecting-measuring-asset-price-bubbles/
Jelly Donut Podcast #21 was recorded on Friday March 13, 2020. Mark B. Spiegel is the Managing Member & Portfolio Manager of Stanphyl Capital Partners and is a New York-based equity investor. Prior to founding Stanphyl in 2011, he spent six years as an investment banker (most recently as a Principal with Piper Jaffray & Co.) financing public companies. Prior to becoming an investment banker Mark spent a year working for a microcap Nasdaq tech company, and he began his career with 17 years in the commercial real estate industry where he experienced firsthand the opportunities and challenges faced by a wide array of client companies. Mark believes that all these experiences– banking public companies, working for a public company and securing real estate for a wide variety of companies– combine to provide the kind of “real world” experience that’s extremely useful for an investor. https://twitter.com/markbspiegel --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/jellydonutpodcast/support
After a brutal December, Dan Ferris rings in the New Year and addresses the question every investor is wondering: Where will the stock market go in 2019? The best way to predict the future, he says, is to understand the present – and that starts with what he calls “the most expensive moment in the history of the stock market” which we saw just last fall. It’s been costlier for investors than any equivalent moment in the Dot.com collapse or the 2008 crisis – and it’s the best indicator Dan’s seen of where stocks are right now. “If history rhymes… within two years, you see a big fat hairy bottom. Normal levels would be 60%.” “There’s a lot of downside left if history rhymes.” Later on, they’re joined by Mark B. Spiegel. Mark is the Managing Member & Portfolio Manager of Stanphyl Capital Partners and is a New York-based equity investor. Prior to founding Stanphyl in 2011, he spent six years as an investment banker financing public companies. Prior to becoming an investment banker Mark spent a year working for a microcap Nasdaq tech company, and he began his career with 17 years in the commercial real estate industry where he experienced firsthand the opportunities and challenges faced by a wide array of client companies. Mark believes that all these experiences– banking public companies, working for a public company and securing real estate for a wide variety of companies– combine to provide the kind of “real world” experience that’s extremely useful for an investor.
After a brutal December, Dan Ferris rings in the New Year and addresses the question every investor is wondering: Where will the stock market go in 2019? The best way to predict the future, he says, is to understand the present – and that starts with what he calls “the most expensive moment in the history of the stock market” which we saw just last fall. It's been costlier for investors than any equivalent moment in the Dot.com collapse or the 2008 crisis – and it's the best indicator Dan's seen of where stocks are right now. “If history rhymes… within two years, you see a big fat hairy bottom. Normal levels would be 60%.” “There's a lot of downside left if history rhymes.” Later on, they're joined by Mark B. Spiegel. Mark is the Managing Member & Portfolio Manager of Stanphyl Capital Partners and is a New York-based equity investor. Prior to founding Stanphyl in 2011, he spent six years as an investment banker financing public companies. Prior to becoming an investment banker Mark spent a year working for a microcap Nasdaq tech company, and he began his career with 17 years in the commercial real estate industry where he experienced firsthand the opportunities and challenges faced by a wide array of client companies. Mark believes that all these experiences– banking public companies, working for a public company and securing real estate for a wide variety of companies– combine to provide the kind of “real world” experience that's extremely useful for an investor.
Mark B. Spiegel, managing member at Stanphyl Capital, joins the team to discuss his favorite ideas, long and short. 2:47 #Tesla, a love affair in reverse 6:40 Opportunities in the nano-cap realm 10:02 Fewer public #companies. Less value? 12:13 Mark’s thoughts on agricultural #commodities Subscribe to Grant’s Podcast on iTunes, Stitcher, iHeart Radio and Google Play Music. Grant’s Interest Rate Observer is available at http://www.grantspub.com
Amidst a shift in the narrative surrounding Tesla after a series of production issues and mounting losses, Mark B. Spiegel of Stanphyl Capital Partners makes the bear case for the electric car manufacturer and explains why increasing competition from a series of luxury carmakers, advances in battery technology and the increasing scepticism surrounding Elon Musk’s outlandish promises are combining to set the company up for an uncomfortable ride… in the wrong direction. Mark then bravely climbs aboard one of Musk’s Space X rockets to Mars and lets us know what he takes with him. And in Things I Got Wrong, Dr. Pippa Malmgren offers two valuable lessons she learned about having the courage of your convictions (and what to do when you are proven wrong) and how making certain compromises in a man’s world are perhaps not the right path for a young, ambitious woman to take. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices