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This week: Inflation hit its highest rate in three years thanks to skyrocketing energy prices. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck, parse through what the various inflation numbers mean and discuss the Fed's and Donald Trump's blasé reaction to the situation. Then, with the trustees warning of its depletion by 2032, the hosts talk about the possible consequences of losing Social Security. And finally, they look at the natural experiment that revealed the unexpected connection between the iPhone and lower birth rates. In the Slate Plus episode: Is Anthropic vs OpenAI the new Coke vs Pepsi?Want to hear that discussion and hear more Slate Money? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes. Plus, you'll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Slate Money show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/moneyplus to get access wherever you listen. Podcast production by Jessamine Molli. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week: Inflation hit its highest rate in three years thanks to skyrocketing energy prices. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck, parse through what the various inflation numbers mean and discuss the Fed's and Donald Trump's blasé reaction to the situation. Then, with the trustees warning of its depletion by 2032, the hosts talk about the possible consequences of losing Social Security. And finally, they look at the natural experiment that revealed the unexpected connection between the iPhone and lower birth rates. In the Slate Plus episode: Is Anthropic vs OpenAI the new Coke vs Pepsi?Want to hear that discussion and hear more Slate Money? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes. Plus, you'll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Slate Money show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/moneyplus to get access wherever you listen. Podcast production by Jessamine Molli. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week: Inflation hit its highest rate in three years thanks to skyrocketing energy prices. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck, parse through what the various inflation numbers mean and discuss the Fed's and Donald Trump's blasé reaction to the situation. Then, with the trustees warning of its depletion by 2032, the hosts talk about the possible consequences of losing Social Security. And finally, they look at the natural experiment that revealed the unexpected connection between the iPhone and lower birth rates. In the Slate Plus episode: Is Anthropic vs OpenAI the new Coke vs Pepsi?Want to hear that discussion and hear more Slate Money? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes. Plus, you'll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Slate Money show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/moneyplus to get access wherever you listen. Podcast production by Jessamine Molli. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Bob sits down with economists Alexander Salter and Joshua Hendrickson to discuss their new paper arguing that the standard Austrian critique of the Fed while correct, is fundamentally incomplete. They argue that the Fed's actual institutional role is to backstop U.S. dollar hegemony: the deliberately constructed post-Bretton Woods system in which the dollar serves as the world's reserve currency, U.S. Treasuries as the global safe asset, and the Fed as buyer of last resort for sovereign debt worldwide.Related:Hendrickson & Salter, "Should We End the Fed? Can We?": Mises.org/HAP553a
In this episode of The OPEX Effect, Jack Forehand and Brent Kochuba break down the market structure impact of the SpaceX IPO, options expiration, dealer gamma, volatility, and the next major setup for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. They discuss why SpaceX may trade more on flows than fundamentals, how call buying could create a gamma squeeze, and why June OPEX, VIX expiration, FOMC, oil, Iran headlines, and index inclusion could all collide at once.Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on SpotifySubscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple PodcastsTopics covered:Why SpaceX is a flows game at the start of tradingHow the SpaceX IPO could affect liquidity across mega cap tech stocksWhy fundamentals may not matter when index flows and forced buying dominateThe role of Nasdaq, Russell, and S&P 500 index decisions in SpaceX tradingHow options could create a gamma squeeze in SpaceXWhy dealer hedging flows can push stocks higher or lowerWhat June options expiration could mean for the S&P 500Why VIX expiration and FOMC create a key market windowHow Core1M signaled the recent volatility spasmWhy expensive calls, not put buying, drove the recent market stressThe key S&P 500 levels Brent is watching into OPEXHow oil, rates, inflation, and Fed policy could affect market volatilityWhy Nasdaq options pricing is diverging from the S&P 500How SpaceX index inclusion could widen the gap between Nasdaq and the S&PWhat would make Brent add protection or look for another short-term market correctionTimestamps:00:00 Opening clips and the SpaceX flow setup05:27 Elon Musk net worth after the SpaceX IPO07:13 SpaceX, liquidity, Mag Seven selling, and index demand12:48 Why SpaceX may trade on flows before fundamentals17:59 What options trading could change for SpaceX22:05 How call buying can create a gamma squeeze28:24 Why June OPEX matters more than a normal expiration33:55 VIX expiration, FOMC, and market path dependency37:20 The Core1M signal and the recent volatility spasm41:22 The S&P 500 gamma map and key risk levels46:25 Why expensive calls drove the market stress50:14 Oil, rates, inflation, and the Fed setup57:03 The JPMorgan collar and the 6900 to 7000 support zone58:32 Nasdaq versus S&P 500 after the SpaceX IPO01:03:14 Brent's summary, SpaceX gamma squeeze risk, and the next market setup
Today's guest is Jim Grant, founder and editor of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, which he's been publishing since 1983. He's a financial historian and one of the most well-respected Observers on Wall Street. In today's episode, Jim Grant explains why AI may be one of the greatest bubbles of all time, alongside the railroads and the dot-com era. He reframes deflation as progress, questions how murky the $2 trillion private credit market is, and explains why the Fed can't aggressively fight inflation. To close, Jim makes his case for gold and revisits 1984, which he calls the clearest example of how strange markets can be. (0:00) Starts (0:39) Jim Grant on AI mania (12:23) The economic implications of inflation & deflation (19:56) Interest rates and private credit concerns (27:13) The Fed's inflation target (41:10) How to fix the Federal Reserve (45:09) The history and role of gold in portfolios (54:34) Jim's most memorable investment (57:28) Historical periods to study ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Read Apex Investor Pulse: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/library/investor-pulse-research-report-2026-may/ With the year's most anticipated IPO set to price, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas break down what a $1.75 trillion debut means for the broader market — the tiny 5% float, Elon Musk setting his own price, the wave of retail demand, and why it's likely to break its IPO price right out of the gate. They also look ahead to Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and what this moment signals for Anthropic, OpenAI, and the next wave of mega-cap listings. After the break, Guy & Dan sit down with Apex Fintech Solutions CEO Bill Capuzzi on where retail money is actually rotating, the takeaways from Apex's latest Investor Pulse report, and the under-the-radar clearing and capital risks building behind the scenes as the IPO hits. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
// SPONSORS // Blockware Solutions: https://mining.blockwaresolutions.com/breedlove Performance Lab Supplements: https://www.performancelab.com/breedlove The Farm at Okefenokee: https://okefarm.com/ // PRODUCTS I ENDORSE // Protect your mobile phone from SIM swap attacks: https://www.efani.com/breedlove Lineage Provisions (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://lineageprovisions.com/?ref=breedlove_22 Colorado Craft Beef (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://coloradocraftbeef.com/ Salt of the Earth Electrolytes: http://drinksote.com/breedlove Jawzrsize (code RobertBreedlove for 20% off): https://jawzrsize.com // UNLOCK THE WISDOM OF THE WORLD'S BEST NON-FICTION BOOKS // https://course.breedlove.io/ // SUBSCRIBE TO THE CLIPS CHANNEL // https://www.youtube.com/@robertbreedloveclips2996/videos // TIMESTAMPS // 0:00 – WiM Episode Trailer 1:26 – Episode Begins 6:00 – Money as Optionality, Psycho-Technology, and the Language of Power 14:57 – Mine Bitcoin with Blockware Solutions 16:00 – Money as a Universal Measurement System and Tool of Trade 22:00 – The Dollar as Cognitive Expedience: Why We Think in Fiat 28:00 – Babylonian Money Magic and the Dark Origins of Conjured Currency 32:43 – Performance Lab Supplements 33:50 – Self-Ownership, Property Rights, and the Foundation of Civilization 42:00 – How the Fed and Treasury Run a Debt-Based Circle Jerk 50:00 – Bitcoin: Crystal Clear Signal in a Murky Fiat World 52:50 – The Farm at Okefenokee 53:55 – Sound Money, Scarcity, and the Five Properties of Good Money 1:13:40 – Protect Yourself From SIM Swaps 1:14:46 – Unlock the Wisdom of the Best Non-Fiction Books // PODCAST // Podcast Website: https://whatismoneypodcast.com/ Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-what-is-money-show/id1541404400 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/25LPvm8EewBGyfQQ1abIsE RSS Feed: https://feeds.simplecast.com/MLdpYXYI // SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL // Bitcoin: 3D1gfxKZKMtfWaD1bkwiR6JsDzu6e9bZQ7 Sats via Strike: https://strike.me/breedlove22 Paypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/RBreedlove Venmo: https://account.venmo.com/u/Robert-Breedlove-2 // SOCIAL // Breedlove X: https://x.com/Breedlove22 WiM? X: https://x.com/WhatisMoneyShow Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/breedlove22/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/breedlove_22/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@breedlove22 Substack: https://breedlove22.substack.com/ All My Current Work: https://linktr.ee/robertbreedlove
SpaceX's public debut on the Nasdaq makes history, reaching over $2 trillion in market cap and minting Elon Musk as the world's first trillionaire. Wedbush Securities Global head of tech research Dan Ives breaks down SpaceX's first trading day and where the space stock is heading next. Then, the traders discuss what a potential peace deal with Iran means for the oil market, and what to expect from Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting next week. Plus, SpaceX isn't the only stock soaring - why retail and chip stocks are also on the rise, and why software is falling short. Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Jun 12, 2026 – Dave Keller, president and chief strategist at Sierra Alpha Research, offers a technical read on where equity markets actually stand regarding the largest IPO in history...
Robert and Austin talk about SpaceX breaking Wall Street's rules to be included in the Nasdaq-100, inflation printing 4.2%, and Apple's WWDC Siri AI announcement. We're also joined by Ron Santella, Managing Partner at Equable Shares, to learn more about secular growth trends, the SpaceX IPO, the bond market, and how the Fed might navigate this inflation mess. ---
Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendar Out Print the Fed with a 1% target per week: https://remnantfinance.com/optionsEmail us at info@remnantfinance.com or visit https://remnantfinance.com for more informationFOLLOW REMNANT FINANCEYoutube: @RemnantFinance (https://www.youtube.com/@RemnantFinance)Facebook: @remnantfinance (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560694316588)Twitter: @remnantfinance (https://x.com/remnantfinance)TikTok: @RemnantFinanceDon't forget to hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBE_____________________________In this episode, We get a rare mid-deployment check-in with Brian, calling in from a hotel room in southern Israel. Before they get to the business of insurance and estate planning, the two cover a lot of ground: the culture shock of living overseas, why the right has lost the moral high ground on insider trading, how cheap drones are quietly dismantling the aircraft carrier model, and the retention crisis brewing across the military. Then they bring it home to what matters most for the Remnant audience, the hard financial lessons that hit different when you are sitting in a war zone with an unfunded trust. If you have been putting off funding your trust or teaching your spouse how the system works, this episode is the wake-up call.Chapters:00:00 – Opening segment01:30 – Culture shock and the concept of being a "friar" 04:00 – Throwing elbows: comparing direct cultures abroad 06:30 – No personal boundaries and the bluntness spectrum 08:55 – What is the mission? 11:20 – The right's lost moral high ground on insider trading 14:40 – Prediction markets and the insider trading loophole 17:05 – Regret over the vote and the case against federal elections 18:50 – The Massie primary and the most expensive race in history 20:00 – The retention crisis: what the Guard and Reserves were meant to be 24:00 – No emotional stake: why this war won't swell the ranks 27:40 – How cheap drones defeated the aircraft carrier model 31:50 – They waived the vax mandate the moment they needed bodies 33:10 – Brian's decision36:50 – Prepare your spouse to be a widow: the unfunded trust problem 40:30 – Does your wife know how to take a policy loan? 43:05 – The 72-hour power-kill drill and survival planning 44:25 – Closing segmentKey Takeaways:An unfunded trust is the same as no trust. Brian admits his own trust is not properly funded, and now, deployed and off the grid, he cannot fix it. Funding the trust is the step everyone pushes to "next Friday" until life makes it impossible.Your life insurance living benefits only help your family if they know how to use it. Both Hans and Brian confess their wives have never been walked through the mechanics of taking a policy loan. Knowing what a policy loan is and knowing which buttons to click are two very different things.Prepare your spouse to be a widow before you think you need to. Nelson Nash did this late in life. The point stands at any age: your spouse should know where the documents are, how the system works, and what to do in an emergency, long before that emergency arrives.Run the drill while the stakes are low. Kill the main breaker for 72 hours and find the holes in your family's preparedness before a real crisis exposes them. The same logic applies financially: have your spouse take the next policy loan so the knowledge is real, not theoretical.
Matt and Doug discuss SpaceX's IPO jumping from 135 to about 171 a share and compare the frenzy to the dotcom era, noting its importance for broader market sentiment and Elon Musk's reported trillionaire status. They mention reading Peter Thiel's Zero to One, then pivot to extreme bearish sentiment in gold miners (a bullish index falling from 100 in January to 0 on June 10) and argue this may be a buying opportunity, alongside unloved oil despite ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prices around $80 WTI/$84 Brent. They cover rising inflation (CPI 4.2%), skepticism about official numbers, and expectations for new Fed chair Kevin Warsh. Subscriber questions include Costa Rica as a destination, tokenized gold's practicality and redeemability, whether to short markets, Ebola risk to Ivanhoe Mines, China's reduced oil imports, distrust of Howard Lutnick/Trump-linked trading dynamics, and whether humanoid robotics could extend the AI bull run. 00:00 SpaceX IPO Buzz 01:46 Thiel Book Talk 04:29 Trillion Dollar Math 06:24 Gold Miners Capitulation 09:26 Inflation Fed Outlook 12:47 Paper Fantasy Economy 16:07 Costa Rica Expat Reality 18:38 Central America Picks 20:17 Tokenized Gold Idea 21:07 Tokenized Gold Doubts 21:39 Swiss Gold Token Update 23:43 Shorting Market Timing 25:33 Ivanhoe Ebola Risk 28:36 Oil Prices and China 34:56 Stablecoins and Power Players 37:51 Epstein Files Speculation 39:04 Robots and AI Bubble 41:18 Trump Tweets and Markets 44:13 Weekend Sign Off
MRKT Matrix - Friday, June 12th Dow gains 300 points as SpaceX soars in debut, U.S.-Iran deal nears (CNBC) SpaceX Shares Extend Gain to 30% in Trading Debut (Bloomberg) SpaceX hit with sell rating by CFRA shortly after IPO (CNBC) SpaceX's ‘out-of-this-world' valuation supported by its rocket launch ‘moat,' says Wolfe Research (CNBC) Goldman and Morgan Stanley to Pocket $100 Million Each In SpaceX IPO Fees (WSJ) After SpaceX's huge IPO, Americans' financial future will be bound to AI (The Guardian) Highest Number of S&P 500 Earnings Calls Citing “AI” Over the Past 10 Years (FactSet) For Warsh as Fed chair, silence may be the point (CNBC) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs
Stefan Gleason, President and CEO of Money Metals Exchange, joins Brian Nichols to reveal what's really inside Fort Knox - and why central banks just bought 244 tons of gold in 90 days while your dollar quietly dies in your pocket. Here's the part nobody wants audited... the US gold reserves haven't had a legitimate audit in DECADES, 83% of it isn't even pure gold, and the experts say it would take 20 years just to refine it to modern standards. So what happens if we finally open the vault... and it's empty? Inside, you'll hear the uncensored breakdown of the biggest unanswered question in American finance. We walk you right up to the vault door. Stefan - a guy who runs one of the largest precious metals depositories in North America - explains why the way Washington manages your gold "wouldn't pass muster in any private depository," why the new Fed chairman quietly admitted the government plays in the gold market, and whether the most secure building in America is actually holding what they say it is. The dollar in your pocket is a political tool. They can print it, freeze it, weaponize it, and devalue it overnight by design. Gold and silver? They can't touch. So why do most Americans still own ZERO ounces of either... while central banks around the world quietly stack it by the ton? You'll hear the truth about whether it's too late to buy gold in 2026, the #1 rookie mistake that leaves beginners 50% underwater the second they buy, how to spot a rare-coin scam from a fair deal, and the surprising state-level wins happening right now while DC sleeps - 45 states now exempt gold and silver from sales tax, with Maryland and Alaska being the latest to move. Chapters: 0:00 - Intro 2:22 - The Rare Coin Scam That Robs Beginners 4:53 - Did You Miss Gold? (The Honest Answer) 11:34 - Silver, Platinum, Bitcoin... What Actually Wins 15:57 - How To Buy Gold In 2026 Without Getting Robbed 26:18 - The Sound Money Wins Happening Right Now 30:30 - 83% Of America's Gold Isn't Even Real 33:22 - We Open Fort Knox... And It's EMPTY? Stefan Gleason + Money Metals Exchange: Money Metals Exchange (buy, sell, store gold + silver) - https://www.moneymetals.com Money Metals Depository - https://www.moneymetals.com/depository Sound Money Defense League - https://www.soundmoneydefense.org Sound Money Index (state rankings) - https://www.soundmoneydefense.org/sound-money-index Money Metals on X - https://x.com/MoneyMetals Stefan Gleason on X - https://x.com/StefanMGleason Get on the Money Metals email list - https://www.moneymetals.com/newsletter The Brian Nichols Show: Website - https://www.briannicholsshow.com Subscribe on YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/@TheBrianNicholsShow Sponsors page - https://www.briannicholsshow.com/sponsors Email - brian@briannicholsshow.com Brian on X - https://x.com/BNicholsLiberty Sponsor: Cardio Miracle (15% off) - https://www.cardiomiracle.com/TBNS Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode, Collin Martin and Liz Ann Sonders focus on the outlook for equities, fixed income, and the overall U.S. economy in the second half of 2026. They begin by discussing recent inflation data, noting that while CPI remains elevated, core inflation came in slightly better than expected. Both agree inflation is not quickly returning to the Fed's target, but easing expectations and stable inflation expectations suggest the Federal Reserve can remain patient for now. The key risk is whether higher prices, especially at the pump, begin to erode consumer spending, as real wages have turned negative year over year. From a policy perspective, Collin expects the Fed to stay on hold through year-end, despite the fed funds futures market pricingin a potential hike. He emphasizes that short-term yields should remain steady, while longer-term Treasury yields may stay elevated due to persistent inflation, heavy Treasury issuance, and global rate pressures. In this environment, he suggests favoring short-to-intermediate bond durations and selectively considering credit risk via investment-grade corporates, high yields, and preferred securities. Liz Ann focuses on the outlook for equity investors, highlighting a shift back to a negative correlation between bond yields and stocks—more characteristic of inflation-driven regimes. Her midyear forecast points to a solid economic backdrop, led by resilient GDP growth, strong capital spending tied to AI, and a healthy labor market, though some early warning signals are emerging in survey-based employment data. The episode closes with a cautious but constructive outlook: no immediate recession signals, but investors should consider prioritizing diversification, risk management, and periodically rebalancing as markets navigate inflation, policy uncertainty, and evolving leadership trends. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-linked securities issued by the US Government whose principal value is adjusted periodically in accordance with the rise and fall in the inflation rate. Thus, the dividend amount payable is also impacted by variations in the inflation rate, as it is based upon the principal value of the bond. It may fluctuate up or down. Repayment at maturity is guaranteed by the US Government and may be adjusted for inflation to become the greater of the original face amount at issuance or that face amount plus an adjustment for inflation. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are guaranteed by the US Government, but inflation-protected bond funds do not provide such a guarantee. Preferred securities are a type of hybrid investment that share characteristics of both stock and bonds. They are often callable, meaning the issuing company may redeem the security at a certain price after a certain date. Such call features, and the timing of a call, may affect the security's yield. Preferred securities generally have lower credit ratings and a lower claim to assets than the issuer's individual bonds. Like bonds, prices of preferred securities tend to move inversely with interest rates, so their prices may fall during periods of rising interest rates. Investment value will fluctuate, and preferred securities, when sold before maturity, may be worth more or less than original cost. Preferred securities are subject to various other risks including changes in interest rates and credit quality, default risks, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, deferral risk, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. High-yield securities and unrated securities of similar credit quality (junk bonds) are subject to greater levels of credit and liquidity risks and may be more volatile than higher-rated securities. High-yield securities are considered predominately speculative with respect to the issuer's continuing ability to make principal and interest payments. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions Negative correlation refers to investments that tend to move in opposite directions: when one rises, the other falls. A hyperscaler is a large-scale cloud service provider that offers vast computing, storage, and networking resources through a distributed infrastructure of interconnected servers and software. (0626-WG7N) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Markets increasingly seem to respond more to intervention than fundamentals, raising a bigger question about what actually drives asset prices today. This week, we discuss how policy intervention, systematic flows, and AI-driven capital allocation are reshaping market behavior and investor positioning. We also explore volatility squeezes, Fed rate expectations, gold and oil, AI infrastructure spending, hyperscaler equity issuance, Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI, and the growing tension between technological progress and market centralization. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 05:11 Trump's Market Playbook 08:11 The Fed Pricing Trap 12:12 Volatility Positioning Unwinds 17:22 Markets Are Centrally Managed 21:48 Mag Loses Leadership 28:54 The AI Capex Risk 30:17 The Best Rates Trade 34:20 Policy Powers The AI War 38:20 Will AI Politics Hit Markets? 43:52 The AI Access Divide 50:34 The Centralization Trade FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1I_E0fiARx9ikBBddWaGJegaAAfa00ODn/view?usp=sharing EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Michael Terpin, author of "Bitcoin Supercycle," makes the case that Bitcoin investors don't need to be worried about the cryptocurrency's 50% sell-off since last October. He attributes the volatility as normal in a four-year halving cycle. Michael also outlines what he sees ahead for "Bitcoin summer" and how cryptocurrencies impact the Fed's path forward on interest rates. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Spencer and Griffin break down what the first half of 2026 is really telling us about multifamily real estate, the macro economy, and where the opportunities are hiding. Headline CPI came in at 4.2% — but is that the real story? The team makes the case that core inflation, lagging shelter data, and oil-driven volatility are distorting the headline number, and that the underlying picture may be closer to 3% than 4%.With Kevin Warsh at the helm of the Fed, the rate cut narrative is essentially dead. Markets are now pricing a rate hike as more likely than a cut by year-end — and that's creating a pressure cooker for owners who bet on refinancing relief. Spencer walks through what that means for deal flow, distressed sellers, and why patient, long-term buyers in the right markets are quietly in a very good position.Speaking of the right markets — the Midwest story keeps getting stronger. Q1 2026 deliveries in the Midwest dropped 60% from the three-year average, net migration into the region has flipped from deeply negative to positive for the first time in years, and effective rents are growing again. Meanwhile, the AI infrastructure build-out continues to accelerate, with Meta's just-announced $115M skilled trades academy with Indianapolis as one of four pilot sites.We close with the Q2 Fear & Greed Index from CRE Daily and John Burns Research: 71% of investors are on hold, a record high. Gray Capital is in the 20% that's actively deploying.Subscribe to The Gray Report for weekly breakdowns of multifamily real estate, commercial real estate markets, and the macroeconomic trends shaping where we invest.https://www.graycapitalllc.com/
This week, we expect on-hold decisions by the Fed, BOE, SNB, Riksbank, Norges Bank, RBA and BI, but hikes by BOJ, BSP and CBC. We expect the Fed, BOE, SNB, Riksbank, Norges Bank, RBA and BI to all keep policy rates unchanged. By contrast, we see the BOJ, BSP, and CBC as likely to hike at a measured pace. Statements will be non-committal across the board, and all eyes on Fed Chair Warsh who will likely try to be balanced. Chapters: US:1:53, UK:9:05, Japan:14:54, Asia:14:59.
Where do markets stand as investor froth scales back? Join Manpreet Gill and Rajat Bhattacharya as they discuss where we stand on investor positioning, why we expect the Fed to stay on hold for the rest of 2026, and the strong investment case for gold. ou can read our latest Weekly Market View today here.Speaker(s):- Manpreet Gill, CIO of Africa, Middle East & Europe (AME/E), Standard Chartered Bank - Rajat Bhattacharya, Senior Investment Strategist, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Markets ended the week balancing persistent inflation data, evolving Fed expectations, and shifting equity leadership. CPI and PPI both surprised to the upside, reinforcing the view that inflation remains sticky and likely keeps the Fed in a restrictive stance ahead of Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting as chair. While geopolitical tensions in the Middle East added volatility early in the week, markets recovered on signs of potential de-escalation. In equities, leadership broadened beyond mega caps, with equal weight indices gaining strength as investors reassess concentration risk. With rates expected to stay higher for longer, disciplined positioning and diversification remain key in navigating the current environment. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 02:05 — CPI and PPI show persistent inflation pressures04:00 — Fed outlook ahead of Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting06:30 — Geopolitics and market reaction to Middle East tensions10:00 — Bond market implications and higher for longer rate expectations15:15 — Equity market breadth improves as SpaceX IPO draws attention Additional ResourcesNational Call Replay: 2026 Mid-Year CIO UpdateRead Now: Corporate Transparency Act — Where Are We Now (2026)? Key QuestionsWeekly Investment BriefSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterFollow us on LinkedIn
Inflation is rising again, the Fed may be forced back into hikes, gold and silver are already breaking down, and Bitcoin is being dragged into the same hard-money bear market. But the deeper question is not whether the debasement trade is dead — it's whether your Bitcoin conviction was ever rooted in price, capital flows, or something far more permanent. In this episode, Hurley breaks down inflation, the Fed, Michael Saylor's Bitcoin strategy debate, paper Bitcoin, self-custody, moral money, and why Bitcoin still matters for freedom, stewardship, and humanity.SPONSORS
Season 6, Episode 17: Welcome back to a new episode of Keeping it Real with Dr. Kuehl. This week, Dr. Chris Kuehl talks about what's happening in the economy as if we have a clue.ASA Chief Economist Dr. Chris Kuehl is back with his weekly economic update podcast. In Season 6, Episode 17 (8:16 in length), ASA Chief Economist Dr. Chris Kuehl discusses the latest economic data. Is there a lot of positive data that is going on behind the scenes?Is media designed to provide data? Should we consume this information?Media dominating the news cycle - are we missing the most relevant news?Has the oil data been overblown? What is the crucial issue?Are we in an oil glut? What is the concern?What is the REAL issue with the oil sector?Where are we seeing really good data?Is the manufacturing sector soaring?Where are inflation numbers? How is the Fed responding to this data?Where are the PCE numbers? Where are they trending?Where are ASA members in this economic cycle???Is there more to be encouraged by than the obvious negative?Ask Dr. Kuehl a Question!Have a question or topic for Chris Kuehl that you would like answered on this podcast or on his monthly ASA members only webinar?Email it to Brianna Dovichi at bdovichi@asa.net
Relatively strong US growth, sticky inflation and a resilient labour market have strengthened the case for further Fed tightening. In this week's episode of The Weekly Briefing, Chief North America Economist Stephen Brown tells David Wilder why rates may rise again before year-end and what to expect from Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed Chair.Before that, it's Groundhog Friday, as Donald Trump again talks up an imminent deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But what if this time it really is for real and a US-Iran deal does get done? Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing discusses how the outlook could shift if energy starts flowing again, but also explains the economic risks if any deal later falls apart as crude reserves run down.Related contentFed on hold as Warsh faces a fractious FOMCBoE may not follow the central bank crowd in raising ratesBoJ on track to hike despite Ueda's absence
President Trump halted strikes on Iran yesterday and announced that a peace deal will be signed imminently. Markets reacted accordingly, with oil prices falling and equities rallying. Chip stocks contributed to the rally in both the US and Asia overnight. Even US Treasuries held on to their gains, as markets lowered their bets on a Fed rate hike in October from 51% to 36%. SpaceX raised USD 75 billion, pricing itsshares at USD 135 – its debut will be a big focus later today. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Sales in Geneva, joined today's podcast for his weekly take on all things currency and precious metals, so tune in to hear his views on the US dollar, the euro and the Swiss franc, as well as his perspective on the sharp fall in the gold price.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:07) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:40) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
0:11 - Toronto's first World Cup match kicks off today! 9:14 - Elon Musk becomes world's first trillionaire after SpaceX shares jump on stock market debut. 15:49 - We get our weekly economic recap with Dr. Eric Kam, economics professor at Toronto Metropolitan University. 25:56 - We take your calls and texts on the day. 34:53- Fed up in Fort Mac: Residents take Highway 63 road repairs into their own hands. 45:20 - We take your calls and texts on the state of the roads in Alberta. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research Andrew Sheets explains our differentiated view of a potential benign outlook for inflation, despite the recent acceleration.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley.Today, why is everything still so expensive?It's Thursday, June 11th at 2pm in London.The Federal Reserve has a so-called dual mandate, tasked with keeping the labor market healthy and prices stable. It is currently having much more success with the former than the latter.Let's start with that good news.Last Friday saw solid data from the U.S. jobs market, reducing some of the fears from earlier this year that artificial intelligence and other factors would lead companies to make do with fewer workers. The U.S. unemployment rate sits at just 4.3 percent, a historically low level. Measures like initial jobless claims indicate no large uptick in firings.Yet the success within the U.S. labor market is mirrored by struggles with inflation. The Fed tries to keep inflation, the annual increase in a broad set of prices, to about 2 percent per year. Their preferred measure of these prices, so-called PCE inflation, well, it's been materially above this target over the last three months, six months, twelve months, and indeed, the last five years.As for another key measure of inflation that was reported yesterday, CPI, overall prices increased more than 4 percent. While that was close to expectations, it still represents prices that are rising much faster than the Fed would prefer.This leads to a dilemma. One diagnosis of what's going on is that elevated inflation is a sign that conditions are simply too loose and too accommodative at these levels of interest rates. Corporate capital expenditure and merger activity is surging, regulation is being eased, and the U.S. government is spending a lot more than it's taking in. All of these are consistent with a hot economic cycle, which in the past would've warranted higher interest rates to bring the economy back down to a more sustainable speed.But it might not be that simple.The surging spend that we're seeing on AI data centers feels pretty unique and almost insensitive to other dynamics. Indeed, we've seen a 700 percent increase in the price of memory over the last year. Yet it's done little to slow demand for this construction as the large, well-capitalized companies behind the AI buildout see it as so essential to their future success.U.S. consumers are also still spending, boosted perhaps by record levels of household wealth. As just one example of this, my colleagues in Equity Research note that the price of airline tickets has gone up 25 percent over the last year, yet there's been no sign of people flying less.Now, the positive story would be that while there are some high-profile categories like computer memory or airfare that are seeing these large price increases, the broader inflation picture is actually set to get better as the year goes on, and costs for things like housing and tariff-impacted goods moderate. That is our view at Morgan Stanley, where our economists think that inflation will ultimately be lower over the next twelve months – and lower than many in the market expect.But there's definitely uncertainty.This month, June, is one where central banks may appear to have a renewed commitment towards inflationary pressures; with the ECB hiking rates today and our expectation that the Bank of Japan will hike rates next week, while the Fed will remove their easing bias. And our more benign economic base case for inflation does assume that oil will start flowing through the Strait of Hormuz pretty soon. It may not, and that could also lead to more sustained inflationary pressure.The big story on inflation has not gone away. Our assumption that pressures could ease in the second half of the year is a key and differentiated input to our forecast for lower bond yields and higher stock prices in 12 months' time. But it does rely on a change of the status quo.As of now, inflation is still too high.Thank you, as always, for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also, tell a friend or colleague about us today.
Friday's stronger-than-expected jobs report sent stocks tumbling and reignited fears that the Federal Reserve may be forced to raise rates rather than cut them. With gold falling sharply and bond markets repricing, investors need to understand what a potential rate hike cycle means for their portfolios.Today's Stocks & Topics: Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS), Market Wrap, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG), Is the Fed's Next Move a Rate Hike? What a Strong Jobs Report Means for Your Portfolio, Investing in Industrials, PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL), Markets and the War, Micron Technology, Inc. (MU), Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG), Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER).Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.com* Check out TaskRabbit and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://taskrabbit.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Danny Moses is joined by Dan Nathan to break down a market that sold off on good news — strong jobs data, sticky inflation, and a Fed whose hands look increasingly tied heading into the CPI print. The guys dig into why the AI and data-center build has become the entire economy, and what a rotation out of those names would actually mean for growth. From there: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and how Danny is playing the odds of a dissenting vote, the long-awaited SpaceX IPO and the fine print behind it — index-inclusion mechanics, the timing of the Anthropic and Google compute deals, the 90-day exit clauses, and the question of who's left to buy once endowments and retail are already in. They close on two vice trades worth watching: Trulieve's move to the NYSE as cannabis quietly notches its biggest win in years, and how prediction markets like Kalshi are reshaping the data-provider landscape under DraftKings, FanDuel, and Flutter. --ABOUT THE SHOWFor decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links —Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
June 11, 2026 – In this week's Smart Macro, Jim Puplava is joined by Chief Investment Officer Chris Puplava for a hard look at what comes next for oil, inflation, and global markets during the second half of 2026...
Eric Criscuolo, NYSE Market Strategist, breaks down a choppy week as the S&P 500 slips modestly while underlying market breadth remains firm. Ongoing Iran headlines continued to drive intraday volatility, though reactions appeared more muted as investors priced in a path toward de-escalation. Tech came under pressure, with notable weakness across semis, software, and mega-caps fueling a broader rotation into Financials, Healthcare, and small caps. Economic data, including a closely watched CPI report, kept yields elevated and added to the shifting sector dynamics. Focus now shifts to the Fed's upcoming meeting, key economic releases, and continued positioning ahead of major IPO activity.
Ben and Tom discuss Oracle's 8% drop on a $40 billion capital raise plan and CapEx ballooning to $90-95 billion against just 6% EPS growth, the ECB hiking rates for the first time since 2023 to 2.25% into a sagging expansion, today's PPI print and 30-year auction, Rick Rieder's case for Fed cuts and fixed-income opportunities, OpenAI weighing drastic token price cuts to fend off Anthropic, and why Google's equity-funded AI buildout raises real questions about ROIC.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure
Blackrock's Rick Rieder maps out his forecast for the market, Fed and upcoming IPOs. Plus, Goldman Sachs' Tony Pasquariello gives his instant reaction to the Dow's big jump during the last hour of trading today. And, Oliver Renick looks at the options in space stocks ahead of SpaceX's highly anticipated market debut. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Senior Real Estate Reporter Brooklee Han about the competition for listings between Multiple Listing Services (MLSs) who are spreading beyond their usual geographical boundaries, as well as listing portals like Zillow and CoStar. Related to this episode: CoStar targets Zillow Preview in amicus filing over MRED feed MLSs compete on rules and partnerships as listing control shifts HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire The Top 5: Existing home sales beat estimates, what it signals for 2026 Synergy One to merge with APM; Steve Majerus named president MLSs compete on rules and partnerships as listing control shifts Outgoing Frank Cassidy on running FHA more like a business May inflation climbs to 4.2%, Fed likely stays on hold The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate.
The Last Trade: Matt Dines, CIO of Build Asset Management, joins to lay out the seismic monetary reshuffling underway in 2026, the unwind of the post-Bretton-Woods offshore-dollar system that ran the global economy from 1971 to 2022, why LIBOR's deprecation and the SOFR transition quietly moved the dollar's command center from London to New York, Scott Bessent's strategy to monetize the asset side of the Treasury balance sheet through the GENIUS Act stablecoin and a Bitcoin reserve targeting 1 million BTC, Tether's December 2023 alignment with the American Sovereignist movement, and the contrarian read on MicroStrategy as a "dollar strategy" rather than a Bitcoin strategy.---
A seemingly simple Fed transition is becoming a massive stress test of the entire financial system as rising debt, inflation, and global energy crisis collide. Luke Gromen of Forest For The Trees joins to discuss Kevin Warsh's looming challenge and why the Fed may soon face choices it can no longer avoid. We explore the dollar versus bond market tradeoff, the impact of the Iran conflict and oil prices, China's growing leverage, financial warfare, swap lines, and what it all means for stocks, gold, Bitcoin, and global markets. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:50 Warsh's First Fed Test 04:54 Rethinking The Fed's Role 11:35 Can Warsh Control The Committee? 14:07 Why The Dollar Looks Weak 17:19 Warsh's Impossible Policy Mix 23:30 What's The Policy Plan? 27:31 China's Strategic Waiting Game 34:16 Financial Warfare Going Global 40:22 Swap Lines And Petrogold 47:11 Risk Assets Face Repricing FOLLOW LUKE › X/Twitter – https://x.com/LukeGromen › FFTT – https://fftt-llc.com/ FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Oil executives are warning that gas prices could get worse this summer, even as prices at the pump have eased in recent weeks and investors continue to question why crude markets are not reflecting the pressure building in U.S. inventories.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down why the U.S. oil system may be approaching a critical inventory window, what continued export demand could mean for gas prices later this summer, and why China's reduced oil imports may be one of the biggest unknowns in the market. They also discuss the Federal Reserve's credibility problem as inflation moves back above 4%, whether the Fed can still defend its 2% target, why AI data center costs are creating new concerns for Oracle and other tech companies, and what OpenAI price cuts could signal about competition with Anthropic.
Jeffrey Klingelhofer says recent inflation data reflects crosscurrents from oil prices and geopolitics, but emphasizes labor and wage trends as the more important forward indicators. He notes consumers, including higher earners, are trading down, while companies like Walmart (WMT) absorb rising costs. Klingelhofer adds this dynamic could weigh on employment and margins as the Fed heads into its next policy decision.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Brian Jacobsen says the recent PPI jump is largely driven by supply-side pressures, especially energy, which the Fed cannot directly control. He expects policymakers to stay hawkish in tone but ultimately pivot toward a rate cut as early as September, ahead of market expectations. Jacobsen adds that easing geopolitical tensions and lower gas prices could quickly reduce inflation fears and shift the Fed more dovish.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
As the Fed faces a conundrum with interest rates in the U.S., Charles Schwab's Michelle Gibley highlights the EU Central Bank's decision to hike rates. She contrasts its decision to what she calls a "mistake" it made in hiking rates during 2022 with the EU's future growth picture in the balance. Michelle later looks at the Bank of Japan's interest rate outlook and what its path forward means for the U.S.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Wholesale prices continue to climb, seen in the latest PPI print after the previous day's CPI hit three-year highs. Kevin Hincks outlines the impacts he expects it to have on the inflation picture and the Fed's interest rate projections. The energy trade continues to be the biggest culprit to inflation's spike as the U.S.-Iran War serves as a long-term headwind. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Mabrouk Chetouane believes the situation for the Fed still hinges tightly on inflation, as CPI taps a three-year high. The biggest culprit driving it higher: energy, as the U.S.-Iran War continues to create long-term headwinds for American consumers. While complications exist, Mabrouk sees a resilient U.S. economy stomaching the headwinds for now.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS - Don't ruin the show; Lazy E interviews comic book legend Joe Quesada - Do you suffer from "screen apnea?" - Fed up with single life? Try "practice dating" - 911 dispatchers reveal the dumbest reasons people have called 911 - Hidden celebrity talents
Jeff Schulze and Josh Jamner take a deep dive on the U.S. economy and stock market as well as the upcoming spate of mega cap IPOs, offering a bullish view for the second half of 2026, with a strengthening labor market, improving industrial activity and robust earnings offsetting an energy shock and a hawkish Fed.
Know Your Risk Radio with Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer, Bulwark Capital Management
June 11, 2026 - Chase discusses the latest “imminent” peace deal headlines, why oil markets may still need proof before accepting the Strait is truly reopening, and how much damage may already be baked into global inventories. He also breaks down PPI, Fed rate-hike pressure, long-end Treasury weakness, equity issuance from major tech names, and why even a real deal may not quickly erase the supply problem facing oil markets.
US inflation hit 4.2% in May, the highest reading since April 2023, and the third straight month of acceleration. The driver is the US-Israeli war with Iran. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted Middle East oil supplies, and energy alone accounted for over 60% of the monthly CPI increase.This episode breaks down the May CPI report and what's behind the number. Energy prices are up 23.5% year over year. Gasoline is up 40.5%. Fuel oil is up 58.9%. Shelter costs accelerated again to 3.4% and food rose 3.1%. Core inflation (the Fed's preferred measure, which strips out food and energy) climbed to 2.9%, a new high since September 2025, but the monthly core number actually came in below forecasts, which is the one piece of good news in the report.The Fed meets June 17. Markets expect a hold, but the conversation has shifted. Rate cuts that were on the table in January are off it now, and some analysts are starting to talk about hikes later this year if the energy shock spreads. The pace of the past three months is the fastest since spring 2022, when inflation was still climbing toward its 9% peak.The pain isn't evenly distributed. Real wages have fallen for two months in a row. Gas, food, electricity, and medical care are all running above 3%, which is exactly the basket of things households can't substitute away from. Brookings modeling suggests that even in the most optimistic scenario, a Hormuz closure lasting one quarter, US inflation ends 2026 about 0.6 points higher than it would have otherwise.We cover what the energy shock means for AI infrastructure costs, why a 40% gas spike doesn't show up evenly across the economy, what the Fed actually does with a war-driven inflation print, and whether May represents a 2026 peak or the start of something longer.May CPI, US inflation 2026, Iran war inflation, gas prices, Strait of Hormuz, Federal Reserve, interest rates, energy shock, real wages, core CPI, FOMC June 2026.
A market correction is coming… and that's good news. Plus, Senator Warren vs. the SpaceX IPO… Hot CPI data… New Fed chair, old Fed tricks… Gold has more room to fall… And $1 million Bitcoin (BTC) is off the table. In this episode: The California election is chaos [1:06] Why Senator Warren is trying to delay the SpaceX IPO [5:31] Breaking down the market's reaction to the hot CPI [10:22] The cost of living is killing the market [17:02] New Fed chair, old Fed tricks [24:03] Gold prices have more room to fall [31:26] A market correction is coming… and that's good news [38:43] $1 million Bitcoin is off the table [43:08] Did you like this episode? Get more Wall Street Unplugged FREE each week in your inbox. Sign up here: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu Find Wall Street Unplugged podcast… --Curzio Research App: https://curzio.me/syn_app --iTunes: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_i --Stitcher: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_s --Website: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_cat Follow Frank… X: https://curzio.me/syn_twt Facebook: https://curzio.me/syn_fb LinkedIn: https://curzio.me/syn_li
Stocks selling off as investors digest the latest developments out of the Middle East, and the highest inflation read in over three years. SMBC Americas' Chief Economist Joe Lavorgna lays out his take on the CPI report, and what's in store for Kevin Warsh at his first Fed meeting next week. Plus, all the details from Oracle's latest earnings report, Musk's unique strategy for his SpaceX IPO, and how the NBA finals and World Cup combo are kicking off a sports betting golden age. Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.