Podcasts about Fed

Aug 31, 2026 – When one spouse manages all the finances, passwords, and key relationships, their sudden death can trigger legal, financial, and operational chaos. Today, we explore the risk posed by the "death of a decision maker" and three...

ITU: Ready to break through your biggest business bottleneck? Apply to work with me 1:1 - https://impacttheory.co/SCALESign up for my AI Masterclass: https://tombilyeu.com/ai-masterclass?utm_campaign=TBS-Livestream&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=socialWhat's up, guys? Today, we have a truly mind-bending episode ahead with Drew, my incredible co-host, and we are attacking the biggest questions around artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and global power in real time. Drew is a sharp thinker and dynamic conversationalist, and together we're diving deep into the realities of AI as a weapon system, data poisoning risks, and what regulation needs to look like as the arms race heats up.If you've been feeling overwhelmed by the pace of AI, the threat of global instability, or wondering how all these forces shape your freedom, your money, and your future, this one is not to be missed. We're breaking down everything from how easy it is to turn AI into a “Manchurian candidate” to why even the Fed and Treasury might be teaming up in ways that affect your personal finances. You are going to leave this episode with specific tactics you can act on AND a clarity of perspective on what's really happening behind the scenes in tech, politics, and culture.If you're ready to stop being confused by the headlines and start thinking for yourself, don't sleep on this one. And if this episode hits home, do me a favor—drop that review. That's literally what helps us get these conversations out to more people who want to play at the highest level.I'm Tom Bilyeu, and welcome to Impact Theory.Sponsors:Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpodElevenLabs: Book your demo at https://elevenlabs.io/impactpodButcherbox: Go to https://ButcherBox.com/IMPACT to get $20 off your first box, plus your choice of free ribeye, new york strip, or filet mignon in every box for a year — with free shipping alwaysQuo: ​​Try for free PLUS get 20% off your first 6 months at https://quo.com/impactShopify: Sign up for your free trial period at https://shopify.com/impactNetsuite: For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, go to https://NetSuite.ai/Theory.Incogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impactSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to unpack Kevin Warsh's surprisingly hawkish message at Jackson Hole and what it could mean for markets. They also turn to the latest escalation in the Middle East following U.S. attacks on Larka Island. Is the war restarting, and could renewed geopolitical risk disrupt the market setup just as investors were beginning to embrace the bull case?

August 31, 2026 – 5am: U.S., Iran trade strikes for the first time in a month WAPO: Military leaders want against extending Iran operations Trump announces U.S.-Venezuela oil deal Russian strike near Kyiv kills at least 37 NBC News journalists attacked by Israeli settlers in West Bank Trump calls for ‘rebuke or punishment' for NBC's Kristen Welker Treasury Dept. blocks some journalists from G20 meeting DHS denies ICE targets parents at school bus stops Fed chair Kevin Warsh warns that inflation is too high in speech U.S.-Canada tensions escalate amid Lake Ontario dispute The Bulwark: Rep. Stephanie Bice (R-OK): Trump exhausting our voters MI GOP Senate nominee Mike Rogers questioned over Bin laden claims To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon joins exclusively from the G20 to discuss his outlook for the economy, AI, the bond market and much more. Then, Eli Lilly CEO David Ricks also joins from the G20 to discuss the company's new acquisition and the weight loss drug space at large. We also speak to Former CEA Chair Jason Furman about his expectations for the economy and the Fed. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Today, a look at Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish posturings at the Fed's Jackson Hole, Wyoming symposium on Friday and the reaction across markets, which seemed most decisive for gold more than for the US dollar or risk sentiment more broadly. Also, we wonder how much more the market can get out of the Fed's hiking potential as we await the next move from Bessent and company at Treasury if US treasury yields rise from here. Much more in today's pod on FX and macro and the busy week ahead with host John J. Hardy, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy. Links Michael Every was recently on Thoughtful Money recently and I found the discussion of stablecoins the most enlightening, a bit more into the specifics and the assumptions needed to make this work than I have heard previously from Every and others. Katie Martin wonders, as we also do on the podcast, when the "new age of financial repression" is coming. Mark Zuckerberg's Social Reckoning. (The New Yorker) A WSJ op-ed frets the risk of a US food crisis, in part on fertilizer supply chains that run through the Middle East and China  On X, Paulo Macro points out a string of recent magazine covers that should warm the hearts of AI bubble bears. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.  

Bitcoin heads into September under pressure as renewed U.S.-Iran strikes push oil above $90 and markets sharply raise the odds of a Fed rate hike after Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech. Despite September's historically weak reputation, midterm-year seasonality has often been much stronger, while gold is still coming off its best month since January. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

I sat down with Jim Iuorio of the Unfiltered Investor to discuss debt, inflation, AI, and investing after nearly four decades of booms, crashes, and Fed interventions.— What breaks first: the dollar, Treasuries, or something else— Why gold is signaling more money printing ahead— If AI can rescue the economy— If today's stock valuations are justified -- or simply another bet on a Fed bailout— What markets are getting completely wrongI hope you enjoy!Visit our Sponsor: Monetary MetalsEarn 5% to 12% interest on your physical gold and silver, paid in physical gold and silver.Visit our Sponsor: Abundant MinesMine Bitcoin, Keep the Profits, Reduce your Taxes. We handle Everything.Visit our Sponsor: The Bitcoin WayStep-by-step help with Bitcoin self-custody, upgraded cybersecurity, and Plan B residency.Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the show

The Federal Reserve's fixation with “stable prices” has led to an unstable economy for the past century. Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/fallacy-stable-prices

What does meaningful time with God look like for you? In this episode of Fed by the Fruit, KB shares her faith-filled Christian morning routine—including Bible reading, daily devotionals, prayer journaling, and practical ways to reduce digital distractions—and explores seven unique worship styles that can help you recognize how you connect with God most naturally. KB also welcomes Melissa Landon, creator of The Legacy of Her, to discuss the power of women sharing their testimonies, finding faith through difficult seasons, and building a legacy rooted in purpose. Whether your quiet time happens early in the morning or in the small pockets of a busy day, this conversation will encourage you to pursue God through Scripture, prayer, worship, community, and the practices that awaken your heart to His presence.Find out more about the Legacy of Her or to get tickets here. Reach out to KB on Instagram and share your thoughts.

August is officially in the books! And after another month of AI enthusiasm, strong corporate earnings, stubborn inflation, rising oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, Fed drama and some major market breakouts, it's time to step back from the daily noise and see where the money actually went. On today's episode of TraderMerlin, we're pulling up the charts and reviewing the performance of our Top 8 Market Segments for August. Because sometimes the best way to understand what's happening in the financial markets isn't another headline... It's simply looking at which assets are actually going UP—and which ones aren't. We'll compare the performance of the major markets and see where traders and investors were putting their money throughout August. We'll discuss: U.S. Equities – The S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow and Russell 2000 all finished August higher despite plenty of volatility along the way. Technology – AI remained one of the dominant market themes, with another massive Nvidia earnings report helping reinforce enthusiasm for the AI trade. Small Caps – Are smaller companies finally participating more meaningfully in the bull market? Gold – Precious metals delivered another powerful month as inflation, geopolitical risk and concerns about the dollar drove demand. Bitcoin & Crypto – Bitcoin was one of August's standout performers as digital assets attracted another wave of capital. Energy & Crude Oil – Middle East tensions and disruptions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz kept energy markets firmly in focus. Bonds & Interest Rates – Treasury yields remained a major source of volatility as investors digested inflation data and Kevin Warsh's message from Jackson Hole. The U.S. Dollar – What currency markets are telling us about inflation, monetary policy and global capital flows. But we're not just ranking winners and losers. We're asking the much more important question: What is August's performance telling us about September? The S&P 500 gained roughly 2.5% in August, continuing an earnings-driven bull market. Semiconductor stocks remained strong, with Nvidia gaining nearly 9% for the month, while software stocks continued their impressive recovery. But some of the biggest moves weren't in stocks at all. Bitcoin gained more than 20% during August, while gold also posted a powerful monthly advance as investors increasingly looked toward scarce assets amid concerns about inflation, government debt and monetary policy. Meanwhile, crude oil remains one of the market's biggest wild cards as renewed tensions in the Middle East pushed Brent back above $90 per barrel to close out the month. That's a very interesting combination: Stocks rising. Gold rising. Bitcoin rising. Oil rising. Bond yields remaining elevated. Normally, those assets aren't all telling us the same story. So what exactly is the market pricing in? That's what we'll try to figure out today. And the timing couldn't be better because tomorrow we turn the calendar to September—historically one of the most difficult months of the year for U.S. equities. For additional market research, check out CME Group Markets, Federal Reserve Economic Data, and Nvidia Investor Relations. Listen now:

This month on Last Call, Kevin Muir, Aahan Menon, Ben Hunt and Brent Kochuba break down the market through four lenses: macro, inflation data, narrative and options positioning. They examine whether midterm election volatility is underpriced, why inflation may be more demand-driven and persistent than headline data suggests, how the Fed's credibility has shifted under Kevin Warsh, and why options markets still look remarkably complacent.Follow Last Call on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Last Call on Apple Podcasts⁠Topics coveredWhy ending Fed forward guidance could create more uncertainty around interest rate decisionsKevin Muir's case that midterm election volatility is unusually cheapWhy seasonal volatility, low implied correlation and election risk may favor owning protectionAahan Menon on inflation breadth and why 70 to 80 percent of PCE components are above the Fed's 2 percent targetWhy demand-driven inflation may be stickier than supply-driven inflationHow oil shocks can feed into core inflation and increase pressure on the Fed to hikeBen Hunt on the sudden collapse in the Fed credibility narrative and why gold has respondedThe four risks facing the Fed and Treasury: oil, fading fiscal stimulus, insurance and private credit stress, and the long end of the Treasury curveBrent Kochuba on why implied volatility and put positioning show a market with very little fearNvidia options positioning, potential resistance near 250 to 275, and what dealer gamma says about the stockStanley Druckenmiller's AI-written Wall Street Journal op-ed and what AI-assisted writing means for investment thinkingTimestamps00:00 Midterms, inflation, Fed credibility and options complacency07:45 Kevin Muir on why midterm volatility may be underpriced11:55 Why this midterm could be more volatile than the options market expects16:36 Cheap volatility and how election risk could get repriced20:39 Inflation breadth and why the headline numbers miss the bigger problem25:43 Why cooling inflation data may hide persistent demand-driven pressure33:31 Ben Hunt on why the Fed credibility narrative suddenly reversed40:01 Four risks the Fed and Treasury cannot afford to ignore44:43 What the options market says after Jackson Hole49:10 Why Fed events can become an expensive options tax53:14 Why falling volatility could help stocks push toward new highs57:34 Druckenmiller, AI-written investment commentary and authenticity01:01:53 Why writing is part of thinking in an AI worldLearn more about the Excess Returns podcast network:https://excessreturns.coNo information discussed in this podcast should be construed as investment advice. Securities discussed may be held by the hosts and guests, their firms or their clients.

What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here:Want my help starting a business? Join me here inside Zero To FounderSign up for my AI Masterclass: AI MasterclassFOLLOW TOM:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=enTwitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeuYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeuWOI EPISODES:FOLLOW LISA:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lisabilyeu/Twitter: https://twitter.com/lisabilyeuYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/womenofimpactTik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lisa_bilyeu?lang=enCash App: Download Cash App Today: https://capl.onelink.me/vFut/v6nymgjl #CashAppPod*Cash App is a financial services platform, not a bank. Banking services provided by Cash App's bank partner(s). Prepaid debit cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Cash App Visa® Debit Flex Cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC, and The Bancorp Bank, N.A., pursuant to a license from Visa U.S.A. Inc. See terms and conditions for the Sutton prepaid card, Sutton debit flex card, and Bancorp debit flex card. Cash App Green features, Savings, Direct deposit, Round ups, Overdraft coverage and Discounts provided by Cash App, a Block, Inc. brand. Visit cash.app/legal/podcast for full disclosure.Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpodWhatnot: Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order.Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription orderEthos: Get a free quote at https://ethos.com/impactIncogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact ATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at https://business.att.comPique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impactThe team dissects the viral Konstantin Kisin vs. Steve Keen debate—both former Impact Theory guests—on the central climate question of our time: is the answer to use less and shrink (de-growth), or to innovate our way forward? The host, who knows both men and calls them smart and well-intentioned, explicitly urges viewers not to pick a side and dismiss the other as stupid, but to find the one factual disagreement worth reasoning from. His own position leans hard toward innovation: drawing on Matt Ridley's The Rational Optimist, he argues that 80,000 years of human progress make "it all ends now" an irrational bet, that we've innovated our way out of every prior crisis, and that de-growth—especially any talk of reducing world population—would trigger economic collapse that causes far more suffering than the problem it aims to solve. He respects Steve Keen's economic mind but argues Keen has essentially "given up," wishing we'd listened to engineers 50 years ago rather than charting a path forward now. He reframes the climate fight around tradeoffs the doom narrative ignores: citing Bjørn Lomborg's "it's real but overstated, and the solutions can be worse than the disease" framing, the roughly 140,000-plus annual heat deaths that air conditioning could prevent, and Jordan Peterson's warning about sacrificing today's actual poor for tomorrow's hypothetical poor. The conversation ranges across the East-vs-West Germany innovation contrast, a Peter Diamandis-style geoengineering thought experiment, why "politics is downstream of culture," and the host's more contested claim that climate panic often masks a desire for control and resentment—before ending on a speculative, openly-unsupported musing about the psychology behind who pushes it. A wide-ranging argument for optimism, first-principles thinking, and refusing to let "we're doomed" become the whole story.The team breaks down Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's latest move to tame rising long-term bond rates—and why the bond market is likely to keep testing him. After Bessent doubled buybacks from $2B to $4B per round (which briefly knocked yields down before they rebounded past where they started), two off-the-record Treasury officials leaked to CNBC that the Treasury General Account—the government's roughly $1-trillion checking account at the Fed—could be tapped to buy bonds en masse. The host walks through why that's a bigger deal than expected: using cash to retire long-duration bonds without issuing new supply makes the debt "evaporate," and the market has, at least for now, believed the rumor enough to push the 30-year and 10-year yields down. But he's clear about the catch: the TGA isn't a magic war chest—every dollar in it was borrowed via prior auctions, so spending it down just defers the problem and eventually requires selling more debt, pressuring the curve again. He frames the backdrop honestly: $40 trillion in debt, ~123% debt-to-GDP, climbing interest costs, Japan (the largest buyer of US debt) in trouble, China dumping Treasuries while hoarding gold, and gold overtaking the dollar as the top central-bank reserve asset. His throughline is that there's no silver bullet, only tradeoffs, and the only real fix is growing the real economy—rising middle-class wages adjusted for inflation, GDP moving from ~1.2% toward 3–4%—rather than financial engineering. Absent that, he lays out the grim menu every over-indebted empire faces: austerity, default, or inflating the currency to shrink the debt (which quietly impoverishes everyone paid or saving in dollars), and warns that another Covid-scale inflation spike without real growth is how you get to "pitchforks." The conversation closes on a lengthy, contested tangent about immigration incentive structures, the Nordic model, and social trust—with the host explicitly noting the Nordic countries themselves say they aren't socialist. A dense, sobering economics breakdown.The team breaks down the escalating US-Canada trade war after Canada walked away from a deal that would have sharply lowered tariffs on several key Canadian industries. The host argues Canada is making a serious economic miscalculation—laying out the dependency math: roughly 78% of Canadian exports rely on US consumer markets, and exports make up about 33% of Canada's GDP, versus Canada representing only around 13% of US imports and a small slice of US GDP. In his read, that asymmetry means Canada has far more to lose, and pivoting toward China—geographically distant and, as he notes, a non-market economy—is a poor substitute. He digs into what actually broke the deal per PM Mark Carney: autos, French-language and cultural protections, and, most importantly, a US demand to restrict Canada's ability to sign independent trade deals with other countries (read: China), pointing to Canada's stated goal of a 50% export increase to China by 2030, Carney's January Beijing visit, and a flurry of mutual tariff cuts (including slashing Canada's 100% EV tariff to ~6%) as evidence of a rapidly warming relationship. But the host is pointedly two-sided: he says the US had understandable strategic reasons to push for guarantees, while blasting Trump's "51st state" rhetoric and bullying public posture as counterproductive—using it as a lesson he teaches entrepreneurs about always showing the other side how a deal is a win for them, and the human psychology of how people resist being forced into even things that serve their interests. He walks through the granular US demands (auto assembly, procurement, energy allocation, language laws) and their second-order effects, and closes on a contested hypothesis that Canada may be more ideologically aligned with China than the US. A dense, numbers-driven, deliberately even-handed breakdown of leverage, strategy, and a deal gone sideways.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Investments, joined me to discuss Bitcoin's recent price surge, what's driving the rally, and what could come next for the broader crypto market. Topics: - Is Crypto back in a bull market? - SEC Regulation Crypto - Will the Clarity Act pass in September? - Grayscale Zcash ETF goes live on the NYSE Arca

Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%.This episode is sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world.This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields.Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline.Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised.Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat.Chapters:00:00 Inflation Firestorm00:37 Boatcast Setup01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored08:10 Forward Guidance Critique11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs12:46 Money Supply Matters13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets18:50 Trump Military Option20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift39:03 Boating Bubble Bust45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk56:30 Boat Ownership Reality57:09 Closing Politics PlugFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#BondMarket #FederalReserveOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Alan Dunne examine how a changing macro regime is reshaping markets and the role of trend following. They discuss unusual U.S. intervention in the yen, mounting sensitivity around Treasury yields, and questions surrounding Kevin Warsh's communication and the Fed's credibility. Alan identifies three fractures defining the new regime: persistent inflation, growing debt sustainability concerns, and the erosion of institutional norms. They also explore why trend following has performed differently this decade, particularly during periods of bond market stress, before comparing AQR and GMO's strikingly different long-term return assumptions and what they imply for portfolio construction.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Introduction and what's been on Alan's radar01:55 - Why U.S. intervention in the yen matters07:04 - Zuckerberg, Meta and the $16.68 billion question08:31 - August trend following performance and market intervention12:16 - Why CTA performance is increasingly dispersed16:08 - Kevin Warsh, the Fed balance sheet and Treasury supply18:56 - Has short-term trend following structurally degraded?22:17 - Macro narratives versus systematic positioning24:37 - Fed communication, credibility and the Warsh reaction function30:16 - Bessent, Warsh, Druckenmiller and the battle over bond yields34:23 - The three fractures reshaping the macro regime41:42 - How trend following has changed in the new regime49:54 - Commodities, deglobalization and diversification52:29 - AQR versus GMO: radically different forecasts for future returns01:02:08 - Debt sustainability and what investors should watch nextCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer

JOIN PATREON FOR EARLY UNCENSORED EPISODE RELEASES: https://www.patreon.com/JulianDorey CLIPPERS DISCORD: https://discord.gg/8QmWEKJ3BT FOLLOW JULIAN DOREY IG: https://www.instagram.com/julianddorey/ X: https://x.com/juliandorey FOLLOW JOEY DEEF IG: https://www.instagram.com/joeydeef/ X: https://x.com/TokeMalone JULIAN YT CHANNELS - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Clips YT: https://www.youtube.com/@juliandoreyclips - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Daily YT: https://www.youtube.com/@JulianDoreyDaily - SUBSCRIBE to Best of JDP: https://www.youtube.com/@bestofJDP ****TIMESTAMPS**** 00:00 - Joey Deef speaks on behalf of his fellow Chinese diaspora 1:31 - Julian thinks something will break here soon 2:28 - Deef's drone attacks 3:01 - Meta 5:02 - Bari Weiss covers up CBS Epstein Story 7:39 - Leon Black testimony coming 8:18 - Bari Weiss kamikaze bomber 9:26 - Hugh Hefner tried to expose Epstein to FBI (and they ignored him) 14:23 - The “Clout” of Epstein Files, according to British Socialite 15:54- Royal Fergie reached out to Kash Patel…in 2025 18:29 - Epstein funded Fergie's debts 20:16 - Fergie-Patel connection details 22:06 - How the Fergie Patel email went down (PURE SPEC) 25:14 - Guest Spotting in the Epstein Files 27:23 - What British Socialites do 28:32 - Kubrick's “Eyes Wide Shut” Dark Backstory & Theory 37:44 - Stanley Kubrick was tapped into another dimension 39:23 - CIA Director goes to Russia with Love 44:01 - Lindsey Graham's Afterlife 45:41 - Russia's “Human Rights Commissioner” 46:48 - “Semi-Routine” Trip to Russia amid Ukraine escalation 48:36 - Erik Prince bombing trap houses in Haiti & Hillary Clinton dance-a-thon 52:12 - CIA Galapagos Fishing Boat Drone Strikes 57:45 - The “Cool” Dictator & his relationship w/ human rights 59:10 - Christopher Nolan predicted society in Batman Trilogy 1:00:48 - Chinese cyberhack of DOJ, NASA, The Fed & US Government (DETAILS) 1:04:37 - The China-Nepal Food Disaster 1:07:08 - Meta $17.1 Billion Lawsuit settlement & New Rules for Kids Online 1:14:06 - The Slippery Slope Question & Constitutional Rights of Kids vs. Parents 1:17:36 - The 1990s AT&T Bill Precedent 1:18:56 - Flock CEO Doxxed 1:21:55 - Flock CEO Garrett Langley's Hilarious Privacy vs. Safety “Compromise” Proposal 1:26:34 - Alessi Allaman's City Council Moment vs. Flock in Florida 1:28:54 - Benn Jordan (Brilliantly) Spies on Flock 1:32:44 - The Dark Peter Thiel Ties to Flock 1:36:15 - Peter Thiel's Clavicular Ties & Deef tells Lee Cronin why Thiel is so shiny 1:38:24 - Hitting the Road CREDITS: - Host, Editor & Producer: Julian Dorey - COO, Producer & Editor: Alessi Allaman - https://www.youtube.com/@UCyLKzv5fKxGmVQg3cMJJzyQ - In-Studio Producer: Joey Deef Julian Dorey Podcast Episode 469 - Julian Dorey Music by Artlist.io Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

John reads Warsh's Jackson Hole speech as a nothing burger for Bitcoiners: a Fed chair must talk tough on inflation because signaling anything else would send inflation expectations and yields higher, while the long-run path of financial repression stays the same Warsh reported that 54% of PCE basket components rose more than 3% over the past year, called 4.1% unemployment full employment, and framed inflation as squarely the Fed's problem to solve Markets read the speech as hawkish anyway: the two-year yield rose about 12 basis points while gold and Bitcoin each gave back roughly 3.5% On last week's expanded Treasury buybacks, John points to two signals: a 30-year yield near 5.3% is clearly bothering policymakers, and the Fed has never meaningfully reduced its holdings of 10-year-plus Treasuries even during quantitative tightening, evidence that natural buyers of long-dated government paper are scarce The hosts revisit the shallowest bear market thesis they developed together on this show: a roughly 52% drawdown against 77% to 90%-plus in prior cycles, with the June low of $58,000 sitting just below the 200-week moving average before price rocketed back through it John explains why he believes the June low will hold, while framing the 50-week moving average near $82,000 as the level the market is watching to declare a new bull market Glassnode data shows 1.05 million Bitcoin of long-term holder supply with a cost basis between $83,000 and $86,000, the first heavy resistance shelf above spot, and the hosts discuss how cost basis shapes market psychology The debasement trade is back in ETF volumes, with GLD and IBIT both in the top ten most traded funds, and the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio breaking its year-long downtrend after gold's 2025 outperformance Bitcoin's long correlation with software stocks broke down in June, and John argues it was always the wrong frame, a point Lyn Alden's Wall Street Journal essay makes at length: Bitcoin is a protocol of value, not another technology stock A broad Treasury ETF has returned roughly negative 18% after inflation over fifteen years while the supply of government debt keeps expanding, the picture John says is quietly ending the era of Treasuries as the world's default store of value ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Crypto News: Bitcoin and altcoins see price pullbacks. Fed chair Kevin Warsh comes out hawkish hinting at rate hikes. Investors at least $4.7 billion underwater across Trump crypto ventures, Public Citizen says.

Behind CIA Director Ratcliffe's secret trip to Russia: The Ukraine war spirals out of control / Fed chief sets the stage for interest rate increase / El-Sayed drops his left rhetoric at Michigan rallies

Nepal says it could need up to $5 billion to rebuild after catastrophic floods killed more than 600 people. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signals the Fed may need to raise interest rates if inflation remains stubbornly high. And plastic surgeons report growing demand from men who have lost weight using GLP-1 drug.

A.M. Edition for Aug. 28. A federal judge finds the Trump administration violated Anthropic's first amendment rights by deeming it a supply-chain risk. Plus, prosecutors scale up their crackdown on insider trading on prediction markets. And as more young people opt out of even searching for entry-level roles, WSJ reporter Natasha Dangoor details the rising interest in apprenticeships on both sides of the Atlantic. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

P.M. Edition for Aug. 28. Economics correspondent Nick Timiraos reports from Jackson Hole on how investors are interpreting Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech. Plus, some of President Trump's biggest corporate donors are now cutting checks to Democrats, too. WSJ's White House reporter Annie Linskey explains how American companies are preparing for a potential Democratic comeback in November. And WSJ's global energy reporter Collin Eaton unpacks how Chevron and other U.S. energy companies are closing in on deals worth billions to expand in Venezuela's oil fields. Sabrina Siddiqui hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Our Head of U.S. Public Policy Research Ariana Salvatore looks at what the midterms may reveal about politician's appetite for tackling the faster-than-expected increase in the U.S. debt.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Ariana Salvatore: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Ariana Salvatore, Head of U.S. Public Policy Research at Morgan Stanley. Today, why fiscal is back in focus and what we can learn about the broader debt trajectory from the upcoming midterm elections. It's Friday, August 28th at 10am in New York. Fiscal policy has moved back onto investors' radars following Treasury's recent buyback announcements. Those came in the same week that total U.S. debt crossed $ 40 trillion for the first time, a milestone that arrived months earlier than most people expected. As my colleague Andrew Sheets puts it, that's a big number. But the more useful question isn't the number itself. It's whether all this debt is starting to act as a brake on the economy.We don't quite yet see a credibility problem in the Treasury market, but that's exactly why fiscal is back in the conversation. And it sits against a bigger backdrop. The U.S. continues to run large deficits in an economy that isn't in a recession. Our economists expect the deficit to stay around 6 percent of GDP through 2027. And voters are clearly concerned about elevated debt levels. So why isn't fiscal austerity coming up more in DC? Simply put, we think the political incentives point the other direction. At the risk of oversimplifying, fiscal consolidation or deficit reduction means either less spending or more taxes. And the political costs of those choices land immediately. We think neither party, therefore, has the incentive to take on that type of policy change – if we don't see a meaningful cliff or a risk to existing programs, especially into an election. But what about after? We think the midterms won't in and of themselves be a catalyst to fix the debt trajectory. But they can tell us something about where this goes next. And I'd point to two things in particular. The first is Social Security. It's not likely to be the headline issue in November, but we could see a useful test case for the debt conversation more broadly because the deadline is creeping closer. The latest trustees report projects the retirement trust fund will become insolvent in the fourth quarter of 2032. And at that point, it could only cover roughly 78 percent of scheduled benefits without a change in law. Now, that's likely to matter more in 2028 than in this cycle, since whoever wins the White House that year will be in office when it hits. But the midterms can still show us where the politics are consolidating. Recent polling points to a fairly consistent pattern. Voters want lawmakers to act. They prefer raising taxes on high earners over broader benefit cuts. And they're notably more open to trimming benefits when it's targeted at the top of the income distribution. That likely explains why a number of 2026 candidates have converged on lifting the payroll tax cap, while some Republicans have largely retreated from campaigning on things like a higher retirement age. Watching which of those messages actually wins, especially in Senate races like New Hampshire or Maine, where a significant share of the electorate depends on these benefits, could provide some useful hints with respect to which of these policy changes actually resonate with voters and end up reflecting the eventual fix. The second is the broader fiscal landscape after the election. If we get a divided government in November, that typically means more fiscal noise around the recurring deadlines, like government funding and the debt ceiling. Those two matter for markets in very different ways. A shutdown's bigger effect tends to be indirect. So, think delayed or lower quality government data since agencies can end up working from smaller survey samples. That leaves investors and the Fed making decisions with less complete information for weeks at a stretch sometimes. The debt ceiling is more direct. That shows up most clearly in the Treasury bill market. Bills maturing around a potential deadline tend to cheapen relative to other short-term benchmarks as investors have to price default risk into that narrow window. And that's the case even when a resolution is still the base case. So, here's the through line: fiscal likely isn't about to become Washington's top priority just because debt crossed $40 trillion. But the midterms are a chance to see whether the political incentives are starting to shift – on Social Security specifically, and on the broader appetite for political fights around funding deadlines more generally. Either way, we think fiscal policy is set to stay in the headlines in the years to come. And especially so as we head into the 2028 presidential election season. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen. And share your Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Discover what Fed Chairman Warsh is signaling to investors. The investment landscape may be changing, and understanding what the Fed is signaling could help you recognize both the risks and the opportunities ahead. Are you on track for financial freedom...or not? Financial freedom is a combination of money, compounding and time (my McT Formula). How well you invest can make the biggest difference to your financial freedom and lifestyle. If you invested well for the long-term, what a difference it would make because the difference between investing $100k and earning 5 percent or 10 percent on your money over 30 years, is the difference between it growing to $432,194 or $1,744,940, an increase of over $1.3 million dollars. Your compounding rate, and how well you invest, matters!  INVESTING IS WHAT THE BE WEALTHY & SMART VIP EXPERIENCE IS ALL ABOUT - Invest in digital assets and stock ETFs for potential high compounding rates - Receive an Asset Allocation model with ticker symbols and what % to invest -Monthly LIVE investment webinars with Linda 10 months per year, with Q & A -Private VIP Facebook group with daily community interaction -Weekly investment commentary -Extra educational wealth classes available -Pay once, have lifetime access! NO recurring membership fees. -US and foreign investors are welcome -No minimum $ amount to invest -Tech Team available for digital assets (for hire per hour) For a limited time, enjoy a 50% savings on my private investing group, the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Pay once and enjoy lifetime access without any additional recurring fees. Pay once and you're done! Invest with our successful community for years to come. Enter "SAVE50" to save 50% here: http://tinyurl.com/InvestingVIP Or set up a complimentary conversation to answer your questions about the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Request an appointment to talk with Linda here: https://tinyurl.com/TalkWithLinda (yes, you talk to Linda!). SUBSCRIBE TO BE WEALTHY & SMART Click Here to Subscribe Via iTunes Click Here to Subscribe Via Stitcher on an Android Device Click Here to Subscribe Via RSS Feed LINDA'S WEALTH BOOKS 1. Get my book, "3 Steps to Quantum Wealth: The Wealth Heiress' Guide to Financial Freedom by Investing in Cryptocurrencies". 2. Get my book, "You're Already a Wealth Heiress, Now Think and Act Like One: 6 Practical Steps to Make It a Reality Now!" Men love it too! After all, you are Wealth Heirs. :) International buyers (if you live outside of the US) get my book here. WANT MORE FROM LINDA? Check out her programs. Join her on Instagram. WEALTH LIBRARY OF PODCASTS Listen to the full wealth library of podcasts from the beginning.  SPECIAL DEALS #Ad Apply for a Gemini credit card and get FREE XRP back (or any crypto you choose) when you use the card. Charge $3000 in first 90 days and earn $200 in crypto rewards when you use this link to apply and are approved: https://tinyurl.com/geminixrp This is a credit card, NOT a debit card. There are great rewards. Set your choice to EARN FREE XRP! #Ad Protect yourself online with a Virtual Private Network (VPN). Get 3 MONTHS FREE when you sign up for a NORD VPN plan here.  #Ad To safely and securely store crypto, I recommend using a Tangem wallet. Get a 10% discount when you purchase here. #Ad If you are looking to simplify your crypto tax reporting, use Koinly. It is highly recommended and so easy for tax reporting. You can save $20, click here. Be Wealthy & Smart,™ is a personal finance show with self-made millionaire Linda P. Jones, America's Wealth Mentor.™ Learn simple steps that make a big difference to your financial freedom.  (This post contains affiliate links. If you click on a link and make a purchase, I may receive a commission. There is no additional cost to you.)  

PODCAST LAS NOTICIAS CON CALLE 28 de agosto de 2026 - EEUU negocia quedarse con una tajada "masiva" del petróleo de Venezuela, Venezuela negocia quedarse con 90 mil millones de barriles de petróleo y que Venezuela salga de la OPEP Ayuda federal tardaría hasta un año por sequía y desastre federal - El Vocero Crisis de agua inunda la línea PAS - El Vocero Un momento para WindMar Home — la empresa con más de 20 años protegiendo los hogares puertorriqueños.Solar para bajar tu factura. Techo para proteger tu inversión. Agua para que nunca te quedes sin — especialmente con las sequía. Y batería para total independencia energética.Todo bajo una misma empresa. Un solo llamado. Llama al 787-489-1155 o visita windmarhome.comWindMar Home — los que se preparan hoy , duermen tranquilos mañana.#windmarhome #windmarhome #incluyeauspicioCorrección admite que no hay razón para cancelar contrato ordenado por la gobernadora cancelar y debe 112 millones a empleados en retroactivo - El Nuevo Día Tormenta Dolly sigue camino hacia acá para lunes - NHCSolX cesantea ~200 en Aguadilla tras suplidos no poder entregar materiales - Jay FEmbalses al borde: Carraízo en 37.27m, a 26 cm del nivel de "control" (37.00m); La Plata bajó 11 cm a 45.05m; 14 de 19 embalses reportaron bajas. 180,000 abonados en racionamiento de 48 horas - El Vocero Yanira Raíces incumplía requisitos desde 1999, por eso pide distinción especial - El Nuevo Día Jefe de DACO plantea correr para alcalde de Cataño y tiene comité para político mientras es secretario - El Nuevo DíaRegresa SuperPAC Democracia es Prosperidad - El Nuevo Día Norma Burgos pide break al Senado para entregar datos de los últimos días de Domenech y García Posible cirugía Tommy John para Fernando Cruz Boston Scientific sufre ciberataque global, afectó su capacidad de procesar y enviar pedidos; reportado a la SECFederación agrícola en quiebra - El Nuevo Día Trump renombra Lago Ontario "Lake America":7 de 14 unidades de respuesta rápida fuera de servicio, se las compramos a los dueños de Genera y no sirven, Negociado dice que va a investigar - El Nuevo Día Escala la pelea con Canadá, Trump impuso aranceles de 50% a una batería de productos canadienses; Canadá respondió con 50% al alambre de cobre, madera y carbón vegetal gringos, y ofreció C$504M para atraer a 64 científicos estadounidenses - Bloomberg Hoy el jefe de la FED da su primer discurso Jackson Hole a las 10 Nvidia, imparable. $60 billones de ganancia trimestral, esto es algo nunca antes visto Lilly logra que aprueben Mounjaro para condiciones cardíacas - Bloomberg Irán cumple 6 meses de guerra. Hormuz "reabre" y el crudo se estabiliza, pero el diésel en EEUU sigue a $5.65 el galón250+ negocios piden alivio de hasta $10,000 a Turismo, 254 solicitudes de las 450-500 estimadas - El Nuevo Día Trump vs. Canadá. Aranceles de 50%, Canadá responde, y Trump renombra el Lago Ontario "Lake AmericaLOS DATOS DEL DÍABrent: $87.65/barril  Diésel EEUU (retail): $5.65/galón (+19.8¢ en la semana)  ·  S&P 500: 7,730.99 (+0.7%)  ·  Dow: 53,569.44 (+0.2%)  ·  Nasdaq: 26,541.35 (+1.6%)Bono 10 años: 4.67%  ·  Euro/USD: 1.1656  ·  Gas natural (Henry Hub): ~$3.00/MMBtu (Europa en máximos de 3 años)  ·  Hipoteca 30 años: 6.66%  ·  Oro: mineras +43% en agosto

How did Bitcoin react to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech? Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote today, and crypto traders are watching for whether the Fed will back the Treasury's plan to cap long-term borrowing costs. Bitcoin has climbed from $64,000 to $80,000 in a week on those expectations — a dovish signal could extend the rally, while a push for Fed independence could send it lower. CoinDesk's Uyen Truong hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Find out more at⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ realfi.co⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. - This episode was hosted by Uyen Truong. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.

A federal judge was not moved by President Donald Trump's latest effort to move his hush money case to federal court. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh outlined his biggest concern at the Fed's annual economic symposium. A water crisis is roiling Puerto Rico. We explain how a measles outbreak in Pennsylvania's Amish country got out of hand. And crowds at the 2026 March on Washington rallied for voting rights ahead of the midterms.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Plus: Regulators expand their crackdown on prediction markets. And Nvidia hits pause on some revenue-sharing deals with AI cloud companies. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aug 28, 2026 – Nvidia and Marvell reveal AI's next phase, software stages a comeback after the "SaaS apocalypse," and a hawkish Warsh puts a Fed hike back on the table. Ryan Puplava breaks down where growth, value, and rate risk collide for investors...

Aug 27, 2026 – As frontier AI models converge on near-identical performance, Coeus Institute's Michai Morin argues the industry's defining battle is shifting from intelligence to economics—and the West may be losing. In a wide-ranging interview...

Stripe Chief Economist Ernie Tedeschi joins the Inside Economics team to separate the signal from the noise in a busy week for the economy and financial markets. The group discusses Kevin Warsh's recent speech and the market's reaction, unpacks the latest PCE inflation data and what it means for the Fed, and explores the remarkable surge in business formations. Are more Americans becoming entrepreneurs because of shifts in how firms are organized, or is technology making it easier than ever to launch and run a business? Ernie shares insights on the rise of solopreneurs and what it could mean for the future of work, productivity, and economic growth. Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Download the “65 Investment Terms You MUST Know to Reach Your Financial Goals” for FREE by going to https://TodaysMarketExplained.com/  In this episode of Today's Market Explained, Brian Kasal and Chris Reardon analyze the key drivers behind current market movements across asset classes, sector performance, and broader economic indicators. From energy's massive 43.71% year-to-date surge to gold hitting historic record highs above $4,400, they explore where market strength lies, how inflation is weighing heavily on consumer sentiment, and what to expect from upcoming Fed policy decisions.

Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendarEmail us at info@remnantfinance.com or visit https://remnantfinance.com for more informationFOLLOW REMNANT FINANCEYoutube: @RemnantFinance (https://www.youtube.com/@RemnantFinance)Facebook: @remnantfinance (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560694316588)Twitter: @remnantfinance (https://x.com/remnantfinance)TikTok: @RemnantFinanceDon't forget to hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBEIn 1933, a Harvard-trained lawyer walked into Chase National Bank with signed receipts for twenty-seven numbered bars of gold and was told he could not have them. Two days after he sued, a federal grand jury indicted him. He never got the gold back. Hans opens with an update on Brian, who may be home temporarily in September or October but likely stays on active duty orders, then turns to the Treasury's announcement that it is doubling its long end buyback operations from two billion to four billion. The dollar figure is a rounding error against forty trillion in debt. The signal is not, and it is the same move Scott Bessent spent the last two years criticizing Janet Yellen for making.Chapters 00:00 – Opening segment 02:20 – No end in sight and why nobody negotiates with America anymore 06:35 – Reading the macro tape without becoming a permabear 07:55 – The Treasury doubles its long end buybacks 09:15 – The economic equivalent of no new foreign wars 11:50 – Where Hans actually sits on the political spectrum13:10 – Two billion to four billion: the substance of the move 14:05 – Bills, notes, and bonds, and why the distinction matters here 16:35 – Off-the-run long bonds and a disorderly long end 17:35 – What they are buying and what is paying for it 19:00 – One leg of QE, not the money printing leg 20:15 – Yellen's trillion dollar mistake and the two percent mortgage analogy 22:40 – Bessent criticized this exact move, then made it 23:55 – Yield curve control and how far away it actually is 24:25 – Intervening into a record high market with no visible fever 26:00 – The debasement trade and the stock market as pressure release valve 28:30 – The yen intervention and why Japan matters 29:15 – The repo facility and keeping Treasuries out of foreign hands 32:20 – What all three moves have in common 33:30 – Hormuz closed, oil creeping, and an empty petroleum reserve 36:45 – Japan as the roadmap for where this road ends 37:50 – Homeschooling, wristbands, and the safe and inclusive playground 43:35 – Frederick Barber Campbell walks into Chase National Bank 46:05 – The lawsuit, the indictment, and the demurrer 49:50 – When a dollar was a bearer claim on gold 51:55 – Benjamin Strong, the Bank of England, and the boom that had to bust 53:10 – How the Fed was sold to America in 1913 55:50 – Nine thousand banks fail and the money supply drops a third 58:50 – The Fed as an instrument of extraction 01:00:35 – Where America sits in the line, and the prison hierarchy analogy 01:03:50 – Hamilton, specie, and the principle of productive credit 01:06:05 – The bank holiday and the Emergency Banking Act 01:07:45 – Five words added to the Trading with the Enemy Act 01:10:20 – Executive Order 6102 defines hoarding as owning 01:16:20 – The markup from twenty dollars to thirty-five 01:17:35 – The Gold Reserve Act and the Exchange Stabilization Fund 01:18:35 – Marriner Eccles and the fight over the lever of power 01:21:25 – Carter Glass fights the bill he made possible 01:22:30 – The FOMC is created and open market operations take over 01:24:45 – Killing the regional discount rate and the governor it provided 01:27:30 – Half a Keynesian equation with no brakes on the other sideKey TakeawaysThe size of the buyback is not the story. Doubling from two billion to four billion per operation is meaningless against forty trillion in debt. What matters is that the Treasury told the market, in a public press release, that it will step in and buy the long end when demand thins out. 

Lawmakers and civil rights activists speak at the March on Washington's 63rd anniversary, with the theme "Defend the Vote"; Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh gives his first speech at the Fed's economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, saying inflation is still too high, suggesting interest rate cuts may be coming. We will hear from the Chair and talk with Washington Post's Global Economics Correspondent David Lynch (17); U.S. war with Iran is six months old today. We will talk with Elise Labott, author "Cosmopolitics" Substack newsletter about the state of the conflict, strategy on each side, and what may come next (36); President Donald Trump visits the Johnson Space Center in Houston, Texas to award medals to the Artemis II crew, discuss plans for future space exploration and to announce the creation of a new U.S. Space Force Academy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In his first speech at Jackson Hole as Federal Reserve chairman, Kevin Warsh said that while inflation readings had looked better than expected over the summer, they did not show that the current picture had “meaningfully improved”. The new Fed boss stressed that his remarks should not be treated as a guide to future interest rate decisions, but his comments suggest rates could be raised if policymakers believe inflation is too high. The latest figures showed prices rose 3.4% in the year to July, above the Fed's 2% target. And more than 80 British actors and vocal artists are calling for stronger legal protection against AI clones of their voices. They've signed an open letter calling on the Prime Minister to give everyone in the UK a legal right to own their voice.

Bitcoin got as high as roughly $81,300 overnight and still couldn't maintain $80K. The battle is getting clearer. ETF demand remains strong, with another $242 million entering U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs Thursday and roughly $3 billion arriving during nine consecutive positive sessions, but traders keep taking profits above $80K. The real breakout probably requires Bitcoin to turn $80K into support and then clear roughly $81K-$83K.The biggest macro catalyst today is Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole. Treasury yields are still elevated, inflation remains uncomfortable, and markets are even considering whether the Fed may have to raise rates again. A hawkish Warsh could strengthen the dollar and yields and make Bitcoin's $80K problem worse. A more balanced Warsh could give ETF buyers another opportunity to push through.And then there's SanDisk, which may be one of the craziest stock stories of the AI boom. The stock is up more than 500% this year, but there is a real business transformation behind it: annual revenue rose 175%, data-center revenue surged 437%, Q4 gross margins reached nearly 85%, NAND prices exploded, and AI companies are consuming memory faster than manufacturers can supply it. The risk is that memory is still cyclical. SanDisk's run continues as long as AI demand and memory shortages remain stronger than new supply.Happy HODLing. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

MRKT Matrix - Friday, August 28th Fed's Warsh: Interest rate increases in play if inflation doesn't fall (Axios) September Fed decision is now a coin flip as rate hike odds increase post Warsh (CNBC) Goldman Says Hormuz Oil Flows at Two-Thirds of Pre-War Levels (Bloomberg) Blue-Collar Jobs Are the New Flashpoint in Data-Center Fight (WSJ) The housing market's fragile place (Axios) SpaceX considered as a leasing company (FT) Nvidia Pauses Revenue-Sharing Deals With AI Cloud Companies (WSJ) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://riskreversal.substack.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs

Another trading week is in the books... And today, we may have gotten our clearest look yet at how Kevin Warsh intends to run the Federal Reserve. In his first Jackson Hole keynote as Fed Chairman, Warsh delivered a message Wall Street had been waiting for—giving investors important insight into how he views inflation, interest rates, employment, artificial intelligence and the future direction of monetary policy. And there was one message that came through loud and clear: The fight against inflation isn't over. Warsh reiterated that the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation objective is a firm target, pushed back against the idea that recent softer inflation readings necessarily represent a meaningful change in trend, and warned that if inflation isn't moving toward that objective quickly enough... The Fed still has "work to do." Markets immediately took notice. Treasury yields moved higher, the dollar strengthened, and expectations for another potential interest-rate hike increased as traders digested what Warsh's comments could mean for the September FOMC meeting. But today's speech went much deeper than simply "rates up or rates down." We'll break down: Warsh's inflation warning – Why price stability appears to be the Fed's predominant concern right now Interest rates – Did Warsh just open the door wider to another rate hike? The labor market – Why Warsh doesn't appear convinced that softer employment data automatically means the economy is weakening The death of forward guidance? – Warsh wants a "quieter Fed" that spends less time telling Wall Street what it intends to do next AI and productivity – Why artificial intelligence could dramatically alter economic growth, employment and ultimately monetary policy The bond market – What today's move in Treasury yields tells us about how investors interpreted the speech Stocks & risk assets – What a potentially more hawkish Federal Reserve could mean for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, technology and crypto September's FOMC meeting – What traders should be watching between now and the next rate decision One of the most fascinating parts of Warsh's message may be his philosophy toward the relationship between the Federal Reserve and Wall Street. For years, traders have parsed every Fed speech looking for clues about the central bank's next move. Warsh appears to want to change that. His argument is essentially that markets shouldn't be constantly looking to the Federal Reserve for their next trade. That's a significant philosophical shift. Less forward guidance. More dependence on actual economic data. And potentially a lot more uncertainty for traders. That's why today's Jackson Hole speech could ultimately prove much more important than one interest-rate decision. It gave us a glimpse into the Warsh Federal Reserve playbook. For additional research, read Kevin Warsh's official Jackson Hole remarks and visit the Federal Reserve's FOMC page for upcoming monetary-policy decisions. Listen now:

On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the Jackson Hole summit and what Fed Chair Kevin Warsh needs to do at this meeting. Related to this episode: Fed hawks are on the war path, sending mortgage rates higher HousingWire | YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ HousingWire Mortgage Banking Summit – October 1 More info about HousingWire Top 5 Trending: Ryan Serhant doesn't want to buy your brokerage. He wants your agents Mortgage lenders weigh AI, alternative data and credit models The Iran conflict's impact on housing demand Lisa Cook's lawyer says Trump lacks legal basis to remove Fed governor REMAX co-founder Gail Liniger dies at 81 Want more from Sarah? Don't forget to subscribe! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate.

This episode of On Investing looks at a market environment increasingly shaped by persistent inflation, rising long-term Treasury yields, fiscal concerns, and renewed trade tensions. Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin begin by discussing the latest inflation data, which continues to show price pressures well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While wage growth is not driving inflation, they highlight several other forces keeping inflation elevated, including energy prices, tariffs, and the massive investment required to support the AI boom. The conversation then turns to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's efforts to influence long-term interest rates after yields surged. Collin argues that Bessent's actions are understandable given concerns about mortgage rates and borrowing costs, but he views them as a short-term response to a much deeper issue: the nation's growing debt burden and ongoing fiscal deficits. Both hosts suggest that attempts to manage yields address the symptoms rather than the underlying causes. They also explore the potential tension this creates with the Federal Reserve, which may prefer tighter financial conditions to combat inflation. The episode closes with a look ahead to the Fed's Jackson Hole conference, upcoming labor market reports, purchasing manager surveys, and other economic data that could shape expectations for both growth and Fed policy. You can read the report Liz Ann mentions here: "Great Moderation Era: Drift(ing) Away." On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Investing in alternative investments is speculative, not suitable for all clients, and generally intended for experienced and sophisticated investors who are willing and able to bear the high economic risks of the investment. Investors should obtain and carefully read the related prospectus or offering memorandum, which will contain the information needed to help evaluate the potential investment and provide important disclosures regarding risks, fees and expenses. Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see Schwab.com/IndexDefinitions Negative correlation refers to investments that tend to move in opposite directions: when one rises, the other falls. (0826-1AXY) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

US equity futures are modestly lower. European equities are higher, while Asian markets ended mostly firmer. Focus is on Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech amid uncertainty over the Fed's reaction function and the implications of recent Treasury buybacks. Markets are also watching the Strait of Hormuz, where there is still no concrete progress on reopening despite reports of an Iran-Oman agreement on revenue sharing. Iran is preparing conditions for reopening the Strait, while the US has rejected a return to June's MoU and continues to favor economic pressure. There are thoughts that US efforts in shuttling crude through the Strait is helping to cap oil prices.Companies Mentioned: Anthropic, NVIDIA, PayPal

The economy is strong, prices are still too high, and the job market is sending mixed signals. The Federal Reserve is navigating all of it while fending off the most overt political pressure in its modern history. Austan Goolsbee, President of the Chicago Fed, joins Rapid Response ahead of the Central Bank's highly-watched meeting in Jackson Hole, to give his most candid read on what's actually going on. He explains why tariffs, war in the Middle East, and six years above the 2% inflation target make this the most dangerous inflation environment he's seen, what Kevin Warsh's new leadership means for how the Fed operates, and why he's a "grim optimist" on AI even as the hype keeps outrunning the results. Plus, what business leaders should actually be watching to get ahead of the Fed's next move.Visit the Rapid Response website here: https://www.rapidresponseshow.com/See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

A.M. Edition for Aug. 26. A bullish AI forecast from Nvidia lifts markets. And despite blockbuster growth and revenue forecasts, IG Markets' Chris Beauchamp says Nvidia still has more room to run. Plus, Fed chairman Kevin Warsh has so far kept his views on interest rates to himself. But investors hope that's about to change. And, WSJ's Tripti Lahiri brings us the latest from the devastating floods in Nepal and China. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Investors are keeping a close eye on Jackson Hole for signals on the economic outlook and the path for rates. Our Chief U.S. economist Michael Gapen joins Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach to discuss whether markets get what they want—or what the Fed needs.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Matt Hornbach: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy at Morgan Stanley. Michael Gapen: And I'm Michael Gapen, Chief U.S. Economist. Matt Hornbach: Today, we'll be discussing the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium and Chairman Warsh's opening remarks. It's Thursday, August 27th at 10am in New York. So, Mike, let's get right into it and talk about the upcoming opening remarks by Chairman Warsh at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that will be delivered to the public at 10 am tomorrow, Friday. How are you thinking about what to expect from those opening remarks? Michael Gapen: Well, historically, and by historically, I mean in a post-2008-2009 world, Jackson Hole has been used, not every year, but frequently as a venue to communicate to markets. The longest gap on the Fed's meeting calendar is between the July and September meetings. So, Jackson Hole falls between that and provides a useful opportunity to communicate what might be coming. That's what's normally been done. Warsh has repeatedly stated he wants the Fed to talk less and communicate less and say less. So, I don't think we will see or hear, in this case, a lot about his views about how the economy is operating today and how monetary policy may be conducted into year-end. So, I don't think we'll hear a lot about, say, the December; the outlook for the economy from September to December, and what it might imply for interest rate policy or balance sheet policy. So, little in the way of near-term forward guidance. I do think, however, he did say in the July press conference that the venue would be good to tackle some of these big questions that he has talked about, that he's created these task forces for. So, whether it is the balance sheet or the inflation framework, or communication or AI and productivity or data quality and so forth. This would provide, I think, a reasonable opportunity for him to start talking about that. I don't think maybe we'll get a lot of conclusions. But I would look for commentary that's more in the question; or in the spirit of those big questions and less about the near-term conduct of policy.So maybe not what markets want, but this is what markets will get. Matt Hornbach: Just rewinding a bit, the conference itself is on a somewhat of a niche topic. What exactly is the conference about? And, in terms of the papers that get released at the conference, do you have any sense as to where they might be headed? Michael Gapen: So, the topic of this conference, the economic symposium, as you noted, is Financial Innovation: [its] Implications for [the] Payments [system] and [monetary] Policy. So, I would expect there to be a lot of sessions for things like central bank digital currencies or stable coins or Bitcoins. Near money type innovation that has happened in recent years, which leads to things like competition for deposits from the non-financial sector vis-a-vis the financial sector. So, a competition of near moneyness to money, if you will. Its implications for the interaction between the non-financial system and the financial system, competition for deposits. Does it create risks around financial disintermediation? And therefore, how might the regulatory environment and monetary policy work in that world? So little more, I'll call it, esoteric and maybe arm's length from the day-to-day conduct of policy. But I would look at the speeches probably in that vein. Deposit competition, financial market stability, and what kind of regulatory framework might you need to ensure we can still conduct policy effectively in that world. Matt Hornbach: Sounds like an exciting set of papers… Michael Gapen: Yes. Yes. Matt Hornbach: … for professors to read through. Michael Gapen: This is why they don't often leak the schedule too far in advance, right? We all might decide not to listen. Matt Hornbach: Indeed. Well, it is the end of August, and people are probably still on holiday here and there… Michael Gapen: I'm doing my best, but you called me in today. Matt Hornbach: Yeah, the least I could do. So, you did mention that this might be an opportunity for Chairman Warsh to maybe spotlight a bit these task forces and the topics that they're tackling, one of which is the inflation framework. And that word framework, I think, is important because the investors that we've been speaking with are frustrated that the Fed has not really laid out a framework – for monetary policymaking in this new era of Chairman Warsh, and his leadership at the Fed. So, I'm curious, if we're not going to get forward guidance on monetary policy and what will happen at the next meeting. And we're also not going to get much forward guidance on the framework that the Fed is using to decide on what to do with short-term interest rates. What are we meant to think about the framework? Michael Gapen: Yeah, I think ultimately, of course, we're going to need to know this, and this is what economists would refer to as the ‘difference between forward guidance and the "reaction function." So, the framework is really, you've got a set of tools, how do you intend to use them to achieve your objectives? A conventional Fed would say, "Well, if interest rates are low and inflation's too high, then we should raise rates," right? So high inflation brings high interest rates, low inflation brings low interest rates. All else equal, there's still the employment side of the mandate, of course. And the market had that view, at least initially, right? As we were in the June-July period and Warsh was talking hawkishly, the curve generally flattened. Expectations for front-end yields moved higher, and inflation-fighting credibility maybe kept the back end stable or brought the back end down. So, you could argue the markets looked at Warsh as maybe bringing a conventional reaction function and a conventional framework. But in the June and July FOMC meeting and in conversations with the press during the press conferences, Warsh – I don't want to say backtracked. He just didn't validate that and did say that we will achieve price stability. Didn't quite say how he would use the tools to do that. And even suggested maybe interest rates weren't the primary mechanism with which to influence, create, deliver price stability. So, the curve then steepened out. So, I think the market is wondering what Fed chair we have and what his reaction function is? And if inflation's running hot, is it an interest rate answer or is it a balance sheet answer? I'd also just add one last thing, Matt, is it makes a difference what the rest of the 18 people on the FOMC think. [Be]cause I think you would agree, and I'll put forward right now, I think they have a largely conventional view. Half of the committee thought it was time to raise rates in June. So, we have a balance between not knowing the chair's framework and having to intuit it. Or hope that we hear more. But then also knowing the other 18 who could band together and have greater voting power act in a largely conventional framework. I think that's the debate and the dilemma that we're all dealing with. Matt Hornbach: Yeah, I think investors, have certainly expressed frustration about the lack of guidance in any form or fashion. Perhaps with the exception of the balance sheet; we have a general idea that the balance sheet will be smaller in the future. And we have a sense from what Chairman Warsh has said in front of the House of Representatives during his semi-annual testimony that any changes would happen gradually over time. But, in terms of the pricing of the July meeting, and what happened at the July meeting, investors were very disappointed that the Fed did not go ahead and raise rates in July. Now, the market was only assigning about a one in three odds of a rate hike in July. And so, the fact that the Fed did not go ahead and raise interest rates in July was not a surprise in the sense of market pricing. But I do sense that investors were frustrated; that because they didn't get much forward guidance going into the July meeting, that the market might not have priced more probability on a July rate hike because the Fed, in fact, did not signal that they were leaning in that direction. But I see it as somewhat ironic because it seems to me, and I'd like to get your view on this. It seems to me that Chairman Warsh doesn't want to provide that type of specificity. He'd rather have the markets tell him what to do at an upcoming meeting, as opposed to him telling markets what to do at an upcoming meeting. How do you think about that? Michael Gapen: Oh, I think it's… [It] strains credibility to think that by saying nothing, you get the market's interpretation of the economy, data, and events – without the market thinking what the Fed thinks about it. I don't think that there's a world where you get the unvarnished market expectation independent of the Fed. So, I don't personally agree in the analogy of the market should play the ball and not the referee. The Fed is not a referee in markets. The Fed is a player in markets. Monetary policy acts through financial markets to achieve a set of financial conditions to deliver price stability and maximum employment. So, the Fed and markets are on the field at the same time. The Fed, in some ways, is the 800-pound gorilla on the field at the same time. So, everybody else on the field has to know what the gorilla is doing in order to do what they're supposed to do. Yes, there's always some circularity between Fed communication and market reaction to that. But I think that's natural and normal and important in making monetary policy effective – meaning it has to transmit through financial markets. And so, you could diminish the effectiveness of monetary policy if you don't tell the market what, at least what your framework is and what your reaction function is. And the tools that you intend to use and how you would intend to use them. Then the market could be an inefficient transmitter of monetary policy. So, I disagree with the notion that by saying less, the Fed learns more. But that's my view. I'm one of many. That's my opinion. The chair obviously has a different view. Matt Hornbach: Well, I can certainly understand not wanting to be the referee, especially after what we saw at the World Cup. There were a couple of games where the referee… Michael Gapen: And nobody likes the referee. At least half the people are upset with the referee. Matt Hornbach: Indeed. Okay. So, Mike, I think we're going to leave it there. Michael Gapen: Thanks for having me on, Matt. Matt Hornbach: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

The Fed just trapped the housing market. And this time, the trap has almost nothing to do with whether Kevin Warsh cuts rates by a quarter point. The real problem is that American housing is now caught between inflation, global conflict, the dollar, and a Treasury market that the Fed does not completely control.On this episode of Investing in Real Estate, you're going to learn about how the Federal Reserve is trying to manage inflation, the dollar, government debt, and the confidence of the entire global financial system – and why the housing market is trapped in the middle.

Scott Bessent just called gold a sanctionable asset — the first time the Treasury has said that since 1971 — while Trump simultaneously classified gold as a strategic mineral and the Treasury bought back $4 billion in long-term bonds in what Tony Arterburn of Wise Wolf Gold calls a roundabout QE the Fed didn't authorize. Gold has moved from $4,000 to $4,600 in 60 days, silver is back near $70, and the Volcker option that stopped the last gold spike is off the table: U.S. debt-to-GDP is at 144%, and quintupling interest payments to fight inflation would make debt service larger than Social Security and defense combined. Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-david-knight-show--2653468/support.

Pierre Rochard, CEO of The Bitcoin Bond Company, joins Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook to unpack the narratives driving crypto markets heading into Q4. From his 80K year-end price target to his rebuttal of Mark Cuban's "chips are the new crypto" take, Pierre breaks down why Bitcoin's scarcity story remains intact and why miners pivoting to AI could actually be a tailwind for Bitcoin price. Plus, Bullish's new Head of Tokenization joins to unpack what it means to be the first regulated exchange to trade tokenized equity. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Pierre Rochard Joins Markets Outlook 00:56 - Watching the Fed and Treasury 02:14 - Pierre's Bitcoin Price Target 02:24 - Responding to Mark Cuban: Chips vs. Bitcoin 06:01 - Why Cuban May Have Latched Onto the Wrong Narrative 07:25 - Will Retail Come Back to Bitcoin? 09:24 - Brand New Rails: Bullish Launches Tokenized Equity Trading 12:02 - Self-Custody vs. Exchanges Post-ColdCard 13:42 - The Best Ways to Get Bitcoin Exposure 15:32 - Bitcoin Miners Pivoting to AI 17:21 - Why Miners Leaving Is Actually Bullish for Bitcoin - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. RealFi is launching August 2026. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

Scott Bessent just called gold a sanctionable asset — the first time the Treasury has said that since 1971 — while Trump simultaneously classified gold as a strategic mineral and the Treasury bought back $4 billion in long-term bonds in what Tony Arterburn of Wise Wolf Gold calls a roundabout QE the Fed didn't authorize. Gold has moved from $4,000 to $4,600 in 60 days, silver is back near $70, and the Volcker option that stopped the last gold spike is off the table: U.S. debt-to-GDP is at 144%, and quintupling interest payments to fight inflation would make debt service larger than Social Security and defense combined. Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-real-david-knight-show--5282736/support.

Another month, another PCE report that put annual core inflation meaningfully above the Fed's 2% target. The central bank has been fighting high inflation for more than five years now. At a certain point, you might start to wonder, does the Fed even have the power to fix it? Also in this episode: Consumer confidence falls, transportation durable goods orders tick up, and Arizona's Great Recession-era bid to save the state budget offers insight into how AI might change our tax structure.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Inflation is stuck above 2%. Can the Fed really do anything about it?Consumers are pessimistic about the next six monthsHow Arizona's "Capitol-ism" points to a potential tax fix for the AI ageWhat's driving an increase in orders for transportation equipment?Running a historic motel off Route 66 is no easy pursuitThe Gila River Indian Community "walks the walk" on water conservation