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The Patriotically Correct Radio Show with Stew Peters | #PCRadio
Frankie Stockes fills in for Stew Peters and takes aim at the door. Citizens subversive in political parasites, committed to the destruction of the republic Western civilization has been infected by a parasitic invasion of foreign ideals and values that have been introduced into our culture by strange and morally degenerate people whose goal is world domination. We have been OCCUPIED. Watch the film NOW! https://stewpeters.com/occupied/
The stock market experienced a massive reversal after Nvidia announced another blowout earnings report.Nvidia, the S&P and the Nasdaq all shot higher at first...but then gravity took over.On Thursday, Nvidia opened up nearly +6% but then fell to close the day down more than -3%. The major indices closed in the red, as well.Wall Street had pinned its hopes on Nvidia jump-starting the market back into rally mode. That clearly didn't happen.Does this mark a turning point?Where guidance, no matter how fantastic, can muster the buying frenzy that we've seen for years now in AI stocks?Or, is this just a temporary pullback?Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the latest jobs data, whether the Fed is likely to cut interest rates next month, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#nvidia #aibubble #ratecut _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Crypto News: Bitcoin nears the bottom based on the RSI, Jim Cramer is bearish on Bitcoin and Crypto, and Japan approves $135.5 Billion stimulus package. Coinbase is acquiring Vector, an onchain trading platform built on Solana.Brought to you by
Send us a textOn this episode, we're talking about AI, the Fed, crypto, and housing --- and how those stories all suddenly collided this week. Nvidia's huge earnings beat briefly sent markets higher, but the rally fizzled fast as investors grew more anxious about a potential AI bubble. We walk through why valuations increasingly assume massive job displacement and unprecedented productivity gains, and why Oracle has become the market's “AI downside” hedge as its stock price collapses and its credit spreads blow out.Zooming out to the macro picture: delayed economic data finally hit, with job growth surprising to the upside, suggesting the Fed might not be delivering a December cut after all. Combine that with softening AI sentiment, and we're seeing a classic risk-off move: equities selling and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin showing the most stress. Even though headline data looks fine, the real-world "vibes" (sorry, couldn't help ourselves) feel recessionary, with people struggling to find jobs while prices (especially housing prices) remain painfully high.That leads us into the debate over 50-year mortgages. We explain why extending mortgages just means paying interest for decades, barely building equity, and ultimately bidding home prices even higher. The idea of a transferable 50-year mortgage makes even LESS sense. It breaks basic collateral math and would require higher rates, not lower, to actually facilitate implementation. Sign up for our FREE LIVE Excel & Financial Modeling Masterclass here: https://courses.thewallstreetskinny.com/Nov2025-FMmasterclass-registration-page-1Learn more about 9fin HERE Shop our Self Paced Courses: Investment Banking & Private Equity Fundamentals HEREFixed Income Sales & Trading HERE Wealthfront.com/wss. This is a paid endorsement for Wealthfront. May not reflect others' experiences. Similar outcomes not guaranteed. Wealthfront Brokerage is not a bank. Rate subject to change. Promo terms apply. If eligible for the boosted rate of 4.15% offered in connection with this promo, the boosted rate is also subject to change if base rate decreases during the 3 month promo period.The Cash Account, which is not a deposit account, is offered by Wealthfront Brokerage LLC ("Wealthfront Brokerage"), Member FINRA/SIPC. Wealthfront Brokerage is not a bank. The Annual Percentage Yield ("APY") on cash deposits as of 11/7/25, is representative, requires no minimum, and may change at any time. The APY reflects the weighted average of deposit balances at participating Program Banks, which are not allocated equally. Wealthfront Brokerage sweeps cash balances to Program Banks, where they earn the variable APY. Sources HERE.
Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, joins The Julia La Roche Show for "The Wrap with Chris Whalen." Whalen breaks down why markets are heading into a turbulent year-end. With the Treasury pulling $1 trillion out of the banking system and the Fed holding emergency meetings with dealers, a liquidity crunch is brewing just as big banks close their books after Thanksgiving. Chris explains why there won't be a December rate cut despite Fed happy talk, why the "silent crisis" in commercial real estate and private credit is spreading to insurance companies holding retail investors' annuities, and why public companies with Bitcoin exposure are about to report massive losses at year-end. Plus: the housing correction has officially begun as home price appreciation goes flat and GSEs start marking down property values. Links: The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ The Wrap: Is it November 2018 All Over Again?: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira778Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ Timestamps:0:00 Intro: Welcome back to The Wrap with Chris Whalen 0:41 No consensus for Fed cut in December2:22 Why John Williams' "happy talk" doesn't matter 4:35 Treasury is the gorilla: $1 trillion drained from markets4:58 Year-end liquidity crisis brewing 6:24 What that emergency Fed meeting was really all about8:40 Bitcoin's ugly fall14:45 Housing correction ahead? 27:04 What Chris Is Watching: Money markets and bank earnings 28:47 Commercial real estate & private credit pain 30:29 Where to find Chris and final thoughts
The data of activity past has begun. This week's payroll report is only one month and stale (Sept), but on the margin tempers some downside risk. Combined with the bulk of data coming after the Fed's Dec meeting, a pause looks sensible. Asia views are upgraded, but possibly with a little too much verve. Speakers: Bruce Kasman Joseph Lupton This podcast was recorded on November 11, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
Sterke resultaten van Nvidia hadden de trigger moeten zijn voor een eindejaarsrally. Maar het draaide anders uit. We trekken lessen uit een volatiele beursweek met marktenstrateeg Philippe Gijsels. In Trends podcasts vind je alle podcasts van Trends en Trends Z, netjes geordend volgens publicatie. De redactie van Trends brengt u verschillende podcasts over wat onze wereld en maatschappij beheerst. Vanuit diverse invalshoeken en met een uitgesproken focus op economie en ondernemingen, op business, personal finance en beleggen. Onafhankelijk, relevant, telkens constructief en toekomstgericht. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureTrump is bringing the country out of Biden/Obama recession, the Fed is trying to force a depression but because Trump started the parallel economy they cannot complete their mission. The economy is looking better and better, jobs numbers are improving, inflation stable, and prices coming down. The [CB] failed. The [DS] pushed Trump to release the Epstein files, this will implicate many of the old guard, this will also allow the far left to primary those still in congress. Right on schedule. The D party majority will be far left and their policies do not resonate with the American people. The D's have now threatened the US with an insurrection. They have told the arm forces to disregard a direct order from the President. Trump has now warned the [DS] that this is punishable by death. Think enemy combatants. Economy https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/1991484172553318686?s=20 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Existing Home Sales Beat In October As Mortgage Rates Tumbled Analysts (rightfully, given the shift in rates) expected a bounce, albeit tiny (+0.5%), in existing home sales for October and were surprised to the upside with a 1.2% MoM rise... Source: Bloomberg Which lifted the home sales SAAR a little more off record lows (to eight month highs)... “Home sales increased in October even with the government shutdown due to homebuyers taking advantage of lower mortgage rates,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1991504542903726567?s=20 https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1991512539382100429?s=20 https://twitter.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1991503881663311908?s=20 https://twitter.com/KentuckyKOT/status/1991505048833319300?s=20 https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1991509759795818939?s=20 https://twitter.com/DHSgov/status/1991532782003044710?s=20 don't feel safe walking down the street!” There are tens of millions of criminal illegals in our country. “Traffic is terrible!” There are tens of millions of criminal illegals in our country. “Healthcare is too expensive!” There are tens of millions of criminal illegals in our country. “Welfare spending is through the roof!” There are tens of millions of criminal illegals in our country. “I can't afford a car!” There are tens of millions of criminal illegals in our country. “I can't afford a house!” There are tens of millions of criminal illegals in our country. Many problems. A simple answer. https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1991520526112813547?s=20 https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1991506013086970091?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1991500451716690190?s=20 https://twitter.com/JoeLang51440671/status/1991308899056537803?s=20 Political/Rights https://twitter.com/EndWokeness/status/1991311327864770978?s=20 https://twitter.com/TriciaOhio/status/1991244099714744492?s=20 arrested her in May. https://twitter.com/JimFergusonUK/status/1991402702052512238?s=20 lie their way past U.S. agents and disappear into the country. Bondi laid it out: • Children flown alone through U.S. airports • Coached scripts to deceive Border Patrol • Fake stories prepared in advance • Smugglers charging $40,000 per person • Over $7 million moved through Zelle • $18 million in cash profits for the cartel • All happening on American soil, under Biden's watch This isn't “migration.” This isn't “asylum.” This is organized crime, run like a multinational corporation, exploiting children, gaming U.S. airports, and making a fortune off the border collapse. Where is the outrage? Where is the accountability? Where is the media? This is what President Trump has been warning about for years — and the regime mocked him. Now the truth is undeniable. The border wasn't “broken.” It was wide open — by design. And innocent people have paid the price. America deserves better. America deserves security. America deserves justice. And justice is coming. 30,000 Missing Illegal Immigrant Children Located: Tom Homan More than 30,000 missing illegal immigrant children have been located by the Trump administration, border czar Tom Homan said in a Fox News interview clip published on Nov. 18. Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/FBIDDBongino/status/1991226916980789704?s=20 children online and coerces them into acts of violence – self harm, animal abuse, suicide, and sexual abuse. At the beginning of the year, our teams redoubled our efforts to go after these networks and eliminate them. We have more than 300 investigations connected to this network going on nationwide, as we speak, and that number is growing. It is a top priority for us. Out of @FBIBaltimore - recently our teams worked with partners to arrest an individual who had allegedly targeted 5 victims – one as young as 13. The individual is now in federal custody, and we expect more information to be released on this case soon. Out of Arizona - recently, we had another case – where an indictment revealed an individual in federal custody had been found allegedly targeting kids as an affiliate of 764. The 9 victims involved were between 11-15 years old. Some of the allegations involve distributing child pornography, cyberstalking, animal crushing, and even conspiring to provide material support to terrorists. I cannot emphasize enough - this is a major issue in America that not enough people know about. We are asking all parents to please be on guard – check in with your kids and monitor their internet usage. Consider your options for putting safeguards in place that limit what these networks can reach. In the meantime, this @FBI will keep working day and night to destroy this network. It is a top priority. We are making progress, but the work isn't done. God bless America, and all those who defend Her. Mark Epstein says his brother Jeffrey spoke with Trump after 2016 election The brother of convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein said his brother spoke with President Trump after the 2016 election. “Jeffrey told me that Trump — it was after the election that Trump called him, and it was sort of like, ‘Can you believe this?' Because nobody believed Trump was going to win,” Mark Epstein said during an appearance on CNN's “Erin Burnett OutFront.” Source: thehill.com https://twitter.com/RepJamesComer/status/1991512335673106808?s=20 https://twitter.com/TheNotoriousLMC/status/1991236885016965450?s=20 now has until December 19, 2025, to comply. Bondi emphasized during a press conference: "We will continue to follow the law and encourage maximum transparency" while protecting victims' identities. What to Expect? — Files include internal DOJ communications, investigative notes, and materials on Epstein's sex trafficking network, which involved over 250 underage victims across his properties in New York, Florida, and elsewhere. — The release isn't guaranteed to be fully unredacted. The law allows withholding info that could jeopardize ONGOING federal investigations or identify victims. AFTER Epstein was charged), Democrat Congresswoman Stacey Plaskett, and many more. Perhaps the truth about these Democrats, and their associations with Jeffrey Epstein, will soon be revealed, because I HAVE JUST SIGNED THE BILL TO RELEASE THE EPSTEIN FILES! As everyone knows, I asked Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune, to pass this Bill in the House and Senate, respectively. Because of this request, the votes were almost unanimous in favor of passage. At my direction, the Department of Justice has already turned over close to fifty thousand pages of documents to Congress. Do not forget — The Biden Administration did not turn over a SINGLE file or page related to Democrat Epstein, nor did they ever even speak about him. Democrats have used the “Epstein” issue, which affects them far more than the Republican Party, in order to try and distract from our AMAZING Victories, including THE GREAT BIG BEAUTIFUL TAX CUT BILL, Strong Borders, No Men in Women's Sports or Transgender for Everyone, ending DEI, stopping Biden's Record Setting Inflation, lowering Prices, Biggest Tax and Regulation Cuts in History, ending EIGHT Wars, rebuilding our Military, knocking out Iran's Nuclear capability, getting Trillions of Dollars INVESTED in the U.S.A., creating the “HOTTEST” Country anywhere in the World, and even delivering a HUGE DEFEAT to the Democrats on the recent Shutdown Disaster. For years our Great Nation has had to endure RUSSIA, RUSSIA, RUSSIA, UKRAINE, UKRAINE, UKRAINE, IMPEACHMENT HOAX #1, IMPEACHMENT HOAX #2, and many other Democrat created Witch Hunts and Scams, all of which have been so terrible and divisive for our Country, and have been done to confuse, deflect, and distract from the GREAT JOB that Republicans, and the Trump Administration, are doing.
Thursday on the News Hour, the jobs report shows strong hiring but higher unemployment as the Fed comes under more pressure from the president. The Trump administration comes up with plans to end the war in Ukraine, which require significant concessions that Ukraine has previously rejected. Plus, the Trump family’s promotion of cryptocurrency raises questions about profiting from the presidency. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy
The Patriotically Correct Radio Show with Stew Peters | #PCRadio
Frankie Stockes fills in for Stew Peters and covers the compactions between the Israeli American forever war machine and the third world invasion of the United States.Frankie Stockes fills in for Stew Peters and covers the compactions between the Israeli American forever war machine and the third world invasion of the United States. Western civilization has been infected by a parasitic invasion of foreign ideals and values that have been introduced into our culture by strange and morally degenerate people whose goal is world domination. We have been OCCUPIED. Watch the film NOW! https://stewpeters.com/occupied/
The latest Fed minutes show a deeply divided committee but a clear signal: no December rate cut is coming. Markets reacted fast, sending Bitcoin tumbling to new lows as leveraged traders piled in and ETF investors pulled out. NLW unpacks what the minutes reveal about the economy, why rate expectations are shifting, and how this is shaping crypto's end-of-year outlook—including Kraken's IPO filing and a major Bitcoin bet from Abu Dhabi. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
$57 billion. That's the amount of revenue tech giant NVIDIA reported in the third quarter. At first, the news was welcomed by investors who had been leery about the evaluation of artificial intelligence and whether the AI boom was actually a bubble. However, the gains from the chip maker's record-breaking revenue were soon lost, as they proved insufficient to ease worried minds. Also this week, the delayed September jobs report surprised with better-than-expected job growth. But what will that mean for the Federal Reserve when they meet next month as they weigh the decision to cut interest rates for a third straight time? Lou Basenese, the Executive Vice President of Market Strategy at Prairie Operating Co., joins FOX Business' Gerri Willis to discuss the AI trend, jobs, and what the Fed may do more. Plus, he offers some tips on how to manage this market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999 Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital. They discuss a range of topics including market volatility, AI investment trends, consumer spending patterns, and economic forecasts. Calvasina highlights the increasing nervousness among investors regarding high valuations and the potential impact of delayed Fed rate cuts. She notes the importance of monitoring CapEx and regulatory changes, especially as they pertain to AI and tech sectors. The conversation touches on geopolitical dynamics with China and the upcoming US midterm elections, emphasizing their potential market implications. The session is rich with insights into the current market climate, investor sentiment, and future economic expectations. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Emprendeduros! En este episodio Rodrigo nos da una actualización de mercado donde habla del estatus del mercado, de los aranceles, de las minutas del FED y del reporte de empleos. Nos da los reportes de ingresos de Nvidia, Home Depot, Lowes, Walmart, Target, Palo Alto Networks y Klarna. Después habla de los minerales raros y de una adquisicion que salio muy mal. Finalmente da una breve actualizacion de cryptos y contestara una pregunta de un Emprendeduro. ¡Síguenos en Instagram! Rodrigo: https://www.instagram.com/rodnavarro Emprendeduros: https://www.instagram.com/losemprendeduros Para mas información sobre nuestro fondo visita: https://emprendedurosventures.com/
Send us a textA market story is only as good as the portfolio that can survive it. Hugh Hendry sat down in London to explore risk from first principles. Why playful, curious, even mischievous thinking can beat credentialed certainty, and how to build an allocation that thrives whether AI delivers a productivity super‑cycle or ushers in painful dislocation. The conversation tugs at the great plaster on the body politic : consumer sentiment scraping historic lows while prosperity narratives soar.Hugh breaks the problem into a simple, repeatable framework: four macro quadrants: dollar cash serving both as collateral and yield, broad tech equities for growth, long‑duration bonds for rare mean reversion hedge, and alternatives, including gold, private assets, property, and crypto for convexity. He explains how the bond market's shock: long dated Treasuries halving as banks shorted futures to hedge mortgage books in the 2020-22 era, created a once‑in‑a‑generation possible profit setup if rates drop and American households refinance en masse. A path where a misread neutral Fed policy rate and a frozen refinancing market could flip the script, reopen housing, and make out‑of‑consensus rate bets extraordinarily lucrative. The lesson isn't to idolise a forecast; it's to price the consequences and size for survival and profit.He also gets specific on price compression: why multi‑decade ceilings matter more than pundit stories, how the Nasdaq's breakout unlocked a fivefold run, and where similar patterns may be brewing in silver and Japan. If you've wondered how to stay invested without becoming a hostage to the latest narrative, this is a clear playbook: pre‑commit your belief, right‑size your risk, and use the market's own footprints to time your aggression.If this conversation sharpened your thinking, follow the show, share it with a friend who obsesses over macro, and leave a quick review to help more curious investors find us.Support the show⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!
Nov 21, 2025 – Is gold sending an alarm for the broader outlook? Today, on Financial Sense Newshour, Jim Puplava interviews Ron William on how gold's rally is a “bell ringing” for investors, signaling a generational rotation from equities...
Nov 21, 2025 – AI is rapidly transforming the U.S. economy and energy grid. Jim Puplava and Mark Mills discuss the surge in AI data centers, rising energy demand, skilled trade shortages, and how America can lead the global AI race amid major...
Cramer says investors want dividend-paying stocks ahead of a Fed rate cut. Become a CNBC Investing Club member to go behind the scenes with Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks as they talk candidly about the market's biggest headlines. Signup here: cnbc.com/morningtake CNBC Investing Club Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The Inside Economics crew welcomes Alan Blinder back to the podcast. The Princeton University economics professor and former Vice Chair of the Fed offers his perspective on the outlook for artificial intelligence, the risk of a bubble in equity markets, and the potential implications of current threats to Fed independence. The team also breaks down the much-delayed September employment report.Guest: Alan Blinder – Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton UniversityGet more information on Alan Blinder's book - A Monetary and Fiscal History of the United States, 1961-2021Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this episode of Excess Returns, we talk with Carl Kaufman, Co-President and Co-CIO of Osterweis Capital Management, about navigating today's fixed income landscape. Carl breaks down the major segments of the bond market, explains how credit and interest rate cycles interact, discusses private credit risks, and shares how he builds durable, low-volatility bond portfolios. Drawing on more than two decades managing one of the top multi-sector income funds, Carl offers clear, practical insights for investors trying to understand yields, defaults, duration, and where returns are most attractive today.Main topics covered:• Overview of investment grade, high yield, leveraged loans, and private credit• How today's credit quality is shifting across the bond market• Why the high yield market may be higher quality than most investors realize• How levered loans and private credit have changed system dynamics• How Carl uses the interest rate cycle and credit cycle to position the portfolio• Why he avoids style boxes and instead buys bonds like a stock picker• The flaws in fixed income indexing and why active management matters more in bonds• How he evaluates companies, business models, leverage, and free cash flow• Why distributors and equipment rental companies are strong long-term bond businesses• The risks of the AI Capex boom and echoes of past bubbles• Where defaults are rising and why private credit concerns may not be systemic• Why his portfolio is short duration and how he uses cash as optionality• How he protects against large drawdowns and manages risk across cycles• His perspective on the Fed, inflation, employment data, and rate cuts• Carl's one investing belief most peers disagree with• The one lesson he would teach every investorTimestamps:00:00 Intro and bond market quality shift01:00 Carl's background and fund philosophy02:42 Defining investment grade, high yield, loans, and private credit08:00 Why high yield quality has improved10:07 The two-cycle approach: interest rates and credit14:31 How today's cycle differs18:03 Why forecasting matters less than knowing where you are18:52 Buying bonds like a stock picker25:28 Index flaws in fixed income26:56 Sectors Carl prefers29:16 Thoughts on AI Capex, Nvidia, and financing trends33:10 Sector concentration in bond portfolios34:51 Position sizing and portfolio construction35:43 Cracks in private credit and default data39:45 Private credit for retail investors40:34 Why Carl is short duration today44:57 Using cash and liquidity as a strategic tool45:44 Risk management and drawdowns47:29 The Fed, inflation, employment, and policy uncertainty53:53 Closing questions: belief peers disagree with54:45 One lesson for the average investor
US equity futures point to a firmer open. Asian markets traded sharply lower, while Europe opened weaker as risk-off sentiment continued. US markets extended their rotation out of Big Tech and AI-linked names as Nvidia surrendered its post-earnings gains amid renewed concerns around stretched valuations, circularity, capex monetization, and broader AI bubble skepticism; Labor-market softness moved into focus after a mixed jobs report showing cooler wage growth, upward pressure on unemployment, multi-year highs in continuing claims; Furthermore, momentum unwind corresponding with doubts about prospect of Fed rate cut in December after delayed September nonfarm payrolls report was mixed and ongoing Fed policymaker divide left markets pricing in ~40% chance of a reduction.Companies Mentioned: GE HealthCare Technologies, Enviri, Blackstone
RenMac breaks down the market's ugliest day since 2018 as deGraaf explains the rare “outside reversal” and what oversold signals in Bitcoin, NDX, and speculative tech mean going forward. Dutta argues the Fed is risking a policy mistake as unemployment rises and layoffs spread, and Pavlick outlines the administration's limited tools — with tariff rollbacks emerging as Trump's main lever heading into 2026. The team also digs into AI Chip-lomacy, rising utility costs, and early signs of credit strain as Washington heads into Thanksgiving.
Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss global brokerages split on Fed's December rate decision. Treasury yields slide after Fed's Williams suggests Fed could cut again in December. Do comparisons to the dot com bubble hold any water? Bitcoin heads for its worst week since the crypto collapse of 2022. Paul LaMonica (Barron's) joins the show to chat about Deere and its wild ride this year.
The market is repricing based on Nvidia (NVDA) earnings, fears of an AI bubble, and the Fed, argues Frances Stacy. “Barring a credit event, liquidity staying high, probably this ‘quote unquote' bubble continues,” she adds. She tells investors to “take smaller bites” and have more risk management in place. A Santa Claus rally is “entirely possible,” she adds, highlighting key levels of support on the SPX. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
It's been quite a trading week for the stock market. Kevin Hincks recaps it all and looks to market action ahead, starting with the ramp higher in December interest rate cut chances. He points to commentary from one Fed governor hinting toward FOMC action. Kevin also makes the case that "no one" is safe from global sell-offs following Thursday's sharp down action in Nvidia (NVDA). In Bitcoin's steep selling, Kevin tells investors to take the moves with a grain of salt, saying the cryptocurrency is disconnected from stocks and the U.S. economy. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Commentary from Fed governor John Williams opened the door much wider for a December interest rate cut, says Charles Schwab's Cooper Howard. He explains how Williams' words reignited bullish hopes. Cooper tells investors to watch for any and all jobs and inflation data until the December meeting, pointing to the upcoming PPI print as a critical one. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
If you're asking someone else about the market - it's not the market that's wrong - it's your portfolio. It's not suited for your risk tolerance or you have the wrong tools. Something isn't right so evaluate that before asking someone about the market because even the most qualified market participant can't 100% determine the direction of the market. This may be the start of a huge downturn or the "discount" on stocks you've been waiting for since April. You just don't know - but charts tell a MUCH clearer story. LEARN THEM! BLACK FRIDAY SALES END SOON: TRENDSPIDER - Up to 68% off and 52 trainings for the next year. HUGE SALE saving you over $1,000. SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - Save over $200Seeking Alpha Premium - FREE 7 day trial Alpha Picks - Save $100 Seeking Alpha Pro - for the Pros EPISODE SUMMARY
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran says the latest economic data should push policymakers "in the dovish direction." Miran says given the outlook for inflation, Fed policy does not need to be so restrictive. He speaks with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
What does it take to navigate tariffs, rate cuts, and AI disruption all at once?Hosts Kevin Brown and Tom Burton break down the week's headlines that matter most to manufacturers and distributors, from the U.S. government shutdown and Fed policy to the emerging reality of AI‑driven decision‑making and agentic commerce. Discover why contextual intelligence is now a core leadership skill and how data strategy can turn economic uncertainty into competitive advantage. What You'll Learn:Why the shutdown's “fix” is really a delay until January 31, and how prediction markets like Polymarket quantify that risk The truth about tariffs and refund rumors, and why smart pricing beats policy guessworkWhat the Fed's next decision means for capital, lending, and distribution growth plans How AI‑enabled CRM and customer intelligence platforms deliver clarity from chaos Why leaders who blend economic awareness + data fluency will own the next decade of wholesale innovation Episode Highlights:03 : 12 – The shutdown “ends”… or does it? Budget reset and political realities behind the deal 16 : 40 – Prediction markets vs. traditional polls: how Polymarket nailed its forecast 31 : 25 – Rate‑cut drama: inside the Fed meeting math and the Burton Market prediction 48 : 07 – Tariff talk decoded, methodology matters more than headlines01 : 03 : 14 – Refunds or fantasy? Legal complexity of tariff paybacks explained01 : 14 : 58 – AI and contextual intelligence: from theory to tool sets inside LeadSmart Channel Cloud™ 01 : 28 : 47 – Final takeaways, leadership, data literacy, and the new rules of economic resilience Meet the Hosts:Kevin Brown and Tom Burton are co‑founders of LeadSmart Technologies, creators of LeadSmart Channel Cloud™, an AI‑enabled Customer Intelligence and Smart CRM platform purpose‑built for manufacturers and distributors. They bring decades of experience in distribution operations, software engineering, and data strategy to help leaders turn siloed information into growth insight.Tools & Frameworks Mentioned:LeadSmart Channel Cloud™ — Unified AI CRM for distributors & manufacturers Context Engineering — Aligning AI systems with business intent Agentic Commerce — Autonomous AI workflows for B2B transactions Prediction Markets (Polymarket) — Crowdsourced economic signal analysis Customer Intelligence Framework — Transforming ERP and CRM data into actionable insight Closing Insight:“AI doesn't replace relationships, it reinforces them by removing friction.” — Kevin Brown Leave a Review: Help us grow by sharing your thoughts on the show.Learn more about the LeadSmart AI B2B Sales Platform: https://www.leadsmarttech.com/ Join the conversation each week on LinkedIn Live.Want even more insight to the stories we discuss each week? Subscribe to the Around The Horn Newsletter.You can also hear the podcast and other excellent content on our YouTube Channel.Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, or TikTok.
$57 billion. That's the amount of revenue tech giant NVIDIA reported in the third quarter. At first, the news was welcomed by investors who had been leery about the evaluation of artificial intelligence and whether the AI boom was actually a bubble. However, the gains from the chip maker's record-breaking revenue were soon lost, as they proved insufficient to ease worried minds. Also this week, the delayed September jobs report surprised with better-than-expected job growth. But what will that mean for the Federal Reserve when they meet next month as they weigh the decision to cut interest rates for a third straight time? Lou Basenese, the Executive Vice President of Market Strategy at Prairie Operating Co., joins FOX Business' Gerri Willis to discuss the AI trend, jobs, and what the Fed may do more. Plus, he offers some tips on how to manage this market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
It's been a roller coaster ride in equity markets this week, coinciding with the release of the long-awaited US jobs report. We discuss why we see the US jobs report as mixed, but supportive of our forecast that the Fed will pause in December. All eyes will be on the UK budget and why the fiscal tightening will be modestly backloaded. In Asia, the focus is on Q3 GDP growth in India, and we deep-dive on South Korea to discuss the hawkish hold we expect from the Bank of Korea next week, as well as Korea's two supercycles.
Los mercados se han movido con mucha fuerza estos días: sectores defensivos suben, las empresas de crecimiento sufren, la Fed duda sobre bajar tasas y la política en EE. UU. suma más presión. En este podcast Edgar te explica, en sencillo, qué hay detrás de tanta volatilidad y qué podría significar para tus inversiones.Si quieres revisar tu portafolio o tu plan de retiro, contacta al equipo de Wave Wealth y lo vemos contigo.
Hour 1 of https://RushToReason.com launches into Health & Wellness Wednesday with energy, humor, and hard-earned wisdom. Attorney Michael Bailey (https://michaelbaileylawllc.com) joins John Rush to unpack the hidden urgency of end-of-year planning. Why do families wait until tragedy strikes before putting vital documents in place? And how much chaos, stress, and financial strain could be avoided with one simple phone call? Michael reveals the timelines, the pitfalls, and the holiday-season crunch most people never see coming—until it's too late. Then lifestyle creator Shanisty Ireland (https://shesbecomingdomestic.com) steps in with Thanksgiving survival tactics. Want to know the freezer-friendly casseroles that save hours? The one thawing mistake that can ruin your turkey? Shanisty shares time-saving tricks, kid-friendly dishes that turn a stressful holiday into a joyful one. Finally, wellness expert Julie E. (https://julieehealth.com)enters with a surprise topic: scar tissue as an overlooked root cause of chronic health struggles. Could those “old dents” in the body silently drain your energy and disrupt hormones? Hour 1 ends with questions you didn't even know you needed to ask—setting up a compelling deep-dive into hidden health truths. HOUR 2 Hour 2 of Rush to Reason opens with author and leadership expert Richard Battle (https://RichardBattle.com), who reveals a surprising source of wisdom: the childhood song Old MacDonald Had a Farm. Could the familiar E-I-E-I-O actually contain timeless leadership secrets about example, instruction, inspiration, and optimism? Richard shows how these simple principles can rebuild teams, restore vision, and expose the insecurity that keeps modern leaders stuck. From there, the show pivots into breaking news and online frenzy as John Rush unpacks the mysterious lights seen over Colorado. Were they UFOs? A secret government test? Or something far more ordinary? John exposes how quickly conspiracies grow—and why AI-generated videos and fabricated content make truth harder to spot than ever. Finally, Sonny Kutcher of Young Americans Against Socialism (https://www.yaas.org/ ) joins John to break down a razor-thin 5–4 Supreme Court decision granting President Trump sweeping authority to target cartel members as foreign terrorist organizations. Is this a turning point in the border crisis—or the beginning of a political earthquake? Hour 2 blends leadership insight, cultural tension, and breaking-news urgency into a sharp, energizing hour of radio you won't want to miss. HOUR 3 Hour 3 of Rush to Reason opens with John reflecting on more than a decade behind the mic—and the nonstop learning that comes with it. But the hour quickly pivots to a hard look at Colorado's Front Range, fueled by listener messages pouring in about $2.29 Costco top-tier gas, public-school frustrations, and an explosive question: Why is Denver no longer one of America's most desirable cities to move to? John dives headfirst into the region's homelessness surge, criticizing weak leadership and policies that make life easier for those choosing the streets and harder for everyone else. Is homelessness now spreading from Denver into Castle Rock, Cheyenne, and every once-quiet suburb in between? And is failed governance—not economics—driving families and businesses away? The hour then shifts gears as Wall Street strategist Scott Garliss of Bent Pine Capital (https://x.com/CScottGarliss) joins the show. Together, they unpack a jittery week on Wall Street: Michael Burry's harsh warnings about AI stocks, fears over rising car-loan defaults, and the Fed's looming interest-rate decisions. But with Nvidia's blowout earnings, is AI truly inflated hype—or a genuine revolution reshaping the economy? Hour 3 mixes economic intrigue, political fire, and real-world concerns into a fast-moving, thought-provoking conversation you won't want to miss.
Hour 1 of https://RushToReason.com launches into Health & Wellness Wednesday with energy, humor, and hard-earned wisdom. Attorney Michael Bailey (https://michaelbaileylawllc.com) joins John Rush to unpack the hidden urgency of end-of-year planning. Why do families wait until tragedy strikes before putting vital documents in place? And how much chaos, stress, and financial strain could be avoided with one simple phone call? Michael reveals the timelines, the pitfalls, and the holiday-season crunch most people never see coming—until it's too late. Then lifestyle creator Shanisty Ireland (https://shesbecomingdomestic.com) steps in with Thanksgiving survival tactics. Want to know the freezer-friendly casseroles that save hours? The one thawing mistake that can ruin your turkey? Shanisty shares time-saving tricks, kid-friendly dishes that turn a stressful holiday into a joyful one. Finally, wellness expert Julie E. (https://julieehealth.com)enters with a surprise topic: scar tissue as an overlooked root cause of chronic health struggles. Could those “old dents” in the body silently drain your energy and disrupt hormones? Hour 1 ends with questions you didn't even know you needed to ask—setting up a compelling deep-dive into hidden health truths. HOUR 2 Hour 2 of Rush to Reason opens with author and leadership expert Richard Battle (https://RichardBattle.com), who reveals a surprising source of wisdom: the childhood song Old MacDonald Had a Farm. Could the familiar E-I-E-I-O actually contain timeless leadership secrets about example, instruction, inspiration, and optimism? Richard shows how these simple principles can rebuild teams, restore vision, and expose the insecurity that keeps modern leaders stuck. From there, the show pivots into breaking news and online frenzy as John Rush unpacks the mysterious lights seen over Colorado. Were they UFOs? A secret government test? Or something far more ordinary? John exposes how quickly conspiracies grow—and why AI-generated videos and fabricated content make truth harder to spot than ever. Finally, Sonny Kutcher of Young Americans Against Socialism (https://www.yaas.org/ ) joins John to break down a razor-thin 5–4 Supreme Court decision granting President Trump sweeping authority to target cartel members as foreign terrorist organizations. Is this a turning point in the border crisis—or the beginning of a political earthquake? Hour 2 blends leadership insight, cultural tension, and breaking-news urgency into a sharp, energizing hour of radio you won't want to miss. HOUR 3 Hour 3 of Rush to Reason opens with John reflecting on more than a decade behind the mic—and the nonstop learning that comes with it. But the hour quickly pivots to a hard look at Colorado's Front Range, fueled by listener messages pouring in about $2.29 Costco top-tier gas, public-school frustrations, and an explosive question: Why is Denver no longer one of America's most desirable cities to move to? John dives headfirst into the region's homelessness surge, criticizing weak leadership and policies that make life easier for those choosing the streets and harder for everyone else. Is homelessness now spreading from Denver into Castle Rock, Cheyenne, and every once-quiet suburb in between? And is failed governance—not economics—driving families and businesses away? The hour then shifts gears as Wall Street strategist Scott Garliss of Bent Pine Capital (https://x.com/CScottGarliss) joins the show. Together, they unpack a jittery week on Wall Street: Michael Burry's harsh warnings about AI stocks, fears over rising car-loan defaults, and the Fed's looming interest-rate decisions. But with Nvidia's blowout earnings, is AI truly inflated hype—or a genuine revolution reshaping the economy? Hour 3 mixes economic intrigue, political fire, and real-world concerns into a fast-moving, thought-provoking conversation you won't want to miss.
Hour 1 of https://RushToReason.com launches into Health & Wellness Wednesday with energy, humor, and hard-earned wisdom. Attorney Michael Bailey (https://michaelbaileylawllc.com) joins John Rush to unpack the hidden urgency of end-of-year planning. Why do families wait until tragedy strikes before putting vital documents in place? And how much chaos, stress, and financial strain could be avoided with one simple phone call? Michael reveals the timelines, the pitfalls, and the holiday-season crunch most people never see coming—until it's too late. Then lifestyle creator Shanisty Ireland (https://shesbecomingdomestic.com) steps in with Thanksgiving survival tactics. Want to know the freezer-friendly casseroles that save hours? The one thawing mistake that can ruin your turkey? Shanisty shares time-saving tricks, kid-friendly dishes that turn a stressful holiday into a joyful one. Finally, wellness expert Julie E. (https://julieehealth.com)enters with a surprise topic: scar tissue as an overlooked root cause of chronic health struggles. Could those “old dents” in the body silently drain your energy and disrupt hormones? Hour 1 ends with questions you didn't even know you needed to ask—setting up a compelling deep-dive into hidden health truths. HOUR 2 Hour 2 of Rush to Reason opens with author and leadership expert Richard Battle (https://RichardBattle.com), who reveals a surprising source of wisdom: the childhood song Old MacDonald Had a Farm. Could the familiar E-I-E-I-O actually contain timeless leadership secrets about example, instruction, inspiration, and optimism? Richard shows how these simple principles can rebuild teams, restore vision, and expose the insecurity that keeps modern leaders stuck. From there, the show pivots into breaking news and online frenzy as John Rush unpacks the mysterious lights seen over Colorado. Were they UFOs? A secret government test? Or something far more ordinary? John exposes how quickly conspiracies grow—and why AI-generated videos and fabricated content make truth harder to spot than ever. Finally, Sonny Kutcher of Young Americans Against Socialism (https://www.yaas.org/ ) joins John to break down a razor-thin 5–4 Supreme Court decision granting President Trump sweeping authority to target cartel members as foreign terrorist organizations. Is this a turning point in the border crisis—or the beginning of a political earthquake? Hour 2 blends leadership insight, cultural tension, and breaking-news urgency into a sharp, energizing hour of radio you won't want to miss. HOUR 3 Hour 3 of Rush to Reason opens with John reflecting on more than a decade behind the mic—and the nonstop learning that comes with it. But the hour quickly pivots to a hard look at Colorado's Front Range, fueled by listener messages pouring in about $2.29 Costco top-tier gas, public-school frustrations, and an explosive question: Why is Denver no longer one of America's most desirable cities to move to? John dives headfirst into the region's homelessness surge, criticizing weak leadership and policies that make life easier for those choosing the streets and harder for everyone else. Is homelessness now spreading from Denver into Castle Rock, Cheyenne, and every once-quiet suburb in between? And is failed governance—not economics—driving families and businesses away? The hour then shifts gears as Wall Street strategist Scott Garliss of Bent Pine Capital (https://x.com/CScottGarliss) joins the show. Together, they unpack a jittery week on Wall Street: Michael Burry's harsh warnings about AI stocks, fears over rising car-loan defaults, and the Fed's looming interest-rate decisions. But with Nvidia's blowout earnings, is AI truly inflated hype—or a genuine revolution reshaping the economy? Hour 3 mixes economic intrigue, political fire, and real-world concerns into a fast-moving, thought-provoking conversation you won't want to miss.
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De hele week werd gesmacht naar de cijfers van Nvidia, want die zouden bewijzen: die AI-bubbel bestaat niet. Héél even leek het nog waar te zijn ook. Maar het sentiment sloeg snel om, en toen trok onze redder alle beurzen met zich mee omlaag, ondanks die mega goede cijfers. Ook op onze eigen AEX staan de chipaandelen lager. Waar het misging en hoe die onverklaarbare omslag nu te verklaren valt, bespreken we deze aflevering. Je hoort ook waarom defensie-aandelen vandaag weer fors lager staan en waarom een vredesplan van Donald Trump en Vladimir Poetin beleggers kennelijk meer overtuigd dan groeiprognoses van het Duitse Rheinmetall, het bedrijf dat het meest inlevert. Dan duiken we ook nog in de cijfers van gamereus Ubisoft en moeten we het nog eens hebben over het bedrijf achter oorwurm Baby Shark. Het bedrijf ging naar de beurs dinsdag en het aandeel won direct 60 procent aan waarde, maar daar is drie dagen later niks meer van over. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
97% OFF + Acesso Vitalício de todas as estratégias atuais e futuras. Clique no link e veja como garantir seu acesso na Maior Black Friday da História https://lvnt.app/heou2721/11 - Bolsa Cai pelo 4º. Dia e Dólar vai a R$ 5,40Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado, comigo Flávio Conde, hoje é 6a. feira, graças a Deus e a recomendação de minissérie de hoje é “O Monstro em Mim” na Netflix sobre um mistério envolvendo um grande incorporador em Nova Yorque e uma escritora de livros de mistério. É muito bom e apenas 8 capítulos de 50 minutos cada. O Ibovespa fechou cai -0,42% aos 154,7 mil pontos, com volume fraco de R$ 21 bi, R$ 4 bi abaixo dos R$ 25 bi da média das sextas de mercado em alta. A B3 caiu no Brasil por conta das quedas de preços de commodities de petróleo a minério passando por produtos agrícolas e bitcoin. A aversão aos riscos de ativos mais arriscados e sensíveis à taxas de juros aumentou depois da divulgação do relatório de empregos dos EUA em setembro – atrasado devido ao shutdown – que registrou 119 mil empregos criados versus 50 mil esperados. Esse número tão mais alto aumentou a chance do Fed não cortar juros em dezembro por conta de uma economia aparentemente menos fraca do que esperado. O dólar comercial subiu bem, +1,20%, para R$ 5,40 de R$ 5,34, quarta-feira, enquanto o dólar norte-americano avançou 0,10% frente as moedas fortes do DXY.Os juros no Brasil caíram um pouco com o Tesouro Prefixado a 13,47% de 13,49% a.a. e o IPCA+ 2029 a 7,76% de 7,79% a.a.
With the historic government shutdown behind us, we dig back into key economic data captured over the duration of the shutdown: highlights include a modest improvement in housing activity, favorable labor market indicators despite data being somewhat stale, and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve amid uncertainty over December rate cuts. Equity markets showed heightened volatility, with strong earnings failing to sustain momentum, suggesting potential consolidation through year-end. Fixed income markets remain highly sensitive to Fed commentary, reflecting divergent views among policymakers. We also take a walk down memory lane to our 2025 predictions from last year—accurate on most calls—and preview the themes we think will impact 2026: global shifts toward nationalism, AI-driven disruption, and structural changes in financial markets. Please join us on December 3 for our last National Call of the year, when we'll dig into these topics and take questions from the audience. Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Stephen Hoedt, Head of Equities Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income 01:53 – Current Market and Economic Updates. Housing market improvement with existing home sales. Labor market stability, with unemployment claims holding and payrolls showing growth. Federal Reserve uncertainty, as October FOMC minutes reveal mixed opinions on rate cuts. Corporate earnings reports, which were strong but met with negative market reactions 08:04 – Equity Market Volatility and Seasonal Trends. Equity markets experienced an “outside day” with sharp reversals despite strong earnings. After strong September–October rallies, November–December may see consolidation rather than a typical year-end rally 11:46 – Fed Policy and Fixed Income Market Outlook. Fixed income markets are highly sensitive to Fed signals amid data gaps from the government shutdown. Divergence among Fed members on rate cuts vs. a pause creates volatility. 15:11 – We look back at our predictions from last year for 2025 trends and assess how accurate they were, and look ahead to our predictions for 2026, which we'll cover in more depth at our upcoming December 3 webinar (registration link below). Additional Resources Attend: Key Wealth National Call: Managing Wealth in an Age of Disruption and Change Key Questions Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Weekly Investment Brief Follow us on LinkedIn
A look at jobs, housing, and Fed policy with economist Diane Swonk - new data shows alcohol's demise among young adults is greatly exaggerated, and a Naperville magician brings classic magic to life, complete with the iconic rabbit-from-the-hat trick.
The cracks in the fiat system are widening, and Bitcoin is the only asset reacting honestly. From a hidden Fed emergency meeting to AI fraud, hedge-fund manipulation, EU surveillance money, and a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve—this moment changes everything. If you're not paying attention, you're already behind.SPONSORS✅ Lednhttps://www.nmj1gs2i.com/8LJN3/9B9DM/?source_id=podcastSimply Bitcoin clients get 0.25% off their first loanNeed liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? Ledn has been the trusted Bitcoin-backed lending platform for 6+ years. Access your BTC's value while HODLing.
Today's Headlines: The Senate unanimously passed the Epstein Files Transparency Act, but Trump still hasn't signed it — and with new “active investigations” conveniently launched by AG Pam Bondi, there's a built-in excuse to redact whatever he wants. And again: Trump could release the files anytime, so the delay is… telling. Trump's politically motivated case against James Comey is unraveling after it came out the grand jury never saw the actual final indictment. On Ukraine, Trump is floating a plan that would hand Russia more eastern territory in exchange for a U.S. “security guarantee” for Ukraine — which seems like a great way to encourage more Russian aggression. At the U.S.–Saudi investment forum, Trump publicly trashed his own Fed chair and threatened his Treasury Secretary over interest rates. Totally stable behavior. And finally, Nicki Minaj is now functioning as Trump's unofficial diplomat, giving a U.N. speech about alleged anti-Christian extremism in Nigeria — a claim contradicted by actual data and Nigeria's own government, but politically useful for the administration, so here we are. Resources/Articles mentioned in this episode: CNBC: Senators push for probe into Trump-linked crypto firm over token sales tied to North Korea and Russia AP News: New hurdle in Comey case as Trump's Justice Department faces questions about the grand jury process Axios: Scoop: Trump plan asks Ukraine to cede additional territory for security guarantee Axios: Trump on Fed Chair Powell: "I'd love to fire his ass" Rolling Stone: 'Faith Is Under Attack': Nicki Minaj Spreads Misleading Information at the United Nations Morning Announcements is produced by Sami Sage and edited by Grace Hernandez-Johnson Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Live from Morgan Stanley's Asian Pacific Summit, our Chief Fixed Income Strategist Vishy Tirupattur explains why micro trends are likely to be more on focus than macro shocks next year.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist, coming to you from the Morgan Stanley Asia Pacific Summit underway in Singapore. Much of the client conversation at the summit was about the market outlook for 2026. In the last few days, you've heard from my colleagues about our outlook for the global economy, equities and cross asset markets. On today's podcast, I will focus on the outlook and key themes ahead for the global fixed income market. It's Thursday, November 20th at 10am in Singapore. Last year, the difficulty of predicting policy really complicated our task. This year brings its own challenges. But what we see is micro trends driving the markets in ways that adapt to a generally positive stance on risk. Our economists' base case sees continued disinflation and growth converging towards potential by 2027, with the possibility that the potential itself improves. Notably, they present upside scenarios exploring stronger demand and rising productivity, while the downside case remains relatively benign. The U.S. remains pivotal, and the U.S. led shocks – positive and negative – should drive outcomes for the global economy and markets in 2026, In 2025, the combination of a resilient U.S. consumer supported by healthy balance sheets and rising wealth alongside robust AI driven CapEx has underpinned growth and helped avoid recession despite the headwinds of trade policy. These same dynamics should continue to support the baseline outlook in 2026, even though the path will be likely uneven. The Fed faces a familiar conundrum softening labor markets versus solid spending. The baseline assumes cuts to neutral as unemployment rises, followed by a recovery in the second half. Outside the U.S., most economies trend towards potential growth and neutral policy rates by end of 2026, but the timing and the trajectory vary. And as in recent years, global outcomes will likely hinge on U.S.-led effects and their spillovers. Our macro strategists expect government bond yields to stay range bound, and it is really a story of two halves. A front-loaded rally as the Fed cuts 50 basis points, pushing 10-year yields lower by mid-year before drifting higher into the fourth quarter. Curve steepening remains our high conviction call, especially two stents curve. The dollar follows a similar arc, softening mid-year, and then rebounding into the year end. AI financing moves to the forefront putting credit markets in focus, a topic that has come up repeatedly in every single meeting I've had in Singapore so far. So, from unsecured to structured and securitized credit in both public markets and private markets, credit will likely play a central role in enabling the next wave of AI related investments. Our credit and securitized credit strategists see data center financing in 2026 dominated by investment rate issuance. While fundamentals in corporate and securitized credit remain solid, the very scale of issuance ahead points to spread widening investment rate and in data center related ABS. Carry remains a key driver for credit returns, but dispersion should rise. Segments relatively insulated from the AI related supply such as U.S. high yield, agency brokerage backed securities, non-agency CMBS and RMBS are poised to outperform. We favor agency MBS and senior securitized tranches over U.S. investment grade, especially as domestic bank demand for agency MBS returns post finalization of the Basel III. 2025 was a tough year to navigate, and while we are constructive on 2026, it won't be a walk in the park. The challenges ahead look different. Less about macro shocks, more about micro shifts and market nuance. More details in our outlooks published just a few days ago. Thanks for listening If you like the podcast, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
Will the Fed cut rates again before the end of 2025? The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has decreased significantly, now standing at 30% according to CME's FedWatch tool. The slide comes amid concerns over a prolonged data blackout, as the Labor Department confirmed that it wouldn't release the jobs data for October. How will bitcoin and other risk assets react to the macro gloom? CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - Break the cycle of exploitation. Break down the barriers to truth. Break into the next generation of privacy. Break Free. Free to scroll without being monetized. Free from censorship. Freedom without fear. We deserve more when it comes to privacy. Experience the next generation of blockchain that is private and inclusive by design. Break free with Midnight, visit midnight.network/break-free - Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Take out a Figure Crypto-Backed Loan, allowing you to borrow against your BTC, ETH, or SOL with 12-month terms and no prepayment penalties. They have the lowest rates in the industry at 8.91%, allowing you to access instant cash or buy more Bitcoin without triggering a tax event. Unlock your crypto's potential today at Figure! https://figuremarkets.co/coindesk - Genius Group has partnered with CoinDesk for Bitcoin Treasury Month, launching the Genius x CoinDesk Quest. Participants can join the Bitcoin Academy, complete free microcourses from experts like Natalie Brunell and Saifedean Ammous, and enter to win 1,000,000 GEMs (worth 1 BTC) promoting bitcoin education and adoption.Learn more at: geniusgroup.ai/coindesk-bitcoin-treasury-month/ - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.
Job growth was better than expected in September with the best job gains since April, according to the delayed government report. But key data is still missing, and questions remain about the strength of the economy. That uncertainty comes as the Fed prepares to consider another rate cut. Geoff Bennett discussed more with Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy
While everyone else is glued to Nvidia, the results from Home Depot and Target will have far more to say about the markets and a lot more. Plus others like TJ Maxx, Bitcoin and the surprising Fed minutes that has a lot to say about the status of December's rate cut.Bloomberg Wary Stock Bulls Eye Walmart, Target for Clues to Consumer Healthhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-11-17/wary-stock-bulls-eye-walmart-target-for-clues-to-consumer-health?srnd=phx-economics-v2Economic Times TGT stock falls today as Target cuts guidance and predicts weak holiday saleshttps://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/tgt-stock-falls-today-as-target-cuts-guidance-and-predicts-weak-holiday-sales/articleshow/125437666.cms?from=mdrRead more at:https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/tgt-stock-falls-today-as-target-cuts-guidance-and-predicts-weak-holiday-sales/articleshow/125437666.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppstYahooFinance Target cuts earnings guidance, warns about high prices, and predicts a weak holiday seasonhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/target-cuts-earnings-guidance-warns-about-high-prices-and-predicts-a-weak-holiday-season-113001475.htmlCNBC TJ Maxx and Marshalls owner hikes outlook as CEO says holiday season is off to a ‘strong start'https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/19/tjx-companies-tjx-earnings-q3-2026.htmlFOMC Minuteshttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20251029.pdf
What if a stock market crash actually sparks the next real estate boom? That's exactly what John Chang, Head of Research at Marcus & Millichap, and I dive into on this episode of Cash Flow Connections. In a time of record-high uncertainty, John breaks down: Why multifamily is uniquely positioned for resilience even during a recession How a flight to safety could actually lower cap rates The #1 indicator that capital is about to pour back into real estate The real reason some Sunbelt markets are struggling (and why that's about to change) What rising tariffs, construction slowdowns, and shifting Fed leadership mean for investors If you're trying to time the next market cycle, or wondering when to jump back in, this episode is a must-listen. Take Control, Hunter Thompson Resources mentioned in the episode: John Chang Website LinkedIn Podcast Interested in learning how to take your capital raising game to the next level? Meet us at Capital Raiser's Edge. Learn more here: https://raisingcapital.com/cre
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe people of the UK now see that the generosity of welfare makes it that people do not support themselves. The Fed is right on schedule, they are using the shutdown and lack of data to create the narrative of no rate cut in Dec. GDP is now off the charts. Trump says the Fed does nothing, translation we do not need it. The economy is about to shift. Trump played the D's, they tried to set him up using the Epstein files, the tried to divide the movement, it backfired. Trump needed the D's to push the files narrative, optics are important so he could start the real investigation, most likely the document will implicate the D's on some level but not what people expect. The D's are now planning the color revolution, they are telling the military to disobey the Commander in Chief, remember your oath. Trump has the leverage, this leads to panic. Economy https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1991138641087955359?s=20 https://twitter.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1991200888480797001?s=20 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Stephen Miller Reveals Shocking Statistic- 40% of Rent-Controlled Housing in NYC Occupied is By Foreign Born Population (Video) White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy and Homeland Security Advisor Stephen Miller shared a shocking statistic regarding rent-controlled housing in New York City. Miller shared, “40% of the population of rent-controlled housing in New York City are foreign-born.” “Think about that.” “In one of the largest Metropolitan areas in the world, 40% of rent-controlled properties are being lived in by people who weren't even born in the country. What kind of system is this?” “We bring in people from foreign countries, and then we pay to lower the cost of their housing while people who were born have to pay higher prices?” “So President Trump is reducing net migration, that is what's going to ultimately, along with all these other steps, deregulation, historic tax cuts, is going to bring down the cost of housing.” Watch: Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1991166902354268474?s=20 advanced chips for AI here in the US. All of this started with President Trump wanting to re-industrialize the US. His tariffs were a pressing agent in making this possible." 3. “We are manufacturing in America because of President Trump.” Nvidia reports earnings in less than 6 hours. https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1991141379838255220?s=20 https://twitter.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1991168211942019257?s=20 https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1991163760195567968?s=20 https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1991195608615367120?s=20 TAKE A LISTEN https://twitter.com/SecScottBessent/status/1991179870907379944?s=20 returning to the United States in record amounts. Political/Rights https://twitter.com/joma_gc/status/1990866006714266065?s=20 always move the goalpost by making up unsubstantiated nonsense. Protecting their grift is their top priority. Plaskett Delivers Jaw-Dropping Explanation of Why She Texted Jeffrey Epstein During Congressional Hearing Democrat Del. Stacey Plaskett (VI-At Large) continued her whirlwind public tour in which she's tried to convince anyone who will listen that texting sex predator Jeffrey Epstein during a congressional hearing is totally normal. https://twitter.com/RNCResearch/status/1990901876276027581?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1990901876276027581%7Ctwgr%5Eac2f6a2c78cd6d4359fa04dfc99c2d4a4b998c16%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Frusty-weiss%2F2025%2F11%2F19%2Fplaskett-delivers-jaw-dropping-explanation-of-why-she-texted-jeffrey-epstein-during-congressional-hearing-n2196340 First, it's not exactly common for members of Congress to wantonly text with constituents mid-hearing. Second, referring to Epstein as little more than a "constituent" is like referring to Bill Cosby as just a "Pudding Pop salesman" while neglecting his other obvious history. https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1991175194908782619?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1991175194908782619%7Ctwgr%5Eac2f6a2c78cd6d4359fa04dfc99c2d4a4b998c16%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Frusty-weiss%2F2025%2F11%2F19%2Fplaskett-delivers-jaw-dropping-explanation-of-why-she-texted-jeffrey-epstein-during-congressional-hearing-n2196340 https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1991167379791917155?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1991167379791917155%7Ctwgr%5Eac2f6a2c78cd6d4359fa04dfc99c2d4a4b998c16%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Frusty-weiss%2F2025%2F11%2F19%2Fplaskett-delivers-jaw-dropping-explanation-of-why-she-texted-jeffrey-epstein-during-congressional-hearing-n2196340 Source: redstate.com https://twitter.com/RealSLokhova/status/1990992088872190189?s=20 of impeaching the President. Vote to Censure Democrat Stacey Plaskett over Epstein Relationship Fails The vote to censure Virgin Islands delegate Stacey Plaskett (D) for her relationship with sex criminal Jeffrey Epstein failed in the House on Tuesday night, with three Republicans siding with Democrats. https://twitter.com/RepLuna/status/1991138953211097540?s=20 Source: breitbart.com Rep. Jasmine Crockett's Effort to Smear Republicans Over Epstein Donations Blows Up in Her Face When Conservative Journalist Unearths the Damning Truth (VIDEO) Crockett took to the House floor and accused the GOP of a double standard by asserting without evidence that the likes of Mitt Romney, Lee Zeldin, John McCain, and George W. Bush had once taken money from Epstein. https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1990889556774903965?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1990889556774903965%7Ctwgr%5Efa2c16edf43fdb59f07185608efa8c11f7864c0d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2025%2F11%2Frep-jasmine-crocketts-effort-smear-republicans-epstein-donations%2F https://twitter.com/LeeMZeldin/status/1990993148244312175?s=20 https://twitter.com/ChuckRossDC/status/1990996259721588838?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1990996259721588838%7Ctwgr%5Efa2c16edf43fdb59f07185608efa8c11f7864c0d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2025%2F11%2Frep-jasmine-crocketts-effort-smear-republicans-epstein-donations%2F Here's a better look: Jeffrey Epsteins middle initial is E for Edward Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1991142109324185937?s=20 https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1991183118502686819?s=20 Epstein coached Summers on a romance in 2018. Summers was married at the time. The men exchanged a trove of messages between 2013 and 2019, according to the emails. "The university is conducting a review of information concerning individuals at Harvard included in the newly released Jeffrey Epstein documents to evaluate what actions may be warranted," Harvard said in a statement. Video: nalgene_queen / tt. SHOCKER: Numerous Members of Bill Clinton's Administration Were Visitors at Epstein's Island Bill Clinton's Administration was infested with creeps who reportedly visited Epstein Island. President Trump is right. It is time to investigate the Clintons and the entire Democrat Party for their connections to Jeffrey Epstein. We reported in 2019 that investigative reporter Conchita Sarnoff, the author of “Trafficking” on the Jeffrey Epstein case, joined Shannon Bream and said Bill Clinton flew on Epstein's plane 27 times and ALMOST EVERY TIME that Clinton was on the plane there were underage girls on the plane. Sarnoff also said Bill Clinton was lying about his flights with Jeffrey Epstein. The Clintons were also regular visitors at Epstein's ranch in New Mexico. Al Gore We also learned in 2019 after a release of files from the first Epstein case that one woman claimed Al Gore was at Epstein's Island. A woman who claims she was a sex slave for billionaire pedophile Jeffrey Epstein says she met former vice president Al Gore, according to documents unsealed on Friday. The documents were made public Friday after a U.S. Court of Appeals upheld a lower court decision to make public more than 2,000 pages of court filings in a since-settled 2015 defamation case brought by Virginia Roberts against Epstein confidant and aide Ghislaine Maxwell. Larry Summers We uncovered in 2019 that Larry Summers, the creepy former President of Harvard and President Clinton's Secretary of Treasury, flew numerous times on Jeffrey Epstein's jet and even flew to Epstein's so called ‘Orgy Island'. Source: joehoft.com https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1990869778764910819?s=20 https://twitter.com/RealSLokhova/status/1991114085724033393?s=20 squeaky clean. Bill Clinton, Reid Hoffman and co visited the island, plus possible financial ties to Epstein. So they devised an op to make it look like Pres Trump is compromised when he is not. Now Dems are going down. Senate Passes Epstein “Shiny Thing” Bill,