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This week we went deep on debt—all $72 trillion of it—and made the case that the bond market is the real economy, that the Fed has already lost control of the entire curve, and that when the AI trade unwinds, the flood into Treasuries won’t save anyone the way the textbook says it should. Then we watched Japan demonstrate in real time what happens when you don’t have the exorbitant privilege of issuing the world’s reserve currency. A 40-year low for the yen, Japan spending $87 billion in two days trying to hold it together, and the U.S. quietly intervening not out of friendship, but because Japan’s dumping Treasuries would torch our bond market at the worst possible moment. Chapters Intro: 00:00:38 Quick Takes: 00:01:33 Max Notes: 00:07:34 Killer Left Take of the Week: 00:24:44 Chart of the Week: 00:27:02 Headlines: 00:30:56 Outro: 00:32:23 Resources Fox News: Carville vows to FLEE Dem Party over Hasan Piker: ‘Out of here’ Forbes Breaking News: Trump Gives Update On Talks With Iran Forbes Breaking News: Sparks Fly When RFK Jr. Is Pressed On Vaccines, Pandemic Prevention During CNN Interview NBC News: Trump: Jeanine Pirro ‘made a mistake’ dropping Reflecting Pool vandalism case The Thomas Crown Affair CNBC: AI investor Leopold Aschenbrenner forced to unwind all public stock positions after steep losses, sources say Federal Reserve Bank of New York: Household Debt and Credit Report (Q1 2026) Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: Financial Accounts of the United States - Z.1 FiscalData: What is the national debt? SIFMA: US Treasury Securities Statistics Fortune: U.S. national debt officially hits $39 trillion—adding approximately $5 billion a day since October Nippon: Japan Govt Worsens Debt-to-GDP Ratio Estimate for FY 2026 Financial Stability Board: Report on Vulnerabilities in Private Credit Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: Implementation Note issued June 17, 2026 U.S. Department of the Treasury: Daily Treasury Rates TFTC: Treasury Sells $139B in Polar-Opposite Auctions: 2Y Soars, 5Y Craters MS Now: ‘Don’t be surprised when this gets kind of ugly’: El-Sayed on hotly contested MI Senate primary Bloomberg Television: Trump Revives Hopes for Iran Deal, Oil Sinks | Insight with Haslinda Amin 8/03/2026 Bloomberg: Why Japan Is Propping Up the Yen With US Help Bloomberg: BOJ Data Point to $34 Billion Japan FX Intervention Friday MacroMicro: World - Major Economies’ Holdings of US Debt The Japan Times: Yen carry trade is a ‘ticking time bomb,’ warns BCA research Forever Wars: The Markets Matter For War—You Don’t The American Prospect: The AI Bailout Could Be Baked Into the AI Bubble Jacobin: Centrist Democrats Keep Making Awful Health Reform Proposals UNFTR Resources Video: On The Record 08-04-26 (The Yen Bailout, RFK Jr. Fail, and the $72 Trillion Debt.) Essay: The $72 Trillion Debt Problem. Video: Situational Awareness: How a 25-Year-Old’s Hedge Fund Exposed the Entire AI Bubble. -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com. Become a member at unftr.com/memberships. Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com. Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations. Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibilitySupport the show: https://www.unftr.com/membershipsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On August 4, Brian Szytel recaps a massive cross-asset rally as markets price hopes of a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz: oil fell 6% to $75, the 10-year yield dropped 7 bps to 4.61%, and stocks and bonds rose (Dow +907, S&P +1.8%, Nasdaq +2.6% led by semis/AI). He notes the market has become desensitized to Middle East risk and remains skewed upward with major indexes up 12.5%–14% YTD, but highlights unusually violent, bifurcated single-stock moves around earnings as investors struggle to discount AI impacts amid accounting and borrowing stresses. He warns leverage amplifies drawdowns, citing July deleveraging and a 4:1-levered AI hedge fund collapsing after a 67% drawdown. Economic data: job openings 7.3M (in line/slightly low), factory orders -0.3% vs +0.3% expected, trade deficit $73.3B. He answers a viewer question on inflation, explaining the Fed can influence money supply via its balance sheet but can't directly control velocity, relying on multiple tools including interest on reserves, and references efforts to shift narratives back toward market-set pricing. 00:00 Market Rally Recap 00:16 Oil Rates And Geopolitics 01:50 Year To Date Performance 02:10 Wild Stock Reactions 02:56 AI Accounting And Volatility 03:33 Leverage And Hedge Funds 04:41 Economic Data Check 05:26 Fed Money Supply Question 05:57 How The Fed Tools Work 07:47 Wrap Up And Sign Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Will the Federal Reserve provide less guidance on interest rates going forward? On today's Squawk on the Street, we examine what a shift in Fed communication could mean for markets with Mohamed El-Erian. Plus, Caterpillar and Palantir rally after their latest results. What Palantir CEO Alex Karp told CNBC. And we look ahead to SpaceX's first earnings report as a public company, with one analyst who says the stock is a buy. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this week's Market Signals podcast, Chief Economist Dr. Jeffrey Roach is joined by Chief Market Strategist Chris Fasciano from Commonwealth Financial Network to discuss stronger-than-expected economic growth, rising Treasury yields, inflation pressures, and what could drive the Fed's next move. Tracking: #1153819
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4yUosr7 David Bahnsen reviews a “bizarre” July in which long-term yields rose, the Iran ceasefire/MOU collapsed, semiconductors fell sharply, and the yen hit multi-decade lows—yet the S&P 500 finished flat with improved breadth—and notes a strong early-August rally led by mega-cap tech while oil fell and energy dipped. He highlights massive hyperscaler capital expenditures and the key market questions around ROI, timing, financing, and systemic exposure. Bahnsen discusses shifting Iran headlines, policy items including the Todd Blanche AG nomination, the low odds of the Save Act and another reconciliation bill, Michigan's Senate primary dynamics, and a multi-state lawsuit over Section 301 tariff rationale. He covers Q2 real GDP at 1.5%, stronger July ISM manufacturing, elevated mortgage rates, Fed chair Warsh and balance-sheet effects, Treasury's reported yen buying, and midstream/MLP performance. 00:00 Welcome and Setup 00:23 July Market Recap 02:22 Monday Rally Snapshot 03:04 Big Tech Capex Questions 05:03 Iran Headlines and Oil 05:39 Washington Policy Update 07:50 GDP and ISM Readouts 09:01 Rates and Housing Impact 09:49 Fed Chair and Yen Move 12:45 Energy and Midstream Returns 13:10 Wrap Up and Next Episode 13:39 Disclosures and Disclaimers Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Barry Eichengreen is a is well known author, economist, and economic historian from the University of California, Berkeley. Paul Blustein is a former Washington Post and Wall Street Journal journalist who has authored several acclaimed books on global economic institutions. Brendan Greeley is a veteran journalist from the Financial Times and current PhD student at Princeton studying monetary history. They all return to the show for a special roundtable discussion where they discuss the history of dominant currencies, whether we will always end up with a single reserve currency, whether monetary sovereignty is earned or given, the question of exorbitant privilege, what there is to do about a second China Shock, the future of dollars in the digital age, and much more. Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel! Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on May 11th, 2026 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Barry Eichengreen on X: @B_Eichengreen Follow Paul Blustein on X: @PaulBlustein Follow Brendan Greeley on X: @BHGreeley Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:01 - On Each Author's Book 00:11:12 - Globally Dominant Currencies 00:25:37 - Single Reserve Currency 00:28:34 - Fed's Control Over Global Dollar System 00:38:39 - Exorbitant Privilege 00:46:30 - China Shock 2.0 00:49:23 - Future of the Global Dollar System 00:58:16 - Outro
In this week's stock market outlook, Matt breaks down the technical battle facing the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, reviews the biggest winners and losers of earnings season, and grades Kevin Warsh's performance as Federal Reserve Chair following the latest Fed meeting. The bulls reclaimed an important trend line, but the broader trend still needs confirmation. Matt identifies the resistance levels required for a legitimate breakout, the support zones traders must defend, and the signals coming from RSI and MACD heading into the new trading week. Earnings growth has been exceptional, but the market has not rewarded every company that beat expectations. Matt reviews the best and worst reports of the season, separates true operating strength from headline distortions, and explains what the results mean for technology and the broader market. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady following a contentious meeting. Matt breaks down the decision, the dissents, Kevin Warsh's communication strategy, and whether the new Fed Chair has earned a passing grade so far. • The S&P 500 breakout test and key market levels • Earnings season growth, market reactions, and major surprises • The strongest and weakest earnings reports • The Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision • Kevin Warsh's first report card as Fed Chair • Precision Trader and the upcoming Master Trader series
On the first trading day of August, David Faber and Jim Cramer explored several developments of importance to the markets; The U.S.-Japan joint intervention to prop up a yen trading at 40-year lows; Stocks jump as oil prices tumble on hopes for a diplomatic solution to the U.S.-Iran conflict; AstraZeneca reportedly in merger talks with Bristol Myers Squibb to create a nearly $400 billion pharmaceutical giant. Also in focus: Starbucks gets upgraded, SpaceX hits new lows ahead of its Tuesday earnings report, Alibaba's AI bounce, a look at whether July's biggest stock losers can rebound in August, the Dow aims for a five-month win streak, the 19th anniversary of Cramer's "They know nothing!!" Fed rant. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Bill Barhydt, Founder/CEO Abra, joined me to discuss the current state of the crypto market and what needs to happen for the market before the next major bull run. Recorded July 10th.Topics: - Crypto bear market and when the bottom might be in - Tokenization and markets going 24/7 - Clarity Act outlook - AI 's impact on the economy and life- Future of Prediction markets
In this deeply moving episode of Fed by the Fruit, host KB sits down with Jamie and Reina Bryce, a couple who faced every parent's worst nightmare with the loss of their two young sons, William and Zachariah, in a devastating house fire. With raw honesty and unshakable faith, they share how God met them in their darkest valley: the outpouring of love from their church and community, a peace that surpassed all understanding in the hospital, the powerful legacy of their six-year-old found shielding his little brother, and the gift of organ donation that gave life to others. They also reflect on the redemptive joy of welcoming their daughter, Hannah Joy, and the hope that continues to carry them forward. It's a heartbreaking yet profoundly encouraging testimony of God's presence, purpose, and peace in the midst of unimaginable grief.Reach out to KB on Instagram and share your thoughts.
The housing market is flashing warning signs not seen since 2008, and Wall Street veteran Todd "Bubba" Horwitz is sounding the alarm. With 45+ years of experience as an original S&P pit trader, Bubba joins Daniela to deliver a blunt reality check on the economy, the Fed, and where smart money is moving right now.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about who the market is paying attention to at the Fed, and what that means for mortgage rates. Related to this episode: Fed hawks are on the war path, sending mortgage rates higher HousingWire | YouTube HousingWire AI Summit – August 11 HousingWire Mortgage Banking Summit – October 1 More info about HousingWire The Top 5: Fed hawks are on the war path, sending mortgage rates higher Chris Gallo enters guilty plea in federal mortgage fraud case How Compass used technology to chart its course to the top ICE posts strongest quarter for mortgage tech since 2022 NEXA's Mike Kortas criticizes loanDepot, pitches LOs to switch companies amid ongoing lawsuit Want more from Sarah? Don't forget to subscribe! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate.
AI's leverage-fueled boom is colliding with a Fed determined to tighten conditions without touching short-term rates. This week, we dig into the Situational Awareness liquidation, the Fed meeting, and whether markets have reached a genuine growth inflection. We unpack the ongoing AI unwind, Warsh's long-end strategy, the Fed's credibility shock, and the administration's market choreography. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:45 Situational Awareness Liquidation 04:49 Why Leverage Fueled The Boom 07:51 Price Drives The Narrative 12:42 Did Markets Misread Warsh? 21:08 Why The Long End Matters 25:42 Warsh's Communication Problem 29:17 What Comes At Jackson Hole? 33:14 Growth Hits An Inflection 38:27 Markets Vs Midterm Politics 45:46 August Slowdown Risks FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JJcuttegsr2dLgKuasjv7B5u5tPe-OAu/view?usp=drive_link EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Non-QM lenders see opportunity in stricter condominium underwriting standards introduced by the FHFA, while broader markets continue to underscore the premium value of timely information, highlighted by reports of potential changes to the Fed's meeting schedule and the launch of a subscription service offering paying clients early access to market-moving Truth Social posts. Plus, Robbie interviews Aon's John Dickson on the evolution of disaster modeling and how it is impacting the mortgage industry from origination through the capital markets. And we close by examining Treasury and MBS market stability in the wake of last week's Federal Reserve meeting.Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.Thank you to Figure. Figure is shaking up the lending world with their five-day HELOC, offering borrower approvals in as little as five minutes and funding in five days. Figure has hundreds of partners in the Banking, Credit Union, Home Improvement, and of course, IMB space embedding their technology.
IBM Vice Chairman Gary Cohn says, “the market became addicted to knowing what the Fed was going to do” as he discusses market reaction to Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s handling of the US central bank. Cohn also discusses Japan and the US Treasury Department working together to shore up the yen and the instabilities being dealt with by markets. He talks to Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, said that while AI and the Fed may be issues more at the forefront of the economic conversation, risk from the Iran war and its subsequent impact on fuel stores remains an important factor in the background. Slok also commented the possibility that the Fed may have fewer meetings, saying that market will still try to price the Fed regardless of the schedule.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
From a massive balance sheet to the way the Fed communicates, Fed Chair's Kevin Warsh's new task forces will take a comprehensive look at U.S. monetary policy. Macroeconomist Joe Santos weighs in on the complicated work of reform now before the Fed.
Two Quants and a Financial Planner | Bridging the Worlds of Investing and Financial Planning
On this episode of the Excess Returns Weekly Wrap, Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler examine how the AI capital spending boom, an unpredictable Federal Reserve, reduced corporate reporting and factor investing are reshaping markets.They break down Ben Hunt's warning about private credit and AI infrastructure, Cameron Dawson and Dave Nadig on the loss of Fed forward guidance, Wes Gray on why value may matter more than company size, and Rupert Mitchell on the rate hike that could end the cycle.Topics covered:Why the AI capital spending boom is forcing hyperscalers to borrow money and issue equityHow private credit and private equity are financing the AI infrastructure buildoutWhy a slowdown in AI CapEx could create broader financial system riskHow government borrowing and AI investment are crowding out capital and pushing interest rates higherThe impact of data center electricity demand on consumers and the broader economyHow Kevin Warsh's no-forward-guidance policy changes Federal Reserve expectationsWhy greater front-end interest rate volatility matters for floating-rate debt and private creditThe debate over replacing quarterly corporate reports with six-month reportingWes Gray's argument that value, not small-company size, is the real source of higher expected returnsRupert Mitchell's death shot framework for how a final central bank rate hike can end a market cycleTimestamps:00:00 AI spending, Fed uncertainty and this week's market themes05:07 How the AI buildout crowds out capital across the economy10:44 No Fed forward guidance and a new era of policy uncertainty15:48 Why six-month corporate reporting could hurt investors20:30 Wes Gray on the small-cap premium24:42 Why value matters more than company size28:57 How a surprise rate hike could break risk assets34:05 Global value investing and pairing different investor perspectivesLearn more about the Excess Returns podcast network:https://excessreturns.coNo information discussed in this podcast should be construed as investment advice. Securities discussed may be held by the hosts and guests, their firms or their clients.
In this episode of Money Matters, brought to you by The Greenberg Financial Group, we unpack one of the strangest weeks the market has handed us in a while. The Dow dropped 1,000 points on Wednesday and took it all back over the next two days, and if you only checked your account on Friday you would think nothing happened at all. The Fed got the blame in the headlines, but the real story was a 25 year old former OpenAI employee whose hedge fund was up roughly 1,500% in two years, ran four times leverage into the memory and data center trade, and got picked apart by other funds once his book became visible. A $40 billion valuation became an $8 billion sale to Citadel. We walk through how forced selling moves an entire market, and why the lesson is not about being right but about staying solvent long enough to find out. Dean opens the show on volatility and why selling into weakness leaves you with the hardest question in investing, which is when you plan to get back in. He also lays out something that separates how we work from most firms. We do not plan for your retirement. We plan for your lifestyle changes, whether that means a $40,000 family vacation every year, a remodel, more travel, or simply never stopping work at all. He walks through what that planning actually covers, from Social Security timing to Medicare costs to how much you can spend each year without running out, and why we hand you the completed plan for free whether or not you ever do business with us. We also get into the capital expenditure fear that has dominated the tape. Meta's free cash flow collapsed and the stock got clobbered 10% despite revenue up 28%. Google went negative on free cash flow for the first time in its history. Then Amazon reported and its CEO talked openly about the profitability of data centers, and suddenly Google popped 7% on Friday. Every hyperscaler CEO is saying go, and investors keep saying stop, which means somebody is wrong. We look at Apple's 9% drop on a memory shortage that is now showing up in laptop and iPad prices, Microsoft's 24.6% month, the buyback restriction lifting at the end of 2026, and why the 30 year Treasury at a 19 year high and mortgage rates at 6.66% may matter more to this market than any earnings report. The second hour takes a different turn. Dean brings in attorney Mike Story, who represents Tucson police officers through their unions and responded at 2:30 in the morning to the mass shooting outside Empire Pizza in downtown Tucson. Mike walks through what actually happened that night, why a single shot from a seven year veteran ended the threat without endangering the crowd behind the gunman, and the question that officer asked him first. Am I going to prison for this. We talk about the shooter's prior gun offense, how that case was handled, what a 30% smaller police force means for a downtown everybody says they want to save, and what it would take to bring it back. We close with SpaceX heading into its first earnings report and the insider lockup expiring days later with 35% of the float sold short, energy leading all S&P sectors with XLE up 35% on the year, an options based income strategy that Todd and Dylan have been researching directly with the portfolio managers for its 60/40 tax treatment, and why Trump accounts may be the most powerful generational wealth tool available to a grandparent right now. Plus a Tucson fun fact about how the University of Arizona ended up here in 1885 because our representative showed up late. Our next free interactive financial planning seminar is Friday, August 21st from 11:30 to 2:00 at La Paloma Country Club. Lunch is included and you will see our full financial planning process start to finish. Register at www.GreenbergFinancial.com under the resource tab. If you have been thinking about taking us up on the free financial plan, this is the kind of clarity it brings. If you would like to contact us to learn more about our firm, our seminars, and our process - call us at 520.544.4909 or go to our website at www.Greenbergfinancial.com or email us at Contact@Greenbergfinancial.com Disclaimer: This show discusses different investment products and strategies. Every product and strategy has some type of inherent risk and we strongly encourage our listeners to properly understand these risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. The information presented on this program is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. The material covered on this program does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice, but is for general information purposes only. A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the options presented. Greenberg Financial Group is registered as an investment advisor with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements.
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Is the economy headed towards a recessionary cliff as inflation and dwindling economic confidence pull against productivity gains and capex spending? Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics shows us the possible pathways for the economy and households, and what to brace for. Plus, the Fed did nothing and said even less, driving long bond yields to multi-year highs and causing investors to wonder if the Fed Chair Warsh's task forces are really here to help. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Aunque los vaivenes que hemos visto esta última semana de julio en algunos valores puedan dar la impresión de todo lo contrario, la realidad es, como anticipábamos al finalizar nuestro anterior comentario, que la reunión de la Fed y los resultados de las cuatro grandes tecnológicas que han publicado sus cifras esta semana han contribuido a estabilizar las bolsas en la recta final de julio. Y la realidad es, también, que tanto julio como esta última semana han estado llenos de mensajes y de enseñanzas que hay que intentar leer adecuadamente, para no perderse y para entender lo que está pasando en los mercados. Artículo completo en r4.com ➡️ https://www.r4.com/articulos-y-analisis/opinion-de-expertos/primeras-victimas-de-la-volatilidad-y-momento-show-me-the-money
Suze Orman's Women & Money (And Everyone Smart Enough To Listen)
On this Suze School, Suze goes over everything that happened in the economy in the last week. She reviews how the market responded to the Fed's rate announcement and why you should not have FOMO about some recent IPOs. Learn more about the Ultimate Scam Protection here: SuzeOrman.com Watch Suze’s YouTube Channel Jumpstart financial wellness for your employees: https://bit.ly/SecureSave Protect your financial future with the Must Have Docs: https://bit.ly/3Vq1V3G Help with the Must Have Docs: Email:support@musthavedocuments.zendesk.com Phone: 888-510-0510 Get your savings going with Alliant Credit Union: https://bit.ly/3rg0Yio Get Suze’s special offers for podcast listeners at suzeorman.com/offer Join Suze’s Women & Money Community for FREE and ASK SUZE your questions which may just end up on the podcast. Download the app by following one of these links: CLICK HERE FOR APPLE: https://apple.co/2KcAHbH CLICK HERE FOR GOOGLE PLAY: https://bit.ly/3curfMISee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Aug 3, 2026 – Missing a single deadline can trigger a 25% tax penalty, and most retirees do not realize how many ways an RMD can quietly reshape their finances. Brendan McMurtrie sits down with Ryan Puplava to break down required minimum distributions under SECURE Act 2.0...
On this episode of our new market wrap show Last Call, we examine the hidden rotation beneath calm stock market indexes, including sharp AI and semiconductor volatility, small-cap strength, forced fund liquidations, higher rates and changing Federal Reserve guidance. Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler are joined by Jim Paulsen, Ben Hunt, Brent Kochuba, Cameron Dawson and Dave Nadig to discuss stock market correction risk, the economics of the AI data center buildout, options flows, market leverage, regulation and what could drive volatility next.Follow Last Call on SpotifyFollow Last Call on Apple PodcastsTopics coveredWhy market indexes can hide sharp rotation, dispersion and volatility in semiconductors and high-beta technology stocksJim Paulsen's Policy Pain framework linking oil, Treasury yields, dollar strength and lagged effects on stocks, bonds and economic growthWhy technology stocks could enter a bear market while old-economy sectors, small caps and value stocks hold upBen Hunt's World War AI thesis comparing the AI infrastructure buildout with inflation-adjusted World War II spendingHow hyperscalers, equity issuance, private credit and government financing could crowd out consumers and businessesWhy data centers could consume nearly one quarter of U.S. electricity and lead to higher prices, rationing and government interventionWhat the Situational Awareness fund liquidation and Citadel portfolio transaction reveal about forced market flowsHow options correlations and narrow market breadth can separate a technical rebound from a fundamental AI bottomRisks from speculative retail investments, weakened regulators, leverage and cyclical semiconductor profit marginsWhy reduced Fed forward guidance could create surprise policy decisions and greater algorithmic market volatilityTimestamps00:00 Market rotation and AI volatility beneath the indexes04:07 Jim Paulsen on Policy Pain and market vulnerability09:23 Why tightening hurts stocks before helping bonds14:23 Tech bear market risk and a possible leadership shift18:23 Ben Hunt on World War AI, private credit and systemic risk26:00 Data center electricity demand and the energy constraint31:29 Brent Kochuba on the Situational Awareness liquidation36:00 The forced buying behind the AI stock rebound40:00 Why the liquidation bounce may not signal an AI bottom44:00 How forced flows distort fundamental market narratives48:00 Retail investing pitches, liquidity and cycle FOMO52:00 Deregulation by destaffing at the SEC and CFTC56:00 Semiconductor operating leverage and fragile S&P 500 margins01:00:07 Jack's grievance with the YouTube algorithm01:04:29 What happens when the Fed stops giving forward guidance01:08:34 How markets could react to a surprise Fed decisionLearn more about the Excess Returns podcast network:https://excessreturns.coNo information discussed in this podcast should be construed as investment advice. Securities discussed may be held by the hosts and guests, their firms or their clients.
In this episode of WSJ's Take On the Week, co-host Telis Demos is joined by guest co-host and Wall Street Journal reporter David Uberti to break down the Federal Reserve's latest moves, and what oil's volatile pricing—exacerbated by the U.S.-Iran conflict—might mean for inflation and the Fed going forward. Then, BCA Research's chief commodities strategist Roukaya Ibrahim joins the show to break down what's behind oil's volatile pricing. They discuss what current geopolitical tensions mean for oil and whether recent inventory data suggests a looming supply crunch. Plus, Ibrahim explains why the traditional link between gold and inflation has fractured, and how oil price shocks may impact the Fed. This is WSJ's Take On the Week where co-hosts Telis Demos, writer for WSJ's Heard on the Street, and Miriam Gottfried, WSJ's investing and wealth management reporter, cut through the noise and dive into markets, the economy and finance—the big trades, key players and business news ahead. Have an idea for a future guest or episode? How can we better help you take on the week? We'd love to hear from you. Email the show at takeontheweek@wsj.com. To watch the video version of this episode, visit our WSJ Podcasts YouTube channel or the video page of WSJ.com Further Reading Kevin Warsh Asked the Market to Speak. It Answered. Two Wars Put Stranglehold on Global Energy Supplies U.S. Emergency Oil Reserve Hits Lowest Levels Since 1983: Why It Matters For more coverage of the markets and your investments, head to WSJ.com, WSJ's Heard on The Street Column, and WSJ's Live Markets blog. Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter. Follow Miriam Gottfried here and Telis Demos here. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
On this week's Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss an up week on Wall Street and rising energy prices in the wake of wider conflict in the Middle East; higher Treasury yields in the wake of Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's communication stumble on explaining Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady; President Trump call to suspend further Iran strikes pending a quick deal to end the war; despite an uncertain budget future, the Pentagon awarded Lockheed Martin a $58 billion contract for PAC 3 missiles that will also flow to companies like RTX and General Dynamics and HII $76.6 billion in contracts for nine Virginia-class attack subs and four Columbia-class ballistic missile subs; Washington and Tokyo worked together to prop up the yen, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent asking the New York Federal Reserve Bank to sell euros to buy yen; Britain's Burnham government will release its budget on Oct. 28 that will include a $32 billion buffer as British bond yields near their post-2008 high after Washington and Jerusalem started their war on Iran; EasyJet says it's got a 5.7 billion pound or $7.7 billion offer from Apollo Global Management; and Airbus, AerCap, Boeing, Bombardier, General Dynamics, Hexcel, HII, Leonardo and Leonardo DRS, Melrose, Safran, and Textron report earnings.
Het is een beetje een saai, ouderwets en gedateerd techbedrijf, maar tóch moet je erop letten, zegt onze gast, Jos Versteeg van InsingerGillisen. Infineon! Een Duits techbedrijf, volgens Jos in de verste verte niet vergelijkbaar met bijvoorbeeld TSMC, daar is de techniek te oud voor. Tóch vindt hij de cijfers interessant, omdat ze chips leveren voor datacenters. Daar hoopt hij meer over te horen. We kijken vooruit op de cijfers, en ook een klein beetje op die van AMD. In Beurs in Zicht stomen we je klaar voor de beursweek die je tegemoet gaat. Want soms zie je door de beursbomen het beursbos niet meer. Dat is verleden tijd! Iedere week vertelt een vriend van de show waar jouw focus moet liggen. Te gast: Jos Versteeg van InsingerGillisen BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On this week's Week in Review, Dave Spano and Dr. Brian Jacobsen unpack a market-moving week that proved investors are still hanging on every word from the Federal Reserve. While the Fed left interest rates unchanged, markets reacted sharply as investors parsed what Chair Powell said, and didn't say, about inflation, growth, and the path forward. Meanwhile, earnings season delivered a tale of two tech stories. Microsoft and Amazon validated the AI investment boom with blockbuster results, while Meta and Apple faced tougher scrutiny as investors questioned spending levels, growth expectations, and execution. Dave and Brian also cover the latest developments in oil prices, economic data, consumer behavior, and the earnings trends shaping markets. Plus, practical conversations on gifting money and a question that deserves more attention: when should retirement planning really begin? The answer may be sooner than you think.
For our Week in Review, Dave Spano and Dr. Brian Jacobsen will break down a rate pause from the Fed, AI producing both big winners and notable losers, and consumers continue to send mixed signals about the economy. They'll also discuss oil prices and earnings season results. Microsoft and Amazon proved AI spending can pay off, while Meta and Apple reminded investors that growth still has to meet expectations. Plus, segments on smarter money habits and when retirement planning should actually start.
Jordi Visser is a veteran macro investor with 30+ years of experience and the author of the VisserLabs Substack. In this conversation, we break down the Leopold Aschenbrenner hedge fund unwind, the market crashes in South Korea and Japan, Kevin Warsh and the Fed's next move, and the case for compute scarcity as AI demand outpaces supply. We also discuss tokenization and why bitcoin remains the ultimate hedge and store of value in a world being reshaped by AI.======================Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates investment strategies across Stocks, Commodities, ETFs and Crypto. Whether you're rotating into AI & Gold, allocating to the S&P 500, or accumulating Bitcoin, Arch Public executes your plan 24/7 without ever taking custody of your assets or funds. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com, and start your FREE automated trading strategy! ======================Figure's $160k Community Appreciation (https://www.figure.com/crypto-community-appreciation/T&Cs (https://www.figure.com/crypto-community-appreciation/disclosures/) Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Take out a Figure Crypto-Backed Loan, allowing you to borrow against your BTC, ETH, or SOL with 12-month terms, 8.91% interest rates, and no prepayment penalties. Or check out Democratized Prime (https://figuremarkets.co/pomp) and earn ~8.5% APY on real world assets.Unlock your crypto's potential today at Figure! https://figuremarkets.co/pomp Figure Lending LLC dba Figure (NMLS 1717824). Loans subject to approval. Crypto collateral may be liquidated. Terms apply - see full disclosures at http://figure.com/disclosures/======================0:00 - Intro0:48 - Leopold's fund unwind & lessons from past blowups 9:21 - Hedge fund leverage & how AI is reshaping market structure11:45 - Korea & Japan's market collapse13:56 - AI will destroy all public companies?15:20 - The bull case for hyperscalers & compute scarcity27:44 - Why bitcoin is the best hedge fund ever29:12 - Kevin Warsh & the Fed33:48 - Does this help Wall Street or Main Street?36:47- Advice for a 25-year-old starting their career today41:18 - Bitcoin & the rest of crypto industry48:52 - Migration, digital money & the breakdown of borders57:56 - What Jordi is covering in his next video
In this episode of The Canadian Macro Investor Podcast, Simon and Dan break down the latest Fed decision and why the bond market may be starting to challenge Kevin Warsh’s inflation message. They discuss the split reaction across the yield curve, with short-term yields moving differently than longer-term yields, and what that could mean for inflation, recession risk and future rate hikes. They also look at Canada’s population data problem and why undercounting temporary residents could distort unemployment, mortgage delinquency trends and the broader read on the Canadian economy. From there, they dig into big tech earnings, including Microsoft and Meta, and why investors are paying closer attention to AI capex, free cash flow, depreciation, and credit default swaps across the hyperscalers. They also discuss Anthropic, open-weight AI models, data privacy concerns, tariffs, copper demand, and what the AI infrastructure build-out could mean for energy and markets. Tickers discussed: MSFT, META, GOOG, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, ORCL, AAPL, SKM Watch the full video on Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of The Wrap with Chris Whalen, Chris joins Julia La Roche to argue that Kevin Warsh has a credibility problem: he's holding rates, avoiding confrontation with a divided board, and saying almost nothing, while the bond market does the tightening for him with the ten-year near 4.7% and mortgages headed toward seven-plus. Whalen's prescription is blunt — take back last year's cuts with two quarter-point hikes, consider a surprise August move, raise margin requirements, and keep shrinking the balance sheet, because Treasury is the dog and the Fed is barely the tail. From there the conversation ranges across a coming diesel and fertilizer shortage nobody in Washington will discuss, gold's role as real money in Asia versus a paper price in the West, and Whalen's own portfolio, from Annaly and Rhythm Capital to Flagstar and roughly a fifth in precious metals. The back half turns spicy with Tom Gober's new guest post on life insurers: private-credit-controlled annuity writers reinsuring liabilities offshore without posting enough assets behind them, hidden by state secrecy laws and rubber-stamped by ratings agencies that were never working for you. Plus PennyMac's bad quarter, George Gleason's construction-lending model at Bank OZK, and mailbag questions on SpaceX and mining stocks.Thank you to our sponsor, Monetary Metals. Learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/THEWRAP/Links: The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Thomas Gober guest article: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira874Seeing Around Corners book: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/product-page/seeing-around-corners-achieving-success-in-business-and-life-hardcoverUse the code TheWrap2026 for 25% off your first year of The Institutional Risk Analyst https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/plans-pricingTimestamps:0:00 — Intro: no, the show isn't being cancelled1:52 — Warsh's first pressers: three dissenters and a chairman who says nothing5:42 — How Warsh gets credibility: take back last year's cuts7:20 — Trump stays quiet on Warsh — plus a coming diesel and fertilizer squeeze8:46 — Is the economy finally slowing? The fading power of deficits10:22 — "Treasury is the dog, the Fed is the tail"11:30 — The case for a surprise August hike and less forward guidance12:56 — Gold, Keith Weiner, and the permanent backwardation thesis15:38 — Gold as bank capital: pledging metal as repo collateral16:37 — Whalen's book: Annaly, Rhythm, miners, energy, Schwab, Flagstar19:41 — PennyMac's ugly quarter and why it drags the whole mortgage group down21:23 — Bank OZK vs. the big banks on commercial real estate23:19 — Tom Gober's guest post: is your life insurer actually solvent?27:00 — Offshore reinsurance, secrecy states, and why ratings won't save you29:36 — Mailbag: SpaceX below IPO price — buy more or bail?31:53 — Mailbag: miners vs. metal, GLD/GDX vs. SLV/SIL35:13 — What's next: mortgage earnings, the bank 50, and the gold book
(00:00) Sigla iniziale(00:44) Trump sempre più stretto a Hormuz(08:53) Un parolaio alla Fed?(29:11) Tempi duri per i miliardari cinesi(40:35) Il pozzo di Tajani e i risparmi degli italiani(56:22) Attori di strada e pompe di benzina(01:07:15) La sindrome italiana sbarca in GiapponeDiventa un supporter di questo podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/phastidio-podcast--4672101/support.Fatti e notizie che hanno attirato l'attenzione del vostro TitolareOra disponibile: "Paziente Zero: come la sindrome italiana ha contagiato l'Europa (e l'Occidente)"Volete donare a questo podcast? Ora potete!
Amazon's autonomous vehicle company, Zoox, can now roll out 2,500 of its vehicles annually in the next two years. Are more robotic cars coming, or will there be more speed bumps? But first, we'll look at the market impact of the Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady in our Weekly Wrap. Plus, the effect of rising health insurance costs for employers, a retiree returning to the workforce for a family business, and a look at how Boulder, Colorado is making room for the Sundance Film Festival.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Weekly Wrap: Kevin Warsh's dilemma on interest ratesRising health insurance costs may take a bite out of your paycheckLeaving retirement for a new family businessAmazon's self-driving Zoox taxis are about to hit the roadsWhen a legendary film festival comes to Colorado, will homeowners open their doors?
The conversation focused on a rapidly changing and turbulent global landscape, with a particular emphasis on recent events in Spain following controversial immigration policies and a dramatic influx of migrants. The discussion explored escalating tensions in the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia's direct engagement with the Houthis in Yemen, and examined complex geopolitical conspiracies surrounding these developments.A key theme that emerged was the destabilization of regions through demographic shifts, clashes of culture, and the potential influence of external actors like Israel and the US. The episode also delved into the state of the US economy, the Fed's latest moves, and global financial instability, as well as insights on the future of entertainment with EA going private.Several points were raised, including the enduring impact of religious extremism, the evolution of Western and Islamic societies, accountability in public health leadership, and the unintended consequences of government intervention in technology sectors. Throughout, the discussion emphasized the dangers of jumping to conclusions and the importance of critically assessing rapidly unfolding narratives in an era defined by uncertainty and change.Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpodWhatnot: Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order.Monarch Money: Start your free trial and get 50% off your first year of total money clarity at https://monarchmoney.yt.link/QxOLEVx or code TB50 for 50% Off Monarch Core tier.ATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at business.att.comKetone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription orderShopify: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial period at https://shopify.com/impactSurfshark: Go to https://surfshark.com/bilyeu or use code BILYEU at checkout to get 4 extra months of Surfshark! ITU: Ready to break through your biggest business bottleneck? Apply to work with me 1:1 - https://impacttheory.co/SCALESign up for my AI Masterclass: https://tombilyeu.com/ai-masterclass?utm_campaign=TBS-Livestream&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=socialSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Farnoosh recaps a webinar on navigating money conversations with loved ones, then dives into the week's financial news: the Fed holding rates steady, what Apple and Microsoft earnings mean for your index funds, and a landlord's "work from home fee." Then, she tackles two big listener questions: how to find and pay for a financial planner (flat fee vs. retainer vs. AUM, and what "fee-only" really means), and why a perfect credit score doesn't guarantee you the lowest mortgage rate. Learn more about Farnoosh's upcoming literary workshop Book to Brand. Early bird registration is now open! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Amazon's autonomous vehicle company, Zoox, can now roll out 2,500 of its vehicles annually in the next two years. Are more robotic cars coming, or will there be more speed bumps? But first, we'll look at the market impact of the Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady in our Weekly Wrap. Plus, the effect of rising health insurance costs for employers, a retiree returning to the workforce for a family business, and a look at how Boulder, Colorado is making room for the Sundance Film Festival.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Weekly Wrap: Kevin Warsh's dilemma on interest ratesRising health insurance costs may take a bite out of your paycheckLeaving retirement for a new family businessAmazon's self-driving Zoox taxis are about to hit the roadsWhen a legendary film festival comes to Colorado, will homeowners open their doors?
Discover the latest economic update. Second-quarter GDP grew at a slower-than-expected annual rate of 1.5%, but much of the weakness came from temporary factors like lower inventories and reduced government spending rather than a broad slowdown in the private economy. Consumer spending remained strong, inflation continued to ease on a monthly basis, and private-sector demand was robust. While the Federal Reserve is still waiting for inflation to move closer to its 2% target before cutting rates, the underlying economic picture remains healthier than the headline GDP number suggests. Key Takeaways GDP grew 1.5% in the second quarter, below expectations. Consumer spending accelerated to 2.1%, showing continued economic resilience. Final sales to private domestic purchasers rose a strong 3.9%, highlighting solid underlying demand. Core PCE inflation eased to 0.1% for the month but remains 3.3% year-over-year, above the Fed's target. The Fed is likely to remain patient on interest rates until inflation shows more sustained improvement. The personal savings rate fell to 2.7%, its lowest level in four years, suggesting consumers are relying more on savings to maintain spending. Are you on track for financial freedom...or not? Financial freedom is a combination of money, compounding and time (my McT Formula). How well you invest can make the biggest difference to your financial freedom and lifestyle. If you invested well for the long-term, what a difference it would make because the difference between investing $100k and earning 5 percent or 10 percent on your money over 30 years, is the difference between it growing to $432,194 or $1,744,940, an increase of over $1.3 million dollars. Your compounding rate, and how well you invest, matters! INVESTING IS WHAT THE BE WEALTHY & SMART VIP EXPERIENCE IS ALL ABOUT - Invest in digital assets and stock ETFs for potential high compounding rates - Receive an Asset Allocation model with ticker symbols and what % to invest -Monthly LIVE investment webinars with Linda 10 months per year, with Q & A -Private VIP Facebook group with daily community interaction -Weekly investment commentary -Extra educational wealth classes available -Pay once, have lifetime access! NO recurring membership fees. -US and foreign investors are welcome -No minimum $ amount to invest -Tech Team available for digital assets (for hire per hour) For a limited time, enjoy a 50% savings on my private investing group, the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Pay once and enjoy lifetime access without any additional recurring fees. Pay once and you're done! Invest with our successful community for years to come. Enter "SAVE50" to save 50% here: http://tinyurl.com/InvestingVIP Or set up a complimentary conversation to answer your questions about the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Request an appointment to talk with Linda here: https://tinyurl.com/TalkWithLinda (yes, you talk to Linda!). SUBSCRIBE TO BE WEALTHY & SMART Click Here to Subscribe Via iTunes Click Here to Subscribe Via Stitcher on an Android Device Click Here to Subscribe Via RSS Feed LINDA'S WEALTH BOOKS 1. Get my book, "3 Steps to Quantum Wealth: The Wealth Heiress' Guide to Financial Freedom by Investing in Cryptocurrencies". 2. Get my book, "You're Already a Wealth Heiress, Now Think and Act Like One: 6 Practical Steps to Make It a Reality Now!" Men love it too! After all, you are Wealth Heirs. :) International buyers (if you live outside of the US) get my book here. WANT MORE FROM LINDA? Check out her programs. Join her on Instagram. WEALTH LIBRARY OF PODCASTS Listen to the full wealth library of podcasts from the beginning. SPECIAL DEALS #Ad Apply for a Gemini credit card and get FREE XRP back (or any crypto you choose) when you use the card. Charge $3000 in first 90 days and earn $200 in crypto rewards when you use this link to apply and are approved: https://tinyurl.com/geminixrp This is a credit card, NOT a debit card. There are great rewards. Set your choice to EARN FREE XRP! #Ad Protect yourself online with a Virtual Private Network (VPN). Get 3 MONTHS FREE when you sign up for a NORD VPN plan here. #Ad To safely and securely store crypto, I recommend using a Tangem wallet. Get a 10% discount when you purchase here. #Ad If you are looking to simplify your crypto tax reporting, use Koinly. It is highly recommended and so easy for tax reporting. You can save $20, click here. Be Wealthy & Smart,™ is a personal finance show with self-made millionaire Linda P. Jones, America's Wealth Mentor.™ Learn simple steps that make a big difference to your financial freedom. (This post contains affiliate links. If you click on a link and make a purchase, I may receive a commission. There is no additional cost to you.)
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE On today's show, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a wild Thursday in the markets: Microsoft up 15% and Meta down 9% post-earnings, a huge bounce in semis and memory names, and software getting crushed. Guy makes the case that this price action looks more like a topping formation than a bottom. They dig into Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's post-meeting commentary and the bond market selloff it triggered, Bank of Japan intervention on the yen (and what it could mean for volatility), the dollar's potential breakout, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley's pullback from all-time highs, China's AI and chip progress and what it means for KWEB, and where gold goes next after holding the $4,000 level. Plus, Dan sits down with Tim McCourt, Senior Managing Director and Global Head of Equity, FX and Alternative Products at CME Group, to talk about the newly launched Single Stock Futures — how they work, why CME launched them now during earnings season, and how traders can use them alongside stocks, ETFs, and options for risk management. Show Notes AI Lowers Wages But Doesn't Cut Jobs (Apollo) Why the bond market is doubting Fed chairman Warsh (Axios) FactSet Insight (FactSet) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
U.S. Treasurys popping to end the week as the 2 Year hits a near two-decade high and the 10 Year reaches highs not seen since January 2025. The traders break down the reason behind the surge and if this could affect the next Fed rate decision. Then, Novo Nordisk tumbling after a heart medicine trial failure. Mizuho securities healthcare sector specialist Jared Holz lays out how the company can coarse correct, and what this means for the broader pharmaceutical space. Plus, Amazon surging 15% on the back of its earnings while Exxon loses steam, and counting down to SpaceX's earnings report as the aerospace giant trades well below its IPO price. Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4wwsHI5 David Bahnsen reviews this week's Fed meeting, noting some credible forecasts expected a surprise 25–50 bp hike, though the Fed ultimately held. He argues the Fed's rationale was unusually direct: financial conditions tightened without a hike as yields rose across the curve, and further tightening should prioritize stopping balance-sheet expansion after $200–$250B of added assets this year. Bahnsen contrasts camps calling for hikes because inflation has stayed above 2% with those citing falling TIPS-implied inflation expectations near 2%, while emphasizing Warsh's market-focused approach and opposition to investors “gaming” Fed guidance (“play the ball, not the referee”). Warsh rejects a Phillips-curve tradeoff, saying price stability and full employment are not in conflict and inflation harms labor markets. Bahnsen expects falling hike odds and is skeptical rates rise this year, viewing Warsh as reform-minded but incremental, independent from President Trump despite citing tariffs and oil-driven supply shocks. 00:00 Welcome and Setup 00:36 Why This Fed Meeting 03:36 Case for Rate Hike 05:12 Fed Transparency Shift 08:22 Markets Tightened Already 10:21 Balance Sheet First 14:11 Warsh Philosophy Shift 16:50 Hike Odds and Outlook 17:55 Independence and Politics 20:47 Closing Takeaways 22:44 Sign Off and Weekend Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Jul 30, 2026 – Is the stock market flashing warning signs even as analysts predict record earnings? Veteran market technician Tom McClellan joins Jim Puplava to explain why extreme optimism often signals a top, why valuations relative to money supply...
Jul 31, 2026 – This week showed that earnings can overpower macroeconomic pressure when companies provide hard evidence that spending is producing revenue, backlog, and adoption. Microsoft and Amazon revived the AI trade through rapid cloud growth and clearer monetization,
Jul 31, 2026 – Jim Puplava argues that precious metals are near the end of a cyclical cooldown and consolidation. He attributes the correction to rising rates, a strong dollar, and leveraged paper-market shakeouts. Longer term, he sees intensifying tailwinds...
Jul 30, 2026 – When an OpenAI frontier model broke out of its sandbox and hacked Hugging Face on its own, it forced a hard question: how do we govern AI that's both ubiquitous and powerful? Policy powerhouse Bruce Mehlman unpacks...
Since 2020, the cost of groceries has risen 26%. But contrary to what you might think, cash-strapped consumers aren't necessarily staying away from pricier options. In this episode, why Americans are doubling down on organic — even as the cost of their overall grocery haul rises. Plus: Why more customers are choosing chargebacks, what economists predict about inflation two years from now, and how a Maine nonprofit is bringing lobstering to the next generation.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:The Fed doesn't have an inflation crystal ball, but it does have "sticky-price CPI"In spite of price hike fatigue, consumers are still snapping up organic foodsCredit card chargebacks are on the rise — part of the reason is fraudMultiple wars drive up the price of diesel"Never would have expected to be here": Young Mainers consider the lobster
The Fed talked tough and did nothing. The 30-year hit a 20-year high. The Dow fell 1,100 points. Gold was the only thing left standing.Tonight's episode is sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmTonight's episode is also sponsored by Ethos. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/gold. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%, exactly where they were before Kevin Warsh took over, despite a 30% market-priced chance of a hike and three FOMC members dissenting in favor of one. Peter Schiff breaks down a press conference where Warsh declared "no tolerance" for inflation above 2% while doing nothing about it, hiding behind the excuse that the Fed "doesn't have a magic wand." Nobody asked for magic, just for the Fed to use the tools it actually has: higher rates, a smaller balance sheet, slower money supply growth. Warsh delivered none of them, and Schiff argues he made the same choice as his predecessors. Inflation is a choice, and the Fed chose it again.The markets rendered their verdict immediately. The 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.22%, its highest in roughly 20 years, the Dow fell 2.2% or about 1,100 points to close on the lows, and the Nasdaq 100 is now down over 3% on the week as the air keeps coming out of the AI bubble, with Meta down 10% after missing earnings and SanDisk off 30% in three days. Gold told the real story: it closed up $40 at 4,070 and never broke 4,000, because rising yields driven by a loss of confidence in the Fed are bullish for gold, not bearish. Schiff calls gold the last safe haven standing. He also covers consumer confidence at a five-year low, a $101.5 billion June trade deficit proving the tariffs accomplished nothing, and why Mamdani's government-run grocery stores will empty shelves, bankrupt private grocers in the poorest neighborhoods, and recreate Soviet bread lines in New York City.Chapters:00:00 Debt Bubble Reality00:37 Fed Holds Rates Steady03:34 Two Percent Target Doubts16:05 Q&A Exposes Inaction27:38 Markets React Bonds Stocks Gold31:45 Yields and Gold Misread35:02 Gold Safe Haven Case37:40 Fed Fallout and Data43:12 NYC Government Grocers55:42 Capitalism and Wrap UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Dr. Anthony Fauci refused to answer questions at a combative Senate hearing about the COVID-19 pandemic. The Wall Street Journal’s Liz Essley Whyte explains the tension behind the clash. The Democratic National Committee faces a cash shortage less than 100 days before the midterms. NOTUS’s Elena Schneider breaks down how Chair Ken Martin’s rocky tenure could complicate the party’s plans to flip Congress. FIFA President Gianni Infantino wants to sell shares in the World Cup to private investors, angering soccer’s biggest institutions. The Times of London’s Martyn Ziegler explains the plan and its ties to Trump’s circle. Plus, the Fed held rates steady in a divided vote, wildfires continue to burn across southern Europe, and why BTS won’t submit music for the 2027 Grammys. Today’s episode was hosted by Gideon Resnick.