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A.M. Edition for Aug. 28. A federal judge finds the Trump administration violated Anthropic's first amendment rights by deeming it a supply-chain risk. Plus, prosecutors scale up their crackdown on insider trading on prediction markets. And as more young people opt out of even searching for entry-level roles, WSJ reporter Natasha Dangoor details the rising interest in apprenticeships on both sides of the Atlantic. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Discover what Fed Chairman Warsh is signaling to investors. The investment landscape may be changing, and understanding what the Fed is signaling could help you recognize both the risks and the opportunities ahead. Are you on track for financial freedom...or not? Financial freedom is a combination of money, compounding and time (my McT Formula). How well you invest can make the biggest difference to your financial freedom and lifestyle. If you invested well for the long-term, what a difference it would make because the difference between investing $100k and earning 5 percent or 10 percent on your money over 30 years, is the difference between it growing to $432,194 or $1,744,940, an increase of over $1.3 million dollars. Your compounding rate, and how well you invest, matters! INVESTING IS WHAT THE BE WEALTHY & SMART VIP EXPERIENCE IS ALL ABOUT - Invest in digital assets and stock ETFs for potential high compounding rates - Receive an Asset Allocation model with ticker symbols and what % to invest -Monthly LIVE investment webinars with Linda 10 months per year, with Q & A -Private VIP Facebook group with daily community interaction -Weekly investment commentary -Extra educational wealth classes available -Pay once, have lifetime access! NO recurring membership fees. -US and foreign investors are welcome -No minimum $ amount to invest -Tech Team available for digital assets (for hire per hour) For a limited time, enjoy a 50% savings on my private investing group, the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Pay once and enjoy lifetime access without any additional recurring fees. Pay once and you're done! Invest with our successful community for years to come. Enter "SAVE50" to save 50% here: http://tinyurl.com/InvestingVIP Or set up a complimentary conversation to answer your questions about the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Request an appointment to talk with Linda here: https://tinyurl.com/TalkWithLinda (yes, you talk to Linda!). SUBSCRIBE TO BE WEALTHY & SMART Click Here to Subscribe Via iTunes Click Here to Subscribe Via Stitcher on an Android Device Click Here to Subscribe Via RSS Feed LINDA'S WEALTH BOOKS 1. Get my book, "3 Steps to Quantum Wealth: The Wealth Heiress' Guide to Financial Freedom by Investing in Cryptocurrencies". 2. Get my book, "You're Already a Wealth Heiress, Now Think and Act Like One: 6 Practical Steps to Make It a Reality Now!" Men love it too! After all, you are Wealth Heirs. :) International buyers (if you live outside of the US) get my book here. WANT MORE FROM LINDA? Check out her programs. Join her on Instagram. WEALTH LIBRARY OF PODCASTS Listen to the full wealth library of podcasts from the beginning. SPECIAL DEALS #Ad Apply for a Gemini credit card and get FREE XRP back (or any crypto you choose) when you use the card. Charge $3000 in first 90 days and earn $200 in crypto rewards when you use this link to apply and are approved: https://tinyurl.com/geminixrp This is a credit card, NOT a debit card. There are great rewards. Set your choice to EARN FREE XRP! #Ad Protect yourself online with a Virtual Private Network (VPN). Get 3 MONTHS FREE when you sign up for a NORD VPN plan here. #Ad To safely and securely store crypto, I recommend using a Tangem wallet. Get a 10% discount when you purchase here. #Ad If you are looking to simplify your crypto tax reporting, use Koinly. It is highly recommended and so easy for tax reporting. You can save $20, click here. Be Wealthy & Smart,™ is a personal finance show with self-made millionaire Linda P. Jones, America's Wealth Mentor.™ Learn simple steps that make a big difference to your financial freedom. (This post contains affiliate links. If you click on a link and make a purchase, I may receive a commission. There is no additional cost to you.)
PODCAST LAS NOTICIAS CON CALLE 28 de agosto de 2026 - EEUU negocia quedarse con una tajada "masiva" del petróleo de Venezuela, Venezuela negocia quedarse con 90 mil millones de barriles de petróleo y que Venezuela salga de la OPEP Ayuda federal tardaría hasta un año por sequía y desastre federal - El Vocero Crisis de agua inunda la línea PAS - El Vocero Un momento para WindMar Home — la empresa con más de 20 años protegiendo los hogares puertorriqueños.Solar para bajar tu factura. Techo para proteger tu inversión. Agua para que nunca te quedes sin — especialmente con las sequía. Y batería para total independencia energética.Todo bajo una misma empresa. Un solo llamado. Llama al 787-489-1155 o visita windmarhome.comWindMar Home — los que se preparan hoy , duermen tranquilos mañana.#windmarhome #windmarhome #incluyeauspicioCorrección admite que no hay razón para cancelar contrato ordenado por la gobernadora cancelar y debe 112 millones a empleados en retroactivo - El Nuevo Día Tormenta Dolly sigue camino hacia acá para lunes - NHCSolX cesantea ~200 en Aguadilla tras suplidos no poder entregar materiales - Jay FEmbalses al borde: Carraízo en 37.27m, a 26 cm del nivel de "control" (37.00m); La Plata bajó 11 cm a 45.05m; 14 de 19 embalses reportaron bajas. 180,000 abonados en racionamiento de 48 horas - El Vocero Yanira Raíces incumplía requisitos desde 1999, por eso pide distinción especial - El Nuevo Día Jefe de DACO plantea correr para alcalde de Cataño y tiene comité para político mientras es secretario - El Nuevo DíaRegresa SuperPAC Democracia es Prosperidad - El Nuevo Día Norma Burgos pide break al Senado para entregar datos de los últimos días de Domenech y García Posible cirugía Tommy John para Fernando Cruz Boston Scientific sufre ciberataque global, afectó su capacidad de procesar y enviar pedidos; reportado a la SECFederación agrícola en quiebra - El Nuevo Día Trump renombra Lago Ontario "Lake America":7 de 14 unidades de respuesta rápida fuera de servicio, se las compramos a los dueños de Genera y no sirven, Negociado dice que va a investigar - El Nuevo Día Escala la pelea con Canadá, Trump impuso aranceles de 50% a una batería de productos canadienses; Canadá respondió con 50% al alambre de cobre, madera y carbón vegetal gringos, y ofreció C$504M para atraer a 64 científicos estadounidenses - Bloomberg Hoy el jefe de la FED da su primer discurso Jackson Hole a las 10 Nvidia, imparable. $60 billones de ganancia trimestral, esto es algo nunca antes visto Lilly logra que aprueben Mounjaro para condiciones cardíacas - Bloomberg Irán cumple 6 meses de guerra. Hormuz "reabre" y el crudo se estabiliza, pero el diésel en EEUU sigue a $5.65 el galón250+ negocios piden alivio de hasta $10,000 a Turismo, 254 solicitudes de las 450-500 estimadas - El Nuevo Día Trump vs. Canadá. Aranceles de 50%, Canadá responde, y Trump renombra el Lago Ontario "Lake AmericaLOS DATOS DEL DÍABrent: $87.65/barril Diésel EEUU (retail): $5.65/galón (+19.8¢ en la semana) · S&P 500: 7,730.99 (+0.7%) · Dow: 53,569.44 (+0.2%) · Nasdaq: 26,541.35 (+1.6%)Bono 10 años: 4.67% · Euro/USD: 1.1656 · Gas natural (Henry Hub): ~$3.00/MMBtu (Europa en máximos de 3 años) · Hipoteca 30 años: 6.66% · Oro: mineras +43% en agosto
How did Bitcoin react to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech? Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote today, and crypto traders are watching for whether the Fed will back the Treasury's plan to cap long-term borrowing costs. Bitcoin has climbed from $64,000 to $80,000 in a week on those expectations — a dovish signal could extend the rally, while a push for Fed independence could send it lower. CoinDesk's Uyen Truong hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Find out more at realfi.co. - This episode was hosted by Uyen Truong. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.
Plus: Regulators expand their crackdown on prediction markets. And Nvidia hits pause on some revenue-sharing deals with AI cloud companies. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Aug 27, 2026 – As frontier AI models converge on near-identical performance, Coeus Institute's Michai Morin argues the industry's defining battle is shifting from intelligence to economics—and the West may be losing. In a wide-ranging interview...
Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendarEmail us at info@remnantfinance.com or visit https://remnantfinance.com for more informationFOLLOW REMNANT FINANCEYoutube: @RemnantFinance (https://www.youtube.com/@RemnantFinance)Facebook: @remnantfinance (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560694316588)Twitter: @remnantfinance (https://x.com/remnantfinance)TikTok: @RemnantFinanceDon't forget to hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBEIn 1933, a Harvard-trained lawyer walked into Chase National Bank with signed receipts for twenty-seven numbered bars of gold and was told he could not have them. Two days after he sued, a federal grand jury indicted him. He never got the gold back. Hans opens with an update on Brian, who may be home temporarily in September or October but likely stays on active duty orders, then turns to the Treasury's announcement that it is doubling its long end buyback operations from two billion to four billion. The dollar figure is a rounding error against forty trillion in debt. The signal is not, and it is the same move Scott Bessent spent the last two years criticizing Janet Yellen for making.Chapters 00:00 – Opening segment 02:20 – No end in sight and why nobody negotiates with America anymore 06:35 – Reading the macro tape without becoming a permabear 07:55 – The Treasury doubles its long end buybacks 09:15 – The economic equivalent of no new foreign wars 11:50 – Where Hans actually sits on the political spectrum13:10 – Two billion to four billion: the substance of the move 14:05 – Bills, notes, and bonds, and why the distinction matters here 16:35 – Off-the-run long bonds and a disorderly long end 17:35 – What they are buying and what is paying for it 19:00 – One leg of QE, not the money printing leg 20:15 – Yellen's trillion dollar mistake and the two percent mortgage analogy 22:40 – Bessent criticized this exact move, then made it 23:55 – Yield curve control and how far away it actually is 24:25 – Intervening into a record high market with no visible fever 26:00 – The debasement trade and the stock market as pressure release valve 28:30 – The yen intervention and why Japan matters 29:15 – The repo facility and keeping Treasuries out of foreign hands 32:20 – What all three moves have in common 33:30 – Hormuz closed, oil creeping, and an empty petroleum reserve 36:45 – Japan as the roadmap for where this road ends 37:50 – Homeschooling, wristbands, and the safe and inclusive playground 43:35 – Frederick Barber Campbell walks into Chase National Bank 46:05 – The lawsuit, the indictment, and the demurrer 49:50 – When a dollar was a bearer claim on gold 51:55 – Benjamin Strong, the Bank of England, and the boom that had to bust 53:10 – How the Fed was sold to America in 1913 55:50 – Nine thousand banks fail and the money supply drops a third 58:50 – The Fed as an instrument of extraction 01:00:35 – Where America sits in the line, and the prison hierarchy analogy 01:03:50 – Hamilton, specie, and the principle of productive credit 01:06:05 – The bank holiday and the Emergency Banking Act 01:07:45 – Five words added to the Trading with the Enemy Act 01:10:20 – Executive Order 6102 defines hoarding as owning 01:16:20 – The markup from twenty dollars to thirty-five 01:17:35 – The Gold Reserve Act and the Exchange Stabilization Fund 01:18:35 – Marriner Eccles and the fight over the lever of power 01:21:25 – Carter Glass fights the bill he made possible 01:22:30 – The FOMC is created and open market operations take over 01:24:45 – Killing the regional discount rate and the governor it provided 01:27:30 – Half a Keynesian equation with no brakes on the other sideKey TakeawaysThe size of the buyback is not the story. Doubling from two billion to four billion per operation is meaningless against forty trillion in debt. What matters is that the Treasury told the market, in a public press release, that it will step in and buy the long end when demand thins out.
In his first speech at Jackson Hole as Federal Reserve chairman, Kevin Warsh said that while inflation readings had looked better than expected over the summer, they did not show that the current picture had “meaningfully improved”. The new Fed boss stressed that his remarks should not be treated as a guide to future interest rate decisions, but his comments suggest rates could be raised if policymakers believe inflation is too high. The latest figures showed prices rose 3.4% in the year to July, above the Fed's 2% target. And more than 80 British actors and vocal artists are calling for stronger legal protection against AI clones of their voices. They've signed an open letter calling on the Prime Minister to give everyone in the UK a legal right to own their voice.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the Jackson Hole summit and what Fed Chair Kevin Warsh needs to do at this meeting. Related to this episode: Fed hawks are on the war path, sending mortgage rates higher HousingWire | YouTube HousingWire Mortgage Banking Summit – October 1 More info about HousingWire Top 5 Trending: Ryan Serhant doesn't want to buy your brokerage. He wants your agents Mortgage lenders weigh AI, alternative data and credit models The Iran conflict's impact on housing demand Lisa Cook's lawyer says Trump lacks legal basis to remove Fed governor REMAX co-founder Gail Liniger dies at 81 Want more from Sarah? Don't forget to subscribe! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate.
This episode of On Investing looks at a market environment increasingly shaped by persistent inflation, rising long-term Treasury yields, fiscal concerns, and renewed trade tensions. Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin begin by discussing the latest inflation data, which continues to show price pressures well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While wage growth is not driving inflation, they highlight several other forces keeping inflation elevated, including energy prices, tariffs, and the massive investment required to support the AI boom. The conversation then turns to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's efforts to influence long-term interest rates after yields surged. Collin argues that Bessent's actions are understandable given concerns about mortgage rates and borrowing costs, but he views them as a short-term response to a much deeper issue: the nation's growing debt burden and ongoing fiscal deficits. Both hosts suggest that attempts to manage yields address the symptoms rather than the underlying causes. They also explore the potential tension this creates with the Federal Reserve, which may prefer tighter financial conditions to combat inflation. The episode closes with a look ahead to the Fed's Jackson Hole conference, upcoming labor market reports, purchasing manager surveys, and other economic data that could shape expectations for both growth and Fed policy. You can read the report Liz Ann mentions here: "Great Moderation Era: Drift(ing) Away." On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Investing in alternative investments is speculative, not suitable for all clients, and generally intended for experienced and sophisticated investors who are willing and able to bear the high economic risks of the investment. Investors should obtain and carefully read the related prospectus or offering memorandum, which will contain the information needed to help evaluate the potential investment and provide important disclosures regarding risks, fees and expenses. Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see Schwab.com/IndexDefinitions Negative correlation refers to investments that tend to move in opposite directions: when one rises, the other falls. (0826-1AXY) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
US equity futures are modestly lower. European equities are higher, while Asian markets ended mostly firmer. Focus is on Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech amid uncertainty over the Fed's reaction function and the implications of recent Treasury buybacks. Markets are also watching the Strait of Hormuz, where there is still no concrete progress on reopening despite reports of an Iran-Oman agreement on revenue sharing. Iran is preparing conditions for reopening the Strait, while the US has rejected a return to June's MoU and continues to favor economic pressure. There are thoughts that US efforts in shuttling crude through the Strait is helping to cap oil prices.Companies Mentioned: Anthropic, NVIDIA, PayPal
The economy is strong, prices are still too high, and the job market is sending mixed signals. The Federal Reserve is navigating all of it while fending off the most overt political pressure in its modern history. Austan Goolsbee, President of the Chicago Fed, joins Rapid Response ahead of the Central Bank's highly-watched meeting in Jackson Hole, to give his most candid read on what's actually going on. He explains why tariffs, war in the Middle East, and six years above the 2% inflation target make this the most dangerous inflation environment he's seen, what Kevin Warsh's new leadership means for how the Fed operates, and why he's a "grim optimist" on AI even as the hype keeps outrunning the results. Plus, what business leaders should actually be watching to get ahead of the Fed's next move.Visit the Rapid Response website here: https://www.rapidresponseshow.com/See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
A.M. Edition for Aug. 26. A bullish AI forecast from Nvidia lifts markets. And despite blockbuster growth and revenue forecasts, IG Markets' Chris Beauchamp says Nvidia still has more room to run. Plus, Fed chairman Kevin Warsh has so far kept his views on interest rates to himself. But investors hope that's about to change. And, WSJ's Tripti Lahiri brings us the latest from the devastating floods in Nepal and China. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Investors are keeping a close eye on Jackson Hole for signals on the economic outlook and the path for rates. Our Chief U.S. economist Michael Gapen joins Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach to discuss whether markets get what they want—or what the Fed needs.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Matt Hornbach: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy at Morgan Stanley. Michael Gapen: And I'm Michael Gapen, Chief U.S. Economist. Matt Hornbach: Today, we'll be discussing the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium and Chairman Warsh's opening remarks. It's Thursday, August 27th at 10am in New York. So, Mike, let's get right into it and talk about the upcoming opening remarks by Chairman Warsh at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that will be delivered to the public at 10 am tomorrow, Friday. How are you thinking about what to expect from those opening remarks? Michael Gapen: Well, historically, and by historically, I mean in a post-2008-2009 world, Jackson Hole has been used, not every year, but frequently as a venue to communicate to markets. The longest gap on the Fed's meeting calendar is between the July and September meetings. So, Jackson Hole falls between that and provides a useful opportunity to communicate what might be coming. That's what's normally been done. Warsh has repeatedly stated he wants the Fed to talk less and communicate less and say less. So, I don't think we will see or hear, in this case, a lot about his views about how the economy is operating today and how monetary policy may be conducted into year-end. So, I don't think we'll hear a lot about, say, the December; the outlook for the economy from September to December, and what it might imply for interest rate policy or balance sheet policy. So, little in the way of near-term forward guidance. I do think, however, he did say in the July press conference that the venue would be good to tackle some of these big questions that he has talked about, that he's created these task forces for. So, whether it is the balance sheet or the inflation framework, or communication or AI and productivity or data quality and so forth. This would provide, I think, a reasonable opportunity for him to start talking about that. I don't think maybe we'll get a lot of conclusions. But I would look for commentary that's more in the question; or in the spirit of those big questions and less about the near-term conduct of policy.So maybe not what markets want, but this is what markets will get. Matt Hornbach: Just rewinding a bit, the conference itself is on a somewhat of a niche topic. What exactly is the conference about? And, in terms of the papers that get released at the conference, do you have any sense as to where they might be headed? Michael Gapen: So, the topic of this conference, the economic symposium, as you noted, is Financial Innovation: [its] Implications for [the] Payments [system] and [monetary] Policy. So, I would expect there to be a lot of sessions for things like central bank digital currencies or stable coins or Bitcoins. Near money type innovation that has happened in recent years, which leads to things like competition for deposits from the non-financial sector vis-a-vis the financial sector. So, a competition of near moneyness to money, if you will. Its implications for the interaction between the non-financial system and the financial system, competition for deposits. Does it create risks around financial disintermediation? And therefore, how might the regulatory environment and monetary policy work in that world? So little more, I'll call it, esoteric and maybe arm's length from the day-to-day conduct of policy. But I would look at the speeches probably in that vein. Deposit competition, financial market stability, and what kind of regulatory framework might you need to ensure we can still conduct policy effectively in that world. Matt Hornbach: Sounds like an exciting set of papers… Michael Gapen: Yes. Yes. Matt Hornbach: … for professors to read through. Michael Gapen: This is why they don't often leak the schedule too far in advance, right? We all might decide not to listen. Matt Hornbach: Indeed. Well, it is the end of August, and people are probably still on holiday here and there… Michael Gapen: I'm doing my best, but you called me in today. Matt Hornbach: Yeah, the least I could do. So, you did mention that this might be an opportunity for Chairman Warsh to maybe spotlight a bit these task forces and the topics that they're tackling, one of which is the inflation framework. And that word framework, I think, is important because the investors that we've been speaking with are frustrated that the Fed has not really laid out a framework – for monetary policymaking in this new era of Chairman Warsh, and his leadership at the Fed. So, I'm curious, if we're not going to get forward guidance on monetary policy and what will happen at the next meeting. And we're also not going to get much forward guidance on the framework that the Fed is using to decide on what to do with short-term interest rates. What are we meant to think about the framework? Michael Gapen: Yeah, I think ultimately, of course, we're going to need to know this, and this is what economists would refer to as the ‘difference between forward guidance and the "reaction function." So, the framework is really, you've got a set of tools, how do you intend to use them to achieve your objectives? A conventional Fed would say, "Well, if interest rates are low and inflation's too high, then we should raise rates," right? So high inflation brings high interest rates, low inflation brings low interest rates. All else equal, there's still the employment side of the mandate, of course. And the market had that view, at least initially, right? As we were in the June-July period and Warsh was talking hawkishly, the curve generally flattened. Expectations for front-end yields moved higher, and inflation-fighting credibility maybe kept the back end stable or brought the back end down. So, you could argue the markets looked at Warsh as maybe bringing a conventional reaction function and a conventional framework. But in the June and July FOMC meeting and in conversations with the press during the press conferences, Warsh – I don't want to say backtracked. He just didn't validate that and did say that we will achieve price stability. Didn't quite say how he would use the tools to do that. And even suggested maybe interest rates weren't the primary mechanism with which to influence, create, deliver price stability. So, the curve then steepened out. So, I think the market is wondering what Fed chair we have and what his reaction function is? And if inflation's running hot, is it an interest rate answer or is it a balance sheet answer? I'd also just add one last thing, Matt, is it makes a difference what the rest of the 18 people on the FOMC think. [Be]cause I think you would agree, and I'll put forward right now, I think they have a largely conventional view. Half of the committee thought it was time to raise rates in June. So, we have a balance between not knowing the chair's framework and having to intuit it. Or hope that we hear more. But then also knowing the other 18 who could band together and have greater voting power act in a largely conventional framework. I think that's the debate and the dilemma that we're all dealing with. Matt Hornbach: Yeah, I think investors, have certainly expressed frustration about the lack of guidance in any form or fashion. Perhaps with the exception of the balance sheet; we have a general idea that the balance sheet will be smaller in the future. And we have a sense from what Chairman Warsh has said in front of the House of Representatives during his semi-annual testimony that any changes would happen gradually over time. But, in terms of the pricing of the July meeting, and what happened at the July meeting, investors were very disappointed that the Fed did not go ahead and raise rates in July. Now, the market was only assigning about a one in three odds of a rate hike in July. And so, the fact that the Fed did not go ahead and raise interest rates in July was not a surprise in the sense of market pricing. But I do sense that investors were frustrated; that because they didn't get much forward guidance going into the July meeting, that the market might not have priced more probability on a July rate hike because the Fed, in fact, did not signal that they were leaning in that direction. But I see it as somewhat ironic because it seems to me, and I'd like to get your view on this. It seems to me that Chairman Warsh doesn't want to provide that type of specificity. He'd rather have the markets tell him what to do at an upcoming meeting, as opposed to him telling markets what to do at an upcoming meeting. How do you think about that? Michael Gapen: Oh, I think it's… [It] strains credibility to think that by saying nothing, you get the market's interpretation of the economy, data, and events – without the market thinking what the Fed thinks about it. I don't think that there's a world where you get the unvarnished market expectation independent of the Fed. So, I don't personally agree in the analogy of the market should play the ball and not the referee. The Fed is not a referee in markets. The Fed is a player in markets. Monetary policy acts through financial markets to achieve a set of financial conditions to deliver price stability and maximum employment. So, the Fed and markets are on the field at the same time. The Fed, in some ways, is the 800-pound gorilla on the field at the same time. So, everybody else on the field has to know what the gorilla is doing in order to do what they're supposed to do. Yes, there's always some circularity between Fed communication and market reaction to that. But I think that's natural and normal and important in making monetary policy effective – meaning it has to transmit through financial markets. And so, you could diminish the effectiveness of monetary policy if you don't tell the market what, at least what your framework is and what your reaction function is. And the tools that you intend to use and how you would intend to use them. Then the market could be an inefficient transmitter of monetary policy. So, I disagree with the notion that by saying less, the Fed learns more. But that's my view. I'm one of many. That's my opinion. The chair obviously has a different view. Matt Hornbach: Well, I can certainly understand not wanting to be the referee, especially after what we saw at the World Cup. There were a couple of games where the referee… Michael Gapen: And nobody likes the referee. At least half the people are upset with the referee. Matt Hornbach: Indeed. Okay. So, Mike, I think we're going to leave it there. Michael Gapen: Thanks for having me on, Matt. Matt Hornbach: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.
Investing in Real Estate with Clayton Morris | Investing for Beginners
The Fed just trapped the housing market. And this time, the trap has almost nothing to do with whether Kevin Warsh cuts rates by a quarter point. The real problem is that American housing is now caught between inflation, global conflict, the dollar, and a Treasury market that the Fed does not completely control.On this episode of Investing in Real Estate, you're going to learn about how the Federal Reserve is trying to manage inflation, the dollar, government debt, and the confidence of the entire global financial system – and why the housing market is trapped in the middle.
Scott Bessent just called gold a sanctionable asset — the first time the Treasury has said that since 1971 — while Trump simultaneously classified gold as a strategic mineral and the Treasury bought back $4 billion in long-term bonds in what Tony Arterburn of Wise Wolf Gold calls a roundabout QE the Fed didn't authorize. Gold has moved from $4,000 to $4,600 in 60 days, silver is back near $70, and the Volcker option that stopped the last gold spike is off the table: U.S. debt-to-GDP is at 144%, and quintupling interest payments to fight inflation would make debt service larger than Social Security and defense combined. Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-david-knight-show--2653468/support.
Pierre Rochard, CEO of The Bitcoin Bond Company, joins Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook to unpack the narratives driving crypto markets heading into Q4. From his 80K year-end price target to his rebuttal of Mark Cuban's "chips are the new crypto" take, Pierre breaks down why Bitcoin's scarcity story remains intact and why miners pivoting to AI could actually be a tailwind for Bitcoin price. Plus, Bullish's new Head of Tokenization joins to unpack what it means to be the first regulated exchange to trade tokenized equity. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Pierre Rochard Joins Markets Outlook 00:56 - Watching the Fed and Treasury 02:14 - Pierre's Bitcoin Price Target 02:24 - Responding to Mark Cuban: Chips vs. Bitcoin 06:01 - Why Cuban May Have Latched Onto the Wrong Narrative 07:25 - Will Retail Come Back to Bitcoin? 09:24 - Brand New Rails: Bullish Launches Tokenized Equity Trading 12:02 - Self-Custody vs. Exchanges Post-ColdCard 13:42 - The Best Ways to Get Bitcoin Exposure 15:32 - Bitcoin Miners Pivoting to AI 17:21 - Why Miners Leaving Is Actually Bullish for Bitcoin - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. RealFi is launching August 2026. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.
Scott Bessent just called gold a sanctionable asset — the first time the Treasury has said that since 1971 — while Trump simultaneously classified gold as a strategic mineral and the Treasury bought back $4 billion in long-term bonds in what Tony Arterburn of Wise Wolf Gold calls a roundabout QE the Fed didn't authorize. Gold has moved from $4,000 to $4,600 in 60 days, silver is back near $70, and the Volcker option that stopped the last gold spike is off the table: U.S. debt-to-GDP is at 144%, and quintupling interest payments to fight inflation would make debt service larger than Social Security and defense combined. Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-real-david-knight-show--5282736/support.
Aug 26, 2026 – Futurist Garry Golden returns to discuss why the backlash against AI data centers has gone bipartisan—from blue states to Texas's new moratorium. He explains why slowing AI is unlikely, how humanoid robotics could reshape the global economy
Ron Insana -- a CNBC OG (he joined its predecessor network in 1984!) -- is a regular on MSNOW and Substacks on "Message of the Markets." He discussed the ginormous, mind-blowing buildout of A.I.; the Fed and Treasury's interest-rate bind; and what he calls an "E-shaped economy."
Bitcoin finally broke $80K, but it could not hold it. That makes today's price action a rejection, not a confirmed breakout. The good news is that Bitcoin has real demand underneath it: U.S. spot ETFs took in another $232 million Wednesday, extending their positive streak to eight trading sessions and roughly $2.8 billion. The bad news is hotter inflation has markets reconsidering Fed tightening just as Bitcoin is trying to turn $80K into support. The most interesting story now is Kevin Warsh. His Fed philosophy isn't simply lower rates and more money. Warsh wants to shrink the Fed balance sheet while potentially creating room for lower interest rates, meaning Bitcoin could get cheaper money without getting another giant round of QE. That makes tomorrow's Jackson Hole speech important because crypto traders need to start watching the Fed balance sheet, Treasury liquidity, yields and the dollar together, not just whether Warsh cuts rates. For price, $80K remains the wall, but the bigger breakout zone is increasingly looking like $81K-$86K, with roughly $83K an important confirmation level. If ETF inflows continue and Warsh does not turn aggressively hawkish, Bitcoin gets another shot. If inflation pushes the Fed toward tighter policy and ETF demand fades, Bitcoin could spend more time consolidating in the upper $70Ks.Happy HODLing. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The economy is strong, prices are still too high, and the job market is sending mixed signals. The Federal Reserve is navigating all of it while fending off the most overt political pressure in its modern history. Austan Goolsbee, President of the Chicago Fed, joins Rapid Response ahead of the Central Bank's highly-watched meeting in Jackson Hole, to give his most candid read on what's actually going on. He explains why tariffs, war in the Middle East, and six years above the 2% inflation target make this the most dangerous inflation environment he's seen, what Kevin Warsh's new leadership means for how the Fed operates, and why he's a "grim optimist" on AI even as the hype keeps outrunning the results. Plus, what business leaders should actually be watching to get ahead of the Fed's next move.Visit the Rapid Response website here: https://www.rapidresponseshow.com/See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
MRKT Matrix - Thursday, August 27th Nasdaq jumps as Nvidia revenue outlook lifts chip stocks (CNBC) Nvidia Reports Blowout Quarter, Says Demand for AI Chips Is Getting Even Hotter (WSJ) As Jackson Hole conference kicks off, three Fed officials warn about inflation (Reuters) Bessent, Warsh diverge on who should set the price of money (Reuters) Salesforce leads software rally, rocketing 20% on track for second-best day ever (CNBC) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs
Pierre Rochard, CEO of The Bitcoin Bond Company, joins Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook to unpack the narratives driving crypto markets heading into Q4. From his 80K year-end price target to his rebuttal of Mark Cuban's "chips are the new crypto" take, Pierre breaks down why Bitcoin's scarcity story remains intact and why miners pivoting to AI could actually be a tailwind for Bitcoin price. Plus, Bullish's new Head of Tokenization joins to unpack what it means to be the first regulated exchange to trade tokenized equity. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Pierre Rochard Joins Markets Outlook 00:56 - Watching the Fed and Treasury 02:14 - Pierre's Bitcoin Price Target 02:24 - Responding to Mark Cuban: Chips vs. Bitcoin 06:01 - Why Cuban May Have Latched Onto the Wrong Narrative 07:25 - Will Retail Come Back to Bitcoin? 09:24 - Brand New Rails: Bullish Launches Tokenized Equity Trading 12:02 - Self-Custody vs. Exchanges Post-ColdCard 13:42 - The Best Ways to Get Bitcoin Exposure 15:32 - Bitcoin Miners Pivoting to AI 17:21 - Why Miners Leaving Is Actually Bullish for Bitcoin - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. RealFi is launching August 2026. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.
Nvidia delivers its best day of the year after earnings out Wednesday night. It added the equivalent of an Intel in market cap during the trading session. So is that the green light for investors to climb back into AI winners? Katie Klingensmith, Chief Investment Strategist at Edelman Financial Engines, breaks down the market outlook and where opportunities remain. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's, analyzes the economic outlook and the latest developments surrounding Fed Chair Kevin Warsh ahead of his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair. Dana Telsey of Telsey Advisory Group breaks down results from Gap and the growing divergence across consumer stocks. Werner Enterprises CEO Derek Leathers discusses shipping demand from major retailers. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Conor Sen, founder and CEO of Peachtree Creek Investments and former Opinion Columnist for Bloomberg, about how the Federal Reserve should give more weight to signals from the housing market. Related to this episode: The Fed's 25-Year Housing Blind Spot HousingWire | YouTube HousingWire Mortgage Banking Summit – October 1 More info about HousingWire Want more from Sarah? Don't forget to subscribe! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate.
Another month, another PCE report that put annual core inflation meaningfully above the Fed's 2% target. The central bank has been fighting high inflation for more than five years now. At a certain point, you might start to wonder, does the Fed even have the power to fix it? Also in this episode: Consumer confidence falls, transportation durable goods orders tick up, and Arizona's Great Recession-era bid to save the state budget offers insight into how AI might change our tax structure.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Inflation is stuck above 2%. Can the Fed really do anything about it?Consumers are pessimistic about the next six monthsHow Arizona's "Capitol-ism" points to a potential tax fix for the AI ageWhat's driving an increase in orders for transportation equipment?Running a historic motel off Route 66 is no easy pursuitThe Gila River Indian Community "walks the walk" on water conservation
Another month, another PCE report that put annual core inflation meaningfully above the Fed's 2% target. The central bank has been fighting high inflation for more than five years now. At a certain point, you might start to wonder, does the Fed even have the power to fix it? Also in this episode: Consumer confidence falls, transportation durable goods orders tick up, and Arizona's Great Recession-era bid to save the state budget offers insight into how AI might change our tax structure.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Inflation is stuck above 2%. Can the Fed really do anything about it?Consumers are pessimistic about the next six monthsHow Arizona's "Capitol-ism" points to a potential tax fix for the AI ageWhat's driving an increase in orders for transportation equipment?Running a historic motel off Route 66 is no easy pursuitThe Gila River Indian Community "walks the walk" on water conservation
Brian Szytel reports markets were essentially flat, while bonds moved as the 10-year yield rose 3 bps to 4.66; oil was slightly lower amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz deal talk. Economic data was mostly positive, but headline PCE was 0.3 vs 0.2 expected (3.7% YoY) while core PCE matched expectations at 0.2 (3.3% YoY), lifting Fed futures to a 40% chance of a September hike, which he views as largely a token 25 bps timing debate into Q4. He previews Jackson Hole and Fed hawk Warsh, focusing on potential balance-sheet discussion amid Treasury plans to issue more short-term debt and buy back about $4B long-term. A listener question prompts discussion of debt absorption, real yields, overindebtedness as deflationary, and currency depreciation as a release valve, citing Japan's weakening yen alongside rising JGB yields. Other data: durable goods 1.1% vs 0.5%, personal income 0.4% vs 0.2%, spending 0.2, and Q2 GDP unchanged at 1.5% with nominal GDP in the 6s. 00:00 Market Wrap Overview 00:25 Bonds Oil Geopolitics 00:55 PCE Inflation Update 01:38 Fed Hike Odds 02:06 Jackson Hole Treasury Moves 03:09 Balance Sheet QT Talk 04:04 Debt Issuance Explained 05:16 Japan Yen Release Valve 06:04 Other Economic Data 06:45 GDP And Closing Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Donald Trump wants to change the way the Kennedy Center looks. Mark explains how John F. Kennedy had very similar values to Trump. Hillary Clinton may be making a run for President in 2028. Mark takes your calls! Mark interviews Chairman of Forbes Media, Steve Forbes. Steve believes that even with sanctions against Iran, we may very well have to take military action against Iran to finish them off and put an end to the war. The guys also talk about how political races could affect the economy. What will happen with the Fed on Friday as we get closer to another meeting? Steve believes that raising interest rates when inflation goes up will hurt the stability of the country. Governor Hochul of New York City has passed a law that the NYPD doesn't have to cooperate with ICE under certain circumstances.
Darline Graham, Lindsey Graham's sister, had a massive win in South Carolina, a state President Trump campaigned in for her. Dolly Parton's nephew, Bryan Seaver, gave a beautiful speech honoring Dolly Parton after her passing yesterday. Mark remembers special moments with Dolly Parton throughout the show today. Bruce Blakeman will hold a press conference today about his campaign. Meta has settled the social media trial in which the company was accused of keeping people addicted to social media, especially kids. The company will settle the lawsuit for up to $17 billion. The last of the underground mines at the Strait of Hormuz is mostly gone, which may prompt it to be opened. Donald Trump wants to change the way the Kennedy Center looks. Mark explains how John F. Kennedy had very similar values to Trump. Hillary Clinton may be making a run for President in 2028. Mark interviews Chairman of Forbes Media, Steve Forbes. Steve believes that even with sanctions against Iran, we may very well have to take military action against Iran to finish them off and put an end to the war. The guys also talk about how political races could affect the economy. What will happen with the Fed on Friday as we get closer to another meeting? Steve believes that raising interest rates when inflation goes up will hurt the stability of the country. Governor Hochul of New York City has passed a law that the NYPD doesn't have to cooperate with ICE under certain circumstances. Harry and Meghan Markle are allegedly doing an extended stay, going back to the UK. Dolly Parton started singing at a young age. Oklahoma's Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas won Oklahoma's Democratic Senate primary. Who will take Mamdani's spot when his term is over? Mark interviews author Ann Coulter. Mark and Ann talk about the comments Governor Hochul made about the NYPD not having to help ICE officers too much. Hillary Clinton agrees with Socialism in the USA, and there may be a reason she is doing that. The chances of AI ruining humanity may be far from that. Data Centers being built around the U.S. may be scary for people.
Steve believes that even with sanctions against Iran, we may very well have to take military action against Iran to finish them off and put an end to the war. The guys also talk about how political races could affect the economy. What will happen with the Fed on Friday as we get closer to another meeting? Steve believes that raising interest rates when inflation goes up will hurt the stability of the country. Governor Hochul of New York City has passed a law that the NYPD doesn't have to cooperate with ICE under certain circumstances.
Things are getting weird – looks like someone is panicking. The Dumber side of finance – let’s dig in. A big week ahead – major earnings could move markets. – Gold, Bitcoin moving on a lower USD. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env:'production', hosted_button_id:'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src:'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt:'Donate with PayPal button', title:'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!', } }).render('#donate-button'); Follow John S. Dvorak on X Follow Andrew Horowitz on X Warm-Up - Things are getting weird - looks like someone is panicking - The Dumber side of finance - let's dig in (5 top items) - Cold War and Hot War - Canada, China and Iran - Economic "D" day - no one cares - Saying goodbye to Dolly Parton Markets - Gold, Bitcoin moving on a lower USD - Oil starting to settle - Big Week - NVDA earnings on tap - all eyes! STUPID IS WHAT STUPID DOES - A DHU One-Time Series On The Dumber Side of Finance 1) LOWER BEEF PRICES - Trump plans temporary tariff relief for certain ground-beef imports as U.S. beef prices remain near record highs. - The plan would allow up to 300,000 metric tons of discounted imported ground beef over roughly 90 days. - Supposedly this will reduce the prices for consumers - Ranchers and several farm-state Republicans are pushing back, arguing cheaper imports could hurt domestic producers. ---- Question: Tariff reduction is going to reduce prices for consumers? Didn't someone say that tariffs are paid by the companies and exporting countries??? 2) IRAN SANCTIONS - BIG THREAT, LIMITED IMMEDIATE ACTION - Treasury warned countries doing business with Iran that they could face secondary sanctions, calling it an "economic D-Day." - New sanctions hit about 60 individuals, companies and vessels, but major Chinese financial institutions were not targeted. - China remains the biggest buyer of Iranian oil, making Chinese banks the potential pressure point. - Treasury says sanctions could expand into gold, digital assets, aviation, shipping and other sectors. 3) TREASURY TRIES TO TAME LONG-TERM YIELDS - Treasury will at least double the maximum size of certain long-term bond buybacks to $4 billion per operation. - The announcement briefly knocked nearly 10 basis points off the 30-year Treasury yield. - Critics say this treats the symptom rather than the cause - huge deficits, heavy issuance and persistent inflation risk. ------Bessent had to come out on Friday to say "at least" $4B - as bind yields moved back up -------Maybe there is a concern over the $40TRILLION debt we have amassed as a country? 4) SOMEONE GOT LONG BONDS AT THE RIGHT TIME - TLT took in roughly $529 million of net inflows on August 18, one day before Treasury's surprise bond-buyback announcement. - The next day Bessent doubled planned buybacks of 10- to 30-year Treasurys, immediately pushing long yields lower. - TLT jumped about 1.7% on the announcement. - No public evidence identifies a single buyer - but the timing of the unusually large inflow is certainly worth noting. 5) DOLLAR GETS HIT BY THE BOND RESCUE - The dollar weakened as investors questioned Treasury's expanded bond-buyback strategy. - The concern is that suppressing yields without fixing fiscal problems simply transfers pressure from bonds to the currency. - The 30-year yield has remained elevated despite Treasury intervention. - Bitcoin rallied as investors looked toward alternatives to traditional fiat assets. - PEOPLE: This is NOT Quantitative Easing - Just a move to buy longer dated and issue more short dated WALMART FLASHES A CONSUMER WARNING - Walmart U.S. comparable sales grew just 2.6%, its slowest pace in roughly six years and below expectations. - Shares dropped sharply after the report. - E-commerce remained strong, while store traffic and discretionary spending showed more weakness. - Walmart raised full-year guidance but gave a softer-than-expected third-quarter outlook. - As America's biggest retailer, Walmart's slowdown is an important read on the broader consumer. VENEZUELA HAS OIL - BUT CAN'T SHIP IT FAST ENOUGH - Tankers are waiting as long as 30 days to load Venezuelan crude because of aging ports, outages and equipment failures. - Venezuela has struggled to push exports much higher despite rising production and strong demand. - The Jose terminal handles about 70% of exports and has become a major bottleneck. - Venezuela's ports may impose a physical ceiling on production growth until infrastructure is upgraded. JANE STREET'S $15 BILLION AI HIT - Jane Street reportedly lost about $15 billion in July as AI and technology positions moved sharply against the firm. - A major source of the damage was exposure to concentrated AI trades that were forced to unwind. - Jane Street posted its first negative month of trading revenue since 2016. - As a reminder: this episode highlights how quickly crowded AI trades can overwhelm even sophisticated risk-management systems. LEAVITT LEAVES THE WHITE HOUSE - Karoline Leavitt resigned as White House press secretary after returning from maternity leave. - Trump said she would become a top outside adviser and prominent Republican voice heading into the midterms. - Looking fior a kinder and gentler replacement? HA! probably not OFF THE HIGHS NVDA - 9% off high AMD - 19% off high AVGO - 23% off high MU - 23% off high TSM - 13% off high MRVL - 28% off high INTC - 35% off high NVIDIA - THE MARKET'S NEXT STRESS TEST - Nvidia reports Wednesday - now basically a referendum on the entire AI trade. - Blackwell demand and hyperscaler spending are the key tells. - A strong guide could quickly reset tech sentiment. - A miss would raise the uncomfortable question: how much AI optimism is already priced in? - Revenue expected around $92.1 billion, up roughly 97% year over year. - Adjusted EPS expected around $2.09, nearly double last year. - Data Center revenue expected around $85.7 billion - still the main engine. - Biggest watch items: Blackwell demand, Vera Rubin timing, China sales and hyperscaler capex. - Options imply roughly a 5%-6% move after earnings. - Discussion .... NVIDIA - AI SERVERS GETTING EVEN MORE EXPENSIVE - Major Nvidia customers have reportedly been warned that AI server prices could rise more than 15% beginning early next year. - Higher memory costs are the main driver, affecting Grace Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin systems. - Nvidia is effectively passing higher component costs through despite gross margins around 75%. - ALWAYS INTERESTING THESE ANNOUNCEMENTS SO CLOSE TO EARNINGS - HMMMM CANADA-U.S. TRADE FIGHT GETS WORSE - Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on about $20 billion of U.S. goods after Washington imposed new 50% tariffs on Canadian imports. - Canada's tariffs range from 15% to 50% across roughly 700 products and begin September 8. - Canada also announced a C$7.5 billion support package for affected businesses and workers. - Another escalation that could hit autos, manufacturing costs and cross-border supply chains. HOUSING - BUYERS KEEP DISAPPEARING - July new-home sales plunged 10.5% to a 607,000 annual rate, the weakest since January. - Median new-home price fell to $393,800, the lowest in four years. - Mortgage rates are still around 6.8%, keeping affordability under pressure. - Only 5.2% of consumers said they expect to buy a home in the next six months - the sharpest drop in more than five years. JACKSON HOLE - WARSH GETS THE MICROPHONE - Kevin Warsh speaks next week at Jackson Hole. - Markets want to know whether sticky inflation, oil and tariffs are enough to keep the Fed in tightening mode. - Long yields are already doing some of the Fed's work. - One sentence could move bonds, the dollar and stocks. - Friday, August 28 at 10:00 a.m. ET. --- BUT - Didn't Warsh say less communication is more? They can't keep put of the spotlight. PCE - THE FED'S FAVORITE INFLATION READ - "The Fed's preferred gauge/measure of inflation" - July PCE lands next week. - Watch for tariff, energy and goods inflation creeping back into the numbers. - A hot print revives hike fears. - A soft print gives risk assets some breathing room - especially with long yields already elevated. THE CONSUMER VS. THE AI BOOM - MORE EARNINGS COMING - Salesforce, CrowdStrike and Marvell give another read on corporate AI spending. - Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Best Buy and Ulta test the other side of the economy. - The setup is getting interesting: companies are still spending aggressively on AI while consumers look increasingly selective. - If that gap widens, it could become one of the bigger market themes into the fall. AROUND THE WORLD EUROPE - QUIETLY GETTING INTERESTING - European stocks slipped this week, but money has started flowing back into the region. - Euro-zone business activity is growing at its fastest pace this year, while Q2 earnings growth for STOXX 600 companies is running surprisingly strong. - CONCEPT: Europe may be turning into the anti-U.S. trade - less AI concentration, cheaper valuations, but more sensitivity to energy. JAPAN - BETTER DATA, WORSE MARKET - Japan's Nikkei lost about 4% this week even as the economic data improved. - August manufacturing PMI jumped to 55.1, with new orders rising at the fastest pace since 2018. - Semiconductors and AI-related demand are helping drive the factory rebound. - Stronger growth also keeps the BOJ rate-hike discussion alive - good economy, potentially tougher market. BIG PHARMA - CHINA'S WEIGHT-LOSS GOLD RUSH - Lilly, Novo Nordisk and others are aggressively targeting China's obesity market, where obesity rates are projected to top 65% by 2030. - China bans direct prescription-drug advertising, so companies are using subway ads, gyms, influencers and "disease awareness" campaigns instead. - China's GLP-1 market could reach roughly 30 billion yuan over the next 5-7 years. - Interesting regulatory gray area: education campaigns that look a lot like drug advertising without actually naming the drug. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env: 'production', hosted_button_id: 'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src: 'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt: 'Donate with PayPal button', title: 'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!' } }).render('#donate-button-2'); THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN for SpaceX (SPCX) Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt! FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter
Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber led off the show with breaking news involving a landmark social media addiction case: Meta agreed to pay $16.7 billion in a settlement with a coalition of state attorneys general led by California. The anchors also set the stage for Nvidia's earnings due out after Wednesday's close of trading — and explored what's at stake for both the AI trade and the markets overall. Ahead of Friday's keynote by Fed Chairman Warsh at the Jackson Hole Fed symposium, PCE — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose more than expected in July, with Core PCE matching economists' forecasts. Also in focus: OpenAI claims its new Jalapeño chip outperforms Nvidia processors, Intuit tumbles, Bill Gates' AI warning, Mark Walter's TWG Global blasts "attacks" and denies fraud amid a federal probe. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
This hour: former AG Jonathan Kanter broke down Meta's landmark settlement over claims their products addict children, the team discussed fresh inflation data - and what it means for the Fed, and one retail executive gave his take on the winners and losers out of earnings from the group. Plus: the playbook for huge reports after the bell out of Nvidia and Salesforce. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The key metrics to watch in Nvidia's earnings—and why a guidance hike could be on the way. As oil prices continue to fluctuate amid Middle East tensions, RBC's Helima Croft is concerned about a different commodity ahead of cooling temperatures. Plus, unsealed court documents reveal the Fed, the Senate, the Deptartment of Justice, and NASA were just some of the federal agencies hacked by a Chinese state-sponsored group. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Markets are facing a growing list of risks as investors head into the final stretch of summer. Stocks are working through a slow-moving correction, Treasury yields remain elevated, technology leadership is being tested, and the Federal Reserve faces renewed questions about inflation and interest rates. Which risks actually matter for your portfolio, and which are mostly market noise? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, as we break down the latest economic data, market signals, Fed policy expectations, bond yields, and geopolitical developments to separate the real threats from the headlines. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Dolly Parton's Passing 1:46 - NVDIA is the Big News Today - will move markets tomorrow 4:34 - Markets Rally and Hold 20-DMA; Mitigating Market Risk 6:38 - NVIDIA Preview 10:26 - Lance's Wardrobe 11:35 - Semi-conductor Strategies 14:44 - 401-k Rotation Strategies 19:52 - Looking at Interest Rate plays - what is your goal? 22:13 - Is the Globalization Narrative breaking down? (TV Pricing & Exporting Inflation, Importing Deflation) 27:46 - Modifying Cap Ex concept in AI business? 28:48 - If the Basis Trade blows up? 29:19 - Barbell Strategies for ten-year term (Value ETF's vs Momentum ETF's) 35:22 - 50-50 portfolio (eating cake every night & not gain weight) 37:47 - Etherium Price at EOY? (you've missed The Move for this year); it is a risk asset 40:01 - Stuck with TMF (leveraged ETF) What Would You Do From here? 44:51 - When a Company is sold, when to get out? 45:24 - Value vs growth 46:04 - NVIDIA, Market Cap Concentration, & Top Ten Stocks 49:01 - What Could Cause a Spike Higher in Yields? 51:50 - Stanley Drunkenmiller vs the Fed: Let the market dictate action 52:49 - Balanced Portfolios at age 80? 55:21 - Sectors most under-valued, over-looked, and over-valued? 56:38 - How much of investing proverbs/rules have come true? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/tESc03T56K4?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ "Investor Psychology Is Sabotaging Your Returns (Chapter 2 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-psychology-is-sabotaging-your-returns-chapter-2-of-5/ "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ "Three Percent Real TIPS Yields: Boring But Valuable" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/three-percent-real-tips-yields-boring-but-valuable/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NVIDIA Earnings Put Market Support to the Test," https://youtu.be/5Dkn-dNU9wA ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #StockMarket #NVDA #Investing #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Investing #InterestRates
Jon Herold works to untangle public confusion over a recent SCOTUS ruling on mail in voting, explaining that it only unfroze one of two active cases challenging Trump's postal executive order while the League of Women Voters case is still blocking key provisions. He covers the DOJ and FBI seizing Chinese state sponsored hacking tools that targeted NASA, the Fed, and other agencies, a Secret Service leak investigation resulting in staff suspensions, and a newly announced Meta settlement over child safety claims. Ashe in America joins later to break down the Mike Lindell Minnesota recount fight and why the state's proposed "partial recount" methodology raises red flags. Other topics include a Pentagon claim of newly found Afghanistan withdrawal documents, a Massachusetts lawmaker's pandemic fraud arrest, and some fun with a new nickname for a Colorado election official. Sponsor reads, ad mishap bloopers, and a lively chat session round out a Wednesday show ahead of tonight's Power Hour with Burning Bright.
Markets are watching Nvidia earnings as AI demand and data center spending keep tech in focus. Plus, Target, Starbucks and Nike test whether experienced leaders can deliver successful turnarounds. Later, PCE inflation, interest rates and Fed policy keep investors focused on the next move for markets. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Savage shares his dark vision for America. He speculates about what will happen to the U.S. after Trump leaves office, arguing that economic pain could fuel a "revolution at the ballot box." He predicts rapid leftward political change amid a younger, more diverse population. He then revisits his 2015 book "Government Zero" where he outlined 40 actions to save America that will be unraveled by radical progressives. He describes how these measures could save America from decline, including starting a nationalist party; closing borders for seven years; deporting illegal aliens in prison; repealing "anchor babies"; making English the official language; voter ID; civics education; military reforms; cutting government; repairing relations with Russia; mutual defense with Israel while ending foreign aid; recognizing radical Islam as the enemy; allowing profiling; economic and financial reforms (Fed mandate, ending H-1B, flat tax, Glass-Steagall, uptick rule, tort reform); ending affirmative action; limiting welfare/unemployment; curbing NSA data collection; defending free speech, religion, press; and opposing military exercises in cities. He ends urging viewers to write their own plan.
This week we staged an intervention for Scott Bessent—the failed hedge fund manager who lost 90% of his assets during the greatest bull run in history and is now the most interventionist Treasury Secretary in decades, scoring own goals in the bond market, undermining the new Fed chair, and threatening Iran with sanctions while refusing to answer a single question about China. Then we checked in on the Trump family stablecoin, which has quietly doubled in market cap. It’s a reminder that the most corrupt president in American history is building the most powerful personal wealth machine in the world, and Congress is about to hand him the legislation to run it. Chapters Intro: 00:00:38 Quick Takes: 00:01:28 Max Notes: 00:10:28 Killer Left Take of the Week: 00:21:28 Chart of the Week: 00:23:05 Outro: 00:24:19 Resources Jimmy Carter Presidential Library: Economic Sanctions of Iran Associated Press: Bush Prods Allies for Tougher Stance on Iran American Rhetoric: Barack Obama - On United Nations Sanctions Against Iran C-SPAN: President Trump announces sanctions on Iranian National Bank Bloomberg Podcasts: US to End Dollar Access to Those Laundering Iran Money Says Bessent The New York Times: Jeffries and Kushner Meet Privately as Midterm Attacks Fly The New York Times: Court Allows Trump to Pursue Mail Voting Limits, for Now Politico: Trump votes by mail again in his home state of Florida Financial Times: Natalie Harp, the devoted ‘human printer’ in Trump’s entourage PBS NewsHour: The potential economic fallout of Trump’s trade war with Canada Charles Booker for U.S. Senate Daily Kos: Sean Duffy afraid Harvard will ‘corrupt’ daughter’s brain Mother Jones: It Just Got Way Easier to Sue Fossil Fuel Companies Over Climate Change Bloomberg: Bessent Becomes Most Interventionist Treasury Chief in Decades Fortune: Scott Bessent is using moves from his hedge fund days to prop up Japan’s yen—and America’s $40 trillion national debt The New York Times: He Helped ‘Break’ the Bank of England. Now He May Run the U.S. Treasury. The Bulwark: How Trump’s Treasury Secretary Crashed His Own Hedge Fund (w/ Marshall Brandt) Bloomberg: Will Bessent’s Old Trump Jokes Make His Treasury Job Tricky? Bloomberg: Bessent Is Stealing a Playbook He Didn’t Even Like AlterNet: Trump Treasury secretary torn apart for leaving out ‘to-do’ list ‘on-purpose’ Reuters: US will do ‘whatever it takes’ to support Japan after yen intervention, Bessent says CNBC: Bessent’s efforts in the Treasury market so far haven’t worked. Here’s what else he can try The Hill: Federal Reserve shifts away from forward guidance under new chief Kevin Warsh Politico: Bessent’s ‘economic D-Day’ against Iran begins with a ‘warning shot’ Straight White American Jesus: Christian Nationalists and Tech Lords: Derek Chauvin Should Go Free & George Floyd Wasn’t Murdered Reuters: Trump’s stablecoin chosen for $2 billion Abu Dhabi investment in Binance, co-founder says CoinGecko: USD1 UNFTR Resources Video: On The Record 08-25-26 (Scott Bessent is a Loser Who Wants to be President.) Essay: President Scott Bessent. -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com. Become a member at unftr.com/memberships. Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com. Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations. Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibilitySupport the show: https://www.unftr.com/membershipsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Jim Bianco to the show. Jim is the president of Bianco Research. Since 1990, Jim's commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Jim kicks things off by explaining a post he made on social media platform X, where he stated that bond traders could stop panicking once the Federal Reserve starts to panic. In short, over the past two years, when the Fed was cutting rates to curb inflation, yields on bonds have risen. So Jim believes that bond investors don't need to be worried if the Fed decides to cut rates later this year. He then discusses the dollar's position as the global reserve currency and says that regardless of anyone's plans, it cannot be toppled until another currency exists that can sufficiently replace it. (0:00) Next, Jim shares why the bond market is the most important market – even if it isn't the most profitable one. He says that it sets the price of money, and every other investment is dependent on that basis for determining value. However, money needs to be priced properly. It cannot be too high or too low, or you'll encounter economic problems. And while Jim doesn't believe that we're currently close to a credit crisis, one could emerge without warning. (20:49) Finally, Jim reveals his fears about persistent 3% to 4% inflation. He says that the Fed will eventually respond by raising interest rates, which will make money more expensive. Additionally, he believes that economic expansions are "murdered," which is succeeded by a recession and a fundamental change in the economy (a recent example being remote work being a common practice following the COVID-19 pandemic). And Jim says that a lot of folks aren't measuring inflation properly. He says the prices of services should be measured, not goods – and those have been rising rapidly. (36:51)
Episode 350, and apparently the milestone gift is discovering that the United States is now paying the mortgage with the credit card. Chris and Rajeil unpack Scott Bessent's decision to supersize Treasury bond buybacks just as long-term yields hit 19-year highs and the national debt crossed $40 trillion. We go from Venice's first bond market to the Treasury-Fed Accord, Japan's yield-curve-control experiment, and why governments have a long, ugly history of trying to bully borrowing costs lower. Then there's the timing: the accelerated program starts September 9, runs through November 4, and somehow manages to wrap up one day after the midterm elections. Pure coincidence, obviously. Add a Fed already fighting inflation, a tapped-out consumer, and markets beginning to question the price of American debt, and Episode 350 asks the uncomfortable question: when the smoke alarm gets too loud, are we fixing the fire—or just pulling the battery?
Aug 25, 2026 – Legendary gold investor Pierre Lassonde joins Jim Puplava to reveal why gold's current bull market may only be the beginning of a much larger advance throughout the remainder of this decade. Lassonde exposes striking historical...
Aug 24, 2026 – Wealth advisors Crystal Colbert and Nick Kile break down the four best ways to build long-term wealth for your children in 2026—including 529 plans, UTMAs, custodial Roth IRAs, and the brand-new Trump Account. Discover expanded K-12...
Brandon Sedloff sits down with Dan Carr and Peter Weiss, co-founders of Alpaca Real Estate, for a live conversation recorded at their annual Aspen Real Estate Summit. The two met as analysts at JP Morgan in 2011 and spent a decade building expertise at major institutions before launching their own opportunistic real estate private equity fund in late 2022. What sets Alpaca apart is their commitment to building a technology-first culture from inception, treating their data infrastructure and tech stack as foundational to the investment process rather than an afterthought. They discuss: - Why timing mattered when they saw the Fed's rate increases creating a repricing moment in commercial real estate - How they built a seven-stage deal pipeline with 1,000 transactions cataloged in a proprietary data lake before deploying agentic AI - Their focus on tailwind asset classes like build-to-rent townhomes and infill industrial, where structural demand drives conviction - The cultural challenge of technology adoption and why organic buy-in matters more than mandates - Forward purchase structures that shift construction risk to homebuilders while controlling land upfront This episode offers a practical look at what it takes to launch and scale an investment platform built on data discipline and institutional-grade operations in a shifting market. Topics: (00:00:00) - Intro (00:01:00) - Recording live at Alpaca's Aspen summit (00:05:20) - Getting into real estate investing (00:10:23) - Meeting at JP Morgan in 2011 (00:11:35) - Building the REPEN networking group (00:12:34) - Post-JP Morgan career paths (00:15:27) - The 2022 wake-up call from Dan (00:17:49) - Capitalizing a first-time fund (00:18:35) - Building technology into the DNA (00:22:56) - Creating clean data infrastructure (00:26:55) - Cultural adoption of technology (00:31:42) - Alpaca's investment focus today (00:33:45) - Residential and industrial strategies (00:36:04) - Operating with partners versus direct (00:38:38) - Closing thoughts for investors Links: Dan on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/daniel-carr-98a0a91b/ Peter on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-weiss-86675635/ Alpaca Real Estate - https://alpacarealestate.com/ Brandon on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/bsedloff/ Juniper Square - https://www.junipersquare.com/
Bonds may no longer provide the shelter investors have expected. Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson talks about the changing relationship between inflation, yields and risk.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Bonds may no longer provide the shelter investors have exMike Wilson: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing the shifting landscape in macro markets.It's Monday, August 24th at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it.Over the past few weeks we've seen large moves in rates, oil, gold and crypto. What does it mean for equities? First, investors are still treating these markets as separate stories, when they are all part of the same regime shift that began with COVID. More than six years ago, in the depths of that recession, I argued investors should prepare for the return of inflation. That was a very out of consensus view. At that time, the world was obsessed with deflation, the 10-year Treasury yield was below 1 percent, stocks had been hit hard, and gold was sitting around $1,500 an ounce. But the policy response to COVID – what I called helicopter money – changed the game. It marked the end of the 40-year disinflationary regime and a very different investment environment for investors to navigate. It is also the foundation of our run it hot thesis. In a world where inflation has returned, cycles are likely to be shorter, policy more reactive, and leadership changes more frequent. That is very different from the 1982-to-2020 period. Then falling inflation and falling rates allowed economic cycles to stretch for eight or 10 years. We are now in a world that looks more like the post-World War II era: stronger nominal GDP growth, more persistent inflation, higher economic volatility, and a bond market that is no longer the tailwind it used to be for risk assets. In short, the great secular bull market in bonds ended with COVID. This has huge implications for investors of all stripes. My near term view on rates is also different from the mainstream. A lot of investors are saying rates are rising because of debt and deficits. I am not dismissing those factors. But I think the bigger driver is strong nominal GDP growth, which really is the result of aggressive fiscal policy since the pandemic. We are in an era of fiscal dominance, and in that environment the Treasury and the Fed are forced to find ways to fund deficits without breaking markets. That is how I interpret the Treasury's recent buyback activity. I don't think this is quantitative easing or yield-curve control. The scale of the program is not large enough. Instead, it's just another tool to maintain market functioning and stable financial conditions. So when I look at the large move in precious metals and crypto last week, to me it suggests that markets believe this is just a first step toward larger intervention – if financial conditions tighten further. For equities, this all reinforces the quality rotation we have been recommending. Since the peak rate of change in earnings revisions breadth in June, led by Semiconductors, the market has gone through a significant leadership change. Quality factors have started to outperform after a year of lagging, which is exactly what we would expect as a post-recession recovery matures. High free cash flow, high gross margins, stable sales growth, and low capex-to-sales factors have all been working. Some investors are frustrated that the S&P 500 barely sold off during the historic momentum unwind. But if quality is coming back into favor, that makes perfect sense. The S&P 500 is one of the highest-quality benchmarks in the world. Leadership at the stock level may continue to morph, but index leadership for the S&P is unlikely to fade – and may even get stronger. The near-term risk remains oil. Brent crude prices have moved higher over the past couple of weeks. And rising oil has historically been a much more reliable headwind for equities than falling oil has been a tailwind. Our still constructive equity view does not require crude to collapse. It simply requires crude to stop rising. If oil spikes again because the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, that could pressure input costs, push yields and bond volatility higher, and create another round of market instability. Bottom line, the run it hot regime is alive and well. It supports equities. But it also shortens cycles, increases rotations, and forces investors to be more tactical at times. I currently like large-cap quality stocks, AI adopters, and the S&P 500 over international peers. Hedge the oil risk with energy stocks and keep your head on a swivel as we navigate the next phase of this recovery and bull market. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
The Treasury just signaled it will do whatever it takes to hold the long end together, and Bitcoin ripped toward $80,000 about 45 minutes after the headline hit.
Unete al grupo de inversión: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCy5-O9CmBVndvL6Kz_BP3-w/join Escucha mi Audiolibro: De Novato a Inversionista - El ABC de la Bolsa de Valores https://bit.ly/NovatoInversionista Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
NYU Professor Aswath Damodaran joins to discuss why he's saying AI could be having its "bar mitzvah moment" right now. Then, National Cattlemen's Beef Association CEO Colin Woodall discusses the trade group's opposition to President Trump's new plan to lower beef prices. Plus, Former Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker shares his expectations for the Fed's Jackson Hole meeting this week. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.