Pads Above Replacement

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Part of the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Pads Above Replacement looks at the San Diego Padres from a statistical viewpoint. Whether you're a new Padres fan or a member of the Friar Faithful, hosts Raphie Cantor and John Precoda dive into the stories behind the numbers of the most exciting team in baseball. This is an fWAR podcast.

Raphie Cantor and John Precoda


    • Apr 30, 2024 LATEST EPISODE
    • infrequent NEW EPISODES
    • 59m AVG DURATION
    • 31 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Pads Above Replacement

    Episode #28: Five Pitches That Defined April

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2024 50:14


    Episode #28 of Pads Above Replacement breaks down the good, the bad, and the bubbling for Padres pitchers in the month of April. It's been an uneven month to start the year, and while there are some bright spots, there are other key weapons that are causes for concern.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/HG_lnV6a1_IYou can access our notes document here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1cqcu-Um9Gg3-bKWTkorQv5HCpMiZs71m0vVFLX5hzAA/edit?usp=sharingBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to get shows ad-free and chat in our PAR Discord! patreon.com/padreshottub

    Episode #27: Dylan Cease

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2024 53:18


    Pads Above Replacement awakens from its slumber because AJ Preller demanded more episdoes, apparently. Hosts John Precoda and Raphie Cantor go in-depth on the newest Padre and potentially their new ace, Dylan Cease.Cease's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-cease/18525/stats?position=PBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PHT/PAR Discord and get the show ad-free! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/ydoBYwHkHG8

    Episode #26: The Padres 2024 Bullpen

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2024 86:35


    Pads Above Replacement makes its occasional reemergence from hibernation to chat about the Padres 2024 bullpen. Hosts John Precoda and Raphie Cantor go in-depth on the mistakes the team made under Bob Melvin, and what holes still exist for Mike Shildt and Ruben Niebla's arm barn as they look ahead to Peoria.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/jx9YoGDzngA

    Episode #25: The Juan Soto Trade Deep Dive

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2023 75:03


    Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back! (for now) The PAR boys emerged from their winter hibernation to break down the Juan Soto Trade from a value standpoint and get into the finer analytics details of the players coming back to San Diego.Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PHT Discord and our exclusive PAR chat! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/hBBCwkbQjvI

    Episode #24: The Closing Window Myth

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2023 44:08


    Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back with some spicy stat-driven takes! John has something to say to all those fans who think the window closes at the end of 2024. This discussion includes deeper dives into WAR projections, playoff fields, farm system correlation to success, payroll, and more.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/CvIGTFJOMHc Join the PHT Patreon to support the show and join the PAR Discord: patreon.com/padreshottub

    Episode #23: How to Run Out of Pitching

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2023 39:32


    In Episode 23 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda dive DEEP into the nerdy numbers behind what causes teams like the Padres to run out of pitching, and John has a new benchmark rule for quality that the Padres should be striving for.Watch the show on Youtube! https://youtu.be/uA2PF3UrJPkBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to get access to the PAR Discord at patreon.com/padreshottub

    Episode #22: To Tank or Not to Tank?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2023 41:43


    In Episode 22 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down the terrible choice the Padres must grapple with for the remainder of the 2023 season. They break down how the Padres should go about doing it, the value to be gained/lost, and why the Padres may have ended up here in the first place.Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get exclusive perks and join the PAR Discord! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on Youtube! https://youtu.be/_STYkCnn9d4

    Episode #21: Manny Machado

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2023 59:40


    In Episode 21 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda get back to their PAR roots and dive into a long awaited player-specific episode -- Manny Machado. What makes Manny Manny at the plate? And to what degree is his future linked to the Padres?Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR discord and get other great member perks! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/PN0oDWS2KR0

    Episode #20: Pitchers - Projections vs. Reality

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2023 73:26


    In Episode 20 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their pitchers have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Opposing hitters hate this ONE trick!Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ttn7JoKpl4TMT4nT-T2gHqqNewh-zeYJ/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=trueWatch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/3tThJhUKt9gBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord and get other exclusive member perks: patreon.com/padreshottub

    Episode #19: Hitters - Projections vs. Reality

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2023 77:43


    In Episode 19 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their hitters have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Let's get nerdy with it!Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tts7omwGuCjIX6WGZEMimLrM-bJus0qv/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=trueWatch the show on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j6VNTPfT6FQBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord: patreon.com/padreshottub

    Episode #18: 2023 Trade Deadline Review

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2023 78:11


    Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back -- the results are in, and the Padres chose to buy instead of sell. Raphie and John break down the three trades AJ Preller and Co. made on Deadline Day and what they mean for the Padres in the short and long term.Watch the show and subscribe on YouTube! https://youtu.be/y2b60T-3nA8Become a patron to join our Discord and chat with other statheads like you! patreon.com/padreshottub

    Episode #17: AJ Preller's Trade Deadline Review

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2023 106:01


    In episode 17 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John are back from a honeymoon break to revisit AJ Preller's trade deadlines as GM of the Padres -- how did those trades add up at the time with the information we had? How did they pan out? Strap in, because this one is a doozy.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/04qov_dfg9YBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord channel. patreon.com/padreshottubIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #16: AJ Preller's Draft Report Card

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 3, 2023 75:40


    In episode 16 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a fine-tooth comb through each of AJ Preller's drafts from 2015-2022. How did he do at the time? How did those players pan out, either for the Padres or other teams? How did they stack up against the Dodgers?Become a patron to join the PAR Discord channel -- patreon.com/padreshottub Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3WhclWu7yEIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #15: 2019 Nats, 2021 Braves, 2023 Padres...?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2023 60:10


    In episode 15 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John investigate the theory put forth by some Padres fans that the team is on the same trajectory as the 2019 Washington Nationals and 2021 Atlanta Braves -- two eventual World Series champions who had slow starts to their campaigns.Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5jUOjvFpwsIBecome a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #14: The Bullpen Episode

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2023 53:03


    In episode 14 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John break down the Padres bullpen -- a group that's had an elite first half of 2023, but not in the way you think. Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/CD_3BMmPIqwIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #13: Lineup Construction

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2023 54:38


    In episode 13 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a look at lineup and roster construction -- what are the basics and how have the Padres fared in relation to what we know about modern analytics?Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/vrLFkAe9WlgFangraphs Article on Lineup Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/a-lineup-construction-experiment/Fangraphs Article on Roster Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/stars-or-depth-what-is-the-best-way-to-build-an-mlb-roster/Intro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #12: Pitching State of the Union

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2023 74:03


    In episode 12 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, the State of the Union is strong -- for Padres pitching at least. Raphie and John dive into where things stand now, what the rotation and 'pen might look like in years-to-come, before finishing with a discussion of Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla (and how we will one day interview him).Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/nzkC9oMLyJgIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #11: May Review

    Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2023 65:52


    Episode 11 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, reviews the Padres in May -- an experiment in extremes with league-best pitching and defense -- and league-worst offense.Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/RcS2lPMjuXE Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord channel! patreon.com/padreshottubIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Summer School: wOBA and wRC+ Explained!

    Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2023 20:53


    Summer School continues on Pads Above Replacement as Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down two closely related stats that comprise much of modern offensive analysis - weighted On Base Average (wOBA) and weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+). Whether your name is Blake Snell or not, you should tune in!Become a patron for as low as $5/month to join the Pads Above Replacement Discord!Watch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!Check out Fangraphs' explanation on wOBA and wRC+, which are referenced a lot in this episode:https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/woba/https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/wrc/Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    SUMMER SCHOOL: WAR Explained!

    Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2023 33:35


    On this very special episode of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie and John launch a new series called "Summer School" to break down baseball's most important stats. First up is the perhaps the most important stat in the sabermetric era -- Wins Above Replacement (WAR). What is it good for? Absolutely everything!Become a patron for as low as $5/monthWatch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!Check out Fangraphs' explanation on WAR, which is referenced a lot in this episode: https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    war summer school fangraphs raphie wins above replacement war
    Episode #10: Blake Snell

    Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2023 64:17


    Episode 10 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Blake Snell -- the Padres starting pitcher with the greatest stuff this side of the Mississippi, but questionable control and evolving pitches which will dictate the next season and beyond for the southpaw.Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! Be sure to like and subscribe while thereBlake Snell's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-snell/13543/stats?position=PBlake Snell's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/blake-snell-605483?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlbIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #09: Juan Soto

    Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2023 75:25


    Episode 9 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Juan Soto -- the Dominican God of Walks and potentially first half-billion dollar player in MLB history who currently patrols LF for San Diego Padres.Become a patron to support the show and chat with Raphie and John on Discord!Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! Be sure to like and subscribe while thereJuan Soto's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/juan-soto/20123/stats?position=OFJuan Soto's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/juan-soto-665742?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlbIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #08: April Offense Review

    Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2023 65:25


    Episode 8 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers the Padres offense in April (pre-Mexico City) -- a dreadful beginning to what was promised to be one of the league's most electric offenses. But perhaps there's reason for hope?Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data!Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our discord and chat with Raphie and John about the Padres!Intro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #07: The Catcher Episode

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2023 68:47


    Episode 7 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers the San Diego Padres catchers -- Austin Nola and Luis Campusano. What should the Padres do about this position that has long been a black hole?Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! Join our Patreon for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement channel!Austin Nola's Baseball Savant Page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/austin-nola-543592?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlbLuis Campusano's Baseball Savant Page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/luis-campusano-669134?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlbAustin Nola's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/austin-nola/15941/stats?position=CLuis Campusano's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-campusano/22217/stats?position=CIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #06: Michael Wacha

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2023 54:40


    Episode 6 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Michael Wacha -- a starting pitcher whose in the midst of a huge transition as he begins his potentially long stint in San Diego.Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! Become a patron to get access to our discord for as little as $5/month Michael Wacha's Baseball Savant pageMichael Wacha's Fangraphs pageIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #05: Ha-Seong Kim 김하성

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2023 57:01


    Episode 5 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 - the fan favorite infielder whose future with the Padres in many ways remains uncertain.Watch this episode now on YouTube! Become a patron today for as low as $5/mo to get access to our Discord and chat with Raphie and John!Ha-Seong Kim's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/ha-seong-kim-673490?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlbHa-Seong Kim's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ha-seong-kim/27506/stats?position=SSHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #04: Xander Bogaerts

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2023 63:46


    Episode 4 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Xander Bogaerts - the newest Padres shortstop whose 11 year tenure in San Diego is opening up with a lot of question marks.Watch now on YouTube!Xander Bogaerts's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/xander-bogaerts-593428?stats=statcast-r-fielding-mlbXander Bogaerts's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/xander-bogaerts/12161/stats?position=SSHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode #03: Nick Martinez

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2023 46:21


    Episode 3 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Nick Martinez - the starter-turned-reliever-turned starter who could be an X-factor for the San Diego Padres in 2023.Watch now on YouTube! Subscribe to Pads Above Replacement's podcast --Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pads-above-replacement/id1676765616Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1zfCpYyhhG350JNP7Qd4pv?si=OGyV37PJSuGWzfFV2LSCKwNick Martinez's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/nick-martinez-607259?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlbNick Martinez's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nick-martinez/12730/stats?position=PHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode 2: Trent Grisham

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2023 64:05


    Episode 2 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Trent Grisham -- the elite center fielder and mystery behind the plate for the San Diego Padres.Watch now on YouTube!Trent Grisham's Baseball Savant pageTrent Grisham's Fangraphs pageHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    Episode 1: Jake Cronenworth

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2023 50:38


    Episode 1 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, breaks down one of the most exciting and evolving players on the San Diego Padres, Jake Cronenworth. Be sure to subscribe on Pads Above Replacement's channel to continue to hear the series!Watch now on YouTube!Jake Cronenworth's Baseball Savant page Jake Cronenworth's Fangraphs page Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

    PADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: Watch Now on YouTube!

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2023 0:51


    Watch now on YouTube!

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