Underwater diving to a depth beyond the norm accepted by the associated community
Most financial institutions invest a lot of time and effort to keep our online accounts as safe as possible. What measures do you use to keep your digital identity secure? Our next guest is Nick Espinosa, an expert in cybersecurity and network infrastructure. He founded Windy City Networks, Inc at age 19 and was acquired by BSSi2 LLC, where he is now their CIO. In 2015, Nick launched Security Fanatics, a Cybersecurity outfit dedicated to designing custom Cyberdefense strategies for medium to enterprise corporations. Additionally, Nick serves on the Board of Advisors for Roosevelt University's College of Arts and Sciences and their Center for Cyber and Information Security. He is also the Official Spokesperson for the COVID-19 Cyber Threat Coalition. Nick is a nationally recognized speaker, member of the Forbes Technology Council, and a regular columnist for Forbes. He is also the award-winning co-author of a bestselling book, Easy Prey, and host of a nationally syndicated radio show, The Deep Dive. Nick and I discuss the emotional impact of trust in the digital era and practical security tips to implement a sound cybersecurity strategy. For the latest news of cybersecurity follow Nick on: Twitter: @NickAEsp Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NickAEsp LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nickespinosa/ For more information on Nick Espinosa and this episode, visit: https://rebrand.ly/MYSApodcast
This episode is brought to you by Pendulum.We're constantly learning more and more about COVID-19. How it interacts with our immune systems, risk factors, and hospitalization and death rates are all topics that are extensively covered in the news. But the origin of COVID is something that is much less talked about. Why does this even matter? Understanding COVID's origin story is key in helping us prevent a future pandemic.Today on The Dhru Purohit Podcast, Dhru talks to Dr. Steven Quay to hear about his investigation into how COVID infected humans in the first place. Dr. Steven Quay has 360+ published contributions to medicine and has been cited over 10,000 times, placing him in the top 1% of scientists worldwide. He holds 87 US patents and has invented seven FDA-approved pharmaceuticals which have helped over 80 million people. He is the author of the bestselling book on surviving the pandemic, Stay Safe: A Physician's Guide to Survive Coronavirus. He is the CEO of Atossa Therapeutics Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing novel therapeutics for oncology and infectious diseases. In this episode, we dive into: -The two competing hypotheses of the coronavirus (7:13)-How SARS-CoV-1 began (12:23)-Gain of opportunity vs. gain of function research (13:46)-Dr. Quay's research concluding that SARS-CoV-2 is laboratory derived (17:19)-International inquiry into origins of the coronavirus (44:08)-The implications if we don't learn the lessons of the true origin of SARS-CoV-2 (55:03)-Natural immunity vs. vaccinated immunity (1:11:17)-Understanding the omicron variant (1:14:21) Also mentioned in this episode: -A Bayesian analysis concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis, but instead is laboratory-derived - https://zenodo.org/record/4642956#.Yeo1SljMKBR -Paris Group Letter - https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/03/04/us/covid-origins-letter.html -Did COVID-19 Leak From A Lab? A Reporter Investigates—And Finds Roadblocks - https://www.npr.org/2021/06/17/1007539626/did-covid-19-leak-from-a-lab-a-reporter-investigates-and-finds-roadblocksFor more on Dr. Steven Quay, visit his website www.drquay.com. Email him at firstname.lastname@example.org, Check out his book, Stay Safe: A Physician's Guide to Survive Coronavirus at https://drquay.com/survivalguide/.This episode is brought to you by Pendulum.Pendulum is the first company to figure out how to harness the amazing benefits of Akkermansia in a probiotic capsule. To receive 20% off your first purchase of Pendulum's Akkermansia probiotic supplement, go to Pendulumlife.com and use code DHRU20. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
On this week's episode of Currently Reading, Meredith and Kaytee are discussing: Bookish Moments: a giant fanfic and a kid's rec Current Reads: books that have very little in common with each other Deep Dive: a listener-suggested topic, what are the three themes of your reading life? Book Presses: productivity non-fiction and pregnancy-related non-ficiton As per usual, time-stamped show notes are below with references to every book and resource we mentioned in this episode. If you'd like to listen first and not spoil the surprise, don't scroll down! New: we are now including transcripts of the episode (this link only works on the main site). These are generated by AI, so they may not be perfectly accurate, but we want to increase accessibility for our fans! *Please note that all book titles linked below are Bookshop affiliate links. Your cost is the same, but a small portion of your purchase will come back to us to help offset the costs of the show. If you'd prefer to shop on Amazon, you can still do so here through our main storefront. Anything you buy there (even your dishwasher detergent!) kicks a small amount back to us. Thanks for your support!* . . . . :30 - Currently Reading Patreon 1:48 - Bookish Moment of the Week 4:27 - The City of Ember by Jeanne DuPrau 6:06 - The People of Sparks by Jeanne DuPrau (City of Ember #2) 7:32 - All The Young Dudes digital version 7:59 - Sorta Awesome Podcast 10:26 - All the Young Dudes in print (purchase at your own risk) 11:39 - Become a Bookish Friend of Currently Reading 11:41 - Become a Superstar of The Sorta Awesome podcast 13:35 - All the Young Dudes on Goodreads 14:04 - Current Reads 14:28 - The Murder of Roger Ackroyd by Agatha Christie (Meredith) 17:24 - And Then There Were None by Agatha Christie 17:33 - The Art of Gathering by Priya Parker (Kaytee) 19:05 - Secret Stuff by Laura Tremaine (her Patreon) 20:14 - The Art of Gathering Virtual Guide 21:20 - @katieladyreads on Instagram 21:38 - Deal Breaker by Harlan Coben (Meredith) 27:24 - All Things Reconsidered by Knox McCoy (Kaytee) 27:32 - The Popcast Patreon 29:11 - The Wondering Years by Knox McCoy 30:50 - The House of Hollow by Krystal Sutherland (Meredith) 34:43 - The Hazel Wood by Melissa Albert 34:48 - Every Heart a Doorway by Seanan McGuire 35:46 - Wilder Girls by Rory Power 36:38 - Camp by L.C. Rosen (Kaytee) 36:47 - Cyrano de Bergerac by Edmond Rostand 39:51 - Deep Dive: Three Themes That Describe Us As Readers 40:18 - What Should I Read Next podcast 43:18 - A Gentleman In Moscow by Amor Towles 44:40 - Pony by R.J Palacio 47:16 - The Storied Life of A.J. Fikry by Gabrielle Zevin 52:05 - Suggest a deep dive topic at email@example.com 52:19 - WSIRN episode 276 52:34 - Books We'd Like to Press Into Your Hands 53:11 - First Things First by Stephen R. Covey (Meredith) 53:21 - The Seven Habits of Highly Effective People by Stephen R. Covey 53:28 - The Seven Habits of Highly Effective Teens by Stephen R. Covey 57:06 - Expecting Better by Emily Oster (Kaytee) 57:53 - What to Expect When You're Expecting by Heidi Murkoff 57:55 - Freakonomics by Steven D. Levitt Connect With Us: Meredith is @meredith.reads on Instagram Kaytee is @notesonbookmarks on Instagram Mindy is @gratefulforgrace on Instagram Mary is @maryreadsandsips on Instagram currentlyreadingpodcast.com @currentlyreadingpodcast on Instagram firstname.lastname@example.org Support us at patreon.com/currentlyreadingpodcast
Recorded live from the Largo at the Coronet in Los Angeles, Robert Kirkman (The Walking Dead) and Emily V. Gordon (The Big Sick) join Paul and Jason to discuss the 2009 Neveldine/Taylor film Gamer. They'll cover everything including Gerard Butler's way to refuel a car, the incredible Michael C. Hall dance sequence, and the potential Ludacris cross-over with Fast & Furious. Plus, we settle the really important parts of the film during Audience Q&A! For more Matinee Monday content, check out Paul's Youtube pagehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ikagk-WhC-YFor upcoming HDTGM info visit https://www.hdtgminfo.com/HDTGM Discord: discord.gg/hdtgmPaul's Discord: https://discord.gg/paulscheerCheck out Paul and Rob Huebel live on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/friendzone) every Thursday 8-10pm ESTSubscribe to The Deep Dive with Jessica St. Clair and June Diane Raphael here: listen.earwolf.com/deepdiveSubscribe to Unspooled with Paul Scheer and Amy Nicholson here: listen.earwolf.com/unspooledCheck out The Jane Club over at www.janeclub.comCheck out new HDTGM merch over at https://www.teepublic.com/stores/hdtgmWhere to Find Jason, June & Paul:@PaulScheer on Instagram & Twitter@Junediane on IG and @MsJuneDiane on TwitterJason is Not on Twitter
This week on the Game Marks Podcast, we play WWF Superstars 2 thanks to Mega Mark, Brett Vann. We break down Microsoft's acquisition of Activision/Blizzard, the big announcement regarding WWE 2k22, our dream 2K Showcase modes, this week's Clash at The Feis and more! Will this game hold up today? Will we Play it Forever or Future Endeavor?Join George Feis & Johnny Clash each week as they do a #DeepDive into the good, the bad & the awesome of wrestling video games. Do your favorite games stand the test of time or are you playing them with nostalgia goggles?Listen in each week as George and John let you know if they would #PlayItForever or #FutureEndeavor. New episodes every Monday! Follow along @GameMarksPod.Join our Patreon for extra content and bonus episodes! patreon.com/gamemarkspod Sponsors• Nord VPN: gamemarkspod.com/vpn • VFG Gamers: vgfgamers.com Use code GAMEMARKS• Merch: gamemarkspodcast.bigcartel.com • Pro Wrestling Tees: prowrestlingtees.com/gamemarkspod• Tee Public: teepublic.com/user/gamemarkspod
The average human lifespan is around 4,000 weeks - this sounds scary but it's also incredibly empowering. Journalist and Author Oliver Burkeman says that facing our finitude and how little control we have over our lives is key to living a truly fulfilling and meaningfully productive life. For many years Oliver wrote a popular weekly column on psychology, happiness and productivity for The Guardian called 'This Column Will Change Your Life' and has recently released his latest book 'Four Thousand Weeks: Time And How To Use It' which looks at how our obsessiveness with being busy and trying to master our time can actually make us more unhappy, avoid important decisions about our future and make us less in control of our lives. In the conversation we discuss what most productivity gurus get wrong about productivity, how you will never get everything done and why you should start embracing the fact of human finitude.
Drew is VERY unhappy with how the Chiefs-Bills game ended so this episode is mostly him just ranting about that, but we do talk about all the games and our early thoughts on the Conference Championship Games.
Smite Pro League caster, Aggro, Olympus Bolts backliner, BaRRaCCuDDa, and guest Ajax provide a comprehensive breakdown of the new Smite Season 9 patch. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Hit play on the Shanthem! Rob Cesternino is joined by Shan Smith for an in-depth interview about all things Survivor season 41! The post Survivor 41 | Shan Smith Deep Dive appeared first on RobHasAwebsite.com.
Hit play on the Shanthem! Rob Cesternino is joined by Shan Smith for an in-depth interview about all things Survivor season 41! The post Survivor 41 | Shan Smith Deep Dive appeared first on RobHasAwebsite.com.
If you thought you knew sweetshrub (Calycanthus floridanus), think again! Join botanist Katie Horton and me for a deep dive into the amazing and mysterious world of this ancient lineage. This episode was produced in part by Laura, Miz Holly, Christie, Carlos, Paleo Fern, Levi, Sylvia, Lanny, Ben, Lily, Craig, Sarah, Lor, Monika, Brandon, Jeremy, Suzanne, Kristina, Christine, Silas, Michael, Aristia, Felicidad, Lauren, Danielle, Allie, Jeffrey, Amanda, Tommy, Marcel, C Leigh, Karma, Shelby, Christopher, Alvin, Arek, Chellie, Dani, Paul, Dani, Tara, Elly, Colleen, Natalie, Nathan, Ario, Laura, Cari, Margaret, Mary, Connor, Nathan, Jan, Jerome, Brian, Azomonas, Ellie, University Greens, Joseph, Melody, Patricia, Matthew, Garrett, John, Ashley, Cathrine, Melvin, OrangeJulian, Porter, Jules, Griff, Joan, Megan, Marabeth, Les, Ali, Southside Plants, Keiko, Robert, Bryce, Wilma, Amanda, Helen, Mikey, Michelle, German, Joerg, Cathy, Tate, Steve, Kae, Carole, Mr. Keith Santner, Lynn, Aaron, Sara, Kenned, Brett, Jocelyn, Ethan, Sheryl, Runaway Goldfish, Ryan, Chris, Alana, Rachel, Joanna, Lori, Paul, Griff, Matthew, Bobby, Vaibhav, Steven, Joseph, Brandon, Liam, Hall, Jared, Brandon, Christina, Carly, Kazys, Stephen, Katherine, Mohsin Kazmi Takes Pictures, Manny, doeg, Daniel, Tim, Philip, Tim, Lisa, Brodie, Bendix, Irene, holly, Sara, and Margie.
In this episode, the boys discuss and rank all five Scream movies, and give their Top 5 characters of the franchise. Follow Us! Instagram: @topfivesanddeepdives Twitter: @TopDives Support the Pod! Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/topfivesanddeepdives Like our intro? Check out Real Topeka People: Real Topeka People - Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/artist/7MRW1I6p5KfsO16ht4nRfk?si=l8LKCa7ZRTuY99RTn9RqdQ Real Topeka People - TikTok: @realtopekapeople Real Topeka People - Instagram: @therealtopekapeople
Wir haben vor fast zwei Jahren angefangen, den FILMDUDES Podcast zu veröffentlichen und sind auch als Konsumenten große Podcast-Fans. Warum wir an das Medium glauben und wie wir unseren Podcast organisieren – darauf gehen wir in dieser Folge ein. Außerdem gibt Philipp Westermeyer von OMR einen Einblick in seine Sicht auf den Podcast-Markt Wer einen Deep Dive zum Thema möchte, der kann sich den Professional Guide zum Thema Podcast von OMR ansehen. FILMDUDES auf Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/filmdudes Unsere Website: www.filmdudes.net Podcast – Professional Guide: https://education.omr.com/products/professional-guide-to-podcast
We're talking allllllll about intermittent fasting. Intermittent fasting purports the timing of what's consumed is more important in terms of health and weight than what's consumed by recommending periods of fasting followed by a specified eating window. We start with discussion around the low-fat craze of the 70's/80's/90's and its impact on weight status, genetics and hormones and their impact on weight status, and the possible usefulness of intermittent fasting...or not?? Tune in to learn more! Patreon | Love what you're hearing? Help fund ongoing episodes through donations as little as $1/month. Learn more here! Leave a review | When you leave a five star iTunes review, it helps others with similar interests and passions find us when they're looking for new content. Thank you in advance! Resources and Show Notes Swing Swim cover-up sheer skirt
Bei den Google Trends liegt der Begriff aktuell ganz weit oben in den Charts. Die Rede ist von NFTs: Non-Fungible Tokens. Alle Medien von Social Media bis zur Lokalzeitung berichten über den Hype rund um die digitalen Vermögenswerte und daher ist es nur logisch, dass sich auch Timo und Michael mit NFTs auseinandersetzen. In 15 Minuten erklären die beiden das Thema möglichst einfach und schaffen es anhand vieler Beispiele das kryptische Thema für jeden zugänglich zu machen. Auf einen technischen Deep Dive in die Blockchain-Technologie und Kryptowährungen verzichten die beiden, um den Fokus auf die Funktionsweise und die Anwendungen zu richten.
The One With the Draws. Will Cooling is joined by Lewis Brown (@lewisjamesbrown) to discuss the return of Jon Moxley and the renaming of Walter. They then have two looks at Wrestling Draws - who are the biggest draws in wrestling history and should draws be allowed in wrestling. English really is a stupid, confusing language. All this and much more, including why Will thinks British wrestling fans are so embittered, and which British politician Lewis had to excuse himself from campaigning with to record the podcast.
Nate Hedrick and David Bright discuss how to determine your repair and capital expense budget for your properties and how these two budget lines can make or break your investment. Key Points From This Episode A reminder to keep repairs and capital expenditures separate when budgeting. Defining the two categories and some example issues of each. Some different theories and approaches, and the advantages/disadvantages of each. Three quick tips to keep in mind when trying to estimate repairs. Some examples of what we've done to minimize things that could go wrong. How to take into account the age of the property and fixtures. Ways to use your sinking fund, plus a reminder to be flexible to include inflation. Four market-dependent CapEx points to be intentional about when finding houses. The importance of talking to a local expert when evaluating rent prices. Some great resources for you, from articles to podcast episodes to a free guide. Links Mentioned in Today's Episode YFP Real Estate Investing 06: Picking (and Switching) Property Managers YFP Real Estate Investing 14: Protecting Your Investments YFP Real Estate Investing 35: Making Connections Through Local Real Estate Meetups Register for a Your Financial Pharmacist Webinar How to Estimate Future CapEx Expenses on a Rental Property by Brandon Turner YFP Real Estate Investing Find an Investor-Friendly Agent YFP Real Estate Investing 18: Tax Strategies for Real Estate Investing Download The Pharmacist's Guide to Real Estate Investing Join the YFP Real Estate Investing Facebook Group Your Financial Pharmacist Disclaimer and Disclosures
Mal and Joanna return to the Sarlacc pit to give there deep dive into Episode 4 of 'The Book of Boba Fett' (05:50). They take on the "stoic" archetype and examine how both Boba and Fennec can occupy that roll (32:32). Later, they are joined by Ben Lindbergh to talk about the history behind Boba's famed ship (97:10). They also speculate with Jomi, who may return for the finale (1:50:10), before offering a heartfelt farewell to producer TD. Hosts: Mallory Rubin and Joanna Robinson Producer: Steve Ahlman Guest: Ben Lindbergh Social: Jomi Adeniran Additional Production: Steve Ahlman, TD St. Matthew-Daniel, and Arjuna Ramgopal Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Welcome back to PART 4 of Making 2022 You Best Year Ever with EPISODE #194 on “Perfecting the Skills of Organized Planning, Decision-Making and Persistence” as we continue our deep dive into Napoleon Hill's Classic book, Think and Grow Rich, that has sold over 15 million copies worldwide. On this episode, you will learn: ✔︎ Review PART 1, 2, 3 to Reinforce the First 6 Chapters of Think and Grow Rich. ✔︎ Why the Skills of Organized Planning , Decision-Making and Persistence are important and Timeless Leadership Characteristics. ✔︎The Major Attributes of Leadership. ✔︎ The Major Causes of Failure in Leadership. ✔︎ Strategies to Improve Your Decision-Making and Persistence Muscles. For those new, or returning guests, welcome back. I'm Andrea Samadi, author, and educator from Toronto, Canada, now in Arizona, and like many of you who tune in, have been fascinated with learning, understanding, and applying the most current brain research to improve productivity in our schools, our sports, and workplace environments. This month, I decided to share my notes with you on a book that I have been studying every January since 2018, with Paul Martinelli, who has studied this book for most of his career. It was the book that my mentor Bob Proctor has studied for his entire life, over 57 years, and a book that some of the wisest people in the world have studied. If you have been following our episodes of Napoleon Hill's Classic book, you will recall how PART 1 began with a reminder from Grant Cardone that “in order to get to the next level of whatever it is that we are doing, we must think and act in a wildly different way than we previously have been.”[i] We outlined all of the 15 principles that we will be diving into and in PART 2[ii] we looked at the importance of positive thinking, being crystal clear with what we want, and choosing faith over fear in pursuit of our goals. PART 3[iii] we examined the importance of putting these goals on autopilot with what Hill calls “autosuggestion” and then further honing our craft by studying, learning, and developing specialized knowledge that will separate you from others, making you truly unique with your talent that you'll continue to perfect in your lifetime, while using your imagination to keep building and perfecting whatever it is that you want to create in your life. Now we move into Chapter 7 on Organized Planning, Chapter 8 on Decision, and Chapter 9, my all-time favorite, on Persistence. If you think about it, we have developed our vision in the first six chapters, have probably created a plan to move towards what we want, and are using our mind, our five senses, and even thinking beyond our five senses with our 6 faculties of the mind that we reviewed on episode #67.[iv] These next three chapters are integral for making sure our plans stay on track, that we take continual action steps towards our crystal-clear vision, with a never give up attitude. Which leads us to… Chapter 7 Organized Planning This chapter holds some timeless secrets for success that are so important, you can go to Amazon and find hundreds of books that focus on “organization” whether in your personal or professional life. You can browse through Netflix and find shows based on the importance of keeping your home “organized” with the show Tidying Up with Marie Kondo[v] where she explains the energy that frees up when your home goes from disorderly to orderly. Hill reminds us in the beginning of this chapter on the importance of organized planning when he states “if the plan you adopt does not work successfully, replace it with a new plan” (CH7, Page 117, TAGR) and that “temporary defeat should only mean one thing—the certain knowledge that there is something wrong with your plan.” (CH7, Page 117, TAGR). Remember Thomas Edison “failed” 10,000 times before he perfected the incandescent light bulb. “A QUITTER NEVER WINS AND A WINNER NEVER QUITS” Hill suggests writing this sentence out on a piece of paper “and place it where you will see it every night before you go to sleep, and every morning before you go to work.” (CH7, Page 118, TAGR). I remember in 6th grade, my teacher, Mr. Ron Walker had a poster above the clock in our classroom at Norman Ingram Public School in Toronto, with a beat-up kid trying to learn hockey. He has band aids all over him, cuts, and bruises, but at the top of the poster was written that phrase “A QUITTER NEVER WINS AND A WINNER NEVER QUITS.” I used to stare at that poster often, not because I wanted to learn that sport, maybe a bit because it was right over the clock that I kept my eye on, but that phrase would later be something that would become a habit and would lead me to places that most people would never see, because the win often occurs AFTER most people would typically give up. We'll examine this on a deeper level in the Persistence chapter. In this chapter, on Organized Planning, Hill writes about the TOP 11 Major Attributes of Leadership, and while all of them are important, the ones that stood out to me are that leaders possess: Unwavering Courage “that comes from knowledge of self and of one's occupation”(CH 7, Page 120, TAGR) Self-control “people who cannot control themselves cannot control others”(CH 7, Page 120, TAGR) Definiteness of Decision “People who waver in their decisions show that they are not sure of themselves” (CH 7, Page 120, TAGR) Definiteness of Plans “The successful leader must plan the work and work the plan.”(CH 7, Page 120, TAGR) The Habit of Doing More Than Paid For “One of the penalties of leadership is the necessity and of willingness, upon the part of the leaders, to do more than they require of their followers” (CH 7, Page 120, TAGR) and Mastery of Detail of everything that pertains to “the leader's position” (CH 7, Page 120, TAGR) You will see how these characteristics of leadership all tie into the next few chapters we will be looking at. Napoleon Hill also lists the TOP 10 Major Causes of Failure in Leadership in this chapter, and the first one is “The inability to organize details” (CH.7, page 122, TAGR) where “the successful leader must be the master of all details connected to that position” (CH.7, page 123, TAGR). While I think ALL the 10 Major Causes of Failure are important to read through, and take an honest look at, the first one will set you up for success if you can master organization in your personal and professional life as the ability to organize details in our workplace begins with the ability to organize details within ALL the major areas of our life. I covered the nine environments of our life, on our episode that launched 2021 last January, on EPISODE #103 “3 Ways to Reset, Refuel and Recharge Your Brain”[vi] and I do highly recommend taking a 360 look at our life every year to evaluate where energy might be leaking that could be directed somewhere else. Our environments (that surround us) either inspire us or expire us. They either add energy and move you ahead or drain your energy and hold you back. Whether this is fair or not, it's easy to walk past someone's work environment and notice if it's organized, (giving energy vs draining energy) or sit in their car, and look around and notice if it's kept clean, (giving energy vs draining energy) or open up their closet and see how their clothes are organized, (you get the picture) Our environments and how we keep them give anyone a glimpse into how we value organization in the major areas of our life. The statement “How you do anything is how you do everything” which says a lot and means that the small details matter. Hill put the inability to organize details as his first Major Cause of Failure and he even leaves a spot open for you to add you own idea to this list, in spot #31. He reminds us to “know thyself” and we couldn't agree more. Our second episode on this podcast was called “Know Thyself”[vii] still remains as one of our most popular episodes. We launched our podcast with the topic of Self-Awareness to kick off our first social and emotional learning competency since to “know thyself” is the most substantial achievement we can have in our lifetime. “The major value in life is not what you get. It's what you become.” (Jim Rohn, American author, speaker and entrepreneur). Hill reminds us that “you should know all of your weaknesses so that you may either bridge them or eliminate them entirely…you can know yourself only through accurate analysis.” (CH 7, Page 144, TAGR). Do you know yourself? Your strengths AND weaknesses? Hill offers a 28-question inventory to help us to self-assess ourselves, decrease our faults, and increase our virtues. Chapter 8 Decision Hill opens up this chapter by sharing that an “accurate analysis of over 25,000 men and women who had experienced failure disclosed the fact that lack of decision was near the head of the list of the 30 major causes of failure.” (CH 8, Page 157, TAGR). He says that this is not a statement of theory, but a fact and that successful people “had the habit of reaching decisions promptly and of changing these decisions slowly, if and when they were changed.” (CH 8, Page 157, TAGR) He shared that one of Henry Ford's outstanding qualities was “his habit of reaching decisions quickly and definitely and changing them slowly.” (CH 8, Page 158, TAGR) How do you make decisions? Remember that you “have a brain and mind of your own. Use it and reach your own decisions.” (CH 8, Page 159, TAGR). Making decisions requires courage and “the great decisions which served as the foundation of civilization were reached by assuming great risks.” (CH 8, Page 160, TAGR). You can read through some examples that Hill provides of those famous people in history who made decisions that required courage. Some of them are so moving, that they inspired me many years ago, before deciding to move from Toronto to the United States, to purchase a poster that has been in my office ever since I made this move, with the word Courage is written on the top, along with the poem by Johann Wolfgang von Goethe that says “The moment one definitely commits oneself, then Providence moves too. All sorts of things occur to help one that would never otherwise have occurred. A whole stream of events issues from the decision which no man could have dreamed would come his way. Whatever you can do, or dream you can do, begin it.” (Goethe) This is true (with a committed decision all sorts of things occur to help one that would never otherwise have occurred) and cannot be experienced until AFTER the committed decision is made, and all other options or bridges are burned. Like we mentioned in PART 2 of this study, in Chapter 1 where “Every person who wins in any undertaking must be willing to burn his ships and cut all sources of retreat.” (CH 2, page 21, TAGR). Barnes did this when he found his way to New Jersey to meet with Edison, and Dr. David Sinclair did it when he left Australia for MIT.[viii] Do you make decisions quickly and change them slowly? “You have a brain and mind of your own. Use it and reach you own decisions.” (CH8, Page 159, TAGR). Chapter 9 Persistence This chapter is to me, the most important chapter of the book. It's so important that I put a tab labelled PERSISTENCE instead of just a chapter number so I could refer to this chapter often when needed. People who reach high levels of success in their life can usually tell you where they have applied persistence to get what they wanted, with the mixture of their will (one of the higher faculties of the mind). Successful people are often “known as cold-blooded and sometimes ruthless. Often they are misunderstood. What they have is willpower, which they mix with persistence” (CH. 9, Page 175, TAGR) to get what they want. The word “persistence” is “to character, what carbon is to steel.” (CH 9, Page 178, TAGR). “Without persistence, you will be defeated, even before you start. With persistence, you will win.” (CH 9, Page 178, TAGR). STRENGTHENING YOUR “PERSISTENCE” MUSCLES I was taught to use this skill in my early days of working with Proctor. There was an activity he would have us to do that was meant to develop “Persistence” so that it became a habit. He would have us read this chapter, for 14 days in a row. The entire chapter, every day, for 14 days, and if for some reason, you missed a day, you would need to start over again. This was much easier for me in the days before I had children, and I read this chapter often. Fast forward to 2019 when Paul Martinelli challenged us to read the chapter for 14 days in a row, I thought “that's a piece of cake” and I took the challenge. I would have to say this was one of the most difficult things I have done in recent years and could see exactly how it builds your persistence muscles. I set my alarm to wake up a bit earlier than usual, and went to my office, and every morning, would read this chapter using the small light in my office, so I didn't wake anyone else up in the house. I wouldn't say it was easy but try it yourself and see how you do. It was smooth sailing for me until one morning I was at my desk reading, and one of the kids came into my office not feeling well, and I put my book down to solve her tummy ache and get her ready for school. The day had started, and I had missed reading the chapter. I didn't have a block of time in the work day to do this, so I had to take something off my schedule, to get back on track. This activity will open your eyes to how different roadblocks will come your way, and take your eye off your goals, and without the use of your will, you would probably let that one thing fall off your radar. And you will have to start over again at day 1 if that happens. Try this challenge, and tick off every day that you read the Persistence chapter from start to finish and see if you can do this 14 days in a row. It's an eye-opening activity that will give you incredible self-awareness. Try it, and let me know what you notice. Never underestimate the compounding effect of consistency. “A good example of the power of persistence is show business. From all over the world people have come to Hollywood seeking fame, fortune, power, love or whatever it is that human beings call success…But Hollywood is not easily nor quickly conquered. It acknowledges talent, recognizes genius and pays off in money only after one has refused to quit. The secret is always inseparably attached to one word—persistence.” (CH 9, Page 180, TAGR). It requires discipline—the ability to give yourself a command and follow through. Who do you know who is persistent? If you are in the profession of sales, someone who is persistent will be conditioned to not take “no” for an answer in the sales cycle. When the customer says “no” the persistent sales representative will ask questions to see if there is any possible way forward. Asking questions helps them to discover if there is an opportunity, or not. They may uncover that the person said no because they just spent their budget with another company and had no more budget left to spend with you, even if they love your product. A persistent salesperson who can develop and maintain strong relationships with their customers would then be able to ask if it would be possible for them to cancel the order with the other company and purchase with you. It may lead to an opportunity, or not, but without persistence, one would never know. WHEN TO GIVE UP There's always the point where whatever it is we want is out of our reach, and when we have tried all angles, pushed past when most others would have given up, that I think it's ok to give up, only if you put in your best effort. I don't quote my Dad (Frank) often, as sometimes our best teachers in life teach us important life lessons the hard way without any sugar coating that would not lead to intended results. My Dad used to always say “What's for you won't go by you” which helped me a few times I didn't get the job I wanted in my early 20s. I do still believe that saying to be true, and remember that force negates, that there is always a time that you will know you've given your best shot, and this opportunity just wasn't for you. Which leads us to the conclusion of this episode. I'll see you next week as we move into the final chapters of the book, with Chapter 10 on the Power of the Mastermind, Chapter 11 (one of the most misunderstood chapters in the book) The Mystery of Sex Transmutation, Chapter 12, The Subconscious Mind and Chapter 13, The Brain. I hope you are finding value in visiting these timeless principles, used by some of the wisest people in the world, to make your 2022, your best year ever. See you next week! REFERENCES: [i] Neuroscience Meets Social and Emotional Learning Podcast EPISODE #190 PART 1 “Making 2022 Your Best Year Ever” https://andreasamadi.podbean.com/e/think-and-grow-rich-book-review-part-1-how-to-make-2022-your-best-year-ever/ [ii]Neuroscience Meets Social and Emotional Learning Podcast EPISODE #191 PART 2 on “Thinking Differently and Choosing Faith Over Fear” https://andreasamadi.podbean.com/e/think-and-grow-rich-book-review-part-2-how-to-make-2022-your-best-year-ever-by-thinking-differently-and-choosing-faith-over-fear/ [iii]Neuroscience Meets Social and Emotional Learning Podcast EPISODE #193 PART 3 on “Putting Our Goals on Autopilot with Autosuggestion and Our Imagination” https://andreasamadi.podbean.com/e/think-and-grow-rich-book-review-part-3-using-autosuggestion-and-your-imagination-to-put-your-goals-on-autopilot/ [iv] Neuroscience Meets Social and Emotional Learning Podcast EPISODE #67 “Expanding Your Awareness with a Deep Dive into Most Important Concepts Learned from Bob Proctor Seminars: https://andreasamadi.podbean.com/e/expanding-your-awareness-with-a-deep-dive-into-bob-proctors-most-powerful-seminars/ [v] Tidying Up with Marie Kondo on Netflix https://www.netflix.com/title/80209379 [vi]Neuroscience Meets Social and Emotional Learning Podcast EPISODE #103 on “3 Ways to Reset, Recharge and Refuel Your Brain” https://andreasamadi.podbean.com/e/the-neuroscience-of-leadership-3-ways-to-reset-recharge-and-refuel-your-brain-for-your-best-year-ever/ [vii]Neuroscience Meets Social and Emotional Learning Podcast EPISODE #2 “Know Thyself” https://andreasamadi.podbean.com/e/self-awareness-know-thyself/ [viii] Neuroscience Meets Social and Emotional Learning Podcast EPISODE #191 PART 2 on “Thinking Differently and Choosing Faith Over Fear” https://andreasamadi.podbean.com/e/think-and-grow-rich-book-review-part-2-how-to-make-2022-your-best-year-ever-by-thinking-differently-and-choosing-faith-over-fear/
Episode Description As a reminder you can watch this show as well at: http://www.YouTube.com/milestomemories CES happened earlier this month and due to our schedule we weren't able to cover it last week. In our recap we'll talk empty show booths, the creepiest of robot tech, color changing cars and how the Tesla tunnels had traffic during the show! In other Vegas news we talk about Allegiant's delayed and horrible response to giving me the wrong Raiders tickets, tales from Las Vegas bottle service waitresses, a very famous steakhouse is coming to Caesars, Oscar Goodman's mob statue and a rumor that Resorts World wants to build another arena on the Strip! About the Show Each week thousands of people tune into our MtM Vegas news show at http://www.YouTube.com/milestomemories and now we bring you the MtM Vegas podcast where we can spend a little more time sharing our best Vegas info, tips, reviews and stories plus talk to some of the most interesting people in Vegas. Enjoying the podcast? Please consider leaving us a positive review on your favorite podcast platform! You can also connect with us anytime at email@example.com. You can subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify or by searching "MtM Vegas" or "Miles to Memories" in your favorite podcast app. Don't forget to check out our travel/miles/points podcast as well!
EP285 - 22021 Full Year and Holiday Data Deep Dive The US Dept of Commerce December Advanced Retail Sales Data is out, which gives us a full look at 2021 and the 2021 holiday season. So Episode 285 is a data deepdive into 2021. If you want to follow along, we've made a deck with all the data available at https://retailgeek.com/2021-commerce-recap Data Sources US Retail & E-Com Sales Data: US Dept of Commerce E-Commerce Estimates: eMarketer Retail Foot Traffic Data: Placer.ai Web Traffic Data: Similar Web Holiday Estimates: Adobe, Salesforce, Mastercard Episode 285 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday Jan 20th, 2022. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, Chief Commerce Strategy Officer at Publicis, and Scot Wingo, CEO of GetSpiffy and Co-Founder of ChannelAdvisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:23] Welcome to the Jason and Scot show this is episode 285 being recorded on Thursday January 20th 2022 that's a heck of a lot of 2012's. I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Cohoes Sky Wingo. Scot: [0:41] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott chaussures Jason is kind of a shame we neither of us were able to make it in our F but, one of the things I don't miss is every year that I've gone to in our f for the last three times I've went I've had trouble getting there or been stuck there so I think then our F should use this opportunity to move that show out of January and maybe look at something like March or something if they're going to be in New York. Jason: [1:09] Or to the like Bahamas or something. Scot: [1:12] Yeah even better yeah let's make it a destination of it. Jason: [1:17] You know you have my vote I'm not sure you have a majority of votes see you if you have mine that would be awesome. Scot: [1:24] Yeah just watching and it seemed like some folks went and then they had a lot of cancellations so seemed like it was in kind of one of those weird. Hybrid states were if you went and then, person you are going to go see present canceled you sat there in a room with people watching a zoom so that's number Super satisfying but I do think it seemed like some folks you and I know got together and had some dinners and had fund so hopefully that was that was good for everyone. Jason: [1:50] Yeah I had a little bit of foam oh I think you know some people I would have liked to see you know I saw you know social media of them getting together and whatnot and. It's just super bad luck I have a feeling if this show was a month later it would be a lot less controversial that traveled to. Scot: [2:09] Yeah and what did you want to talk about this week. Jason: [2:14] Well you know if we had gone to NRF one of the things that I always like to do it in our f is kind of check in with a lot of our co-workers in the industry and kind of you know get a consensus, about how the year ended up for everyone and what they thought the big issues were going to be for 20 21. So since we didn't get to do that at shop at NRF I thought maybe we could do it on this podcast for our listeners. Scot: [2:42] Yeah that sounds good and then I know you always put together a little for your clients kind of the summary deck and I know that's hard for our podcast listeners so do you have a way to solve that. Jason: [2:55] Yeah so what I thought I would do I put together like a 36 slide deck completely full of numbers and what I thought I would do is describe all of the graphs on the podcast. Scot: [3:09] Sounds good that sounds good and it's going to be a we'll go through it and intricate detail data point by day. Jason: [3:14] Yeah because the one complaint I get about the show is that it's not hard enough to listen to. Scot: [3:18] That's that's from your mom. Jason: [3:22] So that probably isn't going to work but here so here's what I did think I do like instead of, just charging the fortune that we charge clients to go through this presentation I thought I would make a version of the whole deck available to all our listeners so in the event you do want to follow along with the visuals and see the actual data, we will put a link in the show notes you can hit pause for a second, you can open up the deck and I will tell you what slides were talking about in case you want to follow along but but Scott keep me honest here we'll try to make sure we're talking about in a way that you can kind of just, just listen along on the podcast and then look at the deck later if that's the way you prefer to do it. Scot: [4:03] Yeah this is a good time if you like receiving awesome decks for your subscription here which is essentially free this is a good time to hit the five star review we always appreciate that and yeah because we because this is a audio medium we are going to paint pictures with our words and you will see the slides form before your very eyes almost like augmented virtual reality we're going to take you to the metaverse on this thing. Jason: [4:31] Exactly it's a meta verse deep dive into a retail in 2021 and let's jump right into it so. [4:42] Super quick recap last week the US Department of Commerce publishes published their December Advanced Data so that gives us the last month of data we need to see the whole year so it's super exciting for all of us get data Geeks because we now have a complete set of data the one thing to remember is. It's an advanced look and so it doesn't have the granularity of categories that we would like and one of the categories it doesn't have is e-commerce which is highly unfortunate so, the the Deep dive for the whole year with e-commerce broken out will actually be available in mid-February and that's also when they published their quarterly. They're q4u Commerce data which is a separate report so so we have most of the interesting facts there maybe a couple things that filter in last, next month but the top line if we add up all retail sales for 2021 we sold just over six point six trillion dollars of stuff last year which is eighteen percent growth over 20. [5:53] And it's 22 percent growth over 2019 and so, if you do have the deck and you were looking at slide for I show you the last 30 years of growth and the thing that will stand out at you is that this year's growth. Is is almost double the average growth we've had in any of the last 30 years so unprecedentedly good year. Scot: [6:20] This is all retail or not talking e-commerce has. Jason: [6:22] Yeah this is this is pure retail will we will double click into e-commerce a little bit later and you know reminder there's a lot of controversy about what the definition of retail is and so you'll see millions of different numbers out there and it's because. 11 data set has automobiles in it and one has doesn't one has gas in it and one doesn't you know they're all these different things I'm using. The unadulterated numbers from the US Department of Commerce so it does include automobiles it does include gas it does not include restaurants it's what we call, in a ICS code 44,000. Scot: [7:03] Cool good old code it 44,000. Jason: [7:07] If anyone wants to catch me offline and ask for like a different spin I'm happy to talk about how the numbers change when you change your definition but I think that's too complicated for for the podcast but so before I go any further. Like is that does that surprise you at all it has is that has that been your perception that these are Monster year that 2020 and 2021 more Monster years for retail because I feel like that's not necessarily the narrative we've been getting in some of the Commerce media. Scot: [7:37] Yeah no it feels that is a surprise it makes sense and I'm looking at the slide but it makes sense that we were effectively spring-loaded right because you had the shutdown people really, you know couldn't or didn't buy things from March 20 through and so there's put up demand but what's interesting is you really don't see, unlike the Great Recession about it no nine you don't see a retraction before this the splurge and this is way way bigger than that period of time so it is it is surprising. Jason: [8:08] Yeah so so, in aggregate retail did awesome and then on slide 5 I give you this fun way of looking at the data that you and I helped help kind of evolved together but the idea is that we give you a separate line chart for 2019 2020 and 2021 and so you can kind of see. You know how the year stack up against each other and you know. [8:35] 20:19 was the unaffected by the pandemic than 20/20 happen and of course there was this huge dip in April when the pandemic first got real for everyone because the NBA cancelled games and it recovered super quick and then you know the rest of 20/20 was actually above 2019 so retail grew. From 2019 and 2020 even though we were like right in the thick of the pandemic and then in 2021 retail really shot up and the. The hypothesis here is there are two things that really caused this number one there was a bunch of. Economic stimulus that was poured into the economy right like there's a lot of extra money available and consumers were in, like generally really good Financial shape so there was a lot of potential to spend and then a lot of the things that might have gotten some of that money experiences like travel in restaurants and vacations, we're not available in the most consumers so instead of paying money for a gym you bought a Peloton instead of going to a restaurant you bought groceries and instead of going on vacation you you got new patio furniture right and so you know the combination of, more money and less things to spend and on ended up being super favorable to retail overall. Scot: [9:59] Yeah that makes it so that it's really a factor of the stimulus is what you're saying. Jason: [10:06] Yeah and we'll talk about the downside of that if they end of this podcast but so that's the industry average and I would remind everyone to be cautious. In thinking about averages because, very few retailers experience the average right like in general there were big winners and losers based on categories and I'm for the purposes of the podcast we're not going to talk about category growth or foot traffic. From 2022 2021 because 2020 was such a weird year because of the pandemic I actually am going to jump ahead in the deck to slide 9 which is where we start talking about, comparing. Last year to 2019 so like what the cumulative changes were over the from before the pandemic to you know at the end of the second year of the pandemic so. Over that two-year growth we grew 22% as I mentioned earlier and so I actually. [11:09] Put together look at what the average to your growth was every year for the last 30 years and in general the average two-year growth is around 10 to 12 percent so 22% is, unprecedentedly High. Two year growth and remember like you know there was in 2008 there was this recession and there was negative growth so you'd think the the year-over-year from that recession would be super high but but this. 2020 and 2021 year is basically the the best years of retail in our lifetime. And so then I go to slide 10 where I show you how fast each category grew and remember if the industry grew 22%. You really want to be growing faster than that 22% so the categories that one the grew faster than 22% we're your new favorite category automobiles. So they grew at 24 percent which was mildly surprising to me because you, you know early on you would assume Car Sales slowed down significantly and then of course there have been all these chip shortages that's made it slightly hard to buy cars, and yet cars were still one of the bright spots does that surprise you at all or were you totally dialed into that. Scot: [12:30] Yeah the counter is the used markets on fire and they're marking the cars up so there's kind of like an inflation of car prices in there that I think. One of the reasons so if there is a car dealers are taking these pretty exorbitant markups on those, which is kind of short-sighted but that's what they're doing and yeah so so it doesn't surprise me too much when you know what surprises me is where did it all go so we had this like tsunami you know anything about retail it's you know it hasn't been over. You know like what, 10% for a long time and then you've got in the two year ago comparison you get up to maybe like 15% so it's like a surge year where did it show up like I can't think. You know amongst the public companies the Walmarts the targets and that kind of stuff I don't really see it I don't see them just like, blowing up expectations and saying oh my God so much money flooded into our coffers. I kind of wonder where it went or maybe it's going to show up and you know in when you when you chart it out it looks like a lot of it came at the end of 21 so maybe we haven't seen it come out and the public markets but it's going to be you know I kind of wonder where it went. Jason: [13:42] Yeah so I would argue that we are seeing it like in the big companies in the Amazon Walmart Target Kroger and certainly Home Depot and dicks we are seeing it. And so I think the car one is a harder one to see because the car you know the actual car dealers are so fragmented because they're all franchisees. Scot: [14:05] Carvanha has seen it carvanha. Jason: [14:06] The Used Car Guys for sure saw it so let's come back to that in one second let's talk about the other two categories that were above the industry average building materials and garden supplies right so that's Home Depot and Lowe's and you know they're there to your growth Stacks were like significantly up from previous years and again. Part of the reason they would be up as people spend a lot more money on their homes when they were traveling last and then and so that category group thirty percent over two years and then Sporting Goods grew 38 percent over two years so that's you know dicks and sporting goods and and those folks and they were seeing like like I want to say the two year growth stack on dicks would be is like 94% or something so. Scot: [14:56] Yeah. Jason: [14:59] So and then the categories that still like had, by historic standards great growth but did not grow as fast as the industry average grocery stores so only grew 16 percent I have to say that surprised me a little bit because I would have. Expected you know with the hit that restaurants took that the grocery would have outperformed the industry average but you know it doesn't seem like it. It did and then, furnishings and furniture and Home Furnishings grew at 21 percent so about the industry average and again because of all the money people spend on their homes I kind of would have expected that to be higher so those two things. Surprise me a little bit. And then the the categories that were you know more significantly hurt by the pandemic like gas and clothing, you know clothing was still up 13% gas was up 15%. And that's what hurt looks like right like so you know up 13 percent against the industry average of 22 percent like that's. You know kind of the the low end and you know I think if you talk to apparel people during the pandemic they would have said like oh we're you know we're experiencing Armageddon if you compare this 13% growth too you know any of the last five or six years for apparel this would have been a great year. [16:23] And then the most inexplicable to me of all and I think it just has to do with the mix in this category is Electronics and appliances are only up 6%. And I I'm totally open if you have a hypothesis cop but like I think everybody bought a lot of extra Home Tech. So especially the beginning of the pandemic everyone's buying extra computers for their kids for homeschooling and everybody's updating their work from home stuff, and you know over the two-year course of the pandemic you know everybody remodeled their kitchen about new appliances so I'm a little befuddled. Why that you know that category is literally the bottom of the Barrel in this the US Department of Commerce data and it's only six percent of growth. Scot: [17:13] Yeah let me look at the year. Jason: [17:18] I have a so while you're looking I'll just I'll tell you I my. My unfortunate hypothesis so there's an enormous flaw in the US Department of Commerce data and that flaw is that they call e-commerce or non stores. A category. So you're either a Peril sale if you sell the clothes through a store or your Anon store sale if you sell the clothes online, and so if you sell a TV out of Best Buy you're in electronic sale but if you sell the TV online for curbside pickup. You're a. Non-store sale and so I didn't mention this earlier but the category that actually grew the most by far during the pandemic is non store sales which are 38% and we, have any good way to know how that breaks down by category so my hypothesis is the electronics category actually probably did better but the it over index to sales going online and therefore it gets office gated in this US Department of Commerce data. Scot: [18:32] Yeah and then accentuating this is the supply chain problems hashtag Supply pain where you know a lot of that stuff you would go into the store for especially big appliances where you kind of want to see it and touch it and feel it before you order it, I know on the order of 10 people that cannot get washers and dryers. So you know that that was all like this big appliances are in and they've been waiting since you know, Q3 last year to get these things it's insane so that could have you know so you have this kind of double edged double whammy of a lot of stuff moving online or non-store from the store in the store or struggling because they can't get inventory for the shelves and you know every electronics item has a chip. Jason: [19:20] Yeah so I do like that I will say it from the data it looks like more of the group The Slowdown was in, 20/20 than 2021 which like kind of argues it like. Scot: [19:35] Yeah attribution. Jason: [19:37] Yeah so but I don't I don't know and so then so that so far everything we've talked about is US Department of Commerce data so I'm also super interested in how many people walked into a store so I asked our friends at Placer AI which is a, a company that has access to a huge panel of consumers that have software on their phones and it tracks where they go anonymously and they use that data to forecast. Retail foot traffic across the country and so I put together a data set so on Slide. [20:21] 11 of the deck you can see how the 20 21 foot traffic every month compared to 2019 and so for the first half of 2021, um foot traffic in retail was still down between 10% and 0%, versus 2019 so fewer people are going to stores in 2021 then we're going to stores before the pandemic. And then by July we had our first kind of Positive Growth since the pandemic so July and August we're kind of up for and six percent over 20 19 respectively, then we had another slight dip in September and then we had a pretty prominent dip in December of 2021 which was probably the Omicron variant kicking in. [21:12] But so in aggregate. There are still fewer people walking in a brick-and-mortar stores in the United States of America in 2021 than walked in a brick-and-mortar stores in 2019. Scot: [21:24] There are some it almost like it seems to be correlated an inverse correlation with case count right so in the summer cases were kind of low everything was feeling pretty good and then we had kind of the surge the Omicron surged kind of come back and here at the very tail end of 21 we saw a really plummet. Jason: [21:42] Yeah no for sure and there are lots of people that I have been correlating these statistics to case counts or hospitalizations or. Or mortality or any of those things in there are strong correlations so you're certainly right. [21:56] Um so then I I said all right well let's double-click on some of the categories that might be interesting and one category that I mainly double clicked on for you was Automotive so for folks that don't know Automotive is the biggest. Category of retail spending and which kind of makes sense because it's the. The highest ticket item so 1.5 trillion dollars in in car sales in 2021 which is 23 percent of all retail spending so we said 6.6%. Six point six trillion in retail 1.5 trillion of it was cars and that's up as we said earlier 24% from 2019 and then I give you kind of the, the shape of that Demand right and and you know so again, the best month in the history of car sales was April of 2021 and then it's been, tapering off a little bit since then but still up significantly from 2020 and 2021 is up nominally from from 2019 so a very vibrant year even though per your point you know it's actually hard to get vehicles right so a lot of this this. Increase in sales is an increase in price points and inflation versus unit sold but I think it is a little bit of both. Scot: [23:20] Yeah the other changes there's a pull forward because what dealers have started doing is pre sailing Vehicles so it's almost like an auction where they'll say Jason I know you want this IMA Mustang and we got three coming in and August but if you want one of those I'm going to need you to, pay me to there now I don't know how that correlates to these numbers but we're seeing this big pull forward of the consumer dollars into the auto category because of this pre-sale thing where, historically it was you would go test-drive negotiate and then buy the car and it was sitting on the lot the inventory model is kind of flipped right now which is interesting. Jason: [23:59] Yeah yeah and I know not not related to sales velocity necessarily but another interesting thing is. The amount of test drives per sale is way down like it used to be like three test drives per sale and now it might be less than one test drive per sale. Scot: [24:17] Yeah it's kind of it's fun being in the auto category because some in some ways I feel like I've seen the movie before right so for example remember when Zappos came out and they disrupted the shoe category by saying free 365 returns, well then everyone would just buy would say well sometimes I'm an 11 sometimes in 11 half and 10 half I'll just order all three in return to. So then everyone had to adapt that new model because consumers flocked to it and the car industry carvanha has had a seven day return for a vehicle and that's how they got around the test drive and everyone laughed at him and was like why would you do that that's ridiculous and then the pandemic it and everyone had to kind of adopt that model so that's that's gotten rid of the test drive most dealers now have had to adapt to that that more customer friendly model and effectively have like a seven day return window. Jason: [25:06] Yeah and you know you've heard me say this before but I've been following the ottoman of category relatively closely and the grocery category for two big reasons they're they're the two biggest pieces of consumer spending but also before the Pandemic those were the two categories that were released digitally disrupted like a small percentage of cars were sold online a small percentage of groceries sold online and so those two categories were the most disrupted by digital they they got the most digital fastest as a result of the pandemic so I've been super interesting because per your point a lot of the learnings that we've had over the last 20 years in the apparel industry in the consumer electronics Industry and the home industry like are now you know playing out in an accelerated basis in the automobile industry and in the grocery industry. Scot: [25:57] Yeah 11 cool example and I know you know these guys so yeah I tell folks a lot about how Walmart budget and it was kind of like this this analog kind of old-school company building bringing deep digital DNA and we would see a lot of that not emotive category and sure enough Discount Tire which is a brick-and-mortar tire shop family-owned what are they like 100 years old or something like that and they just bought Tire Rec which is kind of the you know the online incumbent and they're merging those two companies together so it's funny because everyone thinks I'm kind of a Nostradamus of this stuff because but it's really just, the exact same thing we saw happen in e-commerce with other categories as happening in the automotive category. Jason: [26:42] Groundhog Day yeah sometimes when I'm impatient I really have to avoid telling clients so I know you need to figure this out for yourself but I know how it is. Scot: [26:52] Yeah. Jason: [26:54] But so I mentioned the grocery category that's the next category that I want to talk about briefly so now we're on slide 14 of the deck, and groceries the second biggest category of consumer spending it's fourteen percent of all retail spending so it's, 901 billion dollars in 2021 and and I mentioned grocery was up pretty significantly up 16 percent but but that you know that is a little less than the industry average and I give folks that that same kind of three-year year-over-year graph if they want to see it but then a bonus data breakdown I always like to do for the grocery industry is on slide 16 and this is a, a line graph with two data points grocery store sales and restaurant sales, and what's interesting about that is for like a pretty significant period of time about a 10-year period. Sales were split almost 50/50 between restaurants and grocery stores so all the the American calories were kind of divided 50/50 between McDonald's on Applebee's and Walmart and Kroger and in the pandemic exactly what you would expect to happen grocery sales shot up and restaurant sales you know took a nosedive. [28:13] Over the course of the pandemic they've moved back closer and kind of come summer of 2021 they actually came back to where they used to be so they were kind of level again and we were like I wonder if that, if if that Gap is over but then Omicron appears to have open that Gap backup so at the moment there is still about a ten billion dollar a month discrepancy between spending on on groceries and spending on restaurant so potentially bad news for the restaurants. Scot: [28:48] Yeah well you wouldn't know it at my restaurants or so they're they're they're super busy. Jason: [28:53] Nice. Scot: [28:55] Could be you know we you know it's interesting traveling around the country a little bit now it's like living in 50 different. Countries the way they're covid policies are so you go to you go to Florida and Texas and everything's just open and normal and then you go to the north east or the west coast and things are very much shut down, and here in our kind of a kind of in the middle but we're still struggling our restaurants part of it could be that they're just closing all the time so we have several restaurants that just can't keep their doors open due to this kind of constant struggle between in team members employees and supply chain so you'll you'll go and they'll have to close early because they didn't have anyone to work that shift and then you'll go and they'll be like we're out of you know it'll be a salad place in they'll be out of lettuce you're like yeah guess may not have needed open but they'll be in there with nothing to do so so it's really. The economy is having a really hard time it's really kind of sputtering right now across those things which which could fall into restaurants and bars you know this, looking into this year into 22. There's a lot of grocery stores are have bare shelves and I don't I was going to actually because you're the grocery guy I don't know what's broken in the supply chain there because obviously we don't rely on China for you know, a lot of that stuff so it's not the that specific thing but that seems to have really become discombobulated as well. Jason: [30:21] Yeah so yeah for sure there it turns out like there is for a, a fair segment of the grocery products there is an international component right like so there are weird ingredients that we do depend a lot on on Imports for right so you know even if the Mondelez cookies are made in the US the sugar for the Mondelez cookies is not and so it it is possible for the shipping to to have an impact on Oreo availability it just it tends to be delayed because it's it's more the ingredient than the finished goods that that is getting in. Scot: [31:01] Catching you know maybe the package. Jason: [31:03] The cpg guys even more so right so a lot of the chemicals that get used in cpg products and a lot of the the, the packaging like blue ink for a while was one of the the the constraining factors and so you know, Brands did have a hard decision to make do we like change the color of our packaging so we keep stay on the shelf or do we you know try to stay true to our brand and wait for morning. Which are not decisions you imagine ever have having to make. Um and then you know grocery is have its groceries a very fragile ecosystem margins are really thin and so. More so than other categories of retail the wage inflation has a Major Impact in it it actually. There's a low-wage workers all the way along that supply chain and so you know a big thing that takes out. Domestic food is you know there's a round of covid at the meat processing plant. And that that can you know be a big Regional hit I walked into a breakfast place last weekend and they were out of eggs, and I'm like wait a minute I haven't heard about an egg shortage or like are we having an egg shortage and the guys I know are our manager just screwed up the hole. [32:27] Yeah but I was I was with you I guess yeah what it's questionable why you open if you're a breakfast, restaurant and you don't have any eggs or you should at least put a vegan sign up or something I don't know. So I always like to talk about a parallel because for a long time apparel is like one of the crown jewels of the retail category and people are super excited about that and you know there was an ERA when those were the best jobs so up, Peril is much more it's about five percent of retail sales it was 303 billion despite the fact that we all have been living in sweatpants for the last two years apparel sales were still up 13%, that definitely was a mostly due to a 2022 2021 recovery 2020 was a really bad year for apparel and it started to come back so apparel is one of the few categories on Slide, 18 where I give you the three-year graph of the the category it's one of the few categories where the 2020 sales were consistently below the 2019 sales and then 2021 they, they came back up to the top and you know one interesting fact about a parallel that I give you a data breakdown on 19 is. [33:41] Apparel has just been getting cheaper over time that in the 1990s apparel was seven percent of retail spending and now it's about four and a half percent of retail spending and that's a largely because good clothes are just less expensive and and you know the same closet that an American would have had in 1990 Hassel asks in 2022 and so if you're growing in the apparel industry you're you're growing in a shrinking Market which is you know always a challenge to do. Scot: [34:15] The entire Farm it's kind of shocking to see April 2020 you know touching effectively zero sales and monthly apparel that's crazy that I feel for those guys that must have been a scary. Jason: [34:28] For most of these graphs I change edit the scale to make the graph as high resolution as possible so the bottom of the graph isn't zero but in a Peril it absolutely is. Scot: [34:38] Yeah might as well be easier yeah. Jason: [34:40] Um and so, so that's enough of the categories I know a lot of listeners on our show were particularly interested in e-commerce I wanted to talk about e-commerce for a minute I mentioned the official. Breakdown of e-commerce you know we won't get for December until the middle of February we do get a, a kind of proxy for e-commerce which is called non store sales it is a it is a bigger bucket and it has more other stuff in it than just e-commerce but if I look at, the 11 months of internet data and then the the one month of non store sales data. It's pretty clear that we're going to come in around a trillion dollars in e-commerce sales so if the official numbers work out the way I think this will be the first year the e-commerce in the u.s. is over a trillion dollars. Um that would represent 16 percent of retail sales so 16 doesn't sound like a huge number, but again it just depends on what your denominator is that 16 percent is you know overall of retail which includes, cars which are getting more digital but still aren't very digital it includes gas which is you know only digital in a couple neighborhoods in San Francisco, um and so I you know you start pulling out some of those traditionally non-digital categories and you know. [36:02] That one trillion dollars represents about you know between 20 and 25% of all the categories that that you know people are willing to buy online and so it's become a very meaningful mix and obviously. It was the fastest growing because of the pandemic but inside 21 I show you the the. The three-year breakdown and the thing that's unique about e-commerce versus some of these other categories. [36:32] E-commerce head its monster growth in 2020. So the two-year growth numbers are still amazing but the one year growth numbers from 2021 to 2020 are not so great because we're comping against. [36:46] A monster year and it's been interesting because like Shopify stock is down because their comps aren't very good right but really there you know. They're comping against these monster numbers. You know lots of retailers are calling me right now and they're in a panic because they're not they didn't hit their goals and their their you know numbers are wrong and I'm like. I mean they're you know their numbers are soft and I'm like well but let's look at what really happened like you had unprecedented growth over the last two years and you're you know you potentially are. Thinking about it in the right way so on slide 22 I give you my, entire story of the world going digital in one slide and it's a little hard, hard to follow but basically what I show you is I show you the brick-and-mortar sales every year or every quarter and then on top of that I show you the e-commerce sales so you can see the e-commerce growing you can see kind of, as a portion of retail what it is and then I show you the rate of growth for for retail and e-commerce and until the pandemic we had a pretty consistent story, e-commerce was growing at like between 15 and 20% a year and brick-and-mortar was growing at three to four percent a year and that was pretty reliable, so then the pandemic happens and brick-and-mortar shrinks for a quarter and e-commerce explodes by you know over 40%. [38:10] And since that time they've been coming back and so for the first time in my life time in Q2 of 2021. Brick-and-mortar actually grew faster than e-commerce for the first time ever. Largely because of the you know they're comping against these these you know huge huge March of 2020 and you know I will see you when the data comes out next month but I have a feeling we're regressing pretty quickly now back to the kind of the the pre-pandemic rates of growth like we absorbed all this big e-commerce growth for two years and I can you know I kind of think we're gonna see e-commerce level back down at that 10 to 15 percent growth every quarter and and Retail drop back down to the 45 percent growth of quarter. Scot: [39:06] Well I think it's you know I think the silver lining for me is and I'm the e-commerce guy here is we had the Surge and then we actually did kind of even better than the surgeon you know you could have painted a story that said this will kind of flip – for your to as it kind of the subsides and then then we get back to normal so so the rising tide kind of stuck and created a new high and then we have continued to grow from there how does I know this this agitates you which is why I bring it up but you know this does not support you know that Theory out there that we pulled forward like five years of e-commerce. Jason: [39:43] Yeah no we we didn't and most of the evidence now is that. We're we're not even way ahead of where we would have been that like like we we got the sales early but that. The future growth is. Slightly slower as a result so that like five or 10 years from now you know will see this this blip on the graph but we'll kind of you know end up at the same same place we would have end up without the the pandemic is most people's projections that's less to true in some of these, digitally immature categories like grocery or automobiles where we really did probably pull in you know kind of accelerate two to three years into the future. And so I did on slide 23 I give you the our estimates of the 2021 e-commerce sales for a bunch of retailers because I'm often surprised people. Don't necessarily have. [40:52] The the best perception about how the relative size of all these retailers so these estimates come from emarketer there there gmv us estimate for Amazon is on the high side of all the estimates I. I look at but they have 20 21 gmv for Amazon and about three hundred seventy six billion. Walmart's the second largest e-commerce site by a lot at 60 billion so quite a bit smarter than Amazon. Until recently eBay would have been the second biggest site and Walmart's approaching twice as big as eBay now so they have shot past eBay. To get to 60 billion eBay's at 38 billion apple is at 37 billion and then like people people forget how big a player apple is alone I saw a funny stat that like. If the air buds alone the air pods alone were a company like it would be the 10th largest company. Scot: [41:50] Yeah that's crazy. Jason: [41:52] And so then you get like a Home Depot is almost 20 billion targets 8 almost 19 billion Best Buys on you know over 16 billion, Costco who's the bane of my existence Costco like pays the least attention to digital they you know always talk about how unimportant digital is and how they don't like it, and I tell everyone what a horrible mistake that is and then Costco continues to Excel and despite not trying they sell 14 billion dollars a year on line. [42:24] So then you can see the rest of the the top 15 on that slide on slide 23 if you're interested but it's interesting to understand the. The relative size of some of these companies. And so then you know one of the things that people always ask about is what did holiday look like particularly so the next section of this deck is, a double click on on holiday 2021 and so. I'm defining holiday as November and December sales that somewhat controversial because there's a lot of different ways to think about it. If we just look at November and December sales this holiday period was the the largest retail holiday ever. And it drew about 16.1%, which is vastly faster growth than any other holiday like the next biggest holiday was 10% so so kind of the same story for the whole year we get in Holiday it was a monster holiday, um You know again that depends a little bit on how you Define retail in RF likes to pull gas out of their number so they're there they would say holiday was 14 percent growth which is still. A monster number. So then I went back to our friends and place Rai and said hey what is foot traffic look like every week of holiday. [43:49] And that to me was kind of interesting so. You know December foot traffic was down overall I'll remind you because of Omicron but if we kind of look at the the weekly data for Holiday foot traffic was actually up versus 2019. Leading into the Thanksgiving weekend and so then the weekend that was way down was Thanksgiving weekend way less people went to stores on Black Friday, then went to stores in 2019 about six percent less, and then you know the rest of holiday was slightly above so if it weren't for the decline in Black Friday traffic I would say foot traffic and Retail was up about 2%, over 2019 but that Black Friday dip pulled the whole thing down to where we still aren't back to 2019 levels does that kind of make sense. [44:44] And so one of the things that is a common narrative about holiday and I've even contributed to this narrative is, man retailers are really trying to pull sales in and holiday starting earlier in October and you know holidays flattening it's less about these big, spikes on on Black Friday and Cyber Monday and so now that we have real data I'm like oh well let's see how, how that really held up in the first thing to know is. The early sales in October was kind of a myth like there was not an unusual spike in sales in October and so you know. [45:20] There was not a huge success in pulling sales into October and so then what I did is I went to similarweb which similar web has a data set of e-commerce site visits and what I like about that is, we can get much more accurate granular data than we can on like foot traffic or you know foot traffic or lucky to get weekly data but for e-commerce we can get daily number of sessions or unique visitors or things like that so I said hey let's take the hundred biggest e-commerce sites in the US and let's see total visits and let's compare, 2019 with 2021 and the first thing to remember is. You know Thanksgiving doesn't fall on the same day every year and so what I did is I normalize those I said let's not do November 1st through December 31st, let's do the 25 days before Black Friday in the 32 days after Black Friday so that we could kind of. Match up the the flow and what you'll see is there was a lot more traffic on e-commerce sites every day of holiday in 2021 than 20 then 20, except for two days Black Friday and Cyber Monday and Black Friday and Cyber Monday 2021 with still above. 2019 but they were nearly the same and so. The I guess what this would say is this partially Bears out our hypothesis. [46:48] E-commerce visits did level out like the traffic did get spread out to the whole 60 days more than ever before but those those two tent poles are still tent poles and they still are by far the busiest days, so I you know I definitely you know think that the narrative that like those Temple days don't matter anymore is kind of a misnomer and they you know they got nearly twice as many visits as a normal holiday day. Did that surprise you at all. Scot: [47:20] The surgeon the chart 21 is interesting at the end I think that's my procrastinator people. Jason: [47:28] So so yeah so. Scot: [47:29] It's where I shop. Jason: [47:29] It's God's talking about is the gap between 2019 and 2020 is pretty consistent but then opens up the most ever has, um the very end of the holiday and my hypothesis for that is again this is e-commerce it's Omicron again so I. There was pent-up demand to go to stores people were going the store store traffic was going up and then store traffic fell off a cliff the last half of December as people started getting nervous and so I think that you know drove more people to e-commerce again as my least is my hypothesis. [48:03] And so so that I think is a super interesting data set I definitely am grateful to have access to the similarweb stuff and wow I was diving into their data Isles one of the cool things there's we can see traffic on individual website so I said, well let's see who the winners and losers are in terms of traffic and the story here is. The the traffic is disproportionately going to the the big high-performing sites so you know not surprisingly, Amazon gets the most traffic but they also got the biggest chunk of traffic growth so sometimes you'd say hey the biggest most established players should be the hardest to grow. Amazon Druids traffic faster than any other top 10 retailer which is pretty impressive, and then the next biggest grower was Walmart so this is kind of the story of the rich getting richer and you know traffic and sales consolidating on the, those those very big a sites which is kind of the story you see on slide 29 if you're following along on the deck. Scot: [49:12] The thing that fascinates me about this data is you have like Etsy with the fourth most traffic but then they're like one of the smaller e-commerce sites right so does that, yeah it does that mean no well that's apples and oranges I guess that's all of retail in the previous comparison. Jason: [49:30] No that was at Seas. These e-commerce sales are about little less than 8 billion in the u.s. versus like Walmart at 60 billion but then Ed C does have like like nearly as much traffic as Walmart right like. I want to say they did 600 million, visits over the holiday period versus Walmart did like 1.1 billion so, so you know despite Walmart being 10 times as large they only had twice as much traffic and I think part of the reason for that is the the. Kind of thin long tail nature of Ed c means that their overall conversion rate and the amount of you know pay visits you have to do to find what you want is. Is higher than then it is on Walmart where you're more likely to go to Walmart with with high purchase intent for a particular item and these days it's pretty easy to find that item and get out. Um and that kind of is born out Ebay is still the second large just traffic site even though they're they're shrinking and again eBay's almost half the size of Walmart but eBay is traffic is still higher than Walmart's. Scot: [50:52] Yeah it's a huge it's kind of sad in one way but it's a huge opportunity Bay could get their act together and convert that traffic the way Walmart is they. Jason: [51:00] Yeah if I could redo our. Our predictions episode so you know I talked about in a number of times on this that one of the big trends is retail media networks and you know people selling ads what this data set uncovers more than anything else is the untapped opportunities Ed C needs to get a retail media Network up as soon as possible because I, as far as I know they don't have one. So they should be monetizing that traffic because that that that that's a valuable asset they're not they're not leaning into yet for all our Etsy listeners so then I will just say in this is you know the Chrome Legend in me, during holiday we talk a lot about these estimates from companies right so Adobe you know you know we have on the show and they give us their real time estimates based on on all the customers they see we have sales force on the show every year and they give us real time estimates and then you know when we talk about that I don't think we've had on the show is Mastercard has this product called spending pulse which is, kind of an anonymous aggregated view of all the people that buy stuff with MasterCard and. [52:08] Just just for interest Adobe MasterCard in Salesforce all agree, um that the e-commerce grew about 10% in in Holiday 9 or 10% and holiday of 2021 and that passes the smell test again we don't have the e-commerce data for for December yet so I don't really know but that. That feels like the right order magnitude so I think you know these guys all credibly predicted, the shape of holiday e-commerce but the only one of these guys that predicts brick and mortar is Mastercard right Adobe and Salesforce are pure online retailers and every year I always get weird data from MasterCard and I say this because the whole. The whole world and especially the media like publish this MasterCard data far and wide and and treat it as fax MasterCard like on December 26th said that, retail sales were going to be up 8.5% and that meant they were going to be up 10.7% versus 2019. And so we now know from the US Department of Commerce data that that they were off by 50%. So just call out to my friends at MasterCard that I'd be curious to understand what's going on there from my. Scot: [53:31] Your category thing. Jason: [53:32] Yeah from my seat Well they argue it's not but from my seat there consistently off on the brick-and-mortar number so I'm I'm curious and so then. [53:42] Every time I have this conversation with a colleague or a client the especially someone that maybe doesn't live and breathe e-commerce every day is soon as you start talking about this monster growth number, what everyone asks is yeah Jason but how much of that is inflation right because the thing we hear about in the media the most. Is is inflation inflation inflation and so you know it stands to reason if. [54:09] You know if something grew by 10% and people are paying more you know ten percent more for everything then that explains it and this you know this is an inflation story not a growth in consumer demand story and so I like to put in. Just a little kind of inflation picture at the end. The so I give I give folks a graph of the government, inflation numbers for for for these three years and and what you can see is that like for most of the pandemic inflation. Kind of stayed in the normal range and then we started this, this huge climb not until January of 2021 so if you remember like all a lot of this growth were talking about was 2020 growth, inflation doesn't explain that growth at all there is significant inflation in all of 2021 and it's historically High it's you know depending on how you want to count it could be a 40-year high and so it finished in December. [55:14] At seven percent and so if you figure normal inflation, is a about 11 and a half percent inflation was already high before the pandemic at 2.3 percent. You know if you say alright it should have been at 2.3 percent and it's at seven percent then you could. Say that the kind of back half of 2021 sales that you know. That three or four percent of it can be explained by inflation but definitely not this 22% were talking about. [55:48] And I don't know if you been thinking about her talking about the inflation a lot it's kind of. It's it's kind of funny because I always like to remind people the long-term picture we're all paying way less for goods than we ever did before so I kind of pull this. This 20-year inflation number to remind people that like we're paying fifty percent for a pair of what we paid 20 years ago we're paying, 30% last for personal products and beauty products were paying 17 percent last four cars we're paying 12% less for food all the tangible stuff we buy is getting cheaper because we're getting better at making, and where the American family's budget is going is to Services right so you know the American families having to pay way less for hard goods and food and way more for housing education and Healthcare and that's the big macro picture, but then we've had like the we talked about a lot of the growth in retail coming from all this economic stimulus, the the downside of that economic stimulus is. [56:47] It actually is one of the contributing factors to inflation right like the people have more money to spend, um they buy more the supply chain wasn't prepared for that buy more and so we have, supply chain disruption and so now you have Supply going down and demand going up and what do people do in a rational Market when they they have high demand and low Supply they they charge more, um and so then you know people say hey everything I buy is more expensive I need to get paid more and we have this unprecedented leverage that workers have right now because the labor shortage so they're all negotiating better prices and guess what that means they can afford. Pay more again and and manufacturers are you know having more costs of labor for making stuff so they're charging more and what's been super interesting and all this is, you know it's kind of an excuse for manufacturers to charge you more like most of these manufacturers that are raising their prices are also setting record profits so it's not like. True that like. All of this information is manufacturers passing costs on to Consumers it's a little bit of the the you know opportunity of the moment of you. Scot: [58:01] Yep it's complicated to the inflation a lot of its gas and then to your point a lot of it's stuff that doesn't have this inherent deflationary element to it like healthcare and we're paying more and more for healthcare education anything that has a service component is shooting way up. But even even in the short term though like yeah everything at the grocery store is insane right now it's crazy. Jason: [58:27] Yeah and food and gas are historically more volatile so inflation goes up and down more like side note you have to take all these numbers with a grain of salt because the way they measure it is, they measure the cost of a basket of goods that an average American bought but they built the basket of goods in like 1945. And so it's not the right past it's for today there's no iPhone in that basket. Scot: [58:50] Yeah. Jason: [58:52] So yeah so it's interesting fun it's fun for me because I'll actually be on Good Morning America this weekend talking about inflation. Yeah always fun but yeah I. I'm with you if you take what's called core inflation where you pull gas and food out inflation's like 4.5% so for most of these retail categories, it's part of the story but it definitely would be a mistake to Discount all this growth and say oh it's just. And that's my scoop that's your 36 slide deck that you're all welcome to grab and use my thanks to all the the data providers that contributed to all of it so I have a, a bibliography at the end so if you're interested in starting to track any of this data on your own I tried to make that easy for you. Scot: [59:41] Yeah when we do when we post the show will also try to get on our socials because I've had some people say they can't find the show notes and so we'll make sure that we disseminate this wide and so everyone has it. Jason: [59:55] Well Scott not surprisingly we were able to perfectly fill up an hour with this one topic. So hopefully you found value in this is Scott mentioned the top of the show if you did we sure would appreciate that five-star review, but thanks everyone for kind of following Along on this like pretty dry difficult data dump episode I hope I hope it was useful please, give us feedback if you liked it or if it was not the right format. Scot: [1:00:23] People of data in retailgeek delivers and until next time. Jason: [1:00:28] Happy commercing!
In this episode, we sit down with Tamara Frankel, Founding Partner of D1 Ventures, a crypto asset focused investment and advisory firm that is powering the future of the open economy. We dive into how the Polkadot ecosystem stacks up against Cosmos, the next generation of DeFi (DeFi 3.0), the state of DAOs, and much more! Show Notes: (00:00:00) – Introduction. (00:01:11) – Tamara's background. (00:04:24) – How Polkadot stacks up against Cosmos. (00:10:25) – The next generation of DeFi (DeFi 3.0). (00:14:51) – Overview of Dicc DAO. (00:19:42) – Issues that DAOs face. (00:25:40) – The differences between Polkadot and Kusama. (00:32:03) – Getting involved with the DotSama ecosystem. (00:39:09) – Is it too late to get into crowd loans? (00:42:22) – Primitives D1 Ventures is looking at right now. (00:48:50) – Closing thoughts / DotSama communities. Social links: Tamara's Twitter D1 Ventures Twitter Dicc Dao Twitter PolkaHaus Telegram Resources: Delphi Podcast Summaries D1 Ventures Website PolkaHaus Website DotLeap Newsletter Dotmarketcap Website More
In 1977, driving on a rural, dusty road between Aguilares and El Paisnal, a Jesuit priest named Rutilio Grande S.J. was shot and killed by El Salvador's government security forces. The assassination helped escalate a bloody period of civil war in which Catholics like Oscar Romero (1985), six Jesuits at the Central American University in San Salvador (1989), and four American churchwomen (1980) were martyred. While Romero became a Catholic household name and celebrated saint, not many know the story of his friend and fellow priest, Rutilio Grande S.J. That's about to change. On January 22, 2022, Rutilio Grande will be beatified, after his cause for canonization was delayed by what Pope Francis called “misunderstandings and slander.” In this “Inside the Vatican” deep dive, host Colleen Dulle talks with scholars, friends and relatives of Grande to learn what inspired this Jesuit's ministry among the people which led, ultimately, to his martyrdom. Read more: Father Rutilio Grande: the (future) patron saint of breaking mental health stigma? Padre Tío Tilo: Rutilio Grande's niece talks about her childhood with her martyred uncle 4 lessons from Rutilio Grande, priest, prophet and martyr Eileen Markey's book: A Radical Faith: The Assassination of Sr. Maura Sr. Ana Maria Pineda's book: Rutilio Grande, Memory and Legacy of a Jesuit Martyr Rodolfo Cardenal's book: The Life, Passion, and Death of the Jesuit Rutilio Grande Radio YSUCA at the Universidad Centroamericana José Simeón Cañas, UCA Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Every year, I look forward to the Industry Report that Hostfully publishes for all in the vacation rental industry! In the last two years, I have been able to contribute some thoughts to this report through my partnership with https://my.captivate.fm/www.hostfully.com (Hostfully)! In this episode, David Jacoby (Co-Founder of Hostfully) and Fred Bassili (Marketing Manager) join me to cover the finds from 2020 & 2021 and how they will impact our 2022 moving forward! To download the report, use this link: https://reports.hostfully.com/2021-hospitality-report-wil-slickers (https://reports.hostfully.com/2021-hospitality-report-wil-slickers) Thank you to this episode's sponsors, https://my.captivate.fm/www.hostfully.com (Hostfully), https://my.captivate.fm/www.jetstreamtech.io (Jetstream), and https://my.captivate.fm/www.operto.com (Operto!)
Rockabilly Aliens, Dating Apps, and Motherf****ing Gremlins! All this and much more on this week's minisode! Paul offers up some tips on the helpline, digs into your Corrections and Omissions from last week's Shadow in the Cloud episode and yes, we clarify exactly how many Gremlins were on that plane, and Paul announces next week's movie!For more Matinee Monday content, check out Paul's Youtube pagehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ikagk-WhC-YFor upcoming HDTGM info visit https://www.hdtgminfo.com/HDTGM Discord: discord.gg/hdtgmPaul's Discord: https://discord.gg/paulscheerCheck out Paul and Rob Huebel live on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/friendzone) every Thursday 8-10pm ESTSubscribe to The Deep Dive with Jessica St. Clair and June Diane Raphael here: listen.earwolf.com/deepdiveSubscribe to Unspooled with Paul Scheer and Amy Nicholson here: listen.earwolf.com/unspooledCheck out The Jane Club over at www.janeclub.comCheck out new HDTGM merch over at https://www.teepublic.com/stores/hdtgmWhere to Find Jason, June & Paul:@PaulScheer on Instagram & Twitter@Junediane on IG and @MsJuneDiane on TwitterJason is Not on Twitter
CB90 Episode 63- Deep Dive into Basketball- Frank Martin Tenure Recap- State of Program- Final Thoughts on Basketball and What Next Moves need to be- Who is the New #WelcomeHome- Recruiting Board Update- Spring Practice- Baseball Around the Corner- MANSCAPED- SHAKE THIS PLACE
In this episode, Jackson Frank joins Paul Hudrick to do a deep dive on Joel Embiid's season and where he sits in the discussion for the best player in the NBA. Plus, Jackson and Paul recap Daryl Morey's comments from his radio interview where he discussed Ben Simmons and the current Sixers roster. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Today's Co-Hosts: Ben Criddle (@criddlebenjamin) Subscribe to the Cougar Sports with Ben Criddle podcast:Apple Podcastshttps://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddle/id996764363Google Podcastshttps://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvMTM2OTkzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkSpotifyhttps://open.spotify.com/show/7dZvrG1ZtKkfgqGenR3S2mPocket Castshttps://pca.st/SU8aOvercasthttps://overcast.fm/itunes996764363/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddle-byuSpreakerhttps://www.spreaker.com/show/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddleStitcherhttps://www.stitcher.com/s?fid=66416iHeartRadiohttps://www.iheart.com/podcast/966-cougar-sports-with-29418022TuneInhttps://tunein.com/podcasts/Sports-Talk--News/Cougar-Sports-with-Ben-Criddle-p731529/
Listen, Subscribe, Share the Show, Donate. Help us keep this train rollin! Neighbors Feed & Seed Supply (@neighborsfeedandseed) • Instagram photos and videos Notes & Links from Today's Show Cable fault in Tonga could sever the nation from the rest of the world for weeks : NPR Tonga's undersea cable may take 'weeks' to repair after volcanic eruption - ABC News (go.com) After a volcanic eruption, Tonga's lone undersea internet cable could take two weeks to repair - The Verge UNESCO Science Report: the race against time for smarter development - UNESCO Digital Library Cyber defense across the ocean floor: The geopolitics of submarine cable security - Atlantic Council Dating.com, the Global Dating App to Find Love without Boundaries, Reveals How Singles All Over the World Are Building Relationships in 2022 (prnewswire.com) Woman Gives Up Child After Learning Sperm Donor Lied About His Ethnicity and Education (vice.com) Starbucks Ends Its Plan to Require Worker Vaccination and Testing - The New York Times (nytimes.com) https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/investor-relations/larry-fink-ceo-letter https://www.rt.com/russia/546642-moscow-agree-summit-washington/ https://www.rt.com/russia/546256-moscow-latin-american-relationship/ https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/czech-republic-reports-28469-new-cases-coronavirus-record-daily-tally-2022-01-19/ https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/austria-introduces-lottery-covid-vaccine-incentive-2022-01-20/ https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/19/weather/snow-ice-forecast-texas-carolina/index.html https://comptroller.texas.gov/economy/fiscal-notes/2021/oct/winter-storm-impact.php https://www.triplepundit.com/story/2021/texas-power-grid-vulnerable/732571 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/19/sports/ncaafootball/michigan-abuse-settlement-robert-anderson.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/cia-chief-made-secret-visit-to-europe-ahead-of-blinkens-trip-11642679002?mod=flipboard https://www.rt.com/russia/546628-moscow-proposes-complete-ban-cryptocurrencies/?utm_source=feedly&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS The Propaganda Report on Rokfin The CFR Plots To Shut Up Critically Thinking Americans | Rokfin The Propaganda Report on Patreon The Propaganda Report Store Support Our Sponsors! Donate… If you find value in the content we produce and want to help us keep this train rollin, drop us a donation via Paypal or become a Patreon. (links below) Every little bit helps. Thank you! And thank you to everyone who has and continues to support the show. It's your support that enables us to continue producing shows. Paypal Patreon Subscribe & Leave A 5-Star Review… Subscribe on iTunes Subscribe on Google Play Music Listen on Google Podcasts Listen on Tunein Listen on Stitcher Follow on Spotify Like and Follow us on Facebook Follow Monica on Twitter Follow Binkley on Twitter Subscribe to Binkley's Youtube Channel https://www.paypal.me/BradBinkley https://www.patreon.com/propagandareport https://twitter.com/freedomactradio https://twitter.com/MonicaPerezShow https://www.youtube.com/bradbinkley https://www.youtube.com/monicaperez
On the latest edition of the DNVR Broncos Podcast, Zac Stevens, Ryan Koenigsberg and Andrew Mason are coming to you to break down all of the latest news in Broncos Country. The guys discuss the three offensive minds that the Broncos will interview, break down if any of them can land the job, make their weekend playoff picks, answer listener questions and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
01:00 Panel Intros 05:00 A Deep Dive into the BIGGEST deal in gaming HISTORY through a PlayStation gamers eyes! 1:26:00 Outros and Special Community Message --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/craig-ravitch/support
There is an interesting dichotomy in the growth investing space in that growth stocks as a whole tend to underperform the market over time, but the best performing individual stocks in the market also typically come from the growth space. This puts a premium on the ability to separate the winners from the losers for growth managers. Our guest this week has produced a very strong record of doing exactly that. We speak with Rick Schmidt, Partner and Portfolio Manager with Harding Loevner. We discuss their process for selecting quality growth companies and the criteria they use within it. We also cover the impact of macro factors on growth investing, the current valuations in the growth space and the important attributes of good brands and management teams. We hope you enjoy the discussion. ABOUT THE PODCAST Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) and Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau), partners at Validea. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing, multi-factor investing, trend following, market valuation and more with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://www.validea.com/excess-returns-podcast FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA https://www.validea.com FOLLOW OUR BLOG https://blog.validea.com FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL https://www.valideacapital.com FOLLOW JACK Twitter: https://twitter.com/practicalquant LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094 FOLLOW JUSTIN Twitter: https://twitter.com/jjcarbonneau LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jcarbonneau
In this Episode we are joined by On-Chain Analysts Dylan LeClair and Sam Rule who put together the Deep Dive. The Deep Dive provides an in depth look on the Bitcoin market, producing daily content around the latest on-chain analytics, derivative markets, the bitcoin mining industry and global macroeconomics. Paid subscribers will get the newsletter deliver to their email inbox daily, while free subscribers will enjoy content on a biweekly basis. Bitcoin 2022 will be the biggest Bitcoin conference ever! Miami, FL from April 6–9, 2022 Get 21% off tickets with promo code: YTMAG https://b.tc/conference/
On this episode, we talked about: Being deeply embodied in my being Living in love and appreciation of everything Healing from past wounds Journey of spirit guidance Magic only enters in the spaces it has room Surrendering into the unknown without planning Overcoming our fear The antidote to fear is trust Limitations are not bad, are necessary We create more space every time we expand What do we all really want? There is another way to get what you want Recognizing what you actually want Alphas don't look the same and they will never do Understanding what motivates you What does power mean to you? Understanding what you want and when you want it Money, power and sex The more you think you know, the less you have to learn Couldn't handle being wrong Knowing that the work is never done Working out the emotional connection What is the workout that you're doing for your soul? Starting to do the work and trust yourself How to be the master of your emotions "I trust my path, I trust my decision making, I trust where I'm headed and I trust that I'm coming from love" "The trigger is an indication that something inside of you was there to be triggered in the first place, so, what is that thing?" "Awareness gives us choice, without awareness we can't choose anything different in life" About Adam: Adam Roa is an entrepreneur and a 7-figure coach who has worked with high-performing clients such as actors, medical professionals, and CEOs. He has been featured by Goalcast as one of the “Top 33 Gamechangers To Watch'' alongside Michelle Obama, Lebron James, and Elon Musk, and his spoken word poem “You Are Who You've Been Looking For” has been viewed over 200 million times. Adam is also the host of “The Deep Dive with Adam Roa”, a podcast that has been listed by Business Insider as one of the top 21 podcasts to expand your mind in 2021. Adam embodies everything he teaches -his art has transformed the lives of millions as a highly-sought International Speaker and artist who has spoken and performed at countless events around the world, including Oslo Freedom Forum, MindValley A-Fest, and Envision Festival. You can follow and support Adam: IG: @adamroa Web: https://adamroa.com/ Podcast: The Deep Dive with Adam Roa Non-Profit: www.surrenderedartist.org Community: www.thecreatecommunity.com Let's connect over on Instagram: @Johnny.Elsasser
Show highlights include: How to avoid slipping into ‘Freakout Mode' over making plans and surrender to a new adventure. (4:29) The Deep Dive approach for plunging more purpose and passion into your days. (6:09) How to stop second-guessing your potential through the power of lifeguarding lessons. (8:48) Why living life to the fullest starts in the Book of John. (11:40) How to move through the waters of God's plan for you (and avoid sinking at all costs). (12:30) If you're ready to rise up and become the best version of yourself, check out the 12-month mindset and accountability experience that will help you rise up here: https://jillallencoaching.com/just-breathe-sisterhood/ If you have zero energy to focus on yourself and need extra support and accountability from women who know what it's like to juggle a crazy busy life, then go to https://jillallencoaching.com/be-fit-and-fierce/ and become unstoppable with us. Or, if you want to join a sisterhood dedicated to growing our faith, join our Just Breathe Facebook Group.
The NFL Playoffs roll on with four really interesting games and we're fortunate to be joined by George Chahrouri (@PFF_George) from PFF who will help us break all the action down! :30 Welcome 2:52 George's background 22:30 George's process 37:06 Bengals at Titans 52:34 49ers at Packers 1:06:01 Rams at Buccaneers 1:18:50 Bills at Chiefs
I like the way you die boy. Join us as we explore one of the daring classics on Quentin Tarantino's Mt Rushmore off all-time greats, Django Unchained, his most commercial success. There is too much to unpackage in the descriptions here... whats the most rewatchable scene, how would we recast this movie today, where do Candy and Steven rank in Tarantino's Mt Rushmore of movie villains? Tune in to this week's rewatch feature to find out. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/notyourweeklysportspod/message
On the latest edition of the DNVR Broncos Podcast, Zac Stevens, Ryan Koenigsberg and Andrew Mason are coming to you to break down all of the latest news in Broncos Country. The guys discuss the two young defensive coaches, talk about if either have a legitimate shot at Denver's head coaching job, answer listener questions and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Most of us are blindly seeking validation from the outside world, not realizing that what we see around us is simply a mirror reflecting the dominant thoughts within us. And a mirror, by definition, MUST reflect what is held in front of it. We cannot change what a mirror shows without first changing what we show it. This is why prioritizing Self-Concept is crucial when it comes to manifesting. In this episode, we're talking about how to discover your OWN approval without requiring it from anyone else. Why seek from the outside world what already exists within? All you have to do is ALLOW yourself to receive it.Connect to your source of Self-Love all day long with the VIBES by Roxy Self-Love Collection including affirmations, meditation, daily rituals and so much more!Roxy Talks Manifestation Podcast Copyright 2022*All information in this podcast is intended for General information purposes only. By listening to this you agree that all your decisions based on and application of the information contained in this podcast is by your own personal choice. By listening to this podcast you agree that You do not hold Roxy Talks LLC or Roxy directly or indirectly liable for any claim or third party claim, death, injury, or personal/physical damage as a result of the use, interpretation, or application of the information contained in this podcastFREE RESOURCES:❤︎Manifest your ideal relationship NOW! Join the *FREE*
Dr. Kirk's lecture on OCPD, in three chapters. (Intro)The full episode is available to patrons of the podcast.Become a patron: https://www.patreon.com/PsychologyInSeattleEmail: https://www.psychologyinseattle.com/contactGet merch: https://teespring.com/stores/psychology-in-seattleDr. Kirk's Cameo: https://www.cameo.com/kirkhondaInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/psychologyinseattle/Discord: https://discord.gg/6QR4sE8x9KReddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/PsychologyInSeattle/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PsychInSeattleFacebook Official Page: https://www.facebook.com/PsychologyInSeattle/Facebook Fan Page (run by fans): https://www.facebook.com/groups/112633189213033The Psychology In Seattle Podcast ®Trigger Warning: This episode may include topics such as assault, trauma, and discrimination. If necessary, listeners are encouraged to refrain from listening and care for their safety and well-being.Disclaimer: The content provided is for educational, informational, and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here constitutes personal or professional consultation, therapy, diagnosis, or creates a counselor-client relationship. Topics discussed may generate differing points of view. If you participate (by being a guest, submitting a question, or commenting) you must do so with the knowledge that we cannot control reactions or responses from others, which may not agree with you or feel unfair. Your participation on this site is at your own risk, accepting full responsibility for any liability or harm that may result. Anything you write here may be used for discussion or endorsement of the podcast. Opinions and views expressed by the host and guest hosts are personal views. Although, we take precautions and fact check, they should not be considered facts and the opinions may change. Opinions posted by participants (such as comments) are not those of the hosts. Readers should not rely on any information found here and should perform due diligence before taking any action. For a more extensive description of factors for you to consider, please see www.psychologyinseattle.com
This week, Jessica is being hunted by the UK Police and unfortunately, June's voicemail is still full. Jessica updates us about her MRI experience and discusses struggles around being too agreeable, while June shares how her dog, Sgt. Meatball helps her regulate her energy. Then, the gals discuss the continuing struggle parenting in a pandemic, Jessica reveals her new go-to small talk initiations, and June tries to convince Jessica she's good at small talk too, but the jury is still out on that. And Deep Divers, remember to be responsible for your own energy. Virtual tickets for New Year New Jane retreat can be found here https://www.janeclub.com/new-year-new-jane Code : DEEPDIVE20X Visit the Pinterest Board pinterest.com/thedeepdiveYou can follow The Deep Dive on Twitter @thedeepdivepodJune Diane Raphael @MsJuneDiane on Twitter @junediane on InstagramJessica St. Clair @Jessica_StClair on Twitter @stclairjessica on InstagramCheck out the Jane Club at www.janeclub.comSend us your The Deep Dive theme or any questions you might have to firstname.lastname@example.org
ITS OFFICIAL!! The Nodes HAVE SHIFTED!!! This clip highlights the Astrology of the RULERSHIP of Taurus and Scorpio and how to work with Rulership in your chart this year! To learn more about what the expect while the Nodes of the Moon are in Scorpio + Taurus for the next 18 months, starting January 2022, please consider purchasing her latest presentation https://www.accessibleastrology.com/the-nodes-of-the-moon-in-taurus-scorpio or receive FREE as a member of the Accessible Astrology Community. All Educational Presentations are included for Community Members. To join the Community, https://www.accessibleastrology.com/community To prepare better for 2022, consider purchasing the “2022 Thrival Kit” https://www.accessibleastrology.com/2022-thrival-kit with tools and resources to thrive in 2022. (25% OFF for Community Members) To learn more about your Astrologer Eugenia Krok, MA, visit us online https://www.accessibleastrology.com/about
Who's that Bond villain stroking a cat and yelling at beloved public figures? It's Karl Lagerfeld! This week, Mike and Aubrey go in on fashion's favorite turbo troll and his fancy, joyless diet. This episode serves four.Support us:Hear bonus episodes on PatreonDonate on PayPalGet Maintenance Phase T-shirts, stickers and moreLinks!:The Karl Lagerfeld DietKaiser Karl: The Life of Karl LagerfeldKarl Lagerfeld: My childhood was very simpleA Look Back at Designer Karl Lagerfeld's Iconic Fashion Career in PhotosSeven of Karl Lagerfeld's most iconic momentsKarl Lagerfeld Becomes a Video-Game CharacterKarl Lagerfeld's most controversial quotes on fat womenKarl Lagerfeld's most controversial quotesKarl Lagerfeld on Adele (archived)Karl Lagerfeld's illustration of Adolf Hitler and Angela Merkel (archived)Paris is Losing it - The New York TimesHere's What Our Nutritionist Thinks of Karl Lagerfeld's DietKarl Lagerfeld: Adele 'fat' remarks taken out of contextKarl Lagerfeld Would Marry His Cat Choupette If It Were LegalSupport the show (https://www.patreon.com/maintenancephase)
Colton Dunn (Superstore, Blockers) joins Paul, Jason, and guest co-host Jessica St. Clair (The Deep Dive, Avenue 5) to discuss the 2017 disaster film Geostorm starring Gerard Butler. Recorded live from Los Angeles at Largo at the Coronet, they talk about Gerard's accent, Andy Garcia's pen acting, the real life car Geo Storm, and Mr. Bean in space. GEOSTOOOOOORM! For more Matinee Monday content, check out Paul's Youtube pagehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ikagk-WhC-YFor upcoming HDTGM info visit https://www.hdtgminfo.com/HDTGM Discord: discord.gg/hdtgmPaul's Discord: https://discord.gg/paulscheerCheck out Paul and Rob Huebel live on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/friendzone) every Thursday 8-10pm ESTSubscribe to The Deep Dive with Jessica St. Clair and June Diane Raphael here: listen.earwolf.com/deepdiveSubscribe to Unspooled with Paul Scheer and Amy Nicholson here: listen.earwolf.com/unspooledCheck out The Jane Club over at www.janeclub.comCheck out new HDTGM merch over at https://www.teepublic.com/stores/hdtgmWhere to Find Jason, June & Paul:@PaulScheer on Instagram & Twitter@Junediane on IG and @MsJuneDiane on TwitterJason is Not on Twitter