Uncertainty is part and parcel of scientific information and the various disciplines (e.g., medical, management and social and environmental sciences) have developed vocabularies and scientific means of communicating that uncertainty. In addition, different decision-making and policy communities hav…
Peter Scott, Met Office, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templton College, Oxford on 15th Novemeber 2012.
Professor Chris Rapley, UCL, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templton College, Oxford on 15th Novemeber 2012. Introduced by Richard Black, former BBC Correspondent.
Dr Emily Shuckburgh, BAS/DECC, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templton College, Oxford on 15th Novemeber 2012.
Dr Nick Pidgeon, Cardiff University, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templeton College, Oxford on 15th November 2012.
Opening Address by Professor Speigelhalter, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, Cambridge University.
Wendy Jarrett, Associate Director, Media Relations, National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templeton College, Oxford.
Chris Rapley, Professor of Climate Science, University College London, gives the final lecture in the Uncertainty series. This talk will cover the complexity of the Earth systems, and the nature and magnitude of the challenge of exploring and understanding how it functions. Key outcomes of the research effort will be summarised, as will the approaches used to predict the future trajectory of the system and the consequences for humanity. A key uncertainty is the extent to which humans will take measures to mitigate anthropogenic influences on climate, and so I will address the phenomenon of 'climate delusion' and its consequences.
What should patients and clinicians make of uncertainty, risk and decision making in medical care? Dr Angela Coulter delivers a lecture at Green Templeton College as part of the Uncertainty series.
Professor Nick Pidgeon gives a talk for the Uncertainty, Risk and Decision Making seminar series. Events of the past 3 years - from volcanic ash, to climate change e-mails, to Fukushima - have brought home the importance of both handling and communicating environmental risks for both the public and for policy purposes. This talk will ask what we know about types of environmental uncertainty, and their significance and impacts for both policy decisions and communication with the public. I argue that despite longstanding evidence and research findings from the environmental social sciences there is little appreciable progress in the UK as elsewhere on the necessary strategic approach to supporting policy decisions and communicating uncertainty. Such an approach would combine 'strategic listening' with 'strategic organisation'. The forms of boundary organisation that might be needed to take up these tasks are also discussed.
Jim Watson (Director, Sussex Energy Group) delivers a lecture as part of the 2012 Green Templeton College "Uncertainty..." lecture series.