Podcasts about Uncertainty

J Scott invites Andrew Cushman and Brian Burke to a conversation about why the market is currently a “traffic collision” at a four-way intersection, with some assets suffering 50-70% drops while others are barely dented. Andrew shares the importance of operational excellence and how savvy investors are capitalizing on distressed properties, even as the broader market remains uncertain. Brian emphasizes why cap rates and NOI are your true market thermometers and how understanding their movements is critical to navigating the current downturn. Both guests dive into the bifurcated reality of today's multifamily landscape: safe, cash-flowing Class A assets are holding their value, while lower-end properties face extreme distress with vacancy rates soaring and delinquencies through the roof. J Scott Current role: General Partner of Bar Down Investments LLC, Partner / Co-Founder of ScottBuilt Based in: Sarasota, Florida Where to find them: https://linktr.ee/jscottinvestor https://www.linkedin.com/in/jscottinvestor/ Andrew Cushman Founder & Principal of Vantage Point Acquisitions Based in: Los Angeles Metropolitan Area Where to find them: https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewcushmanvpa https://www.vpacq.com/ Brian Burke Current role: Founder & CEO, Praxis Capital Based in: California Where to find them: ⁠www.PraxCap.com⁠ ⁠www.linkedin.com/in/praxiscapital⁠ For more information, visit https://superhuman.com/. Podcast production done by⁠ ⁠Outlier Audio⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Creating election chaos could pay off big-time for Trump. He doesn't need to win every legal battle over mail-in ballots, gerrymandering, election monitors or voter confusion, he only needs the mess itself. Confusion becomes the weapon.Confusion suppresses turnout. Uncertainty over voting procedures and information discourages participation. A smaller, more demoralized electorate works in his favor. We'll talk elections with presidential historian and host of Around the Political World. John Rothmann will join us in the first hour. Political analyst and author Jared Yates Sexton will stop through to talk politics. His brilliant insight on the issues will make you seek out his writing. He's that good. Find Jared at : https://www.jysexton.com/books https://jaredyatessexton.substack.com/ Then, we are off to save the planet with amazing eco- journalist, Belinda Waymouth. She'll explain how a mining company fell to opposition from Native American tribes. The Mark Thompson Show 9/2/26 Patreon subscribers are the backbone of the show! If you'd like to help, here's our Patreon Link: https://www.patreon.com/themarkthompsonshow Maybe you're more into PayPal. https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=PVBS3R7KJXV24 And you'll find everything on our website: https://www.themarkthompsonshow.com The Mark Thompson Show has an official new Facebook page. Please join! Here's the link: https://m.facebook.com/TheMarkThompsonShow/ Show sponsors: coachellavalleycoffee.com - use code MarkT at check out to save 10%

Andrew, Ben, and Tom debate whether markets are facing real chaos or just noise as oil jumps back to $90 on Iran tensions, ISM manufacturing cools, and midterm uncertainty builds, plus Elon Musk's G20 remarks on AI and power constraints.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

For this episode, let's revisit a Case Interview & Management Consulting classic where we speak about our practice styles. Over the course of the case interview training program, it becomes very important for us to change our coaching style. First, candidates become used to solving cases in just this one style and we need to ensure they can adapt to any style. Second, candidates become adept at reading the "tell" in the coach/mentor so they know when they, the candidate, is making a mistake etc. By changing our coaching style and introducing mentors, we can easily avoid this problem and ensure candidates are becoming stronger at cases versus merely stronger at doing cases with the one coach. Ensure you are also practicing with partners who have different styles. Here are some free gifts for you: Overall Approach Used in Well-Managed Strategy Studies free download: www.firmsconsulting.com/OverallApproach McKinsey & BCG winning resume free download: www.firmsconsulting.com/resumepdf Enjoying this episode? Get access to sample advanced training episodes here: www.firmsconsulting.com/promo

Every decision costs something. The hardest decisions are not between good and bad—they are between competing responsibilities, limited resources, uncertain outcomes, and values we do not want to surrender. In this episode of The CJ Moneyway Show, CJ sits down with Dr. Brad C. Anderson, a Canadian science-fiction author, university business educator, former biotechnology professional, and organizational-wisdom researcher. Brad explains how his seemingly different worlds all examine the same question: How do people and institutions make sound decisions when knowledge is not enough? Brad shares what science fiction taught him about imagining life beyond the rules of the ordinary world, what biotechnology revealed about the tension between scientific excellence and business reality, and why the strongest organizations combine different forms of expertise instead of allowing one discipline to dominate. The conversation moves into the heart of Brad's research: knowledge may be necessary, but it becomes insufficient when we do not know enough, when what we believe is wrong, or when two valid facts point toward conflicting actions. Through examples involving quality, budgets, healthcare risk, vaccines, and organizational constraints, Brad shows why wise leadership requires more than having information—it requires navigating trade-offs. CJ and Brad also explore why life is governed by probabilities rather than guarantees, how lost trust changes decision-making, and why values, rationality, and power must be examined together. The result is a thoughtful but practical conversation for entrepreneurs, executives, educators, creators, and anyone responsible for making decisions that affect other people. Because sometimes the challenge is not finding the right answer. It is deciding what cost you are willing to carry—and acting with wisdom when no perfect answer exists. In this episode, you'll learn • Why science fiction can strengthen strategic imagination • How disciplinary arrogance weakens organizations • Why knowledge alone cannot resolve complex trade-offs • The difference between certainty and probability • How trust shapes whether people accept expert guidance • Why values, rationality, and power belong in the same decision framework • How constraints determine what is ethically practical Episode key takeaways • Humility is a strategic capability: your expertise is one piece of the puzzle, not the entire puzzle. • A fact can be true and still be insufficient to determine what should happen next. • Wise decisions reconcile competing truths under real constraints. • Good behavior improves probability; it does not guarantee outcome. • Leaders damage trust when they communicate probability as certainty. • Values without power remain intentions; power without values can become manipulation. • The practical question is not only ‘What is right?' but ‘What is ethically achievable here?' Guest links and CTA block • Brad C. Anderson's website: https://bradanderson2000.com/ • Free open textbook, Developing Organizational and Managerial Wisdom: https://kpu.pressbooks.pub/developingwisdom/ • LinkedIn: https://ca.linkedin.com/in/bcanders • Amazon author page: https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0088AJWW6 Public-release note: Do not publish Brad's booking email or telephone number. Use the website and verified professional links above. If this conversation helped you think differently about leadership and decision-making, follow The CJ Moneyway Show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, and the Bleav network. Share this episode with a leader facing a decision that has no perfect answer, and visit CJ Moneyway Media for more transformational conversations built brick by brick through authentic stories. Brad C Anderson, organizational wisdom, managerial wisdom, decision making under uncertainty, values rationality power, ethical leadership, leadership trade-offs, probabilistic thinking, organizational constraints, business decision making, multidisciplinary teams, science fiction author, biotechnology leadership, risk communication, trust in experts, complex problem solving, CJ Moneyway Show, Built For Purpose, Bleav Podcast Network Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Origins hosts Nick Chirls (GP, Asylum Ventures) and Beezer Clarkson (LP, LGT Capital Partners) unpack their recent conversation with Alec Litowitz, founder of Magnetar Capital and founder and managing partner of QStar Capital. They discuss what changes when a rigorously structured public-markets mind looks at early-stage venture, why “answering uncertainty” is a sharper frame than simply living with it, and where TVPI stopped telling the truth after 2021.For a monthly roundup of the latest venture insights, including the newest Origins episodes, subscribe to the OpenLP newsletter – delivered straight to your inbox: https://subscribe.openlp.vcCHAPTERS:[00:00] Welcome to Origins[00:45] Alec Episode Takeaways[01:03] Agency, AI & Where the Human Still Matters[01:45] Why Structure Is Such a Powerful Tool[03:31] How Structured Can Seed Investing Really Be?[04:31] How Venture Answers Uncertainty[04:51] The Portfolio Review Nick Wants to Try[05:51] TVPI as a False Signal & the SaaS Regime[07:33] Do LPs Even Look at TVPI Anymore?Learn more about OpenLP: https://openlp.vcLearn more about Asylum Ventures: https://asylum.vcLearn more about LGT Capital Partners: https://www.lgtcp.com

April 2025: Liberation Day. President Trump announces sweeping new tariffs. And then, the dollar did something a safe haven currency is not supposed to do: it fell.Tarek Hassan (Boston University, CEPR), working with Thomas Mertens, Jingye Wang and Tony Zhang, has been investigating what makes a currency the global anchor. Being the world's biggest economy helps, but what really matters is how far an economy's shocks affect world prices. Tariffs reduce this effect. But are we near a tipping point, when the euro takes over as the global reserve currency? We might be closer than you think and, if a change happens, it might happen more quickly than you think too.This is the third of four episodes drawn from papers commissioned for the second Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues conference, held in Venice on 19 and 20 June 2026 and organised by CEPR, CESifo and Sciences Po.The research behind this episode:Hassan, Tarek A., Thomas M. Mertens, Jingye Wang, and Tony Zhang. 2026. "Openness, Integration, and the International Monetary Order." Conference draft, presented at the 2nd Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues Conference, Venice, 19 to 20 June 2026. Forthcoming in Economic Policy.To cite this episode:Phillips, Tim, and Tarek A. Hassan. 2026. "The Dollar Anchor Is Slipping." VoxTalks Economics (podcast).About the guestTarek A. Hassan is Professor of Economics at Boston University, a Research Fellow of the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a Research Fellow of the Centre for Economic Policy Research. His research spans international finance, macro-finance, and the political economy of growth, from measuring firm-level political risk with large language models to, in this paper, the size and openness that decide which currency the world treats as safe.Research cited in this episodeLiberation Day and the April 2025 tariffs. On 2 April 2025, the White House announced a sweeping set of import tariffs. Hassan and his co-authors treat the market reaction to that announcement, in which the dollar fell even as US interest rates rose and US stocks underperformed, as the anomaly their model is built to explain; a currency behaving that way in a crisis usually counts as risky, not safe. CEPR has gathered further commentary on the announcement and its aftermath on its Trump and Tariffs page.Exorbitant privilege. A term coined in the 1960s for the advantage the United States gets from issuing the world's reserve currency, since foreign investors will hold dollar assets at a lower return than they would demand elsewhere. Hassan uses it to explain why Americans can borrow more cheaply than almost anyone else, and why losing anchor status would raise the US government's own borrowing costs.Effective size. The paper's central idea. It is not simply how big an economy is, but how much weight its shocks carry in setting world prices, which depends on both actual size and openness to trade and capital flows. Tariffs and capital controls both reduce a country's effective size without touching its GDP, which is how they can knock a currency out of contention as a global anchor.The Budget Lab at Yale's tariff tracker. The paper draws its estimate that the current average tariff on US imports and exports, once retaliation is included, runs at around 12% from The Budget Lab at Yale (2025), Where We Stand: The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of All US Tariffs Enacted in 2025 Through April 2, a running assessment of US trade policy maintained by the nonpartisan Budget Lab at Yale.Ilzetzki, Reinhart, and Rogoff's exchange rate classification. Ilzetzki, Reinhart, and Rogoff. 2019. "Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor Will Hold?" Quarterly Journal of Economics 134 (2). This dataset classifies the de facto exchange rate regime of 141 economies. Hassan and his co-authors use it to calibrate their model and to show that the share of countries pegging tightly to the dollar falls with country size almost exactly as their theory predicts.The Chinn-Ito index of capital account openness. Chinn, Menzie D., and Hiro Ito. 2006. "What Matters for Financial Development? Capital Controls, Institutions, and Interactions." Journal of Development Economics 81 (1): 163 to 192. This widely used index scores how open a country's capital account is to cross-border investment. China scores close to the bottom, in the same range as India, Russia, Brazil and Pakistan, while the United States and the eurozone score close to the maximum, which is central to why Hassan treats the renminbi as a non-contender for anchor status while capital controls remain in place.More VoxTalks Economics episodesTariffs, Uncertainty, and the Exchange Rate, the first episode in this series, in which Alfonso Merendino and Tommaso Monacelli offer another explanation of why the dollar fell rather than rose after the 2025 tariffs.How Exchange Rates Responded to Tariffs, in which Giancarlo Corsetti also tells Tim Phillips what happened to the dollar after Liberation Day, and why the textbook response did not show up.Related reading on VoxEU.orgTariffs and US Dollar Depreciations: Not So Surprising After All, a VoxEU column in which Giancarlo Corsetti, Simon Lloyd and Daniel Ostry argue that the dollar's fall after Liberation Day looks less puzzling once expected retaliation and long run risk are taken into account.Tariffs, Global Imbalances, and the Dollar, in which Oleg Itskhoki and Dmitry Mukhin examine whether tariffs aimed at shrinking the US trade deficit can actually work, and what trying would mean for the dollar.

We talk about how to practice skillful uncertainty in an era of epidemic unknowns.

Thabo Shole-Mashao, standing in for Clement Manyathela speaks to Tsungai Masendeke, Certified Financial Planner at Liberty, about Liberty Lifestyle Protection, which allows having conversations today that can help you maintain stability and dignity through uncertainty. The Clement Manyathela Show is broadcast on 702, a Johannesburg based talk radio station, weekdays from 09:00 to 12:00 (SA Time). Clement Manyathela starts his show each weekday on 702 at 9 am taking your calls and voice notes on his Open Line. In the second hour of his show, he unpacks, explains, and makes sense of the news of the day. Clement has several features in his third hour from 11 am that provide you with information to help and guide you through your daily life. As your morning friend, he tackles the serious as well as the light-hearted, on your behalf. Thank you for listening to a podcast from The Clement Manyathela Show. Listen live on Primedia+ weekdays from 09:00 and 12:00 (SA Time) to The Clement Manyathela Show broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj For more from the show go to https://buff.ly/XijPLtJ or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/p0gWuPE Subscribe to the 702 Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/v5mfetc Follow us on social media: 702 on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/Radio702 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the News FBI Dismantled Chinese-Linked Network Hacking U.S. Government Agencies Meta Settles with US States over Social Media Harms Beyond Hubble - NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope Apple Maps is getting Ads, and There's No Way to turn them Off Guess Who Didn't Make TIME's Top 100 AI List? Bill Gates vs. Jensen Huang: Two Very Different Views of AI   ITPro Series with Benjamin Rockwell Distractions, even smaller ones, can Disrupt our Workflows, Impacting Enterprise From the Tech Corner Cyberpunk 2077 Meets the Commodore 64 Despite Decades of Uncertainty, the Commodore Name Continues to Survive. Old Compact Cameras with Single-Digit Megapixel are Booming in Japan What Problems Can a CMOS Reset Fix? Technology Chatter with Benjamin Rockwell and Marty Winston Navamo Lawn Mower Experience by the Picky Neighbor  

What if uncertainty isn't a temporary problem science will eventually solve, but a fundamental feature of reality? Neuroscientist Stuart Firestein joins Michael Shermer to make the case that the universe may be far less deterministic—and the future far less predictable—than we like to imagine. Firestein and Shermer discuss chaos and complexity, Darwin and randomness, free will, scientific progress, the replication crisis, COVID and the problem of communicating uncertainty, why humans are so bad at probability, and why even enormous amounts of data can fail to predict individual people or events. Stuart Firestein is a professor of neuroscience at Columbia University and a member of the Santa Fe Institute. He has published over one hundred scientific papers in journals such as Nature, Science, Cell, and Neuron. He is a Guggenheim fellow, a member of the advisory committee for the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, and an elected fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. His new book is It Could Be Otherwise: Science in the Age of Uncertainty.

How do you lead through uncertainty when the path forward isn't clear?Manoj Leelanivas has done it at extraordinary scale. Today he's President of HP Solutions. Before HP, he helped lead a major transformation at Juniper Networks, moving into new markets, building belief across thousands of employees, and helping create an enterprise business approaching $3 billion.In this episode, Manoj shares the leadership lessons behind that transformation, including why people don't resist change...they resist uncertainty, how small wins can create momentum for massive change, and why speed with learning beats waiting for certainty.He also shares the courageous question an employee asked that changed the way he leads, why he had to reinvent himself as he moved from engineer to business leader, and what he's learning about innovation inside one of the world's most iconic technology companies.If you're leading a team through change, making decisions without all the answers, or trying to turn disruption into growth, this conversation is for you.Manoj Leelanivas is President of HP Solutions and former COO of Juniper Networks.-----Connect with the Host, #1 bestselling author Ben FanningSpeaking and Training inquiresSubscribe to my Youtube channelLinkedInInstagramTwitter

Do you need to know that you can live vegan forever before you take one action today?Last week, we talked about practical uncertainty in a vegan practice: restaurant plans, backup meals, and the possibility of ending up with romaine lettuce and French fries for dinner.This week, we go one level deeper.What happens when you ask your future self to guarantee that you will follow through perfectly for the rest of your life?Michele often hears people say, “I'm not like you. I don't stick with things. I don't have discipline.”That's usually not even true..In this episode:Why commitment is a direction—not a prediction or guaranteeHow uncertainty can make behavior change more curious, experimental, and even more funThe three certainty traps from Simone Stolzoff's book How to Not Know: comfort, hubris, and controlWhy “I could never” is a remarkably confident prediction about a future that has not happenedA little Stoic encouragement from Seneca and Marcus AureliusWhy “Can I do this forever?” is an unfair test for someone deciding what to eat on TuesdayHow coaching helps us work with the person we actually are instead of waiting to become an imaginary, perfectly disciplined personYour September ExperimentComplete these three sentences:For September, I am committed to __________.Right now I do not need to know __________.This week, I am going to learn or practice __________.Keep the commitment meaningful, but make the experiment small enough to give you real information. At the end, you do not need to give yourself a grade. Ask what worked, what did not, and what you would like to try next.Not knowing is not a problem. It means the answer is still open—and an open answer gives you room to learn, change, and surprise yourself.You can be serious about your values and curious about your methods.  You can be committed without being certain.Book mentioned:How to Not Know: The Value of Uncertainty in a World That Demands Answers by Simone StolzoffSubscribe & Review:If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and leave a review on your favorite podcast platform. Your feedback helps us grow and share the message of plant-based living with more listeners.For more information, to submit a question or topic, or to book a free 30 minute Coaching session visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠veganatanyage.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠or email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠info@micheleolendercoaching.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Music, Production, and Editing by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Charlie Weinshank⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. For inquiries email: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠charliewe97@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Virtual Support Services: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://proadminme.com/⁠

Guest: Gabriel Wisdom, Grover Norquist and Mohamed Abdulla El-Erian See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

  Sometimes the best things in life happen because we simply decide to give it a go. A common thread runs through my thoughts today: don't let age or fear keep you from trying. Uncertainty and inexperience should not stop you from taking a first step. There's no need to know exactly how things will turn out. You don't have to be good at everything you attempt. Whether it's learning something new, taking up a new hobby, going somewhere you've never been, or pursuing an idea that keeps tugging at you, sometimes the only way to find out is to give it a go!   • Join Our Free Email Newsletter • Subscribe to Our YouTube Channel (click that bell icon, too) • Join Our Facebook Group • Support Our Sponsors (Click on the images below to visit their websites.) __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________

It's a live Football Takes from the Minnesota State Fair with Phil Mackey, Judd Zulgad, Thor Nystrom, and AJ Fredrickson sharing their favorite and least favorite things from the football weekend. With takes on the Packers running back situation, Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, and much more!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

A human being is a creature that doesn't author the architecture in which it chooses from, so it can only act within the possibilities that it is capable of perceiving and expand those possibilities though learning, which can influence but never secure the outcome of their choices and therefore must live inside a permanent tension between agency and uncertainty. Growth is not escaping that tension, growth is becoming increasingly conscious of the spiral I'm already inside, while accepting that no amount of self knowledge will ever make existence fully controllable. And at the edge of that knowledge hope and faith aren't irrational leftovers; they are what make continued participation possible when certainty runs out. - @GLUB on Tiktok The source: https://www.tiktok.com/@misstryingtomoveon/video/7672928732721450253?_r=1&_t=ZP-99DAZs1JyRjRead Julie's Medium Blog.Support JULIE (and the show!)Support + get some bonus stuff over on PATREON.Get an occasional personal email from me: www.makeyourdamnbedpodcast.comTune in on INSTAGRAM AND YOUTUBE or TIKTOK.Info on War Tax Resistance.Donate to the Palestinian Children's Relief Fund and the Sudan Relief FundThe opinions expressed by Julie Merica and Make Your Damn Bed Podcast are intended for entertainment purposes only. Make Your Damn Bed podcast is not intended or implied to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/make-your-damn-bed. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Native American ranchers and beef producers are among those pushing back against President Donald Trump's initiative to import cheap foreign beef to lower consumer prices. Critics of the plan say it will do little reduce prices and undercuts producers in this country who are already facing major industry headwinds including drought, unpredictable policies, and high operating costs. The American cattle herd numbers are slowly recovering after reaching a historic low. We'll hear from industry experts about what would truly help them and consumers alike. Beef producers aren’t the only agriculture industry having trouble getting traction. Staffing cuts at the U.S. Department of Agriculture are blamed for complications and delays in how existing and prospective producers get basic federal support in the form of low-interest loans, grants, and technical assistance that was once widely available. We'll talk with one Native farmer who was forced to bypass USDA support after years of delay. GUESTS Marjorie Lantana (Navajo), northwest vice president of the New Mexico Cattle Growers' Association Alexandra Carlisle (Navajo), assistant agent at the University of Arizona tribal extension program Zachariah Ben (Diné), owner and co-founder of Bidii Baby Foods Tom Paterson, president of the New Mexico Cattle Growers' Association

When life takes an unexpected turn, how do we stay connected to the people we love without overwhelming them?Today's episode asks exactly that.  Liza, mother of 3 navigating a serious health diagnosis, wrestles with how to talk to her adult children about what's happening and she finds herself holding a complex tension:How do I let them in, without making them responsible for me?We explore what it means to share difficult truths with care, to honor each person's emotional capacity, and to stay in relationship without over-functioning or shutting down.This episode also touches something deeper: the quiet weight of self-blame. The belief that we should have done better, taken better care, or prevented what's now unfolding. We counter that idea with the possibility of meeting ourselves with compassion instead of judgment.This is a conversation about love in its most honest form: messy, tender, and real.Read more on the blog.Want more direct access to me? I warmly invite you to become a member of The School of Human Connection. Join regular live calls where students in the school bring real relationship dilemmas. We slow things down and I'll help you see what's actually happening and how to respond with more integrity, strength and care.You will find a safe space for live discussions and a supportive community of like-minded, open-hearted humans. Stay updated on new episodes and resources by subscribing wherever you listen to podcasts or visiting yvetteerasmus.com.Here are more ways to connect with me:Join the School of Human ConnectionHop on my free Wednesday live callFollow me on YouTube

No news is not necessarily good news. Passed deadlines on 3 section investigations means more uncertainty. Listen to Two Minutes in Trade for more. 

Can conscious leadership survive an era of disruption, geopolitical chaos, and financial pressure? The answer may lie not in better strategy but in how leaders convene, listen, and think together when no one has the answers alone.In this episode of The Conscious Capitalists, hosts Timothy Henry and Raj Sisodia sit down with transformational facilitation pioneer Jon Berghoff to preview the 2025 Conscious Capitalism CEO Summit and its theme, "Leading in Radical Uncertainty." They explore how "conscious convening" — the art of designing meaningful group dialogue — helps CEOs transform uncertainty into collective wisdom, courage, and action.Geopolitical volatility, tariffs, supply chain disruptions, and the rise of AI, quantum computing, and robotics are reshaping leadership faster than most organizations can adapt. Timothy Henry highlights the Summit's three core themes: how leaders show up personally, how organizations build internal trust, and how companies structurally prepare for an unpredictable future. He also previews speakers like Amy Fox, Melanie Del Becco of Torani, Ashley Blumenfeld of Standard Meat, Brie Olsen of PacSun, and Jana Werner's "octopus organization" model.At the heart of the episode is Berghoff's philosophy of conscious convening: collective intelligence outperforms any single expert in the room. He explains how intentional pauses for contemplation, paired with structured peer-to-peer conversations, turn passive audiences into active co-creators — "turning the room into the stage." Drawing on Amy Edmondson's research on psychological safety, he describes how offering equal invitations (not obligations) to speak creates space for CEOs to have honest, vulnerable conversations with peers.Sisodia raises a central tension: awakening to conscious capitalism is one thing; staying awake to it is far harder. He references Eric Ries's "financial gravity" — the pull toward short-term, shareholder-only thinking — and previews his session with Michael Harth on how governance can sustain conscious practices through leadership and ownership changes. The episode concludes with Berghoff's "crucible moments," including formative experiences at Vitamix and a chance meeting with Joseph Jaworski of Royal Dutch Shell, which shaped his belief that leadership is about inviting answers, not having them.Key Highlights:"It's one thing to awaken, it's another to stay awake." Adopting conscious capitalism versus sustaining it under financial pressure.Financial gravity never disappears — it must be managed, not escaped.Psychological safety isn't declared; it's designed through equal invitations to speak."Turning the room into the stage": peer dialogue surfaces insights no single speaker could deliver alone.Vulnerability is an ability, not a liability — emotional connection makes gatherings transformative.Great leaders don't have the answers; they design for them to emerge from anywhere in the room.Resources Mentioned:2026 Conscious Capitalism CEO Summit, "Leading in Radical Uncertainty" — Sept. 8–10, Beaver Creek, CO.Amy Edmondson's research on psychological safety.Eric Ries's "financial gravity" framework.XChange, Berghoff's company, which has trained 26,000+ change agents in conscious convening.Joseph Jaworski (Royal Dutch Shell) and Jodi Berg/Lori Connors (Vitamix) — mentors behind Berghoff's philosophy.Speaker preview: Amy Fox, Melanie Del Becco, Ashley Blumenfeld, Brie Olsen, Jana Werner.About the Guest:Jon Berghoff is a pioneer in transformational facilitation and founder of XChange, which has trained over 26,000 change agents in 50+ countries in the art of conscious convening. He has designed and led gatherings for Facebook, BMW, NASA, HP, Google, Stanford University, and Conscious Capitalism. Berghoff previously served as a senior leader at Vitamix before founding his own company. He will serve as lead facilitator for the 2025 Conscious Capitalism CEO Summit, "Leading in Radical Uncertainty," September 8–10 in Beaver Creek, Colorado. Learn more at consciouscapitalism.org.Enjoying the show? A quick review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify helps us reach more listeners. Transcripts and show notes are available at The Conscious Capitalists.Timestamps:0:00 — Cold open and introduction of Jon Berghoff3:06 — CEO Summit overview: "Leading in Radical Uncertainty"8:47 — Jon Berghoff defines "conscious convening"12:31 — Making sense of disruption-era information overload15:07 — Raj Sisodia on "financial gravity" and collective courage17:39 — How psychological safety is built in a room of CEOs20:21 — Preview of Raj's Summit session on sustaining consciousness24:00 — Berghoff's breakthrough facilitation stories from past Summits31:36 — Berghoff's crucible moments: Vitamix and Joseph Jaworski34:39 — Raj on love, vulnerability, and the heart of conscious business37:19 — Closing remarks and Summit details

When you're in a season of transition, one question can feel especially pressing: How do I know what my next step is?We often think we need complete clarity before we move forward. But sometimes what we're really looking for is certainty—the assurance that we're making the right decision and won't regret it later.In this episode of Navigate, Tim explores a different approach: instead of trying to figure out the whole path, focus on what you already know and the next faithful step you can take. Sometimes that step isn't a major decision at all. It may be a conversation, an experiment, a question, or simply giving yourself permission to explore.You'll also be invited to consider three coaching questions:What do you already know to be true about this season?What is one step you could take that would help you learn something?What would your next step look like if it didn't have to answer every question about your future?You don't need the whole path illuminated. Sometimes you just need enough light for the next faithful step.Want to go deeper? Join Tim for the live Navigating Transition workshop on September 22. Together, we'll explore a practical framework for understanding what happens during seasons of change and how to move forward with greater clarity, confidence, and purpose.Learn more and register: https://encompasslifecoaching.podia.com/navigating-transition-live-workshopSupport the showThanks for listening! If today's episode resonated with you, I'd love to help you navigate your own season of transition. Explore coaching, workshops, free resources, and practical tools at www.encompasslifecoaching.com.Ready to talk? Schedule a complimentary discovery call with Tim.

Hour 1 - "I hate the uncertainty" full 3055 Mon, 31 Aug 2026 18:06:39 +0000 UjsBwahpwgT2msYnCL11BrhrY4rwSl0L nfl,kansas city chiefs,society & culture Cody & Gold nfl,kansas city chiefs,society & culture Hour 1 - "I hate the uncertainty" Hosts Cody Tapp & Alex Gold team up for 96.5 The Fan Radio's midday show "Cody & Gold." Two born & raised Kansas Citians, Cody & Gold have been through all the highs and lows as a KC sports fan and they know the passion Kansas City has for their sports teams."Cody & Gold" will be a show focused on smart, sports conversation with the best voices from KC and around the country. It will also feature our listeners with your calls, texts & tweets as we want you to be a part of the show, not just a listener. Cody & Gold, weekdays 10a-2p on 96.5 The Fan.  2024 © 2021 Audacy, Inc. Society & Culture https://player.amperwavepodcasting.com?feed-link=https%3A%2F%

Apostolic Fellowship Church of Christ Jesus 2026 Back to School Revival  - 8/19/2026 1153 Blue Hills Ave, Bloomfield, CT 06002 We can be reached by contacting us at AFCMedia@AFC-ct.com or calling us at (860) 242-3518

Welcome to episode #1051 of Thinking With Mitch Joel (formerly Six Pixels of Separation). Dr. Sebastian Wernicke has built his career at the intersection of data science, artificial intelligence, economics, and decision-making. He leads the Data Science and AI team at Oxera, one of Europe's leading economics consultancies, and has become widely recognized for his ability to make complex ideas about data both accessible and deeply human. Many people first encountered Sebastian through his memorable TED Talk, which cleverly used data to satirize TED Talks themselves, but his work has always been driven by a much bigger question: how can organizations use data to challenge assumptions instead of reinforcing them? His new book, Data Inspired - Building An Organizational Culture Of Inquiry For Lasting Transformation, argues that businesses have become too focused on being "data-driven" and not focused enough on becoming "data-inspired." In this episode, Sebastian explains why more data doesn't automatically lead to better decisions, why confirmation bias often causes us to use data to strengthen existing beliefs, and why the greatest value of data lies not in optimization but in transformation. We also discuss the promises and disappointments of big data, the rise of generative AI, synthetic data, AI agents, and why the hardest challenge facing organizations isn't technological... it's cultural. Along the way, Sebastian makes a compelling case that leadership is ultimately about designing environments where people are encouraged to ask better questions, embrace uncertainty, and use evidence to change their minds rather than defend them. It is a thoughtful conversation about data, intelligence, curiosity, and why the organizations that thrive in the AI era will be the ones that build cultures of inquiry instead of cultures of certainty. Enjoy the conversation... Running time: 57:16. Hello from beautiful Montreal. Listen and subscribe over at Apple Podcasts. Listen and subscribe over at Spotify. Please visit and leave comments on the blog - Thinking With Mitch Joel. Feel free to connect to me directly on LinkedIn. Check out ThinkersOne. Here is my conversation with Dr. Sebastian Wernicke. Data Inspired - Building An Organizational Culture Of Inquiry For Lasting Transformation. Sebastian's viral TED Talk. Oxera. Follow Sebastian on LinkedIn. Chapters: (00:00) - Introduction to Sebastian Wernicke and Data Inspired. (02:52) - The Meta Nature of TED Talks and Storytelling. (06:12) - Confirmation Bias and Data Interpretation. (09:03) - The Limits of Data-Driven Decision Making. (12:10) - The Concept of Data Inspired. (14:58) - The Role of AI in Data Utilization. (18:07) - The Promise and Pitfalls of Big Data. (21:12) - Cultural Elements in Data Transformation. (24:02) - Trust in AI and Machine Learning. (26:52) - Human Nature and the Quest for Perfection. (29:30) - The Balance of Autonomy and Control in AI. (30:30) - The Rise of Synthetic Data. (32:00) - Skepticism Towards Synthetic Data. (34:54) - Exploring Personas and Assumptions. (37:40) - The Role of Data in Decision Making. (39:27) - The Complexity of Uncertainty in Business. (41:52) - Rethinking Intelligence and Creativity. (46:54) - Building Beautiful Questions with Data. (51:30) - Navigating the Data Dilemma. (54:46) - Cultural Attitudes Towards Privacy and Surveillance.

Uncertainty feels unbearable and can send us spiraling, keeping us trapped in our heads. It's important to get out of your head and into your body when this happens. THE SOURCES: https://gsas.harvard.edu/news/coping-uncertaintyhttps://creativemindspsychotherapy.com/2021/10/21/anxiety-happens-when-you-have-no-outlet-for-your-creativity/Read Julie's Medium Blog.Support JULIE (and the show!)Support + get some bonus stuff over on PATREON.Get an occasional personal email from me: www.makeyourdamnbedpodcast.comTune in on INSTAGRAM AND YOUTUBE or TIKTOK.Info on War Tax Resistance.Donate to the Palestinian Children's Relief Fund and the Sudan Relief FundThe opinions expressed by Julie Merica and Make Your Damn Bed Podcast are intended for entertainment purposes only. Make Your Damn Bed podcast is not intended or implied to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/make-your-damn-bed. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Trust God no matter how narrow the escape! -------- Thank you for listening! Your support of Joni and Friends helps make this show possible. Joni and Friends envisions a world where every person with a disability finds hope, dignity, and their place in the body of Christ. Become part of the global movement today at www.joniandfriends.org Find more encouragement on Instagram, TikTok, Facebook, and YouTube.

Emilia Fart has a poem she published on her TikTok in which she said, “When desolate, empty, and inspiration barren, remember the apricot you'll eat next august, juice running down your chin. Remember lying on your back getting grass stains on your boomers pissing the day away. Remember wiping crumbs of good bread and butter from the corners of your mouth and smirking from the delight. Remember that beyond the outer layers of fear and control at your core there is a cord. This cord can't be eradicated can't be shrunk. This cord is a knowing. A quiet understanding that you can trust yourself. That you are held. To be human is to free fall into a void. The more you connect with that cord the more your lips curl up as the wind whips past your cheeks down the rabbit hole. The less you need to scratch the walls trying to find a root to cling to. Learn to love with every particle and need with every inch and finally, let it all go when the time comes. Stop sinking. You can accept that you are falling.” Read the article from today's episode here. Read Julie's Medium Blog.Support JULIE (and the show!)Support + get some bonus stuff over on PATREON.Get an occasional personal email from me: www.makeyourdamnbedpodcast.comTune in on INSTAGRAM AND YOUTUBE or TIKTOK.Info on War Tax Resistance.Donate to the Palestinian Children's Relief Fund and the Sudan Relief FundThe opinions expressed by Julie Merica and Make Your Damn Bed Podcast are intended for entertainment purposes only. Make Your Damn Bed podcast is not intended or implied to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/make-your-damn-bed. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ram Ahluwalia is an investor and the Founder of Lumida.Weeks ago, crypto was doom and gloom. Now everything is pumping and nobody owns enough!In this episode, Ram explains exactly why the rally happened, breaking down Bessant's bond market intervention and a massive short squeeze that caught everyone offsides. He shares his views on whether the bear market bottom came earlier than expected, and the most important question in markets right now: should you prioritize crypto or AI?------

Work today is a lot less stable than it used to be. Career paths that once seemed predictable are constantly being disrupted and reshaped, leaving many of us feeling unsteady. In this final episode of the Finding Purpose series, Anne and Frances are joined by Arun Gupta, CEO of the NobleReach Foundation, who has spent his career helping people find ways to serve causes bigger than themselves. Arun makes the case for why following your purpose can be a powerful antidote to instability and anxiety, and shares practical ways to discover your own purpose. Anne and Frances also reflect on what they've learned from guests throughout the series. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

At some point, every leader reaches a place where their familiar “map” stops working where the career path, business plan, or life script they've relied on no longer fits what's actually happening. The strategies that once felt solid suddenly feel outdated, and they find themselves navigating illness, reinvention, and major life transitions without clear directions forward. Today's guest, Jeff Ton, a technology leader with 45 years of experience and author of Uncharted Moments: Love, Legacy, and the Lewis and Clark Trail, knows that terrain firsthand. What began as a series of RV trips retracing the Lewis and Clark expedition became a deeply personal story of partnership, caregiving, and leadership when his wife fell ill and he stepped into the role of full-time caregiver. In this episode of Marketer of the Day, Jeff shares how following the Lewis and Clark Trail, and later reflecting on it revealed powerful leadership lessons for entrepreneurs, executives, and creators facing uncertainty. He unpacks the metaphor of leading when the map is labeled “conjectural” like the original Lewis and Clark map west of the Mississippi, and what it means today when your business plan, financial projections, or life roadmap no longer fits the world you're actually in. Jeff explains why the most important question leaders can ask is: What do you do when the map runs out? Drawing on both history and his own journey, Jeff shows how proceeding on in uncertainty requires a blend of courage, humility, and responsiveness. From navigating tense, real-world travel mishaps to exploring Thomas Jefferson's broader vision for the expedition documenting new lands, learning from indigenous peoples, and building relationships Jeff highlights the often-overlooked leadership skill at the center of it all: listening. Listening to diverse perspectives, listening to the people you serve, and listening to your own gut are all essential when conditions change and your old playbook stops working. https://youtu.be/rlJ4pB9x78g?si=fSmNQ8jDa2JUJKi3 Jeff also introduces his “Proceeding On” event series, where he brings people together to talk honestly about life moments with no clear roadmap illness, grief, retirement, and reinvention. What started as a book and a “tour” has evolved into a shared space for reflection, healing, and clarity. For business leaders, marketers, and founders, Jeff's story is a reminder that real leadership isn't about controlling every variable, it's about continuing forward, one step at a time, while staying present, curious, and willing to adjust. If you're in a season where your old strategies don't fit and the future feels uncertain, this episode will give you both language and courage to keep proceeding on with more intention, empathy, and resilience. Quotes: “We are in uncharted territory. Others have gone through this disease; we're learning it. We learn every day.” “To proceed on when the way is not clear; take those steps, keep putting one foot in front of the other to make that progress.” "The man who makes no mistakes does not usually make anything. If you're trying to be perfect, you're not going to take a step. You have to proceed on into the unknown." Contact Details: Create Your Next Breakthrough: Visit the Official Website of Jeff Ton Connect with Jeff Ton on LinkedIn To Explore Leadership Insights Follow Jeff on Facebook for Daily Inspiration Follow Jeff on Instagram to Unlock Leadership Growth Uncharted Moments: Love, Legacy, and the Lewis & Clark Trail on Amazon

Hey, it's Katie and I want to welcome you to this special bonus episode. It'll be here for you completely ad-free for the next week so you can get a feel of what it's like to be a PREMIUM member. If you'd like an easy ad-free experience for all of our podcasts - that's over 200 episodes each month, then JOIN PREMIUM today at https://WomensMeditationNetwork.com/premium Life doesn't always give us the certainty we wish it would, and that uncertainty often follows us into the quiet of the night. This soothing sleep meditation helps ease anxiety, calm fearful thoughts, and relax your nervous system so you can rest without carrying tomorrow's questions. Let yourself be held by this moment, knowing you don't have to solve everything before you fall asleep. Love,

Uncertainty is hard, especially when your mind believes that thinking through every possible “what if” will keep you safe. You might replay conversations, prepare for things that haven't happened, or convince yourself that if you can just figure out every possible outcome, you'll finally feel at peace. But what if the constant problem-solving is actually keeping the anxiety going? In this episode, I'm talking about what happens when you stop trying to eliminate uncertainty and instead learn how to sit with “I don't know” without immediately spiraling, and how that space can become an opportunity to practice trust, dependence on God, and a different way of responding to your thoughts.Rooting for you,JessicaWant help taking the next step?If this episode helped you recognize some of the thoughts, emotions, or patterns keeping you stuck, you don't have to stop with simply understanding what's happening. Here are two ways I can help you take the next step:1. Untangle Your Thoughts is my self-paced course designed to help Christian women understand what's happening beneath their thoughts and emotions, identify the patterns keeping them stuck, and learn practical tools to begin responding differently all while keeping God at the center of the process.Inside, I walk you step-by-step through the process so you don't have to keep wondering, “Okay, but how do I actually change this?”→ Start Untangle Your Thoughts: Click here!2. Start 1:1 Christian Mental Health Coaching with Jessica. Sometimes you don't need more information you need someone to sit with you, help you slow everything down, and work through what is actually happening underneath your thoughts, emotions, and patterns.We'll look at what you're experiencing, uncover what's keeping you stuck, and work toward practical next steps that help you move forward with God.→ Book a free 20-minute consultation: Click here!Website: www.jessicahottle.comEmail: jessica@jessicahottle.comThe information shared in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and is not intended as medical or clinical advice. While we discuss mental health topics, this is not a substitute for professional care. Please consult with a qualified healthcare provider for advice specific to your situation.

Obedience sounds inspiring until God asks you to move without giving you the full map. Day 8 of 31 Days of Obedience goes straight into that tension, grounding us in Hebrews 11:8 where Abraham obeys God's call and leaves home “without knowing where he was going.” If you've been waiting on more details before you take the next faithful step, this devotional meets you right there.I talk through why uncertainty isn't just a problem to solve, but often a place where trust gets revealed and strengthened. We look at how trials can expose where we're trying to do life without God, and why scripture is the steady source of wisdom when emotions and circumstances shift. James warns that doubt leads to instability and indecision, so we get practical about what it means to ask for God's wisdom and receive it in faith.Then we sit with a deep question: what if God were sovereign but not good, or good but not sovereign? That contrast helps us see why both truths are essential for real peace. We connect Romans 8:28 and Numbers 23:19 to the character of God, and I leave you with a reflection question plus a simple daily practice to notice an outcome that points to God's goodness or sovereignty even in the moments that first irritate or confuse you.If this encourages you, subscribe, share with a friend, and leave a review so more women can find the podcast. What is hardest for you to trust in uncertainty: God's goodness or God's control?

There's a kind of waiting that doesn't feel like waiting. You know exactly what you need to do. You've meant to do it for longer than you'd like to admit. You keep finding a reason why right now isn't quite the right time, and you tell yourself that's responsible, that's thoughtful, that's just good timing. In episode 11 of the Wealth B-Hers Foundations series, Dr. Felecia Froe is done letting that story stand. She breaks down exactly what waiting costs, the compound growth that quietly disappears, the confidence that erodes one avoided month at a time, the low hum of 2am anxiety that never fully goes away. She shares her own experience starting over in the middle of real loss after 2008, and she lands on something most financial advice never says out loud: the perfect moment to begin is never coming, for anyone.    This isn't a call to panic or a countdown to catch up. It's an honest accounting of the price of delay, and a reminder that you aren't behind. The episode closes with one clear, doable step, not a plan, not a deadline, just the decision to stop waiting and find the people who can help you begin.    00:00 - Continuing the Foundations Series 02:13 - Naming the Quiet Kind of Waiting 04:04 - The Financial Cost of Time 05:30 - The Emotional Tax of Uncertainty 07:37- Why the Perfect Moment Never Comes 09:19 - Starting in the Middle and Finding Your People   You've worked hard to build your career. Now let's build wealth that outlives it. You were born to build more than just wealth. You were born to lead, inspire, and rise. At Wealth B-Hers, we're redefining what it means to be financially fearless. Join a movement of bold women investing with intention, building legacies, and writing their own money rules here - moneywithmission.com/wealth-b-hers/    Get Your Free Guide: https://moneywithmission.co/three-questions-every-woman-should-ask-before-she-invests   Key Quotes: "There has never been a season of life with enough time, enough clarity, enough certainty, enough calm to be the right moment to begin." - Dr. Felecia Froe "The pile that felt impossible to face becomes manageable once you face it, once you start, not because it's smaller than you thought, but because you're stronger than the pile."- Dr. Felecia Froe  

Textbook economics says a tariff should strengthen a country's currency. Since the start of 2025, as US tariffs rose ... and the dollar fell.In the first of four episodes of Voxtalks based on papers presented at the second Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues conference, Alfonso Merendino (Bocconi University) and Tommaso Monacelli (Bocconi University, CEPR) tell Tim Phillips what they found when they looked for reasons. Their conclusion: for tariffs, it's not size, it is how permanent people expect it to be. They call this structural trade policy uncertainty. When that uncertainty is low, a tariff behaves exactly as the textbook says. When it's high, the same tariff can weaken the currency, shrink output and pull down inflation instead.The research behind this episode:Merendino, Alfonso, and Tommaso Monacelli. 2026. "Tariffs, Uncertainty, and the Exchange Rate." Conference draft, presented at the 2nd Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues Conference, Venice, 19-20 June 2026. Forthcoming in Economic Policy.To cite this episode:Phillips, Tim, Tommaso Monacelli, and Alfonso Merendino. 2026. "Tariffs, Uncertainty, and the Exchange Rate." VoxTalks Economics (podcast).About the guestsTommaso Monacelli is Professor of Economics at Bocconi University and a Research Fellow of IGIER Bocconi and CEPR. His research spans international macroeconomics, monetary policy and the business cycle, with recent work on tariffs and monetary policy, supply chain uncertainty and inflation, and heterogeneous bank models of monetary transmission. He is co-editor of the Journal of International Economics and was managing co-editor of Economic Policy from 2016 to 2021.Alfonso Merendino is a PhD student in Economics at Yale University and a Research Fellow at the Social Economics Lab. He recently completed a research placement in macroeconomic modelling at the European Central Bank, and holds a Bachelor's and Master's degree in Economics from Bocconi University, where this paper was written.Research cited in this episodeStructural trade-policy uncertainty (S-TPU). The paper's central measure, capturing uncertainty not about the size of a tariff but about how persistent the trade-policy regime behind it will be. Merendino and Monacelli split observed US tariff rates from 1990 to 2025 into a persistent component and a short-lived transitory one, using a state-space model with separate volatility for each, and define S-TPU as the volatility of the persistent component.The 2017 US withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The authors' example of a pure S-TPU shock. The withdrawal changed no tariff rate on impact, but it reshuffled expectations about the durability of US trade policy, and their index of structural uncertainty spikes at this point."Liberation Day" tariffs, April 2025. The sweeping tariff package announced by the Trump administration on 2 April 2025. The paper treats this, alongside the 2018 Section 301 tariffs on China, as one of two clearly identified tariff shocks used to anchor its statistical model.Aggregate trade-policy uncertainty index. Caldara, Dario, Matteo Iacoviello, Patrick Molligo, Andrea Prestipino, and Andrea Raffo. 2020. "The Economic Effects of Trade Policy Uncertainty." Journal of Monetary Economics 109: 38-59. This newspaper-based index of trade-policy uncertainty mixes announcement noise with genuine regime change; Merendino and Monacelli show that conditioning on it, rather than on their narrower S-TPU measure, erases the state-dependent pattern they document.Narrative-dominance identification. The technique the authors use to isolate tariff shocks in their statistical model, adapted from Juan Antolín-Díaz and Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez. 2018. "Narrative Sign Restrictions for SVARs." American Economic Review 108 (10). Rather than imposing a full statistical model, the method anchors identification to a small number of clearly documented policy events, such as the 2018 and 2025 tariff rounds, and lets everything else, including the sign of the exchange-rate response, be estimated freely from the data.More VoxTalks Economics episodesThe second Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues conference follows the first, held in Paris in December 2025. Three earlier VoxTalks Economics episodes from that Paris conference asked what comes next for Ukraine's economy.What's next for Ukraine: Investment, in which Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Maurice Obstfeld argue that forgiving Ukraine's war debt, rather than treating it as an obstacle, is essential to attracting the $40 billion a year that reconstruction needs.What's next for Ukraine: Reconstruction, in which Edward Glaeser, Martina Kirchberger, and Andrii Parkhomenko argue that postwar Tokyo, not Warsaw or Berlin, is the right model for rebuilding Ukraine's cities.What's next for Ukraine: The labour market, in which Giacomo Anastasia documents the surprising resilience of Ukraine's wartime labour market.Related reading on VoxEUTariffs and US dollar depreciations: Not so surprising after all, a VoxEU column in which Giancarlo Corsetti, Simon Lloyd, and Daniel Ostry argue that the dollar's fall after Liberation Day is explained by foreign retaliation, a different mechanism from the persistence channel that Merendino and Monacelli identify.Tariffs, the dollar, and equities: High-frequency evidence from the Liberation Day announcement, in which Jonathan Hartley and Alessandro Rebucci show that the dollar depreciated on impact on 2 April 2025, against the standard prediction, and trace this to foreign investors rebalancing away from US equities.

Send us Fan MailSometimes you solve the thing you were worried about and feel relieved for about five minutes. Then your brain finds something else that could go wrong.Matt and Steve talk about what uncertainty does to them, from travel and job changes to money, family responsibilities, and situations where you've prepared as well as you can but still can't control the outcome. They also look back at the role alcohol used to play as a reliable way to shut down that discomfort, at least temporarily.Matt isn't trying to become fearless or convince himself everything will work out. He's trying to notice when fear of an uncertain outcome is keeping him from taking the next reasonable action—and learning that sometimes doing what you can has to be enough.Support the show

What if uncertainty isn't something to fear or even survive, but a skill you can train and a competitive advantage you can build?Scott Stirrett has spent more than a decade helping people do exactly that. Scott is a Canadian entrepreneur, author, and the founder of Venture for Canada, a national charity that has supported over 10,000 young professionals since 2013. He's also the author of The Uncertainty Advantage, a powerful guide for navigating the future of work that argues uncertainty isn't a bug in the system. It is the system.Scott walks us through how empathy and emotional skills play starring roles in his six pillars that help build real resilience, alongside some surprising mindset shifts and practical exercises you can start using right away. We also talk about why traditional career playbooks no longer apply and how leaders and professionals can turn volatility into opportunity instead of paralysis.If you're navigating change, rethinking your career, or leading others through uncertainty, this episode offers both reassurance and a roadmap.To access the episode transcript, go to www.TheEmpathyEdge.com and search by episode title.Listen in for…The six pillars that help build real resilience and momentum in uncertain times. Seeing the opportunity in uncertainty and volatility. How to act when you don't have perfect information. Why it is so important to build your uncertainty muscles. "We don't choose what era we live in. We live in an era of rapid change. Learning to develop a positive relationship with uncertainty is one of the most important things that you can do, perhaps at any moment in human history." — Scott Stirrett Episode References: Scott's Book: The Uncertainty AdvantageAntifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder by Nassim Nicholas TalebThinking in Bets by Annie DukeMIT study on human skills that complement AI: mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/these-human-capabilities-complement-ais-shortcomingsAbout Scott Stirrett: Founder, Venture for Canada and Author, The Uncertainty AdvantageScott Stirrett is a Canadian entrepreneur, author, and the Founder of Venture for Canada (VFC), a national charity that has supported over 10,000 young professionals since 2013. Under his leadership, VFC raised $80 million and partnered with leading organizations to equip early-career Canadians with entrepreneurial skills to thrive in an uncertain world.Scott is the author of The Uncertainty Advantage, a guide for young professionals navigating the future of work, endorsed by leaders including Andrew Yang and Amanda Lang. The book draws on lessons from building VFC, emphasizing adaptability, entrepreneurial thinking, and lifelong learning.A graduate of Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service, Scott began his career at Goldman Sachs in New York. He's been recognized as a Telus LGBTQ Innovator, Ashoka Fellow, and Globe and Mail Changemaker. His commentary has appeared in The Washington Post, Forbes, The Globe and Mail, and more. He currently co-chairs the Canadian Centre for Housing Rights.Connect with Scott:The Uncertainty Advantage: scottstirrett.comX: x.com/scottstirrettLinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/scottstirrettFacebook: facebook.com/stirrettInstagram: instagram.com/scottstirrettSubstack: substack.com/@scottstirrett Connect with Maria:Get Maria's books: Red-Slice.com/booksHire Maria to speak: Red-Slice.com/Speaker-Maria-RossTake the LinkedIn Learning Courses! Leading with Empathy and Balancing Empathy, Accountability, and Results as a LeaderLinkedIn: Maria RossInstagram: @redslicemariaFacebook: Red Slice

How much certainty does your vegan practice actually need? It's hard to know what being vegan will look like until you get tarted.  My job is to help you “stay in the game” long enough to get some traction, gain some skills and have some fun.After Episode 309 on having a "Plan B," many of you reached out.. Turns out none of us is simply "comfortable" or "uncomfortable" with uncertainty. The unknowns that barely register for one person can take up enormous space for another — and two people with the very same goal may need completely different kinds of support.In this episode:Your "uncertainty profile" — and why knowing yours changes everythingTwo kinds of Plan B: logistical (what will I actually eat?) and emotional (what will I tell myself when it's hard?)Two ideas from Simone Stolzoff's new book How to Not Know: the certainty anchor, and building small experiments in order to learnWhy one-size-fits-all advice ("prepare more!" "be flexible!") misses the real problem — and how coaching finds itThe Best-Case-Scenario Audit: a four-question exercise to try this weekThe four audit questions:What has to go right for my current plan to work?Which part of the uncertainty actually bothers me most?Does this problem need better logistics, more emotional resilience, or some of each?What stays true even when the plan changes? (That's your certainty anchor.)Mentioned in this episode:How to Not Know: The Value of Uncertainty in a World That Demands Answers by Simone Stolzoff — https://simonestolzoff.com/how-to-not-knowWhat kind of uncertainty doesn't bother you much — and what kind makes you panicky? Let me know!Subscribe & Review:If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and leave a review on your favorite podcast platform. Your feedback helps us grow and share the message of plant-based living with more listeners.For more information, to submit a question or topic, or to book a free 30 minute Coaching session visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠veganatanyage.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠or email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠info@micheleolendercoaching.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Music, Production, and Editing by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Charlie Weinshank⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. For inquiries email: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠charliewe97@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Virtual Support Services: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://proadminme.com/⁠

Nadia and Rob sit down with Leah Parker-Moldover, Executive Director of the MetroWest Nonprofit Network, to explore the challenges facing nonprofits today; from funding volatility and burnout to leadership capacity, collaboration, and AI. Leah shares practical insights on how nonprofit leaders, boards, and funders can build sustainable organizations while staying focused on mission and impact.Connect with Leah:Leah: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/leah-kathleen-parker-moldover-3a6519207/⁠MWNN: https://www.linkedin.com/company/metro-west-non-profit-network/MWNN: https://metrowestnonprofit.org/ Find season 6 episode transcripts here: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1bP3N6QYBG0UkzdRm5GwiFfoQLvGtIRrK?usp=sharing  Connect with us: Visit www.nazconsultants.com to learn more about Dr. Nadia Butt's work in leadership, culture, and organizational effectiveness, and check out http://www.tekanoconsulting.com/ to explore Rob Hadley's approach to data-driven people and culture strategy. Send us your thoughts or topic ideas at inclusivecollectivepodcast@gmail.comFollow Inclusive Collective LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/inclusivecollective/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@inclusivecollectivepodcast Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/inclusivecollectivepodcast/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/InclusiveCollective/ Connect with Nadia: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nadianazbutt/Connect with Rob: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rob-hadley-utah/

Prime Minister Mark Carney has vowed dollar-for-dollar retaliatory tariffs as the United States' latest 50 per cent levy on a swath of Canadian goods has come into effect following the collapse of trade negotiations between Ottawa and Washington. New Brunswick Premier Susan Holt offers her perspective on the road ahead, and a pair of small business owners lay out the economic reality before them.

Send us Fan MailEveryone experiences stress from time to time.  There are certain events, however, that trigger extreme amounts of it.If you don't deal with them properly, the stress will torpedo your mental, emotional and physical health.In today's installment of Finish Strong, our hosts discuss many of these highly stressful events such as the loss of a loved one, a serious health diagnosis, moving and financial difficulties.   Any one of these “life changing” events can shorten your life by causing lasting and irreversible damage to your body.On this podcast, Dan, Terry and Brian offer practical advice from the Bible for controlling major stress.  They remind you that God will help you overcome it when you focus on His eternal promises through every situation life brings your way!Support the showFearless Faith Websiteffaith.orgTo leave a review - Open Finish Strong on the Apple Podcast app and scroll down until you see "Ratings & Reviews". There will be a link to click so that you can "Write A Review"FacebookYouTubeInstagram

Uncertainty is a part of life, but that doesn't mean it's easy to sit with. In this episode, we're talking about the uncertainty that shows up in relationships, career, and life and what happens when our nervous system doesn't know how to handle the unknown. We explore how uncertainty can live in the body, impact the way we connect with the people we love, and lead us to seek control or certainty when what we really need is the capacity to be with what we don't know. Because sometimes the work isn't finding the answer, it's learning to trust yourself while you wait for it.   Ready to do the work and go deeper in your own healing? Book a consultation call with us or find Dave's course here: Dave: https://stan.store/davemartinell Shiv: https://calendly.com/siobhanmartinell/30min   ⟡ Instagram:   / https://www.instagram.com/allofyoupodcast/ ⟡ TikTok:   / https://www.tiktok.com/@allofyoupodcast ⟡ Email: Hello@allofyoupodcast.com

Send us Fan MailDanny Murawinski built Exit Built from a laptop, sold equity to a trade association instead of a VC, then hired his own replacement as CEO. In this episode he walks through the mindset behind two companies, the hardest year of his life, and how he's building advertising audiences at scale with his new company, Allora Labs.What You'll Learn:How Danny landed a defensible company valuation without a "magic formula"Why he turned down five acquisition offers before taking the right investmentThe moment that led him to hire a CEO and fire himself from day-to-day operationsWhat Allora Labs actually does with privacy-safe advertising audiencesThe rock-bottom story behind his "extreme ownership" mindsetAbout Danny: Danny Murawinski is the founder of Exit Built and founder/CEO of Allora Labs, building privacy-compliant advertising audiences for brands across Meta, LinkedIn, X, and Connected TV. (Bio assembled from transcript + public sources — flagged below, please confirm.)Links:Exit Built: https://exitbuilt.com/Allora Labs: https://alloralab.com/Palm Harbor Local newsletter: [link]Enjoyed this one? Subscribe, leave a review, and share it with someone building something hard right now.Show sponsored by Valley Bank — www.valley.comStroll through the laid-back streets of the Palm Harbor community with this informative podcast, proudly brought to you by Donnie Hathaway with The Hathaway Group, your trusted guide and local expert in navigating the diverse and ever-changing property landscape of Palm Harbor. Work with me + FREE Resources Would you like help buying a home in Palm Harbor? - Buyer ConsultationWould you like help selling your house in Palm Harbor? - Seller Marketing ConsultationDownload our free buyer's guide today - Buyer's Guide

Class is back in session for more than 300,000 CPS students. Mayor Brandon Johnson and CPS CEO Macqueline King celebrated their return at Leland Elementary, where staff literally rolled out the red carpet for students. The new year comes as Johnson is pushing the state to give the district another $150M that the Chicago Board of Education has factored into its budget.

Spouting Off with Karen Kataline Porcelli and Kataline 7-30-26 FINAL Accountability, Culture Wars, Iran, and the Voices That Reach Us Summary Fauci, Pardons, and Accountability The conversation opens with Vic Porcelli, Ken Williams, and Karen Kataline discussing Anthony Fauci, recent questioning, and whether he might face meaningful accountability. Kataline argues that Fauci's use of the Fifth Amendment, the scope of a presidential pardon, and questions surrounding authorization of an autopen pardon deserve further scrutiny. She describes Fauci in extremely condemnatory terms and compares his conduct to historical medical experimentation, while Ken expresses pessimism that any consequences will ultimately follow. Kataline pushes back against giving up entirely and says she hopes multiple investigations and disclosures will eventually become impossible for the public to ignore. The hosts also joke about media treatment of Fauci and play a montage of earlier broadcast voices praising his candor and service. Throughout this section, claims about criminality, pardons, and medical wrongdoing are opinions and allegations made by the speakers, not independently established facts within the transcript. Gain-of-Function, COVID, and Institutional Distrust The discussion then turns to gain-of-function research, COVID-19, testing, vaccines, pharmaceutical companies, and the speakers' distrust of institutions that shaped the pandemic response. Vic says he does not pretend to fully understand gain-of-function research and questions the logic of altering viruses in ways that could make them transmissible to humans. Ken and Karen discuss their understanding of the term and speculate about motives, laboratory research, and whether financial incentives influenced decisions. Pfizer, testing, vaccines, and Fauci's prior statements are all discussed critically, with the speakers arguing that important questions remain unanswered. Kataline broadens the subject into a larger political argument, portraying pandemic policies and ideological conformity as part of an attack on American freedom. The conversation later returns to masking, where she describes forced face coverings as symbols of submission and connects that reaction to her wider concerns about political and cultural control. Sophie Cunningham, Caitlin Clark, and WNBA Culture A second major segment focuses on Sophie Cunningham, Caitlin Clark, and growing interest in the WNBA. Kataline praises Cunningham's toughness, athletic ability, background at the University of Missouri, and public comments about sex and sports. She says she has become much more interested in women's basketball and now records games so she does not miss them. The speakers discuss Cunningham's defense of Caitlin Clark, protests around a Seattle game, and the hostile treatment they believe both players have received. They interpret some of the conflict through a racial and cultural lens, arguing that resentment of successful white athletes reflects a broader increase in racial hostility. The conversation also includes lighter basketball banter about Larry Bird, Tyrese Haliburton, unusually tall players, and Robert Wadlow of Alton. Iran, Israel, and Political Strategy The hosts and Kataline next discuss Iran, Israel, J.D. Vance, Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, and possible political strategy leading into the midterm elections. Kataline says she was concerned by earlier criticism of Israel but wonders whether some public positioning might be part of a larger strategy involving Iran and Gulf states. The participants repeatedly acknowledge that they are speculating about Trump's plans, timing, military threats, diplomacy, and the possibility of Iranian surrender. Kataline is highly pessimistic that Iran's leadership will deal honestly with the West and refers to religious beliefs about martyrdom and the Twelve Imams. The segment then shifts to a Boy George song supporting Israel and Jewish people, which deeply moves Kataline. She expresses gratitude toward non-Jews who support Israel and describes Jewish people as "canaries in the mineshaft" whose treatment can foreshadow wider dangers. Islam, Communism, Sharia, and Cultural Conflict In a later segment, the group discusses a social-media post claiming that Islam and communism have been among history's most destructive ideological forces. Kataline argues that leftist politics, communism, and Islamist movements can temporarily cooperate because each sees the other as useful in weakening existing institutions. The hosts play an audio clip from an Iranian political refugee in Canada who says he has lived under Islamic law and fears growing accommodation of Islamist demands. Kataline extends the discussion to refugees from communist countries who recognize political patterns they believe resemble the systems they escaped. The group also discusses hijabs, burqas, Sharia law, and masking, framing compulsory covering as a loss of identity or a symbol of submission. These broad claims about religions, ideologies, political parties, and social groups are the speakers' own interpretations and are preserved as such rather than presented as neutral conclusions. Health, Uncertainty, and the Butterfly Effect Amid the political discussion, Vic describes a recent headache and elevated blood pressure, saying his wife checked him and that he contacted his doctor and oncologist. Karen urges him not to be macho about medical symptoms and to seek professional attention. A subsequent discussion of a reported death becomes a broader point about how quickly people adopt conspiracy theories before reliable information is available, with both Vic and Karen defending the value of simply saying, "I don't know," when facts are uncertain. The episode then closes on a personal reflection prompted by Good Morning, Vietnam and Robin Williams' portrayal of radio broadcaster Adrian Cronauer entertaining American servicemen. Vic becomes emotional describing the moment when the broadcaster realizes how much his voice means to soldiers who may never return home, connecting it to the uncertainty radio hosts often feel about whether anyone is truly affected by what they say. Karen tells him that meaningful work can touch people even when the person doing it never sees the reaction, while Vic contrasts radio with his earlier work as a cake artist, where customers' responses were immediate. Kataline invokes the "butterfly effect" as a metaphor for the unseen influence of words, ending the conversation with appreciation for the ways people can affect and change one another for the better.

Welcome to episode #1050 of Thinking With Mitch Joel (formerly Six Pixels of Separation). Fredric Marshall has spent decades helping people navigate change. An entrepreneur, investor in AI startups, CEO of Quantum Learning, and advisor on leadership and transformation, he has watched multiple waves of technological disruption unfold from the inside. His latest book, Thrive - The Antidote to Future Shock, revisits Alvin Toffler's famous concept of "future shock" and argues that today's anxiety isn't a personal failing... it's the predictable result of living through an era where change, information, and technological progress are arriving faster than most people can absorb. In this episode, Fred explores why the conversation about AI has become so emotionally charged, why younger generations feel a profound sense of uncertainty about their future, and why the real challenge isn't learning new tools... it's learning to direct our attention with intention. He explains why thriving requires more than technical skills, discussing the importance of agency, relationships, health, systems, and managing the growing tension between our digital and physical lives. The conversation also examines evidence-based optimism, the cultural backlash against AI, leadership in an era of disruption, and whether the pursuit of endless growth has reached its limits. Fred makes the case that while artificial intelligence will radically reshape work, the future belongs to people who can simplify complexity, think clearly, and consciously choose where to invest their attention. It's a thoughtful discussion about resilience, technology, and building a life that doesn't just survive change... but flourishes because of it. Enjoy the conversation... Running time: 59:29. Hello from beautiful Montreal. Listen and subscribe over at Apple Podcasts. Listen and subscribe over at Spotify. Please visit and leave comments on the blog - Thinking With Mitch Joel. Feel free to connect to me directly on LinkedIn. Check out ThinkersOne. Here is my conversation with Fredric Marshall. Thrive - The Antidote to Future Shock. Quantum Learnin. Follow Fred on Instagram. Follow Fred on LinkedIn. Chapters: (00:00) - Introduction to Future Shock. (05:57) - The Impact of Technology on Work and Life. (08:48) - The Concept of Thriving vs. Surviving. (12:04) - The Role of AI and Economic Disruption. (15:14) - Navigating the Digital Layer and Social Media. (18:09) - The Future of Work and Community. (20:56) - Addressing Youth Concerns and Uncertainty. (24:03) - The Balance of Digital and Analog Life. (26:51) - The Quest for Enough in a Technological World. (29:52) - The Madness of Constant Growth. (30:41) - Evidence-Based Optimism and Humanity's Response. (31:34) - Historical Progress and Modern Stressors. (33:10) - Dialing in Life: Eight Key Areas for Thriving. (36:09) - Understanding Agency in a Complex World. (39:51) - The Role of Environment in Personal Growth. (40:48) - Leadership in a Changing Landscape. (43:22) - Future Readiness and Cultural Shifts. (46:52) - Youth Perspectives on Agency and Change. (50:42) - Balancing Humanity and Efficiency in the Future. (57:41) - The Importance of Attention and Time Management.

Hello Beautiful, I'm so grateful you're here with me. There are days when the weight of the world feels impossible to ignore. This meditation offers a compassionate place to breathe, soften your heart, and reconnect with the calm that remains even during difficult times. Perfect for anxiety relief, emotional resilience, stress management, mindfulness, grounding, and inner peace. Love,

In this Huberman Lab Essentials episode, my guest Rick Rubin, world-renowned music producer and author of The Creative Act: A Way of Being, and I discuss how to access creativity by noticing ideas, trusting your taste and staying fully present with the work. Rick explains the phases of the creative process and how focus, disengagement, self-doubt, deadlines and meditation can support original work. We also explore perception, pro wrestling and why remaining open to uncertainty can help anyone create more authentically. Thank you to our sponsors AG1: https://drinkag1.com/huberman LMNT: https://drinklmnt.com/huberman Timestamps (00:00:00) Rick Rubin & Creativity (00:00:23) Creativity as a Dream or Cloud (00:01:53) Childhood, Openness & Originality (00:03:29) Trust Your Taste; Experiment, Don't Over-Explain (00:05:28) Announcement: Protocols Live Events (00:07:07) Creative Aperture & New Perspectives (00:07:48) External Feedback & Staying True to the Work (00:09:14) Finishing Creative Projects (00:10:35) Focus, Disengagement & the Subconscious (00:13:15) Sponsor: LMNT (00:15:04) Perception, Storytelling & Uncertainty (00:17:38) Pro Wrestling, Playfulness & Reality (00:18:59) Morning Routine & Receptivity (00:19:50) Four Phases of Creative Work; Deadlines (00:24:47) Sponsor: AG1 (00:26:08) Self-Doubt as a Creative Tool (00:27:05) Capturing Real Moments; Authenticity (00:28:10) Routines, Advice & Staying Open (00:29:45) Look for Clues; Belief & Attention (00:32:01) Staying Present in the Work (00:32:44) Meditation: Mantra, Breath & Awareness (00:34:42) Monroe Institute Surgical Support Series Disclaimer & Disclosures Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

One of the paradoxes of science is that it seeks objectively true understanding of the world, but its methodology is driven by ignorance, failure, and uncertainty. Some phenomena we understand pretty well, but interesting research happens at the boundary of what we do and don't know. And there is no foolproof algorithm for moving in the right direction; we need to make conjectures and test them against the world. Biologist Stuart Firestein has been advocating for a better public understanding of the true methods of science, most recently in his new book It Could Be Otherwise: Science In the Age of Uncertainty. Stop piecing your software together. Go to Odoo.com/mindscape to learn more. #ad Mindscape listeners can try StatsKey Pro free for one month with code MINDSCAPE. After that, it's $4.99 per month unless canceled. #ad Blog post with transcript: https://preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2026/08/17/364-stuart-firestein-on-how-science-relies-on-ignorance-and-failure/ Support Mindscape on Patreon(opens in new tab). Stuart Firestein received his Ph.D. in neurobiology from the University of California, Berkeley. He is currently Professor of Neuroscience at in the Department of Biological Sciences at Columbia University, and Fractal Faculty at the Santa Fe Institute. He is a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the Sloan Foundation, and the Guggenheim Foundation. His research studies cellular mechanisms of signal transduction and olfaction. His previous books include Ignorance: How It Drives Science and Failure: Why Science Is So Successful. Columbia web page Google Scholar publications Amazon author page Wikipedia