Democrises

Sociobiologist and futurist Rebecca Costa worked in Silicon Valley for four decades at the cutting edge of technology before moving on to study why civilizations collapse. Her books describe a grave concern for our modern world: that when societies become too complex for average people, they abandon rational solutions in favor of irrational and unproductive beliefs. We discuss how technology like artificial intelligence may be the key to avoiding a collapse, or at least a radical correction. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

A Type-I civilization is a planetary civilization that harnesses enough energy from its parent star to achieve sustainability. We discuss the energy requirements to achieve Type-I status on Earth, and it's not as much as you think. After some astronomy, philosophy, and history, we show how the three global Democrises must be overcome in the next few decades if we are to achieve Type-I status. The fact that we haven't detected any signs of intelligent life in the universe -- any Type-I or Type-II civilizations -- ominously suggests that the nature of intelligent life may be to destroy itself. But we can chart a different course. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Our nation and world are in crisis, far more than we care to admit. Our problems are accelerating, and our institutions are not performing up to the task. Just because we have the world's best car (and do we?), we have obvious defects that we must improve. In our season finale, we present institutional solutions to solve gerrymandering, campaign finance, and electoral reform. We tell the story of New Zealand, which overcome minority rule by a brash right-wing populist, through maturely pursuing electoral reform. It won't be easy, but that doesn't mean it's impossible. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Financial Times columnist Ed Luce wrote in 2012 that the hollowing out of the American middle class meant that America's trajectory was worse than it looked. He recognized "America First" in the Tea Party. Now, he notes that the "Latin-Americanization" of the American economy (widening inequality) has led to the election of a Latin-American style populist. We examine reasons that things have gotten so much harder in the last 30 years in America, and invoke lessons from Britain, France, and Germany. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Tribalism has mortally afflicted humanity since tribes evolved eons ago, and today it threatens to tear down many nations. We know why we’re tribal, but how do we solve it, aside from civil war? William Shakespeare offers one solution. John Nash offers another. General Petraeus offered a third. Let’s put them all into one theory. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Why was Ronald Reagan as successful as FDR, Lincoln, and Andrew Jackson? Why was George W Bush such a divider like James K Polk, Lyndon B Johnson, and John Adams? How is Trump like Carter, Hoover, Pierce, and Quincy Adams? This episode traces the famous theory of Yale Professor Stephen Skowronek, about how political ideologies have risen and collapsed in American political history. Skowronek’s theory, first published in 1992, predicted many of the challenges experienced by all Presidents since then: Clinton’s impeachment, Bush’s “dubious wars,” Obama’s Tea Party Backlash and Trump’s absurdity. The theory also predicts what comes next. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Teddy Roosevelt and John McCain were both war heroes, beloved by media elites, named after their father, and of the same military rank. Each maverick abhorred the Democrats’ growing fondness for socialism, and revered the Republican giants of old. However, he found he not only had to fight bad ideas from Democrats; a majority of his own party was also inflexibly infatuated with outdated ideologies. What can the parallel insurgencies of Teddy Roosevelt and John McCain against their GOP establishments teach us about standing up to bad Republicans today? See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Rob Cohen gives his thoughts on the 2018 Midterms and weighs in on solutions to fix the US Senate. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Every vote tells a story about the person who cast it, and about his or her country. In the past and in the present, people keep having to overcome obstacles in order participate in democracy. In a world growing skeptical, what does one vote mean to the people who cast it? Lawyer Christine Woodhouse, director of the film One Vote, discusses her film and what it taught her about the many intrinsic values in the vote. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Dr. Brennan bravely proposed in August of 2016 – before the election – that our democracy was failing us because of fundamental flaws. While a fan of democracy, he’s also a critic, and wants to find ways to fix what’s broken in our system while keeping what’s good. We discuss his theory as well as his proposal: epistocracy. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Churchill said “Democracy is the worst form of government except for all those other forms.” Is he right? This episode begins with the rise of Athenian Democracy…and what became of it when demagogues started to arise. Other great philosophers, such as Plato, Kant, and Hamilton, weigh in on whether current American democracy is the best we can do. We examine the great variation in “democracies” today, from Russia to America to Venezuela, and discover that it is the details of democracy that make all the difference. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Dr. Turchin is one of the world’s foremost researchers on the question of why empires rise and fall. We featured some of his research in episode 1. He has authored 5 books and hundreds of scientific articles on the subject, including a prediction in 2010 that the United States was on a dangerous path to widespread political violence by 2020. We discuss his fascinating and important research, including the 10% of historical cases where societies recognized their danger and woke up in time, and how to do that today. He’s got some actionable solutions. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Civilizations die by suicide, not murder. That’s what almost every historian who has studied the topic has concluded. The paths of societal decline are often similar, including poor governance decisions, overpopulation, and breakdown of societal trust. Today, these factors afflict both America and the world, and we call them Democrises: Democracy, Demography, and Demoralization. This episode begins with the fall of Qing Dynasty China in the 19th century, and proceeds to examine many other civilizations that followed or are following the same path… See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Coming November 1st.... A new podcast from Rob Cohen and Goat Rodeo. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.