Podcasts about midterm elections

The GOP is hopeful for a win in the upcoming midterm elections with many factors contributing to that end. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We've been talking about inflation going up and the higher cost of everything making it harder and harder on everyday Americans. And with the midterms well underway -- at least the primaries -- how might this increased inflation affect voters' decisions? Let's break down these new inflation numbers and their effects with our friend Robert Spendlove, senior economist at Zions Bank.

AP's Lisa Dwyer reports Republicans are getting an edge up in Florida.

Mid-Term Elections Effect on Stock Market - Join Certified Financial Planners Greg Cooley and Bubba Labas on another episode of Advisors' RoundTable!

Danica Roem  joins our host Brian Karem to discuss Virginia's redistricting, the impact of court decisions, and the broader implications for democracy and upcoming elections. She emphasizes the importance of voter turnout, strategic campaigning, and the need for electoral reforms like ranked choice voting.   Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/JATQPodcast Follow us on BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/jatqpodcast.bsky.social Intragram: https://www.instagram.com/jatqpodcast Youtube:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCET7k2_Y9P9Fz0MZRARGqVw This Show is Available Ad-Free And Early For Patreon supporters here: https://www.patreon.com/justaskthequestionpodcast Purchase Brian's book "Free The Press"    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

America's political map is being redrawn—and the battle for power is heating up.Tonight, we're joined by Political & Legal Analyst Dr. Eric Claville to break down the growing redistricting fights happening across the country, including the recent Virginia Supreme Court decision that struck down efforts to change the Commonwealth's congressional map process. What does it mean for representation, political power, and the future of elections?We'll also discuss the rapidly approaching 2026 Midterm Elections, which party has the momentum, and how these political battles could shape control of Congress for years to come. Plus, with potential contenders already making moves, we'll look ahead to the 2028 Presidential Election and explore who may emerge as the next major players in the race for the White House.From courtrooms to campaign trails, this is a conversation you don't want to miss.

Mollie Hemingway of The Federalist and Fox News Alito: The Justice Who Reshaped the Supreme Court and Restored the Constitution Rigged: How the Media, Big Tech, and the Democrats Seized Our Elections Justice on Trial: The Kavanaugh Confirmation and the Future of the Supreme Court Trump vs. the Media Mollie Hemingway’s Federalist ArticlesThe post The 2026 Midterm Elections – Mollie Hemingway, 6/2/26 (1532) first appeared on Issues, Etc..

Seth delves into the Democratic Party's recent controversies, from the congressional midterms to the party's stance on women's rights and the Jewish community. He also touches on the importance of a strong work ethic and the impact of technology on the job market. He highlights the party's issues with women's rights, including the recent scandal involving a Democratic senatorial candidate who was accused of sexting and blaming women for rape. He also discusses the party's stance on the Jewish community, including the recent controversy surrounding the removal of former mayor of New York Ed Koch's name from the Queensboro Bridge. A listener call-in question on the trustworthiness of conservative news commentators. The real problems behind some Democratic candidates in the 2026 Midterm Elections are being brushed over. We’re joined by Don Spini from Sun Valley Wealth. Producer David Doll fills in for Seth. Should the government be involved in promoting moral values?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The conversation covers various themes including election integrity, polling and midterm elections, the ongoing conflict with Iran, military strategy limitations due to Congress, the influence of propaganda and media, and cultural commentary on social issues.Thank you for supporting our sponsors that make The Dana Show possible…Byrnahttps://Byrna.com/DanaTrusted by law enforcement, security professionals, and everyday Americans—defend yourself and your family with Byrna.HumanNhttps://Humann.com/Dana*This partner has been on my show the LONGEST - show them your love, this product WORKS! Patriot Mobilehttp://PatriotMobile.com/DANAVisit online or call 972-PATRIOT and use promo code DANA for a free month of service.Native Path Grass Fed Collagenhttps://GetNativePath.com/DanaFor my special offer get up to 45% OFF. Try it risk-free with a 365-day money-back guarantee. Ghost Bedhttps://GhostBed.com/DANAGhostBed has the cooling luxury mattress you need for the best summer sleep. Use code DANA for the 10% off sitewide.Noble Goldhttps://NobleGoldInvestments.com/DanaIf you want to see how physical gold and silver could fit into your portfolio, download Noble Gold Investments FREE Wealth Protection Kit. Pocket HoseText DANA to 64000For a limited time, get two FREE gifts—a 360° rotating pocket pivot and thumb drive nozzle when you buy a new Pocket Hose Ballistic; just text DANA to 64000, message and data rates may apply.Fast Growing Treeshttp://fastgrowingtrees.com/Dana Get an additional 20% Percent Off Better Plants and Better Growing by using code DANA at checkout. Laundry Saucehttps://LaundrySauce.com/DanaUpgrade your laundry game with 20% off your entire order when you use code DANA.  Relief Factorhttps://www.ReliefFactor.comDeclare your independence from pain with Relief Factor—start the 3-Week QuickStart for just $19.95. Subscribe today and stay in the loop on all things news with The Dana Show. Follow us here for more daily clips, updates, and commentary:YoutubeFacebookInstagramXMore InfoWebsite

Joyce talks about how a growing number of Democrats are starting to focus their messaging on Israel and AIPAC instead of the affordability message. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Michael Smerconish is joined by political analyst Mark Halperin to unpack Ken Paxton's decisive Texas primary victory, what it means for the 2026 Senate landscape, and whether Democrats truly have a shot at a statewide breakthrough. They also discuss President Trump's calculus in backing Paxton, the challenges facing Democrat James Talarico, and the growing uncertainty surrounding U.S.-Iran relations. Original air date 29 May 2026. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Send us Fan MailWe're back with another Basic Bitch and we've got a lot to get off our chest! From the upcoming election on June 2nd, our new obsession for memory games, the return of the WNBA (GO VALKS!), and the reason for our newly dubbed "Jeff Hiller Day", this one is all about things that are bringing us joy...and a couple of things that are pissing us off (because, duh). Enjoy!For a nonprofit non-partisan California voter guide, CLICK HERE!For a list of Second Line Pleasure Club events, click here Support the showThanks for listening and for your support! We couldn't have won Best of the Bay Best Podcast in 2022 , 2023 , and 2024 without you!--Fight fascism. Shop small. Use cash. Fuck ice.--Support Bitch Talk here!Subscribe to our channel on YouTube for behind the scenes footage!Rate and review us wherever you listen to podcasts!Visit our website! www.bitchtalkpodcast.comFollow us on Instagram, Threads, and SubstackListen every Monday at 7 am on BFF.FM

A shocking case out of Chicago has reignited the debate over electronic monitoring and bail reform. In April, Alphanso Talley - a repeat offender with multiple pending violent felony charges - was on electronic monitoring when he "allegedly" ambushed two police officers at Swedish Hospital, killing John Bartholomew, a 10-year veteran of the force. Talley had previously been released from custody over prosecutors' objections, despite what they described as clear evidence that he posed a danger to the community. He later violated the terms of his release, including missing curfews and disabling his monitoring device, yet remained at large until the violent chain of events that led to the officer's death. Ken W. Good, bail reform advocate, successful attorney, author of Good's on Bail, and Board of Directors of the Professional Bondsmen of Texas, is scheduled to join me to discuss how the case underscores the need for reform nationwide.Ron Edwards, host of The Ron Edwards American Experience, is scheduled to join me to discuss the latest in the ongoing Iran faceoff, how the midterms are taking shape, his expectations for how it will turn out, and more, as time allows.Professional Bondsmen of Texas: https://pbtx.com/Good's on Bail (a reference guide for Bondsmen in Texas): http://goodsonbail.com/Goods_on_Bail/Welcome.htmlRon Edwards: https://theronedwards.com/Become a supporter of Tapp into the Truth: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/tapp-into-the-truth--556114/supportAimee's Audios Subliminal Acoustic Fingerprinting: https://www.aimeesaudios.com/If recent events have proven anything, you need to be as prepared as possible for when things go sideways. You certainly can't count on the government for help. True liberty requires self-reliance. Let My Patriot Supply help you be prepared. My Patriot Supply: https://www.mypatriotsupply.com/?_ef_transaction_id=&oid=1&affid=84Support American jobs! Get great products! Some are now at wholesale prices. Go to My Pillow and use promo code TAPP to save! https://www.mypillow.com/tappVisit Patriot Mobile or Call (817) 380-9081 to take advantage of a FREE Month of service when you switch using promo code TAPP! https://patriotmobile.com/tappChuck Norris is no longer with us, but you can honor the man he was and be as active and healthy as he was until his passing. How? By adding Morning Kick to your daily routine. Morning Kick is a revolutionary new daily drink that combines ultra-potent greens like spirulina and kale with probiotics, prebiotics, collagen, and even ashwagandha. Plus, every purchase is backed by a 90-day money-back guarantee: https://chuckdefense.com/tapp"Remember Pop Rocks? Now, imagine they gave you superpowers."Please let me introduce you to Energy Rocks! Born from the grit and ambition of a competitive athlete who wanted a better, cleaner way to fuel the body and mind, without the hassle of mixing powders, messy bottles, or caffeine crashes. Energy Rocks is a reimagining of energy into something fun, functional, and fantastically effective. A delicious popping candy energy supplement that delivers a rapid boost of clean energy and focus — anytime, anywhere. No water. No mixing. No bulky bottles. Just open, pop it in your mouth, and get ready to rock. Making any time the right time to "Get in the Zone, One Pop at a Time." https://energyrocks.store/products/cherry-berry?sca_ref=8856032.9eONVDNSeb4ez73FFollow Tapp into the Truth on Locals Follow Tapp into the Truth on SubstackHero SoapBlue CoolersKoa CoffeeBrainMDDiamond CBDSauce Bae2nd SkullEinstokBeanstoxBelle IsleHoneyFund"Homegrown" Boone's BourbonBlackout Coffee Co.Full Circle Brewing Co.Pasmosa Sangria  

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BREAKING: Major Midterm Election Shake Up.

In this episode of the National Crawford Roundtable podcast the guys review the latest on the War with Iran. Is there a cease-fire or not? Is Iran playing Trump by dragging out the negotiations? If Iran doesn't open the Strait of Hormuz unconditionally, or turn over enriched Uranium, and Islamic Fundamentalist Fanatics retain power, should we conclude they won? The guys discuss the Senate GOP uprising over Trump's "Anti-Weaponization Fund." Why all of the GOP backlash? Why the hostility toward Trump? And the guys also talk about Trump's personal grievances--has he lost his way? With the clock ticking on the midterms, is there any time left for Trump to mend any fences or to increase his chances of hanging onto the House and Senate?

Guest Jim Pfaff, The Conservative Caucus, joins to recap elections from last night, actions from Congress, and setting up for the Midterm election season. Discussion of voter mindset, high gas prices, economic growth, and more.  Trump is 100% so far in primary endorsement election wins. Is that a sign of blindly following Trump, and a need from voters to see action done in DC? Discussion of Democrats doubling down on woke agenda, and showdown for midterms.  Trump holds cabinet meeting to discuss major wins over the past year. 

AP Washington correspondent Sagar Meghani reports President Trump says the pivotal midterm elections are not on his mind, as he deals with the Iran war.

05/27/26: Dr. Dan Hofrenning is a Professor of Political Science and Environmental Studies at St. Olaf College. His teaching focuses on American politics including campaigns and elections, environmental politics, and the intersection of religion and politics. He joins Tyler Axness on "News and Views" to break down some of the primary races and the impact on midterm elections. (Joel Heitkamp is a talk show host on the Mighty 790 KFGO in Fargo-Moorhead. His award-winning program, “News & Views,” can be heard weekdays from 8 – 11 a.m. Follow Joel on X/Twitter @JoelKFGO.)See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Strait of Hormuz remains shuttered, and the economic fallout of the 90-day Iran conflict is officially arriving on U.S. shores. With the midterm elections looming, the "wartime economy" has shifted from a theoretical threat to a primary reality. Former Deputy Chief of Staff to George W. Bush Karl Rove, FOX News Senior Political Analyst Juan Williams, and FOX News Senior White House Correspondent Peter Doocy join Bret to analyze the current state of negotiations and what the war's economic effects mean for the looming midterm elections. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Democrats are currently the best positioned for the midterm election the party has been to date.

Happy Memorial Weekend! Guest Drew Allen, author and host of the "Drew Allen Show" podcast, joins to recap week events with controvercial primaries, antisemetism, the divide in the MAGA movement, and upcoming midterm season. Are we ready to keep the left out of power, and are we still supporting the American values soldiers died to defend?  Democrats and media lash out after comments from Republicans on rights coming from God vs Government. Are we getting to the root of foundational differences between the two sides? Discussion of role of government, founding principles of the nation, and are we holiding up our end to preserve the ideas so many died to defend and keep in America?

With the Democrats' supposed strength for the 2026 Midterm Elections not appearing in the polls, Seth questions whether this is a sign of a wave or a loss. The conversation delves into the Democratic Party's stance on various issues, including its relationship with Israel and its handling of the party's internal divisions. Seth also touches on the recent release of the Democratic National Committee's (DNC) autopsy report, which was met with criticism from the party's chairman. This report, intended to provide guidance on how to win elections, surprisingly omits key issues like Israel and transgender rights. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s speech in Spanish for Cuban Independence Day. We're joined by Johnny Estes, Vice President of Operations of CMI Gold & Silver. Internet personality Candace Owens interviewed former President Biden’s controversy-riddled son Hunter, questioning him about the assassination of Turning Point USA Founder Charlie Kirk. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Following the Supreme Court ruling gutting the Voting Rights Act, Republicans have rushed to draw new congressional maps to maintain their grip on Congress.

Joyce talks about: A former federal prosecutor charged after emailing confidential DOJ records from Jack Smith's investigation into President Trump to herself.What's going on with the Save America Voting Rights Act.The Media's lies and sowing division. Class warfare What is a fair share?Cost of living leading to switches of political party. Ilhan Omar's comments on President Trump not attending his son's wedding. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Justin Filip joins the podcast to discuss the Midterm Election results for Lane County, Oregon.Justin Filip is the Pacific Green Party nominee for Congress in Oreon's 4th district.

"MIDTERM ELECTION VIRUS" Dr Ardis joins Silk to have an open discussion. Post your questions below! Tonight at 10pm ET on Lindell TV. #DiamondandSilk http://DiamondandSilkMedia.com Use Promo Code: DIAMOND or TRUMPWON 1. http://DiamondandSilkStore.com2. https://thedrardisshow.com/shop-all/?aff=123. http://PatchThat.com4. https://cardiomiracle.com/?ref=DIAMOND5. https://MyPillow.com/TrumpWon6. https://DrStellaMD.com7. https://www.Curativabay.com/?aff=18. http://MaskDerma.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

State legislatures have a lot of power in America—the States Project focuses on expanding that. Daniel Squadron explains. His new book is The Fourth Branch: How State Government can Save Our Union.Also: this week's polls and this week's primaries have nothing but bad news for Trump and his followers.John Nichols has our analysis.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

President Trump continues reshaping the Republican Party as another Trump-backed challenger defeats an incumbent Republican in a high-profile primary battle. Todd explains what Thomas Massie's loss means for the future of the GOP, why the establishment still misunderstands Trump's political influence, and how conservatives are fighting for control of the Republican Party ahead of the 2026 midterms. Todd also reacts to MSNBC's Katy Tur questioning whether America's rights truly come from God, unpacking the Declaration of Independence, America's founding principles, and the spiritual battle shaping today's political divide. Plus: South Carolina redistricting updates, Senate races, and the growing political consequences for Republicans who oppose Trump's agenda.

Joyce talks about Government spending and restoring government fiscal responsibility. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Guest Mike Lebowitz, fmr Guantanamo Bay Prosecutor and author "Second Wave", joins to discuss ongoing terror threats to the US, security concerns, and more. What is the mindset and the motive of terrorists around the world? Discussion of potential vulnerabilities in our security, threats of Iran, and more.  Recap primary elections in Kentucky. Will we see a divide in the Republican party after such an emotionally driven primary? Discussion of being productive in Congress, fighting for an agenda, and properly representing your district. How do we unite to push back against he socialist party in November?

State legislatures have a lot of power in America—the States Project focuses on expanding that. Daniel Squadron explains. His new book is The Fourth Branch: How State Government can Save Our Union.Also: this week's polls and this week's primaries have nothing but bad news for Trump and his followers. John Nichols has our analysis.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

President Trump continues reshaping the Republican Party as another Trump-backed challenger defeats an incumbent Republican in a high-profile primary battle. Todd explains what Thomas Massie's loss means for the future of the GOP, why the establishment still misunderstands Trump's political influence, and how conservatives are fighting for control of the Republican Party ahead of the 2026 midterms. Todd also reacts to MSNBC's Katy Tur questioning whether America's rights truly come from God, unpacking the Declaration of Independence, America's founding principles, and the spiritual battle shaping today's political divide. Plus: South Carolina redistricting updates, Senate races, and the growing political consequences for Republicans who oppose Trump's agenda.

If the president can stick the landing in Iran quickly from here and laser focuses on affordability issues at home – there's still a little time to move the political needle based on history. But should that not occur, this cycle is now starting to pace into blue wave territory – and not because Americans at large want Democrats, because they don't.

A new New York Times/Siena College poll shows President Donald Trump facing growing backlash over the war with Iran, with voters increasingly concerned about rising gas prices and the broader economy. The poll also highlights continuing dissatisfaction with both major political parties ahead of the midterm elections. Subscribe to our newsletter to stay informed with the latest news from a leading Black-owned & controlled media company: https://aurn.com/newsletter Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The generic ballot still shows a six-point Democratic advantage. Since early last year, Democrats have outperformed Kamala Harris's 2024 numbers by 13 to 15 points across 32 special elections. Republican enthusiasm is low, the party is divided, and Donald Trump is not on the ballot this fall. Trump's approval on the economy, inflation, and immigration is worse than Joe Biden's numbers were at their lowest. The Iran war is historically unpopular, and with the Strait of Hormuz still closed, the worst economic pain — including potentially $10-per-gallon gas in California — has not yet hit. Eighty percent of Americans, in a strongly bipartisan poll, blame Trump and the Iran war for rising prices. That economic pain is expected to peak right before the midterms. On the gerrymandering front, Texas redrew its map to gain seats — but three of those new districts are heavily Hispanic and Latino, populations that shifted toward Trump in 2024. Those gains may evaporate, potentially turning into Democratic pickups. Hawk also speaks honestly about the racial dimension of these court decisions, reflecting on the experience of Black Americans who are not surprised by any of this — and what it means that the crowning achievement of the Civil Rights era has effectively been dismantled, rendering the votes of 26 million Black Americans in the South nearly meaningless. SUPPORT & CONNECT WITH HAWK- Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/mdg650hawk - Hawk's Merch Store: https://hawkmerchstore.com - Connect on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@mdg650hawk7thacct - Connect on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hawkeyewhackamole - Connect on BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/mdg650hawk.bsky.social - Connect on Substack: https://mdg650hawk.substack.com - Connect on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/hawkpodcasts - Connect on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mdg650hawk - Connect on Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/mdg650hawk ALL HAWK PODCASTS INFO- Additional Content Available Here: https://www.hawkpodcasts.comhttps://www.youtube.com/@hawkpodcasts- Listen to Hawk Podcasts On Your Favorite Platform:Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3RWeJfyApple Podcasts: https://apple.co/422GDuLYouTube: https://youtube.com/@hawkpodcastsiHeartRadio: https://ihr.fm/47vVBdPPandora: https://bit.ly/48COaTB

George Khalaf, Republican candidate for the Arizona House of Representatives from Legislative District 3, start the show off with Seth discussing the latest polling data on candidates for the 2028 Presidential Election. They also touch on the 2026 Midterm Elections, redistricting, and the current state of the Republican Party. George shares his thoughts on the unpopularity of President Trump and the economy, and how it's affecting the Democrats' chances in the coming midterms. He also discusses the importance of independence in Arizona and how it's a crucial factor in the upcoming elections. The conversation also takes a turn into the world of technology and the human condition and how humans are becoming increasingly like robots. Seth and George also discuss the importance of faith and how it's being used as a tool by some politicians to win over voters. Get involved in his campaign today at georgekhalaf.com. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In a world of Epstein files, voter suppression and mansplaining lawmakers, Congresswoman Pramila Jayapal is a breath of fearless fresh air. She sits down with Brittany Packnett Cunningham to talk about everything from why the files matter to why some politicians still refuse to grasp the urgency of this political moment. Plus, Brittany links up with David Johns for a group chat on this Saturday's historic voting rights rallies in Selma and Montgomery, as well as why some people are confused about exactly where the South is. For more information on how to join this Saturday's All Roads Lead to the South National Day of Action for Voting Rights: https://blackpowerwarroom.com/dayofaction/  

The U.S. Supreme Court has, in the words of the Native American Rights Fund, diluted Native Americans' “ability to secure good schools, adequate infrastructure, health care access, environmental protections, and economic opportunity.” Louisiana is moving fast to redraw voting districts to further minimize the political power of Native Americans and other minorities. Other states are preparing similar changes. The High Court's recent invalidation of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act follows the 2013 decision striking down the Act's Section 5. That eliminates the most powerful tools Native voters had in challenging the long history of demonstrated efforts to exclude Native voices from political dialogue. We'll examine the looming implications of the Court's decisions and examine the strategies Native voting advocates have going forward. We'll also discuss some important indicators for Native candidates in pivotal races, including the potential for history to be made in the upcoming Midterm Elections. GUESTS Patty Ferguson-Bohnee (Pointe-au-Chien), professor of law at Arizona State University and Native Vote Election Protection coordinator for the State of Arizona Torey Dolan (Choctaw), assistant professor of law at the University of Wisconsin Law School Samantha Blencke, senior staff attorney with the Native American Rights Fund Mark Trahant (Shoshone-Bannock), journalist and former editor of ICT Marjorie Childress, managing editor of New Mexico In Depth Break 1 Music: Fool's Paradise (song) Samantha Crain (artist) Gumshoe (album) Break 2 Music: Fearless I Live (song) Courtney Yellow Fat (artist) The Lost Songs of Sitting Bull (album)

Tara breaks down stronger-than-expected jobs data, rising wages, and bold predictions of a political and economic shakeup heading into the midterms. HOOK The economy is “smoking hot” heading into fall — at least according to new jobs numbers and top political voices. Tara says the data signals a major shift, and some insiders are predicting a political earthquake ahead. DESCRIPTION Today's AMPERWAVE DAILY dives into fresh economic data showing U.S. job growth beating expectations, with payrolls rising by 115,000 and wage growth holding steady at 4.4%. Tara and Lee break down claims that the economy is rebounding after years of wage stagnation and inflation pressures tied to federal spending and monetary policy under President Joe Biden. The episode also highlights commentary from economic voices like Larry Kudlow and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who argue the economy and political landscape are shifting rapidly ahead of the next election cycle. Tara also discusses broader debates over wages, inflation, purchasing power, and how recent policy shifts under President Donald Trump may be impacting economic momentum and voter sentiment heading into the midterms. KEY TOPICS Stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report Wage growth and purchasing power trends Inflation vs. earnings debate ADP employment data and revisions Economic comparison: Biden vs. Trump eras Midterm election predictions Newt Gingrich forecast of GOP gains Larry Kudlow on economic acceleration Federal Reserve / inflation policy implications SEGMENTS SEGMENT 1 — “Jobs Report Shock” Tara opens with the latest employment data showing 115,000 new jobs added, with unemployment steady at 4.3%. The discussion focuses on why economists were caught off guard and what the numbers suggest about underlying labor market strength. SEGMENT 2 — “Wages vs. Inflation Battle” The conversation turns to wage growth at 4.4% and debates over inflation's impact on purchasing power. Tara argues that rising wages may be slowly offsetting earlier inflation pressures tied to government spending policies. SEGMENT 3 — “Economic Policy Showdown” The hosts compare current economic trends with previous years under President Joe Biden and discuss claims that earlier monetary expansion contributed to inflation and wage stagnation concerns. SEGMENT 4 — “Midterm Earthquake Predictions” Political heavyweight commentary from Larry Kudlow and Newt Gingrich fuels speculation that Republicans could see significant gains if current economic momentum continues into the election cycle under President Donald Trump. QUOTE OF THE DAY “You could see the economy is going to be smoking by this fall.” SOCIAL MEDIA TEASER

Trump's second term was supposed to be the reset: less chaos, fewer neocons, and a renewed focus on problems at home. Instead, we're watching an Iran conflict spiral while the administration sells the public a fantasy of easy wins and controlled escalation. I'm joined again by Dave Smith from Part of the Problem to revisit the 2024 election hangover and the uncomfortable question hanging over the right: was backing Trump a strategic mistake? We talk through what a Harris presidency might have meant for censorship, the border, regulation, and war, then pivot to what's undeniable now: the incentives around Trump have changed, and his decision-making looks driven by perception and ego more than principle. From there we get into the real stakes of the Iran war, including why “regime change by air” is a long-shot story, how the Strait of Hormuz turns foreign policy into immediate pain at the pump, and why ending the war could still look like historic humiliation. We also connect the dots to the midterms, Democratic messaging on Gaza and Israel, rising calls for tech censorship against antiwar voices, and the baffling White House security incident that kicked off a wave of conspiracy talk. If you want clear-eyed political analysis that doesn't treat propaganda as news, hit play. Subscribe, share this with a friend, and leave a review so more people can find the show.

13/16: Thaddeus McCotter analyzes how high gasoline prices and economic disruptions from the Iran conflict influence midterm elections. He notes that while minority parties usually have messaging advantages, the lack of clear strategic military objectives and persistent inflation create significant uncertainty for American voters and global markets.

Donald Trump's corruption and greed have reached a tipping point with the American public to become a campaign focus for many Democratic candidates. Ben Rhodes, former deputy national security advisor to President Obama, talks with Jen Psaki about the politics and also how Democrats can ensure justice is served as Trump's protective power slips. Donald Trump using his position in the White House to enrich himself and cut deals with taxpayer money for countries and corporations that do him favors is an enduring feature of Trump's corrupt presidency. Jen Psaki and former Obama deputy national security advisor Ben Rhodes discuss the contrast between Trump's greed and the struggles Americans are facing in Trump's mismanaged economy. Former Senator Doug Jones, who is running to be governor of Alabama, talks with Jen about the rush to redraw congressional districts in southern states after Donald Trump's Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act. And Rep. Robert Garcia discusses FCC chair Brendan Carr abusing his office to serve as Donald Trump's speech police. To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Jen Psaki looks at polling in key midterm Senate races that shows Democrats ahead, tied or within striking distance as Donald Trump's popularity continues to sag to new lows. Graham Platner, who essentially clinched the Democratic nomination for Senate from Maine when his opponent dropped out today, joins to discuss the grassroots energy behind his campaign and the significance of his race to eventual Democratic control of the Senate. "Any road to a Democratic Senate goes through the state of Maine," he says. Graham Platner, Democratic candidate for Senate from Maine, talks with Jen Psaki about the role Donald Trump plays in his race and with the voters he hopes to make his constituents, and discusses the posture Democrats should take to make the most of any political power they are able to attain in the midterm elections. J.P. Cooney, former federal prosecutor, talks with Jen about the Trump administration's bad faither prosecution of James Comey. Tennessee State Rep. Justin J. Pearson talks about defending voting right in the wake of the Supreme Court gutting the Voting Rights Act.   To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

A deep state Democrat has been arrested, and there may be more arrests coming. Jesse Kelly discusses his with House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, but not before an uncomfortable conversation about the communists and kids with Dr. Abby Johnson. Plus, Jesse Kelly discusses a HUGE Supreme Court decision.I'm Right with Jesse Kelly on The First TVChoq: Visit https://choq.com/jessetv for a 17.76% discount on your CHOQ subscription for lifePureTalk: Save on wireless with PureTalk visit https://PureTalk.com/JESSETVFollow The Jesse Kelly Show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheJesseKellyShowSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Still six months out, the U.S. midterm elections are likely to influence government initiatives to deal with higher energy costs. Our Head of Public Policy Research Ariana Salvatore and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter discuss how the Congress and the Fed might react.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Ariana Salvatore: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Ariana Salvatore, Head of Public Policy Research for Morgan Stanley.Seth Carpenter: And I'm Seth Carpenter, the firm's Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research.Ariana Salvatore: Today we're discussing the run up to the midterm elections and what it could mean for the macro outlook and policy response.It's Wednesday, April 29th at 10am in New York.Last week, Mike Zezas and I talked through the midterm elections and their potential consequences for the economy and markets. This week we figured it might be helpful to talk about the setup into November, especially as we're both increasingly being asked about the macro outlook and potential for targeted stimulus to offset the oil shock.So, Seth, let's start there. we know cost of living is a key issue in elections, and we've seen a pretty meaningful oil shock feed through markets. How are you thinking about that in the context of the broader economy?Seth Carpenter: Our U.S. economics team has estimated that the higher gas prices that we have now and likely to have for the rest of the year are going to be more than enough to offset any boost to consumer spending from the higher tax refunds this year. So, I think that's the first point.If you're expecting a boost to come through that channel, you probably want to unwind that. And In fact, overall, what we've done is lowered our forecast for U.S. growth by about three or four tenths of percentage point worth of growth this year because of the higher energy prices. So, it's a drag on spending, I think, no matter how you cut it.Ariana Salvatore: And that's not happening in isolation, right?Seth Carpenter: No, that's exactly right. That's exactly right. We've also got at least somewhat restrictive monetary policy layered on top. So, financial conditions are already a little bit tight and the oil price shock sort of amplifies that tightening by weighing on spending. That's going to be really important.I think an extra complication then is what does it do to inflation? For now, we don't think it's going to be that big of a deal. History says at least looking at the data that when energy prices go up, when oil prices go up, gasoline prices go up. It does boost headline inflation for sure, but the pass through to core inflation is pretty limited, and the effects tend to go away on their own without too much time.So, I think the real hit here is going to be from the higher costs acting like a drag on consumer spending.Ariana Salvatore: Right. And importantly, it's a very visible shock. Gasoline prices feed directly into how consumers and voters perceive the economy, which brings us into the political overlay as we approach the midterms…Seth Carpenter: Yeah, I think that's exactly right. And whenever we economists are thinking about inflation and prices and consumers, we think about exactly that – what we call salience, just how visible are these prices. And gasoline prices tend to be some of those prices that stick out in people's minds.So, if people are seeing it. And people are reacting to it, give me some idea of what the Congress can realistically do between now and the midterm elections.Ariana Salvatore: Well, I would say in theory there's a range of options. Direct stimulus, targeted transfers. We tend to frame affordability policies across five vectors: energy, healthcare, housing, consumer credit and trade policy. But in practice, the constraints are pretty binding right now and as we've been saying, tariff policy is really the only lever the president can pull easily to have a real impact on voters.Seth Carpenter: All right. So, you said constraints and constraints for the Congress. Can you walk us through what those constraints are?Ariana Salvatore: Sure. So, the first and most obvious is deficits. We're already running large fiscal deficits in the U.S., and I would say there's limited political appetite to expand them meaningfully from here in the near term, especially heading into an election.The second is procedure. If you want to pass something sizable, you're either looking at reconciliation, which requires political alignment in a number of procedural hurdles. Or bipartisan cooperation to get around the filibuster. Both seem difficult to us in this environment.Seth Carpenter: So my experience in Washington for a couple decades of working on policy is that when things are difficult, they tend to take more time. So how does the timing component of all of this matter, and how does it fit into the way that you're thinking about it?Ariana Salvatore: Timing is the third constraint. The legislative calendar in particular. What we see is as you get closer to midterms – really any election – the window for passing major legislation narrows pretty quickly. That's because lawmakers shift their focus toward campaigning, and the agenda itself just becomes more limited.And then to finish off the constraints, the fourth I would say is implementation. Even if something were to pass, there's a lag between legislation and the actual economic impact. Getting funds out the door, whether it's checks or programmatic spending, tends to take time.Seth Carpenter: Yeah, even well targeted policy might not hit the economy in time to have the desired effect before the election.Would you agree with that?Ariana Salvatore: Yeah, but for argument's sake, let's say we're wrong on that and Congress does manage to pass something. Maybe not a broad-based stimulus package, but let's say some form of targeted relief.From a macro perspective, what do you think would matter most? Is it the size of the package, how quickly it gets implemented, or which consumers are targeted?Seth Carpenter: Yeah, I'm going to have to say a little bit of all of the above. I mean, economic analysis really tends to show that tax cuts tend to simulate less than increased spending and transfers matter. But it matters to whom those transfers happen.So, I do think if we're aiming at the lower end of the income distribution, probably has a higher propensity to spend; and so, you're more likely to see more of those dollars getting spent and faster – if that's where it's going. The size of the package has to matter as well, because more money out probably means more money getting spent. But I will add, there are two caveats this time around that we probably need to take into consideration.First, with the increase in tax refunds that we've seen this year, survey suggests that households are using that money to pay down outstanding debt more than they would historically. And so, we might be in a situation because of the past couple of years of affordability issues where households are going to try to get ahead of things and pay down some of that debt. And as a result, maybe there's a more muted effect on spending.And second, we are living in a world right now where inflation is well above the Fed's target. So, if the extra stimulus leads to extra spending at a time when prices are already high, well, there's a chance we might give an extra boost to inflation and then the Fed would have to reconsider what it's doing on monetary policy.But you said Congress is probably constrained. So, let's shift then and ask, is there something that the president could do unilaterally with executive authority? And in particular, sometimes I get this question from clients, even if there's not clear, well-defined legal authority. We've seen something like that before with the tariff policy under the IEEPA authority. It was imposed and then later it was pulled back when it was judged by courts not to be the right authority.So, why wouldn't we think – the argument goes; why wouldn't we think that some sort of large scale maybe rebates or direct payments, could get deployed quickly, even if the, let's say, legal authority is a little bit murky?Ariana Salvatore: Yes, it's an interesting question, but I think there are a few important distinctions that make something like the administration sending out checks, for example, very different from tariff policy. First, fiscal transfers are much more clearly tied to congressional authority, legally speaking.Spending power, as you know, resides in Congress, and that's a pretty firm constitutional boundary. And importantly, even something like tax refunds, which can look like direct payments aren't discretionary. They're preauthorized in the tax code, and Treasury is just returning overpayments under a standing appropriation. So, there isn't really a comparable mechanism the administration could use to send out broad-based checks, for example, without new legislation.Now, trade authorities by contrast, have historically allowed for more executive flexibility, even if contested, like we saw with the IEEPA tariffs. Direct fiscal outlays are different. You generally need explicit appropriation. And then second, there's the operational side to all of this. Even if you were to set aside the legal questions, there isn't a standing mechanism for distributing very large sums of money quickly without legislative backing.Seth Carpenter: Fair enough. And if we stay in this totally hypothetical world, what would you imagine would be the timing of any legal challenges if they did happen?Ariana Salvatore: In a scenario like this, you'd likely see challenges fairly quickly and courts could intervene early in the process, potentially before funds are even fully dispersed. So, Seth, the idea that you could deploy something on a massive scale and only deal with the legal consequences much later is all the more uncertain.But Seth, let's stay with the upside risk scenario for a moment. If Congress did pass something targeted instead, where would you expect policymakers to focus? Can we talk through maybe energy rebates, child tax credits, SNAP or nutrition support… Or do you think something else aimed at the most rate sensitive or cost of living sensitive households might make more sense?Seth Carpenter: Yeah, I think you've laid out there a pretty rational strategy for trying to make things targeted for the people who are going to be feeling this affordability crunch the most. And so, the SNAP benefits, like you said, are nutrition support. That's lower income households, families with children, people who really are living paycheck to paycheck and noticing these higher prices.Energy subsidies or some sort of tax rebate – again, trying to target where the pain is most acute; the higher electricity prices, the higher gasoline prices that people are noticing, that people are feeling. I think all of that seems very plausible.I just want to flag though, that there is this possible hidden effect, which is the more these policies mask the higher cost, the economic pain from the higher energy prices – the more it allows people to keep spending despite the higher prices. And that spending with higher prices, well, that could easily lead to a tick up in inflation.That could lead to a change in the Fed's reaction function. And if it was strong enough, if growth picked up enough and inflation picked up from here, you could easily see the Fed hiking rates instead of cutting.Ariana Salvatore: So, in other words, even if the policy surprise is maybe good news for consumers in the near term, markets would still need to think through whether it extends the inflation problem or changes the expected rate path.Seth Carpenter: I think that is exactly right. I think this is very much a case where good news could be good news, but there are going to be lots of details.So maybe if we take a step back, we've got a constrained Congress, maybe limited scope for unilateral action and a macro backdrop because of inflation that's probably already under some pressure.Ariana Salvatore: Which means the key drivers heading into the midterms later this year are likely to remain the ones that are already in place: energy prices, monetary policy, and underlying growth dynamics rather than potential new fiscal stimulus.Seth Carpenter: And so that means for markets, focus needs to stay on the fundamentals.Ariana Salvatore: Exactly. Elections can shape the policy path at the margin, but the macro cycle is doing most of the heavy lifting here. And we think that's the case following the midterms as well. If you'd like more detail there, please go ahead and listen to our podcast from last week on this topic.Seth, thanks for taking the time to talk.Seth Carpenter: Ariana, thank you for inviting me. And for the listeners, thank you for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please share it with a friend or colleague today. And leave a review wherever you listen to podcasts.

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The Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz: The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed as a standoff persists between the US blockade and Iranian vessels. While Iran has the patience for a long conflict, the US is pressured by midterm elections and oil prices. Gulf states, particularly Saudi Arabia, are increasingly hawkish, urging the US to finish the job. Edmund Fitton Brown (15)1662

New testimony and documents reveal how key evidence tied to Jeffrey Epstein—including hard drives and explicit materials—was removed or left unsecured before investigators could obtain it, raising fresh questions about possible tip-offs and lost evidence - MK True Crime host Dave Aronberg weighs in.  As the Iran war drags on and gas prices surge,  Next Up host Mark Halperin breaks down what to expect in the Midterm elections related to Senate and House races.    Riverbend Ranch: Visit https://riverbendranch.com/ | Use promo code MEGYN for $20 off your first order.   Done with Debt: https://www.DoneWithDebt.com & tell them Megyn Kelly sent you! Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.