Weekly wrap up of the markets, analysis, weather, and guest interviews

Panelist- Greg Johnson, TGM Total Grain Marketing- Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing- Brian Stark, The AndersonsThe May 14 edition of Commodity Week, hosted by Todd Gleason, features panelists Greg Johnson, Chip Nellinger, and Brian Stark analyzing several critical agricultural market drivers. The panel extensively reviews the latest USDA WASDE report, highlighting a projected 3-million-acre reduction in corn plantings and emphasizing a slim margin for error in global crop supplies. They also note an unexpected decrease in total corn demand alongside an increase in soybean demand. Geopolitical tensions factor heavily into the market outlook, with the panel observing negative market reactions to the lack of immediate agricultural purchase agreements following recent US-China meetings, particularly as China currently relies on cheaper Brazilian soybeans. Additionally, they discuss the broader macroeconomic risks of crude oil hovering near $100 per barrel while markets await further clarity regarding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz.Shifting to domestic factors and producer strategies, the panelists advise farmers to capitalize on strong eastern cash basis levels and recent market rallies. Specifically, they suggest rewarding $12 soybean futures with sales, while indicating less urgency to sell $5 corn unless summer weather issues materialize. On the policy front, the House's passage of year-round E15 ethanol legislation is characterized as a long-term infrastructure development rather than an immediate demand shock. Finally, the panel observes that Midwest crop planting progress remains highly sporadic due to variable wet and dry weather conditions. ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists- Garrett Toay, AgTraderTalk.com- Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.comThe May 7 edition of Commodity Week features analysts Mike Zuzolo and Garrett Toay discussing current agricultural and energy market conditions. The panel notes that while recent rains have aided corn and soybean planting in parts of Kansas and Illinois, dry conditions have led to significant abandonment of hard red winter wheat in states like Kansas and Nebraska. The analysts draw parallels between tightening supplies in the wheat and crude oil markets, attributing the latter to macroeconomic factors such as geopolitical conflicts, military actions affecting Venezuelan and Iranian oil, and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. These structural uncertainties, alongside a pending meeting between Trump and Xi and the upcoming USDA WASDE report, are heavily influencing agricultural trade, particularly concerning Chinese demand for US soybeans and the influx of Brazilian beef. Given the high market volatility, both analysts advise producers to rely on paper positions rather than immediate cash sales. ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists- Ellen Dearden, AgReview- Logan Kimmel, Roach Ag- Arlan Suderman, StoneXThe April 30 broadcast of Commodity Week examines agricultural marketing strategies amid geopolitical and economic volatility. Panelists urge producers to utilize current market rallies to execute incremental grain sales for the 2026 and 2027 crop years. The market is currently heavily influenced by speculative fund investments maintaining long positions in grains and cattle, which elevates price floors but increases market volatility. Geopolitical factors, such as the ongoing Iranian war and high global energy costs, are driving inflation and creating long-term concerns regarding fertilizer supplies into 2027. Furthermore, anticipation of a mid-May summit between U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi suggests potential shifts in trade agreements, with China likely targeting imports of U.S. beef, pork, and wheat rather than soybeans, alongside complex negotiations regarding biofuel feedstocks and used cooking oil. ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelist- Brian Stark, AndersonsGrain.com- Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net- Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalGrainMarketing.com- Jim McCormick, AgMarket.netThe April 16 edition of Commodity Week, hosted by Todd Gleason, featured panelists Naomi Blohm, Greg Johnson, and Jim McCormick analyzing the current agricultural market landscape and the geopolitical factors influencing it. A primary focus was the potential shift in planting acres from corn to soybeans across the Midwest, driven by elevated input costs—specifically diesel and fertilizer—and compounded by heavy spring rainfall delaying field work. These fertilizer price spikes are being exacerbated by ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, which have trapped shipping vessels in the Persian Gulf and prompted countries like India to heavily subsidize and secure global fertilizer supplies. The panel also evaluated grain marketing strategies, with Greg Johnson noting farmers still may be holding roughly 30% to 35% of their old crop corn in anticipation of a price rally. However, the experts warned that unless significant weather issues or war-driven crude oil spikes emerge by mid-summer, old crop basis could crash as elevators reach capacity ahead of the fall harvest. Consequently, they urged producers to consider moving their remaining grain sooner rather than later to avoid logistical bottlenecks and dropping prices. ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Shane Holtorf, Logic Ag Marketing - Chuck Shelby, RMCommodities a Div of Zaner - Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists- Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net- Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing- Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalFarmMarketing.com - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists- Greg Johnson, TGM Total Grain Marketing- Seth Vander Weide, Logic Ag Marketing- Sherman Newlin, Risk Management Commodities Zaner Financial ★ Support this podcast ★

All Day Ag Outlook Corn Panel - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net - Brian Stark, AndersonsGrain.com - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

...from the All Day Ag Outlook- Ellen Dearden, AgReview- Greg Johnson, TGM Total Grain Marketing- Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists- Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net- Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com ★ Support this podcast ★

All Day Ag Outlook Tuesday, March 3The Beef House in Covington, Indiana$40 @ go.illinois.edu/alldayagoutlookPanelists - Jim McCormick, AgMarket.net - Logan Kimmel, RoachAg.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Ellen Dearden, AgReview - Arlan Suderman, StoneX.com - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net - Greg John, TotalGrainMarket.com - Sherman Newlin, RMCommodities.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing - Brian Stark, The Andersons - Arlan Suderman, StoneX ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Logan Kimmel, RoachAg.com - Jim McCormick, AgMraket.net - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com - Ellen Dearden, AgReview - Chuck Shelby, RMCommodities.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalGrainMarketing.com ★ Support this podcast ★

- Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com- Eric Snodgrass, NutrienAgSolutions- Logan Kimmel, RoachAg.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net - Ellen Dearden, AgReview ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Aaron Curtis, MID-CO - Matt Darragh, Kpler - Mike Zuzolo, Global Commodity Analytics ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelist - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com - Jim McCormick, AgMarket.net - Arlan Suderman, StoneX.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Shane Holtorf, LogicAg.com - Chip Nellinger, BlueReefInc.com - Brian Stark, AndersonsGrain.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalGrainMarketing.com - Logan Kimmel, RoachAg.com - Sherman Newlin, RMCommodities.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net - Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com - Ellen Dearden, AgReview - Ted Seifried, Zaner.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Aaron Curtis, MID-CO.com - Arlan Suderman, StoneX.com - John Zanker, RMCommodities.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Shane Holtorf, LogicAg.com - Collin Watters, ILCorn.org - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Jim McCormick, AgMarket.net - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalGrainMarketing.com - Chip Nellinger, BlueReef.ag ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com - Brian Stark, AndersonsGrain.com - Arlan Suderman, StoneX.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

USDA REPORT DAY Panelists- Ellen Dearden, AgReview- Greg Johnson, TGM- Shane Holtorf, Logic Ag Marketing ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Logan Kimmel, RoachAg.com - John Zanker, RMCommodities.com - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net - Arlan Suderman, StoneX.com - Collin Watters, Illinois Corn Growers Association ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net - Brian Stark, AndersonsGrain.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalGrainMarketing - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Chuck Shelby, RMCommodities.com - Brian Splitt, AgMarket.net - Chip Nellinger, BlueReef.ag ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net - Ellen Dearden AgReview - Logan Kimmel, RoachAg.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Joe Janzen, University of Illinois - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net - Greg Johnson, TotalGrainMarketing.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com - Jim McCormick, AgMarket.net - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

REGISTER online at willag.org or directly https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/6400720528166392662 ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net - Chip Nellinger, BlueReef.Ag - Arlan Suderman, StoneX.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists- Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com- Jim McCormick, AgMarket.net ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com - Brian Stark, AndersonsGrain.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalGrainMarketing.com - Logan Kimmel, RoachAg.com - Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com ★ Support this podcast ★

- Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net- Aaron Curtis, MID-CO.com- Ellen Dearden, AgReview ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Alan Brugler, A&N Economics LLC - Shane Holtorf, Logic Ag Marketing - Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing ★ Support this podcast ★

- Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com- Joe Janzen, University of Illinois- Eric Snodgrass, NutrienAgSolutions.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists- Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com- Greg Johnson, TGM TotalGrainMarketing.com - Arlan Suderman, StoneX.com ★ Support this podcast ★

Panelists - Bill Lapp, Advanced Economic Solutions - John Zanker, Risk Management Commodities ★ Support this podcast ★