Podcasts about Federal Reserve

Central banking system of the United States

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    Best podcasts about Federal Reserve

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    Latest podcast episodes about Federal Reserve

    InvestTalk
    Will Mortgage Rates Keep Dropping?

    InvestTalk

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 45:08 Transcription Available


    After the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, analysts from Fannie Mae and the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) have released their forecasts for the 30-year fixed mortgage rate. Today's Stocks & Topics: Global X Dow 30 Covered Call & Growth ETF (DYLG), Market Wrap, LKQ Corporation (LKQ), Will Mortgage Rates Keep Dropping?, Starbucks Corporation (SBUX), Data Sources, Leverage ETFs, Barrick Mining Corporation (B), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), Paul Mueller Company (MUEL), Gold.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic: https://claude.ai/INVEST* Check out Gusto: https://gusto.com/investtalk* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

    SCOTUS 101
    The Federal Reserve's Reservation at the Supreme Court

    SCOTUS 101

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 29:06


    Hans is joined by E.J. Antoni, Heritage's chief economist and a leading expert on the federal budget, explains the Federal Reserve, its problems and effects on our banking system and the economy, and the case over the firing of Reserve member Lisa Cook by Pres. Trump that is now before the Supreme Court. The classic movie review is of “It's a Wonderful Life,” the 1947 Frank Capra Christmas movie in which one of the essential plot elements is a bank run on the small building and loan run by Jimmy Stewart.

    Serious Trouble
    Race To Trial

    Serious Trouble

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 15:21


    This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.serioustrouble.showJames Comey has been arraigned and has a trial date of January 5. Both his lawyer and the judge appear set on moving rapidly to trial, and the government is rushing to be ready. We discuss the motions it sounds like Comey's legal team will file, which likely will be helped by the message from the president demanding Comey's prosecution that does really appear to have been intended as a private message for Attorney General Pam Bondi.Plus: we discuss Sean Combs' sentence and how to lobby for a lenient sentence when your client is very fortunate and prominent, without sounding like you're saying the rich and famous deserve to get off easy.Paying subscribers get that and much more (upgrade your subscription at serioustrouble.show):* A look at an unexpected criminal complaint about the highly destructive Palisades Fire, in which federal prosecutors allege that an Uber driver set a smaller fire that begat the major fire.* Temporary restraining orders in the case over Trump's effort to deploy national guard troops to Portland, and what appeals courts are likely to do with them.* What to make of Supreme Court's choice to finally take on the Lisa Cook case, and the procedural split it is likely to emphasize among the court's conservative justices as they ponder what to do with the special, unique, quasi-private institution in a long historical tradition that is the Federal Reserve.* A lengthy and forceful appeals court ruling upholding birthright citizenship.* Another vindictive prosecution claim that has legs, this time from Kilmar Abrego Garcia.* And a Kardashian-Jenner-Ray-J RICO-defamation case. Wow!

    KQED’s Forum
    Supreme Court Term Will Test the Scope of Presidential Power

    KQED’s Forum

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 54:43


    The scope of presidential power is front and center as the Supreme Court begins a new term. Cases on the docket will test Trump's agenda, including his ability to levy tariffs and his attempts to fire Federal Reserve members. Also at stake are the survival of the Voting Rights Act, as well as a state's authority to ban conversion therapy, and the rights of transgender athletes.  We talk about how the conservative-leaning Roberts court might rule, and what role the Court will play in supporting or stopping Trump's efforts to shape the country. Guests: Olatunde C. Johnson, professor of law, Columbia Law School; she served on President Biden's Presidential Commission on the Supreme Court Mark Joseph Stern, senior writer, Slate; co-host of the "Amicus" podcast Melissa Murray, professor of law, NYU School of Law; co-host of the "Strict Scrutiny" podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    MRKT Matrix
    The Dangers of Passive Investing Explained

    MRKT Matrix

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 55:59


    Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Thursday, October 9th. Show Notes This central bank says what the Federal Reserve won't (Axios) -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callMRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet, SoFi & MoneyLionSign up for our emailsFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Stock Pickers
    #303 LULA E TARCÍSIO NÃO IMPORTAM: A TAXA SELIC VAI CAIR DE QUALQUER JEITO

    Stock Pickers

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 104:21


    No episódio 303 do Stock Pickers, Lucas Collazo recebe Bruno Serra, portfolio manager da Itaú Asset e ex-diretor do Banco Central. Em uma conversa leve e descontraída, Bruno relembra sua trajetória em Brasília na época em que trabalhou com Campos Neto no BC e Paulo Guedes na Fazenda. Do tempo na Tesouraria do Itaú até o “sonho” de chegar ao Banco Central, o gestor revela por que, hoje, quer ser gestor “para o resto da vida”.Com a visão privilegiada de quem já esteve dentro do BC e agora comanda recursos no mercado, Serra analisa o cenário macro global e local: o comportamento da economia dos Estados Unidos, os dados de desemprego, o impacto do consumo e as expectativas (e polêmicas!) sobre o Federal Reserve. Bruno comenta ainda sobre o boom do ouro e do bitcoin, o avanço da inteligência artificial, o receio de uma nova bolha de mercado e como a tecnologia pode afetar empregos, inflação e projeções econômicas. Aterrisando no Brasil, Bruno analisa ainda a atual política monetária, o papel do Banco Central e o desafio fiscal do governo.Um episódio imperdível para ouvir quem já viveu “o melhor dos dois mundos” entre o mundo das finanças públicas e privadas.

    What A Day
    Will SCOTUS Greenlight Trump's Worst Ideas?

    What A Day

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 25:18


    The new Supreme Court term started on Monday, and the justices have a lot on their plates. They'll be deciding a host of big issues in the coming months – including if Trump can fire board members of the Federal Reserve and whether his tariff policy is overstepping presidential authority. But first, on Tuesday, the court heard arguments in Chiles v. Salazar, a case focused on whether conversion talk-therapy for minors is protected by the First Amendment. So, for more on this Supreme Court term and what we can expect, we spoke to Kate Shaw, co-host of Crooked Media's Strict Scrutiny and a law professor at the University of Pennsylvania.And in headlines, National Guard troops arrive at an Army training center outside of Chicago, Attorney General Pam Bondi avoids questions from Democratic lawmakers, and more terrible news for furloughed federal workers.Show Notes:Check out Strict Scrutiny – https://tinyurl.com/7dfbhmc5Call Congress – 202-224-3121Subscribe to the What A Day Newsletter – https://tinyurl.com/3kk4nyz8What A Day – YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@whatadaypodcastFollow us on Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/crookedmedia/For a transcript of this episode, please visit crooked.com/whataday Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    WSJ What’s News
    The Fed Saw Risks Shifting in September, Minutes Reveal

    WSJ What’s News

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 14:05


    P.M. Edition for Oct. 8. Minutes from the September meeting of the Federal Reserve offered more details about divisions among the governors and how they are thinking about rate cuts for the rest of this year. But as WSJ chief economics correspondent Nick Timiraos tells us, the government shutdown could complicate the Fed's balancing act. Plus, as the country's top drugmakers are set to meet in early December, WSJ White House reporter Annie Linskey discusses how family members of President Trump and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick are poised to benefit from efforts to remake the industry. And advertisers, who spend tens of millions of dollars per year on digital ads, are pushing tech companies for more transparency around how those digital ads work. We hear from WSJ reporter Patrick Coffee about the proposal and why advertisers are asking for these standards. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Stacking Benjamins Show
    Build Wealth AND Community Using This Real Estate Strategy (with Mel Dorman) SB1745

    The Stacking Benjamins Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 59:42


    What if building wealth wasn't just about stacking dollars — but also stacking good deeds? In this episode of The Stacking Benjamins Show, Joe Saul-Sehy and OG sit down with Mel Dorman, a powerhouse real estate investor who turned humble beginnings (yes, dumpster diving beginnings) into a thriving portfolio of 34 rental units in just five years. And she didn't just build wealth — she built community along the way. From negotiating creative seller-financed deals to forging partnerships that benefit both investors and neighborhoods, Mel shares how real estate can be a tool for connection as much as for cash flow. You'll learn how she leverages relationships, uses alternative financing to scale quickly, and even flips properties without traditional bank loans — all while staying grounded in her mission to help others. But that's not all: Joe and OG also break down the latest Federal Reserve moves and what they mean for your wallet. And of course, Neighbor Doug drops by with his signature trivia to remind us that building wealth is serious business… but it's okay to have some fun while you're at it. What You'll Learn Creative ways to build wealth: How seller financing can unlock deals you never thought possible. The power of purpose: Why combining community impact with real estate investing is a winning formula. Real-world strategies: Mel's journey from zero to 34 units — and the lessons she learned along the way. How Fed rate changes affect you: What rising (or falling) rates mean for investors and homeowners. Financing myths busted: Why traditional bank loans aren't the only way to grow a portfolio. Points to Ponder: Could creative financing open doors for your investing goals? How might building stronger community ties improve your financial outcomes? Are you prepared for how interest rate changes could impact your next big money move? This episode isn't just a guide to real estate success — it's a reminder that money works best when it works for everyone. Grab a notebook, pour yourself something caffeinated, and join us for a conversation that just might change how you think about wealth building. FULL SHOW NOTES: https://stackingbenjamins.com/real-estate-investing-in-your-community-1745 Deeper dives with curated links, topics, and discussions are in our newsletter, The 201, available at https://www.stackingbenjamins.com/201 Enjoy! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

    Mark Simone
    Mark takes your calls!

    Mark Simone

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 6:55 Transcription Available


    Blauvelt in Florida called Mark to ask him if Fed chair Jerome Powell will get in trouble for overspending the Federal Reserve's money? Al in Yonkers, NY, calls Mark to tell him that one of Fox News' legal analyst Gregg Jarrett's books is very informative. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Mark Simone
    Mark takes your calls!

    Mark Simone

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 6:55


    Blauvelt in Florida called Mark to ask him if Fed chair Jerome Powell will get in trouble for overspending the Federal Reserve's money? Al in Yonkers, NY, calls Mark to tell him that one of Fox News' legal analyst Gregg Jarrett's books is very informative.

    Banking With Interest
    The Battle Over the Fed's Future

    Banking With Interest

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 41:37


    Aaron Klein, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, explains how the Supreme Court is likely to react to President Trump's efforts to fire Fed Gov. Lisa Cook, and what it means for the central bank's future as well as monetary policy. Klein also details how crypto is fighting banks' attempt to prevent stablecoins from paying interest or rewards.

    FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview
    Financial Market Preview - Wednesday 8-Oct

    FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 5:31


    S&P futures are up +0.2% and pointing to a slightly higher open. Asian markets were mixed with Japan and Hong Kong lower. New Zealand posted modest gains after a surprise RBNZ rate cut. Mainland China and South Korea remained closed for holidays. European markets are all firmer in early trades. Gold prices surpassed $4,000/ounce for the first time, driven by haven demand amid economic, fiscal, and geopolitical uncertainties. Year-to-date, gold has delivered over +50% returns, supported by concerns over potential market shocks, a possible US government shutdown, and expectations of further Federal Reserve monetary easing. Bullion-backed ETFs experienced their largest monthly inflows in over three years in September. Companies Mentioned: Exxon Mobil, Intel, NVIDIA, Confluent

    Marketplace All-in-One
    What's next for interest rates? Look to the Fed minutes.

    Marketplace All-in-One

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 7:17


    Later this week, we'll learn more about how the Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates when the Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes of its most recent meeting. The document will give us clues about what's ahead and where FOMC members' priorities lie. Also on this morning's show: the IRS will now have a CEO, renewable energy becomes the world's largest electricity source, and OPEC producers decide to expand output.

    Marketplace Morning Report
    What's next for interest rates? Look to the Fed minutes.

    Marketplace Morning Report

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 7:17


    Later this week, we'll learn more about how the Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates when the Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes of its most recent meeting. The document will give us clues about what's ahead and where FOMC members' priorities lie. Also on this morning's show: the IRS will now have a CEO, renewable energy becomes the world's largest electricity source, and OPEC producers decide to expand output.

    Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast
    ADP Report Shows 32,000 Job Decline Amid Government Shutdown

    Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 3:06


    With the federal government shut down and the official jobs report on hold, investors are turning to ADP's private payroll data for answers — and the numbers aren't encouraging. In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down the surprise 32,000 job decline in September, the biggest drop in more than two years. You'll hear insights from ADP's Chief Economist Nela Richardson and Boston Fed President Susan Collins on why employers are pulling back hiring, how wage growth is shifting, and what this means for the Federal Reserve's next rate decision. Stay informed on how these economic shifts could impact real estate investors and the broader housing market. JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1  FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS SOURCE: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/01/private-payrolls-declined-in-september-by-32000-in-key-adp-report-coming-amid-shutdown-data-blackout.html

    Beyond Markets
    The Week in Markets: Shutdown blues, Sanaenomics buzz

    Beyond Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 5:46


    Despite uncertainty around the US government shutdown and signs of economic weakness, equities have rallied, though tech stocks paused as AI enthusiasm met valuation concerns. With non-farm payroll data delayed, investors are turning to private sector indicators for labour market insights. Meanwhile, in Japan, Sanae Takaichi's surprise win as Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leader signals a potential return to expansionary “Sanaenomics”, a policy stance reminiscent of Abenomics, boosting equities and pressuring the yen. Tune in for a deep dive into the macro shifts shaping markets this week.This episode is presented by Magdalene Teo, Head of Fixed Income Research Asia, Julius Baer.

    Everyday MBA
    Business Strategies Following The Fed Rate Cut

    Everyday MBA

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 20:32


    Paul Cheetham discusses strategies for businesses following the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut. Paul is the CEO and founder of Vanla Group, a business advisory firm serving small- and mid-sized companies. He is an expert in M&A, business valuation and growth strategies. Listen for three action items you can use today. Host, Kevin Craine Do you want to be a guest? https://Everyday-MBA.com/guest Do you want to advertise on the show? https://Everyday-MBA.com/advertise

    Investor Fuel Real Estate Investing Mastermind - Audio Version
    From Military to Rentals: VA Loan Strategy, Airbnb vs. Long-Term, Market Outlook & Beginner Tips

    Investor Fuel Real Estate Investing Mastermind - Audio Version

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 24:02


    In this conversation, Curtis Bellenot discusses the historical context of mortgage rates, emphasizing that current rates, while perceived as high, are not unprecedented. He explains the influence of Federal Reserve policies on interest rates and the market's reaction to these changes, providing insights into the economic landscape.   Professional Real Estate Investors - How we can help you: Investor Fuel Mastermind:  Learn more about the Investor Fuel Mastermind, including 100% deal financing, massive discounts from vendors and sponsors you're already using, our world class community of over 150 members, and SO much more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/apply   Investor Machine Marketing Partnership:  Are you looking for consistent, high quality lead generation? Investor Machine is America's #1 lead generation service professional investors. Investor Machine provides true ‘white glove' support to help you build the perfect marketing plan, then we'll execute it for you…talking and working together on an ongoing basis to help you hit YOUR goals! Learn more here: http://www.investormachine.com   Coaching with Mike Hambright:  Interested in 1 on 1 coaching with Mike Hambright? Mike coaches entrepreneurs looking to level up, build coaching or service based businesses (Mike runs multiple 7 and 8 figure a year businesses), building a coaching program and more. Learn more here: https://investorfuel.com/coachingwithmike   Attend a Vacation/Mastermind Retreat with Mike Hambright: Interested in joining a “mini-mastermind” with Mike and his private clients on an upcoming “Retreat”, either at locations like Cabo San Lucas, Napa, Park City ski trip, Yellowstone, or even at Mike's East Texas “Big H Ranch”? Learn more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/retreat   Property Insurance: Join the largest and most investor friendly property insurance provider in 2 minutes. Free to join, and insure all your flips and rentals within minutes! There is NO easier insurance provider on the planet (turn insurance on or off in 1 minute without talking to anyone!), and there's no 15-30% agent mark up through this platform!  Register here: https://myinvestorinsurance.com/   New Real Estate Investors - How we can work together: Investor Fuel Club (Coaching and Deal Partner Community): Looking to kickstart your real estate investing career? Join our one of a kind Coaching Community, Investor Fuel Club, where you'll get trained by some of the best real estate investors in America, and partner with them on deals! You don't need $ for deals…we'll partner with you and hold your hand along the way! Learn More here: http://www.investorfuel.com/club   —--------------------

    Associates on Fire: A Financial Podcast for the Associate Dentist
    130: Financial Market Updates - October 2025

    Associates on Fire: A Financial Podcast for the Associate Dentist

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 48:19


    In this episode of The Dental Boardroom Podcast, host Wes Read, CPA and financial advisor at PracticeCFO, talks with Brandon Hobson (Chief Investment Officer) and Paul Lipcius (investment committee member) about what's happening in the markets and why it matters for dentists.They break down the recent Federal Reserve rate cut, explain how bond yields signal what might happen next in the economy, and discuss what the steepening yield curve could mean for growth and inflation. The team also looks at today's stock market, where high valuations and a heavy focus on just a few big tech companies may bring new risks.Plus, they explore why international stocks are starting to outperform and how adding global exposure could strengthen your portfolio.Whether you're saving for retirement or planning your practice's financial future, this episode gives you practical insights to help guide smart, long-term investment decisions.Key topics include:What the Fed's latest rate cut means for bond yields and future inflationWhy the yield curve's steepening could signal improving economic conditionsThe risks of sky-high U.S. stock valuations and concentrated index exposureHow international and emerging markets are reshaping the global investment landscapeLong-term investing principles every dentist should follow

    X22 Report
    [DS] Is Fighting Back,They Are Forming The Insurrection,Trump Setup The Path To Destruction – Ep. 3746

    X22 Report

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 110:50


    Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe EU is experiencing inflation, layoffs and construction is shrinking, the fake news is trying to make it seem like everything is fine. Trump is now placing tariffs on trucks starting Nov 1.Oil will be dropping.Inflation holding steady for the holidays. New position created in the IRS, restructuring coming. Our Founding Fathers warned us. The [DS]/Swamp is fighting back. They are now in the process of forming an insurrection against the US. The enemy is doing what they do best, never interfere with the enemy while they are in the process of destroying themselves. Trump is bring them down the path to destruction. The people are behind him. It had to be this way.   Economy Eurozone Construction Keeps Shrinking As Orders And Jobs Fall Construction activity, new orders, and jobs in France and Germany took another hit in September, while Italy stood out with rare gains—but cost pressures and weak demand still weigh heavily across the region.   Construction activity across the eurozone slumped again last month, with the HCOB Construction PMI falling to 46.0—showing continued declines in major markets like France and Germany, even though Italy bucked the trend with rare growth. What does this mean? Eurozone builders are having a rough ride. September saw new orders tumble in both France and Germany, dragging down residential and commercial construction to their lowest points in months. Layoffs are picking up in these countries as firms react to thin pipelines and soft demand. On Source:  finimize.com  (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");    https://twitter.com/SecScottBessent/status/1975185265283981527   of driving growth and efficiency in the private and now public sector. Under his leadership at SSA delivering on President Trump's agenda, he has already made important and substantial progress. We are pleased that he will bring this expertise to the IRS as we sharpen our focus on collections, privacy, and customer service in order to deliver better outcomes for hardworking Americans.   The IRS was created in 1913 to go right along with the creation of the Federal Reserve.  We are borrowing a private corporation currency, since we are borrowing it there is interest attached to it. How do you collect the interest on the money, how do you make sure nobody is ripping off the private corporation, you need an enforcer.  The IRS.    Internal vs External Revunue The newly created position of Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for Frank Bisignano involves the following key duties and responsibilities, as outlined in the official Treasury Department announcement: Reporting directly to Acting IRS Commissioner Scott Bessent. Managing the overall IRS organization. Overseeing all day-to-day IRS operations. the newly created CEO position for Frank Bisignano appears designed to facilitate restructuring and modernization efforts at the IRS, drawing on his extensive background in corporate transformations, mergers, and efficiency drives.Key Indications from Official Sources

    The FOX News Rundown
    Business Rundown: How Long Can Markets Ignore The Shutdown?

    The FOX News Rundown

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 13:02


    While Wall Street seems to be thriving, Washington, D.C., is at a standstill as the government shutdown enters its second week. Although traders have largely dismissed the stalemate and concerns about the shutdown's potential impact on the economy, how long can they maintain this stance if the situation persists for weeks? Ryan Payne, President of Payne Capital Management, joins FOX Business's Gerri Willis to discuss the shutdown, the Federal Reserve, and how long the AI boom can go. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

    The Dividend Cafe
    Monday - October 6, 2025

    The Dividend Cafe

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 13:28


    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4mVyUro Market Analysis and Economic Insights: The Monday Edition David Bahnsen, host from Newport Beach, California, presents the Monday edition of Dividend Cafe. He starts with a brief mention of sports events, then discusses market activity, noting minor changes in the DOW and gains in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. David highlights the fifth consecutive month of market gains since September and evaluates historical performance of the S&P 500 after such streaks, concluding there's no clear prediction for the sixth month. He further examines market volatility in midterm election years, correlations with political events, and economic indicators like 10-year bond yields, ISM services sector performance, auto sales, and the Case Shiller home price index. David also reports on optimistic developments in Gaza and Japan's election of its first female Prime Minister. He concludes by touching on the impact of U.S. tariff decisions on the pharmaceutical sector, aid for soybean farmers, and anticipated actions from the Federal Reserve. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 01:26 Historical Market Trends and Midterm Election Insights 04:53 Sector Performance and Global News 08:54 Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Updates 11:50 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    Macro Musings with David Beckworth
    Raphael Bostic on Life as a Regional Fed President, the Responsibilities of a Dual Mandate, and the Results of the 2025 Framework Review

    Macro Musings with David Beckworth

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 42:44


    Raphael Bostic is the president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. In President Bostic's first appearance on the show, he discusses his love of birding, what that teaches him about central banking, the unique role of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, switching for FIT to FAIT back to FIT, what to do about inflation, the importance of globalization, rising fiscal pressures, and much more.   Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on September 23rd, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow President Raphasel Bostic on X: @RaphaelBostic Follow the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta on X: @AtlantaFed Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:34 - Birding 00:06:07 - Birding's Connection to Central Banking 00:09:05 - Atlanta Fed 00:15:27 - Fed Framework Revisions 00:24:31 - Inflation 00:32:23 - Forecasted Long-Run Federal Funds Rate 00:37:43 - Globalization 00:39:13 - Fiscal Pressures 01:03:39 - Outro

    New Books Network
    Richard Duncan, "The Money Revolution: How to Finance the Next American Century" (John Wiley & Sons, 2022)

    New Books Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 55:06


    In The Money Revolution: How to Finance the Next American Century, economist and bestselling author Richard Duncan lays out a farsighted strategy to maximize the United States' unmatched financial and technological potential. In compelling fashion, the author shows that the United States can and should invest in the industries and technologies of the future on an unprecedented scale in order to ignite a new technological revolution that would cement the country's geopolitical preeminence, greatly enhance human wellbeing, and create unimaginable wealth. This book also features a history of the Federal Reserve. Richard Duncan has served as Global Head of Investment Strategy at ABN AMRO Asset Management in London, worked as a financial sector specialist for the World Bank in Washington, D.C., and headed equity research departments for James Capel Securities and Salomon Brothers in Bangkok, Thailand. He is now the publisher of Macro Watch, a video-newsletter that analyzes the forces driving the global economy in the 21st Century. Caleb Zakarin is the Assistant Editor of the New Books Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

    WSJ's Take On the Week
    Why This JPMorgan Analyst Says Now Is the Time to Buy Municipal Bonds

    WSJ's Take On the Week

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2025 26:42


    In this week's episode of WSJ's Take On the Week, co-hosts Gunjan Banerji and Telis Demos explore how the Federal Reserve's independence, a government shutdown and volatility around tariffs are driving gold to hit record highs. Then, does videogame maker Electronic Arts' $55 billion buyout signal a long-awaited M&A boom? Plus, they discuss the “debasement trade” and how concerns over the U.S. dollar are also fueling a rally in bitcoin ETFs issued by firms like BlackRock.  Then after the break, Gunjan sits down with Neene Jenkins, head of municipal research at JPMorgan Asset Management, to dive into municipal bonds, which are used to fund infrastructure, highways, sewer systems and school districts. Is higher education issuing more debt because of federal challenges? Later, they discuss the sector's resilience to government shutdowns, and Jenkins answers a key question: How likely is a recession? This is WSJ's Take On the Week where co-hosts Gunjan Banerji, lead writer for Live Markets, and Telis Demos, Heard on the Street's banking and money columnist, cut through the noise and dive into markets, the economy and finance—the big trades, key players and business news ahead. Have an idea for a future guest or episode? How can we better help you take on the week? We'd love to hear from you. Email the show at takeontheweek@wsj.com. To watch the video version of this episode, visit our WSJ Podcasts YouTube channel or the video page of WSJ.com Further Reading Municipal Bonds May Not Remain This Cheap For Long Are Muni Bonds Still a Darling on Wall Street? It Depends Who You Ask A Mystery in the High-Yield Muni Market: What Are the Riskiest Bonds Worth? ETFs Are Flush With New Money. Why Billions More Are Flowing Their Way. A Once Unstoppable Luxury Housing Market Is Starting to Crack Electronic Arts Goes Private for $55 Billion in Largest LBO Ever For more coverage of the markets and your investments, head to WSJ.com, WSJ's Heard on The Street Column, and WSJ's Live Markets blog. Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter.  Follow Gunjan Banerji here and Telis Demos here.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The John Batchelor Show
    1: CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT THE AMERICAN ECONOMY AND THE CONSUMER 10-3-25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 Slow Rebuilding and Political Manipulation in LA Fire Areas Guest Name: Jeff Bliss Summary: Rebuilding fi

    The John Batchelor Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2025 9:40


    CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT THE AMERICAN ECONOMY AND THE CONSUMER 1940 LONDON   10-3-25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 Slow Rebuilding and Political Manipulation in LA Fire Areas Guest Name: Jeff Bliss Summary: Rebuilding fire-damaged areas like Pacific Palisades is agonizingly slow, potentially taking 9 to 20 years, causing residents to abandon their homes. Red tape delays permit issuance, possibly benefiting real estate speculators, including foreign buyers. There is concern that political leaders are pushing to reshape these communities by moving in tall, low-cost housing. 915-930 Economic Slowdown Evident in Local Consumer Spending and Housing Guest Name: Jim McTague Summary:Despite lower gas prices in Lancaster County, a ripple effect from declining Asian imports is expected. Consumer caution remains high, with "English" shoppers buying essentials and avoiding expensive electronics. Local diners show less vibrancy, suggesting the economy has lost "some spring in its step." High-end real estate sales have also notably "dried up." 930-945 HEADLINE: Trump's War on Cartels and Venezuela Intervention; Supreme Court Takes Up Federal Reserve Governor Firing Case GUEST NAME: Richard Epstein SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Richard Epstein about President Trump's "war" against drug cartels and potential Venezuela intervention, which Epstein deems unlawful executive overreach due to congressional inertia. He suggests overthrowing Maduro would be more strategic. The Supreme Court scheduled oral arguments regarding presidential power to fire Federal Reserve governors, specifically Lisa Cook, addressing the future of independent agencieS. 945-1000 HEADLINE: Trump's War on Cartels and Venezuela Intervention; Supreme Court Takes Up Federal Reserve Governor Firing Case GUEST NAME: Richard Epstein SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Richard Epstein about President Trump's "war" against drug cartels and potential Venezuela intervention, which Epstein deems unlawful executive overreach due to congressional inertia. He suggests overthrowing Maduro would be more strategic. The Supreme Court scheduled oral arguments regarding presidential power to fire Federal Reserve governors, specifically Lisa Cook, addressing the future of independent agencieS. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 Need for Pentagon Leadership in Fortifying US Infrastructure Against Adversaries Guest Name: Henry SokolskiSummary: Russia is allegedly already waging hybrid war against the EU via cable cutting and cyber assaults, which is expected to reach the US. The US is unprepared organizationally. The Pentagon (Secretary of Defense) should lead hardening and proliferation efforts for targets like the electric grid and nuclear plants, but they are currently resistant to doing so publicly. 1015-1030 Need for Pentagon Leadership in Fortifying US Infrastructure Against Adversaries Guest Name: Henry SokolskiSummary: Russia is allegedly already waging hybrid war against the EU via cable cutting and cyber assaults, which is expected to reach the US. The US is unprepared organizationally. The Pentagon (Secretary of Defense) should lead hardening and proliferation efforts for targets like the electric grid and nuclear plants, but they are currently resistant to doing so publicly. 1030-1045 Interstellar Comet 3I Atlas and Martian/Jupiter Missions Guest Name: Bob Zimmerman Summary: Comet 3I Atlas is the third identified interstellar object and the second interstellar comet, much larger than previous ones. Its path brings it within about 20 million miles of Mars, but it is currently blocked by the sun. NASA and European teams are attempting to get data using Mars orbiters and rovers, though the resolution may not match Webb's spectroscopy. Europe is also considering re-aiming the Juice mission. 1045-1100 Webb Telescope Challenges Cosmology Theories with 'Little Red Dots' Guest Name: Bob Zimmerman Summary:The Webb Space Telescope is finding mysterious "little red dots" in the very early universe, observed via infrared due to redshift. Astronomers speculate these might be supermassive black holes, which shouldn't exist so early, challenging the Big Bang theory itself. About 30% of these dots do not appear compact when viewed in ultraviolet light, resembling galaxies instead. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 HEADLINE: Princess Ennigaldi-Nanna's Chamber: An Early Mesopotamian Museum GUEST NAME: Moudhy Al-Rashid SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Moudhy Al-Rashid about Princess Ennigaldi-Nanna, high priestess to moon god Sin in Ur, who maintained ancient artifact collections in her palace. Items 1,500 years older than her time, alongside cylindrical clay labels, suggest the chamber functioned as the world's earliest known museum, establishing links to ancient history. 1115-1130 HEADLINE: Princess Ennigaldi-Nanna's Chamber: An Early Mesopotamian Museum GUEST NAME: Moudhy Al-Rashid SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Moudhy Al-Rashid about Princess Ennigaldi-Nanna, high priestess to moon god Sin in Ur, who maintained ancient artifact collections in her palace. Items 1,500 years older than her time, alongside cylindrical clay labels, suggest the chamber functioned as the world's earliest known museum, establishing links to ancient history. 1130-1145 HEADLINE: Ancient Mesopotamian Literacy, Math, and the Epic of Gilgamesh GUEST NAME: Moudhy Al-RashidSUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Moudhy Al-Rashid about Mesopotamian education teaching advanced mathematics and writing in Sumerian and Akkadian, preserved on homework tablets. The Epic of Gilgamesh, dating to a likely real king around 2800 BCE, tells of a tyrant's transformation into a wise king after learning that life concerns community survival 1145-1200 HEADLINE: Ancient Mesopotamian Literacy, Math, and the Epic of Gilgamesh GUEST NAME: Moudhy Al-RashidSUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Moudhy Al-Rashid about Mesopotamian education teaching advanced mathematics and writing in Sumerian and Akkadian, preserved on homework tablets. The Epic of Gilgamesh, dating to a likely real king around 2800 BCE, tells of a tyrant's transformation into a wise king after learning that life concerns community survival FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 Positive Outlook for US-Canada Trade and Middle East Peace Guest Name: Conrad Black Summary: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is meeting with President Trump to discuss economic and security issues, aiming to remove US tariffs. Trade discussions look positive following the Canadian election. Carney also specifically endorsed President Trump's proposed Middle East peace deal, which has major Arab and non-Arab Muslim powers supporting it, deeming it one of the greatest diplomatic achievements since World War II. 1215-1230 8. Italian Political Scandals and the Reinstatement of St. Francis Holiday Guest Name: Lorenzo Fiori Summary:Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and two ministers face ICC investigation for failing to detain a Libyan warlord, citing risks to Italian workers in Libya. Separately, Italy's Senate unanimously approved reinstating a national holiday honoring St. Francis of Assisi, Italy's patron saint, 800 years after his passing. 1230-1245 Distinguishing Humane Nationalism from Pathological Ideologies Guest Name: Daniel Mahoney Summary:Nationalism must be distinguished from pathological forms like "blood and soil" ideology, which champions ethnic rooting and the subordination of others. Moderate, humane national loyalty is tied to self-government and common humanity, rejecting the path that leads to "zoological wars." Critics often unfairly conflate nationalism with isolationism or imperialism. 1245-100 AM Distinguishing Humane Nationalism from Pathological Ideologies Guest Name: Daniel Mahoney Summary:Nationalism must be distinguished from pathological forms like "blood and soil" ideology, which champions ethnic rooting and the subordination of others. Moderate, humane national loyalty is tied to self-government and common humanity, rejecting the path that leads to "zoological wars." Critics often unfairly conflate nationalism with isolationism or imperialism.

    The John Batchelor Show
    HEADLINE: Trump's War on Cartels and Venezuela Intervention; Supreme Court Takes Up Federal Reserve Governor Firing Case GUEST NAME: Richard Epstein SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Richard Epstein about President Trump's "war" against drug

    The John Batchelor Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2025 6:15


    HEADLINE: Trump's War on Cartels and Venezuela Intervention; Supreme Court Takes Up Federal Reserve Governor Firing Case GUEST NAME: Richard Epstein SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Richard Epstein about President Trump's "war" against drug cartels and potential Venezuela intervention, which Epstein deems unlawful executive overreach due to congressional inertia. He suggests overthrowing Maduro would be more strategic. The Supreme Court scheduled oral arguments regarding presidential power to fire Federal Reserve governors, specifically Lisa Cook, addressing the future of independent agencieS. 1835

    The John Batchelor Show
    HEADLINE: Trump's War on Cartels and Venezuela Intervention; Supreme Court Takes Up Federal Reserve Governor Firing Case GUEST NAME: Richard Epstein SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Richard Epstein about President Trump's "war" against drug

    The John Batchelor Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2025 13:30


    HEADLINE: Trump's War on Cartels and Venezuela Intervention; Supreme Court Takes Up Federal Reserve Governor Firing Case GUEST NAME: Richard Epstein SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Richard Epstein about President Trump's "war" against drug cartels and potential Venezuela intervention, which Epstein deems unlawful executive overreach due to congressional inertia. He suggests overthrowing Maduro would be more strategic. The Supreme Court scheduled oral arguments regarding presidential power to fire Federal Reserve governors, specifically Lisa Cook, addressing the future of independent agencieS. 1876 CARACAS BOLIVAR ENTRANCE

    Motley Fool Money
    Make the Most of Your Cash and Credit Cards

    Motley Fool Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2025 23:50


    The Federal Reserve is lowering interest rates, which can be good for borrowers but not so good for savers. Robert Brokamp speaks with Brendan Byrnes, managing director of Motley Fool Money (www.fool.com/money), about how to find the highest yields for your cash and how to choose the best credit card for your situation. Also in this week's episode: -A recent ADP report confirms that we're in a “no-fire, no-hire” job market-A study puts popular AI tools to an estate-planning test – which came out on top?-Just in time for Halloween season, the S&P 500 has reached a spooky level – how has the classic 60/40 portfolio performed when the market is so richly valued?-The recent government shutdown demonstrates (once again) that everyone should have an emergency fund Tickers discussed: SPY Host: Robert BrokampGuest: Brendan ByrnesEngineer: Bart Shannon Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, "TMF") do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Julia La Roche Show
    #292 Chris Whalen: Gold Over $5,000 Next Year, Americans Still Uncomfortable Admitting Dollar Weakness, And Why Fed Will Monetize Debt Through Financial Repression

    The Julia La Roche Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2025 33:36


    Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, explains why Americans remain uncomfortable with gold despite it hitting new highs - it implies dollar weakness after 150 years of reserve currency dominance. He reveals FDR seized the Federal Reserve's gold in 1933 with little compensation, while today US gold allocation sits under 1% of portfolios versus growing central bank accumulation. Whalen defends his call for earlier Fed cuts. He sees gold reaching $5,000+ by end of 2026 as US allocations shift from under 1% toward 2%, while warning the average person without assets continues getting screwed as the Fed will eventually monetize Treasury issuance through financial repression.Sponsor: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links:    Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen    Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/    The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/   Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Timestamps:0:00 Welcome and introduction - Chris Whalen's first in-studio appearance0:24 Julia's introduction highlighting Chris's credentials and analysis1:16 Fed takeaway - Steve Miran only governor wanting 50bp cut2:19 Housing emergency coming - Fed drove prices up, Trump faces constraint2:31 Housing scenarios - mortgage rates retreating after quarter point4:17 Monetary Metals ad read5:34 Housing psychology - homeowners trying to sell at the top6:53 Office space comparison - no longer premium asset class7:38 Fed rate cut outlook - may not see more cuts for months9:58 Bank balance sheet problems - mortgage securities underwater10:54 Politics of inflation - housing affordability crisis13:10 Viewer housing question response - Florida 1924 parallels15:32 DC trip on GSEs - still no roadmap from Treasury18:43 Fannie/Freddie trade - made 30% then got out19:54 Taking profits22:36 Watching the herd mentality25:20 Dollar/deficit thesis - weaker dollar, Treasury pressure ahead27:47 Fed restructuring vision - eliminate Board of Governors31:09 Housing emergency declaration - resuming MBS purchases discussion33:51 Mixed economy - wealthy vs bottom quartile struggling34:34 Debt myths - Americans love inflation, debt is currency36:18 Highest conviction trade - gold and strategic silver

    More Knowledge, More Wealth!
    Federal Reserve Rates Explained (Your savings account is now a scam)

    More Knowledge, More Wealth!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2025 22:30


    Ep. 311Join Gabriel Shahin, Certified Financial Planner and host of "More Knowledge, More Wealth," as he dives deep into the incredible impact of lower interest rates on your economy, infrastructure, and personal finances.In this must-watch episode, Gabriel reveals:The power of low interest ratesSmart debt managementInvestment opportunitiesEconomic stimulationThe "Great Recalibration".Don't miss out on the crucial insights that could save you money and accelerate your wealth! This episode is packed with actionable advice that you wished you had during the last interest rate reduction period.

    Not Your Average Financial Podcast™
    Episode 422: The Bank World's Final Boss: How to Actually End the Fed

    Not Your Average Financial Podcast™

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 33:44


    In this episode, we ask: Would you like to read and review our new book, The Business Fortress: How to Grow, Protect and Exit Your Business? Would you like to give us feedback on the FREE! Not Your Average Financial Community? How could the system be fixed? When was the Federal Reserve started? What happened...

    Investing Insights
    How Inflation, AI, and Budget Battles Will Shape the Stock Market in Q4

    Investing Insights

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 23:33


    Investors' exuberance is fueling this year's stock rally, but will key economic risks dampen the market's mood? The current bull run has lifted stocks from their springtime lows to higher levels in autumn. The artificial intelligence boom is one of the big factors driving it. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is dealing with the challenging situation of balancing the weakening job market and stubborn inflation. The Fed cut interest rates for the first time in 2025 in the third quarter, but the path forward from here is less certain. Morningstar Inc Senior Markets Reporter Sarah Hansen discusses seven key market factors you should watch in Q4 2025.Nvidia's investment of up to $100 billion in ChatGPT creator OpenAI could shatter records. The big bet is helping feed two simple narratives about the AI era, according to Dan Kemp, chief research and investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management Europe. First, there's too much investment in the technology, and booms tend to lead to busts. Second, AI has changed the rules of investing and returns. Kemp cautions investors to remember that there are a wide range of possible outcomes than these easy stories.  On this episode:You examine the highs and lows during each quarter and write about it. What do you think are the biggest takeaways from Q3? Stocks are climbing higher despite a lot of risks. What signals is the market ignoring, and could it be at its own peril? The AI boom is driving what's going on in the market. Mega-cap tech companies are making huge investments. Where's the money going, and how long is this level of spending expected to continue? The hot IPO market has benefited from AI. Some of the most successful IPOs this year involved the industry. Can you describe this revival? The first interest rate cut of 2025 is in the books. The Federal Reserve pointed to the softening job market as one reason for the move. What are strategists telling you as the markets await the Fed's next move? Inflation is still not tamed and hovering above the Fed's 2% target. There are expectations that tariffs could raise prices for a while. What are the outlooks from Morningstar and other strategists? As the Fed cuts rates, short-term yields will come down. What about the rest of the bond market? Where do people see the risks? The federal funding fight is continuing in Washington, D.C. Let's timestamp this moment. It's Tuesday, Sept. 30. The US government would shut down on Oct. 1 if there's not an agreement. How does uncertainty like this affect the markets, and what should investors think? Earnings season is coming up in a couple weeks. What is your team watching for? What's the takeaway for investors as we enter Q4?We talked on last week's Investing Insights about inflation. The Federal Reserve's preferred tracker showed inflation slightly ticked up in August as forecasters expected. It also revealed consumer spending rose. What do you think that's signaling about the US economy? In this week's Markets Brief column, you highlighted Nvidia's potentially record-breaking investment. The chipmaker announced it would invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI. How should investors think about this deal?New economic data is due out this week. What are you tracking for next week's Markets Brief? Read about topics from this episode.  13 Charts on Q3's Tech-Driven Stock Rally Will the AI Boom in Semiconductor Stocks Continue? What Investors Need to Know About the Steepening Yield Curve The Fed's ‘Difficult Situation': Reading Between the Lines of the September Dot Plot Forecasts for August PCE Report Shows Some Cooling, but Tariff Impacts Persist What Investors Need to Know About a US Government Shutdown Markets Brief: Nvidia's AI Spending Spree Raises Boom and Bust Fears  What to watch from Morningstar. Is Your Dividend Income at Risk? Here's How to Spot Dividend Traps Should You Hold Cash Investments After the Fed Cuts Interest Rates?What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Stock ETFInvesting in AI? Here Are 6 Undervalued Stocks for Buy-and-Hold Investors Read what our team is writing.Sarah HansenDan KempIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

    Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast
    Charles' Take: Employment Picture Shaping View Of The Economy

    Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 8:42


    Charles speaks with ICapital Chief Investment Strategist Sonali Basak to discuss the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut and its positive market impact, concerns over a potential slowdown in hiring among smaller companies, and how artificial intelligence is shaping investment opportunities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

    On Investing
    Surveying the Corporate Credit Landscape (With Joel Levington)

    On Investing

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 39:26


    In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones begin by discussing the implications of the government shutdown on employment data and the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. They analyze the challenges posed by the potential lack of government data and the reliance on private sector indicators like ADP. Then, Kathy Jones speaks with Joel Levington, who has more than 25 years' experience in corporate credit research. Kathy and Joel discuss the overall current state of the credit markets, focusing on corporate credit health, the auto industry's challenges, and some of the impacts of economic disparities on consumer credit. They explore the significance of credit ratings, the rise of private credit, and the implications of inflation and government policies on the economic outlook.Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann discuss upcoming economic data and how earnings season could shape market expectations.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab. All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(1025-NWPB) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    The Norris Group Real Estate Radio Show and Podcast
    I Survived Real Estate 2025 Part 3: Economic Panel

    The Norris Group Real Estate Radio Show and Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 24:36 Transcription Available


    I SURVIVED REAL ESTATE 2025The Norris Group Presents: The 18th Annual I Survived Real Estate – LIVE at the Nixon Presidential LibraryThe Norris Group's award-winning black-tie gala, I Survived Real Estate, returns for its 18th year.  Since 2008, I Survived Real Estate has supported Make-A-Wish OC & IE—and thanks to your generosity, we've now raised over $1.2 million for children in need This year's backdrop?A California housing market still starved for inventory, mortgage rates hovering above comfort zones, affordability hitting generational lows, inflation and tariffs. Add in global uncertainty, sticky inflation, and the ever-watchful eye of the Federal Reserve—and you've got a landscape full of questions.Inventory Drought: California's housing supply remains critically lowRate Pressure: Mortgage rates linger well above buyer comfort zonesPriced Out: Affordability has collapsed to generational lowsGlobal Tensions: War, tariffs, and instability rattle investor confidenceInflation's Grip: Costs remain stubbornly high, squeezing marginsTariff Troubles: Rising import costs could ripple through construction and developmentAll Eyes on the Fed: Every rate hint could send shockwaves through the market Our expert panel brings top minds in economics, investing, and housing to help us prepare for what's next. I Survived Real Estate was born from crisis, with a mission to unite thought leaders, give back, and guide our industry forward. In this episode:The Fed's interest rate decisions and their effect on inflationBorder closures and their impact on employment and affordabilityIs California at a breaking point with housing affordability?Economic forecasts and the future of the housing marketDoug Duncan on a potential tax refund “sugar rush” in early 2025The impact of tariffs and shifts in the job marketHealthcare job growth and broader economic concernsThe Norris Group originates and services loans in California and Florida under California DRE License 01219911, Florida Mortgage Lender License 1577, and NMLS License 1623669.  For more information on hard money lending, go www.thenorrisgroup.com and click the Hard Money tab.Video LinkRadio Show

    Wharton Business Radio Highlights
    Examining Fed Autonomy Amid White House and Legal Pressures

    Wharton Business Radio Highlights

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 9:21


    David Zaring, Wharton Professor of Legal Studies and Business Ethics, explores the legal complexities, historical precedents, and potential reforms shaping the Federal Reserve's independence as tensions grow between central bank autonomy and presidential authority. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    The James Perspective
    Episode_1468_Conspiracy_Friday_010325_with_Charlotte_and_Shara_Project_2025

    The James Perspective

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 86:53


    On todays show Charlotte, James, Sarah, Glenn and Dwayne talk about Project 2025, a political initiative by the Heritage Foundation, which outlines conservative policies for a future Trump administration. Key points included proposals to abolish the Federal Reserve, replace merit-based civil servants with Trump loyalists, and implement strict immigration policies. The conversation also touched on the potential impact of drone technology, including the challenges of countering drone threats and the legalities of drone use. Additionally, the group discussed the implications of the Pope's comments on immigration and the potential for Russia to seize assets of countries that confiscate Russian assets. The discussion covered various topics, including the use of drones to invade privacy, the government shutdown, and the impact of memes involving sombreros and mustaches on political figures. They discussed Trump's use of social media to counteract Democratic criticisms and his administration's plans under Project 2025. The conversation also touched on Venezuela's strategic importance, its cartel connections, and the U.S. military's pressure on Maduro. Additionally, they debated the Super Bowl halftime show choices, particularly Bad Bunny's popularity, and concluded with a humorous discussion about a bear-related anecdote from "War and Peace." Do not miss it!

    TD Ameritrade Network
    'Ho-Hum' Reaction to Market Shutdown

    TD Ameritrade Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 7:46


    Taylor Huffman gauges market reaction to the latest government shutdown saying there's been a "ho-hum reaction" and more noise about an event that's been known about for some time. As this current shutdown reaches its 3rd day, Taylor weighs in on the impact of a lengthy stall in economic data like non-farm payrolls which the Federal Reserve uses in its decision-making. She says the "trends of these reports" should be paid attention to more than just an individual monthly number. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

    Bloomberg Talks
    Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran Talks Inflation View

    Bloomberg Talks

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 24:20 Transcription Available


    Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran says he'd change his view on inflation if housing costs unexpectedly jump. He also says he's not afraid to offer out-of-consensus opinions and explains why he does not think the neutral rate is zero. Miran spoke with Bloomberg's Matt Miller, Dani Burger and Mike McKee.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Legal AF by MeidasTouch
    Legal AF Full Episode - 10/1/2025

    Legal AF by MeidasTouch

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 70:58


    Federal judges are not puling punches and are now going after the Trump Administration and the Supreme Court in new devastating rulings; the Supreme Court may not be ready to hand Trump the keys to the Federal Reserve just yet; New orders stop the Trump Administration from dismantling foundations of our democracy, the First Amendment, and stop funding from being cut off to Blue States in case of emergencies. Popok and KFA take it all on and the latest edition of the top rated Legal AF podcast exclusively on the Meidas Touch Network. ARMRA: Head to https://tryarmra.com/legalaf or enter promo code: LEGALAF to receive 15% off your first order! DELETE ME: Get 20% off your DeleteMe plan when you go to join https://deleteme.com/LEGALAF and use promo code LEGALAF at checkout. MAGIC SPOON: Save $5 OFF your next order when you go to http://magicspoon.com/LEGALAF Subscribe to Legal AF Substack: https://substack.com/@legalaf Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Capitalisn't
    Why Capitalism Stopped Working In Japan, with Takeo Hoshi

    Capitalisn't

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 47:55


    The Japanese economy was once the envy of the world. By the 1980s, it looked set to surpass the United States in size. Real estate prices were high, the stock market was booming—the entire world was asking if Japan had found a superior model of economic growth and recovery after World War II, one grounded in industrial policy.However, the bubble burst in the early 1990s, and what followed was not a quick recession and rebound as we have often seen in the U.S., but decades of stagnation. Near-zero deflation became entrenched, and the banking system turned into a drug of cheap borrowing rather than an engine for recovery, with the Bank of Japan pioneering quantitative easing by pushing interest rates to zero long before the U.S. Federal Reserve considered such steps in the wake of the 2007 financial crisis. Japan has never since returned to sustainable growth, and this matters for the world at large. A significant creditor to other countries, shifts in Japan's economic policy and fluctuations in its currency ripple across global interest rates, tightening or loosening financial conditions worldwide. Japan also remains a critical node in global supply chains (including for semiconductor chips and electronics), a major importer of energy, and not for nothing, its cultural exports continue to conquer the world.What lessons can Japan's lost decades of economic stagnation and missed opportunities offer the U.S. and other developed economies? Bethany and Luigi are joined by Takeo Hoshi, professor of economics at the University of Tokyo and a leading expert on Japan's financial system and economic stagnation. Together, they discuss Japan's idiosyncrasies—from demographic decline to economic policy mismanagement—and the interplay of global factors such as populism, nativism, and dissatisfaction with capitalism. If the U.S. is indeed on the cusp of its own economic bubble driven by oversized capital investments in artificial intelligence and technology rather than consumer spending and wage growth, does it have the institutions and flexibility to avoid Japan's fate? Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    X22 Report
    Shutdown Might Not Be What Your Think It Is, National Guard Being Placed Into Position – Ep. 3743

    X22 Report

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 88:11


    Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture The EU is experiencing inflation. Will make the case to raise rates and this way the Fed can use this as why they are not lowering the rates.8 billion of the green new scam has been cancelled. Trump calls out Powell, letting everyone know he is an obstructionist. Powell is interfering on purpose. The [DS] is destroying themselves by telling the American public that they want illegals to get health insurance. Is this a cover story to keep the Government shutdown long enough to try to get ICE, National Guard to abandon their posts. No matter what the D's do there is no coming back from this. Trump is now prepositioning the National Guard in the cities where Antifa operates or is shipped into. All this is being done for the insurrection that is coming to America.   Economy Eurozone inflation rises over 2% target  Annual inflation in the euro area rose to 2.2% in September, up from 2.0% in August and the highest level since April, n . Among inflation's key drivers, services led the pack with a 3.2% annual increase, up slightly from 3.1% in August, according to statistics body Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Food, alcohol and tobacco prices rose by 3.0%. Although Wednesday's figures means inflation now sits above the European Central Bank's (ECB) forecast of 2%, it is still lower than in the UK where inflation was 3.8% in August. Source:  uk.finance.yahoo.com  (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/russvought/status/1973450301236715838 ADP Payrolls Unexpectedly Crater To -32,000, Worst Since March 2023 And Below All Estimates   ADP reported that in September, the US private sector shed 32,000 jobs, the worst print since March 2023... ... and far below the lowest estimate; in fact the print was a 6 sigma miss to estimates of which Pantheon's +25K was  the lowest.   the original number was actually well higher, at 11K, but after the ADP conducted its annual preliminary rebenchmarking of the National Employment Report in September based on the full-year 2024 results of the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (which as a reminder eliminated 911K jobs from the Biden regime that were never actually there), there was a reduction of 43,000 jobs in September compared to pre-benchmarked data. The trend was unchanged; job creation continued to lose momentum across most sectors. Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973365787143393588   jobs report we receive this week. Friday's jobs report will not be published as long as the government shutdown continues. BREAKING: Supreme Court Allows Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook to Keep Her Job… For Now The US Supreme Court   allowed embattled Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook to remain in her chair for now. The high court will hear the case in January 2026 and allow Lisa Cook to keep her job in the meantime. This also means Lisa Cook will be able to participate in December's interest rate meeting. Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/mrddmia/status/1973411249208594489  financial institutions." "The Federal Reserve is committed to upholding the highes...

    Legal AF by MeidasTouch
    SCOTUS Rules Against Trump and Pauses His Order

    Legal AF by MeidasTouch

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 14:16


    In a stunning upset and breaking news, the Supreme Court couldn't find 5 votes among the MAGA 6 to destroy the Federal Reserve's independence just yet, and for now has rejected Trump's efforts to remove Democratic-appointed Lisa Cook from the Fed Board of Governors without due process or proper reason, and will keep her in the job at least until the Court has oral argument and full briefing in January 2026 or beyond. Michael Popok explains how this ruling, although temporary, actually helps her case factually and legally. Magic Spoon: Save $5 OFF your next order when you go to http://magicspoon.com/LEGALAF Visit https://meidasplus.com for more! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Thoughts on the Market
    Will U.S. Inflation Slow in 2026?

    Thoughts on the Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 13:22


    In the second of a two-part episode, Morgan Stanley's chief economists talk about their near-term U.S. outlook based on tariffs, labor supply and the Fed's response. They also discuss India's path to strong economic growth.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist. Yesterday I sat down with my colleagues, Mike Gapen, Chetan Ahya and Jens Eisenschmidt, who cover the U.S., Asia, and Europe respectively. We talked about... Well, we didn't get to the U.S. We talked about Asia. We talked about Europe. Today, we are going to focus on the U.S. and maybe one or two more economies around the world. It's Wednesday, October 1st at 10am in New York. Jens Eisenschmidt: And 4pm in Frankfurt. Chetan Ahya: And 10 pm in Hong Kong. All right, gentlemen. So yesterday we talked a lot about China, the anti-involution policy, and what's going on with deflation there. Talked a little bit about Japan and what the Bank of Japan is doing. We shifted over to Europe and what the ECB is doing there – there were lots of questions about deflation, disinflation, whether or not inflation might actually pick up in Japan. So, [that] was all about soft inflation. Mike, let me put you on the spot here, because things are, well, things are a little bit different in the U.S. when it comes to inflation. A lot of attention on tariffs and whether or not tariffs are going to drive up inflation. Of course, inflation, the United States never got back to the Fed's target after the COVID surge of inflation. So, where do you see inflation going? Is the effect of tariffs – has that fully run its course, or is there still more entrained? How do you see the outlook for inflation in the U.S.? Michael Gapen: Yeah, certainly a key question for the outlook here. So, core PCE inflation is running around 2.9 percent. We think it can get towards 3, maybe a little above 3 by year end. We do not think that the economy has fully absorbed tariffs yet; we think more pass through is coming. The President just announced additional tariffs the other day. We had them factored into our baseline. I think it's fair to say companies are still figuring out exactly how much they can pass through to consumers and when. So, I think the year-on-year rate of inflation will continue to move higher into year end. Hit 3 percent, maybe a little bit above. The key question then is what happens in 2026. Is inflation driven by tariffs transitory – the famous T word; and the year-on-year rate of inflation will come back down? That's what the Fed's forecast thinks; we do as well. But as everyone knows, the Fed has started to ease policy to support the labor market. The economy has performed pretty well, so there's a risk maybe that inflation doesn't come down as much next year. Seth Carpenter: Alright, so tariffs are clearly a key policy variable that can affect inflation. There's also been immigration restriction, to say the least, and what we saw coming out of COVID – when people were reluctant to go back to work, and businesses were reporting lots of shortages of workers – is that in certain services industries, we saw some pressure on prices. So, tariffs mostly affect consumer goods prices. Is there a contribution from immigration restriction onto overall inflation through services? Michael Gapen: I think the answer is yes; and I hesitate there because it's hard to see it in real time. But it is fair to say the average immigrant in the U.S. is younger. They have higher rates of labor force participation. They tend to reside in lower income households. So, they're labor supply heavy in terms of their effect on the economy. And yes, they tend to have larger relative presence in construction and manufacturing. But in terms of numbers, a lot of immigrants work in the service sector, as you note. And services inflation has been to the upside lately, right? So, the surprise has been that goods inflation maybe hasn't been as strong. The pass through from tariffs has been weaker. But in terms of upside surprises in inflation, it's common services and in many cases, non-housing related services. So, I'd say there's maybe some nascent signs that immigration controls may be keeping services prices firmer than thought. But may be hard to tie that directly at the moment. So, it's easier to say I think immigration controls may prevent inflation from coming down as much next year. It's not altogether clear how much they're pushing services inflation up. I think there's some evidence to support that, and we'll have to see whether that continues. Seth Carpenter: Alright, so we're seeing higher costs and higher prices from tariffs. We're seeing less labor supply when it comes to immigration. Those seem like a recipe for a big slowdown in growth, and I think that's been your forecast for quite some time – is that the U.S. was going to slow down a lot. Are we seeing that in the data? Is the U.S. economy slowing down or is everything just fine? How are you thinking about it? And what's the evidence that there's a slowdown and what are maybe the counterarguments that there's not that much of a slowdown? Michael Gapen: Well, I think that the data doesn't support much of a slowdown. So yes, the economy did moderate in the first half of the year. I think the smart thing to do is average through Q1 and Q2 outcomes [be]cause there was a lot of volatility in trade and inventories. If you do that, the economy grew at about a 1.8 percent annualized rate in the first half of the year, down from about 2.5 percent last year. So, some moderation there, but not a lot. We would argue that that probably isn't a tariff story. We would've expected tariffs and immigration policies to have greater downward pressure on growth in the second half of the year. But to your question, incoming data in the third quarter has been really strong, and we're tracking growth somewhere around 3 percent right now.So, there's not a lot of evidence in hand at present that tariffs are putting significant downward pressure on growth. Seth Carpenter: So those growth numbers that you cite are on spending, which is normally the way we calculate things like GDP, consumption spending. But the labor market, I mean, non-farm payroll reports really have been quite weak. How do you reconcile that intellectual tension on the one hand spending holding up? On the other hand, that job creation [is] pretty, pretty weak. Michael Gapen: Yeah. I think the way that we would reconcile it is when we look at the data for the non-financial corporate sector, what appears to be clear is that non-labor costs have risen and tariffs would reside in that. And the data does show that what would be called unit non-labor costs. So, the cost per unit of output attributable to everything other than labor that rose a lot. What corporates apparently did was they reduced labor costs. And they absorbed some of it in lower profitability. What they didn't do was push price a lot. We'll see how long this tension can go on. It may be that corporates are in the early stages of passing through inflation, so we will see more inflation further out in a slowdown in spending. Or it may be that corporates are deciding that they will bear most of the burden of the tariffs, and cost control and efficiencies will be the order of the day. And maybe the Fed is right to be worried about downside risk to employment. So, I reconcile it that way. I think corporates have absorbed most of the tariff shock to date, and we're still in the early stages of seeing whether or not they will be able to pass it along to consumers. Seth Carpenter: All right, so then let's think about the Fed, the central bank. Yesterday, I talked to Chetan about the Bank of Japan. There reflation is real. Talked to Jens yesterday about the ECB where inflation has come down. So, those other developed market economies, the prescriptions for monetary policy are pretty straightforward. The Fed, on the other hand, they're in a bit of a bind in that regard. What do you think the Fed is trying to achieve here? How would you describe their strategy? Michael Gapen: I would describe their strategy as a recalibration, which is, I think, you know, technical monetary policy jargon for – where their policy stance is now; is not correct to balance risks to the economy. Earlier this year, the Fed thought that the primary risk was to persistent inflation. Boy, the effective tariff rate was rising quickly and that should pass due to inflation. We should be worried about upside risk to inflation. And then employment decelerated rapidly and has stayed low now for four consecutive months. Yes, labor supply has come down, but there's also a lot of evidence that labor demand has come down. So, I think what the Fed is saying is the balance of risks have become more balanced. They need to worry about inflation, but now they also need to worry about the labor market. So having a restrictive policy stance in their mind doesn't make sense. The Fed's not arguing – we need to get below neutral. We need to get easy. They're just saying we probably need to move in the direction of neutral. That will allow us to respond better if inflation stays firm or the labor market weakens. So, a recalibration meaning, you know, we think two more rate cuts into year end get a little bit closer to neutral, and that puts them in a better spot to respond to the evolving economic conditions. Seth Carpenter: All right. That makes a lot of sense. We can't end a conversation this year about the Fed, though, without touching on the fact that the White House has been putting a lot of pressure on the Federal Reserve trying to get Chair Powell and his committee to push interest rates substantially lower than where they are now. Michael Gapen: You've noticed? Seth Carpenter: I've noticed. From my understanding, a lot of people in markets have noticed as well. There's been some turnover among policy makers. We have a new member of the Board of Governors of the Fed. This discussion about Federal Reserve independence. How do you think about it? Is Chair Powell changing policy based on political pressure? Michael Gapen: I don't think so. I think there's enough evidence in the labor market data to support the Fed's shift in stance. We have certainly highlighted immigration controls, what they would mean for the labor force. And how that means even a slowing, growing economy could keep the unemployment rate low. But it's also fair to say labor demand has come down. If labor demand were still very strong, you might see job openings higher, you might see vacancies higher. You may even see faster wage growth. So, I think the Fed's right to look at the labor market and say, ‘Okay, on the surface, it looks like a no hire, no fire labor market. We can live with that, but there are some layoffs underneath. There are signs of weakness. Slack is getting created slowly.' So, I think the Fed has solid ground to stand on in terms of shifting their view. But you're right, that looking forward into 2026 with the end of Powell's term as chair and likely turnover in other areas of the board. Whether the Fed maintains a conventional reaction function or one that's perhaps more politically driven remains an open question – and I think is a risk for investors. Seth Carpenter: I want to change things up a lot here. Chetan, yesterday you and I talked about China. We talked about Japan. Two really big economies that I think are well known to investors.Another economy in Asia that you cover is India. For a long time, we have said India was going to be the fastest growing major economy in the world. Do you still see it to be the case? That India's got a really bright growth outlook? And in the current circumstance with tariffs going on, how do you think India is fairing vis-a-vis U.S. tariffs? Chetan Ahya: So yes, Seth, we are still optimistic about India's growth outlook. Having said that, you know, there are two issues that the economy has been going through. Number one is that the domestic demand had slowed down because of previous tightening of fiscal and monetary policies. And at the same time, we have now seen this trade tensions, which will slow global trade. But also, directly India will be affected by the fact that the U.S. has imposed 50 percent tariff on close to 60 percent of India's exports to the U.S. So, both these issues are affecting the outlook in the near term. We still don't have clarity on what happens on trade tensions, but what we have seen is that the government has really worked quite hard to get the economy going from domestic demand perspective. And so, they have taken up three sets of policy actions. They have reduced household income tax. The central bank has cut interest rates because inflation has been in control. And at the same time, they have now just recently announced reduction in Goods and Services Tax, which is akin to like consumption tax. And so, these three policy actions together we think will drive domestic demand growth from the fourth quarter of this year itself. It will still be not back up to strong growth levels. And for that we still need that solution to trade policy uncertainty. But I think there will be a significant recovery coming up in the next few months. Seth Carpenter: All right. Thanks for that, Chetan. It's such an interesting story going on there in India. Well, Michael, Chetan, thank the three of you for joining me today in this conversation. And to the listeners, thank you for listening. If you enjoy this show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or a colleague today.

    Unf*cking The Republic
    Running Out of Time: The Political and Economic Realization of Project 2025.

    Unf*cking The Republic

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 26:32


    We continue to build on the idea that white Christian nationalism is, was and has always been the foundation of this country. To suggest otherwise is to be both ahistorical and absent in our politics today. The violent response to a concept so utterly innocuous such as “Black lives matter” should tell us everything. Before it was a movement (of sorts) it was a simple statement. But the reality is that they don’t. We need to stop calling it “Trump’s America” and just call it what it is. America. Resources The Ezra Klein Show: Ta-Nehisi Coates and Ezra Klein Hash Out Their Charlie Kirk Disagreement New York Times: Charlie Kirk Was Practicing Politics the Right Way Democracy Now!: Project 2025 Co-Author Lays Out "Radical Agenda" for Next Trump Term in Undercover Video Hudson Bay Capital: A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System Manhattan Institute: Reform the Federal Reserve’s Governance to Deliver Better Monetary Outcomes -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, TikTok and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com. Join our Discord at unftr.com/discord. Become a member at unftr.com/memberships. Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com. Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations. Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibility. Unf*cking the Republic is produced by 99 and engineered by Manny Faces Media (mannyfacesmedia.com). Original music is by Tom McGovern (tommcgovern.com). The show is hosted by Max and distributed by 99.Support the show: https://www.unftr.com/membershipsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    PBS NewsHour - Segments
    News Wrap: Supreme Court lets Lisa Cook stay in her role at Federal Reserve for now

    PBS NewsHour - Segments

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 4:53


    In our news wrap Wednesday, the Supreme Court is letting Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook stay in her role for now, the White House pulled its nominee to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics, residents of a Bronx apartment building were unharmed after an explosion caused part of the high-rise to collapse and Hurricane Imelda is heading toward Bermuda. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy

    WSJ Minute Briefing
    U.S. Unexpectedly Lost 32,000 Jobs Last Month, ADP Data Show

    WSJ Minute Briefing

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 2:42


    Plus: The U.S. Supreme Court allows Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook to keep her job for now, scheduling arguments in January. And Meta says it will begin using chatbot data to target ads on its platforms. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    X22 Report
    Shutdown, Executive Order 14210, Planned RIF, Setting The Stage, Peace Through Strength – Ep. 3741

    X22 Report

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2025 87:59


    Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture Trump is now moving forward with additional tariffs, the other tariffs have proven not to cause inflation like the Fed had said and now Trump is free to move with additional tariffs. Switzerland wants to help with gold refining to help with their tariffs. Gold could be revalued and this will change everything. The [DS] believe they have trapped Trump in a Gov shutdown. This is being driven by Soros and Trump was expected this. He created EO back in Feb for this very reason to drain the swamp quickly. Trump is now setting the stage to shutdown their riots and stop WWIII they are trying to start. Trump has issued a peace plan with Gaza and Israel, it is now up to the [DS] stated funded terrorists. Peace through Strength.   Economy (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");  https://twitter.com/briefing_block_/status/1972692864007115084 Gold Revaluation Imminent? US Treasury Hoard Tops $1 Trillion For First Time  On the back of a 45% surge in the price of gold this year, the US Treasury's hoard of the barbarous relic has surpassed $1 trillion in value for the first time in history. That is more than 90 times what's stated on the government's balance sheet and is reigniting speculation that Treasury Secretary Bessent could revalue (mark to market) the massive pile of precious metal   Unlike most countries, the US's gold is held by the government directly, rather than the central bank. The Fed instead holds gold certificates corresponding to the value of the Treasury's holdings, and credits the government with dollars in return. That means, as we detailed previously, that an update of the reserves' value in line with today's prices would unleash roughly $990 billion into the Treasury's coffers, dramatically reducing the need to issue quite so many Treasury bonds this year.   Germany, Italy and South Africa all have taken the decision to revalue their reserves in recent decades, as an August note from an economist at the Federal Reserve discussed.   US gold re-marking would have implications for both the Treasury & Fed balance sheets.  US Treasury: assets would rise by the value of the gold re-marking & liabilities would rise by the size of gold certificates issued to the Fed. Federal Reserve: assets would rise by value of gold certificates & liabilities would rise by a crediting of cash in the Treasury cash balance (Exhibit 4). And here is the punchline: the Fed balance sheet impact would look like QE though no open market purchases would be required & Fed liability growth would initially be in TGA.  In other words, the best of all words: a QE-like operation, one which see the Fed quietly funnel almost $700 billion in cash to the Treasury... but without actually doing a thing! On net, a gold re-marking would increase the size of both Treasury & Fed balance sheets + allow for TGA to be used for Treasury priorities (i.e. SWF, pay down debt, fund deficit, etc). Meanwhile, the Fed and Treasury magically conjure some $990 billion out of thing air to be spent on whatever, all because the Treasury agrees that the fair value of gold is... the fair value of gold.  Source: zerohedge.com    Political/Rights