English Premier League soccer betting projections, analysis and picks using advanced soccer ratings and data. The show uses scaled Squawka performance scores in an agile way to predict true betting odds. Squawka uses play by play data from OPTA. The show also uses the Clear Data Sports SpotterCut…
The guys are in a festive mood as they deal out the CDS top play of the MW14 EPL card and a likely anytime goal scorer with value. The OP is from the Wolves v. Sheffield United match. This match projection is based on the detailed and structured data contained in the CDS EPL model. Player and team strengths and weaknesses are discussed as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game.
On this weeks podcast, Riley brings out his advanced stats bazooka as he reviews an official play and deals out a tasty goal scorer at +300. The OP is from the Palace v. Liverpool match. This match projection is based on the detailed and structured data contained in the CDS EPL model. Player and team strengths and weaknesses are discussed as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game. Plus a big bonus anytime goal scorer!
On this weeks podcast, the guys review an official play from the Burnley v. West Ham match. This match projection is based on the detailed and structured data contained in the CDS EPL model and is discussed by Lead Soccer Handicapper, Riley Wichmann. You can choose roll the dice and take the chance you will be "burned by Burnley", or you can learn about how the Burnley side and West Ham opponent shape up for this MW12 duel. Certain player and team strengths and weaknesses are discussed as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game. Plus a big bonus future play! Mark the Basewinner hosts. He discusses the weekly three headed parlay from the Burnley v. Hammer game that has a potential payoff of 6.25 to 1.
Projections and analysis for this weekend's EPL matches based on detailed and structured data analysis from CDS Lead Soccer Handicapper, Riley Wichmann. For Matchweek 11, Everton and Tottenham are profiled by Riley. An official CDS play in this game is given out that has 10% model value. You can learn about the Everton and Tottenham team and player strengths and weaknesses as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game. Mark Borchard hosts and discusses the weekly three headed parlay. He is chatty and jovial this week in his discussion of the parlay in the Everton game. The three headed parlay has a potential payout of 19-1.
Projections and analysis for this weekend's EPL matches based on detailed and structured data analysis from CDS Lead Soccer Handicapper Riley Wichmann. For Matchweek 10, Watford and Bournemouth are profiled by Riley. An official CDS play in this game is given out that has over 12% model value. You can learn about EPL teams weekly as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections the model churns out. Mark Borchard hosts and discusses the weekly three headed parlay. This week, the parlay in the Watford v. Bournemouth match has a potential payout of 13-1.
Two Matchweek 9 games are broken down in depth and both have very good value according to our models. Riley takes a look at key numbers in the Everton v. West Ham match then he points out good reasons why a certain bet has value in the Palace v. City game. The guys also give you a 3 headed parlay in the Everton v. West Ham game that will pay out a generous 14-1.
If you are looking for a valuable play in the EPL this weekend, we have one for you on this podcast. Riley dissects the Southampton v. Chelsea match and gives you some very relevant numbers to help you with your betting decisions. The guys also give you a 3 headed parlay in the City game that will pay out a nice +288.
If you are a total's player looking for a bonanza, this podcast is for you. Riley gives you a comprehensive look at Wolves v. Watford and digs into the depths of the CDS model to make his case. Then, BaseWinner gives you a "clever" 3-headed parlay that will pay 36-1. The second full game the guys look at is between LCFC and Newcastle and the you get the "total lowdown" in this one. The guys also bring you the podcast's new bonus segment "to score or not to score" for two games on the card.
On this week's episode, the guys review two games and Riley dives deep into the numbers. Get your weekend started early with Southampton v. Bournemouth on Friday then get the edge for Sunday's West Ham v. ManU match. Riley deals em out and both these plays have nice value. The podcast also features a bonus 5-1 three headed parlay and "to score or not to score" plays.
On this week's episode, the guys review two games and Riley brings his statistical flamethrower. One game on Saturday, Man U v. Leicester City and one on Sunday, Watford v Arsenal. Riley deals out a total and a pk play. Both these plays have good value and will give you a good chance to get your weekend started off right. The podcast features two official plays plus a 12-1 three headed parlay.
On this week's episode, the guys review two games. Both games are Saturday matches. West Ham v Norwich and Chelsea v Sheffield United. Riley gets exotic as he deals a goal scorer and an Asian handicap play. Both these plays have double digit value and will give you a good chance to get your weekend started off right. The podcast features two official plays plus a 7.25-1 three headed parlay.
This weekend, Riley goes solo and tackles the prime time Tottenham v. Newcastle match on Sunday. The pod features one official play with double digit edge!
On this week's episode, the guys review two games. The Saturday match between Aston Villa and Bournemouth and the Sunday match between Sheffield United and Crystal Palace. How is the CDS team going to set you up for these? The podcast features two official plays + a 19-1 three headed parlay with a 6% betting edge. More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, the guys feature the Sunday match between Newcastle and Arsenal. How is the CDS team going to set you up for this one? Riley brings it with his analysis and shows you some new features inside the model. He gives you two official plays as a gift to start the new season + an 18-1 three headed parlay. More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com
Riley and the EPL Model are back for the new EPL Season! We are looking to improve on our 32+ unit season from last year and have made some nice additions to our predictive models. Basewinner hosts and Riley gives you a sneak preview inside the CDS models as he goes deep into 4 strong future projections. Learn about our 10,000 game season simulation from Mr. Riley, the Prince of Monte Carlo simulations himself. You can't find these soccer metrics, player ratings, projections or models anywhere else. Enjoy the analysis as Riley gets you really ready for the new season!
Basewinner hosts the final podcast of the season and Riley answers the big question, Should we hedge our Liverpool futures ticket? Also, Riley's full take on the game, the model's probabilities and a look at our goal scorer ticket status. Riley brings passion to this one as he breaks down the biggest game of the season.
On this week's episode, the guys look at some sneaky value in London. How is the CDS team gonna set you up for the Spurs v. Everton match? Riley brings it with analysis for the final week of the season. The guys also talk about this magical season, the model and the CDS off season approach for the 2019-20 EPL season. Also on the pod, there is good Champions league talk. The guys touch upon the Clear Data UCL finals strategy as we move into this match with an 8-1 Liverpool ticket in our pocket. More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, the guys go deep into the Man City v. Leicester game and two official plays are talked about. As usual, the podcast includes Riley's great analysis and stat gems from Mark. However, Riley drops what could be the best joke of the year and it initially goes way over Mark's head. More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, Riley gives in depth analysis on two matches including a double play on the Newcastle v. Brighton match. Riley also picks out a 19% edge play on Leicester, and goes deep into the models ratings behind the selection. Finally, Riley discusses some small tweaks in the model in preparation for the final few weeks of the EPL season. Overall, there are a total of 9 plays on the card, including two double plays, in what should be a wild matchweek 36.
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 35 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. This podcast is deep with analysis. Mark and Riley first discuss the the West Ham v Leicester game. The CDS guys are bullish on the Foxes and they tell you why as they breakdown the metrics for this game. Then, the guys give out a nice three headed parlay in this match as a bonus. Riley then deals out a gem in the Chelsea v Burnley game that has a 25% value number based on the model. Plus, with Kane out because of injury, Riley has identified value in the EPL goal scorer market and he uncovers this at the end of the podcast. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 34 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. Mark and Riley first discuss the the Brighton v Bournemouth game that has value on both of the CDSA models. Riley then deals out a nice play in the Liverpool v. Chelsea backed again by both models. The guys also joke about a theoretical model that analyzes games and predicts based on the quality and frequency of Mark's jokes. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, the CDSA team dives deep into the Newcastle v. Crystal Palace match and goes over a nice addition to the EPL model. Strong model vs. line value exists in the aforementioned game for both the side play and with the total projection. If that wasn't enough, the guys identify a three position parlay that has value at 20-1. Riley then describes the newly minted BAR DATA "model within the model". He talks about the main premise of this addition and how you can use it in your weekly EPL endeavors. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 32 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. Mark and Riley first discuss the the Fulham v Man City game. Riley identifies a goal scorer bet in this game that has a 27.1% expected value based on Riley's BAR goal scorer model. Riley then deals out a nice play in the Leicester v. Bournemouth and the guys cap the podcast off with a three headed parlay in this game. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, one Matchweek 31 games is analyzed and one official play is revealed. The EPL card is light this week but the analysis is deep. Riley dissects the Burnley v. Leicester total. The CDSA totals are 49-23 63.6% YTD and +25 units. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 30 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. Mark and Riley first discuss the the Chelsea v Wolves game. Projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models and Riley goes deep into the total. Mark also pulls out his stat of the week for this one. Riley then deals out a goal scorer in the S'Hampton v. Tottenham derived from his BAR model and has tremendous value in the market this week. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 29 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. Mark and Riley first discuss the the Watford v Leicester game. Projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models and a 14-1 three headed parlay is given out. These plays both have great value. Riley then deals out a CDSA total in the Everton v L'Pool match. The CDSA totals have been great this season and Riley explains how great on the pod. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 28 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. Mark and Riley first discuss the the Newcastle v Burnley game. Projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models and a 20-1 three headed parlay is given out. These plays both have great value. Riley then reveals a tasty treat with the first "official" goal scorer play in the history of the CDSA soccer model in the L'Pool v. Watford game. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 27 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. After thwarting the State of Virginia's plans to hire Riley as a sweeper, Basewinner talks with Riley about two upcoming matches and some nice plays are dealt. Mark and Riley discuss the total in the Burnley v. Tottenham games and projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models. Riley then discusses the big Sunday game involving Man U and L'Pool. He explains why there is value in this one. The MW27 bonus three headed parlay is broken down by Basewinner by value pct. based in the CDSA soccer models aggregate. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 26 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. Riley deals out two nice looking totals on this one. Mark and Riley talk about the new module Riley has built to identify goal scorer value as the guys break down the Fulham v. Man U game. Riley then goes deep into the S'Hampton v. Cardiff game and explains why he has his favorite play of the weekend in this match. The MW26 bonus three headed parlay is explained in depth and this one looks like it has great value. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 25 games are analyzed and two CDSA future plays are revealed. Riley brings his statistical flamethrower to the MW25 pod. You can almost feel the burn as the Burnley v. S'Hampton game is reviewed. The guys also point out the value generated by both the SHAG and the BAR model in this game. Riley then explains his passion for the model's Chelsea v. Huddersfield projection. The model's difference in this game is one of the biggest of the year. As a bonus, Mark and Riley also give out a goal scorer -winner - total for the MW 25 card that has a big price and good value at 9.5 to 1. As a double bonus, two official CDSA future plays derived from Riley's EPL Season Simulator are explained in depth. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 24 games are analyzed. Basewinner and Riley dig into Man U v. Burnley game with advanced stats. The guys point out the value generated by both the SHAG and the BAR model in this game and talk about the public reaction to the recent Man U surge. Riley and Mark then break down the S'Hampton v. Crystal Palace game and give you the numbers the models project. As a bonus, Mark and Riley give out a goal scorer -winner - total for the MW 24 card that has a big price and good value at 16 to 1. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
Riley and Mark have updated the CBB model and they explain the methodology and ideas behind the recent model updates on this show. The guys talk about studying the model and pinpointing the sweet spots to get the best results. Also on the podcast, Mark reiterates the importance of getting the best market price and what this means from a percentage standpoint. Mark and Riley also touch upon about what the future holds for the model and you get at least one good joke.
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 23 games are analyzed. Basewinner and Riley dig into the "spectacular" Newcastle v. Cardiff game with advanced stats. This game certainly lacks allure, but the guys point out the value generated by the model and talk about the the potential tactical and lineup effects on the numbers. Riley then breaks down the more appealing Arsenal v. Chelsea match. Riley talks about what he expects from this game. As a bonus, Mark and Riley give out a goal scorer -winner - total for the MW 23 card that has great value at 3.5 to 1. If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
Three MW22 games are broken down for your listening pleasure on this weeks edition of PLBE. Riley gives you a nice look at the Man U and Tottenham games to start the podcast off. Then, Riley gives you a great breakdown and a value play on the Brighton v. Liverpool match. To end the podcast, the guys give you the CDSA top play of the week in the Burnley v. Fulham match. Also included in the analysis of this game is a three position parlay that pays 16-1.
The podcast is back from the winter break, and this one qualifies as a deep track. Mark and Riley give you an update on the CBB model and then Riley goes deep into his Champions League work. Included in the podcast are Riley's 3 tasty Champions League future bets. Also, a recap of the pre-season EPL future bets and an update on where they stand. Also, Mark brings together soccer handicapping and the music of Right Said Fred.
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 18 games are analyzed. Riley & Mark dig into the stand alone Friday Wolves v Liverpool game with advanced stats. They review the key numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics. The guys also talk about Bournemouth v. Brighton. Riley talks about the team component ratings ratings that create the projected number and Mark supports by reviewing the two model 3 Way projections. As a bonus, Mark and Riley give out a goal scorer -winner - total for the MW 18 card that is a biggin at +875 potential payoff. If you want advanced analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
Introduction episode to the Clear Data Sports College Basketball Betting Model. You can view the overview page here:
On this week's episode, two big Matchweek 17 games are analyzed. Riley & Mark dig into big Liverpool game with advanced stats. They review the key numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics. The guys also talk about Fulham v. West Ham. Riley and he talks about the team component ratings ratings that create the projected number. As a bonus, Mark and Riley give out a goal scorer -winner - total for the MW 17 card that has a +229 potential payoff. If you want advanced analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
You get the deep tracks on this one. Riley and Mark recap EPL MW 16 and UCL, plus some soccer and college basketball modeling discussion. You will find out which teams got lucky, who "should have" won by the underlying stats and if we can learn anything from the week's results. Also, Mark and Riley talk about the modeling process, an update on the new CDSA College Basketball model (40:20) and Riley talks about his upcoming journey to hallowed EPL grounds.
The MW 16 card is loaded with totals and the podcast showcases two of the CDSA official plays for this round. We spotlight the feature game of Chelsea v. Man City and then have a sneaky take on the Cardiff v. Southampton total as well as a parlay idea that pays 17-1. Riley Wichmann, the CDSA Data Wizard, has put in hard work over the 24 hours to keep up eith the double rounds and has the model ticking. Riley and Mark go deep into the Chelsea v. Man City numbers and give you a solid play in this one. Also, the CDSA MW 15 is recapped. Riley gives you his take on what he saw and learned midweek and Mark talks about his experience betting this round. In addition, Riley uncovers a valuable parlay on the card that pays 17-1 and could make your weekend.
MW 15 offers a handicapping challenge because of the quick turn around. However, the hardest working man in the EPL handicapping business has updated the EPL model and the MW15 numbers have been crunched and are ready for you to enjoy. Riley goes deep into the Man U v. Arsenal numbers and deals out a play that could be your ace for the midweek card. Also, the CDSA MW 14 is recapped and Riley gives you his take on what he saw and learned. As a bonus, get some interesting mid-week EPL stats that could give you an edge and will definitely make you popular with all of the hot EPL stat women. In addition, Mark gives out a play that could make your Wednesday with a parlay that pays +725.
On this week's episode, two Matchweek 14 games are analyzed. Riley & Mark dig into the Arsenal v. Spurs game with advanced stats. They review the numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics. Riley breaks down the Spurs lineup and goes over what he anticipates. The guys also talk about Huddersfield v. Brighton. This match is not sexy, but Riley highlights the model's projections and he thinks this game contains a play that is a hidden gem. Mark also chimes in with some interesting betting stats regarding Huddersfield. As a bonus, BW gives out a goal scorer - winner parlay for the MW 14 card that has a +245 potential payoff. If you want advanced analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
Matchups: Brighton v. Leicester Everton v. Cardiff Fulham v. Southampton Manchester United v. Crystal Palace Watford v. Liverpool West Ham v. Manchester City Tottenham v. Chelsea Bournemouth v. Arsenal Wolverhampton v. Huddersfield Burnley v. Newcastle More sports betting analytics: https://www.cleardatasports.com/
On this week's episode, two big Matchweek 13 games are analyzed. Riley & Mark dig into the Man City game with advanced stats. They review the numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics. Also, Mark reveals a number that is very interesting regarding Manchester City totals. The guys also talk about Spurs v. Chelsea. Riley loves this play and he talks about the team component ratings ratings that create the projected number and 25% market edge. As a bonus, BW gives out a goal scorer -winner - total for the MW 13 card that has a +675 potential payoff. If you want advanced analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
Does the international break have you feeling down, lonely and depressed? Have no fear, Mark and Riley will brighten your week with this episode. Mark scopes out the futures board and with the help of Riley's unique BAR numbers, he identifies the value plays in the To Win League, Relegation and Goal Scorer market. Caution: A couple of bombs are thrown out that could rattle the soccer hipster community. Also, Riley waxes poetic about key EPL stats he has derived and gives you his take to help you anticipate further league action.
Matchups: Cardiff v. Brighton Huddersfield v. West Ham Leicester v. Burnley Newcastle v. Bournemouth Southampton v. Watford Crystal Palace v. Tottenham Liverpool v. Fulham Chelsea v. Everton Arsenal v. Wolverhampton Manchester City v. Manchester United More sports betting analytics: https://www.cleardatasports.com/
On this week's episode, the Manchester Derby is dissected. Riley digs into this game with advanced stats, reviews the numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics. Also, Man City's unique Ball Advancement Rating (BAR) numbers are discussed in depth and Riley talks about what it could mean for Sunday's game. We also talk about a nice value play involving Newcastle and Bournemouth. BW loves this play and the analysis that creates the projected number is reviewed. As a bonus, BW gives out a goal scorer and winner for the MW 12 card that has a +347 potential payoff. If you want advanced analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you. More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com
Matchups: Bournemouth v. Manchester United Cardiff v. Leicester Everton v. Brighton West Ham v. Burnley Newcastle v. Watford Arsenal v. Liverpool Wolverhampton v. Tottenham Manchester City v. Southampton Chelsea v. Crystal Palace Huddersfield v. Fulham More sports betting analytics: https://www.cleardatasports.com/
New Podcast is LIVE: Mark & Riley EPL Update: Inside the pod, we review the updated 2018 EPL model, including a review of: 538 Soccer model - number of goals a team would score against an average team Expected goals - probability of scoring from a shot based on position and defender location (and the specific player taking the shot) Riley also goes into his new *Tactical* rating system, attempting to quantify: Ball Winning = Interceptions / Opponents possession Fluidity Net = Quality of expected goals vs quality of expected goals allowed Attack Efficiency = Expected goals / Possession Defense Efficiency = Expected goals allowed / Opp Possession Ball Advancement Rating = Value each player adds to advancing the ball in each game The early results from the model are fantastic: Moneyline: 28 plays, 50%, +5.03 units won Over/Under: 26 plays, 62%, +7.33 units won BTTS: 5 plays, 20%, -4.13 units won Asian Handicap: 2 plays, 50%, +0.26 units won Overall: EPL: 55 plays, 56%, +8.85 units UCL: 7 plays, 28%, -0.36 units More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com/epl-11-new-podcast-mark-riley-epl-update/
Matchups: Southampton v. Newcastle Watford v. Huddersfield Brighton v. Wolverhampton Fulham v. Bournemouth Liverpool v. Cardiff City Leicester v. West Ham Burnley v. Chelsea Crystal Palace v. Arsenal Manchester United v. Everton Tottenham v. Manchester City More sports betting analytics: https://www.cleardatasports.com/
Matchups: Southampton v. Newcastle Watford v. Huddersfield Brighton v. Wolverhampton Fulham v. Bournemouth Liverpool v. Cardiff City Leicester v. West Ham Burnley v. Chelsea Crystal Palace v. Arsenal Manchester United v. Everton Tottenham v. Manchester City More sports betting analytics: https://www.cleardatasports.com/
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