PlaybyPlay

MLB Prop Picks 9/14/26, Monday | Chris' Homerun Hitlist by Chris Adkins.

MLB Prop Picks 9/14/26, Monday | Chris' Homerun Hitlist

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants by Tony T. The Pick Wind still blowing out. Padres hit .244 in their past 26 games with a .400 slugging percentage. Giants bat .245 in their past 28 games with a .414 slugging percentage. Webb in his past five starts has an ERA of 7.15 with WHIP of 1.54. Padres are 4-1-1 to the over in their past six and Giants 4-2 to the over in this span. Play San Diego and San Francisco over 7.

Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks by Tony T. The Pick Texas is batting .265 against left-handed starters with a .433 slugging percentage. Arizona bats .231 against right-handed starters with a .377 slugging percentage. Quantrill in his past five starts has an ERA of 1.69 with WHIP of 0.75. Rodriguez also in great recent form. Arizona is 16-15 in their past 31 at home with a -1-unit loss. Play Rangers +124.

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox by Tony T. The Pick KC is batting .220 in their past six games with a .370 slugging percentage. Boston hits .218 in their past six games with a .294 OBP. Cameron in his past five starts has an ERA of 1.74 with WHIP of 0.83. Tolle is also in good recent form. Both bullpens in great recent form. Red Sox 5-1 to the under in their past six and Royals 5-0-1 to the under. Play KC and Boston under 7.5.

Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals by Tony T. The Pick White Sox are batting .218 in their past six games with a .381 slugging percentage. Cardinals hit .271 in this span with a .351 OBP. Burke in his past five starts carries an ERA of 7.52 with WHIP of 1.96. White Sox are 9-14 on the road against the NL with a -2.6-unit loss. Cardinals are 22-21 at home against winning teams with a +2.9 unit return. Play St Louis +116.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers by Tony T. The Pick Reds are hitting .235 in their past six games with a .302 OBP. Brewers hit .329 in this span with a .551 slugging percentage. This could be a piggie back starting situation with Burns and Williamson. Gasser's numbers better at home. Brewers' bullpen in better 28 game form. They are 43-34 to the run line at home with a +13-unit return. Reds are 2-7 to the run line on the road facing an NL team that allows four runs per game or fewer with a -7.2-unit loss. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at +103.

Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins by Tony T. The Pick Cleveland is batting .240 in their past six games with a .387 OBP. Twins hit .191 in this span with a .322 slugging percentage. Ryan in his past four starts has an ERA of 8.38 with WHIP of 1.60. Guardians' bullpen in good recent and 28 game with the Twins pen poor in these periods. Cleveland 12-8 in their past 20 road games against losing teams with a +4 unit return. Minnesota is 12-17 in their past 29 home games against losing teams with a -5.9-unit loss. Play Guardians +116.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays by Tony T. The Pick Baltimore is batting .228 in their past 28 games with a .297 OBP. Blue Jays bat .275 in their past 27 games with a .423 slugging percentage. Cease in his past five starts has an ERA of 2.40 with WHIP of 0.90. Rogers numbers are worse on the road. Baltimore is 9-21 on the road facing an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower with a -10.1-unit loss. Toronto is 9-4 when favored by -150 to -200 with a +2.3-unit return. Play Blue Jays -150.

Browns vs Jaguars NFL Week 1 Betting Odds & Picks, 9/13/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Ravens vs Colts NFL Week 1 Betting Odds & Picks, 9/13/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Falcons vs Steelers NFL Week 1 Betting Odds & Picks, 9/13/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Bills vs Texans NFL Week 1 Betting Odds & Picks, 9/13/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants by Tony T. Dak Prescott is the more accomplished passer and owns the slate's second-highest posted passing line at approximately 262 yards. However, Dallas will be without All-Pro left guard Tyler Smith, who is on injured reserve following thumb surgery. That is not a minor substitution. It affects interior communication and Prescott's ability to step into throws against a Giants front built around Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibodeaux and disguise.

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles by Tony T. Jalen Hurts remains the stabilizing piece of Philadelphia's offense, but he begins a new system with first-time play caller Sean Mannion. Washington has also changed defensive coordinators, turning to Daronte Jones. That creates a genuine Week 1 information problem: Hurts must prepare for pressure and coverage tendencies without current regular-season film, while Washington must defend an offense whose sequencing has changed.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings by Tony T. Jordan Love remains in Matt LaFleur's offense and owns the more established terminology and timing. Kyler Murray makes his Minnesota debut in Kevin O'Connell's system, providing elite movement ability but introducing new protection language and route timing. Minnesota can reduce that transition risk with play action and a revamped run game. Green Bay's defense must keep rush lanes disciplined because conventional edge pressure can become a Murray escape opportunity.

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders by Tony T. Malik Willis begins the Jeff Hafley era as Miami's starter. His Green Bay work was efficient—high completion production, no interceptions and meaningful rushing value—but it came in a limited and managed sample. The correct evaluation is not to treat those appearances as a full-season forecast. Willis must prove he can process an entire game plan when Maxx Crosby eliminates his preferred escape lane and forces him to reset.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers by Tony T. Justin Herbert creates the clearest quarterback advantage in the afternoon window. His arm strength and intermediate accuracy can directly attack an Arizona secondary missing two starters. Jacoby Brissett is an experienced distributor, but his offense has less ability to erase failed protection through off-schedule explosives.

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics by Tony T. The Pick Seattle is batting .248 on the road against the division with a .399 slugging percentage. Athletics hit .262 at home against the division with a .439 slugging percentage. Woo on the road has an ERA of 5.63. Jump at home carries an ERA of 5.62 with WHIP of 1.55 and his current form even worse. Athletics bullpen poor at home and Mariner's pen poor on the road. Athletics are 42-28-3 to the over at home. Mariners are 19-8-1 to the over in their past 28 games. Play Seattle and Athletics over 9.5.

Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks by Tony T. The Pick Texas is hitting .222 in their past six games with a .307 OBP. Arizona hits .265 in this span with a .408 slugging percentage. Pfaadt in better recent form. Arizona bullpen in good recent and 27 game form with the Rangers poor in these two span in the bullpen. Diamondbacks have won five of six with a +3.8 unit return. Rangers are 32-44 on the road with a -13.2 unit loss. Play Arizona -135.

Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals by Tony T. The Pick Chicago is batting .217 in their past six games with a .314 OBP. Cardinals hit .289 in this span with a .417 slugging percentage. Castillo has struggled all season long. White Sox have lost five of six with a -5.3-unit loss. Chicago is 8-14 on the road against the NL with a -3.6-unit loss. Play St Louis -110.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves by TOny T. The Pick Philadelphia is batting .227 on the road with a .296 OBP. Braves hit .256 at home with a .427 slugging percentage. Braves bullpen in better recent form. Atlanta is 50-26 at home with a +12.7-unit return. Phillies are 7-11 on the road facing an NL team that allows four runs per game or fewer with a -3.5-unit loss. Play Atlanta -122.

Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays by Tony T. The Pick Houston is hitting .263 in their past six games with a .427 slugging percentage. Rays hit .246 in their past six games with a .319 OBP. Lambert in his nine road starts has an ERA of 3.00. Seymour, in his past five appearances, carries an ERA of 5.18 with .573 slugging percentage against. Astros are 38-35 on the road with a +4.6-unit return. Rays clinched a playoff spot the night before. Play Astros +128.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins by Tony T. The Pick LA is batting .268 on the road with a .433 slugging percentage. Miami hits .253 at home with a .401 slugging percentage. Glasnow on the road has an ERA of 2.12 with WHIP of 0.64. LA bullpen in good recent and 27 game with the Marlins pen in poor form in these periods. LA is 20-14 to the run line on the road against losing teams with a +4.3-unit return. Miami is 13-18 to the run line at home in their past 31 games with a -5 unit loss. Play Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -105.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins by Tony T. The Pick Cleveland is batting .253 in their past 28 games with a .386 slugging percentage. Twins hit .247 in their past 26 games with a .318 OBP. Prielipp in his past five appearances has an ERA of 6.75. Guardians' bullpen in good recent 28 and six game form and the Twins pen in poor form in these periods. Minnesota has lost 16 of 26 with a -6.7-unit loss. Guardians are 17-11 in their past 28 games with a +2.9-unit return. Play Cleveland -103.

Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox by Tony T. The Pick KC is hi8tting .258 in their past 27 games with a .425 slugging percentage. Red Sox hit .248 in their past 29 games with a .415 slugging percentage. Dobnak in his five road appearances has an ERA of 0.92 with WHIP of 0.98. Suarez ERA is higher at home. KC bullpen in better 27 game form. Royals are 17-10 in their past 27 games with a +7.7 unit return. Boston has dropped five of six at home with a -7-unit loss. Play KC +162.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants by Tony T. The Pick San Diego is batting .268 in their past six games with a .454 slugging percentage. Giants hit .236 in that span with a.422 slugging percentage. Padres' bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.32 with the Giants bullpen at home an ERA of 4.15. Wind blowing out. SF if 16-11-2 to the over in their past 29 games. Padres are 18-13 to the over in their road day games. Play San Diego and San Francisco over 8.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays by Tony T. The Pick Baltimore is batting .258 on the road in the division with a .426 slugging percentage. Toronto hits .239 at home against the division with a .308 OBP. Both starters in poor recent form. Orioles bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.35. Baltimore is 14-7 to the over on the road against the division. Blue Jays are 15-9 at home against the division Play Baltimore and Toronto over 8.5.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs by Tony T. The Pick Pittsburgh is hitting .265 against right handed starters with a .425 slugging percentage. Chicago bats .245 against right-handed starters with a .411 slugging percentage. Pirates bullpen in better 27 game form. Pittsburgh is 59-42 against right-handed starters with a +11.6 unit return. Chicago is 12-14 at home in division games with a -7.2-unit loss. Play Pirates +109.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees by Tony T. The Pick Mets are batting .287 in their past five games with a .478 slugging percentage. NY is hitting .246 in their past six games with a .403 slugging percentage. Thornton on the road has an ERA of 2.95. Cole at home carries an ERA of 3.35. Mets are 17-13 in their past 30 on the road with a +7.3-unit return. NYY is 10-11 at home in their past 21 games against losing teams with a -5.9-unit loss. Play Mets +154.

Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers by Tony T. The Pick Colorado is batting .269 against left-handed starters with a .327 OBP. Tigers hit .238 against right handed starters with a .315 OBP. Gordon on the road has an ERA of 2.68. Rockies are 13-18 on the road against losing teams with a +1.8 unit return. Detroit is 14-15 in their past 29 home games with a -4.5 unit loss. Play Colorado +124.

Guardians vs Twins MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/12/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Royals vs Red Sox MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/12/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Georgia Southern at Clemson College Football Preview by Tony T. Georgia Southern opened with a 31-0 shutout of Charleston Southern, holding the opponent to 35 total yards while gaining 424. Max Johnson completed 28 of 39 passes for 281 yards and a touchdown, and Ashton Hollins caught eight passes for 106 yards. The Eagles return nine starters, including six on defense.

San Diego State at UCLA College Football Preview by Tony T. San Diego State beat Portland State 53-20, though the box score was less dominant than the score. The Aztecs were out-snapped 82-63, gained 394 yards to 375 and traded three turnovers apiece. Jayden Denegal completed 12 of 17 for 137 yards, two touchdowns and one interception.

Middle Tennessee at Marshall College Football Preview by Tony T. Middle Tennessee handled Murray State 38-14 with 396 yards on only 48 plays, no turnovers and 8.9 yards per rush. Roman Gagliano completed 20 of 26 passes for 200 yards and two touchdowns. That was a clean opening performance for a roster returning only six starters and no established starting quarterback from 2025.

Padres vs Giants MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Rangers vs Diamondbacks MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Mariners vs Athletics MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

White Sox vs Cardinals MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Guardians vs Twins MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Reds vs Brewers MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott.

Phillies vs Braves MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Royals vs Red Sox MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott.

Astros vs Rays MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Dodgers vs Marlins MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Orioles vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Mets vs Yankees MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

Angels vs Nationals MLB Betting Odds & Picks, 9/11/26 | Night Moves Show by Ramon Scott

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants by Tony T. Ray brings the much larger starting workload, with 27 starts among 28 appearances and a combined 3.39 ERA. His 4.68 FIP is 1.29 runs higher, qualifying for display under the variance rule. Molina has made only two starts in six appearances, so a bulk-pitching structure remains possible. His 4.02 FIP is 1.23 runs above the 2.79 ERA. Reliable combined K%, BB% and GB% figures were unavailable for both pitchers after team changes and are not estimated.

Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks by Tony T. Rocker leads the comparison in every requested category, though the gaps are modest in several areas. He has struck out more hitters, walked fewer, generated more ground balls and allowed fewer home runs per nine. Kelly's 5.06 ERA and 1.47 WHIP reflect greater traffic, while his 15.4% strikeout rate places more pressure on the defense. Neither starter owns an elite run-prevention line entering the series opener.