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Florida at Missouri Prediction by Tony T.The supplied refresh captures each club through four completed games but does not contain a verified prior-game score log. Current form is therefore summarized from the four-game body of work: Florida is averaging 53.5-22.8, while Missouri is averaging 35.8-20.8.

North Texas at Tulsa Prediction by Tony T.North Texas brings the more explosive offense. The Mean Green average 516.0 yards, 39.5 points and 7.24 yards per play, while Jackson has completed roughly three-quarters of his passes with only two interceptions. White adds a high-leverage run and receiving threat. Tulsa's answer is a defense allowing 4.86 yards per play and 15.3 points per game, with Thomas Davis and Dax Collins capable of disrupting the pocket.

Western Kentucky at New Mexico State Prediction by Tony T.Western Kentucky stopped a three-game skid with a 52-7 home win over Mercyhurst after losses at Nevada, Georgia and Indiana. New Mexico State lost the Rio Grande Rivalry 42-18 to New Mexico. Four consecutive meaningful Aggies possessions ended with two interceptions, a fumble and a turnover on downs, helping create a 35-3 deficit through three quarters.

College Football Week 5 Picks and Predictions for October 1, 2026 Thursday by Tony T.

Guten Tag, Cabalists! Steve, Don, Jamie, and Tony T are tippin' their steins back for Oktoberfest and gabbing about the hottest games hitting Essen Spiel 2026! Grab a giant tray of wienerschnitzel, spaetzle, and sauerkraut, fill up a pint, and join the Founders as they celebrate Essen Spiel. PROST!

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves by Tony T.FIP: 3.32 — 1.33 runs higher than his 1.99 ERA.Sánchez brings a complete 33-start regular-season profile into this afternoon matchup, built on a 2.91 ERA, 27.0% strikeout rate and 57.7% ground-ball rate. Mahle has been outstanding in his nine Atlanta starts, though the FIP gap adds some caution to the shiny ERA. Philadelphia is a small moneyline favorite in a seven-run game.

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros by Tony T.Houston is priced as a home favorite behind Brown, whose 57.0% ground-ball rate and 0.9 HR/9 provide a useful foundation. Burke has made 32 appearances and 27 starts with a 3.34 ERA, while his 25.8% strikeout rate keeps the White Sox competitive. The total is 7.5 runs with balanced -110 pricing.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres by Tony T.San Diego is favored at home with Pivetta holding a 2.86 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and a 30.0% strikeout rate over eight starts. Gausman's Cubs line shows a 4.83 ERA and 2.0 HR/9 through nine starts. The current team split does not populate Gausman's advanced strikeout, walk and ground-ball rates, so those values are left unlisted rather than estimated.

College Football Week 5 Picks and Predictions for October 3, 2026 Saturday by Tony T.

Western Michigan at Buffalo by Tony T.Western Michigan owns the cleaner defensive profile, allowing 20.0 points and 5.34 yards per play, while Buffalo has surrendered 33.3 points and 6.36 yards per play. Buffalo's 75-play pace creates volume, but its offense has converted that volume into only 4.21 yards per play. The matchup hinges on whether the Broncos can control the game with Jalen Buckley and avoid giving Buffalo extra possessions.

Toledo at Ball State by Tony T.Toledo has the slate's sharpest statistical mismatch: 7.11 offensive yards per play against a Ball State defense allowing 6.77. John Alan Richter has produced a 12-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and the Rockets also have enough rushing production to keep the Cardinals from selling out against the pass. Ball State is averaging only 279.6 yards and 18.0 points.

Virginia at Florida State by Tony T.Virginia combines a balanced 447.3-yard offense with a defense allowing only 247.0 yards and 4.10 per play. Beau Pribula's 11-to-1 passing ratio is a major contrast with Ashton Daniels' five interceptions. Florida State can stress the Cavaliers with Kromah and a 6.63-yard-per-play offense, but its defense has not matched that efficiency.

Bowling Green at Miami (Ohio) by Tony T.Bowling Green has scored only 8.3 points per game and generated 4.07 yards per play, while its defense has allowed 7.21. Miami's offense has been far more explosive at 6.76 yards per play, led by McComb's 10.3 yards per pass attempt. The statistical case for Miami is strong, but the quarterback injury is more important here than in almost any other matchup on the board.

Ohio at Kent State by Tony T.Ohio has the clearer offensive edge, averaging 30.3 points and 368.8 yards compared with Kent State's 16.3 and 280.1. The Bobcats' 189.5 rushing yards per game should test a Kent defense allowing 6.35 yards per play. Kent's best answer is DeShields' dual-threat production and a turnover swing against an Ohio defense that has generated only one takeaway.

Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts by Tony T.Massachusetts has a decisive early-season efficiency profile: 36.3 points scored, 12.8 allowed, 6.48 offensive yards per play and 4.27 allowed. Eastern Michigan has managed only 95.6 rushing yards per game and 4.61 yards per play. William Watson's dual-threat production gives UMass another advantage against a thin Eastern Michigan availability list.

Memphis at Charlotte by Tony T.Memphis is averaging 508.0 yards and 8.13 per play, with Jaylin Carter supplying 437 rushing yards and Marcus Stokes averaging more than 10 yards per attempt. Charlotte's six interceptions from Cole Gonzales create a difficult turnover matchup, and the 49ers average only 105.3 rushing yards. Memphis' concern is a defense allowing 440.8 yards and 6.53 per play.

Old Dominion at Georgia State by Tony T.Georgia State's offense holds the strongest unit advantage, averaging 468.3 yards and 6.64 per play against an Old Dominion attack at 287.6 and 4.81. Old Dominion's defense has been efficient at 4.49 yards allowed per play, which is the Monarchs' best counterweight. Henicle's legs drive much of their explosive potential, making his questionable designation highly consequential.

Auburn at Tennessee by Tony T.Tennessee owns the stronger scoring and defensive profile, averaging 40.0 points while allowing 15.5. Its 241.5 rushing yards per game can test Auburn's front, and Faizon Brandon has yet to throw an interception. Auburn's defense has allowed only 4.75 yards per play, but Byrum Brown's five interceptions create extra-possession risk in a difficult road setting.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees by Tony T.The Yankees' slight edge comes with Fried's exceptional 0.99 WHIP and 0.3 home runs allowed per nine innings. Gray matches up well with a 2.72 ERA across 29 starts and a clean 6.7% walk rate. This is the board's 6.5-run total, putting every baserunner at a premium.

MLB Picks for Today, Tuesday 9/29/26 by Tony T.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Pick 9/29/26 MLB Pick Prediction by Tony T.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Pick 9/29/26 MLB Pick Prediction by Tony T.

Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Pick 9/29/26 MLB Pick Prediction by Tony T.

Notre Dame at North Carolina Prediction by Tony T.Notre Dame stayed unbeaten with a 49-10 win at Purdue, extending a dominant start in which the Irish have allowed only 8.2 points per game. North Carolina was idle and enters with a 2-1 record, giving the Tar Heels extra time to prepare for the most complete defense on their early schedule.

Boston College at SMU Prediction by Tony T.Boston College lost 21-14 to Virginia Tech in difficult weather, with quarterback Mason McKenzie scoring twice on the ground but the passing game struggling. SMU beat Missouri State 34-24 despite 12 penalties and an early pick-six. Kevin Jennings completed 33 of 39 passes for a career-high 464 yards and three touchdowns as SMU outgained the Bears 592-239.

Stanford at Wake Forest Prediction by Tony T.Stanford comes off a 44-11 loss to Georgia Tech and has now dropped three of four. Wake Forest produced one of Week 4's biggest upsets, winning 30-27 at Louisville. Gio Lopez threw for 225 yards, Carlos Hernandez caught nine passes for 194 yards, and Ty Clark ran for 91 yards with two touchdowns.

Syracuse at UConn Prediction by Tony T.Previous Game Recap and Matchup OutlookSyracuse was idle last week, giving the Orange extra preparation after a three-game opening sample in which they averaged 32.3 points and allowed 17.0. UConn fell 24-21 at Miami (Ohio). Kalieb Osborne supplied 215 passing yards, two touchdown passes and 88 rushing yards, but a late interception and protection problems kept the Huskies from finishing the comeback.

Navy at Air Force Prediction by Tony T.Navy lost 24-20 at UAB and enters the rivalry with quarterback Braxton Woodson listed questionable because of an ankle injury. Air Force escaped Nevada 36-33 in double overtime as Liam Szarka ran for a career-high 171 yards and two touchdowns, helping the Falcons convert four fourth downs in a high-leverage road win.

Michigan at Minnesota Prediction by Tony T.Previous Game Recap and Matchup OutlookMichigan lost 20-19 to Iowa on a touchdown with two seconds remaining. Bryce Underwood threw for 276 yards and two scores, both to JJ Buchanan, but red-zone stalls forced the Wolverines to settle for field goals. Minnesota enters off a 41-7 win at Washington and has won three of its first four.

Vanderbilt at Georgia Prediction by Tony T.Vanderbilt took its first loss, 21-15 at Auburn, after opening 3-0. Georgia remained unbeaten with a 41-13 win over Oklahoma. The Bulldogs forced four turnovers and converted those mistakes into 17 points; Gunner Stockton threw for 171 yards and a touchdown, while Dwight Phillips supplied an explosive 54-yard scoring run.

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears by Tony T.Hurts has the proven advantage. His early passing efficiency is good even though Philadelphia's 37.2% offensive success rate and 7.0% explosive rate are ordinary. Chicago's defense has allowed +0.162 EPA per opponent dropback and a 10.0% explosive-play rate, so Smith and Wicks can create chunk gains if the line handles Chicago's sixth-ranked pass rush.

Houston Astros at Athletics by Tony T.An Astros win or Rangers loss and Houston wins the AL West. Houston is batting .253 in their past five games with a .511 slugging percentage. Athletics hit .302 in their past five games with a .506 slugging percentage. Blanco has been hammered on the road. Basso has been hammered at home. Houston bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.23 with the Athletics pen at home an ERA of 6.52 at home. Athletics are 49-28-3 to the over at home. Astros have gone over in four of five. Play Houston and Athletics over the total.

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos by Tony T.The Pick: Arizona receiver Nacua is doubtful with tight end questionable. LA has a free safety doubtful. Denver receiver Mims is questionable. Denver has an injury advantage based on Chao ratings. Myles Garrett is on IR and injury to Nacua. Corum is rushing for 6 yards a carry for LA and Williams is at 5.5. Nix has five turnovers this season and faces a strong defensive line for the Rams. Jonah Coleman, the Broncos' second leading rusher, went to IR. Stafford has been protected and is averaging 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Play LA -2.

NFL Week 2 Picks - Sunday 9/27/26 | Tony's NFL Picks & Predictions by Tony T.

MLB Picks for Today, Sunday 9/27/26 by Tony T.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers by Tony T.St Louis is batting .178 in their past five games with a .338 slugging percentage. Brewers hit .252 in their past five games with a .368 slugging percentage. Pallante's numbers are better on the road. Misiorowski at home has an ERA of 1.61 with WHIP of 0.70 and will open. Both bullpens in good recent form. Cardinals have gone under in five of six. Brewers have gone under in four of six. Play St Louis and Milwaukee under 7.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees by Tony T.There is an 87% chance of rain with 22MPH wind blowing in. This game means nothing so could be postponed with no makeup. Yankees will host Red Sox in Wildcard round on Tuesday so would expect their high leverage arms to sit this one out with limited action from the everyday players. Yankees have hit .230 in their past seven games. Orioles won four out of six. Play Baltimore +118.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals by Tony T.There is a 31$ chance of raing with 16 MPH winds. NY is batting .240 in their past six games with a .306 OBP. Nationals hitting .206 in this span with a .317 slugging percentage. Conditions do not look good for hitting here. Play Mets and Nationals under 8.5.

Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox by Tony T.This game played in Tampa Bay due to bad weather in Boston. Both teams are locked into their seed and will travel to their destination for a Tuesday wildcard game. Cubs have a long flight to San Diego. Cubs are hitting .227 in their past six games with a .336 slugging percentage. Red Sox hit .217 in this period with a .207 slugging percentage. Low leverage arms in bullpen rested with off day on Saturday. Both teams want to get this game over quick, especially Chicago because they have longer flights. Chicago hitters are likely not to take many pitches here. Play Boston.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers by Tony T.Pittsburgh is hitting .220 in their past six games. Tigers hit .262 in this period with a l.446 slugging percentage. Jones in good recent form and River Ryan will open and he pitched three scoreless innings in his debut. Tigers' bullpen performed well at home. Play Detroit +113.

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies by Tony T.A Phillies win or Arizona loss and they earn the final wildcard berth. Rays are locked into one seed but will have five days off until they play on Saturday. Phillies in their past five games hit .182 with a .258 slugging percentage. Martinez on the road has an ERA of 2.05. Phillies bullpen in poor 26 game form. Tampa Bay won 19 of 28 with a +8.3-unit return. Play Tampa Bay +131.

Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays by Tony T.Toronto is batting .245 in their past six games with a .337 slugging percentage. Reds hit .216 in this span with a.407 slugging percentage. Williamson numbers are better on the road. Scherzer has been hammered at home. Red's bullpen is in good recent form. Blue Jays have lost five of seven. Play Cincinnati +155.

Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox by Tony T.White Sox are locked into their seed and has nothing to play form. Chicago will travel to Texas or Houston for a Wildcard series beginning on Tuesday. Would expect the White Sox to rest players and their high-leverage arms. Pay Colorado +180.

Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals by Tony T.Guardians won the AL Central division and has nothing to play for. They will play next on Saturday. KC bats .264 at home with a .437 slugging percentage. Guardians hit .219 on the road against the division with a .267 slugging percentage. Play KC +123.

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins by Tony T.A Texas win and Houston loss and the Rangers win the AL West. Texas is hitting .183 in their past five games with a .261 slugging percentage. Twins are hitting .252 in their past six games with a .294 OBP. Twins bullpen in good recent form. Twins have gone under in four of six. Play Texas and Minnesota under 8.5.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners by Tony T.LA is batting .258 in their past six games with a .404 slugging percentage. Mariners hit .194 in their past five games with a .262 slugging percentage. Kikuchi in good recent form with Gilbert in poor form recently. Both bullpens in poor 26 game form. Seattle lost 16 of 26 with a -14.1 unit loss. Play Angels +152.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres by Tony T.Padres have clinched four seed and have nothing to play for as they host the Cubs on Tuesday in the Wildcard round. King won't pitch and Griffin Canning was called up and likely to go deep into this game. The Diamondbacks win and Phillies lose and Arizona make the wildcard round. Diamondbacks are all in here with the Padres resting players and high leverage relievers for Tuesday. Play Diamondbacks run line -1.5 runs at

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins by Tony T.Atlanta has nothing to play for as they host the Wildcard round on Tuesday against the Philies or Diamondbacks. Would expect the Braves to rest players and high leverage arms. Atlanta wants to get this game over and will be free swinging as the focus is on Tuesday and game playing for either Phillies or Diamondbacks. Marlins are 46-34 at home with a +7.6-unit return. Play Miami -103.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants by Tony T.LA is hitting .249 in their past 28 games. Giants hit .233 in this span with a .253 slugging percentage. Wrobleski in poor recent form. Each bullpen is in good recent form. LA still used high leverage arms as they will play next Saturday. Dodgers and Giants have gone under in six straight. Play LA and San Francisco under the total.

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints by Tony T.The Pick: Las Vegas tight end Bowers is questionable. On defense, a linebacker and safety are out. New Orleans has a clean injury report. Las Vegas has an injury advantage based on Chao ratings losing two offensive linemen and tight end to IR. Raiders beat Chargers and Dolphins. Saints lost to Lions by one and beat Ravens. New Orleans getting good quarterback play with 69% completions and 69% completions. Raiders are struggling to run which creates down and distance. Saints have a good home crowd, and this is their home opener so noise will be a factor here. Play New Orleans -3.