Expected Points

Novak Djokovic adds to the long list of players he’s beaten three times, Ashleigh Barty gets the most out of a small package, and Elise Mertens lays more groundwork for a remarkable doubles career.

Berrettini and Novak Djokovic make the most of their first two shots, Karolina Pliskova finds some magic out wide, and the Croatian doubles team of Mektic and Pavic chases the Bryan brothers.

Sabalenka serves faster than many men, Denis Shapovalov steps up his return game, and Jule Niemeier is the hottest player you’re not watching this week.

Djokovic holds an encouraging record against the rest of the quarter-final field, Ashleigh Barty has gotten here without many top-ten wins, and a Swedish doubles specialist excels in his first grand slam.

Muchova brings almost no grass-court experience to today’s battle with Angelique Kerber, Karen Khachanov advances despite a serve gone missing, and Ons Jabeur leaves a raft of high-profile losers in her wake.

Hubert Hurkacz has been unbreakable, Madison Keys is poised for a grass-court breakthrough, and Zverev couldn’t ask for a better fourth-round draw.

Kerber pulls out a marathon second-round win, Cam Norrie lines up with another top-ranked opponent, and Sorana Cirstea gets some long-awaited revenge.

Everything is going Karolina Pliskova’s way, Denis Kudla pushes his grass-court experience to the max, and Brengle finds a pair of opponents willing to beat themselves.

Nick Kyrgios has outplayed Ugo Humbert through four and a half sets, Garbine Muguruza is your bottom-half favorite, and Kiki Bertens plays her final match at Wimbledon.

Djokovic posts his best-ever ace mark at Wimbledon, Veronika Kudermetova bows out early of another major, and Dominik Koepfer is a savant when it comes to breaking monster serves.

Ostapenko swings big and wins big, Sam Querrey needs his second serve back, and the women’s field at Wimbledon sets a new record.

Marc Polmans and Ramkumar Ramanathan fight out an old-school Wimbledon marathon, an unlikely unseeded foursome remains in the Eastbourne women’s draw, and African tennis is alive in Brazzaville.

Cornet keeps almost beating Victoria Azarenka, Max Purcell is the season’s most surprising quarter-finalist, and the women’s field at Wimbledon is so deep that there are contenders in qualifying.

Berrettini’s serve-plus-one is made for grass, Sam Querrey has a penchant for narrow margins, and Eastbourne needs to reconsider its prize pools.

Medvedev is the favorite in Mallorca despite sparse grass-court results, Dan Evans is flying beneath the radar, and Karolina Muchova can’t go to Tokyo.

Samsonova puts on a week-long service clinic, Ugo Humbert wins all the break points, and the newly-enlarged WTA winner’s circle isn’t likely to keep growing anytime soon.

Garbine Muguruza leads the remaining pack in Berlin, Philipp Kohlschreiber is the unlikely veteran success story in Halle, and a Belarussian duo preps for Tokyo.

Karolina Pliskova opens the grass court season against her least favorite opponent, Richard Gasquet holds a unique Challenger-level winning streak, and it’s been 60 years since Margaret Court started winning titles in Britain.

Marin Cilic keeps winning on his favorite surface, Vandeweghe is deep sleeper pick for Wimbledon, and Sebastian Korda joins an impressive list of multi-faceted stars.

Ilya Ivashka posts another career-best performance in a losing effort, Barbora Krejcikova has risen the ranks with unusually good clutch play, and Jannik Sinner suffered a dose of his own medicine.

Novak Djokovic continues to win without a dominant down-the-line backhand, Barbora Krejcikova is a throwback to earlier generations of two-event stars, and Felix Auger Aliassime has played a lot of late-round matches by age 20.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenova is into her first grand slam final despite not playing her best-ever tennis, Alexander Zverev needs a good day on return, and this year’s French Open mixed doubles title didn’t require much work.

The women’s final four has paid their dues, Rafael Nadal keeps the bakery open, and Tamara Zidansek has a knack for winning matches during the second half of the French Open.

Berrettini was crushed by Novak Djokovic last time they played, today’s women’s quarterfinals feature a quartet of players who cruised through their last matches, and the WTA ranking system is barely rewarding this week’s stars.

Schwartzman is once again negating the server advantage, Elena Rybakina beat Serena by playing like Serena, and Daniil Medvedev aims to remain unbeaten in clay-court quarter-finals.

Djokovic and Nadal face off against a pair of Italian prospects, Iga Swiatek uses her singles off-days for doubles heroics, and Tamara Zidansek is the latest sporting hero from her tiny homeland.

Iga sets her sights on an impressive record held by Justine Henin, Philipp Kohlschreiber might just make it to Tokyo, and a pair of extreme longshots set up lopsided battles in the men’s third round.

Serena advances past a pair of Romanians, a bunch of North American men survive to see the third round, and the era of the Four Musketeers winds down.

The draw has become much more inviting for the underrated Kudermetova, Andrey Rublev suffers another clay-court loss he barely deserved, and Aleksandra Krunic forces Coco Gauff to play marathon set.

Martinez stops Sebastian Korda, Garbine Muguruza suffers a rare loss to a low-ranked player on clay, and Jelena Ostapenko once again heads home early.

Qualifier Alex Molcan finds a chink in Novak Djokovic’s armor, Barbora Krejcikova follows an unusual career trajectory, and Alexander Zverev gets some extra practice on Lenglen.

Tsitsipas is the favorite to reach the Roland Garros final from the bottom half of the bracket, Aryna Sabalenka leads a long list of women with a good shot to win a first major title, and Carlos Taberner looks to ride a dominant qualifying performance into the main draw.

Barbora Krejcikova has a chance to win her first singles title, Cecchinato has escaped an Italian losing streak in Parma, and Naomi Osaka sets a new standard for earning power in women’s sports.

Bianca Andreescu continues her long-running clay-court winning streak, Alex Molcan gets an easy road to the Belgrade quarter-finals, and Corentin Moutet draws and quarters his way to an exhibition title.

Casper Ruud will be a top-16 seed with a top-10 game in Paris, Zvonareva is the top seed in Roland Garros qualies, and the development of Diane Parry’s game is taking place is full view.

Shapo falls short of the Geneva title despite some outstanding first-strike tennis, Ana Konjuh takes an unlikely step in her comeback, and it was a big weekend for the Shelton family at the NCAA championships.

Schwartzman struggles on his favorite surface, Qiang Wang joins an exclusive club, and Pablo Andujar doesn’t discriminate based on age.

Badosa could be the most dangerous floater in Paris, Pablo Cuevas looks to get his game back on track, and Caty McNally is a doubles wizard regardless of who she partners.

A round-of-32 match in Lyon sets a high standard of quality, Katerina Siniakova reminds us she can be dangerous once every year or two, and a small army of qualifiers make a mess of the draw in Belgrade.

Gauff is even better than her ranking suggests, Benjamin Bonzi is the only true wild card at a French tournament that uses their freebies wisely, and at another men’s tournament this week, a 39-year-old is the top seed.

The Rafa-Novak final in Rome is tighter than usual, Iga Swiatek delivers an extremely unlikely result, and Baby Fed turns 30.

Opelka’s success in Rome suggests he has skills that the stats don’t bear out, and 60 years ago this week, an armada of past and future stars gathered on hard courts in Los Angeles.

Sofia Kenin’s losing streak continues, Davidovich Fokina steadily climbs the ATP ranks, and a few men are raising hopes for an eventual Italian titlist in Rome.

Sorribes Tormo fights through another marathon to face a familiar foe today, Dusan Lajovic struggles on his best surface, and we take a look back at a Norwegian multi-sport athlete from the 1910s.

P3tra comes back for a roller-coaster battle with Magda Linette, American men have faded even on hard courts, Serena Williams looks ahead to an opponent with clay-court experience.

Zverev barely gives his opponents a chance, Aryna Sabalenka forces the clay to play her way, and the 2021 ATP Masters Series is a young man’s game.

Ruud narrowly upsets Stefanos Tsitsipas, Aryna Sabalenka posts a series of eye-popping winner totals, and Nuno Borges is back down to ITF 15Ks.

Schwartzman loses another lopsided battle against Aslan Karatsev, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova finally benefits from the luck of the tiebreak, and Rafael Nadal finds new opponents to beat on clay.

Sabalenka has barely broken a sweat in Madrid, Benoit Paire breaks a dreadful losing streak, and Barbora Strycova says goodbye to the tour.

Ramos wins his third ATP title against left-handed competition, Petra Kvitova guns for another upset in Madrid, and Marcos Giron is the hardest-working man on the Iberian peninsula.

Dominic Thiem is back on tour, Barty-Swiatek is one of several first time meetings in the Madrid round of 16, and Jan Lennard Struff reaches his first final.