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With special guest Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of Economic Cycle Research Institute.
The real money in investing is made by those who perceive what the markets are likely to do tomorrow, and then position themselves today to profit from that future action. Today's guest, Lakshman Achuthan, co-founded the Economic Cycle Research Institute specifically to identify these key turning points for investors. Which key turning points are in play right now? And how can we best take advantage of them? Let's find out. LESS THAN 1 WEEK LEFT TO LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT for the Thoughtful Money Fall Online Conference by registering now at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference #recession #softlanding #economy --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
The real money in investing is made by those who perceive what the markets are likely to do tomorrow, and then position themselves today to profit from that future action. Today's guest, Lakshman Achuthan, co-founded the Economic Cycle Research Institute specifically to identify these key turning points for investors. Which key turning points are in play right now? And how can we best take advantage of them? Lakshman predicts the slowing growth (e.g., recession) and a return of inflation will be the key themes of 2024. Investors should prepare for both in their portfolio positioning. Follow Lakshman at https://www.businesscycle.com Or on LinkedIN at https://www.linkedin.com/company/economic-cycle-research-institute-ecri SUBSCRIBE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ to get Adam's Notes for all the recent experts who have appeared on this channel, including this interview with Lakshman. #recession #inflation #businesscycle
The real money in investing is made by those who perceive what the markets are likely to do tomorrow, and then position themselves today to profit from that future action. Today's guest, Lakshman Achuthan, co-founded the Economic Cycle Research Institute specifically to identify these key turning points for investors. Which key turning points are in play right now? And how can we best take advantage of them? Let's find out. ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter: https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 #recessionhardlanding #inflationsticky #jobsunemployment ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.
In this latest installment, Lakshman Achuthan—Co-Founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute—joins me to discuss the behavior of economic cycles and the trajectory for inflation, as well as offer his own recession assessment. 00:21 - Intro02:15 - Process of analyzing cycles07:36 - Weighting the composite of recession indicators18:30 - Can policymakers learn from inflation cycles?32:35 -
Lakshman Achuthan of The Economic Cycle Research Institute rejoins the show to discuss what leading business cycle indicators are saying about the probability, depth and duration of a recession, and how investors should prepare for it. Plus, a mini-rally breaks a multi-week slide for stocks. Is this support, or just another Bear trap? And, heavy metals are sinking as the global economy loses pace. What that means for the capital markets. LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES: https://www.businesscycle.com/ecri-about/staff-achuthan-banerji https://dealogic.com/insights/ https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rebalancing.asp
Lakshman Achuthan of The Economic Cycle Research Institute rejoins the show to discuss what leading business cycle indicators are saying about the probability, depth and duration of a recession, and how investors should prepare for it. Plus, a mini-rally breaks a multi-week slide for stocks. Is this support, or just another Bear trap? And, heavy metals are sinking as the global economy loses pace. What that means for the capital markets. LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES: https://www.businesscycle.com/ecri-about/staff-achuthan-banerji https://dealogic.com/insights/ https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rebalancing.asp
What's going on with inflation and economic growth? No one knows really. July CPI inflation data points to a slight moderation in YoY growth. Consumer sentiment is waning in the face of the delta variant. Melting together with a successful bond auction this week, the 10 year treasury yield bounced before returning to 1.29%. And so we observe lower highs on the way down within a predictable range.A guy from the Macro Voices podcast from the Economic Cycle Research Institute echoes Raoul Pal, predicting slower than expected growth based on industrial data. Which could set the stage for a correction (~10% drawdown) later on. Maybe.But forget that for a second. Greg plagiarizes Carter Worth, who eyes a Fibonacci retracement in XBI (Biotech) as a buying opportunity. To quote the venerable Carter, it's gotten so bad it's good. But just to make it interesting, Greg buys LABU again (triple leveraged bull XBI).Finally we return to Ethereum, where upward price action has defied gravity. RSI suggests we are still overbought. And if recent history is any indication, we might be on the doorstep of a pullback. But where is support now? Our guess...somewhere around ~2,600.And just for fun, Bitcoin!
John Butler, Senior Telecom Services & Equipment Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, on Wall Street souring on Apple, and Google denying being in talks with Dish to create a 4th network. Joey Bergstein, Seventh Generation CEO, on the company's 2025 goals and lobbying efforts on climate change. Elisa Martinuzzi, Bloomberg Opinion finance columnist, on why Deutsche Bank's reboot looks real this time. Lakshman Achuthan, Co-Founder and Chief Operating Officer at the Economic Cycle Research Institute and a Bloomberg Opinion columnist, discusses his column: "The Myth of the Tight U.S. Labor Market." Hosted by Lisa Abramowicz and Paul Sweeney.
Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, joins the cast of characters to review pertinent signals in growth, interest rates and inflation. 4:48 The future path of inflation 9:34 Keynes and the 1960’s 12:36 An interest rate surprise? 17:03 Financial repression and conventional indicators Subscribe to the Grant's Current Yield Podcast on iTunes, Stitcher, iHeart Radio, Google Play Music or listen from our website, www.grantspub.com
February 2012 has been a good month for stock. Yet Bruce takes on naysayers like David Stockman, Lakshman Achuthan (Chief Operations Officer of the Economic Cycle Research Institute), and Harry S Dent, who say that there is a disconnect between the actual economy and the direction of the S&P 500. Will Baby Boomers see another economic crisis?
Get the whole story without the commercials. Is the stock market climbing because things are getting fixed, or do we have Wall Street living on "crack cocaine" being pushed on it by the Federal Reserve? In the Extended Podcast version, Bruce gets to slow down and give you the much bigger picture with all the facts. Hear interview clips with Gretchen Morgensen, David Stockman, Lakshman Achuthan (Chief Operations Officer of the Economic Cycle Research Institute), and Harry S Dent, who say that there is a disconnect between the actual economy and the direction of the S&P 500. Will Baby Boomers see another economic crisis? Download this EXTENDED PODCAST version now!
A terrific group of journalists and experts talk about various aspects of the turmoil in the current U.S. economy. Speakers: Vikas Bajaj, business reporter, The New York Times; Anirvan Banerji, co-director of research at the Economic Cycle Research Institute; John Laxmi, co-founder of a New York-based private equity firm with $4 billion under management (and SAJA treasurer); Sudeep Reddy, economics reporter and "Real Time Economics" blogger, The Wall Street Journal. See more info: http://www.sajaforum.org/2008/09/webcast-the-us.html