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This week, we discuss America's decaying two-tier economy, with Main Street stuck in a silent recession, the Fed trapped between fiscal dominance and market structure rot, and younger generations turning to crypto and speculation as their only escape from a rigged system. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx __ Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1f1h9636F5tXpNPX6R5KxLnSi6BUpBnFN/view?usp=sharing — Grayscale offers more than 30 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal. https://www.grayscale.com/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-forwardguidance — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:05) Fourth Turning Vibes (04:00) K-Shaped Economy Continues (07:43) The Market is Broken (10:57) Government Role in Markets (11:57) Grayscale Ad (12:34) Government Role in Markets (17:47) Market Structure Decay (21:16) The Death of Retail (25:21) Generational Release Valve (28:33) Labor Market vs Automation (31:28) Grayscale Ad (32:14) Political Pivot for 2026 (35:18) Government Shutdown Ending? (37:32) Is Bitcoin Finally Bottoming? (42:33) Sad Crypto Market Structure (45:19) Solving Crypto's Problems (48:52) Giving Back to the System — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss what one bleak data point tells us about the labor market. Isaiah Moskowitz, Host Great American Heroes Podcast, stops by to share his experiences working with the DAV, why he feels so compelled supporting veterans, and why he started the Great American Heroes Podcast. Opendoor is an ‘AI company,' new CEO says. Garrett Barton, Circle K Franchise Business Consultant, joins the show to chat about his time in the Navy, how his injury led him to the DAV, and why Circle K has decided to donate to and partner with the DAV. Ford is considering scrapping the 150-EV.
Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we look at the strength of the labor market. Plus, Robbie sits down with Servbank's Sharmyn Calhoun for a discussion on the importance of technology in modern compliance management. And we close by looking at what contributed to bond yields rising.Today's podcast is brought to you by ICE. As the standard for innovation, artificial intelligence, efficiency and scalability, ICE is the technology of choice for the majority of industry participants, defining the future of homeownership.
In this episode of the "People Not Titles Podcast," hosts Steve Kaempf and Matt Lombardi analyze the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut amid rising inflation, a potential government shutdown, and labor market stagnation, while discussing AI's impact on employment, major layoffs, and challenges facing real estate agents. They also review housing market trends, provide a Chicago market update, and touch on Zillow's dominance and local community events.Federal Reserve Rate Cut and Market Reaction(00:00:00)Economic Backdrop: Government Shutdown and Stagflation Concerns (00:01:27)AI's Impact on Labor Market and Fed's Dilemma (00:05:04)Corporate Layoffs and AI Investment (00:07:39)Mandatory Realtor Membership Lawsuit Update (00:09:39)Compass and Anywhere Acquisition: Brand Strategy (00:13:00)Homebuyer Sentiment and Mortgage Rate Expectations (00:18:57)Buyer and Seller Behavior: Market Standoff (00:20:16)Inventory, Regional Trends, and Investor Activity (00:23:18)Zillow's Q3 Performance and Market Dominance (00:24:31)Chicago Housing Market Update (00:28:37)Chicago Market Affordability and Tax Issues (00:31:04)Chicago Home Sales and Real Estate Taxes (00:32:11)NFL Segment: Chicago Bears Win and Sports Talk (00:33:00)Upcoming Events and Podcast Wrap-Up (00:34:15)Full episodes available at www.peoplenottitles.comPeople, Not Titles podcast is hosted by Steve Kaempf and is dedicated to lifting up professionals in the real estate and business community. Our inspiration is to highlight success principles of our colleagues.Our Success Series covers principles of success to help your thrive!www.peoplenottitles.comIG - https://www.instagram.com/peoplenotti...FB - https://www.facebook.com/peoplenottitlesTwitter - https://twitter.com/sjkaempfSpotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/1uu5kTv...
The Future of Employment in Africa: Demography, Labor Markets and Welfare explores the major trends that will define the face of the sub-Saharan continent in the next three decades. The near doubling of Africa's population by 2050 will lead to more than twenty million new job seekers entering the African labor market every year until then. Right now, Africa doesn't seem able to offer jobs to this many people, resulting in possible unrest and intra-African or intercontinental migration flows, including to Europe. Climate change creates additional migratory pressure as it threatens the future of agriculture and livestock. The author explores the opportunities for increased job creation in Africa. Fortunately, Africa has some major strengths. Africans excel in market-creating innovation: the ability to see market opportunities and innovations that others do not. Many Africans create their own jobs through micro and small enterprises. A young well-trained middle class, familiar with digital technologies, is emerging. Africa's abundant natural resources attract global powers like China aspiring to secure access to critical raw materials. The author challenges pessimistic message about the continent and provides an optimistic view of Africa's future. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network
The Future of Employment in Africa: Demography, Labor Markets and Welfare explores the major trends that will define the face of the sub-Saharan continent in the next three decades. The near doubling of Africa's population by 2050 will lead to more than twenty million new job seekers entering the African labor market every year until then. Right now, Africa doesn't seem able to offer jobs to this many people, resulting in possible unrest and intra-African or intercontinental migration flows, including to Europe. Climate change creates additional migratory pressure as it threatens the future of agriculture and livestock. The author explores the opportunities for increased job creation in Africa. Fortunately, Africa has some major strengths. Africans excel in market-creating innovation: the ability to see market opportunities and innovations that others do not. Many Africans create their own jobs through micro and small enterprises. A young well-trained middle class, familiar with digital technologies, is emerging. Africa's abundant natural resources attract global powers like China aspiring to secure access to critical raw materials. The author challenges pessimistic message about the continent and provides an optimistic view of Africa's future. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/african-studies
The Future of Employment in Africa: Demography, Labor Markets and Welfare explores the major trends that will define the face of the sub-Saharan continent in the next three decades. The near doubling of Africa's population by 2050 will lead to more than twenty million new job seekers entering the African labor market every year until then. Right now, Africa doesn't seem able to offer jobs to this many people, resulting in possible unrest and intra-African or intercontinental migration flows, including to Europe. Climate change creates additional migratory pressure as it threatens the future of agriculture and livestock. The author explores the opportunities for increased job creation in Africa. Fortunately, Africa has some major strengths. Africans excel in market-creating innovation: the ability to see market opportunities and innovations that others do not. Many Africans create their own jobs through micro and small enterprises. A young well-trained middle class, familiar with digital technologies, is emerging. Africa's abundant natural resources attract global powers like China aspiring to secure access to critical raw materials. The author challenges pessimistic message about the continent and provides an optimistic view of Africa's future. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/african-studies
The Future of Employment in Africa: Demography, Labor Markets and Welfare explores the major trends that will define the face of the sub-Saharan continent in the next three decades. The near doubling of Africa's population by 2050 will lead to more than twenty million new job seekers entering the African labor market every year until then. Right now, Africa doesn't seem able to offer jobs to this many people, resulting in possible unrest and intra-African or intercontinental migration flows, including to Europe. Climate change creates additional migratory pressure as it threatens the future of agriculture and livestock. The author explores the opportunities for increased job creation in Africa. Fortunately, Africa has some major strengths. Africans excel in market-creating innovation: the ability to see market opportunities and innovations that others do not. Many Africans create their own jobs through micro and small enterprises. A young well-trained middle class, familiar with digital technologies, is emerging. Africa's abundant natural resources attract global powers like China aspiring to secure access to critical raw materials. The author challenges pessimistic message about the continent and provides an optimistic view of Africa's future. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics
The Future of Employment in Africa: Demography, Labor Markets and Welfare explores the major trends that will define the face of the sub-Saharan continent in the next three decades. The near doubling of Africa's population by 2050 will lead to more than twenty million new job seekers entering the African labor market every year until then. Right now, Africa doesn't seem able to offer jobs to this many people, resulting in possible unrest and intra-African or intercontinental migration flows, including to Europe. Climate change creates additional migratory pressure as it threatens the future of agriculture and livestock. The author explores the opportunities for increased job creation in Africa. Fortunately, Africa has some major strengths. Africans excel in market-creating innovation: the ability to see market opportunities and innovations that others do not. Many Africans create their own jobs through micro and small enterprises. A young well-trained middle class, familiar with digital technologies, is emerging. Africa's abundant natural resources attract global powers like China aspiring to secure access to critical raw materials. The author challenges pessimistic message about the continent and provides an optimistic view of Africa's future. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Legendary economist Dr. A. Gary Shilling, President of A. Gary Shilling & Co., an economic consulting firm and a registered investment advisor, joins Julia La Roche on episode 301 on FOMC day. In this episode, Dr. Shilling warns that the economy is cooling with weakening labor markets and stagnant job creation, yet security markets continue to rise without reflecting this underlying weakness. Despite the government shutdown limiting official data, private sector information reveals businesses are cautious about demand and inflation, while consumers face limited financial slack due to heavy student loan and credit card borrowing. Shilling believes the Fed is cutting rates because they fear a recession is on the horizon, and he cautions that "we're probably gonna wake up one of these days and find that things are really a lot weaker than we expect" - at which point markets could deteriorate quickly. He also expresses concern about the "debt bomb" - the massive accumulation of government debt now exceeding $38 trillion with no logical endpoint in sight. However, Shilling remains impressed by the adaptability and resilience of the US economy, noting how it has successfully adjusted to disruptions like tariffs that many predicted would be disastrous.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaThis episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction & welcome0:48 - Big picture macro view: economy appears to be cooling1:30 - Government shutdown: private data filling the holes2:00 - Weakening labor markets: limited new hiring2:45 - Businesses cautious about demand and inflation3:17 - Recession concerns: won't know until well into it3:45 - Security markets not reflecting economic weakness4:03 - Fed Chair Powell presser context (October 29th FOMC meeting)4:32 - Why markets are overly focused on Fed actions5:30 - Fed's tightrope walk: keeping economy above water6:25 - Are rate cuts signaling recession fears?6:34 - Fed concerned about softening labor markets7:20 - Finding hidden vulnerabilities during data blackout7:51 - Labor market concerns: limited consumer slack8:20 - Heavy borrowing: student loans and credit cards27:24 - US fiscal picture: debt north of $38 trillion27:45 - The debt bomb concept explained28:45 - Massive global debt expansion concerns29:49 - What happens when debt reaches its limit?30:23 - What's keeping Dr. Shilling up at night31:15 - Lack of concern about debt accumulation32:00 - What makes him hopeful: US economy's strength and adaptability32:46 - Economic adaptability to disruptions33:11 - Tariffs discussion: six months later perspective33:46 - How economies adapt to tariff disruptions35:03 - Where to find Dr. Shilling's work35:25 - Parting thoughts: avoiding fads of the moment36:37 - Closing remarksAccess Dr. Shilling's monthly newsletter INSIGHT by calling this toll free number (1-888-346-7444) or visiting his website (https://www.agaryshilling.com/).
As big companies announce waves of layoffs, lots of workers are worried about AI coming for their jobs. On today's show, we tune in to part of Kimberly's recent panel discussion at Aspen Ideas: Economy. President of the AARP Foundation Claire Casey, 1Huddle founder and CEO Sam Caucci, and Union College of Union County New Jersey President Margaret McMenamin share their insights on building a more diverse and resilient labor market in the years ahead. Plus, we hear a listener's recent win: sewing a historically-accurate dress to sport at the local Renaissance Faire. Nice stitching, Hannah! Here's everything we talked about today:"Layoffs are piling up, raising worker anxiety. Here are some companies that have cut jobs recently" from AP News"Tens of Thousands of White-Collar Jobs Are Disappearing as AI Starts to Bite" from The Wall Street JournalVIDEO: "Beyond Lip Service: Building a Resilient Labor Market" from Aspen Ideas: EconomyJoin us tomorrow for “Economics on Tap.” The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern.
As big companies announce waves of layoffs, lots of workers are worried about AI coming for their jobs. On today's show, we tune in to part of Kimberly's recent panel discussion at Aspen Ideas: Economy. President of the AARP Foundation Claire Casey, 1Huddle founder and CEO Sam Caucci, and Union College of Union County New Jersey President Margaret McMenamin share their insights on building a more diverse and resilient labor market in the years ahead. Plus, we hear a listener's recent win: sewing a historically-accurate dress to sport at the local Renaissance Faire. Nice stitching, Hannah! Here's everything we talked about today:"Layoffs are piling up, raising worker anxiety. Here are some companies that have cut jobs recently" from AP News"Tens of Thousands of White-Collar Jobs Are Disappearing as AI Starts to Bite" from The Wall Street JournalVIDEO: "Beyond Lip Service: Building a Resilient Labor Market" from Aspen Ideas: EconomyJoin us tomorrow for “Economics on Tap.” The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern.
The federal government has been shut down for nearly a month, and the economic effects are mounting. IBM vice chairman and former NEC director Gary Cohn discusses the health of the economy, corporate earnings, and how the AI boom is reshaping the labor market. Then, early voting is underway in the New York City mayoral race. CNBC's Robert Frank reports on the billionaires and businesses that are spending millions to defeat Zohran Mamdani. Plus, CNBC's Kristina Partsinevelos has the latest on AI-related layoffs hitting big tech, and Nvidia has become the first company to hit a $5 trillion valuation. Gary Cohn - 15:56Robert Frank - 35:26Kristina Partsinevelos - 40:51 In this episode:Gary Cohn, @Gary_D_CohnRobert Frank, @robtfrankKristina Partsinevelos, @KristinaPartsJoe Kernen, @JoeSquawkBecky Quick, @BeckyQuickAndrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkinCameron Costa, @CameronCostaNY Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this episode, Lyn Alden joins the show to explain how tariffs “slow the train but don't stop it,” why the Fed's rate hikes are disconnected from the true inflation source, and how Fed balance sheet expansion is returning. We also discuss the labor cracks, the hidden redistribution of interest income to wealthy savers, and the next phase of the debasement trade. Enjoy! __ Follow Lyn: https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance __ Grayscale offers more than 30 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal. https://www.grayscale.com/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-forwardguidance — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:35) Tariffs & the Fiscal Outlook (09:13) The Flow of Interest Payments (12:49) Grayscale Ad (13:27) Government Shutdown Impact (15:36) Fiscally-Dominant Economies (19:51) Measuring Economic Weakness (22:49) The State of the Labor Market (26:09) Grayscale Ad (26:56) Should the Fed Cut? (30:56) How We Fight Inflation (34:18) The Fed Balance Sheet (41:20) Past vs Present Funding Constraints (45:06) Fed Balance Sheet & Liquidity (48:43) Active Treasury Issuance (51:20) The Fed & Bank Liquidity (53:03) The Debasement Trade (57:54) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics breaks down the current labor market conditions and what they mean for your business strategy. With just over one unemployed person per job opening, there's slight slack in the market, but not for long. Find out why the next 6 to 9 months may be your best window for hiring before tightening conditions and wage pressures hit hard. Taylor also covers workforce demographics, rising labor costs, and how AI and automation can help offset the people problem.
Years of equity gains has wealth effect bolstering spend Aggregate consumer data remains solid despite signs of a slowdown in labor markets. Declining labor supply accounts for some of the labor weakness but other metrics, including the ratio of job vacancies to unemployment, suggest softness in demand as well. We examine why consumption has held up despite these signs of weakness and part of it comes down to the wealth effect, which has boosted some consumers at a time that others have been challenged by continued cost increases and a slowdown in wage growth. We also discuss the sources that investors can use for economic data given that Federal data is currently limited. And get into some of the risks to spending, particularly since equities have been unusually strong over the last several years, leading to questions around whether weak or stagnant equities could remove a key support for consumption. Could announced and future capex investments in the US spark renewed demand for labor? We address this as well, and so far, our US Economics team isn't holding its breath. You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting your everyday financial life. "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2025 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.
AI agents are already paying humans for their data and 3.5 million people are earning from it.In AI Supercycle episode 5, we sit down with Jordan Gray, co-founder of Public AI, to discuss how the AI economy creates new income streams for humans and why your data is more valuable than you think.We discuss:- Why Your Data Is More Valuable Than You Think- How 3.5M Users Are Already Earning From AI- The Coming Era of AI Agents Requesting Human Data- MCP: The Protocol Letting Agents Talk to Each Other- Why Decentralized Data Markets Will Win- Where AI Agents Will Source Their Training DataTimestamps00:00 Intro00:52 AI Supercycle or Bubble? (Where We Really Are)02:49 The Future of Work & Labor Markets in the AI Era04:59 How Public AI Pays Users for Their Data08:14 Privacy in the AI Era (Can It Actually Exist?)11:25 Data Labeling & Pipeline Infrastructure (The Hidden Economy)16:51 Hibachi Ad, 17:00 Relay Ad, Talus Ad17:33 Human-in-the-Loop Explained (Why AI Still Needs You)19:42 Data Governance & Token Ownership (Who Really Owns Your Data?)23:02 Why Public AI Chose NEAR Protocol (The Technical Decision)27:13 Alvara Ad, Enso Ad27:37 AI Economy & Machine Payments (How Agents Will Transact)31:44 MCP: Model Context Protocol Explained (The AI Communication Standard)35:15 Agents Prompting Humans, Not Vice Versa (The Role Reversal)37:06 AI Agent Coins & VTuber Experiments (Where Culture Meets Tech)38:58 Bullish on Data, Bearish on Commodities (Investment Thesis)Website: https://therollup.co/Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1P6ZeYd...Podcast: https://therollup.co/category/podcastFollow us on X: https://www.x.com/therollupcoFollow Rob on X: https://www.x.com/robbie_rollupFollow Andy on X: https://www.x.com/ayyyeandyJoin our TG group: https://t.me/+TsM1CRpWFgk1NGZhThe Rollup Disclosures: https://therollup.co/the-rollup-discl
AP correspondent Julie Walker reports President Trump's immigration crackdown weighs heavy on the US labor market.
In this rough labor market, job seekers are more vulnerable to scams. We've all seen those texts, right? The ones offering jobs with suspiciously high pay for suspiciously little work? On today's show, Marketplace's Kristin Schwab joins Kimberly to share what happened when she replied to one of these scam messages. Plus, why AI and the shift to remote work has fueled the rise in job scams.Here's everything we talked about today:"Job scam texts have become more frequent and more believable" from Marketplace"Who experiences scams? A story for all ages" from the Federal Trade Commission"Job Scam Texts Are Duping Gen Z, Millennials Amid Unemployment Fears" from Business InsiderJoin us tomorrow for “Economics on Tap.” The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern.
In this rough labor market, job seekers are more vulnerable to scams. We've all seen those texts, right? The ones offering jobs with suspiciously high pay for suspiciously little work? On today's show, Marketplace's Kristin Schwab joins Kimberly to share what happened when she replied to one of these scam messages. Plus, why AI and the shift to remote work has fueled the rise in job scams.Here's everything we talked about today:"Job scam texts have become more frequent and more believable" from Marketplace"Who experiences scams? A story for all ages" from the Federal Trade Commission"Job Scam Texts Are Duping Gen Z, Millennials Amid Unemployment Fears" from Business InsiderJoin us tomorrow for “Economics on Tap.” The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern.
Patrick Ryan says the labor market has "unquestionably" softened despite many other economic markers. He points to Friday's sell-off as a reason for bears to take chips off the table, though it's the job market he's watching the most. On gold's extraordinary rally, Patrick believes it's a sign investors are concerned for the future of fiscal policy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Justin Begley and Brendan LaCerda join Inside Economics to discuss the federal government shutdown and its macroeconomic consequences. First, the crew discusses how the shutdown is preventing the release of federal economic statistics, and Justin runs through a bunch of private data sources that can be used to gauge the health of the labor market in the absence of the BLS reports. The conversation then turns to the shutdown itself. Brendan and Justin opine on when and how the stalemate might end and the macro consequences of an extended shutdown. Finally, the team breaks tradition with the stats game. Guest: Justin Begley, Economist, Moody's analytics and Brendan LaCerda, director Economic Research, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
On this episode of Ruled by Reason, AAI Senior Counsel David O. Fisher talks with leading economist Ioana Marinescu about the theoretical frameworks underpinning labor monopsony and how they apply in various antitrust law and policy contexts. The conversation centers on Marinescu's recent paper with coauthor José Azar, Monopsony Power in the Labor Market: From Theory to Policy, which lays out the theoretical frameworks underlying monopsony power in labor markets and develops a theory-informed discussion of antitrust law and policy. The conversation begins with an examination of Marinescu's background and her research on labor markets and monopsony power (3:15). She then explains the three main theoretical frameworks underpinning labor monopsony as reflected in the literature: oligopsony, differentiated jobs, and search-and-matching frictions (10:04). The conversation then moves to a discussion of how economists determine which models to apply in which context (18:47). In the enforcement context, Marinescu examines the usefulness of each framework in the context of enforcing against no-poach and wage fixing agreements (21:24), and underscores the significance of a 2023 study by Tania Babina and co-authors which finds that antitrust enforcement against anti-competitive conduct tends to increase overall employment and business formation (26:48). Marinescu also discusses merger enforcement, and how each of the three theoretical frameworks apply in the merger context as reflected in the 2023 Merger Guidelines (30:53). Finally, she examines the theoretical work supporting the FTC's Noncompete Rule, and whether it supports the agency's current approach of addressing noncompete clauses on a case-by-case basis (35:24).
On Legal Docket, the new term's Supreme Court docket; on Moneybeat, the political brinkmanship in Washington; and on History Book, Jane Goodall's life mission. Plus, the Monday morning newsSupport The World and Everything in It today at wng.org/donateAdditional support comes from Ambassadors Impact Network, helping entrepreneurs who are looking for more than just funding. Discover a community of Christian faith-led investors. More at ambassadorsimpact.comFrom Cedarville University—a Christ-centered, academically rigorous university located in southwest Ohio, equipping students for Gospel impact across every career and calling. Cedarville integrates a biblical worldview into every course in the more than 175 undergraduate and graduate programs students choose from. New online undergraduate degrees through Cedarville Online offer flexible and affordable education grounded in a strong Christian community that fosters both faith and learning. Learn more at cedarville.edu, and explore online programs at cedarville.edu/onlineAnd from Covenant College, where Christian faculty equip students for their callings through hard ideas, deep questions, and meaningful work. covenant.edu/world
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the labor market on a day without a federal jobs report. To learn more about Trust & Will, click here. Related to this episode: What we know about the labor market, even without Jobs Friday data | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode, we discuss the weakness in the ADP report, Challenger Report, and JOLTS report in the context of the overall macroeconomic backdrop.
Software has fundamentally changed the way we record, store, and share information. Its next act is to fundamentally change the nature of our economy, capturing trillions of dollars of value in the process.In this talk from the 2025 a16z LP Summit, a16z General Partner Alex Rampell discusses the history of filing cabinets and databases, how SaaS pricing moved from seats to outcomes, and how AI agents will accelerate the trend of the last 70 years of software progress. Timecodes: 0:00 Introduction0:58 The Scale of the Labor Market vs. SaaS 1:41 Capital, Labor, and Automation: A Historical Perspective 3:32 The Filing Cabinet Metaphor: Digitizing Work 3:50 Case Studies: From Airlines to Accounting 8:42 The Limits of Efficiency: Humans Still in the Loop 9:02 Rethinking SaaS Pricing Models 10:21 The Impact of AI on Labor and Software 11:41 Outcome-Based Software: Moving Beyond the Filing Cabinet 17:41 Real-World Examples: AI in Action 22:05 The Expanding Market: New Opportunities with AI 25:44 Conclusion and Takeaways 25:48 Podcast Outro and Disclaimers Resources: Follow Alex on X: https://x.com/arampell Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zListen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYXListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenbergPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Stay Updated:Find a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Podcast on SpotifyListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The Inside Economics team welcomes Lisa Simon, Chief Economist at Revelio Labs, for an unusual jobs Friday podcast as the ongoing government shutdown prevented the release of the September employment report. Lisa details the new public labor statistics data that Revelio Labs began publishing recently in the wake of turmoil at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The team discusses how private data sources can help fill in the gaps left by the temporary absence of government data and also dissects the current state of the labor market.Guest: Lisa Simon – Chief Economics, Revelio LabsFor more about Lisa Simon, click here: https://www.reveliolabs.com/author/lisa-k-simon/Explore the risks and realities shaping the economy in our new webinar, now streaming for free.U.S. Economic Outlook: Under Unprecedented UncertaintyWatch here: https://events.moodys.com/mc68453-wbn-2025-mau25777-us-macro-outlook-precipice-recession?mkt_tok=OT…Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
With the government shutdown is holding the release of the Jobs Report, ManpowerGroup Chief Strategy Officer Becky Frankiewicz says "the official jobs report might be on pause, but labor market keeps moving and our data shows a market in transition." Frankiewicz spoke with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro about the transition in the labor market and more.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Unemployment remains relatively low, but the labor market is slowing down. Private payroll company ADP estimates the private sector lost 32,000 jobs last month. Hiring has slowed, and it's taking longer for jobseekers to find work. And where there are people with anxiety and fear, there are scammers to prey on them. The Federal Trade Commission says reports of job scams tripled over the past four years. But first, why the Trump administration is sending memos to universities and what Democrats are demanding to reopen the government.
This week on Payne Points of Wealth, Bob, Ryan, Chris, and Courtney dive into the evolving dynamics of the U.S. labor market. Despite predictions of a slowdown, companies are hesitant to lay off workers—even as hiring remains sluggish. Is this a sign of economic weakness, or are deeper demographic shifts like an aging population and reduced immigration reshaping the workforce? We also unpack Wall Street's push to make alternative investments more accessible to everyday investors—a movement often branded as “democratization.” While financial firms tout the benefits of private equity and other alternatives, few are talking about the risks. In fact, as retail investors are being encouraged to buy in, institutional giants are quietly heading for the exits. Yale's $41.4 billion endowment is unwinding nearly $3 billion in alternative holdings. Meanwhile, private credit—a market that barely existed a decade ago—is surging toward $2 trillion. Firms like Apollo and Blackstone are now lending directly to businesses, consumers, and real estate investors, giving regular investors unprecedented access. But is this truly a golden opportunity, or a hidden risk to your retirement? We break down the opaque, illiquid nature of these investments and what they could mean for your long-term financial future. Tune in for our take on what's really happening in the job market and whether Wall Street's latest pitch is worth your hard-earned dollars.
Unemployment remains relatively low, but the labor market is slowing down. Private payroll company ADP estimates the private sector lost 32,000 jobs last month. Hiring has slowed, and it's taking longer for jobseekers to find work. And where there are people with anxiety and fear, there are scammers to prey on them. The Federal Trade Commission says reports of job scams tripled over the past four years. But first, why the Trump administration is sending memos to universities and what Democrats are demanding to reopen the government.
Jordan Shapiro and Kate Duchene take on the labor market. Kate discusses the “stagnancy” and “cautious behavior” in hiring, arguing we're in a “wait and see” pattern. She also looks at the pattern of companies outsourcing labor to contractors or freelance. Jordan examines the latest ADP report, highlighting the difference between businesses with less than 50 employees and more than 50. Small firms are taking the brunt of uncertainty right now, he thinks, which is an issue because they are the ones driving the economy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Hours into the first government shutdown in over six years, Punchbowl News co-founder Jake Sherman reports on the path forward for both sides of the aisle. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release its monthly employment report amid the shutdown, sending economists and investors elsewhere for labor market data. CNBC's Steve Liesman shares September's ADP National Employment Report, and ADP's chief economist Nela Richardson explains how her metrics–along with other datasets–help paint a picture of the labor market. Richardson's takeaway: no matter the metric, hiring momentum has slowed. Plus, Berkshire Hathaway is reportedly exploring a purchase of Occidental Petroleum's petrochemical business, FTC is suing Redfin and Zillow over antitrust concerns, and Walmart is eliminating artificial dyes in its store brand food products. Jake Sherman - 03:41SteveLiesman - 14:10Nela Richardson - 22:03 In this episode:Nela Richardson, @NelaRichardsonJake Sherman, @JakeShermanSteve Liesman, @steveliesmanJoe Kernen, @JoeSquawk Becky Quick, @BeckyQuickAndrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkinKatie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
JOLTS and ADP numbers show a worsening labor market in the US. We have new drill results out from Collective Mining, Prospector Metals and Brixton Metals. ATEX Resources begin Phase VI at Valeriano. American Pacific Mining receive drill permits for Madison. This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Revival Gold is one of the largest pure gold mine developer operating in the United States. The Company is advancing the Mercur Gold Project in Utah and mine permitting preparations and ongoing exploration at the Beartrack-Arnett Gold Project located in Idaho. Revival Gold is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange under the ticker symbol “RVG” and trades on the OTCQX Market under the ticker symbol “RVLGF”. Learn more about the company at revival-dash-gold.comVizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Equinox has recently completed the business combination with Calibre Mining to create an Americas-focused diversified gold producer with a portfolio of mines in five countries, anchored by two high-profile, long-life Canadian gold mines, Greenstone and Valentine. Learn more about the business and its operations at equinoxgold.com Integra is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
Noah Yosif discusses his expectations for the August JOLTS report, which may be the last data point on the job market before a potential government shutdown. He believes job openings, hires, and quits will likely remain flat, as employers continue to take a wait-and-see approach due to uncertainty over interest rates and the economy. Noah notes that the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut may not have had time to filter through the economy yet, and even without the jobs report on Friday, the labor market may continue in a state of limbo. Meanwhile, Yosif adds that the ADP numbers may carry more weight this week, given the private sector's significant contribution to job growth.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4muX6jX Analyzing America's Labor Market: Cyclical vs. Structural Issues In this week's Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen discusses the United States labor market, emphasizing the distinction between cyclical and structural challenges. He explores the unemployment data, noting historically low rates yet a significant rise in labor inactivity among prime working-age men. David highlights the supply-side issues in the labor market, including potential cultural factors and the impact of social safety nets, particularly disability benefits. He stresses the need for structural solutions and their implications on economic policy and the broader society. The episode concludes with a preview of next week's meetings with money management partners in New York. 00:00 Introduction and Upcoming Events 01:04 Current State of the Labor Market 02:59 Cyclical vs. Structural Economic Challenges 05:23 Unemployment Trends and Historical Context 06:28 The Supply Problem in the Labor Market 08:39 Inactivity Rates and Labor Participation 13:23 Cultural and Policy Factors Affecting Employment 20:20 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Navigating Market Dynamics with Seth Golden: Insights on Fed Policy, Economy, and Investment OpportunitiesJoin Sean Emory, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Avory & Company, as he hosts Seth Golden, market strategist and founder of Finom Group, in this episode of Avory's Around the Desk podcast. They delve into the Fed's recent rate cut, its impact on the economy, and discuss key investment opportunities and risks in the current market landscape. 00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome00:52 Catching Up in Orlando02:45 Discussion on the Federal Reserve's Recent Rate Cut06:54 Real-Time Indicators and Inflation14:42 Labor Market and Economic Outlook21:33 Consumer Behavior and Spending29:38 Impact of Tariffs on Inflation35:57 Investment Opportunities Ahead36:50 Analyzing Costco's Resilience and Investment Potential38:49 Kava and Chipotle: Comparing Growth and Investment Strategies42:07 Financials and Healthcare: Future Prospects and Current Trends46:06 Real Estate Market Insights and Regional Growth48:32 Bubble Concerns and Market Comparisons: 2000 vs. Today54:54 Parabolic Stocks: Risks and Opportunities01:03:51 AI Investment and Market Risks01:09:58 Small and Mid-Cap Stocks: Potential Catalysts and Future Outlook01:11:00 Conclusion and Final Thoughts—Hosted by:Sean Emory, Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Avory & Co.https://www.avory.xyzGuest:Seth GoldenFollow Avory & Co or Sean Emory
Should the US put a price on H-1B visas, or would that block the flow of new talent? Are AI coding agents actually making teams way more productive, or is it just hype? And in the AI platform shift, will the big winners be incumbents or new AI-native startups?Erik Torenberg is joined by Box co-founder and CEO Aaron Levie, a16z board partner Steven Sinofsky, and a16z general partner Martin Casado to debate the biggest questions in tech. They unpack pricing vs lottery for H-1Bs and what we're actually optimizing for, why Box now ships a third of its code from AI, the shift from writing to reviewing code, and why bottom-up personal AI tools succeed where top-down “AI pilots” struggle. Timecodes: 0:00 Introduction1:07 Latest immigration policy and who benefits1:39 Debating the Price on H-1B Visas2:11 Startups vs. Big Tech: Who Benefits from Policy?2:31 Market Dynamics and Wage Impacts3:44 The Lottery System and Startup Challenges12:25 Labor Markets to Labor Productivity with AIs14:47 Startups Achieving 10x Productivity with AI16:43 Early Adopters, Hype, and Measuring Productivity33:50 AI's Impact on Professional and Creative Work37:56 The Rise of AI-Native Startups40:58 Platform Shifts: Startups vs. Incumbents42:12 Disruption, Incumbents, and New Opportunities53:00 The Future of Work and AI Adoption54:38 Brand Effects and Early Leaders in AI55:22 Will Incumbents or Newcomers Win the AI Race?Resources:Find Aaron on X: https://x.com/levieFind Steven on X: https://x.com/stevesiFind Martin on X: https://x.com/martin_casadoFind Erik on X: https://x.com/eriktorenberg Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zListen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYXListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenbergPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Stay Updated:Find a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Podcast on SpotifyListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Jacob Shapiro reconnects with Chase Taylor (of Pinecone Macro) for a wide-ranging conversation on U.S. competitiveness. The two dig into why electricity costs, labor shortages, and weak industrial policy matter far more than endless chatter about tariffs or rate cuts. They trade scenarios on how soaring power demand, grid fragility, and demographic decline could shape America's future against China. Along the way, they touch on robots, nearshoring to Mexico, farm policy, and why simple, obvious analysis is often the most powerful--Timestamps:(00:00) - Introduction(00:43) - Contrarian Views on US Macroeconomics(02:51) - Competitiveness and Power Prices(08:10) - Energy Policy and Grid Reliability(18:31) - Labor Market and Automation Challenges(22:31) - Global Competitiveness and Future Outlook(35:45) - Global Capital Flows and Economic Risks(38:05) - The Role of Stable Coins and Agriculture Insights(38:54) - Challenges and Opportunities in Agriculture(43:50) - Bitcoin and Digital Assets Discussion(51:19) - Investment Strategies and Market Outlook(56:23) - Policy Impacts and Future Concerns--Referenced in the Show:https://www.pineconemacro.com/--Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.comJacob Shapiro LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/jacob-l-s-a9337416Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShapJacob Shapiro Substack: jashap.substack.com/subscribe --The Jacob Shapiro Show is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com --Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and researcher covering global politics and affairs, economics, markets, technology, history, and culture. He speaks to audiences of all sizes around the world, helps global multinationals make strategic decisions about political risks and opportunities, and works directly with investors to grow and protect their assets in today's volatile global environment. His insights help audiences across industries like finance, agriculture, and energy make sense of the world.--This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Anlayst Logan Mohtashami about housing inventory, purchase apps and wild statements from Fed members. Related to this episode: Where do mortgage rates go from here? | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The stock market is back in party mode since zooming back to all-time highs in the wake of the April Liberation Day lows.And the Fed just cut its policy rate for the first time this year, and guided that more cuts likely lie ahead.So, can the bulls remain in charge and keep powering asset prices higher into 2026?Or are the many potential risks, not the least of which is a slowing economy, more likely to bring an end to the party?To discuss, we have the good fortune to welcome George Gammon to the program. George is best-known for his financial education media endeavors, most notably his George Gammon and Rebel Capitalist YouTube channels.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bubble #labormarket #jobs _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
The Federal Reserve delivered its first rate cut since last November, reducing the target range to 4–4.25% as weakening labor data outweighed inflation concerns. Chair Powell framed the move as a “risk management cut” and an adjustment toward neutral, while politics loomed large with Trump-aligned voices pushing for deeper cuts. Markets and analysts were left uncertain about whether this is the start of an easing cycle or simply a preemptive move in a bifurcated economy driven by AI investment on one side and labor market softness on the other.
In this episode, we will analyze a new Federal Reserve report that reveals how AI is quietly influencing hiring for jobs requiring a college degree (and why this trend of scaled-back hiring is expected to accelerate in the coming months). Today's Stocks & Topics: CMG - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Market Wrap, MRK - Merck & Co. Inc., The AI Job Paradox: Why AI Isn't Causing Layoffs, It's Hiding Hiring Cuts, VT - Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, Cash Allocation, New Trade: Running Hot, MORN - Morningstar Inc., SFM - Sprouts Farmers Market Inc., LULU - Lululemon Athletica Inc., The Labor Market.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic: https://claude.ai/INVEST* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Dive deep with the Market Mondays crew as they break down the alarming state of the US labor market in this thought-provoking clip! Rashad Bilal, Ian Dunlap, and Troy Millings address the latest reports showing a drastic slowdown—only 22,000 jobs added in August, unemployment on the rise, and for the first time since 2021, more Americans are out of work than there are jobs available.The hosts discuss the critical macro issues behind these numbers, including the mismanagement of US debt, the government's new venture capitalist approach, and how artificial intelligence is quickly replacing traditional jobs. What's even more disturbing? Job numbers are routinely being revised downward by as much as 100,000–125,000 jobs, painting an even worse picture for the future.Entrepreneurship is no longer optional—it's essential. With the gig economy rising and traditional jobs less available, finding alternative sources of income has become a necessity. The hosts delve into why commission-based work, investing, and side hustles are now crucial to survival, especially as Black Americans and women face even higher unemployment rates.Plus, they explore the impact of falling interest rates, how tech companies are poised to benefit, and why the economic gap is widening. It's a tale of two economies: if you make $200k+, it's a boom cycle; under $100k, it's a recession. This is an essential watch for anyone trying to understand what's really happening in today's new economic reality.Key Topics Covered:US labor market stats: job creation vs. unemployment trends Government debt and the shift to venture investing AI's impact on employment and the future of work The gig economy and alternative streams of income Racial and gender unemployment disparities Effects of changing interest rates on different industries Why planning for the next decade is more crucial than everDon't miss this honest, data-driven conversation—for entrepreneurs, employees, and investors alike. Let's get real about the future of jobs, the economy, and how you can navigate what's next.*Join the conversation and share your thoughts below!*#MarketMondays #LaborMarketCrash #AIEconomy #GigEconomy #Unemployment #Investing #Entrepreneurship #WealthBuilding #JobMarket #FinancialFreedomOur Sponsors:* Check out PNC Bank: https://www.pnc.com* Check out Square: https://square.com/go/eylSupport this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/marketmondays/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Ben Casselman, chief economics correspondent for The New York Times, talks about the adjustments to hiring numbers showing 911,000 fewer jobs were created in the 12 months before March 2025, as listeners share their real-world job search stories.
P.M. Edition for Sept. 9. The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said today that the U.S. added 911,000 fewer jobs over the 12 months that ended in March. WSJ economics reporter Justin Lahart explains what that means for the U.S. economy. Plus, new data from the Census Bureau shows that inflation erased Americans' income gains last year. Journal economics reporter Konrad Putzier breaks down the data and discusses what that says about the economy President Trump inherited. And Israel has attacked Hamas's leadership in Doha, Qatar. We hear from WSJ senior Middle East correspondent Summer Said about the impact this strike could have on peace negotiations. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On Legal Docket, an overhaul of the bar exam; on Moneybeat, David Bahnsen parses the latest job numbers; and on History Book, remembering VJ Day. Plus, the Monday morning newsSupport The World and Everything in It today at wng.org/donateAdditional support comes from Ambassadors Impact Network, where entrepreneurs can discover faith-aligned funding opportunities. More at ambassadorsimpact.comFrom Cedarville University—a Christ-centered, academically rigorous university located in southwest Ohio, equipping students for Gospel impact across every career and calling. Cedarville integrates a biblical worldview into every course in the more than 175 undergraduate and graduate programs students choose from. New online undergraduate degrees through Cedarville Online offer flexible and affordable education grounded in a strong Christian community that fosters both faith and learning. Learn more at cedarville.edu, and explore online programs at cedarville.edu/onlineAnd from The Master's University, equipping students for lives of faithfulness to The Master, Jesus Christ. masters.edu
P.M. Edition for Sept. 5. The latest jobs report fell far short of expectations—raising new questions about the strength of the U.S. labor market. WSJ economics reporter Rachel Ensign tells us how the Federal Reserve might respond. Plus, federal agents swept a Georgia Hyundai battery plant, arresting hundreds in an immigration raid. WSJ Korea bureau chief Tim Martin joins to discuss what this means for the future of the South Korean company in the U.S. Finally, Tesla's board is seeking investor approval for a pay package worth as much as $1 trillion in stock for CEO Elon Musk. WSJ business reporter Theo Francis lays out the details of this potential pay deal. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices