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Let's get brutally honest, fam: the US government's debt is so wild right now, you'd think it's a plotline ripped out of Succession. This episode goes deep into the $39 trillion debt crisis and why there's literally zero intention—or plan—to pay it back the traditional way. We're breaking down what the Fed, big banks, politicians, and those headline AI investments are really up to. It's not what you think (and the way your future is tied to all this will blow your mind).Whether you're a finance junkie or suspicious about why your dollars don't stretch like they used to, we're peeking behind the curtain at the real mechanics behind national debt, inflation, and those “solutions” no one in power wants to talk about. Grab a notebook—you're about to spot red flags before everyone else and save yourself from ending up on the wrong side of a financial cliff.00:00 - Intro02:17 - Part 1: Only Two Ways Out09:36 - Part 2: Control What You Show Them To Control What They See17:51 - Part 3: The Invisible Money Printer Go BrrrrWhat's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here:If you want my help...STARTING a business: join me here at ZERO TO FOUNDER: https://tombilyeu.com/zero-to-founder?utm_campaign=Podcast%20Offer&utm_source=podca[%E2%80%A6]d%20end%20of%20show&utm_content=podcast%20ad%20end%20of%20showSCALING a business: see if you qualify here.: https://tombilyeu.com/callGet my battle-tested strategies and insights delivered weekly to your inbox: sign up here.:https://tombilyeu.com/**********************************************************************If you're serious about leveling up your life, I urge you to check out my new podcast, Tom Bilyeu's Mindset Playbook —a goldmine of my most impactful episodes on mindset, business, and health. Trust me, your future self will thank you.**********************************************************************FOLLOW TOM:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=enTwitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeuYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeuTruemed: Check your eligibility and start saving at https://truemed.com/impactEthos: Get a free quote at https://ethos.com/impactIncogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription orderShopify: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial period at https://shopify.com/impactATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at business.att.comSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
New Butt Baby jingle from George Harris! Good news about water access, mRNA cancer cures, EV sales, and lower court ruling against Donald Trump. The Supreme Court rules against Donald Trump on the E. Jean Carroll case, birthright citizenship, and mail-in ballots. The Supreme Court also rules in favor of MAGA Republicans on campaign finance, the imperial presidency, and trans athletes. The harsh and inexplicable realities of the West Virginia v BPJ decision and how it amplifies discrimination and sexual assaults. Inflation continues to rise. A Reflecting Pool update. With Jody Hamilton, David Ferguson, music by Michael McDermott, Badfish, and more! Brought to you by Russ Rybicki, SharePower Responsible Investing. Support our sponsor and get free shipping at Quince.com/bob!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Small Business Trends and Economic Adaptation. Guest: Gene Marks. Business expert Gene Marks discusses the current economic trends affecting small businesses, including inflation and labor shortages. He provides practical advice for entrepreneurs on leveraging new technologies like AI and navigating complex tax regulations to maintain growth and competitiveness in an increasingly challenging and rapidly evolving global marketplace. 111900 LA
The dollar held steady after the Iran talks while the British pound dropped on political upheaval, the Japanese yen neared 40-year lows, and the Indian rupee snapped a winning streak — all in the same week. Currency moves of this magnitude have real implications for international investment returns, inflation, and the relative attractiveness of global markets.Today's Stocks & Topics: Apple Inc. (AAPL), Market Wrap, KPP Newsletter, Inflation, CleanSpark, Inc. (CLSK), Should You Hedge Currency Risk? The Dollar, Yen, and Rupee in a Shifting Global Order, Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT), NuScale Power Corporation (SMR), SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT), Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU), Crystal Ball Trading Challenge.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TaskRabbit and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://taskrabbit.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Economists are forecasting that AI is likely to cause prices to rise over the course of the next year. On Thursday, both Microsoft and Apple said they're raising prices some of their flagship products thanks to skyrocketing memory and storage costs. But AI could end up making a whole lot of things cheaper — eventually. Also in this episode: how one union negotiated huge savings on healthcare prices, a look at the garage sale culture in Alaska, and the return of the restaurant matchbook.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
Raising the minimum wage has been a political winner for years, but it's now running into stiff resistance as inflation concerns take center stage. For investors, the debate cuts to the heart of corporate margins, consumer spending power, and the Fed's inflation-fighting mandate.Today's Stocks & Topics: Phillips 66 (PSX), Market Wrap, SpaceX Bond Sale, Lakeland Industries, Inc. (LAKE), Minimum Wage and Inflation: What Higher Labor Costs Really Mean for Your Portfolio, Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT), StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX), ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW), The Wheel Strategy, Stablecoins.Our Next Wealth Webinar: “Beyond the Yield: How to Invest for Your Income Needs” June 30th, 2026 - 12:00 pmTo sign up: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/5717793889555/WN_XuoDgMVwSv6wZXXurrZTLgOur Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TaskRabbit and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://taskrabbit.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Let's talk about Trump's inflation increasing at the fastest pace in years....
Economists are forecasting that AI is likely to cause prices to rise over the course of the next year. On Thursday, both Microsoft and Apple said they're raising prices some of their flagship products thanks to skyrocketing memory and storage costs. But AI could end up making a whole lot of things cheaper — eventually. Also in this episode: how one union negotiated huge savings on healthcare prices, a look at the garage sale culture in Alaska, and the return of the restaurant matchbook.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
Today's guest is Ben Carlson of Ritholtz Wealth Management, author of A Wealth of Common Sense and host of the Animal Spirits podcast. In today's episode, Ben unpacks the counterintuitive math behind long term investing. He reveals that picking the wrong asset every year still makes money, that the average up year tops 20%, and that stocks grow less volatile than bonds the longer you hold. To close, Ben explains why patience has never been harder. (0:00) Starts (2:05) Ben Carlson on the secret to investing (5:00) The worst investor ever (15:20) Tax management as new alpha (17:12) Inflation's impact on asset classes (21:06) "Now do Japan" (33:02) Lessons from bear markets (41:54) Discretionary investing challenges (46:31) Poor performance of hyperactive traders ----- Sponsor: Ivy Invest - To learn more about Ivy Invest's SEC-registered endowment-style fund, view the prospectus, and learn how to invest, visit ivyinvest.co/fund ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
When most people hear the words “free market capitalism,” they immediately think of Wall Street. They picture stock traders yelling across a trading floor, financial news channels, quarterly earnings reports, and various asset prices flashing across a screen. And because that is the image people have in their heads, they often assume that capitalism means whatever happens in financial markets. Not even close. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you have a retirement account and you've been wondering whether crypto belongs inside it, BlockTrustIRA is something worth looking into. Most crypto IRA platforms are self-directed. They give you access, but you still have to decide what to buy, when to sell, and when to rebalance.BlockTrustIRA is different. Right now, eligible viewers can get up to a $2,500 crypto bonus when they open and fund an account. Terms, conditions, funding minimums, and eligibility requirements apply.To learn more, go to https://eurodollarcrypto.com.This is a Paid advertisement. Not financial, investment, tax, or retirement advice. Crypto is volatile and may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms apply----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Videos used:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FoCcbUs7DEghttps://www.justice.gov/atr/video-galleryhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GjrFUEX5xFUhttps://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL907E60DC86957669https://thinktv.pbslearningmedia.org/resource/18e14deb-d7d6-4e42-9a5d-40595a2ee09d/trust-busting-the-roosevelts/kenburnsclassroom/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIyClO7y6Mkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPF7bU0RaTshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mR6Z5fn2lqQhttps://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/04/crameras-mad-dash-ge-vernova.htmlI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/eduhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
SPONSORS: 1) SHOPIFY: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial today at shopify.com/julian 2) MARS MEN: For a limited time, our listeners get 50% off FOR LIFE, Free Shipping, AND 3 Free Gifts at Mars Men at https://Mengotomars.com. JOIN PATREON FOR EARLY UNCENSORED EPISODE RELEASES: https://www.patreon.com/JulianDorey CLIPPERS DISCORD: https://discord.gg/8QmWEKJ3BT (***TIMESTAMPS in Description Below) ~ Anthony Pompliano is an Operation Iraqi Freedom veteran, venture capitalist, YouTuber, writer & investor. POMP'S LINKS: - TWITTER: https://x.com/apompliano?s=21&t=5fXT2gjxOw5SVv4h7J1URA - INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/pompglobal/?hl=en - YOUTUBE: https://www.youtube.com/@AnthonyPompliano - SUBSTACK: https://pomp.substack.com/ FOLLOW JULIAN DOREY INSTAGRAM (Podcast): https://www.instagram.com/juliandoreypodcast/ INSTAGRAM (Personal): https://www.instagram.com/julianddorey/ X: https://twitter.com/julianddorey JULIAN YT CHANNELS - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Clips YT: https://www.youtube.com/@juliandoreyclips - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Daily YT: https://www.youtube.com/@JulianDoreyDaily - SUBSCRIBE to Best of JDP: https://www.youtube.com/@bestofJDP ****TIMESTAMPS**** 0:00- AI, Inflation & Palantir 10:44 - Inflation Crisis Explained 22:45 - AI Jobs & Birth Rates 33:22 - AI Replacing Jobs 43:17 - Trump, Mamdani & AI 55:32 - Palantir & AI Investing 1:08:19 - Facial Recognition & Surveillance 1:17:58 - Elon Musk, Peter Thiel & AI 1:32:26 - Peter Thiel & Javier Milei 1:42:34 - Middle Class Collapse 1:54:00 - AI Regulation 2:02:32 - Peter Thiel & Bitcoin 2:11:44 - Epstein Files & Brian Johnson 2:25:42 - Epstein Cover-Up & Howard Lutnick 2:35:21 - Corruption, Power & Politics 2:45:21 - Jeff Bezos & Parenting 2:53:15 - AI Data Centers 3:05:31 - AI Energy Crisis 3:15:40 - Data Centers Debate 3:24:24 - Humanoid Robots & AI 3:32:01 - Pomp's Work CREDITS: - Host, Editor & Producer: Julian Dorey - COO, Producer & Editor: Alessi Allaman - https://www.youtube.com/@UCyLKzv5fKxGmVQg3cMJJzyQ - In-Studio Producer: Joey Deef Julian Dorey Podcast Episode 440 - Anthony Pompliano Music by Artlist.io Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Inflation and investing are once again front and center as markets assess a new mix of price pressures. In this Ask Me Anything episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Helen Jewell, BlackRock's International Chief Investment Officer for Fundamental Equities, and Tom Becker, senior portfolio manager on BlackRock's Global Tactical Asset Allocation team.Together, they explore what is driving inflation today, from AI infrastructure demand and energy bottlenecks to fiscal spending, supply constraints, and regional differences. The conversation examines how inflation is affecting capital markets, equities, fixed income, stock market trends, and portfolio diversification.This episode also looks at the role of AI as both a near-term inflationary force and a potential longer-term productivity driver. As AI investing accelerates demand for electricity, chips, copper, data centers, and infrastructure, investors are watching how these megaforces reshape markets and the global economy.Key insights:· How AI infrastructure demand is contributing to inflation pressures· Why inflation differs across regions, including the U.S., Europe, Japan, and China· Where pricing power matters most for companies and sectors· How inflation measures like CPI, PCE, and PPI inform market views· Why sticky inflation can challenge traditional stock-bond diversification· How investors can think about inflation across equities, bonds, and multi-asset portfolios
In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders sits down with Keith McCullough, founder of Hedgeye, to revisit his “quads” framework—a model that categorizes market environments based on the direction of economic growth and inflation. McCullough emphasizes process over prediction, arguing that investors should focus on the momentum of these variables to adapt to rapidly shifting market conditions. The conversation explores a volatile macro backdrop marked by geopolitical shocks, leadership changes at the Fed, and evolving market structure. McCullough explains how increased instability has accelerated market cycles, requiring a more nimble, data-driven approach. He outlines his view that inflation likely peaked and is set to decelerate, setting up a shift toward disinflation, and potentially slower growth, over the coming quarters. They also discuss implications for asset allocation, including declining bond yields globally, a rotation away from mega-cap dominance, and opportunities in under-owned, rate-sensitive sectors like housing and real estate. McCullough highlights growing risks tied to market concentration, new equity supply (including major IPOs), and speculative activity, while stressing the importance of disciplined, rules-based investing. The episode concludes with a discussion of investor behavior, with McCullough urging listeners to detach from narratives and emotions, and instead rely on process, data, and adaptability in an increasingly fast-moving market environment. Finally, Collin and Liz Ann look ahead to next week's upcoming macroeconomic indicators and key data releases. To keep up with Keith McCullough, you can follow him on X: @KeithMcCullough On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. 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Cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin and ethereum are highly volatile, are not backed or guaranteed by the bank, any central bank or government; are not deposits; are not FDIC insured; are not SIPC protected; and lack many of the regulations and consumer protections that legal-tender currencies and regulated securities have. Due to the high level of risk, investors should view digital currencies as a purely speculative instrument. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. Schwab does not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of investment research. Options carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Certain requirements must be met to trade options through Schwab. Please read the Options Disclosure Document titled "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options" before considering any option transaction. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions The book Diary of a Hedge Fund Manager is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.). Schwab has not reviewed the book and makes no representations about its content. The PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (SOX) is a capitalization-weighted index composed of 30 semiconductor companies. (0626-2U7S) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Inflation was up 4.1% in May, according to the BEA's personal consumption expenditures index. We know hot energy prices, resulting from the war in Iran, were part of that spike. But cut out energy and food, and inflation still hit a three-year high, at 3.4%. So what else is driving the increase? Also in this episode: Q1 GDP is revised up, Wyoming navigates the consequences of property tax cuts, and Great Lakes cargo ships make up a vital branch of U.S. supply chains.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from today's episode:It's not just food and energy — "core" inflation is up as wellGDP grew 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026. What does that tell us?What do we need property taxes for? Wyoming is finding outNeed a burger? A car? Winter road salt? Thank cargo ships on the Great LakesGen Z trades in date-flation for "solo-maxxing"
June 25, 2026; 5pm: Nicolle Wallace and friends discuss the ongoing debacle of the newly renovated and algae ridden Lincoln Reflecting Pool. So far, this debacle has cost at least $16.4 million dollars, which is just a fraction of what Trump plans to spend to complete vanity projects all over Washington D.C. Later, Nicolle discusses the economic pain Americans are feeling as inflation saw the biggest increase in three years, reaching over 4%. For more, follow us on Instagram @deadlinewh To listen to this show and other MS NOW podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. For more from Nicolle, follow and download her podcast, “The Best People with Nicolle Wallace,” wherever you get your podcasts.To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
A.M. Edition for June 25. Two powerful earthquakes rock Venezuela's capital, rattling other cities and leaving dozens dead. Plus, Anthropic claims Chinese tech-giant Alibaba ran a brazen campaign to access its Claude model. And WSJ economics reporter Justin Lahart explains why the massive AI build-out is becoming a new catalyst for inflation, driving up prices for components and electricity. Luke Vargas hosts. Listen to all episodes in our series on ideas for fixing the housing crisis. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Inflation Tsunami Trump Wants $88 Billion for Iran War by Ron Paul Liberty Report
Inflation was up 4.1% in May, according to the BEA's personal consumption expenditures index. We know hot energy prices, resulting from the war in Iran, were part of that spike. But cut out energy and food, and inflation still hit a three-year high, at 3.4%. So what else is driving the increase? Also in this episode: Q1 GDP is revised up, Wyoming navigates the consequences of property tax cuts, and Great Lakes cargo ships make up a vital branch of U.S. supply chains.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from today's episode:It's not just food and energy — "core" inflation is up as wellGDP grew 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026. What does that tell us?What do we need property taxes for? Wyoming is finding outNeed a burger? A car? Winter road salt? Thank cargo ships on the Great LakesGen Z trades in date-flation for "solo-maxxing"
Core inflation rose to 3.4% in May, according to this morning's PCE report out from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. That's the highest since October 2023. Part of the rise is driven by service sector inflation, which should be more immune to shocks from tariffs and energy costs. We dig in. And later, now that Spirit Airlines has shut down, its bankruptcy estate is auctioning off its access to New York's LaGuardia Airport.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace Morning Report is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Stories featured in this episode:Spirit to auction $80 million in takeoff and landing slots at LGA
Core inflation rose to 3.4% in May, according to this morning's PCE report out from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. That's the highest since October 2023. Part of the rise is driven by service sector inflation, which should be more immune to shocks from tariffs and energy costs. We dig in. And later, now that Spirit Airlines has shut down, its bankruptcy estate is auctioning off its access to New York's LaGuardia Airport.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace Morning Report is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Stories featured in this episode:Spirit to auction $80 million in takeoff and landing slots at LGA
We start with the latest reporting on the ground in Venezuela after a devastating pair of earthquakes. Unaccompanied migrant children in US government custody may be at risk of removal - we explain why. We have details on two Supreme Court rulings on gun restrictions and a lawsuit against a weed killer brand. Plus, good and bad news on inflation and the economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Gold is getting liquidated again. Silver, too. Why? The dollar is spiking. But why is the dollar spiking? Same reason TIPS are screaming and reinversion on the Treasury curve has become a very real possibility. The issue isn't those da*n dots, it's dollars. Ledger eurodollars and all these are nothing more than different perspectives of the same growing deflation tendencies. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For more than a year, alcohol sales in the on-premise (restaurants, bars, stadiums, and hotels) have outperformed sales in the off-premise (grocery, convenience, and liquor stores). On the surface, this trend contradicts many of our explanations for the industry's struggles. If people are broke, why are they spending money in the channel where alcohol costs the most? If people are spending more time alone, why are they drinking in venues driven by socialization? A mystery this big requires more intellectual firepower than RaboResearch alone can provide. So we invited two PhDs and an economist on the show to help us figure it out. Our guests: Bart Watson, President & CEO, Brewers Association Andrew Heritage, Chief Economist, Beer Institute Lester Jones, Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association Relevant time stamps: Why are on-premise sales outperforming off-premise sales? Round 1: 7:42 – The K-shaped economy is widening the gap between on-premise and off-premise sales: Middle/lower-income consumers feel squeezed and cut back more during at-home (off-premise) occasions, while protecting meaningful social occasions (on-premise). Higher-income consumers continue spending, widening the gap. 16:04 – Rising wealth is leading to an overall increase in on-premise spending: The US is getting richer over time; historically that drives more spending "away from home." As incomes rise, consumers shift toward experiences like bars/restaurants. 24:01 – Post-Covid socialization is normalizing: People want to reconnect after Covid. Younger consumers especially over-index in out-of-home alcohol spend, supporting on-premise demand through social experiences. 32:54 – Health and wellness trends are driving people to cut back on banal, at-home occasions: Consumers drink less overall, especially at home, but keep social drinking occasions. Alcohol becomes more "occasion-based," benefiting on-premise while hurting off-premise volumes. 42:02 – Inflation in the on-premise is massively outpacing off-premise: On-premise prices are rising faster than off-premise. Even if behavior doesn't change much, higher pricing inflates on-premise performance in dollar terms. Round 2: 45:18 – Travel and experiences are rebounding: Increased travel drives on-premise consumption (restaurants, bars, concessions). Social and vacation contexts strengthen on-premise relative to at-home drinking. 47:24 – The on-premise has more innovation, driving increases in productivity: Restaurants and bars have innovated (tech, formats, efficiency) post-Covid, improving service and experience. Better venues lead to stronger performance versus relatively static off-premise retail. 52:10 – There are more women in the workforce: More women in the workforce = more income + stronger social consumption patterns. Women may drink less, but have more money to spend per serving, suggesting they may be a driver of on-premise strength. 57:48 – Staying at home is more stimulating than it used to be: Consumers don't have to drink because they're bored. Competing activities (cannabis, online gaming, etc.) replace at-home drinking occasions – especially for younger males – more than on-premise drinking occasions. 1:03:02 – Several final factors may also be contributing to the on-premise performance gap: With the last pick of the draft, Bourcard mops up some of the final potential factors behind the on-premise performance gap, including young adults living with their parents, the decline of underage drinking, and GLP-1 drugs reducing the desire for casual drinking while leaving social occasions intact. Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.
#GeraldCelente #TrendsInTheNews #Inflation #Nasdaq #economiccrisis In this episode of Trends in the News, Gerald Celente breaks down the economic warning signals the mainstream won't tell you. As the Nasdaq slides and inflation continues to climb, the real story isn't on Wall Street—it's unfolding on Main Street, where businesses and consumers are feeling the squeeze. From rising costs and shrinking purchasing power to market volatility and deepening economic uncertainty, Celente connects the dots between financial market turbulence and the everyday struggles facing working Americans. Who's really winning in this economy—and who's paying the price? Tune in as Celente exposes the forces driving today's economic chaos and what it means for your future. Access our premium content, subscribe to The Trends Journal: https://trendsjournal.com/subscribe The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What's Next in these increasingly turbulent times. The Trends Journal Shop: https://trendsjournal.com/shop Follow Gerald Celente on X: https://x.com/geraldcelente Follow Gerald Celente on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/geraldcelentetrends Follow Gerald Celente on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/gcelente/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@trends.journal Follow Gerald Celente on Threads: https://www.threads.com/@geraldcelentetrends Follow Gerald Celente on Gab: http://gab.com/geraldcelente Substack: https://Trendsinthenews.substack.com Follow Gerald Celente on Truth: https://truthsocial.com/@TrendsJournal Follow Gerald Celente on Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/user/Trends-Journal/ Copyright © 2026 Trends Research Institute. All rights reserved.
New Inflation Numbers Showcase the Problem for Trump Lowering Interest Rates | Mundo Clip 6-25-26See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Supreme Court rules the Trump Administration can move forward to end Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Haitian and Syrian nationals living in the United States and does not have to offer immigrants turned away at the border the chance to apply for asylum, saying the immigrants never 'arrived in' the U.S. because they did not physically set foot in the country; Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) announces that the federal immigration detention center in the Everglades known as Alligator Alcatraz is closing after one year in operation; Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin gets into heated exchanges over immigration policy with Democratic House Members at an Appropriations Subcommittee hearing; House conservatives shut down House floor legislative business for a second day in a row over their demands that the Senate pass the bill called the SAVE America Act to require proof of U.S. citizenship to register to vote; Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks about U.S. aid to Venezuela after devastating earthquakes hit that country; Senate reverses itself on the Iran War in a late-night vote, now blocking a War Powers Act resolution to require the President to withdraw forces without Congressional authorization; Nominee for chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Stephen Phelan, testifies before the Senate Banking Committee as a new inflation report shows prices rose at the highest level since 2023; Vice President JD Vance talks about his new book "Communion: Finding My Way Back to Faith" at the Nixon Library in California. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode, Simon and Dan break down Canada’s latest inflation print, with CPI hitting 3.2% in May as gasoline, airfare, and food prices continue to pressure consumers. They also cover earnings from Empire, Air Transat, Couche-Tard, and Stingray, including the competitive pressure in grocery, Air Transat’s fuel and Cuba-related headwinds, Couche-Tard’s rally after a stronger quarter, and Stingray’s surprising growth following its TuneIn acquisition. They finish with a quick look at OSFI lowering the domestic stability buffer for Canadian banks and what it could mean for lending, buybacks, dividends, and the broader economy. Tickers of Stocks Discussed: EMP.A.TO, TRZ.TO, ATD.TO, RAY.A.TO Subscribe to Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Impact of Foreign Policy on Domestic Midterms. Guest: Mary Kissel. Kissel examines whether foreign policy influences American voters, noting it is rare compared to "pocketbook" issues like inflation and interest rates. She warns that adversarial regimes like Iran and China are sophisticated observers of the U.S. electoral calendar and may attempt to influence domestic politics. 6
Why the System Punishes Success isn't just a podcast title. It's a warning. Dennis Kneale exposes the growing attack on wealth creation, capitalism, and economic freedom in America. Veteran journalist, bestselling author, and former CNBC and Fox Business anchor Dennis Kneale joins The P.A.S. Report to discuss why government bureaucracy, excessive regulation, and the rise of socialist ideas threaten prosperity and innovation. From the economic ripples of the Iran ceasefire and global energy markets to the dangerous math behind proposed wealth taxes on innovators like Elon Musk, this conversation examines the economic forces shaping America's future. Drawing from his new book, Ore-Goners, Dennis explains why a spoiled nation is turning against the very system that built the world's most successful economy. What You'll Learn in This Episode: Geopolitics & Energy: Why the Iran ceasefire and the Strait of Hormuz remain critical variables for global energy markets. The U.S. Production Boom: How rising American oil production has reshaped the geopolitical landscape and strengthened America's position in global energy markets. The Rise of Free-Market Envy: Why socialism continues to gain support among younger voters despite its history of economic failure. The Truth About Billionaires: The reality of Elon Musk's paper wealth versus liquid cash, and why politicians fundamentally misunderstand capital formation. Suffocating Innovation: How government regulations, local permitting bureaucracy, and political incentives actively discourage economic growth and entrepreneurship. Topics Covered: capitalism, socialism, wealth creation, Dennis Kneale, Ore-Goners, Elon Musk net worth, wealth taxes, Iran ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz, energy markets, oil prices, inflation, economic freedom, free market capitalism,
Manoj Pradhan returns to Top Traders Unplugged to explain why the forces that kept inflation and interest rates low for decades are now reversing. Drawing on themes from The Great Demographic Reversal and his new book The Unanchored Central Banker, he argues that aging populations, labor shortages, rising fiscal deficits, and the changing role of central banks are creating a very different macroeconomic landscape. The conversation explores why demographics matter more than many models assume, whether AI can offset labor shortages, and why central banks may increasingly be forced to choose between controlling inflation and maintaining fiscal stability.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.Follow Manoj on LinkedIn and Read his Book.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Why demographics matter for inflation and central banks03:05 - The demographic sweet spot that lowered inflation and rates06:28 - Why labor supply is now reversing12:15 - Global birth rates and the replacement rate problem17:03 - The fiscal blind spot in conventional economic models20:31 - Housing, urbanization, and real interest rates27:03 - Can AI offset labor shortages?37:24 - Policy ideas to increase labor supply and manage aging45:40 - Why central banks may become “unanchored”50:40 - The tension between inflation control and debt stability54:49 - Could high rates trigger a crisis and force policy reversal?58:28 - Final thoughts on demographics, debt, and the future of inflationCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer
The most important number in private credit right now is not a default rate. It's not a dividend yield or the size of the market. It's **16.8%**. That is how much of Apollo Debt Solutions' outstanding shares investors asked the firm to buy back in the second quarter. The reason that number is such a big deal is because last quarter, redemption requests were already high at around **11%**.So this is not fading or stabilizing. The bust is accelerating.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
Miles to Go - Travel Tips, News & Reviews You Can't Afford to Miss!
Watch Us On YouTube! Announcing a new, ongoing benefit for annual subscribers of our Slack community. Annual subscribers receive a free Points Path Alerts subscription OR a 30% discount on Points Path Pro. Richard is back, fresh off a World Cup match at the Meadowlands, and he's got plenty to say about the experience—from the surprisingly smooth transportation operation to the electric atmosphere inside the stadium. Meanwhile, Ed finally checks JetBlue Mint off his list and shares why the experience reinforced one of the biggest challenges facing the legacy carriers: delivering a premium product that feels worth the price. The conversation also dives into Bilt's newest transfer partner, Preferred Hotels, bringing the program back to 25 partners and opening up a new collection of boutique and luxury properties for point redemptions. Plus, a look at Air Canada's little-known airport cafés, why loyalty programs continue marching toward higher prices, and a potentially lucrative Pays promotion that listeners may want to jump on before it disappears. Get hydrated like Ed in Vegas with Nuun Use my Bilt Rewards link to sign-up and support the show! If you enjoy the podcast, I hope you'll take a moment to leave us a rating. That helps us grow our audience! If you're looking for a way to support the show, we'd love to have you join us in our Travel Slack Community. Join me and other travel experts for informative conversations about the travel world, the best ways to use your miles and points, Zoom happy hours and exciting giveaways. Monthly access Annual access Personal consultation plus annual access We have witty, funny, sarcastic discussions about travel, for members only. My fellow travel experts are available to answer your questions and we host video chats multiple times per month. Follow Us! Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/milestogopodcast/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@milestogopodcast Ed Pizza: https://www.instagram.com/pizzainmotion/ Richard Kerr: https://www.instagram.com/kerrpoints/ ✈️ What We Cover in This Episode ✈️ Richard attends a World Cup match • France vs. Senegal at the Meadowlands • New Jersey Transit's surprisingly smooth operation • Why the overall experience exceeded expectations ✈️ Ed finally flies JetBlue Mint • A321 Mint experience review • Seat, service, and onboard Wi-Fi • Why JetBlue continues to stand out ✈️ The state of airline Wi-Fi • American Airlines free Wi-Fi rollout frustrations • JetBlue's connectivity advantage • Why reliability still matters ✈️ The power of points and miles • Using miles to stay for an All-Star game • Last-minute flight changes • Why flexibility remains invaluable ✈️ Admirals Club vs. Delta Sky Club • A tale of two lounge experiences • Food quality differences • How the products continue to diverge ✈️ Air Canada's airport cafés • Complimentary access for elite travelers • Why the concept stands out • Comparing loyalty investments across airlines ✈️ Bilt adds Preferred Hotels • Transfer partner number 25 • One Bilt point to two Preferred points • Boutique hotel redemption opportunities ✈️ Accor Voyager membership • Discounted membership opportunity • Elite night credits • Whether the math works ✈️ Are loyalty programs becoming too expensive? • Inflation in award pricing • The future of airline and hotel currencies • Where value still exists ✈️ A Pays promotion worth watching • Bonus points opportunities • Why it may not last long • Getting value before the offer disappears ⏱️ Episode 442 Timestamps 1:06 – Richard's World Cup experience at the Meadowlands 7:06 – Ed reviews JetBlue Mint 11:15 – American's free Wi-Fi rollout frustrations 12:44 – Using points and miles to save an All-Star game trip 15:37 – Admirals Club vs. Delta Sky Club 19:36 – Discovering Air Canada's airport cafés 23:31 – Are loyalty programs headed in the wrong direction? 28:07 – Bilt adds Preferred Hotels as partner #25 29:57 – Accor Voyager membership opportunity 32:54 – Pays promotion and bonus points opportunity
A structural repricing of memory and silicon components is forcing a shift in the economics of hardware resale for managed service providers (MSPs) and IT service providers. This shift is driven by concentrated demand for memory components from AI infrastructure build-outs, as evidenced by data from IDC and remarks from companies including Apple, Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung. The episode highlights that memory costs have quadrupled in a year, and that both endpoint devices and servers are experiencing durable price inflation due to component scarcity and intensified competition for supply. The most consequential development cited is Apple's acknowledgment—confirmed by Tim Cook to the Wall Street Journal—that device price increases are now “unavoidable” because the cost of memory can no longer be absorbed. Memory manufacturers' share prices rallied on this signal, reinforcing an investor consensus that higher component costs will persist. IDC data showed AI-focused, non-x86 servers using Nvidia's ARM chips generated $58.7 billion—or nearly 48% of all server revenue—up 107% year over year, while x86 server revenue declined due to DRAM and NAND shortages. This dynamic indicates that AI infrastructure is bidding up component costs at the expense of standard business hardware. Secondary developments further reinforce this mechanism. The market's response to U.S. government announcements regarding Intel chip capacity expansion demonstrates that relief from the silicon crunch remains years away, not months. Channel partners—according to industry reporting—were already pivoting from hardware resale to services prior to these price shocks, with thinning hardware margins preceding the current pressure. The combination of fixed-fee hardware contracts and rising component costs now places providers in a position where they are “short silicon,” having unknowingly absorbed inflation risk they cannot pass on under existing contractual terms. For MSPs and IT leaders, the principal operational implications center on contract structure, exposure to component price volatility, and diminished hardware margins. Providers with fixed monthly agreements or hardware-as-a-service contracts based on last year's component costs are at an increasing risk of margin erosion, as their ability to reprice is contractually limited. Practical mitigation steps include auditing all fixed-fee agreements for exposure, amending contracts to include component index or price adjustment clauses, and separating hardware as a transparent, pass-through line item. Failing to adapt contract terms or refresh timing may compound both financial risk and the security profile of client endpoints. 00:00 Not the Tokens 03:31 An Auction for the Parts 05:46 Short Silicon 07:44 Why Do We Care? Supported by: Pax8 ScalePad Sign up for the SMB Online Conference: www.smbonlineconference.com
Wall Street just got a lot more bullish. A major market forecast has pushed its target for the S&P 500 all the way to 7,800, implying significant upside from current levels. But is this a realistic projection based on earnings, AI growth, and economic strength... or are analysts simply getting caught up in market euphoria? In today's episode, we break down the reasoning behind the upgraded target and ask the question every investor should be asking: Can the S&P 500 really reach 7,800, or is Wall Street getting ahead of itself? We'll discuss: What's driving the bullish forecasts The role of AI and technology in earnings growth Whether valuations still make sense Historical examples of analyst optimism and pessimism Key risks that could derail the rally We'll also take a look at a viewer's trade in Cerebras Systems, breaking down the setup, risks, and opportunities surrounding one of the more intriguing names in the AI space. In addition, we'll dive into two critical market indicators that many investors ignore: The 10-Year Treasury Yield The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Because these two markets often provide valuable clues about: Interest rates Inflation expectations Capital flows Future equity performance And of course, I'll provide updates on my current trades, portfolio positioning, and what I'm watching as markets continue to push higher. This episode is all about separating optimism from reality. Listen now:
Britain just lost another prime minister. Keir Starmer, the man who came to power in 2024 with one of the biggest election victories in modern British history, resigned today after less than two years in office. But this is not just some Westminster drama. The real question today is this: Are President Trump and Republicans in Congress watching? Are they paying attention? Are they next?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.foxnews.com/video/6399083401112https://www.nbcnews.com/video/shorts/uk-pm-keir-starmer-resigns-265455173994https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c4ngz15zdl9ohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tf4hlUpKu70Burnham ally to unveil ambitious plan to reverse decades of privatisationhttps://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/21/burnham-ally-to-unveil-ambitious-plan-to-reverse-decades-of-privatisationhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
A recent Wall Street Journal article laid out the rising cost of home ownership in a very clear way. From 2019 to 2025, the annual cost of owning a home rose from about $20,600 to about $28,600. That is a 39 percent increase, compared with a 26 percent increase in the consumer price index. The biggest increases were not just mortgage payments. Insurance rose 72 percent. Home maintenance rose 85 percent. Emergency repairs rose 175 percent.The article was written for homeowners. But the same forces apply to investors. A landlord does not get a different price for a roof, a plumber, an HVAC compressor, property insurance, or property taxes simply because the property has tenants.------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
The new pay transparency laws were designed to help job applicants and narrow pay disparities. But they've also had an unintended consequence: Employees now have far more information about what other people are making—and that can raise some uncomfortable questions for business owners. How do you decide what a job is worth? How much should you pay compared to the market? How much should employees know about what their co-workers earn? This week, Jay Goltz, Jennifer Kerhin, and Ted Wolf compare notes on compensation. Jennifer explains how her philosophy has evolved from offering below-market pay and maximum flexibility to providing competitive salaries, benefits, and career paths. Jay discusses the challenges of determining what employees are truly worth—and why a bad bonus plan can be worse than no bonus plan at all. Ted makes the case for paying above market—not because he wants superstars, but because he believes well-paid employees become more committed, more flexible, and ultimately, more productive.Along the way, they discuss paying for health insurance, contractors versus employees, hiring mistakes, and the sometimes overlooked reality that while employees crave stability, business owners are the ones taking the financial risks. The result is a candid conversation about one of the hardest questions business owners face: What is the right way to compensate the people who help build your company? Plus: How concerned would you be if your employees found out how much money you, as the owner, are taking out of the business?
Peter Schiff warns the bubble is popping as crypto leads the decline, while the bond market faces another breakdown with the 10-year potentially breaking above 5%. He emphasizes inflation is a choice—all Fed chairs chose it, and Warsh will too despite tough talk, because the alternative is politically unacceptable. He reveals the May deficit surged 30% while interest expense jumped 44%, with annual interest payments now hitting $1.6 trillion and will be $2 trillion by next year. Schiff identifies Japan as a looming harbinger with 250% debt-to-GDP, yields climbing above 4%, and the yen collapsing below 160 with potential for another 30-50% decline. His end game thesis: the US dollar loses reserve currency status, US assets get repriced down, and he's positioning to "have all the chips" at the finish line. Gold's pullback from $5,600 to $4,200 is a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move, while silver at $65 is headed to $200 and Bitcoin at $64,000 should be sold. GDP growth is an illusion created by faulty deflators that understate inflation; the economy hasn't really expanded, just become more expensive, and stagflationary depression is locked in.Thank you to our sponsors: Kalshi - download the Kalshi app and use code JULIA to get $10 when you trade $10. kalshi.com/julia Monetary Metals - learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/julia/Links:https://x.com/PeterSchiffhttps://www.youtube.com/@peterschiffTimestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome Peter Schiff 00:50 Air coming out of bubble 1:16 Markets too complacent on inflation risks1:45 Warsh has a problem - Hike or no hike, both bad3:36 Inflation is a choice - All Fed chairs chose it5:11 Warsh will choose inflation despite tough talk5:24 Bond market breakdown coming - 10-year to 5%, 30-year to 5.5-6%7:42 May deficit up 30%, interest expense up 44%8:13 Interest payments $1.6 trillion/year, will be $2 trillion next year9:39 Government spending up 50% since COVID, taxes reduced10:57 Inflation is hidden tax - Government prefers it11:52 Iran war costs through inflation, not direct taxation13:49 Wealth tax - Slippery slope, will hit middle class eventually19:56 Japan crisis - Debt to GDP 250%, yen collapsing below 16020:29 Japanese bond yields at 4% on 30-year, rising fast21:45 Japan could sell $1 trillion in US treasuries24:41 Japan harbinger for US crisis24:54 Treasury Secretary Paulson says crisis inevitable27:18 Gold warning sign - Pullback to $4,200 from $5,600 normal29:24 Silver at $65, headed to $20032:39 Stock market at highs but economy worse than Biden36:56 GDP illusion - Deflator too low, just prices not growth39:48 End game - Dollar won't be reserve currency40:40 Playing for end game, wants all chips at finish43:31 Contrarian predictions - Higher rates, higher oil, higher gold44:30 Japan crisis first domino, then dollar next45:01 Summary - Stagflation and end game thesis
What happens to your retirement plan when inflation starts climbing again? This episode with Matt Deaton breaks down the latest inflation trends, how rising energy costs ripple through the economy, and why the Federal Reserve faces a tough balancing act. You’ll also hear how market volatility, valuations, and signals from major investors are shaping today’s environment. The conversation highlights the importance of diversification, risk management strategies, and building a plan that can adapt—whether markets move up or down. For more information or to schedule a consultation, call 480-680-6868 or visit www.successinthenewretirement.com! Follow us on social media: Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Inflation remains the central problem for the Federal Reserve, even as falling gas prices may give consumers some near-term relief and pull headline inflation lower in the months ahead.Mike Armstrong and Marc Fandetti break down why core inflation is still running too hot, why wages failing to keep pace with prices creates pressure for households, and how the Fed is trying to separate temporary oil shocks from longer-lasting inflation trends. They also discuss the latest sell-off in AI and chip stocks, why rising AI costs could pressure companies throughout the technology supply chain, how the 4% rule can still serve as a retirement planning starting point, why Americans may not change their gasoline habits after the Iran war, and why nuclear power and self-driving technology are both getting renewed attention.
The last time Austan Goolsbee voted in an FOMC meeting, he was one of two policymakers opposed to cutting interest rates. Six months later, he doesn't regret that dissent. In this episode, Kai catches up with the Chicago Fed president to discuss the central bank's communication style, persistent inflation concerns, and former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan's legacy. Plus: Beef prices are likely to keep climbing this year, it could take months to rebuild depleted oil reserves, and economists make a case that AI could drive more inflation.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from today's episode:Chicago Fed President: Inflation is "well above the target and has been going the wrong way"As the oil crisis eases, the global scramble to replenish reserves beginsWhy beef prices keep climbingMany economists believe that AI will lead to more inflation. Why?How We Survive: A Carbon Burial at Sea
Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson reacts to Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting, explaining why the new chair's credibility may require letting markets experience some short-term pain.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing my views on the New Fed Chair and how to interpret his FOMC meeting last week.It's Monday, June 22nd at 11:30 am in New York. So, let's get after it.I want to spend today on what I think was one of the more important market events of the year so far. Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting as the Chair. Specifically, he is trying to fortify credibility at a very delicate moment. The economy is stronger than many expected. Inflation is still running above target. And markets have become accustomed to central banks telling them exactly what to think.Back in February, when Warsh was nominated, I argued that this was the right choice if the goal was to lift market credibility. At that time, precious metals were rising parabolically. To me that was a bad signal that markets were questioning whether policy makers could really run the economy hot without creating a disorderly move in the dollar or a broader inflation problem.Since Warsh's nomination, the S&P 500-to-gold ratio is up close to 40 percent, and I view that as a powerful vote of confidence from the markets. It suggests investors are giving Warsh the benefit of the doubt – that he can shake up the Fed, reduce reliance on the balance sheet as a policy tool, and solidify discipline that gives the administration some breathing room.But here's the catch. Enhancing credibility is not always painless. In fact, credibility must be earned by doing something markets don't immediately like. And last week had some of that flavor. Stocks weakened, the yield curve bear-flattened, the dollar strengthened, and precious metals sold off. From my perspective, that is not a failed first meeting. That is a good and necessary first step. What stood out to me most was Warsh's emphasis on the inflation mandate. He made it very clear that the Fed's primary responsibility is price stability – not managing every wiggle in the labor market, not smoothing every risk asset drawdown, and not hand-holding investors through every data point. And frankly, after five years of missing the inflation target, that message was overdue.The stronger economy and improving private payroll data give the Fed room to lean into that message. I don't think this means the Fed is about to hike rates immediately, or even necessarily this year. But it does mean the reaction function has changed, and markets do not like uncertainty around the Fed path.The other major shift was communication. Warsh appears to be moving away from excessive forward guidance, and I think that's a very healthy development. For years, I've argued that the Fed became too influential in shaping not only market behavior, but also how investors interpreted the data. When markets are only trying to guess what the Fed will say next, the Fed loses the value of market prices as an independent signal. That's backwards. Markets should be reacting to incoming information, and the Fed should be learning from those reactions – not vice versa.A little less Fed hand-holding may be uncomfortable, but ironically it is necessary to get to a more stable place. Investors may not like it in the short term, but the system works better when market prices are less impeded by policy manipulation. The wisdom of crowds is often better than the wisdom of committees.The near-term risk for equities is not rate hikes or even uncertainty. It's liquidity. Balance sheet support has already started to fade. The Reserve Management Program is down roughly 75 percent from its peak, Treasury buybacks have been reduced by 50 percent. And at the same time lending growth is accelerating because the real economy is using more capital. That combination means liquidity is tightening, and our work suggests that could remain a headwind for stocks into July.Bottom line, the market may test Warsh's resolve. That's what markets do. The key question is whether the Fed tolerates some short-term pain in order to strengthen longer-term credibility. My guess is that it tries to do exactly that, until funding markets, credit markets, or bond volatility forces its hand to add more liquidity and loosen financial conditions again. That argues for choppy and even corrective price action in equity markets in the near term until the earnings led bull market has its next leg higher. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
The last time Austan Goolsbee voted in an FOMC meeting, he was one of two policymakers opposed to cutting interest rates. Six months later, he doesn't regret that dissent. In this episode, Kai catches up with the Chicago Fed president to discuss the central bank's communication style, persistent inflation concerns, and former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan's legacy. Plus: Beef prices are likely to keep climbing this year, it could take months to rebuild depleted oil reserves, and economists make a case that AI could drive more inflation.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from today's episode:Chicago Fed President: Inflation is "well above the target and has been going the wrong way"As the oil crisis eases, the global scramble to replenish reserves beginsWhy beef prices keep climbingMany economists believe that AI will lead to more inflation. Why?How We Survive: A Carbon Burial at Sea
Swiss bond yields are almost back at zero. The key two-year instrument yields just a couple of basis points and is very likely going to be negative again relatively soon. As we know, Swiss interest rates have very little to do with Switzerland. As a global money center, this is where money goes when it doesn't want to be anywhere else – even to the point international financials are willing to accept zero return to be there. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre-------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you have a retirement account and you've been wondering whether crypto belongs inside it, BlockTrustIRA is something worth looking into. Most crypto IRA platforms are self-directed. They give you access, but you still have to decide what to buy, when to sell, and when to rebalance.BlockTrustIRA is different. Right now, eligible viewers can get up to a $2,500 crypto bonus when they open and fund an account. Terms, conditions, funding minimums, and eligibility requirements apply.To learn more, go to https://eurodollarcrypto.com.This is a Paid advertisement. Not financial, investment, tax, or retirement advice. Crypto is volatile and may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms apply----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------China's $300 Billion Pile of Bad Consumer Debt Threatens Economyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-17/china-s-economy-recovery-threatened-by-300-billion-in-bad-consumer-debtChina's Tilt to Bonds From Loans Gives PBOC Broader Easing Toolhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-18/china-s-tilt-to-bonds-from-loans-gives-pboc-broader-easing-toolhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
Two Women Inspiring Real Life with Stephanie Coxon and Kathy Anderson-Martin – This year is predicted to be one of the driest on record in the USA. Unseasonably hot spring days followed by freezing temperatures have wreaked havoc on fruit trees and anticipated yields across the country. Tomato prices have increased by 40%. While these weather conditions and food inflation are...
Roundup of the Week's Top Stories in Economics and FreedomWill the Fed Panic on Inflation?Japan Breaks the Piggy BankTrump Brings Back the Job Aptitude TestWomen Now Get 94% of Jobs for DiversityWashington Now Spends $2 for Every $1 it TaxesRead the article “Washington Now Spends $2 for Every $1 it Taxes" at https://www.profstonge.com/Visit our Sponsor: Monetary MetalsEarn 5% to 12% interest on your physical gold and silver, paid in physical gold and silver.Visit our Sponsor: CoinKiteProtect your Bitcoin with an Ultra-Secure Hardware WalletVisit our Sponsor: Abundant MinesMine Bitcoin, Keep the Profits, Reduce your Taxes. We handle Everything.Visit our Sponsor: The Bitcoin WayStep-by-step help with Bitcoin self-custody, upgraded cybersecurity, and Plan B residency.Profstonge WeeklyWeekly articles on economics and freedom and a monthly investment Watch ListDisclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the show
Something very strange is happening in global markets and in particular one key eurodollar signal that hardly anyone pays much attention to. Everywhere you look, investors are acting like the party is back on. U.S. stocks are surging. Tech stocks are ripping. Semiconductors are 1999-ing it right now. But then there is Hong Kong. Its main stock index, the Hang Seng is not joining the celebration. It's going in the opposite direction and has for some time now. That's big because HK is a major Asian money center for not just mainland China. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------China's $300 Billion Pile of Bad Consumer Debt Threatens Economyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-17/china-s-economy-recovery-threatened-by-300-billion-in-bad-consumer-debtChina's Tilt to Bonds From Loans Gives PBOC Broader Easing Toolhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-18/china-s-tilt-to-bonds-from-loans-gives-pboc-broader-easing-toolhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
Jordi Visser is a veteran macro investor with 30+ years of experience and the author of the VisserLabs Substack. In this conversation, we discuss the AI pivot happening with hyperscalers, the rise of open source models, what the Mythos/Fable Five situation means for governments and investors, Kevin Warsh's first Fed press conference, where inflation is actually headed, and why bitcoin is still in a bear market and what needs to change.====================Simple Mining makes Bitcoin mining simple and accessible for everyone. We offer a premium white glove hosting service, helping you maximize the profitability of Bitcoin mining. For more information on Simple Mining or to get started mining Bitcoin, visit https://www.simplemining.io/pomp====================Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates the buying and selling of your preferred crypto strategies. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com and start your automated trading strategy for free. No catch. No hidden fees. Just smarter trading.====================Looking for a better place to trade? BloFin gives traders access to deep liquidity, advanced futures products for crypto AND TradFi assets, fast execution, and a clean, intuitive interface—all in one platform. To celebrate their partnership with us, they're giving away $100,000 in Deposit & Trade Rewards. Deposit, trade, and earn rewards based on your activity during the campaign.====================0:00 - Intro0:57 - AI pivot & hyperscaler weakness5:47 - Open source models & US vs China AI race7:19 - Token demand, Jevons Paradox & AI adoption trends14:22 - When does the CapEx spending become a problem?17:59 - Open source vs closed AI models — who wins long term?19:25 - Agency & what it means for individuals24:34 - Is AI & energy the only thing holding the market up?28:32 - Kevin Warsh's first Fed press conference31:36 - Inflation outlook & next CPI print37:44 - Why so many Americans feel trapped & real cost of living44:51 - Bitcoin bear market & what needs to change