Podcasts about Inflation

Demand destruction is simply becoming impossible to ignore—and it's appearing across the global economy at exactly the wrong moment. Just look at Mexico. And what airlines are doing. Or S&P 500's consumer discretionary stocks. Housing...Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Want to understand what this data (and so much more) means for your portfolio? Learn how the Eurodollar system really works in the next 30 days so you can better prepare for the risks and opportunities ahead. Book a call using this link. https://eurodollar-university.com/edu-apply-page-page----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.youtube.com/shorts/5ZPE8NJLCUQhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sKCVUz0ipwwhttps://abcnews.com/video/136576200/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecIEx-Z0k8shttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6A3mivHq_Zghttps://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/us-rail-fuel-surcharges-grain-hit-record-highs-squeezing-farmers-harvest-season-2026-09-14/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu

Truth about Inflation

I'm joined by Larry Lepard, author of The Big Print, to talk about the coming age of Permanent Inflation. Driven by $40 trillion of debt now running over $2 trillion per year.We ask whether America has already crossed the point of no return. Why the 1970's Volcker solution won't work this time, and how ordinary Americans can protect themselves.Follow Larry on X: https://x.com/LawrenceLepardVisit our Sponsor: Monetary MetalsEarn 5% to 12% interest on your physical gold and silver, paid in physical gold and silver.Visit our Sponsor: Abundant MinesMine Bitcoin, Keep the Profits, Reduce your Taxes. We handle Everything.Visit our Sponsor: The Bitcoin WayStep-by-step help with Bitcoin self-custody, upgraded cybersecurity, and Plan B residency.Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the show

Die Märkte weltweit schauen gerade auf die US-Notenbank Fed. Die hat am Mittwochabend eine Zinserhöhung um 0,25 Prozentpunkte verkündet. Der Leitzins steigt damit auf 3,75 bis 4 Prozent. Was bedeutet das für die Börse und Anleger? Wie entwickeln sich die Anleihenrenditen und was können Anleger angesichts hoher Energiepreise und der Inflation tun? „Die US-Notenbank bleibt unabhängig“, erklärt Robert Halver von der Baader Bank. Zur Wirkung der Zinserhöhung auf die Aktienmärkte sagt er: „Keine große Angst vor einer Notenbank, die sozusagen die Vampirzähne ausfährt und den Aktien das Leben schwer macht.“ Halver spricht außerdem über Anleihen, mögliche Steuersenkungen und Chancen bei Qualitätsaktien: „Der Aktienmarkt bleibt attraktiv.“ Alle Details gibt es im Interview von Inside Wirtschaft-Chefredakteur Manuel Koch an der Frankfurter Börse und auf https://inside-wirtschaft.de

We need to begin seriously considering what would happen if diesel reaches eight, nine, or even ten dollars per gallon. That is not a prediction. It is not clickbait, nor is it fearmongering. This is scenario planning - because it's getting real. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Want to understand what this data (and so much more) means for your portfolio? Learn how the Eurodollar system really works in the next 30 days so you can better prepare for the risks and opportunities ahead. Book a call using this link. https://eurodollar-university.com/edu-apply-page-page----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zp35KGWxkUwhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/live-broadcast.htmhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dj5-BcxfSmchttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi2Xt50beoQhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bRcxUFtg8dIhttps://www.facebook.com/VoteBobBrooks/videos/a-friend-sent-me-this-viral-video-coming-out-of-florida-a-trucker-spent-over-100/2318818452220376/https://www.youtube.com/shorts/_uU2ejSj2MEhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5EIX1MGxqQhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X1j8_tWP70shttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu

Fixed income has taken the spotlight in financial markets, as yields have jumped just about everywhere — and there are several reasons behind the shift, says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer. “Bonds have been a massive driver for markets, not only on the fixed income side, but also for equities,” Christian says, adding that energy prices, concerns about debt sustainability, and high levels of bond issuance are all supporting the move.Readings on consumer sentiment in the US and eurozone are due in the week ahead. But Christian points to an expected meeting between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi as noteworthy for markets, as topics for discussion could include conflicts in the Middle East, energy prices, and artificial intelligence. For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.comIn Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Treasury yields are surging as oil-driven inflation pressure collides with growing expectations that central banks could resume hiking rates, leaving bond investors caught in a painful squeeze. We will discuss how to think about duration, credit quality, and fixed income allocation when the macro backdrop is this volatile.Also in this podcast: NTRA - Natera Inc, MSTY - YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF, DAL - Delta Air Lines Inc., JNJ - Johnson & Johnson; also, a listener question on 'buffered ETFs'; plus Justin's MARKET WRAP UP, and his topic talking points: “Inflation” and “Index Risks”; and Justin reviewed treasury rates, metal prices, and oil and gas prices.  Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code claud.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

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1880 IRISH AT THE EMIGRRANT SAVINGS BANKCongress Must Aid Fed Against InflationVeronique de Rugy argues that the Federal Reserve cannot defeat inflation solely by raising interest rates without fiscal assistance from Congress. Higher interest rates increase national debt service payments, which have surged from $250 billion to over one trillion dollars, fueling further inflation through government borrowing. Drawing historical parallels to Paul Volcker in the 1980s, she highlights how monetary tightening requires legislative spending cuts and structural tax or Social Security reforms. With the US debt-to-GDP ratio now exceeding 100% and the Social Security trust fund facing depletion by 2032, Congress must exercise fiscal responsibility rather than relying on endless borrowing. (3)

1945 LANCASTER COUNTYCInflation Drives Divided Spending In PennsylvaniaJim McTague shares observations on inflation while traveling across Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, illustrating a bifurcated K-shaped economy. High gasoline prices, averaging over $4.20 to $4.39 per gallon, are heavily squeezing lower-income families and reducing convenience store spending. Conversely, wealthier residents and affluent tourists continue spending heavily at specialty venues, such as Groff's butcher shop in Elizabethtown and boutique stores in Lititz. While local meat suppliers and pretzel shops report booming demand, even prosperous shoppers are beginning to display subtle penny-pinching habits on expensive goods like artisanal chocolates, reflecting widespread pressure from sustained energy costs. (4)

Private credit defaults have officially reached a record. According to Fitch Ratings, the default rate rose to 6.3% in August, exceeding the previous record set only one month earlier. But the most important number may not be 6.3%. It may be Fitch's 45%. And that reveals the bigger story, one about liquidity and tightening. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Want to understand what this data (and so much more) means for your portfolio? Learn how the Eurodollar system really works in the next 30 days so you can better prepare for the risks and opportunities ahead. Book a call using this link. https://eurodollar-university.com/edu-apply-page-page----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-us-private-credit-default-rate-rose-to-6-3-in-august-2026-14-09-2026https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWO2kJpwoGwhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2026-09-17/chelsea-owner-clearlake-capital-buys-out-boehly-walter-videohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pNJjalgE5nMhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CO5aBQoWvMAhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DK8J68R5H5chttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-17/private-credit-defaults-are-1-6-or-19-depending-who-you-askhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-17/blackstone-looks-to-cash-out-some-real-estate-fund-investorshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-16/banks-line-up-22-billion-chip-loan-tied-to-blackstone-alphabethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-16/softbank-cds-hovers-near-3-year-high-on-openai-funding-concernshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu

Leslie Picker and the Investment Committee debate how to navigate the inflation risks to the rally. Plus, the desk share their latest portfolio moves. And later, CNBC's Sharon Epperson joins us to discuss whether AI has taken over your 401(k).Investment Committee Disclosures Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Supply chains are facing pressure from every direction, from inflation and shifting consumer behavior to climate-driven disruption and rapidly evolving AI capabilities. For leaders, the challenge isn't simply keeping up. It's figuring out where to focus, how to make faster and better decisions, and how to turn emerging technology into measurable business value.In this episode of The Buzz, powered by MFG.inc, Scott Luton and special guest co-host Tanzil Uddin with Manifest are joined by Dheera Anand, Partner at Bain & Company, to unpack some of the biggest forces shaping supply chain today. They explore the latest challenges at the Panama Canal, changing consumer behavior, and lessons in regional resilience from APAC before diving deep into AI and supply chain transformation.Dheera shares practical examples of how organizations are moving beyond AI experimentation and “pilot fatigue” to create real operational value. The conversation also explores high-frequency decision-making, the importance of choosing the right AI applications, and how AI could reshape integrated business planning through faster scenario planning, continuous monitoring, and an “always-on” approach to IBP. Key TakeawaysPredictability and visibility are critical to resilience. Disruptions such as those affecting the Panama Canal demonstrate why companies need to understand their exposure throughout the supply network, not just at tier one.Consumers are still spending, but they're becoming more value-conscious. Retailers need greater precision around inventory, working capital, automation, and productivity as economic pressures continue.AI's greatest value may be in high-frequency decisions. Thousands of small operational decisions can create significant value leakage when humans simply don't have the capacity to address them all in real time.Moving beyond AI pilot fatigue requires better use-case selection. Leaders should consider data availability, decision frequency, variability, and the consequences of error when determining where AI can deliver scalable value.World-class IBP is a decision process—not a reporting process. Effective IBP should drive decisions, trade-offs, scenario planning, and preparation for what happens when the plan changes.AI could make IBP increasingly “always on.” Faster scenario modeling, automated assumption monitoring, and early-warning signals could move organizations beyond the traditional monthly planning cadence.Not all complexity creates value. Organizations need greater visibility and governance to distinguish complexity that customers value from complexity that adds cost without meaningful return. Supply chain leaders don't need more technology experiments; they need practical ways to turn technology, data, and planning into better decisions. Tune in to hear Scott, Tanzil, and Dheera explore how leaders can move beyond AI pilots, strengthen resilience, rethink IBP, and build supply chains that are better equipped to compete in an increasingly complex environment. Additional Links & Resources:MFG.inc: https://mfg.inc/With That Said: https://bit.ly/WTS-12-Sep-2026Manifest 2027: https://manifestvegas.partners/partners/SupplyChainNowSupply Chain & Logistics Summit: https://bit.ly/SupplyChainAndLogisticsSummit-2026The Panama Canal's New Boss Inherits a Drought and a Bidding War for Transit Slots: https://on.wsj.com/4xW4xYbInflation persisted in August, potentially locking in a Fed interest rate hike: https://bit.ly/4gSLJD83 lessons from Asia-Pacific on regional cooperation in a fragmented world: https://bit.ly/Learning-from-APACThe Buzz APAC Edition for September 9th: https://bit.ly/The-Buzz-APAC-EditionMFG.inc Leadership Training: https://mfg.inc/trainingSupply Chain Now Resource Hub: https://supplychainnow.com/resource-hub/Bain: https://www.bain.com/Dheera on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dheeraanand/Tanzil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tanziluddin/Upcoming Live Programming: https://supplychainnow.com/upcoming-live-programming/Supply Chain Now Resource Hub: https://supplychainnow.com/resource-hub/Learn more about our hosts: https://supplychainnow.com/aboutLearn more about Supply Chain Now: https://supplychainnow.comWatch and listen to more Supply Chain Now episodes here: https://supplychainnow.com/program/supply-chain-now Subscribe to Supply Chain Now on your favorite platform: https://supplychainnow.com/join Work with us! Download Supply Chain Now's NEW Media Kit: https://bit.ly/3XH6OVkLearn more about Blue Yonder Cognitive Solutions: http://blueyonder.com/cognitiveWEBINAR- Demand Volatility Isn't a Forecasting Problem: How One FMCG Distributor Released Capacity Without Capital: https://bit.ly/4r94YM6WEBINAR- You Can't Manage What You Can't See: Using Visibility, KPIs, and AI to Optimize Logistics Operations: https://bit.ly/4ql6iemWEBINAR- The Real ROI of AI Analytics in the Supply Chain: Better Answers When Everyone Starts Asking: https://bit.ly/3TpCX6uThis episode was hosted by Scott Luton and Tanzil Uddin, and produced by Trisha Cordes, Joshua Miranda, and Amanda Luton. For additional information, please visit our dedicated episode page at: https://supplychainnow.com/buzz-ai-scale-panama-canal-risk-future-IBP-1636 The content in this episode, including all audio, videos, visuals, and graphics, is the property of Supply Chain Now and is protected by copyright law. Unauthorized use, reproduction, distribution, modification, or re-uploading of this content in any form is strictly prohibited without explicit written permission from Supply Chain Now.For licensing inquiries or permissions, please contact us at production@supplychainnow.com© 2026 Supply Chain Now. All rights reserved. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Host Kerry Lutz welcomes back guest Bill Walton on the Financial Survival Network for a wide-ranging discussion on current geopolitical tensions, economic narratives, and personal financial strategies. The conversation opens with an analysis of media coverage surrounding military conflicts involving Iran and the U.S., highlighting how AI tools and mainstream media reports can offer starkly contrasting perspectives. Walton and Lutz dissect the resilience of global markets and energy infrastructure, discussing how adaptability prevents long-term choke points despite fluctuating gas prices and ongoing economic uncertainty. Shifting focus to the domestic economy, the two explore the realities behind GDP metrics, labor participation rates, and the growing demand for skilled blue-collar trades over traditional, debt-heavy college degrees. Walton emphasizes the importance of personal financial responsibility—spending less than one earns, building savings cushions, and avoiding debt—as the primary drivers of individual financial health.  Find Bill here: https://thebillwaltonshow.com Find Kerry here:  https://khlfsn.substack.com and here: https://inflation.cafe    All Kerry's books are available here:  Amazon Bookstore  

What a week. The Federal Reserve is hiking rates again, inflation remains stubborn, Washington is rewriting the rules for digital assets, Bitcoin is moving, and the Magnificent Seven are starting to tell very different technical stories. On today's TraderMerlin, we're wrapping up one of the more consequential trading weeks we've seen recently and connecting the dots between monetary policy, inflation, technology, crypto and the trades I'm personally watching. The biggest story was clearly the Federal Reserve. The Fed raised rates 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, marking its first rate hike in more than three years. But the quarter-point increase itself isn't the important part. The important question is: Is this one hike—or the beginning of another tightening cycle? That question became even more important after the latest inflation numbers. August CPI rose 0.4% for the month and 3.4% year-over-year, while producer prices increased 0.4% for the month and 5.4% over the past year. Inflation isn't dead. And if prices continue pushing higher, the Fed may have more work to do. Meanwhile, the digital-asset world had a massive week of its own. The CLARITY Act ran into trouble in Washington, the battle over stablecoin yield and community-bank deposits intensified, and the SEC rolled out its new Innovation Exemption, opening the door for certain tokenized U.S. stocks to trade onchain through permissioned automated market makers and liquidity pools. Crypto isn't just sitting on the outside of traditional finance anymore. The infrastructure is beginning to merge. We'll break down: The Fed – Why rates went higher and what could come next Inflation – What CPI and PPI are telling us about the road ahead Digital Assets – CLARITY, stablecoins, SEC/CFTC developments and tokenization Bitcoin & Crypto – What the changing regulatory landscape means for traders Magnificent Seven Technicals – Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Tesla Market Leadership – Are the Mag 7 still driving this market—or is leadership beginning to fracture? My Trades – Updates on the positions I'm currently watching, what's working, what isn't and how I'm managing risk The Magnificent Seven may be especially important here. For years, traders could almost treat these companies as a single trade. That's changing. Some charts remain technically strong while others are showing very different momentum, support and resistance structures. That divergence can tell us a lot about what's happening underneath the major indexes. And, as always, I'll finish with updates on my own trades—because analyzing markets is one thing. Putting your money on the line is another. Listen now:

In this episode Jack breaks down inflation from first principles. What it actually is, how it works mechanically, why mainstream economists claim it's a good thing, and why that claim is offensive. He walks through the 1970 cost of living vs today, explains why inflation is uneven and who benefits first, dismantles the idea of a single "inflation rate," and lays out what life looks like on a Bitcoin standard in the age of AI.Join the revolution: https://strike.me/Chapters: 0:00 Introduction0:29 The Experience of Inflation1:42 What Changed After 19713:37 Keynesian Economics Says Inflation Is Good6:12 The Hard Money Response8:52 The Mechanics of Inflation11:59 The Corn Analogy13:14 Credit Can't Create Real Resources15:51 Inflation Is Uneven — Who Gets the Money First19:49 There Is No Single "Inflation Rate"24:42 Who Wins and Who Loses27:54 Life on a Bitcoin Standard30:54 Bitcoin and AI: An Abundance of Resources34:46 Fixed Money in a World of Innovation36:39 Why the Bull Market Hasn't Even Started37:12 No Man Should Work for What Another Man Can Print

September 17, 2026: 8am — Fed raises interest rates for the first time since 2023 To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Red, White and Who is back! Email us at thejournal@wsj.com with your thoughts on the economy as we head into the midterms.  For the first time in three years, the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates. Chairman Kevin Warsh was appointed by President Trump, who explicitly hoped he'd keep rates low. But the economy doesn't appear to be heading in the right direction and inflation has proven to be far stickier than anticipated. WSJ's Nick Timiraos reports on why Warsh took a hawkish turn and explains why the Fed might not be done yet. Ryan Knutson hosts.  Further Listening: -How the Bond Market Will Affect Your Wallet - Who Is the New Fed Chair? Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Let's talk about Trump, interest rates, more inflation, and expectations….

It's FOMC decision day. The data says do nothing. Flat curves say mistake. The inflation data doesn't say what hawks think it does. Do policymakers send a message and Trichet themselves? What about the dots? Where do rates go?

Don't Imbibe the Kool-Aid with Kim Kennedy – Americans face rising living costs while political leaders offer flashy checks instead of lasting solutions. Inflation, national debt, and unchecked spending demand honesty and restraint. Financial stability depends on responsible leadership, disciplined saving, and careful financial planning that make everyday life more affordable for families...

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Economist and Senior Fellow from the Mises Institute, Dr. Mark Thornton. He paints a dire picture of the global economy, arguing that widespread socialist policies are driving governments to extreme borrowing, money printing, and protectionism. He points to the trade war and real conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East as direct consequences, which have disrupted diesel, crude oil, and fertilizer production. This creates a global pinch on agriculture and mining, threatening food supplies and crop yields, while strategic energy reserves are depleted, leaving economies vulnerable. The resulting higher fuel and food prices are squeezing consumers worldwide, whose wages are failing to keep pace with inflation, leading to a systematic harm of the working class while asset bubbles benefit the wealthy. The discussion turns to the unsustainable sovereign debt bubble, with Dr. Thornton noting that when government debt exceeds 100% of GDP, economies become trapped, risking either a deflationary depression or a hyperinflationary collapse. He sees the current fiat money system as steering toward the latter, especially if central banks are forced to monetize debt to suppress rising yields. Unlike the post-World War II era, when the U.S. grew out of its debt through demobilization and global demand, today's conditions make a similar escape unlikely without drastic government restructuring. On a more constructive note, Dr. Thornton is bullish on gold and silver, citing fundamental support from ongoing central bank purchases and restricted mining supply. He anticipates that once short-term speculators re-enter the market, precious metals and mining stocks could see a significant upswing. He also suggests the possibility of a government-led gold revaluation as a short-term political tactic, though it would not solve long-term structural problems. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:12 – Socialist Policies Driving Crisis 00:04:36 – Middle East Energy Disruptions 00:08:18 – Global Supply Chain Pressures 00:12:40 – Food Supply and Agriculture Risks 00:18:00 – Consumer Squeeze and Debt 00:23:50 – Government Debt Bubble Analysis 00:28:36 – Hyperinflation Risks Ahead 00:33:55 – Post-WWII Debt Lessons 00:39:23 – Gold Bull Market Drivers 00:49:33 – US Gov’t and Rising Gold 00:53:08 – Mises Institute Wrap Up Guest Links: Website: https://mises.org X: https://x.com/DrMarkThornton E-Mail: mailto:mthornton@mises.org YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=mark+thornton+minor+issues Dr. Mark Thornton is a Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute and formerly held the Peterson-Luddy Chair in Austrian Economics. He hosts the podcasts Minor Issues and Unanimity and is Book Review Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics. His books include The Economics of Prohibition, Tariffs, Blockades, and Inflation, The Bastiat Collection, and The Skyscraper Curse. He has served on multiple editorial boards, taught economics at several universities, and worked as Assistant Superintendent of Banking and adviser to Alabama Governor Fob James. He holds degrees from St. Bonaventure University and Auburn University and has debated the “War on Drugs” at the Oxford Union. Dr. Thornton has been featured in major outlets such as The Economist, Forbes, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and USA Today, along with numerous international and regional newspapers. His commentary appears regularly on the Mises Institute's platforms and on programs such as Boom-Bust, the Tom Woods Show, and the Scott Horton Show.

Bundestrainer Jürgen Klopp gibt neuen Kader der Fußball-Nationalmannschaft bekannt, Kanadas Premier Carney begrüßt bei Rede vor EU-Parlament engere Beziehungen mit der EU, US-Kongress beschließt schärfere Sanktionen gegen Russland, US-Notenbank Fed erhöht Leitzins wegen anhaltend hoher Inflation, Bundesanwaltschaft lässt mutmaßlichen Islamisten in Brandenburg festnehmen, Wahlkampf um Abgeordnetenhaus in Berlin im Endspurt, Weiterer Todesfall durch Malaria bei Anwohner in Nähe des Frankfurter Flughafens, EU plant mit "KIDS Act" neue Altersgrenzen für soziale Medien, Das Wetter Hinweis: Der Beitrag zu DFB-Trainer Jürgen Klopp darf aus rechtlichen Gründen nicht auf tagesschau.de gezeigt werden.

Stocks and bonds are rallying after the Fed's first rate hike in three years, but higher fuel prices and stubborn inflation risks are still complicating the path ahead.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss why markets are reacting more positively after Kevin Warsh's latest Fed meeting, why short-term rate hikes do not directly control mortgage rates, and how flows and positioning can drive market moves more than simple headlines. They also break down why diesel prices remain a major economic problem, whether the global economy is running out of supply buffers, why AI spending is still reshaping markets, and how concerns around Anthropic, OpenAI, and AI safety could affect future IPOs.

"Inflation is still just too sticky," the big reason Charles Schwab's Collin Martin sees for the Fed raising interest rates. He makes the case for one or two more rate hikes before the end of 2026 even as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stays cautious on offering guidance. As Treasury yields rally, Collin makes the case that now's not the time to buy. Jim Ferraioli talks about the Clarity Act failing a key Senate vote and how the headline hits Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

"Warsh really had to do what he was expected to do," says Rebecca Walser on the Fed's decision to hike interest rates by 25 bps. She says the FOMC's goal to reach 2% inflation "will never happen" due to AI hyperscaler CapEx ballooning, making the argument the committee needs a new benchmark. Rebecca explains how she sees the AI "capital wars" playing out in the years to come as Anthropic and OpenAI raise safety warnings. That said, she believes investors need to stay invested in AI-tied stocks. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Stuart has written a provocative new booklet titled Fragile Prosperity — Australia's Gigantic Monetary Gamble, which examines whether or not we are suffering from a giant, failing experiment with modern money

Ce jeudi 17 septembre, la décision de Kevin Warsh de relever les taux de la Fed a été abordée par Christian de Boissieu, économiste et vice-président du Cercle des économistes, Dany Lang, enseignant-chercheur en économie à Sorbonne-Paris Nord, et Anne-Catherine Péchinot, PDG d'Easy Cash, dans l'émission Les Experts, présentée par Laure Closier sur BFM Business. Retrouvez l'émission du lundi au vendredi et réécoutez la en podcast.

Segment 1: Michelle Edmonson, Vice President of Exhibitions for AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology and lead for the IMTS – International Manufacturing Technology Show brands, joins Jon to talk about how the show has been going so far this week, what she’s most proud of so far, what you will see if you visit, some […]

Sam Baker has spent 6 years in the Bitcoin industry and is currently a research analyst for River.› https://x.com/macromule› River's report: https://x.com/River/status/2095172953935684067PARTNERS

The Fed's Inflation Dilemma: What's Next for America? We are joined by David McAlvany (CEO, The McAlvany Financial Group). Topics discussed include: The Fed's Inflation Dilemma. Is Inflation Really Under Control? America's Economic Crossroads. Biblical Stewardship in Uncertain Times.

1920 TOUR DE FRANCEEuropean Inflation Escalates Under Energy PressuresSimon Constable reports a severe heatwave in southern France damaged sunflower harvests while diesel prices soared to $9.20 per gallon, causing widespread agricultural and logistical distress. Rising European natural gas costs pushed electricity rates up 12% in one month, driving price hikes across essential agricultural commodities like corn and wheat. Meanwhile, public opposition against artificial intelligence data centers reflects underlying hostility toward wealthy technology figures rather than environmental impact. In the United Kingdom, escalating national debt service costs reached $127 billion annually, far surpassing the nation's $80 billion defense budget during severe ongoing international economic challenges facing European leadership in government circles. (8)

Capitalism vs. socialism may define America's economic and political future. Which system best protects prosperity, individual liberty, and moral justice? Richard Salsman, author of Where Have All the Capitalists Gone?, joins Professor Nick Giordano on The P.A.S. Report Podcast to present the moral case for capitalism that too many Republicans refuse to make. Beyond standard economic debates, they expose socialism's emotional appeal, the conservative retreat from limited government, and the economic forces behind the $40 trillion national debt, inflation, and America's departure from the gold standard. What You'll Learn in This Episode: The Moral Case for Capitalism: Why private property, voluntary exchange, individual rights, and rational self-interest form the foundation of a free and just society The Socialist Illusion: How socialist advocates use emotional appeals to expand state power despite socialism's record of economic failure The Causes of Inflation: How Federal Reserve policy and chronic federal deficits reduce the value of the dollar and raise everyday costs The Republican Retreat: Why Republicans abandoned fiscal restraint and accepted larger government programs, federal entitlements, and common good capitalism The Path Forward: What free-market advocates must do to reclaim the moral argument and defeat socialism without apology Chapters 00:00 Capitalism vs Socialism with Richard Salsman 03:01 The Moral Case for Capitalism 14:29 How Education Fuels Support for Socialism 17:53 Public Ownership and the Government Monopoly 21:54 The Gold Standard, Inflation and the National Debt 28:49 Wealth Taxes and Unrealized Capital Gains 30:46 Why Republicans Abandoned Limited Government ⭐ Support the Show: If you value principled constitutional analysis, follow The P.A.S. Report on Apple Podcasts, leave a five-star rating wherever your platform allows it, and share this episode with someone who needs to hear it.   #Capitalism #Socialism #FreeMarkets #LimitedGovernment #RepublicanParty

A relatively small German cooperative bank is receiving a financial rescue, a bail out, worth as much. The bank, Volksbank Brawo, had €6.5 billion in total assets at the end of last year. It's support package is equivalent to roughly one-ninth of the entire bank. But Brawo isn't alone. Volksbank Kleverland recently applied for support after reviewing its loan portfolio. WTF is going on in Germany?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Want to understand what this data (and so much more) means for your portfolio? Learn how the Eurodollar system really works in the next 30 days so you can better prepare for the risks and opportunities ahead. Book a call using this link. https://eurodollar-university.com/edu-apply-page-page----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-15/tiny-german-bank-gets-834-million-rescue-after-investment-spreehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-29/a-ceo-s-sudden-exit-spotlights-troubles-at-german-regional-bankshttps://www.boersen-zeitung.de/personen/vorstandschef-der-voba-kleverland-gefeuerthttps://www.volksbank-kleverland.de/meine-bank/news/bank/frank-ruffing-nicht-mehr-vorstand.htmlhttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UC5fCungpUEaL1W33BkEhlBghttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zsr99tKCE0Ehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UldbOPfR8DMhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yyq3GIIp5tUhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p8aW9YmF4Xshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z_6QHTAdG-Ahttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DK8J68R5H5chttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H-rFZzx9PVUhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFeRPKAA8o0https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu

Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber discussed the markets bracing for Wednesday's Fed decision on interest rates, with Wall Street expecting a hike for the first time since 2023. Inflation in focus: As diesel prices hit fresh record highs, the anchors weighed on companies warning about fuel prices impacting their bottom lines. Hear how Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang doubled down on the AI doomsday scenario while speaking to Jim on "Mad Money" Tuesday night. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar and Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff also joined Cramer on that show with their takes on AI safety. Also in focus: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg's social media posts on AI alignment and safety; Strategist Ed Yardeni cuts his year-end S&P 500 price target, retail sales' August rebound, Katy Perry's eye-opening comment to Cramer about AI.Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

It's Fed Day, and markets are waiting for answers. It's also Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts takes your questions from our YouTube Live Chat window. He'll break down the biggest economic, investing, and market developments of the past week, including the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting, interest rates, inflation, rising Treasury yields, oil prices, AI spending concerns, and the recent pressure on stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:55 - Fed Day: Will They or Won't They? 3:11 - Market Breaks Below 50-DMA 4:12 - Reflexive Rally not surprising, post-Fed 4:30 - Oil Prices Putting Pressure on Economy 9:02 - What's the Expected Market Reaction for FOMC Rate Decision? 12:54 - Are there clear tech support levels for S&P? 15:57 - Does it make sense to owns TIPS in an IRA in a state with high income tax? 16:47 - Lance's Roth Thesis 19:14 - Inflation feeds into everything; isn't it tame for now? (What the Fed SHOULD do) 22:37 - Credit Card Spending and After Tax Wage Growth 25:31 - Do Markets Compound? (no) 30:03 - Gold Behavior and Rate Hikes 31:53 - Too Bad Warsh Didn't Introduce Truflation (link to Oliver Rust interview is below) 32:49 - 90% Equities, 10% Cash: Time to Buy Bonds? 34:07 - Nick Timaros Chart--pricing in two rate hikes this year? 34:39 - Selling Equities to Lock in Bonds? 38:08 (Gamblers Anonymous Thursdays w Michael Lebowitz) 39:52 - Raise Rate and Lower Credit Card Rates? (Doesn't work that way) 40:15 - Do we only have a few years left to make money? (yes) (chart) 44:34 - Will Payment of Interest on National Debt be an Issue? (no) 46:19 - Where might the top of the Ten Year Treasury be? 47:54 - Why can't you cap credit card rates lower? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Markets Break the 50-DMA: What Happens Next?" https://youtu.be/GNBpgdhBG9U ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ -------- Watch our previous show, "10 Money Moves to Make Before Year End" https://youtube.com/live/cSHoYh0sR70 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ "Is Inflation Data Getting it Wrong? (Oliver Rust Interview) https://www.youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?si=lSvziR7PKnwWx1Fp --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnologyStocks #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #TaxPlanning #RothConversion #YearEndPlanning

Making more money doesn't always create a greater sense of financial security. In this episode of The Budgetdog Breakdown, Brendan answers real listener questions about teaching children financial literacy, investing without emotion, achieving financial independence, and why people can earn significantly more money than their parents while still feeling financially behind. The conversation explores why financial education needs to become part of everyday family life, how parents can teach children about money through simple conversations, and why financial confidence comes from education and repeated small wins rather than trying to have one perfect conversation. Brendan also discusses why investing should be boring, how automation can remove emotional decision-making, and why constantly checking your portfolio can lead to poor financial behavior. The episode also explores the idea of retiring at 40 and the importance of changing your beliefs and systems before expecting different financial results. Finally, Brendan breaks down why earning more doesn't necessarily mean feeling richer, discussing inflation, purchasing power, and the importance of turning active income into investments and assets. Money isn't just about how much you earn. It's about what you do with it. Episode Timeline and Highlights 00:00 Why wealthy people rely on systems 00:18 Teaching kids about money 03:26 Making financial education part of your family culture 04:21 Taking ownership of your financial education 05:21 Teaching children about ownership and investing 06:39 Why investing should be boring 08:04 Automating your financial system 09:25 Is FIRE at 40 actually realistic? 10:34 Beliefs, identity, environment, and systems 11:57 Building confidence through micro-wins 13:10 Checking your investments too often 14:03 Why emotional investing can hurt your results 14:58 What happens when the market drops 16:37 Why earning more can still leave you feeling broke 17:27 Inflation and the money supply 19:03 Why owning assets matters 20:09 Turning income into investments Key Takeaways • Financial education should become part of everyday life • Parents need to educate themselves before teaching their children • Investing doesn't need to be exciting to be effective • Automation can reduce emotional financial decisions • Constantly checking investments can encourage reactive behavior • Small wins can build confidence over time • Financial independence requires changing both behavior and systems • Higher income doesn't automatically create greater purchasing power • Inflation can reduce the value of money held in cash • Turning active income into assets can help build long-term wealth Quotables "Financial education starts with you, not your ten-year-old." "The game of money and the game of wealth is boring." "If you can prove to yourself that you're going to do what you say you're going to do, you'll build micro confidence." "Your financial future isn't determined by where you are today. It's determined by the system you build from this point forward." The goal isn't to make money exciting. It's to build a system that works whether you're excited, scared, or completely uninterested.

Marc Cox and Kim St. Ange are joined by FOX Across America host Jimmy Failla to discuss the Sydney Sweeney ad controversy, politics at concerts, and the proposed 32-hour workweek. FOX Business' Taylor Riggs also breaks down rising oil prices, pressure around the Strait of Hormuz, the Federal Reserve, bond yields, retail sales, and the impact of higher diesel costs on businesses.

William Lee says the Fed can still surprise even as Wall Street braces for a greater than 90% interest rate hike Wednesday, especially if Kevin Warsh shows signs this hike is just "for face." Jeff Klingelhofer believes the Fed needs to put its foot down in maintaining independence by establishing chances of a rate hiking cycle to balance rising inflation with the U.S. economy. William disagrees with Jeff, arguing Warsh needs to "thread the needle very carefully" on how he addresses the fight against inflation. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/schwab-Network/dp/B08JJRQG9T/Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/channel/bb1b75050268416e82a557ff6387bff3/browseWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus/catalog/live-tv-channels/3123029569/schwab-networkFollow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Mortgage Rates Are Rising: How Real Estate Investors Should Prepare Mortgage rates are moving higher again. For real estate investors, that raises an obvious question: What should you actually do about it? In today's episode of the Canadian Real Estate Investing Morning Show, Wayne and Gabby are joined by investor-focused mortgage broker Keaton Kirkwood of Kirkwood & Brennan Mortgage Group to break down what is happening with rates, why fixed mortgage rates are already reacting, how variable-rate borrowers should think about the next several months, and how investors can protect their portfolios before higher borrowing costs become a problem. The biggest message: You cannot control interest rates. But you can control how prepared your portfolio is for them. Why Rates Are Moving Keaton explains that there are two major forces investors need to understand: Bond yields and The Bank of Canada overnight rate Bond yields react in real time to market expectations, global capital flows and inflation. Fixed mortgage rates are heavily influenced by bond yields. The Bank of Canada overnight rate, on the other hand, directly affects prime-based borrowing products such as variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs. Keaton points out that bond yields have already moved higher. That means fixed mortgage rates can increase even before the Bank of Canada changes its overnight rate. Why the U.S. Matters The conversation also covers what happens when the United States raises rates. Canada does not operate in isolation. If other major economies increase rates while Canada does not, that can put downward pressure on the Canadian dollar. A weaker dollar can make imported goods more expensive. That can contribute to inflation. Eventually, Canada may be forced to respond. Keaton compares global economies to a conga line. The largest economies are closer to the front. Canada is somewhere in the middle. We do not control the direction of the entire global financial system. This Is Not the First Time Wayne points out that investors have seen versions of this before.     Inflation. Rising rates. Higher mortgage payments. Financing stress. The causes may change. The pattern does not. That is why the goal should never be to perfectly predict rates. The goal is to build a portfolio that can survive when rates move against you. Higher Oil Prices Could Help Alberta There is one interesting wrinkle. The current inflation pressure being discussed is connected partly to geopolitical conflict and rising energy prices. Higher oil and gas prices are painful for consumers. But Alberta can sometimes benefit economically from stronger energy prices. That may support: Employment Investment Migration Housing demand Property values Keaton cautions that the effect is not equally positive for everybody. A drilling contractor may benefit directly. A teacher or accountant may not. Still, Alberta can sometimes perform relatively well during periods when global energy prices rise. What Investors Should Do Now Wayne asks the question most investors actually care about: Should you pause? Wait? Switch mortgage products? Rush to refinance? Keaton's answer: It depends on when you are exposed to higher rates. If you are in a variable mortgage, you should be paying attention now. If you have a fixed mortgage renewing within approximately 18 months, you should be paying attention. If you locked into a relatively high fixed rate previously, it may also be worth reviewing whether restructuring creates an advantage. That does NOT automatically mean you should refinance. It means you should investigate. Keaton's Four Pillars When deciding whether to restructure a mortgage, Keaton recommends evaluating four things: Cost Qualifying power Risk Tax efficiency If a change improves three or four of those areas, it may be worth considering. If the only benefit is saving $50 per month but it costs $15,000 to make the change, that may not make sense. The decision needs to improve the overall portfolio. Know Your Break-Even Interest Rate One of the most important pieces of advice from today's episode: Know the interest rate at which each property stops cash flowing. Then calculate the same number for your entire portfolio. For example: What happens if rates increase 0.25%? How much does that reduce monthly cash flow? What about another 0.25%? And another? At what point does the property become cash-flow neutral? At what point does the entire portfolio require money from your pocket? Investors should know these numbers before the rate increase arrives. Stress-Test the Portfolio Keaton recommends going even further. Calculate the impact of each quarter-point rate increase. If every 0.25% increase costs your portfolio $300 per month, you can quickly determine how much room you have. Maybe your portfolio can absorb: Three increases. Five increases. Seven increases. The specific number matters less than knowing it. Uncertainty creates fear. Knowing the numbers creates a plan. Cash Flow Is Your Protection Wayne comes back to the 5% Rule™. The reason he places so much emphasis on buying strong cash-flowing properties is not because high cash flow simply feels good. Cash flow creates safety. If interest rates rise: You have room. If rents temporarily fall: You have room. If expenses increase: You have room. If vacancy rises: You have room. The investor who bought a property with almost no cash-flow cushion can be wiped out much faster. The 5% Rule™ Wayne created the 5% Rule as a simple minimum cash-flow test for Canadian real estate investors. Its purpose is to ensure investors are not buying properties with such thin margins that one market change destroys the investment. Search: The 5% Rule by Wayne Hillier on Amazon. Longer Amortizations Can Reduce Risk Keaton also explains why he often prefers longer amortizations on investment properties. Longer amortization means: Lower mortgage payments. Higher cash flow. Greater ability to absorb rate increases. More liquidity. That does not mean you can never pay the mortgage down faster. You can use prepayment privileges if you want to accelerate the mortgage later. But starting with a longer amortization gives the investor more flexibility. Don't Rush to Pay Off Tax-Deductible Debt Another important point: Not all debt costs the same. Interest on qualifying investment debt may be tax deductible. Interest on your principal residence generally is not. That means a 5% tax-deductible investment mortgage may effectively cost less after tax than a 4% non-deductible home mortgage. Keaton's view is that investors should generally prioritize paying down more expensive non-deductible debt before aggressively eliminating tax-deductible investment debt. Always confirm the tax treatment with your accountant. Variable vs Adjustable Rate Mortgages Keaton also explains an important distinction. An adjustable-rate mortgage changes the payment as rates move. A variable-rate mortgage with a fixed payment keeps the payment the same, while the amount going toward principal changes. For an investor concerned primarily with cash flow, a fixed-payment variable structure can provide more predictability. The specific product still needs to fit the investor's goals. What About Leverage? One listener asks how to hedge rising variable rates when heavily leveraged. Keaton explains that loan-to-value is only part of the picture. For cash flow, amortization can be more important. An investor could have relatively low leverage but a very short amortization and therefore extremely high monthly payments. That investor may actually be more exposed to rate pressure than someone with more leverage and much lower payments. The real question is: How much cash flow does the debt structure require every month? Liquidity Matters Keaton also recommends maintaining liquidity. Cash reserves can make an enormous difference during periods of rising rates. An extra $20,000 or $30,000 in accessible reserves can give an investor time to work through: Higher payments Vacancies Repairs Refinancing Renewal timing Selling an underperforming property Liquidity gives you options. Should You Sell a Weak Property? Keaton gives an example. Imagine your portfolio is healthy until rates reach 6%. But one property is already barely cash-flow neutral today. That property may deserve a closer look. If rates rise further, it could become significantly negative. The question becomes: Does that asset have another compelling reason to hold it? Or would selling it now strengthen the entire portfolio? Asset management means evaluating each property individually, not blindly holding everything forever. Don't Let Rates Stop You From Buying The goal of today's conversation is NOT: "Rates are going up, so stop investing." It is: Understand the risk. Prepare for it. Then continue executing the plan. Higher rates can change the numbers. They can change which properties make sense. They can change financing strategies. But they do not automatically eliminate good real estate opportunities. Remote Property Management Course – 50% Off This Week Wayne and Gabby also discuss the response to Gabby's Remote Property Management Course. The eight-module course teaches the systems Wayne and Gabby use to manage their own rental portfolio remotely without personally attending every property issue. This week, the course is available for: 50% off Use code: 50OFF at: www.reimasters.ca About Keaton Kirkwood Keaton Kirkwood is an investor-focused mortgage broker with Kirkwood & Brennan Mortgage Group. He works with Canadian real estate investors on financing structures designed to protect cash flow, preserve future borrowing power and avoid mortgage decisions that make the next acquisition harder. www.kbmortgages.ca keaton@kbmortgages.ca REI Masters Mentorship Work directly with Wayne and Gabby on acquisitions, financing, market selection, joint ventures, property management and building a profitable Canadian real estate portfolio. www.reimasters.ca Watch the Morning Show Join Wayne and Gabby every weekday morning at 7:00 AM Mountain Time on YouTube. Follow Wayne Hillier – Real Estate Investing Coach on YouTube. Questions: info@reimorningshow.com Upcoming Event REI Masters Annual Retreat Edmonton, Alberta October 17–18, 2026 www.reimasters.ca Sponsors Calvin Realty – Edmonton Investor-Focused Realtor Team www.calvinrealty.ca Finngo Bookkeeping & Tax Specialized bookkeeping and tax services for Canadian real estate investors. www.finngo.com/rei Kirkwood & Brennan Mortgage Group Investor-focused mortgage planning for Canadian real estate investors. www.kbmortgages.ca keaton@kbmortgages.ca

Aujourd'hui, Charles Consigny, avocat, Emmanuel de Villiers, entrepreneur, et Fatima Aït Bounoua, prof de français, débattent de l'actualité autour d'Alain Marschall et Olivier Truchot.

Inflation is proving stubborn once again, raising the odds of another Federal Reserve interest rate hike. The latest Consumer Price Index shows inflation climbed 3.4% year over year in August, while a hotter-than-expected core reading pushed traders to increase their bets on a Fed rate hike.   Kathy Fettke breaks down what's driving inflation, what the Fed could do next, and what it could mean for mortgage rates, housing, and real estate investors.  

Low Value Mail is a live call-in show discussing current events, politics, conspiracies and much more.Every Monday night at 7pm ETSupport The Show:

Explore CNBC's Bob Pisani's reflections on 40-plus years of finance journalism, how he navigated the information overload of modern markets, what he learned from the NYSE trading floor, and what life looks like after leaving one of the most recognizable roles in financial media. 00:00 Introduction 09:39 The Art of Storytelling in Finance  12:28 Reflections on Career and Life Choices 18:32 Curiosity: An Innate Trait or Learned Skill? 23:13 Wealth Inequality and Market Participation 32:19 The Reality of Market Volatility 51:20 Active vs. Passive Investment Strategies 53:51 Market Concentration and Indexing Concerns 56:36 Inflation and Bond Market Dynamics 58:05 Real Assets and Alternative Investments 01:05:23 The Future of Work in an AI-Driven World

Hollywood's new villains aren't Big Banks, it's Tech CEOs… and 4 new films prove it.Lacoste is only selling its new polo collection through hotel room service… It's fancy by association.The Consumer Price Index came in at 3.4%… so let's talk about “Interest Rate Squatters.”Plus, the #1 new complaint in your Uber… is the smell of that Very Cherry chemical Air Freshener.$LYFT $UBERLinkedin post on tech villains: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/allisonmgrant_i-find-it-interesting-that-there-are-not-activity-7503866845053992960-55YeGrab your Tickets to the IPO Tour: Our In-Person OfferingSan Francisco 9/23: https://www.ticketmaster.com/event/1C0064AFB5F688BDBoston 10/14: https://tickets.citywinery.com/event/tboy-the-ipo-tour-in-person-offering-8cdhupSeattle 11/4 (21+): https://www.axs.com/events/1446394/the-best-one-yet-ticketsNEWSLETTER:https://tboypod.com/newsletter OUR 2ND SHOW:Want more business storytelling from us? Check our weekly deepdive show, The Best Idea Yet: The untold origin story of the products you're obsessed with. Listen for free to The Best Idea Yet: https://wondery.com/links/the-best-idea-yet/NEW LISTENERSFill out our 2 minute survey: https://qualtricsxm88y5r986q.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_dp1FDYiJgt6lHy6GET ON THE POD: Submit a shoutout or fact: https://tboypod.com/shoutouts SOCIALS:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tboypod TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tboypodYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@tboypod Linkedin (Nick): https://www.linkedin.com/in/nicolas-martell/Linkedin (Jack): https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-crivici-kramer/Anything else: https://tboypod.com/ About Us: The daily pop-biz news show making today's top stories your business. Formerly known as Robinhood Snacks, The Best One Yet is hosted by Jack Crivici-Kramer & Nick Martell. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

P.M. Edition for Sept. 14. Industry leaders' calls for a slowdown in AI development are rippling through tech, government and financial markets. As some look at what more guardrails could look like in practice, some—including President Trump—say they're unnecessary since they could give China a competitive leg up. WSJ chief China correspondent Lingling Wei discusses how the debate is going over there. Plus, chip stocks fell over the prospect of a pullback in spending on the AI buildout… and the 10-year yield briefly touched over 5% as instability in the Middle East pushed up oil prices. We hear from markets reporter Hannah Erin Lang about what drove market moves today. And Democrats have momentum as they eye control of Congress. But as WSJ national political reporter Eliza Collins explains, there are also risks that could trip them up. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Pour Over is a Christ-first, politically neutral news podcast. Every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, we cover the day's biggest stories in ~10 minutes, and pair the biggest headlines with brief biblical reminders. Looking to support us? You can choose to pay ⁠here⁠. On today's episode: AI Leaders Concerned About Rapid Progress Saudi Arabia Stoppered Its Oil Pipeline Inflation Remained High in August America Memorialized 25 Years Since 9/11 The Atlantic Has Quiet Hurricane Season Nashville Airport to Rename After Dolly Parton U.S. Open U.S. Closes Indonesian Ferry Capsized In the Java Sea Thanks to our sponsors: The Voice of the Martyrs: Get a free copy of Tortured for Christ | vom.org/TPO Wild Alaskan: $35 off your first box | code: TPO Safe House Project: Give now | SafeHouseProject.org/TPO New Living Translation: Get your copy | https://links.thepourover.org/NLT_Pod Quince: Free shipping | quince.com/tpo AdelFi: Apply for the Harvest Bundle | https://adelfibanking.com/pourover Upside: extra 25 cents back for every gallon on your first tank of gas | code: TPO Life Recovery Bible: Get your copy | https://links.thepourover.org/Tyndale_Sept2026 LMNT: free 8-pack with purchase | https://links.thepourover.org/LMNT_Podcast Serving Orphans Worldwide: Give a gift to feed a child for a month | https://servingorphans.org/thepourover MORE FROM TPO: ⁠Free newsletter⁠ ⁠Watch TPO on YouTube⁠ ⁠Download the TPO App⁠ Unless otherwise noted, all scripture references are from the Christian Standard Bible (CSB) translation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Keith welcomes back macroeconomist Richard Duncan of Macro Watch to examine where mortgage rates are headed and what's driving them there.  Duncan explains how the U.S. shifted from capitalism to what he calls "creditism" after the dollar left gold in 1971, and why today's AI investment boom, rising defense spending, and a $40 trillion national debt are all pointing inflation and interest rates in the same direction.  He also makes the case for rental property on land as a long-term inflation hedge, and answers a question many have asked: if the government can print currency, why does it collect taxes?  Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/623 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments.  For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text  FAMILY to 66866  Join Mid South Home Buyers' one-time, free live webinar featuring Keith Weinhold on September 30 at GetRichEducation.com/MidSouth to learn how Memphis' economic expansion could create new real estate investment opportunities, and have your questions answered in real time. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review"  For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com  Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript:   Keith Weinhold  0:01   Welcome to GRE. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. You're going to get a good idea of where future mortgage rates are headed as we're talking to one of the world's most brilliant macroeconomists today. Will AI be more inflationary or deflationary? And the profundity of how we're on the brink of moving into a completely new economic system today on Get Rich Education. What if I told you that one of America's strongest cash flow real estate markets is also becoming the new brains and brawn behind AI? That city is Memphis, believe it or not. In September 30th, we're going to show you why the smart money is paying attention now, along with an investing opportunity you won't want to miss. Join me, Terry Kerr and Matthew Van Horn of Mid South Home Buyers, the largest turnkey company in Memphis with more than 6000 homes under management, for a free live webinar the likes of which I've never done before. We're going to look at what billions in new investment could mean for jobs, housing demand, neighborhood appreciation, and your portfolio. Everyone who attends live will also get exclusive access to the best deal terms Mid South has ever offered. Reserve your free seat at getricheducation.com/midsouth again. that september 30. Don't say we didn't tell you. Save your spot at getricheducation.com/midsouth.   Speaker 1  1:34   You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get Rich Education.   Keith Weinhold  1:50   Welcome to GRE from Lancaster, Pennsylvania, to Lancaster, California, and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to Get Rich Education, and I really appreciate that you're here. Yes, those two cities, though spelled the same, are pronounced differently. Framing this entire episode today with our brilliant guest, you'll learn which direction future mortgage rates are probably going to move, and it's decidedly either going to be higher or lower. You'll get a clear answer. Now I've said that trying to predict mortgage rates definitively is foolish. We're only talking about probabilities today. Look, have you ever wondered if the government can just print its own currency? Then why do they have to collect taxes from us. We're going to get that answer today. Back in 1971, the U.S. economy left a system of capitalism, in fact, and embarked on a journey of creditism as defined by today's guest. Well, now we're about to leave creditism. You'll learn what is poised to replace it, and it is an AI-fueled answer. You know, to prep you with some context today, I've said it here before. But when you start talking about the enormity of a national economy, the words billion and trillion start to get thrown around a lot. A trillion seconds ago, you know how long ago that was. That takes you further back than the Roman Empire, because a trillion seconds is 31,700 years. Well, 31,700 years ago, that is just about as far back as when the plains of Europe were being roamed by Neanderthals. Yeah, that was a trillion seconds ago. Coming up on the show here, the man who wrote the book on the Pareto principle 30 years ago. That's the 80-20 principle, where 20% of your effort yields 80% of the results. We'll talk to him and learn how those insights can improve your life on a different upcoming episode.   Keith Weinhold  4:08   Here, the book Rich Dad Poor Dad was originally written by two authors. One of those two was Robert Kiyosaki. We had Kiyosaki on the show here with us in June, and by the way, the New York Post recently wrote an article, and they cited the Get Rich Education podcast in how Kiyosaki revealed on the show here that he is 1.2 billion dollars in debt. You can find that in the September 1st edition of the New York Post. That's the June 1st episode of the Get Rich Education podcast that they're citing. Well, a lot of people they don't know who the other author of Rich Dad Poor Dad is, but we're going to have her here with us on the show soon. So some really fascinating episodes coming up. Let's meet today's guest. Returning this week is one of the foremost macroeconomic minds in the world. He was this show's first ever guest nearly 12 years ago on episode seven. A prolific author, he publishes the popular video series Macro Watch at RichardDuncaneconomics.com, and he's really influential. For example, not long ago, he presented his economic policy proposals to congressional members of the House Ways and Means Committee. Hey, it's a warm Get Rich Education. Welcome back to the incomparable Richard Duncan.   Richard Duncan  5:39   Thank you, Keith. Thank you for having me back on.   Keith Weinhold  5:42   I don't know if you and the audience are ready for this. This is some perspective. It recently made news when the U.S. hit its national public debt milestone of $40 trillion. When Richard made his GRE debut here in November of 2014, it was $18 trillion. That national debt has more than doubled since you were first here, Richard.   Richard Duncan  6:07   That's right. The government has been playing probably the leading role in keeping the economy growing, and a couple of times since then has played the sole role in preventing a new Great Depression in the aftermath of the crisis of 2008 and during COVID, it's the massive government budget deficits, often more than a trillion dollars a year. Last couple of years, it's been 1.8 trillion dollars. That's been driving the economy, and whenever it needs some additional support, the Fed steps in and creates a few trillion dollars here and there, and combined they've been keeping the economy growing and, in fact, booming. And wealth has absolutely exploded as a result of the government spending and the Fed money creation. In 2008, the total wealth of all the Americans net worth $60 trillion. Now, it's tripled to $180 trillion. That that is a direct result of the government's intervention through budget deficits and paper money creation by the Fed.   Keith Weinhold  7:14   I will call that the world's least desirable investment portfolio minus 40 t. That is one way to think about it, but when you bring up interventionism, you know something I shared with the audience about a month ago, Richard. It is just remarkable to think about all the crises we've had just since 2020. We had COVID, we had Russia's invasion of Ukraine, we had Israel, Gaza. We had tariffs. Now we've got the war in Iran, and what is the result of all this? Largely due to government interventionism. Oh, both the stock market and real estate market in the U.S. are near all-time highs.   Richard Duncan  7:54   Who would have imagined? But things work very differently now than they did in the old days when money was backed by gold, and the Fed and the government played a much smaller role in the economy. It's a different world now. That was capitalism. This is creditism. Our new economic system is driven by credit growth, and whenever necessary, the government steps in with massive budget deficits, and the Fed steps in with massive money creation to make sure that credit keeps expanding and the economy keeps growing, because if credit doesn't keep expanding, if it even dips a little bit like it started to in 2009, then the whole bubble implodes and we repeat the 1930s Great Depression, probably followed by what happened in the 1940s.   Keith Weinhold  8:39   This is interesting. When you were first here 12 years ago. You talked about how society isn't so much capitalism that it's creditism, and you expounded on that. And before we're done, I know that we have now morphed into a new ism, post-creditism that Richard is going to share with us, it's fascinating. But Richard, since you were last here, the Iran War is new. It's been going on for over six months now. So I'd like to get your thoughts on that, and principally, if the Iran War is going to create lasting inflation or only a temporary energy spike. What are your thoughts?   Richard Duncan  9:20   Let's broaden this out. I know that your listeners are very interested in in real estate, and of course that's very impacted by interest rates. And interest rates are impacted, of course, primarily by inflation. So it is true that the Iran war is pushing up energy prices, and that's pushing up inflation. It's not just Iran alone. Before that, we had trade tariffs, and that's pushing up inflation. And on top of that, we've simultaneously got this extraordinary AI investment boom, and the investment by the hyperscalers is just mind-boggling. The four biggest hyperscalers-Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta-they're expected just the four of them to invest something close to $750 billion this year. 750 billion, just four of them. Now, to put that into perspective, the U.S. military, in one year, the most recent year, only spends half that much on procurement and research and development, roughly 320 billion. You've got these four hyperscalers spending twice as much as the U.S. military does on procurement and research and development. That is just hard to wrap your mind around, and of course, that's pushing up everything from the cost of memory chips to electrical equipment, the cost of electricity itself, power generation equipment, and all the kinds of materials that go into building data centers. So that's another source of inflation. And then there is this wealth effect that I just referred to a minute ago. Wealth has tripled from $60 trillion to $180 trillion since 2008. All that wealth is giving a lot of rich people a lot of money to spend on a very large scale, and that also is inflationary. So all of those things are inflationary, and none of them seem to be going away in the immediate future. Now, on top of that, the inflation is not the only thing that is affecting the interest rates. Other things are affecting the interest rates as well. For instance, the budget deficit this year looks like the U.S. budget deficit is going to be quite close to $2 trillion. So that will be $2 trillion of government borrowing, and this doesn't look like it's going to go down anytime soon either. President Trump is requesting $1.5 trillion for the total defense budget in fiscal year 2027, which starts in October. That's up from just $900 billion in fiscal year 2025, so that's a huge increase in military spending, which makes the percent-   Keith Weinhold  9:20   Increase plus, y   Richard Duncan  10:52   Going to keep growing, and that spending will be inflationary as well. But so the government is going to have to borrow, so the demand for money from the government is enormous, and as I've just mentioned, because of the AI boon, the hyperscalers and many of the other companies in the AI industry or related to the AI industry, they're also tapping the bond market on a very large scale. So demand for borrowing from these AI-related companies, the demand is pushing up interest rates. This is not directly related to inflation, so you've got a lot of demand for borrowing from the government and from the private sector related to artificial intelligence primarily. So that's on the demand side for money, and on the supply side, well, the United States is not making a lot of new friends these days. We seem to be losing friends pretty quickly, and many of the people who were very enthusiastic about buying American government bonds in the past are becoming increasingly reluctant to do so. Most of them still are. Most of them don't really have any viable options, but on the margin, there are fewer friendly buyers of our debt, and so fewer people willing to buy the debt also puts upward pressure on U.S. interest rates. So recently, the 30-year U.S. government bond hit a 19-year high at 5.33% That's a very high number, and this has spooked the Treasury Department. Treasury Secretary Besant has begun doing some very unusual things that suggest that he's very concerned. He has helped stop the yen from weakening by selling some euros that the U.S. government owned and buying yen. He did this to make the yen stronger, and this meant that Japan wouldn't have to sell its U.S. government bonds in order to have dollars to use to buy yen to make the yen stronger. So that was a strange move.   Richard Duncan  9:20   And then more recently, he's announced that the Treasury Department is going to start buying twice as many long-dated bonds as it has been doing. Each operation now, the Treasury Department has been buying $2 billion worth of bonds at the long end and financing it with short-term borrowing. So borrowing at the short end, the say two-year bonds, which have a much lower interest rate, and using that money to buy 10 or 30-year bonds that have a higher interest rate, in order to push up the bond prices and push down the bond yields at the long end, to try to hold down the 30-year bond yield and the 10-year bond yield, which of course directly affects the mortgage. This is beginning to seem like there's some degree of, well, let's call it perhaps not panic, but deep concern in the Treasury about how high interest rates in the U.S. are going, and just moving forward with this idea, all of these pressures, the inflationary pressures are not likely to go away anytime soon. The demand for borrowing is not going to go away anytime soon. So there's going to continue to be this upward pressure on interest rates. And I think ultimately, what we are going to see is another big round of quantitative easing from the Fed. The Fed is going to have to step back in and announce that it's going to create a great deal of money one more time, and use that money that it creates to buy government bonds to push up their price and to drive down their yield. And we shouldn't forget that already the Fed is currently printing, creating money. It launched a new program. What is it called? Reserve management purchases. This was a program they announced in December last year, where they were just going to create some money and inject bank reserves into the financial system, so that they could manage reserves at a good level, so everyone would have plenty of liquidity. Just since December, they have created $210 billion. This is kind of going under the radar, but $210 billion since December is not an insignificant amount of money.   Richard Duncan  14:49   If the budget deficit this year turns out to be 2 trillion, then that's financing 10% of the government's budget deficit, right? More than 10% So we've already got a significant amount of money creation by the Fed going on currently, and that's not enough to prevent the yields from moving sharply higher. So I think what we're going to get is another much bigger round of quantitative easing in the not too distant future, and that's going to have a lot of ramifications.   Keith Weinhold  17:00   That's a really interesting insight, and Richard, one word keeps popping into my head as we have this discussion. Okay, inflationary pressure correlates with higher interest rates, sure, but how much are these high bond yields, which flow right over to our mortgage rates, a result of an erosion in trust. I'm thinking about trust   Richard Duncan  17:24   to some degree, yes, but not overwhelmingly. The reality is, at the end of the day, there is a certain amount of money in the world that has to be invested somewhere, and that is the most important fact to understand. There is a pool of money; it keeps getting larger, and it has to go somewhere. And U.S. government bonds are considered the safest place for it to go. For instance, the United States has a very large trade deficit with the rest of the world. For the last two years, the current account deficit, which is more or less the trade deficit, has been 1.2 trillion dollars a year. It's easier to understand it as a trade deficit. That's been throwing off 1.2 trillion dollars into the surplus countries. The surplus countries sell things in the United States, countries like China and Vietnam and all the others. They sell things in the United States that they make at home. They get paid in dollars. They take their dollars back home to China and Vietnam and all the other countries, and what do they do with the dollars? They own dollars. They've got to do something with those dollars. They're getting 1.2 trillion more dollars every year. Now, the thing they do with it primarily is they buy treasury bonds with it, and so there is an inherent and growing demand for treasury bonds. You may be thinking, okay, they could take those dollars and they could convert them into euros. That's true, they could, but whoever they buy the euros from, they then own dollars, and they would need to buy U.S. dollar-denominated assets with them. The main driver behind the buying of Treasury bonds is just the fact that there are so many dollars in the world, an increasing amount of dollars outside the United States that need to be invested in U.S. dollar-denominated assets. People can lose confidence in "quote unquote, but what are they going to do with their dollars? It has to go somewhere, and so it ultimately ends up going round and round, and an enormous amount of it ends up in U.S. Treasury bonds, and that's not going to change so long as the U.S. has a very large trade deficit with the rest of the world. The rest of the world is going to keep accumulating dollars for that reason, and they're going to keep accumulating Treasury bonds for that reason.   Keith Weinhold  19:44   Well, what do these effects mean for real estate, Richard? I mean, which force you think will ultimately win for housing here with this increased inflationary pressure? Is it more of a damaged affordability problem, or do we see rising? Placement costs that continue to help float real estate values up.   Richard Duncan  20:05   Real estate prices, home prices, have not been performing very well over the last year to two. Pretty flat, unlike in prior years, immediately after COVID when they were booming. I suppose that's what we're going to continue to see for some time. If interest rates remain high, the affordability is not there. But if we do get this new round of quantitative easing, which I think is a real possibility, then that will effectively push down the interest rates, making home affordability better. And at the same time, by creating more money, that does push up asset prices across the board. So over the long run, I do believe that real estate is a very good investment, and also it can be a very good investment from the point of view of providing diversity in your portfolio. I'd like to focus in particular on it can be an inflation hedge. So, if you buy a house and use a say a 30-year fixed mortgage, and then we or a 15-year fixed mortgage to pay for a significant part of that purchase, and then we do get inflation, then the inflation eats away your mortgage. Your mortgage evaporates because of the inflation, so in that way you're somewhat protected from the risk of future inflation by having inflation destroys your debt. In other words, so that helps. So I do believe that buying houses, I think rental income is a very good investment, particularly houses on a piece of land buy the house with a fixed rate mortgage. You rent out the house, and over 10 to 15 years, the house pays for itself, and it keeps appreciating in value over time. Decade after decade, it will become increasingly valuable over the long run, and you'll have also a supply cash flow, and you'll have this inflation hedge that I just described. So I think owning rental property that is on land, I'm not so keen on buying condos. There's no limit as to how many condos can be built in the air, but there is a limited amount of land in the world, and so land is as good as gold because if gold goes up; the land will also go up for the same reasons. So I think owning rental property is a very important part of having a broadly diversified portfolio, which is usually the best thing for most people to do to have a broadly diversified investment portfolio.    Keith Weinhold  22:37   Yeah, in this era of both war and increased interventionism, yeah, we still have a resource here, real estate that is scarce, that is necessary, and is built with this basket of goods and commodities constituting that replacement cost.   Richard Duncan  22:53   I agree.   Keith Weinhold  22:55   Well, Richard and I have a lot more to talk about when we come back, including what phase of the economy that we're in post-creditism and a lot more. You're listening to Get Rich Education. Our guest is the publisher of Macro Watch, Richard Duncan. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold.   Keith Weinhold  23:12   What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine? You sure can at Ridge Lending Group NMLS 42056. They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal and even chat directly with President Caeli Ridge while it's on your mind. Start at ridgelendinggroup.com. That's ridgelendinggroup.com. Let me ask you something: If you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure, I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed. But with a track record of consistent, on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call, or text family 266866. That's family 266866.   Robert Helms  24:44   Hey everybody, it's Robert Helms of the Real Estate Guys Radio Program. So glad you found Keith Weinhold and Get Rich Education. Don't play your daydream.   Keith Weinhold  25:04   Welcome back to Get Rich Education. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. We're talking with Richard Duncan. Check out him and his work at RichardDuncanEconomics.com. So much interesting stuff has happened in the macroeconomic world since we last had him here with the Iran War, with the AI arms race heating up, and with hitting that milestone of $40 trillion in total public national debt. Which, by the way, that $40 trillion-that is more than the combined debt of Germany, Japan, France, Italy, the UK, and Canada. That's basically the entire rest of the G7 just to try to get your head wrapped around that $40 trillion number, and you know, Richard, when it comes to the government, their income and their expenses and their assets in their debt, some wonder, including me, if the government can just print its own currency, then why must they collect taxes from us?   Richard Duncan  26:04   Okay, well, to understand the answer to that question, it's necessary to understand that it wasn't always possible for the government to print its own currency. Up until 1968, 1971, the Fed was legally required to back the dollars it created with gold, and the United States had the obligation to allow other countries to convert the dollars they accumulated into U.S. gold. So up until then, that wasn't a possibility for the government to finance its spending by money printing. And so, over the centuries that preceded, the government would tax the people to obtain the money that it needs for spending. So imagine today: here we are. The government now is spending about $7 trillion a year, and its tax revenues are about $5 trillion a year. So if it suddenly said, "Okay, we're not going to tax anyone anymore, that would mean that people would have an extra $5 trillion to spend, and if the people started spending $5 trillion, we would have hyperinflation, because there's only a limited amount of industrial capacity in the United States, or even in the world for that matter. It couldn't absorb a $5 trillion of additional spending from households and businesses, so it's not that they can't technically create the money as much money as they want to pay for everything they want. The constraint is not money creation technically; it's the inflation that it would produce if they just stopped taxing everyone and just created money instead. So that's the reason they can't.   Keith Weinhold  27:46   Just slowly taper it away and give people some income tax relief. Why can't they do that?   Richard Duncan  27:52   Well, that's what they've been doing. Taxes are far lower now than they were under when President Reagan took office, and that's one of the reasons we have $40 trillion in debt.   Keith Weinhold  28:03   Okay, but that is how the income and expenses look on an annual basis, right, Richard? This is how I think of it. Like the United States basically has 5 trillion in annual income, much of it from personal tax collection, and 7 trillion in annual expenses. That's how we get to the annual deficit of about 2 trillion, which rolls into that $40 trillion of overall debt.   Richard Duncan  28:30   That's right. What you said is correct. But we would have much more than $5 trillion income from taxes had the government not reduced the tax rate so often and so radically, starting in the early 1980s under President Reagan, if taxes hadn't been cut so sharply, we wouldn't have a two-trillion-dollar budget deficit, $40 trillion of government debt. So they've already been tapering the amount that they tax by cutting tax rates very sharply over the last decades,   Keith Weinhold  29:02   I guess a lot of people, admittedly me included, haven't been thinking about it that way. Maybe because it's painful, and I do write checks to the IRS. But when we talk about this propensity for continued inflation, one component of this is what's happening with the AI arms race, and I know you've looked at this closely. You know, because one thing I think about is, well, wait, will the AI arms race actually be deflationary over time because it lowers production costs and makes us more efficient, or is it going to be inflationary because it requires enormous capital and electricity and infrastructure in the building of these data centers. So you know I can see it going either way with the AI arms race, inflationary or deflationary. But since you studied it a lot, including talking about it on macrowatch, tell us more about the AI arms race and what this all means, Richard.   Richard Duncan  29:59   So yes. On your point that you just made, in the short term, it looks like the AI boom is going to be inflationary. Yeah, it's driving up electricity prices, land prices, and all of the things that we discussed before. Everything that goes into making artificial intelligence intelligence, including memory chips, which drive up the cost of your iPhone and iPad. So it's inflationary in the short run, but over the long run, it could probably and probably will be quite disinflationary or even deflationary. I think that's several years away. Now, moving on to the next question, the AI arms race. I think it's very helpful to understand the world around us by putting it in the context of how our economic system has evolved since dollars ceased to be backed by gold. 1968, the Fed was no longer required to back dollars with gold. 1971, President Nixon said, "Sorry, Europe, we we said we would let you convert your dollars into gold, but we changed our mind and you can't. So after that, there was no longer any gold backing for the dollar, and here are a list of things that have happened as a result of that change. Our huge trade deficits couldn't have happened if the dollars were backed by gold. The huge budget deficits that we have couldn't have happened. The Fed couldn't have created trillions of dollars through quantitative easing. Inflation rate has fallen from the 1980s, from the the mid teens to well below the Fed's 2% inflation target for most of the last 20 years, and wealth in the United States has exploded, as I mentioned, from 60 trillion to 180 trillion. That wouldn't have happened if dollars had remained backed by gold because credit has exploded. Total debt or total credit, two sides of the same coin. Total debt in the U.S. It's government debt, household debt, corporate debt, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac debt, all the debt. It first went through $1 trillion in 1960. Now it's 110 trillion. So 110 times increase in my lifetime in total debt. That wouldn't have happened if dollars had remained backed by gold, and because of all of that credit expansion and the massive trade deficits we had with the rest of the world through globalization occurred, and that allowed Asia to industrialize, and Asia wouldn't be industrialized as it is now. China wouldn't be an economic superpower as it is now had dollars remained backed by gold, because it wouldn't have been able to grow through export-led growth. And so, China, instead of looking like it does today, it would look like it did in 1970, basically being a very poor third world country, and globalization has pulled hundreds of millions of people out of poverty.   Richard Duncan  32:47   They would still be in poverty had dollars remained backed by gold. The Soviet Union probably would still be around because the U.S. under President Reagan wouldn't have been able to to spend so much on the military that it bankrupted the Soviet Union trying to keep up with us, and finally, China wouldn't be the national security threat that it's become now because it wouldn't have had a trade surplus and it wouldn't have had any economic growth to speak of for the last 50 years. That's the world that we're living in now. The world we live in now is the direct result of dollars no longer being backed by gold, and to understand the world around us, you have to understand that that's the starting point. Now, coming to your question, this explosion of wealth that has been created under the system that I call creditism-we did have capitalism. It was driven by saving and investment, Capital accumulation, hence capitalism and investment that drove capitalism. That's not how our system works. Our system is driven by credit creation and consumption, and more credit creation and more consumption. That's creditism. It used to be driven by private sector credit growth, but the private sector became too heavily indebted in 2008, and they blew up, and that almost resulted in the complete collapse and bankruptcy of every bank in the United States and probably most of the banks around the world as well. So the government had to step in, and since that time, it's been government borrowing primarily.   Richard Duncan  34:17   This driven creditism and kept credit expanding with the help of the Fed, so this has been the evolution of creditism and has produced extraordinary amounts of wealth. So it's had two consequences that we need to focus in on now. For one, I've mentioned already, it turned China into an economic superpower, which is now on the verge of overtaking us, not just economically, but also technologically and militarily, it's become an extreme national security threat to the United States. But the second thing that has occurred, the creation of all of this wealth has provided the funds that have allowed a. Technological revolution to occur so quickly, this AI revolution that we're now living through, that is the direct result of the ample liquidity that has been created and flowing around the world, originating largely from the Fed's printing press and the government's budget deficits. That's created trillions and trillions and trillions of dollars of wealth that wouldn't have existed otherwise, and that wealth has gone into funding this development of data centers and the technology that's created the artificial intelligence. Now we are experiencing this AI revolution, and it's become quite apparent to everyone that whoever wins the AI arms race is going to rule the world. We're on the verge of machines becoming more intelligent than humans, and then after that point, through self-training and self-improvement, going on 24 hours a day, they're going to become exponentially more intelligent than humans very quickly, so whoever wins this race is going to have dominance of every other country in the world. So, as creditism has evolved, it has created a national security threat in China and has created artificial intelligence. And as a result of the two combined, we now have this artificial intelligence arms race with the United States that must win. That's why President Trump is calling for a 1.5 trillion dollar defense budget.   Richard Duncan  36:30   So this is one of the main themes that MacroWatch has been focused on this year. I've done a series of videos on the new defense spending boom, looking in one video at the traditional titans of defense like Lockheed Martin, RTX, Boeing, in another video looking at the new up-and-coming Silicon Valley challengers in the defense industry, companies like Andrel, Palantir, and most important of all, SpaceX. This is now the driving force in the economy. the The absolute necessity of winning this AI arms race is going to require much greater government spending on the military, and it's going to require what we're seeing extraordinary amounts of money being invested in developing artificial intelligence because whoever gets there first wins, and whoever doesn't is going to be subjugated by the winner. So that's where we are. So that brings us up to we've been discussing the change from capitalism into creditism, and we've seen how creditism has evolved from being first driven by private sector credit to later being driven by government sector borrowing and spending, now leading to this AI arms race, which I think we're now moving toward a different kind of economic system beyond creditism. So let me back up just a minute and say that economic systems are best defined by the constraints that limit what they can do. So we've been talking about capitalism. Capitalism's main constraint was the requirement that money be backed by gold, and when that constraint, when that gold-backed money constraint was removed, the constraint was gone. The economic system evolved into a different kind of economic system. Creditism has created extraordinary amounts of wealth and growth since early 1970s. This is not the first time economic systems have evolved. If you look back through history, there have been many different kinds of economic systems. They've all been defined by the constraints that binded what they could do. If you go back to hunter-gatherer economic system, that economic system was constrained because the people didn't have tools for cultivation or any way to store the food that they created for long-term storage, but once they developed that those tools and the ability to store food, those constraints were removed and they evolved into a different kind of economic system. Ultimately, into feudalism. Feudalism was an economic system that was constrained by very poor roads, so there was very little transportation. There were no banks, so no banking system or credit, and there was very limited legal social mobility.   Richard Duncan  39:28   But eventually, cities developed, and because of cities, trade flourished, and that removed the constraints that had defined feudalism. Okay, so fast forward, capitalism was constrained by gold-backed money. When gold was removed, we moved into creditism. Now here we are in creditism, late-stage creditism, and we're seeing this phenomenal expansion of artificial intelligence. So every economic system throughout history has. Had two constraints in common. There have been labor constraints, a limited labor supply, and there has been the constraint of limited human intelligence. We're now, thanks to artificial intelligence, on the verge of removing those two constraints that have limited every economic system up until today, when artificial intelligence is embedded in humanoid robots, that's going to remove the labor constraint. We will no longer have any labor constraint. Robots will be able to produce all the labor and then some that's required. So there goes the labor constraint, and when we hit superintelligence, that's going to remove the constraint of human intelligence that has bound economic systems. So those have been the two primary binding constraints on every economic system so far, and they're just now about to be removed by artificial intelligence. We're moving into a new era without intelligence constraints and without labor constraints, and this is going to radically change everything. When those constraints are removed, creditism is going to evolve into an economic system that's no longer driven by credit creation. It's going to be driven by intelligence creation, knowledge creation, or an explosion of cognition. So I call the new system that we're moving toward cognitism, because rather than being driven by credit as creditism is, it's going to be driven by exponential expansion of intelligence or cognition, and it's probably going to create undreamt of wealth, but it's going to completely change from bottom to top everything about the world and society and social relations that exist today, and that is what we're very quickly moving into over the next 10 to 20 years. That that's where we're going to go, and I believe it deserves a new name. So I've coined the term cognitism to describe this new economic system. The post-creditism world is cognitivism.   Keith Weinhold  42:12   Wow, this is massive. Ever since we met, you talked about creditism, and really, that's the economic system that we live in, not capitalism, so we're on the brink again of moving from creditism into cognitivism, because oftentimes these forces and their change are defined by having the constraints removed, and we're on the brink of removing the labor constraint and the human intelligence restraint from creditism to move us into cognitivism over the next 10 or 20 years. I'm just reviewing what you said as I'm thinking this through, Richard. Talk to us at least a little about what the ramifications are for us, just everyday people and investors with this cognitimism economic system.   Richard Duncan  43:02   It's very difficult to guess what the consequences are going to be. They're going to be not only economic, but they're going to very quickly become political, and the political consequences are difficult to guess how they will play out. But it does look like when robots can do all the manual labor, and machines can do all of the intellectual work on a much more accurately, much more rapidly, much more flawlessly than humans can. There won't be any need for humans to have work unless legislation is in place to ensure that they do, and if they don't have work, then they're going to not have any income. And if they don't have any income, they're going to start being very unhappy, and they're going to start rioting, and governments are going to begin to fall, and we don't know how that's going to play out. So there's going to have to be arrangements made to ensure that people do have enough income to benefit from all of the extraordinary wealth that could be created through limitless labor and limitless intelligence, but to work in a way that can satisfy our wildest dreams and beyond our wildest dreams is going to be a matter of restructuring the political economy, if you will, to ensure that people benefit from this technological revolution that is now speeding up.   Keith Weinhold  44:30   Yeah, I would say all we do know is we don't know and how it's going to turn out. But you know whether it's been tractors replacing horses or whether it's been the advent of the assembly line, or whether it's been the advent of the internet, people always say it's going to destroy net jobs, and historically, it really hasn't.   Richard Duncan  44:53   You're right, but the replacement of horses with automobiles didn't really work out so well for the horses.   Keith Weinhold  45:00   So, is there any way we can think about this in order to stay nimble as investors and everyday people, Richard? As we move into cognitism.   Richard Duncan  45:10   Absolutely, everyone needs to subscribe to Macro Watch, and they'll be able to follow it very closely there as I map it out as it unfolds from month to month.   Keith Weinhold  45:22   They should, and it's fascinating, and you've really been on the cutting edge of that. Tell us more about subscribing to Macro Watch, something that a lot of listeners should be interested in.   Richard Duncan  45:33   So my background is has been in finance. I started working in Hong Kong in 1986 as a securities analyst, I later on became an economist and then a strategist. I worked for the World Bank for a couple of years in Washington. I was the head of global investment strategy in London for ABN AMRO Asset Management. So my background is in finance, and I have spent most of my career living in Asia for the last 40 years, primarily in Asia. Along the way, I've written four books. The first one was the Dollar Crisis back in 2003. The most recent one was The Money Revolution in 2023. So my background is in finance. But 13 years ago, I launched Macro Watch. Macro Watch is a video newsletter. Every couple of weeks, I upload a new video. It's essentially me making a PowerPoint presentation discussing something important happening in the global economy and how that's likely to impact asset prices. So it's essentially become a compendium of the global economy. Essentially, everything that has happened in the last 13 years at the macro level that matters is discussed in these macro watch videos. For instance, there is a complete history of everything the Federal Reserve has done since it was founded in 1913. There is a complete description of government debt from the beginning, the increase in government debt and budget deficits. It explains things like how the Fed actually creates money, what are bank reserves, what is Japanese monetary policy, what is European monetary policy. All the major macroeconomic developments are described there and are available to subscribers every two weeks. They upload a new video, and so if your listeners would like to check it out, my website is richarddunkeneconomics.com. That's richarduneconomics.com, and if they'd like to subscribe, hit the subscribe button. And I'd like to offer everyone a 50% subscription discount.   Keith Weinhold  47:36   Thank you.   Richard Duncan  47:36   They'll be prompted to put in a discount coupon code if they use the discount code GRE, like Get Rich Education, they can subscribe at a 50% discount. They'll find it very affordable, and at the very least, they can sign up for my free blog while they're there, and they can follow my work that way.    Keith Weinhold  47:57   It is fascinating the AI arms race poised to have us completely change economic systems from criticism to cognitism. Richard, is there any last thing that you would like to leave us with? Whether it has something else to do with AI, maybe I didn't think about asking you, or something with the Iran war and the inflation, or anything else in the economy. Any last thought for what we should do or be aware of?   Richard Duncan  48:24   One thing, of course, I think is very important is for everyone to learn to use AI as much as they possibly can. It's easy to use, and it will teach you how to use it. And as we evolve into this new world is going to be crucial to make use of this most important tool humanity has ever had-the ability to use AI. This suddenly gives you access to all the world's knowledge. All you have to do is ask, and it will tell you in a very friendly way. So, by being able to use AI, you'll be in a much better position to survive the transition and prosper in the decade ahead.   Keith Weinhold  49:09   That is an actionable way to stay on top of it, Richard. It's been valuable as always. Thanks so much for coming back onto the show.   Richard Duncan  49:16   Thank you, Keith. I've enjoyed it.   Keith Weinhold  49:24   Yeah, keen insights from Richard as always. Yeah, the U.S. sure has been making enemies the past couple years. That could make other nations less likely to buy our debt, and then in turn, it takes higher interest rates in order to attract bond buyers. Well, that in turn increases mortgage rates. But to some extent, other nations have to buy our debt. Richard says that a bigger round of future QE is a distinct possibility. That is code for money printing. That's clearly. Inflationary, but few seem to know we've already been involved in liquidity operations since last December. Whether that's called QE or something else, it is taking more government spending to keep up with the AI race. That's inflationary too. What about that? When horses were replaced with cars. How did it work out for the horse? I don't know if that made it better or worse for the horse. Maybe horses were out of work, but then they got to live free. Will AI make that very predicament apply to humans? Nobody knows. The economic system will have moved from creditism to cognitism when the economy is no longer driven by credit creation but intelligence creation, from RichardDuncanEconomics.com, you can hit the subscribe to MacroWatch button and enter the discount code GRE for a 50% discount. Just about everything that you heard today is poised to drive mortgage rates higher, not lower. Big thanks to Macro Watch Mastermind Richard Duncan today. Next week it's a more real estate centered show. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your daydream.   Speaker 2  51:21   Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal, or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial, or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively.   Keith Weinhold  51:49   The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building, getricheduceducation.com  

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to discuss several key macro signals that are potentially shifting all at once. They dig into the outlook for oil flows, whether a new hiking cycle is starting to emerge, and what it all means for the risk-on trade. Be sure to check out the Steno Nowcasting Dashboard for the latest signals on growth, inflation, and liquidity, only on Real Vision!

Americans overwhelmingly don't just disagree with this idea of a resilient economy, they vehemently disagree. And Kroger may have just delivered one of the clearest warning signs yet. The American people have spoken: with their grocery carts, just as a start. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Want to understand what this data (and so much more) means for your portfolio? Learn how the Eurodollar system really works in the next 30 days so you can better prepare for the risks and opportunities ahead. Book a call using this link. https://eurodollar-university.com/edu-apply-page-page----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu