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Thanks to Monarch for partnering with me! Start your free trial and get 50% off your first year of total money clarity using my link https://monarchmoney.yt.link/k4lMFDZ or code euro50 for 50% Off Monarch Core tier.Oil is rebounding again and we have to ask whether it might be the final blow for an economy that was already on the edge to begin with. After all, in yesterday's video, steve and I showed you the income data that looks just like a recession. The energy shock is turning into something bigger. It is hitting consumers through gasoline and utility bills. It is hitting businesses through transportation, plastics, chemicals, shipping, and margins. It is hitting importers through their trade balances. And because oil is priced in dollars, we also have to consider the dollar part of this. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/eduhttps://youtu.be/olx4TSSz71w
Did a recession strike the US economy starting in October? Not just the forgot how to grow kind we've been grappling with for the last several years, but the all-out, NBER-style, full-blown contraction. Take a look at the data and the charts in this video, let's see what you think. And that data is coming from income series the NBER itself uses when it decides the recession question. Eurodollar University's Conversation w/ Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------CEOs Turn Pessimistic About US Economy as Supply Risks Mounthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-28/ceos-turn-pessimistic-about-us-economy-as-supply-risks-mounthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
Canada just “unexpectedly” fell into a technical recession. But the important part is not just that Canada contracted. The important part is that Canada's contraction is lining up with the same weakness now spreading through France, the UK, Germany, Sweden, Mexico, and increasingly the rest of the global system. As one result, central bankers hawkishness is starting to seriously evaporate.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUStarting today, I'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
Welcome to the final pre-summer episode of the recurring podcast "Trading Tips with Jim", where market predictions and investment strategies are shared. In Episode 23, we unpack the macroeconomic forces signaling a major shift from inflation to a potential period of heavy deflation. With AI driving unprecedented business efficiency and oil prices poised for a potential steep drop to $40, the global market is bracing for a dramatic change.In this episode, I walk you through my recent portfolio rebalancing. We discuss why I am taking profits on tech giants like NVIDIA and Tesla, and rotating into undervalued consumer stocks like Dollar General and American Airlines. We also look at the geopolitical factors pushing the US Dollar higher against the Euro, and what this means for European GDP and global markets moving forward.Finally, we will review my recent struggles with Bitcoin trend changes, and check in on the $1,000 challenge launched in 2024 where personal stock purchases are tracked publicly.Key Highlights:The Macro Outlook: The transition from a super-inflationary period to potential deflation.Tech & AI: The impact of AI efficiency on market valuations and why I exited NVDA and TSLA.The Consumer Shift: My three-step buying strategy behind DG, AAL, Starbucks, and Chipotle.Global Economy: The strengthening US Dollar versus European political and economic stagnation.Crypto Reality Check: Navigating Bitcoin's recent drop to $73,000.Portfolio Tracking: An update on the public $1,000 challenge tracking personal stock purchases.Disclaimer: As the Founder and CEO of the financial analysis platform Stockinvest.us, I remind all listeners that trading involves a high risk of losing money. Please speak with a financial advisor before buying or selling any securities. Do not base your investment decisions solely on this podcast.Investing, Stock Market, Trading Tips with Jim, Deflation, AI Stocks, NVIDIA, Tesla, Bitcoin, Oil Prices, Market Correction, Consumer Stocks, Stockinvest.us, Personal Finance, Trading Strategies, Business News
Private credit has a new problem, and this one is different. For months, the story has been retail investors pulling money from private credit funds. But now we have something else. A Swiss pension fund redeeming shares from a Vista private credit vehicle helped force that fund to limit withdrawals. And that's before asking the question: is software credit the new subprime mortgage?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------One Big Private Credit Investor Forced Vista's Fund to Limit Redemptionshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-27/one-big-private-credit-investor-forced-vista-s-fund-to-limit-redemptionsNew CLOs at Blackstone, Guggenheim Boast Key Perk: Less Softwarehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-27/new-clos-at-blackstone-guggenheim-boast-key-perk-less-softwarePrivate Credit's Exposure to Ailing Software Industry Is Bigger Than Advertisedhttps://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/private-credits-exposure-to-ailing-software-industry-is-bigger-than-advertised-d80da378Cracks in Private Credithttps://www.goldmansachs.com/pdfs/insights/goldman-sachs-research/cracks-in-private-credit/TOM_private%20credit_Redacted.pdfMyth-busting: Private credit liquidityhttps://blog.landg.com/categories/investment-strategy/myth-busting-private-credit-liquidity/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
JPMorgan just took the Goldilocks off the table. That is not a minor forecast change or some little tweak to a spreadsheet buried on page 47 of a Wall Street outlook. When one of the biggest banks in the world says “Goldilocks is leaving the building” and starts worrying about a **negative growth shock**, what they're really saying is something big has changed. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------'Goldilocks is leaving the building': JPMorgan predicts negative growth shockhttps://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/goldilocks-is-leaving-the-building-jpmorgan-predicts-negative-growth-shock/ar-AA24066QSahm Says Sahm Rule Meant To Be Brokenhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2024-08-08/claudia-sahm-says-the-sahm-rule-was-meant-to-be-broken-videohttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Home prices are now doing something they were not supposed to do. After years of being told that housing was poised to make a strong comeback and that prices were going to accelerate upward, the latest national housing data is saying something very different: the lowest price rate in fourteen years, going all the way back to the bottom of the Big Housing Bust in 2012.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
For the first time in this cycle, the money going out of major private credit vehicles has surpassed the money coming in. That is the headline, how private credit machine is now facing sustained investor outflows. Stage 2. And here's the other big part of that – these net outflows are indeed forcing asset sales onto an industry that was never really built for this. That means we're already deeper into Stage 2 than most people would think. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------Private Credit BDC Redemptions Exceed Fundraising for First Timehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-14/private-credit-bdc-redemptions-exceed-fundraising-for-first-timePrivate Credit's Unthinkable Becomes Reality as Trading Revs Uphttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-21/private-credit-s-unthinkable-becomes-reality-as-trading-revs-upFitch Ratings' U.S. Private Credit Default Rate Hits a High of 6.0% in April 2026https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-us-private-credit-default-rate-hits-high-of-6-0-in-april-2026-18-05-2026?cs=0&hl=en-US&biw=1600&bih=731Private Credit Fund Touts Quick Profit Buying Debt at 65 Centshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-05/private-credit-fund-touts-quick-profit-buying-debt-at-65-centsGoldman Sachs Private Credit Fund's Share of Bad Loans Riseshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-07/goldman-sachs-private-credit-fund-s-share-of-bad-loans-increasesHSBC Drags Feet on $4 Billion Private Credit Investment Efforthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-15/hsbc-drags-feet-on-4-billion-private-credit-investment-effortAMP Trims ‘Frothy' Private Credit Assets in Investment Pivothttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-18/amp-trims-frothy-private-credit-assets-in-investment-pivothttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
While rumors and reports swirl about a possible Iran deal, the clock is still ticking for an economy that's way too close to the point of no return on the energy shock. In fact, for Europe, there is a nontrivial chance it's already gone past. With the latest data out on Friday, the economic numbers for May so far got slammed. It increasingly looks like Europe may have already gone over the cliff with S&P describing France as in a quote “dire” situation.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Or go even deeper with our Deep Dive Analysis. Get all the tools to fill in the huge gaps you didn't even know were there. Click the link to visit https://eurodollar.university/memberships and join today.---------------------------------------------------------------------------SPG France May 2026 PMIhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/f0ad28c72bfd49949cf67d52daf16aeeSPG Eurozone May 2026 PMIhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/cfc7983038764cd0bf61ed86b6d27a52https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The dollar is rising again, and this time the pressure is showing up right across Asia. The Japanese yen is weak. The South Korean won is tumbling. The Indonesian rupiah is crashing. The Indian rupee keeps finding new ways to give officials fits. At the same time the dollar is rising against these Asian currencies, the very front of the U.S. dollar interest-rate market is doing something absolutely incredible. Shocking even. Completely the opposite of what you'd think. And here's the thing – these two developments are related. Why the dollar is hammering Asia most of all and how that would play out in rates. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Lowe's had some more bad news about the American consumer. CEO Marvin Ellison said “This has been the most difficult housing market that I have faced in this business since the financial crisis.” Lowe's is hardly alone. Walmart said higher income shoppers are still trading down while lower income Americans are, well, they're running out of their tax refund money. And then there is Kroger. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------Flash PMI signals subdued growth in May amid price surgehttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/d7a15ea4f43c4e3493db3814db67ad99Lowe's CEO says this is the 'most difficult housing market' since the financial crisishttps://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/lowes-ceo-says-this-is-the-most-difficult-housing-market-since-the-financial-crisis-170512082.htmlKroger Plans Biggest Price Cuts In Years to Take On Walmart, Costcohttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-21/kroger-plans-biggest-price-cuts-in-years-to-take-on-walmart-costcohttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
Treasury yields have finally made a sizable move upward. The 2-year Treasury has pushed to new multi-month highs. The 10-year got as high as 4.70%. And instantly, the usual question shows up:Is the bond market finally repricing real inflation risk? Or is this another hurricane warning where everyone looks at the headline number, panics for five minutes, and misses what the curve is actually saying? Make that curve-S.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
China's downturn just produced a major hit and it has officials stumped. It was the kind of bad that confirms almost everything already showing up in China's credit data, banking system, property market, and bond market. Retail sales nearly cracked. Worst month since the lockdowns. Fixed asset investment is crashing again. Yes, crashing. Industrial production, which had been one of the few remaining bright spots, suddenly didn't look so bright. Home prices were down for the twelfth straight time. It was ugly in every direction. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The Justice Department is now probing valuations at a BlackRock private credit fund. That sentence should stop everyone cold. Not because BlackRock is about to disappear. It isn't. Not because one fund valuation probe means anyone has been proven to have done anything wrong. It doesn't. A probe is not a conviction, and we need to be clear about that. But because the single biggest weakness in private credit has always been valuations.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Or go even deeper with our Deep Dive Analysis. Get all the tools to fill in the huge gaps you didn't even know were there. Click the link to visit https://eurodollar.university/memberships and join today.---------------------------------------------------------------------------BlackRock Private Credit Fund's Valuations Are Probed by DOJhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-15/blackrock-private-credit-fund-s-valuations-being-probed-by-dojBuybacks, Revamps, Deals: Firms Dig Deep to Fix Problem Private Credit Fundshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-14/private-credit-crisis-has-kkr-apollo-blackrock-tackling-problem-fundsCarlyle BDC Cuts Dividend Even As It Flags Better Credit Markethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-11/carlyle-bdc-cuts-dividend-even-as-it-flags-better-credit-marketBlue Owl Says It Will Be More Selective Making Software Loanshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-06/blue-owl-bdcs-buy-back-85-million-of-shares-as-loan-values-sinkhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The standard line among most economists is that deflation is as bad or even worse than inflation. In reality, the economy needs deflation now more than ever.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/deflation-bad-economy
While the ECB and other central banks, maybe even the Fed, are likely to overreact to oil prices by raising their policy rates, suddenly that possibility isn't so straightforward. Even in Europe where policymakers are the most aggressively hawkish, several officials have come forward expressing major doubts on the inflation narrative, focusing instead on what's already going on with demand especially for workers. And that's not oil, two of the world's leading energy agencies just slashed their own demand forecasts to levels you only see in periods like 2020 or 2009. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Mark, Scott, Laurie and Joel Sked discuss the defeat to Celtic that ended Hearts' title hopes on a dramatic day in Glasgow. Sponsored by Forrest Hepburn & McDonald Signs Ltd […]
India is now doing what governments do when the dollar problem starts getting too close to the bone: it is looking for imports it can cut, restrict, tax, license, delay, or possibly even ban. And right at the top of that list sits gold and silver. That might sound like a metals story. It isn't. Not entirely. It's a dollar story, though with a key twist for precious metals. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Discover if inflation or deflation is coming. Are you on track for financial freedom...or not? Financial freedom is a combination of money, compounding and time (my McT Formula). How well you invest can make the biggest difference to your financial freedom and lifestyle. If you invested well for the long-term, what a difference it would make because the difference between investing $100k and earning 5 percent or 10 percent on your money over 30 years, is the difference between it growing to $432,194 or $1,744,940, an increase of over $1.3 million dollars. Your compounding rate, and how well you invest, matters! INVESTING IS WHAT THE BE WEALTHY & SMART VIP EXPERIENCE IS ALL ABOUT - Invest in digital assets and stock ETFs for potential high compounding rates - Receive an Asset Allocation model with ticker symbols and what % to invest -Monthly LIVE investment webinars with Linda 10 months per year, with Q & A -Private VIP Facebook group with daily community interaction -Weekly investment commentary -Extra educational wealth classes available -Pay once, have lifetime access! NO recurring membership fees. -US and foreign investors are welcome -No minimum $ amount to invest -Tech Team available for digital assets (for hire per hour) For a limited time, enjoy a 50% savings on my private investing group, the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Pay once and enjoy lifetime access without any additional recurring fees. Pay once and you're done! Invest with our successful community for years to come. Enter "SAVE50" to save 50% here: http://tinyurl.com/InvestingVIP Or set up a complimentary conversation to answer your questions about the Be Wealthy & Smart VIP Experience. Request an appointment to talk with Linda here: https://tinyurl.com/TalkWithLinda (yes, you talk to Linda!). SUBSCRIBE TO BE WEALTHY & SMART Click Here to Subscribe Via iTunes Click Here to Subscribe Via Stitcher on an Android Device Click Here to Subscribe Via RSS Feed LINDA'S WEALTH BOOKS 1. Get my book, "3 Steps to Quantum Wealth: The Wealth Heiress' Guide to Financial Freedom by Investing in Cryptocurrencies". 2. Get my book, "You're Already a Wealth Heiress, Now Think and Act Like One: 6 Practical Steps to Make It a Reality Now!" Men love it too! After all, you are Wealth Heirs. :) International buyers (if you live outside of the US) get my book here. WANT MORE FROM LINDA? Check out her programs. Join her on Instagram. WEALTH LIBRARY OF PODCASTS Listen to the full wealth library of podcasts from the beginning. SPECIAL DEALS #Ad Apply for a Gemini credit card and get FREE XRP back (or any crypto you choose) when you use the card. Charge $3000 in first 90 days and earn $200 in crypto rewards when you use this link to apply and are approved: https://tinyurl.com/geminixrp This is a credit card, NOT a debit card. There are great rewards. Set your choice to EARN FREE XRP! #Ad Protect yourself online with a Virtual Private Network (VPN). Get 3 MONTHS FREE when you sign up for a NORD VPN plan here. #Ad To safely and securely store crypto, I recommend using a Tangem wallet. Get a 10% discount when you purchase here. #Ad If you are looking to simplify your crypto tax reporting, use Koinly. It is highly recommended and so easy for tax reporting. You can save $20, click here. Be Wealthy & Smart,™ is a personal finance show with self-made millionaire Linda P. Jones, America's Wealth Mentor.™ Learn simple steps that make a big difference to your financial freedom. (This post contains affiliate links. If you click on a link and make a purchase, I may receive a commission. There is no additional cost to you.)
Everyone is talking about the Trump-Xi summit as if this is going to be some decisive turning point for China, global trade, maybe even the whole world economy. And, sure, politically, it's a huge deal. Markets love the idea of the two leaders in the same room because everyone wants to believe a handshake can undo tariffs, trade wars, supply chain chaos, and years of deteriorating relations.But the latest bank lending data out of China says something VERY different. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8b7ub5T4fYkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pang-t16vNwhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Two of the oldest political parties are in danger of being completely wiped out in the UK. Rate of change in the economy goes down, rate of change in politics goes way up. Both the Labor and Tories are on the ropes right now, especially labor after the latest local election results were a bloodbath for them. An entirely new UK system is right now emerging from the aftermath – but aftermath of what? A huge warning. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Or go even deeper with our Deep Dive Analysis. Get all the tools to fill in the huge gaps you didn't even know were there. Click the link to visit https://eurodollar.university/memberships and join today.---------------------------------------------------------------------------French Jobless Rate Jumps Above 8% for First Time Since 2021https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/french-unemployment-jumps-above-8-for-first-time-in-five-yearsFarage's Reform UK wins big in local elections, splintering two-party system and piling pressure on Starmerhttps://www.cnn.com/2026/05/08/uk/uk-local-election-reform-farage-starmer-intlhttps://www.bbc.com/news/live/c1428pev1n0thttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Q&A Wednesday is back. Markets are pushing record highs while oil prices surge on renewed Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, inflation concerns remain elevated, and the AI trade continues to dominate Wall Street headlines. Investors are also watching the Fed, tariffs, interest rates, retirement risks, taxes, and portfolio positioning as volatility quietly builds beneath the surface. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, with straightforward analysis and no spin. Bring your questions about markets, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, risk, the economy, or whatever is on your mind. Questions we answered on today's show include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Checks In Higher Than Expected 5:02 - Duration and Velocity of Bullish Stampede 9:47 - Birthday Fishing Present 14:44 - Berkshire Hathaway Exposure to AI 17:30 - Investing Like Warren Buffett 19:12 - Why Aren't Swap Lines "Printing Money Out of Thin Air"? 22:03 - CPI Revisions 25:17 - Deflation in Rents 26:03 - GDP, Inflation, & Yields 27:00 - Hold Long-Dated Bonds or Sell? 28:04 - Are REIT's Over Extended? 29:41 - Should You Average into the S&P? 30:52 - Why is Stock-picking/Diversification So Hard Now? 32:30 - Stock Market Regimes & Asset Allocation 34:41 - CPI Data vs Fixed Income Allocations 41:06 - Church vs Casino Investing 42:03 - Long Term Investor: What's Your Personality? 46:37 - RSP vs SPY in Current Market Condition? 50:44 - What's a Good ETF for a Younger Person to Invest In? 52:34 - Space-X IPO Effects on Markets & Indexes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News." here: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions" https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket #QandAWednesday #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #AskUsAnything
Q&A Wednesday is back. Markets are pushing record highs while oil prices surge on renewed Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, inflation concerns remain elevated, and the AI trade continues to dominate Wall Street headlines. Investors are also watching the Fed, tariffs, interest rates, retirement risks, taxes, and portfolio positioning as volatility quietly builds beneath the surface. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, with straightforward analysis and no spin. Bring your questions about markets, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, risk, the economy, or whatever is on your mind. Questions we answered on today's show include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Checks In Higher Than Expected 5:02 - Duration and Velocity of Bullish Stampede 9:47 - Birthday Fishing Present 14:44 - Berkshire Hathaway Exposure to AI 17:30 - Investing Like Warren Buffett 19:12 - Why Aren't Swap Lines "Printing Money Out of Thin Air"? 22:03 - CPI Revisions 25:17 - Deflation in Rents 26:03 - GDP, Inflation, & Yields 27:00 - Hold Long-Dated Bonds or Sell? 28:04 - Are REIT's Over Extended? 29:41 - Should You Average into the S&P? 30:52 - Why is Stock-picking/Diversification So Hard Now? 32:30 - Stock Market Regimes & Asset Allocation 34:41 - CPI Data vs Fixed Income Allocations 41:06 - Church vs Casino Investing 42:03 - Long Term Investor: What's Your Personality? 46:37 - RSP vs SPY in Current Market Condition? 50:44 - What's a Good ETF for a Younger Person to Invest In? 52:34 - Space-X IPO Effects on Markets & Indexes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News." here: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions" https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket #QandAWednesday #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #AskUsAnything
The stock market was going to boom either way. Payrolls could have been plus 200 or minus 200, indexes were going to soar no matter what. Either the economy is robust or the other would mean the Fed will be forced to cut a lot of rates. But what the jobs data actually showed, no one was looking for. Complete shock yet again. Sure, the payroll number did what the payroll number always does, it was everything else. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Allen Farrington returns to THE Bitcoin Podcast to discuss his latest essay “Number Go Down,” the myths surrounding deflation, why fiat economics gets causation backwards, and how inflationary monetary systems distort society itself. Walker and Allen explore the “paradox of thrift,” why central banking is fundamentally incompatible with free markets, and how fiat money fuels wealth inequality while convincing people capitalism is to blame. They also dive into socialism, Bitcoin as a savings technology, lowering time preference, and the future of Bitcoin scaling technologies like Lightning and ARK. The conversation also covers Bitcoin Is Venice, the upcoming second edition of the book, and why Bitcoin adoption may happen not through ideology — but through people slowly rediscovering common sense. FOLLOW ALLEN: https://x.com/allenf32 PARTNERS & DISCOUNTS: LEDN: Bitcoin-backed lending. Go to ledn.io/walker and unlock liquidity WITHOUT selling your bitcoin. BLOCKSTREAM JADE: BLOCKSTREAM JADE HARDWARE WALLET: Head to https://store.blockstream.com/ and use coupon code WALKER for 10% off! BDIC™ is building an insurance marketplace on the bitcoin standard. Sign up for the waitlist at: http://bdic.io/walker Buy Bitcoin with River: http://partner.river.com/walker GET FOLD ($10 in bitcoin): https://use.foldapp.com/r/WALKER JOIN THE SUBSTACK TO GET NEW EPISODES DELIVERED STRAIGHT TO YOUR INBOX: https://walkeramerica.substack.com/ If you enjoy THE Bitcoin Podcast you can help support the show by doing the following: FOLLOW ME (Walker) on @WalkerAmerica on X | @TitcoinPodcast on X | Nostr Personal (walker) | Nostr Podcast (Titcoin) | Instagram Subscribe to THE Bitcoin Podcast (and leave a review) on Fountain | YouTube | Spotify | Rumble | EVERYWHERE ELSE
AI, Deflation & The Cost Of Labor - MGTOWAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Five major developments in the credit crisis/bust. BlackRock, JP Morgan, Blue Owl, Apollo and another big run on a big fund. Private credit didn't go anywhere, the situation keeps escalating and each one of these represents more significant confirmation of the shift toward toxic waste status. From asset valuations to more losses at big names, the behavior has radically changed. Eurodollar University Money & Macro AnalysisGundlach Warns Investors Will Lose Money on Private Credithttps://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/gundlach-warns-investors-lose-money-200041360.htmlBlackRock Private Credit Fund Cuts Asset Value on Markdownshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-07/blackrock-private-debt-fund-cuts-asset-value-on-loan-markdownsJPMorgan-Led Group Eyes $500 Million Loss on Qualtrics Debthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-06/jpmorgan-led-group-eyes-500-million-loss-on-qualtrics-debtBlue Owl adviser sued over allegedly inflating fund values, charging excessive feeshttps://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/blue-owl-adviser-sued-over-allegedly-inflating-fund-values-charging-excessive-2026-04-28/Apollo CEO Rowan warns of market correction, slams ‘egregious' practices at rival insurershttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/06/apollo-ceo-rowan-market-correction-rival-insurers.htmlApollo to Give Investors Daily Pricing on Private Credit By Septemberhttps://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/apollo-to-give-investors-daily-pricing-on-private-credit-by-september-44a2c84b$10 Billion Golub Fund Caps Outflows After Requests for 8.5%https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-07/-10-billion-golub-fund-caps-outflows-after-requests-for-8-5
McDonald's CEO says the consumer environment is certainly not improving and may be getting a little worse after the company reported better than expected past results. Those mainly before the gas prices jumped. Jumping over to big ticket items like appliances, Whirlpool, the company that employs the Maytag Man, it compared the current consumer climate to – not joking – 2008-09 as the cracks of demand destruction are indeed beginning to grow wider and becoming more noticeable. The Maytag man is somewhere right now polishing his resume. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------McDonald's CEO says consumer spending could be ‘getting a little bit worse'https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/07/mcdonalds-mcd-q1-2026-earnings.htmlEarnings call transcript: Whirlpool Q1 2026 results fall short, stock dropshttps://ca.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/earnings-call-transcript-whirlpool-q1-2026-results-fall-short-stock-drops-93CH-4618415April 2026 National Poll: Iran, the economy, and the 2026/2028 electionshttps://www.generationlab.org/state-of-young-peopleChallenger Gray & Christmas April 2026https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-april-job-cuts-rise-38-from-march-ytd-cuts-down-50/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Gene & Tim debate... "Gene's Gossip Talk" in shots.
The stock market was not happy with HSBC. The banking giant reported what should have been a small nothing, a $400mm loss on a loan to an Irish entity with a name that sounds like a Star Wars droid. AGF WHCO 1-A5. But that $400mm loan and loss ended up pulling back the curtain a little more on the current credit crisis. As did the comments from Apollo's CEO, where he used the words “contagion” and “egregious.” Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-----------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Ready to explore? Master monetary systems – past and future - with structure, clarity, and confidence. Visit https://eurodollar.university/membership-------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
According to the Energy Information Administration, the national average price for gasoline was $4.26 per gallon at the end of April and it was largely stable throughout last month. Not good. Certainly painful. But wholesale gas price has exploded higher in recent weeks and that means retail gas prices are about to do the same thing. The wholesale cost points to a nationwide pump price of $5. Not next month, soon. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------Just a Few Stocks Driving S&P 500 Rally Triggers Dot-Com Bubble Flashbackshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-05/dot-com-bubble-flashbacks-triggered-by-lack-of-s-p-500-breadthRCM/TIPP Steadies In May As Stress Easeshttps://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2026/05/05/rcmtipp_steadies_in_may_as_stress_eases_1180584.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
We know how central bankers are just itching to raise policy rates and all over the world, led primarily by those in Europe. The hawkishness is already spreading. Just today, an official from South Korea's central bank said, hey, oil prices up we need to think about some hikes, too. But what are the markets pricing? It's not what you'd think. What do the curves look like for now but also beyond the near-term? In a word, frown. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Will this week's economic data be enough to keep central bankers from chasing oil prices with rate hikes? Europe was barely positive. Canada bounced back but that's two up and two down over the last year. Mexico, which, keep in mind, is a proxy for the US, big time contraction. And the US itself missed with weakness all over consumers. All that before the full energy shock weighs in.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreLearn more about Augusta Gold and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Thanks to Monarch for partnering with me! Start your free trial and get 50% off your first year of total money clarity using my link https://monarchmoney.yt.link/8CnCd5q or code euro50 for 50% Off Monarch Core tier.The Japanese government, working through the Bank of Japan, just set $35 billion on fire. Then flushed it down the toilet. And if that wasn't enough, officials in Tokyo are talking about embarrassing themselves in the oil market. Wasting five and half trillion yen in FX wasn't enough, throw some more money down the hole and all for the public spectacle of it. What a world we live in. Unfortunately for them, and for their counterparts in India, this is the eurodollar's world. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisPhone Warning Shows Yen Intervention Is the New Normalhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-05-01/katayama-phone-warning-shows-yen-intervention-is-the-new-normalYen's Correlation With Oil Hit 2021 High Before Interventionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-01/yen-s-correlation-with-oil-hit-2021-high-before-interventionJapan Is Said to Sound Out Market on Oil Futures Interventionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/japan-is-said-to-sound-out-market-on-oil-futures-interventionRBI's Short Dollar Book Surges Past $100 Billion for First Timehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-30/rbi-s-short-dollar-book-surges-past-100-billion-for-first-timehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In Episode 29 of The ₿roadcast, Bram Kanstein, Michael Tanguma, and special guest Joe Consorti break down the most important Bitcoin and macro developments from the past few weeks.00:00 - Intro & Welcoming Joe Consorti00:33 - Powell Leaves the Fed in Chaos07:30 - AI Deflation & the Fed-Treasury Trap12:22 - Bitcoin as Outside Money16:02 - Czech National Bank & Sovereign Game Theory26:29 - ARMA, Gold Sales & the Mar-a-Lago Setup31:13 - Wall Street Packing Their Bags34:39 - The Stretch Debate42:52 - Iran, $120 Oil & the Wrong Fed Call44:59 - The Lag: Sovereigns, Stripe & Agentic Payments57:39 - Save in Bitcoin, Spend in DollarsThe ₿roadcast: Bitcoin culture meets Business & Finance. We catch up LIVE on news, tweets, videos, charts, trends, and other Bitcoin related content that stood out to us in the past two weeks ⚡️ Published on Saturday at 9AM EST / 3PM CET.
We know when Walmart or Dollar General are doing well, those are not good signs for the health of the consumer economy, particularly when it's higher income shoppers suddenly appearing in bigger numbers. But when that hard hit traffic starts spilling over to the local pawn shops, it's a whole other level. Canaries and coalmines. Here's the thing. We're not only seeing that happen, the data backs this up, including a whole bunch which released earlier today.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-----------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Ready to explore? Master monetary systems – past and future - with structure, clarity, and confidence. Visit https://eurodollar.university/membership-------------------------------------------------Pawn shop economyhttps://www.msn.com/en-us/money/topstocks/pawn-shops-are-seeing-something-the-stock-market-isn-t-and-it-has-economists-concerned/vi-AA21Rt7fPowell Press Conference Transcript and Videohttps://www.federalreserve.gov/live-broadcast.htmhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
European banks just told the ECB they are tightening lending standards by the most since 2023. At the same time, the pick up in loan demand they're seeing is due to heightened liquidity pressures as the energy shock has especially corporate borrowers in Europe on edge. This is why despite knowing the ECB is very likely to raise its policy rates at some point, probably not tomorrow but very likely its next meeting in June, European banks bought a boatload of bonds anyway.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
A week ago, the UAE said it was in consultation with the US government trying to arrange a dollar swap line. Since then, Treasury Secretary Bessent told Congress MANY allies were, too, and not just those in the Middle East. Just hours ago, huge news as the UAE says it's outright leaving OPEC. There is big stuff going on behind the scenes because the energy shock is indeed a dollar shock and much bigger than people think, and the chances of becoming uncontained are not trivial.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisUAE to Leave OPEC in May as Iran War Reshapes Oil Markethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-28/uae-to-leave-opec-and-opec-next-month-to-pursue-new-strategyBessent Says Gulf, Asian Allies Requested Currency Swap Lineshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-22/bessent-says-many-us-allies-in-gulf-asia-requested-swap-linesPimco's $10 Billion Private Deals Fuel Middle East's Wartime Cash Questhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-04-27/pimco-buys-abu-dhabi-qatar-kuwait-private-bonds-dubai-homes-prices-fallDubai's DIFC introduces temporary economic support for businesses, retail communityhttps://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dubais-difc-introduces-temporary-economic-support-businesses-retail-community-2026-04-09/
Interest rates going up. Oil prices big problem. The stock market kept soaring, but even though the S&P 500 gained 20% that year more stocks in the index ended 1999 down than up. There are some similarities between now and '99 and one of those is how far companies will go to make sure they aren't one of those on the outside looking in. CEOs today are all over AI hype, but they're lying to you about it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------THE YEAR IN THE MARKETS; 1999: Extraordinary Winners and More Losershttps://www.nytimes.com/2000/01/03/business/the-year-in-the-markets-1999-extraordinary-winners-and-more-losers.htmlBank of England Official Says Share Prices Don't Reflect Riskshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-24/bank-of-england-official-says-share-prices-don-t-reflect-riskshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Back in April 2020, oil prices went negative after the futures market underestimated just how much demand had collapsed, causing chaos as market participants scrambled to unload their oil. Here in April 2026, the oil futures market is in danger of something similar but in the opposite direction. Certain market participants just may be underestimating how much supply has collapsed. Worrying that might be the case, the Dallas Fed surveyed oil industry companies about what they're seeing and where they think the Hormuz blockage is leading the energy marketplace. You're not going to like it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-----------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Ready to explore? Master monetary systems – past and future - with structure, clarity, and confidence. Visit https://eurodollar.university/membership-------------------------------------------------Dallas Fed Energy Survey Q1 2026 updatehttps://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/des/2026/2601/2601updateOil Trader Andurand Lost 52% in April First Half on Oil Betshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-23/andurand-lost-52-in-april-first-half-as-ceasefire-hurt-oil-betsThe world is watching the wrong oil pricehttps://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/04/23/the-world-is-watching-the-wrong-oil-price/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Underscoring the global nature of private credit and the credit cycle, one of India's biggest borrowers has announced it will be delaying principal and interest payments on one of its biggest junk bonds. And who are the primary owners of said bonds? Private credit funds like Cerberus and regulated institutions like Deutsche Bank. The specific bonds in question aren't going to bring down either one, but the missed cash payments do highlight more behavior consistent with a shift in the cycle and what that means.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Top Indian Private Credit Borrower Delays Paying 20.75% Bondhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-24/india-s-shapoorji-gets-nod-to-delay-bond-days-before-maturityJeffrey Gundlach Rips TCW Group Over Red Lobster ‘PIK Magic'https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-04-18/jeffrey-gundlach-rips-tcw-group-over-red-lobster-pik-magicBank of England Deputy Governor Warns of Private Credit Crunchhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-22/private-credit-crunch-risk-spurs-boe-s-stress-test-breeden-saysTraders Return to Fed Funds Wager That Surged During Repo Stresshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-22/traders-return-to-fed-funds-trade-that-surged-during-repo-stresshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Markets are hitting new highs, but crypto just took a major hit. Ryan and David break down the $300M KelpDAO exploit and why it exposed deeper flaws across DeFi and Layer 2s, including Arbitrum's controversial decision to freeze funds. They also explore whether AI will drive deflation or inequality, unpack a new bullish ETH thesis, and debate why the biggest risks in crypto may be building beneath the surface. ---
The global economy is being set right up for a brutal summer, according to the latest incoming data. Manufacturing is up right now, but the faster it goes today the worse it is going to be in the coming months. Services, the majority of the economy, are starting to get crushed – Europe, for example, it just set a 62-month low. This is the same general setup as last year which fed right into job losses, contracting incomes, rising unemployment...and more Pringles. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-----------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Ready to explore? Master monetary systems – past and future - with structure, clarity, and confidence. Visit https://eurodollar.university/membership-------------------------------------------------SPG US PMIshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/8bdf1bb2dddf420e9c0e9d7e22f75c09SPG EZ PMIshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/89d5df92554f42589275c1d9ddb5fde3SPG Japan PMIshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/f65b1852016d49a5abde92a6b742f9bchttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Countries REALLY don't want to go to DC and ask for a dollar swap line. One nation just did (according to WSJ) and it is one of the most critical redistribution centers in the eurodollar system. While the usual suspects go on about "dedollarization" and petroyuans, over here in the real world the consequences from lack of oil flow include a shortfall of dollars as much as oil.Eurodollar University Money & Macro AnalysisU.A.E. Asks U.S. About a Wartime Financial Lifelinehttps://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-a-e-asks-u-s-for-a-wartime-financial-lifeline-3f9ea3a0Qatar Warns of ‘Huge' Economic Fallout From War in Coming Monthshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-15/qatar-warns-of-huge-economic-fallout-from-war-in-coming-months
European consumer sentiment is in "free fall", in the European govt's own words. DHL's CEO warned the world is heading for a quote tipping point – in other words, the race against time. Economic sentiment just crashed. Unemployment in places like Scandinavia has jumped while in the UK job losses have returned alongside the appearance of one of the worse labor market outcomes, the dropout. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------DHL CEO Warns of ‘Tipping Point' Risk If Oil Shortage Persistshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-21/dhl-ceo-warns-of-tipping-point-risk-if-oil-shortage-persistsEuropean Union Flash Consumer Confidence April 2026https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/download/11ffc7fa-f14b-4ed7-a44c-2e45fa85fec5_en?filename=Flash_consumer_2026_04_en.pdfGerman Investor Outlook Drops to Worst Since 2022 on Iran Warhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-21/german-investor-outlook-drops-to-worst-since-2022-on-iran-warGermany Halves 2026 Growth Forecast After Hit From Iran Warhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-22/germany-halves-growth-forecast-for-2026-after-hit-from-iran-warhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Banks are taking more steps to distance themselves from the growing private credit bust. They're revaluing private credit assets that have been pledged to them as security for financing banks have provided to these shadow banks. I told you when JPM did it a month ago there would be others. Insurance companies are now really getting dragged into this mess, too, a double dose of Stage 2.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------ACLI President and CEO David Chavern Responds to April 14th Financial Times Article on Private Credit https://www.acli.com/posting/acr26-003Wall Street banks start trading derivatives to bet on pain in private credithttps://www.ft.com/content/54076a09-7a66-44f3-8e70-343f6d601e50?syn-25a6b1a6=1https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Interest rates in China's bond market are aggressively declining, more at the short-term maturities. It's a classic bond bull case, which means it isn't bullish. The question is where this is coming from. Inside the country or outside? As if that wasn't the only big signal, the Chinese government just did something that will have you shaking your head where it comes to consumer spending and retail sales data. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Visit https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.comhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The good news is the IRS is reporting about a 10% rise in average income tax refunds. However, the initial data is showing most Americans are just not spending the windfall. Understandably, they're either saving the money or more often paying down debt. Those are certainly positive in their own way, helping struggling taxpayers repair their own fiscal balance sheets after years of limited income growth and jobs, but from the broader economic perspective it's not what was hoped. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Visit https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com-------------------------------------------------------Did the 2008 Tax Rebates Stimulate Spending?https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3522430/Tax Refund Splurge for Many Americans Is Paying Down Debthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-16/higher-2026-tax-refunds-help-us-households-pay-down-credit-card-student-debthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The IMF is getting nervous. Nervous to the point its chief economist just said the world is already drifting toward their newly minted adverse scenario. What does that mean? It means a collision course with the point of no return. And that point of no return is much closer than you'd think given how the world was in bad shape before the energy shock showed up. The difference between fragile and resilient makes all the difference. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
4. The COVID-19 pandemic and severe lockdowns shattered public trust, triggering economic deflation and a burst real estate bubble. Municipalities now face extreme debt distress, leaving them unable to pay workers. Xi Jinping has prioritized surveillance and national security over economic restoration, signaling the dream's retreat. (4)1903