Podcasts about Deflation

CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1900 KYIV THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS THAT CONGRESS IS CAPABLE OF CUTTING SPENDING..... 10-8-25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 HEADLINE: Arab Intellectuals Fail Palestinians by Prioritizing Populism and Victimhood Narrative in Gaza ConflictGUEST NAME: Hussain Abdul-Hussain SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Hussain Abdul-Hussain about Hamas utilizing the power of victimhood to justify atrocities and vilify opponents. Arab and Muslim intellectuals have failed Palestinians by prioritizing populism over introspection and self-critique. Regional actors like Egypt prioritize populist narratives over national interests, exemplified by refusing to open the Sinai border despite humanitarian suffering. The key recommendation is challenging the narrative and fostering a reliable, mature Palestinian government. 915-930 HEADLINE: Arab Intellectuals Fail Palestinians by Prioritizing Populism and Victimhood Narrative in Gaza ConflictGUEST NAME: Hussain Abdul-Hussain SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Hussain Abdul-Hussain about Hamas utilizing the power of victimhood to justify atrocities and vilify opponents. Arab and Muslim intellectuals have failed Palestinians by prioritizing populism over introspection and self-critique. Regional actors like Egypt prioritize populist narratives over national interests, exemplified by refusing to open the Sinai border despite humanitarian suffering. The key recommendation is challenging the narrative and fostering a reliable, mature Palestinian government. 930-945 HEADLINE: Russian Oil and Gas Revenue Squeezed as Prices Drop, Turkey Shifts to US LNG, and China Delays Pipeline GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Michael Bernstam about Russia facing severe budget pressure due to declining oil prices projected to reach $40 per barrel for Russian oil and global oil surplus. Turkey, a major buyer, is abandoning Russian natural gas after signing a 20-year LNG contract with the US. Russia refuses Indian rupee payments, demanding Chinese renminbi, which India lacks. China has stalled the major Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline project indefinitely. Russia utilizes stablecoin and Bitcoin via Central Asian banks to circumvent payment sanctions. 945-1000 HEADLINE: UN Snapback Sanctions Imposed on Iran; Debate Over Nuclear Dismantlement and Enrichment GUEST NAME: Andrea Stricker SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Andrea Stricker about the US and Europe securing the snapback of UN sanctions against Iran after 2015 JCPOA restrictions expired. Iran's non-compliance with inspection demands triggered these severe sanctions. The discussion covers the need for full dismantlement of Iran's nuclear program, including both enrichment and weaponization capabilities, to avoid future conflict. Concerns persist about Iran potentially retaining enrichment capabilities through low-level enrichment proposals and its continued non-cooperation with IAEA inspections. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: Commodities Rise and UK Flag Controversy: French Weather, Market Trends, and British Politics GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Simon Constable about key commodities like copper up 16% and steel up 15% signaling strong economic demand. Coffee prices remain very high at 52% increase. The conversation addresses French political turmoil, though non-citizens cannot vote. In the UK, the St. George's flag has become highly controversial, viewed by some as associated with racism, unlike the Union Jack. This flag controversy reflects a desire among segments like the white working class to assert English identity. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: Commodities Rise and UK Flag Controversy: French Weather, Market Trends, and British Politics GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Simon Constable about key commodities like copper up 16% and steel up 15% signaling strong economic demand. Coffee prices remain very high at 52% increase. The conversation addresses French political turmoil, though non-citizens cannot vote. In the UK, the St. George's flag has become highly controversial, viewed by some as associated with racism, unlike the Union Jack. This flag controversy reflects a desire among segments like the white working class to assert English identity. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: China's Economic Contradictions: Deflation and Consumer Wariness Undermine GDP Growth ClaimsGUEST NAME: Fraser Howie SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Fraser Howie about China facing severe economic contradictions despite high World Bank forecasts. Deflation remains rampant with frequently negative CPI and PPI figures. Consumer wariness and high youth unemployment at one in seven persist throughout the economy. The GDP growth figure is viewed as untrustworthy, manufactured through debt in a command economy. Decreased container ship arrivals point to limited actual growth, exacerbated by higher US tariffs. Economic reforms appear unlikely as centralization under Xi Jinping continues. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: Takaichi Sanae Elected LDP Head, Faces Coalition Challenge to Become Japan's First Female Prime Minister GUEST NAME: Lance Gatling SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Lance Gatling about Takaichi Sanae being elected head of Japan's LDP, positioning her to potentially become the first female Prime Minister. A conservative figure, she supports visits to the controversial Yasukuni Shrine. Her immediate challenge is forming a majority coalition, as the junior partner Komeito disagrees with her conservative positions and social policies. President Trump praised her election, signaling potential for strong bilateral relations. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 VHEADLINE: DeepSeek AI: Chinese LLM Performance and Security Flaws Revealed Amid Semiconductor Export Circumvention GUEST NAME: Jack Burnham SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Jack Burnham about competition in Large Language Models between the US and China's DeepSeek. A NIST study found US models superior in software engineering, though DeepSeek showed parity in scientific questions. Critically, DeepSeek models exhibited significant security flaws. China attempts to circumvent US export controls on GPUs by smuggling and using cloud computing centers in Southeast Asia. Additionally, China aims to dominate global telecommunications through control of supply chains and legal mechanisms granting the CCP access to firm data.E V 1115-1130 HEADLINE: DeepSeek AI: Chinese LLM Performance and Security Flaws Revealed Amid Semiconductor Export Circumvention GUEST NAME: Jack Burnham SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Jack Burnham about competition in Large Language Models between the US and China's DeepSeek. A NIST study found US models superior in software engineering, though DeepSeek showed parity in scientific questions. Critically, DeepSeek models exhibited significant security flaws. China attempts to circumvent US export controls on GPUs by smuggling and using cloud computing centers in Southeast Asia. Additionally, China aims to dominate global telecommunications through control of supply chains and legal mechanisms granting the CCP access to firm data. 1130-1145 HEADLINE: Taiwanese Influencer Charged for Threatening President; Mainland Chinese Influence Tactics ExposedGUEST NAME: Mark Simon SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Mark Simon about internet personality Holger Chen under investigation in Taiwan for calling for President William Lai's decapitation. This highlights mainland Chinese influence operations utilizing influencers who push themes of military threat and Chinese greatness. Chen is suspected of having a mainland-affiliated paymaster due to lack of local commercial support. Taiwan's population primarily identifies as Taiwanese and is unnerved by constant military threats. A key propaganda goal is convincing Taiwan that the US will not intervene. 1145-1200 HEADLINE: Sentinel ICBM Modernization is Critical and Cost-Effective Deterrent Against Great Power CompetitionGUEST NAME: Peter Huessy SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Peter Huessy about the Sentinel program replacing aging 55-year-old Minuteman ICBMs, aiming for lower operating costs and improved capabilities. Cost overruns stem from necessary infrastructure upgrades, including replacing thousands of miles of digital command and control cabling and building new silos. Maintaining the ICBM deterrent is financially and strategically crucial, saving hundreds of billions compared to relying solely on submarines. The need for modernization reflects the end of the post-Cold War "holiday from history," requiring rebuilding against threats from China and Russia. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Supreme Court Battles Over Presidential Impoundment Authority and the Separation of Powers GUEST NAME: Josh Blackman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Josh Blackman about Supreme Court eras focusing on the separation of powers. Currently, the court is addressing presidential impoundment—the executive's authority to withhold appropriated funds. Earlier rulings, particularly 1975's Train v. City of New York, constrained this power. The Roberts Court appears sympathetic to reclaiming presidential authority lost during the Nixon era. The outcome of this ongoing litigation will determine the proper balance between executive and legislative branches. 1215-1230 HEADLINE: Supreme Court Battles Over Presidential Impoundment Authority and the Separation of Powers GUEST NAME: Josh Blackman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Josh Blackman about Supreme Court eras focusing on the separation of powers. Currently, the court is addressing presidential impoundment—the executive's authority to withhold appropriated funds. Earlier rulings, particularly 1975's Train v. City of New York, constrained this power. The Roberts Court appears sympathetic to reclaiming presidential authority lost during the Nixon era. The outcome of this ongoing litigation will determine the proper balance between executive and legislative branches. 1230-1245 HEADLINE: Space Force Awards Contracts to SpaceX and ULA; Juno Mission Ending, Launch Competition Heats UpGUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Bob Zimmerman about Space Force awarding over $1 billion in launch contracts to SpaceX for five launches and ULA for two launches, highlighting growing demand for launch services. ULA's non-reusable rockets contrast with SpaceX's cheaper, reusable approach, while Blue Origin continues to lag behind. Other developments include Firefly entering defense contracting through its Scitec acquisition, Rocket Lab securing additional commercial launches, and the likely end of the long-running Juno Jupiter mission due to budget constraints. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: Space Force Awards Contracts to SpaceX and ULA; Juno Mission Ending, Launch Competition Heats UpGUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Bob Zimmerman about Space Force awarding over $1 billion in launch contracts to SpaceX for five launches and ULA for two launches, highlighting growing demand for launch services. ULA's non-reusable rockets contrast with SpaceX's cheaper, reusable approach, while Blue Origin continues to lag behind. Other developments include Firefly entering defense contracting through its Scitec acquisition, Rocket Lab securing additional commercial launches, and the likely end of the long-running Juno Jupiter mission due to budget constraints.

HEADLINE: China's Economic Contradictions: Deflation and Consumer Wariness Undermine GDP Growth ClaimsGUEST NAME: Fraser Howie SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Fraser Howie about China facing severe economic contradictions despite high World Bank forecasts. Deflation remains rampant with frequently negative CPI and PPI figures. Consumer wariness and high youth unemployment at one in seven persist throughout the economy. The GDP growth figure is viewed as untrustworthy, manufactured through debt in a command economy. Decreased container ship arrivals point to limited actual growth, exacerbated by higher US tariffs. Economic reforms appear unlikely as centralization under Xi Jinping continues.

Another major central bank panicked today into a 50 bps rate cut, just as markets have been predicting. Not only that, officials at that bank said they're ready for more as ultra-low rates are back within reach already. The Pringles can is far from empty even though central banks around the world would like you to believe they are in a good place. On the contrary, rate cuts really are like pringles – once central bankers start they're finding everywhere they can't stop.    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisThis is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Joseph Sternberg details China's economic "pickle," resulting from the property bubble collapse and failure of its export-led model. The subsequent glut of goods risks deflation, which Beijing calls "involution," dangerously exacerbating vast debt problems. He notes that Xi Jinping resists market-led "creative destruction," prioritizing state control. Sternberg then analyzes London protests, concluding they are motivated by anti-Semitism and anti-Israel sentiment, irrespective of the Gaza peace talks. PM Starmer calling the protests "unbritish" reflects the government's difficulty in addressing these issues legally 1910 SHIPWRECKED

Joseph Sternberg details China's economic "pickle," resulting from the property bubble collapse and failure of its export-led model. The subsequent glut of goods risks deflation, which Beijing calls "involution," dangerously exacerbating vast debt problems. He notes that Xi Jinping resists market-led "creative destruction," prioritizing state control. Sternberg then analyzes London protests, concluding they are motivated by anti-Semitism and anti-Israel sentiment, irrespective of the Gaza peace talks. PM Starmer calling the protests "unbritish" reflects the government's difficulty in addressing these issues legally 1910 HALIBUT ALASKA

Repo fails have jumped to more than $320 billion as of the final full week in September, the highest since the very start of January. More importantly, the timing. While there are technical reasons for rising fails, they have been increasing since the first week in August, right when the July payroll report came out. There's also been substantial selling of foreign reserve assets, an enormous amount which likewise is timed to the release of payroll estimates. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

OPEC this past weekend agreed to raise production into a falling market, putting it on the edge of confirming a major worldwide downturn. This is why, despite the crude cartel not increasing supply as much as feared, oil prices didn't really react. There are far greater problems plaguing the energy markets, including tightening dollar conditions which go right along with this major market warning. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CNBC Oil rises more than 1% after OPEC+ hikes output less than expectedhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/06/oil-prices-gain-1percent-after-lower-than-expected-opec-output-hike.htmlBloomberg The Oil Market's 2026 Tsunami Will Be Costly to Financehttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-10-06/the-oil-market-s-2026-tsunami-will-be-costly-to-financeBloomberg Unsold Oil From Middle East Hints at Early Signs of Global Gluthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-02/unsold-oil-from-middle-east-hints-at-early-signs-of-global-gluthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

These recent bankruptcies have garnered close attention from the marketplace because they represent the very real possibility serious cracks have already weakened credit markets...to the point even the stock market (part of it, anyway) is taking a hard look. Ally, Bread Financial, Affirm, even Capital One, they've all see their stocks plummet. There's more here than it seems because of all the noise about share indexes and their own record highs. Everyone has ignored job losses, until now that is. Eurodollar University conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Subprime Credit Troubles Send Shares of Consumer Lenders Reelinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-03/subprime-credit-troubles-send-shares-of-consumer-lenders-reelinghttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Like Amazon, now Walmart and Target are holding similar “fall” savings events promising to offer big savings. All three of them know the consumer economy is in deep trouble, thus the overemphasis on savings. But it's not just what these retailers are doing for customers, it's what they aren't doing for workers. According to a range of sources, including the retailers themselves, they are not hiring. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFor more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------Challenger Gray & Christmas https://www.challengergray.com/blog/september-job-cuts-fall-37-from-august-ytd-total-highest-since-2020-lowest-ytd-hiring-since-2009/Retail Dive How retailers are hiring for the 2025 holiday seasonhttps://www.retaildive.com/news/retail-holiday-season-hiring-job-cuts/760900/ISM Services September 2025https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/services/september/FRBNY Business Leaders Surveyhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/Survey/business_leaders/2025/2025_09blsreport.pdf?sc_lang=en&hash=872CB84D638D0F3D1A3F833365E25EF4Dallas Fed Texas Services Outlook Surveyhttps://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2025/2509

Money from around the world continues to pour into Swiss bond markets, driving yields there down below zero and keeping them that way. Because Switzerland remains a key global money center in the eurodollar world, this kind of heightened demand for safety is directly related to rising worries about the rest of the world. Moreover, the Swiss curve is an indication of what we should expect from global rates moving forward.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

This week has seen one oil company after another announce major layoffs. The oil curve is within sight of flipping and wholesale gasoline prices are only a penny above their lowest since 2021. Why? The answer was all over ADP's private payroll report for September. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFor more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------ADP https://adpemploymentreport.com/IEA Oil Market Report August 2025https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-august-2025HRD Imperial Oil, ExxonMobil announce major layoffs for Canada amid global restructuringhttps://www.hcamag.com/ca/news/general/imperial-oil-exxonmobil-announce-major-layoffs-for-canada-amid-global-restructuring/551612Dow Jones TotalEnergies to Cut Costs While Boosting Oil, Gas Output Through 2030 — Updatehttps://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202509296462/totalenergies-to-cut-costs-while-boosting-oil-gas-output-through-2030-updateFox Business Exxon to slash thousands of jobshttps://www.foxbusiness.com/media/exxon-slash-thousands-jobs-major-corporate-overhaul-comprehensive-restructuring-planhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

The latest report on jobs changes everything. The hiring rate in August dropped to its lowest level since April of 2020. April 2020. It's another clear sign that the labor market is visiting Dr. Beveridge and right in time for Amazon Prime Days which begin a week from now. Consumer confidence fell sharply here for September in even more new data, with workers reporting they also feel job availability is at a multi-year low, so it's not just in the high level data, this thing is also making waves on the ground. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------It is absolutely critical to understand the hidden truth or really truths about what interest rates are saying. Decoding them isn't really that difficult, either, once you step away from mainstream Economics. And that's what we're going to do on Tuesday October 14 at 6 pm ET. Join me for a full webinar as we break down these secrets to interest rates that really shouldn't be.Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method.If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. https://eurodollar.university/memberships ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Conference Board https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

What is going on in the auto world? First, Tricolor goes bankrupt. Then parts supplier First Brands follows them. CarMax reports dismal earnings. Even Germany's Bosch decided to lay off another 13,000 workers. It's not just a canary in the coal mine, there's a whole flock - or fleet - of them. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CarMax Second Quarter Earningshttps://investors.carmax.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2025/CarMax-Reports-Second-Quarter-Fiscal-Year-2026-Results/default.aspxCNBC CarMax stock plummets 20% following ‘challenging' quarterhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/25/carmax-stock-plummets-after-missed-wall-streets-expectations.htmlMarketWatch CarMax sees surprise drop in used-car sales even at lower prices, and the stock diveshttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/carmax-sees-unexpected-drop-in-used-car-sales-even-at-lower-prices-and-the-stock-dives-7dc067b0Bloomberg Economists Lower US Job Growth Through 2026, Fueling Rate Cutshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-26/economists-lower-us-job-growth-through-2026-fueling-rate-cutsGTR First Brands supply chain finance debt tops US$866mnhttps://www.gtreview.com/news/americas/first-brands-supply-chain-finance-debt-tops-us866mn/Bloomberg First Brands Files for Bankruptcy After Lender Scrutinyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-29/auto-parts-supplier-first-brands-files-for-bankruptcyQ3 2025 Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index Shows Steady Confidence Amid Economic Headwindshttps://www.coxautoinc.com/insights-hub/q3-2025-cadsi/Bloomberg Bosch to Shed 13,000 Jobs as Auto-Industry Slump Deepenshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-25/bosch-to-shed-another-13-000-jobs-as-auto-industry-slump-deepenshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Companies are throwing trillions of dollars chasing the latest fad at the worst possible time. Even hedge fund insiders are sounding alarms over the collision between macro reverse and bubble building mania. Bigger than the dot-coms. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com----------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------Everyone has been abuzz about Tricolor's bankruptcy. The subprime auto lender has already created hundreds of millions in losses and for some of the biggest banks. But the real story here isn't those hundreds of millions, rather the trillions in debt that is priced on financial variable that's otherwise impossible to pin down. Tricolor's bankruptcy just might shed some light on it. Will the financial world like what it could find?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFifth Bank 8-Khttps://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0000035527/000003552725000185/fitb-20250905.htmBloomberg Tricolor Trustee Targets 100,000 Auto Loans Stuck in Limbohttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/tricolor-trustee-seeks-control-over-100-000-subprime-auto-loansWired Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed Wall Streethttps://www.wired.com/2009/02/wp-quant/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The dollar is starting to move more aggressively, driving higher and crossing key thresholds in a whole host of currency exchanges. Not only that, this current “strengthening” is highly synchronized. Both of those factors, the synchronization and breaching multiple ranges, are beginning to more strongly point to the next stage in this ongoing cycle. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/30/vpxv1tvg---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Chris Riegel of SCALA.COM argues against immediate deflation of the AI bubble, despite inevitable losers. Continued investment and services built on AI stacks suggest huge future returns for successful companies. 1953

There are growing concerns - and a growing pile of evidence and reports - indicating the *shadow* banking system is suppressing potential losses for no legitimate reason. Here we examine where they are coming from and what the latest data shows. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/30/vpxv1tvg----------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University Memberships: What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method.If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships----------------------------------------------------------------S&P Global Private Credit: The Rising ‘Defaults'https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/resources/private-credit-the-rising-defaultsLincoln Internationalhttps://www.lincolninternational.com/news/the-lincoln-private-market-index-records-another-quarter-of-growth-in-q2/Bloomberg Default Warnings Start to Pile Up in Private Credit Markethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-21/default-warnings-start-to-pile-up-in-the-private-credit-markethttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

This episode is all about

For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/30/vpxv1tvg----------------------------------------------------------------Now that the Federal Reserve is back to cutting rates, we can start looking ahead to how low they might go. Not only that, also how low Treasury yields and the entire curve get. While Economists wrongly rely on bad theories put into econometric models, we have a wealth of good and valid information (once again proving correct) from which we can make some reasonable judgements. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Goldman Sachs Says US Yield-Curve Shape Looks Like Zero-Rate Erahttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-06/goldman-sachs-says-us-yield-curve-shape-looks-like-zero-rate-erahttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

A sad report as Argentina's badly-needed chainsaw is running into a bigger one - the eurodollar. President Milie was forced to admit the market is in panic-mode as the peso plunges in a way that's all-too-familiar for eurodollar watchers. Push comes to shove, the latter simply has the biggest chainsaw and it is using the thing that the world needs to be watching carefully. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Argentina Assets Slide as Milei Summons Cabinet After Defeathttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-08/argentina-bonds-slump-on-milei-s-defeat-in-buenos-aires-voteBloomberg Milei Defies Forecasts So Far as Argentina's Peso Strengthenshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-23/milei-defies-forecasts-so-far-as-argentina-s-peso-strengthens-usd-arsAP Argentina President Milei suffers crushing defeat in Buenos Aires provincial electionhttps://apnews.com/article/argentina-election-javier-milei-cristina-fernandez-peronism-fecba6d106eb2c0f2440e9fca298e470Cato Deregulation in Argentina: Milei Takes “Deep Chainsaw” to Bureaucracy and Red Tapehttps://www.cato.org/free-society/spring-2025/deregulation-argentina-milei-takes-deep-chainsaw-bureaucracy-red-tapehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Foreigners continue their epic buying binge in USTs and US$ assets, totally defying the narrative everyone around the world is ditching America. Despite the intent of so many to make this political, there is nothing political about this, purely economics (small "e"). We keep more evidence and data showing what those really are, and foreigners know it only too well. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre**************************************Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly ThemeIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. To sample or sign up straight away, go to:  eurodollaruniversity.substack.com**************************************Bloomberg Foreign Holdings of Treasuries Climb to Record Levelhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/foreign-holdings-of-treasuries-reach-record-even-as-china-sellshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

For the first time ever, the Bank of Japan is selling stocks out of its vast portfolio. The announcement shocked the markets though mostly the media. Is this what it seems to be, or does the Japanese government have a trick up its sleeve? A crystal clear answer can be found among Japan's households as this is one of the best examples ever of modern "monetary" policy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------BoJ Statementhttps://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdeci/mpr_2025/k250919a.pdfBloomberg BOJ Unveils ETF Sales Plan, Keeps Door Open for October Hikehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-19/boj-keeps-rates-steady-as-ishiba-s-departure-adds-to-uncertaintyBloomberg Long Bonds Are a Buy as Contagion Fears Ease, TS Lombard Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-19/long-bonds-are-a-buy-as-contagion-fears-ease-ts-lombard-saysMoneyWise Rice prices have skyrocketed in Japan — and farmers warn that ‘everyone who eats' that disaster could be nearhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/rice-prices-skyrocketed-japan-farmers-172500461.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_USAnother grim stat from US real estate, as plans to build houses slid to the lowest since May 2020. There are more homebuilders cutting prices than at any other time since, yes, 2020. But at the same time, mortgage rates have slid to their lowest level in a year. In other words, the housing market is giving off a definite signal, and it's the same one as mortgage rates. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBen Bernanke's Testimony April 2008https://www.cnbc.com/2008/04/02/text-bernankes-testimony.htmlBloomberg US Homebuilder Sentiment Stays Low Despite Mortgage-Rate Drophttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-16/us-homebuilder-sentiment-stays-low-despite-mortgage-rate-dropHousewire Optimal Blue: Rate-and-term refis soar 70% in Augusthttps://www.housingwire.com/articles/rate-and-term-refinance-optimal-blue-market-advantage-august-2025/Conference Board Leading Economic Indicatorshttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicators/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

What a massive mess. No clear direction. Dots all over he place. And that's just the start. We've got Canada, too. Replay of FOMC decision livestream as Pringles win again.

PREVIEW: HEADLINE: China's Economic Weakness: Deflation, Overcapacity, and Export Barriers GUEST NAME: Alan Tonelson SUMMARY: John Batchelor and Alan Tonelson discuss the crippling deflation gripping China's economy, a result of its plan to promote overcapacity. China has alienated many countries, hindering its ability to move products and no longer enjoys the "American safety valve" for exports. Tonelson explains that this barrier prevents continued Chineseeconomic growth, with no apparent solution. 1952

PREVIEW: HEADLINE: China's Economic Crisis: A Conversation with Anne Stevenson-Yang GUEST NAME: Anne Stevenson-Yang SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Anne Stevenson-Yang, author of Wild Ride, about China's economic struggles, including deflation, factory overcapacity, and a collapsed housing market. Stevenson-Yang asserts that China'scurrent strategy of redirecting investments is insufficient to overcome these issues, indicating that the nation's inability to adopt a radically different approach means its economic problems will persist. 1918 PEKING UNIVERSITY

China's yield curve is being reshaped in a way that has created confusion across the spectrum. Even policymakers at the PBOC are talking about the need to do something. However, market behavior is consistent with what we're seeing around the rest of the world and how it all relates to China finding a way out of its mess and hitting upon a real recovery. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------If you want to see what you've been missing - and it's A LOT - then join us at Eurodollar University. Our memberships have got you covered where it comes to mastering monetary mechanics. You won't find this anywhere else. https://www.eurodollar.university/memberships---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg China Bond Slump Fuels Speculation PBOC Will Resume Debt Buyinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-14/china-bond-slump-fuels-speculation-pboc-will-resume-debt-buyingReuters Chinese money flows into bonds even as central bank warns of riskshttps://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/chinese-money-flows-into-bonds-even-central-bank-warns-risks-2024-06-27/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

For the first time ever, French bond spreads are higher than those seen in Italy (both compared to Germany). This isn't just about "fiscal consolidation" worries and France's government budget, the real issue behind everything is economic differentials. Those need to be turned around and soon else France risks being the new, well, Italy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------NYT French Government Collapses, Again, Deepening Paralysishttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/08/world/europe/france-vote-government-collapse.htmlCNBC France's Macron names loyalist Lecornu as new prime ministerhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/09/france-macron-names-lecornu-new-prime-minister.htmlCNBC France's borrowing costs rise after Fitch downgrade — and there could be more bad news aheadhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/15/frances-borrowing-costs-rise-after-fitch-downgrade-.htmlBloomberg French Borrowing Costs Top Italy's in Historic Market Shifthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-09/french-borrowing-costs-top-italy-s-in-historic-market-shifthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The oil business is heading for a big bust, putting Texas in the crosshairs. While that's obviously not good for the economy as a whole, energy does tend to be a leading indicators and when the jobs starting being lost in the space in a big way it's a big red flag. Consumers know it, given what was also just reported from them, too. Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Since the July payroll report came out, something seems to have snapped out there in the offshore eurodollar world. Two key sources are signaling a turn toward substantial tightening. Here we go over what those signals are, how to read them in context, and what they mean going forward. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------If you want to see what you've been missing - and it's A LOT - then join us at Eurodollar University. Our memberships have got you covered where it comes to mastering monetary mechanics. You won't find this anywhere else. https://www.eurodollar.university/memberships---------------------------------------------------------------------------FRBNY Triparty Repohttps://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/data-hubhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/sniderYesterday's 10-year note auction produced something we've never seen before, and it totally upended everyone's expectations if not more. With the macro climate being what it is, the 10s sale was a "victim" of the increasingly prominent curve reshaping we're seeing everywhere. And "everywhere" absolutely includes the long bond, the 30-year maturity the mainstream has its sights on. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Big Banks Nearly Get Shut Out of Treasury 10-Year Auctionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-10/big-banks-nearly-get-shut-out-of-treasury-10-year-auctionBloomberg Trump Isn't the Only Reason the Price of Money Is Risinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-11/podcast-trump-isn-t-the-only-reason-the-price-of-money-is-risinghttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_USIt wasn't actually the record downgrade to payrolls that stood out the most. Far more important, the QCEW confirms there is a very good chance a recession began LAST YEAR. Not just the forgot how to grow kind, a full-blown one even mainstream Economists and the NBER will be recognizing. The evidence continues to show we all went from forgot how to hire to remember how to fire. The Fed's fifty next week is all but set.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says the economy ‘is weakening'https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/09/jpmorgan-jamie-dimon-economy.htmlBloomberg US Payrolls Marked Down a Record 911,000 in Preliminary Estimatehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-09/us-payrolls-estimated-to-be-911-000-lower-in-year-through-marchStanley Fischer The Great Recession: Moving Aheadhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/fischer20140811a.htmChristopher Waller Let's Get On with Ithttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/files/waller20250828a.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

A record downward revision to payrolls adds to the evidence the US labor market is in dire shape while also heading in the wrong direction. In this video, we go over not just those details but also look ahead at the possible financial consequences should conditions continue to deteriorate in the way they appear to be. What else might be triggered by job losses in the real economy? More than a few possibilities. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Gold keeps soaring and not because of inflation. We know this without any doubt because as copper prices remain stuck, rising bullion against it has crashed the copper-to-gold ratio down to RECORD LOWS. That isn't about expectations for a crash, instead the market is expressing rising probabilities as to the future. One in which the latest data from FRBNY on job finding expectations fits only too well. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com------------------------------------------------------------------------FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectationshttps://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/scehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQThere was one key stat from this week which helps explain the increasingly desperate state of the US labor market, offering background behind the "unexpectedly" weak payroll numbers from Friday. August's estimate was its lowest since...May 2009. Given the connection to employment, it all fits together with so many other signals including record low copper-to-gold. Yep, record low. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQ-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ISM Services August 2025https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/services/august/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Payrolls were ugly, a big miss for August on top of revisions to June which pushed the monthly change negative. If that wasn't enough, a rising unemployment rate after a crash in full-time employment. Plus, a plunge in Canadian payrolls punctuate the turning point for North American jobs. Rates were down sharply, no surprise. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/Eurodollar University's Deep Dive Analysishttps://eurodollar.university---------------------------------------------------------------------------

It's not what everyone says, watch what they do. Big companies and big banks (JPM, too) are making heavy preparations for sharply lower interest rates. The former, in particular, have basically revived the long-dormant commercial paper market in a clear sign. At the same time, US and global banks are remaking their balance sheets in critical and unambiguous ways. Even some Fed officials are now seeing it, too. R is back to being an ultra-low STAR.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg America Inc. Swaps Decades for Days in Rush to Commercial Paperhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-02/30-years-try-30-days-america-inc-flocks-to-commercial-paperCNN Be prepared for 7% interest rates, warns Jamie Dimonhttps://www.cnn.com/2023/10/02/investing/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-7-percent-interest-rate-recessionFRBNY John Williams All the Stars We Cannot Seehttps://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/speeches/2025/wil250825Bloomberg Won Advances After BOK Governor Defends Currency Interventionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-28/won-gains-after-bok-rhee-s-comments-on-forex-intervention-goalshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Dollar Tree says after seeing a major influx of especially middle-income Americans in its stores, it won't be able to raise prices. The latest jobs data leaves absolutely no doubt why that is. According to the turnover stats, the US labor market LOST jobs in June and July.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------WSJ Dollar Tree Shares Fall as Tariffs Dampen Near-Term Outlookhttps://www.wsj.com/business/retail/dollar-tree-boosts-outlook-as-sales-jump-c48b7461WSJ Dollar General Draws Shoppers Across Income Levels, Raises Outlookhttps://www.wsj.com/business/retail/dollar-general-boosts-outlook-after-earnings-rise-95e4bff8https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

After trading conspicuously sideways for the past four months, gold has finally broken out of its range. However, at the same time the US dollar exchange value is threatening to do the same - by moving HIGHER. It's a bad combination: rising gold, higher dollar, and falling interest rates. If any doubts remain about what's really happening, the copper-to-gold ratio leaves everyone no doubt.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Why Investors Can't Seem to Get Enough of Goldhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-02/gold-price-record-why-bullion-is-safe-haven-amid-tariffs-inflationhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Chinese stocks are heading into orbit, taking off like a rocket ever since the US and China reached an agreement to not inflict the worst of trade wars. Curiously, though, the Chinese economy has further deteriorated which means the equity surge is looking more and more like something we've seen before from Shanghai.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg China Stocks Are Sending Warning Signs on Liquidity-Driven Rallyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-25/china-stocks-are-sending-warning-signs-on-liquidity-driven-rallySCMP 4 reasons fears of China stock market bubble are misplacedhttps://www.scmp.com/opinion/china-opinion/article/3323431/four-reasons-fears-china-stock-market-bubble-are-misplacedhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Once Federal Reserve policymakers start making total sense, that's when you know. Officials are seeing the data the same way(s) we are, meaning a mess in jobs combined with an absence of any sign for tariff inflation. A big one came this week with a leading voice voicing caution and a growing possibility for that September fifty. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Christopher Waller Let's Get On with Ithttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/files/waller20250828a.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

On this episode of Crazy Wisdom, Stewart Alsop sits down with Brad Costanzo, founder and CEO of Accelerated Intelligence, for a wide-ranging conversation that stretches from personal development and the idea that “my mess is my message” to the risks of AI psychosis, the importance of cognitive armor, and Brad's sovereign mind framework. They talk about education through the lens of the Trivium, the natural pull of elites and hierarchies, and how Bitcoin and stablecoins tie into the future of money, inflation, and technological deflation. Brad also shares his perspective on the synergy between AI and Bitcoin, the dangers of too-big-to-fail banks, and why decentralized banking may be the missing piece. To learn more about Brad's work, visit acceleratedintelligence.ai or reach out directly at brad@acceleratedintelligence.ai.Check out this GPT we trained on the conversationTimestamps00:00 Brad Costanzo joins Stewart Alsop, opening with “my mess is my message” and Accelerated Intelligence as a way to frame AI as accelerated, not artificial.05:00 They explore AI as a tool for personal development, therapy versus coaching, and AI's potential for self-insight and pattern recognition.10:00 The conversation shifts to AI psychosis, hype cycles, gullibility, and the need for cognitive armor, leading into Brad's sovereign mind framework of define, collaborate, and refine.15:00 They discuss education through the Trivium—grammar, logic, rhetoric—contrasted with the Prussian mass education model designed for factory workers.20:00 The theme turns to elites, natural hierarchies, and the Robbers Cave experiment showing how quickly humans split into tribes.25:00 Bitcoin enters as a silent, nonviolent revolution against centralized money, with Hayek's quote on sound money and the Trojan horse of Wall Street adoption.30:00 Stablecoins, treasuries, and the Treasury vs Fed dynamic highlight how monetary demand is being engineered through crypto markets.35:00 Inflation, disinflation, and deflation surface, tied to real estate costs, millennials vs boomers, Austrian economics, and Jeff Booth's “Price of Tomorrow.”40:00 They connect Bitcoin and AI as deflationary forces, population decline, productivity gains, and the idea of a personal Bitcoin denominator.45:00 The talk expands into Bitcoin mining, AI data centers, difficulty adjustments, and Richard Werner's insights on quantitative easing, commercial banks, and speculative vs productive loans.50:00 Wrapping themes center on decentralized banking, the dangers of too-big-to-fail, assets as protection, Bitcoin's volatility, and why it remains the strongest play for long-term purchasing power.Key InsightsOne of the strongest insights Brad shares is the shift from artificial intelligence to accelerated intelligence. Instead of framing AI as something fake or external, he sees it as a leverage tool to amplify human intelligence—whether emotional, social, spiritual, or business-related. This reframing positions AI less as a threat to authenticity and more as a partner in unlocking dormant creativity.Personal development surfaces through the mantra “my mess is my message.” Brad emphasizes that the struggles, mistakes, and rock-bottom moments in life can become the foundation for helping others. AI plays into this by offering low-cost access to self-insight, giving people the equivalent of a reflective mirror that can help them see patterns in their own thinking without immediately needing therapy.The episode highlights the emerging problem of AI psychosis. People overly immersed in AI conversations, chatbots, or hype cycles can lose perspective. Brad and Stewart argue that cognitive armor—what Brad calls the “sovereign mind” framework of define, collaborate, and refine—is essential to avoid outsourcing one's thinking entirely to machines.Education is another theme, with Brad pointing to the classical Trivium—grammar, logic, and rhetoric—as the foundation of real learning. Instead of mass education modeled on the Prussian system for producing factory workers, he argues for rhetoric, debate, and critical thinking as the ultimate tests of knowledge, even in an AI-driven world.When the discussion turns to elites, Brad acknowledges that hierarchies are natural and unavoidable, citing experiments like Robbers Cave. The real danger lies not in elitism itself, but in concentrated control—particularly financial elites who maintain power through the monetary system.Bitcoin is framed as a “silent, nonviolent revolution.” Brad describes it as a Trojan horse—appearing as a speculative asset while quietly undermining government monopoly on money. Stablecoins, treasuries, and the Treasury vs Fed conflict further reveal how crypto is becoming a new driver of monetary demand.Finally, the synergy between AI and Bitcoin offers a hopeful counterbalance to deflation fears and demographic decline. AI boosts productivity while Bitcoin enforces financial discipline. Together, they could stabilize a future where fewer people are needed for the same output, costs of living decrease, and savings in hard money protect purchasing power—even against the inertia of too-big-to-fail banks.

There is no escaping the Pringles can. While the Bank of Canada has been on hold with its rate cutting since March, Canadian GDP, payrolls and even the latest Canadian CPI figures leave no doubt. Plus, the globally synchronized implications will be heard in central bank deliberations worldwide. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------------I'm excited to share something I've negotiated for you guys: you can now get a Glint Card for FREE (normally $10) just by registering with my code ‘SNIDER' or filling out the form on the page I've linked below.All the details and more about Glint are at https://partner.glintpay.com/eurodollar/. Don't miss out!------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUThis video was sponsored by Glint. Graphic representations of value are for illustrative purposes only. The Glint Debit card is issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. The sale, purchase and storage of precious metals are offered by Glint, and not Sutton Bank. Your investment in precious metals through Glint is:-Not insured by the FDIC.-Not a deposit or other obligation of, or guaranteed by, Sutton Bank.-Subject to investment risks, including the possible risk of loss of the principal amount invested.All investments involve risk, including possible loss of principal. The value of precious metals is affected by many economic factors, including but not limited to the current market price, demand, perceived scarcity, and quality of the precious metal.  Precious metals can increase or decrease in value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. As such, investing in precious metals may not be suitable for everyone.Glint Pay Inc. is a U.S. based authorized Card Program Manager, not a bank. Banking services are provided by our partner Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Glint Pay Inc. employs effective Anti-Money Laundering (AML), Countering the Financing of Terrorism (CFT), and fraud prevention systems and controls to mitigate and combat risks.

Two-year Treasury yields set a new almost-year low, falling below their prior April chaos lows. The yield curve is undergoing a profound reshaping that explains a lot more than Jay Powell's Jackson Hole performance. It also perfectly indicates what long-run interest rates are also doing as well as likely to do moving forward.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Goldman Sachs Says US Yield-Curve Shape Looks Like Zero-Rate Erahttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-06/goldman-sachs-says-us-yield-curve-shape-looks-like-zero-rate-erahttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Consumer fears over jobs increased yet again in August, as did expectations for a recession. Relatedly, two separate sources confirmed housing prices in the US fell yet again in their latest monthly estimates. Related because the one is causing the other; fears over jobs that aren't strictly fears are reducing demand for homes and a whole lot more. Deep down, even Jay Powell knows it.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Jay Powell's August 2025 Jackson Hole speechhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/files/powell20250822.pdfConference Board August 2025 consumer confidence https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/Bloomberg Weak US Housing Outlook Sends Australia's Reece Tumblinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-08-25/reece-tumbes-lithium-optimism-us-stocks-australia-briefinghttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

France's government is going to collapse again in a couple weeks. While everyone was distracted by trade wars, the underlying schism in politics remained unresolved. France is between a rock and a hard place, trying to fix its budget. Here's the thing: both the rock and the hard place are the same thing. Eurodollar University's Money and Macro AnalysisI'm excited to share something I've negotiated for you guys: you can now get a Glint Card for FREE (normally $10) just by registering with my code ‘SNIDER' or filling out the form on the page I've linked below.All the details and more about Glint are at https://partner.glintpay.com/eurodollar/. Don't miss out!------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CNN France fears new political crisis after PM's confidence-vote gamblehttps://www.cnn.com/2025/08/25/europe/francois-bayrou-french-confidence-vote-intlCNBC ‘Our country is in danger': French PM takes confidence vote gamble over budget woeshttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/french-pm-takes-confidence-vote-gamble-over-budget-woes.htmlBloomberg France's Government Risks New Collapse, Weighing on Marketshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-25/france-s-government-risks-another-collapse-weighing-on-marketsBloomberg French Political Crisis Dashes Hope of Business-Led Recoveryhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-27/france-s-political-crisis-dashes-hopes-of-business-led-recoveryhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUThis video was sponsored by Glint. Graphic representations of value are for illustrative purposes only. The Glint Debit card is issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. The sale, purchase and storage of precious metals are offered by Glint, and not Sutton Bank. Your investment in precious metals through Glint is:-Not insured by the FDIC.-Not a deposit or other obligation of, or guaranteed by, Sutton Bank.-Subject to investment risks, including the possible risk of loss of the principal amount invested.All investments involve risk, including possible loss of principal. The value of precious metals is affected by many economic factors, including but not limited to the current market price, demand, perceived scarcity, and quality of the precious metal.  Precious metals can increase or decrease in value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. As such, investing in precious metals may not be suitable for everyone.Glint Pay Inc. is a U.S. based authorized Card Program Manager, not a bank. Banking services are provided by our partner Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Glint Pay Inc. employs effective Anti-Money Laundering (AML), Countering the Financing of Terrorism (CFT), and fraud prevention systems and controls to mitigate and combat risks.

Home sales are down. Prices are falling. Inventories are rising. Record number of cancelations. And this is for July, not just a prime sales month in real estate, also three months after the events April. Stocks are soaring and trade deals have been struck. Where are all the buyers? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------------I'm excited to share something I've negotiated for you guys: you can now get a Glint Card for FREE (normally $10) just by registering with my code ‘SNIDER' or filling out the form on the page I've linked below.All the details and more about Glint are at https://partner.glintpay.com/eurodollar/. Don't miss out!------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Redfin News Home Purchases Are Getting Canceled at a Record Ratehttps://www.redfin.com/news/home-purchase-cancellations-july-2025/Bloomberg US New-Home Sales Exceed Forecast Following Upward Revisionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-25/us-new-home-sales-exceed-forecast-following-upward-revisionBloomberg US Homebuilder Sentiment Retreats as Buyers Lack Motivationhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-18/us-homebuilder-sentiment-retreats-as-buyers-lack-motivationNAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 2.0% Increase in Julyhttps://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-2-0-increase-in-julyhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUThis video was sponsored by Glint. Graphic representations of value are for illustrative purposes only. The Glint Debit card is issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. The sale, purchase and storage of precious metals are offered by Glint, and not Sutton Bank. Your investment in precious metals through Glint is:-Not insured by the FDIC.-Not a deposit or other obligation of, or guaranteed by, Sutton Bank.-Subject to investment risks, including the possible risk of loss of the principal amount invested.All investments involve risk, including possible loss of principal. The value of precious metals is affected by many economic factors, including but not limited to the current market price, demand, perceived scarcity, and quality of the precious metal.  Precious metals can increase or decrease in value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. As such, investing in precious metals may not be suitable for everyone.Glint Pay Inc. is a U.S. based authorized Card Program Manager, not a bank. Banking services are provided by our partner Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Glint Pay Inc. employs effective Anti-Money Laundering (AML), Countering the Financing of Terrorism (CFT), and fraud prevention systems and controls to mitigate and combat risks.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU