Podcasts about Deflation

To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swapsLike last month, this June payroll report was taken one way in the mainstream while the details went entirely in the other direction. Headline was a beat and the unemployment rate stalled. Yet, the former was ironically a product of government jobs while the latter slid a tiny amount for ALL THE WRONG REASONS.

There is something going on in the money system with collateral. We've been covering bills and the latest data sheds more light on what is likely happening. It is something we've seen many times before. That's not a good sign. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Fedex is a global bellwether for good reason. What the company said about the economic environment at the start of Q3 was...nothing. But in choosing not to forecast anything, the company said a lot especially given the evidence that has come piling up. We haven't seen consumer spending and incomes like this in America since 2020. That's not a typo. Flat Beveridge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Big moves in yields, especially at the front. While twos are making a move on their own, it's the very front at the first-in-line bills that draws our attention. Steepening has been given a boost by some ugly recent data from right where it counts - incomes and spending.Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre*****If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/************To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Economist Gary Shilling returns to Soar Financially to explain why America's economic model is unsustainable, how the dollar might hold (or not), and why markets are dangerously complacent. We cover everything from the debt spiral to tariffs, Fed policy, inflation, and why “Goldilocks” optimism could be the biggest risk of all.#gold #usdollar #economy ------------

AI shouldn't provoke fear and anxiety, it should raise expectations for regular 4-day workweek with 3-day weekends. Artificial Intelligence represents a potential major leap in labor productivity. The end result isn't a desolate hellscape which leaves everyone unemployed, it's instead something economics (small "e") is very familiar with. webinar link https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swapsEurodollar University's Make it Make Cents*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/29/4yzg6cx2******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/29/4yzg6cx2It never was entirely tariff distortions. Everyone had tried to dismiss Q1 as an anomaly. Later revisions have instead shown there is indeed a shift happening among US consumers. Even Winnebago agrees and RVs are the canary for the canary in the macro coalmine. Beveridge is getting closer. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg US GDP Revised Lower as Consumers Slash Services Spendinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-26/us-gdp-revised-lower-as-consumers-slash-recreation-spendingWinnebago https://winnebago.gcs-web.com/static-files/e0acc2ce-9a34-456d-8f68-a8235351493aWSJ Winnebago Cuts Guidance as Soft Demand Hurts RV Retail Saleshttps://www.wsj.com/business/earnings/winnebago-cuts-revenue-profit-outlook-after-declines-0b3a9053https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Die Babos sind heute beide unterwegs – Michael in München und Endrit in Málaga. Daher mussten sie extra früh aufstehen, um die neue Folge aufzunehmen, bevor der Tag richtig losgeht! Nach zwei Wochen ohne Babos sprechen Börsen fühlt es sich fast so an, als hätten Michael und Endrit den „Krieg“ verpasst. Aber keine Sorge – es gibt noch genug spannende Themen zu besprechen, wie die aktuelle Lage rund um die Politik der Notenbanken und damit verbundene Themen wie Inflation und Deflation. Auch einige Unternehmensnachrichten stehen auf dem Programm. Es lohnt sich also wie immer, heute einzuschalten! FYI: Nicht vergessen – die Investmentbabos sind am 4. und 5. Juli auf der Cashflow Conference in Frankfurt, eine der größten Finanzmessen Deutschlands. Am 5. Juli treten die Babos gemeinsam auf der Bühne mit einem spannenden Vortrag zum Thema „Aktiv vs. Passiv“ auf. Endrit ist außerdem am 4. Juli Teil einer Paneldiskussion zum Thema „Alternative Investments“. Schaut gerne ins Programm und sichert euch eure Tickets, falls ihr noch keine habt. Mit dem Code „BABO27“ bekommt ihr sogar 10 % Rabatt! Viel Spaß mit der Folge und ein wunderschönes Wochenende! Liebe Grüße Michael Duarte & Endrit Cela - Besuchen Sie uns auf unserer Website: https://www.investmentbabo.com - Liken Sie uns auf Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Investmentbabo - Folgen Sie uns auf Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/investmentbabo - Folgen Sie uns auf Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/investmentbabo DISCLAIMER: Der Inhalt dieses Podcasts dient ausschließlich der allgemeinen Information. Diese Informationen können und sollen eine individuelle Beratung durch hierfür qualifizierte Personen nicht ersetzen. Die Informationen in Bezug auf die von der Clartan Associés und AMF Capital AG verwalteten Sondervermögen stellen keine Anlageberatung und keine Kaufempfehlung dar.

The housing market keeps spitting out alarming signs of a growing bust. Sales are down huge, prices are actually falling - and that's the government's estimates. Most of all, this is directly connected to the economy and especially jobs. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis******If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/******Bloomberg Bond Traders Boost Bets US 10-Year Yield Will Dive Toward 4%https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-24/bond-traders-boost-bets-that-us-10-year-yield-to-dive-toward-4Bloomberg US New-Home Sales Drop by Most Since 2022 on Poor Affordabilityhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-25/us-new-home-sales-drop-to-seven-month-low-on-poor-affordabilityConference Board https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidenceReuters https://www.reuters.com/business/us-consumer-confidence-deteriorates-june-2025-06-24/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Swiss francs are soaring again. This isn't a "sell America" trade (which doesn't exist), or the crashing dollar (also doesn't exist). The monetary system remains on edge and now we know why. The shocking full story of what really happened in April and how close we were to the shadow's edge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist at RIA Advisors, returns to Soar Financially to break down the market's bizarre reaction to the U.S. strike on Iran, the real drivers behind inflation, and the demographic crisis crushing long-term growth. Roberts also exposes how retail investors have taken over the market while institutions sit on the sidelines, and why the Fed may be two steps behind—again.#oilprices #iran #inflation ------------

Florida has long been the housing canary in the national real estate coalmine. The situation in the Sunshine State is anything but sunny with prices even outright declining in six key areas. That's just where the downturn is most pronounced right now. The excuses for an increasingly ugly housing market have worn out as the real story is finally being revealed. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIf you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Kenny's Channelhttps://www.youtube.com/@KenMcElroyVideo w/Jeffhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDQunoS96X4FRB Vice Chair Michelle Bowman Unintended Policy Shifts and Unexpected Consequenceshttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bowman20250623a.htmNAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 0.8% Increase in Mayhttps://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-0-8-increase-in-mayNewsweek Most Florida Housing Markets Are in Troublehttps://www.newsweek.com/most-florida-housing-markets-trouble-2086554Bloomberg US Spring Homebuying Season Has Its Weakest Start in Five Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-14/us-spring-homebuying-season-has-its-weakest-start-in-five-yearsBloomberg US Home Resales Stay Sluggish on Affordability Constraintshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-23/us-home-resales-stay-sluggish-on-affordability-constraintsNAR May 2024https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-chief-economist-lawrence-yun-predicts-falling-long-term-interest-rates-rising-existing-homehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Deflation, tax breaks and industrial shifts are reshaping the country's fiscal landscape. Note: The conversation segment of this episode was generated using AI and has been edited for accuracy. It is based on this Caixin story: In Depth: Why China Is Taking In Less Tax as GDP Growth Stays Steady Subscribe now to unlock all coverage from Caixin Global and The Wall Street Journal for just $200 a year, enjoying a 66% discount.  Group discounts are available — contact us for a customized plan.

Deflation, tax breaks and industrial shifts are reshaping the country's fiscal landscape. Note: The conversation segment of this episode was generated using AI and has been edited for accuracy. It is based on this Caixin story: In Depth: Why China Is Taking In Less Tax as GDP Growth Stays Steady Subscribe now to unlock all coverage from Caixin Global and The Wall Street Journal for just $200 a year, enjoying a 66% discount. Group discounts are available — contact us for a customized plan.  

The Fed is going cut...in July. Period. Book it. Conditions have drastically changed and the officials shift is now underway. Rates are going down everywhere, including in DC.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreCNBC Fed Governor Waller says central bank could cut rates as early as Julyhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/20/fed-governor-waller-says-central-bank-could-cut-rates-as-early-as-july.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

A lot of people, maybe even a majority, find the idea of a two-decade long depression too far-fetched to take seriously. Something like that could never, ever happen. Could it? The problem is most everyone's idea of what a depression is needs to be corrected - another huge piece left missing by Economics. What is a depression? Way too familiar. Eurodollar University's Make It Make CentsNBER Cycle Dateshttps://www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractionsNYT Sept 19, 1873https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1873/09/19/issue.htmlDavid A. Wells The Economic Disturbances Since 1873https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Popular_Science_Monthly/Volume_31/July_1887/The_Economic_Disturbances_Since_1873_IHenry George Causes of Business Depressionhttps://bibliotek1.dk/english/by-henry-george/articles-and-speeches/causes-of-business-depressionJM Keynes A Tract on Monetary Reformhttps://ia902905.us.archive.org/35/items/tractonmonetaryr0000keyn/tractonmonetaryr0000keyn.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

From automation to falling prices, AI is changing everything. Here's how it's reshaping business, money, and what it means to stay ahead in a digital-first world. Get access to our real estate community, coaching, courses, and events at Wealthy University https://www.wealthyuniversity.com/Join our FREE community, weekly calls, and bible studies for Christian entrepreneurs and business people. https://www.wealthykingdom.com/ If you want to level up, text me at 725-527-7783!--- About Ryan Pineda: Ryan Pineda has been in the real estate industry since 2010 and has invested in over $100,000,000 of real estate. He has completed over 700 flips and wholesales, and he owns over 650 rental units. As an entrepreneur, he has founded seven different businesses that have generated 7-8 figures of revenue. Ryan has amassed over 2 million followers on social media and has generat...

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/It's back. No one wanted it, but it's here. Switzerland is first to revisit this dreaded milestone. Others aren't far behind, including now Sweden. The Swedes are facing exactly the sort of rough circumstances that made the Swiss National Bank take this drastic step. And if you think the Fed's dots have separate the FOMC from all this, look no further than one year ago. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSNB Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.snb.ch/en/publications/communication/press-releases-restricted/pre_20250619_2CNBC International SNB Martin Schlegelhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vY2-lrxsJfMRiksbank Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/press-and-published/notices-and-press-releases/press-releases/2025/policy-rate-is-cut-to-2-per-cent/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The FOMC met today and while predictably there was no rate action, neither the dots nor the downgraded economy were the key takeaways. Chair Powell's press conference became the perfect example of what the Fed has become. What would you say you do here?Meanwhile, the markets, the economy and T-bills. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Struggling airlines grappling with staycations offer insight into consumer behavior. Meanwhile, the government also showed spending on goods (and certain key services) tanked again in May. Even the world's biggest entertainers and their concert tours are suddenly having a hard time. The dreaded pullback keeps getting louder and more confirmed.   Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIATA June 2025https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-06-02-01/Bloomberg Trump Risks US Consumer Discontent With His Tariffs, Poll Showshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-24/trump-risks-us-consumer-discontent-with-his-tariffs-poll-showsBloomberg Concert Ticket Prices Are Falling For the First Time in Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-06-16/concert-ticket-prices-are-falling-for-the-first-time-in-yearshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

E.J. Antoni says we're about to pay nearly $2 trillion a year just in interest. In this interview, he breaks down what's really driving inflation, why deflation might be a good sign, and how politics at the Fed could shape everything from rates to recession.------------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Nine months later, China's bazooka has totally flopped. We have all the proof necessary. But the "stimulus" failure is not even the biggest takeaway. The full story behind it starts with banks, detours into massive volatility in Hong Kong, before ending up with zombies. Seriously. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Beijing's Borrowing Drove Credit Growth Despite Weak Loan Demandhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-13/china-credit-expansion-new-loans-rose-less-than-expected-in-mayBloomberg China Forced to Keep Unprofitable Firms Alive to Save Jobs and Avoid Unresthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-06-12/xi-keeps-china-s-unprofitable-businesses-alive-to-save-jobs-and-avoid-unrestHK HIBORhttps://www.hkab.org.hk/en/rates/hiborhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Oil explodes at the worst time imaginable. There is no good time, of course, here in June 2025 the economy is dealing with tariffs, tariff-distortions, not to mention a noticeable amount of fragility already. Is rising oil going to spark the inflation reignition the Fed has been fearing?Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

When did the dollar stop being a dollar? Most people might answer August 15, 1971, but a more accurate answer would be around a hundred years before then. There isn't exact date, just the most consequential evolution no one has ever heard of. The good news is that evolution doesn't stop. Eurodollar University's Make It Make Centshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Anfang Juni hat der Bundesrat entschieden, wie er die UBS künftig regulieren will. Doch bis die neuen Regeln vollumfänglich greifen, könnte es noch bis zu zehn Jahre dauern. Warum geht das so lange? | Gleich vier neue Gesetzes- und Verordnungsprozesse hat der Bundesrat angekündigt. Mehrere davon werden erst im nächsten Jahr lanciert. Danach kommen die Vorschläge ins Parlament. Im neuen Geldcast Update bekommen Sie einen Überblick über alle laufenden Verfahren: Wann passiert was? Und wer entscheidet?  www.fabiocanetg.ch Der Schweizer Wirtschaftspodcast mit den hochkarätigsten Gästen! Von Börsen und Bitcoin bis Kaufkraft und Zinsen: Fabio Canetg, Geldökonom und Journalist, diskutiert im Geldcast mit seinen Gästen aus Wirtschaft, Politik und Wissenschaft über deren Werdegang, über die aktuellsten Themen aus der Finanzwelt, über die Geldpolitik der Schweizerischen Nationalbank und über die Wirtschaftspolitik von Bundesrat und Parlament. Ein Podcast über Zentralbanken, Inflation, Schulden und Geld – verständlich und unterhaltsam für alle, die auf dem Laufenden bleiben wollen. Stichworte: UBS, Bankenregulierung, Banken, Eigenkapital, Eigenmittel, Stammhaus.

Why are LT rates rising? Most people say it is the long overdue reckoning. After resisting inflation, the Fed, most of all insane debt levels for years, the chickens have finally come home to roost for longer-dated Treasury notes and bonds. And that would mean the market was wrong about all those factors up until now. What IS happening on the curve?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Negative downgrades to the world. Negative rates among major bonds already. Negative prices for consumers - here in the United States. The deflationary signals keep picking up. More to the point, all of this adds up to what markets like swaps have been saying for years. And that's the bad news. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWorld Bank https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospectshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Central bankers are being forced to reckon with their inflation biases which are not standing up to reality. Deflationary consequences are breaking out worldwide, either in the form of increasingly layoff-riddled labor markets or outright price deflation; sometimes both. The global race to the bottom for interest rates is spreading as acknowledgement of economic facts rather than Economics fantasy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/RBI went full-blown shock and awe. Yet another major global central bank previously fixated on "inflation" abruptly and aggressively joining the race to the bottom. For India, it wasn't  heavy rate cuts this time. Indian Officials said they want to shore up confidence; OK, so how bad is confidence if they fell "shock and awe" is necessary to shore it up?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBBC India central bank delivers sharp rate cut as growth and inflation fallhttps://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62vdq6g945oTimes of Indiahttps://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/bank-loans-to-nbfcs-slows-sharply/articleshow/121557368.cmshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

ST rates have dropped sharply in the past few weeks, the past few days, in particular. The 4w Treasury bill now yields less than IOR, repo, even the Fed's RRP "floor." That's not all: the 3m10s spread has reinverted again. At the same time another major central bank just hit the panic button, going with a 50-bps cut only a few months after getting started. Where is this all heading? Not in Jay's direction.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The payroll estimates for May were a total mess. The headline was weak, revisions make it totally unreliable anyway, and it only gets worse from there. A lot worse. The labor market is breaking down and it's getting uncomfortable and dangerous.

Eight times now. The ECB is trying to say it might be one now, yet no one is listening least of all the economy. What everyone really wants to know is, when is the Fed going to follow along? In addition to all these other central banks acting, the latest reports from the Fed itself show that rejoining the global rate race might be a lot closer than everyone thinks. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisECB Press Conference Statement https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2025/html/ecb.is250605~f00a36ef2b.en.htmlBloomberg US Initial Jobless Claims Rise to Highest Level Since Octoberhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-05/us-initial-jobless-claims-rise-to-highest-level-since-octoberFed Beige Book May 2025https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20250604.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/For a week when the labor market and its data are in the bright, blaring spotlight, it did NOT get off to a good start. Not only ADP, also ISM. Both together showed the economy continued losing momentum and vitality in May - even with tariff delays and a stock market rebound. Both ended p with some of the worst numbers for each in years. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisADP May 2025https://adpemploymentreport.com/Bloomberg US Hiring Cools to Slowest Pace in Two Years, ADP Data Showhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-04/us-hiring-falls-to-slowest-pace-in-two-years-adp-data-showBloomberg US Services Activity Contracts for First Time in Nearly a Yearhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-04/us-services-activity-contracts-for-first-time-in-nearly-a-yearCNBC Trump says ‘Too Late' Powell must lower interest rates after weak ADP jobs reporthttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/04/trump-powell-adp-jobs.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Why are swap spreads today as negative as they had been in the worst parts of April? Why is Swiss franc nearly as strong? Consumer prices undershooting and even turning negative offer a bigtime clue. As does the latest from Chinese and American factories. It's not one big thing like April, it's all the little things which keep coming up and piling on. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Swiss Inflation Turns Negative for First Time in Four Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/swiss-inflation-turns-negative-for-first-time-in-four-yearsBloomberg Euro-Zone Inflation Slows Below 2%, Backing More ECB Cutshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/euro-zone-inflation-slows-below-2-backing-more-ecb-rate-cutsBloomberg RBA's Hunter Sees US Tariffs Dragging on Australian Growth, Jobshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/rba-s-hunter-sees-us-tariffs-dragging-on-australian-growth-jobsOECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2025 Issue 1https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-economic-outlook-volume-2025-issue-1_83363382-en.htmlCNBC U.S. growth forecast cut sharply by OECD as Trump tariffs sour global outlookhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/03/us-growth-forecast-cut-further-by-oecd-as-trump-tariffs-sour-outlook.htmlBloomberg China's Private Factory Gauge Plunges to Weakest Since 2022https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/china-private-factory-gauge-unexpectedly-shrinks-after-us-trucehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Several more countries around the world are reporting contractions in GDP even before getting to trade wars and any tariff impacts. The latest cluster around Scandinavia and have European banks overall behaving in very curious ways. So much so, the typically hands-off ECB is writing letters to them and threatening on-site visits to get some answers before the economy really takes its turn. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Sweden's Surprise Economic Contraction Boosts Rate Cut Oddshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-30/swedish-economy-unexpectedly-shrinks-weighed-down-by-investmentBloomberg ECB Steps Up Scrutiny of Banks' Exposure to Private Marketshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-30/ecb-intensifies-scrutiny-of-banks-exposure-to-private-marketshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Texas Just Sent a Warning Shot to the Rest of the U.S. EconomyConsumer spending in Texas has collapsed, and the data from the Dallas Fed is worse than anyone expected. Retail sales activity fell off a cliff in May, hitting levels not seen since April 2020. Inventories are piling up, work hours are being slashed, and employers are cutting back.Is this just a Texas problem… or is it the first sign of a nationwide consumer retrenchment?In this video, we break down the shocking data, why it matters, and how it could ripple across the entire U.S. economy in the months ahead.If the U.S. consumer breaks, it's game over.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Everyone's favorite topic, yet there is little factually correct information floating around the internet or social media. You can't understand the dollar's position until you realize it's actually the eurodollar you're really talking about. And that means reserve currency, and hardly anyone knows what that truly means or involves. Until now. Eurodollar University's Make It Make CentsFOMC Minutes December 1963https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomchistmin19631217.pdfFOMC Transcript Feb 1998https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19980204meeting.pdfBIS 1964 34th Annual Reporthttps://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/archive/ar1964_en.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

GET THE 3 RESOURCES LACY MENTIONS by signing up for our free Substack at http://thoughtfulmoney.substack.com/It's an especially confusing time for investors.On one hand, the US economy is showing signs of slowing, with a negative growth for Q1 GDP, and mounting evidence that many corporations and consumer households are feeling the pinch of higher borrowing costs.On the other hand, FOMO Is returning to the stock market as corporate earnings look solid, tariffs tensions ease somewhat, and optimism over the longer term likely positive impact the Trump Adminstration's business-friendly policies will have on the economy.So, which is more warranted here: optimism or pessimism?For perspective, we have the great fortune today to sit down with one of the greatest living economists, Lacy Hunt, former senior economist for the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and current Executive Vice President of Hoisington Investment Management Company.Lacy sees Wall Street as dangerously deluded here. In his eyes, the economy is "far worse" than markets are currently expecting.Buckle up.#recession #marketcorrection #economy 0:00 - Deteriorating hard data5:22 - Inventory surge and corporate profits.10:24 - Rising unemployment claims14:10 - Big Beautiful Bill's limited impact22:02 - Debt overhang and economic drag27:11 - Long-term policy optimism31:30 - Money supply's critical role37:03 - Deflation over inflation concerns46:17 - Federal Reserve's delayed action48:04 - Systemic risks and Minsky moment53:00 - Neil Ferguson's empire insights54:03 - Market outlook and bond value1:02:17 - Policy reform for debt control1:06:59 - Defining a rich life1:13:10 - Closing and viewer guidance_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/South Korea had been on the side of the Fed, sticking with interest rates opting to see about trade war "uncertainty" before doing anything. That lasted all of four weeks. The list of central banks able to sit by and watch CPI has thinned down to just the one Mr. Powell runs. And the update to Q1 GDP in the US holds the key as to why.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Bank of Korea Flags More Rate Cuts to Come as Tariffs Hit Growthhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-29/bok-cuts-rate-to-cushion-economy-from-tariffs-political-turmoilCNBC Bank of Korea lowers interest rates for the fourth time, flags more cuts aheadhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/29/south-korea-central-bank-cuts-interest-rates-.htmlChosunBiz Bank of Korea lowers interest rate to 2.50%, signals possibility of further cutshttps://biz.chosun.com/en/en-policy/2025/05/29/E5KPW2LQYFGPRF5EM5G3RUM4XQ/Bloomberg Banxico Sees Growth of 0.1% This Year, Rules Out Recessionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-29/bank-lending-to-private-credit-funds-swells-145-in-five-yearshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Germany. France. New Zealand. Singapore. ECB. Rising unemployment. Falling employment. Lowering interest rates. Technical recession. Historically low territory up next. There is almost no one left in the official world in the same thinking as the Fed as the world more clearly and completely tilts against "inflation."Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWSJ Germany's Jobless Numbers Tick Higherhttps://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/germanys-jobless-numbers-tick-higher-27a99b18Le Monde France's great consumption slumphttps://www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/article/2024/10/10/france-s-great-consumption-slump_6728864_19.htmlBloomberg ECB Faces Greater Risk Inflation Will Undershoot 2%, Simkus Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-26/ecb-faces-greater-risk-inflation-will-undershoot-2-simkus-sayshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Reserve Bank of Australia had resisted cutting rates, being the last major central bank to do so. This week, RBA not only cut again officials confirmed discussing a fifty. Plus the Swedes, who were supposed to have been done, are back at it again. Race to the bottom heats up again.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBloomberg RBA Ready to Respond If Needed to Trade Shock, Hauser Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-22/rba-s-hauser-sees-us-china-trade-dispute-aiding-australian-firmsS&P Global Eurozone PMIs May 2025https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/f4672a7ff89744e096c5e9497d2e5362https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The economy weakens and everyone looks to the Fed or any central bank to cut policy rates. But why? They call it stimulus but the real reason is nothing you've ever heard. In fact, Fed officials intentionally lied for decades to keep this quiet. You don't have to take my word for it; hear it from the maestro's mouth as we go down the rabbit hole of interest rates. Eurodollar University's Make it Make CentsFOMC March 1991https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19910326meeting.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/LT rates are up and you know what that means: get ready for a flood of claims deficits suddenly now matter. They don't (sadly), at least not for bonds, and we know they don't because not all the yield curve maturities are seeing selling. The one spot on the curve you always want to watch is sending another major warning, and it isn't too many Treasuries. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

We have more confirmation of a huge and unusual rise in bank lending to this offshore category. It parallels other similar corroboration which raises several thorny issues, leaving us with two broad interpretations for what this really means. With new data becoming available, it raises the stakes for a possible next time. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/While we wait to see if the Swiss National Bank opts for zero or negative policy rates next month, its chief Martin Schlegel had a lot to say yesterday about a range of topics, including negative prices, Treasury bonds, and global risks. Jamie Dimon then today chimed in today cautioning that stocks and risk markets are ready for heightened credit risks. One reason why is volatility in repo, where TIC data shows a huge increasing in offshore resales heading into everything April. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Dimon Warns Markets Are Underestimating Geopolitical, Inflation Riskshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/jpmorgan-s-dimon-warns-against-complacency-amid-mounting-risksBloomberg Swiss Inflation Risks Falling Below Zero in Individual Months This Year, Schlegel Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/snb-chief-sees-subzero-inflation-in-individual-months-this-yearBloomberg SNB President Schlegel Sees No Alternative to US Treasurieshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/snb-president-schlegel-sees-no-alternative-to-us-treasuriesBloomberg Singapore Central Bank Chief Says US Dollar Assets Irreplaceablehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-20/singapore-central-bank-chief-says-us-dollar-assets-irreplaceablehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Hi, and welcome to The Long View. I'm Christine Benz, director of personal finance and retirement planning for Morningstar. Today on the podcast, we welcome back author and blogger JL Collins. JL's first book, The Simple Path to Wealth: Your road map to financial independence and a rich, free life, was published in 2016 and has since sold more than 1 million copies. He has recently come out with a second edition of the book, which his daughter, Jess, collaborated on. In 2023, he published another book called Pathfinders: Extraordinary Stories of People Like You on the Quest for Financial Independence.BackgroundBioThe Simple Path to Wealth (Revised & Expanded 2025 Edition): Your Road Map to Financial Independence and a Rich, Free LifePathfinders: Extraordinary Stories of People Like You on the Quest for Financial Independence—And How to Join ThemThe Simple Path to Wealth, 4% Rule, Inflation, and Stocks“Case Study #1: Putting the Simple Path to Wealth Into Action,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, July 10, 2023.“Things Important, and Unimportant,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, March 1, 2023.“Stocks—Part XIII: The 4% Rule, Withdrawal Rates and How Much Can I Spend Anyway?” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, Oct. 15, 2023.“Déjà Vu All Over Again,” by JL Collins, jlcollinshh.com, April 18, 2025.“Stocks—Part IV: The Big Ugly Event, Deflation and a Bit on Inflation,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, Nov. 16, 2023.“Stocks—Part XXII: Stepping Away From REITs,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, May 12, 2025.“Stocks—Part XXVII: Why I Don't Like Dollar Cost Averaging,” by JL Collins, jlcollinshn.com, Jan. 8, 2024.“Stocks—Part III: Most People Lose Money in the Market,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, Nov. 16, 2023.“Time Machine and the Future Returns for Stocks,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, July 10, 2023.Debt Paydown“Chainsaws and Credit Cards,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, March 30, 2023.“Stocks—Part XXVIII: Debt – The Unacceptable Burden,” by JL Collins, jlcollinsnh.com, May 12, 2025.Other“JL Collins: The Case for Simplicity,” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, April 5, 2022.“JL Collins: Spotlighting the Many Paths to Financial Independence,” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, Oct. 31, 2023.Vanguard Total Stock Market Index VTSAXBill BengenMr. Money Mustache