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The dollar is making another big move higher to the point it is causing governments and central banks around the world to respond and even intervene to keep their own currencies from crashing against it. Fears over the global economic downturn are driving monetary tightness and demand for safety at the expense of those at the forefront of the broad decline. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Currency Officials Go on Offensive as Trade Angst in Asia Mountshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-16/currency-officials-go-on-offensive-as-trade-angst-in-asia-mountsBloomberg South Korea Says Watching One-Sided Won Volatility in Rare Movehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-13/south-korea-says-watching-one-sided-won-volatility-in-rare-moveBloomberg Swiss Franc's Haven Run Seen Nearing SNB Intervention Thresholdhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-24/swiss-franc-s-haven-run-seen-nearing-snb-intervention-thresholdhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
We have a couple more names to add to our fast-growing list of shadow banking casualties. And, yes, collateral is once again the common theme. One of them is of course in subprime auto financing, but that's just another canary in the credit coalmine. The other has been accused of fabricating half a billion of collateral invoices. Half a billion. Fake collateral.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------WSJ Bankrupt Telecom Business Accused of Fraud in Receivables Financinghttps://www.wsj.com/articles/bankrupt-telecom-business-accused-of-fraud-in-receivables-financing-0370b4fdBloombergLaw Factoring-Firm Affiliate Files Chapter 11; Up to $1B Liabilitieshttps://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/factoring-firm-affiliate-files-chapter-11-up-to-1b-liabilitiesFreightWaves Factoring companies squeezed by slowing shipper payments: Alsobrookshttps://www.freightwaves.com/news/factoring-companies-squeezed-by-slowing-shipper-payments-alsobrooksBloomberg BOE's Bailey Warns ‘Alarm Bells' Ringing in Private Credithttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-21/boe-s-bailey-warns-of-financial-crisis-echoes-in-private-credithttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
China's Property Crisis, Deflation, and Structural Obstacles to Consumption Anne Stevenson-Yang with John Batchelor Anne Stevenson-Yang discussed how the persistent property crater has severely dragged down fixed asset investment. Beijing aims to boost the economy via consumption, but the Chinese system is structurally built to communicate only with producers, not average consumers. Furthermore, the deflationary environment encourages people to delay purchases, waiting for lower prices. She views the Five-Year Plans mainly as an "amazing relic" used internally to motivate the sprawling government bureaucracies. 1850
SHOW 10-22-25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR HK 1925 THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT XI. FIRST HOUR 9-915 Colonel McCausland Discusses Postponed Budapest Summit, Gaza Ceasefire Instability, and Pentagon Information Control Jeff McCausland with John Batchelor Colonel McCausland explained the Budapest summit postponement, noting Putin demands Ukrainian surrender before a ceasefire. He considered Tomahawks an escalation of firepower, but not a game-changer, with delivery now on hold. McCausland described the Gaza ceasefire as precarious, lacking discussion or plan for Hamas disarmament, which he views as the necessary "red line" for stability. He criticized the Pentagon's new policy blocking journalists from soliciting unauthorized information as an attempt by Secretary Hegseth to control information flow and increase opacity. 915-930 Colonel McCausland Discusses Postponed Budapest Summit, Gaza Ceasefire Instability, and Pentagon Information Control Jeff McCausland with John Batchelor Colonel McCausland explained the Budapest summit postponement, noting Putin demands Ukrainian surrender before a ceasefire. He considered Tomahawks an escalation of firepower, but not a game-changer, with delivery now on hold. McCausland described the Gaza ceasefire as precarious, lacking discussion or plan for Hamas disarmament, which he views as the necessary "red line" for stability. He criticized the Pentagon's new policy blocking journalists from soliciting unauthorized information as an attempt by Secretary Hegseth to control information flow and increase opacity. 930-945 Steve Yates Discusses Australia-US Alliance Strength and Political Turmoil Affecting APEC Summit Steve Yates with John Batchelor Steve Yates confirmed the Trump-Albanese meeting was a net positive, accelerating AUKUS and securing a rare earth deal that addresses supply access. He noted the political turmoil in Beijing, highlighted by uncertainty over Xi Jinping's APEC attendance. This instability is abnormal and reinforces China's unstable political foundation. Yates suggested this instability should push allies to rely more on the first island chain as a reliable balance. 945-1000 Rick Fisher Reports on China's Reusable Rocket Deluge and US Moon Race Political Pressures Rick Fisher with John Batchelor Rick Fisher reported that China has 27 reusable space launch vehicle projects underway, predicting a "deluge" of cheap space services to compete with SpaceX. He noted that President Trump is alarmed that China may win the second race to the moon. Trump pressured NASA Administrator Duffy to open the Human Landing System competition to Blue Origin, signaling that politics and winning the race are paramount, regardless of competitor viability. China's first reusable booster test could occur before year-end. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 Colonel Newsham Discusses Promising US-Australia Rare Earth Deal and Canberra's Dual Strategy Toward China Grant Newsham with John Batchelor Colonel Grant Newsham discussed the promising US-Australia rare earth deal, noting Australia has vast mining capabilities to provide an alternative to China's dominance. China's threat to use export controls might spur free nations to develop alternative supply chains. Newsham noted Canberra is playing a "neat trick," maintaining a firm defense alliance with the US (AUKUS) while maintaining profitable economic ties with Beijing, reflecting an underlying "softness" toward China. 1015-1030 Colonel Newsham Discusses Promising US-Australia Rare Earth Deal and Canberra's Dual Strategy Toward China Grant Newsham with John Batchelor Colonel Grant Newsham discussed the promising US-Australia rare earth deal, noting Australia has vast mining capabilities to provide an alternative to China's dominance. China's threat to use export controls might spur free nations to develop alternative supply chains. Newsham noted Canberra is playing a "neat trick," maintaining a firm defense alliance with the US (AUKUS) while maintaining profitable economic ties with Beijing, reflecting an underlying "softness" toward China. 1030-1045 China's Property Crisis, Deflation, and Structural Obstacles to Consumption Anne Stevenson-Yang with John Batchelor Anne Stevenson-Yang discussed how the persistent property crater has severely dragged down fixed asset investment. Beijing aims to boost the economy via consumption, but the Chinese system is structurally built to communicate only with producers, not average consumers. Furthermore, the deflationary environment encourages people to delay purchases, waiting for lower prices. She views the Five-Year Plans mainly as an "amazing relic" used internally to motivate the sprawling government bureaucracies. 1045-1100 General Zhang Youxia Allegedly Leads PLA Purges Amid Internal CCP Power Struggle General Blaine Holt with John Batchelor General Blaine Holt reported that the purge of nine flag officers was allegedly executed by General Zhang Youxia, not Xi Jinping. Zhang, a top general, began the purges out of fear of becoming a target himself, indicating an internal "civil war" within the CCP factions opposing Xi. Zhang has secured elite military units loyal to him and the People's Liberation Army (PLA), rather than solely the Party, stabilizing the military amidst the turmoil. Zhang's life is at risk if Xi prevails.THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 Peter Berkowitz Analyzes Precarious Gaza Ceasefire and Deep Internal Political Tensions in Israel Peter Berkowitz with John Batchelor Peter Berkowitz stated the Gaza ceasefire is precarious and phase one is incomplete until all deceased hostages' remains are returned, aligning with Israeli public and governmental sentiment. Hamas may be stalling negotiations to rearm. Berkowitz noted sharp internal tensions in Israel, driven by opposition to Netanyahu, resentment over judicial reform, and economic exhaustion from military service. He finds it unlikely that the peace plan, which requires Hamas disarmament, will be fully realized. 1115-1130 Peter Berkowitz Analyzes Precarious Gaza Ceasefire and Deep Internal Political Tensions in Israel Peter Berkowitz with John Batchelor Peter Berkowitz stated the Gaza ceasefire is precarious and phase one is incomplete until all deceased hostages' remains are returned, aligning with Israeli public and governmental sentiment. Hamas may be stalling negotiations to rearm. Berkowitz noted sharp internal tensions in Israel, driven by opposition to Netanyahu, resentment over judicial reform, and economic exhaustion from military service. He finds it unlikely that the peace plan, which requires Hamas disarmament, will be fully realized. 1130-1145 GOP Voters Found More Moderate on Fiscal Issues and Driven by Cultural Anti-Progressivism, According to New Analysis Ryan Streeter with John Batchelor Ryan Streeter discussed findings showing Republican voters are more moderate than portrayed, especially on entitlement cuts. They prioritize a healthy economy and law and order. Isolationism is not prominent, though they oppose excessive foreign spending. MAGA Republicanism is defined primarily by cultural issues, like anti-progressivism and concern over immigration, often outweighing economic policies like tariffs. Streeter concludes that rank and file voters are not as radical as national politics suggest. 1145-1200 GOP Voters Found More Moderate on Fiscal Issues and Driven by Cultural Anti-Progressivism, According to New Analysis Ryan Streeter with John Batchelor Ryan Streeter discussed findings showing Republican voters are more moderate than portrayed, especially on entitlement cuts. They prioritize a healthy economy and law and order. Isolationism is not prominent, though they oppose excessive foreign spending. MAGA Republicanism is defined primarily by cultural issues, like anti-progressivism and concern over immigration, often outweighing economic policies like tariffs. Streeter concludes that rank and file voters are not as radical as national politics suggest. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 Simon Constable Reports on Rising Commodity Prices Driven by Data Center Demand and European Political Turmoil Simon Constable with John Batchelor Simon Constable reported significant commodity price increases (copper up 14%, gold up 48%), driven by demand for data centers and AI. He criticized European reluctance to build needed data centers, stressing their necessity for the digital future. Constable noted President Macron fears Marine Le Pen's National Rally due to growing support stemming from concerns over unfettered immigration. He also criticized the UK Labour party's plan to tax professionals like dentists and doctors, predicting they will leave the country. 1215-1230 Simon Constable Reports on Rising Commodity Prices Driven by Data Center Demand and European Political Turmoil Simon Constable with John Batchelor Simon Constable reported significant commodity price increases (copper up 14%, gold up 48%), driven by demand for data centers and AI. He criticized European reluctance to build needed data centers, stressing their necessity for the digital future. Constable noted President Macron fears Marine Le Pen's National Rally due to growing support stemming from concerns over unfettered immigration. He also criticized the UK Labour party's plan to tax professionals like dentists and doctors, predicting they will leave the country. 1230-1245 Bob Zimmerman Criticizes NASA's Artemis Lunar Program as a "Management Disaster" Focused on Beating China Bob Zimmerman with John Batchelor Bob Zimmerman criticized NASA interim administrator Sean Duffy for focusing on SpaceX being "behind schedule," distracting from NASA's own delay of the Artemis mission to 2028 at the earliest. He called the Artemis plan an "unwieldy management disaster" designed haphazardly to give the SLS rocket a mission. The political push to beat China by 2028 creates a dangerous "one-time stunt." Zimmerman argues the private sector (SpaceX) is the real future of US space endeavors. 1245-100 AM Bob Zimmerman Criticizes NASA's Artemis Lunar Program as a "Management Disaster" Focused on Beating China Bob Zimmerman with John Batchelor Bob Zimmerman criticized NASA interim administrator Sean Duffy for focusing on SpaceX being "behind schedule," distracting from NASA's own delay of the Artemis mission to 2028 at the earliest. He called the Artemis plan an "unwieldy management disaster" designed haphazardly to give the SLS rocket a mission. The political push to beat China by 2028 creates a dangerous "one-time stunt." Zimmerman argues the private sector (SpaceX) is the real future of US space endeavors.
After a truly epic run, precious metals are now getting pounded. Both gold and silver are down the past few days for a couple of reasons, not that this is a surprise. In fact, I told you just six days ago this was the most likely short run path for the metals. So, what's driving the selloff and does it change the long run outlook for either? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
There was action yet again at the Fed's repo window today. A few more billion borrowed. But that's now the fourth time over the last five trading days. These are more signs of tightening monetary conditions and if this does continue it will lead to the next QE from the Fed. The word that keeps coming up the past few months is escalation. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Why is copper-to-gold so ugly and thoroughly deflationary? What's happening right now inside China is one key part of it. After a small artificial rebound earlier this - where have we heard that before - Chinese bank lending has fallen even more sharply this summer adding yet another layer to the tremendous deceleration we keep seeing across China this summer. Retail sales fell yet again and investment is crashing. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Ready to make your week count? Subscribe to One Big Weekly Theme today. You can sample the service or sign up and get started straight away. https//:eurodollaruniversity.substack.comCNN China expels two top generals from Communist Party in anti-corruption crackdownhttps://www.cnn.com/2025/10/17/china/china-communist-party-expels-military-leaders-intl-hnkBloomberg China's Lopsided Growth Puts Spotlight on Xi's Five-Year Planhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-20/chinese-economic-slowdown-worsens-with-growth-weakest-in-a-yearhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Even I am surprised at how quickly this has escalated. We got a big-time warning from the oil market earlier in the week. Whenever we see these things show up, usually there's a little back and forth, in and out, the thing starts out as a little blip and stays that way for awhile. Then, maybe, you get a bigger move much later on. Not this time. The oil curve blew way past all of that in just a few days.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Two US regional banks rocked the markets with more potential loan losses tied to private credit and shadow banks. But it is NOT really about them or the scale of those defaults; they are relatively tiny. It's what continues to be uncovered, the common COLLATERAL thread in every single one so far. Combined with a very precarious macroeconomic and monetary background, it's explosive. They are encompassed by the secrets behind the financial and monetary signals we continue to highlight and expose here at EDU. Watch our most recent webinar replay to start seeing the truth hiding in plain sight - and just in time, in case you haven't noticed. Stick around to the end for the best deal we've offered on Eurodollar University's full control room of subscriptions. https://youtube.com/live/vnuKXWiIVac?feature=sharehttps://eurodollar.university/webinar-offerCODE: 2025-OCT-WEBINAR-DDA3--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Silver has gone absolutely vertical, even more than gold has. There is an historic squeeze going on in the silver market, centered in London. It started out driven by gold but the whole thing has been upended by imbalances in supply and the locations from where demand is coming from. How far can silver go? What's really going on with it? And what should we expect next? Why does the matter for a whole lot more than the precious metals market? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------The secrets behind these and other financial and monetary signals. Watch our most recent webinar replay to start seeing the truth hiding in plain sight - and just in time, in case you haven't noticed. Stick around to the end for the best deal we've offered on Eurodollar University's full control room of subscriptions. https://youtube.com/live/vnuKXWiIVac?feature=share--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Silver Traders Rush Bars to London as Historic Squeeze Rocks Markethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-11/silver-squeeze-evokes-hunt-brothers-as-banks-rush-bars-to-londonBloomberg Kotak Silver Fund Halts New Investments as Premium Widenshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-09/india-s-kotak-silver-fund-halts-new-investments-as-premium-growshttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
HEADLINE: China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification GUEST NAME: Andrew Collier SUMMARY: Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1890 PEKING
SHOW SCHEDULE 10-15--25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1964 ATLANTIC CITYCONVENTION HALL THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT CONGRESS.... 10-15--25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 915-930 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 930-945 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. 945-1000 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: China's Predicament in the Middle East and Domestic Economic Instability GUEST NAME: General Blaine Holt SUMMARY: General Blaine Holt analyzes China's strategic challenges, noting Beijing is concerned about losing access to critical oil and gas resources as US leadership advances the Abraham Accords. China's previous regional deals, like the Saudi-Iran agreement, lacked substance compared to US business commitments. Holt suggests internal pressures might lead Iran toward the Accords. Domestically, China faces accelerating deflation and uncertainty regarding Xi Jinping's leadership due to four competing factions before the fourth plenum. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: South Korea's Descent into Authoritarianism and Persecution of Opposition GUEST NAME: Morse Tan SUMMARY: Morse Tan argues that South Korea is moving toward a "rising communist dictatorship" that oppresses political and religious figures. The indictment of the Unification Church leader and the targeting of the rightful President Yoon exemplify this trend. This persecution serves as an intimidation campaign, demonstrating the regime's disregard for the populace. Tan recommends the US implement active measures, including sanctions relating to a coup d'état and visa sanctions, while also pressing for greater military cooperation. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: Russian War Economy Stalls as Oil Prices Decline and Sanctions Bite GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: Michael Bernstam reports that the Russian economy is struggling as global oil prices decline and sanctions increase transportation costs, leading to a $13 to $14 per barrel discount on Russian oil. The "military Keynesianism" economy is exhausted, resulting in staff cuts across industrial sectors. Forecasts indicate contraction in late 2025 and 2026, with the IMF lowering its growth projection for 2025 to 0.6%. Russia is avoiding sanctions by routing payments through neighbors like Kyrgyzstan, who have become major financial hubs. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve by investing heavily in foreign stocks and bonds to manage the Swiss franc's exchange rate. The SNB's massive balance sheet carries risks accepted by Swiss taxpayers and the Cantons. Switzerland, being fiscally responsible (running no budget deficits), finds central banking easier. Cochrane advises that the US Fed should not be buying stocks or venturing into fiscal policy. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 HEADLINE: China Retaliates Against Dutch Chipmaker Seizure Amid European Fragmentation GUEST NAME:Theresa Fallon SUMMARY: Theresa Fallon discusses China imposing export controls on Nexperia after the Dutch government seized control of the chipmaker, which was owned by China's Wingtech. The Dutch acted due to fears the Chinese owner would strip the technology and equipment, despite Nexperia producing low-quality chips for cars. Fallon notes Europe needs a better chip policy but struggles to speak with one voice, as fragmented policy allows China to drive wedges and weaken the EU. 1115-1130 HEADLINE: China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification GUEST NAME: Andrew Collier SUMMARY: Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1130-1145 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. 1145-1200 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1215-1230 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1230-1245 HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears.
With one quote, JP Morgan's CEO Jamie Dimon created a mini-firestorm even if in this case, anyway, he was just saying what everyone is thinking. On JPMs earnings call yesterday, Dimon reportedly said, “I probably shouldn't say this but when you see one cockroach there are probably more” in relation to the bankruptcies that have popped up recently. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Powell Signals Another Cut as Weak Hiring Pressures Unemploymenthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-14/powell-signals-another-cut-as-weak-hiring-pressures-unemploymentBloomberg Private Credit Investors Sour on Funds as Rate Cuts Hurt Payoutshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-09/private-credit-investors-sour-on-funds-as-rate-cuts-hurt-payoutsBloomberg Blue Owl Chief Points to Bank Loans for Dimon Cockroach Warninghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-15/blue-owl-chief-says-look-to-banks-loans-for-dimon-s-cockroacheshttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
PREVIEW China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification. Guest: Andrew Collier. Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1950 PEKING
A big signal we - and the whole market - have been waiting for was triggered. Better still, there is no ambiguity with this one. The oil curve has flipped for the first time in years in what is a very clear downturn signal. They call it a supply glut when there is no mistaking it's all about demand.
It's not just the $2.3 billion that allegedly simply vanished; it's how and maybe most important of all, why. Second guessing collateral this way does not end well. Especially since this does not appear to be a one-off case of embezzlement and outright theft, rather a relatively large company which made some bad choices pressured into doing so by the economy and given the opportunity by less than ideal protections and security. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Reuters First Brands' creditor says $2.3 billion 'simply vanished', seeks probehttps://www.reuters.com/world/us/first-brands-creditor-says-23-billion-simply-vanished-seeks-probe-2025-10-09/Bloomberg Aegon's Junk Debt Chief Braces for Credit Pain as Cracks Spreadhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-09/aegon-s-junk-debt-chief-braces-for-credit-pain-as-cracks-spreadBloomberg Corporate Blowups Are Rattling Investors in Emerging Marketshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-12/corporate-blowups-are-rattling-investors-in-emerging-marketsUnited Capitalhttps://ucfunding.com/Triumph https://triumph.io/Onset Financialhttps://www.onsetfinancial.com/case-studies/aircraft-parts-supplier-50mhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Crytpo saw its biggest liquidations in history Friday when Trade Wars 2.2 flared up. Commodities were also pounded, bonds bigtime bid, even stocks sent significantly lower. Tariffs aren't really the issue here, either, as a confluence of negatives have been sapping sentiment for the past few weeks.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisThis is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The growing macro bust in housing has become serious enough even the Fed is letting the public know officials are talking about it. I keep telling you that when central bankers see it too, you know it isn't good. The Federal Reserve's policymaking body, the FOMC, released the minutes of its meeting last month, the one where policymakers decided to dip back into the Pringles can with a single twenty five-bp rate cut. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisThis is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. eurodollar.university/memberships---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Germany's auto production absolutely crashed, falling by almost 20% in just a single month. This becomes the latest stark warning about the direction of the global economy coming from the car business. And that report on production was corroborated by Mercedes, BMW, Porsche, Ferrari, all of them reporting results and forecasts this week that have sent their stocks plunging. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg German Industrial Slump Deepens on Auto Production Plungehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-08/german-industrial-slump-deepens-with-shutdown-in-auto-productionBloomberg German Exports Unexpectedly Drop as Shipments to the US Sinkhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-09/german-exports-unexpectedly-drop-as-shipments-to-the-us-sinkDPA Germany's Mercedes-Benz sees sales plunge 12% in third quarterhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/germanys-mercedes-benz-sees-sales-131348096.htmlBloomberg Porsche's Sinking Sales Deepen German Automotive Malaisehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-09/porsche-s-sinking-sales-deepen-german-automotive-malaiseBloomberg BMW Drops After Forecast Cut on China Slump, Tariff Costshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-07/bmw-lowers-annual-guidance-on-weak-china-sales-tariff-costsBMWblog BMW Admits Tariffs And Sales Slump In China Are Hurting Profitshttps://www.bmwblog.com/2025/10/07/bmw-admits-tariffs-sales-slump-china-hurting-profits/Dow Jones Ferrari Shares Plunge as Long-Term Targets Disappoint — Updatehttps://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202510094181/ferrari-shares-plunge-as-long-term-targets-disappoint-updatehttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
HEADLINE: China's Economic Contradictions: Deflation and Consumer Wariness Undermine GDP Growth ClaimsGUEST NAME: Fraser Howie SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Fraser Howie about China facing severe economic contradictions despite high World Bank forecasts. Deflation remains rampant with frequently negative CPI and PPI figures. Consumer wariness and high youth unemployment at one in seven persist throughout the economy. The GDP growth figure is viewed as untrustworthy, manufactured through debt in a command economy. Decreased container ship arrivals point to limited actual growth, exacerbated by higher US tariffs. Economic reforms appear unlikely as centralization under Xi Jinping continues.
CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1900 KYIV THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS THAT CONGRESS IS CAPABLE OF CUTTING SPENDING..... 10-8-25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 HEADLINE: Arab Intellectuals Fail Palestinians by Prioritizing Populism and Victimhood Narrative in Gaza ConflictGUEST NAME: Hussain Abdul-Hussain SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Hussain Abdul-Hussain about Hamas utilizing the power of victimhood to justify atrocities and vilify opponents. Arab and Muslim intellectuals have failed Palestinians by prioritizing populism over introspection and self-critique. Regional actors like Egypt prioritize populist narratives over national interests, exemplified by refusing to open the Sinai border despite humanitarian suffering. The key recommendation is challenging the narrative and fostering a reliable, mature Palestinian government. 915-930 HEADLINE: Arab Intellectuals Fail Palestinians by Prioritizing Populism and Victimhood Narrative in Gaza ConflictGUEST NAME: Hussain Abdul-Hussain SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Hussain Abdul-Hussain about Hamas utilizing the power of victimhood to justify atrocities and vilify opponents. Arab and Muslim intellectuals have failed Palestinians by prioritizing populism over introspection and self-critique. Regional actors like Egypt prioritize populist narratives over national interests, exemplified by refusing to open the Sinai border despite humanitarian suffering. The key recommendation is challenging the narrative and fostering a reliable, mature Palestinian government. 930-945 HEADLINE: Russian Oil and Gas Revenue Squeezed as Prices Drop, Turkey Shifts to US LNG, and China Delays Pipeline GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Michael Bernstam about Russia facing severe budget pressure due to declining oil prices projected to reach $40 per barrel for Russian oil and global oil surplus. Turkey, a major buyer, is abandoning Russian natural gas after signing a 20-year LNG contract with the US. Russia refuses Indian rupee payments, demanding Chinese renminbi, which India lacks. China has stalled the major Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline project indefinitely. Russia utilizes stablecoin and Bitcoin via Central Asian banks to circumvent payment sanctions. 945-1000 HEADLINE: UN Snapback Sanctions Imposed on Iran; Debate Over Nuclear Dismantlement and Enrichment GUEST NAME: Andrea Stricker SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Andrea Stricker about the US and Europe securing the snapback of UN sanctions against Iran after 2015 JCPOA restrictions expired. Iran's non-compliance with inspection demands triggered these severe sanctions. The discussion covers the need for full dismantlement of Iran's nuclear program, including both enrichment and weaponization capabilities, to avoid future conflict. Concerns persist about Iran potentially retaining enrichment capabilities through low-level enrichment proposals and its continued non-cooperation with IAEA inspections. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: Commodities Rise and UK Flag Controversy: French Weather, Market Trends, and British Politics GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Simon Constable about key commodities like copper up 16% and steel up 15% signaling strong economic demand. Coffee prices remain very high at 52% increase. The conversation addresses French political turmoil, though non-citizens cannot vote. In the UK, the St. George's flag has become highly controversial, viewed by some as associated with racism, unlike the Union Jack. This flag controversy reflects a desire among segments like the white working class to assert English identity. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: Commodities Rise and UK Flag Controversy: French Weather, Market Trends, and British Politics GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Simon Constable about key commodities like copper up 16% and steel up 15% signaling strong economic demand. Coffee prices remain very high at 52% increase. The conversation addresses French political turmoil, though non-citizens cannot vote. In the UK, the St. George's flag has become highly controversial, viewed by some as associated with racism, unlike the Union Jack. This flag controversy reflects a desire among segments like the white working class to assert English identity. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: China's Economic Contradictions: Deflation and Consumer Wariness Undermine GDP Growth ClaimsGUEST NAME: Fraser Howie SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Fraser Howie about China facing severe economic contradictions despite high World Bank forecasts. Deflation remains rampant with frequently negative CPI and PPI figures. Consumer wariness and high youth unemployment at one in seven persist throughout the economy. The GDP growth figure is viewed as untrustworthy, manufactured through debt in a command economy. Decreased container ship arrivals point to limited actual growth, exacerbated by higher US tariffs. Economic reforms appear unlikely as centralization under Xi Jinping continues. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: Takaichi Sanae Elected LDP Head, Faces Coalition Challenge to Become Japan's First Female Prime Minister GUEST NAME: Lance Gatling SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Lance Gatling about Takaichi Sanae being elected head of Japan's LDP, positioning her to potentially become the first female Prime Minister. A conservative figure, she supports visits to the controversial Yasukuni Shrine. Her immediate challenge is forming a majority coalition, as the junior partner Komeito disagrees with her conservative positions and social policies. President Trump praised her election, signaling potential for strong bilateral relations. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 VHEADLINE: DeepSeek AI: Chinese LLM Performance and Security Flaws Revealed Amid Semiconductor Export Circumvention GUEST NAME: Jack Burnham SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Jack Burnham about competition in Large Language Models between the US and China's DeepSeek. A NIST study found US models superior in software engineering, though DeepSeek showed parity in scientific questions. Critically, DeepSeek models exhibited significant security flaws. China attempts to circumvent US export controls on GPUs by smuggling and using cloud computing centers in Southeast Asia. Additionally, China aims to dominate global telecommunications through control of supply chains and legal mechanisms granting the CCP access to firm data.E V 1115-1130 HEADLINE: DeepSeek AI: Chinese LLM Performance and Security Flaws Revealed Amid Semiconductor Export Circumvention GUEST NAME: Jack Burnham SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Jack Burnham about competition in Large Language Models between the US and China's DeepSeek. A NIST study found US models superior in software engineering, though DeepSeek showed parity in scientific questions. Critically, DeepSeek models exhibited significant security flaws. China attempts to circumvent US export controls on GPUs by smuggling and using cloud computing centers in Southeast Asia. Additionally, China aims to dominate global telecommunications through control of supply chains and legal mechanisms granting the CCP access to firm data. 1130-1145 HEADLINE: Taiwanese Influencer Charged for Threatening President; Mainland Chinese Influence Tactics ExposedGUEST NAME: Mark Simon SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Mark Simon about internet personality Holger Chen under investigation in Taiwan for calling for President William Lai's decapitation. This highlights mainland Chinese influence operations utilizing influencers who push themes of military threat and Chinese greatness. Chen is suspected of having a mainland-affiliated paymaster due to lack of local commercial support. Taiwan's population primarily identifies as Taiwanese and is unnerved by constant military threats. A key propaganda goal is convincing Taiwan that the US will not intervene. 1145-1200 HEADLINE: Sentinel ICBM Modernization is Critical and Cost-Effective Deterrent Against Great Power CompetitionGUEST NAME: Peter Huessy SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Peter Huessy about the Sentinel program replacing aging 55-year-old Minuteman ICBMs, aiming for lower operating costs and improved capabilities. Cost overruns stem from necessary infrastructure upgrades, including replacing thousands of miles of digital command and control cabling and building new silos. Maintaining the ICBM deterrent is financially and strategically crucial, saving hundreds of billions compared to relying solely on submarines. The need for modernization reflects the end of the post-Cold War "holiday from history," requiring rebuilding against threats from China and Russia. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Supreme Court Battles Over Presidential Impoundment Authority and the Separation of Powers GUEST NAME: Josh Blackman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Josh Blackman about Supreme Court eras focusing on the separation of powers. Currently, the court is addressing presidential impoundment—the executive's authority to withhold appropriated funds. Earlier rulings, particularly 1975's Train v. City of New York, constrained this power. The Roberts Court appears sympathetic to reclaiming presidential authority lost during the Nixon era. The outcome of this ongoing litigation will determine the proper balance between executive and legislative branches. 1215-1230 HEADLINE: Supreme Court Battles Over Presidential Impoundment Authority and the Separation of Powers GUEST NAME: Josh Blackman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Josh Blackman about Supreme Court eras focusing on the separation of powers. Currently, the court is addressing presidential impoundment—the executive's authority to withhold appropriated funds. Earlier rulings, particularly 1975's Train v. City of New York, constrained this power. The Roberts Court appears sympathetic to reclaiming presidential authority lost during the Nixon era. The outcome of this ongoing litigation will determine the proper balance between executive and legislative branches. 1230-1245 HEADLINE: Space Force Awards Contracts to SpaceX and ULA; Juno Mission Ending, Launch Competition Heats UpGUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Bob Zimmerman about Space Force awarding over $1 billion in launch contracts to SpaceX for five launches and ULA for two launches, highlighting growing demand for launch services. ULA's non-reusable rockets contrast with SpaceX's cheaper, reusable approach, while Blue Origin continues to lag behind. Other developments include Firefly entering defense contracting through its Scitec acquisition, Rocket Lab securing additional commercial launches, and the likely end of the long-running Juno Jupiter mission due to budget constraints. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: Space Force Awards Contracts to SpaceX and ULA; Juno Mission Ending, Launch Competition Heats UpGUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Bob Zimmerman about Space Force awarding over $1 billion in launch contracts to SpaceX for five launches and ULA for two launches, highlighting growing demand for launch services. ULA's non-reusable rockets contrast with SpaceX's cheaper, reusable approach, while Blue Origin continues to lag behind. Other developments include Firefly entering defense contracting through its Scitec acquisition, Rocket Lab securing additional commercial launches, and the likely end of the long-running Juno Jupiter mission due to budget constraints.
Another major central bank panicked today into a 50 bps rate cut, just as markets have been predicting. Not only that, officials at that bank said they're ready for more as ultra-low rates are back within reach already. The Pringles can is far from empty even though central banks around the world would like you to believe they are in a good place. On the contrary, rate cuts really are like pringles – once central bankers start they're finding everywhere they can't stop. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisThis is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In this powerful episode of Pushing the Limits, Lisa Tamati sits down with visionary entrepreneur, Bitcoin OG, and author of The Price of Tomorrow — Jeff Booth. Jeff shares his profound insights on why our current financial system is breaking under the weight of exponential technological deflation and debt-driven inflation, and why Bitcoin offers not just an alternative — but a path toward hope, truth, and sovereignty. Together, they explore how exponential technology is rewriting the rules of economics, why central banks can't stop printing without collapse, and what a deflationary future built on sound money could mean for humanity's evolution. Booth's clarity on macroeconomics, human nature, and the moral imperative of Bitcoin offers a deeply philosophical — yet practical — roadmap for navigating the coming decade. If you've ever wondered how innovation, integrity, and decentralised systems intersect to redefine the future of money and freedom, this episode is essential listening. Jeff Booth Bio: Jeff Booth is a visionary leader, technology entrepreneur and best-selling author of The Price of Tomorrow – Why Deflation is Key to an Abundant Future. With his expertise in technology, system thinking and design, he is at the forefront of a transition from an economic system built for the past, and one built for the future. Jeff has been featured in Forbes, TechCrunch, Inc.com, The Globe and Mail, BNN, Fast Company, Entrepreneur, Bloomberg, TIME, and The Wall Street Journal. In 2015, he was named BC Technology Industry Association's (BCTIA) Person of the Year, and in 2016 Goldman Sachs named him among its 100 Most Intriguing Entrepreneurs. He is a Founding Partner of Ego Death Capital, Co-Founder of addy and NocNoc. He has been a Young Presidents Organization member since 2004 and contributes time as a Founding Fellow at the Creative Destruction Lab. Jeff currently sits on the boards of Core Scientific, Scoop Solar, Fedi and Breez. Connect with Jeff: Website: Jeff Booth Ego Death Capital Company: Ego Death Capital Get The Price of Tomorrow: The Price of Tomorrow - Jeff Booth
Joseph Sternberg details China's economic "pickle," resulting from the property bubble collapse and failure of its export-led model. The subsequent glut of goods risks deflation, which Beijing calls "involution," dangerously exacerbating vast debt problems. He notes that Xi Jinping resists market-led "creative destruction," prioritizing state control. Sternberg then analyzes London protests, concluding they are motivated by anti-Semitism and anti-Israel sentiment, irrespective of the Gaza peace talks. PM Starmer calling the protests "unbritish" reflects the government's difficulty in addressing these issues legally 1910 SHIPWRECKED
Joseph Sternberg details China's economic "pickle," resulting from the property bubble collapse and failure of its export-led model. The subsequent glut of goods risks deflation, which Beijing calls "involution," dangerously exacerbating vast debt problems. He notes that Xi Jinping resists market-led "creative destruction," prioritizing state control. Sternberg then analyzes London protests, concluding they are motivated by anti-Semitism and anti-Israel sentiment, irrespective of the Gaza peace talks. PM Starmer calling the protests "unbritish" reflects the government's difficulty in addressing these issues legally 1910 HALIBUT ALASKA
Repo fails have jumped to more than $320 billion as of the final full week in September, the highest since the very start of January. More importantly, the timing. While there are technical reasons for rising fails, they have been increasing since the first week in August, right when the July payroll report came out. There's also been substantial selling of foreign reserve assets, an enormous amount which likewise is timed to the release of payroll estimates. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
OPEC this past weekend agreed to raise production into a falling market, putting it on the edge of confirming a major worldwide downturn. This is why, despite the crude cartel not increasing supply as much as feared, oil prices didn't really react. There are far greater problems plaguing the energy markets, including tightening dollar conditions which go right along with this major market warning. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CNBC Oil rises more than 1% after OPEC+ hikes output less than expectedhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/06/oil-prices-gain-1percent-after-lower-than-expected-opec-output-hike.htmlBloomberg The Oil Market's 2026 Tsunami Will Be Costly to Financehttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-10-06/the-oil-market-s-2026-tsunami-will-be-costly-to-financeBloomberg Unsold Oil From Middle East Hints at Early Signs of Global Gluthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-02/unsold-oil-from-middle-east-hints-at-early-signs-of-global-gluthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
These recent bankruptcies have garnered close attention from the marketplace because they represent the very real possibility serious cracks have already weakened credit markets...to the point even the stock market (part of it, anyway) is taking a hard look. Ally, Bread Financial, Affirm, even Capital One, they've all see their stocks plummet. There's more here than it seems because of all the noise about share indexes and their own record highs. Everyone has ignored job losses, until now that is. Eurodollar University conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Subprime Credit Troubles Send Shares of Consumer Lenders Reelinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-03/subprime-credit-troubles-send-shares-of-consumer-lenders-reelinghttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Like Amazon, now Walmart and Target are holding similar “fall” savings events promising to offer big savings. All three of them know the consumer economy is in deep trouble, thus the overemphasis on savings. But it's not just what these retailers are doing for customers, it's what they aren't doing for workers. According to a range of sources, including the retailers themselves, they are not hiring. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFor more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------Challenger Gray & Christmas https://www.challengergray.com/blog/september-job-cuts-fall-37-from-august-ytd-total-highest-since-2020-lowest-ytd-hiring-since-2009/Retail Dive How retailers are hiring for the 2025 holiday seasonhttps://www.retaildive.com/news/retail-holiday-season-hiring-job-cuts/760900/ISM Services September 2025https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/services/september/FRBNY Business Leaders Surveyhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/Survey/business_leaders/2025/2025_09blsreport.pdf?sc_lang=en&hash=872CB84D638D0F3D1A3F833365E25EF4Dallas Fed Texas Services Outlook Surveyhttps://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2025/2509
Money from around the world continues to pour into Swiss bond markets, driving yields there down below zero and keeping them that way. Because Switzerland remains a key global money center in the eurodollar world, this kind of heightened demand for safety is directly related to rising worries about the rest of the world. Moreover, the Swiss curve is an indication of what we should expect from global rates moving forward.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
This week has seen one oil company after another announce major layoffs. The oil curve is within sight of flipping and wholesale gasoline prices are only a penny above their lowest since 2021. Why? The answer was all over ADP's private payroll report for September. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFor more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------ADP https://adpemploymentreport.com/IEA Oil Market Report August 2025https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-august-2025HRD Imperial Oil, ExxonMobil announce major layoffs for Canada amid global restructuringhttps://www.hcamag.com/ca/news/general/imperial-oil-exxonmobil-announce-major-layoffs-for-canada-amid-global-restructuring/551612Dow Jones TotalEnergies to Cut Costs While Boosting Oil, Gas Output Through 2030 — Updatehttps://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202509296462/totalenergies-to-cut-costs-while-boosting-oil-gas-output-through-2030-updateFox Business Exxon to slash thousands of jobshttps://www.foxbusiness.com/media/exxon-slash-thousands-jobs-major-corporate-overhaul-comprehensive-restructuring-planhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
The latest report on jobs changes everything. The hiring rate in August dropped to its lowest level since April of 2020. April 2020. It's another clear sign that the labor market is visiting Dr. Beveridge and right in time for Amazon Prime Days which begin a week from now. Consumer confidence fell sharply here for September in even more new data, with workers reporting they also feel job availability is at a multi-year low, so it's not just in the high level data, this thing is also making waves on the ground. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------It is absolutely critical to understand the hidden truth or really truths about what interest rates are saying. Decoding them isn't really that difficult, either, once you step away from mainstream Economics. And that's what we're going to do on Tuesday October 14 at 6 pm ET. Join me for a full webinar as we break down these secrets to interest rates that really shouldn't be.Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method.If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. https://eurodollar.university/memberships ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Conference Board https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
What is going on in the auto world? First, Tricolor goes bankrupt. Then parts supplier First Brands follows them. CarMax reports dismal earnings. Even Germany's Bosch decided to lay off another 13,000 workers. It's not just a canary in the coal mine, there's a whole flock - or fleet - of them. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CarMax Second Quarter Earningshttps://investors.carmax.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2025/CarMax-Reports-Second-Quarter-Fiscal-Year-2026-Results/default.aspxCNBC CarMax stock plummets 20% following ‘challenging' quarterhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/25/carmax-stock-plummets-after-missed-wall-streets-expectations.htmlMarketWatch CarMax sees surprise drop in used-car sales even at lower prices, and the stock diveshttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/carmax-sees-unexpected-drop-in-used-car-sales-even-at-lower-prices-and-the-stock-dives-7dc067b0Bloomberg Economists Lower US Job Growth Through 2026, Fueling Rate Cutshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-26/economists-lower-us-job-growth-through-2026-fueling-rate-cutsGTR First Brands supply chain finance debt tops US$866mnhttps://www.gtreview.com/news/americas/first-brands-supply-chain-finance-debt-tops-us866mn/Bloomberg First Brands Files for Bankruptcy After Lender Scrutinyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-29/auto-parts-supplier-first-brands-files-for-bankruptcyQ3 2025 Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index Shows Steady Confidence Amid Economic Headwindshttps://www.coxautoinc.com/insights-hub/q3-2025-cadsi/Bloomberg Bosch to Shed 13,000 Jobs as Auto-Industry Slump Deepenshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-25/bosch-to-shed-another-13-000-jobs-as-auto-industry-slump-deepenshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Companies are throwing trillions of dollars chasing the latest fad at the worst possible time. Even hedge fund insiders are sounding alarms over the collision between macro reverse and bubble building mania. Bigger than the dot-coms. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com----------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------Everyone has been abuzz about Tricolor's bankruptcy. The subprime auto lender has already created hundreds of millions in losses and for some of the biggest banks. But the real story here isn't those hundreds of millions, rather the trillions in debt that is priced on financial variable that's otherwise impossible to pin down. Tricolor's bankruptcy just might shed some light on it. Will the financial world like what it could find?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFifth Bank 8-Khttps://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0000035527/000003552725000185/fitb-20250905.htmBloomberg Tricolor Trustee Targets 100,000 Auto Loans Stuck in Limbohttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/tricolor-trustee-seeks-control-over-100-000-subprime-auto-loansWired Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed Wall Streethttps://www.wired.com/2009/02/wp-quant/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The dollar is starting to move more aggressively, driving higher and crossing key thresholds in a whole host of currency exchanges. Not only that, this current “strengthening” is highly synchronized. Both of those factors, the synchronization and breaching multiple ranges, are beginning to more strongly point to the next stage in this ongoing cycle. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/30/vpxv1tvg---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Chris Riegel of SCALA.COM argues against immediate deflation of the AI bubble, despite inevitable losers. Continued investment and services built on AI stacks suggest huge future returns for successful companies. 1953
There are growing concerns - and a growing pile of evidence and reports - indicating the *shadow* banking system is suppressing potential losses for no legitimate reason. Here we examine where they are coming from and what the latest data shows. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/30/vpxv1tvg----------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University Memberships: What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method.If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships----------------------------------------------------------------S&P Global Private Credit: The Rising ‘Defaults'https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/resources/private-credit-the-rising-defaultsLincoln Internationalhttps://www.lincolninternational.com/news/the-lincoln-private-market-index-records-another-quarter-of-growth-in-q2/Bloomberg Default Warnings Start to Pile Up in Private Credit Markethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-21/default-warnings-start-to-pile-up-in-the-private-credit-markethttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
This episode is all about
For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US----------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates:https://event.webinarjam.com/register/30/vpxv1tvg----------------------------------------------------------------Now that the Federal Reserve is back to cutting rates, we can start looking ahead to how low they might go. Not only that, also how low Treasury yields and the entire curve get. While Economists wrongly rely on bad theories put into econometric models, we have a wealth of good and valid information (once again proving correct) from which we can make some reasonable judgements. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Goldman Sachs Says US Yield-Curve Shape Looks Like Zero-Rate Erahttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-06/goldman-sachs-says-us-yield-curve-shape-looks-like-zero-rate-erahttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
A sad report as Argentina's badly-needed chainsaw is running into a bigger one - the eurodollar. President Milie was forced to admit the market is in panic-mode as the peso plunges in a way that's all-too-familiar for eurodollar watchers. Push comes to shove, the latter simply has the biggest chainsaw and it is using the thing that the world needs to be watching carefully. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Argentina Assets Slide as Milei Summons Cabinet After Defeathttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-08/argentina-bonds-slump-on-milei-s-defeat-in-buenos-aires-voteBloomberg Milei Defies Forecasts So Far as Argentina's Peso Strengthenshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-23/milei-defies-forecasts-so-far-as-argentina-s-peso-strengthens-usd-arsAP Argentina President Milei suffers crushing defeat in Buenos Aires provincial electionhttps://apnews.com/article/argentina-election-javier-milei-cristina-fernandez-peronism-fecba6d106eb2c0f2440e9fca298e470Cato Deregulation in Argentina: Milei Takes “Deep Chainsaw” to Bureaucracy and Red Tapehttps://www.cato.org/free-society/spring-2025/deregulation-argentina-milei-takes-deep-chainsaw-bureaucracy-red-tapehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Foreigners continue their epic buying binge in USTs and US$ assets, totally defying the narrative everyone around the world is ditching America. Despite the intent of so many to make this political, there is nothing political about this, purely economics (small "e"). We keep more evidence and data showing what those really are, and foreigners know it only too well. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre**************************************Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly ThemeIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. To sample or sign up straight away, go to: eurodollaruniversity.substack.com**************************************Bloomberg Foreign Holdings of Treasuries Climb to Record Levelhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/foreign-holdings-of-treasuries-reach-record-even-as-china-sellshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
For the first time ever, the Bank of Japan is selling stocks out of its vast portfolio. The announcement shocked the markets though mostly the media. Is this what it seems to be, or does the Japanese government have a trick up its sleeve? A crystal clear answer can be found among Japan's households as this is one of the best examples ever of modern "monetary" policy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------BoJ Statementhttps://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdeci/mpr_2025/k250919a.pdfBloomberg BOJ Unveils ETF Sales Plan, Keeps Door Open for October Hikehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-19/boj-keeps-rates-steady-as-ishiba-s-departure-adds-to-uncertaintyBloomberg Long Bonds Are a Buy as Contagion Fears Ease, TS Lombard Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-19/long-bonds-are-a-buy-as-contagion-fears-ease-ts-lombard-saysMoneyWise Rice prices have skyrocketed in Japan — and farmers warn that ‘everyone who eats' that disaster could be nearhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/rice-prices-skyrocketed-japan-farmers-172500461.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_USAnother grim stat from US real estate, as plans to build houses slid to the lowest since May 2020. There are more homebuilders cutting prices than at any other time since, yes, 2020. But at the same time, mortgage rates have slid to their lowest level in a year. In other words, the housing market is giving off a definite signal, and it's the same one as mortgage rates. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBen Bernanke's Testimony April 2008https://www.cnbc.com/2008/04/02/text-bernankes-testimony.htmlBloomberg US Homebuilder Sentiment Stays Low Despite Mortgage-Rate Drophttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-16/us-homebuilder-sentiment-stays-low-despite-mortgage-rate-dropHousewire Optimal Blue: Rate-and-term refis soar 70% in Augusthttps://www.housingwire.com/articles/rate-and-term-refinance-optimal-blue-market-advantage-august-2025/Conference Board Leading Economic Indicatorshttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicators/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
What a massive mess. No clear direction. Dots all over he place. And that's just the start. We've got Canada, too. Replay of FOMC decision livestream as Pringles win again.
PREVIEW: HEADLINE: China's Economic Crisis: A Conversation with Anne Stevenson-Yang GUEST NAME: Anne Stevenson-Yang SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Anne Stevenson-Yang, author of Wild Ride, about China's economic struggles, including deflation, factory overcapacity, and a collapsed housing market. Stevenson-Yang asserts that China'scurrent strategy of redirecting investments is insufficient to overcome these issues, indicating that the nation's inability to adopt a radically different approach means its economic problems will persist. 1918 PEKING UNIVERSITY
PREVIEW: HEADLINE: China's Economic Weakness: Deflation, Overcapacity, and Export Barriers GUEST NAME: Alan Tonelson SUMMARY: John Batchelor and Alan Tonelson discuss the crippling deflation gripping China's economy, a result of its plan to promote overcapacity. China has alienated many countries, hindering its ability to move products and no longer enjoys the "American safety valve" for exports. Tonelson explains that this barrier prevents continued Chineseeconomic growth, with no apparent solution. 1952
China's yield curve is being reshaped in a way that has created confusion across the spectrum. Even policymakers at the PBOC are talking about the need to do something. However, market behavior is consistent with what we're seeing around the rest of the world and how it all relates to China finding a way out of its mess and hitting upon a real recovery. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------If you want to see what you've been missing - and it's A LOT - then join us at Eurodollar University. Our memberships have got you covered where it comes to mastering monetary mechanics. You won't find this anywhere else. https://www.eurodollar.university/memberships---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg China Bond Slump Fuels Speculation PBOC Will Resume Debt Buyinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-14/china-bond-slump-fuels-speculation-pboc-will-resume-debt-buyingReuters Chinese money flows into bonds even as central bank warns of riskshttps://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/chinese-money-flows-into-bonds-even-central-bank-warns-risks-2024-06-27/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
For the first time ever, French bond spreads are higher than those seen in Italy (both compared to Germany). This isn't just about "fiscal consolidation" worries and France's government budget, the real issue behind everything is economic differentials. Those need to be turned around and soon else France risks being the new, well, Italy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------NYT French Government Collapses, Again, Deepening Paralysishttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/08/world/europe/france-vote-government-collapse.htmlCNBC France's Macron names loyalist Lecornu as new prime ministerhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/09/france-macron-names-lecornu-new-prime-minister.htmlCNBC France's borrowing costs rise after Fitch downgrade — and there could be more bad news aheadhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/15/frances-borrowing-costs-rise-after-fitch-downgrade-.htmlBloomberg French Borrowing Costs Top Italy's in Historic Market Shifthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-09/french-borrowing-costs-top-italy-s-in-historic-market-shifthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The oil business is heading for a big bust, putting Texas in the crosshairs. While that's obviously not good for the economy as a whole, energy does tend to be a leading indicators and when the jobs starting being lost in the space in a big way it's a big red flag. Consumers know it, given what was also just reported from them, too. Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU