Podcasts about Wall Street

Listen to Jim Cramer's personal guide through the confusing jungle of Wall Street investing, navigating through opportunities and pitfalls with one goal in mind - to help you make money.Mad Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Financial Repercussions are the result of decisions made without Discipline. Every move in the stock market has a consequence just like every action in life. GOD is clear about this you reap what you sow. When you ignore risk management chase plays or trade off emotion the market doesn't punish you it responds. Those losses aren't bad luck they are feedback telling you something in your process is out of order. GOD gives Grace but the Market gives Receipts. Financial Repercussions are meant to teach not destroy. When you start respecting capital protecting profits and waiting for confirmation you stop paying unnecessary tuition. Wealth grows when accountability replaces excuses. Once you align your actions with wisdom patience and structure, the repercussions turn into rewards and the market begins to honor the way you move.Horizon Trust - Keep More. Retire BIGGER

Earnings week revealed a massive divergence: Meta stock popped while Microsoft dropped. We will explain why Wall Street loves Zuckerberg's efficiency but hates Microsoft's massive AI spending bill.Today's Stocks & Topics: Service Titan, Inc. (TTAN), Market Wrap, Bloom Energy Corporation (BE), Delaware Statutory Trust (DST), Aflac Incorporated (AFL), The "Capex" War: Meta vs. Microsoft, UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI), Toast, Inc. (TOST), The Sell America Trade, PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL), Vizsla Silver Corp. (VZLA).Our Sponsors:* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/INVESTAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Alphabet earnings. Claude goes to the Superbowl. Why AI brand loyalty isn't even remotely a thing yet. And is the whole Marc Andreessen theory of software eating the world in the process of being eaten by AI? Wall Street is worried about that very scenario. Google set to double AI spending to $185bn after strong earnings (FT) OpenAI Frontier is a single platform to control your AI agents (The Verge) Anthropic says ‘Claude will remain ad-free,' unlike ChatGPT (The Verge) Microsoft's Pivotal AI Product Is Running Into Big Problems (WSJ) New Data: OpenAI's Lead Is Contracting as AI Competition Intensifies (Big Technology) Threat of New AI Tools Wipes $300 Billion Off Software and Data Stocks (WSJ) AI Won't Kill the Software Business, Just Its Growth Story (WSJ) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Microsoft is burning through billions on AI, but Wall Street is finally demanding to see where the payoff is. The earnings announcement triggered a $357 billion valuation wipe-out, the largest in Microsoft's history and the second-largest in history overall (Nvidia managed to lose $593 billion in value in the wake of DeepSeek in early 2025).Windows Windows 11 has over one billion users - and, surprise, it got their faster than Windows 10 without any of the shenanigans Microsoft to address the quality issues in Windows 11 in 2026 There is already evidence that Microsoft is trying to make Windows 11 suck less: Recent OneDrive changes that address a key ensh*ttification, and let's not forget all those security advances What did Microsoft really promise? Not much Microsoft has new EVPs for Security and Quality Microsoft belatedly delivered the January Week D update last Thursday, a preview of this month's Patch Tuesday Dev and Beta builds both deliver Mark Russinovich's sysmon tool Microsoft earnings deep dive Microsoft reported a net income of $38.5 billion on revenues of $81.3 billion in the quarter ending December 31. Those figures represent gains of 60 percent and 17 percent, respectively, year-over-year Earnings analysis: All eyes are on AI and no one is happy Microsoft spent $37.5 billion on AI infrastructure (capex) in the quarter, up 66 percent YOY, and it's on track to spend $150+ billion in the fiscal year Every single question was about this and how it will ever recoup the costs There are now 15 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats out of 450+ million Microsoft 365 seats OpenAI is Microsoft's biggest Azure customer, but it's unclear if there is any real money there because of accounting tricks Windows, Edge, and Bing all "gained share," PC maker revenues were up just 1 percent, the Windows 10 upgrade cycle was mostly a bust (it's likely that most of it was tied to RAM pricing fears, too) Xbox fell off a cliff with content and services revenues down 5 percent in a holiday quarter somehow and Xbox hardware revenue declined an astonishing 32 percent YOY Standalone Office 2025 suite was a surprise hit, Hood is curious if that continues Microsoft 365 "cost of business" up 10 percent YOY because of AI costs AMD revenues up 34 percent to $10.3 billion Apple delivers record revenues of $143.8 billion; iPhone made more revenues by itself than all of Microsoft AI Microsoft is going to basically make an app store for content makers who wish to be paid for use by AI Anthropic advertises that Claude will be advertising-free, unlike ChatGPT The next Firefox will include the promised AI kill switch and Vivaldi "extends the middle fingerˮ to AI Xbox and games AMD reveals next Xbox console in 2027 We're getting a solid collection of Xbox Game Pass titles for the beginning of February Battlefield 6 was the best-selling shooter of 2025 and EA made $1.9 billion in Q4 Epic Games has big plans for its PC launcher/store Nintendo has now sold 17 million Switch 2s as OG Switch hits 155 million units Tips and picks Tip of the week: Make OneDrive Folder Backup work for you App pick of the week: Bitwarden (TWiT sponsor) RunAs Radio this week: Getting Started using Purview with Erica Toelle Brown liquor pick of the week: Glendronach Ode to These show notes have been truncated due to length. For the full show notes, visit https://twit.tv/shows/windows-weekly/episodes/969 Hosts: Leo Laporte, Paul Thurrott, and Richard Campbell Sponsor: zscaler.com/security

Money advice is broken. It's either shamey, gatekept, or written for people who already have money. Vivian Tu built her career proving there's a better way. After learning how money actually moves inside Wall Street at JPMorgan, she left the system and taught millions how to win at it anyway through Your Rich BFF. No jargon. No guilt. Just systems that work. Vivian is a former Wall Street trader turned financial educator and founder of Your Rich BFF, one of the largest personal finance platforms in the world. She's known for translating complex money rules into clear, actionable playbooks for people who were never taught how wealth is built or protected. She breaks down:• Why buy-now-pay-later isn't convenience, it's a quiet wealth killer• How to calculate your “walk away” number and what it actually unlocks• Why budgeting fails when it's about restriction instead of design• The invisible tactics advertisers use to drain your financial discipline• How wealthy families transfer money intentionally while everyone else leaves it to chance• Why housing, wages, and timing really are stacked against younger generations• The only kind of income that compounds without burning you out• How to handle your first $10K without overthinking it• Why prenups are protection, not a lack of trust• How to split money with a partner in a way that's fair, not equal This isn't theory or hustle culture. It's applied finance from someone who's seen how the game is played behind closed doors and decided to explain it in plain English. If money has ever felt overwhelming, confusing, or emotionally loaded, this conversation rewires how you think about it and what's actually possible. Check out Vivian's new book Well Endowed: The Secrets to Strategic Spending, Building a Financial Foundation for You and Your Family, and Creating Lasting Generational Wealth and follow her at @YourRichBFF on all platforms. ***Also hi I'm Codie and I run an investment and advisory firm that helps you buy and build businesses. Every year we do one 3 day virtual workshop to help you find, finance and learn to do deals live. Come learn what Wall Street (and your boss or competitors) hope you never learn. https://contrarianthinking.biz/MSML_BDYT26 ___________ 00:00:00 Introduction 00:01:16 The Buy Now Pay Later Trap: How Creative Debt Keeps You Broke 00:03:45 It's Harder to Be Young Today: The Math Behind Generational Wealth Inequality 00:07:23 Temptation Touch Points: The Pixel Tracking System Designed to Drain Your Wallet 00:09:38 Willpower Is a Losing Game: Why Financial Discipline Beats Motivation 00:10:41 Wall Street's Biggest Lie: Rich People Talk About Money All the Time 00:14:12 Old Money vs New Money: Social Capital and the Unspoken Club 00:18:31 Financial Choreography: How Rich People Strategically Move Money Through Life 00:19:50 Main Street Millionaire Live: Your Path to Business Ownership 00:20:24 Prenups Are Insurance, Not Distrust: The Government Default Agreement 00:24:20 Equitable vs Equal: The Math of Splitting Expenses in Relationships 00:29:59 Budgeting Needs a New PR Team: The 50-30-20 Framework That Actually Works 00:31:48 Automate Your Savings: The Paycheck Portal Hack That Builds Wealth Invisibly 00:34:19 Emergency Funds and the Levers: How Much Cash Should You Actually Keep 00:37:17 Calculate Your F You Number: The 4 Percent Rule for Financial Freedom 00:39:58 The Four-Square Money Talk: What to Know Before You Marry Someone 00:48:40 Well in Doubt: Building Your Personal Endowment for Life 00:50:44 Your First Ten Thousand Dollars: The Exact Allocation Strategy 00:53:58 Passive Income Is a Lie Unless You Own Something 00:56:39 Money as a Mirror: Why Your Financial Reality Reflects Your Self-Belief ___________ MORE FROM BIGDEAL

Google said it plans to spend at least $55bn more on capital expenditure this year than Wall Street had forecast, US tech stocks were hit by a fresh wave of selling on Wednesday, and the FT's Chris Cook talks about the challenges of unpacking millions of documents on Jefferey Epstein. Plus, OpenAI senior staff are leaving because the company is prioritising ChatGPT. Mentioned in this podcast:Google adds $55bn to capex plans as it boosts AI spendingUS tech stocks hit with fresh wave of selling as chipmaker AMD tumblesPolice launch criminal investigation into Mandelson over Epstein scandalOpenAI's ChatGPT push triggers senior staff exitsNote: The FT does not use generative AI to voice its podcasts Credit: NBC NewsToday's FT News Briefing was hosted and edited by Marc Filippino, and produced by Fiona Symon, Victoria Craig and Sonja Hutson. Our show was mixed by Kelly Garry. Additional help from Gavin Kallmann, Michael Lello and David da Silva. Our executive producer is Topher Forhecz. Cheryl Brumley is the FT's Global Head of Audio. The show's theme music is by Metaphor Music. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Dr. Nomi Prins to the show. Dr. Nomi Prins is Founder of Prinsights Global and Substack. This interview centers on the current state of precious metals markets, particularly gold and silver, highlighting significant market dynamics and future potential. Dr. Prins explains the recent volatility in precious metals, particularly the substantial price drop in silver, as primarily driven by technical trading events rather than fundamental market shifts. Nomi emphasizes that the sell-off was more a result of programmatic trading and margin announcements than actual market valuation changes. A key focus is the growing disconnect between paper and physical silver markets, with Shanghai exchanges showing substantial premiums for physical silver. Dr. Prins attributes this to increased eastern interest in physical metals, driven by geopolitical considerations, store of value concerns, and industrial necessities. She notes that the silver market is experiencing its fifth consecutive year of supply deficits, with the total deficit now equivalent to one year’s demand. Regarding gold, multiple drivers are propelling its momentum, including geopolitical tensions, central bank purchasing, and potential future scarcity. Central banks are increasingly viewing gold as a strategic asset, with some institutions like Morgan Stanley recommending higher gold allocations in investment portfolios. Dr. Prins believes the precious metals market is still in its early stages, comparing it to being in the “first or second innings” of a potential long-term bull market. She highlights the critical minerals landscape, pointing out that 80% of critical minerals are processed outside the West, with China dominating processing capabilities for rare earth elements and other strategic metals. Looking forward, she sees significant investment opportunities in the sector, potentially offering substantial returns for long-term investors who understand the fundamental shifts in global commodity markets. Her analysis suggests that geopolitical tensions, supply chain restructuring, and increasing demand for critical minerals will continue to drive precious metals and related investments. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:47 – Recent Metals Volatility 00:02:51 – Shanghai Silver Premium 00:03:14 – Physical vs Paper Silver 00:06:22 – Silver Supply Deficits 00:08:05 – Incentivizing New Supply 00:09:38 – Industrial Demand Pain Points 00:11:07 – Gold Bull Market Drivers 00:14:15 – Central Bank Gold Buying 00:17:28 – Long-term Investment Strategy 00:19:49 – Global Debt Levels 00:22:07 – Demographics and Economic Growth 00:25:19 – Critical Minerals Supply Chains 00:28:58 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/nomiprins Website: https://nomiprins.com Substack: https://prinsights.substack.com Dr. Nomi Prins as a Wall Street insider and outspoken advocate for economic reform, Nomi Prins is a leading authority on how the widespread impact of financial systems continues to affect our daily lives. She has spent decades analyzing and investigating economic and financial events at the ground level and meeting with those that shape the world’s geopolitical-economic framework. She continues to break stories by conducting independent research, writing best-selling books, and traversing the globe to share her knowledge and demystify the world of money. Before becoming a renowned journalist and public speaker, Nomi reached the upper echelons of the financial world where she worked as a managing director at Goldman Sachs, ran the international analytics group as a senior managing director at Bear Stearns in London, was a strategist at Lehman Brothers and an analyst at the Chase Manhattan Bank. During her time on Wall Street, she grew increasingly aware of and discouraged by the unethical practices that permeated the banking industry. Eventually, she decided enough was enough and became an investigative journalist to shed light on the ways that financial systems are manipulated to serve the interests of an elite few at the expense of everyone else.

Microsoft is burning through billions on AI, but Wall Street is finally demanding to see where the payoff is. The earnings announcement triggered a $357 billion valuation wipe-out, the largest in Microsoft's history and the second-largest in history overall (Nvidia managed to lose $593 billion in value in the wake of DeepSeek in early 2025).Windows Windows 11 has over one billion users - and, surprise, it got their faster than Windows 10 without any of the shenanigans Microsoft to address the quality issues in Windows 11 in 2026 There is already evidence that Microsoft is trying to make Windows 11 suck less: Recent OneDrive changes that address a key ensh*ttification, and let's not forget all those security advances What did Microsoft really promise? Not much Microsoft has new EVPs for Security and Quality Microsoft belatedly delivered the January Week D update last Thursday, a preview of this month's Patch Tuesday Dev and Beta builds both deliver Mark Russinovich's sysmon tool Microsoft earnings deep dive Microsoft reported a net income of $38.5 billion on revenues of $81.3 billion in the quarter ending December 31. Those figures represent gains of 60 percent and 17 percent, respectively, year-over-year Earnings analysis: All eyes are on AI and no one is happy Microsoft spent $37.5 billion on AI infrastructure (capex) in the quarter, up 66 percent YOY, and it's on track to spend $150+ billion in the fiscal year Every single question was about this and how it will ever recoup the costs There are now 15 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats out of 450+ million Microsoft 365 seats OpenAI is Microsoft's biggest Azure customer, but it's unclear if there is any real money there because of accounting tricks Windows, Edge, and Bing all "gained share," PC maker revenues were up just 1 percent, the Windows 10 upgrade cycle was mostly a bust (it's likely that most of it was tied to RAM pricing fears, too) Xbox fell off a cliff with content and services revenues down 5 percent in a holiday quarter somehow and Xbox hardware revenue declined an astonishing 32 percent YOY Standalone Office 2025 suite was a surprise hit, Hood is curious if that continues Microsoft 365 "cost of business" up 10 percent YOY because of AI costs AMD revenues up 34 percent to $10.3 billion Apple delivers record revenues of $143.8 billion; iPhone made more revenues by itself than all of Microsoft AI Microsoft is going to basically make an app store for content makers who wish to be paid for use by AI Anthropic advertises that Claude will be advertising-free, unlike ChatGPT The next Firefox will include the promised AI kill switch and Vivaldi "extends the middle fingerˮ to AI Xbox and games AMD reveals next Xbox console in 2027 We're getting a solid collection of Xbox Game Pass titles for the beginning of February Battlefield 6 was the best-selling shooter of 2025 and EA made $1.9 billion in Q4 Epic Games has big plans for its PC launcher/store Nintendo has now sold 17 million Switch 2s as OG Switch hits 155 million units Tips and picks Tip of the week: Make OneDrive Folder Backup work for you App pick of the week: Bitwarden (TWiT sponsor) RunAs Radio this week: Getting Started using Purview with Erica Toelle Brown liquor pick of the week: Glendronach Ode to These show notes have been truncated due to length. For the full show notes, visit https://twit.tv/shows/windows-weekly/episodes/969 Hosts: Leo Laporte, Paul Thurrott, and Richard Campbell Sponsor: zscaler.com/security

Crypto News: Democrats meet to discuss passing Clarity Act. Wall Street giant CME Group is eyeing its own 'CME Coin,' CEO says. Michael Burry shares bearish post on Bitcoin.Brought to you by ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/

Microsoft is burning through billions on AI, but Wall Street is finally demanding to see where the payoff is. The earnings announcement triggered a $357 billion valuation wipe-out, the largest in Microsoft's history and the second-largest in history overall (Nvidia managed to lose $593 billion in value in the wake of DeepSeek in early 2025).Windows Windows 11 has over one billion users - and, surprise, it got their faster than Windows 10 without any of the shenanigans Microsoft to address the quality issues in Windows 11 in 2026 There is already evidence that Microsoft is trying to make Windows 11 suck less: Recent OneDrive changes that address a key ensh*ttification, and let's not forget all those security advances What did Microsoft really promise? Not much Microsoft has new EVPs for Security and Quality Microsoft belatedly delivered the January Week D update last Thursday, a preview of this month's Patch Tuesday Dev and Beta builds both deliver Mark Russinovich's sysmon tool Microsoft earnings deep dive Microsoft reported a net income of $38.5 billion on revenues of $81.3 billion in the quarter ending December 31. Those figures represent gains of 60 percent and 17 percent, respectively, year-over-year Earnings analysis: All eyes are on AI and no one is happy Microsoft spent $37.5 billion on AI infrastructure (capex) in the quarter, up 66 percent YOY, and it's on track to spend $150+ billion in the fiscal year Every single question was about this and how it will ever recoup the costs There are now 15 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats out of 450+ million Microsoft 365 seats OpenAI is Microsoft's biggest Azure customer, but it's unclear if there is any real money there because of accounting tricks Windows, Edge, and Bing all "gained share," PC maker revenues were up just 1 percent, the Windows 10 upgrade cycle was mostly a bust (it's likely that most of it was tied to RAM pricing fears, too) Xbox fell off a cliff with content and services revenues down 5 percent in a holiday quarter somehow and Xbox hardware revenue declined an astonishing 32 percent YOY Standalone Office 2025 suite was a surprise hit, Hood is curious if that continues Microsoft 365 "cost of business" up 10 percent YOY because of AI costs AMD revenues up 34 percent to $10.3 billion Apple delivers record revenues of $143.8 billion; iPhone made more revenues by itself than all of Microsoft AI Microsoft is going to basically make an app store for content makers who wish to be paid for use by AI Anthropic advertises that Claude will be advertising-free, unlike ChatGPT The next Firefox will include the promised AI kill switch and Vivaldi "extends the middle fingerˮ to AI Xbox and games AMD reveals next Xbox console in 2027 We're getting a solid collection of Xbox Game Pass titles for the beginning of February Battlefield 6 was the best-selling shooter of 2025 and EA made $1.9 billion in Q4 Epic Games has big plans for its PC launcher/store Nintendo has now sold 17 million Switch 2s as OG Switch hits 155 million units Tips and picks Tip of the week: Make OneDrive Folder Backup work for you App pick of the week: Bitwarden (TWiT sponsor) RunAs Radio this week: Getting Started using Purview with Erica Toelle Brown liquor pick of the week: Glendronach Ode to These show notes have been truncated due to length. For the full show notes, visit https://twit.tv/shows/windows-weekly/episodes/969 Hosts: Leo Laporte, Paul Thurrott, and Richard Campbell Sponsor: zscaler.com/security

In 2011, Cantor Gaming stormed into Las Vegas with the swagger of Wall Street, led by Howard Lutnick at the helm of the parent company Cantor Fitzgerald and Lee Amaitis running the Nevada operation. Known for pioneering mobile sports wagering and accepting unprecedented high-limit bets—sometimes as large as $500,000—Cantor positioned itself as the cutting edge of sports gaming. To many, it looked like a revolution: bettors flocked to its books at the M Resort and beyond, drawn by the promise of action other operators wouldn't touch. But behind the gloss of innovation, Cantor became entangled in one of the largest illegal betting scandals in modern history. The so-called “Jersey Boys,” an East Coast ring with deep ties to organized bookmaking, infiltrated the operation through Cantor executive Michael “The Computer” Colbert. With Colbert as their insider, the crew laundered millions through Cantor's system, exploiting the company's appetite for volume and its disregard for traditional risk limits.The scheme collapsed in 2012 when Colbert and more than two dozen associates were arrested in a sweeping FBI crackdown. Nevada regulators soon levied one of the largest fines in state history—$5.5 million—citing Cantor's lack of oversight. Amaitis stepped down in 2016, his reputation scarred, while the Cantor brand itself was rebranded as CG Technology in a failed attempt to shed its baggage. By 2020, the company was sold to William Hill, its ambitions of dominating Las Vegas reduced to a cautionary tale. The Jersey Boys scandal not only crippled Cantor but reshaped the entire sports gaming industry, ushering in stricter compliance, tighter wagering oversight, and a lasting reminder that unchecked ambition and Wall Street arrogance could topple even the flashiest of innovators.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.com

Microsoft is burning through billions on AI, but Wall Street is finally demanding to see where the payoff is. The earnings announcement triggered a $357 billion valuation wipe-out, the largest in Microsoft's history and the second-largest in history overall (Nvidia managed to lose $593 billion in value in the wake of DeepSeek in early 2025).Windows Windows 11 has over one billion users - and, surprise, it got their faster than Windows 10 without any of the shenanigans Microsoft to address the quality issues in Windows 11 in 2026 There is already evidence that Microsoft is trying to make Windows 11 suck less: Recent OneDrive changes that address a key ensh*ttification, and let's not forget all those security advances What did Microsoft really promise? Not much Microsoft has new EVPs for Security and Quality Microsoft belatedly delivered the January Week D update last Thursday, a preview of this month's Patch Tuesday Dev and Beta builds both deliver Mark Russinovich's sysmon tool Microsoft earnings deep dive Microsoft reported a net income of $38.5 billion on revenues of $81.3 billion in the quarter ending December 31. Those figures represent gains of 60 percent and 17 percent, respectively, year-over-year Earnings analysis: All eyes are on AI and no one is happy Microsoft spent $37.5 billion on AI infrastructure (capex) in the quarter, up 66 percent YOY, and it's on track to spend $150+ billion in the fiscal year Every single question was about this and how it will ever recoup the costs There are now 15 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats out of 450+ million Microsoft 365 seats OpenAI is Microsoft's biggest Azure customer, but it's unclear if there is any real money there because of accounting tricks Windows, Edge, and Bing all "gained share," PC maker revenues were up just 1 percent, the Windows 10 upgrade cycle was mostly a bust (it's likely that most of it was tied to RAM pricing fears, too) Xbox fell off a cliff with content and services revenues down 5 percent in a holiday quarter somehow and Xbox hardware revenue declined an astonishing 32 percent YOY Standalone Office 2025 suite was a surprise hit, Hood is curious if that continues Microsoft 365 "cost of business" up 10 percent YOY because of AI costs AMD revenues up 34 percent to $10.3 billion Apple delivers record revenues of $143.8 billion; iPhone made more revenues by itself than all of Microsoft AI Microsoft is going to basically make an app store for content makers who wish to be paid for use by AI Anthropic advertises that Claude will be advertising-free, unlike ChatGPT The next Firefox will include the promised AI kill switch and Vivaldi "extends the middle fingerˮ to AI Xbox and games AMD reveals next Xbox console in 2027 We're getting a solid collection of Xbox Game Pass titles for the beginning of February Battlefield 6 was the best-selling shooter of 2025 and EA made $1.9 billion in Q4 Epic Games has big plans for its PC launcher/store Nintendo has now sold 17 million Switch 2s as OG Switch hits 155 million units Tips and picks Tip of the week: Make OneDrive Folder Backup work for you App pick of the week: Bitwarden (TWiT sponsor) RunAs Radio this week: Getting Started using Purview with Erica Toelle Brown liquor pick of the week: Glendronach Ode to These show notes have been truncated due to length. For the full show notes, visit https://twit.tv/shows/windows-weekly/episodes/969 Hosts: Leo Laporte, Paul Thurrott, and Richard Campbell Sponsor: zscaler.com/security

Jared welcomes Vivian Tu (@your.richbff) as the first guest during Jordana's maternity leave, and the conversation focuses on one of the most emotional topics in relationships: money. Vivian shares why she left Wall Street, how she became a personal finance creator, and why it is important to talk about money with your partner, even on date one. They tackle a real rent divide dilemma, breaking down how splitting costs “equally” can quietly build resentment when incomes are not the same, and why a fair, proportional split matters more. They unpack a prenup panic email, where a boyfriend wants a prenup because the government already has one on your marriage, making refusal to discuss one the real red flag. Vivian also drops a hard truth: a guy can be rich on paper, but if money is all he brings to the table, he is actually poor where it counts. Be sure to check out Vivian's new book: ⁠Well Endowed⁠, out everywhere now! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Listen to Jim Cramer's personal guide through the confusing jungle of Wall Street investing, navigating through opportunities and pitfalls with one goal in mind - to help you make money.Mad Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

A.M. Edition for Feb. 4. Software stocks are sliding again today, following a rough day on Wall Street that saw the rise of new AI tools shave more than $300 billion off of companies that sell or invest in software. WSJ's Hannah Miao explains what's driving the selloff and what it all means for investors. Plus, Novo Nordisk shares plummet as the weight-loss drugmaker warns of unprecedented pricing pressure. And we look at why China is banning retractable car door handles. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

P.M. Edition for Feb. 4. In Congress, Democrats are pushing for new limits on immigration-enforcement agents, but they're running into resistance from Republicans. Journal reporter Siobhan Hughes joins from the Capitol to discuss the likelihood that lawmakers will meet the February 13 deadline to fund the Homeland Security Department. Plus, another tech selloff weighs on Wall Street. Markets reporter Hannah Erin Lang discusses the AI worries gripping investors. And as Iran and the U.S. plan diplomatic talks, Iran is playing hardball. WSJ Middle East correspondent Jared Malsin says it's a playbook negotiators have seen before. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

But Google beats Wall Street expectations. And Snap posts a profit of $45 million, compared with $9 million a year earlier. Julie Chang hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Live from the Ondo Summit in NYC, Stocktwits CEO Howard Lindzon joins Jennifer Sanasie for a special Markets Outlook to break down the rise of the Degenerate Economy, where 24/7 speculation has replaced traditional entertainment. As AI and LLMs commoditize Wall Street research, Lindzon highlights how social sentiment has become the last remaining edge for the modern trader. This shift is central to his Social Relative Strength framework for spotting overlooked assets, a strategy he uses to explain why the retail crowd is currently front-running a debasement trade in gold and silver, even ahead of bitcoin. - Timecodes: 0:54 - Defining the Degenerate Economy in 2026 2:45 - The Evolution of StockTwits and Social Trading 3:30 - The Impact of AI on Research and Trading 6:38 - The shift from Globalization to Deglobalization 9:13 - AI Agents and the Future of Retail Trading - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr.

In this Smart Real Estate Coach master's class, I'm bringing back Brandon Cobb, founder of FBG Capital and host of Recession Resistant Real Estate Radio, to walk you through one of the most powerful and least taught niches in the business: entitling land for national homebuilders and turning dirt into 6–7 figure paydays.     Brandon shares how getting fired from his dream medical device job pushed him into entrepreneurship, why your W-2 is actually your biggest risk, and how he built a land development model where Wall Street-backed builders like Lennar, Pulte, D.R. Horton and others line up to buy his approved projects. We break down his three-phase entitlement process, why he never buys land until approvals are in place, what a typical 15-month entitlement timeline and $500K+ profit deal looks like, and who his Learn Land Development mastermind is actually for (hint: not brand-new investors or "no money down" thinkers).    If you've been looking for a way to do bigger deals without swinging hammers yourself, this episode will open your eyes to a niche that works in every real estate asset class.   Key Talking Points of the Episode   00:00 Introduction 01:31 Recession Resistant Real Estate Radio 02:24 From dream job to "accidental entrepreneur" 03:35 Lessons from losing his dream job 04:51 Fast-forward: from hustling to large land deals with national builders 06:05 Why you can't rely on a single employer anymore 07:01 The opportunity in selling land to big developers 08:25 The "fastest-growing secret" niche in real estate 11:20 Working on a minimum of 50 units per project 12:50 Phase 1: Learn what the city wants & target the right land 14:05 Phase 2: Contract & entitlements (contingent on approvals) 16:18 Phase 3: Negotiate the best possible deal with your end buyer 17:36 Concept plan: aligning the city and the builder before spending big money 18:21 Resources: Skool community + training + coaching 19:01 Training Section #1: Land Development Blueprint 19:25 Training Section #2: Capital Raising Machine 19:46 Training Section #3: Weekly group coaching calls & in-person project walks 20:25 Land entitlement: Not an entry-level, no-money-down program 22:00 3 main exit paths for entitled land 24:22 Free course: LearnLandDevelopment.com   Quotables   "Nobody was going to look out for my financial well-being but me."   "We never buy anything. That's rule number one: do not buy it until all the approvals are in place."   "This is not a no-money-down, do-your-first-real-estate deal. This is for experienced investors who are ready to do bigger deals."   Links   Land Development Accelerator https://learnlanddevelopment.com/   Recession Resistant Real Estate Radio https://open.spotify.com/show/5tuCHd862XmOCviWocPt9o   Episode 498: $20M Annual Developer Success Secrets with Brandon Cobb https://smartrealestatecoachpodcast.libsyn.com/episode-498-20m-annual-developer-success-secrets-with-brandon-cobb   QLS 4.0 - Use coupon code for 50% off https://smartrealestatecoach.com/qls Coupon code: pod   Apprentice Program https://3paydaysapprentice.com Coupon code: Podcast   Masterclass https://smartrealestatecoach.com/masterspodcast   3 Paydays Books https://3paydaysbooks.com/podcast   Strategy Session https://smartrealestatecoach.com/actionpodcast   Partners https://smartrealestatecoach.com/podcastresources

Welcome to this exciting episode of The Edge of Show! furnished by PR Genius as part of a media partnership, join us as we dive deep into the world of tokenized equity with Ultan Miller, CEO of Hecto, discover how Hecto is revolutionizing access to private market investments by launching the first tokenized index fund for companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, Stripe, and Anthropic.In this episode, we explore:The evolution of tokenized equity and why it matters right nowHow Hecto is streamlining access to pre-IPO and private market companiesThe concept of “hectocorns” and why $100B+ companies deserve their own asset classThe technical decision to build on the Canton Network and how it meets Wall Street–grade requirementsWhat's ahead for Hecto, including governance tokens and community-led initiativesExclusive listener access: Hecto is currently in beta, and Edge of Show listeners can get early access by using the invite code HectoF&F when signing up on their site.Whether you're a seasoned investor or just beginning to explore blockchain and crypto, this episode is packed with insights that will push you to rethink investing in the digital age.Don't forget to subscribe, rate, and leave a comment! Join the conversation and stay up to date on the latest in Web3 and AI by following us on social media.Support us through our Sponsors! ☕ Want to make content like ours? Sign up with Castmagic to make your creative process easy: https://bit.ly/CastmagicReferral Work smarter, grow faster. Automate your SEO, get AI insights, and manage all your clients in one place with Helm. Start today at helmseo.comAre you a content creator, podcaster or interested in your business getting its voice out there? Then reserve a .podcast domain by paying just one-time as little as $10 for a lifetime of benefits! Check out the details and snag your .podcast domain today! https://get.unstoppabledomains.com/podcast/

In this episode of the Man of War Podcast, I sit down with entrepreneur and real estate investor Todd Nepola to uncover what it truly takes to build lasting wealth and a legacy that outlives you. From Wall Street to real estate, from fame to failure and redemption, Todd shares the raw truth about business, leadership, and integrity in a world obsessed with shortcuts. This isn't about getting rich fast — it's about becoming a man who builds wealth that lasts, honors his word, and stands tall when others crumble.

US President Donald Trump on Friday made his pick to lead the Federal Reserve: Kevin Warsh. The former central bank governor with ties to Wall Street is seen as a mainstream pick. Still, some economists say if Warsh is confirmed, he will trigger a sweeping rethink of the Fed's role at the centre of the world's biggest economy. The FT's US economics editor Claire Jones explains who Warsh is, what he wants to do at the Fed, and how it might go.Clips from Fox Business, Group of Thirty The FT does not use generative AI to voice its podcasts.- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - For further reading:Kevin Warsh's nomination as Fed chair to spark rethink of bank's roleKevin Warsh, the Fed chair nominee shaped by the 2008 financial crisisHow Kevin Warsh won the race to become Donald Trump's new Federal Reserve chair- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Follow Claire Jones on X (@senoj_erialc). Michela Tindera is on X (@mtindera07) and Bluesky (@mtindera.ft.com), or follow her on LinkedIn for updates about the show and more. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Live from the Ondo Summit in NYC, Stocktwits CEO Howard Lindzon joins Jennifer Sanasie for a special Markets Outlook to break down the rise of the Degenerate Economy, where 24/7 speculation has replaced traditional entertainment. As AI and LLMs commoditize Wall Street research, Lindzon highlights how social sentiment has become the last remaining edge for the modern trader. This shift is central to his Social Relative Strength framework for spotting overlooked assets, a strategy he uses to explain why the retail crowd is currently front-running a debasement trade in gold and silver, even ahead of bitcoin. - Timecodes: 0:54 - Defining the Degenerate Economy in 2026 2:45 - The Evolution of StockTwits and Social Trading 3:30 - The Impact of AI on Research and Trading 6:38 - The shift from Globalization to Deglobalization 9:13 - AI Agents and the Future of Retail Trading - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr.

In a rare moment of political alignment, President Donald Trump and Gov. Gavin Newsom are both calling for restrictions on large institutional investors buying single-family homes, arguing they drive up housing prices and put individual homebuyers at a severe disadvantage.  As the shortage of affordable housing pushes the American Dream further out of reach, Scott and Marisa are joined by The New York Times Magazine contributing writer Francesca Mari to take a closer look at the role Wall Street investors play in rising housing costs and how much power state and federal governments actually have to reign them in.  Check out ⁠⁠Political Breakdown's weekly newsletter⁠⁠, delivered straight to your inbox. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

If the traditional financial plan worked, most people wouldn't feel stuck trading time for money. In this episode, Dave Wolcott shares how becoming a father to triplets pushed him to question Wall Street advice and design a holistic wealth strategy built on cash flow, tax efficiency, and control. Listen now to learn how sophisticated investors structure freedom outside the stock market.   Key Takeaways To Listen For The critical difference between active investing and truly passive wealth Why investors almost always move from active deals to syndications How niche real estate operators outperform broad market strategies Private credit benefits when banks pull back from small businesses What oil and gas investing can offset from your W-2 income   Resources/Links Mentioned In This Episode Rich Dad's Cashflow Quadrant by Robert T. Kiyosaki | Hardcover and Paperback The Art of Impossible by Steven Kotler | Kindle, Paperback, and Hardcover Kolbe Assessment   Get a FREE copy of The Holistic Wealth Strategy by Dave Wolcott and learn how to build true, holistic wealth. Connect with Dave and explore Pantheon Investments opportunities at https://holisticwealthstrategy.com.   About Dave WolcottDave Wolcott is a Marine Corps veteran, entrepreneur, and the Founder and CEO of Pantheon Investments, a private real estate investment firm focused on helping investors build durable, passive wealth through multifamily, self-storage, and commercial real estate. After serving as a Marine officer, Dave transitioned into finance and investing, where he developed a disciplined, mission-driven approach to capital allocation and risk management. Through Pantheon, he emphasizes long-term wealth creation, conservative underwriting, and investor education. Dave is also the host of the Wealth Strategy Secrets of the Ultra-Wealthy podcast, where he explores advanced tax strategy, asset protection, and legacy planning with leading experts.   Connect with Dave Website: Holistic Wealth Strategy Podcast: Wealth Strategy Secrets | Apple Podcasts and Spotify   Connect With UsIf you're looking to invest your hard-earned money into cash-flowing, value-add assets, reach out to us at https://bobocapitalventures.com/.   Follow Keith's social media pages LinkedIn: Keith Borie Investor Club: Secret Passive Cashflow Investors Club Facebook: Keith Borie X: @BoboLlc80554

The Money Mindset Shift Every Woman Entrepreneur Needs There are more men named John running Fortune 500 companies than there are women. Total. Let that sink in for a second. That's just one of the things Vivian Tu, aka Your Rich BFF, dropped in this episode that made me go, wait, what? She went from being told she was "too girly for Wall Street" to becoming one of the most trusted voices in personal finance. And the way she breaks down money will make you rethink everything you thought you knew. We get into why women who are crushing it in business still let their money sit in a savings account earning 0.39%, the simple equation that tells you whether something is actually worth buying, why women fight over 2% of the pie when there's 98% sitting right there, and how to stop working around the clock and let your money do the work instead. Vivian also gets real about running her business at a sprint pace for years and what she's doing to finally build something sustainable. This is the money conversation I wish I had ten years ago. CHAPTERS: 00:00 "Money Truths with Amy Porterfield" 05:39 "Growing Wealth and Money Mindset" 13:42 "Leaving Wall Street and Identity" 19:05 Work Ethic and Efficiency 22:26 "Scaling Up: Hiring Strategically" 28:22 "Leveraging Technology and Lessons" 33:04 "Investing: Money Works for You" 41:43 Redefining Richness and Values 46:21 Why Women Struggle to Celebrate Success 51:56 "Focus on Profitable Ventures" 56:26 "Get Rich, Stay Rich Framework" 01:01:02 "Mastering Life's Biggest Finances" HERE ARE THE 3 KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM THIS EPISODE: 1️⃣ Separate Your Business and Personal Finances – As soon as you start making real money, set up a business entity that's fully separate from you. Your dry cleaning bill should not be on your business credit card. This protects you and sets you up to scale. 2️⃣ Stop Letting Your Money Sit in a Savings Account – A regular savings account earns you almost nothing. Once you have your emergency fund set, your money should be working for you through investments. Your labor earns you capital. Your capital makes you rich. 3️⃣ Value Purchases in Time, Not Dollars – Before you buy something, divide the cost by your hourly take-home pay. That $100 pair of yoga pants might cost you five hours of work. Is it worth it? This simple equation helps you spend strategically and without guilt. RESOURCES MENTIONED IN THIS EPISODE: Well Endowed by Vivian Tu (available wherever books are sold) Ask Dolly ManyChat Follow Vivian Tu (Your Rich BFF) on Instagram MORE FROM ME Follow me on Instagram @amyporterfield You've built something real. Revenue, audience, offers that work. But the results still don't match what you know you're capable of. The Calibrae Collective is a high-level coaching experience for female founders earning $150K+ annually who are done with inconsistent results and ready for predictable revenue. Click here to learn more. SUBSCRIBE & REVIEW If you loved this episode, please take a moment to subscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts! Your support helps us reach more entrepreneurs who need these insights.

Listen to Jim Cramer's personal guide through the confusing jungle of Wall Street investing, navigating through opportunities and pitfalls with one goal in mind - to help you make money.Mad Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

I was joined by Peter Schiff, Piero Coen, Skot at Plan B Elsalvador as we discussed Gold vs Bitcoin, AI & a multipolar world, Bitcoin as freedom money for Latinos and open-source mining decentralizing Bitcoin.Takeaways:

This week's episode of Wealth Formula features an interview with Claudia Sahm, and I want to share a quick takeaway before you listen — because she's often misunderstood in the headlines. First, a quick explanation of the Sahm Rule, in plain English. The rule looks at unemployment and asks a very simple question:Has the unemployment rate started rising meaningfully from its recent low? Specifically, if the three-month average unemployment rate rises by 0.5% or more above its lowest level over the past year, the Sahm Rule is triggered. Historically, that has happened early in every U.S. recession since World War II. That's why it gets cited so much. And to be clear — it's cited a lot. The Sahm Rule is tracked by the Federal Reserve, Treasury economists, Wall Street banks, macro funds, and economic research shops globally. When it triggers, it shows up everywhere. That's not by accident. Claudia built one of the cleanest early-warning indicators we have. But here's the part that often gets lost. The Sahm Rule is not a market-timing tool and it's not a prediction machine. Claudia emphasized this repeatedly. It was designed as a policy signal — a way to say, “Hey, if unemployment is rising this fast, waiting too long to respond makes things worse.” In other words, it's a call to action for policymakers, not a command for investors to panic. What makes this cycle unusual — and why talking to Claudia directly was so helpful — is what's actually driving the data. We're not seeing mass layoffs. Layoffs remain low by historical standards. What we're seeing instead is very weak hiring. Companies aren't firing people — they're just not expanding. That distinction matters. And this is where I think the big picture comes in — not just for understanding the economy, but for investing in general. When you step back, the big picture includes a government with massive debt loads that needs interest rates to come down over time. It includes fiscal pressures that make prolonged high rates politically and economically painful. And it includes the reality that if the current Fed leadership won't ease fast enough, future leadership will. History tells us that governments eventually get the monetary conditions they need — even if it takes time, even if it takes new appointments, and even if it takes a shift toward a more dovish Federal Reserve. That doesn't mean reckless money printing tomorrow. But it does mean that structurally high rates are unlikely to be permanent. And when you combine that with investing, the question becomes less about this month's headline and more about what's positioned to benefit when the environment normalizes. That's why I continue to focus on real assets that are already deeply discounted — things like multifamily real estate — assets that were repriced brutally during the rate shock, but still sit at the center of a growing, rent-dependent economy. This conversation with Claudia reinforced something I've been talking about for a long time:The biggest investing mistakes usually happen when people zoom in too far and forget to zoom back out. I've made this mistake myself. If you want a thoughtful, non-sensational, data-driven discussion about where we actually are in this cycle — and what the indicators really mean — I think you'll get a lot out of this episode. Transcript Disclaimer: This transcript was generated by AI and may not be 100% accurate. If you notice any errors or corrections, please email us at phil@wealthformula.com. Welcome everybody. This is Buck Joffrey with the Well Formula Podcast coming to you from Montecito, California. Before we begin today, I wanna remind you, uh, listen, we’re back in, uh, back in the saddle in here in, uh, 2026. I know it’s takes some time to get used to it, but we’re, gosh, we’re at the end of the month actually by the time this plays. I think we’re in February. It’s time again to start thinking about investing. And so if you are interested in potentially using this year, which I believe and which many believe to potentially be the last year, uh, big discounts, uh, in real estate and, uh, various other types of offerings. Make sure. To sign up for the Accredit Investor group, our investor club, as we call it wealthformula.com. You do need to be an accredit investor and then you get onboarded. An accredit investor is just defined by who you are. If you make over $300,000 per year filing jointly, or 200 by yourself, every reasonable expectation to do so in the future. Or you have a net worth of a million dollars outta your personal, outside of your personal residence, you’re an accredit investor. Congratulations. Join the club wealthformula.com. Interesting podcast. Today we have, uh, Claudia Sahm She’s a Big Deal, Claudia Sahm. You may recognize that last name som, for this som rule. And what is a som rule in plain English. You actually have heard of the som rule multiple times from other economists who’ve been on the show. The som rule looks at unemployment. And asks a very simple question. Now, has the unemployment rate started rising meaningfully from its recent low? So specifically, if the three month average unemployment rate rises 0.5% or more above its lowest level, over the past year, this som rule is triggered. Now, historically, that has happened early in every US recession since the World War ii. That’s why it gets cited so much. It gets cited a lot. By the way, the sum rule is tracked by the Fed treasury economists, wall Street Banks, macro funds, economic research shops globally, and when it triggers, it shows up everywhere, and that’s not by accident. Uh, Claudia has built one of the cleanest early warning indicators we have, but here’s the part that often gets lost. The som rule is not a market timing tool, and it’s not a prediction machine. Claudia, uh, emphasized that repeatedly. It was designed as a policy signal, a way to say, Hey, if unemployment’s rising this fast, wait, waiting too long to respond makes things worse. In other words, it’s call to action for policy makers, not a command for investors to panic per se. So what makes this cycle unusual and why talking to Claudia directly was so helpful? Well, it’s what’s actually driving the data. We’re not seeing mass layoffs. Layoffs remain low by historical standards. Um, what we’re seeing instead is very weak. Hiring companies aren’t firing people, they’re just not expanding, and that distinction matters. This is where the big picture comes in, not just for understanding the economy. For investing in general and when you step back, the big picture includes a government with massive debt loads that need interest rates to come down over time. It includes fiscal pressures that make prolonged high rates politically and economically painful. I’ve mentioned this before and it includes the reality that have to fed, fed, uh, if the current Fed leadership won’t ease fast enough. I am likely the case that future leadership appointed by. Donald Trump himself, uh, will, so history tells us that governments eventually get the monetary conditions they need, even if it takes time, even if it takes new appointments. And even if it takes a shift towards a more dovish federal reserve. Uh, that doesn’t mean, uh, reckless money printing tomorrow, but it does mean that structurally. High interest rates are unlikely to be permanent. Okay? And when you combine that with investing, the question becomes less about this month’s headline and more about what’s positioned to benefit when the environment normalizes. Okay? That’s really, really important, and that’s why I continue to focus on things like real estate, right? Real estate is currently. Not for long, in my opinion, but deeply discounted things like multifamily real estate, um, that were repriced brutally during the rate shot, uh, but are still at the center of a growing and, and rent dependent economy. And again, uh, this conversation with Claudia reinforced something that I’ve been talking about a long time, which is the biggest investing mistakes usually happen when people zoom in too far and forget to zoom back out. I’ve made that mistake myself. I am not immune. I have made lots of mistakes, and that’s one of them. So this is a great conversation. Hopefully you’ll enjoy it, especially if you want a thoughtful, nons sensational data-driven discussion. Where we are actually at in this cycle and what these indicators really mean. I think you’ll get a lot of this episode and we will have this conversation for you right after these messages. Wealth formula banking is an ingenious concept powered by whole life insurance, but instead of acting just as a safety net. The strategy supercharges your investments. First, you create a personal financial reservoir that grows at a compounding interest rate much higher than any bank savings account. As your money accumulates, you borrow from your own bank to invest in other cash flowing investments. Here’s the key. Even though you borrowed money at a simple interest rate, your insurance company keeps. Paying you compound interest on that money even though you’ve borrowed it at result, you make money in two places at the same time. That’s why your investments get supercharged. This isn’t a new technique. It’s a refined strategy used by some of the wealthiest families in history, and it uses century old rock solid insurance companies as its backbone. Turbocharge your investments. Visit Wealthformulabanking.com. Again, that’s wealth formula banking.com. Welcome back to the show, everyone. Today my guest on Wealth Formula podcast is Dr. Claudia Sahm. Uh, she’s an American, uh, macroeconomic expert, uh, known for her work, uh, on monetary and fiscal policy and real-time economic indicators. She developed this som rule, which I think, uh, people have mentioned on this show before, so this is a great opportunity to talk to her about that. Uh, it’s a widely, uh, followed recession signal based on unemployment. She’s also a former Federal Reserve economist and senior policy advisor in government. Um, so welcome, uh, Dr. Sahm. Great. Happy to be here. Thank you. Well, let’s, let’s kind of start out with this som rule because, uh, you know, it’s funny, we, we have had a few different people, uh, at various times bring up the SOM rule, and I think one had actually said that it was triggered, but I don’t don’t think it was at any rate, let’s, let’s start with that. What is the som rule? Lemme start with why is there a som rule, and then we’ll then we’ll get to specifically what the, what the rule is itself. So when I started out on the project, it wasn’t so much about. Calling a recession, like there are some really fancy technical ways that economists like look at the tea leaves and the data and either try to forecast a recession, which is incredibly hard, or even just say we’re in a recession in real time. So like that’s a useful endeavor. But what actually was behind the development of my recession indicator was more of a call to action. How do we develop policies that, that the Congress can put into place very quickly if a recession comes? So these kind of what are referred to as automatic stabilizers, so they’re decided upon ahead of time, but then you do need a trigger that says a recession is here. So now that enhance the unemployment benefits, send out the stimulus checks, whatever it is that we kind of have as our typical tools that are used in recessions, we could have those ready to go as kind of guardrails. Then like you, you turn the policy on. So that was really my emphasis was on how do we do better policy and recessions, get the support out quickly. ’cause that’s the best chance of kind of stabilizing the situation. And then it’s like, well it was in a, it was in a policy volume that they asked for, like a really concrete proposal. So if I’m gonna say an automatic stabilizer, I need to have a proposal for what a trigger could be. So that’s really where the som rule came. So I think it is important. It’s definitely important to me to, I always remember like what the kind of reason for it’s sure. Now that also guided what the indicator itself looks like. So again, it was gonna be in, in fiscal policy. It needs to be simple, it needs to be something that we track it and it needs to, I felt it was important that it capture the reason that we. Fight recessions, why there’s such a bad, uh, you know, outcome. And so it looks at the, the unemployment rate. I use the national unemployment rate, take a three month average. ’cause we wanna smooth out, like there’s bumps and wiggles in the data from month to month. So you kind of, you know, three month average. One way to smooth it out. So you take that series of three month averages, you look at the current value, you compare to the lowest value over the prior 12 months, if you’ve seen an increase of a half, a percentage point or more. Which is really pretty modest, but half a percentage point or more. Historically, we have been in the early months of a recession, so it’s not a forecast. It’s supposed to be like we’re in it. Let’s go. It’s an empirical pattern. It’s one that’s worked in the United States. It reflects kind of our labor market institutions, the way unemployment rate moves and recessions. It historically is the case that once you get past a certain threshold of increased unemployment rate, it tends to build on itself. And in a typical recession, we see increases of. Two, three or more percentage points in the unemployment rate. Uh, so that’s, that’s what the summer rule is. And in fact, it did trigger in the summer of 2024. At that time I had said like, look around, we are not in a recession. GP is still expanding. Job creation is still happening. We don’t see the other hallmarks of a recession. And pointed to the fact that we’d had a very disrupted labor market after the pandemic in particular. You know, there had been a lot of immigration at that point. The unemployment rate is the total number of unemployed. So people who don’t have a job but are actively looking for one out of the labor force, right? And so these people that have to either be employed or looking for jobs, and so we actually saw from the pandemic. Both with the pandemic and then later with the surge and now the reversal in immigration. We’ve seen a lot of movement in the, in the labor force, which makes unemployment rate a little tricky to interpret. And then I’d also argue, we saw early in the pandemic, the unemployment rate dropped very rapidly. We even had labor shortages. So in some ways unemployment rate rising and it has risen over. I mean, it continued to rise last year in 2025. A lot of that’s also normalization. We’d had a very low unemployment rate. So I think the, the pandemic recession has a lot of features that were very unusual. We’ll talk probably more about the labor market continued to be kind of unusual. So the, you know, the somal was not the only recession indicator to fall flat on its face in the cycle. Um, but I think it’s still a useful, useful guide and I, and. You know, even if it’s not a recession, the, the unemployment rate is a full percentage point above, its low in 2023. So, I mean, that, that could, that could be a reason for policymakers to respond, even if it’s not responding to a recession. Right. That was the first time that it, that triggered and, and actually didn’t. End up in a recession, right? There’s some back in the 1950s, earlier, but it’s, it’s the first time where there’ve been some false positives in the past or, or near false positives. Like in 2003. It was kind of close, uh, is like the unemployment rate rises a little bit and then it falls back down. What we saw after it triggered in 2024 is it stabilized. Then last year it continued to rise. So this the pattern that we’ve seen since the pandemic of rapid recovery dropping unemployment rate and then it’s like gradually rising and yet has risen a full percentage point that you go all the way back in the post World War II period. We don’t see anything that looks like that. So that is a very unusual. Paris. So something’s more is going on in the labor market than just our typical business cycle, boom, bust, recession type dynamics. So what is that? What is the thing that’s happening that’s unusual right now in the labor market? Right? So the thing that is driving the unemployment rate up, I think this is a good lesson, a reminder to all of us. It’s not about layoffs. The rate of layoffs in the United States is really quite low. You look at unemployment insurance claims, they’re also quite low. What’s been pushing the unemployment rate up over the last two and a half years has been a very low rate of hiring and, and it’s, and it is something that over time will at least gradually put upward pressure on the unemployment rate and frankly. Until hiring picks up and we really don’t have many signs of it. Even as we enter 2026 unemployment rate’s gonna probably keep drifting up ’cause we’re not keeping job creation’s, not keeping up with, you know, people coming into the, into the labor market and, and that what’s, I think the puzzle right now is that hiring has been very low. But what we’ve seen in terms of consumer spending, business investment, so the kind of the big pieces of GDP, they’ve really held up pretty well, so. Business. It’s not, again, not that recession of the customers have disappeared. And so we’re not hiring, or we may even be firing workers. The customers are there for the businesses, but they’re choosing in this environment not to add, uh, to their payrolls. And that’s slowly pushing up down point rate. Yeah. Um, you know, it, it’s interesting what you’re, you’re talking about, but essentially you’re, people aren’t getting fired. They’re just, when they retire or leave, they’re just not replacing those. Individuals, you know, makes me think a little bit about what’s going on in the big, you know, in the tech push with artificial intelligence and that kind of thing, and increased in efficiency. Certainly you see that in the larger companies like Amazon and all that, where they’re just becoming massively more productive and cutting expenses essentially by, you know, using tech. Do you think that this is sort of an early indication, potentially of that kind of movement? So it. It’s possible, but I think we’re at the very front end of AI disrupting the labor market. This low hiring rate that we’ve talked about. You see this across all kinds of industries, including ones that don’t show high levels of AI adoption, and frankly, a AI adoption is pretty low. I mean, there are some sectors like tech and increasingly finance and some professional services have higher adoption rates. Uh, but in terms of it being able to explain the low hiring. I think it’s pretty tough ’cause the low hiring is such a, such a broad based, um, phenomenon. Now, AI might be, I think, indirectly contributing in that one of, one of the hypotheses about why, um, businesses have been, uh, not hiring despite, you know, economic activity. Continuing to push ahead could be that there’s a lot of uncertainty. Now there is a long list that we could draw of, of factors that might be causing businesses to be uncertain and hesitant to add to their payrolls. Uh, a lot of times you talk about things with tariffs or, you know, economic policy, regulations changing, you know, so there’s a lot going on there. But it could also be, there’s a lot of uncertainty about what this technology means for the future. Maybe you don’t need to bring on more workers because your ability to kind of use and adapt this technologies coming online. And so like that could be part of it. I think there’s another piece, you know, we have a lot of discussion about ai, but I do think that there’s, there could be a, a technology angle to this that’s, that is. Not in the AI technologies, but maybe just some of the more basic kind of automation is again, right after, you know, the, the pandemic recession as we came out of a, you know, very rapid recovery, uh, there was, there was a lot of hiring or that, ’cause businesses had done a lot of firing and they needed to bring back workers really rapidly and we actually had a period of labor shortages. There were workers moving around a lot and there were, that also put a lot of pressure on some employers, particularly in service sector, to automate more ’cause they just couldn’t get the workers, so they needed to bring technology. Online to help, you know, fill the gap. And over time, you know, businesses though, they haven’t done as much hiring, they have been firing. So the workers, they have longer tenures, have more experience, they’re probably more productive. So maybe businesses can kind of, you know, get away with not doing more hiring. ’cause the people they have there can kind of keep up with it. Um, and they’ve done some more automation. I don’t think those are sustainable. I think we’re going to need to see hiring pickup in terms of, of staying with, um, you know, as expanding, uh, demand from customers. But I won’t pretend to know what AI means for the future of the labor force. Right. So like there could be, I think that’s a big conversation about we’re headed, where we’re headed. I think it’s probably a pretty small slice of explaining. Where we’re at right now. You know, it’s interesting because obviously there was a lot of concerns about rising inflation, and particularly in the context of, you know, tariffs and, and among those types of things that were, were, um, coming down the pipe. And as it turns out, inflation seems to be coming down. How do you explain that from where you sit? Because it, it, it seems sort of to contradict a lot of what, you know, many economists believe to be likely. So when thinking about the effects of tariffs on inflation and this, this idea that it didn’t end up being as much of a factors we had really feared, uh, you know, a year ago. I think there’s a few things to keep in mind. One, the announced tariffs, uh. Didn’t come to pass fully. Right? So there’s a big difference between some of the, the, the initial announcements, whether it was on Liberation Day, April 2nd, or the initial kind of retaliation tit for tat with China, where we ended up with some triple digit, uh, tariff numbers. Those didn’t end up being where we, we ended now tariff, the effect of tariff rate. Is much higher than it was before. Right. Uh, president Trump came into office for the second time, so like, I don’t wanna minimize the, the, the increase in tariffs and the US government collected about $200 billion last year in, in additional tariffs. But there is a, there’s a good bit of daylight between what was announced and where we actually ended up. Businesses also proved very capable of trying to avoid those tariffs and not in like a. Illegal kind of way of avoiding them, but, but using inventories like trying to get ahead of them. We know the tariffs are tariffs. There’s been some evidence that, that it’s businesses are gonna start passing on the tariff cost increase when it’s actually tied to the inventories that they’re putting out in front of customers. And for some of our goods, like say apparel or things that have long seasons or come from, you know, all across the world, it actually takes quite a bit of time from the inventories being what actually shows up in front of customers. So there’s been the ability to. Kind of get around the tariffs ’cause they were rolling in. And so do be smart in terms of your inventories. And then it just takes time for those inventories to be, you know, um, to come down. Mm-hmm. By, there’s been several studies at this place, at this point that, that demonstrate that the, the tariffs, the cost of the tariffs is coming into the us. So the, it’s always the importer that pays the tariff, like literally writes the check to the US government. But it’s possible that the foreign producer could say, reduce their prices on what they’re, you know, paying or what they’re asking to be paid for that, uh, imported good. And then that would be a way of the foreign producer sharing the cost of the tariff. But everything that we see from the M Court data suggests that a very small fraction, probably less than 10%. Of the total tariff burden is being born by, at least at this point, born by the foreign producers. So it’s coming into the us. It’s sitting with either US businesses that are importing the goods or have the goods at some point in their, you know, in their supply chains and, and with us customers, the consumers we have, we’ve seen. I think you can really look at the inflation data. You can see the goods prices, which often are kind of a drag on inflation that they did turn around. They’re, they’re putting upward pressure on inflation. It’s not massive. It doesn’t explain all of these, you know, 200 billion in tariff costs, but then it is, it’s sitting with businesses. The effects still, it’s still just not that long enough to really understand. You know what, what the implications. It’s possible. I, I think that’s true with any, with any big policy change. Like it doesn’t happen overnight. I think that’s one thing that a lot of, a lot of economic models that, like, they’re, they’re very sensitive, right? Like as soon as a policy change happens, the models will kind of tell us something pretty dramatic in terms of adjustments. But this last year was a reminder, like when there’s, when there’s a big cost, there’s gonna be a lot of attempts to adjust around it to try to minimize that cost and then. It takes time, like in the real world, like the interactions are much more complex. You know, inventory lags all of the, like, it takes time to move its way through. So I think we’re not done with the pass through. I think we’ll probably still see more come to consumers, but businesses could decide to bear that cost. They, they could, you know, with profit margins. I mean some of, some of the inflationary environment in the pandemic did allow. There were very broad base increases in prices. You did see some companies be profitable from that because it was, there was a, you know, some of the costs were more targeted, but the, you know, the, the price increases were broad. So it could be a time where businesses see that, you know, consumers are more price sensitive now than they were in 21, 20 21, 20 22, so they’re not passing as much on it. Could be that that’s part of where. Like the cost businesses are dealing with that cost by maybe doing less hiring as opposed to passing it on to consumers. Uh, you know, they could be taking a hit with their profits. They, you know, so like, it doesn’t have to go all the way through to consumers. There are different levers that can be pulled. I do think we’ll still see some pass through in the, in probably the first half of this year, and that’s assuming that our whole tariff regime. Sit still, right? It looks like once again we might be, uh, increasing those tariffs, but, um, so yeah, I think it’s just tracing, you know, the tariffs through the system is really complicated. And one last thing I’ll say about the tariffs is they’re not just tariffs on goods that go to consumers. These tariffs have been broad enough that we’re also taring imported goods that are used by our manufacturers used for our, by our businesses in their production. So then it can take a really long time for that to end up with the, you know, the end customer could be a business to start with, and then it moves its way down. So I think these are just, you know, the costs are real. We can see the tariffs have been collected, the costs are there. We can see in the import data, there haven’t been import price data, there haven’t been a lot of adjustments by the foreign suppliers. So then it’s just a question of, we have these costs. Where did the cost go? I believe the last GEP was 4.3% and, uh, inflation was around 2.6, 2.7, or at least core. You’ve obviously, uh, worked at the Fed. Um, give us a sense of the situation that the Fed is trying to figure out here. Like what do they do with these numbers and, you know, all of the issues that surround them. The work at the Fed, I mean, it, it’s laser focused on the, the response, the mandates that the Fed has. So with maximum employment and price stability and with maximum employment, that’s not something that can be easily defined. It’s not like it’s a particular unemployment rate, it’s not a particular payroll number. But I mean, broadly speaking, it’s, you know, do, are, you know, the people who wanna work, are they working? In such a way that it’s not putting pressure on inflation, right? Like labor shortages that end up with wage increases that just, you know, end up with inflation. Like that would be a situation where the Fed would actually want to kind of help restrain some of the. Uh, employment growth. And we, we saw that in this cycle. I mean, the Fed raised rates a lot in 2022 and 2023. Uh, so that’s the maximum employment on the stable prices. The Fed has set a target of the 2%, uh, year over year PCE inflation. So a little different than the CPI inflation, but very much related. And, and it’s one, I mean, that’s, that’s the goal, right? And it, uh. So it starts with those two pieces and, and what’s been, I think what’s been challenging in say the last year as the Fed was, you know, trying to figure out what it was gonna do with interest rates was the fact that it, there was pressure on both sides of the mandate. Mm-hmm. Um, and not necessarily the, well, I mean, inflation itself has, was above the 2%. It continues to be above the 2%. Target has been. Since 2021. Now the Fed’s policy doesn’t have a look back, but I mean, they do worry that the longer inflation stays closer to three than two businesses. Consumers are gonna start to kind of embed three into their actions, their expectations. Then you kind of get stuck there. So like that, that both, you know, they were missing on the inflation mandate and there were, there were concerns that the, that we might see inflation get stuck above the mandate and the way you dislodge it if it gets stuck. Could end up risking a recession, right? So the Fed doesn’t want that to happen. So that’s a real concern. But then on the employment side, you know, we started out talking about the small rule, the rising unemployment rate. We’ve seen the unemployment rate rising. And then last year in particular, it wasn’t just the unemployment rate rising, we saw job creation just really take a leg down. Um. Some of that probably is less immigration population aging, so less supply of workers, which isn’t something the Fed would react to. ’cause that, I mean, if you don’t have as many people that wanna work, you don’t need to create as many jobs. But the unemployment rate was rising, so it’s clear, like there just wasn’t, there wasn’t enough job creation to keep up with, um, the workers who were there, uh, to work. And, and there was a concern that this could, could spiral out. Those small increased unemployment rate that, that very low level of job creation. And frankly, if you look at, I mean the, I mean, we have multiple months and probably more after revisions of declines in payroll employment. Mm-hmm. Like if you looked at the labor market data, you’d be like, aren’t we in a recession or like on the edge of one? Again, that’s not where we’re at, but it, it certainly gave that, that risk. Things could be slowing down. And, and the, the last piece that was really important in the Fed’s decisions was where, where’s the federal funds rate? Where are the interest rate, the policy interest rate they control? And it was still relatively high. For, for recent history, right. Not in the long history of the Fed, but mm-hmm. And so, like the Fed had raised, they’d raised interest rates quite aggressively to fight the inflation in 2022. They’d very gradually lowered it. Some was taken out in 2023 because made some pro, made quite a bit of progress on inflation in, or in 2024, they lowered the rates in 2025, the 75 basis points of cuts that the Fed did. It was out of concern. Of the labor market unraveling a risk, not a, not saying, hey, the labor market is unraveling, but saying the risk that the downside risk to employment are larger and more worrisome than the upside risk to inflation. So this inflation getting stuck, is that still the case as a going into 2026 here? So, you know, even, even last year we saw, we listened to Fed officials, there’s quite a bit of disagreement. Because it was a tough situation to read. There are some Fed officials that were more focused on inflation, some that were more focused on the employment side. Uh, and it really was just a matter of kind of reading the economy and trying to figure out this, a very unusual situation, like where, where was this headed? What did the Fed need to do? In the end, the consensus on the Fed was to do the rate cuts, kind of front load them. They talked a lot about it as insurance. They’re taking out insurance against the labor market deteriorating. And I think with that approach, in all likelihood, and there’s been certainly signaling of this, that when they meet at the end of January, it’ll, they’re unlikely to move again. That this is, this will be an opportunity to hold steady, be patient the Fed has, has taken out their restriction. So they don’t have the higher rates, so they’ve pulled rates down. We also know that early this year there’s various kinds of fiscal support that are coming online or tax cuts to households and to businesses that should give a little extra lift, uh, to the economy. So I think it’s a period of the Fed waiting to see what the effects of their policy changes are, seeing what the effects of the fiscal policy with the expectation this will be enough to stabilize the labor market. Even help get it back on track and really what the Fed would like. I mean, we’ll see what they get, but they’d really like the next cut to be a good news cut. Like inflation. Oh look, it’s moving back down again. We’re making clear progress back to 2%. I think that’s probably gonna take maybe even till the middle of this year to build that case. A strong case for the disinflation. Mm-hmm. But that’s, that’s what they would, would like to do. But they’re gonna keep an eye on the labor market. But nothing we’ve seen in the most recent data suggests that they gotta get moving like that. There’s some, you know, real pressure building. Um, in fact, the labor market looks a little bit better probably than when they met in December and inflation. Showing some signs of progress, but it, it’s pretty bumpy in terms of, there’s a lot of noise in the data at the moment. You mentioned, um, the Fed’s mandate and you know, certainly that’s something, um, that, uh, you know, that, that we know the Fed looks at these unemployment numbers that look at inflation. I’m curious though, that there’s, you know, there is this push and pull with the treasury. In particular, you know, looking at the amount of, of, of, of bonds that need to be refinanced, that kind of thing. I mean, presumably that’s one of the reasons why the Trump administration is pushing so hard, uh, on the Fed to reduce, um, you know, to reduce rates so that you know, this sovereign debt can be refinanced at a, something a little bit more palatable. How much of that actually. I know it’s not supposed to play a part in the Federal Reserve’s actions, but in reality is there, is there that kind of, you know, thinking that, you know, they have to, they, they may try to play ball a little bit with the, with the situation, with the debt. Yeah. There, the, the Fed is not playing ball right now with the administration. Uh, but, but there have been, there have been times in our past. So during World War II, there was an explicit cooperation between the Fed and the Treasury. The Fed kept interest rates low. Both the federal funds rates, so the short term interest rates, they also did, uh, some purchases of longer term to help keep longer term rates down. Right. So I mean, the, the Fed really, they, their policy was oriented exactly on this objective, keeping the borrowing cost of the US government low because it was financing the war effort. So, so there have been times where the Fed has cooperated with treasury. Now, when they came out of World War ii. What happened is, you know, treasury wants to keep interest rates low. This is good for, you know, the economy, good for growth, but it was, it really was creating a lot of inflationary pressures and it took until the early 1950s for the Fed to kind of regain its kind of operational independence from treasury and then go back to pursuing, you know, inflation as a key goal. And then also in the late seventies and maximum employment was added as an explicit goal. So we’re in a place now where. It’s employment, it’s inflation, it, there was quite, um, I mean, president Trump and some other officials have been, you know, very open about saying rates should be low to help with the deficit, with funding the gov. So like, it’s, it’s been in the discussion in the air. But that’s not, that’s not a mandate that Congress has given the Fed. That’s not what they’re pursuing. It does, you know, but things can change at the Fed. We’re gonna see a change in leadership this year with a new Fed chair. Um, the Fed always, I mean, Congress created the Federal Reserve. It’s changed its abilities, its responsibilities over time. I don’t wanna say that we’ll never get back to a place where the Fed thinks about. Its effect on the deficit. I mean, they’re watching it, they know, right? They’re tracking all these aspects of the economy. But in terms of what’s driving the Fed’s decisions about what the, the federal funds rate should be, that’s not part of the calculus right now. Yeah. Um, you know, another, just another question is for clarity. You know, the, the, um, officially right now there’s, there’s no quantitative easing. However, there is. Uh, you know, I’ve been reading, uh, about even, I think even today, there was a, a fair amount of liquidity, uh, being injected in by the Fed. Can you, for people who don’t understand the mechanics of this and what the difference in terminology is, can you explain to us maybe what the difference is between quantitative easing and what’s being done right now? So just as for context, where quantitative easing even came from. So if we go back to the global financial crisis in 2008, the Federal Reserve, in response to that recession, pulled the federal funds rate all the way to zero. Cut rates to zero And as sure many of us remember that that recession was a very deep and long recession. So, and the unemployment rate was, you know, 10% and inflation was not a problem. So the, the Fed would want in that environment to do more to support the economy. But when the federal funds rate is at zero, that’s, its, that has been its primary tool. Well, that’s, that’s. Stepped out. So then as a question of, well, what else could we do to help support the economy? And, and there, there were. Different possibilities. Uh, some European central banks looked at, you know, they actually did negative interest rates or tried to pull their policy rates, and that’s not what the US did. What was done was to do purchases of, uh, treasuries. Uh, there’s also been purchases of mortgage backed securities, and this is where the Fed is. I mean, and, and they’re creating reserves. So the fed, I guess, secretary, uh. Treasury doesn’t refer to it as magic money. Um, you know, they create reserves and then they’re going out and they’re buying tr so they’re pushing that liquidity, that demand into markets. And if you’re, if there’s a lot more demand for treasuries, well, the price of the treasuries will go up. The yield comes down. Interest rates go down. Yep. Interest rates go down. So they. They were, the Fed wanted to support the economy more. That was the tool that they used to do it. So when, when the Fed talks about quantitative easing, it’s not just the tool, the asset purchases, it’s also the intent, right? They wouldn’t do quantitative easing right now. ’cause if the Fed thought they really need to stimulate the economy more, they’ve still got like. More than three percentage points they could cut from the federal funds rate. Like if the issue were right now, we need to like get the economy going, they’re gonna like cut the funds rate and do it that way. They wouldn’t be pur like purchasing assets, purchasing treasuries to do that. But what what happened is between the global financial crisis, the Great recession, so all the asset purchases done then. There was some, some runoff of the balance sheet, but then again, in the pandemic there were a lot of asset purchases. Uh, the Fed has a really big balance sheet, and it has, uh, it, it kind of changes the way that the Fed can even just move around the federal funds rate. Like, I don’t wanna get too much into the, the technicals, but it’s, it’s just, you know, when the Fed says, well, we wanna lower the, the funds rate to 3.5%. In the old days, they could kind of do, you know, with the bank reserves and they could like, make these small purchases and it would, it would make that stick. Now with, there’s, uh, banks have a lot of reserves, so they’re not as responsive. And so just to kind of, there’s like the, the technical, the tools, the Fed has to just make it happen. In terms of operationally, it means that they have to do some purchases now and then they call their, I mean the new name they have for these are reserve management. Purchases. So it’s really about operations. It’s not about, but it does mean they’re purchasing assets. So if you’re just focused on like the Fed’s purchasing assets, they’re putting liquidity into the system. Yes, they are doing that, but it’s not with the intent to kind of push the economy to run harder. It’s just enough liquidity to keep. The federal funds rate stable at the level that they wanted to be at, to just make sure that all these operations are short in the very short term lending markets amongst banks, that it’s all kind of working as mm-hmm. As it should be. So it’s more about operations and it’s about stimulus policy. Right. A lot of our, um, a lot of our listeners are real estate owners, investors, and they’re, you know, they think about, um. Mortgage rates and that kind of thing. There was recently a, a pretty significant, well, I don’t know how significant it really was. I think it was about, was it maybe $250 billion worth of mortgage backed securities purchased by Fannie Mae. Um, that ca can you talk about the purpose of that and really the, you know, what kind of effect that would actually, we could actually expect from that. It’s certainly been, I mean it’s, it is clear. You know, we talked about one reason that the administration would want interest rates down. It’d be like financing the deficit. Right. Another reason that very much pulls into kind of the affordability debate is we want interest rates lower, one of them lower for consumers. Now the White House has put a lot of pressure on the Fed for them to lower rates even faster than they have. Has not played ball with that. But then the Fed has lowered its rates. The Feds rates are very short term rates, and the federal funds rate is like an overnight rate with between banks. Right. So it, and it has an effect on, you know. Credit card rates, short term rates, but it’s not one, it, it has an effect, but it’s really not like driving necessarily 30 year mortgage rates or you know, some of the longer term rates. There’s a lot of other factors that go into that, and so in this kind of, you know, push for lower mortgage rates. Pushing on the Fed is not the only lever to pull, right? The administration has other levers that they could potentially pull, um, in trying to influence mortgage rates. Now, there, I’d argue the administration’s tools here, like the, the $200 billion, Fannie and Freddie purchase that you mentioned. That really is about trying to reduce the spread. Between mortgages and treasuries. So in some ways it sounds similar, like, oh, fed and Franny, which are, you know, GSEs. So part, part of the, you know, government right now, at least they were privatized during the global financial crisis. You think, oh, they’re going out and purchasing this Sounds a lot like the Fed going out and purchasing. There are there, there’s some parallels, but we need to remember, Fannie and Freddie don’t create money. The Fed, when they start, when they start the process of their quantitative easing, they’re creating reserves like they’re actually creating liquidity and money supply. Fannie and Freddie have authorization to be able to make these purchases, but they’re not like the fed. They’re not creating reserves, but they can, so I don’t wanna think about them like bringing down the whole set of interest rates, but they can affect this spread between mortgages and say treasuries. Right? And so, because again, if you’re, if the. If the GSEs are going out, they’re purchasing mortgage backed securities, well that’s increasing demand for those, and that can push down the rates, that can like squeeze that spread. And, and while the announcement has been made, you know, I mean they’re, they’re in the early stages of putting that in place, but we even on the announcements, saw a response in financial markets and you’re seeing some movement down, uh, in mortgage rates now. It was. Pretty modest, right? And, and 200 billion while, you know, not nothing, uh, really pales in comparison to like the scale of say, the quantitative easing that the Fed did. Um, and there are probably other, but the, you know, the administration’s not done. It doesn’t necessarily have to be that Fannie and Freddie do more purchases. The the spread between mortgage rates and treasuries is pretty substantial. There’s other places where, you know, the fees that go into getting a mortgage are quite a bit larger than they were before the, the global financial crisis. So maybe they go in and try to chip away at the fees and, you know, so there’s, there’s different levers. And I fully expect, and I think we’re gonna get some announcements here again soon on the White Houses. Housing affordability agenda. So there may be other, other ways that they’re trying to, uh, influence, uh, the mortgage spreads. But that’s, that’s what that is all about. And it, it should have, and it looks like, you know, it’s having some effect in terms of bringing rates down, but it likely, it’d be modest, like in the 10 basis points, maybe 20 if they ramp up the program some. But like, it, you know, it’s, it, it, you know, every, every bit counts. But this is not a. Uh, this won’t be enough to, you know, move rates down, dramatic mortgage rates down dramatically, uh, when you, when you look at the economy. Um, and I, I, I think just, you know, one last question. I mean, I just in terms of, you know, the people listening to this are. They’re, they’re people, you know, with jobs and who are trying to invest their money, and they’re trying to, you know, build long-term wealth, but they’re, you know, everybody’s worried about what’s happening with the economy. What, what, what do you think, like, just as, um, um, you know, perspective for people to understand or try to have some framework for how to look at what’s going on in the economy. How they should judge it. Like what would you suggest, like just for mom and pop investors trying to, what is happening with the economy? I’m not an economist. What, what are the, what are the things that you think they should consider studying up on, looking into a little bit? One challenge for a lot of investors, I mean, frankly, it’s, it’s been a challenge that I try to deal with too. Uh, we’re, we’re in an environment where there’s just. There’s so much news coming out of DC uh, with the White House and policies and the Fed, and you know, I mean, like, there’s just, there’s a lot. The headlines are big. And like I talked about with the tariffs, we had like really big tariff announcements. The really scary numbers were, and then it like dialed back and then we pushed through it and it’s like, and it’s this remembering that, um. There’s always a tendency to have this idea that the, the president really runs the economy. I mean, that’s not just about this administration. That’s like a longstanding, you know, the president gets, uh, blame or credit for the economy when really, right. Like we have a over 33, $30 trillion economy, hundreds of millions of workers, tens of millions of businesses. Like this is not about one administration. And so we always need to be careful about. Putting too much weight on the policies coming out of dc. Uh, and you know, last year if you really just listened to all the, you know, we’re cutting immigration, we’re raising tariffs, we’re doing, you know, all, there’s a lot of uncertainty in Doge. Well then you might have missed, like, there’s a bunch of AI investment happening and we’ve got a lot of growth in the economy and while consumers are still pretty resilient, so you, it’s kind of like. Tuning down the volume, some coming out of Washington, especially the like every twist and turn. Uh, and then kind of focusing in on the fundamentals. I will say, you know, you don’t wanna turn down DC too far because we, we do have some like big picture events that could play out over many years. Right. So kind of keeping an eye on it, but for the long game. As opposed to reacting to every twist and turn, every policy announcement, because a lot of this clearly is more of a negotiation than it is like, we’re gonna actually do this. So, you know, as investors, you don’t wanna get whipped around by the latest headline, but you also can’t put your head in the sand. Like you gotta kind of try and find a way to pull the signal out of the noise. And it is really. It’s really hard. Yeah. Like this has been a challenging time and the, the US economy’s been doing things that are not typical. We talked about some of the things with the labor market and we are running some policy experiments that haven’t been run in a long time, so things could change pretty dramatically. But I think it’s just trying to absorb the information, not get too wound up about it, but like also keep an eye on like what’s good for long-term growth. Yeah. Because it’s good for long-term productivity. Thank you so much Dr. Sahm. It’s uh, it’s been a pleasure talking to you on, uh, wealth Formula Podcast today. Great. Thank you so much. You make a lot of money but are still worried about retirement. Maybe you didn’t start earning until your thirties. Now you’re trying to catch up. Meanwhile, you’ve got a mortgage, a private school to pay for, and you feel like you’re getting further and further behind. Now, good news, if you need to catch up on retirement, check out a program put out by some of the oldest and most prestigious life insurance companies in the world. It’s called Wealth Accelerator, and it can help you amplify your returns quickly, protect your money from creditors, and provide financial protection to your family if something happens to you. The concept. Here are used by some of the wealthiest families in the world, and there’s no reason why they can’t be used by you. Check it out for yourself by going to wealthformulabanking.com. Welcome back to the show everyone. Hope you enjoyed it. It was Claudia Sahm. She is, uh, she’s a very, very smart lady. And, uh, just a reminder, if you have not done so, uh, I, I don’t frequently ask to do, do this, but, uh, make sure you give the show. Five stars and a positive review because that’s how we’re getting, you know, really high quality people like Claudia on the show, I’ve been around for a long time. It helps that the show is, you know, like over a decade old and all that stuff too. But, uh, anything you can do to support would be very helpful. And also one more reminder, uh, if you have not done so and you weren’t a credit investor, make sure you sign up for that investor club. At Wealth formula.com. That’s it for me. This week on Wealth Formula Podcast. This is about Joffrey signing out. If you wanna learn more, you can now get free access to our in-depth personal finance course featuring industry leaders like Tom Wheelwright and Ken m. Visit wealthformularoadmap.com.

There are industries that occasionally do something rotten. And there are industries like Big Oil, Big Pharma, and Big Tobacco – that persistently do rotten things.Then there is the nursing home industry – where rottenness has become a core business principle. The end-of-life “experience” can be rotten enough on its own, with an assortment of natural indignities bedeviling us, and good nursing homes help gentle this time. In the past couple of decades, though, an entirely unnatural force has come to dominate the delivery of aged care: Profiteering corporate chains and Wall Street speculators.The very fact that this essential and sensitive social function, which ought to be the domain of health professionals and charitable enterprises, is now called an “industry” reflects a total perversion of its purpose. Some 70 percent of nursing homes are now corporate operations run by absentee executives who have no experience in nursing homes and who're guided by the market imperative of maximizing investor profits. They constantly demand “efficiencies” from their facilities, which invariably means reducing the number of nurses, which invariably reduces care, which means more injuries, illness… and deaths. As one nursing expert rightly says, “It's criminal.”But it's not against the law, since the industry's lobbying front – a major donor to congressional campaigns – effectively writes the laws, which allows corporate hustlers to provide only one nurse on duty, no matter how many patients are in the facility. A humane nurse-staffing requirement has been proposed, but the profiteering “industry” furiously opposes it… and Congress is dutifully bowing to industry profits. After all, granny doesn't make campaign donations.To help push for sanity and humanity, contact TheConsumerVoice.org.Jim Hightower's Lowdown is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit jimhightower.substack.com/subscribe

Evan Marks is a Wall Street veteran with 25 years of experience in trading and market psychology, and the founder of M1 Performance Group. He helps high performers master decision-making under pressure, turning mindset and emotional control into consistent, measurable financial results. Known for his work on risk, discipline, and clarity, Evan has used his own performance frameworks to generate $50–100K months in realized income while coaching traders, hedge fund managers, and ambitious professionals. On this episode we talk about: How Evan went from hedge fund veteran to performance coach The difference between impulsivity and true intuition in decision-making Using emotions as data instead of trying to suppress them Why consistent decision frameworks beat random “gut feelings” over time The “callous building phase” and staying in the game long enough to see results Top 3 Takeaways You can't make great decisions by ignoring your emotions; you need to understand and use them as data inside a clear decision-making framework. High performers aren't magically decisive — they practice slowing down mentally, creating space, and then responding quickly with intention. Progress feels invisible at first, but if you stay consistent through the “callous building phase,” your evidence and confidence compound over time. Notable Quotes “We're always in the game of best decision-making — we don't know if it's right, only time tells you that.” “You can't tweak inconsistency; you need a repeatable model before you can improve it.” “There's a bridge between nervousness and excitement, and that bridge is belief based on evidence.” Connect with Evan Marks: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/evanmarks-m1/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/emarks72/ Website: M1PerformanceGroup.com Travis Makes Money is made possible by High Level – the All-In-One Sales & Marketing Platform built for agencies, by an agency. Capture leads, nurture them, and close more deals—all from one powerful platform. Get an extended free trial at gohighlevel.com/travis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On this episode of Live From The Compound, Josh Brown sits down with Mark Mulhern (aka Manu Invests), creator of the bestselling Substack Fundamentally Sound, to break down the long-term bull case for Uber. They dive into the rise of autonomous taxis, Wall Street's estimates for the robotaxi market, and what Tesla, Uber, and Waymo are saying about the size of the opportunity. The conversation also explores Uber's stock performance around major AV announcements and why partnerships not owning the tech may be Uber's biggest advantage. Plus: Uber's expanding autonomous network, the Lucid + Nvidia deal, and why Bill Ackman took notice of Manu's Uber thesis. If you're interested in autonomous vehicles, Uber stock, and the future of transportation, this episode is for you. Fundamentally Sound Substack: https://manuinvests.substack.com/ This episode is sponsored by Teucrium. Find out more at https://teucrium.com/agricultural-commodity-etfs Sign up for ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Compound Newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and never miss out! Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this solo episode, Anthony Pompliano explores a key question facing investors today: Is Bitcoin in a bear market? He breaks down the recent drawdown, explains why this cycle looks different, and discusses how Wall Street adoption, shifting inflation expectations, and global risk dynamics are reshaping Bitcoin's price action.======================Simple Mining makes Bitcoin mining simple and accessible for everyone. We offer a premium white glove hosting service, helping you maximize the profitability of Bitcoin mining. For more information on Simple Mining or to get started mining Bitcoin, visit https://www.simplemining.io/======================BitcoinIRA: Buy, sell, and swap 80+ cryptocurrencies in your retirement account. Take 3 minutes to open your account & get connected to a team of IRA specialists that will guide you through every step of the process. Go to https://bitcoinira.com/pomp/ to earn up to $1,000 in rewards.======================As markets shift, headlines break, and interest rates swing, one thing stays true — opportunity is everywhere. At Arch Public, we help you do more than just buy and hold. Yes, our dynamic accumulation algorithms are built for long-term investors… but where we really shine? Our arbitrage algos — designed to farm volatility and turbocharge your core positions. The best part of Arch Public's products is they are free! Yes, you heard that right, try Arch Public for free! Take advantage of wild moves in assets like $SOL, $SUI, and $DOGE, and use them to stack more Bitcoin — completely hands-free. Arch Public is already a preferred partner with Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, and Robinhood, and our team is here to help you build smarter in any market. Visit Arch Public today, at https://www.archpublic.com, your portfolio will thank you.======================0:00 - Is bitcoin in a bear market?7:28 - Why is this bear market different? 17:29 - Conclusion: where does bitcoin go from here?20:41 - CFO Silvia 

Oracle planning to raise up to $50 billion for its AI infrastructure build, as Nvidia's deal with OpenAI seems to still be on the table. Why the move could be the semi giant's largest investment ever, and how the AI financing headlines will impact the artificial intelligence race. Plus Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin volatility rattling Wall Street, but Evercore's Julian Emanuel isn't letting the swings sour his bull case. Why he still sees the S&P climbing despite the commodity and crypto crunch.Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Bitcoin crashes below $75K as everything sells off Gold and silver face sharp reversal -- what flipped the narrative Fed holds rates, then Kevin Warsh nomination shocks markets "Hawkish" branding vs reality: the Fed always intervenes AI agents independently choose Bitcoin and Lightning payments ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie  ---- Order my new intro to Bitcoin book "Bitcoin is For Everyone": https://amzn.to/3WzFzfU  ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com  ---- References mentioned in the episode: Gold and Silver Plunge After Sharp Rallies Silver Has Largest Single-Day Drop in History Kevin Warsh Nominated for Fed Chairman  Kevin Warsh's Past Hawkish Commentary President Trump Nominates Kevin Warsh Michael Saylor's Tweet on Kevin Warsh Druckenmiller: Warsh Not a Permanent Hawk Elizabeth Stark's Tweet on Lightning & AI Agents Marty Bent's Tweet on AI Agents and Bitcoin Moltbook Thread on 50,000-Sat Bug Bounty AI Agents Create Their Own Lightning Wallets Tweet on Implications of AI-BTC Convergence Timeline of Events of Moltbook AI Agents & Bitcoin Preston Pysh's Tweet on Moltbook Developments Tether Launches New U.S.-Compliant Stablecoin Tether Announces the Launch of USAT Fidelity Plans to Launch New Stablecoin Fidelity to Launch Stablecoin in Coming Weeks Binance Announces New $1B BTC Insurance Fund Binance Pledges $1 Billion Fund to Bitcoin BlackRock Files to List Bitcoin Premium Income ETF BlackRock Doubles Down on Bitcoin Fund Offerings WSJ: Crypto CEO Who's Become Enemy of Wall St. White House Summons Banks and Crypto Companies ---- Upcoming Events: Strategy World 2026 in Las Vegas on February 23-26th - Use code HODL for discounted tickets: https://www.strategysoftware.com/world26  Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=  ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing

M.G. Siegler of Spyglass is back for our monthly tech news discussion. M.G. joins us to discuss Moltbook, the new Reddit-style social network where 150,000 AI agents are chatting, upvoting, and even proposing their own private language to keep humans out. Tune in to hear whether this is a preview of the singularity or just elaborate role-play—and why the security vulnerabilities are genuinely concerning. We also cover NVIDIA quietly backing away from its $100 billion OpenAI deal, Apple's record quarter that Wall Street shrugged off, and OpenAI's race to IPO before Anthropic (with Elon potentially beating them both). Hit play for a conversation about where AI is heading and what it means when the bots start talking to each other. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jonathan Anguelov a cofondé Aircall, l'une des plus grandes réussites françaises de la tech, devenue licorne en moins de 10 ans.Mais derrière la croissance fulgurante, les levées spectaculaires et les chiffres impressionnants, se cache une question bien plus complexe : comment continuer à bien diriger quand tout grandit plus vite que soi ?Dans cette conversation, Jonathan raconte ce que le succès lui a réellement appris sur le leadership, la responsabilité, la place du fondateur et les limites du management classique.On parle de cette frontière souvent mal comprise entre attention au détail et micromanagement, du moment où déléguer devient vital, et de ce que signifie vraiment “faire grandir une entreprise sans se perdre soi-même”. Jonathan nous parle aussi de sa passion pour l'immobilier avec sa société Aguesseau Capital et de ses conseils pour se lancer. Un échange lucide, exigeant et humain avec un entrepreneur qui a appris que diriger une licorne, ce n'est pas seulement savoir décider vite, mais savoir décider juste.Bonne écoute ✨Chapitrage 00:00 – Introduction02:13 – Quitter Aircall quand tout fonctionne09:00 – Savoir aller dans les détails19:35 – D'Aircall à l'immobilier 51:00 – Les dérives d'internet58:53 – Le crible du Podcast 01:19:26 – Le livre et les films qui ont façonné sa visionNotes et références de l'épisode ✨ Pour retrouver Jonathan Anguelov : Sur InstagramSur LinkedInSur son site✨ Pour retrouver les livres cités dans l'épisodePère riche, père pauvre de Robert T. KiyosakiLe blog de Paul Graham✨ Pour retrouver les films cités dans l'épisodeLe loup de Wall Street de Martin ScorseseCatch Me If You Can de Steven SpielbergLord of War de Andrew Niccol #JonathanAnguelov #Entrepreneuriat #Aircall #Succes #Echec #Argent #StartupFrancaise #Leadership #BusinessEthique #QuiVeutEtreMonAssocie #Investissement #PodcastBusiness #PaulineLaigneauVous pouvez consulter notre politique de confidentialité sur https://art19.com/privacy ainsi que la notice de confidentialité de la Californie sur https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this Anything but Average Monday episode, Brittany Anderson and Christina Lecuyer dive into a real, unfiltered conversation about aging, accountability, artificial intelligence, and the choices shaping our future.From the unexpected realization of being “midlife” to the very real impact AI will have on employment, wealth, and leadership, this episode is a perspective-shifting reminder that how we think and decide matters more than ever. The hosts explore the societal responsibility that comes with money and innovation, the importance of strong leadership in workplace culture, and why personal accountability is the foundation for personal growth.This conversation brings calm to chaos, encouraging listeners to step out of fear-based decision making and into clarity. When nothing is truly an emergency, perspective becomes power—and responsibility becomes a privilege.Whether you're navigating career changes, leadership roles, personal growth, or simply trying to make better decisions in a fast-moving world, this episode will challenge how you think, choose, and lead. About Brittany and Christina:Meet Brittany and Christina, your dynamic podcast hosts who bring their unique blend of expertise, passion, and life experience to every conversation.Brittany, affectionately known as Britt, mom, mommy, bruh, and Queen, lives in Vancouver with her husband and their three fantastic kids (tweens and teens, hence the playful nicknames). Together for nearly two decades, Brittany and her husband share a love for travel and adventure. A self-proclaimed endurance sport junkie, Brittany thrives on pushing herself beyond her comfort zone to unlock her full potential. As a coach, she specializes in helping clients overcome overwhelm by aligning personal goals and values with actionable steps for success. Her greatest joys come from connecting with new people and witnessing their incredible achievements.Christina Lecuyer, a former professional golfer and TV host, is recognized as one of GlobeNewswire's Top Confidence Coaches. She works with clients worldwide, including entrepreneurs, Wall Street executives, stay-at-home moms, and small business owners. Through her signature "Decision, Faith & Action" framework, Christina has guided thousands of clients in creating their own versions of fulfillment and success, often leading to thriving six- and seven-figure businesses. Her 1-on-1 coaching model focuses on mindset and strategy to build self-trust, confidence, and long-term results.Together, Brittany and Christina bring their authentic, energetic, and empowering perspectives to help listeners navigate life, achieve their goals, and embrace their fullest potential. Feeling like you want to share a hot topic you'd like us to discuss on the podcast? Send us a DM over on Instagram at @anythingbutaveragepod. Your hot topic just might make it in the next episode!

Lance Roberts examines why bears have become an endangered species—and why that may be a warning sign rather than a confirmation of safety. Investor sentiment is extreme, margin debt is surging, speculative behavior is accelerating, and market leadership remains narrowly concentrated. When optimism becomes unanimous, history shows future returns tend to disappoint. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- February & Earnings Season Continues 4:50 - The Action Behind Friday's Action 13:53 - Rationalizing Markets' Ups & Downs 15:23 - Percentage of Markets at All-new Highs 16:38 - The Reflationary Narrative 17:50 -Why Bears are Extinct 20:20 - Everyone has to buy, but at what price? 22:19 - Why Portfolio Risk Management is Important 25:14 - Market Cycles & Deviations 31:10 - Average Longevity is Increasing 34:02 - Do Not Ignore the Impact of Passive Investing 37:07 - Demand Drives Product Innovation on Wall St. 41:35 - Markets Set the Lows 43:40 - The Cure for High Prices is High Prices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/live/NAyXnrquGiQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Retirement Income When Markets Are Expensive," here: https://youtube.com/live/5MX3c-VM-n0?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Rotation, Volatility, and Commodities Risk" is here: https://youtu.be/Dt4z5fAB7jI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bears Are An Endangered Species" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/endangered-species-list-includes-market-bears/ "The Market Cycles Potentially Driving 2026 Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-cycles-outlooks-for-2026-draft/ "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #CommodityMarkets #RiskManagement #SP500 #MarginCall #Leverage #MarketRisk #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketOutlook #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning

Listen to Jim Cramer's personal guide through the confusing jungle of Wall Street investing, navigating through opportunities and pitfalls with one goal in mind - to help you make money.Mad Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

With only 90 days to go on his term as Fed Chair, Jay Powell once again, in a public speech, told Trump, “hands off” the Federal Reserve's independence! Popok puts on his Wall Street hat to look at the dire Trump Economy numbers for the last 48 hours, with the skyrocketing oil prices, plummeting consumer confidence and US dollar, increasing Trade Deficit, and a Fed Reserve trying desperately to navigate the turbulence and save the Economy from Trump's erratic policies. Mack Weldon: Go to https://mackweldon.com and get 20% off your first order of $125 or more, with promo code LEGALAF. Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast Cult Conversations: The Influence Continuum with Dr. Steve Hassan: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Listen to Jim Cramer's personal guide through the confusing jungle of Wall Street investing, navigating through opportunities and pitfalls with one goal in mind - to help you make money.Mad Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Renue Healthcare https://Renue.Healthcare/ToddYour journey to a better life starts at Renue Healthcare. Visit https://Renue.Healthcare/Todd Bulwark Capital https://KnowYourRiskPodcast.comBe confident in your portfolio with Bulwark! Schedule your free Know Your Risk Portfolio review. Go to KnowYourRiskPodcast.com today. Alan's Soaps https://www.AlansArtisanSoaps.comUse coupon code TODD to save an additional 10% off the bundle price.Bonefrog https://BonefrogCoffee.com/ToddThe new GOLDEN AGE is here!  Use code TODD at checkout to receive 10% off your first purchase and 15% on subscriptions.LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE at:The Todd Herman Show - Podcast - Apple PodcastsThe Todd Herman Show | Podcast on SpotifyWATCH and SUBSCRIBE at: Todd Herman - The Todd Herman Show - YouTubeEverything Seattle Promises to do to help the little people screws the little people over. Zach Abraham helps me explain…BREAKING NEWS: Seattle-based Amazon to cut about 16,000 corporate jobs in latest round of layoffs. I'm tracking the impact and how investors are reacting on Wall Street - ahead of the opening bell at 6:30am PT.In 2009, George Soros told WEF 'Young Global Leader' Chrystia Freeland about the need to create a New World Order owned by China—insisting that a "managed decline" of the U.S. dollar was not only "necessary" but "actually desirable".

In this week's episode, we sit down with Adam Johnson, Portfolio Manager of the Bullseye American Ingenuity Fund and author of the widely followed Bullseye Brief. Adam brings his signature 1980's Wall St. energy as we dive deep into current market dynamics, the power (and pitfalls) of short sellers, the AI productivity boom, inflation surprises, and what investors should brace for in 2026. We kick things off with Adam sharing some of his biggest surprises from the past year—including why several of his high‑conviction names stalled out despite strong fundamentals. From Toast to SMCI, Adam breaks down how aggressive short-selling and the removal of the SEC's old “uptick rule” have reshaped market behavior in the age of algorithmic trading. From there, we zoom out to the macro landscape: Why falling oil prices were the real inflation antidote in 2025 How AI is already creating meaningful productivity gains Why profit margins remain at historic highs despite tariffs, geopolitical tension, & political chaos And why, even after a massive run, the AI trade may only be in a consolidation phase—not the end of the story Then we look ahead. Adam reveals his two biggest predictions for 2026: 1. A market that climbs far higher than anyone expects thanks to accelerating earnings and a surprisingly strong U.S. economy. 2. A political “blue wave” scare in Q2 that could spark a sudden 20% pullback—only to set up an even more powerful rally as spending ramps up. We also get into: Whether oil is headed for the low $50s—and why that could be wildly bullish The “everything rally” and where value, growth, international, and commodities fit in now Why investor sentiment still isn't too hot… and why that matters The biggest real risks no one is talking about How to stay disciplined when the market tries to shake you out Finally, Adam shares the moment he knew he'd fully matured as a portfolio manager—and why long-term conviction is the ultimate superpower in the face of noise. This is one of our most wide-ranging, high-energy conversations of the year. If you care about where markets are headed—and how to position for the year ahead—you don't want to miss it.

Welcome back to another solo episode of the Franchise Fit Podcast with Lance Graulich—where he talks about real franchise owner incomes, real numbers, and the ROI math most people ignore.In this episode, Lance gives you the Wall Street benchmark (the S&P 500 long-term average returns) so you can stop asking “How much do franchise owners make?” like it's one number—and start judging a franchise opportunity like a serious buyer.You'll learn the income equation every buyer needs, why revenue is NOT income, how margins + managers + debt change everything, and how smart owners get paid twice: cash flow now + equity on exit (often a multiple of EBITDA/cash flow).Sponsored by: SEO Samba — predictable results + AI-driven marketing for franchise brands.

Jay Yu is a prominent DeepTech and NuclearTech entrepreneur with a Wall Street capital markets background. Driven by a vision to make energy more accessible, affordable, and sustainable worldwide, he currently serves as Executive Chairman & CEO of LIS Technologies Inc. (LIST) and Founder & Chairman of NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NNE). LIS Technologies is the only U.S.-origin and patented laser uranium enrichment technology company, delivering a revolutionary, energy- and cost-efficient approach that is set to redefine nuclear fuel industry standards while also producing medical and stable isotopes; including silicon-28 critical for AI and quantum computing. NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NNE) is the first publicly listed, vertically integrated advanced nuclear micro modular reactor company in the United States. Under Jay Yu's leadership, NNE acquired one of the highest Technology Readiness Level (TRL) and patented microreactor designs in development, achieved a market capitalization exceeding $3 billion, raised over $600 million in just a year and a half, and earned the title of Wall Street's Cinderella story of 2024 as the #1 Top IPO Performer. Leading a world-class team of nuclear engineers, former national leaders in military and policy, U.S. Department of Energy experts, national laboratory veterans, and regulatory specialists, Jay is developing smaller, simpler, and safer advanced nuclear microreactors. He brings deep expertise in corporate structuring, capital fundraising, and recruiting top-tier talent while passionately building strategic relationships and creating lasting value for partners and stakeholders. In 2021, Jay Yu was honored as one of The Outstanding 50 Asian Americans in Business; the highest recognition in the U.S. AAPI community. Shawn Ryan Show Sponsors: Check out Maui Nui for wild Axis deer venison, harvested and shipped from Maui under USDA inspection—visit https://mauinuivenison.com/srs If you're serious about selling to the Department of War, go to https://SBIRAdvisors.com and mention Shawn Ryan for your first month free. Head to https://Superpower.com and use code SRS at checkout for $20 off your membership. Live up to your 100-Year potential. #superpowerpod Get firearm security redesigned and save 10% off @StopBoxUSA with code SRS at https://www.stopboxusa.com/srs #stopboxpod Jay Yu Links: X - https://x.com/nano_nuclear IG - https://www.instagram.com/nanonuclear YT - https://www.youtube.com/@nanonuclearenergy NANO Nuclear - https://nanonuclearenergy.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Howard Rubin is a Wall Street legend, famous in the 1980s and ‘90s for being a risk-loving star trader. He also allegedly was involved in secret sex trafficking for years, hidden in a midtown penthouse. WSJ's Erich Schwartzel traces the saga and explains the allegations of abuse that ultimately led to Rubin's arrest. Ryan Knutson hosts. Further Listening: - The High Pressure Tactics Gloria Allred Uses On Her Own Clients - Behind the Scenes at Davos, Claims of a Toxic Boss Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Listen to Jim Cramer's personal guide through the confusing jungle of Wall Street investing, navigating through opportunities and pitfalls with one goal in mind - to help you make money. Mad Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Meet my friends, Clay Travis and Buck Sexton! If you love Verdict, the Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show might also be in your audio wheelhouse. Politics, news analysis, and some pop culture and comedy thrown in too. Here’s a sample episode recapping four takeaways. Give the guys a listen and then follow and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. Trump Accounts President Trump joined Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, CEOs and investors at an all-day summit in D.C. Highlighting a new imitative that will encourage fiscal responsibility. Joe Lavorgna, Counselor to U.S. Treasury Secretary An in‑depth interview with Joe Lavorgna, counselor to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and former Wall Street economist. Lavorgna explains the Trump administration’s newly announced “Trump Accounts,” a policy initiative designed to provide newborn children with seed investment capital to encourage long‑term wealth building, financial literacy, and participation in the U.S. capitalist system. Clay and Buck explore the power of compound interest, with Lavorgna outlining how early investment contributions—combined with historical stock market returns—could grow into hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars over time. The discussion highlights the administration’s broader goal of expanding equity ownership and addressing the fact that millions of American households currently lack any exposure to the stock market. The conversation then expands to affordability, inflation, and economic growth heading into the 2026 midterm elections. Lavorgna argues that Trump‑era policies emphasizing deregulation, domestic energy production, capital investment, and productivity growth are creating what he describes as a “disinflationary boom.” He explains how rising productivity allows wages to increase while prices stabilize or fall, improving living standards and restoring purchasing power. Clay and Buck also question Lavorgna about public versus private markets, access to wealth creation for average investors, and the long‑term implications of the AI boom. Lavorgna expresses optimism that innovation, strong GDP growth, and declining inflation will continue to support market expansion and job creation. FBI Raid in Fulton County FBI agents are reported to be executing a search warrant at an election facility in Fulton County. Clay and Buck frame the raid as potentially tied to lingering questions surrounding the 2020 presidential election, noting that such discussions were once heavily censored on social media. While acknowledging the seriousness of federal involvement, both hosts caution listeners to temper expectations, citing statutes of limitation, institutional reluctance, and the likelihood that any findings—no matter how significant—would still be dismissed by partisan audiences. Election integrity and voter confidence dominate the early portion of Hour 3, with Clay and Buck debating whether meaningful accountability for 2020 is still possible and arguing that the most important outcome now is ensuring future elections are secure. They discuss how political polarization has hardened perceptions on both sides, referencing long‑standing beliefs among Democrats about Russian interference in 2016 and skepticism among Republicans about 2020 results. The hosts emphasize that Trump’s decisive return to the White House in 2024 may represent the most consequential response to past disputes, arguing that his second term has proven more powerful and effective than a hypothetical uninterrupted presidency would have been. The hour also includes updates on law enforcement actions tied to recent unrest, with Buck highlighting announcements from the Department of Justice regarding arrests of individuals accused of assaulting federal officers during anti‑ICE riots in Minnesota. While expressing skepticism about whether meaningful penalties will ultimately be imposed at the local level, both hosts agree that federal arrests represent a necessary step toward restoring order and protecting immigration enforcement personnel. Listener calls follow, including personal stories expressing support for law enforcement and reflections on accountability, responsibility, and respect for police officers doing difficult jobs under intense scrutiny Mark Halperin on the Future of Media An extended interview with veteran political journalist Mark Halperin. Halperin assesses the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term, arguing that Trump benefited strategically from four years out of office to plan, staff, and refine priorities. Halperin highlights what he describes as a more energized and deliberate administration, while outlining three major challenges ahead: passing legislation in a divided Senate, managing long‑term competition with China, and navigating the looming midterm elections. The discussion also addresses internal administration tensions, particularly surrounding DHS leadership and messaging failures related to ICE enforcement, with Halperin predicting that while personnel changes are unlikely, visibility and roles may shift. Halperin and the hosts further analyze the spread of anti‑ICE protests beyond Minneapolis, including incidents in New York City, and discuss how the administration must balance maintaining firm enforcement with controlling optics and preventing escalation. Halperin argues that better crowd control and clearer operational perimeters could reduce danger to both agents and civilians while limiting copycat protests. The hour also includes lighter moments, including a viral exchange about generational cultural knowledge involving legendary sports broadcasters John Madden and Pat Summerall, which sparks a humorous debate about media literacy, generational divides, and shared cultural reference points. Make sure you never miss a second of the show by subscribing to the Clay Travis & Buck Sexton show podcast wherever you get your podcasts! ihr.fm/3InlkL8 For the latest updates from Clay and Buck: https://www.clayandbuck.com/ Connect with Clay Travis and Buck Sexton on Social Media: X - https://x.com/clayandbuck FB - https://www.facebook.com/ClayandBuck/ IG - https://www.instagram.com/clayandbuck/ YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuck Rumble - https://rumble.com/c/ClayandBuck TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@clayandbuckYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@VerdictwithTedCruzSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.