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Knowledge is being aware of your situation. Wisdom is knowing when and how to act. — Thom Goolsby Monday's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Every day you can receive our Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Use All the Charts, All the Time to Stay Out of Trouble." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Knowledge is being aware of your situation. Wisdom is knowing when and how to act. — Thom Goolsby Monday's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Every day you can receive our Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Use All the Charts, All the Time to Stay Out of Trouble." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
In this episode of Nurturing Financial Freedom, we explore the bold claim that retirees should hold nothing but stocks forever. Sparked by a recent Wall Street Journal article by Jason Zweig, the conversation centers around whether an all-equity portfolio is a sound retirement strategy, or just good theory that breaks down in the real world. We tackle the academic study Zweig references, which analyzed over a century of data across 39 countries, concluding that bonds have historically underperformed and added minimal diversification. At first glance, that makes a compelling case for stocks-only portfolios, even in retirement.But as we point out, average returns over a hundred years don't capture the emotional and practical realities retirees face. Markets move in cycles, and people's risk tolerance changes over time—especially when they stop contributing and start drawing income in retirement. When volatility hits, a paper loss becomes a real-life stressor, and if the timing is bad enough, it can ruin a retirement plan. The study fails to account for the psychological impact of watching your nest egg drop 30–40%, which often leads investors to panic and sell low. We emphasize that bonds, CDs, and cash aren't exciting, but they serve a critical purpose: they provide liquidity and peace of mind during market downturns.We share examples of possible outcomes for people who retired just before the 2008 crash—and how balanced portfolios helped them weather the storm while all-stock portfolios struggled. Those who were all-in on stocks or fled to cash at the wrong time are still trying to catch up—or never did. We also run a hypothetical example from 1999 to 2024 showing how a 60/40 split outperformed both a pure stock and pure bond strategy over 25 years, with regular withdrawals. The math alone doesn't capture the full picture. Sequence of returns risk is real, and so is the need for flexibility.Ultimately, we conclude that the best plan isn't the one with the highest theoretical return—it's the one you can stick with. A diversified portfolio might not always win in terms of raw numbers, but it gives you the best chance to live the life you want in retirement, regardless of market conditions. For us, true financial freedom comes from consistency, flexibility, and balance—not gambling on perfect market timing.You can always email Alex and Ed at info@birchrunfinancial.com or give them a call at 484-395-2190.Or visit them on the web at https://www.birchrunfinancial.com/Alex and Ed's Book: Mastering The Money Mind: https://www.amazon.com/Mastering-Money-Mind-Thinking-Personal/dp/1544530536 Any opinions are those of Ed Lambert Alex Cabot, financial advisors, RJFS, and Jon Gay, and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The examples throughout this material are for illustrative purposes only. Raymond James does not provide tax or legal services. Please discuss these matters with the appropriate professional. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. CDs are insured by the FDIC and offer a fixed rate of return, whereas the return and principal value of investment securities fluctuate with changes in market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. Stock Market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise. Investing in small cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Birch Run Financial is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services. Birch Run Financial is located at 595 E Swedesford Rd, Ste 360, Wayne PA 19087 and can be reached at 484-395-2190.Any rating is not intended to be an endorsement, or any way indicative of the advisors' abilities to provide investment advice or management. This podcast is intended for informational purposes only.Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize, or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors.Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users or members. You can always email Alex and Ed at info@birchrunfinancial.com or give them a call at 484-395-2190.Or visit them on the web at https://www.birchrunfinancial.com/Alex and Ed's Book: Mastering The Money Mind: https://www.amazon.com/Mastering-Money-Mind-Thinking-Personal/dp/1544530536 Any opinions are those of Ed Lambert Alex Cabot, financial advisors, RJFS, and Jon Gay, and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The examples throughout this material are for illustrative purposes only. Raymond James does not provide tax or legal services. Please discuss these matters with the appropriate professional. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. CDs are insured by the FDIC and offer a fixed rate of return, whereas the return and principal value of investment securities fluctuate with changes in market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. Stock Market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise. Investing in small cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Birch Run Financial is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services. Birch Run Financial is located at 595 E Swedesford Rd, Ste 360, Wayne PA 19087 and can be reached at 484-395-2190. Any rating is not intended to be an endorsement, or any way indicative of the advisors' abilities to provide investment advice or management. This podcast is intended for informational purposes only.Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize, or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors.Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users or members. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged after the Thursday sell-off. Yields dipped on renewed hopes for a Fed rate cut in December. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this episode, we're joined by Mamdouh Medhat, VP and Senior Researcher at Dimensional Fund Advisors, for an exceptionally deep, exceptionally nerdy exploration of factor investing—focusing on profitability, value, defensive equity, and the persistent misunderstandings that surround them. Mamdouh walks us through his retrospective paper (co-authored with Robert Novy-Marx) on the profitability premium, why profitability subsumes a wide range of quality metrics, and why it dramatically clarifies how we should think about defensive/low-volatility strategies. He also explains the role of profitability in value's US underperformance since 2007, why price-to-book remains a remarkably effective valuation metric, and how Dimensional incorporates these insights into portfolio construction. In the second half of the conversation, we shift to private markets. Mamdouh unpacks Dimensional's research on buyouts, venture capital, private credit, and private real estate—revealing what percentage of the global investable universe these funds actually represent, how to benchmark them properly, how much dispersion exists across managers, how fair-value accounting changed the game post-2007, and why many perceived diversification benefits are actually just return smoothing. Key Points From This Episode: (0:04) Intro to Mamdouh Medhat and why his research fits the Rational Reminder "nerdy happy place." (1:32) The story behind Mamdouh's retrospective paper with Robert Novy-Marx and the impact of the original profitability research on academia and practice. (5:36) Three things the paper examines: quality investing, defensive/low-risk strategies, and value—unified through profitability. (6:55) Why none of the 15 major academic and practitioner quality metrics add explanatory power beyond profitability. (8:18) How spanning tests show profitability explains quality, but quality does not explain profitability. (12:24) Quality measures largely load on profitability—they're noisier versions of the same thing. (13:14) The link between quality metrics and fundamental momentum, especially for QMJ and quarterly ROE. (15:18) Practical implications: profitability is a parsimonious, more efficient way to capture the "quality" dimension. (16:30) Defensive equity through the profitability lens—why high profitability predicts low volatility. (18:58) Why long-only low-volatility strategies produce zero five-factor alpha—and why a simple high-profitability/low-investment portfolio plus T-bills beats them. (22:14) Alternative value metrics (EBITDA/EV, intangible-adjusted book-to-market, etc.) don't outperform price-to-book when profitability is accounted for. (24:57) Many "improved" value metrics simply rotate in profitability exposure, not better value information. (26:17) Roughly half of US value's post-2007 underperformance is explained by its negative correlation with profitability. (28:42) Industry tilts (e.g., energy/financials vs. tech/healthcare) drive much of value's volatility—not its long-term return. (30:33) The theoretical case for combining clean valuation (price-to-book) with clean expected cash flow (profitability). (33:36) Academic implications: models must jointly explain value and profitability—and their negative correlation. (35:09) Practitioner implications: parsimony—use clear valuation and cash-flow measures, limit excessive complexity. (36:53) How Dimensional measures profitability: operating profitability (revenue – COGS – SG&A – interest) scaled by book equity. (41:09) Why tilting toward or away from countries based on aggregate characteristics rarely adds value—premiums come from stocks, not countries. (42:57) Industry-level tilts show similar patterns—industry momentum exists but is impractical due to massive turnover. (46:15) How Dimensional handles country and industry weights: sort within countries, then apply sector caps. (48:27) Private markets: private funds make up roughly 10% of the global investable universe—not 25–100% as sometimes claimed. (50:53) Benchmark choice for private funds is crucial—S&P 500 is not appropriate for buyouts or VCs. (52:00) Using KSPME (public-market equivalent), buyouts and VCs match small-cap value/growth benchmarks; private credit matches high yield; private real estate underperforms listed real estate. (55:50) Factor exposures post-2007 explain 70–80% of private-fund return variation due to fair-value accounting. (1:00:48) Wide dispersion in private-fund performance—top 5% double or triple capital; bottom 5% lose half. (1:03:49) Little evidence of manager persistence—manager selection must rely on due diligence, not past vintages. (1:08:24) No strong time trend in private-fund outperformance, but correlations with public markets have increased. (1:09:13) Many diversification benefits historically attributed to private assets were actually illiquidity-driven smoothing. (1:12:25) Rising demand and democratization likely reduce expected returns in private markets—exclusivity is fading. Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Benjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com)
"Just buy the index." It's the simple advice that built your wealth and got you to the finish line. But here's what often gets overlooked: The strategy that got you to retirement won't necessarily keep you there. When you switch from saving to spending, the math changes. Suddenly, relying on a "simple" S&P 500 strategy exposes you to risks that didn't matter when you had a paycheck. In this episode, we cover: ▶ The Simplicity Trap: Why "decision fatigue" lures smart retirees into risky, overly concentrated portfolios. ▶ S&P 500 Reality Check: Why the "safe" default option is actually dangerous for your retirement income. ▶ The "Flatline" Defense: How to build a retirement portfolio that protects your purchasing power during downturns. ▶ Beyond Investing: How to align your investments, taxes, and legacy for true peace of mind. If you are approaching retirement and wondering if your "set it and forget it" strategy is enough to last a lifetime this episode is for you. ***
Markets rise and fall—but not all cycles tell the same story. What do those ups and downs really mean for your investments?Scripture reminds us in Ecclesiastes 3:1, “To everything there is a season, a time for every purpose under heaven.” Just as God designed natural cycles—the sun, the tides, the seasons—financial markets also move through cycles. While less predictable, these patterns help us understand where we are in the investing journey and how to prepare wisely for what's ahead.According to Mark Biller, Executive Editor at Sound Mind Investing (SMI), the two most common market cycles are known as bull markets (when prices rise) and bear markets (when prices fall). But within those categories lie two distinct types of trends: cyclical and secular.Cyclical vs. Secular: What's the Difference?“The terms might sound fancy,” says Biller, “but they really describe short-term versus long-term cycles.”Cyclical markets are the short-term ups and downs—periods that might last a few months to a few years.Secular markets are the broader, long-term trends that can span decades—often between 10 and 40 years.Think of it like waves on the ocean. Cyclical markets are the smaller waves that move in and out, while secular markets are the larger tides that shape the shoreline over time.Learning from History: Market ExamplesFrom 1968 to 1982, the S&P 500 was essentially flat—a 15-year stretch where inflation eroded nearly 60% of investors' purchasing power. That's what economists call a secular bear market—a long-term period of little to no progress.Yet within that broader season, there were multiple shorter-term bull and bear cycles. Investors who recognized those patterns could navigate the market with more perspective and less panic.The same was true from 2000 to 2009, another decade of overall stagnation in U.S. stocks. “But even then,” Biller notes, “we saw two cyclical bear markets with a five-year bull market sandwiched between them.”The takeaway? Even in long-term downturns, some shorter-term opportunities and recoveries keep markets moving forward over time.Why It Matters—Especially for Bond InvestorsUnderstanding these cycles isn't just an academic exercise. “It's actually more helpful when it comes to bonds than stocks,” Biller explains.That's because bond markets move in much longer secular cycles. From 1982 to 2021, the U.S. enjoyed a 40-year secular bull market in bonds as interest rates steadily declined from 15% to near zero. But since 2020, that trend has reversed. “Interest rates have been rising again,” Biller says, “and that's led to negative returns for many bond investors over the last five years.”This shift could signal the beginning of a secular bear market for bonds—a long period in which rising interest rates make it harder for bonds to perform well.Rethinking the Classic 60/40 PortfolioFor decades, the “60/40” portfolio—60% stocks and 40% bonds—was the gold standard for balanced investing. But in today's environment, that mix may need to evolve.“At Sound Mind Investing (SMI), we've reduced our bond allocation to around 30%,” Biller explains. “We haven't abandoned bonds altogether, but we're diversifying beyond them.”That diversification includes strategies like:Dynamic asset allocation—adjusting investments as market conditions shiftGold and commodities—as hedges against inflationReal estate and energy stocks—for long-term growth potentialAlternative assets like Bitcoin (in small doses), to add further varietyBuilding a Portfolio That Endures Every SeasonWhether markets are bullish or bearish, cyclical or secular, the goal remains the same: build a portfolio that's resilient and rooted in wisdom.Biller's encouragement for long-term investors is simple:“We're not advocating for dramatic changes, but rather thoughtful diversification. The goal is to build portfolios you can stick with through every kind of market season.”That perspective echoes a deeper truth for believers: our ultimate security isn't found in market trends but in God's unchanging character. Markets may rise and fall, but His promises endure forever.Faith, Patience, and PerspectiveUnderstanding both short- and long-term market cycles helps us invest with patience, discipline, and faith—trusting that God is sovereign over every season, financial or otherwise.As Proverbs 21:5 reminds us, “The plans of the diligent lead surely to abundance, but everyone who is hasty comes only to poverty.”In every bull and bear market, we're called to plan wisely, give generously, and trust deeply—knowing that the One who holds the future also holds us.For more practical investing insights and biblical wisdom, visit SoundMindInvesting.org.On Today's Program, Rob Answers Listener Questions:I'm nearing retirement with no debt and some investment savings, but I don't have a pension. Would it make sense to use part of my investments to buy an annuity for guaranteed monthly income in addition to Social Security?I'm in my 70s, retired, and divorced, and much of my income goes toward alimony. How can I balance saving for emergencies while still giving more to the Lord's work, which I see as the greater reward?Resources Mentioned:Faithful Steward: FaithFi's Quarterly Magazine (Become a FaithFi Partner)Sound Mind Investing (SMI)Bulls and Bears, Cyclical and Secular (SMI Article by Mark Biller and Joseph Slife)SMI Dynamic Asset Allocation Model StrategyWisdom Over Wealth: 12 Lessons from Ecclesiastes on MoneyLook At The Sparrows: A 21-Day Devotional on Financial Fear and AnxietyRich Toward God: A Study on the Parable of the Rich FoolFind a Certified Kingdom Advisor (CKA)FaithFi App Remember, you can call in to ask your questions every workday at (800) 525-7000. Faith & Finance is also available on Moody Radio Network and American Family Radio. You can also visit FaithFi.com to connect with our online community and partner with us as we help more people live as faithful stewards of God's resources. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Markets have been under pressure lately—especially in Technology—as investors worry about stretched valuations, widening credit default swaps, and whether the AI trade is finally losing steam. Despite the noise, this remains a minor, healthy pullback of roughly 3%, not a full-blown correction. In this pre-market update, we break down why the decline feels worse than it is, why the next two weeks of November historically favor stronger performance, and how mutual fund distributions in December may create volatility before a potential year-end rally. Nvidia is today's major market mover. After an extraordinary run from below $100 in April to nearly $186 today, the stock has pulled back to support but remains in a solid long-term uptrend. If you've been waiting for an entry point, the current setup may offer one, with $200 as a logical near-term target. We also analyze key technical levels for the S&P 500: • A close above the 50-DMA keeps the bullish trend intact • A break lower shifts focus to the 100-DMA • Four straight down days have worked off October's overbought surge, increasing odds of a bounce toward 6,700–6,750 If you didn't harvest profits earlier, selling into weakness now may not be ideal. Use the next rally to rebalance risk and manage exposures. Stay focused. Stay disciplined. Keep perspective. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bb8BeVp7ID8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Nvidia #AITrade #SP500 #MarketUpdate
Success is nothing more than a few simple disciplines, practiced every day. — Jim Rohn Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Mastering Heiken-Ashi Candlesticks: Enhancing Stock Charting Techniques." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider In this episode of the Hot Options Report, Mark delves into a tumultuous day in the options market. Nvidia, expected to be the savior of the market, initially saw a massive rally but eventually led to a decline with S&P down 1.56%, Nasdaq off over 2%, and the Dow down about 0.85%. VIX surged to over 26, with 1.61 million contracts changing hands. SPY experienced record volume with 16.6 million contracts traded, blowing past its previous high. Other indices like IWM and SPX also saw significant activity. Single stock equities were highly active, with notable mentions including Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, MicroStrategy, and Tesla, with Nvidia leading the pack with 6.72 million contracts. The episode also highlights significant options trades and strategies observed during the day. Explore additional options data and reports available at: http://TheHotOptionsReport.com.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CME HOT SEAT: Mike Tosaw, St. Charles Wealth Management In this episode, Mark and Mike discuss the significant trading volume and price swings in the S&P 500, spurred by Nvidia earnings and broader market dynamics. The show delves into specific trades and strikes lighting up the tape, highlighting unusual activity in short-term options. Uncle Mike shares insights into the bond market, focusing on the 10-year note and the implications of upcoming Fed decisions. Additionally, the episode examines heightened activity in the gold market, providing an in-depth look at trading strategies and market sentiment.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CME HOT SEAT: Mike Tosaw, St. Charles Wealth Management In this episode, Mark and Mike discuss the significant trading volume and price swings in the S&P 500, spurred by Nvidia earnings and broader market dynamics. The show delves into specific trades and strikes lighting up the tape, highlighting unusual activity in short-term options. Uncle Mike shares insights into the bond market, focusing on the 10-year note and the implications of upcoming Fed decisions. Additionally, the episode examines heightened activity in the gold market, providing an in-depth look at trading strategies and market sentiment.
Les dirigeants des plus grandes économies du monde se retrouvent à partir de samedi 22 novembre à Johannesburg pour un sommet du G20, le premier de l'histoire sur le continent africain. Pretoria entend peser pour obtenir des engagements sur l'allègement de la dette des pays en développement et sur la lutte contre les inégalités, à l'heure où son économie enregistre quelques succès. Les G20 arrive au meilleur des moments pour l'Afrique du Sud. Depuis le mois dernier, le pays n'est plus considéré à risque en matière de blanchiment d'argent. Le Gafi (Groupe d'action financière) l'organisme international de lutte contre ces pratiques a sorti Pretoria de sa fameuse liste « grise » au nom de ses réformes pour plus de transparence. Une bonne nouvelle n'arrivant jamais seule, vendredi 14 novembre, c'est l'une des trois grandes agences de notation S&P qui a relevé d'un cran la note du pays. Une première en 20 ans. Concrètement la note de crédit à long terme — sorte de note de confiance" sur la qualité de la dette du pays — est passée de "BB-" à "B.B". Pour donner une idée, c'est un peu comme si l'Afrique du Sud passait de 8 à 9/20. Certes, ce n'est pas encore la moyenne, mais c'est un signal fort, un gage de confiance pour les investisseurs. Et cela devrait permettre à Pretoria des taux d'intérêts moins élevés et donc d'emprunter moins cher sur les marchés. Redresser les finances publiques La confiance des investisseurs s'explique en partie par les efforts de la coalition au pouvoir pour redresser les finances publiques. Non seulement l'Afrique du Sud collecte plus d'argent via l'impôt, mais elle le collecte aussi mieux. Le budget présenté la dernière semaine prévoit une hausse des recettes. Autre point positif : le plan de libéralisation de l'économie lancé par le président Cyril Ramaphosa qui vise encourager les partenariats publics/privés dans des secteurs clés: les trains, les ports ou encore l'énergie. L'agence de notation S&P cite une réussite. Le cas de la compagnie d'électricité publique Eskom qui a enregistré le mois dernier son premier bénéfice net en huit ans. Les coupures de courant sont moins fréquentes dans le pays, ce qui pénalise moins les entreprises et favorise la croissance. Pays le plus inégalitaire au monde Après une décennie de croissance atone, les prévisions ont été revues à la hausse. Le PIB pourrait progresser de près de 2% en moyenne sur les trois prochaines années (1,8% en moyenne sur les trois prochaines années selon les prévisions du Trésor) Et l'inflation, reste maitrisée. La banque centrale table sur une hausse des prix de 3% en moyenne, contre à 3% et 6% auparavant. Pourtant, tout n'est pas rose. Le principal défi de Pretoria reste son taux de chômage qui dépasse les 30% Et c'est encore pire chez les jeunes : un sur deux est sans travail. L'Afrique du Sud ne créé pas assez d'emplois par rapport à sa population, et les inégalités se creusent. Plus de 30 ans après la fin de l'apartheid, le pays peine à gommer les disparités raciales. D'après la Banque mondiale, l'Afrique du Sud reste le pays le plus inégalitaire au monde. À lire aussiAfrique du Sud: à Soweto, la ruée vers l'or continue de toucher les populations pauvres plus de 100 ans plus tard
Markets are pulling back and investor anxiety is rising, with the S&P down about 3% from the peak and the NASDAQ off roughly 5%. Headlines warn of "relentless selling," but this is exactly what happens after a powerful rally. We just experienced one of the strongest six-month runs since 1990—corrections are part of the process. In today's pre-market update, we break down why this drawdown isn't a crisis, why risk management matters even in bull markets, and how investor narratives can quickly fall apart. The recent weakness in Bitcoin and NASDAQ lines up with technical signals that flashed weeks ago, including a clear MACD sell on Bitcoin. This isn't the end of the world. It's how markets work. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gs3bObsvk0c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #MarketPullback #PreMarketUpdate #BitcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis
I have learned, that if one advances confidently in the direction of his dreams, and endeavors to live the life he has imagined, he will meet with a success unexpected in common hours. — Henry David Thoreau Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Unveiling Investor Psychology: VPA & Candlesticks." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Nvidia results loom after the longest S&P 500 losing streak since August. Crypto rebounded late Tuesday but mega caps sank. Lowes, Target, and Fed minutes also are on tap today.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0130-1125) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
After a long hiatus (no, not related to the government shutdown) we return with a look at the economy and markets. On the economic front, despite a lack of formal data, signs point to a weakening labor market. Consumers in the bottom 80% have spending post-Covid that has barely kept pace with inflation, with prices higher by around 25% since 2020. Unemployment has climbed to over 9% for those between 20 and 24 years of age. All these are signs of a K-shaped economic recovery, with a strong stock market supporting higher spending for those in the top 20% of incomes. The Fed faces a challenge with a weakening labor market but inflation near 3%; the odds of a December rate cut have fallen to 50%. In terms of the equity market, we have also seen a K-shape. While overall market performance has been narrow (only 158 out of 500 stocks in the S&P are outperforming YTD), it has been the Mag 7, which have seen strong earnings growth, and very speculative stocks, fueled by retail traders both in and outside the U.S. For the former, this growth comes with a caveat that their once strong free cash flows are being siphoned off (and bolstered by debt) to fuel the massive capital expenditure required to build out AI infrastructure. For the latter, a form of tribalism has united retail speculators, who are treating stocks much like sports wagering, which has also seen massive volume growth. It is important to note that despite stocks favored by retail investors performing well this year that, since 2021, the average Robinhood account is estimated to have declined in value while the S&P 500 is up substantially. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting www.formidableam.com.
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.theflyingfrisby.comI don't mean to get all bearish on you.Bearish copy - it's all going down, it's going to crash - gets more eyeballs than “everything's fine”. Bearish commentators usually have bigger followings. Bad news sells.But bears are usually wrong. They've predicted 13 of the last two corrections.The fact is, as human beings progress and economies grow, markets tend to rise. This is doubly so when the underlying unit of account - the pound, the euro, the dollar - is being systematically debased. (Which makes the underperformance of the FTSE these last 25 years even more incredible by the way). Stock markets, especially in the US, have become places to park capital, where you can reduce erosion by inflation.So that's my disclaimer out of the way.I'm feeling bearishWe'll start with bitcoin. It's a leading indicator for the Nasdaq and tech. It's sold off - from $125,000 in early October to $90,000 a coin on Monday. Remember: I targeted $90,000 a coin a few weeks back.The crypto summer was muted, so we can expect this crypto winter to be similarly muted - no 90% corrections in other words. But we are almost 30% down already.Strip out the noise and HODL is my advice. That's what I'm doing. There has been no better investment strategy over the last 15 years and I'm sticking with it. But a crypto winter is upon us, it seems. Let's hope it's a mild one.Here's the chart. Look at the 50 day moving average in red. This is the third time in since 2024 that we have been in this situation.One correction lasted most of 2024 - well, March to October - the other took up the first five months of this year. They passed.Also worth noting is how each correction seems to have three spikes down - three drives to the bottom. This time around we have only had one, so maybe a couple more to go. That is not a prediction by the way: just an observation.The corrections in gold and silver have been more muted. But I have to say the silver chart concerns me. Double top or what?I thought the October correction would go deeper than it did, but it held up at the 50 day moving average (red line). That's a sign of strength. This rebound rally, dead cat bounce - whatever you want to call it - has taken us right back to the old highs, while gold and the S&P500 both made lower highs. That is also a sign of relative strength.But the second high was not confirmed by the silver miners, that is not good. And now we have a double top on our hands, until we don't.I would think we have one more leg down to get through plus some sideways consolidation to digest the gains of earlier this year. Here is gold, FYI, which has conspicuously made a lower high. This one might want to go into the $3 thousands for a bit.The stock market has this ridiculous Nvidia situation to get through. $4.4 trillion market cap - and that's after the recent pullback. 40 stocks account for something like 60% of the market cap of the five hundred stocks in the S&P. It needs to rebalance, otherwise it's an index of 40 stocks with 460 hangers-on. Corrections are how these things happen.So I am feeling über cautious. There is nothing wrong with having cash in times like this - it means you can buy stuff.On the other hand, the year end rally is approaching - so maybe we should just stay long. As with bitcoin, the way to play the stock market since 2009 when the S&P500 reached 666 - it is ten times that today! - has been simply to hold on through. With so many conflicting messages, it's hard to know what to do. Dolce Far Niente … Italian for HODL.With all that in mind, I want to just skim through some of my speculative positions and give you my latest opinion on them. we are going to look at Metals Exploration (MTL.L), Comstock (LODE.NYSE), Lightbridge (LTBR), Minera Alamos (MAI.V) and more. Time to sell? Time to buy more?Let's see. A review of the speculative portfolioWe'll start with Metals Exploration (MTL.L), my largest position.
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn tackle two of the biggest gaps in financial education: How to actually use RSI, MACD, Money Flow, and MACD Histogram together, and why post-retirement planning (the "decumulation" phase) is so overlooked—yet absolutely critical. Lance and Jon break down the mysteries of indicator interplay, retirement income strategies, and how to evaluate who you can trust with your money. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - The Math Ain't Mathin' for 2026 Earnings Projections 4:57 - I Told You So 10:42 - Technical Analysis - Keep it Simple 14:04 - Adapt Your Technical Analysis to Your Time Frame 15:19 - Looking for a Trend - What is a Moving Average? 18:02 - What the MACD Tells Us - The Gap 22:18 - Measuring Relative Strength 24:16 - The Bitcoin Example 27:18 - Buyers and Sellers and Money Flows 30:41 - No One Size Fits All 32:09 - The Value of Diversified Portfolio Management 34:30 - The Fallacies of Diversification 37:40 - Retirement Doesn't Mean the Same for Everyone 44:37 - Organization of Withdrawal Strategies
The S&P 500 just broke below its 50-day moving average (50-DMA) for the first time in 199 days – the longest streak since the bull run began. Is this the start of a major correction or just another fake-out? In today's pre-market video short, we break down: Why yesterday's break of the 50-DMA actually matters What the MACD and RSI are telling us right now Why everything is moving together: stocks, small-caps, Nasdaq (QQQ), international, emerging markets, gold, and even Bitcoin The danger of high correlation across all asset classes in 2025 Historical seasonality: the last 2 weeks of November are usually strong Key takeaway: Don't panic-sell yet. Wait 2–3 days to see if the S&P closes back above the 50-DMA. Buyers often step in exactly at these widely watched levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZ4-aOC7VqQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #50DayMovingAverage #StockMarketCorrection #PreMarket #Investing2025
In today's episode, Richard covers three big themes shaping today's housing decisions. First, he breaks down what he's seeing on the ground in Q4 across the South Bay: slower transaction volume, a return to pre-COVID seasonality, and how today's market is playing out across the South Bay. Next, Richard unpacks fresh national data from Redfin showing U.S. housing turnover at a 30-year low and explains how “golden handcuff” low-rate owners are keeping inventory tight, even with affordability still stretched. Finally, he dives into the numbers behind real estate versus the S&P 500, using real South Bay land deals and a 30-year Case-Shiller vs. S&P comparison to explore when you may be better off buying property—and when a simple index fund might quietly win.
Perseverance is failing 19 times and succeeding the 20th — Julie Andrews Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Back Away to Really See What's Happening." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
President Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House. Looking to strike a number of investment deals. Plus, Citi's Global Head of Tech breaks down how investors should be thinking about the market's fears of an AI bubble. And the CEO of Medtronic reacts to results after raising guidance. The stock the top gainer on the S&P 500 in early trade. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Carl Quintanilla, David Faber and Sara Eisen covered market volatility and the AI trade ahead of this week's Nvidia earnings report. Alphabet shares jumped after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $5 billion stake in the company. The anchors reacted to a Financial Times report which states Apple is ramping up its succession plan for CEO Tim Cook. Also in focus: Morgan Stanley's S&P 500 price target of 7800, Dell downgraded, retail earnings preview and the consumer, what Anthropic's CEO told CBS' "60 Minutes" about AI and jobs, Netflix's 10-for-1 stock split goes into effect, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson's comments on risks, Fmr. Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh slams the central bank in a WSJ op-ed. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth: Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isn't bullish or bearish. It's risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn't to predict the next crash—it's to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle. 0:00 - INTRO 0:27 - Market Moves Will Hinge on Nvidia 4:18 - Markets' 3rd Test of 50-DMA 8:46 - Why Berkshire Lags the S&P 10:36 - Economic Acceleration Expectations for 2026 14:01 - Consumer Spending Drives Economic Growth 17:42 - Economic Consolidation is Underway 21:45 - Half of Expected Cap-Ex Spending Will Support Economic Activity 23:48 - Full market Cycles Encompass Bulls & Bears 28:20 - A History of Markets' Performance 29:58 - Market Cycles Have Rhythm - The Wycoff Cycles 31:52 - There is No Evidence of Imminent Crash 33:42 - Full market Cycle Analyses 35:22 - Navigating Markets Now 37:51 - Betting Against Buffett 40:59 - Market Dynamics Can Drive Bull Markets for a While 42:42 - Data Deluge & Comming Attractions
Let me tell you the secret that has led to my goal. My strength lies solely in my tenacity. — Louis Pasteur Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Incoming Tide Floats All Boats (and Stocks Too!)." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
In this episode, Mark Longo discusses a wild trading day on Monday, November 17th. The episode covers significant market movements and key options activities for major indices such as the S&P 500 (SPY, SPX), VIX, IWM (small caps), and the QQQ (Nasdaq). Mark highlights noteworthy trades and contract volumes, providing insights into various hot options of the day, including Nvidia, Tesla, Amazon, Apple, and more. Explore additional options data and reports available at TheHotOptionsReport.com.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CO-HOST: Mike Tosaw, St. Charles Wealth Management CO-HOST: Andrew Giovinazzi, The Option Pit In this episode, the panel discusses the current state of the options market. They also look at unusual options activity in CMC and QGEN. Uncle Mike Tosaw provides a Strategy Block focusing on the importance of responsible options trading and knowing when to exit a position. Market conditions, including significant whipsaw action in the S&P 500 and notable upcoming earnings reports from major retailers like Home Depot, Lowe's, and Target, are analyzed. The episode concludes with insights on what the hosts are watching in the market for the upcoming week.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CO-HOST: Mike Tosaw, St. Charles Wealth Management CO-HOST: Andrew Giovinazzi, The Option Pit In this episode, the panel discusses the current state of the options market. They also look at unusual options activity in CMC and QGEN. Uncle Mike Tosaw provides a Strategy Block focusing on the importance of responsible options trading and knowing when to exit a position. Market conditions, including significant whipsaw action in the S&P 500 and notable upcoming earnings reports from major retailers like Home Depot, Lowe's, and Target, are analyzed. The episode concludes with insights on what the hosts are watching in the market for the upcoming week.
Independent analyst Jimmy Moyaha unpacks SA's sovereign credit upgrade from S&P and what a positive outlook really signals. Bastian Teichgreeber from Prescient Investment Management cuts through the G20 noise to focus on what's driving local exchange performance. Marriott's Scott Cooper explains how they're positioning portfolios.
Simon Brown of Just One Lap runs us through the day's market moves, digesting Friday's S&P upgrade, the benefits for financials, the rand holding its ground, interest rate expectations, and results from Ninety One. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream
Valuations for many stocks in the S&P 500 are at sky high levels, and for many of these companies, the math on the growth projections simply doesn't add up, which historically has been catastrophic for investors when the music stops playing. Welcome to Retire with Ashley, your guide to preparing for and living your best retirement. I'm your host Ashley Micciche, and today, I am joined by Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager and co-founder at Washington Crossing Advisors. Here's is today's interview segment with Kevin Caron…
Die ekonoom van die Noordwes-Universiteit, professor Raymond Parsons, sê die besluit deur die globale agentskap S&P om Suid-Afrika se kredietgradering vir die eerste keer in byna twee dekades op te gradeer, is welkome nuus vir die ekonomie. Parsons sê egter daar wag nog 'n lang pad:
Valuations for many stocks in the S&P 500 are at sky high levels, and for many of these companies, the math on the growth projections simply doesn't add up, which historically has been catastrophic for investors when the music stops playing. Welcome to Retire with Ashley, your guide to preparing for and living your best retirement. I'm your host Ashley Micciche, and today, I am joined by Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager and co-founder at Washington Crossing Advisors. Here's is today's interview segment with Kevin Caron…
“Predictions are hard,” Yogi Berra once quipped, “especially about the future”. Yes they are. But in today's AI boom/bubble, how exactly can we predict the future? According to Silicon Valley venture capitalist Aman Verjee, access to the future lies in the past. In his new book, A Brief History of Financial Bubbles, Verjee looks at history - particularly the 17th century Dutch tulip mania and the railway mania of 19th century England - to make sense of today's tech economics. So what does history teach us about the current AI exuberance: boom or bubble? The Stanford and Harvard-educated Verjee, a member of the PayPal Mafia who wrote the company's first business plan with Peter Thiel, and who now runs his own venture fund, brings both historical perspective and insider experience to this multi-trillion-dollar question. Today's market is overheated, the VC warns, but it's more nuanced than 1999. The MAG-7 companies are genuinely profitable, unlike the dotcom darlings. Nvidia isn't Cisco. Yet “lazy circularity” in AI deal-making and pre-seed valuations hitting $50 million suggests traditional symptoms of irrational exuberance are returning. Even Yogi Berra might predict that. * Every bubble has believers who insist “this time is different” - and sometimes they're right. Verjee argues that the 1999 dotcom bubble actually created lasting value through companies like Amazon, PayPal, and the infrastructure that powered the next two decades of growth. But the concurrent telecom bubble destroyed far more wealth through outright fraud at companies like Enron and WorldCom.* Bubbles always occur in the world's richest country during periods of unchallenged hegemony. Britain dominated globally during its 1840s railway mania. America was the sole superpower during the dotcom boom. Today's AI frenzy coincides with American technological dominance - but also with a genuine rival in China, making this bubble fundamentally different from its predecessors.* The current market shows dangerous signs but isn't 1999. Unlike the dotcom era when 99% of fiber optic cable laid was “dark” (unused), Nvidia could double GPU production and still sell every chip. The MAG-7 trade at 27-29 times earnings versus the S&P 500's 70x multiple in 2000. Real profitability matters - but $50 million pre-seed valuations and circular revenue deals between AI companies echo familiar patterns of excess.* Government intervention in markets rarely ends well. Verjee warns against America adopting an industrial policy of “picking winners” - pointing to Japan's 1980s bubble as a cautionary tale. Thirty-five years after its collapse, Japan's GDP per capita remains unchanged. OpenAI is not too big to fail, and shouldn't be treated as such.* Immigration fuels American innovation - full stop. When anti-H1B voices argue for restricting skilled immigration, Verjee points to the counter-evidence: Elon Musk, Sergey Brin, Sundar Pichai, Satya Nadella, Max Levchin, and himself - all H1B visa holders who created millions of American jobs and trillions in shareholder value. Closing that pipeline would be economically suicidal.Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Today, in our 199th episode, I dive into some timely updates on Social Security and answered a batch of long-overdue listener questions. We kick things off with the newly announced 2.8% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for Social Security benefits starting January 2026. While that sounds like good news, I cautioned listeners not to celebrate too quickly. Medicare Part B premiums are expected to rise by 11.6%, or about $21.50 per month, which will eat into that COLA, leaving most recipients with a net increase of only around $34.50. I argue that announcing the Social Security COLA a month before Medicare premiums is misleading and suggested both should be released simultaneously to give retirees a clearer picture of their actual income changes. I also highlight the increase in the Social Security earnings limit, which will rise from $176,100 in 2025 to $184,500 in 2026 (a 4.77% jump). This means higher earners will contribute more to Social Security before hitting the cap. On a brighter note, the stock market has been performing exceptionally well in 2025, with major indices like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and international markets all posting double-digit gains. At Retire Strong Financial Advisors, we're seeing more people seeking second opinions on their retirement plans, especially as their 401(k)s and 403(b)s hit all-time highs. I wrap up the episode by tackling some fantastic listener questions and reminding everyone to check out our free resources and YouTube channel for more retirement planning insights. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in... (00:00) Intro. (00:27) Social Security Updates. (11:28) Roth Conversions Explained. (19:53) 401k Management Fees. (21:14) Retirement Planning for Couples. (27:19) Annuity Product Warnings. (31:07) Retirement Withdrawal Strategies. Breaking Down Roth Conversions and 401(k) Management Options One listener, JB, asked a great question about Roth conversions, so I took the opportunity to break it down from the basics. A Roth conversion involves moving money from a pre-tax account like a traditional IRA or 401(k) into a Roth account, paying taxes on the converted amount now so it can grow tax-free in the future. This strategy can be especially powerful for those whose retirement savings are heavily concentrated in pre-tax accounts. However, it's not a one-size-fits-all solution. Roth conversions can trigger higher taxes on Social Security benefits, push you into a higher tax bracket, or increase your Medicare premiums. There's also the five-year rule to consider, which can limit when you can access the converted funds. That's why I always recommend working with a fiduciary financial planner or tax advisor to determine if it's the right move. Another listener, Kelly, asked about paying Financial Engines to manage her 401(k). I explained that these services are optional and you can opt out and manage your own portfolio if you're comfortable. But if you're receiving personalized advice and planning, the fee might be worth it. Big Savings, Bigger Risks: Why Planning Matters Then we heard from Gary, who's 60 and married to Linda, who's 52. He's saved over $2 million mostly in a pre-tax 401(k) and has a pension that won't begin until age 65. Linda works part-time, and with their eight-year age gap and no clear Social Security strategy, there are several risks they need to address. If something were to happen to Gary, Linda wouldn't be eligible for survivor Social Security benefits until she turns 60, and the tax burden on their pre-tax savings could be significant for the surviving spouse. Other unknowns like their debt, health insurance plans before Medicare, and pension survivorship options will add more complexity. Life insurance and relocation plans are also critical factors that could impact their long-term financial security. I emphasized the need for a comprehensive retirement plan to help them navigate these issues. On a related note, I addressed a listener's question about annuity sales pitches at steak dinner seminars. While annuities can have a place in a portfolio, they're often sold with high fees, surrender penalties, and limited liquidity. I've seen too many people regret these decisions, so I always urge caution that if someone's buying you dinner, they're probably trying to sell you something. Retirement Education Without the Sales Pitch That's why we do retirement education differently. Our seminars are held at local libraries, no fancy dinners, no alcohol, and absolutely no product pitches. We're there to educate, not sell. This approach ties into Cindy's excellent question about which retirement account to withdraw from first. She has a mix of accounts, 401(k), Roth, and a stock account she hopes to leave to her kids, and she's unsure how to begin her decumulation strategy. This is a crucial decision, and unfortunately, many people get it wrong. The old "conventional wisdom" of spending taxable accounts first, then pre-tax, then Roth, no longer holds up. Tax laws have changed, required minimum distribution ages have shifted, and future tax rates are uncertain. Your withdrawal strategy should be customized based on your income sources, Social Security timing, investment types, and long-term tax impact. Some accounts may generate income through dividends and interest, while others are better suited for long-term growth. The goal is to create a strategy that supports a successful retirement while minimizing your lifetime tax bill. Cindy's question was so important, I even made a YouTube video on it, "Retirement Withdrawal Strategy", which has become one of our most popular resources. Resources & People Mentioned 3 Steps to Retirement Planning BEST Withdrawal Strategy | Where Should You Pull Funds from First? Connect With Gregg Gonzalez Email at: Gregg.gonzalez@lpl.com Podcast: https://RetireStrongFA.com/Podcast Website: https://RetireStrongFA.com/ Follow Gregg on LinkedIn Follow Gregg on Facebook Follow Gregg on YouTube Subscribe to Retirement Made Easy On Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts
Die DA het die opgradering van Suid-Afrika se kredietgradering deur S&P vir die eerste keer sedert Augustus 2005 verwelkom. Jan de Villiers van die DA sê die BB-gradering is 'n duidelike teken van 'n positiewe vooruitsig, wat verdere bevestiging is dat Suid-Afrika, onder die regering van nasionale eenheid, nuwe fiskale geloofwaardigheid het:
Stocks stage a comeback after waking up on the wrong side of the bed this morning. How the S&P 500, Nasdaq, crypto, and momentum stocks bounced off their bottoms of the day, and what it means for the market setup next week. Plus The latest M&A action on the horizon in the pharma space. What one top analyst sees in store for the sector, and the names on his radar with the best prognosis.Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
I am a slow walker, but I never walk back. — Abraham Lincoln Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Chart Mastery: The KEY to Successful Investing & Trading." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Valuations for many stocks in the S&P 500 are at sky high levels, and for many of these companies, the math on the growth projections simply doesn't add up, which historically has been catastrophic for investors when the music stops playing. Welcome to Retire with Ashley, your guide to preparing for and living your best retirement. I'm your host Ashley Micciche, and today, I am joined by Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager and co-founder at Washington Crossing Advisors. Here's is today's interview segment with Kevin Caron…
I am a slow walker, but I never walk back. — Abraham Lincoln Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Chart Mastery: The KEY to Successful Investing & Trading." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Simplicity is prerequisite for reliability. — Edsger Dijkstra Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Do Not Allow the Complexity of Charting to Scare You Away." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider This episode covers major indices performance, including S&P, Nasdaq, Dow, and individual highlights of VIX, SPY, SPX, small caps, and the QQQs. It also delves into major single-name equities options trading, featuring companies like Amazon, SoFi, Apple, Meta (formerly Facebook), Palantir, Tesla, AMD, CTRA, OPEN, and Nvidia. Run your own options report at TheHotOptionsReport.com.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider This episode covers major indices performance, including S&P, Nasdaq, Dow, and individual highlights of VIX, SPY, SPX, small caps, and the QQQs. It also delves into major single-name equities options trading, featuring companies like Amazon, SoFi, Apple, Meta (formerly Facebook), Palantir, Tesla, AMD, CTRA, OPEN, and Nvidia. Run your own options report at TheHotOptionsReport.com.
Valuations for many stocks in the S&P 500 are at sky high levels, and for many of these companies, the math on the growth projections simply doesn't add up, which historically has been catastrophic for investors when the music stops playing. Welcome to Retire with Ashley, your guide to preparing for and living your best retirement. I'm your host Ashley Micciche, and today, I am joined by Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager and co-founder at Washington Crossing Advisors. Here's is today's interview segment with Kevin Caron…
Should the S&P go higher? Today we discuss that and more in this wide-ranging episode. We talk the markets, and warn that investors often cling to bad positions instead of reassessing when wrong, noting that current valuations are stretched and the market appears overextended. There is rising corporate caution during earnings season, weak performance among consumer staples and cyclicals, and the growing dominance of the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks in driving the S&P 500's gains. AI-related capital expenditures and record margin debt levels suggest heightened risk, so you should remain defensive and patient as market conditions soften despite entering a historically strong seasonal period. We discuss... New York City's election of a socialist-leaning mayor and question how it might impact the city's historically capitalist foundation. Drawing a parallel to investing, we stress the need to reassess assumptions when investments go against you instead of clinging to them. The current market is overextended, with valuations significantly above historical trends and a concentration in a few large tech stocks. Consumer cyclicals and staples, normally defensive areas, have underperformed, suggesting caution for risk-averse investors. The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks are disproportionately driving the S&P 500's performance, masking weakness in the broader market. AI-related capital expenditures are rising sharply, but returns on these investments remain minimal, highlighting potential overhype. Margin debt has reached record levels, indicating elevated risk if market sentiment shifts. Earnings season shows that even companies beating expectations may see stock declines, signaling that much of the positive news is already priced in. Weak market breadth—many stocks declining while a few outperform—indicates fragility and higher potential volatility. While a correction is possible, seasonal trends historically make late November through January a strong period for markets. Inflation is picking up modestly, while interest rates are being lowered, creating a complex environment for fixed-income investors. Private credit and real estate markets are showing early signs of stress, particularly as products are increasingly marketed to retail investors. Investors are advised to watch for opportunities in mispriced assets but remain cautious due to market overvaluation and potential downside risks. Overall, the discussion emphasizes patience, caution, and careful risk management amid uncertainty in politics, markets, and emerging technologies. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/should-the-sp-500-go-higher-763
Markets opened weakly on Tuesday but finished in the green as Buy-the-Dip traders stepped back in. The S&P 500 bounced off its 50-DMA and is on the verge of a momentum buy signal, while relative strength continues to improve — a bullish sign for near-term market direction. Rotation remains the key theme: Energy (XLE) is starting to lift, even with oil prices steady. Natural gas could see rising demand as AI-driven data centers strain the power grid. Consumer Staples are beginning to recover as investors rotate toward defensive names. Lance Roberts explains how sector rotation is shaping market momentum — and what it means for portfolio positioning as breadth improves. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8dRFc_XWbPc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #XLE #EnergyStocks #MarketRotation #InvestingStrategy
Complexity and perfection are the twin enemies of execution. — Thom Goolsby Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Commit a Little Time Each Day for Success." https://youtu.be/P0WfZNFNiBo If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Truth is not what you want it to be; it is what it is, and you must bend to its power or live a lie. — Miyamoto Musashi Yesterday's today's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive today's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin, as well as our Trade Execution Instructions by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Commit a Little Time Each Day for Success." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Valuations for many stocks in the S&P 500 are at sky high levels, and for many of these companies, the math on the growth projections simply doesn't add up, which historically has been catastrophic for investors when the music stops playing. Welcome to Retire with Ashley, your guide to preparing for and living your best retirement. I'm your host Ashley Micciche, and today, I am joined by Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager and co-founder at Washington Crossing Advisors. Here's is today's interview segment with Kevin Caron…