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Despite uncertainty around the US government shutdown and signs of economic weakness, equities have rallied, though tech stocks paused as AI enthusiasm met valuation concerns. With non-farm payroll data delayed, investors are turning to private sector indicators for labour market insights. Meanwhile, in Japan, Sanae Takaichi's surprise win as Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leader signals a potential return to expansionary “Sanaenomics”, a policy stance reminiscent of Abenomics, boosting equities and pressuring the yen. Tune in for a deep dive into the macro shifts shaping markets this week.This episode is presented by Magdalene Teo, Head of Fixed Income Research Asia, Julius Baer.
According to a new survey by Booking.com 67% of Chinese folks plan to spend much more, or some more time travelling, whereas 45% of Americans plan to, as well. We discuss the future of travel. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Investors' exuberance is fueling this year's stock rally, but will key economic risks dampen the market's mood? The current bull run has lifted stocks from their springtime lows to higher levels in autumn. The artificial intelligence boom is one of the big factors driving it. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is dealing with the challenging situation of balancing the weakening job market and stubborn inflation. The Fed cut interest rates for the first time in 2025 in the third quarter, but the path forward from here is less certain. Morningstar Inc Senior Markets Reporter Sarah Hansen discusses seven key market factors you should watch in Q4 2025.Nvidia's investment of up to $100 billion in ChatGPT creator OpenAI could shatter records. The big bet is helping feed two simple narratives about the AI era, according to Dan Kemp, chief research and investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management Europe. First, there's too much investment in the technology, and booms tend to lead to busts. Second, AI has changed the rules of investing and returns. Kemp cautions investors to remember that there are a wide range of possible outcomes than these easy stories. On this episode:You examine the highs and lows during each quarter and write about it. What do you think are the biggest takeaways from Q3? Stocks are climbing higher despite a lot of risks. What signals is the market ignoring, and could it be at its own peril? The AI boom is driving what's going on in the market. Mega-cap tech companies are making huge investments. Where's the money going, and how long is this level of spending expected to continue? The hot IPO market has benefited from AI. Some of the most successful IPOs this year involved the industry. Can you describe this revival? The first interest rate cut of 2025 is in the books. The Federal Reserve pointed to the softening job market as one reason for the move. What are strategists telling you as the markets await the Fed's next move? Inflation is still not tamed and hovering above the Fed's 2% target. There are expectations that tariffs could raise prices for a while. What are the outlooks from Morningstar and other strategists? As the Fed cuts rates, short-term yields will come down. What about the rest of the bond market? Where do people see the risks? The federal funding fight is continuing in Washington, D.C. Let's timestamp this moment. It's Tuesday, Sept. 30. The US government would shut down on Oct. 1 if there's not an agreement. How does uncertainty like this affect the markets, and what should investors think? Earnings season is coming up in a couple weeks. What is your team watching for? What's the takeaway for investors as we enter Q4?We talked on last week's Investing Insights about inflation. The Federal Reserve's preferred tracker showed inflation slightly ticked up in August as forecasters expected. It also revealed consumer spending rose. What do you think that's signaling about the US economy? In this week's Markets Brief column, you highlighted Nvidia's potentially record-breaking investment. The chipmaker announced it would invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI. How should investors think about this deal?New economic data is due out this week. What are you tracking for next week's Markets Brief? Read about topics from this episode. 13 Charts on Q3's Tech-Driven Stock Rally Will the AI Boom in Semiconductor Stocks Continue? What Investors Need to Know About the Steepening Yield Curve The Fed's ‘Difficult Situation': Reading Between the Lines of the September Dot Plot Forecasts for August PCE Report Shows Some Cooling, but Tariff Impacts Persist What Investors Need to Know About a US Government Shutdown Markets Brief: Nvidia's AI Spending Spree Raises Boom and Bust Fears What to watch from Morningstar. Is Your Dividend Income at Risk? Here's How to Spot Dividend Traps Should You Hold Cash Investments After the Fed Cuts Interest Rates?What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Stock ETFInvesting in AI? Here Are 6 Undervalued Stocks for Buy-and-Hold Investors Read what our team is writing.Sarah HansenDan KempIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/
A long-enduring myth about money is that we need a flexible or "elastic" currency for the economy to grow. Economist Jonathan Newman joins us to talk about why this has never been true. Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
A long-enduring myth about money is that we need a flexible or "elastic" currency for the economy to grow. Economist Jonathan Newman joins us to talk about why this has never been true. Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for listening!
The Trump-era policies are going full Darth Vader and have the US economy in a chokehold (or force choke for the nerds out there).Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/zeihan/immigration-and-tariff-policies-stunt-us-economy
Welcome back to the show! In this week's episode, I sit down with Doug Elmendorf, former director of the Congressional Budget Office, to talk about the impact of government shutdowns, the challenges of fiscal sustainability, and the importance of independent statistical agencies. We discuss how shutdowns ripple through the economy and people's lives, the tough choices facing policymakers on entitlements and deficits, and why compromise is vital to our democracy. Doug also shares his perspective on the independence of federal statistical agencies, the role of private sector data, and the optimism he sees in today's policy students. It's a wide-ranging conversation about economics, governance, and the future of public service.Subscribe to the PolicyViz Podcast wherever you get your podcasts.Become a patron of the PolicyViz Podcast for as little as a buck a monthFollow me on Instagram, LinkedIn, Substack, Twitter, Website, YouTubeEmail: jon@policyviz.com
Mike Armstrong and Paul Lane discuss the release of the JOLTS report that showed job openings slightly exceeded forecasts. How government shutdowns affect the US economy. US economy will only get murkier if key data is delayed in shutdown. Rise of 'accidental landlords' is bad news for investors who bet big on rentals. Exxon to cut 2,000 jobs in global restructuring. Gen X is about to face the biggest Social Security decision.
As an October 1 deadline fast approaches for the US Congress to agree on a spending bill to keep the US government running, federal agencies have outlined plans for a potential shutdown. Seen as non-essential, key economic reports on jobs and inflation could be delayed, adding more uncertainty over the state of the US economy. Also in this edition, we look at the record buyout of video game maker Electronic Arts by a group of investors led by the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF) and Jared Kushner.
AP's Paul Wiseman explains how the latest GDP figures might affect the economy.
In a special Future of Everything podcast episode recorded live before a studio audience in New York, host Russ Altman talks to three authorities on the innovation economy. His guests – Fei-Fei Li, professor of computer science and co-director of the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI (HAI); Susan Athey, professor and authority on the economics of technology; and Neale Mahoney, Trione Director of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research – bring their distinct-but-complementary perspectives to a discussion on how artificial intelligence is reshaping our economy.Athey emphasizes that both AI broadly and AI-based coding tools specifically are general-purpose technologies, like electricity or the personal computer, whose impact may be felt quickly in certain sectors but much more slowly in aggregate. She tells how solving one bottleneck to implementation often reveals others – whether in digitization, adoption costs, or the need to restructure work and organizations. Mahoney draws on economic history to say we are in a “veil of ignorance” moment with regard to societal impacts. We cannot know whose jobs will be disrupted, he says, but we can invest in safety nets now to ease the transition. Li cautions against assuming AI will replace people. Instead, she speaks of AI as a “horizontal technology” that could supercharge human creativity – but only if it is properly rooted in science, not science fiction.Collectively, the panel calls on policymakers, educators, researchers, and entrepreneurs to steer AI toward what they call “human-centered goals” – protecting workers, growing opportunities, and supercharging education and medicine – to deliver broad and shared prosperity. It's the future of the innovation economy on this episode of Stanford Engineering's The Future of Everything podcast.Have a question for Russ? Send it our way in writing or via voice memo, and it might be featured on an upcoming episode. Please introduce yourself, let us know where you're listening from, and share your question. You can send questions to thefutureofeverything@stanford.edu.Episode Reference Links:Stanford Profile: Fei-Fei LiStanford Profile: Susan AtheyStanford Profile: Neale MahoneyConnect With Us:Episode Transcripts >>> The Future of Everything WebsiteConnect with Russ >>> Threads / Bluesky / MastodonConnect with School of Engineering >>> Twitter/X / Instagram / LinkedIn / FacebookChapters:(00:00:00) IntroductionRuss Altman introduces live guests Fei-Fei Li, Susan Athey, and Neale Mahoney, professors from Stanford University.(00:02:37) Lessons from Past TechnologyComparing AI with past technologies and the bottlenecks to their adoption.(00:06:29) Jobs & Safety NetsThe uncertainty of AI's labor impact and investing in social protections.(00:08:29) Augmentation vs. ReplacementUsing AI as a tool to enhance, not replace, human work and creativity.(00:11:41) Human-Centered AI & PolicyShaping AI through universities, government, and global collaboration.(00:15:58) Education RevolutionThe potential for AI to revolutionize education by focusing on human capital.(00:18:58) Balancing Regulation & InnovationBalancing pragmatic, evidence-based AI policy with entrepreneurship.(00:22:22) Competition & Market PowerThe risks of monopolies and the role of open models in fair pricing.(00:25:22) America's Economic FunkHow social media and innovation are shaping America's declining optimism.(00:27:05) Future in a MinuteThe panel shares what gives them hope and what they'd study today.(00:30:49) Conclusion Connect With Us:Episode Transcripts >>> The Future of Everything WebsiteConnect with Russ >>> Threads / Bluesky / MastodonConnect with School of Engineering >>>Twitter/X / Instagram / LinkedIn / Facebook Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
We'll break down new, promising economic data. Starbucks announces store closures and another round of layoffs. The FDA says it will study the safety and efficacy of the widely-used abortion drug mifepristone. We're a step closer to a US TikTok deal. Plus, a Paris court has ruled a former French President must go to prison. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
US Economy grew faster than expected. How fast?
US Economy Outperforms Despite Labor Weakness; AI Investment Booms Amid Political Showbiz Tussles Liz Peek Liz Peek reports the US economy is outperforming expectations. She emphasizes Artificial Intelligence (AI) investment is a monumental shift, contrasting with the dot-com era, while discussing the Jimmy Kimmel controversy. 1888 GAR
US Economy Outperforms Despite Labor Weakness; AI Investment Booms Amid Political Showbiz Tussles Liz Peek Liz Peek reports the US economy is outperforming expectations. She emphasizes Artificial Intelligence (AI) investment is a monumental shift, contrasting with the dot-com era, while discussing the Jimmy Kimmel controversy. 1917
St. Thomas economics professor Tyler Schipper joins to talk about the state of the US economy and why it's a very complicated situation.
Another day, another announcement from the US administration. The H-1B - a special visa which allows companies to hire highly skilled foreign workers, now comes with a $100,000 price tag. Our presenter, Sarah Rogers, speaks to an immigration lawyer from the US on what this will mean.Also, tax simplification in India. Indians should find a host of products from everyday essentials like milk, to cars and TVs, will get cheaper. And the Pompidou centre - Europe's largest bastion of modern and contemporary art - has closed for a half-a-billion dollar restoration project.You can contact us on WhatsApp or send us a voicenote: +44 330 678 3033.
Mark Thornton returns as a guest on the Liberty and Finance podcast with Dunagun Kaiser to walk through Ludwig von Mises's three stages of inflation, and why today's mix of towering deficits and money printing puts the US on the on-ramp to hyperinflation. Mark also connects sanctions and tariffs to global de-dollarization, explains why central banks are swapping Treasuries for gold, and breaks down his gold-to-silver trade. The conversation ranges from “black swans” to state-level sound-money moves, and closes with practical steps.Additional ResourcesVisit Liberty and Finance at https://libertyandfinance.com"Black Swans, Sequestered Capital, and the Next Bust” (Minor Issues): https://mises.org/MI_137Donate $5 today to support the Mises Institute's Fall Campaign and receive a physical copy of Hayek for the 21st Century: https://mises.org/mi25A special bonus offer for Minor Issues listeners: donate to the Mises Institute's Fall Campaign and receive a signed copy of Free Trade in the 21st Century: https://mises.org/mi25Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues
On today's show, Kimberly is joined by Marlon Hyde, business and economics reporter for WABE in Atlanta, to unpack the fallout of the massive ICE raid at a Hyundai facility in Georgia in which hundreds of South Korean nationals were arrested. And, we'll get into what Atlanta small business owners are worried about these days. (Spoiler: it's tariffs.) Plus, we'll play a round of Half Full/Half Empty!Here's everything we talked about today:"Immigration raid at Georgia Hyundai factory tests state's longstanding relationship with South Korea" from WABE"Hyundai says it will spend $2.7 billion expanding part of the Georgia complex raided by ICE" from AP News"Atlanta develops human rights action plan for 2026 FIFA World Cup" from WABE"After another subpar summer of going to the movies, what's next?" from Marketplace"Finally, the era of free in-flight WiFi is near" from The Washington Post"Costco's New Shopping Hours Are a Sign of Tierification of US Economy" from Business Insider "People are boycotting Disney, Hulu, and ESPN after ABC yanked Jimmy Kimmel off the air. Will it work?" from Fast CompanyWe love hearing from you. Leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART or email makemesmart@marketplace.org.
On today's show, Kimberly is joined by Marlon Hyde, business and economics reporter for WABE in Atlanta, to unpack the fallout of the massive ICE raid at a Hyundai facility in Georgia in which hundreds of South Korean nationals were arrested. And, we'll get into what Atlanta small business owners are worried about these days. (Spoiler: it's tariffs.) Plus, we'll play a round of Half Full/Half Empty!Here's everything we talked about today:"Immigration raid at Georgia Hyundai factory tests state's longstanding relationship with South Korea" from WABE"Hyundai says it will spend $2.7 billion expanding part of the Georgia complex raided by ICE" from AP News"Atlanta develops human rights action plan for 2026 FIFA World Cup" from WABE"After another subpar summer of going to the movies, what's next?" from Marketplace"Finally, the era of free in-flight WiFi is near" from The Washington Post"Costco's New Shopping Hours Are a Sign of Tierification of US Economy" from Business Insider "People are boycotting Disney, Hulu, and ESPN after ABC yanked Jimmy Kimmel off the air. Will it work?" from Fast CompanyWe love hearing from you. Leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART or email makemesmart@marketplace.org.
As the Federal Reserve signals it doesn't care about price inflation, we're reminded the Fed is mostly motivated to ensure rising asset prices for Wall Street while pushing cheap credit to finance federal deficits.Free Book: Get your copy of Hayek for the 21st Century, featuring Hayek's classic essays on liberty, knowledge, and markets. Claim yours at https://mises.org/Hayek21Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
In this episode of the show, I talk with David Wessel from the Brookings Institution about the state of the US economy, the reliability of government statistics, and why trust in data matters more than ever. We cover the latest job numbers and what downward revisions mean, the pressures facing agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Census Bureau, and how politics threatens the credibility of official data. David shares insights on the risks of eroding confidence, what businesses and governments might do in response, and why high-quality, transparent data is essential for policymaking and for the public. It's a timely and important conversation about the role of data in shaping our economic future.Keywords: David Wessel, Jon Schwabish, PolicyViz Podcast, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Census Bureau, U.S. economy, economic data, data revisions, trust in data, survey fatigue, government statistics, job market, unemployment, economic indicators, federal data, data transparency, data integrity, public trustSubscribe to the PolicyViz Podcast wherever you get your podcasts.Become a patron of the PolicyViz Podcast for as little as a buck a monthFollow Giorgia on Twitter and find her book “This is Me and Only Me” on AmazonFollow me on Instagram, LinkedIn, Substack, Twitter, Website, YouTubeEmail: jon@policyviz.com
As the Federal Reserve signals it doesn't care about price inflation, we're reminded the Fed is mostly motivated to ensure rising asset prices for Wall Street while pushing cheap credit to finance federal deficits.Free Book: Get your copy of Hayek for the 21st Century, featuring Hayek's classic essays on liberty, knowledge, and markets. Claim yours at https://mises.org/Hayek21Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
As politics come to dominate more of our lives and young generations grow righteously disillusioned with a system designed to rip them off, we're likely to see more violence and chaos. It's a bad path we're on. But there is a better one.Read the article here: https://mises.org/mises-wire/kirk-assassination-has-exposed-our-political-rotThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at https://mises.org/Hayak21Be sure to follow the Guns and Butter podcast at https://Mises.org/GB
Ryan, Connor, and Tho discuss the causes and implications of the Fed's decision to cut interest rates.For more information and to subscribe, visit https://Mises.org/P&MPod
This is episode 83 of the Advisor's Market360 podcast. The topic is fourth quarter market outlook for 2025 featuring Thrivent Asset Management experts. • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
A US court has ruled that Federal Reserve board governor Lisa Cook can stay in her job in spite of the president's attempts to fire her, meaning she should be able to attend the central bank's September meeting. Meanwhile, Trump appointee Stephen Miran has been confirmed by the Senate to fill a vacant seat on the board. Investors are predicting the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25 basis points on Wednesday. Also in this edition, we report on how protests in Nepal could threaten the country's vital tourism sector.
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for listening!
On the latest episode of Minor Issues, Mark Thornton argues that “black swans” aren't root causes but announcement effects of imbalances created by the Fed's cheap-credit booms. He highlights Ball State economist James McLure's idea of sequestered capital—R&D, financial innovations, and opaque private assets shielded from public information—which proliferate under artificially low rates. From the Dutch Tulip Bubble and 1929 investment trusts to today's candidates—hedge-fund private deals, AI data centers, commercial real estate, and crypto—the pattern is the same: policy-driven credit expansion seeds the very “unknowns” that later trigger crises. The fix isn't more regulation; it's removing the fuel line of easy money.See also "Sequestered Capital: An Overlooked Lacuna in the Capital Structure” by James McClure: https://mises.org/MI_137_AThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at https://mises.org/IssuesFreeBe sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues
Newly released jobs data this month shows that the jobs narrative from the media was based on bogus numbers.Free Book: Get your copy of Hayek for the 21st Century, featuring Hayek's classic essays on liberty, knowledge, and markets. Claim yours at https://mises.org/Hayek21Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
Today's show discusses several economic reports indicating US economy is entering a period of instability. Labor Dept. reports 911,000 fewer jobs were created March 24-March 25 (before summer jobs crash) than were reported by its monthly jobs reports; Consumer prices rising again since April (especially services); US Census Bureau reports household real incomes (averages and median) have not changed since 2019 except for the wealthiest 5% households; US poverty levels back up to 2019 levels; 27 million still without any health insurance (before Trump cuts to Medicaid and ACA take effect). The show also comments on the popular uprising occurring in France (as Europe starts cutting social benefits to pay for military expansions and Ukraine). And concludes with what's behind the media hype that Russia has attacked Poland with drones.
Newly released jobs data this month shows that the jobs narrative from the media was based on bogus numbers.Free Book: Get your copy of Hayek for the 21st Century, featuring Hayek's classic essays on liberty, knowledge, and markets. Claim yours at https://mises.org/Hayek21Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
Moment of Clarity - Backstage of Redacted Tonight with Lee Camp
On today's episode RFK Jr. has abandoned his promises not to be owned by Big Ag and big industry. Plus Israel strikes Qatar for the first time! And the US Economy is on brink with the a loss of nearly 100,000 fewer jobs than earlier reported. All that and much more!Unredacted Tonight has joined the first ever worker-owned anti-capitalist streaming platform - MeansTV! Support my show AND get tons of awesome content by going to means dot tv and using promo code "LEE". You'll get 20% off and a free trial week.My comedy news show Unredacted Tonight airs every Thursday at 7pm ET/ 4pm PT. My livestreams are on Mon and Fri at 3pm ET/ Noon PT and Wednesday at 8pm ET/ 5pm PT. I am one of the most censored comedians in America. Thanks for the support!
Political elites insisted that the 9/11 attacks occurred because the US Government lacked power and authority. Unfortunately, the elites got their wish and Americans received war, economic calamity, and massive government debt in return.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/911-attacks-exposed-major-government-failure-americans-learned-wrong-lessons
Who stands to be the biggest loser if free trade starts to unwind? Who stands to gain? Chief Market Strategist Troy A. Gayeski, CFA dives into his latest strategy note on what trade policy may mean for equities and how investors can respond. Troy joins Content Strategist Harrison Beck to outline his frameworks for understanding the current tariff-inflected environment. He examines the contributing factors of the GDP, U.S. consumer and bank strength, and the concept he coined to describe this kind of market upheaval, “The Galactic Mean Reversion.” Have a question for our experts? Text us for a chance to have your questions answered on the next episode.To watch the video version, go to https://www.youtube.com/@futurestandard_fs For more research insights go to https://futurestandard.com/insights
Political elites insisted that the 9/11 attacks occurred because the US Government lacked power and authority. Unfortunately, the elites got their wish and Americans received war, economic calamity, and massive government debt in return.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/911-attacks-exposed-major-government-failure-americans-learned-wrong-lessons
Senator Tim Kaine's definition of “rights” as things created by government and human law is extremely dangerous because a government that creates rights can also abolish them. Be sure to follow the Loot and Lobby podcast at Mises.org/LL
When you listen to J Powell speak from the podium at the FOMC meeting he typically talks about managing the Fed's dual mandate to maintain price stability and to maximize employment. The past several years have been focused on taming inflation. Core PCE inflation measured 0.3% for the past two months June and July. We will get the August report on Sept 26. On an annualized basis Core PCE inflation remains pretty sticky at 2.9%. This is higher than the Fed's 2% target. It's not zero, and it's not runaway inflation either. I don't even get into the debate about whether the measurement is appropriate or not. We will take it for now that Core PCE is what the Fed needs to set interest rates. The other side of the coin is the labor market. If you've been listening to this show for a while, you will know that I've been flagging the inconsistencies between the two surveys that make up the employment report. There is the payroll survey and the household survey. The numbers reported in the two surveys are not consistent and have not been consistent for a long time. The employment report is the one that is most likely being overstated. Yesterday, The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has announced a significant downward revision to its employment data for the U.S. down 911,000 jobs compared with the previous estimate. That's a big deal. So with this latest employment data, it's almost a foregone conclusion that the Fed will cut their benchmark lending rate at next week's meeting. The real question is how much, and whether this will affect the medium term bond yield and the 10 year bond yield in particular.The bond yield is a reflection of risk for those bonds that have a risk premium attached to them. I don't believe the US Treasury market is carrying a risk premium. So in the absence of a risk premium, the yield is a reflection of the economy. A weaker economic cycle will pull bond yields down as growth is going to take a hit. A stronger economy will bring inflationary pressure on prices which will tend to drive yields up. We have a 30 day t-bill trading at 4.17%, the 10 year treasury trading at 4.08%, and the 2 year trading at 3.55% and the 5 years trading at 3.61%. This is the market clearly signalling that over the medium term, interest rates are heading lower. That's good news for real estate investors. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Since becoming president, most of the actions taken by President Trump have been anti-economic growth, and the US economy now is sputtering. Unfortunately, Trump seems to believe that a combination of trade restrictions and inflation is what the economy needs.Read the article here: https://mises.org/mises-wire/trump-digging-his-own-economic-graveThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at https://mises.org/Hayak21Be sure to follow the Guns and Butter podcast at https://Mises.org/GB
The number of jobs created in the United States has been revised down. Not as many people got jobs as expected during the last months of Joe Biden's presidency and the first months of Donald Trump's return to the White House. It suggests the world's largest economy is weaker than expected, but could it also mean that Donald Trump will get his way and the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates? Roger Hearing speaks to two businesses in North Carolina and Ohio caught up in the tariff chaos. Elsewhere, we hear about Apple's latest tech offering. And, how a high murder rate is threatening tourism on a Caribbean island paradise. The latest business and finance news from around the world, on the BBC.
Brian Belski of BMO Capital Markets joins Chad with thoughts on the economy and why, despite of a lackluster jobs report for August, he's still seeing the country going in a good direction economically.
On the latest episode of Minor Issues, Mark Thornton takes a provocative look at America's path toward hyperinflation. Mark walks through Mises's three stages of inflation, contending the US is moving from complacency to active flight from cash, and he ties today's risks to sanctions policy, BRICS efforts to bypass SWIFT with gold-leaning systems, and foreign central banks rotating from Treasuries into gold. At home, Mark sees households hedging with real estate, older savers turning to precious metals, and younger investors to crypto: classic signs of eroding demand for dollars.Additional Resources"The Gold-Silver Ratio” (Minor Issues Podcast, Episode 119) : https://mises.org/MI_119"Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System" by Mark Thornton (Book review, Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics): https://mises.org/MI_136_A"Exorbitant Privilege Gained and Lost: Fiscal Implications” by Zefeng Chen, Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Xiaolan (Journal of Political Economy): https://mises.org/MI_136_BThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at https://mises.org/IssuesFreeBe sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues
Jonathan Newman joins Ryan and Connor this week to discuss the latest developments in Trump's campaign to “takeover” the Fed, the current state of the jobs market, and the misconceptions people have about how economists value the choice not to work.For more information and to subscribe, visit https://Mises.org/P&MPod
The US Unemployment rate has 4 year high, after today's job report only showed 22,000 jobs were created in August. Michael Kofoed, assistant professor of economics at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville, joins the show to discuss how this jobs report could indicate the health of the economy.
Some of the topics covered in this episode of Inside Sources: Governor Cox's call for caution: Restoring public trust in Utah politics Heroic sacrifice: Springville man killed saving wife from drunk driver Riverton becomes the first Utah city to enter into ICE agreement Salt Lake is bustling with events all weekend long Fan X SLC bans vendors from selling AI art + Spooky movie season begins!
Listen Now: Listen and subscribe to Morningstar's The Long View from your mobile device: Apple Podcasts | SpotifyOur guest on the podcast today is Joe Davis, global chief economist at Vanguard and global head of the firm's Investment Strategy Group. He chairs the firm's Strategic Asset Allocation Committee, which governs multi-asset class investment solutions. And he is a member of the senior portfolio management team of Vanguard's Fixed Income Group. Joe is the author of a new book called Coming Into View: How AI and Other Megatrends Will Shape Your Investments. Joe earned his B.A. from St. Joseph's University and his master's and Ph.D. in economics at Duke University.BackgroundBioComing Into View: How AI and Other Megatrends Will Shape Your InvestmentsTariffs and Treasury Bonds“Tariffs and Market Volatility: Perspectives for Investors,” by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, April 7, 2025.“Vanguard Warns of 9% Treasury Bond Yields if Deficits Keep Ballooning,” by Sam Bourgi, investorsobserver.com, June 17, 2025.“US Equity Outperformance,” video commentary by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, Feb. 4, 2025.Artificial Intelligence and Megatrends“America Needs an AI Boom to Grow Out of Our Debt Problem. There Is No Guarantee,” by Joe Davis, barrons.com, May 23, 2025.“AI's Impact on Productivity and the Workforce,” by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, March 4, 2025.“Active Investing? Don't Overlook Value in the Age of AI,” by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, Feb. 20, 2025.“Megatrends and the US Economy, 1890-2040,” by Joe Davis, Lukas Brandl-Cheng, and Kevin Khang, papers.ssrn.com, June 10, 2024.Other“Joe Davis: ‘We Will See China-Like Growth for a Time in the United States,'” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, April 14, 2021.
Every year the Kansas City Fed hosts the Jackson Hole symposium. All eyes are on the opening speech from Jerome Powell which was widely covered by the news media. To me, the more interesting talks are the invited speakers who give talks on various elements of the economy. The theme this year at Jackson Hole is demographics and the impact on the labor market. So this week we will be doing a mini series summarizing the most noteworthy talks from Jackson Hole this year. Some of these talks are considered boring by the news media and they don't get covered. But for those who seek to understand how the economy functions, these talks are very interesting.On today's show we are examining a paper called "Interstate Labor Mobility and the US Economy". It has four authors, two from the University of Michigan and two from Europe. Their paper discusses how Gross migration rates within the United States have undergone a subtle but significant transformation over the past five decades. While some sources, notably the Current Population Survey (CPS), paint a picture of a steep decline, plunging from over 3% to a mere 1.2% by the end of the sample period, a closer look at more robust data tells a different story. Using IRS data, the authors show that labor force mobility declined to 2.5% from 3% over that same time period. They further break down the components of why people move. One factor that I believe was not adequately addressed is the rise of remote work. People don't have to move for work in many instances. That virtual mobility may in fact be by choice rather than necessity. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas reports on the disastrous radio interview Donald Trump just gave and Meiselas interviews Senator Elizabeth Warren about it as well as her reaction to current events and Meiselas discusses the event MeidasTouch is hosting with Senator Warren in Omaha, Nebraska on August 23, 2025. Get tickets at https://wontbackdowntour.com Visit https://meidasplus.com for more! Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Today on the show, Fareed is joined by President Biden's former National Security Adviser, Jake Sullivan, for a wide-ranging conversation on the major takeaways from Friday's Trump-Putin Summit, and why Netanyahu is prolonging Israel's war in Gaza.Then, Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia center, talks with Fareed about Putin's wins following his meeting with Trump, and how it changes the war's trajectory.Later, with the Trump administration's cancellation of hundreds of millions of dollars for mRNA research—which was vital in developing COVID-19 vaccines, Dr. Leana Wen, the former Baltimore health commissioner, joins the show to discuss the importance of this technology, and what cuts mean for American scientists.Finally, as spending for artificial intelligence skyrockets in the US, Derek Thompson speaks with Fareed about AI's promise—and if it's a bubble waiting to burst.Guests: Jake Sullivan (@jakejsullivan); Alexander Gabuev (@AlexGabuev); Leana Wen (@DrLeanaWen); Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices