Podcasts about Recession

Economic Policy and China Trade. Elizabeth Peek discusses the US economy, where Treasury Secretary Bessent asserts that housing is in recession due to high Federal Reserve rates. Peek argues that lower rates are needed to "unstick" the housing market. The Fed, led by Jay Powell, is fixated on inflation, though Peek questions his rationale regarding tariffs and labor demand. The conversation also covers the Trump-Xi meeting, which was anticlimactic, postponing confrontation for a year. Key concessions included China relenting on rare earth exports and American soybean boycotts. GRAND CENTRAL 1890

Economic Policy and China Trade. Elizabeth Peek discusses the US economy, where Treasury Secretary Bessent asserts that housing is in recession due to high Federal Reserve rates. Peek argues that lower rates are needed to "unstick" the housing market. The Fed, led by Jay Powell, is fixated on inflation, though Peek questions his rationale regarding tariffs and labor demand. The conversation also covers the Trump-Xi meeting, which was anticlimactic, postponing confrontation for a year. Key concessions included China relenting on rare earth exports and American soybean boycotts. FIVE POINTS

Amanda and Ash interview Charlie Kao. Charlie shares how growing up as “free labor” on his dad's properties eventually led him back into commercial real estate, where he's now best known for self-storage. He explains why he's cautious on self-storage at a national level, how overbuilding and new alternatives are changing demand, and why he's leaning into highly localized markets where he has an unfair advantage. Charlie also walks through innovative ways he's turning basic storage into a true service business, from accepting and placing medical shipments to offering boat/RV add-ons, all while using feasibility studies and data-driven pricing to stay ahead of the competition. Charlie KaoCurrent role: Principal and Asset Manager, Twin Oaks CapitalBased in: Grand Rapids, Michigan Say hi to them at: https://www.twinoakscap.com/ | LinkedIn Alternative Fund IV is closing soon and SMK is giving Best Ever listeners exclusive access to their Founders' Shares, typically offered only to early investors. Visit smkcap.com/bec to learn more and download the full fund summary. Join the Best Ever Community  The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It's free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria.  Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at ⁠www.bestevercommunity.com⁠ Podcast production done by ⁠Outlier Audio⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Not only is retail giant Target not committing to the big seasonal hiring it always does, the company is actually laying off nearly 2000 of its corporate staff in its biggest management and job shakeup in years. Target is merely the latest “one-off” big name to announce job cuts. No wonder consumer confidence just took another huge hit and that was from the one survey that has held up the best this year.  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWhat is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships Bloomberg A Wave of US Layoffs Flash Early Warning Sign for Job Markethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-03/the-low-hire-low-fire-us-economy-seems-to-be-overBloomberg Target to Eliminate 1,800 Roles, 8% of Headquarters Teamhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-23/target-to-lay-off-8-of-headquarters-team-cut-1-800-rolesNYT UPS Has Cut 48,000 Workers Since Last Yearhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/28/business/ups-layoffs-48000-workers-this-year.htmlBloomberg A Slump in Cardboard Box Sales Is Stoking Fears of Lackluster Holiday Shoppinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-03/cardboard-box-sales-slump-signals-weak-holiday-shopping-aheadRCM/TIPP Optimism Index Drops Sharply https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2025/11/04/rcmtipp_optimism_index_drops_sharply_1145051.htmlhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Gold ripped to new highs, then corrected...now what? In this episode, host Moneer Barazi sits down with renowned analyst Don Durrett of GoldStockData.com to unpack the pullback, the S&P 500 correlation, and whether this is a classic “buy the dip” in a continuing bull market. Don lays out why he thinks higher highs are still ahead, how the “fear trade” could ignite, and where miner leverage becomes explosive.We also dive into the macro: recession odds, tariffs and trade tensions, the BRICS realignment, and what all of this means for positioning into 2026. Plus, Don shares his portfolio approach: when to hold, when to cull the “dogs,” and how to size positions without losing sleep. Watch now for the signals he's tracking next and how he's preparing for the turn.Check out: https://www.goldstockdata.comWatch the full YouTube interview here: https://youtu.be/nG5deGV-f90And follow us to stay updated: https://www.youtube.com/@GlobalOneMedia

Anthony and John Pompliano break down today's markets — from Scott Bessent's U.S. outlook and Tom Lee's bullish call to Jordi Visser's take on Bitcoin's “IPO moment.” They also cover job growth, mega themes, the New York City mayoral race, and Anthony's latest thoughts on bitcoin and stocks.======================Check out my NEW show for daily bite-sized breakdowns of the biggest stories in finance, technology, and politics: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://pompdesk.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠======================Bitwise is one of the largest and fastest-growing crypto asset managers, with more than $15 billion in client assets across an expanding suite of investment solutions—including the world's largest crypto index fund—plus products spanning Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, and crypto equities. In addition to managing assets, Bitwise helps investors stay informed about the fast-moving crypto market. Every week, CIO Matt Hougan breaks down what's happening in crypto in five minutes or less. Read the latest at https://experts.bitwiseinvestments.com/cio-memos. Certain Bitwise investment products may be subject to the extreme risks associated with investing in crypto assets. Visit https://bitwiseinvestments.com/disclosures to learn more.======================In this episode, Pomp spotlights easyBitcoin.app—the app that pays you 1% extra on recurring buys, 2% annual bitcoin rewards, and 4.5% APY on USD. Download it now for iOS or Android at https://easybitcoin.onelink.me/F1zP/klc4v1p8 and start earning today. Your capital is at risk. Crypto markets are highly volatile. This content is informational and not financial advice.======================Timestamps: 0:00 – Intro1:17 – Are we in a recession?5:16 – Powell vs Bessent: interest rate politics8:29 – The case for an economic boom12:45 – Tom Lee's $200K Bitcoin prediction15:20 – Jordi Visser and Bitcoin's “IPO moment”19:01 – AI, data centers, and compute as the new commodity24:40 – New York City mayoral election discussion

The cash squeeze in wholesale money markets that we've been following got a whole more exciting on Friday, and now we have the full set of numbers on it. Interest rates soared the most since 2020 further proving the Federal Reserve's program which is supposed to keep this from happening doesn't keep it from happening. Imagine my shock. We also know that there were plenty of spare reserves available, too. And with more borrowing from the Fed again this morning so far, we have to consider the question whether this ongoing and escalating tightness is pointing to something bigger. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Are you seeing more job seekers fighting for fewer roles these days? How will you stand out or make the right career move in a job market? Let's hear from today's guest, Charlie Saffro of CS Recruiting, explaining the real condition of the job market! Charlie covers how "job hugging" has become the new normal for professionals, how compensation has shifted from inflated pandemic packages to more conservative and growth-focused offers, the reality of the freight agent model, where independence can mean big rewards but comes with steep costs and serious hustle, and the rising importance of soft skills and authentic personal branding on LinkedIn.   About Charlie Saffro Charlie is the Founder and CEO of CS Recruiting, a leading executive search firm in logistics, transportation, and supply chain. With 20+ years of experience, she's helped companies of all sizes—from Fortune 50s to emerging 3PLs—build strong teams and lasting cultures. A passionate advocate for human-centered leadership, Charlie blends her recruiting expertise with a focus on connection, mindfulness, and purpose at work.   Connect with Charlie Website: https://www.cs-recruiting.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/cs-recruiting-llc/ / https://www.linkedin.com/in/charliesaffro/  

Donate (no account necessary) | Subscribe (account required) Join Bryan Dean Wright, former CIA Operations Officer, as he dives into today's top stories shaping America and the world. In this Monday Headline Brief of The Wright Report, Bryan covers growing fears of a U.S. recession, the worsening government shutdown, surging Obamacare costs, and the rise of socialist influence inside the Democratic Party. We'll also look abroad at Trump's threats of military strikes in Africa, new drone warfare milestones in Australia, and the dangers of an increasingly "angry AI." Recession Warnings and the Fed's Mistake: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says parts of the U.S. economy are already in recession, with housing frozen and working-class families crushed by debt. White House officials blame the Federal Reserve for keeping interest rates too high for too long, risking a broader economic downturn. Shutdown Fallout and Court Fights: Eighty percent of air traffic controllers skipped work in New York as the shutdown drags on, grounding flights nationwide. A federal judge ordered Trump's team to release $5 billion in emergency food stamp funds, even as the administration warns the U.S. debt just hit $38 trillion. Obamacare Premiums Skyrocket: ABC News reports health insurance rates are soaring 50 percent or more, with one listener paying $890 a month for reduced coverage. Democrats are using the crisis to demand new subsidies, while Republicans insist the real issue is states using Medicaid to cover illegal immigrants. Obama's Socialist Endorsements: Barack Obama is campaigning for socialist Zohran Mamdani in New York, a candidate tied to the Democratic Socialists of America — a group openly declaring plans to "radicalize high schoolers" and take over the Democratic Party. Bryan warns the movement is gaining ground with help from within. Trump Threatens Military Strikes in Nigeria: The President says the U.S. may take direct action to stop Islamic militants killing Christians in northern Nigeria, calling the attacks "an existential threat to faith." Global Chaos — Sudan and Syria: Sudan's civil war has turned into a massacre as rebels overrun cities tied to global gum arabic supplies. Meanwhile, Trump prepares to host Syria's president, a former al Qaeda fighter, at the White House in a controversial bid to block Iranian weapons routes. Australia's New Ghost Shark Drone: Trump ally Palmer Luckey's defense company, Anduril, unveiled a submarine drone factory in Australia and a prototype "Loyal Wingman" AI jet to defend against China. The Rise of "Angry AI": Bryan closes with a preview of his experiment with Elon Musk's chatbot Grok — which reacted with frustration and aggression when corrected. He teases the full story coming later this week: "It left me alarmed… but also hopeful."   "And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free." - John 8:32     Keywords: U.S. recession Scott Bessent, Federal Reserve interest rates Powell, government shutdown food stamps ruling, Obamacare premiums 2025 increase, Barack Obama Zohran Mamdani DSA, Trump Nigeria Christian strikes, Sudan civil war gum arabic supply, Syria al-Sharaa White House visit, Palmer Luckey Anduril Ghost Shark drone, Elon Musk Grok angry AI experiment

The ECB this week held its policy rate right at 2% with policymakers out in force claiming to everyone who might listen they're likely done at that level. Instead, GDP data from all over the continent just came out and showed there's more pringles yet to come from Europe. But there's also one big factor here few people are considering and it has to do with the 2% level itself.  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. eurodollaruniversity.substack.comhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

A mixed session as the major averages kicked off a seasonally strong month. Cantor's Eric Johnston makes the case for a rally in stocks, bonds, and bitcoin into year-end. Meantime Mark Zandi from Moody's on why he says the US would be in a recession if it weren't for the AI trade. Ares CEO Michael Arougheti joins right after his earnings call to break down what drove a strong quarter for the alternative asset manager and his outlook for deals. Plus the news moving Beyond Meat and Palantir, and details behind the mega-deal between Kimberly-Clark and Kenvue. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The crypto market crashed today, Nov. 3, as a risk-off sentiment continued and as uncertainty climbs in the United States.~This episode is sponsored by iTrust Capital~iTrustCapital | Get $100 Funding Reward + No Monthly Fees when you sign up using our custom link! ➜ https://bit.ly/iTrustPaul00:00 intro00:05 Tom Lee: Wall of Worry over?01:03 Tom Lee buys ETH01:45 Michael Saylor buys Bitcoin02:04 Buying Amounts Slowing02:27 November S&P50002:52 Ethereum $7,000 by December04:31 Tom Lee Mindshare Power05:06 Bull-Market Catalysts05:26 Altcoin Season Dead06:06 Fear & Greed Index07:49 Government Shutdown08:18 Trump Healthcare Plan?09:44 SNAP benefits resumes?10:04 No Fed Rate Cut11:00 Cash on Sidelines11:40 Sponsor: iTrust Capital12:24 Berkshire Selling Over?13:14 Fed Pumping Money Into Banking System13:53 Supreme Court vs Tariffs14:16 Balancer Hack Contagion?14:54 Ripple Prime Launches15:40 Animoca Brands IPO16:00 US vs China Bitcoin Holdings16:47 Trump Crypto Priority17:43 US Ethereum Holdings18:25 CLARITY Act on Thanksgiving?19:00 Market Crashing20:24 outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Wall of Worry

Send us a textIs self-storage really making a comeback in 2025? You bet—and the signs are everywhere. Scott Meyers breaks down why the sector isn't crashing—it's stabilizing and quietly setting the stage for a strong rebound in 2026. Scott uses fresh data and boots-on-the-ground insights to explore current vacancy trends, slowing supply, and the emergence of tech-forward, sustainability-driven upgrades that are becoming competitive edges. He outlines the three big trends shaping the industry now, and most importantly, shares four decisive, actionable moves that investors should take right now to stay ahead of the curve. From understanding market supply pipelines to building pro storage condos for business tenants, Scott makes the case that the smart money isn't waiting—it's moving.  WHAT TO LISTEN FOR1:47 What do the latest numbers reveal about self-storage market health?3:10 What tech and customer trends are reshaping self-storage today?4:22 How is sustainability becoming a competitive advantage in storage?9:41 What are “pro storage condos” and why do they matter right now?  Leave a positive rating for this podcast with one click CONNECT WITH USWebsite | You Tube | Facebook | X | LinkedIn | Instagram Follow so you never miss a NEW episode! Leave us an honest rating and review on Apple or Spotify.

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New home sales in China collapsed by 42% in October when compared to last October, representing more than just another setback for the beleaguered Chinese real estate market, the world's largest asset class. This is a major problem for Chinese banks, not that they were expecting different. So, we see interest rates are back to moving lower, setting multi-month lows with the latest short-lived stretch of optimism based on Chinese tech stocks being burst yet again by the reality stocks are not real life. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWhat is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise.  With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing.https://eurodollar.university/memberships Bloomberg PBOC Adviser Leads Call for Fiscal Support to Housing Markethttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-24/pboc-adviser-leads-call-for-fiscal-aid-to-support-housing-markethttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Legendary economist Dr. A. Gary Shilling, President of A. Gary Shilling & Co., an economic consulting firm and a registered investment advisor, joins Julia La Roche on episode 301 on FOMC day. In this episode, Dr. Shilling warns that the economy is cooling with weakening labor markets and stagnant job creation, yet security markets continue to rise without reflecting this underlying weakness. Despite the government shutdown limiting official data, private sector information reveals businesses are cautious about demand and inflation, while consumers face limited financial slack due to heavy student loan and credit card borrowing. Shilling believes the Fed is cutting rates because they fear a recession is on the horizon, and he cautions that "we're probably gonna wake up one of these days and find that things are really a lot weaker than we expect" - at which point markets could deteriorate quickly. He also expresses concern about the "debt bomb" - the massive accumulation of government debt now exceeding $38 trillion with no logical endpoint in sight. However, Shilling remains impressed by the adaptability and resilience of the US economy, noting how it has successfully adjusted to disruptions like tariffs that many predicted would be disastrous.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaThis episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction & welcome0:48 - Big picture macro view: economy appears to be cooling1:30 - Government shutdown: private data filling the holes2:00 - Weakening labor markets: limited new hiring2:45 - Businesses cautious about demand and inflation3:17 - Recession concerns: won't know until well into it3:45 - Security markets not reflecting economic weakness4:03 - Fed Chair Powell presser context (October 29th FOMC meeting)4:32 - Why markets are overly focused on Fed actions5:30 - Fed's tightrope walk: keeping economy above water6:25 - Are rate cuts signaling recession fears?6:34 - Fed concerned about softening labor markets7:20 - Finding hidden vulnerabilities during data blackout7:51 - Labor market concerns: limited consumer slack8:20 - Heavy borrowing: student loans and credit cards27:24 - US fiscal picture: debt north of $38 trillion27:45 - The debt bomb concept explained28:45 - Massive global debt expansion concerns29:49 - What happens when debt reaches its limit?30:23 - What's keeping Dr. Shilling up at night31:15 - Lack of concern about debt accumulation32:00 - What makes him hopeful: US economy's strength and adaptability32:46 - Economic adaptability to disruptions33:11 - Tariffs discussion: six months later perspective33:46 - How economies adapt to tariff disruptions35:03 - Where to find Dr. Shilling's work35:25 - Parting thoughts: avoiding fads of the moment36:37 - Closing remarksAccess Dr. Shilling's monthly newsletter INSIGHT by calling this toll free number (1-888-346-7444) or visiting his website (https://www.agaryshilling.com/).

The reason why Fed Chair Jay Powell didn't want to commit to a December rate cut is simple. A number of voting members at the FOMC are not convinced the weak labor market is actually all that weak. Sure, the numbers don't look good, but they're wonder if it is real. Well, Chipotle and Kraft-Heinz would like to answer them with a pair of serious warnings about what they're seeing from consumers.  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Fed Cuts Rate by Quarter Point, With Dissents on Both Sideshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2025-10-29/fomc-rate-decision-and-fed-chair-news-conferenceBloomberg Chipotle Falls Most Since 2012 After Warning Over Diner Pullbackhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-29/chipotle-cuts-outlook-for-third-time-in-2025-on-weaker-trafficWSJ Kraft Heinz Lowers Full-Year Outlook on Weak Consumption Trendshttps://www.wsj.com/business/earnings/kraft-heinz-khc-q3-earnings-report-stock-2025-a4c6430eYahooFinance Kraft Heinz bearish on outlook amid volume decreases ahead of splithttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/kraft-heinz-bearish-outlook-amid-173322392.htmlConference Board https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Today's discussion hits home for entrepreneurs and small business owners navigating this volatile economy. While large corporations like Microsoft or JPMorgan are setting market highs, small caps remain stuck in correction—mirroring the reality for Main Street. The biggest threat? Monetary policy, not fiscal policy. With interest rates still 125 basis points above equilibrium, small businesses—who rely on bank lending, not Wall Street debt—are being crushed by rising borrowing costs. Until the Fed loosens, many are fighting for survival, managing shrinking cash flows, and tightening credit. The question now: can they hold on long enough for rates to finally drop? Key Takeaways: High rates are killing small businesses. Unlike large firms, small companies can't issue debt—they depend on lenders, and current rates are unsustainable. Fed delay = real pain. Despite inflation cooling, the Fed's slow action threatens to starve small businesses before relief arrives. Recession resilience matters. With growth slowing and credit tightening, cash flow management—not expansion—is the key to surviving 2025's economic squeeze. Know more about the Bootcamp: https://govcongiants.org/bootcamp Learn more: https://federalhelpcenter.com/ https://govcongiants.org/ 

Yes, the world feels uncertain right now: more hesitation, slower yeses, clients needing more time to choose their coach.   But this isn't just a passing season. We're in a trust recession—and surprisingly, this is actually good news for you.   In this episode, I'm breaking down what's really happening in the coaching space—and how to lead through it. Because while the world may be uncertain, you don't have to be.   You'll discover why coaching skill is the highest currency in this trust recession, why 'pricing down' isn't the answer, and what clients are truly paying for now: precision, resonance, and results.   This is your moment to rise as a coach whose sessions build trust, create movement, and make premium fees feel aligned.   In this episode, I talk about:   What a "trust recession" really means and why it's permanently transforming the coaching industry.    Why emotional safety, not strategy, is what sells in uncertain times.   How to become the certainty your clients crave in a chaotic world.   Why 'pricing down' is the wrong move—and what to do instead.   The one coaching question that reveals exactly where you need to strengthen your skills.   ~~   For full show notes, transcript, and to check out the Courageous Coaching Certification,  click here: www.themoneycoachschoolpodcast.com/110

The Investing Power Hour is live-streamed every Thursday on the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast YouTube channel at 5:00 PM EST.*****************************************************JOIN OUR NEWSLETTER AND CHAT COMMUNITY: https://chitchatstocks.substack.com/ *********************************************************************Chit Chat Stocks is presented by Interactive Brokers. Get professional pricing, global access, and premier technology with the best brokerage for investors today: https://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Interactive Brokers is a member of SIPC. *********************************************************************Fiscal.ai is building the future of financial data.With custom charts, AI-generated research reports, and endless analytical tools, you can get up to speed on any stock around the globe. All for a reasonable price. Use our LINK and get 15% off any premium plan: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/chitchat *********************************************************************Disclosure: Chit Chat Stocks hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation.

A recession isn't just a headline it's a chain reaction that touches everyone.In this episode, we unpack the causes behind economic slowdowns: inflation, unemployment, falling consumer confidence, and global shocks. We'll explore historical recessions, how governments respond with monetary and fiscal policies, and the signs economists watch to predict the next one.Whether you're a student, investor, or just curious about what “Recession” really means, this episode makes it clear and relatable.---------------------------------Support Us----------------------------------------Support The Modern Akatsuki if you feel like it .(Read everything below carefully before sending us your donations)

FOMC will cut rates today but what will officials say, or do, about the growing repo mess? Find out as we react to the Fed's decisions and Powell's press statements. Eurodollar University's Money and Macro Analysis

Bryan Whalen, chief investment officer and head of fixed income at TCW says he's now putting the odds of a recession at 60 percent, down from 80 percent at the start of the year, but he suggests that even in a no-landing scenario, investors can expect dramatically higher volatility as stock and bond markets head into 2026. Whalen pointed out that with rate cuts starting to take hold, investors may want to keep some powder dry for the opportunities he sees ahead as the market responds to how the Fed plays out the cycle. In the Market Call, Ardal Loh-Gronager, founder of Loh-Gronager Partners — the author of "The Perceptive Investor: The Art, Science and Temperament of Successful Value Investing" — discusses his take on value investing, which is a mix of classic Warren Buffett style with a bit more trading and a broad industry-based focus as a starting point. Plus, as investors deal with the latest interest-rate cuts, Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, picks an actively managed municipal bond fund as his "ETF of the Week."

The cryptocurrency market is going down after the Federal Reserve delivered a hawkish interest rate cut on Wednesday. Jerome Powell and other officials slashed rates by 0.25%, bringing the benchmark rate to between 3.75% and 4.0%. ~This episode is sponsored by BTCC~BTCC 10% Deposit Bonus! ➜ https://bit.ly/PBNBTCCGuest: Paul Sampson, DataDashFollow on Youtube➜ https://bit.ly/DataDashChannel00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: BTCC01:00 FOMC vs Crypto02:30 China trade deal progress03:00 Bitcoin analysis06:30 Government Shutdown update07:00 Powell's comments that dumped crypto09:00 Trueflation10:00 Most bullish catalyst for crypto10:30 Scam dump?13:00 Ethereum analysis17:00 QT vs QE20:30 Uniswap analysis22:05 Solana analysis24:30 Avalanche analysis27:30 Pengu analysis31:00 November bullish?31:30 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Mega Uncertainty Crash

Thousands of jobs lost at Paramount Skydance and Amazon, quiet panic on the Warner Bros. Discovery lot, shoot days in L.A. on a continued decline — all while streaming churn, anecdotally, is becoming worse than ever as subscription prices skyrocket. As Hollywood embraced the most terrifying part of the industry during Halloween week — mass layoffs — Ankler Agenda host Elaine Low, along with Sean McNulty and Natalie Jarvey, take a look at the local economic indicators and how many are pointing south as we barrel toward next year. Then, to celebrate our big flagship podcast rebrand as Ankler Agenda, Richard Rushfield debuts his new weekly segment, Rushfield's Rant, and rings the alarm about the grim reality facing female directors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This is a trillion-dollar question, not a million-dollar question.

Have you seen the headlines lately? If so, you might be tempted to pump the brakes on real estate investing and wait for the economy to pick up. But you could be missing out on huge wealth-building opportunities we haven't seen in years. Today, we're sharing how YOU can gain an edge in this housing market! Welcome back to the Real Estate Rookie podcast! By this point, you've probably heard it all: the market has slowed. The economy has weakened. Unemployment is on the rise. Some say we're still headed for a recession. What does this all mean for real estate investors, especially rookies looking to take down their first deals? As you're about to hear, Ashley and Tony believe you have a golden opportunity to invest in real estate right now! Those who wait on the sidelines could regret missing out, while those who make moves today could easily come out ahead. Tune in to learn why time in the market almost always beats timing the market, how to lower your investing risk with “conservative” investment analysis, and the different levers you can pull to buy rental properties at a deep discount! In This Episode We Cover Huge opportunities for real estate investors in a “weak economy” Why time in the market beats timing the market (even in real estate!) Five steps to buying your first or next rental property in this market Why holding out for lower mortgage rates is usually the wrong move How to mitigate risk through “conservative” deal analysis Why you should always ask for seller concessions in a buyer's market And So Much More! Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/rookie-633 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Amazon announced today it will be cutting 14,000 corporate jobs, though leaker reports say the real number will be roughly 30,000 over time. The company itself says it needs to be more nimble to leverage AI technology when the timing and the target instead shows macroeconomic headwinds are behind the move. There is a reason why consumers believe the US economy is in recession right now. While layoffs like Amazon's remain relatively scarce, unemployment is piling up all over the place and so does the confirmation.  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWhat is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery—it's a method. If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place.  Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In this episode of The Tech Leader's Playbook, Avetis Antaplyan sits down with Sam Goodner, the serial entrepreneur and former CEO of Catapult Systems — Microsoft's top-ranked consulting partner at the time of its acquisition. Sam shares his 30-year journey from starting a small IT consulting firm in 1993 with just $17,000 in the bank to scaling multiple companies to eight- and nine-figure exits, including turning a parking tech startup into a unicorn.Through vivid stories and practical lessons, Sam reveals the disciplines behind operational scalability, decentralized leadership, and what it truly takes to build a company that can run — and grow — without its founder. He discusses his book Like Clockwork: Run Your Business with Swiss Army Precision, the frameworks he used to recession-proof his companies, and how he transformed chaos into predictable growth. From his military lessons in Switzerland to his role as an angel investor mentoring the next generation of entrepreneurs, Sam offers a masterclass in clarity, systems, and execution — proving that growth isn't luck, it's discipline.TakeawaysGreat businesses scale through clarity, disciplined execution, and time, not luck.Founders often become the bottleneck — true leadership means empowering others to decide and own outcomes.Operational scalability starts when the company can run and grow without the founder.Create rules of empowerment: if a decision is right for the customer, company, ethical, aligned with values, and you're accountable — act.Codify best practices with playbooks, especially for sales and hiring.Hire people better than you, then get out of their way.Mentorship and coachability accelerate growth more than any funding round.Recession-proofing begins before the downturn — diversify industries, services, and recurring revenue streams.Every company needs to define what it's best in the world at and its unfair advantage.Founders should spend 95% of their time on the business, not in it.Focus on discipline and systems, not just ideas — execution is where companies win.Success evolves from climbing mountains to helping others climb theirs.Chapters00:00 Intro: Scaling Beyond Chaos01:30 From Developer to Founder: The Birth of Catapult Systems03:20 Bootstrapping to Profitability in the 90s06:00 Why Raising Money Isn't Always the Answer07:30 Investing in Flash Parking: Spotting a Unicorn in an Unsexy Industry12:00 The Power of Coachability and Mentorship16:50 Breaking Founder Mode and Achieving Operational Scalability21:00 Building Playbooks for Sales and Talent Acquisition26:00 Decentralized Decision-Making and the Rules of Empowerment37:00 The Swiss Army Precision: Inside Sam's Book “Like Clockwork”43:00 Recession-Proofing Your Business51:00 Balancing Focus and Diversification55:00 Defining Your Unfair Advantage57:00 The Aha Moment: Realizing You're the Bottleneck59:00 The Third Chapter: Giving Back and Mentoring Entrepreneurs01:01:00 Closing Thoughts: Build Systems, Empower People, Stay DisciplinedSam Goodner's Social Media Links:https://www.linkedin.com/in/samgoodner/Sam Goodner's Websites:https://samgoodner.com/

Another day, another significant borrowing from the Federal Reserve's repo facility. This has become a regular occurrence and concurrent with a rise in money market rates due to the cash squeeze I told you about yesterday, there's a lot of similarities to 2019 and it's got the Fed on track to not just cut rates this week also possibly terminate the balance sheet runoff – even if Steve doesn't quite agree.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Episode 498 The media narrative is extreme negativity about the state of the economy and yet the stock market and GDP continue to expand.  Why?  Productivity, Deregulation, and Industrial Policy are good for corporate profits. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------

On this episode of Adversity Kings, host Tristan Dlabik — owner of a rapidly growing and powerful life insurance agency — breaks down the key indicators of an upcoming recession and what they really mean for entrepreneurs and agents. Tristan shares his perspective on how to not only survive but thrive during economic downturns, revealing proven strategies to stay ahead in life insurance sales when others are struggling. This episode is packed with valuable insight, mindset shifts, and actionable advice for anyone looking to build wealth and stability no matter what the market throws their way.

The ongoing cash squeeze in money markets is very likely to bring an end to the Federal Reserve's balance sheet runoff, known as QT. When the FOMC meets this coming week, officials are almost certainly going to cut rates given the perilous situation in labor. But with financial firms still using the Fed's repo facility and especially as benchmark money rates stay elevated, the second item on the list of decisions is going to be ending QT. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Visit https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com to sample the service or sign up and get started straight away. https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In this rebooted episode of the Career Warrior Podcast, we're revisiting one of our most inspiring conversations — with international career strategist Sonal Bahl.Sonal isn't your average career coach. With nearly two decades of global HR leadership experience at companies like GE and PwC — and over 250,000 resumes reviewed — she's seen firsthand what it takes to stand out in any job market. But what makes her story powerful is that she's been exactly where many job seekers are today: struggling to land opportunities in the middle of a recession.In this episode, you'll hear how Sonal went from rejection after rejection to landing five job offers — and the exact steps, mindset shifts, and storytelling techniques that got her there. This is perfect for you if you feel like the current job search landscape is stacked against you.We'll cover:How to bounce back from rejection and turn setbacks into strategyWhy focusing on your strengths can completely transform your job searchThe evolving role of LinkedIn and how to use it to attract opportunitiesWhether an MBA is worth it in today's marketSonal's favorite interview advice that most people overlookIf you're feeling stuck, overlooked, or just ready to land the job you deserve, this episode will reignite your confidence and give you the tools to make it happen. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode of The Curious Builder Podcast, Mark sits down with Ami Harari from L.A. Build Corp and gets real about what it's like to build homes (and a business) in Los Angeles. Ami shares his journey from the Israeli military to moving trucks to leading a top-notch construction company—and all the wild twists along the way. They swap stories about hustling through hard times, learning from mistakes, building great teams, and keeping clients happy. Plus, a few laughs about dirt biking and life in LA! If you want some honest insight and good energy, this one's a fun listen. Support the show - https://www.curiousbuilderpodcast.com/shop See our upcoming live events - https://www.curiousbuilderpodcast.com/events The host of the Curious Builder Podcast is Mark D. Williams, the founder of Mark D. Williams Custom Homes Inc. They are an award-winning Twin Cities-based home builder, creating quality custom homes and remodels — one-of-a-kind dream homes of all styles and scopes. Whether you're looking to reimagine your current space or start fresh with a new construction, we build homes that reflect how you live your everyday life. Sponsors for the Episode:  Pella Website: https://www.pella.com/ppc/professionals/why-wood/  Contractor Coalition Summit: Website: https://www.contractorscoalitionsummit.com/ Adaptive  Website: https://referrals.adaptive.build/u8Gkiaev  Where to find the Guest:  Website: https://labuildcorp.com/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/labuildcorp/ Where to find the Host:  Website - https://www.mdwilliamshomes.com/  Podcast Website - https://www.curiousbuilderpodcast.com Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/markdwilliams_customhomes/  Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/MarkDWilliamsCustomHomesInc/  LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-williams-968a3420/  Houzz - https://www.houzz.com/pro/markdwilliamscustomhomes/mark-d-williams-custom-homes-inc

Tom Graff notes that the small segment of AI created all the GDP growth of the first half of the year. He says the question for the economy will be if that can continue, or if it will fall off. He says that hiring conditions look like what always happens before a recession – and he's skeptical of any “this time is different” argument. AI needs to start making some money, he emphasizes: “there's not a lot of room for error.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

While economists have not declared a nationwide recession, new research from Moody's Analytics reveals many states are experiencing or are on the brink of a recession. Georgia, 21 other states and the District of Columbia are all being flagged. “Closer Look” host Rose Scott talked with Moody's Analytics senior director, Adam Kamins. He talked more about the current state of Georgia’s economy, the uncertainty of the government shutdown, as well as why he believes Georgia and the Atlanta economies are well-positioned long-term. Plus, we revisited Rose’s conversation with Chris Clark, the president and CEO of the Georgia Chamber of Commerce. During the discussion, Clark talked more about how economic uncertainty, instability in the job market, and severe immigration policies—plus the high cost of tariffs on consumers, small businesses and the agricultural industry have altered Georgia’s economic landscape.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Send us a textThis is a REPLAY of an episode first published in March 2024. Success is not a secret—it's a mindset. In this episode, Scott unpacks the critical mindset shifts and practical strategies that have propelled his self-storage business forward. By emphasizing the importance of hard work over talent, the power of goal setting, and the necessity of surrounding oneself with smart, driven individuals, Scott provides a roadmap for growth. Scott dives into the habits that can transform both personal effectiveness and business operations, ultimately guiding listeners toward achieving their big, hairy, audacious goals (BHAG) and finding fulfillment in their professional endeavors. WHAT TO LISTEN FOR 1:49 Hard Work vs. Talent: The Hustle Mindset3:11 Mental Attitude6:31 Fear of Success: Overcoming Subconscious Barriers9:34 Finding Your Productive Peak Leave a positive rating for this podcast with one click CONNECT WITH USWebsite | You Tube | Facebook | X | LinkedIn | Instagram Follow so you never miss a NEW episode! Leave us an honest rating and review on Apple or Spotify.Click here to get more information and register for the Academy November 6-8, 2025, in St Augustine, FLA.

On this week's episode of The Horizon Podcast, John Chang explores whether the U.S. economy is heading toward a mild recession, a period of slow growth, or a stronger-than-expected expansion in 2026. Drawing on conversations with top investors, economists, and market data, John weighs the indicators pointing both ways—such as unemployment, inflation, consumer sentiment, and the yield curve—and examines how the stock market's performance has been propping up overall growth. He also breaks down key commercial real estate insights, from updated absorption and vacancy rates to rising cap rate opportunities, and shares why now may be the window for institutional capital to reenter the market. The episode concludes with John's measured optimism about CRE's long-term performance despite near-term volatility. Get 50% Off Monarch Money, the all-in-one financial tool at www.monarchmoney.com with code BESTEVER Join the Best Ever Community  The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It's free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria.  Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at ⁠www.bestevercommunity.com⁠ Podcast production done by ⁠Outlier Audio⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The dollar is making another big move higher to the point it is causing governments and central banks around the world to respond and even intervene to keep their own currencies from crashing against it. Fears over the global economic downturn are driving monetary tightness and demand for safety at the expense of those at the forefront of the broad decline. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Currency Officials Go on Offensive as Trade Angst in Asia Mountshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-16/currency-officials-go-on-offensive-as-trade-angst-in-asia-mountsBloomberg South Korea Says Watching One-Sided Won Volatility in Rare Movehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-13/south-korea-says-watching-one-sided-won-volatility-in-rare-moveBloomberg Swiss Franc's Haven Run Seen Nearing SNB Intervention Thresholdhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-24/swiss-franc-s-haven-run-seen-nearing-snb-intervention-thresholdhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Eric Freedman, Chief Investment Officer at US Bank Wealth, joins Excess Returns to discuss markets, the economy and his investment process. Freedman shares his “control the controllables” investment framework, why he's maintained a glass-half-full view on the U.S. economy, and how data—not emotion—drives portfolio decisions. The conversation covers macro trends, inflation, the Fed, AI, valuation, and how to stay disciplined as an investor.Topics covered:Data-driven investing and the “control the controllables” frameworkWhy the U.S. consumer remains resilientInflation outlook and how sticky prices impact portfoliosThe Fed's next moves and what investors should watchGlobal diversification and the case for international stocksHow to think about inflation protection and real assetsThe diffusion of AI and separating winners from pretendersMarket concentration, valuations, and managing riskLife lessons from a CIO: discipline, process, and informed decision-makingTimestamps:00:00 Introduction03:00 Controlling the controllables06:00 Why Eric remains optimistic on the economy10:00 How portfolio decisions flow through US Bank15:00 Data-driven insights vs. gut feel18:00 Consumer strength and scorecard22:40 Inflation outlook and Fed challenges30:00 Bond market risk and the “Brazilian steakhouse” analogy34:00 Global competition and diversification38:00 Inflation protection and real assets41:30 The reality of AI and productivity47:00 Market concentration and the Mag 752:00 Valuations and long-term returns55:45 Lessons for investors

We have a couple more names to add to our fast-growing list of shadow banking casualties. And, yes, collateral is once again the common theme. One of them is of course in subprime auto financing, but that's just another canary in the credit coalmine. The other has been accused of fabricating half a billion of collateral invoices. Half a billion. Fake collateral.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------WSJ Bankrupt Telecom Business Accused of Fraud in Receivables Financinghttps://www.wsj.com/articles/bankrupt-telecom-business-accused-of-fraud-in-receivables-financing-0370b4fdBloombergLaw Factoring-Firm Affiliate Files Chapter 11; Up to $1B Liabilitieshttps://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/factoring-firm-affiliate-files-chapter-11-up-to-1b-liabilitiesFreightWaves Factoring companies squeezed by slowing shipper payments: Alsobrookshttps://www.freightwaves.com/news/factoring-companies-squeezed-by-slowing-shipper-payments-alsobrooksBloomberg BOE's Bailey Warns ‘Alarm Bells' Ringing in Private Credithttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-21/boe-s-bailey-warns-of-financial-crisis-echoes-in-private-credithttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In today's episode of The Daily Windup, we break down what the latest Federal Reserve Beige Book is really saying — and why it's sending a chilling warning most investors are ignoring. According to the Fed's own field reports, economic activity has “declined slightly” across three-quarters of the U.S., with only a handful of districts showing modest growth. The tone of this Beige Book is weaker than December 2007 — the start of the Great Recession. Even the Fed's internal staff now estimates a 50% chance of recession, while the market continues to price in 0% risk. In short: the data is flashing red, but Wall Street's acting like it's business as usual. Key Takeaways: The Fed's Beige Book reveals that ¾ of the U.S. economy is stagnating or contracting in real time. The report's tone is weaker than the Beige Book from the start of the 2008 crisis. Even the Fed staff pegs recession odds at 50%, yet the market is still pricing in zero risk. Know more about the Bootcamp: https://govcongiants.org/bootcamp Learn more: https://federalhelpcenter.com/ https://govcongiants.org/ 

After a truly epic run, precious metals are now getting pounded. Both gold and silver are down the past few days for a couple of reasons, not that this is a surprise. In fact, I told you just six days ago this was the most likely short run path for the metals. So, what's driving the selloff and does it change the long run outlook for either?  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

There was action yet again at the Fed's repo window today. A few more billion borrowed. But that's now the fourth time over the last five trading days. These are more signs of tightening monetary conditions and if this does continue it will lead to the next QE from the Fed. The word that keeps coming up the past few months is escalation. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Today we dive into earnings season investing secrets. Learn the investing secrets that will grow your wealth as we dive into market analysis highlighting accounting red flags and potential overvaluation risks. Financial engineering often signals late-cycle behavior recessions, though unpopular, are necessary to clear economic “dead wood.” We also examined current earnings trends in the financial sector, technical market patterns like resistance and support levels in small caps and metals, and the importance of balancing fundamental and technical analysis. We also talk investor psychology—how emotion, bias, and sentiment often drive poor timing and decision-making in markets. We discuss...  The Kolbe test, which measures instinctive strengths and natural problem-solving styles rather than personality or intelligence. Businesses use Kolbe results to build better teams by pairing complementary working styles. We also talked current market conditions, drawing comparisons between today's tech boom and the late-1990s dot-com bubble. How Nvidia's vendor financing arrangements resemble accounting maneuvers from the dot-com era, raising concerns about inflated revenues and future write-down risks. The hosts noted signs of late-cycle behavior in markets, including excessive optimism, overleveraged valuations, and creative corporate accounting. Recessions serve an essential economic function by clearing out inefficiencies and “dead wood,” creating healthier long-term growth. A segment focused on earnings season, particularly the uneven performance in the financial sector and what it signals about underlying economic momentum. We analyzed technical market patterns, such as key resistance and support levels in small-cap indexes and precious metals. How gold and silver might act as contrarian signals or safe havens amid market uncertainty. The discussion emphasized the interplay between fundamental and technical analysis, stressing that investors should use both to form a complete market view. They highlighted the danger of emotional decision-making, noting that fear and greed often lead investors to buy high and sell low. The episode closed by underscoring the importance of maintaining discipline and objectivity, especially during euphoric or panic-driven market phases. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/earnings-season-investing-secrets   

Ryan and Saagar discuss Trump worried Bibi will break ceasefire, two recession indicators flash red. Jeremy Scahill: https://x.com/jeremyscahill David Dayen: https://prospect.org/ To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.comMerch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Why is copper-to-gold so ugly and thoroughly deflationary? What's happening right now inside China is one key part of it. After a small artificial rebound earlier this - where have we heard that before - Chinese bank lending has fallen even more sharply this summer adding yet another layer to the tremendous deceleration we keep seeing across China this summer. Retail sales fell yet again and investment is crashing. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Ready to make your week count? Subscribe to One Big Weekly Theme today. You can sample the service or sign up and get started straight away. https//:eurodollaruniversity.substack.comCNN China expels two top generals from Communist Party in anti-corruption crackdownhttps://www.cnn.com/2025/10/17/china/china-communist-party-expels-military-leaders-intl-hnkBloomberg China's Lopsided Growth Puts Spotlight on Xi's Five-Year Planhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-20/chinese-economic-slowdown-worsens-with-growth-weakest-in-a-yearhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Today, Nicole shares the biggest headlines on Wall Street and how they will affect you and your wallet. In this episode, she unpacks how the markets are reacting to the escalating tariff war, why some experts are back on recession watch and a cautionary tale of a missing $2 billion in the latest corporate scandal. This podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions or investments. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options and bonds in a self-directed account are offered by Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA & SIPC. As part of the IRA Match Program, Public Investing will fund a 1% match of: (a) all eligible IRA transfers and 401(k) rollovers made to a Public IRA; and (b) all eligible contributions made to a Public IRA up to the account's annual contribution limit. The matched funds must be kept in the account for at least 5 years to avoid an early removal fee. Match rate and other terms of the Match Program are subject to change at any time. See full terms⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Public Investing offers a High-Yield Cash Account where funds from this account are automatically deposited into partner banks where they earn interest and are eligible for FDIC insurance; Public Investing is not a bank. Cryptocurrency trading services are offered by Bakkt Crypto Solutions, LLC (NMLS ID 1890144), which is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the NYSDFS. Cryptocurrency is highly speculative, involves a high degree of risk, and has the potential for loss of the entire amount of an investment. Cryptocurrency holdings are not protected by the FDIC or SIPC.  *APY as of 6/30/25, offered by Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Rate subject to change. See terms of IRA Match Program here: public.com/disclosures/ira-match.