Business cycle contraction;Â general slowdown on economic activity
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Two major markets, two VERY different conclusions and outlooks. The diverging views and prices revolve around what really happened in April. Was it a one-off overreaction to tariffs? Or was the deflation confirmation of more than just potential volatility? Both markets are doubling and tripling down on their separate views, each reaching record or near-record levels for them. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis******If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/************Eurodollar University's Anniversary Salehttps://www.eurodollar.university/sale************Eurodollar University July 10 Webinar Replayhttps://event.webinarjam.com/go/replay/29/3y5kpclzi20tz1t5******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Only a week after the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to pause its rate cutting series, the Australian government reported a rash of exceptionally weak labor data, including the highest unemployment rate for the country in four years. RBA wasn't alone; the Bank of England is finding out the same in the same hard way. Central bank rate cut pauses aren't unusual, and they almost always end just like this. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis******If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/******ONS UK CPI June 2025https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/june2025Bloomberg UK Unemployment Increases to 4.7%, Highest Rate in Four Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-17/uk-firms-cut-jobs-wage-growth-slows-in-cooling-labor-markethttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
This Flashback Friday is from episode 351, published last December 4, 2013. Kevin Armstrong is the former Chairman of the ANZ Group's Regional Investment Committee and former chief investment officer for ANZ Group's private bank. He's the author of, "BULLS, BIRDIES, BOGEYS & BEARS: The Remarkable & Revealing Relationship Between Golf & Investment Markets." Armstrong explains how the rises and falls in the fortunes of professional golfers, and the emergence and decline of major stars such as Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods, reflected the ebb and flow of the stock market. The answer provides a unique and powerful connection between golf and investment markets. The ‘pulses' of two totally separate activities, golf and investing, have been so synchronized and connected, not just in modern times, but throughout history, and in a manner not found in any other sport? Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Tracey Ryniec and Zacks Chief Equity Strategist, John Blank, dive into US employment, tariffs and GDP with some stock talk too. (1:00) - Breaking Down The Current Unemployment Data: How Does This Impact The Economy? (7:50) - Are We Currently Heading Into A Recession or Can We Recover? (21:00) - How Should You Be Navigating The Current Stock Market Environment Right Now? (30:20) - Will Nvidia Keep Pushing For New 52 Week Highs? (38:40) - What Lessons Can We Apply From Warren Buffetts Investing Style If We Head Into A Recession? (49:45) - What Impact Will The Federal Reserve, Tariffs and The Energy Market Have On A Possible Incoming Recession? (1:01:50) - Episode Roundup: FAST, NVDA, CTAS
Three months ago, hotel operators were confident that the consumer downturn they were experiencing would end being a relatively quick pain. After the tariff matter was finally settled, Americans would sure go back to spending as they always seemed to. Instead, a whole bunch of critical and alarming data out just today has poured oceans of deflationary cold water on the recovery hope. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisReuters Hilton cuts 2025 revenue growth forecast as US travel demand softenshttps://www.reuters.com/business/hilton-cuts-2025-revenue-growth-forecast-economic-uncertainty-weighs-2025-04-29/PRNewswire WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG FIRST QUARTER RESULTShttps://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/wyndham-hotels--resorts-reports-strong-first-quarter-results-302442939.htmlWyndham lowers 2025 RevPAR expectations amid dampened consumer sentimenthttps://www.hoteldive.com/news/wyndham-q1-2025-earnings-lower-revpar/746863/YahooFinance United, American, Southwest all surge after Delta's outlook lifts fortunes for US airlineshttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/united-american-southwest-all-surge-after-deltas-outlook-lifts-fortunes-for-us-airlines-144400677.htmlBloomberg US Producer Prices Stagnated on Decline in Services Costshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-16/us-producer-prices-stagnated-on-decline-in-services-costshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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Tune in as the team discusses:Why land investing outperforms during recessionsThe mindset shift that separates panicked sellers from strategic buyersWhat to look for in land deals during economic downturnsReal stories from land investors who grew their income in past recessionsHow to build a resilient land business that's insulated from market chaosThis is not about fear—it's about preparation. Learn how to position yourself before the next big shift hits. TIP OF THE WEEK:Mark: In a recession, people want simplicity. Land is simple. You're not stuck with tenants, repairs, or market volatility. You're holding a real asset that doesn't go to zero.Jon: If you're feeling uncertain, that's the best reason to stick to a proven system. The process works—you just have to trust it.WANT MORE?Enjoyed this episode? Dive into more episodes of AOPI to discover how to build real passive income through land investing.UNLOCK MORE FREE RESOURCES:Get instant access to my free training, a free copy of my Bestseller Dirt Rich Book, and exclusive bonuses to accelerate your land investing journey—it's all here: https://thelandgeek.ac-page.com/Podcast-Linktree."Isn't it time to create passive income so you can work where you want when you want, and with whomever you want?"
Five months and little to show for it. Tariffs have been applied for that long, yet consumer prices remain suspiciously tame. The real story isn't the possible pass-through of trade duties, its why that isn't happening on a far broader basis. We got more evidence for why from American bank balance sheets. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBLS June 2025 CPIhttps://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.htmBloomberg US Core CPI Rises Less Than Expected Again Despite Tariff Impacthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-15/us-core-cpi-rises-less-than-expected-for-a-fifth-straight-monthBloomberg US 30-Year Yield Tops 5% as Traders Pare Bets on Rate Cutshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-15/treasuries-gain-after-inflation-report-meets-economists-forecasthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Jason is currently in Denver at a Joe Dispenza retreat, discusses upcoming topics for the episode, focusing on the economy, markets, and real estate. Specifically, he mentions two U.S. real estate markets, one in Florida and one in Texas, that are approaching "crash levels," defined as a 25% price reduction, despite national appreciation. He concludes with a reminder for listeners to register for an upcoming master class on JasonHartman.com which happens every second Wednesday of each month! Jason then welcomes Paul Marino, Chief Revenue Officer at Themes ETFs. They begin with a discussion of economic and investment themes. Marino offers a bullish outlook on the U.S. economy, even amidst global uncertainties. He specifically highlights investment opportunities in financials, metals (especially gold miners and silver), artificial intelligence, uranium, and transatlantic defense companies. They conclude with a shared optimistic vision for future prosperity driven by technological advancements and a focus on positive market indicators. #PaulMarino #ThemesETFs #DonaldTrump #USPolitics #GlobalEconomy #Recession #Inflation #ArtificialIntelligence #ETFs #Gold #Uranium #DefenseCompanies #NATO #Bitcoin #InvestmentOpportunities Key Takeaways: 1:33 Clip of the Day: Direct VETO power 2:45 Markets that are approaching crash levels 4:22 JasonHartman.com/Wednesday Paul Marino interview: 4:39 Trump and Machiavelli 7:14 What it means to investors 12:06 Trump vs. Powell 17:23 Positive anything, better than negative nothing? 22:16 What is the investment plan 23:10 Where are we going? Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Why didn't the long-predicted recession arrive? In this episode, we talk with Aahan Menon, founder of Prometheus Research, about why traditional macro models are breaking down and what investors are missing in today's economy. Aahan explains why recession indicators have failed, how monetary policy transmission has changed, and what really matters in understanding economic risk right now.We also explore how Prometheus uses a systematic approach to macro investing, why focusing on the present is more valuable than forecasting the future, and what their models revealed about the true impact of tariffs—before the market reacted. If you've been relying on the old playbook, this conversation will challenge your thinking.Topics discussed include:Why recession indicators failed to predict this cycleThe real risk behind the Liberation Day tariff panicHow the Fed's rate hikes lost their biteWhat's changed in the economy's sensitivity to ratesPrometheus' approach to stress testing and forecastingHow Aahan translates macro data into portfolio strategyThe behavioral traps investors fall into during macro shifts
The Senate has passes a bill that will eliminate funding for several health programs.
We must call this what it is: a full-scale assault on our economy, our democracy, and the peaceful world order that's prevented a third world war for nearly 80 years…See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, had some very harsh words and a pointed warning. He said the world was at high risk from tariffs. And while the activities of "his" bank largely agree with the high degree of risk, it's the complete opposite from what Dimon said publicly. This is not the first time this has happened, either. When the risks are greatest, JPM's CEO says one thing while JPM itself does the opposite. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*****If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/*****JP Morgan letter to shareholders April 2024https://www.jpmorganchase.com/content/dam/jpmc/jpmorgan-chase-and-co/investor-relations/documents/ceo-letter-to-shareholders-2023.pdfJP Morgan second quarter 2024 press statementhttps://www.jpmorganchase.com/content/dam/jpmc/jpmorgan-chase-and-co/investor-relations/documents/quarterly-earnings/2024/2nd-quarter/36a0b862-cc80-4e28-bf1b-5cfa07dc9637.pdfBloomberg JPMorgan's Dimon Warns Markets Are Complacent on Tariffshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/dimon-says-an-eu-us-tariff-framework-needs-to-get-doneBloomberg Dimon Says Prepare for 4% Yields, Potential Volatility Risehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-08/dimon-says-prepare-for-4-yields-sees-potential-volatility-riseCNBC Jamie Dimon cautions the 10-year Treasury yield could hit 5%: ‘It's a higher probability than most people think'https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/06/jp-morgans-jamie-dimon-cautions-10-year-treasury-note-rate-to-hit-5-percent.htmlBloomberg Weakest U.S. Bond Auction in Decade Validates Dimon's Warninghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-08/low-yield-bad-seasonals-and-trade-trip-up-u-s-10-year-auctionhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In this episode of THE FINANCIAL COMMUTE, wealth advisors Sophie Leahy and Chris Galeski dive into one of the most common client questions:“What should I do if we go into a recession?”While no one can predict the next downturn, they walk through three key steps you can take to feel more confident, no matter what the economy throws your way.Tune in if you're interested in…• Knowing how a recession might impact you based on your life stage• Learning the “three-bucket” approach to financial security• Building a resilient investment strategy that prioritizes income• Stress-testing your retirement plan for unexpected events• Feeling more emotionally prepared for uncertainty
This week on the podcast, Jackie and Peter start by talking about Jackie's recent op-ed in the Globe and Mail, titled “Yes, absolutely – Canada needs more oil and gas pipelines to our coasts,” also available on the ARC Energy Research Institute website. Next, Peter and Jackie review the fundamentals of oil prices, the muted effect of the 12-day Iran-Israel war, and why oil prices have been creeping up despite weaker short-term fundamentals. Peter argues that the growing importance of “geoeconomics” - where countries use economic tools to influence foreign affairs - means that predicting oil prices will no longer be just about counting barrels. In the future, one of the most significant factors shaping oil markets will be the geoeconomic strategies of nations, including actions such as sanctions, tariffs, and withholding supply. Finally, Jackie and Peter discuss President Trump's recent letters to numerous countries threatening higher tariffs effective August 1st, including a letter to Canada with 35% tariffs on Canadian goods. Washington also introduced global copper tariffs. This is the last podcast before a break; the podcast will resume at the end of summer. Please review our disclaimer at: https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinstLinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple PodcastsAmazon MusicSpotify
Ethiopia Hikes AI Budget 42%, Boosting Institute Reporting Directly to PM Abiy. Angola's Inflation Drops to 19.73% — Lowest Since 2023. Mozambique Enters Technical Recession as Economy Shrinks 3.9% in Q1 2025.
Asia is suddenly awash in deflation. Japan is now experiencing it. And while not necessarily new for China, the acceleration downward to producer prices hints at deterioration in demand, overseas as well as locally. It's become a big enough change the government in Beijing crucially appears to shifting its own economic focus, a potentially profound worldwide signal. Oh, and Jamie Dimon.Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Join thousands of other listeners on our Substack, The Foodletter! In this episode, Brooke sits down with the inspiring Jessica Bennett—founder, creative director, and podcast host at Alice Lane Interior Design and Alice Lane Home Collection. Known for her thoughtful, sophisticated interiors and warm approach to design, Jessica shares her entrepreneurial journey, how she transitioned from advertising to interior design, and the powerful “why” behind client choices. They discuss the emotional and practical aspects of creating beautiful spaces—how even seasoned designers can feel paralyzed when decorating their own homes, why bold decisions can reignite creativity, and how the best interiors are deeply personal. Whether you love design or feel overwhelmed by it, this conversation will leave you encouraged to trust your gut, embrace your story, and design a home that feels like you. Key Takeaways [01:45] Confidence in Design is Built Over Time: Jessica opens up about repainting her home in a bold, high-gloss teal—and how even as a pro, she felt paralyzed by the decision. Design can be emotional, and sometimes you need a friend or a pro to “boss you around” and help you move forward. [08:30] From Advertising to Interiors: Jessica shares how her early career in ad agencies (including working on Coca-Cola's 1996 Olympic campaign) taught her how to think big, understand brands deeply, and translate that vision into her work as a designer. [18:15] Every Design Tells a Story: The best interiors reflect the client's past, aspirations, and identity. Jessica illustrates this with a client who insisted on black-and-white checkered floors—a nostalgic nod to a beloved aunt that Jessica helped reimagine into something unique and timeless. [26:28] Launching Alice Lane in 2008 (Yes, During the Recession!): Jessica and her husband sold their custom home to fund their new brick-and-mortar store. She explains how they survived the economic downturn through passion, risk-taking, and creating a design aesthetic that stood apart from the Tuscan trends of the time. [40:56] Jessica's Kitchen Design Philosophy: Kitchens are the heart of the home and the starting point for any project. Jessica outlines her process, including why she always begins with appliance shopping to ensure the layout matches the client's needs and lifestyle. [42:06] Ice Makers Matter—Design is in the Details: From Scotsman chewable ice to KitchenAid cubes, Jessica shares why every decision—down to your preferred ice texture—should align with how you live and what brings joy to your daily rituals. Notable Quotes (06:28) “It feels like I'm playing the best game called interior design with myself.” (17:06) “I have to get in the kitchen with them to really understand their story.” (on her personalized approach to client design) (21:07) “The highest vision of your idea is what we're after—not just what's trendy.” (29:28) “If I didn't do it, it would have haunted me every day of my life.” (on taking the risk to start Alice Lane) Resources Explore Jessica's work and shop online: Alice Lane Home Collection Listen to the Dear Alice podcast for more design tips and inspiring conversations Check out the Coca-Cola video trailer Follow Alice Lane Interior Design on Instagram Follow Female Foodie on Instagram
Join Moe and Javaid as they discuss the market's reaction to the latest tariff news. Will tariffs become the main driver of the markets going forward? Will the Fed start cutting rates this month? Listen now to hear the latest!
In 1986, Ireland staged its own answer to Live Aid – but this time, the crisis was at home. With U2, Van Morrison and Thin Lizzy on stage, Self Aid aimed to tackle mass unemployment with music, but did it inspire change or just create headlines and high notes? Host: Fionnán Sheahan Guests: Tony O'Brien and Tony BolandSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Round Table Series #10: Part 1 - Recession & Infinite BankingIn this council of The Round Table, Tricia Miller, Tom Suvansri, and Brandon Bristow talk recession and infinite banking with me. There is a lot to consider here in this conversation and lots that you can do to position yourself optimally by creating your own private financial environment.To connect with Brandon, go to www.themoneyadvantage.com or email him directly at brandon@themoneyadvantage.comTo connect with Tom, go to www.perennialpride.com To connect with Tricia, go to: www.buildsmartmoney.com or Email IBCTricia@gmail.comI hope you enjoy and learn!⚔️ “LIVE & LEAVE A LASTING LEGACY”
The country's top bank regulators have proposed a major change to the banking rules. Some say this is like a stealth QE, everyone else appears equally confused. We'll get into what the new changes mean. More important, where these various ratios came from and why bank they are so hyped when they really shouldn't be. Eurodollar University's Make It Make Cents*****If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/************You can still watch the webinar replay here:https://event.webinarjam.com/go/replay/29/3y5kpclzi20tz1t5******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Don't just brace for a recession, prepare to come out stronger. This conversation is about turning Canada's economic uncertainty into an opportunity for financial growth (or, at least, stability). We'll equip you with proactive strategies for managing debt, finding new income streams, and building a mindset of resilience. Learn how to take decisive control of your financial future, no matter what the economy throws at you. (00:00) – Prediction: How We Knew a Recession Was Coming (02:30) – Rising Costs & Reduced Work Hours Impacting Households (04:00) – Forecast: Hitting Recession Thresholds by End of Summer (05:30) – Managing Money vs. Managing Debt: Good Times vs. Bad (07:45) – First Steps When You Feel Financial Pressure (11:00) – Side Hustles 101: Pros & Cons of Supplemental Income (14:00) – Leveraging Networks & Community Support (15:45) – How to Start (and Grow) an Emergency Fund (18:00) – Recession-Proofing Strategies for Homeowners (19:15) – Top Tips for Canadians in Debt as Recession Hits (27:00) – Building Mental Resilience & Setting Realistic Goals Reducing Tax Debt in Ontario Planning For Retirement When You Have Debt Why You Absolutely Need An Emergency Fund Sign Up For The Monthly Debt Free Digest Disclaimer: The information provided in the Debt Free in 30 Podcast is for entertainment and informational purposes only and is not intended as personal financial advice. Individual financial situations vary and may require personal guidance from a financial professional. The views expressed in this episode do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Hoyes, Michalos & Associates, or any other affiliated organizations. We do not endorse or guarantee the effectiveness of any specific financial institutions, strategies, or digital tools/apps discussed.
A July rate cut is far from off the table. In addition to the macroeconomic evidence, the FOMC minutes from last month's meeting make clear there really isn't some divide among policymakers. In fact, the text leaves the distinct impression officials really don't want to a repeat of last year. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
The “Art of the Deal” may be more than just a book title.
Investing in Real Estate with Clayton Morris | Investing for Beginners
Start early by building your financial education. I believe that a strong financial education is one of the most overlooked and undervalued things you need to survive in today's world. Luckily, building a strong financial education is free, and you can start right now. Listen along with the show for more information!
Amazon Prime Days have been doubled to four, simply confirming just how this year really is different for the consumer economy. It is merely the latest to testify for highly unusual weakness. Along with a sharp drop in credit card usage, the historically unusual decline in weekly worker earnings show exactly why there are four Prime Days this year. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******NBC News Amazon extends Prime Day discounts to 4 days as retailers weigh tariffs and price increaseshttps://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/amazon-extends-prime-day-discounts-4-days-retailers-weigh-tariffs-pric-rcna217510Bloomberg Amazon Sellers Curb Prime Day Discounts With Tariffs Taking Bitehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-08/amazon-sellers-curb-prime-day-discounts-with-tariffs-taking-bitehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The Twenty Minute VC: Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
Agenda: [00:00] The AI Talent Crisis No One's Ready For [03:00] Daniel Gross and Nat Friedman: Why Two Legendary VCs Walked Away From $1B to Join Meta [12:00] Meta's AI Talent Magnet: Will It Actually Work? [15:00] Cursor Is Breaking the Market: Can Anyone Compete? [18:30] OpenAI's SBC Bombshell: More Stock Comp Than Revenue [22:00] CoreWeave's Power Play: Buying Their Landlords [26:00] Is Circle Next to Go Shopping with Meme Equity? [28:00] PE Is Back: The Olo Take-Private Explained [35:00] Why Triple, Triple, Double, Double Is No Longer Sexy [41:00] QSBS Hack: The Billionaire's Tax Loophole You're Missing [48:00] Microsoft's AI Layoffs: Salespeople Are Dead, Long Live Engineers [50:00] “If You Need a Week to Learn AI, You Should Be Fired” [53:00] Will Sequoia's Sean Maguire Be Pushed Out? Place Your Bets [57:00] Will There Be a Recession in 2025? Jason Bets $75K It's a No [1:00:00] Is Linda Yaccarino Still CEO of X by Year-End? [1:03:00] Circle and CoreWeave's Meme Rally: Real or Mirage?
Thank you for your patience as I navigate this incredibly difficult time in my life. I'm grateful to have the opportunity to record weekly podcast episodes for you all, and I plan to jump back on the saddle as soon as I can. ---In this week's episode of the Rich Habits Podcast, Robert Croak and Austin Hankwitz answer your questions!---Sign up for the Rich Habits Newsletter and join 52K+ like minded investors in receiving weekly market updates, click here!---
This wasn't supposed to happen. In fact, many said it was impossible up to and including central bank officials at the Federal Reserve. Yet, one of them, the head of the all-important New York branch, just released a report which say the market is taking ZIRP possibilities very seriously - and so should those at the highest levels of the Fed. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*****If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/************To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******FRBNY Liberty Street Blog The Zero Lower Bound Remains a Medium‑Term Riskhttps://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/07/the-zero-lower-bound-remains-a-medium-term-risk/FOMC Transcript March 2007https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20070321meeting.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In this episode, David Rosenberg delivers a compelling analysis of the surprising strength in the S&P 500—despite fading “tail risks” like trade wars, Middle East conflict, and fiscal cliffs—and reveals that the current price/earnings multiple reaching 22–23 represents a historic 4σ event. He firmly argues that the rally is driven by market psychology and animal spirits, with fundamentals like GDP, which has fallen from 3.2% to 1.3%, and regional Fed “Beige Book” data signaling contraction—hardly typical signals for a sustained bull run. Rosenberg warns that with recession odds now at 50% (per Fed staff), the markets remain dangerously complacent. Rosenberg also delves into fiscal sustainability and the looming risk to government contracting: federal spending has ballooned 53% since pre-pandemic, deficits hover around $2 trillion per year, and interest payments near $1 trillion—surpassing defense costs and crowding out future budgets. He emphasizes liquidity as the critical lifeline for entrepreneurs, especially small businesses reliant on debt, advising focused diversification into safe-haven sectors like utilities, consumer staples, defense and health care, while stressing the importance of coding and econometric skills for young professionals navigating economic uncertainty. Website: https://www.rosenbergresearch.com/ Linkedin: https://ca.linkedin.com/in/david-rosenberg-40800219b Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/RosenbergResearch
The world is supposed to be all over the "sell America" trade, so why is it only this one key currency is? The thing is now sticking out like a sore thumb as more and more pile onto "sell America" here without any corroboration at all. Even FX modelers are confused by this insistence. What happens when everyone is on one side of a transaction under false assumptions? It converges. Sometimes violently. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******Bloomberg Misfiring Models Leave Wall Street Currency Traders Flying Blindhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-07/misfiring-models-leave-wall-street-currency-traders-flying-blindhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Recession-proof portfolios are built BEFORE the storm hits. Vinney Chopra and Beau Eckstein get tactical in this clip from The Vinney and Beau Show. Inflation, interest rate uncertainty, and geopolitical shifts are real—but so are the opportunities. Beau lays out why stress-testing deals, using long-term fixed debt, and understanding capital structure is critical now more than ever. Vinney adds that foreclosures and distressed assets are everywhere—including multifamily—and reveals why he's teaching his team to scoop them up for big upside.
The events of the first few months of the second term U.S. President Donald Trump have literally stunned his friends and his foes alike. Policies ranging from tariffs to government efficiency and waste to illegal immigration to gender issues have been aggressively sought out by the Trump Administration. One of the major impacts has been supply chain chaos and uncertainty. Join Kevin as we dive into this topic…concluding, of course, with the question of how that chaos and uncertainty may impact long-term Christian missions. // Download this episode's Application & Action questions and PDF transcript at whitestone.org.
I'm sure you've seen the memes... this week I'm going through all the recession indicators I've seen in the commercial property market.If you've seen any, I want them in the comments section please, the weirder the better!
Is this the payback? The rate cuts aren't working and that can only mean more of them. The best current examples are to north and south of the US where rolling over has taken on a new sense of urgency, especially since both are, at the margins, a proxy for American demand.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Will market volatility persist through the rest of 2025? • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.
Join Moe and Javaid as they discuss the markets after a holiday-trading week. The budget bill has passed, what effects will we see in the market and economy? Has the tariff tantrum reignited the trade war? Will the Fed start cutting rates this summer? Where will markets head during the historically weak Summer season? Listen to the latest now!
In this episode Brian and Jeff discuss how to prepare for a possible recession or recession and the hidden costs of early retirement.
It was supposed to be one single out-of-control Wall Street bank. When authorities were forced to look into the matter, what they uncovered was a shocking. Not one but EVERYONE. Yet, after uncovering what was going on, the full astonishing scale, they never figured out WHY. And that was the whole thing, what the scandal said about a world that had already drastically changed. Eurodollar University's Make It Make Cents*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******Treasury Joint Report on the Government Securities Market (Jan 1992)https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/276/joint-report-on-the-government-securities-Market-1992.pdfLA Times Taming the Bond Buccaneers at Salomon Brothers : How Warren Buffet and friends swept up after the Salomon scandal, possible saving the firm from federal regulators furious after a decade of skuldggery [sic] on Wall Street.https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1992-02-16-tm-4654-story.htmlSEC Chronology of Salomon Scandalhttps://www.sechistorical.org/collection/papers/1990/1991_1016_ChronologySalomonT.pdfJay Powell Treasury Markets and the TMPG (Oct 2017)https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20171005a.htmhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swapsLike last month, this June payroll report was taken one way in the mainstream while the details went entirely in the other direction. Headline was a beat and the unemployment rate stalled. Yet, the former was ironically a product of government jobs while the latter slid a tiny amount for ALL THE WRONG REASONS.
RUSSIA: RECESSION LOOMING. BANKING CRISIS. MICHAEL BERNSTAM HOOVER INSTITUTION 1852 RUSSIA SERFS
Recessions don't kill consumer spending—they just reshape it. In this episode of Built by Business, Andy Isom reveals how Amazon sellers can pivot into categories and messaging that thrive during economic downturns. Learn what still sells, how to recession-proof your product line, and what mistakes to avoid when buyers start getting cautious. If you're building a brand built to last, this episode gives you the strategic roadmap. Want a second opinion on your product positioning? Request your Free Amazon Brand Audit at www.weavos.io
Today on CarEdge Live, Ray and Zach discuss the latest data from Q2 auto sales and June in particular. Zach makes a case for why a car market recession is about to begin ... do you agree? Tune in to learn more!
We are back with another edition of listener questions! In this round, we tackle recession pop, why the job market feels so crummy for IT grads, and whether President Trump saying that Walmart "eat the tariffs" is a form of price control. Related episodes:Hits of the Dips: Songs of recessions past (Apple / Spotify)The beef over price controlsPrice Controls, Black Markets, and Skimpflation: The WWII Battle Against InflationFor sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy
There is something going on in the money system with collateral. We've been covering bills and the latest data sheds more light on what is likely happening. It is something we've seen many times before. That's not a good sign. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Why does the economy look great on paper but feel terrible in your wallet? There might be a more revealing economic indicator hiding in your Spotify queue. "Recession Pop" first emerged during the Great Recession and exploded into playlists, radio formats, and DJ sets in 2024. From melancholy indie anthems to escapist dance tracks, the songs we gravitate toward during uncertain times might predict where the economy is headed next. Host Jonquilin Hill explores this musical phenomenon on Vox's "Explain it To Me," with Charlie joining in the second half to decode what our streaming habits reveal about financial anxiety and economic forecasting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Fedex is a global bellwether for good reason. What the company said about the economic environment at the start of Q3 was...nothing. But in choosing not to forecast anything, the company said a lot especially given the evidence that has come piling up. We haven't seen consumer spending and incomes like this in America since 2020. That's not a typo. Flat Beveridge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis*******To sign up for our webinar on July 10, follow the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/swaps******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In this episode, I break down how to dramatically increase your on-camera sales, whether you're a Live Launch veteran or selling on video for the first time. As AI-generated content becomes more prevalent, human connection, brand trust, and sales clarity are more important than ever. You'll learn how to find topics that convert, simplify your offer for today's overwhelmed buyer, and how short-form vs. long-form strategy impacts price point, pitch, and the conversation at large. Whether you're promoting your trust-building offer or launching a premium high ticket program, this episode delivers actionable insight for increasing your conversions and creating deeper impact on-camera! TIMESTAMPS 2:15: The 3 things AI can't replace 4:20: Short-form vs. long-form content strategy 6:10: What makes a topic “camera-ready” for conversion 11:45: Common live launch mistake that lowers conversions 14:30: Understanding zeitgeist and sourcing topics from your market 17:25: How price point affects your pitch structure 19:45: Tips for high-ticket on-camera sales 25:30: Why even experienced launchers lose the edge (and how to get it back) Resources: Grab The Live Launch Method book: https://www.amazon.com/Live-Launch-Method-Simplicity-Strategy/dp/0578671182 Work with Kelly's team 1:1 to optimize your launch strategy: https://programs.thebusinessadvisory.com/consulting Free Guide: The New Trust Building Funnel High Ticket Entreprenurs Are Using to Add 6+ Figures in Revenue: https://kellyroachinternational.kit.com/tbo Follow Kelly on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kellyroachofficial/ Follow Kelly on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/kelly.roach.520/