Podcasts about Recession

The Fed is going cut...in July. Period. Book it. Conditions have drastically changed and the officials shift is now underway. Rates are going down everywhere, including in DC.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreCNBC Fed Governor Waller says central bank could cut rates as early as Julyhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/20/fed-governor-waller-says-central-bank-could-cut-rates-as-early-as-july.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

A lot of people, maybe even a majority, find the idea of a two-decade long depression too far-fetched to take seriously. Something like that could never, ever happen. Could it? The problem is most everyone's idea of what a depression is needs to be corrected - another huge piece left missing by Economics. What is a depression? Way too familiar. Eurodollar University's Make It Make CentsNBER Cycle Dateshttps://www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractionsNYT Sept 19, 1873https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1873/09/19/issue.htmlDavid A. Wells The Economic Disturbances Since 1873https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Popular_Science_Monthly/Volume_31/July_1887/The_Economic_Disturbances_Since_1873_IHenry George Causes of Business Depressionhttps://bibliotek1.dk/english/by-henry-george/articles-and-speeches/causes-of-business-depressionJM Keynes A Tract on Monetary Reformhttps://ia902905.us.archive.org/35/items/tractonmonetaryr0000keyn/tractonmonetaryr0000keyn.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Fed held rates steady — again — and while that might not sound sexy, it triggered a deep dive into the uncomfortable parallels between today's economy and some of history's most turbulent wartime recessions. Chris and Saied unpack Powell's post-FOMC “dot plot shuffle,” exposing how forward guidance has become a PR game instead of a reliable economic compass. Spoiler: if you think shelter inflation is cooling fast, you're probably still using a 3G data plan.➡️ From Operation Iraqi Freedom to drone-led wars of tomorrow, the guys explore how conflict has become a recession trap — and not the kind that you wan to get stuck in. With unemployment lagging recession signals and AI creeping into defense strategy, the conversation gets heavy, insightful, and just the right amount of unhinged. Plus, if the U.S. government needs a Microsoft BI subscription to speed up their shelter data, Chris offers to cover it himself. That's service.

Headlines:  – Welcome to Mo News (02:00) – Trump Sets Two Week Deadline For Deciding On Whether To Join Israel-Iran War (03:30) – A Potent Heat Dome Will Send Temperatures Into The Triple Digits (10:00) – Trump Extends TikTok Ban Deadline By Another 90 Days (11:30) – Americans Are Side-Hustling Like We're in a Recession (13:10) – SpaceX Starship Rocket Explodes Before Test (14:10) – Older Adults In The US Are Increasingly Dying From Unintentional Falls (15:20) – What We're Watching, Reading, Eating (16:00) Thanks To Our Sponsors: – Boll & Branch – 15% off, plus free shipping on your first set of sheets – LMNT - Free Sample Pack with any LMNT drink mix purchase – Industrious - Coworking office. 30% off day pass – Athletic Greens – AG1 Powder + 1 year of free Vitamin D & 5 free travel packs – Incogni - 60% off an annual plan| Promo Code: MONEWS – Saily - 15% off any data plan | Promo Code: MONEWS

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/It's back. No one wanted it, but it's here. Switzerland is first to revisit this dreaded milestone. Others aren't far behind, including now Sweden. The Swedes are facing exactly the sort of rough circumstances that made the Swiss National Bank take this drastic step. And if you think the Fed's dots have separate the FOMC from all this, look no further than one year ago. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSNB Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.snb.ch/en/publications/communication/press-releases-restricted/pre_20250619_2CNBC International SNB Martin Schlegelhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vY2-lrxsJfMRiksbank Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/press-and-published/notices-and-press-releases/press-releases/2025/policy-rate-is-cut-to-2-per-cent/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Everyone, get your calendars out and draw a big red circle around July. Why? Because a recession could be coming.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanLink to the tracker: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ICNSAFull Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/zeihan/watch-this-number-for-recession-indicators

StoneX’s Director of Global Macro Strategy Vincent Deluard joins Merryn Talks Money to explain why he thinks economic downturns are going out of style. He also explains why he sees a July Correction, and how MAGA's war on Corporate America will play out. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ce vendredi 20 juin, la peine de la Russie à attirer des investisseurs depuis la guerre en Ukraine, a été abordée par Caroline Loyer dans sa chronique, dans l'émission Good Morning Business, présentée par Laure Closier, sur BFM Business. Retrouvez l'émission du lundi au vendredi et réécoutez la en podcast.

The FOMC met today and while predictably there was no rate action, neither the dots nor the downgraded economy were the key takeaways. Chair Powell's press conference became the perfect example of what the Fed has become. What would you say you do here?Meanwhile, the markets, the economy and T-bills. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Megan Horneman: Fragile Optimism, Hidden Inflation Risks, and What Investors Are MissingIn this episode, we're joined by Megan Horneman, Chief Investment Officer at Verdence Capital Advisors, to discuss her firm's 2025 outlook and what she sees as the key macro risks and opportunities for investors right now.We explore the themes behind her “Year of Fragile Optimism” thesis, including consumer stress, inflation persistence, the impact of tariffs, debt sustainability, and why many investors are misreading the current market environment.Megan also shares how she's thinking about portfolio positioning in a world where traditional recession indicators are breaking down and valuations remain elevated.Topics Discussed Include:Why consumer strength may be a mirageThe risk of complacency around inflationTariffs, trade imbalances, and global uncertaintyThe growing consequences of U.S. and global debtWhy small/mid-caps and international stocks may offer better valueFixed income positioning in a “higher for longer” environmentThe case for active management over passive in today's marketOpportunities and risks in alternatives and private assetsLessons investors can learn from recent volatilityIf you're looking for a thoughtful macro perspective and practical ideas for navigating today's complex market landscape, this conversation is for you.

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, and George Goncalves, Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at MUFG, join Julia La Roche in-studio on FOMC day, where they break down the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, the state of the economy, and the interest rate outlook.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://www.mufgresearch.com/ George's Twitter/X: https://x.com/bondstrategist QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCYPBim2ARV9Yrqci0ljokFA Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/073521165500:00 - Danielle: Fed "willfully blind" to economic reality 02:52 - Record 5.3% of Americans working multiple jobs 05:00 - Real unemployment is 4.5-4.6%, not reported 4.2% 08:07 - Debate: Is the Fed being political? 10:00 - George: "More than one economy" - rates hurting different groups 16:28 - Net worth declined via both stocks and real estate in Q1 21:57 - Interest expense is fastest growing budget item 26:06 - Next Fed Chair prediction: Waller, Warsh, Bessent front-runners 32:12 - Corporate bankruptcies highest since 2010 38:49 - Danielle: US entered recession Q1 2024, back in one now 40:26 - Top 10% of earners drive 49.7% of consumption 43:52 - What keeps them up at night: False sense of security

AP correspondent Charles de Ledesma reports Russia's economy is “on the brink of going into a recession,” according to the country's economy minister.

Struggling airlines grappling with staycations offer insight into consumer behavior. Meanwhile, the government also showed spending on goods (and certain key services) tanked again in May. Even the world's biggest entertainers and their concert tours are suddenly having a hard time. The dreaded pullback keeps getting louder and more confirmed.   Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIATA June 2025https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-06-02-01/Bloomberg Trump Risks US Consumer Discontent With His Tariffs, Poll Showshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-24/trump-risks-us-consumer-discontent-with-his-tariffs-poll-showsBloomberg Concert Ticket Prices Are Falling For the First Time in Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-06-16/concert-ticket-prices-are-falling-for-the-first-time-in-yearshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In this encore episode of The Association Insights Podcast, host Colleen Gallagher welcomes back Dr. Bill Conerly, economist, Forbes contributor, and author of The Flexible Stance: Thriving in a Boom/Bust Economy. Almost two years to the day since his last appearance, Bill returns with a timely update on the economic landscape—and what it means for associations navigating uncertainty in 2025.With political changes underway, persistent inflation concerns, and tariff decisions looming large, Bill breaks down the outlook for recession, how to plan when the data is murky, and why acting quickly and smartly still sets resilient associations apart. From contingency planning to member engagement and policy positioning, this conversation is a must-listen for association leaders seeking clarity—and calm—in the face of complex signals.

Over the past few months, there have been countless headlines warning of a recession. While nobody can predict the future, there is considerable evidence to indicate a looming downturn. What can you do to protect your dental practice? Contrary to popular belief, recessions don't hurt all businesses. Some companies make it through difficult periods unscathed, and some even take advantage of certain economic factors (like low interest rates) and grow. How you prepare will determine the impact economic fluctuations will have on your production, profitability, and growth potential.  In this 2-part episode, Dr. John Meis and Wendy Briggs are sharing their 7 strategies to insulate your dental practice from economic harm. Don't miss this in-depth episode. We've also put together a free downloadable guide with additional resources on how to protect your office. Get your copy here: https://www.theteamtraininginstitute.com/recession

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Nine months later, China's bazooka has totally flopped. We have all the proof necessary. But the "stimulus" failure is not even the biggest takeaway. The full story behind it starts with banks, detours into massive volatility in Hong Kong, before ending up with zombies. Seriously. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Beijing's Borrowing Drove Credit Growth Despite Weak Loan Demandhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-13/china-credit-expansion-new-loans-rose-less-than-expected-in-mayBloomberg China Forced to Keep Unprofitable Firms Alive to Save Jobs and Avoid Unresthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-06-12/xi-keeps-china-s-unprofitable-businesses-alive-to-save-jobs-and-avoid-unrestHK HIBORhttps://www.hkab.org.hk/en/rates/hiborhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Get ready to uncover the secrets of one of commercial real estate's most resilient and misunderstood asset classes: self-storage. In this in-depth episode, Tait Duryea and Ryan Gibson explore why self-storage continues to outperform in uncertain times, how millennials are transforming storage use, and what makes it such a powerful wealth vehicle for passive investors. They share personal stories, break down tenant behavior, explain how to boost NOI with tenant insurance, and demystify cap rates and value creation. Plus, hear about their upcoming Houston tour where you can walk properties and learn the strategy firsthand.Show notes:(0:00) Intro(4:07) A brief history of self-storage(8:52) Sticky tenants and rent increases(11:09) Millennials, boomers, and behavior shifts(15:06) Business use cases and commercial demand(18:43) Automation, kiosks, and virtual support(23:02) Recession resistance and industry resilience(30:20) Buying from mom and pops(35:48) What actually drives cap rate compression(43:10) Capital flows and REIT consolidation(47:40) Outro

Join Moe and Javaid as they analyze the market impact of the war in the Middle East. Will this war escalate, will the U.S get involved, and what does it mean for equities, bonds, and commodity markets? Are there other signals in the market investors should be aware of? Listen now to find out the answers to these questions and more!

Headline unemployment numbers are low, yet many of us know people who are struggling to find work. In this episode Matt and Paul discuss what's really going on, if it might be a harbinger of what is to come, and what specific skills are needed to be employable as a knowledge worker.Humanity Working is brought to you by BillionMinds - the company that makes employees ready for the Future of Work.BillionMinds helps companies be ready for the future of work by developing adaptable, resilient employees. You can learn more about them on LinkedIn or by visiting billionminds.com.

Oil explodes at the worst time imaginable. There is no good time, of course, here in June 2025 the economy is dealing with tariffs, tariff-distortions, not to mention a noticeable amount of fragility already. Is rising oil going to spark the inflation reignition the Fed has been fearing?Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

This week, we explore the trust recession, a growing skepticism among consumers toward brands, marketing tactics, and social media. As AI takes hold, inauthentic messaging becomes more obvious (and off-putting), small business owners are facing a major shift: flashy branding no longer works, and trust has become the most valuable currency. We unpack what the trust recession really means, why it's happening, and how you can adapt by leaning into authenticity, clarity, and genuine connection. From simplifying your message to showing up consistently and using storytelling to build real relationships, we cover actionable strategies to help you cut through the noise and build trust that lasts. If you're ready to stop performing and start connecting, this episode is for you. Let's dive in!

The economy and the stock market have been resilient in the face of soft looking economic data, a troubling bond market, and warnings by economists that a recession is drawing ever closer. Confluence Associate Market Strategist and certified business economist Thomas Wash joins Phil Adler to discuss why, so far, this is an economy that won't die.

As middle east tensions rise and create market turmoil, there still remains massively bullish news in the crypto sector.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON 00:00 Intro00:18 Sponsor: Coinbase00:45 CNBC: Israel strikes Iran02:28 Bitcoin falls below $103K03:13 $100K Liquidation trigger04:07 Mohamed El-Erian: Israel-Iran is stagflation06:00 Gold & Oil surge07:00 CNBC: Why isn't oil up more?09:06 Israel-Iran: More to come10:04 Bitcoin Recovery within days11:10 Recession odds down11:30 SEC opens floodgates11:48 Coinbase users DeFi access12:53 ETH panic buying13:23 SharpLink: Largest public ETH holder14:17 Genius Act next week14:30 Circle15:55 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Bearish vs Bullish Crypto Weekend Outlook

Eric Sterner thinks the fear of tariff impacts is the biggest problem in markets right now – but thinks tariffs themselves are “overblown.” He discounts risks from Israel's attacks on Iran, and hopes we can see more resolution in trade from the G7 meeting. He looks at the shift in the macro environment between the Covid-19 pandemic and now. Eric also thinks the Fed will cut rates twice this year, with the first coming in September.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Henrik Zeberg joins Maggie Lake to issue a bold and urgent warning: the global economy has already hit the iceberg, and a massive crash may be just months away. But first, he says, markets could soar in a final liquidity-fueled rally, creating one last chance to prepare before everything changes. Henrik lays out his thesis for why we're nearing the end of this business cycle, why central bank and fiscal stimulus might backfire, and why the next crisis could end the U.S. dollar's dominance in a global monetary reset. Key topics: Why Henrik says the housing market has already frozen, and what that means How $4.5 trillion in global liquidity is fueling a dangerous blow-off top What could trigger a deflationary bust followed by a stagflation crisis Will the U.S. dollar lose its global reserve status? The long-term opportunity Henrik sees in AI, tech, and innovation Make sure your portfolio is built to survive any economic icebergs. Get your free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/4e4dt4F Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Chapters: 00:37 - Zooming Out: The Macro Picture 02:38 - Will the Recession Be Global? 06:28 - Stocks Surging into Trouble? 08:41 - Are Investors Too All-In? 13:34 - What Pops the Blow-Off Top? 15:46 - Does a Two-Tier Economy Buy Time? 18:30 - Gold's Rally—Safe Haven or Hype? 20:40 - How High Can Crypto Fly? 26:01 - Recession or Something Darker? 31:00 - Why Commodities Spike in a Slump 32:25 - Can Fiscal Firepower Save Us? 34:11 - Global Teamwork—or Fragmentation? 37:13 - What Keeps You Up at Night? 40:45 - Where Do You Hide Your Money? 46:55 - Wildcards That Flip the Script 48:05 - Wealthion's Golden Nugget: The Best Bets for the Next Decade? 49:44 - Can a Doomster Be an Optimist? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #HenrikZeberg #Recession #MarketCrash #Stagflation #EconomicReset #Macro #Gold #Crypto #HousingMarket #FederalReserve #AssetBubble #DollarCollapse ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Send us a textWhat do you get when you combine a data-driven investor, an overloaded entrepreneur, and the future of self-storage? A revolution. Scott Meyers sits down with Noah Starr, CEO of Tract IQ, to unpack his wild journey—from quitting his corporate job, to acquiring his first facility all in the same week—and how those life-altering decisions set him on a path to transform the self-storage industry through data. Noah explains how pain points in the underwriting process led him to acquire and rebuild Tract IQ, a powerful data platform that's reshaping how investors analyze deals and mitigate risk. Scott and Noah dive into transparency, rent control legislation, investor pitfalls, and why the next phase of the industry belongs to those who understand—and act on—the data. WHAT TO LISTEN FOR2:07 The Wildest Week: Job Quit, Engagement, House & First Facility3:09 From Investor to Tech CEO: The Birth of Tract IQ8:13 The Power Shift to Third-Party Management13:21 The Data Doesn't Lie: Rent Trends & Transaction Lows14:38 California's Rent Control & the Rise of Transparency22:21 Hedge Funds, Overbuilding, and Overconfidence31:02 If Noah Were Investing Again: What He'd Do Differently Leave a positive rating for this podcast with one click  CONNECT WITH GUEST:NOAH STARR, Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer of Tract IQWebsite | LinkedIn | About Noah | YouTubeCONNECT WITH USWebsite | You Tube | Facebook | X | LinkedIn | Instagram Follow so you never miss a NEW episode! Leave us an honest rating and review on Apple or Spotify.Attend the Self Storage Academy in Seattle, WA August 21-23https://selfstorageacademy.com/

In this episode of SB Talks, Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill speaks with Chief Investment Officer Nick Ryder. They discuss: Escalating Middle East Conflict and the impact on oil prices G7 Summit in the Canadian Rockies Section 899 of Trump's 'One Big, Beautiful Bill' Australia's Q1 GDP report   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

When did the dollar stop being a dollar? Most people might answer August 15, 1971, but a more accurate answer would be around a hundred years before then. There isn't exact date, just the most consequential evolution no one has ever heard of. The good news is that evolution doesn't stop. Eurodollar University's Make It Make Centshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Alternative Assets Appear to Be a House of Cards I remember using that same terminology back before the tech bust about 25 years ago. I was maybe a little bit early back then, but the house of cards collapsed. The more I read about alternative assets the more I scratch my head and ask how is Wall Street getting away with this? In the end, I believe the small investor will end up paying dearly for investing in these alternative assets. I learned something new over the weekend, a company called Hamilton Lane Private assets can buy private stakes from other holders at a discounted price, but then they can magically increase the value to the net asset value. This also reminds me of the mortgage crisis in 2008 with collateralized mortgage obligations better known as CMO‘s that also had major difficulties. Hamilton Lane Private assets can disregard the discounted price they paid no matter how they paid for it, even if it was in a competitive auction and again mark it up to net asset value. In 2024 there were $162 billion in secondary deals with an average discount of 11%. My question is how can they magically create $18 billion of value on those secondary deals. The incentive fees that private equity firms like Hamilton Lane earn range from 10 to 12 1/2%. If it sounds complicated, it is and if you don't understand something, you should not be investing in it no matter how simple your broker tries to make it sound. The greed on Wall Street appears to be running rampant, I would highly caution investors to avoid any type of private equity in their portfolio.   Tariffs Are Still Not Impacting Inflation The May Consumer Price Index, also known as CPI, showed little impact from tariffs. Headline CPI came in at 2.4%, which was right in line with expectations and core CPI, which excludes food and energy, came in at 2.8%, which was actually below the expectation of 2.9%. The headline CPI continues to remain softer than core CPI due to falling energy prices. Compared to last year, energy prices were down 3.5% and gasoline in particular fell 12.0%. The core prices do remain a little bit stuck at the 2.8% level considering it was at that level in both the March and April reports as well, but considering the concern around tariffs I would say this was a really strong report. It will be interesting to see the coming months as economists are pointing to the fact that companies brought in excess inventory before the tariffs were implemented so they are still working through pre tariff inventory and have not needed to raise prices yet. I do wonder if inflation does not substantially increase at what point will economists say that the tariffs maybe aren't as impactful as they once thought? My belief remains that we will see a small uptick in inflation in the coming months, but there are other forces reducing inflation in some areas so I think it will be more muted than many believe.    Health and Human Services Is Receiving a Major Makeover Back in the 60s, the world looked to America's health regulators for guidance because they had a reputation for integrity, scientific impartiality and a strong defense of patient welfare. Today and for probably the last couple of decades, HHS has lost trust among many people. This week, a major shakeup of the advisory committee for immunization practices known as ACIP is retiring all 17 of the current members on the committee. In the past, the committee had many persistent conflicts of interest and approved every vaccine that came through. The committee met behind closed doors and without transparency the public had no faith in their decisions. Some of the members had financial stakes or received substantial funding from the pharmaceutical companies. I'm happy to report with all 17 of the committee members being forced into retirement we should see big changes on the approval of vaccines and hopefully in a few years, the HHS and the committee can regain public trust. This could have an impact on some pharmaceutical stocks if vaccines go through a more rigorous approval process.    Financial Planning: What If There's a Recession While in Retirement? With 8 in 10 Americans already changing their spending habits and 58% expecting a recession, it's clear that economic uncertainty is weighing heavily on people's minds. But the reality is if you're retiring soon, or already retired, you should assume you'll face multiple recessions, market corrections, and bear markets during your retirement. It's not a matter of it, but when. Historically, recessions occur about every 6 to 10 years and typically last 10 to 18 months. Market corrections, defined as a drop of 10% or more, happen about once every 1 to 2 years, and bear markets, declines of 20% or more, occur roughly every 5 to 6 years, lasting on average about 10 months, though the recovery to previous highs can take up to 2 years or more depending on the severity. The point isn't to try and time retirement around these events, it's to build an income strategy that expects them. A well-structured retirement income plan includes diversified investment portfolio that will provide long-term growth, cash reserves to avoid selling investments at a loss, a sustainable withdraw rate, and flexibility to adjust withdrawals from various sources when needed. By accepting volatility as a normal part of retirement, you can build a plan that weathers it and sleep better when the markets are volatile.   Companies Discussed: Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU), Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF), Brown-Forman Corporation (BF.B) & DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU)

Why are LT rates rising? Most people say it is the long overdue reckoning. After resisting inflation, the Fed, most of all insane debt levels for years, the chickens have finally come home to roost for longer-dated Treasury notes and bonds. And that would mean the market was wrong about all those factors up until now. What IS happening on the curve?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The South may be in trouble. While inflation remains elevated in the Northeast and Midwest due to persistent housing costs, the South is showing clear signs of a slowdown. In this episode, we break down Bloomberg columnist Conor Sen's latest analysis on why Southern states like Texas, Florida, and Tennessee are at greater risk of an economic drag. With rising housing inventory, stalled construction, and slowing price growth, regional divides are deepening. We also look at how the Fed's rate policy and new legislation out of Washington could make the situation worse. Read the article: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-06-13/the-south-is-beating-inflation-but-not-housing Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump’s policies have slowed the economy, making a downturn more likely. But Peter Berezin, chief global investment strategist at BCA Research, says the nation’s yawning deficit is a bigger threat. He joins this week to talk recession odds and strategies for investing. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Negative downgrades to the world. Negative rates among major bonds already. Negative prices for consumers - here in the United States. The deflationary signals keep picking up. More to the point, all of this adds up to what markets like swaps have been saying for years. And that's the bad news. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWorld Bank https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospectshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

About the Guest(s):Lauren Saidel-Baker is a seasoned economist at ITR Economics, a division of CROW LLP. Known for her data-driven and objective approach, Lauren specializes in economic forecasting and consulting, helping businesses and industries navigate economic changes. With a strong academic background from Wellesley College, where she double-majored in Economics and Religion, Lauren brings unique insights into the economic sector, making her a sought-after speaker and consultant.Specright eBook - How to define sustainable packaging strategies!* Gartner Report* Packaging Pros eBook* Home Page* Book a demo with SpecrightMeyers has some incredible sustainable packaging options!* Get the 2023 Sustainability Report* Meyers Packaging EPR eBook - it is FREE!!New sponsor is Label King! Check them out at www.thelabelking.comBook a demo with Trayak (LCA's on demand!)SmartSolve has water soluble label and paper materials. Learn more!The Scrapp App is going to revolutionize home and corporate recycling. Download for your device today!Episode Summary:In this engaging episode of [Podcast Name], host Adam Peek converses with Lauren Saidel-Baker, an economist from ITR Economics, about the complexities and current impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy, with a spotlight on the packaging industry. Lauren delves into the macroeconomic trends, providing data-backed insights into how tariffs affect imports, exports, and consumer behavior. This episode promises to equip listeners with a robust understanding of economic principles and future trends.Lauren highlights the shifting tides of globalization and nationalism, articulating the nuanced effects of tariffs as merely one facet of broader economic movements. She emphasizes the influence of these policies on business investment and timing, underscoring the resultant uncertainty. With concrete examples like the aluminum market, Lauren illustrates the intricate relationship between tariffs, inflation, and consumer prices. Throughout the episode, she dissects the economic indicators that businesses and individuals should track to make informed decisions, painting a clear picture of current and future economic climates.Key Takeaways:* Impact of Tariffs: Tariffs primarily function as taxes designed to protect domestic industries by making imported goods more expensive, yet they introduce significant uncertainty into business planning.* Potential Economic Downturn in 2030: Lauren projects a potential depression due to demographic shifts, government overspending, and fiscal imbalances, suggesting strategic preparation for long-term financial health.* Consumer Spending as Economic Strength: The robustness of the U.S. economy is largely bolstered by consumer spending, which continues to rise due to increasing wages and employment levels.* Importance of Economic Indicators: Businesses should focus on industry-specific economic indicators and adjust strategies based on macroeconomic trends and forecasts provided by reliable resources.* Preparing for Future Opportunities: The advice includes living below one's means, planning for better investment opportunities post-downturn, and not heavily leveraging current assets.Notable Quotes:* "If you remember back, the Biden administration put tariffs on certain items and goods too, so everyone can do tariffs again."* "The fundamental support for our economic growth is people. Consumer spending makes up two-thirds of GDP."* "We are looking at another four or five years of pretty steady growth… but have a plan because come 2028, 2029, we'll see those leading indicators start to roll over."* "The big impact that I'm watching, that I'm concerned about, is just the uncertainty that this is bringing up."* "We don't see a recession in 2025… Even if through some weird quirk of the math that were to happen, this is not what a business should react to as a recession."Resources:* ITR Economics: Stay updated with their economic insights and resources at itreconomics.com* Blog and Video Content: Explore economic indicators and forecasts tailored for various sectors on ITR Economics' website.* Laura Saidel-Baker's Work: Follow her insights on LinkedIn and other social media platforms associated with ITR Economics.Listen to the full episode for an in-depth exploration of current economic paradigms, strategic insights from Lauren Saidel-Baker, and a comprehensive understanding of how tariffs and broader economic trends affect businesses and individuals alike. Stay tuned to [Podcast Name] for more insightful content. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.packagingisawesome.com

Professor Steve H. Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University and the founder and co-director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise, joins Julia La Roche on episode 265 to discuss the economy and his new book "Making Money Work: How to Rewrite the Rules of Our Financial System." Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/juliaIn this episode, Hanke warns of an 80% recession probability by year-end, driven by regime uncertainty from Trump's policy changes and money supply contraction since April 2022. He critiques the Federal Reserve's narrow focus on interest rates while ignoring quantitative tightening and argues for putting money supply and commercial banks back at the center of monetary policy. Hanke explains how Fed policies create wealth inequality by inflating asset prices that benefit the rich, advocating for "neutrality" as the goal of monetary policy. He dismisses Trump's "big beautiful bill" as fiscally irresponsible and calls for a constitutional convention to implement a Swiss-style debt brake. The conversation covers his new book's thesis that monetary policy should focus on money supply growth rather than interest rates, with commercial banks producing 80% of the money supply through lending.Links: Twitter/X: https://x.com/steve_hankeMaking Money Work book: https://www.amazon.com/Making-Money-Work-Rewrite-Financial/dp/139425726000:00 - Introduction of Professor Steve Hanke 01:28 - Regime uncertainty concept and Trump's policy changes 03:52 - Tariffs as taxes on international transactions 06:20 - 80% recession probability by end of year 08:31 - Money supply contraction since April 2022 10:51 - Bubble indicator and market complacency discussion 12:52 - Family call interruption from Dominican Republic 13:24 - Market in bubble territory explanation 16:11 - Federal Reserve critique and FOMC meeting outlook 18:27 - Quantitative tightening vs interest rate focus 19:04 - Three pillars of the book's thesis 25:46 - Neutrality as monetary policy objective 29:30 - How Fed policy creates wealth inequality 32:15 - Catalyst for writing the book 37:09 - "Big beautiful bill" critique and fiscal concerns 42:34 - Swiss debt brake constitutional solution 46:25 - Key prices to watch: gold, 10-year yields, dollar-euro, stocks

James Kostohryz returns to discuss the multiple economic shocks that might still hit the economy in 2025 (1:40). High inflation expectations, Fed pressure, and interest rates (13:40). Allocation ideas for a recession (19:35). Elon Musk, escalating debt, and the big, beautiful bill (28:10). Israel, Iran, and oil (45:35). What's driving Bitcoin surge (58:40).Show Notes:Will War Trigger A Bear Market And Spike In Oil?Will Macroeconomic Shocks Lead To Business Cycle Recession?Is Elon Musk Right About A US Debt Crisis?CPI inflation comes in softer than expected in MayEpisode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

Central bankers are being forced to reckon with their inflation biases which are not standing up to reality. Deflationary consequences are breaking out worldwide, either in the form of increasingly layoff-riddled labor markets or outright price deflation; sometimes both. The global race to the bottom for interest rates is spreading as acknowledgement of economic facts rather than Economics fantasy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

This Is How to Weather a Trust Recession (Ep. 814) Derek Morgan, founder of Referral Marketing Ideas, shares relationship-driven strategies for sustainable growth and avoiding the trust burnout that's occurring in social media. Learn more at https://www.referralmarketingideas.com/. For more great insight on professional relationships and business networking contact Frank Agin at frankagin@amspirit.com.

Tourism and gambling have powered Las Vegas for decades — but with a historic decline in visitors and the uncertainty of a global trade war, many locals are starting to feel uneasy, even reminded of the 2008 recession. So how bad is it really, and what's being done to protect the city's future? Co-host Dayvid Figler talks with Shani Coleman from Clark County's Office of Community and Economic Development and Andrew Woods from UNLV's Center for Business and Economic Research about where things stand and how Las Vegas is trying to build a more resilient and diverse economy. Learn more about the sponsors of this June 11th episode: Slater's 50/50 - From Friday, June 13 through Father's Day Sunday, every dad who dines in gets a FREE bottle of our signature Bacon Salt to take home Southern Nevada Water Authority Want to get in touch? Follow us @CityCastVegas on Instagram, or email us at lasvegas@citycast.fm. You can also call or text us at 702-514-0719. For more Las Vegas news, make sure to sign up for our morning newsletter, Hey Las Vegas. Looking to advertise on City Cast Las Vegas? Check out our options for podcast and newsletter ads at citycast.fm/advertise. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Joe Quinlan, head of CIO market strategy for Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, says the market "got wrong-footed coming into January," expecting a pro-business administration but stumbling instead due to the tariffs, but he says that as the economy starts to get to the other side and have some clarity, he still sees the Standard & Poor's 500 hitting the same goals his team set for it at the beginning of the year at 6,600. While he would like to see the market make and hold new highs to prove that the rebound from April lows can hold, he says that there will not be a recession this year or next without some man-made event like the Federal Reserve making a mistake by moving rates too much or too soon. While Quinlan is confident that there won't be a recession, most Americans disagree; Emily Fanous discusses a survey done for Howdy.com which showed that more than half of Americans think a recession is in the offing — within the next year — and that many are starting to change financial habits to prepare for that downturn now. Plus, veteran international fund manager Bernie Horn of Polaris Global Value talks stocks in the Market Call.

Interview recorded - 5th of June, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research. She is the author of Fed Up and a global thought leader in monetary policy, economics and finance with 9 years experience at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.During our conversation we spoke about Danielle's thoughts on the economy, the FED stalling elections, the bond market, BOJ increasing global yields, recession comparison and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction2:07 - Danielle's economic outlook3:22- FED stalling6:37 - Worried about Covid repeat?7:50 - Cut before election?10:07 - End of Powell?12:13 - Bond market?13:41 - BOJ increases impacting global yields14:27 - Dollar depreciation16:02- US in a recession?19:16 - Global economy20:18 - Recession comparison21:31 - Risk-off?22:46 - Retirees selling?24:05 - One message to takeaway?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube - @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/RBI went full-blown shock and awe. Yet another major global central bank previously fixated on "inflation" abruptly and aggressively joining the race to the bottom. For India, it wasn't  heavy rate cuts this time. Indian Officials said they want to shore up confidence; OK, so how bad is confidence if they fell "shock and awe" is necessary to shore it up?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBBC India central bank delivers sharp rate cut as growth and inflation fallhttps://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62vdq6g945oTimes of Indiahttps://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/bank-loans-to-nbfcs-slows-sharply/articleshow/121557368.cmshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Techish hosts Abadesi and Michael dive into how AI is shaking up applications and why some grads are crushing it while others are stuck, Timbaland swapping out human artists for AI, and the future of adult content. Chapters00:27 Is It a Graduate Recession?11:29 Timbaland Debuts AI-Generated Artist TaTa24:59 OnlyFans on Sale for $8 Billion [Patreon-Only]Extra Reading & ResourcesNo hire, no fire: The worst job market for grads in years [CNN]TIMBALAND'S NEW ARTIST IS YOUNG, PHOTOGENIC — AND NOT HUMAN [Rolling Stone]The Anxious Generation: How the Great Rewiring of Childhood Is Causing an Epidemic of Mental Illness [Amazon]Exclusive: OnlyFans owner in talks to sell to investor group at about $8 billion value, sources say [Reuters]'I'm being forced to choose between Olympics and OnlyFans' [BBC]Real Talk About MarketingAn Acxiom podcast where we discuss marketing made better, bringing you real...Listen on: Apple Podcasts SpotifyJoin our Patreon for extra-long episodes and ad-free content: https://www.patreon.com/techish Watch us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@techishpod/Advertise on Techish: https://goo.gl/forms/MY0F79gkRG6Jp8dJ2———————————————————— Stay in touch with the hashtag #Techishhttps://www.instagram.com/techishpod/https://www.instagram.com/abadesi/https://www.instagram.com/michaelberhane_/ https://www.instagram.com/hustlecrewlive/https://www.instagram.com/pocintech/Email us at techishpod@gmail.com

ST rates have dropped sharply in the past few weeks, the past few days, in particular. The 4w Treasury bill now yields less than IOR, repo, even the Fed's RRP "floor." That's not all: the 3m10s spread has reinverted again. At the same time another major central bank just hit the panic button, going with a 50-bps cut only a few months after getting started. Where is this all heading? Not in Jay's direction.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Press-on nails, new music from Katy Perry, and an uptick in Klarna purchases: signs of an economic downturn or no? This episode was produced by Hady Mawajdeh, edited by Miranda Kennedy, fact-checked by Melissa Hirsch, engineered by Matthew Billy, and hosted by Jonquilyn Hill. Photo of Katy Perry performing in Sydney, Australia by Nina Franova/Getty Images. If you have a question, give us a call on 1-800-618-8545 or send us a note here.  Listen to Explain It to Me ad-free by becoming a Vox Member: vox.com/members. Help us plan for the future of Today, Explained by filling out a brief survey: ⁠voxmedia.com/survey⁠. Thank you! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Press-on nails, new music from Katy Perry, and an uptick in Klarna purchases: signs of an economic downturn or no?  This episode was produced by Hady Mawajdeh, edited by Miranda Kennedy, fact-checked by Melissa Hirsch, engineered by Matthew Billy, and hosted by Jonquilyn Hill. Photo of Katy Perry performing in Sydney, Australia by Nina Franova/Getty Images. If you have a question, give us a call on 1-800-618-8545 or send us a note here. Listen to Explain It to Me ad-free by becoming a Vox Member: vox.com/members. Help us plan for the future of Explain It to Me by filling out a brief survey: ⁠voxmedia.com/survey⁠. Thank you! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The payroll estimates for May were a total mess. The headline was weak, revisions make it totally unreliable anyway, and it only gets worse from there. A lot worse. The labor market is breaking down and it's getting uncomfortable and dangerous.

Elon Musk is throwing punches over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill—and Speaker Johnson jumps in to deny there's a rift. Meanwhile, TikTok hilariously roasts Harvard, and Karine Jean-Pierre drops a book no one asked for (except maybe MSNBC interns).In this episode:*Warren Buffett warns Congress about America's spending spree*Vermont Dem gets caught demeaning illegal immigrants—yikes*Dinesh D'Souza exposes Maxine Waters' corruption (again)*The Babylon Bee trolls the Navy with one epic headline*Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries cry recession*TikTok trends, cringe from Meghan Markle, and Swalwell's "Avengers" fantasy*Israel sends aid to Gaza, while the Colorado AG defends a firebombedPLUS: CNN gets dragged on air by Scott Jennings... twice.SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS TO SUPPORT OUR SHOW!Thank Dad and the men in your life with Omaha Steaks. Shop Father's Day gifts at https://OmahaSteaks.com and use promo code CHICKS for an extra $35 off!Don't wait. Schedule your free Know Your Risk Portfolio Review with Bulwark Capital.  Visit  https://knowyourriskpodcast.comMake mealtime easy with Home Chef. For a limited time, get 50% off, FREE shipping on your first box, PLUS FREE dessert with an active subscription at https://HomeChef.com/chicks18Keep your pets clean and fresh this summer with Coat Defense shampoo.  Save 15% at https://CoatDefense.com with code CHICKS!Master the grill this summer with CHEF iQ Sense—perfect cooking made easy.  Get 15% off with promo code CHICKS at https://ChefiQ.com

This week on Market Mondays, we're breaking down a pivotal moment in the markets. After Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft reported earnings, we're asking: are these tech giants still long-term compounders, or are buybacks and creative accounting hiding peak performance? Alphabet's $70 billion stock buyback is under the spotlight, and Tesla's stock jumped on Robotaxi hype — even as its fundamentals weakened. Elon Musk says Tesla doesn't need to buy Uber, but is that a strategic power move or a missed opportunity in autonomous transport? Meanwhile, Huawei's new AI chip spooked Nvidia investors — are cracks forming in the king of semis, or will U.S. geopolitics protect its dominance?Beyond tech, we explore the consumer and macro landscape. Spotify is nearing a breakout — is this real growth or macro-fueled momentum? ARK Innovation is surging again — is Cathie Wood making a comeback or just catching a Nasdaq wave? Domino's missed on same-store sales, DoorDash made a $3.6B bid for Deliveroo, and e.l.f. just bought Hailey Bieber's Rhode brand for $1B. Is global consolidation the next growth phase in food delivery? Are influencer-led beauty brands the future — or a risky bet on hype? And with Monster, Celsius, and Vita Coco battling for beverage dominance, who really has the edge in a slowing economy?We also dive into the economic outlook. U.S. GDP contracted by -0.2%, inflation appears mild but sentiment is at historic lows, and Treasury yields are climbing. Are we heading into recession, stagflation, or just a soft patch? Is now the time to rotate into risk or go defensive? Gold topped $3,400, oil prices dipped despite demand, and Palantir landed a $795M federal AI contract — is this the beginning of a broader AI-government integration wave? Plus, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq surging while the Dow lags behind, we ask: is this the start of a real breakout — or another trap before the next downturn?Link to Invest Fest: https://investfest.com#MarketMondays #Tesla #Alphabet #Nvidia #Spotify #ARKK #EarningsSeason #StockMarket #Investing #Inflation #Recession #Gold #Oil #Palantir #ElonMusk #CathieWood #TechStocks #BigTech #AI #ConsumerSpending #BondsSupport this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/marketmondays/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy