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Since the July payroll report came out, something seems to have snapped out there in the offshore eurodollar world. Two key sources are signaling a turn toward substantial tightening. Here we go over what those signals are, how to read them in context, and what they mean going forward. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------If you want to see what you've been missing - and it's A LOT - then join us at Eurodollar University. Our memberships have got you covered where it comes to mastering monetary mechanics. You won't find this anywhere else. https://www.eurodollar.university/memberships---------------------------------------------------------------------------FRBNY Triparty Repohttps://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/data-hubhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Economist Ed Dowd—former BlackRock hedge fund manager and founder of Phinance Technologies—rejoins the program to discuss the impending economic recession he sees on the horizon. Dowd lays out why he expects sharp declines in real estate and other asset prices, and why he believes a “massive rate reduction” under Trump is likely—not as a policy win, but as a response to a serious downturn. We walk through leading indicators, liquidity pressures, and how high-net-worth individuals and institutions are using Phinance's analysis to make informed decisions.Learn more at https://PhinanceTechnologies.com.
Jordi Visser is a macro investor with over 30 years of Wall Street experience. He also writes a Substack called “VisserLabs” and puts out investing YouTube videos. In this conversation we discuss Oracle going up 40%, what is going on in the stock market, what will happen with interest rates, job revision, AI, bitcoin, interest rates, and where asset prices could be headed. ===================== Markets are at all-time highs. Public equities are outperforming. And individual investors are driving it all. It's officially the rise of the retail investor. On September 12th in NYC, I'm hosting the Independent Investor Summit — a one-day event built exclusively for self-directed investors. We're bringing together some of the smartest public market investors I know for a full day of macro insights, market predictions, one-on-one fireside chats, and actionable investment ideas from each investor. This is going to be an absolute banger event. Join us if you like markets and think retail is two steps ahead of Wall Street.
In the latest edition of "The Schmidt Storm", Steve Schmidt answers your questions about the Charlie Kirk assassination, America's dangerous game in Venezuela and the current state of the US economy. Subscribe for more and follow me here: Substack: https://steveschmidt.substack.com/subscribe Store: https://thewarningwithsteveschmidt.com/ Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thewarningses.bsky.social Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SteveSchmidtSES/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thewarningses Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewarningses/ X: https://x.com/SteveSchmidtSES
What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/sniderYesterday's 10-year note auction produced something we've never seen before, and it totally upended everyone's expectations if not more. With the macro climate being what it is, the 10s sale was a "victim" of the increasingly prominent curve reshaping we're seeing everywhere. And "everywhere" absolutely includes the long bond, the 30-year maturity the mainstream has its sights on. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Big Banks Nearly Get Shut Out of Treasury 10-Year Auctionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-10/big-banks-nearly-get-shut-out-of-treasury-10-year-auctionBloomberg Trump Isn't the Only Reason the Price of Money Is Risinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-11/podcast-trump-isn-t-the-only-reason-the-price-of-money-is-risinghttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Where should your money go first? Too often, people skip ahead to investing or wealth strategies before laying the right foundation. Richard Rosso and Matt Doyle break down the essential hierarchy of money goals—a clear order of priorities to help you stay on track. From emergency savings and debt reduction to investing, wealth protection, and legacy planning, this framework shows you exactly how to progress step by step. By focusing on the right goals at the right time, you'll reduce stress, improve financial security, and set yourself up for long-term success. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "There Ain't No Inflation," is here: https://youtube.com/live/KuvJ7KcQU_0?feature=share ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyGoals #FinancialPlanning #WealthBuilding #PersonalFinanceTips #FinancialFreedom #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for listening!
Where should your money go first? Too often, people skip ahead to investing or wealth strategies before laying the right foundation. Richard Rosso and Matt Doyle break down the essential hierarchy of money goals—a clear order of priorities to help you stay on track. From emergency savings and debt reduction to investing, wealth protection, and legacy planning, this framework shows you exactly how to progress step by step. By focusing on the right goals at the right time, you'll reduce stress, improve financial security, and set yourself up for long-term success. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "There Ain't No Inflation," is here: https://youtube.com/live/KuvJ7KcQU_0?feature=share ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyGoals #FinancialPlanning #WealthBuilding #PersonalFinanceTips #FinancialFreedom #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQSubscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21sharesFollow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_USIt wasn't actually the record downgrade to payrolls that stood out the most. Far more important, the QCEW confirms there is a very good chance a recession began LAST YEAR. Not just the forgot how to grow kind, a full-blown one even mainstream Economists and the NBER will be recognizing. The evidence continues to show we all went from forgot how to hire to remember how to fire. The Fed's fifty next week is all but set.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says the economy ‘is weakening'https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/09/jpmorgan-jamie-dimon-economy.htmlBloomberg US Payrolls Marked Down a Record 911,000 in Preliminary Estimatehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-09/us-payrolls-estimated-to-be-911-000-lower-in-year-through-marchStanley Fischer The Great Recession: Moving Aheadhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/fischer20140811a.htmChristopher Waller Let's Get On with Ithttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/files/waller20250828a.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
What could a Swiss Army officer possibly teach you about building and selling companies worth hundreds of millions? Turns out – everything. Today's guest, Sam Goodner, took the discipline and precision he learned in the Swiss Army and applied it to entrepreneurship. He founded Catapult Systems, scaled it through two major recessions, and eventually sold it after 20 years. Later, he helped take Flash Parking from a stuck $3M startup to $100M in revenue and a billion-dollar valuation. Now a mentor at Capital Factory and author of Like Clockwork: Run Your Business with Swiss Army Precision, Sam distills 30 years of lessons into practical principles that help entrepreneurs scale businesses that thrive without them. In this episode, Sam shares why scaling always begins with a sales playbook, how “cloud conversion therapy” won over 100% of skeptical customers, and why annual contingency planning can make your company recession-proof. He also breaks down what it really takes to prepare for a sale years in advance and how unforgettable first-day employee experiences can shape culture for decades. If you're ready to scale with Swiss Army precision and build a company that runs without you, tune in now. — This episode is part of the 8FE (8-figure entrepreneur) series, where we talk to entrepreneurs who have already passed the million-dollar mark. — Key Takeaways: 00:00 Intro 00:02:03 Running a business like clockwork in practice 00:17:00 Curated client experiences turned skeptics into loyal customers 00:25:33 Starting Catapult Systems 00:28:54 Recession-proofing strategies 00:33:49 Separate teams allow multiple ventures under one umbrella 00:38:54 Selling businesses: Define your number and prepare years before exit 00:43:07 Strong EBITDA and audited records maximize company valuation 00:48:17 Choosing investment bankers 00:53:45 “Like Clockwork: Run Your Business With Swiss Army Precision” 00:59:54 First-day experiences build culture and long-term loyalty 01:01:35 Advice to young entrepreneurs 01:05:09 Wrapup — Additional Resources:
Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what's really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don't always match what you're feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices--is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight. Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street's narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio. SEG-1a: Inflation Day - Will Tariffs' Effects Appear? SEG-1b: What Bond Yields Are Telling About Interest Rates SEG-2a: Will Markets Have Another 20% Year? SEG-2b: Inflation Estimates & CPI Components SEG-2c: Wrapping the Quarter - Buy Backs & Positioning SEG-2d: The Risk Range Report Explained SEG-2e: Dealing with Bearish Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPI #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what's really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don't always match what you're feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices--is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight. Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street's narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio. SEG-1a: Inflation Day - Will Tariffs' Effects Appear? SEG-1b: What Bond Yields Are Telling About Interest Rates SEG-2a: Will Markets Have Another 20% Year? SEG-2b: Inflation Estimates & CPI Components SEG-2c: Wrapping the Quarter - Buy Backs & Positioning SEG-2d: The Risk Range Report Explained SEG-2e: Dealing with Bearish Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPI #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
After a year of pressure to cut rates, the Fed seems poised to lower rates by 0.25%-0.50% next week. Peter and Charlie discuss the logic behind this imminent rate cut as well as the likelihood of a recession and the biggest risk for investors. Plus, is rising unemployment from a cycle low a signal or just noise?
Why the OTHER birthday cards in Epstein's album prove that Trump's card is not a forgery, as MAGA women reject Trump and the Wall Street journal goes on the attack. How close is E Jean Carroll to taking $100 million off of Trump as a survivor of his sexual abuse? What has the Supreme Court done to our rule of law in just the last 48 hours. How Trump's weakness is being exploited by our enemies and allies alike. How Trump's Recession and failing job and economic growth, is being reported by MAGA media outlets. Popok lays it on the line in defense of our democracy on the latest episode of The Intersection. Magic Spoon: Get this exclusive offer when you use promo code LEGALAF at https://MagicSpoon.com/LEGALAF Cook Unity: Go to https://CookUnity.com/legalaffree for Free Premium Meals for Life! Check out The Popok Firm at: https://thepopokfirm.com Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/@LegalAFMTN?sub_confirmation=1 Legal AF Substack: https://substack.com/@legalaf Follow Legal AF on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/legalafmtn.bsky.social Follow Michael Popok on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/mspopok.bsky.social Subscribe to the Legal AF by MeidasTouch podcast here: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/legal-af-by-meidastouch/id1580828595 Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The trucking industry, and more broadly the freight industry, still hasn't fully recovered from the business impacts of COVID. What's behind that?
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A record downward revision to payrolls adds to the evidence the US labor market is in dire shape while also heading in the wrong direction. In this video, we go over not just those details but also look ahead at the possible financial consequences should conditions continue to deteriorate in the way they appear to be. What else might be triggered by job losses in the real economy? More than a few possibilities. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In episode 428 of the BE SMART podcast, Jared and Cameron discuss some of the latest economic trends, including weak US payroll gains, interest rate cuts, and the implications for the job market. They also break down the dynamics of the gold market, meme stocks, and mortgage rates, while also addressing potential fiscal crises in the UK. The conversation wraps up with insights on out-of-favor metals and a follow-up on why Heinz ketchup is better than Hunt's.
Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's policies continue to weigh on growth. In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips. SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic Reality SEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation Preview SEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & Michelle SEG-2b: Are We In a Recession - YouTube Poll SEG-2c: What Does Recession Mean? SEG-2d: Instead of Predicting, Start Preparing SEG-2e: When Everyone Agrees... SEG-2f: Don't Over-react to "Recession" SEG-2g: What Can You Control? SEG-2h: Understanding the Risk of Speculation SEG-2i: What About "Cash on the Sidelines?" SEG-2j: The Math of Loss vs Compounding SEG-2k: Don't Forget to Save SEG-2l: Cash Gives Options SEG-2m: Happy Wife, Happy Life Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Money Flows Bolster Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Recession #Cash #Economy #StockMarket #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #SourdoughBread #MarriageTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's policies continue to weigh on growth. In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips. SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic Reality SEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation Preview SEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & Michelle SEG-2b: Are We In a Recession - YouTube Poll SEG-2c: What Does Recession Mean? SEG-2d: Instead of Predicting, Start Preparing SEG-2e: When Everyone Agrees... SEG-2f: Don't Over-react to "Recession" SEG-2g: What Can You Control? SEG-2h: Understanding the Risk of Speculation SEG-2i: What About "Cash on the Sidelines?" SEG-2j: The Math of Loss vs Compounding SEG-2k: Don't Forget to Save SEG-2l: Cash Gives Options SEG-2m: Happy Wife, Happy Life Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Money Flows Bolster Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Recession #Cash #Economy #StockMarket #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #SourdoughBread #MarriageTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Gold keeps soaring and not because of inflation. We know this without any doubt because as copper prices remain stuck, rising bullion against it has crashed the copper-to-gold ratio down to RECORD LOWS. That isn't about expectations for a crash, instead the market is expressing rising probabilities as to the future. One in which the latest data from FRBNY on job finding expectations fits only too well. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com------------------------------------------------------------------------FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectationshttps://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/scehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Don’t miss the chance to engage with award-winning economist Dr. Julianne Malveaux when she returns to our classroom this Tuesday morning! Dr. Malveaux will delve into essential topics, including whether the country is in a recession or on the brink of one. If so, she will share expert strategies to help us navigate these challenging times. She’ll also shed light on the disproportionate impact of unemployment on Black women and discuss the potential of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Before Dr. Malveaux takes the mic, esteemed attorney Ethel Mitchell will offer invaluable estate planning tips to secure your financial future. Our lineup of thought leaders also includes revered 1960s Civil Rights icons Ambassador Andrew Young and Dr. Paul Smith, who will respond to Donald Trump’s alarming threat to deploy troops in Chicago. Additionally, gang interventionist Malik Spellman will bring his unique insights to the conversation. Join us for The Big Show, airing at 6 AM ET, 5 AM CT, 3 AM PT, and 11 AM BST on WOLB 1010 AM, or tune in online at wolbbaltimore.com. You can also catch us on WOL 95.9 FM and 1450 AM or visit woldcnews.com. Participate live by calling 800-450-7876 and listening on TuneIn Radio and Alexa. If you’re in the DMV area, catch the show on 104.1 HD2 FM, 93.9 HD2 FM, and 102.3 HD2 FM. This is a golden opportunity to be part of an eye-opening and impactful dialogue! Tune in Tuesday morning to contribute and deepen your understanding of the pressing issues affecting our community. Plus, enjoy all programs for free on your favorite podcast platform.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Send us a textIn this week's episode of Marriage Mondays with The Kings, we're tackling a struggle many couples silently face: the Romance Recession. Not just about money, this “recession” happens when couples stop pursuing one another and allow life, busyness, or outside voices to take the place of intimacy.As Christian believers, God calls us to cherish, enjoy, and intentionally pursue our spouse—not just in the beginning, but for a lifetime. In this conversation, we'll unpack: ✨ What the Bible says about romance and pursuit in marriage. ✨ How the world's view of romance can distort our expectations. ✨ Why couples must protect their relationship from outside influences. ✨ Practical ways to rekindle passion, even when finances are tight.Whether you're married, engaged, or preparing for the future, this episode will encourage you to see romance not as a luxury, but as a God-given responsibility to keep love alive.Support the show
Stephen Poloz, Former Bank of Canada Governor; Abigail Bimman, CTV News & James Maloney, Liberal Caucus Chair; Dan Rayfield, Oregon Attorney General; The Front Bench with: Dan Moulton, Laryssa Waler, Kathleen Monk & Laura Stone.
In this episode, Scott Becker breaks down the difference between a recession and a depression, highlighting both the technical definitions and the personal impacts of job loss, unemployment, and slowing job creation in the current economic climate.
For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQThere was one key stat from this week which helps explain the increasingly desperate state of the US labor market, offering background behind the "unexpectedly" weak payroll numbers from Friday. August's estimate was its lowest since...May 2009. Given the connection to employment, it all fits together with so many other signals including record low copper-to-gold. Yep, record low. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQ-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ISM Services August 2025https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/services/august/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUDisclaimerThis video is sponsored by 21Shares. The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Products mentioned may not be available in all jurisdictions, and their suitability will depend on your individual circumstances. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Latest jobs report shows Employment is no longer a 'lagging' indicator. Summer jobs (last 3 mos) virtually stagnant at 12k per mo. Total unemployment 8.1% officially (U-6). Inflation higher than 2.7% official number (4%) and real wages barely growing 1-1.5% when 50m part time/temp/gig workers included. Review of Europe's economy shows major Europe economies now contracting or stagnant (Germany, UK, France). Entire EU area GDP stalled at 0.1% (officially and actually contracting). Europe trade head says EU can't afford to buy $750 billion of US oil and gas per recent US-EU trade deal; US producers say can't drill that much as well. What next for Trump's US-EU trade deal? Main reason why Trump has sent US naval taskforce to Venezuela.
Join Javaid as he discusses the market action last week and what to expect this week. How is the market handling the upcoming rate cut from the Fed? Will markets keep making new highs or is this the market top? What is the high yield bond market signalling to investors? Listen now to find out the answers to these questions and more!
AllMyLinks.com/BBWBadgirl Main site: LosAngelesBBW.com Email: BellaMartinLA@gmail.com Premium Onlyfans: onlyfans.com/BBWBadgirl or BBWBadgirl.com Free Onlyfans: Onlyfans.com/bbwbadgirlbella The BBWBadgirl podcast where pleasure seeker and supersize BBW Isabella Martin (LosAngelesBBW.com), discusses sex, life, and sexwork (virtual, escorting, phonesex + BDSM domination etc). She explores kinks, desires and shares her experiences while giving valuable tips to men on topics such as having an affair, fat sex, approaching fat girls, weed & sex, sex toys for men and so much more. For open-minded men who love, lust, and appreciate FAT women. Episode #145: Pleasure piggy bank 2025 New Topics * Sexworkers, the stripper Index and $ * Strippers, Recession & Wes Anderson * Predictions Isabella made in January, you just didn't know about them * Uncertainty, Vegas and Pleasure spending * How are pornstars smart during an economic shift? 2 ways * Are you a Twister client? how that can effect you negatively in Dangerous Ads * Time Share experiences in sexwork- don't hate on the upsell you signed up for. * Where have all the saloon girls like Buttermilk gone? Old Topics: * Why the porn star mentioned in #144 was the Worst sex Isabella ever Had. * What Isabella didn't mention in #144 Twitter: @BBWBadgirlPOD or @IsabellaBBW or @IsabellaCrush IG: BBWBadgirlPOD Contributions to this podcast's development can be made at cashapp $BBWBadgirlPOD
This Day in Maine for Monday, September 8, 2025.
In this episode, Scott Becker breaks down the difference between a recession and a depression, highlighting both the technical definitions and the personal impacts of job loss, unemployment, and slowing job creation in the current economic climate.
Send us a textWhat happens when a college senior aiming for luxury development ends up dominating the self-storage industry instead? Scott Meyers sits down with Cory Bonda, co-founder of Prestige Storage Capital, to explore Cory's unexpected journey into self-storage and how he scaled from moonlighting in Columbus to managing a rapidly growing, vertically integrated storage empire. The conversation dives deep into Cory's acquisition strategy, the value of fixed-rate debt, lessons learned through explosive growth (and pandemic curveballs), and the cautious yet innovative approach Prestige takes with technology and AI. Listen For:0:46 From Student to Storage: Cory's Accidental Entry into the Industry4:02 How Prestige Storage Exploded Post-20206:22 Why Fixed-Rate Debt Fueled Smart Growth During Volatile Times10:16 How AI is Revolutionizing Hub-and-Spoke Storage Models16:28 2025 and Beyond: Strategy, Expansion, and the Top 25 Goal CONNECT WITH GUEST: CORY BONDALinkedIn | Website CONNECT WITH USWebsite | You Tube | Facebook | X | LinkedIn | Instagram Follow so you never miss a NEW episode! Leave us an honest rating and review on Apple or Spotify.
Derek Moore and Shane Skinner talk about the rally in gold no one seems to care about and the gold oil ratio. Then, they go through the indicators used to determine recessions and note they don't seem that bad, although nonfarm payrolls did disappoint. But private sector jobs are growing while the government jobs are falling, so are fed cuts greenlit? Later, looking at S&P 500 net income margin percentage average per decade. Yup, they've been rising each decade. Finally, looking at forward PE ratios against forward EPS and how some stocks like Broadcom got cheaper after last earnings. All this and much more! Next companies that are likely to join the S&P 500 Index Employment rate and non-farm payrolls Government vs Private Sector jobs Gold Oil ratio and what it means at these levels The rally in Gold over the past couple of years Central Banks buying gold AVGO Broadcom earnings and forward PE ratio and forward EPS estimates Recession indicators S&P 500 Index net profit margins by decade (they are rising) Why margins may not revert to the mean Fed rate cut probabilities jump after employment report Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
Eric Pachman breaks down the August jobs report. He notes that healthcare and social services are only 17% of jobs in the U.S. but is disproportionately growing new jobs in the U.S. labor market. The rest of sectors, he says, are flashing recession signals. He doesn't even think a 50 basis point rate cut can fix things, citing Powell's comments that the Fed has little control over structural changes to the economy. Eric explains how immigration and healthcare are both structurally changing the U.S. economy and what could come of it.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
In this episode of Retire Fit Radio, Nathan Fort discusses the unique challenges and opportunities facing Generation X as they approach retirement. With many Gen Xers now nearing 60, the conversation focuses on the importance of transitioning from saving to strategic planning, understanding tax efficiency, and the significance of having a clear cash flow strategy. Nathan emphasizes that retirement is not just about reaching a certain age but about having the freedom to live life on one's own terms. The episode also explores the risks of having 'lazy money' and the need for income-producing assets to ensure financial stability in retirement. Real-life scenarios are presented to illustrate common retirement challenges and the importance of personalized planning. If you have any questions concerning your retirement call Nathan Fort 800-890-5008 or click here to visit our website. Retiring, Planning, Saving, Healthcare, 401K, Roth, TaxesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Late at night, in a quiet house, friendship comes into focus. Not the movie version of perfect brunches and four archetypes, but the real thing that takes energy to sustain and too often slips away in midlife.In this episode of Let's Talk with Coach Che Marville (a Top 10 Midlife Podcast in Canada), Che unpacks the “friendship recession” among women in midlife and the way perimenopause, stress, and loneliness amplify each other. She reflects on her mother's model of community, the research showing that friendship is a form of medicine, and the small rituals that help rebuild connections.This is a conversation about women, friendship, community, mental health, resilience and why we can't navigate midlife alone.Perimenopause is a time when hormones change inside the body—stress and loneliness intensify symptoms.Women with strong friendships are less likely to experience severe symptoms.Friendship is medicine, not a luxury.Social churn is natural: half our friends change every seven years.Continuity and a supportive circle matter most in midlife.Ageism and cultural shame add weight to this transition.Small rituals, such as calls, walks, and tea nights, keep friendships alive.Self-advocacy with doctors is a matter of survival, not selfishness.Midlife isn't a cliff it can be a bridge.Friendship Is Medicine: Midlife and PerimenopauseNavigating the Friendship Recession in Midlife Women00:00 – Perimenopause Without the Brochure08:15 – Why Friendship Slips Away15:32 – Stress × Loneliness × Symptoms22:45 – My Mother's Model of Community30:10 – Rebuilding Connection
In this episode of Crosspolitic Toby, Knox, and Gabe dive into a recent Institute for Family Studies report documenting America's "sex recession" - revealing that young adults aged 18-29 are having significantly less sex than previous generations, with sexlessness doubling since 2010. While initially seeming positive (less unmarried sex), it only takes exploring the deeper cultural implications to realize otherwise. With declining birth rates now below 1.6, reduced social interaction among young people, and a generation rewired by smartphones and social media since 2010, the discussion reveals how this trend points to broader issues of isolation, lack of real-world relationships, and a culture that has lost sight of biblical sexuality and marriage. Fight Laugh Feast 2025 Conference (October 16-18, Nashville) - Register HERE: https://flfnetwork.com
Payrolls were ugly, a big miss for August on top of revisions to June which pushed the monthly change negative. If that wasn't enough, a rising unemployment rate after a crash in full-time employment. Plus, a plunge in Canadian payrolls punctuate the turning point for North American jobs. Rates were down sharply, no surprise. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/Eurodollar University's Deep Dive Analysishttps://eurodollar.university---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this episode of Crosspolitic Toby, Knox, and Gabe dive into a recent Institute for Family Studies report documenting America's "sex recession" - revealing that young adults aged 18-29 are having significantly less sex than previous generations, with sexlessness doubling since 2010. While initially seeming positive (less unmarried sex), it only takes exploring the deeper cultural implications to realize otherwise. With declining birth rates now below 1.6, reduced social interaction among young people, and a generation rewired by smartphones and social media since 2010, the discussion reveals how this trend points to broader issues of isolation, lack of real-world relationships, and a culture that has lost sight of biblical sexuality and marriage. Fight Laugh Feast 2025 Conference (October 16-18, Nashville) - Register HERE: https://flfnetwork.com
Ted Oakley, Managing Partner and Founder of Oxbow Advisors, joins Julia La Roche on episode 285 to discuss the economy and markets.Sponsored by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia In this episode, Ted warns that markets are extremely expensive at 23x future earnings while the economy is flatlining. He expects coming Fed rate cuts to be an Arthur Burns-style policy mistake, creating a window to sell long bonds before higher structural inflation takes hold over the next 5-10 years. Oakley advocates significant cash positions (his firm holds 50% short-term treasuries) and exposure to commodities, energy, and gold as hedges against dollar decline and inflation. He sees concerning parallels to late 1990s day-trading mania among retail investors and emphasizes risk management over aggressive growth, particularly for older investors who need to preserve wealth rather than chase returns.With more than forty years of experience in advising high-net-worth clients in the investment industry, Oakley implements the firm's proprietary investment strategies and the “Oxbow Principles” to provide a unique investment perspective. He is a frequent guest on FOX Business News, Bloomberg Radio, KITCO News, Cheddar TV, Yahoo Finance, and many more. Oakley is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). He is a member of the Austin Society of Financial Analysts. He is also a Partner of Herndon Plant Oakley Ltd., an investment company. He is a Board Member of Texas State Aquarium, American Bank, and American Bank Holding Company. Mr. Oakley is a United States Army Veteran. Oakley began his career in Dallas, Texas, over 35 years ago. He is the author of nine books: You Sold Your Company, $20 Million and Broke, Rich Kids Broke Kids – The Failure of Traditional Estate Planning, Crazy Time – Surviving the First 12 Months after Selling Your Company, Wall Street Lies, Danger Time, My Story, The Psychology of Staying Rich, and Your Money Mentality. Oakley's primary philanthropic interest is helping children. He is Chairman Emeritus and Founder of the Foster Angels of South Texas, the largest foster child foundation in South Texas, as well as Chairman Emeritus and Founder of Austin, Texas-based Foster Angels of Central Texas. Also, President and Founder of Advocates for Foster Children Foundation.Links:Oxbow Advisors: https://oxbowadvisors.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@OxbowAdvisorsX: https://x.com/Oxbow_AdvisorsBook: https://www.amazon.com/Second-Generation-Wealth-What-Want/dp/1966629168Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome and intro0:51 Big picture outlook - market extremely expensive 2:10 Disconnect between economy and markets - flatlining economy vs rising stocks3:20 48 years in markets - emotions never change at highs and lows4:43 Fed rate cuts coming - Arthur Burns mistake repeating6:24 Sell long bonds opportunity - inflation higher for next 5-10 years9:08 Most people don't know what's in their portfolios10:27 Rate cuts won't significantly impact 30-year rates12:02 Can Fed solve inflation? Only through Volcker-style aggressive tightening13:28 Jobs report 14:20 Recession outlook - wouldn't hurt to clean up system leverage15:52 Retail investor activity - zero commissions created day trading18:22 Warning signs from individual investors - last in, last out19:49 Liquidity allocation by age - different strategies for different ages22:49 Risk management key - never lose a lot of money26:59 Finding opportunities - screening 300 good companies29:45 Current allocation - 50% short-term treasuries across strategies31:48 Gold and bonds relationship - hard assets hedge against dollar decline33:48 Commodities outlook - 25-year lows present opportunity36:15 Biggest surprise this year - tariff costs not fully passed to consumers37:54 Biggest risk - America not as strong militarily as we think39:11 Optimism in American resilience and young people's potential
In this episode of Crosspolitic Toby, Knox, and Gabe dive into a recent Institute for Family Studies report documenting America's "sex recession" - revealing that young adults aged 18-29 are having significantly less sex than previous generations, with sexlessness doubling since 2010. While initially seeming positive (less unmarried sex), it only takes exploring the deeper cultural implications to realize otherwise. With declining birth rates now below 1.6, reduced social interaction among young people, and a generation rewired by smartphones and social media since 2010, the discussion reveals how this trend points to broader issues of isolation, lack of real-world relationships, and a culture that has lost sight of biblical sexuality and marriage. Fight Laugh Feast 2025 Conference (October 16-18, Nashville) - Register HERE: https://flfnetwork.com
The global economy is unraveling—fast. Job cuts, manipulated markets, and out-of-control debt paint a grim picture. But there's one asset that offers hope: Bitcoin. In this video, we break down the warning signs and why Bitcoin is the ultimate life raft.✅ Lednhttps://learn.ledn.io/simplySimply Bitcoin clients get 0.25% off their first loanNeed liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? Ledn has been the trusted Bitcoin-backed lending platform for 6+ years. Access your BTC's value while HODLing.
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It's not what everyone says, watch what they do. Big companies and big banks (JPM, too) are making heavy preparations for sharply lower interest rates. The former, in particular, have basically revived the long-dormant commercial paper market in a clear sign. At the same time, US and global banks are remaking their balance sheets in critical and unambiguous ways. Even some Fed officials are now seeing it, too. R is back to being an ultra-low STAR.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg America Inc. Swaps Decades for Days in Rush to Commercial Paperhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-02/30-years-try-30-days-america-inc-flocks-to-commercial-paperCNN Be prepared for 7% interest rates, warns Jamie Dimonhttps://www.cnn.com/2023/10/02/investing/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-7-percent-interest-rate-recessionFRBNY John Williams All the Stars We Cannot Seehttps://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/speeches/2025/wil250825Bloomberg Won Advances After BOK Governor Defends Currency Interventionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-28/won-gains-after-bok-rhee-s-comments-on-forex-intervention-goalshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Dante joins the Inside Economics team to talk about the August employment report. After another set of weak numbers, Mark declares that the economy has entered a jobs recession. Cris and Marisa agree, but Dante would like to see more evidence. They also discuss how the lack of hiring is disproportionately impacting young workers. They wrap up by considering what it all means for the Fed, in light of a big jump in market expectations for more drastic rate cuts by the end of the year. Guest: Dante DeAntonio, Senior Director of Economic Research, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.
Dollar Tree says after seeing a major influx of especially middle-income Americans in its stores, it won't be able to raise prices. The latest jobs data leaves absolutely no doubt why that is. According to the turnover stats, the US labor market LOST jobs in June and July.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------WSJ Dollar Tree Shares Fall as Tariffs Dampen Near-Term Outlookhttps://www.wsj.com/business/retail/dollar-tree-boosts-outlook-as-sales-jump-c48b7461WSJ Dollar General Draws Shoppers Across Income Levels, Raises Outlookhttps://www.wsj.com/business/retail/dollar-general-boosts-outlook-after-earnings-rise-95e4bff8https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
After trading conspicuously sideways for the past four months, gold has finally broken out of its range. However, at the same time the US dollar exchange value is threatening to do the same - by moving HIGHER. It's a bad combination: rising gold, higher dollar, and falling interest rates. If any doubts remain about what's really happening, the copper-to-gold ratio leaves everyone no doubt.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Why Investors Can't Seem to Get Enough of Goldhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-02/gold-price-record-why-bullion-is-safe-haven-amid-tariffs-inflationhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Chinese stocks are heading into orbit, taking off like a rocket ever since the US and China reached an agreement to not inflict the worst of trade wars. Curiously, though, the Chinese economy has further deteriorated which means the equity surge is looking more and more like something we've seen before from Shanghai.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's One Big Weekly Themehttps://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com/---------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg China Stocks Are Sending Warning Signs on Liquidity-Driven Rallyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-25/china-stocks-are-sending-warning-signs-on-liquidity-driven-rallySCMP 4 reasons fears of China stock market bubble are misplacedhttps://www.scmp.com/opinion/china-opinion/article/3323431/four-reasons-fears-china-stock-market-bubble-are-misplacedhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Once Federal Reserve policymakers start making total sense, that's when you know. Officials are seeing the data the same way(s) we are, meaning a mess in jobs combined with an absence of any sign for tariff inflation. A big one came this week with a leading voice voicing caution and a growing possibility for that September fifty. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Christopher Waller Let's Get On with Ithttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/files/waller20250828a.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU