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Following books by Malcolm Gladwell and Dan Ariely, noted economics professor William L. Silber explores the Hail Mary effect, from its origins in sports to its applications to history, nature, politics, and business. A quarterback like Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers gambles with a Hail Mary pass at the end of a football game when he has nothing to lose – the risky throw might turn defeat into victory, or end in a meaningless interception. Rodgers may not realize it, but he has much in common with figures such as George Washington, Rosa Parks, Woodrow Wilson, and Adolph Hitler, all of whom changed the modern world with their risk-loving decisions. In The Power of Nothing to Lose, award-winning economist William Silber explores the phenomenon in politics, war, and business, where situations with a big upside and limited downside trigger gambling behavior like with a Hail Mary. Silber describes in colorful detail how the American Revolution turned on such a gamble. The famous scene of Washington crossing the Delaware on Christmas night to attack the enemy may not look like a Hail Mary, but it was. Washington said days before his risky decision, “If this fails I think the game will be pretty well up.” Rosa Parks remained seated in the White section of an Alabama bus, defying local segregation laws, an act that sparked the modern civil rights movement in America. It was a life-threatening decision for her, but she said, “I was not frightened. I just made up my mind that as long as we accepted that kind of treatment it would continue, so I had nothing to lose.” The post The Power of Nothing to Lose – Ep 92 with William L. Silber appeared first on Read Learn Live Podcast.
William L. Silber is a Senior Advisor with Cornerstone Research and was a chaired professor at The Stern School of Business, New York University, most recently as the Marcus Nadler Professor of Finance and Economics (2002-2019) and before that as the Abraham Gitlow Professor of Economics and Finance (1990-2002) His latest book, "The Power of Nothing to Lose: The Hail Mary Effect in Politics, War, and Business," (Morrow / Harper, 2021) shows how presidents, generals, dictators, and ordinary people have used the power of downside protection to alter history. A simple strategy, similar to the Hail Mary pass in football, encourages risky ventures that favor the ‘deciders' but hurts innocent bystanders, causing collateral damage that requires attention. ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I've launched a new podcast called The Acquirers Podcast. The podcast is about finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carlisle ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer's Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon's Business and Finance The Acquirer's Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner's Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World's Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, bus
August 20, 2021--Bob Bushansky speaks with William L. Silber about his book “The Power Of Nothing To Lose — The Hail Mary Effect In Politics, War, and Business. It is not just in football that people throw a Hail Mary pass. Silber tells us when it is worthwhile and when it isn't.
In this episode of "Keen On", Andrew is joined by William L. Silber, the author of The Power of Nothing to Lose: The Hail Mary Effect in Politics, War, and Business, to explore the phenomenon in politics, war, and business, where situations with a big upside and limited downside trigger gambling behavior like with a Hail Mary. William L. Silber is a Senior Advisor with Cornerstone Research and was a chaired professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, most recently as the Marcus Nadler Professor of Finance and Economics (2002-2019) and before that as the Dean Abraham Gitlow Professor of Economics and Finance (1990-2002) He was also the Director of the Glucksman Institute for Research in Securities Markets at NYU Stern between 1985 and 2018. In the business world he has been a member of the New York Mercantile Exchange where he traded options and futures contracts, has managed an investment portfolio for Odyssey Partners, and has also been a Senior Vice President, Trading Strategy, at Lehman Brothers. In government service, he has been a Senior Economist with the President's Council of Economic Advisors and was a member of the Economic Advisory Board of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He holds an M.A. and Ph.D. from Princeton University and is a graduate of Yeshiva College. He has consulted for various government agencies, including the Federal Reserve Board, the U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget, the House Committee on Banking and Financial Services, and the President's Commission on Financial Structure and Regulation. He has testified in Congress and has been an expert witness in a number of court cases. In 1980 he received the Excellence in Teaching Award at NYU's Stern School of Business and was voted Professor of the Year by MBA students in 1990, 1997, and 2018. In 1999 he was awarded NYU's Distinguished Teaching Medal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This episode brought to you by the Connecticut Economic Literacy Initiative. The get this podcast without ads or announcements, and a week before regular subscribers, sign up for the premium service through our Substack or Supercast. William L. Silber, author of the book ‘The Power of Nothing to Lose: The Hail Mary Effect in Politics, War, and Business,' joins the podcast to discuss his thesis that individuals, including investors, can become reckless gamblers if they have nothing to lose. Silber has a career dating back to 1966 in academia and Wall Street. His comments are pertinent in the present day of cryptocurrencies, the ‘retailization' of options trading, NFTs, and meme stocks, among others. So is his recommendation (not investment advice) to reduce risk exposure. Content Highlights When people have downside protection and limitless losses, “they tend to become reckless and almost gamblers” (3:48) Rogue traders and the skewed payoff that makes them go rogue (14:41); What to make of the present day and investors' collective risk appetite, especially regarding meme stocks? (17:32); Background on the guest (24:55); A valuable lesson learned at Odyssey Partners in the 1980s: what's an exit strategy? (27:47); Is this a time for investors to reduce risks and sell stocks? (30:26); Precious metals and their place in a modern portfolio (36:52); More Information on the Guest Website: WilliamLSilber.com; Wikipedia; Places to buy the book; LinkedIn.
SBTV had a great conversation with Professor William L. Silber, a Professor of Finance and Economics at the Stern School of Business at the New York University. Tune in for an inside look into the speculative silver trades of the Hunt brothers and Warren Buffet and why they did it!
SBTV had a great conversation with Professor William L. Silber, a Professor of Finance and Economics at the Stern School of Business at the New York University. Tune in for an inside look into the speculative silver trades of the Hunt brothers and Warren Buffet and why they did it!