Podcasts about senior economist

In this episode, Robert Kavcic, a Senior Economist from the BMO Economics team, joins me to share his insights on the state Canadian housing market, the fundamental drivers, regional differences, how much further prices might have to fall, and where the market is heading over the coming years. As always, all feedback is welcome.

Samim Ghamami, Senior Economist at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, joins Mark, Cris, and Marisa to explore the rapid rise of the private credit market. With global assets surpassing $2 trillion, Samim breaks down the systemic risks posed by this opaque yet fast-growing asset class. The discussion delves into private credit's role in middle-market lending, private equity, and new markets like infrastructure and real estate, as well as its implications for financial stability and regulation.Access the full paper, Private Credit & Systemic Risk here: https://www.economy.com/getfile?q=2107637A-C535-4AFF-83BC-6CBA1AD1FAB9&app=downloadGuest: Samim Ghamami, Senior Economist at the Securities and Exchange CommissionHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X', BlueSky or LinkedIn @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Wednesday's show, we continue our discussion of President Trump, executive powers, and the Constitution with Cato Institute Chairman Emeritus Bob Levy. Professor and author Andrew Joppa and I discuss a variety of topics including our involvement in the war between Israel and Iran, the use of new technology including drones, Israel's little-discussed nuclear power, and illegal immigration in America. Please join us on Thursday's show. We'll visit with Keith Flaugh, Co-Founder and CEO of the Florida Citizens Alliance, Cato Institute's Michael Cannon, Senior Economist with the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young, and former Mayor of Naples Bill Barnett. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

New data shows consumer confidence has gone up - but overall levels show people are feeling more pessimistic than optimistic about the economy. The Westpac McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence index rose two points in June to 91.2, a modest rise from last quarter's drop. Westpac senior economist Satish Ranchhod says negative news and the rising cost of living are contributing to an uncertain outlook, but confidence is likely to improve once more mortgages drop. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

José Torres, Senior Economist at Interactive Brokers discusses the risk-on mode returning to markets as concerns ease around the odds of the Israel-Iran conflict spreading wider. He also previews the FOMC rate decision in view of oil price volatility plus recent jobs and inflation data. Produced/Presented: Ryan HuangSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Senior Economist for the Economic Policy Institute, Adam Hersh, discusses the immediate and potential impact of the Trump tariffs, the ongoing challenges of trade fraud, and how the loss of government resources will impact all areas of society.

Grocery prices are still on the rise and aren't showing any signs of leveling out. Robert Spendlove, Senior Economist at Zion's Bank, joins Greg and Holly to discuss the increasing grocery prices and how Utah consumers are reacting to "Trump's Economy".

Recent swings in U.S. inflation highlight the volatile economic backdrop, even before the full tariff impact. Nicholas Fawcett, Senior Economist at the BlackRock Investment Institute explains why we tap into mega forces that keep driving returns.General disclosure: This material is intended for information purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities, funds or strategies to any person in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. The opinions expressed are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Investing involves risks. BlackRock does and may seek to do business with companies covered in this podcast. As a result, readers should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this podcast.In the U.S. and Canada, this material is intended for public distribution.In the UK and Non-European Economic Area (EEA) countries: this is Issued by BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL. Tel:+ 44 (0)20 7743 3000. Registered in England and Wales No. 02020394. For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. Please refer to the Financial Conduct Authority website for a list of authorised activities conducted by BlackRock.In the European Economic Area (EEA): this is Issued by BlackRock (Netherlands) B.V. is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Registered office Amstelplein 1, 1096 HA, Amsterdam, Tel: 020 – 549 5200, Tel: 31-20- 549-5200. Trade Register No. 17068311 For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded.For Investors in Switzerland: This document is marketing material.In South Africa: Please be advised that BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited is an authorised Financial Services provider with the South African Financial Services Board, FSP No. 43288.In Singapore, this is issued by BlackRock (Singapore) Limited (Co. registration no. 200010143N). This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. In Hong Kong, this material is issued by BlackRock Asset Management North Asia Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. In Australia, issued by BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited ABN 13 006 165 975, AFSL 230 523 (BIMAL). This material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should assess whether the material is appropriate for you and obtain financial advice tailored to you having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation, needs and circumstances. Refer to BIMAL's Financial Services Guide on its website for more information. This material is not a financial product recommendation or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial product in any jurisdictionIn Latin America: this material is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice nor an offer or solicitation to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any shares of any Fund (nor shall any such shares be offered or sold to any person) in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities law of that jurisdiction. If any funds are mentioned or inferred to in this material, it is possible that some or all of the funds may not have been registered with the securities regulator of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Uruguay or any other securities regulator in any Latin American country and thus might not be publicly offered within any such country. The securities regulators of such countries have not confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. The provision of investment management and investment advisory services is a regulated activity in Mexico thus is subject to strict rules. For more information on the Investment Advisory Services offered by BlackRock Mexico please refer to the Investment Services Guide available at www.blackrock.com/mx©2025 BlackRock, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BLACKROCK is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners. BIIM0625U/M-4586289

Our economists Michael Gapen and Sam Coffin discuss how a drop in immigration is tightening labor markets, and what that means for the U.S. economic outlook and Fed policy. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michael Gapen: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Gapen, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist.Sam Coffin: And I'm Sam Coffin, Senior Economist on our U.S. Economics research team.Michael Gapen: Today we're going to have a discussion about the potential economic consequences of the administration's shift in immigration policies. In particular, we'll focus much of our attention on the influence that immigration reform is having on the U.S. labor market. And what it means for our outlook on Federal Reserve policy.It's Friday, June 13th at 9am in New York.So, Sam, news headlines have been dominated by developments in the President's immigration policies; what is being called by, at least some commentators, as a toughening in his stance.But I'd like to set the stage first with any new information that you think we've received on border encounters and interior removals. The administration has released new data on that recently that covered at least some of the activity earlier this year. What did it tell you? And did it differ markedly from your expectations?Sam Coffin: What we saw at first was border encounters falling sharply to 30,000 a month from 200,000 or 300,000 a month last year. It was perhaps a surprise that they fell that sharply. And on the flip side, interior removals turned out to be much more difficult than the administration had suggested. They'd been targeting maybe 500,000 per year in removals, 1500 a day. And we're hitting a third or a half of that pace.Michael Gapen: So maybe the recent escalation in ICE raids could be in response to this, right? The fact that interior removals have not been as large as some in the administration would desire.Sam Coffin: That's correct. And we think those efforts will continue. The House Budget Reconciliation Bill, for example, has about $155 billion more in the budget for ICE, a large increase over its current budget. This will likely mean greater efforts at interior removals. About half of it goes to stricter border enforcement. The other half goes to new agents and more operations. We'll see what the final bill looks like, but it would be about a five-fold increase in funding.Michael Gapen: Okay. So much fewer encounters, meaning fewer migrants entering the U.S., and stepped-up enforcement on interior removals. So, I guess, shifting gears on the back of that data. Two important visa programs have also been in the news. One is the so-called CHNV Parole Program that's allowed Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans to enter the U.S. on parole. The Supreme Court recently ruled that the administration could proceed with removing their immigration status.We also have immigrants on TPS, or Temporary Protected Status, which is subject to periodic removal; if the administration determines that the circumstances that warranted their immigration into the U.S. are no longer present. So, these would be immigrants coming to the U.S. in response to war, conflict, environmental disasters, hurricanes, so forth.So, Sam, how do you think about the ramping up of immigration controls in these areas? Is the end of these temporary programs important? How many immigrants are on them? And what would the cancellation of these mean in terms of your outlook for immigration?Sam Coffin: Yeah, for CHNV Paroles, there are about 500,000 people paroled into the U.S. The Supreme Court ruled that the administration can cancel those paroles. We expect now that those 500,000 are probably removed from the country over the next six months or so. And the temporary protected status; similarly, there are about 800,000 people on temporary protected status. About 600,000 of them have their temporary status revoked at this point or at least revoked sometime soon. And it looks like we'll get a couple hundred thousand in deportations out from that program this year and the rest next year.The result is net immigration probably falling to 300,000 people this year. We'd expected about a million, when we came into this year, but the faster pace of deportation takes that down. So, 300,000 this year and 300,000 next year, between the reduction in border encounters and the increase in deportations.Michael Gapen: So that's a big shift from what we thought coming into the year. What does that mean for population growth and growth in the labor force? And how would this compare – just put it in context from where we were coming out of the pandemic when immigration inflows were quite large.Sam Coffin: Yeah. Population growth before the pandemic was running 0.5 to 0.75 percent per year. With the large increase in immigration, it accelerated 1-1.25 percent during the years of the fastest immigration. At this point, it falls by about a point to 0.3-0.4 percent population growth over the next couple of years.Michael Gapen: So almost flat growth in the labor force, right? So, translate that into what economists would call a break-even employment rate. How much employment do you need to push the unemployment rate down or push the unemployment rate up?Sam Coffin: Yeah, so last year – I mean, we have the experience of last year. And last year about 200,000 a month in payroll growth was consistent with a flat unemployment rate. So far this year, that's full on to 160,000-170,000 a month, consistent with a flat unemployment rate. With further reduction in labor force growth, it would probably decline to about 70,000 a month. So much slower payrolls to hold the unemployment rate flat.Michael Gapen: So, as you know, we've taken the view, Sam, that immigration controls and restrictions will mean a few important things for the economy, right? One is fewer consuming households and softening demand, but the foreign-born worker has a much higher participation rate than domestic workers; about 4 to 5 percentage points higher.So, a lot less labor force growth, as you mentioned. How have these developments changed your view on exactly how hard it's going to be to push the unemployment rate higher?Sam Coffin: So, so far this year, payrolls have averaged about 140,000 a month, and the unemployment rate's been going sideways at 4.2 percent. It's been going sideways since – for about nine months now, in fact. We do expect that payroll growth slows over the course of this year, along with the slowing in domestic demand. We have payroll growth falling around 50,000 a month by late in the year; but the unemployment rate going sideways, 4.3 percent this year because of that decline in breakeven payrolls.For next year, we also have weak payroll growth. We also expect weak payroll growth of about 50,000 a month. But the unemployment rate rising somewhat more to 4.8 percent by the end of the year.Michael Gapen: So, immigration controls really mean the unemployment rate will rise, but less than you might expect and later than you might expect, right? So that's I guess what we would classify as the cyclical effect of immigration.But we also think immigration controls and a much slower growth in the labor force means downward pressure on potential. Where are we right now in terms of potential growth and where's that vis-a-vis where we were? And if these immigration controls go into place, where do we think potential growth is going?Sam Coffin: Well, GDP potential is measured as the sum of productivity growth and growth in trend hours worked. The slower immigration means slower labor force growth and less capacity for hours. We estimated potential growth between 2.5 and 3 percent growth in 2022 to 2024. But we have it falling to 2.0 percent presently – or back to where it was before COVID. If we're right on immigration going forward and we see those faster deportations and the continued stoppage at the border, it could mean potential growth of only 1.5 percent next year.Michael Gapen: That's a big change, of course, from where the economy was just, you know, 12 to 18 months ago. And I'd like to circle back to one point that you made in bringing up the recent employment numbers. In the May job report that was released last week, we also saw a decline in labor force participation. It went down two-tenths on the month.Now, on one hand that may have prevented a rise in the unemployment rate. It was 4.2 but could have been maybe 4.5 percent or so – had the participation rate held constant. So maybe the labor market weakened, and we just don't know it yet. But you have an idea that you've put forward in some of our reports that there might be another explanation behind the drop in the participation rate. What is that?Sam Coffin: It could be that the threat of increased deportations has created a chilling effect on the participation rate of undocumented workers.Michael Gapen: So, explain to listeners what we mean by a chilling effect in participation, right? We're not talking about restricting inflows or actual deportations. What are we referring to?Sam Coffin: Perhaps undocumented workers step out of the workforce temporarily to avoid detection, similar to how people stayed out of the workforce during the pandemic because of fear of infection or need to take care of children or parents. If this is the case, some of the foreign-born population may be stepping out of the labor force for a longer period of time.Michael Gapen: Right. Which would mean the unemployment rate at 4.2 percent is real and does not mask weakness in the labor market. So, whether it's less in migration, more interior removals, or a chilling effect on participation, then the labor market still stays tight.Sam Coffin: And this is why we think the Fed moves later but ultimately cuts more. It's a combination of tariffs and immigration.Michael Gapen: That's right. So, our baseline is that tariffs push inflation higher first, and so the Fed sees that. But if we're right on immigration and your forecast is that the unemployment rate finishes the year at 4.3, then the Fed just stays on hold. And it's not until the unemployment rate starts rising in 2026 that the Fed turns to cuts, right. So, we have cuts starting in March of next year. And the Fed cutting all the way down to 250 to 275.Well, I think altogether, Sam, this is what we know now. It's certainly a fluid situation. Headlines are changing rapidly, so our thoughts may evolve over time as the policy backdrop evolves. But Sam, thank you for speaking with me.Sam Coffin: Thank you very much.Michael Gapen: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Friday's show, we visit with Senior Legal Fellow with Pacific Legal Foundation William Yeatman about anticipated revisions of the “Big, Beautiful Bill,” and we discuss the events in Los Angeles. We visit with Libertarian Commentator Patrick Carroll about the outrageous use of the “takings” clause in Washington, D.C. We visit with the Senior Economist for the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young about the economy, interest rates, and tariffs. We also visit with Professor Larry Bell about the Israeli strikes in Iran. We have terrific guests on Monday's show including historian Marc Schulman, Senior Editor for AIER.org Jon Miltimore, and author Jim McTague. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

Africa Melane is joined by Thabile Nkunjana, a Senior Economist at The National Agricultural Marketing Council in Pretoria, to unpack the debate surrounding South Africa’s official unemployment rate, which sits at 32.9% for the first quarter of 2025. The conversation follows comments by Capitec CEO Gerrie Fourie, who claimed the true rate could be closer to 10% if informal and self-employed workers were properly counted. This claim has been strongly rejected by Stats SA. Presenter John Maytham is an actor and author-turned-talk radio veteran and seasoned journalist. His show serves a round-up of local and international news coupled with the latest in business, sport, traffic and weather. The host’s eclectic interests mean the program often surprises the audience with intriguing book reviews and inspiring interviews profiling artists. A daily highlight is Rapid Fire, just after 5:30pm. CapeTalk fans call in, to stump the presenter with their general knowledge questions. Another firm favourite is the humorous Thursday crossing with award-winning journalist Rebecca Davis, called “Plan B”. Thank you for listening to a podcast from Afternoon Drive with John Maytham Listen live on Primedia+ weekdays from 15:00 and 18:00 (SA Time) to Afternoon Drive with John Maytham broadcast on CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show go to https://buff.ly/BSFy4Cn or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/n8nWt4x Subscribe to the CapeTalk Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/sbvVZD5 Follow us on social media: CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Household spending is showing better signs, with consumers using energy rebates and tax cuts to spend on restaurants, food delivery, cinemas and travel.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

  President Trump has posted on social media today (Wednesday), about a deal he says the US struck with China, related to trade and tariffs. According to the President, there will be a 55 percent tariff on Chinese goods, imported into the US, and the US will be able to get rare earth minerals and magnets from China - that go into things like car batteries and phones, according to ABC. Robert Spendlove, Senior Economist with Zions Bank, joins Greg and Holly to discuss some of the new terms of this proposed deal and the impact on consumers. Greg and Holly discuss the impact of rare minerals involved in the deal and speak with Utah Representative Ray Ward, about Utah could contribute more to mineral production in the US. 

IFPRI Policy Seminar Fertilizer, soil health, and economic shocks: Policy lessons learned from recent events Organized by IFPRI, Food Policy, and the CGIAR Science Program on Policy Innovations June 11, 2025 Join us for a discussion of key findings from a recent special issue of Food Policy exploring the complex interactions between fertilizer use, soil health management, and economic shocks in various agricultural systems. Governments around the world have long implemented policies to enhance agricultural productivity through inorganic fertilizer application and soil management, yet recent global disruptions, from the 2020–2022 food, fuel, and fertilizer price crisis to ongoing climatic uncertainties, have challenged the effectiveness of these interventions. Authors and editors of the special issue will present evidence on the medium-term effects of rising fertilizer prices and their implications for global demand, highlighting the disproportionate effects on smallholder farmers in low- and middle-income countries. The discussion will also cover issues related to the role of targeted subsidy programs, integrated soil fertility management, and site-specific nutrient approaches. A panel of fertilizer experts will discuss how these insights can support policymakers seeking to mitigate price volatility, strengthen soil health, and ensure resilience in agricultural production, particularly during adverse weather events and economic shocks. This seminar offers critical perspectives for researchers, policymakers, and agribusiness leaders working to build more sustainable and equitable food systems in an increasingly uncertain world. Introduction and Opening Remarks Ruth Hill, Director, Markets, Trade, and Institutions, IFPRI Christopher Barrett, Stephen B. and Janice G. Ashley Professor of Applied Economics and Management, Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY A synthesis of recent evidence on the policy dimensions of fertilizer, soil health, and economic shocks Kibrom Abay, Senior Research Fellow, IFPRI Country and cross-country policy experience: A conversation with the authors Moderated by David J. Spielman, Director, Innovation Policy and Scaling, IFPRI Akuffo Amankwah, Senior Economist, World Bank Catherine Ragasa, Senior Research Fellow, IFPRI Jaweriah Hazrana, Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Arizona State University Pauline Chivenge, Senior Scientist, International Rice Research Institute (IRRI) Panel Discussion: How do we build resilience to future shocks in international and domestic fertilizer markets? Moderated by Charlotte Hebebrand, Director, Communications and Public Affairs, IFPRI Peter Odhiambo Owoko, Head, Policy Coordination, Directorate of Agricultural Policy Research and Regulations, State Department for Crop Development & Agricultural Research, Kenya Latha Nagarajan, Director, Sustainable Opportunities for Improving Livelihoods with Soils (SOILS) Consortium, International Fertilizer Development Center (IFDC) Shamie Zingore, Director of Research and Development, African Plant Nutrition Institute (APNI) Avinash Kishore, Senior Research Fellow, IFPRI Closing Remarks Ruth Hill, Director, Markets, Trade, and Institutions, IFPRI Links: More about this Event: https://www.ifpri.org/event/fertilizer-soil-health-and-economic-shocks-policy-lessons-learned-from-recent-events/ Subscribe IFPRI Insights newsletter and event announcements at www.ifpri.org/content/newsletter-subscription

Lester Kiewit speaks to Thabile Nkunjana, Senior Economist in the Trade Research Unit for Markets and Economic Research Division of the National Agricultural Marketing Council. They discuss what is being described as a perfect storm, hitting meat prices in South Africa. Good Morning Cape Town with Lester Kiewit is a podcast of the CapeTalk breakfast show. This programme is your authentic Cape Town wake-up call. Good Morning Cape Town with Lester Kiewit is informative, enlightening and accessible. The team’s ability to spot & share relevant and unusual stories make the programme inclusive and thought-provoking. Don’t miss the popular World View feature at 7:45am daily. Listen out for #LesterInYourLounge which is an outside broadcast – from the home of a listener in a different part of Cape Town - on the first Wednesday of every month. This show introduces you to interesting Capetonians as well as their favourite communities, habits, local personalities and neighbourhood news. Thank you for listening to a podcast from Good Morning Cape Town with Lester Kiewit. Listen live on Primedia+ weekdays between 06:00 and 09:00 (SA Time) to Good Morning CapeTalk with Lester Kiewit broadcast on CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show go to https://buff.ly/xGkqLbT or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/f9Eeb7i Subscribe to the CapeTalk Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/sbvVZD5 Follow us on social media CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nosipho Radebe speaks to Siphamandla Mkhwanazi, Senior Economist at FNBSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Interest rates weren't cut this week. Why? Well, it's complicated. The Bank of Canada didn't give borrowers a break when it set policy on Wednesday, as Tiff Macklem cited the need to wait for more data points. The word "uncertainty" is being thrown around, although ironically, the economy was actually stronger in the first quarter than forecast. Host Mike Eppel speaks to experts about the lack of a cut and what that means for the market, home buyers and home owners. Guests: Claire Fan, Senior Economist, Royal Bank of Canada Phil Soper, President Royal LePage We love feedback at The Big Story, as well as suggestions for future episodes. You can find us: Through email at hello@thebigstorypodcast.ca  Or @thebigstoryfpn on Twitter

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Friday's show, we visit with Senior Legal Fellow with Pacific Legal Foundation William Yeatman about anticipated revisions of the “Big, Beautiful Bill,” Supreme Court decisions, and we discuss the rift between Trump and Musk. We visit with the Producer of “Undoctrination” for FEE.org Maggie Anders about a risk-averse generation characterized by increased anxiety and loneliness. We visit with the Senior Economist for the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young about the economy, interest rates, and tariffs. We also visit with Professor Larry Bell about the risks, rewards, and perils anticipated in the “AI” revolution. We have terrific guests on Monday's show including historian Marc Schulman, Senior Editor for AIER.org Jon Miltimore, and author Jim McTague. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

Interest rates weren't cut this week. Why? Well, it's complicated. The Bank of Canada didn't give borrowers a break when it set policy on Wednesday, as Tiff Macklem cited the need to wait for more data points. The word "uncertainty" is being thrown around, although ironically, the economy was actually stronger in the first quarter than forecast. Host Mike Eppel speaks to experts about the lack of a cut and what that means for the market, home buyers and home owners.Guests: Claire Fan, Senior Economist, Royal Bank of Canada Phil Soper, President Royal LePage Do you have a topic that's confounding you in this economy? We'll be happy to dig into it for you and get you the answers you need. Email us at: rogerspodcastnetwork@rci.rogers.com. Thank you for listening!

“Our core business is harvesting and collecting the by-product from coal combustion plants historically, called fly ash. We introduce it into supplementary cementitious materials to create a Portland cement replacement. We are pushing for 20% and even 30% [replacement of traditional cement] and hopefully reaching 100% one day with our technologies that are still in development.” Marci Jenks on Electric Ladies Podcast We need infrastructure that's safe, strong, durable and climate resilient. To build our cities, roads, bridges and more, 30 billion tonnes of concrete is poured around the world every year. If concrete and cement were a country, it'd be the third largest emitting country behind the US and China! An innovative company tackling this challenge is Eco Material Technologies. Listen to Marcy Jenks, Director of Rail Logistics at Eco Material Technologies, who speaks to Joan about how green cement alternatives are making their way into major construction projects from Texas to Pennsylvania. You'll hear about: How Eco Material Technologies is disrupting traditional cement with its sustainable alternative. Ways that green cement reduces long-term costs. Eco Material Technologies' rail-focused logistics strategy that lowers carbon emissions. Expanding roles for women in the male-dominated construction and logistics industries. Plus, career advice for women in the construction and logistics industries.  “We need to continue to advocate for ourselves as women and for the women adjacent to us. There is a lot of opportunity for us to have our voices be heard, get a seat at the table, and our voices are critical. The unique insights that we bring, our perspectives and our kind of innate leadership and problem solving skills are key to this environmental and sustainability conversation in [the construction] industry and business.” Marci Jenks on Electric Ladies Podcast You'll also like: Joan Michelson's Forbes article on 5 Key Ways Climate Change And Economic Forces Are Redesigning Buildings. Deborah Lee James, 23rd Secretary of the U.S. Air Force, on good leadership traits in times of change. Lauren Sorkin, Co-founder and Executive Director, Resilient Cities Network, on how cities can withstand the shocks of climate change. Katie McGinty, Johnson Controls Chief Sustainability Officer, on why buildings are key to helping businesses address their carbon emissions. Anna Siefken, formerly from the Federal Energy Management Program at the U.S. Department of Energy, on plans to reduce the carbon footprint of federal buildings across the country. Erin McLaughlin, Senior Economist at The Conference Board explains why buildings are key to mitigating climate change.  Read more of Joan's Forbes articles here. More from Electric Ladies Podcast! JUST LAUNCHED: Join our global community at electric-ladies.mykajabi.com! For a limited time, be a member of the Electric Ladies Founders' Circle at an exclusive special rate.  Elevate your career with expert coaching and ESG advisory with Electric Ladies Podcast. Unlock new opportunities, gain confidence, and achieve your career goals with the right guidance. Subscribe to our newsletter to receive our podcasts, articles, events and career advice – and special coaching offers. Thanks for subscribing on Apple Podcasts, iHeart Radio and Spotify and leaving us a review! Don't forget to follow us on our socials Twitter: @joanmichelson LinkedIn: Electric Ladies Podcast with Joan Michelson Twitter: @joanmichelson Facebook: Green Connections Radio

Over the coming weeks, and in advance of the publication of the Government's Action Plan on Competitiveness and Productivity, Ibec will activate Our Business Ambition campaign, consisting of a series of policy papers to provide clear and actionable answers to how we should forge ahead; by rekindling our ability to deliver projects, to be agile, and to compete. In this episode of Ibec Responds, Gerard Brady, Chief Economist, is joined by Hazel Ahern-Flynn, Senior Economist, and Meadhbh Costello, Senior Executive for Education, Skills and Innovation Policy. Together, they explore the third of our campaign themes, Our innovation ambition.Thank you for listening. To explore all of Ibec's podcast offering, visit here. Make sure to follow Ibec Podcasts to stay up to date with new episodes.

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Friday's show, we visit with Senior Legal Fellow with Pacific Legal Foundation William Yeatman about the anticipated revisions of the “Big, Beautiful Bill,” and we discuss the legal challenges to Trump's tariffs. We visit with the Producer of “Undoctrination” for FEE.org Maggie Anders about generational gap in the prospects for home ownership. We visit with the Senior Economist for the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young about legal challenges to Trump's tariffs. We also visit with Professor Larry Bell about Biden's cognitive crisis; who was really running the country? We have terrific guests on Monday's show including historian Marc Schulman, Senior Editor for AIER.org Jon Miltimore, and author Jim McTague. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

A recent rendition of Jeff Caplan's Minute of News  focused on recession indicators including the men's underwear index, which looks at how men's underwear are selling... Debbie and Marty go through more got more unusual recession indicators and speak with Robert Spendlove, Senior Economist with Zions Bank about what signals him that a recession may be on the horizon.

The US President, Donald Trump's administration, has ordered its embassies abroad to pause new applications for student and exchange visitor visas as it prepares to expand social media vetting of foreign students. We hear from former US Education Secretary Arne Duncan – who was in office during Obama's presidency. Japanese-owned steelmaker Nippon Steel is expected to close its “partnership” with U.S. Steel at $55 per share, as the US media have reported. On Friday, last week, President Donald Trump said that he has cleared the deal. And Rahul Tandon hears how one woman's quest to buy only US-made goods has been surprisingly difficult. Throughout the programme, we will be joined by two guests on opposite sides of the world: Erin McLaughlin, Senior Economist, The Conference Board in the US, and Simon Littlewood, President of ACG Global or a business consultant based in Singapore.

Tariffs and stock market movements remained top of mind for consumers in May. The Expectations Index—based on consumers' short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions—showed modest improvement overall. Expectations for business conditions and the labor market inched up but stayed in pessimistic territory. The key bright spot was income expectations, which moved into positive territory, supported by a stronger stock market and early signs of progress on a trade deal with China.    Dana Peterson, Chief Economist and Leader of the Economy, Strategy & Finance Center at The Conference Board, sits down with Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators, and Erik Lundh, Senior Global Economist, to discuss the outlook for the US GDP, whether consumers are worried about a recession, and how the Fed might handle the current uncertainty.    00:38 Consumer Confidence in May   01:34 Impact of Tariffs and Financial Markets   04:08 Consumer Expectations and Spending   08:21 Inflation and Financial Concerns   13:03 Changes in US and Global Economic Forecasts   21:10 Factors Influencing Future Economic Outlook   22:46 Conclusion and Farewell  

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Friday's show, we visit with Senior Legal Fellow with Pacific Legal Foundation William Yeatman about the House passage of the “Big, Beautiful Bill,” and we opine about the response in the Senate. We visit with the Producer of “Undoctrination” for FEE.org Maggie Anders about the problem of youth unemployment in Spain. We visit with the Senior Economist for the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young about the economic impact of Trump's legislative agenda, the economy and unfunded entitlement programs. We also visit with Professor Larry Bell about Trump's achievements in his Middle East trip. We have terrific guests on Monday's show including historian Marc Schulman and Landmark Legal Foundation Vice President Michael O'Neill. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

A domestic rice shortage in Japan has caused supermarket shelves to empty and prices to double. Rice is more than a staple food in Japan—it carries deep cultural, historical and even spiritual significance. The rice crisis highlights broader weaknesses in Japan's economy. Japan imports over half of its food and has experienced persistent inflation. The country's economic resilience is being tested by supply chain pressures, demographic shifts, and increased trade tensions.Efforts to address the shortage have focused on auctioning rice reserves, but underlying economic challenges persist.Contributors: • Yi-Chun Ko, Professor, Asian Growth Research Institute, Fukuoka, Japan • Emiko Ohnuki-Tierney, William F. Vilas Research Professor, University of Wisconsin–Madison, US • Stefan Angrick, Senior Economist, Moody's Analytics, Tokyo, Japan • Norihiro Yamaguchi, Lead Economist, Oxford Economics, Tokyo, JapanPresenter: Charmaine Cozier Producer: Louise Clarke Researcher: Katie Morgan Editor: Tara McDermott Technical producer: Richard Hannaford Production Management Assistant: Liam Morrey

Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating on Friday. According to Reuters, this comes after concerns about the nation's growing, $36 trillion debt pile. Senior Economist with Zions Bank, Robert Spendlove,speaks to the impact of this downgrade. Debbie and Taylor revisit the discussion around President Biden's recent diagnosis with Prostate Cancer.

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Friday's show, we visit with Senior Legal Fellow with Pacific Legal Foundation William Yeatman about Trump's legislative agenda, and we discuss developments with China on tariffs. We visit with the Producer of “Undoctrination” for FEE.org Maggie Anders about the nostalgic popularity of factory jobs in America. We visit with the Senior Economist for the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young about tariffs and the economy. We also visit with Professor Larry Bell about Trump's achievements in his Middle East trip. We have terrific guests on Monday's show including historian Marc Schulman, columnist Jon Miltimore, and author Jim McTague. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

If Walmart, the low-cost giant, is saying they're raising prices -- and soon -- because of tariffs, what does that mean for the rest of the stores ... and above all to our family budgets? Senior Economist with Zions Bank, Robert Spendlove shares his analysis. Sarah Foster with Bankrate, shares items that have risen in price. Listeners chime in with what they have noticed has changed in price recently.

Interview recorded - 12th of May, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Every. During our conversation we spoke about the shifting geopolitical tides, what Trump negotiations mean, mass imports, issues with free trade, who will lose and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:10 - What are we seeing in the world?4:34 - Trump negotiation?6:12 - Mass imports8:05 - Geopolitical shifts11:24 - BRICS12:44 - Republican shift15:14 - Issues with free trade?21:06 - Who wins?22:34 - US worse off than China?24:42 - Shift away from China25:44 - Impact on markets?28:34 - European issues30:34 - One message to takeaway?Michael Every is a Global Strategist at Rabobank. He analyses major financial developments and contributes to the bank's various economic research publications for internal and external customers and to the media.Michael has over two decades of experience working as an Economist and Strategist. Before Rabobank, he was a Director at Silk Road Associates in Bangkok, Senior Economist and Fixed Income Strategist at the Royal Bank of Canada in both London and Sydney, and an Economist for Dun & Bradstreet in London.Michael holds a Masters degree in Economics (with distinction) from University College London and speaks a smattering of languages, including Thai.Michael Every - Website - https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/our-experts/011085368/michael-everyLinkedIn - https://sg.linkedin.com/in/michael-every-38983214WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Where is the economy headed amidst all this uncertainty?  Well, who better to ask than a Senior Economist! Robert Curtiss sits down with Strider Elass, a Senior Economist from First Trust, to navigate the financial landscape we're seeing so far in 2025. They discuss the implications of recent policy decisions, historic market volatility, and what … Read More Read More

IFPRI-AMIS Seminar Series | IFPRI Policy Seminar 2025 Outlook for Wheat, Maize, and Soybean Crops Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) May 13, 2025 Global grain and oilseed markets are facing great uncertainty as producers in the northern hemisphere complete their spring plantings. While some dryness has affected winter crop regions in both North America and Europe, sowing conditions remain favorable. Market participants are closely observing rapid policy developments related to tariffs and possible retaliatory measures. The changing trade landscape will also affect the overall macroeconomic environment, with impacts expected on energy prices, exchange rates, and growth prospects, and further implications for agricultural production and trade. Opening Remarks Joseph Glauber, Research Fellow Emeritus, IFPRI Presentations Overview of macroeconomic prospects: John Baffes, Senior Agriculture Economist, Development Economics, World Bank Overview of crop conditions: Brian Barker, Principal Faculty Specialist, University of Maryland; GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for AMIS lead, and Global Crop Monitor lead Overview of wheat, maize and soybeans: Seth Meyer, Chief Economist, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Discussion Moderated by Monika Tothova, Senior Economist, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO); Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) Secretary Di Yang, Economist, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) Erin Collier, Economist, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) Nathan Kemp, Senior Economist, International Grains Council (IGC) Moderator Monika Tothova, Senior Economist, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO); Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) Secretary Links: More about this Event: https://www.ifpri.org/event/2025-outlook-for-wheat-maize-and-soybean-crops/ Subscribe IFPRI Insights newsletter and event announcements at www.ifpri.org/content/newsletter-subscription

After the US and China both slashed their reciprocal tariff rates, US markets responded with jubilation yesterday, sparking an impressive rally with the S&P 500 building on its recent run as investors priced out the chance of a downturn. Also on today's podcast, we are joined by David Meier, Senior Economist, who shares his insights on the impact of recent trade talks, and Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who provides an update on the outlook for digital assets following the recent recovery in crypto markets.00:00 Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing00:38 Markets wrap-up: Jonti Warris, Investment Writing06:13 Trade talks progress: Dave Meier, Senior Economist12:41 Digital assets update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research16:44 Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment WritingWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Price cuts surge across the housing market as inventory bounces back in a big way. The “healthier” housing market is starting to show, and the “gap” between buyers and sellers is shrinking. Zillow's Orphe Divounguy is back to give a sneak peek at their latest housing market data, which shows encouraging signs for buyers, agents, lenders, and anyone who wants the housing market to get back in action! After Zillow recently forecasted a home price decline in 2025, many saw this as a bearish signal for housing. But Orphe, Senior Economist at Zillow, says that this is instead a good sign for the market. With inventory rising, sellers are getting more realistic, meaning lower prices and more choice for buyers. But what about mortgage rates—could they also drop and fuel even greater affordability? Orphe is sharing his mortgage rate prediction as well. How will trade wars and tariffs affect the housing market with so many Americans on the financial edge? Could higher inflation and a potential recession breed big trouble for the housing market? We're getting Orphe's refreshingly data-backed (and surprisingly optimistic) take on what's to come in the rest of 2025. In This Episode We Cover Zillow's latest May 2025 housing market update (and GOOD news for buyers) Record price cuts: why sellers are starting to get realistic Housing markets seeing the most pain, and which to think twice about before investing How trade wars and tariffs could hit housing, and Orphe's take on inflation Is a recession really coming? Why Orphe isn't so sure that the writing is on the wall And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1101 - Housing Market Shift: Inventory Catapults Back, Buying Opportunities Grow Economic Policy Uncertainty Index Grab Dave's Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-320 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S. and China have come to an agreement on the tariffs placed on each other. The U.S. lowered its rate from 145% down to 30% and China lowered its rate from 125% to 10%. Even with the lowering of the new tariffs, prices for businesses are still going up slightly. Local business owner, Mark Drennen, President of AceCamp, joins Dave and Debbie to discuss how this change in the tariffs is going to impact local businesses. Ashleigh Fields, Breaking News Reporter with The Hill brings the latest details. Robert Spendlove, Senior Economist with Zions Bank joins the show to discuss the move and how the stock market is responding.

Let us know your thoughts. Send us a Text Message. Follow me to see #HeadsTalk Podcast Audiograms every Monday on LinkedInEpisode Title:

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Friday's show, we visit with the Producer of the podcast “Undoctrination” for FEE.org, Maggie Anders, and the episode about Edward Snowden – traitor or hero. We visit with the Senior Economist for the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young about tariffs interest rates, regulations, and the economy. We also visit with Professor Larry Bell about “climate change” and the growth on Antarctic Ice. We have terrific guests on Monday's show including historian Marc Schulman, columnist Jon Miltimore, and author Jim McTague. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

The Trump Administration has worked out a trade deal with the UK. Dave and Debbie listen to live coverage from the Trump Administration on the announcement. Robert Spendlove, Senior Economist for Zions Bank, and Jay Evensen Opinion Editor at the Deseret News share insight about this trade deal, what it does for the US and what is on the line with other deals including China.

We're joined by Dr. Jeff Sarbaum, Senior Economist at UNC Greensboro, to dissect the latest economic indicators. With a Q1 GDP contraction, plummeting consumer confidence, and looming retail concerns, we explore what these trends mean for the U.S. economy and everyday Americans.The Triad Podcast Network is proudly sponsored by The Ginther Group Real Estate, Dewey's Bakery, and Three Magnolias Financial Advisors.

What happens when the country's most important retirement program runs out of money? Social Security faces a funding crisis by 2035. We unpack how the system works, why it's in trouble, and what fixes could keep it afloat.Kyle Hulehan and Erica York are joined by Alex Durante, Senior Economist at the Tax Foundation. Together, they break down the trade-offs behind today's biggest Social Security reform ideas. Links: https://taxfoundation.org/blog/how-the-payroll-tax-base-has-changed-over-time/https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/social-security-reform-options/https://taxfoundation.org/blog/medicare-social-security-tax-spending-deficits/https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/us-debt-budget-taxes-spending-social-security-medicare/Support the showFollow us!https://twitter.com/TaxFoundationhttps://twitter.com/deductionpodSupport the show

Today, we're joined by Dr. Jeff Sarbaum, Senior Economist at UNC Greensboro, to dissect the latest economic indicators. With a Q1 GDP contraction, plummeting consumer confidence, and looming retail concerns, we explore what these trends mean for the U.S. economy and everyday Americans. The post Economic Uncertainty: Navigating GDP Decline and Consumer Confidence appeared first on Algenon Cash.

The trade conflict, especially between the U.S. and China, is causing major economic disruptions. Nicholas Fawcett, Senior Economist at the BlackRock Investment Institute, explains why we could expect a supply-driven contraction in activity this year. General disclosure: This material is intended for information purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities, funds or strategies to any person in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. The opinions expressed are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Investing involves risks. BlackRock does and may seek to do business with companies covered in this podcast. As a result, readers should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this podcast.In the U.S. and Canada, this material is intended for public distribution.In the UK and Non-European Economic Area (EEA) countries: this is Issued by BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL. Tel:+ 44 (0)20 7743 3000. Registered in England and Wales No. 02020394. For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. Please refer to the Financial Conduct Authority website for a list of authorised activities conducted by BlackRock.In the European Economic Area (EEA): this is Issued by BlackRock (Netherlands) B.V. is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Registered office Amstelplein 1, 1096 HA, Amsterdam, Tel: 020 – 549 5200, Tel: 31-20- 549-5200. Trade Register No. 17068311 For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded.For Investors in Switzerland: This document is marketing material.In South Africa: Please be advised that BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited is an authorised Financial Services provider with the South African Financial Services Board, FSP No. 43288.In Singapore, this is issued by BlackRock (Singapore) Limited (Co. registration no. 200010143N). This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. In Hong Kong, this material is issued by BlackRock Asset Management North Asia Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. In Australia, issued by BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited ABN 13 006 165 975, AFSL 230 523 (BIMAL). This material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should assess whether the material is appropriate for you and obtain financial advice tailored to you having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation, needs and circumstances. Refer to BIMAL's Financial Services Guide on its website for more information. This material is not a financial product recommendation or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial product in any jurisdictionIn Latin America: this material is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice nor an offer or solicitation to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any shares of any Fund (nor shall any such shares be offered or sold to any person) in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities law of that jurisdiction. If any funds are mentioned or inferred to in this material, it is possible that some or all of the funds may not have been registered with the securities regulator of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Uruguay or any other securities regulator in any Latin American country and thus might not be publicly offered within any such country. The securities regulators of such countries have not confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. The provision of investment management and investment advisory services is a regulated activity in Mexico thus is subject to strict rules. For more information on the Investment Advisory Services offered by BlackRock Mexico please refer to the Investment Services Guide available at www.blackrock.com/mx©2025 BlackRock, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BLACKROCK is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners.BIIM0525U/M-4465408

About one in five Americans receive retirement, survivor, disability, or supplemental income Social Security benefits. These payments represent a vital financial safety net, especially for retirees who have had modest lifetime earnings. This importance of Social Security makes reducing its benefits the “third rail” of American politics. But its pay-as-you-go structure – where today's workers fund today's retirees – threatens its fiscal solvency as fertility rates fall and aging baby boomers exit the labor force. Is there a way to keep the safety-net solvent? What's at stake if Social Security reform is unaddressed? Gopi Shah Goda joins EconoFact Chats to discuss these issues. Gopi is the Director of the Retirement Security Project, the Alice M. Rivlin Chair in Economic Policy, and Senior Fellow in Economic Studies at The Brookings Institution. She served as a Senior Economist for the Council of Economic Advisors in 2021 to 2022.

In Episode 254 of The Julia La Roche Show, legendary economist Dr. Lacy Hunt, Chief Economist at Hoisington Investment Management, analyzes what he calls an economic "interregnum" where five convergent forces are aligning to depress growth. Dr. Hunt methodically explains how tariffs will ultimately prove deflationary rather than inflationary, why the Fed's restrictive monetary policy is misplaced, how federal spending cuts are creating headwinds, why massive debt overhang limits policy effectiveness, and how changing demographics will impact long-term prospects. With over 56 years of experience and historical perspective dating back to the 1920s, Dr. Hunt delivers a sobering but authoritative prediction that recession lies ahead in 2025, describing it as "a long, difficult slog" rather than a brief downturn.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Dr. Hunt is an internationally known and award-winning economist. He received the Abramson Award from the National Association for Business Economics for "outstanding contributions in the field of business economics."  Dr. Hunt is Executive Vice President and Chief Economist of Hoisington Investment Management Company (HIMCO).This is the 56th year in Dr. Hunt's career. He served as a Senior Economist for the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. When he entered the Fed, William Martin was chair and was grappling with severe inflation and when Dr. Hunt left the Fed, Arthur Burns was chair and also trying to contain rampant price increases.  Dr. Hunt served 23 years on the Board of Trustees at Temple University where he received his PhD in 1969, and is an honorary life trustee as well.Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction and welcome1:16 - "Interregnum" explanation1:28 - Tariffs discussion begins2:08 - Economic boost from tariff announcements2:49 - Consumer buying ahead of tariffs3:42 - Employment impact of demand surge4:26 - Inventory accumulation5:03 - Federal spending decline (FY 2025)6:18 - Economy in frail condition7:05 - Beverage ratio analysis7:45 - Average hourly earnings indicator8:11 - April's wage growth weakness9:30 - Late Easter timing challenges10:31 - Recession prediction10:58 - Five convergent economic factors11:32 - Microeconomics of tariffs12:55 - Price elasticity in international trade14:31 - Historical context (1920s-1930s)15:44 - French devaluation of 192517:43 - Smoot-Hawley tariff impact19:45 - Chart explanation of M2 trend21:03 - Tariffs' impact on money supply22:15 - Monetary policy restrictiveness22:51 - Fed's "data dependency" critique25:31 - Other deposit liabilities explained28:38 - Fed policy recommendations29:37 - Tax cut potency limitations31:16 - Fed's need for longer-term view32:08 - Forward guidance discussion33:22 - Asset reallocation issues35:48 - Net national savings analysis37:39 - Birth rate economic connections39:46 - Immigration discussion42:52 - Recession confirmation43:49 - Historical economists on debt44:37 - Interest expense approaching defense spending46:18 - US debt impacts (125% of GDP)48:30 - Gross vs. net debt explanation49:48 - Fisher equation for bond yields53:00 - Tariffs' deflationary nature55:32 - High-tech sector growth analysis56:38 - Aircraft sector growth unsustainability57:11 - Federal spending outlook1:00:03 - Need for tariff dispute resolution1:01:18 - Closing remarks

Thank you so much for listening to the Bob Harden Show, celebrating nearly 14 years broadcasting on the internet. On Friday's show, we visit with Senior Legal Fellow with Pacific Legal Foundation William Yeatman about developments in Trump's legislative agenda, and we discuss his first 100 days in office. We visit with the Producer of “Undoctrination” for FEE.org Maggie Anders about this new podcast and about the real reason so many of us are feeling poor. We visit with the Senior Economist for the Competitive Enterprise Institute Ryan Young about tariffs and the economy. We also visit with Professor Larry Bell about the “big stick” ring to the Trump Presidency. We have terrific guests on Monday's show including historian Marc Schulman, columnist Jon Miltimore, and author Jim McTague. Access this or past shows at your convenience on my web site, social media platforms or podcast platforms.

President Trump sat down with ABC's Terry Moran for an exclusive interview in the Oval Office, and he is doubling down on the tariffs with China. Meanwhile, consumer confidence fell to its lowest point since May 2020. Robert Spendlove, Senior Economist with Zions Bank, joins Dave and Debbie to explain some of the trends that we are seeing and what to expect moving ahead.

Welcome to the Engineering Influence podcast, where we delve into the complexities and opportunities in today's economic landscape. Hosted by Diana O' Lare, Director of Market Intelligence for the American Council of Engineering Companies, this episode is part of our new series, The Market Edge. We are joined by Sarah Wolfe, a Senior Economist and Strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. With a wealth of experience and insights, Sarah discusses pivotal topics such as tariffs, inflation, immigration, and their impact on various sectors including construction and manufacturing. Gain an understanding of the possible recession implications and how firms can navigate these challenges. Dive in to explore the broader economic effects of current policies, potential positive catalysts like tax negotiations, and the global trade dynamics affecting engineering firms. Don't miss this insightful conversation aimed at empowering engineering businesses to adapt and grow in an ever-changing market.

Consumer confidence plunges to a 13-year low — is a recession next?  Consumer confidence declined for a fifth consecutive month in April, to levels not seen since May 2020. With Americans' spending comprising 70% of economic growth, what could their growing concerns mean for the US this year?    Three specific expectation components – business conditions, employment prospects and future income – all dropped sharply, reflecting deep pessimism about the future. Crucially, the number of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months was nearly as high as in April 2009, the middle of the “Great Recession.” Americans' concerns about the wider economy are bleeding into worries about their own personal situations.     Dana Peterson, Chief Economist and Leader of the Economy, Strategy & Finance Center at The Conference Board, sits down with Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist of Global Indicators, and Erik Lundh, Senior Global Economist to unpack how this could shape US and global economic growth this year.    For more from The Conference Board:  US Consumer Confidence Plunged Again in April  Economy Watch Webcast on May 14  Labor Markets Watch on May 21 

In this episode of The Chicagoland Guide, Aaron Masliansky is joined by Nadia Evangelou, Senior Economist and Director of Real Estate Research at the National Association of Realtors®. They explore how global trade dynamics, tariffs, and macroeconomic shifts are impacting the U.S. housing market — and what that means for Chicagoland.Nadia shares insights from her latest research, including a closer look at which U.S. states are most reliant on exports and imports and how trade exposure influences job growth and home prices. They also discuss trends in interest rates, inflation, immigration, remote work, and foreign investment — and what signals to watch for in 2025 and beyond.Key topics:How tariffs affect construction costs and home affordabilityWhy Illinois and Chicagoland are highly exposed to global trade shiftsWhere mortgage rates might head by the end of 2025The growing importance of inventory and affordability for first-time buyersRemote work, office absorption, and what's next for downtown real estateHow changing immigration and foreign investment patterns could influence the housing marketOpportunities in the Chicago area condo marketResources mentioned:Nadia's NAR profile and articles: https://www.nar.realtor/nadia-evangelouBlog article discussed: https://www.nar.realtor/blogs/economists-outlook/which-states-rely-most-on-exports-and-imports-a-closer-look-at-the-numbers-behind-tradeConnect with Nadia on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nadiaevangelou/ and Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/nadioula/Follow The Chicagoland Guide:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thechicagolandguide_/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thechicagolandguidenewThanks for listening! If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and leave a review. Thank you for listening to The Chicagoland Guide!For more insights into the best places to live, work, and explore in Chicagoland, visit thechicagolandguide.com. Connect with us on social media for more updates and behind-the-scenes content. If you have any questions or want to share your own Chicagoland stories, feel free to reach out! Don't forget to subscribe and leave a review if you enjoyed this episode.