Bitguide - The Open Bitcoin University (EN)

On August 30th, Michael Saylor unveiled a suite of Bitcoin models forecasting its price over the coming decades under bear, base, and bull scenarios. Giovanni Santostasi and Sina dive into these models, exploring their assumptions and price predictions. Giovanni is the creator of the Bitcoin Power Law theory, which is a powerful tool for modeling and predicting Bitcoin price. Tune in to this episode to discover what we found. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Book a free session with 21stCapital now: https://cal.com/21stcapital.com/introduction-call-bitguide --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00:00 - Intro 01:12 - Who Is Giovanni Santostasi? 02:08 - Is Bitcoin Price Modeling Futile? 02:45 - Michael Saylor: All Models Are Destroyed 04:21 - Skepticism about Bitcoin Price Modeling 05:45 - How Can You Tell If a Model Is Good? 07:49 - Components of Michael Saylor's Bitcoin Models: Bear, Base, Bull 15:20 - Saylor's Bitcoin Models' Formula 17:57 - Saylor's Bitcoin Models vs. the Power Law Index 29:57 - Bitcoin's Performance Been Exponential? 36:43 - Criticism of Saylor's Bitcoin Models 42:26 - Bitcoin Is Predictable! 01:00:10 - What's Wrong with PlanB's Bitcoin Model? 01:13:00 - THERE IS NO SECOND BEST! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- https://21stcapital.com/ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Learn more about Saylor's Bitcoin Models: https://github.com/bitcoin-model/bitcoin_model/tree/main

Marius is a Bitcoin journalist at Cryptoast, one of the leading French crypto media. He also has his own website, adoptblock.com, whose mission is to raise awareness about Bitcoin. 00:00 - intro to pod 01:57 - Marius's intro 05:44 - Challenges in Bitcoin adoption by companies 08:14 - Bitcoin adoption in Iran report 17:36 - Marius's journey into Bitcoin 20:20 - Bitcoin's energy consumption 29:27 - Why Bitcoin? 32:06 - future projects --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Read Marius's article, The Bitcoin Revolution in Iran: https://www.adoptblock.com/bitcoin-revolution-iran-en --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Follow Marius: https://www.adoptblock.com/marius https://twitter.com/AaB_Marius --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Follow us using the links below: Nostr: npub1as5v2y7z8lhtad3jx04u2cj4u4j82565h0twh2avkzsyntrzhz0qankkzd Nostr NIP5: bitguide@getalby.com https://t.me/SatoshiSchool https://www.bitguide.io/ https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Consider supporting us by streaming sats or sending boosts on podcasting 2.0 applications, such as Fountain, Breez, and Podverse. Fountain: https://www.fountain.fm/ Breeze: https://breez.technology/ Podverse: https://podverse.fm/ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Support us by using our referal links to buy your favorite hardware wallet: ColdCard: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/8460D7D03E7A02451AC4 Trezor: https://affil.trezor.io/aff_c?offer_id=133&aff_id=33788 Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=e0f64c9c7986 BitBox: https://shiftcrypto.ch/bitbox02/?ref=zMQsJtyZHA Blockstream (Jade): https://affiliate.blockstream.com?bg_ref=0TYchGPC9e

In the second lecture of TECH course, RK talks about non-custodial wallets, the difference between hard and cold wallets, and the risks and benefits of having a non-custodial wallet. 00:00 - Intro01:39 - Private wallet definition04:44 - How private wallets work17:32 - Types of private wallets28:16 - Trade-offs---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Follow us using the links below:Nostr: npub1as5v2y7z8lhtad3jx04u2cj4u4j82565h0twh2avkzsyntrzhz0qankkzdNostr NIP5: bitguide@getalby.comhttps://t.me/SatoshiSchoolhttps://www.bitguide.io/https://twitter.com/Bitguide_iohttps://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Consider supporting us by streaming sats or sending boosts on podcasting 2.0 applications, such as Fountain, Breez, and Podverse.Fountain: https://www.fountain.fm/Breeze: https://breez.technology/Podverse: https://podverse.fm/

In the second lecture of ECON course, Sina talks about the history of money from livestock to modern coinage. 00:00 - intro 01:33 - livestock 02:48 - grains 04:56 - collectibles 11:01 - base metals 15:29 - modern coinage -------------------------------------------------------------------- Follow us using the links below: Nostr: npub1as5v2y7z8lhtad3jx04u2cj4u4j82565h0twh2avkzsyntrzhz0qankkzd Nostr NIP5: bitguide@getalby.com https://t.me/SatoshiSchool https://www.bitguide.io/ https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Consider supporting us by streaming sats or sending boosts on podcasting 2.0 applications, such as Fountain, Breez, and Podverse. Fountain: https://www.fountain.fm/ Breeze: https://breez.technology/ Podverse: https://podverse.fm/

This is the first lesson from RK's TECH series. In this lecture, he talks about custodian wallets, their risks and their probable benefits. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Follow us using the links below: Nostr: npub1as5v2y7z8lhtad3jx04u2cj4u4j82565h0twh2avkzsyntrzhz0qankkzd Nostr NIP5: bitguide@getalby.com https://t.me/SatoshiSchool https://www.bitguide.io/ https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Consider supporting us by streaming sats or sending boosts on podcasting 2.0 applications, such as Fountain, Breez, and Podverse. Fountain: https://www.fountain.fm/ Breeze: https://breez.technology/ Podverse: https://podverse.fm/

This is the first lesson from Sina's short course on economics. In ECON01, he talks about the emergence of money, its evolution throughout history, and the features of good money. 00:00 - Intro 00:58 - Outline 02:21 - Caveman Economy 07:46 - Barter 18:34 - Emergence of Money 28:55 - Emergence of Credit 36:42 - Features of Good Money 45:49 The Cantillon Effect 55:54 - Stock to Flow 01:02:40 - Next Courses Overview --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Follow us using the links below: https://t.me/SatoshiSchool https://www.bitguide.io/ https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Consider supporting us by streaming sats or sending boosts on podcasting 2.0 applications, such as Fountain, Breez, and Podverse. Fountain: https://www.fountain.fm/ Breeze: https://breez.technology/ Podverse: https://podverse.fm/

Ulric Pattillo is a writer and a Bitcoin advocate in the US. In this conversation, we talk about our recent substack article on how monetary policy produces systemic inequality. Here is the full article: https://bitguide.substack.com/p/monetary-policy-systemic-inequality 00:00 - Intro 01:48 - Ulric's background 13:00 - The Article 21:31 - Macroeconomic Mindset 29:15 - Policy Pendulum Crushing the Little Guy 35:40 - COVID's Billionaire Boom 45:00 - Finance Opacity vs. Bitcoin Transparency 51:20 - Bitcoin Game Theory 59:00 - Final Remarks --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ulric's Twitter: https://twitter.com/kobiduran Ulric's Website: https://serulric.com/ Declaration of Monetary Independence: https://declarationofmonetaryindependence.org/ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Follow us using the links below: https://t.me/SatoshiSchool https://www.bitguide.io/ https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Consider supporting us by streaming sats or sending boosts on podcasting 2.0 applications, such as Fountain, Breez, and Podverse. Fountain: https://www.fountain.fm/ Breeze: https://breez.technology/ Podverse: https://podverse.fm/

Tomek K is a libertarian activist and Bitcoin educator in Poland. In this conversation, we talk libertarianism, Bitcoin, and the events around Bitcoin in Poland. 00:00 - intro 02:45 - Tomek's background 04:58 - Liberty 09:58 - Bitcoin and liberty 15:55 - Why libertarians don't get Bitcoin 19:59 - What is libertarianism 25:54 - characteristics of a good government 30:53 - Bitcoin as a technology to change minds 52:45 - Polish Bitcoin & freedom events and venues ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tomek's Twitter: https://twitter.com/itsTomekK Center for Capitalism - Poland: https://centrumkapitalizmu.pl/ Bitcoin Film Fest: https://bitcoinfilmfest.com/ Polish 21 Telegram channel: https://t.me/DwadziesciaJeden ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Follow us using the links below: https://t.me/SatoshiSchool https://www.bitguide.io/ https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide

This episdoe is a slightly-abridged version of deep-dive discussion on Ark with moonsettler on Twitter.Here's the link to the full space: https://twitter.com/i/spaces/1DXxyveDnyVKM?s=20 00:00 - Intro04:11 - Chaumian e-cash mints06:12 - the Ark's genesis9:01 - Lightning's limitations15:53 - Ark and Lightning compatibility24:18 - the risk of dust amounts getting stuck33:03 - fees on Ark41:16 - OP_CTV45:44 - How CTV works49:06 - difference between CTV and covenants in general52:58 - pegging in and out mechanisms58:09 - how vulnerable are ASPs1:02:48 - interoperability between Ark on the mainchain and Ark on Liquid1:06:06 - Getting on Ark (uplifting)1:16:49 - getting off Ark1:52:19 - Are Ark and hardware wallets interoperable?1:58:52 - watchtowers equivalent in Ark02:10:27 - multi-party payments02:12:03 - onchain presence in Ark vs. Lightning02:16:16 - advantages of size for ASPs02:22:01 - high fees motivating Ark implementations02:26:23 - Ark's state of development02:36:47 - risk of centralization02:49:27 - Ark vs. Liquid comparison02:51:51 - privacy nuances02:57:34 - the tarpit concept03:09:23 - Concluding thoughts-------------------------------------------------------------- Follow moonsettler: ⁠https://twitter.com/4moonsettler⁠ -------------------------------------------------------------- Follow us using the links below: https://t.me/SatoshiSchool https://www.bitguide.io/ https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide--------------------------------------------------------------

In this episode, we interview Phil, a prolific contributor to the Bitcoin space and the pleb movement. Up until recently he was producing the Simply Bitcoin Show. We talk about his background, experience at SB, his views on the bitcoin culture and the pleb movement, and his future plans. Follow Phil on Twitter @coinicarus Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide Bitcoin Courses: https://www.bitguide.io/learning-modules Blog: https://www.bitguide.io/resources Telegram Channel: https://t.me/Bitguide_io Telegram Discussion: https://t.me/BitguideChat Podcast and Clubhouse Rooms: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm #Bitcoin #Plebs #Culture

In this episode, we interview Stack Hödler, a private investor from the Swiss alps. He goes with RK through his thoughts on the current currency war environment, the reaction of the central banks, his ultimate thesis on how things will likely unfold, and his personal investment allocation. Follow Stack Hödler on Twitter @stackhodler Link to his tweet that we discuss : https://twitter.com/stackhodler/status/1536283396053291008 Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide Bitcoin Courses: https://www.bitguide.io/learning-modules Blog: https://www.bitguide.io/resources Telegram Channel: https://t.me/Bitguide_io Telegram Discussion: https://t.me/BitguideChat Podcast and Clubhouse Rooms: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm #Bitcoin #Inflation #Fed #ECB

In this episode, we focus on Quantitative Easing (QE). We discuss what exactly happens when the Federal Reserve engages in QE and what it really does do to the economy. - What are the mechanics of QE? - Why does the FED do QE? What is the theory? - Does QE work as advertised? - What are the consequences of QE for economic activity, financial markets, and inequality? Link to the article discussed in this episode https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/third-quarter-2017/quantitative-easing-how-well-does-this-tool-work#one Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide Bitcoin Courses: https://www.bitguide.io/learning-modules Blog: https://www.bitguide.io/resources Telegram Channel: https://t.me/Bitguide_io Telegram Discussion: https://t.me/BitguideChat Podcast and Clubhouse Rooms: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm

In this episode, we focus on crypto insider trading. We discuss the new evidence just uncovered in a Wall Street Journal article on trading activity of certain wallets perfectly timed around new coin listings on exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase. - What is the hard evidence we have for insider trading? - Isn't this illegal? Why doesn't the legal framework address this? - What were the responses and reactions to these allegations? Link to the article https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-might-have-an-insider-trading-problem-11653084398 Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide Telegram: @Bitguide_io & @BitguideChat https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm Telegram Channel: https://t.me/Bitguide_io Telegram Discussion: https://t.me/BitguideChat

In this episode, we discuss the current dollar shortage and fragility of the fiat monetary system 1- Why is DXY at 20-year high? 2- What does this mean for the economy and the markets? Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm

In this episode, we discuss the depegging of the stablcoin UST and the epic collapse of LUNA: 1- I though its a stablecoin, why so unstable? 2- Could this happen to other stablecoins? 3- Does a systemic risk threaten bitcoin? 4- Ugh...were maxi's right again? Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm

In this episode, we discuss the striking sell-off in the financial markets and bitcoin: 1- Why is such a sharpe drop in the markets? 2- How does this impact bitcoin? 3- How low can bitcoin go? 4- Are you a seller or buyer? Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm

In this episode, we discuss bitcoin-backed mortgages and what they mean for the average person as well as for bitcoin's adoption 1- Why the hell even get a loan? I though I was stacking sats 2- What is a smart mortgage choice? 3- What are the bitcoin-backed mortgage options? 4- how do they compare with traditional mortgages? Follow us on other social media: Website: Bitguide.io Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm

This week on the Bitguide Podcast, we are reflecting on The Bitcoin Conference together with @RKbtc and @Sinz_21M, with a recap of the major events there and thoughts on their implications:   - Overall impression of the conference and its value proposition - Bitcoin adoption as legal tender by new regions - Bitcoin adoption by retailers: Strike partnerships with NCR and Shopify - Expansion of lightning adoption: Cash App, Robinhood   Join us for show every Wednesday 12pm EST live on Twitter, YouTube, or Clubhouse. Find us on social media:   https://twitter.com/Bitguide_io https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqF6_Vt2eQjNPpI4joxicpQ https://www.clubhouse.com/club/bitguide https://open.spotify.com/show/0fK5OZvqVlWaiMFxc6emXm

In this episode, we discuss various ways to custody bitcoin. • What type of wallets exist? • What is the difference between public and private keys and why are they important? • What are the best practices to keep wallets safe?

In this episode, we discuss interest rate hikes and its effects on Bitcoin Fed finally raised rates, what exactly happens when rate go up? Why did the Fed acted this way? Why is inflation so out of hand, don't they have economics PhD's and “models”? How does this affect markets and bitcoin? Follow us on other social media: Twitter: @Bitguide_io Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide

In this episode, we discuss re-hypothecation and its effects on Bitcoin · What is re-hypothecation and what are the risks? · How does is relate to Wallstreet's business model? · Can the same happen to Bitcoin? · What effect could it have on Bitcoin? Follow us on other social media: Twitter: @Bitguide_ Youtube: Bitguide Clubhouse: @Bitguide

In this Episode, we discussed the following topics/questions: What is currency debasement & Why? What is the effect? (On holders, on the economy and businesses) What are some historical major examples? How to protect yourself? Follow us on twitter @bitguide_

In this show, we discuss the effects of Russian-Ukraine war on the global economy, supply chains, and Bitcoin. Which commodities, and which countries will be the most impacted? What does it mean to be banned from SWIFT and can Bitcoin address Russia's trade problem? How would Bitcoin emerge from this chaos? Follow us on twitter @bitguide_

In this episode we introduce Bitguide and its mission. For more details, head over to www.bitguide.io Contact us at hello@bitguide.io