Podcasts about dxy

A senior Iranian official said the new Supreme Leader rejected proposals that were sent to Iran's Foreign Ministry by two intermediary countries, with the Leader stating it is not the right time for peace and that the US and Israel must be defeated.Israeli Defence Minister Katz said Iran's Top Security Chief Larijani was killed in the airstrike; Iran has not confirmed the status of Larijani.Crude gains in choppy trade as the Iranian war continues; metals move with the dollar.European bourses are mixed, Neste lifts the Utilities sector; US equity futures fall following Nvidia's GTC event.DXY muted, G10s mixed while AUD outperforms after the RBA hiked rates.Fixed income continues to be driven by energy and geopolitics.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Weekly, Japanese Trade Balance (Feb), Comments from ECB's Nagel, and Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he ordered a strike that wiped out every military target on Kharg Island, where Iran exports nearly all of its oil, but left the oil infrastructure intact; Crude holds around USD 100/bbl.US President Trump's administration plans as soon as this week to announce a coalition to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz, although they are still discussing if such operations would begin before or after hostilities have ended, WSJ reported.Trump also said he was expecting China to help unblock the Strait of Hormuz before he travels to Beijing, while he stated that he may delay the trip but didn't say for how long, according to FT.European equities mixed, CBK GY gains following UCG IM takeover bid; US equity futures rebound.DXY subdued, G10s tilt higher, Antipodeans outperform ahead of expected RBA hike.Fixed income muted ahead of a busy week of central bank announcements. Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian CPI (Feb), US Industrial/Manufacturing Output (Feb), and comments from NVIDIA (NVDA) CEO Huang.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US has issued a new Russia-related general license permitting the sale of Russian crude oil and petroleum products loaded on vessels as of March 12.ByteDance reportedly plans to tap NVIDIA (NVDA) Blackwell processors that are barred for export to China, with the Co. working with Aolani Cloud on plans to use some 500 Blackwell computing systems in Malaysia, according to WSJ.European equities soften, BESI NA surges on takeover rumours; US equity futures muted ahead of PCE, GDP.DXY extends above the 100 handle, GBP slips post-GDP.Fixed income choppy and energy prices and risk tone continue to dictate price action.Brent hovers around USD 100/bbl and metals dragged by a firmer dollar. Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs Report (Feb), US Core PCE Price Index (Jan), Durable Goods Orders (Jan), Personal Spending (Jan), JOLTS (Jan), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim. (Mar), Atlanta Fed GDP. Rating updates include Scope Ratings on UK & Spain, S&P on Spain, Moody's on Greece & Germany, Fitch on Spain & Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

IEA OMR cut its 2026 global oil supply growth forecast by nearly half, stating the Middle East conflict as the largest oil supply disruption ever. USTR Greer said the US is initiating a Section 301 investigation into 16 trading partners, including China, the EU, Mexico, Vietnam, India and Japan, which could lead to responsive actions, including tariffs.European equities hit as Iran conflict continues, while Defence names benefit; Oil prices continue to weigh on US equities.DXY continues to benefit from geopols, JPY bucks the G10 trend and holds onto gains.Fixed income initially softer but coming off worst levels. Crude wanes off best levels after Brent briefly topped above USD 100/bbl, reports suggest that India is in discussions with Iran to secure passage for 20 tankers through Hormuz.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Trade Balance (Jan), US Trade Balance (Jan), Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, Atlanta Fed GDP and CBRT Policy Announcement. Speakers include Fed's Bowman. Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The IEA has proposed the largest ever release of oil from its strategic reserves, with Bloomberg reporting around 300-400mln barrels to be released. Separate reporting stated that the volume in the first month of the release of oil reserves would exceed 100mln barrels. Crude rises as geopolitics show no real signs of abating; copper falls as sentiment deteriorates.European equities entirely in the red, Rheinmetall disappoints despite increased need for defence; US equity futures continue to consolidate.DXY flat heading into CPI, AUD outperforms as more banks forecast a hike next week.Hawkish ECB speak drives EGBs lower; packed UK agenda ahead.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Feb), OPEC MOMR, IEA recommendation, G7 call. Speakers include ECB's Schnabel & Fed's Bowman, Supply from Germany & the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Confira o resumo das principais movimentações financeiras de 11 de março de 2026. O vídeo destaca o forte impacto da alta do petróleo nos mercados globais, impulsionando a Petrobras e ditando o ritmo da renda fixa e do DXY. No cenário brasileiro, o Ibovespa mostra resiliência com fluxo estrangeiro positivo, apesar da forte queda de 6% da Raízen após pedido de recuperação extrajudicial. Analisamos também os dados surpreendentes do varejo no Brasil, a inflação americana (CPI) dentro do esperado e as novas projeções políticas para as eleições presidenciais de 2026.Acompanhe o fechamento de mercado com as principais notícias sobre a Bolsa de Valores, Ibovespa e o cenário econômico global. Veja a análise macro sobre os juros nos Estados Unidos e Japão, além do impacto das commodities e do petróleo nos ativos brasileiros.

US President Trump said it's going to be ended soon, and if it starts up again, Iran will be hit harder, while he responded 'no, but soon', when asked if the war will be done this week.On the passage of oil, US President Trump said they will hit Iran harder if it attempts to stop world oil supply, while adding the Strait of Hormuz will be safe and getting close to finishing it regarding 'excursion'.Oil steadies after Monday's selloff after Trump signalled the Iranian war will end soon.European equities bounce out of correction territory, with Banks benefiting the most from the positive risk tone; US equity futures continue its reversal.Aussie outperforms on hawkish RBA rhetoric and Chinese trade data, DXY takes a breather after yesterday's slide.Fixed income firmer as Monday's hawkish repricing unwinds.Looking ahead, highlights include US Weekly ADP, Existing Home Sales (Feb), G7 Energy Minister Meeting, EIA STEO, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Energy surges (Brent +12%) as key oil producers cut output.European bourses entirely in the red as higher energy prices weigh on broader sentiment; US equity futures follow suit. DXY bid on haven flows, EUR eyes the G7 ministers meeting on energy for reprieve.Global bond yields climb as energy benchmarks soar, sparking a hawkish move in central bank pricing.Precious metals weighed on by dollar strength. Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed SCE, Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence (Mar), & Japanese GDP Final (Q4), G7 meeting on emergency oil reserves. Speakers include ECB's Elderson & Cipollone.US clocks moved forward an hour over the weekend to Daylight Saving Time, with the London-NY time difference at 4 hours.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Trump administration has reportedly ruled out deploying the Treasury Department to trade oil futures for now, believing it will have a limited meaningful effect, Bloomberg reported citing sources. US-sanctioned gas tanker reportedly transited the Strait of Hormuz this morning, according to Bloomberg; The Danuta I, sailed under the flag of Palau.European equities are under modest pressure, Roche hit as weight loss drug disappoints; US equity futures softer.DXY gains ahead of jobs report; AUD propped up by RBA hike bets; JPY narrowly lags peersGlobal bonds slip as the risk tone deteriorates; Gilts underperform.Crude continues to edge higher; Gold faces pressure amid a stronger DXY.Looking ahead, highlights include US NFP (Feb), Retail Sales (Jan), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone & Schnabel, Fed's Waller, Daly, Goolsbee, Miran, Schmid, Collins & Hammack, RBA's Hauser, Credit Review including Fitch on France, DBRS on Greece. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Tomás Goulart e Sarah Campos debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo. No cenário internacional, o destaque foi a escalada do conflito entre Estados Unidos e Israel contra o Irã. Após o fracasso das negociações nucleares, uma ofensiva coordenada resultou na morte do líder supremo Ali Khamenei e na destruição de parte relevante da estrutura de defesa do país, gerando forte incerteza política sobre a sucessão. O Irã respondeu com ataques contra Israel e bases americanas na região, ampliando a tensão no Oriente Médio. Do ponto de vista econômico, a principal preocupação passou a ser o estreito de Ormuz, por onde passa parte relevante do comércio global de petróleo transportado por mar. Além disso, o Payroll nos EUA veio mais fraco que o esperado, com destruição de vagas e leve alta da taxa de desemprego, embora o dado tenha sido influenciado por fatores temporários como greves, condições climáticas e ajuste do censo. No Brasil, o diretor do BCB Nilton David afirmou que avaliam ajuste para um juro real em patamar mais baixo diante da inflação mais controlada. Do lado dos dados econômicos, o Caged veio ligeiramente acima da mediana, com massa salarial crescendo de forma expressiva; e o PIB do quarto trimestre de 2025 veio em linha com as expectativas, com crescimento de 2,3% no ano, mas com queda da demanda interna. Novos desdobramentos ligados ao Banco Master seguiram no radar, aumentando a atenção aos desenvolvimentos políticos. Nos EUA, o juro de 5 anos abriu 23 bps, e as bolsas tiveram desempenho negativo – S&P 500 -2,02%, Nasdaq -1,27% e Russell 2000 -4,07%. No Brasil, o jan/31 abriu 68 bps, o Ibovespa caiu 4,99% e o real desvalorizou 2,16%. O petróleo subiu 36%, e o DXY valorizou 1,29%. Na próxima semana, destaque para a evolução da guerra, inflação nos EUA e, no Brasil, para os dados de atividade (PMC, PMS), inflação e novas pesquisas eleitorais.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister says Iran has not sent any messages to the US to end the conflict, but are instead focused on self defence efforts, according to Sky News Arabia.Deputy Commander of the Iranian Army Central Command said Iran has not closed the Strait of Hormuz; IRGC struck a US oil tanker while announcing US, Israeli and European vessels are not allowed through the strait. European bourses trade mixed, STMicroelectronics surges on new chip; US equity futures softer despite positive AVGO earnings.DXY back on a firmer footing, antipodeans lag on China's new growth target and metals prices.Fixed benchmarks lower as energy prices continue to drive price action.Crude benchmarks remain firmer; Spot gold trades slightly firmer, whilst base metals are lower after China forecasts lowest GDP figure since 1991.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Job Cuts (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Jan), Jobless Claims, South Korean CPI (Feb), ECB Minutes (Feb), Speakers including ECB President Lagarde & Fed's Bowman, Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Kroger & Victoria's Secret.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Are you watching the market and wondering what's really going on? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dive straight into YOUR questions — pulled live from the chat — covering the stock market outlook, what sectors to watch, and how investors should be positioning right now. No fluff, no filler — just real talk about where the market's heading and what it means for YOUR portfolio. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Iran Air Force & War Impact on Oil 5:21 - This is a Good Time to Wait and See 10:51 - Two Moms on Money? 11:44 - Where will DXY go amid current conflict? 13:03 - Managing Risk in Chinese Tech Stocks 17:58 - Relative Risks of AAA-rated CLO's 20:54 - "Dumbing-down" the Private Credit Crisis 30:56 - Lasting Impacts on Commercial Real Estate 33:24 - Why the Downturn in Asian Markets? 34:27 - Financial Health of Open AI & Circular Financing 36:35 - Equity Income/Tax-advantaged ETF's 40:59 - Systematic Trading, Trend Following, & Tax Efficiencies 43:09 - Plunge Protection Team = Retail Traders 44:35 - Coming Attractions ------- Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/uFdhcR6QBKI ------- Watch our previous show, "Ten Immutable Laws of Money," here: https://youtube.com/live/Il8UfCCn0tE?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "D100-DMA: Hold or Fold? What Happens Today Changes Everything," is here: https://youtu.be/c7jD-q6_mY8 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarket #MovingAverage #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #StockMarket #InvestingTips #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #InvestSmart

Are you watching the market and wondering what's really going on? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dive straight into YOUR questions — pulled live from the chat — covering the stock market outlook, what sectors to watch, and how investors should be positioning right now. No fluff, no filler — just real talk about where the market's heading and what it means for YOUR portfolio. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Iran Air Force & War Impact on Oil 5:21 - This is a Good Time to Wait and See 10:51 - Two Moms on Money? 11:44 - Where will DXY go amid current conflict? 13:03 - Managing Risk in Chinese Tech Stocks 17:58 - Relative Risks of AAA-rated CLO's 20:54 - "Dumbing-down" the Private Credit Crisis 30:56 - Lasting Impacts on Commercial Real Estate 33:24 - Why the Downturn in Asian Markets? 34:27 - Financial Health of Open AI & Circular Financing 36:35 - Equity Income/Tax-advantaged ETF's 40:59 - Systematic Trading, Trend Following, & Tax Efficiencies 43:09 - Plunge Protection Team = Retail Traders 44:35 - Coming Attractions ------- Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/uFdhcR6QBKI ------- Watch our previous show, "Ten Immutable Laws of Money," here: https://youtube.com/live/Il8UfCCn0tE?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "D100-DMA: Hold or Fold? What Happens Today Changes Everything," is here: https://youtu.be/c7jD-q6_mY8 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarket #MovingAverage #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #StockMarket #InvestingTips #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #InvestSmart

US President Trump said the US continues to carry out large-scale combat operations in Iran, while he added that Iran could have missiles capable of reaching America soon and had refused to cease its pursuit of nuclear weapons.US and China trade negotiators are to meet mid-March prior to the Trump-Xi summit, with Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng expected to convene in Paris at the end of next week to discuss bilateral matters.European bourses remain under pressure, Utilities hit further as QatarEnergy halts production; US equity futures reverse Monday's gains.DXY continues its war-related ascent, CHF underperforms, GBP lags into the Spring Statement.Fixed income falters as energy soars, causing heightened inflation risks.Crude prices continue to climb as the Iranian war enters day four; Precious metals slip. Looking ahead, highlights include US RCM/TIPP (Mar), New Zealand Export/Import Prices, Australian Composite PMI Final (Feb). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Kashkari, UK Spring Statement. Earnings from CrowdStrike, Best Buy, Target, AutoZone, Bayer, Adidas, & Continental.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.Iran launched immediate retaliatory missile and drone attacks against Israel, and multiple US military installations across the Gulf and multiple Gulf states, including the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain. Global equities hit on risk tone, energy and defence names benefited, while airlines were significantly affected.Iran's IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to international navigation until further notice; IRGC also announced on Sunday that they hit 3 US and UK oil tankers with missiles in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz.DXY surging amid geopolitics; G10s pressured across the board. USTs initially gapped higher, before waning as traders assess the inflationary impacts of the US/Israel-Iran war.Crude surges on weekend geopolitics but capped by potential global economic impact; Precious metals see haven appeal.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final Manufacturing PMI (Feb), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb), Japanese Unemployment Rate (Jan), Speakers including BoE's Taylor & Ramsden, BoC's Kozicki & Macklem, Earnings from Riot Platforms, Norwegian Cruise Line & ASM International.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

PBoC announced it will cut the FX Risk Reserve Ratio for forward FX sales to 0% from 20%, effective March 2nd to promote FX market development and support corporate exchange rate risk management.European equities firmer, Telecoms lead following potential M&A; US equity futures lower in the continuation of Thursday's tech-led selloff.DXY is flat; G10s broadly firmer, ex-EUR and GBP. USTs mildly firmer, Bunds choppy after mixed regional inflation prints.Crude gains and awaits the next chapter of the US-Iran saga and the OPEC+ meeting; Metals shine ahead of US PPI.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI (Feb), Canadian GDP (Jan), US PPI (Jan), Comments from BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

At the third round of nuclear talks in Geneva, Omani Foreign Minister says Iran and the US have welcomed proposals and talks are still currently ongoing. Further, "Iranian negotiating delegation meets IAEA director at the headquarters of the negotiations in Geneva", via Al Jazeera.European equities mixed; US equity futures unable to gain following NVIDIA earnings (+0.8% pre-market.)DXY posting modest gains, JPY outperforms on hawkish rhetoric, Cable softer ahead of Gorton and Denton by-election.Global fixed benchmarks are flat awaiting data, supply and Fed speak.Crude benchmarks fall following positive rhetoric from Omani FM, potentially easing tensions.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims, Japanese Tokyo CPI (Feb), Retail Sales (Jan). Speakers include Fed's Bowman, Miran & Goolsbee. Supply from the US. Earnings from CoreWeave, Intuit, Vistra Energy, Autodesk, Dell & Warner Bros Discovery.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump talked up the economy in his State of the Union Address, saying that the nation is back, bigger, better and stronger than before, while he added that we've seen nothing yet.Regarding tariffs, Trump said the Supreme Court decision on tariffs is very unfortunate but added that tariffs will remain in place and nearly all countries want to keep the trade deals.European bourses firmer as HSBC lifts the banking sector; US equity futures hold onto Anthropic- driven gains. DXY flat, Aussie outpaces peers post CPI while JPY lags in continuation of recent weakness.JGBs underperform on Takaichi's "reflationist" BoJ candidates; USTs await Fed speak & NVDA.Crude prices rangebound; Spot XAU holds above USD 5200/oz. Looking ahead, highlights include Fed's Musalem, Barkin & Schmid. Supply from the US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Snowflake, TJX Companies, Lowe's & Synopsys.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses slip as AI concerns hit European Banks; US equity futures rebound slightly.JPY dragged on reports PM Takaichi raised reservations about rate hikes to BoJ Governor Ueda; DXY slightly firmer.Gilts notch a fresh contract high into the TSC, USTs rangebound heading into heavy speaker docket.WTI and Brent mildly gains; Spot gold retreats from Monday's best while Copper gains as mainland China returns. Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, House Prices (Dec), Consumer Confidence (Feb), Dallas/Richmond Fed (Feb), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBH Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Greene, Taylor & Pill, Fed's Goolsbee, Collins, Bostic, Waller, Cook & Barkin, Supply from the US, Earnings from Home Depot & Keurig Dr Pepper.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC mostly firmer as China returned, somewhat shrugging off the weak Wall St. finish on AI disruption concerns.DXY marginally firmer, EUR/USD directionless, while USD/JPY edged higher and above 155.00.USTs pulled back from Monday's best, Bunds remained near highs, while JGBs saw choppy action after the long weekend.Crude remained tentative amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, XAU faded while copper rallied as China returned.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, House Prices (Dec), Consumer Confidence (Feb), Dallas/Richmond Fed (Feb), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBH Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Lombardelli, Greene, Taylor & Pill, Fed's Goolsbee, Collins, Bostic, Waller, Cook & Barkin, Supply from UK, Italy & US, Earnings from Home Depot & Keurig Dr Pepper.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

President Trump raised the blanket tariff rate to 15% from 10% over the weekend, following SCOTUS ruling against IEEPA tariffs on Friday; EU is set to freeze trade deal approval over US President Trump's tariff risk, Bloomberg reports.European equities mixed; Defence names hit as Hungary blocks further funding.DXY pressured on renewed uncertainty after Trump increases global tariffs to 15%.Fixed income relatively contained and awaiting further tariff updates.WTI and Brent rangebound ahead of US-Iran talks this week; Spot XAU regains USD 5k/oz handle.US President Trump reportedly considers a targeted strike on Iran, followed by a larger attack and is open to deposing the Supreme Leader by force if Iran is stubborn, according to the NYT.Looking ahead, highlights include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec/Jan). Speakers include BoE's Taylor, Fed's Waller & ECB's Lagarde. Earnings from Hims & Hers.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump and his advisors have reportedly indicated that the USMCA could be scrapped, NY Times reports. Instead, the US could have bilateral deals with Canada and Mexico.European equities lower as Airbus misses on 2026 aircraft deliveries; US equity futures slip.Antipodeans gain following recent losses; DXY flat after Wednesday's advances.Bonds hold a bearish bias, continuing the pressure seen in the prior session due to various factors.Crude benchmarks and precious metals benefit from growing US-Iran tension, whilst copper lags on weak European sentiment and Chinese holiday.US President Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks on the economy at 16:00EST/21:00GMT on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include US Trade Balance (Dec), Weekly/Continuing Claims, Philadelphia Fed (Feb), Pending Home Sales (Jan), EZ Flash Consumer Confidence (Feb), New Zealand Trade Balance (Jan), Australian Flash PMIs (Feb), Japanese CPI (Jan). Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, Fed's Bostic, Kashkari, Goolsbee & Bowman. Supply from the US. Earnings from Walmart, Deere, Wayfair, Klarna, Opendoor, Newmont Mining, Southern & Constellation Energy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Trump administration is closer to a major war with Iran than people realise, Axios reports citing sources; a military operation would likely be a massive, weeks long campaign that will be a joint US-Israeli attack. European equities entirely in the green, with IBEX leading the way; US equity futures continue to extend Tuesday's gains.DXY firmer, Kiwi hit post-RBNZ while Cable holds afloat following UK inflation.Gilts choppy post-CPI; USTs slightly lower ahead of FOMC minutes.WTI and Brent nurse prior day losses as Ukraine talks conclude; Metals rebound. Looking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods, Industrial Production (Jan), Housing Starts (Nov/Dec), Atlanta Fed GDP, FOMC Minutes (Jan). Speakers include ECB's Schnabel & Fed's Bowman. Supply from the US. Earnings from Analog, Carvana, DoorDash, Booking Holdings, Moody's, Garmin & Orange.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US-Iran talks have gotten underway; the latest is that the nuclear negotiations have entered the stage of discussing technical issues, Al Jazeera reports citing Iranian TV.Iran announced its readiness to reduce uranium enrichment, Al Hadath reports citing Iran's ambassador in Cairo; added "The contradiction of the US statements is proof of its lack of seriousness in the negotiations"European stocks are broadly in the green; Basic Resources weighed on by metals prices; US equity futures lower as US traders return from holiday.JPY gains ground on yield differentials and some haven flows while GBP lags after the UK jobs report; DXY flat. Gilts and JGBs lead; pricing remains in favour of a BoE cut in April, but March has inched higher into Wednesday's CPI post-unemployment/wages; USTs bid alongside global benchmarks.WTI and Brent rangebound with geopols in focus.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, NY Fed (Feb), Canadian CPI (Jan), Japanese Balance of Trade (Jan), US-Iran talks. Speakers include Fed's Barr & Daly. Earnings from Medtronic, Leidos, Palo Alto, Cadence Design Systems, Republic Services, Vulcan Materials, Kenvue.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump plans to roll back tariffs on metal and aluminium goods, according to FT.European equities shrug off the selloff seen stateside; Tech rebounds while Basic Resources lag; US equity futures hold steady.DXY slightly firmer and USTs rangebound heading into US CPI; JPY underperforms.Precious metals recover following Thursday's slump, whilst Copper lags on the back of weaker risk sentiment; Crude flat.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Jan), Speakers including ECBʼs de Guindos, BoEʼs Pill, Earnings from Moderna.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

China is reportedly considering probing wine from France; could consider launching anti-dumping duty to French wine, and potentially take counter measures against the EU if it adopt duties.European bourses are trading on the backfoot; FTSE 100 outperforms on the back of firmer commodity prices; US equity futures mixed.DXY slightly lower heading into US NFP, JPY continues to gain, AUD bid after RBA's Hauser said inflation is "too high".Fixed income rangebound; Bunds little moved following tepid auction.Crude edges higher as Trump mulls sending another carrier near Iran; Gold rangebound; Base metals rise, led by nickel prices following an cut in output from the world's largest mine.Looking ahead, highlights include US NFP (Jan), Japanese PPI (Jan), BoC Minutes (Jan), OPEC MOMR. Speakers include ECB's Schnabel, Fed's Schmid, Bowman & Hammack. Supply from the US. Earnings from T-Mobile, McDonalds, AppLovin, Equinix, Motorola Solutions, Hilton and Kraft Heinz.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are mostly firmer, US equity futures are flat/incrementally higher.DXY is flat awaiting Retail Sales/ECI, JPY bid alongside JGB stabilisation whilst NOK gains post-inflation.Fixed rebounds from Monday's pressure into data & supply; Gilts outperform as PM Starmer pushed back on calls to resign.WTI and Brent mildly lower, XAU remains above USD 5k/oz; Copper muted heading into Chinese festive period.Looking ahead, highlights include US NFIB (Jan), Weekly ADP, ECI (Q4), Retail Sales (Dec) & EIA STEO. Speakers include Fed's Hammack & Logan, Supply from the US. Earnings from Coca-Cola, S&P, Gilead, Robinhood, Welltower, Datadog, Ford, AIG, Xylem.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses were initially lower, but now mixed whilst US equity futures are firmer; AMZN -7.7% pre-market.DXY is mildly lower, G10s are broadly firmer across the board with outperformance in the Antipodeans.USTs hold onto recent gains, Bunds digest ECB speak whilst Gilts take a breather.Crude prices dip as US and Iran informal talks enter the second round; Metals pare back earlier losses as high volatility continues.Looking ahead, Canadian Jobs Report (Jan), US Prelim. Michigan (Feb), Speakers include BoEʼs Pill & Fed's Jefferson.Earnings from Under Armour, Philip Morris International.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are broadly on the backfoot; US equity futures mixed, but the NQ outperforms, as chip names benefit from Alphabet boosting AI spending.DXY is mildly firmer, with G10s lower to varying degrees; Aussie hampered by pressure in metals, GBP lags into BoE.Fixed income benchmarks are mixed; USTs incrementally firmer, whilst Gilts underperform on political woes.Crude benchmarks slip with US-Iran meeting confirmed, Spot gold moves lower, silver -10.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger (Jan), Weekly/Continuing Jobless Claims, Revelio PLS, ECB Announcement, BoE Announcement & MPR, Banxico Announcement, CNB Announcement. Speakers include BoE's Bailey, ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Bostic, BoC's Macklem & RBA's Bullock.Earnings from Amazon, Strategy, Roblox, Reddit, Bloom Energy, ConocoPhillips, Bristol Myers Squibb, Barrick Mining, Cigna.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Investing in Bizarro World Episodes: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIAfIjKxr02sAztzlJNy1ug5bDvTVZkME&si=w2d_EF-B5jMo1dYDSubscribe to Investing In Bizarro World: @bizarroworld Editor's Note: The price for the premium version of Investing in Bizarro World is now $149 everywhere except this link: https://bit.ly/45I69sm The response to our final offer at $99 was so strong that we're keeping it open until we record the next live episode this Thursday. You might find it especially useful as Gerardo and I navigate what we're doing with precious metals volatility in real time. Last chance at $99 right here: https://bit.ly/45I69sm —NickThe free version of the 351st episode of Investing in Bizarro World is now published.Here's what was covered:Macro Musings - Nick and Gerardo open with on-the-ground observations from Vancouver, where packed conference halls, nonstop meetings, and companies actively competing to deploy capital underscored how strong sentiment has become across the metals and resources space. Despite some high-profile voices warning of froth, both agree this market is still structurally driven — not retail-led — with China standing out as a major physical buyer. Silver pricing is highlighted as a key signal: while trading near $117 per ounce in Western markets, physical silver in China was quoted closer to $146, underscoring the premium being paid for real metal. Gold and silver consolidations are getting shorter, the U.S. dollar has touched a four-year low near 96 on the DXY, and political pressure for lower rates is intensifying. The takeaway: this remains a bull market built on currency debasement, debt, and sovereign demand — but discipline matters more than ever.Market Takes - The conversation moves into volatility, technical levels, and how to navigate sharp moves without chasing. Gold recently surged from roughly $5,000 to $5,600 in a matter of days before consolidating near $5,400. Silver corrected to about $103 while Nick and Gerardo were in Vancouver before rebounding to $120 and settling around $116. Copper pushed through all-time highs above $6 per pound, with upside potential still intact even on pullbacks toward $5.75. Tin hit record highs near $53,000–$54,000 per tonne, aluminum reached four-year highs around $3,300 per tonne, platinum broke to new highs, and palladium moved to multi-year highs. Lithium carbonate rebounded to above $23,000 per tonne after trading near $8,000–$9,000 last summer. The broader CRB commodity index has broken out, signaling strength across the entire complex. Nick reiterates the importance of buy-under prices and limit orders, using Aldebaran Resources as a case study, where a $35 million financing at C$3.25 created a brief pullback to the C$3.60 buy-under level before shares rebounded.Bizarro Banter - The discussion turns somber as Nick and Gerardo reflect on global unrest and domestic events that are increasingly shaping capital flows. Firsthand observations from a massive, peaceful protest in Vancouver — estimated at 10,000–20,000 people — serve as a contrast to recent events in Iran and the United States. They recount personal conversations with individuals directly affected by communications blackouts and violent crackdowns abroad, then pivot to concerns about law enforcement conduct, constitutional rights, and the erosion of trust at home. The core theme is consistency: when institutions lose credibility and force replaces accountability, capital predictably migrates toward hard assets, jurisdictional safety, and tangible stores of value. The metals market is responding accordingly.Premium Portfolio Picks - For paid listeners only. (Though you get a free Q&A this week.) Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/49UPxAi0:00 Introduction3:15 Macro Musings: Vancouver Conference Froth. Shorter Metals Consolidations. China Physical Premium.7:06 Market Takes: Tether Gold Hoard. Buy-Under Limit Orders. CRB Breakout Setup.26:35 Bizarro Banter: Iran Protest March. Regime Blackout Stories. ICE Shooting Outrage.45:03 Premium Portfolio Picks: (You need to subscribe to Bizarro World Live to get this section)PLEASE NOTE: There are now two versions of this podcast. 1. Bizarro World Live — Pay $2 per episode to watch us record the podcast live every Thursday and get Premium Portfolio Picks every week. Plus an archive of all premium episodes. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/49UPxAi2. Bizarro World Free — Published the Monday after the live recording with no Premium Portfolio Picks.Visit our website Daily Profit Cycle for more content like this and more! https://dailyprofitcycle.com/

NVIDIA (NVDA) AI chip sales to China are reportedly stalled by a US security review, and Chinese customers are, meanwhile, not placing H200 chip orders.European bourses are broadly firmer, US equity futures are mixed with mild underperformance in the NQ.DXY trades flat ahead of US data, JPY underperforms as focus turns to a landslide LDP victory.Fixed income benchmarks are mixed; USTs are flat whilst Bunds are firmer.Crude-specific newsflow remains light, benchmarks retrace bid following US-Iranian tensions; Precious metals continue to rebound with spot XAU returning above USD 5k/oz.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final Composite/Services PMIs (Jan), US ADP (Jan), ISM Services (Jan), Treasury Refunding Announcement, NBP Policy Announcement, Comments from Fed's Cook, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses opened stronger, but sentiment has dipped off best levels; US equity futures are modestly firmer, with mild outperformance is seen in the NQ.DXY is flat, Antipodeans benefit from a rebound in metals prices with outperformance in the Aussie after the RBA hiked rates by 25bps (as expected), whilst the SoMP noted that underlying inflation is higher than expected.Fixed income on the backfoot with supply in focus in a shutdown-thinned US docket.Crude prices initially lower but now flat; India to stop importing Russian oil as part of the trade deal with the US. Metals rebound with spot gold returning above USD 4900/oz.Looking ahead, highlights include US RCM/TIPP (Feb), New Zealand Unemployment (Q4), Australian S&P PMIs Final (Jan), Speakers including Fed's Bowman, Barkin & ECB's Lagarde.December JOLTS has been postponed, on account of the US government shutdown. Earnings from AMD, Supermicro, Amgen, Amcor, PayPal, PepsiCo, Pfizer, Merck.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses opened lower but now display a mixed picture; US equity futures are entirely in the red with the NQ leading losses, focus on NVIDIA/Oracle.DXY is flat, Aussie initially underperformed as metals got hit but now CHF lags as the risk-tone improves. JPY digests Takaichi comments and new polling which places LDP in a strong position.Fixed initially bid given the risk tone, but pulling back as sentiment turns mixed in Europe.Precious metals hit in a continuation of Friday's losses; WTI dips below USD 62/bbl as US-Iran tensions ease, with talks in Turkey this week looming.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final Manufacturing PMIs (Jan), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan), Speakers including BoE's Breeden & Fed's Bostic, Treasury Refunding Announcement, Earnings from Palantir & NXP Semiconductors.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks pressured with several bearish factors weighing, incl. the partial US shutdown, weak Chinese PMIs & NVIDIA's OpenAI investment stalling.DXY rangebound, EUR firmer but below 1.19. USD/JPY initially benefited from Takaichi's remarks, though subsequent clarification unwound this.Fixed benchmarks mixed, JGBs benefit from the latest election polling.Crude benchmarks hit alongside APAC stocks, OPEC+ maintained the pause as expected. Spot gold continued to falter, base peers hit by the Chinese data.Bitcoin hit a trough just below USD 75k before finding a floor.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Final Manufacturing PMIs (Jan), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan), Speakers including BoE's Breeden & Fed's Bostic, Treasury Refunding Announcement, Earnings from Palantir & NXP Semiconductors.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ative seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr02/02 - DIRR +5%, CXSE +3%. RAIZ -10% e BRAVA -4Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado, comigo Flávio Conde e Ricardo Afonso, hoje é 2a. feira, 2 de fevereiro, com mercados brasileiro e internacional subindo levemente depois das fortes quedas de sexta-feira com a indicação do Kevin Harsh para o Fed e prata despencando -27% (hoje sobe 2%). Agora, 17h18, o Ibovespa à vista está a 182,1 mil pontos, +0,40%, depois de ter caído de 186,450 mil pontos, na quinta-feira, para 181,3 mil no fechamento da sexta. Hoje, até voltou a bater 182,9 mil, às 11h, mas não aguentou, recuou e fechou nos 182,1. Após acumular baixa de 4,4% em janeiro, o dólar fechou a segunda-feira próximo da estabilidade no Brasil, mas novamente acima dos R$5,25, com alguns investidores realizando os lucros recentes, enquanto no exterior a moeda norte-americana teve perdas firmes ante pares do real como o peso chileno e o peso mexicano, mas subiu +0,71% frente moeda fortes do DXY. Os juros da Treasury americana subiram bem de 4,255% para 4,28% a.a., no maior nível desde setembro de 2025, depois que O Instituto de Gestão de Fornecimento (ISM, na sigla em inglês) reportou uma atividade industrial de 52,6 em janeiro, superando em muito os 48,4 esperados pelos economistas. Isso representou a primeira expansão clara (acima de 50) após 26 meses consecutivos de contração, sinalizando que a economia está crescendo mais rápido do que o previsto. Investidores entenderam que a economia americana pode estar mais aquecida que o esperado e que o Fed pode demorar mais para cortar os juros novamente. Já os juros dos títulos Tesouro direto subiram com o Tesouro Prefixado 2037 a 13,60% x 13,52% a.a., sexta, e o IPCA+ 2035 a 7,45% x 7,41% a.a.. Assista no vídeo as análises do Conde e Ricardo.

Neste episódio do Conversa com Zé Márcio, o economista Alexandre Schwarsman discute com o anfitrião e economista-chefe da Genial, José Márcio Camargo, o início do ciclo de queda da Selic e o impacto da desvalorização global do dólar no Brasil. Schwarsman critica as tarifas de Trump, prevendo que a volatilidade institucional prejudicará a eficiência mundial e não reindustrializará os EUA.Para 2026, ele projeta um PIB de apenas 1% devido a gargalos de oferta e alerta para o risco fiscal insustentável. O especialista conclui que a corrida eleitoral e a definição de candidaturas na centro-direita serão os grandes gatilhos de estresse para o mercado e para o câmbio.DIRETO AO PONTO00:00 – Introdução: O papel da assessoria de excelência na Genial.00:29 – Apresentação: Zé Márcio recebe o economista Alexandre Schwarsman.01:05 – Copom e a queda da Selic: Análise do início do ciclo de cortes.02:30 – Estratégia de comunicação do Banco Central e o papel do Fed.03:40 – Impacto da desvalorização global do dólar (DXY) na inflação brasileira.05:25 – Política comercial de Trump: Críticas às tarifas e volatilidade institucional.07:40 – Riscos de desindustrialização e o desafio da manufatura nos EUA.09:15 – Geopolítica e a disputa EUA vs. China: Alianças e protecionismo.11:10 – Visão de mercado: Déficits comerciais e a "promessa de pagamento" americana.13:05 – Projeções para a economia brasileira em 2026: PIB e gargalos de oferta.15:15 – Cenário Fiscal: Desafios da dívida pública e a gestão atual.16:40 – Cenário Eleitoral 2026: O impacto político no câmbio e a sucessão.18:30 – Considerações finais e encerramento.

US President Trump says he will announce his Fed pick on Friday. Reports suggest the administration is leaning towards Warsh.DXY gained amid the Warsh speculation, to the detriment of G10 peers. USTs under pressure following this.Apple shares ended the extended US session flat, having initially risen after profit and revenue beat, driven by exceptionally strong iPhone demand.European futures point to a firmer open, US futures hit by the potential Warsh appointment.Crude benchmarks gave back some of Thursday's strength, precious metals were also on the backfoot.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish/German/Italian GDP Flash (Q4), German Import Prices (Dec), Unemployment (Jan), Prelim. HICP (Jan), Spanish Prelim. CPI (Jan), EZ GDP Flash Prelim. (Q4), Canadian GDP (Dec), US PPI (Dec), Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Bowman, Miran & Riksbank's Jansson. Earnings from SoFi, American Express, Verizon, Chevron, Exxon & Colgate.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump says he will announce his Fed pick on Friday. Reports suggest the administration is leaning towards Warsh.DXY bid, USTs lower with the yield curve steeper and US equity futures down (ES -0.8%) amid the Warsh speculation.XAU lost the USD 5k/oz handle and XAG below USD 100/oz in a pullback from recent highs and amid USD strength.Crude curtailed by the USD, and as Trump plans to meet with Iranian officialsAUD hit on metal action, JPY digests Tokyo CPI, EUR unaffected by German state CPIs and EZ GDPLooking ahead, highlights include German HICP (Jan), Canadian GDP (Dec), US PPI (Dec), Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Bowman, Miran, Waller. President Trump's Fed Chair announcement.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

CMDTYs metálicas derretem, DXY sobe e dólar vai a R$ 5,22. Prepare-se para a segunda metade do dia sabendo de tudo que mexeu com o mercado nas primeiras horas do pregão. Informação e análise com Roberto Motta. O Resumo da Manhã é transmitido de segunda a sexta, às 13h. Ative as notificações do programa e acompanhe ao vivo!

In this high-stakes editorial, we sit down with Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and Editor of the Marc to Market blog, to dissect one of the most volatile trading days in recent memory. As we record on Friday, January 30th, the markets are reeling from a historic "crash" (maybe) in precious metals, with Silver plummeting over 30% in a single session. We explore whether this is a simple technical correction or the end of a massive momentum trade, while diving into the geopolitical tensions - from the Middle East to Canadian energy deals - that are reshuffling the global board. Key Discussion Points The US Dollar's Counter-Attack: Analyzing the recent "free fall" to 95.5 on the DXY and why a technical rebound toward the 97.00 level is likely ahead of upcoming jobs data. The Precious Metals Correction: Making sense of the staggering moves in Gold and Silver, and why Marc views this as a "snap-back" of a dangerously overextended rubber band. Quantitative Red Flags: Using Bollinger Bands and standard deviations to identify "three-sigma" events - extreme readings that signaled the market was dangerously stretched. The Energy and Geopolitical Shift: A look at the US "Armada" in the Middle East, Canadian energy pivots toward China and India, and the sudden volatility in Uranium and Rare Earths. Mastering Risk Management: Why "knowing where the exits are" is more important than price targets during unhinged market moves. Click here to visit Marc's site - Marc To Market - https://www.marctomarket.com/   ---------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.  

European bourses are broadly lower; LVMH (-8%) sinks post-earnings, whilst ASML (+4.9%) gains after the company beat across its headline metrics, provided a rosy outlook, and announced a EUR 12bln share buyback.NQ boosted by ASML & SK Hynix earnings, as well as reports that China is said to have approved the first batch of NVIDIA's (+1.7%) H200 AI chips for import.DXY attempts a recovery to the detriment of G10s; AUD among the better performers post-CPI.USTs slightly softer pre-Fed, Bunds little moved on a robust auction, JGBs bid overnight.Crude benchmarks reverse earlier gains; Spot XAU extends above USD 5,300/oz; Copper regains USD 13k/t.Looking ahead, highlights include Fed Policy Announcement, BoC Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB's Schnabel, BoC's Macklem, Fed Chair Powell. Supply from the US. Earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Lam, ServiceNow, IBM, Starbucks & AS.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump's announced he is to raise tariffs on South Korean autos, lumber, pharma, and all other reciprocal tariffs to 25% from 15% due to Korea not yet enacting the trade deal.USD/JPY fell sharply below 154.00 without a clear catalyst, in a move similar to Friday's post-Ueda drop, DXY is slightly lower.European and US equity futures are broadly in the green; a slew of US earnings are on the docket.Fixed benchmarks hold a bearish bias, Bunds little moved to a robust auction.Crude prices slightly firmer, whilst Nat Gas prices remain elevated; precious metals rebound following Monday's selloff.Looking ahead, US Richmond Fed (Jan), Consumer Confidence (Jan), ADP Employment Change Weekly, NBH Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB President Lagarde & ECBʼs Nagel, US President Trump. Supply from the US. Earnings from Texas Instruments, Boeing, General Motors, RTX, American Airlines, Logitech & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The global macro landscape is shifting fast, and this week we dive into how it's influencing bitcoin's price. We'll explore potential for a rotation between bitcoin and gold as precious metals come back into focus. Then, we look at the dramatic appreciation of the Japanese Yen and what speculation about US and Japanese authorities strengthening the currency means for crypto. We'll also cover the potential impact of new tariffs in South Korea and Canada and how that's playing into hedging strategies. Finally, with the Fed's latest decision looming, we unpack the broader struggle for capital: in a world where the DXY is under pressure and the European fiscal outlook remains weak, what is the ultimate alternative asset? Tune in for a deep dive into the forces driving crypto markets right now. Speakers:David Duong, CFA - Global Head of Investment Research (X: DavidDuong)Colin Basco - Research Associate (X: colin_basco) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The world order is shifting – the US is playing a global-scale game of Risk, the rand is getting stronger, and AI can't count its ABCs. Amidst the chaos, it's hard to know which market indicators to listen to. In this episode of Magic Markets, The Finance Ghost and Moe-Knows dive deep into why US Treasury yields aren't necessarily the best indicator of risk, while highlighting that the rand has clawed its way back to pre-Nenegate levels. From the potential for missiles to be flying over an annexed Greenland to how Dune can help us understand the oil supply chain, the Ghost and Moe unpack the geopolitical flashpoints that will define your portfolio this year. This week's Topics: The Dollar Index (DXY) vs yields: Why the 10-year Treasury yield is the wrong indicator for US risk right now. The rand's Lost Decade recovery: How the ZAR has clawed its way back to 2016 levels and what ‘fair value' means for your offshore timing. The death of "There's War, Buy Oil": Why geopolitical flares in Iran and Venezuela aren't spiking crude prices like they used to. The credit card cap trap: The unintended consequences of US interest rate caps on Visa, Mastercard, and American Express. Taiwan and the semiconductor tail risk: Why the US focus on Greenland and LatAm might be emboldening moves in the East. Reach out to us on X: @MagicMarketsPod, @FinanceGhost and @MohammedNalla or pop us a note on LinkedIn. Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor. Chapters (00:00:00) - Introduction & is Canada the 51st State?(00:02:15) - The US and Geopolitical Risk(00:03:03) - The US 10-Year yield disconnect: Why isn't borrowing getting costlier?(00:04:07) - The DXY as the true expression of US risk(00:05:58) - South African Bonds: The carry trade darling and the SARB's credibility(00:08:04) - The rand's 10-year comeback and what fair value means for your offshore goals(00:10:52) - Central bank independence and gold as a safe haven against a dollar downdraft(00:13:01) - Interest rate caps: How US policy is hitting Amex and the banking sector(00:15:43) - Oil & Geopolitics: Venezuela, Iran, and the "Spice Must Flow" problem(00:21:11) - Taiwan, the semiconductor tail risk, and global choke points(00:23:12) - AI hallucinations: Why you shouldn't trust the bots just yet

Henrik Zeberg, head macro economist at SwissBlock and author of The Monetary House of Cards, warns that despite stock markets hitting all-time highs, the real economy is sinking fast - private job creation has fallen below recessionary levels seen in 2007, and 90% of US consumers are now worse off than going into both the 2008 financial crisis and the 1929 depression. Using his Titanic metaphor, he explains first class passengers (top 10%) are still at the bar while third class is already in the water. Zeberg predicts a blow-off top with the S&P potentially hitting 8,200 before a crash worse than 2008, driven by central bank hubris that will trigger stagflation when the Fed inevitably intervenes. He's long-term bullish on gold and silver but warns of a short-term pullback as the dollar spikes to 120+ on the DXY during the deflationary bust, and explains why there's no easy way out this time - we've exhausted the free lunch of money printing.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaLinks: X: https://x.com/HenrikZebergSubstack: https://henrikzeberg.substack.com/Book: https://buy.stripe.com/aFacN62DQdYFbZt9APaR201TEDx: https://youtu.be/DAmoawIOMbs?si=Infb0cLi8YPxdX4H00:00 Intro and welcome Henrik Zeberg01:22 Macro view, the real economy is about job creation, not financial markets04:13 90% of consumers worse off than going into 2008 and 192905:58 Titanic metaphor: First class denying while third class already in water06:56 Chart: ADP private job creation declining to recessionary levels08:26 Illusion of stability: Stock market disconnect from economy09:07 Stock market doesn't predict recessions - look at unemployment11:15 Zeberg business cycle model pointing to recession14:55  Bond market sniffing out problems - yield curve signals20:02 Central banks and the Fed: The hubris problem23:02 2020 changed everything - inflation is back as a factor25:26 Gold and silver starting to show end game signs26:20 If Fed intervenes with more stimulus, it creates stagflation28:03 Henrik's views on gold and silver clarified30:55 Dollar regime coming - DXY could spike32:12 Long-term bullish gold/silver but short-term pullback expected35:35 Navigating different regimes as an investor38:19 Strong dollar implications39:06 Current regime still risk-on, riding the blow off top43:29 Why this recession will be worse than 200848:21 No easy way out - we're at the end of the Keynesian curve49:12 Can we get back to sound money? Only through pain51:41 Under the radar trend: Realization of how bad consumer really is53:55 AI won't save us short-term - actually reduces jobs needed54:25 Wrap up: Think for yourself, do your own research

Ative seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr07/01 - Bolsa -1%, COGNA +7% e ASSAI -6%Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado, comigo Flávio Conde e Ricardo Afonso, hoje é 4a. feira, dia 7 de janeiro, e feliz 2026 com muitas felicidades, sucesso, saúde e dinheiro para vc, investidor e investidora, e famílias. O Ibovespa caiu -1%, a 162,0 mil pontos, com volume baixo de R$ 20 bi, R$ 5 bi abaixo da média de R$ 25 bi das quartas de mercado em alta, influenciado negativamente pelas baixas de Axia, Bancos , Suzano, Localiza, B3 e C&A apesar de leve alta de Vale e Petrobras. Bolsas americanas reagiram de forma mista com Dow Jones -0,99% e Nasdaq +0,10% O dólar à vista quase estável, -0,09%, R$ 5,386, versus R$ 5,38, ontem. Na contramão do dólar norte-americano que subiu levemente 0,10%, frente a moedas fortes do DXY.Os juros no Brasil subiram com o Tesouro Prefixado 2035 atingindo a 13,66% x 13,63% a.a. ontem, e o IPCA+ 2029 a 7,76% de 7,73 a.a. na contramão dos juros dos títulos de 10 anos do tesouro americano que caiu para 4,14% de 4,17% a.a. Assista o vídeo e descubra as recomendações de curto prazo do Conde e Ricardo.

06/01 - Bolsa 1%, HAPV +8%, VIVA -3% e PETR -2%Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado, comigo Flávio Conde e Ricardo Afonso, hoje é 3a. feira, dia 6 de janeiro, e feliz 2026 com muitas felicidades, sucesso, saúde e dinheiro para vc, investidor e investidora, e famílias. O Ibovespa subiu pelo segundo dia, alta de 1% a 163,4 mil pontos, com volume de R$ 22 bi, perto da média de R$ 25 bi das terças de mercado em alta, influenciado positivamente pelas altas de Vale, Axia, Bancos e B3 e apesar do recuo de Petrobras. O dólar à vista em baixa de 0,43%, R$ 5,38, versus R$ 5,44, na contramão do dólar norte-americano que subiu 0,29%, frente a moedas fortes do DXY.Os juros no Brasil subiram com o Tesouro Prefixado 2032 subindo a 13,55% x 13,51% a.a. ontem, e o IPCA+ 2029 a 7,73% de 7,71% a.a. Assista o vídeo e descubra as recomendações de curto prazo do Conde e Ricardo.

US President Trump announced on Saturday that the US successfully carried out a large-scale strike against Venezuela, while he added that President Maduro and his wife were captured and flown out of Venezuela.US President Trump said they are ready to stage a second strike if necessary and had assumed a second wave was needed, but now probably not.US President Trump signalled the US could widen its focus in the region to Cuba, and he will be meeting with House Republicans in a closed-door meeting on Tuesday. Further, Trump said it “sounds good” to him regarding whether there will be an operation in Colombia.European bourses are broadly in the green; US equity futures are mixed, with outperformance in the NQ. ASML +3% named top pick at Bernstein.DXY firmer on haven appeal, G10s subdued across the board to various degrees; Global fixed income slightly firmer with non-geopolitical updates somewhat light, ISM ahead.Choppy price action in the crude complex as geopolitics remain in focus; XAU gain on safe-haven demand; Copper raises following strength in the semiconductor sector.Looking ahead, highlights include US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump warned that the US will “rescue” Iranian protestors if they are shot; the US is “locked and loaded and ready to go”.Ukrainian President Zelensky said they are 10% away from a deal to end the war with Russia but not ‘at any cost', according to The Independent.Ukrainian authorities in Zaporizhzhia on January 2nd noted of over 700 Russian attacks on the territory of the province "in the past hours", according to Al Jazeera.European bourses were boosted for most of the European morning, but have come off best levels in recent trade; US equity futures gain, with outperformance in the NQ.DXY is slightly firmer, Antipodeans lead whilst the EUR is pressured a touch.Fixed benchmarks are broadly lower, but are off worst levels in quiet trade.Precious metals rebound amid geopolitical updates, Crude focuses on oversupply pre-OPEC.Looking ahead, highlights include, Canadian & US Final Manufacturing PMIs.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Looking at a weird GDP data point. Calling BS on Russia/Ukraine peace talks. Gold and Silver – WOW! Closing out the year – a good one too! PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - CTP Cup - All systems go! 9 participants! - Lots to be excited about and anxious too - Looking at a weird GDP data point - Calling BS on Russia/Ukraine peace talks Markets - Gold and Silver - WOW! - Closing out the year - a good one too! - Buyers are still hot to buy any dip - "Diet" pills coming Bitters Making Progress  - Chocolate -Dark Cherry -Infusions - https://highdesertbotanicals.com NYE Celebration - Cities across America ring in the new year by dropping unexpected objects: - Amelia Island, FL drops a giant shrimp. - Nashville drops a 400lb musical note with 28,140 LEDs. - Boise, ID, drops a glowing potato. - Key West, FL, drops an eight-foot ruby-red heel—complete with a drag queen inside! - In Spain, revelers gulp down 12 grapes—one for each midnight chime—to bring luck for each month - Denmark - Danes toss old dishes at friends' doors—large piles of broken crockery at dawn are seen as tokens of good luck. What a year! - So many themes in 12 months - AI, Tariffs, War and Trade War, Fat drugs, Deglobalization - Data centers, semiconductors, and supporting infrastructure like power and cooling systems. - Approx: DJIA +13.5%, SP500 +17%, NASDA +21%, BTCUSD -7.6%, Gold +64%, SLV +145%, $DXY -9.5%, EEM +30% - 2026 - Opportunities and Auld Lang Xiety (Tech still looks frothy in certain names) Top New Year's Resolutions - Exercise More - Eat Healthier - Save More Money/Get Out of Debt - Be Happy/Improve Mental Health - Lose Weight - Spend More Time with Family & Friends - Learn a New Skill/Hobby - Get Organized Active Management (Funds) - Same report annually - A small group of tech super stocks accounted for an outsize share of returns in 2025, extending a pattern in place for the better part of a decade. - Around $1 trillion was pulled from active equity mutual funds over the year, marking an 11th year of net outflows, while passive equity exchange-traded funds got more than $600 billion. - The concentration of gains in a few stocks made it harder for active managers to do well, with 73% of equity mutual funds trailing their benchmarks this year, the fourth most in data going back to 2007. - BUT, there are some areas that it makes sense for active management ---- Equity vs Fixed income and reasoning --- Efficient markets, boots on the ground Fat Pill - The FDA has approved the first-ever GLP-1 pill from Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk. - Novo Nordisk said the starting dose of 1.5 milligrams will be available in early January in pharmacies and via select telehealth providers with savings offers for $149 per month. - The approval gives Novo Nordisk a head start over chief rival Eli Lilly, which is racing to launch its own obesity pill. - Packaged food makers and fast-food restaurants may be forced to overhaul more of their products next year as newly approved, appetite-suppressing GLP-1 pills become available in January PowerBall - A ticket sold in Arkansas scored a $1.8 billion Powerball jackpot after Wednesday night's draw — one of the richest lottery prizes in U.S. history, landing just in time for Christmas. - The payout soared after last Monday's drawing produced no winners, with last-minute ticket sales pushing the jackpot to $1.817 billion. That makes it the second-largest U.S. lottery prize ever and the biggest Powerball of 2025, the lottery website said on Thursday. - The winning numbers — 4, 25, 31, 52, 59 and the Powerball 19 - Odds: one in 292.2 million. Silver - Amazing year! - Sunday night futures - >$83 then turned hard lower| - Down 7% on Monday - Range $83 - $71 (15%) for the day - Some rumors about a bank collapse due to wrong way position on Silver - forced liquidation and covering.... ----- Hard to believe that a bank was short that much silver - but..... SoKo Breach - South Korean online retail giant Coupang said it will offer 1.69 trillion South Korean won ($1.17 billion) in compensation to 34 million users affected by a massive data breach disclosed last month. - That is about 4% of Coupang's annual revenue - but a big chunk of their profit - $34 per user NVDA Deal - Nvidia has yet to issue a public announcement or disclosure regarding its $20 billion Groq deal that CNBC was first to cover on Wednesday. - Groq described the deal as a “non-exclusive licensing agreement,” a tool that's been used by tech giants of late in part to avoid regulatory scrutiny. - Analyst: “Antitrust would seem to be the primary risk here, though structuring the deal as a non-exclusive license may keep the fiction of competition alive,” Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon wrote in a report. - Groq will remain an independent company (?) GDP Consumption - Something is a bit off.... - With the marketplace costs increasing, this may be more than a one-off expenditure Q3 GDP Surge Russia/Ukraine - Less that an hour after the White House claimed great movement toward peace - Russian President Putin told President Trump that Russia will revise its negotiating position, raising questions over prospects for peace deal - Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says Ukraine tried to attack Russian President Putin's residence - Does anyone even listen to the crap coming out of the White House anymore? - Did you hear Lutnick trying to explain the 600% reduction in costs for pharmaceuticals? Math wizards! - - For 2026, my wish is that they continue to work on the job at hand and just shut up Just for fun - Who is biggest drinker of spirits? - While there's no single official "heaviest drinker," legendary wrestler Andre the Giant is widely cited as having unmatched capacity, famously downing 119 beers in one sitting (or even up to 156 in other accounts) Oil - Crude oil futures down about 9.5% YTD - Much of the drop due to pick up in production (supply/demand) - Still a floor with as Russia, Nigeria, Venezuela etc - What will it take to move up? Best Auto Stock for 2025? - GM! Better than ford, Tesla and others (up 55%) - best year from coming out of bankruptcy in 2009 - Ford up 35% - Mary Barra, CEO selling into the strength - $73 M sold this year (Position down 73% from what she held last year) - - - Barra has contended for years that stock undervalued. With all of these say what does that say now? --- Would she ever say shares are overvalued? More fun stats - A peer?reviewed 2025 study estimates AI data centers (including indirect usage from electricity generation) consumed 312–765 billion liters of water annually. That's more than all bottled water consumed worldwide each year - Direct (on-site) water is used for cooling servers via systems like cooling towers or liquid loops. Indirect (off-site) water stems from electricity generation—particularly from thermal and nuclear plants, which require significant cooling resources - ??? Estimates suggest a single standard AI prompt (about 100 words) is linked to around 1.5 liters of water—accounting for the entire chain of consumption. (This is total usage from cooling powr consumption, electricity generation) - Global AI workloads consumed 50–60 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2025—roughly the annual electricity use of a medium-sized country like Switzerland. - By 2030, AI-related electricity demand could reach 300–500 TWh annually, according to energy analysts—comparable to the entire electricity consumption of countries like France. Over to Iran - President Trump tells reporters that if Iran is building up its nuclear program, the U.S. will have to "knock them down" again --- Wait - I thought we destroyed all of their nuke aspirations??? - - - AND - Iran's currency hit a record low, triggering wave of protests, according to Bloomberg Fed News - Top Fed Chair Candidate Odds Narrow Again, With Hassett at 43% and Warsh at 35% - President Trump still angry at Powell 0threating to sue for incompetence Odd - Tesla Inc. published a series of sales estimates indicating the outlook for its vehicle deliveries may be lower than many investors were expecting. - The carmaker posted estimates showing analysts on average expect the company to deliver 422,850 cars in the fourth quarter, down 15% from a year earlier. - Tesla is on course for its second consecutive drop in annual vehicle sales, with the company compiling an average estimate for 1.6 million deliveries, down more than 8% from a year earlier. - These are estimates published by analysts - Tesla put on its own site - WHY? End of Year Stat - The U.S. national debt is climbing at a rapid pace and has shown no signs of slowing down despite the growing criticism of massive levels of government spending. - The national debt, which measures what the U.S. owes its creditors, rose to $38,386,384,190,622.68 as of Dec. 30, according to the latest numbers published by the Treasury Department. - That is an increase of about $5.8 billion daily - ~$18 per person in the US per day increase ($7,300) - or about the monthly price of leasing a small Mercedes - Each person in US owes approx $128,000 Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN 2025 Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt! CTP CUP 2025 Participants: Jim Beaver Mike Kazmierczak Joe Metzger Ken Degel David Martin Dean Wormell Neil Larion Mary Lou Schwarzer Eric Harvey (2024 Winner) FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter