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The US and Iran have reached a framework peace agreement; the US will lift its naval blockade, whilst the Iranians will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Pakistani PM suggested it would be signed in person on Friday, 19th June; Brent Aug'26 -4.5%.The deal includes the termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon. Israel's Katz said that they would not withdraw from Lebanon. US equity futures bid amid the constructive risk tone; NQ +1.9% DXY pressured as markets pare hawkish Fed pricing, ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's first meeting.Fixed income benchmarks firmer but off best levels, as yield curves bull steepen.Looking ahead, highlights include US Industrial/Manufacturing Production (May).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US and Iran have reached a framework peace agreement; the US will lift its naval blockade, whilst the Iranians will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Pakistani PM suggested it would be signed in person on Friday, 19th June; Brent Aug'26 -4.3%.The deal includes the termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon; Israel has yet to comment on the latest deal.Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister said talks are contingent on the release of assets and the lifting of sanctions; though a US official pushed back on the unconditional fund release, stating that any release is tied to a pay-for-performance deal.APAC stocks rallied following the US-Iran deal announcement; European equity futures are indicative of a strong open.DXY pressured back towards the 99.40 level; Antipodeans outperform given the risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Prices (May), EU Industrial Production (Apr), US Industrial/Manufacturing Production (May), and comments from ECB's Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's Mehr News reports that the US-Iran MoU includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, lifting oil sanctions, and releasing frozen Iranian funds. The draft is still being reviewed. Brent -4.1%.The US and Iran deal signing could occur around the June G7 meeting in Geneva (June 15th - 17th).Global equities gain on the constructive risk tone, SPCX set to debut today.DXY rangebound, EUR holds above 1.1580 despite somewhat conflicting ECB reports. Fixed income benchmarks benefit from the softer energy prices.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Wholesale Sales (Apr), US UoM Prelim. (Jun) & SpaceX Debut.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US CENTCOM launched fresh strikes on multiple targets in Iran, which have since been “completed”. In retaliation, Iran struck 18 US military targets in two waves, and multiple explosions were reported at US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.Speaking on Wednesday (US time), US President Trump stated that Iran must choose between war or a new deal and warned, “we'll bomb them to rubble tomorrow night” if there is no deal.Iran said the Strait of Hormuz was declared closed to the passage of any type of vessel, including all tankers and commercial vessels. However, the US rejected this claim, adding that transit was continuing through the Strait.Crude benchmarks gained on the US strikes, but have since most of the overnight advances given Trump had warned to hit Iran in advance, and after CENTCOM said the latest strikes had been completed. Brent Aug'26 +0.6%.APAC stocks extended lower; European equity futures are indicative of a weak open.DXY is slightly lower heading into US PPI, whilst G10s post mild gains.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF Final (May), US PPI (May), Jobless Claims (May/30), ECB Policy Announcement (Jun), CBRT Policy Announcement (Jun), OPEC MOMR (Jun), Comments from ECB President Lagarde, Supply from UK, Italy & US, Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US and Iran exchanged another round of strikes overnight, resulting in Iran announcing the complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz, effective immediately, and threatening to hit any vessel crossing the Hormuz.However, an Iranian source told Reuters that Iran and the US are still in negotiations over a preliminary deal, which includes a mechanism for unfreezing funds. US equity futures pare Wednesday's losses ahead of SPCX IPO pricing.DXY flips across the 100.00 handle; EUR muted ahead of ECB policy announcement.Fixed income muted, US 10yr remains above 4.50% with PPI ahead. Crude futures reverse earlier gains amid positive reports of continued US-Iran negotiations.Looking ahead, highlights include US PPI (May), Jobless Claims (May/30), ECB Policy Announcement (Jun), CBRT Policy Announcement (Jun), OPEC MOMR (Jun), Comments from ECB President Lagarde, Supply from the US and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Mutlak butlan kararı sonrası Türkiye siyasetinde yaşanan kriz, ekonomiyi de olumsuz etkiliyor. Enflasyon beklentileri bozuldu, cari açık büyüyor, İran Savaşı'nın yarattığı belirsizlik özellikle enerji piyasasını sarsmaya devam ediyor. Peki, mutlak butlan kararının yol açtığı siyasi krizin Türkiye ekonomisine kısa, orta ve uzun vadede etkileri ne olabilir?Enerji ve teknoloji alanlarında iş yönetimi danışmanlığı faaliyetlerinde bulunan, multidisipliner kamu politikaları üreten Glocal Grup Danışmanlık'ın sunduğu Varsayılan Ekonomi'nin yeni bölümünde, Bahadır Çelebi moderatörlüğünde Enerji Uzmanı Eser Özdil; mutlak butlan kararının ve İran Savaşı'nın yarattığı belirsizlik ortamında Türkiye ekonomisinin durumunu tartışıyor.https://groupglocal.com/contact/  #reklam #işbirliği00:00 Giriş00:30 Glocal Grup Danışmanlık'a ve seyircilerimize teşekkür03:35 Çin'in altın, bakır, petrol satın alımı ve satımı üzerinden krizleri okumak08:00 İran'ın müzakere yöntemi: Zamana yaymak09:15 İran kendini bu savaşta galip addediyor; tazminat ve Hürmüz geçişinden ücret istiyor09:40 Kasım'a ABD'de, Aralık'ta İsrail'de seçimler var ve Trump, Netanyahu'ya sinirli10:20 5 Haziran 2026 Cuma günü ne oldu da borsalar tepetaklak düştü?12:20 Altın niye düştü?13:45 Petrol fiyatları ile DXY arasındaki korelasyonun bozulması altın ve gümüş düşüşünü hızlandırıyor mu?15:10 Trump neye göre barış istiyor? Seçime tekrar girmeyecek, inside trading'den milyarları kazanıyor. Barışın Trump'a ne faydası olacak?17:35 BYD, Türkiye'de fabrika açmaktan, yatırım yapmaktan niye vazgeçti?20:10 Macaristan, işçilik maliyeti açısından Türkiye'ye kıyasla daha avantajlı mı?22:05 ABD'de güneşten üretilen enerji ilk kez kömürü geçti. Bunun anlamı ne?27:20 Delinmeyen bütçe yoktur, revize edilmeyen bütçe yoktur: Reel sektöre düşen Şimşek34:10 Seçim ekonomisi, bazı sektörlere kredi vermek değildir; tabana yayılmadan olmaz36:30 Cari artık rekor kırıyor, ihracat azalıyor?​​38:10 Akkuyu'nun ilk ünitesi, Türkiye'nin baz yük elektrik üretiminde doğalgazın payını anlamlı şekilde azaltabilecek büyüklükte mi?40:45 Nükleer enerji santrallerine bir de böyle bakalım: Almanya'da enerji Fransa'dan daha pahalı41:55 350 milyarlık KGF kredisinin 140 milyarı kullanıldı. "ödedikçe borcum artıyor"44:25 2021 yılında dövizi baskılanmasaydı, faizleri düşürmek yerine, piyasa ihtiyacına göre serbest bırakılsaydı, ne kaybederdik?46:00 Mehmet Şimşek: İran Savaşı'nın enflasyona etkisi 5 puan (aslında 5'ten daha fazla)47:10 ABD'de de ekonomi hızlanıyor, bir galon benzin 5 dolar olur mu?49:25 Petrol fiyatları düşerse enflasyon düşer mi?50:30 Sıcak paracılar, carry trade erbabı, Türkiye'yi neden bu kadar seviyor?54:30 "Devlet çok güçlü Eser, bildiğin gibi değil"59:20 Yayın duyurusu: Cuma günü Mehmet Akif Koç ile uzun bir yayın⌨️━━━━━━━DAKTİLO1984 AİLESİNİN BİR PARÇASI OLUN!━━━━━━━⌨️

US launched fresh strikes on Iran in response to Monday's downing of an Apache helicopter; the mission was a “proportional response” to Iranian aggression, while President Trump called it “very strong and powerful”.Iran responded with attacks on US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan; Brent Aug'26 U/C.A White House senior official said nothing has changed in their position regarding an agreement with Iran, and it is still close despite the strikes.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Baghaei says they need to reassess, following the overnight clashes, when questioned on talks with the US, SNN reports.US equity futures extend lower and currently reside at lows; NQ -1.2% underperforms.DXY is incrementally lower into US CPI; USD/JPY choppy on reports that BoJ Governor Ueda is in hospital and will not attend the June meeting.Global fixed benchmarks are slightly lower in quiet trade, US paper awaits data and a 10yr auction.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (May), BoC Policy Announcement (Jun), Speakers including BoC's Macklem, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US launched fresh strikes on Iran in response to Monday's downing of an Apache helicopter; the mission was a “proportional response” to Iranian aggression, while President Trump called it “very strong and powerful”.Iran responded with attacks on US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan; Brent Aug'26 +0.1%.A White House senior official said nothing has changed in their position regarding an agreement with Iran, and it is still close despite the strikes.US and Iran had reportedly narrowed negotiations to four core nuclear issues in the days before the latest flare-ups, NYT reported.APAC stocks were mostly lower amidst geopolitical strikes and mixed Chinese CPI; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY is incrementally lower into US CPI, G10s are mixed against the USD, with the Aussie slightly underperforming.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian CPI (May), Swedish GDP (Apr), US CPI (May), BoC Policy Announcement (Jun), Speakers including BoC's Macklem, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Oracle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are negotiating with Iran, and a victory will happen very soon, while he stated they will declare total victory in two weeks.US President Trump said Israel and Iran agreed to leave each other alone for another week.US equity futures continue to gain; FTSE 100 underperforms as Pharma giants fall. DXY returns below 100.00 handle, Kiwi outperforms while GBP gains following strong BRC sales. Fixed income benchmarks are tentatively firmer as geopolitical tensions ease.Crude continues to soften amid halted Iran-Israeli strikes; metals supported by softer dollar and positive risk toneLooking ahead, highlights include Mexican Inflation (May), US ADP Weekly Change, Exports/Imports, Atlanta Fed GDP, Existing Home Sales (May), Wholesale Inventories (Apr), Canadian Exports/Imports (Apr), EIA STEO (Jun), Comments from ECB President Lagarde, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are negotiating regarding Iran and a victory will happen very soon; he stated they will declare total victory in two weeks; Brent Aug'26 -1.1%Trump was said to have warned Israeli PM Netanyahu that if he turns escalation into war, he will be left alone against Iran. He also told the Israeli PM that if he does not get an Iran deal within a few days, he would lead the strikes on Iran.A top Iranian official casted doubt on a deal being imminently reached between the US and Iran, telling CNN that major roadblocks persist on issues like Iran's nuclear program and uranium enrichment.Pentagon accused several Chinese tech-giants (Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, Tencent) of aiding the Chinese military.APAC stocks traded mixed; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY is incrementally lower with G10s broadly firmer, and the Kiwi outperforms.Looking ahead, highlights include German Balance of Trade, Exports, Imports (Apr), Mexican Inflation (May), US ADP Weekly Change, Exports/Imports, Atlanta Fed GDP, Existing Home Sales (May), Wholesale Inventories (Apr), Canadian Exports/Imports (Apr), EIA STEO (Jun), Comments from ECB President Lagarde, Supply from Netherlands, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel conducted airstrikes in Beirut, which led to retaliatory attacks by Iran against Israel. The Iranians warned that if Israel expands its Lebanon operations, it will deliver “devastating blows”; Brent Aug'26 +4.1%.US President Trump said he was supposed to announce that a deal with Iran would be signed this week, and now this (in reference to the above airstrikes) is happening.US President Trump said Israeli PM Netanyahu will have no choice but to accept whatever deal the US negotiates with Iran because he calls the shots.APAC stocks were negative, amidst the geopolitical escalation and after Friday's tech-led losses. European bourses are indicative of a weak open.DXY is a touch lower, whilst Antipodeans are incrementally firmer. USD/JPY hovers above 160.00.Looking ahead, highlights include German Factory Orders (Apr), US NY Fed SCE (Jun), Apple WWDC Keynote (June 8-12).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said that Iran talks are going well. He reiterated that almost all of Iran's leadership has been wiped out; Brent Aug'26 +0.4%.Washington has demanded that Tehran deliver its response before the end of the week, and stated no progress in negotiations between Iran and the US, Al Hadath reports, citing Israeli Channel 12. Washington warned Tehran, “either an agreement or a military strike”.Ukrainian President Zelensky sent a letter to Russian President Putin, which said that the choice is yours; "Enough of war, Ukraine proposes to end this war".APAC stocks were mostly lower, subdued by tech-related pressure stateside; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly lower open.DXY is slightly lower, awaiting the key US NFP report; G10s trade lacklustre, whilst USD/JPY lingers around 160.00.Looking ahead, highlights include French Balance of Trade (Apr), BoE DMP (May), EU Employment Change Final (Q1), GDP 3rd Estimate (Q1), Italian Retail Sales (Apr), Canadian Jobs Report (May), US Jobs Report (May).Speakers include RBA's Hauser, BoE's Bailey & Dhingra.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

An informed source to Al Arabiya said the agreement on the release of frozen Iranian funds in its final stages, but the search continues for a mechanism on frozen funds. However, US President Trump informed the mediators of his refusal to release funds to Iran before signing the agreement.Israel and Lebanon agreed to a ceasefire in US-brokered talks, with the ceasefire contingent on Hezbollah's evacuation from the Litani. Despite this, there have been reports of continuing attacks in Southern Lebanon.US equities mixed as disappointing AVGO and CRWD earnings weigh on NQ and ES. Fixed income benchmarks gain by a handful of ticks ahead of Friday's NFP.DXY softened; JPY saw fleeting strength following hawkish BoJ reports, CHF firmer despite softer CPI data.Crude slips as efforts for a US-Iran deal continue.Looking ahead, highlights include Jobless Claims (May/30), Revelio PLS (May), Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators Final (May), Speakers include BoE's Bailey, Fed's Daly, Bowman & Barkin, Earnings from Docusign, lululemon & Ciena.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US struck Iran's Qeshm Island, which was then met with retaliatory Iranian strikes on US bases in Kuwait; explosions were also reported in Saudi Arabia, and air sirens were set off in the UAE. US CENTCOM said that the Iranian drone attacks were “successfully defeated.”US proposed new tariffs of at least 10% on imports from 60 trading partners following Section 301 investigation. Crude (Brent +2.7%) rebounds as US and Iran's flare-up ripples through the Middle East; yields follow the energy rise. US equity futures mixed, with NQ outperforming as MRVL (+9.3%) continues to surge. DXY moves higher amid geopols, JPY outperforms amid commentary by PM Takaichi and BoJ Ueda. Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change (May), S&P PMI Final (May), ISM Services PMI (May), Factory Orders (Apr), Fed Beige Book, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Barr & Logan, Earnings from Broadcom & CrowdStrike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told ABC News he thinks he will have an agreement with Iran to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz over the next week.US equity futures lack direction just shy of ATHs, while European bourses reverse Monday's losses. Global benchmarks benefit from lower energy prices, JGBs outperform following a solid 10yr auction.DXY muted, EUR directionless as EZ CPI surpasses 3%. Crude (Brent -1.4%) falls over renewed hopes of an Iran resolution.Looking ahead, highlights include US JOLTs Job Openings (Apr), RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism, New Zealand Export/Import Prices (Q1), NBP Policy Announcement (Jun). Speakers include Fed's Hammack, BoE's Bailey & Greene, ECB's Vujcic. Earnings from Dollar General, Palo Alto & ULTA Beauty.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The text of the possible memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran has not been finalised and confirmed to this point, according to Tasnim.A Romanian radio station reported that a drone hit a residential building in Romania's Galati, near the border with Ukraine.The EU is to discuss restrictions on Chinese imports, although no decision was expected on Friday.Crude benchmarks are currently trading towards lows; Brent Aug'26 -1.6%.European bourses are broadly firmer this morning, whilst US equity futures are contained; Dell +37% post-earnings.DXY gains slightly, whilst the Kiwi outperforms after hawkish speak from RBNZ officials.Looking ahead, highlights include German Nationwide CPI (May), Canadian GDP (Q1). Speakers include Fed's Schmid, Bowman, Paulson & Daly. Credit Rating updates include S&P on France & Hungary, Morningstar DBRS on Spain.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A US official said the US military carried out new strikes on an Iranian military site and shot down multiple Iranian drones that posed a threat to US forces and commercial maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.IRGC said it targeted a US air base in response to the US aggression near Bandar Abbas Airport, while it added that any further US attacks would trigger a more decisive response.Air raid sirens sounded in Kuwait, and the Kuwaiti Army said air defences were intercepting hostile missiles and drone attacks, according to Al Hadath.European and US equity futures slip as markets digest the recent flare-up; DXY firmer, Brent Aug'26 +2.5%, with fixed income benchmarks on the backfoot.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (May/23), US GDP 2nd Estimate (Q1), US Core PCE (Apr), US Durable Goods Orders (Apr), US Real Consumer Spending 2nd Estimate (Q1), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), ECB Minutes (Apr), SARB Policy Announcement (May). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Barkin, BoE's Breeden, ECB's Schnabel & SNB's Schlegel. Supply from the US, Earnings from Dell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Central Command spokesperson said US forces conducted self-defence strikes in southern Iran on Monday, in which US forces hit targets, including missile launch sites and Iranian boats attempting to emplace mines.Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei said America will no longer have a safe haven in the Middle East, while the IRGC affirm its right to respond to any ceasefire breach. Global bourses pare Monday's gains after renewed US strikes on Iranian sites, while Ferrari stalls following EV launch.DXY rangebound, Kiwi underperforms heading into RBNZ, Cable reverses from 1.35 while EUR firmer as Schnabel sees a June hike. Fixed income benchmarks hold a negative bias amid higher energy prices, as US strikes Iranian sites in "self-defence."Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr), Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (May), Consumer Confidence (May), NBH Policy Announcement (May), Speakers include ECB's Sleijpen, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Tehran is studying the American text and has not yet submitted its response, Al Arabiya reported citing sources."Pakistan's mediation efforts between US and Iran are at a crucial stage where efforts are underway to secure an agreement or a framework for comprehensive talks which can eventually lead to a ‘deal',"** according to journalist Mallick.European bourses are broadly higher despite disappointing PMIs; US equity futures are flat after NVDA sales guidance disappointed. DXY weighs hawkish FOMC and geopolitics; AUD lags post-jobs data. USTs are a little lower whilst Bunds digest Flash PMIs, which fuel stagflation woes.Crude wanes off highs amid further reports of diplomatic effects; Brent Jul -0.7%. Looking ahead, highlights include US S&P PMIs Flash (May), Initial Jobless Claims (May/16), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (May), Banxico Minutes (May). Speakers include BoE's Bailey & Taylor, ECB's Elderson, Fed's Barkin, Goolsbee. Earnings from Walmart & Deere.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran-Pakistan cooperation has reportedly declined over the past two weeks, with a diplomatic source saying that Iran and Pakistan held conflicting positions on negotiation channels and the venue for talks.The EU has finalised the text of its US trade deal, as the bloc races to meet US President Trump's July 4th deadline.European bourses softer, chip names firmer ahead of NVDA earnings.Lacklustre trade across G10s with the DXY slightly firmer ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Fixed benchmarks find some reprieve as energy prices pull back, Gilts outperform following cooler-than-expected CPI.Crude futures on a softer footing, precious metals hold steady following Tuesday's selloff. Looking ahead, highlights include New Zealand Trade Balance (Apr), FOMC Minutes (Apr). Speakers include Fed's Barr, BoE's Bailey, Breeden, Dhingra & Mann. Supply from the US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Target & Intuit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump posted on Truth that the US military is to hold off on the Iran attack that was initially planned for Tuesday after Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar requested him to do so, as serious talks are now taking place.US President Trump also instructed the US to be prepared to go forward with a full, large-scale assault of Iran on a moment's notice, in the event an acceptable deal is not reached.European bourses outpace their US peers, awaiting an update from the US and/or Iran.DXY firms; USD/JPY edges beyond 159.00, raising risk of intervention; AUD lags post-RBA minutes.Global fixed benchmarks gain; Gilts outperform amidst domestic political updates and a downbeat jobs report. Crude futures give back recent gains, metals weighed by firmer dollar. Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Canadian CPI (Apr). Speakers include ECB's Lane, Villeroy, Nagel & Fed's Waller. Earnings from Home Depot.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump warned that the clock is ticking for Iran, though he declined to give a specific deadline. Situation room meeting due Tuesday.Pakistan shared a revised Iranian proposal to end the war with the US on Sunday night, according to Pakistani sources.European bourses broadly in the red, but off lows as reports tout a sharing of US-Iran proposals.DXY reverses earlier gains, GBP helped by technicals & JPY lags on budget fears.Fixed income benchmarks rebound, in synchrony with energy downside. Crude futures lifted following punchy Trump rhetoric, gold/silver supported by tighter Indian import restrictions.Looking ahead, highlights include US NAHB Housing Market Index (May), Canadian Victoria Day holiday, Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said it's just a question of time regarding Iran, but added that he is not going to be much more patient with Iran.US President Trump said he made fantastic trade deals with China, and it was an incredible visit, while they've settled a lot of different problems, and the relationship is a very strong one.Global equities hit, led by Tech and Basic Resources amid a number of factors: 1) Central bank repricing, 2) Tech sell-off driven by higher yields and strikes at Samsung Electronics, 3) Surging energy prices.DXY bid amid higher energy, GBP knocked by the potential of a Burnham premiership.Global yields jump amidst central bank repricing and higher energy prices.Crude grinds higher heading into the weekend as Trump returns from China and refocuses on Iran.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Wholesale Sales (Mar), US Industrial Production (Apr) and Credit Ratings Updates including Fitch on Germany, S&P on Italy, Morningstar DBRS on Portugal and the UK, Scope Ratings on Poland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump had a good meeting with Chinese President Xi, in which the two sides discussed ways to enhance economic cooperation. The two sides agreed that the Strait must remain open and that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon. However, Taiwan was not mentioned.US President Trump's team is now discussing options for military escalation to break the deadlock, Axios reported. Options include resuming Project Freedom or striking Iranian infrastructure. European bourses continue to rebound; NVDA gains after the US reportedly approved around 10 Chinese firms to buy H200 chip.DXY flat, GBP immediately pared post-GDP gains as politics remains in focus.USTs attempt to bounce back from recent losses; Gilts eye a potential leadership challenge.Crude holds a mild upward bias but wanes off its best levels as US and Iran prefer diplomacy.Looking ahead, highlights include Trump-Xi Summit (14th-15th May); US Retail Sales (Apr), Export/Import Prices (Apr), Jobless Claims (May 9), Atlanta Fed GDP. Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Bowman, Miran, Logan, Schmid, Hammack & Williams.Holiday: Ascension Day Holiday (Closures in Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

UK PM Starmer said he will not be setting out a timetable for departure. This came after over 81 Labour MPs calling for the PM to resign, enough to launch a leadership challenge.European bourses are entirely in the red, with UK Banks hit on political turmoil; US equity futures pull back from ATHs.DXY is firmer, buoyed by geopols; GBP underperforms amidst political unrest, while JPY remains on intervention watch.Gilts underperform, USTs lower ahead of US CPI. Crude rises as US-Iran woes mount, with no off-ramp in sight.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Apr), ADP Employment Change Weekly, EIA STEO (May), and EU Informal Meeting of Energy Ministers (May 12-13). Speakers include ECB's Elderson, Fed's Goolsbee. Supply from the US. Earnings from Under Armour.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump rejected Iran's response to the peace plan, which he called totally unacceptable.Iran's proposal was said to have stressed the need for the US to pay compensation for war damages and emphasised Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Brent initially climbed above USD 105/bbl but has waned off highs on potential diplomacy.European bourses traded mixed, Compass raised its FY guidance; US equity futures muted.DXY benefited from higher energy prices, CHF underperforms while GBP is cautious as PM Starmer addresses the nation. USTs and Bunds off worst levels as energy benchmarks dip from overnight highs.Looking ahead, highlights include US Existing Home Sales, BoC Market Participants Survey. Supply from the US. Earnings from Hims & Hers, Constellation Energy & Circle Internet.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US military has carried out strikes in Iran's Qeshm port and Bandar Abbas, according to Fox News, citing a US official, who said it is not a restart of the war. Iran's military said the US violated the ceasefire.US President Trump said the Iran ceasefire is still on and that the US is negotiating with the Iranians. He added that Pakistan asked the US not to do Project Freedom during the negotiations. Remarks which have helped energy prices ease from highs.The situation on Iranian islands and coastal cities by the Strait of Hormuz is back to normal, according to Press TV. European bourses are broadly in the red, reacting to US-Iran flare-ups, whilst US equity futures gain.DXY wanes as oil eases and G10s gain; GBP was initially unreactive to UK local elections but now marginally outperforms peers.USTs await NFP, Gilts bounce as the UK local elections results continue to filter in.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobs Report (Apr), University of Michigan Survey Prelim. (May), Canadian Jobs Report (Apr). Speakers include ECB's Schnabel, BoE's Breeden, Bailey, Fed's Cook, Waller, Goolsbee, Daly, Miran and Bowman.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Al Arabiya reported that "the coming hours will witness a breakthrough for the situation of the ships stuck in the strait", spurring pressure in the crude complex.Iran is expected to provide its reply to the US proposal for ending the war to mediators on Thursday, according to CNN, citing a regional source.US President Trump could turn to military action without an agreement with Iran ahead of the China trip, according to Axios, citing US officials.European and US equity futures are modestly firmer; ARM -6.5% post-earnings.DXY downbeat as positive geopolitical headlines pressure crude; Antipodeans lead whilst the JPY lags vs peers.Fixed benchmark made new WTD highs amidst geopolitical optimism, but now off best levels.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Job Layoffs (Apr), US Jobless Claims (May 2), Atlanta Fed GDP, CNB/Banxico Policy Announcement (May), CBR Minutes (May), UK Local Elections. Speakers include ECBʼs Elderson, Schnabel, Lane, BoEʼs Mann, Taylor, Fedʼs Hammack, Williams, Kashkari. Earnings from CoreWeave, IREN, Coinbase, Cloudflare, DraftKings, ACM Research, Datadog, McDonald's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said the war could go on for another two to three weeks; time is not of the essence.US officials say the military is closer to resuming combat operations than 24 hours ago, Fox reported.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi posted, "As talks are making progress with Pakistan's gracious effort, the US should be wary of being dragged back into a quagmire by ill-wishers. So should the UAE."European and US equity futures are broadly firmer; Palantir -2% as commercial revenue fell short of expectations.DXY is flat, JPY experiences volatile two-way action, AUD pressured post-RBA, where it hiked by 25bps, statement was net-hawkish, but Governor Bullock suggests there is room now to wait and see.Gilts gap lower on return from a Bank Holiday, USTs and Bunds relatively contained.Crude pares Monday's gains, to the benefit of XAU.Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits Final (Mar), Canadian Balance of Trade (Mar), Canadian PMI (Apr), US PMI Final (Apr), US ISM Services (Apr), US JOLTS (Mar), US New Home Sales (Mar), US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism (May), New Zealand Unemployment Rate (Q1). Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Fed's Bowman, Barr. Supply from Germany. Earnings from AMD, AMC, Strategy, Tempus AI, Shopify, PayPal, Pfizer.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Conditions in Europe thin amid Labour Day, FTSE 100 dragged by NatWest and AstraZeneca.US equity futures are modestly mixed. Apple (+2.8%) gains after strong results, driven by iPhone sales; SanDisk (-6.1%) dips despite a strong Q3 report.DXY is a touch lower; USD/JPY sank to a 155 handle, potentially on intervention.Fixed income futures are contained in limited conditions, with US data ahead.Crude futures remain elevated heading into another weekend of geopolitical risk.Looking ahead, highlights include US ISM Manufacturing (Apr), Speakers include BoE's Pill, Earnings from Chevron, Colgate, Exxon, Moderna, Estee Lauder.Holiday: Labour Day (Eurozone cash and derivatives closed).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is reportedly not satisfied with and is unlikely to accept the Iranian proposal; CNN reports that the US and Iran are not as far apart as they seem.BoJ maintained its policy rate as expected, though subject to a hawkish 6-3 vote split, dissenters highlighted upside risks to inflation.APAC pressured after the reporting around Trump, Nikkei 225 underperformed after the BoJ's hawkish-hold.DXY initially contained but then ticked higher, JPY benefited from the BoJ; JGBs gapped lower, but the move retraced, USTs rangebound.Crude supported by the reporting from the Situation Room, metals hit by the risk tone, hawkish action, and USD gains.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales (Mar), Italian PPI (Mar), US ADP Weekly Employment Change, US House Price Index (Feb), US CB Consumer Confidence (Apr), US Richmond Fed Index (Apr), US Dallas Fed Index (Apr), NBH Policy Announcement (Apr), Speakers include BoJ Governor Ueda and ECB President Lagarde, Supply from the Netherlands, UK and US.Earnings from RobinHood, Bloom Energy, Visa, Booking.com, NXP Semiconductor, UPS, Coca-Cola, Spotify, General Motors, Centene, Airbus, Air Liquide, BP & Barclays.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran communicated a three-stage negotiating process to the US; 1) focus on ending the war and receiving guarantees, 2) then on the Strait of Hormuz, 3) and finally on nuclear issues.The US cancelled sending Witkoff & Kushner to Pakistan, suggesting it was a waste of time; Trump is to hold a situation room meeting on Monday, Axios.European bourses are modestly mixed, with US equity futures also holding around the unchanged mark; Qualcomm +12% on reports of an OpenAI partnership.DXY trundles below technical support, Antipodeans outperform, and GBP unfazed by potential PM referral.Fixed falters slightly as energy climbs into a packed week.Crude prices gain amidst a lack of US-Iran progress, but with focus on a three-stage plan.Looking ahead, highlights include US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr), Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran communicated a three-stage negotiating process to the US. The US cancelled sending Witkoff & Kushner to Pakistan; Trump to hold a situation room meeting on Monday, Axios.APAC stocks benefited from reporting around the Iranian communication, both European & US futures point to a contained open.DXY under pressure to the modest benefit of peers across the board, antipodeans lead after the Axios report.Fixed income softer but off the APAC low. China has reportedly delayed foreign bond sales.Crude peaked with gains in excess of USD 2/bbl as the US cancelled sending negotiators, then came off best following the Axios report.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Confidence (May), US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr), Supply from the EU & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel and Lebanon 10-day ceasefire took effect from 17:00EDT on Thursday. Despite this, reports indicate that Israel bombed several villages in southern Lebanon after announcing the ceasefire agreement.US President Trump said the Iran war is going swimmingly and should be ending pretty soon, added going to see some incredible results.European bourses mixed; US equity futures remain near ATHs, NFLX slips after maintaining guidance and co-founder stepping down.DXY slightly softer, G10s mixed, GBP unreactive on UK politics.Global fixed benchmarks broadly unchanged awaiting Fed speak.Crude pressured despite light newsflow, Israel/Lebanon ceasefire shows fragility.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Housing Starts (Mar). Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Daly, Barkin & Waller. Earnings from State Street. Credit Reviews include Morningstar DBRS reviews credit rating on the EU and Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Trump administration's goal is to bring both sides to the brink of an overarching deal to end the conflict that can then be pushed over the finish line in a second face-to-face meeting.A military advisor to the Islamic Revolution Leader says Iranian Armed Forces' launchers are ready to hit American warships and sink all of them, Press TV reported.European bourses printing mild gains, TSMC earnings lift the tech sector; US equity futures muted just shy of ATHs.DXY cautiously firms, JPY pares verbal intervention strength while GBP unreactive despite upside GDP surprise.Global benchmarks initially firmer, but hit as the risk tone deteriorated.Crude tilts higher as markets still await confirmation of any talks/ceasefire.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims (Apr/11), Philly Fed Index (Apr), Industrial/Manufacturing Production (Mar), New Zealand Food Inflation (Mar), ECB Minutes (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Miran, ECB's Schnabel, Nagel & Lane, RBA's Hunter & BoE's Taylor. Earnings from Abbott, Charles Schwab, PepsiCo & Netflix.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

AP reported that effort to extend the US-Iran ceasefire has made progress with mediators aiming to extend for at least another two weeks. Both sides gave an “in principle agreement” to extend the ceasefire.The Pentagon is sending thousands of additional troops into the Middle East in the coming days, WaPo reported citing US officials. This move aims to pressure Iran while the US mulls the possibility of additional strikes or ground operations if the ceasefire breaks.European bourses mixed, Luxury suffers on KER FP and RMS FP while ASML raises FY guidance; US equity futures flat with Morgan Stanley and BofA ahead. DXY muted, GBP/USD retreats from 1.36 with UK GDP later in the week.Global fixed benchmarks trade cautiously awaiting President Trump and central bank speakers.Commodities tread water in anticipation of a second US-Iran meeting.Looking ahead, highlights include US Export/Import Prices (Mar), Fed Beige Book (Apr). Speakers include US President Trump, Fed's Barr, Hammack & Bowman, ECB's Lagarde, Cipollone, Nagel & Schnabel, BoE's Bailey, Greene, SNB's Schlegel, RBA's Hauser & RBNZ's Breman. Earnings from Morgan Stanley and Bank of America.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Next round of talks between US and Iran could take place this week or early next week, according to the Iranian embassy official in Pakistan.US VP Vance said we made some progress in Iran talks, and he wouldn't say things went wrong, while he added Iranians moved in our direction in talks, but not far enough.A US official said there is “continued engagement” with Iran and forward motion on trying to get to an agreement, while a senior US official also said talks between the US and Iran are continuing even now and there is progress in trying to reach an agreement, according to Axios.Energy eases amid continued reports of further US-Iran talks.Global equities gain on positive risk tone; US banks ahead.DXY soften, Kiwi continues to outperform while JPY helped modestly by reports BoJ is to increase price forecast.Fixed benchmarks gain, heavy speaker slate ahead. Looking ahead, highlights include US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Mar), ADP Weekly Change, PPI (Mar), South Korean Export/Import Prices (Mar), IMF World Economic Outlook Press Briefing (Apr). Speakers include BoE's Bailey & Greene, ECB's Lane, Cipollone & Lagarde, RBNZ's Breman, Fed's Goolsbee, Barr, Paulson, Collins & Barkin, Earnings from JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citi, J&J, Wells Fargo & Kering.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US delegation left US-Iran talks in Pakistan without an agreement after 21 hours of talks. As a response, US President Trump said the US Navy will begin the process of blockading any and all ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz, effective 10:00EDT/15:00BST.Pakistani, Egyptian and Turkish mediators will continue talks with the US and Iran in the coming days, aiming to help close the gaps between US-Iran, Axios reported citing sources. All parties believe a deal is possible.Energy spikes, Brent returns above USD 100/bbl as Trump threatens Hormuz blockade.European bourses weaker but off worst levels, LHA GY suffer from another strike; US equity futures in the red.DXY firmer on haven demand, HUF surges on Tisza supermajority.Global fixed income hit as energy surges; busy speaker slate ahead. Looking ahead, highlights include US Existing Home Sales (Mar), OPEC MOMR (Apr). Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, RBA's Hauser & Fed's Miran. Earnings from Goldman Sachs & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump posted "Iran is doing a very poor job, dishonourable some would say, of allowing Oil to go through the Strait of Hormuz. That is not the agreement we have!"Iran reiterated that no talks will happen until attacks stop and no delegation is heading to Pakistan, despite the expectation of talks to take place on Saturday. Further, an informed source stated Tehran rules out the option of negotiating with Washington until a complete ceasefire is established in Lebanon, and has strongly asserted this position.Ukrainian President Zelensky's top aide/negotiator Budanov reportedly sees Ukraine nearing a deal with Russian President Putin, Bloomberg reported. Crude edges higher heading into high-stakes US-Iran talks on Saturday.European bourses set for a third consecutive weekly gain, SW FP plummets following weak guidance; US equity futures flat.DXY muted, EUR and HUF look to Hungarian election.Fixed benchmarks tread water heading into US CPI and US-Iran peace talks.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs Report (Mar), US Inflation (Mar), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim. (Apr), Credit Ratings updates including Moody's on France, S&P on the UK & Scope Ratings on Hungary.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump threatened massive military escalation if Iran deal terms are not met, vowed no nuclear weapons, and they are to secure the Strait of Hormuz.Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister said the Speaker of Parliament will lead Iran's delegation for the talks, and the exchange of messages continues via Pakistan, Al Jazeera reported.European bourses pull back as ceasefire begins to crack, Citi reinforces its OW stance on Banks; US equity futures soft.DXY firms on hawkish Fed Minutes, NZD continues to gain amid hawkish Breman.Fixed benchmarks pull back from highs, US PCE ahead. Crude nurses losses as ceasefire hopes wane while the IRGC announces a new Hormuz corridor.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Apr/04), PCE Final (Feb), GDP Final (Q4), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBP Policy Announcement, Banxico Minutes. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced he is to suspend the bombing of Iran for two weeks, subject to Iran opening up the Strait of Hormuz, while he stated that this will be a double-sided ceasefire.Trump confirmed they received a 10-point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate, while he stated that almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the US and Iran.Iran accepted Pakistan's two-week ceasefire proposal, with the ceasefire approved by the Supreme Leader, while Iran said negotiations with the US will be held in Islamabad to finalise details and that talks are to begin on Friday, April 10th and may be extended if both sides agree.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi's statement, which was posted by Trump on Truth, stated that for a period of two weeks, safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible via coordination with Iran's Armed ForcesAPAC stocks rallied with markets euphoric and relieved after US President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire; European equity futures indicate a stellar open for the cash market with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up over 5%.Crude futures tumbled beneath the USD 100/bbl level, DXY was pressured; RBNZ maintained rates as expected but provided some hawkish-leaning rhetoric.Looking ahead, highlights include French Trade Balance (Feb), EZ Retail Sales (Feb), PPI (Feb), FOMC Minutes, Speakers including Fed's Daly, Waller & US President Trump, Supply from Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump posted on Saturday that time is running out, and there are ‘48 hours before all Hell will reign down on them. He also reiterated his threat to Iran to open the Strait, or they will be living in hell, and posted "Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!".The Pakistan Army Chief reportedly held separate calls with US VP Vance, Envoy Witkoff and Iran's Araghchi, according to a Reuters source report. A proposal for a final agreement was outlined, and if agreed, it would lead to an immediate ceasefire and the reopening of Hormuz. Crude choppy on geopolitics with losses this morning amid ceasefire efforts.US equity futures tick higher on improved risk tone; European equities closed for holidays. DXY dips below 100 as crude eases on war-ending efforts.T-notes rise, ISM Services and Trump comments ahead. Looking ahead, highlights include ISM Services PMI (Mar) and comments by US President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said in his primetime address that the mission in Iran will be finished very fast and the US will hit Iran very hard over the next 2–3 weeks.Trump warned that the US will strike Iran's electric plants if there is no deal and could also target its oil facilities.Crude futures climbed with WTI crude ascending back above the USD 105/bbl level after the tough talk from US President Trump at his primetime address dampened hopes of a de-escalation.DXY strengthened as risk sentiment soured alongside US President Trump's primetime address; 10yr UST futures declined as higher oil prices stoked inflationary concerns following Trump's primetime address.APAC stocks failed to sustain initial gains after US President Trump's primetime address; Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 2.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss Inflation (Mar), US Challenger Job Cuts (Mar), Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/28), Trade Balance (Feb), Canadian Trade Balance (Feb), and UK DMP. Speakers include Fed's Logan & Bowman. Supply from France.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said in his primetime address that the mission in Iran will be finished very fast and the US will hit Iran very hard over the next 2–3 weeks.Trump warned that the US will strike Iran's electric plants if there is no deal and could also target its oil facilities.Energy surges as Brent nears USD 110/bbl; metals slump.Equities fall as Trump reignites tension with Iran, BAYN GY subject to potential 100% levy.DXY regains the 100 handle, CHF little-moved following inflation print.Fixed income under pressure as benchmarks continue to be driven by energy prices.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Job Cuts (Mar), Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/28), Trade Balance (Feb), Canadian Trade Balance (Feb). Speakers include Fed's Logan & Bowman. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump to deliver a nationwide address on Wednesday to give an important update on Iran at 21:00EDT/02:00BST, according to the White House.US President Trump told NBC News on Iran war "it is coming to an end". Iranian Deputy Speaker of Parliament said the "Strait of Hormuz will never be opened, there has been no negotiation and there will be no negotiation", Fars reported.Global equities rebound on positive US-Iran commentary, Banks benefit the most while NKE hit after weak China guidance.Crude softer but off lows; metals mostly firmer.DXY slips on a "de-escalation" trade, ADP Employment ahead.Fixed income benefitting from lower energy prices as hawkish pricing pares back slightly.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change (Mar), Retail Sales (Feb), S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Mar), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes (Mar), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Musalem, Barr and President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump reportedly told aides he's willing to end the war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to the WSJ.IRGC's public relations channel reported the announcement that the Strait of Hormuz is fully under the control of IRGC soldiers, and "the slightest movement of the enemies will be hit by missiles and drones", adding that "the operation continues."Crude rangebound, while Oman's crude OSP for May nearly doubles from April. European equities continues to rebound, ULVR LN gains ahead of possible MKC announcement; US equity futures gain.DXY lacks direction, GBP outperforms slightly while EUR moves a touch lower following cooler-than-expected EZ HICP.Fixed income lifts as energy prices moderate, Bund lifts as EZ HICP underscores ECB's wait-and-see approach.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian GDP Prelim. (Feb), US JOLTS (Feb), Australian Manufacturing PMI Final (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Goolsbee, Schmid, Barr & Bowman. Earnings from Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson said Iran has not had any direct negotiations with the US and that the US demands were excessive. The spokesperson added that Iran did not participate in the Pakistan meeting.Yemen's Houthis fired missiles at Israel on Saturday morning, marking the first time it has been involved in the war; Israeli PM Netanyahu ordered the military to expand its invasion of southern Lebanon.US President Trump said the US could take oil in Iran and could take Kharg Island 'very easily', according to FT. Crude prices trade above USD 100/bbl amid geopolitical weekend escalation.Global equities rebound despite a lack of US-Iran de-escalation, miners benefit from surging aluminium prices.DXY choppy, USD/JPY rose above 160.00 before slipping on hawkish BoJ SOO and jawboning.Fixed income firmer despite energy being in the green, though off best.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Prelim. (Mar), US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Mar), Comments from Fed's Powell, Williams and President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's IRGC Navy announced that the Strait of Hormuz is closed, and any traffic in this strait will be severely dealt with; traffic of any ship "to and from" the ports of origin of the allies of the enemies is prohibited from any corridor. Three container ships started to move but were turned back with a warning.China's MOFCOM said it has launched a probe regarding US trade measures and green products; China to investigate US trade practices starting March 27th; probe to conclude within six months but can be extended.Crude holds an upward bias as Iran targets US bases, with weekend risk elevated despite Trump's comments.Global equities under pressure, initially driven by China's US probe and then further energy upside.DXY firmer amidst geopolitical flare ups, JPY reacts to jawboning.Fixed income continued to be driven by energy; Spanish CPI jumped but failed to move benchmarks.Looking ahead, highlights include University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Barkin, Daly & Paulson, ECB's Schnabel. Credit Ratings include Fitch Ratings on Switzerland, Moody's on Italy & Spain, Scope Ratings on the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Axios reported that the US Pentagon is preparing for massive "final blow" of Iran war that could include the use of ground forces and a massive bombing campaign.Global equities under pressure as the Iran war persists, Tech falters following Google update.DXY is essentially flat, G10s incrementally lower. Fixed income action is dictated by energy movements as numerous BoE and Fed officials await.Crude futures on a firmer footing as geopolitical tensions show no tangible signs of abating.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/21). Speakers include BoE's Taylor & Greene, Fed's Cook, Miran, Jefferson & Barr, BoC's Rogers. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Are you watching the market and wondering what's really going on? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dive straight into YOUR questions — pulled live from the chat — covering the stock market outlook, what sectors to watch, and how investors should be positioning right now. No fluff, no filler — just real talk about where the market's heading and what it means for YOUR portfolio. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Iran Air Force & War Impact on Oil 5:21 - This is a Good Time to Wait and See 10:51 - Two Moms on Money? 11:44 - Where will DXY go amid current conflict? 13:03 - Managing Risk in Chinese Tech Stocks 17:58 - Relative Risks of AAA-rated CLO's 20:54 - "Dumbing-down" the Private Credit Crisis 30:56 - Lasting Impacts on Commercial Real Estate 33:24 - Why the Downturn in Asian Markets? 34:27 - Financial Health of Open AI & Circular Financing 36:35 - Equity Income/Tax-advantaged ETF's 40:59 - Systematic Trading, Trend Following, & Tax Efficiencies 43:09 - Plunge Protection Team = Retail Traders 44:35 - Coming Attractions ------- Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/uFdhcR6QBKI ------- Watch our previous show, "Ten Immutable Laws of Money," here: https://youtube.com/live/Il8UfCCn0tE?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "D100-DMA: Hold or Fold? What Happens Today Changes Everything," is here: https://youtu.be/c7jD-q6_mY8 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarket #MovingAverage #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #StockMarket #InvestingTips #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #InvestSmart