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US launched strikes against three Iranian crude oil tankers on Saturday, which destroyed one. A move in retaliation for the IRGC targeting US Navy warships with ballistic missiles. Iran's navy also targeted three oil tankers that were travelling through unauthorised routes in the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's top security official Rezaei said Iran and Oman will sign agreed Strait of Hormuz passage maps in the coming days.APAC stocks traded mixed; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY trades lacklustre in holiday-thinned conditions; G10s are steady against the USD.Crude benchmarks are firmer this morning following US-Iran tit-for-tat strikes. Elsewhere, major OPEC+ countries stuck with the plan to keep oil output quotas unchanged for October.Looking ahead, highlights include, German Industrial Production (Jul), Swedish CPI (Aug), EZ GDP (Q2), EZ Employment Change (Q2).Holiday: Labor Day in the US and Canada.Desk Schedule: Desk will be open as usual on Sunday, 6th September until 18:00BST/13:00EDT on Monday, 7th September, due to the US market closure. Thereafter, the desk will resume normal service from 22:00BST/17:00EDT.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Siga o canal da Inside no Youtube - Os novos vídeos serão postados lá: / insideresearch Faça parte do Inside Elite (apenas 300 vagas): https://eliteinside.com.br/l/bAtive seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr04/09 - O Trade Eleitoral Parou?Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado da Levante, comigo Flávio Conde, hoje é 6a. feira, 4 de setembro, e a recomendação é o ótimo filme "A TEIA", no Amazon Prime, onde sofrendo de perda de memória, um ex-detetive (Russell Crowe) de homicídios tenta resolver um assassinato brutal do qual não consegue se lembrar. À medida que reúne evidências de uma investigação de uma década, ele logo descobre segredos em seu passado esquecidoO principal acontecimento dos mercados foi a geração de empregos em agosto nos EUA bem acima do esperado, 162 mil x projetados 53 mil. Foi o mês mais forte desde março. Tinha sido -23 mil em julho e revisaram para cima e foi +21 mil. É quase inacreditável como o número estava subestimado.Isso elevou as apostas de aumento de juros do Fed, na reunião de 16 setembro, para 58% de 49% no dia anterior que levou os juros dos títulos de 10 anos para 4,79% de 4,77% ontem que levou o dólar a subir 0,30% versus moedas fortes do DXY que levou as bolsas americanas a cair, -0,50% o Dow Jones e -0,29% o Nasdaq. O Ibovespa terminou o dia quase estável com -0,02%, aos 185.147,15 pontos e volume de R$ 25 bi na média das sextas do segundo semestre. Lembrando que ontem, foi encerrada uma longa sequência de 11 altas com -0,01% apenas. Em outras palavras, andou de lado nesses dois últimos dias, mas ficou com mais 5,40%, a melhor semana desde janeiro deste ano, quando de 19 a 23 ficou com mais 8,53%.Já o dólar comercial subiu 0,50%, para R$ 5,130, seguindo os EUA.Os DIs (juros futuros) caíram por toda a curva e os títulos do Tesouro Nacional também. Os prefixados de 2037 fecharam a 14,28% x 14,38% a.a., ontem, e o IPCA+ 2037 para 7,54% de 7,60% a.a., ontem. Já petróleo fechou em leve alta de 0,40%, com o Brent voltando a US$ 95,90 depois de bater US$ 94,8 por barril, de manhã, impulsionado pela escalada dos ataques entre Estados Unidos e Irã. O preço do galão do diesel atingiu um recorde histórico de US$ 5,820 e a gasolina US$ 4,12. Antes do início da guerra era US$ 3,76 e US$ 2,98, respectivamente, ou seja, altas de 54% e 38%. Por último, fluxo de capital estrangeiro segue como o principal vetor do mercado acionário tendo sido positivo em R$ 810 mi, dia 1, e R$ 1,4 bi, dia 2. No ano o saldo está positivo em R$ 20,5 bi, mas era R$ 41 bi até julho e R$ 70 bi até 14 de abril quando o Ibovespa bateu em 200 mil pontos.Assista o vídeo e veja as recomendações de compra e venda de ações do Conde

US President Trump said regarding Iran that the US is winning that one very big and controls the Hormuz Strait.Russian President Putin said that Russia and Ukraine should agree first and noted that there is an opportunity to reach a peace agreement.Global equities broadly firmer; Broadcom slips after Q4 revenue and margin outlooks missed estimates.DXY lower; JPY outperforms, CHF strengthens after hotter-than-expected inflation.Fixed income benchmarks steady; however, US 10yr holds above 4.75%.Energy benchmarks reverse earlier downside following constructive Putin comments.Looking ahead, highlights include US Trade Balance (Jul), Jobless Claims, S&P Services and Composite PMI Final (Aug), ISM Services PMI (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), Canadian Trade Balance (Jul). Speakers include Fed's Waller, Hammack & Goolsbee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US attacked two missile launchers of the IRGC on Larak Island on Sunday, which were said to be on standby to launch missiles with sea mines toward the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's Revolutionary Guards later announced that they retaliated with missiles and drones against two US bases in Jordan and warned that any attack against them will be met with a more devastating response.US equity futures trade muted, with focus on the jobs report on Friday.DXY is weaker against all G10 peers heading into month-end.Fixed income benchmarks are contained on the UK Bank Holiday.Energy benchmarks gapped higher as the US and Iran exchange strikes.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Flash (Aug) and Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Siga o canal da Inside no Youtube - Os novos vídeos serão postados lá: / insideresearch Faça parte do Inside Elite (apenas 300 vagas): https://eliteinside.com.br/l/bAtive seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr31/08 - Bolsa Sobe pelo 9º. Dia, Compre... Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado da Levante, comigo Flávio Conde, hoje é 2a. feira, 31 de agosto, último dia de um mês que começou caindo bem, até dia 18, quando bateu 166,2 mil pontos, e começou a corrigir o exagero fechando praticamente estável no mês, -0,33%, a 177,4 mil pontos, e tinha subido 3,47% em julho. O Ibovespa (IBOV) subiu 1,00%, aos 177.419 pontos, com ótimo volume de R$ 30 bi, R$ 10 bi acima da média dos R$ 20 bi das segundas8 do segundo semestre, mas chegou a bater 178,6 mil, por volta das 10h30. O petróleo fechou em alta nesta segunda-feira, 31, com o Brent voltando os US$ 90 por barril, impulsionado pela escalada das tensões entre Estados Unidos e Irã. Os dois países retomaram os ataques no Golfo Pérsico durante o final de semana, marcando os primeiros confrontos desde julho. Com a guerra e petróleo subindo, as bolsas dos EUA recuaram com Dow Jones -0,70% e Nasdaq -0,12%.Voltando ao Brasil, o dólar comercial recuou 0,31%, a R$ 5,180, em meio à repercussão de novas pesquisas eleitorais que apontam redução da vantagem do presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) sobre o senador Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) em um eventual segundo turno da eleição presidencial de outubro. O dólar, do DXY, indicador que compara a moeda a uma cesta de seis divisas globais, como euro e libra, caiu 0,27%, aos 99.40 pontos. Já os juros cederam um pouco aqui com o dólar recuando, os prefixados de 2037 fecharam a 14,62% x 14,64% a.a., sexta, e o IPCA+ 2037 para 7,72% de 7,73% a.a., sexta. Entretanto, os juros dos títulos do Tesouro dos EUA subiram um pouco com o petróleo, o 10 anos para 4,75% de 4,71% a.a., sexta, e o 30 anos 5,24% a.a de 5,20%, sexta. A saída de capital estrangeiro segue como o principal vetor sendo que até o dia 24, os saques somavam cerca de R$ 23 bilhões no mês, porém entre 25 e 27 entrou R$ 3 bilhões em três dias ajudando o Ibovespa a parar de cair e subir um pouco. No mês, está R$ 20 bi negativo. No ano o saldo está positivo em R$ 23,6 bi, mas era R$ 41 bi até julho e R$ 70 bi até 14 de abril quando o Ibovespa bateu em 200 mil pontos.No Brasil, o jogo parece estar sendo perdido no campo fiscal. A Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral (DBGG) como proporção do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) aumentou de 81,9% em junho para 82,5% em julho, informou o Banco Central. Em valores nominais, passou de R$ 10,809 trilhões para R$ 10,947 trilhões. O setor público consolidado teve déficit nominal de R$ 97,602 bilhões em julho, após um déficit de R$ 165,966 bilhões em junhoAssista o vídeo e veja as recomendações de compra e venda de ações do Conde

Two regional sources told Axios that in recent days Iran has shown renewed interest in negotiationsUS equity futures trade mixed as Nvidia pulls back from its record-setting day.DXY rangebound; G10s lack direction ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole address.Fixed income benchmarks await a busy speaker slate; OATs steady after the presidential debate.Energy benchmarks subdued amid a lack of escalation.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian GDP (Jul), US Non-Farm Payrolls Annual Revision Prelim, Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (27th-29th). Speakers include Fed Chair Warsh, Hammack, Goolsbee, BoE's Bailey, Mann, ECB's Schnabel and Kocher. Credit Ratings including Fitch on France, Moody's on Switzerland, S&P on Portugal, and Morningstar DBRS on the Netherlands.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US White House is reportedly considering a new round of tariffs on chips, Politico reports citing sources.Nvidia (NVDA) shares rise by over 7% pre-market after beating on top and bottom lines, whilst the CEO said they are seeing demand acceleration and expect revenues to grow about 70% in fiscal 2028.US equity futures firmer across the board, helped by positive Nvidia and Salesforce earnings.DXY modestly higher; JPY little moved following hawkish BoJ Himino comments.Fixed income benchmarks tentative heading into the Fed Jackson Hole Symposium.Energy benchmarks pare earlier losses following firm rhetoric from Russian officials and Iranian sources.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims (Aug/22). Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (27th-29th), ECB Minutes (Jul). Speakers include Fed's Hammack, Schmid, Supply from the US & Earnings from Marvell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A sessão foi marcada pela redução da percepção de risco geopolítico global, com sinalizações de um possível acordo de paz entre Estados Unidos e Irã. O ambientefavoreceu o enfraquecimento generalizado do dólar nos mercados mais líquidos, com o DXY recuando 0,13%, aos 98,876 pontos.No câmbio local, o dólar à vista fechou cotado a R$ 5,13, queda de 0,25%. O Ibovespa iniciou o pregão em território negativo, mas reverteu ao longo do dia e ampliou os ganhos na reta final, encerrando em alta de 1,61%, aos 174.668 pontos, após oscilar entre as mínimas de 171.179 pontos e as máximas de 174.631 pontos. Entre as bluechips, destaque para a alta de 5,22% nas ações ON do Banco do Brasil e de 2,04% nasON da Vale. As PN da Petrobras recuaram 1,80%, na contramão do movimento, emlinha com a queda dos preços do petróleo.Em Wall Street, os principais índices fecharam em leve alta, sustentados pelo alívionos preços do petróleo e pela descompressão dos juros dos Treasuries, em sessãocom poucos indicadores econômicos relevantes. O Dow Jones encerrou em alta de0,30%, aos 53.577,40 pontos; o S&P 500 subiu 0,32%, aos 7.677,26 pontos; e o Nasdaqavançou 0,66%, aos 26.151,30 pontos, com o setor de tecnologia contribuindo comvalorização de 0,98% após o ajuste de posições observado na véspera. As atençõesseguem voltadas para a divulgação do resultado trimestral da Nvidia e para o índicede preços de gastos com consumo (PCE) de julho. No Brasil, o destaque é a prévia dainflação de agosto, medida pelo IPCA-15.Análise de Ações - BrasilPrograma do iFood pode ampliar demanda por imóveis de Tenda, MRV eDirecionalO iFood lançou um programa para facilitar o acesso de entregadores ao financiamentoimobiliário e firmou parcerias com Tenda, MRV e Direcional. A iniciativa permitirá quetrabalhadores elegíveis gerem, pelo aplicativo, um histórico oficial dos rendimentosobtidos na plataforma para apresentar na análise de crédito. As construtoras, por sua vez,poderão oferecer condições específicas, como facilidades na entrada, redução do custototal, simplificação do pagamento e auxílio com móveis em determinadosempreendimentos. Inicialmente, o programa será destinado a entregadores quetrabalham pelo menos 40 horas semanais na plataforma.Vale vê espaço para dobrar produção de cobre no BrasilA Vale afirmou que vê espaço para praticamente dobrar sua capacidade de produção decobre no Brasil no médio e longo prazo. Hoje, a companhia produz cerca de 380 miltoneladas por ano e já desenvolve projetos para ampliar esse volume. O cobre ganhourelevância crescente nos resultados e chegou a responder por quase um terço dodesempenho da empresa no último mês, embora ainda represente uma parcela menor doportfólio quando comparado ao minério de ferro. A estratégia é aumentar gradualmente aparticipação do metal sem abandonar o crescimento das operações tradicionais.

A sessão foi marcada pela redução da percepção de risco geopolítico global, com sinalizações de um possível acordo de paz entre Estados Unidos e Irã. O ambientefavoreceu o enfraquecimento generalizado do dólar nos mercados mais líquidos, com o DXY recuando 0,13%, aos 98,876 pontos.No câmbio local, o dólar à vista fechou cotado a R$ 5,13, queda de 0,25%. O Ibovespa iniciou o pregão em território negativo, mas reverteu ao longo do dia e ampliou os ganhos na reta final, encerrando em alta de 1,61%, aos 174.668 pontos, após oscilar entre as mínimas de 171.179 pontos e as máximas de 174.631 pontos. Entre as bluechips, destaque para a alta de 5,22% nas ações ON do Banco do Brasil e de 2,04% nasON da Vale. As PN da Petrobras recuaram 1,80%, na contramão do movimento, emlinha com a queda dos preços do petróleo.Em Wall Street, os principais índices fecharam em leve alta, sustentados pelo alívionos preços do petróleo e pela descompressão dos juros dos Treasuries, em sessãocom poucos indicadores econômicos relevantes. O Dow Jones encerrou em alta de0,30%, aos 53.577,40 pontos; o S&P 500 subiu 0,32%, aos 7.677,26 pontos; e o Nasdaqavançou 0,66%, aos 26.151,30 pontos, com o setor de tecnologia contribuindo comvalorização de 0,98% após o ajuste de posições observado na véspera. As atençõesseguem voltadas para a divulgação do resultado trimestral da Nvidia e para o índicede preços de gastos com consumo (PCE) de julho. No Brasil, o destaque é a prévia dainflação de agosto, medida pelo IPCA-15.Análise de Ações - BrasilPrograma do iFood pode ampliar demanda por imóveis de Tenda, MRV eDirecionalO iFood lançou um programa para facilitar o acesso de entregadores ao financiamentoimobiliário e firmou parcerias com Tenda, MRV e Direcional. A iniciativa permitirá quetrabalhadores elegíveis gerem, pelo aplicativo, um histórico oficial dos rendimentosobtidos na plataforma para apresentar na análise de crédito. As construtoras, por sua vez,poderão oferecer condições específicas, como facilidades na entrada, redução do custototal, simplificação do pagamento e auxílio com móveis em determinadosempreendimentos. Inicialmente, o programa será destinado a entregadores quetrabalham pelo menos 40 horas semanais na plataforma.Vale vê espaço para dobrar produção de cobre no BrasilA Vale afirmou que vê espaço para praticamente dobrar sua capacidade de produção decobre no Brasil no médio e longo prazo. Hoje, a companhia produz cerca de 380 miltoneladas por ano e já desenvolve projetos para ampliar esse volume. O cobre ganhourelevância crescente nos resultados e chegou a responder por quase um terço dodesempenho da empresa no último mês, embora ainda represente uma parcela menor doportfólio quando comparado ao minério de ferro. A estratégia é aumentar gradualmente aparticipação do metal sem abandonar o crescimento das operações tradicionais.

Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, joins us after Bessent's $4 billion Treasury buyback lit a debasement trade that sent Bitcoin up 22% and gold to fresh highs. We get into what happens when yields stay high but the dollar falls, whether weaponizing the dollar against Iran accelerates dedollarization, which altcoins are underrated right now, and how Grayscale is positioning its portfolios.GUEST: Zach Pandl, Head of Research, Grayscale InvestmentsFollow Zach on X ➜ https://x.com/LowBeta00:00 intro00:10 Sponsor: Uphold Staking00:45 AI rotation and liquidity intervention sparked rally02:00 Fear and greed skyrocket03:00 Treasury Dynamics vs Crypto Market04:30 Bessent will lose Bond battle?06:40 Altcoin ETFs dying?08:20 ZEC fund launched10:40 Is the bottom in?12:00 Why not launch a competitor to this but on Hood chain instead?13:50 $UNI exposure16:00 Our Top 2 “Fee Switch” Tokens17:50 Sui another fallen token?19:30 Perps: Will $JUP vs $HYPE reign supreme again soon?20:40 ETH and SOL too late to change tokenomics?22:20 Premium on SOL incoming?23:00 Mainstream media vs AI hype23:25 Tokenized gold vs Bitcoin wallets23:55 SOL $100 new floor?24:10 AAVE still worth it?25:00 ZEC squeezed float?25:45 $HYPE apocalypse soon?26:00 CME scarred of HYPE26:50 CFTC vs CLARITY27:30 After DTCC launch, crypto needs new narrative?28:00 USDT vs USDC28:50 Graystack coins#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Dollar Debasement Mega Trend!

Pakistani Army Chief Munir conveyed an offer to Iran, from the US, to halt the naval blockade in exchange for opening the Strait, Al Arabiya reports, citing sources. Brent Nov'26 -2.5%.Pakistan reported "significant progress" was made in high-level diplomatic talks held in Tehran.European bourses modestly gain, with strength also seen across US peers; NQ +0.6%.DXY is flat, trading around the 99.00 mark; G10s are mixed.Fixed income benchmarks are firmer, benefiting from lower energy prices; Bunds were mildly pressured on Ifo.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, House Price Index (Jun), US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug). Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Aug)., Supply from the US. Earnings from Intuit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Entre no grupo de Whats para receber os Morning Calls e ter acesso aos cursos gratuitos da  @InsideResearch  : https://lvnt.app/dhfg11Cenário MacroeconômicoO pregão doméstico destoou do exterior nesta segunda-feira. Enquanto Wall Streetfechou em direções mistas, pressionada por um ajuste no setor de tecnologia, oIbovespa avançou apoiado por Vale e bancos, em um movimento de rotação paraações de valor favorecido também pelo resultado de uma pesquisa eleitoral. Nocâmbio, o dólar teve alta contida, em dia marcado pelo anúncio de sanções dosEstados Unidos contra o Irã.O dólar à vista fechou em alta de 0,16%, cotado a R$ 5,1526, após oscilar entre amínima de R$ 5,1400 e a máxima de R$ 5,1618. O euro encerrou praticamente estável,com alta de 0,01%, a R$ 6,0082, enquanto o DXY, que mede a força do dólar ante umacesta de seis moedas desenvolvidas, valorizava 0,21%, aos 99,003 pontos, por voltadas 17h05. O real figurou no meio do ranking das 33 moedas mais líquidasmonitoradas. O movimento de alta na parte da tarde foi atribuído à leve busca porsegurança após declarações do secretário do Tesouro americano, Scott Bessent,sobre as sanções ao Irã. No radar eleitoral, operadores citam o patamar de R$ 5,10como possível suporte com a aproximação da votação de outubro, com espaço pararetorno a R$ 5,35 em cenário de vitória de Lula.Nos Estados Unidos, o Dow Jones subiu 0,26%, a 53.417,16 pontos; o S&P 500 cedeu0,28%, a 7.652,86 pontos; e o Nasdaq recuou 0,76%, a 25.980,19 pontos. O setor detecnologia desvalorizou 1,59%, em movimento alinhado a Europa e Ásia, após ofertade ações inesperada da Alibaba reacender preocupações com o volume de gastosem inteligência artificial. Bessent apresentou as sanções destinadas a cortar asprincipais fontes de receita do regime iraniano, com pressão a países e instituiçõesparceiras do Irã, ainda sem especificação de agentes ou penalidades.No mercado local, o Ibovespa fechou em alta de 0,51%, aos 171.907 pontos, apósoscilar entre a mínima de 169.330 e a máxima intradiária de 173.109 pontos, comvolume financeiro de R$ 18,8 bilhões no índice e R$ 25,7 bilhões na B3.

US Treasury Secretary Bessent wrote in the FT that economic D-Day is coming for Iran, and countries that calculate appeasement of the regime to be a safer choice should reconsider.Iran warned, "If the economic war continues, not a single drop of oil will be exported٫ neither through the Strait of Hormuz nor from anywhere in the Persian Gulf.”Crude is subdued amid a lack of major weekend escalations, eyes on Bessent's presser, who is set to unveil Iran sanctions.European bourses trade tentatively; US equity futures are indicative of a weaker open, with underperformance in the NQ.DXY is firmer, holding around the 99.00 mark; CAD underperforms as trade talks with the US collapsed on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Mexican Inflation (Aug), US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul), and comments from US Treasury Secretary Bessent. Earnings from Xpeng & PDD.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US equity futures rebound heading into the final trading session of the week.DXY returns to Thursday's low; Antipodeans outperform, EUR and GBP muted following broadly strong PMIs.US 30yr yield slips below 5.25%, lifting Spot Gold and Bitcoin to key levels.Energy benchmarks lower amid light geopolitical newsflow.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (Jun), US S&P Flash PMIs (Aug), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Aug), BoC SLOS (Q2). Credit rating updates from Fitch on Poland, Moody's on the Netherlands and Sweden.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mixed as the region attempted to shrug off the broadly negative handover from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate an uneventful open.In FX, DXY marginally softened, and USD/JPY was choppy overnight following the mostly in-line Japanese inflation data for July.10yr UST futures lingered around the prior day's trough, Bund futures mildly retreated, and 10yr JGB futures tracked previous declines in global peers.Crude futures were contained overnight amid a lack of major fresh developments; spot gold resumed its recent choppy performance above the USD 4,500/oz level.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P Flash PMIs (Aug), UK Retail Sales (Jul), PSNB (Jul), EU Negotiated Wage Growth (Q2), Canadian Retail Sales (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Aug), BoC SLOS (Q2). Credit rating updates from Fitch on Poland, Moody's on the Netherlands and Sweden.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced sweeping economic measures against Iran and threatened consequences for countries or entities supporting Tehran.US President Trump reportedly told his negotiating team that the chances of an agreement with Iran have become slim, according to Al Arabiya, citing sources.US equity futures are muted; focus to be on Walmart earnings.DXY extends on Wednesday's losses; NZD outperforms while AUD completely pares the employment report weakness.USTs give back some of the gains driven by the US Treasury announcement.Energy benchmarks higher despite contained APAC trade following Trump's economic update (Brent +2.5%).Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian PPI (Jul), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 15), New Zealand Trade Data (Jul). Comments from Fed's Daly and US President Trump. Earnings from Walmart.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is waiting for Iran to cave to his economic pressure, but Tehran may be willing to wait even longer, according to POLITICO.A source close to Iran's negotiating team said there had been no direct Iran-US negotiations and that talks with Oman concerned sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, according to Fars News.US President Trump announced that the US is to pause the 50% tariffs on Canada.US equity futures muted; SK Hynix ADRs surge following share buyback announcement.DXY lower; JPY outperforms while GBP follows despite a mixed inflation reading.Fixed income benchmarks steady after recent steepening and rangebound energy prices (Brent +1.0%).Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes (Jul). Comments from ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Musalem and US President Trump. Supply from the US. Earnings from Lowe's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Siga o canal da Inside no Youtube - Os novos vídeos serão postados lá:    / insideresearch  Faça parte do Inside Elite (apenas 300 vagas): https://eliteinside.com.br/l/bAtive seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr19/08 - Bolsa Sobe com EUA. SUZB3 +4% e MAGALU -5%Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado da Levante, comigo Flávio Conde e Ricardo Afonso, hoje é 4a. feira, dia 19 de agosto, e finalmente a Bolsa subiu e foi por conta da decisão do Tesouro americano de comprar mensalmente mais títulos públicos.O Ibovespa subiu 0,88%, aos 167.798 pontos, tendo batido a máxima de 2,41%, 170.340 pontos, às 11h, para depois começar a devolver os ganhos do dia. Foi a primeira alta em doze dias, com volume bom de R$ 28 bilhões, R$ 1 bi acima da média de R$ 27 bi das quartas do segundo semestre. Já o dólar à vista encerrou as negociações a R$ 5,1766, com queda de 0,86%, seguindo o dólar nos EUA que recuou -0,85% versus moedas fortes do DXY (euro, iene, libra esterlina e outras) por conta dos juros longos terem recua com o Treasury de 10 anos fechou a 4,641% x 4,71% e o 30 anos 5,19% x R$ 5,28%, ontem. A queda dos juros ocorreu porque o Departamento do Tesouro anunciou hoje, quarta-feira, que irá mais do que duplicar o volume de suas recompras de títulos da dívida pública, de US$ 2 bilhões para pelo menos US$ 4 bilhões, o que fará com que os rendimentos caiam acentuadamente e o dólar desvalorize, como ocorreu hoje.As bolsas americanas também subiram com investidores um pouco menos preocupados com o nível dos juros, Dow 0,22% e Nasdaq 0,16%. Mesmo assim, persiste a preocupação entre investidores com as altas das ações de semicondutores e big techs em 2026.No Brasil, os juros cederam um pouco com os prefixados de 2037 fechando a 14,72% x 14,75% a.a. Já o IPCA+ 2037 estável para 7,76% de 7,78%. Porém, não caíram mais porque o petróleo persiste acima de US$ 90, em US$ 91,5 por barril, em função da falta de acordo para reabertura total de do tráfego no estreito de Ormuz.Veja no vídeo as análises e recomendações de ações com o Conde e Ricardo

Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Ghalibaf said the Strait of Hormuz will not open until the blockade and oil embargo are lifted.Global equities trade on the softer side, driven by the upside in bond yields (US 30yr 5.32%).DXY continues to rebound, GBP lower despite mixed jobs/wages data.Energy benchmarks rangebound; record copper prices boost BHP earnings.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Import/Export Prices (Jul), Housing Starts (Jul), Industrial/Manufacturing Production (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3). Comments from ECB's Lane. Earnings from Home Depot.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Iranian Foreign Ministry said that the MoU signed with the US does not stipulate a 60-day deadline and that no talks have begun with the US due to violations.Furthermore, the Iranian Foreign Ministry said talks with Oman are ongoing.US equity futures are mixed, with the NQ outperforming but in light volume.DXY softens; CHF benefits as carry USD positions unwind, Antipodeans outperform on easing Fed expectations.Fixed income benchmarks in tight ranges.Energy benchmarks lack direction as the MoU deadline expires.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Inflation (Jul).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

In this Daily Editorial, we welcome back TG Watkins, Director of Stocks at Simpler Trading and Editor of the Profit Pilot website, to break down the technical setups driving precious metals, commodities, and broad equity markets. Precious Metals & GDX Pullback Levels: A technical look at the sharp rebound in gold and gold equities following a multi-month base, along with the critical moving averages to watch to determine whether this move is a sustainable uptrend or an overextended bounce facing resistance. Copper Equities Playing Catch-Up: Analysis on the consolidation in copper stocks following major long-term runs, the impact of recent tech deleveraging, and why emerging chart patterns signal actionable opportunities on pullbacks. Broad Market Resilience & Market Breadth: Discussion on major indexes reaching new highs, the expanding participation across equal-weight indexes and small caps, and what the US Dollar breakdown means for broader risk assets. Fed Policy & Election Season Dynamics: An evaluation of shifting interest rate expectations, Fed communication strategy, and how upcoming midterms could introduce tactical volatility. Tech Sector Rotation: Where capital is rotating within the AI ecosystem, examining the divergence across software, hardware, and mega-cap leaders. Stocks & Tickers Mentioned: GDX, GDXJ, SIL, SILJ, TGB, HBM, SCCO, COPX, IWM, RSP, SPX, TLT, DXY, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AAPL   Click here to visit TG's site - Profit Pilot - https://www.profit-pilot.com/   Click here to visit the Profit Pilot YouTube page - https://www.youtube.com/@Profit-Pilot    ---------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Ative seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr14/08 - Ibovespa -3,3% na semana com Estrangeiros vendendoOlá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado da Levante, comigo Flávio Conde, hoje é 6a. feira, graças a Deus, dia 14 de agosto, e a recomendação de streaming é “Eu Vou Te Encontrar”, uma minissérie de suspense da Netflix baseada no aclamado livro homônimo do autor Harlan Coben. Composta por 8 episódios, a trama acompanha David Burroughs, um homem condenado injustamente pelo assassinato do próprio filho de 3 anos. Anos depois, ele foge da prisão ao descobrir pistas de que o menino pode estar vivo. O Ibovespa recuou quase nada, -0,10%, e fecha aos 166.934 pontos, com volume alto de R$ 30 bilhões, R$ 13 bilhões acima da média das sextas do segundo semestre (2S26) e com investidores estrangeiros vendendo bem por conta do risco de Lula ser reeleito e continuar a gastar mais do que arrecada, aumentando o risco da dívida pública brasileira. Só que no mês, o Ibovespa cai -6,2% com estrangeiros vendendo R$ 13 bilhões até quarta-feira, dia 12 de agosto. Entre as 13 ações mais negociadas boa parte se salvou hoje com ITUB4 1,8%, a mais negociada com R$ 1,5 bi, PETR4 0,45%, R$ 1,2 bi, BPAC11 1,5%, BBAS3 0,90%, AXIA3 0,28% e EQTL3 0,23%. Porém, todas elas estão caindo no mês de agosto, ou seria, desgosto, entre -2% e -13%. Aliás, minha querida SBSP3 cai, de novo, -2%, recua -13% no mês e -10% no ano. Outra querida, CSMG3, a COPASA, cai -0,69% hoje, -13% no mês, mas +30% no ano. Já SAPR11, terceira querida, subiu 2,5% hoje, -8% no mês e -18% no ano. Por que o 13 me persegue?Nos EUA, as bolsas caíram com investidores colocando o dinheiro no bolso depois de três dias de altas com Dow -0,20% e Nasdaq -0,28%.O dólar à vista avançou diante do real renovando máxima, com +0,91%, a R$ 5,239, com investidores precificando a maior procura por dólar com investidores vendendo ações. Nos EUA, o dólar recuou -0,32% versus as moedas fortes do DXY.Os juros subiram também com o petróleo com os prefixados de 2037 fechando a 14,58% x 14,51% a.a., sexta. Já o IPCA+ 2037 recuou para 7,79% de 7,83%, sexta, porque petróleo mais alto tende a gerar mais inflação, ou seja, IPCA maior e aí os juros reais recuaram um pouco. Nos EUA, os juros voltaram a subir com investidores realizando lucros das quedas na semana, o 10 anos fechou a 4,70% x 4,65% ontem e o 30 anos 5,265% x R$ 5,21% ontem.Veja no vídeo as análises e recomendações de ações com o Conde

The Strait of Hormuz authority rejected US claims and said the waterway remains blocked until Iran's conditions are met, according to Press TV.USD/JPY saw a bout of mild pressure late in the session after Bloomberg sources said that the Takaichi government is said to support a faster BoJ rate hike.US equity futures mixed, with the NQ giving back some of Wednesday's gains.DXY flat; NOK softens as the Norges Bank leaves rates unchanged but signalled progress on inflation.Fixed income benchmarks muted heading into US PPI and a US 30-year auction.Energy benchmarks steadily fall as geopolitical headlines quieten down.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/08), PPI (Jul). Speakers include Fed's Hammack & Barkin. Supply from the US. Earnings from Applied Materials.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Pakistan's Foreign Ministry said it continues to activate direct and indirect diplomatic channels between the US and Iran and that they are working to bring both sides to the negotiating table in Islamabad.US equity futures gain, with outperformance in NQ futures following stellar SMCI and CRWV earnings.DXY muted; low-yielding funders modestly weaker as JPY shorts are relocated.Fixed income benchmarks slightly firmer on light volume ahead of the key US CPI report.Crude choppy amid a lack of tangible US-Iran updates.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Jul), OPEC MOMR, and supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council said the Strait of Hormuz would not open until the US accepts Iran's conditions.Crude futures edged higher amid the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty; spot gold reclaimed USD 4,400/oz to the upside.APAC stocks traded mixed amid geopolitical uncertainty, earnings releases and as participants await US CPI data; Europe is set for a flat open.DXY traded little changed as markets await US inflation data over the next couple of days and in the absence of any major fresh catalysts.10yr UST futures traded little changed following the prior day's rebound despite continued upside in oil.Looking ahead, highlights include German/Italian CPI Final (Jul), US CPI (Jul), IEA OMR, OPEC MOMR, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said, regarding potential escalation with Iran, that it is certainly possible and still has the ability to escalate.US President Trump, responding to Iran's requests for compensation during the conflict, said he was demanding compensation from Iran.RBA maintained rates as expected and kept a hawkish tone, but trimmed its CPI forecasts; AUD saw mild pressure. APAC stocks traded mixed following a lacklustre lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open.DXY traded little changed, 10yr UST futures remained subdued, Crude futures held on to the prior day's spoils after rallying by more than 5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Existing Home Sales (Jul), Comments from RBA's Governor Bullock, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Supermicro & CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran's Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said Iran is currently focused on the Strait of Hormuz rather than resuming negotiations with the US, while adding that talks with Oman are constructive and positiveUS equity futures are mixed, with the NQ outperforming as strong TSMC July revenue lifts tech names.DXY slightly firmer; JPY reverses post-NFP gains despite hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions.Fixed income flat; Energy benchmarks slightly firmer as Iran issues demands.Looking ahead, highlights include comments from Fed's Hammack.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran's Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Saudi Arabia put out a fire at its Jazan plant early on Sunday, while Yemen's Houthis claimed responsibility for the attack on the refinery.APAC stocks were somewhat mixed, but with most major indices in the green, US equity futures were range-bound; European equity futures indicate a flat market open.DXY eked mild gains, 10yr UST futures lacked direction, crude futures gapped higher at the open as an Iran-Oman deal on the Strait of Hormuz remained elusive.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian Inflation (Jul). Earnings from Berkshire Hathaway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now.US equity futures mixed, with NQ futures outperforming following strong MCHP earnings.DXY muted; EUR unreactive following German trade data.USTs flat ahead of the US jobs report, NFP expected at 85K.Energy benchmarks rangebound as markets await official details on the Hormuz agreement.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobs Report (Jul), Canadian Jobs Report (Jul), Ivey PMI (Jul), NY Fed SCE (Jul), Comments from Fed's Barkin. Credit Ratings include S&P on Switzerland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now; Trump conducted a phone call with the Saudi Crown Prince.Oman and Iran reached an agreement over the Strait of Hormuz, according to MS Now citing two Middle East diplomats, although the diplomats declined to describe the details of the temporary agreement or what issues remain unresolved.A strategic plan for managing the Strait of Hormuz would reportedly prohibit the passage of vessels belonging to the US, Israel and other hostile countries through the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks ultimately traded mixed following the weak lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a mildly lower cash market open.DXY took a breather, 10yr UST futures remained lacklustre, and Crude futures extended on the prior day's rally.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Production (Jun), Trade Balance (Jun), French Trade Balance (Jun), US Jobs Report (Jul), Canadian Jobs Report (Jul), Ivey PMI (Jul), NY Fed SCE (Jul), Fed's Barkin. Credit Ratings include S&P on Switzerland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran and Oman have agreed on the broad framework for Strait of Hormuz reopening talks, Al Arabiya sources report. An announcement could come in days but the agreement still needs the approval of Iran's National Security Council.US VP Vance said negotiations with Iran will take some time and that talks with Iran were 'messy', but will land in a 'good' place for the US.US equity futures are mixed, with NQ underperforming as SanDisk falls as revenue guidance missed estimates.DXY muted; SEK benefits from hotter-than-expected inflation.Fixed income benchmarks in modestly narrow ranges; Crude benchmarks are essentially flat, with focus remaining on a potential Hormuz announcement.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/01), Revelio PLS (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), CNB Policy Announcement (Aug), Banxico Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Musalem. Earnings from ConocoPhillips & Fiserv.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are moving along very nicely regarding Iran, and we will know in 48 hours about Iran.Axios reported that the proposed deal would route inbound Gulf traffic through Iranian waters and outbound traffic through Omani waters for 60 days, with no fees and the central lane cleared of mines within 30 days ahead of a permanent arrangement.Yemen's Houthis said they attacked a vessel in the Red Sea, attacked a Saudi oil tanker off the Yanbu and stated operations will continue and escalate in targeting Saudi oil tankers.US equity futures are mixed, with AMD and SPCX weighing on the NQ.DXY flat, NZD underperforms after weak employment data.Energy benchmarks climb as markets await for a potential agreement over the Strait of Hormuz.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change (Jul), S&P Services/Composite PMI Final (Jul), ISM Services PMI (Jul), NBH Minutes (Jul), US Treasury QRA/Press Conference, BCB Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Cook. Earnings from Eli Lilly, Uber, Walt Disney & SanDisk.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A US base in Kuwait was reportedly struck; UKMTO received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman's Al Khasab. Additionally, a dry bulk carrier was reportedly hit by a projectile near the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian President said Tehran would defend its borders but does not seek to expand the war, according to state media.10yr JGB futures saw two-way trade, in which it briefly fell over 60 ticks on a weak 10yr JGB auction, before trimming losses.US equity futures are modestly higher, with PLTR and ON benefiting from strong earnings.DXY regains the 100.00 handle, USD/JPY nears 158.00 as 155.00 becomes the new floor.Energy benchmarks continue to climb amid US-Iran uncertainty.Looking ahead, highlights include US/Canadian Trade Balance (Jun), US JOLTS (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), New Zealand Jobs Report (Q2). Comments from Fed's Paulson. Earnings from Pfizer, Caterpillar, Merck, AMD & SpaceX.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced over the weekend that he cancelled strikes on Iran at the request of Tehran and other Middle East countries, subject to making a rapid deal (Brent -4.7%).Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson said negotiations with Oman are progressing, with the two sides holding constructive talks on a new framework and exchanging maps over the past seven to eight days for review.Japan's Finance Ministry said it conducted coordinated yen-buying intervention with the US on Friday and won't hesitate to conduct further forex intervention with the US (USD/JPY -0.3%).US equity futures gain given the slump in energy prices; BMY (+7% pre-market) benefits on an FT report of a potential AZN merger.DXY unchanged, JPY outperforms while EUR little changed following downside revisions to manufacturing PMIs.Looking ahead, highlights include US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Jul), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), and US Treasury Financing Estimates. Earnings from Palantir and ONSemi.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ative seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr03/08 - Bolsa 0%. DIRR +3% e PRIO -4% Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado da Levante, com Flávio Conde, hoje é 2a. feira, dia 3 de agosto, e bolsas subindo nos EUA com petróleo -5% porque Trump parou de atacar o Irã e dólar R$ 5,08O Ibovespa (IBOV) oscilou bem hoje, ficando a maior parte do tempo no campo negativo perto de -0,50%, e fechando na estabilidade dos 178 mil pontos com volume não divulgado ainda. Nos EUA, as bolsas subiram com Dow Jones: +1,32%, e Nasdaq: +2,13% com investidores animados com o fato do presidente Trump ter desistido de atacar o Irã no fim de semana e ter indicado a possibilidade negociações com a Guarda Revolucionária do Irã (GRI) ter levado o petróleo cair -5%. Os setores de serviços de comunicação e tecnologia foram os principais impulsionadores da alta do mercado. A Meta Platforms teve um aumento de 6% no dia. A Amazon também subiu mais de 4%, atingindo um recorde de US$ 3 trilhões em valor de mercado e fechando em uma nova máxima. A Nvidia por sua vez, teve um aumento de quase 3%, enquanto a Alphabet e a Microsoft subiram cerca de 5% cada.Já o dólar à vista encerrou as negociações a R$ 5,087, com alta de 0,33% em dia de queda de mais de 4% do petróleo e baixa liquidez. Nos EUA, o dólar subiu levemente, 0,05%, frente as moedas fortes do DXY.Os juros finalmente caíram no Brasil influenciados pela projeção de Selic a 13,75%, pela pesquisa Focus do Banco Central, e queda dos juros das Treasuries americanas. Os prefixados de 2037 fecharam a 14,54% x 14,80% a.a., sexta. O IPCA+ 2037 fechou em 7,86% x 8,01% a.a., sexta. Nos EUA, as taxas de juros das Treasuries de 10 anos caíram para 4,68% a.a. x 4,74% a.a., sexta, e o 30 anos recuou para 5,22% a.a. x 5,28%, sexta.Por aqui, o mercado consolidou a aposta de corte de 25 pontos-base na taxa Selic pelo Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) do Banco Central. A curva a termo precifica praticamente 100% de probabilidade de redução na Selic próxima quarta-feira (5).Veja no vídeo as análises e recomendações do analista CNPI Flávio

Pakistani Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said discussions between Tehran and Washington are ongoing regarding the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation, Al Jazeera reported.Al Arabiya added that tangible results have not yet yielded results (Brent -0.1%)US equity futures are firmer across the board despite contrasting Meta (-8.8% pre-market) and Microsoft (+8.8% pre-market) earnings.DXY rebounds following the FOMC-induced losses, with focus now on PCE and GDP metrics.Fixed income benchmarks are lower across the board; BoE policy announcement awaits. Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Flash (Jul), US GDP Advance (Q2), PCE (Jun), Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/25), Personal Spending (Jun), Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators (Jul), BoE Policy Announcement & MPR (Jul). Speakers include BoE Governor Bailey, Earnings from Bristol Myers Squibb, Mastercard, Apple & Amazon.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fed maintained rates, though with 3 dissenters who favoured a 25bps hike. Chair Warsh said that if inflation remains elevated, rates could be part of fixing that.DXY came under pressure as the Fed failed to match hawkish expectations, though Warsh's press conference triggered pronounced UST curve steepening.US CENTCOM announced its forces successfully completed a heavy wave of strikes against Iran; Jordan intercepted five missiles launched by Iran.US after-market earnings saw results from ARM Holdings (-5.7%), Microsoft (+8.9%), Meta Platforms (-7.5%) and QUALCOMM (-4.7%).APAC stocks were mostly lower; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open. Looking ahead, highlights include French GDP Prelim (Q2), Spanish GDP Flash (Q2), Inflation Prelim (Jul), German GDP Flash (Q2), State/Nationwide Inflation Flash (Jul), Italian GDP (Q2), EU GDP Flash (Q2), Consumer Confidence Final (Jul), US GDP Advance (Q2), PCE (Jun), Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/25), Personal Spending (Jun), Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators (Jul), BoE Policy Announcement & MPR (Jul). Speakers include BoE Governor Bailey, Earnings from Bristol Myers Squibb, Mastercard, Apple, Amazon, Adidas, BMW, Leonardo, Renault, Sanofi, Schneider Electric, SocGen, BAE Systems, British American Tobacco, Shell & Rolls-Royce.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Crude futures are firmer after gapping higher overnight on escalating geopolitics, with Iran striking a US base in Jordan and subsequent US-Saudi strikes on Iranian-backed militia.European Bourses began the session on a softer footing but remain relatively resilient to the firmer oil prices and prior APAC weakness, with earnings also providing somewhat of a cushion/impetus in the absence of macro updates.US equity futures are modestly firmer (ES +0.2%, NQ +0.2%), supported by the KOSPI rebound, with focus firmly on the Fed decision.DXY is relatively uneventful, USTs are modestly softer, and precious metals are firmer but to varying degrees ahead of the FOMC. Looking ahead, highlights include the Fed Policy Announcement (Jul), BoC Minutes (Jul). Speakers include Fed Chair Warsh & RBA's Hunter. Earnings from SoFi, Microsoft, Meta, Arm, Qualcomm.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US CENTCOM said IRGC forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran towards US forces based in Jordan.Saudi Arabia's Defence Ministry said air defences intercepted and destroyed several drones, which had attempted to target petroleum facilities in the Eastern Region.US CENTCOM later announced that US and Saudi forces conducted strikes on Iran-backed terrorist sites in Iraq.Crude futures climbed as geopolitical tensions escalated (Brent Oct +2.8%); APAC was choppy, and sentiment deteriorated; Europe looks ahead to a subdued open.US equity futures, DXY, T-Note futures, and spot gold trade sideways ahead of FOMC.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish GDP Flash (Q2), ECB Wage Tracker, US Atlanta Fed GDP, Fed Policy Announcement (Jul), BoC Minutes (Jul), Speakers including Fed Chair Warsh & RBA's Hunter, Supply from Germany, Earnings from SoFi, Microsoft, Meta, Arm, Qualcomm, L'Oreal, Hermes, Airbus, Porsche AG, BASF, UBS & Standard Chartered.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said Iran is talking to the US about making a deal right now and very friendly talks are ongoing, while he added they will end Iran's nuclear threat very quickly and that Iran is behaving again.US President Trump said Iran wanted to meet and that "we're meeting," while he added there is a chance a deal could be reached.APAC stocks were mostly negative amid a tech bloodbath and competition concerns following reports yesterday that China had started mass production of domestically developed DUV lithography equipment.DXY traded little changed, 10yr UST futures traded range-bound, and Crude futures remained subdued overnight.European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures little changed after the cash market closed flat on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales (Jun), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Goods Trade Balance Advance (Jun), Retail Inventories Ex Autos Advance (Jun), Wholesale Inventories Advance (Jun), Consumer Confidence, Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Supply from UK, Italy, Netherlands & US, Earnings from PayPal, Boeing, UPS, Ford, EssilorLuxottica, Kering, Air Liquide, Eni, Barclays, GSK & Unilever.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses began the session firmer despite sharp tech-induced losses in APAC. Oman is said to have presented to Iran a proposal for a joint regional mechanism to manage the Strait of Hormuz with "voluntary fees"; Iran is reportedly demonstrating 'flexibility' over Hormuz Strait operations.Crude futures are softer amid continued efforts to end the US-Iran war, and with the pause in strikes at day three. DXY was directionless throughout most of the morning before edging higher in recent trade, with the FOMC looming on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Goods Trade Balance Advance (Jun), Retail Inventories Ex Autos Advance (Jun), Wholesale Inventories Advance (Jun), Consumer Confidence, Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2). Supply from the US. Earnings from PayPal, Boeing, and Ford.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are firmer following a similar APAC lead, as oil prices and yields slumped on the lack of US-Iran weekend action.Crude oil and gas futures were weighed down by the US not striking Iran over the weekend. Metals benefit across the board.However, US CENTCOM commander Cooper advised the Pentagon and the White House that the next possible step is to return to a large-scale military operation.Fixed income markets are higher; US focus turns to supply & midterms. No move to German Ifo or ECB speak. In FX, the DXY is softer to the benefit of G10 peers, although petro-currencies fail to benefit.Looking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods Orders (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2). Supply from the US. Earnings from LVMH. Comments from US President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ative seu cupom Flavio Conde pra a consultoria personalizada https://lvnt.app/61t6dr27/07 - BOLSA +0,80%, PRIO -5%, RECV -3% e PETR -3% Olá, sejam bem-vindo a mais um Fechamento de Mercado da Levante, com Flávio Conde, hoje é 2a. feira, dia 27 de julho, e o dia voltou a ser de altas nas bolsas do mundo.. O Ibovespa subiu +0,80%, aos 175.431 pontos, com volume melhorando de quase R$ 20 bi, bem acima dos R$ 14 bi da segunda passada, mas abaixo dos R$ 27 bi do 1T26, quando a bolsa subia na direção dos 200 mil pontos. O índice teria avançado mais se Petrobras não tivesse caído -3% por conta do petróleo.O comportamento do petróleo foi o grande detonador da melhora nas bolsas globais, pois o Brent caiu -9% para US$ 88 de US$ 97, na sexta, com a decisão dos EUA e Irã pararem os ataques nessa segunda, mesmo com Teerã negando acordo para um cessar-fogo de 10 dias. Nos EUA, os índices tiveram performances opostas com Dow Jones subindo +0,51% devido à queda do petróleo e Nasdaq caindo -0,18% com ações de semicondutores recuando entre -2% e -5% porque parte dos investidores desconfiam que as ações já subiram muito esse ano e resolveram diminuir posições ou mesmo zerá-las.No Brasil. o dólar à vista terminou as negociações a R$ 5,1122, em alta de 0,62%, devido a combinação de queda do petróleo, pesquisas eleitorais, perspectiva de gastos públicos altos, e dólar norte-americano em leve alta frente o DXY (índice do dólar x seis moedas fortes) em +0,04%, aos 101,52 pontos.Finalmente, os juros cederam um pouco depois de subirem até quinta-feira. Os prefixados de 2037 fecharam a 14,75% x 14,76%, sexta, e 14,82%, quinta. O IPCA+ 2037 fechou em 7,94% x 7,98%, sexta, e 8,01%, quinta. Nos EUA, as taxas de juros das Treasuries de 10 anos cederam mais para 4,65% a.a. x 4,68%, sexta, e 4,70%, quinta.Veja no vídeo mais análises de ações com Flávio Conde

US and Iran continued to exchange strikes, with CENTCOM conducting a 13th night of attacks on Iranian military targets; US President Trump said Iran wants to reach an agreement but is not yet ready.Iran reportedly rejected a US ceasefire proposal presented by Iraq's PM, while Tehran also refused to amend a separate 10-day ceasefire plan linked to discussions over the Strait of Hormuz.The Trump administration imposed new tariffs of 10%-12.5% on imports from 60 countries over claims that they had failed to prevent forced labour.APAC stocks followed Wall Street lower, DXY mildly softened, 10yr UST futures remained near contract lows, and crude futures slightly pulled back after Brent rose above USD 100/bbl.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1%;Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Jul), German GfK Consumer Confidence (Aug), UK Retail Sales (Jun), Canadian PPI (Jun), BoE DMP (Jul). Comments from ECB's Lane. Scope Ratings update on Norway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Iran continued to exchange strikes, with CENTCOM conducting a 13th night of attacks on Iranian military targets; US President Trump said Iran wants to reach an agreement but is not yet ready.Iran reportedly rejected a US ceasefire proposal presented by Iraq's PM, while Tehran also refused to amend a separate 10-day ceasefire plan linked to discussions over the Strait of Hormuz.The Trump administration imposed new tariffs of 10-12.5% on imports from 60 countries over claims that they had failed to prevent forced labour.US equity futures are entirely in the green, supported by the upbeat beat mood in Europe while lower oil prices are also supporting indices (Brent -3.5%).DXY rangebound; Antipodeans outperform amid the risk-on tone, while EUR helped by positive flash PMIs.Fixed income benchmarks helped by the lower crude prices.Looking ahead, highlights include US Flash PMIs (Jul), Canadian PPI (Jun). Comments from ECB's Lane. Scope Ratings update on Norway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran was intending to double missile stockpile and that it looks like Iran is not ready to make a deal. He added that the price on Iran will get higher every night until they come to their senses but that Iran is begging to reach a deal.Yemeni Houthis targeted two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, while reports noted that at least 9 ships have stopped passing through Bab al-Mandeb, following the blockade on Saudi ports by Houthis. US equity futures are softer across the board as Alphabet raises AI Capex guidance and STMicroelectronics misses Q3 revenue guidance estimates.DXY rangebound, AUD outperforms after a strong jobs report. Fixed income lower but off worst levels as energy prices continue to drive price action (Brent +4.5%).Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/18), Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jul). Policy Announcements from the ECB, CBRT, and SARB. Comments from ECB President Lagarde. Supply from the US. Earnings from Intel, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin & SAP.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Iran exchanged strikes for the 12th consecutive night; US President Trump said Iran is getting hit so hard and that they want to make a deal.Yemeni Houthis targeted two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, while reports noted that at least 9 ships have stopped passing through Bab al-Mandeb, following the blockade on Saudi ports by Houthis.Alphabet (GOOGL) shares fell -3.3%, Tesla (TSLA) slipped over 4%, and IBM (IBM) was modestly softer post-earnings.APAC stocks were predominantly in the green, DXY mildly softened, 10yr UST futures lingered near the prior day's trough, and crude futures extended gains.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3%.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/18), Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jul). Policy Announcements from the ECB, CBRT, and SARB. Comments from ECB President Lagarde. Supply from the UK & the US. Earnings from Intel, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin, RTX, TotalEnergies, Thales, SAP & Repsol.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US CENTCOM said forces conducted the 11th consecutive night of strikes against Iran; US Secretary of State Rubio said the US is committed to diplomacy in the Middle East and Iran.Iran's top joint military command warned that all interests of the US and its allies in the region will be targeted if the US attacks Iran's nuclear sites.US is to impose new tariffs on dozens of countries as Trump's 10% global levy is set to expire, according to AFP citing USTR Greer.APAC stocks traded mostly in the green, DXY slightly pulled back, 10yr UST futures lingered near yesterday's lows, Crude futures mildly extended their gains.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Inflation (Jun), Supply from Germany & the US, Earnings from Tesla, Alphabet, and IBM.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Iran deal is back on again and off again, but oil is not buying it. Marty and John sift through the weekend headline chaos to focus on what actually matters: WTI near seventy dollars and the dollar index back above one hundred. They break down Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's speech on economic statecraft, why reshoring critical supply chains is moving from PowerPoint to plant openings, and how Iran's oil sanctions waivers are really a dollar dominance play. They also dig into the AI-driven memory shortage that is ending consumer electronics deflation, the administration's crackdown on frontier model releases, and why Apollo's seventeen percent withdrawal requests are a warning shot for private credit. To close, they look at Strategy's preferred share depeg, Bitcoin scraping fifty-eight thousand, and BlackRock's quiet reiteration that every portfolio needs one to two percent allocated to BTC.

The Iran deal looked like a breakthrough until both sides started spinning it within the hour, but oil kept falling and the dollar stayed bid anyway. Marty and John walk through a week of narrative violations, from WTI dropping into the mid seventies to Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish first FOMC press conference. They dig into why hyperscaler CapEx exploding while free cash flow collapses makes Volcker 2.0 impossible, how housing affordability and debt service are pushing the Fed and Treasury back together, and why frontier AI is now a state secret. They also check in on Bitcoin's quiet grind, with Taiwan's central bank exploring reserves and BlackRock still building products in the background.