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Craig Hemke, Founder & Editor TF Metals Report, joins us for his weekly editorial to break down the latest moves in the U.S. Dollar, the precious metals sector, and positioning in the silver market. Key Themes Covered: U.S. Dollar Breakdown: With the DXY falling below 98, approaching multi-year lows, Craig discusses how this weakness acts as a tailwind for precious metals and broader commodities. He outlines the inverse tick-for-tick trading patterns between the dollar and gold, especially during key Fed events. Silver COT Warning Signs: Despite silver pushing above $36, Craig flags caution based on the CoT (Commitment of Traders) report positioning. Speculative interest may be topping out, creating the potential for a pullback tied to July contract expirations and positioning rollovers. Gold/Silver Ratio Outlook: While some traders use the gold-silver ratio to toggle exposure, Craig remains focused on fundamental and technical price action. He wouldn't be surprised to see the ratio revisit 100 before silver regains momentum. Silver Stocks Divergence: We analyze the recent disconnect between silver prices and the underperformance of silver equities like SIL and SILJ, even amid record volume. Craig discusses how shallow market depth and investor skepticism may still be suppressing upside despite stronger silver pricing. Gold's Long-Term Drivers: With central banks continuing to add to gold reserves and global debt exploding (e.g., $116,000/second added to U.S. debt in May alone), Craig emphasizes that fiat devaluation remains the core bullish case for gold in the years ahead. Visit https://www.tfmetalsreport.com for more of Craig's insights Drop your questions in the comments and subscribe for future updates.
APAC stocks traded lower and US equity futures were pressured amid the worsening geopolitical situation in the Middle East.Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 1.9% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Thursday.DXY has been boosted by geopolitical risk, antipodeans hit, EUR/USD is back on a 1.15 handle.Crude futures have rallied, given geopolitics; Iran says refining facilities and oil storage did not sustain damage in the Israeli attack.Looking ahead, highlights include UoM Sentiment (Prelim), S&P to Review Germany's Credit Rating, ECB's Panetta & EldersonRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.Iran's President to speak on the subject soon; US President Trump urged Iran to "make a deal, before there is nothing left".Geopolitics driving all price action with crude posting significant gains & equities under pressure; ES -1.2%, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.4%FTQ ensued overnight, supporting fixed income and XAU; gold remains near best, but fixed has pulled back to Thursday's parameters.DXY on the front foot, but shy of Thursday's high, as the USD benefits from its haven status. JPY surprisingly softer vs USD. EUR and GBP both hit, antipodeans lag.Looking ahead, highlights include UoM Sentiment (Prelim), S&P to Review Germany's Credit Rating, Speakers including ECB's Panetta & Elderson. Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Tomás Goulart, Sarah Campos e Victor Ary debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo. No cenário internacional, foram divulgados números de inflação nos EUA, abaixo da expectativa, tanto para bens, quanto para serviços; e de emprego - os pedidos de auxílio-desemprego novamente vieram acima do esperado. No contexto geopolítico, Israel realizou o que chamou de ataque preventivo a instalações nucleares e militares no Irã, que já respondeu ao ataque e ameaça retaliação adicional. No Brasil, o Galípolo reforçou que a mensagem principal do Copom está contida na ata. Em termos de dados econômicos, o IPCA de maio veio melhor que o esperado, inclusive nos núcleos; a PMC um pouco mais fraca, e a PMS em linha com a expectativa. O cenário político também esteve conturbado ao longo da semana: após publicação de MP pelo governo, propondo medidas compensatórias diferentes das anunciadas anteriormente, o presidente da Câmara pautou urgência para derrubada do decreto do IOF; e o STF pediu explicações sobre a existência de “emendas paralelas”, gerando atrito na relação com o Congresso. No mercado de crédito, a semana também foi marcada por maior demanda nos mercados primário e secundário, com volume de negociação elevado, e R$16 bi de emissões primárias – além de um pipeline robusto para a próxima semana, que também tende a ser influenciado, nas próximas semanas, por uma antecipação do mercado à possível aprovação da MP 1.303/2025 e taxação de diversos instrumentos hoje isentos. Nos EUA, os juros fecharam (vértice de 5 anos -12 bps), o dólar (DXY) enfraqueceu 1,06% e as bolsas tiveram desempenho negativo – S&P500 -0,39%, Nasdaq -0,60% e Russell 2000 -1,49%. No Brasil, os juros também fecharam (jan/29 -20 bps), o Ibovespa subiu 0,82% e o real +0,30%. O petróleo subiu 13%. Na próxima, será importante acompanhar os dados de varejo nos EUA, além das decisões do Fed e do Copom. Não deixe de conferir!
US President Trump said at a certain point, they will send letters out for countries to take or leave and will send those letters out in a week and a half.Geopolitics is driving newsflow as Iran was judged to have violated IAEA rules. An update which has sparked increasingly escalatory rhetoric.Given the above, equities are in the red with the DXY pressured and havens leading FX while EUR/USD hits a new YTD peak and XAU climbs.Crude pressured despite the above, given the gains seen on Tuesday, Trump's tariff rhetoric, ongoing OPEC+ action and the lack of specificity on what the Iranian response will be.EGBs benefiting from the risk tone, Gilts outperform after soft GDP. USTs in-fitting but with magnitudes more contained into data.Air India flight AI171 to the UK from Ahmedabad, India crashed outside the airport after takeoff. Craft was a Boeing (BA) 787-8 Dreamliner; Boeing lower by as much as 8% in pre-market trade.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe & Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European bourses are firmer this morning, though with Retail lagging; Stateside, futures are just into the red into CPI.DXY choppy but contained within Tuesday's parameters so far. Fixed benchmarks pressured into CPI, Gilts lag.Crude has seen notable two-way action on reporting around Iran. XAU edges higher, base metals mixed. Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mostly higher following last Friday's gains on Wall St; participants also digested mixed Chinese data.Chinese Y/Y CPI remained in deflationary territory, trade data saw imports and exports fall short of expectations.US President Trump said they are very far advanced on a China deal ahead of high-level talks in London on Monday.US President Trump said he is thinking about the next Fed Chair and it is coming out very soon.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.4% on Friday.DXY has pulled back a touch after gaining on Friday, antipodeans lead, EUR/USD has returned to a 1.14 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB's Elderson, Holiday Closures in Switzerland, Norway, Hungary, Greece & Cyprus.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
European bourses trade flat/lower following the fallout of the dramatic Trump-Musk spat, but with traders setting their sights on the US jobs report.USD is slightly firmer in what has ultimately been a week of losses for DXY. EUR is trivially softer vs. the USD. JPY is the laggard across the majors.USTs are a touch higher ahead of the US jobs report and following yesterday's ECB-led losses. Bunds are attempting to atone for yesterday's downside. Gilts are being led by the upside in German paper.Crude Futures are subdued amid a firmer Dollar and overall cautious risk tone heading into the US job. Spot gold and silver are largely treading water. Base metals are mixed.Looking head, highlights include US NFP, Canadian Jobs, Speakers include BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from the US amid a stunning online bust-up between US President Trump and Elon Musk.US President Trump said that trade talks with China have never been off track and straightened out the complexity.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.1% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.1% on Thursday.DXY is a touch higher, EUR/USD ran out of steam ahead of 1.15, JPY marginally lags with FX markets otherwise steady.RBI cut the Repurchase Rate by 50bps to 5.50% (exp. 25bps cut) and changed its stance to neutral from accommodative.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output & Trade Balance, French Trade Balance, EZ Employment, GDP & Retail Sales, US NFP, Canadian Jobs, Bundesbank Semi-Annual Forecasts, ECB President Lagarde & BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Non basta fare affermazioni roboanti sullo stato della valuta americana o semplicemente parlare di destino del dollaro. E' necessario analizzare lo stato del DXY sotto diversi punti di vista, compresa l'analisi tecnica. Il risultato è molto più sfumato e anche meno vago di quello che si crede o si vuol far credere.
APAC stocks traded mostly higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall St; gains capped by disappointing Chinese Caixin Manufacturing data.US President Trump's administration wants countries' "best offer" by Wednesday in tariff talks, according to Reuters.White House Press Secretary said US President Trump and Chinese President Xi will likely talk this week.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.DXY is a touch higher after yesterday's session of losses, EUR/USD remains on a 1.14 handle, antipodeans lag.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ HICP, Unemployment Rate, US Durable Goods, JOLTS Job Openings, RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism, Fed's Goolsbee, Logan & Cook, ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Breeden, Dhingra & Mann, Supply from UK & Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were subdued heading into month-end as participants digested a slew of data and amid trade uncertainty; Euro Stoxx 50 futures indicate a flat open.DXY little moved after US President Trump-Fed Chair Powell meeting, JPY benefits after mostly-firmer than expected Tokyo CPI.US appeals court temporarily reinstated US President Trump's tariffs during the appeal and said it needs time to consider filings.US President Trump's advisers are considering a stopgap tariff regime if the court appeal against the tariff block fails, while the effort that the Trump administration is considering would allow tariffs of up to 15% for 100 days, according to WSJ.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the China talks are a bit stalled but believes they will have more talks in a few weeks and noted the EU's deal is in motion.Germany is reportedly eyeing a 10% digital tax on global tech giants like Meta (META) and Google (GOOGL), according to FT.Looking ahead, German Retail Sales, Spanish, German & Italian Inflation, US PCE (Apr), Canadian GDP, S&P Credit Review on France, DBRS on Germany & Spain, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic & Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump's advisers are considering a stopgap tariff regime if the court appeal against the tariff block fails, while the effort that the Trump administration is considering would allow tariffs of up to 15% for 100 days, according to WSJ.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said a couple of large deals are close. Furthermore, he said China talks are a bit stalled but believes they will have more talks in a few weeks and noted the EU's deal is in motion.European stocks opened with modest gains and have continued to build on that, whilst US equity futures are incrementally lower.DXY is firmer and towards session highs, JPY marginally benefits post-Tokyo CPI.USTs marginally lower/flat, two-way EGB action on prelim. inflation prints ahead of Germany's figure and US PCE.Crude is trading with modest gains given the risk tone and into weekend OPEC events, base metals move lower.Looking ahead, German Inflation, US PCE (Apr), Canadian GDP, S&P Credit Review on France, DBRS on Germany & Spain, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic & Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Stocks boosted after NVIDIA's earnings and after the Manhattan-based Court of International Trade blocked President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs.NVIDIA (NVDA) shares +6% pre-market following earnings which beat on top and bottom lines despite incurring a USD 4.5bln charge in Q1; Q2 revenue outlook 45.0bln (exp. 46.4bln).US President Trump ordered US chip designers to stop selling to China, according to FT; US halts exporting aircraft engine technology and chip software to China, according to NYT.DXY firmer & havens broadly lag given the risk tone; USTs/XAU both in the red.Looking ahead, Highlights include US GDP 2nd Estimate (Q1), Core PCE Prices (Q1), Jobless Claims, SARB Policy Announcement, Swiss & Scandinavian Holiday, Speakers including Fed's Barkin, Goolsbee, Kugler & Daly, BoE's Bailey & Breeden, Supply from the US Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Dell, Gap, ULTA, Foot Locker, Best Buy & Kohl's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks mostly higher following the Wall St. strength, futures since off best awaiting NVIDIA earningsUS President Trump says Canada joining the Golden Dome is free if they are the 51st State, adding "They are considering the offer!"DXY continues to pick up, EUR/USD tests 1.13 to the downside & Cable lost 1.35, JPY choppyRBNZ cut as expected, but refrained from overtly dovish languageJGBs came under pressure after a somewhat mixed 40yr auction, USTs & EGBs also softCrude marginally firmer ahead of OPEC, gold indecisive, base peers lacklustreLooking ahead, highlights include German Unemployment Rate, ECB SCE, US Richmond Fed Index, FOMC Minutes, OPEC+/JMMC, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Kashkari & BoE's Pill, Supply from UK, Germany & US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Abercrombie & Macy's.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mixed with price action contained amid a lack of major fresh catalysts and in the absence of a lead from Wall St.European equity futures indicate a slightly softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market finished with gains of 1.3% on Monday.DXY is back above 99.00 and attempting to claw back yesterday's downside, EUR/USD is back on a 1.13 handle.US President Trump is said to be eyeing sanctions against Moscow this week, according to the WSJ.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK, EZ Sentiment, French CPI, US Durable Goods & Consumer Confidence, NBH Policy. Announcement, ECB's Villeroy & Fed's Kashkari, Supply from Netherlands, Italy & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump announced a delay to the 50% tariff deadline on EU goods to July 9th.APAC stocks traded mixed as the initial uplift following Trump's announcement gradually waned.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.8% on Friday.DXY has started the week on the backfoot and has slipped below the 99 mark, EUR/USD is on a 1.14 handle, antipodeans outperform.Trump called Russian President Putin "crazy" after Russia launched the largest air attack on Ukraine in the war so far despite the sides conducting a three-day prisoner swap.Looking ahead, the only notable highlight on the calendar is ECB's Lagarde. UK & US markets are closed.The desk will run to 18:00BST/13:00EDT on Monday 26th May, at which point the service will close due to holiday closures. The service will then re-open later that evening at 22:00BST for the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded with a mild positive bias as the region mostly shrugged off the lacklustre lead from Wall St.US House Speaker Johnson said a Thursday tax bill floor vote is still realistic.European equity futures indicate a quiet cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed with gains of 0.5% on Tuesday.DXY is extending its losing streak for a third session, EUR/USD is back above 1.13, Cable sits above 1.34 ahead of UK CPI.Israel is preparing a possible strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, according to CNN; not clear whether Israeli leaders have made a final decision.Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, G7 Central Bank and Finance Ministers Meeting, ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Nagel & Cipollone, Fed's Barkin & Bowman, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Mixed APAC trade, US futures range bound while European futures point to a marginally firmer open.DXY remains lower after Thursday's data, EUR/USD marginally reclaimed 1.12, USD/JPY found support at 145.00.Fixed benchmarks extended/held on to recent gains.Crude benchmarks remain underpinned by the latest on US-Iran, metals marginally softer.Looking ahead, highlights include US Export/Import Prices, UoM Sentiment Survey, BoC SLOS, Speakers including ECB's Lane, Cipollone & Fed's Barkin.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
European equities are subdued awaiting US data and Fed Chair Powell; US equity futures also tilt lower (ES -0.6%).DXY is subdued and contained whilst havens seen some inflows amid the broader risk tone.Fixed income benchmarks trade slightly firmer into US data and Fed Chair Powell's speech. Crude futures are curtailed by Trump suggesting the US is getting close to a deal with Iran, while metals await data & Powell.Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed Manufacturing, Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Index, PPI, Retail Sales & Industrial Production, IEA OMR, Speakers include ECBʼs de Guindos; Fed Chair Powell & Barr, BoEʼs Dhingra. Earnings from Applied Materials, Take-Two, Alibaba, Walmart, Deere.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
White House economic adviser Hassett says the administration has more than 20-25 deals on the table and when President Trump returns, he will announce the next deal, according to a Fox interview.Stocks opened mixed but now hold a downward bias as the risk tone dips; US futures flat/modestly lower.DXY is hit and makes a fresh WTD low, JPY leads.Bonds hold an upward bias as risk appetite deteriorates, Bunds see modest upside on a well-received German auction.Crude clipped as Trump speaks in Saudi, commodities fail to benefit from USD downside.Looking ahead, OPEC MOMR Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Jefferson & Daly. Earnings from Cisco Systems, CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
USD overweight exposure is now normalizing Even as equities have rallied substantially from April lows, recovery in the dollar index, or DXY, has underwhelmed and the currency sits near the lowest level it's been in three years. Alex Cohen believes that while there are cyclical reasons for the dollar weakness, there's also been a bigger structural rethink on the currency by investors from the push toward de-globalization and from questions around US exceptionalism. Alex sees German fiscal reforms as a game changer, another dollar negative. But our own survey shows very negative sentiment for the dollar, which is relevant to the short term. Mark Cabana contributes with a discussion of rates given the important interplay between the Treasuries and currencies. Mark believes that there has been a shift away from US Treasuries by global investors, although a lot of this recent shift is a function of investors reducing their overweight position rather than getting outright negative. Mark also discusses debt sustainability concerns and how budget negotiations may impact bonds going forward. You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting your everyday financial life. "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2025 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.
APAC stocks traded mostly higher following the rally on Wall St owing to the US-China trade war de-escalation after both sides agreed to cut tariffs by 115ppts for an initial period of 90 days, although some of the gains were capped as the euphoria began to moderate.White House Executive Order said US will cut the minimum tariff on China shipments from 120% to 54%, and a minimum flat fee of USD 100 is to remain.DXY took a breather and gave back some of yesterday's firm gains; 10yr UST futures traded rangebound after recently suffering from a lack of haven appealEuropean equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market finished with gains of 1.6% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs, German ZEW, US CPI, Speakers include US President Trump, BoE's Pill, Bailey & ECB's Rehn, Supply from Netherlands, UK, Italy & Germany, Earnings from JD.Com, Intuitive Machines, On, Munich Re, Hannover Re, Bayer, K+S, Leg, Ferrovial & A2A.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
White House Executive Order said US will cut the minimum tariff on China shipments from 120% to 54%, and a minimum flat fee of USD 100 is to remain.European bourses are modestly firmer while US futures dip into the red. Focus this morning has been on Bloomberg reporting, which suggests China is to lift its ban on Boeing deliveries after the US-China tariff pause.DXY takes a breather to the benefit of other G10s; Antipodeans lead.EGBs and Gilts hit marginal new WTD lows, USTs await CPI & Trump.A subdued Dollar provides some modest strength for XAU/base metals.Looking ahead, US CPI, Speakers including BoE's Bailey & ECB's Rehn.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Jim Tassoni, CEO of Armor Wealth Strategies, joins me for his monthly market insights, focusing on short to mid-term momentum trading strategies. We begin by revisiting the gold trade, where Jim explains how he capitalized on the rally up to $3,500 before rotating from the metal into GDX. While the gold trade proved successful, miners have yet to deliver. Jim outlines the technical levels he's watching for GDX and shares how sentiment among clients is rising sharply for gold, potentially signaling a shift in long-term allocations. The conversation then broadens to the U.S. equity markets. Although his short at SPY $550 initially worked, he was stopped out on the reversal. He now takes a more cautious stance, waiting for a breakout above SPY $600 to re-engage. We also cover: Sector outlooks: Tech surging, healthcare struggling, financials breaking out Oil breakdown: Why Jim has favored short positions and the key resistance to watch U.S. dollar bounce: A contrarian long trade off April lows targeting DXY 104–105 Reduced position sizing: With momentum fading, Jim is sitting on more cash and focusing on selective entries For ongoing updates from Jim Tassoni, click here.
US and China agree to bring down reciprocal tariffs by 115ppts for 90 days, sparking immediate risk on price action; DXY, ES, Crude bid; XAU & Fixed hit.US President Trump said he will sign an executive order on Monday at 09:00EDT with prescription drug and pharmaceutical prices to be reduced almost immediately by 30%-80% and the US is to pay the same price as the nation that pays the lowest price anywhere in the world."Ukraine and European leaders said they agreed to an unconditional 30-day ceasefire on sea, land and air starting on May 12th and peace negotiations will start in that period if there is a ceasefire, while they said if Russia fails to comply, they will respond with massive sanctions and increased military aid.Stocks surge on US-Sino joint announcement, but pharmaceuticals hit by Trump.DXY and CNY surge on US-China trade; haven assets such as Bonds/JPY are in the red.Industrial commodities boosted by US-China updates; Spot gold slumps amid haven outflowLooking ahead, US Federal Budget, Speakers including BoE's Greene, Mann, Taylor & Fed's Kugler.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Fed kept rates unchanged; noted that risks to the economic outlook increased further and risks to both sides of the mandate have risen.President Trump said he is unwilling to lower tariffs to get China to the table; also reported that Trump is to rescind global chip curbs.APAC stocks were mostly higher following the mildly positive handover from Wall St; European stocks are set to open higher.DXY is steady with the USD mixed vs. peers, antipodeans lead, GBP underpinned by an expected trade deal with the US (to be announced today).Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Balance, US Jobless Claims, Wholesale Sales & NY Fed SCE, BoE, Norges & Riksbank Policy Announcements, BoE DMP, BoE's Bailey & BoC's Macklem, Supply from Spain & US.Earnings from Coinbase, Cloudflare, Draftkings, Affirm, Shopify, ConocoPhillips, Warner Bros Discovery, Zealand Pharma, Maersk, Henkel, Lanxess, Rheinmetall, Infineon, Heidelberg Materials, Siemens Energy Leonardo, Mediobanca, Prysmian, Poste Italiane, Enel & BMPS.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Equities complex broadly positive in anticipation of US President Trump's deal announcement; NQ +1.3%.DXY back above 100, EUR/USD slips onto a 1.12 handle, GBP eyes UK-US trade deal and BoE.Gilts edge higher into the BoE and Trump's announcement, USTs & Bunds slip slightly.USD pickup weighs on gold whilst crude remains focused on geopolitical developments.Looking ahead, US Jobless Claims, Wholesale Sales & NY Fed SCE, BoE Policy Announcement, BoE DMP, BoE's Bailey & BoC's Macklem, Supply from the US. Earnings from Coinbase, Cloudflare, Draftkings, Affirm, Shopify, ConocoPhillips, Warner Bros Discovery.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were mostly higher but with gains capped following disappointing Chinese Caixin Services PMI.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.1% after the cash market finished flat on Monday.DXY failed to hold above the 100 mark, EUR/USD sits on a 1.13 handle, USD/JPY was unable to maintain its footing above 144.Crude futures have clawed back nearly all the losses seen in reaction to the weekend's OPEC+ output hike.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ PMI (Final), US International Trade, Canadian Exports/Imports, NZ HLFS Unemployment Rate, EIA STEO, BoE's Breeden, Supply from Germany & US.Earnings from AMD, Supermicro, Rivian, Tempus AI, Celsius, Datadog, Constellation Energy, Fresenius Medical Care, Zalando, Continental, UniCredit, Intesa Sanpaolo & Ferrari.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were ultimately mixed in holiday-thinned trade with most major markets in the region shut.US President Trump said he is willing to lower tariffs on China at some point. He answered no when asked if he plans to speak with Chinese President Xi this week.US President Trump reiterated that the Fed should lower interest and said he won't remove Fed Chair Powell.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1% after the cash market closed with gains of 2.4% on Friday.DXY has begun the week on the backfoot, notable strength seen in APAC-currencies (TWD), EUR/USD returned to a 1.13 handle.OPEC+ members agreed to raise oil output by 411k bpd in June, a source report noted the group will likely approve another accelerated hike of 411k bpd for July.Israel is readying a "massive response" to Houthis and Iran after the airport missile attack, according to the Washington Examiner.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ Sentix Index, US Employment Trends, ISM Services, Supply from the US. UK markets are closed. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded higher but with gains capped in severely thinned conditions owing to mass holiday closures across the region and in Europe for Labour Day.BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50% and provided some dovish rhetoric despite maintaining its rate hike signal.US is said to have reached out to China recently for tariff talks, according to Bloomberg citing an influential social media account.US stocks were boosted heading into the Wall St closing bell. Futures saw a further lift following strong earnings from Microsoft and Meta.DXY is higher, JPY lags post-BoJ with USD/JPY eyeing 144 to the upside, EUR/USD sits around the 1.13 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing, BoJ Governor Ueda's Press Conference.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's, Drax, Hiscox, Lloyds, Kerry, Whitbread, Standard Chartered & Telecom Italia.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Europe on holiday, US equity futures entirely in the green with sentiment boosted after strong META/MSFT results.DXY is a little firmer ahead of US data, JPY hit post-BoJ/Ueda.JGBs lead post BoJ/Ueda, USTs await Tier 1 data points.Crude continues to decline, XAU hit by the USD while base peers welcome the US tone post-Mag7.Looking ahead, US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he is going to make a fair deal with China on trade; predicts that China will eat the tariffs.APAC stocks failed to sustain the positive handover from Wall St and traded mixed; Chinese official PMIs disappointed.European equity futures indicate a contained cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Tuesday.DXY is a touch higher and building on yesterday's slight gains, EUR/USD is back on a 1.13 handle, AUD leads post-CPI.Looking ahead, highlights include French GDP, German Import Prices, Retail Sales, Unemployment Rate, GDP, CPI, Italian GDP, CPI, EZ GDP, US ADP, GDP, PCE (Q1 & for March), ECI, BoC Minutes, BoE's Lombardelli, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Robinhood, Qualcomm, Albemarle, eBay, Humana, Caterpillar, International Paper, GE Healthcare, Hess, Airbus, Credit Agricole, TotalEnergies, SocGen, UBS, DHL, Kion, Volkswagen, Mercedes Benz, Barclays, GSK, Segro & Glencore.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump is expected to soften the impact of his automotive tariffs, according to WSJ citing sources.Canada's ruling Liberals, led by Mark Carney, won the national election but will need to form a minority government.APAC stocks were mostly in the green but with gains capped following the choppy performance stateside.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.1% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.3% on Monday.DXY is attempting to claw back some of yesterday's losses, EUR/USD has slipped back onto a 1.13 handle, USD/JPY bounced from support at 142.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Sentiment, Spanish GDP, HICP, EZ Business Sentiment, US Advance Goods Trade, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB's Cipollone, BoE's Ramsden, SNB's Martin & US Treasury Secretary Bessent, Supply from UK & Italy.Earnings from Starbucks, Visa, Snap, PPG, SoFi, PayPal, JetBlue, Coca-Cola, UPS, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean, Spotify, HSBC, BP, AstraZeneca, Ocado, Entain Lufthansa, Porsche AG, Deutsche Bank, Capgemini, Amundi, Rexel, Scor, URW, Carlsberg, Novartis, Logitech & BBVA.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
China is said to consider exempting some US goods from tariffs as costs increase with Chinese authorities considering removing additional levies for medical equipment and some industrial chemicals like ethane, according to Bloomberg citing sources familiar with the matter.China's Foreign Ministry says it is not having any consultations or negotiations with the US on tariffs; on tariff exemptions, says not familiar with specifics.European bourses edge higher on positive Chinese trade reports; US futures mixed, GOOGL +5.5% pre-market after strong Q1 results.DXY recovers amid trade hopes, JPY weakens amid outflows from haven FX and despite hotter Tokyo CPI.Bonds trade rangebound as participants await further tariff updates.Crude modestly firmer, XAU slips given the positive risk tone and stronger USD.Looking ahead, BoE's Greene, ECB's Nagel, Rehn & Cipollone, Earnings from, SLB, AbbVie, Phillips 66 & Centene.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said it depends on China how soon tariffs can come down and they have spoken to 90 countries regarding tariffs already.US President Trump said if they don't have a deal, they will set tariffs and could set the tariff for China over the next two or three weeks, while he suggested that there is daily direct contact between US and China.White House Economic Advisor Hassett said the USTR has 14 meetings scheduled this week with foreign trade ministers and there are 18 written offers from trade ministers, while he stated China is open to talks.APAC stocks were ultimately mixed despite the positive handover from Wall Street - the risk momentum waned overnight as trade uncertainty lingered owing to the mixed signals from the US.Overnight, US equity futures marginally eased, DXY slightly softened, spot gold and 10yr UST futures rebounded from the prior day's troughs.European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down U/C after the cash market closed with gains of 2.8% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo, US Durable Goods, Jobless Claims, IMF/World Bank Spring Meeting; Speakers including ECB's Lagarde & Lane, Fed's Kashkari, BoE's Lombardelli & Riksbank's Seim; Supply from Italy, UK & US; Earnings from Alphabet, Intel, American Airlines, Freeport, Southwest Airlines, PepsiCo, Dow Chemical, Merck, Valero, PG&E, T-Mobile, Vale, Eni, Anglo American, Weir, BNP Paribas, Sanofi, Orange, STMicroelectronics, Air Liquide, Renault, Carrefour, Michelin, SGS, Roche & Nestle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Foreign governments are dumping dollars. The DXY is crashing. Gold is hitting all-time highs. Taylor Kenney explains why we're entering the most dangerous phase of a global financial reset—and what you can do before it's too late. If you're holding dollar-denominated assets, you need to see this. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcastor Call 866-349-3310
APAC stocks traded mixed with most indices rangebound despite the sell-off on Wall St after President Trump renewed his criticism against Fed Chair Powell.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.5%.DXY has extended on recent downside with JPY the main beneficiary, EUR/USD is above the 1.15 mark.Bunds are rangebound on return from the long weekend, crude futures have continued the mild rebound from the prior day's trough.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian PPPI, US Richmond Fed Index, EZ Consumer Confidence, ECB's Knot, de Guindos, BoE's Breeden, Fed's Jefferson, Harker, Kashkari, Kugler & Barkin, Supply from Germany & US.Earnings from SAP, Iberdrola, Tesla, Verizon, GE Aerospace, Lockheed Martin, Danaher & Elevance.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
European bourses modestly lower; US futures attempt to pare back Monday's hefty losses.DXY flat, USD/JPY fails to sustain a move below 140, EUR/USD back on a 1.14 handle as USD bounces off lows.Modest UST & Bund divergence while Gilts lag and hit lows on BoE's Greene, who highlighted that wage growth remains "pretty high".Spot gold briefly tested USD 3,500/oz before waning; industrial commodities mostly firmer.Looking ahead, Canadian Producer Prices, US Richmond Fed Index, EZ Consumer Confidence. Speakers including ECB's Knot, de Guindos, BoE's Breeden, Fed's Jefferson, Harker, Kashkari, Kugler & Barkin, Supply from the US, Earnings from Tesla, Verizon, GE Aerospace, Lockheed Martin, Danaher & Elevance.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Crypto News: Charles Schwab CEO says spot crypto trading will 'likely' launch within 12 months. Bitcoin starts moving upward with price crossing $87K.Show Sponsor - ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/
Bullet SummaryMicrosoft warns of crypto-targeting malware using fake Binance & TradingView tools.Bitcoin bounces near $86K as Brandt says true reversal needs $88K.White House advisor confirms U.S. exploring BTC buys via tariffs and gold revaluation.Trump-backed Monopoly-style crypto game in the works, blending real estate and blockchain.SHIB whales move 1.3T tokens amid burn collapse and market shuffle.DXY breaks under 100 as Bitcoin, SOL, and DOGE test key zones.Fed rate cut odds drop to 16% as Powell stays vague and Trump demands action.Ethereum eyes $5,925 in 2025 as May upgrade looms and L2 roadmap sharpens.DOGE stacks real-world use cases, sets sights on $1+ as reserves build.
US bourses finished mixed with futures thereafter pressured after NVIDIA flagged 5.5bln of charges.White House said over 15 trade deal proposals are being considered and some could be announced soon.DXY gave back some of Tuesday's strength, EUR/USD back above 1.13 and Cable above 1.3250 into UK CPI.USTs paused for breath after gains sparked by Treasury officials, Bunds rebounded and JGBs retested 141.00Crude benchmarks lackluster, XAU hit another record high while base peers followed the risk tone lowerLooking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, US Retail Sales, NZ CPI, BoC Policy Announcement, Speakers including Fed's Powell, Cook, Hammack, Logan & Schmid, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Supply from Germany & US.Earnings from Heineken, US Bancorp, Abbott, Progressive, Travelers, Prologis, Autliv, Citizens, First Horizon, Alcoa, Barratt Redrow, Moncler, Brunello Cucinelli & Lindt.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded with a predominantly positive bias following on from the gains on Wall St.US President Trump said they will put tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals in the not-too-distant future.Fed's Waller said under the large-tariff scenario with significant economic slowdown, he would favour cutting policy rate sooner and more than previously thought.European equity futures indicate a contained cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after the cash market closed with gains of 2.6% on Monday.DXY is languishing below the 100 mark, antipodeans outperform, EUR/USD has failed to hold above 1.14, USD/JPY lacked firm direction.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Price Index & ZEW, UK Jobs, EZ Industrial Production, US Import/Export Prices, Canadian CPI, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, ECB President Lagarde, Supply from UK & Germany, Earnings from Bank of America, Citi, Johnson & Johnson, PNC, UAL, Beiersdorf, B&M European, Wise, Rio Tinto & Sika.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
China orders a halt to Boeing (BA) jet deliveries as the trade war expands, according to Bloomberg citing sources.US President Trump said they will put tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals in the not-too-distant future.European indices at session highs, LVMH -7% after weak results; US futures are modestly higher.DXY holds a downward bias whilst Antipodeans outperform.Initial fixed divergence eroded by China-Boeing. Bunds subsequently hit by a poor Bobl auctionGold lifted, Crude pushed into the red and Copper dented amid China trade retaliation.Looking ahead, US Import/Export Prices, Canadian CPI, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, Comments from ECB President Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Equities began the week with strength after the tariff reprieve for smartphones, though Trump's walk-back on this capped gains.Trump said there were no exceptions announced on Friday; Lutnick said semiconductor-tariffs in a month & pharma-tariffs in a month or two.DXY remained below the 100 mark, EUR/USD briefly surpassed 1.14 & Cable briefly surpassed 1.31.USTs attempted to nurse recent pressure but the constructive tone capped, Trump said the bond market is going good.Crude rangebound despite the tone as constructive US-Iran talks and remarks from Energy Sec. Wright offset this.Fed's Collins said they are likely moving to a period of difficult tradeoffs, and "we're not seeing liquidity concerns overall", via WSJ.Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed SCE. Speakers include RBNZ's Conway, Fed's Waller & Harker. Earnings from Goldman Sachs & LVMH.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump's administration exempted items from reciprocal tariffs including smartphones, storage devices and some other electronics.However, Trump posted on Sunday that there was no tariff exception announced on Friday and that these products are subject to the existing 20% fentanyl tariffs and are just moving to a different tariff bucket.European bourses open higher as markets digest exemptions on smartphones/electronics; US futures also gain.DXY on the backfoot once again and G10s broadly supported with newsflow on the quiet end.Bonds diverge once again but are contained with specifics light thus far; USTs a little firmer whilst Bunds dip.Crude contained, gold wanes, base metals supported given the positive risk tone.Looking ahead, US NY Fed SCE, Speakers including RBNZ's Conway, Fed's Waller & Harker, Earnings from Goldman Sachs & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
DXY fell to its lowest value in more than two years. That means the dollar is crashing, right? Everyone says so, but when it comes to the dollar or anything related to the monetary system what everyone says is rarely ever so. The dollar IS going nuts, at least that part's right.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisReuters US dollar stranglehold on global FX sets stage for euro parity: Reuters pollhttps://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/us-dollar-stranglehold-global-fx-sets-stage-euro-parity-2025-01-08/Reuters Next up for markets: A crisis of confidence in the dollarhttps://www.reuters.com/markets/wealth/next-up-markets-crisis-confidence-dollar-2025-04-04/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
China unveils additional tariff measures on US goods; to raise additional tariffs on US goods to 125% from 84%. Effective April 12th.China's Finance Ministry says “if the US continues to impose additional tariffs on Chinese goods exported to the US, China will ignore it”.European indices hit after China raises tariffs; US futures modestly lower into bank earnings.DXY slumps to a 99.01 low after China increases tariffs on the US; EUR outperforms.Bonds lifted by China's latest retaliation but remain on track to end the week with significant losses.Base metals underpinned by hopes of Chinese stimulus.Looking ahead, US PPI, UoM Prelim, Moody's review on France, UK, Italy, Spain & Switzerland's Credit Rating, Speakers include Fed's Musalem, Williams & BoE's Greene. Earnings from JPMorgan, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, Bank of New York Mellon, Morgan Stanley & Fastenal.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk