Podcasts about Monetary policy

In this episode, we discuss how financial conditions are shaping Federal Reserve policy and the outlook for interest rates.​‌ The discussion and content provided within this podcast is intended for informational purposes only and may not be appropriate for all investors. Reliance upon information provided in a podcast is at the sole responsibility of the listener. The information included herein is not based on any particularized financial situation, or need, and is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, a forecast, research, investment advice or a recommendation for any specific PIMCO or other security, strategy, product or service. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Investors should speak to their financial advisors regarding the investment mix that may be right for them based on their financial situation and investment objective. Podcasts may involve discussions with non-PIMCO personnel and such content contain the current opinions of the speaker but not necessarily those of PIMCO. Other podcasts may consist of audio recording of an existing PIMCO article and such material contains the current opinions of the manager. The opinions expressed in all podcasts are subject to change without notice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. PIMCO as a general matter provides services to qualified institutions, financial intermediaries and institutional investors. This is not an offer to any person in any jurisdiction where unlawful or unauthorized. For additional important information go to CMR2026-0521-5513952-T

Desde 2015, os preços da habitação em Portugal subiram em flecha: registámos o segundo maior aumento da UE, a seguir à Hungria. E o ritmo não está a abrandar. No início de 2026, a subida homóloga foi a mais alta da União Europeia. Mas o problema mais grave está noutros números: em 10 anos, o preço das casas aumentou quatro vezes mais do que os rendimentos dos portugueses.Nesta conversa, João Duarte e Manel Rosa explicam porque é que esta crise não afeta apenas quem procura casa, mas toda a economia. Ficamos a saber que uma cidade cara expulsa talento, fragiliza empresas, afasta serviços e pode travar a inovação. Num país em que se sai de casa dos pais, em média, aos 29 anos, a dupla aborda ainda o peso da habitação no orçamento das famílias, o choque das subidas de juros e o papel da Euribor, e a vida adiada dos jovens, cada vez mais limitados na escolha do seu destino.Para saber quanto custa a habitação ao futuro do país, este é um episódio [IN]Pertinente a não perder.LINKS E REFERÊNCIAS ÚTEISAzevedo, A. B., & Pereira dos Santos, J. (2023) «Barómetro da Habitação» (Fundação Francisco Manuel dos Santos)OECD (2021), «Brick by Brick: Building Better Housing Policies» (OECD Publishing)Hsieh, C.-T., & Moretti, E. (2019) «Housing Constraints and Spatial Misallocation» (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 11(2), 1–39)Diamond, R. (2016) «The Determinants and Welfare Implications of US Workers' Diverging Location Choices» (American Economic Review, 106(3), 479–524)Rognlie, M. (2015) «Deciphering the Fall and Rise in the Net Capital Share» (Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2015(1), 1–69)Dias, D. A., & Duarte, J. B. (2019) «Monetary Policy, Housing Rents, and Inflation Dynamics» (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 34(5), 673–687)BIOSJoão DuarteProfessor associado com agregação na Nova School of Business and Economics. A sua investigação foca-se na produtividade, em particular nas razões pelas quais a Europa tem crescido menos do que os Estados Unidos — tema do seu artigo publicado no Journal of International Economics. Manel RosaHumorista. Estreou-se no stand up comedy em 2019, quando tinha 15 anos. Em 2023, lançou «Mais isto do que aquilo», o seu primeiro espetáculo em nome próprio. No mesmo ano, criou «DISNARRATIVO», uma espécie de vlog no Youtube, que manteve até 2025. Juntou-se ao leque de apresentadores do Curto Circuito, um programa da SIC Radical, em 2024.

The Finance Minister believes the report on the Reserve Bank's performance during Covid affirms decisions made by the current Government. An external review of Bank's Covid monetary policy during the pandemic finds it was right to cut the OCR early but was slow to react when the economy bounced back sooner than expected. Nicola Willis told Mike Hosking the results show the importance of the guardrails they implemented – having a single inflation-busting mandate and the change to voting to create more accountability. She believes the report matters as it also shows the Reserve Bank can keep getting better as long as it has an attitude of ongoing improvement. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this Daily Editorial, Darrell Fletcher, Managing Director of Commodities at Bannockburn Capital Markets, joins the show to provide a comprehensive trading desk perspective on the macro drivers across the resource complex. With broad commodity indices sustaining multi-year highs, Darrell breaks down the distinction between paper price volatility and persistent physical market tightness, the structural headwinds facing base metals, and why commodities continue to show resilience in the face of ongoing central bank tightening. Long-Term Commodity Supercycle Durability: Why multi-year index highs and historical cycles suggest the broader bull market in real assets still has substantial runway ahead despite short-term fluctuations. Physical Crude Realities and Steep Backwardation: How physical cash market pricing, refined product constraints, and longer-dated futures curves diverge from headline-driven daily swings in oil. Energy Equities and Free Cash Flow Profiles: An examination of whether recent pullbacks in major energy equities signal underlying commodity weakness or healthy consolidation following strong performance. Structural Copper Shortages and Extended Lead Times: What 15-year mine development cycles and tightening physical supply mean for the future of copper pricing, regional warehouse flows, and mining sector M&A. Precious Metals Positioning: Key support levels and macro catalysts dictating gold's current consolidation phase, along with silver's divergence as an industrial co-product. Monetary Policy, Deglobalization, and Supply Securitization: How the broad commodity complex is decoupling from conventional interest rate correlations as global supply chain realignment accelerates.   Click here to learn more about Bannockburn Capital Markets  - https://www.bannockburnglobal.com/   ---------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.  

The Reserve Bank took too long to pull back on drastic Covid measures. An independent probe's found the Monetary Policy Committee made the right call by slashing the OCR early in the pandemic, reducing the risk of a severe downturn. But it didn't respond quickly enough to our recovery, leading to the spike in inflation. ASB Senior Economist Mark Smith joined Ryan Bridge to unpack the findings. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin analyze the Federal Reserve's latest rate hike. They unpack why the Fed acted now, arguing that inflation remains too persistent despite a resilient economy, strong labor market, and robust consumer spending. They discuss the Fed's updated projections, which suggest inflation may not return to its 2% target until 2028 and imply the possibility of additional rate hikes ahead.The conversation then turns to market implications. Stocks sold off following the announcement as Treasury yields climbed above 5%, reflecting expectations that monetary policy may remain tighter for longer. Liz Ann highlights that while some inflation pressures are supply-driven, there are also demand-side forces at work, including AI-related capital spending and continued economic strength. Collin and Liz Ann emphasize that higher rates today could ultimately help reduce inflation and bring down long-term borrowing costs, even if the path is bumpy for markets in the near term.Finally, Collin and Liz Ann look ahead to next week's upcoming macroeconomic indicators and key data releases. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see Schwab.com/IndexDefinitionsA hyperscaler is a large-scale cloud service provider that offers vast computing, storage, and networking resources through a distributed infrastructure of interconnected servers and software.(0926-8ZSE) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Plus: Shares of Generac Holdings surge after the backup-power company strikes a $2.4 billion deal with Amazon. And Volvo shares advance after the automaker announces its largest-ever product push. Danny Lewis hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Stuart has written a provocative new booklet titled Fragile Prosperity — Australia's Gigantic Monetary Gamble, which examines whether or not we are suffering from a giant, failing experiment with modern money

CAPTION  1930 BERLINGerman Populism Politics And Monetary PolicyJoseph Sternberg examines the electoral rise of Germany's Alternative for Germany (AfD) party in Saxony-Anhalt, highlighting concerns over unpurged neo-Nazi elements within its leadership. While France's Marine Le Pen cleaned up her party's extremist image, the AfD retains radical elements, yet attracts frustrated voters in East Germany due to immigration and economic grievances. Sternberg also notes JD Vance's controversial alignment with European right-wing parties. Turning to economics, Sternberg discusses the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh considering a rate hike amid global bond selloffs, rising long-term yields, persistent inflation, and low-growth fiscal challenges in Britain. (3)

Conservative investors, as a rule, construct their portfolios to, if not anticipate a recession, at least acknowledge the possibility of one. But in doing so, these investors may not fully participate in market rallies. But what if recessions are less common than they used to be? Are these conservative investors needlessly missing out? Confluence Chief Market Strategist, Patrick Fearon Hernandez, joins Phil Adler to address these questions and discuss the investment implications. 

Artificial Intelligence has the potential to bring major economic changes, including raising productivity, widening inequality, and causing widespread job displacement. There are associated consequences for federal debt which is now historically high relative to national income. Could policy responses such as support for displaced workers, raising taxes on AI profits, or even government ownership of companies help reduce the projected rise in government debt and ameliorate the disruptions from this new technology? Louise Sheiner joins EconoFact Chats to discuss these questions, drawing on a recent paper she wrote with Karen Dynan and Douglas Elmendorf. Louise is the Robert S. Kerr Senior Fellow in Economic Studies at the Brookings Institution and policy director for the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy. She previously served at the Federal Reserve, the US Treasury, and the Council of Economic Advisers.

What exactly is “macro” and how does it affect ordinary Americans?In this episode I sit down with Eric Wallerstein, Chief Macro Strategist at Clocktower Group, to explore the machinery beneath the economy and financial markets.Eric brings an unusually wide-ranging perspective. He began his career at the New York Fed, reported on markets for The Wall Street Journal, served as Chief Markets Strategist at Yardeni Research, and advised both the White House Council of Economic Advisers and the Federal Reserve Board.We discuss:What macro strategists actually doHow banks create moneyWhat people mean when they say the Fed “prints money”The Fed's role beyond changing interest ratesWhy financial stability depends on largely invisible market “plumbing”How political bias and popular narratives distort economic analysisWhat reindustrialization, tariffs, AI, and government debt could mean for the economyWhy developments in China and Japan affect AmericansWhich economic indicators ordinary people should followTimestamps(00:00) Show Mission Setup(00:37) Meet Eric Wallerstein(01:55) Macro Investing Basics(02:47) Finding a Macro Lane(03:42) New York Fed Money Plumbing(05:28) Career Tour Across Institutions(09:16) Why Communication Matters(11:28) Fast Pace Crisis Work(13:49) Inside the White House CEA(16:45) How the Fed Really Works(23:32) Money Creation Explained(26:56) Limits of Monetary Policy(31:38) Decoding Fed Speak(33:10) Narratives Drive Volatility(33:53) Fed Guidance Pullback(34:33) Why Strategists Disagree(34:59) Bull Case Then Slowdown(37:31) Tuning Out Loud Voices(38:18) Journalism As Edge(39:33) Markets Versus Politics(42:17) Rigor Versus Virality(44:54) Underrated Smart Voices(46:44) Becoming A Macro Pro(49:07) Macro Makes A Comeback(49:48) Creativity And Writing(51:56) Big Themes Clients Ask(55:54) Why China And Japan Matter(59:24) What He Tracks Weekly(01:01:12) Macro Basics And Resources(01:05:08) Books And Where To FollowEric's recommended readingSafe Haven by Mark SpitznagelKarthik SankaranShahin ValléeBrad Setser Find EricEric's SubstackX: @EricWallersteinClocktower Group: clocktowergroup.comThis conversation is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

P.M. Edition for Sept. 11. New data from the Labor Department show that inflation held steady at 3.4% last month. As Journal economics reporter Justin Lahart explains, that puts pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates at its meeting next week. Plus, Anthropic found that Iran used the company's AI tools to target U.S. forces in the Middle East. And on the 25th anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, we look at how travel security measures have changed with reporter Alison Sider. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy, determined to ensure that inflation stabilises at our two percent target. Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today's decisions. The statement also covers: • how the economy is performing • how we expect prices to develop • the risks to the economic outlook • the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions Published and recorded during our press conference on 10 September 2026. Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 10 September 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/visual-mps/2026/html/mopo_statement_explained_september.en.html Christine Lagarde, Boris Vujčić: Monetary policy statement, 10 September 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2026/html/ecb.is260910~6a45359cfc.en.html Monetary policy decisions, 10 September 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.mp260910~314e508016.en.html Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 10 September 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/shared/pdf/ecb.ds260910~fbf0ab9b8d.en.pdf Macroeconomic projections, September 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/projections/html/ecb.projections202609_ecbstaff~8e340fc69d.en.html European Central Bank https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html #MonetaryPolicy #EuropeanCentralBank #ChristineLagarde #Finance #FinancialConditions #Inflation #EconomicActivity #EconomicOutlook #PressConference #Banking #CentralBanking #Podcast #Economics #EU #Europe #ECB

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech struck a more hawkish tone than investors expected, increasing the likelihood of another rate hike as the Fed remains focused on persistent inflation. Collin Martin and Liz Ann Sonders discuss what that means for markets, why the speed and purpose of rate hikes matter more than any specific interest-rate level, and how investors may be entering a new era of higher inflation volatility, shifting stock-bond relationships, and increased market sensitivity to economic data. Finally, they look ahead to the indicators and data that could matter most to investors in the coming week.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see Schwab.com/IndexDefinitionsA hyperscaler is a large-scale cloud service provider that offers vast computing, storage, and networking resources through a distributed infrastructure of interconnected servers and software.Negative correlation refers to investments that tend to move in opposite directions: when one rises, the other falls.(0926-41YN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The new episode of VoxTalks Economics traces the effects of South Americans populism, left and right. Alejandro Werner (Georgetown Americas Institute) is one of the authors of a new paper that traces populist governments across Latin America back to 1970. He argues that they follow a strikingly similar script: they expand spending, weaken the institutions built to restrain them, and ride the wave until inflation catches up with them. But the most recent generation of leaders -- Chávez and Maduro, the Kirchners, Correa, and Morales -- lasted longer than their predecessors. Why?The research behind this episode:Magud, Nicolás E., Antonio Spilimbergo, and Alejandro Werner. 2026. "Lessons from Populism in Latin America." Paper presented at the second Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues Conference, June 2026. Forthcoming in Economic Policy.To cite this episode:Phillips, Tim, and Alejandro Werner. 2026. "Lessons from Populism in Latin America." VoxTalks Economics (podcast).About the guestAlejandro Werner is the founding director of the Georgetown Americas Institute and a nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He spent nine years as director of the International Monetary Fund's Western Hemisphere Department, and earlier held senior posts at Mexico's finance ministry and central bank. His research spans macroeconomic policy, fiscal sustainability, and financial crises across Latin America.Research cited in this episodeThe Global Populism Database, built by political scientist Kirk Hawkins and colleagues, codes the rhetoric of presidents and prime ministers on a scale from zero (not populist) to two (highly populist), reading inauguration and campaign speeches for anti establishment language, appeals to "the people," and simple, direct phrasing. Magud, Spilimbergo, and Werner use this index, rather than a leader's policies, to decide who counts as a populist, which keeps their definition independent of the outcomes they go on to measure.Dornbusch and Edwards' "macroeconomics of populism," from their 1991 edited volume of the same name, was the first systematic account of how Latin American leaders combine expansionary spending with price controls, and how the resulting shortages and capital flight bring the cycle to an end. The new paper tests whether that pattern still holds three decades on.Funke, Schularick and Trebesch (2023), published in the American Economic Review, built an alternative populism index from historical case studies rather than speeches, and found that populist leaders leave a drag on economic activity that can persist for up to fifteen years after they leave office. Werner and his coauthors use this index as a robustness check on their own results.Local projections, a method developed by the economist Oscar Jorda  in 2005, trace how a variable such as inflation or the real exchange rate evolves in the years after a shock, in this case the arrival of a populist government, without imposing the structure of a full macroeconomic model.The commodity terms of trade windfall, a measure developed by Gustavo Adler and Magud, calculates the extra income a country earns when its export prices rise relative to its import prices. The paper uses this measure to show that the populist governments with the largest windfalls, including Venezuela, Bolivia, and Ecuador, stayed in power the longest.More VoxTalks Economics episodesFiscal Populism and Monetary Policy, recorded at the same EP conference, in which Magud talks to Tim Phillips about how a government's fiscal stance interacts with the credibility of its central bank.The Dollar Anchor Is Slipping, Tarek Hassan talks to Tim Phillips about what happens when the dollar's role as the world's safe asset comes under strain.Related reading on VoxEU.orgFour decades of terms of trade booms, a VoxEU column by Magud and Adler that introduces the income windfall measure used in this paper, and shows how much larger Latin America's most recent commodity boom was than those of the 1970s.Effects of commodity price windfalls on external debt: the role of political institutions, a VoxEU column by Rabah Arezki showing that commodity windfalls tend to be saved where executive power is constrained, and spent where it is not, a pattern that echoes this paper's account of institutional decay under populist rule.

P.M. Edition for Sept. 3. WSJ reporter Robbie Whelan discusses how with its latest deal for AI platform Hugging Face, chip giant Nvidia is promoting open-weight AI models that compete with OpenAI and Anthropic. Plus, we're still two years away from the next presidential election, but some Republican hopefuls are already testing the waters. We hear from Journal White House correspondent Natalie Andrews about who may have President Trump's backing and how Senator Ted Cruz is going over with voters in Iowa. And feminist icon Gloria Steinem dies at age 92. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Federal Reserve policy has been to expand credit out of nothing without regard for the real damage it does to the economy.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/credit-out-thin-air-brings-wealth-destruction

Federal Reserve policy has been to expand credit out of nothing without regard for the real damage it does to the economy.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/credit-out-thin-air-brings-wealth-destruction

The Federal Reserve's fixation with “stable prices” has led to an unstable economy for the past century. Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/fallacy-stable-prices

Larry Lepard's third appearance, and his position has sharpened each time. Days 6 and 21 asked whether the Big Print was coming. This one was about the mechanism, and his answer is the bond market. His central claim: yield curve control is the destination. "It has to be. There's no other choice." The open questions he named are what they call it, how they justify it, and what the politics look like. The mechanism, in his words: once the Fed formally caps a rate, "the entire bond market is going to look at the Fed and say, sold to you. And their balance sheet explodes. And that's the big print." The doom loop, with a number. The average rate across all outstanding US debt is about 3.45%, and every maturity on the curve today prices above it. Each rollover raises interest cost, widening the deficit, forcing more issuance. He pointed at the whole world, not just Treasuries. US, German, French, Italian and Japanese 10-year yields all near multi-year highs. His read: "the bond markets are telling us, we don't believe you." On Warsh: painted into a corner. The speech was hawkish enough that absent very soft data he has to hike on September 16, and Lepard doubts he will. His prediction: Warsh's credibility is gone within six months. Why he thinks the choice is already made: given a trapped chair, "he'll always choose the inflationary path versus the collapse-the-economy path." Brady asked what happens to the institutions legally required to hold bonds. Lepard went to insurers first, flagged private equity buying up insurance businesses, and questioned whether annuity holders get paid what they expect. The World War II precedent was his template. Debt-to-GDP around 120% after the war, a year of roughly 18% inflation in the early 1950s, and yield curve control running through 1952. Inflating out is the historical answer. He drew a careful distinction with Lyn Alden's gradual-print view and conceded her case: absent a crisis, a slow grind is what policymakers prefer. His note: Powell already reversed tightening and called it reserve management, not QE. Asked what would change his mind, he gave a real answer: governments behaving responsibly. Cutting defense, narrowing the footprint, means-testing Social Security and Medicare. He does not expect it. He owned the cost of being early. He compared himself to Michael Burry being right about housing too soon and said plainly that he has suffered stretches of this trade since 2008 and expects more. The close was not doom, and he said so directly. He argued the absence of sound money has cost millions of lives, that his forecast is arithmetic and not pessimism, and that sound money leaves his grandkids better off.

The Federal Reserve's fixation with “stable prices” has led to an unstable economy for the past century. Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/fallacy-stable-prices

Scientific Sense ® by Gill Eapen: Prof. Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe of Columbia University on The Neo-Fisher Effect: Econometric Evidence from Empirical and Optimizing Models, Multiple equilibria in open economies with collateral constraints, and, Does the Commodity Super Cycle Matter?Please subscribe to this channel:https://www.youtube.com/c/ScientificSense?sub_confirmation=1

P.M. Edition for Aug. 28. Economics correspondent Nick Timiraos reports from Jackson Hole on how investors are interpreting Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech. Plus, some of President Trump's biggest corporate donors are now cutting checks to Democrats, too. WSJ's White House reporter Annie Linskey explains how American companies are preparing for a potential Democratic comeback in November. And WSJ's global energy reporter Collin Eaton unpacks how Chevron and other U.S. energy companies are closing in on deals worth billions to expand in Venezuela's oil fields. Sabrina Siddiqui hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

There is a saying in Spanish: get burned by hot milk, and the sight of a cow makes you cry. New research implies that, decades after a populist government leaves office, the central bank it once tried to control is still flinching.Martín Uribe (Columbia) and Nicolás Magud (IMF) have investigated the long-run effect of populist governments that leaned on their central banks to print money and feed inflation. They find that these central banks raise interest rates more aggressively than others when inflation drifts above target, even decades later.This is the second of four episodes drawn from papers commissioned for the second Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues conference, organised by CEPR, CESifo and Sciences Po.The research behind this episode:Jácome, Luis, Nicolás E. Magud, Samuel Pienknagura, and Martín Uribe. 2026. "Fiscal Populism and Monetary Policy Rules." Conference draft, presented at the 2nd Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues Conference, Venice, 19-20 June 2026. Forthcoming in Economic Policy.To cite this episode:Phillips, Tim, Martín Uribe, and Nicolás E. Magud. 2026. "Fiscal Populism and Monetary Policy." VoxTalks Economics (podcast).About the guestsMartin Uribe is the Robert A. Mundell Professor of Economics at Columbia University and a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. His research spans international macroeconomics and the theory of monetary and fiscal policy, with recent work on tariff shocks, fiscal dominance, and the long-run legacy of high inflation on how central banks set policy. He is editor-in-chief of the Journal of International Economics.Nicolás E. Magud is a Senior Economist in the International Monetary Fund's Western Hemisphere Department. His research spans open-economy macroeconomics, with a focus on fiscal policy, exchange rates, capital flows, and capital controls, much of it drawn from Latin America's long experience of inflation and central bank reform.Research cited in this episodeThe populist leaders database. Funke, Manuel, Moritz Schularick, and Christoph Trebesch. 2023. "Populist Leaders and the Economy." American Economic Review 113 (12): 3249-88. The authors classify a leader as populist if their rhetoric splits society into "the people" against "the elites," then divide populists into left-wing, whose target is economic elites, and right-wing, whose target is foreigners and minorities. Deficit monetisation and "unpleasant monetarist arithmetic." Sargent, Thomas J., and Neil Wallace. 1981. "Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic." Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 5 (3). The paper that established the mechanism this episode turns on: when a government's deficit is financed by its own central bank printing money rather than by selling bonds to the public, the result is inflation. It gives the paper's account of populism and central bank credit its theoretical backbone.Local projections difference-in-differences. Dube, Arindrajit, Daniele Girardi, Oscar Jorda , and Alan M. Taylor. 2025. "A Local Projections Approach to Difference-in-Differences." Journal of Applied Econometrics 40 (7): 741-58. The statistical method behind the paper's headline charts. It compares countries that have just installed a populist government against "clean" control countries with no recent populist history, tracking central bank credit year by year after the change of regime.The Central Bank Independence Extended (CBIE) index. Romelli, Davide. 2022. "The Political Economy of Reforms in Central Bank Design: Evidence from a New Dataset." Economic Policy 37 (112): 641-88. A dataset scoring central bank laws on their independence, including limits on lending to government. The paper uses it to show that countries with a populist past, especially a left-wing one, now have stricter legal limits on central bank lending than countries with no such history.Argentina, Chile, and Mexico. The paper's three historical case studies. In Argentina, governments from Perón onward repeatedly rewrote central bank law to permit financing of the treasury, contributing to repeated bouts of high inflation and, eventually, hyperinflation in the 1980s. In Chile, the Allende government printed money to fund an expansion of the state, and inflation reached roughly 600% in 1973 before the government was overthrown. In Mexico, President Echeverría's public investment drive in the 1970s was financed in part by the central bank, feeding an inflation and currency crisis that culminated in the country's 1982 default. Uribe and Magud point to these episodes as the historical template their statistical results describe.Related reading on VoxEUCentral bank independence: An update, a VoxEU column in which Sylvester Eijffinger and Jakob de Haan argue that legal independence alone does not shield a central bank from political pressure to loosen policy.Recent trends in central bank independence, in which Davide Romelli, whose index this paper uses to track legal independence, documents a fresh wave of reforms strengthening central banks worldwide since 2016.

Her read on the Treasury story: the market was orderly and the interventions premature. The selloff was rational, the curve is not even steep, and surprise announcements draw attention to a controlled problem. Her phrase: the Streisand effect. She called the buyback program "a super soft form of yield curve control" and said the reaction in gold and Bitcoin is understandable, because surprise dovish anxiety from the Treasury has historically been good for hard money. On Druckenmiller's op-ed, she partially disagreed with a man she calls "the goat." The long yield as fiscal disciplinarian is the optimistic case. In practice, she argued, politics makes debasement and financial repression the realistic path. Her 1940s comparison cut both ways. Yield curve control once pinned yields at 2.5% while inflation hit 19%, and it worked because society was young and productive. Today's version arrives with peaking demographics and inflation-linked liabilities. On the bull question, she answered with structure instead of a target. Seller exhaustion, spot-driven flows, and the chartist-to-momentum cycle: "what does it need a reason to go up, it just can't really go down anymore." The Fed, in her framework, is "a periphery actor" under fiscal dominance. Her base case is zero to one rate hikes this year, since rate hikes address lending-driven inflation and today's inflation is fiscal and geopolitical. Her stablecoin frame: they compress the overhead of an offshore bank account down to a smartphone. Powerful for payments and working capital across Africa's forty-plus currencies, while holders eat the full debasement and permission stays with the issuer. On the viral Vance reserve-currency clip, she noted it actually dates to 2023, then walked the argument: the issuer's currency stays overvalued, exports suffer, and the industrial base hollows out while benefits flow to the government. Suze's question on AI inside UK government drew the segment of the show. From aircraft-simulator systems engineering to white-hat AI: "you just have to hope that your defending bot is as good or better than the attacking bots." Her novel, The Stolguard Incident, closed the hour. Surveillance piles up until a civilization-scale breach forces partial rollback, with a sequel in progress. Fiction, she said, lets people learn lessons without living them.

Bitcoin pushed into the high $70,000s and held there. Friday closed near $78,300 and the room watched it cross $79,900 live. Cory's read on why it stuck: the move was spot driven, not leveraged. The ETFs took in $1.92 billion last week per Farside, the strongest week since October 2025. BlackRock accounted for $1.3 billion of it, across five consecutive positive days. Treasury may tap roughly $950 billion from its general account to buy back long bonds. Cory walked through selling short bills to buy the long end, and read it as pressure on traders to stop selling. Answering Nic Carter's essay, Cory rejected the frame before the argument, then offered a narrower definition in its place. Not that other assets disappear. That Bitcoin is the sole uniquely credible form of digital monetary scarcity, settled at inception. Nat offered the cleanest reframe of the hour. You are either a Bitcoin maximalist or a fiat maximalist. Suze added the distinguishing test: no issuer, no CEO, no company, a fixed supply. The real disagreement was dollar tokens on Bitcoin rails. Nat argued it puts people one step from Bitcoin. Cory argued it perpetuates dollars using Bitcoin to do it, and invites government attention. Cory's read on the GENIUS Act: it built a dollar machine. A regulated dollar token can now appear simply as USD inside banking and payment apps, turning fintechs into marketers of dollars at scale. Store of value comes first, and the timeline is long. Cory posted a 2021 chart of his own to argue the framing held up and the timing did not. One guest made the case for AI agents driving payments. Suze's sharpest point was regulatory. The UK's Financial Conduct Authority applies one "same risk, same regulation" standard across the board, so its own rules cannot distinguish Bitcoin from a token spun up in thirty seconds. The hosts closed against trading. Conviction through the cycle rather than timing it, and Brady flagged the 200-week moving average near $64,000 as the level Bitcoin bounced from this summer.

Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok comments on the economic impact of the the US Treasury's strategic debt buyback operations. Speaking with Bloomberg's Romaine Bostick, Slok also discusses the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Chris Temple, Editor and Publisher of the National Investor, joins us to review the macroeconomic trends that are moving the markets, and his outlook on gold, silver, copper, critical minerals, oil, and the related resource equities.   We start off discussing recent fiscal and monetary policy in the US and abroad.  Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, recently intervened in the Japanese Yen, but it was largely ineffectual, as was the fiscal policy to try and control the long-end of the yield curve. Both initiatives were quickly reversed by the bond vigilantes. New Fed head, Kevin Warsh has lost some of his political capital by failing to hike rates, as inflation has crept higher, and the tone in the market is shifting slightly from shrugging all this off, to considering the challenges ahead. Chris outlines that while the Fed maintains it is an independent organization, there is going to be increased coordination and alliance between the US Treasury Department and theUS central bank.   Shifting over to commodities, we discuss the strong rally throughout the month of August in gold, silver, and precious metals equities in response to those macro forces. Chris had warned subscribers earlier in the year that things had become overbought and gotten ahead of themselves and to fade that rally, anticipating a medium-term sector pullback. He pointed out the corrective move in the PM sector, was then exacerbated by the war in Iran, when many felt that would be a bullish driver for gold and silver. One positive he highlights is that now gold and silver have started to ignore the higher interest rates and war, and focus more on the sovereign debt loads of nations around the world that are running out of options, desperate to stem the selling of bonds, and likely going to try and inflate their way out of the stagflation.   Next we shifted over to trends within copper, and the broad basket of Critical Minerals, where Chris makes the point that one can't paint them all with a broad brush, as some have unique fundamental or macro drivers. With regards to copper, he outlines that beyond the AI data center build out mania, EVs, and many popular narratives, that copper is still mostly needed for basic infrastructure build out, real estate construction, and the electrification of the developing world. Chris flags a few copper companies, preferring the opportunities in the advanced explorers and developers like Gunnison Copper Corp. (TSX: GCU) (OTCQB: GCUMF), Abitibi Metals Corp.(CSE: AMQ) (OTCQB: AMQFF), and Power Metallic Mines Inc. (TSXV: PNPN) (OTCBB: PNPNF) As far as the smaller niche' critical minerals sector, he reiterates that a lot of the reality is still around Chinese export controls, and the lack of viable alternatives for supply and processing in the west. We discuss this administration's policy initiatives, executive orders, and funding support to help advance some domestic projects. While he concedes this is the best tailwind for extractive industries in our lifetime, he also points out that it is not nearly enough money, support, or urgency, and much of what has been announced may very well get reversed if there are sweeping changes in congress for the upcoming mid-term elections.   Wrapping up, we get into the ongoing war with Iran, continued chokepoint in the Strait of Hormuz, longer-term damage to infrastructure, and what it all means to the energy sector. Chris explains what has kept the oil prices more subdued than many would have anticipated considering the supply shock hitting the world, but the highlights the very wide crack spreads between oil and refined products like diesel. The higher prices at the gas pumps, and record diesel prices are going to pressure consumers and businesses as this year progresses, and that inflation is going to impact Fed monetary policy and interest rates in a sustained way. Chris remains animated by the energy stocks and is holding on to them in his portfolio.      Click here to follow along with Chris at the National Investor website.     For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.    

Top of mind for the Inside Economics team this week is the surge in long-term interest rates. Colleague Martin Wurm joins the conversation to unpack why rates have risen so sharply, assess whether the U.S. Treasury's efforts to stem the increase will work, and consider the risk of a much more serious bond market sell-off. Fundamentally, the only real solution is for the nation to address its darkening fiscal outlook. Hmmm…. Guest: Martin Wurm Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Bitcoin gained roughly $12,000 on the week, and the hosts read the second leg through $72,000 as evidence of real buying rather than short liquidations alone Bitcoin reclaimed its 200-day moving average and pushed roughly 20% above its 200-week, after six weeks of trading along that longer average in the mid to low sixties Isaiah cites the market adage that nothing good happens below the 200-day, and notes that breaking back above it with strength is what makes the move notable James Check's realized profit and loss work frames bear markets in three phases, price pain, time pain, and bears in pain, with this week marking the third Brady and Isaiah revisit a thesis they have argued on the show for over a year, that ETFs and corporate treasury demand would put a floor under this cycle The drawdown reached roughly 50% from the $126,000 high, against 75% to 83% in the three previous bear markets, which the hosts attribute partly to a more restrained bull market and partly to declining volatility as Bitcoin monetizes The US Treasury bought about $4 billion of long-dated bonds to pull yields down, the effect lasted about 24 hours, and Treasury Secretary Bessent signaled larger and more frequent purchases ahead Isaiah compares the operation to Operation Twist and calls it quantitative easing by another name, monetizing debt without using the term, with no political will to curtail spending The hosts discuss capital potentially rotating back to Bitcoin from AI, where frontier labs are spending heavily without profitability while open source models close the gap The conversation closes on what debasement costs beyond prices, first-time buyers reaching their forties, delayed family formation, and the disappearance of building for generations rather than quarters ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Chris Temple, Founder and Publisher of The National Investor, joins us for a wide-ranging discussion on financial markets, monetary policy, commodities, and investing.He shares his perspectives on U.S. debt and interest rates, gold, copper, and uranium, as well as the growing energy and raw material demands associated with AI and critical mineral supply chains. He also discusses his approach to evaluating resource companies and managing portfolio risk as market conditions change.For more information on Chris and The National Investor, visit https://www.nationalinvestor.com/.Watch the full YouTube interview here: https://youtu.be/BAW-BbQDbtkAnd follow us to stay updated: https://www.youtube.com/@stockstowatchofficial 

We'd love to hear from you. What are your thoughts and questions?Mitch Mechigian joins Dr. Allen to demystify blockchain technology, moving beyond speculation to view it as the next generation of financial infrastructure. Discover how stablecoins and digital assets are modernizing global payments and why institutional interest is surging.The conversation explores the transition from speculative hype to real-world utility. By examining the rise of stablecoins and the regulatory shift in the US, the discussion highlights why major institutions like BlackRock are now entering the digital asset space, marking a shift toward long-term integration rather than niche experimentation.Main Points: Recognize blockchain as a tool for upgrading outdated analog financial systems.Analyze how stablecoins function as programmable, dollar-pegged assets for global trade.Evaluate the impact of evolving US regulatory frameworks on institutional crypto adoption.Compare the technical differences between traditional bank settlement and blockchain-based asset movement.Connect With Mitch Mechigian:mmechigian@fifthera.comhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/mitch-mechigian-b42b3572/https://twitter.com/BCoinvestors

Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin begin this episode by analyzing the powerful role earnings are playing in driving the U.S. stock market higher and what that means for investors. Liz Ann highlights that S&P 500 earnings growth is tracking around 51% for the second quarter, an unusually strong pace outside of a post-recession recovery. Collin explains why Schwab expects a "higher-for-longer" rate environment, with short- and longer-term Treasury yields likely remaining elevated as the economy stays resilient and inflation remains above the Fed's target. Then Collin sits down with former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Dr. Richard Clarida. They discuss how the Fed thinks about inflation, labor markets, supply shocks, productivity, and AI. Clarida argues that policymakers are trying to determine whether today's inflation pressures are temporary or indicative of a higher underlying trend. He also discusses the transition to new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, potential changes to Fed communications, and why AI could be inflationary in the near term but ultimately disinflationary through improved productivity over the next several years. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.  If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab. This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.  Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Currencies are speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.  Diversification, rebalancing, and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions  ISM refers to the Institute for Supply Management. (0826-VELR) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Bull markets don't last forever. The problem is... nobody rings a bell at the top. With the major indexes pushing near record territory, optimism remains high and investors continue pouring money into stocks. But a great viewer question got me thinking: What could actually cause this bull market to end? There isn't one simple answer. In today's episode, we'll break down the biggest threats facing the market and identify the warning signs traders and investors should be watching before sentiment changes. We'll discuss: Inflation – Could another acceleration in prices force the Federal Reserve to become more aggressive? Interest rates – At what point do higher rates become too much for stocks to handle? Bond yields – Could rising Treasury yields finally pull money away from equities? Unemployment – How much deterioration in the labor market would signal genuine economic trouble? Corporate earnings – Ultimately, stock prices need profits. What happens if earnings growth begins to stall? Valuations – How expensive is too expensive, especially in AI and technology? Geopolitics – Could an unexpected global event become the catalyst that finally changes investor sentiment? Market psychology – When everyone becomes bullish, complacency itself can become a risk. The key is understanding that none of these indicators exists in isolation. Inflation impacts interest rates. Interest rates impact bond yields. Higher borrowing costs impact businesses and consumers. Economic weakness impacts employment. And eventually, all of it flows through to corporate earnings. That's why calling the end of a bull market based on one indicator can be a huge mistake. Bull markets rarely die because of one headline. They end when the underlying conditions supporting higher prices begin to change. So what are those conditions telling us right now? That's what we'll break down on today's show. Listen now:

The failure, in plain terms A March 2021 firmware change altered how Coldcard generated entropy, leaving seeds near 40 bits instead of the 128 or 256 that makes the cryptography uncrackable, so attackers could simply run the space Who it hit Galaxy's tracking showed the first wave alone above 1,000 Bitcoin and roughly 1,400 to 1,500 total, weighted toward long-time savers stacking modest amounts rather than large addresses This was not a self-inflicted loss Isaiah drew the line clearly: people who use leverage and lose have made a choice, while these holders researched, chose the device with the strongest reputation, and still had nothing they could have done differently The warnings existed A seed collision in 2022 had two users seeing each other's transactions, and a later technical question was written off as FUD, which is why Guy Swan's point landed: the temperament you want in someone securing your savings is one that welcomes being told it might be broken The community response was the bright spot Rescues ran all weekend, and the decentralized Bitcoin Red Team has scanned around 425 Bitcoin repositories, funded by donations covering model access rather than by any single company One holder's response stood out Someone who lost roughly $1.6 million posted six days later that he was rebuilding his stack, still believed in Bitcoin, and would still self-custody Multisig held up Brady saw few or no reports of Coldcard multisig quorums being swept, because pairing keys is hard without the descriptor, and MARA's Slipstream let people move those funds through a private mempool instead of exposing them Swan is not advising Vault clients to move funds Vault runs two Blockstream Jades, chosen after a thorough review of the options and explained in Yan Pritzker's article published the same day, and Swan has now begun evaluating a second vendor so multi-vendor becomes an option Calle's finding is the AI story of the week Not one vulnerability was found by a US frontier model, while roughly $10,000 a day goes to open-weight models to audit Bitcoin infrastructure, because the American models refuse cybersecurity work outright Why we still need Bitcoin A year's salary buys about 90% less gold than in 1971, monetary inflation has run 396% against CPI's 96%, and real discretionary income after food, gas, interest and rent has fallen since 2011 ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

In this episode, Scott and Eric explore: Why "Bitcoin, not crypto" is more than a slogan — and what separates Bitcoin from the ~3,500 other digital assets The two functions of money (store of value vs. medium of exchange) and why no historically "sound" money has existed The 1913 creation of the Fed, the ~97% decline in the dollar's purchasing power, and the 1971 suspension of the gold standard Gold's "weight problem" and how Bitcoin's weightlessness and absolute scarcity are designed to address it What absolute scarcity (21 million cap) means versus gold's supply responsiveness to demand Why family offices think in third-to-fifth-generation terms — for both wealth and values Bitcoin as a "non-sovereign," bottom-up asset that reached regular people before elites Objection handling: volatility, "no intrinsic value," and correlation with the NASDAQ/tech markets Whether correlation invalidates the monetary thesis — and how the "frame" you enter from changes the answer Where Bitcoin sits in its adoption arc: currently more store of value than medium of exchange The self-custody vs. ETF trade-off, including multi-sig setups and downside-risk-mitigated ETF structures Where a skeptical-but-open advisor should begin their due diligence **This is the Optimized Advisor Podcast, where we focus on optimizing the wellbeing and best practices of insurance and financial professionals. Our objective is to help you optimize your life, optimize your profession, and learn from other optimized advisors. If you have questions or would like to be a featured guest, email us at optimizedadvisor@optimizedins.com Optimized Insurance Planning

From a massive balance sheet to the way the Fed communicates, Fed Chair's Kevin Warsh's new task forces will take a comprehensive look at U.S. monetary policy. Macroeconomist Joe Santos weighs in on the complicated work of reform now before the Fed.

Michael Strain of the American Enterprise Institute and colleague Matt Colyar join the Inside Economics crew to unpack a blockbuster week for the U.S. economy. A bizarre FOMC meeting, fresh GDP and inflation data, new readings on consumers, and financial market gyrations offered plenty to discuss. The group debates what it all means, where the economy is likely to head from here, and of course, play the numbers game. Guest: Michael Strain, Director of Economic Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Given the importance of the Federal Reserve to the global economy, I always watch the press conference after the Monetary Policy rate decision, the latest of which happened on Wednesday afternoon. Warsh evidently considering doing away with press conferences and on the performance we got, that may not be a bad idea. Actually, he spent … Continue reading "Is The FED All Talk And No Trousers?"

How are central banks addressing climate risk? James Talbot, Bank of England, explains how it's impacting inflation, asset prices, and insurance today, and how the Bank is responding through monetary policy, regulation, and financial stability to ensure resilience during the climate transition.

David Wessel is a senior fellow in economic studies at Brookings and is the director of the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy. In David's first appearance on the show, he discusses stories of the Greenspan Fed, what is was like in Europe when the euro was adopted, the legacy of the Powell Fed, his thoughts on the great man theory, the outlook for the Kevin Warsh Fed, the ongoing challenge of Fed independence, and much more. Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel! Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on June 15th, 2026 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow David Wessel on X: @DavidMWessel Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:48 - David's Career 00:19:30 - Legacies of Fed Chairmans 00:31:51 - Kevin Warsh Fed 00:43:34 - Fed Independence 00:55:13 - Outro

Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy. Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today's decisions. The statement also covers: • how the economy is performing • how we expect prices to develop • the risks to the economic outlook • the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions Published and recorded during our press conference on 23 July 2026. Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 23 July 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/visual-mps/2026/html/mopo_statement_explained_july.en.html Christine Lagarde, Boris Vujčić: Monetary policy statement, 23 July 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2026/html/ecb.is260723~b6fadd48f4.en.html Monetary policy decisions, 23 July 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.mp260723~29f24d99bc.en.html Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 23 July 2026 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/shared/pdf/ecb.ds260723~ef801dc812.en.pdf European Central Bank https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html #MonetaryPolicy #EuropeanCentralBank #ChristineLagarde #Finance #FinancialConditions #Inflation #EconomicActivity #EconomicOutlook #PressConference #Banking #CentralBanking #Podcast #Economics #EU #Europe #ECB

In this episode, we discuss how markets seem to be getting more sophisticated in distinguishing between different types of inflation – supply-driven or demand-driven – and they price monetary policy surprises accordingly.​‌ The discussion and content provided within this podcast is intended for informational purposes only and may not be appropriate for all investors. Reliance upon information provided in a podcast is at the sole responsibility of the listener. The information included herein is not based on any particularized financial situation, or need, and is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, a forecast, research, investment advice or a recommendation for any specific PIMCO or other security, strategy, product or service. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Investors should speak to their financial advisors regarding the investment mix that may be right for them based on their financial situation and investment objective. Podcasts may involve discussions with non-PIMCO personnel and such content contain the current opinions of the speaker but not necessarily those of PIMCO. Other podcasts may consist of audio recording of an existing PIMCO article and such material contains the current opinions of the manager. The opinions expressed in all podcasts are subject to change without notice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. PIMCO as a general matter provides services to qualified institutions, financial intermediaries and institutional investors. This is not an offer to any person in any jurisdiction where unlawful or unauthorized. For additional important information go to CMR2026-0521-5513952-T

The Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States. Its mandate is to promote the effective operation of the U.S. economy. Sometimes such high-flying agencies or policy influencing organizations can feel detached from the day-to-day experiences that make up the High Country economy. However, the Federal Reserve uses a network of economists and data analysts to ensure the voice of Main Street is being heard and helping inform Federal policy and direction.On this week's Mind Your Business, we visit with Bethany Greene, Regional Economist for the Charllotte Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Bethany monitors regional economic trends through data analysis and engagements with the business community in North and South Carolina. We'll discuss the role of the Fed, and how they extract data from locations across the region in a manner that ultimately shows up in policy shaping discussions. We'll also talk about the recent transition of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, what Western North Carolina can expect, economically speaking, as we move further away from the physical impacts of Hurricane Helene, and what's on the horizon in terms of economy shaping influences.Mind Your Business is written and produced weekly by the Boone Area Chamber of Commerce. This podcast is made possible thanks to the sponsorship support of Appalachian Commercial Real Estate.Catch the show each Thursday afternoon at 5PM on WATA (1450AM & 96.5FM) in Boone.Support the show

Ethan Harris, former Head of Global Economic Research at Bank of America, joins the Inside Economics team to discuss his views on the economy's resiliency, AI, and the Fed. Ethan expounds on the new Chair Kevin Warsh's stance on inflation and how to interpret his views from the latest Fed minutes. The team discusses whether AI is affecting productivity and the risks it poses to the wider economy and labor market. Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin discuss what may be one of the most important long-term shifts facing investors: the end of the "Great Moderation" Era, the roughly 25-year period characterized by globalization, low inflation, relatively stable economic growth, and favorable conditions for both stocks and bonds. Liz Ann argues that investors may be entering a more "Temperamental" Era marked by greater inflation volatility, shifting supply chains, geopolitical disruptions, and a different relationship between bond yields and stock prices.  The conversation explores how globalization, abundant labor, cheap goods, and plentiful energy helped suppress inflation for decades—and why those forces may be fading. Collin then examines the bond market, highlighting why Treasury yields remain elevated even as oil prices have retreated from recent highs. Inflation pressures beyond energy, resilient economic growth, and expectations for Federal Reserve policy are helping keep yields high. Finally, Collin and Liz Ann preview earnings season and next week's economic calendar.  Visit Schwab.com to read the article by Liz Ann Sonders and Kevin Gordon titled "Great Moderation Era: Drift(ing) Away." On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.  If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.  Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions  A hyperscaler is a large-scale cloud service provider that offers vast computing, storage, and networking resources through a distributed infrastructure of interconnected servers and software. (0726-B8XL) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Bob sits down with fund manager and author Lawrence Lepard to discuss his book The Big Print, which argues that the core problem with modern America is not corporate greed or partisan politics, but a monetary system deliberately structured to benefit those closest to the Fed at the expense of wage earners and savers.Related:The Big Print: What Happened To America And How Sound Money Will Fix It: Mises.org/HAP555a

Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist of New Century Advisors joins the team to break down Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting and press conference. The group covers the rate decision, changes to Fed communications, the dot plot's future, and what Warsh's balance sheet views signal for monetary policy ahead. The new Chair is in the seat, time will tell if it's a comfortable one. Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Bob sits down with economists Alexander Salter and Joshua Hendrickson to discuss their new paper arguing that the standard Austrian critique of the Fed while correct, is fundamentally incomplete. They argue that the Fed's actual institutional role is to backstop U.S. dollar hegemony: the deliberately constructed post-Bretton Woods system in which the dollar serves as the world's reserve currency, U.S. Treasuries as the global safe asset, and the Fed as buyer of last resort for sovereign debt worldwide.Related:Hendrickson & Salter, "Should We End the Fed? Can We?": Mises.org/HAP553a