Podcasts about QE

This week, Pete is rested after his holiday and may even be more tanned than Roger, for once! We answer a mixed bag of questions ranging from financial planning if you're on benefits to tax-free cash recycling and lots besides! Shownotes: https://meaningfulmoney.tv/QA24  01:38  Question 1 Hi there! I'm one of the very many people who look set to lose disability benefits (PIP and ESA) at the end of next year. I was disabled following an industrial injury 15 years ago and have a lifetime award of Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit assessed as 70% disabled which currently brings £155/week. It's definitely not enough to live on let alone pay the additional costs of being disabled. (there's no chance of recovery enough to work as I can't access healthcare but that's a long story) I am 50 and conventional life plans involve maintaining saving/investing  through midlife on the expectation of reduced income on retirement. But I'm now facing acute poverty for 15 years until I hit the relative luxury of state pension. (Assuming I can find the cash to buy the missing NI years!) I have some assets that are pretty badly managed on account of my being unwell, and in particular a second flat which has £7000pa post-grenfell service charges and so can neither be mortgaged, sold nor rented out until those repairs finally complete-if they ever do! I think I can afford to cover costs from cash savings/investments for maybe 5 years. But after that... Can you speak to the general point of financial planning for people with unconventional life trajectories, particularly disability, and especially what sort of financial information/support resources are available? I'm unsure if you've any specific suggestions for my situation to get me through a decade of sub-living income/cashable assets against potentially sustained high costs? Obvs I love what I can manage to get from the pod and was particularly interested when you've spoken of financial coaching. Cheers! Sam 10:06  Question 2 Hi Pete & Roger Loving the Q&A sessions. Even when topics aren't relevant to me it's still insightful to hear from other people and always educational to listen to your response. I suspect the answer to my question is simple but have yet to see an answer to it anywhere online! I have a cash ISA with T212 from 24/25 tax year and will have a new £20,000 to invest come April (cash ISA's are my preferred vehicle - long story!). Can I just add the new 20 to the existing ISA or do I need to take out a new one? And also, do I benefit from compound interest if I leave it all alone? Regards Maxi 13:06  Question 3 Hello I am loving the podcast and finding out about situations I would not have considered before listening. I don't know if you can help on this one, it's a bit of a tax question on CGT. We are a couple both with dual citizenship (Aus/British) and are planning a sabbatical break from working in 2026 for a minimum of 3 months, but this may turn into years. We have a house purchased in 2003 with no mortgage and want to know our CGT obligations if we were to be non residents when we sell our house? Also is this CGT obligation a tapering obligation like IHT when moving abroad? Kind regards, Sam 19:42  Question 4 Hello gents, Enjoying the podcast as always. Especially the Q&E episodes as I like to test myself to see if I would answer the questions the same as yourselves! My question, I am 20 years old and have recently got my Level 4 diploma with the CISI, and now looking to take the next steps in becoming a planner myself. The obvious route is to stick with the CISI, competing their Level 6 Advanced Financial Planning then the Level 7 Case Study to become CFP. However, just because it's obvious doesn't mean it's right! I seen that the CII's set up is completely different, lots a smaller exams, with the outcome being Chartered (not CFP). Am I overthinking this or are there pros and cons for each exam board. Also what is the different between CFP and Chartered? Many thanks, Lewis   27:28  Question 5 Hi Pete and Roger, Firstly, thanks for a great podcast - I've been listening for many years and often catch up with the latest episode whilst on the rowing machine at my local gym! I have a question regarding the pension recycling rules. In Feb 2024, I initiated a DB pension, taking £108,000 lump sum and a yearly amount of £15800. This was to pay off my partners property that we are both about to move into mortgage free. My total contribution was £200k and the remainder of the balance was from my savings. I currently earn £80k salary and have additional rental income from two properties I own of approx 10k net per annum. I am in the process of selling one of my properties and want to use the proceeds (after CG) to maximise my pension contributions  in tax year 25/26. So in total it would be about  £66K contributions (as I have carry over allowance from the past three years). Over the past 3 years my pension contributions on average have been approx. 35k per year.   I'm likely to retire within the next 18 months hence wanting to maximise my contributions during this time. However, my question is, would this higher pension contribution likely trigger the pension recycling rules because of the pension lump sum I took in 2024, even though that amount was used solely to pay off a property at the time? Many thanks and keep up the great work. Phil 37:05  Question 6 Hi Pete and Roger Thank you both for all you do. What do you think about keeping an emergency fund in a money market fund, rather than cash? Many thanks, Rob  

Parte II: Con el profesor César M. Meseguer destapamos la gran mentira de la inflación: cómo BCE/FED usan el sistema FIAT (tipos, QE, rescates) para licuar tu poder adquisitivo mientras te venden “estabilidad”. Del salto 1 € = 166,386 ptas al reetiquetado de precios y la pérdida crónica de ahorro; más control, menos efectivo. Explicamos por qué la moneda única favorece al Estado deudor y castiga al ahorrador, y cómo el oro actúa como ancla de valor a largo plazo. Si te dijeron que el euro era panacea, aquí va la letra pequeña que no sale en TV.  ✅¿Necesitas un PSI (Personal Shopper Inmobiliario) para acompañarte a invertir en bienes raíces en la Com.Madrid?: magnatesladrillo@gmail.com ✅Si vas en serio «La Biblia del Magnate del Ladrillo» está AQUÍ ✅

Gäste im Bernecker.TV - Podcast-Variante des Gesprächs von Walter Tissen (BerneckerTV) mit Robert Halver, Leiter der Kapitalmarktanalyse bei der Baader Bank, Aufzeichnung der Hauptsendung am 26.08.2025. Schlaglichter:++ Eindrücke zum Beitrag und Einleitung++ Jackson Hole als Fingerzeig für Fed-Linie?++ Fed - Unabhängigkeit in Gefahr?++ Zusätzlicher Treibstoff für Aktienmarkt durch QE?++ Wer zahlt die "Zoll-Zeche"?++ Hinweis auf Bernecker Investoren-Webinar++ Intel als Blaupause für staatliche Investments?++ Japan - Aktienchance für das Depot?++ Japan - Zinstendenz als Risikofaktor?++ Starker Euro als Ventil?++ Japan Aktien - Worauf sollte man achten?++ "Rot und Schwarz sind sich nicht miteinander grün"++ Politik Deutschland - Hang zum Sozialismus?++ Steuererhöhungen als Irrweg?++ Aktienmarkt Deutschland=======Jetzt informieren und registrieren zum Bernecker Investoren-Webinar mit Bernecker-Redaktionsleiter Volker Schulz. Infos:https://ichkaufeaktien.de/aktienchancen-2027/=======Lust auf noch mehr Sendungen im Bernecker.TV? Noch mehr unterschiedliche Experten? Infos zu Bernecker.TV:https://bernecker.info/bernecker-tv=======Anmeldung zum kostenlosen Experten-Newsletter der Bernecker-Redaktion über unsere Website:https://www.bernecker.info/newsletter

In this Monthly Wrap-Up, Craig Hemke sits down with Dr. Nomi Prins to decode the evolving Fed–Treasury dynamic, potential rate cuts and backdoor QE, and what it all means for gold, silver, copper, uranium, rare earths, and junior miners heading into September. You'll learn why policy shifts: Fed–Treasury “fusion,” appointments, and legal challenges—could be bullish for gold and silver; the realistic path to $5K gold and how a +50% surge can happen from here; the silver breakout setup near its 2011 high and the industrial kicker; why silver and copper landing on the U.S. critical minerals list matters for defense, AI, and energy; how uranium fast-tracking and rare earths factor into the commodity super-cycle; and how yield-curve talk, front-end cuts, and long-end moves ripple through metals.

Stephanie Pomboy returned this morning for her biweekly macro session on Thoughtful Money.We discussed her views on Fed rate cuts, inflation, credit spreads, the weakening consumer, recession risk, the housing market, her outlook for the US dollar…even the Taylor Swift/Travis Kelce engagement.Stephanie is eagerly awaiting next month's FOMC decision, as she thinks it has potential to be the event that punctures the market's current blind optimism — if the Fed starts cutting its policy rate but bond yields don't come down as hoped.What does she expect to happen if they don't?Find out by watching this video.And follow Stephanie at https://macromavens.com/Or on X at @spomboyLOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#federalreserve #inflation #marketcorrection 0:01 - Fed drama: Powell's Jackson Hole speech, staffing changes, and structural debates2:30 - Importance of Fed actions for financial markets and market mispricing8:15 - Potential triggers for bond yield declines: short squeeze or safety trade14:49 - Fed intervention risks: QE or operation twist amid economic slowdown20:05 - Investment strategy: Gold and energy as hedges against dollar debasement 9:03 - Inflation outlook: Disinflation expected due to consumer distress36:04 - Corporate margin squeeze and potential job losses41:41 - Why credit spreads remain tight despite economic risks48:30 - Housing market distress: High cancellations, cash-outs, and oversupply55:00 - Boomer aging and housing market headwinds58:13 - Thoughtful Money Fall Conference teaser, October 18th58:59 - Dollar outlook: Short-term strength, long-term decline vs. gold1:01:04 - Taylor Swift engagement's negligible economic impact1:03:30 - Where to follow Stephanie Pomboy's work_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

In this episode, founder of The Macro Compass Alfonso Peccatiello breaks down the clash between Trump's political influence on the Fed, the reality of U.S. fiscal policy, and how to think about global markets at this moment in time. We also dig into forward rate pricing, the TGA rebuild, and the role of commodities and crypto in a world of loose monetary and fiscal policy. Enjoy! __ Follow Alf: https://x.com/MacroAlf  Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance  Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_  Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx  Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance  __ Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london  __ This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):  http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):  vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:42) What's Happening with Monetary Policy? (07:46) What Fed Risk is the Market Pricing? (10:55) Bond Market & Fiscal Tightening (13:54) Understanding Changing Fiscal Impulse (14:51) VanEck Ad (15:34) Understanding Changing Fiscal Impulse (19:46) QE vs Fiscal Deficits (24:41) Impact of TGA Rebuild (29:27) Signal for Average Macro Traders (30:04) VanEck Ad (35:05) Investing in High Inflation & Growth (36:59) European Markets (40:31) US Dollar & Emerging Markets (43:54) Commodities Outlook (47:03) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell's hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell's capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed's coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell's Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump's Pressure and Powell's “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin's Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel's 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Boll & Branch: https://bollandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

O "Ulrich Responde" é uma série de vídeos onde respondo perguntas enviadas por membros do canal e seguidores, abordando temas de economia, finanças e investimentos. Oferecemos uma análise profunda, trazendo informações para quem quer entender melhor a economia e tomar decisões financeiras mais informadas.00:00 - Nesse episódio do Ulrich Responde...02:38 - Está na hora de uma intervenção nessa crise diplomática? 04:00 - Há risco de confisco ou quebradeira de bancos no Brasil? 06:58 - O cálculo do PIB já desconta a inflação? 07:32 - Como funciona a diminuição de reservas do Banco Central após QE? 08:50 - O governo conseguirá rastrear lucros na venda de cripto com a nova MP? 10:07 - Quais gatilhos políticos e sociais fariam você sair do Brasil? 11:51 - A previsão de colapso do Bitcoin faz sentido? 12:59 - Já chegamos ao topo do ciclo do Bitcoin? 15:06 - Austríacos rejeitam totalmente a economia mainstream? 18:57 - Juros sobre reservas bancárias podem gerar inflação? 21:11 - Acordo da União Europeia com os EUA foi bom para ambos? 22:35 - Michael Saylor é visionário ou está inflando uma bolha? 24:48 - Pode acontecer um novo confisco no Brasil como no Collor? 26:41 - Empresas como Apple e Google podem deixar o Brasil por multas do STF? 28:27 - Vale a pena manter 100% em ativos no exterior? 29:16 - É seguro manter todo o patrimônio em renda fixa no Brasil? 31:39 - Deflação seria benéfica para um bom governo? 33:23 - O encontro Trump-Putin foi mais produtivo que uma reunião do Fed? 38:41 - A inteligência artificial é o fim da verdade? 39:50 - Como a Rússia conseguiu resistir às sanções dos EUA? 42:47 - Já passamos do ponto de não retorno nas instituições brasileiras? 43:45 - Qual a melhor forma de um investidor conservador fugir do risco Brasil? 44:13 - Lula 2026: como interpretar as pesquisas atuais? 44:53 - Quais os primeiros passos para investir em dólar? 45:30 - Você torce contra o Brasil ao criticar tanto a economia?

Today's Post - Analyzing the Fed's Balance Sheet: Quantitative Easing and Tightening Explored In this week's Dividend Cafe, host David Boson, Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group, dives deep into the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, covering the concepts of quantitative easing (QE) and quantitative tightening (QT). With historical context dating back to the 2008 financial crisis, Boson discusses the evolution of the Fed's monetary policy tools, the implications of rate cuts, and the future outlook for financial markets. Key topics include the effects of QE on financial stability, comparisons to Japan's monetary policies, and how today's economic environment shapes future Fed actions. Boson also speculates on the potential impacts of the upcoming Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and what it means for market expectations. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:37 Current Market Expectations and Fed Rate Cuts 03:15 Understanding the Fed's Balance Sheet 03:57 History of Quantitative Easing (QE) 06:52 The Impact of QE on Financial Markets 14:21 Quantitative Tightening (QT) and Its Challenges 20:10 The Future of Fed Policies and Market Implications 27:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Roberto Rios, known online as Peruvian Bull, is a macro researcher and writer. He's best known for his Dollar Endgame series, where he explores global debt dynamics, reserve currency shifts, and the future of money. In this episode, Roberto joins The Bitcoin Frontier to share his insights on inflation mechanics, the breakdown of the yen carry trade, and how bitcoin fits into the global monetary reset. We dig into debt spirals, Triffin's dilemma, and why liquidity is the ultimate driver of financial markets.SUPPORT THE PODCAST:→ Subscribe→ Leave a review→ Share the show with your friends and family→ Send us an email: podcast@unchained.com→ Learn more about Unchained: https://unchained.com/?utm_source=you...→ Book a free call with a bitcoin expert: https://unchained.com/consultation?ut...TIMESTAMPS:0:00 – How QE, deficits, and government spending really drive inflation4:00 – Roberto's background, macro research journey, and Dollar Endgame series7:30 – Separating truth from propaganda in economics education12:00 – QE in 2010 vs. 2020: why one caused inflation and the other didn't16:00 – The 2022 rate hike cycle, liquidity drains, and banking crises20:30 – Reverse repo, TGA, and creative liquidity injections25:00 – Why global liquidity is the best barometer for bitcoin's price31:00 – Triffin's dilemma and the birth of the dollar system37:00 – Foreigners owning US assets and the long-term risk to Americans43:00 – The simulacrum of markets: why asset prices detach from reality46:00 – The US debt spiral and foreign demand for Treasuries52:00 – Long-term debt risks, short-term bills, and emerging market dynamics57:00 – Breakdown of the yen carry trade and why it matters globally1:03:00 – Japan as a testing ground for future Federal Reserve policies1:06:00 – How bitcoin solves Triffin's dilemma and fits into the new order1:09:00 – Where to follow Roberto and his Dollar Endgame researchWHERE TO FOLLOW US:→ Unchained X: https://x.com/unchained → Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter→ Trey Sellers' Twitter: https://x.com/ts_hodl

In this week's smallcap investing show, UK equity analyst & markets commentator Paul Scott & I discussed our latest thoughts on 19 stock ideas. 00:00 Macro thoughts, valuations, QE and UK smallcaps  (05:30 Ultimate Products) 09:50 Treatt 18:50 Warpaint 22:15 CREO Medical 26:20 Supermarket Income REIT 28:50 Gambling stocks & Rank Group 30:35 Mears 34:00 Pennant International 38:10 Gemfields 40:45 Shoe Zone 44:25 XP Factory 49:20 Altitude Group 50:50 DotDigital 53:35 Trufin 57:20 Calnex 61:05 Beeks Financial 64:25 MHA 67:15 Pagegroup 70:30 B&M 73:35 Softcat

“We're moving into another massive QE program,” warns Garrett Goggin, founder of Golden Portfolio and a leading gold and silver expert, in this exclusive conversation with Daniela Cambone. Goggin sees a seismic shift ahead as the Treasury and the Fed work in lockstep to finance ballooning U.S. debt, driving rates lower and flooding the system with liquidity. “This is truly gold's time,” he asserts, pointing to a historic setup where overpriced growth assets give way to deeply undervalued cyclical plays like gold miners — some trading at up to a 70% discount to fair value. With major producers “gushing cash” and retail investor exposure to gold still near decade lows, Goggin believes the sector is primed for a powerful revaluation. “When Buffett can't find value in growth, he'll come for the miners,” he adds, emphasizing that record debt, political spending, and a weakening dollar are “the perfect storm” for gold and silver to go ballistic. Read more about Garrett's work here: https://get.goldenportfolio.com/gpiv_buffettindicator/?tid=1e9d98715a524fef86651606b01dce0a&aid=59&_ef_transaction_id=1e9d98715a524fef86651606b01dce0a✅ FREE RESOURCESDownload the Ultimate Decision-Making Guide on Gold & Silver plus Daniela Cambone's Top 10 Lessons to safeguard your wealth (FREE)

Investing in Bizarro World Episodes: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIAfIjKxr02sAztzlJNy1ug5bDvTVZkME&si=w2d_EF-B5jMo1dYD Subscribe to Investing In Bizarro World: @bizarroworld The free version of the 327th episode of Investing in Bizarro World is now published, with special guest Rudy Havenstein.A big thanks to Rudy for coming on the podcast. If you like what you hear, you can follow him on X (Twitter) @RudyHavenstein: https://x.com/RudyHavenstein or check out his Substack — A Havenstein Moment: https://rudy.substack.com/Here's what was covered:Macro Musings - Special guest Rudy Havenstein joins Gerardo and Nick to dissect the Epstein coverup — calling it the biggest scandal since JFK. The trio connect the dots between intelligence agencies, blackmail, arms trafficking, and a government that shuts down for summer instead of telling you who raped the kids. Rudy explains why Epstein was an intelligence asset used to manipulate global elites. They're not trying to punish. They're trying to control. The discussion covers Trump's reversal, the cowardice of Congress, the complicity of media, and the institutional rot that pervades both parties.Market Takes - A short segment this week as the Fed's role in wealth inequality takes center stage. Rudy and the hosts break down how zero interest rates (ZIRP), QE, and mortgage-backed security purchases created today's asset bubbles, destroyed housing affordability, and fueled class division. The Fed is a private cartel that picks winners and losers—and you're not one of them. Bizarro Banter - Elon, eugenics, and the elite's obsession with transhumanism. Gerardo and Nick ask Rudy whether anything can really change. The conversation turns to hope, skepticism, Ross Perot, Ron Paul, and the next generation. “If Epstein was guilty of trafficking girls… to no one, then who the hell is paying off all these victims?”Premium Portfolio Picks - For paid listeners only. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/41ghcXn0:00 Introduction0:06 Macro Musings: Epstein, Intelligence Blackmail, and Political Cowards. Elon, Eugenics, and the Rot of the Ruling Class34:54 Market Takes: Fed Lies, Wealth Theft, and Housing Corruption46:39 Premium Portfolio Picks: A Gold Developer. A Copper Prospect Generator. Two Lithium Rebound Stocks. (You need to subscribe to Bizarro World Live to get this section) Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/41ghcXnPLEASE NOTE: There are now two versions of this podcast. 1. Bizarro World Live — Pay $2 per episode to watch us record the podcast live every Thursday and get Premium Portfolio Picks every week. Plus an archive of all premium episodes. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/41ghcXn2. Bizarro World Free — Published the Monday after the live recording with no Premium Portfolio Picks.Visit our website Daily Profit Cycle for more content like this and more! https://dailyprofitcycle.com/

The US is ramping up its issuance of Treasury debt.Today's expert is concerned that this form of "fiscal QE" will lead to a resurgence in inflation, higher bond yields, a risk asset sugar high, a weaker dollar...and quite possibly a development market bond crisis.To understand why, today we're fortunate to sit down with Simon White, Macro Strategist at Bloomberg and co-founder of the investment-advisory firm Variant Perception.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bondmarket #debtcrisis #deficit 0:00 - Global Economic Outlook5:58 - Why Markets Ignore Risks7:34 - Market Optimism and Trump Policies9:17 - Tariff Burden Sharing12:54 - Tariffs and Inflation15:37 - Tariff Strategy Evaluation18:51 - Strategic Tariff Implications22:00 - Fiscal QE Definition and Impact29:38 - Fiscal QE and Fed Policy Conflict32:37 - Unemployment and Recession Risks38:18 - Fiscal QE's Market and Economic Effects44:32 - Bond Crisis and Economic Outlook46:40 - Financial Repression and Stablecoins50:06 - Investment Implications58:32 - Closing and Resources1:01:17 - Parting Advice on Health and Wealth_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.

On this week's episode of The Rate Guy we discuss this week's inflation data, GDP, the effect of the Big Beautiful Bill on the 10T and could QE be an option to cutting rates. 

The country's top bank regulators have proposed a major change to the banking rules. Some say this is like a stealth QE, everyone else appears equally confused. We'll get into what the new changes mean. More important, where these various ratios came from and why bank they are so hyped when they really shouldn't be. Eurodollar University's Make It Make Cents*****If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/************You can still watch the webinar replay here:https://event.webinarjam.com/go/replay/29/3y5kpclzi20tz1t5******https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In this episode, Parasar Saha founder and CEO of Digy4 shares insights from his journeys across multiple countries, meeting with global enterprises to uncover real-world challenges teams face in achieving quality at scale. The discussion dives into the importance of data visibility, the pitfalls of focusing on the sheer quantity of tests over their real value, and how testers can transform technical data into business outcomes that resonate with the C-suite. Parasar reveals why most organizations struggle with fragmented tools, overwhelming data, and telling a compelling story about quality's business impact—even in the age of AI. Whether you're looking to elevate the role of QE in your organization, make your testing results more meaningful, or simply want to know how to get a seat at the executive table, this conversation is packed with practical advice and thought-provoking strategies. Tune in and discover how measuring the right things, and telling the right story,can take your automation efforts (and your career) to the next level!

Paul Buitink spreekt Jeroen Blokland over oplopende schulden, dalende rente en dreigende inflatie. Welke rol is er weggelegd voor goud in deze onzekere tijden?Jeroen waarschuwt dat het verhogen van de defensie-uitgaven naar 5 procent van het bbp uiteindelijk zal resulteren in oplopende schulden en inflatie. Dreigt er daarnaast een toekomst met steeds meer gezamenlijke Europese schulden?Frankrijk is volgens Jeroen de zwakste schakel in de eurozone. Het lukt het land maar niet om het begrotingstekort terug te dringen. Volgens hem staan de ‘geldpersen' al klaar om Frankrijk te redden, de enige vraag is wanneer ze aangezet worden. Gaat de rente weer naar 0 procent?Hoe zit het eigenlijk met de onafhankelijkheid van de Amerikaanse centrale bank? Volgens Jeroen domineren fiscale belangen momenteel de keuzes. Welk beleid kan de Fed in de huidige situatie nog voeren? En gaat het de Amerikanen lukken om genoeg te bezuinigen op de overheidsuitgaven?De dollar lijkt terrein te verliezen als reservemunt. Welke munt kan deze rol overnemen? Kunnen we in de nabije toekomst een nieuwe goudstandaard verwachten?Tot slot bespreken ze het probleem van beleggen in private equity, de ontwikkelingen rondom bitcoin en de olieprijs.Jeroen Blokland op X: https://x.com/jsbloklandHet fonds van Jeroen: https://bloklandfund.com/nl/Overweegt u om goud en zilver aan te kopen? Dat kan via de volgende website: https://bit.ly/3xxy4sYTimestamps00:00 Intro01:33 Navotop, Defensieuitgaven & Eurobonds05:41 Nederlandse Politiek06:57 Frankrijk, ECB & Inflatie11:22 Rente weer naar 0?14:33 Fed onafhankelijkheid & Trump20:00 Bezuinigingen, Elon Musk & Dollar23:49 Geldontwaarding & terugkeer QE?25:57 Goud, euro & yuan31:45 Private Equity35:50 Bitcoin 39:50 Olieprijs Twitter:@Hollandgold: https://twitter.com/hollandgold@paulbuitink: https://twitter.com/paulbuitinkLet op: Holland Gold vindt het belangrijk dat iedereen vrijuit kan spreken. Wij willen u er graag op attenderen dat de uitspraken die worden gedaan door de geïnterviewde niet persé betekenen dat Holland Gold hier achter staat. Alle uitspraken zijn gedaan op persoonlijke titel door de geïnterviewde en dragen zo bij aan een breed, kleurrijk en voor de kijker interessant beeld van de onderwerpen. Zo willen en kunnen wij u een transparante bijdrage en een zo volledig mogelijk inzicht geven in de economische marktontwikkelingen. Al onze video's zijn er enkel op gericht u te informeren. De informatie en data die we presenteren kunnen verouderd zijn bij het bekijken van onze video's. Onze video's zijn geen financieel advies. U alleen kunt bepalen hoe het beste uw vermogen kunt beleggen. U draagt zelf de risico's van uw keuzes.Bekijk onze website: https://www.hollandgold.nl

Some of the most insightful investment conversations start with a single question: “What do you believe that most of your peers disagree with?” In this episode of Excess Returns, Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler dive into 11 controversial investing takes—from QE and technical analysis to macro obsession and fee structures. You'll hear nuanced perspectives from top investors who challenge conventional wisdom, and you might even find yourself rethinking your own beliefs.

欢迎收听雪球出品的财经有深度，雪球，国内领先的集投资交流交易一体的综合财富管理平台，聪明的投资者都在这里。今天分享的内容叫有色金属，降息预期下的投资思考，来自十年财务自由之路。6月28日，受美国232条款铜进口调查影响，交易商将创纪录的铜运往美国，以规避潜在进口关税，这导致非美地区出现短缺。“抢铜大战”爆发，伦敦金属交易所的可交割库存规模已大幅暴跌约80%，目前仅相当于全球一天的用量。受此影响，所谓的明日/次日价差指标周四进一步攀升至惊人的每吨溢价98美元，创下了自2021年伦敦金属交易所遭遇历史性轧空风暴以来的最高水平。传导至A股，本周五工业金属板块大涨3.57%，有色板块成为今年涨幅最好的板块。有色板块，主要包括以黄金为代表的贵金属、以铜铝为代表的工业金属和以镍锂为代表的金属品种。平安证券研报认为：以黄金为代表的贵金属，受益于美元信用体系弱化等核心主线，价格中枢有望持续抬升；以铜铝为代表的工业金属，受益于QE及自身基本面逻辑，弹性有望加速释放。以镍锂为代表的能源金属，商品属性仍为定价核心要素，考虑到处于出清周期内，仍需等待基本面驱动。工业金属，尤其是铜，是我想要一探究竟的。工业金属具备金融和商品两方面属性，金融属性主要受美联储加息降息影响，商品属性主要体现在供需格局方面。Ⅰ：量化宽松量化宽松对于大宗商品的传导路径如下，大宗商品多以美元计价，美元指数走弱对大宗商品定价有显著影响，主要体现在推高以美元计价的大宗商品价格。过去几年，美债利率一直维持在高位，虹吸全球流动性。随着降息预期将近，释放的流动性必然会寻求新的价值洼地，处在高位的美股到时将会面临压力。Ⅱ：供需格局商品属性，主要体现在供需格局。供给多了，价格自然下降。供给少了，需求上来了，商品价格自然涨起来。对于以铜铝为代表的工业金属，供给是相对受限的。以铜为例，供给端：海外主要铜矿企业2025年Q1产量总体下行，2025年计划产量较2024年实际产量多现回落。从海外主要头部铜矿企业表现来看，除必和必拓、力拓以及安托法加斯塔外，多数矿企2025年Q1铜产量环比现小增或大幅下降，样本总计Q1铜产量同比下降3.5%。全年维度来看，预计铜产量合计1013.7万吨，较2024年同比下降2%。需求端：铜广泛应用于电力、建筑、电子、交通、机械、能源、家电及高科技领域。2025年，前十名铜消费国家分别是中国、美国13%、日本10%、印度，7%；德国6%，韩国5%，俄罗斯4%，巴西、加拿大、墨西哥各占3%中国，作为全球最大的铜消费国，中国的铜消费量在2024年达到约1200万吨，占全球总消费量的约44%。从整体来看，不管是中国经济发力基建，还是全球，需求相对还是可以的。铜库存，短期承压。针对铜价后续走势，高盛表示，将2025年下半年LME铜价预测上调至平均9890美元每吨，并预计铜价有望在8月达到10050美元每吨的峰值。目前不管是从QE还是供给端，都是对铜有利的。铜金属龙头股有哪些？紫金矿业——全球扩张的“矿业联合国”作为中国唯一跻身全球前五的铜业巨头，紫金矿业在五大洲布局铜矿资产，6200万吨铜资源储量占全国半壁江山。其西藏巨龙铜矿二期投产后，矿产铜产能将突破60万吨/年，2025年全球产量目标直指115万吨。确定性和估值都还不错。江西铜业——全产业链的“定海神针”国内最大综合性铜企，拥有从矿山到深加工的完整产业链。140万吨阴极铜产能稳居行业首位，铜矿自给率超40%构筑成本护城河。优点是估值低，不足之处，铜加工环节利润率过低。洛阳钼业——新能源金属的“双核引擎”刚果TFM与KFM铜矿构成全球级资源组合，铜金属资源量超3444万吨。2024年铜钴产量突破60万吨，与宁德时代合作锁定新能源金属供应渠道。西部矿业——盐湖提锂的“跨界先锋”青海铜矿开发主力军，铜产品贡献67%营收，高弹性特质使其在铜价上涨周期业绩爆发力显著。锡铁山铅锌矿伴生铜资源实现综合回收，吨矿净利提升20%。盐湖提锂技术嫁接矿业开发，形成“铜+锂”双轮驱动模式，资源综合利用能力构筑独特竞争壁垒。

Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management and Manager of the Euro Pacific Gold Fund, to discuss the economic and monetary landscape under President Trump's second term, the implications of tariffs, and the outlook for gold and other commodities. Adrian begins by addressing the potential impact of Trump's trade policies, particularly tariffs, on inflation and the global financial system. He argues that while tariffs are often seen as inflationary, they can be deflationary by reducing demand for certain goods. However, he warns that a weakening U.S. dollar and a potential loss of its reserve currency status could lead to higher inflation domestically, as dollars previously held abroad return to the U.S. Adrian emphasizes that while the U.S. dollar's dominance is not immediately threatened, Trump's policies could accelerate its decline, with significant consequences for the economy. The conversation then shifts to the U.S. debt market, where Adrian highlights the challenges of financing the growing deficit. He notes that major buyers of U.S. Treasuries, such as China and Japan, are reducing their holdings, and domestic buyers like regional banks and the Federal Reserve are also pulling back. This could lead to higher interest rates and increased pressure on the U.S. economy. Adrian predicts that the Federal Reserve may eventually return to quantitative easing (QE) to support the bond market, which would be bullish for gold. He also discusses the disconnect between gold prices and gold mining stocks, attributing it to the lack of participation from North American investors. However, he believes this is changing as economic conditions shift, with gold stocks offering significant value and expanding margins. Adrian also touches on other commodities, particularly copper and uranium, which he sees as critical for the global energy transition. He concludes by advising investors to focus on value rather than price, emphasizing that the gold market is still in its early stages of a bull run. Timestamps:0:00:00 - Introduction00:01:22 - Trump & U.S. Trade Policy00:06:30 - Multi Res. Currency World00:09:13 - A Bretton Woods Event?00:13:42 - Cad. Dairy & Tariffs00:15:57 - U.S. Economic Concerns?00:22:12 - U.S. Debt Global Outlook00:34:26 - Fed Rates & Q.E.00:40:20 - Gold & Market Participants00:45:28 - Gold Sentiment00:48:28 - Gold & Geopolitical Risk00:51:58 - Monetary Response & Gold00:54:39 - Gold Price & Mining Equities01:00:29 - GSR, Silver, & Cycles01:05:02 - Royalty Companies & Value01:07:30 - Capital & Explorers01:10:42 - Other Sectors/Countries01:16:12 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Website: https://adrianday.com/ Adrian Day is considered a pioneer in promoting the benefits of global investing in the United Kingdom. A native of London, after graduating with honors from the London School of Economics, Mr. Day spent many years as a financial investment writer, where he gained a large following for his expertise in searching out unusual investment opportunities around the world. He has also authored two books on the subject of global investing: International Investment Opportunities: How and Where to Invest Overseas Successfully and Investing Without Borders. His latest book, widely praised by readers, is Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks (Wiley, 2010). Mr. Day is a recognized authority in both global and resource investing. He is frequently interviewed by the press, domestically and abroad. He is a popular speaker and is frequently invited to lecture at financial conferences and seminars around the world. His pleasures include fine dining, reading (especially history), and the opera.

In this episode of Soar Financially, Jim Iuorio returns to break down the hidden cracks in the U.S. economy, why inflation isn't done yet, and what's really going on with gold, silver, and the dollar. He explains why central banks are piling into gold, how the Fed's credibility is on the line, and whether the U.S. dollar is still the “safe haven” it once was. From bond auctions to tariffs, and stagflation to Bitcoin, Jim shares his unfiltered view of the chaos ahead.#gold #marketcrash #iran ------------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------

Sometimes you think you know a game before you've played it. Sometimes all your assumptions were correct, and it works its way into your heart anyway. Tara (Tara's Bad Luck Club) joins us to talk about games that won us over despite being decidedly not our type. Kenan tells us about the trick-taker that helped him make sense of trick-taking. Alba quizzes us on our knowledge on non-existent bands. Then we reveal the exceptions to our rules and all of yours. Topics include tapping into nostalgia, family gaming traditions, My Favorite Things, Ra, For Sale, Power Grid, Rising Sun, pacing in bidding games, grudges that extend into replays, Landmarks, Codenames, limited communication, the entertainment value of miscommunication, putting a map on it, games that depend on shared references, gaming with moms, Magic Maze, real-time games, Bullet, buyer's remorse, QE, Nidavellir, whether set collection is for babies, big teaches, whether word association is for normies, Bohnanza and negotiation, One Night Ultimate Werewolf and Blood on the Clocktower and Shifted and Feed the Kraken and social deduction, Invincible and bag-building and IP's, That's Not a Hat and party games, Spirit Island and Sky Team and Last Bastion and co-op games, whether memory is for babies, whether you should ever play three card monte (spoiler: no), whether life is a game worth playing (spoiler: yes), whether exceptions prove rules (spoiler: sorta), and whether our biases need to be re-examined (spoiler: no). Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Deezy goes over what has been the easiest signal to trade for altcoins, Quantitative Easing. The US government's action this week is setting the stage for yet another round of QE. Make sure you're prepared this time! 

Israel attacked Iran overnight. How is the market reacting to the attack? We take a look at Gold, Oil, the Dollar and a lot more. We further discuss the current state of the economy, the stock market and where we are in the commodity cycle! #gold #israel #iran

Former Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig joins Soar Financially to break down the real challenges facing the Federal Reserve in 2025. From rising tariffs and inflation to the risk of renewed QE and Fed independence under fire — this interview reveals what's really happening behind the scenes at the FOMC and Jackson Hole.#federalreserve #economy #qe ------------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------

The head of NATO issues his starkest warning yet about Russia's readiness for war. We speak to Ed Arnold, a senior research fellow at the defence think-tank RUSI and a former infantry officer.In Ukraine, drone warfare is reaching ever-more sophisticated levels. We look at how this single weapon is changing warfare with Dr. Ulrike Franke, a Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations.And the Royal Navy's Carrier Strike Group makes its way through the Red Sea – what next for this projection of UK military power? We get the thoughts of Commodore Steve Prest who was the Commander Weapon Engineer on Britain's other carrier, HMS Queen Elizabeth. He was also part of the top-level team that brought the QE out of build and into sea trials.

In this episode, host Sandy Vance sits down with Rob Stein of C2 Solutions, a division of Intellias, to explore how smart hospitals and connected device technology are reshaping the future of healthcare—both inside the hospital room and across rural communities.From defining what makes a hospital truly "smart" to navigating the challenges of interoperability and integration, this conversation offers a clear-eyed look at what it takes to go digital in healthcare today. Rob shares how Intellias is helping healthcare organizations modernize infrastructure, drive better patient outcomes, and expand care delivery beyond hospital walls.Whether you're a health IT leader, provider, or innovator looking to stay ahead of digital trends, this episode offers insights into the real-world challenges and opportunities of building smarter, more connected care systems.In this episode, they talk about:

Send us a textThe fuse is already burning.This isn't empire. This is captivity masquerading as privilege. For decades, the dollar system was sold as sovereign strength. But behind the curtain, it was scaffolding, a fragile architecture supporting global imbalances that no one dared to fix.China floods us with goods. We print the debt. They hoard the collateral. This isn't trade. It's a hostage exchange. America supplies the deficits; the world returns them as liabilities. The Fed isn't king. The Fed is janitor.QE wasn't stimulus. QE was retaliation. It crushed real rates, drained foreign rentiers, and exposed the parasitic model for what it was: tribute disguised as liquidity. The pegs were never anchors, they were fuses waiting for ignition. A conduit for sovereign retaliation.External price fixed. Target domestic prices. A massive property bubble. Chinese Metropolises flaring incandescently.China's yuan weakens not to grow, but to survive. Devaluation at the bottom isn't stimulus. It's deflationary warfare. Japan faces its own reckoning. The yen's collapse is no longer unthinkable. The credibility of their collateral is evaporating. The capital flow reverses. The bid on Treasuries vanishes.And so the Fed faces its final choice: defend equities or defend the sovereign bond. There will be no third option. Duration is destiny. The safe asset becomes the kill switch.This is no longer a functioning market. It's a monetary knife fight. AI roars forward. Capital misallocates. Asset bubbles swell as wages stagnate. Consumption shrinks. Inflation morphs into impoverishment.We stand at the ledge: one step from euphoria, one step from collapse. A new 1990s or a new 1930s. The myths are dead. The structures brittle. The old rules obsolete.Exorbitant privilege? That era has closed. The dollar remains but not as a throne. As a contract. As a negotiation. As the final line holding the system together.The park opens in five minutes.Subscribe to Substack before the gates slam shut.

Today, Deezy goes over an almost foolproof signal for altcoins… Quantitative Easing. But what is QE and how does it affect markets? Then Deezy shares an altcoin that might enjoy this new QE environment.

David Rosenberg says the U.S. recession isn't coming, it's already here. In this urgent interview with Trey Reik (Part I of II), Rosenberg explains how trillions in post-COVID stimulus masked economic pain, why that fiscal support is now gone, and how Wall Street is misreading the signals. He breaks down the Fed's biggest policy errors, including Jay Powell's obsession with legacy over leadership. Rosenberg warns that the Fed is ignoring its own Beige Book and that both soft and hard data now point clearly to contraction. From consumer stress and housing unaffordability to labor market weakness and collapsing business investment, the red flags are multiplying. Key topics discussed: Why Rosenberg thinks the recession has already started The Fed's credibility crisis and Powell's “legacy problem” How government stimulus distorted the economy Rising uncertainty from trade and tariffs Housing and labor market red flags The only sector still showing strength: AI and data centers Why Treasuries are his top conviction trade This is Part I of a 2-part interview. Part II will be released next Monday. Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss it! Volatility got you concerned? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/45aIwsZ Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Chapters: 1:02 - The Last Time Rosenberg Was Bullish, and What Changed 5:55 - 2022-2023: The Recession That Never Came. What Went Wrong? 19:47 - Soft Data Says GDP Is Shrinking 26:07 - Are the Job Numbers Real… or a Mirage? 33:03 - Powell's Fed: Legacy or Liability? 38:26 - Was 2021's QE the Biggest Policy Mistake Ever? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #Economy #Recession #FederalReserve #InterestRates #DavidRosenberg #Markets #Stocks #Bonds #Treasuries #Macro ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

“They're not calling it QE, but that's exactly what it is,” says Michael Gentile, founder partner at Bastion Asset Management. He tells Daniela Cambone that the Fed's quiet purchase of $43 billion in U.S. bonds signals “how precarious the situation” has become—with rising deficits, fewer natural buyers of U.S. debt, and the Fed increasingly forced to intervene. As a result, central banks around the world are rotating out of the U.S. dollar and into physical gold, driving a multi-decade structural shift in global reserve strategy. “We're seeing a multi-year, multi-decade rotation out of U.S. dollar assets into gold,” he states. Watch the full video to discover how to better protect your wealth in these uncertain times. Even better — join Daniela Cambone and Michael live tomorrow (May 29, 2025) in Montreal, Canada for an exclusive conversation on “Building Generational Wealth.” Sign up for the event here:https://www.zeffy.com/en-CA/ticketing/building-generational-wealth

穆迪降評事件過後，至此美國已遭三大信評機構全數降評，美債的供給面有大量到期與大量發債的問題，需求面又有對美國市場信心的疑慮，究竟應該怎麼解讀呢？ 本集邀請美國研究員 Ralice 來聊聊，穆迪降評對市場的影響，以及美債供需的擔憂與風險，最後也將一一解析未來美國在債務、利息、與減税額的三重夾擊下，我們提供的兩大解法！

This week, we discuss the U.S. fiscal pivot, soaring deficits, and what it means for bond markets, Bitcoin, and global capital flows. We also debate whether Japan is the canary in the coal mine for sovereign debt risks, if QE is still politically viable, the housing market crisis, and why Bitcoin and foreign equities may be the only rational long-term trades. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zNQbt0lyXLmZQYf-56mneLpPxFNJ5y7h/view?usp=sharing — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions. Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information. Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding. Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network's bridged assets with ~$200M in aBTC minted. Check out https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ to learn more! — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:46) Big Beautiful Bill (06:47) There's One Trade (09:39) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham) (11:21) Government Spending Problem (14:10) US Economic Data (16:55) Housing Market Crisis (22:12) Global Collateral & JGBs (27:21) Food Prices & Labor (30:46) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham) (33:10) Bond Yields & Inflation (38:32) Liquidity & Collateral Stress (42:03) US Equities Still Safe? (50:37) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

What if the crypto bull market already started and most people missed it? Arthur Hayes returns to the show and drops a masterclass on why April 9th was the real Fed pivot, how Treasury buybacks are the stealth QE nobody's watching, and why Bitcoin could hit $200K before you've had your summer vacation.~~~~~

The Dollar Standard, Global Liquidity, and the Coming Economic Reckoning In my expansive and highly accessible conversation with renowned economist Richard Duncan, we discuss the logic behind his long-running critique of the international monetary system, a system Richard calls the Dollar Standard where he explains why current U.S. policy moves, the system could come crashing down.   The Origins of the Dollar Standard and America's “Exorbitant Privilege” The Dollar Standard, Duncan explains, evolved out of the collapse of the Bretton Woods system (implemented after WWII) in 1971. Under Bretton Woods, currencies were pegged to the U.S. dollar, and the dollar was pegged to gold. But when other countries accumulated more dollars than the U.S. had gold, President Nixon suspended dollar convertibility, effectively ending the gold standard.   What replaced it was a floating currency regime and the birth of the Dollar Standard. Crucially, the U.S. began running persistent trade deficits, importing goods and sending dollars abroad. These dollars, in turn, were recycled by foreign central banks, especially in trade surplus countries like China and Japan, into U.S. dollar-denominated assets, primarily Treasuries, but also equities and real estate.   This loop, Duncan argues, created America's “exorbitant privilege”: the ability to fund government spending and consumer imports at artificially low interest rates, because foreign buyers are constantly reinvesting in U.S. debt and assets.   The phrase "exorbitant privilege" was first coined by Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, who later became President of France, but at the time was serving as France's Minister of Finance under President Charles de Gaulle in the 1960s.   He used the term to criticize the unique advantages enjoyed by the United States under the Bretton Woods system, particularly the ability to run persistent deficits by issuing debt in its own currency (the U.S. dollar), while foreign nations had to hold and use those dollars to trade and build reserves.   Giscard and de Gaulle saw this as an unfair financial hegemony that allowed the U.S. to “live beyond its means” at the expense of others. The phrase was intended as a critique but, ironically, it's now often used in a neutral or even admiring tone by economists.   How Global Credit Became a Bubble Machine Duncan makes the case that this system, while benefiting the U.S. enormously, has been fundamentally destabilizing for the rest of the world.   As surplus countries absorb dollar inflows, their central banks convert them into local currency, often by printing their own money. That liquidity ends up in domestic banking systems, fueling excessive credit growth, asset bubbles, and financial crises.   It happened in Japan in the late 1980s. It triggered the Asian Financial Crisis in the late 1990s. And it helped fuel China's real estate boom and the global credit bubble that preceded the 2008 collapse.   Notably, Duncan predicted the 2008 financial crisis in his 2003 book, The Dollar Crisis, warning that runaway global imbalances would eventually lead to a systemic shock. He now argues that post-2008 bailouts and quantitative easing (QE) only expanded the bubble rather than fixing the problem.   Trump's Trade Doctrine: Potential to Destabilize the System Fast forward to 2025: Trump is back in office, and his administration is moving quickly to reshape global trade.   Duncan's concern is that the Trump administration's effort to eliminate the U.S. trade deficit by imposing high tariffs and pursuing a strategic devaluation of the dollar, undermines the very structure that has sustained U.S. prosperity and global financial stability for decades. Why? Because every U.S. trade deficit is matched by a capital inflow. It's a balance-of-payments identity: if the U.S. runs a $1.1 trillion current account deficit, there must be a $1.1 trillion capital surplus (i.e., inflows) to finance it.   Take that away and you choke off the supply of global liquidity that props up asset prices worldwide.   The Doom Loop: What Happens If Capital Stops Flowing In Duncan walks through the scenario: If tariffs succeed in shrinking the trade deficit, dollars stop flowing abroad. Without those dollars, foreign central banks have fewer reserves to recycle into U.S. assets. This reduces demand for Treasuries, pushing interest rates up. Rising rates crush real estate, stocks, and credit-dependent sectors. Simultaneously, trade-surplus economies face a liquidity crunch, leading to job losses, bankruptcies, and potential financial crises. The result? A global depression triggered not by market excess this time, but by deliberate government policy.   Duncan notes that the Trump administration has already blinked once in rolling back tariffs on China after markets began to seize. But the damage to global confidence in the dollar's stability and America's reliability as a trading partner may already be done.   CRE-Specific Risks For CRE professionals, Duncan's framework suggests several key risks: Interest Rate Volatility: If capital inflows decline, Treasury demand will fall and rates may rise, increasing financing costs and repricing assets downward. Foreign Capital Flight: A weakening dollar and escalating trade tensions could lead to foreign divestment from U.S. real estate, especially in coastal gateway cities where foreign investors are dominant. Liquidity Shock: Reduced global liquidity may tighten credit markets, making debt financing harder to access for new acquisitions or refis. Wealth Effect Reversal: Falling stock prices and higher rates could curb consumer spending and investor confidence, affecting retail, hospitality, and housing-linked CRE. Is There a Way Out? Despite the dire tone, Duncan offers a constructive alternative. In his more recent book, The Money Revolution, he advocates using the U.S. government's borrowing capacity, enabled by dollar dominance and low rates, to invest aggressively in future-focused industries: AI, biotech, quantum computing, green energy.   In short: inflate productively, not destructively. Use fiat-financed public investment to grow out of the debt bubble, rather than letting it implode through austerity or protectionism. But he acknowledges that political will may be lacking and that, without it, the only other option will be another round of massive QE when the next crisis hits.   Final Thought Duncan's message is clear: we are not playing by gold standard rules anymore. The U.S. economy, and the world's, runs on confidence, liquidity, and the flow of capital. Disrupt that system and we may find ourselves testing whether the Fed and Treasury can reflate the bubble one more time. *** You may not agree with Richard's perspective but, as a real estate investor, understanding differing points of view helps in underwriting investment risk by incorporating possible downsides into exit strategies.   This is a fascinating and accessible discussion. Tune in if you want to understand the real risks underpinning your real estate investment decisions in the coming months.   *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing.   With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection.    Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000    

【謝晨彥分析師Line官方帳號】 https://lin.ee/cdWWQ9a 2025.05.20【下週輝達財報前 布局這些ETF 賺一波!】#台股怪談 謝晨彥分析師 ☆ 520也失靈？台股開高壓回平盤！ ☆ #黃仁勳 欽點5大利多！法人估財報有驚喜？ ☆ #聯準會 偷偷 #QE ？ 四天狂買4百億 #美公債 ！ 馬上加入Line帳號! 獲取更多股票訊息! LINE搜尋ID：@gp520 https://lin.ee/se5Bh8n 也可來電免付費專線洽詢任何疑問! 0800-66-8085 獲取更多股票訊息 #摩爾投顧 #謝晨彥 #分析師 #股怪教授 #股票 #台股 #飆股 #三大法人 #漲停 #選股 #技術分析 #波段 #獲利 #台股怪談 #大賺 -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

【謝晨彥分析師Line官方帳號】 https://lin.ee/cdWWQ9a 2025.05.20【Fed撒錢買美債 現在該買債? 買股?】#台股怪談 謝晨彥分析師 ☆ 520也失靈？台股開高壓回平盤！ ☆ #黃仁勳 欽點5大利多！法人估財報有驚喜？ ☆ #聯準會 偷偷 #QE ？ 四天狂買4百億 #美公債 ！ 馬上加入Line帳號! 獲取更多股票訊息! LINE搜尋ID：@gp520 https://lin.ee/se5Bh8n 也可來電免付費專線洽詢任何疑問! 0800-66-8085 獲取更多股票訊息 #摩爾投顧 #謝晨彥 #分析師 #股怪教授 #股票 #台股 #飆股 #三大法人 #漲停 #選股 #技術分析 #波段 #獲利 #台股怪談 #大賺 -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

Arthur Hayes returns to Bankless for a wide-ranging macro and crypto conversation. We cover why ETH ripped, why the Trump administration might walk away from US treasuries as the global reserve asset, and why capital controls—not tariffs—could redefine the global economic order. Arthur lays out his full thesis on how a massive shift in global liquidity is unfolding, what it means for crypto, and why he's betting big on Bitcoin, gold, and “buying everything” as the money printers rev up again. ------

Crypto News: New Hampshire passes the US' first Bitcoin Reserve Bill. Maxine Waters walks out of Congress Crypto hearing.Show Sponsor - ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/ 

In this episode, I chat with Peruvian Bull, a well-known Bitcoin researcher and educator. We also unpack the central bank manipulation, the coming currency wars, and why Bitcoin might be the only way out. If you're looking to understand what the next phase of the dollar endgame might look like, this episode is for you.  ––– Offers & Discounts –––

For Matt King, evaluating market risk is often about pinpointing vulnerabilities within the financial system. Over the many years he's been advising institutional investors, he's gone where the action is - in the dotcom era it was corporate balance sheets, in the pre-GFC period it was asset-backed CP and in the last decade it's been sovereigns and QE. Now the founder of Satori Insights, Matt shared his current assessment of risk on this episode of the Alpha Exchange.  His materially bearish take is a function of what he views as US trade policy underpinned by both a misunderstanding of balance of payments math and a failure to appreciate the risks of chaotic implementation. On the latter, Matt worries that the US is earning itself a risk premium in the back end of its bond market, a troubling development especially set against the ever-growing pile of debt outstanding. Matt shows the spike in US real rates at a time when the VIX was also surging and the dollar falling as similar to the UK's "Liz Truss moment" in 2022, an event that forced the Bank of England to act quickly. Matt argues that while Democracy ought to be mean-reverting - where bad policy leads to bad outcomes and declining popularity, ultimately motivating a change of course, today's setup in the US is one in which bad policies impact growth and further poison our politics, reinforcing bad policy. Stepping back, he sees value in gold, noting that both gold and FX vol are still too low. I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Matt King.

In this episode, Arthur Hayes joins the show to discuss Trump's slew of concessions sending markets higher, the evolving US-China strategy, and Bitcoin decoupling from US assets as tariffs reduce the US capital account surplus. We also delve into Treasury buybacks, the Fed & SLR exemption, potential catalysts that would trigger QE, and more. Enjoy! __ Follow Arthur: https://x.com/CryptoHayes Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv __ At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all. Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:47) Trump Agenda & Concessions (07:06) Tariffs & US-China Strategy (13:39) Ads (Ondo, Ledger) (14:50) Bitcoin Decoupling & Changing Trade Flows (19:33) Fiscal Levers & Global Liquidity (25:26) Treasury Buybacks (30:49) Ads (Ondo, Ledger) (32:04) Powell & The Fed (34:43) SLR & Big Banks (37:30) What Would Trigger QE? (41:55) Structural Bid In Gold __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In this episode, Darius Dale of 42Macro joins the show to discuss Trump transitioning the US economy to a new paradigm, the potential for a recession and its impact on markets, and the threat of a debt refinancing air pocket. We also delve into why the Fed needs to transition to QE, how to approach portfolio allocation and risk management, and more. Enjoy! — Follow Darius: https://x.com/DariusDale42 Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all. Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:06) Key Market Narratives (04:03) Trump's Economic Vision (13:28) Ads (Ondo, Ledger) (14:39) Trump's Economic Vision (Con't) (16:02) Technical vs. Actual Recession (20:02) Credit Cycle and Market Positioning (25:13) Market Pricing for Recession (30:15) Fiscal Policy and Tax Cuts (32:39) Ads (Ondo, Ledger) (33:54) Federal Reserve's Mandates and QE (37:26) Global Liquidity and Debt Refinancing (43:50) Portfolio Construction and Risk Management (47:34) KISS Portfolio System (52:29) Managing Different Opinions & Systematic Investing — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Good morning and happy Friday Cabalists! Sorry the episodes late but Jamie has been sick as a dog all week long but the show is finally here. Today we dive into a bunch of games we've been playing including Chaosmos, QE, Box One, Revive, Tower Up presented by Dan King the Game Boy Geek and feature Evertstone Discovering Ignis from Sam McDavitt. Then after Tony T's world renown new segment we host another Short Topic Extravaganza with questions including how long is too long? How much does theme matter? And how the hell do you use BoardGameGeek? Chaosmos: 00:05:08, QE: 00:14:52, Box One: 00:22:52, Revive: 00:27:28, Tower Up with Dan King the Game Boy Geek: 00:40:42, Everstone Discovering Ignis: 00:55:31, News with Tony T: 01:27:05, Short Topic Extravaganza: 02:31:43, Check out our sponsors Restoration Games at https://restorationgames.com/. Game Toppers at https://www.gametoppersllc.com/. And CGE at https://czechgames.com/ and don't forget to use the promo code SECRETSETI at checkout. And please support our great friend Dan King the Game Boy Geek on Kickstarter today! https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/gameboygeek/game-boy-geek-season-13-2025

The Survivor Q&A is back for Survivor 48! Each week, patrons can call in to chat with Rob Cesternino about everything going on in the latest episode of Survivor. Patrons will receive the link to watch & call into the show each week. If you are not a patron, you will only be able to watch the show live! This week, we're unlocking the patron show for EVERYONE!

The Survivor Q&A is back for Survivor 48! Each week, patrons can call in to chat with Rob Cesternino about everything going on in the latest episode of Survivor. Patrons will receive the link to watch & call into the show each week. If you are not a patron, you will only be able to watch the show live! This week, we're unlocking the patron show for EVERYONE!