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Kevin Muir of The MacroTourist joins Matt Zeigler to break down the bond market, Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks, the Treasury General Account, AI-driven earnings growth, leveraged ETF risk, gold and the U.S.-Canada trade fight. Kevin explains why rising long-term yields may be less surprising than investors think, how the AI capex boom can inflate earnings before costs show up, and why leveraged ETFs and policy uncertainty could make markets more fragile.Kevin Muir on Xhttps://x.com/kevinmuirThe MacroTouristhttps://themacrotourist.comTopics coveredWhy stronger nominal GDP, large fiscal deficits and record corporate issuance are pressuring long-term Treasury yieldsHow Scott Bessent's Treasury liquidity buybacks work and why investors are comparing them with QE and Operation TwistHow replacing long-dated Treasuries with T-bills could ultimately force reserve management purchases by the Federal ReserveWhy the Treasury General Account matters for liquidity and why attempts to manage the yield curve can distort market signalsJim Chanos's "earnings bubble" argument and how massive AI data-center capex can boost current earnings while costs are amortizedWhy stock prices can fall before forward earnings estimates roll over, and why retail investors may have an advantage over institutionsHow daily-reset leveraged ETFs create reflexive buying and selling and could amplify a semiconductor or single-stock selloffWhy Kevin is bullish on gold again, the role of People's Bank of China demand, and how he combines fundamentals with technical signalsWhy platinum below production cost caught his attention and what rolling mini-bubbles in gold, silver and AI say about investor psychologyWhat 2025 U.S.-Canada trade data says about autos, oil and gas, manufacturing, tariffs and the economic cost of policy uncertaintyTimestamps00:00 Intro06:31 Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks and the bond market10:39 How T-bill issuance could lead to debt monetization18:25 The AI capex boom and the "earnings bubble"22:27 The giant bet embedded in accelerating AI earnings27:37 Why leveraged ETFs are changing market structure32:00 How forced ETF unwinds can amplify a selloff36:41 Why Kevin is bullish on gold again41:57 Platinum, production costs and the precious metals trade46:08 Sentiment extremes and why popular trades get dangerous51:00 Globalization, manufacturing and America's distribution problem55:00 Why oil and gas dominate the U.S.-Canada trade deficit59:00 How tariff uncertainty can deter U.S. manufacturing investment01:03:10 The trade math Kevin wants investors to seeLearn more about the Excess Returns podcast network:https://excessreturns.coNo information discussed in this podcast should be construed as investment advice. Securities discussed may be held by the hosts and guests, their firms or their clients.
Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendarEmail us at info@remnantfinance.com or visit https://remnantfinance.com for more informationFOLLOW REMNANT FINANCEYoutube: @RemnantFinance (https://www.youtube.com/@RemnantFinance)Facebook: @remnantfinance (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560694316588)Twitter: @remnantfinance (https://x.com/remnantfinance)TikTok: @RemnantFinanceDon't forget to hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBEIn 1933, a Harvard-trained lawyer walked into Chase National Bank with signed receipts for twenty-seven numbered bars of gold and was told he could not have them. Two days after he sued, a federal grand jury indicted him. He never got the gold back. Hans opens with an update on Brian, who may be home temporarily in September or October but likely stays on active duty orders, then turns to the Treasury's announcement that it is doubling its long end buyback operations from two billion to four billion. The dollar figure is a rounding error against forty trillion in debt. The signal is not, and it is the same move Scott Bessent spent the last two years criticizing Janet Yellen for making.Chapters 00:00 – Opening segment 02:20 – No end in sight and why nobody negotiates with America anymore 06:35 – Reading the macro tape without becoming a permabear 07:55 – The Treasury doubles its long end buybacks 09:15 – The economic equivalent of no new foreign wars 11:50 – Where Hans actually sits on the political spectrum13:10 – Two billion to four billion: the substance of the move 14:05 – Bills, notes, and bonds, and why the distinction matters here 16:35 – Off-the-run long bonds and a disorderly long end 17:35 – What they are buying and what is paying for it 19:00 – One leg of QE, not the money printing leg 20:15 – Yellen's trillion dollar mistake and the two percent mortgage analogy 22:40 – Bessent criticized this exact move, then made it 23:55 – Yield curve control and how far away it actually is 24:25 – Intervening into a record high market with no visible fever 26:00 – The debasement trade and the stock market as pressure release valve 28:30 – The yen intervention and why Japan matters 29:15 – The repo facility and keeping Treasuries out of foreign hands 32:20 – What all three moves have in common 33:30 – Hormuz closed, oil creeping, and an empty petroleum reserve 36:45 – Japan as the roadmap for where this road ends 37:50 – Homeschooling, wristbands, and the safe and inclusive playground 43:35 – Frederick Barber Campbell walks into Chase National Bank 46:05 – The lawsuit, the indictment, and the demurrer 49:50 – When a dollar was a bearer claim on gold 51:55 – Benjamin Strong, the Bank of England, and the boom that had to bust 53:10 – How the Fed was sold to America in 1913 55:50 – Nine thousand banks fail and the money supply drops a third 58:50 – The Fed as an instrument of extraction 01:00:35 – Where America sits in the line, and the prison hierarchy analogy 01:03:50 – Hamilton, specie, and the principle of productive credit 01:06:05 – The bank holiday and the Emergency Banking Act 01:07:45 – Five words added to the Trading with the Enemy Act 01:10:20 – Executive Order 6102 defines hoarding as owning 01:16:20 – The markup from twenty dollars to thirty-five 01:17:35 – The Gold Reserve Act and the Exchange Stabilization Fund 01:18:35 – Marriner Eccles and the fight over the lever of power 01:21:25 – Carter Glass fights the bill he made possible 01:22:30 – The FOMC is created and open market operations take over 01:24:45 – Killing the regional discount rate and the governor it provided 01:27:30 – Half a Keynesian equation with no brakes on the other sideKey TakeawaysThe size of the buyback is not the story. Doubling from two billion to four billion per operation is meaningless against forty trillion in debt. What matters is that the Treasury told the market, in a public press release, that it will step in and buy the long end when demand thins out.
Scott Bessent just called gold a sanctionable asset — the first time the Treasury has said that since 1971 — while Trump simultaneously classified gold as a strategic mineral and the Treasury bought back $4 billion in long-term bonds in what Tony Arterburn of Wise Wolf Gold calls a roundabout QE the Fed didn't authorize. Gold has moved from $4,000 to $4,600 in 60 days, silver is back near $70, and the Volcker option that stopped the last gold spike is off the table: U.S. debt-to-GDP is at 144%, and quintupling interest payments to fight inflation would make debt service larger than Social Security and defense combined. Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-david-knight-show--2653468/support.
Scott Bessent just called gold a sanctionable asset — the first time the Treasury has said that since 1971 — while Trump simultaneously classified gold as a strategic mineral and the Treasury bought back $4 billion in long-term bonds in what Tony Arterburn of Wise Wolf Gold calls a roundabout QE the Fed didn't authorize. Gold has moved from $4,000 to $4,600 in 60 days, silver is back near $70, and the Volcker option that stopped the last gold spike is off the table: U.S. debt-to-GDP is at 144%, and quintupling interest payments to fight inflation would make debt service larger than Social Security and defense combined. Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-real-david-knight-show--5282736/support.
Bitcoin finally broke $80K, but it could not hold it. That makes today's price action a rejection, not a confirmed breakout. The good news is that Bitcoin has real demand underneath it: U.S. spot ETFs took in another $232 million Wednesday, extending their positive streak to eight trading sessions and roughly $2.8 billion. The bad news is hotter inflation has markets reconsidering Fed tightening just as Bitcoin is trying to turn $80K into support. The most interesting story now is Kevin Warsh. His Fed philosophy isn't simply lower rates and more money. Warsh wants to shrink the Fed balance sheet while potentially creating room for lower interest rates, meaning Bitcoin could get cheaper money without getting another giant round of QE. That makes tomorrow's Jackson Hole speech important because crypto traders need to start watching the Fed balance sheet, Treasury liquidity, yields and the dollar together, not just whether Warsh cuts rates. For price, $80K remains the wall, but the bigger breakout zone is increasingly looking like $81K-$86K, with roughly $83K an important confirmation level. If ETF inflows continue and Warsh does not turn aggressively hawkish, Bitcoin gets another shot. If inflation pushes the Fed toward tighter policy and ETF demand fades, Bitcoin could spend more time consolidating in the upper $70Ks.Happy HODLing. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Matthew Piepenburg to the show. Matthew Piepenburg is Partner – Von Greyerz Gold Switzerland, Author – Gold Matters. Piepenburg argues that despite 2026 volatility, including war, a historic gold correction, and US government debt surpassing $40 trillion, the secular gold bull market remains in its early chapters. He sees shakeouts and price interventions as features, not an end, and believes conditions today are stronger than the 1970s run, driven by $265 trillion global debt, negative real rates, and currency debasement. He contends that governments and central banks have narrowed options and increasingly rely on hidden QE, misleading inflation and employment data, and dollar debasement to manage debt, while Main Street suffers a real recession and middle-class erosion, and stock market gains mostly benefit top wealth. Piepenburg highlights central bank gold accumulation at record levels, especially after dollar weaponization, as a sign gold is replacing Treasuries as global collateral. He notes the shift in physical gold flows from Western exchanges to Eastern central banks and sovereign funds, and the development of Shanghai-Hong Kong physical settlement, challenging paper price discovery. He expects continued eastward shift, not dollar collapse, but a significant repricing. Matthew discusses possible US gold revaluation, either marking gold certificates to market or letting gold run, as a form of “gold QE” that would further debase the dollar. He sees miners as leveraged opportunity after sentiment lows, and stresses patience and education. For high-net-worth investors, physical gold outside the banking system in Switzerland and Singapore serves as wealth preservation. He closes that gold won't get one rich quickly but protects from getting poor. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:10 – Volatile Year Market Overview 00:03:48 – Gold Bull Market Status 00:08:20 – Mining Sector Investor Interest 00:18:55 – Global Debt & Demographics 00:28:30 – Inflation & Conflicts 00:35:55 – Central Banks & Gold Holdings 00:45:30 – Gold Revaluation Mechanics 00:54:17 – Gold & Gov’t Debt Doubling 01:01:12 – Preparing for Coming Risks 01:07:34 – Von Greyerz Storage Services Guest Links: X: https://twitter.com/GoldSwitzerland Website: https://goldswitzerland.com/ Articles: https://signalsmatter.com/ Book (Amazon): https://tinyurl.com/pvpfmy8c Matthew Piepenburg is a Partner of Von Greyerz and the author of the popular book, “Rigged to Fail”. Matt is fluent in French, German, and English. He is a graduate of Brown (BA), Harvard (MA), and the University of Michigan (JD). His widely-respected reports on macro conditions and the changing behavior of risk assets are published regularly at SignalsMatter.com
Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, mark episode 202 with "It's All About the Base(ment)," digging into last week's surprise Treasury announcement to double buybacks of long-end bonds after the 30-year yield hit 5.33%, its highest since 2007.Ryan and Sonu explain why this move — an operation-twist-style intervention rather than QE or yield curve control — spooked markets into the "debasement trade," sending gold up 5-6% and Bitcoin up more than 20% on the week while the dollar fell roughly 1%. They break down Stanley Druckenmiller's sharply critical Wall Street Journal op-ed on Bessent's approach, along with pushback from economist Guy Berger, and debate whether today's 10-year yield near 4.7% is simply normalizing back toward 1990s levels or whether nominal GDP growth suggests rates should go even higher.The conversation also covers a blowout Philly Fed manufacturing report and strong flash PMI data pointing to continued economic strength, market breadth and sentiment signals suggesting the bull market remains intact above key S&P 500 support, and a broader look at the $40 trillion national debt in context of rising household net worth. Ryan closes with thoughts on market technicals, portfolio diversifiers, and previews of Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings coming later in the week.[Key Takeaways]Treasury's move to double long-end bond buybacks starting September 9, following the 30-year yield's spike to 5.33% (highest since 2007), sparked what Ryan and Sonu call the "debasement trade" — a rotation into gold and Bitcoin and out of the dollar.Gold rose 5-6% and Bitcoin surged more than 20% over the week, while the U.S. dollar index fell about 1%, an unusual reaction given that rising yields typically strengthen a currency rather than weaken it.Sonu frames the Treasury action as closer to a 1960s/2011-style "Operation Twist" than true quantitative easing, since it shifts duration without expanding the money supply, but notes it still risks pushing short-term yields and imported inflation higher.Stanley Druckenmiller's Wall Street Journal op-ed argued Treasury's buybacks amount to artificial suppression of the "only fiscal disciplinarian" left in Washington, sparking debate over whether the intervention is as powerful as he suggests.Comparing current nominal GDP growth (~5.5%) to the late 1990s (~5.8%) with today's lower 10-year yield (~4.3% average vs. ~6% then), Sonu argues rates may need to move even higher than current levels to reach true equilibrium.A blowout Philly Fed manufacturing report (47.4, highest since 2021) and strong flash PMI data (56, highest since April 2022) point to renewed industrial strength, largely tied to AI-driven investment.Jump to:0:00 - Welcome And A Playful Title1:22 - The 1,000-Point Dow Day Memory4:01 - Personal Low Moments And Path Dependency7:06 - Treasury Steps In As Yields Surge14:18 - Druckenmiller Critiques Yield Defense20:40 - Operation Twist And A Falling Dollar23:12 - Gold And Bitcoin Jump On Debasement27:54 - Are Rates Simply Back To Normal36:02 - AI Boom Data Signals Real Strength39:20 - Jackson Hole Expectations And Nvidia Setup41:49 - Market Breadth Levels And Investor Sentiment44:10 - The $40 Trillion Debt Context Check49:30 - Portfolio Diversifiers And Final Takeaways53:00 - Closing Thanks And How To SupportConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
Mortgage rates are in play this week as the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury both step in to try to bring rates down, and I'm breaking down exactly what that means for you. If you're a homebuyer, homeowner, or realtor trying to figure out where mortgage rates are headed, this is the episode to watch before the week's economic data starts rolling in.In today's show, I cover:• The Treasury's new bond buying plan (what some are calling "QE light") and how it's designed to push mortgage rates lower • The difference between the federal funds rate and the 10 year Treasury, and why only one of them actually controls your mortgage rate • This week's full economic calendar, including ADP jobs, Case Shiller home prices, PCE inflation, jobless claims, and the Jackson Hole symposium • Why oil prices are the number one thing to watch right now, and what happens to rates if the Iran conflict drags on or resolves • How to track your own rate and payment automatically with our free RateWatch toolRead the full breakdown on the blog: https://therateupdate.com/blogCHAPTERS 0:00 The Treasury Is Buying Its Own Debt 1:47 What Actually Controls Your Mortgage Rate 3:35 This Week's Economic Calendar 6:10 Why Oil Is the Number to Watch 8:05 RateWatch and What to Do Next
Adam Haman returns to discuss the Japan/US bailout of the yen, and Japan's relation to the US position. What does it signify for QE and deficit spending?Mentioned in the Episode and Other Links of Interest:The YouTube version of this episode.This episode's sponsor, The Swan Bros.The HamanNature substack.Help support the Bob Murphy Show.
Good Sunday to you,This week I'm talking to the goldbugs' goldbug, Alasdair Macleod.I'm more of a continued decline, muddle through guy, but Alasdair, as you shall see, is very much in the outright collapse camp and he sees that outright collapse coming soon, as you shall hear - within the next 18 months!Alasdair has spent decades studying financial markets, monetary history and the role of gold, and his argument is uncompromising: gold is money; pounds, dollars and euros are credit. I could not agree more. Confidence in fiat currencies is approaching breaking point, he says, and any currency that hopes to survive will ultimately have to become a credible substitute for gold through a proper gold standard.We also look at the fragility of the bond markets, starling, Japan, China and what a 21st-century gold standard might actually look like. My thanks as ever go to The Pure Gold Company for making these interviews possible. If you live in a third world country such as the UK, I urge you to own gold or silver. The pound will be further devalued, as will the euro and dollar. The bullion dealer I use and recommend is The Pure Gold Company. They deliver to the UK, the US, Canada and Europe. More here.This is the last of the videos for a while, as we take stock and evaluate. Broadly speaking, most of you seem to like them, so that's good.As always you watch the video above, or listen via the Substack app, Apple podcasts, Spotify et al.And if you want to follow Alasdair and read his immensely popular Substack, you can do that here: In other news, the latest edition of Charlie Morris's Atlas Pulse is out now. It's free, so get your copy here. Gold smells QE, he says. Well worth reading …And, finally, here is this week's piece - not on gold, but on copper. It's telling us something. Disclaimer:Nothing in this programme is intended as investment advice. It is an expression of opinion only. We do not know your financial circumstances. Do your own research. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
Peter Schiff breaks down the Treasury's panic move to rescue the bond market, the $40 trillion debt milestone, and gold's $185 reversal day.This episode is sponsored by Noom. The Noom GLP-1 Program starts at $39 and is delivered to your door in as little as seven days. Go to https://noom.com to learn more.This episode is also sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world.The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. Peter Schiff says that's the government admitting the bond market is broken.On the same day the national debt topped $40 trillion, the Treasury announced it is doubling its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion... buying the bonds everybody else is selling, and funding it by issuing more short-term debt. Peter calls it what it is: a panic move, a Hail Mary to suppress rising yields after the 30-year hit 5.3%, its highest in over 19 years. Refinancing debt locked in at a 3.44% average coupon with 4% T-bills makes no financial sense, which is exactly why it's happening... the government is scared, not stupid.The market rendered its verdict immediately. Gold reversed off a $185 rally to close above $4,500, silver cleared $66, and the miners surged 8-12%, while hawkish FOMC minutes were shrugged off entirely. Peter explains why this Treasury version of Operation Twist forces the Fed to follow with real QE... a program that will have to dwarf 2008's... why Bitcoin's pop above $70,000 is built on hope, and why the housing data shows the panic is justified.Chapters:00:00 Treasury Panic Move01:05 Bond Yields Hit New Highs02:58 Debt Explosion Politics07:00 Treasury Buyback Twist10:23 QE Next And Fed Cornered16:04 Hawkish Minutes Gold Surge24:03 Markets React Unevenly24:20 Dollar Drops Oil Jumps25:08 Fed Inflation Bind26:30 Debt Era Comparison27:40 Jobs Data Media Spin29:17 Bitcoin Versus Metals31:19 Housing Slump Mortgages33:59 Tariffs Canada Trade37:50 Buybacks Won't Work42:26 QE Addiction Ahead44:34 Boat Update FarewellFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
It's QE-lite!!!! Yield curve control!!!! Money printer go brrrrrr!!!! What's the truth about the Treasury buyback program? Well, it's starts with understanding what a buyback truly is and also how the government has been operating it for over two years already. In a sea of misinformation, here's the plain truth about the buybacks, starting with how misinformation is actually the whole point...on both sides.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University Live 2October 9-12, West Palm Beach, Florida40 seats exist. Application only.https://eurodollar-university.com/edu-conference-2026----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
On August 20, I'm going to be hosting a webinar on how to use AI to validate the quotes you receive from contractors and subcontractors. To register for the webinar click HERE. Even if you can't attend live, we will send you the recording. --------------Today we're talking about an announcement from the U.S. Treasury Department that has generated a surprising amount of noise in the financial markets.The two words getting attention are Treasury buybacks.Treasury announced today, August 19, that beginning September 9 it will increase, by at least double, the size of its liquidity support buyback operations for longer-dated Treasury securities. Specifically, the maximum size for operations in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year sectors will increase from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation.It might be coincidence, but this happened on the same day that US debt topped $40T. The country's “total public debt outstanding” officially hit $40.047 trillion on Tuesday, the Treasury Department reported Wednesday, ticking up from $39.987 trillion a day earlier.Immediately, people started describing this as quantitative easing, QE light, yield curve control, and even a new version of Operation Twist.I think we need to separate the mechanics from the headlines.A Treasury buyback is not the same thing as Federal Reserve quantitative easing. The Treasury is already issuing enormous quantities of debt. In a buyback operation, Treasury can issue securities in one part of the market and use some of those proceeds to repurchase securities that are already outstanding.The important distinction is which securities they are buying.The liquidity support program primarily targets what are called off-the-run Treasury securities.When Treasury issues a new 10-year note, for example, that newly issued security becomes the on-the-run Treasury. It tends to trade very actively. The older 10-year securities that were issued previously become off-the-run securities.They're still Treasury obligations. Their credit quality hasn't changed. But they don't necessarily trade with the same liquidity. That becomes important during periods of market stress. If a large investor needs to sell a significant quantity of an older Treasury security, there may not be as deep a pool of buyers as there is for the newest issue.--------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
La dette américaine vient de franchir les 40 000 milliards de dollars pour la première fois de l'histoire. Le même jour, le Trésor US annonce une mesure d'urgence pour calmer le marché obligataire, et quelques heures plus tard, Bitcoin et Ethereum explosent de plusieurs points de pourcentage.Coïncidence ? Non. Dans cet épisode, je décrypte la mécanique complète :Ce qu'est réellement un "buyback" du Trésor, et pourquoi ce n'est ni du QE, ni une baisse de taux FedPourquoi Bessent est intervenu maintenant, et ce que ça révèle sur la pression réelle du marché obligataireLe vrai déclencheur derrière la flambée crypto : entre effet taux et short squeeze à 1,9 milliard de dollarsEst-ce une manœuvre saine, ou un déplacement du problème budgétaire américain ?Un épisode pour comprendre le fil qui relie la dette publique US à un pic de volatilité sur Bitcoin en quelques heures, sans jargon inutile.
Peter Schiff on plunging retail sales, sticky inflation, the Fed's stealth QE, and why the world is now leaving the dollar standard.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, Go to https://netsuite.com/goldThis episode is also sponsored by Function. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit.Retail sales just plunged, producer prices are still rising, and the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet again.The July data tells the story the markets keep ignoring. Retail sales fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop in over a year, and since those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, real spending fell even further. Consumer sentiment sank to 51 as households braced for 4.3 percent inflation, more than double the Fed's 2 percent target. Producer prices rose 4.7 percent year over year, and instead of rallying on the weak data, the bond market sold off to its lowest weekly close of the year, with the 30-year at 5.27 percent. Meanwhile the Fed expanded its balance sheet by more than 21 billion dollars in two weeks, with the national debt about 80 billion dollars away from 40 trillion.Peter marks 55 years since Nixon closed the gold window and calls it what it was: a 100 percent default on America's creditors. His father Irwin testified against removing gold backing in 1968, and the 1970s proved him right. Now the sequel is underway. The world is going off the dollar standard the way America went off gold, and the next leg down in the American standard of living has already started. Gold near 4,400 dollars and silver above 66 are the market's verdict.Chapters:00:00 Middle Class Squeeze01:01 PPI Breakdown04:08 Fed Balance Sheet Surge05:23 Stagflation Signals08:28 Bond Market Warning11:39 Greenspan and 1987 Echoes14:48 Stocks vs Bonds Diverge15:33 Gold Shines Bitcoin Slips18:16 Bitcoin Bear Case21:08 Iran Sanctions and Oil26:30 Nixon Gold Standard Legacy28:52 Inflation Math Reality29:30 Video Plug Fiat Failure30:19 Electric Catamaran Tour34:30 Cruising Plans Tax Credit37:02 Gold Standard Break Explained48:09 Dollar Standard EndingFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#Stagflation #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Strong Market Breadth The market typically begins to experience greater volatility around this point in midterm election years. However, one encouraging development is the strength and breadth of current market momentum. The S&P 500 continues to show broad participation, with the highest percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day technical moving average since 2024. Currently, approximately 74% of stocks are above their 200-day moving average. Broad participation like this is generally a positive sign for the overall health of the market. The internal momentum of the S&P 500 is also strengthening. Nine of the 11 sectors are showing better momentum than they were on June 22, with only energy and utilities showing weaker momentum. Taken together, these indicators point to a market with strong underlying momentum. While volatility can increase as the midterm elections approach, the current breadth of participation provides an encouraging foundation. For now, momentum is our friend. Inflation Continues to Evolve The latest Consumer Price Index, or CPI, provided some encouraging news on the inflation front. July CPI increased 0.1%, in line with expectations, bringing the year-over-year increase to approximately 3.5%. The fact that inflation did not come in higher than expected is important. While inflation remains elevated, the latest reading does not suggest that prices are accelerating rapidly. For investors and consumers, however, the headline CPI number is only part of the story. Two important questions are what the Federal Reserve makes of the data and how inflation is affecting people in their everyday lives. The outlook for Federal Reserve policy has shifted as inflation data has evolved. At one point, markets were pricing in roughly a 50% chance of a rate hike at the Fed's September 16 meeting. Those odds rose to approximately 52% about a week ago but have since fallen to around 30%. Current expectations suggest that there may be one rate hike toward the end of the year, although there is still significant time for the outlook to change. Another useful measure is the “Common Man's CPI,” a proprietary index from Strategas that focuses on essential expenses, including food, energy, shelter, insurance, and children's clothing. These are expenses consumers generally cannot avoid or easily postpone. The Common Man's CPI increased 3.5% year-over-year in July, down from 3.7% in June and 4.6% in May. That deceleration is encouraging, but the longer-term impact of inflation remains significant. Since the middle of 2020, the Common Man's CPI has increased approximately 32%, while wages have risen about 28%. That gap helps explain why many consumers continue to feel the effects of inflation even as the rate of price increases slows. Prices may be rising more slowly, but wages have not yet fully caught up with the cumulative increase in the cost of essential goods and services. The trajectory of both inflation and wages will remain important as the year progresses. The Fed's Other Inflation Tool The Federal Reserve has several tools available to influence the economy, but two of the most important are interest rates and the Fed's balance sheet. Interest rates influence economic activity by making borrowing more or less expensive. The balance sheet works differently. When the Fed adds money to the financial system, it can support economic growth. When it reduces the amount of money in the system, it can help restrain growth and inflation. This second tool receives considerably less attention because its effects are less visible to consumers. Interest rates are relatively easy to understand because they directly affect mortgages, savings accounts, credit cards, and other forms of borrowing. The balance sheet is much less tangible. Earlier this year, the Federal Reserve was expanding its balance sheet through a process referred to as monthly net reserve management. The terminology is intentional because quantitative easing, or QE, has developed a negative association following the significant monetary stimulus implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic. Through net reserve management, the Fed injects capital into the banking system by purchasing Treasury securities from banks and replacing those securities with cash. Maintaining sufficient liquidity in the banking system is important, particularly during periods when large amounts of money are flowing out of the system for purposes such as tax payments. Beginning in December, the Fed was injecting approximately $40 billion per month into the banking system. That pace subsequently began to taper as leadership at the Federal Reserve changed. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has written extensively about the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and the importance of eventually reducing it. One concern with simultaneously raising interest rates while expanding the balance sheet is that the two policies can work against one another. Higher rates are intended to slow economic activity, while an expanding balance sheet can add liquidity to the financial system. Under the current approach, the Federal Reserve has moved toward stopping the expansion of its balance sheet before relying more heavily on interest-rate increases. August marks the first month since the beginning of the year in which the balance sheet is not expected to expand. The implications could be important for consumers and the broader economy. Consider a simple example. If a consumer earns $100 per week and spends $50 on gasoline and $50 on groceries, an increase in gasoline prices to $60 would leave only $40 available for groceries. Unless the consumer has additional money to spend, higher costs in one area can lead to reduced spending elsewhere. Economists refer to this as demand destruction. For broad-based inflation to persist across the economy, there generally needs to be enough money available to sustain demand even as prices rise. If the money supply increases, a consumer who previously had $100 to spend might instead have $110, allowing spending to continue despite higher prices. That dynamic has been evident in recent economic data. As gasoline prices increased, spending in areas such as leisure and hospitality and retail sales remained surprisingly resilient. Ordinarily, higher gasoline costs might be expected to reduce spending elsewhere, but that demand destruction has been limited. One possible explanation is the additional liquidity that has been present in the financial system. August provides an important test. For the first time this year, the economy is facing higher energy prices without the same additional expansion of the Fed's balance sheet. That creates an opportunity to observe whether demand begins to weaken in other areas of the economy. How that dynamic develops could have meaningful implications for economic growth, inflation, and ultimately the stock market. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Momentum is our Friend first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.
A record $432B July deficit, $40 trillion in debt days away, gold above $4,400... last week's fireworks were just the opening act.This episode is sponsored by Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peterThis episode is also sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe CPI came in tame. Hours later the Treasury reported a $432 billion July deficit... the worst single month in US history.Peter breaks down why the benign 0.1% July CPI is an accounting illusion: the BLS compares monthly averages, so June's oil collapse masked July's crude rebound, and August is set up to run hot. The real inflation news came later that day from the Treasury: a record $432 billion July deficit, $1.8 trillion in just ten months, and a national debt now less than $150 billion from $40 trillion. Bigger deficits mean more pressure on the Fed to choose inflation, which is exactly why the bond market refused to rally on the "good" CPI number.Gold holds above $4,400 and silver above $65 as heavy Asian buying signals the de-dollarization trade is back on, while Bitcoin sits dead at $63,500 and misses the entire rally. Peter also covers the yen back above 159 and the Fed's swap-line backdoor QE for Japan, both parties drifting left after the latest primaries, Trump family corruption from Truth Social premium access to Barron's $150 million, and the Iran endgame: no deal, a closed Strait of Hormuz, and a president claiming victory in a war America clearly lost.Chapters:00:00 Inflation Signals Not Prices01:22 CPI Print And Market Bets04:24 CPI Math Masks Energy Surge10:37 Deficits The Real Inflation Driver19:54 Gold Surge Debt And Yen QE31:09 Radical Left Wins Primaries32:00 Both Parties Shift Left34:17 Trump Corruption Claims37:51 Bitcoin Stalls vs Gold44:13 Iran War Reality CheckFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of Capital Wars, returns to explain why the global liquidity cycle peaked in late Q3/early Q4 of last year — and what that means for the rest of 2026. His core argument: money is fungible but finite, and a booming real economy is now pulling liquidity out of financial assets, which compresses P/E multiples even as earnings look fine. That puts us in what he calls the speculation phase: rising bond yields, strong commodities, pressured crypto, and low-quality equity returns where index gains mask widespread underperformance. He also pushes back hard on the popular "debasement trade" explanation for gold, arguing the real driver is the People's Bank of China injecting liquidity to devalue the yuan internally while holding it steady externally — with Chinese retail locked out of crypto and the Shanghai Gold Exchange now setting the marginal price. On the bond side, he lays out how the Treasury is quietly monetizing through front-end issuance and buybacks — private-sector QE under Treasury direction — a strategy that works until it doesn't, with Japan's move from 50bps to nearly 3% as the cautionary tale. His bottom line: range-bound Wall Street, no bonds, gold and silver on weakness, and watch commodities for the first sign the boom is ending.Thank you to our partners Augusta Precious Metals — To learn more, visit https://juliabuysgold.com/ or text “Julia" to 35052Monetary Metals - learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/julia/Links: Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter/X https://x.com/crossbordercapSubstack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/30303929020:00 The call: range-bound market, own gold0:20 Welcome back, Michael Howell1:19 Two pools of money: markets vs. the real economy2:30 The liquidity cycle has peaked3:20 What this phase looks like4:48 Why a booming economy is bad for stocks5:22 The P/E multiple is where liquidity shows up6:34 Late cycle, explained7:38 Augusta Precious Metals9:29 Global liquidity vs. the world business cycle10:45 Atlanta Fed nowcast near 6%11:54 The K-shaped economy is global12:45 Monetary inflation vs. Main Street inflation14:45 Speculation now, turbulence next15:15 The cycle map17:55 Monetary Metals19:49 Gold: it isn't the debasement trade20:30 It's China: PBOC liquidity22:15 Why gold and not crypto23:14 Inside the PBOC balance sheet25:00 Yuan gold and the 27,000 line26:15 Bond yields track nominal GDP27:40 NGDP at 7-8% vs. a 4.7% ten-year28:18 Treasury QE: funding at the front end30:20 Who's actually buying the debt?30:51 The beach ball under water32:35 The two-year note leads the Fed34:30 The 2022 analogue36:00 Why MOVE matters more than VIX37:08 Treasury buybacks and the volatility cap38:30 Margin debt and the 2026 range call39:31 Parting thoughts: commodities as the warning40:30 Gold, silver, and the ratio to watch
Peter Schiff breaks down July's negative jobs report, Japan's yen crisis, and the Fed's stealth QE bailout as gold and silver surge.This episode is sponsored by DripDrop. Stock up now at http://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% offThis episode is also sponsored by Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow.Recording from his boat in Rhode Island, Peter Schiff covers a week that vindicated his forecasts. The July jobs report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, with prior months revised down another 105,000 and labor force participation falling to 61.4%, a level unseen outside COVID lockdowns in 50 years. Full-time jobs have declined in six of the last seven months while wages lag inflation, confirming the stagflation Peter has long warned about. The bigger story is Japan: with the yen at a 40-year low and JGB yields at record highs, the US executed its first yen intervention since 1998, roughly ten times larger, using euros instead of dollars and blindsiding the ECB. The Fed also took Japan's Treasuries via repo and printed the dollars, a stealth form of quantitative easing that contradicts its inflation-fighting rhetoric. Markets got the message: gold jumped 7.8% to 4,341, silver surged 12.3% to 63.46 after holding above the old $50 ceiling, and GDX rocketed 22% in one week, all far outpacing Bitcoin's 3.7% gain. Peter argues the intervention is just the beginning, the Fed will not hike before the midterms, and a currency and sovereign debt crisis is approaching. He urges listeners to prepare with gold, silver, miners, and foreign stocks, and to understand the coming crisis is caused by government, not capitalism.Chapters:00:00 Fed Japan Bond Backstop01:11 Back At Sea Intro01:59 Week Ahead Jobs Japan03:23 Stocks Metals Surge06:23 Bitcoin Strategy Warning09:15 Bonds Dollar Fed Odds14:00 July Jobs Shock15:33 Revisions Participation Drop19:51 Wages Inflation Stagflation24:09 Trump Ballroom Rant26:49 Japan Crisis Tease29:24 Japan Yen Breakdown31:30 Debt Trap And Rates32:23 Treasury Selling Threat34:35 Fed And BOJ Coordination36:08 Swap Line QE Explained41:15 Euro Intervention Twist44:29 Inflation Signals And Metals47:51 Storm Warning Ahead49:18 Blame Government Not Markets52:07 Prepare And Spread The WordFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
John is joined by Susheel Kirpalani, partner in Quinn Emanuel's New York office, Head of Special Situations, and founder of the firm's Bankruptcy and Restructuring Group. They discuss the increasingly important role of liability management exercises, or LMEs, as tools that financially distressed companies use to raise capital and avoid bankruptcy. These transactions frequently involve granting favorable treatment to certain creditors in connection with new financing, often at the expense of other creditors. Although such arrangements may preserve companies through periods of severe distress, they also generate disputes over whether the underlying loan agreements permit unequal treatment. Susheel explains the landmark Serta Simmons Bedding litigation, which arose after the company undertook an LME during the COVID-19 pandemic. Serta wanted to raise additional capital and capture discount from its lenders. A majority of lenders participated in the transaction and received new, higher-priority debt, while a minority of lenders received nothing. The excluded lenders, represented by a QE team headed by Susheel, argued that the transaction violated the longstanding principle that the same class of lenders must be treated the same, or “ratably.”The case proceeded through years of state and federal litigation, bankruptcy proceedings, an appeal to the Fifth Circuit, and a remand to the Southern District of Texas. After the Fifth Circuit held Serta's purchase of the majority group's loans was not a permissible open-market purchase, the bankruptcy court held a five-day trial to decide whether the transaction breached the credit agreement and, if so, what damages flowed from that breach. The court ultimately concluded that the disproportionate payoff breached the governing credit agreement and exposed the majority to $400M in damages. After accounting for recent settlements and other adjustments, the court then awarded $160M+ to QE's clients based upon the requirement of equal treatment among lenders. The decision has broad implications. The ruling highlights the growing importance of litigation risk in restructuring transactions, encourages parties to scrutinize contractual language more carefully, and will likely influence the drafting of future credit agreements. It also demonstrates how traditional principles of contract law continue to govern even highly sophisticated financial transactions and underscores the increasingly central role of litigation in modern restructuring practice.Podcast Link: Law-disrupted.fmHost: John B. Quinn Producer: Alexis HydeMusic and Editing by: Alexander Rossi
Nomi Prins joins Kai Hoffmann at the Rule Symposium to explain why she believes the recent pullback in gold doesn't change the bigger picture. She discusses the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, central bank gold buying, inflation, the U.S. dollar, copper, uranium, and why long-term commodity investors should ignore short-term headlines.#gold #FED #inflation ---------------------Thank you to our sponsor: First Majestic SilverMake sure to pay them a visit: https://www.firstmajestic.com/---------------------
FREEDOM - HEALTH - HAPPINESSFor the full episodes, bonus content, back catalogue, and monthly Live Streams, please subscribe to either:The paid Spotify subscription here: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show/docmalik/subscribe The paid Substack subscription here: https://docmalik.substack.com/subscribeThank you to all the new subscribers for your lovely messages and reviews! And a big thanks to my existing subscribers for sticking with me and supporting the show! ABOUT THIS CONVERSATION: Alex returns on the show and blows the lid on wealth management, QE, bond markets and pensions, and how the rich and powerful enrich themselves at our expense. EnjoyDocLinks Website https://www.berkshirewilliams.com/MY CONSULTATION SERVICEIn a world of rushed consultations and endless referrals, I offer you something rare: time, context, and clear guidance.I can help you:• Understand your diagnosis in plain English• Simplify treatment plans and medical jargon• Prepare for surgery and optimise recovery• Improve chronic illness through lifestyle and mindset• Explore holistic approaches alongside conventional care• Ask better questions and get unbiased guidance• Obtain an independent second opinionReady to Take Control?Book here today https://docmalik.com/consultations/ Check out my AFFILIATE LINKS - visit my website https://docmalik.com/affiliates/ for more detailsSeagreenUse the code DOCMALIKhttps://seagreens.shop/go/docmalik/Heracles Wellness SaunaUse the code DOCMALIK3 at checkout to get 3% off all productshttps://heracleswellness.co.ukHunter & Gather Foodshttps://hunterandgatherfoods.com/?ref=DOCHG BUY HERE TODAYUse DOCHG to get 10% OFF your purchaseNudum SkincareUse my code DocMalik10 at checkout to get 10% off your order.https://www.nudumskincare.co.uk/Greenscents Laundry LiquidUse code GSAHMADMALIK when ordering to receive a discount.https://greenscents.co.uk?bg_ref=pmW7ecKqjqIMPORTANT NOTICEIf you value my podcasts, please support the show by making a one-off donationhttps://www.buymeacoffee.com/docmalik
In an interview with SBS Kurdish, Rev Bill Crews spoke about the increasing pressure on homelessness and community support services across Sydney as the cost-of-living crisis continues. He said the Rev Bill Crews Foundation currently provides around 1,600 meals each day through its kitchen, restaurant, and mobile food vans operating across 16 locations. Alongside food services, the organisation delivers free medical, dental, social work, and literacy programs, while also supporting refugees and disadvantaged communities. - Di hevpeyvîneke li gel SBS Kurdî de, Qeşe Bill Crews li ser daxwaza zêde ji bo xizmetên piştgiriya civakî li seranserê Sydney di nav krîza lêçûnên jiyanê yê berdewam de nîqaş kir. Wî vegot ku weqfa Rev Bill Crews niha rojane nêzîkî 1,600 xwarinan bi rêya metbex, xwaringeh û otombêlên xwarinê yên mobîl li 16 cihan dixebitin peyda dibe. Rêxistin her weha bernameyên bijîşkî, diranan, karê civakî û xwendin û nivîsandinê yên belaş jî pêşkêş dike, di heman demê de piştgiriyê dide penaberan jî.
────────────────────────────────────────[00:02:09]EMS Worker Reports "Chronic Cancer" as New Medical Term — Knight: It's Turbo Cancer Being NormalizedA patient with three COVID jabs developed rapidly spreading colon cancer and leukemia within months of his last shot; Knight: the industry is rebranding what it caused.────────────────────────────────────────[00:14:00]Sony Deleting 551 Movies Customers Paid Full Price For — Buy Button Was a LieDeletion begins September 1 with no refunds; Knight: same model as CBDCs — they can delete your money the same way they're deleting your movies.────────────────────────────────────────[00:22:06]GTA 6 Ships as a Download Code in an Empty Box — Physical Discs Eliminated$80 for a cardboard sleeve; the game lives on their cloud and can be revoked at any time; Knight: "you will own nothing" is already the video game business model.────────────────────────────────────────[00:41:18]Trump's Advisors Openly Praise Caesarism — His Harvard Law Appointee Says Liberty Is Not the GoalAdrian Vermule wrote the constitutional order exists to promote "good rule," not protect liberty; Notre Dame advisor Patrick Deneen calls for Platonic aristocracy.────────────────────────────────────────[00:49:03]Trump Signed 143 Executive Orders in First 100 Days — More Than Any President in History21 national emergencies declared; troops sent to cities without local authority; immigrants shipped overseas to prisons in defiance of courts.────────────────────────────────────────[01:03:28]Supreme Court Loosens Campaign Finance Restrictions — Knight: AIPAC Corruption Now Has Fewer GuardrailsKnight reversed his position on Citizens United after watching AIPAC openly buy congressional seats; political money is a magnet for prostitutes, not politicians.────────────────────────────────────────[01:25:25]NY Post Calls Out Trump Crime Family's Biden-Esque CorruptionTrump's net worth tripled to $6.5B; $1.4B in crypto ventures; Salente: the Lutnik-Witkoff-Trump network is a crime syndicate operating in plain sight.────────────────────────────────────────[01:31:10]92% of Israelis Believe Iran Won the War — Trends Journal vs. US Media NarrativeCelente's polling contradicts everything Hegseth and Trump claimed; Knight: they lied about destroying Iran's missiles, wiping out their military, and forcing a surrender.────────────────────────────────────────[01:51:35]Real US Debt Is $176 Trillion When Unfunded Liabilities Are IncludedUnfunded Medicare, Social Security, pensions, and retirement healthcare dwarf the official figure; Salente: the plan is to tokenize public lands and launch a digital currency to paper over the collapse.────────────────────────────────────────[01:54:09]Quantitative Easing Is Roaring Back — Nobody Is Reporting ItMoney supply is expanding rapidly while the Fed fixates on interest rates; Knight: they always pump QE just before the next economic lockdown or crisis. ──────────────────────────────────────── Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-david-knight-show--2653468/support.
────────────────────────────────────────[00:02:09]EMS Worker Reports "Chronic Cancer" as New Medical Term — Knight: It's Turbo Cancer Being NormalizedA patient with three COVID jabs developed rapidly spreading colon cancer and leukemia within months of his last shot; Knight: the industry is rebranding what it caused.────────────────────────────────────────[00:14:00]Sony Deleting 551 Movies Customers Paid Full Price For — Buy Button Was a LieDeletion begins September 1 with no refunds; Knight: same model as CBDCs — they can delete your money the same way they're deleting your movies.────────────────────────────────────────[00:22:06]GTA 6 Ships as a Download Code in an Empty Box — Physical Discs Eliminated$80 for a cardboard sleeve; the game lives on their cloud and can be revoked at any time; Knight: "you will own nothing" is already the video game business model.────────────────────────────────────────[00:41:18]Trump's Advisors Openly Praise Caesarism — His Harvard Law Appointee Says Liberty Is Not the GoalAdrian Vermule wrote the constitutional order exists to promote "good rule," not protect liberty; Notre Dame advisor Patrick Deneen calls for Platonic aristocracy.────────────────────────────────────────[00:49:03]Trump Signed 143 Executive Orders in First 100 Days — More Than Any President in History21 national emergencies declared; troops sent to cities without local authority; immigrants shipped overseas to prisons in defiance of courts.────────────────────────────────────────[01:03:28]Supreme Court Loosens Campaign Finance Restrictions — Knight: AIPAC Corruption Now Has Fewer GuardrailsKnight reversed his position on Citizens United after watching AIPAC openly buy congressional seats; political money is a magnet for prostitutes, not politicians.────────────────────────────────────────[01:25:25]NY Post Calls Out Trump Crime Family's Biden-Esque CorruptionTrump's net worth tripled to $6.5B; $1.4B in crypto ventures; Salente: the Lutnik-Witkoff-Trump network is a crime syndicate operating in plain sight.────────────────────────────────────────[01:31:10]92% of Israelis Believe Iran Won the War — Trends Journal vs. US Media NarrativeCelente's polling contradicts everything Hegseth and Trump claimed; Knight: they lied about destroying Iran's missiles, wiping out their military, and forcing a surrender.────────────────────────────────────────[01:51:35]Real US Debt Is $176 Trillion When Unfunded Liabilities Are IncludedUnfunded Medicare, Social Security, pensions, and retirement healthcare dwarf the official figure; Salente: the plan is to tokenize public lands and launch a digital currency to paper over the collapse.────────────────────────────────────────[01:54:09]Quantitative Easing Is Roaring Back — Nobody Is Reporting ItMoney supply is expanding rapidly while the Fed fixates on interest rates; Knight: they always pump QE just before the next economic lockdown or crisis. ──────────────────────────────────────── Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-real-david-knight-show--5282736/support.
Matt Cole managed a $70 billion Treasury portfolio, had direct access to the Fed and Treasury during QE, called them out for lying about debt monetization to their faces, and then put his entire net worth into Bitcoin. Now as CEO of Strive, he's building what he believes will become a multi-trillion dollar market in digital credit - products like SEDA and STRC that survived a 50% Bitcoin crash with barely a scratch. In this conversation, he breaks down why preferred equity beats convertible debt, how institutions actually want more volatility not less, why most Bitcoin treasury companies launched with no plan and are already selling, and the coming wave of consolidation that will separate the true believers from the tourists. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode of The Wrap, Chris Whalen reveals bank incomes are up but the real story is the trading side of the house driving earnings, not lending, as deposits grow faster than assets forcing banks into trading operations. He warns private credit default rates have hit a record 6%, nearly 10 times worse than bank default rates, signaling the end of the credit cycle as non-banks now lead lending. Whalen predicts double-digit inflation remains likely, expects QE5 to come despite Warsh's denials since the Fed balance sheet must grow proportionally with federal debt, and argues Fed policy is losing efficacy against external war-driven inflation that raising rates won't fix. He discusses massive housing consolidation and M&A deals coming as mortgage lenders face crushing higher rates, details how private equity is rolling up every service provider imaginable (plumbers, electricians, dentists, oncologists) and "screwing them up terribly," warns TIPS aren't reflecting true inflation, and predicts major housing lender mergers between now and year end. Whalen maintains his thesis that the Fed doesn't control long-term rates and that shrinking the balance sheet would be more effective than raising the Fed funds rate, argues the AI momentum trade is crowded and silly, and expects no action from the Fed in June but potential rate hike language removal from statements. Thank you to our partners at Goldco. Get your free 2026 Gold & Silver Kit at https://goldco.com/thewrap or call 855-573-0817Links: The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ The Wrap: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira847Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Use the code TheWrap2026 for 25% off your first year of The Institutional Risk Analyst https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/plans-pricingTimestamps:0:00 Introduction - Bank Income Up, Stocks Sideways01:00 Banks recap5:06 Private credit default rate record 6% - 10x worse than banks6:14 Who's most exposed to private credit losses?7:36 Reversal in low rate environment impact9:39 Kevin Warsh and Fed balance sheet strategy10:01 Double-digit inflation still likely?10:40 What were worst impacts of QE?11:00 Housing was the headline impact of QE12:43 Fed housing subsidy went outside their mandate12:51 Fed is progressive institution out of control13:49 We may be closer to QE5 than Bessent knows15:05 Fed balance sheet must grow with federal debt16:04 New leadership - what about Fed funds rate?16:18 Potential for cut or hike?18:06 Base case still stagflation?20:12 Private equity excess cash looking for yield22:10 Politics of housing affordability daunting23:35 Viewer questions - TIPS24:26 Municipal bond default risk 26:24 Why higher inflation won't drive down gold28:42 AI craziness - momentum market29:31 Trump wanted cuts but prospects disappearing29:54 June FOMC - don't expect action31:20 Fed balance sheet more important than Fed funds rate33:11 Next week - bank report Monday
Arthur Hayes from Consensus Miami. BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes took the Consensus Miami mainstage to make a provocative case: crypto regulation is irrelevant to Bitcoin's price performance. Hayes argues that fiat liquidity, not legislation, is the only variable that matters. He breaks down how money printing drove Bitcoin's historic gains, why the CLARITY Act won't move the needle, and where he thinks the crypto community should actually focus its political energy. - Timecodes: 0:00 - Why Arthur Hayes Doesn't Care About Crypto Regulation 02:09 - Bitcoin's Value Proposition: Technology + Fiat Liquidity 04:50 - Obama, QE, and the Birth of Bitcoin 7:48 - Janet Yellen's Reverse Repo and the 200% Bitcoin Rally08:50 - Transformation in Trump's Rhetoric Around Bitcoin 11:12 - Why Regulation Is Irrelevant to Bitcoin's Price 12:10 - The Fed Balance Sheet vs. Bitcoin: The Only Chart That Matters13:16 - The Case for Supporting Open Source Developers
Today, we are joined by David Beckworth, Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center and host of Macro Musings, for a deep dive into the biggest macro questions shaping markets right now. David explains why central banks struggle to respond to supply shocks, why inflation expectations are more fragile than policymakers admit, and how frameworks like nominal GDP targeting could offer a more robust path forward. We explore the collision between geopolitical shocks and AI-driven productivity, the hidden consequences of quantitative easing, and the growing tension between monetary policy and fiscal sustainability. From stablecoins and the future of the dollar to the Fed's balance sheet and financial system plumbing, this episode unpacks the forces quietly reshaping the global economy, and why policymakers may be less in control than we think.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on LinkedIn.Follow David on X.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Stablecoins, financial stability, and uncertain impact01:00 - David Beckworth's path into macroeconomics05:43 - How central banks should respond to supply shocks08:56 - Why policymakers struggle to separate supply vs demand11:58 - Inflation expectations and post-COVID sensitivity14:46 - Are central banks over-reliant on flawed inflation models?18:49 - AI as a positive supply shock: hype vs reality22:00 - Productivity booms, deflation, and policy challenges25:11 - Kevin Warsh, AI optimism, and the Fed's future direction29:33 - QE, QT, and the long-term impact on financial markets33:28 - The “ratchet effect” and why the Fed can't shrink easily37:59 - Liquidity: abundant or an illusion?41:38 - Are markets addicted to central bank liquidity?44:21 - Fiscal dominance and the long-term risk to central banks53:54 - Stablecoins, dollar dominance, and global demand59:10 - Private credit and the evolving financial system01:00:49 - Books, learning, and building a career in macroCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer
Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS), returns to The Julia La Roche for episode 368 to warn that the three asset bubbles in stocks, credit, and real estate continue growing to unprecedented levels, with total market cap now at 230% of GDP versus a 90% average. He reveals that Powell has quietly printed $170 billion since December in an undeclared QE program, calls Powell's tenure "horrific," and celebrates his departure. Pento explains he's "nervously long" the market using his five-sector inflation-deflation model, currently positioned for stagflation with commodities, precious metals, and energy. He warns that credit markets will fracture first, with private credit now at $2 trillion (bigger than the $1.3 trillion subprime market in 2008), and predicts June redemptions could trigger a death spiral. Pento believes we need a 50% market correction to return to normalcy, warns we could see 15% interest rates like the 1980s but with a far worse debt backdrop, and argues the bottom 80% of Americans are already living in depression-like conditions while crony capitalism enriches the top 20%. He sees two paths forward: voluntary asset price reconciliation or forced hyperinflation leading to currency reset.Links: https://pentoport.com/ https://twitter.com/michaelpento0:00 Introduction - Michael Pento returns after 6 months0:59 Big picture macro view - Bubbles grow bigger2:19 Powell's "horrific tenure" - $4.5 trillion printed3:32 QE program continues - $170 billion since December4:39 Kevin Warsh-led Fed - What changes are coming?5:52 Warsh will punish Wall Street, boost Main Street7:06 Stock bubble metrics - 230% of GDP (average is 90%)8:24 Crony capitalism vs. free market economics9:10 Why capitalism gets a bad name10:01 Home price to income ratio at all-time highs11:01 Disconnect between stock market highs and consumer sentiment lows11:35 Only top 20% doing well - The "i-shaped economy"12:33 AI spending reminds Michael of 1999 tech bubble13:33 Are you confident Kevin Warsh can get us back to normalcy?14:41 What would normal market valuations look like?15:06 Would need 50% correction to return to normal17:05 Wouldn't printing just set us up for more problems?18:57 Either scenario leads to higher rates19:37 Implications of double-digit rates on everything20:38 Are you still nervously long the market?21:19 Michael's not a perma bear - History of market crashes23:02 How dangerous can this bubble be when it bursts?24:03 Michael's 5-sector inflation-deflation model25:14 Precious metals trade - Why only 6% position26:41 Energy thesis - After Iran war27:30 Explaining the 5 sectors - Which is most worrisome?28:25 Stagflation is the base case going forward29:01 Post-recession: $6 trillion deficits, $12 trillion Fed balance sheet29:55 Could we see 15% interest rates like 1980?31:17 What's the end game here?33:21 Are we past the point of no return?34:58 Which bubble bursts first - The epicenter?35:44 Watch credit markets first - Private credit warning36:46 June redemptions could trigger death spiral37:47 Is private credit too big to fail now?38:21 Risk not getting attention - Pressure on middle class40:00 Buy now pay later defaults surging40:29 Bottom 80% living in depression conditions41:18 Preventing tremors creates epic shocks42:48 Has anyone talked about $170 billion of QE since December?43:24 What makes Michael hopeful for the future44:01 Closing thoughts
Brendan talks about how games end, and recommends five games with compelling endings. Join us, won't you?Skull King (2013)Arkham Horror: The Card Game (2016)Monikers (2015)Escape! The Curse of the Temple (2012)A Study in Emerald (2013)Honorable MentionsRes Arcana (2019)The Adventurers: The Pyramid of Horus (2011)QE (2019)What games do you think have good endings? Share your thoughts over on boardgamegeek in guild #3269.
Game Brain: A Board Game Podcast with Matthew Robinson and his Gaming Group
Ben, Jordan, and Paul convene in their coziest garb to talk about the coziest game of a very cozy 2026: Nippon Zaibatsu! Well, cozy except for all the vicious area control and internal sobbing. We're talking about all the changes to the OG Nippon from 2015, and Jordan has a very specific and deserved beef to share. Plus, Tenby, The Treasure Ship of Zheng He, QE, and [insert spooky music] SorrRRrrcery.00:00 Intro03:08 - Sorcery08:42 - Tenby17:32 - The Treasure Ship of Zheng He30:41 - QE + its expansion Commodities40:03 - Inis, Keyside, Fellowship of the Ring - Trick Taking Game44:56 - Nippon Zaibatsu review
Qe don't talk about sports a lot on this show. But today, we are—because this is really a story about money.Right now, women's sports are having a moment. Investment is pouring in, media deals are growing, and athletes are finally starting to see bigger paychecks.But this isn't just about what's happening at the professional level.It's also about what it takes to even get in the game. Youth sports are getting more expensive, access is shrinking, and yet the research shows that girls who play sports are more likely to become leaders, earn more, and build wealth over time.So there's a bigger question here: What does this moment mean for women—and our financial future?Today, we're digging into the economics of women's sports, the controversy around athletes like Eileen Gu making bold financial moves, and why this could be one of the most important—and overlooked—wealth stories right now.My guest is Tess Waresmith, investing educator and former athlete, who's connecting the dots between sports, opportunity, and financial power. You can follow Tess on her Substack - Wealth with Tess - here.Learn more about Farnoosh's upcoming literary workshop Book to Brand. Early bird registration is now open! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Thomas Urano breaks down the Federal Reserve's latest meeting as markets weigh a hawkish hold amid stubborn inflation and fading rate‑cut expectations. He discusses the growing focus on Fed leadership uncertainty surrounding Jerome Powell and what a potential Kevin Warsh‑led Fed could signal for policy. Urano warns that reduced balance‑sheet support and less forward guidance could increase volatility and force bond markets to operate without the traditional QE backstop.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Has Bitcoin already bottomed, or are investors still looking at the wrong signals? Jordi Visser joins Bankless to argue that AI is destroying software moats, reshaping inflation, and pushing capital toward scarce assets, with Bitcoin at the center of that shift. We get into his “AI is the new QE” thesis, the scarcity-versus-abundance portfolio, why the S&P may struggle in an AI regime, what a more muted Bitcoin cycle looks like, and where he still sees upside across the rest of crypto. ---
In addition to telling Senators this month during his confirmation that he is not a sock puppet, Kevin Warsh insisted that the Fed's balance sheet is too big, is harming the economy, and that his job on Day 1 will be to shrink it back to where it was before anyone had ever heard of QE. But here is a question for the newsletter's fellow bloggers, posters, and readers: how has it hurt the economy? Because, to hear the bank executives who met with investors this month, who were all about optimism and how everything is fine (for now), the harm it is causing is not much in evidence. Certainly, the Fed's balance sheet cannot be as harmful as all the other chaos these days roiling markets, the price of gas, and fertilizer. The newsletter looks at the plan Kevin Warsh would pursue to shrink the Fed's balance sheet and what would need to change to get the job done.Subscribe to The Bank Treasury Newsletter and Podcast at thebanktreasurynewsletter.com for professional Insights and commentary on bank treasury issues, investment portfolio strategy, and more. Listen on Apple Podcasts,Spotify, and Amazon. Follow us on LinkedIn.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4w7lcrl The episode focuses on the Federal Reserve as Jerome Powell's chair term approaches its May 15, 2026 end and President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, nears confirmation. The main hurdle had been a DOJ criminal investigation into alleged cost overruns at the Fed building renovation, which Senator Thom Tillis and other Republicans cited as grounds to pause Walsh's nomination; the attorney general later dropped the criminal probe and referred the matter to the Fed inspector general, clearing the way for Senate Banking Committee action and a full Senate vote. Prediction markets and fed funds futures quickly repriced, with the probability of no rate cuts this year falling to about 62% and a meaningful chance of one cut remaining. David expects Warsh to argue oil is a supply shock outside monetary inflation, prioritize labor-market risks, and pair any rate cuts with tighter balance-sheet policy and reduced QE to improve price discovery and long-run market credibility. 00:00 Fed Returns to Spotlight 01:58 Powell Replacement Timeline 03:20 DOJ Probe and Senate Standoff 04:37 Investigation Dropped Breakthrough 06:52 Markets Reprice Rate Cuts 08:06 Forward Guidance and New Chair Uncertainty 10:43 Warsh Case for Cutting Rates 12:24 Balance Sheet Over Fed Funds 14:02 QE Exit and Fiscal Discipline 16:18 Market Credibility and Reform Hopes 18:18 Wrap Up and Next Week Preview Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Kevin Warsh's nomination hearing put Federal Reserve reform front and center. His vision challenges long-standing norms, raising key questions about how monetary policy could change—and what it means for markets. What would a Warsh-led Fed mean for interest rates, inflation expectations, and market stability? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the implications. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Kevin Warsh & Fed Reform; Technology at All-time High 5:47 - If You Missed the Rally... 10:32 - Temps in God's Country 11:39 - Odds are Kevin Warsh Will Be Confirmed 12:22 - Misnomer: The Fed is Trying to Bail Out the Dollar 16:02 - All Money is Lent Into Existence 18:29 - Money Supply is Not a Gauge of Inflation 22:09 - Misunderstanding Leads to Poor Investing Decisions 23:19 - When Kevin Warsh Replaces Jerome Powell 24:44 - QE is Reverse-Robinhood 26:40 - Fed Switch from Trimmed PCE for Inflation Metric 28:22 - Fed Communication & Forward Guidance 31:20 - Markets No Longer Pay Attention to Fundamentals 34:39 - Will Warsh Be Able to Make Substantive Changes? 36:17 - Fed Crises & New Chairmen 39:18 - Passive Investing Does a Disservice to Economy 41:05 - The Value Names Don't Have a Lot of Value 43:06 - Passive Investing Creates Mis-allocation of Capital ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MKQ5YTaUNh8 ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Ask Us Anything " https://youtube.com/live/yFe9x3vjJn0 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Wait for the Setup" is here: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy
Kevin Warsh's nomination hearing put Federal Reserve reform front and center. His vision challenges long-standing norms, raising key questions about how monetary policy could change—and what it means for markets. What would a Warsh-led Fed mean for interest rates, inflation expectations, and market stability? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the implications. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Kevin Warsh & Fed Reform; Technology at All-time High 5:47 - If You Missed the Rally... 10:32 - Temps in God's Country 11:39 - Odds are Kevin Warsh Will Be Confirmed 12:22 - Misnomer: The Fed is Trying to Bail Out the Dollar 16:02 - All Money is Lent Into Existence 18:29 - Money Supply is Not a Gauge of Inflation 22:09 - Misunderstanding Leads to Poor Investing Decisions 23:19 - When Kevin Warsh Replaces Jerome Powell 24:44 - QE is Reverse-Robinhood 26:40 - Fed Switch from Trimmed PCE for Inflation Metric 28:22 - Fed Communication & Forward Guidance 31:20 - Markets No Longer Pay Attention to Fundamentals 34:39 - Will Warsh Be Able to Make Substantive Changes? 36:17 - Fed Crises & New Chairmen 39:18 - Passive Investing Does a Disservice to Economy 41:05 - The Value Names Don't Have a Lot of Value 43:06 - Passive Investing Creates Mis-allocation of Capital ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MKQ5YTaUNh8 ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Ask Us Anything " https://youtube.com/live/yFe9x3vjJn0 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Wait for the Setup" is here: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy
Hank Paulson warns of a "vicious" debt crisis — but his only plan is to brace for it, not prevent it. That tells you everything.This episode is sponsored by HIMS. Visit https://hims.com/gold to get a personalized, affordable plan that gets youThis episode is also sponsored by NetSuite. Download Netsuite's free business guide, Demystifying AI, at https://netsuite.com/goldFormer Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson is warning about a "vicious" sovereign debt crisis and urging a break-the-glass emergency plan — but Peter Schiff points out that Paulson himself architected the bailouts and QE policies that made this crisis inevitable, and his only advice now is to prepare for the crash rather than prevent it.Markets hit record highs this week with the Nasdaq up 7% on ceasefire optimism and oil dropping to $83, but Schiff warns the rally is built on the false premise that peace means rate cuts. The Fed's balance sheet has quietly grown over $200 billion in 2026 while M2 money supply expands at 5% year-over-year. Meanwhile, NYC Mayor Manda proposes city-owned grocery stores and taxes on non-resident condos — policies Schiff dismantles as the kind of anti-capitalist thinking that drives wealth creators to places like Panama, which is rolling out the welcome mat for every entrepreneur New York chases away.Chapters:00:00 Show Cold Open00:57 Live From Puerto Rico01:59 War Headlines Fuel Rally04:12 Bitcoin Gold Silver Check07:07 Fed Policy And Real Rates08:54 Producer Prices Reality Check11:09 Paulson Warns Debt Crisis19:09 Panama Versus New York Taxes22:21 How Wealth Gets Created25:42 Fair Share And Job Creation30:03 Wealth Creation Backlash31:52 City Owned Grocery Plan34:11 Profit Motive And Prices39:18 Subsidies And Market Damage43:25 Farm Subsidies And USSR45:36 Taxing Nonresident Condos51:06 Why Profit Builds Cities51:59 Property Tax Critique59:44 Closing Markets And GoldFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #DebtCrisis #GoldInvestingOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out GhostBed: https://ghostbed.com/PETER* Check out Grammarly: https://grammarly.com* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/GOLD* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
In this episode of The Wrap, Chris Whalen breaks down what's really driving the rally, why the inflationary impact of the Iran war will stay with us through the end of 2026, and why the Fed's hands are essentially tied regardless of who sits in the chair. Chris also digs into Q1 bank earnings — what the numbers are really saying about credit risk, why most banks are still refusing to disclose their private credit exposures, and why he believes the debt in these deals will ultimately be converted to equity — with retail and institutional investors left holding the bag. Plus: commercial real estate as a long-term drag on cities, the New York pied-à-terre tax as political theater, gold and silver ETF picks, and why Chris says the U.S. equity market would be "comfortable with the devil by lunchtime." Thank you to our partners at Goldco. Get your free 2026 Gold & Silver Kit at https://goldco.com/thewrapLinks: The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ The Wrap: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira826Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Use the code TheWrap2026 for 25% off your first year of The Institutional Risk Analyst https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/plans-pricingTimestamps:00:00 - Introduction & kicking off with this week's Wrap 00:52 Markets surging on Iran/Strait of Hormuz news — Chris's initial take02:30 — Why inflation won't go away even if a deal is struck today 04:41 — FOMC outlook — no cuts expected, Fed on hold 05:21 — Trump's threat to fire Powell — why it won't happen and why the approach is backfiring 10:40 — War Powers Act and the 60-day congressional clock — what happens next 11:49 — Q1 Bank Earnings overview — revenue up, credit costs falling, but private credit disclosure disappoints 14:29 — Commercial real estate 16:30 — Housing market 17:24 — New York pied-à-terre tax — politics or policy? 20:16 — CRE as a long-term drag on city tax revenues, not an acute crisis 21:44 — Private credit disclosure — what questions remain after earnings 22:49 — "Private credit will become equity" — Chris explains the mechanics 24:49 — Red Lobster as the perfect example of debt-to-equity conversion 25:08 — Who are the losers? Retail, institutional investors — and some regional banks 25:29 — John Ray III's warning: regional banks are holding the bag on private credit 26:25 — Viewer Q: Trapped Fed — rate cuts, QE, or yield curve control in a stagflation scenario? 28:06 — Viewer Q: Which gold ETFs is Chris buying right now? 29:15 — Viewer Q: Why does the market keep taking Trump's word on Iran? 31:05 — Stocks vs. bonds in inflationary periods — why income assets are the play 32:22 — Is Chris more optimistic than usual? His take on doom and gloom narratives 33:27 — Closing thoughts, where to find Chris, and GoldCo sponsor message
Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendar Out Print the Fed with a 1% target per week: https://remnantfinance.com/optionsEmail us at info@remnantfinance.com or visit https://remnantfinance.com for more informationFOLLOW REMNANT FINANCEYoutube: @RemnantFinance (https://www.youtube.com/@RemnantFinance)Facebook: @remnantfinance (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560694316588)Twitter: @remnantfinance (https://x.com/remnantfinance)TikTok: @RemnantFinanceDon't forget to hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBE_____________________________In this episode, Hans explains the macroeconomic reality most people feel right now. Your purchasing power is quietly declining, and it's not by accident. From the rise of AI replacing real economic value to the mechanics of the national debt, this episode walks through how the system actually works.He explains who we're really in debt to, why the U.S. can't stop borrowing, and how the constant refinancing of trillions in debt creates a self-reinforcing loop. As interest rates rise and more debt comes due, the Federal Reserve and Treasury are left with fewer and fewer options.That leads to one likely outcome: yield curve control. A policy where the Fed steps in to cap interest rates and buy bonds with newly created money. Chapters:00:00 – Opening segment02:27 – Why understanding the Fed actually matters04:18 – Treasuries, global demand, and dollar fear narratives06:52 – AI replacing jobs and collapsing value of labor09:18 – Introduction to the national debt mechanics14:02 – Why rising rates are a massive problem16:48 – The $10 trillion rollover problem explained20:18 – Why the U.S. must keep borrowing (no way out)25:18 – Interest payments and the compounding loop28:42 – The $12 trillion annual borrowing reality31:22 – QE vs Yield Curve Control (key distinction)36:05 – What this means for cash, savings, and bonds37:12 – Impact on gold, Bitcoin, stocks, and real estate39:08 – Practical strategy: protecting and positioning capital45:20 – Closing segmentMost people don't realize their standard of living is being propped up by a system that's changing. If your job can be replaced by cheaper labor or AI, your income is no longer tied to real economic value, and that gap is starting to close.The U.S. doesn't “pay off” its debt. It refinances it. Roughly $10 trillion in debt comes due in a single year, and the government must borrow new money at current rates just to pay back old bondholders.The Fed has limited options left. Cutting spending isn't realistic, raising taxes won't close the gap, and growing out of the debt isn't happening fast enough. That leaves one primary tool.Yield curve control is likely the next move. Instead of controlling how much it buys, the Fed sets a target interest rate and buys whatever amount of bonds it takes to keep rates there.This policy quietly erodes purchasing power. Savings accounts, cash, and fixed-income assets lose ground over time as inflation stays higher than the returns they generate.Hard assets and productive assets respond differently. Stocks, real estate, gold, and Bitcoin tend to rise in nominal terms while the value of the dollar declines.You can't control the system, but you can control your position within it. Understanding how money is created, how debt is managed, and where your capital sits determines whether you keep up or fall behind.
The Fed's balance sheet has swelled from $900 billion in 2008 to just under $7 trillion in April 2026. Policymakers bought up securities to support the economy during the global financial crisis and pandemic, but critics allege the enormous balance sheet boosts inflation and distorts financial markets. If Kevin Warsh tries to reduce the Fed's holdings as Chair, he must contend with the existing regulatory environment and the Fed's ample reserves regime. In this episode, we talk with Jeff Lacker, the former President of the Richmond Fed from 2004-2017, about the theory behind central bank asset purchases, the costs and benefits of QE, and how a Kevin Warsh-led Fed could shrink the balance sheet.
CPI triples to 0.9%, consumer sentiment hits an all-time low, and the Fed is quietly running QE — stagflation isn't coming, it's here.Gold ended the week at $4,745 with silver at $75.76 and mining stocks up 5%, all buoyed by the Taco Tuesday ceasefire that sent markets surging mid-week. Peter Schiff argues the ceasefire is a win for Iran and that Trump was looking for a way out of threats he could never carry out — but the real story is the inflation data.March CPI came in at 0.9% month-over-month, tripling February's reading and pushing year-over-year inflation to 3.3%. The Fed's balance sheet has quietly expanded by nearly $200 billion in 2026 — quantitative easing in everything but name. Q4 GDP was revised down to 0.5%, making 2025's full-year growth just 2.1% — lower than any year under Biden. Consumer sentiment plunged to 47.6, the lowest reading in the history of the survey. Schiff connects the dots: M2 money supply growing at 5%, a proposed 50% defense budget increase, and a Fed that will be forced to cut rates regardless of inflation all point to a stagflation environment where gold and silver are headed substantially higher.Chapters:00:00 Ceasefire and Market Mood15:20 Inflation Data and Fed QE23:14 Inflation Not The War38:46 Stagflation Bull CaseFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffGet more gold & silver now: https://www.schiffgold.com1-888-GOLD-160 (465-3160)Open a T Gold account: https://www.tgold.comOpen a managed account: https://europac.comListen to The Peter Schiff Show: https://schiffradio.comFollow the main channel: https://youtube.com/peterschiff#PeterSchiffShow #Stagflation #GoldInvestingOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out GhostBed: https://ghostbed.com/PETER* Check out Grammarly: https://grammarly.com* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/GOLD* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
CPI triples to 0.9%, consumer sentiment hits an all-time low, and the Fed is quietly running QE — stagflation isn't coming, it's here. Gold ended the week at $4,745 with silver at $75.76 and mining stocks up 5%, all buoyed by the Taco Tuesday ceasefire that sent markets surging mid-week. Peter Schiff argues the ceasefire is a win for Iran and that Trump was looking for a way out of threats he could never carry out — but the real story is the inflation data. March CPI came in at 0.9% month-over-month, tripling February's reading and pushing year-over-year inflation to 3.3%. The Fed's balance sheet has quietly expanded by nearly $200 billion in 2026 — quantitative easing in everything but name. Q4 GDP was revised down to 0.5%, making 2025's full-year growth just 2.1% — lower than any year under Biden. Consumer sentiment plunged to 47.6, the lowest reading in the history of the survey. Schiff connects the dots: M2 money supply growing at 5%, a proposed 50% defense budget increase, and a Fed that will be forced to cut rates regardless of inflation all point to a stagflation environment where gold and silver are headed substantially higher.
In episode 257, Dean and Deron talk their favorite auction/bidding games. If you enjoy our podcast, please consider rating us and giving us a review. If you like our YouTube channel, please consider subscribing. If you have questions you would like us to answer on the podcast, please email us at meepletownmail@gmail.com. To support us further, check out www.patreon.com/meepletown or www.buymeacoffee.com/meepletown9. Join us on Discord: https://discord.gg/uasmBx326h 00:00 Intro 07:53 Top 5 Auction/Bidding Games 38:28 Honorable Mentions ***Spoilers Below*** . . . . . . . . . Dean's Top 5 5. QE (09:17) 4. Biblios (17:04) 3. For Sale (23:28) 2. Ra (28:09) 1. Modern Art (33:20) Deron's Top 5 5. Money (12:31) 4. Nightmare Productions (20:39) 3. High Society (26:16) 2. Ra (28:09) 1. Modern Art (33:20) Thanks for coming down to MeepleTown!
Bill Nelson is a chief research officer and chief economist at the Bank Policy Institute. In Bill's 10th appearance on the show he discusses his infamous email list, the ratchet effect from QE, his congressional testimony, the BPI's Bank Treasurers Survey, how he thinks the Fed should shrink the balance sheet, whether the Fed is profitable, and much more. Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel! Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on March 3rd, 2026 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:00 - Quantitative Easing Ratchet Effect 00:16:31 - Bill's Congressional Testimony 00:31:12 - BPI's Bank Treasurers Survey 00:37:37 - How To Shrink the Balance Sheet 00:48:44 - The Fed's Profits 00:54:50 - Outro
Matt Cole is the CEO of Strive Asset Management, and Jeff Park is a Partner & Chief Investment Officer at ProCap Financial. This conversation was recorded live at Bitcoin Investor Week in New York. In this conversation, we break down why bitcoin's volatility doesn't change the long-term story, how institutions think about drawdowns, and what today's Fed policy could mean for bitcoin and other risk assets. We also touch on digital credit, bitcoin-backed yield, and why volatility may actually be one of bitcoin's biggest advantages for long-term investors.=====================Bitget (https://bitget.com/promotion/futures-tradfi?channelCode=regd&vipCode=nkew) is the world's largest Universal Exchange (UEX) (https://bitget.com/promotion/futures-tradfi?channelCode=regd&vipCode=nkew), serving over 125 million users with access to over 2M+ crypto tokens, and TradFi markets such as 100+ tokenized stocks, ETFs, commodities, FX and precious metal like Gold. At launch, users can trade 79 instruments with USDT directly with the App. Users can also enjoy high liquidity and low slippage, while trading these assets with up to 500x leverage. For more information on Bitget TradFi, visit this article (https://bitget.com/support/articles/12560603846859).For more information, visit: Website (https://bitget.com/) | Twitter (https://x.com/bitget) | Telegram (https://t.me/BitgetENOfficial) | LinkedIn (https://linkedin.com/company/bitget-global/) | Discord (https://discord.com/invite/bitget)For media inquiries, please contact: media@bitget.com=====================BitcoinIRA: Buy, sell, and swap 80+ cryptocurrencies in your retirement account. Take 3 minutes to open your account & get connected to a team of IRA specialists that will guide you through every step of the process. Go to https://bitcoinira.com/pomp/ to earn up to $1,000 in rewards.=====================Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates the buying and selling of your preferred crypto strategies. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com and start your automated trading strategy for free. No catch. No hidden fees. Just smarter trading.=====================0:00 - Intro0:15 - Bitcoin volatility & Kevin Warsh impact4:19 - QE, deflation, & monetary regime change12:09 - The rise of digital credit & why bear markets build institutional track records 18:39 - Bitcoin treasury strategies & yield generation
Is America facing a housing crash — or is this the correction we actually need? I sit down with real estate expert Jon Brooks to dismantle the biggest myth in today's economy: We do NOT have a housing supply shortage. Instead, we may be staring at the aftermath of artificially low mortgage rates, COVID-era speculation, government manipulation through QE and FHA loans, and a collapsing demand base. The "housing shortage" is a myth designed to prop up a bubble market. Here is the truth about real estate, the economy, and why you shouldn't buy a home right now. Separately, I cover why it's a mistake for Trump to oppose any budget reconciliation legislation and to own the terrible status quo economy by calling it “golden” and suggesting there is nothing more he wants to accomplish. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe [CB] are trying to fight back, Trump continues to counter them by using tariffs. They will never learn. Blue states are feeling the economic pain, they are following the globalist plan and they will fail. Trump is changing the economic calculations. Inflation is below 1%. Trump nominates Kevin Warsh to restructure the Fed. The [DS] is panicking. They tried to trap Trump in the Epstein files, that did not work, the other part of the plan is to muddy the waters but this also failed. Trump is now preparing for mass round ups across the country. DHS is purchasing warehouses to hold the illegals. Trump is leading the [DS] down the path of no return. The insurrection is coming and Trump is preparing the counterinsurgency. Economy through this very same certification process. If, for any reason, this situation is not immediately corrected, I am going to charge Canada a 50% Tariff on any and all Aircraft sold into the United States of America. Thank you for your attention to this matter! DONALD J. TRUMP PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/DC_Draino/status/2016988052317409756?s=20 like he did in my First Term. I am confident that Brett has the expertise to QUICKLY fix the long history of issues at the BLS on behalf of the American People. Brett Matsumoto is a Brilliant, Reputable, and Trusted Economist who will restore GREATNESS to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Congratulations Brett! https://twitter.com/USTradeRep/status/2017747044350280104?s=20 extensive research in the field of Economics and Finance. Kevin issued an Independent Report to the Bank of England proposing reforms in the conduct of Monetary Policy in the United Kingdom. Parliament adopted the Report’s recommendations. Kevin Warsh became the youngest Fed Governor, ever, at 35, and served as a Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System from 2006 until 2011, as the Federal Reserve’s Representative to the Group of Twenty (G-20), and as the Board’s Emissary to the Emerging and Advanced Economies in Asia. In addition, he was Administrative Governor, managing and overseeing the Board’s operations, personnel, and financial performance. Prior to his appointment to the Board, from 2002 until 2006, Kevin served as Special Assistant to the President for Economic Policy, and Executive Secretary of the White House National Economic Council. Previously, Kevin was a member of the Mergers & Acquisitions Department at Morgan Stanley & Co., in New York, serving as Vice President and Executive Director. I have known Kevin for a long period of time, and have no doubt that he will go down as one of the GREAT Fed Chairmen, maybe the best. On top of everything else, he is “central casting,” and he will never let you down. Congratulations Kevin! PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP Warsh has compared Bitcoin favorably to gold as a “sustainable store of value,” indicating a positive view of gold’s role in the financial system. However, his nomination led to sharp declines in gold and silver prices (e.g., silver fell up to 26% in one day), as markets interpreted him as an inflation hawk who might pursue tighter monetary policy, reducing the appeal of precious metals as inflation hedges. This reaction stemmed from fears of less dovish Fed actions, which had previously driven gold’s rally amid uncertainty over Fed independence. Warsh’s broader hawkish stance on inflation aligns with “hard money” principles that could indirectly support gold, but his emphasis on shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet and normalizing policy suggests he prioritizes institutional reform over promoting gold as a standard. Is Kevin Warsh Pro-Sound Money?Yes, Warsh is a strong advocate for sound money principles, emphasizing disciplined, anti-inflationary monetary policy. He views inflation as a “monetary phenomenon” and “a choice” driven by excessive government printing and spending. As a former Fed Governor, he was often the most hawkish voice, opposing aggressive rate cuts during crises due to inflation risks. He criticizes the Fed’s “mission creep,” oversized balance sheet, and reliance on quantitative easing (QE), arguing these enable fiscal irresponsibility and distort markets. Warsh calls for “regime change” at the Fed, shifting away from Keynesian models toward rules-based policy that incorporates money supply considerations and reduces interventionism. He stresses credibility, clear rules, and accountability to maintain sound money. In a 2025 Hoover Institution paper, he advocated scrutinizing monetary policy under a framework that could include constitutional measures for prosperity and idea diffusion. Warsh has been vocal against Powell’s leadership, echoing Trump’s frustrations with high interest rates and calling for “regime change” at the Fed. He has moderated his hawkish stance to support lower rates, arguing AI-driven productivity allows growth without inflation. Credibility and Market Reassurance: Warsh is seen as a “traditional” pick with Fed experience, reassuring investors amid fears of a loyalist appointment that could undermine independence. Trump highlighted Warsh’s ability to deliver lower rates and growth, though some economists note Warsh’s independence could lead to tensions if he prioritizes data over demands. Analysts suggest the pick balances Trump’s desire for cuts with a credible figure. Political/Rights https://twitter.com/EndWokeness/status/2017774819823984722?s=20 Trump Administration Begins Suing Illegal Migrants Who Have Not Self-Deported The Trump administration has begun suing individual illegal migrants for ignoring removal orders and refusing to self-deport back to their home countries, a report says. The administration has filed suit against an illegal migrant living in Virginia, and is seeking $941,114 plus interest, alleging that Marta Alicia Ramirez Veliz has remained in the country despite being told her request for admittance was rejected by a Justice Department appeals panel in 2022, Politico reported. The filing notes that Veliz has refused to pay a $998 per-day fine for the 943 days since she was told to return to her home country, and reveals that Immigration and Customs Enforcement sent her an official notice of her total fine in April. The lawsuit describes Veliz as “an individual and noncitizen residing in Chesterfield County, Virginia,” and does not identify her nationality. source: breitbart.com https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2017404446230323358?s=20 BREAKING: Disturbing photos in the Epstein files appear to show Prince Andrew on all fours over a woman lying on the ground. https://twitter.com/HansMahncke/status/2017792445979791448?s=20 for everyone, or is connected through some opaque web of professional and personal ties. A supposedly random figure from the squalor of Uganda rises all the way to mayor of New York, only for it to later emerge that his mother is deeply embedded in elite circles. The same pattern shows up again and again. James Comey's daughter just happened to be a lead federal prosecutor on the Epstein case. The judge who presided over the trial of Hillary Clinton's lawyer, the one who helped seed the Russiagate hoax, is married to Lisa Page's lawyer. Page, of course, was involved with Peter Strzok, who is one of the central figures in that same hoax. And to complete the circle, Merrick Garland officiated their wedding. None of this requires conspiracy theories. It requires only acknowledging how small, closed, and self-protecting these elite worlds are. Fix elite incestuousness, and a lot of other problems will disappear on their own. https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2017734119334232544?s=20 https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2017474860700877105?s=20 https://twitter.com/CynicalPublius/status/2017762585878069630?s=20 https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2017694490614763591?s=20 written from Nikolic's perspective. At the time, Nikolic was Gates's top scientific investment advisor. The emails suggest Gates was firing Nikolic in response to marital problems with Melinda. In June 2013, Nikolic emailed Gates and asked if he wanted to go to the “legendary Crazy Horse in Paris” an erotic show, while they were in France. Gates declined, saying he would be too tired and didn't want to take the risk, adding that he might have done it when he was younger. On July 1, 2013, Gates emailed Nikolic: “We should meet on Wednesday to discuss your job. There is going to have to be a transition. I feel very bad about it but I don’t see a way around it.” Nikolic shared these emails with Epstein. Epstein later commented on the Paris erotic show email, writing: “This is pretty bad and might have been the cause of her bad mail in paris.”—apparently referring to Melinda. Nikolic appeared unhappy about being fired while potentially being used as a scapegoat, and he sought greater financial compensation as he prepared to leave and launch his own investment fund. In these emails, Epstein—writing as Nikolic—references alleged knowledge of Gates's extramarital affairs, STDs allegedly contracted from Russian women, and drug use as justification for why Nikolic deserved more money. Taken together, it appears Jeffrey Epstein was drafting or shaping a message for Boris Nikolic that effectively functioned as blackmail, pressuring Bill Gates for financial compensation. It remains unclear whether Nikolic ultimately sent these messages to Gates. However, later emails suggest Gates helped Nikolic launch his next investment fund and maintained a working relationship with him afterward. Epstein later listed Nikolic as a backup executor of his will, indicating the two were close confidants. https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/2017769194159210784?s=20 Billionaire Reid Hoffman, Who Bankrolled the E. Jean Carroll Lawsuit Against Trump, Is Featured Extensively in the New Epstein Files, Visiting Zorro Ranch and Pedophile Island Hoffman went to the Island. A man who used his fortune to bankroll a lawsuit against President Donald J. Trump is now featured extensively in the new DOJ-released Jeffrey Epstein documents. The three and a half million documents from the latest – and apparently last – have been released by the DOJ following the approval of the House Resolution 4405, the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Documents from this massive release show the close ties between LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman and the late pedophile. The pair ‘discusses visits to Epstein's infamous private island, his New Mexico ranch, and his New York apartment'. The New York Post reported: “'Reid will spend the night at 71st', according to one email from Hoffman's team included in the latest Justice Department dump of Epstein files, in reference to his Upper East Side townhouse.” A 2014 memo states that Epstein hosted will have (venture capitalist) Joi Ito and Reid Hoffman on the infamous Zorro Ranch for a weekend. “An email Epstein penned to his assistant Saida Sapieva under the heading ‘Trip to the Island' states: ‘Reid will take a Virgin America Flight from SFO to Fort Lauderdale, departing at 8:20 am, landing at 4:40 pm'. In 2023, Hoffman visited to Epstein's former Caribbean private island, Little St. James, also known as ‘pedophile island', The Post previously reported.” Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/2017106848311366064?s=20 https://twitter.com/MikeBenzCyber/status/2017789344103145647?s=20 https://twitter.com/MikeBenzCyber/status/2017772724093849926?s=20 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/2017930408650772495?s=20 https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/2017329765863039432?s=20 Israel had Trump by the balls so much that… Epstein was arrested? Ghislaine Maxwell was arrested? Jean Luc Brunel was arrested? Les Wexner stepped down? NXIVM sex cult ended? And now we're getting those files? These people don't think very hard https://twitter.com/JD_Cashless/status/2017349780922408973?s=20 https://twitter.com/TaraBunner2/status/2017619821634977889?s=20 https://twitter.com/Jordan_Sather_/status/2017399510809645263?s=20 https://twitter.com/TheStormRedux/status/2017789280693735748?s=20 politically. “I didn't see it myself but I was told by some very important people that not only does it absolve me, it's the opposite of what people were hoping – you know, the radical left. Wolff, who's a 3rd rate writer, was conspiring with Jeffrey Epstein to hurt me politically or otherwise…” Don't fall for all the clickbait doomers pushing the anti-Trump narratives. It's all bullshit. Lots of people not looking good though after today's release. Will be interesting to see how this plays out. To muddy the waters is an idiom that means to make a situation, issue, or discussion more confusing, unclear, or complicated—often deliberately. For example: “The politician’s vague statements only muddied the waters during the debate.” It originates from the idea of stirring up mud in water, making it murky and hard to see through. DOGE Geopolitical War/Peace Iran Hits Back At EU: Designates European Armies As ‘Terrorist Entities’ Iran is saying two can play at the West’s game: on Friday the secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council blasted the EU’s decision to designate the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a “terrorist organization,” warning that Europe’s own militaries would now be viewed through the same lens. “The European Union certainly knows that… the armies of countries that have participated in the European Union’s recent resolution against the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps are considered terrorist entities,” Ali Larijani wrote in a post on X. He added bluntly: “Therefore, the consequences of that shall be borne by the European countries that undertook such an action.” However, there’s probably nothing in the way of European military assets for the Islamic Republic to sanction, so this ‘action’ by Tehran will remain largely symbolic. Iran does have assets held in various places of Europe though. EU foreign ministers agreed on Thursday to formally classify the IRGC as a “terrorist organization” and urged member states to implement the designation without delay – after a few longtime holdouts flipped. source: zerohedge.com [DS] Agenda https://twitter.com/rhodeislander/status/2017361344018739231?s=20 https://twitter.com/nicksortor/status/2017331445195211254?s=20 at Place of Worship COUNT 2: 18 U.S.C. § 248(a) (b), § §2(a) – FACE Act: Injure, Intimidate, and Interfere with Exercise of Right of Religious Freedom at a Place of Worship. Full indictment in replies. https://twitter.com/amuse/status/2017755569097003394?s=20 https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/2017426372860190991?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2017426372860190991%7Ctwgr%5Efafd5c6b893c0c4815868b0fd8490482712f780e%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.breitbart.com%2Ft%2Fassets%2Fhtml%2Ftweet-5.html2017426372860190991 Maxine Waters Incites Violent Leftist Rioters in Los Angeles – Threatens ICE, “We're Going to Fight You Every Inch of the Way” (VIDEOS) Far-left Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA) was in Los Angeles on Friday, inciting her radical left followers to riot against law enforcement before several were arrested. Rioters were seen hurling objects at shielded federal agents who pushed back with pepper balls and nonlethal munitions. Via ABC 7: Anti-ICE Rioters Clash with Federal Agents and Local Police Outside Los Angeles ICE Facility Eventually, the rioters moved a dumpster toward the entrance of the ICE detention facility and set it ablaze. Over 100 Los Angeles Police officers reportedly responded in riot gear to quell the violence. Multiple videos circulating on social media show Maxine Waters at the front lines of the riot as leftists were told to disperse for surrounding the federal building, trespassing on federal property, and later assaulting federal officers. After pepper spray was deployed, Waters returned to the front of the riot with a mask and continued leading the insurrection. Waters was seen pulling up to the scene early in the day in a black SUV before stepping out to rally her troops, flailing her arms and leading chants of “ICE Out of LA.” Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/DOGEai_tx/status/2017736355665641700?s=20 Martinez's gang alliance pitch isn't just reckless; it's a calculated distraction from ICE's indiscriminate sweeps that tear families apart over paperwork. Federal law requires deportation for specific crimes, yet bureaucrats weaponize broad mandates to meet quotas. The solution? Enforce existing laws precisely, stop manufacturing crises, and end the performative politics that put both officers and communities at risk. President Trump's Plan https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2017769322723082564?s=20 constitutional dike, It is so ORDERED” – “Feb. 31” doesn’t exist – LinkedIn shows he liked a TDS post about ICE today – Includes a photo of the kid in the order – Unprofessionally antagonistic language WTF?! This is a JUDGE?! @ElonMusk and @NayibBukele were right all along. We can’t have a saved republic until we mass impeach the courts. H/t @BillMelugin_ https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/2017574838143959310?s=20 https://twitter.com/nicksortor/status/2017636699157811696?s=20 one of the safest cities in America – Likewise, numerous other once very dangerous cities! Republicans, don't let these Crooked Democrats, who are stealing Billions of Dollars from Minnesota, and other Cities and States from all over the Country, push you around. They are using this aggressive protest SCAM to obfuscate, camouflage, and hide their CRIMINAL ACTS of theft and insurrection. They should all be in jail. I was elected on Strong Borders, and Law and Order, among many other things. Thank you to Secretary Kristi Noem. Remember, ELECTIONS HAVE CONSEQUENCES!!! PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP Federal Government Property. There will be no spitting in the faces of our Officers, there will be no punching or kicking the headlights of our cars, and there will be no rock or brick throwing at our vehicles, or at our Patriot Warriors. If there is, those people will suffer an equal, or more, consequence. In the meantime, by copy of this Statement, I am informing Local Governments, as I did in Los Angeles when they were rioting at the end of the Biden Term, that you must protect your own State and Local Property. In addition, it is your obligation to also protect our Federal Property, Buildings, Parks, and everything else. We are there to protect Federal Property, only as a back up, in that it is Local and State Responsibility to do so. Last night in Eugene, Oregon, these criminals broke into a Federal Building, and did great damage, also scaring and harassing the hardworking employees. Local Police did nothing in order to stop it. We will not let that happen anymore! If Local Governments are unable to handle the Insurrectionists, Agitators, and Anarchists, we will immediately go to the location where such help is requested, and take care of the situation very easily and methodically, just as we did the Los Angeles Riots one year ago, where the Police Chief said that, “We couldn't have done it without the help of the Federal Government.” Therefore, to all complaining Local Governments, Governors, and Mayors, let us know when you are ready, and we will be there — But, before we do so, you must use the word, “PLEASE.” Remember that I stated, in the strongest of language, to BEWARE — ICE, Border Patrol or, if necessary, our Military, will be extremely powerful and tough in the protection of our Federal Property. We will not allow our Courthouses, Federal Buildings, or anything else under our protection, to be damaged in any way, shape, or form. I was elected on a Policy of Border Control (which has now been perfected!), National Security, and LAW AND ORDER — That's what America wants, and that's what America is getting! Thank you for your attention to this matter. PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP he will use DHS/ICE and, if necessary, the US MIL to protect federal property. It sounds like Trump knows something is coming. It sounds like the Dems want DHS/ICE to get caught up in policing these riots, hoping more of their deranged followers take it too far and get shot. Trump is instead going to hold and force local Democrat politicians to police their own riots, or agree to work with him. And if the Dems choose to not police these riots, they will force Trump to use the US MIL to suppress the chaos. https://twitter.com/unseen1_unseen/status/2017334056292143173?s=20 https://twitter.com/StephenM/status/2017585812599087241?s=20 EXCLUSIVE: Atlanta Field Office Special Agent in Charge Allegedly Removed For Slow-Walking Election Fraud Investigation Reports are emerging on social media that Paul Brown, the FBI Special Agent in Charge at the Atlanta Field Office, was “forced out of that job earlier this month,” according to MSNOW's Ken Dilanian. According to MSNOW, Brown “was forced out this month after questioning the Justice Department's renewed push to probe Fulton County's role in the 2020 election” after “expressing concern” about “unsubstantiated allegations of voter fraud” in Fulton County. Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/TheStormRedux/status/2017632517596045581?s=20 of evidence that the judge authorized us to collect. And what we're gonna do next is go through the voluminous amounts of information collected and continue our investigation. At this point there's not much more I can say publicly because we have to go through a lot more material. But it was predicated on a finding of probable cause by a judge in Georgia.” Time for people to go to jail! We all watched it stolen in real time, and we're all still pissed off about it! https://twitter.com/TheStormRedux/status/2017201516768026738?s=20 the election safe, and she's done a very good job. And as you know, they got into the votes. You've got a signed judges order in Georgia and you're gonna see some interesting things happening.” We've waited a long time for this. Let's get it. https://twitter.com/JoeLang51440671/status/2017668286196932654?s=20 https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/2017631484908024035?s=20 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");
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