Podcasts about markets

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    Best podcasts about markets

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    Latest podcast episodes about markets

    Christopher Lochhead Follow Your Different™
    404 Is Agentic AI the End of SaaS as We Know It? | DisrupTV

    Christopher Lochhead Follow Your Different™

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 45:50


    In a special episode from the DisrupTV studios, marketing visionaries Christopher Lochhead, Ray Wang, Vala Afshar, and guest Sunil Karkera dive deep into the themes of Christopher Lochhead's latest book, The Existing Market Trap. The conversation is a masterclass in modern marketing strategy, category design, and the seismic impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on business. If you're a marketer, entrepreneur, or executive looking to future-proof your company and career, this episode is a must-listen. You're listening to Christopher Lochhead: Follow Your Different. We are the real dialogue podcast for people with a different mind. So get your mind in a different place, and hey ho, let's go. Understanding the Existing Market Trap Most companies fail not because their products are bad, but because they compare their innovations to old market standards. This “existing market trap” forces them to compete in crowded, established categories, dooming them to incremental improvements and eventual irrelevance. Lochhead warns that trillions in investment will be lost if companies keep chasing existing markets instead of creating new ones, and much of the 90%+ startup failure rate is due to the trap of incrementalism, trying to be “better” rather than “different.” The key is to stop benchmarking new products against legacy solutions and instead ask: What new problem are we solving, and how can we define a new category around it? The Power of Category Design Category design is the discipline of creating and dominating new market categories. It's not just a marketing tactic, it's a strategic mindset shift. Markets are groups of people with a shared problem, while categories are defined by what people believe can solve that problem. Companies like OpenAI and Nvidia didn't chase existing demand, they created it. Legendary category designers start with a vision of a radically different future and work backward, understanding that the language used to describe a product and category shapes what people believe is possible. Ultimately, the most powerful thing you can “ship” is a new belief about what's possible. Rather than out-featuring competitors, the goal is to redefine the game and build the aisle, not just fight for shelf space. AI as a Co-Founder, Not a Copilot Treating AI as a mere “assistant” or “copilot” is a massive missed opportunity. AI should be the core foundation of your business and career. When AI is just an add-on, it leads to incremental change, but when it is treated as a co-founder, it enables exponential, net-new value creation. The next generation will be “native AI”; they'll expect AI to be at the center of everything. To take advantage of this, businesses should integrate AI deeply, building processes, products, and even company culture around AI from the ground up, and reimagine roles so that AI is seen as a creative partner, not just a tool. To hear more of this amazing dialogue between marketing geniuses, download and listen to this episode.  Links If you wish to check out more episodes from DisrupTV, you can do so on these links: LinkedIn | X (formerly Twitter) | Youtube | Apple Podcast | Website We hope you enjoyed this episode of Christopher Lochhead: Follow Your Different™! Christopher loves hearing from his listeners. Feel free to email him, connect on Facebook, X (formerly Twitter), Instagram, and subscribe on Apple Podcast / Spotify!

    Beyond Markets
    The Week in Markets: Growth tailwinds meet trade headwinds

    Beyond Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 5:58


    This week's episode covers the S&P 500's new record highs as US fiscal policy proves stimulative, despite ongoing tariff headlines and persistent inflation concerns. We examine the fresh trade deal with Indonesia, rising political uncertainty in Japan, and what August's looming tariff deadline could mean for global trade. Q2 earnings season is underway, with strong results from US banks and tech stocks. We explore what these developments could mean for portfolio positioning amid shifting market dynamics. This episode is presented by Eric Mak from the Equity Research Asia team at Julius Baer.

    Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast
    Facing the Future of Senior Living in Secondary Markets with Jimmy Justice

    Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 19:23 Transcription Available


    Jimmy Justice, Chief Operating Officer of William James Group, joined the show to share insights on their growth in secondary markets, employee retention strategies, and what work-life balance means for those in seniors housing.This episode was recorded at the NHI Symposium. Sponsored by Aline, NIC MAP, Procare HR, Sage, Hamilton CapTel, Service Master, The Bridge Group Construction and Solinity. Produced by Solinity Marketing.Become a sponsor of Bridge the Gap.Connect with BTG on social media:YouTubeInstagramFacebookTwitterLinkedInTikTokMeet the Hosts:Lucas McCurdy, @SeniorLivingFan Owner, The Bridge Group Construction; Senior Living Construction Renovation, CapEx, and Reposition. Joshua Crisp, Founder and CEO, Solinity; Senior Living Development, Management, Marketing and Consulting.

    Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
    7-21-25 Big Questions for Big Tech

    Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 46:35


    Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings Preview SEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & Coldplay SEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of Hand SEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late Show SEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yet SEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    Two Blokes Trading - Learn to Trade Online
    Surviving the Markets: Brett Steenbarger on Risk, Strategy, and Success

    Two Blokes Trading - Learn to Trade Online

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 47:59


    In this episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, renowned trading psychologist and hedge fund performance coach Dr. Brett Steenbarger dives into the core mindset and strategy principles that help traders survive the markets, especially when volatility, pressure, and risk collide. Drawing on decades of experience working with top institutional traders, Steenbarger reveals what it really takes to succeed in today's fast-moving financial environment.He shares how his background in clinical psychology led to coaching traders, the impact of early trading losses on his risk philosophy, and why managing emotions is not about avoiding them, but about channeling the right ones. You'll also learn how he uses journaling, data, and even wearable brainwave tech to help traders find focus and build resilience.Whether you're a beginner navigating the markets or a seasoned professional looking for a psychological edge, this episode provides a toolkit of mental habits, strategic frameworks, and insider insights that will help you stay in the game and thrive.

    Farm Talk Podcasts
    07-21-25 - Checking the Monday Markets with Kristi Van Ahn of Van Ahn and Company.

    Farm Talk Podcasts

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 5:10


    Excess Returns
    This Isn't Priced In | PIMCO's Libby Cantrill on the Policy Risks Markets Are Missing

    Excess Returns

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2025 49:49


    Policy uncertainty is rising—but markets seem unfazed. In this episode, we sit down with Libby Cantrill, Head of Public Policy at PIMCO, to explore the critical policy risks that investors may be underestimating or ignoring altogether.From the real-world implications of the tariffs to questions around Fed independence, fiscal stimulus, and housing market interventions, Libby provides an insider's perspective on what's happening in Washington—and why it matters more than the market suggests.She also discusses how policy risk differs from macroeconomic risk, how investors often price the wrong factors, and why the next shock may not come from where most expect.Topics covered include:Why policy risk remains underappreciated by marketsThe lasting impact of tariffs—and how they could evolveThe Big, Beautiful Tax Bill: What's real, what's hypeRisks to Fed independence and central bank credibilityGSE reform and the political tightrope in housingThe intersection of fiscal policy and market complacencyWhether you're focused on macro trends, portfolio positioning, or simply trying to understand what Washington might throw at markets next, this is a conversation you don't want to miss.

    Squawk Box Europe Express
    Ishiba coalition loses upper house majority

    Squawk Box Europe Express

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2025 26:00


    Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling coalition loses its majority in the upper house with rival parties advocating tax cuts and increased spending. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says he believes an EU trade deal is feasible. However, reports suggest some EU leaders are considering harsher retaliatory moves should President Trump raise the baseline tariff rate. And in aviation news, Ryanair's net profits almost double in the second quarter as Easter travel boosts Europe's largest budget carrier. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

    Money Talk: The Annex Wealth Management Show - Naples
    Sunday, July 20th. Looking ahead: Dog days.

    Money Talk: The Annex Wealth Management Show - Naples

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2025 55:43


    Despite challenging weather, the economy could gain momentum once the tariff "deadline" passes, with the One Big Beautiful Bill's tax incentives spurring investment and growth. Join Brian Jacobsen for our Week-in-Review. Plus, meet the newest member of the Annex Private Client team, explore six key benefits of trusts, learn how Annex supports clients planning a part-time retirement, and discover ways grandparents can financially support their grandchildren.

    Late Confirmation by CoinDesk
    Stablecoins Create the 'ChatGPT Moment' for Crypto: Tom Lee | Markets Daily

    Late Confirmation by CoinDesk

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2025 18:36


    The latest price moves and insights with Fundstrat Capital co-founder and CIO Tom Lee.To get the show every week, follow the podcast here.Fundstrat Capital co-founder and CIO Tom Lee, who also chairs BitMine, joins CoinDesk to break down the "ChatGPT moment" that stablecoins are bringing to the crypto industry and what that means for Ethereum's growth potential.This content should not be construed or relied upon as investment advice. It is for entertainment and general information purposes.-Midnight is a privacy-enhancing blockchain introducing vital, programmable privacy and selective disclosure capabilities.It means DApps can allow users to control what information is revealed without putting sensitive data on-chain, allowing you to break free from the limitation of choosing between utility or privacy.We deserve more when it comes to privacy. Experience the next generation of blockchain that is private and inclusive by design. Break free with Midnight, visit midnight.network/break-free-This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “Markets Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour
    Will the U.S. Dollar Survive the Liquidity Flood? Dan Wantrobski Weighs In

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2025 32:49


    Jul 19, 2025 – What if today's market boom is actually the beginning of a systemic unraveling? In this eye-opening interview, Jim Puplava speaks with Dan Wantrobski...

    Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

    Crypto News: President Trump signs the stablecoin bill GENIUS Act into law. Charles Schwab CEO says they will launch Bitcoin and Ethereum trading "sometime soon" and will be competing with Coinbase. Show Sponsor - ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/

    The Korelin Economics Report
    Weekend Show – Peter Boockvar & Matt Geiger – From Wall Street to Gold Stocks: Markets and Resources in Focus

    The Korelin Economics Report

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2025


    This weekend's show dives into what's really driving markets amid tariff tensions and why global money is quietly rotating into commodities and resource stocks.  ...

    Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
    Choppy Event Filled Trading Drives Markets To New Peaks Again!

    Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2025 32:10


    This is our weekly market update, where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, covering crypto and commodities along the way. Overall, Wall Street and most global benchmark indices rose on the week, as upbeat U.S. economic data more than compensated for the heightened trade uncertainty and Trump … Continue reading "Choppy Event Filled Trading Drives Markets To New Peaks Again!"

    Money Wise
    Wall Street's Uneasy Summer, Tariff Drama, & What Wall Street Won't Tell You

    Money Wise

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2025 80:57


    The Money Wise guys are back with another episode, and they kick off the show with a rapid-fire recap of last week's market moves. Markets were relatively calm this past week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down just 29 points (0.1%), the S&P 500 up 37 points (0.6%), and the NASDAQ gaining 310 points (1.5%). Year to date, the Dow is up 4.2%, the S&P 500 has climbed 7.1%, and the NASDAQ is up 8.2%. Despite hitting a new all-time high on Thursday, the S&P 500 continues to move in a sideways “cha-cha” pattern amid ongoing tariff uncertainty and mixed earnings results. President Trump's tariff deadlines and recurring comments about Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell kept investors on edge, though markets appear increasingly numb to the steady flow of trade-related headlines. The Money Wise guys note that while strong earnings reports emerged this week, they didn't excite Wall Street as much as expected, perhaps due to high second-quarter gains setting an elevated bar for performance. Looking ahead, the last week of July could bring renewed volatility with earnings from key “Magnificent 7” tech stocks and the looming August 1 tariff deadline. Wall Street's Uneasy Summer Wall Street is heading into an uneasy summer, with markets caught between optimism and uncertainty. Strong second-quarter gains have set high expectations for corporate earnings, yet investors seem hesitant to push stocks much higher amid a constant drumbeat of tariff threats and shifting Federal Reserve signals. Even as the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high this week, trading has been marked by a sideways, stop-and-go pattern. With key tech earnings on deck and an August 1 tariff deadline looming, the coming weeks could determine whether the summer calm gives way to renewed volatility, or sets the stage for the next leg of the rally. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys give listenters a peek into what Wall Street Won't Tell You. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

    Do This, NOT That: Marketing Tips with Jay Schwedelson l Presented By Marigold
    130 Restaurants! How CMO Jennifer Bell markets RPM Italian, R.J. Grunts, Aba, Hub 51, Wildfire, M Burger, Shaw's Crab House, Mon Ami Gabi, Beatrix and 100+ more | Ep. 378

    Do This, NOT That: Marketing Tips with Jay Schwedelson l Presented By Marigold

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 23:21 Transcription Available


    You might not think running marketing for over 130 wildly different restaurants sounds like fun, but Jay Schwedelson finds out that for Jennifer Bell, it's exactly that. From Michelin-starred fine dining to casual pizza joints, Jennifer has spent 25 years at Lettuce Entertain You, mastering how to scale loyalty, storytelling, and strategy without turning everything into a bland, one-size-fits-all experience.Jennifer oversees the marketing for Lettuce Entertain You...As a culinary-driven company, our restaurants - including R.J. Grunts, Aba, Hub 51, Wildfire, RPM Italian, M Burger, Shaw's Crab House, Mon Ami Gabi, Beatrix and more - offer diverse opportunities. But we all share the same goal: a desire to be the best we can be. If you want to be part of a progressive company with a firm commitment to its people, join the creative team of Lettuce partners and employees. Please visit https://www.lettucejobs.com to learn more about Lettuce and view our current openings.Lettuce Entertain You Restaurants is an independent, family-owned restaurant group based in Chicago that owns, manages and licenses more than 110 restaurants in Illinois, Minnesota, Maryland, Nevada, Texas, Virginia, Florida, Washington D.C. with Tennessee coming soon. We were founded in June 1971 by Richard Melman and Jerry A. Orzoff with the opening of R.J. Grunts and today, thanks to the creativity of our partners, we proudly serve guests at more than 60 concepts ranging from fast casual to fine dining restaurants.ㅤDownload the LettuceEats app: https://www.lettuce.com/lettuceeats-app/Visit Lettuce Entertain You: https://www.lettuce.com/Connect with Jennifer Bell on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jenniferleberbell/ㅤBest Moments:(01:30) Why the company's founder never wanted to be the biggest—just the best(03:45) How marketing is structured across 60+ brands without losing individuality(06:19) The “scary” shift from total flexibility to standardized tech platforms(08:58) The Scratch Off promo that moved from mailers to the app (and why servers loved it)(10:45) How they test and scale new tools without forcing every restaurant into it(11:31) Loyalty isn't just a program—it's their biggest strategic asset(13:45) Why they had to reinvent loyalty metrics across wildly different concepts(15:00) The matchmaking magic of pairing the right influencers with the right restaurants(17:39) Jennifer's favorite way to use AI (and how it makes guest experiences better)(20:45) Why two drinks help her stop analyzing every menu when dining outㅤCheck out our 100% FREE + VIRTUAL EVENTS! ->Guru Conference - The World's Largest Virtual EMAIL MARKETING Conference - Nov 6-7!Register here: www.GuruConference.comㅤCheck out Jay's YOUTUBE Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@schwedelsonCheck out Jay's TIKTOK: https://www.tiktok.com/@schwedelsonCheck Out Jay's INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/jayschwedelson/ㅤMASSIVE thank you

    Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
    2324 FBF: Investment Markets & Golf with Kevin Armstrong Formerly of ANZ Group's Private Bank and Author of ‘Bulls, Birdies, Bogeys, & Bears'

    Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 58:11


    This Flashback Friday is from episode 351, published last December 4, 2013.  Kevin Armstrong is the former Chairman of the ANZ Group's Regional Investment Committee and former chief investment officer for ANZ Group's private bank. He's the author of, "BULLS, BIRDIES, BOGEYS & BEARS: The Remarkable & Revealing Relationship Between Golf & Investment Markets." Armstrong explains how the rises and falls in the fortunes of professional golfers, and the emergence and decline of major stars such as Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods, reflected the ebb and flow of the stock market.  The answer provides a unique and powerful connection between golf and investment markets. The ‘pulses' of two totally separate activities, golf and investing, have been so synchronized and connected, not just in modern times, but throughout history, and in a manner not found in any other sport?      Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com  

    BiggerPockets Daily
    Rent Growth Continues It's Decline as Sunbelt Markets Enter Correction Territory

    BiggerPockets Daily

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 12:31


    Rent growth cooled again in June, with U.S. asking rents rising just 2.9% year-over-year to $2,069—one of the softest showings for this time of year in recent memory. Zillow's forecast now projects rent growth slowing even further in 2025: just 2.7% for single-family homes and a meager 1.3% for multifamily units. Meanwhile, a record 35% of rental listings are offering concessions like free rent or parking, a sign that market softness persists despite steep rent gains over the past five years. In this episode, we break down the numbers, regional differences, and what this means for landlords and renters alike Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour
    Jeff Rubin: Energy Crisis, Trade Wars, and the End of Cheap Living

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 48:31


    Jul 18, 2025 – What happens when the global economy starts to unravel—and we're forced to bring everything back home? In this thought-provoking conversation, Jim Puplava interviews economist and author Jeff Rubin...

    Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
    MASSIVE! CRYPTO LEGISLATION BILLS PASS THE HOUSE & XRP BREAKS ALL TIME HIGHS!

    Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 17:21


    Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
    Ethereum is Better Than Bitcoin as a Corporate Treasury Asset! with Charles Allen

    Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 44:16


    Charles Allen, CEO of BTCS, joined me to discuss why BTCS chose Ethereum as its treasury asset—and why he believes it's a better option than Bitcoin.Topics: - BTCS history of innovation in the crypto space - Using Ethereum as a treasury asset - Why Ethereum is better than other crypto assets for a treasury strategy - Staking and DeFi - Will crypto treasury companies survive the bear market? - Crypto legislation and market outlook Show Sponsor -

    Inside the ICE House
    Market Storylines: Washington Headlines Move Markets + Financials Dominate Earnings

    Inside the ICE House

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 7:58


    Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist for the NYSE, details the latest trends and developments in global markets. In this week's episode, he discusses the headlines coming out of Washington D.C. and the early start to earnings season.

    The Bitboy Crypto Podcast
    BREAKING: XRP PUMPING as Crypto Bills Pass & Trump Shocks Markets (+$8000 Trade)

    The Bitboy Crypto Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 68:22


    Web3 Breakdowns
    Quarterly Market Recap: Q2 2025 - [Making Markets, EP.63]

    Web3 Breakdowns

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 48:49


    Eric and Matt dive into the fascinating dynamics of the market from the past quarter. Despite a 10% rise in the S&P 500, the quarter was marked by significant early volatility due to unexpected tariff announcements. The discussion covers the impact of tariffs on markets, the influence of global trade tensions, and the interplay between short-term and long-term market reactions. They also delve into the implications of AI and new technologies on market trends and the potential for volatility driven by algorithmic trading. The episode explores the role of the US Federal Reserve, the evolving market perception of Bitcoin, and the broader economic impacts of geopolitical events.  For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:34) Market Reactions to Tariffs (00:03:38) Trump's Strategy and Market Dynamics (00:06:33) Volatility and Market Structure (00:15:33) Geopolitical Tensions and Market Impact (00:20:28) AI Revolution and Market Sentiment (00:24:25) The Gold Rush Analogy in Business (00:25:43) Private Investment Trends and Mega Funds (00:26:26) Yale's Investment Strategy and Its Impact (00:27:22) Challenges in Private Equity Liquidity (00:29:46) Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve (00:30:51) The Role of the Fed in Economic Stability (00:34:25) Trump's Influence on Treasury and Fed Dynamics (00:40:31) The Impact of AI and Inflation on the Economy (00:43:34) Bitcoin's Maturation and Market Dynamics (00:47:04) Concluding Thoughts on Market Trends Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Friday Habit
    The Art of Customer Interviews in Business

    The Friday Habit

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 43:52


    In this episode of the Friday Habit, Nick McEvily shares his journey from design to entrepreneurship, emphasizing the importance of customer interviews and the role of design in business success. He discusses his life in Mexico City, the challenges of the zero to one stage in startups, and the common pitfalls founders face in achieving product market fit. The discussion highlights the necessity of data-driven decision-making and the art of understanding customer needs through effective communication. In this conversation, Nick McEvily shares insights on the importance of effective listening, crafting open-ended questions for interviews, and the significance of gathering honest feedback from clients. He emphasizes the need for entrepreneurs to validate their ideas quickly and the changing landscape of venture capital, advocating for a more thoughtful approach to business development. The discussion also touches on the value of data in decision-making and the importance of humility in leadership.Takeaways:Nick McEvily emphasizes the importance of customer interviews.Design plays a crucial role in building trust with users.The zero to one stage is a critical phase for startups.Delusion can be necessary for founders to succeed.Many founders do not spend enough time understanding their customers.Effective design must resonate with the target audience.Data should back the intuition of CEOs and founders.Customer feedback can be misleading if not approached correctly.Surveys are just one tool among many for gathering insights.Building a strong narrative is essential for fundraising. Good listening skills help decipher unspoken truths.Facing the truth can lead to stronger confidence.Crafting a script is essential for effective interviews.Open-ended questions yield higher quality responses.Limit the number of questions to maintain engagement.Finding unbiased participants is crucial for research.Statistical significance is important in decision-making.Don't wait too long to present ideas to customers.Exploration leads to new opportunities and ideas.The venture capital landscape is evolving towards more validation.Connect with Nick:https://www.nickmcevily.com/https://www.linkedin.com/in/nickmcevilyLearn More: Visit TheFridayHabit.com for show notes, resources, and to download the guide on working on your business rather than in it. Stay Connected: Subscribe to The Friday Habit for more real-life business lessons, candid conversations, and actionable strategies to elevate your entrepreneurial journey.Chapters:00:00 Introduction to Nicholas McEvily  01:04 Life in Mexico City and Family  04:00 Journey into Design and Entrepreneurship  07:00 The Importance of Design in Business  10:00 Navigating the Zero to One Stage  13:04 Common Pitfalls in Product Market Fit  16:00 Insights from Customer Interviews  19:11 The Art of Listening and Understanding  20:37 Crafting Effective Interview Questions  21:33 The Importance of Open-Ended Questions  23:14 Navigating Client Relationships  25:16 Finding Participants for Research  26:23 The Value of Data in Decision Making  28:23 The Balance of Confidence and Humility  30:33 Validating Ideas Quickly  33:05 Exploring New Ventures and Markets  35:42 Learning from Failure and Exploration  37:47 The Changing Landscape of Venture Capital  39:22 Final Thoughts and Action Items  

    Farm Food Facts
    How Maryland growers feel about conservation, carbon markets

    Farm Food Facts

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 14:49


    Join Farm+Food+Facts host Joanna Guza and Jennifer Gannon, a farmer and director of programs and public relations for Maryland Grain Producers, as they discuss research her group co-led to better understand the impact of changing climate conditions on Maryland growers, conservation practices farmers are implementing amid those changes, and farmers' perspectives on the potential for revenue through carbon markets.To stay connected with USFRA, join our newsletter and become involved in our efforts, here. Check out USFRA's report, “Potential for U.S. Agriculture to Be Greenhouse Gas Negative.” 

    Squawk Box Europe Express
    Netflix posts Q2 beat as membership and ad sales surge

    Squawk Box Europe Express

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 26:10


    Netflix posts a Q2 beat on the back of strong subscriber growth and advertising sales and has hiked its revenue forecast. Shares move slightly down in after-hours trade, however, as investors brace for rising costs in H2. Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller is urging a rate cut this month, citing growing weakness in the U.S. labor market. And in Japan, the ruling coalition could lose its upper house majority in this weekend's election as an upstart right-wing party threatens to add pressure to the country's finances. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

    Redefining Success
    Tariffs, The Big Beautiful Bill, and Kryptonite?! |The War Room

    Redefining Success

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 53:51


    This week in The War Room, Carson Rich, Eric Dunavant, Drew Brown, and Kristina Schuler dive into what's really happening behind the headlines—from AI-driven market moves to new crypto tax proposals, the return of tariffs, and what the “Big Beautiful Bill” could mean for your wallet.

    The Canadian Real Estate Investor
    Which Markets Are Performing Well ?

    The Canadian Real Estate Investor

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 47:58


    We are joined by our amazing hosts to discuss the national market updates as well as go over the CREA stats. National home sales rose 2.8% in June 2025 (following a 3.6% increase in May), but prices remained flat at around $691,000, showing a rebound in activity but not in prices. Significant regional differences exist with Ontario and BC in buyers' market territory (Ontario at 38% sales-to-new-listings ratio, BC with 6.5 months of inventory), while Alberta and Manitoba remain sellers' markets with much lower inventory levels. "The Age of the Measured Move" where strategy and patience are key, with a stable but fragile market where buyers have real opportunities especially in Ontario and BC. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) | BMO Global Asset Management Buy & sell real estate with Ai at Valery.ca Get a mortgage pre-approval with Owl Mortgage Unpacking Multiplexes Tickets free 1 week trial for Realist PremiumSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Business Casual
    Powell's Job in Limbo? & Your 401K May Be Open to Private Markets

    Business Casual

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 30:24


    Episode 628: Neal and Toby discuss the reports of Trump getting ready to tell Fed Chair Jerome Powell to pack his desk and skedaddle. Then, an executive order from the President may open up 401(k)s to private markets. Also, Ford is issuing another recall…seems to be a recurring issue. Plus, it's Neal's Numbers on the Labubu craze, air conditioning in Europe vs. the US, and obesity.  Meet your local home loan expert at ⁠⁠https://mortgagematchup.com/?utm_source=morning_brew&utm_medium=podcast  Subscribe to Morning Brew Daily for more of the news you need to start your day. Share the show with a friend, and leave us a review on your favorite podcast app. Listen to Morning Brew Daily Here:⁠ ⁠⁠https://www.swap.fm/l/mbd-note⁠⁠⁠  Watch Morning Brew Daily Here:⁠ ⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/@MorningBrewDailyShow⁠ 00:00 - Dog adoption surges thanks to ‘Superman' 3:10 - Powell's on the hot seat 9:15 - 401Ks could go private 12:10 - Ford Recalls 18:00 - Labubu's rise 20:20 - Euro AC vs US AC 22:20 - Obesity Study 25:30 - Coke real cane sugar

    Capital Record
    Episode 242: When Millionaires Attack Billionaires

    Capital Record

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 18:47


    How should we think about people who make billions of dollars managing the capital of others? Does a hedge fund manager like Bill Ackman add any value to society? Why would someone worth $50-100 million hate someone worth $9 billion? This week's Capital Record doesn't have time to get into dog-whistle antisemitism, but it does have time to get into class envy, the embarrassing error of believing capital allocation is a valueless exercise, and the merit of achievement embodied by someone like Bill Ackman.

    Gerald Celente - Trend Vision 2020
    MARKETS UP AS ECONOMIC CONCERNS RISE, GET READY FOR DOT-COM BUST

    Gerald Celente - Trend Vision 2020

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 25:19


    The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What's Next in these increasingly turbulent times. To access our premium content, subscribe to the Trends Journal: https://trendsjournal.com/subscribe Follow Gerald Celente on Twitter: http://twitter.com/geraldcelente Follow Gerald Celente on Facebook: http://facebook.com/gcelente Follow Gerald Celente on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/geraldcelentetrends Follow Gerald Celente on Gab: http://gab.com/geraldcelente Copyright © 2025 Trends Research Institute. All rights reserved.

    Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
    Crypto Bull Run Analysis! Bitcoin, Ethereum, & XRP Price Predictions!

    Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 42:25


    Caleb Franzen, founder of Cubic Analytics, joined me to review his outlook and price predictions for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and the Altcoin market.https://x.com/CalebFranzenhttps://cubicanalytics.substack.com/Show Sponsor -

    Rob Black and Your Money - Radio
    Markets Rise As Retail Sales Jump

    Rob Black and Your Money - Radio

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 37:33


    Stocks advanced on a fresh wave of earnings and retails sales jumped, Stocks advanced on a fresh wave of earnings and retails sales jumped, More on the next Pints and Portfolios this Saturday July 19th from 11:30am to 1:30pm in Sunnyvale with Rob Black and EP Wealth Advisors

    Commercial Real Estate Podcast
    Retail Evolution, Office Markets, and Development Timing with Brian Salpeter, Vice President of Development at Cadillac Fairview

    Commercial Real Estate Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 39:11


    Welcome to the CRE podcast. 100% Canadian, 100% commercial real estate. In this episode of the Commercial Real Estate Podcast, recorded live at the Land and Development Conference in Toronto, hosts Aaron Cameron and Adam Powadiuk sit down with Brian Salpeter, Executive Vice President of Development at Cadillac Fairview. Brian shares his unique journey from... The post Retail Evolution, Office Markets, and Development Timing with Brian Salpeter, Vice President of Development at Cadillac Fairview appeared first on Commercial Real Estate Podcast.

    TD Ameritrade Network
    Trump v. Powell: "The Markets Have Spoken"

    TD Ameritrade Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 8:51


    Sam Vadas and Diane King Hall look at yesterday's market swings on the back-and-forth headlines surrounding Jerome Powell's future. Sam points to not only equity response, but highlights the move in yields as a key indicator that didn't favor an abrupt change in central bank leadership. Later, Sam examines earnings reaction from TSMC (TSM) and United Airlines (UAL) keying in on the airliner's guidance spelling out "less geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty."======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

    TD Ameritrade Network
    Powell "Test" on Markets, Watch "Under the Surface" Inflation Data

    TD Ameritrade Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 8:06


    Investors spoke loud and clear during yesterday's trading session when headlines of President Trump firing Fed chair Jerome Powell hit the wire. Trump denied those reports, but Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders talks about how it proves that markets see Jerome Powell as a positive influence. Liz Ann turns to the inflation picture and talks about the CPI and PPI prints, arguing there's a lot under the headline numbers investors should pay attention to.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

    Daily Stock Picks

    Want to know the top 3 stocks in the Alpha Picks Portfolio - HERE YOU GO - I go over them and tell you why I added to these 3. Here are the links to all the sales: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠SAVE ON TRENDSPIDER - SUMMER SALE FOR $9 - GET THE ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION TO GET MY 4 HOUR ALGORITHM ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

    How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast by 10minutestocktrader.com
    Buy PLTR BEFORE July 18! Why Traders SHOULD Watch This Date!

    How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast by 10minutestocktrader.com

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 33:03


    Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.What if the smartest move in a volatile market… is to sit in cash?This video pulls back the curtain on what real trading discipline looks like—cutting through the noise, the hype, and the “shoulds” that derail most traders. If you're tired of second-guessing your trades, chasing setups that don't pan out, or wondering if big players are manipulating stocks like $PLTR, this breakdown will open your eyes.We're covering why going to cash is a trade, how to read the heatmap and VIX for high-pressure signals, and why blindly following stories instead of data leads to emotional blowups. It's time to trade with strategy, not stress.Here's what's inside:➡️ The truth about options expiration games and open interest traps on Palantir ($PLTR)➡️ How to spot fear vs. opportunity on the chart—without guessing➡️ Why professional traders use heatmaps, delta analysis, and smart positioning to avoid getting wrecked➡️ How OVTLYR's "sit in cash and don't mess it up" phase creates space for reflection and smarter setups➡️ A sneak peek at optimizing trade timing for minimal slippage and better fillsThis isn't theory—it's built around proven strategies inside the OVTLYR ecosystem that help traders manage risk, control their emotions, and stay in sync with the market. You'll see exactly how to read a trend using the 10/20 EMA, price over the 50, and interpret market breadth to know whether the setup is worth taking—or best left alone.Also inside: a full breakdown of why the word “should” is the most dangerous word in finance. Markets don't move because they should—they move based on pressure, liquidity, and positioning. Expecting a move without confirmation? That's how portfolios get blown up.You'll also get a fresh look at the OVTLYR 9 framework—how it uses trend, breadth, and sentiment to objectively score trades before you ever risk a dollar. The goal? Save time, make money, and start winning with less risk.Whether you're trading Palantir, Tesla, Rocket Lab, or any other momentum name, this video delivers actionable insights into:✅ Entry and exit plans using the fear & greed heatmap✅ Understanding put/call balance and dark pool volume✅ Avoiding emotional trades by anchoring to data—not hopeIf you've ever asked, “Am I trading with a real edge?”—this is your answer.Watch now to learn how elite traders read the market, avoid traps, and ride momentum with clarity. And if OVTLYR has helped you become a smarter, more confident trader, let us know in the comments below.Gain instant access to the AI-powered tools and behavioral insights top traders use to spot big moves before the crowd. Start trading smarter today

    The John Batchelor Show
    #MARKETS: SOCIALISM AND ITS DISCONTENTS INFLATION ACCEPTABLE LIZ PEEK THE HILL. FOX NEWS AND FOX BUSINESS

    The John Batchelor Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 5:22


    #MARKETS:  SOCIALISM AND ITS DISCONTENTS  INFLATION ACCEPTABLE LIZ PEEK THE HILL. FOX NEWS AND FOX BUSINESS NOVEMBER 1954

    The John Batchelor Show
    SHOW SCHEDULE 7-15-2025 GOOD EVENING: The show begins in the markets, pleased that inflation continues moderating...

    The John Batchelor Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 6:52


    SHOW SCHEDULE 7-15-2025 GOOD EVENING: The show begins in the markets, pleased that inflation continues moderating... 1917 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9:00-9:15 #MARKETS: SOCIALISM AND ITS DISCONTENTS - INFLATION ACCEPTABLE. Liz Peek, The Hill, Fox News and Fox Business. 9:15-9:30 #MARKETS: SOCIALISM AND ITS DISCONTENTS - INFLATION ACCEPTABLE. Liz Peek, The Hill, Fox News and Fox Business, continued. 9:30-9:45 SYRIA: ANARCHY. Jonathan Schanzer. 9:45-10:00 GAZA: QATAR IS THE PROBLEM. Jonathan Schanzer. SECOND HOUR 10:00-10:15 BERLIN: BORIS PISTORIUS DRIVES THE BUS. Judy Dempsey, Senior Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Berlin. 10:15-10:30 EU: INVESTING IN EASTERN EUROPE. Judy Dempsey, Senior Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Berlin. 10:30-10:45 #LONDONCALLING: HONG KONG AND THE STABLE CURRENCY SINCE 1983. @JOSEPHSTERNBERG @WSJOPINION. 10:45-11:00 RUSSIA: THE FADING CSTO. Ivana Stradner, FDD. THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15 AUSTRALIA AND TAIWAN. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs. 11:15-11:30KREMLIN AND TRUMP'S ULTIMATUM. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs. 11:30-11:45 ARMENIA AND THE RISE OF AZERBAIJAN. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs. 11:45-12:00 KING CHARLES REPORT: SWAN UPPING. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs. FOURTH HOUR 12:00-12:15 ROK: ACCOMMODATING THE KIMS AGAIN. David Maxwell. 12:15-12:30 ROK: ACCOMMODATING THE KIMS AGAIN. David Maxwell, continued. 12:30-12:45 SOMALIA: AL SHABAAB ADVANCES. Caleb Weiss, Bill Roggio. 12:45-1:00 AM SOMALILAND: READY TO SECEDE. Caleb Weiss, Bill Roggio.

    The John Batchelor Show
    #MARKETS: SOCIALISM AND ITS DISCONTENTS INFLATION ACCEPTABLE LIZ PEEK THE HILL. FOX NEWS AND FOX BUSINESS

    The John Batchelor Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 12:28


    #MARKETS:  SOCIALISM AND ITS DISCONTENTS  INFLATION ACCEPTABLE LIZ PEEK THE HILL. FOX NEWS AND FOX BUSINESS SEPT 1941

    Thoughts on the Market
    Coming Soon: The Tariff Hit on Economic Data

    Thoughts on the Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 4:25


    U.S. tariffs have had limited impact so far on inflation and corporate earnings. Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets explains why – and when – that might change.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Today I'm going to talk about why tariffs are showing up everywhere – but the data; and why we think this changes this quarter. It's Wednesday, July 16th at 2pm in London. Investors have faced tariff headlines since at least February. The fact that it's now mid-July and markets are still grinding higher is driving some understandable skepticism that they're going to have their promised impact. Indeed, we imagine that maybe more of one of you is groaning and saying, ‘What? Another tariff episode?' But we do think this theme remains important for markets. And above all, it's a factor we think is going to hit very soon. We think it's kind of now – the third quarter – when the promised impact of tariffs on economic data and earnings really start to come through. My colleague Jenna Giannelli and I discussed some of the reasons why, on last week's episode focused on the retail sector. But what I want to do next is give a little bit of that a broader context. Where I want to start is that it's really about tariff impact picking up right about now. The inflation readings that we got earlier this week started to show US core inflation picking up again, driven by more tariff sensitive sectors. And while second quarter earnings that are being reported right about now, we think will generally be fine, and maybe even a bit better than expected; the third quarter earnings that are going to be generated over the next several months, we think those are more at risk from tariff related impact. And again, this could be especially pronounced in the consumer and retail sector. So why have tariffs not mattered so much so far, and why would that change very soon? The first factor is that tariff rates are increasing rapidly. They've moved up quickly to a historically high 9 percent as of today; even with all of the pauses and delays. And recently announced actions by the US administration over just the last couple of weeks could effectively double this rate again -- from 9 percent to somewhere between 15 to 20 percent.A second reason why this is picking up now is that tariff collections are picking up now. US Customs collected over $26 billion in tariffs in June, which annualizes out to about 1 percent of GDP, a very large number. These collections were not nearly as high just three months ago. Third, tariffs have seen pauses and delayed starts, which would delay the impact. And tariffs also exempted goods that were in transit, which can be significant from goods coming from Europe or Asia; again, a factor that would delay the impact. But these delays are starting to come to fruition as those higher tariff collections and higher tariff rates would suggest. And finally, companies did see tariffs coming and tried to mitigate them. They ordered a lot of inventory ahead of tariff rates coming into effect. But by the third quarter, we think they've sold a lot of that inventory, meaning they no longer get the benefit. Companies ordered a lot of socks before tariffs went into effect. But by the third quarter and those third quarter earnings, we think they will have sold them all. And the new socks they're ordering, well, they come with a higher cost of goods sold. In short, we think it's reasonable to expect that the bulk of the impact of tariffs and economic and earnings data still lies ahead, especially in this quarter – the third quarter of 2025. We continue to think that it's probably in August and September rather than June-July, where the market will care more about these challenges as core inflation data continues to pick up. For credit, this leaves us with an up in quality bias, especially as we move through that August to September period. And as Jenna and I discussed last week, we are especially cautious on the retail credit sector, which we think is more exposed to these various factors converging in the third quarter. Thank you as always for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen; and also tell a friend or colleague about us today.

    Thoughts on the Market
    The End of the U.S. Dollar's Bull Run?

    Thoughts on the Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 12:49


    Our analysts Paul Walsh, James Lord and Marina Zavolock discuss the dollar's decline, the strength of the euro, and the mixed impact on European equities.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Paul Walsh: Welcome to Thoughts on the Markets. I'm Paul Walsh, Morgan Stanley's Head of European Product. And today we're discussing the weakness we've seen year-to-date in the U.S. dollar and what this means for the European stock market.It's Tuesday, July the 15th at 3:00 PM in London.I'm delighted to be joined by my colleagues, Marina Zavolock, Morgan Stanley's Chief European Equity Strategist, and James Lord, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global FX Strategist.James, I'm going to start with you because I think we've got a really differentiated view here on the U.S. dollar. And I think when we started the year, the bearish view that we had as a house on the U.S. dollar, I don't think many would've agreed with, frankly. And yet here we are today, and we've seen the U.S. dollar weakness proliferating so far this year – but actually it's more than that.When I listen to your view and the team's view, it sounds like we've got a much more structurally bearish outlook on the U.S. dollar from here, which has got some tenure. So, I don't want to steal your thunder, but why don't you tell us, kind of frame the debate, for us around the U.S. dollar and what you're thinking.James Lord: So, at the beginning of the year, you're right. The consensus was that, you know, the election of Donald Trump was going to deliver another period of what people have called U.S. exceptionalism.Paul Walsh: Yeah.James Lord: And with that it would've been outperformance of U.S. equities, outperformance of U.S. growth, continued capital inflows into the United States and outperformance of the U.S. dollar.At the time we had a slightly different view. I mean, with the help of the economics team, we took the other side of that debate largely on the assumption that actually U.S. growth was quite likely to slow through 2025, and probably into 2026 as well – on the back of restrictions on immigration, lack of fiscal stimulus. And, increasingly as trade tariffs were going to be implemented…Paul Walsh: Yeah. Tariffs, of course…James Lord: That was going to be something that weighed on growth.So that was how we set out the beginning of the year. And as the year has progressed, the story has evolved. Like some of the other things that have happened, around just the extent to which tariff uncertainty has escalated. The section 899 debate.Paul Walsh: Yeah.James Lord: Some of the softness in the data and just the huge amounts of uncertainty that surrounds U.S. policymaking in general has accelerated the decline in the U.S. dollar. So, we do think that this has got further to go. I mean, the targets that we set at the beginning of the year, we kind of already met them. But when we published our midyear outlook, we extended the target.So, we may even have to go towards the bull case target of euro-dollar of 130.Paul Walsh: Mm-hmm.James Lord: But as the U.S. data slows and the Fed debate really kicks off where at Morgan Stanley U.S. Economics research is expecting the Fed to ultimately cut to 2.5 percent...Paul Walsh: Yeah.Lord: That's really going to really weigh on the dollar as well. And this comes on the back of a 15-year bull market for the dollar.Paul Walsh: That's right.James Lord: From 2010 all the way through to the end of last year, the dollar has been on a tear.Paul Walsh: On a structural bull run.James Lord: Absolutely. And was at the upper end of that long-term historical range. And the U.S. has got 4 percent GDP current account deficit in a slowing growth environment. It's going to be tough for the dollar to keep going up. And so, we think we're sort of not in the early stages, maybe sort of halfway through this dollar decline. But it's a huge change compared to what we've been used to. So, it's going to have big implications for macro, for companies, for all sorts of people.Paul Walsh: Yeah. And I think that last point you make is absolutely critical in terms of the implications for corporates in particular, Marina, because that's what we spend every hour of every working day thinking about. And yes, currency's been on the radar, I get that. But I think this structural dynamic that James alludes to perhaps is not really conventional wisdom still, when I think about the sector analysts and how clients are thinking about the outlook for the U.S. dollar.But the good news is that you've obviously done detailed work in collaboration with the floor to understand the complexities of how this bearish dollar view is percolating across the different stocks and sectors. So, I wondered if you could walk us through what your observations are and what your conclusions are having done the work.Marina Zavolock: First of all, I just want to acknowledge that what you just said there. My background is emerging markets and coming into covering Europe about a year and a half ago, I've been surprised, especially amid the really big, you know, shift that we're seeing that James was highlighting – how FX has been kind of this secondary consideration. In the process of doing this work, I realized that analysts all look at FX in different way. Investors all look at FX in different way. And in …Paul Walsh: So do corporates.Marina Zavolock: Yeah, corporates all look at FX in different way. We've looked a lot at that. Having that EM background where we used to think about FX as much as we thought about equities, it was as fundamental to the story...Paul Walsh: And to be clear, that's because of the volatility…Marina Zavolock: Exactly, which we're now seeing now coming into, you know, global markets effectively with the dollar moves that we've had. What we've done is created or attempted to create a framework for assessing FX exposure by stock, the level of FX mismatches, the types of FX mismatches and the various types of hedging policies that you have for those – particularly you have hedging for transactional FX mismatches.Paul Walsh: Mm-hmm.Marina Zavolock: And we've looked at this from stock level, sector level, aggregating the stock level data and country level. And basically, overall, some of the key conclusions are that the list of stocks that benefit from Euro strength that we've identified, which is actually a small pocket of the European index. That group of stocks that actually benefits from euro strength has been strongly outperforming the European index, especially year-to-date.Paul Walsh: Mm-hmm.Marina Zavolock: And just every day it's kind of keeps breaking on a relative basis to new highs. Given the backdrop of James' view there, we expect that to continue. On the other hand, you have even more exposure within the European index of companies that are being hit basically with earnings, downgrades in local currency terms. That into this earning season in particular, we expect that to continue to be a risk for local currency earnings.Paul Walsh: Mm-hmm.Marina Zavolock: The stocks that are most negatively impacted, they tend to have a lot of dollar exposure or EM exposure where you have pockets of currency weakness as well. So overall what we found through our analysis is that more than half of the European index is negatively exposed to this euro and other local currency strength. The sectors that are positively exposed is a minority of the index. So about 30 percent is either materially or positively exposed to the euro and other local currency strength. And sectors within that in particular that stand out positively exposed utilities, real estate banks. And the companies in this bucket, which we spend a lot of time identifying, they are strongly outperforming the index.They're breaking to new highs almost on a daily basis relative to the index. And I think that's going to continue into earning season because that's going to be one of the standouts positively, amid probably a lot of downgrades for companies who have translational exposure to the U.S. or EM.Paul Walsh: And so, let's take that one step further, Marina, because obviously hedging is an important part of the process for companies. And as we've heard from James, of a 15-year bull run for dollar strength. And so most companies would've been hedging, you know, dollar strength to be fair where they've got mismatches. But what are your observations having looked at the hedging side of the equation?Marina Zavolock: Yeah, so let me start with FX mismatches. So, we find that about half of the European index is exposed to some level of FX mismatches.Paul Walsh: Mm-hmm.Marina Zavolock: So, you have intra-European currency mismatches. You have companies sourcing goods in Asia or China and shipping them to Europe. So, it's actually a favorable FX mismatch. And then as far as hedging, the type of hedging that tends to happen for companies is related to transactional mismatches. So, these are cost revenue, balance sheet mismatches; cashflow distribution type mismatches. So, they're more the types of mismatches that could create risk rather than translational mismatches, which are – they're just going to happen.Paul Walsh: Yeah.Marina Zavolock: And one of the most interesting aspects of our report is that we found that companies that have advanced hedging, FX hedging programs, they first of all, they tend to outperform, when you compare them to companies with limited or no hedging, despite having transactional mismatches. And secondly, they tend to have lower share price volatility as well, particularly versus the companies with no hedging, which have the most share price volatility.So, the analysis, generally, in Europe of this most, the most probably diversified region globally, is that FX hedging actually does generate alpha and contributes to relative performance.Paul Walsh: Let's connect the two a little bit here now, James, because obviously as companies start to recalibrate for a world where dollar weakness might proliferate for longer, those hedging strategies are going to have to change.So just any kind of insights you can give us from that perspective. And maybe implications across currency markets as a result of how those behavioral changes might play out, I think would be very interesting for our listeners.James Lord: Yeah, I think one thing that companies can do is change some of the tactics around how they implement the hedges. So, this can revolve around both the timing and also the full extent of the hedge ratios that they have. I mean, some companies who are – in our conversations with them when they're talking about their hedging policy, they may have a range. Maybe they don't hedge a 100 percent of the risk that they're trying to hedge. They might have to do something between 80 and a hundred percent. So, you can, you can adjust your hedge ratios…Paul Walsh: Adjust the balances a bit.James Lord: Yeah. And you can delay the timing of them as well.The other side of it is just deciding like exactly what kind of instrument to use to hedge as well. I mean, you can hedge just using pure spot markets. You can use forward markets and currencies. You can implement different types of options, strategies.And I think this was some of the information that we were trying to glean from the survey was this question that Marina was asking about. Do you have a limited or advanced hedging program? Typically, we would find that corporates that have advanced programs might be using more options-based strategies, for example. And you know, one of the pieces of analysis in the report that my colleague Dave Adams did was really looking at the effectiveness of different strategies depending on the market environment that we're in.So, are we in a sort of risk-averse market environment, high vol environment? Different types of strategies work for different types of market environments. So, I would encourage all corporates that are thinking about implementing some kind of hedging strategy to have a look at that document because it provides a lot of information about the different ways you can implement your hedges. And some are much more cost effective than others.Paul Walsh: Marina, last thought from you?Marina Zavolock: I just want to say overall for Europe there is this kind of story about Europe has no growth, which we've heard for many years, and it's sort of true. It is true in local currency terms. So European earnings growth now on consensus estimates for this year is approaching one percent; it's close to 1 percent. On the back of the moves we've already seen in FX, we're probably going to go negative by the time this earning season is over in local currency terms. But based on our analysis, that is primarily impacted by translation.So, it is just because Europe has a lot of exposure to the U.S., it has some EM exposure. So, I would just really emphasize here that for investors; so, investors, many of which don't hedge FX, when you're comparing Europe growth to the U.S., it's probably better to look in dollar terms or at least in constant currency terms. And in dollar terms, European earnings growth at this point are 7.6 percent in dollar terms. That's giving Europe the benefit for the euro exposure that it has in other local currencies.So, I think these things, as FX starts to be front of mind for investors more and more, these things will become more common focus points. But right now, a lot of investors just compare local currency earnings growth.Paul Walsh: So, this is not a straightforward topic, and we obviously think this is a very important theme moving through the balance of this year. But clearly, you're going to see some immediate impact moving through the next quarter of earnings.Marina and James, thanks as always for helping us make some sense of it all.James Lord: Thanks, Paul.Marina Zavolock: Thank you.Paul Walsh: And to our listeners out there, thank you as always for tuning in.If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

    Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
    2323: Trump's Machiavellian Playbook: Impact on Global Economy & Your Investments with Paul Marino

    Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 26:59


    Jason is currently in Denver at a Joe Dispenza retreat, discusses upcoming topics for the episode, focusing on the economy, markets, and real estate. Specifically, he mentions two U.S. real estate markets, one in Florida and one in Texas, that are approaching "crash levels," defined as a 25% price reduction, despite national appreciation. He concludes with a reminder for listeners to register for an upcoming master class on JasonHartman.com which happens every second Wednesday of each month! Jason then welcomes Paul Marino, Chief Revenue Officer at Themes ETFs. They begin with a discussion of economic and investment themes. Marino offers a bullish outlook on the U.S. economy, even amidst global uncertainties. He specifically highlights investment opportunities in financials, metals (especially gold miners and silver), artificial intelligence, uranium, and transatlantic defense companies. They conclude with a shared optimistic vision for future prosperity driven by technological advancements and a focus on positive market indicators. #PaulMarino #ThemesETFs #DonaldTrump #USPolitics #GlobalEconomy #Recession #Inflation #ArtificialIntelligence #ETFs #Gold #Uranium #DefenseCompanies #NATO #Bitcoin #InvestmentOpportunities   Key Takeaways: 1:33 Clip of the Day: Direct VETO power 2:45 Markets that are approaching crash levels 4:22 JasonHartman.com/Wednesday Paul Marino interview: 4:39 Trump and Machiavelli 7:14 What it means to investors 12:06 Trump vs. Powell 17:23 Positive anything, better than negative nothing? 22:16 What is the investment plan 23:10 Where are we going?     Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com  

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour
    AI, Data Centers, and The Battle for Earth's Resources (Replay) (Preview)

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 0:35


    Jul 16, 2025 –This podcast is a replay of one of our most fascinating book interviews, The Dark Cloud. In this conversation, award-winning investigative journalist Guillaume Pitron takes us behind the scenes of our digital world to uncover the immense...