Wins Above Fantasy

Follow Wins Above Fantasy
Share on
Copy link to clipboard

Van Burnett (@Van_verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) provide the insights and breakdowns you need to win your fantasy baseball leagues. Part of the Pitcher List Podcast Network. Follow us on Twitter @WinsAbovePod Email: winsabovefantasy@gmail.com

Van Burnett, Steve Gesuele


    • Dec 1, 2022 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekly NEW EPISODES
    • 1h 12m AVG DURATION
    • 82 EPISODES


    Search for episodes from Wins Above Fantasy with a specific topic:

    Latest episodes from Wins Above Fantasy

    80: Projected for What?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 1, 2022 74:27


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) begin to prep for 2023 by discussing some eye-opening steamer projections. 4:57 Overviewing Projections 8:12 Trea Turner  13:30 Michael Harris II 19:55 Gunnar Henderson 24:30 Oneil Cruz 31:18 Vinnie Pasquantino 36:10 Ozzie Albies 41:00 Christian Walker 45:33 Shohei Ohtani 50:34 Hunter Greene vs. Cristian Javier 54:57 Alek Manoah 59:26 Julio Urias 1:03:02 Joe Musgrove 1:07:24 Nick Lodolo Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    79: Bold Predictions in Review

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2022 80:05


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) review their bold predictions and the process behind them from the 2022 season. 3:25 Getting Burnt on Bold Predictions 6:00 PL Mock Pods with Nick Pollack 12:00 Level-Set on Bold Predictions 14:00 Byron Buxton 19:55 Joey Votto 22:10 Dylan Cease 27:40 Yasmani Grandal 30:30 Francisco Lindor  36:06 Jorge Soler 40:35 Shane McClanahan & Trevor Rogers 43:50 Blake Snell 46:55 Brendan Rogers & Ryan McMahon 50:19 Giancarlo Stanton 54:50 Andrew Vaughn 57:20 Connor Joe 58:24 Steven Kwan 1:00:12 Gerrit Cole  1:02:35 Jordan Montgomery 1:05:18 Hunter Renfroe 1:06:58 Trea Turner 1:08:35 Aaron Civale & Jack Flaherty 1:11:52 Robbie Ray 1:13:20 Steve Wins the Bet! 1:17:00 Steve in '23: Nick Lodolo 1:18:30 Van in '23: Lars Nootbaar Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    78 - Was It Legit? 2022 Tricks-or-Treats

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2022 59:11


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) assess whether strong 2022 performances will be "tricks or treats" in 2023. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 6:00 Nathaniel Lowe 12:10 Dansby Swanson 16:15 Brandon Drury 20:20 Christian Walker 26:00 Andres Gimenez 34:20 Framber Valdez 39:30 Tyler Anderson 45:25 Alek Manoah 49:59 Martin Perez 53:30 Luis Severino Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 77: 2023 PL Mock Draft

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 76:19


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) start prep for 2023 by discussing the #PLmock2023. 1:00 2023's First PL Mock Draft 3:20 The Hot Seat with Nick Pollack 4:56 Steve & Van's Draft Slot 8:15 Listing Off 2023 First Rounders 11:00 Let's Talk Mike Trout at 9 13:00 Van Likes Jose Ramirez 1.1 15:45 Juan Soto at 10 19:00 Pay For Power at the Corners 20:40 Bobby Witt Jr. a First-Rounder 23:45 The Hitting Depth of Round 2 26:45 Is Round 3 Pitcher-Palooza? 29:25 Steve's Early 2023 Draft Approach 34:30 Steve's Value Gamble on Michael Harris II 37:40 Van's Chasing the Ascent of Dylan Cease & Spencer Strider 42:10 Surprising Picks: Mike Trout, Gunnar Henderson, Corbin Carroll & More 45:15 Top Relievers Regressing to the Pack? 46:30 Where Wander Franco & Dansby Swanson Went 49:30 Cristian Javier is Strider Lite 52:00 Zac Gallen a Bargain SP1 55:00 Catcher's Lookin' Up! 56:45 Where We Got Sniped 58:30 Pitchers > Hitters Picks ~90-140 1:09:00 Steve's Favorite Draft (Non-WAF) 1:11:00 Van's Favorite Draft (Non-WAF) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    77 - 2023 PL Mock Draft

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 76:18


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) start prep for 2023 by discussing the #PLmock2023. 1:00 2023's First PL Mock Draft 3:20 The Hot Seat with Nick Pollack 4:56 Steve & Van's Draft Slot 8:15 Listing Off 2023 First Rounders 11:00 Let's Talk Mike Trout at 9 13:00 Van Likes Jose Ramirez 1.1 15:45 Juan Soto at 10 19:00 Pay For Power at the Corners 20:40 Bobby Witt Jr. a First-Rounder 23:45 The Hitting Depth of Round 2 26:45 Is Round 3 Pitcher-Palooza? 29:25 Steve's Early 2023 Draft Approach 34:30 Steve's Value Gamble on Michael Harris II 37:40 Van's Chasing the Ascent of Dylan Cease & Spencer Strider 42:10 Surprising Picks: Mike Trout, Gunnar Henderson, Corbin Carroll & More 45:15 Top Relievers Regressing to the Pack? 46:30 Where Wander Franco & Dansby Swanson Went 49:30 Cristian Javier is Strider Lite 52:00 Zac Gallen a Bargain SP1 55:00 Catcher's Lookin' Up! 56:45 Where We Got Sniped 58:30 Pitchers > Hitters Picks ~90-140 1:09:00 Steve's Favorite Draft (Non-WAF) 1:11:00 Van's Favorite Draft (Non-WAF) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+

    WAF 76: Defining a Good Process & Chalkboard Review

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 81:27


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) wrap up the 2022 fantasy season by reviewing their chalkboard picks and taking a deep dive on a listener question regarding defining a good process. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 3:00 Magic of Fall Baseball 8:08 Listener Q: Process vs. Results 17:15 The Chalkboard Intro 19:38 Dylan Cease 25:45 Joey Votto 31:00 Wander Franco 35:25 Yasmani Grandal 40:00 Shane McClanahan 44:35 Blake Snell 49:15 Steven Kwan 53:32 Blake Treinen 54:00 Randy Arozarena 58:40 Shane Bieber 1:02:23 Mitch Haniger 1:04:25 Salvador Perez 1:08:35 DJ LeMahieu & Jake Cronenworth 1:12:17 Jazz Chisholm 1:14:28 Myles Straw Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 75: The Biggest Surprises of 2022

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2022 67:16


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about the biggest surprises, both negative and positive, from the 2022 season. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 5:08 - Surprises of the Season 7:27 Brady Singer 17:00 Triston McKenzie 22:25 Lucas Giolito 31:18 J.D. Martinez 39:35 Andres Gimenez 45:15 Anthony Santander 51:38 Nick Castellanos 56:29 Brief Ronald Acuna Jr. Mention 57:13 Merrill Kelly 1:00:05 Adolis Garcia Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 74: Second-Half Standouts

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2022 63:08


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss some impressive second-half performances with an eye on the impact on 2023 drafts. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 7:52 Michael Harris II 17:15 Eugenio Suarez 22:45 Daulton Varsho 26:35 Willy Adames 31:22 Jake McCarthy  36:50 Brayan Bello 40:53 George Kirby 43:43 Drew Rasmussen 50:02 Carlos Carrasco 54:45 Nick Lodolo 1:00:30 Justin Steele Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 73: Process & Accountability

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2022 56:16


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at previous episodes from 2022 to review some of their advice and processes throughout the year. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 2:36 Steve's Wife Loves This Topic 3:17 The WAF Accountability 4:30 Bo Bichette Turning It Around 7:33 Spencer Torkelson Worth an Add 11:33 Oscar Gonzales Power & Flyballs 15:00 Our March 17th Breakouts & Busts 17:53 Arozarena & Adolis Defied K% 22:05 Our April 14th Early Buys & Sells 24:24 We Nailed the Pitch Mix Changers 28:15 Our June 30th 2nd Half Bouncebacks 32:00 Healthy Trevor Rogers Figured It Out 33:14 Where's Soto Go in 2023 Drafts? 35:11 Great Finds in July 7th K-BB & Barrel Risers 42:55 Our July 21st 2nd Half Schedule Targets 47:00 Talking Eloy Jimenez's Awesome Slash Line Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 72: Lessons Learned in 2022

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2022 56:27


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) start to reflect on the 2022 season and give their biggest lessons learned from the year. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 3:47 Steve's Overall Hindsight 6:38 Van's Big Picture Review 8:40 Don't Overreact to 2nd Halves 12:57 Play Early Draft Rounds Safer 18:18 Go with Youth at the Right Cost 22:27 Still Wait with Steve on SPs 24:20 Van's Out on Very Top of SPs 27:34 Draft Talent Despite “Innings Concerns” 31:20 Steve Paid Too Much Too Late for Trades 36:25 Don't Be a Prisoner to ADP 42:30 Be Patient with Veteran Hitters 46:35 Don't Hold On Too Long to Late Picks 49:15 Be Aggressive on the Wire Early On Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 71: Impact September Call-Ups

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 1, 2022 60:24


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss recent and impending call-ups and determine who can have positive impacts in the month of September. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 4:30 Call-Up Considerations 11:05 Corbin Carroll 17:36 Gunnar Henderson 23:38 Hunter Brown 28:25 Triston Casas 32:07 Ken Waldichuk 36:09 Michael Toglia 39:26 Spencer Torkelson 42:10 Miguel Vargas 46:03 Garrett Mitchell 48:45 Sean Bouchard 52:20 Yainer Diaz 56:16 Jeremiah Estrada Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 70: "In The Deep" Pitchers with Christopher Weber

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2022 73:59


    Wins Above Fantasy – Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) is joined by Pitcher List's Christopher Weber (@shwebsi), who is filling in for the traveling Van Burnett (@Van_Verified). They discuss interesting pitching performances that may have been flying under the radar recently. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 7:10 Does Shwebsi believe in the Mets? 12:00 Justin Steele and the model for finding under-the-radar pitchers 17:35 George Kirby's elite fastball and command 23:57 Alex Wood ran out of Giant's magic 29:56 Ross Stripling's new pitch mix 37:10 Aaron Civale and his devastating curveball 42:18 Josiah Gray is a year away 45:30 Matt Manning's impressive run 49:50 JT Brubaker is frustrating 54:01 Jose Suarez provides some value 59:22 Austin Voth's breakout with the O's 1:08:10 Braxton Garrett a name to remember for 2024 Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 69: Vinnie Pasquantino's Process & Finding Late-Season Breakouts

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2022 62:04


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the breakout of Vinnie P and the underlying numbers that foreshadowed the results while trying to identify some hitters who can provide hidden value over the last two months of the season. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 1:30 The next Vinnie P Exercise 8:45 Vinnie Pasquantino 12:50 How Vinnie Scores on this Exercise 14:15 JJ Bleday 18:43 Trent Grisham 22:00 Lars Nootbaar 24:59 Kyle Tucker 30:15 Ketel Marte 36:30 Jeimer Candelario 39:09 Tyler O'Neill 45:42 Cody Bellinger 49:25 Taylor Ward 53:30 Gleyber Torres Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 68: Dropping Struggling Stars and Who to Add to Replace Them

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2022 80:22


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about some big-name players who are struggling and finding their replacement on the wire as well as overall end-of-season strategies. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 2:00 Home Stretch Mentality 8:38 Sour Drop on Patrick Sandoval 12:41 Headache-Inducing Aaron Ashby 17:58 Mitch Keller 23:42 Justin Steele 28:00 Aaron Civale 31:00 Graham Ashcraft 34:44 Dane Dunning 39:55 Kyle Gibson 45:20 Matt Manning 48:10 Jose Suarez 51:15 Struggles for Tyler O'Neill & JD Martinez 53:45 Nick Gordon 56:35 Thairo Estrada 58:30 Jake McCarthy 59:55 Lars Nootbaar 1:04:50 Michael Massey 1:06:44 Elehuris Montero 1:09:17 Josh Donaldson 1:11:29 Paul Dejong 1:15:53 Felix Bautista - The Mountain 1:16:25 Alexis Diaz 1:18:13 Vaughn Grissom 1:18:44 Josh Jung 1:19:00 Joey Meneses Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 67: Trade Deadline Fallout and Gavin Lux's Ceiling

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2022 56:47


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about the trade deadline and the fantasy impact of a busy day of trades as well as the long-term upside of Gavin Lux. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 1:11 Steve's Reaction to the Deadline 4:35 How Years of Control Impacts Trades 7:00 Van's Homer Take on Cardinals Moves 10:00 Cardinals' Confidence in Dylan Carlson 12:00 Jordan Montgomery & Harrison Bader 19:25 Listener Question on Gavin Lux's Ceiling 26:10 Listener CALLS THE SHOT on Montgomery 27:30 Does Monty's Value Go Up? 33:00 Opportunity for Jose Barrero 36:28 Brighter Days Ahead for the Reds 38:20 Michael Massey Worth the Watch List 42:30 Make the Move for Miguel Vargas 47:00 David Peralta Platoon Help with Rays 50:03 Jose Siri Another Ray Who Could Rise 52:48 Joey Gallo Just Enough Hope 54:27 Any Hope for Eric Hosmer? Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 66: It Gets Late Early- Adds For The Stretch Run

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2022 72:02


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about some highly available players to add for the last two months of the season. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 1:15 Getting Through the Grind 6:15 Alec Bohm's Batting Average 10:20 Bryson Stott's Gettin Hot 14:05 Carson Kelly Bounceback Catcher 18:14 Cal Raleigh Can Offer Pop 22:25 Josh Naylor No Longer Ignored 25:17 Jeimer Candelario Flash or For Real? 30:59 Steven Kwan Back on the Rise 34:20 Ramon Urias Exploding on the Scene 37:43 Luis Rengifo Keeps On Hitting 41:10 Nico Hoerner Now a Fixture? 44:33 Desperate Speed: Victor Robles & Magneirus Siera 47:55 Cole Irvin's Value Could Climb 50:59 Mitch White the New Ross Stripling 53:22 Mitch Keller May Finally Be Doing It 56:11 Janson Junk 80-Grade Name 58:08 Braxton Garrett Getting Ks 1:01:47 Reid Detmers Return of the Slider Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 65: Second-Half Schedules to Target

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2022 54:42


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look at teams with advantageous second-half schedules and identify players to stream and target for the stretch run. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 4:05 Targeting Schedule Matchups 9:15 Matchups to Round Out Rotations 11:40 Fangraphs Tool on Strength of Schedule 14:04 Bonus Topic: Michael Harris II NL ROY? 16:00 Opportunity vs. Weakest Hitting Teams 20:15 Texas Strong Pitching Matchups 22:42 Spencer Howard Deep SP Help? 24:00 Houston Strong Pitching Matchups 25:00 Jake Odorizzi Could Offer SP Support 26:39 Lance McCullers Jr. an IL Stash 27:24 White Sox SPs - White Hot Target 29:30 Vintage Volume from Johnny Cueto 33:15 Opportunity vs. Weakest Pitching Teams 35:40 LA Angels Strong Hitting Matchups 36:10 Luis Rengifo Stuff & Things Potential 39:40 Some White Sox Hitters to Target 42:20 Astros Bats You May Want to Add 48:20 Cardinals Hitters Could Crush This Schedule Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Fangraphs' Playoff Odds with ROS SOS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 64: Buying and Selling First-Half All-Stars

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2022 84:34


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) name their first-half fantasy All-Star, both overall and "all-value" teams, and provide insight into buying or selling their performances for the second half. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 2:35 Our Take on All-Star Break 7:30 All-Star Catchers: Willson Contreras 13:00 Alejandro Kirk 16:52 1st Base: Paul Goldschmidt 21:35 CJ Cron 25:45 2nd Base: Jose Altuve 29:44 Tommy Edman 36:45 Shortstop: Trea Turner 39:55 Dansby Swanson 44:00 3rd Base: Jose Ramirez 46:20 Brandon Drury 51:50 Outfield: Aaron Judge 55:53 Mookie Betts 57:23 Yordan Alvarez 59:33 Kyle Schwarber 1:02:14 Julio Rodriguez 1:03:43 Adolis Garcia 1:06:36 Pitchers: Shane McClanahan 1:09:42 Corbin Burnes & Gerrit Cole 1:10:50 Sandy Alcantara 1:12:16 Justin Verlander 1:14:50 Shohei Ohtani 1:17:35 Value All-Star SPs Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 63: Recent K-BB% and Barrel Rate Improvers

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2022 76:51


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) divide the first half of the season into "quarters" and look at pitchers who have improved their strikeout minus walk rate as well as barrel rate gainers to identify players with underlying skill gains. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist :55 Kyle Schwarber's Killing Van 2:55 “Quarterly Splits” 5:20 Our Riser Spreadsheet List 10:40 Charlie Morton Again! 15:50 Logan Webb & Tony Gonsolin 22:52 Taijuan Walker 27:18 Shane Bieber, Sandy Alcantara & Yu Darvish 36:26 Hope for Jose Berrios Struggles? 42:45 Ian Anderson's Control Slide 46:40 Kyle Hendricks Post-IL Stream Target 48:48 Yusei Kikuchi, Aaron Ashby, Hunter Greene, Jose Quintana 55:19 The Down Arrow: Eric Lauer, Kyle Wright & More 1:01:00 Barrel Risers 1:02:00 Adam Duvall 1:05:30 Jesse Winker 1:09:32 Nathaniel Lowe 1:12:52 Francisco Lindor Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Eno Sarris on Barrel Rate Gainers Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 62: Potential Second-Half Bouncebacks

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2022 70:13


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) take a look at some struggling players and assess their chances of bouncing back in the second half Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 2:30 Freddie Freeman Agent Drama 5:30 Assessing 2nd Half Bouncebacks 9:39 Mailbag: Sell High Process / Charlie Morton 18:29 Max Muncy 25:15 Joey Votto 32:45 Jonathan India 38:40 Juan Soto 44:18 Nelson Cruz 49:18 Trevor Rogers 56:57 Lucas Giolito 1:02:48 Nick Castellanos Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 61: The Problem with xStats w/ Scott Chu

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2022 81:04


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Pitcher List's Scott Chu (@ifthechufits) to discuss xStats and their limitations as well as the interworkings Scott's Hitter List. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist :30 Welcome Scott Chu 2:15 Steve on Scott's xStats take 7:13 How & why to be cautious 9:45 The Christian Walker Case Study 12:00 More context with xWoba 14:30 Pull rate factors & Juan Soto 18:10 xStats with “the new environment” 25:00 Using rolling charts 26:28 Inflated MLB-wide xBA 31:15 Cushion xStats analysis 33:40 xStats once “the shift” is banned 37:50 The Hitter List and how to use “lists” 42:30 How Scott makes “The Hitter List” 49:50 Balancing upside and track record 53:00 Understanding risers & fallers 57:00 Consider player “archetypes” 1:06:15 The List can help with trades Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 60: Mid-June Heat Checks

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2022 59:58


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who have gotten hot over the last few weeks and look back at some early-season recommendations. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. 3:20 WAF Heat Checks with Nathaniel Lowe & Santiago Espinal 9:15 Cold Starts That Heated Up: Marcus Semien & Trevor Story 17:00 Kyle Farmer Deep League Stuff & Things 21:00 Adam Duvall Primed for Power Surge 25:50 Joey Votto Somehow Still Out There 29:48 Garrett Cooper Sleepy Floor & Ceiling 33:33 Christopher Morel Speed AND Plate Skills? 37:40 Brendan Donovan Cardinal Devil Magic 40:15 Michael Harris II 44:00 Gavin Lux Value Looks Different 47:40 Jon Berti Back at It 49:54 Graham Ashcraft Ks Should Come 52:45 Hunter Greene Has Leveled Up 55:18 Spencer Strider a Must Add SP Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 59: What We've Learned Since Draft Day

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2022 71:47


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at "draft day biases" to confirm or deny the market trends from the preseason and discuss what lessons have been learned so far in 2022. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. 1:00 Papa Gesuele 4:00 Learning from 2022 Draft Trends 8:00 Assessing 1st Base Depth 14:25 Is 3rd Base a Wasteland? 21:40 Catcher Market Crash 29:50 Speed vs. Power Scarcity 40:40 Has SP Draft Advice Worked? 41:35 Top SP ROI Issues 44:19 Profit on Upper Middle-Class SPs 52:10 Dreams Coming True with SP “Darts” 57:30 Factoring Unexpected SP Breakouts 1:04:00 Was Closer Inflation Worth It? Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 58: Let's Make More Deals

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2022 62:31


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk all things trades: good trade etiquette, how to get deals done, and who to target. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. 4:15 How to Make More Trades 6:45 Communication is Key 7:50 Know Your League Makeup 9:00 You Get Out What You Give 10:45 Look at Roto Stats & Needs 13:00 Roster Depth & 2-for-1s 15:30 Where to Start: Statcast vs. Team Needs 19:50 Tough to Part with Arms? 27:35 Willy Adames & Dansby Swanson 32:45 Difficulty of “Challenge Trades” 34:20 Steve's a Trade Counselor 36:25 Buxton Trades 42:45 Gleyber Torres & Jake Cronenworth 45:30 Speed-for-Pop: Harrison Bader & Jorge Soler 48:00 Walker Buehler Buy Low 51:00 Considering Carlos Rodon 55:00 Top-End Talks for Vlad & Acuna 57:45 What to Think of Whit Merrifield Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 57: Prospect Promotions & Potential Stashes

    Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2022 68:44


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk prospects with a redraft league focus. They discuss the potential impact of recent call-ups and what players you should be stashing. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Adley Rutschmann gets the call (4:15) How good can Nolan Gorman be (11:00) Alek Thomas flying under the radar in the desert (18:00) Matthew Liberatore getting a shot with the Cards (21:00) Get excited about Roansy Contreras (24:44) Grayson Rodriguez: the best pitching prospect in baseball (33:10) Bobby Miller is a name to watch in LA (36:40) Could Brayan Bello get a shot with the Red Sox (39:40) Royce Lewis learning new positions (43:15) Oneil Cruz has nothing left to prove (47:10) Getting hyped for Corbin Carroll (50:36) Miguel Vargas putting up impressive numbers in AAA (53:50) Michael Bush another awesome Dodger prospect (56:45) All Vinny Pasquantino does is hit (59:00) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 56: Breakout Pitchers Using Advanced Stats

    Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2022 59:53


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) follow up last week's hitter breakout episode and discuss pitchers who are taking or poised to take the next step by looking at some advanced metrics. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. The process of finding breakout pitchers and year-to-year leaderboards (5:30) Say it with me now: Shane McClanahan is an ace (12:20) Ohtani, yeah he's an ace too (19:00) The maturation of Freddy Peralta (23:45) Tarik Skubal is taking the next step (30:10) Nasty Nestor Cortes is for real (37:20) The time to buy Alex Cobb is now (43:20) Steven Matz is better than the surface numbers indicate (47:1) Justin Steele and Keegan Thompson are sleepers in Chicago (52:20) Griffin Jax is an intriguing long reliever (57:25) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 55: Statcast Breakouts w/ Grant Washburn

    Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2022 75:48


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Pitcher List's Grant Washburn (@throwing_gasse) to discuss his recent Going Deep Article on Pavin Smith and find other potential breakout hitters using Statcast data. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Grant's article, analysis, and process (6:08) Pavin Smith making improvements (11:05) Christian Yelich: Back (18:30) Buying low on Tyler O'Neill and his improved plate skills (25:35) Jonah Heim could be valuable in 1C leagues (31:04) Christian Walker a must add? (38:59) Trey Mancini and the new Camden Yards (44:58) Can Rowdy Tellez keep this up? (49:58) Don't give up on Spencer Torkelson (54:49) Gleyber Torres back to his old self and more? (58:46) Jorge Mateo showing a solid bat (1:01:20) Ryan McMahon should be a buy (1:05:38) Jean Segura's impressive start (1:07:57) Deep name to keep an eye on: Cooper Hummel (1:11:25) Grant's Article on Pavin Smith Grant's Article on Tyler O'Neill Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 54: Diagnosing Hot & Cold Starts

    Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2022 87:22


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players off to hot and cold starts and how to handle them: who to sell high, buy low, and everything in between from April performances. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Ranting about the ball (2:00) Joe Ryan is better than we thought (11:02) Kyle Wright looks here to stay (20:58) Buying Eric Lauer? (26:59) Nolan Arenado back to his old self in STL (34:50) Finding it hard to buy into Eric Hosmer (40:33) Anthony Rizzo taking advantage of Yankee Stadium (47:10) What to do with Tyler Mahle (53:30) Where did Trevor Roger's whiffs go? (58:50) Charlie Morton battling father time (1:04:02) Marcus Semien is pressing (1:09:12) Trevor Story's poor start in Boston (1:13:35) Tyler O'Neill's improved plate skills (1:17:00) Holding Joey Votto through the pain (1:20:35) Jay Jaffe on Eric Hosmer Randy Holt on Anthony Rizzo Dan Szymborski on Joey Votto Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 53: April Adds Make May Rad

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2022 76:32


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they are looking to add and the potential for long-term value for lesser rostered players off to hot starts. Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Van is back from Portugal (0:30) Live jinx of Aaron Ashby's no-hitter (2:30) Daniel Vogelbach's hot start (9:40) Eric Hosmer producing despite ground ball rate (13:52) Nathaniel Lowe producing in Texas (17:24) Bringing the Sheldon Neuse (19:35) Josh Naylor hits the ball hard (24:42) Jonah Heim emerging as a viable catcher option (29:38) Jorge Mateo's league-winning speed (33:48) Jurickson Profar post-post-post hype breakout (38:30) Max Kepler: Statcast Darling (42:31) Seth Beer's power and plate skills (46:48) Once again asking you to add Santiago Espinal (49:59) Chris Paddack: Back? (51:53) Don't drop Aaron Ashby (56:39) Michael King should provide values in all formats (1:02:18) Glenn Otto has nasty stuff (1:05:40) Daniel Lynch's solid start (1:08:00) Humberto Castellanos: poor man's Nestor Cortes? (1:11:37) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 52: Early FAAB Strategy w/ Adam Howe

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2022 77:10


    Wins Above Fantasy – Adam Howe (@Eightygrade), filling in for Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) joins Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to discuss early season FAAB takeaway and insights Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Adam has filled in for 3 WAF honeymoons (1:00) General early FAAB strategy (2:10) Streaming players vs big game hunting (7:00) How to manage FAAB for multiple leagues (11:45) What players to target early in the year (18:40) Importance of "labeling" your bench (20:00) How to determine who to bid on using metrics (26:30) Importance of looking at schedules (28:20) Streaming stolen bases (31:05) Focusing on pitchers early (35:50) Overpays and bargains from the first three FAAB periods (37:50) Speculate but don't over speculate (54:00) Always have backup bids (55:20) There may not be "FAABapalooza" this year (59:30) Who we are adding this week (1:03:40) Razzball SB Streams Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 51: Meaningful Week One Takeaways

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2022 80:35


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the first week of action and take a look at meaningful stats in small samples to give insight on early-season moves. Sign up for Trade coffee: drinktrade.com/pitcherlist Metrics that matter early in the season (8:00) Plate discipline and Steven Kwan's historic start (11:45) Seiya Suzuki's plate discipline is legit (20:40) Ian Happ's hot start (23:25) Go grab Connor Joe (26:04) Giancarlo Stanton is reaching more (31:00) Concerned about Bobby Dalbec (34:08) Jorge Soler struggling to make contact in Miami (37:22) Not concerned about Jo Adell...yet (39:45) Max Exit velocity standouts (43:15) Keep an eye on Nate Lowe and Santiago Espinal (47:50) Fastball velocity gainers (49:45) Tylor Megill's impressive two starts (51:20) Logan Gilbert's velo bump (52:30) Velocity decliners and concern about Bieber and Urias (53:15) Pitch mix changers and interest in Kyle Wright (1:02:30) Justin Steele as a potential streamer (1:04:25) Is a Merrill Kelly breakout incoming? (1:06:00) Corbin Martin's increased slider usage (1:09:00) Bailey Ober threw more siders, too (1:10:25) Shane McClanahan looks great (1:12:40) Closer speculation (1:13:32) Max Freeze Small Sample Size Stabilization Mike Podhorzer Velocity Gainers Article JonPGH SubStack Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 50: Early Season Primer

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 7, 2022 80:00


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) celebrate Opening Day by updating you on everything you need to know for the start of the 2022 season. The guys talk about spring training standouts, prospect call ups, closer battles, and under-the-radar names to keep an eye on for the early waiver wire. How to approach early-season moves (3:28) Spring Training standouts (8:40) Kevin Smith, Keston Hiura, Bobby Dalbec, and Paul DeJong's hot springs (8:57) Obligatory Steven Kwan talk (17:15) Impressive pitching performances from the spring (19:45) MacKenzie Gore is back? (20:05) Nick Lodolo to make his debut after a good spring (22:40) Jordan Montgomery's improved stuff (23:45) How long of a leash for Cody Bellinger? (27:36) Willy Adames' and Nelson Cruz's slow spring (32:15) Prospects getting the call (36:45) Matt Brash was the hot item on waiver wires (37:40) Bryson Stott has an opportunity in Philly (40:50) Mickey Moniak is a name to add to watch lists (43:00) Cautiously optimistic about Hunter Green (44:15) Add Jhoan Duran and Diego Castillo to watch lists (45:52) Closer jobs to keep an eye on (50:30) Robert Suarez has the job in SD? (51:00) Art Warren and Anthony Bender have the skills (52:00) Why hasn't Texas named Joe Barlow the closer? (53:15) The fallout from the Dodgers-White Sox trade (53:45) Gavin Lux to see increased playing time? (54:45) Miguel Vargas is a prospect to watch (56:45) 6-man rotation watch: hold Aaron Ashby (59:00) Back-end Braves starters to watch: Davidson, Strider (1:00:00) High-volume plays to start the season (1:03:30) Dave Swan's SP schedule article(1:06:00) Carlos Hernandez, Eric Lauer, Tylor Megill matchups (1:07:00) Nestor Cortes' scheule post- Blue Jays (1:10:00) Justin Dunbar's pitchers to target early in the season(1:11:50) Zack Greinke a good Opening Week stream (1:12:30) Listener question on late-round picks (1:14:40) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 49: Chalkboard Picks & Bold Predictions

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2022 89:14


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) make their picks for their "chalkboard": players they are picking to be 20% better or worse than their ADPs at year-end. They also review their bold predictions for the 2022 season. Steve's Love for Dylan Cease (8:00) Van Votes for Votto (12:15) Concerns with Bieber Goes Beyond his Shoulder (18:00) Randy Arrozarena's Trouble With Offspeed (23:57) Wander Franco Breakout Incoming (28:00) Yasmani Grandal's Important Swing Change (34:30) Sal Perez Can't Possibly Repeat, Right? (42:35) Mitch Haniger's Downside (46:13) Shane McClanahan Ready for Acedom  (51:00) Blake Snell's Encouraging Second Half (54:26) A Lot Has to go Right for Jazz Chisholm Jr. (58:00) Concerns about DJ LeMahieu (1:00:50) Steve's Crush on Steven Kwan (1:05:05) Blake Treinen's Nasty Stuff (1:10:00) Myles Straw's Playing Time Risk (1:15:05) Jake Cronenworth Might Not be Worth It (1:19:30) Bold Predictions review (1:24:25) Steve's Bold Predictions Van's Bold Predictions Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 48: Post-Lockout ADP Movers

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2022 76:32


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the biggest risers and fallers in ADP since the lockout was lifted. Value of Post-Lockout ADP (6:55) When Should You Grab Tatis Jr.? (10:25) Chris Sale Going as Late as 200 (16:21) Is Jack Flaherty Falling Too Far? (19:50) Still Buying the Shane Baz Discount (22:40) Don't Question the Questionable Zac Gallen (25:30) McCullers ADP Bottoming Out (28:00) Zack Wheeler 3rd Round Discount (29:10) Will Lucas Sims Still Close For Cinci? (31:34) The Case For & Against Yusei Kikuchi (34:25) Greinke Late Value For Volume (38:08) Seiya Suzuki's Surging Power Speed (40:18) Clayton Kershaw Confident About Health (44:30) ADP Ceiling for Kris Bryant at Coors (46:40) Rodon's ADP Rising Fast (49:20) Nelson Cruz at 170 as a National(51:18) Is Now the Time For Nick Senzel?  (53:50) A's Kevin Smith's Deep Power Speed (56:20) Twins' Sonny Gray Going Too Late? (1:00:00) Chris Bassitt Great Oatmeal on the Mets (1:02:20) Matt Olson May Still Be Undervalued (1:04:13) Cristian Javier's Going Way Too Late (1:05:08) Closer Value: Colome, Finnegan, Wick, Barnes, Kittredge, Trivino, Treinen (1:06:57) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 47: Finding Breakouts and Busts

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2022 80:02


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look to identify 2022's breakouts and busts by using last year's surprising players as a template. Hot Stove Reaction (3:55) The Concept of Breakouts & Busts (12:22) Way Too Early to Write Off Jared Kelenic (14:50) Eloy Jimenez Feels Due for a Vlad Ascent (21:00) Steve LOVES Tanner Houck & Patrick Sandoval (25:15) Michael Kopech Could Pull a Freddy Peralta (30:20) Steve's Can't Resist a Keston Hiura Breakout(35:00) Van Believes In Harrison Bader (38:25) Why Jo Adell Fits the Tyler O'Neill Build (41:00) Cristian Javier's Shot with a Rotation Spot (45:40) Tyler Mahle May Move Out and Move Up (48:45) Ryan Mountcastle Could Breakout with Better K% (50:40) Ryan McMahon Reduced Ks with the Rockies (53:40) Volume Speculation for Patrick Sandoval (57:17) Carlos Rodon Could Go Deeper with the Giants (58:55) Trevor Story May Have a Rough Chapter (1:03:1o) Mookie Betts May Be Too Pricey  (1:08:53) Randy Arozarena Rough Outlook (1:11:29) Adolis Garcia Not to Be Trusted (1:14:45) Sign-up and enter Fantrax's Wander Franco giveaway! - fantrax.com/pitcherlist Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 46: Draft Values We Love

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2022 83:31


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they are targeting at each position in the later rounds of drafts: players they are targeting when they miss out on a tier ("Parachute Players") and who they are relying on to fill weaknesses in the later rounds.  Eric Haase as a non-catcher catcher (6:40) Mike Zunino's power floor (13:18) Frank Schwindel's late breakout (17:55) Rowdy Tellez & Yoshi Tsutsugo as CI options (22:45) Enrique Hernandez's playing time upside (29:00) Kolten Wong as a cheaper source for speed (33:35) Mike Moustakas is a bounce-back candidate (37:55) Justin Turner's steady value (41:40) Ramon Urias as a deep MI option (44:15) Elvis Andrus a super deep option for steals (48:30) Steve gushes over Steven Kwan...again (52:57) Dear Rockies, please play Connor Joe (57:50) Rafael Ortega a late "stuff and things" guy (1:00:15) Adam Wainwright should still defy father time (1:03:20) Adbert Alzolay is a pitch mix change away from a breakout (1:07:57) Tony Gonsolin should bounce back in 2022 (1:10:40) Guardians' next pitching success: Cody Morris? (1:14:53) Jake McGee may still be the closer in SF (1:17:30) Paul Sewald has the stuff to be an elite closer (1:19:42) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 45: TGFBI, Razzslam & Draft This, Not That

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2022 76:44


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about their Razzslam and TGFBI drafts, their overall takeaways & strategies, and players they are targeting. Plus, a game of Draft This, Not That! Van & Steve's Razz Slam & TGFBI (10:15) Steve's Draft Trends & Takeaways (21:15) Van's Draft Trends & Takeaways (28:31) Steve's Rant on Drafting Closers (36:15) Steve Risking Mondesi and/or Buxton (41:50) Steve's Here for Jordan Montgomery (45:25) Van Still 100% on Josiah Gray (48:00) Draft Adam Duvall not Joey Gallo (49:25) Draft McCullers not Manoah? (52:33) Draft Robert not Betts (56:30) Draft Josh Bell not Jose Abreu (1:02:30) Draft Brendan Rodgers not Lemahieu (1:05:30) Draft Willy Adames not Corey Seager (1:09:15) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 44: Ariel Cohen & Quantifying Risk

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 24, 2022 92:44


    Wins Above Fantasy – Ariel Cohen (@ATCNYC) of FanGraphs, CBS, and Rotoballer joins Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to talk about ATC projections, game theory, and how to quantify risk. Useful Ariel Links: ATC Projections and Minimizing Risk, Game Theory Article Ariel's Draft Approach (3:55) Explaining ATC Projections (6:46) How Projections Adjust for Lockouts or Free Agency (8:20) How Ariel Scores the Best Projections? (12:28) Advice on Using Projections as Draft Prep (21:00) New ATC Risk Metrics (26:35) Francisco Lindor Safe but Pricey? (44:52) Adam Duvall ATC's #1 Bargain?! (52:58) Aaron Judge Surprisingly Safe (55:09) Ke'Bryan Hayes Safe for Late, Scarce Categories (58:30) Franmil Reyes a Bargain Despite DH (1:03:05) Luis Robert Pricey Do-It-All Player (1:05:00) Jazz Chisholm More Bust Than Boom (1:08:22) Ryan Mountcastle's Curious Case (1:14:30) Sandy Alcantara's Outlook From Ariel (1:19:00) Starling Marte's Speed and Balance (1:23:00) Is Myles Straw's Running Worth the Risk? (1:26:53) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 43: VAA with Alex Chamberlain

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 17, 2022 85:38


    Wins Above Fantasy – Alex Chamberlain (@DolphHauldhagen) of FanGraphs joins Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to talk about Verticle Approach Angle (VAA): what it is and how we can use it for fantasy purposes. Useful Alex Links: VAA Article, VAA PitchCon Presentation, Pitch Leaderboard, Similarity Scores Alex "Oxlade" and Googling yourself (3:40) What is VAA and its importance (6:44) What influences VAA (10:00) How to contextualize VAA and what pitches it is useful for (13:43) Using VAA(AA) to identify good fastballs (18:00) Relationship between VAA and other pitching metrics (29:20) How pitchers control contact quality and launch angle for hitters (32:30) The curious case of Shane Bieber (35:30) How we can use VAA for Fantasy and Chris Paddacks issue with the fastball (43:00) Alex's similarity tool and getting excited for Shane Baz (44:30) Josiah Gray's location issue (56:45) Logan Gilbert and the "buffet line" of pitching metrics (1:02) Is Michael Kopech's fastball truly elite? (1:04:35) Brady Singer's unique sinker (1:07:50) Adbert Alzolay should end up on Pitching Ninja a lot in 2022 (1:09:40) Van's obligatory question on Ranger Suárez (1:12:20) Putting a bow on VAA (1:16:00) What Alex is working on (1:20:00) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 42: Puzzling Projections 2(022)

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2022 61:17


    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss this year's projections that they find interesting and look for players being overvalued and undervalued by projection systems. PitchCon is on YouTube! (3:25) PL 7 is here! (5:48) How we use projections (8:00) Expectations for Bryce Harper (14:56) Can Cedric Mullins repeat? (21:02) Christian Yelich's (bounce) back (28:05) Xander Bogaerts is being underrated? (32:25) Buying Matt Olson's gains (36:40) What to expect from Brandon Lowe (40:53) Jonathan India made the adjustments (44:03) Lucas Giolito is an underrated SP1 (46:37) How many innings to expect from Julio Urias (50:02) Is Lance Lynn being overlooked? (51:15) Kevin Gausman's move back to the AL East (54:10) Ranger Suarez for real? (57:17) Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS Connect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+ Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 41: Players We Like More Than The Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 31, 2022 67:08


    Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they like ahead of their current ADP: an early version of "our guys" for 2022. 2:07 PitchCon recap 5:32 Steve's predictions article 9:50 Players We Like More than the Market: Byron Buxton (ADP 65) 15:23 Giancarlo Stanton being slept on (ADP 94) 21:30 Dylan Cease breakout is coming (ADP 79) 25:50 Yasmani Grandal's top C potential (ADP 100) 32:30 Jordan Montgomery as another breakout SP (ADP 206) 37:19 Brendan Rodgers made quite improvements (ADP 165) 42:58 Andrew Vaughn's solid year while learning a new position (ADP 194) 47:00 Harrison Bader power-speed combo(ADP 239) 54:08 Steven Kwan an OF to remember late in drafts (ADP 537) 59:33 Josiah Gray's nasty stuff cannot be ignored (ADP 260) Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 40: Early Draft Season Strategy

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2022 72:46


    Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss early draft season strategy including tips for best-ball drafts, ADP risers, and potential position cliffs. 2:40 High-level tips for early draft season 5:50 Best-ball strategies and takeaways from Van's draft 11:37 Importance of position eligibility 17:30 Utilization of roster spots and handcuffs 19:00 Importance of ADP in early draft season 22:00 ADP risers and "getting ahead" 25:00 Already on the rise: Trevor Rogers, Justin Verlander, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Oneil Cruz, Seiya Suzuki 31:30 Potential ADP risers 47:06 Catcher cliff 53:28 First Base cliff 56:35 Second Base cliff 1:00:52 Third Base cliff 1:05:33 Shortstop cliff Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 39: Hot Second Halves & Bounce-backs

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 3, 2022 88:15


    Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who had promising second halves in 2021 and try to find potential bounce-back candidates for 2022. 7:45 Steve's Article on Hot 2nd Half Pitchers 13:40 Will Dylan Cease be a Fantasy Ace in '22? 21:12 Don't Sleep on Tanner Houck & Patrick Sandoval 26:00 Justin Dunbar's Article on Hot 2nd Half Hitters 26:30 Brandon Lowe's K-rate Gains 37:52 Buying a Bellinger Bounce-back? 50:18 Josh Bell's Sneaky-Good Second Half  57:00 It Can't Get Any Worse for Gleyber Torres 1:06:10 Joey Votto: Power Hitter 1:11:00 Hunter Renfroe Could Rake in Milwaukee 1:14:46 Jorge Soler's Resurgent Second Half 1:19:26 Bargain Bin Pop: Suarez vs. Donaldson vs. Dalbec Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 38: Early ADP Takeaways w/ Paul Sporer

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2021 65:27


    Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) welcome special guest Paul Sporer (@Sporer) of Fangraphs to discuss early NFBC ADP takeaways and interesting player debates and trends.  5:20 OK with Trea? Should Trea Turner be going first overall? 9:50 “1A” SP Bouncebacks– Aaron Nola (40) vs Jack Flaherty (61) 16:55 Short Value: Fransisco Lindor (46) vs Wander Franco (47) 26:00 Buying Breakouts: Tyler O'Neill vs Austin Riley 36:55 Where are you comfortable taking Byron Buxton? 39:00 Vet vs New Toy: Alex Bregman (95) vs Bobby Witt Jr. (92) 45:45 Better SP Value: Yu Darvish or Blake Snell 52:54 Jesse Winker: Bargain or Bust 56:00 Snag a SS: Corey Seager, Carlos Correa, Dansby Swanson 48:03 Return to Acehood: Justin Verlander, Zac Gallen, Luis Severino 51:50 Ray's Risers: Shane McClanahan vs Shane Baz 1:01:50 The Right White Sox: Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn, Dylan Cease Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 37: Fantasy Impact of Free Agent Signings

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2021 88:45


    Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) take a look at the free-agent singings through a fantasy lens and discuss the impact the deals will have on their value for 2022. 3:30 Jon Becker's (@jonbecker_) Free Agent Tracker 5:40 Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to Texas 18:05 Javier Baez becomes even riskier in Detroit 23:45 Max Scherzer wants to win with NYM 26:30 Will Robbie Ray keep his command in Seattle? 30:50 Kevin Gausman returns to the AL East with the Jays 35:24 Starling Marte, the Nelson Cruz of Steals, to NYM 41:20 Eduardo Rodriguez heads to a pitcher's park 44:00 Marcus Stroman and his elite ground ball rate is a Cub 48:03 Chris Taylor should have more playing time with the Dodgers 51:50 Raisel Iglesias has a closer job in staying with the Angles 54:16 Jon Gray the next breakout candidate outside of Coors 57:00 Avisail Garcia takes his talents to South Beach 1:00:00 Taking a flyer on Justin Verlander? 1:02:10 Steven Matz to Van's Cards 1:02:10 Anthony DeScalfani stays with the Giants 1:02:10 Will Syndergaard finally break out with the Angels? 1:02:10 Corey Kebel to close in Philly? 1:02:16 Other deals worth mentioning 1:14:26 Potential Landing Spots 1:14:56 Carlos Correa 1:16:59 Freddie Freeman 1:16:45 Kris Bryant 1:19:20 Trevor Story 1:20:50 Nick Castellanos 1:22:25 Kyle Schwarzer 1:23:15 Carlos Rodon 1:25:05 Michael Conforto 1:26:07 Nelson Cruz  1:27:05 Clayton Kershaw Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 36: The SP2 Rundown with Adam Howe

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 22, 2021 78:16


    Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) welcomes guest Adam Howe (@EightyGrade) to talk top SP2s looking ahead to 2022. Comparing the PitcherList mock draft with some of Adam's early real drafts, they run through overall SP draft strategy and player breakdowns in the SP2 range. 6:45 Hot Stove: Jose Berrios & Noah Syndegaard Fantasy Impact 17:30 Adam's Overall SP Approach 26:45 Lance Lynn - Risky or Glue SP2? 32:30 Carlos Rodon - Fading in Mocks 38:30 Julio Urias - Hinging on Innings 43:50 Freddy Peralta - Worth the Upside? 48:45 Kevin Gaussian - Solid If He Stays SF… 54:20 Lucas Giolito - A Lot to Still Like 59:25 Jack Flaherty - Van's Homer “Case for Jack Flaherty” 1:05:15 Max Fried - “Meh” or Money? 1:10:30 Luis Castillo - The Warm-Weather SP2 Pitcher List Mock Draft Board Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 35: The Top Pitchers for 2022

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2021 69:38


    Van and Steve take a look at the top starting pitchers for 2022 using the recent draft results from the Pitcher List Mock draft as an ADP guide. Rundown 3:20 The Top SP Landscape 10:05 2022 SP Sweet Spots 17:30 Corbin Burnes 22:55 Gerrit Cole 28:45 Walker Buehler 34:12 Max Scherzer 37:00 Brandon Woodruff 40:35 Jacob DeGrom 44:50 Shane Bieber 50:00 Zach Wheeler 54:30 Chris Sale 56:25 Sandy Alcantara 59:50 Robbie Ray 1:05:00 Aaron Nola Pitcher List Mock Draft Board Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 34: PL Mock Draft & 2022 First Round Part II

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2021 69:52


    Van and Steve enter the fantasy baseball offseason by wrapping up their thoughts on the Pitcher List Mock Drafts. Then part two of their 2022 first-round break down. Rundown 3:44 Steve's mock strategy 6:00 Steve's injury risk/reward 11:05 How early to take Acuna Jr.? 13:45 Van's mock strategy  20:00 Interesting league-wide picks 20:15 Liam Hendriks in 2nd Round? 22:11 Chris Sale goes at 40 24:45 Michael Conforto still at 85 28:30 Dansby Swanson WAY late 30:25 Where Yelich, Gleyber & Rizzo went 36:30 Notable Snipes for Van & Steve   41:00 Van & Steve's Best Draft Awards 44:35 Hitters Drafted After “First Round Locks” 45:00 Mookie Betts (11) 46:40 Kyle Tucker (12)  48:50 Ozzie Albies (13) & Marcus Semien (16) 53:30 Freddie Freeman (18) 54:45 Luis Robert (19) 58:00 Rafael Devers (22) 30:40 Aaron Judge (23) 64:00 Cedric Mullins (24) Pitcher List Mock Draft Board Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 33: 2022 First Round & The PL Mock Draft

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 11, 2021 58:55


    Van and Steve enter the fantasy baseball offseason by discussing the first part of the Pitcher List Mock Draft and their general takeaways after participating from the one and two slots. Then part one of their 2022 first-round break down with their potential first overall picks and first-round "locks". Rundown 1:00 Welcome to the big leagues/main feed 4:00 Takeaways from mocking early in the offseason 7:26 Pitching going later in this mock and the risk in early-round starters 15:30 Breaking down Van's mock draft picks 17:03 The first round of 2022 the pending decisions with early picks 18:04 The status of Ronald Acuña Jr. coming off ACL surgery, Tatis' shoulder 22:35 Is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. the safest first-round pick in 5x5 even with lack of speed? 27:51 Juan Soto's walks are a "problem" in average leagues but 1OA in OBP 30:24 Trea Turner throws his name in the conversation for first overall pick 33:00 The duality of Shohei Ohtani; how high can you take the hitter Ohtani? 40:26 First Round locks: Jose Ramirez- the "oatmeal" of the first round 44:17 Mike Trout's "fall" to the middle of round one 46:28 The newly underrated Bryce Harper 49:00 The rise Bo Bichette: Fantasy Superstar Pitcher List Mock Draft Board Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 32: Accountability Episode

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2021 65:18


    Van and Steve look back and review some of their predictions from earlier in the season including their "chalkboard" picks, second-half bouncebacks, and over under while applying the lessons learned to the upcoming draft season. Rundown 1:00 Pitcher List Podcast League finals 6:55 What went wrong with Steve's process for chalkboard picks 14:00 Where are you drafting Anthony Rendon next year? 16:45 Van's incredible Marcus Semien call 21:48 How to balance upside and risk 26:02 No dog treat for Van, thanks Luzardo 29:40 The argument for Juan Soto 1OA 32:00 Lindor quietly bounced back 34:35 Prime Goldy showed up in the second half 41:18 Pitchers who bounced back 46:00 Second half disappointments 57:00 Over/under review Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    WAF 31: 2021 MVPs & Busts

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2021 74:22


    Van and Steve start to take a look back at the 2021 season by recapping the MVPs and busts from draft season. The guys take a high-level look at what the industry got right and what it got wrong and how we can use that to help us going forward. Rundown 4:35 General takeaways from looking back at ADP 12:28 How high does Trea Turner go in drafts next year? 16:15 Jose Ramirez continues to return first-round value 19:33 Vlad and Ohtani at tops of drafts next year? 27:03 Harper is still underrated 31:27 Sal Perez and Marcus Semien: league winners 41:40 Buying the Austin Riley breakout? 45:30 Cedric Mullins is insane 48:48 Pitchers who performed 52:50 What we got wrong in drafts last year Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS | Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 | Email:winsabovefantasy@gmail.com Get PL+ and join our Discord! Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus

    Claim Wins Above Fantasy

    In order to claim this podcast we'll send an email to with a verification link. Simply click the link and you will be able to edit tags, request a refresh, and other features to take control of your podcast page!

    Claim Cancel