Wins Above Fantasy

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) take a look at hitters that are off to slow starts this season, but underlying numbers suggest they could be good buy-low targets.Intro 0:00Christian Walker 8:00Brandon Nimmo 16:50Salvador Perez 23:19Dansby Swanson 30:00Mike Trout 37:11Jake Burger 44:54Alec Bohm 50:22Ryan McMahon 56:08Bryan Reynolds 1:00:11

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss early season breakouts and determine if they are legit or simply hot stretches. Intro 0:00 Tyler Soderstrom 4:00 Jonathan Aranda 15:09 Ben Rice 21:55 Luke Keaschall 27:23 Noelvi Marte 32:25Matthew Liberatore 43:12 Jake Irvin 50:00 Landen Roupp 56:00 Kris Bubic 1:01:02 Max Meyer 1:07:32

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for valuable changes in pitchers' approaches early in the season.Intro 0:00Chris Bassitt 5:40Tyler Mahle 16:25Luis L. Ortiz 23:46Bryan Woo 30:35Andre Pallante 31:31Edward Cabrera 35:50Hayden Wesneski 42:19Max Meyer 49:02Joe Boyle 54:06

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for valuable changes in hitters' approaches early in the season.0:00 Intro Starts6:17 Jordan Walker15:35 Ke'Bryan Hayes22:28 Brendan Rodgers29:26 Kyle Schwarber39:28 Maikel Garcia45:28 Nick Castellanos49:28 Cody Bellinger56:33 Spencer Torkelson1:01:00 Kyren Paris1:09:04 Jorge Polanco

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the major takeaways from the first week of the fantasy baseball season.Wilyer AbreuKyle ManzardoTyler SoderstromSpencer TorkelsonLars NootbaarIsaiah Kiner-FalefaRafael DeversMacKenzie GoreJeffery SpringsJesus LuzardoBrady SingerKris BubicJordan Hicks

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) Van and Steve give their annual "chalkboard" picks-- two targets and two fades that will over or under perform ADP by 20%. Special guest- PitchCon Winner John Doering also joins to give his picks. Isaac ParadesMike TroutIan HappAustin RileyLuis CastilloKetel MarteCJ AbramsRoki SasakiJonathan IndiaWilly AdamesReynaldo LopezLogan Webb

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) review their most rostered players for the 2025 season.Sean BurkeLanden RouppJordan WestburgCristopher SanchezDJ HerzMatt OlsonAustin RileyHunter BrownYordan AlvarezJunior CamineroRiley GreeneTommy EdmanJustin MartinezGavin Williams

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  give their picks for 2025 breakout pitchers.Clay HolmesGavin WilliamsMax MeyerRyan WeathersCristopher SanchezSpencer ArrighettiJackson JobeDustin MayReese Olson

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss hitters who will breakout in 2025.Kerry CarpenterJunior CamineroRiley GreeneLars NootbaarIvan HerreraRyan MountcastleTyler FitzgeraldMichael ConfortoAlan Roden

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) go round by round and give their favorite picks at every point of the draft.Shohei OhtaniFernando TatisKetel MarteRafael DeversAustin RileyTeoscar HernandezFramber ValdezBailey OberHunter BrownLogan WebbLuis GarciaAlex BregmanRiley GreeneJared JonesBryan Woo

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Ryan Bloomfield (@RyanBHQ) of BaseballHQ and Bubba and the Bloom to discuss undervalued players relative to ADP and past performance.Welcome to WAF Ryan Bloomfield!We love Bloomboards!Process to creatingUndervalued players who are interestingNick CastellanosKyle SchwarberMarcell OzunaAnthony SantanderPaul GoldschmidtFrancisco LindorTeoscar HernandezChristian WalkerFramber Valdez

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss interesting toss-ups and decisions from picks 1-100.Juan Soto vs. Kyle Tucker vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.Paul Skenes vs. Tarik SkubalAustin Riley vs. Rafael DeversCorey Seager vs. Oneil CruzWyatt Langford vs. James WoodJose Altuve vs. Ozzie AlbiesGerrit Cole vs. Framber Valdez vs. Michael King vs.Pablo LopezBrent Rooker vs. Marcell Ozuna vs. Kyle Schwarber vs. Teoscar HernandezRoki Sasaki vs. Shota ImanagaSeiya Suzuki vs. Luis RobertBryce Miller vs. Bailey OberMatt McClain vs Jordan Westburg

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) Van and Steve discuss pitching targets beyond pick 300.Kumar RockerDJ HerzBubba ChandlerNick MartinezFrankie MontasTobias MyersDavid FestaBobby MillerJose SorianoSean BurkeQuinn MatthewsNoah Schultz

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) Van and Steve discuss pitching targets from picks 200-300.

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Chris Towers (@CPTowers) of CBS Sports to discuss the state of the positions in fantasy baseball.1:00 Van's NYC Trip and Welcome Chris7:50 Catcher19:00 First Base29:01 Second Base38:00 Third Base45:00 Short Stop51:30 Outfield1:01:44 Starting Pitcher 

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss why they are thankful for fantasy baseball.

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about the recently-released PLV Projections for 2025.PLV Projections are here!Kyle Bland's PrimerProcessHitter StandoutsYordan AlvarezBrent RookerKerry CarpenterLawrence ButlerJake BurgerTyler FitzgeraldTrea TurnerMichael Harris IIMark VientosPitcher StandoutsBlake SnellBryce MillerBryan WooDavid FestaShane BazPaul SkenesGeorge KirbyHunter Brown

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the starting pitching landscape and look at early 2025 ADP data.Baseball Halloween!WAF Listener League shout outPL Mock Draft SP Comparison: 2024 vs 2025Early SP ADP for 2025Approaching pitching injury riskPitchers to target and avoidPL Pods Mock Draft

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the keys to having a good preparation process during the offseason as well as the Pitcher List Podcast Mock draft for 2025Offseason preparationUsing projectionsNoise of the postseasonOther tips and tricks for offseason prepPL Pods Mock Draft

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at their predictions and assess their takes from the 2024 season.Marcell OzunaJung Hoo LeeAJ PukBobby MillerLane ThomasHunter GreeneVladimir Guerrero Jr.Francisco AlvarezEsteury RuizAdley RutschmanChristopher MorelCedric MullinsGunnar HendersonDylan CeaseCJ AbramsBrandon PfaadtGrayson RodriguezShane BazPaul SkenesNick PivettaBen RiceOneil CruzDansby Swanson

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at some of their favorite moments and players from the 2024 season.Elly De La CruzOneil CruzKyle Bland's Hitter Eligibility AppVladimir Guerrero Jr.Manny MachadoGunnar HendersonKetel MarteSeiya SuzukiKyle SchwarberRiley GreeneKerry CarpenterTyler O'NeillBailey OberReynaldo LopezJack FlahertyLuis GilShota ImanagaMason MillerRyan WalkerLucas Erceg

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for bounce back hitters for 2025 using three-year average wRC+.Michael Harris IIAdley RutschmanPaul GoldschmidtAustin RileyJose AltuveGleyber TorresMarcus Semien

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss hitters who have been on the rise in the second half and look to identify the reasons for their breakouts.Lawrence ButlerBrent RookerJJ BledayMatt WallnerEugenio SuarezJackson ChourioJackson MerrillCorbin CarrollTyler Fitzgerald

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss pitchers who have been on the rise in the second half and look to identify the reasons for their breakouts.Spencer ArrighettiBowden FrancisSpencer SchwellenbachBryce MillerYusei KikuchiRyne Nelson

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look to the waiver wire to see low-rostered players who can help fantasy teams during the season's final month.Eugenio SuarezMJ MelendezMatt WallnerKerry CarpenterAndrew VaughnJesus SanchezPete Crow-ArmstrongJose CaballeroVictor RoblesJosh LoweDylan CrewsParker MeadowsMasataka YoshidaGeraldo PerdomoMasyn WinnBen LivelyDavid FestaOsvaldo BidoDJ HerzMitchell ParkerJoe BoyleManuel RodriguezTyler KinleyBen JoyceJason FoleyPorter Hodge

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss end-game strategy for the last few weeks of the 2024 fantasy baseball season.Bowden FrancisBobby MillerJavier AssadBen LivelyJameson TaillonJeffrey SpringsHayden BirdsongSpencer TorkelsonJake McCarthyEugenio SuárezWhit MerrifieldBrendan RodgersMichael Toglia

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) take their first look to 2025 as they give their picks for 2025 first rounders.Shohei OhtaniBobby Witt Jr.Aaron JudgeGunnar HendersonJose RamirezKyle TuckerJuan SotoMookie BettsRonald Acuna Jr.Julio RodriguezVladimir Guerrero Jr.Tarik Skubal

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for rest-of-season waiver wire heroes with a head-to-head matchup twist.Matt WallnerNolan SchanuelDylan MooreDavid FestaHayden BirdsongGrant HolmesTy FranceXaiver EdwardsJosh LoweRyne NelsonDJ HerzSpencer Schwellenbach

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) breakdown the rest of season strength of schedule and look for favorable fantasy matchups.Favorable schedules: Cubs, Yankees, Giants, Braves, Tigers, Padres, RangersBen BrownDansby SwansonMatt ShawGleyber TorresClarke SchmidtTyler FitzgeraldJorge SolerNacho AlvarezJarred KelenicEddie RosarioJustyn-Henry MalloyRandy VasquezTyler MahleMichael LorenzenJon Gray

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) give bold predictions for the second half as well as check in on their pre-season "chalkboard" picks as the All-Star Break winds down.Nick PivettaPaul SkenesBen RiceVladimir Guerrero Jr.Oneil CruzPablo LopezAJ PukJung-Ho LeeMarcell OzunaBobby MillerFrancisco AlvarezLane ThomasHunter GreeneEsteury RuizAdley RutschmanFramber Valdez

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the biggest surprises from the first half, as decided by the Pitcher List Discord.Rockies OF to Own: Brenton DoyleSeth Lugo Surprise Ace of 1HSteven Kwan and the Guardians Surprise PowerMore Surprise Pitchers: Cole Irvin, Tanner HouckBreakout Hitters: Alec Burleson, CJ AbramsWyatt Langford and Jackson Holliday's Rollercoaster SeasonsWill we Buy Back in on Spencer Torkelson?Still Want to Buy Low on Pablo Lopez?What the Discord Missed: Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt, Aaron Judge, Elly De La Cruz

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about pitchers who have the potential for big second halves.Grayson Rodriguez can become an aceBen Brown a pitcher to watchStash Jeffrey SpringsCan Taj Bradley continue his dominance?Shane Baz finally backBrandon Pfaadt has figured out lefties? Eric Samulski's article on topic.Ryan Pepiot is worth holding on to

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss impressive first-half hitting performances relative to ADP.Gunnar HendersonMarcell OzunaJarren DuranJurickson ProfarBrice TurangWilliam ContrerasAlec BohmJosh NaylorHeliot Ramos

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss pitchers to target in trades.RIP Willie MaysFoolish Baseball Video on "The Catch"Pablo LopezJordan MontgomeryJesus LuzardoFramber ValdezJoe MusgroveBailey OberKevin GausmanCarlos RodonReynaldo LopezHunter BrownMiles Mikolas

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss hitters to target in trades plus answer your mailbag questions.Trade season is hereSky Kalkman's Article on Trading TechniquesEno Sarris' "Secret Sauce" to find hitters to buyWAF's own "Secret Sauce" Jurickson ProfarEzequiel TovarChristian Walker Matt OlsonCorbin CarrollCubs HittersMail Bag Questions!Little Piranha: When to use limited add resources@PeepMySlashLine: Where to find Wins & Ryan Bliss's viabilityGoon Squad: What is wrong with 1B?

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who have improved over the course of April to May.Month-over-month improversSteve's SpreadsheetK-BB% improversSeth LugoMichael KingStuff+ ImproversBrandon PfaadtCarlos RodonwRC+ ImproversBarrel% ImproversJJ BledayNolan GormanTy France

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Kyle Bland (@blandalytics) to discuss the new bat tracking metrics as well as some struggling hitters and believing in the process and underlying data.What Kyle is working on at Pitcher ListKyle's Bat Tracking AppImportance of Bat AccelerationWyatt Langford intrigueThe State of Offense in 2024Steve's offensive strugglesChristopher Morel: Trust The ProcessWill Fernando Tatis Jr. Return to First Round Form?Jo Adell Breakout or Flash in the Pan?Lars Nootbaar Always One Step AwayWill Jake Burger Bounce Back?

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Lance Brozdowski (@LanceBroz) to talk pitchingLance's backgroundLance's SubstackLance's most recent YouTube Video: The Dodgers & High FastballsBreaking down pitchers with LanceTarik SkubalGarrett CrochetKevin GausmanDavid FestaQuick Hits for Lance

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) dissect the new Bat Tracking Leaderboard on Baseball Savant.Bat Tracking OverviewNavigating signal and noise with new metricsFast Swing RateSquared Up RateBlastsCustom ChartsBat Speed Distribution Comparisons

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Thomas Nestico (@TJStats) to discuss under-valued and under rostered starting pitchers.Paul SkenesChristian ScottReese OlsonJP SearsHayden WesneskiJack LeiterTaj BradleyErik FeddeChris PaddackThomas' favorite under-the-radar pitchers

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) use rest-of-season projections and underlying process stats to find buy-low hitters.Process to find buy lows: projections and underlying statsLink to Google SheetCheck in on the Offensive EnvironmentRandy ArozarenaCorey SeagerAlex BregmanBo BichetteSpencer TorkelsonGleyber TorresXander Bogaerts

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  look at year-over-year improvers in Statcast and batted ball metrics.Importance of stabilization rates (Russell Carleton Article)Year-over-year Barrel % improversElly De La CruzSalvador PerezMaikel GarciaJake CronenworthRiley GreeneAmed RosarioBryan De La CruzBarrel per PA standoutsRyan O'HearnLourdes Gurriel Jr.Tyler O'NeillBrenton DoyleTy France

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  discuss hitters off to slow starts and analyze why they could be good buy-low options.Francisco LindorJulio RodriguezCorbin CarrollVladimir Guerrero Jr.Paul GoldschmidtCody BellingerNolan JonesNick CastellanosJordan WalkerChristian Encarnacion-Strand

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  look for interesting low-rostered pitchers to replace high-end starters who recently went down with injuries.Keaton WinnJordan HicksSpencer TurnbullNick MartinezMichael WachaRanger SuarezLuis SeverinoZack LittellRyne NelsonClarke SchmidtSteven MatzCody Bradford

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  react to interesting performances from the first week of baseball games.Maikel GarciaChristopher MorelWill BensonBrendan DonovanJung Hoo LeeJose SiriTaylor WardJared JonesJason Foley & Abner UribeNick PivettaGarrett Crochet

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  give their "chalkboard" picks -- 3 targets and 3 fades -- for the 2024 season and welcome on PitchCon Prize winner James Geary.Marcell OzunaVladimir Guerrero Jr.Bobby MillerEsteury RuizJung Hoo LeeAdley RutschmanLane ThomasA.J. PukFrancisco AlvarezShota ImanagaFramber ValdezHunter GreeneChristopher MorelDylan CeaseCedric MullinsC.J. AbramsGunnar HendersonAdley Rutschman

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  review the players they have drafted the most heading into the 2024 season.Assessing the Risk of Mike TroutWe Love Yoshinobu YamamotoA.J. Puk's Spring Dominance as a StarterWilli Castro Late Speed OptionKerry CarpenterPaul Goldschmidt & Brendan Donovan ReboundsVan is still in on Nick PivettaFrancisco Alvarez's UpsideJoe Boyle's Exciting StuffXander Bogaerts and Masataka Yoshida good, "boring" picks

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about their favorite sleepers post-pick 200.Dylan Cease to San DiegoLuis GilBrayan BelloJack SuwinskiJackson MerrillNestor CortesJack FlahertyTriston McKenzieAustin WellsReese OlsonVictor ScottMiguel Andujar

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  buy or sell players based on their new March ADP.James WoodWyatt LangfordYoshinobu YamamotoShota ImanagaCole RagansTarik SkubalAJ PukJackson MerrillChris SaleMiguel Andujar

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818)  recap the WAFxOTW listener league and review their favorite picks from the draft.4:30 Listener League Draft Takeaways10:08 A Team Build We Loved17:09 Van's Team Breakdown19:03 Steve's Team Breakdown25:30 Nolan Gorman31:48 Elly De La Cruz37:08 Tyler Wells42:22 Jorge Soler & Masataka Yoshida49:05 Josh Naylor55:41 Alex Verdugo

Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk 2024 first-rounders and the pros and cons of each player taken there by ADP.5:33 - 1st Round Thoughts12:01 - Ronald Acuna15:22 - Bobby Witt Jr.  & Julio Rodriguez22:59 - Mookie Betts32:25 Corbin Carroll39:37 Kyle Tucker42:51 Freddie Freeman53:00 Fernando Tatis Jr.58:08 Spencer Strider1:02:15 Aaron Judge, Juan Soto & Yordan Alvarez1:09:40 Trea Turner1:17:10 Shohei Ohtani