Podcast appearances and mentions of ariel edwards levy

How will the trial of Donald Trump affect voters? There's been a lot of partisan messaging from all sides about the numbers and what – if any effect – that's going to have in November. How do we make sense of all of this? CNN polling and analytics editor Ariel Edwards-Levy joins Audie to discuss the power – and limitations – of surveys and polls.  Read Ariel's latest: What the polls can't tell us about the Trump verdict's effect on the election  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Our latest poll w/NPR and the PBS NewsHour looks at the numbers on Biden, Trump, Congress, and big 2024 election issues. We're looking deep into the crosstabs!Next, the field of polling has gained some new techniques, lost some old ones, and is paving the way to a new era of polling. Our guest, CNN's Ariel Edwards-Levy, joins us to discuss what has changed in polling, what's working, and what's not.We finish with a fun fact for the moment: Are you Team Super Bowl or Team Valentine's Day?

Ariel Edwards-Levy is CNN's Polling and Elections Analytics Editor, after covering the public opinion beat at Huffington Post for several cycles. In this episode she talks growing up in Southern California, the election that hooked her on politics at a young age, her early days in journalism, how she gravitated toward the polling beat, her transition from Huffington Post to CNN, and Ariel tackles many of the weighty questions confronting the field of polling.IN THIS EPISODEAriel self-identifies as an LA Valley Girl…Ariel's political awareness starts around the 2000 Bush-Gore election…Ariel fondly remembers the days of getting the daily print newspaper…Ariel talks the connections between her background as a journalist to her current focus on polling…Ariel talks her early path in journalism and how she came to the polling beat at the Huffington Post…Ariel talks her transition from Huffington Post to CNN…Ariel talks through what the day job of the Polling and Analytics Editor at CNN actually is…Ariel weighs in on the state of the polling industry…Ariel breaks down the differential non-response bias problem…Ariel on both improvements polling has made recently as well as challenges the field still faces…Ariel talks the mistakes that get under her skin from some public polling…Ariel talks how she thinks about tackling polling complex issues…Ariel's best practices for people to become savvy consumers of public opinion data…Ariel talks the value of qualitative research…Ariel talks how she's developed a large Twitter footprint…Ariel's one quirky work habit…

On Wednesday, the U.S. House of Representatives voted 232-197 to impeach President Trump a second time. In this installment of the podcast, HuffPost's polling editor, Ariel Edwards-Levy, joined Galen and Perry to discuss why the vote broke down the way it did, what the different camps within the GOP are and what happens next.

Feeling like you can't trust the polls again?We talked about the perks and perils of political polling with The Marist Institute for Public Opinion's Lee Miringoff, HuffPo's Ariel Edwards-Levy and Gallup's Mohamed Younis.Want to support 1A? Give to your local public radio station and subscribe to this podcast. Have questions? Find us on Twitter @1A.

The 2020 election has been like no other. Derailed by the global pandemic and in the shadow of a looming economic crisis, president Donald Trump has lagged behind his competitor Joe Biden for most of the campaign. But do the polls tell the real story or are there “shy Trumpers” out there?Ariel Edwards-Levy and Paul Blumenthal explain to Graeme Demianyk what to look out for on election night and which states will reveal who is most likely to end up residing in the White House for the next four years, while Jeffrey Young lays out America’s healthcare system. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Chris Jackson from Ipsos in the US and Ariel Edwards-Levy of the Huffington Post to take a deep-dive look at the upcoming US presidential election. Topics discussed included: What’s driving Biden’s lead? How can Trump turn it around? Shy Trump voters / partisan non-response bias / turnout filters and other important polling points The states to watch Will we know the result on election day? Is a Trump win or a Biden landslide more likely? …and some listener questions too.

On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Chris Jackson from Ipsos in the US and Ariel Edwards-Levy of the Huffington Post to take a deep-dive look at the upcoming US presidential election. Topics discussed included: What’s driving Biden’s lead? How can Trump turn it around? Shy Trump voters / partisan non-response bias / turnout filters and other important polling points The states to watch Will we know the result on election day? Is a Trump win or a Biden landslide more likely? …and some listener questions too.

Wildfires are raging in the west. The pandemic is still raging, with nearly 200,000 Americans dead. What is the government doing? Congress still cannot agree on additional aid for Americans. President Trump has resorted to using disaster relief funds to pay for additional jobless benefits and is eyeing more executive action, but is there a bigger response coming for any of these crises? President Trump took a lot of heat for statements he made to journalist Bob Woodward, detailed in Woodward’s new book Rage, about how he knew how bad the coronavirus was and downplayed it on purpose to avert panic. Ariel Edwards-Levy (senior reporter and polling editor at the Huff Post) tells the panel about the state of the presidential race and sticks up for polling: why you should believe it more than a lot of people say they do.

Welcome to Running Mate, a podcast series explaining the US election to Brits. In this episode, host Graeme Demianyk tackles potentially the biggest question British people have - Donald Trump can’t really have a chance of winning, can he?Joining Graeme to answer this question, HuffPost’s Shirish Date who recently confronted Trump over his lies to the American people, polls expert Ariel Edwards-Levy and Republican strategist David Kochel. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Forty-eight hours of presentations for the prosecution and the defense, and senators are watching it all silently, with only water and milk to drink. But will the trial change any minds, inside the senate chamber or in the country as a whole? The Left, Right & Center panel discusses eerily stable public opinion: on impeachment, on Donald Trump, and on the Democratic primary candidates. Why doesn’t anybody change their mind anymore? But: when people do change their minds, lately it’s been toward Bernie Sanders or Mike Bloomberg. Is Joe Biden’s perpetual poll lead as stable as it looks? Ariel Edwards-Levy talks polling with the panel. Plus: is the primary too nice? Where are the attack ads? Is it just civil, or does it deny voters the contrasting information about the candidates they deserve?

In this episode, I discuss the politics of impeachment. Here are the relevant links from each point. Point #1- The Constitution is clear about impeachment, but not specific. My review of Josh Chafetz’s book, Congress’s Constitution. James Wallner discussing conflict on Ezra Klein’s podcast. CRS report on impeachment and removal. Bob Bauer on whether there need be a Senate trial. Henry Olson on McConnell controlling a trial. Point #2 – Impeachment is thoroughly political, and takes place in the public sphere of opinion, which is both an input and output. Ariel Edwards-Levy is the person to follow for polling info on impeachment. Dubious polls about hypothetical scenarios? Me on why Congress doesn’t always “do the right thing.” Dave Hopkins on the impact of impeachments on public opinion. Point #3 – The groups to watch are the moderate House Dems, moderate House Republicans, and Senate Republicans. Sarah Binder’s great charts of House Dems. Some GOP Senators are very quiet. Jonathan Bernstein sees a slight shift in GOP Senate opinion. Point #4 – Elite political opinion, especially among elected officials moves in cascades. Lee Drutman’s Vox article on cascades. The Washington Post Op-ed from seven freshmen Democrats. Point #5 – We don’t […]

On this week's Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Ariel Edwards-Levy of the Huffington Post to discuss the latest developments in the race to face Donald Trump in 2020 following this weeks Democratic debates. Later in the show, Keiran looks at the most recent public opinion numbers on Hunt vs Johnson. Follow this week's guests: @aedwardslevy @keiranpedley

Breaking news! Just before the show went live, Roger Stone was arrested and charged with 7 different counts including obstruction, making false statements and witness tampering. It all has to do with the Russian hacking of the DNC and Wikileaks coordination with the Trump campaign to disseminate the information. The net is closing in around Donald Trump and collusion. Today is the day that federal employees missed their second paycheck of the year as the government shutdown entered its 35 day. What will it take to break the fever?Guest host Peter Ogburn talks to Ariel Edwards-Levy from HuffPost, Brittany Shepherd from Washingtonian and Nevin Martell from www.PayItFurloughed.com

President Donald Trump, the government shutdown, and yes, the border wall. On this week’s Poll Hub, we look at Americans’ attitudes about the shutdown, how the current gridlock reflects past shutdowns, who Americans blame for the gridlock, and whether the issue of the border wall bolsters or weakens President Trump’s position. Then, Ariel Edwards-Levy (@aedwardslevy), Reporter and Polling Editor at HuffPost, joins the conversation. Edwards-Levy recently conducted an examination into how public opinion has evolved from the beginning of polling in the 1930s. Thanks to a deep dive into the archive at the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research (@RoperCenter), Edwards-Levy analyzes the change and consistency in attitudes on a variety of topics from gender roles to the internet. She shares the surprises, the expected, and her research methods on this week’s Poll Hub. Oh and be sure to check out Edwards-Levy’s complete article here: https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/historical-polls-2018-20th-century-america_us_5c2a47aae4b05c88b7029f37 About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.

In the last episode of Midterm Cram before Tuesday's elections, Sal Gentile and Henry Melcher talk to Ariel Edwards-Levy, reporter and polling editor at HuffPost, about what to look out for in the polls on the eve of the election.LATE NIGHT ON SOCIALRate the Late Night Podcast on Apple Podcasts: applepodcasts.com/LateNightSethSubscribe to Late Night on YouTube: youtube.com/LateNightSethFollow Late Night on Twitter: twitter.com/LateNightSethLike Late Night on Facebook: www.facebook.com/LateNightSethLike Late Night on Instagram: www.instagram.com/LateNightSethFind Late Night on Snapchat: snapchat.com/add/LateNightSethGet more Late Night with Seth Meyers: www.nbc.com/late-night-with-seth-meyers/Watch Late Night with Seth Meyers weeknights 12:35/11:35c on NBC.

This election day, there will be over 250 women on the ballot running for the House and Senate, and after the midterms, there's likely to be more women in office than ever before. It seems Donald Trump has awoken a female majority that is outraged by the President's words and actions. And if there is a Democratic wave, it's women who will have likely caused it. This episode, which is the fourth in a four-part series on the midterm elections, features interviews with Rep. Cheri Bustos (R-Ill.), Politico reporter Heather Caygle, Cook Political Report editor Dave Wasserman, Politico Reporter Rachael Bade, HuffPost polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy, Rep. Dave Brat (R-Va.), and Democratic congressional candidate Abigail Spanberger.  The Wave is produced by The Podglomerate. *** This show is a part of the Podglomerate network, a company that produces, distributes, and monetizes podcasts. We encourage you to visit the website and sign up for our newsletter for more information about our shows, launches, and events. For more information on how The Podglomerate treats data, please see our Privacy Policy.  Since you're listening to The Wave, we'd like to suggest you also try other Podglomerate shows surrounding news, history, and politics, like What Could Go Right? and The History of Literature. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As part of the Polling Matters mini-series on the US midterms, Keiran Pedley talks to Ariel Edwards-Levy of The Huffington Post. Ariel and Keiran discuss the races to watch and the demographic shifts shaping US politics. They also look at Trump's approval rating and what to look out for in 2020.

On this week's show: After 2016, can we really trust the polls? With just two weeks until the midterm elections on November 6, we gather some of the biggest brains in the business to round up everything you need to know about numbers, numbers, numbers. Our all-star cast includes MSNBC's National Political Correspondent, Steve Kornacki; FiveThirtyEight's managing editor, Micah Cohen, and HuffPost's polling editor, Ariel Edwards-Levy. We fill you in on what you need to watch for during the minute-by-minute coverage on election night—and the biggest issues driving voters to the ballot box.

In an unprecedented move, Donald Trump is threatening to strip security clearances from his political enemies. James Clapper, John Brennan and others who have been critical of Trump, were threatened by Sarah Huckabee Sanders on Monday. Will the White House follow through with this blatantly political act? Don't be surprised if they do it. We talk to Dan Lippman from Politico, Ben Wikler from MoveOn.org and Ariel Edwards-Levy from HuffPost!

Margie talks to queen of the Huffington Post fempire Ariel Edwards-Levy, and she recounts the vibe from the AAPOR conference, the role of gender in 2016 polling, and her favorite pun. Follow her immediately @aedwardslevy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Luke and I jumped on the mics to give our reactions to the news that President Trump fired FBI Director James Comey on Tuesday evening. Not sure what we’re talking about? Get the details here. *Episode title credited to the great puns on the twitter account of Ariel Edwards-Levy

There are three segments in this episode. The first segment discusses the political fallout from the Trump Administration’s executive order to increase security vetting for travelers coming into the United States from Iraq, Iran, Syria, Libya, Yemen and Somalia for 90 days. We also discuss how members of Congress are positioning themselves around this decision. The second segment is a discussion about historical voter opinion research showing a majority of Americans opposing proposals allowing refugees to enter the country. The third segment discusses the decision of White House Counselor Stephen Bannon’s to attack on the national media in an interview with the New York Times.  Segment #1 – Donald Trump’s Executive Order on Muslim Immigration Ban  The executive order increases scrutiny on travelers from seven predominantly Muslim countries, Iraq, Iran, Syria, Sudan, Libya, Yemen and Somalia for 90 days. The executive order also bans Syrian refugees indefinitely from entering the United States, and the whole refugee program for 120 days. President Trump has said a more “extreme vetting” of immigrants from those state will keep radical Islamic terrorists out of the United States. His team has said this is not about religion, this is about terror and keeping the country safe.” Critics have said the ban will only make it easier for radical terror groups to recruit new members. We also discuss how Republican members of Congress are reacting to the executive order. We reference an article in the New York Times, Republicans Have One Big Incentive to Stick With Trump, by Kyle Dropp and Brendan Nyman, January 30th, 2017. Segment #2 - America’s History Opposing the People Seeking Refuge in the U.S. A fascinating article by Ariel Edwards-Levy, the polling director of the Huffington Post reviews historical polling data from Gallup and other news organizations. The article summarizes American attitudes and opinions of allowing refugees to enter the United States.    Segment #3 – White House Advisor Stephen Bannon Attacks Media in NYT Interview The final segment discusses the political impacts of Stephen Bannon’s attack on the media in an interview with the New York Times. The advisor to President Trump calls the media the “opposition party” and should be “embarrassed and humiliated, and should keep its mouth shut and just listen for a while”. The discussion also references the findings of a national online survey of adults 18 and older conducted by the polling firm YouGov. The poll asks questions about the media’s coverage and treatment of Donald Trump (positive, negative, just right). The survey also asks respondents how much they trust the Trump administration to state the facts fully, accurately and fairly.