The Pollsters

Large Voter Turnout Voter Turnout Appears Steady; Enthusiasm Running High (Gallup) Who Will Win? Who Do Voters Think Will Win (Navigator) Cookie Poll Three Brothers Bakery Presidential Cookie Poll Has Accurately Predicted Winner of Last 3 Elections (KHOU) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election Presidential General Election (RealClear Politics) Coronavirus Coronavirus Upends Nation, as Three in Four Americans' Lives Changed by Pandemic (ABC News/Ipsos) Governors Get High Marks For Handling COVID-19 Crisis (Monmouth) Tracking Public Opinion on the Coronavirus (Morning Consult) Public Opinion on Coronavirus (Navigator) Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index: Everything's Worse (Axios/Ipsos) If you are interested in learning about starting your own podcast, or you have a podcast and want to improve production, distribution, or marketing, contact Richard Fawal at Junto Media, https://juntomedia.co. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Florida Democratic Primary Who Different Groups Supported (New York Times) National Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Coronavirus Trump Earns Mixed Grades on Coronavirus Response (Politico/Morning Consult) Coronavirus (NPR/PBS/Marist) Coronavirus (Reutors/Ipsos) Public Trusts Health Agencies More Than Trump (Axios) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Biden Crushes Sanders In Democratic Race (Quinnipiac) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Approval of U.S. Congressional Republicans Tops Democrats (Gallup) Coronavirus Trump and the Coronavirus (CNN) Americans Divided on Party Lines Over Risk From Coronavirus (Reuters/Ipsos) Republicans are Twice as Likely as Democrats to View Coronavirus Coverage as Exaggerated (Axios/Survey Monkey) About One-Fifth of Democrats and Republicans get Political News in a Kind of Media Bubble (Pew Research Center) 92% of Americans Dating as Normal Despite Coronavirus (OKcupid) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Michigan Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Trump Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Corona Beer and the Coronavirus The Spread of the Coronavirus Couldn't Have Come at a Worse Time for Corona Beer(CNN) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic National Primary Democratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight) South Carolina Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Debate Watchers Believe Bernie Sanders Made the Best Case for Defeating Trump (YouGov) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Republicans Increasingly Feel Like They're ‘Winning' Politically; Democrats Feel the Opposite (Pew Research Center) Cornoavirus How do Attitudes to Coronavirus Differ Across the World? (YouGov) High Confidence in Government to Handle Coronavirus (Gallup) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic National Primary Democratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Opens Up Double-Digit National Lead in Primary Race (NBC News/WSJ) Sanders Leads The Field, Bloomberg Qualifies For His 1st Debate (NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist) Nevada Primary Nevada Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Has Strong Lead in Nevada(Data for Progress) South Carolina Primary South Carolina Democratic Primary(FiveThirtyEight) Americans and the Election Americans Generally Upbeat About Election Campaign (Gallup) Faith in Elections in Relatively Short Supply in U.S. (Gallup) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) National General Election National General Election(RealClear Politics) Bogus Respondents Assessing the Risks to Online Polls From Bogus Respondents (Pew Research Center) Chucking a Dead Chicken Is Chucking a Dead Chicken a Fun Bar Event or Disrespectful to Animals? (Thorold News) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in New Hampshire (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Takes Top Spot In Dem Primary As Biden Falls (Quinnipac) New Hampshire Democratic Primary Exit Poll Results and Analysis (Wash Post) Trump Approval  Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election Trump vs. Klobucha (RealClear Politics) Most Expect Trump Will Be Reelected (Monmouth) Socialism and Atheism Still U.S. Political Liabilities (Gallup) Impeachment Vote Most Utahns pleased with Mitt Romney's vote, but 60% of GOP has negative reaction (Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics) Valentine's Day Valentine's Day poll: American's claim this dinner idea is most underrated (Instacart) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On this 5th Anniversary episode, Kristen and Margie are joined by founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver. Nate founded Five Thirty Eight after being tired of the media covering politics with a lack of data. Iowa Primary The three cover the topic of Iowa and how the polls should be looked at along with the actual results in Iowa. Nate breaks down Iowa's system of using preferences in voting in their primary process and discusses how that makes Iowa difficult to poll. The Des Moines Register, Ann Selzer poll was not published due to an error in polling. However, it was ended up being leaked prior to the Iowa Caucus. Nate believes that human error is a part of anything in life, even polling. In the case of the Ann Selzer poll he believes that the errors in the poll could have been fixed and published at a later date, instead of the chaos that ensued with the errors in the poll due to a tight deadline that was set. Models in Polling A model is a statistical algorithm that produces results. In polling models are statistics that are used to represent the world. Nate discusses the difficulties behind trying to build a model for the entire Democratic Nomination process. He shares that FiveThirtyEight focuses on predicting the outcome and as a result they focus more on topline numbers.  The Silent Trump Vote It has been claimed that silent Trump voters played a role in the 2016 election, Kristen asks Nate if silent or shy Trump voters could play a roll in the upcoming 2020 Presidential election.  Find Nate Silver on Twitter @NateSilver538 Listen to the FiveThirtyEight Podcast Here! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

National Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) 2020 Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) Biden and Sanders are breaking away from the pack of candidates among Democrats nationwide (Washington Post/ABC News) Electability in the Democratic Primary Polls (HuffPost/YouGov) Iowa Primary Iowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race (New York Times/Siena College) New Hampshire Primary New Hampshire Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders, Buttigieg top Democratic field in New Hampshire (NBC News/Marist) California Primary Bernie Sanders grabs lead in California presidential primary (UC Berkeley Institute) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump Impeachment Americans still divided on Trump's removal from office (Wash Post/ABC News) General Election: Trump vs Klobuchar (RealClear Politics) Do Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight) Nearly 6 in 10 oppose Trump's use of executive privilege to muzzle witnesses (Politico) Impeachment Witness Testimony (Quinnipiac) Eating Meat Nearly One in Four in U.S. Have Cut Back on Eating Meat (Gallup) Four in 10 Americans Have Eaten Plant-Based Meats (Gallup) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary Who's Ahead in the National Poll? (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in Iowa? (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in New Hampshire? (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Widens Lead In N.H. (WBUR) Trump Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump Third Year Sets New Standard for Party Polarization (Gallup) General Election General Election: Trump vs. Klobuchar (RealClear Politics) Trump Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight) Majority Support Allowing New Impeachment Evidence (Monmouth) By a Narrow Margin, Americans Say Senate Trial Should Result in Trump's Removal (Pew Research Center) Senator Approval Rankings (Morning Consult) New Maine Polling on Susan Collins and Impeachment (GHY Research Group) Abortion Laws Do state laws on abortion reflect public opinion? (Pew Research Center) Dissatisfaction With U.S. Abortion Laws at New High (Gallup) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Democratic Primary Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Iowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Why Warren Needs To Play To Win — And That Includes Beating Sanders (FiveThirtyEight) Who Won The January Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos) Biden holds wide lead among black voters in Democratic presidential race (Washington Post/Ipsos) 2020 General Election National General Election (FiveThirtyEight) Trump trails 2020 Democratic contenders in Michigan (EPIC-MRA of Lansing) Trump Approval/Impeachment Trump Job Approval (RealClearPolitics) Do Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight) Issues That Matter to Voters Several Issues Tie as Most Important in 2020 Election (Gallup) Iran Majority supports Trump's decision to not strike back against Iran (Politico/Morning Consult) More Americans Disapprove Of Trump's Handling Of Iran Than Approve (NPR/Marist) Majority of U.S. Public Says Trump's Approach on Iran Has Raised Chances of a Major Conflict (Pew Research Center) The Oscars Which Film Should Win Best Picture? (Hollywood Reporter) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Party Preferences U.S. Party Preferences Steady During Trump Era (Gallup) Democratic Polling for Debate DNC Tells Pollsters to Do More Polls (NewYorkTimes) Democratic Primary Sanders starts 2020 in strong position in Iowa and New Hampshire (CBS News) Biden Is Democrats' Best Bet to Beat Trump (Morning Consult) Trump Job Approval/Impeachment Trump Job Approval (Real Clear) Do Americans Support Impeachment? (Real Clear) A Majority Of Americans Think The Evidence Supports Trump's Removal (FiveThirtyEight) Geoff Garin on Hart Poll(Hart Research/Law Works Poll) Iran Can You Locate Iran? Few Voters Can(Morning Consult) What Americans Think About Trump's Iran Policy (Huff Post/YouGov) Americans increasingly critical of Trump's record on Iran, most expect war (Reuters/Ipsos) Celebrities and Politics When Stars Like Taylor Swift Get Political, Do Voters Listen? (Hollywood Reporter/Morning Consult) #MeToo/Time's Up Americans Think #MeToo and Time's Up Are Making Progress (CBS) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Polling Trends in Previous Elections In Leaked Memo, Andrew Yang Asks DNC for More Debate Polls (DailyBeast) 2008 Iowa Republican Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2008 Iowa Democratic Caucus(RealClear Politics) 2012 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2016 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus(RealClear Politics) 2016 Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2020 Presidential Election Who's ahead in the national polls? (FiveThirtyEight) 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Trump Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight) Most Admired Man Obama, Trump Tie as Most Admired Man in 2019 (Gallup) Fun Charts of 2019 Our favorite Pew Research Center data visualizations of 2019 (Pew Research) The 56 Best — And Weirdest — Charts We Made In 2019 (FiveThirtyEight) What Black Americans Want A Nuanced Picture of What Black Americans Want in 2020 (Third Way/JCPES) New Year, New You Top 10 New Year's Resolutions for 2020 (Polly/Advanced Symbolics Inc.) Almost Half of People Stick to a New Year's Resolution (Ipsos) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different (FiveThirtyEight) Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Biden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval/Impeachment President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Tracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight) Trump job approval ticks up, views on impeachment steady (Fox News) Peace at Thanksgiving Only About 3% Of Americans Actually Fought About Politics On Thanksgiving (HuffPost/YouGov) Dumbest Takes on Polling Why public opinion polls don't include the same number of Republicans and Democrats(PewResearch) The Twilight of Landline Interviewing (PewResearch) Year in Review Bullock Misses First Debate (New York Times) Republicans Generation Gap (New York Times) Analytics Jumpstart (Echelon) Holiday Shopping 2019 Winter Holiday Trends (NRF) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary Biden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics) Second Choice Candidates (Quinnipiac) Trump Approval / Impeachment Tracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight) Tracking Trump Approval (RealClearPolitics) Who was the better President? Democrats answer! (Monmouth) Trust in the media Republicans less likely to trust the news media (Pew Research) UK Elections Love, Actually? Current predictions (YouGov) Travel What do people steal from hotels? (Wellness Heaven) Unacceptable Airplane Behavior (YouGov) Christmas Trees Real versus Artificial (YouGov) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) The Economist/You Gov Poll California Voters Wanted Kamala Harris to Drop Out of Presidential Race (Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for The Times) Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) UK Election Europe Poll of Polls (Politico) The key findings from our MRP (YouGov) Poll Reveals Record-Breaking 30 Percent of Public Plan to Vote ‘tactically' in General Election (ERS) Giving Tuesday Giving Tuesday poll: The causes Americans support (Axios) ‘All I Want For Christmas' tops most annoying song poll, still tops Billboard's Holiday 100 (Huawei) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) CBS News Battleground Tracker (CBS News) Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Impeachment Hearings (ABC/Ipsos) Multi-Party Democracy What if the U.S. Were a Multi-Party Democracy? (Echelon) British Election General Election 2019: The polling average might show a Labour surge, but the polls themselves don't (iPolitics) Have you decided yet? Who will win the debate? (Lord Ashcroft) Medicare For All Blue Wall Voices Project (KFF/Cook) Majority of likely Democratic caucusgoers shy away from 'Medicare for All' (Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll) Thanksgiving More than 165 million people expected to shop over five-day Thanksgiving weekend (NRF/Prosper Insights & Analytics) Turkey Day Exposé: How Americans Really Feel About the Big Dinner (Instacart/Harris Poll) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) Poll: Bloomberg's Potential Run is a Flop With Voters so Far (Politico/Morning Consult) Biden Holds Slight Lead In New Hampshire Dem Primary (Quinnipiac) Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Framing the Next Step on Impeachment (Navigator) Immigration/Supreme Court Immigration/Border Security (Monmouth) Immigration (CNN/SSRS) Poll Finds Confidence in U.S. Supreme Court Overall, Though More Pronounced Among Conservatives  (Marquette) Veterans Go Beyond the ‘Thank You' (Cohen Veterans Network) The American Veteran Experience and the Post-9/11 Generation (Pew) New Poll of U.S. Troops and Veterans Reveals Their Thoughts on Current Military Policies (Smithsonian/Stars & Stripes) Anxiety Over the Holidays The worst thing to talk about during the holidays is not politics (YouGov) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds (The New York Times Upshot/Siena College) Poll: Biden Holds Significant Lead over Warren, Sanders in Nevada; Top Issue is Electing Someone Who Can Beat Trump (The Nevada Independent) Kentucky Governor - Bevin vs. Beshear (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Partisan Opinion on Trump Digs in (Monmouth University Poll) Trump Approval (Washington Post/ABC Poll) Fish Pictures Love at First Bite? (Fishbrain) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Partisans Dig In On Impeachment, but Majority of Americans Say Trump Administration Should Cooperate With Inquiry (CBS News) Worst Impeachment Questions (Mclaughlin & Associates) Trump Approval Foreign Policy Trump Approval Foreign Policy (RealClear Politics) Foreign Policy Approval(Navigator) Support for Impeaching Trump Soars Among Independents (Reuters/Ipsos) Syria (CNN/SSRS) Job Approval Dips, Unfavorable Feelings Climb for President Trump (Grinnell) Baseball Is It True Fandom Or Just Rude To Stand During The Entire World Series Game At Nats Park? (DCist) Halloween Social Media Influencing Near-Record Halloween Spending (NRF/Propser Insights & Analytics) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Biden's lead in Democratic primary hits widest margin since April (CNN) Iowa Caucus (RealClear Politics) Trump and Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Increased Support For Trump Impeachment in Wisconsin (Marquette University Law School) Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Impeachment Views in 6 Swing States (The Upshot) Issue of the Week: Religion and Polarization Widening Partisan Polarization and Key Issues in 2020 Presidential Elections (PRRI) In U.S., Decline of Christianity Continues at Rapid Pace (Pew Research) Groundbreaking Pew Research Study Finds Pews Are Uncomfortable (The Babylon Bee; satire) Millennials Majority of Americans Say Parents Are Doing Too Much for Their Young Adult Children (Pew Research) More work, more sleep: New study offers glimpse of daily life as a millennial (Washington Post) Twitter Small Share of U.S. Adults Produce Majority of Tweets (Pew Research) Team Meghan! (YouGov) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Who Won The Fourth Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight / Ipsos) Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) How To Talk About Impeachment (Navigator) Issue of the Week: Unskew the Polls Fox News Pollster Misrepresented Impeachment Poll (Fox News) Democrats Hold Edge in U.S. Party Affiliation in 3rd Quarter (Gallup) Everyone Hates Everyone Partisan Antipathy: More Intense, More Personal (Pew Research Center) Americans Feel Divided On Core Values (Monmouth University Poll) Syria Most Americans Do Not Approve of Trump's Move in Syria (YouGov) Nat's Baseball Isn't Boring Washington Nationals Fan Confidence Up Heading into NL Wild Card Game (SB Nation FanPulse) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Bullock the only Dem to beat Trump in MT (U. of Montana) Impeachment Impeachment Tracker (FiveThirtyEight) Voters Remain Divided On Impeachment (Quinnipiac) Public views Ukraine charges as serious, but half say Trump shouldn't be removed (NBC News / The Wall Street Journal) Majority of Americans say they endorse opening of House impeachment inquiry of Trump (Washington Post / Schar School) House Republicans show no signs of abandoning Trump on impeachment (Public Opinion Strategies for NRCC) Issue of the Week: Socialism, Capitalism and Government Behind Americans' Views of ‘Socialism' and ‘Capitalism' (Pew Research) Public Expresses Favorable Views of a Number of Federal Agencies (Pew Research) Vegetables! Quarter Of Americans Have Never Eaten Vegetables (StudyFinds.org) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Campaigns Great Society on Broadway, the poll 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Monmouth Poll numbers Twitter South Carolina Democratic voters strongly support Joe Biden (Winthrop University) Trump approval (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: Impeachment (again) Do Americans Support Impeaching President Trump? (FiveThirtyEight, tracker) Impeachment Support Up Slightly (Monmouth University) Support for impeaching Trump rises among independents and Republicans (SSRS for CNN) Support For Impeachment Grows (Quinnipiac) Public Support For Impeachment Grows (HuffPost/YouGov) Majority of Americans and Democrats approve of Trump impeachment inquiry (CBS) NPR/PBS/Marist Support for impeachment jumps in new poll (Morning Consult / Politico) Candy Land! Favorite Movie Candy Tweet (Lights, Camera Pod) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Odds & Ends Richard Madden's T-Rex! Inside Fox News' polling ‘nerdquarium,' whose numbers don't lie whether Trump likes them or not (Los Angeles Times) 2020 Presidential Campaigns Democratic Primary (RealClear Politics) One Republican Party, Different Democratic Parties (Echelon Insights) Trump Job Approval (RealClea Politics) Latest National General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: Impeachment Impeaching Trump On Russia Was Unpopular. Will Ukraine Be Different? (FiveThirtyEight) Voters largely unswayed by House Dems' push for impeachment (Politico) Would you support or oppose impeachment in this scenario? (YouGov) National Poll, use of words “removal from office” (Quinnipiac) Focusing Debates on Trump's Honesty, Tax Fairness, and Government Shutdowns (Navigator) President Trump and the Trump Administration (Quinnipiac via pollingreport.com) Most Americans have heard of the situation with President Trump, Joe Biden and the president of Ukraine (Reuters/Ipsos) The Steaks are High How Americans order their steaks and hamburgers (YouGov) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Campaign 2020 Democrats (RealClear Politics) Iowa Voter Survey (David Binder Research for Focus on Rural America) Iowa Voter Survey (Civiqs - Iowa State University) The Third Debate Influenced Those Who Watched … But A Lot Of People Didn't (FiveThirtyEight) Steve Kornacki Tweet of Crosstabs (NBC News/WSJ via Steve Kornacki) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: The Workplace 10 facts about American workers (Pew Research) Do Workers Discriminate against Female Bosses? (Institute of Labor Economics, Germany) Despite challenges at home and work, most working moms and dads say being employed is what's best for them (Pew Research) Union Approval Near 50-Year High (Gallup) The Art of Bananas This study is bananas (YouGov) This drawing explains a surprising amount about your political views (YouGov) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) President Trump trails potential Democratic challengers in 2020 test (WaPo/ABC News) Latest CNN/SSRS Poll 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: 9-11 and its Impact Ariel Edwards-Levy tweet of Sept. 2001 CBS Poll Public Overwhelmingly Backs Bush in Attacks on Afghanistan (Gallup, Oct. 2001) Bush Job Approval Highest in Gallup History (Gallup, Sept. 2001) Iraq - Getting In Was Wrong; Getting Out Was Right (Quinnipiac, July 2014) After 17 years of war in Afghanistan, more say U.S. has failed than succeeded in achieving its goals (Pew Research, Oct. 2018) Pew Research Polling Data (2018) Polls on Afghanistan (PollingReport.com) Majorities of U.S. veterans, public say the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan were not worth fighting (Pew Research, July 2019) UFOs and Government Transparency Americans Skeptical of UFOs, but Say Government Knows More (Gallup) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Democrats Are Divided On What's Dividing The Party (Huffington Post/YouGov) President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: Guns Poll: Most Republicans support assault weapons ban, despite Trump saying 'no appetite' (Politico/Morning Consult) Trump Approval (Fox News) What Percentage of Americans Own Guns? (Gallup) Majority Of Voters Say Climate Change Is An Emergency (Quinnipiac) Too early for pumpkin spice? Pumpkin Spice Survey (Accelerant) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Climate 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) 3-Way Lead as Dem 2020 Picture Shifts (Monmouth) John Anzalone tweet Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Latest 2020 General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: The Economy Consumer Confidence Index (The Conference Board) Poll finds a pessimistic America despite current economic satisfaction (NBC News / Wall Street Journal) All Top Dems Beat Trump As Voters' Economic Outlook Dims (Quinnipiac) Roughly Half of Trump Voters Would at Least Partially Blame Him for a Recession (Morning Consult) Most Important Problem (Gallup) Back to School! 2019 Back-to-School Shopping (Deloitte) How Did You Feel On Your First Day Back To School When You Were A Kid? (News Center Maine) This episode of The Pollster was sponsored by The Election Ride Home podcast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump and Democrats 2020 Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Democratic Candidates (RealClear Politics) Elizabeth Warren Had Another Very Good Debate (HuffPo) Warren Up, Harris Down, But Biden Leads Among U.S. Dems (Quinnipiac) Gun Laws Who's to blame for mass shootings? On that, some bipartisan agreement (USA Today/Ispos) Presidential Power Republicans Now Are More Open to the Idea of Expanding Presidential Power (Pew Research Center) Trust in Science Trust and Mistrust in Americans' Views of Scientific Experts (Pew Research) Fun Poll: Are these cities midwestern? David Montgomery wonders how people think Jacksonville, Florida is in the Midwest (and Kristen blames it all on College Football) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Presidential Campaigns Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Interest still high in second Dem debate (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Shifting Democratic Lines (Echelon Insights) Conflicted About Trump: The Americans Disapproving of President Trump While Giving Him Credit on the Economy (Navigator) Black and Latinx Views Views on the economy aren't monolithic (Groundwork Collaborative) Tech Americans have become much less positive about tech companies' impact (Pew Research) Song of the Summer! Song of the Summer Rankings (LyricFind, with Billboard) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump & The Squad Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump's Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign (New York Times / The Upshot) Most Americans disagree with Trump's "go back" tweets (CBS News / YouGov) Majority of voters say ‘send her back' chants were racist (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Mueller Testimony Democrats becoming increasingly skeptical of fairness of Russia probe (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Trust in America Many Americans think declining trust in the government and in each other makes it harder to solve key problems (Pew Research) Boris Johnson How do you feel about Boris Johnson becoming leader? (YouGov) Boris Johnson has support of two thirds of Tory voters (Opinium / Observer) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump, “racially infused” tweets, and Democratic Candidates Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Republican support for Trump rises after racially charged tweets (Reuters) 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Beto O'Rourke and the Value of Polling Polling is not evil voodoo magic (Kristen Soltis Anderson in the Washington Examiner) Polling Faux Pas Incomplete polling for the Democratic Primary (St. Anselm College) All The Problems With This Anonymous Poll About Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (HuffPo coverage of a poll reported in Axios) More General Election Polling Huge Turnout Is Expected in 2020. So Which Party Would Benefit? (New York Times, “The Upshot”) Trump Faces Tough Challenge From Top Democratic Candidates in Election Matchup (WSJ/NBC News) Immigration Slim majority supports deportation raids (POLITICO/Morning Consult) More on Presidential Tweeting Views of Trump's Twitter Attack on Four Congresswomen Highly Partisan (Ipsos) State of the Union and Conspiracies (Economist/YouGov) Ladysports Do you think if you were playing your very best tennis, you could win a point off Serena Williams? (YouGov) We Need To Stop Comparing Serena Williams To Men's Tennis Players (HuffPo) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump and 2020 Democrats Trump Approval (RealClear Politics Average) General Election Polling Average (RealClear Politics Average) 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics Average) POLL AVERAGE Joe Biden Isn't The Unequivocal 2020 Democratic Front-Runner Anymore (HuffPo) CNN has new standards for reporting on polls CNN's transparency questionnaire for polling standards (CNN) Personal Finances polls More Optimism about Personal Finances (AP/NORC) 1 in 4 don't plan to retire despite realities of aging (AP/NORC) Tariffs and Trade Divided Country Wary of Tariffs, Trade, Tech (RealClear Opinion Research) Veterans Trump Draws Stronger Support From Veterans Than From the Public on Leadership of U.S. Military (Pew Research) Women's World Cup! Polling: Megan Rapinoe for President? (Public Policy Polling) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump Approval Trump Approval Post-Democratic Debate Polling Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters Harris and Warren rise and Biden slides after first Democratic debates (SSRS for CNN) Kamala Harris surges in Iowa as Bernie Sanders suffers after debate (Suffolk University/USA TODAY) Data from the Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Harris Gets Big Debate Bounce While Biden Sinks (Quinnipiac) Harris Surges After First Democratic Debates (Morning Consult) Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris Looked Like Winners At The First Debates (HuffPost/YouGov) Washington Post-ABC News poll Crisis on the border Three-quarters of Americans say there's a crisis at the border (SSRS for CNN) Perceptions of LGBTQ Population Americans Still Greatly Overestimate U.S. Gay Population (Gallup) Is America Great Again? American Pride Hits New Low; Few Proud of Political System (Gallup) Trump's July 4th plans Few Aware of Trump July 4 Speech Plan (Monmouth) Trends in Fourth of July Foods What's In And What's Out For Fourth Of July Celebrations (Open Mind Strategy for Food Network) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Debate Interest Democratic voters not fully tuned in to 2020 (AP/NORC) Most Dems interested in first debates, but not excited (Monmouth) America's Political Perceptions Trump approval (RealClear Politics) New High in U.S. Say Immigration Most Important Problem (Gallup) American Bridge 4-State rural and small-town voters (Anzalone Liszt Grove Research) Democrat interest in climate change (Morning Consult for Sierra Club) Perception Gaps (More In Common with YouGov) What the heck is wrong with Gen Z? Nearly half of young adults no longer wear deodorant (YouGov for Schmidt's Naturals)  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

President Trump, 2020, and impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) The infamous Fox News Polls (FOX News) Impeachment Talk (Suffolk University / USA Today) More Impeachment Talk (NBC/Wall Street Journal) Trump fires pollsters (CNN) Would voters consider a woman as president? Nominating Woman or Minority Come Second to Nominating Candidate Who Can Beat Trump (Ipsos / Daily Beast) Democrats and Rural Voters The One Country Projection (One Country Project) Political Discourse in the U.S. Public Highly Critical of State of Political Discourse in the U.S. (Pew Research) CBD Products Four in 10 Say CBD Oil Products Should Be Over-the-Counter (Gallup) Salad Days What is the best green to build your salad around? (PRRI) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2020 Polling Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) More brutal 2020 poll numbers for Trump (Washington Post) 2020 General Matchups (RealClear Politics) Democratic Nomination (RealClear Politics) Mike Gravel's Tweet It's PRIDE Month! Gallup First Polled on Gay Issues in '77. What Has Changed? (Gallup) America's Growing Support for Transgender Rights (PRRI) Lord Ashcroft Polls Candidates are supposed to pay attention to the voters' backstory, not the other way round Women What Women Are Up Against At Work (LeanIn.org with SurveyMonkey) How to Talk About Americans' Opposition to Abortion Bans (Navigator) Aspiring Pollsters Sean Trende's son's Survey Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Mueller Report Trump Voters Who Heard Mueller Decline To Clear Trump Still Think His Report Clears Trump (HuffPost/YouGov) Made-up news Many Americans Say Made-Up News Is a Critical Problem That Needs To Be Fixed (Pew Research) Millennial, Gen Z, and Gen X voters Gen Z, Millennials and Gen X outvoted older generations in 2018 midterms (Pew Research) America's moral values Americans Say U.S. Moral Values Not Good and Getting Worse (Gallup) The future of abortion A majority of Americans think abortion will still be legal in 30 years, but with some restrictions (Pew Research) Democrats and “women's issues” A growing number of Democratic voters are prioritizing gender-related issues (Morning Consult via Vox) The census and citizenship The Fate of Pluralism in a Divided Nation (PRRI) Trump Approval President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Sen. Michael Bennet's qualification for Democratic debates Steve Kornacki's tweet Patrick Ruffini's tweet Summer Vacation More Americans are skipping summer vacations this year Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump Character Ratings Improved, but Still a Weakness (Gallup)  Dem (and GOP?) Primary Democratic Dividing Lines (Echelon Insights) Nearly Half of Democrats Say the Best Age for a President Is ‘In Their 50s' (Pew Research) Economic satisfaction, Capitalism, and Socialism Framing the Debate on the Economy and Presidential Transparency (Navigator) Black community survey More Black than Blue: Politics and Power in the 2019 Black Census (Black Futures Lab) Brits support Trump visit in the UK Brits support Trump visit (YouGov via Politico EU) Swimming Pools, Tuna Stars Around 3 in 10 adults haven't swam in more than 10 years (John West) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

AAPOR ConferenceExit Poll ShowdownEvery Methodology Is Terrible AlwaysProbability Is Fake NewsTrump and Democrats 2020 President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Latest 2020 General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Fox News Poll 5/16 Biden Is Only Contender With Positive Score (Quinnipiac) Most Democrats Are Fine With Their Candidates Doing Fox News Town Halls (Morning Consult/Politico) Black Voters and Gender Identity Politics New poll shows black voters want 2020 candidates with big policy plans, not just big names (BlackPAC via Vox) Who White Democrats Vote For In 2020 Could Be Shaped By Why They Think Clinton Lost (FiveThirtyEight) Abortion Laws Majority of Americans don't want Roe v. Wade overturned (CBS News) Ariel Edwards-Levy Tweet Here's Why Alabama's New Abortion Law Is So Unpopular (HuffPo/YouGov) The Economy...and Socialism? Americans' View of Job Market Hits New High (Gallup) Four in 10 Americans Embrace Some Form of Socialism (Gallup) Australian Election The eight charts that help explain why the Coalition won the 2019 Australian election (The Guardian) 2019 Australia election in 11 charts (BBC) Game Of Thrones...for the last time? What Game of Thrones Watchers Think Ahead of Final Episode (Firehouse Strategies / Optimus) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Poll of the Week Are You Secretly a Millennial? (The New York Times) 2020 primaries Bullock hires senior staffers ahead of likely presidential run (The Hill) What traits are Democrats prioritizing in 2020 candidates? (CBS News / YouGov) Maryland GOP voters widely favor Trump over Larry Hogan for White House (Gonzales Research & Media Services via The Washington Post) Less Than Half in U.S. Would Vote for a Socialist for President (Gallup) Political Intelligence (Morning Consult) Trump Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Americans' support for impeaching Trump rises (Reuters/Ipsos) Speaking with Journalists It's more common for white, older, more-educated Americans to have spoken with local journalists (Pew Research) Game of Thrones (SPOILER ALERT) Here's Who ‘Game of Thrones' Fans Think Is Most Likely to Die in the Final Season (Morning Consult) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Poll of the week New Navigator Survey Trump and Democrats' Enthusiasm President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Democrats lose their enthusiasm advantage (NBC News/Wall Street Journal) Voter Approval Rising for Trump's Handling of the Economy (Wall Street Journal/NBC News) AG Barr and the Mueller Report Little support for Barr's handling of Mueller report (POLITICO/Morning Consult) 2020 Campaigns The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) Latest National General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Monmouth on Capitalism vs. Socialism Socialism not seen as compatible with American values, but opinion is not overwhelmingly negative (Monmouth University) Foreign Policy America Adrift: How the U.S. Foreign Policy Debate Misses What Voters Really Want (GBAO/Center for American Progress) Voters Want an ‘America First' Foreign Policy (Just Not Trump's) (GBAO/Center for American Progress) Democrats are playing down foreign policy. (GBAO/Center for American Progress) Pew on Diversity Americans See Advantages and Challenges in Country's Growing Racial and Ethnic Diversity (Pew Research) Pew on Methodology When Online Survey Respondents Only ‘Select Some That Apply' (Pew Research) Met Gala Dress Which Musician Had Your Favorite Met Gala 2019 Look? (Billboard) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Viva la Border Percentage of Democrats who see border ‘crisis' jumps 17 points since January amid spike in migrant families (Washington Post / ABC News) A poll found Mexicans think relations with the U.S. are better than before. Ignoring Trump may be the secret. (Chicago Council on Global Affairs / Buendía & Laredo) Trump, Mueller, and Impeachment Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll on impeachment CNN/SSRS Poll on impeachment and Trump approval 31% believe Trump is exonerated after Mueller report, 56% oppose impeachment (ABC News/Washington Post) Democrats for President 2020 Democratic Dividing Lines (Echelon Insights omnibus) Democrats largely uncommitted to 2020 candidates (Washington Post / ABC News) Biden solidifies front-runner status with post-announcement bump (CNN / SSRS) The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) Biden Surging Among Democrats In Presidential Race (Quinnipiac) New Hampshire Marginals (Suffolk University) Latest 2020 General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Stress in America Americans' Stress, Worry and Anger Intensified in 2018 (Gallup) Game of Thrones Predictions Our “Game Of Thrones” Poll Accurately Predicted The First Death In The Battle Of Winterfell (Quartz) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump Approval President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Mueller Report The conservative talking point of “exoneration” has failed to break through (Navigator Research via Politico) 2020 Democrat Race Bernie Takes Lead for Democratic Nomination, Mayor Pete On The Move (Emerson Polling) If Daily Kos decided the presidential race, it would be a four-person race (Daily KOS) New From Pew Sharp Rise in the Share of Americans Saying Jews Face Discrimination (Pew Research) Little Public Support for Reductions in Federal Spending (Pew Research) Parenting & Society School Safety and Shootings (AP-NORC) Game of Thrones This Game Of Thrones Poll Says A LOT About The 2020 Election (Anvil Strategies) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Donald Abides Amid the tumult of the Trump era, the constant: His approval rating (Washington Examiner) President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) 2020 Polling? Biden tops Democratic field after rough week (Politico / Morning Consult) Women voters could give women candidates a boost in the Democratic primary (Morning Consult) The Fairness of Taxes Growing Partisan Divide Over Fairness of the Nation's Tax System (Pew Research) Few Americans think they're getting a Trump tax cut (NBC / Wall Street Journal) Twitter Dems vs Voting Dems The Democratic Electorate on Twitter Is Not the Actual Democratic Electorate (The Upshot) Happy Happy Dog Dog Dog owners are much happier than cat owners (General Social Survey reported by The Washington Post)) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump Trump's Approval Rating (RealClear Politics) Views of Trump's personal traits, job approval (Pew Research) Most want to see Mueller report released (Ariel Edwards-Levy) Changing America Jason McGrath of GBAO talks about Lightfoot in Chicago Voters Say Scrap Elite School Test in NY (Quinnipiac) On Equal Pay Day 2019, lack of awareness persists (SurveyMonkey) 2020 Among all voters, half say they are ‘very uncomfortable' with Trump for 2020 (NBC News / Wall Street Journal) 18-29-year-olds Likely Democratic Primary Voters Prefer Sanders (Institute of Politics (IOP) at Harvard Kennedy School) The World Large Majorities in Both Parties Say NATO Is Good for the U.S. (Pew Research) NCAA Basketball Final Four Michigan State has America's support after beating Duke to reach Final Four (and Kristen loves J.J. Redick) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump and the Mueller Report Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Voters want Mueller report released, but will it change views? (FOXNews, pre-report delivery) CNN/SSRS Poll (post-report delivery) U.S. Voters Want To See Mueller Report (Quinnipiac, both pre- and post-summary delivery) Nearly half still think Trump obstructed Russian probe (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Despite report findings, almost half of Americans think Trump colluded with Russia (Reuters/Ipsos) These Ordinary Americans Discussed the Mueller Investigation. Here's Their Surprising Consensus (GBAO Strategies for Protect The Investigation, reported in Time) Trump, Tweets, and White Supremacy (Quinnipiac) 2020 and the Future Iowa 2020: Biden and Sanders neck and neck (Emerson) The Spirit of South Bend (Kristen Soltis Anderson in Forum Axess) Looking to the Future, Public Sees an America in Decline on Many Fronts (Pew) Voters prefer popular vote over Electoral College (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Drunk Shopping The 2019 Drunk Shopping Census (The Hustle) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Poll of the week: Fox Republicans and Bill Maher GOP Fox News Viewers Say Trump Is Best President Ever (Navigator) Trump and White Nationalism Trump Favorable/Unfavorable (RealClear Policy) Fewer Than 20 Percent Of Americans Say Trump Opposes White Nationalism (HuffPost/YouGov) The Mueller Report 60 percent have some confidence in fairness of Mueller probe (The Associated Press/NORC Center for Public Affairs Research) Half of Americans say Trump is victim of a 'witch hunt' as trust in Mueller erodes (USA TODAY/Suffolk University) 2020 Harris climbs in the Democratic race, as enthusiasm starts high for both parties (CNN/SSRS) For 2020, Most Democrats Prefer an Experienced Political Insider (Morning Consult/Politico) Sanders Tied with Biden; O'Rourke Gets Post-Announcement Bump (Emerson) Are Independents Real? Political Independents: Who They Are, What They Think (Pew Research) AOC and Amazon 2/3 of Voters Say Amazon Cancelling Queens HQ Bad for NY (Siena College) College Admissions Large majority says college admissions unfairly favor wealthy, well-connected (Suffolk University/USA Today) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump and a GOP primary? Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Weld, Hogan lag far behind Trump in GOP contest (Monmouth) Iowa Poll: Registered Republicans like Trump but 40 percent want a GOP challenger (Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom) O Canada! Canada Votes 2019 Poll Tracker (CBCNews) Across the Pond Most Britons see no improvement in May's latest plan (Sky News) Half of UK voters want Theresa May to resign (Politico) On a scale from 1 to 10, how much do the numbers used in survey scales really matter? (Pew Research) Dame It All To Hell Republicans see equality for women. Democrats don't. (Politico/Morning Consult) Witty Women Are Less Likely To Get Promoted Than Men (University of Arizona) St. Patrick's Day Party Cities 2019's Best Cities for St. Patrick's Day Celebrations (WalletHub) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices