FactSet Evening Market Recap

US equities were higher in Thursday trading. Oil was a tailwind (though ended the day off its lows) despite mixed takeaways from the latest Middle East updates. Other areas of focus included positive AI updates, largely upbeat sell-side conference takeaways, and next week's Trump-Xi summit.

US equities were down in Wednesday trading, rebounding a bit from their worst levels after somewhat hawkish remarks from Warsh post-FOMC. The Fed raised rates by 25 bp as widely expected, while dot plot showed one additional rate hike for 2026 and nothing more in 2027. Market still pricing in 25 bp of hikes through year-end.

US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, ending not far from worst levels. Stocks extended Monday's selloff with biggest focus on another oil rally amid latest cautious Middle East and global supply updates.

US equities finished lower in Monday trading, though ended well off the morning's weakness. A rotation out of the AI infrastructure space was today's big story. There's also a lot of anticipation ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting.

US equities were lower this week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq snapping two-week winning streaks. Iran conflict and energy-market spillovers remained a major market headwind, with increased kinetic activity and dwindling diplomatic off-ramps pushing WTI and Brent above $100 and US diesel above $6/gallon. August CPI came in slightly hotter than expected and strengthened the case for a September Fed hike.

US equities were lower in Thursday trading, ending a bit off worst levels. The market was on the defensive against continued strength in crude and a notable jump in Treasury yields. WTI is crude now up for the eighth consecutive session (and up ~20% over that stretch) with a focus on Mideast headlines, particularly regarding Houthi influence over Bab el-Mandeb strait.

US equities were lower in Wednesday trading, extending Tuesday's declines. The defensive tone once again chalked up to continued escalation in kinetic activity in the Middle East (and no diplomatic off-ramps in sight) that pushed oil back to four-month highs. Rates were also a headwind, tabbed in part to oil as well as underwhelming Treasury buyback announcement.

US equities were lower in Tuesday trading as major averages ended near session lows. Defensive tilt chalked up to latest hawkish US/Iran updates following weekend ramp in kinetic activity.

US equities were modestly higher this week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both up less than 1% but higher for a second straight week (and fifth week in the past six). The Iran war narrative was fairly choppy, as kinetic activity resumed over the weekend, though was fairly limited in scope. August headline payrolls were up +162K m/m, well ahead of +55K consensus.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading, ending near best levels. The move to the upside was tabbed in large part to rate stabilization following Fed Governor Waller's remarks offering support for a September rate hold if data showed continued disinflation progress. September hike probabilities now seen as just above 50% vs odds near 68% on Tuesday.

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading, a bit off best levels. It was a very quiet, low volume session as the market bounced following a three-day losing streak that was largely chalked up to higher rates, higher energy prices, hawkish central bank reaction function concerns, elevated geopolitical tensions, dampened positive macro surprise momentum and seasonal headwinds.

US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, with stocks ending not far off worst levels amid upward pressure on rates/oil and AI trade weakness. July JOLTS job openings missed at 7.27M, while June revised down to lowest since February.

US equities were lower in Monday trading, though ended the day off worst levels. The latest Middle East escalation/higher oil prices were seemingly the excuse for the decline. Rates remain in focus with a lot of moving pieces in the takeaways surrounding Warsh's Jackson Hole speech last Friday.

Major US equity indices were mostly higher for the week. Software was a big outperformer after several well-received reports seemed to ease some SaaS anxieties. There was a lot of anticipation for Nvidia's earnings report, which ultimately offered blowout Q3 results and Q3 guidance.

US equity indices finished higher in Thursday trading, though breadth was negative, all sectors outside tech were lower, and the equal-weight S&P lagged by more than 100 bp. It was a very quiet session with the tech rally (and AI and software upside specifically) the only real market narrative. The move was driven by Nvidia's well-received report and guidance, while software also rallied following multiple solid earnings reports that also helped push back against the AI disruption narrative.

US equities ended slightly lower in Wednesday trading, though S&P 500 breadth was positive, and the equal-weight a bit higher amid a bit of a rotation toward select cyclical pockets. It was a fairly quiet session as stocks did not do much overall amid a higher yield and oil backdrop. Today's economic data was mixed.

US equities were higher in Tuesday trading. Several dynamics were in focus today. In macro news, August consumer confidence slipped to 89.4 against July's downwardly revised 90.2.

US equities were mostly lower in Monday afternoon trading, though somewhat in waiting mode for key catalysts ahead (including Nvidia earnings and Warsh's Jackson Hole speech). Momentum was the notable drag with memory and semis both down. The AI narrative was busy with a number of recent headlines, including Nvidia price hikes driven by memory surge, Deepseek and OpenAI price cuts, and rising AI-linked CDS.

US equities declined this week, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 ending three straight weeks of gains. Major US equity indexes were modestly lower on the week, pressured by elevated long-end yields, higher oil, and some sporadic weakness in crowded AI and momentum trades. The Fed and macro calendar was relatively quiet this week

US equities were lower in Thursday afternoon trading, on track for modest weekly declines. A lot of the day's focus was on long-end rates giving back much of Wednesday's declines that followed the Treasury's unexpected buyback boost. Analysts have voiced some skepticism about the Treasury's ability to offset ongoing structural pressures.

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading. The Treasury rally big focus of the day with significant bull steepening move following Treasury announcement on ramp in size of buyback operations for longer-term paper. Healthcare was the big sector leader of the day with pharma/biotech in focus.

US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, ending near worst levels. Semi/memory weakness was the big drag on indices today. July housing starts came in at a 1239K SAAR, below the 1350K consensus and June's downwardly revised 1415K (was 1427K).

US equities finished down in Monday trading, ending near session lows. Higher yields and oil were no help for stocks in fairly quiet Monday trading. In macro news, August's Empire Manufacturing Index beat, tied for the highest print since December 2021

US equities were mostly higher this week though upside was limited. The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 were both up for a third-straight week, setting fresh record closes this week. The momentum trade was a standout this week, notably for memory and select AI infrastructure names, while semis were also broadly higher. Laggards included off-priced retail, department stores, athletic apparel, homebuilders, China tech, airlines, and insurance.

US equities were mostly higher in Thursday afternoon trading. Some of the modest upside was tabbed to the rate rally that followed the cooler July core PPI print. However, the market is pricing ~34% chance of a September rate hike, little changed from Wednesday.

US equities were mostly higher in Wednesday trading, though ended a bit off best levels. Upside tabbed to a couple factors, including in line July CPI that helped keep yields down for the day

US equities were mostly lower in Tuesday trading. It was another very quiet session without much of a narrative. This is likely a function of the waiting game for CPI/PPI over next couple of days, given heightened attention/uncertainty surrounding the Fed.

US equities were lower in Monday trading, though the downside was fairly limited. It was a very quiet Monday session with few updates around the biggest market narratives. Nothing on the US economic calendar today in macro news.

Major US indices were higher this week, with the S&P and Nasdaq both seeing their strongest weeks since April and the S&P ending at a fresh all-time high. Momentum outperformed again, though semis and memory were up and down through the week. It was a noisy geopolitical week, with the market looking for progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

US equities were lower in Tuesday trading, though the downside was limited and indices remain on pace for solid weekly gains. Q2 results still very strong overall, though there is some scrutiny surrounding semi and software results. Geopolitics has been a lingering issue, with oil notably higher today amid reports Iran-Oman deal reopening Strait of Hormuz could bar US and Israeli vessels

US equities were mixed in Wednesday trading. It was another heavy earnings day with more than 75% of S&P 500 having now reported. There were mixed takeaways with AI capex scrutiny, elevated expectations, AI adoption/usage/initiatives and resilient travel demand some of the big themes.

US equities finished higher in Tuesday trading, ending just off best levels. Geopolitics a focus today after morning's comments from Treasury Secretary Bessent that a deal on reopening the SoH could come today or tomorrow. June JOLTS job openings printed at 7359K

US equities finished higher in Monday trading, ending near session highs. It was a risk on session to start the month of August with multiple tailwinds in focus. The highest ISM manufacturing print in four years showed support for the solid macro narrative.

US equities were modestly higher this week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both up for a second-straight week. Semis, memory, and AI infrastructure names sold off sharply at the beginning of the week, but a late week rebound was tabbed to factors including oversold conditions and a largely exhausted unwind. The July FOMC meeting ended with no rate change, as expected, though featured three dissents in favor of a 25 bp hike.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading. The momentum trade bounce was the big story. It played into recent talks around the unwind trade being largely exhausted. The biggest focus was on the hedge fund Situational Awareness, which suffered heavy losses from AI trade selloff, and is now said to have exited all of its public positions.

Stocks were lower in very choppy post-FOMC trading, with a lot of Fed-related moving pieces. Chair Warsh's press conference offered very few takeaways, though both stock and bond market volatility may reflect some uncertainty around the Fed's reaction function and lack of forward guidance.

US equities were mostly higher in Tuesday trading, not far from best levels. Breadth solidly positive, equal-weight S&P led the cap-weighted index by ~90 bp. Momentum selloff continues to reflect fears around AI capex/ROI, open-weight/China competition, circularity.

US equities were mostly higher in Monday trading. Today's risk sentiment was bolstered by a pause in kinetic hostilities in the Middle East. In macro news, June headline durable goods missed, though core capital goods orders and shipments both beat.

Major U.S. equity indices declined this week, extending last week's pullback. Markets spent the week balancing strong AI enthusiasm against rising geopolitical and macro headwinds. Mag 7 earnings got off to a rough start despite solid results, highlighting investors' sensitivity to AI spending and margin pressure.

US equities finished down in Thursday trading, ending a bit above session lows. Big tech was broadly lower with GOOGL and TSLA the notable Mag 7 decliners on their reports. Capex a notable overhang on the former though remains a positive for the AI infrastructure narrative.

US equities finished mostly lower in Wednesday trading, though S&P gainers/decliners were fairly evenly split. Overall, momentum extended Tuesday's bounce.

US equities finished higher in Tuesday trading, ending not far from best levels. Momentum bounce was the big story today, though with no particular catalyst at play.

US equities finished lower in Monday trading, ending near worst levels. It was a fairly quiet session, but the narrative was still dominated by familiar themes. With few macro catalysts on the calendar this week, attention is pulled ahead to earnings: 86 S&P companies reporting this week.

US equities were lower this week as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq broke back-to-back weekly gains, while the small cap R2K was down for a third-straight week. Iran tensions ramped up again this week with the latest hostilities between the US and Tehran.

US equities finished lower in Thursday trading, near session lows. Thursday saw another rotation out of momentum and into select cyclicals and more defensive pockets of the market. In macro news, headline June retail sales are up 0.2% month over month, in line with consensus but below May's upwardly revised 1.0%.

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading. Breadth was positive, though the equal-weight (RSP) trailed the cap-weighted index by over 50 bp. Momentum was under pressure again as SOX reversed its Tuesday's gains, with no help from positive ASML results.

US equities were mostly higher in Tuesday trading. The rate rally on a cooler June CPI was a positive for risk sentiment, offering some pushback against the recent hawkish lean in Fed narrative. The momentum bounce was another tailwind following the latest unwind pressure that continued to be largely chalked up to technical dynamics.

US equities were lower in Monday trading as stocks ended a bit off their worst levels. Another big momentum selloff was the focus of the day, following a weak Asia session overnight. Similar to the momentum unwind that preceded last week's stabilization, there was no notable fundamental catalyst for the move

Major US indices were mixed this week, with the S&P and Nasdaq both rising for the fourth time in the past five weeks. The week saw some stabilization in the momentum trade. June ISM Services was in line with consensus.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq now on pace for weekly gains. Momentum was again the big driver in a continuation of Wednesday's rebound. The broadening-trade was back in evidence after yesterday's narrowly focused gains, with the RSP not far below another fresh record close.

US equities were mostly lower in Wednesday trading, though near the session highs. Geopolitics drove some of the broad risk-off today; oil and Treasury yields were up while S&P decliners outnumbered gainers by three to one. June FOMC minutes were largely uneventful.