FactSet Evening Market Recap

It was a busy day with a lot of moving pieces and volatility. Tech was under pressure on underwhelming Azure growth from Microsoft and the AI competition narrative was overhang on software. There was a reversal in precious metals following another meaningful run-up earlier in the session with talks of an unwind of very crowded longs.

U.S. equities were mixed Wednesday, with the S&P 500 pulling back after briefly topping 7,000 as markets remained in a wait-and-see mode ahead of major technology earnings. Rates edged higher, the dollar stabilized after recent weakness, and precious metals continued to rally. The FOMC held at 3.50-3.75%, as expected, with two dovish dissents.

US equities were mostly higher in Tuesday trading, ended a bit off best levels. Growth/momentum/tech outperformance the big story today while small caps lagged again following a big run through last last week.

US equities were mostly higher in Monday trading. Stocks were higher though there was no shortage of headline volatility to start the week. On the economic calendar, preliminary November durable-goods orders rose 5.3% month over month on the headline, ahead of Street expectations for 3-4% and more than reversing October's 2.2% decline.

US equities were narrowly mixed this week with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slightly lower for a second-straight weekly decline. Geopolitics and Greenland were the biggest focus this week. Late in the week, the focus shifted back to Iran after Trump revived threats to use military force against Iranian leadership amid a crackdown on protests.

US equities finished higher in Thursday trading, though ended off midday highs. Stocks extended Wednesday's TACO-trade gains after Trump softened stance on Greenland and as more details around NATO deal emerge. Weekly initial jobless claims printed at 200K

U.S. equities finished higher, led by small caps, high-beta, and most-shorted stocks, as market breadth was strong and Treasuries firmed with a flatter curve, while gold hit a fresh record. Stocks pushed toward session highs after President Trump signaled a softer stance on Greenland and tariffs, easing a key geopolitical overhang and reducing the risk of European retaliation. Investors also weighed stretched positioning, a flatter expected rate-cut path, and an active earnings slate.

US equities were lower in Tuesday trading as stocks ended just off session lows. Stocks sharply lower with latest trade geopolitical updates in focus. Biggest macro highlights this week will likely revolve around Trump's Greenland meetings and affordability speech in Davos on Wednesday.

US equities were mostly lower this week, though breadth was positive with equal-weight S&P outperforming the cap-weighted index by over 100 basis points. The market ended the week with no clear directional catalyst, though downside risks are still top-of-mind. In macro news, December's core CPI came in cooler than expected.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading though stocks ended off best levels. AI sentiment underpinned by strong results and guidance (including big capex guide) from TSM (though still dispersion in the AI trade).

U.S. equities finished mostly lower, though off the worst levels of the session, as weakness in big tech and bank earnings weighed on the tape while small caps, equal-weight indices, and defensive sectors outperformed. Economic data was largely in line, Fed commentary leaned cautious, and geopolitical and policy uncertainty remained in focus, including tariffs, China technology restrictions, and developments related to Iran. Corporate headlines drove single-stock moves, with notable pressure in financials and select growth names, offset by strength in commodities-linked stocks following upgrades and higher price forecasts.

US equities were lower in Tuesday trading, though ended off worst levels. Today saw another rotation from tech toward cyclicals, and a rotation within tech trade itself away from software/AI adopters and into semis/AI enablers. December core CPI was cooler, though the data was noisy.

US equities were higher in Monday trading as stocks finished a bit off best levels. Stocks were higher and Treasuries and the dollar ended off worst levels as the market shrugged off this morning's cautious tone on the latest Trump threat to Fed independence, reversing a modest “sell America” trade at the open. No economic data on today's calendar, in macro news, but the Treasury auctioned $68B of 3Y notes and $39B in 10's

US equities were stronger in the first full week of 2026, with the Dow, S&P 500, and the Russell 2000 ending at fresh record highs. There was a lot of evolution regarding Venezuela in the week following the US capture of Nicolas Maduro. December nonfarm payrolls rose 40K, below the Street. December ISM manufacturing printed below consensus and remained in contraction for the tenth straight month.

US equities finished mostly higher in Thursday trading. Breadth was notably positive with equal-weight S&P outperforming the benchmark by more than 110 bp. Several dynamics in focus as market continues to wait for NFP, SCOTUS decision on IEEPA tariffs, start of Q4 earnings and Fed chair pick by President Trump.

U.S. equities finished mostly lower in Wednesday trading, closing near the worst levels of the session. Geopolitics and a heavy data slate dominated attention, though economic releases did little to shift Federal Reserve expectations. In corporate news, political commentary from President Trump drove sharp moves in defense and housing-related stocks and mergers and acquisitions remained a key source of support for select names.

U.S. equities finished higher in Tuesday trading, ending near session highs with the S&P 500 posting a fresh record close; its first since 24-Dec. A few dynamics were in focus today, with notable movers in both directions following Nvidia's CES keynote. Memory/storage and select semiconductor stocks were the big AI trade beneficiaries, while semiconductors more broadly were also supported by Microchip's guidance raise and a pro-cyclical rotation that defined Monday's session.

US equities closed higher in Monday trading, though ended a bit off best levels. Geopolitics dominated the headlines amid developments in Venezuela, but the impact on broader market sentiment was fairly muted. In macro news, December ISM manufacturing printed at 47.9, below the 48.7 consensus and November's 48.2

Stocks ended lower this week with most discussion centered on the failed Santa Claus rally/lack of seasonal tailwind, while broader macro catalysts were limited. December FOMC minutes offered no surprises, and reinforced expectations for cautious, gradual easing in 2026 though division within the Fed remains a key focus point. Housing data modestly surprised to the upside, jobless claims declined w/w, and markets continued to look ahead to early-2026 catalysts.

It was another very quiet, low-volume session ahead of tomorrow's Christmas Eve early close. Big tech was mostly higher with Nvidia faring best. Today's economic data offered mixed macro takeaways with stronger hard data (GDP, ADP private payrolls) but weaker soft data (Consumer Confidence, Richmond Fed Index).

US equities finished higher in Monday trading, ending not far from best levels. It was a fairly quiet session from a headline perspective, but the momentum from late last week carried over into a broad risk-on day. A bit of Fedspeak today in macro news.

Major US equity indices were mixed this week. Major AI infrastructure names saw additional scrutiny after reports of stalled negotiations for a $10B Michigan datacenter with Blue Owl Capital, Oracle's largest datacenter partner (though Oracle says the project remains on track). However, other AI headlines from the week were more upbeat, including a very well-received earnings report from Micron.

US equities higher in Thursday trading, just off their best levels. Disinflation traction and better tech/AI sentiment were the big pieces to today's risk-on, broad-based rally. Additionally, the day saw the coolest core CPI print in nearly five years adding support to dovish Fed narrative.

US equities were lower in Wednesday trading, finishing near worst levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing down 47bps, 116bps, and 181bps respectively. AI weakness was the big story today following Financial Times report that Blue Owl backed out of an Oracle and OpenAI data center project in Michigan with no reprieve from Oracle comments project remains on track. Fedespeak from Waller remarks at Yale had a dovish cast. Today's $13B auction of 20s was well received. Micron earnings after the close and President Trump addressing nation tonight.

Stocks were mostly lower with Energy and healthcare the big specific decliners. Rotational dynamics were mostly on pause with cyclicals/small caps mostly lower and AI-linked/semis/Big Tech trading mixed. Treasuries were a bit firmer after today's high profile economic data.

US equities were lower in Monday trading as stocks ended a bit off worst levels. Stocks were modestly lower in anticipation of key catalysts later this week. In macro news, the December Empire State Manufacturing Index posted a surprise negative print.

US equities were mixed this week. The Nasdaq was the worst performing major average, while the S&P ended the week slightly lower despite capping off a fresh record close on Thursday. The big market story was the cyclical rotation that gained further traction at the expense of the momentum and AI trades. The rotation was tabbed to factors including the less hawkish FOMC takeaways, a looming 2026 fiscal impulse with OBBA, taxes, and deprecation expense tailwinds, as well as some company-specific updates around the AI trade.

US equities finished mostly higher in Thursday trading, ending near best levels. Tech was a notable underperformer with disappointing results from Oracle exacerbating the negative sentiment surrounding AI infrastructure. Additionally, Google lagged after the (expected) rollout of the new GPT 5.2 model, given recent enthusiasm over its Gemini 3 release.

US equities finished higher in Wednesday trading, ending just a bit off best levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing up 105bps, 67bps, and 33bps respectively. FOMC in focus today with a 25 bp rate cut, three dissents, forward guidance tweak and plans to purchase $40B/month in Treasury bills. Elsewhere, Q3 ECI rose 80bps, a bit below Q2's 90bps and just shy of consensus. GE Vernova providing some positive AI-related commentary ahead of Oracle and Broadcom results. Sanguine conference commentary on US consumer, buyback tailwinds among other highlights of the day.

US equities were mixed in Tuesday trading, off best levels. There were not a lot of big directional drivers with the market largely in waiting mode for FOMC on Wednesday and some key AI events, including AVGO and ORCL earnings and a new OpenAI model. Analyst day and sell-side conference presentations were driving some of the more notable movers

US equities finished lower in Monday trading, ending not far from worst levels. Rate backup was one of the bigger stories for today as a hawkish cut has become the consensus for Wednesday's FOMC. AI was another key press theme over the weekend, which included focus on a positive broader market sentiment given reasonable valuations, and AI optimism.

US equities were higher this week, adding to last week's gains which saw the S&P 500 post its seventh straight positive month in November. November ADP notably undershot expectations to the lowest since Mar-23. There were some positive takeaways from high-profile tech earnings this week along with another wave of AI-related partnerships and announcements.

There was very little readthrough in Thursday trading as stocks struggled for overall direction with much more seemingly going on beneath the surface. The shift from micro to macro has been the story this week with a busy sell-side conference calendar and more tech and retail earnings. In addition, when it comes to the key inputs for the market narrative, there are lots of moving pieces as of late surrounding the Fed, AI, the labor market and consumers.

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading though stocks ended a bit off best levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing up 86bbps, 30bps, and 17bps respectively. Themes of the day highlighted in mixed headlines regarding Microsoft customer AI adoption versus Marvell data center growth. Softening labor market, support for more Fed cuts, also highlighted in November ADP private payrolls falling 32K versus expectations to increase by~10K, while Industrial Production met, and ISM Services and S&P Services PMI came in ahead. December FOMC decision on deck for next week, with probably of additional 25bp cut just below 90%.

US equities higher in Tuesday afternoon trading, though off best levels. Busy on the AI front. Biggest takeaway seems to revolve around how disruption/upheaval headlines have become increasingly embedded in the broader AI narrative and are driving more volatility/dispersion in the price action.

US equities finished lower in Monday trading, ending not far from worst levels. It was a fairly quiet session in the wake of the US Thanksgiving holiday. The market shook off a bit of the morning's risk-off bias tabbed to upward pressure on JGB yields amid ramping BoJ tightening expectations, as well as ongoing Bitcoin weakness following a nearly 20% decline last month.

US equities built on the prior Friday's bounce and rallied sharply over the final week of November, ending higher for a fifth straight session. December rate cut odds pushed above 80% (after briefly falling below 30% in the prior week) as Waller and Daley followed Williams from late last week with dovish leaning Fedspeak. Claims data continued to offer a more optimistic assessment of the labor market amid continued concerns about incremental softening.

US equities closed higher in fairly quiet Wednesday trading, ending a bit off best levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq finishing up 67bps, 69bps, and 82bps respectively. The Big story today was momentum factor outperformance following recent selloff. Elsewhere, Initial claims printed at 216K for week-ended 22-Nov, better than the 230K consensus, while continuing claims came in at 1.960M, below the 1.964M consensus. Treasury's auction of $44B in 7-year notes tailed by 0.6 bp, following Tuesday's tailing 5Y sale.

US equities ended the day higher, trading near beat levels. Big tech was once again in focus, with Nvidia a notable decliner amid competition concerns from Alphabet. Today also saw a lower rate backdrop as it was reported that Hasset was the front runner to replace Powell as the Fed chair

US equities finished higher in Monday trading, ending not far from best levels. US equities finished higher in Monday trading, ending not far from best levels. On the Fed front, December easing odds continue to tick higher with San Francisco's Daly the latest to publicly get behind a cut.

US equities were lower this week, with the S&P 500 down for a second week in the past three, and Nasdaq down for a third-straight week. Stocks finished the week lower with the momentum selloff the big focus amidst ongoing AI scrutiny/skepticism. Nvidia posted a beat and raise, but that was not enough to offset broader AI fears.

US equities lower in Thursday trading, near their worst levels. There was nothing specific behind the move, though stretched valuations, technicals, and the market simply falling back into the recent momentum unwind are all easy excuses. Thursday's jobs data also seemed to play into growth fears, including a negative revision for the August print, cooler wage growth than expected, the highest unemployment rate in four years, and continuing jobless claims setting a fresh cycle high

US equities finished higher in Wednesday afternoon trading, closing off worst levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing up 10bps, 38bps, and 59bps respectively. Positive close followed a four-day slide for the S&P, with Nvidia higher ahead of its post-close print. October's FOMC minutes noted "many" participants suggested it would be appropriate to keep rates unchanged for rest of the year. Treasury auction of $16B in 20-year bonds tailed by 0.2 bp, with the bid-to-cover and foreign demand both weaker than recent trends. TJX and Williams Sonoma beat and raised, but Target missed and lowered FY EPS.

US equities were mostly lower in Tuesday trading, though ended off worst levels in fairly choppy trading. Select big tech and AI still under scrutiny while healthcare remains a preferred destination.

US equities finished lower in Monday trading, ending a bit off worst levels. There were a few moving pieces as the market waits for a number of higher-profile events this week, including Nvidia NVDA earnings, retail earnings, FOMC minutes, a barrage of Fedspeak, and September's NFP and flash PMIs. In macro news, the Empire State manufacturing survey for November posted a surprise increase to 18.7, its highest since last November.

Major US equity indices logged mixed performance this week, with a recent momentum unwind seeing some stabilization on Friday. AI names, retail-investor favorites, most-shorted names, crypto-linked companies, and quantum computing came under some pressure. Among the big stories in the ongoing AI-scrutiny thread were Softbank's sale of its Nvidia stake, a continuing selloff in Oracle with focus on its debt-fueled AI buildout plans, and Coreweave weakness after lowering guidance on delays from a third-party developer.

US equities were lower in Thursday trading as stocks ended just a bit off worst levels. Momentum unwind the big story today. No one specific factor behind the move, though fits with recent pickup in AI sentiment volatility. Higher rate backdrop also in focus with recent bout of hawkish Fedspeak and dampened December easing odds

US equities finished mixed in Wednesday afternoon trading, and off best levels, with the Dow Jones and S&P500 closing up 68bps and 6bps respectively, while the Nasdaq closed down 26bps, in another session characterized by better breadth. AI sentiment helped by positive AMD analyst day takeaways and Foxconn earnings, though a number of big tech names were soft. Fedspeak for the day included Atlanta's Bostic noting he favors keeping funds rate steady until clearer evidence inflation moving lower, and Miran again noted his preference for a 50 bp December cut. Treasury's $42B 10-year note auction tailed by 0.6 bp with the lowest bid-to-cover since August of 2024.

US equities finished mostly higher in Tuesday trading, ending a bit off best levels. Rotation/better breadth the story today with select defensive and cyclical pockets of the market outperforming while some of the AI trade has come under renewed scrutiny after a big Monday bounce.

US equities finished higher in Monday trading, ending near session highs. The bigger story for the market today seems to be the rebound in AI sentiment after last week's drawdown. Nothing on the US economic calendar today, but a busy day of Fedspeak.

Major US equity indices were down this week, with the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq declining after three straight weekly gains. AI scrutiny remained a key focus, with attention on all the major narrative elements including cash burn, leverage, circularity, and ROI. There was attention on OpenAI agreeing to a $38B deal with Amazon, pushing the company's recent commitments near $1.5T.