FactSet Evening Market Recap

US equities were higher this week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up ~3%+ for the third-straight week. Movement toward an end to the US-Iran war was a big piece of this week's gains. Data leaned positive this week, including March core PPI up just 0.1%, below 0.5% consensus.

US equities were a bit higher in Thursday trading, with the S&P and Nasdaq adding to yesterday's record-high close. It was a quiet session with limited headline noise. The market continues to show a general lack of angst about still-unresolved Mideast situation, but expectations remain that the ceasefire will hold, though finality and resumption of normal Hormuz flow will take time.

US equities closed mostly higher Wednesday, with the S&P 500 setting a fresh all-time high above 7,000 on continued US-Israel de-escalation, big tech strength, and another leg higher in software. Big bank earnings were mixed but featured upbeat macro commentary, while SNAP rallied on a 16% workforce cut and Bloomberg reported Anthropic is in talks at an ~$800B valuation.

US equities finished higher in Tuesday trading, ending near best levels. Path of least resistance remains higher as US-Iran ceasefire continues to hold and more talks expected later this week. Earnings takeaways mixed but all the notable reporters this morning beat expectations

US equities were higher in Monday trading as stocks ended at best levels. The market took a positive spin to some recent Iran updates. March existing-home sales are down 3.6% m/m to a 3980K SAAR.

Major US equity indices were higher for a second consecutive week after a ceasefire between the US and Iran provided further de-escalation momentum. March FOMC minutes leaned hawkish, as expected. March core CPI was slightly cooler than expected, while headline was in line, with energy up 10.9% and gasoline up 21.2%.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading, ending somewhat off best levels. The market was helped by some easing of ceasefire durability concerns related to Lebanon. In macro news, weekly initial jobless claims printed at 219K, above the 210K consensus.

US equities surged Wed., with major indexes +2.5-3%, as markets embraced a two-week US-Iran ceasefire that lifted geopolitical hedges and sent WTI to its worst session since Apr. 2020. The de-escalation trade drove outperformance in banks, airlines, and industrials, while energy and commodity-linked names lagged, and META stood out in big tech on the debut of its first model from Meta Superintelligence Labs.

US equities down in Tuesday afternoon trading, though off well worst levels. Big tech was mostly lower. Market preoccupied with the question of what will happen at 8pm Eastern tonight, Trump's deadline for Iran to make a deal or suffer widespread attacks.

US equities were higher in Monday trading. The market was building on last week's bounce amid abundant headline noise. Talk of ceasefire from this weekend has largely evolved as expected, with Iranian officials rejecting idea of a temporary ceasefire and arguing for a permanent solution while Trump stressed tomorrow night's final deadline and prospects for the US to do more damage to remaining energy infrastructure.

Major US equity indices were higher for the holiday-shortened week, helped by some hopes for a winding down of the Iran war. The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq were higher after five consecutive weeks down. The small-cap Russell 2000 notched its second consecutive weekly gain.

U.S. equities closed higher Wednesday driven by Iran conflict off-ramp optimism and stabilizing rates. Economic data beat across the board, with March ISM manufacturing at 52.7, Feb. retail sales +0.6% m/m, and March ADP payrolls coming in at 62K vs. 40K consensus. On the corporate side, NKE and RH disappointed on forward guidance, while OpenAI closed a record $122B funding round and SpaceX filed for one of the biggest IPOs ever.

US equities sharply higher Tuesday. S&P 500 posted biggest one-day gain since last May. Momentum, growth, high-beta, most-shorted names, retail-investor favorites and EM among the best performing factors/themes.

US equities were lower in Monday trading as stocks reversed early gains and ended a bit off session lows. There were a lot of moving pieces today. In macro news, Fed Chair Powell said Fed tools have no meaningful effect on supply shocks, and noted risks to both sides of the mandate.

US equities were mostly lower this week, with the Nasdaq the notable underperformer, but the small-cap Russell 2000 posting a modest gain for the week. Big tech was mostly lower this week, with semis, software, and memory also weaker. Meanwhile, it was a very busy week of Iran updates.

US equities were lower in Thursday trading as stocks reversed earlier gains to end near session lows. FCI is tightening as the market seems to have flipped back to conflict de-escalation skepticism amid another day of largely one-sided messaging. Initial jobless claims for the week to 21-Mar were in line with consensus at 210K.

U.S. stocks climbed Wednesday as hopes for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire boosted risk appetite, sending oil lower and pulling Treasury yields down 4 to 7 basis points. Meta and Alphabet lagged the broader market following a social media negligence ruling, while gold and silver surged on the risk-on tone.

US equities were mostly lower in Tuesday trading as stocks ended off best levels. Lots of moving pieces today, particularly around the prospects for the conflict in the Middle East. March global flash services PMI came in at 51.1 vs 51.5 consensus and February's final 51.7.

US equities were higher in Monday trading, though ended off best levels. Stocks rallied on the latest optimism around the Iran war. In macro news, Chicago Fed's Goolsbee told CNBC he's concerned about whether energy prices may cause inflation expectations to become unanchored.

US equities were lower for the week, adding to last week's modest declines. Major indices are now down for the fourth straight week. The Iran conflict and oil implications dominated headlines with no clear near-term capitulation or off-ramp in sight.

US equities were mostly lower in Thursday afternoon trading, a bit off session highs. Geopolitics was the big focus today though headline volatility remains high and there was not much in the way of meaningful incremental development. Fundamental questions remain around the duration of the conflict in Iran, with no obvious off-ramps

U.S. stocks sold off Wednesday as investors turned more risk-off amid renewed Middle East escalation, including attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure, retaliation threats against Gulf energy sites, and reports of a strike on a Qatari LNG facility. Markets also digested a hotter-than-expected February producer price report, which added to inflation concerns and pressured Treasuries. The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged as expected, but hawkish takeaways from Chair Jerome Powell's press conference further weighed on sentiment.

US equities were higher in Tuesday trading, though stocks ended just a bit off session lows. It was a quieter session compared to recent days as stocks built on Monday's rally despite the instability in the Middle East. The February pending home sales index was up 1.8% m/m, a surprise gain vs consensus for a 1.4% contraction.

US equities were higher in Monday trading, though off best levels. Stock rebounded in Monday trading with the biggest focus on potential relief for the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint. In macro news, March's Empire State Manufacturing Index went down seven points month over month to -0.2, missing estimates.

US equities were lower again this week. The war in Iran and its broader impacts remained the central story for the markets. Focus has remained sharply on the shipping standstill around the Strait of Hormuz, shut-in output by Persian Gulf producers, and crude prices near $100/barrel.

US equities were down in Thursday trading, just off worse levels. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are now pacing for weekly declines. The prevailing market headwinds included hawkish updates around the conflict in Iran and a big backup in yields.

US equities were lower after very choppy Wednesday trading. Stocks were unable to hang onto earlier gains amid more headline volatility around the Iran war and oil prices. There was still not much meaningful progress toward an offramp despite Trump saying today that the US was running out of targets and US, Israeli military officials expecting at least two more weeks of operations.

US equities ended mostly lower Tuesday, well off best levels in choppy trading. Stocks unable to hold onto earlier gains, coming off following afternoon reports Iran has started to deploy mines in Strait of Hormuz.

US equities were higher in Monday trading as stocks reversed earlier declines on the latest dovish Iran developments and ended near best levels. Stocks reversed earlier declines after Trump told CBS News that war with Iran could be over soon. The New York Fed's February Survey of Consumer Expectations found median year-ahead inflation expectations dipping slightly to 3.0% while holding at that level for the three- and five-year time horizons.

US equities were lower this week, with the S&P 500 down for a second-straight week, posting its worst performance since late November. The Iran conflict was the big story of the week, with the US and Israel attacking Iran over the weekend and killing Iran's Supreme Leader. The macro resilience theme was upended by Friday's February payrolls report, which showed an ~92K decline, missing consensus for a +55K gain.

US equities finished lower in Thursday trading, though ended off worst levels. Oil closed at its highest since July 2024 but came off best levels on headlines about US relief discussions and China negotiating with Iran for safe tanker passage. Initial jobless claims registered 213K for the latest week, near the 215K consensus and prior 213K (which was revised up from 212K).

U.S. stocks finished higher, led by a rebound in crowded momentum trades and strength across Big Tech, semiconductors, software, and other growth-linked groups, while energy and several consumer-facing areas lagged. Sentiment held up despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty as stronger-than-expected ISM services and a better ADP jobs print reinforced the “resilience” narrative heading into a busy end-of-week data slate, including Friday's jobs report and retail sales.

US equities finished down in Tuesday trading, though major indices ended well off worst levels. Stocks well off worst levels with market tepidly re-embracing the ignore geopolitics mantra into afternoon trading. No economic data on today's calendar.

US equities were mostly higher in Monday trading, ending a bit off best levels. The market shook off a lot of overnight and morning risk-off sentiment in the wake of the weekend's US/Israeli attacks on Iran, and Tehran's reprisals. In macro news, February ISM manufacturing printed at 52.4, better than the 51.8 consensus, though a bit below prior month's 52.6

Major US equity indices were lower for the week though breadth was positive, with the Equal weight S&P ending in the green and outperforming the official index by 90 bp. Fear surrounding AI disruption was a key overhang this week. January core PPI was hotter than expected, the highest in nearly four years on a m/m basis.

Markets were mixed Thursday, with large caps pressured by weakness in mega-cap tech and semis even as small caps and equal-weight performance held up better on a rotation toward software and select cyclicals. Cross-asset moves were modest overall, with slightly lower Treasury yields after a solid 7-year auction and oil fading from earlier strength on headlines around U.S.–Iran talks. The day's focus stayed on earnings and the near-term macro calendar, with attention turning to Friday's PPI and next week's ISM data.

U.S. stocks finished higher, led by technology as the Nasdaq outpaced broader indexes with strength in semiconductors, memory, and software ahead of NVIDIA earnings. Federal Reserve commentary continued to support a “wait and see” policy stance, trade headlines pointed to a potential 15% tariff proclamation, and earnings remained active.

US equities were higher in Tuesday trading as stocks ended just off best levels. Software bounce (though off best levels) the big story with some semblance of reprieve surrounding Anthropic enterprise agent event. February consumer confidence printed at 91.2

US equities finished lower in Monday trading, ending near worst levels. Today was a risk off over rotation trade, despite some pockets of strength in defensives. Another busy week of earnings is on tap with outsized focus on Nvidia's Wednesday report.

Major US equity indices were higher for the holiday-shortened week. Big tech was mostly higher. Treasuries were narrowly mixed with a bit of curve flattening.

US equities finished mostly lower in Thursday trading, though ended off worst levels. The S&P broke a three-session string of gains (though remains higher WTD). Big tech was mostly weaker with AAPL the notable decliner; software, semis were both somewhat lower overall.

U.S. equities closed modestly higher Wednesday but finished off best levels, with gains led by select mega-cap tech (AMZN, NVDA) while defensives lagged. Oil and precious metals moved sharply higher alongside a stronger dollar and slightly higher Treasury yields amid geopolitical headlines, firmer economic data, and a modestly hawkish tilt in the FOMC minutes. Earnings were mixed, with notable moves in ADI and CDNS on the upside and PANW on the downside, as focus shifts to WMT Thursday and a potential SCOTUS tariff ruling Friday.

US equities finished mostly higher in Tuesday trading, a bit off best levels. There was not much new from a narrative standpoint, but it was another day with a lot more going on beneath the surface. Corporate updates largely underwhelmed, though there was a pickup in M&A and activist developments.

US equities were lower this week with the S&P 500 down for a second-straight week, Nasdaq Composite for a fifth-straight week, and the small-cap Russell 2000 down for the third week in the past four. Software saw a fairly tepid bounce from its recent plunge and elevated volatility amid ongoing AI displacement fears. This week also saw spillover of the AI displacement narrative into other industries, including asset managers, wealth management, trucking, logistics, and commercial real estate.

It was a risk off trading day, with AI increasingly a broader market headwind. The Vix spent some time back above 20 today amid continued underperformance from the Magnificent 7 as investors scrutinize capex and shift from asset-light to asset-heavy names. The unrelenting disruption trade continued, and while software remains ground zero, the disruption has spread to CRE brokers, trucking/logistics, and a number of other areas, often without any incremental headlines or justifications.

US equities finished slightly lower after early strength faded, with large technology stocks under pressure while memory and semiconductor stocks outperformed and software weakened again on artificial intelligence disruption concerns. The January jobs report surprised to the upside. Earnings remained a major driver, with more than two-thirds of the Standard and Poor's five hundred having reported.

US equities were mixed in Tuesday trading though stocks ended just off worst levels. Stocks were unable to hold onto earlier gains, as the market tilted defensive and rates rallied amid White House efforts to talk down Wednesday's NFP, soft December retail sales, and the latest geopolitical concerns. Financial advisory was the latest group hit by AI competition concerns, though software continued to claw back some of its recent losses.

US equities were higher in Monday trading, though stocks ended off best levels. Stocks rebounded on the back of tech outperformance. Nothing on the US economic calendar today, but a bit of Fedspeak

Major US equity indices were mixed for the week. AI disruption weighed heavily on software this week. December JOLTS lowest since Sep-20. Q4 earnings growth now running at nearly +13% y/y for S&P 500% (with ~60% reported).

U.S. equities sold off Thursday and finished near the lows, led by weakness in big tech as software again underperformed while semiconductors held up better. Soft labor-market data drove a rally in Treasuries and cooled the recent broadening-out rotation, while the dollar strengthened and risk assets like crypto and commodities were pressured.

US equities finished mixed in Wednesday afternoon trading. Many cyclical pockets rallied as the broadening-out trade continued to gain momentum.