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Well, this week certainly was not a dull one.It saw growing fears of credit contagion from "cockroach" corporations as the fallout from TriColor and First Brands now spreads to regional banks.The President whipsawed markets with a "yes, we are/no, we aren't" barrage of tweets on a trade war with China.Bitcoin and the crypto complex took their lumps, while the precious metals skyrocketed to all-time highs.Is the heightened uncertainty reason to sell? Or a buying opportunity?For everything that mattered to market this week, watch this Market Recap.BUY THE REPLAY OF THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#goldprice #creditspreads #debtdefault _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
In today's episode, Richard dives into three key topics shaping the South Bay market this fall. First, he breaks down interest rates and explains why local jumbo borrowers are landing roughly a full percentage point below national averages and how South Bay credit unions are offering some of the most competitive mortgage deals we've seen all year. Next, Richard shares a new segment on credit card rewards tailored for real estate. He highlights the Mesa card (earn points on your mortgage), the Bilt card (points for rent), and the Southwest Business Performance card (a travel hack for Realtors and business owners that can earn a two-year Companion Pass). Finally, Richard wraps up with a Q3 market recap, comparing how Manhattan Beach, Hermosa Beach, Redondo, and the Palos Verdes Peninsula performed this quarter, as well as, what trends may shape the rest of 2025. For more South Bay real estate insights, subscribe to Richard's weekly blog at https://haynesre.com/blog/
US equities close lower in Thursday trading, ending off worst levels, but major indices are still on track for solid weekly gains. There was some focus on the weakness in regional banks, and AI momentum was mixed on the day.
Market Recap & Insights on AI Investing - October 15 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian provides a market recap for October 15, noting slight changes in major indices and highlighting strong earnings in the financial sector. A positive trend in the yield curve is discussed alongside economic updates, including a stronger-than-expected Empire State Manufacturing Index and a stable Beige Book report from The Fed. Additionally, the episode explores the political influence on private sector companies, particularly defense contractors, and differentiates between the current AI investment situation and the 2008 financial crisis. Listeners are encouraged to read the latest Dividend Cafe for deeper insights into investment strategies. 00:00 Introduction and Tax Filing Reminder 00:23 Market Recap: Daily Performance 01:22 Economic Indicators and Reports 02:24 Government and Private Sector Dynamics 03:47 Artificial Intelligence: Bubble or Not? 05:05 Investment Wisdom and Strategies 06:18 Current Market Sentiments and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
US equities were mostly higher in Wednesday trading as stocks posted modest gains in an up-and-down session, with the Dow Jones closing down 4bps, while the S&P500, and Nasdaq finished up 40bps and 97bps respectively. A few moving pieces today, including the continued ratcheting up of US-China trade angst, buy-the-dip optimism, earnings tailwinds, pickup in M&A, and focus on dovish Powell commentary yesterday. October Empire State manufacturing survey beat, posting third positive read in past four months.
US equities mostly higher in Tuesday afternoon trading, near best levels after shaking off some early-session weakness. Equities largely in positive territory after a more risk-off stance at the open amid still-volatile trade headlines and following Monday's big bounce. September NFIB small business optimism index dropped to 98.8 from prior 100.8
In this episode, Sherri and Chelsi recap their recent trip to Houston Texas for the 2025 International Quilt Market. They talk about the Moda Fabrics 50 year anniversary and share a new fabric collaboration with Moda and Shannon Fabrics. They also highlight a great new product they discovered at market and talk about some of their favorite new fabric lines they saw in person designed by their fellow Moda designers.https://www.buzzsprout.com/1118069/supportShow Notes Blog Post: https://www.aquiltinglife.com/?p=32339Cozy Earth 20% off with our link (or code AQUILTINGLIFE): https://cozyearth.com/pages/quiltinglifeStay in the know for all things A Quilting Life--sign up for our weekly newsletter here: https://aquiltinglife.kit.com/42c3a81ccdPoinsettia & Pear Block of the Month (Quilt on the Wall): https://tidd.ly/48zeLDK Whimsy Stars (Quilt on the table): https://tidd.ly/48ykvxAShannon Fabrics (Cuddle with Moda coming soon): https://www.shannonfabrics.com/Paper Pieces: https://paperpieces.com/Tack it Easy by Katie Dawson Stitched: https://www.cottagegardenthreads.com.au/NOTE: Some of the links provided here are affiliate links.Where to Find Us:Facebook: A Quilting Life with Sherri & Chelsi: https://www.facebook.com/groups/459389991531728/A Quilting Life Blog: https://www.aquiltinglife.comChelsi Stratton Blog: https://chelsistratton.wordpress.com/A Quilting Life Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/aquiltinglifeA Quilting Life Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/aquiltinglife/Chelsi Stratton Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chelsistratton/A Quilting Life Pattern Shop: https://www.etsy.com/shop/SherriQuiltsChelsi Stratton Pattern Shop: https://www.etsy.com/shop/StrattonHandmadeVisit the A Quilting Life YouTube channel for more great video content: https://www.youtube.com/aquiltinglifeEnjoy what you heard? Be sure to rate and review us on Apple Podcasts and your review could be read on the showSupport the show
US equities were higher in Monday trading, though stocks ended a bit off best levels. Upside today has been tabbed to de-escalation of US and China trade tensions after Trump's Friday threat of a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. AI is another piece of today's upside after the latest OpenAI deal, this time with Broadcom.
Markets rolled over hard on Friday. What finally caused this rally to break? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
Eric and Matt break down a strong third quarter that saw the S&P 500 climb 10%, leaving Liberation Day's tariff chaos behind. They explore the growing divide between wealthy asset owners feeling great and everyone else struggling with inflation, while examining why bonds are pricing in Fed rate cuts even as stocks surge. The conversation turns to the private markets boom and whether opening up private equity to retail 401(k) investors is a good idea or a disaster waiting to happen. Eric shares why AI companies are burning massive amounts of capital with unclear returns, yet may be impossible to bet against if they build a cult-like following. They note that credit markets still look healthy despite late-cycle warning signs, making this moment particularly unusual. A straightforward look at where we are in this cycle and what actually matters as we head into year-end. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:30) Economic Structures and Consumer Demand (00:04:34) Tariffs and Their Impact on the Economy (00:05:10) Travel and Leisure Sector Post-COVID (00:07:44) Bond Market and Federal Reserve Actions (00:16:34) Private Equity and Market Trends (00:22:24) Retirement Funds and 401(k) Investments (00:25:04) Concerns Over New Investment Vehicles (00:26:51) Debates on Private and Public Assets (00:30:14) Religious Investor Bases and Market Dynamics (00:31:54) AI and Its Impact on Markets (00:41:46) Social Media and Market Sentiment (00:44:04) Concluding Thoughts on Markets and Society Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Stocks were lower after a Friday selloff pushed the major averages into the red for the week, with the major averages all off for the second week in the past three. The Friday pullback was tabbed to rising trade and tariff tensions between the US and China. AI was the other area of focus this week, as the AI secular growth narrative was helped by the announcement that OpenAI will buy $300B dollars of computing power from AMD in the next five years, while having the option to purchase up to a 10% stake in the chipmaker over time.
Stocks pulled back after another record-setting session on Wednesday. No meaningful change to the constellation of market's moving pieces, though perhaps some added attention to risks of some bullish themes. Still no progress on the US government shutdown.
Market Recap and Insights: Midstream Energy and Fed Policy In this October 8th episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides a market update, noting that the Dow was flat, while the S&P and Nasdaq showed gains. Key takeaways include the release of the September FOMC meeting minutes, indicating a general consensus on rate cuts despite some divergence in opinion. The episode also delves into the resurgence of M&A activity, IPOs, and positive earning sentiments as significant market drivers. There's a discussion on the midstream energy sector, highlighting its strong performance and the impact of recent tax reforms. Lastly, Sitel addresses a viewer question regarding the seeming contradiction between declining job numbers and a well-performing economy. 00:00 Welcome and Market Overview 00:45 FOMC Meeting Insights 02:08 Market Drivers and Trends 04:06 Midstream Energy Sector Analysis 05:12 Natural Gas and Data Centers 08:58 Economic Indicators and Job Market 10:48 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
US equities finished mostly higher in Wednesday trading, with the Dow Jones closing flat, while the S&P500 and Nasdaq closed up 58bps and 112bps respectively, the latter two notching fresh records, and today's upside largely tabbed to a rebound in the AI optimism trade. Nothing meaningful out of the release of September's FOMC minutes. Treasury's auction of $39B in 10-year notes tailed by 0.3 bp, with a notable dropoff in bid-to-cover and foreign demand vs last month. Nvidia will reportedly invest $2B of equity in xAI as part of a ~$20B fund raise.
It's the start of a new quarter, which means it's time for a market recap and our special “Ask Monument Anything” segment. David Armstrong, CFA, gets back together with Erin Hay, CFA, CMT, and Nate Tonsager, CIPM, to walk through the latest market moves, where momentum is showing up, and what investors should be paying attention to. This quarter, they dig into alternatives, gold's surprising surge, and whether today's bull market has more room to run. They also share candid thoughts on cash, dividends, and why being intentional with your portfolio matters more than chasing the latest trend. It's a thoughtful look at what's shaping the markets today and how those themes might matter for investors moving forward. Tune in!! Please see important podcast disclosure information at https://monumentwealthmanagement.com/disclosures Episode Timeline/Key Highlights: 0:00 – Disclosure 0:53 – Market recap 7:01 – Alternatives explained 10:30 – Private equity pitfalls 14:39 – Gold's big rally 22:20 – Bull market signals 25:46 – Cash and dividends 37:02 – Final thoughts 41:30 – Disclosure Connect with Monument Wealth Management: Visit our website: https://monumentwealthmanagement.com/ Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/monumentwealth/# Connect on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/monument-wealth-management/ Connect on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MonumentWealthManagement Connect on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/MonumentWealth#Fit Subscribe to our Private Wealth Newsletter: https://monumentwealthmanagement.com/subscribe/ David Armstrong on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidbarmstrong/ Nate Tonsager on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nate-tonsager/ Erin Hay on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/erinhay/ About “Off the Wall”: OFF THE WALL is a podcast for business professionals and high-net-worth investors who want to build wealth with purpose. A little bit Wall Street, a little bit off-the-wall; it's your go-to for straightforward, unfiltered wealth advice on topics that founders, business owners, and executives care about. Learn more about our host Dave Armstrong on our website at https://monumentwealthmanagement.com
US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, though off worst levels. Select tech underperformance the big story. Latest NY Fed consumer survey showed slight rise in year-ahead inflation expectations, though near-term optimism improved and some signals of better labor-market outlook.
US equities finished mostly higher in quiet Monday trading. It was a very uneventful session with the path of least resistance still tilted to the upside amid the catalyst vacuum. It's quiet on the economic calendar this week, but busy in terms of Fedspeak.
With the government shut down this week, you can only imagine how the market performed. Or can you? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
US equities were higher this week, more than recovering last week's losses. The government shutdown kept markets in a catalyst vacuum this week, but optimism held on broader expectations of only a temporary labor slowdown coupled with Fed rate easing prospects. September ADP payrolls fell 32K, the weakest since March of 2023, while August was revised down to a slight loss, reinforcing softening labor momentum and bolstering expectations for two more Fed cuts this year.
US equities finished higher in Thursday trading, improving off mid-morning lows with the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq all logging new record closes. Ongoing government shutdown was the big headline focus, though market has thus far largely viewed as more noise than news. Senate to vote again tomorrow on GOP's seven-week stopgap, and if that fails no more votes likely until at least Monday.
US equities were higher in Wednesday trading, nearing best levels. The ADP report was the latest high-profile data point highlighting the softening labor market following Tuesday's JOLTS report. Elsewhere, the Senate again failed to pass the latest CR attempt to end the government shutdown.
US equities finished mostly higher in Tuesday trading, ending near session highs. Looming government shutdown has received a lot of attention. August JOLTS job openings beat, while July print revised higher.
US equities finished higher in Monday trading, coming off worst levels in the last half hour of trading. A big focus today was on the looming government shutdown, with Trump meeting Republican and Democratic leaders at the White House. On the economic front, August pending-home sales were up 4.0% month over month, well ahead of consensus.
Major US equity indices finished lower this week, but came off worst levels in broadly higher Friday trading. Investors slightly dialed back expectations for two more 25 bp Fed rate cuts this year, with some economic data generally arguing against the economic slowdown thesis. After a relatively quiet period, trade-headline volatility burst back in at week's end, with Trump announcing via social media a set of sectoral tariffs on imports of patented drugs, heavy trucks, and select furniture products.
Market Recap and Economic Insights: Tariffs, Corporate Taxes, and Housing Trends In this episode of Dividend Cafe, dated Wednesday, September 24, host Brian Szytel provides a market recap from Newport Beach, California. The DOW dropped 171 points, S&P and Nasdaq declined by approximately 0.3%, and there was a minor increase in 10-year bond yields. Szytel shifts focus from daily market movements to broader economic themes, discussing the ongoing impacts of tariffs on the economy, corporate earnings, and tax revenues. He notes a $96 billion increase in tariff-related revenues but a $108 billion decrease in corporate tax receipts due to recent legislation. Additionally, there's an anticipated $150 billion in tax refunds, which could boost the economy. Szytel also addresses the performance disparity between U.S. and Canadian midstream energy stocks and the influence of corporate structures on investment returns. Finally, he reports a significant rise in new home sales and median home prices for August, while annual growth remains below inflation levels. 00:00 Introduction and Market Recap 00:58 The Impact of Tariffs on the Economy 02:51 Corporate Tax Revenue and Consumer Impact 04:29 Midstream Energy Stocks Analysis 06:04 Housing Market Update 06:42 Conclusion and Sign Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com