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Markets are a chaotic mess right now.Volatility has returned as numerous headwinds & tailwinds compete to pull stocks in opposite directions.What should investors do in such an environment?Michael and I discuss his current outlook, plus the SpaceX IPO, Bitcoin, quantum computing, bond yields, inflation, oil prices and Michael's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this week's Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#spacexipo #volatility #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Stocks were up, oil was down, yields were down, and the VIX was down after Trump said tonight's bombing of Iran was cancelled and that Tehran had approved a draft agreement that would extend ceasefire. Big tech was mostly better though MSFT was a drag.
US equities were lower in Wednesday trading. Stocks saw another day of rotation out of tech, where semis and memory names again headed lower. Overbought conditions and crowded positioning are still among the factors in the bearish narrative.
US equities mostly lower in Tuesday afternoon trading, though off worst levels. Breadth positive with another day of rotation. Market tangled today with another round of tech weakness, with semis memory giving back much of their Monday rebound. ADP weekly private employment estimate came in at an average of 29K jobs per week.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4fE0HN7 Brian Szytel fills in for David on Dividend Cafe, recapping a mixed market day: the Dow fell about 80 points while the S&P 500 rose ~0.3% and Nasdaq ~0.8%, reflecting a rebound in tech after Friday's sharp chip-led selloff following a nine-week, 47% tech rally. A much-stronger-than-expected May jobs report (172,000) pushed bond yields higher (10-year ~4.57%) and shifted Fed futures toward pricing possible rate hikes, with inflation still elevated and employment resilient, though labor participation remains low at 61.8% and small business hiring plans are weak. He reviews Middle East escalation and oil around $91, notes pullbacks in silver, gold, and Bitcoin, and argues their lack of cash-flow tether increases volatility. He highlights data-center capex and a bullish natural gas/pipeline thesis, and previews a coming episode on IPO mania and extreme revenue multiples. 00:00 Welcome and Setup 00:15 Market Recap and Tech Rebound 01:11 Rates Inflation and IPO Rules 02:51 Metals and Bitcoin Volatility 04:31 Middle East Tensions and Oil 05:21 Jobs Report and Fed Outlook 07:13 Energy Demand and Natural Gas Thesis 08:05 Wrap Up Knicks and Next Episode Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
US equities were mostly higher in Monday trading. Semis and memory names were very strong as the groups rebounded off of Friday's big declines. The day's bounce played into a resilient equity market narrative, while strategists continue to highlight earnings growth, AI capex tailwinds, and macro surprise momentum as broader market tailwinds.
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comStocks finally had a down week, breaking a 9-in-row streak of up weeks.And in particular, the markets broke down hard on Friday. The S&P was down over -2.5% and the NASDAQ down nearly -5%.Regular watchers know that portfolio manager Lance Roberts has been warning for weeks that a pullback was likely.Now that it appears to be here, how low could things go?He and I discuss that, as well as the SpaceX and other new IPOs, the latest jobs numbers, private credit & oil reserve risks, and of course, his firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.#marketcorrection #ipo #oilreserves _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Markets suffered some serious damage this week due to a pin prick trying to pop the AI Bubble! How so? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
Major US equity indices were down this week. The big story this week was the dip in semis/memory and select AI names, accompanied by a rotation into defensives, financials, and healthcare. There was no real movement on the US-Iran conflict despite last week's hopes that a memorandum of understanding was close that could lead to a 60-day ceasefire and further negotiation on sticking points.
US equities were higher in Thursday trading as stocks ended just off best levels. It was a fairly quiet session without much new around the major market themes. In macro news, Challenger Layoffs are up 16% month over month and 3% year over year in May with AI again cited as biggest reason for job cuts.
US equities finished lower in Wednesday trading, as stocks ended near worst levels. There were a few headwinds in focus in combination with a higher bar from a nine-day winning streak. ADP Private Payrolls of 122K were ahead of estimates, the highest since January 2025.
The conversation covers an introduction to estate planning, the importance of estate planning, challenges with traditional estate planning, a webinar invitation, personal reflection and business launch, market analysis and warning, market volatility and performance, market recap and performance, market recap and commodity prices, geopolitical analysis, webinar reminder and topics, estate planning myths, market recap and analysis, webinar reminder and topics, estate planning myths, market analysis and futures, webinar reminder and topics, and ongoing maintenance of estate planning.TakeawaysEstate planning is essential for preserving assets and ensuring family security.Market volatility and geopolitical factors impact investment decisions and financial planning.Chapters00:00 Introduction and Estate Planning Overview06:30 Personal Reflection and Business Launch17:57 Market Recap and Performance23:36 Estate Planning Myths: Need for Living Trust33:53 Market Recap and Analysis42:23 Estate Planning Myths: Complexity and Wealth47:32 Estate Planning Myths: Ongoing Maintenance
US equities were mostly higher in Tuesday trading, though off best levels. Indexes not doing much but bigger stories under the surface. April JOLTS job openings well ahead of estimates, highest since May-24.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3RD5fcA This Monday Dividend Cafe reviews a mostly routine market update: after May's strong gains (S&P 500 up over 5% in May and 10.7% YTD), stocks opened lower but finished higher with tech leading and utilities selling off; the 10-year yield ended flat at 4.46%. The episode highlights record household equity allocation, elevated valuations across large and small caps (Russell 2000 up 70% from its 2025 low), and a Goldman index showing concentration/valuation/rally conditions similar to 2021 and 2000. It notes inflation-adjusted IPO fundraising plans from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic exceeding 300 combined internet IPOs from 1999–2000. Iran's renewed Strait of Hormuz blockade threats lifted oil ~6%, Florida filed a lawsuit against OpenAI, manufacturing ISM rose to 54, rent growth slowed, and futures imply 50% odds of a rate hike with no cuts expected. Friday's episode will feature the host's graduation commencement address. 00:00 Intro 01:23 Market Recap and Valuations 04:51 IPO Mania and Tech Froth 05:42 Geopolitics and Policy Updates 06:50 Labor and Manufacturing Data 08:30 Housing Inflation and Fed Odds 09:44 Energy Oil and Midstream 10:38 Week Ahead and Friday Twist 11:32 Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
US equities were mixed in Monday trading. Oil and yields were up amid the latest cautious Middle East updates. In macro news, May's ISM Manufacturing index beat, its highest since May 2022.
Markets pressed higher this week! Guess what we did? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both ended the week at fresh record highs with the S&P 500 up for a ninth-straight week and Nasdaq up for an eighth week in the past nine. Markets continue to price in optimism toward an Iran resolution. Memory was a standout on the latest AI enthusiasm and pricing power.
US equities were higher in Thursday trading. Stocks were up and yields were down with the market considering the latest updates around the US/Iran, including an earlier report that stated that a deal on 60-day ceasefire has been reached, but has yet to be signed off on by Trump. Momentum trades returned to market leadership position after slight weakness Wednesday as AI optimism narrative remains intact, while software got a boost from positive takeaways from the latest earnings releases.
US equities were mixed in Wednesday trading. It was a strong day for consumer names across retail/apparel, restaurants, travel/tourism, and homebuilders. Overall, it was a fairly quiet session with oil and yields down, and stocks oscillating in a narrow range.
US equities finished mostly higher in Tuesday trading. S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell set fresh record closes. Stocks were firmer Tuesday with upside tabbed to continuation of last week's Momentum rally. May consumer confidence printed at 93.1
Well, the stock market rally continues, with short-term technicals remaining in highly overbought territory.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts still thinks the near-term risks to the downside far outweigh the upside potential at this point -- warning it may not take much to trigger a sizable pullback at this point.We discuss the odds of that, as well as the headline concerns about falling global oil inventories and rising bond yields.How worried should investors be about those?Watch this week's Market Recap to find out.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #oilreserves #bondyields _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
There's a frenzy shaping up in the market and it has our attention. Where's the frenzy and what might it mean going forward? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
Major US equity indices were higher this week following last week's mixed performance. The S&P logged its eighth straight weekly gain. Market breadth was positive with the equal weight S&P outperforming the cap-weighted index by roughly one hundred basis points. AI enthusiasm and consumer resilience remained the key bullish themes this week, supported by continued positive AI-related headlines and broadly constructive commentary around consumer spending trends and labor market strength.
Welcome to the VRA Investing Podcast with Speaker A, bringing you the latest market insights on this Good Friday afternoon. As we head into a long Memorial Day weekend, Speaker A recaps a remarkable week on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 achieving its eighth consecutive weekly gain and the NASDAQ not far behind. In this episode, you'll hear about the strong fundamentals powering the market, including surging earnings growth, record GDP projections, and the momentum behind small caps and semiconductors.
US equities were higher in Thursday trading. Stocks saw an afternoon rally following a Saudi media report that a mediated cease fire agreement could be announced later today. Beyond geopolitics, the momentum trade continued rebound after the recent selloff. It was helped in part by optimism about the AI demand narrative.
US equities were higher in Wednesday trading. An improved outlook has help cool hawkish Fed expectations. The latest round of earnings reports offered some positive consumer takeaways, helping to support a resilient consumer/macro backdrop.
US equities were lower in Tuesday trading, with stocks ending not far from worst levels. Renewed bond yield backup was the big story following a brief reprieve. The US-Iran ceasefire is holding as talks continue, but any near-term diplomatic solution still seems complicated.
Major US equity indexes were lower in Monday trading, though stocks ended well off worst levels. The US-Iran war narrative continues to offer a lot of headline volatility, with little progress toward a resolution. In macro news, the May NAHB housing market index beat, rebounding after falling to its lowest level since last September in April.
Things are looking amiss under the surface of the market. How so? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
Major equity indices were mostly lower this week. The consumer discretionary space remained under some pressure with ongoing concerns about ongoing high energy prices and the potential to crowd out consumer spending. In macro news, a key focus this week was above-consensus core readings for both April CPI and PPI.
In this Daily Editorial, we are joined by Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and Editor of the Marc to Market website. Marc provides a comprehensive breakdown of a volatile week characterized by a sea of red on Friday across equities and metals, contrasted by a significant rally in the US dollar. Key discussion points include: The G2 Summit and Geopolitical Friction: A look at the conflicting reports following the summit regarding Iran and how these tensions are impacting energy markets and market sentiment. Global Bond Market Sell-Off: An analysis of the sharp rise in the US 10-year yield and why international debt instruments, particularly UK Gilts and German Bunds, are seeing similar pressure. US Economic Reacceleration: Why recent data points to a strengthening US economy, causing a dramatic shift in Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for the remainder of the year. The Surge of the US Dollar: Marc explains the technical drivers behind the dollar's recovery and why "US Exceptionalism" is creating a divergence between the greenback and other G10 currencies. Commodity Volatility and Hard Assets: A discussion on the recent record highs in copper and the subsequent reversal, alongside the outlook for gold and silver in an inflationary environment. Click here to visit Marc's site - Marc To Market - https://www.marctomarket.com/ ------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.
US equities were higher in Thursday trading, with the S&P and Nasdaq extending Wednesday's fresh ATHs. AI-related enthusiasm was the biggest driver to today's upside. It was fairly quiet elsewhere, with a few takeaways around Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi.
US equities closed mixed Wednesday as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq set fresh record highs on continued strength in semis and big tech, though negative breadth and a hotter-than-expected April PPI print kept caution in focus. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang joined Trump on his China trip in a sentiment boost for AI names, while Alibaba, Nebius, and Tower Semiconductor stood out on earnings ahead of Cisco's print after the close.
U.S. equities closed mostly lower Tuesday, as semis, memory, and software led declines amid a broader risk-off tone driven by higher yields and rising oil. WTI crude jumped 4.2% back above $100/barrel on lingering US-Iran tensions, Treasuries weakened with the 30Y yield back above 5%, and a hotter-than-expected core April CPI print reinforced market pricing leaning toward modestly more Fed tightening through year-end.
US equities were higher in Monday trading, though ended off best levels. The Market still seems skeptical about a re-escalation of Middle East hostilities (particularly ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in China this week) despite the lack of traction surrounding diplomatic efforts. April existing home sales were a bit below consensus though remain in a tight YTD range.
We used the F word on the podcast this week! How so? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
US equities were higher this week as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both capped off a sixth-straight weekly gain and ended at fresh record highs. The Iran war remains the key focal point. AI was the other big story of the week. Data this week was headlined by Friday's April nonfarm payrolls report, which came in ahead at 115K.
US equities were lower in Thursday trading. The big story of the day was the pullback in semiconductors following their huge run. The semi retreat has been a positive for software, which has also found some support from earnings.
U.S. stocks rallied, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs, led by strength in semiconductors and big tech amid continued enthusiasm around AI-driven demand. The move came alongside falling Treasury yields and optimism around potential U.S.–Iran de-escalation, even as mixed macro signals and Fed uncertainty remain in the background.
US equities were higher in quiet Tuesday trading as stocks ended a bit off best levels. The Path of least resistance is higher amid confirmation that the US-Iran ceasefire remains intact despite Monday's flare-up in tensions. Strong Q1 earnings and the related AI compute and capex demand narrative are still the big bullish talking point for stocks.
US equities were lower in Monday trading, though ended off worst levels. Stocks started the week on the defensive amid the latest hawkish updates around the Iran conflict. In macro news, March factory orders rose 1.5% month over month, beating consensus for a 0.5% rise.
Markets pushed higher this week ignoring some big behind the scenes narratives. What narratives? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
Major US equity indices were higher this week with the S&P500 and Nasdaq both recording their fifth straight weekly gains, ending at fresh closing highs. This week reinforced a resilient macro and earnings backdrop, as Q1 S&P 500 results were notably strong, with growth accelerating to ~27% and beat rates well above historical averages. The Fed FOMC meeting ended with rates unchanged but was marked by rare internal division, with four dissents reflecting disagreement over easing bias.
US equities ended higher in Thursday trading. Earnings were seemingly the big tailwind today as Q1 metrics continue to look very strong. The Mag 7 names were in focus, and while takeaways were mixed, the results were supportive of the most important theme for the market, namely insatiable compute demand and massive capital expenditures.
Markets traded mostly lower with crude oil surging 7% as concerns mounted over a prolonged U.S.-Iran conflict, with Trump rejecting Tehran's latest offer and reports of imminent U.S. strikes pressuring the complacency narrative around physical oil disruption. The April FOMC meeting was a non-event with rates held steady, though signs of internal Fed division emerged as three members objected to the easing bias and Powell signaled a high bar for looking past the oil shock, all while investors awaited the first wave of Mag 7 earnings.
US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, ending off worst levels. Big tech was mostly lower. Market shifted to the defensive today amid questions about AI spend sustainability following report OpenAI missed internal targets for weekly users and revenue. April Conference Board consumer confidence beat.
US equities finished mostly higher in Monday trading, ending near best levels. It was a relatively quiet session with limited upside ahead of a major week of corporate earnings. Nothing on today's economic calendar other than the Dallas Fed manufacturing report for April.
Major US equity indices were mostly higher this week. US-Iran headlines were noisy, but overall conformed to the market's base case of a continued ceasefire and likely bumpy progress toward some type of agreement. It was a fairly light week of economic updates, with March retail sales the big report.
The first quarter of 2026 is officially in the books! In this episode, Austin and Josh kick off a new quarterly series breaking down what actually happened in the markets, what drove the volatility, and what it all means for your financial plan going forward. They also share what clients are asking right now, why short-term uncertainty shouldn't derail long-term goals, and even highlight a few pieces of good news from around the world!Watch the video version, read show notes, and transcript at thewealthmindsetshow.com/s2e35Send in LISTENTER QUESTIONS via text➡️Download Free Resource: 8 Timeless Principles to Investing!
US equities were lower in Thursday trading. Software was down after an eight-day streak higher, though semis were higher for the 17th consecutive session. Weakness comes amid more headline noise around the war, but the market continues to mostly ignore headline chop.