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US equities were mostly lower this week after the S&P and Nasdaq both hit fresh record closes last week. It was a relatively quiet week with the market looking to next week's June CPI report and the kick-off of Q2 earnings. Big Tech and AI developments occupied significant headline space with NVDA becoming the first company with a $4T market cap.
In this episode of Volatility Views, Mark Longo, Russell Rhoads (Kelley School of Business - Indiana University), and Andrew Giovinazzi (The Option Pit) return after the July 4th holiday to delve into recent market volatility. The discussion covers the impact of tariff announcements on Brazil and Canada, leading to increased volume in VIX futures and options. Key highlights include significant trades like the Aug 25/35 vertical spread, the activity in the July 17 puts, and the unusual million-contract VIX options day amid dropping volatility. They also discuss the term structure of VIX futures, significant contango, and volatility ETPs such as SVIX, VXX, and UVXY. The episode wraps up with predictions for the VIX index for the coming week. Â 01:05Â Welcome to Volatility Views 01:54Â Post-July 4th Market Recap 05:46 Volatility Review 06:58Â Market Reactions and Trade War Impact 09:35Â VIX Analysis and Predictions 18:06Â Historical VIX Patterns and Future Projections 27:58Â Russell's Weekly Rundown 32:57Â Analyzing Recent Trades 34:28Â VIX Options Activity Breakdown 36:34Â High Volume Day Analysis 46:14Â Mentorship and Market Reactions 50:55Â Volatility ETPs Overview 54:42Â Crystal Ball Predictions 01:01:17Â Closing Remarks and Resources Â
Market Recap and Earnings Outlook: Fundamentals Return to Focus In this episode of Dividend Cafe, recorded on Thursday, July 10, Brian Szytel discusses recent market movements and economic updates. After two days of market declines, the DOW Jones, S&P, and Nasdaq saw positive increases. The 10-year bond yield remained stable, while jobless claims data showed better-than-expected initial claims, although continuing claims edged higher. Brian highlights the shift back to earnings fundamentals, upcoming CPI data, and the onset of earnings season as key market drivers. He also discusses the bearish sentiment on the US dollar and precious metals. Additionally, Brian answers a question about Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) for those turning 73 and provides a sneak peek of the long-form Dividend Cafe episode focused on a major legislative bill and its impacts. Tune in for a detailed market analysis and strategic insights. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:35 Economic Calendar and Jobless Claims 01:09 Earnings Season and Market Sentiment 02:08 Precious Metals and US Dollar Sentiment 02:47 Interest Rates and Earnings Expectations 03:46 Fundamentals and Market Sentiment 03:57 RMD Guidelines and Tax Implications 05:00 Upcoming Long Form Dividend Cafe 05:25 Conclusion and Viewer Engagement Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
US equities finished higher in Thursday trading, ending a bit off best levels. S&P 500 and Nasdaq set fresh record closing highs. It was another quiet session with the market seemingly in waiting mode for June CPI next Tuesday and the start of Q2 earnings season (big banks begin reporting on 15-Jul). The market still seems to be more focused on potential trade policy off-ramps, particularly following this week's reciprocal tariff deadline extension.
US equities were higher in Wednesday trading as stocks ended just off their best levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing up 49bps, 61bps, and 94bps respectively. No notable directional drivers in play. MBA mortgage purchase applications jumped to their highest level since early 2023. Nvidia became the first company with a $4T market cap. Retailers took in $7.9B in the first 24 hours of Amazon Prime Day, up 10% y/y, according to Adobe Analytics.
US equities finished mixed in choppy but largely uneventful Tuesday trading. Still all about trade with some reprieve surrounding extension of reciprocal tariff deadline to 1-Aug and White House signaling on more deal announcements in the works. NFIB small business optimism index declined slightly in June
► If you enjoyed the episode, please leave us a good review!► More from PIF: https://linktr.ee/practicalislamicfinanceOnce in a Lifetime. On Sale.In this episode, we will cover:Market Recap & Red Day AnalysisTariff Jitters & Scott Besant's 48-Hour PredictionWhy Uber's Rally Makes No SenseAutonomous Ride-Hailing Landscape BreakdownTesla's Robotaxi Cost Advantage & Massive Fleet Safety Stats: Tesla vs Waymo in Austin Why Tesla Has a Real Lead Bullish Vision for Tesla's Future Earnings, Price Targets & Expansion Catalysts Medical Access & HIMSS/LFMD Thesis PIF Cash Strategy Explained DCA vs Lump Sum Into Tesla Thoughts on Tesla's Sales vs Robotaxi Margin Potential Crypto Tailwinds & Q3 Outlook Bitdeer, Liquidity Metrics & Global FlowsCONTACT USsalam@practicalislamicfinace.comABOUT OUR PODCASTOur podcast is about helping people ethically build wealth. We cover a broad range of topics, including stock and crypto investing, product reviews, and general financial well-being.DISCLAIMERAnything you hear in this video is an opinion. It is not personalized financial advice. Make sure you do your due diligence before making any investment decisions.
The economy is showing increasing signs of weakening, and eventually stock prices are going to have to reflect that predicts portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz -- who guest stars in this week's Market Recap while Lance Roberts is traveling in the UK.Earnings estimates for the rest of this year and next are very optimistic, perhaps unrealistically so.Should the economy continue to weaken, the chances of attaining those earnings results will drop so low that Wall Street will have to start demanding that stocks trade at a discount to current prices.Michael and I discuss the logic why, as well dig into the newest -- and controversial -- non-farms payroll data, inflation expectations & bond yields, the investment potential of the artificial intelligence & energy sectors, and the future of Tesla.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#recession #marketcorrection #tesla 0:00 - Welcome and Fourth of July Greetings2:20 - Market Technicals and Potential Melt-Up7:21 - Seasonal Trends and Upcoming Catalysts11:46 - Wall of Worry and Market Resilience16:17 - Drivers of the Market Breakout21:14 - Technical Indicators and Consolidation Needs22:56 - June Non-Farm Payrolls Report Analysis27:22 - Discrepancies in BLS and ADP Data32:26 - Economic Slowdown Signals36:42 - AI and Economic Growth Potential44:29 - Energy and AI Investment Opportunities56:00 - Upcoming AI and Energy Investing Event59:40 - Tesla and AI's Physical Applications1:18:24 - Rant: Societal Risks of AI and UBI1:29:32 - Preparing for AI's Impact1:34:16 - Closing and Financial Advice_____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Markets moved higher once again this week and are QUICKLY looking stretched once again. How so? TUNE IN TO FIND OUT!
US equities were higher in Thursday trading as stocks ended near best levels. The biggest focus today was on the Big, Beautiful Bill, which is set to pass a vote on final passage today and will move to Trump's desk in time for his long-preferred 4-Jul deadline. The Market is digesting mixed takeaways from June payrolls, including a headline beat and revisions higher but weaker private payrolls, and AHE cooler.
US equities finished mostly higher in Wednesday trading, ending near best levels, with the Dow Jones closing down 2bps, while the S&P500 and Nasdaq finished up 47bps and 94bps respectively, setting new fresh record closes and the major indices on track for healthy gains in the holiday-shortened week. Negative ADP print received some attention, Big Beautiful Bill moved to the House after passing in the Senate, and Trump announced a trade deal with Vietnam involving a 20% overall tariff. Overseas, gilts sold off sharply after UK prime minister Starmer declined to say that Chancellor Reeves would stay in her role until the end of parliament.
US equities were mostly higher in Tuesday trading, though ended a bit off best levels. Tuesday trading was fairly choppy after market closed out a very strong Q2 on Monday. Senate passed GOP's One Big Beautiful Bill, as largely expected.
US equities were higher in Monday trading, ending near best levels, with the S&P and Nasdaq setting new record closes. It was a fairly quiet session, though there were a few trade headlines of note. It was a fairly light economic day today, with June's Dallas Fed manufacturing just a bit weaker than forecast.
Portfolio manager Lance Roberts warns that speculation is running rampant among retail investors now. Yes, the market is now at an all-time high and the bulls are in charge.But as stocks are back to being overbought in the short term and earnings forecasts are likely going to have to be ratcheted down sometime soon, the risk of a blow-off top followed by a reversal is not low.We discuss the odds of that, plus potential market black swans and white swans, the growing student loan default crisis, weakening housing, cooling jobs markets, as well as Lance's firm's recent trades in this week's Market Recap. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#speculation #bullmarket #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
WOW! Markets made a huge move in spite of the U.S. engaging in the conflict between Israel and Iran. Why and what may lie ahead? TUNE IN FOR THE LATEST!
In this episode, Mark Longo and his guests, Russell Rhodes (Kelley School of Business - Indiana University), Andrew Giovinazzi (The Option Pit), and Matt Amberson (ORATS) delve into a week characterized by remarkable market movements and surprising fluidity in volatility levels. The panel discusses specific options trades, the broader economic implications of recent events, and their own strategic trading insights. Punctuated by sharp analyses on macroeconomic indicators and a look-ahead towards earnings season, the hosts engage in rich discussions encapsulating the volatile yet intriguing landscape of the current trading environment. Â 01:05Â Welcome to Volatility Views 01:52Â Market Recap and Volatility Insights 03:24Â Special Guests and Discussions 06:18Â Volatility Review 21:42Â Earnings Volatility Report 25:24Â Volatility Surface Analysis 32:33Â VIX Options Activity Overview 33:02Â VIX Top 10 Contracts 35:22Â Russell's Weekly Rundown 35:44Â Monday's Block Trades 37:37Â Tuesday's VIX Trades 39:18Â Wednesday and Thursday VIX Trades 46:14Â VIX ETPs and Market Analysis 51:38Â Crystal Ball Predictions 55:39Â Show Wrap-Up and Announcements Â
US equities were higher this week as the S&P 500 broke a streak of two-straight weekly declines. Easing geopolitical tensions and trade updates were a key tailwind this week. However, the reconciliation bill remains a key market overhang.
In this episode, Mark Longo and his guests, Russell Rhodes (Kelley School of Business - Indiana University), Andrew Giovinazzi (The Option Pit), and Matt Amberson (ORATS) delve into a week characterized by remarkable market movements and surprising fluidity in volatility levels. The panel discusses specific options trades, the broader economic implications of recent events, and their own strategic trading insights. Punctuated by sharp analyses on macroeconomic indicators and a look-ahead towards earnings season, the hosts engage in rich discussions encapsulating the volatile yet intriguing landscape of the current trading environment. Â 01:05Â Welcome to Volatility Views 01:52Â Market Recap and Volatility Insights 03:24Â Special Guests and Discussions 06:18Â Volatility Review 21:42Â Earnings Volatility Report 25:24Â Volatility Surface Analysis 32:33Â VIX Options Activity Overview 33:02Â VIX Top 10 Contracts 35:22Â Russell's Weekly Rundown 35:44Â Monday's Block Trades 37:37Â Tuesday's VIX Trades 39:18Â Wednesday and Thursday VIX Trades 46:14Â VIX ETPs and Market Analysis 51:38Â Crystal Ball Predictions 55:39Â Show Wrap-Up and Announcements Â
US equities were higher in Thursday trading, as stocks ended near best levels. Much of the focus in the market continues to revolve around the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates, and the potential for Trump to name a Powell successor as early as this summer. Initial jobless claims down 10K w/w to 236K, better than expected and lowest since mid-May. Lots of Fedspeak today, with Chicago's Goolsbee, Governor Barr, Richmond's Barkin, San Francisco's Daly, and Boston's Collins all speaking.
â–º If you enjoyed the episode, please leave us a good review!â–º More from PIF: https://linktr.ee/practicalislamicfinanceBull Thesis
US equities finished mixed today, with the Dow Jones down 25bps, the S&P500 flat, and the Nasdaq rising 31bps. May new home sales posted a big miss, lowest since October, and weakest May print since 2019. Fed Chair Powell delivered his second day of monetary policy testimony commenting future trade deals may allow the Fed to consider rate cuts. Fed also announced its proposed SLR changes. Today's $70B 5-year note auction stopped through 0.5 bp.
Market Recap and Investment Wisdom from the Dividend Cafe In this episode of the Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen fills in for Brian Szytel to provide a comprehensive market update. The major market indices, including the Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ, all saw significant gains, while the bond market experienced slight increases. The technology sector led the gains with a 1.6% rise, followed closely by financials, whereas the energy sector lagged behind. A notable drop in oil prices was observed, attributed to geopolitical factors involving a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. David concludes with a critical piece of investment advice: timing the market based on current events is futile and can lead to significant losses. 00:00 Introduction and Host Change 00:35 Market Recap: Major Indices Surge 00:55 Bond Market Movements 01:20 Sector Performance Highlights 01:42 Oil Price Plunge: Geopolitical Factors 02:16 Ceasefire Impact on Markets 02:42 Investment Wisdom: Avoid Market Timing 03:58 Conclusion and Sign-Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
US equities finished higher in Tuesday trading, ending just off best levels and extending Monday's gains. A ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran was the biggest positive, though President Trump offered a rebuke over attacks launched by both sides after the announcement. Meanwhile, in prepared remarks and congressional testimony, Fed Chair Powell largely maintained his wait and see approach to rate cuts.
US equities closed higher in Monday trading, ending near best levels. Middle East tensions continue to dominate the headlines. In macro news, the June US flash PMI composite came in ahead of consensus, with manufacturing better, but services cooler.
Stocks are still in a technical breakdown, approaching a test of the 20 Day daily moving average (DMA)Portfolio manager Lance Roberts thinks the S&P could easily drop another 100 points or more until it hits support.Once it does, he thinks that will be a good time to add capital back into quality stocks that have sold off a bit.So in the near term, keep your powder dry -- but be ready to act once that moment arrives.Lance and I discuss this coming oppportunity, as well as AI, energy, Tesla, why the Fed is 'too late' in its policy response yet again, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #tesla #artificialintelligence _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Markets churned sideways waiting for things in the Middle East to unfold. TUNE IN FOR THE LATEST!
US equities were mostly higher for the week, recovering some of last week's losses which were largely driven by the Israel-Iran conflict. According to the White House, President Trump will decide within two weeks whether to strike Iran in an effort to give diplomacy a final chance. Regarding trade developments, a lack of trade deal traction ahead of the 9-Jul reciprocal tariff deadline received some scrutiny.
On the 10-year anniversary of the Warriors' 2015 NBA title, Bonta Hill and Monte Poole look back at Golden State's dynasty. Then, the duo analyzes the Orlando Magic's trade for Desmond Bane from the Memphis Grizzlies, and what else could be coming with the start of NBA free agency on the horizon.(02:00) - Looking back at how the Warriors' dynasty was built on 10th anniversary(13:00) - How Warriors impacted the game with small ball and "Death Lineup"(34:00) - Are the Splash Brothers the best backcourt duo in NBA history?(38:45) - Similarities, differences between Thunder-Pacers Finals and Warriors-Celtics in 2022(45:00) - How does Desmond Bane trade impact market moving forward?