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Story of the Week (DR):JP Morgan's news weekThe Lurid Lawsuit, Salami Scandal and Trash-Can Thief Vexing JPMorgan's PR Department AND Meme of 'JPMorgan's HR Department in 2026' Has People in Stitches Amid Sex Scandal and Knicks Bin IncidentShe Stole a Knicks Trash Can Off the Street and Lost Her Job at JPMorganThe Trash Bin That Cost Her Career: Who Is Angie Báez? JPMorgan DEI Executive Fired After Viral Knicks Parade VideoThe Trash-Can Thief: Angie Báez, an Executive Director of Community and Industry Engagement at the bank, was captured on a viral video during the New York Knicks championship parade emptying a public trash bin onto a Manhattan sidewalk so she could steal the limited-edition, blue-and-orange Knicks-themed container.The Resolution: JPMorgan quickly terminated her employment after the video went viral. Báez eventually returned the trash bin and was issued $175 in sanitation fines.But what kinds of thing DON'T get you fired and get you fined?In 2023, JPMorgan Chase agreed to a $290 million (1,657,143x) settlement to resolve a class-action lawsuit from survivors of Jeffrey Epstein. The bank was accused of actively ignoring glaring red flags and helping bankroll Epstein's sex-trafficking operation for 15 years.Internal documents and later congressional probes revealed that the bank processed roughly 4,700 suspicious transactions totaling $1.1 billion for Epstein. They failed to file a single Suspicious Activity Report (SAR) until after his death.Who Kept Their Job? Mary Erdoes: The Head of Asset & Wealth Management was fully aware of Epstein's status as a high-risk sex offender, reviewed his account, and was directly implicated in internal communications regarding his status. She faced zero professional demotions and remains one of the top candidates to eventually succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO.In 2020, JPMorgan Chase entered a deferred prosecution agreement and agreed to pay a record $920 million (5,257,143x) to settle federal charges of market manipulation.For nearly a decade, traders on JPMorgan's precious metals and U.S. Treasuries desks engaged in "spoofing"—placing tens of thousands of fake, deceptive orders to artificially move market prices and maximize their own profits. The FBI stated that traders "openly disregarded U.S. laws."While a couple of mid-to-high-level traders (like Michael Nowak and Gregg Smith) were later criminally convicted and sentenced to prison, the executive leadership team responsible for supervising them and implementing compliance programs suffered no casualties. Top management stayed perfectly secure, chalking the multi-million dollar fraud up as the work of a few "bad apples."The Salami Scandal: Veteran wealth manager Brent Bodner was fired by JPMorgan in 2024 after he expensed a $642.50 deli platter (containing wings, sandwiches, and salads) for a Super Bowl gathering at his Beverly Hills home. The bank accused him of intentionally misclassifying a personal party as a pre-approved business meeting.Bodner counter-sued, jokingly dubbing the controversy the "salami incident." He argued that the event was a legitimate client-acquisition dinner that only two prospects ended up attending, and that the minor coding error was used as a pretext to push him out.The Resolution: A FINRA arbitration panel sided heavily with Bodner, ruling that JPMorgan acted preemptively out of paranoia that brokers were leaving for rivals. The panel ordered JPMorgan to pay Bodner $4.25 million in damages.The Lurid Lawsuit: Chirayu Rana, a former vice president on JPMorgan's leveraged finance team, leveled highly salacious allegations against his female supervisor, Executive Director Lorna Hajdini. Rana's lawsuit alleges he was subjected to a campaign of racial discrimination, severe harassment, and forced sexual relations under the threat of having his career sabotaged.The Resolution: Rana rejected a $1M settlement offer, countering with a demand for up to $22 million before escalating the fight to court. Both Hajdini and JPMorgan strongly deny the allegations as entirely fabricated, and the legal battle is moving toward a highly publicized trial.JPMorgan Chase promotes Petno, Rohrbaugh to copresidents, setting up two more successors for DimonThe Wait to Replace Jamie Dimon Keeps Getting Longer: Another potential successor, Marianne Lake, is leaving JPMorgan, as the longstanding chief executive enters his third decade atop the bank.How JPMorgan went from 3 female CEO contenders to an all-male succession raceJPMorgan named Doug Petno and Troy Rohrbaugh, current co-heads of the bank's commercial and investment bank, as co-presidents, setting them up as the frontrunners to succeed longtime CEO Jamie Dimon. Their promotions, the bank said in a press release, "are part of the Board's ongoing succession planning process."Petno and Rohrbaugh were among a handful of powerhouse candidates poised to succeed Dimon, including Jennifer Piepszak, chief operating officer, Marianne Lake, CEO of the commercial bank, and Mary Erdoes, CEO of asset and wealth management.Marianne Lake, a Potential Dimon Successor, Leaves JPMorganOne-time Retention and Continuity equity awards to the following Operating Committee members:Doug Petno, Co-President and CEO of the Commercial & Investment Bank, and Troy Rohrbaugh, Co-President and CEO of Consumer & Community Banking, in the amount of $30M each;Mary Erdoes, CEO of Asset & Wealth Management, and Jennifer Piepszak, Chief Operating Officer, in the amount of $20M each.JPMorgan Chase unveils $50 billion buyback, Goldman Sachs raises dividend after Fed stress testA 6 year study shows which CEOs are pushing RTO mandates: The ones with the biggest egosFortune 500 bosses demanding staff return to the office share one trait: narcissism, research findsA six-year study tracking corporate executives revealed that strict return-to-office (RTO) mandates are heavily driven by narcissism and executive ego, rather than actual employee productivityWharton organizational psychologist Adam Grant noted that researchers used reliable corporate proxies to quantify CEO narcissism, including the oversized scale of their compensation packages, the size of their signatures, and the prominence of their photos in company annual reports.The data showed that leaders with highly inflated self-opinions consistently coveted maximum power and status, making them the most aggressive opponents of remote work.Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan pushed hard for a 5-day-a-week return to the office. Why they're now letting employees work from homeGameStop CEO Cohen spurns $35 billion pay plan to focus on plan to buy eBayGameStop CEO on His eBay Pursuit: ‘I'm Not Going to Stop, I'm Not Going to Go Away'GameStop unveiled a compensation package worth roughly $35B for Ryan Cohen in January, hinging on a turnaround that requires him to lift the struggling company's market value more than tenfold and sharply boost its profit.In May, Cohen surprised Wall Street with an unsolicited offer to buy eBay for roughly $56 billion in cash and stock to turn the e-commerce company into a bigger competitor to Amazon.EBay's board rejected the proposal, calling the offer "neither credible nor attractive."Cohen argued that he doesn't want the package so that GameStop's leadership can fully focus on its operating performance and the planned acquisition.SpaceX handed lowest possible ESG rating by MSCI: Triple C score puts Elon Musk's company on par with Russia after 2022 invasion of UkraineMusk 'most obvious risk' following SpaceX's lowest possible ESG rating“Board of Directors: The SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES board currently has an independent majority, which enables it to more effectively fulfill its critical function of overseeing management on behalf of shareholders. The company has failed to split the roles of CEO and chairman, which may limit the board's independence from current management interests. Split CEO and chairman roles are characteristic of 67% of companies in this market.”Welltower CFO's $167 million pay package sets new recordWelltower's Tim McHugh is the new highest-paid finance chief among the biggest U.S. companies. His $167 million pay package in 2025 not only dwarfs that of his CFO peers but also outpaces the compensation of many CEOs.McHugh's pay at Welltower, a real-estate investment trust focused on rental housing for seniors, surpasses the $139 million compensation package received by Tesla's Vaibhav Taneja in 2024. This puts him more than $135 million above Alphabet's Anat Ashkenazi, the next highest-paid CFO in 2025. And it secures him a spot in the club of executives making $100 million or more, a group that remains rare.Here's what the article DID NOT MENTION: CEO Shankh Mitra: $821MGoodliest of the Week (MM/DR):DR: Scientists Say New Method Turns Coffee Grounds Into High-Potency Renewable FuelAccording to a press release from South Korea's National Research Council of Science and Technology, a team of researchers at the Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources (KIGAM) have developed a method to convert spent coffee waste into high-quality charcoal, known as biochar.While that's a feat in and of itself, the kicker is the method's blistering speed: it takes just 90 seconds from start to finish, with no drawn-out drying process or oil separation required. According to the release, the new technique solves a major issue in extracting the latent energy potential of spent coffee beans.DR: Bill to raise minimum wage to $25 an hour will be introduced in Senate DR MMThe bill would incrementally increase the minimum wage from its current rate of $7.25, with the first jump to $12 an hour in the first year of enactment. Major corporations would have six years to work up to a $25 minimum wage, while smaller employers would have a 13-year runway. The legislation would also do away with subminimum wages for tipped workers, such as restaurant servers, youth workers and workers with disabilities. Nearly half of the American workforce makes less than $25 an hour.DR: Federal judge blocks new law aimed at ESG, DEI investing decisionsA federal judge has blocked Kansas from enforcing a new law that requires institutional investment advisers to make certain disclosures when recommending against company management on issues, including environmental, social and governance principles.U.S. District Judge Holly Teeter on Wednesday issued a preliminary injunction halting enforcement of law enacted last session that two major national institutional investment advisers said was unconstitutional because it discriminated based on speech.MM: MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last yearAssholiest of the Week (MM):CEO SPEED ROUND - ONE HEADLINE, ONE CEO, ONE LINERTim Cook - It's pretty sweet to quit your job and let the new guy fight the union: Apple closed America's first unionized store and blocked workers from transfers — now the union is fighting backJamie Dimon - It was easy - we just pointed to the ones with boobs and said “Not you”: How JPMorgan went from 3 female CEO contenders to an all-male succession raceZuck - The best thing about being a little man king with no accountability is I can randomly change and unchange and rechange my mind… about people's lives: Meta pauses an AI training program that tracks employees' keystrokes after an internal leakLarry Fink - Have you SEEN the size of my signature??? Fucking come to work: A 6 year study shows which CEOs are pushing RTO mandates: The ones with the biggest egos“In the six-year study, researchers collected data on Fortune 500 CEOs, using behavioral proxies—signature size, photo size in annual reports, pay gap relative to peers—to construct narcissism scores. The higher the score, the more likely a CEO was to publicly oppose remote and hybrid work and seek additional status (like a board chairmanship). In a separate experiment, CEOs whose egos were primed—by reflecting on the assertive leadership styles of Steve Jobs and Larry Ellison—showed significantly greater opposition to working from home than a control group”Andy Jassy - Now we know EXACTLY when you're wasting our time peeing in a bottle instead of working: Amazon is on a mission to optimize warehouse work. Its latest test puts wearable devices on support staff.Nikesh Arora - If you just said, “Who?”, you better pay attention because I have important things to say: Palo Alto Networks CEO: We're in 'a Darwinian moment' where employees have to prove their AI skills - BRONZE ASSHOLESatya Nadella - If I complain about how everyone TALKS about AI, does that make me sound more sympathetic?: Microsoft's CEO Takes Aim At AI Companies: 'We Have To Walk The Walk' To Convince The Public - GOLDEN ASSHOLEJeff Bezos - I mean, if I'm honest, everyone is terrible and should be laid off: Jeff Bezos Called Washington Post His Worst Investment and Staff He Laid Off ‘Terrible' People - SILVER ASSHOLEBrian Moynihan - I mean, or your kid was late to school because they forgot to make their card for teacher appreciation day, you didn't eat breakfast, and you rushed in to work from the office as fast as you could because working from home isn't allowed anymore: By 7 a.m., Bank of America's CEO has already read 5 newspapers, his email inbox, and hit the gym—he says if you're late to meetings, you're ‘selfish'Dave Ramsey - 0.0001% of Musk's worst day could end hunger ON EARTH, but sure, take away Halloween and pets from the rest of us: Dave Ramsey Says 20% of Americans' Halloween and Pet Budgets Could End Hunger: 'There'd Be No Hungry Kids'Headliniest of the WeekDR: Beloved Grandmother Was Standing in Her Own House When a Tesla, Allegedly on Autopilot, Smashed Through the Wall and Killed Her in Grandchildren's PlayroomA popular password manager was hit by a hack. What you need to know—and how to keep your data safeMM: Ryanair says it will reluctantly not charge parents to sit next to childrenMM: Elon Musk will get a billion shares of SpaceX if he can settle a million humans on MarsJust make it 10 trillion shares if he can safely land Gus who sleeps at the bus station on NeptuneWho Won the Week?DR: The MotherS(C)hIpMM: ESG RatingsPredictionsDR: Symbolically giving up your $35 billion CEO pay package becomes the new $1 salary: proxy statements will say: “Our CEO generously waived his $35 billion pay package as a gesture of sacrifice to lead by example, preserve corporate cash, and show solidarity with displaced workers and stressed stakeholders.”MM: Ryanair announces a new fee children can pay to sit AWAY from their parents
Paul Merriman joins host Roben Farzad on Full Disclosure for a rare conversation alongside Ben Carlson, director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth and author of the new book Risk and Reward: How to Handle Market Volatility and Build Long-Term Wealth. Roben called it a “truth teller tandem” — the first time these two have sat down together — and the result is an hour of warm, candid, data-grounded talk about how individual investors can actually succeed.The conversation opens with a great question: does a century of S&P 500 history mean anything when index funds didn’t even exist for most of it? Paul explains why those long-run numbers still matter — not as a promise of the next ten years, but as a guide to the full range of what markets can do. From there, Paul and Ben trace just how far investing has come since Paul entered the business in 1966: the death of the 8.5% sales load, the arrival of IRAs and 401(k)s, fractional shares, and commission-free trading. As Ben puts it, the barriers to entry have been bulldozed, and today’s investor has a better shot at strong net returns than ever before.But more choices bring more temptation. Paul and Ben dig into diversification as a risk-management tool — why a tilt toward small-cap value and a meaningful allocation to international stocks can pay off over a lifetime, even when the S&P 500 is dominating the headlines. They revisit the lost decade of 2000–2009, the lessons of Japan’s 1989 peak, and the hard discipline of rebalancing into the pain when an asset class is out of favor.They also get practical about the things keeping investors up at night: inflation as one of the biggest risks most people underestimate, the real trade-offs in today’s bond market and long-duration Treasuries, and an honest look at the FIRE movement — including why meaning, longevity, and a 30- or 40-year retirement complicate the dream of retiring early. Throughout, Paul shares his own story, including why, at 82 and with more than he needs, he still holds half his portfolio in equities because of a caution he’s carried since his twenties.Ben closes with the thought that may stay with you longest: the most important thing an investor can understand is not the market — it’s themselves. Knowing which mistake you’d regret more, and what you can truly live with, is the foundation everything else is built on.
Oil prices are down big. And if you only looked at the headline, the explanation seems obvious: Iran peace deal, supply normalization, geopolitical risk premium coming out. Except that is not what the market is really saying. Or should I say markets plural. There is a lot going on across various curves that shed a very different light on the crude plunge. Big changes in Treasuries, huge, huge shift in TIPS, more than you'd think, and of course oil prices themselves. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you have a retirement account and you've been wondering whether crypto belongs inside it, BlockTrustIRA is something worth looking into. Most crypto IRA platforms are self-directed. They give you access, but you still have to decide what to buy, when to sell, and when to rebalance.BlockTrustIRA is different. Right now, eligible viewers can get up to a $2,500 crypto bonus when they open and fund an account. Terms, conditions, funding minimums, and eligibility requirements apply.To learn more, go to https://eurodollarcrypto.com.This is a Paid advertisement. Not financial, investment, tax, or retirement advice. Crypto is volatile and may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms apply----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Oil Market Report - June 2026https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-june-2026https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/eduhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.On today's podcast:1) President Trump signed an interim deal to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, despite criticism from Republicans. The memorandum of understanding is now in effect, and it envisions the rapid reopening of the strait and immediate sanctions waivers for Iranian oil. The deal has prompted criticism from some of Trump's allies, who say it amounts to a victory for Tehran and that the US is conceding too much, with talks on nuclear issues and potential further financial gains for Iran to follow.2) Traders dumped short-term Treasuries and bet on interest rate hikes after Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh made clear the central bank won’t tolerate high inflation. The hawkish message was driven home by the projections of individual Fed members, half of whom expect to raise rates by the end of the year. The Fed’s message triggered repositioning in markets, with futures traders expecting a quarter-point rate hike by October and 30-year Treasury yields slipping to the lowest since late April.3) A ticker-tape parade celebrating the NBA Champion New York Knicks will step off at 10 a.m. from Bowling Green in Lower Manhattan, traveling north along Broadway, and concludes at City Hall Plaza with a ticketed ceremony. The city is preparing for enormous crowds, with spectators expected to number in the millions, and the NYPD will have 10,000 officers at the event. Viewing areas along the route open at 6 a.m., and police will close access points once viewing areas reach capacity, while the mayor’s office gave away 600 tickets to the City Hall ceremony in a public lottery.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
O Fed manteve a taxa de juros entre 3,5% e 3,75%, mas a grande bomba foi a mudança drástica de postura com o novo presidente, Kevin Warsh! O comunicado foi encurtado, o forward guidance foi abolido e o mercado já projeta uma possível alta de juros para dezembro.Neste vídeo, analiso as 5 forças-tarefas que vão reformular o Federal Reserve (comunicação, balanço, dados econômicos, produtividade e inflação) e como as bolsas e o dólar estão reagindo em tempo real.00:00 - Decisão do Fed e reação do mercado00:35 - Kevin Warsh assume e promete mudanças01:27 - Mudança drástica no novo comunicado04:27 - Fim oficial do Forward Guidance05:40 - As 5 forças-tarefas de reformulação06:21 - O fim do famoso Dot Plot07:33 - Revisão do balanço do Fed08:31 - Mudança nas fontes de dados econômicos11:59 - Frequência das coletivas de imprensa revisada14:16 - Novas expectativas: alta de juros em dezembro15:10 - Reação das bolsas, dólar e Treasuries
Nvidia just raised $25 billion in its first bond sale since 2021. The catch is that Nvidia didn't need the money. The company generated $50 billion in operating cash last quarter, holds $13 billion on the balance sheet, and authorized $80 billion in buybacks. So why borrow?The order book is the story. Demand reached $85 billion, more than three times the final deal size. Nvidia started targeting $20 billion and raised the offering to $25 billion before pricing. The longest-dated tranche came in at just 65 basis points over Treasuries after tightening 25 points from initial guidance. Investors weren't accepting Nvidia's credit, they were competing for it.This episode breaks down what that means. The deal is five times the size of Nvidia's 2021 bond sale and over twelve times the 2016 offering. It's split across seven tranches with maturities from 2 to 30 years, which lets Nvidia lock in long-term financing at near-historic low credit spreads. The US-Iran agreement has pulled investment-grade risk premiums back to pre-conflict levels, and high-grade bond funds have logged 13 straight months of inflows.The broader pattern matters more than the single deal. Alphabet, Amazon, and other AI hyperscalers have been raising similar bond debt to fund data center buildouts. Nvidia joining sets a new credit benchmark for the sector and gives bond investors a way to position around the AI capex cycle without buying equity. For a company with a $5.15 trillion market cap and over $200 billion in projected free cash flow this fiscal year, this isn't a liquidity move. It's a market signal.We cover what the proceeds are actually for (refinancing, general corporate purposes, and the buyback program), why bond investors wanted more than Nvidia was willing to sell, what a 3x oversubscription tells us about confidence in the AI hardware cycle, and whether this is the top of the cycle or the middle.Nvidia bond sale, NVDA bonds, AI infrastructure, AI capex, investment grade bonds, AI hyperscalers, Nvidia stock, AI bubble, data center spending, credit markets.
Ty J. Young, CEO of Ty J. Young Wealth Management, expects the Fed to hold rates steady as inflation remains persistent and recent treasury auction results signal underlying market dynamics. He also discusses the Fed's internal debates and why greater transparency could benefit investors. Young adds perspective on current market volatility and how his firm is positioning client portfolios.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Americana Partners LLC Market Commentary is a financial podcast for investors, clients, and market-focused listeners who want clear perspective on the economy, investing, and portfolio strategy. Hosted by Melissa Giles and based on the market views and special reports of David M. Darst, Chief Investment Officer at Americana Partners, the show breaks down monthly market commentary, economic conditions, investment strategy, asset allocation themes, and the forces shaping today's financial markets. Each episode is designed to help listeners better understand market trends, long-term investing, and how to think clearly in changing environments. If you are looking for a smart, approachable source for market updates, economic outlook, wealth management insight, portfolio positioning, and investment commentary, subscribe to stay informed with timely perspectives from Americana Partners. Join Our Distribution List – For a full copy of our report. 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Marty sits down with Vince Lanci to discuss his new book As Good as Gold, why the global financial system actually runs on collateral rather than currency, and how a quiet, controlled transition is underway from U.S. Treasuries to gold, Bitcoin, and a multipolar collateral framework. Vince on X: https://x.com/Sorenthek As Good As Gold: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/as-good-as-gold-the-return-of-real STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Bitkey https://bitkey.world/ Aven https://www.aven.com/bitcoin CrowdHealth https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Salt of the Earth: https://drinksote.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Bob sits down with economists Alexander Salter and Joshua Hendrickson to discuss their new paper arguing that the standard Austrian critique of the Fed while correct, is fundamentally incomplete. They argue that the Fed's actual institutional role is to backstop U.S. dollar hegemony: the deliberately constructed post-Bretton Woods system in which the dollar serves as the world's reserve currency, U.S. Treasuries as the global safe asset, and the Fed as buyer of last resort for sovereign debt worldwide.Related:Hendrickson & Salter, "Should We End the Fed? Can We?": Mises.org/HAP553a
Bob sits down with economists Alexander Salter and Joshua Hendrickson to discuss their new paper arguing that the standard Austrian critique of the Fed while correct, is fundamentally incomplete. They argue that the Fed's actual institutional role is to backstop U.S. dollar hegemony: the deliberately constructed post-Bretton Woods system in which the dollar serves as the world's reserve currency, U.S. Treasuries as the global safe asset, and the Fed as buyer of last resort for sovereign debt worldwide.Related:Hendrickson & Salter, "Should We End the Fed? Can We?": Mises.org/HAP553a
Alex Gurevich talks about the next perfect trade! We discuss major shifts in the macro investing landscape, including the breakdown of the traditional stock-bond relationship, why U.S. Treasuries no longer act as a reliable flight-to-safety asset, and how inflation, fiscal policy, and changing market regimes are reshaping investment strategies. Alex shares his framework for identifying high-probability trades, explains why he believes interest rates could ultimately return to zero if the labor market weakens, and discusses opportunities and risks in global markets, currencies, gold, emerging markets, and China. We also explore the long-term impact of artificial intelligence on productivity, employment, and economic growth and more! We discuss... The breakdown of the traditional stock-bond relationship and how it is changing portfolio diversification strategies. Why U.S. Treasuries are no longer acting as a reliable flight-to-safety asset and what that means for investors. The impact of inflation, fiscal policy, and shifting market regimes on the macroeconomic outlook. Why labor market trends remain the most important factor influencing future Federal Reserve decisions. The possibility that interest rates could eventually return to zero if economic growth and employment weaken. Investment opportunities and risks across currencies, bonds, emerging markets, and international equities. The relative attractiveness of gold, U.S. Treasuries, and other hard assets in the current environment. China's economic challenges, AI ambitions, and its position in the global race for technological leadership. How artificial intelligence is driving investment, productivity gains, and economic growth across multiple sectors. The potential for AI-driven job displacement and a temporary economic adjustment period before larger long-term benefits emerge. Key market risks stemming from geopolitical conflict, energy prices, and evolving global economic dynamics. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/next-perfect-trade-alex-gurevich-824
In this episode, Collin Martin and Liz Ann Sonders focus on the outlook for equities, fixed income, and the overall U.S. economy in the second half of 2026. They begin by discussing recent inflation data, noting that while CPI remains elevated, core inflation came in slightly better than expected. Both agree inflation is not quickly returning to the Fed's target, but easing expectations and stable inflation expectations suggest the Federal Reserve can remain patient for now. The key risk is whether higher prices, especially at the pump, begin to erode consumer spending, as real wages have turned negative year over year. From a policy perspective, Collin expects the Fed to stay on hold through year-end, despite the fed funds futures market pricingin a potential hike. He emphasizes that short-term yields should remain steady, while longer-term Treasury yields may stay elevated due to persistent inflation, heavy Treasury issuance, and global rate pressures. In this environment, he suggests favoring short-to-intermediate bond durations and selectively considering credit risk via investment-grade corporates, high yields, and preferred securities. Liz Ann focuses on the outlook for equity investors, highlighting a shift back to a negative correlation between bond yields and stocks—more characteristic of inflation-driven regimes. Her midyear forecast points to a solid economic backdrop, led by resilient GDP growth, strong capital spending tied to AI, and a healthy labor market, though some early warning signals are emerging in survey-based employment data. The episode closes with a cautious but constructive outlook: no immediate recession signals, but investors should consider prioritizing diversification, risk management, and periodically rebalancing as markets navigate inflation, policy uncertainty, and evolving leadership trends. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-linked securities issued by the US Government whose principal value is adjusted periodically in accordance with the rise and fall in the inflation rate. Thus, the dividend amount payable is also impacted by variations in the inflation rate, as it is based upon the principal value of the bond. It may fluctuate up or down. Repayment at maturity is guaranteed by the US Government and may be adjusted for inflation to become the greater of the original face amount at issuance or that face amount plus an adjustment for inflation. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are guaranteed by the US Government, but inflation-protected bond funds do not provide such a guarantee. Preferred securities are a type of hybrid investment that share characteristics of both stock and bonds. They are often callable, meaning the issuing company may redeem the security at a certain price after a certain date. Such call features, and the timing of a call, may affect the security's yield. Preferred securities generally have lower credit ratings and a lower claim to assets than the issuer's individual bonds. Like bonds, prices of preferred securities tend to move inversely with interest rates, so their prices may fall during periods of rising interest rates. Investment value will fluctuate, and preferred securities, when sold before maturity, may be worth more or less than original cost. Preferred securities are subject to various other risks including changes in interest rates and credit quality, default risks, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, deferral risk, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. High-yield securities and unrated securities of similar credit quality (junk bonds) are subject to greater levels of credit and liquidity risks and may be more volatile than higher-rated securities. High-yield securities are considered predominately speculative with respect to the issuer's continuing ability to make principal and interest payments. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions Negative correlation refers to investments that tend to move in opposite directions: when one rises, the other falls. A hyperscaler is a large-scale cloud service provider that offers vast computing, storage, and networking resources through a distributed infrastructure of interconnected servers and software. (0626-WG7N) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Investors often use inflation swaps and breakevens — the difference in yields between nominal Treasuries and TIPS — to deduce market participants' inflation expectations. These measures also change from new TIPS issuance, shifting inflation risk, and a liquidity premium, however, making them imprecise gauges of estimates for future inflation. In this episode, we talk with Mike Ashton, Managing Principal at Enduring Investments, about how TIPS and swaps compensate investors for inflation, how closely they reflect inflation expectations, and what they tell us about expectations for the War in Iran. Simply Put: Expert perspectives on the trends influencing fixed income, banking, and the macro landscape, hosted by FHN Financial's Macro Strategist, Will Compernolle. Tune in to better understand what's moving the markets and what to keep an eye on in the weeks and months ahead. Listen and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.
Ondo Finance is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that bridges traditional finance and blockchain by tokenizing real-world assets (RWAs). It allows users globally to gain on-chain exposure to secure, income-generating assets, such as U.S. Treasuries and publicly traded equities. ~This episode is sponsored by Uphold~ Uphold Staking ➜ https://bit.ly/UpholdStakingPB GUEST: Ian De Bode, CEO at Ondo Finance Buy Ondo Stocks on Jupiter ➜ https://bit.ly/ONDOjupiter 00:10 Sponsor: Uphold 00:60 DTCC mob boss 02:10 Top tokenized stocks platform 04:20 Why are you still 24/5? not 24/7 06:10 Holding pre-IPOs during launch 08:20 ONDO perps launch date? 10:10 SpaceX reckoning? 12:00 Will SpaceX trigger circuit breaker? 13:00 SpaceX to sell Bitcoin for excess cash? 14:15 Tokenized shares of private companies 16:00 24/5 vs 24/7? 17:30 Explain Ondo x DTCC relationship 21:45 Is going through the DTCC the only way? 23:00 ONDO distribution 24:30 Does ONDO need clarity to pass? 26:00 Will ONDO benefit if CLARITY doesn't pass? #Crypto #Ethereum #Ondo ~Ondo About To Explode
Gold and silver suffered a sharp selloff, leaving investors questioning whether the bull market is over. Vince Lanci explains why central bank buying, collateral markets, and major shifts in the global financial system suggest the long-term gold story remains intact. He discusses China's growing role, the future of U.S. Treasuries, silver demand, and why gold is becoming increasingly important as a global reserve asset.#gold #silver #bondmarket ------------
Today we talk the investing secrets for IPOs, Bitcoin, and AI. There is also growing market uncertainty as strong earnings, resilient employment data, and a potential SpaceX IPO collide raise concerns. A small group of AI and semiconductor stocks have driven most market gains while many sectors have remained flat, raising concerns about narrow market leadership and investor complacency. We examine how stronger-than-expected jobs data could keep interest rates elevated for longer and create headwinds for stocks and cryptocurrencies. We also cover Bitcoin's cyclical boom-and-bust patterns, the importance of risk management, the growing role of gold in global central bank reserves, and emerging long-term investment themes such as AI infrastructure, nuclear power, electrification, robotics, and space technology. We discuss... The growing market divergence as AI and semiconductor stocks continue to drive gains while most sectors remain flat. How strong earnings results have failed to lift the broader market despite solid corporate performance. Why stronger-than-expected jobs data could keep interest rates higher for longer and delay potential Fed rate cuts. The impact of liquidity conditions on stocks, cryptocurrencies, and overall market sentiment. Signs that the economy may be entering a late-cycle phase characterized by tighter financial conditions and rising IPO activity. The risks and opportunities surrounding the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO and what history suggests about buying newly public companies. Bitcoin's historical boom-and-bust cycles, potential downside targets, and the importance of managing risk in crypto investing. Why investors should focus on their own investment strategy instead of chasing the market's hottest trends. Housing affordability challenges and the widening gap between the costs of owning and renting a home. Gold surpassing U.S. Treasuries as the largest reserve asset held by global central banks. Emerging investment themes including AI infrastructure, nuclear energy, electrification, robotics, quantum computing, and space technology. The importance of diversification and risk management in a market increasingly driven by a small group of high-performing stocks. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/investing-secrets-for-ipos-823
"Opportunity cost" analysis could make you think that every dollar you spend is ruining your future retirement finances. We address this way of thinking in today's "Ask Me Anything" episode. Looking for a financial planner? → PlanWithJesse.com Jesse explores three listener questions spanning core retirement planning tradeoffs. First, he unpacks the concept of opportunity cost, arguing that while it's mathematically valid to project small spending decisions (like vacations or food choices) into large future dollar amounts using compound growth, doing so at an aggressive portfolio return can become misleading and behaviorally counterproductive. He emphasizes the importance of distinguishing frugality from harmful "cheapness" and highlights that many expenses also deliver real utility, not just cost. Second, he evaluates Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), explaining how they work, how they differ from I Bonds, and why they are useful for inflation hedging but not a complete substitute for equities or traditional bonds due to lower expected returns and interest rate risk. Third, he examines portfolio construction across multiple accounts, contrasting simple mirrored allocations with more tax-efficient asset location strategies. While optimized asset location can improve outcomes, he concludes the benefit is relatively modest compared to higher-impact financial decisions, reinforcing a prioritization framework for retirement planning decisions. Key Takeaways: • Opportunity cost is mathematically valid but often misused in personal finance discussions. • Frugality and being "cheap" are not the same—cutting essential spending can reduce quality of life disproportionately. • Applying opportunity cost logic universally leads to absurd conclusions (e.g., coffee, schooling, healthcare). • TIPS returns are typically lower than nominal Treasuries due to inflation protection. • A blended approach (TIPS + Treasuries) can balance inflation protection and flexibility. • Financial planning should prioritize high-impact decisions before optimizing tax placement. Key Timestamps: (01:03) – Question 1: Opportunity Cost: Being Cheap vs. Frugal (06:47) – Does It Make Sense Mathematically? (09:32) – Shockingly Not-So-Simple Social Security (13:27) – Isn't the Trip Worth the Money? (18:23) – Question 2: Are TIPS Worth It? (21:24) – TIPS vs. I-Bonds (22:09) – Inflation Risk (27:29) – Question 3: Asset Allocation vs. Location (31:45) – Why Not Add One More Lever? (34:59) – Practical Example (39:31) – Is the Juice Worth the Squeeze? Key Topics Discussed: The Best Interest, Jesse Cramer, Wealth Management Rochester NY, Financial Planning for Families, Fiduciary Financial Advisor, Comprehensive Financial Planning, Retirement Planning Advice, Tax-Efficient Investing, Risk Management for Investors, Generational Wealth Transfer Planning, Financial Strategies for High Earners, Personal Finance for Entrepreneurs, Behavioral Finance Insights, Asset Allocation Strategies, Advanced Estate Planning Techniques Mentions: https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2026/04/16/the-shockingly-simple-math-behind-social-security/ https://bestinterest.blog/when-the-shockingly-simple-math-is-shockingly-wrong/ https://bestinterest.blog/the-long-term-investors-order-of-operations/ https://bestinterest.blog/e121/ More of The Best Interest: Check out the Best Interest Blog at https://bestinterest.blog/ Contact me at jesse@bestinterest.blog Need a financial planner? → PlanWithJesse.com The Best Interest Podcast is a personal podcast meant for education and entertainment. It should not be taken as financial advice, and is not prescriptive of your financial situation.
Yields dos Treasuries têm leve alta com o mercado precificando que o Fed poderá elevar juros diante de inflação impulsionada pelo petróleo.
Bond yields rose sharply on Friday, but why? What you'll hear is that inflation and a strong economy will force the Fed to hike. But that's only half true – the possibility of the rate hike. All the rest of it, not so much. Both markets and American consumers agree wholeheartedly on all of it. In fact, on Friday, inflation expectations in Treasuries dropped to their lowest levels since early March. Yeah, lowest since the start of the conflict and they were never high to begin with. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The economy is not crashing. It is freezing. In this episode of The Higher Standard, Chris and Saied break down the Fed's Beige Book, a bifurcated consumer, sticky inflation, margin-squeezed businesses, and a labor market that has become low-hire, low-fire. Then the conversation turns to the real insanity: Treasury buybacks, Bitcoin liquidations, Ethereum weakness, gold replacing U.S. Treasuries as the world's top reserve asset, and SpaceX preparing for a historic IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation. The question is simple: are we watching the next great technological leap forward, or the biggest liquidity-driven rug pull of all time?
In this Community Roundtable, Chris Lopez sits down with PassivePockets members Pascal Wagner, Adam Cranmer, and Christy Burakovsky for a candid investor-to-investor conversation on how they're allocating capital right now and what would make them change course. Pascal frames the dilemma many LPs are feeling: with risk-free rates near 5% and major macro signals flashing red (record debt loads, expensive public markets, and uncertainty around where rates settle), does it still make sense to allocate to interest-rate-sensitive commercial real estate? He shares how he's thinking about portfolio construction with fresh liquidity and why he's prioritizing stable income and downside protection before chasing upside. Adam and Christy offer counterweights: where fear can create opportunity, why liquidity matters, and how they're approaching “safer” yield today (short-duration debt funds, notes, treasuries) while keeping dry powder for dislocated assets. The conversation also explores where each of them sees asymmetric opportunity: distressed commercial, non-performing loan strategies, medical office, assisted living tailwinds, and long-term fixed-rate debt structures that avoid the five-to-seven-year refinance trap. Key Takeaways Why some LPs are pausing syndication allocations and leaning into cash/T-bills and what would change their mind The “income-first” portfolio approach: build stable cash flow, then take higher-upside bets Where investors are hunting opportunity: distress, NPLs, office dislocation, medical office, and long-term fixed-rate debt plays Why HUD-style long-term amortizing debt can change the risk profile of a deal dramatically Mezz vs. leveraged first-lien funds: the real differentiator is control of the underlying collateral The underrated skill in 2026: staying liquid enough to act when the “no-brainer” window opens Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.
Business and finance news from the Asia-Pacific. Stocks extended losses as a selloff in technology shares gathered pace and a robust US jobs data boosted bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes. Oil rose and Treasuries fell as tensions flared in the Middle East. For more on the markets, we spoke to Lianting Tu, Bloomberg's Managing Editor for Asia Equities. Plus - South Korean stocks plunged as investors pulled back from artificial intelligence bets that have fueled the bull market in global equities. Bloomberg's Yvonne Man and Stephen Engle spoke to Sean Taylor, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Matthews Asia. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
June 8, 2026 | Season 8 | Episode 18A single data point can flip the entire market narrative and Friday's action proved it. We wake up to a rebound after a brutal Nasdaq drop, then zoom out to the real driver: a surprisingly hot May payrolls report that makes “no rate cuts” feel more plausible, even as Wall Street keeps trying to price a friendlier Federal Reserve path. We walk through what higher-for-longer yields mean for valuations, why global moves in the UK, Europe, and Japan matter for US rates and the dollar, and how that pressure lands hardest on the most crowded parts of the AI and chip-stock trade.From there, we dig into a more mechanical force that many investors overlook: supply. When mega companies raise equity and monster IPOs hit the calendar, portfolio managers often have to sell something else to participate. SpaceX's IPO is the headline, but the bigger takeaway is how fast major indexes and ETFs may be forced to buy it, potentially giving you exposure through funds like VTI and QQQ whether you opt in or not. We also flag the warning signs that show up when speculation spreads, including small cap and micro cap bursts that can rhyme with past bubble periods.Then we layer in the catalysts that can reset expectations again, including CPI and PPI, earnings signals for AI data center demand, and geopolitics in the Middle East pushing oil prices and inflation fears higher. We close with the longer arc: reserve-currency confidence, foreign flows that shift away from Treasuries while staying in US equities, and why gold keeps showing up in the conversation. If this breakdown helps, subscribe, share it with a friend who watches markets, and leave a review. What do you think is the biggest risk from here: rates, liquidity, or geopolitics?** For informational and educational purposes only, not intended as investment advice. Views and opinions are subject to change without notice. For full disclosures, ADVs, and CRS Forms, please visit https://heroldlantern.com/disclosure **To learn about becoming a Herold & Lantern Investments valued client, please visit https://heroldlantern.com/wealth-advisory-contact-formFollow and Like Us on Youtube, Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn | @HeroldLantern
Danny Moses interviews Larry McDonald on how several prior calls played out, including regulatory relief for banks, a rotation into hard assets and energy, and AI-linked nuclear exposure via NUKZ. McDonald argues the economy is increasingly K-shaped: wealthy consumers benefit from higher money-market yields and AI CapEx, while consumer-facing companies like McDonald's, Home Depot, and retailers weaken, pushing money into crowded tech trades. They discuss risks from massive AI/space IPOs entering indexes, the “dark side” of passive investing, and the potential for an inflation rebound driven by oil, summer demand, and Middle East disruptions, which could spur rotation from tech into commodities. McDonald outlines constraints from rising debt interest costs, a stagflation risk, a plan to force banks to buy Treasuries, and opportunities in gold miners and uranium amid looming supply deficits, plus election-driven value setups in Brazil. -- ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Danny Moses interviews Larry McDonald on how several prior calls played out, including regulatory relief for banks, a rotation into hard assets and energy, and AI-linked nuclear exposure via NUKZ. McDonald argues the economy is increasingly K-shaped: wealthy consumers benefit from higher money-market yields and AI CapEx, while consumer-facing companies like McDonald's, Home Depot, and retailers weaken, pushing money into crowded tech trades. They discuss risks from massive AI/space IPOs entering indexes, the “dark side” of passive investing, and the potential for an inflation rebound driven by oil, summer demand, and Middle East disruptions, which could spur rotation from tech into commodities. McDonald outlines constraints from rising debt interest costs, a stagflation risk, a plan to force banks to buy Treasuries, and opportunities in gold miners and uranium amid looming supply deficits, plus election-driven value setups in Brazil.--ABOUT THE SHOWFor decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Welcome to Navigating Bitcoin's Noise, the show where we cut through the clutter and bring you the clearest insights on Bitcoin. I'm your host, Kane McGukin, and today I'm joined by Nik Bhatia, author of Layered Money and visiting fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute. In this conversation, we break down Nik's landmark paper on stablecoins and statecraft and why the GENIUS Act may be one of the most strategically important pieces of legislation in decades. We get into how the Eurodollar system quietly exported dollar governance offshore, how stablecoins are designed to bring it back, and why the end of China's deflationary unsystem is forcing America's hand. We ask the question that matters: are stablecoins just a fintech product, or are they America's most powerful tool for our next money layer? If you're tired of hype and want a first-principles breakdown of how dollar dominance actually works, and what the U.S. is building to protect it, this episode is for you. So sit back, relax, and let's get started. Kane McGukinX: https://twitter.com/kanemcgukinSubstack: kanemcgukin.substack.com Nik Bhatia X: https://x.com/timevalueofbtcThe Bitcoin Layer: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/Bitcoin Policy Institute: https://www.btcpolicy.org/authors/nik-bhatiaPaper: https://www.btcpolicy.org/articles/stablecoins-as-statecraft-reclaiming-us-financial-sovereignty-in-the-eurodollar-market
After nine straight weeks of gains, investor optimism is running high, money flows remain elevated, and portfolio protection has become an afterthought. But history suggests that periods of extreme complacency often precede at least a short-term market reset. In this morning's market update, we review the surge in money flows since April, the growing divergence from long-term moving averages, and why markets may be increasingly vulnerable to a pullback. While the bullish trend remains intact, momentum and relative strength indicators are stretched, raising the risk of a reversion toward more normal levels. We discuss practical ways investors can think about portfolio insurance without using complex options strategies. From raising cash levels through profit-taking to utilizing short-term Treasuries, simple hedging approaches can help reduce risk while maintaining market participation. A correction does not have to be severe to feel uncomfortable, especially after an extended advance with very little volatility. Understanding risk management before volatility returns can help investors avoid emotional decisions when markets inevitably pull back. Watch today's update as we discuss market complacency, portfolio hedging, cash as a strategic asset, and why protecting gains can be just as important as generating them. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/N5vR32ESAeY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #StockMarket
This week's show covers what to do with your old employer-sponsored retirement plan, floating rate treasuries, estate planning considerations, and lots of listener questions!
Jay sits down with Peter Alexander, founder and managing director of Z-Ben Advisors, for a wide-ranging conversation on China's real position in the global economy. Peter has lived in Shanghai for nearly 30 years, and brings his unique perspective from inside the country on many topics including: China's political system, manufacturing dominance, Belt and Road strategy and gold. They also discuss why Western narratives on China often miss the deeper story, how China is building long-term leverage, and what this means for investors watching the next phase of U.S.-China competition. Peter's Links: https://z-ben.com/ https://substack.com/@plalexander How Did We Get Here? Deconstructing the 30-year path of Chinese and American rivalry and its consequential, adverse effects on the International Rules-Based Order https://z-ben.com/edm/Public/file/Z-Ben%20Advisors%20-%20How%20Did%20We%20Get%20Here%20-%20January%202026.pdf Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://linkly.link/26yH8 Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international 0:00 Introduction 2:50 Peter Alexander's View From Inside China 4:03 Is China Communist, Capitalist, or Something Else? 10:01 Xi Jinping's 2012 Inflection Point 18:45 China's Property Boom, Ghost Cities, and Quality Growth 22:13 Demographics, Robotics, and the Future of Chinese Labor 29:55 BYD, Tesla, and the “Catfish Effect” 37:31 Why Reshoring China's Supply Chain Is So Difficult 38:43 China's Manufacturing Moats: Energy and Distribution 45:37 The Real Purpose of Belt and Road 53:48 Dollarization, CIPS, and China's Gold Strategy 1:02:41 How the Shanghai Gold Exchange Works 1:05:03 The U.S. Dollar, Treasuries, and Empire Risk 1:12:42 Swap Lines, Liquidity, and Treasury Market Pressure 1:18:17 Strait of Hormuz and China's Energy Position 1:27:01 Japan, Energy Security, and Regional Pressure 1:28:44 Is U.S.-China Conflict Inevitable? 1:36:17 Taiwan, Decoupling, and the Limits of War 1:43:00 Where China's Growth Is Happening Now 1:44:01 China's Infrastructure, EVs, and State Capitalism Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
Markets may be entering a fundamentally different era. In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin explore why long-term bond yields remain elevated, how rising uncertainty is driving a higher term premium, and what a potential shift away from the “Great Moderation” could mean for investors. They discuss how inflation volatility, reduced likelihood of Fed asset purchases, and geopolitical tensions are reshaping expectations for interest rates and economic stability. The conversation also examines changing correlations between stocks and bonds, and whether equities are underpricing risks. Then, Liz Ann is joined by RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas. Joe reinforces the idea of a structural shift, describing a “split-screen” economy marked by inequality, policy shocks, and an AI-driven transformation. He expects trend-level growth but sustained inflation pressures, with risks tied to energy supply disruptions and potential knock-on effects to equities via the wealth effect. The conversation highlights a disconnect between resilient equity markets and more cautious signals from bond markets, suggesting investors brace for higher-for-longer rates, ongoing volatility, and a more complex economic cycle. Finally, Collin and Liz Ann look ahead to next week's upcoming macroeconomic indicators and key data releases. To keep up with Joe Brusuelas, you can follow him on X: @joebrusuelas On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk. Alternative investments are speculative and involve a high degree of risk. Investors may lose all or a substantial portion of their investment. Alternative investments cover a wide array of strategies, including real estate, private equity, private credit, and hedge funds. Risks will vary based on each unique strategy and can include investments in highly illiquid assets or securities, use of leverage, higher fees, lower transparency, tax risks, and limited ability to redeem or limited transferability. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab. (0526-NRT9) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
David Erfle of Junior Miner Junky says buy the current boredom and weak sentiment in gold and junior mining stocks amidst strong Q1 miner profits and historically low sector open interest. Erfle argues the recent sideways action after a sharp gold and silver run-up and correction is normal consolidation before another up leg, citing ongoing central-bank gold buying, selling of U.S. Treasuries, stagflation dynamics, and currency debasement risks. He notes that miners are showing relative strength near 200-day moving averages and are benefitting from lower oil prices. David compares undervalued gold equities like Newmont to expensive broader equities, discusses Equinox Gold's acquisition of Orla and Perpetua's EXIM Bank loan for the Stibnite project. Erfle emphasizes contrarian positioning, patience, and expecting false moves before breakouts. 00:00 Intro 01:55 Consolidation Not Collapse 04:30 Macro Gold Drivers 07:15 Fed Trap & Valuations 09:29 Equinox-Orla Merger 10:29 Perpetua's EXIM Bank Loan 10:56 Speculating on Uncertainty 12:16 Novel Mining Methods 13:22 Gold Silver Copper Focus 14:47 Sentiment & Fake-outs 19:43 Buy Boredom Wrap Up David's website: https://juniorminerjunky.com/ Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: http://eepurl.com/cHxJ39 Mining Stock Education (MSE) offers informational content based on available data but it does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. It may not be appropriate for all situations or objectives. Readers and listeners should seek professional advice, make independent investigations and assessments before investing. MSE does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its content and should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. MSE and its owner may hold financial interests in the companies discussed and can trade such securities without notice. If you buy stock in a company featured on MSE, for your own protection, you should assume that it is MSE's owner personally selling you that stock. MSE is biased towards its advertising sponsors which make this platform possible. MSE is not liable for representations, warranties, or omissions in its content. By accessing MSE content, users agree that MSE and its affiliates bear no liability related to the information provided or the investment decisions you make. Full disclaimer: https://www.miningstockeducation.com/disclaimer/
Brief Summary:Bitcoin fell below $73,000 this morning, hitting its lowest level since April 13 as U.S.-Iran strikes rattled global markets.Brent crude jumped toward the mid-$90s, reviving inflation concerns and pressuring risk assets.Crypto liquidations totaled roughly $958.8 million over 24 hours, with longs accounting for about $897 million.Ethereum broke below $2,000 for the first time since late March, while Ether futures open interest hit a record 16.39 million ETH.BlackRock's IBIT saw $527.84 million in net outflows Wednesday, its second-largest single-day withdrawal since launch.The 11 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs lost a combined $733.43 million Wednesday, with more than $2 billion leaving the complex over two weeks.Samsung affiliates agreed to buy a combined 4% stake in Dunamu, operator of Upbit, for about $408 million.VanEck's tokenized Treasury fund VBILL is now live on Euler, allowing tokenized U.S. Treasuries to be used as onchain collateral.The White House is reviewing a proposed CFTC rule on prediction markets, which could shape Kalshi, Polymarket, sports, election, and event-contract markets.The CFTC and Gemini jointly asked a federal court to unwind Gemini's old $5 million settlement.Reuters reported that UniCredit warned Europe may be less able than the U.S. to contain crypto-bank shocks.A Google engineer was charged over alleged insider trading on Polymarket using confidential Google search data.U.S. Treasury operations from May 28 to June 5 could drain roughly $150 billion in liquidity, adding another macro pressure point for Bitcoin.CoinMarketCap's Altcoin Season indicator fell to 30 out of 100, showing broad altcoin weakness. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Are bonds becoming more attractive again? Or is the exploding U.S. national debt a ticking time bomb for investors? Welcome to the 300th episode of The Market Moment! In this milestone episode, Matt, John, and Lee dive deep into the massive shifts happening in the fixed income and Treasury markets. After a brutal couple of years for fixed income, long‑duration Treasury yields recently climbed over 5%… for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. They break down the exact math of why bonds got crushed when the Fed rapidly hiked rates, the critical difference between investing in bonds for steady income versus total return, and how creeping inflation might force the Fed to keep rates higher for longer. We also tackle the massive elephant in the room: the U.S. government spending a staggering $1 trillion annually just to service the interest on our national debt. They discuss what this means for investor confidence, foreign nations offloading Treasuries, and the long-term macro outlook. #nationaldebt #bondmarket #interestrates #macroeconomics #TheMarketMoment Enjoyed the episode? Don't forget to:
Alice Han and James Kynge break down why Russia is pushing hard for China to approve the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, what China's accelerating selloff of U.S. Treasuries could mean for the American economy, and how China became the first country to commercially approve a brain-computer implant — moving ahead of the U.S. and Elon Musk's Neuralink. They also explore the deepening China-Russia alliance, mounting pressure on the U.S. dollar, and whether China is beginning to pull ahead in the global race for technological dominance. Subscribe to China Decode on Substack for weekly analysis, livestreams, and deep dives into the biggest story shaping the global economy: chinadecode.profgmedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Travel is booming, IPO activity is heating up, and bonds are back in the news. In this episode of the Money Matters Podcast, Wes Moss and Jeff Lloyd unpack current market conversations—from inflation and investing to retirement planning and the next wave of potential high-profile public companies. • Explore record Memorial Day travel demand, rising airfare prices, and what Americans' spending habits may be signaling about the economy. • Break down the growing IPO excitement surrounding certain major tech companies while comparing the different risks and tradeoffs tied to stocks, bonds, and Treasuries. • Explain who qualifies as an accredited investor, how investors may gain access after companies go public, and why market excitement can sometimes fuel investor FOMO. • Review updated inflation forecasts, higher bond yields, and why diversification and income-focused investing continue to remain important considerations in many long-term financial planning conversations. • Discover retirement planning resources and bonus content tied to pre-ordering The Retire Sooner Method. Listen and subscribe to the Money Matters Podcast for more conversations on investing, retirement planning, market volatility, and navigating today's economy with a practical long-term perspective.
In this episode we answer emails from TJ, Jose and Optimus Bill. We discuss the foibles of trying to catch up via investment picking if you are behind on retirement, debunk CAPE-style and other crystal ball forecasts from "experts" that Level Two investors often fixate upon, lay out practical growth-tilted allocations that can beat narrative-driven investing and invite you all to contact Optimus Bill about your Risk Parity Radio listening habits.And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:FI Service Corp DC Charitable Event: DC Double PlayFather McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna CenterMichael Batnick Critique of CAPE Ratio "Predictions": Stocks Are More Expensive Than They Used to BeAccumulating With a Golden Ratio Portfolio Article: Minimize Your Miss – Portfolio ChartsCatching Up to FI Episode 100: 0️⃣ From Zero to Hero: A Late Starter's Guide to the Galaxy
Matt and Doug discuss signs of consumer strain in the U.S.—record-low sentiment, rising delinquencies, and high prices—alongside a stock market at all-time highs, comparing the disconnect to historical episodes like Germany's 1923 hyperinflation. They argue official inflation measures are unreliable, deficits and money printing persist, foreign holders are cutting U.S. Treasuries, and gold benefits while mining stocks remain cheap; Doug remains long gold, oil, and commodities and warns the AI/data-center boom may be a debt-fueled bubble. The conversation turns to widening inequality, debt-based consumption tools, weaker job prospects even for top graduates, and fears of social unrest and potential civil conflict. They criticize what they describe as escalating corruption under Trump, including a DOJ settlement structure and extensive trading disclosures suggesting insider activity, then discuss elections, AIPAC/Israel influence, speech taboos, and rising generational and ethnic tensions. 00:00 Everybody Wants Love 00:08 Economy vs Market Highs 01:34 Sticker Shock in America 04:28 Inflation Numbers Doubt 05:57 Treasuries to Gold Rush 07:12 Mining Stocks and ESG 08:36 AI Data Center Bubble 10:32 Haves and Have Nots 12:08 Buy Now Pay Later Living 13:23 Decades of Debt Warnings 17:10 Trump Corruption Claims 17:50 DOJ Settlement Slush Fund 24:25 Insider Trading Allegations 25:50 Epstein and Ukraine Talk 28:59 Elections and Voter Trust 32:17 Israel Influence and AIPAC 36:38 Hate Speech and Taboo Topics 40:32 Tribalism and Protected Classes 44:22 Civil War and Generational Rift 47:22 Wrap Up and Next Guest
In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin explore how rising Treasury yields and persistent inflation pressures are reshaping the relationship between stocks and bonds, reviving a more volatile, “temperamental” market regime where higher yields can weigh on equities. They discuss the likelihood of a “higher for longer” rate environment, the challenges facing incoming Fed leadership, and why rate cuts appear increasingly unlikely in the near term. The conversation then shifts to municipal bonds with Cooper Howard, who explains how munis work, why their tax advantages make them especially attractive for higher-income investors, and how to evaluate them relative to Treasuries and corporate bonds. He highlights that while munis are generally high quality and relatively stable, investors should still pay attention to credit risk, valuation metrics like the muni-to-Treasury ratio, and strategy considerations such as bond ladders. Finally, Collin and Liz Ann look ahead to next week's upcoming macroeconomic indicators and key data releases. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk. Tax-exempt bonds are not necessarily a suitable investment for all persons. Information related to a security's tax-exempt status (federal and in-state) is obtained from third parties, and Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc., dba Schwab Asset Management does not guarantee its accuracy. Tax-exempt income may be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). Capital appreciation from bond funds and discounted bonds may be subject to state or local taxes. Capital gains are not exempt from federal income tax. A bond ladder, depending on the types and amount of securities within the ladder, may not ensure adequate diversification of your investment portfolio. This potential lack of diversification may result in heightened volatility of the value of your portfolio. As compared to other fixed income products and strategies, engaging in a bond ladder strategy may potentially result in future reinvestment at lower interest rates and may necessitate higher minimum investments to maintain cost-effectiveness. Evaluate whether a bond ladder and the securities held within it are consistent with your investment objective, risk tolerance and financial circumstances. Money market funds are neither insured nor guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Although the fund seeks to preserve the value of an investment at $1.00 per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in the fund. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions Correlation refers to investments that tend to move in opposite directions: when one rises, the other falls. (0526-KSY4) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this episode we answer emails from Luc, Deep, and Paul. We discuss the French Canadian "Sak kosh" portfolio, try to help out the elder Sonia sleep well at night, distinguishing small cap blend funds from small cap value funds, and share how we use AI tools to summarize long investing content without losing the source material. Links: Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna CenterThe Superman Portfolio Withdrawal Rates: Withdrawal Rates – Portfolio ChartsThe Superman Portfolio Drawdowns: Drawdowns – Portfolio ChartsThe Superman Portfolio Portfolio Matrix: Portfolio Matrix With The Superman Portfolio.png - Google DriveRPR Episode 436 Summary Video: RPR Episode 436 Illustrated: The Two Halves of Your Financial LifeAdmiral Ackbar's Best Practices For Retirement Planning: NotebookLM - Retirement Tactical Briefing with Admiral Ackbar and Tenon FinancialDaniel Plainview's "I Drink Your Milkshake" Best Practices for Retirement Planning: NotebookLM - Plainview Wealth ExtractionVideo Version: NotebookLM - The Ruthless ExtractionBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:A listener builds a Canadian “risk parity style” portfolio that looks like a mad science project on paper and then asks the question we all quietly worry about: is this clever diversification, or is it just complexity wearing a lab coat. We walk through the logic behind mixing small cap value, gold, long-duration Treasuries, managed futures, and a small dose of leveraged ETFs, plus the real constraint that changes everything for many investors: you can only buy what your country and accounts actually offer. I share how I think about backtesting when tools don't support Canadian ETFs, why proxies can be useful, and why great historical results still don't remove behavior risk.Then we shift to a common real-life retirement planning scenario: someone in their mid-70s sells a home, moves into a retirement community, and only needs about 2% per year from investments. Instead of forcing a complicated portfolio to do the job, I explain why a single premium immediate annuity can be the cleanest solution for a very risk-averse retiree, potentially covering that gap with a relatively small slice of the nest egg and letting the rest stay invested simply and calmly. We also talk about separating mandatory expenses from discretionary spending so the plan feels safe and sustainable.We close with a fast answer on asset location for a saver juggling multiple account types and debating small cap value placement. The punchline: make sure you're actually buying small cap value, and don't over-optimize what usually doesn't matter much. Plus, a quick look at using Google NotebookLM to summarize long podcasts and documents in a way that stays grounded in the inputs you provide. If you found this helpful, subscribe, share the show with a friend, and leave a review so more DIY investors can find it.Support the show
The easy 5% returns on cash may be disappearing — but that doesn't mean your money has to stop working hard.In this episode of The Agent of Wealth Podcast, host Marc Bautis breaks down one of the biggest shifts happening in personal finance right now: the decline of high-yield cash account rates. After two years of earning 5%+ in savings accounts and money markets, many investors are wondering where to move their cash next.In this episode, you will learn:Why high-yield savings accounts and money market funds are no longer paying what they did just a year ago.The differences between money market funds, CDs, Treasuries, I Bonds, municipal bonds, annuities, and dividend-paying stocks.How to evaluate cash investments using the four pillars: risk, liquidity, rate, and taxes.Tax-efficient strategies that can help high-income investors potentially keep more of their returns.And more!Tune in for an in-depth discussion on how to reposition cash in a falling-rate environment, the importance of matching investments to your time horizon, and why the highest yield isn't always the best after-tax outcome for your financial plan.Resources:Episode Transcript & Blog | Bautis Financial: 8 Hillside Ave, Suite LL1 Montclair, New Jersey 07042 (862) 205-5000 | Schedule an Introductory CallWant to be a guest on The Agent of Wealth? Send Marc Bautis a message on PodMatch, here: https://tinyurl.com/mt4z6ywc
In Episode 188 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, welcome new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh the only way they know how: with data, context, and zero sugarcoating.When Jerome Powell took over in February 2018, the Dow dropped 4.6% on his first day, the worst debut of any Fed chair in modern memory. This time, it's not the equity market doing the hazing. It's the bond market. The 30-year Treasury yield sits above 5% for the first time since 2007, and Japan's yields just hit levels not seen since the 1990s. Ryan and Sonu explain why the dynamics that once pushed foreign money into Treasuries are quietly reversing and what that means for U.S. investors.From there, Sonu walks through industrial production data that almost nobody is talking about. Manufacturing is running at nearly 5% annualized. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms. This is hard data, not a survey, and it runs directly counter to the narrative that the economy is softening.Then comes earnings. With 91% of S&P 500 companies reported, earnings growth is running at 27% against expectations of 13%. Communication services, expected to be down nearly 4%, came in up roughly 40%. The consumer is holding up, too, with retail sales running at 13% annualized and 95.2% of all household debt paid on time per the New York Fed.The episode closes with a look at what to watch: NVIDIA earnings, FOMC minutes, and a bond market both hosts are keeping a very close eye on.Key Takeaways:The bond market is testing Kevin Warsh the same way equity markets tested every Fed chair before him, and the dynamics driving yields higher are not going away quickly.AI is showing up in the hard data, not just stock prices. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms.S&P 500 growth came in at 27% against a 13% estimate during earnings season. Communication services swung from an expected decline of nearly 4% to a gain of roughly 40%.The two-year Treasury yield above the Fed funds rate signals the market believes the Fed is behind the curve. Rate cut calls from the sell side are, in Sonu's words, a John McEnroe moment.The S&P 500 is up seven consecutive weeks, gaining over 16% during that stretch. One year after prior streaks of this magnitude, the market has never been lower and is up 16% on average.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and Who's Running the Fed?6:10 — Bonds Are Testing the New Fed Chair13:05 — Manufacturing Heats Up and AI Shows Up in Hard Data21:40 — Japan Sparks a Global Yield Reprice34:55 — Portfolio Moves on Duration and Cash43:55 — Earnings and AI Spending49:20 — Consumer Strength, Retail Sales, and Final ThoughtsConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
Yields on long-dated Treasuries hit their highest level in nearly 20 years and stocks ended the day lower across the board. Are equities finally starting to reflect the risks in the market? Plus Nvidia reports earnings after the bell tomorrow. What investors will be watching and how to position now. Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
As Japanese yields spike and investors dump billions in U.S. Treasuries, Gareth Soloway joins Daniela Cambone to explain why the bond market may be flashing a major red signal.Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcastor Call 866-349-3310
Stocks are shaky following Friday's sell-off in reaction to rising yields and oil. Treasuries might continue calling the shots in a week dominated by retail earnings and Nvidia. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The {securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. For illustrative purpose(s) only. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please seeschwab.com/indexdefinitions. The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Digital currencies [such as bitcoin] are highly volatile and not backed by any central bank or government. Digital currencies lack many of the regulations and consumer protections that legal-tender currencies and regulated securities have. Due to the high level of risk, investors should view digital currencies as a purely speculative instrument. Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. Some cryptocurrency-related products use futures contracts to attempt to duplicate the performance of an investment in cryptocurrency, which may result in unpredictable pricing, higher transaction costs, and performance that fails to track the price of the reference cryptocurrency as intended. Please read more about risks of trading cryptocurrency futures here. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Schwab does not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of investment research. The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC. Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB. (0130-0426) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this episode we answer emails from Geraldo, Rock, Ute. We discuss how to give well, shifting from big-name school donations to smaller charities with immediate impact, moving from individual stocks to a Golden Butterfly style portfolio with less stress, treating Roth conversions as optional and highly personal rather than automatic, using a conservative Interactive Brokers margin loan as a temporary cash buffer, lowering margin-call risk with diversification and alternatives, and pressure-testing inflation claims for retirees and comparing U.S. data with and older study from The Netherlands.And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna CenterWCI Podcast Episode re Charitable Giving with Rebecca Herbst: How to Maximize the Impact of Your Charitable Giving - WCI Podcast #470Referenced Inflation Study Paper: S1474747216000202jra 85..109J.P Morgan Inflation Study: JP_Morgan_White_Paper_Three_Retirement_Spending_Surprises.pdf - Google DriveRAND Inflation Study: Spending Trajectories After Age 65: Variation by Initial Wealth | RANDBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:You can be “right” about taxes and still be wrong about living. We dig into three listener emails that expose a common trap for smart investors: turning retirement into an endless optimization project, while the real goal is a calmer portfolio, a sustainable withdrawal plan, and a life you actually want to spend money on.First, we walk through a practical way to transition from individual stocks to a Golden Butterfly portfolio without getting paralyzed by detail. We talk about why macro allocation matters more than the exact ticker list, how to think about growth vs value exposure, and why simplifying inside retirement accounts is usually easier than in taxable accounts where capital gains can bite. We also share what we'd try to eliminate first when someone is de-risking for retirement.Next, we zoom out to retirement tax planning and charitable giving. We discuss why blanket advice on Roth conversion strategy and withdrawal order often fails, what it means to “disgorge” traditional IRAs before RMD age, and how qualified charitable distributions (QCDs) can be a quietly powerful tool for charitably inclined retirees.Then we tackle margin as a tool, not a lifestyle. We break down using a conservative Interactive Brokers margin backstop, how diversification can reduce drawdowns and margin-call risk, and why assets like Treasuries, gold, and managed futures show up again in risk parity style thinking. We also address a listener challenge on retiree inflation and why country, data vintage, and healthcare systems can flip the conclusion.If you like clear portfolio mechanics with real-world tradeoffs, subscribe, share the show with a friend, and leave a review so more DIY investors can find us.Support the show
The term premium — investors' compensation for holding longer-term Treasuries instead of T-bills — fluctuates with inflation uncertainty, federal deficit worries, and central banks' balance sheets. The New York Fed's Adrian, Crump, and Mönch model estimates the 10-year Treasury term premium is higher than before the pandemic but substantially lower than it was pre- GFC. The post-pandemic term premium will shape the path of longer-term Treasuries as bond investors consider what the new normal looks like. In this episode, we talk with Emanuel Mönch, Professor of Financial and Monetary Economics at the Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, about the models estimating the term premium, what's driven changes over the last forty years, and how it could shift under a Warsh-led Fed.
Mike Green returns to On The Tape discuss why U.S. equities hit record highs despite the Iran war and oil spike, arguing systematic 401(k) and volatility/trend strategies drove historic inflows and that markets had largely priced in fear via VIX, correlation, skew, and heavy hedging that later unwound. He critiques Nasdaq's new low-float multiplier rules as boosting demand for IPOs like SpaceX/OpenAI and warns S&P's proposal to waive profitability requirements could turn the index into a private-equity exit vehicle and alter its historical quality bias. Green views the Fed as mostly narrative-driven except during major rate shifts, faults data-dependence, and says inflation swaps don't show a breakout, while high rates act as a fiscal transfer that reinforces a K-shaped economy. He explains passive bond indexing can underweight long-duration Treasuries, potentially motivating buybacks/yield-curve-control-like actions. The conversation also covers AI capex, emerging AI-driven job restructuring favoring older workers, and Bitcoin's ETF-driven financialization and limited utility. Show Notes Checkout Mike's Substack: https://www.yesigiveafig.com/ Follow On The Tape on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe8y7CzcjhMPTzem-Zn6sqA —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Bitcoin has blasted past $81,000, but somehow that is not even the wildest story in crypto this week. In Episode 807 of The Bad Crypto Podcast, Joel Comm and Travis Wright break down a massive week where Bitcoin ETF inflows surged, Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin stack grew to nearly 4% of the total supply, Google committed up to $40 billion toward Anthropic, and AI agents began crossing into territory once reserved for humans: opening accounts, making payments, and deploying software. The boys also dig into the explosive growth of tokenized real-world assets, including Treasuries, gold, and stocks moving on-chain, plus the looming May 21st deadline for the Clarity Act and what it could mean for XRP and the broader crypto market. Crypto, AI, and traditional finance are no longer separate stories. They are becoming one very strange, very powerful story. Welcome to the future. Stay bad.Support the show: https://badcryptopodcast.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.