Podcasts about treasuries

In this episode, we discuss how Cheap U.S. Treasury valuations may explain part of the optics behind today's tight credit spreads, but fundamental and technical factors remain the primary drivers for market moves. The discussion and content provided within this podcast is intended for informational purposes only and may not be appropriate for all investors. Reliance upon information provided in a podcast is at the sole responsibility of the listener. The information included herein is not based on any particularized financial situation, or need, and is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, a forecast, research, investment advice or a recommendation for any specific PIMCO or other security, strategy, product or service. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Investors should speak to their financial advisors regarding the investment mix that may be right for them based on their financial situation and investment objective. Podcasts may involve discussions with non-PIMCO personnel and such content contain the current opinions of the speaker but not necessarily those of PIMCO. Other podcasts may consist of audio recording of an existing PIMCO article and such material contains the current opinions of the manager. The opinions expressed in all podcasts are subject to change without notice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. PIMCO as a general matter provides services to qualified institutions, financial intermediaries and institutional investors. This is not an offer to any person in any jurisdiction where unlawful or unauthorized. For additional important information go to CMR2026-0521-5513952-T

At the most sacred site on Earth to her, Emily got a download that isn't written in any history book — about who the Oracle of Delphi really was, and why.Part 2 of our Greece recap picks up in Athens with Malcolm's very last tour before he steps back for good, walks the Acropolis and the fight over the Parthenon Marbles, and ends on the two-hour bus ride to Delphi — where two guides who've never met told almost the same story about lights no one can explain, and where Emily received something she's still unpacking.Part 3 (Santorini) is coming soon — subscribe so you don't miss it.Got thoughts on what Emily channeled at Delphi? Tell us in the comments — we read every one.00:00 Delphi, Strange Lights, and a Message From Apollo00:50 Welcome to The Alchemist's Inkwell01:01 Returning to Greece for Malcolm's Final Tour03:30 Exploring Athens' Ancient Agora07:10 Malcolm, the Plaka, and Ancient Greek Gossip10:54 How Strangers Become Family on These Retreats13:35 Entering the Acropolis and the Parthenon17:05 The Acropolis Museum and Its Diorama-Obsessed Guide18:53 What the British Museum Took From Greece22:52 Traveling Through Mythology on the Road to Delphi24:57 Emily's 15-Year Connection to Apollo27:39 Arriving at the Sacred Site of Delphi29:43 Two Greek Guides Report the Same Strange Lights31:10 The Wind Answers Their Request31:51 The Treasuries and the Unsettling Christian Cross34:05 Why Ancient Greeks Prescribed Stories as Medicine35:59 Apollo, Dionysus, and Delphi's Seasonal Rituals37:10 A Channeled Revelation About the Oracles40:22 Final Thoughts and What Comes NextJoin our new LIVE show, The Alchemist's Inkspill, every Friday at 1pm EST/10am PST here on ⁠YouTube⁠ (and ⁠Instagram⁠ Live)!Connect with us across the internet + IRL!

Você está exposto ao dólar todos os dias — mas talvez ainda mantenha quase todo o seu patrimônio em reais.Neste episódio do Market Makers, Thiago Salomão e Leopoldo Rosa recebem Daniel Haddad para uma conversa sobre investimentos internacionais, dolarização, Selic, psicologia financeira e construção de patrimônio no longo prazo.Daniel explica por que investir fora do Brasil não significa apostar contra o país, mas reduzir a dependência de uma única moeda, economia e conjuntura política. A conversa passa por S&P 500, ETFs, Treasuries, renda fixa americana, diversificação global e preservação geracional de patrimônio.Qual percentual do seu patrimônio está investido fora do Brasil? Conte nos comentários.Abra sua conta na Binance: https://binance.onelink.me/y874/MMAkers

Contrary to the traditional flight-to-safety playbook, bond yields are rising alongside oil prices as war-driven inflation fears overwhelm demand for U.S. Treasuries as a haven asset. We examine why this unusual bond market behavior matters for every investor who holds fixed income, and what it signals about the durability of the post-pandemic rate environment.Today's Stocks & Topics: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (ZIM), Market Wrap, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), High Deficit on Bond Markets, Financial Planning, War Bonds vs. War Stocks: How Treasuries Are Really Responding to the Iran Conflict, KPP Newsletter, Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Newmont Corporation (NEM), Edison International (EIX), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), FCC Trying To Change Quarterly Earnings Rules.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Send us Fan Mail◆ Greenium reappears in unlikely place ◆ US banks splash out ◆ Is that all I'm worth? ◆ Cantor is comingA basis point might always be the same quantity, but is it a lot or a little? It depends whom you ask, and when. For supranational, sovereign and agency bond issuers in the dollar market, 1.7bp over Treasuries and 1.9bp over are two different things.Records keep falling as SSAs price ever closer to Treasuries. Last week the International Finance Corp got to 1.7bp — and it was clearly because its $2bn green bond attracted green-mandated investors, more willing to tolerate spread norms being shaved. Could the first new issue to go through Treasuries be a green bond?Across town, the big US banks, led by Goldman Sachs, have been pumping out huge bonds after their quarterly results. The usual big dollar issues have been replaced with bigger ones — and dropping whoppers in the euro market is also common now.The banks are anything but miserly with new issue premiums, seemingly happy to pay 10bp-15bp — in fact their largesse makes life awkward for other issuers. But they've got their eyes on bigger prizes.In Europe's CLO market, investors are ever so stingy. Managers active for decades, with dozens of deals behind them, can woo bondholders and present their credentials till they're blue in the face. Will investors give them credit for their experience with tighter pricing? A penny or two if they're lucky.Cantor, the New York broker-dealer led for over 30 years by Howard Lutnick till he took Trump's shilling as commerce secretary, is not nickel and diming. The firm is moving into European investment banking, starting with equity capital markets, M&A and trading.That takes wedge, and Cantor is dishing out plenty, hiring teams in Hamburg, Milan, Dubai and soon Stockholm. It's a big if, but if the bet pays off, the returns will not be measured in basis points.  

The DTCC processed live production trades involving tokenized stocks, ETFs, and U.S. Treasuries with participation from firms including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BlackRock, and Vanguard. Matt explains why this is one of the clearest signs yet that tokenization is moving beyond pilot programs and into the core infrastructure of U.S. financial markets.The episode also covers Orange Juice's plan to buy cash-flowing businesses and use them as Bitcoin treasury companies, Volvo's latest blockchain experiment, the ethics fight holding up the Clarity Act, and the Senate's unanimous opposition to any pardon for Sam Bankman-Fried. Matt also looks at Europe's post-MiCA compliance problems, Tether freezing $131 million connected to Iranian sanctions, and Visa finally acknowledging that stablecoins may be better suited than card networks for machine-to-machine micropayments.Happy Hodling, Everyone. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

16/7 Escalation in Iran, la guerra si intensifica. Trump valuta di espandere la campagna militare con truppe di guerra. 
Futures in verde, attesa per trimestrali: focus TSMC dopo i risultati da capogiro di Morgan Stanley e Blackrock. 
JPM, Blackrock e GS testano la tokenizzazione di titoli e bond.
Buffett: difficile trovare valore quando tutti scommettono.
Fink: non c'è così tanta leva rispetto al 2008, molto bullish sui mercati prossimi 12 mesi. 
Brent stabile: IEA usati 3/4 rilascio scorte autorizzato, import cinese a giugno -41%. Treasuries in calo dopo PPI: Warsh dice che AI sarà disinflattiva. 
Chip sell-off e rotazione verso hyperscaler: Philadelphia semiconductor in territorio correzione. 
Anthropic corre verso Ipo per battere OpenAi e Deepseek. Apple nuovo record storico: Via libera auorià cinesi a Apple Intelligence con integrazione Qwen di Alibaba, collaborerà anche con Baidu. Uber vuole Delivery Hero per 12,5 mld di euro. 

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Messaggio pubblicitario. Tasso lordo annuo variabile sulla liquidità depositata nel conto deposito non vincolato, composto da tasso base collegato al Tasso di Deposito BCE e tasso bonus discrezionale. Liquidità allocata presso banche partner e fondi monetari riconosciuti. Foglio informativo e condizioni su scalable.capital. Investire comporta dei rischi***
 Asia: domani world AI conference, parla Xi. Listini in rosso, Nikkei -2%. Kospi -6% (entra in territorio orso) con cali a doppia cifra di SK e Samsung. La banca centrale del Sud Corea alza i tassi al 2,75% per la prima volta in tre anni. Jensen Huang in tour in Giappone, partnership per AI fisica. Europa in verde, oggi inflazione in Italia. Bce rimane vigile, dice Nagel, chance aumento tassi settimana prossima sotto 20%.Assemblea ABI: M&A per Panetta non è automatismo. Giorgetti: ruolo del governo nelle banche si è esaurito. Messina su MPs: nostra offerta giusta. Unicredit: via libera Merz, S&P global premia l'istituto verso miglioramento rating due livelli. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Michael Kantrowitz of Piper Sandler assesses the broader market outlook and where he sees the next opportunities. Apple climbs to new highs as investors look beyond China concerns and focus on AI. Our Mackenzie Sigalos examines Apple's latest moves and the competitive landscape in China. Our Morgan Brennan brings exclusive comments from Arm CEO Rene Haas, offering insight into the future of AI, semiconductors and global chip demand. Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, explains how tokenized stocks and Treasuries could reshape financial markets and what the next phase of crypto adoption may look like. Jason Helfstein of Oppenheimer previews Netflix earnings. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

This week we had the exciting opportunity to travel to Lake Forest, California, to tour TAE Technologies' facilities and spend time with the company's CEO, Dr. Michl Binderbauer. Founded in 1998, TAE has spent nearly three decades pursuing one of the energy industry's most ambitious goals: commercializing a safe, sustainable, and economically viable source of fusion energy. With renewed momentum in the fusion industry, we thought it was the perfect time to visit TAE and better understand why many believe fusion's moment may finally be approaching. Our visit also marks the beginning of a California COBT series, where over the coming weeks, we'll highlight some of the state's innovative companies, technologies, and leaders. We will also touch on a challenge or two the state is facing. Stay tuned! In our discussion, Michl explains why he believes fusion has reached a true inflection point after nearly three decades of scientific and engineering progress. He outlines why TAE was founded with the “end in mind,” deliberately choosing the more technically challenging hydrogen-boron fuel cycle because it offered the best path to a commercially viable power plant rather than simply proving the science. We explore how advances in AI, machine learning, advanced computing, and materials science have accelerated development, why TAE believes commercial fusion is now measured in years rather than decades, and how the company is preparing to build its first demonstration power plant. We discuss TAE's innovative approach to commercializing technologies developed along the way, including its advanced power management platform that is finding applications in AI data centers, industrial facilities, and grid modernization. Michl shares his vision for fusion's role in delivering abundant, reliable energy to meet the world's rapidly growing electricity demand, the importance of recent U.S. regulatory reforms, the race with China to commercialize fusion, workforce and supply chain challenges, and why he believes fusion has become not only an energy opportunity, but also an economic and national security imperative. We look at what the next five years could look like for TAE, why hyperscalers, industrial customers, and the Department of War may become some of fusion's earliest adopters before widespread utility deployment, the company's long-term vision for a more distributed electric grid, and much more. It was a fascinating and wide-ranging discussion, and we greatly appreciate Michl for sharing his time and insights. To start the show, Mike Bradley noted that markets have been volatile this week. He highlighted that the cooler-than-expected CPI report sparked a rally in Treasuries, driving the 10-year yield down from roughly 4.65% to 4.55%, and said Wednesday's PPI report will be another important data point for the Fed. U.S. equities also moved higher, with the S&P 500 gaining approximately 0.5% on the back of the CPI report and strong bank earnings, while the Dow lagged following a sharp selloff in IBM shares after disappointing quarterly results. In commodities, Brent and WTI crude prices climbed roughly $8-$9/bbl this week following the collapse of the Iran-U.S. ceasefire and renewed disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. He emphasized that today's challenge is less a global crude supply issue than a global refining problem, citing tight refined product inventories and the loss of roughly 1.5 million bpd of Russian refining capacity following Ukrainian attacks. He also highlighted that European natural gas prices have surged from approximately $16/MMBtu to $19/MMBtu as storage levels remain 20%-25% below seasonal norms and buyers compete for LNG cargoes. Mike noted that Energy is the best-performing S&P 500 sector this week, up approximately 3%, as investors turn their attention to second-quarter oilfield services earnings. He also highlighted the newly announced strategic alliance between SLB and Liberty Energy focused on data center infrastructure and power solutions, noting that similar partnerships are likely to become increasingly common across the energy sector.

BM gave its investors a heads up about the upcoming quarter, and the market didn't like what management had to say. The company's pre-released earnings were lower than analyst expectations, and its raising questions about the spending priorities for IBM's clients. Plus, the big banks all had blowout earnings reports, and it isn't just from cashing in on the SpaceX IPO.Have a question? Email us; podcasts@fool.com Want to take the next step in your investing journey? Explore Motley Fool's Epic for our portfolio-centered investing experience, premium research, tools, and guidance: fool.com/epic Tyler Crowe, Matt Frankel, and Lou Whiteman discuss:- IBM's no good, horrible, no good, very bad day.- Shifting spending habits from enterprise clients.- America's biggest banks reaping huge windfalls- Mailbag: How to buy Treasuries?- Mailbag: What to make of ToastCompanies discussed: IBM, MU, GS, BAC, JPM, WFC, C, TOSTHost: Tyler CroweGuests: Matt Frankel, Lou WhitemanEngineer: Bart Shannon Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We're committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Episode #281 See what others have to say about the deal and join the conversation: https://passivepockets.com/forums-listing/discussion/new-deal-dlp-capital-preferred-credit-fund/ Check out the DLP Preferred Credit Fund for yourself: https://passivepockets.com/directory/deals/dlp-preferred-credit-fund/ This Episode In this special LP Deal Review episode, Chris Lopez is joined by Adam Cranmer and Pascal Wagner to evaluate DLP Capital's Preferred Credit Fund with Don Wenner, founder and CEO of DLP Capital. Don walks through the fund's strategy, target return profile, underwriting process, borrower standards, and how DLP approaches development, construction, bridge, mezzanine, and preferred equity lending in today's market. The discussion digs into why DLP focuses on housing that is affordable for working families, how the firm thinks about lending in high-growth Sunbelt markets, and what separates its Preferred Credit Fund from a senior secured lending fund. Don also addresses several of the key diligence questions LPs should be asking right now, including geographic concentration risk in Florida and Texas, loan-to-value and loan-to-cost metrics, borrower concentration, third-party validation, fund administration, internal controls, and how rising interest rates could affect the fund's risk profile. After Don leaves the conversation, Chris, Adam, and Pascal break down the fund from an LP perspective. They discuss what they like about DLP's track record, reporting, borrower quality, and institutional infrastructure, while also highlighting the risks they are watching closely, including mezzanine exposure, state concentration, self-dealing concerns, fees, macro uncertainty, and whether the return spread is attractive enough compared to risk-free alternatives. The episode closes with a broader conversation about how LPs should think about risk, liquidity, debt versus equity, and portfolio construction in an uncertain investing environment. Key takeaways: How DLP's Preferred Credit Fund targets monthly income through private real estate credit Why DLP focuses on housing affordability, experienced borrowers, and Sunbelt growth markets How Don compares mezzanine and preferred equity risk to senior secured lending fund risk What LPs should ask about loan-to-value, loan-to-cost, borrower concentration, and fund-level controls Why third-party audits, appraisals, loan tapes, and investor reporting matter in debt fund diligence How experienced LPs think about DLP's strengths, yellow flags, fees, concentration risk, and macro exposure Why each investor needs a clear portfolio thesis before choosing between cash, Treasuries, debt funds, or equity deals Join a community of passive investors. Start your FREE 7-day trial: https://passivepockets.com/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=none Listen to the PassivePockets Podcast Anywhere: https://lnk.to/passivepockets Subscribe to the Passive Investing Newsletter: https://www.biggerpockets.com/email-subscribe?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=none Join BiggerPockets for free: https://www.biggerpockets.com/signup?utm_source=owned_media Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.

Alex Shahidi, Managing Principal and Co-CIO at Evoke Advisors and co-portfolio manager of the RPAR Risk Parity ETF and UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF, returns to Lead-Lag Live for the next single-topic risk-parity conversation — this one focused on commodity producers as the inflation-hedging equity sleeve inside a modern balanced portfolio. Alex makes the structural case for owning commodity producer equities rather than commodity futures — the tax efficiency, the equity risk premium layered on top of the commodity exposure, and the 50+ year track record of outperforming global equities by roughly 2% a year. He walks through how RPAR and UPAR construct the sleeve using the broad Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources Net Return Index (roughly a third energy, a third industrial and precious metals, a third agriculture), why diversification within the sleeve matters more than picking a single subsector, and why the diversification benefit shows up most when it's needed most — 2022 (equities down 18%, producers up 15%), Q1 2026 (equities down 3%, producers up 20%), and the 1970s (13%+ annualized for a full decade of stagflation). He also gets candid about the behavioral difficulty of holding this sleeve as a standalone position — the 20-30% higher volatility versus global equities, the extended stretches where it deviates significantly from the broader market, and why rebalancing across the risk-parity buckets is what actually captures the long-run edge. The conversation closes with the practical case for RPAR versus a traditional 60/40: what inflation looks like when you zoom out over 100 years, why "low and stable" is the abnormal regime rather than the normal one, and where inflation-linked bonds fit alongside the commodity producer sleeve. Topics covered: (00:00) Opening — another Lead-Lag Live single-topic risk-parity conversation with Alex Shahidi (00:30) Alex introduces Evoke Advisors, RPAR and UPAR, and the risk-parity framework (02:18) Why commodity producer equities instead of commodity futures — tax efficiency and the equity risk premium (04:13) Devil's advocate: are gold miners and other producers actually equities in disguise? (05:09) How the broad producer index is constructed — energy, metals, agriculture, and why diversification within the sleeve matters (06:07) Contango, backwardation, and why the futures path complicates the futures-based approach (07:27) Historical case study — 2022 (equities -18%, producers +15%) and Q1 2026 (equities -3%, producers +20%) (08:50) The 1970s parallel — 13%+ annualized during a decade of stagflation (10:10) Why correlation is a byproduct — divergence shows up when you need it most (12:05) The 55-year track record — 2% annualized outperformance vs global equities, liquid and tax efficient (13:32) Currency exposure and dollar sensitivity in the producer sleeve (14:27) The behavioral challenge — 20-30% more volatile than equities and the discipline required to hold it (17:40) Rebalancing as programmatic mean reversion — why trimming winners matters over full cycles (19:37) Making the case for RPAR versus a traditional 60/40 — the inflation-hedge gap (20:36) Zooming out — 100 years of inflation history and why "low and stable" is the abnormal regime (21:31) Where inflation-linked bonds fit alongside the producer sleeve in a full risk-parity framework About Evoke Advisors: Evoke Advisors is a large, independent registered investment advisor headquartered in Los Angeles, co-founded by Alex Shahidi. The firm co-portfolio-manages the RPAR Risk Parity ETF and the UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF, both built on the principle that a balanced portfolio should diversify across economic environments — not just across asset classes. Where to find Alex and Evoke: Website: evokeadvisors.com RPAR + UPAR ETFs: rparetf.com The Lead-Lag Report: leadlagreport.com Sponsored by Evoke Advisors: The RPAR Risk Parity ETF (RPAR) and UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF (UPAR) offer diversified, all-weather exposure across global equities, Treasuries, TIPS, gold, and commodity producers — engineered to balance risk across four economic environments. Learn more at rparetf.com. Important disclosures: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of any fund before investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results. RPAR and UPAR are subject to market risk, interest rate risk, commodity risk, and other risks disclosed in the fund prospectus. Investing in commodity-related equities involves the risks of the underlying commodities markets, including significant price volatility. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. Support the show

Business and finance news from the Asia-Pacific.Oil extended gains and Treasuries held their losses after the standoff between the US and Iran intensified, raising concern that supply disruptions will reignite inflation and strengthen the case for higher interest rates.Brent climbed as much as 2.8% to $85.64 a barrel. The commodity jumped 9.6% on Monday — its biggest gain since May 2020 — after President Donald Trump reinstated the US blockade of Iranian ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz and demanded a 20% reimbursement on all other cargo shipped through the waterway. We spoke to Rob Haworth, Senior Investment Strategy Director at US Bank Wealth Management.For more analysis on how the new blockades are affecting oil prices and inflation, Bloomberg TV Hosts David Ingles and Yvonne Man talked to Chris Weston, Head of Research at Pepperstone.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Business and finance news from the Asia-Pacific. For analysis on the week ahead, highlighted by the US-consumer price report and two days of testimony from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, Bloomberg TV Host Shery Ahn spoke to Frederic Neumann, Chief Asia Economist at HSBC. Oil rose and Treasuries fell after the US launched another round of strikes against Iran, reviving concern that higher energy prices will keep inflation elevated and interest rates higher for longer. Brent crude climbed 4.4% to $79.35 a barrel as conflicting claims over the status of the Strait of Hormuz fueled speculation about potential supply disruptions. Treasuries dropped across the curve with the yield on the rate-sensitive two-year note climbing three basis points to 4.24%, the highest since February 2025. Australian and Japanese sovereign bonds also fell, while the dollar strengthened against all of its Group-of-10 peers. For more on this, Bloomberg TV Host Avril Hong talked to Mark Cranfield, Bloomberg Strategist.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Head to https://gamma.app/signup to check out GAMMA and start designing today!Japan may have finally figured out why the yen keeps getting crushed. And no — it's not because some hedge fund in New York borrowed a few billion yen and YOLO'd it into U.S. Treasuries. That's the cartoon version of the carry trade. That's the version financial media repeats because it sounds simple: borrow cheap yen, buy higher-yielding assets overseas, yen goes down. But that is not the real carry trade.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.facebook.com/FastMoney/videos/japanese-yen-is-flashing-major-warning-sign-for-market-bk-asset-managements-kath/2457269361418309/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYPAgPp29UIhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ubDFvdI02EQhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nnad9Bif87ohttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu

In this episode of The Wrap with Chris Whalen, Chris expects the Federal Reserve will deliver one rate hike before Labor Day despite Warsh's preference to delay—the White House has greenlit it to maintain Warsh's credibility as chairman, and this one hike will likely lead to more because incremental Fed policy changes don't stop at one when fighting inflation. The Iran ceasefire has shattered and won't be fixed: Iran has zero incentive to reach peace with the U.S., wants to tax Strait of Hormuz traffic, and will force Gulf states to build pipelines and avoid the strait entirely—oil refineries won't be rebuilt while shooting continues, causing permanent structural supply damage. U.S. oil stocks are at their lowest level in 20 years, diesel is up 30% this year and ripples through every part of the economy, and California is facing potential rationing after it runs down reserves and stops getting refined products from Asia. Whalen stands firm on his double-digit inflation call despite prediction markets showing lower odds, arguing the real economy—not market probabilities—determines consumer and producer behavior, and rising consumer inflation expectations (3.7% one-year) are changing psychology and forcing real estate hedging. Bank earnings next week will reveal whether credit costs continue rising as spreads widen between Treasuries and corporate bonds, signaling medium-term economic slowdown ahead as speculative companies lose financing access.Thank you to our sponsor, Monetary Metals. Learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/THEWRAP/Links:    The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/  The Wrap: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira866Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen    The Entropy Trap: https://www.amazon.com/Entropy-Trap-Physics-Knows-Markets/dp/B0H1ZP7NZX/ref=sr_1_1Use the code TheWrap2026 for 25% off your first year of The Institutional Risk Analyst https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/plans-pricingTimestamps:0:00 Warsh slow walking rate cut, White House greenlit one hike1:32 FOMC divided, one rate hike likely before Labor Day2:35 White House supporting Warsh to maintain credibility3:39 One hike doesn't typically happen alone4:42 Warsh reducing Fed presence, pulling back on forward guidance5:10 Fed's 2% target won't change consumer behavior on inflation7:29 Oil stocks at 20-year low, diesel shortage critical11:40 Iran ceasefire fragile, no incentive for lasting peace13:41 U.S. must build pipelines, avoid Strait of Hormuz14:08 Physical oil stocks depleted, refined products in short supply15:26 Diesel is political issue - impacts economy, employment16:06 California facing potential rationing without supplies16:36 Diesel up 30% this year, ripples through entire economy17:32 Double-digit inflation thesis still stands despite market skeptics18:46 Prediction markets vs real economy - spreads tell story20:06 Consumer inflation expectations hit 3.7% one-year (3-year high)20:27 Psychology of inflation changes spending and investment behavior21:34 Real estate traditional hedge, prices skyrocketing22:20 Spreads widening, economy slowing medium-term23:35 Earnings season next week - credit costs key indicator24:19 Midterms - Democrats take House, Trump faces impeachment25:32 Politics won't change, nothing gets done26:41 Pfizer building conversion collapsing, structural problems29:17 Bunker Hill Mining penny stock opportunity, silver revival31:28 Banks earnings - watch credit costs, mortgage issuers follow

On episode 250 of The Compound and Friends, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Downtown Josh Brown⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ are joined by Michael Cembalest to discuss: the strength of the U.S. dollar, China's challenge to American economic dominance, foreign demand for Treasuries, the federal debt reckoning, the rapidly changing AI investment landscape, Nvidia's growing competition, semiconductor cyclicality, and more! This episode is sponsored by Federated Hermes. Explore their full ETF lineup at https://federatedhermes.com/us Sign up for The Compound Newsletter and never miss out: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠instagram.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠twitter.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tiktok.com/@thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Federated Hermes Disclosure: ETFs are subject to risk and may lose value. Federated Securities Corp., Distributor. Before investing, carefully consider the fund's investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Read this and more information in the prospectus or summary prospectus available at FederatedHermes.com/us. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies joins Excess Returns to break down the current technical setup for the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, mega-cap tech, market breadth, sector rotation, international stocks and gold. We discuss why short-term momentum has weakened, what would confirm a more serious breakdown, how investors can use technical analysis for risk management, and where breakouts are appearing outside the AI and semiconductor trade.Katie Stockton on Xhttps://x.com/StocktonKatieFairlead Strategieshttps://www.fairleadstrategies.com/Fairlead Fundshttps://www.fairleadfunds.com/Main topics coveredWhy the S&P 500 is still in a long-term uptrend but showing short-term momentum lossHow Katie defines overbought and oversold using the stochastic oscillatorWhy the March monthly MACD sell signal became an unusual whipsawWhat the QQQs and Nasdaq 100 are saying about technology leadershipHow investors can use stop losses, hedges and moving averages to manage riskWhy the market has held up despite underperformance in the Magnificent SevenThe difference between market breadth and market leadershipWhy sector rotation is improving in healthcare, industrials, utilities, insurers and biotechHow sentiment indicators like the VIX and Fear and Greed Index fit into market timingHow the Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF uses trend following, sector rotation, Treasuries and goldWhat the charts are saying about emerging markets, developed international stocks and the U.S.Why gold has moved from a strong bull market into a more tactical trading environmentTimestamps00:00 Intro00:58 Why the S&P 500 is losing short-term momentum05:04 How overbought conditions can reset without a major decline08:39 Why whipsaws make confirmation so important12:02 What the QQQs are saying about technology leadership16:51 How to manage risk with stop losses and hedges20:07 Why the market held up despite Mag Seven weakness23:49 How market breadth differs from market leadership28:14 What sentiment indicators are saying about investor positioning32:58 Why the market is in a technical void36:00 Sector rotation beyond technology and semiconductors40:54 How the Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF manages drawdowns46:05 What international stock charts are saying versus the U.S.50:13 Why markets have been resilient despite geopolitical risk52:05 What the chart of gold is telling investors now

Ben Bennett, Head of Investment Strategy, Asia, shares his thoughts on why US treasury yields stayed elevated as the oil price fell, the latest developments in the AI story, and whether Chinese equities could replicate the huge gains seen in Korea.This podcast was recorded on 8 July 2026 and is hosted by Harry Brooks.All data is sourced from LSEG as at 7 July 2026 unless otherwise stated.For professional investors only. Capital at risk. For illustrative purposes only. Reference to a particular security is on a historic basis and does not mean that the security is currently held or will be held within an L&G portfolio. The above information does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

This week on Inside the Economy, we address what the future may hold for the economy following a period of strong market performance. Strong corporate earnings have helped drive the markets, but new money entering the markets has also played an important role. Where is some of that money being invested? Real disposable income has recently turned negative following a surge in inflation. What short term event caused that increase in inflation? Meanwhile, the personal savings rate has leveled off at 2 percent, which is more consistent with historical norms. What do consumer debt levels look like, including credit card balances and mortgage delinquencies? The mortgage backed securities (MBS) market is currently showing a current coupon MBS yield of 5.3 percent. Since the start of the Iran conflict, yields have moved higher, reflecting reduced market expectations for near-term rate cuts. Is the spread between mortgage backed securities and Treasuries tightening or widening? Finally, at the beginning of the Iran conflict, crude oil prices surged on concerns that the Strait of Hormuz could close. Where do oil prices stand today, and did the increase have any impact on consumers' travel plans? Tune in to learn more. Key Takeaways: • 3 Month T. Bill at 3.85% • 10-year Bond at 4.48% • Spot Gold price at $4,200

This week on Inside the Economy, we address what the future may hold for the economy following a period of strong market performance. Strong corporate earnings have helped drive the markets, but new money entering the markets has also played an important role. Where is some of that money being invested? Real disposable income has recently turned negative following a surge in inflation. What short term event caused that increase in inflation? Meanwhile, the personal savings rate has leveled off at 2 percent, which is more consistent with historical norms. What do consumer debt levels look like, including credit card balances and mortgage delinquencies? The mortgage backed securities (MBS) market is currently showing a current coupon MBS yield of 5.3 percent. Since the start of the Iran conflict, yields have moved higher, reflecting reduced market expectations for near-term rate cuts. Is the spread between mortgage backed securities and Treasuries tightening or widening? Finally, at the beginning of the Iran conflict, crude oil prices surged on concerns that the Strait of Hormuz could close. Where do oil prices stand today, and did the increase have any impact on consumers' travel plans? Tune in to learn more.   Key Takeaways: 3 Month T. Bill at 3.85% 10-year Bond at 4.48% Spot Gold price at $4,200

Don and Tom take on the latest crypto hype cycle, arguing that Bitcoin remains speculation—not a reliable store of wealth—and that putting crypto inside retirement accounts is especially dangerous. They discuss a new self-directed IRA crypto platform, the risks of private equity and alternative assets in retirement plans, and why “get rich quickly” pitches should set off alarm bells.Then they answer two listener questions. First, Mark from Ohio asks how to prepare a retirement portfolio for a likely market downturn and how withdrawals and rebalancing should work once retirement begins. Later, Doug from Utah asks whether market-linked CDs make sense compared with Treasuries and whether the “no downside” promise is worth the tradeoffs. Don and Tom explain why they dislike market-linked CDs, how bank brokers get paid to sell them, and why simpler fixed-income tools often make more sense.They wrap up with a warning about growing bank-related scam tactics and a publishing scam Don has been seeing aimed at authors.0:05 – Intro: one-star Bitcoin review and why crypto losses are hard to ignore1:16 – Bitcoin's drop, crypto volatility, and retirement-account crypto pitches2:42 – Self-directed IRAs, IRA Financial, and the “get rich quick” problem5:27 – Why crypto, private equity, and alternative assets can be dangerous in retirement plans6:58 – Why most people bought Bitcoin: speculation, not currency utility10:29 – Hot money shifts: crypto, gold, semiconductors, and chasing momentum12:20 – Don's bottom line on crypto as speculation vs. wealth storage13:16 – Listener question from Mark: preparing for a market downturn before retirement15:32 – Is an 80/20-ish portfolio too aggressive with retirement four years away?17:13 – Bonds vs. cash/CDs: what fixed income should do near retirement18:56 – Withdrawal strategy during a downturn and how rebalancing fits in20:46 – Listener question from Doug: market-linked CDs vs. Treasuries23:47 – Why Don and Tom dislike market-linked CDs26:42 – The danger of taking investment advice from a bank salesperson29:18 – Building Treasury and CD ladders through a brokerage instead31:23 – Banks training tellers to spot scam victims before money is lost34:04 – Don's author scam warning: fake book clubs and fake promotional offersQuestions? Comments? Click!

In this episode, we take a closer look at bonds and bond ETFs, including where they can fit in a portfolio, why duration matters, and why the traditional 60/40 portfolio may not behave the way many investors expect. We also break down the key differences between owning individual bonds and bond ETFs, using recent examples like long-term U.S. Treasuries versus short-term Treasury bills to show how interest rate risk can impact returns. We then turn to the new Avantis ETFs launched in Canada through CIBC, including why factor-based investing has attracted so much attention, how these funds differ from traditional market-cap-weighted index funds, and why investors should be careful not to treat them as a guaranteed shortcut to market outperformance. The funds may be interesting, but patience, expectations, and understanding the trade-offs still matter. Subscribe to our Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Our New Youtube Channel! Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode we answer emails from Joe, Ashley, and Chris.  First, we celebrate the early retirements and generosity of our listeners, spotlighting what retirement feels like when it is driven by joy and choice instead of fear. Then we answer a near-retirement question about bubble warnings, international investing, the proper way to use expert opinions, and how to build a risk parity style portfolio that can survive drawdowns and fund withdrawals.  With the help of Claude. And we discuss our Top of the T-shirt Campaign (Part Deux!) for the Father McKenna Center.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page (please mention Risk Parity Radio in the comment section with your donation):  Donate - Father McKenna CenterYours Truly on Jesse Cramer's Podcast:  Are You Hoarding, Hustling, or Harvesting in Retirement? - E144Video Summary Version:  The Harvesting Imperative: Structuring Retirement Around Well Being, Not MoneySlide Show Summary Version:  Jesse Cramer Presents The Three H's.pdf - Google DriveVideo Summary of RPR Episode 508:  RPR Episode 508 Illustrated: The Three H's of RetirementJeremy Grantham on the Long-View (forward to minute 42 for his diversification recommendations):  Jeremy Grantham ‘Almost Everything Looks More Attractive Than the US Equity Market' - YouTubeMichael Batnick (not Josh Brown!) Critique of CAPE Ratio-Based "Predictions":  Stocks Are More Expensive Than They Used to BeBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:You can do everything “right” for decades and still blow up retirement by making one mistake at the wrong time: heading into the drawdown years with a stock-heavy portfolio and no ballast. We kick off with a listener note that hits the best part of financial independence, retiring at 45 with true optionality and a plan built around joy instead of restriction. That story opens a bigger question: what is money for once you've already proven you can save it?We dig into the psychology of harvesting wealth and the practical realities of sequence of returns risk, especially in the five years before and after you stop working. We talk about spending that actually improves well being, including relationships, experiences, buying back your time, and giving, plus why so many high savers get stuck in hoarding or hustling modes. Along the way, we share updates on the Father McKenna Center and how listener generosity turns portfolio talk into real-world impact.Then we tackle a timely investing worry: bubble warnings and Jeremy Grantham's cautions around US equities and AI hype. We break down why opinion shopping is a dead end, why growth vs value diversification matters more than US vs international for drawdown safety, and how funds like long-term Treasuries, gold, and managed futures show up in resilient risk parity style portfolios such as the Golden Butterfly and Golden Ratio. We also cover TSP international limitations, plus our weekly portfolio reviews and July withdrawal amounts. If you found this useful, subscribe, share it with a friend who is near retirement, and leave a review so more DIY investors can find us.Support the show

Bitcoin ETFs finally snapped their 10-day outflow streak, bringing in more than $221 million in new inflows, but Matt explains why one positive day isn't enough to erase June's record $4.5 billion in institutional selling. He also dives into the growing stablecoin debate, arguing that while Congress continues pushing back against a Federal Reserve CBDC, privately issued stablecoins backed by U.S. Treasuries may ultimately become an even more powerful form of digital money.https://www.youtube.com/watch?is=ncQr95cy21vYsWT4&v=SHroBbNtcbk&feature=youtu.beThe episode also covers Securitize's public debut and tokenized shares on Solana and Avalanche, Metaplanet's continued Bitcoin accumulation, the IMF's latest warning on tokenization, Russia's rollout of the digital ruble, and Spotify's dispute with Kalshi and Polymarket after alleged manipulation of music-related prediction markets. Matt closes with his thoughts on why the biggest story in crypto may no longer be Bitcoin itself, but the race to build the financial infrastructure that will power the next generation of digital assets.Happy Hodling, Everyone. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.On today's podcast:1) Oil fell for a third day as flows through the Strait of Hormuz climbed and there were signs of progress in indirect talks between the US and Iran. Brent for September traded below $71 a barrel, after sliding more than 3% in the previous two sessions, while West Texas Intermediate was around $68. Oil supply through the critical waterway has reached more than 10 million barrels a day, underscoring Tehran’s now-limited ability to halt shipping, a US official said, while President Donald Trump hailed progress in negotiations.2) The latest bout of volatility in technology stocks entered a second day, with chipmakers in South Korea bearing the brunt of the selling. The dollar fell and Treasuries wavered ahead of the June US payrolls report.Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.4% after semiconductors led Wall Street lower in the previous session. S&P 500 contracts were flat. Memory makers SK Hynix Inc. and Samsung Electronics Co. lost a combined $290 billion in value to drive a 7.9% slump in South Korea’s Kospi index. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 rose 0.5%, with technology among only three of the 20 index sectors to lose ground.3) The SEC is looking into Susquehanna International Group’s allegations that unknown insider traders made $100 million on options bets ahead of a recent Chinese regulatory crackdown on cross-border brokerages, according to a person familiar with the matter.Susquehanna went public with its claims in a lawsuit filed Monday in Manhattan federal court. The US Securities and Exchange Commission is examining the trades described in the market-making firm’s complaint, said the person, who asked not to be identified discussing the confidential probe.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

【欢迎订阅】 每天早上5:30，准时更新。 【阅读原文】 标题：America's decaying Treasury market needs a fixHigh debt, disjointed markets and pugnacious trade policy all threaten the world's safe asset正文：Since Richard Nixon broke the link between the American dollar and gold in 1971, global finance has floated on a sea of Treasuries. No asset is more important than America's government debt. It provides a haven for investors at dangerous moments. Trillions of dollars of contracts and securities worldwide are priced with reference to Treasury bonds.知识点：float on a sea of phrase 本义为 “漂浮在……的汪洋之上”，外刊财经语境核心义为建立在海量/巨量的……基础之上；充斥着大量……的（本文特指自布雷顿森林体系解体、美元与黄金脱钩后，全球金融体系高度依赖并建立在发行量极其庞大的美国国债之上，犹如在国债的汪洋中运转）核心搭配：float on a sea of debt、float on a sea of liquidity、float on a sea of cash ・The tech startup boom floated on a sea of cheap venture capital. 这场科技初创企业的繁荣建立在海量廉价风险投资的汪洋之上。・During the pandemic, the global economy floated on a sea of government stimulus. 疫情期间，全球经济靠着巨量的政府刺激资金才得以维持运转。获取外刊的完整原文以及精讲笔记，请关注微信公众号「早安英文」，回复“外刊”即可。更多有意思的英语干货等着你！ 【节目介绍】 《早安英文-每日外刊精读》，带你精读最新外刊，了解国际最热事件：分析语法结构，拆解长难句，最接地气的翻译，还有重点词汇讲解。 所有选题均来自于《经济学人》《纽约时报》《华尔街日报》《华盛顿邮报》《大西洋月刊》《科学杂志》《国家地理》等国际一线外刊。 【适合谁听】 1、关注时事热点新闻，想要学习最新最潮流英文表达的英文学习者 2、任何想通过地道英文提高听、说、读、写能力的英文学习者 3、想快速掌握表达，有出国学习和旅游计划的英语爱好者 4、参加各类英语考试的应试者（如大学英语四六级、托福雅思、考研等） 【你将获得】 1、超过1000篇外刊精读课程，拓展丰富语言表达和文化背景 2、逐词、逐句精确讲解，系统掌握英语词汇、听力、阅读和语法 3、每期内附学习笔记，包含全文注释、长难句解析、疑难语法点等，帮助扫除阅读障碍。

Story of the Week (DR):JP Morgan's news weekThe Lurid Lawsuit, Salami Scandal and Trash-Can Thief Vexing JPMorgan's PR Department AND Meme of 'JPMorgan's HR Department in 2026' Has People in Stitches Amid Sex Scandal and Knicks Bin IncidentShe Stole a Knicks Trash Can Off the Street and Lost Her Job at JPMorganThe Trash Bin That Cost Her Career: Who Is Angie Báez? JPMorgan DEI Executive Fired After Viral Knicks Parade VideoThe Trash-Can Thief: Angie Báez, an Executive Director of Community and Industry Engagement at the bank, was captured on a viral video during the New York Knicks championship parade emptying a public trash bin onto a Manhattan sidewalk so she could steal the limited-edition, blue-and-orange Knicks-themed container.The Resolution: JPMorgan quickly terminated her employment after the video went viral. Báez eventually returned the trash bin and was issued $175 in sanitation fines.But what kinds of thing DON'T get you fired and get you fined?In 2023, JPMorgan Chase agreed to a $290 million (1,657,143x) settlement to resolve a class-action lawsuit from survivors of Jeffrey Epstein. The bank was accused of actively ignoring glaring red flags and helping bankroll Epstein's sex-trafficking operation for 15 years.Internal documents and later congressional probes revealed that the bank processed roughly 4,700 suspicious transactions totaling $1.1 billion for Epstein. They failed to file a single Suspicious Activity Report (SAR) until after his death.Who Kept Their Job? Mary Erdoes: The Head of Asset & Wealth Management was fully aware of Epstein's status as a high-risk sex offender, reviewed his account, and was directly implicated in internal communications regarding his status. She faced zero professional demotions and remains one of the top candidates to eventually succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO.In 2020, JPMorgan Chase entered a deferred prosecution agreement and agreed to pay a record $920 million (5,257,143x) to settle federal charges of market manipulation.For nearly a decade, traders on JPMorgan's precious metals and U.S. Treasuries desks engaged in "spoofing"—placing tens of thousands of fake, deceptive orders to artificially move market prices and maximize their own profits. The FBI stated that traders "openly disregarded U.S. laws."While a couple of mid-to-high-level traders (like Michael Nowak and Gregg Smith) were later criminally convicted and sentenced to prison, the executive leadership team responsible for supervising them and implementing compliance programs suffered no casualties. Top management stayed perfectly secure, chalking the multi-million dollar fraud up as the work of a few "bad apples."The Salami Scandal: Veteran wealth manager Brent Bodner was fired by JPMorgan in 2024 after he expensed a $642.50 deli platter (containing wings, sandwiches, and salads) for a Super Bowl gathering at his Beverly Hills home. The bank accused him of intentionally misclassifying a personal party as a pre-approved business meeting.Bodner counter-sued, jokingly dubbing the controversy the "salami incident." He argued that the event was a legitimate client-acquisition dinner that only two prospects ended up attending, and that the minor coding error was used as a pretext to push him out.The Resolution: A FINRA arbitration panel sided heavily with Bodner, ruling that JPMorgan acted preemptively out of paranoia that brokers were leaving for rivals. The panel ordered JPMorgan to pay Bodner $4.25 million in damages.The Lurid Lawsuit: Chirayu Rana, a former vice president on JPMorgan's leveraged finance team, leveled highly salacious allegations against his female supervisor, Executive Director Lorna Hajdini. Rana's lawsuit alleges he was subjected to a campaign of racial discrimination, severe harassment, and forced sexual relations under the threat of having his career sabotaged.The Resolution: Rana rejected a $1M settlement offer, countering with a demand for up to $22 million before escalating the fight to court. Both Hajdini and JPMorgan strongly deny the allegations as entirely fabricated, and the legal battle is moving toward a highly publicized trial.JPMorgan Chase promotes Petno, Rohrbaugh to copresidents, setting up two more successors for DimonThe Wait to Replace Jamie Dimon Keeps Getting Longer: Another potential successor, Marianne Lake, is leaving JPMorgan, as the longstanding chief executive enters his third decade atop the bank.How JPMorgan went from 3 female CEO contenders to an all-male succession raceJPMorgan named Doug Petno and Troy Rohrbaugh, current co-heads of the bank's commercial and investment bank, as co-presidents, setting them up as the frontrunners to succeed longtime CEO Jamie Dimon. Their promotions, the bank said in a press release, "are part of the Board's ongoing succession planning process."Petno and Rohrbaugh were among a handful of powerhouse candidates poised to succeed Dimon, including Jennifer Piepszak, chief operating officer, Marianne Lake, CEO of the commercial bank, and Mary Erdoes, CEO of asset and wealth management.Marianne Lake, a Potential Dimon Successor, Leaves JPMorganOne-time Retention and Continuity equity awards to the following Operating Committee members:Doug Petno, Co-President and CEO of the Commercial & Investment Bank, and Troy Rohrbaugh, Co-President and CEO of Consumer & Community Banking, in the amount of $30M each;Mary Erdoes, CEO of Asset & Wealth Management, and Jennifer Piepszak, Chief Operating Officer, in the amount of $20M each.JPMorgan Chase unveils $50 billion buyback, Goldman Sachs raises dividend after Fed stress testA 6 year study shows which CEOs are pushing RTO mandates: The ones with the biggest egosFortune 500 bosses demanding staff return to the office share one trait: narcissism, research findsA six-year study tracking corporate executives revealed that strict return-to-office (RTO) mandates are heavily driven by narcissism and executive ego, rather than actual employee productivityWharton organizational psychologist Adam Grant noted that researchers used reliable corporate proxies to quantify CEO narcissism, including the oversized scale of their compensation packages, the size of their signatures, and the prominence of their photos in company annual reports.The data showed that leaders with highly inflated self-opinions consistently coveted maximum power and status, making them the most aggressive opponents of remote work.Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan pushed hard for a 5-day-a-week return to the office. Why they're now letting employees work from homeGameStop CEO Cohen spurns $35 billion pay plan to focus on plan to buy eBayGameStop CEO on His eBay Pursuit: ‘I'm Not Going to Stop, I'm Not Going to Go Away'GameStop unveiled a compensation package worth roughly $35B for Ryan Cohen ​in January, hinging on a turnaround that requires him to lift the struggling company's market value more than tenfold and sharply boost its profit.In May, Cohen surprised Wall Street with an unsolicited offer to buy eBay for roughly $56 billion in cash and stock to ‌turn the e-commerce company into ⁠a bigger competitor to Amazon.EBay's board rejected the proposal, calling the offer "neither credible nor attractive."Cohen argued that he doesn't want the package ⁠so that GameStop's leadership can fully focus on its operating performance and the planned acquisition.SpaceX handed lowest possible ESG rating by MSCI: Triple C score puts Elon Musk's company on par with Russia after 2022 invasion of UkraineMusk 'most obvious risk' following SpaceX's lowest possible ESG rating“Board of Directors: The SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES board currently has an independent majority, which enables it to more effectively fulfill its critical function of overseeing management on behalf of shareholders. The company has failed to split the roles of CEO and chairman, which may limit the board's independence from current management interests. Split CEO and chairman roles are characteristic of 67% of companies in this market.”Welltower CFO's $167 million pay package sets new recordWelltower's Tim McHugh is the new highest-paid finance chief among the biggest U.S. companies. His $167 million pay package in 2025 not only dwarfs that of his CFO peers but also outpaces the compensation of many CEOs.McHugh's pay at Welltower, a real-estate investment trust focused on rental housing for seniors, surpasses the $139 million compensation package received by Tesla's Vaibhav Taneja in 2024. This puts him more than $135 million above Alphabet's Anat Ashkenazi, the next highest-paid CFO in 2025. And it secures him a spot in the club of executives making $100 million or more, a group that remains rare.Here's what the article DID NOT MENTION: CEO Shankh Mitra: $821MGoodliest of the Week (MM/DR):DR: Scientists Say New Method Turns Coffee Grounds Into High-Potency Renewable FuelAccording to a press release from South Korea's National Research Council of Science and Technology, a team of researchers at the Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources (KIGAM) have developed a method to convert spent coffee waste into high-quality charcoal, known as biochar.While that's a feat in and of itself, the kicker is the method's blistering speed: it takes just 90 seconds from start to finish, with no drawn-out drying process or oil separation required. According to the release, the new technique solves a major issue in extracting the latent energy potential of spent coffee beans.DR: Bill to raise minimum wage to $25 an hour will be introduced in Senate DR MMThe bill would incrementally increase the minimum wage from its current rate of $7.25, with the first jump to $12 an hour in the first year of enactment. Major corporations would have six years to work up to a $25 minimum wage, while smaller employers would have a 13-year runway. The legislation would also do away with subminimum wages for tipped workers, such as restaurant servers, youth workers and workers with disabilities. Nearly half of the American workforce makes less than $25 an hour.DR: Federal judge blocks new law aimed at ESG, DEI investing decisionsA federal judge has blocked Kansas from enforcing a new law that requires institutional investment advisers to make certain disclosures when recommending against company management on issues, including environmental, social and governance principles.U.S. District Judge Holly Teeter on Wednesday issued a preliminary injunction halting enforcement of law enacted last session that two major national institutional investment advisers said was unconstitutional because it discriminated based on speech.MM: MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last yearAssholiest of the Week (MM):CEO SPEED ROUND - ONE HEADLINE, ONE CEO, ONE LINERTim Cook - It's pretty sweet to quit your job and let the new guy fight the union: Apple closed America's first unionized store and blocked workers from transfers — now the union is fighting backJamie Dimon - It was easy - we just pointed to the ones with boobs and said “Not you”: How JPMorgan went from 3 female CEO contenders to an all-male succession raceZuck - The best thing about being a little man king with no accountability is I can randomly change and unchange and rechange my mind… about people's lives: Meta pauses an AI training program that tracks employees' keystrokes after an internal leakLarry Fink - Have you SEEN the size of my signature??? Fucking come to work: A 6 year study shows which CEOs are pushing RTO mandates: The ones with the biggest egos“In the six-year study, researchers collected data on Fortune 500 CEOs, using behavioral proxies—signature size, photo size in annual reports, pay gap relative to peers—to construct narcissism scores. The higher the score, the more likely a CEO was to publicly oppose remote and hybrid work and seek additional status (like a board chairmanship). In a separate experiment, CEOs whose egos were primed—by reflecting on the assertive leadership styles of Steve Jobs and Larry Ellison—showed significantly greater opposition to working from home than a control group”Andy Jassy - Now we know EXACTLY when you're wasting our time peeing in a bottle instead of working: Amazon is on a mission to optimize warehouse work. Its latest test puts wearable devices on support staff.Nikesh Arora - If you just said, “Who?”, you better pay attention because I have important things to say: Palo Alto Networks CEO: We're in 'a Darwinian moment' where employees have to prove their AI skills - BRONZE ASSHOLESatya Nadella - If I complain about how everyone TALKS about AI, does that make me sound more sympathetic?: Microsoft's CEO Takes Aim At AI Companies: 'We Have To Walk The Walk' To Convince The Public - GOLDEN ASSHOLEJeff Bezos - I mean, if I'm honest, everyone is terrible and should be laid off: Jeff Bezos Called Washington Post His Worst Investment and Staff He Laid Off ‘Terrible' People - SILVER ASSHOLEBrian Moynihan - I mean, or your kid was late to school because they forgot to make their card for teacher appreciation day, you didn't eat breakfast, and you rushed in to work from the office as fast as you could because working from home isn't allowed anymore: By 7 a.m., Bank of America's CEO has already read 5 newspapers, his email inbox, and hit the gym—he says if you're late to meetings, you're ‘selfish'Dave Ramsey - 0.0001% of Musk's worst day could end hunger ON EARTH, but sure, take away Halloween and pets from the rest of us: Dave Ramsey Says 20% of Americans' Halloween and Pet Budgets Could End Hunger: 'There'd Be No Hungry Kids'Headliniest of the WeekDR: Beloved Grandmother Was Standing in Her Own House When a Tesla, Allegedly on Autopilot, Smashed Through the Wall and Killed Her in Grandchildren's PlayroomA popular password manager was hit by a hack. What you need to know—and how to keep your data safeMM: Ryanair says it will reluctantly not charge parents to sit next to childrenMM: Elon Musk will get a billion shares of SpaceX if he can settle a million humans on MarsJust make it 10 trillion shares if he can safely land Gus who sleeps at the bus station on NeptuneWho Won the Week?DR: The MotherS(C)hIpMM: ESG RatingsPredictionsDR: Symbolically giving up your $35 billion CEO pay package becomes the new $1 salary: proxy statements will say: “Our CEO generously waived his $35 billion pay package as a gesture of sacrifice to lead by example, preserve corporate cash, and show solidarity with displaced workers and stressed stakeholders.”MM: Ryanair announces a new fee children can pay to sit AWAY from their parents

Yields dos Treasuries sobem e o ouro aprofunda perdas antes do PCE, que deve acelerar a 3,4% em 12 meses, reforçando a postura dura do Fed

Paul Merriman joins host Roben Farzad on Full Disclosure for a rare conversation alongside Ben Carlson, director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth and author of the new book Risk and Reward: How to Handle Market Volatility and Build Long-Term Wealth. Roben called it a “truth teller tandem” — the first time these two have sat down together — and the result is an hour of warm, candid, data-grounded talk about how individual investors can actually succeed.The conversation opens with a great question: does a century of S&P 500 history mean anything when index funds didn’t even exist for most of it? Paul explains why those long-run numbers still matter — not as a promise of the next ten years, but as a guide to the full range of what markets can do. From there, Paul and Ben trace just how far investing has come since Paul entered the business in 1966: the death of the 8.5% sales load, the arrival of IRAs and 401(k)s, fractional shares, and commission-free trading. As Ben puts it, the barriers to entry have been bulldozed, and today’s investor has a better shot at strong net returns than ever before.But more choices bring more temptation. Paul and Ben dig into diversification as a risk-management tool — why a tilt toward small-cap value and a meaningful allocation to international stocks can pay off over a lifetime, even when the S&P 500 is dominating the headlines. They revisit the lost decade of 2000–2009, the lessons of Japan’s 1989 peak, and the hard discipline of rebalancing into the pain when an asset class is out of favor.They also get practical about the things keeping investors up at night: inflation as one of the biggest risks most people underestimate, the real trade-offs in today’s bond market and long-duration Treasuries, and an honest look at the FIRE movement — including why meaning, longevity, and a 30- or 40-year retirement complicate the dream of retiring early. Throughout, Paul shares his own story, including why, at 82 and with more than he needs, he still holds half his portfolio in equities because of a caution he’s carried since his twenties.Ben closes with the thought that may stay with you longest: the most important thing an investor can understand is not the market — it’s themselves. Knowing which mistake you’d regret more, and what you can truly live with, is the foundation everything else is built on.

Oil prices are down big. And if you only looked at the headline, the explanation seems obvious: Iran peace deal, supply normalization, geopolitical risk premium coming out. Except that is not what the market is really saying. Or should I say markets plural. There is a lot going on across various curves that shed a very different light on the crude plunge. Big changes in Treasuries, huge, huge shift in TIPS, more than you'd think, and of course oil prices themselves. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you have a retirement account and you've been wondering whether crypto belongs inside it, BlockTrustIRA is something worth looking into. Most crypto IRA platforms are self-directed. They give you access, but you still have to decide what to buy, when to sell, and when to rebalance.BlockTrustIRA is different. Right now, eligible viewers can get up to a $2,500 crypto bonus when they open and fund an account. Terms, conditions, funding minimums, and eligibility requirements apply.To learn more, go to https://eurodollarcrypto.com.This is a Paid advertisement. Not financial, investment, tax, or retirement advice. Crypto is volatile and may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms apply----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Oil Market Report - June 2026https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-june-2026https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/eduhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.On today's podcast:1) President Trump signed an interim deal to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, despite criticism from Republicans. The memorandum of understanding is now in effect, and it envisions the rapid reopening of the strait and immediate sanctions waivers for Iranian oil. The deal has prompted criticism from some of Trump's allies, who say it amounts to a victory for Tehran and that the US is conceding too much, with talks on nuclear issues and potential further financial gains for Iran to follow.2) Traders dumped short-term Treasuries and bet on interest rate hikes after Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh made clear the central bank won’t tolerate high inflation. The hawkish message was driven home by the projections of individual Fed members, half of whom expect to raise rates by the end of the year. The Fed’s message triggered repositioning in markets, with futures traders expecting a quarter-point rate hike by October and 30-year Treasury yields slipping to the lowest since late April.3) A ticker-tape parade celebrating the NBA Champion New York Knicks will step off at 10 a.m. from Bowling Green in Lower Manhattan, traveling north along Broadway, and concludes at City Hall Plaza with a ticketed ceremony. The city is preparing for enormous crowds, with spectators expected to number in the millions, and the NYPD will have 10,000 officers at the event. Viewing areas along the route open at 6 a.m., and police will close access points once viewing areas reach capacity, while the mayor’s office gave away 600 tickets to the City Hall ceremony in a public lottery.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

O Fed manteve a taxa de juros entre 3,5% e 3,75%, mas a grande bomba foi a mudança drástica de postura com o novo presidente, Kevin Warsh! O comunicado foi encurtado, o forward guidance foi abolido e o mercado já projeta uma possível alta de juros para dezembro.Neste vídeo, analiso as 5 forças-tarefas que vão reformular o Federal Reserve (comunicação, balanço, dados econômicos, produtividade e inflação) e como as bolsas e o dólar estão reagindo em tempo real.00:00 - Decisão do Fed e reação do mercado00:35 - Kevin Warsh assume e promete mudanças01:27 - Mudança drástica no novo comunicado04:27 - Fim oficial do Forward Guidance05:40 - As 5 forças-tarefas de reformulação06:21 - O fim do famoso Dot Plot07:33 - Revisão do balanço do Fed08:31 - Mudança nas fontes de dados econômicos11:59 - Frequência das coletivas de imprensa revisada14:16 - Novas expectativas: alta de juros em dezembro15:10 - Reação das bolsas, dólar e Treasuries

Nvidia just raised $25 billion in its first bond sale since 2021. The catch is that Nvidia didn't need the money. The company generated $50 billion in operating cash last quarter, holds $13 billion on the balance sheet, and authorized $80 billion in buybacks. So why borrow?The order book is the story. Demand reached $85 billion, more than three times the final deal size. Nvidia started targeting $20 billion and raised the offering to $25 billion before pricing. The longest-dated tranche came in at just 65 basis points over Treasuries after tightening 25 points from initial guidance. Investors weren't accepting Nvidia's credit, they were competing for it.This episode breaks down what that means. The deal is five times the size of Nvidia's 2021 bond sale and over twelve times the 2016 offering. It's split across seven tranches with maturities from 2 to 30 years, which lets Nvidia lock in long-term financing at near-historic low credit spreads. The US-Iran agreement has pulled investment-grade risk premiums back to pre-conflict levels, and high-grade bond funds have logged 13 straight months of inflows.The broader pattern matters more than the single deal. Alphabet, Amazon, and other AI hyperscalers have been raising similar bond debt to fund data center buildouts. Nvidia joining sets a new credit benchmark for the sector and gives bond investors a way to position around the AI capex cycle without buying equity. For a company with a $5.15 trillion market cap and over $200 billion in projected free cash flow this fiscal year, this isn't a liquidity move. It's a market signal.We cover what the proceeds are actually for (refinancing, general corporate purposes, and the buyback program), why bond investors wanted more than Nvidia was willing to sell, what a 3x oversubscription tells us about confidence in the AI hardware cycle, and whether this is the top of the cycle or the middle.Nvidia bond sale, NVDA bonds, AI infrastructure, AI capex, investment grade bonds, AI hyperscalers, Nvidia stock, AI bubble, data center spending, credit markets.

Ty J. Young, CEO of Ty J. Young Wealth Management, expects the Fed to hold rates steady as inflation remains persistent and recent treasury auction results signal underlying market dynamics. He also discusses the Fed's internal debates and why greater transparency could benefit investors. Young adds perspective on current market volatility and how his firm is positioning client portfolios.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Americana Partners LLC Market Commentary is a financial podcast for investors, clients, and market-focused listeners who want clear perspective on the economy, investing, and portfolio strategy. Hosted by Melissa Giles and based on the market views and special reports of David M. Darst, Chief Investment Officer at Americana Partners, the show breaks down monthly market commentary, economic conditions, investment strategy, asset allocation themes, and the forces shaping today's financial markets. Each episode is designed to help listeners better understand market trends, long-term investing, and how to think clearly in changing environments. If you are looking for a smart, approachable source for market updates, economic outlook, wealth management insight, portfolio positioning, and investment commentary, subscribe to stay informed with timely perspectives from Americana Partners.   Join Our Distribution List – For a full copy of our report. 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The ISM manufacturing index, also known as the purchasing managers' index (PMI), is a monthly indicator of U.S. economic activity based on a survey of purchasing managers at more than 300 manufacturing firms. The Composite Index of Leading Indicators, otherwise known as the Leading Economic Index (LEI), is an index published monthly by The Conference Board. It is used to predict the direction of global economic movements in future months. A bond rating is a letter-based credit scoring scheme used to judge the quality and creditworthiness of a bond. The option adjusted spread (OAS) measures the difference in yield between a bond with an embedded option, such as an MBS or callables, with the yield on Treasuries. Mean reversion, in finance, suggests that various phenomena of interest such as asset prices and volatility of returns eventually revert to their long-term average levels. A meme stock is a security that has seen an increase in trading volume after going viral on social media or an online forum. This document may contain forward-looking statements relating to the objectives, opportunities, and the future performance of the U.S. market generally. Forward looking statements may be identified by the use of such words as; “believe,” “expect,”“anticipate,”“should,”“planned,”“estimated,”“potential”and other similar terms. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, estimates with respect to financial condition, results of operations, and success or lack of success of any particular investment strategy. All are subject to various factors, including, but not limited to general and local economic conditions, changing levels of competition within certain industries and markets, changes in interest rates, changes in legislation or regulation, and other economic, competitive, governmental, regulatory and technological factors affecting a portfolio' operations that could cause actual results to differ materially from projected results. Such statements are forward-looking in nature and involve a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, and accordingly, actual results may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. Prospective investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward looking statements or examples. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, modified or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Americana Partners. 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Marty sits down with Vince Lanci to discuss his new book As Good as Gold, why the global financial system actually runs on collateral rather than currency, and how a quiet, controlled transition is underway from U.S. Treasuries to gold, Bitcoin, and a multipolar collateral framework. Vince on X: https://x.com/Sorenthek As Good As Gold: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/as-good-as-gold-the-return-of-real STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Bitkey https://bitkey.world/ Aven https://www.aven.com/bitcoin CrowdHealth https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Salt of the Earth: https://drinksote.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/

Bob sits down with economists Alexander Salter and Joshua Hendrickson to discuss their new paper arguing that the standard Austrian critique of the Fed while correct, is fundamentally incomplete. They argue that the Fed's actual institutional role is to backstop U.S. dollar hegemony: the deliberately constructed post-Bretton Woods system in which the dollar serves as the world's reserve currency, U.S. Treasuries as the global safe asset, and the Fed as buyer of last resort for sovereign debt worldwide.Related:Hendrickson & Salter, "Should We End the Fed? Can We?": Mises.org/HAP553a

Bob sits down with economists Alexander Salter and Joshua Hendrickson to discuss their new paper arguing that the standard Austrian critique of the Fed while correct, is fundamentally incomplete. They argue that the Fed's actual institutional role is to backstop U.S. dollar hegemony: the deliberately constructed post-Bretton Woods system in which the dollar serves as the world's reserve currency, U.S. Treasuries as the global safe asset, and the Fed as buyer of last resort for sovereign debt worldwide.Related:Hendrickson & Salter, "Should We End the Fed? Can We?": Mises.org/HAP553a

Alex Gurevich talks about the next perfect trade! We discuss major shifts in the macro investing landscape, including the breakdown of the traditional stock-bond relationship, why U.S. Treasuries no longer act as a reliable flight-to-safety asset, and how inflation, fiscal policy, and changing market regimes are reshaping investment strategies. Alex shares his framework for identifying high-probability trades, explains why he believes interest rates could ultimately return to zero if the labor market weakens, and discusses opportunities and risks in global markets, currencies, gold, emerging markets, and China. We also explore the long-term impact of artificial intelligence on productivity, employment, and economic growth and more! We discuss...  The breakdown of the traditional stock-bond relationship and how it is changing portfolio diversification strategies. Why U.S. Treasuries are no longer acting as a reliable flight-to-safety asset and what that means for investors. The impact of inflation, fiscal policy, and shifting market regimes on the macroeconomic outlook. Why labor market trends remain the most important factor influencing future Federal Reserve decisions. The possibility that interest rates could eventually return to zero if economic growth and employment weaken. Investment opportunities and risks across currencies, bonds, emerging markets, and international equities. The relative attractiveness of gold, U.S. Treasuries, and other hard assets in the current environment. China's economic challenges, AI ambitions, and its position in the global race for technological leadership. How artificial intelligence is driving investment, productivity gains, and economic growth across multiple sectors. The potential for AI-driven job displacement and a temporary economic adjustment period before larger long-term benefits emerge. Key market risks stemming from geopolitical conflict, energy prices, and evolving global economic dynamics. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/next-perfect-trade-alex-gurevich-824 

In this episode, Collin Martin and Liz Ann Sonders focus on the outlook for equities, fixed income, and the overall U.S. economy in the second half of 2026. They begin by discussing recent inflation data, noting that while CPI remains elevated, core inflation came in slightly better than expected. Both agree inflation is not quickly returning to the Fed's target, but easing expectations and stable inflation expectations suggest the Federal Reserve can remain patient for now. The key risk is whether higher prices, especially at the pump, begin to erode consumer spending, as real wages have turned negative year over year. From a policy perspective, Collin expects the Fed to stay on hold through year-end, despite the fed funds futures market pricingin a potential hike. He emphasizes that short-term yields should remain steady, while longer-term Treasury yields may stay elevated due to persistent inflation, heavy Treasury issuance, and global rate pressures. In this environment, he suggests favoring short-to-intermediate bond durations and selectively considering credit risk via investment-grade corporates, high yields, and preferred securities. Liz Ann focuses on the outlook for equity investors, highlighting a shift back to a negative correlation between bond yields and stocks—more characteristic of inflation-driven regimes. Her midyear forecast points to a solid economic backdrop, led by resilient GDP growth, strong capital spending tied to AI, and a healthy labor market, though some early warning signals are emerging in survey-based employment data. The episode closes with a cautious but constructive outlook: no immediate recession signals, but investors should consider prioritizing diversification, risk management, and periodically rebalancing as markets navigate inflation, policy uncertainty, and evolving leadership trends. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.  If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-linked securities issued by the US Government whose principal value is adjusted periodically in accordance with the rise and fall in the inflation rate. Thus, the dividend amount payable is also impacted by variations in the inflation rate, as it is based upon the principal value of the bond. It may fluctuate up or down. Repayment at maturity is guaranteed by the US Government and may be adjusted for inflation to become the greater of the original face amount at issuance or that face amount plus an adjustment for inflation. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are guaranteed by the US Government, but inflation-protected bond funds do not provide such a guarantee. Preferred securities are a type of hybrid investment that share characteristics of both stock and bonds. They are often callable, meaning the issuing company may redeem the security at a certain price after a certain date. Such call features, and the timing of a call, may affect the security's yield. Preferred securities generally have lower credit ratings and a lower claim to assets than the issuer's individual bonds. Like bonds, prices of preferred securities tend to move inversely with interest rates, so their prices may fall during periods of rising interest rates. Investment value will fluctuate, and preferred securities, when sold before maturity, may be worth more or less than original cost. Preferred securities are subject to various other risks including changes in interest rates and credit quality, default risks, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, deferral risk, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. High-yield securities and unrated securities of similar credit quality (junk bonds) are subject to greater levels of credit and liquidity risks and may be more volatile than higher-rated securities. High-yield securities are considered predominately speculative with respect to the issuer's continuing ability to make principal and interest payments. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions Negative correlation refers to investments that tend to move in opposite directions: when one rises, the other falls. A hyperscaler is a large-scale cloud service provider that offers vast computing, storage, and networking resources through a distributed infrastructure of interconnected servers and software. (0626-WG7N)   Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Investors often use inflation swaps and breakevens — the difference in yields between nominal Treasuries and TIPS — to deduce market participants' inflation expectations. These measures also change from new TIPS issuance, shifting inflation risk, and a liquidity premium, however, making them imprecise gauges of estimates for future inflation. In this episode, we talk with Mike Ashton, Managing Principal at Enduring Investments, about how TIPS and swaps compensate investors for inflation, how closely they reflect inflation expectations, and what they tell us about expectations for the War in Iran. Simply Put: Expert perspectives on the trends influencing fixed income, banking, and the macro landscape, hosted by FHN Financial's Macro Strategist, Will Compernolle. Tune in to better understand what's moving the markets and what to keep an eye on in the weeks and months ahead. Listen and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.

Ondo Finance is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that bridges traditional finance and blockchain by tokenizing real-world assets (RWAs). It allows users globally to gain on-chain exposure to secure, income-generating assets, such as U.S. Treasuries and publicly traded equities. ~This episode is sponsored by Uphold~ Uphold Staking ➜ https://bit.ly/UpholdStakingPB GUEST: Ian De Bode, CEO at Ondo Finance Buy Ondo Stocks on Jupiter ➜ https://bit.ly/ONDOjupiter 00:10 Sponsor: Uphold 00:60 DTCC mob boss 02:10 Top tokenized stocks platform 04:20 Why are you still 24/5? not 24/7 06:10 Holding pre-IPOs during launch 08:20 ONDO perps launch date? 10:10 SpaceX reckoning? 12:00 Will SpaceX trigger circuit breaker? 13:00 SpaceX to sell Bitcoin for excess cash? 14:15 Tokenized shares of private companies 16:00 24/5 vs 24/7? 17:30 Explain Ondo x DTCC relationship 21:45 Is going through the DTCC the only way? 23:00 ONDO distribution 24:30 Does ONDO need clarity to pass? 26:00 Will ONDO benefit if CLARITY doesn't pass? #Crypto #Ethereum #Ondo ~Ondo About To Explode

Today we talk the investing secrets for IPOs, Bitcoin, and AI. There is also growing market uncertainty as strong earnings, resilient employment data, and a potential SpaceX IPO collide raise concerns. A small group of AI and semiconductor stocks have driven most market gains while many sectors have remained flat, raising concerns about narrow market leadership and investor complacency. We examine how stronger-than-expected jobs data could keep interest rates elevated for longer and create headwinds for stocks and cryptocurrencies. We also cover Bitcoin's cyclical boom-and-bust patterns, the importance of risk management, the growing role of gold in global central bank reserves, and emerging long-term investment themes such as AI infrastructure, nuclear power, electrification, robotics, and space technology.  We discuss...  The growing market divergence as AI and semiconductor stocks continue to drive gains while most sectors remain flat. How strong earnings results have failed to lift the broader market despite solid corporate performance. Why stronger-than-expected jobs data could keep interest rates higher for longer and delay potential Fed rate cuts. The impact of liquidity conditions on stocks, cryptocurrencies, and overall market sentiment. Signs that the economy may be entering a late-cycle phase characterized by tighter financial conditions and rising IPO activity. The risks and opportunities surrounding the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO and what history suggests about buying newly public companies. Bitcoin's historical boom-and-bust cycles, potential downside targets, and the importance of managing risk in crypto investing. Why investors should focus on their own investment strategy instead of chasing the market's hottest trends. Housing affordability challenges and the widening gap between the costs of owning and renting a home. Gold surpassing U.S. Treasuries as the largest reserve asset held by global central banks. Emerging investment themes including AI infrastructure, nuclear energy, electrification, robotics, quantum computing, and space technology. The importance of diversification and risk management in a market increasingly driven by a small group of high-performing stocks.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/investing-secrets-for-ipos-823 

"Opportunity cost" analysis could make you think that every dollar you spend is ruining your future retirement finances. We address this way of thinking in today's "Ask Me Anything" episode.  Looking for a financial planner?  → PlanWithJesse.com Jesse explores three listener questions spanning core retirement planning tradeoffs. First, he unpacks the concept of opportunity cost, arguing that while it's mathematically valid to project small spending decisions (like vacations or food choices) into large future dollar amounts using compound growth, doing so at an aggressive portfolio return can become misleading and behaviorally counterproductive. He emphasizes the importance of distinguishing frugality from harmful "cheapness" and highlights that many expenses also deliver real utility, not just cost. Second, he evaluates Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), explaining how they work, how they differ from I Bonds, and why they are useful for inflation hedging but not a complete substitute for equities or traditional bonds due to lower expected returns and interest rate risk. Third, he examines portfolio construction across multiple accounts, contrasting simple mirrored allocations with more tax-efficient asset location strategies. While optimized asset location can improve outcomes, he concludes the benefit is relatively modest compared to higher-impact financial decisions, reinforcing a prioritization framework for retirement planning decisions. Key Takeaways: • Opportunity cost is mathematically valid but often misused in personal finance discussions. • Frugality and being "cheap" are not the same—cutting essential spending can reduce quality of life disproportionately. • Applying opportunity cost logic universally leads to absurd conclusions (e.g., coffee, schooling, healthcare). • TIPS returns are typically lower than nominal Treasuries due to inflation protection. • A blended approach (TIPS + Treasuries) can balance inflation protection and flexibility. • Financial planning should prioritize high-impact decisions before optimizing tax placement.  Key Timestamps: (01:03) – Question 1: Opportunity Cost: Being Cheap vs. Frugal (06:47) – Does It Make Sense Mathematically? (09:32) – Shockingly Not-So-Simple Social Security (13:27) – Isn't the Trip Worth the Money? (18:23) – Question 2: Are TIPS Worth It? (21:24) – TIPS vs. I-Bonds (22:09) – Inflation Risk (27:29) – Question 3: Asset Allocation vs. Location (31:45) – Why Not Add One More Lever? (34:59) – Practical Example (39:31) – Is the Juice Worth the Squeeze? Key Topics Discussed: The Best Interest, Jesse Cramer, Wealth Management Rochester NY, Financial Planning for Families, Fiduciary Financial Advisor, Comprehensive Financial Planning, Retirement Planning Advice, Tax-Efficient Investing, Risk Management for Investors, Generational Wealth Transfer Planning, Financial Strategies for High Earners, Personal Finance for Entrepreneurs, Behavioral Finance Insights, Asset Allocation Strategies, Advanced Estate Planning Techniques Mentions: https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2026/04/16/the-shockingly-simple-math-behind-social-security/   https://bestinterest.blog/when-the-shockingly-simple-math-is-shockingly-wrong/   https://bestinterest.blog/the-long-term-investors-order-of-operations/   https://bestinterest.blog/e121/   More of The Best Interest: Check out the Best Interest Blog at https://bestinterest.blog/ Contact me at jesse@bestinterest.blog    Need a financial planner?  → PlanWithJesse.com   The Best Interest Podcast is a personal podcast meant for education and entertainment. It should not be taken as financial advice, and is not prescriptive of your financial situation.

Bond yields rose sharply on Friday, but why? What you'll hear is that inflation and a strong economy will force the Fed to hike. But that's only half true – the possibility of the rate hike. All the rest of it, not so much. Both markets and American consumers agree wholeheartedly on all of it. In fact, on Friday, inflation expectations in Treasuries dropped to their lowest levels since early March. Yeah, lowest since the start of the conflict and they were never high to begin with.  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to: https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The economy is not crashing. It is freezing. In this episode of The Higher Standard, Chris and Saied break down the Fed's Beige Book, a bifurcated consumer, sticky inflation, margin-squeezed businesses, and a labor market that has become low-hire, low-fire. Then the conversation turns to the real insanity: Treasury buybacks, Bitcoin liquidations, Ethereum weakness, gold replacing U.S. Treasuries as the world's top reserve asset, and SpaceX preparing for a historic IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation. The question is simple: are we watching the next great technological leap forward, or the biggest liquidity-driven rug pull of all time?

In this Community Roundtable, Chris Lopez sits down with PassivePockets members Pascal Wagner, Adam Cranmer, and Christy Burakovsky for a candid investor-to-investor conversation on how they're allocating capital right now and what would make them change course. Pascal frames the dilemma many LPs are feeling: with risk-free rates near 5% and major macro signals flashing red (record debt loads, expensive public markets, and uncertainty around where rates settle), does it still make sense to allocate to interest-rate-sensitive commercial real estate? He shares how he's thinking about portfolio construction with fresh liquidity and why he's prioritizing stable income and downside protection before chasing upside. Adam and Christy offer counterweights: where fear can create opportunity, why liquidity matters, and how they're approaching “safer” yield today (short-duration debt funds, notes, treasuries) while keeping dry powder for dislocated assets. The conversation also explores where each of them sees asymmetric opportunity: distressed commercial, non-performing loan strategies, medical office, assisted living tailwinds, and long-term fixed-rate debt structures that avoid the five-to-seven-year refinance trap. Key Takeaways Why some LPs are pausing syndication allocations and leaning into cash/T-bills and what would change their mind The “income-first” portfolio approach: build stable cash flow, then take higher-upside bets Where investors are hunting opportunity: distress, NPLs, office dislocation, medical office, and long-term fixed-rate debt plays Why HUD-style long-term amortizing debt can change the risk profile of a deal dramatically Mezz vs. leveraged first-lien funds: the real differentiator is control of the underlying collateral The underrated skill in 2026: staying liquid enough to act when the “no-brainer” window opens Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.

Danny Moses interviews Larry McDonald on how several prior calls played out, including regulatory relief for banks, a rotation into hard assets and energy, and AI-linked nuclear exposure via NUKZ. McDonald argues the economy is increasingly K-shaped: wealthy consumers benefit from higher money-market yields and AI CapEx, while consumer-facing companies like McDonald's, Home Depot, and retailers weaken, pushing money into crowded tech trades. They discuss risks from massive AI/space IPOs entering indexes, the “dark side” of passive investing, and the potential for an inflation rebound driven by oil, summer demand, and Middle East disruptions, which could spur rotation from tech into commodities. McDonald outlines constraints from rising debt interest costs, a stagflation risk, a plan to force banks to buy Treasuries, and opportunities in gold miners and uranium amid looming supply deficits, plus election-driven value setups in Brazil. -- ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Alice Han and James Kynge break down why Russia is pushing hard for China to approve the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, what China's accelerating selloff of U.S. Treasuries could mean for the American economy, and how China became the first country to commercially approve a brain-computer implant — moving ahead of the U.S. and Elon Musk's Neuralink. They also explore the deepening China-Russia alliance, mounting pressure on the U.S. dollar, and whether China is beginning to pull ahead in the global race for technological dominance. Subscribe to China Decode on Substack for weekly analysis, livestreams, and deep dives into the biggest story shaping the global economy: chinadecode.profgmedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices