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We've always known Dutch Disease as what happens when a country strikes oil or gas and accidentally hollows out the rest of its economy. But what if the United States' great “resource discovery” wasn't energy, it was debt? This week we talk to Brendan Greeley about his brilliant framework for understanding America's political economy: the world's insatiable appetite for U.S. Treasuries has turned debt into a commodity tap Washington can turn on at will. We explore how this constant borrowing props up the dollar, guts manufacturing, swells Wall Street, and fuels a political scramble for control of the spigot, with eerie parallels to Ireland's own multinational tax windfall. Along the way, we ask why old economic theories can't explain the dollar's resilience, why quality of spending matters more than quantity, and what history says about how this all might end. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Bonds, particularly U.S. Treasuries, have long been considered a go-to safe-haven asset. However, they haven't behaved that way as late. That leaves gold as the last safe haven standing. In this episode of the Midweek Memo podcast, host Mike Maharrey highlights the warning signs rippling through the Treasury market and explains the ramifications. He then highlights gold's role as the ultimate safe haven using real-world examples in Russia and Iran.
Wow - CPI - the markets are going in anticipation of a September Rate cut. Why buy now? Won't a pullback happen? Only the market knows, but here are my thoughts. Here are the links to all the sales: SAVE ON TRENDSPIDER - GET THE ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION TO GET MY 4 HOUR ALGORITHM
Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
Today, we unpack why ETH ETFs nearly matched BTC inflows in July and why digital asset treasuries (DATs) are hoovering up Ethereum like it's a Costco free sample day. Is this a real supply squeeze or just another hype cycle with better math? Avichal Garg (Electric Capital) joins to break down the MicroStrategy playbook, the premium-to-NAV trap, and how $7T parked in money markets + potential Fed cuts could turbo-charge crypto's next leg.~~~~~
On the latest episode of After Earnings with Ann Berry, Coinbase's Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal breaks down how evolving U.S. regulation, political uncertainty and global inflation are driving a wave of corporate interest in crypto - especially Bitcoin and stablecoins - as reserve assets. Highlights include: • Why More Corporations Are Buying Bitcoin Over U.S. Treasuries • The Genius Act and What It Means for Crypto Regulation • Is Crypto As Anonymous As You Think? 00:00 - Paul Grewal Joins 01:52 - Corporates Rethinking Crypto on the Balance Sheet 02:28 - Bitcoin Volatility vs Treasury Uncertainty 03:29 - Waning Confidence in Treasuries 04:41 - What's Holding Companies Back From Adopting Crypto? 06:05 - Regulation and Legislation Shaping the Crypto Landscape 07:23 - Why Clarity on Digital Asset Classifications Matters 08:26 - Accounting Challenges and Rule Changes 10:12 - Investors and Common Accounting Frameworks 11:09 - Different Categories of Digital Assets 12:05 - Where Adoption is Happening the Fastest 12:50 - Why Use Stablecoins Over Cash or Bonds? 14:11 - Global Adoption of Stablecoins 14:50 - Security, Trust, and Blockchain Traceability 16:44 - Blockchain: Anonymity vs Traceability 18:10 - Crypto as Inflation Hedge in High-Inflation Countries 19:06 - US Interest in Strategic Digital Asset Reserves 20:05 - Coinbase's Role in the Corporate Adoption Wave 21:05 - From Retail to Institutional: Coinbase's Evolution 22:17 - Behind the Scenes: Blue Chips Eyeing Crypto 23:16 - Changing the Coinbase Business Model 24:20 - Will Most of the S&P 500 Adopt Crypto by 2027? After Earnings is brought to you by Stakeholder Labs and Morning Brew. For more go to https://www.afterearnings.com Follow Us X: https://twitter.com/AfterEarnings TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@AfterEarnings Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/afterearnings_/ Reach Out Email: afterearnings@morningbrew.com $COIN Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Sarah Campos e Tomás Goulart debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo. No cenário internacional, os destaques foram a repercussão do último relatório de emprego dos EUA e possíveis mudanças na composição do Federal Reserve. O presidente Donald Trump indicou, para um mandato temporário no board do Fed, Stephen Miran, atual presidente do Conselho de Assessores Econômicos. A escolha foi interpretada como um movimento para tornar a autoridade monetária mais alinhada ao presidente. Paralelamente, a leitura mais fraca dos dados de emprego levou algumas consultorias globais a colocar no radar a possibilidade de um corte de 50 bps na reunião de setembro. De dado econômico, tivemos o ISM de serviços, que veio pior do que o esperado, com fraqueza em novas ordens e reafirmando um enfraquecimento no mercado de trabalho. Também entrou em vigor o novo pacote de tarifas de importação norte-americanas, reforçando preocupações com o comércio global. No Brasil, a semana começou com a decretação da prisão domiciliar do ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro por participação nos atos do domingo anterior. O episódio provocou forte reação de deputados bolsonaristas, que chegaram a assumir temporariamente a presidência da Câmara em protesto. Após negociações, foi firmado um acordo para votação de pautas de interesse do grupo, restabelecendo a normalidade na Casa. No campo econômico, a ata do Copom veio levemente mais dovish que o esperado, com o Banco Central mais confiante na desaceleração da atividade, embora mantendo a sinalização de juros elevados por período prolongado. Os dados de mercado de trabalho de junho ficaram ligeiramente abaixo das projeções, mas ainda indicam um mercado aquecido. Nos mercados internacionais, os juros dos Treasuries abriram taxa após forte fechamento na semana anterior (Treasury de 2 anos: +8 bps). As bolsas americanas avançaram — S&P 500 +2,34%, Nasdaq +3,61% e Russell 2000 +2,53% — e o dólar (DXY) recuou 0,89%, refletindo um enfraquecimento global da moeda. No Brasil, a curva de juros fechou (Jan/31: -17 bps), o Ibovespa subiu 2,68% e o real se valorizou 1,90% frente ao dólar. Para a próxima semana, o foco estará no IPCA e nos indicadores de atividade no Brasil, enquanto, nos EUA, a atenção se volta para a divulgação dos números de inflação.
Howard is back with another mind-bending episode of Trends With Friends alongside Michael Parekh and special guest Jeff Park, Wall Street alum turned Bitwise crypto Jedi. From the radical rethinking of portfolio construction to the institutionalization of Bitcoin, Jeff unpacks how markets are being rewired in real time. The trio dives deep into the death of the 60/40 portfolio, the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies, the myth of the risk-free rate, and why every investor needs to grapple with global carry dynamics. Plus, they debate Elon's Tesla troubles, BYD's China dominance, why CME is booming, and how prediction markets and vibe coding are reshaping the next-gen financial playbook. If you care about capital markets, crypto, and the future of speculation as entertainment, don't miss this one.Chapters00:00 Meet Jeff Park: From Wall Street to Crypto03:00 Radical Portfolio Theory Explained07:20 Why 60/40 Is Dead and the Global Carry Trade Lives10:45 The Degenerate Economy, Bitcoin Treasury Plays, and the New Risk Paradigm16:00 Institutionalization of Bitcoin, ETFs, and Self-Custody22:00 How Financial Engineering Could Break Bitcoin26:00 Prediction Markets, AI, and Speculation as Income31:00 BYD vs Tesla, Global Retail Flows, and Chart Breakdown37:00 Alpaca, APIs, and Building Brokerages for the World44:00 Vibe Coding, LLMs, and the Coming API ExplosionJoin Our Community! https://stocktwits.com/Sign up for our daily FREE newsletter to keep in touch with the market: https://thedailyrip.stocktwits.com/Disclaimer:All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts' and guests' and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/
In this episode, we talk with Tom Lee, chairman of Bitmine, about the rapid growth of his ETH treasury company and its goal to secure 5% of the total ETH supply. Tom believes Ethereum could surpass Bitcoin in value, forecasting potential prices between $4,000 and $15,000. We discuss market dynamics, risks of excessive leverage, and his insights on valuing Ethereum and NFTs like Pudgy Penguins. Tune in for key insights into Ethereum's future and Wall Street's role in crypto. ------
Public companies are racing to lock ETH onto their balance sheets, but is this the spark for a late-cycle greed run or a setup for a painful reversal? Mike Nadeau from The DeFi Report joins Ryan to unpack the ETH treasury boom, explain how staking yield and convertible debt amplify reflexivity, and show why onchain signals place us around 9 p.m. on the market clock. We examine surging DEX volumes, record stablecoin supply, and the alt-season gauges that could send ETH to new highs. Finally, we outline the risks of leverage, premium flips, and the exit strategy smart investors are already planning. Michael Nadeau & The DeFi Report: https://x.com/JustDeauIt https://thedefireport.io ------
Nick Sargen, consultant and senior economic advisor at Fort Washington Investment Advisors, says that investors haven't really seen the economic impact of tariffs and other policies that experts were warning the public about, but they are seeing those issues now. "Fasten your seatbelts," Sargen warns, "you're just beginning to see the impacts." While not calling for a recession, Sargen says he sees headwinds for the market because "I don't understand how the market can keep setting record highs every day when now we are confronting major uncertainty." Carley Garner, senior commodity strategist at DeCarley Trading, says she sees "a lot more downside risk than upside potential" for the market right now, noting that it will be hard for the Standard & Poor's 500 to top 6,500 in the next few months whereas a decline could drop the index "into the low 5,000s." As a result, DeGarner has made her own portfolio particularly defensive, holding "mostly Treasuries" because there is "more risk than reward to be long stocks" now. Further, Garner says it's a "sell-the-rallies market for gold and silver," largely because she expects the gold rally to end -- and for precious metals to potentially take a big fall -- when the dollar gets a little stronger. Plus, Rita Choula, senior director of caregiving for the AARP Public Policy Institute, discusses its Caregiving in the U.S. 2025 study, which showed that more than 63 million Americans are providing ongoing complex care for family members, and that they are sacrificing their financial security, health and well-being in many cases in order to do it.
Amar Reganti dives into the Fed's next move, the impact of Trump's “One Big Beautiful Bill,” and what it all means for your fixed income strategy.If you're interested in learning more, you canvisit: https://www.hartfordfunds.com/insights/market-perspectives/fixed-income/when-doves-cry.html
Unternehmen investieren Milliarden in Bitcoin, Ethereum und andere Kryptowährungen als Teil ihrer Unternehmensreserven. Unser Special beleuchtet Strategien, Chancen und Risiken dieser Krypto-Treasuries.
Confira os destaques do mercado financeiro e de investimentos no "Batendo o Mapa" dessa segunda, 4 de agosto:• A expectativa de que o Federal Reserve pode ficar mais inclinado a cortar os juros causa queda no Dólar e taxas de Treasuries;• Em junho, o Brasil criou 166 mil empregos formais, abaixo do esperado;• Bom humor do mercado vem da sinalização que Trump esta disposto a conversar com o presidente Lula sobre tarifa de 50% imposta aos produtos brasileiros.➔ Abra sua conta GRÁTIS: https://bit.ly/SejaNovaFutura➔ Invista nas nossas carteiras recomendadas: https://bit.ly/CarteirasNFutura➔ Siga as nossas redes sociais / novafuturainvestimentos https://x.com/nfinvestimentos / nova_futura / nova-futura-investimentos ➔ Acompanhe nossos programas no podcast Futura Talks: https://bit.ly/NFuturaTalks#investimentos #trader #mercadofinanceiro
Charlie & Colin expose how Bitcoin treasury companies mirror 1929 investment trusts, creating overleveraged positions that could trigger the next bear market through forced selling and debt spirals.Charlie and Colin dive deep into the dangerous parallels between today's Bitcoin treasury companies and the 1929 investment trust bubble. They analyze how companies like MicroStrategy use convertible debt to accumulate Bitcoin, why this creates systemic risk, and how forced selling could trigger a catastrophic unwind. From Ponzi-like dividend structures to the speculative attack strategy, they break down why this leverage-fueled boom might end badly.Subscribe to the newsletter! https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com**NOTES:**• 98 companies raised $86B in 8 weeks for crypto• MicroStrategy needs $300-400M annually for dividends• Q1 revenue only $111M vs dividend obligations• Public entities hold ~900K Bitcoin total• Investment trusts grew 11x from 1927-1929• 1929 trusts were 1/3 of all capital issuanceTimestamps:00:00 Start02:30 Lessons from 192907:22 Trusts vs BTC treasury companies12:50 Shorting MSTR20:51 Hear me out.. companies that make profits24:34 Don't say the P word!-
Rob Armstrong is the writer who first coined the acronym in The TACO Trade, which stands for Trump Always Chickens Out, in a column back in April. He wasn't trying to go viral, much less have the acronym circulate throughout Wall Street and the media, much less have President Trump be asked about it. But that's what happened. Armstrong is the Unhedged columnist and podcaster at the Financial Times. He also had a prior career at a hedge fund, which abruptly ended in the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. He also has a PhD in philosophy, making him an unusual figure in the world of finance and economics journalism. The topics he writes about reflect this varied background. He and Cardiff reflect on the strangeness of coining a term that has such reverberations in a prominent national conversation, in this case the one surrounding President Trump's tariff strategy, and whether the trade itself still applies. They also discuss how the feedback loops created by the acronym represent the fundamental nature of markets and the ways that societal narratives get around these days. But the main part of their chat is about US markets at the moment. Are they in a bubble? Why has there not been more of a negative effect from tariffs? And why has the US dollar fallen — and stayed fallen — while US stocks have returned to all-time highs just this week? What should we make of the horrific returns on long-term Treasuries this decade? And are higher interest rates truly here to stay? They also discuss Rob's switch from working in finance to writing about it, and his recent column on Rene Girard and the mimetic rivalries that seem to define this political moment. Finally, they close with a surprising topic that Rob frequently also writes and speaks about: men's fashion. Related links: The Unhedged Newsletter (Rob Armstrong)Unhedged Podcast (Katie Martin with Rob)A Wealth of Common Sense (Ben Carlson)The Overshoot (Matt Klein)Feed Me (Emily Sundberg)Rob's Life & Arts columnRob's FT style column Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Crypto treasury companies like Bitmine and Backed are under pressure as investor enthusiasm wanes. Bitmine's share buyback failed to move markets, raising concerns about narrative exhaustion despite bullish projections and backing from major crypto firms. Meanwhile, Backed's discounted public offering cratered its stock, and Tether-backed 21 Capital ramps up ahead of listing. NLW explores whether the crypto treasury trend is stalling—and what it means for the broader market. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
Why does this Bitcoin cycle feel… different? In this Roundtable, I sat down with Simple Steve, Bitcoin Mechanic, and my brother Jeff Swann for a deep dive into what's really driving the current phase of Bitcoin adoption. We break down the quiet buildup behind this cycle, the politics creeping into the space, and the shifting nature of Bitcoin treasuries — including why some are already failing. We also get into the weeds on quantum breakthroughs, dust limits, and why lightning still isn't ready for prime time. From barroom stories to technical debates, we ask: Are the normies finally coming around? Are the devs out of touch? And is this cycle the calm before the chaos? This is our one-year Roundtable anniversary. Let's go! Check out our awesome sponsors! Ledn: Need fiat but don't want to sell your Bitcoin? Ledn offers secure, Bitcoin-backed loans with no credit checks, flexible repayment, and fast turnaround—often within 24 hours. With $10B+ in loans across 100+ countries and transparent Proof of Reserves, Ledn is a trusted option for unlocking liquidity without giving up your Bitcoin. (Link: https://learn.ledn.io/audible) HRF: The Human Rights Foundation is a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization that promotes and protects human rights globally, with a focus on closed societies. Subscribe to HRF's Financial Freedom Newsletter today. (Link: https://mailchi.mp/hrf.org/financial-freedom-newsletter) OFF: The Oslo Freedom Forum is a global human rights event by the Human Rights Foundation (HRF), uniting voices from activism, journalism, tech, and beyond. Through powerful stories and collaboration, OFF advances freedom and human potential worldwide. Join us next June. (Link: https://oslofreedomforum.com/) Pubky: Pubky is building the next web, a decentralized system designed to put control back in your hands. Escape censorship, algorithmic manipulation, and walled gardens by owning your identity and data. Explore the Pubky web and become the algorithm today. Don't forget to find me on my Pubky ID here: pk:5d7thwzkxx5mz6gk1f19wfyykr6nrwzaxri3io7ahejg1z74qngo. (Link: https://pubky.org) Chroma: Chroma is dedicated to advancing human performance and well-being through cutting-edge light therapy devices and performance eyewear. Their mission is to enhance physical and mental health, unlocking peak human health, cognitive function, and physical performance. Get 10% off your order with the code BITCOINAUDIBLE. (Link: https://getchroma.co/?ref=BitcoinAudible) Guest Links Steve Simple Nostr (Link: https://tinyurl.com/3s6a8yn8) Steve Simple on X (Link: https://x.com/stevesimple) Bitcoin Mechanic Nostr (Link: https://tinyurl.com/2tm827ut) Bitcoin Mechanic on X (Link: https://x.com/GrassFedBitcoin) Jeff Swann Nostr (Link: https://tinyurl.com/3sjc3bcp) Jeff Swann on X (Link: https://x.com/agoristview) Host Links Guy on Nostr (Link: http://tinyurl.com/2xc96ney)
When the 10-year Treasury yield goes down, it generally signals lower interest rates and increased demand for safe-haven assets like U.S. government bonds. Here's what typically happens across different areas of the economy and markets:
Shares in Japan fluctuated at the open while those in South Korea and Australia were flat Wednesday after the S&P 500 snapped a six-day rally. Treasuries were steady in early Asian trading after jumping the most in a month in the prior session. In the US, Federal Reserve policymakers are largely expected to hold interest rates steady for a fifth consecutive meeting at the conclusion of their July 29-30 gathering. Dissents from one or more officials could send the message that some members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee prefer to reduce borrowing costs sooner rather than later. We preview Thursday's FOMC decision with Mark Heppenstall, President and CIO at Penn Mutual Asset Management. Plus - US and China will continue talks over maintaining a tariff truce before it expires in two weeks and Trump will make the final call on any extension. Adding an extra 90 days is one option, according to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Meantime, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday that the world economy will keep weakening and remains vulnerable to trade shocks even though it is showing some resilience to Donald Trump's tariffs. We break down the latest trade headlines with Paul Donovan, Chief Economist at UBS Global Wealth Management. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts on The Asia Trade.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Crypto News Alerts | Daily Bitcoin (BTC) & Cryptocurrency News
Cantor Fitzgerald projects Bitcoin could one day hit $1,000,000, backed by growing institutional capital and corporate BTC treasury strategy. Today we unpack the $86B buying spree, Galaxy's $9B transaction that barely moved the price, and why bent bonds can't compete — Max Keiser says BTC is now safer than U.S. Treasuries. Dive in as we chart the path to hyperbitcoinization. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Crypto News Alerts | Daily Bitcoin (BTC) & Cryptocurrency News
Cantor Fitzgerald projects Bitcoin could one day hit $1,000,000, backed by growing institutional capital and corporate BTC treasury strategy. Today we unpack the $86B buying spree, Galaxy's $9B transaction that barely moved the price, and why bent bonds can't compete — Max Keiser says BTC is now safer than U.S. Treasuries. Dive in as we chart the path to hyperbitcoinization.
Stock-index futures climbed after the European Union struck a deal with President Donald Trump that will see the bloc face 15% tariffs on most exports, averting a potentially damaging trade war. S&P 500 contracts rose 0.4% and those for European stocks jumped 1%. The euro was slightly stronger against the dollar after the US-EU deal. Asian shares fluctuated at the open as Japanese equities declined 0.4%. Treasuries dipped slightly with yields on the 10-year gaining one basis point to 4.4%. Gold edged lower and oil was marginally higher. Investors are bracing for a busy week of data - including meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan - and earnings from megacap companies that could set the tone for the rest of the year in markets and the economy. Stocks have risen from their slump in April as investors speculate the US will strike trade deals with countries and that will help avoid significant damage to company earnings and the global economy. We preview the trading week ahead with Clark Geranen, Chief Market Strategist at CalBay Investments. Plus - Australia and the UK signed a landmark 50-year defense treaty on Saturday to underpin the construction of nuclear-powered submarines, senior ministers from both nations said. Both sides stressed that the treaty doesn't impact the AUKUS security partnership between Australia, the UK and the US - currently under review by the Trump administration. For a closer look, we speak with Paul Allen, Australia Correspondent for Bloomberg Television.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this EXCLUSIVE bombshell interview, Michael Saylor shares his latest insights on Bitcoin, global markets, and what's coming next. From MicroStrategy's bold moves to his long-term vision, this is a conversation you don't want to miss.FOLLOW TODAY'S PANELISTS:https://x.com/saylorFOLLOW BTC SESSIONS on X/Nostr: x.com/BTCsessionsbtcsessions@getalby.comBOOK private one-on-one sessions with BITCOIN MENTOR! Learn self custody, hardware, multisig, lightning, privacy, running a node, and plenty more - all from a team of top notch educators that I've personally vetted.https://bitcoinmentor.io/—------------------------------SHOW SPONSORS:BITCOIN WELL - BUY BITCOINhttps://qrco.de/bfiDC6COINKITE/COLDCARD (5% discount):https://qrco.de/bfiDBVAQUA WALLEThttps://qrco.de/bfiD8gNUNCHUK HONEYBADGER INHERITANCEhttps://qrco.de/bfiDARHODLHODL NO KYC P2P EXCHANGEhttps://hodlhodl.com/join/BTCSESSIONDEBIFI LOANShttps://qrco.de/bfiDCpCRYPTOCLOAKShttps://qrco.de/bg5Dvo#btc #bitcoin #crypto
BlackRock's Ethereum ETF (ETHA) just smashed through $10 billion AUM. Ondo is building the liquidity rails for tokenized Treasuries. And Bitmine—yes, a Bitcoin miner—is quietly stacking Ethereum for its new treasury strategy. Together, they form BRO—BlackRock + Ondo—a meme with meaning. Because what they're really doing is reshaping the crypto future from the inside out. In this episode, I break down how Ethereum is becoming the financial OS for the next wave of institutional capital, tokenized yield, and programmable money. This isn't just another cycle—it's the moment tech and finance converge on-chain. If you want to front-run where capital is going, don't watch what the headlines say—watch what the BROs are building. Front Run The Week: Want to catch the next big crypto move before it hits the headlines? Get my free newsletter at tokentrust.substack.com for exclusive early insights.The Chip Mahoney Show is a Big Pond production. This podcast is for entertainment and educational purposes only.For media inquiries or guest bookings, please contact:DV Collective at dvpodcastshow@gmail.comhttps://www.chipmahoney.com/Music licensed via Spotify Creator tools.
►► Discover Bitcoin Yield: https://archpublic.com/ Crypto treasuries are exploding as Ethereum ETFs attract nearly $300M in inflows while Bitcoin sees rare outflows. Todd Shapiro of Red Light Holland joins us to talk about their Bitcoin balance sheet strategy, and why they hired Scott Melker as their Crypto Czar. We'll also break down Solana's treasury surge, massive institutional plays, and the future of tokenized public companies with Arch Public's Andrew Parish and Tillman Holloway. ►► Red Light Holland: https://redlight.co/ Todd Shapiro: https://x.com/toddmshapiro Andrew Parish: https://x.com/AP_Abacus Tillman Holloway: https://x.com/texasol61 ►► JOIN THE WOLF PACK - FREE Telegram group where I share daily updates on everything I'm watching and chat directly with all of you.
U.S. Treasuries—once the safest asset in the world—are failing. This isn't a temporary dip; it's a structural collapse with global implications. Here's what the Fed, foreign governments, and smart money aren't telling you—and how to prepare.Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcastor Call 866-349-3310
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Stablecoins have grown from a total value of ~$2 billion in 2019 to over $230 billion by early 2025, enabling $33 trillion in transactions across 236 million wallets. But beneath this growth lies a deep — and fragile — dependence on the U.S. Treasury market.Professor Yesha Yadav of Vanderbilt Law School and Brendan Malone, formerly of Paradigm, the Federal Reserve Board, and MIT, discuss their paper on the critical but underexamined relationship between U.S. dollar stablecoins and Treasuries. They unpack why Treasuries act as the “anchor” for stablecoins, explore operational and liquidity risks, and outline what policy changes might be necessary to avert a crisis.Timestamps: ➡️ 00:00 — Intro➡️ 01:10 — Sponsor: Hedera Council is hiring a legal counsel➡️ 02:40 — Why is the U.S. Treasury market so critical to stablecoins?➡️ 04:32 — Treasuries as “cash equivalents” and risk-free assets➡️ 07:33 — What does it mean to “hold” Treasuries?➡️ 11:38 — Liquidity and operational risks➡️ 14:34 — Changing structure of Treasury markets➡️ 16:12 — 24/7 crypto vs. limited-hour Treasury markets➡️ 20:06 — Systemic risk scenarios➡️ 28:27 — The urgent need for preemptive policy solutions➡️ 33:22 — Regulatory fragmentation: “everyone's responsible, so no one is”➡️ 38:51 — Possible reforms: more short-term issuance, repo market, reserves access➡️ 40:53 — Treasuries as “risk-free” assets — myth vs. reality➡️ 46:23 — Potential Fed facilities and why they aren't in place yet➡️ 51:06 — Bonus: Hedera Council's General Counsel Gregory Schneider on their open position.Sponsor: Hedera Council is hiring a legal counsel. Click here for more information about the role, or follow this link: https://hedera.com/future?gh_jid=4574329006. Jacob Robinson and his guests are not your lawyer. Nothing herein or mentioned on the Law of Code podcast should be construed as legal advice. The material published is intended for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only. Please seek the advice of counsel, and do not apply any of the generalized material to your individual facts or circumstances without speaking to an attorney.
Asian stocks moved lower in the early Wednesday session after relatively tame inflation data failed to ease Wall Street's worries about the impacts of tariffs, with initial rallies in US stocks and bonds sputtering on bets the Federal Reserve will keep rates on hold for now. The S&P 500 retreated after earlier topping 6,300. A gauge of US financial giants sank as Wells Fargo & Co. cut its guidance for net interest income. JPMorgan Chase & Co. dropped even as investment bankers eked out a surprise gain. Citigroup Inc. hit the highest since 2008 on a stock-buyback plan. While short-dated Treasuries led losses, longer maturities also slid - with 30-year yields topping 5%. We get reaction to the day's market action from Chuck Cumello, President and Chief Executive Officer at Essex Financial Services. Plus - Nvidia said late Monday that it received assurances that the US government would allow it to export some chips to China. Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia's chief rival, quickly followed with a similar announcement. These export license approvals could generate billions of dollars in total revenue for the companies this year — and they mark a dramatic reversal after the Trump administration said the issue wasn't even up for debate. We take a closer look at what it means for the chip sector with Ray Wang, Research Director for Semiconductors, Supply Chain, & Emerging Tech at The Futurum Group. He speaks with Bloomberg's Haidi Stroud-Watts and Paul Allen on The Asia Trade.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this week's episode, our experts discuss the state of the economy, markets, and investment outlook for the second half of 2025. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Managing Director of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:36 - Recap of employment data which shows stability with positive revisions and declining unemployment claims. 03:54 - Discussion about renewed tariff threats (up to 200%) and their potential to slow growth and raise inflation. The team highlights the impact of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” on deficits and long-term interest rates.08:48 - Reflection on a volatile first half of 2025 and anticipates modest gains through August. Forecast of potential market “indigestion” in September–October due to valuation concerns14:33 - Prediction of two rate cuts in 2025, likely starting in September. The team emphasizes uncertainty around tariffs and inflation, and recommends high-quality corporate bonds over Treasuries.Additional ResourcesKey Questions: What Is in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and How Does It Compare to Current Law? | Key Private BankBooks and Podcasts for Your 2025 Summer Reading and ListeningKey Questions | Key Private Bank Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment Brief Follow us on LinkedIn
Congressman Dusty Johnson discusses pivotal developments in American politics, focusing on rural America and the implications of foreign investments in farmland. He shares his insights on the recent strides made in Congress regarding work requirements for welfare, the urgency of protecting American food supply from foreign adversaries, and the need for permitting reforms to foster innovation and economic growth. Shannon Davis, CEO of American Alternative Assets, reveals details about the significant sell-off of U.S. Treasuries by China, the implications of the U.S. dollar's decline, and the enduring value of gold and silver as a means of wealth preservation. Additional interview with Rabbi Yaakov Menken on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's recent visits to Washington.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
On this week's episode, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders discuss the bond market reaction to the new August 1 tariff deadlines—and what that means for potential Fed policy. They also examine the impact of servicing the national debt after the passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill." Liz Ann looks at the upcoming earnings season, while also addressing concerns about economic indicators, inflation, and the housing market. The overall discussion this week emphasizes the cautious sentiment among bond investors and the complexities of the economic landscape.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investors.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.(0725-GHV6)
New York Times' bestselling author Larry McDonald, founder of The Bear Traps Report, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 273 to discuss the markets and the economy.Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/juliaLinks: How To Listen When Markets Speak: https://www.amazon.com/Listen-When-Markets-Speak-Opportunities-ebook/dp/B0C4DFVFNR Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/Convertbond Bear Traps Report: https://www.thebeartrapsreport.com/00:00 Introduction: Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report00:47 Getting long high beta names in April, now lightening positions02:18 Add high beta into fear/panic, lighten into complacency 04:11 Warning about "Liz Truss moment" for America - bond panic scenario 06:38 Debt ceiling suspension creates $1.7 trillion bond issuance catch-up 08:04 Bessent's "bag of tricks" to fight bond vigilantes 09:33 Dollar counter-trend rally from front-end Treasury issuance 11:41 Mechanics of dollar rally: need dollars to buy Treasuries 13:53 Emerging market bonds outperforming long-term Treasuries 16:14 Question whether "bag of tricks" arrives on time to help bonds 17:05 Financial repression explanation: suppress rates below inflation18:40 Bond vigilantes back despite Bessent's interventions 19:35 Commodities renaissance: copper names up 200-300% over 5 years21:51 New portfolio construction: gold, copper, uranium, lithium miners24:08 Risk: banks exposed to $5 trillion in commercial real estate debt25:09 Jamie Dimon and Buffett selling banks at "alarming pace" 26:31 Optimistic on lithium trade and Chile election outcome 26:55 Expecting 100 basis points in rate cuts due to debt burden 28:12 Coal names oversold, offshore drilling opportunities30:00 Closing remarks
US Treasury yields are the lowest among the G3+, once hedged back to US dollars. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence's US interest rate strategist, and Huw Worthington, his European rate strategy counterpart, take up the topic in this episode of the Macro Matters podcast. The analysts discuss central bank policy action and government bond markets in general. They also discuss why long-end yields have been more sensitive to fears of rising deficits than shorter-maturity bonds. Terminal users can view their note on how Treasuries are the lowest-yielding sovereign bond market, after the currency hedge, by clicking here. The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.
More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never appears. Lance reveals his memory challenges; living thru market downturns, and lessons learned. Market downturns don't happen over night. Treasuries vs Equities: What's the proper blend? Passive Investing is an oxymoron. Risk management is essential for fighting inflation. SEG-1: Tariff Threats Return, Market Risk Rises SEG-2: The Necessity of Inflation and How to Deal With It SEG-3a: Lance's Dementia Test SEG-3b: Living thru Market Downturns SEG-4: Inflation-proofing Retirement - Treasuries vs Equities RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risk is Rising," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "ETF's Are Eating the World," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InflationProtection #RetirementSavings #FinancialFreedom #SmartInvesting #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never appears. Lance reveals his memory challenges; living thru market downturns, and lessons learned. Market downturns don't happen over night. Treasuries vs Equities: What's the proper blend? Passive Investing is an oxymoron. Risk management is essential for fighting inflation. SEG-1: Tariff Threats Return, Market Risk Rises SEG-2: The Necessity of Inflation and How to Deal With It SEG-3a: Lance's Dementia Test SEG-3b: Living thru Market Downturns SEG-4: Inflation-proofing Retirement - Treasuries vs Equities RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risk is Rising," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "ETF's Are Eating the World," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InflationProtection #RetirementSavings #FinancialFreedom #SmartInvesting #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
A 3-year Treasury auction today and a 10-year note auction tomorrow, along with Wednesday's Fed minutes, could drive stocks after Monday's drop. Tariffs remain front and center.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.(0131-0725)
Will market volatility persist through the rest of 2025? • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.
I know some of you are tired of hearing about Bitcoin and digital currencies. That's not what this week's show is about. This week's podcast conversation is broader—it touches the entire global economy. But…you just can't talk about macroeconomic trends anymore without talking about digital dollars and Bitcoin. Leaving them out today would be like ignoring gold when discussing commodities. There's a section this week in my interview with Ian Reynolds that dives deep into the bond market and the growing influence of stablecoins. And I realized—it might be helpful to give you a bit of context up front. If you're already familiar, consider this a refresher. If not, this will make the second half of our conversation a lot more useful. Let's start with the 10-year U.S. Treasury—arguably the most important interest rate in the world. This one number influences everything from mortgage rates to stock valuations to how much it costs the government to borrow money. Historically, when inflation drops, yields on the 10-year tend to fall as well. That's the standard relationship: lower inflation usually leads to lower yields. But that's not what's happening right now. Despite a year of cooling inflation, the 10-year Treasury yield has stayed surprisingly high. Why? The answer boils down to supply and demand. On the supply side, the U.S. government is flooding the market with Treasuries—over a trillion dollars' worth every quarter—to finance its growing deficits. That's a lot of new bonds entering the market. At the same time, demand isn't keeping up. Foreign central banks like China and Japan, which used to be some of the biggest buyers of our debt, are pulling back. Some are dealing with their own domestic issues. Others are deliberately reducing their exposure to the dollar as a reaction to U.S. foreign policy over the past year. So: more supply, less demand—what happens? Bond prices go down, resulting in higher yields for bond investors. That, in turn, means higher borrowing costs for everyone—including the U.S. government, businesses, and consumers. That's why, even with inflation falling, the 10-year hasn't followed the script. But here's where things get interesting. A new kind of buyer has started stepping in: stablecoin issuers. Stablecoins—like USDC and Tether—are digital tokens pegged to the U.S. dollar. They've become essential plumbing for the crypto economy, but their growth is increasingly relevant to the broader financial system. Why? Because in order to maintain their dollar peg, these companies need to back their coins with something stable—and that “something” is often short-term U.S. Treasuries. It turns out, that's a great business to be in. These stablecoin issuers collect real dollars, turn around, and invest them in T-bills yielding 5% or more. That spread—between what they earn and what they pay out—is pure profit. It's essentially a 21st-century version of a money market fund, just running on blockchain. And it's growing fast. Tether now holds more Treasuries than countries like Australia or Mexico. BlackRock has launched a tokenized Treasury fund that already has nearly $3 billion under management. And just this week, Mastercard announced that it's integrating USDC and other stablecoins for cross-border settlement. In other words, this isn't fringe anymore. It's moved into the mainstream, and it's growing quickly. Even lawmakers are catching up. Just this month, the U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act, a bipartisan bill that sets clear regulatory guidelines for stablecoins. It requires full backing by liquid assets—like Treasuries—and regular public disclosures. It's now headed to the House, and while not law yet, the momentum is clearly there. The takeaway? Regulatory clarity is coming, and that opens the door for large institutions, payment processors, and even governments to scale up stablecoin usage with confidence. So why does this matter for bond yields?
Bitcoin hashrate is declining even as interest in Bitcoin ETFs is growing. Robinhood has launched stock tokens. And the great state of Texas has made gold and silver legal tender once again. Along with crypto we’ve got some AI news for you. Are you tired of winning yet? We aren’t. And we’re going to bring you more winning on our bad news episode #781 of The Bad Crypto Podcast. Full Show Notes at: http://badco.in/781 SUBSCRIBE, RATE, & REVIEW: Apple Podcast: http://badco.in/itunes Google Podcasts: http://badco.in/google Spotify: http://badco.in/spotify Amazon Music: http://badco.in/amazon FREE NFTs when you JOIN THE BAD CRYPTO NIFTY CLUB at https://badcrypto.uncut.network FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA: Twitter: @badcryptopod - @joelcomm - @teedubya Facebook: /BadCrypto - /JoelComm - /teedubyaw Facebook Mastermind Group: /BadCrypto LinkedIn: /in/joelcomm - /in/teedubya Instagram: @BadCryptoPodcast Email: badcryptopodcast[at]gmail[dot]com Phone: SEVEN-OH-8-88FIVE- 90THIRTY DISCLAIMER: Do your own due diligence and research. Joel Comm and Travis Wright are NOT FINANCIAL ADVISORS. We are sharing our journey with you as we learn more about this crazy little thing called cryptocurrency. We make NO RECOMMENDATIONS. Don't take anything we say as gospel. Do not come to our homes with pitchforks because you lost money by listening to us. We only share with you what we are learning and what we are investing it. We will never "pump or dump" any cryptocurrencies. Take what we say with a grain of salt. You must research this stuff on your own! Just know that we will always strive for RADICAL TRANSPARENCY with any show associations. Support the show: https://badcryptopodcast.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On today's show we are looking at what the Fed could do that would cause a major increase in demand for US Treasuries. If the demand for Treasuries were to increase, the prices would rise and the market rate for those bonds would fall. The US Treasury would no longer be dependent on the interest rate guidance coming from the Federal Reserve. That could save hundreds of billions per year in interest costs for the US government.--------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Supply, Stalemate, and Strategy: A Data-Centric View on U.S. Housing with Chris Nebenzahl Locked-In America: The Housing Market's Great Stall The U.S. housing market isn't just tight, it's inert. As Chris Nebenzahl, Housing Economist at John Burns Research and Consulting, puts it, America is experiencing a “lock-in effect” where millions of homeowners, beneficiaries of sub-3% mortgages from a prior era, have no incentive to move. Transactions, both in the for-sale and rental segments, are stalling. Inventory is constrained by economic rationality, not lack of demand. “The housing market thrives on constant moves,” Nebenzahl says. “But right now, across the housing spectrum, people are locked in.” The result: record-low turnover in single-family and multifamily rentals, with occupancy propped up by immobility rather than expansion. In such a frozen ecosystem, prices remain surprisingly buoyant despite high rates – a divergence from textbook supply-demand dynamics. The 5.5% Mortgage Threshold: A Reopening Trigger? The most actionable insight from Nebenzahl's research: housing won't truly unfreeze until mortgage rates return to a “magic number” of approximately 5.5%. That's the psychological and financial line at which the lock-in effect starts to meaningfully ease, based on historical demand models and borrower behavior. With mortgage rates stuck between 6.5% and 7.5%, this still feels a long way off. Until that number is achieved, or until housing prices decline significantly, mobility will remain stifled. Notably, certain regions such as Florida, Texas, Arizona, and Tennessee are already seeing modest price declines, indicating that some pressure is starting to break through. But Nebenzahl is clear: this isn't a repeat of 2008. “Nationwide, I think we'll see maybe a 1–2% decline in home values. We're nowhere near GFC territory,” he says. The real estate crash of yesteryear was a systemic event; today's stalling is more friction than fissure. Bifurcation in Geography and Performance The story of U.S. housing is increasingly one of regional divergence. “It's a tale of two markets,” Nebenzahl observes. Northeast, Midwest, parts of the West Coast: Supply remains tight, pricing is stable or even rising, and rent growth is positive particularly in cities like Boston, Chicago, and San Francisco. Sunbelt metros like Austin, Dallas, Denver, Nashville: Facing ongoing rent declines and incentives as a wave of multifamily supply catches up with (and briefly outpaces) demand. What's driving this? In one word: inventory. “Austin, for example, has seen the most supply as a percentage of existing stock. That's softened rents, even though demand remains strong.” The Quiet Strength of Rentals Despite oversupply in some markets, multifamily is holding up. Rents have stabilized, absorption remains healthy, and rent-to-income ratios are generally favorable. Nationwide, that ratio sits around 25%, well below the 30% threshold for ‘rent burden.' Even in supply-saturated markets like Austin, ratios hover near 20%, laying a foundation for recovery. Why this resilience? A few reasons: Affordability gap: With for-sale housing out of reach for many due to both price and interest rates, renting becomes the only viable option. Mobility hedge: In uncertain economic times, the flexibility of a 12-month lease is more appealing than a 30-year mortgage. Demographic tailwinds: New household formation, though potentially threatened by labor market softness, is still skewing towards rentals. “The lion's share of household formation is going into rental,” Nebenzahl says. “Because of affordability challenges, and because people are hesitant to make long-term commitments.” Cracks in the Foundation: Where Distress May Surface Still, there are stress points, especially in assets underwritten in the froth of 2021. “I'd be watching older vintage assets in oversupplied markets,” he says. “Many of those were acquired with floating rate debt and pro formas that didn't anticipate interest rates going from 0% to 5.5% overnight.” These deals are now colliding with debt maturities, declining rents, and underwriting models that assumed permanent appreciation. That said, he does not forecast widespread defaults – more likely, selective distress in marginal players. Risks on the Horizon: Immigration, Labor, and Fragility Beyond rates and rent rolls, Nebenzahl highlights three structural risks that CRE professionals should monitor closely: Immigration policy: Rental demand and construction labor both depend heavily on immigrant populations. Recent restrictions, including H1-B visa tightening and deportations, have had a measurable cooling effect. “Immigrants rent across the income spectrum,” he notes. “A slowdown hits both the demand side and the build (supply) side.” Aging trades workforce: With fewer young workers entering skilled trades, the industry faces a slow-burning capacity problem. The average age of electricians, plumbers, and roofers is steadily rising, and backfilling this labor pool remains an unsolved challenge. Tariffs and supply chain volatility: Tariffs on building materials could push up construction costs 2–3%, and as Nebenzahl notes, those costs would disproportionately impact steel-heavy high-rise multifamily more than low-rise SFR or garden-style. Monetary Fog: The Fed, Rates, and Global Perception Much of the future, however, depends on interest rates and here Nebenzahl expresses qualified caution. While he believes we are “above neutral” levels now, he doesn't expect a return to near zero interest rates. “Even in a mild recession, I don't see the 10-year Treasury falling below 3–3.5%,” he says. But more troubling is what he calls the “qualitative fog”: rising geopolitical tension, politicization of monetary policy, and eroding investor trust in American stability. “We're hearing less ‘there is no alternative' about the U.S.,” he says. “Foreign capital is pausing. Not exiting – but pausing.” That loss of automatic confidence in U.S. housing and Treasuries could ripple through cap rates and investment demand far more than a 25-basis-point Fed decision. What to Watch: Nebenzahl's Key Indicators For professionals managing exposure in this market, Nebenzahl advises watching: Job growth – Still the most reliable proxy for household formation. Household formation – Where people are forming new households, rentals are likely to benefit. Treasury market confidence – A real-time referendum on U.S. economic credibility. Final Thoughts: Where He'd Put $1 Million Today Asked how he'd allocate $1M today, Nebenzahl doesn't hesitate: “I'd split it between Midwest and Sunbelt rentals, multifamily and build-to-rent.” He's not holding cash. He's not forecasting a crash. He's betting on rental fundamentals and long-term demographic logic. “There's dry powder waiting to be deployed,” he concludes. “And multifamily is still one of the most institutionally resilient plays in U.S. real estate.” *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection. Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. 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With President Trump set to announce Jerome Powell's replacement as Fed Chair “very soon”, policy is likely to turn more dovish. The Trump administration also received a boost with a Supreme Court ruling that federal district courts can no longer issue nationwide injunctions. Meanwhile, a trade deal with China has been signed.In the treasury market, two key developments signal more demand ahead. Firstly, changes to the Enhanced Supplementary Leverage Ratio could free up $5.5 trillion for low-risk assets, mainly treasuries. Additionally, the passing of the GENIUS Act by the US Senate introduces stablecoin regulations that could increase mainstream usage, which could in turn drive demand for treasuries. With these changes in pace, the worries about central banks selling treasuries seem less pressing – after all, as the old saying goes, “If you owe money to yourself, it's not really a problem.”
TODAY'S HEADLINESChainlink, a decentralized blockchain oracle network for crosschain communication, launched a compliance framework aimed at unlocking over $100 trillion worth of institutional investor capital for the cryptocurrency space.Today's letter is T for Trillion. - According to The Block, Hyperliquid perps volume tops $1.5 trillion over past year, with $300 million in cumulative revenue.BNB Chain updated today with the Maxwell Hardfork implementation, dropping BSC block time from 1.5s to just 0.75s!Spanish Guardia Civil arrested five members of a criminal network engaged in cryptocurrency investment fraud of 460 million, affecting 5,000 members.Finally, Shareholders of struggling Spanish chain Vanadi Coffee back €1 billion Bitcoin planQUICK BITEZArbitrum jumps 17% on speculation of partnership with RobinhoodMichael Saylor is buying again. Strategy Added 4,980 Bitcoin Last Week, Bringing Stack to 597,325 CoinsBitcoin mining difficulty sees biggest drop since 2021 China ban amid hashrate slumpTreasury Secretary Bessent says stablecoin legislation could be finalized by mid-July, and expects it to boost demand for U.S. Treasuries.And it wouldn't be a Monday without our checkin from downunder, Trader Cobb is here with his weekly market updates. Remember to follow him at @TraderCobb on X.Friends of the ShowC3The C3 team has more than 20 years of experience in journalism, including leading the editorial and content side of a major Web3 news publication. They are also experienced AI and Web3 PR professionals, regularly placing content in leading web3 and AI publications. C3's members previously co-founded the PR department at SCRIB3, and have experience with clients such as EigenLayer, VanEck, Monad, SKALE Network, LEVR Bet, Symmio, Camp Network, Evmos, Avail, Moonbeam, and others.WHERE TO FIND DCNdailycryptonews.nethttps://twitter.com/DCNDailyCryptoEMAIL the HostEmail: kyle@dailycryptonews.net Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Join January Jones in this exciting episode of Hot Topics on the Edge of Show as she chats with Ben Schiller, CoinDesk's managing editor for features and opinion. They dive into the increasing trend of Bitcoin treasury strategies, the Federal Reserve's new stance on banking for crypto companies, and what it means for the future of institutional adoption. Also, get the latest scoop on the evolving content strategy at CoinDesk and emerging trends like Web3 gaming, NFTs, and AI integration in crypto. Perfect for anyone interested in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency!Support us through our Sponsors! ☕
Suze Orman's Women & Money (And Everyone Smart Enough To Listen)
We’re switching things up a little, today’s episode is Suze School. Suze starts off with a recap of where things are, right now, in the economy and what effects recent world events have on it. Then Suze explains dividend paying stocks and Treasuries and why you should consider one over the other. Watch Suze’s YouTube ChannelJumpstart financial wellness for your employees: https://bit.ly/SecureSave Protect your financial future with the Must Have Docs: https://bit.ly/3Vq1V3GGet your savings going with Alliant Credit Union: https://bit.ly/3rg0YioGet Suze’s special offers for podcast listeners at suzeorman.com/offerJoin Suze’s Women & Money Community for FREE and ASK SUZE your questions which may just end up on the podcast. Download the app by following one of these links: CLICK HERE FOR APPLE: https://apple.co/2KcAHbH CLICK HERE FOR GOOGLE PLAY: https://bit.ly/3curfMISee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Don Durrett, author, investor, and founder of GoldStockData.com, to delve into the current state of the gold and silver markets, the broader economy, and what investors should watch for in the coming months. Don begins by noting that gold has been in a bull market since late 2019, with a significant breakout in March 2024. Despite the recent surge, he believes the bull market in mining stocks is still in its early stages, with higher lows signaling a potential breakout. However, he cautions that sentiment remains weak, partly due to the strong performance of the stock market, which has overshadowed gold. Drawing parallels to the 1970s, Don explains that gold and miners typically perform well during periods of economic uncertainty or when the stock market falters, a scenario he sees as increasingly likely. Don shifts to the macroeconomic landscape, highlighting the unsustainable U.S. budget deficit, which is approaching $2 trillion annually, and the need to roll over $7 trillion in debt this year. He warns that the debt burden, combined with declining foreign purchases of U.S. Treasuries, could lead to higher interest rates and inflation. Don predicts a looming recession, driven by factors like weakening full-time employment, a housing bubble, and the inflationary impact of tariffs, particularly if President Trump follows through with significant tariff increases on July 9th. He believes these tariffs could exacerbate economic weakness, leading to a prolonged downturn reminiscent of Japan's "lost decade" in the 1990s, where monetary policy failed to revive growth. Discussing gold and silver, Don emphasizes that their bull markets are tied to economic instability and a potential "fear trade," where investors shift away from equities and into safe-haven assets. He notes that silver, currently undervalued relative to gold, could see a surge in demand, particularly if shortages emerge. Don also touches on Mexico's mining policies under President Claudia Sheinbaum, which could restrict new mining concessions, though he doesn't see this as a major near-term threat to silver supply. He concludes by urging investors to focus on the long-term potential of gold and silver, particularly as the U.S. economy faces mounting challenges. Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:01:06 - Mkt. Forecast 2025/202600:04:50 - Metals - Wall of Worry00:09:13 - The Macro Picture00:19:38 - U.S. Short-Term Debt00:31:08 - Trump, The Fed & Powell00:38:55 - Oil & U.S. Recession00:41:00 - T-Bills, Dollar & Game Theory00:53:20 - A Silver Bull Trap?01:04:16 - New Era for Metals01:05:55 - PM Shortages Coming?01:07:10 - Mexican Silver Permitting01:15:05 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DonDurrettWebsite: https://www.goldstockdata.comSubstack: https://dondurrett.substack.comAmazon Books: https://www.amazon.com.mx/How-Invest-Gold-Silver-Complete/dp/1427650241Blog Posts: https://seekingalpha.com/author/don-durrett#regular_articlesYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/Newager23 Don Durrett received an MBA from California State University Bakersfield in 1990. He has worked in IT-related positions for 20+ years. He has been a gold investor since 1991, with a focus on Junior Mining stocks since 2004. Realizing the value of investing in gold and silver and noticing the lack of available material for first-time investors, Don set out to provide information. First, he wrote a book, How to Invest in Gold & Silver: A Complete Guide with a Focus on Mining Stocks. He followed up the book with a website (www.goldstockdata.com) to provide data, tools, and analysis for gold and silver stock investors. His gold and silver mining stock newsletter is widely regarded as one of the best. He is a frequent guest on financial podcasts and a contributor to SeekingAlpha.com.
This week, Natalie Brunell is joined by Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, and Tim Kotzman of MSTR True North to explore how forward-thinking companies are embracing Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries and revolutionizing Investor Relations in the digital age. True North is a "supergroup investment club charting the edge of the new financial frontier." Together, they discuss why adding Bitcoin to a corporate balance sheet is becoming a strategic move, how Bitcoin is reshaping financial transparency, and what the future holds for corporate communication with investors. MSTR True North founder Jeff Walton's background is in reinsurance. Follow Jeff on X at https://x.com/PunterJeff Ben Werkman is the CIO of Swan. Follow Ben on X at https://x.com/BenWerkman Tim Kotzman is an investor and host of The Bitcoin Treasuries Podcast. Follow Tim on X at https://x.com/TimKotzman --- Who is True North? A decentralized collective of investors, analysts, and capital structure nerds exploring the outer edges of Bitcoin, $MSTR, collateralized finance and macro econ. From balance sheets to basis trades, we follow and emit signal with conviction—and a healthy disregard for conventional wisdom. Learn more at https://www.mstrtruenorth.com/about/. ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitwise. Bitwise has over $10B in client assets, 32 investment products, and a team of 100+ employees across the U.S. and Europe, all solely focused on Bitcoin and digital assets since 2017. Learn more at https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product and Event Links: Earn 2-4% back in Bitcoin on all your purchases with the orange Gemini Bitcoin credit card: https://www.gemini.com/natalie Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie Block's Bitkey Cold Storage Wallet was named to TIME's prestigious Best Inventions of 2024 in the category of Privacy & Security. Get 20% off using code STORIES at https://bitkey.world Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/ Safely self-custody your Bitcoin with Coinkite and the ColdCard Wallet. Get 5% off: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES River is where I DCA weekly and buy Bitcoin with the lowest fees in the industry: https://partner.river.com/natalie Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino returns to Bankless at a historic moment for stablecoins. With the Genius Act advancing in the U.S. Congress, Paolo discusses what regulatory clarity means for Tether, the future of USDT, and the company's plans to launch a domestic stablecoin. We explore the Circle IPO hype, Tether's eye-popping profits, its growing presence in the U.S. Treasuries and Bitcoin mining, and how grassroots distribution across emerging markets powers its dominance. Paolo also gives a glimpse into Tether's ambitions in AI, tokenized gold, and the battle to distribute the dollar where banks can't reach. ------
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe [DS]/[CB] are pushing back using the Federal Reserve, what we are seeing is the same thing we see with the judicial branch. Sometimes the people must see it. Trump is building parallel economy and now he wants the Genius act passed so cryptos can support the currency. The transition away from the [CB] has begun, gold will be last. The [DS] has been stripped of funding, intelligence and their terrorist army. The [DS] has been weakened beyond belief and the D's are hanging on by a thread. Iran contacted Trump and within the next two weeks we will see if the [DS] surrenders or they are going to fight. Trump has now messaged that the patriots have taken control by raising the flag at the White House. We are witnessing the cleanup operation. Economy https://twitter.com/C_3C_3/status/1935402446848680019 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/BasedMikeLee/status/1935400301973897410 https://twitter.com/SecScottBessent/status/1935404649718157691 to establishing the United States as a hub for digital asset innovation, and the GENIUS Act moves us one step closer to that goal. (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins of 2025), a bill passed by the U.S. Senate with a 68-30 vote on June 17, 2025. This legislation establishes the first federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, which are cryptocurrencies pegged to assets like the U.S. dollar to maintain a stable value. The bill aims to: It mandates that stablecoins be fully backed by liquid assets (e.g., U.S. dollars or Treasury bills), requires issuers to hold proper licenses, enforces anti-money laundering checks, and demands monthly reserve disclosures for transparency. Supporters, including Trump, argue it positions the U.S. as a global leader in digital assets by fostering innovation, protecting consumers, and maintaining the dominance of the U.S. dollar in the digital economy. The bill is seen as a step toward integrating stablecoins into mainstream finance, potentially lowering transaction costs and enabling instant payments. Advocates claim it could unlock significant economic benefits, such as reducing government borrowing costs, attracting investment, and growing the stablecoin market (projected to reach $3.7-$4 trillion). It's also expected to drive demand for U.S. Treasuries and onboard millions into the dollar-based digital economy. Trump's urgency for the House to pass a “clean” version—without amendments—stems from concerns that changes could delay the process, as any modifications would require Senate reconciliation. He's pushing for swift action to sign it into law before the August 2025 recess, aligning with his broader vision of making the U.S. a crypto hub. He is saving Gold for last 2619 Dec 12, 2018 7:01:15 PM EST Q !!mG7VJxZNCI ID: 089200 No. 4281049 Dec 12, 2018 6:57:57 PM EST Anonymous ID: 376ff2 No. 4280876 >>4280189 Q: Do we have the GOLD? >>4280876 Yes. GOLD shall destroy FED Q Political/Rights https://twitter.com/libsoftiktok/status/1935688135758803183