POPULARITY
Categories
In this week's Flagship Flashback episode of the Wade Keller Pro Wrestling Podcast from ten years ago (9-1-2015), PWTorch editor Wade Keller and ProWrestling.net's Jason Powell to discuss with live callers big happenings on Raw with Sting, Seth Rollins, and John Cena looking ahead of Night of Champions, where Brock Lesnar and Undertaker were headed between then and WM32, Dolph Ziggler-Lana-Summer Rae saga, and more.Then in the previously VIP-exclusive Aftershow, they talked about the Divas Beat the Clock Challenge, why not Charlotte Flair, ROH-New Japan dynamic, NXT Takeover Wednesday edition, Cody Rhodes's future, and more.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/wade-keller-pro-wrestling-podcast--3076978/support.
O estrategista de investimentos do BB Private, Raphael Félix, CFP®, CNPI, analisa os principais fatos da última semana e reflete sobre as expectativas para a semana atual no Brasil e no mundo para te ajudar a tomar as melhores decisões de investimento: "Nos EUA, a demissão da diretora do Fed por Donald Trump elevou a incerteza política, enquanto o PIB do segundo trimestre surpreendeu positivamente. Na Europa, medidas para reduzir tarifas com os EUA deram algum fôlego aos mercados, e na China, o governo sinalizou estímulos para sustentar o crescimento. No Brasil, a inflação recuou, mas os indicadores de atividade mostraram fraqueza. Para os próximos dias, os destaques são o Payroll nos EUA e a produção industrial no Brasil. Nos EUA, os PMIs vieram fortes e Powell sinalizou possível corte de juros, apesar de alertar para riscos inflacionários. O dólar caiu e o S&P 500 fechou em alta. No Brasil, a curva de juros abriu nos prazos médios e longos, refletindo incertezas locais. O Ibovespa subiu, apoiado pelo cenário externo. Para os próximos dias, destaque para o IPCA-15, IGP-M e dados do Caged no Brasil, além do PCE e PIB nos EUA." Confira agora o BB Private Highlights. Conheça também outros conteúdos produzidos por nossos premiados especialistas no hub BB Private Lounge: bb.com.br/lounge
In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Brent Schutte, CIO of Northwestern Mutual, to discuss the current macro landscape and what it means for investors. Brent shares his balanced perspective on the Fed, inflation, tariffs, concentration risk in markets, and why diversification may be more important now than ever. With over 30 years of investing experience, Brent provides valuable lessons from past cycles that help put today's environment in context.The Fed's dual mandate and why both inflation and unemployment risks matterHow tariffs could reshape growth and inflation dynamicsMarket concentration and the dominance of the Magnificent SevenLessons from past cycles (1999 tech bubble, 2007 commodities, Japan in the 1980s)The role of diversification, including small/mid caps, international equities, and commoditiesActive vs. passive investing and how to evaluate managersRecession signals, rolling recessions, and hidden economic weaknessWhy humility and balance are essential in portfolio construction00:00 – Introduction & importance of diversification02:00 – The Fed's mandate and tariffs' impact on growth & inflation07:30 – Reaction to Powell's Jackson Hole speech & Fed independence15:20 – Hidden recession, labor market signals & AI's economic role20:30 – Reliability of recession indicators post-COVID26:00 – Tariffs, uncertainty & risks for investors28:40 – Market concentration and the Magnificent Seven34:00 – Rethinking diversification: 60/40, commodities, and international exposure41:20 – Lessons from past market cycles (Japan, dot-com, China, commodities)45:15 – Passive flows, active management, and evaluating skill vs. luck50:00 – Government stakes in companies (Intel discussion)52:00 – Standard closing questions & final lessons
Tony Zhang looks at banks as regionals rally on Powell's Jackson Hole commentary. “It really comes down to lower interest rates,” he argues, especially for regional banks exposed to real estate. He covers names he likes in the sector, including Truist (TFC), pointing to chart technical and valuation. Tony shares an example options trade on TFC with a bullish bent. He also gives his take on Nvidia (NVDA) after earnings.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Joni Powell – Project AWARE District Coordinator Project AWARE (Advancing Wellness and Resiliency in Education) is a federal grant project that focuses on a holistic approach to providing mental health awareness, activities, and services through family engagement, schools, and our community. Jackson Co. was awarded this grant to support the already great work being done […]
Joni Powell – Project AWARE District Coordinator Project AWARE (Advancing Wellness and Resiliency in Education) is a federal grant project that focuses on a holistic approach to providing mental health awareness, activities, and services through family engagement, schools, and our community. Jackson Co. was awarded this grant to support the already great work being done […] The post Joni Powell with Project AWARE appeared first on Business RadioX ®.
Bioptimizers https://Bioptimizers.com/toddEnter promo code TODD to get 15% off your order of Berberine Breakthrough today.Bizable https://GoBizable.comUntie your business exposure from your personal exposure with BiZABLE. Schedule your FREE consultation at GoBizAble.com today. Angel Studios https://Angel.com/ToddJoin the Angel Guild today and stream Testament, a powerful new series featuring the retelling of the book of Acts. Renue Healthcare https://Renue.Healthcare/ToddRegister today to Join the Renue Healthcare Webinar Thursday September 11th at 11:00 PST. Visit https://joinstemcelltalks.com or call 602-428-4000. Bulwark Capital https://KnowYourRiskPodcast.comBe confident in your portfolio with Bulwark! Schedule your free Know Your Risk Portfolio review. Go to KnowYourRiskPodcast.com today. Alan's Soaps https://www.AlansArtisanSoaps.comUse coupon code TODD to save an additional 10% off the bundle price.Bonefrog https://BonefrogCoffee.com/toddThe new GOLDEN AGE is here! Use code TODD at checkout to receive 10% off your first purchase and 15% on subscriptions.LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE at:The Todd Herman Show - Podcast - Apple PodcastsThe Todd Herman Show | Podcast on SpotifyWATCH and SUBSCRIBE at: Todd Herman - The Todd Herman Show - YouTubeSo, did Jerome Powell blink? He came out and said Trump was right about tariffs. Plus, what happens when the Government owns private companies? I don't like it. Zach Abraham joins...Episode links:What Fed must do now after Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole epiphany Powell's comments open door to September rate cuts as Treasury yields tumble #1 - President Trump announces the United States will take a 10% non-voting equity stake in Intel, part of a deal he and Howard Lutnick negotiated with Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan.Bill Gates is back, not with a solution for the planet, but with a blueprint for control. He's assembled a cartel of the world's most powerful corporations—BlackRock, Microsoft, GM, Bank of America—under the green banner of his "Catalyst" fund.
On this week's Weekly Rollup, Ryan and Haseeb debate if ETH's new all-time high signals the top or just the start, with whales rotating from BTC into ETH and alt season heating up. Powell hints at rate cuts, ETFs keep pulling billions, and Tom Lee's billion-dollar ETH bet takes center stage while treasury premiums sink. Meanwhile, Google teases an L1, Hyperliquid outpaces Robinhood, and Europe floats a digital euro, setting up another pivotal week in crypto. ---
The U.S. is stepping deeper into crypto and markets are feeling it. Powell's Jackson Hole speech warned against cutting rates too soon, while Trump's move to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook sparked a legal fight over Fed independence. At the same time, the Commerce Department is publishing GDP data on-chain through Chainlink, and Google Cloud unveiled a new blockchain (GCUL) for institutions. Banks are lobbying against stablecoins, the U.S. is taking a 10% stake in Intel but not Nvidia, and Bitcoin faces pressure as transaction fees hit their lowest since 2011 and a whale dumped 24,000 BTC, driving the price below $110K.
In the first of a two- part episode, our Chief U.S. Economist Michael Gapen and Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach discuss the outcome of the Jackson Hole meeting and the outlook for the U.S. economy and the Fed rate path during the rest of the year. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Matthew Hornbach: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy.Michael Gapen: And I'm Michael Gapen, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist.Matthew Hornbach: Last Friday, the Jackson Hole meeting delivered a big surprise to markets. Both stocks and bonds reacted decisively.Today, the first of a two-part episode. We'll discuss Michael's reaction to Chair Powell's Jackson Hole comments and what they mean for his view on the outlook for monetary policy. Tomorrow, the outlook for interest rate markets and the US dollar. It's Thursday, August 28th at 10am in New York. So, Mike, here we are after Jackson Hole. The mood this year felt a lot more hawkish, or at least patient than what we saw last week. And Chair Powell really caught my attention when he said, “with policy and restrictive territory, the baseline outlook for the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” That line has been on my mind ever since. So, let's dig into it. What's your gut reaction?Michael Gapen: Yeah, Matt, it was a surprise to me, and I think I would highlight three aspects of his Jackson Hole comments that were important to me. So, I think what happened here, of course, is the Fed became much more worried about downside risk to the labor market after the July employment report, right? So, at the July FOMC meeting, which came before that report, Powell had said, ‘Well, you know, slow payroll growth is fine as long as the unemployment rate stays low.' And that's very much in line with our view. But sometimes these things are easier said than done. And I think the July employment report told them perhaps there's more weakness in the labor market now than they thought.So, I think the messaging here is about a shift towards risk management mode. Maybe we need to put in a couple policy rate cuts to shore up the labor market. And I think that was the big change and I think that's what drove the overall message in the statement. But there were two other parts of it that I think were interesting, you know. From the economist's point of view, when the chair explicitly writes in a speech that ‘the economy now may warrant adjustments in our policy stance,' right? I mean, that's a big deal. It suggests that the decision has been largely made, and I think anytime the Fed is taking a change of direction, either easing or tightening, they're not just going to do one move. So, they're signaling that they're likely prepared to do a series of moves, and we can debate about what that means. And the third thing that struck me is right before the line that you mentioned he did qualify the need to adjust rates by saying, well, whatever we do, we should, “Proceed cautiously.” So, a year ago, as you recall, the Fed opened up with a big 50 basis point rate cut, which was a surprise. And cut at three successive meetings. So, a hundred basis points of cuts over three meetings, starting with a 50 basis point cut. I think the phraseology ‘proceeds carefully' is a signal to markets that, ‘Hey, don't expect that this time around.' The world's different. This is a risk management discussion. And so, we think, two rate cuts before year end would be most likely. Maybe you get three. But I don't think we should expect a large 50 basis point cut at the September meeting. So those would be my thoughts. Downside risk to the labor market – putting this into words says something important to me. And the ‘proceed cautiously' language I think is something markets also need to take into account.Matthew Hornbach: So how do you translate that into a forecasted path for the Fed? I mean, in terms of your baseline outlook, how many rate cuts are you forecasting this year? And what about in 2026?Michael Gapen: Right. So, we previously; we thought what the Fed was doing was leaning against risks that inflation would be persistent. They moved into that camp because of how fast tariffs were going up and the overall level of the effective tariff rate. So, we thought they would stay on hold for longer and when they move, move more rapidly. What they're saying now in a risk management sense, right; they still think risk to inflation is to the upside, but the unemployment rate is also to the upside. And they're looking at both of those as about equally weighted. So, in a baseline outlook where the Fed's not assuming a recession and neither are we, you get a maybe a dip in growth and a rise in inflation. But growth recovers and inflation comes down next year. In that world, and with the idea that you're proceeding cautiously, they're kind of moving and evaluating, moving and evaluating.So, I think the translation here is: a path of quarterly rate cuts between now and the end of 2026. So, six rate cuts, but moving quarterly, like September and December this year; March, June, September, and December next year; which would take us to a terminal target range of 2.75 to 3. So rather than moving later and more rapidly, you move earlier, but more gradually. That's how we're thinking about it now.Matthew Hornbach: And that's about a 25 basis point upward adjustment to the trough policy rate that you were forecasting previously…Michael Gapen: That's right. So, the prior thought was a Fed that moves later may have to cut more, right? Because you're – by holding policy tighter for longer – you're putting more downward weight on the economy from a cyclical perspective. So, you may end up cutting more to essentially reverse that in 2026. So, by moving earlier, maybe a Fed that moves a little earlier, cuts a little less.Matthew Hornbach: In terms of the alternative outcomes. Obviously, in any given forecast, things can go not as expected. And so, if the path turns out to be something other than what you're forecasting today, what would be some of the more likely outcomes in your mind?Michael Gapen: Yeah, as we like to say in economics, we forecast so we know where we're wrong. So, you're right, the world can evolve very differently. So just a couple thoughts. You know, one, now that we're thinking the Fed does cut in September, what gets them not to cut? You'd need a – I think, a really strong August employment report; something around 225,000 jobs, which would bring the three-month moving average back to around 150, right. That would be a signal that the May-June downdraft was just a post Liberation Day pothole and not trend deterioration in the labor market. So that, you know, would be one potential alternative. Another is – although we've projected quarterly paths in this kind of nice gradual pace of cuts, we could get a repeat of last year where the Fed cuts 50 to 75 basis points by year end but realizes the labor market has not rolled over. And then we get some tariff pass through into inflation. And maybe residual seasonality and inflation in Q1. And then the Fed goes on hold again, then cuts could resume later in the year. And I also think in the backdrop here, when the Fed is saying we are easing in a risk management sense and we're easing maybe earlier than we otherwise would – that suggests the Fed has greater tolerance for inflation. So, understanding how much tolerance this Fed or the next one has for above target inflation, I think could influence how many rate cuts you eventually get in in 2026. So, we could even see a deeper trough through greater inflation tolerance. And finally, of course, we're not out of the woods with respect to recession risk. We could be wrong. Maybe the labor market is trend weakening and we're about to find that out. Growth is slowing. Growth was about 1.3 percent in the first half of the year. Final sales is softer. Of course, in a recession alternative scenario, the Fed's probably cutting much deeper, maybe down to 1 50 to 175 on the funds rate.So, I mean, Matt, you make a good point. There's still many different ways the economy can evolve and many different ways that the Fed's path for policy rates can evolve.Matthew Hornbach: Well, that's a good place to bring this Part 1 episode to an end. Tune in tomorrow, for my reaction to the market price action that followed Chair Powell's speech -- and what it means for our outlook for interest rate markets and the U.S. dollar.Mike, thanks for taking the time to talk.Michael Gapen: Great speaking with you, Matt. Matthew Hornbach: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.
In this episode, Jim Paulsen of Paulsen Perspectives joins us to break down the state of the economy, the Fed's policy stance, inflation risks, and what's really happening beneath the surface of the stock market. Jim explains why the headline numbers often mask the struggles of many companies, why the S&P 500 looks stretched while much of the market remains undervalued, and what investors should watch as we head into the fall.Weak GDP growth, jobs slowdown, and why the U.S. may avoid recession despite sluggish dataHow fiscal policy, tariffs, the dollar, and monetary policy are shaping growthWhy corporate profits outside the S&P 500 remain below trend despite large-cap strengthThe Fed's inflation obsession, the 2% target debate, and Jackson Hole policy shiftsJim's case that inflation fears are overblown, with supporting data on CPI, PPI, wages, and expectationsHistorical supports for bull markets (liquidity, interest rates, dollar, confidence) and why they've been missingDivergence between S&P 500 valuations vs. the rest of the marketStructural disconnect between small/mid-caps and large-cap earningsThe opportunity for market broadening if the Fed eases policyWhat Jim will be watching heading into year-end00:00 – Economic growth slowdown and risks of recession02:00 – Policy backdrop: fiscal, monetary, dollar, and tariffs07:00 – Why recession may still be avoided15:00 – Powell, Jackson Hole, and the Fed's inflation stance24:00 – Are inflation fears overblown?36:00 – Inflation surprise index and momentum37:00 – What supports bull markets (liquidity, rates, dollar, confidence)41:00 – Trendline analysis: S&P vs. broader market47:00 – Russell 2000 earnings vs. S&P 500 divergence52:00 – Corporate profits divergence and policy implications59:00 – What Jim is watching heading into year-end
Piers is back on the mic, and just in time. The markets are heating up and so is the political pressure. In this episode, Anthony and Piers unpack Trump's latest attack on the Federal Reserve, this time zeroing in on Governor Lisa Cook with allegations of mortgage fraud. Is this just another headline-grabbing move, or a serious threat to the Fed's independence?Then, the focus shifts to France, where political chaos is shaking investor confidence and French markets are tanking. Could Macron's government collapse? And what happens if it does?Closer to home, UK households are facing another blow as food and energy prices spike. So why is the Bank of England cutting rates while inflation is rising?Also in this episode: market reactions to Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the bond market's inflation signals, and why traders keenly awaiting the upcoming payrolls report.(00:00) Reunion and Market Overview(04:33) Trump's Influence on the Fed(27:58) Political Turmoil in France(38:12) UK Inflation and Economic Outlook
Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research, joins us after the Jackson Hole meeting to break down Powell's pivot, Trump's Fed shake-ups, and what's next for markets.We cover the real driver behind weak payrolls, immigration's role in labor supply, why the bond market is rejecting Fed policy, and how Trump's moves could reshape the Fed board.Bianco also shares his outlook on stocks, bonds, deflation risks, and portfolio strategy in a “4-5-6% world.#Recession #Dollar #Inflation-------------------
PWTorch editor Wade Keller presents the weekly Flagship edition of the Wade Keller Pro Wrestling Podcast with guest co-host Jason Powell from ProWrestling.net and the Pro Wrestling Boom podcast. They discuss these topics:Is Cody Rhodes getting cheated out of part of his earned full run as a centerpiece babyface, and why are there scattered boos when his name is mentioned?John Cena's lack of graciousness and veiled in-it-for-himself approachIs C.M. Punk checked out or just pacing himself?Is WWE getting arrogant or complacent given the revenue coming in now? Are they giving ticket-buying fans their full money's worth?Are people in WWE tiring of the ruthless aggression approach when it comes to scheduling against AEW events?John Cena's standout performance against Logan Paul last FridayHow stale is Seth Rollins even with a new faction to interact with?A preview of Clash in ParisThe Ozzy Osbourne family response to Becky Lynch's playful (but too soon?) comments on the late OzzyThoughts on the (overbearing?) fans overseas and in general, including their least favorite common chantAEW's depleted babyface and is "chasing star ratings" a culprit?The fall from grace of Hurt Syndicate and indications they've been "divas" and acting like big shotsWhat's next for Christian Cage?Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/wade-keller-pro-wrestling-podcast--3076978/support.
Jackson HOLY cow what a move.... SOE's get used to it - We are now China. Airline consolidation or murder? Bond yields - Long bond yields up. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - Excitement over a change in tone from Powell (Powell throws the towel?) - Crypto surges - then comes back down - SOE - Get used to that - Bond yields - Long bond up Markets - Hitting all-time highs - Airline consolidation or murder? - NVDA earnings - reports this week - Some crypto really moving Fed Firing - How do we feel about the firing of Fed's Cook? - Allegations, not confirmed - Could this be a play to actually fire Powell? --- Trump now says that this paves the way to him having a majority that soon will push rate lower (after firing Cook) Windless - Shutting down the alt-energy projects - Wind turbines ugly and no good - Shares in wind farm developer Orsted - The U.S. government last week ordered the company to halt construction of an almost completed project. - Late on Friday the U.S.? Bureau of Ocean Energy Management had issued a stop-work order for the Revolution Wind Project off of Rhode Island. According to Orsted, the project is 80% complete and 45 out of 65 wind turbines have been installed Pricing Power - News that Spotify will raise prices as it invests in new features and targets 1 billion users - said the price will rise to 11.99 euros ($14.05) from 10.99 euros in markets including South Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Latin America and the Asia-Pacific region. - Price increases combined with cost-cutting efforts in recent years helped Spotify achieve its first annual profit last year. Jackson Holy !! - Powell hinted that maybe there would be a change to his thinking - In his final address as Fed chair at the Jackson Hole, Wyoming, economic symposium, Powell hinted at a September interest rate cut but stopped short of committing, striking a careful balance between mounting job-market risks and lingering inflation worries. - In particular, the market was enthused by Mr. Powell's line noting that "with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance," which the market took as an open-mindedness to easing. - The probability of a 25-basis point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting now stands at 83.1%, up from 75.0% yesterday, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Jackson - HOLY 2 - Markets reacted strongly in favor of a rate cut - hope - DJIA up 800 - S&P and NASDAQ rallied - Small Caps up close to 4% - USD dove - Yields - slightly lower - Crypto - ETHER rallied hard - ATH ---- Give it a day and Ether and Bitcoin came back down to earth Misunderstanding - Cut rates so houses more affordable? - Long rates moved higher - NVDA - Earnings due Wednesday After the close - Nvidia makes up about 7.5% of the S&P 500. - Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates Zacks Consensus: $1.00 Kiplinger Forecast: $1.01, up 48.5% year-over-year MarketBeat Average: $0.97 (range: $0.92–$1.05) - Revenue Estimates Zacks Consensus: $46.14 billion Kiplinger Forecast: $46.0 billion, a 53.1% increase YoY MarketBeat Range: $44.1–$45.9 billion - Forward-Looking EPS FY 2026: $4.28 (Zacks), $4.12 (MarketBeat) FY 2027: $5.70 (Zacks) SOE - State Owned Enterprises - We had better get use to it - All the anger directed at China for this - as unfair practice - Now, US takes a piece of Intel (10% for $2B ?) - Wait - 10% is $10B value - is that right? Intel Math (MATH?) - The U.S. government acquired a 10% stake in Intel by converting $11.1 billion in previously issued grants and pledges into equity.
Stephanie Pomboy returned this morning for her biweekly macro session on Thoughtful Money.We discussed her views on Fed rate cuts, inflation, credit spreads, the weakening consumer, recession risk, the housing market, her outlook for the US dollar…even the Taylor Swift/Travis Kelce engagement.Stephanie is eagerly awaiting next month's FOMC decision, as she thinks it has potential to be the event that punctures the market's current blind optimism — if the Fed starts cutting its policy rate but bond yields don't come down as hoped.What does she expect to happen if they don't?Find out by watching this video.And follow Stephanie at https://macromavens.com/Or on X at @spomboyLOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#federalreserve #inflation #marketcorrection 0:01 - Fed drama: Powell's Jackson Hole speech, staffing changes, and structural debates2:30 - Importance of Fed actions for financial markets and market mispricing8:15 - Potential triggers for bond yield declines: short squeeze or safety trade14:49 - Fed intervention risks: QE or operation twist amid economic slowdown20:05 - Investment strategy: Gold and energy as hedges against dollar debasement 9:03 - Inflation outlook: Disinflation expected due to consumer distress36:04 - Corporate margin squeeze and potential job losses41:41 - Why credit spreads remain tight despite economic risks48:30 - Housing market distress: High cancellations, cash-outs, and oversupply55:00 - Boomer aging and housing market headwinds58:13 - Thoughtful Money Fall Conference teaser, October 18th58:59 - Dollar outlook: Short-term strength, long-term decline vs. gold1:01:04 - Taylor Swift engagement's negligible economic impact1:03:30 - Where to follow Stephanie Pomboy's work_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
On the 68th Episode of the Album Review Crew of Shout It Out Loudcast, Tom, Zeus & special guest, SIOL Hall Of Famer, the host of Trunk Nation on SiriusXM, the Eddie Trunk Podcast, That Metal Show, the one and only Eddie Trunk to review the 1976 classic rock album from Rainbow, "Rising." Rainbow's Rising was the 2nd studio album by Rainbow, the band that guitar god Ritchie Blackmore formed when he left Deep Purple. This album saw a whole new band, with the exception of the legendary Ronnie James Dio on vocals. Jimmy Bain joined on bass, Tony Carey on keyboard and SIOL favorite Cozy Powell on drums. Rising not only continued where the debut album left off, but surpassed it by leaps and bounds. The musicianship, the lyrics and the neo-classical form of metal was unmatched. The whole band shined on this album, but especially, Dio, Blackmore and Powell. Though there are only six songs on the album, songs like Tarot Woman, Stargazer & Light In The Black which are classics which may never be topped. This was Zeus' pick. His third Rainbow album, each with a different lead singer. So grab your wizard costume and get ready to rock with Buffalo Bill at the end! To Purchase Rainbow's “Rising” On Amazon Click Below: Rainbow's "Rising" To Purchase Shout It Out Loudcast's KISS Book “Raise Your Glasses: A Celebration Of 50 Years of KISS Songs By Celebrities, Musicians & Fans Please Click Below: Raise Your Glasses Book For all things Shout It Out Loudcast check out our amazing website by clicking below: www.ShoutItOutLoudcast.com Interested in more Shout It Out Loudcast content? Care to help us out? Come join us on Patreon by clicking below: SIOL Patreon Get all your Shout It Out Loudcast Merchandise by clicking below: Shout It Out Loudcast Merchandise at AMAZON Shop At Our Amazon Store by clicking below: Shout It Out Loudcast Amazon Store Please Email us comments or suggestions by clicking below: ShoutItOutLoudcast@Gmail.com Please subscribe to us and give us a 5 Star (Child) review on the following places below: iTunes Podchaser Stitcher iHeart Radio Spotify Please follow us and like our social media pages clicking below: Twitter Facebook Page Facebook Group Page Shout It Out Loudcasters Instagram YouTube Proud Member of the Pantheon Podcast click below to see the website: Pantheon Podcast Network Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Bill Holter: Gold & Silver LOVED Powell's 'Special' Jackson Hole Speech! Jerome Powell gave his yearly Jackson Hole speech on Friday, and gold and silver prices shot higher as he was talking. While the main takeaway was that he let the world know that it's time for more interest rate cuts, there were some really important unanswered questions left behind. Fortunately, gold and silver precious metals veteran Bill Holter joined me on the show to talk about some of the wild things that Powell said, that left the precious metals soaring. Bill also talks about silver as a potential strategic mineral in the US, the reports of Saudi Arabia investing in SLV, and his thoughts on why we haven't heard more about the Fort Knox gold audit. So to hear what Bill had to say, click to watch the video now! - To get access to Bill's research go to: https://billholter.com/ - To find out more about the latest First Majestic drill results at San Dimas go to: https://firstmajestic.com/investors/news-releases/first-majestic-announces-positive-exploration-results-at-san-dimas - Get access to Arcadia's Daily Gold and Silver updates here: https://goldandsilverdaily.substack.com/ - To get your very own 'Silver Chopper Ben' statue go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/chopper-ben-landing-page/ - Join our free email list to be notified when a new video comes out: click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - Follow Arcadia Economics on twitter at: https://x.com/ArcadiaEconomic - To get your copy of 'The Big Silver Short' (paperback or audio) go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ - Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 - #silver #silverprice #gold And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD) This video was sponsored by First Majestic Silver, and Arcadia Economics does receive compensation. For our full disclaimer go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/disclaimer-first-majestic-silver/Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise
El lunes pasado Donald Trump anunció la destitución de Lisa Cook, miembro de la Junta de Gobernadores de la Reserva Federal. El despido lo ha justificado alegando una acusación de fraude hipotecario presentada por Bill Pulte, director de la Agencia Federal de Financiación de la Vivienda. Pulte ha denunciado que Cook declaró dos residencias principales en 2021 para obtener mejores condiciones en una hipoteca, lo que constituye un delito federal. Cook negó las acusaciones, aseguró haber corregido las declaraciones y anunció que impugnará el despido en los tribunales. La decisión ha desatado un acalorado debate sobre la autonomía y la independencia de la Reserva Federal, ya que su estatuto fundacional, que data de 1913, solo permite destituir a un gobernador por ineficiencia, negligencia o malversación. Cook, nombrada por Biden en 2022 para un mandato de 14 años, sostiene que el despido carece de base legal. La Fed, por su parte, ya ha adelantado que acatará cualquier resolución judicial. La Junta de Gobernadores, equivalente al comité ejecutivo del BCE, supervisa los 12 bancos regionales de la Reserva Federal y es, junto al Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto, quien decide sobre los tipos de interés y la oferta monetaria. El cese de Cook se interpreta como un movimiento político de Trump para que Jerome Powell baje de una vez los tipos de interés y eso sirva de estímulo a la economía. No es este el primer caso en el que Trump fulmina al responsable de una agencia federal. A principios de mes destituyó a Erika McEntarfer, de la oficina de estadísticas laborales, por un informe de empleo un tanto decepcionante para los intereses del Gobierno. Las acusaciones contra Cook son además muy similares a otras que se han realizado contra opositores de Trump como Letitia James y Adam Schiff, lo que indica que se trata de una una estrategia bien estudiada para librarse de altos cargos incómodos. Cook piensa resistir y el mercado no termina de ver la maniobra de Trump para hacerse con el control de la Fed por las malas. Los analistas, eso sí, ya han advertido sobre los riesgos de inflación que entraña comprometer la independencia del banco central. Powell, cuya gestión Trump cuestiona públicamente, anunció recientemente en Wyoming un posible recorte de tipos dirigido a compensar un mercado laboral débil y los efectos de los aranceles y las políticas migratorias de Trump. El mercado espera una reducción de 0,25 puntos en septiembre, pero Trump quiere bajadas más agresivas, lo que podría reavivar la inflación, que en 2022 superó el 9%. Interferir en la Fed es arriesgado. Ejemplos como el de Argentina o el de Turquía, donde los bancos centrales controlados directamente por el gobierno dispararon la inflación, son advertencias claras. La cuestión es que la Fed no es una entidad totalmente pública ya que combina elementos públicos y privados. Su independencia es clave para dotar de estabilidad del dólar. Si Trump logra destituir a Cook sin un proceso judicial, podría sentar un precedente para, a partir de ahí, controlar la Junta y el Comité de Mercado Abierto. Pero realmente no lo necesita, le basta simplemente con ser paciente y esperar a que el mandato de Powell venza dentro de unos meses. Pero a Trump le puede la impaciencia. No tiene en cuenta que si dinamita la independencia de la Fed un próximo presidente demócrata heredaría un banco central con el que podría hacer lo que le viniese en gana. En La ContraRéplica: 0:00 Introducción 4:07 Trump contra la Fed 35:41 Por qué crece el cristianismo 41:09 Los errores de Intel 47:19 Transgénicos · Canal de Telegram: https://t.me/lacontracronica · “Contra la Revolución Francesa”… https://amzn.to/4aF0LpZ · “Hispanos. Breve historia de los pueblos de habla hispana”… https://amzn.to/428js1G · “La ContraHistoria de España. Auge, caída y vuelta a empezar de un país en 28 episodios”… https://amzn.to/3kXcZ6i · “Lutero, Calvino y Trento, la Reforma que no fue”… https://amzn.to/3shKOlK · “La ContraHistoria del comunismo”… https://amzn.to/39QP2KE Apoya La Contra en: · Patreon... https://www.patreon.com/diazvillanueva · iVoox... https://www.ivoox.com/podcast-contracronica_sq_f1267769_1.html · Paypal... https://www.paypal.me/diazvillanueva Sígueme en: · Web... https://diazvillanueva.com · Twitter... https://twitter.com/diazvillanueva · Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/fernandodiazvillanueva1/ · Instagram... https://www.instagram.com/diazvillanueva · Linkedin… https://www.linkedin.com/in/fernando-d%C3%ADaz-villanueva-7303865/ · Flickr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/147276463@N05/?/ · Pinterest... https://www.pinterest.com/fernandodiazvillanueva Encuentra mis libros en: · Amazon... https://www.amazon.es/Fernando-Diaz-Villanueva/e/B00J2ASBXM #FernandoDiazVillanueva #fed #trump Escucha el episodio completo en la app de iVoox, o descubre todo el catálogo de iVoox Originals
President Donald Trump said he is removing Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook from her position. “I will not resign,” said Cook, who hired high-profile attorney Abbe Lowell to challenge her purported termination. Trump has complained for months that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has not lowered interest rates.~This episode is sponsored by Gemini & Tangem~Sign up for The Gemini Credit Card and get an extra $50 in crypto!➜ https://bit.ly/GeminiPBNTangem ➜ https://bit.ly/TangemPBNUse Code: "PBN" for Additional Discounts!00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Gemini00:50 Trump Fires fed governor?01:30 Fed Drama03:15 Cook is Cooked04:00 CNBC: Will Powell publicly back her?06:10 Powell should stay neutral07:00 Sponsor: Tangem08:05 Trump x Polymarket08:30 Tom Lee calling bottoms?10:30 Is Tom Lee too early?11:30 SharpLink adds more ETH12:20 CNBC: ETH vs Apple14:50 Outro#Bitcoin #Crypto #ethereum~Trump Fires Fed Chair?
Our Hitchcockian August continues with Michael Powell's 1960 film, Peeping Tom. Credited as one of the films that influenced the slasher genre, Powell's film tells the story of Mark Lewis (Karlheinz Böhm), a lonely London photographer who murders women, capturing their fear on film in hopes of creating his own documentary. Creepy, macabre, and bold, Powell's film was not well received upon its release in 1960, but has won over horror fans in recent decades as an essential work.
Markets bounced back strongly after Powell's Jackson Hole speech, but questions remain about whether momentum can carry into the fall. Scott Bauer of Prosper Trading Academy joins Jeff Praissman to unpack Fed policy, inflation data, and what's next for tech, retail, and investors as summer winds down.
In this episode, we dive into President Trump's escalating attacks on the Federal Reserve, exploring the implications for interest rates, employment data, and the credibility of U.S. institutions. Rareview Capital's Neil Azous joins Andrew Wilkinson to unpack whether Powell, policy, and politics can coexist or if the Fed is facing a reckoning.
Welcome to The Politicana Podcast — your weekly dose of clarity, comedy, and conversation in politics. With thought-provoking analysis, lively debates, and engaging commentary, we make politics both understandable and entertaining. If you want the story behind the headlines, you're in the right place.For questions and inquiries, reach out to us at Backofthemob@gmail.comFacebook -> https://bit.ly/3F5YtWcX/Twitter -> https://x.com/Tylers_FatoTikTok -> www.tiktok.com/@notfakenewsYoutube -> https://www.youtube.com/@NotFakeNewsNetwork-- TIMESTAMPS --00:00 - Trump Raids His Former National Security Advisor John Bolton5:00 -Hillary Clinton Floats Nominating Trump For Nobel Peace Prize8:30 - Powell Signaling Rate Cuts & Trump's Economy 30:35 - Trump's Health A Bit Questionable? Could We See A J.D. Vance Presidency?44:05 - Nikki Haley Condemns Trump on Intel46:55 - Gavin Newsom Has Joined The Dark Side of Woke. Is Woke Politics Dead?1:01:30 - Is Emmanuel Macron's Wife Actually A Man? 1:07:50 - Canada Is Lifting Retaliatory Tariffs
President Donald Trump has been loudly critical of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for years now. Since January, the President has accused him of playing politics by keeping interest rates high. Trump has also threatened to oust Powell — which would mark an extraordinary shift away from the independence of the central bank.Today from our friends at The Indicator from Planet Money: a short history of the Federal Reserve and why it's insulated from day-to-day politics; how the Fed amassed a ton of power in recent years; and a Trump executive order that took some of that power away.To access bonus episodes and listen to Throughline sponsor-free, subscribe to Throughline+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/throughline.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy
John and Anthony Pompliano discuss bitcoin, why the price is going down, what's going on with the federal reserve, where the pressure from the White House is coming, prediction for the next 10 years of the US economy, and will Powell cut interest rates? ===================== Markets are at all-time highs. Public equities are outperforming. And individual investors are driving it all. It's officially the rise of the retail investor. On September 12th in NYC, I'm hosting the Independent Investor Summit — a one-day event built exclusively for self-directed investors. We're bringing together some of the smartest public market investors I know for a full day of macro insights, market predictions, one-on-one fireside chats, and actionable investment ideas from each investor. This is going to be an absolute banger event. Join us if you like markets and think retail is two steps ahead of Wall Street.
Crypto cycles have always topped on a four-year rhythm, but are we heading for a Q4 2025 peak or an extended run into 2026? Michael Nadeau from The DeFi Report joins Ryan to break down the onchain and macro signals shaping this cycle. We cover Powell's dovish pivot at Jackson Hole, global liquidity trends, and why loosening bank lending standards could fuel risk-on markets. Michael explains how whale Bitcoin selling, ETH's breakout, and muted altcoin flows fit into the bigger cycle map. Finally, we dive into portfolio strategy, from core holdings to high-beta “hot sauce” bets, and why holding fewer, higher-conviction assets is the edge most investors miss. Michael Nadeau & The DeFi Report: https://x.com/JustDeauIt https://thedefireport.io https://thedefireport.io/research/how-many-assets-should-you-hold-in-a-crypto-portfolio#closing-thoughts ------
At last week's Jackson Hole gathering, Jerome Powell delivered his final speech as Fed Chair. On the surface it was dry and technical, but markets read it as a dovish signal—and risk assets surged. In today's Breakdown, NLW digs into what Powell actually said, why markets reacted so strongly, and what the revisions to the Fed's monetary policy framework mean for inflation, employment, and the future of central bank independence. Brought to you by: Grayscale offers more than 20 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal. To learn more, visit Grayscale.com -- https://www.grayscale.com//?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-thebreakdown) Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
In this week's Flagship Flashback episode of the Wade Keller Pro Wrestling Podcast from five years ago (8-20-2020), PWTorch editor Wade Keller was joined by Jason Powell from ProWrestling.net and the Pro Wrestling Boom podcast. They talked AEW Dynamite bringing fans back to Daly's Place, WWE Thunderdome, the Velveteen Dream return and Triple H's explanation regarding the controversy, a Summerslam preview with predictions, fun speculation on what will happen that “we never saw coming,” an NXT Takeover preview, thoughts on NXT's presentation last night without Dynamite as competition, first reaction to the viewership, and more.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/wade-keller-pro-wrestling-podcast--3076978/support.
This week, the Justice brothers dive deep into Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech and what it means for the future of monetary policy. Is the Fed finally ready to cut rates—or is Powell once again too cautious, earning the nickname “Too Late Powell”? Matt and Mark break down Powell's dovish tone, the shift from inflation risk to labor market fragility, and how traders should interpret the Fed's pivot back to flexible inflation targeting. Then, the conversation moves into one of the most important technical developments of the year: multiple-time frame breakouts across the Dow, Russell 2000, and the Equal-Weight S&P. Breadth has returned to the market, strengthening the bull case beyond the mega-caps. In “Stock It or Drop It,” the guys bring analysis and setups on some of the week's biggest movers: Nvidia, Zoom, Palo Alto, Walmart, Estee Lauder, and more. And in this week's Coaches Corner, they tackle trader lifestyle questions—from how much time you really need to dedicate to trading, to whether copying others' strategies can work, to the eternal debate of luck vs. skill. Insightful, actionable, and always entertaining —don't miss this episode of the Trading Justice Podcast.
Today, a look at markets unwinding much of the reaction to the Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the bad vibes in Europe this morning as French politics are set for another showdown into a September 8 confidence vote, Trump's trying to fire the Fed's Lisa Cook and whether he can succeed, AI-related names that are nervous ahead of Nvidia's big earnings report tomorrow after the close, crypto markets on edge and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
In this week's episode the Powell men discuss the ongoing fuckery in the #NationsCapital #WashingtonDC where the #NationalGuard is posted up at #Trump behest. DP can't find a room at #TheWarf. Coincidence? He's going anyway. We recommend that he take a few rest stops as men of a certain age have to. Damn #prostate. We dive into the donations of #AIPAC . #Democrats receive 60% of #Israelilobby money. #HakeemJeffries , #ChuckSchumer #KamalaHarris are huge recipients as is current #SpeakeroftheHouse #MikeJohnson. #CongressmanWesleyBell got 2.7 million to defeat #CoriBush , who was critical of the ongoing #GazaGenocide. #America has a shadow #puppetgovernment . No #UniversalHealthcare, No real #Veterans care , No #freecollege here , but in #Israel all those things exist thanks to #AmericanTaxpayers . Make it make sense. In this week's #MountRushmore , who belongs on the Mount Rushmore of White #NBA players. #LarryBird is a lock . Have a safe and happy #LaborDay
Eddie Ghabour notes the market "shrugging off" the "battle" between Fed member Lisa Cook and President Trump as a good thing. He believes bulls are instead focused on Fed chair Jerome Powell's commentary at Jackson Hole and prospects of a rate cut as positives for the economic outlook. When it comes to stocks, Eddie expects small cap stocks to rally further after investors experienced a "frustrating" rotation in recent months.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
“Stay diversified and data driven” as the market walks a tightrope, says Tony Drake. He likes small caps with strong balance sheets, saying they're at “their steepest discounts since the dot-com era.” He's also looking at bonds – though on the other hand, Tony says AI could have more room to run. With “futures betting on that September cut,” he's watching to see if Powell can land the plane.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell's hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell's capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed's coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell's Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump's Pressure and Powell's “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin's Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel's 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Boll & Branch: https://bollandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Group Chat News is back with some of the biggest stories of the week including, Powell's Rate Cut Signal Reflects Economy's Delicate Position, Meta puts the brakes on its massive AI talent spending spree, It has been nine days without a murder in Washington, D.C. and much more
Opinions by market pundits have been flying since Fed Chair Powell's remarks at Jackson Hole last week, leaving the door open for interest rate cuts as soon as in September. Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains his continued call for a bullish outlook on U.S. stocks.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing the Fed's new signaling on policy and what it means for stocks. It's Monday, August 25th at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it. Over the past few months, the markets started to anticipate a Fed pivot to a more dovish stance this fall. More specifically, the bond market started to price in a very high likelihood for the Fed to start cutting interest rates again in September. Equities have taken their cues from this signaling in the bond market by trading higher through most of the summer – despite lingering concerns about tariffs, international conflicts and valuation. I have remained bullish throughout this period given our focus on historically strong earnings revisions and the view that the Fed's next move would be to cut rates even if the timing remained uncertain. Last week, the Fed held its annual symposium in Jackson Hole where they typically discuss near term policy intentions as well as larger considerations for their strategic policy framework. We learned two key things. First, the Fed seems closer to cutting rates in September than the last time Chair Powell spoke publicly. This change also comes after a week in which the markets were left wondering if he would remain more hawkish until inflation data confirmed what markets have already figured out. Clearly, Powell leaned more dovish. And with markets a bit nervous going into his speech on Friday morning, equities rallied sharply the rest of the day. Second, the Fed also indicated that it will no longer target average inflation at 2 percent. Instead, it will make 2 percent the target at all times. This means the Fed will not tolerate inflation above or below target to manage the average like it did in 2021-22. It also suggests a more hawkish Fed should the economy recover more strongly than is currently expected or inflation reaccelerates. From my standpoint, this is bullish for stocks over the next few weeks and markets can now fully anticipate Fed cuts in September. However, I see a few risks for September and October worth thinking about as the S&P 500 approaches our longstanding 6500 target. The first risk is the Fed decides to not cut after all because either growth is better or inflation is higher than expected. That would be worth a small correction in stocks given the high likelihood of a cut that is now priced in. The second risk is the Fed cuts but the bond market decides it's being too carefree about inflation and longer term bonds sell off. A sharp rise in 10-year Treasury yields would likely elicit a bigger correction in stocks until the Treasury and Fed regain control. Here's the important message I want to leave you with. A major bear market ended in April, and a new bull market began. It's rare for new bull markets to last only four months and more likely they last one-to-two years, at a minimum. What that means is that any dips we get this fall are likely to be buying opportunities for longer term investors. What gives us even more confidence in that statement is that earnings revisions continue to move sharply higher. The Fed uses economic data to make its decisions and that data is generally backward looking. Equity investors look at company data and guidance which is forward looking. This fact alone explains the wide divergence between equity prices and Fed decisions, which tend to be late and after equity markets have already figured out what's going to happen rather than what's in the past. Bottom line, I remain bullish on the next 12 months given what companies and equity markets are telling us. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
Keith discusses the impact of political rhetoric on mortgage rates, emphasizing the importance of central bank independence. President of Ridge Lending Group and GRE Icon, Caeli Ridge, joins in to explain the benefits of 30-year mortgages over 15-year ones, advocating for extra principal payments to be reinvested rather than accelerating loan payoff. They also cover the potential effects of Fannie and Freddie going public, predicting higher mortgage rates. Caeli Ridge elaborates on cross-collateralization strategies, highlighting the advantages of commercial blanket loans for real estate investors. Resources: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/568 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 welcome to GRE I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, the President has called the Fed chair a dummy and worse. How does this all affect the future of mortgage rates? Also, I discuss 30 year versus 15 year loans. Can you bundle multiple properties into one loan? Then how Fannie and Freddie going public could permanently increase mortgage rates today on get rich education Keith Weinhold 0:28 since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads in 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast, or visit get rich education.com Speaker 1 1:14 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Keith Weinhold 1:24 Welcome to GRE from Pawtucket, Rhode Island to Poughkeepsie, New York and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm your host. Keith weinholdin, this is get rich education, not to inflate a sense of self importance, but each episode is an even bigger deal than a New York Jets preseason football game. You might have thought you knew real estate until you listened to this show, from street speak to geek speak. I use it all to break down how with investment property, you don't have to live below your means. You can grow your means as we're discussing the mortgage landscape this week. You know, I recently had a bundle of my own single family rental homes transfer mortgage servicers from Wells Fargo over to Mr. Cooper. And that was easy. I didn't have to do anything. The automatic payments just automatically transferred over. And yes, Mr. Cooper, it's sort of a funny sounding name that you don't exactly see them putting the naming rights on stadiums out there, but the new servicer prominently wanted to point out the effect of me making extra $100 monthly principal payments and how much in interest that would save me over time, sort of suggesting that it would be a good idea for me to do so. Oh, as you know, like I've discussed extensively, extra principal pay down is a really poor use of your capital. It's a lot like how in the past, now you've probably seen it like I have, your mortgage company promotes you making bi weekly payments all year, so you'd effectively make some extra principal pay down each year. That way. Don't fall for it. Banks promote biweekly payments because it sounds borrower friendly, it encourages an earlier loan payoff. Well, that actually reduces lender risk and increases your risk. And the whole program can come with extra fees too. It just ties up more of your money in something that's unsafe, illiquid, and with a rate of return that's always zero, since that's exactly what home equity is. As we're about to talk mortgages with an expert today, I will be sure to surface that topic. We'll also talk about the housing market effect of a president firing a Fed chair. When you're living under the rule of a president that desperately and passionately wants lower interest rates, you've got to wonder what would happen if a president just had the power to go lower them himself, which is actually what most any president would want to do, but you almost don't have to wonder what would happen. You can just look at what actually did happen in Turkey. Now, yes, Turkey already did have an inflation problem, worse than us, for sure, but Turkish President Erdogan went ahead and lowered Turkey's interest rates despite persistent inflation. I mean, that's a situation where most would raise rates in order to combat inflation. Well, lowering rates like that soon resulted in substantially higher inflation to the tune of almost 60. Yes, six 0% per year before cooler heads prevailed and the Turkish government was forced to drastically raise rates. But it was too late. The damage was already done to the reputation of Turkey's economy and its everyday citizens and consumers. I mean, that was a painful, real world example of how critical central bank independence is. You've also got to ask yourself a question here, do you really want to live in the type of economy where we would need a bunch of rate cuts? Because when rate cuts happen, it usually results from the fact that people are no longer employed, or we're in a recession, or financial markets are really unstable. So there are certainly worse maladies out there than where we are today, which is with moderate inflation, pretty strong employment and interest rates that are actually a little below historic levels. I mean, that is not so bad. Before we talk both long term mortgage lessons and more nascent mortgage trends today coming up on future episodes of the show here, a lot of info and resources to help you build wealth as usual. Also an A E TELEVISION star of a real estate reality show will make his debut here on GRE. Keith Weinhold 6:24 Hey, do you like or even live by any of the enduring GRE mantras, like, Don't live below your means, grow your means, or financially free, beats debt free, or even, don't quit your Daydream. Check out our shop. You can own merch with sayings like that on them, or simply with our GRE logo on shirts and hats and mugs. And I don't really make any income from it. The merch is sold at near cost, and it actually took a fair bit of our team's time to put that together for you. So check out the GRE merch. You can find it at shop.getricheducation.com that's shop.getricheducation.com Keith Weinhold 7:18 today we're talking to the longtime president of ridge lending group. They specialize in providing income property loans to real estate investors like you, and she's also a long time real estate investor herself. I've shared with you before that ridge is where I get my own loans. They've worked with 10s of 1000s of real estate investors, not just primary residence owners, but real estate investors as well as homeowners all over the country, and at this point, she's like a GRE icon, a fixture regularly with us since 2015 Hey, welcome back to get rich education the inimitable Chaley Ridge, Caeli Ridge 7:54 ooh, Mr. Keith Weinhold, thank you, sir. So good to see you, my friend. Thanks for having me Keith Weinhold 8:00 opening up that thesaurus tab right about now, I think maybe JAYLEE, why don't we have the chat everyone wants to have? Let's discuss interest rates, starting with the vitriol from Trump to Powell has reached new heights. This year, Trump has called Powell a numbskull, Mr. Too late, a real dummy, a complete moron, a fool and a major loser, among other names. And you know, at times, I've seen Realtors even blasting Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Well, the Fed doesn't directly control mortgage rates, and it's also not the Fed's job to boost Realtors summer sales. It's to protect the long term stability of the US economy. Tell us your thoughts. Caeli Ridge 8:48 So this is a rather complicated topic, okay, and there's a lot that under the hood that goes into how a long term mortgage bond interest rate is going to go up or going to go down. As you said, it's not necessarily just the Fed and the fed fund rate, which, by the way, for those that are not familiar with this, the fed fund rate is the intra daily trading rate between banks. So while there is a connection between that and that of the 30 year long term fixed rate mortgage, they are not the same thing. And in fact, statistically, I believe I read this last week, the last three fed fund rate reductions did the opposite to long term rates, right? So we went the other direction. So please be clear that the viral, as you say, of President Trump and what his opinions are about Mr. Powell and his decisions to keep that fed fund rate unchanged for the last several meetings that they've had, I think, is more of a distraction, but that's another conversation overall. I would say that, is he too late? Is he right on time? You know, there's so much data and so many data points that they're looking at, and there's this thing in the industry called a Lag that, in truth, they're not getting the actual data points that they need real time. It's lagging, so the data that's coming out to them today isn't going to be what's relevant and necessary to make changes tomorrow, next month and next week. Most recently, you probably saw in the news the BLS Bureau of Labor and Statistics and the jobs report came in far under what the expectation was. So that might have been the catalyst. I think that will drive Powell and group to reduce that is the overwhelming expectation that the fed fund rate is going to come down by how much. We don't know. Secondary markets are already baking that in, by the way. So when we talk about long term interest rates, I'm starting to see some changes on the day to day. I get access to that stuff, and I'm looking at it daily, the ticker tape of where the treasury bonds and things are. So I'm starting to see some slight improvement to interest rates in preparation of that market expectation, interest rate on the fed fund level will probably reduce. But I think overall, Keith that the Fed is in a really difficult position, because when you think about what really is going to drive the fed fund rate, and then potentially the long term rate, is counterintuitive to what most people or consumers expect, right? They think if the fed fund rate reduces by a quarter of a percentage point, then a long term 30 year fixed should probably reduce by the same amount. It does not go hand in hand like that. Now, while there are trends right, that doesn't happen that way, and more often than not, the worse our economy is doing, the better a 30 year interest rate will be. So in my industry, I'm kind of always playing on the fence, thinking I don't want anything bad for our country and the economy. However, the worse it does, the better interest rates are going to become. And if you've been paying attention, the economy is in decent shape. We're not doing that bad. Inflation is still up, so the metrics that they're using to kind of gage and predict that lag and where we're going to be are not in line to say that interest rates are going to drop a half or a point or a point and a half in the next year to 18 months. Those signs are not out there for me. All of that said, I know that interest rate is top of mind for I mean, I'm on the phone all day long. I like that part of my job where I'm still interfacing with investors on day to day. Big chunk of my day is spent talking to clients, and that is one of the top questions, probably one of the first questions that come out of their mouth, where interest rates? What are interest rates? And what I have sort of started to really form and say to that question is, if interest rates are the catalyst to your success in real estate, you probably need to do a little bit more research, because interest rates should not be the make or break for your success. Well, as a real estate investor Keith Weinhold 12:45 the Fed has a dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices. Inflation, though still somewhat elevated, has stayed about the same the past few months. History shows us that the Fed is more comfortable with inflation floating up than they are with suppressed employment levels. To your point about recent reports about us not adding many jobs, and the Fed being concerned about that, the translation for those that don't know is, if the job market is weak, lowering rates, which is what increasingly people think they tend to do later this year. Lowering rates helps encourage businesses. It's more likely that businesses will borrow and expand and hire more people. Therefore, if rates are low now, whether that translates into a lower mortgage rate or not, by lowering that fed funds rate? Yes, there is that positive correlation. Generally, the lower the Fed funds rate goes, the lower mortgage rates tend to go although that isn't always the case. To your point. Shailene, late last year, there were three Fed funds rate cuts, and mortgage rates actually went up, which is somewhat of an aberration that usually doesn't happen that way, but that's the environment we're in. Most people think Fed rate cuts are coming later this year. Caeli Ridge 14:04 Yeah. And I would say, you know, the other thing too, when we talk about the pressure that the Fed is under right now, specifically, Powell, he's being attacked, fine, and whether I agree or disagree, really important for listeners to understand that the indifference that the Fed is supposed to have right bipartisan, it's not supposed to have a dog in that fight. If it did the calamity, I think what would happen economically in this country would be devastating if other economic powers were to see that our particular financial institutions are swayed one way or another. Politically, that would be devastating to us. So I think Powell has done a decent job at staying the course. He's continued to do what he says, says what he does. So so far, I'm okay. Is he late to reduce rates? I don't know that I'm qualified to say that, maybe. But at the same time, I think that his impartiality has been consistent, and that for that part of it, I'm. Grateful Keith Weinhold 15:00 for those who don't understand if Trump just told Powell what to do and Powell followed Trump's orders, how does that devastate the economy? Caeli Ridge 15:09 It shows partiality to or Fieldy to one particular party, right? It's not an independent institution where financial policy quantitative easing, quantitative tightening, all of those different things that are necessary to keep the pistons pumping. It isn't it's very specific to Fieldy and the leader of telling based on potentially ego or other elements that have not a lot to do with fiduciary responsibility. Keith Weinhold 15:37 If Powell did everything Trump said, I feel like we would have negative interest rates right now Caeli Ridge 15:43 that could be a problem, especially if the economy and inflation is on the rise, and then you get the tariffs. I mean, there's so much layering to this. I mean, we could go on and on about it, but overall, let me close with this. I think that interest rates are probably on the run, if I had to guess. Now, there's all kinds of variables that could make that statement untrue, but overall, in the next year to two years, I do think we'll see some relief in interest rates, barring any major catastrophe. But again, investors, if your success, if you're tying your real estate portfolio, your real estate investing, whatever modality you're interested in, if you're tying that to an interest rate, and there's a certain number that you have ethereal in your mind, you're going to lose your success in real estate. Interest rate is a component of it, but it should not be tied to your success or failure. You should be able to do the math and look at the differences in real estate opportunities, investment, whether it be long term, short term, midterm, single family, two to four appreciation, cash flow, all those things should be considered, and you will find adequate returns independent of an interest rate. If you're diversifying that way Keith Weinhold 16:49 there is more evidence that Americans have warmed up and gotten somewhat used to normal mortgage rates. This normalization of mortgage rates, they are pretty close to their historic norms. In fact, a recent housing sentiment survey done by turbo home found that in q1 of this year, 41% of homeowners surveyed said that a 6% mortgage rate was the highest they would accept on their next purchase. Right that was back in q1 today, up from 41%, 52% of respondents now say a 6% mortgage rate is the highest that they would accept. Evidence that people are warming up and normalizing this. Caeli Ridge 17:30 The other thing too is the pandemic rates. Right? That's been a very hard shell to crack. The people that got these two and 3% interest rates during 2020 2021, part of 22 they're really reticent to let those go, and I think that they're doing themselves a disservice as a result. If you can get a second lean HELOC, okay, fine, but overall, if you're just going to let that untapped equity sit, it's going to be to your disadvantage. If you have any desire to increase your portfolio and your long term financial stability and wealth Keith Weinhold 17:59 you're listening to get rich education. Our guest is Ridge lending Group President Cheley, Ridge much more when we come back, including 30 year versus 15 year loans. Which one is better and more things that the administration is doing to shake up the mortgage market. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold. Keith Weinhold 18:15 the same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequel and even chat with President Cheley Ridge personally while it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com. That's Ridge lendinggroup.com. Keith Weinhold 18:46 You know what's crazy? Your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading. It's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back. No weird lockups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing. Check it out. Text family 266, 866, to learn about freedom. Family investments, liquidity fund again. Text family to 66866, Rick Sharga 19:58 this is Rick sharga housing market. Intelligence Analyst, listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Keith Weinhold 20:05 Welcome back to get rich Education. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. We're talking with a familiar guest this week. That's Ridge lending Group President, Caeli. Ridge wealth is built through compound leverage faster than compound interest. And leverage means using loans. I think most everyone the first time in their life they look at loan amortization tables and learn things like, oh, with a 15 year loan, you pay substantially less interest, perhaps hundreds of 1000s of dollars less interest with a 15 year loan and its lower mortgage rate than you do with a 30 year loan and its higher mortgage rate. But a lot of people don't take that next step and look that Oh, rather than paying down my home loan with extra principal payments, if I just invested the difference, I would be substantially better off down the road. So in a lot of cases, the more sophisticated investor chooses that longer loan duration, the 30 year. That's the way I see it. What do you see? Most of your prefer there. Caeli Ridge 21:12 It's one of my favorite topics to cover, because there's quite a few layers that I think can all connect. If an individual wants to pay less in interest very easily, I'm going to strenuously advise them to take a 30 year over a 15 year and just simply apply the difference. So let's just start with the applicable version of 15 versus 30 and how it can benefit or harm. Because this is what a lot of times people that go for the 15 year and wanting to pay less in interest. Don't understand, and it's never been delivered to them in a reasonable way, I guess. So just looking at those two, and then we'll get to the strategy of potentially reinvesting those dollars elsewhere. But just look at a 30 year and a 15 year. I am a massive deterrent against a shorter term amortization. I hate a shorter term amortization, because all that's going to do to the individual is limit their ability to qualify later on down the road. And the reason for that is, is that the shorter term, as you had described, is going to yield a higher monthly payment. So when we pull credit for an individual, that's a higher monthly payment that the debt to income ratio has to support, when in fact, if we simply just look at the two side by side, 15 year and a 30 year equal, equal loan sizes. The 15 year is going to have a lower interest rate. It's true, but the amortization is obviously half the amount. We've gone from 360 months, 30 years to 180 months, 15 years. So the payment obviously is going to be much, much higher if you take the payment difference between those two mortgage products and apply it with a 30 year fixed payment. Let's just call it 500 bucks a month, whatever the number is, and you are disciplined to send that extra 500 bucks every single month with your 30 year fixed mortgage payment. You will cross the finish line in 15.4 years, I think, is the average when you run the amortization, so you'll pay a few extra months worth of interest, but whatever, you'll never pay the higher interest that the 30 year has locked at because you've accelerated the payoff of the debt so quickly, and you've maximized your debt to income ratio and future qualifications never take the shorter term amortization. It is to your greatest disadvantage. I hate them. That's part one. Did you have a comment? I can see that your wheels are spinning. Keith Weinhold 23:24 That is a great answer. If you get the 30 year loan instead of the 15 if you apply an extra principal payment, whatever it would be, call it 500 plus dollars, that you will kill off that loan, that 30 year loan in something like 15.4 years. Yes, and you'll have the lower payment amount for your qualification, going forward, you'll have more flexibility in your life. That's great. I didn't realize the difference 15.4 versus 15 was that small? That's a great takeaway. Caeli Ridge 23:50 Yeah, absolutely. And the other piece, you kind of just hit on it, the individual's feet are not held to the fire at that higher payment. So let's say it's a rental, okay, whatever. It goes vacant for a month, or a couple months, God forbid, or whatever may be happening. You now get to choose. You are not obligated at that higher monthly payment. You can say, Okay, this month, I'm not going to pay the extra. I don't da, da, da. It's all within your control. So you're killing like four birds with one stone. I really prefer the 30 year amortization for all those reasons. So now let's take it and move into how I believe, and I agree with your philosophy, taking those dollars and applying them, because when we talk about mortgage interest, especially on investment property, okay, it's probably a slightly different conversation when we're talking about somebody's primary residence, home, but for an investment property to take that difference and apply it toward another investment, because the interest remember, you guys, we're investors. We want that Schedule E deduction, that interest deduction, as money goes a 30 year fixed mortgage, even today, as interest rates are elevated beyond the two and three percents that people somehow fixated on, that that's where interest rates should just be forever. You've got Mass. Amounts of interest deduction, so you're paying less in taxes. For that reason, there's so many reasons to stretch out that mortgage on an investment property versus extinguishing that debt, not to mention, you want to constantly be harvesting equity, ideally, pulling cash out. Borrowed funds are non taxable, deploying them, but then taking that extra cash flow and stockpiling it for another investment, whether that just be the down payment or for other things. I just think there's so many better places that those funds can go to produce more wealth than accelerating the payoff of that debt that's benefiting you, from a tax perspective, and several other ways. There's lots of other ways to apply that money. I Keith Weinhold 25:43 I often ask, why accelerate the payoff on a, say, 7% mortgage interest rate loan, when instead you can take those savings, reinvest them into other real estate, where it sounds preposterous on its face to think of the rate of return that you can get from an income property, but when you add up all the five ways you're paid, appreciation, cash flow, loan pay down, made by the tenant, tax benefits and the inflation profiting benefit on the long term fixed interest rate debt, a return of 20% plus is not out of the question at all. So if it's 20, why would you pay off extra on a seven? That's 13 points of arbitrage that you could gain there by not aggressively paying down a property and instead making a down payment on another income property. Chaeli, when it comes to these type of questions and accelerating a payoff, why do banks seem to encourage that you make bi weekly payments rather than monthly payments, therefore accelerating your principal pay down. Caeli Ridge 26:42 I'm not sure the reason behind that. I don't know that I've even seen a lot of that from my lens and my perspective. It's definitely not something I ever comment or preach on. But the overall, what's happening there when you do it the bi weekly, so instead of making $1,000 at the first of the month, you make 500 and then 500 right, middle of them on first of the month. What's happening there is, because of the way the annual calendar goes, it ends up being an extra payment per year, right? I think that's the math. Is, when you do it that way, you end up making an extra payment per year, so you can accelerate. And there's you're not doing anything different, necessarily, to in your cash flow, etc. So I don't think there's anything wrong with it. I don't know what the benefit is to the institution that would in communicate that to its consumer. Yeah, Keith Weinhold 27:27 Yeah, it ends up being 26 bi weekly payments, which has the effect of making 13 monthly payments in a 12 month year, accelerating your pay down. In my experience, it seems that banks encourage this. They contact borrowers. They've contacted me in the past, laying out a welcome mat. Hey, would you like this plan here? And in my mind, accelerating the payoff. We already talked about how that's typically not a good investment. The more you know about the trade off between loans and equity, really, I'm transferring more of the risk onto myself and less they're onto the bank when I accelerate my payoff. So I agree. I'm not interested in doing that at all. Caeli Ridge 28:06 You know, maybe Keith, it could be, because I people talk about this a lot, those people, and let's say that there are a group of individuals that might benefit. Let's say they're in phase three, right? They're well into retirement. They just want to start paying off. They're not maybe investing anymore. They just want to leave that legacy, perhaps, or whatever their circumstances are, and they don't want to take additional capital and apply it to the principal and lock up those funds and make them illiquid. So maybe, just as an easy sidebar, they just make two payments month versus one. I get a lot of people asking that question. I mean, over the years, I know that like at the closing table, we'll have clients say, Hey, is the servicer going to be set up to accept bi weekly payments? And a lot of times they don't like SLS. I mean, there's a lot of servicers out there that will not accept or don't have the infrastructure to collect those bi weekly so maybe just as a consumer desire out there, the servicers have gotten wise to it, and they just offer it. I can't think of the reason behind why they would promote that to their database. I don't know. Keith Weinhold 29:09 Another question that I hear quite often, and probably do as well there is about bundling multiple properties into one loan. Can you tell us about that? Caeli Ridge 29:20 Yeah, that's called cross collateralization. So we're taking residential property, okay, and putting them into a commercial blanket loan. So any combination of single family, up to four unit, five Plex and above is now considered commercial. So it's got to be single family, condo, duplex, triplex, fourplex, right? It's residential property, and they're taking any combination of that and putting it into one blanket loan, cross collateralizing it. Now, I believe the most incentivized way or desire to want to do this is probably for two reasons. One, to free up golden tickets, right? Golden tickets are those Fannie Freddie loans that we talk about a lot. There are 10 of these per qualified individual, if. If someone has maxed out their golden tickets, let's say they've got 12, 1314, properties, they could take five or 10 or 13, whatever the number, and put them into a commercial blanket cross collateralized loan, as long as it's non recourse. That means no personal guarantee is attached to it. The rule per golden ticket will free up all those spaces. So usually this applies to an individual that has a portfolio that has stabilized. This will usually work when the portfolio has had a couple of years to make sure that you've got your consistent tenants and anything that may come up, repairs, maintenance, et cetera, stabilized portfolios and then putting them into that cross collateralization, because the terms are not going to be the same as just a 30 year fixed Okay, especially if you're going to be looking to take cash out and harvest equity that way, that may be a real opportune time to borrow funds. Borrowed funds are non taxable once again, pull the cash out, put it into a non recourse loan. You've got half a million dollars of capital now that you can then go and get a whole new set of golden tickets for expanding your portfolio. So that's something that we focus on for individuals that have maybe maxed out of that that conventional landscape and or are looking to scale and acquire more properties, but they don't want to necessarily look at some of the DSCR loans. They want to get back into the Fannie Freddie box. Keith Weinhold 31:22 Yeah, so someone could bundle and get cash out simultaneously, potentially, is there anything else that qualifies or disqualifies one for bundling many loans into one like this? Caeli Ridge 31:35 It's a commercial underwrite. So they should be aware of that. Now, certainly, we're looking at the individual typically in those loans, the underwriting of those loans, the individual's liquidity and credit are most what we're focusing on, but it's about the property in the portfolio, DSCR, that debt service coverage ratio is a big factor. So we're looking at the income against the monthly expense. Generally. That's going to be the principal, interest, tax and insurance on a commercial basis, they throw in the maintenance, vacancy, et cetera, averages. So you want to see, generally speaking, about 1.2 on those when you divide the incomes and the expenses and then otherwise, yeah, LTV might be a little bit restricted on something like that, 70% usually, maybe you can get as much as 75 if you've got a really strong portfolio. But otherwise, for you, individually, liquidity, some liquidity there, and good credit is what is important. As long as the portfolio is operating at a gain, then you're good to go. Keith Weinhold 32:32 Yeah, that cross collateralization could be really attractive. Well, Chile, we've been in this presidential administration that has shaken things up like few, if any, prior administrations have. One of those things is that they have pushed for cryptocurrency holdings to be recognized as assets in mortgage loan qualification. Now that's something that would probably pend approval by the FHFA and critics cite volatility. I mean, there's been a pattern where every few years, Bitcoin drops 80% before rebounding, and I'm not exaggerating, and that has happened a number of times. And another administration desire is this potential Fannie Mae Freddie Mac merger, or an IPO an initial public offering. Can you tell us what that's about Caeli Ridge 33:21 let's start with the crypto first, whether or not this, this gets through the Congress and or FHFA, however, that that develops and becomes actualized, that may be different than what the lending institutions decide to take a risk on, right the allowance of that crypto so it even if it's approved and they say that, Yes, that we can use this for asset depletion or reserve requirements, or whatever it may be. I don't know necessarily that you're going to see a lot of the lending institutions jump on board. I think they'll probably have overlays. It's just kind of the layering of risk on the crypto side to ensure that the asset and the underwrite is less likely to default. I don't see a lot of lending institutions that are probably going to jump on that bandwagon immediately. That's probably going to need more time and consistency with that particular asset class. That's the crypto thing. So that's a TBD on the other side, we're talking about conservatorship. So post, oh 809, right? The housing crash and Dodd Frank, if you've not heard of those names before, they're just the last names of individuals that that rewrote that sweeping legislation across all sectors of finance. Once we saw housing and lending implode upon each other, Fannie Freddie, as a result, went into conservatorship. Now what they're saying, what the administration is saying is, is that they are going to say that the implicit guarantee actually, let me back up really, really quickly. I will not take too much time on this so Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac The reason that those products are the golden tickets, as we call them, and we're just focused on investor products right now is because highest leverage, lowest interest rate. And why is it like that? That's because it has a United States government guarantee. Against default. So this mortgage backed security is bundled up with other mortgage backed securities and sold, bought and sold on the secondary market to investors, foreign and domestic. Right? Investors that are buying mortgage backed securities, they know that that paper is secure. If it defaults. We've got the United States government that's giving us a guarantee against default. So that's why it's such a secure investment. If we come out of conservatorship, technically, that would normally mean that you may not have that implicit guarantee. However, the Trump administration and those that are in that space, FHFA, Pulte and all those guys, they're saying that that guarantee should still apply if that happens, if that's how they release this, I don't see anything wrong if they do it without all of the volatility. You know, let's use the tariffs as an example. It was all over the place. It was there, and then it was gone. It was up, and then it was down. It was 30% then it was two right? It was it was just so much, and the markets really had a hard time with it. And as a result, I think a lot of people lost massive amounts of wealth in the stock market because of that. So I think that there is some real benefits to getting the Fannie, Freddie, the GSCs, government sponsored enterprises, out of conservatorship. I think it just opens up for more fair trade in the market. But they have to do it the right way, and as long as they keep that guarantee, that government guarantee, and then they take their time and apply the steps appropriately, I think it could be a good thing, ultimately, for the consumer. Now, if they don't, it could really have devastating impacts, and I think it could even raise interest interest rates higher. I know Trump and folks don't want that, so I think they're mindful of it. That's just kind of the take I get. But we'll see, Keith Weinhold 36:42 yeah, because that's my preeminent thought with this. Shaylee, if Fannie and Freddie come out of conservatorship, and there's no government backstop on those loans, it seems like the banks are exposed to more risk, and consequently would have to compensate for that, potentially with a higher interest Caeli Ridge 36:57 rate. You said it better than I did. Yes, I get too technical when I go down those rabbit holes. That's exactly right. I do not think that they will go down that that path without that implicit guarantee. I expect, if this thing comes to fruition, I expect that that guarantee will be there. Keith Weinhold 37:13 Yeah, it does seem likely, with as much administration concern as there is about the housing market and the level of mortgage rates and all kinds of interest rates out there. Well, JAYLEE, this has been a great, wide ranging conversation all the way from strategy to what the administration is doing in interfacing with the mortgage market. If someone wants to learn more about you and your products, tell us what you offer, including your very popular all in one loan there at ridge. Caeli Ridge 37:41 Ooh, thank you for teeing that up. Yeah, especially right now, when people have a lot of concern about interest rates right or wrong, the all in one is a very unique product that removes that fear. It's a way that investors, especially can take control of their equity, pay less in interest, and sometimes hundreds of 1000s of dollars less in interest, while maintaining equity and flexibility and liquidity. Cannot say enough about this product. The all in one. First lien HELOC is my very favorite. For the right individuals, we've talked about it many, many times. They can find us talking about it all over YouTube. You and I have quite a few conversations about that. So that and so much more, guys. So the all in one, you've got the Fannie Freddie's, our debt service ratio products, our bank statement loans, our asset depletion loans, ground up construction bridge loans for fix and flip or fix and hold. We really run the gamut there in terms of loan product diversity. There's very little we can't do for real estate investors. So we're uniquely qualified in that space Keith Weinhold 38:36 and you offer loans in nearly all 50 states. Now tell us more and how one can get a hold of your company. Yes, we are Caeli Ridge 38:44 licensed in 49 states. The only state we're not licensed in residentially is New York. We can still do commercial there. But to reach us, you can find us on the web, Ridge lendinggroup.com you can email us info@ridgelendinggroup.com and feel free to call us at 855, 74 Ridge 855-747-4343, Keith Weinhold 39:04 I'm so familiar with all those avenues because, again, that's where I get my own loans myself. Chaley Ridge has been valuable as always. Thanks so much for coming back onto the show. Caeli Ridge 39:13 Thanks, Keith. Keith Weinhold 39:21 A lot of experts believe that stripping Fannie and Freddie's public backing and taking them public, yeah, that that will increase mortgage rates. See, besides there being more risk, like we touched on there during the interview, Fannie and Freddie would face strong incentives to increase profitability, to make an IPO appealing to potential investors, that's just another reason that would probably increase mortgage rates. But if you're the type that truly champions free marketeerism, then the government would get out of Fannie and Freddie and let them IPO, and you would want. To see that happen now you as an investor, you probably resonate with the fact that rather than having to methodically and even painfully save money for your next property, instead you can just borrow funds, tax free, out of your existing property, and that way, you're using more of other people's money, the bank's money, in this case, and less of your own. Similarly, if you avoid aggressive principal pay down well, you would just retain those funds in the first place. As you can see, Chely is really good at taking a deep look at what you've got to work with and helping you lay out a strategy that might make sense, keeping in mind and evaluating your cash, cash flow, equity DTI and loan to value ratios, they offer free 30 minute strategy sessions. You can book one right there on their homepage at Ridge lendinggroup.com Until next week, I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit. Sure. Daydream. Speaker 2 41:07 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC exclusively. Keith Weinhold 41:31 You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info, oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got pay walls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers, it's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters, and I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read. And when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream. Letter, it wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text gre 266, 866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text, gre 266, 866 Keith Weinhold 42:47 The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth, building, get richeducation.com.
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss the recent market response to Fed Chair Powell's annual address at the Jackson Hole conference. They delve into the implications for rate cuts and market movements, highlighting key points from Powell's speech. The conversation covers the mixed signals from the labor market and inflation risks, the performance of different sectors and asset classes, and the fallout of the Fed's policy shifts. They also touch upon notable stock performances like Nvidia, impacted by recent geopolitical tensions and policy decisions. The episode concludes with observations on the potential for market corrections and the importance of monitoring economic indicators and currencies. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
In this week's Flagship Flashback episode of the Wade Keller Pro Wrestling Podcast from ten years ago (8-25-2015), PWTorch editor Wade Keller and ProWrestling.net's Jason Powell discussed with live callers big happenings on post-Summerslam Raw including Sting's return, Paul Heyman promo, the Dudleys return, new Wyatt recruit, would Kevin Owens, Cesaro, and Dean Ambrose have the biggest push and success in WWE, plus a wide range of other topics via email questions.Then in the previously VIP-exclusive Aftershow, they talked about the Tough Enough finale, Raw ratings, Divas crying and hugging after matches, who could join Bray & Roman vs. Wyatt Trio, Sting's future, Taker's future, and more including email topics.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/wade-keller-pro-wrestling-podcast--3076978/support.
Recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell suggest potential interest rate cuts, beginning in September. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index has returned 30% since its April low, and the Dow Jones Industrials Average made a new high for the first time this year. The Shanghai Composite index has conclusively broken multi-year resistance. On the surface it's driven by sentiment only, but China's 10-year government bond yield bottomed in January and has been building a base since then. Government bond yields are often lead indicators. Additionally, a survey also shows a shift in consumer opinions, from very pessimistic to less pessimistic. In other developments, Singapore has replaced Thailand as Southeast Asia's largest economy.
In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Markets rally as Powell signals rate cuts are coming...days later Bitcoin flash crashes Are Bitcoin whales to blame for recent selloff or market manipulation on Wall Street? Trump may have the chance to reshape Fed board – is Fed becoming too politicized? U.S. government takes 10% equity stake in Intel Unpacking the economic reordering taking place globally SoFi launches Bitcoin product for global payments ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com ---- References mentioned in the episode: Wall Street Gets the Rally Signal From Powell SEC Chair Attends Wyoming Blockchain Symposium Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole Symposium Speech Crypto Industry Takes Over Jackson Hole Crypto Industry Hosts Rival Gathering in Jackson Hole Christopher Waller's Comments from Crypto Symposium Fed's Lisa Cook Says She Will Not Be Bullied by Trump Trump Says He Will Fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook FT: Investors Warn of “Era of Fiscal Dominance” Powell Indicates that the Fed May Restart Rate Cuts Stock and Bond Market Rally After Powell's Speech David Marcus's Tweet on Sofi and Lightspark Partnership Pulte's Tweet Asking For Dr. Lisa Cook's Resignation Pulte's Tweet Announcing Evidence of Cook's Fraud Donald Trump's Post on Federal Board of Directors Fed's Cook Says She Won't Be Bullied Into Resigning US Takes Nearly 10% Intel Stake, Clinching Deal President Trump, Intel Agree to 10% U.S. Stake SoFi Announces Partnership with Lightspark CFTC Launches Next Phase of “Crypto Sprint” Dan Tapiero's Tweet on Morgan Stanely Survey The Pentagon Invests In Rare Earth Miner ---- Natalie's upcoming events: Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
After Friday's big rally fueled by Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech, Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber explored what's ahead for stocks -- including Nvidia's earnings due out Wednesday. Sticking with chips: the anchors reacted to President Trump's social media post stating the U.S. government taking a 10% stake in Intel is "making the USA RICHER, AND RICHER." National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett spoke on CNBC about the potential for similar investments in other companies. Also in focus: Keurig Dr Pepper agrees to buy Peet's Coffee parent JDE Peet's in an $18 billion deal, a historic box office win for Netflix, "Faber Report" on CSX, railroad M&A and where Warren Buffett fits into the picture. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
Stocks taking a leg lower after Friday's big rally: Carl Quintanilla, Michael Santoli, and David Faber broke down fresh housing data top of the hour – and whether Powell's given an “all clear” for stocks to rally with veteran investor Dan Niles, before getting former Federal Reserve governor Randy Kroszner's take. Plus: a make-or-break report ahead out of Nvidia… How to play it with an analyst who's got one of the highest price targets on the street, along with the implications for Intel shares of this new Trump Administration stake in the name. Also in focus: new tariff concerns hitting shares of furniture makers – the latest out of Washington and what it could mean for consumer prices… Cryptocurrencies under pressure – what's driving declines… And a deep-dive on Keurig Dr Pepper's new $18 billion deal for the owner of Peet's coffee.
This Week in Options Trading with Eric & Brian
Work with Jimmy & the Vreeland Capital Team to build a 20-Unit Portfolio that will get you the equivalent of a retirement account 3X faster with a third of the capital. Visit https://tinyurl.com/mainstreetpatriot-getstarted - - - - - - - In this episode of The Real Estate Fast Pass Podcast, we sit down with Vreeland Capital Client Harold Powell, a 38-year real estate veteran from Ventura, California, who's quietly built an 18-property rental portfolio—most of which he's never even seen in person. Harold shares how he leveraged 1031 exchanges, Section 8 rent bumps, and the little-known “real estate professional” tax designation to unlock over $200K in tax savings—and how he's recycled his capital for infinite returns. From tired landlord deals to cost segregation, he walks us through the exact playbook that's helped him thrive in landlord-friendly markets while living in one of the most landlord-unfriendly states. If you're a real estate agent, investor, or just someone looking to build lasting wealth without flipping or fixing homes, this episode is a must-listen.
Scott Wapner and the Investment Committee debate the fate of the market rally and the top stock plays following Jerome Powell's pivot in Jackson Hole last Friday. Plus, we break down the latest Calls of the Day. Later, the desk shares their favorite bank stocks and strategies for the financial sector.Investment Committee Disclosures
Bitcoin faces volatility after a whale dumps 24,000 BTC ($2.7B), even as whales accumulate Ethereum and BlackRock adds $150M more ETH. Markets brace for Powell's Jackson Hole decision, with Fed officials signaling caution on rate cuts while Asian stocks rally on pivot hopes. In Washington, Senator Lummis pushes a crypto bill, the DOJ shifts enforcement focus, and banks lobby to reshape the GENIUS Act. Globally, China eyes yuan-backed stablecoins, while Coinbase's $2.9B Deribit buy and Bullish's IPO show institutions diving deeper. With whales, regulators, and Wall Street all moving fast, will Powell's decision spark Bitcoin's next big move?
Let's talk about Powell, Trump, Jackson Hole, and you....