Podcasts about equities

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  • 614PODCASTS
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  • Jul 1, 2022LATEST
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Best podcasts about equities

Show all podcasts related to equities

Latest podcast episodes about equities

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: APAC stocks began the new trading month mostly in the red; 10yr USTs extended on prior day's gains

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2022 4:08


APAC stocks began the new trading month mostly in the red following a downbeat session on Wall St. which saw the S&P 500 close off its worst H1 performance since 1970Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI data rose to its highest level since May 2021European equity futures are indicative of a negative open with Eurostoxx 50 -0.9% after the cash market closed lower by 1.7% yesterdayDXY remains sub-105, JPY leads G10 FX whilst antipodeans lag, EUR/USD stalled on approach of 1.05Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI, EZ/UK/US Manufacturing PMIs, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Speech from ECB's PanettaRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: Risk-off experienced across most markets on the final day of the month, quarter, and half-year

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2022 3:14


Risk-off experienced across most markets on the final day of the month, quarter, and half-yearEuropean bourses are lower across the board; US equity futures succumb to the downside with NQ underperformingIn FX, DXY extends above 105.000, Yen regroups as yields drop, EUR/USD inches lower towards 1.04Debt in demand on safe haven grounds rather than duration as curves steepen on less hawkish/more dovish market pricingWTI and Brent front-month futures are resilient to the broader risk downturn and firmer Dollar as OPEC+ member members gear up for today's meetingLooking ahead, highlights include US PCE & Chicago PMI, JMMC/OPEC+ Meetings, Speech from ECB's LagardeRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: APAC stocks were varied at month-end, DXY lingers around the 105 mark, Crude futures nursed some of the prior day's losses

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2022 3:39


APAC stocks were varied at month-end amid a slew of data releases including mixed Chinese PMIs.European equity futures are indicative of a negative open with Eurostoxx 50 -0.5% after the cash market closed lower by 1.0% yesterday.DXY lingers around the 105 mark, EUR/USD dipped as low as 1.0434 overnight, AUD leads G10 FX.Crude futures nursed some of the prior day's losses but with the rebound capped by the mixed risk appetite.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP, German Retail Sales, EZ Unemployment, US PCE & Chicago PMI, Riksbank & JMMC/OPEC+ Meetings, Speech from ECB's Lagarde & Supply from Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: European bourses on the backfoot, DXY pivots 104.50 whilst EUR/CHF tests parity

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2022 2:56


European bourses are on the backfoot as the region plays catch-up to the losses on Wall Street yesterdayUS equity futures trade on either side of the unchanged mark with no stand-out performers thus farIn FX, Dollar is mostly bid, CHF outperforms, JPY is rangy, EUR sees conflicting inflation prints, and antipodeans lagBunds unwind all and a bit more of their hefty post-NRW CPI gains as other German states show smaller inflation slowdowns and Spanish HICP soarsChinese President Xi said China's COVID prevention control and strategy is correct and effective and must stick with itLooking ahead, highlights include German CPI Prelim, US GDP Final, OPEC Meeting, Speeches from Fed's Powell, Mester & Bullard, ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos & Schnabel, BoE's Bailey & MPC-elect DhingraRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: APAC stocks were pressured amid headwinds from the US, DXY hovers around the 104.50 mark, Bunds retraced losses

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2022 4:00


APAC stocks were pressured amid headwinds from the US where disappointing Consumer Confidence data added to growth concerns (S&P 500 -2%)European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with Eurostoxx 50 -0.6% after the cash market closed higher by 0.3% yesterdayDXY hovers around the 104.50 mark, EUR/USD maintains 1.05 status and USD/JPY sits on a 136 handleTurkey dropped its opposition to Sweden and Finland's NATO bidLooking ahead, highlights include EZ Sentiment Survey, German CPI Prelim, US GDP Final, OPEC Meeting, Speeches from Fed's Powell, Mester & Bullard, ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos & Schnabel, BoE's Bailey & MPC-elect DhingraRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

TD Ameritrade Network
ETF's Might Be Better Than Equities

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2022 8:32


Trade more ETFs and fewer individual equities, nearly every ETF is less volatile then any of its individual components, says Rob Fleming. He discusses how markets are mixed following Monday's lower close. He also talks about how Thursday's PCE data will impact the Fed's tightening plans, as well as the outlook for the current bear market rally. He then goes over economic reports to watch this week, in addition to how investors should address the current market environment. Tune in to find out more.

Bloomberg Surveillance
Surveillance: Financial Conditions with Peters (Podcast)

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2022 23:23


Greg Peters, says financial conditions have to worsen. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities & Capital Market Advisory, says there is a 50% chance of a recession. James Stavridis, Carlyle Group Vice Chairman of Global Affairs, Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and Author of 'To Risk It All: Nine Conflicts & The Crucible of Decision,' says says we will see Finland and Sweden in NATO. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman and Host of 'Bloomberg Wealth,' discusses his interview with Rockefeller University CIO Paula Volent.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: European sentiment picked up heading into the cash open amid encouraging Chinese COVID headlines

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2022 3:11


European bourses are firmer as sentiment picked up heading into the cash open amid encouraging Chinese COVID headlinesChina is to cut quarantine time for international travellers; Shanghai Disneyland (DIS) will reopen on June 30thUS equity futures saw a leg higher in tandem with global counterparts, with the RTY narrowly outperformingBond reversal continues amidst buoyant risk sentiment, hawkish ECB commentary and supplyLooking ahead, US Consumer Confidence, G7 Summit, Speeches from ECB's Lagarde, ECB's Panetta & Fed's Daly, Supply from the USRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: APAC stocks were mixed, DXY lacked direction, 10yr USTs bounced back, and crude futures extended on the prior day's gains

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2022 3:38


APAC stocks were mixed with the region partially shrugging off the lacklustre handover from the US (S&P 500 -0.3%)European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with Eurostoxx 50 -0.4% after the cash market closed higher by 0.2% yesterdayDXY continues to hover around the 104 mark with G10 FX muted ahead of the European sessionFrench President Macron informed US President Biden of limited extra oil production capacity for Saudi and UAELooking ahead, German GfK Sentiment, US Consumer Confidence, G7 Summit, Speeches from ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Elderson, Panetta & Fed's Daly, Supply from Germany & USRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Thoughts on the Market
Mike Wilson: The Confounding Bear Market

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2022 3:59


Talk of recession continues among investors and consumers alike, but last week saw a sharp rally in U.S. Equities. Is this just a blip or could U.S. equity markets rally further?----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about the latest trends in the financial marketplace. It's Monday, June 27th, at 2 p.m. in New York. So let's get after it.With talk of recession increasing sharply over the past few weeks, equity markets decided enough bad news had been priced and rallied sharply. Furthermore, the decline in both oil and interest rates helped ease some of the concerns on inflation. In our view, both the fall in oil and rates are being driven more by fears of an economic slowdown rather than a real peak in inflation and will lead to a more dovish Fed. However, with markets so oversold and bearishness pervasive, equity investors have taken the bullish view and rerated stocks higher.Based on Friday's close, the S&P 500 is trading back at 16.3 times, or one turn higher than where it was at the prior week's lows. This seems unusual given the growing concern about earnings, however. In fact, even taking into account the fall in 10-year yields, the equity risk premium is back below 300 basis points. In our view, that makes little sense in the context of the likely negative earnings revisions coming in the second quarter reporting season and the rising risk of recession over the next 6 to 12 months.Perhaps the best way to explain last week's rally has to do with the short-term rolling correlation between equities and real yields, which is now deeply negative again. This means the recent decline in bond yields has been perceived as positive for equities, something we think will prove to be incorrect if the falling yields are signaling slower growth or recession. For falling yields to be positive for equities at this stage, we would need to see cresting inflation pressures, a less hawkish Fed policy path, more durable economic growth than we expect, and a reacceleration in earnings revisions.In addition to this combination of factors, which suggests a soft landing for the economy, we would also need to see limited negative revisions to earnings. Thus, we see the recent rebound in equities as another bear market rally on the path to fair value price levels of 3400-3500 in the case a soft landing is achieved with modest earnings revisions. However, as noted last week, a recession would bring tactical price lows closer to 3000 as earnings decline by at least 20% before working back to our June 2023 bear case target of 3350. In short, the bear market is likely not over, although it may feel like it over the next few weeks. Markets are likely to take the lower rates as a sign the Fed can orchestrate a soft landing and prevent a meaningful revision to earnings forecasts.In that context, we think U.S. equity markets can rally further. In addition to lower rates and oil prices helping support the belief in a soft landing there is some equity demand from pension funds that need to rebalance at the end of the month and quarter this week. If retail investors join in like last week, that could carry equity prices higher before second quarter earnings season begins and the revisions arrive. Finally, a retracement of 38-50% of the entire decline would not be unnatural or out of line with prior bear market rallies, even ones associated with a recession at the end. In S&P 500 terms, that would translate into 4100-4200 or approximately 5-7% upside from Friday's close. Furthermore, if such a rally were to continue, it would likely be led by the longer duration or interest rate sensitive stocks like technology, or the Nasdaq.However, we want to be clear that in no way are we suggesting the bear market is over or that earnings estimates won't have to come down. Instead, we are simply being realistic about the nature of bear markets and their ability to confound all market participants at times, even the bears. We suggest using equity market strength over the next few weeks to lighten up further on portfolios.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please take a moment to rate and review us on the Apple Podcasts app. It helps more people to find the show.

Schwab Market Update Audio
Equities Waver Following Last Week's Rally

Schwab Market Update Audio

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2022 12:36


U.S. equities closed lower as stocks failed to capitalize on the early momentum from last week's sharp rally that brought the S&P 500 out of bear market territory. 

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: European bourses are kicking off the week on the front-foot, US tracks sentiment higher; DXY pivots 104.00

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2022 3:23


European bourses are kicking off the week on the front-foot as global equities see tailwinds from Wall Street's bounce on FridayStateside, US equity futures track sentiment higher – with the NQ the current outperformer vs the ES, YM, and RTYIn FX, DXY pivots 104.00, Yen benefits from all round fix buying, Aussie lags on Aud/Nzd headwinds, and the Yuan is underpinnedDebt futures unwind more recovery gains with EGBs leading the way; T-note futures print fresh lows as US enters the frayUS is pushing to discuss a price cap on Russian oil during the G7 summit, also looking to ban imports of Russian goldLooking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods, EIA Update on delayed Weekly DoE Report, ECB Sintra Forum, G7 Summit, Speeches from ECB's Lagarde & Schnabel, Supply from USRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: APAC stocks were higher across the board, DXY heads into the European session near 104

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2022 4:28


APAC stocks were higher across the board as the region took impetus from last Friday's firm gains on Wall St heading closer into month-endEuropean equity futures are indicative of a firmer open with Eurostoxx 50 +0.5% after the cash market closed higher by 2.8% on FridayUS is pushing to discuss a price cap on Russian oil during the G7 summit, also looking to ban imports of Russian goldDXY heads into the European session sub-104, JPY leads G10 FX, other majors are relatively containedLooking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods, EIA Update on delayed Weekly DoE Report, ECB Sintra Forum, G7 Summit, Speeches from ECB's Lagarde & Schnabel, Supply from EU & USRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: European bourses coat-tail on the positivity seen on Wall Street yesterday; DXY is contained, and bonds recoil

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 3:47


European bourses have coat-tailed on the positivity seen on Wall Street yesterday; sectors overall project a modest defensive biasUS equity futures are firmer across the board – with the NQ narrowly leading the pack, whilst the ES topped resistance at 3,800DXY resides towards the bottom of a relatively contained intraday range, still above 104.00; NZD outperformsDebt recoils after stretching recovery limits further, with trading volumes picking up on the reversalWTI and Brent August futures are extending their modest gains in recent trade despite a lack of news flow, but base metals remain mostly weakLooking ahead, highlights include US New Home Sales, Speeches from Fed's Bullard & Daly, ECB's de Cos, BoE's PillRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Saxo Market Call
Yield plunge lifts equities out of the abyss

Saxo Market Call

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 18:41


Slide deck: https://bit.ly/3A33BGo  - Click here to open an account with Saxo  Today we look back at yesterday's historic session with big moves lower in the US and German 2-year yields responding to PMI figures for June indicating a more rapid decline in economic activity than estimated by economists. This is naturally lifting the recession probability and the timing of it causing safe-haven flows into bonds. The most interest rate sensitive parts of the equity market were the winners yesterday such as biotechnology and bubble stocks. Across currencies we observe weakness in the USD, AUD, and NOK reflecting lower economic activity, and the pressure is also coming of the JPY due to yesterday's rates move. On commodities we touch on the weakness in wheat and the tight physical market in oil. Other topics covered are the guidance cut from Zalando and container freight rates coming down. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities and Ole Hansen on commodities. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: APAC stocks followed suit to the gains on Wall St; DXY was slightly softer

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 4:01


APAC stocks ultimately followed suit to the gains on Wall St where major indices clawed back opening losses; S&P 500 +1.0%.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer open with Eurostoxx 50 +1.1% after the cash market closed lower by 0.8% yesterday.DXY is a touch softer but still on a 104 handle, antipodeans lead G10 FX and GBP shrugs off a tough night for the Tories.UK PM Johnson's Conservatives lost the two by-elections, triggering the resignation of Conservative Party Chairman Dowden.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales, German Ifo, US New Home Sales, Speeches from Fed's Bullard & Daly, ECB's de Cos, BoE's Pill, Supply from Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Bergos Now
Swiss Equities (EN) #102

Bergos Now

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 16:05


Martina Oettiker takes a closer look at Swiss stocks and their performance - now and in the past two decades. DISCLAIMER This publication is for information- and marketing purposes only. The provided information is not legally binding and neither constitutes a financial analysis, nor an offer for investment-transactions or an investment advice and does not substitute any legal, tax or financial advice. Bergos AG does not accept any liability for the accuracy, correctness or completeness of the information. Bergos AG excludes any liability for the realisation of forecasts or other statements contained in the publication. The reproduction in part or in full without prior written permission of Bergos is not permitted.

BFM :: Market Watch
Sentiment Driving Chinese Equities

BFM :: Market Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 9:47


Economist have been cutting their GDP targets for China due to the zero covid policy whilst the property sector still remains in the doldrums. Yet the CSI 300 has appreciated by 15% from its April's lows. We ask John Lau, Portfolio Manager at Affin Hwang Asset Management about this disparity and if there are sector opportunities to keep an eye out for.

BFM :: General
Sentiment Driving Chinese Equities

BFM :: General

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 9:47


Economist have been cutting their GDP targets for China due to the zero covid policy whilst the property sector still remains in the doldrums. Yet the CSI 300 has appreciated by 15% from its April's lows. We ask John Lau, Portfolio Manager at Affin Hwang Asset Management about this disparity and if there are sector opportunities to keep an eye out for.

NO BULL - Market Talk with George Noble
Michael Belkin - Equities to Go Lower; Genesis of an Energy Top

NO BULL - Market Talk with George Noble

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 142:14


Recorded June 23, 2022. Donate generously to World Central Kitchen ➡️ https://donate.wck.org/fundraiser/3816260  Listeners have been asking how they can show their appreciation for the talks George is hosting. Top of mind right now are the millions suffering as a result of the tragedy in Ukraine. World Central Kitchen has joined the fight to provide humanitarian aid to those in need of fresh food and meals within Ukraine and in bordering countries. Please donate generously to World Central Kitchen on behalf of NO BULL - Market Talk with George Noble™️. Follow Michael Belkin on Twitter and Belkin Report & Gold Stock Forecast  Follow George Noble on Twitter and Youtube

State of the Markets
#153 - Akhil Patel - Cycle low or more downside for equities?

State of the Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2022 55:24


https://propertysharemarketeconomics.com https://twitter.com/AkhilGPatel Akhil became interested in economic cycles during his school years when he came across Henry George's Progress and Poverty, which explained why economies go through periods of boom and bust. Later on, he witnessed the negative effects of not understanding economic cycles when his family's business went through difficult periods during the major recessions in the early 1990s and during the global financial crisis after 2008. He became determined to develop a body of work that would help people – whether they were investors, business owners or those just interested in doing something with their savings to grow their wealth or manage their affairs through the course of these economic cycles. Akhil has professional experience in audit, central government and international banking and has worked on a range of issues from reviewing large infrastructure public private partnerships (PPP) deals to helping establish the UK's £3 billion International Climate Fund. He has two Masters Degrees (in Finance and Public Policy) and a first degree in the Classics from Oxford. He is also currently a principal policy advisor to the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). (Source: propertysharemarketeconomics.com ) State of the Markets Podcast Tim Price of https://Pricevaluepartners.com https://twitter.com/timfprice Podcast links: https://sotmpodcast.com https://anchor.fm/stateofthemarkets https://apple.co/2OUGW6R Paul Rodriguez https://ThinkTrading.com https://twitter.com/prodr1guez --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/stateofthemarkets/message

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: Post-PMI risk-off has abated somewhat, Powell Day 2 ahead

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2022 2:51


European bourses are pressured overall, but well off lows going into the US session, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.2%Broad pressure was seen post-PMIs which missed expectations and featured pessimistic internal commentary; hitting EUR and lifting EGBsEUR impaired by the PMIs which lifted the DXY to a 104.78 peak and pressured peers in turn, though JPY outperforms on riskFixed firmer on the data with Bunds and OATs leading the way and peers lifted in sympathyCrude complex remains pressured with specific newsflow limited and focused on known themes; note, the EIA release has been delayedLooking ahead, highlights include US Flash PMIs, US IJC, Policy Announcements CBRT & Banxico, US Bank Stress Test Results, Fed's Chair Powell Speaks at the House Finance Committee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: Commodities remain curtailed though APAC stocks were firmer but choppy

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2022 4:03


APAC stocks were mostly positive following the choppy price action on Wall St with lower oil prices and recession fears in focus; S&P 500 -0.17%. European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with Eurostoxx 50 -0.5% after the cash market closed lower by 0.8% yesterday.DXY is a touch softer but maintains 104 status, EUR/USD encountered resistance around 1.06, JPY leads G10 FX. Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK & US Flash PMIs, US IJC, Policy Announcements from Norges Bank, CBRT & Banxico, US Bank Stress Test Results, Fed's Chair Powell Speaks at the House Finance Committee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

MarketBeat Minute
MarketBeat Minute(2022-06-22)

MarketBeat Minute

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2022 1:00


Equities rebounded on Tuesday, the first trading day of the week, but we urge investors not to read too much into the move. the rally comes in the wake of new lows for the S&P 500 and is not likely to gain much momentum. The S&P 500 broke out of a downward slanting channel in the previous week which suggests the downtrend will gain momentum and not the other way around. This week, there will be few economic or earnings reports to move the market so inflationary concerns, fear of recession, and Fedspeak will likely take the fore. The next big hurdle for the market will be the 2nd quarter earnings reporting season. The peak of the season begins in about three weeks with reports from JPMorgan Chase and other big banks and the news may not be good. Rising inflation and dwindling savings could put a cap on consumer spending which is the backbone of the American economy.

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: Sentiment subdued with commodities curtailed ahead of Powell & Biden

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2022 2:54


European bourses are subdued, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.9%, as Tuesday's positivity waned in the APAC session as commodities slippedStateside, futures are in-fitting with the above action, ES -1.4%, where participants are awaiting the first session of testimony from Chair PowellDXY bid but mid-range pre-Powell with peers conforming to the tone as JPY & CHF benefit while activity currencies slipCommodities are, broadly speaking, curtailed though gold is cushioned given its haven-status; Biden is due to speak on fuel prices laterBonds bounce on broader risk sentiment though Bunds fade somewhat post issuanceLooking ahead, highlights include Canadian CPI & EZ Consumer Confidence (Flash), Speeches from Fed's Powell, Barkin, Evans & Harker, BoC's Rogers, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: Commodities pressured in limited newsflow; numerous speakers ahead incl. Powell

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2022 4:01


APAC stocks were subdued after the risk-on mood from Wall Street (S&P 500 +2.45%) waned overnight amid pressure in commodities.European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with Eurostoxx 50 -1.3% after the cash market closed higher by 0.7% yesterday. DXY is firmer but still on a 104 handle, EUR/USD has lost 1.05 status, antipodeans lag. Crude benchmarks took another leg lower as risk appetite in Asia deteriorated.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian & UK Inflation, EZ Consumer Confidence (Flash), Speeches from Fed's Powell, Barkin, Evans & Harker, ECB's de Guindos & Elderson, BoC's Rogers, Supply from Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Invest for Success
Friday With Mooney Lyons 6/17/22

Invest for Success

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 27:44


Join Joe Lyons of Mooney Lyons this Friday as he discusses the current environment for investing in Equities with Walt Czaicki of AB Global. The current equity environment….volatility in equities and the markets      The importance of active management in difficult marketsTax Loss Harvesting….the importance of being actively involved in your portfoliosRecession….sooner or later or not at all?Looking forward….should I stay the course?

MarketBeat Minute
MarketBeat Minute(2022-06-21)

MarketBeat Minute

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 1:00


Equities broke out of a downtrending channel to the downside last week in evidence of mounting fear about the economy. The FOMC was forced to hike rates by 75 basis points in what some would call a surprise move. Others, however, would say the FOMC is still behind the curve and that at least one more if not two more 75 basis point hikes were needed. Regardless of the pace, the takeaway for the market is that inflation is still out of control and aggressive rate hikes are making the cost of business more expensive. In this scenario, economic activity can be expected to contract and there is evidence of that already. The Index of Leading Indicators fell for the second month by -0.4% suggesting an economic recession is already in play. This week will be a hurdle for the market because of how little new information is set to be released. On the economic front, there are only two data points due out and both are from the housing sector. On the earnings front, there are only a handful of confirmed reports and very few from companies other than home builders.

The tastytrade network
Options Jive - June 21, 2022 - Reading IVR: Equities vs. ETFs

The tastytrade network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 10:06


Selling premium when IVR is high is the cornerstone of tasty mechanics. But what is "high" when it comes to IVR? Today, Tom and Tony check the data to see what qualifies as high IVR and how it differs for different classes of underlying.

The tastytrade network
Options Jive - June 21, 2022 - Reading IVR: Equities vs. ETFs

The tastytrade network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 10:57


Selling premium when IVR is high is the cornerstone of tasty mechanics. But what is "high" when it comes to IVR? Today, Tom and Tony check the data to see what qualifies as high IVR and how it differs for different classes of underlying.

Mutiny Investing Podcast
35. Eric Crittenden

Mutiny Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 94:34


In this episode, I talk with Eric Crittenden, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Standpoint, an investment firm focused on bringing all-weather portfolio solutions to US investors.  Eric plays an active role in the firms' research, portfolio management, product innovation, business strategy, environments and client facing activities. He believes using an all-wealth approach is the most effective way to prepare for a wide rage of market environments, while producing meaningful investment returns with limited downside risk. Eric has over 20 years experience researching, designing, and managing alternative asset portfolios on behalf of families, individuals, financial advisors, and other institution investors.  Eric and I talk about circuitous paths with multi-year dead-end rabbit holes, simplicity can be the ultimate sophistication, what do clients want? What's wrong with the investing industry, strategy scaling? For people who want to understand the capital efficiency argument, this is helpful: Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com) Portfolio 1 = a blend of the more popular managed futures strategies Portfolio 2 =  100% Portfolio 1 + 50% global equities. Equities come at the expense of T-bills Portfolio 3 = standpoint   Towards the end, Eric was referencing a bond video. Here's the link: https://www.standpointfunds.com/content/bond-return-simulator I hope you enjoy this conversation with Eric as much as I did...  

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: Generally positive risk tone; focus on Russian gas & Central Bank speak

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 3:18


European bourses are firmer and building on Monday's upside, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.1%; US futures are modestly outperforming, ES +1.7%, post-market holidayDXY is downbeat and sub-104.00 at worst; benefitting G10 peers ex-JPY given the region sticking to its monetary policy stanceCore debt is within ranges and little changed overall though USTs are incrementally softer and the curve flitting between flattening/steepeningCrude lifts amid broader risk sentiment while Denmark and Sweden declare “early warning” stage of gas supply preparednessLooking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales, New Zealand Trade Balance, Speeches from Fed's Barkin & Mester.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: Broadly constructive tone awaiting the return of US participants

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 4:07


APAC stocks gained across the board amid a broadly constructive global risk tone (US markets closed yesterday)European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Eurostoxx 50 +0.6% after the cash market closed higher by 0.9% yesterdayDXY trades a touch softer, EUR/USD sits on a 1.05 handle, AUD leads G10 FXCrude futures continued to nurse some of Friday's heavy losses, helped by the risk tone and a softer dollar.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales, New Zealand Trade Balance, Speeches from ECB's Rehn, Fed's Barkin & Mester.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

MarketBeat Minute
MarketBeat Minute(2022-06-20)

MarketBeat Minute

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2022 1:00


Equities broke out of a downtrending channel to the downside last week in evidence of mounting fear about the economy. The FOMC was forced to hike rates by 75 basis points in what some would call a surprise move. Others, however, would say the FOMC is still behind the curve and that at least one more if not two more 75 basis point hikes were needed. Regardless of the pace, the takeaway for the market is that inflation is still out of control and aggressive rate hikes are making the cost of business more expensive. In this scenario, economic activity can be expected to contract and there is evidence of that already. The Index of Leading Indicators fell for the second month by -0.4% suggesting an economic recession is already in play. This week will be a hurdle for the market because of how little new information is set to be released. On the economic front, there are only two data points due out and both are from the housing sector. On the earnings front, there are only a handful of confirmed reports and very few from companies other than home builders.

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: A softer APAC tone amid a US holiday & ahead of multiple speakers

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2022 4:28


APAC stocks were mostly negative with risk appetite cautious and global markets also likely to be hampered by the absence of US participants today.European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with Eurostoxx 50 -0.3% after the cash market closed higher by 0.3% yesterday.DXY is softer and on a 104 handle, AUD leads G10 FX, EUR/USD is back on a 1.05 handle. French President Macron failed to win an absolute majority in parliament.Bitcoin remains under pressure after the tumultuous trade over the weekend with prices back beneath the 20,000 level.Looking ahead, highlights include Speeches from Fed's Bullard, ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Panetta, Kazaks & BoE's Mann, Juneteenth holiday in the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Futures Radio Show
Reaction To The Fed

Futures Radio Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2022 28:36


The Fed hiked rates last week by 75 BPS and the markets reacted by making new lows in Equities, 10 YR actually backed off from 3.5% to 3.25%, Gold remains flat and Crude Oil sold off. Are the markets now pricing in a recession for the U.S.? Is Inflation sticky? Is the Fed behind the […]

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: JPY hampered as BoJ remains steadfast; Quad Witching & Powell ahead

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2022 2:57


European bourses are now firmer across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.2%, as performance picks up following a mixed open amid comparably quiet newsflowUS futures are in-fitting though the overall complex is cognisant of Quad Witching & Chair PowellDXY bid as the JPY tumbles amid the BoJ bucking the trend and remaining ultra-accommodative; activity-FX also hamperedCore debt has seen a concerted bounce from earlier lows, though action has been two-way and pronounced; BTP-Bund sub-200bpWTI and Brent are modestly firmer and reside in proximity to the mid-point of the week's over USD 11.00/bbl rangeLooking ahead, highlights include Quad Witching & a speech from Fed Chair PowellRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: BoJ bucks the trend and remains steadfast, pressuring JPY; Powell ahead

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2022 3:58


APAC stocks mostly suffered firm losses amid the global risk-aversion which saw the S&P 500 close lower by 3.1%.BoJ kept policy settings unchanged as expected and will keep offering to buy 10yr JGBs at 0.25%.DXY has reclaimed 104 status, JPY is the clear laggard in G10 FX, EUR/USD sits on a 1.05 handle. European equity futures are indicative of a positive open with Eurostoxx 50 +0.8% after the cash market closed lower by 3.0% yesterday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI (Final), Quad Witching & Speech from Fed Chair Powell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: CHF lifted, sentiment dented and yields lifted following a surprise 50bp SNB hike

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2022 3:17


European bourses and US futures are hampered following a surprise SNB hike, with pronounced price action seen across assetsSNB hikes by 50bp to -0.25% and cannot rule out further increases ahead; sparking noted CHF appreciationDXY is well off best levels, but has recouped 105.00 as activity currencies come under pressure while CHF & JPY outperformBonds collapse as SNB unexpectedly strikes against inflation; with USTs back to bear-flattening before the afternoon's data docketRussia and US are now at a "very, very hot point of confrontation", via Ria quoting the Kremlin.Looking ahead, highlights include US IJC, New Zealand Manufacturing PMI, BoE Policy Announcement & speeches from ECB's Makhlouf.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: Mixed/positive trade after the FOMC-induced rally; BoE & SNB ahead

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2022 4:27


APAC stocks were mostly positive and followed suit to the gains on Wall Street post-FOMC; SPX +1.46%The Fed hiked rates by 75bps and lifted its FFR projections, Fed Chair Powell said he does not expect 75bps moves to be commonEuropean equity futures are indicative of a positive open with Eurostoxx 50 +0.3% after the cash market closed higher by 1.6% yesterdayDXY has rebounded from the post-FOMC declines, JPY lags G10 FX, GBP eyes the BoE announcementLooking ahead, highlights include US IJC, BoE Policy Announcement, SNB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, Speeches from ECB's de Guindos & Panetta, Supply from Spain & France.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: EUR bid and the BTP-Bund spread narrows amid an ad-hoc ECB meeting, pre-FOMC

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2022 2:53


US futures are firmer across the board, ES +0.3%, though overall action here is more contained than in Europe given the FOMC loomsEuropean bourses are supported amid an ad-hoc ECB meeting on current market conditions, an update which bolstered the EUR and narrowed the BTP-Bund spreadHowever, the spread re-widened amid sources which did not appear to indicate a marked policy shift from the gatheringBroader FX features a downtrodden DXY to the benefit of peers across the boardCrude has been curtailed amid COVID updates from China and Hong Kong alongside Biden's reported push for an explanation from producers over why supply isn't increasing.Looking ahead, highlights include US Import/Export Prices & Retail Sales, FOMC Policy Announcement & Press Conference, Speeches from ECB's Lagarde, de Cos, Panetta, CentenoRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Business Breakdowns
Diploma: Specialized Distribution - [Business Breakdowns, EP. 61]

Business Breakdowns

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2022 52:29


This is Matt Reustle and today we're breaking down Diploma. Diploma is a specialist distributor of medical equipment and industrial components listed in the UK. It's a business you're unlikely to be familiar with and, at first glance, may appear mundane. But dig a little deeper and you'll find a high-quality operator generating significant free cash flow through a mix of organic and inorganic growth channels.  To break down Diploma, I'm joined by Charlie Huggins, an investor in the business and Head of Equities at WealthClub.   For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page here.   -----   This episode is presented by Visible Alpha. The team at Visible Alpha built a platform to analyze consensus data and financial metrics on over 6,000 publicly traded companies. Rather than having to dig through models one by one, Visible Alpha extracts data from every line item across sell-side models so you can better understand expectations on metrics beyond just revenue and earnings. Listeners are invited to try Visible Alpha for free by visiting visiblealpha.com/breakdowns   -----   This episode is brought to you by Daloopa. Daloopa streamlines a major pain point for investors. By capturing all of a company's KPIs and adjusted financials into their database - Daloopa makes it easy to quickly update your models for what matters. Daloopa uses AI to find every KPI disclosed - from charts, to text, and even from footnotes of investor presentations. Daloopa updates these KPIs and data points in your existing Excel models in one click, regardless of your source or format. Test Daloopa for free at daloopa.com/Patrick.   -----   Business Breakdowns is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Business Breakdowns, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.   Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here.   Follow us on Twitter: @bizbreakdowns | @JoinColossus    Show Notes [00:02:23] - [First question] - The history of Diploma, what they do, and what's attractive about their business model [00:04:39] - Size and scale of the business and their market capitalization [00:07:03] - Overview of what their life sciences business vertical looks like [00:10:00] - The cyclicality of the seals and controls business verticals  [00:13:45] - Returns on invested capital and thoughts on the capital intensity of seals [00:15:06] - What allows their businesses to keep growing and what characterizes a strong acquisition target for Diploma [00:19:14] - An example of how Diploma fits into the value chain [00:21:24] - How Diploma acquires for low multiples when making acquisitions  [00:23:41] - How they drive quantitative and qualitative returns in their acquisitions [00:27:35] - What management is like at Diploma and their longevity in the business [00:33:19] - Overview of their competitive landscape  [00:35:27] - What the business does with extra cash flow in the absence of M&A activity [00:38:01] - What Charlie finds special about Diploma and what has him excited for the future [00:41:22] - The key risks in each vertical and what worries him about them  [00:48:07] - Lessons for investors, business executives and operators from the Diploma story

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: Mixed trade with FOMC ahead and just-announced ad-hoc ECB meeting

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2022 4:20


APAC stocks traded mixed following a mostly negative US lead and better-than-expected Chinese activity data.European equity futures are indicative of a mildly positive open with Eurostoxx 50 +0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.8% yesterday.DXY is relatively flat ahead of the European open, JPY leads G10 FX, Cable is back below 1.20.ECB's Schnabel said the ECB will not tolerate changes in financing conditions that threaten monetary policy transmission.Looking ahead, highlights include US Import/Export Prices & Retail Sales, FOMC Policy Announcement & Press Conference, Swiss SECO, IEA OMR, Speeches from ECB's Lagarde, de Cos & Panetta.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: European & US futures diverge while DXY slips and yields flatten awaiting Fed clarity

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2022 3:17


European bourses began on the front-foot; however, the ‘turnaround' was shortlived with bourses now red across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.8%.Stateside, futures remain modestly positive, ES +0.4%, awaiting clarity from the Fed amid increasing speculation of a 75bp moveDXY continues to slip with peers mixed with low-yielding nations benefitting though activity currencies slip once moreCore debt has consolidated somewhat from Monday's rout, though the curve continues to flatten amid the long-ends pullback; BTP-Bund eclipses 250bpCrude is firmer, but steady, awaiting fresh direction while the China-COVID situation remains tense and broader commodities unmoved on incremental US-China tariff developmentsLooking ahead, highlights include US PPI, OPEC MOMR (12:45BST/07:45ET), Speech from ECB's SchnabelRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: European & US futures diverge, DXY slips and yields flatten awaiting Fed clarity

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2022 3:17


European bourses began on the front-foot; however, the ‘turnaround' was shortlived with bourses now red across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.8%.Stateside, futures remain modestly positive, ES +0.4%, awaiting clarity from the Fed amid increasing speculation of a 75bp moveDXY continues to slip with peers mixed with low-yielding nations benefitting though activity currencies slip once moreCore debt has consolidated somewhat from Monday's rout, though the curve continues to flatten amid the long-ends pullback; BTP-Bund eclipses 250bpCrude is firmer, but steady, awaiting fresh direction while the China-COVID situation remains tense and broader commodities unmoved on incremental US-China tariff developmentsLooking ahead, highlights include US PPI, OPEC MOMR (12:45BST/07:45ET), Speech from ECB's SchnabelRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: APAC pressure following Monday's rout and growing calls for a 75bp Fed move

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2022 4:19


APAC stocks were pressured following the global stock and bond slump; S&P 500 -3.9%, NQ -4.6%A WSJ piece noted the Fed is likely "to consider surprising markets with a larger-than-expected 0.75-percentage-point interest rate increase at their meeting this week".European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Eurostoxx 50 +0.9% after the cash market closed with losses of 2.7% yesterday.DXY pulled back overnight, EUR/USD sits on a 1.04 handle, antipodeans outpace peers in G10 FX.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF, UK Unemployment, German ZEW, US PPI, OPEC MOMR, Speech from ECB's Schnabel, Supply from the Netherlands, Italy & Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Euro Market Open: US inflation impaired APAC trade with Europe indicated lower once more

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2022 3:41


APAC stocks declined across the board following the hot US CPI and amid fresh COVID concerns in China.European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with Eurostoxx 50 -1.5% after the cash market closed with losses of 3.4% on Friday.DXY held on to recent gains, EUR/USD is back below 1.05 and USD/JPY breached 135 for the first time since February 2002.UK government will publish legislation on the Northern Ireland Protocol today.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP and Speech from ECB's de Guindos.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Palisade Radio
David Murrin: The Fed Needs to Own Up to What it has Blown Up

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2022 54:33


Tom welcomes back global forecaster and author David Murrin. David believes there is a risk of significant conflict in the Asian region including Korea and Taiwan. China is gaining knowledge of war and the usefulness of drone technology. The West is essentially at war with Russia, but the level of collective delusion from Western leaders is concerning. The United States has been in decline since the beginning of this century. We're seeing more liberal policies, and we're seeing things unravel socially and politically. David discusses how China has shifted policy to become independent from the West. The consequences could be severe because the West is far behind in manufacturing. China is trying to become a consumer nation, and currently, they are using excess manufacturing capacity for consumer goods and weapons. David explains the differences between lateral and linear ways of thinking. We've had an abundance of linear thinkers who is less flexible but useful in times of stability. The truth is the West is declining because of this linear takeover of thought. What is needed today is greater understanding. The West's institutions are dominated by linear thinkers whereas China is thinking laterally. Britain is the only country that has a chance of becoming more lateral soon. The world of finance is dominated by linear thinkers, and we see how that approach is working with inflation. Kondratieff cycles are composed of 52-year cycles that move from peak to bottom over 26 years. This cycle started around 2000, and he believes a collapse in demand is imminent . Equities will be chewed up, and the next phase will be more inflation and higher commodities. There will be a pause with inflation followed by another surge. He believes hyperinflation is in the cards. Whatever has worked for the past twenty years is unlikely to do so in an era of money printing. He believes the dollar will sell off and enter a final declining cycle. The dollar is going to lose favor against the Euro in a profound way as capital flees. There are numerous problems with commodities and a lack of capital investment in the sector. Europe needs to do far more to manage its energy resources. They haven't taken a strategic view of energy, and now they face the consequences. We're looking at a collapse of a magnitude that is hard to comprehend as a hundred years of policies correct. He explains the differences between the debts of the United States and China. The U.S. is far more vulnerable than China as China has invested in actual production capacity. Lastly, he explains the psychology of markets and the importance of price. Investors need to analyze both their successes and failures because they may have just gotten lucky. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:19 - American Hegemony4:56 - Eastern Planning7:14 - Economic Consequences10:36 - Lateral Vs. Linear15:47 - Kondratieff Cycles21:18 - Alpha & Beta Models25:24 - Dollar Outflows & Rates29:42 - Resource Underinvestment31:26 - Doomsday Bubble34:45 - Debt Jubilee?40:00 - Commodities & Inflation41:24 - China Vs. U.S. Debt43:25 - Protecting Yourself44:50 - Market Psychology50:33 - Thinking Clearly53:05 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode David's assessment of the risks from China and their increasing geopolitical and militaristic influence.Types of thinking and why the West is dominated by linear thought.Kondratieff waves and why the dollar is in for another leg down.Price and the major flaws with fundamentals. Guest LinksTwitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalForecastrWebsite: https://www.davidmurrin.co.uk/ David Murrin began his unique career in the oil exploration business amongst the jungles of Papua New Guinea and the southwestern Pacific islands. There, he engaged with the numerous tribes of the Sepik River, exploring the mineral composition of the region. Before the age of adventure tourism, this region was highly dangerous,

Palisade Radio
Doug Casey: The Energy Crisis is Just Beginning

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2022 48:45


Tom welcomes back a man who should need no introduction, Doug Casey. Doug is a libertarian philosopher, speculator, and author. Doug believes the economy is on the ragged edge of collapse and things are starting to get serious. Currently, he is spending much of his time between the U.S. and Latin America. The people drawn to government positions are typically those that like to control and manipulate others. Crisis are used as opportunities for those in power and the next set of problems will be very serious economically. It's said that the average American can't find a spare 500 dollars, and most are heavily in debt. The people will look for a savior in the coming collapse and a sociopath will take advantage. We're in a scary situation. The level of freedom in the world for the average person has been gradually diminishing. A hundred years ago, governments ran on a trivial amounts of the GDP, largely import duties. Since then, all have become behemoths and control their economies excessively. Most countries have VAT taxes over 10 percent. Today you need approval for everything and anything not mandatory is likely prohibited. National debts are now being sold to their respective central banks via direct printing of money. This is why inflation is exploding since they've increased the money supply massively. Debts are dangerous as most people today are borrowing from their future selves. Equities and bonds are both in mania phases. When bonds begin to collapse things get much more serious. Right now we would need returns of over 10% just to mitigate inflation. Pension funds will go bust and local governments will go bankrupt while raising taxes. Gold is the only alternative because it's not someone else's liability. Doug believes the place to me is in the gold miners along with uranium and most commodities. You can't be a saver or investor in this environment. You should consider speculating on mining stocks but it's a crappy business. The problem with mining today is the cost and regulations. When you find gold that's when your problems are just getting started. However, if the world doesn't have mining we won't have anything. Doug discusses the energy markets and the problems being created by green energy policies. Prices seem certain to continue to rise and then normalize. There are no easy ways out of this energy crisis. The causes of the Ukraine conflict are based on U.S. foreign policy and Russia's reaction is understandable. Largely the conflict is and should be none of our business. Ukraine remains one of the most corrupt countries and all we hear in the media is one side of the story. A lot of commodities including grain, fertilizer, and energy come from Russia and Ukraine. This is a big problem. Talking Points From This Episode Outlook for the economy and the ever-encroaching government overreach into personal lives.Bubbles, equities, and why bonds are the biggest bubble.Importance of speculating in commodities, uranium, and miners.The collapse of empire and the effects on society. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Travel & Globalism2:57 - Crisis & Fear6:02 - The Freedom Gap8:15 - Debts, Deficits & Bad Times11:10 - Speculation & Risk16:24 - Investing Vs. Speculating21:06 - Crisis Investing25:00 - Energy & Nat. Gas30:18 - Empire & Collapse37:58 - Consequences38:37 - The Ukraine Conflict?44:03 - China & Taiwan45:45 - Educating Yourself47:10 - Wrap Up Guest Links:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEJR3OAeHBNz7aGtFRZXArQWebsite: https://internationalman.com/Amazon Books: https://tinyurl.com/an3uxhc Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his erudite (and often controversial) insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug is widely respected as one of the preeminent authorities on "rational speculation,", especially in the high-potential natural resourc...

The Lawfare Podcast
Lindsey Polley on the Vulnerabilities Equities Process

The Lawfare Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2022 40:21


The business of offensive cyber operations and intelligence gathering increasingly requires the military and intelligence community to exploit networks, hardware, and software owned or produced by American companies and used by American citizens. Sometimes this exploitation occurs with the use of zero-day vulnerabilities. In order to determine when zero-day vulnerabilities should be exploited versus disclosed to the relevant vendor so that the vulnerability can be patched, the United States government engages in an interagency process known as the Vulnerabilities Equities Process or VEP.Stephanie Pell sat down with Dr. Lindsey Polley, director of defense and national security at Starburst Aerospace, to talk about her recently defended dissertation, “To Disclose or Not to Disclose, That Is the Question: A Methods-Based Approach for Examining & Improving the US Government's Vulnerabilities Equities Process.” They discussed the purpose of the VEP, how it is structured to operate, and how its current state and structure impedes its ability to promote longer-term social good through its vulnerability adjudications. They also talked about some of Lindsey's recommendations to improve the VEP. Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.