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The Fed held rates steady — again — and while that might not sound sexy, it triggered a deep dive into the uncomfortable parallels between today's economy and some of history's most turbulent wartime recessions. Chris and Saied unpack Powell's post-FOMC “dot plot shuffle,” exposing how forward guidance has become a PR game instead of a reliable economic compass. Spoiler: if you think shelter inflation is cooling fast, you're probably still using a 3G data plan.➡️ From Operation Iraqi Freedom to drone-led wars of tomorrow, the guys explore how conflict has become a recession trap — and not the kind that you wan to get stuck in. With unemployment lagging recession signals and AI creeping into defense strategy, the conversation gets heavy, insightful, and just the right amount of unhinged. Plus, if the U.S. government needs a Microsoft BI subscription to speed up their shelter data, Chris offers to cover it himself. That's service.
This week, the Justice brothers are back and diving deep into one of the most important questions facing markets today: What exactly is the Fed so scared of? Following this week's FOMC meeting, Mark and Matt Justice break down Jerome Powell's latest comments, dissect the Fed's cautious tone, and explore whether Powell has earned the nickname “Too Late Powell.” Are they being overly cautious—or are they seeing something the market isn't? In addition to the macro deep dive, the boys bring the heat in “Stock In and Drop It,” breaking down setups and news around major names like Oracle, Nvidia, AMD, and Meta. Expect technicals, fundamentals, and sharp insights on what matters now. And don't miss this week's Coaches Corner, where Matt answers listener questions on oil seasonality and shares perspective on whether this is a day trading or swing trading market environment. Insightful, actionable, and always entertaining—don't miss this episode of the Trading Justice Podcast.
If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/It's back. No one wanted it, but it's here. Switzerland is first to revisit this dreaded milestone. Others aren't far behind, including now Sweden. The Swedes are facing exactly the sort of rough circumstances that made the Swiss National Bank take this drastic step. And if you think the Fed's dots have separate the FOMC from all this, look no further than one year ago. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSNB Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.snb.ch/en/publications/communication/press-releases-restricted/pre_20250619_2CNBC International SNB Martin Schlegelhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vY2-lrxsJfMRiksbank Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/press-and-published/notices-and-press-releases/press-releases/2025/policy-rate-is-cut-to-2-per-cent/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist for the NYSE, details the latest trends and developments in global markets. In this week's episode, he discusses Wednesday's FOMC meeting and the impact of the conflict in the Middle East.
Its mid-June so it is all about the FOMC. However, there are a lot of cross-currents out there from a fiscal and regulatory standpoint that may have differing effects on Treasury demand. What are we to do? Hard to say because even the FOMC doesn't know what to do! Have a listen and let us know what you think
This week, Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz discuss whether the US should join Israel's war on Iran, the tragic Minnesota assassinations and why US political violence is surging now, and the Supreme Court's unsurprising but willfully obtuse decision to uphold Tennessee's youth transgender care ban. Here are this week's chatters: Emily: A Family Matter by Claire Lynch; The Fall of Affirmative Action: Race, the Supreme Court, and the Future of Higher Education by Justin Driver; A Flower Traveled in My Blood: The Incredible True Story of the Grandmothers Who Fought to Find a Stolen Generation of Children by Haley Cohen Gilliland. John: Mary Cunningham for CBS News: Federal Reserve holds its benchmark interest rate steady at today's FOMC meeting; ABA Banking Journal: Fed's Powell says some areas of U.S. may be ‘uninsurable' in next decade David: Trip Gabriel for the New York Times: William Langewiesche, the ‘Steve McQueen of Journalism,' Dies at 70 Listener chatter from Jacob Podell in Chicago, Illinois: Juliana Kim for NPR: Family shows AI video of slain victim as an impact statement – possibly a legal first For this week's Slate Plus bonus episode, Emily, John, and David discuss the exciting possibilities and likely limitations of using AI tools for historical research and writing. In the latest Gabfest Reads, Emily talks with author Susan Dominus about her new book, The Family Dynamic: A Journey into the Mystery of Sibling Success. Email your chatters, questions, and comments to gabfest@slate.com. (Messages may be referenced by name unless the writer stipulates otherwise.) Research by Emily Ditto Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week, Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz discuss whether the US should join Israel's war on Iran, the tragic Minnesota assassinations and why US political violence is surging now, and the Supreme Court's unsurprising but willfully obtuse decision to uphold Tennessee's youth transgender care ban. Here are this week's chatters: Emily: A Family Matter by Claire Lynch; The Fall of Affirmative Action: Race, the Supreme Court, and the Future of Higher Education by Justin Driver; A Flower Traveled in My Blood: The Incredible True Story of the Grandmothers Who Fought to Find a Stolen Generation of Children by Haley Cohen Gilliland. John: Mary Cunningham for CBS News: Federal Reserve holds its benchmark interest rate steady at today's FOMC meeting; ABA Banking Journal: Fed's Powell says some areas of U.S. may be ‘uninsurable' in next decade David: Trip Gabriel for the New York Times: William Langewiesche, the ‘Steve McQueen of Journalism,' Dies at 70 Listener chatter from Jacob Podell in Chicago, Illinois: Juliana Kim for NPR: Family shows AI video of slain victim as an impact statement – possibly a legal first For this week's Slate Plus bonus episode, Emily, John, and David discuss the exciting possibilities and likely limitations of using AI tools for historical research and writing. In the latest Gabfest Reads, Emily talks with author Susan Dominus about her new book, The Family Dynamic: A Journey into the Mystery of Sibling Success. Email your chatters, questions, and comments to gabfest@slate.com. (Messages may be referenced by name unless the writer stipulates otherwise.) Research by Emily Ditto Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week, Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz discuss whether the US should join Israel's war on Iran, the tragic Minnesota assassinations and why US political violence is surging now, and the Supreme Court's unsurprising but willfully obtuse decision to uphold Tennessee's youth transgender care ban. Here are this week's chatters: Emily: A Family Matter by Claire Lynch; The Fall of Affirmative Action: Race, the Supreme Court, and the Future of Higher Education by Justin Driver; A Flower Traveled in My Blood: The Incredible True Story of the Grandmothers Who Fought to Find a Stolen Generation of Children by Haley Cohen Gilliland. John: Mary Cunningham for CBS News: Federal Reserve holds its benchmark interest rate steady at today's FOMC meeting; ABA Banking Journal: Fed's Powell says some areas of U.S. may be ‘uninsurable' in next decade David: Trip Gabriel for the New York Times: William Langewiesche, the ‘Steve McQueen of Journalism,' Dies at 70 Listener chatter from Jacob Podell in Chicago, Illinois: Juliana Kim for NPR: Family shows AI video of slain victim as an impact statement – possibly a legal first For this week's Slate Plus bonus episode, Emily, John, and David discuss the exciting possibilities and likely limitations of using AI tools for historical research and writing. In the latest Gabfest Reads, Emily talks with author Susan Dominus about her new book, The Family Dynamic: A Journey into the Mystery of Sibling Success. Email your chatters, questions, and comments to gabfest@slate.com. (Messages may be referenced by name unless the writer stipulates otherwise.) Research by Emily Ditto Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The FOMC met today and while predictably there was no rate action, neither the dots nor the downgraded economy were the key takeaways. Chair Powell's press conference became the perfect example of what the Fed has become. What would you say you do here?Meanwhile, the markets, the economy and T-bills. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Today - a look at the FOMC meeting, which saw the Fed smelling stronger stagflationary risks, while the US dollar rose across the board on the failure of the Fed to wax more dovish perhaps. Elsewhere, we look at the latest interesting batch of US data and the latest on Iran-Israel. In stocks, we discuss Coinbase leading the gainers among S&P 500 stocks on the rise in stablecoin uses, which also drove two superstar stocks to post the worst declines of all S&P 500 members yesterday. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, and George Goncalves, Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at MUFG, join Julia La Roche in-studio on FOMC day, where they break down the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, the state of the economy, and the interest rate outlook.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://www.mufgresearch.com/ George's Twitter/X: https://x.com/bondstrategist QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCYPBim2ARV9Yrqci0ljokFA Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/073521165500:00 - Danielle: Fed "willfully blind" to economic reality 02:52 - Record 5.3% of Americans working multiple jobs 05:00 - Real unemployment is 4.5-4.6%, not reported 4.2% 08:07 - Debate: Is the Fed being political? 10:00 - George: "More than one economy" - rates hurting different groups 16:28 - Net worth declined via both stocks and real estate in Q1 21:57 - Interest expense is fastest growing budget item 26:06 - Next Fed Chair prediction: Waller, Warsh, Bessent front-runners 32:12 - Corporate bankruptcies highest since 2010 38:49 - Danielle: US entered recession Q1 2024, back in one now 40:26 - Top 10% of earners drive 49.7% of consumption 43:52 - What keeps them up at night: False sense of security
This episode of the Unusual Whales Pod was recorded Live on June 18th, 2025. Nicholas hosts a panel of macroeconomic experts and investors to discuss the macroeconomic outlook in both the United States and abroad amidst softening GDP, sticky inflation, nervous bond market, housing fatigue, and the ever-reassuring backdrop of geopolitical tension. So thank you all for listening to our FOMC panel, where the vibes are uncertain at best, and the yield curve doesn't wanna talk about it!Panel:Joseph Wang https://twitter.com/FedGuy12Thelastbearstanding https://twitter.com/LastBearStandngBob Elliott https://x.com/BobEUnlimitedCem Karsan https://twitter.com/jam_croissantHosted by: Nicholas FNS: https://twitter.com/NicholasFNSUnusual Whales: https://twitter.com/unusual_whalesThis Pod is not financial advice. Unusual Whales Inc. is not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) or any state securities regulatory authority. The stock market is risky, and any trade or investment is expected to have some, or total, loss. Please do research before any trade. Do not use this information for financial decisions or for investing. You should consult your legal or tax professional regarding your specific situation.Unusual Social Media:Discord: https://discord.com/invite/unusualwhalesFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/unusualwhalesInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/unusualwhales/Reddit: https://old.reddit.com/r/unusual_whales/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@unusual_whalesTwitter: https://twitter.com/unusual_whalesYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/unusualwhales/Merch: https://unusual-whales.creator-spring.com/**
Alex Thorn talks to Austin Campbell, NYU professor and founder of Zero Knowledge Consulting, about the passage of the GENIUS Act, prospects for market structure in the House, and what a tie-up between crypto and traditional finance means for both. Alex also talks to Beimnet Abebe (Galaxy Trading) about the Federal Reserve's latest FOMC meeting, geopolitical risks affecting the market, and what the risk of stagflation means for markets. This episode was recorded on Wednesday, June 18, 2025. ++ Follow us on Twitter, @glxyresearch, and read our research at www.galaxy.com/research/ to learn more! This podcast, and the information contained herein, has been provided to you by Galaxy Digital Holdings LP and its affiliates (“Galaxy Digital”) solely for informational purposes. View the full disclaimer at www.galaxy.com/disclaimer-galaxy-brains-podcast/
En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Andre Dos Santos y Eugenio Garibay analizaron a fondo la más reciente reunión de política monetaria de la Reserva Federal. Discutieron cómo la Fed decidió mantener las tasas de interés sin cambios, reflejando una postura cautelosa ante un entorno económico marcado por menor crecimiento y una inflación que se reduce más lentamente de lo esperado.Durante la conversación, se abordaron las nuevas proyecciones económicas del FOMC, destacando la revisión a la baja en el crecimiento del PIB y el ajuste al alza en las expectativas de inflación, lo que sugiere un escenario de stagflación moderada para los próximos años. Andre y Eugenio también comentaron el aumento en el número de miembros de la Fed que prefieren no realizar recortes de tasas en 2025, señalando una mayor división dentro del comité y un giro más hawkish en la política monetaria.
Daniel talks about the latest FOMC meeting and its implications on asset classes. Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
FOMC Interest Unchanged | GENIUS Act Passes Senate | $90M Nobitex Hack | Relai
Link to John's Mastering FX Webinar tomorrow Thursday, June 19. Today, a look at how this Israel-Iran conflict moves toward a "conclusion", with the risk that Israel has maximalist goals leaning toward regime change, so the timeline of the conflict is more likely to remain extended. Elsewhere, we look at the FOMC meeting today and the likely outcomes, as well as how the market "pricing" of the Fed's policy trajectory may be very misleading on what actually happens. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is meeting today, and its decisions could significantly influence the cryptocurrency market. With the potential for rate cuts or other policy shifts, altcoins are poised for volatility.
Jerome Powell's latest announcement could SHAKE the entire crypto market! Will interest rates rise, fall, or hold? And what does it mean for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins?
Discord Channel: https://discord.gg/gMdv93N4 LIVE Today at 2pm PT on Trader Merlin Here's what we're covering on today's show:
Today we're excited to welcome Patrick White, Group Lead for Fusion Energy Safety and Regulation at the Clean Air Task Force (CATF), and Nicholas McMurray, Managing Director of International and Nuclear Policy at ClearPath. Patrick recently joined CATF and leads the organization's international working group focused on fusion energy safety, waste, and non-proliferation. He holds a Ph.D. in Nuclear Science and Engineering from MIT and previously served as Research Director at the Nuclear Innovation Alliance. Niko is an expert in industrial policy, nuclear energy policy, and regulation. He has been with ClearPath since 2019 and formerly served as a Materials Engineer at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). A few weeks ago, Veriten partnered with CATF and ClearPath to publish a paper calling out reforms to NRC processes and procedures to accelerate the deployment of new nuclear reactors; establishing a more efficient regulatory framework for new and advanced reactors (paper linked here). We were thrilled to host Patrick and Niko for a discussion on the paper and broader trends in the nuclear landscape. Brett Rampal, Senior Director of Nuclear and Power Strategy at Veriten, joined for the conversation and led Veriten's contribution to the paper. In our discussion, Patrick and Niko share background on their organizations' missions and long-standing support for nuclear. We explore the need to demystify and modernize NRC processes to accommodate next-generation nuclear technologies, challenges with current regulatory frameworks originally designed for traditional large light-water reactors, the role of licensing structures and the value of more flexible licensing pathways, and the motivation behind their recent paper, which aims to provide actionable, bipartisan policy suggestions to enable nuclear deployment at scale. We examine the historical development and regulatory evolution of power versus non-power reactor definitions, how those distinctions have blurred over time, the shift toward performance-based regulation, and the commercial implications of licensing small reactors under Class 103. We discuss the importance of consistent terminology and regulatory clarity in advancing new nuclear technologies, whether the NRC's internal culture can evolve to support faster deployment without compromising safety, the NRC's broader oversight role beyond reactors including medical and industrial applications of radioactive materials, and congressional support for NRC modernization. Patrick and Niko provide insights into international regulatory approaches, such as performance-based models used in the UK, France, and Canada, the critical need to earn public trust through rigorous and efficient safety regulation, the feasibility of President Trump's goal of having 10 new reactors under construction by 2030, challenges beyond regulation, and much more. We greatly enjoyed the conversation. To start the show, Mike Bradley noted that the S&P 500 closed modestly lower on the day, while crude oil prices caught a bid amid escalating tensions in the Mideast. On the bond front, the 10-year bond yield (~4.4%) has pulled back over the last few days as markets await the outcome of the June 18th FOMC rate decision meeting. Consensus is for no change in interest rates at this FOMC meeting, but a cut is expected at the September meeting. From a crude oil market standpoint, WTI price has spiked by >$10/bbl to ~$74/bbl over the last five trading days due to the Iranian-Israeli military conflict. While Veriten isn't in the business of making short-term crude oil price calls based on supply disruption threats, we continue to emphasize that global oil demand growth projections are a more vital determinant for intermediate-term oil prices. On the global S/D front, the IEA recently modeled global oil demand peaking in 2029 (China in 2027), contra
US equities were narrowly mixed in very choppy Wednesday trading, as stocks ended off best levels, with the Dow Jones and S&P500 ending down 10bps and 3bps, while the Nasdaq rose +13bps. No surprise in FOMC leaving the policy rate unchanged, with the median dot still showing two rate cuts for 2025, though 2026 and 2027 dots saw a hawkish shift. May housing starts fell 9.8% m/m, missing expectations and lowest read since May-20.
Kevin Hincks provides the trading day's roadmap with all eyes on the FOMC rate announcement and Jerome Powell's press conference. He dives into the morning's economic data, citing higher jobless claims numbers that are trending upward. Ahead of the FOMC, Kevin believes Powell will not say anything that changes the Fed's outlook but will be closely monitoring the "Dot Plot" for any changes. Kevin also cautions investors that any headlines from the Israel-Iran conflict could disrupt a day bookended by data and the Fed. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Futures are muted ahead of Wednesday's trading day. The FOMC is expected to leave rates unchanged in today's announcement and investors will be listening to see how the Fed is seeing the U.S. inflation and employment outlook. Tom White discusses what will factor into the Fed's dot plot, the latest developments from the Iran-Israel conflict and other data to be watching today.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Cameron Dawson joins Morning Trade Live with her perspective on current geopolitical tensions impacting market activity. Her eyes are focuses on the crude oil chart, as she believes any significant moves in the energy product would have ripple effects on the economy and the Fed's fight against inflation. Ahead of the FOMC decision, she says the Fed will likely sit on its hands and stand pat until any clarity surfaces even it will take a "long time to get here." For the market, Cameron is watching the valuation level trading at 22x and weighs in on the tech sector's outperformance this year.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Carol Schleif thinks the market rally before the Fed conference today is notable. She lays out what investors should be watching around the world, but says “in general, markets tend to look through geopolitical risk…they don't know how to assess it.” The worst of the tariffs are behind us, she assesses, as trade breakthroughs seem near. She previews the Fed dot plot, expected today after the FOMC meeting, and gauges how many rate cuts we might see this year.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
7 members of the FOMC group see no cuts at all this year, something that James Demmert believes "makes sense" but he's still worried about any further economic downturn. He joins Nicole Petallides at the NYSE to deep-dive into the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged. James cites geopolitical events and tariff uncertainty as murky parts of the picture that could alter the Fed's path. Later, he discusses his bullish outlook on the markets, and explains his "Goldilocks" economy thesis.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
John Lekas and Joseph Shaposhnik preview today's FOMC decision. John thinks they're in “no position to lower rates” because of the inflationary environment. He thinks the Fed will raise rates before they lower them, and that they wouldn't move down until unemployment hit at least 5%. Joseph argues against that view, saying the Fed will be “laser-focused” on slipping CPI data.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Tom White and Nicole Petallides react to the FOMC decision to keep rates unchanged. Tom points out the committee's omission of a line regarding risks of higher unemployment and inflation. The FOMC did say "uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated." Tom discusses the Fed's "dot plot" as the CME FedWatch tool reveals increased odds of a cut in the September meeting.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Brian Glenn reacts to the FOMC decision to hold rates and Powell's press conference. He expected a dovish tone from Powell but was surprised. He also walks through the dot plot and what it forecasts for the rest of the year. “There's a who blinks first mentality” with the White House and tariffs, he thinks, and in the meantime, he says small and medium sized businesses are struggling.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Charles Schwab's Collin Martin and Joe Mazzola react to the FOMC decision to keep rates unchanged. Collin highlights the Fed's Dot Plot as a key indicator of the central bank's intention to possibly hold back from cutting rates in 2025, pointing to 7 voting members expecting no rate change this year. Joe adds context to the market's historical volatility surrounding FOMC decisions and says investors should monitor the next trading session for any trend taking shape.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Equities closed near the flat line after the FOMC kept rates unchanged. The Federal Reserve's latest "dot plot" indicated the possibility of 2 rate cuts in the year ahead. OpenAI and Meta Platforms (META) are vying for A.I. talent, with Sam Altman's staff reportedly turning down $100M bonuses from Mark Zuckerberg's recruiting efforts. IBM Corp. (IBM) shares hit a new all-time high. And, stablecoin stocks popped after the "GENIUS" Act passed in the U.S. Senate. J.D. Durkin breaks down Wednesday's market action.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Title: Watch the Dots: Previewing June's FOMC DecisionDescription: Yelena Shulyatyeva says today's focus from the FOMC meeting will be "the dots" or the latest Summary of Economic Projections, which will indicate the central bank's forward-looking rate cut assumptions. Yelena adds that despite downward surprises in the last 4 inflation readings, she believes inflation will come via tariff policy as it slowly trickles into the economy. She discusses the state of the labor market as it relates to the Federal Reserve's dual mandate to achieve maximum employment and stable inflation.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Ahead of the Wednesday close, markets fell from session-highs as the Fed continues to project two rate cuts in 2025 and the Iran-Israel conflict weighs on markets. With markets closed tomorrow for the Juneteenth holiday, Kevin Green discusses how this week's option expirations will lead to higher volume on Friday and what it will mean for price action to close the week.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
This week on Sight|Lines, we revisit the Fed’s dual mandate – employment and inflation – in the context of recent data. With labor markets holding firm and inflation cooling, is the Fed ready to cut rates? We break down key indicators and preview what to expect at next week’s FOMC meeting. To read this week's Sight|Lines, click here. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of Stifel Financial Corp. or its affiliates (collectively, Stifel). This communication is provided for information purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Asset allocation and diversification do not ensure a profit or protect against loss. © Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated | Member SIPC & NYSE | www.stifel.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Market Commentary: Volatility and Sector Valuations – June 17 Update In this week's edition of Dividend Cafe, Brian Syztel provides a comprehensive overview of the current market landscape as of June 17, discussing recent geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices and stock market performance. Key points include a detailed analysis of the impact on various indexes such as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq. Brian emphasizes the significance of sector valuations, highlighting defensive sectors and their historical performance compared to growth stocks. Additional economic indicators, including retail sales, industrial production, and the NAHB Housing Market Index, are also reviewed. The episode concludes with a look ahead to upcoming jobless claims and the FOMC decision. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:21 Market Update: Middle East Tensions and Market Reactions 01:03 Valuations and Defensive Sectors 02:08 Growth vs. Value Stocks 03:28 Economic Calendar and Housing Market 04:22 Upcoming Events and Conclusion 04:39 Disclaimer and Legal Information Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Israel and Iran are at war, but markets have yet to freak out. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin dig into what's happening with oil, the dollar and gold — and what Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell will say following this week's FOMC meeting. Also, they go long New York pizza and golden telephones. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
S&P Futures are moving lower as the conflict in the Middle East weighs on sentiment. President Trump left the G7 meeting earlier than scheduled without any trade deals. He posted a comment calling on the residences of Tehran to evacuate the city which has the markets on edge. The FOMC meeting starts today with an announcement scheduled for tomorrow. The BOJ left rates unchanged. Oil and defense stocks are higher this morning. Solar stocks are falling as Senate Republicans look for a full phase out of tax credits. Economic data on Retail Sales and Industrial production are due out this morning. On the earnings front, LEN is moving higher after its earnings report. LZB is due out after the bell today.
Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson talks about the unusual dynamic he sees in markets between risk-on and risk-off price action. For one, he sees animal spirits in high-beta companies like CoreWeave (CRWV) continuing to gather unprecedented interest. However, it goes against other investors trimming risk exposure as geopolitical tensions mount between Israel and Iran. Nathan also discusses how Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision can "murky the waters" for its July meeting.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
6,050 continues to be a wall in the SPX, though geopolitical tensions didn't help the index as it closed lower on the session. Kevin Green points to price action falling below a key metric on the 15-minute chart that opens room for bears to pull the SPX to lower lows. He also notes volatility risk with more economic data around the corner, along with the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Zed Francis says it's "pretty impressive" how different Tuesday's trading action was compared to Friday, noting the stark shift in interest rate trading. However, Zed argues the "flight to safety" aspect may not hold for long. He later weighs in on commentary from JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon warning investors of a "crack" in the bond market. As for the Fed, Zed sees three interest rates and expects more dovish guidance from Jerome Powell in Wednesday's decision. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Carin Pai joins Diane King Hall at the NYSE set to preview this week's FOMC meeting. She believes the central bankers will continue to take a "wait and see" approach citing resilient economic data. On the equity front, Carin believes valuations are at the top end of the range and could keep markets rangebound for the remainder of 2025. She cautions that markets could be susceptible to surprises, and doesn't believe markets will go much higher from here.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Frank McKiernan previews the FOMC meeting tomorrow. He expects only one rate cut this year, arguing economic growth is better than most people expect. He thinks the Fed will reiterate their data dependent, patient stance. He talks about the “contrarian bullish signals” he sees in the market, but thinks high interest rates and stagflation remain the biggest risks.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
George Goncalves, Head of Macro Strategy in the Americas recapped an action-packed month full of uncertainty. Weak US fundamentals with the jobs data remaining mixed while inflation continues to come in softer suggesting that the Fed is behind the curve. George then previewed our expectations for the June FOMC meeting where he notes that the US data has deteriorated enough that the Fed may use this meeting to pivot towards a more dovish stance to gain flexibility to ease at future FOMC meetings.
Reports this morning that Iran has signaled it wants to de-escalate hostilities with Israel – and restart talks with the US: Carl Quintanilla, Sara Eisen, and David Faber broke down the latest along with key market implications ahead of another rate decision from the Fed on Wednesday – and as energy prices remain surprisingly steady. Plus: A live read from the ground in Alberta, as the G-7 summit begins in Canada. Rockefeller International's Ruchir Sharma brought his outlook for equities – fresh off an Op-Ed in the Financial Times arguing to not underestimate the Chinese as trade talks continue… Plus: hear from Former Deputy Secretary of State – and lead negotiator for the nuclear agreement with Iran under the Obama Administration – Wendy Sherman's take on what comes next here. Also in focus: Meta rolls out ads on Whatsapp, boosting shares; Sarepta stock plummets after a 2nd death tied to an experimental gene therapy; an exclusive with the CEO of aerospace maintenance company StandardAero, live from the Paris Air Show; and the rumors around AWS that are boosting AMD shares to fresh highs. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
SPX Market Outlook, FOMC Setup & This Week's Trade Ideas"In this episode of the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric breaks down the current SPX market setup heading into a big week of economic events, including Wednesday's FOMC meeting. After last Friday's selloff, the market rallied hard on Monday—highlighting the continued volatility.Eric recaps last week's inflation data (CPI, PPI), stronger-than-expected consumer sentiment, and why these may give the Fed room to ease up. He also walks through this week's AlphaCrunching forecast, revealing a potential shift toward late-week weakness and how that's impacting his current trades.Plus, you'll hear the latest backtested trade ideas, including put credit spreads and hedge setups—all driven by AlphaCrunching's proprietary Triumph Rate metrics and trend data.
We begin the week by covering the conflict involving Israel and Iran, along with the potential market impacts (including to oil prices). Plus, a preview of this week's G-7 summit in Canada, along with the FOMC meeting. We conclude by outlining portfolio considerations when it comes to navigating geopolitical and policy risk. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
S&P Futures are displaying positive action this morning. While tensions in the Middle East remain elevated, Isreal has clearly demonstrated its superiority as they continue to focus their attacks on disabling Iran's nuclear program. The G7 meeting are underway, President Trump will be in attendance. Focus will be on Trade talks and the Middle East. There are a host of Central Bank meetings this week with scheduled announcements from the BOJ, FOMC and the BOE over the next few days. The key economic report for today is the Empire State Manufacturing index. On the earnings front, LEN will be releasing earnings after the bell.
This week may be shortened due to the Juneteenth holiday, though Kevin Hincks points to a slew of potential market movers set to hit Wall Street. While crude oil prices stabilizing show neither escalation or de-escalation in the Israel and Iran conflict, he points out risk in the United States with headlines grabbing attention over the weekend. On the docket this week: the Fed's interest rate decision coming in Wednesday. Kevin urges investors not to miss retail sales and jobless claims, either.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The Fed meets tomorrow to begin its interest rate meeting, with a decision expected Wednesday afternoon. Charles Schwab's Collin Martin believes no rate cut is priced into stocks, though what he'll watch is how the shifting inflation picture will affect the Fed's dot plot. Collin also notes significant cracks in the labor picture can weigh on its dual mandate.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about