Podcasts about fomc

We close out the trading week by reviewing the latest developments surrounding US trade policy, recapping notable macro data releases (including a look at the FOMC meeting minutes) - plus, a preview of the week ahead. Featured is Mike Gourd, Asset Allocation Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Shiavon Chatman

Market Insights and Sovereign Debt Discussion - Dividend Cafe In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the recent market movements following a significant rise due to a delay in tariffs on the EU. He covers the Richmond Fed survey results, FOMC meeting minutes, and the implications of long-term sovereign debt yields, particularly from Japan. Brian also breaks down the ownership of US Treasury debt and the impact of foreign investments. Looking ahead, he previews upcoming economic data releases, including Q1 GDP, jobless claims, pending home sales, and PCE data. Listeners are briefed on the market's current status and forthcoming economic indicators. 00:00 Introduction and Market Recap 00:35 Economic Calendar and Market Sentiment 00:51 Impact of Trade Announcements 01:55 Sovereign Debt and Treasury Holdings 03:46 Japan's Debt and Yield Curve Control 05:43 Upcoming Economic Data and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

En este episodio cubrimos los eventos más importantes antes de la apertura del mercado: • Wall Street se mantiene estable antes del reporte clave de Nvidia: Futuros con leves movimientos: $SPX +0.1%, $US100 +0.1%, $INDU plano. El rendimiento del bono a 10 años sube a 4.47%, mientras el de 2 años baja a 3.97%. Ayer, el mercado celebró el retraso de aranceles de Trump y un sólido dato de confianza del consumidor (87.1). Hoy el foco está en las minutas del FOMC, el índice manufacturero de Richmond (-9 esperado) y las ganancias de $NVDA. • Nvidia reporta hoy en el evento más esperado de la temporada: $NVDA publicará sus resultados tras el cierre. Aunque se anticipa un nuevo beat en ingresos y EPS, el enfoque estará en márgenes, guía y exposición a China. La empresa prevé una provisión de $5.5B por restricciones a los chips H20. Al alza, destacan sus nuevos acuerdos en Medio Oriente. Las opciones descuentan un movimiento de ±7%. Cotiza en $135, plano en 2025. • GameStop apuesta por Bitcoin como reserva de tesorería: $GME sube +3.8% premarket tras comprar 4,710 BTC (~$513M). La compañía ahora incluye Bitcoin en su balance, siguiendo los pasos de $MSTR, $TSLA y $CLSK. Al cierre del Q1 tenía $4.76B en efectivo. La acción cotiza en $36.22 con un short interest de 10.9%. • Robinhood lanza plataforma Legend en Reino Unido: $HOOD presentó “Robinhood Legend”, su plataforma avanzada de trading para usuarios británicos activos. Incluye gráficos técnicos, datos en tiempo real y herramientas personalizables. Llega tras introducir opciones y como antesala al lanzamiento de cuentas ISA sin comisión. Busca captar parte del mercado desktop del Reino Unido (11 millones de traders activos). Una jornada de expectativa tecnológica y apuestas por nuevas clases de activos. ¡No te lo pierdas!

European bourses opened mixed but now in the red, US futures also lower ahead of NVIDIA results.USD is fractionally extending on Tuesday's upside, Kiwi leads after RBNZ delivers a hawkish cut.40yr JGB auction weighs, awaiting US supply & FOMC Minutes.Energy markets await JMMC/OPEC+; Metals tread water.US President Trump says Canada joining the Golden Dome is free if they are the 51st State, adding "They are considering the offer!".Looking ahead, US Richmond Fed Index, FOMC Minutes, OPEC+/JMMC, Speakers including BoE's Pill, Supply from the US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Abercrombie & Macy's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Tom Bodrovics introduces Chris Whalen, author of Inflated: Money, Debt, and the American Dream, which has been re-released in a second edition with significant updates. The conversation focuses on the current state of markets, the impact of President Trump's tariff policies, and the challenges posed by the federal debt and inflation. Chris explains that he removed 20,000 words from his original book to make space for a new chapter analyzing the Federal Reserve's management of the money supply under Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, and Jerome Powell. He highlights how the U.S. housing market has become heavily government-supported, leading to increased volatility and rising costs for consumers. Discussing inflation, Chris notes that it is driven by the inability of governments to generate sufficient income to meet their people's needs, as seen in countries like Argentina. He argues that borrowing from future income through debt creates distortions, particularly in housing markets, where prices have surged due to low interest rates and government intervention. He also critiques the dysfunctionality of Congress, which he believes is unable to pass budgets or manage spending effectively. Chris emphasizes the importance of gold as a hedge against inflation and expresses skepticism about stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, calling them speculative vehicles rather than reliable alternatives to fiat currency. He suggests that the U.S. dollar's dominance in global markets contributes to inflationary pressures, as other countries benefit from using dollars without bearing the associated costs. The discussion concludes with Chris offering an optimistic outlook, noting that while challenges remain, opportunities exist for investors to navigate inflation through real estate and gold. He encourages listeners to manage investments with a long-term perspective, considering the erosive effects of even low levels of inflation over time. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:02 - His Revised Book3:08 - Tariffs & Debt Distortions7:12 - Reserve Currency & Inflation11:03 - Debt Markets & Fed/Banks17:32 - National Debt & Spending21:18 - DOGE Cuts & Old Systems30:17 - Trump's Strategy?34:04 - Gold During Nixon Era39:08 - Book & US Administrations44:13 - MMT Era & Cryptocurrency?50:21 - Silver Supply & 1800s52:06 - Stablecoin Backing55:02 - Concluding Thoughts56:33 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/X: https://x.com/rcwhalenBooks (Amazon): https://tinyurl.com/mv3wctcrLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rcwhalen/ Richard Christopher Whalen is an investment banker and author based in New York. He serves as Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC, focusing on banking, mortgage finance, and fintech sectors. Christopher is a contributing editor at National Mortgage News and a general securities principal and member of FINRA. From 2014 to 2017, he was the Senior Managing Director and Head of Research at Kroll Bond Rating Agency, leading the Financial Institutions and Corporate Ratings Groups. Previously, he was a principal at Institutional Risk Analytics from 2003 to 2013. Over three decades, Chris has worked as an author, financial professional, and journalist in Washington, New York, and London. After graduating, he served under Rep. Jack Kemp (R-NY) at the House Republican Conference Committee. In 1993, he was the first journalist to report on secret FOMC minutes concealed by Alan Greenspan. His career included roles at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Bear Stearns & Co., Prudential Securities, Tangent Capital, and Carrington Mortgage Holdings. Christopher holds a B.A. in History from Villanova University. He is the author of three books: "Ford Men: From Inspiration to Enterprise" (2017), published by Laissez Faire Books; "Inflated: How Money and Debt Built the American Dream" (2010) by John Wiley & Sons; and co-author of "Financial Stability: Fraud, Confidence & the Wealth of Nations,

Today we had the pleasure of hosting Dr. Francesco Sassi for a wide-ranging discussion on global energy and geopolitics. Francesco is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Oslo and previously served as a Research Fellow in energy geopolitics and markets at Ricerche Industriali ed Energetiche (RIE). Francesco holds a Ph.D. in Political Science – Geopolitics from the University of Pisa, where he focused his research on the Sino-Russian gas interdependence. We were drawn to his straightforward analysis, insightful commentary, and use of maps to bring complex dynamics to life. We were thrilled to visit with Francesco and learn from his perspective. In our conversation, we explore the rise of political risk in energy markets and the growing global interdependence of the energy system, driven by factors such as China's increasing influence in shaping energy geopolitics, new interdependencies created by energy technology, trade and manufacturing, as well as disruptions like COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. We examine Russian gas volumes to Europe, Spain's leadership in clean energy and the implications of its recent blackout, and the dual forces shaping Europe: rising cross-border interconnectivity projects alongside increasing energy nationalism. We touch on President Trump's recent visit to the Middle East, which is part of broader interest in energy and AI investment in the region, OPEC+ strategy, market share pressures, and the impact of low oil prices on Russia. Francesco shares his perspective on the potential for a Putin-Zelensky meeting, tensions between India and Pakistan, and how energy policy is becoming increasingly central to electoral platforms in Europe. We turn to Argentina's recent progress under President Milei, Israeli investment in lithium extraction technology in Argentina's lithium triangle, and how energy and mineral resources are increasingly being used as tools of foreign policy and geopolitical leverage. We close with Francisco's thoughts on the growing power of energy as a force shaping international relations and global industrial strategy. It was a dynamic and insightful conversation. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion by noting that broader markets rallied substantially on Monday following news that China and the U.S. have agreed to a “tentative” tariff deal. Broader equity markets (S&P 500) have completely retraced their losses since Trump's April 2nd Day of Liberation and are now up slightly (+4%). Meanwhile, the S&P Volatility Index has plunged from its April 8th tariff volatility highs and is now trading near YTD lows, something to be monitored closely as any surprise event could send broader markets lower. On the bond market front, the 10yr bond yield is trading sideways even though April CPI came in lower than expected. PPI will be released on Wednesday and if it too prints lower than expected, it could provide room for the Fed to begin cutting rates at their June 18th FOMC meeting. On the crude oil front, WTI price has rebounded nicely over the past week and now trades at ~$63/bbl. Oil traders remain focused on future OPEC+ production increases and increasingly on whether U.S. E&Ps will begin altering their 2025 capex plans at these lower prices levels. He wrapped up with a look at key events this week, notably NRG Energy's acquisition of LS Power's portfolio of natural gas generation assets (~13gw for ~$12 billion). The move follows Constellation Energy's mid-January deal to acquire Calpine Corp. and demonstrates that both companies are positioning themselves for an acceleration in electricity growth this decade. Many thanks to Francesco for sharing his time and insights with us today. We hope you enjoy the discussion as much as we did! Our best to you all.

The latest FOMC meeting resulted in zero policy changes as the Federal Reserve adopts a cautious "wait and see" stance amid rising economic risks. NLW analyzes Chair Powell's careful positioning, balancing uncertainty around trade-induced inflation and employment pressures. Plus, the evolving trade landscape: negotiations intensify with China, the UK deal looms, and the U.S. administration signals it's reshaping global economic order—not just settling trade disputes. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW

  Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist for the NYSE, details the latest trends and developments in global markets. In this week's episode, he discusses Wednesday's FOMC meeting, progress being made on trade deals, and the U.S. meeting with China.

Sam Burns is still cautious around a potential market drop, seeing an “extremely negative” policy backdrop and continued uncertainty around trade and earnings. He notes that tariff impacts to economic data haven't shown up in the data yet. He also reacts to the FOMC decision and says the Fed “can't save” markets should things go south. Looking for defensive areas, he likes utilities, some financials, and some consumer staples.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Stocks closed out the week relatively unchanged as investors digest the latest trade talks overseas. Meanwhile, the FOMC kept rates unchanged while the White House announced a preliminary trade deal with the U.K. Tech stocks like Alphabet (GOOGL) and Palantir (PLTR) fell sharply, bucking the overall market trend.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

In this episode, Dustin Reid, Chief Fixed Income Strategist, provides his key takeaways from the latest FOMC meeting, offering insights into the Fed's stance on interest rates, inflation, and economic growth. He also examines ongoing trade discussions, specifically recent developments between the US and UK, and how tariffs have been impacting market sentiment and risk appetite. Finally, Dustin shares his perspectives on the significance of Prime Minister Carney's visit to the White House and what it may signal for Canadian-US relations going forward.    This episode was recorded on May 8, 2025. 

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comPortfolio manager & Fed-watcher Axel Merk shares his immediate take-aways from this week's FOMC release and press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He'll also take live Q&A from viewers.

Live at 2pm PT, join us for an eye-opening episode of "Bond Market Update with Bill Addiss!", where we sit down with veteran bond trader and fixed income strategist Bill Addiss to dissect the aftermath of this week's FOMC meeting. With markets reeling from mixed signals and rising volatility, Bill offers expert insight into rate forecasts, tapering expectations, and the looming specter of stagflation. We'll also tackle the headline-grabbing political tension between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and what it means for the bond market, inflation, and investor confidence.

The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed's latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell's comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed's outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing" with "higher" interest rates. Lance and Michael also discuss the merits of Ai with Apple & Google, and the multiplier effect artificial intelligence will produce for supporting industries; the importance of identifying and investing in companies poised for generating earnings growth. Don't miss this critical update as the Fed's tough tone shapes the path ahead for portfolios and financial markets. SEG-1: Fed Day Snoozer; Earnings Season Wraps SEG-2: Why It's Okay to Run a Trade Deficit SEG-3: The Economy is Actually Normalizing SEG-4a: Apple vs Google-Ai SEG-4b: Investing in Companies Generating Earnings Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9m45eTIyu0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Storm Before The Calm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-storm-before-the-calm/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Continue to Build?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e00bUJpRZZc ------- Our previous show is here: "China Blinks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRate #HawkishFed #InvestingOpportunity FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed's latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell's comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed's outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing" with "higher" interest rates. Lance and Michael also discuss the merits of Ai with Apple & Google, and the multiplier effect artificial intelligence will produce for supporting industries; the importance of identifying and investing in companies poised for generating earnings growth. Don't miss this critical update as the Fed's tough tone shapes the path ahead for portfolios and financial markets. SEG-1: Fed Day Snoozer; Earnings Season Wraps SEG-2: Why It's Okay to Run a Trade Deficit SEG-3: The Economy is Actually Normalizing SEG-4a: Apple vs Google-Ai SEG-4b: Investing in Companies Generating Earnings Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9m45eTIyu0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Storm Before The Calm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-storm-before-the-calm/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Continue to Build?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e00bUJpRZZc ------- Our previous show is here: "China Blinks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRate #HawkishFed #InvestingOpportunity FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 256 for an FOMC day interview.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia DiMartino Booth argues that Fed monetary policy remains overly restrictive while the labor market is "anything but solid." She points to concerning indicators including record credit card minimum payments, rising long-term unemployment, and declining full-time jobs. DiMartino Booth makes the case for immediate rate cuts to a floor of 2%, warning the economy now operates "without a safety net" after successive waves of debt-fueled growth. Looking forward, she expresses concern about geopolitical risks while finding hope in the strong work ethic of the younger generation.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 - Opening commentary on Powell and monetary policy0:23 - Introduction and FOMC day discussion1:39 - Arguments that monetary policy is too restrictive2:49 - Labor market indicators and private sector layoffs4:13 - Credit card minimum payments and student loan impacts6:02 - Signs of financial stress in refinancing behaviors8:10 - Bankruptcy trends and distressed debt exchanges9:57 - Fed's dual mandate debate12:05 - Critique of Powell's selective history on Fed actions13:57 - Job market reality vs. Powell's "solid" characterization15:48 - Self-employment and full-time job losses17:50 - Sponsor segment19:08 - Labor market "scarring" and long-term unemployment21:12 - Federal debt approaching $38 trillion22:03 - Analysis of long-term debt cycles since Greenspan24:16 - Student loan wage garnishment concerns28:36 - Fed rate cut recommendations30:10 - Policy pushing money from real economy to financial assets33:00 - Tariffs discussion - why they're deflationary not inflationary36:38 - Real-world impacts of import costs38:26 - What keeps Danielle up at night - geopolitical concerns39:53 - What gives her hope - younger generation's work ethic42:17 - Information about Qi Research and closing thoughts

Almost no one expects the Federal Reserve to change the level of interest rates at its policy meeting on May 7-8. Rather, the focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments in a post-meeting press conference about the reasons for officials' cautious stance, and their economic outlook as the Trump administration's tariffs begin to bite.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON#FOMC #federalreserve #fedmeeting~Fed Meeting vs Crypto LIVE!

Danielle DiMartino Booth can see "very heavy" uncertainty clearing with the U.S. and U.K. trade deal. That said, she sees the China picture staying murky, noting Scott Bessent's upcoming meeting with representatives to be "just the beginning" of negotiations. Danielle found the Fed's decision to hold interest rates and Jerome Powell's following commentary "disappointing." She thinks the FOMC is too dismissive on consumer sentiment.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Jim Thorne discusses the FOMC decision to keep rates unchanged and its impact on the fight against inflation. Thorne doesn't believe the Fed is using the correct data indicators, such as BLS Labor Data and Consumer Sentiment, to make its decision. He believes the committee will be late in rate cuts, adding "I am completely and totally disappointed" in the FOMC stance. Thorne adds that "deflation is the risk" and believes there is a failure by economists at the Fed.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

En este episodio cubrimos lo más relevante antes de la apertura de Wall Street: • Wall Street se anima por reunión EE.UU.–China: Futuros al alza: $SPX, $US100 y $INDU +0.6%. La expectativa de avances comerciales se suma a la espera por la decisión de tasas de la Fed. Se anticipa que el FOMC mantenga tasas sin cambios, pero el foco está en las palabras de Jerome Powell tras la presión pública de Trump por recortes. • Cisco impulsa su apuesta cuántica: $CSCO presentó su chip Quantum Network Entanglement y abrirá un laboratorio en California. Tecnología de baja energía, operativa a temperatura ambiente y con hasta 200M pares de entrelazamiento por segundo. Se suma a la carrera cuántica junto a $GOOG, $MSFT, $AMZN y $NVDA. • CoreWeave fortalece su músculo financiero: $CRWV eleva su línea de crédito de $650M a $1.5B con bancos como JPMorgan y Goldman Sachs. Busca expandir infraestructura de nube enfocada en IA. Pese a tensiones pasadas por deuda, las entidades muestran confianza en su crecimiento futuro. • Novo Nordisk ajusta guía, pero sube: $NVO reportó ingresos por $11.9B (+19% YoY) en Q1 2025, aunque ventas de Wegovy decepcionaron. Aun así, la acción sube al anticipar recuperación en ventas tras el cierre de vacíos regulatorios en EE.UU. Nueva guía: +13%-21% en ventas para el año. Un episodio cargado de noticias clave antes de que arranque el mercado. ¡No te lo pierdas!

En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Andre Dos Santos y Juan Manuel de los Reyes repasaron los temas más relevantes del momento: el mensaje cauteloso de Jerome Powell tras la reunión del FOMC, advirtiendo sobre riesgos económicos por los aranceles de EE.UU.; el esperado anuncio de un acuerdo arancelario entre Trump y el Reino Unido para aliviar tensiones comerciales; y la preocupante escalada del conflicto entre India y Pakistán por la región de Cachemira. Además, analizaron la fuerte caída de Google en bolsa tras conocerse que Apple está probando alternativas de búsqueda con inteligencia artificial para Safari, lo que generó dudas sobre el futuro dominio de Google en dispositivos Apple.

On Wednesday we got the latest FOMC rate decision from Jerome Powell and the FED, following their first meeting since President Donald Trump's sweeping tariff announcements last month. He made it clear in the subsequent press conference that the US economy, based on the bulk of available data is still tracking well, and whilst the … Continue reading "Just Don't Mention Stagflation, As Uncertainty Rises!"

Daniel talks about the latest round of Chinese stimulus, the FOMC decision and the key areas to be watching out for in the near future.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

Is Bitcoin about to hit $100,000 today? Big news could be dropping from the FOMC meeting and it could shake up the entire crypto market. Don't miss this critical update! ➡️ Unlock Rewards Trading Crypto - https://www.lbank.com/login?icode=4M7MZ ➡️  Arculus - https://www.getarculus.com/products/arculus-cold-storage-wallet ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ➡️ Follow on X - https://x.com/DiscoCryptoLive ➡️  Join Telegram - https://t.me/+vS5uDtG57XpjNDA1 ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● All of our videos are strictly personal opinions. Please make sure to do your own research. Never take one person's opinion for financial guidance. There are multiple strategies and not all strategies fit all people. Our videos ARE NOT financial advice. Our videos are sponsored & include affiliate content. Digital Assets are highly volatile and carry a considerable amount of risk. Only use exchanges for trading digital assets. We never keep our entire portfolio on an exchange.  #bitcoin #crypto

With Jerome Powell speaking soon, markets are on edge. Will this crash Bitcoin, or is it set to pump? Find out what's really going on and what you need to watch right now.

Live at 2pm PT, today's episode of "FOMC Day!" dives straight into the heart of the markets—Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve's latest rate announcement. With uncertainty and ambiguity baked into today's statement, traders are left asking: What's the Fed's next move? We'll unpack the key takeaways, analyze the market's real-time reaction, and review what top analysts are forecasting for the remainder of the year.

US equities were higher in very choppy Wednesday trading, a bit off session highs, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing up 70bps, 43bps, and 27bps respectively. FOMC takeaways were mixed, noting the bank is attentive to fears on both sides of its dual mandate though market still pricing in a slightly more dovish Fed outlook. Trump administration is planning to rescind chip curbs and will not enforce Biden-era AI diffusion rule. Bloomberg reported about Apple exploring AI search for its browser causing shares of Alphabet to slump.

President Trump has been pushing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, writing on social media last month that the central bank has been "TOO LATE AND WRONG" in holding off on further reductions. Now, the Fed is set to meet on Wednesday to make its next rate decision — but Mr. Trump may need to wait longer to get his cuts.~This episode is sponsored by iTrust Capital~iTrustCapital | Get $100 Funding Reward + No Monthly Fees when you sign up using our custom link! ➜ https://bit.ly/iTrustPaul00:15 Sponsor: iTrust Capital00:52 Polymarket: Fed decision in May odds01:29 Trueflation01:57 Recession odds still high02:20 CNBC: Stocks are not priced in for recession04:00 Fear & Greed05:12 What could move markets06:35 Altseason soon?07:30 Clock is ticking08:40 Cascading effects on workers10:00 Firms response to tariffs10:31 Temu pulls google ads11:14 Port of L.A. Director: Is there any work around?12:40 Ford earnings13:40 Ford CEO: Trump Tariffs for at least 3 years14:42 Gold surges again15:28 Pectra in 24hrs16:07 Is Paul hawkish or dovish?17:38 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~FOMC Predictions

Fed Chair Jerome Powell maintained the FOMC is well-positioned to adjust with economic uncertainty after it left interest rates unchanged. Andrew Brenner believes employment will be a major concern ahead, as he has doubts behind strength seen in recent prints. Inking trade deals with countries, particularly China, is what Andrew deems critical to opening a path forward for the Fed and economy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Fed has left interest rates in its latest meeting, but Kevin Hincks says we'll see "much more color" from Jerome Powell during the FOMC press conference. Powell indicated that there is risk for higher inflation and unemployment with tariffs, though Kevin notes trade deals reportedly taking place that can shift that narrative.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

It's all eyes on the Fed. Kevin Green says there's bullish optimism in the options flow but adds that volatility is heavy heading into today's interest rate announcement. He says a volatility crush following the meeting will usher in a rally. Kevin is also watching copper, which he says can serve as a tariff hedge.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Joe Brusuelas isn't expecting the Fed to cut interest rates, though he expects the real fireworks will come from the FOMC's press conference. Joe doesn't expect to hear anything on stagflation or recession but remains concerned about the job market. He explains how tariffs can leave lasting impacts on employment, especially in warehouse and trucking.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Reporting from the Cboe Global Markets, Kevin Hincks goes through what happened overnight and how it leads into today. That news included reports of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent planning to meet with Chinese representatives to discuss tariffs. Additionally, Kevin says there's potential for today's FOMC interest rate announcement to be a "yawner," but Jerome Powell's economic commentary may prove otherwise.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Kevin Green says scheduled talks between U.S. and China trade officials could indicate the first steps of de-escalation and ratcheting down some of the current tariff levels. But, before those talks take place this weekend, investors await the FOMC decision later today. KG will be listening to the Fed Chair's language surrounding upcoming months and the possibility of a June rate cut. Then, Kevin looks at the post-earnings move in AMD Inc. (AMD) after its quarterly figures beat Street estimates.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Chuck Lieberman doesn't see a recession on the horizon but thinks markets may be pricing one in. Tariff uncertainty is the primary driver behind the action, and Chuck sees the Fed bearing that same weight. He gives a wider perspective into how Jerome Powell and the FOMC can navigate tariffs. Chuck sees financials doing well despite volatility and would not be aggressive buyers of tech stocks.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

En este episodio cubrimos lo más relevante antes de la apertura de Wall Street: • Wall Street se anima por reunión EE.UU.–China: Futuros al alza: $SPX, $US100 y $INDU +0.6%. La expectativa de avances comerciales se suma a la espera por la decisión de tasas de la Fed. Se anticipa que el FOMC mantenga tasas sin cambios, pero el foco está en las palabras de Jerome Powell tras la presión pública de Trump por recortes. • Cisco impulsa su apuesta cuántica: $CSCO presentó su chip Quantum Network Entanglement y abrirá un laboratorio en California. Tecnología de baja energía, operativa a temperatura ambiente y con hasta 200M pares de entrelazamiento por segundo. Se suma a la carrera cuántica junto a $GOOG, $MSFT, $AMZN y $NVDA. • CoreWeave fortalece su músculo financiero: $CRWV eleva su línea de crédito de $650M a $1.5B con bancos como JPMorgan y Goldman Sachs. Busca expandir infraestructura de nube enfocada en IA. Pese a tensiones pasadas por deuda, las entidades muestran confianza en su crecimiento futuro. • Novo Nordisk ajusta guía, pero sube: $NVO reportó ingresos por $11.9B (+19% YoY) en Q1 2025, aunque ventas de Wegovy decepcionaron. Aun así, la acción sube al anticipar recuperación en ventas tras el cierre de vacíos regulatorios en EE.UU. Nueva guía: +13%–21% en ventas para el año. ¡Dale play y entérate de todo lo que mueve el mercado hoy!

China's Ministry of Commerce confirmed US-China trade talks with Vice Premier He Lifeng to visit Switzerland from May 9th-12th and will visit France from May 12th-16th for economic and financial dialogue.PBoC Governor Pan announced to cut RRR by 50bps effective May 15th and to cut the policy interest rate by 10bps effective on May 8th with the 7-day reverse repo rate lowered to 1.40% and interest rates on Standing Lending Facility across all tenors lowered by 10bps. Pan stated that the policy rate cut will lead to a Loan Prime Rate cut of 10bps and the RRR cut will release about CNY 1tln in liquidity.European stocks mixed whilst US-Sino trade talks have been confirmed and as traders await the FOMC.USD stronger vs. peers as US-China meeting spurs trade hopes, JPY underperforms.Two way action for EGBs & Gilts but benchmarks ultimately firmer, aided by auctions. USTs more contained pre-FOMC.Crude firmer on China's monetary policy easing, US-China trade talks, and rising tensions between India and Pakistan.Looking ahead, Fed, NBP, CNB & BCB Policy Announcements, US Treasury Secretary Bessent, Fed Chair Powell's Presser, Supply from the US, Earnings from AppLovin, Carvana, Arm, DoorDash, AMC, Uber, Disney, Barrick Gold.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

With the May FOMC meeting in progress, our analysts Matt Hornbach and Michael Gapen offer perspective on U.S. economic projections and whether markets are aligned.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Matthew Hornbach: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy.Michael Gapen: And I'm Michael Gapen, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist.Matthew Hornbach: Today we're talking about the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting underway, and the path for rates from here.It's Tuesday, May 6th at 10am in New York.Mike, before we talk about your expectations for the FOMC meeting itself, I wanted to get your take on the U.S. economy heading into the meeting. How are you seeing things today? And in particular, how do you think what happened on April 2nd, so-called Liberation Day, affects the outlook?Michael Gapen: Yeah, I think right now, Matt, I would say the economy's still on relatively solid footing, and by that I mean the economy had been moderating. Yes, the first quarter GDP print was negative. But that was mainly because firms were frontloading a lot of inventories through imports. So imports were up over 40 percent at an annualized pace in the quarter. A lot of that went into inventories and into business spending. That was just a mechanical drag on activity.And the April employment report, I think, showed the same thing. We're now averaging about 145,000 jobs per month this year. That's down from about 170,000 per month in the second half of last year. So the hiring rate is slowing down, but no signs of a sudden stop. No signs in layoffs picking up. So I'd say the economy is on fairly solid footing, and the labor market is also on fairly solid footing – as we enter the period now when we think tariffs will have a greater effect on the outlook. So you asked, you know, Liberation Day. How does that affect the outlook? Right now we'd say it puts a lot of uncertainty in front of us. on pretty solid footing now. But Matt, looking forward, we have a lot of concerns about where things may go and we expect activity to slow and inflation to rise.Matthew Hornbach: That's great background, Mike, for what I want to ask you about next, which is of course the FOMC meeting this week. We won't get a new set of economic projections from the committee. But if we did, what do you think they would do with them and how would you assess the reaction function one might be able to tease out of those economic projections?Michael Gapen: You're right, we don't get a new set of projections, but New York Fed President John Williams did provide some indication about how he adjusted his forecast, and John tends to be one of the – kind of a median participant.He tends to be centrist in his thinking and his projection. So I do think that that gives us an indication of what the Fed is thinking; and he said he expects GDP growth to slow to somewhat below 1 percent in 2025. He expects inflation to rise to 3.5 to 4 percent this year, and he said the unemployment rates likely to move between 4.5 and 5 percent over the next year. And those phrases are really key. That's the same thing, Matt, as you know, we are expecting for the U.S. economy and I do think the Fed is thinking of it the same way.Matthew Hornbach: So one final question for you, Mike. In terms of this meeting itself, what are you expecting the Fed to deliver this week? And what are the risks you see being around that expectation; you know, that might catch investors off guard?Michael Gapen:I think the Fed's main message this week will be that they're prepared to wait, that they think policy's in a good spot right now. They think inflation will be rising sharply, that the tariff shock is a lot larger than they had anticipated earlier this year. And they will need time to assess whether that inflation impulse is transitory, or whether it creates more persistent inflation. So I think what they will say is we're in a good position to wait and we need clarity on the outlook before we can act.In this case, we think acting means doing nothing. But acting could also mean cutting if the labor market weakens. So I think there'll be worried about inflation today, a weak labor market tomorrow. And so I think risks around this meeting really are tilted in the direction of a more hawkish message than markets are expecting at least vis-a-vis current pricing. I think the market wants to hear the Fed will be ready to support the economy. Of course, we think they will, but I think the Fed's also going to be worried about inflation pressures in the near term. So that, I think, might catch investors off guard.So Matt, what I think might catch investors off guard may be a little misplaced. I'm an economist after all. You're the strategist, you're the expert on the treasury market and how investors may be perceiving events at the moment. So the treasury market had quite the month since April 2nd. For a moment U.S. treasuries didn't act like the safe haven asset many have come to expect. What do you think happened?Matthew Hornbach: So, Mike, you're absolutely right. Treasury yields initially fell, but then spent a healthy portion of the last month rising and investors were caught off guard by what they saw happening in the treasury market. I've seen this type of behavior in the treasury market, which I've been watching now for 25 years. I've seen this happen twice before in my career. The first time was during the Great Financial Crisis, and the second time I saw it was in March of 2020. So, this being the third time you know, I don't know if it was the charm or if it was something else, but treasury yields went up quite a bit.I think what investors were witnessing in the treasury market is really a reflection of the degree of uncertainty and the breadth with which that uncertainty, traversed the world. Both the Great Financial Crisis and the initial stage of the pandemic in March of 2020 were events that were global in nature. They were in many ways systemic in nature, and they were events that most investors hadn't contemplated or seen in their lifetimes. And when this happens, I think investors tend to reduce risk in all of its forms until the dust settles. And one of those very important forms of risk in the fixed income markets is duration risk.So, I think investors were paring back duration risk, which helped the U.S. Treasury market perform pretty poorly at one moment over the past month.Michael Gapen: So Matt, one aspect of market pricing that stands out to me is how rates markets are pricing 75 basis points of rate cuts this year. And just after April 2nd, the market had priced in about 100 basis points of cuts.How are you thinking about the market pricing today? Matt, as you know, it differs quite a bit from what we think will happen.Matthew Hornbach: Yeah. This is where, you know, understanding that market prices in the interest rate complex reflect the average outcome of a wide variety of scenarios; really every scenario that is conceivable in the minds of investors. And, of course, as you mentioned, Mike depending on exactly how this year ends up playing out there, there could be a scenario in which the Federal Reserve has to lower rates much more aggressively than perhaps even markets are pricing today.So, the market being an average of a wide variety of outcome will find it really challenging to take out all of the rate cuts that are priced in today. Or said differently, the market will find it challenging to price in your baseline scenario. And ultimately, I think the way in which the market ends up truing up to your projections, Mike, is just with time.I think as we make our way through this year and the economic data come in, in-line with your baseline projections, the market will eventually price out those rate cuts that you see in there today. But that's going to take time. It's going to take investors growing increasingly comfortable that we can avoid a recession at least in perception this year before, you know, on your projections, we have a bit of a slower economy in 2026.Michael Gapen: Well, it definitely does feel like a bimodal world, where investor conviction is low. Matt, where do you have conviction in the rates market today?Matthew Hornbach: So, the way we've been thinking about this environment where we can avoid a recession this year, but maybe 2026 the risks rise a bit more. We think that that's the type of environment where the yield curve in the United States can steepen, and what that means practically is that yields on longer maturity bonds will go up relative to yields on shorter maturity bonds. So, you get this steepening of the yield curve. And that is where we have the highest conviction; in terms of, what happens with the Treasury market this year is we have a steeper yield curve by the time we get to December.Now part of that steepening we think comes because as we approach 2026 where Mike, you have the Fed beginning to lower rates in your baseline, the market will have to increasingly price with more conviction a lower policy rate from the Fed. But then at the same time, you know, we probably will have an environment where treasury supply will have to increase.As a result of the fiscal policies that the government is discussing at the moment. And so you have this environment where yields on longer maturity securities are pressured higher relative to yields on shorter maturity treasuries.So, with that, Mike, we'll wrap our conversation. Thanks so much for taking the time to talk.Michael Gapen: It's been great speaking with you, Matt.Matthew Hornbach: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

In this episode of The Week in Markets, equities research analyst Jen-Ai Chua discusses the Trump effect on US GDP growth and on recent election outcomes in Canada, Australia and Singapore. The flight to safety by voters and investors have favoured familiar incumbents and driven capital flows into gold, European equities and Chinese stocks. Markets are likely to remain in wait-and-see mode as investors await the FOMC rate decision on 7 May and the BoE decision a day later. The age-old adage to ‘Sell in May and go away' could prompt some risk-averse investors to reconsider their stock positions. Historical evidence supports outperformance in the November-April time period, albeit 68% of the time.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3Sn9Ook   - Today we discuss the US bearish case remaining intact as key resistance has held, signs that Palantir may finally be paying the price for its bubbly valuation, the latest rip in gold prices and drivers there, as well as in crude oil, the outlook for JPY,  an FOMC preview and outlook for Fed policy the rest of this year, the latest must reads and so much more. Today with Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Stocks took a breather after a 9-day win streak. Kevin Green cites headline risk and technical pullback as key drivers. Despite this, he notes the S&P 500 (SPX) 50-day moving average remains a crucial support level. Kevin also weighs in on the E.U.'s plan to tariff $100B in U.S. goods if trade talks fail and the potential impact on markets. He expects a "very difficult" FOMC meeting, with a focus on June rate cuts and quantitative easing. KG also breaks down Palantir's (PLTR) earnings, which saw strong commercial growth but a miss on guidance, leading to a 8% pre-market drop.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Markets may be down again on Tuesday but Kevin Green notes bulls lifted Wall Street off the lows. Another bullish signal: a $2.3 million call at 5,700 on the SPX. Kevin says Mag 7 stocks are also seeing an uptrend in calls ahead of Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision. Later, he turns to the 15-year chart in the SPX to highlight whether markets are experiencing a 2022 or COVID-19 trend.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Kevin Horner's Technical Tuesday charts cover the SPX, Cisco Systems (CSCO), and Dell (DELL). He looks at the “overhanging resistance” in the SPX despite its recent run up ahead of the FOMC meeting. In CSCO, he points to an area of confluence and resistance, and says bearish traders are in a better position than bulls right now. For DELL, he highlights the 50-day SMA as an important area of resistance, much like CSCO.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

George Goncalves, Head of Macro Strategy in the Americas previews our expectation ahead of the May FOMC meeting. We believe that the Fed will skip for a third time in the cycle and have a difficult time threading the needle and making everyone happy at this upcoming meeting. If the Fed elects to stay on the sidelines to wait for data to confirm that further rate cuts are needed, they might realize that they will come too late. If the Fed messaging comes across as more hawkish than markets would like, it could result in risk assets to continue giving back recent returns.

The SPX couldn't close on a 10th consecutive winning day, but Kevin Green says that's okay. He sees today's action as a sign of normalization in the markets, though there's still a potential for a flush. Kevin sees Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision as a potential "fireworks" day. With a VIX hovering above 20, he urges investors to stay alert until there's a "crush" in volatility. Later, Kevin turns to the chance for a squeeze in Palantir (PLTR).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Economic data and the FOMC meeting will be key drivers for the market this week, says Kevin Green. He kicks off the week with a look at the markets following a historic winning streak for the S&P 500 (SPX). Any kind of optimism in the ongoing U.S. and China trade talks would a catalyst, but KG believes the India trade deal may already be priced in to the markets. For Japan, he says the rhetoric in trade talks has been something to watch. On crude oil, KG examines latest headlines from OPEC+ policy and provides key levels to watch for the SPX.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Michael Underhill points to Argentina's turnaround under Javier Milei as the possible blueprint for Donald Trump's economic plan in the U.S. called a potential recession "transitory." The latest rally for the S&P 500 (SPX) according to Michael is something that "doesn't happen in a bear market." For investing, he calls the 60/40 portfolio "dead" and looks at A.I. power generation closely, while increasing investing in independent power solutions. Ahead of the FOMC meeting, Michael doesn't believe the Fed will cut in the short-term.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

S&P Futures are trading higher this morning with markets displaying positive action on an easing of trade tensions between the U.S. & China. China said that it was mulling a halt to the trade war, but only if the U.S. considered canceling unilateral tariffs. Markets continue to focus on earnings, AAPL and AMZN are displaying losses this morning are earnings releases Thursday night. Next week PLTR, F, DDOG, AMD, ANET, UBER, DIS, NVO, ARM, APP, DASH, SHOP, MCK, DKNG & COIN are set to release. On the economic front, this morning's Non-Farms Payrolls report will be widely watched. There is an FOMC meeting next week, the Fed is expected to make to changes to its interest rate policy.

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/While other airlines were pulling their forecasts afraid to tell the truth and preferring to hide under behind "uncertainty", Southwest's CEO bluntly stated there's a recession. And that's exactly what is starting to emerge from the Federal Reserve's very own contacts, thus why former FOMC hawks are now sounding incredibly dovish, the fundamentals of interest rates in all directions. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBloomberg Southwest CEO Says US Airline Industry Is Already in a Recessionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-24/southwest-ceo-says-us-airline-industry-is-already-in-a-recessionFed Beige Book April 2025https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20250423.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU