Podcasts about fomc

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4eITc6m David Bahnsen covers a broad “around the horn” Monday Dividend Cafe, highlighting extreme SpaceX IPO trading volume as evidence of IPO mania rather than price discovery. Markets rallied on weekend news of a forthcoming U.S.-Iran agreement and a planned signing, with the Dow up 469 points, the S&P up 1.65%, and the Nasdaq up over 3%; technology led while energy fell, small caps continued to outperform, and the 10-year yield held near 4.47%. He notes key unknowns in the Iran deal (Hormuz terms, enforcement, uranium, funds). Economic and policy updates include May industrial production up 0.1%, falling homebuilder sentiment (35), and housing affordability bill uncertainty. He previews the FOMC meeting and Kevin Warsh's first press conference, cites the ECB's first hike in over three years, discusses lower oil and gasoline prices, answers a question on dividend growth returns, and closes celebrating the Knicks' first title in 53 years. 00:00 Welcome and Agenda 01:02 SpaceX IPO Mania 03:11 Markets Rally and Rotation 05:27 Iran Deal Unknowns 07:28 Economic and Policy Updates 09:13 Housing Sentiment Check 10:01 Central Banks and Fed Week 11:05 Oil and Gas Price Moves 11:50 Dividend Growth Q&A 13:37 Knicks Championship Moment 15:31 Closing Thanks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

This week on the Trading Justice Podcast, I break down the biggest macro week of 2026 as the Iran peace deal gets announced, Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting, and SpaceX enters week two after the largest IPO in market history. We discuss what the Iran MOU actually means for your portfolio, how a resolution to the conflict could change the entire inflation picture, and what the Fed is likely to do with rates this week. We also break down SpaceX week two through the lens of IPO history and what the data says about patience versus chasing the open.

Just three weeks into the job, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is already facing an unusually high-stakes test. We look ahead to this week's FOMC decision with Rebecca Patterson, Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations & former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: 1) The US and Iran reached an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, halting a war that killed thousands of people and setting the stage for negotiations on the fate of Tehran’s nuclear program. Officials from the two countries will meet in Switzerland to formally sign the agreement, with key sticking points left for the next stage of talks, including the removal of sanctions and financial incentives for Iran. The agreement could bring peace and security to the region, but its details remain unresolved, and both sides are casting the deal in different lights, underscoring the difficulties that may lie ahead in resolving outstanding issues. 2) Inflation is roaring back at the fastest pace in three years, and investors have been dumping US Treasury bonds and piling into bets the Fed will need to start raising rates by December. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is facing an unusually high-stakes test in his first FOMC meeting as Fed chair, with his maiden press conference and the Fed's post-meeting statement and forecasts to be scoured for clues on what's next. Warsh's commitment to maintaining the bank's political independence will be reassured if he sends a convincing message that the Fed is willing to shift back into inflation-fighting mode, but falling short will rattle markets already worried he could jeopardize the Fed's credibility. 3) SpaceX shares jumped in premarket trading Monday, after its blockbuster debut Friday vaulted it into the ranks of the world’s most valuable public companies. The performance helped bolster confidence in the artificial intelligence rally, following SpaceX’s embrace of AI earlier this year with the acquisition of Musk’s xAI. It also boosted the IPO prospects of Anthropic PBC and OpenAI, both of which plan go public themselves.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

260615(2) [찬란한 경제] (1) 스페이스X 화려한 나스닥 데뷔…K-뉴스페이스도 판 커진다 / (2) 8100선 안착 코스피, '美·이란 종전 합의' 임박에 전고점 뚫을까 / (3) "미 연준, 감독 교체에도 팀 색깔 불변"…FOMC, 금리 동결 전망 - 염승환

In this episode of The OPEX Effect, Jack Forehand and Brent Kochuba break down the market structure impact of the SpaceX IPO, options expiration, dealer gamma, volatility, and the next major setup for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. They discuss why SpaceX may trade more on flows than fundamentals, how call buying could create a gamma squeeze, and why June OPEX, VIX expiration, FOMC, oil, Iran headlines, and index inclusion could all collide at once.Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple PodcastsTopics covered:Why SpaceX is a flows game at the start of tradingHow the SpaceX IPO could affect liquidity across mega cap tech stocksWhy fundamentals may not matter when index flows and forced buying dominateThe role of Nasdaq, Russell, and S&P 500 index decisions in SpaceX tradingHow options could create a gamma squeeze in SpaceXWhy dealer hedging flows can push stocks higher or lowerWhat June options expiration could mean for the S&P 500Why VIX expiration and FOMC create a key market windowHow Core1M signaled the recent volatility spasmWhy expensive calls, not put buying, drove the recent market stressThe key S&P 500 levels Brent is watching into OPEXHow oil, rates, inflation, and Fed policy could affect market volatilityWhy Nasdaq options pricing is diverging from the S&P 500How SpaceX index inclusion could widen the gap between Nasdaq and the S&PWhat would make Brent add protection or look for another short-term market correctionTimestamps:00:00 Opening clips and the SpaceX flow setup05:27 Elon Musk net worth after the SpaceX IPO07:13 SpaceX, liquidity, Mag Seven selling, and index demand12:48 Why SpaceX may trade on flows before fundamentals17:59 What options trading could change for SpaceX22:05 How call buying can create a gamma squeeze28:24 Why June OPEX matters more than a normal expiration33:55 VIX expiration, FOMC, and market path dependency37:20 The Core1M signal and the recent volatility spasm41:22 The S&P 500 gamma map and key risk levels46:25 Why expensive calls drove the market stress50:14 Oil, rates, inflation, and the Fed setup57:03 The JPMorgan collar and the 6900 to 7000 support zone58:32 Nasdaq versus S&P 500 after the SpaceX IPO01:03:14 Brent's summary, SpaceX gamma squeeze risk, and the next market setup

This week, we discuss rising inflation, the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting, and the much anticipated SpaceX initial public offering. Consumer prices continued to accelerate in May, with headline CPI rising 4.2% from a year earlier and core CPI increasing 2.9%. Alternative measures of inflation, including median, trimmed mean, and sticky CPI, also pointed to broadening price pressures. Producer prices rose at their fastest pace since 2022, prompting economists to revise their forecasts for the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, higher. The renewed inflationary pressure complicates the outlook for monetary policy. With inflation moving further from the Federal Reserve's target, policymakers may find it increasingly difficult to justify lower interest rates and could instead be forced to maintain or even tighten policy. We examine the forces shaping the inflation outlook and discuss what investors should expect from the next FOMC meeting under the leadership of Kevin Warsh. We also turn to the SpaceX initial public offering and the broader state of financial markets. Investor enthusiasm for high growth companies remains intense, even as SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI continue to generate substantial losses. The willingness of investors to assign extraordinary valuations to unprofitable businesses evokes uncomfortable comparisons with the technology boom of the late 1990s.

Paisley Nardini and Mike Dickson preview the upcoming FOMC meeting, focusing on a potential shift in Fed communication strategy under new leadership. They discuss Middle East tensions, stubborn inflation, and a resilient labor market. The conversation also explores AI's short-term inflationary impact, longer-term disinflation potential, and how productivity gains could support a structurally higher rate environment.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to the next FOMC decision, along with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead. In the UK – a look ahead to a high stakes UK election and Bank of England decision. In Asia – a look ahead to a monetary policy decision from the Bank of Japan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Markets ended the week balancing persistent inflation data, evolving Fed expectations, and shifting equity leadership. CPI and PPI both surprised to the upside, reinforcing the view that inflation remains sticky and likely keeps the Fed in a restrictive stance ahead of Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting as chair. While geopolitical tensions in the Middle East added volatility early in the week, markets recovered on signs of potential de-escalation. In equities, leadership broadened beyond mega caps, with equal weight indices gaining strength as investors reassess concentration risk. With rates expected to stay higher for longer, disciplined positioning and diversification remain key in navigating the current environment. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 02:05 — CPI and PPI show persistent inflation pressures04:00 — Fed outlook ahead of Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting06:30 — Geopolitics and market reaction to Middle East tensions10:00 — Bond market implications and higher for longer rate expectations15:15 — Equity market breadth improves as SpaceX IPO draws attention Additional ResourcesNational Call Replay: 2026 Mid-Year CIO UpdateRead Now: Corporate Transparency Act — Where Are We Now (2026)? Key QuestionsWeekly Investment BriefSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterFollow us on LinkedIn

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to the next FOMC decision, along with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead. In the UK – a look ahead to a high stakes UK election and Bank of England decision. In Asia – a look ahead to a monetary policy decision from the Bank of Japan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to the next FOMC decision, along with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead. In the UK – a look ahead to a high stakes UK election and Bank of England decision. In Asia – a look ahead to a monetary policy decision from the Bank of Japan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

你會怕嗎？最近台股美股波動超級大，你FOMO了嗎？ 護國神山台積電為什麼無懼三星電子英特爾馬斯克TeraFab追趕？股東會上魏哲家金句連發，關鍵財富密碼是什麼？ 美國聯準會是否升息將決定全球資金走勢，通膨要失控了嗎？ Emmy本集完全詳解新金融上帝Kevin Warsh！ 含金量

Craig Hemke of TF Metals Report returns to Mining Stock Daily for a candid discussion on the recent selloff in precious metals, rising market volatility, and the macro forces driving investor sentiment. The conversation explores the growing influence of real interest rates, inflation concerns, central bank gold buying, and the challenges facing the Federal Reserve as new leadership prepares for its first major policy decision. Craig also shares his outlook on gold, mining equities, government debt, geopolitical tensions, and why he believes the long-term case for precious metals remains firmly intact despite today's uncertainty.

Investors today are navigating a set of complex macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market forces. Whatever the market conditions, Guggenheim Investments leans in to structured credit as an important allocation in most of our fixed-income strategies. In Part 2 of this episode, Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, joins Macro Markets to discuss where we are finding value and risk in today's market.Related Content:Corporate Credit QuarterlySolid corporate fundamentals continue to anchor our constructive view on credit.Read Now Macro Markets: Portfolio Strategy as Oil Stays Elevated and ‘Regime Change' Comes to the FedInsights on the FOMC decision, inflation, and the possible path of oil prices.Listen Now The Advantage of Investing in Real Assets and Infrastructure The dynamic landscape of infrastructure investing offers diverse opportunities across sectors and the risk-return spectrum.Read ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.SP XXXXX

Investors today are navigating a set of complex macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market forces. Whatever the market conditions, Guggenheim Investments leans in to structured credit as an important allocation in most of our fixed-income strategies. In Part 1 of this episode, Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, joins Macro Markets to discuss the fundamental appeal of the sector and its relative and absolute value.Related Content:Corporate Credit QuarterlySolid corporate fundamentals continue to anchor our constructive view on credit.Read Now Macro Markets: Portfolio Strategy as Oil Stays Elevated and ‘Regime Change' Comes to the FedInsights on the FOMC decision, inflation, and the possible path of oil prices.Listen Now The Advantage of Investing in Real Assets and Infrastructure The dynamic landscape of infrastructure investing offers diverse opportunities across sectors and the risk-return spectrum.Read ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.RO 5564384

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In this episode of Money Moves, we unpack a volatile week in the markets driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and rising oil prices. With the OECD slashing its global growth forecast due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz , inflation and upcoming CPI data remain the primary catalysts for stock market movement. We explore the probability of a market correction versus continued runway, analyzing how the AI boom and the upcoming SpaceX IPO are impacting tech sector rotations. The crypto market is also facing serious headwinds, testing critical support levels as Bitcoin dips below $60,000. We discuss the fallout of Michael Saylor's unexpected decision to sell Bitcoin, the long-term threat of quantum computing to the network, and why active development on blockchains like Ethereum and Solana might offer better long-term potential. Plus, we cover the upcoming FOMC meeting and debate whether the new Fed Chair will pause or cut interest rates.Connect & Take Action:Wealth Intelligence Brief: Text "WIB" to 844-447-1555 to get Matty's free macro data, real estate intel, and crypto signals delivered to your inbox 3 times a week.Imagos Income Fund: Text "INCOME" or "DEALS" to 844-447-1555 to learn more about Matty A's private debt fund targeting 10% fixed returns paid out monthly.

Please join Sphia Salim in discussion with our US economists, rates and FX strategists to review the US payroll report. The US labor market remains central to the outlook for US monetary policy, especially ahead of the first FOMC meeting under the new Chair, and therefore also a key driver for US rates and the dollar.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting your everyday financial life.   "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2026 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.

Je me suis levé à 3h30 ce matin. Pas par choix. Par nécessité. Parce que vendredi dernier, le Nasdaq a enregistré sa plus grosse chute en points de toute son histoire. Pas à cause d'une catastrophe économique. À cause d'une excellente nouvelle sur l'emploi. En 2026, trop de bonnes nouvelles = hausse des taux = tout le monde vend. Et cette nuit, pendant que vous dormiez, Israël a frappé Beyrouth. L'Iran a répliqué avec 10 missiles. Israël a contre-attaqué en Iran. L'aéroport de Téhéran a fermé. Trump a appelé Netanyahu pour le calmer. Netanyahu a quand même ordonné les frappes. Et les futures S&P sont remontés sur une seule phrase de Trump. C'est ça, les marchés en juin 2026. Dans cette vidéo, on démonte tout : ✅ Pourquoi une bonne nouvelle économique a coulé le Nasdaq ✅ Le circuit breaker coréen — et l'anecdote Jensen Huang / barbecue à Séoul ✅ Cent jours de guerre, 843 annonces de deal imminent, et toujours rien ✅ Les stocks pétroliers américains et le "tank bottom" de Cushing ✅ Kevin Warsh, son premier FOMC et la thèse qui risque de lui exploser à la figure ✅ SpaceX à 1'800 milliards — et pourquoi le timing est catastrophique ✅ Ce que tout ça dit sur les 6 prochains mois

Macro, marchés, mindset. Ton point quotidien sur les marchés financiers en moins de dix minutes, pour comprendre ce qui bouge vraiment et garder la bonne posture.Au programme ce lundi : la pire séance de l'année à Wall Street, avec près de 1000 milliards de dollars effacés sur les semi-conducteurs après une publication Broadcom pourtant record. On décortique le piège du marché valorisé pour la perfection, le rapport sur l'emploi américain qui a doublé les attentes et fait bondir le rendement du 10 ans vers 4,54%, le scénario "good news is bad news", le repli du pétrole sur fond de détente iranienne fragile, et l'agenda explosif de la semaine : CPI et Oracle mercredi, premier FOMC de Kevin Warsh les 16 et 17 juin.

Steve Sosnick on the ratchet effect in equities, the AI bandwidth parallel, Kevin Warsh's impossible first week, and why crypto is the unsexy trade right now. --- Thank you to our sponsor! Coinbase: Get 20% off the first year of your Coinbase One annual plan at coinbase.com/unchained. Heads up! If you haven't yet, be sure to subscribe to Bits + Bips, since the show will migrate there in a few weeks. Follow us on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Apple Podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Unchained⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and wherever you get your podcasts. ---- Equities are near all-time highs, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge just hit a multi-year peak, Iran ceasefire talks are producing a familiar ratchet effect in markets, and Bitcoin is quietly underperforming tech stocks on a nine-month volatility low. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, joins Steve Ehrlich to map what's actually driving these unique market dynamics. They cover the two vulnerabilities that could change things, the uncomfortable parallel between today's AI capex and the 1999 bandwidth buildout, what $120 billion in money market inflows says about where retail cash is actually sitting, the challenge Kevin Warsh faces walking into an already-skeptical FOMC, and why crypto is currently losing the competition for momentum-chasing money to AI stocks, upcoming IPOs, and even a memory chip ETF. Host: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Steve Ehrlich, Head of Research at SharpLink and Host of Bits + Bips: The Interview Guest: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Steve Sosnick — Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Brought to you by Progressive EquityEpisode sponsor Finance TalkingDid the AI Look-Through Trade Just Crack?Broadcom beat consensus but dropped 13% on after-hours trading. CrowdStrike fell 10%. The Kospi crashed 7% intraday on Friday. The bar for AI stocks has moved beyond the trajectory — and the marginal buyer is starting to notice.Jeremy walks through six interconnected stories shaping the next phase of markets:— Why Broadcom's "miss" of less than 0.4% triggered a global tech selloff, even good numbers are no longer enough— Hezbollah's rejection of the US-brokered Lebanon ceasefire and what the Hormuz dark-tanker dynamic means for sustained $100+ oil— The Fed's openly hawkish pivot from Daly and Schmid ahead of Kevin Warsh's first FOMC on June 16-17— The 1997-echo currency stress across Korea, Indonesia, the Philippines, India and Japan — and why China is emerging as the regional safe haven— SpaceX's $1.75 trillion IPO on June 12, S&P Dow Jones refusing to bend index rules, and what the inelastic markets hypothesis means for the AI-IPO supercycle— Why private credit underwriting standards are tightening and what that signals about late-cycle leverageJeremy closes with four themes for the coming weeks: the AI guidance trajectory, the Fed pivot, the structural energy regime, and the IPO supply event. Position for volatility. Reduce concentration in mega-cap tech. Watch the dollar against the yen and the rupee. Don't fall for the diplomatic theatre.Catalyst calendar: ECB rate decision (June 11) | SpaceX IPO debut (June 12) | FOMC + BoJ meetings (June 16-17) | Makerfield by-election (June 18) | US core PCE (June 25)Mentioned in this episode: Broadcom, CrowdStrike, Nvidia, SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI, Cliffwater, Partners Group, Blackstone | Mary Daly, Jeff Schmid, Isabel Schnabel, Kevin Warsh | The inelastic markets hypothesis (Gabaix & Koijen), Rob Arnott & Lillian Wu on passive distortionFind Jeremy at: HyperNormalTimes on SubstackThis podcast explores stocks, markets, and capital, examines the role of gold in finance, unpacks tax policy and economics, discusses pathways to financial freedom and retirement, explains how interest rates affect investing, features insights from financial advisers, analyzes inflation, recession, and market volatility, covers the actions of central banks, evaluates different assets, addresses inheritance planning, reviews portfolio construction with bonds and an isa, assesses long-term returns and allocation strategies, explores macro trends, and helps listeners understand risk and pensions.

Are we moving towards Fed rate hikes? Even before the release of a strong May US employment report, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing joined The Weekly Briefing to explain why shifting dynamics on the FOMC mean the Federal Reserve could emerge from the summer weighing the need for tighter policy to contain inflation.Plus, after another extraordinary surge in AI stocks, Chief Economic Adviser for Financial Markets John Higgins discusses how much further the rally could run, whether current earnings growth is sustainable and what could ultimately burst the stock market bubble.Related contentBar to Fed hikes appears relatively lowCapital Economics events

AMD最新Helios AI平台，一個專為進階AI工作設計的超級系統！專為訓練兆級參數的AI模型而生，不僅提供最大頻寬，還兼顧能源效率。開放的ROCm軟體，部署更簡單，為您帶來可擴充且創新的AI解決方案。 https://fstry.pse.is/95rpp7 點選連結到AMD 官網了解更多 —— 以上為 Firstory Podcast 廣告 —— 【98有聲書房】開張，訂閱收藏News98精選有聲書：https://apple.co/44KcuRo主持人：阮慕驊主題：金融市場等著看華許上任後的首次FOMC會議節目時間：週二 4:20pm本集播出日期：2026.06.02

It's still all about tech, says Kevin Green when turning to the stock market's action. He talks about Nvidia's (NVDA) planned AI infrastructure expansion and RTX Spark causing shares to rally ahead of Monday's opening bell. However, KG points to hedging activity ramping up as technical indicators highlight an overbought market. He also talks about comments Fed governor Jerome Powell made over the weekend regarding the FOMC's independence. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Steve Sosnick on the ratchet effect in equities, the AI bandwidth parallel, Kevin Warsh's impossible first week, and why crypto is the unsexy trade right now. --- Thank you to our sponsor! Coinbase: Get 20% off the first year of your Coinbase One annual plan at coinbase.com/unchained. Heads up! If you haven't yet, be sure to subscribe to Bits + Bips, since the show will migrate there in a few weeks. Follow us on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Apple Podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Unchained⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and wherever you get your podcasts. ---- Equities are near all-time highs, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge just hit a multi-year peak, Iran ceasefire talks are producing a familiar ratchet effect in markets, and Bitcoin is quietly underperforming tech stocks on a nine-month volatility low. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, joins Steve Ehrlich to map what's actually driving these unique market dynamics. They cover the two vulnerabilities that could change things, the uncomfortable parallel between today's AI capex and the 1999 bandwidth buildout, what $120 billion in money market inflows says about where retail cash is actually sitting, the challenge Kevin Warsh faces walking into an already-skeptical FOMC, and why crypto is currently losing the competition for momentum-chasing money to AI stocks, upcoming IPOs, and even a memory chip ETF. Host: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Steve Ehrlich, Head of Research at SharpLink and Host of Bits + Bips: The Interview - https://x.com/Steven_Ehrlich Guest: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Steve Sosnick — Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

More than any single institution, the US Federal Reserve drives global financial markets with its decisions and communications. While its interest rates are set by the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), for almost a century, the Fed's underlying philosophy and operations approach have been moulded by one person: the Chair of the Board of Governors. Over The Chair's eight episodes, Tim Jones talked to authors of books about the Fed's most consequential chiefs – Marriner Eccles, Bill Martin, Arthur Burns, Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell. The Powell podcast was meant to be the last. But, after Kevin Warsh took over from Powell on 22 May 2026 and started preparing for his first FOMC meeting as chairman in mid-June, a ninth episode became irresistible. Who is this Republican hawk-turned-dove? As one policymaker among 12, has he over-promised to a volatile president? To discuss Warsh, Tim is joined by three "Fed watchers" – Claire Jones, Michael Redmond and Catarina Saraiva. Claire, who used to “watch” the European Central Bank for the Financial Times, is now the FT's US economics editor and has transferred her monitoring skills to the Fed. Catarina is a 17-year veteran at Bloomberg News, reporting exclusively on the Fed and US economics since 2019. Michael has been Medley Advisors' Fed analyst since 2022, having worked as an economist at the US Treasury and the Kansas City Fed. "I think [Warsh] has upset a lot of people with the criticisms that he's had of the Fed," says Claire Jones. "I think there's just this sense where people are worried because they're thinking: 'What did you have to say in order to get this job? What have you promised to the administration in order to get this job?' So, there's those issues of trust ... However, he is very charming; he's been at the Fed before; he knows how the game is played. So, I don't think that's necessarily entirely insurmountable". Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

More than any single institution, the US Federal Reserve drives global financial markets with its decisions and communications. While its interest rates are set by the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), for almost a century, the Fed's underlying philosophy and operations approach have been moulded by one person: the Chair of the Board of Governors. Over The Chair's eight episodes, Tim Jones talked to authors of books about the Fed's most consequential chiefs – Marriner Eccles, Bill Martin, Arthur Burns, Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell. The Powell podcast was meant to be the last. But, after Kevin Warsh took over from Powell on 22 May 2026 and started preparing for his first FOMC meeting as chairman in mid-June, a ninth episode became irresistible. Who is this Republican hawk-turned-dove? As one policymaker among 12, has he over-promised to a volatile president? To discuss Warsh, Tim is joined by three "Fed watchers" – Claire Jones, Michael Redmond and Catarina Saraiva. Claire, who used to “watch” the European Central Bank for the Financial Times, is now the FT's US economics editor and has transferred her monitoring skills to the Fed. Catarina is a 17-year veteran at Bloomberg News, reporting exclusively on the Fed and US economics since 2019. Michael has been Medley Advisors' Fed analyst since 2022, having worked as an economist at the US Treasury and the Kansas City Fed. "I think [Warsh] has upset a lot of people with the criticisms that he's had of the Fed," says Claire Jones. "I think there's just this sense where people are worried because they're thinking: 'What did you have to say in order to get this job? What have you promised to the administration in order to get this job?' So, there's those issues of trust ... However, he is very charming; he's been at the Fed before; he knows how the game is played. So, I don't think that's necessarily entirely insurmountable". Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics

More than any single institution, the US Federal Reserve drives global financial markets with its decisions and communications. While its interest rates are set by the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), for almost a century, the Fed's underlying philosophy and operations approach have been moulded by one person: the Chair of the Board of Governors. Over The Chair's eight episodes, Tim Jones talked to authors of books about the Fed's most consequential chiefs – Marriner Eccles, Bill Martin, Arthur Burns, Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell. The Powell podcast was meant to be the last. But, after Kevin Warsh took over from Powell on 22 May 2026 and started preparing for his first FOMC meeting as chairman in mid-June, a ninth episode became irresistible. Who is this Republican hawk-turned-dove? As one policymaker among 12, has he over-promised to a volatile president? To discuss Warsh, Tim is joined by three "Fed watchers" – Claire Jones, Michael Redmond and Catarina Saraiva. Claire, who used to “watch” the European Central Bank for the Financial Times, is now the FT's US economics editor and has transferred her monitoring skills to the Fed. Catarina is a 17-year veteran at Bloomberg News, reporting exclusively on the Fed and US economics since 2019. Michael has been Medley Advisors' Fed analyst since 2022, having worked as an economist at the US Treasury and the Kansas City Fed. "I think [Warsh] has upset a lot of people with the criticisms that he's had of the Fed," says Claire Jones. "I think there's just this sense where people are worried because they're thinking: 'What did you have to say in order to get this job? What have you promised to the administration in order to get this job?' So, there's those issues of trust ... However, he is very charming; he's been at the Fed before; he knows how the game is played. So, I don't think that's necessarily entirely insurmountable". Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

More than any single institution, the US Federal Reserve drives global financial markets with its decisions and communications. While its interest rates are set by the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), for almost a century, the Fed's underlying philosophy and operations approach have been moulded by one person: the Chair of the Board of Governors. Over The Chair's eight episodes, Tim Jones talked to authors of books about the Fed's most consequential chiefs – Marriner Eccles, Bill Martin, Arthur Burns, Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell. The Powell podcast was meant to be the last. But, after Kevin Warsh took over from Powell on 22 May 2026 and started preparing for his first FOMC meeting as chairman in mid-June, a ninth episode became irresistible. Who is this Republican hawk-turned-dove? As one policymaker among 12, has he over-promised to a volatile president? To discuss Warsh, Tim is joined by three "Fed watchers" – Claire Jones, Michael Redmond and Catarina Saraiva. Claire, who used to “watch” the European Central Bank for the Financial Times, is now the FT's US economics editor and has transferred her monitoring skills to the Fed. Catarina is a 17-year veteran at Bloomberg News, reporting exclusively on the Fed and US economics since 2019. Michael has been Medley Advisors' Fed analyst since 2022, having worked as an economist at the US Treasury and the Kansas City Fed. "I think [Warsh] has upset a lot of people with the criticisms that he's had of the Fed," says Claire Jones. "I think there's just this sense where people are worried because they're thinking: 'What did you have to say in order to get this job? What have you promised to the administration in order to get this job?' So, there's those issues of trust ... However, he is very charming; he's been at the Fed before; he knows how the game is played. So, I don't think that's necessarily entirely insurmountable". Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

More than any single institution, the US Federal Reserve drives global financial markets with its decisions and communications. While its interest rates are set by the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), for almost a century, the Fed's underlying philosophy and operations approach have been moulded by one person: the Chair of the Board of Governors. Over The Chair's eight episodes, Tim Jones talked to authors of books about the Fed's most consequential chiefs – Marriner Eccles, Bill Martin, Arthur Burns, Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell. The Powell podcast was meant to be the last. But, after Kevin Warsh took over from Powell on 22 May 2026 and started preparing for his first FOMC meeting as chairman in mid-June, a ninth episode became irresistible. Who is this Republican hawk-turned-dove? As one policymaker among 12, has he over-promised to a volatile president? To discuss Warsh, Tim is joined by three "Fed watchers" – Claire Jones, Michael Redmond and Catarina Saraiva. Claire, who used to “watch” the European Central Bank for the Financial Times, is now the FT's US economics editor and has transferred her monitoring skills to the Fed. Catarina is a 17-year veteran at Bloomberg News, reporting exclusively on the Fed and US economics since 2019. Michael has been Medley Advisors' Fed analyst since 2022, having worked as an economist at the US Treasury and the Kansas City Fed. "I think [Warsh] has upset a lot of people with the criticisms that he's had of the Fed," says Claire Jones. "I think there's just this sense where people are worried because they're thinking: 'What did you have to say in order to get this job? What have you promised to the administration in order to get this job?' So, there's those issues of trust ... However, he is very charming; he's been at the Fed before; he knows how the game is played. So, I don't think that's necessarily entirely insurmountable". Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/finance

Markets are navigating a complex mix of persistent inflation, steady growth, and evolving Fed leadership. Recent data shows elevated PCE inflation alongside a modest GDP revision, keeping policy expectations fluid. While rate cuts appear unlikely in the near term, the possibility of tighter policy remains on the table. Equity markets continue to reach new highs, though leadership has narrowed, raising questions about sustainability. Meanwhile, geopolitical developments and energy prices remain key inputs for investors assessing risk, positioning, and the durability of the current market backdrop. Continue the conversation at our upcoming Key Wealth National Call: 2026 Mid-Year CIO Update on June 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:40 — Memorial Day recap and market setup for the week03:05 — FOMC minutes and shift away from easing bias05:00 — PCE inflation and GDP revision overview09:30 — Fed outlook and rate path uncertainties14:30 — Narrow equity leadership and market concentration risks Additional ResourcesRegister Now: Key Wealth National Call: 2026 Mid-Year CIO UpdateRead: The ABCs of 529 Plans Key QuestionsWeekly Investment BriefSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterFollow us on LinkedIn

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem says he thought the easing bias was no longer consistent with the balance of economic risks at the FOMC's last meeting. He speaks with Bloomberg's Stephanie Flanders at a central banking conference in Iceland.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Real Vision's Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno Larsen break down the latest market reaction to reports of a possible Strait of Hormuz deal, what it could mean for oil and inflation, and why the next phase of the market may depend on whether Middle East tensions truly de-escalate. They also explore a surprising inflation driver in hardware and semiconductors, explain why consumer spending is holding up better than many expect, and share the sectors they're watching next.

Kevin Warsh will set a new tone for how the Fed will tackle interest rates moving forward, says Kevin Hincks. He believes the new Fed Chair will be instrumental to a "new chapter" at the FOMC. Turning to commodities, Kevin expects crude oil futures to drop significantly once the Strait of Hormuz opens, making the argument that "the world is lush with crude oil." Kevin Warsh will set a new tone for how the Fed will tackle interest rates moving forward, says Kevin Hincks. He believes the new Fed Chair will be instrumental to a "new chapter" at the FOMC. Turning to commodities, Kevin expects crude oil futures to drop significantly once the Strait of Hormuz opens, making the argument that "the world is lush with crude oil."

Christopher Della Fave believes markets are taking a wait and see approach when it comes to the Fed and interest rates. He sees the bond market as the key indicator to the direction the FOMC will take. Christopher adds that there needs to be a "distinct division" between the Fed and Washington with an emphasis on independence. Christopher Della Fave believes markets are taking a wait and see approach when it comes to the Fed and interest rates. He sees the bond market as the key indicator to the direction the FOMC will take. Christopher adds that there needs to be a "distinct division" between the Fed and Washington with an emphasis on independence.

＜ヘッドライン＞イラン、米国との戦闘終結の交渉で強気の姿勢崩さず　要求拒み原油高を急所と見定めトランプ大統領追い込む狙い　トランプ大統領「最終段階に入っている」「合意するか、そうでなければ少し厄介な手段に出る」／米ホワイトハウス、米中首脳会談で「中国側が米国の航空機や農産品の購入を増やすことを約束した」　海外メディア「勝者は習国家主席だ」／習近平・中国国家主席とプーチン・ロシア大統領「覇権主義やいかなる形態の強圧的な政策も容認できない」　北京で会談、関税政策やイランとの軍事衝突続ける米トランプ政権を批判　エネルギー・貿易など40件の協力で合意／ロシアとウクライナ、ドローンによる双方の首都へ大規模攻撃の応酬　ウクライナ、長期戦見据えロシアの継戦能力引き下げる狙い　ゼレンスキー大統領「ウクライナの長距離攻撃の能力は戦況を大きく変えつつある」／仏パリG7財務相・中銀総裁会議「サイバーリスクが進化を続け世界金融システムの強靱性を脅かしている」「共同対応能力強化と金融部門の備えの向上に取り組む」　高性能新型AIへの対応について米アンソロピック「Claude Mythos」念頭／4月28〜29日開催の米FOMC議事要旨「中東情勢の混迷でインフレ率が目標の2%を上回り続ければ『金融政策の引き締めが適切になる可能性が高い』との意見が多数占める」／植田日銀総裁「中東情勢を背景にインフレ懸念の高まりが世界的に長期金利の上昇をもたらしている」　パリG7財務相・中銀総裁会議後の記者会見で足元の長期金利について／米グーグル「検索・メール送信・予約といったネット上の活動をAIが常時代替できる機能を導入」　法人向けで導入進む「AIエージェント」サービスを個人にも提供、利用者30億人超のサービスを複数持つ事業基盤活かす ＜ポイント＞　（１） 習近平に翻弄されイランに足元見られるトランプの次の一手（２） 今週のマーケット（３） Claude Mythosに身構える世界をこう見る ＜ここ／これを見てきた＞Meta AIグラス

Who is the real Kevin Warsh? Having been sworn in as the Fed's 17th chair, the Warsh era at the FOMC has begun. But with inflation proving sticky and Fed independence under the microscope, how will he balance the committee's dual mandate? What might he do differently than his predecessor, Jerome Powell? And how will he handle President Trump? On this episode of Making Sense, Alexa Hanelin talks to Michael Feroli, J.P. Morgan's chief U.S. Economist, to forecast the path of the Fed and examine what may be in store at the June FOMC meeting and beyond. This episode was recorded on May 22, 2026.  This communication is provided for information purposes only. Please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively, J.P. Morgan) normally make a market and trade as principal in securities, other financial products and other asset classes that may be discussed in this communication. This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan. © 2026, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved.

US President Trump said negotiations with Iran were in the “final stages” and warned that the US military could have to get “a little bit nasty” if no agreement is reached, according to the New York Post.There had reportedly been progress in attempts to formulate a memorandum of understanding and guiding principles between the US and Iran, although significant gaps remained, according to Amichai Stein.FOMC minutes showed many policymakers would have preferred to remove the easing bias from the policy statement, while a majority said further tightening would likely become appropriate if inflation remained persistently above target.NVIDIA shares edged lower (-1.3%) in extended trading, despite beating expectations and giving upbeat guidance, amid lofty investor expectations.APAC stocks mostly rallied as the region took impetus from the gains in the US; European equity futures indicate a flat/slightly positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P PMIs Flash (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (May/16), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (May), and Banxico Minutes (May). Speakers include BoE's Bailey & Taylor, ECB's Elderson, Fed's Barkin. Supply from Spain, France & UK, Earnings from Walmart & Deere.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Tehran is studying the American text and has not yet submitted its response, Al Arabiya reported citing sources."Pakistan's mediation efforts between US and Iran are at a crucial stage where efforts are underway to secure an agreement or a framework for comprehensive talks which can eventually lead to a ‘deal',"** according to journalist Mallick.European bourses are broadly higher despite disappointing PMIs; US equity futures are flat after NVDA sales guidance disappointed. DXY weighs hawkish FOMC and geopolitics; AUD lags post-jobs data. USTs are a little lower whilst Bunds digest Flash PMIs, which fuel stagflation woes.Crude wanes off highs amid further reports of diplomatic effects; Brent Jul -0.7%. Looking ahead, highlights include US S&P PMIs Flash (May), Initial Jobless Claims (May/16), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (May), Banxico Minutes (May). Speakers include BoE's Bailey & Taylor, ECB's Elderson, Fed's Barkin, Goolsbee. Earnings from Walmart & Deere.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Rising Treasury yields, war-driven inflation concerns and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve are reshaping the fixed-income outlook. George Catrambone, head of fixed income for the Americas at DWS Group, joins Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interest-rate strategist, on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast. Catrambone discusses why the move higher in long-end Treasury yields has been driven more by oil, inflation expectations and fiscal concerns than by growth, and why he sees the most compelling opportunity in owning the front end of the curve. The two examine Kevin Warsh's arrival as Fed chair, how the balance of hawks and doves on the FOMC could shape the path for rate cuts and whether changes to the Fed's communication framework -- including the future of the dot plot -- are likely. They also discuss how higher deficits, rising debt-service costs and growing bill supply could pressure Treasury issuance and long-dated yields.

In Episode 188 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, welcome new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh the only way they know how: with data, context, and zero sugarcoating.When Jerome Powell took over in February 2018, the Dow dropped 4.6% on his first day, the worst debut of any Fed chair in modern memory. This time, it's not the equity market doing the hazing. It's the bond market. The 30-year Treasury yield sits above 5% for the first time since 2007, and Japan's yields just hit levels not seen since the 1990s. Ryan and Sonu explain why the dynamics that once pushed foreign money into Treasuries are quietly reversing and what that means for U.S. investors.From there, Sonu walks through industrial production data that almost nobody is talking about. Manufacturing is running at nearly 5% annualized. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms. This is hard data, not a survey, and it runs directly counter to the narrative that the economy is softening.Then comes earnings. With 91% of S&P 500 companies reported, earnings growth is running at 27% against expectations of 13%. Communication services, expected to be down nearly 4%, came in up roughly 40%. The consumer is holding up, too, with retail sales running at 13% annualized and 95.2% of all household debt paid on time per the New York Fed.The episode closes with a look at what to watch: NVIDIA earnings, FOMC minutes, and a bond market both hosts are keeping a very close eye on.Key Takeaways:The bond market is testing Kevin Warsh the same way equity markets tested every Fed chair before him, and the dynamics driving yields higher are not going away quickly.AI is showing up in the hard data, not just stock prices. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms.S&P 500 growth came in at 27% against a 13% estimate during earnings season. Communication services swung from an expected decline of nearly 4% to a gain of roughly 40%.The two-year Treasury yield above the Fed funds rate signals the market believes the Fed is behind the curve. Rate cut calls from the sell side are, in Sonu's words, a John McEnroe moment.The S&P 500 is up seven consecutive weeks, gaining over 16% during that stretch. One year after prior streaks of this magnitude, the market has never been lower and is up 16% on average.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and Who's Running the Fed?6:10 — Bonds Are Testing the New Fed Chair13:05 — Manufacturing Heats Up and AI Shows Up in Hard Data21:40 — Japan Sparks a Global Yield Reprice34:55 — Portfolio Moves on Duration and Cash43:55 — Earnings and AI Spending49:20 — Consumer Strength, Retail Sales, and Final ThoughtsConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Iran-Pakistan cooperation has reportedly declined over the past two weeks, with a diplomatic source saying that Iran and Pakistan held conflicting positions on negotiation channels and the venue for talks.The EU has finalised the text of its US trade deal, as the bloc races to meet US President Trump's July 4th deadline.European bourses softer, chip names firmer ahead of NVDA earnings.Lacklustre trade across G10s with the DXY slightly firmer ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Fixed benchmarks find some reprieve as energy prices pull back, Gilts outperform following cooler-than-expected CPI.Crude futures on a softer footing, precious metals hold steady following Tuesday's selloff. Looking ahead, highlights include New Zealand Trade Balance (Apr), FOMC Minutes (Apr). Speakers include Fed's Barr, BoE's Bailey, Breeden, Dhingra & Mann. Supply from the US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Target & Intuit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

From the internal debates revealed in the latest FOMC minutes to massive structural layoffs at tech giants like Meta, the cracks in the global financial architecture are widening. We unpack how tightening Western financial conditions intersect with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to reshape international trade and corporate resilience. Discover the strategic implications of these overlapping economic shocks and how global leaders are adjusting to a new era of high interest rates and fractured international markets.

This week on the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric O'Rourke breaks down the current SPX market pullback, key support levels, upcoming FOMC minutes, and why Nvidia earnings could be a major catalyst for the broader market and AI trade.Eric also shares how the recent uptrend has continued to favor SPX put credit spreads, how the Alpha Crunching 7-day strategy has been performing, and what traders should be watching heading into the summer market environment.Topics include:SPX support and resistance levelsNvidia earnings and AI stock momentumFOMC minutes and interest rate expectationsZero gamma and put wall discussionTrading SPX put credit spreads in an uptrendManaging profits and pullbacksCurrent market sentiment and positioning

Futures bounced off lows after Iran said the U.S. is making traction toward peace talks. Kevin Hincks says it's a welcoming headline in a week light with economic data and dominated heavily by Nvidia (NVDA) earnings anticipation. He also talks about the trepidation new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces with inflation. Kevin believes Warsh will be "transformational" as head of the FOMC. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

What should we expect from the Fed as Kevin Warsh takes over as Chairman this week?Given the inflationary oil price shock from the US-Iran war, are rate cuts now off the table?Are rate *hikes* possible ahead?For answers, we're incredibloy fortunate to welcome back to the program Dr Thomas Hoenig, former CEO of the Kansas City Fed, former voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, a former director of the FDIC, and now a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Mercatus Center.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#dollar #federalreserve #fiatcurrency _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Trump wants to buy Spirit Airlines at bankruptcy with taxpayer money to "save jobs." That's not capitalism — that's Bernie Sanders with a red tie.- Today's podcasts is sponsored by Pebl. Go to http://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.- Today's podcast is also sponsored by NetSuite. Download Netsuite's free business guide, Demystifying AI, at https://netsuite.com/goldJerome Powell's final press conference as Fed Chair featured a claim that inflation was "under control" for 40 years before the pandemic — a statement Peter Schiff demolishes decade by decade, showing average CPI of 5.5% in the 1980s, 3% in the 1990s, and 2.6% in the 2000s, with only the post-crisis 2010s anywhere near the 2% target.The Fed held rates at 3.5% while oil surged past $108 WTI and $120 Brent, bond yields pushed back toward post-Liberation Day highs with the 30-year hitting 5%, and four FOMC members dissented on the dovish bias. Powell announced he'll stay on the board to protect "Fed independence," but Schiff argues he'll be irrelevant. The episode also covers Trump's plan to buy Spirit Airlines at bankruptcy — proof he doesn't understand capitalism — Michael Saylor's Bitcoin conference keynote pushing Stretch preferred stock as a thinly veiled Ponzi, and explosive IRS FOIA documents proving the agency collaborated with Puerto Rico's SIF to shut down Euro Pacific Bank as a PR stunt, with every email focused on publicity strategy rather than any actual wrongdoing.Chapters:00:00 Cold Open Montage00:58 Fed Holds Rates02:47 Powell Stays On05:07 Fed Independence Debate06:17 Inflation Mandate Critique09:38 Reporters And Data11:04 Decades Of CPI Reality15:01 Ad Break Pebble16:43 Powell On His Record20:04 Inflation Fire Economy Weak21:59 Oil Yields And Markets27:18 Gold Silver And EPAM Pitch29:15 Ad Break NetSuite31:05 Trump Spirit Bailout34:10 Bitcoin Conference Reality Check37:21 Saylor Stretch Digital Credit39:44 Ponzi Claims And Warning42:57 Yield Over Bitcoin43:26 IRS FOIA Fight45:58 Explosive Email Evidence47:02 Debanking Timeline49:55 SIF Findings Breakdown57:42 PR Motive Revealed01:06:47 Press Conference Coordination01:16:43 Why This Matters01:20:08 Puerto Rico Potential01:25:12 Final Call To ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #FederalReserve #InflationPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Wednesday marked Jerome Powell's final FOMC meeting as chair of the Federal Reserve. Central bank leaders held rates steady this week, though with the most dissenting votes in over 30 years. Powell also announced his intent to stay on as a Fed governor — the first chair to do so since 1948. In this episode, we recap Powell's tenure as head of the Fed and unpack his latest press conference. Plus: Companies issue more corporate debt, Taco Bell outperforms sales expectations, and AI spawns new cybersecurity headaches.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.