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In this live Forward Guidance Roundup, we discuss geopolitics and the “peace dividend” theory from Pippa Malmgren, potential Fed regime shifts toward fiscal dominance, Trump's pressure on FOMC board members, and the effects of tariffs and buybacks on equities. We also explore the implications of a weakening dollar, capital flows out of the U.S., and how AI and crypto could reshape wealth creation and ownership in the coming decade. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network's bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ — Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:10 Geopolitical Framework 05:00 Biggest Story in Markets 08:22 Flows vs Fundamentals 13:33 Moving Toward Fiscal Dominance 16:39 Housing, Labor, & the Wealth Gap 20:12 The Dollar Decline & RoW Assets 27:15 Investing in the RIght Themes 30:02 Potential Currency Accord 34:31 Tariffs, AI, & Labor — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
The Wall Street Journal reports US President Trump may announce the next Federal Reserve Chair in September or October. The Senate needs to confirm the Chair, and in Trump's first term was prepared to oppose several of Trump's Fed nominees. Only convention prevents the Fed from overruling the Chair—an obvious political appointee may be ignored by the FOMC. The greatest threat to policy independence would be someone who was not an obvious political puppet but was swayed by Trump's instructions.
Continuing jobless claims showed another uptick, and Charles Schwab's Cooper Howard believes the FOMC should see it as a yellow flag. He notes possibility of an adjustment to the rate cutting cycle if that weakness continues. In treasuries, Cooper explains why the municipal bonds remain attractive to investors and other corners of the market you should watch.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The NDX hit a new all-time high Tuesday, and now Kevin Hincks is watching the SPX to see if the benchmark index reaches the same feat. However, valuations getting pricey and stocks coming off a massive rally pose a challenge. On the Fed, Kevin talks about the signs speakers have given that point to future interest rate cuts and offers insight to the latest jobs and inflation data.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
CRE Exchange: Commercial Real Estate, Property Valuations, Real Estate Analytics and Property Tax
We share the key macroeconomic signals and policy decisions affecting commercial real estate as we move into the second half of 2025. From declining retail sales and builder sentiment to insights from the latest FOMC meeting, we explore how economic headwinds are influencing CRE strategy, pricing gaps, and transaction volume. Tune in for analysis on capital access, operational priorities, the evolving definition of real assets, and takeaways from the recent CREFC Annual Conference. Key Moments:01:16 Economic indicators: Retail sales05:02 Economic indicators: Housing data10:26 FOMC meeting highlights14:26 Summary of Economic Projections15:15 Major themes: Higher for longer16:20 Major themes: Price vs. value17:23 Major themes: Operations and cash flow18:38 Major themes: Lumpy transactions20:59 Major themes: Real asset merge24:23 CREFC Annual Conference Insights31:12 Upcoming Episodes and Data Releases Resources Mentioned:Advance retail sales: https://www.census.gov/retail/sales.html NAHB Housing Market Index: https://www.nahb.org/News-and-Economics/Housing-Economics/Indices/Housing-Market-Index FOMC Summary of Economic Projections: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20250618.htm CREFC Annual Conference 2025 – Key takeaways: https://www.altusgroup.com/insights/crefc-annual-conference-2025-key-takeaways/ Email us - altusresearch@altusgroup.comThanks for listening to the “CRE Exchange” podcast, powered by Altus Group. If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a review to help get the word out about the show. And be sure to subscribe so you never miss another insightful conversation.#CRE #CommercialRealEstate #Property
Kevin Green looks at intraday levels within the S&P 500 (SPX) and points to the $6020 level as upside resistance, calling the day overall "decent." He says options activity suggests "cooler heads may prevail" after today's strikes, and adds that FOMC members around a possible July rate cut could also accelerate positive market outlook for investors. In terms of today's volume, he says some of the biggest sectors like technology and consumer discretionary have picked up into the close. KG adds that as long as there's no further escalation or geopolitical concerns, bulls could see further follow through to the upside in the coming days.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
On Monday's Charles Schwab Big Picture panel, Collin Martin reacts to commentary from several Fed officials that suggest a bigger dovish voice may be heard in the FOMC's July meeting. He adds that his perspective hasn't changed saying a September cut is more likely, adding that recent data doesn't appear to be enough to justify a cut in July. Collin looks ahead to Friday's PCE Index, saying a good report would be a "step in the right direction" but cautions investors that tariff risks may not have been fully felt across the economy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week to report on dampened economic projections, forecast two potential rate cuts in the remainder of the year, and reaffirm the wait-and-see approach that has been a hallmark of Fed policy thus far in 2025. Our experts analyze what came out of the meeting, how investors should respond, and what the future may hold. We also break down the key provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act as passed by the U.S. House of Representatives, what comes next in the Senate, and highlight four provisions that may impact you.Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerCynthia Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio ManagementJoe Velkos, National Tax Director, Key Wealth02:12 – The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report showed a 0.9% month-over-month dip in May, and April figures were revised to a 0.1% decline.03:12 – U.S. industrial production fell by 0.2% in May, according to the Federal Reserve. 03:54 – At this week's FOMC meeting, the Fed kept the federal funds rate unchanged at a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%.04:07 – We look at key economic projections, including a lowered GDP growth median, higher inflation projections, and increased unemployment forecasts. 05:03 – The median FOMC forecast sees two 25 basis points cuts in 2025, though there appears to be disagreement among members with some expecting no rate cuts in 2025, while others expect only a single 25 basis points cut this year.06:10 – The markets and analysts weigh in on the probability of rate cuts this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious and confirmed the Fed is positioned to respond as needed, especially considering uncertainty around the impact of upcoming tariffs on inflation.10:45 – A discussion on who might succeed Jerome Powell as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve.12:54 – Uncertainty across several fronts signals a wide range of possible outcomes in international and domestic markets and politics. For investors' portfolios, diversification will be as important as it's ever been.15:14 – Joe Velkos, National Tax Director for Key Wealth, joins us to walk through the “One Big Beautiful Bill” passed by the House of Representatives on May 22.19:07 – The bill faces opposition in the Senate, including among Republicans, making it unlikely that the bill will remain unchanged or that it will be passed before July 4th, as is President Trump's goal.20:18 – We highlight four key provisions of the bill: an increase to the maximum state local tax deduction, an increase to the lifetime gift and estate tax exemption, restoring the bonus depreciation for business owners, and the new proposed elimination of tax on tips and overtime pay. Additional ResourcesWatch the replay of our June 11 National CallKey Questions | Key Private Bank Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment Brief Follow us on LinkedIn
In this KE Report Daily Editorial, we're joined by Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TFMetalsReport.com, for a timely and wide-ranging discussion on the intersection of geopolitics, precious metals, the US dollar, and mining equities. We kick things off with the surprising market reaction to US missile strikes in Iran - including the sharp reversal in oil prices and the perception that escalation may be de-escalating. Craig explains why weekend geopolitical events often produce less market volatility by the time trading resumes, and how this specific event might mirror the short-lived Israel-Iran tensions from late 2024. We then shift focus to the precious metals markets, where: The US Dollar Index hovering at 98 is acting as a pivotal level. A breakdown toward 96 could serve as a tailwind for both gold and silver, with gold already consolidating around $3,400. Craig sees signs of a summer rally for precious metals, especially if the dollar weakens further. Silver backwardation and contract rollovers are creating short-term volatility, particularly with July contracts nearing expiration. A strong monthly and quarterly close for silver could set the stage for a technical breakout. On the mining equities side: Craig notes Newmont (NEM) is up ~50% YTD but still lagging more efficient operators. He expects a positive Q2 earnings season for miners, driven by significantly higher average gold and silver prices. However, not all equities will benefit equally. Craig emphasizes focusing on companies with low all-in sustaining costs, wide margins, and disciplined cost controls. He also sees last week's weakness in GDX as potentially related to NYSE options expiration and short-term oil price fears—not a broader trend reversal. We also preview Fed Chair Powell's congressional testimony and the mixed signals from the FOMC dot plot, as well as the uncertainty created by potential tariff reinstatements under Trump. Follow Craig's work at TFMetalsReport.com
The Fed held rates steady — again — and while that might not sound sexy, it triggered a deep dive into the uncomfortable parallels between today's economy and some of history's most turbulent wartime recessions. Chris and Saied unpack Powell's post-FOMC “dot plot shuffle,” exposing how forward guidance has become a PR game instead of a reliable economic compass. Spoiler: if you think shelter inflation is cooling fast, you're probably still using a 3G data plan.➡️ From Operation Iraqi Freedom to drone-led wars of tomorrow, the guys explore how conflict has become a recession trap — and not the kind that you wan to get stuck in. With unemployment lagging recession signals and AI creeping into defense strategy, the conversation gets heavy, insightful, and just the right amount of unhinged. Plus, if the U.S. government needs a Microsoft BI subscription to speed up their shelter data, Chris offers to cover it himself. That's service.
This week, the Justice brothers are back and diving deep into one of the most important questions facing markets today: What exactly is the Fed so scared of? Following this week's FOMC meeting, Mark and Matt Justice break down Jerome Powell's latest comments, dissect the Fed's cautious tone, and explore whether Powell has earned the nickname “Too Late Powell.” Are they being overly cautious—or are they seeing something the market isn't? In addition to the macro deep dive, the boys bring the heat in “Stock In and Drop It,” breaking down setups and news around major names like Oracle, Nvidia, AMD, and Meta. Expect technicals, fundamentals, and sharp insights on what matters now. And don't miss this week's Coaches Corner, where Matt answers listener questions on oil seasonality and shares perspective on whether this is a day trading or swing trading market environment. Insightful, actionable, and always entertaining—don't miss this episode of the Trading Justice Podcast.
本週市場兩大事件重點分析:聯準會 6 月 FOMC 會議重點、經濟展望、會後記者會,以及以伊戰爭的相關影響。 本集邀請研究副總監 Ryan、研究員 Jason 一起來聊聊:聯準會 FOMC 面對種種不確定性的回答為何?以伊戰爭的關鍵與油市後續發展怎麼看?
If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/It's back. No one wanted it, but it's here. Switzerland is first to revisit this dreaded milestone. Others aren't far behind, including now Sweden. The Swedes are facing exactly the sort of rough circumstances that made the Swiss National Bank take this drastic step. And if you think the Fed's dots have separate the FOMC from all this, look no further than one year ago. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSNB Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.snb.ch/en/publications/communication/press-releases-restricted/pre_20250619_2CNBC International SNB Martin Schlegelhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vY2-lrxsJfMRiksbank Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/press-and-published/notices-and-press-releases/press-releases/2025/policy-rate-is-cut-to-2-per-cent/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist for the NYSE, details the latest trends and developments in global markets. In this week's episode, he discusses Wednesday's FOMC meeting and the impact of the conflict in the Middle East.
The P&M crew talks about Ted Cruz's crusade for war and they take a look at this week's FOMC meeting at the Federal Reserve. For more information and to subscribe, visit https://Mises.org/P&MPod
Its mid-June so it is all about the FOMC. However, there are a lot of cross-currents out there from a fiscal and regulatory standpoint that may have differing effects on Treasury demand. What are we to do? Hard to say because even the FOMC doesn't know what to do! Have a listen and let us know what you think
Mike Sanders dives into fixed income markets after the FOMC left rates unchanged this week. “Not all parts of the [yield] curve are equal,” he says – he prefers medium duration to long duration right now. “You have to be very nimble and active.” He expects two rate cuts, in September and December, but notes that vision is in flux depending on economic data.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
This week, Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz discuss whether the US should join Israel's war on Iran, the tragic Minnesota assassinations and why US political violence is surging now, and the Supreme Court's unsurprising but willfully obtuse decision to uphold Tennessee's youth transgender care ban. Here are this week's chatters: Emily: A Family Matter by Claire Lynch; The Fall of Affirmative Action: Race, the Supreme Court, and the Future of Higher Education by Justin Driver; A Flower Traveled in My Blood: The Incredible True Story of the Grandmothers Who Fought to Find a Stolen Generation of Children by Haley Cohen Gilliland. John: Mary Cunningham for CBS News: Federal Reserve holds its benchmark interest rate steady at today's FOMC meeting; ABA Banking Journal: Fed's Powell says some areas of U.S. may be ‘uninsurable' in next decade David: Trip Gabriel for the New York Times: William Langewiesche, the ‘Steve McQueen of Journalism,' Dies at 70 Listener chatter from Jacob Podell in Chicago, Illinois: Juliana Kim for NPR: Family shows AI video of slain victim as an impact statement – possibly a legal first For this week's Slate Plus bonus episode, Emily, John, and David discuss the exciting possibilities and likely limitations of using AI tools for historical research and writing. In the latest Gabfest Reads, Emily talks with author Susan Dominus about her new book, The Family Dynamic: A Journey into the Mystery of Sibling Success. Email your chatters, questions, and comments to gabfest@slate.com. (Messages may be referenced by name unless the writer stipulates otherwise.) Research by Emily Ditto Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week, Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz discuss whether the US should join Israel's war on Iran, the tragic Minnesota assassinations and why US political violence is surging now, and the Supreme Court's unsurprising but willfully obtuse decision to uphold Tennessee's youth transgender care ban. Here are this week's chatters: Emily: A Family Matter by Claire Lynch; The Fall of Affirmative Action: Race, the Supreme Court, and the Future of Higher Education by Justin Driver; A Flower Traveled in My Blood: The Incredible True Story of the Grandmothers Who Fought to Find a Stolen Generation of Children by Haley Cohen Gilliland. John: Mary Cunningham for CBS News: Federal Reserve holds its benchmark interest rate steady at today's FOMC meeting; ABA Banking Journal: Fed's Powell says some areas of U.S. may be ‘uninsurable' in next decade David: Trip Gabriel for the New York Times: William Langewiesche, the ‘Steve McQueen of Journalism,' Dies at 70 Listener chatter from Jacob Podell in Chicago, Illinois: Juliana Kim for NPR: Family shows AI video of slain victim as an impact statement – possibly a legal first For this week's Slate Plus bonus episode, Emily, John, and David discuss the exciting possibilities and likely limitations of using AI tools for historical research and writing. In the latest Gabfest Reads, Emily talks with author Susan Dominus about her new book, The Family Dynamic: A Journey into the Mystery of Sibling Success. Email your chatters, questions, and comments to gabfest@slate.com. (Messages may be referenced by name unless the writer stipulates otherwise.) Research by Emily Ditto Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week, Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz discuss whether the US should join Israel's war on Iran, the tragic Minnesota assassinations and why US political violence is surging now, and the Supreme Court's unsurprising but willfully obtuse decision to uphold Tennessee's youth transgender care ban. Here are this week's chatters: Emily: A Family Matter by Claire Lynch; The Fall of Affirmative Action: Race, the Supreme Court, and the Future of Higher Education by Justin Driver; A Flower Traveled in My Blood: The Incredible True Story of the Grandmothers Who Fought to Find a Stolen Generation of Children by Haley Cohen Gilliland. John: Mary Cunningham for CBS News: Federal Reserve holds its benchmark interest rate steady at today's FOMC meeting; ABA Banking Journal: Fed's Powell says some areas of U.S. may be ‘uninsurable' in next decade David: Trip Gabriel for the New York Times: William Langewiesche, the ‘Steve McQueen of Journalism,' Dies at 70 Listener chatter from Jacob Podell in Chicago, Illinois: Juliana Kim for NPR: Family shows AI video of slain victim as an impact statement – possibly a legal first For this week's Slate Plus bonus episode, Emily, John, and David discuss the exciting possibilities and likely limitations of using AI tools for historical research and writing. In the latest Gabfest Reads, Emily talks with author Susan Dominus about her new book, The Family Dynamic: A Journey into the Mystery of Sibling Success. Email your chatters, questions, and comments to gabfest@slate.com. (Messages may be referenced by name unless the writer stipulates otherwise.) Research by Emily Ditto Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The FOMC met today and while predictably there was no rate action, neither the dots nor the downgraded economy were the key takeaways. Chair Powell's press conference became the perfect example of what the Fed has become. What would you say you do here?Meanwhile, the markets, the economy and T-bills. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Today - a look at the FOMC meeting, which saw the Fed smelling stronger stagflationary risks, while the US dollar rose across the board on the failure of the Fed to wax more dovish perhaps. Elsewhere, we look at the latest interesting batch of US data and the latest on Iran-Israel. In stocks, we discuss Coinbase leading the gainers among S&P 500 stocks on the rise in stablecoin uses, which also drove two superstar stocks to post the worst declines of all S&P 500 members yesterday. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, and George Goncalves, Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at MUFG, join Julia La Roche in-studio on FOMC day, where they break down the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, the state of the economy, and the interest rate outlook.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://www.mufgresearch.com/ George's Twitter/X: https://x.com/bondstrategist QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCYPBim2ARV9Yrqci0ljokFA Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/073521165500:00 - Danielle: Fed "willfully blind" to economic reality 02:52 - Record 5.3% of Americans working multiple jobs 05:00 - Real unemployment is 4.5-4.6%, not reported 4.2% 08:07 - Debate: Is the Fed being political? 10:00 - George: "More than one economy" - rates hurting different groups 16:28 - Net worth declined via both stocks and real estate in Q1 21:57 - Interest expense is fastest growing budget item 26:06 - Next Fed Chair prediction: Waller, Warsh, Bessent front-runners 32:12 - Corporate bankruptcies highest since 2010 38:49 - Danielle: US entered recession Q1 2024, back in one now 40:26 - Top 10% of earners drive 49.7% of consumption 43:52 - What keeps them up at night: False sense of security
This episode of the Unusual Whales Pod was recorded Live on June 18th, 2025. Nicholas hosts a panel of macroeconomic experts and investors to discuss the macroeconomic outlook in both the United States and abroad amidst softening GDP, sticky inflation, nervous bond market, housing fatigue, and the ever-reassuring backdrop of geopolitical tension. So thank you all for listening to our FOMC panel, where the vibes are uncertain at best, and the yield curve doesn't wanna talk about it!Panel:Joseph Wang https://twitter.com/FedGuy12Thelastbearstanding https://twitter.com/LastBearStandngBob Elliott https://x.com/BobEUnlimitedCem Karsan https://twitter.com/jam_croissantHosted by: Nicholas FNS: https://twitter.com/NicholasFNSUnusual Whales: https://twitter.com/unusual_whalesThis Pod is not financial advice. Unusual Whales Inc. is not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) or any state securities regulatory authority. The stock market is risky, and any trade or investment is expected to have some, or total, loss. Please do research before any trade. Do not use this information for financial decisions or for investing. You should consult your legal or tax professional regarding your specific situation.Unusual Social Media:Discord: https://discord.com/invite/unusualwhalesFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/unusualwhalesInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/unusualwhales/Reddit: https://old.reddit.com/r/unusual_whales/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@unusual_whalesTwitter: https://twitter.com/unusual_whalesYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/unusualwhales/Merch: https://unusual-whales.creator-spring.com/**
Alex Thorn talks to Austin Campbell, NYU professor and founder of Zero Knowledge Consulting, about the passage of the GENIUS Act, prospects for market structure in the House, and what a tie-up between crypto and traditional finance means for both. Alex also talks to Beimnet Abebe (Galaxy Trading) about the Federal Reserve's latest FOMC meeting, geopolitical risks affecting the market, and what the risk of stagflation means for markets. This episode was recorded on Wednesday, June 18, 2025. ++ Follow us on Twitter, @glxyresearch, and read our research at www.galaxy.com/research/ to learn more! This podcast, and the information contained herein, has been provided to you by Galaxy Digital Holdings LP and its affiliates (“Galaxy Digital”) solely for informational purposes. View the full disclaimer at www.galaxy.com/disclaimer-galaxy-brains-podcast/
En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Andre Dos Santos y Eugenio Garibay analizaron a fondo la más reciente reunión de política monetaria de la Reserva Federal. Discutieron cómo la Fed decidió mantener las tasas de interés sin cambios, reflejando una postura cautelosa ante un entorno económico marcado por menor crecimiento y una inflación que se reduce más lentamente de lo esperado.Durante la conversación, se abordaron las nuevas proyecciones económicas del FOMC, destacando la revisión a la baja en el crecimiento del PIB y el ajuste al alza en las expectativas de inflación, lo que sugiere un escenario de stagflación moderada para los próximos años. Andre y Eugenio también comentaron el aumento en el número de miembros de la Fed que prefieren no realizar recortes de tasas en 2025, señalando una mayor división dentro del comité y un giro más hawkish en la política monetaria.
Link to John's Mastering FX Webinar tomorrow Thursday, June 19. Today, a look at how this Israel-Iran conflict moves toward a "conclusion", with the risk that Israel has maximalist goals leaning toward regime change, so the timeline of the conflict is more likely to remain extended. Elsewhere, we look at the FOMC meeting today and the likely outcomes, as well as how the market "pricing" of the Fed's policy trajectory may be very misleading on what actually happens. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Jerome Powell's latest announcement could SHAKE the entire crypto market! Will interest rates rise, fall, or hold? And what does it mean for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins?
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is meeting today, and its decisions could significantly influence the cryptocurrency market. With the potential for rate cuts or other policy shifts, altcoins are poised for volatility.
Discord Channel: https://discord.gg/gMdv93N4 LIVE Today at 2pm PT on Trader Merlin Here's what we're covering on today's show:
Today we're excited to welcome Patrick White, Group Lead for Fusion Energy Safety and Regulation at the Clean Air Task Force (CATF), and Nicholas McMurray, Managing Director of International and Nuclear Policy at ClearPath. Patrick recently joined CATF and leads the organization's international working group focused on fusion energy safety, waste, and non-proliferation. He holds a Ph.D. in Nuclear Science and Engineering from MIT and previously served as Research Director at the Nuclear Innovation Alliance. Niko is an expert in industrial policy, nuclear energy policy, and regulation. He has been with ClearPath since 2019 and formerly served as a Materials Engineer at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). A few weeks ago, Veriten partnered with CATF and ClearPath to publish a paper calling out reforms to NRC processes and procedures to accelerate the deployment of new nuclear reactors; establishing a more efficient regulatory framework for new and advanced reactors (paper linked here). We were thrilled to host Patrick and Niko for a discussion on the paper and broader trends in the nuclear landscape. Brett Rampal, Senior Director of Nuclear and Power Strategy at Veriten, joined for the conversation and led Veriten's contribution to the paper. In our discussion, Patrick and Niko share background on their organizations' missions and long-standing support for nuclear. We explore the need to demystify and modernize NRC processes to accommodate next-generation nuclear technologies, challenges with current regulatory frameworks originally designed for traditional large light-water reactors, the role of licensing structures and the value of more flexible licensing pathways, and the motivation behind their recent paper, which aims to provide actionable, bipartisan policy suggestions to enable nuclear deployment at scale. We examine the historical development and regulatory evolution of power versus non-power reactor definitions, how those distinctions have blurred over time, the shift toward performance-based regulation, and the commercial implications of licensing small reactors under Class 103. We discuss the importance of consistent terminology and regulatory clarity in advancing new nuclear technologies, whether the NRC's internal culture can evolve to support faster deployment without compromising safety, the NRC's broader oversight role beyond reactors including medical and industrial applications of radioactive materials, and congressional support for NRC modernization. Patrick and Niko provide insights into international regulatory approaches, such as performance-based models used in the UK, France, and Canada, the critical need to earn public trust through rigorous and efficient safety regulation, the feasibility of President Trump's goal of having 10 new reactors under construction by 2030, challenges beyond regulation, and much more. We greatly enjoyed the conversation. To start the show, Mike Bradley noted that the S&P 500 closed modestly lower on the day, while crude oil prices caught a bid amid escalating tensions in the Mideast. On the bond front, the 10-year bond yield (~4.4%) has pulled back over the last few days as markets await the outcome of the June 18th FOMC rate decision meeting. Consensus is for no change in interest rates at this FOMC meeting, but a cut is expected at the September meeting. From a crude oil market standpoint, WTI price has spiked by >$10/bbl to ~$74/bbl over the last five trading days due to the Iranian-Israeli military conflict. While Veriten isn't in the business of making short-term crude oil price calls based on supply disruption threats, we continue to emphasize that global oil demand growth projections are a more vital determinant for intermediate-term oil prices. On the global S/D front, the IEA recently modeled global oil demand peaking in 2029 (China in 2027), contra
US equities were narrowly mixed in very choppy Wednesday trading, as stocks ended off best levels, with the Dow Jones and S&P500 ending down 10bps and 3bps, while the Nasdaq rose +13bps. No surprise in FOMC leaving the policy rate unchanged, with the median dot still showing two rate cuts for 2025, though 2026 and 2027 dots saw a hawkish shift. May housing starts fell 9.8% m/m, missing expectations and lowest read since May-20.
Futures are muted ahead of Wednesday's trading day. The FOMC is expected to leave rates unchanged in today's announcement and investors will be listening to see how the Fed is seeing the U.S. inflation and employment outlook. Tom White discusses what will factor into the Fed's dot plot, the latest developments from the Iran-Israel conflict and other data to be watching today.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Cameron Dawson joins Morning Trade Live with her perspective on current geopolitical tensions impacting market activity. Her eyes are focuses on the crude oil chart, as she believes any significant moves in the energy product would have ripple effects on the economy and the Fed's fight against inflation. Ahead of the FOMC decision, she says the Fed will likely sit on its hands and stand pat until any clarity surfaces even it will take a "long time to get here." For the market, Cameron is watching the valuation level trading at 22x and weighs in on the tech sector's outperformance this year.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
John Lekas and Joseph Shaposhnik preview today's FOMC decision. John thinks they're in “no position to lower rates” because of the inflationary environment. He thinks the Fed will raise rates before they lower them, and that they wouldn't move down until unemployment hit at least 5%. Joseph argues against that view, saying the Fed will be “laser-focused” on slipping CPI data.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Title: Watch the Dots: Previewing June's FOMC DecisionDescription: Yelena Shulyatyeva says today's focus from the FOMC meeting will be "the dots" or the latest Summary of Economic Projections, which will indicate the central bank's forward-looking rate cut assumptions. Yelena adds that despite downward surprises in the last 4 inflation readings, she believes inflation will come via tariff policy as it slowly trickles into the economy. She discusses the state of the labor market as it relates to the Federal Reserve's dual mandate to achieve maximum employment and stable inflation.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Kevin Hincks provides the trading day's roadmap with all eyes on the FOMC rate announcement and Jerome Powell's press conference. He dives into the morning's economic data, citing higher jobless claims numbers that are trending upward. Ahead of the FOMC, Kevin believes Powell will not say anything that changes the Fed's outlook but will be closely monitoring the "Dot Plot" for any changes. Kevin also cautions investors that any headlines from the Israel-Iran conflict could disrupt a day bookended by data and the Fed. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Carol Schleif thinks the market rally before the Fed conference today is notable. She lays out what investors should be watching around the world, but says “in general, markets tend to look through geopolitical risk…they don't know how to assess it.” The worst of the tariffs are behind us, she assesses, as trade breakthroughs seem near. She previews the Fed dot plot, expected today after the FOMC meeting, and gauges how many rate cuts we might see this year.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Charles Schwab's Collin Martin and Joe Mazzola react to the FOMC decision to keep rates unchanged. Collin highlights the Fed's Dot Plot as a key indicator of the central bank's intention to possibly hold back from cutting rates in 2025, pointing to 7 voting members expecting no rate change this year. Joe adds context to the market's historical volatility surrounding FOMC decisions and says investors should monitor the next trading session for any trend taking shape.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Ahead of the Wednesday close, markets fell from session-highs as the Fed continues to project two rate cuts in 2025 and the Iran-Israel conflict weighs on markets. With markets closed tomorrow for the Juneteenth holiday, Kevin Green discusses how this week's option expirations will lead to higher volume on Friday and what it will mean for price action to close the week.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Equities closed near the flat line after the FOMC kept rates unchanged. The Federal Reserve's latest "dot plot" indicated the possibility of 2 rate cuts in the year ahead. OpenAI and Meta Platforms (META) are vying for A.I. talent, with Sam Altman's staff reportedly turning down $100M bonuses from Mark Zuckerberg's recruiting efforts. IBM Corp. (IBM) shares hit a new all-time high. And, stablecoin stocks popped after the "GENIUS" Act passed in the U.S. Senate. J.D. Durkin breaks down Wednesday's market action.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Tom White and Nicole Petallides react to the FOMC decision to keep rates unchanged. Tom points out the committee's omission of a line regarding risks of higher unemployment and inflation. The FOMC did say "uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated." Tom discusses the Fed's "dot plot" as the CME FedWatch tool reveals increased odds of a cut in the September meeting.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
7 members of the FOMC group see no cuts at all this year, something that James Demmert believes "makes sense" but he's still worried about any further economic downturn. He joins Nicole Petallides at the NYSE to deep-dive into the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged. James cites geopolitical events and tariff uncertainty as murky parts of the picture that could alter the Fed's path. Later, he discusses his bullish outlook on the markets, and explains his "Goldilocks" economy thesis.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Brian Glenn reacts to the FOMC decision to hold rates and Powell's press conference. He expected a dovish tone from Powell but was surprised. He also walks through the dot plot and what it forecasts for the rest of the year. “There's a who blinks first mentality” with the White House and tariffs, he thinks, and in the meantime, he says small and medium sized businesses are struggling.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Market Commentary: Volatility and Sector Valuations – June 17 Update In this week's edition of Dividend Cafe, Brian Syztel provides a comprehensive overview of the current market landscape as of June 17, discussing recent geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices and stock market performance. Key points include a detailed analysis of the impact on various indexes such as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq. Brian emphasizes the significance of sector valuations, highlighting defensive sectors and their historical performance compared to growth stocks. Additional economic indicators, including retail sales, industrial production, and the NAHB Housing Market Index, are also reviewed. The episode concludes with a look ahead to upcoming jobless claims and the FOMC decision. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:21 Market Update: Middle East Tensions and Market Reactions 01:03 Valuations and Defensive Sectors 02:08 Growth vs. Value Stocks 03:28 Economic Calendar and Housing Market 04:22 Upcoming Events and Conclusion 04:39 Disclaimer and Legal Information Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Israel and Iran are at war, but markets have yet to freak out. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin dig into what's happening with oil, the dollar and gold — and what Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell will say following this week's FOMC meeting. Also, they go long New York pizza and golden telephones. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Reports this morning that Iran has signaled it wants to de-escalate hostilities with Israel – and restart talks with the US: Carl Quintanilla, Sara Eisen, and David Faber broke down the latest along with key market implications ahead of another rate decision from the Fed on Wednesday – and as energy prices remain surprisingly steady. Plus: A live read from the ground in Alberta, as the G-7 summit begins in Canada. Rockefeller International's Ruchir Sharma brought his outlook for equities – fresh off an Op-Ed in the Financial Times arguing to not underestimate the Chinese as trade talks continue… Plus: hear from Former Deputy Secretary of State – and lead negotiator for the nuclear agreement with Iran under the Obama Administration – Wendy Sherman's take on what comes next here. Also in focus: Meta rolls out ads on Whatsapp, boosting shares; Sarepta stock plummets after a 2nd death tied to an experimental gene therapy; an exclusive with the CEO of aerospace maintenance company StandardAero, live from the Paris Air Show; and the rumors around AWS that are boosting AMD shares to fresh highs. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
SPX Market Outlook, FOMC Setup & This Week's Trade Ideas"In this episode of the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric breaks down the current SPX market setup heading into a big week of economic events, including Wednesday's FOMC meeting. After last Friday's selloff, the market rallied hard on Monday—highlighting the continued volatility.Eric recaps last week's inflation data (CPI, PPI), stronger-than-expected consumer sentiment, and why these may give the Fed room to ease up. He also walks through this week's AlphaCrunching forecast, revealing a potential shift toward late-week weakness and how that's impacting his current trades.Plus, you'll hear the latest backtested trade ideas, including put credit spreads and hedge setups—all driven by AlphaCrunching's proprietary Triumph Rate metrics and trend data.