POPULARITY
Categories
Mortgage rates have dropped to a new low for 2025, now averaging 6.27%. The surprising part? It happened even as inflation came in hotter than expected. The reason lies in a sudden spike in jobless claims, led by Texas, that shook bond markets and sent Treasury yields lower. In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down why labor data is outweighing inflation concerns, what continuing claims at a three-year high signal for the job market, and why bond traders are betting on a softer economy. You'll also learn what level of jobless claims could tip the U.S. into recession territory — and why the upcoming Fed meeting could be one of the most dramatic in years. JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS
What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/sniderYesterday's 10-year note auction produced something we've never seen before, and it totally upended everyone's expectations if not more. With the macro climate being what it is, the 10s sale was a "victim" of the increasingly prominent curve reshaping we're seeing everywhere. And "everywhere" absolutely includes the long bond, the 30-year maturity the mainstream has its sights on. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Big Banks Nearly Get Shut Out of Treasury 10-Year Auctionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-10/big-banks-nearly-get-shut-out-of-treasury-10-year-auctionBloomberg Trump Isn't the Only Reason the Price of Money Is Risinghttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-11/podcast-trump-isn-t-the-only-reason-the-price-of-money-is-risinghttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
It's a high-pressure year for multifamily. Looming maturities, tough capital markets, changing policies, a major shake-up of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on the horizon and intensified national attention are all converging to complicate the sector.But multifamily fundamentals are strong, Sharon Karaffa, president of multifamily debt and structured finance at Newmark, said on this week's episode.“Absorption has been very high and vacancies are very low. Most of the supply wave is behind us,” she said. “So we think we're on the upswing.”The ending of the conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could disrupt the market, depending on how exactly it happens.Karaffa said it is critical that the privatized organizations have a line to the Treasury to maintain affordability, that a strict regulatory framework is put in place to avoid the mess of the Global Financial Crisis and that the agencies are not combined — the market needs both to keep competition alive.
Natalie Edwards, a former senior official at FinCEN (the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network), admitted to leaking thousands of Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs) to BuzzFeed News and journalist Jason Leopold between October 2017 and October 2018. These documents enabled investigative reporting—later labeled the FinCEN Files—which exposed how international banks facilitated dirty money flows while regulators often failed to act on warnings concealed in the confidential reports. Edwards claimed she first pursued internal whistleblower channels within the Treasury but later provided documents to the media because she believed more transparency was urgently needed.In 2021, Edwards was sentenced to six months in prison, followed by three years of supervised release, after pleading guilty to one count of conspiracy for unauthorized disclosure of SARs. Her defense painted her actions as rooted in duty and morality—she said she “could not stand by aimlessly” while seeing evidence of wrongdoing, and emphasized that whistleblower protections and internal reporting had failed to adequately address her concerns. However, prosecutors countered that Edwards acted recklessly and did not show sufficient remorse. Her case stirred debate over how whistleblowers are treated, particularly those who leak classified or confidential documents to the media.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comSource:https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2021/06/10/opinion/fincen-buzzfeed-edwards-prison.amp.htmlBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-epstein-chronicles--5003294/support.
Awwww yeah, it’s snake skin shedding time! SSST for all those who are in the Snake know. Look at the green on that snake! It’s U.S. Treasury mint. Snakey’s got to be proud of that work! Even got a filmographer to show it in midaction! Check out each scale! Now the Snake is ready for… Read more S9:E23 – Amazing Footage of Snake Shedding Its Skin
Host: Cindy Allen Published: September 12, 2025 Length: ~15 minutes Presented by: Global Training Center I Can Do It With a Broken Heart: Trade Updates, 9/11 Reflections, and DHS Reorganization In this week's episode, Cindy Allen takes inspiration from Taylor Swift's I Can Do It With a Broken Heart to unpack trade updates, court battles, and the lasting impact of 9/11 on U.S. trade and security policy. From the Supreme Court's decision to hear the IEEPA reciprocal tariff case to ongoing discussions about reorganizing DHS and CBP, Cindy brings clarity to complex trade issues—all while reflecting on the transformation of trade and security programs born in the aftermath of 9/11. What You'll Learn in This Episode: Supreme Court to hear the IEEPA reciprocal tariffs challenge in November What a potential importer refund process could look like Section 122 as a possible bridge tool for duty assessments Why Section 232, 301, and fentanyl duties remain unaffected by the IEEPA case How 9/11 reshaped trade: CTPAT, Importer Security Filing, TSA, and DHS itself Current discussions on reorganizing DHS and Customs & Border Protection The possible merging of the Office of Trade and Office of Field Operations Key Takeaways: Importers must prepare for ongoing duty assessments, even if refund pathways open. The IEEPA case could significantly impact Treasury revenues and the federal deficit. 9/11 transformed international trade security programs, many still in place today. DHS reorganization could change how CBP balances trade enforcement and duty collection. Leadership alignment at CBP offers cautious optimism for the future of trade policy. Resources & Mentions: Supreme Court of the United States – Docket Information U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) CTPAT – Customs Trade Partnership Against Terrorism Transportation Security Administration (TSA) Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Trade Force Multiplier Credits Hosts: Cindy Allen – LinkedIn Producer: Lalo Solorzano – LinkedIn Subscribe & Follow New episodes every Friday. Presented by: Global Training Center — providing education, consulting, workshops, and compliance resources for trade professionals.
Tim is the Global Head of Strategy at Mantle and YZ is Product Lead.Mantle is placing some of the biggest bets on their Ethereum L2, a DeFi neobank (UR), a long-standing $500M ETH treasury, and a new major Bybit partnership. In this episode, we unpack the implications of all this in growing demand for their DeFi economy.------
This Crypto Town Hall episode opens with reflections on September 11 and the recent violent death of a prominent figure (Charlie Kirk), leading to a discussion of violence, free speech, and the need for open debate. The conversation transitions to the state of global markets, Bitcoin, and crypto, particularly in light of macroeconomic trends, US debt, inflation, and the coming liquidity moves by governments. The panel examines the role of stablecoins and US regulatory strategy, with focus on how stablecoins and digital asset treasuries (DATs) could influence global dollar demand, Treasury markets, and institutional crypto adoption. Special guest Sue from EigenLayer/EigenCloud joins to discuss the explosive growth of ETH restaking, EigenCloud's shift into AI and cloud services, and the institutionalization of yield generation on Ethereum. Key technology developments, market outlooks, and debates on market risk are explored throughout, with an emphasis on financial sovereignty through crypto.
Explore the latest financial headlines with Jake and Cory as they unpack job market jitters, Google's antitrust ruling, Kraft Heinz's brand breakup, rising Treasury yields, Nestlé's CEO scandal, and surging gold prices. Learn how these developments could impact your portfolio and retirement strategy. --------------- Complimentary ‘Retiring Right' ebook: https://falconwealthadvisors.com/jake-falcon-book-signup.html?utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=content&utm_campaign=rr_ebook Subscribe to our weekly newsletter: https://falconwealthadvisors.com/index.html?utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=content&utm_campaign=newsletter_subscribe#ID2GUSO1Sj8Upy1QWdqVxHOM Contact our team: https://falconwealthadvisors.com/contact.html?utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=content&utm_campaign=contact_us#ID6rJkMgTJ1jVvl9lxUsddri --------------- Upticks is your podcast for financial planning insights. Hosted by Jake Falcon, CRPC™ and Cory Bittner, CRPC™, who discuss the philosophy of wealth management, exploring tailored retirement plans, tax planning, and timely industry topics. Join us for concise, understandable discussions that help empower your financial literacy. --------------- Connect with Jake Falcon, CRPC™ https://www.facebook.com/jake.falcon.524 https://www.instagram.com/jake_falcon_crpc/?hl=en https://twitter.com/jakefalconcrpc https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakefalconfalconwealthadvisors #markets #economy #retirementplanning #financialliteracy #investing #jobmarket #google #gold #stocks #wealthmanagement
Tune in live every weekday Monday through Friday from 9:00 AM Eastern to 10:15 AM.Buy our NFTJoin our DiscordCheck out our TwitterCheck out our YouTubeDISCLAIMER: You should never treat any opinion expressed by the hosts of this content as a recommendation to make a particular investment, or to follow a particular strategy. The thoughts and commentary on this show are an expression of the hosts' opinions and are for entertainment & informational purposes only.
Interview with Allen Sabet, CEO of Mogotes Metals Inc.Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/mogotes-metals-tsxv-mog-explorer-targets-copper-gold-next-to-bhps-45b-acquisition-6947Recording date: 10th September 2025Mogotes Metals represents a compelling copper exploration opportunity positioned at the epicenter of Argentina's Vicuña district, home to the most significant copper discoveries of the past three decades. The company's strategic land package sits directly adjacent to Filo del Sol, representing the largest copper discovery in 30 years, within a district that has generated approximately billions worth of combined discovery value through neighboring properties controlled by industry giants BHP and Lundin Mining.The investment thesis centers on the geological principle that significant mineralization occurs in clusters, making Mogotes' position particularly attractive for investors seeking exposure to world-class copper potential. As CEO Allen Sabet noted, "The acorn doesn't fall from the oak tree is the saying that a lot of people say. And so we're looking for copper and gold in the place where two $4.5 billion discoveries have been made." This district concept provides validation for the company's exploration model while reducing typical exploration risks.Mogotes has distinguished itself through systematic preparation, investing C$20 million over three years in comprehensive technical work rather than rushing to speculative drilling. The company has completed extensive surface sampling programs across mountainous terrain, constructed 60 kilometers of access tracks, and employed cutting-edge 3D geophysical technologies to identify multiple high-priority targets. This methodical approach, combined with engagement of geologists who worked on adjacent successful projects, accelerates the learning curve and maximizes discovery probability.The company's financial position provides attractive leverage for investors, with $26 million in treasury against a $107 million market capitalization. This 4:1 leverage ratio ensures sufficient funding for the planned drilling campaign while avoiding near-term dilution concerns that typically plague junior exploration companies. The strong balance sheet reflects careful capital management during recent challenging market conditions for exploration equities.The upcoming drilling campaign, scheduled to commence in October 2025, will target both high-sulfidation epithermal systems prospective for gold and silver, as well as porphyry copper systems that could host large-scale copper-gold-molybdenum deposits. Target depths range from 300-700 meters, with many representing the first drilling in their history. The company benefits from favorable drilling conditions, including lower elevation access and absence of difficult-to-drill silica cap rocks that plagued neighboring operations.Industry validation comes through active engagement from major mining companies, with Sabet confirming that "mining companies that you would have heard of have spoken to us or are speaking to us at some point." This interest validates the technical merit of the project and suggests potential for strategic partnerships or acquisitions as the project advances.The macro environment supports copper exploration through unprecedented supply-demand imbalances driven by renewable energy infrastructure and electric vehicle adoption. Institutional interest is returning to the sector, with generalist funds allocating capital to copper and gold themes amid currency debasement concerns and supply constraints.Mogotes Metals offers investors a rare combination of strategic location, systematic technical preparation, strong financial positioning, and favorable market timing. The convergence of these factors, combined with limited market awareness due to the company's recent public listing, creates potential for significant revaluation as drilling results emerge and the story gains broader institutional recognition.View Mogotes Metals' company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/mogotes-metalsSign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com
Interview with Jeff Swinoga, President & CEO, Exploits Discovery Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/inside-exploits-discoverys-csenfld-new-growth-strategy-4m-cash-680k-oz-gold-3-provinces-7217Recording date: 9th September 2025Exploits Discovery Corp. has completed a remarkable strategic repositioning that transforms the company from a resource-light Newfoundland explorer into a diversified Canadian gold company with substantial assets and compelling valuation metrics. The transformation positions the junior miner to capitalize on the current favorable gold price environment, with gold reaching $3,600 per ounce.The cornerstone of this transformation was the strategic sale of Newfoundland assets to New Found Gold for $7 million in upfront shares plus an additional $1.8 million upon delivery of remaining properties, along with a 1% net smelter return royalty. This transaction created immediate shareholder value while allowing management to focus on higher-potential assets.Most significantly, Exploits Discovery went from zero resources to controlling 680,000 ounces of gold across four high-quality properties in just four months. The flagship Hawkins property in Ontario hosts 300,000 ounces in the McKinnon zone within a 60-kilometer property package near Timmins. The property benefits from established infrastructure and was discovered by Don McKinnon, co-founder of the successful Hemlo gold mine.Complementing the Ontario resource base are three Quebec properties under option from Cartier Resources, offering exceptional high-grade exploration upside. The Fenton property has delivered impressive results including 356 grams per tonne gold over 6 meters, while the Wilson property features similar high-grade chimney-style mineralization.From a valuation perspective, the company presents a compelling opportunity with approximately $10-11 million in treasury value against a current market capitalization of just $9 million, creating an immediate discount to net asset value. Combined with $3.6 million in cash and backing from Eric Sprott's 14% shareholding, the company has substantial financial flexibility to pursue aggressive exploration without near-term dilution pressure.The systematic exploration approach across both jurisdictions, supported by an experienced technical team including property-specific experts, positions Exploits Discovery for multiple value creation catalysts in the favorable gold market environment.Learn more: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/exploits-discoverySign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com
Alex Thorn talks with Tim Kotzman and Ed Juline (Bitcoin Treasury Advisors) about their upcoming unconference in NYC on September 17, the impact of Bitcoin treasuries on the underlying asset, and different treasury strategies and their sustainability. Alex also talks with Beimnet Abebe (Galaxy Trading) about employment and inflation data. Alex and Beim also talk about Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent threatening to punch FHFA Director Bill Pulte.
Discover how India is redefining global treasury strategy. TMI's Eleanor Hill speaks with HSBC's Aditya Lakhanpal and Mohit Agarwal to share essential insights for treasurers navigating rapid change in one of the world's fastest-growing markets. From UPI's instant payments and the digital rupee to GIFT City's rise and ESG integration, this episode explores the opportunities and challenges reshaping cash, liquidity, and risk management.
“The Federal Reserve was created to have a degree of what I like to call operational independence”, says Federated Hermes Deputy Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income RJ Gallo on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast series. He joins host and Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey to discuss future movements of the Treasury yield curve, recent economic data and its quality, and effects of recent government policies such as tariffs and the budget. On monetary policy and the risks to Fed independence, he believes the Fed was created to have a degree of operational independence, but as an organization with board members appointed by political officials, it's not outside the political sphere. The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.
SUPPORT YANKEE ARNOLD MINISTRIES WITH YOUR DONATION HEREhttps://yankeearnold.com/donate/REGISTER FOR DR. ARNOLD'S ONLINE CLASSES AT FLORIDA BIBLE COLLEGE OF TAMPA HEREhttps://www.floridabiblecollege.usOR EMAIL BOB GILBERT registrar@floridabiblecollege.usEMAIL DR. ARNOLD HEREyankee@yankeearnold.comVISIT OUR BOOKSTORE HEREhttps://yankeearnold.com/store/
Ryan Rugg, Global Head of Digital Assets for Citibank's Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS), discusses their approach to integrating Web 2.0 and 3.0. She shares insights on Citi Token Service, a new solution designed to provide 24/7 liquidity and borderless transactions, and explains how it simplifies user experience by obfuscating blockchain complexity. Key Takeaways: The future potential of digital assets and blockchain technology in transforming financial services and enabling faster, more efficient transactions globally The importance of regulatory compliance and collaboration with regulators to ensure responsible innovation The value of daily standups in driving agile development Mutual learning opportunities between traditional finance institutions and Web 3.0 projects Guest Bio: Ryan Hugg is the Global Head of Digital Assets for Citibank's Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS), helping clients streamline treasury, payments, and commerce. She recently led the launch of Citi Token Services, a blockchain-based solution enabling 24/7 liquidity transfers and integrating tokenized deposits and smart contracts into Citi's global network. Previously, Ryan led IBM's Americas blockchain team, advising clients on tokenization, identity, and sustainability strategies. Her team helped launch New York's Excelsior Pass, a digital health wallet used by millions, now serving as a model for other credential systems. A passionate advocate for diversity in leadership, she has led multiple initiatives to advance female representation, and mentors emerging leaders toward executive roles. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- About this Show: The Brave Technologist is here to shed light on the opportunities and challenges of emerging tech. To make it digestible, less scary, and more approachable for all! Join us as we embark on a mission to demystify artificial intelligence, challenge the status quo, and empower everyday people to embrace the digital revolution. Whether you're a tech enthusiast, a curious mind, or an industry professional, this podcast invites you to join the conversation and explore the future of AI together. The Brave Technologist Podcast is hosted by Luke Mulks, VP Business Operations at Brave Software—makers of the privacy-respecting Brave browser and Search engine, and now powering AI everywhere with the Brave Search API. Music by: Ari Dvorin Produced by: Sam Laliberte
US equities were mixed in Wednesday trading, though ended off worst levels, with the Dow Jones closing down 48bps, while the S&P500 and Nasdaq rose 30bps and 3bps respectively. Today's headline August PPI dropped 0.1% m/m vs Street expectations for a 0.3% rise, and core PPI also declined 0.1% m/m against consensus outlook for +0.3% rise. Treasury's sale of $39B in 10Y notes was very well received. Oracle led the market higher after a monster surge in the company's RPO
SUPPORT YANKEE ARNOLD MINISTRIES WITH YOUR DONATION HEREhttps://yankeearnold.com/donate/REGISTER FOR DR. ARNOLD'S ONLINE CLASSES AT FLORIDA BIBLE COLLEGE OF TAMPA HEREhttps://www.floridabiblecollege.usOR EMAIL BOB GILBERT registrar@floridabiblecollege.usEMAIL DR. ARNOLD HEREyankee@yankeearnold.comVISIT OUR BOOKSTORE HEREhttps://yankeearnold.com/store/
Copies of text messages just released by Treasury confirm Adrian Orr was likely to be sacked if he didn't resign as Reserve Bank Governor. The process was so advanced, Secretary to the Treasury Iain Rennie warned Finance Minister Nicola Willis she might receive a recommendation from the Reserve Bank board to advise the Governor-General to remove Orr. NZ Herald Wellington business editor Jenee Tibshraeny explained further, LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Max from UNFTR (publisher, UNFTR Media, and host, Unf*cking the Republic podcast and YouTube channel) joins Chris Cuomo to explain what he calls the greatest financial heist in modern history. Donald Trump and his family are quietly building a “shadow central bank” through a new stablecoin — a specialized type of cryptocurrency backed by U.S. Treasury assets. If two key bills moving through Congress become law, Trump's company could take over powers traditionally held by the Federal Reserve, giving him the ability to profit when the economy falters. Chris and Max break down how this plan works, how Congress' actions could permanently change the U.S. financial system, and why Trump's scheme represents one of the most serious threats to economic stability and democracy." Follow and subscribe to The Chris Cuomo Project on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube for new episodes every Tuesday and Thursday: https://linktr.ee/cuomoproject Join Chris Ad-Free On Substack: http://thechriscuomoproject.substack.com Support our sponsors: Start taking your sleep seriously with AGZ. Head to https://drinkag1.com/ccp to get a FREE Welcome Kit with the flavor of your choice that includes a 30 day supply of AGZ and a FREE frother. Sign up for your $1 per month trial and start selling today at http://shopify.com/chrisc For a limited time only, get 60% off your first order PLUS free shipping when you head to http://smalls.com/CUOMO Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
A Note from JamesI've been on and off writing. From 2004 to 2021, I wrote one to two books a year, without fail. Since then, nothing. But I've been working on an idea: obsession. When I'm not obsessed, I can't do much—sometimes not even the basics. But when I am obsessed, I can turn that energy into real outcomes: a business, a book, a skill, sometimes success, sometimes failure.This episode comes from a recent conversation I had with the Ventura Labs team. We talked about obsession, but also about AI, crypto, and how those obsessions have led to building TAO Synergies ($TAOX), a public company on Nasdaq. I'd love to hear your thoughts: should I write this as a book? Reach out on Twitter or anywhere.Episode DescriptionJames Altucher joins the Ventura Labs Podcast to explore the link between obsession, creativity, and execution. From contributing to IBM's Deep Blue in the 90s to co-founding TAO Synergies, James shares how obsessions with chess, AI, and crypto have shaped his life and career.The conversation covers the philosophy behind decentralized AI, the rise of treasury strategies, and why writing down ten ideas a day can change everything. This episode isn't about trends—it's about frameworks: how to spot real opportunities, how to build around them, and how to know when obsession is worth pursuing.What You'll LearnWhy obsession can be both a weakness and a superpower—and how to channel it productively.How Bittensor ($TAO) creates decentralized AI opportunities at a fraction of traditional costs.The mechanics of treasury companies and how TAO Synergies is building its playbook.The risks and rewards of subnet investing, and how tokenomics actually drive value.Lessons James learned from failure, from HBO web series experiments to company collapses, and why generating ideas daily can reset your career.Timestamped Chapters02:15 – Introduction02:58 – What is Bittensor06:24 – AI background and Deep Blue09:34 – Chess interest and journey11:46 – $TAOX inspirations and getting TAO-pilled14:09 – TAO Synergies origin story16:57 – Reaching 100M and playbook19:41 – Treasury strategies and validators22:02 – Launching TAO Daily25:51 – Bitcoin adoption and involvement29:32 – Subnet investing and analysis30:59 – Token warnings and TAO demand35:46 – Subnet proposals and increases37:36 – Successful sectors and examples40:04 – Yanez and Metanova43:17 – Decentralization benefits46:13 – AI jobs and countering fears49:34 – Beneficial sectors: AI and stablecoins53:59 – Bryan Johnson documentary55:17 – Starting podcast and interviews57:14 – Interests and obsessions01:00:56 – Daily writing obsession and origins01:03:47 – Confidence and opinions01:07:33 – Company failures and lessons01:10:42 – HBO series and 3AM show01:14:26 – Hesitancy, regrets, pivotal points01:17:38 – Advice on time and experimentsAdditional ResourcesTAO Synergies: @TAOSynergiesTAO Daily (community news hub): taodaily.ioNaval Ravikant – AngelList founder and Bitcoin advocateVentura Labs Podcast (YouTube): @VenturaLabsPodcastSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
This week’s briefing covers a softer labor market, declining Treasury yields, and why the Fed is widely expected to cut rates on September 17. We dig into what fewer job openings could mean for growth, how lower borrowing costs may affect mortgages and corporate activity, and where crude oil might find support after recent weakness. We also preview next week’s CPI and PPI releases, discuss why inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, and outline positioning ideas for a volatile September–October stretch. Plus, sectors we currently favor—financials and health care—and a reminder to use pullbacks to rebalance toward quality. You can send your questions to questions@pyaradio.com for a chance to be answered on air. Catch up on past episodes: http://pyaradio.com Liberty Group website: https://libertygroupllc.com/ Attend an event: www.pyaevents.com Schedule a complimentary 15-minute consultation: https://calendly.com/libertygroupllc/scheduleacall/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Institutional CRE investing: A market run by allocation math – and uncertainty My podcast/YouTube guest today is Greg MacKinnon, Director of Research at the Pension Real Estate Association (PREA). PREA represents the institutional real estate community - think pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, endowments, and other fiduciaries managing hundreds of billions on behalf of millions of beneficiaries. These are the investors who typically allocate to real estate as part of their overall investment portfolios and who set the tone for how capital flows through the entire real estate market. Greg explains how while institutional real estate remains a roughly 10% sleeve in diversified institutional portfolios, the number matters less than the mechanics behind it. When equities rally and private values fall, the real estate slice shrinks—creating a theoretical bid to “rebalance” back to target. In practice, that bid has been clogged by a fund-recycling problem: closed-end vehicles haven't been returning capital as quickly because exits have slowed, which leaves investors waiting for distributions before recommitting. Until that dam breaks more broadly, new capital formation into private real estate remains inconsistent across strategies and managers. Office: price discovery by compulsion Institutional portfolios built in a world where office was a core holding are still working through the repricing. Unlevered office values are down on the order of ~40% from pre-COVID peaks nationally; with leverage, many positions are effectively wiped out, explaining why owners resist selling and why trades are scarce. That stasis is ending as lenders tire of “extend and pretend,” loan maturities arrive, and forced decisions accelerate. The practical question for CIOs isn't simply “hold or sell” but how fast to harvest, return, and re-underwrite risk elsewhere. Expect more office volume but much of it distress-driven rather than conviction buying. The rate cut mirage: CRE runs on growth and the 10-year Market chatter obsesses over the next Fed move. Institutional capital takes a broader view. The cost of capital that matters for underwriting – term debt, cap-rate anchoring, discount rates – is tethered more to the 10-year Treasury than the overnight Fed funds rate. A policy cut can coexist with a higher 10-year if inflation risk re-prices, blunting any “cuts are bullish” narrative. More importantly: CRE performance tracks the real economy's breadth and durability. Historically, rising interest rates often coincide with strong growth and healthy real estate. Falling rates tend to arrive with deceleration, which is why “cuts” are not automatically good news for NOI or values. Underwrite your forward cash flows, not the headline. Policy risk is now an underwriting line item Global capital has long treated the U.S. as the default safe harbor. That advantage compresses when macro policy feels unpredictable – tariffs one week, reversals the next, and public debate over central-bank independence. Some non-U.S. allocators have simply chosen not to live with the noise premium, shifting incremental dollars to Europe. Domestic institutions aren't exiting the U.S., but the signal is clear: political-economy volatility now shows up as a higher hurdle rate, more conditional investment committee approvals, and a stronger preference for managers who can navigate policy in both research and structuring. Where the money is actually going Facing actuarial return targets and a cloudy macro, institutions are tilting toward “where alpha lives now”: Digital and specialized industrial: data centers; cold storage; and industrial outdoor storage (IOS) – think secured yards for heavy equipment – where supply is constrained and tenant demand is need-based. Housing adjacencies: single-family rental, manufactured housing, student housing, and seniors housing, plus targeted affordable strategies that can layer policy incentives with operating expertise. Selective core logistics and resilient multifamily: still investable but crowded; institutions need an edge in submarket selection, cost basis, or operations to meet return hurdles. Themes in common: operational complexity that deters industry tourists, local expertise that differentiates underwriting, and cash flows less correlated to the office cycle. The portfolio is changing: from “real estate” to “real assets” Many large investors are reorganizing how they bucket risk. Instead of a hard 10% “real estate” sleeve, they're adopting either a broader real assets mandate (real estate + infrastructure + sometimes commodities) or a private markets sleeve (real estate + private credit + private equity). The goal is flexibility: tilt to where relative value is best without tripping governance wires each time. This structural shift makes it easier for a head of Real Assets to move dollars from, say, mid-risk equity in apartments to long-duration infrastructure when spreads and growth argue for it, and to rotate back when underwriting improves. It's a quiet change with large implications for which managers get funded and when. “Institutional quality” is a culture, not a class of building Too many sponsors use “institutional quality” as shorthand for a gleaming asset. Institutions define quality as process: governance, repeatability, controls, reporting cadence, and audit-ready data, plus the discipline to say “no” when the numbers don't clear the bar. That's why a best-in-class niche specialist (e.g., Southwest self-storage or cold-chain) can attract blue-chip LPs without owning a single skyline trophy. Conversely, a sponsor with a glossy deck but ad-hoc reporting will struggle to cross the institutional threshold even in “prime” locations. What to do now (operators and allocators) Own the 10-year, not the headline. Build your assumptions around the 10-year Treasury and the yield curve, not the Fed's short-term rate projections. Stress cash flows under slower growth. Lean into complex operations. Data centers, IOS, cold storage, seniors housing, where capability barriers protect yield. Be distribution-aware. If you're raising from institutions, understand their recycling constraints; design pacing and structures that fit their liquidity reality. Institutionalize the back office. Reporting, controls, and data pipelines are capital-raising assets. Treat them as such. Bottom line: allocations still want to be filled, but the bar is higher and the path is narrower. Those who combine operating edge with institutional process will take disproportionate share when the dam finally breaks. n.b. Greg and I take a detailed look at what ‘institutional' real estate really means; how it's defined, structured, and operates. It's worth tuning in so you can separate fact from fiction the next time you see the term in a pitch deck. *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection. Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000
Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to the show his monthly appearance. In this episode, Whalen reports taking a risk-off position after 30% gains this year, noting Wall Street hedge funds are similarly going net short amid concerns about Treasury market stability. He warns that upcoming Supreme Court tariff decisions could force costly refunds while the Treasury faces mounting deficits from recent legislation. Whalen criticizes the Fed's "reckless" quantitative easing policies and predicts the dollar will lose reserve currency status as countries seek alternatives, leading to inevitable inflation as the US monetizes its debt. He sees parallels to 1924 Florida real estate speculation but expects a coming housing reset that could take prices back to 2020-21 levels, creating opportunities for patient buyers.Sponsor: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Timestamps:0:00 Welcome and introduction - Chris Whalen returns for monthly appearance0:56 Big picture outlook - Trump administration personalities not getting along2:47 Risk off positioning - took 30% gains, markets losing steam5:11 Wall Street going risk off - hedge funds net short after taking gains8:15 Fed meeting outlook - rate cut uncertain despite expectations10:53 Supreme Court tariff decision - could force Treasury refunds12:57 Treasury Secretary's Fed criticism - "reckless gain of function experiments"15:48 Treasury market crisis risk - biggest worry for Chris18:03 Fed rate cut impact - quarter point fine, half point signals recession19:45 Pretend and extend - massive forbearance in commercial real estate20:04 Consumer health - okay for now but housing reset coming23:08 Gold's changing nature - now buying on dollar/inflation concerns24:25 Dollar losing reserve status - will be one of many currencies26:22 Reserve currency burden - domestic inflationary component27:39 Real estate speculation - like 1924 Florida land boom28:53 Coming housing blow-off - prices back to 2020-21 levels
In this episode of The Defiant Podcast, we sit down with Joseph Onorati, CEO of DeFi Development Corp, the second-largest Solana treasury company. Joseph shares the journey of transforming DeFi Development Corp into a Solana-focused treasury powerhouse, their innovative yield strategies, and why Solana's volatility and native yield make it a compelling treasury asset. We also dive into the broader case for crypto treasury companies, the risks and rewards of staking strategies, and the future of Solana in the blockchain ecosystem. Plus, Joseph shares his bold prediction: Solana flipping Ethereum by market cap. Tune in for a deep dive into the intersection of DeFi, treasury management, and the Solana ecosystem.Chapters00:00:00 Why Solana as a Treasury Asset?00:00:41 Volatility, Convertible Debt, and Cost of Capital00:01:20 Introducing Joseph and DeFi Development Corp00:02:10 The Evolution of DeFi Development Corp00:03:56 Staking, Validators, and Yield Strategies00:05:40 Breaking Down Solana Yield Strategies00:10:10 Risks in Staking and Looping Strategies00:12:03 The Case for Crypto Treasury Companies00:15:03 Solana Per Share Growth and Fundraising Flywheels00:20:02 Challenges with NAV Premium Compression00:27:16 Solana's Market Share in Treasury Companies00:30:00 ETFs and Their Impact on Crypto Treasuries00:36:01 The Future of Public Market Crypto Instruments00:46:14 Risks and Controversies in Crypto Treasuries00:54:16 Locked Solana and OTC Markets01:06:15 DeFi Development Corp's Treasury Accelerator Program01:08:09 Bull Case for Solana and Price Predictions
What does it take to lead a treasury team that not only performs but transforms the business? In this revisited episode, we uncover how Adam Richford, now the Group Treasurer at Smith+Nephew built and scaled treasury functions across global industries - transforming processes, empowering people, and delivering strategic impact at every level.In this special episode of the Treasury Career Corner Podcast I reconnect with Adam Richford who is now the Group Treasurer at Smith+Nephew and former Treasurer at Renewi. With over two decades of treasury experience spanning global giants like GE Capital and transformative growth firms like Renewi, Adam brings deep insight into building agile, high-performing treasury teams that operate as true strategic partners to the business.Main topics discussed:Adam's early career journey - from EY to leading treasury at global firmsHow treasury plays a critical role in M&A, corporate turnarounds, and strategic growthLessons from transforming Renewi's treasury: from spreadsheets to automationBuilding a centralized treasury function with TMS and improved funding structuresWhy strong team culture, trust, and clarity of roles are non-negotiable in treasury leadershipHow Adam approached remote team management during the COVID-19 crisisTransitioning into investor relations and why it matters for treasury leaders The impact of ESG and sustainability on treasury and funding strategiesHiring and talent development: what Adam looks for in treasury professionalsLessons from his current role at Smith+Nephew: balancing treasury, pensions, and insurance in a FTSE 100 companyYou can connect with Adam Richdord on LinkedIn. ---
Welcome to Stang Stories with Oliver Sin '25 featuring Tonantzin Carmona '08. In this episode she recounts her transition from Chicago's Little Village to Milton, the mentors and traditions that shaped her, and how listening to diverse perspectives led her into a career in public policy. Tonantzin discusses building Chicago's municipal ID, work at Brookings, Treasury and the White House NEC, lessons on leadership and public speaking, and her measured view on crypto and equitable economic policy. She closes with practical advice for students: take risks, be kind, and know your why.
Altvest changes its name to Africa Bitcoin Corp and plans to raise R3.68bn ($210m) to invest in Bitcoin. The two men behind the project, Altvest CEO Warren Wheatley and tech entrepreneur Stafford Masie, explain this radical new approach to building what they see as bullet-proof balance sheets. Moneyweb Crypto news articles
This week’s briefing covers a softer labor market, declining Treasury yields, and why the Fed is widely expected to cut rates on September 17. We dig into what fewer job openings could mean for growth, how lower borrowing costs may affect mortgages and corporate activity, and where crude oil might find support after recent weakness. We also preview next week’s CPI and PPI releases, discuss why inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, and outline positioning ideas for a volatile September–October stretch. Plus, sectors we currently favor—financials and health care—and a reminder to use pullbacks to rebalance toward quality. You can send your questions to questions@pyaradio.com for a chance to be answered on air. Catch up on past episodes: http://pyaradio.com Liberty Group website: https://libertygroupllc.com/ Attend an event: www.pyaevents.com Schedule a complimentary 15-minute consultation: https://calendly.com/libertygroupllc/scheduleacall/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Join Aditya Lakhanpal, Managing Director, Corporate Sales, Markets and Securities Services, HSBC India and Mohit Agarwal, Managing Director, Head of Global Trade Solutions, India and South Asia, HSBC as they share essential insights for treasurers navigating change in one of the world's fastest-growing markets. From UPI's instant payments and the digital rupee to GIFT City's rise and ESG integration, this episode explores the opportunities and challenges reshaping cash, liquidity, and risk management.
Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses the outlook for U.S. stocks after Friday's nonfarm payroll data reinforced the thesis of a transition from a rolling recession to a rolling recovery.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing Friday's Payroll report and what it means for equities. It's Monday, Sept 8th at 11:30am in New York. So let's get after it. The heavily anticipated nonfarm payroll report on Friday supports our view that the labor market is weak. However, this is old news to the equity market as we have been discussing for months. First, the labor market data is perhaps the most backward-looking of all the economic series. Second, it's particularly prone to major revisions that tend to make the current data unreliable in real time, which is why the National Bureau of Economic Research typically declares a recession started at a time when most were unaware we were in one. Furthermore, history suggests these revisions are pro-cyclical, meaning they get more negative going into a recession and then more positive once the recovery's begun. It appears this time is no different. Indeed, Friday's revisions were better than last month's by a wide margin suggesting the labor market bottomed in the second quarter. This insight adds support to our primary thesis on the economy and markets that I have been maintaining for the past several years. More specifically, I believe a rolling recession began in 2022 and finally bottomed in April with the tariff announcements made on “Liberation Day.” After the initial phase of this rolling recession, that was led by a payback in Covid pull-forward demand in tech and consumer goods, other sectors of the economy went through their own individual recessions at different times. This is a key reason why we never saw the typical spike in the metrics used to define a traditional recession, although the revisions data is now revealing it more clearly. The historically significant rise in immigration post-covid and subsequent enforcement this year have also led to further distortions in many of these labor market measures. While we have written about these topics extensively over the past several years, Friday's weak labor report provides further evidence of our thesis that we are now transitioning from a rolling recession to a rolling recovery. In short, we're entering a new cycle environment and the Fed cutting interest rates will be key to the next leg of the new bull market that began in April. Central to our view is the notion that the economy has been much weaker for many companies and consumers over the past 3 years than what the headline economic statistics like nominal GDP or employment suggest. We think a better way to measure the health of the economy is earnings growth, and breadth; as well as consumer and corporate confidence surveys. Perhaps the simplest way to determine if an economy is doing well or not is to ask: is it delivering prosperity broadly? On that score, we think the answer is “no” given the fact that earnings growth has been negative for most companies over the past 3 years. The good news is that growth has finally entered positive territory the past 2 quarters. This coincides with the v-shaped recovery in earnings revisions breadth we have been highlighting for months. We think this supports the notion that the worst of the rolling recession is behind us and likely troughed in April. As usual, equity markets got this right and bottomed then, too. Now, we think a proper rate cutting cycle is likely and necessary for the next leg of this new bull market. Given the risk that the Fed may still be focused on inflation more than the weakness in the lagging labor market data, rate cuts may materialize more slowly than what equity investors want. Combined with some signs that liquidity may be drying up a bit as both corporate and Treasury issuance increases, it would not surprise me if equity markets go through some consolidation or even a correction during the seasonally weak time of the year. Should that happen, we would be buyers of that dip and likely even consider moving down the quality curve in anticipation of a more dovish Fed and coordinated action with the Treasury. Bottom line, a new bull market for equities began with the trough in the rolling recession that began in 2022. It's still early days for this new bull which means dips should be bought. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
Keith discusses the factors driving rent growth, emphasizing income growth, supply constraints, and affordability. He highlights that population growth has a weak correlation with rent growth, citing examples like Austin and San Francisco. The fastest rent growth is in San Francisco (4.6%), Fresno (4.6%), and Chicago (4%), while Austin (-6.8%), Denver (-5%), and Phoenix (-4.1%) show declines. GRE Coach, Naresh Vissa, joins the conversation to talk about the administration's focus on lowering rates and the potential for higher inflation as a result. He encourages investors to stay informed and take advantage of opportunities when rates are low. Resources: Book a free coaching session with Naresh at GREinvestmentcoach.com Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/570 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 Welcome to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, vital trends are moving the rental real estate market. And learn what really drives rent growth. It's probably not what you think. Then inflate, baby. Inflate. Why this administration wants inflation today on get rich education. Speaker 1 0:22 Since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors, and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads of 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast, or visit get rich education.com Corey Coates 1:08 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Keith Weinhold 1:18 You Keith, welcome to GRE from Whippany New Jersey to Parsippany New Jersey. Not much distance there and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you're listening to this week's episode of Get rich education, where it's not just about your ROI. It's about your roti, your return on time invested, and your return on life. Everyone says that population growth is what drives rents, yes, but that's just one part of it, and it probably isn't even the most important factor. There is evidence of this, from Harvard research to what HUD has found. Austin, Texas recently added 500,000 people, rents spiked, and then supply flooded in and rents stalled. Head count wasn't enough. I discussed that in depth when I walked the streets of Austin last year. San Francisco lost population, but yet rents rebounded and remain among the highest in the nation. Harvard's housing research shows that population growth only has a weak correlation with rent growth. So what actually does drive rents? Well, income growth, supply constraints, and then staying under the 30% affordability ceiling, which is HUD's definition of what a cost burdened household is, right? That means that a tenant spends more than 30% of their income on rent. That is cost burden, and this pattern holds from ancient Rome to modern Manhattan, rents follow paychecks, not head counts and on the supply side, well, not all metros are created equal. Some have quantified it with what's called a supply elasticity score, places like Houston can seemingly build endlessly, while Manhattan and San Francisco cannot. So it's that difference that explains why incomes turn into rent growth in one market but not in the other. So if you're chasing fast growing metros, okay, but be careful, because headcount does not equal pricing power. Paychecks are what do well today, rents are falling in boom towns, but they're climbing in what we would call legacy, established metros, the year over year, rent change across US, metro areas really has a striking contrast. The three with the fastest rent growth are San Francisco up 4.6% Fresno also up 4.6% and Chicago up 4% and the three biggest declines in rent are Austin down 6.8% Denver down 5% and Phoenix Down 4.1% rent contraction in those three cities. And here's the problem during that 2020, to 2022, real estate surge. Years ago, investors piled into Sun Belt markets, and they sort of expected this endless growth, but then new supply flooded Austin, Phoenix and Denver, pushing rents down and vacancies up, and all three of those are cities that I visited during the boom and I saw the. Cranes in the air myself, and yet, at the same time, older supply constrained metros, like in the northeast, in Chicago and in San Francisco, they are quietly regaining momentum. That's where demand is steady. Construction is limited, and that's why rents are ticking higher. So this is why, like I've talked about before, it's good for you to invest in some Sunbelt areas, say, like Florida and then others that have this steady demand, like, say, a place in Ohio. And it's worth pointing out, too, how unusual it is that a city like Austin has a 6.8% rent contraction. We all know that housing prices are more stable than stocks, sure, but real estate rents are even more stable than housing prices, so this rent aberration that was caused by such wild overbuilding in Austin. Now, I recently attended a presentation on the rental housing market. It was put together by John Burns. He's the one that presented it, and he's the owner of the eponymous John Burns research and consulting. And people pay good money to attend these presentations, and he's a guy worth listening to, always with good housing market insights, and some of his insights while they're the same ones I've shared with you for a while, like how there's been a persistent lack of housing supply in the Northeast and Midwest, and still an abundant supply in the south. The Northeast is the only region of the nation that's adding more jobs than new homes at this time, the top amenities that tenants want today are a driveway in a yard. Pretty simple things. They're not a pool in a clubhouse. They're a driveway in a yard. And if you think about them, it totally makes sense, and that's why single family rentals have become such a booming industry, because that's where tenants are getting a driveway and a yard and burns. Also pointed out that most US job growth is in low income jobs. The presentation talked mostly in terms of headwinds versus tailwinds. Lower immigration. Well, that's a headwind. That's a bad thing for real estate investing, since immigrants tend to be renters. The tailwinds The good thing that includes less future supply coming out of the market, fewer apartments and fewer build to rent, deliveries coming online, fewer being added between today and 2028 and another positive for the next two decades at least, is the fact that since people are having fewer kids, that makes people less likely to settle down, buy a home and need a good school district. Well, that is good for people renting longer, longer tenancy durations, and John Burns also spotlighted how building material cost inflation is up 40% from pre pandemic times fully 40% more in material costs. But that Spike has since flattened out. However, it is just another reason why home prices can't really fall substantially. Today's prices are baked in, and his summary overall is to be bullish and bet on the tailwinds those real estate investing positives that is mostly due to future rent growth because the new supply is going away, and it's going to continue to stay difficult to buy a home, more rent growth, and that's the end of what he had to say. So as you're out there, targeting the right areas and renters for your properties, I've talked before about how new build rental property is a sweet spot, since your builder will often buy down your mortgage rate. For you, new build is where you can attract a good quality tenant. Look for a moment, just forget finding a tenant that can just barely afford your unit because they're spending 30 to 33% of their income to pay you rent, because, see, in that condition, there's no room for you to get a rent increase. If you can offer great value to your residents and target a 10 to 15% rent to income ratio, aha, you are really in good shape, because the easiest rent growth is retaining happy residents that are conditioned to accept 5% rent increases. Well, that is more likely in a nice new build property. That's where you attract a better tenant. And if they were to move out, they would have to take a lesser property so they will stay and pay the rent in. Increase, and they're going to have the capacity to do so when the rent is only 10 to 20% of their income. Keith Weinhold 5:25 Now, when we talk about a major factor that trickles down to rents, the level of inflation, a lot of this comes down to the Fed chair and even the president, to some extent. And you know what's interesting, half the nation bashes whoever is president, and the entire nation bashes whoever is the Fed chair. Look, every recent Fed Chair has been maligned and bashed more than a pinata at a toddler's birthday party, bashed open more than an umpire at a little league game. Well, since 1980 there have been five of them, Volker, then Greenspan, then Bernanke, then Yellen and now Jerome Powell, most of that group is known for substantially lowering interest rates, yet they've remained unpopular anyway. And you know the irony here? The most popular of these five is Paul Volcker. He's the only Fed chair that's celebrated, and yet he jacked rates in the 1980s to up near 20% yes, 20% he really made borrowers feel the pain, but yet he's the only guy that's celebrated, because that's how he stomped that out of control inflation fire, 45 years ago, in 1981 mortgage rates peaked between 18 and 19% yet Somehow he's the Fed share that we celebrate? Well, here in more modern times, will the Fed eventually have to do the same thing? This is because Trump wants inflation now. The short term, talk is about lowering interest rates, but there are so many inflationary forces that you've got to wonder about how interest rates could very well go much higher later to get on top of this inflation that I'm telling you Trump actually wants. Now, of course, no one is going to come out and explicitly say that they want inflation, but that is now so implied, there are a ton of policies that the administration favors that are super inflationary. Some are a little deflationary, like deregulation, but they are overwhelmingly inflationary. Look tariffs, that's inflation on goods, mass deportations, that's labor inflation, reshaping the Fed in order to lower rates. That's inflation, the one big, beautiful bill, act that's lots of spending and largely inflationary. I'm telling you, Trump wants inflation now I'm not here to evaluate these policies for being good or bad. This is about policies, not politics, and understand it's not just the US government. It's every government everywhere that secretly wants inflation. And why do they want that? Well, first, it fuels spending. If you know that your dollars are going to shrink in purchasing power tomorrow, well then you're going to spend today, and consumer spending makes up 68% of us. GDP, yes, Amazon, thanks, you. Secondly, inflation shrinks the government's debt. The third reason that governments everywhere want inflation is because it foils deflation. In a deflationary world, people hoard cash like its gold bullion, tax revenue dries up and the economy stalls, and also inflation. It facilitates wage adjustments. It helps the labor market function. If economic conditions are weak, well, then employers can implement real wage cuts just by keeping salaries flat right where they're at. I mean, that is so preferable to cutting nominal wages directly and giving employees a pay cut notice. Everyone hates seeing that. So those are what four big reasons why governments will take their gloves off and fight in a steel cage match to the death to ensure inflation. So most expect a rate cut at the Feds meeting next week. But if this continues and there were massive cuts, you know, there's something else you've got to ask yourself, do you really want to live in an economy where massive rate cuts occur. I mean, that's what the 2008 global financial crisis and the covid pandemic in 2020 brought to us. So massive cuts mean there's some giant problem out there. Therefore, although the Trump and Powell rivalry, it might make you. Interesting theater and headlines. You know, let's not get carried away. Let's put things in perspective. What matters to you more is how many dollars you're leveraging, the efficiency of your property operations and the quality of your business relationships. Really, the bottom line is that fed tweaks are background noise inflation, that is the long term engine that makes your real estate profitable. Focus there, and let the politicians keep doing the yelling concerns about ongoing inflation and what that means for real estate investors, that's next. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to get rich education. Keith Weinhold 8:57 The same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequel and even chat with President Chaley Ridge personally while it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com. That's Ridge lendinggroup.com. Keith Weinhold 8:57 You know what's crazy your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns, and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading. It's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back, no weird lockups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing, check it out. Text family. 266, 866, to learn about freedom. Family investments, liquidity fund again. Text family, to 66866, Ken McElroy 17:26 this is Rich Dad advisor Ken McElroy. Listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Keith Weinhold 17:34 we have a familiar voice back on the show. It's an in house discussion here with our own GRE investment coach since 2021 he's helped you completely free, usually over the phone, learning your own personal goals and then helping you find the market that's the right fit for you, and even help connect you with the exact property address that helps you win the inflation Triple Crown, like say, 321, Mulberry Street in Chattanooga, Tennessee. They say that formal education will make you a living self education will make you a fortune. Well, he's got them both. He's slinging an MBA, and he's an active real estate investor just like you and I. Hey, welcome back to the show investment coach and race Vista. Naresh Vissa 18:25 Hey, Keith pleasure, to be back on. Keith Weinhold 18:27 Inflation is something that affects real estate investors even more so than it does the general public. Since we're borrowing large sums of money and the inflation discussion sure has been interesting lately, you just can't quite get rates back down to 2% still, they've been elevated for years. So talk to us from your vantage point about inflation and future inflation concerns. Naresh Vissa 18:51 Well, Keith, I am concerned about inflation. This is the first time in a year or so that I'm concerned with the direction and with the policy surrounding inflation, here's why. And I brought this up when I was on your podcast in July, the current administration is not talking at all about the fact that inflation is rising. We saw the CPI, for example, hit 2.3% which was four year low earlier this year, and since then, inflation has gone up. That is concerning, that inflation is going back up without any rate cuts. Yet it's gone back, I don't want to say gone back up, but it's gone up. And remember, the Federal Reserve inflation target is 2% so we want to get as close to 2% as possible. And the number one issue in the 2024 election, and the number one issue today is still the cost of everything is right, is too much, which we'll talk about, from gas prices to home values to rents to grocery that's the. Big one, the cost of groceries, the stuff that you buy at grocery stores, etc, everything is just too expensive. Of course, education, you name, childcare, everything is just too expensive. Inflation is still, I think the administration needs to really tackle this problem. They need to really, really tackle it, because it is the number one issue. It is what people essentially, their vote is, is based on it's not necessarily based on some peace agreement in a foreign nation. It's not based on some social issue. The number one issue is going to be this inflation problem. It's are things affordable? Do I have money in my bank account to pay for X, Y and Z? So I am concerned because, yes, tariffs are inflationary. That's kind of common sense. Now I think tariffs can be good. Tariffs can keep inflation in check. If they're handled the right way, we will see that. But my bigger concern is that inflation has been rising. We're not anywhere close to that 2% and we know with a very high degree of certainty that the Federal Reserve is beginning their rate cutting cycle next week with the September rate cut, and that's going to be extended. We've seen President Trump. He's very public, his Treasury Secretary, his Secretary of Commerce, all the economic advisors who he has, they're very transparent about the fact that they want rates slashed, and they want rates slashed quickly. And so we know that we're going to get a rate this is going to be a rate slashing cycle. It's going to be great for the upper class, if you want to call it, it's going to be great for real estate investors, but for the common man, the byproduct of that is going to be higher inflation. There's just no way that you can cut rates so quickly, so low, and you're not going to see inflation. That's my concern. Now on the other hand, and again, we have to see how this plays out. On the other hand, I brought up earlier this year, I've referenced Doge. I think Doge is doing a good job cutting government spending, trying to scale back some of the government initiatives, not that the government's always going to spend we know that, but it's you need to cut back, and doges is trying to do that. That's a plus. But even bigger, I talked about some foreign wars, right? Well, I think that the Middle Eastern conflict and the Russia Ukraine conflict, both of those actually are disinflationary, or fixing those conflicts, creating peace. We've seen a ceasefire in the Middle East. We've seen a peace agreement in Ukraine, and they're disinflationary because of some of the items that I brought up. I think oil is going to dip below $50 a barrel as a result of these peace agreements, these ceasefires. So we're going to see oil prices go down. When you see oil and energy prices go down, you see the cost of almost everything else go down, because you need oil and energy to transport everything else. If you're building a house, you have wood and steel and lumber and and all sorts of materials. And it's you need a truck to transport all that. And the truck is probably it's not an EV truck. You're getting these big trucks that are using diesel fuel. So if we can bring down the cost of of oil and gas and electricity, which these taking care of these conflicts will do, creating peace will do the price of those products, oil, the natural gas, the electricity, the wheat, the grains, those are your groceries. The cost of those are going to come down. So I think it's very positive what we're seeing with this idea of peace in regions that make a huge difference to the global economy. So I'm curious to see, like I think we could see greater than 100 basis point decrease in inflation just by solving these conflicts 1% or more, like I legitimately think so, and that's without the tariffs. That's without the federal rate cut. So even if we're at, let's say, two and a half percent inflation today, and you shave off 100 basis points up now you're at one and a half, and then you throw in tariff inflation, you throw in the rate cut inflation, and we're around 2% so that's the ideal scenario that the administration is hoping for. It's let's create peace, let's have a freer market, and then they can scale back a lot of these tariffs too, because many of these tariffs against India, for example, they can scale back the United States can scale back the 50% tariff on India. That tariff was India got hit with because they're buying Russian oil, and you take care of the Russia conflict. Now it's we say, oh, India, you know, we'll scale back to go back to your 25% tariff, or maybe even less, if you do X, Y and Z. For us, we can expect to see many of these tariffs scaled back. We can expect to see the price of specific goods and services, the prices decrease, which will bring down inflation. That's what I'm optimistic about. Hopefully all these agreements hold, which I think they will, and we can expect that, and the Fed can begin its rate cutting cycle, and everything will be booming, and everything will be great. This is the. Deal scenario. I'm not predicting this. This is the ideal scenario for the administration, Keith Weinhold 25:05 when both war and terrorists get as bad as they can possibly get. From there, they can only get better, each of which would be disinflationary. Now, the CPI inflation has been reported at 2.7% each of the past two months. But when we talk about rates, Trump wants lower rates, of course, and I think we all know that the Fed's fear of lowering rates is that high inflation could resurface. One thing though, that few think about is that lower rates lead to higher inflation, which kills off the national debt faster. But when we think about upcoming federal reserve rate cuts anytime, whether this was 10 years ago today or 10 years into the future, these are the type of lessons that I like to talk about. All right, when we look at the last Fed meeting, there was no rate cut, but then awful jobs numbers were reported right after that. That's why some think that there could be a 50 point rate cut at the next meeting. The Fed meets eight times a year, so there's about a month and a half between meetings. Now, the Fed doesn't have to wait for a meeting to make a rate cut. They can do an emergency rate cut between meetings, like we saw during covid, but sometimes they're reluctant to do that because that really spooks markets, and that makes people think, oh my gosh, there was an emergency rate cut. Maybe things are worse than we thought. What's going on that triggers concern? Naresh Vissa 26:24 Well, I think that would be a huge mistake to have an emergency. Yeah, anatomic was obviously an emergency. That was a global emergency. Makes sense. 2008 I remember, I was just college student, but that was an emergency because we saw people lining up on the streets of Manhattan with all their boxes of laid off work, and we saw that on Phoebe. You know, that was a trying time. I think that's out of the question. It's completely unnecessary, especially when the Fed meets every 45 to 50 days. It's, you know, you can wait another 20 days until the next meeting and then make a decision when you have lower rates than the cost, the borrowing costs on the debt, it goes down so the government can refinance its debt, and they would pay less keyword interest dollars. That's a plus, the other plus with tariffs. And I really hope, again, this is just my opinion. I hope this is what happens. But the government is raising quite a lot of tariff revenue, so close to $30 billion last month. And we can expect, in the first full year, next year, it's going to have raised close to half a trillion dollars just for fiscal year 2026 that's the expectation, about half trillion dollars worth of tariff revenue. And I hope that the government uses that pair of revenue to pay down the debt, because when you're paying down the debt, you're dissipating inflation. What I actually don't want them to do is to give us back that money, because they've been floating that around, saying, Oh, we got all this tariff revenue. Let's get it back as a tariff dividend, and every American gets hex, you know, $100 in their bank account or something Keith Weinhold 28:01 very altruistic. Of you patriotic, Naresh Vissa 28:04 I would much rather that they use 100% of it to pay down that debt, because the country is going to be better off as a whole over the long term, and in turn, the people will be better off over the long term. The people may not see it. They may want their $200 check or $100 check or whatever it might be, but over the long term, I think the tariffs are overall working out quite well. We're not seeing the crazy inflation that the mainstream expert predicted. I don't think we're going to see the crazy inflation that the experts predicted, if you it's not going to be because of the tariffs, in my opinion, I think it's going to be if there's this aggressive rate cutting cycle that juices the markets and the cost of everything just just goes up. And this ties into real estate investing, because when the Fed starts cutting, that's a very good time for real estate investors to pay attention when the Fed stops cutting immediately. That's a an even better time to pay attention when the rates have bottomed. And this has to deal with timing the real estate market. I'll give you an example. I own several properties. Of one of my properties when the Fed was cutting in 2020 it took about a year for all those cuts to permeate into the mortgage market and into the the market as a whole. It took it. The inflation didn't go up overnight. The inflation didn't go up in April of 2020 or or May of 2020 it went up in April of 2021, it took about a year. So I actually refinanced one of my properties in July of 2021, I refinanced my my property, and I saved about 110 basis points on that refinance. And that's what I mean by timing the market. Because, if you're paying attention, part of it was I knew, Okay, the Fed has stopped. It's cutting. And you know, let's follow the more. Good market. Let's follow the Treasury yield curve and all that. And I jumped in. I literally refinanced at the bottom, like at the absolute bottom. There was about a three month window that was the bottom, and I refinanced. I did the application all that at the beginning of those three months, and it was and I got that great rate at the end of those three months. And I think there's going to be a tremendous opportunity for real estate investors. And I'm sure the Bane This is why I'm a little concerned about inflation as well, because the big hedge funds, the big real estate investment firms, the big banks, the blackstones, the blackrocks, they're going to be ready, and they're going to buy up. They're going to buy up real estate again, and investors, including our GRE investors, they're going to start buying up too. So pay attention. We're going to cover it here. We're going to cover it here, on the podcast and in the newsletter. But pay attention to these rates, because it'll be, I don't want to say, a once in a lifetime opportunity, but it will be a once in a cycle type of opportunity to jump in and get some bottoming real estate values as well as bottoming real estate mortgage rates at the same time. So that equilibrium point is only, like I said, about three or four months long. So we're going to be coming to that point and timing it sometime, I think next year, 2026 Keith Weinhold 31:21 talk to us about the vibe that you're getting from GRE listeners that contact you for a free coaching session. It's really hard to time the real estate market. Why don't you help us out with that? Let us know about a listener or two that you recently helped. Naresh Vissa 31:37 Well, we have free real estate investment coaching here at GRE. It's absolutely free of charge. You can call, text me, email me whenever you'd like. People can book a free meeting with me, and it's a session. It's an immersive session on real estate investing. So we can go over all of that on our call. You can reach out to me unlimited times, like I said, it's I'm here just to help you throughout and along your real estate investment journey, I've helped hundreds of people invest in real estate, hundreds so it's buying turnkey, cash flowing real estate properties, so our investors can buy properties, and use my guidance and advice to help them buy properties. I also help them if they already own properties, how to optimize their portfolio, how to find new markets. I help them with their existing properties, dealing with property managers, with contractors, even with issues that things aren't always great in real estate, sometimes things can be bad. So listener Paul, for example. Listener Paul, he had a problem with the builder, and he submitted earnest money, and he wanted his earnest money back. Many, many years had gone by, and he came to me and he said, Hey, Naresh, you know, I've got all this money tied up, and the builder's not giving me the money back. Can you help me? And so I got him in touch with the right people, and within three or four months, he got all of his money back, plus interest on all the missed payments. So he got everything back as a lump sum, and then he thanked me and said, Thank you so much. I can sleep better at night, and I'm just I'm doing very well now, and he was ready to buy his next property. Keith Weinhold 33:15 That's an example of where a deal went wrong and the builder didn't perform and build a property. Naresh Vissa 33:19 Yes, exactly. Think of me as a trusted advisor, but also as a super connector, someone who can get you in touch with all the right companies and people to make real estate investing very sound. We have listener Joe, who bought many properties through us. He bought his first property through me and through GRE through our coaching program, and that first property worked out really well. So then he said, Hey, I want to buy a second property about six months later. So he bought a second property, and that worked out well. And then he said, let's go with it. And he bought all these with the same provider. So once he reached four, because my rule is, you don't want to go more than four or five in one market. Then he asked me for the next he said, what market do you recommend next? So then I recommended the next market, and then he bought another three or four in that market, and he built a nice little portfolio of seven or I mean, some people think it's little, some people think it's big, of seven or eight properties. So that's very common with the coaching program, where our listeners are really happy. If things are going great, I'm here for them. If things are not going the way that they expected, I'm here to help fix that problem. Keith Weinhold 34:30 Maurice, is there to help you start building and grow a portfolio. Now, how do you yourself analyze deals and find properties before you let our listeners know about them? Naresh Vissa 34:40 Well, we work with 15 to 20 different providers around the country, 15 to 20. So these providers are always reaching out to me, emailing me, calling me, leading me voicemails, texting me, saying we've got this great deal. We've got this great incentive. So I parse through all of that, and I find a handful of what I think is best. US and many of these deals, I send them to you, Keith, to promote in your Don't quit your Daydream newsletter, which people can subscribe if they go to get rich education.com. I send them there, and I let our listeners know on the phone when they set up calls, or I have notes on every meeting. So I'm able to send all of these deals to them, and that's how I put the best deals in front of them. Keith Weinhold 35:25 Most of the coaching calls are over the phone rather than zoom the race. Sure can arrange a zoom call with you if you prefer. You really don't need to do too much to prepare for the call either. Naresh Vissa 35:38 No, not at all. Just sign up for the meeting, and I'll run things. I'll run the meeting, I'll run the call. It's very straightforward. It's a session. It's very immersive, very interactive. Keith Weinhold 35:49 Yeah, and you just have to book a time with Naresh once there and afterward. Yeah, it's really casual. Naresh is very open to you text messaging him if you have any ideas, or if you just heard about something on the show that you want to know more of. But yeah, booking that first coaching call is really what opens the door to the communication. And you really staying up to date on things. You can find a race through GRE marketplace. And alternatively, you can learn more about him with his bio. And importantly, book a time on his calendar by going directly to GREinvestment coach.com for a while now he's had times available Monday through Friday, and even some weekend slots available, and yeah, keep in touch with him, because property inventory is ever changing, especially with late breaking news like we've had this year of Home Builders Offering major incentives like buying down your mortgage rate to about 5% so staying up to date has hopefully brought you, the listeners, some really big wins already this year. Naresh, do you have any last thoughts? Naresh Vissa 35:49 Definitely book a meeting with me. You won't regret it. I think even if you think that you own all these properties, you have all this experience, I think you'll find that the resources we offer it through our free coaching program, there will be one or two nuggets that you didn't know about that will still help you. So it doesn't harm anybody to book that free session with me. If you don't think you need my help, maybe it's just a five minute call and we touch base and we're good to go. That's fine too, but I highly recommend that people get in touch with me. We go from there so that you can continue to have a fruitful investment journey. Keith Weinhold 37:28 Naresh has been valuable as always. Thanks for coming back out of the show. Naresh Vissa 37:31 Thank you very much, Keith. Keith Weinhold 37:38 Yeah, some sharp insight from Naresh as always. Now, when you think about making your next property move, consider how, compared to a few years ago, uncertainty has largely abated and real estate has stabilized. Think about how back in 2020 covid was the big uncertainty concern 2021 it was this real estate boom and an inventory shortage. You would get 50 or 80 offers on one property, and buyers were waiving inspections. That was tough. That was such a seller's market in 2022 that's when you had inflation and the supply chain chaos. That's when CPI inflation peaked at 9.1% in 2023 the big uncertainty concern was interest rate shock and the affordability crisis. And last year and this year, they've pivoted more to macro economic concerns. So therefore today's chief concern gets somewhat more buffered from real estate. Now I discussed the direction of rents earlier in today's show, the recently released Kay Shiller numbers came out, and they show that national home prices are up almost 2% annually, 13 cities or higher and seven or lower. By the way, this continued nominal price appreciation that frustrates the bejesus out of those perpetually wrong crash predictors. They have been wrong even longer than the people waiting for flying cars to show up. And where will prices continue to go from here, probably even higher now, America just hit somewhat of a milestone in this cycle. You might remember that mortgage rates peaked at 7.8% almost two years ago. Well, mortgage rates have now slid down to six and a half 6.5% and here's why this has become significant, right? Just compared to when rates were 7% per the nar 2.8 million Americans now qualify to buy a home. 5.5 million more will qualify at 6% and 7.7 more will qualify at five and a half percent. My gosh. Now. Now, of course, not every newly qualified buyer is going to pounce on a property, but only if a fraction of those do. Can you imagine how this demand increase will stoke prices? There are still only about 1.1 million homes available today. So not only are mortgage rates at a fresh low, but inventory choices, although they're still historically low, they are now at a six year high, and this is all while there's less buyer competition. So today's buyer conditions are really improving, and the bottom line here is that you are in the best position in more than five years to find the right property while still avoiding a bidding war, you have really got some properties to choose from. That is the takeaway, and you don't need to do much to prepare for an immersive free call with Naresh. You know what your situation is, although you probably do want to have about a 20% down payment for a property ready to go, some of which cost as little as 200k in these investor advantage markets, whether you've never bought any property in your life, or if you have dozens, it probably will benefit you. You can easily book a time that works best for you right on a GRE investment coaches calendar that way. There's no back and forth, and you can set it up now. Should you so choose at GRE investment coach.com Until next week, I'm your host, Keith Weinhold, don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 3 41:38 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice, please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC, exclusively. Keith Weinhold 42:02 You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info, oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got paywalls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers. It's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters. And I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point, because even the word abbreviation is too long. My letter usually takes less than three minutes to read, and when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream letter. It wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text gre, 266, 866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text gre, 266, 866, Keith Weinhold 43:18 The preceding program was brought to you buy your home for wealth, building, get richeducation.com
BIO: As Co-Founder & CEO of Mode Mobile, Dan Novaes is leading the transformation of how people interact with technology. His “Earn As You Go” software empowers millions of consumers to turn daily habits into passive income.STORY: Dan decided to take the bold move of turning his treasury into a long-term crypto strategy. What started as $2 million in Bitcoin and Ethereum ballooned to $30 million, but the 2022 crash and business pressures forced him to liquidate at low prices—missing out on what could have been a $100 million windfall.LEARNING: Don't chase aggressive expansion without a clear path to profitability. Stick to your core business. Separate your business from speculative bets. “Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face. Take a moment of deep thinking every week when things are going well, think about everything that could go wrong, and then reassess your position.”Dan Novaes Guest profileAs Co-Founder & CEO of Mode Mobile, Dan Novaes is leading the transformation of how people interact with technology. His “Earn As You Go” software empowers millions of consumers to turn daily habits into passive income. Under his leadership, Mode achieved 32,481% revenue growth from 2019 to 2022 and ranked #1 in Software on Deloitte's Technology Fast 500 in North America.Worst investment everIn today's rapidly evolving and highly interconnected business world, companies are increasingly relying on external partnerships to drive growth and innovation.Dan's story begins in the early days of crypto. His company had raised funds through Bitcoin and Ethereum when Bitcoin was valued at just a few thousand dollars and Ethereum at only a few hundred. This early success in the crypto market was a testament to the potential for significant growth that these investments could bring.Once the business had a comfortable runway, Dan made a bold move—he turned their treasury, which is the accumulated profits and cash reserves, into a long-term crypto strategy, much like what companies like MicroStrategy would later become known for.Riding the waveAt first, the decision looked genius. That $1–2 million ballooned into $30 million. Dan was on CNBC, celebrating as Bitcoin crossed $10,000, and his company seemed unstoppable. They never had to fundraise again—until the 2022 crash.The crashIn 2022, Bitcoin's price fell from $63,000 to $18,000, and pressure mounted. Compounding the pain, many of Dan's advertising partners went bankrupt, leaving unpaid bills. This was a significant blow to the company's financial stability. To survive, Dan's company had to liquidate almost the entire treasury at depressed prices.Had Dan managed his growth and financials more cautiously, that crypto position could have grown to $100 million or more. Instead, he walked away with far less—and a bitter lesson.Lessons learnedGrowth at all costs is dangerous. Chasing aggressive expansion without a clear path to profitability can leave your company vulnerable when market conditions shift.Profit-taking matters. Riding the wave without ever securing gains turned paper wealth into a forced liquidation.Stick to your core business.Discipline is everything. Not letting market euphoria dictate strategy is critical to long-term survival.Andrew's takeawaysSeparate your business from speculative bets. Don't gamble with your excess cash on foreign exchange trades. Instead, hedge your risks because...
In this episode, Craig Jeffery talks with Garry Capers of Deluxe about what really drives successful treasury implementations. They explore the roles of people, process, planning, and change management, going well beyond the technology itself. How can teams ensure smoother go-lives, user adoption, and long-term impact? Listen in for practical insights and leadership-level strategy.
Tune in live every weekday Monday through Friday from 9:00 AM Eastern to 10:15 AM.Buy our NFTJoin our DiscordCheck out our TwitterCheck out our YouTubeDISCLAIMER: You should never treat any opinion expressed by the hosts of this content as a recommendation to make a particular investment, or to follow a particular strategy. The thoughts and commentary on this show are an expression of the hosts' opinions and are for entertainment & informational purposes only.
The prime minister has made some big changes in No.10. Darren Jones moves from the Treasury to take on the newly-created job of chief secretary to the prime minister. A new executive director of communications has been recruited. Minouche Shafik has been appointed as the PM's economics adviser. And other eye-catching job changes are taking place. So what does this all say about how Keir Starmer wants to govern? How will Darren Jones's role dovetail with chief of staff Morgan McSweeney and Cabinet Office minister Pat McFadden? Will these changes really equip the centre of government for a “relentless focus on delivery”? And what Institute for Government recommendations should Starmer now adopt as he weighs up further changes to the centre? This IfG expert briefing explores the prime minister's reshuffle of his No.10 team.
On this week's episode of Horizon Podcast, John Chang breaks down the newest jobs report, why the Fed is poised to cut, and how a sub-4 percent 10-year Treasury creates a short window to lock attractive debt for acquisitions and refis. He explains why policy uncertainty and tariffs could stoke stagflation, then maps the likely impacts by asset class, from steady necessity retail and mixed industrial outlooks to a nascent office recovery fueled by rising return-to-office pressure. John also outlines why supply pipelines are tapering faster than demand in many markets, how absorption could remain positive even through a mild recession, and why real estate may still outperform stocks and bonds if inflation lingers. This is a limited time offer, so head over to aspenfunds.us/bestever to download the investor deck—or grab their quick-start guide if you're brand new to oil and gas investing. Visit investwithsunrise.com to learn more about investment opportunities. Get 50% Off Monarch Money, the all-in-one financial tool at www.monarchmoney.com with code BESTEVER Get a 4-week trial, free postage, and a digital scale at https://www.stamps.com/cre. Thanks to Stamps.com for sponsoring the show! Join the Best Ever Community The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It's free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria. Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at www.bestevercommunity.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode Dominic Bowen and Professor Kimberly Clausing examine the return of tariffs to the centre of U.S. economic strategy and the risks this shift creates for the global economy. Find out more about how protectionism and populism are reshaping U.S. trade policy, why tariffs act as a hidden tax on consumers and small businesses, the political dynamics driving short-term wins over long-term stability, the impact on supply chains and export industries such as higher education, tourism, and technology, the risks of corruption and rent-seeking in tariff exemptions, and how international trust in the United States is being tested as allies confront unpredictable economic behaviour, and more.Professor Kimberly Clausing holds the Eric M. Zolt Chair in Tax Law and Policy at the UCLA School of Law. Professor Clausing is also a nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. During the first part of the Biden Administration, Clausing was the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Tax Analysis in the US Department of the Treasury, serving as the lead economist in the Office of Tax Policy. Professor Clausing has published widely on taxation, climate policy, and international trade, and is the author of Open: The Progressive Case for Free Trade, Immigration, and Global Capital (Harvard University Press, 2019). International Monetary Fund, the Hamilton Project, the Brookings Institution, the Tax Policy Center, and the Center for American Progress and has testified before the U.S. Congress on multiple occasions. She has received two Fulbright Research Awards, and her research has been supported by the National Science Foundation, the Smith Richardson Foundation, the International Centre for Tax and Development, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the Washington Center for Equitable Growth.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime, to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter. The International Risk Podcast – Reducing risk by increasing knowledge.Follow us on LinkedIn and Subscribe for all our updates!Tell us what you liked!
Marty sits down with Mel Mattison to discuss his bullish predictions for 2025, the merging of Treasury and Fed policy, China's gold accumulation strategy, and why he believes we're heading toward lower interest rates, higher asset prices, and a potential economic boom despite various geopolitical tensions. Mel on Twitter: https://x.com/MelMattison1 Mel's website: https://www.melmattison.com/ 0:00 - Intro 0:48 - Summer's over 4:11 - Fed independence myth 9:58 - December bond futures 15:53 - Rate cuts and job market weakness 22:44 - Bitkey & Unchained 24:04 - Market gains but people suffering 29:52 - China's gold accumulation strategy 36:40 - Obscura & SLNT 38:32 - The west doesn't understand China 45:35 - Opportunituy Cost 46:20 - China's long term perspective 51:07 - Make the west great again 55:52 - Trump/Fed conflict 1:00:20 - Bessent's national security role 1:16:11 - Housing emergency and MAGA intervention 1:26:20 - Electricity prices 1:32:22 - Bitcoin volatility suppression STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/VJ2dABShBz Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Bitkey https://bit.ly/TFTCBitkey20 Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Obscura https://obscura.net/ SLNT https://slnt.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
The August jobs report shows the U.S. economy added just 22,000 jobs, far below expectations, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest since 2017 outside the pandemic. In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, including which industries are adding jobs, where losses are showing up, and why long-term unemployment is on the rise. You'll also hear how markets reacted, with Treasury yields dropping, mortgage rates hitting new yearly lows, and investors betting on a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. For real estate investors, Kathy explains how falling mortgage rates could open refinancing and buying opportunities, while a weaker labor market may signal challenges ahead for rental demand and consumer confidence. JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS SOURCES: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/jobs-report-august-stock-market-today-09-05-2025/card/how-markets-are-reacting-to-the-august-jobs-report-in-charts-FQcQtn7rwcUks8KYBbJ9?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=ASWzDAi5rhcACM9CUVuSweEm6gfhlzjTymFu-MGPtOdT6FSdkv99FJMXEzn4IZAJjOk%3D&gaa_ts=68bb3e42&gaa_sig=7Pc9VuZh3MAASJs3g1fibqeeIosHhMl5M5QtC4kyYQ3hpWkwoe_QfVXzgrgz1BPAS57xZt78Hf84_DJtirgONQ%3D%3D
Global long-yield rise vs. easing cycles; fiscal dominance and debt saturationFed cuts likely in September; inflation still >2%Gold performance and the “trust migration” from fiat assetsHarvard endowment signal; Treasury long-bond buybacks funded by billsDalio's “debt-induced heart attack” timelineBitcoin seasonality and volatility compression; SOV → MoE arcCorporate BTC treasuries surpass 1M BTC; possible MSTR S&P 500 inclusionARC + Lightning progress; Bitcoin culture (“Killing Satoshi”) Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private. Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.
Brian Rudick, Chief Strategy Officer of Upexi, joined me to discuss the company's Solana treasury strategy and why he believes SOL is the next major treasury asset.Topics:- Why Upexi chose Solana for its Treasury Asset - Digital Asset Treasury trend, lifespan, and risks - Are DATs operating as Banks? - Why Crypto versus other assets for Treasury - Solana Staking and DeFi Show Sponsor -
Fed Chair Jay Powell's speech at Jackson Hole underscored the central bank's new focus on managing downside growth risks. Michael Zezas, our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy, talks about how that shift could impact markets heading into 2026. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Today: What a subtle shift in the Fed's reaction function could mean for markets into year-end.It's Wednesday, September 3rd at 11am in New York.Last week, our U.S. economics team flagged a subtle but important shift in U.S. monetary policy. Chair Jay Powell's speech at Jackson Hole underscored that the Fed looks more focused on managing downside growth risks and, consequently, a bit more tolerant on inflation.As you heard Michael Gapen and Matthew Hornbach discuss last week – our colleagues expect this brings forward another Fed cut into September, kicking off a quarterly pace of 25 basis-point moves. But while this is a meaningful change in the timing of Fed rate cuts, this path would only result in slightly lower policy rates than those implied by the futures market, a proxy for the consensus of investors.So what does it mean for our views across asset classes? In short, our central case is for mostly positive returns across fixed income and equities into year-end. But the Fed's increased tolerance for inflation is a new wrinkle that means investors are likely to experience more volatility along the way.Consider U.S. government bonds. A slower economy and falling policy rates argue for lower Treasury yields. But if investors grow more convinced that the Fed will tolerate firmer inflation, the curve could steepen further, with the risk of longer maturity yields falling less, or potentially even rising.Or consider corporate bonds. Our economic growth view is “slower but still expanding,” which generally bodes well for corporate balance sheets and, thus, the pricing of credit risk. That combined with lower front-end rates suggests a solid total return outlook for corporate credit, keeping us constructive on the asset class. But of course, if long end yields are moving higher, it would certainly cut against overall returns potential.Finally, consider the stock market. The base case is still constructive into year-end as U.S. earnings hold firm, and recent tax cuts should further help corporate cash flows. However, if long bonds sell off, this could put the rally at risk – at least temporarily, as my colleague Mike Wilson has highlighted; given that higher long-end yields are a challenge to the valuation of growth stocks.The risk? A repeat of the early-April dynamic where a long-end sell-off pressures valuations.Could we count on a shift in monetary policy to curb these risks? Or another public policy shift such as easing tariffs or Treasury adjusting its bond issuance plans? Possibly. But investors should understand this would be a reaction to market conditions, not a proactive or preventative shift. So bottom line, we still see many core markets set up to perform well, but the sailing should be less smooth than it has been in recent months.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review and tell your friends about the podcast. We want everyone to listen.