Podcasts about cpi

“Gold is the source of wealth of last resort. It's your insurance policy,” says Lobo Tiggre, principal analyst and editor of IndependentSpeculator.com. In the interview with Daniela Cambone, Tiggre argues that the recent correction in precious metals is a healthy pause, not the end of the bull run. "I have been looking for some period of correction and consolidation," he states, noting that "anytime something pulls a hockey stick... some correction and consolidation wouldn't be surprising."While gold serves as insurance, Tiggre sees even greater upside potential in silver. "If you want to say, 'OK, well, if you're gonna adjust silver for inflation, we still haven't hit an all-time high, so it has to go much higher,' like last I saw, the CPI-adjusted all-time high for silver was $200 an ounce. So we're nowhere near the top."Beyond the metals, Tiggre offers a stark macro view, suggesting the conflict in the Middle East introduces a new variable, but warns investors to "not exactly look through it, but correct for it." Watch the interview to learn more about what he predicts for uranium, copper, and the resource cycle's next move.

What you'll learn in this episode: Why most real estate agents don't even know their own job description   The one domino that knocks down every other challenge in your business   The 90-day rule: why skipping even one week of lead gen resets your momentum to zero   How an agent with a full-time job, a family, and a busy life still closed seven deals a month   The danger of pessimism and how to push through the hard days   The CPI formula—daily actions that guarantee success and financial freedom To find out more about Dan Rochon and the CPI Community, you can check these links:Website: No Broke MonthsPodcast: No Broke Months for Salespeople PodcastInstagram: @donrochonxFacebook: Dan RochonLinkedIn: Dan RochonTeach to Sell Preorder: Teach to Sell: Why Top Performers Never Sell – And What They Do Instead

Mark and Marisa are joined once again by colleagues Chris Lafakis and Juan Pablo Fuentes to discuss the past week's developments in the Middle East and whether the forecast has changed as a result. Matt Colyar joins to review the week's release of inflation data, which show stickiness in inflation prior to the $40 jump in oil prices since the start of the year. After a review of weak reports on GDP, spending and confidence, Chris and Juan Pablo discuss how the jump in oil prices and the unprecedented supply shock will affect consumer spending and growth. The group posits their forecasts for how and when the conflict may end.  Guests: Matt Colyar, Chris Lafakis and Juan Pablo Fuentes For a deeper dive on AI and the macroeconomy, see our new paper, The Macroeconomic Consequences of Artificial Intelligence, where we model four potential economic paths over the next decade. We also walk through the scenarios in a companion webinar available now on-demand. Read the paper: https://www.economy.com/getfile?q=2B555C90-1118-4A49-BDAA-5C0A99F83A9E&app=download Watch the webinar: https://bit.ly/3OF6dn9 Email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com for more info about the Moody's Summit '26 Conference in San Diego Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Want to Learn about having "you're own" ITR Economist on your team?→ https://promotions.itreconomics.com/en-us/insights-from-itr-economics Don't miss our Executive Webinar on March 20th→ https://itrondemand.com/store/product/profitless-prosperity This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the latest inflation data and what it means for the Federal Reserve's next move. With CPI and Core CPI still running above the Fed's target, inflation remains stubbornly persistent, raising new questions for businesses and consumers alike. Lauren also examines how rising geopolitical tensions and potential disruptions in global oil supply could influence energy prices and consumer budgets. While the impact may be temporary, the combination of higher energy costs and growing electricity demand from AI and data centers could complicate the Fed's path toward rate cuts. What does this mean for inflation trends, business planning, and the likelihood of interest rate relief this year? Watch the full episode to understand the forces shaping the economic outlook and what to watch next. 00:02 – Inflation remains sticky: CPI and Core CPI update 00:42 – Middle East tensions and risks to global oil supply 02:12 – How higher energy prices impact consumers 03:25 – Why energy costs matter less than they used to 04:05 – AI, data centers, and rising electricity demand 04:45 – What sticky inflation means for Fed rate cuts 05:30 – Other economic data: GDP, housing, and labor market

Confira os destaques de Os Pingos nos Is desta sexta-feira (13):A Supremo Tribunal Federal formou maioria para manter a prisão do banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro no âmbito das investigações do caso Banco Master. O relator André Mendonça argumentou que Vorcaro representa risco às investigações e poderia continuar praticando crimes. O ministro Nunes Marques acompanhou o voto do relator, garantindo maioria para manter o banqueiro preso. O ministro André Mendonça afirmou que integrantes da suposta organização ligada ao banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro ainda não foram identificados ou presos no caso do Banco Master. Segundo o magistrado do Supremo Tribunal Federal, novas investigações devem analisar celulares apreendidos e identificar outros participantes do grupo. Investigadores que acompanham o caso do Banco Master avaliam que a manutenção da prisão do banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro pode aumentar as chances de um acordo de delação premiada. A possibilidade preocupa autoridades políticas e jurídicas, já que o empresário poderia revelar detalhes do esquema investigado pela Polícia Federal. O senador Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) afirmou que a proposta de CPI para investigar ministros do Judiciário seria ilegal. A declaração foi feita em meio ao debate sobre a criação de uma comissão para apurar possíveis irregularidades envolvendo magistrados. O autor da proposta, Alessandro Vieira, reagiu nas redes sociais e criticou a posição do parlamentar. A Petrobras anunciou aumento de R$ 0,38 por litro no preço do diesel A vendido nas refinarias. O reajuste ocorre após a alta das cotações internacionais do petróleo em meio à escalada de conflitos no Oriente Médio. O governo também anunciou medidas para tentar reduzir o impacto do aumento para os consumidores. A Polícia Federal ainda deve periciar oito celulares pertencentes ao banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro no âmbito das investigações do caso Banco Master. Segundo o ministro André Mendonça, os dados desses aparelhos podem revelar novos detalhes do esquema investigado. Após a decisão da Segunda Turma do Supremo Tribunal Federal de manter a prisão do banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro, o investigado no caso do Banco Master contratou um novo advogado. A mudança na defesa aumenta a expectativa de que Vorcaro possa negociar um acordo de delação premiada. O novo defensor já participou de acordos de colaboração em grandes investigações como a Operação Lava Jato e o Escândalo do Mensalão. O presidente Lula (PT) confirmou que o governo brasileiro cancelou o visto do assessor sênior do Departamento de Estado dos EUA Darren Beattie.Segundo o Itamaraty, a decisão ocorreu após omissão de informações sobre o motivo da viagem ao Brasil. Beattie pretendia participar de eventos no país e também visitar o ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro (PL). O ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro (PL) foi internado às pressas em Brasília após passar mal durante a madrugada e foi diagnosticado com broncopneumonia bacteriana. Segundo a equipe médica, o quadro é considerado grave e exige tratamento com antibióticos na UTI, com monitoramento constante para avaliar a resposta do organismo às medicações. Você confere essas e outras notícias em Os Pingos nos Is.

Alexandre Garcia comenta resposta de Zanin a pedido para forçar abertura da CPI do Master, visita negada de assessor de Trump a Bolsonaro, e reação de Elon Musk a vídeo de presidente da Gazeta do Povo.

Advisors on This Week's Show Kyle Tetting Dave Sandstrom John Sandstrom (with Max Hoelzl, Joel Dresang, engineered by Jason Scuglik) Week in Review (March 9-13, 2026) Significant Economic Indicators & Reports Monday No major announcements Tuesday The National Association of Realtors said the pace of existing home sales rose 1.7% in February, though it was still behind the year-ago rate and around the lowest in more than 30 years. The trade group called demand “muted” as lower mortgage rates and rising wages combined to make housing more affordable than it has been since March 2022. The median sales price rose to $398,000, up 0.3% from February 2025, the 32nd consecutive increase. Wednesday The broadest measure of inflation stayed steady in February. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Consumer Price Index rose 2.4% from February 2025, unadjusted for seasonality. That was the same rate as January and still above the Federal Reserve's long-term target of 2%. Shelter costs led the monthly uptick. Gas prices rose for the first time in three months — prior to subsequent spikes spurred by the Iran war. The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy costs, was up 2.5% from the year before, also the same rate as January. Thursday The U.S. trade deficit narrowed by 25% in January to $54.5 billion. The Bureau of Economic Analysis said exports rose 5.5% from December, led by non-monetary gold and other precious metals, as well as computers and civilian aircraft. Imports shrank 0.7%, led by pharmaceuticals and automobiles. Since January 2025, the trade gap contracted by almost 58% as exports expanded 10% and imports fell 11%. The four-week moving average for initial unemployment claims fell for the third time in four weeks, suggesting employers continue to be reluctant to let workers leave. According to data from the Labor Department, the four-week number was 41% below the 59-year average. More than 2.2 million individuals were receiving jobless benefits in the latest week, up 3.5% from the week before and down less than 1% from the year before. The Commerce Department said housing starts and building permits in January continued to track below their pre-COVID levels. Although the annual pace of housing starts rose 7% from December and 9.5% from January 2025, it has been below the pre-pandemic level for nearly two years. Building permits fell both from the month before and the year before. Meanwhile, the pace of houses under construction fell again, sinking 26% below their record pace in late 2022. Friday The U.S. economy grew slower than previously estimated at the end of 2025. The gross domestic product rose at an annual rate of 1.7% in the fourth quarter, down from a preliminary report of 2.4% and below the 4.4% pace in the third quarter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis blamed the downward revision on weaker consumer spending and private investments and greater declines in government spending and exports. Adjusted for Inflation, GDP grew 2.1% in 2025, the weakest since a 2.1% decline in 2020. In a possible sign of consumer restraint, personal spending fell slightly behind the pace of personal income in January, raising the personal savings rate to its highest level in six months. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported a savings rate of 4.5% of disposable income, which has been below the pre-pandemic level of 7.5% for more than four years. The same report showed the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation staying above its long-range target of 2%. The personal consumption expenditure index was up 2.8% from the year before, vs. 2.9% in December. The last time it was below 2% was February 2021. Durable goods orders were unchanged in January as a plunge in demand for commercial aircraft offset scattered gains elsewhere. The Commerce Department reported that orders overall ran 9% higher than the year before. Excluding volatile transportation orders, demand rose 0.4% from the month before and was up 4.4% from January 2025. Core capital goods orders, a proxy for business investments, were unchanged for the month and up 2.9% from the year before. U.S. employers posted 6.9 million job openings in January, up marginally from December but below the pre-COVID level for the third month in a row. Postings were down 43% from their peak nearly five years ago, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Based on openings and unemployed job seekers, the supply of available labor has outpaced demand since July. That’s after more than four years of the balance favoring workers. The number and rate of workers voluntarily quitting – an indication of worker confidence – stayed below pre-pandemic levels for the 25th month in a row. The University of Michigan said consumer sentiment reversed course following the onset of war in Iran. Polling done before Feb. 28 showed improvements in consumer outlooks, the university said, but opinions plunged thereafter regardless of respondents’ incomes, ages or political affiliations. Overall, consumers had lower expectations for their personal finances and higher forecasts for inflation. Market Closings for the Week Nasdaq – 22105, down 282 points or 1.3% S&P 500 – 6632, down 108 points or 1.6% Dow Jones Industrial Average – 46560, down 942 points or 2.0% 10-year U.S. Treasury Note – 4.29%, up 0.15 point

No “Estadão Analisa” desta sexta-feira, 13, Carlos Andreazza fala da crise do Banco Master e suas ramificações nos três poderes da República. O colunista comenta sobre uma ordem de busca e apreensão expedida pelo ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF) Alexandre de Moraes contra um blogueiro do Maranhão que publicou informações sobre o veículo funcional usado pelo ministro Flávio Dino no Estado. No despacho em que determinou a busca, Moraes afirmou que o autor “se valeu de algum mecanismo estatal para identificação e caracterização dos veículos”, o que teria permitido “exposição indevida relacionada à segurança de autoridades”. Ainda no STF, o ministro Cristiano Zanin rejeitou nesta quinta-feira, 12, o pedido apresentado pelo deputado federal Rodrigo Rollemberg (PSB-DF) relacionado à criação de uma CPI na Câmara dos Deputados para investigar o Banco Master. Na petição enviada à Corte, o deputado afirma que há um “ato omissivo inconstitucional” do presidente da Câmara, Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB), ao não instalar a CPI destinada a investigar “as fraudes ocorridas na relação entre o Master e o BRB”. Acompanhe Estadão Analisa com o colunista Carlos Andreazza, de segunda a sexta-feira, o programa traz uma curadoria dos temas mais relevantes do noticiário, deixando de lado o que é espuma, para se aprofundar no que é relevante Assine por R$1,90/mês e tenha acesso ilimitado ao conteúdo do Estadão. Acesse: https://ofertas.estadao.com.br/_digital/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episódio postado em 13 de março de 2026. No Foro de Teresina desta semana, Fernando de Barros e Silva, Ana Clara Costa e Celso Rocha de Barros analisam a constelação de crises do caso Master, que continua crescendo e envolve personagens do setor financeiro, da política e do Judiciário. No segundo bloco, o trio aprofunda as implicações do escândalo, tratando dos impactos em outras investigações, como a CPI do INSS. No terceiro bloco, o programa discute como essa crise já se conecta com a sucessão presidencial, o desgaste da imagem do STF nas pesquisas de opinião e os movimentos dos Estados Unidos para classificar facções criminosas brasileiras como organizações terroristas. Escalada: 00:00 1º bloco: 06:03 2º bloco: 26:09 3º bloco: 39:59 Kinder Ovo: 01:03:28 Correio Elegante: 01:05:08 Créditos: 01:07:13 Acesse a transcrição e os links citados nesse episódio: https://piaui.co/ft103 Lula, volume 2 já está em pré-venda no site da Companhia das Letras. Para comprar, acesse o link: https://www.companhiadasletras.com.br/livro/9788535945850/lula-volume-2 Envie uma mensagem – ou um áudio de até 1 minuto – para o Correio Elegante pelo e-mail (forodeteresina@revistapiaui.com.br) ou por nossas redes sociais. Quer anunciar no Foro de Teresina? Entre em contato com nossa área comercial: comercial@revistapiaui.com.br. Ficha técnica: Apresentação: Fernando de Barros e Silva, Ana Clara Costa e Celso Rocha de Barros Coordenação geral: Carolina Moraes Direção: Mari Faria Edição:Carolina Moraes e da Mariana Leão Produção e distribuição: Maria Júlia Vieira Finalização e mixagem: Pipoca Sound Intérpretes da nossa música tema: João Jabace e Luis Rodrigues Identidade visual: Maria Cecília Marra com arte de Amandadrafts Coordenação digital: Bia Ribeiro e Juliana Jaeger Checagem: Ethel Rudnitzki Gravado no Estúdio Rastro Redes Sociais: Fábio Brisolla, Emily Almeida e Isa Barros. Vídeos: Isa Barros e Fernanda Catunda

durée : 00:04:24 - Le Grand reportage de France Inter - Visé par des sanctions américaines après un mandat d'arrêt contre Benyamin Netanyahou, le juge français de la Cour pénale internationale Nicolas Guillou raconte les conséquences concrètes de ces mesures et alerte sur une menace contre l'indépendance de la justice. Vous aimez ce podcast ? Pour écouter tous les épisodes sans limite, rendez-vous sur Radio France

Oil prices are exploding past $93 a barrel as Trump's unconditional surrender demand sends shockwaves through markets—but here's the real inflation culprit nobody's talking about, and why the Fed's rate cuts are about to make everything worse.- This episode is sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.- This episode is also sponsored by NetSuite. Download Netsuite's free business guide, Demystifying AI, at https://netsuite.com/goldPeter Schiff analyzes the massive oil price surge following Trump's Iran war, with crude jumping from $90 to over $119 per barrel before pulling back slightly as countries coordinate strategic petroleum reserve releases. Schiff argues that while rising oil prices don't directly cause inflation, the government's monetary and fiscal response to fund the war and rebuild Iran will trigger massive money printing and borrowing, creating real inflation across all goods. He criticizes Trump's economic lies, including false claims about $18 trillion in foreign investment and job creation numbers that show only 181,000 jobs created in 2025 versus 2.2 million under Biden's final year.Schiff expresses outrage over Trump's campaign against Congressman Thomas Massey in Kentucky, calling Massey "the best congressman we have" and the only Republican who truly stands for constitutional principles, limited government, and fiscal responsibility. He explains that Massey voted against Trump's "big beautiful" tax bill because it increased spending without corresponding cuts, making it a disguised tax hike rather than genuine tax relief. Schiff sees Trump's attack on Massey as proof that Trump opposes real conservative principles, preferring rubber-stamp politicians over principled representatives who honor their constitutional oath.Chapters:00:00:00 Show Cold Open00:00:55 War and Oil Shock00:09:45 Inflation and Fed Blame00:16:20 Unconditional Surrender Walkback00:21:57 Dollar Power and Gold Outlook00:29:31 Mining Stocks Selloff00:31:14 Oil Spike and Profits00:32:24 How to Buy Exposure00:33:41 CPI and Inflation Reality00:37:27 Massey Trump and MediaFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #OilPrices #GoldInvestingOur Sponsors:* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/GOLD* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Aaron McIntire breaks down President Trump's bold declaration of victory over Iran following intense U.S. and Israeli strikes, including massive target counts and oil reserve coordination to stabilize energy markets. We examine the ongoing risks in the Strait of Hormuz, Hezbollah's rocket barrages on northern Israel turning it into a two-front conflict, and fresh Israeli Air Force operations hitting IRGC sites deep inside Iran. Domestically, Trump doubles down on pushing the Save America Act through despite Senate Republican resistance and filibuster drama, while the latest CPI data shows inflation holding steady—but still well above the Fed's target. Plus listener reactions to our poll on Iran's future trajectory, rare pilot radio exchanges, and what it all means for the week ahead.    The AM Update, Aaron McIntire, Trump Iran victory, Iran conflict 2026, US Israel strikes, Hezbollah attacks, Save America Act, voter ID citizenship, filibuster Senate Republicans, CPI inflation February 2026, Strait of Hormuz, IRGC targets, Middle East tensions, Trump domestic agenda

In part two of Red Eye Radio with Gary McNamara and Eric Harley, we take a look at the latest economic news as the CPI numbers indicate an overall increase in the price of goods and services. Also Gavin Newsom's tax increases on Californians and Pete Hegseth's love for steak and lobster. For more talk on the issues that matter to you, listen on radio stations across America Monday-Friday 12am-5am CT (1am-6am ET and 10pm-3am PT), download the RED EYE RADIO SHOW app, asking your smart speaker, or listening at RedEyeRadioShow.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Josh Thomson discusses his time at CPI. Follow Josh on X/Instagram @therealpunk

In this episode we answer emails from TJ, John and Optimus Bill.  We discuss TJ's modified Golden Ratio portfolio and backtests, maximizing withdrawals with flexibility, ZROZ vs. TLT simulated leverage, gambling problems, intermediate accumulation to pay down a mortgage, and assorted allocations questions about mid-caps and other funds.We also talk about our Fairfax CASA fundraiser in our Queen Mary segment and a recent Catching Up to FI presentation at the end.Links:Links:Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASATJ's Portfolio:  testfol.io/?s=gJEgezdqVdyPortfolio Charts Risk Parity style Accumulation Article:  Minimize Your Miss – Portfolio ChartsRisk Parity Chronicles ZROZ vs. TLT Analysis:  Bond Allocation Sizing - Google SheetsRisk Parity Chronicles KBWP Article:  The Search for a Low-Beta Equity Unicorn - by JustinCatching Up to FI Presentation:  Catching Up To FI Illinois/Wisconsin Meeting Presentation - YouTubeCatching Up to FI Presentation Slides:  The_Risk_Parity_Mission for Catching Up To FI.pdf - Google DriveCatching Up to FI Presentation Summary Video:  Catching Up To FI Risk Parity Portfolios Meeting and Presentation.mp4 - Google DriveBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:A listener writes from overseas with a situation that strips retirement down to the essentials: no pension, no Social Security “backup plan,” and a real need to get the portfolio right. We walk through his modified Golden Ratio style allocation using growth and value funds, small-cap value tilts, long-duration Treasury strips, gold, and alternatives like DBMF, then talk about what matters more than a pretty spreadsheet: whether you can live with the drawdowns and keep the plan steady for decades.From there we get practical about retirement withdrawals and the assumptions hiding underneath them. We explain why a 5.5% withdrawal rate can be realistic when you pair it with flexible rules like a floor and ceiling approach, and why “inflation” is not one number that applies to everyone. If you're living abroad, spending in another currency, or even willing to relocate, your personal inflation experience can diverge from CPI, which changes how you should think about risk, resilience, and what flexibility is worth.We also tackle the investor temptations that never seem to go away: debating ZROZ versus TLT, obsessing over duration ratios, and tinkering with allocations when the market gets loud. We share a simple constraint that helps many DIY investors stay sane: build a small sandbox for experiments so your core portfolio stays intact. We finish with an intermediate accumulation question about investing toward a future mortgage payoff, plus a clear framework for why splitting short and long Treasurys can be useful, and why international diversification often shows up as currency exposure in modern markets. Subscribe, share this with a friend who's rebuilding their portfolio, and leave a review with the withdrawal rate question you're trying to answer.Support the show

The market narrative says investors are rotating out of expensive growth stocks and into cheaper value stocks. But is that actually happening? Jon Penn and Michael Lebowitz explain how today's passive investing landscape can distort traditional definitions of value and growth. ETF flows and index-driven allocations often send capital into the largest and most popular companies, regardless of valuation. Using our three-tier valuation framework—past earnings, forward earnings, and growth-adjusted valuations—we show how investors can better separate stocks that simply look cheap from those that may represent genuine value. We also discuss why traditional screens like low P/E ratios can lead investors into value traps, and how market narratives, psychology, and passive flows can create large valuation gaps across sectors and companies. Understanding the difference between perceived value and true value is critical in today's market environment. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Before the Bell - Markets Making Lower Highs and Lower Lows 2:56 - Dealing with Trapped Longs 5:32 - Negative Divergences Send Warnings 7:35 - Our Strategies Now 11:26 - The Price of Oil & U.S. Dollar 13:52 - Impact of Dollar on Gold, Silver, Precious Metals 17:41 - The Momentum Chase 18:25 - $200 Crude & Futures Markets 22:15 - Crude Oil & Gasoline Futures curves 25:24 - CPI vs Core CPI & The Fed 30:32 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, & Fed Stance 33:22 - The Value Rotation Illusion 35:51 - What is Value? 38:55 - How Airlines Really Make Money 41:40 - Market Commentary & Blog posting ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Day: Technical Breakdown in the S&P 500: What Comes Next?" here: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #MarketAnalysis #InvestorEducation

Recorded live from the beach at Future Proof in Miami, this special episode of Facts vs Feelings brings Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, to the main stage for a wide-ranging conversation on markets, macro, and the forces driving today's volatility.Against the backdrop of a rapidly shifting news cycle, Ryan and Sonu break down the dramatic swings in oil prices, the implications of geopolitical tensions for global markets, and what it all means for investors navigating an environment of inflationary growth. They also discuss why they remain constructive on equities despite recent volatility, how global market breadth is expanding beyond the U.S., and the portfolio positioning they believe makes sense in the current environment.From Fed policy and inflation trends to the strength of the labor market and signals from credit markets, the discussion highlights the difference between headline-driven fears and the underlying data shaping the economic outlook. Ryan and Sonu also explore where their outlook could be wrong, including risks tied to gold, small caps, and shifts in monetary policy.Key TakeawaysOil volatility matters: Large swings in energy prices can ripple through inflation, global trade, and market sentimentInflation may remain sticky: Core inflation near 3 percent could limit how aggressively the Federal Reserve cuts ratesGlobal markets are broadening: International equities have been contributing meaningfully to returns alongside U.S. stocksLabor markets remain resilient: Low layoffs and steady income growth continue supporting the economyPortfolio diversification still matters: Exposure across global equities, gold, and selective sector positioning may help navigate uncertaintyJump to:0:00 — Opening and Live Show Setup1:18 — Live from Miami!3:20 — Oil Market Whiplash and Why It Matters6:25 — Portfolio Positioning: Stocks, Gold, and Bonds9:05 — Signs of a Global Bull Market11:20 — Midterm Year Volatility and Market Corrections13:55 — The Fed, Inflation, and the Labor Market17:40 — How Carson Research Supports Advisors19:40 — Where Our Outlook Could Be Wrong23:20 — Signals from Tech, Staples, Credit, and Crypto28:40 — CPI, PCE, and Final ThoughtsConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

The market narrative says investors are rotating out of expensive growth stocks and into cheaper value stocks. But is that actually happening? Jon Penn and Michael Lebowitz explain how today's passive investing landscape can distort traditional definitions of value and growth. ETF flows and index-driven allocations often send capital into the largest and most popular companies, regardless of valuation. Using our three-tier valuation framework—past earnings, forward earnings, and growth-adjusted valuations—we show how investors can better separate stocks that simply look cheap from those that may represent genuine value. We also discuss why traditional screens like low P/E ratios can lead investors into value traps, and how market narratives, psychology, and passive flows can create large valuation gaps across sectors and companies. Understanding the difference between perceived value and true value is critical in today's market environment. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Before the Bell - Markets Making Lower Highs and Lower Lows 2:56 - Dealing with Trapped Longs 5:32 - Negative Divergences Send Warnings 7:35 - Our Strategies Now 11:26 - The Price of Oil & U.S. Dollar 13:52 - Impact of Dollar on Gold, Silver, Precious Metals 17:41 - The Momentum Chase 18:25 - $200 Crude & Futures Markets 22:15 - Crude Oil & Gasoline Futures curves 25:24 - CPI vs Core CPI & The Fed 30:32 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, & Fed Stance 33:22 - The Value Rotation Illusion 35:51 - What is Value? 38:55 - How Airlines Really Make Money 41:40 - Market Commentary & Blog posting ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Day: Technical Breakdown in the S&P 500: What Comes Next?" here: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #MarketAnalysis #InvestorEducation

Thank you for all the cards and letters. The Inflation Guy dropped in today, to talk about the AI Menace as well as yesterday's CPI report and the near-term trajectory of inflation. This is not a return to a full-time podcasting schedule, but it's at least a positive sign! NOTES Blog for this month's CPI: “Inflation Guy's CPI Summary (February 2026)” (https://inflationguy.blog/2026/03/11/inflation-guys-cpi-summary-february-2026/ ) Apollo-sourced chart on New Business Formation:  https://inflationguy.blog/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/apollo-newbiz-formation-chart.jpg   Robert J. Shiller: Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events (https://amzn.to/4lqIXFv) To Subscribe to Quarterly Inflation Outlook: https://inflationguy.blog/shop/    To Subscribe for free to the blog: https://inflationguy.blog/ Interested in becoming a customer of Inflation Guy? https://www.EnduringInvestments.com/ An inflation-indexed currency you can now mint from our website: https://usdicoin.com/

Markets remain under pressure as oil pushes toward $97 per barrel, Treasury yields climb, and mortgage rates move back above 6.25%.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong cover:• Day 13 of the Middle East conflict and continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz• Why Asian economies are feeling the strain first• What rising oil means for gas prices and inflation• How a higher CPI could impact Social Security COLA in 2027Plus: Are Americans actually saving enough for retirement? A look at new data — and why the headline may be more optimistic than reality.Stay informed with The Financial Exchange.

Militares quietos; só faz dar merda em 2026; Trump fazendo merda e a vileza yankee; CPI, Master, sigilo, Gilmar e otras cositas. O post II – 2026.16 – Que Deus tenha misericórdia desse 2026 apareceu primeiro em Central 3.

Confira os destaques de Os Pingos nos Is desta quarta-feira (11):O ministro Dias Toffoli se declarou suspeito e se afastou da relatoria de uma ação que poderia obrigar a Câmara a instalar uma CPI sobre o caso Banco Master. A decisão ocorreu pouco depois de o magistrado ser sorteado para analisar o pedido. Toffoli alegou foro íntimo e não detalhou os motivos do afastamento. A Presidência da República informou que não há registros oficiais de reuniões entre o presidente Lula e o banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro no Palácio do Planalto. A informação veio após pedido via Lei de Acesso à Informação. O caso ocorre em meio às investigações sobre o Banco Master e encontros envolvendo autoridades e consultores ligados à instituição.Integrantes do governo Lula demonstram preocupação com o impacto político do escândalo envolvendo o Banco Master. Nos bastidores, aliados do Planalto articulam uma estratégia para associar a crise à gestão anterior, citando o ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro e o ex-presidente do Banco Central Roberto Campos Neto. A avaliação é que o desgaste pode crescer se o caso continuar atingindo diferentes esferas do poder. O ministro aposentado do STF, Luís Roberto Barroso, afirmou que o Judiciário atravessa um momento difícil em meio às revelações envolvendo o caso Banco Master. Em entrevista, ele também elogiou a condução das investigações pelo presidente da Corte, Edson Fachin, e pelo relator André Mendonça. Relatórios citados em investigação apontam pagamentos de R$ 3,6 milhões do Banco Master a uma empresa ligada ao ex-prefeito de Salvador, ACM Neto, do União Brasil. As informações foram divulgadas pelo jornal O Globo com base em registros analisados pelo Coaf. Em nota, ACM Neto afirmou que os valores se referem a serviços de consultoria prestados de forma regular. O Senado aprovou um projeto que cria mais de 17 mil cargos no governo federal e prevê reajustes para diversas carreiras do Executivo. A medida pode gerar impacto de cerca de R$ 5,3 bilhões apenas neste ano. O texto agora segue para sanção do presidente da República. O percentual de famílias endividadas no Brasil chegou a 80,2% em fevereiro, segundo levantamento da Confederação Nacional do Comércio de Bens, Serviços e Turismo. O índice representa o maior patamar da série histórica da pesquisa. Os dados indicam que a maioria das famílias brasileiras possui algum tipo de dívida. Você confere essas e outras notícias em Os Pingos nos Is.

O ministro Dias Toffoli, do Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF), foi escolhido nesta quarta-feira (11) para relatar uma ação apresentada pelo deputado Rodrigo Rollemberg (PSB-DF).O parlamentar pede a instalação de uma Comissão Parlamentar de Inquérito (CPI) para investigar possíveis irregularidades na relação entre o Banco Master e o Banco de Brasília. Papo Antagonista é o programa que explica e debate os principais acontecimentos do dia com análises críticas e aprofundadas sobre a política brasileira e seus bastidores.       O programa traz contexto e opinião sobre os temas mais quentes da atualidade.       Com foco em jornalismo, eleições e debate, é um espaço essencial para quem busca informação de qualidade.       Ao vivo de segunda a sexta-feira às 18h no nosso canal no Youtube.   https://www.youtube.com/@OAntagonista   Apoie o jornalismo independente. Assine O Antagonista e Crusoé com 10% via Pix ou Google Pay:   https://assine.oantagonista.com.br/  Siga O Antagonista no X:  https://x.com/o_antagonista   Acompanhe O Antagonista no canal do WhatsApp. Boletins diários, conteúdos exclusivos em vídeo e muito mais.  https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Va2SurQHLHQbI5yJN344  Leia mais em www.oantagonista.com.br | www.crusoe.com.br #Toffoli #BancoMaster #CPI #STF #PolíticaBrasil #MercadoFinanceiro #NotíciasUrgentes

Ministro indicado por Lula afirmou em decisão que existem outros pedidos de investigação na fila.Meio-Dia em Brasília traz as principais notícias e análises da política nacional direto   de Brasília.     Com apresentação de José Inácio Pilar e Wilson Lima, o programa aborda os temas mais quentes do cenário político e econômico do Brasil.     Com um olhar atento sobre política, notícias e economia, mantém o público bem informado.    Transmissão ao vivo de segunda a sexta-feira às 12h no nosso canal do Youtube.  https://www.youtube.com/@OAntagonista   Apoie o jornalismo independente. Assine O Antagonista e Crusoé com 10% via Pix ou Google Pay:  https://assine.oantagonista.com.br/   Siga O Antagonista no X:  https://x.com/o_antagonista   Acompanhe O Antagonista no canal do WhatsApp. Boletins diários, conteúdos exclusivos em vídeo e muito mais.  https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Va2SurQHLHQbI5yJN344  Leia mais em www.oantagonista.com.br | www.crusoe.com.br #Zanin #STF #CPIdoMaster #Politica #Justiça #Noticias #Brasilia #Supremo #Urgente #Brasil

Nora Szentivanyi is joined by Raphael Brun-Aguerre, Michael Hanson and Allan Monks to discuss global inflation developments heading into the Iran conflict; the first-order impact of higher oil prices on headline CPI inflation; the likelihood and magnitude of second-order effects on core inflation and inflation expectations; and how central banks are likely to react to the shock. This podcast was recorded on March 12, 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only.  Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5216250-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5232201-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5222819-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5222602-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5223806-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5229672-0   for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.  

No 3 em 1 desta quarta-feira (12), o destaque foi o presidente Lula (PT) que anunciou uma redução de R$ 0,64 no valor do litro do diesel em todo o território nacional. A medida do governo federal busca mitigar os impactos econômicos da guerra no Oriente Médio e conter a alta nos preços dos alimentos. Reportagem: André Anelli. O novo líder supremo do Irã, Mojtaba Khamenei, afirmou em sua primeira mensagem pública que assumir o comando do país será uma tarefa difícil. Durante o pronunciamento, o sucessor prestou homenagens ao seu pai e destacou os desafios diante da instabilidade regional. O anúncio ocorre em meio à escalada de tensões militares no Oriente Médio. Reportagem: Luca Bassani. O governo dos Estados Unidos informou que a Marinha americana não possui condições de escoltar navios comerciais no Estreito de Ormuz no momento. Segundo as autoridades, a proteção de embarcações depende de uma operação estratégica complexa que ainda não foi viabilizada. Reportagem: Eliseu Caetano. A Comissão Parlamentar Mista de Inquérito do INSS aprovou a convocação de Fabiano Zettel e de Martha Graeff, ex-namorada do empresário Daniel Vorcaro, para prestar depoimento sobre o Caso Master. Apesar da aprovação, o colegiado ainda não definiu as datas para as oitivas dos investigados. O comando da comissão também avalia incluir a cúpula do Banco Central na lista de depoentes, como Roberto Campos Neto e Gabriel Galípolo. Reportagem: Beatriz Souza. O ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal, Cristiano Zanin, negou a ação que solicitava a abertura da CPI do Banco Master na Câmara dos Deputados. Após o magistrado rejeitar o pedido, o deputado federal Rodrigo Rollemberg informou que vai recorrer da decisão. Reportagem: Janaína Camelo. O senador e pré-candidato à Presidência Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) afirmou que a proposta de investigar autoridades do Supremo Tribunal Federal, no âmbito do Banco Master, é ilegal e desvia o foco das facções. O senador Alessandro Vieira (MDB) rebateu a fala questionando o nervosismo do parlamentar. Reportagem: Beatriz Souza. O Ministério das Relações Exteriores afirmou que a reunião entre um assessor do governo americano, Darren Beatie, e o ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro pode configurar uma ‘indevida ingerência' nos assuntos internos do país. A manifestação do Itamaraty ocorre após cobrança do ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal, Alexandre de Moraes. Reportagem: André Anelli. A Segunda Turma do Supremo Tribunal Federal decide nesta sexta-feira (13) se mantém a prisão preventiva do empresário Daniel Vorcaro, dono do Banco Master. O julgamento ocorre em ambiente de Plenário virtual e conta com a ausência do ministro Dias Toffoli, que se declarou suspeito para atuar no caso. Reportagem: Janaína Camelo. A ministra do Planejamento e Orçamento, Simone Tebet (MDB), anunciou oficialmente sua candidatura ao Senado por São Paulo nas eleições de 2026. O presidente do Partido Liberal, Valdemar Costa Neto (PL), reagiu ao movimento afirmando que os nomes da esquerda “não são páreos” para os seus candidatos. Reportagem: Misael Mainetti. Tudo isso e muito mais você acompanha no 3 em 1. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

No “Estadão Analisa” desta quinta-feira, 12, Carlos Andreazza fala das investigações sobre o Banco Master, que arrastam Brasília para a crise. No STF, ministros tentam uma blindagem das ligações com o banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro, já no meio político, PT e PL têm feito publicações para colar adversários no estrago de reputação provocado pela proximidade com Vorcaro. Ainda no Supremo, o ministro Dias Toffoli alegou ‘foro íntimo’ e se declarou suspeito nesta quarta, 11, para relatar a ação que pede a instalação da CPI do Banco Master na Câmara dos Deputados. A suspeição ocorre quando o magistrado admite relações pessoais ou inimizade com algum citado no curso da investigação. O ministro, entretanto, afirmou no despacho de sete páginas que “foram definitivamente afastadas, por decisão transitada em julgado, quaisquer hipóteses de suspeição ou de impedimento da minha atuação nos processos da chamada Operação Compliance Zero”. A crise do Banco Master está chegando ao eleitor, pesquisa divulgada nesta quarta-feira, 11, pela Meio/Ideia traz dados reveladores. Do total dos eleitores ouvidos, 48% conhecem as suspeitas que pairam sobre Daniel Vorcaro e 30% não têm certeza – um percentual alto para algo que começou com uma fraude financeira de um banco médio. Dos que conhecem o caso, 70% o associam ao Supremo Tribunal Federal e dizem que sua credibilidade fica abalada. E o dado mais importante: 44% afirmam que o caso aumenta a sua chance de votar em um senador que apoie o impeachment de um ministro do STF. Acompanhe Estadão Analisa com o colunista Carlos Andreazza, de segunda a sexta-feira, o programa traz uma curadoria dos temas mais relevantes do noticiário, deixando de lado o que é espuma, para se aprofundar no que é relevante Assine por R$1,90/mês e tenha acesso ilimitado ao conteúdo do Estadão. Acesse: http://bit.ly/estadao-oferta-ytSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Februrary consumer price index report is out, and it's got some new data points that can tell us what's going on in the broader economy — even though plenty has changed since last month. In this episode: Natural gas prices were rising before war began in the Middle East, egg prices recover from avian flu while other grocery staples grow more expensive, and other CPI nuggets. Plus, President Trump's tariffs may have a deflationary effect on the U.S. economy, but with a catch.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

The Februrary consumer price index report is out, and it's got some new data points that can tell us what's going on in the broader economy — even though plenty has changed since last month. In this episode: Natural gas prices were rising before war began in the Middle East, egg prices recover from avian flu while other grocery staples grow more expensive, and other CPI nuggets. Plus, President Trump's tariffs may have a deflationary effect on the U.S. economy, but with a catch.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

On March 11 from West Palm Beach, Brian Szytel reports a mostly negative but relatively benign market day amid volatility tied to Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and surging energy prices (Brent ~$92.77, WTI ~$88.29). February CPI came in as expected: headline +0.3% and core +0.2%, with year-over-year headline 2.4% and core 2.5%; he notes current oil moves could have lifted year-over-year inflation to ~2.8–2.9%, though de-escalation or large IEA releases could offset. He highlights shelter's lagging but cooling impact (rent measures up just 0.1–0.2%), important given shelter's 35% CPI weight versus energy's 7%. He discusses a new Fed chair in May aiming to cut short rates while shrinking the balance sheet, arguing productivity gains from AI and weaker labor data support easing. He also answers that TBG charges no extra external fees for alternative funds beyond internal fund expenses. 00:00 Market Recap and Volatility 00:44 Energy Prices and CPI Print 01:30 Oil Shock Scenarios and Offsets 02:34 Shelter Inflation Finally Cools 03:35 New Fed Chair and Rate Path 05:00 Alternative Funds Fees Explained 06:35 Wrap Up and Next Update Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links —Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss this morning's CPI, energy costs, and an update on the Middle East. Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Convidada: Maria Cristina Fernandes, colunista do jornal Valor Econômico e comentarista da GloboNews e da rádio CBN. Em Brasília, o caso do Banco Master está no centro das atenções. Nesta terça-feira (10), foi protocolado no Senado um pedido de CPI para investigar as relações dos ministros do Supremo Tribunal Federal Alexandre de Moraes e Dias Toffoli com o banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro. No STF, o ministro Edson Fachin, presidente da Corte, se reuniu com colegas para discutir os desdobramentos da crise. Na sexta-feira (13), a Segunda Turma vota para manter ou não a prisão do dono do Master. Conversas de Vorcaro extraídas de aparelhos apreendidos pela Polícia Federal vieram à tona depois da segunda prisão do banqueiro, em 4 de março, por ordem do ministro André Mendonça – ele que assumiu o caso depois que o ministro Dias Toffoli renunciou à relatoria. De acordo com reportagens do jornal O Globo, horas antes de ser preso pela primeira vez, em 17 de novembro, o banqueiro trocou mensagens com um contato salvo em seu celular como Alexandre de Moraes. O ministro nega ter recebido as mensagens. Parlamentares e dirigentes partidários também foram citados em diálogos encontrados pela PF nos celulares de Vorcaro – caso do senador Ciro Nogueira (PP-PI), a quem o banqueiro chama de “grande amigo”. Neste episódio, Natuza Nery conversa com Maria Cristina Fernandes, colunista do jornal Valor Econômico e comentarista da GloboNews e da rádio CBN, sobre as mensagens que expõem a proximidade de Daniel Vorcaro com as esferas de poder em Brasília. Ela também comenta as explicações dadas a respeito do contrato de R$ 3,5 milhões por mês assinado por Viviane Barci, mulher de Moraes, para advogar para o Banco Master. E analisa o impacto da crise para a imagem do ministro e para a opinião do eleitorado que vai às urnas em outubro deste ano.

Jon Penn & Devoda Owens cover key financial planning and market topics affecting investors and retirees, beginning with market commentary on the Iran campaign and geopolitical risk, and what it could mean for energy prices, inflation expectations, and market volatility. Jon & Devoda also discuss Social Security depletion projections, how investors should think about benchmarking portfolios, and the key considerations around when to claim Social Security benefits. Additional planning topics include estate planning when remarrying, insurance and long-term care strategies, preparing for healthcare inflation, and the role of life insurance and umbrella coverage in protecting assets. We examine the recent value rotation narrative in markets and preview the upcoming CPI report and its potential implications for inflation and interest rates. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Devoda Owens, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Introducing Devoda Owens, CFP 4:55 - Market Commentary - Iran Campaign 8:42 - Social Security Depletion & Comparing Benchmarks 14:08 - When to Take SS? 19:53 - Estate Planning and Re-marriage 27:56 - Value Rotation Illusion 31:13 - Insurance Planning & Long Term Care 37:48 - Planning for Healthcare Inflation 41:57 - Life Insurance & Umbrella Coverage 46:17 - CPI Preview ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Watch our previous show, "The Benefits Talk Every Business Owner Needs," here: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook #InvestmentStrategy

Today we had the honor of welcoming back Dr. Dan Yergin, Vice Chairman of S&P Global and Chairman of CERAWeek. Dan is a Pulitzer Prize-winning author, one of the most respected voices in energy, and a longtime authority on the intersection of energy, geopolitics, and the global economy. He is also the author of The Prize, The Quest, and The New Map, books that have helped shape how the industry understands energy history, markets, and geopolitical risk. With CERAWeek kicking off on March 23, we were delighted to hear Dan's latest insights on the evolving energy landscape, along with a preview of the key themes and conversations likely to shape this year's conference (current agenda available here). Our conversation began with Dan's perspective on how recent events in Iran have dramatically changed the backdrop heading into CERAWeek, and why the market may have been too complacent in the early days of the disruption. Dan shares his view that bad policy is often made under duress, reminds us that oil prices were already moving higher during the Gulf buildup, and explains why this moment should be viewed through a broader lens than just the formal start of the conflict itself. We explore the themes likely to shape CERAWeek this year, including the growing convergence of energy, power, and tech, the role of gas and electricity in the AI buildout, the importance of critical minerals and copper, infrastructure and permitting, nuclear, and the future direction of upstream oil and gas. We touch on Europe's continued energy vulnerability, the renewed importance of U.S. LNG, the prospect of Europe once again competing with Asia for cargoes, the unique risks that LNG faces through the Strait of Hormuz, and the broader implications for global gas markets. We discuss the range of outcomes for Gulf production shut-ins, why U.S. producers are unlikely to react to short-term price spikes, how insurance, freight costs, and physical security are shaping traffic through the Strait, and what the performance of the U.S. and Israeli militaries indicates about the scale of planning behind this operation. We also look at the longer-term questions underneath the current crisis, including the changing role of Gulf capital, the infrastructure limits around the Strait, the historic arc of Iran's posture in the region, and why the convergence of tech and energy may be one of the most important and constructive forces shaping the industry today. As always, it was an insightful and thought-provoking discussion. Many thanks to Dan for sharing his perspective and time with us all. Mike Bradley started the show by noting that the market conversation this week has once again been focused on U.S. strikes against Iran and the short- and intermediate-term fallout across commodities and equities. In crude, he highlighted that WTI has moved from the mid-$60s/bbl before the war to ~$85/bbl, after peaking near $120/bbl on Sunday night into Monday morning. The effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz has been the main driver for global oil prices, with Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia cutting production by 5–7 mmbpd due mostly to onshore oil storage constraints. WTI fell roughly $10/bbl in Tuesday's trading due to rumors of a potential coordinated global SPR release of 300–400 million barrels. This war in Iran, at this point, should be viewed differently than the Ukraine war from an oil, natural gas, and economic standpoint. Global oil prices peaked about one month into that conflict, EU natural gas prices peaked roughly six months in, and economic stats such as U.S. CPI and PPI were significantly higher than today, so the pain threshold heading into this war seems more manageable. On the Energy equity front, the Energy sector is flattish since the Iran war started, significantly underperforming oil prices, with investors choosing not to chase energy equities with the move h

Jon Penn & Devoda Owens cover key financial planning and market topics affecting investors and retirees, beginning with market commentary on the Iran campaign and geopolitical risk, and what it could mean for energy prices, inflation expectations, and market volatility. Jon & Devoda also discuss Social Security depletion projections, how investors should think about benchmarking portfolios, and the key considerations around when to claim Social Security benefits. Additional planning topics include estate planning when remarrying, insurance and long-term care strategies, preparing for healthcare inflation, and the role of life insurance and umbrella coverage in protecting assets. We examine the recent value rotation narrative in markets and preview the upcoming CPI report and its potential implications for inflation and interest rates. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Devoda Owens, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Introducing Devoda Owens, CFP 4:55 - Market Commentary - Iran Campaign 8:42 - Social Security Depletion & Comparing Benchmarks 14:08 - When to Take SS? 19:53 - Estate Planning and Re-marriage 27:56 - Value Rotation Illusion 31:13 - Insurance Planning & Long Term Care 37:48 - Planning for Healthcare Inflation 41:57 - Life Insurance & Umbrella Coverage 46:17 - CPI Preview ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Watch our previous show, "The Benefits Talk Every Business Owner Needs," here: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook #InvestmentStrategy

Chuck Zodda and Paul Lane break down why February's CPI report may already be outdated — and why March inflation could jump sharply as higher oil prices feed through the system.They cover:• How gasoline's weighting in CPI could push the next reading dramatically higher• Why fertilizer, helium, and semiconductors matter in a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption• The growing risk of global shortages if energy flows don't normalize• Why financial stocks are quietly flashing caution signs• JPMorgan tightening exposure to private creditPlus: Oracle rallies on AI momentum, what strong spending from high-income earners means for the economy, and whether markets are underpricing broader risk.

Brian Jacobsen and Sarah Foster preview next week's Fed meeting. Sarah isn't sure whether the latest CPI report is good or bad news because of the conflict with Iran. She notes that before the war, we were already in a difficult place for inflation. Brian points out how many industries rely on the Strait of Hormuz, including fertilizer, but sees the conflict as a “temporary detour” for inflation levels. The Fed prefers to look at the PCE report to measure inflation, and they discuss how that changes the outlook and whether they might cut rates this year.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Jake Johnston covers the latest CPI report and how the U.S./Iran conflict will push inflation numbers higher over the next few months. Companies not as exposed to the commodities cycle may interest investors, including large tech and communication services, he argues. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Energy markets are tense as the IEA moves toward a record oil release amid Middle East risks. Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas warn February's 2.4% CPI misses the impact of surging crude, while focus shifts to retail earnings from Dollar General (DG) and DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) alongside key economic data.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

O programa Meio-Dia em Brasília desta quarta-feira, 11, aborda novas contradições relacionadas ao contrato de R$ 129 milhões de Viviane Barci de Moraes, esposa de Alexandre de Moraes, com o Banco Master.Além disso, o jornal também fala sobre a investida da oposição contra a CPI que foi protocolada por Alessandro Vieira (MDB-SE) mirando os ministros do STF e a tentativa de se tirar do papel a CPMI do Banco Master.Meio-Dia em Brasília traz as principais notícias e análises da política nacional direto   de Brasília.     Com apresentação de José Inácio Pilar e Wilson Lima, o programa aborda os temas mais quentes do cenário político e econômico do Brasil.     Com um olhar atento sobre política, notícias e economia, mantém o público bem informado.   Transmissão ao vivo de segunda a sexta-feira às 12h no nosso canal do Youtube.  https://www.youtube.com/@OAntagonista   Apoie o jornalismo independente. Assine O Antagonista e Crusoé com 10% via Pix ou Google Pay:  https://assine.oantagonista.com.br/   Siga O Antagonista no X:  https://x.com/o_antagonista   Acompanhe O Antagonista no canal do WhatsApp. Boletins diários, conteúdos exclusivos em vídeo e muito mais.  https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Va2SurQHLHQbI5yJN344  Leia mais em www.oantagonista.com.br | www.crusoe.com.br #VivianeBarci #AlexandreDeMoraes #Moraes #STF #BrasilUrgente #PoliticaBrasileira #NoticiasDeUltimaHora #LiberdadeDeExpressao #Justiça #CensuraNao #DireitaBrasil #CongressoNacional #ImpeachmentMoraes #Bombastico #PlantaoDeNoticias

In this eye-opening episode of The Alan Sanders Show (Ep. 047), we break down today's BLS CPI report: headline inflation held flat at 2.4% year-over-year for February 2026 (unchanged from January), with core CPI steady at 2.5%, good news pre-Iran war impacts. We expose the growing Red-Green Alliance: radical Leftists and Islamists uniting against America and Israel, echoing the 1979 Iran betrayal where Marxists aided the mullahs only to be crushed. Plus, the propaganda machine from legacy media and Democrats spins narratives to hide threats, while the Dunning-Kruger Effect explains why overconfident voices dominate discourse. Facts, no spin! Please take a moment to rate and review the show and then share the episode on social media. You can find me on Facebook, X, Instagram, GETTR, TRUTH Social, TikTok, YouTube and Rumble by searching for The Alan Sanders Show. And, consider becoming a sponsor of the show by visiting my Patreon page!

No 3 em 1 desta terça-feira (11), o destaque foi que, segundo informação exclusiva da Jovem Pan, os Estados Unidos e o promotor de Justiça brasileiro Lincoln Gakiya discutiram estratégias contra o PCC. Além disso, auxiliares do secretário de Estado Marco Rubio vieram ao Brasil. A repercussão ocorre porque os EUA planejam classificar o PCC e o Comando Vermelho como organizações terroristas. O presidente Lula (PT) teve conversas com os líderes da Colômbia e do México, Gustavo Petro e Claudia Sheinbaum, sobre o assunto. Reportagem: Eliseu Caetano e André Anelli. O ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal Dias Toffoli foi sorteado como relator da ação sobre a CPI do Banco Master na Câmara dos Deputados. O magistrado assume o processo após a saída do relator anterior, mas ainda pode se declarar impedido ou suspeito de conduzir a análise, após polêmicas supostamente envolvendo seu nome no caso. Reportagem: Janaína Camelo. A Comissão Parlamentar de Inquérito (CPI) do Crime Organizado aprovou a quebra dos sigilos de Fabiano Zettel e de Luiz Philippi Machado de Moraes Mourão, conhecido como Sicário. Os investigados são apontados como peças centrais em um esquema que envolve a cúpula do Banco Master. Reportagem: Beatriz Souza. Novas explosões foram registradas em Beirute, capital do Líbano, nesta quarta-feira (11). Os mísseis atingiram a cidade logo após Israel anunciar novos bombardeios estratégicos. Reportagem: Luca Bassani. O presidente Lula (PT) reuniu-se com o ministro da Fazenda, Fernando Haddad (PT), e o secretário-executivo da pasta, Dario Durigan, cotado para assumir o ministério. O encontro acontece em meio à transição da pasta. Apesar de ainda não oficializado, Haddad deve disputar o governo de São Paulo. Reportagem: André Anelli. O presidente Lula ainda deve se reunir com o líder do Senado, Davi Alcolumbre (União), na próxima semana para discutir a indicação do ministro Jorge Messias ao Supremo Tribunal Federal. Apesar do anúncio feito no ano passado, o Palácio do Planalto ainda não enviou a oficialização ao Congresso Nacional. O mandatário busca garantir a articulação política necessária antes da sabatina no Senado. Reportagem: Janaína Camelo. O ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal Dias Toffoli declarou-se suspeito para relatar a ação que pede a instalação da CPI do Banco Master na Câmara dos Deputados. O magistrado alegou motivo de foro íntimo para deixar o caso apenas horas após ter sido sorteado como relator. O processo será agora redistribuído a um novo integrante da Corte. Uma nova pesquisa da Genial/Quaest divulgada nesta quarta-feira (11) aponta um empate técnico entre o presidente Lula (PT) e o pré-candidato e senador Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) em uma simulação de segundo turno para 2026. Ambos os candidatos aparecem com 41% das intenções de voto, refletindo a forte polarização no país. Tudo isso e muito mais você acompanha no 3 em 1. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SUMMARY DEL SHOW Futuros levemente en rojo mientras el mercado se posiciona para el CPI de febrero; el petróleo sigue siendo el “swing factor” del tape. Consenso CPI: 2.5% anual y 0.3% mensual; core 2.5% anual y 0.2% mensual. Más adelante, core PCE esperado en 3.1% anualizado y 0.4% mensual. $ORCL sorprende con nube e infraestructura de IA y un salto enorme en backlog; $BLDP sube por acuerdo para 500 motores de celda de combustible con $NFYEF.

Daniel Lam discusses the US CPI overnight, the transmission mechanism of oil prices on upcoming CPI releases, the effectiveness of the IEA release of strategic oil reserves and how investors should be positioning their portfolios. Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head, Cross-Asset Derivative Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

The IEA has proposed the largest ever release of oil from its strategic reserves, with Bloomberg reporting around 300-400mln barrels to be released. Separate reporting stated that the volume in the first month of the release of oil reserves would exceed 100mln barrels. Crude rises as geopolitics show no real signs of abating; copper falls as sentiment deteriorates.European equities entirely in the red, Rheinmetall disappoints despite increased need for defence; US equity futures continue to consolidate.DXY flat heading into CPI, AUD outperforms as more banks forecast a hike next week.Hawkish ECB speak drives EGBs lower; packed UK agenda ahead.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Feb), OPEC MOMR, IEA recommendation, G7 call. Speakers include ECB's Schnabel & Fed's Bowman, Supply from Germany & the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report came in at 2.4% inflation, right in line with expectations. On the surface that sounds like good news — inflation appears to be cooling.But now the Federal Reserve faces a major dilemma.• Inflation is moving closer to the Fed's 2% target• The jobs market is starting to weaken• The bond market is reacting• Mortgage rates are still elevatedSo the big question becomes:Will this finally trigger interest rate cuts?In today's episode of The Rate Update, we break down:• The latest CPI inflation report (2.4%)• What the bond market is signaling• Where the 10-Year Treasury is heading• How mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are reacting• Whether the Fed may finally begin cutting rates• What this means for mortgage rates and the housing marketIf you're trying to decide:• Should I buy a house now or wait?• Should I lock or float my mortgage rate?• Are mortgage rates about to fall?• Is the housing market about to shift?This video will help you understand what's actually happening behind the headlines.No hype.No clickbait.Just real mortgage and economic data explained simply.

Though Wall Street embarked on a massive rebound yesterday, choppiness could remain a feature with crude oil elevated. Oracle reports later today and key CPI data comes tomorrow. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions. The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment. Digital currencies [such as bitcoin] are highly volatile and not backed by any central bank or government. Digital currencies lack many of the regulations and consumer protections that legal-tender currencies and regulated securities have. Due to the high level of risk, investors should view digital currencies as a purely speculative instrument. Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. Some cryptocurrency-related products use futures contracts to attempt to duplicate the performance of an investment in cryptocurrency, which may result in unpredictable pricing, higher transaction costs, and performance that fails to track the price of the reference cryptocurrency as intended. Please read more about risks of trading cryptocurrency futures here. The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC. Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB. (0131-0326) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Before we jump in — if you want to see the tools mentioned in this episode in action, including the 0DTE Trend Spread Engine and the 1DTE Bias indicator, visit AlphaCrunching.com to learn more and join the trading community.In this episode, Eric discusses the recent market breakdown and how current geopolitical tensions, volatility, and upcoming economic data are shaping trading decisions. With SPX experiencing sharp moves and uncertainty rising, he walks through how he's adapting his approach and managing trades during this environment.A major theme is market structure and key levels. Right now, gamma positioning appears scattered across large round numbers, suggesting institutional traders themselves are uncertain. As a result, Eric is watching major SPX levels every 100 points (6600, 6700, 6800, etc.) as potential support and resistance zones while the market “ping-pongs” between them.He also reviews the macro backdrop driving volatility, including geopolitical tensions, sector rotation away from AI stocks, and a busy week of economic data with CPI, jobless claims, and PCE all ahead. These events could determine whether the market stabilizes or pushes lower toward the mid-6600s.Eric then explains how he's positioning his portfolio:Maintaining a core SPY position while actively trading around itUsing covered calls and rolling positions to manage downside while leaving room for upside participationPausing many longer-duration spreads due to increased uncertaintyMuch of the current trading activity has shifted toward shorter-term strategies, particularly SPX 0DTE trades.The episode highlights how the AlphaCrunching 0DTE Trend Spread Engine (TSE) is being used in practice. The system ranks the best times of day for 0DTE spreads based on historical performance and now posts the short strike levels from the highest-probability trades. These levels act as data-backed areas where SPX has historically stayed away from by expiration, allowing traders to use them as reference points for structuring credit spreads.Eric also introduces progress on the 1DTE Bias indicator, an experimental tool that evaluates market regimes using factors like trend behavior and VIX conditions. By comparing current conditions to historical matches over the past three years, the tool estimates the probability of the market closing higher the next day. The recent volatility spike has highlighted one of the challenges of building this model: unusual market conditions sometimes produce very small historical sample sizes.The episode closes with an important reminder about patience and risk management. In volatile environments, it's often better to wait for conditions to settle rather than forcing trades. Sometimes the best position is simply holding cash until clearer opportunities emerge.Overall, this discussion provides a real-time look at how Eric is navigating a volatile market using a combination of macro awareness, probability-based levels, and adaptive options strategies.