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    Get Rich Education
    621: The Deals Changed—Did You? Future Interest Rates and Inflation

    Get Rich Education

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 31, 2026 40:56


    Keith explores how real estate strategies have shifted from the 1980s to today and explains why investors need to adapt deal structures to changing interest rates, lending conditions, and market cycles.  He highlights current opportunities in new construction and builder rate buydowns, along with the long-term benefits of fixed-rate debt.  Keith is joined by economic futurist and author Richard Vague, who challenges conventional beliefs about inflation and interest rates and explains how government intervention, war, and supply constraints shape asset prices and leverage decisions. Together, they provide a big-picture framework for understanding how today's macro environment affects real estate investing decisions. Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/621 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments.  For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text  FAMILY to 66866  Join Mid South Home Buyers' one-time, free live webinar featuring Keith Weinhold on September 30 at GetRichEducation.com/MidSouth to learn how Memphis' economic expansion could create new real estate investment opportunities, and have your questions answered in real time. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review"  For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com  Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript:   Keith Weinhold  0:01   Welcome to GRE. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Learn how dramatically real estate has changed from the 1980s through the late 2020s. We'll be sure that your approach is changing with it. Then a great guest and I discuss how war and future calamities will affect mortgage rates, inflation, and your real estate today on Get Rich Education. What if I told you that one of America's strongest cash flow real estate markets is also becoming the new brains and brawn behind AI? That city is Memphis, believe it or not. In September 30th, we're going to show you why the smart money is paying attention now, along with an investing opportunity you won't want to miss. Join me, Terry Kerr and Matthew Van Horn of Mid South Home Buyers, the largest turnkey company in Memphis with more than 6,000 homes under management, for a free live webinar, the likes of which I've never done before. We're going to look at what billions in new investment could mean for jobs, housing demand, neighborhood appreciation, and your portfolio. Everyone who attends live will also get exclusive access to the best deal terms Mid South has ever offered. Reserve your free seat at getricheducation.com/midsouth. Again, that September 30th. Don't say we didn't tell you. Save your spot at getricheducation.com/midsouth.   Speaker 1  1:35   You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get Rich Education.   Keith Weinhold  1:51   Welcome to GRE from Cambridge, England, to Cambridge, Massachusetts, and across 188 world nations. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're inside Get Rich Education. You could be doing anything with your time. I'm grateful that you choose to listen to me every week. You know, real estate investors sometimes say, "Ah, there aren't any deals anymore. What they usually mean is the deal structure that they learned five years ago stopped working. There are always opportunities in real estate, but your approach changes with interest rates, lending standards, inventory, construction, government policy, and just the overall economic cycle. The best investors don't wait for yesterday's market to return. That's like someone still hoping for Blockbuster Video Store to reopen. They identify what today's market is offering instead. Just consider this historic retrospective on real estate investing from the Reagan administration to today, in 1981, the 30-year mortgage rate peaked above 18.6%. I mean, just imagine proudly telling your friends that you locked in at 17% before rates went higher. That mortgage needed its own defibrillator. By 1984, rates were still near 16%. The strategy then, the approach, was for a buyer to assume the existing owner's lower rate mortgage that they locked in a few years earlier, perhaps in the late 70s, that's how you got a good deal, assuming that existing owners lower-rate mortgage. You can't do that so easily today.   Keith Weinhold  3:50   By the late 80s and early 90s, the opportunity shifted from assuming attractive debt to buying distressed properties. The S and L crisis was upon us. Savings and loan failed lenders found themselves holding piles of distressed real estate, so investors bought foreclosures and REOs at discounts. They improved neglected buildings and then they repositioned them for income. You probably know that REO stands for real estate owned on a bank's balance sheet. All REO means is bank-owned property, but that's what you did. You found those, and then you scooped up a deal that way. As the 1990s progressed, interest rates declined, and loans also became really easy to obtain. We were tilting into the loosey-goosey easy lending environment. In the 90s, it was popular to buy an undervalued property, renovate it, raise the rent, and refinance it based on the improved value. That process later got a buzzy acronym and became known as the Burr strategy: buy, rehab, rent, refinance, repeat. By 2005, financing got more creative. This is when I was a new real estate investor. I remember obtaining what were known as 8015 five combo loans. This meant an 80% first mortgage, 15% second mortgage, and 5% down payment. You remember those? If you've been around for a while, you do. And see, this way you could avoid paying PMI, and you could control property with an astounding 20 to one leverage ratio due to that 5% down payment, but soon enough lending just got absolutely too creative and easy. The quiet lending party turned into a boisterous kegger, delivering the 2008 financial. crisis, and pretty soon I could no longer get any loans. From 2009 through the early 2010s, you could buy foreclosures and short sales at enormous discounts if you could find the loan.   Keith Weinhold  6:20   Financing was tough, but prices were super low. It might have even made sense to pay cash at that time. Fear was everywhere right after the global financial crisis. I mean, it really took courage to act when others were hiding under the bed. By 2020 and 2021, the opportunity changed from cheap property to cheap money. Mortgage rates dropped below an absurd 3% as a result of the COVID pandemic. You could lock up extraordinarily cheap debt for less than the inflation rate, and then let inflation nibble away at it like Pac-Man. Of course, a lot of us are still benefiting from that today, but that opportunity is long gone now. But it doesn't mean that deals are gone today. Where's the opportunity? One of the best ones is often found in new construction, large build. have got to keep moving their inventory as they build these homes because they have got to keep their crews busy. An unsold house for a builder-I mean-that produces as much income as an unplugged Bitcoin miner. Rather than make conspicuous price reductions, builders use their financial muscle to buy down mortgage rates for you, often in the 5% range or even lower.   Keith Weinhold  7:52   Builders might also offer you closing cost assistance, upgraded finishes, or other incentives that a single resale seller just can't match. So from the Reagan administration to today, over 45 years, the winning strategy just keeps morphing. It started out back then as assume the loan, over to buy distress, then to renovate and refi, then it was a creative financing wave, and then cheap debt, and today take the builders buy down. That's where we are. The mistake is deciding in advance what a deal is supposed to look like. The best deal structure changes, and of course, it's going to change again. The investor who keeps fighting the last war is always going to conclude that the opportunity has disappeared, but it hasn't. It's just changed clothing. Still, though, today's new purchases now-they're not as good as the deals that they were five years ago, but the best investors keep investing. They keep adding to their portfolio. It's what they've always done. Absolutely zero winning investors that are successful over time look back and say things like, "I didn't add anything to my portfolio during that 10-year span for this or that reason, the market changes, and you've got to adapt with it. That's a way to think about it. Take solace in knowing a few things. Deal structure changes over time are inevitable. And larger picture, you are investing in a product that is sustainable residential real estate in the form of long-term rentals. These entry-level properties are a scarce asset that people are going to continue to need. I mean, that's what we do here. Just compare. To the fads that we avoid around here, like NFTs, metaverse real estate, which we discussed on the show a few years ago, but said is highly dangerous, eye buying, value add apartment syndications, SPACs, or how about ICO funded altcoins? We don't chase the latest hot thing here at GRE. It is about what's sustainable, necessary, and cannot be easily disrupted by AI, and that's one reason that Get Rich Education is still standing strong after 52 episodes every year for almost 12 years now. Shortly, we're going to bring in a rather esteemed guest today on the future direction of interest rates and inflation. Interestingly, he believes that raising interest rates does not cool inflation, and that's contrary to popular belief. I'm going to press him on this and ask why, but first, our new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh. He's only been on the job a few months now.   Keith Weinhold  11:07   He is gaining a reputation for not forecasting what they're going to do ahead of time, like his predecessor had. I guess I tend to like his disposition and the way that he communicates, I sense some pragmatism with Warsh, but gosh, it often seems that a new Fed chair gets off to a well liked start, and then they do something that lots of people criticize. Like, remember in 2004, late Fed Chair Alan Greenspan suggested more borrowers could benefit from adjustable rate mortgages shortly before rates rose and ARM resets became financial landmines. In 2007, Ben Bernanke said that subprime mortgage problems were likely to be contained. Oh, right after that, they helped trigger the global financial crisis, and more recently, the Jerome Powell gaffe, which I'll mention in the interview shortly. Here's what current Fed Chair Warsh says about inflation:   Kevin Warsh  12:14   For some households, businesses, and market professionals, five years of high inflation have left a mistaken impression, that's hard to shake, that the Fed's implicit inflation target was somehow above 2% Let me reiterate, there is no soft inflation target. There is no soft implicit target, not on this committee's watch. There's only a target, and it's 2%   Keith Weinhold  12:42   It's obvious that he is serious about getting inflation back down to 2% That tends to point toward interest rate increases. Let's discuss that and more with this week's brilliant guest. This week's guest is an economic futurist keynote speaker, and he's quite a popular author. He is chair of the board of the Public School Employees Retirement System. That's the largest public pension fund in Pennsylvania. Previously, the Pennsylvania governor appointed him as the secretary of banking and securities for the Great Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, he's also the founder and president of several various organizations today, and he serves on several boards, including at the University of Pennsylvania and the School District of Philadelphia. I mean, I hardly know how he has time to do it all, but he made time for us today. Hey, it's great to welcome back Richard Vague.   Richard Vague  13:45   It's such an honor to be with you. I certainly enjoyed our last session, and it's really wonderful to be back.   Keith Weinhold  13:51   Well, and so much has changed since you were last here, Richard. First, why don't we pull back and talk to us about the general state of the national economy today, as you see it.   Richard Vague  14:04   ou know the economy was rocking along okay, and you know since you guys are such experts in real estate, I'll tell you one of the most important statistics, in my opinion, is the number of unsold homes, and by all rights, that number should be about 2 million homes. It's only about a million and a half. So there's a deficiency in our housing stock in the United States, which is, yeah, I think good news for the housing industry. It's always good to have a reason to have to grow. You may recall that in 2007, that had gotten up to four millinomes, which was a catastrophe, as we all know. So, it's the economic statistic I looked at first and most closely, and that was, you know, an okay number, and a lot of the things were going along. You know, not fabulous, but not terrible. Things were kind of moving. And all of a sudden now we have the war in Iran, and that's creating all sorts of problems for us, which you know I think you guys are concerned about. So I generally think the economy's been good, but there's a lot of dark clouds on the horizon.   Keith Weinhold  15:15   You know, Richard, I was recently sharing something remarkable with our audience. To your point, just since 2020, consider all the calamities that we've had: COVID, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, tariffs, and the Iran War. Just since 2020, what's the result of all that? Both stocks and residential real estate are near all time highs.   Richard Vague  15:42   Yeah, well, you know, one of the things that's true is that this is something I go to in great detail in my book Paradox. But the more debt there is, the higher asset prices go.   Keith Weinhold  15:53   Yeah.   Richard Vague  15:54   You know, in the case of housing, that broadly helps middle America. In the case of the stock market, the top 10% of the country owns 87% of the stocks, so that tends to go to the wealthiest instead of to the broad population. But yeah, those two things are at highs.   Keith Weinhold  16:12   You're touching on your well-received 2023 book, The Paradox of Debt, and you know, Richard, amidst all these calamities and all this potentially unprecedented level of government intervention that we've had-you know-it makes one wonder during the next crisis, which is inevitably going to happen, will the government just step in and provide relief again? And how would that look?   Richard Vague  16:38   You know, I think that's one lesson that government has learned indelibly. Way back in 1929, in the couple of years that followed, the government did not step in, and we saw what happened. And I think there's a generation of economists that understand the role of government in a calamity, and you know it's pretty simple. You know the government comes in and crops up financial institutions as they did in 2008, simply by providing the liquidity or buying the bad assets, or the government steps in with relief checks as they did in such a massive way in 2020. But the government has learned that at least to some degree, it needs to intervene. I can't imagine that ever not being true.   Keith Weinhold  17:26   Goshmright when you think about 2020s stimulus and how emergency lending facilities were set up, you had the payment protection program, stimulus checks, mortgage loan forbearance. It's just like this government won't let the asset holders fail.   Richard Vague  17:46   Well, yeah, you know, there's failure, and then there's something that's hurtful but not quite failure. You know, I can imagine that the government will be able to prevent, in some circumstances, certain asset prices going down some amount, it's actually fairly commonplace for stocks to go down 10 or 20% I can see real estate prices going down as they have in the commercial office space. Yeah, but yes, the government will step in when those things become extreme to prevent a true calamity.   Keith Weinhold  18:19   Of course, one consequence of the interventionism is elevated inflation. I know how you've talked before about how the level of inflation is higher than most people think. For example, you'll see today's CPI numbers in the mid threes. Talk to us some more about why inflation is higher than most people think.   Richard Vague  18:41   Well, I have studied inflation, you know, fairly diligently, and inflation really relates to the constriction of supply. And if you look over the 250-year history of the United States, we haven't had that many episodes of bad inflation, and they've always related to a constriction of supply. Most of them have occurred during a war when, for obvious reasons, you know, supplies are constricted. The big 1970s episode of inflation was because OPEC, which had so much more power back in those days, acted to you know punish the United States by constricting supplies, and the price of a barrel of oil went from $4 to $40 a barrel. Yeah, between 73 and 79. COVID was another instance where inflation related to constriction of supply. That was you know people couldn't go to the meat factory to cut meat. People couldn't go to the factories to build things, so all of a sudden our supplies were decimated, and we had a short burst of very painful inflation. Well, now we've got the straight of four moves, and that is impacting the price of oil. I think it's going to impact the price of oil more going forward because. Because we've been able to rely on reserves, both the U.S. has been able to rely on reserves, and China has been able to rely on even greater reserves. And you know we haven't seen the brunt of that, but unless something's resolved pretty quickly, I think in the fall and winter we're going to see even more problematic prices there. But we know agricultural prices and even the flow of commodities like wheat are constricted by the constraints in the Strait of Hormuz and, frankly, other waterways as well. Now, one of the things the numbers that you see reported tend to underreport inflation because it looks at a year-over-year number and doesn't really capture it if it's moved up more sharply in the last month or two. So we look at it on a month-by-month. We you know we break it down about as to as many parts as you can break it down into. But PPI, which is kind of a leading indicator on the eventual CPI PPI's producer price index, it was 4.7% this last month. That would suggest to you that things which are in the mid threes now, which is more higher than we want, you know, probably trending over. Maybe not next month, but you know, over the next three to six months, I'm not going to be surprised if the number's more in the four to five range. So, yeah, I think inflation's being somewhat underreported at the moment.    Keith Weinhold  21:29   The PPI being that harbinger of consumer prices, often four to six months down the road. And Richard, the last time you were here, when it comes to checking and controlling inflation, you said something so interesting. You said that higher rates, which is typically the response in order to try to quell inflation, higher rates actually do not lower inflation, and you did not get a chance to expand on that because we ran out of time. Tell us more about why higher rates do not reduce inflation.   Richard Vague  22:05   Well, I'm going to answer that a couple of ways. One of them is higher rates don't open the Strait of Hormuz.   Keith Weinhold  22:12   Right.   Richard Vague  22:13   You can put rates as high as you want, and it's not going to open the Strait of Hormuz.    Keith Weinhold  22:16   Chairman Warsch doesn't open the Strait. Yes, he doesn't get oil produce nothing.   Richard Vague  22:20   Strait of Hormuz.   Keith Weinhold  22:21   Yeah.   Richard Vague  22:21   And so we can do all we want to on raids, which is a very blunt instrument, and it's not going to address the supply constraints that are geopolitical and war related. So, if you want to curb inflation right now, there's two things to do. One of them's you know end the war with Iran, and the other is to kind of back off a lot of these tariffs that have become so problematic. I think there's a place for tariffs. I think there's certain things China's doing that you know a call for an appropriate level of tariffs. I'm not sure we should be big tariffs on Canada and some of these other places, which have the effect of increasing the cost of our farm equipment and cars and other things like that. So, if you really want to address inflation and address the things that truly underlie inflation, and if the second way I'd answer this is to say, go look at the debt, track the data from you know 1945 or 50. You know, we really look at the post World War II period as the place we really learn things from, and over that period, increased government spending has been accompanied by reduced interest rates and reduced inflation. So, reduced interest rates and reduced inflation have gone hand in hand, and rising interest rates and rising inflation have gone hand in hand, and it's a really easy thing to look at. We've got the data on our site, but there's only been three periods where you've had big shifts in government spending and rates. They're pretty easy to look at, and there's actually empirically an inverse relationship between rising interest rates and it's the opposite of what economists tell you.   Keith Weinhold  24:09   I think, in general, economists tell us that when inflation is high, you raise interest rates because consumer spending is about 70% of the economy, and those higher rates therefore incentivize people to be savers because they're getting paid a higher yield, keeping those dollars out of the economy, and they're less incentivized to be borrowers and expand the economy that way. I think in general that's why economists say that higher interest rates reduce inflation. Do you agree with that?   Speaker 2  24:40   Well, no, I don't, and the reason I don't is because when you look at the data, that doesn't happen. These are easy things to check, and what I would say to you is that rising interest rates increase costs, and you guys know that better than anybody in the world.   Keith Weinhold  24:56   With mortgages. Yeah.   Richard Vague  24:58   What do rising interest rates do to? Cost of your mortgage.   Keith Weinhold  25:02   Everything increased substantially.    Richard Vague  25:03   It has system prices at the grocery store. Well, the grocery stores have to pay our interest for their inventory. So the more intuitive and obvious thing is that rising interest rates increase prices. And by the way, if you and I were to go look at the data right now, which I look at almost daily, that we would see periods of rising interest rates correlate to periods of rising increased costs.   Keith Weinhold  25:29   Well, I'm glad you look at history because I often say here at Get Rich Education, if you want to know what's going to happen in the future, it's easy to have a hunch, but it's more important to look at history. Can you talk to us some more about how, over the long term, higher interest rates don't suppress inflation? If that's what you're saying,   Richard Vague  25:47   yeah. The greatest rise in inflation, you know, in my lifetime was the late 1970s.   Keith Weinhold  25:55   Yeah,   Richard Vague  25:56   and for the entire time that interest rates were going up, prices and inflation were going up, and it wasn't until interest rates started coming down that inflation started coming down. So we could look at any number of periods, and if you're going to argue the opposite, you need to go find me some data.   Keith Weinhold  26:15   Okay. Well, speaking in more modern times, in the last wave of inflation that we had, the CPI peaked at 9.1% in June of 2022. This is the whole famous Jerome Powell: inflation is only transitory. Oh shoot, no, it's not. I better hike rates. He did, and then inflation came down. Is it as simple as that cause in effect, or did something else make inflation come down post COVID.   Richard Vague  26:42   Inflation came down, and it came all the way down in July of 2022. It didn't come down gradually over six, 912, 18 months. You go look at the length monthly inflation. Inflation came all the way down in July of 2022, and stay has stayed down all the intervening period until very recently with the Iran War. July of 2022 was before there was a dramatic increase in interest rates.   Keith Weinhold  27:18   Right,   Speaker 1  27:19   that's simple.   Keith Weinhold  27:21   What caused inflation to come down? Then is it because supply began to arrive on the market again?   Richard Vague  27:27   People went back to work, started building things again.   Keith Weinhold  27:30   Producing.   Richard Vague  27:32   And the problem was folks had not been able to go to the factories and make things, and so we had a you know global supply deficit. Well, the nice thing about that is that you know money incends people to scramble back to work, make things again, and you know once they start doing that, and the Fed actually produces something they call the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index. You can get it on the Fed site. If you look at it, it's supposed to be kind of at zero, and anytime supply chains are disrupted, it shoots up. And any you know, any time the opposite happens, you know there's overcapacity. It goes down, and you can see exactly when supply chains repair is happening. So go look at the. It's called the GSCPI. It's on the Fed side. You'll see that global supply chains had largely started to be dramatically repaired in the spring and summer of 2022, and naturally, supply and demand works. All of a sudden, supply starts showing up, and prices go to hell.   Keith Weinhold  28:39   We're talking with economic futurist author and Pennsylvania's governor-appointed former secretary of banking and securities Richard Vague, more when we come back on the affliction of inflation, what this means for real estate investors, and more. This is Get Rich Education. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine. You sure can at Ridge Lending Group NMLS 42056. They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal and even chat directly with President Caeli Ridge. While it's on your mind, start at ridgelendinggroup.com. That's ridgelendinggroup.com.   Keith Weinhold  29:29   Let me ask you something: If you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure, I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed. But with a track record of consistent, on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call or text family to 66866. That's family to 66866.    Dolph Derues  30:31   This is the king of commercial real estate, Dolph Derues. Listen to Get Rich Education with Keith Weinhold and don't quit your daydream.   Keith Weinhold  30:45   Welcome back to Get Rich Education. We're talking with Richard Vague. Richard is the founder and president of so many organizations today. He's the author of several popular economic books. He chairs the board of the Public School employees retirement system. That's the largest public pension fund in Pennsylvania. He's in a lot of places at once, seemingly. Richard, we're talking about inflation before the break. What is the right inflation rate?   Richard Vague  31:16   Well, like I said, inflation. If you look at the entire 250-year span of the United States has it been an affliction that has affected us that often? It is political kryptonite. So when it does happen, it steers our consciousness, and it you know certainly affects your industry. But you know, if we look historically, the Fed targets 2% It's not a bad thing to target. We never really have achieved that level for any length of period. I think if you look at it over the past several decades and take out the high inflation periods, it probably has averaged closer to three. So I don't think two to 3% is an inappropriate level, and I kind of suspect it'll be a level that typifies our future once we get past, if and when we get past this more.   Keith Weinhold  32:09   Yes, not long ago, I was looking at the history of the CPI or the CPI's equivalent, and over the last 100 years, the rate is about 3.2% and we haven't hit that government-mandated 2% target, which is stated right on the Fed's website. We haven't hit that for any month in about five years now, and this asset inflation, as we know, this disproportionately enriches existing asset owners, and it widens this inequality. Something that's more recently been known as the K-shaped economy, can you talk to us some more about this exacerbating wealth inequality?   Richard Vague  32:48   Well, you hit the nail on the head. Something on the order of 80% of all the net wealth held by Americans is in the form of two things: stock and real estate. If you want to talk about wealth, it's those two things, and those two things, probably 60 or 70% of all of those in the U.S. are held by the top 10% I think it's a single-digit number of those that are held by the bottom 50% So you know, if inflation and debt growth push asset prices up over time. It is a mathematical inevitability that the rich get richer faster than those in the middle and at the bottom, and that simply means inequality will increase through time. I believe that's structural. Unless you address that in very some very specific way it will continue.   Keith Weinhold  33:43   Inflation affects real estate investors more than it does the average person because we borrow these big pools of money often at 75 to 80% loan to value, and in a sense, although we know it's bad for general society, and we do think about the K-shaped economy. Of course, inflation benefits us because it debases our debt. But even if you're not a real estate investor, even if you just own your own home, you know, Richard, I really think it begs the question: Is a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage one of the best forms of debt ever created for ordinary Americans?   Richard Vague  34:22   The 30-year mortgage, which was created, you know, that started on that path in the 1930 s for the very reasons we all know and love, which is getting Americans to own their own home, and has been, you know, a game changer for the country, and truly one of the great things that's been done, and I hope it's something that we continue to defend and preserve.   Keith Weinhold  34:46   Well, that brings up leverage and the prudent use of leverage. As real estate investors, we have this benefit of getting all these 30-year fixed-rate loans without the threat of a. Margin call being made. We're not borrowing over in the stock market. When you sign your loan documents, it doesn't say that the bank can call your note due at any time, but one could take it too far. And when it comes to debt, I think that really begs the question: Where does intelligent leverage end, and then dangerous leverage begin. What's the border?   Richard Vague  35:25   Well, you guys are experts, and I'm not. But the very simple premise is starts with not overpaying for the property to begin with. It is not an exact science, but generally speaking, I think we can tell when prices are relatively high in a given market and or a given year and relatively low, and you you'd always want to kind of be at least in the middle or somewhat on the low end before you acquire a property. So that's step number one, and then step number two is really just giving yourself a buffer, you know. We saw in the global financial crisis that real estate loans were being made in some cases at 100% of value. Yeah, and frankly, we saw at least some episodes within that folks borrowing over 100% of value, and certainly they were very happy when that happened. But we know there's zero margin for error when you do that, and perhaps even a negative margin for error when you do that. So I would think, you know, you guys know better than me, but you know, I hate to borrow it much more than like 90% of value, maybe 95% if it's a smaller asset and you have a government guarantee, and if you can do it at lower leverage, you know, 70 or 80% of value, that's not a bad thing to consider. I tend to think in the real estate world that you know I've seen many investors, particularly in the commercial space, buy things with lower leverage, 50 or 75% But then, as the asset proves itself, they work with their lender to increase the debt-to-value ratio, you know, and get more money at it over time as it becomes an increasingly proven asset. So they migrate their way from 75% to 95% over time. I think that's a logical path.   Keith Weinhold  37:20   That acronym Ninja Loans, which were popular from about 2000 to 2007, that acronym Ninja means no income, no job or assets, and you might still get a loan of 110% of the value of the property. It was profligately irresponsible. Well, Richard, in a moment, I want to ask if you have a resource that our audience can follow along with you if they would like to do so. But before I do that, do you have any last thing that you would like to talk about? Maybe something that I did not ask you, whether it has to do with the general economy or real estate or interest rates or inflations. Is there something else that we should know?   Richard Vague  38:00   What I would do is just endorse your podcast.   Keith Weinhold  38:04   Thanks.   Richard Vague  38:05   You're approaching this in a very intelligent way, and you're very empirical, and I think your listeners are doing themselves a service by continuing to follow what you do. That's a really reasonable, secure, and yet bold path towards creating wealth, then I think you're to be commended.   Keith Weinhold  38:27   Oh, I appreciate the endorsement. I'm always blown away at our following, but you have some resources worth following as well. Tell us about that.   Richard Vague  38:36   Well, we do. We have a weekly video ourselves that it's about a five-minute video, and you can go to our website, which is tycos.com. So t y c h o s.com, and you know we have data on the site. If you're a real geek, you could go in and you can look at our macroeconomic data. You know, but if you're not, you can sign up for the video, and we come out with what we hope is a short but relevant video once a week talking on some aspect of the economy, and you know we'd love to have folks join that if they're interested.   Keith Weinhold  39:10   Well, it's valuable. I suggest you, the listener, check that out. Richard oftentimes turns conventional economics on his head, just like he did with us today, talking about how if there's higher interest rates, that does not necessarily mean lower inflation. Richard, it's been valuable as always. It's been great having you back on the show.   Richard Vague  39:30   It's an honor to be with you. Keep up the great work.   Keith Weinhold  39:38   In this remote interview, I got a beautiful look over Richard's shoulders there on the screen at Center City, Philadelphia, in the ornate buildings there. I will be in that part of the nation again shortly. Big thanks to Richard Vague. If you're looking him up, it is spelled V-A-G-U-E. We've got a. A lot of terrific content coming up on the show over the next few weeks, including fresh takes on building your wealth that you've never heard before. Until next week, I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your daydream.   Speaker 3  40:18   Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal, or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial, or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively.    Keith Weinhold  40:46   The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building. getricheducation.com  

    FourStar Wealth Advisors Podcast
    #242 The Labor Market Just Cracked. Is a Recession Secretly Here? w/ Chris Reardon, Director of Development, FourStar Wealth

    FourStar Wealth Advisors Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2026 46:56


    Download the “65 Investment Terms You MUST Know to Reach Your Financial Goals” for FREE by going to https://TodaysMarketExplained.com/  In this episode of Today's Market Explained, Brian Kasal and Chris Reardon analyze the key drivers behind current market movements across asset classes, sector performance, and broader economic indicators. From energy's massive 43.71% year-to-date surge to gold hitting historic record highs above $4,400, they explore where market strength lies, how inflation is weighing heavily on consumer sentiment, and what to expect from upcoming Fed policy decisions.

    Behind the Stays
    This Week in Hospitality: Buying Hotels Off Bad Yelp Reviews & The Boutique Hotel Brand Obituary

    Behind the Stays

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2026 69:25


    Hotel sales in the US are up 28% in the first half of 2026 — and a meaningful chunk of that activity is chasing bad Yelp reviews, not trophy assets. JMI Realty founder Drew Bridges joins the show to break down how his firm is using AI to source acquisition targets off terrible guest feedback. The specific deal: a Hilton Garden Inn in Austin bought for $100K per key that reviewers called "janky" and "a complete nightmare." Drew walks through the renovation math, why he's keeping the brand, and why only 184 of 789 US submarkets have outpaced CPI since 2019 — a stat that underpins his thesis that a massive basis reset is underway across the industry. Then the crew digs into Rafat Ali's latest column arguing that independent boutique brands have effectively become the outsourced R&D labs of the global flags. Graduate, Nomad, Standard International, Ace, CitizenM — all absorbed in the last two years. Edwin pushes back: maybe the right size for a great independent brand is just smaller than anyone wants to admit. Scott says 95% of what the public hotel companies do is shareholder theater. Ben says the Edition model — bring in a founder, protect the brand — is the playbook nobody's replicated. Spice of the week: Scott on Google's move toward agentic hotel booking and what it means for distribution. Zach on United's cinematic route reveal and the coming shift from performance marketing to storytelling. Ben on why the real risk isn't a failed bet — it's doing nothing in an industry full of dinosaurs.   About the Guest: Drew Bridges Drew Bridges joined JMI Realty in 2011 as a Financial Analyst, where he underwrote new development, acquisition, and financing opportunities. Today he leads Investment Management for JMI's developed assets, overseeing property management, implementing capital expenditure and value enhancement strategies, and managing investor relations. A graduate of Cornell University, Mr. Bridges began his career at Archon Group in Dallas, where he worked on initiatives ranging from the acquisition of non-performing loan portfolios to the spin-off of what became Pillar Hotels and Resorts. Drew on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/drewbridges/   Your Hosts: Zach Busekrus — Journey LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/zachbusekrus/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/behindthestays/   Scott Eddy — Global Travel & Hospitality Expert @MrScottEddy LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mrscotteddy/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mrscotteddy/   Ben Wolff — Founder of Onera & Oasi LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ben-wolff/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/iambenwolff/   Edwin Kramer — Luxury Hotelier Consultant & Former GM LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/edwinckramer/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/edwinkramer/  

    Get Rich Education
    620: Alarmist Predicts an 80%–95% Housing Crash

    Get Rich Education

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2026 44:51


    Join our upcoming live event at GREwebinars.com. It's called "The Seven Figure Solution" on August 27th at 8 PM Eastern. After listening to me for 12 years, learn how to finally put it all together for a coordinated, tax-efficient retirement and wealth plan.  Keith debunks alarmist predictions of an 80–95% housing crash and explains why inflation, constrained supply, and strong demand continue to put upward pressure on home prices.  He breaks down key trends in renter mobility, highlights how the AI boom is driving record-breaking rents in San Francisco, and contrasts "dopamine culture" and money maxing with GRE's philosophy of growing one's means through income property and leverage.  Keith also discusses how the Seven-Figure Solution framework helps real estate investors more effectively integrate properties, taxes, insurance, and retirement planning.  Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/620 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments.  For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text  FAMILY to 66866  Join Mid South Home Buyers' one-time, free live webinar featuring Keith Weinhold on September 30 at GetRichEducation.com/MidSouth to learn how Memphis' economic expansion could create new real estate investment opportunities, and have your questions answered in real time. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review"  For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com  Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript:   Keith Weinhold  0:01   Welcome to GRE. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. An alarmist calls for a housing price crash of 80 to 95 percent. We'll listen to it. This city's rents are up 26 percent annually. The rise of dopamine culture and money maxing has made its way into personal finance. Then an invitation to join us for a special event today on Get Rich Education.   Keith Weinhold  0:29   What if I told you that one of America's strongest cash flow real estate markets is also becoming the new brains and brawn behind AI? That city is Memphis, believe it or not. In September 30th, we're going to show you why the smart money is paying attention now, along with an investing opportunity you won't want to miss. Join me, Terry Kerr and Matthew Van Horn of Mid South Homebuyers, the largest turnkey company in Memphis with more than 6,000 homes under management, for a free live webinar, the likes of which I've never done before. We're going to look at what billions in new investment could mean for jobs, housing demand, neighborhood appreciation, and your portfolio. Everyone who attends live will also get exclusive access to the best deal terms MidSeal has ever offered. Reserve your free seat at getricheducation.com/midsouth. Again, that september 30. Don't say we didn't tell you. Save your spot at getricheducation.com/midsouth.   Speaker 1  1:35   You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get Rich Education.   Keith Weinhold  1:51   Welcome to GRE from Naples, Italy, to Naples, Florida, and across 188 nations worldwide. You're listening to one of America's longest-running and most listened-to shows in the real estate world. This is Get Rich Education, and I'm Keith Weinhold. Yes, the very founder of this snaggle-toothed operation right here. I'm a longtime real estate investor myself, erstwhile writer for both Forbes and the Rich Dad Advisors, serving on the Forbes Real Estate Council, you can also see my work in the USA Today and Business Insider. I'm the creator of Real Estate Pays Five Ways and the Inflation Triple Crown. Oh, after all that, really, I'm just a shaved mammal with slack jaw, a highly leveraged hominid of the landed gentry, right before I discuss the housing price crash of 80 to 95% you know, keep in mind that most people think that if you're in real estate, then you've got to be either a realtor or a landlord. I am neither a realtor nor a landlord. People also think that it takes tons of money. It does not. Now you could pursue no money down strategies, but that takes some time to learn and skill to develop. Now I was a landlord in the early years of my real estate investing, but after about six years of that, I hired a property manager and never looked back. Therefore, keeping this mostly passive, a 20 to 25 percent down payment on a carefully selected residential rental property includes ones that today can still have purchase prices below 200k. That's purchased in a geographically investor advantaged market. Okay, that is the center of what we do here because when you own property this way, now you've got the margin where you can pay a property manager to enjoy the five ways that you're paid mostly passively. Be a savvy borrower.   Keith Weinhold  4:02   Now, when you're between deals and accumulating capital to add the next piece of property to your rental portfolio, that's where you can flip and do the opposite in the short term and be a real estate lender for perhaps an eight to 10% stable return. That's what I do, rather than getting three and a half percent, which is the going rate today in a high yield savings account. So be a lender between deals in the short term, or you're a savvy borrower long term. Now the late analyst at Housing Wire, and he was also a past guest here on the show, Logan Modashami, he brought this 80 to 95% housing price crash media piece to my attention. It's in the form of a meta reel that got a lot of attention. Let's play it. I mean, this type of nonsense circulates out. It's not founded on anything substantive, and this just absolutely does not serve anybody. You've got to take this type of thing as entertainment, but it's being presented in a serious, informative way, and just listen to the basis for the claim.    Hayden Weston  5:19   The United States housing market is about to collapse 80 to 95 percent, which means that homes that were worth 1.5 million are going to be worth 300,000. The reason is simple: the U.S. housing market has reached its most unaffordable level in history. People cannot afford to buy homes, and if people cannot buy homes, the market must correct. The question is how hard the market is going to crash, not if it will. According to CPI and price history data, this is predicted to be worse than the 2008 housing bubble. We are going to see prices drop 80 to 95 percent.   Keith Weinhold  6:02   A housing price collapse of 80 to 95 percent. This is from a platform called Hayden Trades. It has got to be the worst example of trying to steal attention rather than serving people. Gosh, don't even make 20% or 50% crash predictions anymore go for far higher, I guess. He says it is according to the CPI and price history data. This doesn't even make sense. Now the low affordability mentioned that part is true, and this is what's slowed home price appreciation. But here in the late 2020s, there was more upward pressure on home prices, not downward inflationary pressure, which is rampant. That is poised to raise replacement cost because a home is a bundle of land, labor, lumber, concrete, copper, and energy. America's best job markets face land and regulatory constraints that pressures prices upward, and regulations are not easily repealed either. There's a large reservoir of sideline buyers that still want to own, and single-family home construction is woefully insufficient, keeping the supply down. Indeed, there is more upward pressure on home prices, not downward. This coming inflation wave, that's exacerbated by war, is unfortunately, or fortunately, if you're positioned, it's poised to widen the K-shaped economy where winners win bigger and losers lose more. The boat is leaving the dock. Are you on it?   Keith Weinhold  7:54   The distance between the boat and the dock just keeps increasing, and eventually you won't be able to make the leap, the jump from the boat to the dock. Now, in the near term, because we're approaching the fall season, when you hear stats about median home prices, note that prices are lower in autumn and winter than they are in spring and summer. It happens pretty much every year. Now, why is this? Well, one reason is that a lot of people don't think about is simply the fact that smaller houses get sold in the winter compared to the summer. And why would this be? This is because families with school-age children who need larger homes get their deals done in summer months before school starts. That is one reason why median home prices are higher in the summer than they are in the winter. When you look at a long-term price chart of homes, this is why you see peaks each summer and dips each winter. Now, investors like us. Now we're not buying so much for school-age children considerations, but this phenomenon affects the median prices that you see quoted in most any market. That is how that works, and why homes present better in the summer too. Green lawns, Leaves, flowers, and natural light improve curb appeal. Some say buy when the snow is flying, sell when the flowers are blooming.   Keith Weinhold  9:32   Shortly, I want to tell you about the city with rents that are up 26% year over year, and there's no end in sight to those rent increases, either. But first, there's a significant national real estate trend. Now, a lot of times, the discussion about the rental market centers around the level of rents or the vacancy rate, and those metrics sure do matter. But what about tenant retention? That is. Renter mobility rate. How long do residents stay? Well, renter mobility is down, down, down. They are not moving around. That's the big trend. Tenants are staying longer. Renters are waiting longer to buy homes than prior generations did. I mean a lot of people are beginning to wonder if their starter home will arrive before their first social security check does? The share of renters planning to move within three years that has plunged since 2019 from 57% then down to just 37% now. This is according to a national survey from the New York Fed. 57 down to 37% that plan to move within three years. Yes, this means that even after the pandemic waned, renters plan to stay in place longer. Everyone is staying put longer, and what exactly is keeping all of those moving boxes in storage? You guessed it. Buying their own home is more difficult to afford. It's kind of like an obstacle course where the down payment is waiting at the finish line, which is a long ways away. It's like an ultra marathon. This decline in renter mobility. This is obviously good news for income property owners and landlords because vacancy and turnover are our greatest expenses. People are paying more.   Keith Weinhold  11:39   You know, it's interesting that many are staying and put because a lot of renters often pay three to 5% annual renewal increases, especially in single-family rentals. Among apartment dwellers, there are currently more move-ups than move downs. People willing to spend a little more, and part of this is because a lot of people have just simply given up, completely given up on buying a home, choosing instead to fritter away their money on DraftKings parlays, couchie predictions, meme coins, burritos whose delivery fees cost more than the burrito, and a dozen forgotten subscriptions quietly feeding on their checking account. Yeah, a lot of people have just given in. Besides falling renter mobility, there is also falling homeowner mobility. One reason it has fallen is due to the well-documented mortgage rate lock-in effect. But mobility is down among both groups, among renters and homeowners, for a few different reasons. Like I've mentioned in previous shows, America is aging, and older people move less. Remote work means people don't have to move for a job, and housing inventory remains limited. This means that there are few attractive alternatives to move into, whether you're a homeowner or a renter. Those are some reasons as to why mobility is down for both groups. And the New York Fed analysis shows that renter mobility it is especially weak among that subgroup that believes that they will never own a home. I mean, this group of people really isn't moving. They are staying in place even longer. This group that believes that they will never own a home, and this is a skew toward lower income renters for sure, but even upper income renters are staying longer. You know, I own a lot of single family rental homes myself, and I'm just thinking now, I can't even remember the last time someone's moved out. It might be over a year since anyone has moved. The average renter's perceived chance of ever owning a home that has fallen, and this is significant for investors. Okay, that percent of renters that ever hope to own a home has fallen from 52% back in 2015 down to just 35% last year. 52% down to 35% The amount of renters that think they'll ever own a home. Both single-family rental and apartment renters are staying longer. This is both types, and it's not because these renters stop wanting homes. About two-thirds say that they would prefer to own if they had the money to do so. This is substantial. The drop in American mobility rate. I mean, that part is actually decades long, and this seems to catch people off guard. A lot of people falsely believe that people are moving more often, and that's something I've touched on before. This deeply hurts.   Keith Weinhold  15:00   Certain industries like moving companies, furniture stores, and yes, real estate agents—all these groups of people have got to be wondering where did everybody go? The answer is nowhere. Apparently, they are not going anywhere. So the bottom line here, with this lack of mobility, is that renters feel locked out, owners feel locked in, and landlords feel locked up with their tenants staying longer. Although this is good news for landlords and investment property owners, you know there is one thing to be careful of amidst these longer tenant stays, and that is, well, say you buy a rental property with an existing tenant in place that's been there for a while, it's more likely then that that tenant is paying below market rent, and why would that be? Well, because generally, the longer a tenant stays, the more likely it is that the previous landlord gave them a break on the rent. Now, why does that happen? Well, landlords can get lazy about bumping up the rent, and see what's really going on is that the previous landlord, perhaps the person you bought the property from, they themselves bought the property at a much lower price years ago than you did today, and therefore their mortgage payment is lower, and therefore the lower rent was able to cover their mortgage payment. So they weren't too worried about it. But if you're buying at today's prices, well, then you cannot stand for yesterday's rent amount, and that's why it's more likely that you need to bump up the rent to market rent. Although national rent growth is pretty flat, San Francisco continues to rewrite its record book per Zumper's national rent report.San Francisco's one-bedroom rent is up 23% year-over-year to 4,180 bucks, and two-bedroom rent is up 26% to over 6K, 6,020 dollars for the median rent in a two-bedroom San Francisco apartment-the first time they've ever topped 6K there. Yes, the city continues to lead the nation in annual rent growth, and even ahead of New York City for two bedrooms. That's because this is where the growth of the AI industry has collided with a supply-constrained housing market, high demand over low supply. I mean, you might remember that San Francisco was hit especially hard by the pandemic, but its bounce back has been amazing. Even beleaguered San Francisco office buildings are filling up again amidst the AI boom. Now, the Bay Area's previous tech boom back a while ago that was led by tech giants like Facebook, Apple, and Google. All right, that boom was largely concentrated in these sprawling suburban office parks in Silicon Valley. Now Silicon Valley is not in San Francisco. It is depending on just where you're going, perhaps 60 minutes south of San Francisco proper. But see, this time the city limits San Francisco finds itself as the epicenter because a lot of the newest, biggest names in tech like Anthropic and OpenAI, they are headquartered in the very same city neighborhoods that were struggling with occupancy just a few years ago, and see a big part of what's going on, and there's a lesson in this for you as when a lot of other cities built like Phoenix and Austin did, San Francisco did not, and what's interesting is that the publication, the San Francisco Standard, it reported that get this last November a two-bedroom apartment overlooking Alamo Square was advertised for $5,000 per month. That was already 30% above San Fran's median two-bedroom rent at the time, but despite that fact, so many people attended the open house that the property manager had to divide them into two touring groups. Qualified applicants were then emailed and told to submit their best offer of rent. Okay, basically an invitation to a bidding war here. One tech worker and her roommate bid $5,100. Management responded that they had reached the second round and invited them to increase their bid again, and they declined to increase their bid and they lost the apartment. Those. Same article reported that an even more extreme marina neighborhood example, the winning renter offered substantially above asking price, six months upfront rent, and twice monthly professional cleaning. What kind of prospective tenant offers their landlord professional cleaning? I've surely never had it happen. That and bidding wars are now taking place for San Francisco rentals. Could an AI surge and a lack of supply make anything like that happen in your rental market? That remains to be seen, and probably not to that extent. I've got more for you straight ahead, including the trend of money maxing. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to episode 620 of Get Rich Education. What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine? You sure can at Ridge Lending Group NMLS 42056. They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal and even chat directly with President Chaley Ridge while it's on your mind. Start at RidgeLendingGroup.com. That's ridgelendinggroup.com. Let me ask you something: If you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure, I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed. But with a track record of consistent, on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call, or text family to 66866. That's family 266866.   Keith Weinhold  17:22   Although national rent growth is pretty flat, San Francisco continues to rewrite its record book per Zumper's national rent report. San Francisco's one-bedroom rent is up 23% year-over-year to 4,180 bucks, and two-bedroom rent is up 26% to over 6K, $6,020 for the median rent in a two-bedroom San Francisco apartment-the first time they've ever topped 6K there. Yes, the city continues to lead the nation in annual rent growth, and even ahead of New York City for two bedrooms. That's because this is where the growth of the AI industry has collided with a supply-constrained housing market, high demand over low supply. I mean, you might remember that San Francisco was hit especially hard by the pandemic, but its bounce back has been amazing. Even beleaguered San Francisco office buildings are filling up again amidst the AI boom. Now, the Bay Area's previous tech boom back a while ago that was led by tech giants like Facebook, Apple, and Google. All right, that boom was largely concentrated in these sprawling suburban office parks in Silicon Valley. Now Silicon Valley is not in San Francisco. It is depending on just where you're going, perhaps 60 minutes south of San Francisco proper. But see, this time the city limits San Francisco finds itself as the epicenter because a lot of the newest, biggest names in tech like Anthropic and OpenAI, they are headquartered in the very same city neighborhoods that were struggling with occupancy just a few years ago, and see a big part of what's going on, and there's a lesson in this for you as when a lot of other cities built like Phoenix and Austin did, San Francisco did not, and what's interesting is that the publication, the San Francisco Standard, it reported that get this last November a two-bedroom apartment overlooking Alamo Square was advertised for $5,000 per month. That was already 30% above San Fran's median two-bedroom rent at the time, but despite that fact, so many people attended the open house that the property manager had to divide them into two touring groups. Qualified applicants were then emailed and told to submit their best offer of rent. Okay, basically an invitation to a bidding war here. One tech worker and her roommate bid $5,100. Management responded that they had reached the second round and invited them to increase their bid again, and they declined to increase their bid and they lost the apartment. Those. Same article reported that an even more extreme marina neighborhood example, the winning renter offered substantially above asking price, six months upfront rent, and twice monthly professional cleaning. What kind of prospective tenant offers their landlord professional cleaning? I've surely never had it happen. That and bidding wars are now taking place for San Francisco rentals. Could an AI surge and a lack of supply make anything like that happen in your rental market? That remains to be seen, and probably not to that extent. I've got more for you straight ahead, including the trend of money maxing.   Keith Weinhold  20:46   I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to episode 620 of Get Rich Education. What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine? You sure can at Ridge Lending Group NMLS 42056. They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal and even chat directly with President Caeli Ridge while it's on your mind. Start at ridgelendinggroup.com. That's ridgelendinggroup.com.   Keith Weinhold  21:23   Let me ask you something: If you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure, I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed. But with a track record of consistent, on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call, or text family to 66866. That's family 266866.   Robert Kiyosaki  22:26   This is our rich dad, poor dad author Robert Kiyosaki. Listen to Get Rich Education with Keith Weinhold, and there is I respect Keith. He's a very strong, smart, bright young man.   Keith Weinhold  22:47   Welcome back to Get Rich Education. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. The rise of quick hit dopamine culture has definitely hit the personal finance world, and this is not a good trend for a lot of Gen Zers, who are those age 14 to 29, sports gambling is increasingly a part of what they think is financial planning. A recent survey from the wealth management platform Betterment shows that 26% of Gen Zers, more than one in four, then consider sports gambling as part of a deliberate long-term financial strategy. If you think that's bad, more than half of Gen Zers, 52% say they've rerouted funds from investment over to sports betting in the past year, and that's versus just 24% of all Americans. Yes, the rapid legalization of sports gambling means it's never been easier to bet your whole paycheck that the Mets are going to lose 100 games this season. When a prediction market or a sports book starts to feel like a retirement strategy, we have a problem, and this is congruent with the rise of dopamine culture across all of society, where we've gone from playing sports, then to watching sports, and now to gambling on sports. In the kitchen, it's where we've gone from home cooking to leaving and getting fast food, to ordering Uber Eats, it's where media has gone from film and TV to streaming shows, and now with dopamine culture, it is watching reels. It's how shopping has gone from first high street shopping, then to Amazon and now to the TikTok shop. It's how communicating with people. It's gone from handwritten letters to sending emails to Snapchats. It's how we've gone from newspapers to breaking news to rage bait. As far as what we listen to for music, this rise of dopamine culture-it used to be vinyl records, and then Spotify playlists, and now it's trending sounds.   Keith Weinhold  25:11   It's gone from finding love to casual dating to infinite swiping. How about the way we look at and share photos? It's gone from photo albums to camera rolls to Instagram stories, and how about the way we access information with this rise of dopamine culture? It's gone from libraries to Google to Chat GPT, and that brings us to money maxing. Okay, yes, here in our finance world, the rise of dopamine culture has led to this. Yes, that is apparently a word now. Money maxing-it's all one word with 2x's. It sounds like something invented by a 22-year-old who's got three credit cards, three hoodies, and one fork. Okay, but money maxing-that is one of the newest personal finance trends spreading across social media. Now, the maxing stuff in that whole suffix that first became popular through terms like looks maxing, which means trying to maximize your physical appearance, whether you're male or female, and now people are sleep maxing, health maxing, career maxing, and I guess it was just inevitable until they were money maxing. And what it really means is optimizing your financial life so that every dollar works harder for you. That could include using a high yield savings account, earning credit card points and rewards, automating your investments, negotiating bills, and eliminating wasteful spending-eh, in other words, it's just another internet reinvention of financial responsibility. I mean, your grandparents just called it being sensible.   Keith Weinhold  26:58   Now, I do like the fact that young people are talking about money. I mean, as we've covered before, financial education is desperately needed. Schools will teach you about the parts of a biological cell, but surely not how to read a mortgage statement. So you can graduate knowing that mitochondria are the powerhouse of the cell, while believing that a tax refund is free money from the government. So you know, directionally, money maxing is good, but see, it usually only focuses on one side of the equation. That's the problem with money maxing. It only focuses on spending less. And here at GRE we take a different approach. The old financial advice is live below your means, and GRE's philosophy is grow your means. You should only live below your means earlier in your financial life when you sort of have to and you need to form capital for investments. But grow your means so that you can have the means to do things. I mean, that is the point of financial betterment.   Keith Weinhold  28:09   Long term, financial betterment is certainly not sustainable by saving money by getting a haircut at home, only watching men's fast pitch softball at the Moose Lodge because it's free instead of going to a Major League Baseball game, saving $120 on air tickets by adding an extra layover on your trip itinerary, or a buy one get one free deal on Hillshire Farm Bacon. Now, of course, you shouldn't waste money if you're paying for six streaming services and you're only watching one. Well, cancel the others. If you carry a credit card balance at 24% surely extinguish that financial dumpster fire. But you cannot shrink your way to an extraordinary life. There is a floor beneath how little you can spend, there is no ceiling above how much value you can create for others. You can cancel your coffee, you can stop eating out, you can turn down the thermostat until your living room feels like a meat locker, but eventually there is nothing meaningful left to cut. That is the weakness in traditional money advice. It treats personal finance like a sinking ship, and it just hands you a bucket. Growing your means is building a bigger ship. The most powerful form of money maxing is not squeezing another 2% off your grocery bill. It is increasing your income. It is acquiring productive assets and creating systems that pay you repeatedly. I mean, saving 20 bucks is fine. Creating another income stream can continue for. Years. This is the difference between subtraction and multiplication. Most money-maxing advice really isn't different than that conventional advice. It's living in the world of subtraction. Cut this. Cancel that. Buy the generic cereal. Drive across town to save 12 cents per gallon. Hey, congratulations! You just spent 40 minutes of your finite life to save $2.80. Real wealth is built through multiplication. Multiply your income, multiply your skills, multiply your relationships, learn a new system, multiply the number of people you serve with rental property, and then multiply your money through productive assets. Now, this does not mean to spend recklessly. Growing means is not permission to inflate your lifestyle every single time your income rises, but it means directing more attention toward expansion than deprivation.   Keith Weinhold  30:59   Ask yourself a better question. Instead of asking how can I save another $100 this month, ask how can I create another $1,000 of monthly income. That very question activates a completely different part of your brain. Now maybe you develop a valuable skill. Maybe you negotiate your compensation. Maybe you start a business. Maybe you acquire an income property. Maybe you turn knowledge, intellectual property, or an audience into a recurring revenue stream. You start looking for leverage rather than looking for coupons and leverage, that is the real engine of what money maxing ought to be. Leverage means accomplishing more with less of your personal effort, and there sure are a lot of forms you can leverage other people's time. You can leverage systems and technology. We're going to talk about a system later here. You can leverage media where one message reaches 1000s or millions of people, and in real estate, you can leverage other people's money. You can scale. A few weeks ago, here I discussed four different types of scale. Real estate investors can get them all at the same time. If you remember, they are financial leverage, like with the five ways. There's operational leverage, there's geographic leverage, and finally replication. You use a relatively small down payment to control a much larger asset while your tenant pays you rent, that income helps cover the property's expenses and mortgage, and over time, inflation tends to lift rents and property values. While your fixed rate debt becomes easier to repay with diminished dollars, I mean that is real money maxing right there. In fact, GRE's real estate pays five ways framework might be the ultimate money maxing system. One property can produce cash flow; it can appreciate. Your tenant can gradually amortize your loan for you. You get the tax benefits, and inflation can transfer wealth from the lender to you through your fixed rate debt, five simultaneous financial benefits attached to one asset. Oh, and we're going to take that and compare that with saving 50 cents on toothpaste. Now, both things technically do improve your finances, but they don't even belong in the same zip code.   Keith Weinhold  33:41   Now, none of this means that every leveraged property is a good investment. In fact, leverage amplifies outcomes. A well-selected, properly financed property is going to accelerate your wealth creation. But a bad deal with thin reserves-hey, that can accelerate your introduction to an attorney. Money maxing still requires judgment. You want durable income, adequate liquidity, responsible underwriting, and you want to have enough reserves to withstand the inevitable surprise. Because every rental property eventually introduces you to something that is leaking, squeaking, or perhaps refusing to pay. The goal is not to optimize every dollar so aggressively that your financial life becomes fragile. And really, that is an important warning about all forms of maxing. Optimization can go too far. Someone might transfer money among five banks to chase these tiny promotional yields, and open 12 credit cards for bonus points, and then monitor every purchase with the intensity of airport security. Okay, I mean technically they're optimization. Their money, but they're also turning their life into like an unpaid accounting internship. Your money should create freedom, not become another demanding employer. Effective money maxing focuses on the big levers first. Get some big wins. Increase your earned income. Own those productive assets. Use good debt prudently. Reduce taxes legally. Protect yourself against catastrophic losses. Maintain liquidity, and then optimize the smaller expenses. Do not spend three hours clipping coupons while ignoring a poorly structured $400,000 mortgage. You do not congratulate yourself on saving $9 on lunch while leaving 50k idle in an account that earns almost nothing. So we don't obsess over credit card points while carrying a balance because paying 24% interest to earn 2% cash back is not money maxing. That is like arithmetic getting mugged in an alley. And there's also an important difference between looking rich and becoming wealthy. Social media rewards visible consumption on things like cars, watches, first-class seats, rooftop dinners, actual wealth-that's something that's often invisible. It is the rental property quietly producing income. It is the ownership stake compounding in the background. It is the tax strategy that's never going to appear in a photograph, and it is the growing gap between what you earn and what you need to live.   Keith Weinhold  36:46   The person displaying the most wealth can have the least. The person saying very little might own the building. So yes, embrace money maxing. Know where your money goes. Eliminate the waste. Negotiate recurring expenses, automate your good decisions, and make your dollar purposeful. Each dollar, but don't stop with living below your means because that is only financial defense. Growing your means is financial offense. Saving money can make you more secure. Owning productive assets-that's what can make you free. The highest form of money maxing is not becoming the world's most efficient consumer. It is making the transition from consumer to owner. Own businesses, own equities, own real estate, own assets that produce value while you sleep, travel, or spend time with the people that matter to you. Because your time is limited, and yet your appetite for generic cereal is also limited. But your ability to create value, acquire assets, and grow your means. That is far less limited. Live below your means if you must, but don't stay there. Grow your means. That is true money maxing. And the number one reason that people don't acquire wealth. Do you know what it is? It's that it simply does not occur to them that they can.    Keith Weinhold  38:24   That is what Brian Tracy said. That is so incredibly simple, and it's true. If you want a money max, you need to have a great system. Let me tell you about a system called the Seven Figure Solution. Now you've been listening to me weekly for almost 12 years here, which I'm immensely grateful for. You've been earning money, investing well, and here with the seven-figure solution, you're going to be able to finally see how it all goes together. It's about making sure that your real estate and other assets appropriately fund your retirement in a way that gives you protection against market downturns, a tax advantage pool of liquidity, the death benefit of a life insurance policy, and actually introduces you to a new form of leverage all at the same time, the liquidity is key because this is where a 401(k) or IRA limit you. Those vehicles have taxes and penalties if you want to use those funds early, and this does not.   Keith Weinhold  39:34   But the seven-figure solution-it's not just for retirees. In fact, our own in-house investment coach here, Naresh uses something like this, and he's in his 30s. It also gives you a significant tailwind during your investing career. Integrate the seven-figure solution the GRE way, where we have a conscientiousness about leverage in cash flow, and in this case, part of it is how to prove. Leverage a life insurance policy. When it's time to tap that policy's cash value, you take what is a policy loan, not a withdrawal, because you're borrowing against your cash value, and therefore you're using the funds in more than one place. That's the leverage, and then the IRS does not tax loan proceeds, and this reminds me of a billionaire borrowing against the value of their stock rather than having to sell any of those assets. And yet, this can be done tax-free. It's similar to what you can do with the seven-figure solution, even for non-billionaires, it is buy, borrow, die. This leverages an indexed universal life policy, and there is the right way to do this and the wrong way to do it. Part of the seven-figure solution is that your cash value can have an upside ceiling and loss protection on the downside. That's really something that you only care about more as you're closer to retirement. And there are some mistakes to avoid here. You don't just want to set up the seven-figure solution off of a website, and it's based on products that you might have heard of from companies like Nationwide and mass mutual. I strongly encourage you to learn more, see how it all goes together, and learn how the seven-figure solution compares to other vehicles like a Roth IRA, 401k, and even a 721 and 1031 exchange. This is very much about you being able to picture your future, you've been building your real estate portfolio either from your investment coach or on your own. This is how the puzzle pieces finally are all going to go together. I am cordially inviting you to join us for a special live event, the Seven Figure Solution. It is co-hosted by our own GRE investment coach Naresh and Haven Bridges Jared, who you heard from on the show with me last week. By attending live from the comfort of your own home or from anywhere, you can have your questions answered in real time. It is this Thursday, the 27th, at 8 p.m. Eastern, 5 p.m. Pacific.   Keith Weinhold  42:23   Most people spend decades building wealth, and then they lose far too much of it because the retirement pieces were never designed to work with each other. So you're going to see how real estate, taxes, insurance, and retirement income can fit into one coordinated strategy, helping you grow and protect your wealth, access capital without immediately selling your assets, and potentially avoid losing hundreds of thousands of dollars to taxes unnecessarily. So it's not just another collection of disconnected financial tips. Really, it's your opportunity to finally see the entire retirement picture and understand what might be missing from yours. It's complimentary to attend. The longer you wait, the fewer options you could have. Decisions made today can affect your wealth for decades. Don't wait until retirement day to discover that your plan had expensive holes in it. There are some moving pieces here, so it's especially helpful that you attend this one live, and that way you can have any questions answered in real time, so that you really understand. And you might have been one of thousands of listeners that have attended our property webinars before, and they are important to building your portfolio. But this one could very well be more important in seeing your big picture, seeing your retirement, and seeing that your heirs aren't left with a giant tax bill too. You can reserve your seat now for the seven-figure solution at grewebinars.com again. That's grewebinars.com. Until next week, I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your daydream.   Speaker 2  44:14   Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal, or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial, or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively.   Keith Weinhold  44:42   The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building. getricheducation.com.

    Financial Survival Network
    No Rate Hikes: The Bullish Market - Ted Thatcher #6416

    Financial Survival Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2026 15:29


    In this episode of the Financial Survival Network, host Kerry Lutz sits down with wealth advisor Ted Thatcher to analyze the latest macroeconomic data and its direct impact on monetary policy. With recent inflation prints showing a year-over-year CPI of 3.4% and core inflation rising slightly due to spikes in healthcare and transportation costs, the duo unpacks why the Federal Reserve is likely off the path of future rate hikes. Despite minor softening in labor market participation and public sector job shifts, Thatcher argues that strong Q2 corporate earnings and high profit margins paint an overall bullish picture for equity investors while keeping central bank expectations firmly grounded. Beyond standard market metrics, the conversation dives into unique economic indicators, geopolitical dynamics, and regional market shifts. Host Kerry Lutz introduces his tongue-in-cheek "Palm Beach Trophy Wife Index" as a gauge for high-net-worth consumer sentiment, contrasting main street trends with luxury spending and labor supply. The discussion also touches on global energy markets, US crude production economics, and undertracked geopolitical catalysts like energy infrastructure bypasses in the Middle East and the economic implications of ongoing developments in Cuba for Florida and the broader Southeast logistics corridor. Find Ted here: https://www.brightlakewealth.com Find Kerry here:  https://khlfsn.substack.com and here: https://inflation.cafe    All Kerry's books are available here:  Amazon Bookstore  

    Trader Merlin
    Return of the Trade Tariffs - 08/24/26

    Trader Merlin

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2026 56:51


    Just when Wall Street thought the trade war was fading into the rearview mirror... TARIFFS ARE BACK! The latest escalation between the United States and Canada has suddenly injected another major dose of uncertainty into the financial markets. After trade negotiations broke down, the U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian goods, while Canada announced plans for dollar-for-dollar retaliation beginning September 8. And now the stakes may be getting even higher. President Trump has threatened 50% tariffs on Canadian-made cars, trucks and auto parts beginning January 1, 2027 if the dispute isn't resolved. That announcement immediately put pressure on automakers and raised new concerns about deeply integrated North American supply chains. So the big question for investors is: Are tariffs simply another negotiating tactic—or are we entering a new phase of the trade war that could actually change the outlook for inflation and interest rates? That's what we're breaking down on today's show. We'll discuss: What happened with Canada? How negotiations went from seemingly close to a deal to a major tariff escalation in a matter of days. Why 50% tariffs matter – Which products and industries could feel the greatest impact? Canada's retaliation – What happens when tariffs turn into a tit-for-tat trade war? The auto industry – Why Ford, GM, Stellantis and their suppliers could become ground zero for this fight. Inflation – Do tariffs ultimately get absorbed by companies, or passed along to consumers through higher prices? Bond yields – Could renewed inflation pressure push Treasury yields higher? The stock market – Which sectors stand to win—and which could get crushed—if the trade dispute continues? The U.S. dollar – Currency markets are already reacting, with the Canadian dollar falling sharply following the latest escalation. But there's another person suddenly thrown right into the middle of this... Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh Warsh already has to navigate inflation, employment, economic growth, oil prices and a complicated interest-rate environment. Now add tariffs. Tariffs can create an especially difficult situation for the Federal Reserve because they potentially push prices higher while simultaneously slowing economic activity. That creates the scenario central bankers hate: Slower growth + higher prices. So we'll ask: Did the trade war just make Kevin Warsh's job a LOT more difficult? Warsh has previously indicated that the Fed should distinguish temporary price shocks caused by things such as tariffs, energy and supply disruptions from persistent underlying inflation. Now that philosophy could be put to the test. And the timing couldn't be much better. Warsh heads to Jackson Hole later this week, where investors will be looking for clues about inflation, economic growth and the future direction of interest rates. Suddenly, tariffs may become another major piece of that conversation. For additional research, follow U.S. Trade Representative for official U.S. trade policy, Federal Reserve for monetary policy and inflation information, and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for CPI and other economic data. Listen now:

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour
    John Williams: Real Inflation Rate Closer to 11%

    Financial Sense(R) Newshour

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2026 20:57


    Aug 20, 2026 – Is official inflation telling the full story? Economist John Williams of ShadowStats joins Jim Puplava to examine how methodological changes to the CPI since 1980 have reshaped reported inflation, and what his alternate measure...

    The Mortgage Update with Dan Frio Podcast
    Mortgage Rates Aren't Falling—But Corporations Just Got $100 Billion

    The Mortgage Update with Dan Frio Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2026 11:43


    Mortgage rates are about to move — and today I break down exactly what the Federal Reserve is watching before they do. The August 21, 2026 Rate Update for homebuyers and Realtors: PCE vs CPI, jobs and claims, where mortgage rates sit now, and the $100 billion in tariff refunds that went to corporations instead of consumers.CHAPTERS0:00 What This Week's Data Told the Fed1:15 PCE vs CPI — The Inflation Number That Sets Mortgage Rates2:40 Jobs and Jobless Claims: The Fed's Dual Mandate4:10 The Reports That Can Move Mortgage Rates From Here5:45 Where Mortgage Rates Sit Right Now7:00 $100 Billion in Tariff Refunds: Who Actually Got Paid8:30 Target, Amazon, Ford — Refunds Booked Into Earnings9:50 Why Consumers Aren't Getting a Tariff Refund Check10:50 What Homebuyers and Realtors Should Do NowMORTGAGE RATE UPDATE — FRIDAY, AUGUST 21, 2026This week's economic data gave the Federal Reserve exactly what it watches most, and I walk through it the way the Fed actually reads it: PCE inflation over headline CPI, the jobs and jobless claims trend over any single monthly print, and the drivers underneath both — oil, shelter, and services. Then we look at what's ahead on the economic calendar and what could realistically push mortgage rates higher or lower.If you're buying a home, refinancing, or advising clients as a real estate agent, this hits your monthly payment directly. Mortgage rates follow the bond market and the 10-Year Treasury, not the Fed funds headlines — and understanding that difference is the biggest edge a homebuyer has right now.In the second half: roughly $100 billion of the $166 billion in struck-down IEEPA tariffs has been certified and sent out — to importers and corporations, not the consumers who paid it at the register. Target booked $994 million in tariff refunds and $1.65 in earnings per share while confirming it won't issue customer refunds. Amazon collected about $640 million. Ford recorded a $1.3 billion one-time tariff benefit. FedEx and UPS are among the few passing money back.Both halves land on the same place: your buying power.NEXT STEPS

    On The Market
    JPMorgan Makes a $750B Bet on the Housing Market

    On The Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2026 33:50


    JPMorgan Chase, America's largest bank, just made a big bet on housing—a $750B bet to be exact. At a time when most people hope home prices will fall, JPMorgan is gearing up to lend and invest in a huge way. Could this be a sign that those who buy now will be thanking themselves in the years to come? We're getting into the details in today's show. It's another housing market update! First, we're touching on whether or not the market has already peaked in 2026. We still have four full months left in the year, but with home sales falling in July, it could signal that the hot summer is starting to cool. But a surprising type of home is still selling fast—it's not the newly renovated house flip—it's the ugly, outdated home next door. Why? We're explaining in this episode. JPMorgan Chase makes a $750B bet on housing, signaling that America's largest bank is bullish on a certain type of real estate. Finally, the latest inflation rate update—the CPI (consumer price index) stayed in check last month, but is it enough to stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates? In This Episode We Cover Inside JPMorgan Chase's $750B investment into affordable housing  The latest inflation rate update and what it could mean for your interest rate Why buyers don't want your renovated home (they want the ugly one next door) A new 2026 home sale prediction and whether or not prices are still rising Two types of homes that are selling fast in 2026 (and why yours might not be) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders JPMorgan Chase's $750B Investment Inflation Update On The Market 436 - The Fed Signals a Reversal in Rates Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Find Real Estate Deals That Work in Today's Market with Henry's Book, Real Estate Deal Maker Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-453. Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Géopolitique
    La guerre totale de l'administration Trump contre la Cour pénale internationale

    Géopolitique

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2026 3:36


    durée : 00:03:36 - Géopolitique - De l'Afghanistan à Gaza, la CPI multiplie les enquêtes visant des responsables politiques et militaires. En réaction, Washington engage une stratégie de démantèlement, s'en prenant aux juges et incitant des États à quitter la Cour. - équipe : Anne Soetemondt Vous aimez ce podcast ? Pour écouter tous les épisodes sans limite, rendez-vous sur Radio France

    The Higher Standard
    Stagflation Is Coming? The Fed's Inflation & Jobs Trap Explained

    The Higher Standard

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2026 68:55


    In Episode 349 of The Higher Standard, Chris breaks down why cooling CPI doesn't mean inflation is dead, why the Fed may be walking straight into a stagflation trap, and how a weakening jobs market, rising energy costs, Japan, the yen and a geopolitical oil shock are colliding at exactly the wrong time. From the 1970s and Volcker to CPI vs. PCE, shelter inflation, owners' equivalent rent and the “ghost” hiding inside year-over-year inflation math, this episode explains why the next inflation print may already be partially baked in—and why the Fed's September decision is becoming a choice between fighting prices it can't control and crushing a labor market that may already be cracking. Macroeconomics, but without pretending beef and chicken are the same thing.

    Money Matters With Wes Moss
    What Is “Boomer Candy”? Specialty ETFs, Retirement Income, and the 60/40 Portfolio

    Money Matters With Wes Moss

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2026 34:30


    What exactly is “boomer candy,” and why is Wall Street talking about it? On the Money Matters Podcast, Wes Moss and Connor Miller break down specialty ETFs, retirement income, diversification, inflation, and what history may teach us about staying invested. ·       Explore why high-income specialty ETFs seem to be catching the attention of investors looking for income and potential downside protection. ·       See how ETFs may have evolved from simple, low-cost funds into increasingly complex products with new strategies, costs, and risks. ·       Follow the trend in derivative ETFs, which have grown from under $100 billion to roughly $600 billion in assets. ·       Unpack how high-income S&P 500 ETFs may use options to pursue monthly income and manage volatility. ·       Compare specialty ETFs with buffered and barrier notes, including a noticeable difference: potential counterparty risk. ·       Visualize specialty ETFs as financial burritos—layers of investment strategies wrapped together in one package. ·       Consider where specialty ETFs may fit as a supplement to a diversified portfolio rather than the main course. ·       Revisit the supposed “death of the 60/40 portfolio” after 2022 and see what history may add to the debate. ·       Discover what decades of market data may suggest about stocks, bonds, and balanced portfolios across different holding periods. ·       Check the latest inflation, CPI, and interest rate trends and what they may mean for the Federal Reserve and financial markets. Listen and subscribe to the Money Matters Podcast for a lively, educational look at investing, retirement planning, ETFs, and the markets. 

    On The Tape
    Peter Boockvar: Inflation Is The Core Disease

    On The Tape

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2026 33:45


    Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Checkout The Boock Report: https://boockreport.com/about/ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Peter Boockvar, CIO at OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners, to unpack recent inflation data and why yields remain resilient, with the curve steepening as the two-year dips while the 10-year holds around 4.65%. Boockvar argues the Fed must weigh PPI alongside CPI, noting persistent producer pressures and limited pass-through that squeezes margins and hiring, contributing to weak consumer confidence and “running to stand still” wages. They discuss why the S&P 500 continues to levitate, attributing much of earnings and market leadership to massive AI CapEx spending and its spillovers into financials. The conversation previews key retail earnings (Home Depot, Lowe's, Target, TJ Maxx, Walmart) and highlights strong energy stocks amid high gasoline prices and inventory drawdown risks. They also debate U.S.-China AI competition, pressure on OpenAI/Anthropic business models, and Japan's yen intervention, rising odds of a BOJ rate hike, and potential repatriation flows. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    The Mortgage Update with Dan Frio Podcast
    HOUSING CRASH 2026: Are You Actually Ready to Buy?

    The Mortgage Update with Dan Frio Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2026 11:38


    Is the housing market crashing? Mortgage rates, home prices in Austin, Memphis, Tampa, San Francisco, and San Antonio, plus this week's CPI, jobs report, and Federal Reserve outlook, all explained.The headlines say the housing market is crashing. So today I'm putting that to the test with the real numbers. Nationally, home listing prices are down 2.4%, but median home prices are actually up 3.2%. I break down which markets are falling the hardest (Austin, Memphis, Tampa, San Francisco, San Antonio) and which ones are still climbing (Providence, Indianapolis, Hartford, Virginia Beach, Chicago), then explain how the mortgage bond market, this week's CPI report, and the jobs numbers are shaping where mortgage rates go next.If you're sitting on the sidelines waiting for the crash, this is the video where I tell you exactly what to check before you make that call: your credit score, your down payment options, and what mortgage payment you actually qualify for.For more market breakdowns and data, check out the blog: https://www.therateupdate.com/blog

    WSJ's Take On the Week
    How to Make Inflation Work for Your Portfolio

    WSJ's Take On the Week

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2026 35:41


    In this week's episode of WSJ's Take On the Week, we dig into Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, or TIPS! Our co-hosts Miriam Gottfried and Telis Demos are joined by Jill Cetina, finance professor at Texas A&M University and former official at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and the Treasury Department. Together, they analyze the latest inflation data and what it could mean for TIPS if Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh changes the CPI calculation.  Later, Cetina explains why shorter-duration TIPS ladders and I bonds offer better risk protection than long-dated bonds, and why heavy Treasury bill issuance threatens market stability. This is WSJ's Take On the Week where co-hosts Telis Demos, writer for WSJ's Heard on the Street, and Miriam Gottfried, WSJ's investing and wealth management reporter, cut through the noise and dive into markets, the economy and finance—the big trades, key players and business news ahead. Have an idea for a future guest or episode? How can we better help you take on the week? We'd love to hear from you. Email the show at takeontheweek@wsj.com. To watch the video version of this episode, visit our WSJ Podcasts YouTube channel or the video page of WSJ.com Further Reading These Bonds Offer a Rare Buying Opportunity Inflation Was 3.4% in July, Down Slightly From the Previous Month - WSJ  The CPI and Inflation, Explained Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
    Recent Market Breakout Running Out Of Steam? | Lance Roberts

    Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2026 96:43


    Stocks are now "stuck" in a trading range after their recent upside breakout.Is the rally running out of steam?Or are new highs ahead, perhaps after a brief re-test?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the future of AI stocks, the latest employment & CPI data and, of course, his firm's latest trades -- of which he made many over the past week.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.If your work depends on important conversations and making informed decisions, Plaud can help you capture what matters and revisit it when you need it most. Visit https://plaud.ai/adam and use code adam for 15% off all Plaud devices. That's P-L-A-U-D dot A-I slash adam.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #aistocks #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

    WSJ What’s News
    Investors Are Holding $3 Trillion in Cash. Money Managers Aren't Happy.

    WSJ What’s News

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2026 11:32


    P.M. Edition for Aug. 14. Money managers have a problem: Clients are holding near-record amounts in cash—by one estimate more than $3 trillion. Miriam Gottfried, a reporter and co-host of WSJ's Take On the Week podcast, explains why this is happening and what financial planners are pushing their clients to do instead. Plus, two pieces of data—July retail sales and the preliminary August reading of the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey—came in lower than expected. WSJ economics reporter Matt Grossman says that is painting a picture of a weaker U.S. economy. And AI slop is everywhere, making it hard to know what's real online. We hear from WSJ personal tech columnist Nicole Nguyen about the inspiration for her recent special Tech News Briefing podcast series, “AI and the Blurring of Reality.” Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
    Lettuce Discuss Inflation

    Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2026 59:13


    The Inside Economics crew is joined by colleague Matt Colyar to run down the week's slate of inflation and consumer data. Following the recap and a brief detour about lettuce consumption, each puts forward probabilities that the Fed will cut rates, hike rates, or stay put in the near term. The numbers game leads to a discussion of the series the group would put on their Mount Rushmore – an exercise Mark is completely unfamiliar with and blames on the group's generational divide.  Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Swan Signal - A Bitcoin Podcast
    The Exponential Debt Society

    Swan Signal - A Bitcoin Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2026 44:37


    Brady breaks down the Bitcoin community's open letter to Anthropic: red team researchers report over a thousand serious vulnerabilities found across Bitcoin's open source ecosystem, and by their account not one was surfaced by an American frontier model Rob Hamilton's line lands hardest: getting locked out of a US cyber program mid-investigation "guts him as a patriotic American," but he uses the models that work, and so do the attackers Isaiah reaches for the crossbow: medieval bans on easy-to-use weapons never held, and hobbling defenders while attackers ignore the rules is the same losing proposition A viral Sam Altman clip about AI watching your screen and hearing your calls prompts the show's sharpest frame: take the Bitcoin ethos to intelligence itself, and control your own model like you control your own money The debt reality check: Trump told Bob Woodward in 2016 the $19 trillion debt could be erased in eight years through trade; a decade later the US approaches $40 trillion and interest payments have passed defense spending Groceries tell the story the CPI smooths over: food prices up roughly a third since 2019 by the AP's chart, quality quietly falling, and full-time employment down millions from its early-2025 peak Japan shrank its debt-to-GDP from 229 to 204 without repaying a dime through financial repression, a roundabout tax nobody voted on, and the gap savers should have earned is exactly what the government kept The catch: Japan owes itself, with the Bank of Japan holding 48% of its own debt, while foreigners hold 31% of America's, so when Washington tried the same trick, foreign holders sold and yields broke five percent Bear market check-in: Brady's third, Isaiah's second, and the shared lesson that conviction is earned in the first winter, while the 200-week moving average and cost-of-production zone mark where Bitcoin sits now The week's rare good news: FinCEN permanently ends beneficial ownership reporting for US companies and deletes the collected data, days after Liechtenstein's equivalent register leaked 31,000 entities ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

    Remnant Finance
    E112 - How Interest Rates Actually Work: Fed Funds, Repo, and Treasury Auctions

    Remnant Finance

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2026 62:52


    Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendarEmail us at info@remnantfinance.com or visit https://remnantfinance.com for more informationFOLLOW REMNANT FINANCEYoutube: @RemnantFinance (https://www.youtube.com/@RemnantFinance)Facebook: @remnantfinance (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560694316588)Twitter: @remnantfinance (https://x.com/remnantfinance)TikTok: @RemnantFinanceDon't forget to hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBEThe Fed cut rates and your mortgage went up. If that never made sense to you, this episode is the explanation. In part one of a two-part solo breakdown, Hans starts with the three interest rate stories dominating the macro headlines right now, the stubborn 10-year Treasury, Kevin Warsh's campaign to kill forward guidance, and Japan quietly letting its Treasury holdings roll off, and uses them as the entry point to a much bigger question: who actually sets the price of money?Chapters 00:00 – Opening Segment 01:00 – Setting up the interest rate primer 02:25 – Headline one: the 10-year Treasury refuses to fall 03:55 – Why a weak jobs report makes the stock market celebrate 06:40 – Headline two: Kevin Warsh is killing forward guidance 09:00 – Shorter statements, no dot plot, and a market that has to do its own homework 13:35 – Headline three: Japan stops rolling its Treasury holdings 16:10 – The food chain: it was never one dial 20:25 – The fed funds rate is banks lending each other reserves overnight 25:25 – The dual mandate, CPI versus PCE, and how inflation gets measured 29:35 – Reserve requirements are now zero 32:15 – IORB: the floor the Fed actually sets 37:55 – The reverse repo facility and the discount rate ceiling 39:20 – The repo market: a pawn shop moving trillions a night 42:45 – LIBOR, the 2012 scandal, and the move to SOFR 44:10 – Primary dealers and the price of the golden ticket 47:00 – What QE really is and why the Fed can't buy direct from Treasury 52:00 – Inside a Treasury auction: bids, clearing yield, and the tail 57:05 – Recap and what's coming in part twoKey TakeawaysThere is no such thing as "the" interest rate. There is a stack of them, and the Fed only has real influence over the short end. Everything between the Fed and your mortgage is a chain of institutions taking the rate handed to them, adding yield, and passing it down. The fed funds rate is not a number anybody types into a computer. It is a real market rate set between banks settling reserves overnight, and the Fed steers it with incentives rather than force. Forward guidance has been the Fed's most powerful tool, and it costs nothing to use. Saying the conditions might align for a cut can move markets as effectively as an actual cut, which is why Warsh trimming statements and abandoning the dot plot amounts to a real policy shift. The repo market, not the fed funds market, is where the money actually is. Fed funds is a small, uncollateralized club of primary dealers. Quantitative easing is the one situation where "printing money out of thin air" is literally accurate. The Fed is barred from buying new issues directly from Treasury, so the twenty-four primary dealers absorb whatever the auction does not clear and the Fed buys from them with newly created reserves. Treasury auctions price on demand, not decree. Treasury announces the quantity, buyers submit the yields they will accept, bids fill from lowest to highest, and the yield on the last dollar sold becomes the yield everybody gets.

    On Investing
    The Economy's Curious Balancing Act (With Dr. Richard Clarida)

    On Investing

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2026 49:55


    Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin begin this episode by analyzing the powerful role earnings are playing in driving the U.S. stock market higher and what that means for investors. Liz Ann highlights that S&P 500 earnings growth is tracking around 51% for the second quarter, an unusually strong pace outside of a post-recession recovery. Collin explains why Schwab expects a "higher-for-longer" rate environment, with short- and longer-term Treasury yields likely remaining elevated as the economy stays resilient and inflation remains above the Fed's target. Then Collin sits down with former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Dr. Richard Clarida. They discuss how the Fed thinks about inflation, labor markets, supply shocks, productivity, and AI. Clarida argues that policymakers are trying to determine whether today's inflation pressures are temporary or indicative of a higher underlying trend. He also discusses the transition to new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, potential changes to Fed communications, and why AI could be inflationary in the near term but ultimately disinflationary through improved productivity over the next several years. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.  If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab. This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.  Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy. Currencies are speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.  Diversification, rebalancing, and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions  ISM refers to the Institute for Supply Management. (0826-VELR) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview
    Financial Market Preview - Friday 14-Aug

    FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2026 3:39


    US equity futures are modestly firmer, while Asian equities are mixed, and European equities are also mixed. Risk sentiment remains supported by lower Fed tightening expectations after softer-than-expected US producer inflation reinforced the disinflation narrative following the in-line CPI report. September rate-hike expectations have fallen to around 30% from 50% earlier in the week, while recent AI-related earnings remain supportive for technology sentiment. Meanwhile, there has been no diplomatic progress in the US-Iran situation, with the US sending another aircraft carrier to the region and Treasury Secretary Bessent flagging new economic measures against Iran next week.Companies Mentioned: Carlyle Group

    AURN News
    July Inflation Keeps Pressure on Family Budgets

    AURN News

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2026 1:00


    The July Consumer Price Index rose 0.1%, with prices up 3.4% over the past year. While inflation is slowing, families are still facing high costs for rent, groceries, utilities, transportation and other everyday expenses. Subscribe to our newsletter to stay informed with the latest news from a leading Black-owned & controlled media company: https://aurn.com/newsletter Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Steve Deace Show
    Are We Reading the Midterms All WRONG? | Guest: Jennifer Sey | 8/13/26

    Steve Deace Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 99:51


    Steve says some anecdotal data from the most recent CPI report may indicate we're reading the environment of the midterms all wrong. Then, Jennifer Sey of XX-XY Athletics joins the program to discuss the latest in the battle for gender sanity. Hour Two is Theology Thursday, the latest iteration of the 7 Deadly Worldviews: Syncretism. TODAY'S SPONSORS: PREBORN: https://give.preborn.com/preborn/media-partner?sc=IABSD0123RA SELECT QUOTE: https://life.selectquote.com/termlife?sCode=HATQ CHIRP: https://gochirp.com/pages/steve-deace use promo code STEVE REAL ESTATE AGENTS I TRUST: https://realestateagentsitrust.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
    Last Week Was the Warning... What Comes Next Is Bigger

    The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 52:05 Transcription Available


    A record $432B July deficit, $40 trillion in debt days away, gold above $4,400... last week's fireworks were just the opening act.This episode is sponsored by Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peterThis episode is also sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe CPI came in tame. Hours later the Treasury reported a $432 billion July deficit... the worst single month in US history.Peter breaks down why the benign 0.1% July CPI is an accounting illusion: the BLS compares monthly averages, so June's oil collapse masked July's crude rebound, and August is set up to run hot. The real inflation news came later that day from the Treasury: a record $432 billion July deficit, $1.8 trillion in just ten months, and a national debt now less than $150 billion from $40 trillion. Bigger deficits mean more pressure on the Fed to choose inflation, which is exactly why the bond market refused to rally on the "good" CPI number.Gold holds above $4,400 and silver above $65 as heavy Asian buying signals the de-dollarization trade is back on, while Bitcoin sits dead at $63,500 and misses the entire rally. Peter also covers the yen back above 159 and the Fed's swap-line backdoor QE for Japan, both parties drifting left after the latest primaries, Trump family corruption from Truth Social premium access to Barron's $150 million, and the Iran endgame: no deal, a closed Strait of Hormuz, and a president claiming victory in a war America clearly lost.Chapters:00:00 Inflation Signals Not Prices01:22 CPI Print And Market Bets04:24 CPI Math Masks Energy Surge10:37 Deficits The Real Inflation Driver19:54 Gold Surge Debt And Yen QE31:09 Radical Left Wins Primaries32:00 Both Parties Shift Left34:17 Trump Corruption Claims37:51 Bitcoin Stalls vs Gold44:13 Iran War Reality CheckFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

    The Dividend Cafe
    Thursday - August 13, 2026

    The Dividend Cafe

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 8:31


    Brian Szytel reviews a broad market rally with the Dow up 69 points, the S&P 500 up two-thirds of a percent, and the Nasdaq up eight-tenths, alongside a modest bond rally as the 10-year yield fell three basis points to 4.65; WTI oil declined about 2.5% to $81. He highlights disinflationary data following a cooler CPI, with PPI coming in flat versus expectations of +0.2 and core PPI at 0.2 versus 0.3, putting core PPI at 4.2% year over year. Fed futures shifted, with September hike odds falling to about 32% from over 50% two days prior, while fundamentals remain strong despite valuation concerns near 22x. Weekly jobless claims were slightly worse at 209k versus 204k. He also discusses how inflation can erode sovereign debt burdens, risks of high debt-to-GDP (U.S. ~120%), and contrasts with Japan's 204% given domestic ownership of JGBs. 00:00 Market Rally Recap 00:46 Inflation Data Boost 01:55 Rates Expectations Shift 02:26 Valuations Versus Fundamentals 03:08 Weekly Claims And Geopolitics 03:33 Debt And Inflation Playbook 04:54 US Debt To GDP Context 05:35 Japan Comparison And Scale 06:24 Wrap Up And Next Episode Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    Mark Simone
    Mark interviews economist Steve Moore.

    Mark Simone

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 12:16


    Steve breaks down the recent PPI and CPI numbers, which came in line with economists' expectations, but do all Americans feel it? The guys talk about the recent state of the economy. Taxes nowadays are the number one expense that many families are paying, topping costs for food, clothes, and more. Coal could be a huge revenue maker for the American economy. Data centers in the USA are growing, and Steve explains how this is happening.

    Mark Simone
    Hour 2: Luigi Mangione's case.

    Mark Simone

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 37:20


    Luigi Mangione may have a plea deal coming tomorrow in his case, and Mark explains. NYC Commissioner Julie Menin is challenging claims that crime in NYC has gone down. Zohran Mamdani will be taking a vacation to upstate New York starting next week. Mark takes your calls! Mark interviews economist Steve Moore. Steve breaks down the recent PPI and CPI numbers, which came in line with economists' expectations, but do all Americans feel it? The guys talk about the recent state of the economy. Taxes nowadays are the number one expense that many families are paying, topping costs for food, clothes, and more. Coal could be a huge revenue maker for the American economy. Data centers in the USA are growing, and Steve explains how this is happening.

    Mark Simone
    FULL SHOW: The Lakers have a new owner! Who will replace Karoline Leavitt?

    Mark Simone

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 104:42


    White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt is stepping down from her role. Who will replace her? Mark can tell you! President Trump will be coming to Long Island tomorrow to tour law enforcement operations in Nassau County and is expected to cause a traffic nightmare. Iran is allegedly planning a massive attack on the USA right before the midterms, which could screw up President Trump and the Republicans' chances of winning the midterms. CBS may be leaving New York. A huge scheme involving Chinese nationals who paid up to $100,000 each to marry U.S. citizens to obtain a green card has been uncovered. Prosecutors are calling it one of the largest schemes in history! AOC and her longtime boyfriend are allegedly broken up, and her eggs are frozen. Luigi Mangione may have a plea deal coming tomorrow in his case, and Mark explains. NYC Commissioner Julie Menin is challenging claims that crime in NYC has gone down. Zohran Mamdani will be taking a vacation to upstate New York starting next week. Mark interviews economist Steve Moore. Steve breaks down the recent PPI and CPI numbers, which came in line with economists' expectations, but do all Americans feel it? The guys talk about the recent state of the economy. Taxes nowadays are the number one expense that many families are paying, topping costs for food, clothes, and more. Coal could be a huge revenue maker for the American economy. Data centers in the USA are growing, and Steve explains how this is happening. More homeless shelters are spreading throughout New York. Bob Iger and Jared Kushner's family member just teamed up and bought the Los Angeles Lakers for over a billion dollars. Did you know Howard Stern had a rule working on his show for women? Yup, he sure did, and Mark explains what it is! Bill Gates' daughter is getting in trouble for Cookie Stuffing, which is a deceptive form of affiliate marketing fraud to rig a user's browser without their knowledge or consent. Elon Musk is set to build the world's largest building in Texas. Mark interviews WOR weeknight host Jimmy Failla. The Mets are doing a dating night soon! Who will be replacing Karoline Leavitt as the Press Secretary? Jimmy thinks maybe it would be Trump, in a joking way! Jimmy updates us on his show. 

    Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
    8-13-26 Does the Inflation Report Give the Fed More Time?

    Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 42:41


    The latest inflation report came in largely as expected, giving the Federal Reserve something increasingly valuable: more time. Inflation was neither soft enough to eliminate concerns about price pressures nor hot enough to force the Fed's hand. That leaves investors asking what comes next for interest rates, the economy, and markets. Lance Roberts examines what the latest inflation data means for Fed policy, whether officials can remain patient, and what investors should watch as the debate over inflation and interest rates continues. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - CPI & Bond Auction Action 4:00 - Markets Are Stretched 9:31 - Lebo Merch 11:03 - CPI, Inflation, & Oil Prices 12:31 - What The Fed Should Do 16:08 - Core Inflation 18:01 - Inflation vs Prices 20:29 - Why Inflation is Important 21:01 - Why Leave Your Money at Old Company? 21:55 - Why Inflation Matters 24:48 - What the Fed May Do in September 28:31 - CPI Measurement & Boskin Commission 32:09 - The AI "Circular Financing" Narrative Debunked 35:43 - AI Spend per Employee per Month (Chart) 38:19 - AI Winners & Losers Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Retail Investors Are Chasing Again," https://youtu.be/1sKwI4gscZo -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hl6lVuNeTYM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street To Support Data Center Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wall-street-to-support-data-center-growth/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Is Inflation Back in Control?" https://youtu.be/ygeDd0d0XF8 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates

    TD Ameritrade Network
    Rate Hikes "Won't Derail" Stock Market & Midterm Election Catalyst for Crypto

    TD Ameritrade Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 8:45


    PPI continued the trend CPI by signaling inflation is cooling. Charles Schwab's Kevin Gordon expects the Fed to hold interest rates in its next meeting with current data in mind. He adds that equities have opportunity to rally even in the face of a hawkish Fed, so long as other economic indicators stay strong. Jim Ferraioli doesn't expect many macro movers to impact Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies for the time being. He does expect the midterm elections to serve as the next key catalyst for the space.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

    TD Ameritrade Network
    CPI, PPI & Fed's Fight Against Inflation, CSCO & CBRS Fall on Earnings

    TD Ameritrade Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 8:56


    As investors continue to digest Wednesday's CPI print, Thursday's PPI will show whether the trend the former set will continue. Tom White offers his takeaways from the CPI print and ways PPI will confirm or push back the inflation cooling narrative. He turns to earnings movers in Cisco (CSCO) as the stock pulls back on a stronger-than-expected report. Cerebras (CBRS) sold off sharply after its second earnings report since the IPO. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

    Marketplace
    Steep inflation, meet slow wage growth

    Marketplace

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 26:00


    The average household's buying power has slipped by about 0.1%, when the latest CPI report is compared to last week's jobs numbers. In layman's terms, Americans took a pay cut over the last year. But economists aren't so clear on what comes next. In this episode, we're on the inflation-outpacing-wages beat. Plus: Drivers brace for continued high gas prices, fractional homeownership startups present tradeoffs in this squeezed housing market, and we break down some lesser-known economic indicators.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from this episode: Inflation has slowed, but wage growth hasn't caught upRefined oil prices face more pressure than crude, and consumers will pay the priceTo understand how war impacts financial markets, look to the pastWhat you should know about fractional homeownership

    WSJ What’s News
    The Lakers Just Became the Most Highly Valued Sports Team Ever. Again.

    WSJ What’s News

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 11:12


    P.M. Edition for Aug. 12. Former Disney CEO Bob Iger and investor Joshua Kushner are buying the Los Angeles Lakers for $12.5 billion—the highest-ever valuation for any sports team. WSJ sports reporter Andrew Beaton discusses the sale, which he calls a “stunning twist.” Plus, inflation cooled slightly last month to 3.4%. Journal economics reporter Matt Grossman joins to talk about what it could mean for the Federal Reserve. And ticket reseller StubHub reported record revenue, thanks in part to this summer's World Cup. But as retail reporter Hanna Krueger details, both during and well before the World Cup, some fans were disappointed when the tickets they bought on StubHub didn't work and they faced lengthy fights to get their money back. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Marketplace All-in-One
    Steep inflation, meet slow wage growth

    Marketplace All-in-One

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 26:00


    The average household's buying power has slipped by about 0.1%, when the latest CPI report is compared to last week's jobs numbers. In layman's terms, Americans took a pay cut over the last year. But economists aren't so clear on what comes next. In this episode, we're on the inflation-outpacing-wages beat. Plus: Drivers brace for continued high gas prices, fractional homeownership startups present tradeoffs in this squeezed housing market, and we break down some lesser-known economic indicators.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from this episode: Inflation has slowed, but wage growth hasn't caught upRefined oil prices face more pressure than crude, and consumers will pay the priceTo understand how war impacts financial markets, look to the pastWhat you should know about fractional homeownership

    CNBC's
    AI stocks back in the spotlight... And a bold call for three rate hikes this year 8/12/26

    CNBC's "Fast Money"

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 43:34


    The traders debate what's driving strength in the AI trade today, as stocks like CoreWeave, Nebius and Super Micro all surge double digits. We also get a fresh read on the AI buildout, with Cisco reporting Q2 numbers after the close. Then, BofA Securities' U.S. economics head explains why three rate hikes this year could still be in the cards--even on the back of a muted CPI print. Plus, Google's new AI smartphone lineup, a landmark social media trial hitting Meta and the big moves in restaurant stocks catching the attention of our traders today.   Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    The Dividend Cafe
    Wednesday - August 12, 2026

    The Dividend Cafe

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 7:05


    On Wednesday, August 12, Brian Szytel reports a quiet, mixed market day as July CPI came in essentially in line with expectations, leaving stocks and bonds little changed (Dow flat, S&P up 0.25%, Nasdaq up 0.5%, 10-year unchanged). Headline CPI rose 0.1% month over month to 3.4% year over year, while core CPI rose 0.2%, with medical care, airfares, used vehicles, and shelter contributing. Fed September hike odds fell from about 50% to 42% ahead of upcoming PPI data and Jackson Hole. He notes inflation is moving in the right direction slowly, while employment signals are mixed (unemployment 4.1%, weaker JOLTS and slightly missed nonfarm gains). Addressing a question on baby boomers supporting children, he says wealth transfers are not money creation and are a “closed loop,” though lower labor force participation and skills could hurt productivity. 00:00 Market Recap 00:33 CPI Breakdown 01:43 Fed Outlook Ahead 02:30 Jobs And Softening Data 03:01 Boomer Wealth Question 04:07 Is It Inflationary 05:05 Wrap Up From Florida Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    Squawk on the Street
    10AM Hour: Bob Iger, Josh Kushner to Buy Lakers, Goldman's First Reaction to CPI, Lumentum CEO on Earnings 8/12/26

    Squawk on the Street

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 45:47


    Former Disney CEO Bob Iger and Thrive Capital founder Josh Kushner are set to buy the Los Angeles Lakers, marking a major shakeup for one of sports' most valuable franchises. Then Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Economist David Mericle breaks down the latest CPI report and what it means for inflation and the Fed. Plus, Lumentum CEO Michael Hurlston joins the show after earnings to discuss demand for the optical technology powering the AI infrastructure boom. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Squawk on the Street
    9am Hour: CoreWeave CEO Mike Intrator, July CPI Report, SpaceX's AI Outlook 8/12/26

    Squawk on the Street

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 45:36


    Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer, and David Faber started the hour by breaking down this morning's inflation print, with CPI rising 0.1% in July and the annual inflation rate coming in at 3.4%. The desk then brought in CoreWeave CEO Mike Intrator to discuss his company's strong Q2 results, which sent the stock surging by double digits at the open. Also in AI, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk outlined how AI revenue within the company will exceed all other sources of revenue before year-end. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    The Pete Kaliner Show
    Inflation eases slightly and social security insolvency | Hour 1

    The Pete Kaliner Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 32:36 Transcription Available


    This episode is presented by Create A Video – Kush Desai, Special Assistant to the President and Deputy Press Secretary, joins me to talk about the latest CPI economic data that got released today. Plus, the social security trust fund is set to run out of money by 2032. This means the US Senators we elect this year will be part of the Congress that has to face the crisis. Choose wisely.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-pete-kaliner-show--6946691/support.Subscribe to the podcast My preferred podcast platform: SpreakerAll the links to Pete's Prep are free!Get exclusive content here!Media Bias Check: GroundNews promo code!Advertising and Booking inquiries: Pete@ThePeteKalinerShow.com  

    Daily Crypto News
    August 12: Bitcoin Waits for CPI as Harmony Suffers a Major Exploit

    Daily Crypto News

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 3:18


    Today's crypto market is quiet, but it is not calm in a healthy way. Bitcoin is sitting around $64K ahead of the July CPI report, with perpetual trading activity at its lowest level since 2023 and volatility still compressed. The market is waiting for a macro catalyst, but underneath the surface, traders are cautious, altcoins are fragile, and sell pressure from public miners remains a real issue.The biggest security story is Harmony. The project confirmed an exploit where an attacker minted roughly 4 billion ONE tokens, equal to more than a quarter of the supply. ONE fell around 40%, exchanges were asked to freeze funds, and Harmony is now looking at emergency fixes and possible rollback options. That is not just a hack. That is a monetary-integrity failure.On the institutional side, Fidelity is moving to add staking and quarterly cash payouts to its nearly $900 million Ether ETF. That is a major step toward yield-bearing Ethereum ETFs. At the same time, public Bitcoin miners have sold about 28,000 BTC this year, worth roughly $1.78 billion, adding another layer of selling pressure to the market.Regulation is also busy. Russia wants retail crypto trading limited to Bitcoin, Ether, and USDT. The Bank of England is testing how stablecoins and a potential digital pound could work together in trade finance. The CFTC is fighting New York to keep Kalshi operating, while FlightAware dropped its separate lawsuit against Kalshi after just one day.The core theme today: Bitcoin is stuck in hibernation, but the rest of crypto is not quiet. Exploits, regulation, tokenized finance, Ethereum staking, and AI competition are all moving while BTC waits for CPI. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    C.O.B. Tuesday
    "We Are Morally Obligated To Lean Into This" – Mike Fey, Island.io

    C.O.B. Tuesday

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 60:46


    Today we are thrilled to welcome Mike Fey, Co-Founder and CEO of Island.io, for a robust discussion on AI, technology, and the future of work. Mike is a seasoned technology executive and entrepreneur with deep experience in enterprise software and cybersecurity. Founded in 2020, Island is reimagining the enterprise browser as a platform that brings together access, security, and productivity, enabling employees to move faster while giving organizations the governance and control required at enterprise scale. We were pleased to hear Mike's perspective on this rapidly evolving landscape. In our conversation, Mike first shares Island's origin and founding premise: to improve the knowledge worker's experience while building security into the platform rather than adding it as an afterthought. We explore Island's philosophy of enabling employees to move quickly and innovate within an enterprise framework of security and governance, extending controls designed for human knowledge workers to “agentic knowledge workers,” and using the browser as an enterprise platform to replace legacy IT infrastructure and potentially consolidate portions of the security stack. Mike shares his perspective on why expectations for near-term enterprise AI ROI are often unrealistic and why successful adoption requires more than simply giving employees access to AI. We discuss the importance of creating a secure environment in which employees can experiment, build, share, and deploy AI while choosing the right AI model for the job and finding the right mix of sovereign, enterprise-controlled, and cloud-based AI. We examine how the valuable asset in AI may increasingly be the proprietary context, data, and workflows feeding models rather than simply the resulting work product. Mike explains how Island can give enterprises visibility into where data originated, who or what accessed it, why an action occurred, and how those capabilities become increasingly important as agents begin interacting with other agents. We explore Island's “tactically strategic” approach to enterprise adoption, starting with practical, self-funding opportunities to simplify the technology stack and reduce costs while building the foundation for broader AI adoption. Mike discusses M&A as one example, where establishing a secure shared environment can allow companies to begin realizing value from an acquisition before completing the full IT integration. We discuss what boards should be asking about AI, how AI adoption is currently increasing worker capability rather than simply eliminating jobs, and the challenge of scaling AI across large organizations. Mike describes adoption as a “crawl, walk, run” process and argues that most companies remain in the crawl stage. He explains why companies shouldn't wait to establish AI capabilities and shares examples of organizations using AI not simply to improve existing processes but to transform their business models. We end the session with Mike's compelling view that AI adoption is a leadership obligation: companies should prepare their employees to remain capable and competitive in an AI-shaped economy rather than allow their skills to become outdated. It was a riveting discussion and we greatly appreciate Mike's passion for the industry and his enthusiasm for the possibilities. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion with observations on the fixed income market, noting that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was trading at ~4.7% ahead of Wednesday's CPI and Thursday's PPI reports, which could help shape expectations for the Fed's next interest rate decision. In equities, the DJIA and S&P 500 were each down approximately 30 basis points. With second quarter earnings season largely complete, Mike highlighted Intel's $20 billion equity offering to fund capital expenditures, which was reportedly oversubscribed by more than five times. Turning to energy, WTI crude oil had risen approximately $5/bbl this week to roughly $83/bbl, reflecting growing skepticism that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz will fully normalize in the near term. Mike noted that Iran-related policy has been a key driver of oil price volatility over the past two months. The energy sector had gained approximately 5% this week alongside higher crude prices. With second quarter energy earnings essentially complete, Mike wrapped by reviewing key themes across oilfield services, E&Ps, integrated oil majors, refiners, midstream, and power and electric utilities. Robby Kester and Veriten Senior Advisor Deborah Byers also joined and added their valuable technology perspectives and questions throughout the conversation.

    FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview
    Financial Market Preview - Wednesday 12-Aug

    FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 5:37


    S&P futures are pointing to a slightly higher open ahead of the CPI data later today. In Asia, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan were all higher on tech stock gains, though other regions were all lower. European markets are higher this morning. Companies Mentioned: National CineMedia

    Schwab Market Update Audio
    CPI Looms After Soft Start to Week as Oil Climbs

    Schwab Market Update Audio

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 9:49


    Rising oil and stubbornly high yields sent stocks down Tuesday for the fourth session in five as investors await today's CPI data. Headline CPI is seen at 0.1%, with core at 0.2%. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for their own particular situation before making any investment or trading decisions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. For illustrative purposes only. Individual situations will vary. Not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Investing involves risk, including, for some products, more than your initial investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request. Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions. The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed-income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Digital currencies [such as bitcoin] are highly volatile and not backed by any central bank or government. Digital currencies lack many of the regulations and consumer protections that legal-tender currencies and regulated securities have. Due to the high level of risk, investors should view digital currencies as a purely speculative instrument. Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. Some cryptocurrency-related products use futures contracts to attempt to duplicate the performance of an investment in cryptocurrency, which may result in unpredictable pricing, higher transaction costs, and performance that fails to track the price of the reference cryptocurrency as intended. Please read more about risks of trading cryptocurrency futures here. Schwab does not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of investment research. The Schwab Trading Activity Index (STAX) is a proprietary, behavior-based index created by Charles Schwab designed to indicate the sentiment of retail investors' portfolios. It measures what investors are actually doing, and how they are actually positioned in the markets. Historical data should not be used alone when making investment decisions. The STAX is not a tradable index. The STAX should not be used as an indicator or predictor of future client trading volume or financial performance for Schwab. © 2026 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.  Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC. Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB. (0131-0826) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    CNBC's
    “Big Short” investor's AI warning... And a key inflation report on deck 8/11/26

    CNBC's "Fast Money"

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 43:27


    Investor Steve Eisman of “Big Short” fame delivers an AI bubble warning, coming on the heels of Nvidia's $500 billion financing deal with top firms on Wall Street. The traders make sense of the mega-deals playing out in tech now. Then, economist Joe Lavorgna lays out his expectations for tomorrow's CPI report—and why the former counselor to Treasury Secretary Bessent thinks the Fed should hike interest rates now. Plus, all the headlines from CoreWeave earnings, On Holding's worst day on record and the Options Action ahead of Cisco results. Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    The Dividend Cafe
    Tuesday - August 11, 2026

    The Dividend Cafe

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 8:46


    Brian Szytel hosts Dividend Cafe on Tuesday, August 11, describing a quiet, rudderless market session ahead of tomorrow's CPI, with the Dow and S&P down about 0.3% and the Nasdaq down about 0.6%, the 10-year near 4.69%, and oil up about 1%. He notes better-than-expected NFIB small business optimism (99.8 vs. 97) and slightly stronger existing home sales (~4.1 million) though housing remains frozen by higher rates. Szytel then analyzes U.S. federal debt growth across eras since 2000, citing debt CAGR of 7.3% (2000–2008), 8.0% (2008–2017), 9.5% (2017–2022), and 6.6% (2022–now), arguing debt still grows faster than nominal GDP even in strong times. He also clarifies U.S. tax revenue is 17% of GDP federally but 27% including state and local when comparing to Europe's ~50%. 00:00 Market Snapshot 00:56 Economic Data Check 01:39 Debt Growth Explained 02:53 Debt Eras Breakdown 04:03 Why It Still Matters 05:43 Tax Revenue Clarification 06:47 Wrap Up Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    The Bitboy Crypto Podcast
    Bitcoin Being Left Behind....

    The Bitboy Crypto Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 69:22


    Bitcoin could be set for its next BIG move as the latest U.S. inflation report drops tomorrow! We break down what CPI could mean for Bitcoin, crypto, altcoin prices, and the broader crypto market. Join - https://www.skool.com/discovercrypto/about ​​If you have ever made money watching this channel, we need your help! Join the community to help us create the best Crypto education platform on the planet!  Blofin - https://partner.blofin.com/d/DiscoverCrypto Toobit - https://www.toobit.com/t/discovercrypto

    The Investing Podcast
    Warsh Faces a Big Inflation Test Tomorrow + Wall Street Unveils GPU Bonds | August 11, 2026 – Morning Market Briefing

    The Investing Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 19:45


    Ben and Tom discuss the $500 billion private-capital AI infrastructure fund unveiled on CNBC by Jensen Huang, David Solomon, Larry Fink, Jonathan Gray, and the heads of Apollo, KKR, and Brookfield, Fink's comparison of financing GPU purchases to the early days of 1970s mortgage-backed securities and the underlying assumption that Nvidia chips won't depreciate, a breakdown of how asset-backed lending structures like aircraft bonds could apply to GPU financing, Tom's "Through the Looking Glass" thesis arguing markets remain captive to Bernanke-era assumptions that no longer hold in a supply-side, fiscal-dominance framework, tomorrow's CPI report and whether a firm print could test Warsh's rate stance, and NFIB Small Business Optimism hitting its highest level since last August with hiring plans at a four-year high even as actual employment remains soft.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

    Get Rich Education
    618: Do This Before Your Income Stops—Scale or Fail

    Get Rich Education

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2026 37:32


    Keith explains why achieving scale rather than simply earning more is the key to long-term financial freedom and how income property uniquely delivers multiple forms of leverage.  He breaks down 25 years of inflation data to reveal which everyday costs have most outpaced wages and what that means for the real purchasing power of the dollar.  Keith also explains why markets like Memphis—combining strong cash flow fundamentals with a massive new AI infrastructure build-out—are positioned as compelling targets for long-term real estate investors. Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/618 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments.  For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text  FAMILY to 66866  Join Mid South Home Buyers' one-time, free live webinar featuring Keith Weinhold on September 30 at GetRichEducation.com/MidSouth to learn how Memphis' economic expansion could create new real estate investment opportunities, and have your questions answered in real time. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review"  For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com  Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold  0:01   Welcome to GRE. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. When I talk to a 25-year-old, it's an epiphany. When I tell them that they need this one thing that they're lacking, then some fascinating takeaways about the 93% inflation we've experienced in the past 25 years, and what you can do about it today on Get Rich Education. What if I told you that one of America's strongest cash flow real estate markets is also becoming the new brains and brawn behind AI? That city is Memphis, believe it or not. In September 30th, we're going to show you why the smart money is paying attention now, along with an investing opportunity you won't want to miss. Join me, Terry Kerr and Matthew Van Horn of Mid South Homebuyers, the largest turnkey company in Memphis with more than 6000 homes under management, for a free live webinar the likes of which I've never done before. We're going to look at what billions in new investment could mean for jobs, housing demand, neighborhood appreciation, and your portfolio. Everyone who attends live will also get exclusive access to the best deal terms Mid South has ever offered. Reserve your free seat at getricheducation.com/midsouth again, that's September 30th. Don't say we didn't tell you. Save your spot at getricheducation.com/midsouth.   Speaker 1  1:33   You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get Rich Education.   Keith Weinhold  1:49   Welcome to GRE from Livonia, Michigan, to Laconia, New Hampshire, and across 188 nations worldwide. You are listening to Get Rich Education. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold, heading up this slackjaw operation for another wealth-building week. But at least I'm just a slackjaw. If this slackjaw gets lockjaw, it would probably end the show. Now I've got to tell you, when I meet a 25-year-old, I soon tend to learn about their job because it takes a lot of their time, even if I don't ask them about it, and I find out that a 25-year-old is usually an employee of some sort. They're working for somebody else, depending on our conversational flow. I ask that person this question: Have you considered adding scale to your life? And they usually don't know what I mean. I ask that question because, sadly, today it's less common to live an economically vibrant life if you have a quote normal job like a teacher, engineer, retail manager, app developer, or other normal jobs like a firefighter, truck driver, physical therapist, or social media manager, that is not going to lead to an economically vibrant life with options and freedom. I mean, you used to be able to raise a family of four in New York City. That opportunity is just gone for anyone under a certain age. Well, what about say doctors, corporate executives, and attorneys, including some people that might be older than 25. I mean, professions like this can still pay exceptionally well. But even white-collar careers now have AI breathing down their necks. AI is drafting briefs, reading scans, and virtually attending meetings without pretending to enjoy them. Okay, well, what about the outcome for a 25-year-old that's gone along with the somewhat more nascent trend of rising AI sheltered trades like plumbing, electrical, HVAC, welding, carpentry, equipment repair, and these other types of jobs where ChatGPT can't crawl beneath your sink. Look, here's the thing: it doesn't matter whether you wear scrubs, a suit, or a tool belt. Employment has one stubborn limitation: even if you grind hard, even if your body holds up, even if promotions help you climb to the top of the corporate ladder, when you stop working, the income stops. That's the big problem, and yet people keep designing their life this way, employees lack scale. Now, what is scale? Scale is your ability to increase your wealth or income without increasing your personal time and effort at the same rate. Now, employees can find just a little scale. 401k contributions can compound for decades, sometimes with an employer match. Some employees receive stock compensation or bonuses, but employees generally sell one unit at a time. That unit is an hour. They're selling their hours for dollars, and here scale is limited, if not impossible. Real estate investors can stack several forms of scale simultaneously, and remarkably, doing it takes zero certification, zero qualification, no license, and no permission slip from the dean.   Keith Weinhold  6:05   The first way real estate investors have scale is through something that you already know so well: real estate pays five ways, leverage appreciation, 10 funded income, loan amortization, tax benefits on the entire asset, and inflation profiting on the bank's loan. Secondly, as a real estate investor, you have scale through operational leverage. Property managers, leasing agents, contractors, lenders, insurers, and software all allow just one investor, you, to control multiple properties. You don't personally collect every rent payment or replace every water heater. I mean, sheesh, that could be a plumbing career with less sleep. And this is all tenant funded. Thirdly, real estate investors have geographic leverage. An individual investor living in Los Angeles can own property in Atlanta, Tulsa, Cleveland, and Belize. Physical location does not limit where your capital works. Your body can only work in one city. Your capital can work the night shift in five. The fourth way real estate investors have scale is with replication. Once you learn how to buy and own one suitable rental, the process can be repeated. You buy, stabilize, finance, rent, and repeat. See, the first property is the hardest, and then your second property does not require learning an entirely new profession. It can be replicated. To review what you've learned so far, those are four dimensions where real estate investors achieve scale through real estate pays five ways: operational leverage, geographic leverage, and replication. Here's the important distinction: employees often mistake earning more with achieving scale.   Keith Weinhold  8:16   A surgeon making $900,000 a year earns a nice income, but see that surgeon has limited scale if the income stops when the surgeon stops working. But an investor earning just $150,000 from a portfolio possesses more scale because dozens of tenants, properties, loans, and operating systems continue functioning without your one-for-one labor. That's the distinction. That's why the $150K investor might or might not be living a better life than the 900K surgeon now, but they are set up to live a better life than the surgeon in the future. Now, your employer, the person who hires you, has scale with their many employees. But if you're an employee, you probably don't have scale. You cannot save your way to scale either. That's just stored labor. Savings become scalable only when you convert them into productive assets. Income is how much money comes in. Scale is how little your personal time needs to increase for more money to come in. You can work 20% more hours, but you cannot sustainably work 10 times more hours. Capital can be deployed across 10 assets without requiring 10 times more personal effort. And you know, once I realized this, at a certain point in my life, I was motivated to obtain loans for rental. This helped me scale and own more, replacing my active income with mostly passive income sooner. All right, so what should you do when you have this epiphany? It doesn't mean you should flip over the stupid copier machine as you storm out of work today and announce that you are now a real estate magnet. Not right away, at least employment that can be your launchpad, just like it was for me when I was a humble construction materials inspector for the state DOT. A job does provide you with some benefits like short-term advantages, seed capital, mortgage qualification.   Keith Weinhold  10:45   I'm talking about health insurance and some steady cash flow, and even some skills. But the mistake, whether you are aged 25 or 55, is allowing employment to remain the only economic engine for your entire life. Your job can fund your future, but having just one single linear income source that should not be your entire future. But you know, some people just stay on lazy cruise control at a slow speed and let their life unfurl that way. Others, you know, they merely haven't been exposed to thinking this way, and fortunately, now you have been. Really, the bottom line here is that labor won't scale; capital does scale; it compounds, and few, if any, investments offer more dimensions of scale than real estate. And you also get all kinds of other ancillary benefits by gradually tilting away from active income and toward passive income. Because increasingly, when it comes to taxes, you're going to pay lower capital gains tax rates instead of the higher ordinary income rates. The sooner you optimize this and get into as many properties as you can, you're also going to gain the ability to borrow against your assets tax-free, and so much more. Scale or fail-that's the lesson here, and most people fear change. It's why they stay stuck in relationships longer than they should, and why they stay stuck in jobs longer than they should. They keep settling for a B plus life. Don't settle for a B plus life. This is something that NYU professor Susie Welsh talks about: If you have a D life, oh, everything is lousy. You don't live where you want to live. You don't have reliable transportation. You don't have friends, and you're so very motivated to change that. If you have an A plus life, you've got it all. You get to do what you want to do, who you want to do it with, and you're tremendously incentivized to keep that. But having a B plus life like so many do, and being stuck in it, that is the most dangerous place to be. You could tread water for years and stay stuck in a life that you know you're not fully satisfied with, but it isn't so terrible that you feel compelled to change it. So the people that grow wealth know it means that sometimes you have to give up the good to have the great, and the K-shaped economic divergence that we've had in the past five years. This is really bringing things to a head, so get scale.   Keith Weinhold  13:43   Scale is the difference between grasping the financial abundance that's available to move you toward that A plus life, or staying on the treadmill, stuck and struggling. Two different people living a B plus life, you know, they have the same starting point, and making a plan is your difference maker. We help you with that here. If you're ready to add real estate scale to your financial life, drop a quick email to GRE Investment Coach Naresh for a complimentary strategy session at Naresh at getricheducation.com. You don't need any qualifications. It can take as little as a 20% down payment on a 200k to 400k rental property, and we have access so that you can buy directly from the builders and get a mortgage rate in the fives. And we are chasing the next hot thing here. Last week we discussed co-living on the show. We waited until that strategy was proven. I like strategies that have had some contact with reality. AI can compose a song, or summarize a meeting, or fabricate a photo of some. Wacky like Abraham Lincoln riding a dolphin, but it still cannot download an affordable bedroom, affordable housing. You're scaling into something sustainable that has a future and can't be easily disrupted by AI. Scale or fail. Stop settling for the B plus life. We can help right now at this moment. Drop a quick email to naresh@getricheducation.com. I should spell that out for you. It's n a r e s h@getricheducation.com.   Keith Weinhold  15:36   More straight ahead. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to Get Rich education. What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine? You sure can at Ridge Lending Group NMLS 42056. They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal and even chat directly with President Caeli Ridge. While it's on your mind, start at ridgelendinggroup.com. That's ridgelendinggroup.com.   Keith Weinhold  16:13   Let me ask you something: If you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure: I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed. But with a track record of consistent, on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call, or text family to 66866. That's family to 66866.   Chris Martenson  17:17   This is Peak Prosperity's Chris Martenson. Listen to Get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your daydream.   Keith Weinhold  17:33   Welcome back to Get Rich Education. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Having residual income from real estate, it can make you more comfortable for sure, but for me, I like to primarily use it to buy back my time. I'll tell you how I just did this. It's a small thing, a small win. It is time for my car's annual routine maintenance. Boring. I really don't want to lose my time dropping it off at the dealership in the morning and then picking it up again. Those two boring round trips don't add anything to my life. But the dealership had the option of, for just 100 bucks, picking it up for me and dropping it off for me at the end of the day. Oh well, that is an opportunity for me to buy some time, so that's why I did that. Now, when it comes to flying, sometimes I fly coach and sometimes first class. I just booked a flight and I refused to pay six times as much for first class. It just wasn't really worth it this time because the experience isn't that much better, and it sure doesn't save me any time. I tend to do that if the price is just 3x more, so I'll pay to save time, but not always to borrow a wider seat for five hours. And you and I both make hundreds of time versus money decisions every day, most of them small.   Keith Weinhold  19:04   With the more residual income you have, you're gonna make better decisions where you can choose the time over the money. One thing's for sure: whatever we're doing with our money, and that is that our dollar does not go as far as it used to. Let's look at inflation during the first 25 years of this century. This is really interesting. We're going to see how the cost of goods and services has changed from 2000 to the end of 2025 on some select categories that you spend on, and then I've got some mind-bending takeaways for you once I describe this chart, and this is the same chart that I sent to you last Thursday. If you are one of my newsletter readers, but I can open up and talk about it more here than I can in the newsletter because I keep that short. Overall inflation is about. 93% during this time period. 93% over these 25 years. Now, here are the items that rose less than that much, meaning that they became then more affordable over this span. What fell the most is the price of televisions down more than 90% in the first 25 years of this century? Toys down 74% Computer software down 73% Cell phones down 44% By the way, this all uses the government's CPI inflation rate, clothing up just one and a half percent, and even though it's up, that's still more affordable because it's up less than the overall 93% CPI inflation rate over this span. Household furnishings up 21% and finally new cars up 26% So all those items became more affordable because they rose less than the general rate of inflation. All right, moving on up. Now we're going to go above the line. Items above the 93% overall inflation rate, food and beverages were up 106% housing up 111% average hourly wages up 131% All right, let's pause. Yes, wages then outpacing 93% inflation. but of course, since that 93% uses the government CPI, well, that's pretty understated. Probably, you know, the true dispersing power of the dollar is probably more than 93% So it's debatable about whether there are real wage gains from 2000 to the end of 2025, medical care services up 147% Next in the category that has become less affordable is childcare, up 159% And as I'm naming these, there are some common threads here where I think you're going to have a few epiphanies when I point them out. College textbooks up 177%. Sheesh, what a scam! College tuition and fees up 197%, and finally the major category that became less affordable here at the top is the worst of all: hospital services. They have soared the most, up over 281% All right, there they are.   Keith Weinhold  22:57   And what takeaways do we have here? The items that became less affordable tend to be where the government either provides subsidies or they heavily regulate and mandate the product or service, like education, child care, and medical care. The categories that have become more affordable-that's where there is little or minimal government intervention, like clothing and technology. The lesson is that free market competition kept prices low, and some of these categories that became more affordable-you know-they would have become even more affordable than that if it weren't for profligate dollar printing, sadly, the items that have become less affordable-and this could really upset you-the items whose price increases exceed the overall rate of inflation, like medical care and housing, these are life's necessities. They are not once the stuff you need most got harder to obtain, healthcare is the ultimate example of this. It's sad to say, but you'll either pay the fee or you'll die, and the price reflects this. With hospital services up 281% outpacing the overall rate of inflation by about 3x. Also, items that have become more affordable, they are then generally the more discretionary purchases like furnishings, toys, and televisions. You can live without that stuff. Items that have become less affordable. They also tend to be more in-sourced activity, while those more affordable are outsourced, like to China. If you've noticed the trend, then anything involving people in the United States will be expensive, like child. Care and medical care. It involves people in the United States, and then it just gets more and more expensive. And this is also why service prices increase more and goods prices increase less. People are expensive.   Keith Weinhold  25:18   Microchips don't ask for dental insurance, and microchips don't file sexual harassment lawsuits. Overall, inflation was just 2.66% per year during this time period. But when it's compounded for this long, that's how it got to 93% cumulatively. But of course, inflation is higher than this 2.66 rate here in the late 2020s, and inflation is poised to rise even more than the level that it's at now. The war in Iran has pushed up energy prices 24% and these costs seep into almost everything, all right. But you're probably aware of this already, so I'm not going to discuss it much more because I discussed that before, like on episode 606, nearly two months ago when I called it our most important message in years, all right. But few seem to understand that this is just one part of a new inflation triple whammy. First, you've got spiking energy prices, like I mentioned. Second, more U.S. tariffs, and third, you've got mushrooming AI spending, and as a result of all this, this new inflation triple whammy that most people aren't aware of, this has pushed up bond yields to their highest point since 2007, and pressure is mounting for the Fed to jack up rates. Mortgage rates are soaring right along with them, and they are now near 7% Could mortgage rates reach 8% This is a real question now. The bottom line here is that inflation made the dollar lose nearly half its purchasing power in the first quarter century. Real asset owners will win, especially leveraged income property owners. This raises the property's replacement costs, spikes rents, and erodes your mortgage's real burden. Nearly everyone else is going to lose, and I don't want to lose a learning moment for you here. Bond yields-they are closely tied to what future mortgage rates are going to be. It's not about what the Fed does, and this is not as esoteric as some people think. This correlation between inflation, bond yields, and mortgage rates. Bonds pay a fixed interest rate long term.   Keith Weinhold  28:01   For example, the 10-year Treasury bond right now pays about 4.7% each year for the next 10 years. That's what that means. Now, would you lock in your investment for 10 years in order to get a 4.7% return? Well, if you were a conservative investor, maybe you would if you knew that inflation was only going to be 2% because then you'd be making about a 2.7% real return on your investment each year risk free. But if you expect inflation was going to be 5% over the next 10 years, oh well, then locking in a return of 4.7% means that you would lose real purchasing power every year. Investors don't want to lose money, so if investors expect that inflation is going to be higher, they will only buy bonds if they're paying higher amounts. And the bond market is telling us that as of today, investors expect at least 4.7% inflation over the next 10 years. If things change and they expect inflation to be higher than that, well, then bond yields will go up. If they expect inflation to decrease, for example, from a recession, bond yields will go down. So therefore, Treasury bonds are a true representation of investor inflation expectations and the movement of that bond yield-that is the number one factor that moves mortgage rates in that same direction. There's your explanation. That wasn't so hard. The market does not believe we're going to escape the Middle East war without substantial inflation or energy supply chain issues. That's what that means. Now, what else is going on in this era is the continuation of a reduction in the volume. Of housing transactions, fewer deals are happening. It had its recent peak of 6 million existing homes changing hands back in 2021. In 2022, it was 5 million, and it's been about 4 million transactions every year since. Now, as far as investor activity, just looking at that, for big investors, activity that's been sideways to a little down these past few years. But let's look at ourselves for smaller investors, mom and pop types, defined as those doing 10 or fewer deals per year, which probably includes you. You know, each of the past three years, activity has been up for smaller investors like you. You have gradually been purchasing more property, and this is as reported by realtor.com. Okay, what are the reasons for this?   Keith Weinhold  30:55   Well, back during the pandemic, you had to compete with owner-occupied buyers, that's when open house lines stretch down the block, and today there are fewer bidders in the room, and small investors are buying because builders are buying down your mortgage rate for you. That's another reason, and the source analysis it found that investors are sticking to affordable Midwest and Sun Belt markets that have strong rental demand. In fact, they're buying at least one out of every five homes in Memphis, Kansas City, St. Louis, Birmingham, and Oklahoma City. Real estate providers know that some prospective owner-occupant homeowners and even some investors-they won't buy anything at today's market mortgage rates, even though you and I know that these rates are historically normal. But providers-they need to stay in business. They need to keep turning things over. They need to sell property. They need to keep their people busy. They're not running museums here, so they're making sure that mortgage rate buydowns happen. And one of the most lucrative sources that I know about for investors is Mid South Homebuyers because they have investment property where the numbers work in Tennessee, Arkansas, and Texas with mortgage rates in the fives and a conventional loan with 25% down. A lot of their income properties cost under 200k, and these are quality homes in decent neighborhoods. I've physically walked inside many of them myself, not by drone, not with a virtual tour, not by AI, and not through some glossy brochure with suspiciously perfect lighting. The reason I'm telling you about this now is that this mortgage rate is one part of their limited triple five program. Here's what else we get as investors: a mortgage rate near 5% like I mentioned, and a 5% property management fee for five years. Though leverage has its benefits, if you decide to pay all cash instead, they provide you with the 5% property management for life, even if you finance later. I think they call that their forever five. Frankly, it's just amazing how many investors rave about the quality of their rehabs and say that their property management never seems to mess up in this industry. I mean, that is about as common as a calm political debate, or perhaps an airline actually improving legroom, and I have helped recommend Mid Health Homebuyers to our listeners for over 11 years. I know some followers that have looked at their available properties and scooped up three properties on one phone call. In fact, where they're based and have a lot of their available properties, Memphis. You know, Memphis has a story where I don't know if any other market in America can tell it right now. Do you know what's happening? Memphis is developing into having both the new brains and the brawn behind AI, and you got more smart money moving there now. Memphis is now home to the world's largest AI supercomputer. It's XAI's Colossus. It's now part of SpaceX. It's the biggest single-site AI facility on the entire planet. Anthropic is paying over a billion dollars a month to run Claude on it. Google just signed a deal worth up to 30 billion starting october 1, and I look forward to announcing that I have got a live event that I am co-hosting for you the day before this happens on september 30.   Keith Weinhold  34:56   So yes, that's the night before Google's money starts flowing. Into Memphis in one year, XAI became the second largest taxpayer in Memphis after FedEx, and the city has committed 25% of the property tax revenue from those sites to infrastructure in the surrounding neighborhoods. And when you add in FedEx, because Memphis already moves more physical goods than anywhere else in the country, you can see how Memphis is increasingly becoming the brains of the digital economy, while it's already been the brawn of the physical one. In every other market, you know they showcase things like their population growth and the rent-to-price ratios, and those attributes certainly matter, but now the fact that perhaps the biggest infrastructure story in America is happening in the most affordable major cash flow market—I mean, this is something that almost nobody has connected the dots on. So join me and my two co-hosts that lead Mid South Home Buyers.   Keith Weinhold  36:01   We're going to discuss market fundamentals, the AI build out, what it means for jobs, rent in neighborhoods over the next decade, and then a heavy live Q and A on Mid South. You're invited to join me. This is happening again on Wednesday, September 30th. It's at 8p.m. Eastern. Yes, you will have me live. Sign up at getricheducation.com/midsouth. It's a special event as Memphis is positioning to become both the brawn and brains of AI and a property provider that already makes a lot of sense for investors. Save your spot at getricheducation.com/midsouth. Until next week, I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your daydream.   Speaker 2  36:54   Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal, or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial, or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively.    Keith Weinhold  37:22   The pre- program was brought to you by your home for wealth building, getricheducation.com

    Daily Crypto News
    August 10: Strategy Is Selling Bitcoin While Saylor Keeps Preaching Bitcoin

    Daily Crypto News

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2026 11:00


    Bitcoin remains stuck near $65,000 while markets wait for the next major macro signal from CPI and the Federal Reserve. Matt also revisits Strategy after the company sold another 1,690 Bitcoin for roughly $108 million, questioning how the company's increasingly complex mix of preferred dividends, cash reserves, stock issuance, debt management, and selective Bitcoin sales fits with Michael Saylor's long-running “buy Bitcoin forever” message. The episode also covers Robinhood expanding crypto trading in the UK, Standard Chartered projecting tokenized real-world assets could reach $4 trillion by 2030, the CLARITY Act returning for a key Senate vote in September, and the continuing fight over stablecoin yield and crypto ethics rules. Matt closes with concerns about long-term quantum security, including the possibility that an eventual quantum attack could initially look like an ordinary wallet breach rather than an obvious system-wide failure. Happy Hodling, Everyone. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.