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European bourses pare some of Friday's gains; US equity futures are mixed, with the RTY holding afloat.USD struggles to recoup Friday's lost ground in a quiet start to the week; JPY underperforms despite hawkish-leaning commentary via BoJ's Ueda.USTs pause for breath following Powell-induced upside, whilst Bunds move lower.Crude benchmarks are very modestly firmer with focus on geopolitics; XAU is on the backfoot.Holiday: UK Summer Bank HolidayHighlights include US National Activity (Jul), Comments from Fed's Logan.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Markets have already priced in a Fed cut, given the mixed economic data in the July labor and CPI prints. Our Global Economist Arunima Sinha makes the case for why we're standing by our baseline call for a higher bar for a rate cut. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Arunima Sinha: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Arunima Sinha, Global Economist at Morgan Stanley. Today – our evaluation of the Fed's policy path following the July CPI print, and the broader implications for other central banks. It's Wednesday, August 20th at 2pm in New York. Our baseline call has been that the Fed will remain on hold this year, and last week's CPI print has not changed that view. As we have noted, average tariff rates are still ramping up given the implementation delays, and so their cumulative effect on prices could be more lagged. Within the CPI print, tariff exposed goods other than apparel and autos continued to be firm. The surprise came in services inflation, which showed a reversal led by the uptick in airfares and hotel prices, which had been running in deflationary territory for much of this year. Some of the pushback against our view on inflation stepping up over the summer due to tariffs was that services disinflation could compensate. But as this print showed, that is unlikely to be the case. While we expect services inflation to continue to moderate, we think that services disinflation in the first half of [20]25 was exaggerated by weakness and volatile competence; and both core CPI and core PCE inflation are still at their pace from last year. So further acceleration in goods inflation from tariff effects over the summer would still see inflation remaining well above the Fed's target. After the July U.S. employment and CPI reports, the bar for the Fed to stay on hold in September is clearly higher. So, what are the risks to our call? The road goes back to how the data and the Fed's reaction function will evolve over ahead of the September meeting. The August jobs report will be important. If it is a solid employment report, with a sequential acceleration in payrolls and the unemployment rate around 4.2 to 4.3 percent, then the Fed could likely look through the weakness in the May and June prints – attributing the slowdown to the uncertainty following Liberation Day and not representative of the underlying trend. If, however, there were to be a sharp drop off in the hiring pace, which is currently not being indicated by other job market indicators such as jolts or claims, then the Fed could take the view that the labor market is much weaker than anticipated and restart easing. There is also the possibility of a cut from a risk management perspective. Even with inflation running well above target, the Fed could take the July employment report as a clear signal of downside risk to the labor market and start the easing cycle. Messaging from Fed officials has so far been mixed, with some taking signal from the jobs data and others remaining less worried with the unemployment rate remaining low. Outside the U.S., central bank trajectories remain tightly linked to both the Fed's path and the evolving U.S. growth outlook. Recent labor market data have introduced downside risks to our ECB and BoJ calls. In Europe, if Euro strength persists and U.S. recession risks rise, our euro area economists see a reduced risk to their September easing baseline. In Japan, the Bank of Japan remains cautious. Stronger U.S. data could tilt the balance toward a rate hike later this year – though October remains a high hurdle, making December or beyond more plausible. That said, if the U.S. economy slows in line with our forecast, the likelihood of further BoJ tightening diminishes reinforcing our base case – the BoJ staying on hold through end of 2026. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Seiko Kataoka-Fisher, Director in Japanese Customer Sales for EMEA in London, discuss how the latest economic data is shaping the outlook for BoJ and Fed policies. Will widening policy divergence put greater pressure on USD/JPY as we head into the autumn?
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Seiko Kataoka-Fisher, Director in Japanese Customer Sales for EMEA in London, discuss how the latest economic data is shaping the outlook for BoJ and Fed policies. Will widening policy divergence put greater pressure on USD/JPY as we head into the autumn?
Today we break down another day of wild divergences relative to recent market action, as former dud sectors are suddenly outperforming like crazy, a sudden vibe shift that feels significant, if mysterious. As well, we note the volatility in US treasury markets and FX on Treasury Secretary Bessent's latest dovish comments on where Fed policy should be and on need for the BoJ to hike rates. Also on today's podcast, Apple's slate of new hardware products, upcoming macro and earnings releases, today's links and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Kam přijede, tam bourá sály. Je ztělesním soucitu a po světě chodí proto, aby zmírňoval lidské trápení. Kdo ho potkal osobně, ten říká, že je to úplně obyčejný chlapík, ale má nakažlivě dobrou náladu. Přesto jsou na světě politici, dokonce i celé státy, které by ho rády viděly v naprosté izolaci. Bojí se ho víc než ekonomických sankcí, víc než občanské války. Mluvíme o Jeho Svátosti 14. dalajlámovi, občanským jménem Tändzin Gjamccho, který nedávno oslavil 90. narozeniny.
George Goncalves, Head of Macro Strategy in the Americas, takes us through one of the busiest macro week of the year, where we had the Fed, QRA, BoJ, tariff deadlines and announcements, and a slew of labor data. In the end, the biggest highlight of the week was the extremely weak employment report which also had large revisions to the previous two months. Judging by the markets reaction, the downside in jobs data came as a surprise to markets but was not a shock to our macro team which has been flagging how labor market data has been overstating reality for months. Additionally, the team discussed the recently published Macro2Markets monthly titled, “At an inflection point or another macro head fake?” where we covered the idea of how risk markets are pricing in a goldilocks scenario and how tariffs can be utilized to pay for the Big Beautiful Bill and the potential changes in Treasury demand. George wraps up by suggesting to stay on guard ahead because risks are now more asymmetric to the downside as risk markets are due a pullback.
Asian stocks rose at the open after a wave of dip buying and optimism about interest-rate cuts helped the S&P 500 post its biggest rally since May. Stocks in Japan, Australia and South Korea all gained and the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.4%. Oil steadied after a three-day drop as investors weighed risks to Russian supplies, with US President Donald Trump stepping up his threat to penalize India for buying Moscow's crude. We look at the market landscape with Hartmut Issel, Head of APAC Equities and Credit at UBS Wealth Management. He speaks with Bloomberg's Haidi Stroud-Watts on The Asia Trade. Plus - the CEO of Japan's largest bank says the Bank of Japan could raise its policy rate as early as September, given the outlook for higher inflation in the country. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group CEO Hironori Kamezawa speaks exclusively with Bloomberg's Hideki Suzuki about the BOJ's rate path, rising Japanese bond yields, and the impact of tariffs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Vítejte na dalším setkání v legendární Zikmundově vile ve Zlíně, kde jsme v rámci festivalu Neznámá Země vedli s našimi hosty debatu o tom, nakolik je válka neoddělitelnou součástí lidského života. Jedna věc je filozofování o lidské podstatě, něco jiného je praktická politika a konkrétní mocenské zájmy. Cyril Svoboda poté, co opustil aktivní politickou kariéru se stal břitkým komentátorem světového dění a odkrývá zákulisí mezinárodní politiky. Jeho příspěvek do debaty byl přesně podle očekávání - přímočarý. Užijte si to!Jen dodám, že celé znění tohoto vystoupení stejně jako přístup k archivu všech natočených rozhovorů v plných délkách najdete na Petr Horký - Hausbot | Herohero00:00 Nemožnost míru ve světě.08:11 Motivace k boji a legitimní násilí.12:58 Realpolitika, rovnováha sil a mír jako kompromis.Support the show
- Boję się nacjonalistycznego patriotyzmu Karola Nawrockiego. I takiej wojenki - pogłębiania rowów, podziałów pomiędzy Polakami. Zobaczymy, jak będzie, ale jednak chciałabym, żeby ten rów podziału był trochę mniejszy, a nie większy - powiedziała w Polskim Radiu 24 posłanka KO Katarzyna Królak.
Za Palestince v Gazi je poleg izraelskih napadov smrtonosna tudi lakota. Človekoljubne pomoči, ki prihaja v enklavo, ni dovolj, opozarjajo humanitarci. Zaradi akutne podhranjenosti je ogroženih več kot 320 tisoč otrok, navaja predstavnik Unicefa Ted Chaiban in dodaja, da otroci ne bi smeli umirati med tem, ko čakajo v vrsti pred prehranskim centrom ali zbirajo vodo. Druge teme: - Trump ukazal premik dveh jedrskih podmornic. - Protest v Celovcu zaradi racije avstrijske policije pri Peršmanu. - Boj proti diskriminaciji v ospredju dneva spomina na genocid nad Romi in Sinti.
BoJ maintained rates as expected, raised growth and inflation outlook. Continued to note uncertainty over trade; Ueda said, no large change to central outlook that growth pace will slow down and underlying inflation stalls.US President Trump announced that South Korea will be subject to a 15% tariff and make USD 350bln in investments in the US.European bourses opened higher but have waned off best levels, NQ outperforms after stunning earnings from META +12% & MSFT +8%.Ongoing USD rally pauses for breath ahead of PCE, JPY pressured after BoJ Governor Ueda.JGBs boosted by Ueda, USTs towards the post-Powell lows into PCE.Crude lacklustre, Gold benefits from haven flows & copper dented by Trump tariff details.Looking ahead, US Challenger Layoffs, PCE (Jun), Jobless Claims, Employment Wages, Chicago PMI, Atlanta Fed GDPNow, Canadian GDP, SARB Policy Announcement.Earnings from Apple, Amazon, Strategy, Coinbase, Reddit, Riot, Cloudflare, Roku, CVS, Roblox, AbbVie, Norwegian Cruise Line, Cigna, Howmet Aerospace, Mastercard & PG&E.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Fed kept rates on hold with dissent from Waller and Bowman. Powell said will not let tariffs become inflationary.BoJ maintained rates as expected, raised growth and inflation outlook. Continued to note uncertainty over trade.US equity futures rebounded after-hours with strength in tech/AI-related names after Microsoft (+8.3%) and Meta (+11.5%) smashed Q2 earnings.US President Trump announced that South Korea will be subject to a 15% and make USD 350bln in investments in the US.European equity futures suggest a mildly positive open. Hang Seng lags post-disappointing Chinese PMIs.DXY rally pauses for breath, EUR/USD remains on a 1.14 handle. USTs rebounded off the lows after post-Powell pressure.Looking ahead, highlights include French CPI, PPI, German Unemployment Rate, CPI, EZ Unemployment Rate, Italian CPI, US Challenger Layoffs, PCE (Jun), Jobless Claims, Employment Wages, Chicago PMI, Atlanta Fed GDPNow, Canadian GDP, SARB Policy Announcement.Earnings from Shell, Unilever, LSE, Haleon, Standard Chartered, Anglo American, Sanofi, Schneider Electric, Safran, Credit Agricole, Saint Gobain, SocGen, Accor, Teleperformance, Air France, AB InBev, BBVA, Holcim Puma, Lufthansa, BMW, Apple, Amazon, Strategy, Coinbase, Reddit, Roku, CVS, Roblox, AbbVie, Norwegian Cruise Line, Cigna, Mastercard & PG&E.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Gonzalo Cañete, jefe de estratega de mercado global para ATFX, analiza en profundidad el paro en EE.UU., el dato de junio del gasto en consumo personal PCE, el BoJ, el dato de actividad manufacturera china y el euro.
Send us a textFed keeps rates unchanged, but leaves door open to future rate cuts. Strong earnings lift equities, reversing the post-FOMC dip. Gold rebounds, oil struggles to hold $70, copper futures plunge. BoJ keeps its powder dry, yen gets a small lift.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Boj skončil, alespoň o podobu kandidátních listin pro blížící se sněmovní volby. Lhůta pro jejich podání totiž vypršela. Znamená to, že se nahlášené pořadí na nich většinou už nebude měnit. Teoreticky to sice možné ještě necelý týden bude, prakticky bude tato možnost využita maximálně v ojedinělých případech. Méně než 60 dní před volbami už existuje pouze možnost se kandidatury vzdát, nebo může být člověk zmocněncem odvolán. Všechny díly podcastu Názory a argumenty můžete pohodlně poslouchat v mobilní aplikaci mujRozhlas pro Android a iOS nebo na webu mujRozhlas.cz.
Send us a textDollar traders turn cautious ahead of Fed decision. Attention will fall on the likelihood of a September rate cut. BoC and BoJ to remain on hold; eyes will be on future action signals. Wall Street retreats on disappointing earnings; Microsoft and Meta awaited.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
In this episode of Macro Mondays, James Todd, Will Cunliffe, and Edward Hayden-Briffett unpack the week that was in global markets. Markets are reacting to sweeping new trade deals - notably a major US-EU agreement involving zero tariffs and massive energy investments - while weak US and Eurozone PMIs, consolidating precious metals, and rising Japanese yields signal caution. Meanwhile, investors are withdrawing from US Treasuries amid political uncertainty, China's economy is under pressure despite upcoming stimulus, and global attention turns to a packed week of critical economic data releases.
Csányi Péter helyzetleírása tökéletes, örülök, hogy megszólalt a legnagyobb magyar bank vezetője – így reagált a Dellában Bojár Gábor, a Graphisoft alapítója az OTP nemrég kinevezett vezérigazgatójának (Csányi Sándor fiának) a magyar gazdaságról szóló kritikus megjegyzéseire. A gazdaság kedvezőtlen megítélése nemcsak a bank, de a Bojár résztulajdonában lévő, szintén a tőzsdén forgó Graphisoft Park értékelésén is nyomot hagy – derül ki az interjúból.
In today's episode of The Breakdown, NLW dives deep into the evolving trade dynamics between the U.S. and Japan, asking whether the current trade war is really masking a larger capital or currency war. We explore the details behind a new $550 billion Japan-US investment vehicle, why Japan secured a lower tariff rate, and the controversy surrounding the deal's legitimacy. NLW also unpacks the political upheaval in Japan, the long-term consequences of the BOJ's extreme monetary policies, and whether the yen's behavior signals a shift in global financial strategy. Is this just brinksmanship, or a new era of macroeconomic warfare? Tune in for the full breakdown. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3H3NZbk - Today, a look at a US equity market showing remarkable complacency, with some initial signs that things are wobbling. But we have a monumental week ahead as earnings season peaks and we look at the cavalcade of event risks on top of that, including FOMC and not least, the BoJ, as well as the US jobs report and Trump's trade deal headline. Full slide deck today, with must reads and listens. Link to John's latest FX Update: https://bit.ly/4716GqK Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Mirek Náplava je spisovatel a režisér několika řad cestopisného seriálu o srdcařích na cestách.Vím, že Mirek má moc rád řeky a proto byl cyklus Srdcaři na vodě z celé řady důvodů doopravdy jeho srdeční. Je tu pomalý rozhovor do rychlé doby. Užijte si klid a pohodu, jako kdyby vás řeka unášela…Začíná rozhovor, který tady na herohero máte jako předplatitelé skoro dvojnásobně dlouhý oproti veřejné části na youtube.Šťastnou plavbu na vlnách kolíbavé doby přeje z hausbotu Petr Horký!Celý rozhovor a bez reklam najdete na http://herohero.co/petrhorkyOdkazy:Trailer k seriálu:SRDCAŘ NA VODĚ teaser POMALÉHO SERIÁLU DO RYCHLÉ DOBYSeriál Srdcaři na vodě:https://www.iprima.cz/serialy/srdcari-na-vode00:00 Řeka jako průvodce životem.08:37 Plavba řekou nabízí unikátní pohled do krajiny.19:27 Umění zpomalit – na vodě i v každodennosti.26:47 Boj s uspěchaností a upouštění od výsledků.Support the show
Asian stocks made a modest gain at the open Friday as a global equity rally gained fresh vigor on strong economic data that eased concerns about the US economy. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.2% at the open. Equity-index futures for US gained after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 set closing highs Thursday. Tech stocks rose as a bullish outlook from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. bolstered confidence in artificial-intelligence spending. Netflix Inc. also reported strong earnings and raised its forecast. We get market insights from Brian Vendig, Chief Investment Officer at MJP Wealth Advisors. Plus - Japan's key price measure cooled a tad more than expected while remaining well above the Bank of Japan's target, keeping pressure on Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba to mollify voters as he heads into Sunday's national election. Consumer prices excluding fresh food rose 3.3% from a year earlier in June, slowing from a 3.7% gain - a two-year high - in the previous month, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications reported Friday. We get reaction from former BOJ board member Sayuri Shirai, now Professor of Economics at Keio University. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts on The Asia Trade.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dnešného hosťa v podcaste Flešbeky poznáme najmä pod pseudonymom DJ Damian Custom. V rozhovore nám ponúka svoj príbeh, v ktorom úprimne zdieľa svoj život, svoje úspechy, zlyhania a aj to, ako ho Boh zachránil pred smrťou. Damián je v súčastnosti členom kapely Isaac Records, no nebolo to vždy tak. V rozhovore sa dozviete, ako sa do kapely dostal, ako si musel prejsť časom bez hudby a ako Boh očisťoval jeho sny a túžby až kým to nebolo všetko o ŇOM.0:00:12 Úvod a privítanie0:01:50 Súťaž o knižku Koho (na)sleduješ https://www.godzoneshop.sk/produkt/koho-nasledujes-sadie-robertson-huff/0:02:35 Miska otázok0:02:50 Ktorú vec zo svojho zoznamu túžob by si zrealizoval tento rok?0:04:00 Čo najkrajšie si pamätáš zo svojho detstva?0:05:05 Odkladáš si veci do skrine alebo na stoličku?0:06:08 Poďakovanie a pozvanie do podpory https://godzone.sk/podpora/0:07:03 Damiánova cesta viery0:29:20 Čo sa stalo po tom, ako sa Damián obrátil?0:33:10 Boj o manželstvo0:40:40 Hudba ako súčasť Damiánovho života0:49:30 Azuritko a.k.a. Augustín0:51:30 Skončil som s hudbou0:54:00 Neúspešný pokus o návrat0:55:45 O moju hudbu nemajú záujem0:58:20 Napĺňal som svoje potreby, nie Božie1:02:35 Čas bez hudby bol čas dozrievania1:03:58 Je dobré mať svoje sny, Pán si ich použije1:06:30 Rivalita medzi kapelami1:10:30 Nie naše túžby, ale Tvoje Pane1:16:28 Poďakovanie
As markets await President Trump's announcement on updated reciprocal tariff rates following months of negotiations, Derek Halpenny, Head of Research, Global Markets EMEA & International Securities, speaks with Julie Ellert, Head of FX FraBelux Corporate Sales, about the potential implications for FX markets. With inflation in Japan remaining elevated, they also explore how the Bank of Japan might respond in the months ahead. Could another rate hike be on the horizon? With inflation coming in higher than expected, there's a risk the BoJ could fall behind the curve.
APAC stocks failed to sustain the mostly constructive handover from Wall St counterparts with sentiment in the region cautious as participants braced for the key US jobs data and digested Chinese Caixin Services and Composite PMIs.Siemens confirmed it has been notified by the US Commerce Department that export control restrictions on EDA software and technology to customers in China are no longer in place.US House Republicans were reportedly stuck and didn't have the votes for the rule, while Republicans had told members to go back into their offices and a vote on the rule didn't look imminent, according to Punchbowl.UK PM Starmer said Rachel Reeves will be the Chancellor for years to come and will be the Chancellor at the next election.European equity futures indicate a marginally positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.7% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK, US PMIs (Final), Swiss CPI, US NFP, International Trade, Jobless Claims, ISM Services, Canadian Trade, ECB Minutes & BoE DMP, Speakers including BoJ's Takata & Fed's Bostic, Supply from Spain & US Refunding Announcement.Desk Schedule: On Thursday 3rd July, the desk will shut at 18:15BST/13:15EDT due to the US Independence Day. The service will resume on Thursday 3rd July for the beginning of Asia-Pac coverage at 22:00BST/17:00EDT. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
JOIN THE MONEY MISSION:https://moneymissionja.comGet the Money Mission Workbook: https://amzn.to/4567eL2Support us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/moneymediajaOn this episode of Taking Stock…Money Media is FIVE years old! And we want to celebrate YOU with some awesome giveaways. Plus, the analysts weigh in on the latest market developments…The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development just released its midyear economic outlook. How does it affect you and your money.And the IMF thinks the BOJ should loosen its reins on the forex market.We'll discuss.******************OUR SEGMENTS: 0:00- Intro1:42 - What's Hot in Business12:40 - Economic Update35:17 - Market Recap42:39 - The Analysts- BOJ and IMF Forex 54:20- The Analysts- Stock Market Rebound?1:04:08 - The Analysts- JPS Contract Not Being Renewed*******************SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER: getmoneynews.comJOIN THE MONEY MISSION:https://moneymissionja.com******************
US Senate vote-a-rama is still ongoing, Thune suggests we are "getting to the end", unclear if he has enough votesEU reportedly wants immediate relief in any US deal, said to be accepting universal tariffs but is seeking key exemptionsRisk tone began firmer after strong Chinese data; thereafter, deteriorated into and through the European morningUS futures in the red, ES -0.2%, awaiting updates on the Reconciliation Bill, Chair Powell and a packed data docketUSD continues to fall. JPY and CHF lead, fixed bid, XAU higher.EUR and EGBs unreactive to as-expected flash HICP and numerous ECB speakers who have focused on EUR strengthLooking ahead, highlights include US Manufacturing PMIs, ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB Central Banking Forum, Speakers including ECB's Schnabel & Lagarde, Fed's Powell, BoJ's Ueda, BoE's Bailey & BoK's Rhee. Earnings from Constellation Brands. Holiday closures in Hong Kong & Canada.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks began the new quarter mostly higher, albeit with gains tentative; Wall Street closed higher.The Senate vote-a-rama process is ongoing before a final version is sent back to the House to approve the bill, before then sending it to Trump's desk.EU is to accept Trump's universal tariff but seeks key exemptions and wants the US to commit to lower rates on key sectors, according to Bloomberg.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on Monday.DXY is steady, EUR/USD briefly ventured onto a 1.18 handle, USD/JPY marginally extended on its downside.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK & US Manufacturing PMIs, German Unemployment Rate, EZ HICP, US ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB SCE & Central Banking Forum, Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, Elderson, Schnabel & Lagarde, Fed's Powell, BoJ's Ueda, BoE's Bailey & BoK's Rhee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
V epizodi 185 je bil gostja Nina Wabra Jakič, ki je po hudi prometni nesreči pristala na invalidskem vozičku, dvakrat prebolela raka dojke, danes pa živi kot ponosna mama in žena, ki jo odlikuje izjemna življenjska energija in optimizem. V epizodi se dotakneva naslednjih tematik: Ninino življenje pred nesrečo Nesreča in njene posledice Soočanje s spremembami in iskanje hvaležnosti Soočenje z družbenimi predsodki in osebna rast Materinstvo in osebna identiteta Boj z rakom in vztrajnost Družina in osebne vrednote Filozofija in duhovna prepričanja =================== Prijavi se na newsletter in vsak petek prejmi 5 linkov, ki jih ustvarjalci podkastov Dialog in RE:MOAT izberemo tisti teden (knjige, dokumentarci, članki, podkast epizode …). https://aidea.si/aidea-mailing-lista
- Boję się troszkę, że to będzie sukces tylko wizerunkowy, którego potem nie przerobimy na realia - powiedziała w audycji "Stan rzeczy" w Polskim Radiu 24 Joanna Solska z "Polityki", odnosząc się do lotu Sławosza Uznańskiego-Wiśniewskiego na Międzynarodową Stację Kosmiczną.
APAC stocks traded stronger following the firm lead from Wall Street, with gains capped as traders were cautious amid the fragility of the Israel-Iran ceasefire.Geopolitical newsflow was relatively light in APAC hours, with no hostile incidents seen between Israel and Iran; “There have been no [US] sanctions lifted on Iran,” said Fox Business' Lawrence, in reference to President Trump's post suggesting China could continue to buy oil from Iran.Fed Chair Powell said they would expect to see meaningful inflation effects from tariffs in June, July, and August. He added that if those effects failed to materialise, it could lead to an earlier rate cut.BoJ board member Tamura said that if upward price risks heightened, the BoJ could face a situation where it would need to raise rates decisively, even if uncertainty remained high, adding that he does not see 0.5% as a barrier for BoJ rate hikes.Fox's Gasparino posted that Team Trump said it was close to announcing a handful of trade deals. The major ones the White House claimed progress on involved Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam.Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits, CNB Policy Announcement; NATO Summit, Fed SLR meeting, BoE's Lombardelli, Pill, Greene; Fed's Powell; US President Trump, Supply from Italy, UK, US, and Earnings from General Mills, Paychex, Micron, Babcock.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US equity futures slightly softer. European equities opened firmer, while Asian markets were mixed with South Korea and Hong Kong outperforming. Trump to decide within two weeks on potential Iran strike, extending earlier timeline amid reported backchannel talks between US envoy Witkoff and Iran's foreign minister. Japan's May core inflation came in above expectations, keeping BOJ tightening speculation in play, while China held loan prime rates steady. BoE kept rates steady while SNB and Norges Bank cut rates; ECB bulletin released. Japan's Akazawa downplayed July 9 as deadline for US trade talks, mirroring tone from EU officials as negotiations drag on.Companies Mentioned: GMS Inc, Home Depot, QXO, Inc, Paramount Global, Ares Management Corp.
Following some tentative signs of easing risks in the Middle East, which have helped weaken the US dollar, Derek Halpenny, Head of Global Markets Research EMEA & International Securities, talks to Simon Mayes, Head of UK, Ireland, and Swiss FX Corporate Sales, about the potential implications for the US dollar and the financial markets. Derek also highlights some key takeaways from the numerous central bank meetings this week, including the Fed and the BoJ.
APAC stocks initially saw directionless trade following a non-existent lead from Wall Street amid the Juneteenth market holiday.US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.APAC sentiment eventually turned mostly firmer with notable Israel-Iran newsflow on the lighter side.Japanese Core CPI printed above forecasts; PBoC maintained its 1-year LPR at 3.00% and its 5-year LPR at 3.50%, as expected.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.9% after cash closed -1.3% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK PSNB, Retail sales, US Philly Fed Business Index, Leading Index Change, Canadian Producer Prices & Retail sales, EU Consumer Confidence, Quad witching, Chinese LPRs, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi meets with European Ministers, Speakers include ECB Governing Council Macroprudential Forum, BoJ's Ueda, Holidays in Sweden, Finland, New Zealand.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US equity futures are pointing to a lower open today. European markets have opened in the negative territory, following mixed trades in Asian markets. Global markets today are digesting Trump's decision to cut short his G7 attendance to return to Washington after warning on Truth Social for people to evacuate Tehran. BOJ left interest rates unchanged as expected. Ishiba and Trump failed to reach agreement at G7. US and Canada are aiming to strike a trade deal within a month.Companies mentioned: Verve Therapeutics, Eli Lilly, T-Mobile, Softbank
S&P Futures are moving lower as the conflict in the Middle East weighs on sentiment. President Trump left the G7 meeting earlier than scheduled without any trade deals. He posted a comment calling on the residences of Tehran to evacuate the city which has the markets on edge. The FOMC meeting starts today with an announcement scheduled for tomorrow. The BOJ left rates unchanged. Oil and defense stocks are higher this morning. Solar stocks are falling as Senate Republicans look for a full phase out of tax credits. Economic data on Retail Sales and Industrial production are due out this morning. On the earnings front, LEN is moving higher after its earnings report. LZB is due out after the bell today.
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APAC stocks traded mixed/mostly lower with the region failing to coattail on Wall Street's gains, as geopolitical angst kept risk subdued.US President Trump posted that "Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!" before cutting his G7 trip short, stoking fears of a US military offensive. Sentiment later stabilised after CBS reported that the US is not joining Israel offensively in its military operations against Iran.BoJ maintained its rate at 0.5% as expected via unanimous vote, and is to reduce the amount of monthly JGB purchases by about JPY 200bln each quarter from April 2026 onward (as telegraphed); Tamura dissented on the taper plan.Japanese PM Ishiba and US President Trump did not reach a tariff agreement, but confirmed they are to continue tariff talks, according to Fuji TV.European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.6% after cash closed with gains of 1.0% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include German ZEW, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoJ Press Conference, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit, IEA OMR, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump says he wants "a real end," with Iran "giving up entirely" on nukes”, via CBS's Jacobs.US President Trump says the EU is not yet offering a fair deal, there is a chance of a deal with Japan but they are "tough". Pharma tariffs coming soon.Stocks hit as Iran-Israel strikes continue and Trump posts that "everyone" should evacuate Tehran.FX markets in narrow ranges awaiting US Retail Sales; incremental strength in JPY post-BoJ, but Ueda sparked some weakness thereafter.Two-way action for JGBs; USTs just about firmer while EGBs & Gilts reside in the red.Crude moves higher as Trump cuts his G7 trip short and now awaiting developments from the situation in Iran.Looking ahead, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
S&P Futures are displaying positive action this morning. While tensions in the Middle East remain elevated, Isreal has clearly demonstrated its superiority as they continue to focus their attacks on disabling Iran's nuclear program. The G7 meeting are underway, President Trump will be in attendance. Focus will be on Trade talks and the Middle East. There are a host of Central Bank meetings this week with scheduled announcements from the BOJ, FOMC and the BOE over the next few days. The key economic report for today is the Empire State Manufacturing index. On the earnings front, LEN will be releasing earnings after the bell.
Major indexes approach the weekend with light gains despite disappointment over tariff outcomes. Consumer sentiment is due after the open. Next week brings Fed and BOJ meetings.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.(0130-0625)
Ongoing trade deal developments remain the largest driver of global markets right now. Our focus next week will be on the G7 Summit in Canada, to see if there are any further trade developments. We look ahead to central bank meetings in Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Japan, as well as fresh ECB communication and policy meetings across the UK, Switzerland, Sweden and Norway. Chapters: US (01:48), China (07:39), Europe (11:31), Japan (14:31), Rest of Asia (18:22), Australia & New Zealand (21:37).
Interview recorded - 5th of June, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research. She is the author of Fed Up and a global thought leader in monetary policy, economics and finance with 9 years experience at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.During our conversation we spoke about Danielle's thoughts on the economy, the FED stalling elections, the bond market, BOJ increasing global yields, recession comparison and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction2:07 - Danielle's economic outlook3:22- FED stalling6:37 - Worried about Covid repeat?7:50 - Cut before election?10:07 - End of Powell?12:13 - Bond market?13:41 - BOJ increases impacting global yields14:27 - Dollar depreciation16:02- US in a recession?19:16 - Global economy20:18 - Recession comparison21:31 - Risk-off?22:46 - Retirees selling?24:05 - One message to takeaway?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube - @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
US equity futures are slightly lower after Thursday's positive session. European markets are mostly higher, while Asian equities ended broadly weaker, with Hong Kong and Japan leading declines. US trade policy outlook clouded after Appeals Court stayed ruling that had blocked tariffs under IEEPA, leaving restrictions in place while further legal review proceeds. White House stressed alternative statutes could be used if needed, adding uncertainty to timing and process of trade decisions. US-Asia trade negotiations remain uneven: Bessent said China talks stalled and may require Xi-Trump call, while India highlighted progress and Japan prepares for next round. Tokyo inflation beat expectations, adding to market focus on BOJ tightening after Ueda reaffirmed data-driven approach this week.Companies Mentioned: Synopsys, Seacoast Banking, Archer-Daniels-Midland
This week, we discuss the federal court injunction against Trump's tariffs and whether this marks a true policy shift or just legal theater. The crew also dives into stealth bailouts via Treasury bill issuance, Japan's inflation puzzle, AI's productivity promises, and the looming housing and credit crunch. Plus, stablecoins are emerging as major buyers of U.S. debt. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1y-opkz9g_zdZo2XzMWZ4KnE7PzzmvTSe/view?usp=sharing — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions. Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information. Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding. Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network's bridged assets with ~$200M in aBTC minted. Check out https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ to learn more! — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (03:10) Permissionless (04:25) Court Blocks Trump Tariffs (10:04) Has Anything Really Changed? (11:16) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Aptos) (12:59) Has Anything Really Changed? (15:44) Economy Mostly Fine (17:32) It's All About Flows (20:46) BOJ & The Acronym Factory (25:36) AI Disruption (30:09) Japan Financial Repression (32:08) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Aptos) (34:33) Delinquencies & Real Wages (36:07) Endowments, VC, & Private Markets (42:46) Housing Teetering (47:16) Trump & Powell Meet (48:38) Winning Innovation Themes (50:54) BIS Stablecoin Paper — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Japan was, they said, on the cusp of generational shift. The real outlier in a growing tide of reversals, BoJ was still hiking still anticipating an inflationary recovery. It has all come crashing down, globally synchronized. But not before one final plot twist. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU