Podcasts about The Jolts

Nasdaq's Crypto Push and a Labor Market ShockerDescription: This week, we're analyzing a market that's showing a clear divergence. Bitcoin is seeing strong inflows of over $620 million, while Ethereum is experiencing significant outflows of $880 million. Price action reflects this, with Bitcoin holding a tight range, Ethereum trading flat, and Solana outperforming with a 9% gain. We'll look at what healthy perp funding rates tell us about market sentiment.The dominant theme is the shifting macro landscape. We received a major reality check on the U.S. labor market with large downward revisions to annual payroll data. This, combined with last week's weak JOLTs data, is increasing the odds of a larger Fed rate cut ahead of next week's FOMC meeting. All of this sets the stage for a critical CPI report on Thursday. We'll also touch on the latest OPEC+ announcements.This comes as traditional finance makes huge moves into the space. Nasdaq is investing $50 million in the Gemini crypto exchange and has also filed with the SEC to trade tokenized securities alongside traditional stocks. We'll also cover Ant Digital's plan to tokenize $8 billion in assets and the latest onchain news from MegaETH and Ethena.Topics Covered:Market Update:Diverging ETF Flows: BTC inflows ($620m) vs. ETH outflows (-$880m).Price Action: BTC range-bound, ETH flat, and SOL outperforming (+9%).Market Sentiment: Healthy perp funding rates and a rising COIN50 index.Macro Deep Dive:Labor Market Shocker: The 911k downward revision to benchmark payrolls.Fed Outlook: Increased odds of a rate cut ahead of the FOMC meeting.Key Data: What to expect from Thursday's CPI report.Fiscal & Geopolitics:  OPEC+ news.Regulatory & Adoption Breakthroughs:Nasdaq invests $50 million in Gemini.Nasdaq seeks SEC approval to trade tokenized securities.Ant Digital plans to tokenize $8 billion in assets.Onchain & Ecosystem News:MegaETH launches a native stablecoin with Ethena to subsidize fees.Coinbase News & Product Launches:Coming September 22: Mag7 + Crypto Equity Index FuturesCB ResearchCoinbase ResearchSpeakers:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesDavid Duong, Global Head of ResearchColin Basco, Institutional Research

The French government is on the brink of another collapse, and Japan's prime minister quits after just a year in office. Plus, China may open its domestic bond market to Russian companies for the first time since 2022, and US economic data is complicating the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates.Mentioned in this podcast:French PM François Bayrou on the brink in crucial confidence voteJapan's prime minister quits to make way for new leaderChina paves way for renminbi fundraising by Russian energy giants US adds just 22,000 jobs in August as labour market sputtersClick here to access virtual sessions from the FT Weekend Festival Today's FT News Briefing was produced by Ethan Plotkin, Victoria Craig, Katya Kumkova, Sonja Hutson, and Marc Filippino. Additional help from Peter Barber and Alex Higgins. The FT's acting co-head of audio is Topher Forhecz. The show's theme music is by Metaphor Music.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The jobs market is starting to show signs of being in real trouble.August payrolls were a huge disappointment, coming in at a VERY weak 22k (vs expectations of 75k).And the June payrolls number was revised downwards to a LOSS of -13k jobs,. On top of that, this week's JOLTS data revealed that there are now *fewer* jobs openings than applicants, something we haven't seen since the early days of COVID.As the unemployment rate now rises to 4.3%, should we expect it to begin rising more aggressively from here as the economy continues to slow?Are we seeing the early warning signs that a recession lies ahead?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the latest technical analysis for stocks, the ongoing breakout in gold & silver, the attractiveness of the oversold energy sector, prudent risk management best practices, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this latest Market Recap.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#labormarket #unemployment #recession _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

In this episode of WealthVest: The Weekly Bull&Bear, Drew and Tim discussed the recent GDP numbers, the JOLTS and ADP jobs data, the manufacturing sector, and a federal appeals court ruling on tariffs. WealthVest – based in Bozeman, MT– is a financial services marketing and distribution firm specializing in fixed and fixed index annuities from many high-quality insurance companies. WealthVest provides the tools, resources, practice management support, and products that financial professionals need to provide their clients a predictable retirement that has their best interest in mind.Hosts: Drew Dokken, Tim PierottiAlbum Artwork: Sam YarboroughShow Editing and Production: Tavin DavisDisclosure: The information covered and posted represents the views and opinions of the hosts and does not necessarily represent the views or opinions of WealthVest. The mere appearance of Content on the Site does not constitute an endorsement by WealthVest. The Content has been made available for informational and educational purposes only. WealthVest does not make any representation or warranties with respect to the accuracy, applicability, fitness, or completeness of the Content.WealthVest does not warrant the performance, effectiveness or applicability of any sites listed or linked to in any Content. The content is not intended to be a substitute for professional investing advice. Always seek the advice of your financial advisor or other qualified financial service provider with any questions you may have regarding your investment planning. Investment and investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Kevin Hincks dives into the August non-farm payrolls report which came in below estimates and revealed only 22k added jobs last month. Kevin says this now turns the focus to interest rates after it continues a trend of weak employment data this week including JOLTS and Jobless Claims. He adds the revisions to June and July painted slightly different pictures, but says what's weak for the U.S. economy isn't necessarily bad for the stock market. Kevin says inflation data and the Fed's September meeting will be "crucial" indicators for a "locked in" 25bps rate cut.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Andrew and Hicks discuss the JOLTS report, CRM earnings, the German economy expectation of slower growth, and Stephen Miran facing Senate confirmation today. Song: Band On The Run - Paul McCartney For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit:https://www.narwhal.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

US equity futures are slightly firmer. Asia ended mixed, and European markets opened mostly firmer. The market focus today is Fed easing expectations strengthened with September cut odds above 95% following weak JOLTS data, while Governor Waller reiterated support for cuts and Bostic and Kashkari flagged tariff-related inflation risks; Markets continued to track bond market stabilization after recent yield volatility, with the US 10-year holding steady following Wednesday's rally; Political focus in the US turned to Fed independence, with Senate GOP signaling opposition to replacing Governor Cook until her legal status is settled; In Asia, regulators were reported to be weighing measures to curb speculation in Chinese markets.Companies Mentioned: Apple, Alphabet, Exxon, DigitalBridge Group

After a weak JOLTS reading, investors will be closely watching today's jobs data for signs of softness as rate cut expectations continue to rise.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0130-0925)

En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Eugenio Garibay y Andre Dos Santos analizan a fondo el dato de empleo de ADP, que mostró una creación de empleos por debajo de las expectativas y confirmando la tendencia de enfriamiento del mercado laboral. La discusión conecta este reporte con las cifras de JOLTS publicadas ayer, así como otros datos de la economía real con comentarios del director ejecutivo de McDonald's y Salesforce.El episodio también incorpora el informe de Challenger, Gray & Christmas, que reveló un aumento en recortes de empleo del 39% respecto a julio y el peor agosto desde 2008. Finalmente, concluyen el episodio conversando del bono del tesoro de 10 años que se ha movido recientemente por datos económicos, así como arancelarios, y explicando que significa todo esto para la FED.

ADP e seguro-desemprego dos EUA são destaques, um dia após fraco JOLTS. No Brasil, PL da Anistia avança.

Résultat : tout le monde a oublié qu'on avait failli vomir mardi soir… Mais attention : derrière les paillettes, c'était une boucherie. La majorité des titres dans le rouge, des obligations qui respirent seulement parce que le marché de l'emploi US fait peur, et Ray Dalio qui sort le défibrillateur pour nous annoncer l'infarctus économique.

Wall Street recorded a broad and positive session as JOLTS data, weaker than expected, convinced markets that the Fed would likely cut when they meet later this month. Classic case of bad news is good news. S&P 500 up 0.8%, Nasdaq up 1.0%. Dow steadily rose throughout the day. Closed near high, up 350 points. All sectors up. Cyclicals the top performer, boosted by gains of 4.3% in Amazon. Financials, Industrials and Tech followed.ASX to rise. SPI futures up 52 points (+0.59%).In corporate news, Broadcom rose 1.2% ahead of earnings as markets bet on its AI edge. Amazon and Meta's gains of 4.3% and 1.6% added to broader growth momentum, lifting sentiment. Salesforce dropped 4.9% after weak revenue guidance pointed to sluggish AI monetisation. American Eagle Outfitters jumped 37.9% on upbeat sales outlook.Resources down. Oil down as US crude stockpile rises while OPEC weighs another supply increase. Copper, nickel and aluminium all fell while iron ore rose on fresh hopes for rising Chinese demand.Want to invest with Marcus Today? The Managed Strategy Portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Global yields spiking overnight as investors work through fresh JOLTS data and tariff developments: Carl Quintanilla and Sara Eisen broke down the latest moves alongside fresh Fed commentary and economic data top of the hour. Counselor to the Treasury Secretary, Joe Lavorgna joined the team to discuss it all – arguing the economy remains strong here – in addition to Jefferies Chief Market Strategist, and potential Fed contender David Zervos later on. Also in focus: what to do with Google shares after their big antitrust trial win… Why Evercore calls this a “clearing event” for the stock – and says you should buy the stock here.  Plus: hear Pfizer's official response to recent claims around their COVID vaccines… And a recap of August auto sales numbers – along with more on what could come next. 

S&P Futures are showing strong gains this morning due to positive action in technology stocks. After the bell yesterday the judge in the GOOG antitrust case released his remedy opinion and said that Google will not be required to divest its Chrome browser or Android operating system. Additionally, the ruling permits Google to continue making payments to Apple, enabling Google to remain the default search engine on iOS devices. President Trump is appealing Friday's tariff ruling to the Supreme Court and requesting an expedited ruling. Later today he is expected to meet with the President of Poland. Treasury Sec Bessent will start to interview candidates for the role as Fed Chair on Friday. The yield curve is showing signs of steepening with the 10-year Treasury note yield hovering around 4.28% to 4.30%. This follows a modest increase of about 0.03 percentage points from the previous session, marking the third consecutive day of rising yields.  On the economic from today markets will be paying attention to this morning's JOLTs report and the Fed's Beige Book in the afternoon. HQY & ZS are higher after earnings beats. After the bell today CRM, FIG, HPE, GTLB and AI are schedule to release.

Noah Yosif from the American Staffing Association reacts to the JOLTS report and gauges the health of the labor market. He discusses sectors that “buck the trend,” including in the government and in areas that have “severe shortages” like healthcare, where wages are pressured higher. “A rate cut is definitely penciled in,” Noah says, and thinks the JOLTS report only boosts that sentiment. “The longer that this [hiring] freeze lasts,” he adds, the more conditions will likely deteriorate for job seekers as more corporations add AI and cut positions in other ways.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

When it comes to today's trading action, Charles Schwab's Kathy Jones attributes part of the "choppy" day to a rise in layoffs seen in the JOLTS report. Additionally, she talks about how the Beige Book shook the bond market as investors saw potential for "stagnant or slower growth." Joe Mazzola adds how the price action is pulling investors back toward the Mag 7. He discusses sector performance in markets and how slowing economic data attributes to the rotation.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Dan Deming covers the commodities market. He argues that central banks now own more gold than U.S. treasuries for the first time in 30 years, both because of the threat of lower rates and U.S. debt levels. It hit another record high today, and he thinks momentum is still to the upside. The U.S. dollar weakened after the JOLTS report, and Dan thinks that it is “coiling” in a range. He thinks crude oil will continue to fall into the upper 50's.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc

European bourses are broadly in the green; US equity futures are mixed, with clear outperformance in the NQ, boosted by Google (+5.7% pre-market).A US judge ruled Google will not have to sell Chrome or Android in the monopoly case but must share search data with rivals and stop exclusive distribution contracts.Contained trade in FX as an early pick-up in the USD fizzled out ahead of JOLTS.Early rise in yields have since reversed with bonds now bouncing.Crude sinks on reports OPEC+ is mulling another oil production hike; spot gold holds an upward bias after reaching levels near USD 3,550/oz.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods R (Jul), JOLTS Job Openings (Jul), NBP Announcement, Fed Beige Book, BoE's Bailey, Lombardelli, Greene & Taylor, Fed's Musalem & Kashkari.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

O melhor ativo é sempre a boa informação!Quer receber as informações do Morning Call diretamente no seu e-mail? Acesse: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠://l.btgpactual.com/morning_call_spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Want to invest with Marcus Today? The Managed Strategy Portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Send us a textGold and US dollar remain in demand amid bond market selloff. Pound slips again as UK yields continue to surge. But Wall Street given a lifeline following Google's legal win. ISM manufacturing PMI spurs yo-yo price action, JOLTS awaited next.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the world's largest economy is being hit today with a string of pessimistic data reports, despite one of the tech giants avoiding a breakup which saw its shares surge to a record high.American job openings fell by 176,000 to 7.18 mln in July and that was the lowest level since September 2024 and well below market expectations of 7.4 mln. Interestingly, there was wide regional variation with openings dropping most in the South, down -161,000, while they rose in the West, up by +113,000 openings.So it won't be a surprise to learn that mortgage applications fell again last week, the third consecutive weekly retreat. This happened even though mortgage interest rates were little-changed.And it also won't be too much of a surprise to learn that US factory orders declined also in July from June, down an outsized -1.3% - and the June data was revised lower to be down -4.3%. New durable goods orders were down -2.8% in July. These won't be welcome trends, especially as tariffs were supposed to bolster US manufacturing. Year-on-year the July levels are up +1.8% and well below what can be accounted for by inflation. But it will be the recent sharper trends lower that are most concerning.So the Fed's August Beige Book note of "flat to declining consumer spending because, for many households, wages were failing to keep up with rising prices. Contacts frequently cited economic uncertainty and tariffs as negative factors." will come as no surprise.In China, all the news is about its massive military parade in Tiananmen Square. This one follows similar shows of force that started in Pyongyang on April 15, followed in Tehran on April 20, then Moscow on May 9, and Washington DC on June 14. All organised by authoritarians. It's a militarisation trend that is very retrograde. And they are massive propaganda exercises, so it is disappointing that some of our politicians want to be seen at them. But like many others, they follow the money and incentives.Staying in China, the RatingDog (ex-Caixin) services PMI for August expanded faster than July and to a good level, better than expected and the fastest expansion in their services sector since May 2024. New orders grew at the strongest pace since May 2024, supported by a stronger rise in new export business, which increased at the fastest rate in six months. Like yesterday's RatingDog factory PMI, this survey as also better than the official services PMI.And South Korean officials now say they want to join the CPTPP, as insurance against US tariff moves against them. The path won't be easy for them, mainly because they have built up insulations and protections against Japanese investment making inroads into their economy.In Europe, producer prices were only up a modest +0.4% in July from a year ago, confirming they seem to have a good lid on inflation there. But the more recent indications are rises that are slightly above that (at a rate of +0.6%). At least the Europeans don't have the pressure of self-imposed tariff-taxes. Their cost competitive position vs the US is improving sharply.Australian economic activity grew +0.6% in Q2-2025, accelerating from an upwardly revised +0.3% in Q1 and better than analyst expectations of +0.5%. Year on year Australian GDP was up +1.8%, above forecasts of +1.6% and the fastest pace since Q3 2023.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.22%, down -6 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3,573/oz, up +US$47 from yesterday and surging to yet another new record high. Silver has moved higher too and now over US$41/oz.American oil prices are -US$2 lower at just over US$63.50/bbl with the international Brent price holding just under US$67.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just under 58.8 USc and up +10 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps 89.8 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged at 50.4 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.3, unchanged from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$112,443 and up +1.4% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just on +/- 0.9%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Bitcoin has reclaimed $111K, but analysts warn the market structure remains fragile after last week's whale-driven sell-off. Key levels between $105K and $118K could dictate the next big move as volatility stays elevated.This week's U.S. economic calendar is stacked: ISM Manufacturing on Tuesday, JOLTS job openings Wednesday, a wave of ADP payrolls, jobless claims, and ISM Services on Thursday, and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls Friday. Each release will shape Fed policy expectations and could spark major moves in risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Meanwhile, Donald Trump has teased a “major announcement,” fueling speculation that could ripple through political and financial markets. Traders are watching closely, given Trump's history of market-moving statements and his administration's growing alignment with pro-crypto policies.

US equity futures are slightly weaker. Asia ended mixed, and European markets are softer. Focus is on upcoming US data with ISM, JOLTS, ADP, and nonfarm payrolls due this week following July PCE inflation in line with expectations; Fed Governor Waller reiterated support for a September 25 bp cut and signaled more easing over the next three to six months; Trump repeated claims India offered to cut tariffs to “nothing,” though no details of resumed talks; SCO summit in China reinforced anti-US optics with Modi appearing alongside Xi and Putin; In Europe, political risks rose as French PM Bayrou faced pressure and far-right National Rally positioned for new elections.Companies mentioned: Alibaba Group, Chevron

The shortened week is long on data with today's ISM Manufacturing report, tomorrow's JOLTS, and Friday's nonfarm payrolls. Salesforce and Broadcom results are also ahead.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0130-0925)

Singapore shares dipped today as investors mull a mixed day in Asia. The Straits Times Index was down 0.04% at 2.17pm Singapore time, at 4,244.06 points, with a value turnover of S$584.32M seen in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch, we have CapitaLand Investment, after its subsidiary CapitaLand Commercial C-Reit (CLCR) received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission yesterday to register for its listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. Elsewhere, from investors’ reactions to a better-than-expected set of earnings out of AI chip titan Nvidia, to South Korea’s central bank holding policy interest rates steady for a second straight review – more corporate and international headlines remained in focus. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian dived into the details with David Chow, Director, Azure Capital. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, labor market economist Guy Berger breaks down how jobs data is collected, why revisions happen, and how to interpret them in context. He explains the roles of NFP, claims, and JOLTS data, the impact of immigration shifts on labor supply, and how business surveys can signal future hiring trends. Berger also digs into why the current conditions show stability with potential for both cooling and tightening ahead. Enjoy! __ Follow Guy: https://x.com/EconBerger Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance __ Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london __ This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (3:01) How Does BLS Gather Data? (6:27) Why Do We Have Revisions? (15:33) VanEck Ad (16:18) How to Think About the Data (20:42) Immigration Impact (29:10) VanEck Ad (29:50) Weekly Claims Data (40:08) JOLTS Data (45:54) The Beveridge Curve (53:49) Where is the Labor Market NOW? (56:20) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

Should you be concerned by the jobs report? The July jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls grew by 73k, which missed the estimate of 100k. Unfortunately, the news got even worse as you dug into the report. The prior two months saw major negative revisions as June was revised from 147k to just 14k and May was revised from 125k to just 19k. This amounted to a total negative revision of 258k when looking at the two months combined. Another negative was job growth in the month of July was heavily reliant on health care & social assistance as the category added 73.3k jobs in the month. This means that this category essentially carried the report as the total jobs created in the month topped the full headline number. There were some other areas that saw growth with retail trade adding 15,700 jobs, leisure and hospitality adding 5k jobs, and construction adding 2k jobs. Unfortunately, there were more categories than normal that saw declines with information falling by 2k jobs, government was down 10k jobs, manufacturing declined by 11k jobs, and professional and business services declined by 14k jobs. While all this sounds negative, I still wouldn't panic over this report. The main reason is the unemployment rate remains historically low at 4.2% and layoffs have not materially increased. I would even make the claim that the unemployment rate is healthier than it appears. Of those that are unemployed, the average weeks unemployed now totals 24.1 and those that have been unemployed for more than 27 weeks jumped to 1.82 million, which is about one-quarter of all the unemployed. If you have been out of work more than 27 weeks, how hard have you really been looking or are some of those really just retired now? It seems we are in an environment where companies are keeping their employees and limiting new hires. With more clarity on the trade deals and tariffs now, that could help stabilize the labor market, but my main concern is are there enough qualified candidates to truly fuel job growth? A large problem we have discussed in the past is an aging population that has seen assets climb tremendously, which has enabled many near retirement age the luxury to retire. While I don't want to say this is a negative, the working age population or those between 25 & 54 remained near historical highs around 83%. One positive in the report I didn't discuss yet was the fact that wage inflation came in above expectations at 3.9%, which is nice considering the decline in inflation we have seen this year. While again I may sound negative on this report, I want to be clear that there is no reason to be overly concerned yet, I would be interested to see how the next few reports look before being worried about a potential recession in the near term.   Job openings declined in the month of June The June Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, commonly referred to as the JOLTs report, showed job openings declined to 7.4 million, down 275,000 from the prior month. While this may sound problematic, it is important to remember this is still a historically healthy level for job openings and it comes against a back drop of a historically low unemployment rate. I have said this for many months, but I believe there is even further room for job openings to decline without there being a problem for the labor market. Taking that concept one step further, I would be quite surprised to see growth in job openings from here. The main reason for that is there just aren't enough people to fill those openings especially since it appears many companies are choosing to retain employees rather than look for new ones. I say this because layoffs continue to remain quite low. In the month of June, they totaled 1.6 million and really since 2021 they have maintained that level with the average monthly total since January 2021 standing around 1.57 million. If we look pre-covid, from December 2000 (when the data first started) to February 2020, layoffs averaged 1.91 million per month. Even though you will always hear news about various companies implementing layoffs, I believe we remain in a healthy labor market with good unemployment and low layoffs. This healthy labor market remains one of the key reasons for why I believe the economy will remain in a good spot for the foreseeable future.   GDP came in stronger expected, another good sign for the economy! While Q2 gross domestic product, also known as GDP, jumped 3% and easily topped the estimate of 2.3%, the numbers were not as strong as the headlines indicate. With the tariffs having a large impact on trade and business inventories, this report is the opposite of Q1 when actual results were much better than the headlines showed. In Q1 companies were likely trying to get ahead of tariffs so they were trying to load up on inventory and import a lot more foreign goods than normal. This led to a 37.9% increase in imports during Q1 which subtracted 4.66% from the headline GDP number. In Q2 we saw a complete reversal as imports fell 30.3% and added 5.18% to the headline GDP number. The change in private inventories was also extremely volatile during these last two periods considering it added 2.59% to the headline number in Q1, but subtracted 3.17% from the headline number in Q2 as many businesses were likely working through excess inventory. I bring all this up not to say that the GDP report was bad and in fact it was still a good number, but rather to show the messiness in the numbers for the first two quarters. We should not see the type of volatility that we have seen in trade going forward as it normally has a small impact on the overall report. The main reason I see Q2 GDP as a good report is because the consumer, which is the main driver in the long-term, held up well. There was a small 1.1% increase in services spending and goods saw an increase of 2.2%. Considering we are primarily a service driven economy; I do worry the goods spending could have been further pull forward in demand as consumers try to get ahead of price increases from tariffs. This could have a negative impact on consumer spending going forward as they may not need to purchase as many goods. With many areas of the report normalizing as we exit the year, I'm still looking for GDP growth that would likely be in the 1-2% range.   Should Banks be responsible when their customers get scammed? It's a sad thing to see someone in their 60s or 70s get scammed out of their life savings. Unfortunately, there are many online scams now and it appears they just keep growing. According to the FBI, in 2024 online scams totaled $16 billion, which was a 33% increase from 2023. A big question that people have been asking is should banks be the ones that are held responsible when it comes to preventing their customers from making poor investment decisions or losing money in online romance scams? Banks are already trying to prevent money laundering, terrorist financing and other types of fraud that is costly for the banks to maintain. Adding another oversight would be another expense for the banks, which could lead to costs elsewhere in the banking system to make up for those added expenses. From the consumer standpoint this could also lead to frustration when trying to get money for legitimate purposes as it could lead to longer review periods for certain transactions or if your account were to get flagged who knows how long it would take to get that resolved. As an example, let's say a teller sees the same person coming in taking out large sums of money on a regular basis, should the teller stop the activity? Again, if it was for legitimate purposes, wouldn't that be frustrating? What something like this would likely mean for banks is they would have to set up departments to review the situations of potential scams and take many hours to discuss with bank employees, the customer and maybe even family members why the withdrawals are taking place. No surprise here, but attorneys in some states have begun going after the banks saying it is their obligation to protect their clients' assets. There are laws that were passed in the 70s that requires banks to report suspicious money laundering activity and even required banks to screen for fraudulent activities and reimburse customers for stolen funds. However, it's limited to criminal impersonations of a customer to get unauthorized access to their accounts. This is different than many of the scams we are seeing today where the customers themselves are taking the money from their own account and sending it to the scammer. In my opinion, the best thing to do is educate people about these scams and if you have parents, be sure to have conversations with them about them before they happen.   Financial Planning: The Secondary Benefits of Roth Accounts While the primary advantage of Roth accounts lies in their tax-free growth and withdrawals in retirement avoiding potentially higher tax rates, there are several powerful secondary benefits worth considering. First, Roth IRAs are not subject to Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs), which means retirees can keep their money growing tax-free for life. In contrast, traditional pre-tax retirement accounts force RMDs beginning at age 75, whether the funds are needed or not. These mandatory withdrawals must be taken as taxable income and cannot be reinvested into another tax-advantaged retirement account. The most similar alternative is a regular taxable brokerage account, where earnings such as interest, dividends, and capital gains are subject to annual taxation—ultimately reducing the net return over time. By avoiding RMDs, Roth accounts allow retirees to maintain greater control over their tax situation and preserve more wealth in a truly tax-advantaged environment. Second, Roth accounts are far more advantageous for heirs. While both Roth and pre-tax retirement accounts are now subject to the 10-year rule—requiring inherited accounts to be fully distributed within 10 years of the original owner's death—the tax treatment is vastly different. Pre-tax inherited accounts are fully taxable to beneficiaries, which can push heirs into higher tax brackets as they're forced to withdraw large sums over a relatively short period. In contrast, inherited Roth accounts allow for the same 10 years of tax-free growth, but the entire balance can be withdrawn tax-free at the end, providing greater flexibility and preserving more value. Third, for individuals whose estates exceed the federal estate tax threshold, Roth accounts offer superior after-tax value. Both Roth and pre-tax accounts are included in the taxable estate, but Roth funds retain their full value since they are not subject to income tax when withdrawn. These features make Roth accounts not just a retirement planning tool, but also a strategic asset for legacy and tax-efficient estate planning.   Companies Discussed: Hasbro, Inc. (HAS), Chipotle Mexican Gill, Inc. (GMG) & Baker Hughes Company (BKR)

Mike Armstrong and Marc Fandetti break down the numbers in the latest JOLTS report. A divided Fed eyes future rate cuts but not likely this week. Companies are starting to complain about consumer stress levels. Trump is winning his trade war.

Ahead of June JOLTS data, Noah Yosif from the American Staffing Association says the labor market is "bouncing around a bottom" with employers waiting for improvement to begin rehiring. He points to the passage of "One Big Beautiful Bill" and trade deal agreements as possible catalysts for further labor market growth. Noah adds his thoughts on parts of the labor market experiencing shortages and what to look for in Friday's July jobs report.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

European bourses are broadly in the green, alongside strength in US futures ahead of a busy earnings slate.USD is firmer, EUR/USD's descent continues as markets digest the EU-US trade agreement.USTs await data and a 7yr auction, Bunds are on the backfoot giving back some of the prior day's upside.Crude resumes upside while metals are hampered by the Dollar.Looking ahead, highlights include US JOLTS Job Openings, Advance Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories Advance, Consumer Confidence, Dallas Fed Services Revenues, Atlanta Fed GDPNow, ECB SCE, Supply from the US, Earnings from Kering, Banca Generali, Terna, Grifols, Visa, Marathon Digital, Starbucks, Booking, UnitedHealth, Sofi, Paypal, UPS, Spotify, Merck, Nucor, JetBlue, Procter & Gamble.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

In this episode of Macro Mondays, James Todd, Will Cunliffe, and Edward Hayden-Briffett unpack the week that was in global markets. Markets are reacting to sweeping new trade deals - notably a major US-EU agreement involving zero tariffs and massive energy investments - while weak US and Eurozone PMIs, consolidating precious metals, and rising Japanese yields signal caution. Meanwhile, investors are withdrawing from US Treasuries amid political uncertainty, China's economy is under pressure despite upcoming stimulus, and global attention turns to a packed week of critical economic data releases. 

The June jobs number looks stronger than it really is I want to be clear; I wouldn't say this was a bad report, but the headline number that showed an addition of 147,000 jobs in the month of June doesn't show the full picture. The number did come in well above the estimate for 110,000 jobs and it follows upward revisions in the months of April and May that have totaled 16,000 jobs, but the concerning part I saw was government accounted for 73,000 new jobs in the month of June. This did not come from the federal government as that actually saw a decline of 7,000 jobs, but rather it was state and local governments which added a combined 80,000 jobs in the month, most of which came from education. The speculation is that this had something to do with seasonal adjustments and that obviously gains of that magnitude will not continue moving forward. Other areas that were strong included healthcare and social assistance, which was up 58,600, leisure and hospitality, which was up 20,000, and construction, which was up 15,000. Many of the other areas in the report were quite muted and manufacturing and professional and business services actually saw a decline of 7,000 jobs each in the month. There was good news on the unemployment rate as it ticked down to 4.1%, which was the lowest level since February and came in below the expectation for 4.3%. Unfortunately, this largely came due to the decline in the labor force participation rate, which dropped to 62.3%. This was the lowest level since late 2022. The problem here is the working age population continues to shrink, while the retirement population continues to grow. In fact the prime working age participation rate was recently near a record high of 83%. A potential problem to future job growth is the fact that we are running low on workers in their prime. This report largely erased any chance of a Fed rate cut in July, but I would say there was more positive news on the inflation front as average hourly earnings saw a manageable year over year increase of 3.7%. As I said, this wasn't a bad report and in fact I would say it continues to show that the labor market is in a good spot for the most part, but it definitely wasn't an overly strong report in my opinion.   Job openings remain strong The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, also known as the JOLTs report, showed job openings rose 374,000 in the month of May to 7.769 million. This easily topped the estimate of 7.3 million and it also comes during a month where layoffs declined 188,000 to 1.601 million. While this is positive for the economy and shows the labor market remains resilient, it does hurt the chances of a July cut from the Federal Reserve. Fed chair Powell during a panel said, ““In effect, we went on hold when we saw the size of the tariffs and essentially all inflation forecasts for the United States went up materially as a consequence of the tariffs.” With the labor market staying strong and many Fed members likely waiting for more data on how tariffs are impacting inflation, I would be surprised to see a cut in July. Although there have been a couple members saying a cut in July is possible, I still believe it would come as a surprise as many other members have expressed their desire to remain patient. I can see the case for a July cut, but I believe it is more likely we will see one in a couple months at the next meeting in September, if inflation remains in check.   Why did Apple produce the new movie F1? Apple is obviously known for the iPhone, the iPad and the Mac, but a top producer of mega hit movies, not so much. Since 2019 they have tried to produce big hit movies like Killers of the Flower Moon in 2023 that starred Leonardo DiCaprio and Robert DeNiro, but the world box office receipts were only $159 million. Another hit movie they tried for that ended up as their top movie in 2023 was Napoleon with $221 million in box office receipts. So why did Apple agree to spend almost $250 million more to produce F1, which stars Brad Pitt? No one seems to understand. Brad Pitt will be paid $20 million for this movie and will get a cut of the films revenue if it's a hit. It does have some chance for success since it was directed by Joe Kosinski and produced by Jerry Buckheimer, who were successful with Top Gun Maverick as that movie grossed $1.5billion in 2022. This past weekend F1 was the top box office hit with $55.6 million, but it appears to be struggling with the mass audience as most viewers were older men like myself who love cars and racing. I have not seen the movie yet but would like to soon. Apple seems to struggle in this space as it is spending billions of dollars annually but continues to lose on the development of hit movies. Apple TV+ only has roughly 27,000,000 subscribers and is known for subscribers canceling their subscription after watching a particular show or movie. Netflix has a 2% cancellation rate while Apple's is 6% in any given month. It's also interesting to note that the big movie production house Warner Brothers is responsible for distributing F1 and will receive a percentage of box office revenue that increases as ticket sales rise. There is some concern that in less than two weeks, Warner Brothers will be releasing their hit movie Superman and that could override the promotion of F1. If you want to see the movie F1 and you have Apple Pay you can get a discount on the tickets, which is something Apple has never done before. I won't make any judgments on the movie till I see it myself, but I don't see this boosting the lagging stock price of Apple and I do not understand why they're in the movie business.   Don't be fooled by ultra-high-income ETF's I wouldn't think I would have to warn people that if you're being offered a yield of 100% or more on a fund, the risk has to be extremely high and there is probably a good chance for loss. However, with that said this year alone $6.4 billion of new money has been placed into these high-risk funds that I assume are unsuspecting buyers who don't really understand how these funds work. Regulatory filings show that at least 95% of these ETFs are held by individual investors or small financial advisors. The way they generate this high income is by trading options contracts on a single stock. It is misleading how they come up with those ultra-high yields of 100% plus as they take the ETF's payout from option trading in the most recent month then multiply it by 12 and divide it by the fund's net asset value. As an example, we can go back to November 2022 when a fund called the YieldMax TSLA Option Income Strategy ETF (TSLY) sold options on Tesla stock and promoted the yield was 62.8%. The fund has now dropped down to under $9 a share, roughly a 80% drop in the fund. This is somewhat surprising to most since during that timeframe Tesla stock is up around 70%. Sometimes people think just because there's income or a nice yield that the fund is safer, but investors should remember that in most cases, the higher the yield the higher the risk.   Financial Planning: Pension lump sum vs monthly income? When deciding between taking a pension benefit as a lump sum or monthly payments, it's helpful to compare the guaranteed income stream to the return you'd need on the lump sum to generate the same income yourself. Monthly payments offer steady, reliable income for life, essentially acting like a personal pension annuity, but most pensions do not include inflation adjustments, meaning the purchasing power of those payments may decline over time. Additionally, choosing a joint life annuity to continue payments to a surviving spouse will offer a lower monthly amount compared to a single life annuity. Since Social Security income drops when the first spouse passes, a joint annuity is usually more appropriate than a single life annuity to help maintain household income for the surviving spouse. In contrast, rolling over the lump sum into a retirement account gives you full control and the potential for growth. It also provides flexibility to structure income in a tax-efficient way allowing you to manage taxable distributions around other income sources, perform Roth conversions, or plan for inheritances and legacy goals. To make an apples-to-apples comparison, it is helpful to calculate the internal rate of return (IRR) you'd need to earn on the lump sum to replicate the monthly pension payments over your expected lifetime. For example, if your lump sum is $500,000 and your pension offers $3,000/month for life, you'd need to earn a little over 5% on the lump sum to match that income.  Keep in mind, the lump sum is also an income source and this return calculation can help clarify whether the guaranteed income or potential flexibility and growth better align with your overall financial plan.   Companies Discussed: The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Centene Corporation (CNC) & Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM)  

Notas del Show: • Wall Street se recupera tras la corrección del martes: Futuros al alza: $SPX +0.3%, $US100 +0.3%, $INDU +0.4%. La reforma fiscal avanza en el Senado (51-50), pero el JOLTS mostró un mercado laboral más ajustado. Hoy se esperan datos de empleo ADP y recortes de Challenger, claves para la Fed. • Grandes bancos suben dividendos tras pasar stress test: $C +7.1% ($0.60), $WFC +12.5% ($0.45) y $GS +33% ($4.00). La Fed afirmó que los bancos mantienen capital sólido incluso ante escenarios adversos. • Intel reconsidera su roadmap de chips: $INTC podría dejar de ofrecer su nodo 18A a nuevos clientes y enfocarse en 14A para atraer a $AAPL y $NVDA. El cambio podría implicar depreciaciones multimillonarias. Mantendrá 18A para uso interno y clientes existentes como $AMZN y $MSFT. • Boeing y Airbus buscan controlar operaciones de Spirit AeroSystems: $BA y $EADSY tomarían el control de la planta de Belfast si no aparece comprador. Airbus se quedaría con la producción del A220, y Bombardier evalúa participación. Autoridad de Competencia del Reino Unido definirá el caso antes del 28 de agosto. • Flujo vendedor chino impacta a techs de Hong Kong: Inversores chinos vendieron 46.4B HK$ en $TCEHY, $XIACF y $BABA en junio, presionando sus repuntes recientes. UBP atribuye el movimiento a toma de ganancias y falta de nuevos catalizadores. Un día con foco en decisiones estratégicas, recompras bancarias y señales mixtas desde Asia. ¡No te lo pierdas!

Market Insights During a Choppy Pre-Holiday Week In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides an update on the market activities on July 1st, during a shortened week leading up to the 4th of July holiday. The DOW showed significant gains despite a generally choppy market, with some large healthcare stocks contributing to its performance. The S&P and Nasdaq experienced minor declines. Key economic indicators such as the ISM and S&P Manufacturing Index were discussed, along with better-than-expected job opening numbers from the Jolts report. Upcoming economic data releases, including ADP private payroll and non-farm payroll, are also highlighted. The episode concludes with insights into recent legislation developments and the impartiality of Jerome Powell's decisions at the Federal Reserve. Brian encourages listeners to stay tuned for further updates and to reach out with questions. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:52 Economic Data Highlights 02:20 Upcoming Economic Events 02:54 Legislative Updates 03:41 Federal Reserve and Politics 05:16 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

Job openings - or JOLTS - surged to a six-month high of nearly 7.8 million. A majority of gains came from the hospitality sector. However, Eric Winograd and Allison Shrivastava caution against readying too much into the data, citing the report's volatility and instead point to underlying labor market trends suggesting a state of equilibrium. They add that hiring and turnover rates are running at a slower pace than in previous years.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Notas del Show: • Wall Street cede tras máximos históricos: Futuros con leves bajas: $SPX -0.2%, $US100 -0.2%, $INDU plano. El mercado digiere el cierre semestral en récords mientras se acerca el 9 de julio, fecha límite para la extensión de aranceles. Persisten dudas sobre el plan “90 acuerdos en 90 días”, y resurge tensión Trump–Musk por subsidios a $TSLA. En agenda: PMI (52.0), ISM (48.8), JOLTS (7.32M) y Powell en el BCE. • Boeing cae tras accidente en India: $BA -2.3% tras incidente del vuelo AI171. Se investigan causas mecánicas del 787 Dreamliner. $GE +4% por ser proveedor de motores GEnx y cajas negras. • Disney y MLB reabren negociaciones de derechos: $DIS busca recuperar parte de los derechos de transmisión local tras cerrar acuerdo histórico de ESPN. El nuevo contrato sería parcial y más corto, mientras compite con $AAPL y $ROKU. • Texas reconoce el oro y plata como moneda legal: Desde mayo 2027, los metales preciosos podrán usarse en pagos vía tarjeta de débito respaldada en oro/plata. El oro sube 0.6% ($XAUUSD), plata cae 0.5% ($XAGUSD). Citi proyecta consolidación entre $3,100–$3,500/oz. Una jornada con foco en política monetaria, metales preciosos y riesgos en el sector aeroespacial. ¡No te lo pierdas!

Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TFMetalsReport.com, joins us for a timely macro and metals discussion on this shortened holiday trading week. With Canadian and U.S. markets seeing light volume due to national holidays, Craig outlines why this week could still bring significant volatility driven by data releases and algorithmic trading.   Key Themes Discussed: Gold's Sideways Action: Craig explains why gold's recent price consolidation mirrors the late 2023 breakout setup and how many investors may be misreading this quiet strength. Silver's Quiet Strength: Silver has posted a strong quarterly close and may soon generate its own upside momentum, similar to the sharp moves seen in 2011. Dollar Weakness and Fed Policy: Despite a lack of immediate Fed rate cuts, the U.S. dollar is falling - Craig explains how markets may be front-running a policy shift under a possible Trump-nominated Fed chair. Commodity Supertrend?: From copper and platinum to silver and aluminum, industrial metals are rallying on physical supply constraints and broader reflation themes. Data-Driven Volatility Ahead: With the JOLTS report, manufacturing and services PMIs, and a U.S. jobs report all dropping this week, Craig warns these releases could trigger fast, algo-driven moves in the metals.

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“Cracks are starting to reveal themselves” as the trade war drags on, warns Mitchell Barnes. He looks at the latest JOLTS report, which he calls “rather good” on the job openings end. Previewing Friday's jobs report, he says that this will show us the biggest impact of trade policy so far. He notes that layoffs are slowly rising, and it could weaken the labor market more than we think.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Charles Schwab's Joe Mazzola notes today's market action as a positive for investors but shares caution on its longevity. He sees dip-buyers scooping up less equities by the week, as Joe believes bulls are waiting for trade deal catalysts. In the bond market, Cooper Howard tells investors to brace for choppiness. He sees treasuries moving higher while the FOMC juggles a "labor market bonanza" with JOLTS and other labor prints this week. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

En este episodio cubrimos los eventos más importantes antes de la apertura del mercado: • Wall Street retrocede por presión arancelaria: Futuros a la baja: $SPX -0.4%, $US100 -0.4%, $INDU -0.4%. Trump fijó este miércoles como fecha límite para nuevas ofertas comerciales, con amenaza de duplicar aranceles al acero y aluminio. Hoy se esperan: JOLTS de abril (7.11M vacantes esperadas) y órdenes de fábrica (-3.1% M/M). Economistas señalan que la incertidumbre política podría estar afectando contrataciones y decisiones de inversión. • Meta impulsa energía limpia con contrato nuclear histórico: $META firmó un acuerdo de 20 años con $CEG por 1.1 GW de energía nuclear desde 2027. La planta Clinton en Illinois mantendrá operaciones y ampliará capacidad. Aunque no abastecerá directamente sus data centers, la compra respalda su meta de operar con 100% electricidad limpia. $CEG +15% tras el anuncio. • WeRide vuelve a Roland-Garros con Renault: $WRD operará su Robobus nivel 4 por segundo año consecutivo en el torneo francés. La colaboración con Renault Group $RNSDF refuerza la apuesta por soluciones de movilidad autónoma en Europa. WeRide subraya que su Robobus es el primer vehículo autónomo diseñado para despliegue comercial masivo. • Applied Digital salta con contratos de IA: $APLD +8% tras ganar 48% el lunes. La empresa cerró contratos de 15 años con $CRWV por $7B para operar 250 MW en Ellendale, ND. El campus proyecta alcanzar 1 GW y la primera fase (100 MW) entrará en operación en Q4 2025. Apunta a liderar la infraestructura para IA y HPC. Una jornada marcada por tensiones comerciales, innovación energética y avances en movilidad inteligente. ¡No te lo pierdas!

Market Dynamics Update: Consumer Sentiment and Tariff Changes In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from The Bahnsen Group's Newport Beach headquarters reviews the market's performance on April 29th. Key highlights include a rebound in markets following an auto tariff easement announcement from the White House, a six-day rise in the S&P 500, and a detailed analysis of current treasury yields and interest rate expectations. Brian also discusses consumer sentiment, which has hit its lowest since early 2020, analyzing its implications for market behavior. Additional updates cover job openings, specifically the Jolts number, the Case-Shiller housing index, and expectations for upcoming economic data releases, including core PCE data, private payroll numbers, and Q1 GDP preliminaries. Lastly, there's a focus on earnings reports, emphasizing the forward guidance amidst trade uncertainties. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:47 Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators 01:53 Auto Tariff Updates and Economic Calendar 02:35 Consumer Confidence and Job Openings 04:22 Housing Market and Upcoming Data 05:02 Earnings Season Insights 06:03 Conclusion and Viewer Engagement Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Some U.S. banks pause electronic communications with the OCC following a major breach of the agency's email system. Uncertainty spreads at CISA. China accuses three alleged U.S. operatives of conducting cyberattacks during February's Asian Games. Microsoft Teams suffers filesharing issues. Fraudsters use ChatGPT to create fake passports. Car rental giant Hertz confirms data stolen in last year's Cleo breach. Researchers describe a novel process injection method called Waiting Thread Hijacking. A new macOS malware-as-a-service threat is being sold on underground forums. A UK man is sentenced to over eight years for masterminding the LabHost phishing platform. Kim Jones joins us with a preview of the newly relaunched CISO Perspective podcast.  David Moulton  from Unit 42 sits down with Rob Wright, Security News Director at Informa TechTarget for the latest Threat Vector. Fighting the flood of AI generated experts.   Remember to leave us a 5-star rating and review in your favorite podcast app. Miss an episode? Sign-up for our daily intelligence roundup, Daily Briefing, and you'll never miss a beat. And be sure to follow CyberWire Daily on LinkedIn. CyberWire Guest Kim Jones joins Dave to launch the newly rebranded CISO Perspectives—formerly CSO Perspectives. We're excited to welcome a fresh voice to the mic as Kim takes the helm. In this premiere episode, he's joined by Ed Adams for a candid conversation about the evolving role of the CISO and the big question on everyone's mind: Is the cyber talent ecosystem broken? Tune in as Kim kicks off this next chapter—same mission, sharper focus, new perspective. Threat Vector Segment The cybersecurity industry is full of headlines, but are we paying attention to the right ones? In this segment of Threat Vector, host David Moulton, Director of Thought Leadership at Unit 42, sits down with Rob Wright, Security News Director at Informa TechTarget, to discuss the stories the industry overlooks, the overhyped AI security fears, and the real risks posed by certificate authorities. You can listen to the full conversation here and catch new episodes of Threat Vector each Thursday on your favorite podcast app.  Selected Reading OCC Hack: JPMorgan, BNY Limit Information Sharing With Agency After Breach (Bloomberg) CISA Braces for Major Workforce Cuts Amid Security Fears (BankInfo Security) China Pursuing 3 Alleged US Operatives Over Cyberattacks During Asian Games (SecurityWeek) Microsoft Teams File Sharing Outage, Users Unable to Share Files (Cyber Security News) ChatGPT Image Generator Abused for Fake Passport Production (GB Hackers) Hertz says personal, sensitive data stolen in Cleo attacks (The Register) Waiting Thread Hijacking: A Stealthier Version of Thread Execution Hijacking (Check Point Research) macOS Users Beware! Hackers Allegedly Offering Full System Control Malware for Rent (Cyber Security News) LabHost Phishing Mastermind Sentenced to 8.5 Years (Infosecurity Magazine) Virtual reality: The widely-quoted media experts who are not what they seem (Press Gazette)  Share your feedback. We want to ensure that you are getting the most out of the podcast. Please take a few minutes to share your thoughts with us by completing our brief listener survey as we continually work to improve the show.  Want to hear your company in the show? You too can reach the most influential leaders and operators in the industry. Here's our media kit. Contact us at cyberwire@n2k.com to request more info. The CyberWire is a production of N2K Networks, your source for strategic workforce intelligence. © N2K Networks, Inc. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices