Podcasts about The Jolts

On Wednesday, August 12, Brian Szytel reports a quiet, mixed market day as July CPI came in essentially in line with expectations, leaving stocks and bonds little changed (Dow flat, S&P up 0.25%, Nasdaq up 0.5%, 10-year unchanged). Headline CPI rose 0.1% month over month to 3.4% year over year, while core CPI rose 0.2%, with medical care, airfares, used vehicles, and shelter contributing. Fed September hike odds fell from about 50% to 42% ahead of upcoming PPI data and Jackson Hole. He notes inflation is moving in the right direction slowly, while employment signals are mixed (unemployment 4.1%, weaker JOLTS and slightly missed nonfarm gains). Addressing a question on baby boomers supporting children, he says wealth transfers are not money creation and are a “closed loop,” though lower labor force participation and skills could hurt productivity. 00:00 Market Recap 00:33 CPI Breakdown 01:43 Fed Outlook Ahead 02:30 Jobs And Softening Data 03:01 Boomer Wealth Question 04:07 Is It Inflationary 05:05 Wrap Up From Florida Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

What should we make of a weak payroll print alongside a lower unemployment rate? In this episode of Making Sense, Lauren Brice from the North America Rates Sales team sits down with Mike Feroli, Chief U.S. Economist at J.P. Morgan, to unpack the July jobs report and what it implies for U.S. growth momentum in 2026. They discuss why the headline miss may overstate weakness, what steady-but-low private hiring says about layoffs and labor market “dynamism” and how participation and wage growth are shifting the inflation outlook. The conversation also covers sector signals like leisure and hospitality, the latest read-through from JOLTS, where (if anywhere) AI is showing up in the hard data and what upcoming CPI reports could mean for the next Fed move.    This episode was recorded on August 7, 2026.   This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan.  © 2026, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved. 

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss SpaceX falling 11% despite laying out an ambitious AI and Starlink roadmap including Grok 5 trained on internal SpaceX data by year-end, 1.4GW of current compute growing toward 10GW by end of 2027, deploying NVL72-designed data centers on the ground rather than in space, boots on the moon by 2028, and the goal of scaling launch cadence to one per day in 2027, SpaceX's decision to go exclusively with Nvidia sending AMD down 9% despite good results and CPU acceleration while Arista Networks jumped 14% on accelerating networking demand tied to Nvidia, CVS raising guidance and re-adding Zepbound to its formulary while publicly backing Eli Lilly with expanded GLP-1 support, Lilly beating on stronger-than-expected GLP-1 pricing, Disney rising 4% on parks strength and a TikTok short-form video partnership, Uber slipping despite record first-time user additions, and the JOLTS report showing softer job openings but likely not a signal Warsh will weigh.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

In July, the manufacturing sector grew at its fastest month-to-month rate in four years. A new tax law likely boosted company spending to some degree, but AI investment packed the biggest punch — demand is strong and the money is flowing. Also in this episode: McDonald's suffers a sales slump, the latest JOLTS data points to a steadily improving labor market, and Kai talks to one economist behind a Trump administration investment tracker.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Manufacturing sector benefits from continued AI demandTracking down the Trump administration's $27.6 billion in investmentsWhy job openings have been rising slowly this yearMcDonald's sales soften as diners spend cautiouslyWhere did China's oil imports go?

In July, the manufacturing sector grew at its fastest month-to-month rate in four years. A new tax law likely boosted company spending to some degree, but AI investment packed the biggest punch — demand is strong and the money is flowing. Also in this episode: McDonald's suffers a sales slump, the latest JOLTS data points to a steadily improving labor market, and Kai talks to one economist behind a Trump administration investment tracker.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Manufacturing sector benefits from continued AI demandTracking down the Trump administration's $27.6 billion in investmentsWhy job openings have been rising slowly this yearMcDonald's sales soften as diners spend cautiouslyWhere did China's oil imports go?

The S&P 500 is pushing to new highs, but the profit boom behind the rally is raising questions about how much of the AI story is backed by durable cash flow.Mike Armstrong and Marc Fandetti break down why earnings growth across Big Tech looks impressive on the surface, why free cash flow matters more than headline profits, and whether the massive investment in AI infrastructure will actually benefit the hyperscalers spending the money. They also discuss the latest JOLTS report, why the labor market looks like a low-hire, low-fire environment, and what Friday's jobs report could mean for the Fed. Plus, they explain why the U.S. stepped in to support Japan's yen, how currency intervention could affect bond markets, and why Kevin Warsh's approach to the Fed is forcing bond traders to rethink how they price long-term rates.

Marley Kayden points to "Merger Monday" headlines in the biotech space as AstraZeneca (AZN) and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) could reportedly merge into a mega-company worth more than $400B. Sam Vadas looks overseas at the joint U.S.-Japan intervention on the yen currency. For tomorrow, Marley has her eyes on SpaceX (SPCX) earnings and Sam circles macro-data on her calendar including JOLTS with a first glimpse at July jobs data. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Crude oil prices fell sharply following comments from Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent which indicate positive developments on re-opening the Strait of Hormuz. Kevin Hincks recaps the geopolitical headlines hitting the wire prior to Tuesday's open. Later, he previews a meeting between AI leaders and White House officials set to take place today. Kevin says investors need to pay attention to jobs data this week, kicking off with JOLTS figures out this morning. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Jason England says the latest JOLTS report points to a stable labor market, giving the Fed more room to focus on inflation. He discusses the risks of long-duration bonds in a volatile rate environment and highlights treasury option income as a way to capture volatility and boost yield without adding credit risk.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Se extiende este martes el tono positivo en activos de riesgo. Las Bolsas europeas prolongan el rally que ha llevado a varios índices regionales a máximos históricos., entre ellos Ibex con sus 20.000 puntos En Wall Street, el cierre del lunes fue mixto pero con sesgo alcista. Algo más de debilidad en mercados asiáticos. Lastra la persistente cautela en el sector de IA. Y no gusta que Japón imponga arancel antidumping a Corea del Sur y China. El contexto geopolítico sigue siendo un factor clave. Irán exige controlar las entradas a Ormuz y supervisar las salidas. Pese a ello, siguen a la baja precios del petróleo. Palanca potente son los resultados empresariales. Anoche buenas cifras y guías de On Semiconductor y Palantir. Cotizan sus números hoy, además, McDonald's, con menos gasto en sus retaurantes; Marathon Petroleum y sus márgenes de refino en máximos y Caterpillar, a tope pedidos de equipos de generación de energía y de construcción. Pierde Nike con mala recomendación desde JPMorgan. Al cierre, primera publicación como cotizada de SpaceX. Hay datos económicos: encuesta Jolts de vacantes. Mucho también en Europa. Destacan HSBC, que anuncia un nuevo programa de recompra de acciones y eleva su objetivo de recorte de costes, y Lufthansa, que advierte de mayor incertidumbre por la volatilidad del combustible. En el plano macro, la atención se ha centrado en paro en España, ventas minoristas italianas y el déficit público francés. Analizamos todo hoy con Nicolás López, de Singular Bank y Francisco Miguel París Oliva, gestor Quality. El Consultorio de Bolsa, con Pepe Baynat, de BolsasyFuturos.

Josh Stevens discusses the market's shift away from hyperscaler earnings and the AI trade toward the traditional economy, with JOLTS and payrolls data taking center stage this week. He explains why stocks lacking earnings momentum could face greater downside risk and argues the next phase of the bull market will depend more on the broader S&P 500 than the Mag 7.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Mortgage rates, oil prices, and inflation just collided again. In this video I break down today's mortgage rate forecast, why oil crashing is moving inflation and interest rates, and what the Federal Reserve's next meeting could mean for your rate.If you're a homebuyer, homeowner, or realtor trying to figure out why rates move the way they do, this is the video that connects the dots. I walk through today's mortgage bond market chart, explain exactly how oil prices drive inflation and mortgage rates, and preview the economic data coming out this week that could push rates higher or lower.In this episode I cover: Why oil crashing is good news for mortgage rates and what could reverse it How oil prices, inflation, and interest rates are all connected This week's key economic reports: PMI, JOLTS, ADP payrolls, jobless claims, and the unemployment rate The Federal Reserve's current rate hike probability heading into the next meeting What I'm personally telling my clients right now about locking or floating their rate For more on how oil prices and inflation are shaping the mortgage market, check out my full breakdown on the blog: How Oil Prices Are Moving Mortgage Rates Right Now at therateupdate.com/blog

Your morning briefing. All the news you need to start your day.On today's podcast:(1) The Houthis, a militant group in Yemen who have been threatening to open another front in the Iran war, said they had targeted two oil tankers in the Red Sea.(2) The European Central Bank will probably keep interest rates on hold on Thursday, buying time to assess the fallout of renewed fighting in the Middle East.(3) The US and Saudi Arabia finalized a long-sought nuclear technology-sharing deal that could allow American companies to build reactors in the kingdom, but cracks the door open for the country to enrich its own nuclear reactor fuel.(4) Alphabet set the tone for Big Tech earnings with a higher spending outlook that stoked concern the company will ditch fiscal discipline in the race to dominate artificial intelligence.(5) Tesla’s profit tumbled despite a strong quarter for its automotive business, pressuring Elon Musk’s plan to refocus the electric vehicle maker on artificial intelligence and robots.(6) When OpenAI’s advanced artificial intelligence models breached AI startup Hugging Face’s internal systems last week, they spent mere hours carrying out a hack that would have taken a skilled human far longer, people familiar with the matter said.(7) Hundreds of bankers moved to Paris incentivized by employers moving their European headquarters from Brexit Britain, while taking advantage of generous French tax breaks that last for as long as 8 years. Now, with those time-limited benefits set to start expiring, the question for some is whether it might be soon time to relocate again.Podcast Conversation: Luxury Travelers Turn to Split Trips for City-and-Beach GetawaysSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Competition for AI Is Coming From a Surprise Source That Could Pressure U.S. Companies' Prices and Profits  We tend to focus on the major AI companies in the United States and assume they will be the long-term winners. However, one competitor that cannot be ignored is China. Chinese companies are making rapid progress in artificial intelligence, and they could become a serious challenge to U.S. firms.  Don't forget that China is a communist country and the government can put in a lot of capital to win the AI race. That ability to heavily fund AI development could help Chinese companies narrow the gap with, or even surpass, some American competitors in certain areas.  According to Artificial Analysis, which evaluates the capabilities of large language models, China's Z.ai ranked among the top three globally with its latest model release. Another concern is cost. Z.ai is reportedly offering models at less than half the price of many American rivals. Lower prices could make it easier for the company to gain market share while putting pressure on the pricing and profit margins of U.S. AI companies.  I certainly don't want to see American companies lose ground to Chinese competitors. However, as investors, we have to evaluate the competitive landscape objectively. U.S. AI companies have already committed hundreds of billions of dollars to infrastructure and development. If competition forces prices lower, it may take much longer for these companies to generate the profits needed to justify today's lofty stock prices and valuations.    The Business of Kids' Sports Is Changing and it May Not Be for the Better  Private equity has made its way into nearly every corner of the economy, and now it's becoming a major force in youth sports. The Aspen Institute has estimated that youth sports are now a $40 billion industry in the U.S, which is likely why private equity is now targeting the space. That's raising serious concerns about what happens when maximizing investor returns becomes more important than giving kids affordable opportunities to play.  As private equity firms buy up leagues, tournaments, training facilities, and sports complexes, critics argue the result is less competition, higher registration fees, and fewer affordable options for families. The average cost of youth sports has increased dramatically in recent years, leaving many children priced out of participating simply because their families can't afford it.  One thing that stands out is that this has become one of the rare issues drawing concern from both Republicans and Democrats in Congress. Burgess Owens, a Republican from Utah and former professional football player, pointed out “Investment is important, but it's when the mission is our kids, not investors. We're seeing too much of this. We're going to lose the soul of our nation if we don't get this right.” He also acknowledged that while some investors are doing it the right way, bad actors need to be kept out. While there are differences over how to address the problem, there appears to be broad bipartisan agreement that rising costs and reduced consumer choice deserve closer scrutiny.  Youth sports should be about developing character, teamwork, friendships, and healthy competition, not creating another industry where financial engineering determines who gets to participate. If the trend toward consolidation continues unchecked, more families may find themselves priced out of opportunities that should be available to every child, regardless of income.    Bitcoin Company Strategy Is in Trouble  Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, changed its name after the company essentially became a leveraged bet on Bitcoin rather than a software business. As management shifted its focus almost entirely to buying Bitcoin, it dropped the "Micro" from its name to reflect that new identity.  CEO Michael Saylor spent years promoting Bitcoin and telling investors that owning Strategy stock was one of the best ways to benefit from its rise. To finance those Bitcoin purchases, the company repeatedly issued low-interest convertible bonds.  The next major maturity comes on September 15, 2027, when approximately $1 billion of convertible notes become due. If you're unfamiliar with convertible bonds, they allow a company to borrow money at lower interest rates because investors have the option to convert the bonds into stock instead of receiving cash repayment. For that to happen, however, the stock price must trade well above the conversion price.  In this case, the conversion price is about $183 per share, about double the current stock price of roughly $90. Unless the stock stages a dramatic recovery, those bonds are unlikely to be converted into shares, meaning Strategy would need to repay the $1 billion in cash.  The stock has fallen nearly 79% over the past year, and Bitcoin's decline has only magnified the losses. Bitcoin itself has dropped roughly 50% from its peak, falling below $60,000 depending on the day. When Bitcoin was making new highs, investor excitement seemed endless. Now that prices have been cut roughly in half, much of that enthusiasm has disappeared.    Michael Saylor has also been noticeably absent from major interviews in recent months. Whether that is because demand for his appearances has faded or because the company's performance has made those appearances more difficult is open to interpretation. Strategy stock reached a high of around $473 in late 2024 and now trades near $90.  We've discussed this company many times before. The concern has always been that Strategy is not creating meaningful operating growth as it is primarily just borrowing money to buy Bitcoin. Unlike a traditional operating company, it is not relying on expanding products or services to drive future earnings.  At the moment, there does not appear to be a clear catalyst that would significantly lift either Bitcoin or Strategy's stock price. If the shares remain well below the conversion price as the 2027 maturity approaches, investors are likely to become increasingly concerned about how the company will repay its debt. That uncertainty could continue to put pressure on the stock.    Upper-middle-class Americans may not be as financially secure as they would like  Upper-middle-class Americans, generally defined as households earning between $150,000 and $250,000 per year, may be in a stronger financial position than most, but many are becoming increasingly pessimistic about the future.  You may be surprised to learn that 86% of upper-middle-class Americans do not believe their children will have a better life than they have. Just seven years ago, in 2019, that figure was only 64%.  Many upper-middle-class households are also losing confidence in the economic system and the government. They increasingly feel that the odds are stacked against them, making it harder to continue moving ahead financially. In the most recent Wall Street Journal survey, 65% of affluent Americans said they believe the system is rigged against them, more than double the 29% who felt that way in 2017.  The news isn't much better for the middle class, generally defined as households earning between $65,000 and $235,000 annually. Only 25% said they have been able to save beyond an emergency fund. Roughly one in four also reported carrying credit card debt that they are unable to pay off in full each month.  Despite these concerns, there has still been significant upward mobility. About 75% of people in today's upper-income group said they now belong to a higher economic class than the one they grew up in. Among middle-class Americans, roughly half said they also grew up in a lower economic class than where they are today.  Views on higher education are changing as well. About one-third of middle-class Americans no longer believe a four-year college degree is the best path to financial success. Rising tuition costs, growing student debt, and the availability of alternative career paths have caused many to rethink the traditional college route.  No matter which income group people belong to, there is often a desire to improve their financial situation and move up economically. That ambition is a healthy part of human nature and is often what drives people to work harder, save more, and invest for the future. While constantly striving for more can sometimes make it difficult to feel fully satisfied, the pursuit of improvement can also provide a strong sense of purpose and accomplishment.    Did The Recent Jobs Report Tell the Whole Story?  At first glance, this weeks jobs report looked fairly uneventful. The U.S. economy added 57,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in June, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%. This was below the estimate of 115k, but it does follow three strong months of payroll growth.  After looking through the report, there are several numbers that raise some important questions.  The first is the labor force. About 720,000 people left the labor force in June, pushing the labor force participation rate down to 61.5%, the lowest since March 2021. Even more troubling is that if we exclude the Covid-era, it was the lowest labor force participation rate in exactly 50 years. When people stop looking for work, they are no longer counted as unemployed, which can make the unemployment rate appear stronger than it otherwise would.  Another surprising number was leisure and hospitality, which lost 61,000 jobs. June is typically one of the strongest hiring months of the year for hotels, restaurants, entertainment, and travel-related businesses. The Bureau of Labor Statistics attributed much of the decline to weaker-than-normal seasonal hiring, but it's still worth asking whether this reflects a temporary statistical issue or an early sign that consumer spending is beginning to soften. It is especially strange given the popularity of the World Cup and many speculated this would be a strong sector in the report. Goldman Sachs in particular estimated a gain of 40k in leisure and hospitality before the report was released.  Then there is the latest JOLTS report. Job openings stood at 7.6 million in May, showing employers are still looking for workers, but the question is if people are actually leaving the workforce can these jobs actually get filled?  One report never tells the entire story, but these numbers deserve a closer look. Was June simply an odd month because of seasonal adjustments? Or are we beginning to see a labor market that is slowing more quickly than the headline unemployment rate suggests? The next few months of data should help answer that question.    The biggest risk in AI may not be the technology, it may be the economics.  This week, Bradley Tusk and Ed Zitron raised important questions that investors shouldn't ignore.  Bradley Tusk (founder and CEO of Tusk Ventures and a venture capitalist) made an interesting observation: investors are treating frontier AI models the same. But China's AI companies are proving that powerful models can be developed much more cheaply and improve much faster than many expected. If lower-cost models continue to narrow the performance gap, AI models could become increasingly commoditized, making it much harder for companies spending hundreds of billions of dollars on infrastructure to earn attractive returns.  Ed Zitron (author, podcaster and tech industry critic) echoed a similar concern from a different angle. He argues that AI companies are engaged in an expensive arms race, pouring enormous amounts of capital into chips, data centers, and model development without proving that the economics will justify the investment. As he has said, companies are "burning money at an astonishing rate" while investors continue to assume future profits will eventually catch up.  This also ties into a warning from co-funder and CEO of Palantir Technologies, Alex Karp . He has criticized what he calls "token maxxing"—the idea that success in AI is simply about generating more tokens, building bigger models, and spending more on compute. Karp's point is that producing more AI output doesn't automatically create more business value. The companies that ultimately win will be the ones that solve real customer problems and generate durable profits, not necessarily those that consume the most GPUs or produce the most tokens.  History shows that revolutionary technologies don't always produce the best investments. The internet transformed the world, but many of the biggest companies of the dot-com era disappeared because expectations got too far ahead of profits.  AI will almost certainly reshape the economy. The bigger question for investors is whether the companies making the largest investments will ultimately earn the returns the market is expecting—or whether AI models become increasingly commoditized, leaving the biggest winners to be the businesses that successfully apply AI rather than simply build larger models.    Financial Planning: Trump Account Investment Options Released Ahead of $1,000 Seed Funding  Trump Accounts are expected to receive $1,000 of government seed money as soon as the 4th of July. If you have a child born in 2025 through 2028, you can apply online now at trumpaccounts.gov. This is basically a retirement account with a caveat, contributions can be made on behalf of children even if they don't have earned income.  However extra contributions are made on an after-tax non-Roth basis so no upfront tax deduction and no tax-free growth. Instead contributions establish cost basis and investment earnings grow tax-deferred, but are ultimately taxed upon withdrawal at ordinary income rates. In practice, this tax deferral benefit is overstated. This week the Treasury Department released 5 investment options: SPYM, IVV, VTI, ITOT, and SPTM. These are virtually all the same investment, a low fee fund that is heavily weighted toward the largest US companies. This means there is no reason to sell or rebalance, so the only real option is to buy and hold.  Buying and holding can also be done in a regular brokerage account with tax deferred until sale, but at the lower, potentially 0%, long-term capital gains rates rather than the higher ordinary income rates. Some planning strategies involve funding the Trump account and later converting it to a Roth. However, those conversions would still trigger tax at ordinary income rates and potentially trigger the kiddie tax, pulling the income into the parent's tax bracket. Since in every possible situation, the long-term capital gain tax rate is always less than the ordinary income tax rate, a better strategy may be to fund a brokerage account and use the future proceeds to make contributions to Roth accounts which likely could be done tax-free rather than funding a Trump account and eventually making Roth conversions at a higher rate. For this reason, while the $1,000 government seed contribution is worth it, additional voluntary contributions may be less attractive compared to already available alternatives.    Companies Discussed: Meta Platforms, Inc. (Ticker: META) 

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss today's ADP jobs print with a 120K estimate, yesterday's JOLTS surprise beat at 7.594 million that seems suspiciously convenient against a low bar, Kevin Warsh's panel appearance alongside Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, and Tiff Macklem in his first global central bank sit-down, and Constellation Brands' earnings beat with EPS at $3.79, 39% operating margins, and 21% Pacifico growth despite a slight net sales decline.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Brian Szytel recaps markets on June 30, the last day of Q2, noting a strong first half for the Dow and the best Nasdaq quarter since 2020, with tech leading as the Dow rose 136 points, the S&P 500 gained 0.8%, and the Nasdaq rose 1.5% while the 10-year yield increased 8 bps. He highlights the Japanese yen at its weakest versus the dollar in over 40 years (~162), describing the yen carry trade and warning that BOJ interventions (about 11 trillion yen) and rate hikes could trigger volatility like August 2024. He also discusses rising system leverage, with margin debt up 54% year over year to about $1.4T and the risks of triple-leveraged single-stock ETFs for retail investors. Economic data included weaker consumer confidence, stronger JOLTS openings with steady quits, lower Chicago PMI, and softer Case-Shiller home prices (down monthly, +0.7% YoY). 00:00 Market Wrap Q2 Finale 01:32 Yen Weakness And Carry Trade 02:40 BOJ Intervention Risks 03:47 Leverage Rising In Markets 04:22 Margin Debt And Leveraged ETFs 05:51 Economic Data Roundup 06:48 Closing Thoughts And Sign Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Semiconductor stocks are ending the second quarter with their strongest run on record, as the AI spending boom continues to drive huge gains across chipmakers, memory suppliers, and other companies tied to the data center buildout.Mike Armstrong and Paul Lane break down why AI demand is still powering the market, how stretched valuations and rising earnings expectations could make the second half of the year more volatile, and why cost discipline from major tech companies may be the first real warning sign for the AI trade. They also discuss the latest JOLTS report, why the labor market remains stronger than expected, how persistent inflation could keep pressure on the Federal Reserve, and why fixing Social Security will likely require politically painful choices on taxes, benefits, or both.

Jordan Shapiro breaks down the latest JOLTS data, pointing to a strong labor market and resilient consumer sentiment. He notes workers who switch jobs are outperforming those who stay, pushing companies to raise wages to retain talent. Shapiro says this dynamic is strengthening the position of skilled workers and supporting confidence across the economy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

SUMMARY DEL SHOW Futuros ligeramente al alza este martes extendiendo el rally del lunes, con el Dow en récord sobre 52,000 puntos y el mercado atento al JOLTS, la confianza del consumidor y los resultados de Nike después del cierre. $MSTR rompe oficialmente su política de "nunca vender" Bitcoin tras acumular $32 Billones en pérdidas no realizadas, autorizando ventas de BTC para cubrir dividendos, deuda y recompras. $AMZN extiende sus promociones de verano tras confirmarse que superó a Walmart como el minorista más grande de EE.UU., mientras $LLY firma un acuerdo de distribución con Innovent Biologics para su oncológico Verzenios en China.

Comece seu dia com todas as informações essenciais para a abertura da bolsa com o Morning Call da Genial! O time da Genial comenta sobre as bolsas asiáticas, europeias e o futuro do mercado americano, além da expectativa para os mercados de ações, câmbio e juros. O Morning Call da Genial é transmitido, de segunda a sexta, às 8h45. Ative as notificações do programa e acompanhe ao vivo!

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3R54h8Z David Bahnsen previews a forthcoming mid-year Dividend Cafe recap and notes a CNBC interview on market excesses in AI/tech and investor behavior. Markets rose sharply (Dow +300, S&P +1.1%, Nasdaq +2%) led by communication services; Google's first day in the Dow coincided with Verizon's exit, while materials fell. He argues recent breadth versus index performance supports rotation over correction, and questions whether stock and bond markets are truly pricing Fed rate hikes despite high futures-implied odds; the 10-year ended flat at 4.37%. He reviews Iran-US ceasefire uncertainty and Supreme Court activity, including sending the Lisa Cook firing dispute to lower court for due process while upholding an FTC firing. He flags bipartisan interest in taxing/data-center limits, discusses a likely housing bill with limited impact versus state/local barriers, cites rising supply-chain cost indicators, weak new-home sales and falling prices, notes Fed balance-sheet growth, oil at $70.50, and upcoming JOLTS and jobs data (Thursday). 00:00 Welcome and Week Ahead 02:12 Market Recap and Rotation 04:17 Fed Hike Debate 07:04 Geopolitics and Supreme Court 10:03 Data Centers and Housing Bill 12:59 Economy Housing and Fed Sheet 15:14 Energy and Jobs Week 16:05 Wrap Up and Thanks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Las bolsas comienzan la semana pendientes de la evolución del alto el fuego entre Estados Unidos e Irán, después del intercambio de ataques durante el fin de semana que ha vuelto a elevar la tensión y ha impulsado el precio del petróleo. Los mercados también miran a Sintra, donde arranca el encuentro anual de bancos centrales y que contará con la participación de Christine Lagarde y Kevin Warsh, en plena atención sobre el futuro de los tipos de interés. Además, Corea del Sur anuncia una mega inversión en inteligencia artificial impulsada por el Gobierno junto a gigantes tecnológicos como Samsung y SK Hynix, en una nueva carrera por liderar el desarrollo de la IA. Y en la agenda económica de la semana, la gran cita será el informe de empleo de Estados Unidos que conoceremos el jueves, ya que Wall Street permanecerá cerrado el viernes por festivo. También se publicará el IPC preliminar de junio de la eurozona, datos de inflación de Alemania, Italia y Francia, el PIB final del primer trimestre de Reino Unido, los PMI manufactureros de junio, la encuesta JOLTS y la confianza del consumidor del Conference Board en EEUU. En el plano empresarial, presentarán resultados compañías como Nike, General Mills, Constellation Brands y Prosus. En la tertulia de mercados de Capital Intereconomía, Pilar García-Germán, directora de ventas de Fidelity International; Isabel de Liniers, jefa de ventas para España de DWS; Pilar Vila, Sales Manager en Schroders; e Irene López, Sales Director de Flossbach Von Storch analizan si la renta variable tecnológica todavía tiene recorrido o si las valoraciones empiezan a acercarse a niveles de burbuja; qué puede ocurrir con los tipos de interés en Estados Unidos y qué están anticipando los bonos tanto en los tramos largos como en los cortos; y cómo afecta la fortaleza del dólar a las carteras con exposición a EEUU.

How's the labor market? Depends on who you ask. Host Gene Marks highlights that in this week's episode, pointing to the steady increase in job growth the past three months reported by the Paychex Small Business Employment Watch and the massive job gains released by the U.S. Department of Labor. Same? Gene says Paychex uses real-time data and the government's report will be revised because it is based on surveys. The episode also looks at the divide concerning jobs, according to the JOLTS report, and why some experts are suggesting businesses pay attention to state AI laws while the federal government tries to find its way on the subject. Listen to the podcast. Topics: 00:00 – Introduction 01:14 – Jobs and Wage Data From Paychex 02:55 – JOLTS Report Shows Hiring Divide 05:55 – Focus on State AI Laws 09:11 – Episode Wrap-up Additional Resources Employment Watch: https://bit.ly/paychex-sbew Register for AI webinar: https://bit.ly/ai-webinar-series Meet Paychex: https://bit.ly/3VtM6bs  

This week's conversation points to an economy that is still expanding, but with a market narrative that may be shifting. Manufacturing and services remained in expansion, job openings improved, and May payrolls came in stronger than expected, reinforcing a firmer labor backdrop ahead of the June FOMC meeting. At the same time, the team discusses early cracks in the AI trade, the potential for rotation as large IPOs approach, and why higher yields may persist. In fixed income, resilient credit markets still favor quality, while policy and inflation remain central watchpoints for portfolio positioning. Continue the conversation at our upcoming Key Wealth National Call: 2026 Mid-Year CIO Update on June 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:39 — Manufacturing, services, Beige Book, JOLTS, and May payrolls.05:16 — Middle East developments, oil inventories, and summer supply risks.08:10 — AI trade cracks, Broadcom, and the coming SpaceX IPO.16:54 — Jobs, Fed expectations, higher yields, and resilient credit.23:07 — National Call reminder and what investors should watch next. Additional ResourcesRegister Now: Key Wealth National Call: 2026 Mid-Year CIO UpdateRead: Key Questions: What's Behind the Back Up in Global Bond Yields? Key QuestionsWeekly Investment BriefSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterFollow us on LinkedIn 

Audrey Symes discusses how AI is reshaping non-tech industries. Referencing Goldman Sachs (GS) CEO David Solomon and a strong JOLTS report, she argues fears of AI-driven job losses are overstated. Symes says AI is creating new, higher-value roles and driving demand for “AI-native” workers, even as some lower-level tasks are automated.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss the SpaceX IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation with a record $75 billion raise pricing next Thursday, historical data on how mega-IPOs perform and float dynamics, the anomalous JOLTS job openings jump in the West, today's ISM Services and Fed Beige Book releases, and the USTR's new Section 301 tariffs of 10-12.5% on major trading partners including Canada, the EU, Mexico, China, and the UK tied to forced labor.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

David Hochberg, Vice President of Lending for Team Hochberg at Atlantic Coast Mortgage and host Home Sweet Home Chicago on WGN Radio, joins the Lisa Dent Show to discuss the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report and what that could mean for workers. He later shares his thoughts and advice on reverse mortgages.

David Hochberg, Vice President of Lending for Team Hochberg at Atlantic Coast Mortgage and host Home Sweet Home Chicago on WGN Radio, joins the Lisa Dent Show to discuss the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report and what that could mean for workers. He later shares his thoughts and advice on reverse mortgages.

Brian Szytel shares a late-day market update with the Dow up about 250 points, the S&P slightly higher, the Nasdaq flat, and the 10-year yield unchanged at 4.45%. He highlights a stronger-than-expected JOLTS report showing roughly 731,000 more job openings than consensus, lifting openings to about 7.6 million, the highest in two years, with gains notably in consulting and professional services—countering fears that AI is collapsing hiring. He argues AI may shift entry-level skill requirements but supports productivity and investment over time. Addressing a question about younger investors relying on Bitcoin for retirement, he cites Ned Davis Research (1973–2025) showing dividend growers compounding ~10.2% versus ~7.7% for S&P equal weight, ~4.2% for non-payers, and negative returns for dividend cutters, recommending dividend-growth principles and warning Bitcoin's volatility and lack of cash flows make it ill-suited for funding liabilities. 00:00 Market Snapshot Today 00:41 Jobs Openings Surprise 01:19 AI and Hiring Reality 02:47 Bitcoin vs Dividend Growth 03:17 50 Years of Dividend Data 04:23 Building Evergreen Investing Habits 04:48 Why Bitcoin Fails Liabilities 05:34 Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Kevin Green breaks down the latest April JOLTS report to examine why strengthening labor data makes it harder for the Fed to justify interest rate cuts. He also talks about inflation pressures facing the economy, how markets are reacting to the data, and what investors should watch ahead of Friday's job report. KG also examines the rally in AI chip stocks following Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang's bullish comments and why strength in networking and AI related names could help push the S&P 500 (SPX) to further highs.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Matt Miskin cautions that beneath the surface of a blowout JOLTS report — including a two-year high in job openings. However, stagnant hiring and quit rates reveal a labor market far looser than headlines suggest. He argues that ongoing fiscal stimulus is acting as a sugar rush for the economy, and that the Fed may lean on bond vigilantes rather than rate hikes to tighten conditions.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Marley Kayden discusses the JOLTS reports showing job openings surged in April the highest they have in two years. Sam Vadas talks about European chip maker STMicroelectronics (STM) hitting record highs after earnings.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

SUMMARY DEL SHOW Mercado en modo cautela tras máximos históricos. Irán sigue nublando el tape, mientras hoy manda JOLTS y los yields aflojan un poco. $HPE se dispara por resultados récord y demanda fuerte en data centers AI. $MRVL vuela por el respaldo público de $NVDA en Computex. $INTC intenta relanzar su narrativa de infraestructura AI. $HIMS cierra Eucalyptus y acelera expansión internacional.

US President Trump said talks with Iran were continuing at a rapid pace; he thinks he will have an agreement with Iran to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz over the next week.Iran's Foreign Ministry said the US bears direct responsibility for violations of the ceasefire with Iran and by Israel in Lebanon, adding that a violation on one front was equal to violations on all fronts.The US is in talks to expand nuclear weapon deployments in Europe, according to the FT.Crude futures gradually pulled back overnight following the prior day's rally; fixed income caught a bid overnight.APAC stocks were mixed following the choppy performance stateside; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI (May), JOLTs Job Openings (Apr), RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism, New Zealand Export/Import Prices (Q1), NBP Policy Announcement (Jun). Speakers include Fed's Kashkari & Hammack, BoE's Bailey & Greene, ECB's Vujcic. Supply from the UK & Germany. Earnings from Dollar General, Palo Alto & ULTA Beauty.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas discuss the April jobs report, noting payrolls rose about 115,000 versus expectations near 65,000, with unemployment steady at 4.3% and back-to-back monthly job gains for the first time in nearly a year. They argue the data increases pressure on the Fed not to cut rates, with markets pricing little chance of a cut and some lingering hike risk, though Thomas doesn't expect hikes. Despite geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns, equities sit at all-time highs, led narrowly by semiconductors and select tech, with limited broadening under the surface. Thomas highlights “Acceleration Nation” data points including improving hiring rates in JOLTS, strong retail sales, and roughly 25% year-over-year Q1 earnings growth, while flagging risks from CapEx/AI optimism fading or more permanent layoffs spreading to old-economy sectors. They also discuss consumer sentiment's inflation focus, and remain constructive on energy longer term even if oil-driven froth pulls back. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Stock market volatility, inflation data, U.S. debt, Big Tech AI spending, and Federal Reserve interest rates are all moving at the same time — and if you are trading or investing without watching these signals, you are flying blind. In this video, I break down the market news that actually matters: CPI, PPI, JOLTS, Fed speeches, AI capex, the debt crisis, auto loan trouble, oil supply risk, and why all of it can shake your portfolio.⚖

This week, we discuss the Employment Report, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, and the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. Although the headline employment figures appeared strong, the underlying composition was less reassuring. Nearly all of the payroll growth came from lower wage sectors and industries where workers are more likely to hold multiple jobs. In that sense, the rise in payrolls may be less a sign of strength than of strain, as more consumers take on additional work to make ends meet. That interpretation was reinforced by a 449,000 increase in the number of people working part time for economic reasons. The JOLTS survey told a similarly subdued story, with low quits suggesting continued uncertainty and caution among workers. Finally, Greg Abel's message from the Berkshire Hathaway meeting echoed our own: be patient. Warren Buffett noted that there had been only five truly “juicy” periods in his career. Until such opportunities return, Berkshire will continue selling equities and holding cash in Treasuries. Without those rare windows, Buffett's extraordinary record of outperforming the market by roughly two times over six decades would likely not have been possible.

Brian Szytel reports stocks higher (Dow +356, S&P +0.8%, Nasdaq +1%) with bonds quiet and the 10-year at 4.42%, drifting up on Middle East turmoil and higher inflation expectations tied to energy prices. Oil continues to whipsaw amid geopolitical risk between the U.S. and Iran, including limited U.S. military escorts through the Strait of Hormuz and some fire exchanged. He says equities are holding up because S&P 500 earnings are strong: about 60% have reported with revenue growth near 10%, earnings growth around 27%, and record margins above 20% helped by a more tech-heavy index. Economic data was mostly positive: JOLTS job openings at 6.8M, new home sales at 682K, and ISM Services at 53.6. He also explains Fed currency swap lines as a longstanding liquidity tool supporting the dollar's reserve status. 00:00 Market Wrap Overview 00:30 Rates and Oil Whipsaw 01:19 Why Stocks Hold Up 02:18 Economic Data Check 03:22 Fed Swap Lines Explained 05:02 Closing Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Kevin Hincks breaks down how futures markets are interpreting rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz—and why oil prices may still trend lower this year.He also highlights the importance of the JOLTS report for the Fed outlook and previews key earnings ahead, including Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Walt Disney (DIS).======== Schwab Network ========Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DEmpowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

SUMMARY DEL SHOW Futuros en verde, pero con el mercado pendiente de vacantes laborales y del ritmo de contratación. Irán y Ormuz siguen como ruido de fondo, y el petróleo sigue elevando la sensibilidad del tape. Apple $AAPL explora diversificar producción de chips fuera de $TSM, con conversaciones preliminares con Intel $INTC y visitas a Samsung $SSNLF en Texas. Palantir $PLTR bate y sube guidance, pero cae por discusión de valuación. UnitedHealthcare $UNH recorta prior approvals para reducir fricción en atención médica.

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Send us Fan MailWhen your employees experience moments of friction that make them question their relationship with their job or the company they work for, you want to make sure there's enough "love in the tank" to sustain their relationship with the job. How do you get ahead of these moments of friction to make sure the overall satisfaction in the job outweighs the frustrations they encounter? Support the showOur new book...The Ultimate Guide to HR: Checklists Edition is now AVAILABLE! Go to UltimateGuidetoHR.com to Get HR Right: and Avoid Costly Mistakes. Certified and approved for 3 SHRM Recertification Credits.Join the HR Team of One Community on Facebook or visit TeamAtHRstories.com and sign up for emails so you can be the first to know about new things we have coming up.You can also follow us on Instagram and TikTok at @HRstoriesPodcastDon't forget to rate our podcast, it really helps other people find it!Do you have a situation or topic you'd like the team to discuss? Are you interested in having Chuck or John talk to your team or Emcee your event?  You can reach the Team at  Email@TeamAtHRStories.com for suggestions and inquiries.The viewpoints expressed by the characters in the stories are not necessarily that of The Team at HR Stories. The stories are shared to present various, real-world scenarios and share how they were handled by policy and, at times, law. Chuck and John are not lawyers and always recommend working with an employment lawyer to address concerns. 

AP's Lisa Dwyer reports on an earthquake in Nevada last night.

Almost four hundred thousand American workers dropped out of the labor force in March, setting yet a new low in labor participation. Why? There are no jobs, a fact confirmed by both the employment estimate plus an utterly dismal hiring rate from JOLTS, one that rivaled January and February 2009. There's more, too. S&P Global said the services sector contracted for the first time in three years last month and a decline in its employment index, showing how the oil price shock is already starting to sting. Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre-------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Visit our Substack page to sign up: https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com-------------------------------------------------------------S&P Global US Services PMI March 2026https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/cc86952bb550465d9093b048d7bfdeb8https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Mark Hamrick breaks down a frozen U.S. labor market as JOLTS data shows low hiring and low firing, limiting mobility and wage growth. He explains why job gains remain concentrated in healthcare, what upcoming jobs data could reveal, and how small businesses are holding up despite higher rates and tariff risk.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Brian Szytel hosts Dividend Cafe on Tuesday, March 31, recapping a broad market rally with the S&P 500 up about 2%, the Nasdaq up about 3%, and bonds higher as the 10-year yield fell roughly 3.5 bps to around 4.30%. He says headline-driven moves and short covering are fueling volatility, noting markets react to shifting commentary about a potential end to the war and the Strait of Hormuz. He addresses a question about the U.S. stopping oil exports, arguing it's unlikely, would reduce profits and jobs, and U.S. refineries are largely configured for heavier crude unlike domestic light sweet production, making a shift a decade-long project. Economic updates include the Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index (+0.2% in January; +1.2% YoY), JOLTS job openings at 6.9 million (in line), and consumer confidence beating in March. 00:00 Welcome and Setup 00:19 Market Rally Recap 00:46 Headlines and Positioning 01:42 Oil Export Thought Experiment 02:31 Housing Price Update 03:13 Jobs and Confidence Data 04:08 Wrap Up and Tomorrow 04:24 Disclosures and Disclaimer Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Jordan Shapiro and Noah Yosif break down the latest JOLTS report, highlighting a “low hire, low fire” labor market as employers and workers turn cautious. They discuss sector‑specific pressures, slowing momentum, and what weakening labor data could mean for the Fed's rate‑cut timeline.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

How do you know when to leave a job or relationship? Look for the jolts.Ready to quit your job but unsure if it's right? A single comment, missed opportunity, or subtle slight can suddenly make everything feel different. But is it really time to leave, or is something deeper happening?We've all had that moment when work or even a relationship feels off. Maybe it's a meeting that hits differently, a colleague who leaves, or a new role that doesn't match what was promised. In this conversation, you'll learn why these moments feel so powerful, and how to respond with clarity instead of impulse.Anthony Klotz is a professor of organizational behavior at the UCL School of Management and the researcher who predicted the Great Resignation. An award-winning scholar on the psychology of work and author of Jolted: Why We Quit, When to Stay, and Why It Matters, he studies why we leave jobs, why we stay, and how major career decisions shape our lives.In this episode, you'll discover:The hidden psychological trigger that explains why a small workplace moment can suddenly feel career-alteringA simple diagnostic process to determine whether it's truly time to quit, or time to recalibrateThe surprising reason the first year in a new job is the most likely time to leaveHow “quiet quitting” can be reframed as a strategic reset instead of disengagementThe overlooked cost of leaving, including the social capital and goodwill you may not realize you're giving upIf you're questioning your job, wrestling with burnout, or navigating uncertainty about your career path, this conversation will help you slow down, think clearly, and make a wiser next move.You can find Anthony at: Website | LinkedIn | Episode TranscriptNext week, we're sharing a really meaningful conversation with Charles Duhigg about the hidden science of why our best advice often backfires, and how to finally feel truly understood by the people you love.Check out our offerings & partners: Join My New Writing Project: Awake at the WheelVisit Our Sponsor Page For Great Resources & Discount Codes Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The latest JOLTS report is bleaker than expected. There were 6.5 million job openings across the U.S. economy in December, down nearly 400,000 from the previous month. This misaligned labor market is especially prominent in the services sector. In this episode, what's next for employment and which groups in particular are struggling to find work. Plus: The U.S. lags behind China in electrical capacity expansion, bankers show reluctance to lend to AI-impacted industries, and a photographer installs free-to-use phones across his city.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

The latest JOLTS report is bleaker than expected. There were 6.5 million job openings across the U.S. economy in December, down nearly 400,000 from the previous month. This misaligned labor market is especially prominent in the services sector. In this episode, what's next for employment and which groups in particular are struggling to find work. Plus: The U.S. lags behind China in electrical capacity expansion, bankers show reluctance to lend to AI-impacted industries, and a photographer installs free-to-use phones across his city.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.