Podcasts about PCE

Core inflation rose to 2.9% in July, according to the latest PCE data — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — marking its highest level in months. But despite stubborn inflation and falling consumer confidence, consumer spending continues to climb. Courtenay Brown at Axios and Jordyn Holman at The New York Times join "Marketplace" host Amy Scott to talk about the latest inflation numbers, and the court battle brewing between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Also in this episode: the economics of uncertainty, why job-hopping may no longer lead to bigger paychecks, and how "buy now, pay later" is being rebranded to target women.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Bob is the created and owner of Trade Genius Academy. Bob also does a podcast on YouTube which is called Trade Genius. Bob begins the conversation talking  about how Germany appears to be in a recession, with its economy contracting by 0.3% in the second quarter amid slowed exports due to U.S. tariffs and rising unemployment above 3 million, while forecasts predict stagnation or zero growth for the year, marking a prolonged period of economic inactivity. This downturn could potentially spread to other EU nations, as Germany's role as an economic anchor contributes to deteriorating Eurozone sentiment and slower projected growth of around 1.1% for the EU and 0.9% for the euro area, though analysts suggest the bloc may avoid a full recession despite trade uncertainties and fiscal tightening. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fallen about 1.9% in the past 24 hours to around $111,119, driven by a massive whale dump of 24,000 BTC, a $13.8 billion options expiry, Binance Futures going offline, and broader bearish technical indicators following its peak at $124,436 earlier in the month. Gold prices are also slightly down today, with spot prices at $3,410 per ounce (a 0.15% dip) amid a firmer dollar and anticipation of U.S. PCE inflation data, though the metal is on track for a monthly gain supported by expectations of Federal Reserve actions; potential longer-term declines could stem from cooling inflation, reduced geopolitical tensions, and lower investor demand. Market expectations are high for the Fed to cut interest rates in September, with odds at over 90% for a 25-basis-point reduction as signaled by Chair Powell and Governor Waller, amid sputtering job growth and a focus on labor market risks. If the Fed proceeds with the cut, it could stimulate economic growth by lowering borrowing costs, encouraging business investment, hiring, and consumer spending, while easing pressures on mortgages and auto loans, though excessive cuts risk reigniting inflation and eroding purchasing power. Conversely, if the Fed holds off, it might help contain inflation but could slow the economy further by maintaining high financing costs, potentially leading to reduced business expansion, higher unemployment, and subdued growth, with risks of market turmoil if perceived as too hawkish. 

Core inflation rose to 2.9% in July, according to the latest PCE data — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — marking its highest level in months. But despite stubborn inflation and falling consumer confidence, consumer spending continues to climb. Courtenay Brown at Axios and Jordyn Holman at The New York Times join "Marketplace" host Amy Scott to talk about the latest inflation numbers, and the court battle brewing between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Also in this episode: the economics of uncertainty, why job-hopping may no longer lead to bigger paychecks, and how "buy now, pay later" is being rebranded to target women.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

PCE data drives bond market reactions analyzed by Rick Santelli. Kristina Partsinevelos sets market themes while Unlimited's Bob Elliott provides weekly market perspective. Eamon Javers and Steve Liesman team up on Lisa Cook hearing coverage and Fed reaction with analysis from Global Situation Room President Brett Bruen. Mackenzie Sigalos examines AI's expanding impact up the corporate ladder, followed by an on-set conversation with Gecko Robotics CEO Jake Loosararian about data -- "AI's dirty little secret." SentinelOne CEO Tomer Weingarten discusses quarterly results and cybersecurity trends. Vital Knowledge's Adam Crisafulli rounds out the show with next week's key market catalysts.

US equity futures are slightly weaker. Asia ended mixed, and European markets are softer. Focus remains on US core PCE inflation due Friday, with expectations for a modest monthly rise; Fed Governor Waller dissented from the decision to leave rates unchanged at the July FOMC meeting in favor of a rate cut; US Q2 GDP was revised higher, supported by stronger consumer spending and lower imports; EU offered to scrap tariffs on US industrial goods and provide preferential access to certain food exports, while the US extended China tariff exclusions through November; Fed Governor Cook filed suit against President Trump contesting her dismissal, with the first court hearing scheduled for Friday.Companies Mentioned: Apple, Sapporo Holdings, Spirit Aviation, Frontier Group

This segment tackles two distinct but related issues: a perceived breakdown of the American justice system and a supposed misrepresentation of the economy. The host begins by discussing a "dual justice" system, where a person's politics, not their actions, determine if they face prosecution. Citing the case of Michael Sussman—a former lawyer for the Clinton campaign who was acquitted of lying to the FBI—and a recent incident where a person threw a hoagie at a federal agent, the hosts argue that Democrats are given preferential treatment, which they link to the mindset of Marxist revolutionaries. This, they claim, is a license for political persecution and a direct threat to the principle of "equal justice under law." The conversation then shifts to a more optimistic economic outlook. The host reports on revised GDP numbers, initial jobless claims, and consumer spending, which all point to a much healthier economy than previously reported. They highlight the revised core PCE prices and GDP price index, which have been adjusted downward, to argue that recent media reports of inflation caused by tariffs were a deliberate attempt to mislead the public. The segment concludes by celebrating these positive economic indicators and emphasizing that the "tariffs aren't causing inflation," contrary to what they claim is the prevailing narrative.

US equity futures are little changed. Asia ended mixed, and European markets are firmer. Nvidia topped consensus revenue guidance though data center sales fell short of more optimistic expectations, and the group authorized a $60B buyback; In trade developments, EU is preparing legislation to cut tariffs on US industrial goods in exchange for lower US auto tariffs, while Mexico is set to raise tariffs on China to placate Washington; Japan's negotiator Akazawa canceled a planned US trip, clouding a $550B investment package, while Chinese officials are expected in Washington though talks are seen as low priority; Market focus remains on core PCE inflation due Friday, with odds of a September Fed rate cut at 87% and roughly 55 bp of easing expected this year.Companies Mentioned: Nvidia, SMIC, Cambricon Technologies

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Market Trends and Insights - August 27 Edition In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides an update from Martin Newport Beach, California. He discusses the current positive market conditions in stocks and bonds. Brian highlights the importance of the PCE data release scheduled for Friday and analyses indicators from various market sectors like commodities, financials, and home builders. Additionally, he addresses the debate between private and public capital markets, explaining the growing volume and attraction of private capital over the past decade. He concludes by mentioning recent trends in IPOs and public financing, suggesting continued growth in these areas. Brian reminds listeners to tune in for more economic insights and encourages questions from the audience. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:40 Economic Data and Market Indicators 01:06 Market Sentiment and Cyclical Sectors 02:00 Global Economy and Market Expansion 02:33 Investment Strategies and Valuations 02:58 Private Capital vs. Public Markets 04:51 Conclusion and Upcoming Updates Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing up 32bps, 24bps, and 21bps respectively. Market was still in waiting mode for Nvidia results after the close and PCE inflation on Friday. NY Fed's Williams telling CNBC monetary policy is moderately restrictive and data could warrant a gradual reduction in rates. Treasury's auction of $70B in 5s saw a 0.7bp tail, though domestic demand was solid. Earnings results included some well-received prints out of the cloud software space and mixed takeaways surrounding the consumer-facing names.

Mixed Market Day and Economic Insights – August 26 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides an update from The Bahnsen Group's Newport Beach headquarters on a quiet market day with moderate gains in the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq. Despite negative durable goods orders, results were better than expected. The episode also discusses mixed data from the Dallas and New York manufacturing surveys, the impact of federal economic policies, the Federal Reserve's role in buying securities, and slight declines in home prices and consumer confidence. Key upcoming data includes the PCE inflation gauge set to be released on Friday. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:36 Economic Data Highlights 01:47 Federal Reserve and Inflation Discussion 02:50 Housing Market Update 03:29 Consumer Confidence and Market Takeaways 03:51 Upcoming Economic Events 04:09 Conclusion and Sign Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Jared and Cameron discuss various market trends, including Cracker Barrel's rebranding and drubbing (yes, really); reactions to Jackson Hole for stocks, bonds, the US dollar, gold, and silver; and the implications of government intervention in private enterprises. They also cover investment strategies for older investors who are loaded up on tech stocks and look ahead to upcoming economic indicators that could impact the market—namely, Nvidia earnings and PCE.

This Week in Options Trading with Eric & Brian

Nvidia earnings on Wednesday and PCE inflation on Friday could determine Wall Street's path in coming days, along with several Treasury auctions. Powell gave stocks a boost Friday.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0131-0825)

"Inflation is still here, inflation is still sticky," says Charles Schwab's Collin Martin. He makes the case that the markets put too much focus on the jobs portion of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, which investors interpreted as bullish for an interest rate cut in September. He adds that Friday's core PCE report can completely flip the Fed's script. Liz Ann Sonders adds to that point, telling investors to look beyond September. She believes Wall Street needs to focus on the long-term impacts of interest rate cuts and what they mean for the economy's health.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

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250825(2) [찬란한 경제] (1) 한미 정상회담 통상의제…마스가·대미투자·원전협력 '주목' / (2) 경제계 “노란봉투법 통과 유감…사용자 방어권 보장 입법해야” / (3) 석유화학 구조조정…에틸렌 370만t 감축 / (4) 이번주 美증시, 엔비디아·PCE에 달렸다 - 염승환

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss recent market volatility, the impact of Federal Reserve minutes, and the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium. They analyze retail earnings, with a focus on the poor performance of Target and the contrasting success of Walmart and TJX. The conversation touches on the challenges of inventory management and corporate governance at Target. They also delve into the implications of tariffs, the potential for geopolitical events to influence markets, and the resilience of market participants. The discussion includes insights on Palantir's stock movements, the potential for AI trade valuation growth, and the importance of monitoring economic indicators such as the PCE reading and jobs report. Finally, they contemplate the influence of political pressures on the Federal Reserve and the possible market reactions to Fed Chair Powell's upcoming speech at Jackson Hole. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Markets have already priced in a Fed cut, given the mixed economic data in the July labor and CPI prints. Our Global Economist Arunima Sinha makes the case for why we're standing by our baseline call for a higher bar for a rate cut. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Arunima Sinha: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Arunima Sinha, Global Economist at Morgan Stanley. Today – our evaluation of the Fed's policy path following the July CPI print, and the broader implications for other central banks. It's Wednesday, August 20th at 2pm in New York. Our baseline call has been that the Fed will remain on hold this year, and last week's CPI print has not changed that view. As we have noted, average tariff rates are still ramping up given the implementation delays, and so their cumulative effect on prices could be more lagged. Within the CPI print, tariff exposed goods other than apparel and autos continued to be firm. The surprise came in services inflation, which showed a reversal led by the uptick in airfares and hotel prices, which had been running in deflationary territory for much of this year. Some of the pushback against our view on inflation stepping up over the summer due to tariffs was that services disinflation could compensate. But as this print showed, that is unlikely to be the case. While we expect services inflation to continue to moderate, we think that services disinflation in the first half of [20]25 was exaggerated by weakness and volatile competence; and both core CPI and core PCE inflation are still at their pace from last year. So further acceleration in goods inflation from tariff effects over the summer would still see inflation remaining well above the Fed's target. After the July U.S. employment and CPI reports, the bar for the Fed to stay on hold in September is clearly higher. So, what are the risks to our call? The road goes back to how the data and the Fed's reaction function will evolve over ahead of the September meeting. The August jobs report will be important. If it is a solid employment report, with a sequential acceleration in payrolls and the unemployment rate around 4.2 to 4.3 percent, then the Fed could likely look through the weakness in the May and June prints – attributing the slowdown to the uncertainty following Liberation Day and not representative of the underlying trend. If, however, there were to be a sharp drop off in the hiring pace, which is currently not being indicated by other job market indicators such as jolts or claims, then the Fed could take the view that the labor market is much weaker than anticipated and restart easing. There is also the possibility of a cut from a risk management perspective. Even with inflation running well above target, the Fed could take the July employment report as a clear signal of downside risk to the labor market and start the easing cycle. Messaging from Fed officials has so far been mixed, with some taking signal from the jobs data and others remaining less worried with the unemployment rate remaining low. Outside the U.S., central bank trajectories remain tightly linked to both the Fed's path and the evolving U.S. growth outlook. Recent labor market data have introduced downside risks to our ECB and BoJ calls. In Europe, if Euro strength persists and U.S. recession risks rise, our euro area economists see a reduced risk to their September easing baseline. In Japan, the Bank of Japan remains cautious. Stronger U.S. data could tilt the balance toward a rate hike later this year – though October remains a high hurdle, making December or beyond more plausible. That said, if the U.S. economy slows in line with our forecast, the likelihood of further BoJ tightening diminishes reinforcing our base case – the BoJ staying on hold through end of 2026. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

The Signal Beneath the Noise Serious operators obsess over the next print, but my podcast/YouTube guest this week, Bankrate senior economic analyst, Mark Hamrick, argues the industry is missing the structural signals that actually set the cost of capital and shape demand.   Start with this premise: Data credibility is a macro variable.   When the quality of national jobs and inflation statistics is questioned, it is not just an esoteric Beltway quarrel; it becomes a pricing input for Treasuries and, by extension, mortgages, construction loans and exit cap rates.   As Hamrick puts it, the path to good decisions for households, enterprises and policymakers ‘is lined by high quality economic data, most of which is generated by the federal government.' Hamrick's concern is not theoretical. He links the chain plainly: if markets doubt the numbers guiding the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, you can ‘envision a scenario where there's less demand for our Treasury debt,' forcing higher yields to clear supply – an economy‑wide tax that lifts borrowing costs from mortgages to autos and narrows the Fed's room to maneuver.   What Happens If Trust Erodes? The near‑term catalyst for this anxiety is unusual: the Labor Department's head statistician was fired after unfavorable revisions, and an underqualified nominee has floated ideas as extreme as not publishing the data at all. Hamrick's advice for investors and executives is simple: pay attention. This may not break the system tomorrow, but it introduces risk premia where none previously existed.   Through a real estate lens, the translation is straightforward.   Underwriting already contends with volatile inputs on rents, expenses and exit liquidity; add a credibility discount on macro data and your discount rate moves against you. Prudent sponsors should stress‑test deals for a modest upward shock in base rates – an echo of Hamrick's ‘economy‑wide tax' – and consider how thinner debt markets would propagate through construction starts and refis.   Housing's Lock‑In: Inventory, Not Prices, Is the Release Valve The ‘lock‑in effect' remains the defining feature of U.S. housing. Owners sitting on sub‑3% mortgages are rationally immobile, starving resale inventory and suppressing household formation mobility, a dynamic Hamrick equates with today's ‘no hire, no fire' labor market: stable but sluggish churn. Builders fill some of the gap, but affordability remains constrained by national price firmness and still‑elevated mortgage rates relative to the pandemic trough.   What happens if mortgage rates dip to 6.25% or even 5.5%? Don't expect a binary ‘unlock.' Hamrick argues for incremental improvement rather than a light switch: lower rates would expand qualification and appetite gradually, and, crucially, free inventory. He is less worried that cheaper financing simply bids up prices; the supply response from would‑be sellers is the more powerful margin effect.   For operators underwriting for‑sale housing (build to rent or single-family home developments), the tactical read is to focus on markets where latent move‑up sellers dominate and where new‑home concessions currently set the comp stack. He also reminds us of the persistent, national‑level truth: prices have been unusually firm for years; in the U.S., homeownership is still the primary path to wealth – advantage owners, disadvantage non‑owners.   Wealth Transfer: Inequality In, Inequality Out The widely cited $84 trillion Boomer‑to‑GenX/Millennial wealth transfer via inheritance won't repair the middle class. It will mainly perpetuate asset inequality: assets beget assets, and the recipients most likely to inherit are already nearer the ‘have' column. That implies continuing bifurcation in housing demand (prime school districts, high‑amenity suburbs) alongside a renter cohort optimizing for cash‑flow goals rather than equity growth. For CRE, that supports a barbell: high‑income suburban nodes + durable rental demand where incomes grow but deposits lag.   Renting Without Shame and the Budget Reality Check Hamrick is refreshingly direct: there is no shame in renting as, perhaps, there used to be. For many households, renting is a rational bridge to other financial goals; build emergency savings, avoid surprise home maintenance expenses, and keep debt service from getting ‘too far out over your skis.'   For CRE owners, this fortifies the case for professionally managed rental product with transparent total‑cost‑of‑living and flexible lease options. For lenders, it argues for cautious debt-to-income ratios and expense reserves in first‑time buyer programs.   Tariffs, Inflation, and the New Dashboard Hamrick closes with a monitoring list to stay on top of dominant economic trends: labor market strength (monthly employment; weekly jobless claims), the inflation complex (Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), and Personal Consumption Expenditures index (PCE)), and the full housing tape (mortgage rates, existing/new sales, builder confidence, starts) plus, of course, one political‑economy input now impossible to ignore: tariffs, with the effective rate at the highest level since the Great Depression.   For CRE, tariffs are not an abstract: they seep into materials costs, fit‑out budgets, and the headline inflation path that steers the Fed. Sponsors should build tariff scenarios into Guaranteed Maximum Price (GMP) contingencies and model procurement alternates.   Actionable Takeaways for CRE Professionals Price a credibility premium: Run sensitivities for higher Treasury yields if data trust wobbles; Pay attention to how easily the government can sell its debt and the extra yield investors demand on longer bonds. Both shape interest rates, which then filter into real estate cap rates. Underwrite inventory elasticity, not sticker shock: As rates ease, model inventory release ahead of price spikes; focus on submarkets with pent‑up sellers. Lean into renting's rationality: Product that aligns with household cash‑flow priorities will capture durable demand while affordability resets. Track tariffs as a construction line‑item and macro tailwind to inflation: Feed this into budgets and hold periods. My conversation with Mark really brought home how connected real estate is to the bigger capital markets picture. If you want a sense of where cap rates are heading, keep an eye on the bond market – because that's where the story starts.   *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing.   With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection.    Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000

Eddie Yoon breaks down the latest data on the consumer, citing flat PCE and disposable income growth despite inflation headwinds. He believes the 2% inflation rate is "far behind us," and 3% will become the new normal, driven in part by surging energy costs and AI-driven demand. Yoon also notes the potential for a consumer backlash against big tech companies like Microsoft (MSFT), which are driving up energy costs while cutting high-paying jobs. He sees a generational shift in spending habits, with younger consumers favoring experiences and sustainable living over traditional categories like alcohol, which could spell trouble for companies like Boston Beer Company (SAM) and Brown Forman (BF/B).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio. Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles? SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio.  Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles?  SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative  SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

US equities were little changed in Thursday trading. A very quiet session as stocks were fairly rangebound, didn't do much despite much hotter than expected July PPI. Data sparked pullback in market pricing around 50 bp September cut, though still pricing in 90%+ chance of a 25 bp cut, while economists noted hotter PPI likely to have limited spillover effect for PCE.

Mike Dickson looks under the hood of the CPI and PPI reports this week, emphasizing the rise in services prices. He also talks about the differences between these reports and PCE data coming at the end of the month. He thinks the muted market reaction comes from the assumption that PCE won't be that bad. Generally, Mike notes strong corporate earnings and profitability this quarter.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

So far, markets have shown resilience, despite the volatility. However, our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets points out that economic data might tell a different story over the next few months, with a likely impact on yields.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley.Today – how a tricky two months could feel a lot like stagflation, and a lot different from what we've had so far this year.It's Thursday, August 7th, at 2pm in London. For all the sound and fury around tariffs in 2025, financial markets have been resilient. Stocks are higher, bond yields are lower, credit spreads are near 20-year tights, and market volatility last month plummeted.Indeed, we sense increasing comfort with the idea that markets were tested by tariffs – after all we've been talking about them since February – and weathered the storm. So far this year, growth has generally held up, inflation has generally come down, and corporate earnings have generally been fine.Yet we think this might be a bit like a wide receiver celebrating on the 5-yard line. The tricky impact of tariffs? Well, it might be starting to show up in the data right now, with more to come over the next several months.When thinking about the supposed risk from tariffs, it's always been two fold: higher prices and then also less activity, given more uncertainty for businesses, and thus weaker growth.And what did we see last week? Well, so-called core-PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, showed that prices were once again rising and at a faster rate. A key report on the health of the U.S. jobs market showed weak jobs growth. And key surveys from the Institute of Supply Management, which are followed because the respondents are real people in the middle of real supply chains, cited lower levels of new orders, and higher prices being paid.In short, higher prices and slower growth. An unpleasant combo often summarized as stagflation.Now, maybe this was just one bad week. But it matters because it is coming right about the time that Morgan Stanley economists think we'll see more data like it. On their forecasts, U.S. growth will look a lot slower in the second half of the year than the first. And specifically, it is in the next three months, which should show higher rates of month-over-month inflation, while also seeing slower activity.This would be a different pattern of data that we've seen so far this year. And so if these forecasts are correct, it's not that markets have already passed the test. It's that the teacher is only now handing it out. For credit, we think this could make the next several months uncomfortable and drive some modest spread widening. Credit still has many things going for it, including attractive yields and generally good corporate performance. But this mix of slower growth and higher inflation, well, it's new. It's coming during an August/September period, which is often somewhat more challenging for credit. And all this leads us to think that a strong market will take a breather.Thank you, as always, for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.

Understand how new tariffs may hit your wallet and whether premium credit card fees are still worth it. What do new U.S. tariffs mean for prices on everyday goods and cars? What should you consider when choosing a premium travel credit card? Hosts Sean Pyles and Elizabeth Ayoola discuss the latest economic indicators and the changing landscape of credit card perks to help you understand how today's macroeconomics and personal finance decisions intersect. Joined by news Nerds Anna Helhoski and Rick VanderKnyff, the team unpacks key insights from recent federal data drops. They begin with a discussion of the latest tariffs and economic reports, with tips and tricks on understanding how import duties impact consumer prices, why inflation could be on the rise again, and how job growth revisions may affect consumer sentiment.  Then, credit card Nerd Melissa Lambarena joins Sean and Elizabeth to discuss whether high-fee premium cards still deliver value. They cover how reward structures are changing, when it makes sense to downgrade instead of cancel, and how opening or closing a card affects your credit score. Take the Smart Money Podcast Listener Survey 2025 and enter to win a prize! https://nerdwallet.com/podsurvey  Card benefits, terms and fees can change. For the most up-to-date information about cards mentioned in this episode, read our reviews: Chase Sapphire Reserve Makes Big Changes: Higher Fee, New Rates, More Perks https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/credit-cards/chase-sapphire-reserve-overhaul-june-2025  Chase Sapphire Preferred Review: Strong Option for Travel Rewards https://www.nerdwallet.com/reviews/credit-cards/chase-sapphire-preferred  Chase Freedom Unlimited Review: A Potential One-Card Solution https://www.nerdwallet.com/reviews/credit-cards/chase-freedom-unlimited  American Express Platinum Review: Top-Notch Lounge Access, Big Credits https://www.nerdwallet.com/reviews/credit-cards/american-express-platinum  5 Things to Know About the Bank of America Premium Rewards Elite Credit Card https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/credit-cards/5-things-to-know-about-the-bank-of-america-premium-rewards-elite-credit-card  Want us to review your budget? Fill out this form — completely anonymously if you want — and we might feature your budget in a future segment! https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLScK53yAufsc4v5UpghhVfxtk2MoyooHzlSIRBnRxUPl3hKBig/viewform?usp=header In their conversation, the Nerds discuss: tariffs 2025, credit card downgrade effects, new credit card impact on credit score, consumer inflation trends 2025, unemployment report July 2025, core PCE inflation rate, job growth revisions BLS, credit card rewards explained, travel credit card comparison, high annual fee credit cards, credit card utilization ratio, closing credit card and credit score, 2025 economic outlook, de minimis exemption 2025, trade war impact on consumers, credit card strategy during inflation, interest rates and consumer debt, credit card perks vs cost, credit card churn risks, emergency fund importance 2025, how tariffs raise consumer prices, July 2025 consumer sentiment, credit card reward program changes, and economic uncertainty and spending. To send the Nerds your money questions, call or text the Nerd hotline at 901-730-6373 or email podcast@nerdwallet.com. Like what you hear? Please leave us a review and tell a friend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week, we're breaking down several key economic reports, including the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, the first estimate of second-quarter GDP, and the PCE deflator—the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. It's been a data-heavy week, capped by the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on Wednesday, where policymakers held rates steady and signaled a more cautious outlook on future rate moves.We're also joined by special guest Matthew Reed, CPA/ABV, for a post–tax season debrief. He shares key takeaways from the most recent filing season and walks us through major provisions in the One Big Beautiful Act, passed on July 4, highlighting the potential impact on both individual and business tax planning strategies.Plus, in Part 2 of our Evolution of Payments series, we dive into stablecoins—a type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain a steady value by being pegged to assets like the U.S. dollar. But if they're backed by dollars, why not just use dollars? We explore what sets stablecoins apart from more volatile cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, and why they're gaining traction in the financial world despite their dollar ties.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice, a seasoned communicator and host, on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty.Henssler Money Talks — August 2, 2025  |  Season 39, Episode 31Timestamps and Chapters5:06: Fed Holds Rates, No Set Plan for a Future Rate Cut 14:42: Matthew Reed, CPA/ABV: Post-Tax Season Debrief 22:18: Matthew Reed, CPA/ABV: OBBBA Changes that Affect You43:23: Part 2, Evolution of Payments: StablecoinFollow Henssler:  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup  “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. 

This week on Money Wise, the Davidson brothers break down a jam-packed week on Wall Street as all three major indices posted losses. The Dow slid 2.9%, the S&P 500 dropped 2.4%, and the NASDAQ dipped 2.2%. Despite the week's red ink, year-to-date numbers remain positive. But the real story is the flurry of conflicting economic data. The second-quarter GDP came in hot at 3%, far above expectations, sparking debate about what that really means for the economy. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve opted to hold rates steady, just before two critical data releases: the PCE inflation measure and a weak jobs report that led to downward revisions of over 250,000 jobs and the abrupt firing of the Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner. The Money Wise guys question the Fed's timing, dissects political posturing around the numbers, and wonder what's next for interest rate policy as economic pressure builds. Economic Confusion Grows Economic headlines were anything but straightforward this past week, leaving investors grappling with mixed signals. On one hand, the second-quarter GDP surprised to the upside at 3%, more than double the Fed's expectation, signaling strong economic growth. On the other hand, Friday's jobs report told a very different story, with weaker-than-expected hiring and major downward revisions to previous months totaling a loss of 258,000 jobs. The fallout? The Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner was abruptly fired late Friday, raising eyebrows about the politicization of economic data. The Federal Reserve, which held rates steady just before these major reports dropped, now faces renewed scrutiny for its timing and decision-making. With strength and weakness showing up simultaneously across key indicators, the economic picture remains as murky as ever. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys share The Best Investment Advice Ever . You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

¡Emprendeduros! En este episodio Rodrigo y Alejandro nos dan una actualización de mercado donde hablan del estatus del mercado, de los acuerdos comerciales y el día de la liberación parte 2, de la Reserva Federal, del PCE, PIB y reporte de empleos así como sus predicciones a lo que se viene. Para mas información sobre el fondo visita: https://emprendedurosventures.com/ Al final del episodio tenemos una actualización de una de las inversiones del Fondo de Emprendeduros - Lumen Sito: https://drinklumen.com/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/meetlumen/ ¡Síguenos en Instagram! Alejandro: https://www.instagram.com/salomondrin Rodrigo: https://www.instagram.com/rodnavarro Emprendeduros: https://www.instagram.com/losemprendeduros

Joe Mazzola says the market response to jobs data really told the story of the week despite updates on tariff policy and big tech earnings. Looking at the 3-month average of jobs data, Joe underlines that the U.S. economy hasn't seen figures this low since 2020 during the pandemic. He combines this week's labor data with PCE inflation metrics to posit the question: Do we have a slowing consumer?======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Market Recap and Economic Data Insights: July 31st Edition In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel recaps the market performance on July 31st, noting a modest downturn despite positive tech earnings. Key economic data discussed includes initial jobless claims, PCE inflation data, and a stronger-than-expected Chicago PMI number. The host also dives into how inflation and rate of return assumptions impact financial planning. The episode concludes with insights on the energy sector's reduced volatility and improved balance sheets, emphasizing the sector's potential for dividend growth. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:53 Economic Data Highlights 02:42 Inflation and Financial Planning Assumptions 04:22 Energy Sector Insights 06:13 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Big Tech boosting the S&P to record highs: Sara Eisen and David Faber broke down the latest on the data front (PCE, fresh Powell commentary on tariffs & inflation) with a special guest – Jim Cramer, joining the team ahead of a First On CNBC interview with the CEO of chip designer ARM as shares fall there on disappointing results. Plus: parsing through a deluge of earnings over the last 24 hours… RBC's U.S. Equity Strategy Head Lori Calvasina gave her take on it all – and why it's becoming a “stock picker's market” as companies navigate tariffs – while one big tech analyst along with CNBC's Steve Kovach broke down Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple this hour.  Also in focus: a blockbuster public debut at the New York Stock Exchange as Figma prices above the range. NYSE President Lynn Martin discussed all the action, the IPO pipeline, and a whole lot more in a wide-ranging deep-dive this hour. 

US equity futures are firmer with S&P up ~1%. Asia was mixed and European markets opened higher. The market focus remained on post-FOMC reactions and trade actions. Powell reiterated data-dependent stance on rate path in months ahead. Trump announced a South Korea trade deal with a 15% tariff that will also apply to autos and new investment commitments of $350B in US LNG, while threatening a 25% tariff on India. Trump also watered down 50% Brazil tariffs. Economic data showed Q2 GDP growth and ADP payrolls both beating forecasts, while core PCE inflation accelerated. China PMIs showed unexpected further deterioration in manufacturing and services, reinforcing concerns over domestic demand.Companies Mentioned: AbbVie, Atai Life Sciences, JD.com, CECONOMY, CSX Corp

Data and earnings accelerate today as investors digest better-than-forecast Microsoft and Meta results and the Fed's meeting. Apple and Amazon report later after PCE prices early.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.(0131-0725)

US equities finished lower in Thursday trading, ending not far from worst levels. Big tech earnings provided a lot of support after well-received results from Meta and Microsoft, both further underpinning the AI secular growth theme. A busy morning of data included June core PCE up 0.26% m/m, in line with consensus, but hottest since February.

S&P Futures are showing strong gains this morning after outstanding earnings from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META), both of which delivered results that surpassed expectations. Outside of tech, a majority of companies have delivered mixed or disappointing results. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell came across as hawkish in his press conference yesterday and indicated that the Fed is looking past the tariff situation by not raising rates. President Trump announced a trade deal with S. Korea. An agreement with Mexico remains fluid while an agreement with Canada appears unlikely. A federal appeal court will begin hearing oral arguments today on President Trumps claim that economic emergencies allow him the right to impose tariffs. The key economic data point for today will be the PCE report due out in the pre-market. On the earnings front, MSFT, META, WDC, EBAY & CVNA are higher after announcements. RACE, ARM, LRCX, WCOM, BUD, F, & HOOD are lower. After the bell today are earnings reports from AAPL, AMZN, KLAC, COIN, NET, ROKU, and RDDT.

As equities fade from Thursday's intraday highs, Joe Mazzola dissects the reaction to yesterday's FOMC decision to keep rates unchanged as well as Fed Chair Jerome Powell's tonality in his press conference. That combined with the latest PCE data leads Joe to believe that the market "might not get a cut." On the tariff front, Joe says the 2Q earnings haven't been fully cycled in but does note more companies like General Motors (GM) factoring in projected effects on the bottom line. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady has sparked a mixed reaction. Joe Hegener and Arthur Laffer, Jr. weigh in on the implications for the economy. With concerns about tariffs and inflation still present, the duo discusses the potential for a rate cut and its potential impact on the market. They also touch on the latest PCE print, which showed a 4-month high in inflation, and what it may mean for future Fed moves.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Kevin Hincks kicks off Morning Trade Live with a look inside the latest inflation data. June's PCE print revealed a slight rise in year-over-year numbers, but fell mostly in-line. He believes investors are in a directional tug-of-war with big tech earnings from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms versus the latest batch of economic data. Kevin recaps the FOMC decision to keep rates unchanged and updates on the latest U.S. trade deal reached with South Korea.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-...Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-...Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/19192...Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplu...Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-net...Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

July 31, 2025 - Chase discusses wage inflation, China's policy support, and hot PCE. 

En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Andre Dos Santos y Eugenio Garibay analizan las claves del panorama económico y corporativo tras una semana cargada de novedades. El episodio arranca con el análisis de la conferencia de Jerome Powell, presidente de la Reserva Federal, donde destacan las señales de cautela, la falta de consenso sobre futuros recortes de tasas y las presiones políticas de alto perfil que enfrenta la Fed.A continuación, discuten en detalle el dato recién publicado de PCE, el indicador de inflación favorito de la Fed, junto al pulso del consumo personal en EE.UU. El enfoque está en cómo estas cifras reflejan una economía que avanza, aunque el ahorro se debilita, y en qué medida esto condiciona la política monetaria futura.La conversación aterriza finalmente en las dos grandes tecnológicas que acaban de reportar resultados: Meta y Microsoft. Se revisa el extraordinario desempeño financiero de ambas, sorprendiendo al alza las expectativas del mercado, y se profundiza en cómo la inteligencia artificial está redefiniendo sus estrategias de inversión, su posicionamiento competitivo y el futuro de sus productos, desde la nube hasta los dispositivos conectados.

In this value-packed episode of Money Moves, Matty A and Ryan Breedwell break down key economic updates, decode crypto and stock market cycles, and share real-world financial strategies to build and protect wealth in any environment.From the upcoming FOMC decision to what's really driving market momentum, the hosts dive deep into how investors should be thinking about interest rate shifts, housing stagnation, and crypto's evolving role in long-term portfolios. They also tackle the psychology behind investing success—and failure—including why retail investors underperform and how to overcome the common traps.Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting your journey, this episode blends economic insight with actionable takeaways that will help you make smarter financial decisions today.What You'll Learn in This Episode:[00:00] Why most people fail at investing—and how to keep it simple[01:47] The economic events shaping markets this week (FOMC, GDP, PCE & more)[02:29] Understanding market cycles in stocks and crypto[05:00] Why short-term bonds are signaling rate cuts—and what that means for investors[17:42] Real estate reality: delayed impact of monetary policy & home equity trap[26:15] The rise of the “renter nation” and affordability crisis explained[32:59] Proven wealth-building habits most people ignore[53:07] Bitcoin vs. Ethereum vs. Solana—what smart money is doing now[57:49] The 4 phases of the crypto market cycle (and where we are today)[65:07] How to avoid losing money in crypto during peak hype cyclesResources & Mentions:Get your free financial X-ray: Text X-RAY to 844-447-1555Learn more about the Wise Investor Mastermind in Napa: Text NAPA to 844-447-1555Visit: www.WiseInvestorVault.com for free tools & resourcesWant to access Matty A's private deals list? Text DEALS to 844-447-1555Final Thought:The game of wealth isn't reserved for the elite—it's about education, action, and consistency. Whether you're navigating stocks, real estate, or crypto, the key is to skill up and stay focused.Episode Sponsored By:Discover Financial Millionaire Mindcast Shop: Buy the Rich Life Planner and Get the Wealth-Building Bundle for FREE! Visit: https://shop.millionairemindcast.com/CRE MASTERMIND: Visit myfirst50k.com and submit your application to join!FREE CRE Crash Course: Text “FREE” to 844-447-1555FREE Financial X-Ray: Text  "XRAY" to 844-447-1555

As expected, the Fed did not change interest rates in its July meeting. However, one interesting result came from two Fed officials dissenting the decision, arguing that there should be a cut in July. It's the first time there were two dissenting votes in decades. Kevin Hincks talks about Fed chair Jerome Powell's path ahead to address the interest rate outlook, which includes the possibility of updating guidance at Jackson Hole. He also notes ways the calendar is playing against the Fed with core PCE data coming out on Thursday.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Lance reviews the Big News from the weekend, the trade accord between the US and the European Union, and previews the data that will drive markets this week: PCE report and a Fed meeting on tap. What will move markets? Commentary on the non-impact of Tariffs: Markets have already priced-in any change, as markets adapt. What the Fed says about QT/QE will matter. Lance shares another family drama episode, with retail therapy and a "people-cott" on Ulta make up. There is no reason to be overly bearish on markets for now; more people are calling for correction now (which means it will only be delayed further) as markets grind higher. Lance addresses YouTube Chatroom questions on an oversold market, and what to do with excess cash; money doesn't leave the market, it just moves around. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: The Most Important Thing in Earnings Reports12:02 - Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2: The Real Impact of Tariffs & Market Movers SEG-3a: Roberts Family Drama & The Ulta Guy SEG-3b: Will Correction Be Delayed by More Expectations? SEG-4: Chat Q & A: Oversold markets & What to do with Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prelude to Pullback" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You a Meme Stock Mania DORK?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=3&t=185s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #BigTechEarnings #TechStocks2025 #EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance reviews the Big News from the weekend, the trade accord between the US and the European Union, and previews the data that will drive markets this week: PCE report and a Fed meeting on tap. What will move markets? Commentary on the non-impact of Tariffs: Markets have already priced-in any change, as markets adapt. What the Fed says about QT/QE will matter. Lance shares another family drama episode, with retail therapy and a "people-cott" on Ulta make up. There is no reason to be overly bearish on markets for now; more people are calling for correction now (which means it will only be delayed further) as markets grind higher. Lance addresses YouTube Chatroom questions on an oversold market, and what to do with excess cash; money doesn't leave the market, it just moves around. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: The Most Important Thing in Earnings Reports12:02 - Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2: The Real Impact of Tariffs & Market Movers  SEG-3a: Roberts Family Drama & The Ulta Guy  SEG-3b: Will Correction Be Delayed by More Expectations? SEG-4: Chat Q & A: Oversold markets & What to do with Cash   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prelude to Pullback" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You a Meme Stock Mania DORK?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=3&t=185s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #BigTechEarnings #TechStocks2025 #EarningsSeason  #StockMarketNews #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Podcast del programa Imagen Empresarial transmitido originalmente el 28 de julio del 2025. Conduce Rodrigo Pacheco. Los entrevistados de hoy: Entrevista: Rosa Maria Rubio Kantun, analista Económico en Monex Temas: **De cara a la publicación de los datos del PIB al 2do trimestre de 2025 en MEX y EUA, ¿Qué expectativas se tienen para estos reportes? **De igual manera se publicará el reporte de inflación PCE de junio, ¿Qué implicaciones tiene un posible repunte de este dato y cómo podría reaccionar la Reserva Federal si la PCE repunta? **Ante la incertidumbre comercial y la proximidad con el deadline de la imposición de aranceles estadounidenses el 1 de agosto, ¿Qué acuerdos podrían ser más favorables para el entorno económico global y por qué? **¿Qué países se verían más afectados en caso de no concretarse alguno de estos acuerdos? Entrevista: Christian Gurría, director general de Alsea Tema: Llegada al puesto y actualidad de la empresa

Scott Bauer does not expect a rate cut this week but is still listening to Fed commentary. He looks ahead to the July jobs report, saying a miss could lead to a rate reduction in September, but warns the Fed is watching plenty of other economic indicators. For example, Thursday's PCE report could “come in hot” and push the 10-year higher, hitting equities. Looking to the dollar, he thinks the rally off lows could hold, especially with trading deals being announced. He still wants to sell rallies for crude oil and buy the dip on gold.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about