Podcasts about PCE

Investors' exuberance is fueling this year's stock rally, but will key economic risks dampen the market's mood? The current bull run has lifted stocks from their springtime lows to higher levels in autumn. The artificial intelligence boom is one of the big factors driving it. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is dealing with the challenging situation of balancing the weakening job market and stubborn inflation. The Fed cut interest rates for the first time in 2025 in the third quarter, but the path forward from here is less certain. Morningstar Inc Senior Markets Reporter Sarah Hansen discusses seven key market factors you should watch in Q4 2025.Nvidia's investment of up to $100 billion in ChatGPT creator OpenAI could shatter records. The big bet is helping feed two simple narratives about the AI era, according to Dan Kemp, chief research and investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management Europe. First, there's too much investment in the technology, and booms tend to lead to busts. Second, AI has changed the rules of investing and returns. Kemp cautions investors to remember that there are a wide range of possible outcomes than these easy stories.  On this episode:You examine the highs and lows during each quarter and write about it. What do you think are the biggest takeaways from Q3? Stocks are climbing higher despite a lot of risks. What signals is the market ignoring, and could it be at its own peril? The AI boom is driving what's going on in the market. Mega-cap tech companies are making huge investments. Where's the money going, and how long is this level of spending expected to continue? The hot IPO market has benefited from AI. Some of the most successful IPOs this year involved the industry. Can you describe this revival? The first interest rate cut of 2025 is in the books. The Federal Reserve pointed to the softening job market as one reason for the move. What are strategists telling you as the markets await the Fed's next move? Inflation is still not tamed and hovering above the Fed's 2% target. There are expectations that tariffs could raise prices for a while. What are the outlooks from Morningstar and other strategists? As the Fed cuts rates, short-term yields will come down. What about the rest of the bond market? Where do people see the risks? The federal funding fight is continuing in Washington, D.C. Let's timestamp this moment. It's Tuesday, Sept. 30. The US government would shut down on Oct. 1 if there's not an agreement. How does uncertainty like this affect the markets, and what should investors think? Earnings season is coming up in a couple weeks. What is your team watching for? What's the takeaway for investors as we enter Q4?We talked on last week's Investing Insights about inflation. The Federal Reserve's preferred tracker showed inflation slightly ticked up in August as forecasters expected. It also revealed consumer spending rose. What do you think that's signaling about the US economy? In this week's Markets Brief column, you highlighted Nvidia's potentially record-breaking investment. The chipmaker announced it would invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI. How should investors think about this deal?New economic data is due out this week. What are you tracking for next week's Markets Brief? Read about topics from this episode.  13 Charts on Q3's Tech-Driven Stock Rally Will the AI Boom in Semiconductor Stocks Continue? What Investors Need to Know About the Steepening Yield Curve The Fed's ‘Difficult Situation': Reading Between the Lines of the September Dot Plot Forecasts for August PCE Report Shows Some Cooling, but Tariff Impacts Persist What Investors Need to Know About a US Government Shutdown Markets Brief: Nvidia's AI Spending Spree Raises Boom and Bust Fears  What to watch from Morningstar. Is Your Dividend Income at Risk? Here's How to Spot Dividend Traps Should You Hold Cash Investments After the Fed Cuts Interest Rates?What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Stock ETFInvesting in AI? Here Are 6 Undervalued Stocks for Buy-and-Hold Investors Read what our team is writing.Sarah HansenDan KempIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

From a 20.5% surge in new home sales and persistent affordability challenges in the existing market, to rising inflation, consumer sentiment drops, and labor market paradoxes, our hosts Omar Eltorai and Cole Perry explore how these factors are influencing CRE demand and investment strategy.Also, special guest Dan Kudrik, Senior Director at Altus, adds his perspective on the human edge in real estate, and highlights how valuation, residual values, and transparency are evolving in the US market.Key moments01:19 Latest Housing Market Data06:29 Consumer spending and inflation insights15:07 GDP and corporate profits analysis18:47 Labor market trends21:59 Special Guest: Dan Kudrik on human capital, valuations, and residual valuesResources mentionedNew Home Sales: https://www.census.gov/construction/nrs/index.html Existing home sales: https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales PCE: https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index GDP: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index: https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/ JOLTS: https://www.bls.gov/jlt/ Dan Kudrik: https://www.linkedin.com/in/danielkudrik/ Email us: altusresearch@altusgroup.com Thanks for listening to the “CRE Exchange” podcast, powered by Altus Group. If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a review to help get the word out about the show. And be sure to subscribe so you never miss another insightful conversation.#CRE #CommercialRealEstate #Property

In the second of a two-part episode, Morgan Stanley's chief economists talk about their near-term U.S. outlook based on tariffs, labor supply and the Fed's response. They also discuss India's path to strong economic growth.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist. Yesterday I sat down with my colleagues, Mike Gapen, Chetan Ahya and Jens Eisenschmidt, who cover the U.S., Asia, and Europe respectively. We talked about... Well, we didn't get to the U.S. We talked about Asia. We talked about Europe. Today, we are going to focus on the U.S. and maybe one or two more economies around the world. It's Wednesday, October 1st at 10am in New York. Jens Eisenschmidt: And 4pm in Frankfurt. Chetan Ahya: And 10 pm in Hong Kong. All right, gentlemen. So yesterday we talked a lot about China, the anti-involution policy, and what's going on with deflation there. Talked a little bit about Japan and what the Bank of Japan is doing. We shifted over to Europe and what the ECB is doing there – there were lots of questions about deflation, disinflation, whether or not inflation might actually pick up in Japan. So, [that] was all about soft inflation. Mike, let me put you on the spot here, because things are, well, things are a little bit different in the U.S. when it comes to inflation. A lot of attention on tariffs and whether or not tariffs are going to drive up inflation. Of course, inflation, the United States never got back to the Fed's target after the COVID surge of inflation. So, where do you see inflation going? Is the effect of tariffs – has that fully run its course, or is there still more entrained? How do you see the outlook for inflation in the U.S.? Michael Gapen: Yeah, certainly a key question for the outlook here. So, core PCE inflation is running around 2.9 percent. We think it can get towards 3, maybe a little above 3 by year end. We do not think that the economy has fully absorbed tariffs yet; we think more pass through is coming. The President just announced additional tariffs the other day. We had them factored into our baseline. I think it's fair to say companies are still figuring out exactly how much they can pass through to consumers and when. So, I think the year-on-year rate of inflation will continue to move higher into year end. Hit 3 percent, maybe a little bit above. The key question then is what happens in 2026. Is inflation driven by tariffs transitory – the famous T word; and the year-on-year rate of inflation will come back down? That's what the Fed's forecast thinks; we do as well. But as everyone knows, the Fed has started to ease policy to support the labor market. The economy has performed pretty well, so there's a risk maybe that inflation doesn't come down as much next year. Seth Carpenter: Alright, so tariffs are clearly a key policy variable that can affect inflation. There's also been immigration restriction, to say the least, and what we saw coming out of COVID – when people were reluctant to go back to work, and businesses were reporting lots of shortages of workers – is that in certain services industries, we saw some pressure on prices. So, tariffs mostly affect consumer goods prices. Is there a contribution from immigration restriction onto overall inflation through services? Michael Gapen: I think the answer is yes; and I hesitate there because it's hard to see it in real time. But it is fair to say the average immigrant in the U.S. is younger. They have higher rates of labor force participation. They tend to reside in lower income households. So, they're labor supply heavy in terms of their effect on the economy. And yes, they tend to have larger relative presence in construction and manufacturing. But in terms of numbers, a lot of immigrants work in the service sector, as you note. And services inflation has been to the upside lately, right? So, the surprise has been that goods inflation maybe hasn't been as strong. The pass through from tariffs has been weaker. But in terms of upside surprises in inflation, it's common services and in many cases, non-housing related services. So, I'd say there's maybe some nascent signs that immigration controls may be keeping services prices firmer than thought. But may be hard to tie that directly at the moment. So, it's easier to say I think immigration controls may prevent inflation from coming down as much next year. It's not altogether clear how much they're pushing services inflation up. I think there's some evidence to support that, and we'll have to see whether that continues. Seth Carpenter: Alright, so we're seeing higher costs and higher prices from tariffs. We're seeing less labor supply when it comes to immigration. Those seem like a recipe for a big slowdown in growth, and I think that's been your forecast for quite some time – is that the U.S. was going to slow down a lot. Are we seeing that in the data? Is the U.S. economy slowing down or is everything just fine? How are you thinking about it? And what's the evidence that there's a slowdown and what are maybe the counterarguments that there's not that much of a slowdown? Michael Gapen: Well, I think that the data doesn't support much of a slowdown. So yes, the economy did moderate in the first half of the year. I think the smart thing to do is average through Q1 and Q2 outcomes [be]cause there was a lot of volatility in trade and inventories. If you do that, the economy grew at about a 1.8 percent annualized rate in the first half of the year, down from about 2.5 percent last year. So, some moderation there, but not a lot. We would argue that that probably isn't a tariff story. We would've expected tariffs and immigration policies to have greater downward pressure on growth in the second half of the year. But to your question, incoming data in the third quarter has been really strong, and we're tracking growth somewhere around 3 percent right now.So, there's not a lot of evidence in hand at present that tariffs are putting significant downward pressure on growth. Seth Carpenter: So those growth numbers that you cite are on spending, which is normally the way we calculate things like GDP, consumption spending. But the labor market, I mean, non-farm payroll reports really have been quite weak. How do you reconcile that intellectual tension on the one hand spending holding up? On the other hand, that job creation [is] pretty, pretty weak. Michael Gapen: Yeah. I think the way that we would reconcile it is when we look at the data for the non-financial corporate sector, what appears to be clear is that non-labor costs have risen and tariffs would reside in that. And the data does show that what would be called unit non-labor costs. So, the cost per unit of output attributable to everything other than labor that rose a lot. What corporates apparently did was they reduced labor costs. And they absorbed some of it in lower profitability. What they didn't do was push price a lot. We'll see how long this tension can go on. It may be that corporates are in the early stages of passing through inflation, so we will see more inflation further out in a slowdown in spending. Or it may be that corporates are deciding that they will bear most of the burden of the tariffs, and cost control and efficiencies will be the order of the day. And maybe the Fed is right to be worried about downside risk to employment. So, I reconcile it that way. I think corporates have absorbed most of the tariff shock to date, and we're still in the early stages of seeing whether or not they will be able to pass it along to consumers. Seth Carpenter: All right, so then let's think about the Fed, the central bank. Yesterday, I talked to Chetan about the Bank of Japan. There reflation is real. Talked to Jens yesterday about the ECB where inflation has come down. So, those other developed market economies, the prescriptions for monetary policy are pretty straightforward. The Fed, on the other hand, they're in a bit of a bind in that regard. What do you think the Fed is trying to achieve here? How would you describe their strategy? Michael Gapen: I would describe their strategy as a recalibration, which is, I think, you know, technical monetary policy jargon for – where their policy stance is now; is not correct to balance risks to the economy. Earlier this year, the Fed thought that the primary risk was to persistent inflation. Boy, the effective tariff rate was rising quickly and that should pass due to inflation. We should be worried about upside risk to inflation. And then employment decelerated rapidly and has stayed low now for four consecutive months. Yes, labor supply has come down, but there's also a lot of evidence that labor demand has come down. So, I think what the Fed is saying is the balance of risks have become more balanced. They need to worry about inflation, but now they also need to worry about the labor market. So having a restrictive policy stance in their mind doesn't make sense. The Fed's not arguing – we need to get below neutral. We need to get easy. They're just saying we probably need to move in the direction of neutral. That will allow us to respond better if inflation stays firm or the labor market weakens. So, a recalibration meaning, you know, we think two more rate cuts into year end get a little bit closer to neutral, and that puts them in a better spot to respond to the evolving economic conditions. Seth Carpenter: All right. That makes a lot of sense. We can't end a conversation this year about the Fed, though, without touching on the fact that the White House has been putting a lot of pressure on the Federal Reserve trying to get Chair Powell and his committee to push interest rates substantially lower than where they are now. Michael Gapen: You've noticed? Seth Carpenter: I've noticed. From my understanding, a lot of people in markets have noticed as well. There's been some turnover among policy makers. We have a new member of the Board of Governors of the Fed. This discussion about Federal Reserve independence. How do you think about it? Is Chair Powell changing policy based on political pressure? Michael Gapen: I don't think so. I think there's enough evidence in the labor market data to support the Fed's shift in stance. We have certainly highlighted immigration controls, what they would mean for the labor force. And how that means even a slowing, growing economy could keep the unemployment rate low. But it's also fair to say labor demand has come down. If labor demand were still very strong, you might see job openings higher, you might see vacancies higher. You may even see faster wage growth. So, I think the Fed's right to look at the labor market and say, ‘Okay, on the surface, it looks like a no hire, no fire labor market. We can live with that, but there are some layoffs underneath. There are signs of weakness. Slack is getting created slowly.' So, I think the Fed has solid ground to stand on in terms of shifting their view. But you're right, that looking forward into 2026 with the end of Powell's term as chair and likely turnover in other areas of the board. Whether the Fed maintains a conventional reaction function or one that's perhaps more politically driven remains an open question – and I think is a risk for investors. Seth Carpenter: I want to change things up a lot here. Chetan, yesterday you and I talked about China. We talked about Japan. Two really big economies that I think are well known to investors.Another economy in Asia that you cover is India. For a long time, we have said India was going to be the fastest growing major economy in the world. Do you still see it to be the case? That India's got a really bright growth outlook? And in the current circumstance with tariffs going on, how do you think India is fairing vis-a-vis U.S. tariffs? Chetan Ahya: So yes, Seth, we are still optimistic about India's growth outlook. Having said that, you know, there are two issues that the economy has been going through. Number one is that the domestic demand had slowed down because of previous tightening of fiscal and monetary policies. And at the same time, we have now seen this trade tensions, which will slow global trade. But also, directly India will be affected by the fact that the U.S. has imposed 50 percent tariff on close to 60 percent of India's exports to the U.S. So, both these issues are affecting the outlook in the near term. We still don't have clarity on what happens on trade tensions, but what we have seen is that the government has really worked quite hard to get the economy going from domestic demand perspective. And so, they have taken up three sets of policy actions. They have reduced household income tax. The central bank has cut interest rates because inflation has been in control. And at the same time, they have now just recently announced reduction in Goods and Services Tax, which is akin to like consumption tax. And so, these three policy actions together we think will drive domestic demand growth from the fourth quarter of this year itself. It will still be not back up to strong growth levels. And for that we still need that solution to trade policy uncertainty. But I think there will be a significant recovery coming up in the next few months. Seth Carpenter: All right. Thanks for that, Chetan. It's such an interesting story going on there in India. Well, Michael, Chetan, thank the three of you for joining me today in this conversation. And to the listeners, thank you for listening. If you enjoy this show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or a colleague today.

This week, we have the latest on the Fed's favorite inflation indicator—the core PCE price index—and tell you why new home sales are surging but existing home sales are not. Filmed at Brown Harris Stevens' Studio 1873, Part of the Mastery of Real Estate (MORE) Network. Subscribe: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/crossing-the-line/id1715709313 Watch: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL7_x00Dbn3OSwzBAeflzGNqX3GrWvOMdJ Connect with Greg Heym: https://www.bhsusa.com/about-gregory-heym Market Report Data: https://www.bhsusa.com/market-reports Submit your "Crossing the Line" questions: CTL@bhsusa.com Connect with Scott Nadler of CrossCountry Mortgage: https://crosscountrymortgage.com/brooklyn-ny-5601/scott-nadler/ Connect with Shar Sedgh of Sedgh & Zuckerman PLLC: shar@sznylaw.com Learn More About The Everset: https://theeverset.com/ Brown Harris Stevens is one of the largest privately owned real estate brokerages in the country, with more than 40 offices across four states: New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Florida. https://bhsusa.com/ #crossingtheline #economy #realestate #theline #gregheym #mortgagerates #brownharrisstevens #crosscountrymortgage #mortgage

Virginia Robinson and her family moved to Camp Lejeune in 1959, a Marine Corps base in North Carolina. She raised her children there and dedicated 25 years of her life working on base, never knowing that the very place where she lived, worked, and built her family was slowly poisoning them. For decades, toxic chemicals such as PCE and TCE contaminated the water and air at Camp Lejeune. No one warned the families. And for Virginia, the consequences have been devastating. Virginia has endured a battle for her life that has spanned more than 40 years. She survived leukemia, colon cancer while pregnant, and two separate diagnoses of breast cancer. In 2023, she faced liver cancer, kidney cancer, and yet another fight with breast cancer, all at the same time. The tragedy has stretched across her family. Her husband passed away in 2014, her daughter followed just five months later, and her father developed Parkinson's. Her daughter was born with a spinal tumor and died young from bladder cancer. All of them were exposed to Camp Lejeune's poisoned water. Virginia's suffering has been relentless, but so has her courage. Out of five siblings, she was the only one plagued by repeated cancers. Despite loss, grief, and years of illness, she refuses to give up. “Camp Lejeune never told us the truth,” she has said, but she still believes she can win this fight for herself, for her family, and for every victim who was left in the dark. For decades, families like hers have been ignored, their pain dismissed, and their sacrifices forgotten. Ashley Keller is a founding partner of Keller Postman LLC and one of the nation's leading trial and appellate lawyers. At Keller Postman, he helps guide strategic direction across the firm's wide-ranging docket, which includes product liability, antitrust, class action, and arbitration matters. He is a recognized leader in product-liability litigation and currently serves as court-appointed co-lead counsel in the Acetaminophen multidistrict litigation in the Southern District of New York. Ashley also represents numerous states in antitrust litigation against Google, challenging its dominance in online display advertising. He has played a key role in the development of Keller Postman's arbitration practice, which has secured millions of dollars in settlements for employees and consumers nationwide. Before founding Keller Postman, Ashley co-founded Gerchen Keller Capital, which became the largest private investment manager focused on legal and regulatory risk. He was previously a partner at Bartlit Beck, where he litigated high-stakes securities, patent, and mass tort cases. Ashley clerked for Justice Anthony M. Kennedy on the United States Supreme Court and Judge Richard Posner on the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals. He graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, earned his M.B.A. from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, and graduated first in his class from the University of Chicago Law School. Keller has been recognized as a Plaintiffs' Lawyers Trailblazer by the National Law Journal and has been listed among Lawdragon's 500 Leading Lawyers in America. He will be representing Virginia Robinson in her fight for justice in the Camp Lejeune case. With gratitude to our sponsors: RA Opticshttps://raoptics.com/bttpUse Code: BTTP-----Sky Horse Publishinghttps://www.skyhorsepublishing.com/-----Sign Uphttps://www.backtothepeople.net

On this episode of Simply Money presented by Allworth Financial, Bob and Brian unpack why the Fed's preferred inflation gauge (core PCE) near 3% and surprisingly strong GDP make additional rate cuts tricky. They challenge one-size-fits-all Roth conversions—“pay taxes when you'll pay less”—and mark 50 years of index funds, noting both their low-cost power and today's concentration risks. Plus: listener questions on backdoor Roths, consolidating old 401(k)s, mortgage payoff vs. investing, and family LLCs. And a PSA from Kevin Durant's locked Coinbase account: safeguard your passwords.

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan discuss the latest economic indicators, including the September non-farm payrolls, PCE inflation readings, and GDP data. They analyze the inconsistency between accelerating GDP and slowing employment growth, touching on the potential impact of AI and reduced immigration. The conversation further explores the recent market dynamics, including bond yields, the performance of major tech stocks, particularly the AI-driven surge of Nvidia, and the skepticism from various market commentators. They also discuss recent government investments in Intel and the unusual valuation of TikTok in a proposed acquisition deal. The episode wraps up with a look ahead at the upcoming earnings report from Nike and what they might indicate for the broader market. Links Mentioned The Daily Spark (Apollo) David Einhorn Sounds Warning on the AI Spending Splurge - (Bloomberg) Spending on AI Is at Epic Levels. Will It Ever Pay Off? (WSJ) An $800 Billion Revenue Shortfall Threatens AI Future, Bain Says (Bloomberg) AI investment bubble inflated by trio of dilemmas (Reuters) The $100 Billion Nvidia-OpenAI Virtuous Circle Has an Ugly Side (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3IxLuPt Dividend Cafe: Market Insights and Key Themes from Money Manager Week In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, the host discusses the extensive agenda of the first day of Money Manager Week. The conversation includes insights from several meetings with portfolio managers and asset management partners. The host shares an outlook on recent market movements, including the Dow's marginal increase, changes in bond yields, and performance in various stock sectors. Key points include discussions on market returns driven by earnings growth and multiple expansion, and the U.S.'s new tariff threats. Additionally, updates are provided on significant economic indicators like PCE inflation data, personal income, durable goods orders, and the housing market. The host also touches upon public policy topics such as potential government shutdowns and international trade deals. Lastly, the episode previews topics to be covered in the upcoming Friday edition of Dividend Cafe. 00:00 Introduction and Weekly Overview 01:45 Market Performance Recap 03:13 Sector Highlights and Oil Prices 04:07 Political and Economic News 06:44 Inflation and Economic Indicators 09:08 Housing Market Update 09:32 Federal Reserve and Interest Rates 10:34 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Podcast del programa Imagen Empresarial transmitido originalmente el 29 de agosto del 2025. Conduce Rodrigo Pacheco. Los entrevistados de hoy: Entrevista: André Maurin Parra, analista económico de Monex Tema: Con el dato de la inflación PCE en EUA y el reciente recorte de tasas por parte de la FED, ¿qué podemos esperar para las próximas reuniones de política monetaria? En México, Banxico recortó su tasa de interés en 25pb, con los datos económicos más recientes, ¿qué se anticipa por parte de la Junta de Gobierno hacia cierre del año? Donald Trump continúa anunciando nuevos aranceles para varios productos, ¿cómo pinta el entorno comercial hacia el cierre del año? ¿Existen presiones para México? Entrevista: Fabiola Peña, gerente Regional de México y América Central en ALAI (Asociación Latinoamericana de Internet) Tema: Propuesta para que el SAT para tener acceso a cuentas

Joel Redmond, Managing Director of Business Advisory Services at Key Private Bank, joins the podcast this week to provide some insights and advice for business owners. He also addresses recent legislation changes that might affect capital gains tax exclusions for certain C corporations. Brian and George break down the news and numbers of the week and discuss the overarching risk appetite of the economy, as evidenced by pockets of concentrated investment in certain sectors like AI. We also touch on the Federal Reserve, equities and fixed income, and the importance of a diversified portfolio. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerJoel Redmond, Managing Director of Business Advisory Services 02:10 – The initial unemployment claims, GDP, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation data all showed the economy remains in a relatively strong position, with consumer spending being a key driver.06:00 –the concentration of growth in certain areas, such as AI, raises concerns about the economy's risk profile.09:16 – The economic data suggests the Federal Reserve may only implement one more interest rate cut this year, rather than the multiple cuts some had expected.11:27 – For business owners, especially in the lower middle-market range, the podcast highlights the importance of knowing the value of their business, having proper legal and organizational documentation in order, and having access to expert legal counsel when preparing for a business transition or sale.18:15 – The podcast also discusses a tax provision, Section 1202 of the tax code, that provides significant capital gains tax exclusions for owners of qualified small business stock, which was expanded under the recent "One Big Beautiful Bill" legislation. Additional ResourcesRead: Key Questions: How Does the Push to Digitize All Federal Payments To and From the Federal Government Impact You? Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn 

Un shutdown de l'administration, plus de chiffres de l'emploi, plus d'inflation officielle, plus rien pour guider les marchés. Juste du bruit, des tweets et des traders qui s'ennuient. Autrement dit : cocktail explosif pour Wall Street. Dans cette vidéo, on décrypte :

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureTrump is imposing tariffs on the rest of countries to bring manufactures back to this the US. The US economy is growing the Fed is going to try to stop the growth by pushing back on the rate cut. The Fed inflation detector shows no sign of runaway inflation. Trump is now pushing the narrative to fire Powell, leverage is the name of the game. The [DS] is panicking, Trump and team are now indicting those who are treasonous to this country. The started out with the lying, he is testing the waters, testing the judges building the narrative for the people of this country. The [DS] players are pushing back by using Antifa. These will intensify over time and Trump will counter the insurgency/insurrection with the military. The military is the only way, buckle up.   Economy (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");  Trump Imposes 25% Tariff On Imported Heavy Trucks Starting Oct. 1 Deborah Elms of the Hinrich Foundation said the sweeping tariffs leave major questions unanswered, including whether they comply with existing trade agreements, but predicted they would “almost certainly drive up prices for American buyers.” Source: zerohedge.com Mexico is the largest supplier of medium- and heavy-duty trucks to the U.S., followed by Canada, Japan, Germany, and Turkey. Heavy-truck shipments from U.S. plants climbed from a low of $1.1 billion in April 2020 to $3.2 billion this July, though they have dipped modestly this year, Federal Reserve data shows.   Fed cautious on rate cuts as GDP surges; warns of potential inflation risks Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stressed that the central bank will weigh the GDP numbers carefully as it considers future rate cuts. “If we ease too aggressively, we could leave the inflation job unfinished and need to reverse course later,” Powell said. Source:  13wham.com  Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Shows No Sign Of Runaway Tariff Costs, As Savings Rate Slides  After a modest increase two months ago, and a steady print in July, analysts expected headline PCE to be steady at +2.6% YoY in August and Core PCE - the Fed's favorite indicator - to also be unchanged at 2.9% YoY... and the numbers all came in right in line with expectations. Indeed, "as expected" is the them of this morning's data with headline and Core PCE both matching expectations and staying in the same range they have been in for two years... not exactly the Trump Tariff terror future that every "respected" economist predicted. All those expecting a bounce in Durable Goods inflation will have to wait another month: in August it actually declined again, as did Nondurable Goods, while Services costs increased the most.  On the income side, there was more good news: after outpacing the private sector for nearly three years, wage growth of private workers (5.0% YoY) is once again rising faster than government workers. In fact, government worker wage growth of 4.2% was the lowest since August 2021.   Source: zerohedge.com    Political/Rights BREAKING: Sinclair Caves, Will Bring Jimmy Kimmel's Show Back 

In this episode, Scott Becker discusses the latest PCE report showing inflation at 2.7% for August and why it matters to the Fed's interest rate decisions.

Ben and Tom discuss this morning's PCE data, GDP revision, and more Fed talk. Song: Good Vibrations - The Beach BoysFor information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit:https://www.narwhal.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

The Chrisman Commentary Daily Mortgage News Podcast delivers timely insights for mortgage lenders, loan officers, capital markets professionals, and anyone curious about the mortgage and housing industry. Hosted by industry expert Robbie Chrisman, each weekday episode breaks down mortgage rates, lending news, housing market trends, capital markets activity, and regulatory updates with insightful analysis, expert perspectives, and conversations with top professionals from across the mortgage industry. Stay informed, gain actionable insights, and keep up with developments in mortgage banking and housing finance. Learn more at www.chrismancommentary.com.In today's episode, we go through the latest tariff news and other government happenings as they pertain to the mortgage industry. Plus, Robbie sits down with Angel Oak's Tom Hutchens for a discussion on the impact of the Fed's rate cuts on mortgage activity and the potential for increased demand for non-QM products like HELOCs. And today brings the latest inflation reading in the form of Fed-favorite PCE.This week's podcasts are sponsored by BeSmartee, the most innovative mortgage technology platform for banks, credit unions, and non-bank mortgage lenders. 

S&P Futures are flat this morning as markets brace for the latest inflation data with the PCE report on deck before the opening bell. President Trump ramps up trade tensions, announcing new tariffs on pharmaceutical companies and big-truck makers—set to take effect October 1st—while carving out exemptions for companies building U.S. facilities. We break down how the White House is pivoting to Section 232 tariffs, the latest on TikTok negotiations, and the looming risk of a government shutdown as the September 30th deadline approaches. Plus, earnings movers include COST & CNXC, with big names like NKE, PAYX, CAG, and LEVI on tap next week.

The crypto market lost $300 billion this week as Ether fell 12% and Bitcoin dropped 5%. Over $3 billion in long positions were liquidated, with futures markets showing major stress.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/coinbasePBN00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Coinbase00:30 USDC Lending on Coinbase01:00 PCE inflation01:40 Polymarket rate cut odds02:00 Dollar jumps02:30 Bloomberg: Dollar bounce impact04:10 Mark Newton on PCE & Government Shutdown05:00 Government Shutdown odds05:15 Shutdown historical performance06:00 Mark Newton: too early to call a top07:45 More to go08:20 Fear and greed reset09:10 BTC $100K incoming?10:30 ETFs take a hit11:15 Silver breakout12:30 Tether funding round potential13:25 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Weekend Rally?

John Blank and Erin McLaughlin discuss the PCE inflation report. Erin thinks that tariffs have taken longer to hit than anyone thought and expects more impacts into next year, particularly as Trump announces a series of new ones. John discusses how the Fed has not been able to manage both of its mandates in the last few years, and says we're headed for a 5%+ unemployment rate next year.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Ben Emons breaks down the August PCE report and analyzes the Fed's rate cut path from here. Ben explains how financial markets add to PCE and why he expects two cuts. He thinks that markets could continue to make new highs but points to froth that is disrupting clarity. Right now, he's watching regional banks.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

An in-line PCE print is good for the big picture of markets, says Charles Schwab's Collin Martin. However, he says the "engine" of the economy still needs more juice before he raises a green flag for growth.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Rebecca Walser says there's "nothing in the data" from Friday's PCE suggesting that Fed Chair Jerome Powell needs to lean more dovish but adds that interest rate cuts are still on the table for the rest of the year. However, she highlights headwinds ahead for the FOMC as economic uncertainty persists. As for the A.I. narrative, Rebecca talks about how monetization is just starting to take shape and how investors need to stay alert to constant changes in the A.I. trade.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Kevin Hincks takes a closer look at the vastly in-line PCE report that shows progress against the inflation fight. He also touches on the latest tariffs from the Trump administration and the role national security plays in the big picture.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

PCE index increased 2.7% last month. Does that mean consumer confidence is going up? 

En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily Valentina Orduz y Andre Dos Santos analizan el regreso de los aranceles impulsados por la administración Trump, incluyendo medidas en camiones pesados, farmacéuticos y muebles, y lo que esto significa para la inflación, la inversión y la competitividad de las empresas en EE. UU.Luego, revisaron los datos más recientes de la economía como ingresos personales, gasto del consumidor y el índice PCE, la métrica favorita de la Reserva Federal para medir la inflación. Finalmente, entraron en los resultados de Costco, que muestran la fortaleza y a la vez la selectividad del consumidor estadounidense, y se cierra el episodio con un repaso de las acciones del S&P 500 que más se han movido en lo que va del año, destacando a los grandes ganadores y perdedores del mercado.

In this episode, Scott Becker discusses the latest PCE report showing inflation at 2.7% for August and why it matters to the Fed's interest rate decisions.

US President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Pharmaceuticals, 50% tariffs on all Kitchen Cabinets, Bathroom Vanities, and associated products, a 30% tariff on Upholstered Furniture, and a 25% tariff will be imposed on all “Heavy Trucks” made in other parts of the world.European bourses seemingly shrug off Trump's latest barrage of tariffs; US equity futures trade tentatively into US PCE.USD rally pauses for breath ahead of PCE; EUR unmoved by ECB Survey of Consumer Expectations, which saw the 1- and 5-year forecasts rise.Crude is slightly lower in very quiet trade, XAU/USTs are rangebound awaiting data.Looking ahead, US PCE (Aug), US University of Michigan Final (Sep), Fed's Barkin, Bowman.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Los mercados están atentos al dato de precios PCE subyacente; Trump anuncia arancel del 100% a los medicamentos importados; polémica por la valuación de TikTok en EE.UU.; Tesoro de Argentina sale a comprar dólares; Michael O’Boyle, periodista de Bloomberg en Ciudad de México, comenta la venta de una participación del 25% en el banco Banamex al empresario local Fernando Chico Pardo. Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo Thomson y Paola Vega TorreSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US equity futures are slightly higher. Asia mostly advanced, and European equity opened little lower. Fed commentary continued to temper expectations for near-term rate cuts; Market focus remains on Friday's core PCE release and potential month-end rebalancing, with Goldman projecting $22B in US pension selling pressure; In other trade news, US-China tech and trade tensions persisted, with Washington launching new S.232 tariff probes into robotics, industrial machinery and medical equipment, and Reuters sources noted G7 and EU weighing rare earths price floors, as well as a tariff on Chinese rare earths imports, in bid to reduce reliance on China. Reports of upcoming US-China technical trade talks next Thursday and executive order on TikTok deal may be signed.Companies Mentioned: Anglogold Ashanti, TechnoPro Holdings, Blackstone, Federal Signal

Dan Deming expects August's PCE report to come in line with expectations, but warns that the full impact of tariffs on inflation may not yet be priced in. He notes that today's corporate profit data was a miss, but the consumer remains strong, with spending up 2.5% for the quarter. Deming also discusses the moves in the commodity space, particularly in gold and silver, which he believes could be a "canary in the coal mine" for potential market disruption.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

US indices closed lower yesterday, despite good performance by some individual names, notably Intel, which rallied 6.4% after reports of a possible investment by Apple. President Trump's announcements regarding Ukraine boosted defence stocks globally and semiconductor stocks powered the Asian indices. Today's US jobless claims and tomorrow's release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index will now be closely monitored for signs of the Fed's intentions. With gold and silver continuing to rally, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides some insights into why the inflows are continuing at such a strong pace, as he unpicks central bank and investor demand.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks pulled back Tuesday as Fed Chair Powell warned about inflation risks and stretched valuations. Investors now look to Friday's PCE report for the next big signal.➡️ Just a quick reminder, Capital Markets Quickie is brought to you by AMF Capital AG, Asset Management Frankfurt, your leading provider for individual investment solutions and mutual funds. Visit https://www.amf-capital.de for more information.>>> Make sure to check out my newsletter "Cela's Weekly Insights":https://endritcela.com/newsletter/>>> You can subscribe here to our YouTube Channel “MVP – Main Value Partners”:https://www.youtube.com/@MainValue>>> Visit my website for more information:http://www.endritcela.com>>> Follow me on LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/>>> Follow me on Instagram:https://www.instagram.com/endritcela_official/Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak for the first time since the FOMC lowered interest rates last week. Kevin Hincks says it's not just the chair you should listen to. He points to commentary from other Fed governors signaling mixed opinions on how deep the FOMC should cut rates into 2026. Friday's PCE print will add more color to the inflation picture, as Kevin previews expectations for the print.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Summary del Show: • Futuros planos en Wall Street tras nuevos récords y la inversión de $NVDA en OpenAI, con foco en Powell y PCE. • Rocket Lab $RKLB entregó dos naves para misión de la NASA a Marte, logrando récord en tiempos de desarrollo. • Alibaba $BABA presentó Qwen3-Omni, modelo de IA multimodal open source que compite con $GOOG y $MSFT. • EE. UU. y China negocian un pedido de hasta 500 aviones Boeing $BA, el mayor desde 2017.

A speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell tomorrow on the economic outlook and Friday's PCE price data are highlights ahead. Micron and Costco both report in coming days.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0130-0925) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Kevin Green urges investors to watch any and all inflation and labor commentary throughout the week into Friday's PCE print. He expects data and comments from Fed speakers to drive market moves. With Costco (COST) reporting earnings, Kevin turns to technicals in the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) as it faces a breakdown following a bear cross. He later shows how silver is gearing up for a record run.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Tech sector companies are eyeing the visa updates over the weekend, as the Trump admin. is looking to apply a $100K fee for H-1B Visa affecting skilled workers. Kevin Green and Diane King Hall break down the move and whether or not it will legally be upheld. Elsewhere, they look at the premarket pop in Fox Corp. (FOXA) as shares rise in connection to reports of the Murdoch family entering a U.S. TikTok deal with Larry Ellison and Michael Dell. Later, KG previews the week ahead noting Fed speakers and PCE data will be center focus.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

En la segunda hora de Capital Intereconomía celebramos la Tertulia de Mercados con Ricardo Comín (Vontobel), Sébastien Senegas (Edmond de Rothschild AM), Álvaro Antón (Aberdeen) y Patricia Molpeceres (AllianceBernstein). Analizamos el PCE en EE.UU., la influencia de los aranceles en la inflación, la liquidez que impulsa a las bolsas y el papel del empleo en la economía americana. También debatimos sobre la situación de la renta fija ante la crisis política en Francia, la estrategia de los ahorradores españoles y compartimos ideas de inversión. Además, en la preapertura de los mercados, Alexis Ortega (EAE Business School) ofrece su visión de la jornada bursátil.

En la primera hora de Capital Intereconomía repasamos las claves del día y la evolución de los mercados en Asia, Wall Street y Europa. El análisis de Eduardo Bolinches (Invertia) pone el foco en bolsas, bonos y dólar, la comparecencia de Powell, el PCE en EE.UU. y el futuro de la OPA del BBVA sobre Sabadell. Además, repasamos la prensa económica, nacional e internacional y conversamos con José Luís Orella, profesor de Historia Contemporánea de la CEU San Pablo, sobre la guerra diplomática por Palestina en la ONU, el reconocimiento del Estado palestino por parte de Reino Unido, Canadá y Australia, y la nueva tasa de visados de Trump a Google y Amazon.

La atención de esta semana en las Bolsas se centra especialmente en la comparecencia del presidente de la Reserva Federal, Jerome Powell, este martes en un simposio económico tras la reciente bajada de tipos. A esto se suman datos clave como el PCE deflactor en EEUU, las cifras de PIB en España y EEUU, y los PMI adelantados de septiembre. En el plano corporativo, el mercado estará atento a los resultados de empresas como AutoZone, Micron Technology, H&M, JD Sports, Costco o Grenergy. Iberdrola presentará su nuevo plan estratégico, mientras que BBVA tiene que decidir su mejora o no su OPA sobre Banco Sabadell. En la tertulia de mercados de Capital Intereconomía, Ricardo Comín (Vontobel), Sébastien Senegas (Edmond de Rothschild AM), Álvaro Antón (Aberdeen) y Patricia Molpeceres (AllianceBernstein) analizan las claves de la semana, si es la liquidez lo que realmente impulsa a las Bolsas, y algunos factores de riesgo como el impacto de la crisis política en Francia o la incertidumbre en torno al empleo en EEUU.

週一天下零時差關注以下財經大事： 一、勞動部本週召開最低工資審議會，明年薪水會漲多少？ 二、經濟部公布8月台灣外銷訂單，將反映美國對等關稅衝擊有多大。 三、美國聯準會年底前還會降息幾次，本週通膨數據告訴你。 文：蔡娪嫣、伍芬婕 製作團隊：樂祈 ＊閱讀零時差，點這看全文

Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist at the NYSE, recaps a week where the Fed cut rates 25 basis points, lifting markets to record highs. U.S.-China talks, including a framework for a TikTok deal, eased tensions and supported global indices. Strong retail sales added momentum, though not inflation adjusted. Small caps outperformed following the Fed's move. Reinking flags the Trump-Xi call, triple-witching, and PMI and PCE data as next week's key drivers.

Nuclear energy stocks were among some of the top performing stocks on Friday, something that caught the eye of Marley Kayden. Meanwhile, Sam Vadas recounts the developments from President Trump and Xi Jinping's TikTok talks. Headed into next week, Marley is looking to the PCE data out on Friday and explains why it's the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. And, Sam's watching Micron (MU) as the company reports earnings.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Joaquín Robles, responsable de ventas de Banco BiG, nos hablará del nuevo Gran Depósito de 1 mes al 4%. Además, analizará el comportamiento que tiene este sobre el mercado, y comentará algunos productos de la entidad. “La rentabilidad se va a mantener e incluso bajar durante los próximos meses”, asegura el invitado. Además señala que en Europa “nos estamos acostumbrando a la actuación del BCE” y que “empezamos una nueva bajada de tipos en Estados Unidos”. ¿Qué es lo que diferencia a la compañía de otras entidades? “Tenemos opciones muy atractivas, nosotros estamos ofreciendo un depósito a un mes, hasta 50000 euros al 4%”, asegura Joaquín Robles. ¿Qué ofrecen estos depósitos al inversor? El responsable de ventas de Banco BiG nos comenta que “siguen ofreciendo a ese inversor más conservador una rentabilidad que puede llegar a superar la inflación que está en el 2,7%”. Además, señala que estos productos son “una manera de que el inversor conozca la empresa y conozca los servicios”. También apunta que los clientes “pueden contratar depósitos combinados ya que combinan una parte de ahorro con una rentabilidad que supera el 3%, con una parte de inversión”. Joaquín Robes asegura que “invertir ya no es una opción, es una obligación y nos encaminamos de nuevo a otro periodo donde los tipos van a estar muy bajos y seguramente no sea suficiente para cubrir esa inflación. ¿Qué diferencias hay entre un depósito y un fondo monetario? El invitado señala que “un depósito suele estar referenciado a una tasa de depósito, las diferencias pueden estar en la flexibilidad ya que cuando haces un depósito tienes que esperar al vencimiento”. Con él también analizamos el dato deflactor PCE, del cual asegura que “sigue viendo optimismo en los mercados, con máximos en Wall Street y con máximos en Europa”.

Should you invest actively or stick with indexing? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five different strategies investors use to build wealth, reduce risk, and stay ahead of the market. From active stock picking to index fund simplicity, we'll explore the pros, cons, and real-world applications of each approach so you can better understand how they fit into your financial plan.

Should you invest actively or stick with indexing?  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five different strategies investors use to build wealth, reduce risk, and stay ahead of the market. From active stock picking to index fund simplicity, we'll explore the pros, cons, and real-world applications of each approach so you can better understand how they fit into your financial plan.

The jobs market isn't just about employment—it's a leading signal for corporate earnings. In this episode, we explore how recent employment data revisions and slowing job growth are flashing caution for corporate profits. Here's what you'll learn: Why employment trends often lead earnings results How slowing payroll growth may impact revenue and margins Key sectors most at risk from weaker labor demand What this signal could mean for the stock market outlook Portfolio considerations as corporate profits face pressure Understanding the link between the labor market and earnings is critical for investors positioning ahead of the next quarter. SEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy Back Window Shuts SEG-1b: Market Movement Muted SEG-2a: Tesla Shares & Elon's Compensation SEG-2b: The S&P 493 SEG-2c: Bond Yield Behavior SEG-2d: Overall Bullish Backdrop is not at Risk SEG-2e: The Only Thing that Matters (Forward Earnings) SEG-2f: What Wall St. is Expecting in 2026 SEG-2g: The Problem w Wall Street's Forecasts SEG-2h: The Most Important Indicator to Watch SEG-2i: PCE, CPI, & % of Full Time Workers SEG-2j: Why the Fed is Behind the Curve SEG-2k: Market Earnings Growth By Sector comparison SEG-2l: Why Watt St. Exuberance is at Odds w Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All Time Highs on Muted Moves," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Essential Hierarchy of Money Goals ," is here: https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketComplacency #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AllTimeHigh #WallOfWorry #20DMA #CorporateEarnings #JobsReport #StockMarketOutlook #RecessionRisk #MarketAnalysis #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The jobs market isn't just about employment—it's a leading signal for corporate earnings. In this episode, we explore how recent employment data revisions and slowing job growth are flashing caution for corporate profits. Here's what you'll learn: Why employment trends often lead earnings results How slowing payroll growth may impact revenue and margins Key sectors most at risk from weaker labor demand What this signal could mean for the stock market outlook Portfolio considerations as corporate profits face pressure Understanding the link between the labor market and earnings is critical for investors positioning ahead of the next quarter. SEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy Back Window Shuts SEG-1b: Market Movement Muted SEG-2a: Tesla Shares & Elon's Compensation SEG-2b: The S&P 493 SEG-2c: Bond Yield Behavior SEG-2d: Overall Bullish Backdrop  is not at Risk SEG-2e: The Only Thing that Matters (Forward Earnings) SEG-2f: What Wall St. is Expecting in 2026 SEG-2g: The Problem w Wall Street's Forecasts SEG-2h: The Most Important Indicator to Watch SEG-2i: PCE, CPI, & % of Full Time Workers SEG-2j: Why the Fed is Behind the Curve SEG-2k: Market Earnings Growth By Sector comparison SEG-2l: Why Watt St. Exuberance is at Odds w Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All Time Highs on Muted Moves," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Essential Hierarchy of Money Goals ," is here: https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketComplacency #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AllTimeHigh #WallOfWorry #20DMA #CorporateEarnings #JobsReport #StockMarketOutlook #RecessionRisk #MarketAnalysis #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe entire green new scam has failed, take Spain for instance the grid cannot function correctly with wind and solar power. The Fed is screwed no matter what they do, if they drop the rates Trump is right, if they keep the rates the same and the economy degrades, Trump was right again. The [DS]/Obama are trying to start a civil/race war. Obama set the narrative. The evidence is pointing to a professional who has had training or an individual who trained just for this moment. This was planned to assassinate Charlie and not a mass shooting. The [DS] wants the conservative agree. The rifle that was left behind just so happen to say trans life matter. This divide and cause anger. This is the shot heard around the world. United we are stronger not divided.   Economy Spain's Power Grid In One Chart: Net Zero Drive Pushes Economy Toward Paralysis Days before the media celebrated Spain's first full weekday powered entirely by renewables in late April, the unthinkable happened: the grid collapsed, triggering a nationwide blackout. The incident served as a stark reminder to other Western nations, including 'America First' folks, that overreliance on intermittent sources, such as solar and wind, creates not just grid fragility but also a national security risk. A new report from El País, citing data from the Association of Electric Power Companies (Aelec), based on data published by Iberdrola, Endesa, Naturgy, and EDP, warned that Spain's peninsular power grid is severely overstretched and unable to absorb additional demand. In fact, most of the country's electricity hubs have already reached their limits. Aelec data showed that 83.4% of all these power nodes in the Spanish grid are at full capacity and can no longer accept new connections. Most regions in Spain have limited spare grid capacity to accommodate new energy demand without compromising the system's stability.   The problem of grid capacity shortages arises as Europe's overreliance on intermittent sources, such as wind and solar, has left the continent's energy grid vulnerable. Source: zerohedge.com (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966123629256609899 The Federal Reserve primarily uses the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index as its key inflation indicator when deciding whether to raise or lower interest rates, with a target of 2% annual inflation over the longer run. This measure is preferred over alternatives like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) because it provides a broader view of household spending patterns and accounts for changes in consumer behavior, such as substituting goods when prices rise. For policy decisions, the Fed often emphasizes the core PCE index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices to better gauge underlying inflation trends While the Fed monitors other indicators like CPI for a fuller picture, PCE remains the benchmark guiding rate adjustments Political/Rights   https://twitter.com/TheStormRedux/status/1966120051272036814  … It's not just coming from one side.” Absolute bullshit. A). January 6th was a fake setup by the Democrats and Americans were protesting a stole...

Core inflation rose to 2.9% in July, according to the latest PCE data — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — marking its highest level in months. But despite stubborn inflation and falling consumer confidence, consumer spending continues to climb. Courtenay Brown at Axios and Jordyn Holman at The New York Times join "Marketplace" host Amy Scott to talk about the latest inflation numbers, and the court battle brewing between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Also in this episode: the economics of uncertainty, why job-hopping may no longer lead to bigger paychecks, and how "buy now, pay later" is being rebranded to target women.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Bob is the created and owner of Trade Genius Academy. Bob also does a podcast on YouTube which is called Trade Genius. Bob begins the conversation talking  about how Germany appears to be in a recession, with its economy contracting by 0.3% in the second quarter amid slowed exports due to U.S. tariffs and rising unemployment above 3 million, while forecasts predict stagnation or zero growth for the year, marking a prolonged period of economic inactivity. This downturn could potentially spread to other EU nations, as Germany's role as an economic anchor contributes to deteriorating Eurozone sentiment and slower projected growth of around 1.1% for the EU and 0.9% for the euro area, though analysts suggest the bloc may avoid a full recession despite trade uncertainties and fiscal tightening. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fallen about 1.9% in the past 24 hours to around $111,119, driven by a massive whale dump of 24,000 BTC, a $13.8 billion options expiry, Binance Futures going offline, and broader bearish technical indicators following its peak at $124,436 earlier in the month. Gold prices are also slightly down today, with spot prices at $3,410 per ounce (a 0.15% dip) amid a firmer dollar and anticipation of U.S. PCE inflation data, though the metal is on track for a monthly gain supported by expectations of Federal Reserve actions; potential longer-term declines could stem from cooling inflation, reduced geopolitical tensions, and lower investor demand. Market expectations are high for the Fed to cut interest rates in September, with odds at over 90% for a 25-basis-point reduction as signaled by Chair Powell and Governor Waller, amid sputtering job growth and a focus on labor market risks. If the Fed proceeds with the cut, it could stimulate economic growth by lowering borrowing costs, encouraging business investment, hiring, and consumer spending, while easing pressures on mortgages and auto loans, though excessive cuts risk reigniting inflation and eroding purchasing power. Conversely, if the Fed holds off, it might help contain inflation but could slow the economy further by maintaining high financing costs, potentially leading to reduced business expansion, higher unemployment, and subdued growth, with risks of market turmoil if perceived as too hawkish.