Know Your Risk Radio with Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer, Bulwark Capital Management

July 20, 2026 – Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss one of the biggest disconnects in today's markets: why oil prices remain remarkably calm despite escalating conflict around the Strait of Hormuz. They also break down Tesla's earnings, why markets continue rewarding risk, China's surprising resilience, and what investors should watch if geopolitical risks begin colliding with economic fundamentals.Register Here for Zach's upcoming "Market Blind Spots" Webinar – July 23rd at 3:30pm PST:KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 17, 2026 – Chase Taylor breaks down another rise in oil prices as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted and the risk of disruption spreads toward the Red Sea. The market appears to assume the United States can de-escalate whenever it chooses—but what happens if Iran decides not to stop? Chase examines the low-probability, high-impact scenario that could send oil sharply higher, along with China's latest AI breakthrough, weakness in the biggest technology names, a potential turnaround in New Zealand, and why modern warfare is exposing serious flaws in America's defense strategy.Register Here for Zach's upcoming "Market Blind Spots" Webinar – July 23rd at 3:30pm PST: KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 16, 2026 - Markets are pricing the war as though the biggest energy risk is simply whether the Strait of Hormuz opens or closes. Chase Taylor argues that the more dangerous scenario may be lasting damage to refineries, pipelines, export terminals, and other infrastructure that cannot reopen overnight. With semiconductor and memory stocks already experiencing violent drawdowns, leverage is beginning to reveal itself in unexpected places. A sudden energy shock could expose even more of it—spilling into equities, bonds, currencies, inflation, and consumer spending. The question is not whether the worst-case scenario is inevitable. It is whether portfolios are prepared for a risk that markets appear to be treating as though it barely exists.Register Here for Zach's upcoming “Market Blind Spots” Webinar — July 23 at 3:30 PM PST:KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 15, 2026 — Is today's market another dot-com bubble, or is something fundamentally different this time? Zach argues that while parts of the market are clearly overheated, many of the underlying businesses are real—and that distinction matters. He explains why volatility may be the price investors pay for long-term opportunity, why relative valuations still matter, and where he believes investors should be looking despite the noise.Register Here for Zach's upcoming "Market Blind Spots" Webinar – July 23rd at 3:30 PM PST:KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 14, 2026 - A cooler inflation report gave markets another reason to celebrate—but does it actually solve the bigger problem? Zach and Chase dig into why lower inflation, rising oil prices, housing affordability, tariffs, and Federal Reserve policy may all be pulling in different directions. More importantly, they explore the uncomfortable tradeoffs policymakers face when trying to fix an economy distorted by years of easy money. The conversation ends with a provocative question: What if the solution everyone wants isn't actually the solution the economy needs?

July 13, 2026 - When geopolitical tensions rise, investors instinctively expect one thing: higher oil prices and market turmoil. But markets don't always follow the obvious script. Zach and Chase break down why the latest Middle East developments haven't produced the lasting shock many expected. From the Strait of Hormuz and global energy flows to liquidity, inflation, and market psychology, they explore why markets often price fear differently than headlines suggest.

July 10, 2026 - Markets closed the week with another quiet session, but Chase Taylor argues that the more interesting story isn't what stocks did today—it's how persistent inflation continues to reshape everyday decisions. From AI spending and Meta's capital allocation to an unexpected observation about RVs, Chase explores how people adapt when higher prices become the new normal. Those behavioral shifts may create investment opportunities in places most investors aren't even looking.

July 9, 2026 – AI investment continues to accelerate, but the cost of competing may be rising faster than investors realize. Chase explains why massive AI capital spending is putting pressure on corporate balance sheets, why Oracle's credit downgrade matters, how new equity issuance could affect markets, and what investors should watch next.

July 8, 2026 – Oil is moving again, but Chase explains why crude prices may still be the wrong thing to watch. With gasoline and diesel prices remaining elevated, crack spreads surging, and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz escalating, the bigger macro risk may be showing up in the products consumers actually use—not the oil headline investors are watching.

July 7, 2026 – Chase breaks down why he believes Wall Street may be getting one of the market's biggest stories wrong. He explains why SpaceX's valuation could face much tougher challenges than investors expect, discusses rising oil prices and the geopolitical risks surrounding global energy markets, and examines China's growing push to build a fully integrated AI ecosystem.

July 6, 2026 – Chase breaks down today's market rally, why the leadership underneath the surface may be more important than the headlines, what Rivian's surprise capital raise could mean for investors, and why software, global markets, and select sectors continue to stand out despite a quiet week for economic data.

July 2, 2026 – The AI story is evolving. Chase explains why the next phase won't be about building the biggest models, but about making AI cheaper, more practical, and commercially viable. He also covers today's market action, software versus semiconductors, Tesla's selloff, and where investors may be rotating next.

July 1, 2026 – You don't have to agree with someone 100% to support them. In this episode, Zach explains why he believes one of the biggest mistakes in today's energy debate is blaming the wrong people for high gasoline prices. He and Chase break down refining capacity, crack spreads, AI infrastructure, Meta's excess compute, and why following the evidence matters more than defending a narrative.

June 30, 2026 – Oil prices have fallen, but gasoline and refined product prices are telling a different story. Chase explains why the market may be focusing too much on crude oil and not enough on refining capacity, crack spreads, China's role in global product supply, and why lower oil prices may not be enough to bring inflation pressure down for consumers.

June 29, 2026 – Stocks are rallying, oil is falling, and investors are celebrating another ceasefire. But what if the market isn't responding to fundamentals at all? Zach and Chase discuss why today's price action may be driven more by positioning and capital flows than underlying economic reality, why traditional price discovery feels absent, and what that means for investors trying to separate headlines from long-term fundamentals.Do you know how much risk your portfolio is exposed to? How are you positioned for the future? Get all the information you need by getting a free Know Your Risk portfolio review with Bulwark today.Learn more: https://bulwarkcapitalmgmt.com/Listen to Know Your Risk Podcast wherever you get your podcasts.Find Zach on X: https://x.com/KYRRadioFollow on Instagram and TikTok: @KnowYourRiskPodcast

June 26, 2026 – Zach and Chase are joined by Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, for a wide-ranging conversation on the forces shaping the global economy. Brent explains why the U.S. dollar may remain stronger than many investors expect, how AI and capital spending are changing markets, and why today's macro environment demands patience more than prediction. If you want a deeper understanding of currencies, liquidity, and where the global economy could be headed next, this is an episode you won't want to miss.

June 25, 2026 - AI investment continues at a historic pace, but the biggest question isn't whether the technology works—it's whether anyone will pay for it. Zach and Chase discuss the growing disconnect between AI spending and consumer adoption, why memory prices and infrastructure costs are rising, and what happens when markets price in perfection long before the business model is proven.

June 24, 2026 - The war happened. The oil was lost. And yet the market is acting as if none of it ever occurred. Zach and Chase conduct a rare real-time postmortem on one of their biggest macro trades, discussing what they got wrong, what they got right, and why price action can sometimes move far away from underlying fundamentals. They explore oil markets, trader positioning, risk management, peace-deal expectations, and the lessons investors should take away when markets refuse to behave the way the data says they should.

June 23, 2026 - AI stocks are rolling over, the dollar is surging, gold is breaking down, and even SpaceX is struggling to hold its IPO price. Zach and Chase discuss why markets may be facing a growing liquidity problem, what the selloff in semiconductors could be signaling, and why some of the most crowded trades of the past year suddenly look vulnerable.

June 22, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the dramatic collapse in SpaceX shares, why valuation still matters, and how this market cycle may have conditioned investors to ignore risk. They break down IPO speculation, AI-era valuations, bond yields, Mag 7 weakness, global markets, and why some of today's most popular investment narratives could be teaching exactly the wrong lessons.

June 18, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down another rally toward all-time highs, the continued collapse in oil prices, SpaceX's post-IPO volatility, AI-driven market leadership, and why the current market may be ignoring the very fundamentals it claims to care about. They discuss Trump's comments on oil supply, inventory draws, China's demand slowdown, Intel's surprising rally, and the growing disconnect between price action and economic reality.

June 17, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down Kevin Warsh's first day as Fed Chair, the sharp move in bond yields, and what a less predictable Federal Reserve could mean for investors. They discuss forward guidance, market volatility, wealth inequality, AI's long-term economic impact, oil markets, and why some of the biggest opportunities often emerge when markets are forced to stand on their own.

June 16, 2026 - Zach and Chase react to the newly announced Middle East deal, the collapse in oil prices, and why the market may be celebrating too quickly. They discuss the reopening of global energy flows, record inventory draws, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the SpaceX IPO, equity supply hitting the market, and why physical supply-and-demand dynamics may ultimately matter more than the headlines.

June 15, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down the newly announced Middle East deal, what sanctions relief could mean for Iran, and why the market's reaction may not match the underlying oil math. They discuss inventory losses, the true cost of reopening the Strait, inflation risks, SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, record equity issuance, and why a growing wall of stock supply could become a major headwind for markets.

June 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase tackle one of the most difficult questions in economics: how do you address growing debt, deficits, and wealth concentration without breaking the incentives that drive growth and innovation? They discuss wealth taxes, unrealized gains, capital formation, government spending, political dysfunction, and why both parties may be structurally incapable of solving America's long-term fiscal challenges. They also explore what a real solution might require—and why the stakes are far bigger than politics.

June 11, 2026 - Chase discusses the latest “imminent” peace deal headlines, why oil markets may still need proof before accepting the Strait is truly reopening, and how much damage may already be baked into global inventories. He also breaks down PPI, Fed rate-hike pressure, long-end Treasury weakness, equity issuance from major tech names, and why even a real deal may not quickly erase the supply problem facing oil markets.

June 10, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why this market feels increasingly disconnected from fundamentals, and why investors are being forced to react to headlines instead of underlying reality. They break down the latest inflation data, the ongoing Middle East conflict, oil inventories, market psychology, SpaceX valuations, and why so much of today's price action seems to hinge on social media narratives and geopolitical speculation rather than hard data. They also discuss what the next few weeks could reveal about both diplomacy and energy markets.

June 9, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss one of the strangest market environments they've ever seen, with major indexes swinging wildly despite limited news flow. They break down the latest developments in oil, global inventories, AI spending, SpaceX-related speculation, Nvidia demand, market liquidity, and why the next wave of IPO enthusiasm could tell investors more about market psychology than fundamentals. They also discuss inflation risks, inventory shortages, and why price action may be sending mixed signals across multiple asset classes.

June 8, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why investors may be misreading the current environment as risk appetite returns across markets. They break down the growing excitement surrounding a potential SpaceX IPO, why speculative behavior appears to be resurfacing, and what it says about investor psychology. The conversation also covers Bitcoin, AI spending, inflation, energy markets, demographic shifts, Washington state tax policy, and why the Strait of Hormuz situation may still be the most important unresolved story in global markets.

June 5, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss a sharp market reversal, why some of the highest-flying speculative trades are suddenly under pressure, and what investors can learn when sentiment changes direction. They break down the selloff in tech, the risks embedded in AI-related valuations, the SpaceX IPO frenzy, Bitcoin-linked speculation, retirement-flow dynamics, and why market leadership may be starting to rotate. They also explore the difference between great businesses and great investments, and why price still matters no matter how compelling the story sounds.

June 4, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss a potential hidden dynamic behind the oil market's resilience, why China's buying strike may be more important than most investors realize, and whether a broader geopolitical detente could be influencing events behind the scenes. They also examine Taiwan, shifting U.S.-China relations, global energy flows, and why the physical realities of the oil market continue to clash with prevailing narratives. Along the way, they explore how incentives, diplomacy, and market psychology can sometimes matter as much as the headlines themselves.

June 3, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the growing incentives problem across financial media, why credibility is becoming increasingly valuable in a world driven by algorithms, and how investors can separate signal from engagement farming. They also break down the latest action in oil, AI speculation, SpaceX's eye-popping valuation, passive flows, retirement demographics, equity supply dynamics, and why several of the conditions historically associated with market bubbles are now appearing simultaneously. Finally, they revisit the Strait situation, China's role in global oil markets, and why the underlying math continues to matter more than the headlines.

June 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why they believe oil markets remain disconnected from physical reality despite three months of disruption in the Strait. They break down the growing gap between price action and fundamentals, why traders continue waiting on an "all clear" signal, the latest developments in the Middle East, concerns about liquidity beneath the surface of the market, Bitcoin's recent breakdown, Mag 7 equity issuance, AI-driven speculation, and why several asset classes may be sending a very different message than headline indexes suggest.

June 1, 2026 - Chase discusses why the oil market may still be dramatically underestimating the consequences of a three-month Strait closure. Despite a surge in crude prices, improving risk sentiment, and renewed optimism around negotiations, global inventories continue to tighten while critical questions remain unanswered. Chase also covers the latest developments involving Iran, Lebanon, and Israel, rising inflation risks, potential Fed rate hikes, the changing supply-demand dynamics in equities, and why international markets continue to outperform many U.S. investors' expectations.

May 29, 2026 - Chase discusses why investor positioning may be creating a dangerous disconnect between market pricing and physical reality. As volatility collapses, speculative assets surge, and bearish bets get squeezed out, oil traders appear to be throwing in the towel despite ongoing inventory draws, unresolved Strait negotiations, and tightening global supply. Chase breaks down the latest developments with Iran, why sentiment may matter more than headlines right now, and what investors could be missing if energy markets are approaching a major inflection point.

May 27, 2026 - Zach goes solo to break down why the current energy setup may be one of the clearest value-with-a-catalyst opportunities he's seen since the GameStop short squeeze and the 2021–2022 energy trade. He explains why investors continue crowding into AI and semiconductor momentum while largely ignoring what he believes are historically undervalued energy producers sitting in front of a major supply shortage. Zach also discusses oil inventories, SPR math, China's strategic reserves, valuation discipline, value investing psychology, and why the best trades often feel the hardest to own in real time.

May 26, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why the current market setup is beginning to resemble the late stages of a speculative blow-off while the underlying energy system continues deteriorating underneath. They break down the massive rally in semiconductors and AI infrastructure stocks, why memory-chip pricing may be dangerously disconnected from reality, and why markets continue dismissing what they believe is the largest energy disruption in modern history. They also discuss oil market mechanics, futures positioning, inflation risks, housing affordability, monetary policy distortions, and why years of financialization may have disconnected markets from physical reality itself.

May 22, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why the global energy situation may be entering a far more dangerous phase even as markets continue betting on a clean resolution. They break down the growing tension around the Strait of Hormuz negotiations, why repeated “jawboning” around oil prices may actually signal deeper concern from policymakers, and how a prolonged supply shock could bleed into inflation expectations, agriculture, freight, and global growth. They also discuss fertilizer markets, chemical companies, bond yields, housing affordability, Fed policy, and why decades of falling interest rates may have fundamentally distorted the global economy.

May 21, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets may still be dramatically underestimating the long-term consequences of the Strait of Hormuz disruption even as negotiations appear to be moving toward a resolution. They break down why oil inventories could continue tightening for months after any agreement, why tanker maintenance and damaged infrastructure may delay normalization far longer than expected, and why energy producers could become one of the biggest beneficiaries of the next phase of the cycle. They also discuss offshore drilling, Chinese semiconductors, AI infrastructure, rising bond yields, and why markets continue treating a structural supply problem like a temporary headline event.

May 20, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets continue reacting to every new “imminent peace” headline even as the underlying energy and inflation pressures keep worsening beneath the surface. They break down the latest Strait of Hormuz developments, why oil markets may still be dramatically underpricing future shortages, how SPR releases are masking deeper inventory problems, and why rising bond yields may be the real warning sign investors should be watching. They also discuss inflation risks, housing pressure, Nvidia earnings, semiconductor valuations, and why policymakers may be running out of realistic options.

May 19, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why bond markets may finally be waking up to the inflationary consequences of the global energy disruption as yields surge and investors continue underestimating the fragility of the system. They break down the latest Strait of Hormuz developments, why SPR releases and exports may only be temporary relief valves, how energy shortages could create delayed but violent inflation waves, and why markets still appear dangerously complacent about physical supply realities. They also discuss China, housing pressure from rising rates, AI infrastructure spending, and why many investors may still be treating this like a normal cycle when it clearly is not.

May 18, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why energy markets may be far closer to a breaking point than investors realize as global inventories continue tightening and policymakers scramble to manage the fallout. They break down the latest Strait of Hormuz developments, why SPR drawdowns and U.S. exports may be masking deeper shortages, how China is positioning itself strategically, and why markets still appear dangerously complacent about inflation and supply risks. They also discuss rising bond yields, housing pressure, AI infrastructure spending, and why the next phase of this cycle could look very different from the last decade.

May 18, 2026 - Zach and Chase are joined by Josh Young of Bison Interests to discuss why global energy markets may be far more fragile than investors realize. Josh breaks down the real inventory math behind the Strait of Hormuz disruption, why oil markets have remained surprisingly calm so far, what happens when global storage levels approach “tank bottoms,” and why many analysts may still be underestimating the scale of the risk. They also discuss SPR drawdowns, refinery margins, shale productivity, geopolitical uncertainty, and why energy service companies may offer some of the most asymmetric opportunities in the market today.

May 15, 2026 - Chase breaks down why surging bond yields, a stronger dollar, and rising inflation pressures may be creating some of the biggest long-term investing opportunities in years. He discusses why global capital flows could be shifting away from the U.S., why ex-U.S. defense and emerging markets remain compelling despite recent selloffs, what rising rates mean for gold and equities, and why policymakers may eventually be forced to weaken the dollar again. Chase also covers the fallout from the U.S.-China summit, sanctions risk, semiconductors, and why short-term market stress may create long-term positioning opportunities.

May 14, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets may still be dramatically underestimating the scale of the global energy disruption despite worsening inventory draws, tightening supply conditions, and mounting inflationary pressures. They break down the disconnect between semiconductor euphoria and physical energy realities, why diesel prices may matter more than crude itself, China's strategic positioning, SPR depletion, freight inflation risks, and why policymakers continue stimulating demand into what they believe is an unfolding supply shock.

May 13, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets continue ignoring mounting energy stress even as inventories tighten, inflation pressures rise, and supply disruptions worsen globally. They break down Nvidia surpassing the value of India's stock market, the growing disconnect between AI valuations and real-world profitability, why passive investment flows may be weakening underneath the surface, and how years of monetary intervention may have fundamentally distorted market behavior. They also discuss inflation surprises, China's economic pivot, and why policymakers may no longer be able to tolerate meaningful declines in asset prices.

May 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why energy markets may be far more fragile than investors realize as physical shortages continue building beneath the surface. They break down why current oil pricing may be dangerously disconnected from real-world supply conditions, how refiners are navigating tightening inventories, why inflation risks continue growing globally, and what happens if the Strait of Hormuz disruption lasts longer than markets expect. They also discuss AI spending mania, emerging market opportunities, commodity tightness, and why investors may be underestimating how serious this macro environment has become.

May 11, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why the biggest risk in global energy markets may not be the initial shock — but the delayed consequences already moving through the system. They break down worsening fuel shortages, distorted oil pricing, diesel stress, inflation risks, and why the market still appears disconnected from physical supply realities. They also discuss how AI infrastructure spending increasingly resembles prior speculative bubbles, why inflation metrics may be understating real-world pressure, and why commodity markets could remain structurally tight for years.

May 8, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down the growing disconnect between market pricing, geopolitical reality, and the actual physical oil market. They discuss repeated “ceasefire” headlines, why the Strait of Hormuz situation may be far more serious than investors believe, and how narrative management may be suppressing critical price signals across energy markets. The conversation also dives into increasingly speculative AI and semiconductor valuations, comparisons to the late stages of the dot-com bubble, and why today's market behavior is beginning to look historically dangerous.

May 7, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down the growing disconnect between market pricing and physical reality as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed far longer than most investors expected. They discuss why oil markets continue behaving irrationally, how political messaging is distorting price signals, and why passive flows and AI momentum may be overwhelming fundamentals across the broader market. The conversation also dives into semiconductors, China's tech ambitions, and why today's market structure may be more fragile than most people realize.

May 6, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down the latest headlines surrounding a possible Iran deal and why markets may be celebrating far too early. They discuss the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the growing disconnect between paper and physical oil markets, and why a rushed resolution could leave Iran in a stronger geopolitical position than before. The conversation also dives into market manipulation concerns, the weakening dollar, global capital flows, and why many investors may still be looking in the wrong places.