Podcasts about capex

Multifamily deals don't pencil the way they used to. If you've been underwriting properties lately and wondering what changed, you're not alone. In this episode, Nico Salgado breaks down why multifamily deals that worked just a few years ago are falling apart today. Interest rates have jumped, lenders have tightened their standards, operating expenses have surged, and CapEx requirements are forcing investors to rethink their underwriting models. But this shift isn't necessarily bad news. In fact, it may be creating one of the best buying opportunities since the Great Financial Crisis. Nico explains how lenders are underwriting deals today, why leverage has dropped across the board, how rising expenses are impacting returns, and why serious operators are adjusting their assumptions instead of sitting on the sidelines. If you're actively analyzing deals or trying to understand where the multifamily market is headed, this episode will help you see what's really happening behind the numbers. Because deals may not pencil the way they used to… but disciplined investors know how to adapt. And those who understand the shift may be positioned to capitalize on the next cycle. Reading about deals doesn't make you an investor. Buying buildings does.

On this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski speak with Rainwater Equity ETF portfolio manager Joseph Shaposhnik about how long-term investors should think about markets in an era defined by geopolitical shocks, AI disruption, and unprecedented capital investment cycles. The conversation explores how disciplined investors can stay focused on durable businesses and long-term free cash flow rather than reacting to short-term headlines. Joseph explains how his team evaluates companies during major events, why the AI boom may create both massive disruption and opportunity, and where he believes the most attractive investment opportunities exist today.Topics covered in this episode• Why most macro headlines and geopolitical events rarely have lasting impacts on great businesses• How long-term investors should analyze conflicts and market shocks without overreacting• The defense spending supercycle and why aerospace and defense may benefit from rising geopolitical tensions• How Joseph evaluates the AI investment cycle across semiconductors, software, and hyperscalers• Why semiconductor companies may offer a lower-risk way to benefit from AI growth• The risks created by massive AI infrastructure CapEx and concentration around specific AI models• Why some software companies may face significant disruption from AI tools and LLMs• How AI could reshape business models that rely on packaging public or commoditized data• The potential rotation from the Magnificent Seven to the other 493 companies in the S&P 500• Why capital intensity may change the long-term attractiveness of some technology companies• The role of management quality and capital allocation in navigating technological disruption• Fragile vs anti-fragile business models in an AI-driven economy• Where AI may create unexpected winners across industrial and traditional industries• Why long-term investors should still prioritize durable cash flow compounding businessesTimestamps00:00 Introduction and why most headlines have limited long-term impact on businesses02:00 How experienced investors think about geopolitical shocks and market headlines04:00 Defense spending tailwinds and the aerospace and defense supercycle06:45 How investors should react when major market news breaks11:10 How Joseph evaluates the AI boom and which companies benefit most14:15 The case for opportunities outside the Magnificent Seven17:15 How rising AI CapEx is changing the economics of major tech companies21:25 Why hyperscalers face increasing concentration risk23:00 Why semiconductor suppliers may be the best positioned AI investments27:15 Why Joseph reduced exposure to software companies33:00 The importance of learning organizations and adaptive management teams37:00 AI, labor markets, and whether high-income jobs face disruption41:00 Fragile vs anti-fragile companies in the age of AI46:00 Where AI could create unexpected business winners52:00 How great management teams adapt during technological disruption57:00 How AI may accelerate entrepreneurship and innovation59:00 Why investors should remain focused on sustainable cash flow01:02:00 What the next generation of long-term compounders may look like

AGENDA: 00:00 - ANTHROPIC VS. THE PENTAGON: The Billion Dollar Supply Chain War 07:11 - B2B PANIC: Why Leading Companies Are Losing Deals to OpenAI 12:19 - THE ANTHROPIC ENDGAME: Will Claude Eclipse ChatGPT? 17:39 - THE DATA CENTER ARMS RACE: Is the AI Hype Cycle Finally Dead? 24:43 - 24/7 PERSISTENT AI: Why You'll Soon Need Data Centers in Space 30:37 - THE DEATH OF THE JUNIOR: Why Entry-Level Jobs are Vanishing 41:55 - AGENT-LED GROWTH: The Secret Reason Startups are Exploding in 2026 46:58 - THE ERA OF GENTLE DECELERATION IS DEAD: Public Markets Turn Brutal 55:54 - FIGMA MAKE IS TERRIBLE? The Failure of Quarterly Software Releases 01:00:54 - THE ULTIMATE STOCK PICKS: What to Buy and Sell Right Now    

In today's Cloud Wars Minute, I explain why Oracle's massive RPO growth proves demand for AI infrastructure is real, not a bubble. Highlights 00:00 — For the last several weeks, we've all been hearing gloom and doom, there's going to be AI overcapacity for data centers, and then talking about all these things that Oracle can't do. I want to talk about this in the context of Oracle's terrific Q3 numbers that came out earlier this week. I hope what they'll do as a residual effect is shut the pie holes of some of these just lame-brain skeptics . 01:15 — So I hope some of those people either be quiet, get off to the sidelines, or maybe think a little bit more about how the world is changing, and the tech vendors, especially the ones in the Cloud Wars Top 10, have to change to meet these new times. So let me describe some of what's behind that in these big numbers from Oracle. 01:38 — Like I said, there is RPO, remaining performance obligation, up 325%. It added $29 billion of new RPO in the quarter. The cloud business, 44%. It's $8.9 billion, very, very strong there. Inside some of those numbers, its multicloud database up 531%. It's a huge jump. That's where Microsoft, Amazon, and Google Cloud all sell the Oracle database to their customers. 02:22 — So a big, big business there, the AI infrastructure business overall up 243%, and the RPO is now up $553 billion, well over half a trillion dollars of contracted business that Oracle has not yet recognized as revenue. So it shows enormous growth for the future. Yet in spite of all these things, we've heard relentlessly from these Chicken Little types. 03:04 — First, that there's an AI data center buildout. This is all a bubble. It's going to explode. There's all these hundreds of millions of dollars in CapEx chasing a dream that will never happen. We've heard a lot about that Oracle, which earlier this year said it's going to use debt financing to fund its data center expansion. That that's terrible. 04:18 — Oracle's wildly profitable. It's in great shape on this. There are still other cry babies who are running around saying that the new CEOs aren't ready to handle this. They were supremely in charge on this earnings call, very, very clear, concise descriptions of the strategy and what's going forward. 05:02 — Now, looking ahead this fiscal year, which ends May 31, Oracle's projecting total revenue $67 billion. A year out from that, fiscal 27, it's projecting total revenue for the company of $90 billion. So the whole company growing 34%, turbocharged by what it's doing in the cloud and AI. This is an extraordinary time to be alive. Don't listen to the doom and doomsday folks. Visit Cloud Wars for more.

Josh Wolfe, Co-founder of Lux Capital, talks with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about the mounting macro risks for startups and why he believes the massive CapEx spend on data centers is fundamentally irrational. We also talk with Jason Celino from KeyBanc about Atlassian's 10% staff reduction and its pivot toward AI agents, and we get into the details of Microsoft's new Texas data center deal with our reporter Anissa Gardizy. Finally, we look at Gemini & the Winklevosses' attempt at a turnaround in the prediction market with reporter Yueqi Yang.Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/microsoft-talks-lease-large-texas-data-center-site-oracle-walked-awayhttps://www.theinformation.com/briefings/atlassian-lays-10-staff-ceo-plans-investment-aihttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/winklevosses-bet-big-crypto-bull-market-bet-wrongSubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/

WHAT YOU'LL LEARN How digital twins reduce CapEx before construction begins How to move AI from pilot to enterprise-wide deployment How to cut corporate red tape for rapid pilot execution How to design KPIs for objective pilot success measurement Why 50% pilot failure is a healthy innovation benchmark How to productize AI use cases for warehouse scale How to avoid “pilot purgatory” in logistics transformation HIGHLIGHTS 00:00–02:00 | AI Fatigue & The Shift to Production 02:00–05:00 | Scaling Digital Twin Across 100+ Buildings 05:00–07:30 | CapEx Reduction & Engineering Simulation ROI 07:30–10:00 | Run-State Optimization & 20% Throughput Gains 10:00–14:00 | The PepsiCo Labs Pilot Framework 14:00–18:00 | Designing a Culture That Celebrates Failure 18:00–23:00 | Quantifying Innovation & Moving to Production TOP QUOTES [00:06:00] “Here you can simulate and debug everything before you've invested your first CapEx dollar.” - Anna Farberov [00:08:00] “So I think we were able to demonstrate 20% throughput increase in a pick rate.” - Anna Farberov [00:12:00] “By design, we want 50% of our pilots to fail.” - Anna Farberov [00:18:00] “Move to production. Don't just test.” - Anna Farberov ABOUT THE GUEST Anna Farberov is GM of PepsiCo Labs, where she leads PepsiCo's global engagement with technology companies—from breakthrough startups to the world's largest enterprises. In this role, she partners with senior executives and innovators to identify, test, and scale technologies that are transforming how PepsiCo operates across data, AI, manufacturing, supply chain, agriculture, and commercial functions. Her work powers growth, efficiency, and resilience across one of the world's largest consumer goods companies. Beyond PepsiCo, Anna is recognized for building innovation models that bridge corporations, technology providers, and investors—accelerating adoption of cutting-edge solutions at scale. She has worked across industries to help leaders translate complexity into clarity, align technology with strategy, and move with speed and impact in times of disruption. A frequent speaker at global conferences, Anna shares insights on how leaders can harness innovation ecosystems, build future-ready organizations, and lead with clarity and purpose in an era of rapid technological change. LINKS MENTIONED Pepsico Labs: https://www.labs.pepsico.com/ Anna Farberov on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/anna-farberov/ Subscribe and Keep Learning!If you're a logistics leader looking to scale sustainably, don't miss out! Subscribe for more expert strategies on tackling modern supply chain challenges.Be sure to follow and tag the eCom Logistics Podcast on LinkedIn and YouTube

In this episode, the hosts analyze a $2M revenue mobile dog grooming franchise on Long Island and debate whether strong margins and recurring revenue justify the premium price—especially after franchise fees and fleet CapEx.Business Listing – https://www.bizbuysell.com/business-opportunity/8-years-open-operating-and-profitable-franchisor-s-founding-location/2444631/Welcome to Acquisitions Anonymous – the #1 podcast for small business M&A. Every week, we break down businesses for sale and talk about buying, operating, and growing them.Looking to build a professional website in minutes? Try Wix: https://wix.pxf.io/c/6898629/3115214/25616?trafcat=templateHubSpot is the backbone for how businesses scale without chaos. Try them out here: https://go.try-hubspot.com/OeG9Vr

In boardrooms across the world, the tone of executive conversations has shifted. Where once the dominant themes were growth, expansion and digital transformation, today the language is more cautious: resilience, cost control, supply risk, and operational visibility. The global economy is entering one of those periods where volatility becomes the defining feature rather than the exception. Inflationary pressure, supply chain disruption, energy shocks, and geopolitical fragmentation have created an environment in which corporate leaders are being asked to do something extremely difficult: spend less, but operate smarter. For many organisations, the largest opportunity to accomplish this goal sits in a place that historically received far less executive attention than product, finance, marketing or sales – procurement. Procurement has traditionally been viewed as an operational function tasked with negotiating prices and managing supplier relationships. But that perception is increasingly outdated. In an era defined by supply chain fragility and cost scrutiny, procurement is rapidly emerging as one of the most strategic levers available to the modern enterprise. And at the heart of that transformation lies a new generation of source-to-pay procurement platforms that promise something executives have long struggled to achieve: real-time control over how money actually leaves the business. When companies experience economic headwinds, the first instinct is usually to freeze hiring or cut discretionary spending. While those actions may deliver short-term relief, they rarely address the deeper structural problem – a lack of visibility into where capital and operational expenditure are truly going. Many large organisations still rely on fragmented purchasing systems, spreadsheets, email approvals and manual invoice processing. The result is predictable: hidden spending, duplicated suppliers, inconsistent contract compliance and a procurement function that struggles to provide accurate insight into enterprise wide expenditure. Source-to-pay technology is designed to eliminate that opacity. A modern source-to-pay platform integrates every stage of the procurement lifecycle into a single digital workflow, beginning with supplier discovery and strategic sourcing and continuing through contracting, purchasing, invoicing and payment. Instead of procurement existing as a patchwork of disconnected processes, the entire spend ecosystem becomes structured, trackable and measurable. This shift is particularly powerful when it comes to capital expenditure. Capex decisions often involve large, multi-departmental investments, infrastructure upgrades, manufacturing equipment, technology deployments that can stretch across months or even years. Without centralised visibility, organisations frequently underestimate the long-term financial impact of these commitments or fail to capture economies of scale when negotiating with suppliers. Source-to-pay systems introduce discipline into these decisions by standardising approval processes, linking procurement activity directly to financial planning, and capturing every data point associated with the investment. Executives are no longer forced to rely on retrospective reporting to understand capital allocation. Instead, they can evaluate spending patterns as they emerge, allowing finance leaders to align procurement activity more closely with strategic priorities. Operational expenditure presents a different but equally challenging problem. OpEx tends to accumulate gradually through thousands of small purchasing decisions made across departments. Software subscriptions, consulting engagements, marketing services, office equipment, logistics contracts, individually these costs may appear modest, but collectively they can represent a significant portion of an organisation's annual budget. The challenge is not simply the magnitude of the spend but the fragmentation of the data surrounding it. In many compan...

Rassegna stampa economico-finanziaria dell'8 Marzo 2026, strutturata per macro-temi e basata sulle principali testate giornalistiche nazionali. Banche, Mercati e NomineTestate: la Repubblica / Sole 24 Ore / Corriere della Sera * Consob: Inizia la reggenza di Chiara Mosca dopo la scadenza del mandato di Paolo Savona (8 marzo). La nomina del successore (ipotesi Federico Freni) è in impasse per veti politici. * Corporate Governance: In agenda assemblee rilevanti per i rinnovi dei vertici di Eni, Enel, Poste e Leonardo; l'orientamento del governo è per la conferma degli Amministratori Delegati uscenti. * Borsa Spa: Rischio di scontro legale tra CDP ed Euronext per il rinnovo dell'AD Fabrizio Testa. * MPS: Cresce la tensione sulla verità del caso David Rossi mentre la banca gestisce la propria uscita dalla crisi.Energia e GeopoliticaTestate: Corriere della Sera / la Repubblica / La Stampa / Il Messaggero / Il Giornale * Crisi del Golfo e Hormuz: Lo Stretto di Hormuz, dove transita il 20% del petrolio globale e il 90% del GNL asiatico, è in una fase di blocco sostanziale. * KPI Idrocarburi:   * Petrolio: Il WTI è salito del 36% in una settimana a 90,9$, il Brent ha toccato i 92,7$ (+28%). Analisti prevedono il superamento di quota 100$ al barile.   * Gas: Quotazioni al TTF di Amsterdam salite del 50-67% in una settimana, raggiungendo i 52,8 €/Mwh. * Sicurezza Alimentare: Il Golfo esporta il 14,4% dei fertilizzanti mondiali (urea al 45% della produzione globale). L'urea è rincarata del 26% in una settimana (600$/t). * Scenario Bellico: Documenti dell'intelligence USA (NIC) ritengono "improbabile" che il conflitto porti al collasso del regime iraniano.Fisco, Normativa e DifesaTestate: Il Messaggero / Sole 24 Ore / Corriere della Sera * Accise Mobili: Il Governo valuta un decreto per attivare le accise mobili, utilizzando l'extra-gettito IVA per ridurre l'imposta sui carburanti di circa 6-7 centesimi. * Lotta all'Evasione: Piano Gdf 2026 contro le "Partite IVA apri e chiudi". Target: chiusura di 9.000 posizioni nel 2026 (9.500 nel 2027). Scoperta frode da 5 miliardi € a Senigallia con 433 società cartiere. * Difesa Servizi: Trasformazione in holding della società in-house della Difesa per valorizzare gli asset e investire in IA e Quantum Computing. * PNRR: Emendamento per prorogare i contratti cloud e digitali, con incremento dei valori massimi fino al 50% e stanziamento di 100 milioni €.Industria, Automotive e LavoroTestate: la Repubblica / La Stampa / Il Messaggero * Impatto Imprese: La CGIA di Mestre stima un costo della guerra di 10 miliardi € per le aziende italiane nel 2026 (7,2 mld elettricità, 2,6 mld gas). La Lombardia è la regione più colpita con 2,3 mld di costi aggiuntivi. * Carburanti: Il gasolio ha superato i 2 €/litro in autostrada. Per il settore autotrasporto, si stimano costi aggiuntivi di 11.000 € per singolo autocarro. * Pharma: Il Gruppo Menarini chiude il 2025 con fatturato di 4,89 miliardi € (+6%). Sospeso l'investimento per il nuovo stabilimento di Firenze: i costi sono quasi raddoppiati, passando da 150 a 300 milioni €. * Semiconduttori: Il blocco delle forniture di elio e gas rari dal Qatar mette a rischio la filiera dei chip in Asia (Samsung, SK Hynix).Politica e Riforme (Referendum)Testate: Corriere della Sera / la Repubblica / La Verità / Il Fatto Quotidiano * Referendum Giustizia (22-23 marzo): Scontro frontale sulla separazione delle carriere e la riforma del CSM. Marina Berlusconi sostiene il "Sì" per una giustizia "terza"; l'opposizione e costituzionalisti (Enzo Cheli) paventano un indebolimento del potere giudiziario. * Comunali Milano 2027: Inizia la ricerca del candidato civico per il centrodestra (nomi emersi: Marina Brambilla, Ferruccio Resta), ma i partiti alleati frenano sul profilo puramente civico.Executive Takeaway (Insight per C-Suite) * Shock Energetico e Stagflazione: Il raddoppio dei prezzi del gas in una settimana e il petrolio verso i 100$ configurano un rischio concreto di riaccensione dell'inflazione e frenata del PIL nel Q2 2026. * Rischio Supply Chain: Il blocco dei fertilizzanti azotati e dell'urea produrrà un aumento dei prezzi alimentari (pane, pasta, carne) con un lag di pochi mesi, impattando sui consumi interni. * Governance e Stabilità: La linea governativa di confermare i vertici delle partecipate di Stato (Eni, Enel, Leonardo) punta a garantire continuità operativa in una fase di estrema volatilità internazionale. * Resilienza Industriale: Grandi player (es. Menarini) stanno mettendo in pausa investimenti strategici causa raddoppio dei costi di costruzione e incertezza energetica, segnalando un possibile rallentamento del CAPEX industriale in Italia. * Focus Fiscale: La nuova strategia Gdf focalizzata sulle "Partite IVA apri e chiudi" e l'incrocio delle banche dati aumenterà la pressione sui controlli neocostituiti, richiedendo massima compliance documentale.

In the second of our two-part panel discussion from Morgan Stanley's TMT conference, our analysts break down the complexity of financing AI's infrastructure and the technological disruption happening across industries.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michelle Weaver: Welcome back to Thoughts on the Market, and welcome to part two of our conversation live from the Technology, Media and Telecom conference. I'm Michelle Weaver, U.S. Thematic and Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley. Today we're continuing our conversation with Stephen Byrd, Josh Baer and Lindsay Tyler. This time looking at financing AI and some of the risks to the story. It's Friday, March 6th at 11am in San Francisco. So yesterday we spoke about AI adoption. And while there's a lot of excitement on this theme, there've also been some concerns bubbling up. Lindsay, I want to start with you around financing. That's another critical component of the AI build out. What's your latest on the magnitude of the data center financing gap, and what role [are] credit markets playing here? Lindsay Tyler: Yeah, in partnership with Thematic Research, Stephen and team, and colleagues across fixed income research last summer, we did put out a note, thinking about the data center financing gap, right? So, Stephen and team modeled a $3 trillion global data center CapEx need over a four-year timeframe. So, in partnership with fixed income across asset classes, we thought: okay, how will that really be funded? And we came to the conclusion that the hyperscalers, the high quality hyperscalers, generate a good amount of cash flow, right? So, there's cash from ops that can fund approximately half of that. But then we think that fixed income markets are critical to fund the rest of the funding gap. And really private credit is the leader in that and then aided by corporate credit and also securitized credit. What we've seen since is that yes, private credit has served a role. There is this difference between private credit 1.0, which is more of that middle market direct lending. And then private credit 2.0, which is more ABF – Asset Based Finance or Asset Backed Finance. And what we see there is an interest in leases of hyperscaler tenants, right? We've also seen in the market over the past nine months or so, investment grade bond issuance by hyperscalers. Obviously, a use of cash flow by hyperscalers. We've seen the construction loans with banks and also private credit per reports. We've also seen high yield bond issuance, which is kind of a new trend for construction financing. We've seen ABS and CMBS as well. And then something new that's emerging in focus for investors is more of a chip-backed or compute contract backed financings, like more creative solutions. We're really in early innings of the spend right now. And so, there is this shift. As we start to work through the construction early phases, the next focus is: okay, but what about the chips? And so, I think a big focus is that, you know, chips are more than 50 percent of the spend for if you're looking at a gigawatt site. And it depends what type of chips and kind of what generation. But that's the next leg of this too. So, it's kind of a focus, you know, for 2026. Michelle Weaver: And how do you view balance sheet leverage and financing when you think about hyperscaler debt raising magnitude and timelines? Lindsay Tyler: So just to bring it down to more of a basic level, if you need compute, you really might need two things, right? A powered shell and then the chips. And so, if you're looking for that compute, you could kind of go in three basic ways. You could look to build the shell and kind of build and buy the whole thing. You could lease the shell, from, you know, a developer, maybe a Bitcoin miner too – that is converted to HBC. And then you kind of buy the chips and you put them in yourselves. Or you could lease all the compute; quote unquote lease, it's more of a contract. In terms of the funding, if you're thinking about the cash flows of some of the big companies – think of that as primarily being put towards chip spend. If you're thinking about the construction that's kind of split between cash CapEx but also leases. And so, what we've seen is that there is more than [$]600 billion of un-commenced lease obligations that will commence over the next two to five years, across the big four or five players. And then my equity counterparts estimate around [$]700 billion of cash CapEx that needs this year for some of those players as well. So, these are big numbers. But that's kind of how, at a basic level, they're approaching some of the financing. It's a split approach. Michelle Weaver: And what have you learned around financing the past few days at the conference? Anything incremental to share there? Lindsay Tyler: Sure. Yeah. I think I found confirmation of some key themes here at the conference. The first being that numerous funding buckets are available. That was a big focus of our note last year is that you can kind of look at asset level financing. You can look at public bonds, you can look at some equity. There are these different funding buckets available.The second is that tenant quality matters for construction financing. I think I've seen this more in the markets than maybe at this conference over the past two to three weeks. But that has been a focus of pricing for the deals, but also market depth for the deals. A third confirmation of a key theme was around the neo clouds and also the GPU as a service business models. Thinking about those creative financings, right. Are they thinking about from their compute counterparties? Would they like upfront payments? Might they look to move financing off [the] balance sheet, if they have a very high-quality investment grade rated counterparty? So, there is some of this evolution around those solutions. And then a fourth key theme is just around the credit support. And Stephen has and I have talked about this around some of the Bitcoin miners – is that, you know, there can be these higher quality investment grade players that might look to lend their credit support. Maybe a lease backstop to other players in the ecosystem in order to get a better pricing on construction financing. And we are seeing some press pickup around how that might play out in chip financing down the road too. Michelle Weaver: Mm-hmm. AI driven risk and potential disruption has been a big feature of the price action we've seen year-to-date in this theme. Stephen, what are some asset classes or businesses you see as resistant to some of this disruption? Stephen Byrd: We spend a lot of time thinking about, sort of, asset classes that are resistant to deflation and disruption. And what's interesting is there's actually a handful of economists in the world that are doing remarkable work on this concept. That they would call it the economics of transformative AI. There are three Americans, two Canadians, two Brits, a number of others who are doing really, really interesting work. And essentially what they're looking at is what do economies look like? As we see very powerful AI enter many industries – cause price reductions, deflation… What does that do? They have a lot of interesting takeaways, but one is this idea that the relative value of assets that cannot be deflated by AI goes up. Very simple idea. But think of it this way, I mean, there's only, you know, one principle resort on Kauai. You know, there's a limited amount of metals. And so, what we go through is this list that's gotten a lot of investor attention of resistant asset classes or more of the resistant asset classes that can go up in value. So, there are obvious ones like land, though you have to be a little careful with real estate in the sense that like, office real estate probably wouldn't be where you would go. Nor would you potentially go sort of towards middle income, lower income housing. But more, you know, think of industrial REITs, higher-end real estate. But there are a lot of other categories that are interesting to me. All kinds of infrastructure should be quite resistant, all kinds of critical materials. Metals should do extremely well in this. But then when you go beyond that, it's actually kind of interesting that there; arguably there's a longer list than those classic sort of land and metals examples.Examples here would be compute… Michelle Weaver: Mm-hmm. Stephen Byrd: I thought Jensen put it, well, you know, if there's a limited amount of infrastructure available, you want to put the best compute. And ultimately, in some ways, intelligence becomes the new coin of the realm in the world, right? So, I would want to own the purveyors of intelligence. It could include high-end luxury. It could include unique human experiences. So, I don't know how many of y'all have children who are sort of college age. But my children are college age, and they absolutely hate what they would call AI slop.They want legit human content, and they seek it out. And they absolutely hate it when they see bad copies of human content. And so, I think there is a place in many parts of the economy for unique human experiences, unique human content, and it's interesting to kind of seek out where that might be in the economy. So those would be some examples of resistant assets. Michelle Weaver: Mm-hmm. Josh, software's been at really the center of this AI disruption debate. How would you compare the current pullback in software multiples to prior periods of peak uncertainty? And do you think any of these concerns are valid? Or how are you thinking about that? Josh Baer: Great question. I mean, software multiples on an EV to sales basis are down 30 – 35 percent just from the fall, I will say. And that's overall in the group. A lot of stocks, multiple handfuls, are down 60-70 percent over the last year. And what's being priced in is really peak uncertainty, a lot of fear. And these multiples, now four times sales – takes us all the way back about 10 years to the shift to cloud. And this time in many ways reminds us of that period of peak fear. In this case, what's being priced in is terminal value risk. We talked about this TAM yesterday. But you know, who is going to win that share? How is it divided from a competitive perspective across these model providers? The LLMs with new entrants. Of course, the incumbents. And this other idea of in-housing. Michelle Weaver: Mm-hmm. Josh Baer: So, there's competitive risk, there's business model risk. Are companies going to need to change their pricing models from seat-based to consumption or hybrid. And then last margin risk. Just thinking about the higher input costs and higher capital intensity. And so, you know, all of those fears are being priced in right now. Michelle Weaver: And we, of course though, had a bunch of these companies live with us at the conference. How are they responding to some of these risks? How are they addressing these investor concerns? Josh Baer: Most of the companies here from our coverage are the incumbent software vendors. And I think that the leadership teams did a really nice job coming out and defending their competitive moats and really articulating the story of why they are in a great position to capitalize on the opportunity. And the reasons can vary across different companies. But some of the commonalities are around enterprise grade, trust, security, governance, acceptance from IT organizations.The idea of vibe coding all apps in an organization get squashed when you actually talk to companies and chief information officers. For some companies there's proprietary data moats, network effects. All of that's on top of existing customer relationships. And so, you know, that was the message from the companies that we had. That we're the incumbents. We get to use all of the same innovative AI technology in the same way that all these different competitive buckets do. But we have, you know, that differentiation in that moat. And so, we're in a good place. Michelle Weaver: I want to wrap on a positive note. Stephen, what did you hear at the conference that you're most excited about? Stephen Byrd: I'd say the life sciences. A few investors pointed out that perhaps AI has a PR problem these days. And I do think showing a significant benefit to humanity in terms of improved health outcomes, whether that's just better diagnosis, you know. Away from this event, but I was in India the week before and, you know, AI can have a powerful benefit to the people who suffer the most in terms of providing very powerful medical tools in a distributed manner. So, I'm a big fan there.But you know, in many ways, curing the most challenging diseases plaguing humanity. The kind of problems involved in providing those and developing those cures are perfect for AI. So that, for me – stepping way back – that is by far the most exciting thing. Michelle Weaver: Josh, same to you. What are you most excited about? Josh Baer: From my perspective, it's potentially the turning point for software. The ability to showcase that we are at this inflection point and acceleration. To actually see that it takes time for our software companies to develop new AI technologies. Put that into products that have been tested and proven and go through the enterprise adoption cycle. And that we're at the cusp of more adoption – that's what our survey work says. And to see that inflection, I think can help to rerate this sector. Michelle Weaver: Lindsay, same question for you… Lindsay Tyler: Maybe I'll tie it to markets. I've already had a lot of more conversations with equity investors over the past, how many months? There's a big fixed income focus right now, which is a great, you know, spot and really interesting opportunity in my seat. And there's a lot of interesting structures coming to be right now in the credit space. So, I think it's an exciting time. Michelle Weaver: Lindsay, Stephen, Josh, thank you very much for joining to recap the event and let us know what you learned at the conference. To our audience, thank you for listening here live. And to our audience tuning in, thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen. And share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

In this episode, the hosts break down a 30-year-old site prep and grading business in coastal North Carolina, debating whether steady demand and durable relationships outweigh the heavy equipment CapEx risks.Business Listing – https://www.bizbuysell.com/business-opportunity/excavation-grading-and-hauling-business-for-sale/2464393/Welcome to Acquisitions Anonymous – the #1 podcast for small business M&A. Every week, we break down businesses for sale and talk about buying, operating, and growing them.Looking to build a professional website in minutes? Try Wix: https://wix.pxf.io/c/6898629/3115214/25616?trafcat=templateHubSpot is the backbone for how businesses scale without chaos. Try them out here: https://go.try-hubspot.com/OeG9Vr

Apple's (AAPL) decision to "wait at the finish line" in the AI race is aiding investors' wallets, says LikeFolio's Landon Swan. While Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), and Meta Platforms (META) are spending hundreds of billions of dollars on CapEx, he says Apple's iPhone and product suite, combined with its Google Gemini partnership, give it enough of a profitability platform.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Send a textTune in for  the CRE Collaborative Inc. Roundtable as we talk through current market distraction and uncertainty amid regulation, consolidation, litigation, legislation, vendor bias in assessments, escalating cyber threats, and public/political resistance to AI/data centers.How To: Execute fundamentals; leverage predictive analytics and AI for independent grading; strengthen cyber hygiene and insurance; advocate on policy (1031, data centers, private property rights); experiment with AI ethically in targeted workflows.Why this is relevant: Deals flow to those who prepare and execute; unbiased evaluation improves decisions; cyber resilience protects wires and data; policy engagement and ethical AI use shape operating conditions and growth.“To me it's all about regulation and consolidation and litigation. And legislation.” Stated Saul Klein“Keep listing, keep selling… Do what you normally do and that you do well and it'll all work out.” Stated Saul Klein "Only people whose businesses are growing are interested in marketing… they're already self-selecting.” Stated Rebekah Carlson “This system represents… the closest thing to an independent evaluator that can look at things at such a broader scale.” stated Andreas Senie  “You are not crazy; all these things are in fact happening.” stated Darren Hayes =Practical Takeaways: Double down on foundations: announce conference attendance, book meetings in advance, and run networking cadences to convert appearances into deals.Integrate AI-driven, predictive asset grading to forecast CapEx, refine NOI, and prioritize capital deployment across resilient asset classes.Attach a cybersecurity policy to E&O; enforce MFA and dual wire verification; keep mobile OS updated and train teams on social engineering red flags.Tune in to the replay where the  CRE Collaborative Roundtable discuss all things Technology, Marketing, Brokerage, Government Policy, Capital, Construction & Cyber Security in Real Estate. How to it affects your real estate businesses, and what you can do for the next 30 days to outpace the competition.Your Roundtable Hosts:Andreas Senie, Host, Founder CRECollaborative (CRECo.ai), Technology Growth Strategist, CRETech Thought Leader, & Brokerage OwnerSaul Klein, Realtor Emeritus, Data Advocate & Futurist, Original Real Estate Internet Evangelist, Executive Editor Realty Times, IncRebekah Carlson, Founder & CEO Carlson Integrated, LLC, Past President NICAR Association, Brokerage OwnerProfessor Darren Hayes CEO Code Detectives, Professor Pace University, & Top 10 Forensic Cyber Security Specialist nationwide.Dan Wagner, Senior Vice President Government Relations at The The Inland Real Estate Group of Companies, Inc.ABOUT THE ROUNDTABLE:Your all in one comprehensive view of what is happening across the real estate industry -- straight from some of the industry's earliest technology adopters and foremost experts in Technology, Marketing, Capital, Construction & Cyber Security in Real EstateJoin us live at 6 PM EST on the 1st Thursday of each month, across all major social media channels and wherever you get your podcasts.This three-part show consists of:Part I: IntroduDon't forget to subscribe to our YouTube channel where there is a host of additional great content and to visit CRECo.ai the Commercial Real Estate Industry's all-in-one dashboard to connect, research, execute, and collaborate online CRECo.ai. Please be sure to share, rate, and review us it really does help! Learn more at : https://welcome.creco.ai/reroundtable

Renaissance history is so much wilder and weirder than you would have expected. Very fun chatting with Ada Palmer (historian, novelist, and composer based at the University of Chicago).Some especially fascinating things I learned from the conversation and her excellent book, Inventing the Renaissance:Not only did Gutenberg go bankrupt in the 1450s (after inventing the printing press), but so did the bank that foreclosed on him, and so did his apprentices. This is because paper was still very expensive, and so you had to make this big upfront CAPEX decision to print a batch of 300 copies of a book - say the Bible. But he's in a small landlocked German town where only priests are allowed to read the Bible - so he sells maybe 7 copies. It's only when this technology ends up in Venice, where you can hand 10 copies to each of 30 ship captains going to 30 different cities, that it starts taking off.Speaking of which, the printing revolution wasn't just one single discrete event, just as the computer revolution has been this whole century of going from mainframes -> personal computers -> phones -> social media, each with different and accelerating social impact. Books came first, but they're slow to print, and made in small batches. The real revolution is pamphlets - much faster, much harder to censor. Pamphlet runners are how you can have Luther's 95 Theses go from Wittenberg to London in 17 days.So much other wild stuff from this episode. For example, did you know that the largest and best-funded experimental laboratory in 17th century Europe was very likely the Roman one run by inquisitors? Ada jokes that the Inquisition accidentally invented peer review. The focus of the Inquisition is really misunderstood - it was obsessed with catching dangerous new heretics like Lutherans and Calvinists - it only executed one person for doing science.And this leads Ada to make an observation that I think is really wise: the authorities and censors are always worried about the exact wrong things given 20/20 hindsight. When Inquisition raids an underground bookshop during the French Enlightenment, they don't mind the Rousseau, Voltaire, and Encyclopédie, but they lose their minds about some Jansenist treatises about the technical nature of the Trinity.More broadly, a lesson for me from this episode is that it's just really hard to shape history in the specific way that you want to impact things. One of the most famous medieval scholars is this guy Petrarch. He survives the Black Death in the 1340s, watches his friends die to plague and bandits, and says: our leaders are selfish and terrible, we need to raise them on the Roman classics so they'll act like Cicero. So Europe pours money into finding ancient manuscripts, building libraries, and educating princes on classical virtues. Those princes grow up and fight bigger, nastier wars than ever before with new deadlier technology. And this, combined with greater urbanization and endemic plague, results in European life expectancy decreasing from 35 in the medieval period to 18 during the Renaissance (the period which we in retrospect think of as a golden age but which many people living through it thought of as the continuation of the dark ages that had persisted since the fall of Rome).Anyways, the libraries Petrarch inspires stick around, the printing press makes them accessible to everyone, and 200 years later a generation of medical students is reading Lucretius and asking “what if there are atoms and that's how diseases work?” which eventually leads to germ theory, vaccines, and a cure for the Black Death (Ada has longer more involved explanation of how cosplaying the Romans results through a series of many steps to the scientific revolution). Petrarch wanted to produce philosopher-kings that shared his values. Instead he created a world that doesn't share his values at all but can cure the disease that destroyed his.Watch on YouTube; read the transcript.Sponsors* Jane Street is still waiting on someone to solve their backdoor puzzle… They're accepting submissions until April 1st and have set aside $50,000 for the best attempts. Separately, applications are live for Jane Street's summer ML internships in NY, London, and Hong Kong. Go check all of this out at janestreet.com/dwarkesh.* Labelbox can help ensure your agents don't need to rely on overspecified prompts. They tailor real-world scenarios to whatever domain you're focused on, and they make sure the data you train on rewards real understanding, not just instruction-following. Learn more at labelbox.com/dwarkesh* Mercury's personal accounts let you add users, issue cards, and customize permissions. This is super useful for sharing finances with a partner, a roommate… or even an OpenClaw agent. And, if you're already a Mercury Business user, your personal account is free! See terms and conditions below, and learn more at mercury.com/personal-bankingEligible Mercury Business users who apply for and maintain a Mercury Personal account may have their Mercury Personal subscription fee waived provided they remain a user on an active Mercury Business account in good standing. Standard Mercury Platform Subscription fees will apply if they no longer meet eligibility requirements, including but not limited to no longer being associated with an eligible Mercury Business account, or if the program is modified or terminated. Mercury may modify or discontinue this offering at any time and will provide notice as required by law. See Subscription Terms for full details.* To sponsor a future episode, visit dwarkesh.com/advertise.Timestamps(00:00:00) - How cosplaying Ancient Rome led to the Renaissance(00:28:49) - How Florence's weird republic worked(00:38:13) - How the Medicis took over Florence(00:58:12) - Why it was so hard for Gutenberg to make any money off the printing press(01:17:34) - Why the industrial revolution didn't happen in Italy(01:23:02) - The Library of Alexandria isn't where most ancient books were lost(01:41:21) - The Inquisition accidentally invented peer review Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe

En esta tertulia de Itnig arrancamos con una conversación a fondo sobre Snowflake, su evolución de plataforma de datos a compañía claramente posicionada en torno a la IA, y cómo compite en un mercado cada vez más duro frente a gigantes como Databricks, Microsoft o Google. Hablamos de producto, multicloud, go-to-market enterprise, consumo vs contratos cerrados y de cómo una compañía de este tamaño vende, crece y se adapta cuando todo el mercado gira alrededor de la inteligencia artificial. A partir de ahí, la conversación se abre al gran tablero de la IA global, con el pulso entre OpenAI y Anthropic, el papel de la ética, la relación con el gobierno de Estados Unidos y la velocidad a la que están creciendo estas compañías. También debatimos sobre especialización, distribución, consumo energético, centros de datos y por qué esta nueva ola tecnológica no solo está redefiniendo el software, sino también quién captura el valor en esta nueva etapa. En la segunda parte entramos en una discusión especialmente interesante sobre el futuro del trabajo, el software y la productividad, intentando separar el ruido de la realidad. ¿La IA destruirá empleo o multiplicará la capacidad de las empresas y de las personas? ¿Estamos ante otra revolución tecnológica más o ante un cambio de paradigma mucho más rápido y profundo? La tertulia mezcla visión de negocio, mercado e inversión con una mirada mucho más filosófica sobre cómo puede cambiar nuestra relación con el trabajo en los próximos años. Y además, como siempre en Itnig, hay espacio para abrir otros melones: el enfoque de Apple frente a la carrera del CAPEX en IA, el posible futuro del hardware alrededor de nuevos dispositivos inteligentes, y las dudas reales que tienen hoy los emprendedores sobre compliance, regulación europea y uso de modelos como OpenAI. Una tertulia especialmente completa para entender hacia dónde se mueve el ecosistema tecnológico y qué implicaciones puede tener todo esto para startups, corporates e inversores. Sigue a los "tertulianos" en Twitter/LinkedIn:• Bernat Farrero: @bernatfarrero• Jordi Romero: @jordiromero• Marcel Queralt: https://www.linkedin.com/in/marcelqueralt/SOBRE ITNIG

In this episode, the hosts break down a 30-year-old site prep and grading business in coastal North Carolina, debating whether steady demand and durable relationships outweigh the heavy equipment CapEx risks.Business Listing – https://www.bizbuysell.com/business-opportunity/excavation-grading-and-hauling-business-for-sale/2464393/Welcome to Acquisitions Anonymous – the #1 podcast for small business M&A. Every week, we break down businesses for sale and talk about buying, operating, and growing them.Looking to build a professional website in minutes? Try Wix: https://wix.pxf.io/c/6898629/3115214/25616?trafcat=templateHubSpot is the backbone for how businesses scale without chaos. Try them out here: https://go.try-hubspot.com/OeG9Vr

Energy bills have jumped as much as 30% in the last year, and data center demand is outpacing grid growth. CPS America, with over 10 gigawatts of string inverters shipped in the US, is responding with a wave of new products: skidded string solutions, a 250kW 600V inverter platform, and fully integrated C&I battery storage with industry-leading fire safety certification. In this episode, Tim Montague sits down with six CPS America team members, including Bryan Wagner, Joe Ross, Brian Baxter, Luke Hardin, Luke Schlicte, and Andrey Malyshev, to break down what solar developers, asset owners, and installers need to know about the shift from central to string inverters and the accelerating C&I storage market.Episode HighlightsCPS America is rolling out a series of new inverter platforms, including a 250kW 600V model that Bryan Wagner expects could do more volume than all other CPS units combined. A new 200kW 480V community solar product and the 350kW with MV station round out the lineup.Skidded string combines 10 to 12 string inverters on a factory-integrated skid with a transformer and switchgear, then ships to the site. This cuts field labor on the front end and reduces O&M costs on the back end by concentrating all equipment on a single pad.CPS launched a fully integrated C&I battery storage system with inverters and batteries in one unit.The central-to-string transition is accelerating as the CapEx gap between the two approaches shrinks. String inverters reduce single points of failure, lower technician costs, and give asset owners more control over uptime and spare parts.With energy demand outpacing grid growth and battery economics improving each quarter, the team at CPS America makes a data-backed case for why commercial storage and string-inverter adoption are accelerating in 2026. CPS hosts Innovation Day in Dallas, April 22 to 24, for those who want a deeper look. Connect with the CPS Team WebsiteLinkedInRegister for the CPS Innovation Day Support the showConnect with Tim Clean Power Hour Clean Power Hour on YouTubeTim on TwitterTim on LinkedIn Email tim@cleanpowerhour.com Review Clean Power Hour on Apple PodcastsThe Clean Power Hour is produced by the Clean Power Consulting Group and created by Tim Montague. Contact us by email: CleanPowerHour@gmail.com Corporate sponsors who share our mission to speed the energy transition are invited to check out https://www.cleanpowerhour.com/support/The Clean Power Hour is brought to you by CPS America, maker of North America's number one 3-phase string inverter, with over 6GW shipped in the US. With a focus on commercial and utility-scale solar and energy storage, the company partners with customers to provide unparalleled performance and service. The CPS America product lineup includes 3-phase string inverters from 25kW to 275kW, exceptional data communication and controls, and energy storage solutions designed for seamless integration with CPS America systems. Learn more at www.chintpowersystems.com

Dan Nathan interviews veteran tech investor Dan Benton about how tech investing has changed since Benton's 1991 “20 rules” at Goldman Sachs and why he's releasing new “2026 rules,” alongside launching a Substack. Benton contrasts a pre-internet, sell-side, information-advantage era with today's commoditized data, retail tools, and faster markets, arguing investors now differentiate by identifying secular themes and sticking with them. He emphasizes tech as “the market,” the need to respect the Fed, and that momentum in tech is driven by multi-year estimate trajectories, revenue acceleration, and operating leverage, with valuation often secondary until growth decelerates. They discuss stock-based compensation distorting earnings quality, rotations within AI beneficiaries, crowding and risk-off selloffs, and uncertainties around hyperscaler CapEx and OpenAI's private-market marks. The conversation covers SaaS disruption risk, Tesla and SpaceX “selling the future,” China's advantages, and why markets are faster but not smarter. Links Rules For Tech Investing (1999 Edition) Follow Dan's SubStack: substack.com/@danbenton —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Data center-centric stocks have taken a hit as fears of accelerating CapEx spending won't amount to profits. Nebius (NBIS) seeks to break those fears after getting approval to build a 1.2 gigawatt data center in Missouri. George Tsilis explains why the news is bullish for the neocloud and overall AI space and how its compares with CoreWeave (CRWV). ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Send a textIn this episode, Ed welcomes Michael Pouliot of Carbon Real Estate Investments, a vertically integrated private equity firm operating workforce housing apartments across the Southeast. Pouliot explains Carbon's buy box: 100–300 unit, older vintage (1970s–1990s) properties in strong school districts and stable submarkets, targeting families and raising rents about 20% through substantial CapEx that prioritizes deferred maintenance alongside unit upgrades. They talk about navigating Sunbelt challenges like insurance and taxes by avoiding high-risk areas, staying conservative in underwriting, and emphasizing strong entry pricing. Pouliot shares a bullish view that the next 12–18 months are a strong buying window as the market works through distress, debt maturities, and oversupply absorption, with more constructive sentiment and capital expected around 2027–2028. He outlines Carbon's strategy for 2026: keep buying with fixed-rate, low-leverage debt, hold long-term, and offer investor liquidity via recapitalizations rather than selling assets. The conversation also covers regional scaling for operational efficiency, selective adoption of AI tools (voice/chat agents, SOP knowledge bases, automation) to augment staff, and Pouliot's perspective on purpose, mentorship, lifestyle trade-offs versus Wall Street, and how he defines success. Pouliot closes by directing viewers to investwithcarbon.com for Carbon's weekly newsletter and content.00:00 Cycle Outlook 2027-202800:11 Show Intro and Mission00:52 Welcome and Subscribe01:42 Meet Carbon Real Estate02:44 Insurance and Tax Headwinds05:07 Buy Box and Resident Avatar07:01 Why Stable Markets Win08:34 Distress Deals and Assumable Debt12:29 Oversupply and Absorption Math14:58 Strategy for 202618:41 Vertical Integration and CapEx20:32 Tech and AI in Property Ops14:23 AI Ops Automation23:28 Human Touch Investing24:31 Real Estate Tech Lag25:19 Deal Junkie Purpose26:23 Paranoia Prevents Errors28:26 Wall Street What Ifs33:38 Learning Diet Books35:56 Defining Success Seasons38:19 Life Outside Real Estate41:05 Where To Follow CarbonThis week's book: How Countries Go Broke by Ray DalioElevista - Speed as a Service™Elevista Connect is the first AI-powered lead conversion system built for real estate investors. Heads up: If you find this week's book intriguing and you buy using our link, we receive a small commission that helps support the show. Thank you!

United Parks & Resorts reported fiscal 2025 results this week; Revenue, attendance, net income, EBITDA were all down. "Our fiscal 2025 results did not meet our expectations. While the consumer environment was uneven and our results were impacted by negative international tourism trends and volatile weather during certain peak visitation periods, we should have delivered better results, particularly on the cost side of the income statement," CEO Marc Swanson said during the earnings call. The earnings call, however, spent relatively little time on what went wrong in the parks. Instead, the company debuted a supplemental investor presentation focused on the value of its real estate, the replacement cost of its assets, and why the stock is undervalued. The company has spent $247 million on stock buybacks over the past 14 months, while cutting expansion CapEx nearly in half.Watch bonus episodes on Patreon.

Feb 18, 2026: What's Next for AI AcceleratorsAMD's CEO Lisa Su thinks the market for cutting-edge AI chips will be worth $1 trillion annually by 2030 and NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang (who happens to be Lisa's cousin once-removed) believes AI infrastructure spend will total $4 trillion during the next five years.If those forecasts are even directionally correct, both AMD and NVIDIA will still have quite an extended growth runway in this red hot semiconductor sector.But are these admittedly self-serving forecasts actually realistic?Or is AI hardware likely to become commoditized and lower-priced during that timeframe?And are there other competitors who might also pose a challenge in this two-horse race?On Wednesday's show, I was joined by Chip Stock Investor founder Nick Rossolillo to describe what lies ahead for both NVIDIA and AMD.We also discussed why Apple is spending significantly on CapEx less than its other Big Tech peers, whether Moore's Law is actually dead, and the role of newcomers like Cerebras Systems and IonQ.#NVIDIA #AMD #semiconductors #AIchips #JensenHuang #LisaSu #chipstocks #datacenter #investing #Broadcom #Apple #TSMC #Cerebras #quantumcomputing #7investing #chipstockinvestor #techinvesting #AIinfrastructure #hyperscalers #GPUvsCPU #waferschale #FormulaOne #poleposition #techanalysis #stockmarket2026

CoreWeave (CRWV) shares collapsed with investors expressing concerns on the company's "show me" story. Meghan Joyce presents a bull case in its backlog but a bear case in the construction needed to obtain that revenue. Logan Gilland adds to Meghan's points by saying he would not "buy into the blood" in CoreWeave's selling action. He says investors should wait to see who wins "the race to be first" in capitalizing on CapEx. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

December's construction spending showed more strength, with Kevin Green making the case that it sets the foundation for more bullish traction in markets. PPI is a different story. He explains the volatility behind the inflation uptick. KG also has his eyes on the commodity space as he walks investors through the bump higher in crude oil prices. He later turns to the tech space and talks about the CapEx linchpin behind CoreWeave's earnings volatility. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Join CFC researchers Sam Kem and Chris Whittle as they look at the risks of building large-scale, long-duration infrastructure to fuel AI computing power with uncertain future demand.Mentioned on the show:The Data Center Surge: What 2026's Fastest-Growing Sector Means for UtilitiesEconomic & Market Watch: ⁠A Buyer's Market for CreditEconomic & Market Watch: ⁠Don't Budget for AI Costs to Hold SteadyFor questions and requests about industry research topics, please contact utilityresearchpolicy@nrucfc.coop.Contact the Economic & Market Watch team at economicresearch@nrucfc.coop.Visit us, download the dashboard and explore other Solutions media on our website, nrucfc.coop/Solutions.

Are we in an AI arms race or a massive overspend? Kasey and Nick sit down with Simon Erickson, founder of 7Investing, to break down the staggering $364 billion spent on CapEx by Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon last year alone. In this deep dive, we discuss:-- Why companies like Google and Amazon are vertically integrating their own hardware (TPUs) to avoid Nvidia's high margins. --Apple's "Patient" Approach: Why Apple's flat CapEx isn't a sign of weakness, but a calculated move to let others foot the bill for early-stage inefficiencies. --Real-World AI Monetization: From "eliminating inefficiencies" in energy and healthcare to the shift from subscription models to usage-based AI agents. --The Future of Investing: How AI is automating the "grunt work" of stock picking while increasing the importance of human empathy and trust. Make sure you give Simon a follow  @7investing  Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membershipSupercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-formChapters:0:00 – Introducing Simon Erickson & Seven Investing 2:15 – The $364 Billion CapEx Question 3:50 – Why Simon is Invested in Google & Amazon 5:10 – The Apple Anomaly: Flat CapEx Strategy 10:45 – Where is the AI Payoff? Monetization & Advertising 13:20 – AI in Healthcare: Predictive Diagnostics & Surgery 17:45 – Are We at Peak CapEx? 23:50 – Semiconductor Cycle: The ASML & Intel Bottleneck 28:45 – Will AI Replace Stock Pickers? 34:10 – The Retail Investor Edge in an AI WorldIf you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!*********************************************************Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. #AI #CapEx #Investing #SevenInvesting #ChipStockInvestor #Hyperscalers #Apple #Google #Amazon #StockMarket2026 #Semiconductors #HealthcareAINick and Kasey own shares of Amazon, Google and others mentioned in the video

Original Release Date: Feb 6, 2026Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research Andrew Sheets and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter unpack the inner workings of the Federal Reserve to illustrate the challenges that Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh may face.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley. Seth Carpenter: And I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research. Andrew Sheets: And today on the podcast, a further discussion of a new Fed chair and the challenges they may face. It's Friday, February 6th at 1 pm in New York. Seth, it's great to be here talking with you, and I really want to continue a conversation that listeners have been hearing on this podcast over this week about a new nominee to chair the Federal Reserve: Kevin Warsh. And you are the perfect person to talk about this, not just because you lead our economic research and our macro research, but you've also worked at the Fed. You've seen the inner workings of this organization and what a new Fed chair is going to have to deal with. So, maybe just for some broad framing, when you saw this announcement come out, what were some of the first things to go through your mind? Seth Carpenter: I will say first and foremost, Kevin Warsh's name was one of the names that had regularly come up when the White House was providing names of people they were considering in lots of news cycles. So, I think the first thing that's critically important from my perspective, is – not a shock, right? Sort of a known quantity. Second, when we think about these really important positions, there's a whole range of possible outcomes. And I would've said that of the four names that were in the final set of four that we kept hearing about in the news a lot. You know, some differences here and there across them, but none of them was substantially outside of what I would think of as mainstream sort of thinking. Nothing excessively unorthodox at all like that. So, in that regard as well, I think it should keep anybody from jumping to any big conclusions that there's a huge change that's imminent. I think the other thing that's really important is the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve really is made by a committee. The Federal Open Market Committee and committee matters in these cases. The Fed has been under lots of scrutiny, under lots of pressure, depending on how you want to put it. And so, as a result, there's a lot of discussion within the institution about their independence, making sure they stick very scrupulously to their congressionally given mandate of stable prices, full employment. And so, what does that mean in practice? That means in practice, to get a substantially different outcome from what the committee would've done otherwise… So, the market is pricing; what's the market pricing for the funds rate at the end of this year? About 3.2 percent. Andrew Sheets: Something like that. Yeah. Seth Carpenter: Yeah. So that's a reasonable forecast. It's not too far away from our house view. For us to end up with a policy rate that's substantially away from that – call it 1 percentage, 2 percentage points away from that. I just don't see that as likely to happen. Because the committee can be led, can be swayed by the chair, but not to the tune of 1 or 2 percentage points. And so, I think for all those reasons, there wasn't that much surprise and there wasn't, for me, a big reason to fully reevaluate where we think the Fed's going. Andrew Sheets: So let me actually dig into that a little bit more because I know our listeners tune in every day to hear a lot about government meetings. But this is a case where that really matters because I think there can sometimes be a misperception around the power of this position. And it's both one of the most public important positions in the world of finance. And yet, as you mentioned, it is overseeing a committee where the majority matters. And so, can you take us just a little bit inside those discussions? I mean, how does the Fed Chair interact with their colleagues? How do they try to convince them and persuade them to take a particular course of action? Seth Carpenter: Great question. And you're right, I sort of spent a bunch of time there at the Fed. I started when Greenspan was chair. I worked under the Bernanke Fed. And of course, for the end of that, Janet Yellen was the vice chair. So, I've worked with her. Jay Powell was on the committee the whole time. So, the cast of characters quite familiar and the process is important. So, I would say a few things. The chair convenes the meetings; the chair creates the agenda for the meeting. The chair directs the staff on what the policy documents are that the committee is going to get. So, there's a huge amount of influence, let's say, there. But in order to actually get a specific outcome, there really is a vote. And we only have to look back a couple weeks to the last FOMC meeting when there were two dissents against the policy decision. So, dissents are not super common. They don't happen at every single meeting, but they're not unheard of by any stretch of the imagination either. And if we go back over the past few years, lots going on with inflation and how the economy was going was uncertain. Chair Powell took some dissents. If we go back to the financial crisis Chair Bernanke took a bunch of dissents. If we go back even further through time, Paul Volcker, when he was there trying to staunch the flow of the high inflation of the 1970s, faced a lot of resistance within his committee. And reportedly threatened to quit if he couldn't get his way. And had to be very aggressive in trying to bring the committee along. So, the chair has to find a way to bring the committee along with the plan that the chair wants to execute. Lots of tools at their disposal, but not endless power or influence. Does that make sense? Andrew Sheets: That makes complete sense. So, maybe my final question, Seth, is this is a tough job. This is a tough job in… Seth Carpenter: You mean your job and my job, or… Andrew Sheets: [Laughs] Not at all. The chair of the Fed. And it seems especially tricky now. You know, inflation is above the Fed's target. Interest rates are still elevated. You know, certainly mortgage rates are still higher than a lot of Americans are used to over the last several years. And asset prices are high. You know, the valuation of the equity market is high. The level of credit spreads is tight. So, you could say, well, financial conditions are already quite easy, which can create some complications. I am sure Kevin Warsh is receiving lots of advice from lots of different angles. But, you know, if you think about what you've seen from the Fed over the years, what would be your advice to a new Fed chair – and to navigate some of these challenges? Seth Carpenter: I think first and foremost, you are absolutely right. This is a tough job in the best of times, and we are in some of the most difficult and difficult to understand macroeconomic times right now. So, you noted interest rates being high, mortgage rates being high. There's very much an eye of the beholder phenomenon going on here. Now you're younger than I am. The first mortgage I had. It was eight and a half percent. Andrew Sheets: Hmm. Seth Carpenter: I bought a house in 2000 or something like that. So, by those standards, mortgage rates are actually quite low. So, it really comes down to a little bit of what you're used to. And I think that fact translates into lots of other places. So, inflation is now much higher than the committee's target. Call it 3 percent inflation instead core inflation on PCE, rather than 2 percent inflation target. Now, on the one hand that's clearly missing their target and the Fed has been missing their target for years. And we know that tariffs are pushing up inflation, at least for consumer goods. And Chair Powell and this committee have said they get that. They think that inflation will be temporary, and so they're going to look through that inflation. So again, there's a lot of judgment going on here. The labor market is quite weak. Andrew Sheets: Hmm. Seth Carpenter: We don't have the latest months worth of job market data because of the government shutdown; that'll be delayed by a few days. But we know that at the end of last year, non-farm payrolls were running well below 50,000. Under most circumstances, you would say that is a clear indication of a super weak economy. But! But if we look at aggregate spending data, GDP, private-domestic final purchases, consumer spending, CapEx spending. It's actually pretty solid right now. And so again, that sense of judgment; what's the signal you're going to look for? That's very, very difficult right now, and that's part of what the chair is going to have to do to try to bring the committee together, in order to come to a decision. So, one intellectually coherent argument is – the main way you could get strong aggregate demand, strong spending numbers, strong GDP numbers, but with pretty tepid labor force growth is if productivity is running higher and if productivity is going higher because of AI, for example, over time you could easily expect that to be disinflationary. And if it's disinflationary, then you can cut it. Interest rates now. Not worry as much as you would normally about high inflation. And so, the result could be a lower path for policy rates. So that's one version of the argument that I suspect you're going to hear. On the other hand, inflation is high and it's been high for years. So what does that mean? Well. History suggests that if inflation stays too high for too long, inflation psychology starts to change the way businesses start to set. Andrew Sheets: Mm-hmm. Seth Carpenter: Their own prices can get a little bit loosey-goosey. They might not have to worry as much about consumers being as picky because everybody's got used to these price changes. Consumers might be become less picky because, well, they're kind of sick of shopping around. They might be more willing to accept those higher prices, and that's how things snowball. So, I do think that the new chair is going to face a particularly difficult situation in leading a committee in particularly challenging times. But I've gone on for a long, long time there. And one of the things that I love about getting to talk to you, Andrew, is the fact that you also talked to lots of investors all around the world. You're based in London. And so when the topic of the new Fed chair comes up, what are the questions that you're getting from clients? Andrew Sheets: So, I think that there are a few questions that stand out. I mean, I think a dominant question among investors was around the stability of the U.S. dollar. And so, you could say a good development on the back of Kevin Warsh's nomination is that the market response to that has been the price action you would associate with more stability. You've seen the dollar rise; you've seen precious metals prices fall. You've seen equity markets and credit spreads be very stable. So, I think so far everything in the market reaction is to your; to the point that you raised, you know, consistent with this still being orthodox policy. Every Fed chair is different, but still more similar than different now. I think where it gets more divergent in client opinions is just – what are we going to see from the Fed? Are we going to see a real big change in policy? And I think that this is where there are very different views of Kevin Warsh from investors. Some who say, ‘Well, he's in the past talked about fighting inflation more aggressively, which would imply tighter policy.' And he's also talked more recently about the productivity gains from AI and how that might support lower interest rates. So, I think that there's going to be a lot of interest when he starts to speak publicly, when we see testimony in front of the Senate. I think the other, the final piece, which I think again, people do not have as fully formed an opinion on yet is – how does he lead the Fed if the data is unexpected? And you know, you mentioned inflation and, you know, Morgan Stanley has this forecast that: Well, owner's equivalent rent, a really key part of inflation, might be a little bit higher than expected, which might be a distortion coming off of the government shutdown and impacts on data. But there's some real uncertainty about the inflation path over the near term. And so, in short, I think investors are going to give the benefit of the doubt. For now, I think they're going to lean more into this idea that it will be generally consistent with the Fed easing policy over time, for now. Generally consistent with a steeper curve for now. But I think there's a lot we're going to find out over the next couple of weeks and months. Seth Carpenter: Yeah. No, I agree with you. Andrew, I have to say, I'm glad you're here in New York. It's always great to sit down and talk to you. Let's do it again before too long. Andrew Sheets: Absolutely, Seth. Thanks for taking the time to talk. And to our audience, thank you as always for your time. If you find Thoughts the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.

Today I'm joined by Michael Maroone, Chairman and CEO of Maroone USA. Michael breaks down why new cars are becoming commodities, where profit has actually migrated, and why culture, curiosity, and operational freedom matter more than pay plans. This episode is brought to you by: 1. Podium - 78% of customers buy from the first business that responds, yet most businesses reply an hour or more late. Jerry 2.0 is the only fully customizable AI Employee. Jerry learns your playbooks, understands your inventory, schedules appointments, books test drives, handles trade-ins, books consultations, sends promotions, requests reviews, and learns from your feedback—within minutes, day or night. Businesses now let Podium's AI Employees handle 40% of their inbound leads, giving teams more time for their customers—and more time home for dinner. Learn what Jerry can do for you @ here! 2. Carfax - Drive long-term customer loyalty with CARFAX. Visit @ https://www.carfax.com/ to learn more. 3. Nomad Content Studio - Most dealers still fumble social—posting dry inventory pics or handing it off without a plan. Meanwhile, the store down the street is racking up millions of views and selling / buying cars using video. That's where Nomad Content Studio comes in. We train your own videographer, direct what to shoot, and handle strategy, to posting, to feedback. Want in with the team behind George Saliba, EV Auto, and top auto groups? Book a call @ http://www.trynomad.co Check out Car Dealership Guy's stuff: For dealers: CDG Circles ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://cdgcircles.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Industry job board ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://jobs.dealershipguy.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Dealership recruiting ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.cdgrecruiting.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Fix your dealership's social media ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.trynomad.co⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Request to be a podcast guest ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.cdgguest.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ For industry vendors: Advertise with Car Dealership Guy ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.cdgpartner.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Industry job board ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://jobs.dealershipguy.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Request to be a podcast guest ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.cdgguest.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Topics: 06:10 Instead of GMs, use equity-owning "President Partners." 06:45 Use a "Freedom Frame" for flexible governance. 08:00 High goodwill stores make partner buy-ins impossible. 19:55 Never use compensation to run your business. 21:10 Ask 20 questions in every elevator ride. 24:15 New car product has been totally commoditized. 26:15 We are facing a lost generation of CapEx. 32:15 Measure "Super PVR" to see total deal economics. 39:45 Reject framework agreements; they only hinder growth. Car Dealership Guy Socials: X ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠x.com/GuyDealership⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠instagram.com/cardealershipguy/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tiktok.com/@guydealership⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠linkedin.com/company/cardealershipguy⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Threads ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠threads.net/@cardealershipguy⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Facebook ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠facebook.com/profile.php?id=100077402857683⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Everything else ➤ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠dealershipguy.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

By the end of 2026, AI capital expenditure is projected to hit nearly $700 billion. The question isn't who has the best model, but who has the most creative financing to build out AI infrastructure and beyond. Sarah Guo is joined by Neil Tiwari, Managing Director at Magnetar Capital, a financial innovator helping the AI industry scale from billions to trillions of dollars in CapEx. Neil explains some of the debt structures used to finance massive GPU clusters, who is taking the risk, and how the industry is maturing. Sarah and Neil also discuss how power distribution, energy storage, and physical materials like steel are the bottlenecks of the AI industry. Plus, Neil gives his take on the future of inference-optimized clouds, and why the market shift away from software and into infrastructure might be an overreaction. Sign up for new podcasts every week. Email feedback to show@no-priors.com Follow us on Twitter: @NoPriorsPod | @Saranormous | @EladGil  Chapters: 00:00 – Cold Open 00:05 – Neil Tiwari Introduction 00:26 – Magnetar's Story 01:28 – Why CoreWeave Helped Magnetar Win 06:15 – Scaling CapEx Efficiently 09:02 – Debunking GPU Collateral Risk 11:42 – How Deal Structures Evolve 13:01 – What Bottlenecks Buildout 15:28 – Circular Financing Critiques 17:35 – The Shift from Training to Inference Workloads 23:10 – AI Factories 24:12 – Constraints of the Current Power Grid 28:27 – Sovereign Compute Buildouts 29:54 – Physical AI Capital Needs 32:48 – The Capital Rotation Away from SaaS 36:04 – Conclusion

Nvidia's (NVDA) downside price action off what Olivier Blanchard considers stellar is "odd," though he understands concerns on the Big Tech CapEx narrative. Additionally, he sees a lack of energy supply serving as another major headwind for Nvidia. Keith Gangl notes that Nvidia is cheap compared to its historic average, now trading at a P/E ratio in the 20s. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Illia Polosukhin breaks down why AI needs blockchain as its backend, how formal verification could rewrite every line of code online, and what a post-labor economy looks like.We cover:- The Near.com Unified Interface Launch- Why Financial AI Needs Verifiable Privacy- The AI Agent Marketplace Explained- Chinese Open-Source Models vs. US Frontier Models- Cloud Inference Without the CapEx or Data Exposure- Will AI Break the Power Grid?Timestamps:00:00 Intro00:12 NEAR's Unified Commerce Layer02:39 Agentic Chain Abstraction04:50 Convergence of AI & Crypto07:49 Why Blockchain Is Built For Bots08:36 Crypto's Reputation Problem in AI10:04 Intent Infrastructure & Partnerships13:30 Consumer Product Distribution Strategy15:43 infiniFi, Relay Ads 16:30 Formal Verification & Code Rewriting20:09 Self-Replicating Agents Debate23:33 Post-AGI Economics & GDP24:02 Hibachi Ad27:17 Will Agents Create Their Own Currency?28:42 Tech Workforce & Gig Economy Shift31:18 DoorDash Is Cooked: Agent MarketplacesWebsite: https://therollup.co/Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1P6ZeYd...Podcast: https://therollup.co/category/podcastFollow us on X: https://www.x.com/therollupcoFollow Rob on X: https://www.x.com/robbie_rollupFollow Andy on X: https://www.x.com/ayyyeandyJoin our TG group: https://t.me/+TsM1CRpWFgk1NGZhThe Rollup Disclosures: https://goodidea.ventures

For most companies in the oil industry, drilling new wells is a major part of their business strategy. Today, we're highlighting a firm that's taking a very different tack. Will Ulrich has served as co-CEO of Presidio Petroleum alongside his partner Chris Hammack, since founding the company in 2017. Presidio's mission is to generate the oil industry's best return on capital by delivering the industry's lowest operating expenses, highest profitability and best emissions profile — all without doing any drilling. Today, Will shares Presidio's unique approach to value creation, their upcoming plan to go public via business combination, and the reasons why they're optimistic for the future. Highlights:Founding Presidio (1:57)Going Public (4:45)The end of the 'Capital Intensive Shale Era' (7:06)Institutional Backing (8:58)Dividend (10:46)Private Equity (13:58)Reducing Operating Costs (17:21)Field Incentive Plan (20:55)Stable Well Production (22:30)Hedging (23:42)CapEx (25:43)Acquisition Strategy (27:23)5-year Outlook (29:17)Links: Will Ulrich LinkedInPresidio LinkedInPresidio WebsiteICR LinkedInICR TwitterICR Website Feedback:If you have questions about the show, or have a topic in mind you'd like discussed in future episodes, email our producer, joe@lowerstreet.co.

Think your real estate portfolio is solid? What happens when rent stops, a tenant trashes the place, or you get hit with a $5,800 plumbing surprise out of nowhere? In this episode, Justin sits down with Mike and Dave to talk about the part of investing no one posts about on social media: reserves. Not flashy. Not exciting. But absolutely critical. Justin shares real stories from his own journey—including months with little to no payouts (even with paid-off properties), major turnovers, evictions, weather damage, and a painful $50K loss in a syndication deal. They break down how vacancies, CapEx (roofs, HVACs, water heaters), maintenance, and even slow property management timelines can crush unprepared investors. You'll learn: Why reserves are non-negotiable if you want to last in this game How much you should actually keep per property (at 1, 5, and 10+ doors) Why scaling reduces risk and stress The crucial difference between cash flow and distributions When to hold back profits—and when it's finally okay to take them How building reserves positions you for long-term wealth (and even tax advantages like REPS status) This episode is about staying calm when others panic, thinking long term, and building a portfolio that can weather any storm. If you're serious about real estate—and want confidence instead of anxiety—hit play.

Gary Shields calls this a “normalization year” and thinks the market can continue to move higher driven by AI. He doesn't see any underlying signals threatening the rally, citing factors like liquidity, strong balance sheets and strong earnings. He argues that AI is structural, not cyclical, and the difference between this and other cycles like the dot-com bubble is that AI companies are actually making money.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Dave Altavilla offers commentary on Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings minutes following the report. He says the company's record quarter shows that Nvidia is "powering" the AI trade on all fronts and helps ease fears of massive CapEx spending in hyperscalers like Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Meta Platforms (META). Dave also explains why he doesn't see margin compression in the cards for Nvidia. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Kevin Hincks opens the show with a simple thought: Where does all of the massive capital expenditure spending go? Nvidia (NVDA) is his answer. He and Nicole Petallides describe the significance of Nvidia's earnings release to the overall market, the tech sector and the hyperscaler customers for Nvidia. Later, he addresses President Trump's economic policy announcements during the State of the Union speech on Tuesday evening. Kevin also looks at the dip in mortgage rates, which he believes could stimulate the housing market this spring & summer. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why he still believes in a growth cycle for equity markets, even as investors show growing concerns around AI.Mike Wilson: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast, I'll be discussing recent concerns around AI disruption. It's Tuesday, February 24th at 1pm in New York. So, let's get after it. Last week you could feel it, that anxious undercurrent in the market. The headlines were noisy, volatility ticked higher, and AI disruption, once again, dominated investor conversations. But beneath the surface level unease something important happened. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index pushed to a new relative high, keeping our broadening thesis alive and well. On one hand, investors are worried about AI driven disruption, CapEx intensity, and potential labor force reductions. On the other hand, capital is still flowing into formerly lagging areas of the market, just as the median stock is seeing its strongest earnings growth in four years. Let's unpack this. First, there's concern AI will lead to job losses. But even if that's the case, there's typically a phase-in period. Companies don't just eliminate labor overnight. Importantly, before these productivity gains are fully realized, we need broad enterprise adoption. That means building out the agentic application layer, integrating AI into workflows, retraining systems and processes. That takes time, and it is still early days in that regard. Second, what we're seeing now is typical of a major investment cycle. Volatility increases as markets challenge the pace of unbridled spending. Dispersion increases as investors debate winners and losers. Leadership rotates, sometimes sharply. There's also something different this time compared to the internet bubble of the late 1990s. Today we're in an early cycle earnings backdrop. We've just emerged from what was effectively a rolling recession between 2022 and 2025. So, as capital rotates out of the perceived structural losers, it's not just chasing long-term AI beneficiaries, it's also finding classic cyclical winners. On the losing side is long duration services-oriented sectors, particularly software. These areas are more sensitive to uncertainty around longer term cash flows. This area also has a large overhang of private capital deployed over the last 10 to 15 years. There are other forces at play too. Small cap growth, arguably the longest duration segment of the market, began breaking down in late January around the time Kevin Warsh was nominated as Fed chair. While major indices barely reacted, more speculative areas may be responding to expectations of tighter liquidity given Warsh's, reputation as a balance sheet hawk. Finally, equity markets are typically more volatile when new Fed chairs assume office. Bottom line, our broader thesis of an early cycle rolling recovery remains intact. Market internals are supportive even if index level action feels choppy. That said, near term volatility is likely to persist as we enter a weaker seasonal window for retail demand, while liquidity remains ample, but far from abundant. With this backdrop, a quality cyclical barbell with healthcare makes sense. In small caps, the higher quality S&P 600 looks more attractive than the Russell 2000. And any short-term volatility could present opportunities to add exposure in preferred cyclical areas like Consumer Discretionary Goods, Industrials, and Financials. Of course, risks remain. AI adoption could accelerate faster than expected, pressuring labor markets more abruptly. Pricing power could erode as efficiency spread, and policy makers could react in ways that slow the CapEx cycle while crowded momentum positioning remains vulnerable. Nevertheless, the signal from the internals is clear. Beneath the volatility this looks less like a market rolling over, and more like one that is confirming an early cycle economic expansion. Thanks for tuning in. I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out.

Fear is expensive. In 2025, manufacturers delayed billions in capital projects because anxiety, not data, drove business decisions.But 2026 is different. Tax incentives expire mid-year, borrowing costs are down, and the hard data shows CapEx accelerating at 3-4%. The companies acting on facts while others remain frozen are the ones positioned to gain market share, capture expiring tax benefits, and pull ahead.This episode comes to you live from the A3 Forum 2026, where the message is clear: 2026 isn't about waiting for certainty. It's about preparing for complexity with multiple strategies, acting on hard economic data, and recognizing that technology will solve the labor shortage. You'll hear why geopolitics can no longer be ignored and why every manufacturing company needs dedicated monitoring and scenario-based planning to navigate constant disruption. We dig into why America's $1+ trillion manufacturing investment boom is creating career opportunities that rival the tech industry and why the outdated narrative around manufacturing jobs is costing the industry the next generation of talent. Plus, we explore how automation and robotics are becoming the central solution for critical challenges and how theme park robotics taught the industry the power of asking “how” instead of “no”.In this episode, find out:Why 2026 is transitioning from a year of uncertainty to a year of complexityHow to become a value-added partner instead of a transactional sellerHow America's $1+ trillion manufacturing investment is rebuilding domestic capabilityWhy manufacturing careers now offer competitive tech-level salariesWhy 92% of manufacturing CEOs prioritize smart manufacturing as their top growth strategyThe impact of expiring tax incentives on CapEx decision-making urgencyWhy AI has shifted from hype to practical implementation questionsHow theme park robotics pioneered human-robot collaboration and safety standardsWhy the answer should be "how" instead of "no" when facing unconventional challengesEnjoying the show? Please leave us a review here. Even one sentence helps. It's feedback from Manufacturing All-Stars like you that keeps us going!Tweetable Quotes:“We are in a manufacturing revolution, but most people don't realize it yet. More importantly, America is starting to learn how to rebuild and manufacture its own goods. We are starting the process to build and AI is a tool that will help close that chasm.” – Bob Little“If 2025 was marked as a year of uncertainty, I think we are now far enough into the process to recognize that it's transitioning to a year of complexity in 2026. You have to be prepared for a variety of different scenarios. You have to treat it almost like war gaming, if you think about it.” – Alex Chausovsky, “92% of manufacturing CEOs interviewed by Deloitte said smart automation or smart manufacturing...

Gary Vaughan from Daily Stock Picks returns to talk Nvidia earnings and other tech names (0:30) Tesla's evolution; 3 energy names; fundamentals vs reality (5:50) Daily investing and trading process (15:00) Stock and ETF portfolio as a large cap tech investor (24:50) Sandisk - an almost buy (34:00) Your timeframe matters (41:30)Show Notes:Stock Pickers Better Know When They're Going To SellMore Volatility Ahead In This AI Bull MarketWhy Lumentum Wins Over Coherent (For Now)Episode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

Ahmed Riesgo thinks the Supreme Court decision around tariffs is a long-term good for the market. He covers fears in the market around AI replacing jobs and disrupting sectors, arguing that such a shift without creating new jobs would be “ahistoric.” The dual contentions of the market, that AI capex is too high and that AI is going to take over everything, cannot both be real at the same time, Ahmed says – and he suspects that neither of them are quite real.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Two overlooked “levers” helped Kent Ritter scale past 1,000 multifamily units—and most operators have never even thought of them. One helps you keep tenant turnover low, slashes your CapEx costs by 30%, and keeps your cash flow flowing. The other allows you to build properties for cheaper, do less capital raising, and get on the local government's good side. Even if you've heard of these tactics, you probably haven't tried them. Today, Kent Ritter from Hudson Investing discusses two strategies most operators overlook: in-house property management and public-private partnerships (P3s). First, Kent gives one of the best arguments for self-managing your assets: it keeps tenants for longer, creates more durable cash flow, and has massively lowered his expenses. Plus, he shares a new AI tool that is speeding up leasing and keeping his staff costs near rock-bottom. Next, the $2,000,000+ benefit Kent's team is receiving from public-private partnerships (P3). These P3 partnerships allow him to build with less pushback, raise capital faster (and easier), and bring positive change to the cities he's investing in, further pushing up his property values. Insights from today's episode: The true cost of an average property manager and why Kent switched to in-house Receiving millions in incentives from local governments with public-private partnerships How to save 30%+ on your CapEx costs by simply putting your own people in place  Why your property isn't performing as well as you thought it would (you can fix this) Property management tech to use (and avoid) and a new AI tool Kent highly recommends  How to pinpoint the best public-private partnerships and which towns want you to build  — Connect with Kent on LinkedIn Invest with Hudson Investing Follow Kent on Instagram Ritter on Real Estate Podcast  EliseAI Recommended Resources: Accredited Investors, you're invited to Join the Cashflow Investor Club to learn how you can partner with Kevin Bupp on current and upcoming opportunities to create passive cash flow and build wealth. Join the Club! If you're a high net worth investor with capital to deploy in the next 12 months and you want to build passive income and wealth with a trusted partner, go to InvestWithKB.com for opportunities to invest in real estate projects alongside Kevin and his team.  Looking for the ultimate guide to passive investing? Grab a copy of my latest book, The Cash Flow Investor at KevinBupp.com.  Tap into a wealth of free information on Commercial Real Estate Investing by listening to past podcast episodes at KevinBupp.com/Podcast.

Why is iterating hardware so difficult and what would we do if it came time to start a business.In Episode #515 of 'Meanderings', Juan & I discuss: Clayton Christensen's 'The Innovator's Dilemma' book, why incumbents like IBM and Blockbuster struggled with disruptive shifts, how spin-outs can help large firms explore new markets, whether today's tech giants (NVIDIA, Amazon, Alphabet) are genuinely pivoting faster than past eras, the trap of single‑thesis bets (e.g., x402 via Coinbase/Circle), the difference between wealth and money via Paul Graham's classic essay, my slow‑ship shift toward building something around livestreaming/value-for-value/OpenClaw-style agents, Juan's practical plan to buy and streamline existing local service businesses and the enduring challenge of measuring value in a world awash with AI-generated content. No boostagrams but we do appreciate the streaming!Stan Link: https://stan.store/meremortalsTimeline:(00:00:00) Intro(00:00:36) The Innovator's Dilemma book(00:05:20) From hardware to software: DiSASSter(00:10:58) CapEx arms race: Nvidia up, Apple lagging(00:15:04) Incumbents can't buy their way out every time(00:19:13) Is AI truly disruptive? Capital, energy, and hype checks(00:24:50) Business cycles repeat: pivots, exits, and getting left behind(00:29:34) Investing today: concentration, tech dominance, and copper(00:34:05) Investing is prediction: outcomes vs decisions(00:38:02) Finding exposure: beware tiny bets inside behemoths(00:41:01) Boostagram Lounge and supporter shout-outs(00:42:04) Micropayments, value, and streaming money(00:45:19) Why Lightning may not fit continuous payments(00:49:53) Two paths: analogue community vs full-tilt AI grind(00:53:41) A niche edge: 'human-made' as a selling point(01:03:31) A creator's plan: livestreaming with OpenClaw automation(01:08:02) Work futures: lifestyle businesses and human uniqueness(01:14:58) Zero-to-one vs sustainment: knowing your role(01:20:04) Juan's near-term play: buy, streamline, and bundle SMBs(01:23:40) Wrap-up and sign-off Connect with Mere Mortals:Website: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/Discord: https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReUTwitter/X: https://twitter.com/meremortalspodsInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcastsValue 4 Value Support:Boostagram: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/supportPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4tNvJGE David Bahnsen opens Dividend Cafe after a volatile week marked by a weaker-than-expected GDP report and a Supreme Court ruling striking down President Trump's tariff rationale under the Economic Emergency Act (with a deeper tariff discussion coming Monday). His core thesis: disinflation is likely in 2026—and it may not feel positive. He clarifies the difference between inflation (rising prices), disinflation (slower price increases), and deflation (falling prices). Bond markets are signaling softer expectations, with the 10-year Treasury near 4.07% and five-year inflation breakevens around 2.4%, suggesting modest real growth ahead. Recent GDP registered about 1.4% annualized, distorted in part by a government shutdown, while core PCE inflation is roughly 3% year-over-year versus 2.9% a year ago. Bahnsen expects services-driven disinflation, particularly as rent measures catch up to real-time data. However, that may not improve affordability given tight housing inventory and a frozen resale market. He also warns that business investment is overly concentrated in AI and data centers—echoing the fracking-era CapEx surge—while broader investment remains subdued. Risks to growth include a weak labor market with low hiring, a personal saving rate near 3.4% (raising the chance tax refunds rebuild savings instead of fuel spending), and muted bank lending despite lower rates. 00:00 A wild news week 01:48 Cutting through economic spin 03:23 Why 2026 disinflation may disappoint 04:36 Bond market signals 07:16 GDP and data distortions 10:49 Services-led disinflation 14:05 Concentrated CapEx risk 16:38 Labor, savings, and lending 20:09 Tariffs and demand drag 22:24 What to watch next Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Donate (no account necessary) | Subscribe (account required) Join Bryan Dean Wright, former CIA Operations Officer, as he dives into today's top stories shaping America and the world. In this Listener Q&A episode of The Wright Report, Bryan previews President Trump's latest Five Bucket Strategy wins, including massive Japanese investment in U.S. industry, surging factory output, cooling inflation, falling rents, and strong signs that deportations are not harming the economy. He then tackles tough questions about Gaza reconstruction, Jeffrey Epstein's alleged intelligence ties, and whether the United States is on the brink of war with Iran. Bryan lays out the growing U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, what a strike could look like, and why he believes any conflict would focus on regime weakening, not occupation. The episode also explores behind-the-scenes negotiations in Cuba involving Raul Castro's grandson, a brewing constitutional clash with federal judges over deportations, and viral fear claims about an al-Qaeda cell inside America. Bryan closes with practical guidance on how to prepare for uncertain times and encouraging new medical research offering less invasive treatment options for recurring prostate cancer.   "And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free." - John 8:32     Keywords: February 19 2026 Wright Report, Five Bucket Strategy Japan investment Georgia Ohio Texas, factory output CAPEX core capital goods, deportations rents falling housing starts, Gaza Peace Board Trump, Jeffrey Epstein Israeli spy rumor AI image, war with Iran USS Abraham Lincoln Gerald Ford buildup, Operation Midnight Hammer comparison, Cuba Raul Castro Jr Rubio negotiations, Paula Xinis Kilmar Abrego Garcia deportation ruling, Shawn Ryan Sarah Adams al Qaeda cell claim, emergency preparedness Ready.gov kit, focal therapy prostate cancer London study

The Mag 7 have committed over $700 billion to AI infrastructure, but the companies building the models may never capture the value. Thank you to our sponsors: Adaptive Security Fuse: The Energy Network The BLS just quietly revised away 862,000 jobs, and real-time inflation trackers now peg price growth below 1%, less than half of what official figures report.  If the Fed is steering monetary policy with stale data, investors need to ask what else the models are getting wrong.  At the same time, the Mag 7 have committed more than $700 billion to AI infrastructure, with Anthropic alone projecting $1 trillion in revenue within five years. Is that conviction or the early stages of a debt cycle nobody is pricing?  And then there is the institutional side of crypto: BlackRock's BUIDL fund just landed on Uniswap with $2.4 billion in assets, Apollo acquired $90 million in Morpho tokens, and AI agents are already settling micropayments in stablecoins.  Austin Campbell, Ram Ahluwalia, and Christopher Perkins sit down with Truflation's CEO Stefan Rust to ask whether the numbers we trust are telling us the truth. Hosts: ⁠Ram Ahluwalia⁠, CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida ⁠Austin Campbell⁠, NYU Stern professor and founder and managing partner of Zero Knowledge Consulting ⁠Christopher Perkins⁠, Managing Partner and President of CoinFund Guest: Stefan Rust, Founder and CEO of Truflation Links: Unchained:  BlackRock Just Chose Uniswap. The Market Didn't Care. Here's Why. Apollo Moves Into DeFi Lending With Morpho Token Deal UNI Spikes on BlackRock DeFi Move, Then Gives It All Back Macro: NBC: U.S. had almost no job growth in 2025 PBS: Inflation measure falls to nearly five-year low as gas prices fall and housing costs cool Crowdfund Insider: Secretary Of The Treasury Scott Bessent Calls Out Truflation's Inflation Numbers At Senate Banking Hearing AI CapEx: Amazon, Google And Others Are Pouring $700 Billion Into AI CapEx, Top Analyst Explains Why This Makes It 'Hard' To Bet Against Nvidia CIO: Data center capex to hit $1.7 trillion by 2030 due to AI boom Reuters: OpenClaw founder Steinberger joins OpenAI, open-source bot becomes foundation Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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The Dow at 50,000 made headlines and even drifted into political theater, but beneath the surface this market is clearly split into two very different trades. The QE rotation continues to power industrials, energy, materials, utilities, and the equal-weight S&P, while the AI trade has stalled, particularly in software, as valuations reset and narratives swirl around CapEx, disruption, and whether the infrastructure cycle has peaked. In this episode, Mark and Matt break down the technical structure behind the divergence. They explain why the S&P continues to stall near 7,000 while RSP trends higher, what the MACD is actually signaling about momentum control, and why strong earnings and record profit margins are not the source of recent weakness. The feature segment then tackles the biggest AI questions investors are wrestling with right now and shifts toward the longer-term labor implications that could reshape the economic landscape.

Today, we discuss the ongoing "AI Overlay" trade, note another AI-related company that is not a hyperscaler, but is set to spend up to USD 200 billion on capacity expansions in coming years. Elsewhere, we discuss the strength of US treasury and Japans' government bond markets and whether this is contributing to pressure on precious metals. As well, we ponder whether both the US dollar and yen might strengthen against the other major currencies and the next keys for sterling direction. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.