Podcasts about capex

  • 799PODCASTS
  • 1,892EPISODES
  • 32mAVG DURATION
  • 2DAILY NEW EPISODES
  • Nov 7, 2025LATEST
capex

POPULARITY

20172018201920202021202220232024

Categories



Best podcasts about capex

Show all podcasts related to capex

Latest podcast episodes about capex

Target Market Insights: Multifamily Real Estate Marketing Tips
It's Time to Rethink How You Analyze Deals with Mac Shelton, , Ep. 763

Target Market Insights: Multifamily Real Estate Marketing Tips

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2025 37:45


Mac Shelton is the co-founder of Sweetbay Capital, a real estate private equity firm focused on value-add multifamily investments in Virginia and the Carolinas. With a background in private equity and mezzanine lending, Mac blends institutional financial experience with a data-driven approach to real estate. Since 2021, he and his team have built a portfolio of over 340 units, concentrating on under-the-radar markets like Roanoke, VA, where rent growth consistently outpaces new supply.     Make sure to download our free guide, 7 Questions Every Passive Investor Should Ask, here.     Key Takeaways Rent growth—not population growth—is the key driver of returns Markets with less outside capital often outperform due to better entry pricing and lower volatility Renovation premiums are often overestimated—test before scaling your plan Conservative exit underwriting should account for the next buyer's view, not just your own Transparency with investors builds trust and fuels long-term partnerships     Topics Why Sweetbay Focuses on Smaller Markets Smaller markets like Roanoke and Columbia are producing higher rent growth with lower acquisition costs Mac compares tertiary markets to places like Raleigh in the early 2000s—under the radar but primed for stable returns Oversupply in "hot" metros like Raleigh and Charlotte is driving rents down, while less popular markets remain steady Data Over Hype: What Drives Rent Growth Rent growth is more important than population growth and is driven by renter population relative to new supply Mac shares an analysis comparing Roanoke to Raleigh, Charlotte, and Greenville—showing similar or better rent performance with lower price per door Why Lease Trade-Outs and Renewals Matter Lease trade-outs measure organic rent growth, but renewals give even clearer insight into demand Renewals at 3–4% growth without renovations are often a better gauge than turnover metrics Exit Assumptions: Thinking Like the Next Buyer Every acquisition includes a re-underwrite from the future buyer's perspective Mac shares how he checks cap rate assumptions against current comps and validates price-per-door benchmarks Transitioning from Private Equity to Real Estate Mac started his career in private equity and gradually began acquiring rentals with his bonus income His first syndication scaled a student rental model he'd already executed personally Investor Communication and Building Trust Sweetbay Capital emphasizes detailed offering memorandums with full fee transparency and CapEx justifications Quarterly reports compare actuals vs original projections—no adjusted budgets or post-hoc explanations Advice for New Syndicators Don't start syndicating without doing your own deals first—prove the model with your money Sweetbay's first deal had no promote, just a 3% acquisition fee, to reduce friction and earn investor trust The best way to grow capital is to return it and reinvest with a strong track record    

Standard Chartered Money Insights
Cut to the Chase! Guidance, CAPEX and Visibility

Standard Chartered Money Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2025 3:35


Daniel Lam looks at these three key factors, that investors have been focusing upon in the current US earnings season.

Procurement Initiative Leaders Podcast
Ep. 22 - Beyond ‘Your Wish Is My Command': Elevating Procurement to a Strategic Partner - with Niels Walberg

Procurement Initiative Leaders Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2025 75:20


If Procurement is still a ‘your wish is my command' function at your company, you're leaving value on the table.In this episode, host Mike Jansen speaks with Niels Walberg, CPO at K+S Aktiengesellschaft. With over 25 years in procurement, Niels shares how he's driving the shift from reactive service provider to strategic partner at a €1.5 billion spend organisation.He explains why clear KPIs and supplier performance management matter, why stakeholder buy-in is the true lever for lasting change, and how Procurement can embed itself into complex CapEx projects to deliver real business value.You'll learn:1. How Procurement can shift from service provider to strategic partner2. Why strategic coverage outperforms savings as a steering KPI3. The role of stakeholder engagement in driving lasting change4. What makes performance management with contractors effective5. Practical lessons from digitising and simplifying procurement processes___________Get in touch with Niels Walberg on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/niels-walberg-023308b0/___________About the host Mike Jansen:Mike Jansen is Partner at H&Z Management Consulting with over a decade of experience enhancing the value that procurement delivers to organisations. Driven by a passion for tackling challenges, Mike thrives on competition—whether with others or himself. Outside of work, Mike enjoys quality time with his wife and children.Get in touch with Mike Jansen on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jansen-mike/

On The Tape
Is The AI Spending Bus Heading Towards A Cliff?

On The Tape

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025 24:36


In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas delve into various market trends and economic indicators. They discuss the OpenAI and Amazon cloud compute agreement, CapEx spending, and the ISM manufacturing index's recent performance. Moreover, they analyze the bond market's reaction to economic data and the Federal Reserve's policies. The conversation also covers the underperformance of Bitcoin, the housing market's challenges, and the gold market's fluctuations. The episode concludes with insights into Warren Buffett's cash holdings at Berkshire Hathaway and a sports commentary on the recent Green Bay Packers game. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

The Future of Water
Is Water Reuse Going Mainstream?

The Future of Water

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025 45:07


In this episode, host Reese Tisdale is joined by Bluefield analyst Megan Bondar to unpack the pressures and opportunities shaping water reuse—a cornerstone of resilient water supply planning that's gaining momentum across the U.S. Bluefield's latest analysis projects US$47.1 billion in CAPEX for municipal reuse infrastructure through 2035, highlighting a shift in how utilities and cities are thinking about long-term water resilience. From California's drought-driven projects to saltwater intrusion along the East Coast, water reuse is expanding. In this conversation, Reese and Megan explore what's driving this growth—and what it means for utilities, communities, and the industries that depend on them. In this episode: What's behind the surge in water reuse investment—and how it reflects a new mindset around resilience. How utilities and policymakers are addressing challenges like cost, permitting, and public perception. Why potable reuse is emerging as a larger share of new capacity additions by 2035. How regional factors—from groundwater depletion in the West to saltwater intrusion in the East—are shaping different approaches. The role of industrial demand, especially from data centers, in accelerating public-private partnerships for reuse. What separates the leaders from the laggards in planning, financing, and executing reuse projects. If you enjoy listening to The Future of Water Podcast, please tell a friend or colleague, and if you haven't already, please click to follow this podcast wherever you listen. If you'd like to be informed of water market news, trends, perspectives and analysis from Bluefield Research, subscribe to Waterline, our weekly newsletter published each Wednesday. Related Research & Analysis: U.S. Municipal Water Reuse: Market Trends and Forecasts, 2025–2035 

The Information's 411
BlackRock's Tony Kim on AI Deals, Goldman Sachs Economist's AI Report, AI Accounting | Nov 4, 2025

The Information's 411

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025 39:37


The Information's E-comm Reporter Ann Gehan talks with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about Shopify's Q3 earnings and their AI strategy. We also talk with Financial Analysis Columnist Anita Ramaswamy about Uber's growth and Palantir's accelerating US commercial business. OpenAI & Anthropic Reporter Sri Muppidi details Anthropic's new $70B revenue projection and its race to profitability against OpenAI. The Information's CEO Jessica Lessin speaks with BlackRock's Tony Kim about the OpenAI-AWS deal, shifting alliances in AI, and the CapEx boom's effect on big tech valuations. Lastly, we get into how corporations are using AI and its effect on the labor market with Goldman Sachs Senior Global Economist Joseph Briggs.Articles discussed on this episode:https://www.theinformation.com/articles/introducing-informations-50-promising-startups-2025https://www.theinformation.com/articles/information-50s-top-performers-2024https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/shopify-continues-boost-revenue-shares-fall-increased-costshttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-projects-70-billion-revenue-17-billion-cash-flow-2028TITV airs on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Subscribe to: - The Information on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation4080/?sub_confirmation=1- The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agenda

Material Handling Masters Podcast
Economic Advisory Report – October 2025

Material Handling Masters Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025


The MHEDA Quarterly Economic Report, published by ITR Economics, provides an in-depth look into the latest economic data and forecasts specifically focused on the material handling industry. Topics discussed in this episode include industrial sector growth, discretionary spending, purchasing manager's index, CAPEX growth, rising consumer and producer price index, the MHEDA markets dashboard and more.

On The Tape
Dan Greenhaus: Pardon The Interruption

On The Tape

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 43:43


In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Dan Greenhaus, the chief economist and strategist at Solus Alternative Asset Management. Returning since his last appearance in July, Dan shares his consistently accurate market predictions, offering insights into the recent earnings season and the broader economic landscape. The discussion covers the impact of company-specific data versus macroeconomic data, consumer behavior, and the role of the Federal Reserve. They also analyze the AI-driven CapEx boom, its implications for various sectors, and how companies are financing this growth. The conversation culminates in reflections on inflation, politics, and the significant economic challenges and opportunities moving into the next year. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast
Strategy for Operational Processes with Damon Thomas of Providence Senior Living

Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 21:11 Transcription Available


In this episode of Bridge the Gap, BTG Ambassador and FSLA Board Member Damon Thomas, Senior VP of Operations at Providence Senior Living, joins the show. Damon shares practical insights on smooth senior living operations, leadership evolution, and the importance of culture in smaller, regional organizations. From his “daily alignment” meetings to managing the ever-present “top ten” list, Damon reveals how consistency and intentionality build thriving communities. Sponsored by Aline, NIC MAP, Procare HR, Sage, Hamilton CapTel, Service Master, The Bridge Group Construction and Solinity. Become a sponsor of the Bridge the Gap Network.Produced by Solinity Marketing.Connect with BTG on social media:YouTubeInstagramFacebookTwitterLinkedInTikTokMeet the Hosts:Lucas McCurdy, @SeniorLivingFan Owner, The Bridge Group Construction; Senior Living Construction Renovation, CapEx, and Reposition. Joshua Crisp, Founder and CEO, Solinity; Senior Living Development, Management, Marketing and Consulting.

Redefining Energy
202. The US Power Industry Mismatch: Large Load Growth vs. Investment Capital - Nov25

Redefining Energy

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 28:18 Transcription Available


Laurent and Gerard have an explosive conversation with Bryan Long, Executive Director in JPMorgan's Commodities Group.They explore why U.S. energy market signals are failing to support new capacity investments, despite soaring demand (especially from datacenters).  Key issues include misaligned pricing, liquidity constraints, and hedging challenges, all of which deter long-term private capital.Key Takeaways: Current price signals don't support investment in new generation, even as large load growth (e.g., datacenters) is accelerating. Market structures must evolve to better reflect long-term price signals and attract private capital. Supply-side issues: New natural gas peakers and battery storage (BESS) face fragmented development, rising CAPEX, procurement delays, and tariff risks. Industry response: Major consolidation in the IPP space—private equity-backed assets are being acquired by integrated players seeking scale for hyperscaler deals.Possible solutions may include Repricing of forward curves, Government-backed long-term contracts, Regulatory reforms, Technological advancements Bottom line: Something must shift—be it policy, pricing, or tech—to align investment incentives with future demand growth. The next several years should be great for traders in the middle of the action.Conclusion: Between the Large Load Growth and the Investment Capital, who will blink first?   ------------  Bryan Long is an Executive Director in JPMorgan's Commodities Group, focused on wholesale power & renewable energy transactions. With 20yrs+ experience across various U.S. Power trading, origination and management roles, he has deep understandings of electricity market structures.    

The Circuit
EP 140: NVIDIA's $300B chart, CAPEX to the MOON FOREVER!

The Circuit

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 53:44


The conversation delves into the competitive landscape of cloud computing, focusing on Nvidia's ambitions and the fragmentation of the market with numerous Neo clouds. Jay Goldberg discusses the implications of this fragmentation for Nvidia and its customers, who are increasingly seeking to develop their own custom silicon.

Cloud Wars Live with Bob Evans
Google Cloud Q3 Blowout: Winning New Biz $ $ Over Microsoft

Cloud Wars Live with Bob Evans

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 5:16


In today's Cloud Wars Minute, I look at the shift in enterprise preference from Microsoft to Google Cloud.Highlights00:15 — The three original hyperscalers all released numbers for Q3 last year. Each should be proud, but Google Cloud stood out in a significant way. Its Q3 revenue is up 34% to $15.2 billion. Its Q2 growth had been 32%, so, accelerating here. Mid-year, it said its CapEx would be $75 billion for all of 2025. A few months ago, it said, “Now we're going to have to make it $85 billion..."01:38 — Now it's saying it's going to be somewhere between $91 and $93 billion for this year. If you take the three hyperscalers in their Q3 performance here: $49.1 billion for Microsoft, up 26%, , terrific results. AWS, $33 billion; that was up 20%, so accelerating from Q2's 17.5% — very nice. And then Google Cloud, $15.2 billion, as I mentioned, up 34%.02:39 — AWS and Microsoft are much larger than Google Cloud. Regarding new business Microsoft added $2.4 billion, AWS $2.1 billion, and Google Cloud $1.6 billion. So how does that play out? Well, of the $6.1 billion in incremental new revenue, Q3 over Q2, Microsoft got 39.3%, AWS, 34.4%, and Google Cloud,26.2%. So, for Google Cloud, 15.6% overall, but 26.2% of the new business.03:47 — My point here is that some previous long-range contracts that these companies have been winning have positioned AWS and Microsoft as much larger than Google Cloud; they've earned that. But looking forward here, in the early days of the AI Revolution, Google Cloud is gaining a disproportionate share of new business based on its size relative to AWS and Microsoft.04:44 — But I think the interesting thing here is to say, of the new business and looking forward, who's winning this stuff — sort of right here, right now — forgetting the size disparities that have been up in the past. And Google Cloud, on that front, is looking very good. Visit Cloud Wars for more.

Merryn Talks Money
Rob Arnott on AI Mania: Lessons From the Dot-Com Era

Merryn Talks Money

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 43:52 Transcription Available


Is the AI boom just a bubble or the start of something bigger? Host Merryn Somerset Webb sits down with Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, to compare artificial intelligence mania with the dot-com era, unpack sky-high valuations and market concentration while exploring what rising competition, power constraints and Capex mean for Nvidia and the “Magnificent Seven.” Arnott shares a pragmatic playbook—fade frothy winners, favor fundamentals (including his RAFI approach) and look to small caps, the UK and emerging markets—plus candid takes on Bitcoin and holding a little gold as insurance.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Six Five with Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman
EP 283: Mag 7 Earnings: Meta's Capex, AWS Comeback, NVIDIA GTC 2025, and Apple's iPhone Miss

The Six Five with Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 67:09


On this episode of The Six Five Pod, hosts Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman discuss the tech news stories that made headlines this week. The handpicked topics for this week are:   Key Takeaways from NVIDIA GTC and Infrastructure Build-Out: Jensen Huang's keynote delivery. Nvidia's co-architecture approach to power systems, water systems, and manufacturing. Partnerships with Vertiv, Siemens, and GE Vernova for infrastructure development. Key partnership announcements from NVIDIA to build seven supercomputers, competing with AMD's dominance.   OpenAI and Microsoft Partnership Restructuring: Microsoft's $12-13 billion investment for 50/50 partnership structure. Renegotiation allowing OpenAI conversion to a for-profit entity. Microsoft's potential 27% ownership stake valued at approximately $270 billion. Sam Altman's equity position and IPO preparation for a potential trillion-dollar valuation.   Qualcomm's AI Chip Launch: AI 200 and AI 250 announcement driving 20% stock price surge. Strong Wall Street reaction despite limited technical details available. Credible entry into the data center market with scale-up methodology. 2027 timeline for scale-up technologies, including NVLink adoption.   DOE Supercomputer Partnerships: AMD's billion-dollar partnership for two additional supercomputers. Continued dominance in high-performance computing with 64-bit precision. U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright's recent recognition from both NVIDIA's Jensen Huang and AMD's Lisa Su. Highlights of government investments towards winning science across multiple domains.   AWS Anthropic Trainium Partnership: A one-million Trainium chips commitment from Anthropic. Validation of AWS's custom silicon strategy. Recognition that all available chips are selling in the current market. Multi-generation improvement trajectory similar to Google's TPU.   Google Public Sector Event Highlights: Google's military and government sector transformation under Google Cloud CEO, Thomas Kurian. Impressive Gemini for Government agent demonstrations. Seven-minute agent creation showcasing platform capabilities. On-premise GDC deployment with Lockheed Martin for air-gapped AI.   Government Stakes Debate: Discussion of AI, quantum, rare earth minerals, and chip manufacturing.   Federal Reserve Rate Cut: Fed Chairman Powell's extensive data center commentary.   OpenAI Valuation: A trillion-dollar IPO valuation deemed "completely bonkers."   ServiceNow Earnings, Alphabet/Google Earnings, Meta Earnings: Unpacking tech's earnings season.   Microsoft Azure: 40% Azure growth with $400 billion booked business. For a deeper dive into each topic, please click on the links above. Be sure to subscribe to The Six Five Pod so you never miss an episode.

Innovation to Save the Planet
We Don't Really Finish Projects. We Abandon Projects.

Innovation to Save the Planet

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 49:01 Transcription Available


The closeout process is where most projects quietly fail. In this episode ofKP Unpacked, the #1 podcast in AEC, KP Reddy and Nick pull back the curtain on why handovers break, why owners get stuck with the bill, and how to design for decades instead of deadlines. From BIM's broken promise to the CapEx vs OpEx split, this is a hard reset on how AEC should finish work.Highlights1) Documentation and dataBIM vs reality: digital models did not eliminate banker boxes or fragmented handoversDocumentation as asset value: warranties, submittals, service records as the true owner's manualModern handover standard: digitize everything, make it queryable, and keep data portable across owners2) Incentives and ownership structureCapEx vs OpEx: split mindset drives short-term choices that hurt operationsIncentives and warranties: tie first five years of maintenance to designers and contractorsDesign–Build–Operate: operating accountability changes what gets built3) Operations and economicsMaintenance economics: lifecycle costs can exceed build costs and should change design choicesManufacturers and feedback loops: lost warranty visibility and how direct data ties prevent waste4) Process and workflowsDecentralized workflows: hundreds of contributors, no single system, and why forcing one platform fails at closeout5) Owner playbookSet closeout requirements early, enforce data standards in contracts, and involve operations from day one.This is exactly why we launched the Owner Training Series to help owners and owner reps fix what breaks between design, build, and handover. Learn how to manage risk, enforce better closeouts, and align your teams for long-term success.2nd Webinar is on Nov 20th.Enroll now and get the replay of first one → https://kpreddy.co/owner-training-seriesAEC leaders, operators, and innovators, this one matters. Listen now and fix your closeout before it burns value.Sounds like you? Join the waitlist at https://kpreddy.co/Check out one of our Catalyst conversation starters, AEC Needs More High-Agency ThinkersHope to see you there!

Let It Grow Investing
Earnings driving market action!

Let It Grow Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2025 37:18


On this episode:United Parcel Service (UPS):Financials: Beat on adjusted EPS and revenue, but consolidated revenue declined slightly Y/Y.Key Action: Focused on profitability by strategically shedding low-margin volume, including a "planned glide down" of Amazon volume.Outlook: International segment was strong; domestic performance reflects cost controls and deliberate mix management.Caterpillar (CAT):Financials: Strong beat on revenue (up 10% Y/Y) and adjusted EPS.Key Driver: Booming demand in Energy & Transportation for power generation equipment—a direct connection to the massive build-out of AI data centers.Outlook: Large and growing backlog suggests sustained momentum from infrastructure demand.Alphabet (GOOGL):Financials: Reported its first-ever $100 Billion revenue quarter, beating expectations. EPS also beat.AI Engine: CEO cited a "full-stack approach to AI" as the core driver of growth across Search, Cloud, and YouTube.Cloud: Google Cloud (GCP) revenue surged 34%, validating large AI investments.CapEx: Expects higher Capital Expenditures (CapEx) going forward to meet AI/Cloud demand.Amazon (AMZN):Financials: Strong beats on revenue and EPS.Cloud Comeback: Amazon Web Services (AWS) growth re-accelerated to over 20%, easing investor concerns and leading to a positive stock reaction.Segments: Retail was solid; Advertising remains a high-growth pillar, enhanced by AI targeting.Meta Platforms (META):Financials: Excellent 26%+ revenue growth on strong ad performance. However, GAAP EPS missed due to a significant, one-time tax/legal charge.The AI Cost: Management is aggressively increasing spending on AI infrastructure (CapEx) and hiring to build "personal superintelligence," which is weighing on near-term margins.User Growth: Daily Active People (DAP) continued its strong growth trajectory.The AI Arms Race: The biggest theme is the massive, multi-billion dollar CapEx cycle by Google, Amazon, and Meta, driving demand for specialized infrastructure (chips, data centers, power generation).Cloud Competition: AWS's re-acceleration keeps the pressure on Google Cloud, making AI feature integration the primary competitive battleground.Operational Discipline: In a mixed economic environment, companies like UPS are prioritizing margin preservation and quality of business over volume at any cost.

Energy News Beat Podcast
CapEx Growth Returns What It Means for Oil & Gas Investors the ENB Weekly Recap

Energy News Beat Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 1, 2025 24:32


In this episode of the Energy Newsbeat Daily Standup - Weekly Recap, Stuart Turley and Michael Tanner break down a whirlwind of critical updates—from Secretary Chris Wright's aggressive timeline on rare earth mineral development to the real story behind ANWR lease openings and the mounting capital challenges in Alaska's frozen frontier. They dive into sanctions, Venezuela's geopolitics, and the myth of energy “transition” vs the reality of energy addition. Plus, insights on TotalEnergies' Anadarko gas deal, Equinor's earnings miss, and why utilities and fossil fuels are still where the real returns lie. Buckle up for the smartest 20 minutes in energy.Subscribe to Our Substack For Daily InsightsWant to Add Oil & Gas To Your Portfolio? Fill Out Our Oil & Gas Portfolio SurveyNeed Power For Your Data Center, Hospital, or Business?Follow Stuart On LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/stuturley/ andTwitter: https://twitter.com/STUARTTURLEY16Follow Michael On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelta... andTwitter: https://twitter.com/mtanner_1Timestamps:00:00 - Intro00:17 - Secretary Chris Wright has a plan for Rare Earth and Critical Minerals – What is the timeline?03:36 - Now that the Alaska ANWR is Open for Lease Sales, Who Will Develop?08:10 - New Oil Sanctions Will Not Stop Russia's War Machine14:08 - We Are in an Energy Addition, Not Transition20:08 - TotalEnergies Bolsters US Gas Presence with 49% Stake in Anadarko Basin Assets22:07 - Lower Oil Prices Hit Equinor's Q3 Profits and They Miss Analysts Estimates24:23 - OutroLinks to articles discussed:Secretary Chris Wright has a plan for Rare Earth and Critical Minerals – What is the timeline?Now that the Alaska ANWR is Open for Lease Sales, Who Will Develop?New Oil Sanctions Will Not Stop Russia's War MachineWe Are in an Energy Addition, Not TransitionTotalEnergies Bolsters US Gas Presence with 49% Stake in Anadarko Basin AssetsLower Oil Prices Hit Equinor's Q3 Profits and They Miss Analysts Estimates

Forward Guidance
The Fed's Hawkish Cut & The Financial Hunger Games | Weekly Roundup

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 55:57


This week, we discuss the Fed meeting, including the end of quantitative tightening and the impact of its balance sheet plans. We also dig into how market structure imbalances and political polarization are reshaping markets, the “financial Hunger Games” of meme-driven trading, rising CapEx from AI megacaps, and the centralization of wealth and power across institutions. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance __ Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1E5w8fmngVNuC4lyl-PCV5qAPewW_lyKm/view?usp=sharing — Grayscale offers more than 30 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal. https://www.grayscale.com/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-forwardguidance — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:05) Private-Public Market Divergence (05:08) Fed Meeting Takeaways (11:17) Grayscale Ad (11:56) Market Structure Rabbit Hole (17:26) The Bifurcating Economy (23:01) Fed Balance Sheet Changes (27:40) Impact on Markets (31:27) Grayscale Ad (32:15) High-Yield Earnings & Market Concentration (37:51) BigTech Capex Transition (42:19) The Dystopian AI Future (45:53) Why is Bitcoin Dumping? (48:37) The Market is a Casino (51:28) Realigning Market Incentives (55:06) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

TD Ameritrade Network
Asking ‘Spooky' Questions About AI Capex; Smothers' Mag 7 Picks

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 7:09


Dale Smothers believes AI capex can get “spooky if you ask the right questions,” and calls it the story traders should be focused on. “At what point – and how – do we turn all of this artificial intelligence into profitability?” He posits that the sector might be overvalued because of the difficulty of answering that question. However, he still likes Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN), CoreWeave (CRWV) – and Royal Caribbean (RCL).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Grow Everything Biotech Podcast
153. Ghosts of Biotech Past: Veronica Breckenridge's Playbook for Smarter Scaling

Grow Everything Biotech Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 62:57


In this Halloween-themed episode, Veronica Breckenridge from First Bite returns to discuss her eye-opening "Industrial Bio-Manufacturing Graveyard Report." Drawing from her experience scaling companies like Apple and Tesla, Veronica reveals why 80% of bio-manufacturing startups fail—and it's not because of bad science. The conversation explores critical mistakes like targeting commodity markets too early, underestimating downstream processing costs, and the "build it and they will come" mentality that has buried promising ventures. Veronica explains why now is actually the best time to invest in bio-manufacturing, citing decreasing costs (3 million times cheaper in 25 years), rising consumer demand for healthier alternatives to petroleum-based products, and increased government support for domestic manufacturing. She shares tactical advice on patient capital structures, the importance of strategic partnerships over going solo, and why bio-manufacturing is more analogous to hardware scaling than pharmaceutical development. The episode offers valuable lessons for founders, investors, and anyone interested in the future of sustainable manufacturing.Grow Everything brings the bioeconomy to life. Hosts Karl Schmieder and Erum Azeez Khan share stories and interview the leaders and influencers changing the world by growing everything. Biology is the oldest technology. And it can be engineered. What are we growing?Learn more at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.messaginglab.com/groweverything⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Chapters:(00:00:00) - Halloween intro and SNL's Snack Homies discussion(00:04:17) - Zombie apocalypse: Could fungi or viruses cause real zombies?(00:09:12) - Beyond Meat stock surge and meme trading(00:11:34) - Introducing the Graveyard Report and Veronica Breckenridge(00:14:23) - Why Veronica moved from Tesla to bio-manufacturing(00:19:45) - The three recurring market fit errors killing startups(00:27:56) - Why targeting commodity markets is a seductive trap(00:35:18) - Downstream processing: The overlooked cost killer(00:42:31) - CapEx overruns and the importance of strategic partnerships(00:48:07) - Patient capital structures for deep tech ventures(00:53:22) - What makes this moment different: Why invest now(00:58:14) - Quick fire questions and closing thoughtsLinks and Resources:First BightThe Industrial Biomanufacturing Graveyard ReportBiowell Biotech AcceleratorGinkgo ConsultingCapgeminiMcKinsey120. Busting Biotech's Bottlenecks: Veronica Breckenridge on the Path to Industrial Scale151. Report on Reports: Cash Flow, Carbon, and the BioeconomyZombie-like effects from fungusBeyond Meat's Stock SpikeTedX BostonTechnoeconomic Analysis Tool⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Topics Covered: industrial biomanufacturing, biotech, business, growth stage, graveyard report, halloweenHave a question or comment? Message us here:Text or Call (804) 505-5553 ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠  / ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ / ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ / ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Youtube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ / ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Grow Everything⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Email: groweverything@messaginglab.comMusic by: NihiloreProduction by: Amplafy Media

Doppelgänger Tech Talk
OpenAI For-Profit | Tech Earnings: Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Apple, Cloudflare #506

Doppelgänger Tech Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 78:12


OpenAI vollendet Umstrukturierung mit neuer Ownership-Struktur und $250 Milliarden Azure-Verpflichtung. Sam Altman hält keine direkten Anteile. Microsoft Earnings zeigen OpenAI-Verluste von $11-13 Milliarden pro Quartal durch Equity-Accounting. Amazon überzeugt mit starker AWS-Beschleunigung und $125 Milliarden CapEx-Plan. Google durchbricht $100 Milliarden Quartalsumsatz mit starkem Cloud- und Search-Wachstum trotz ChatGPT. 650 Millionen monatliche Gemini-Nutzer. Meta enttäuscht Investoren trotz Rekordwachstum wegen massiver CapEx ohne Cloud-Geschäft zur Refinanzierung. Apple kündigt zweistelliges Wachstum mit iPhone 17 an. Cloudflare und Reddit überzeugen mit Wachstumsbeschleunigung. Trump Jr. profitiert von Pentagon-Drohnenauftrag an seine Drohnenfirma. Naomi Seibt beantragt US-Asyl wegen angeblicher politischer Verfolgung. Unterstütze unseren Podcast und entdecke die Angebote unserer Werbepartner auf ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠doppelgaenger.io/werbung⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Vielen Dank!  Philipp Glöckler und Philipp Klöckner sprechen heute über: (00:00:00) OpenAI Microsoft Deal und IPO-Pläne (00:13:36) Microsoft Earnings (00:23:32) Amazon Earnings (00:38:46) Google Earnings (00:49:07) Meta Earnings (00:56:53) Apple Earnings (00:58:41) Cloudflare Earnings (01:03:27) Reddit Earnings (01:05:41) Trump Jr. Pentagon-Deal (01:07:55) Binance-Begnadigung (01:09:52) Naomi Seibt US-Asyl (01:16:11) Meta Porno-Vorwürfe Shownotes OpenAI bereitet IPO mit Bewertung von bis zu 1 Billion Dollar vor – reuters.com OpenAI-Umstrukturierung treibt Microsofts Bewertung über $4 Billionen – ft.com Trump Jr.-verbundene Drohnenfirma erhält Pentagon-Vertrag – ft.com Naomi Seibt: AfD-nahe Influencerin beantragt Asyl in den USA – spiegel.de Meta: Pornografie-Downloads für persönlichen Gebrauch, nicht KI-Training – mashable.com

Explore Podcast | Startups Founders and Investors
[Weekly] The Case For "Boring" Industries

Explore Podcast | Startups Founders and Investors

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 28:43


Everyday AI Podcast – An AI and ChatGPT Podcast
Ep 643: Amazon Cuts 30,000 jobs in AI push. What this means for the the U.S. economy.

Everyday AI Podcast – An AI and ChatGPT Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 40:24


Inside Scoop
Meta Q3 2025 Post-Mortem: AI Spend vs ROI

Inside Scoop

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 7:37 Transcription Available


Meta just reported Q3 earningsRevenue up +26% Y/Y, engagement accelerating, and yet the stock fell 8%.In this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., breaks down why the market is suddenly questioning Meta's $70B+ AI spending plans, what this means for ROI, and whether we're entering “Metaverse 2.0” territory.We explore: • Why Meta's core business is stronger than ever • How AI infrastructure is driving engagement and ad performance • Why investors are beginning to push back on CAPEX at all costs • The tension between long-term vision and near-term returns • What this shift could mean for broader AI infrastructure players⚡ Clear growth, rising scrutiny: Meta's results mark a turning point in how markets judge AI investment.

TD Ameritrade Network
Huge AI Capex vs Consumer Spending Woes: Where Does the Economy Go?

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 5:51


Powell says he's remaining data dependent, but he doesn't have the data, says Eric Diton. “He's not comfortable” with the market pricing in further rate cuts right now, he argues. “My guess is that we're going to see continued weakness in the labor market…that's just the new normal.” He notes huge AI capex may be leaving lower income consumers struggling.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

TD Ameritrade Network
Analysts Hit META with Price Target Cut Over A.I. CapEx Spending

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 7:42


Meta Platforms (META) sold off more than 10% after earnings with investors and analysts alike sharing concerns for the company's increased CapEx spending. Marley Kayden takes traders through the list of price target cuts from analysts to highlight the heart of their concerns. Joe Tigay says he's "cautiously pessimistic" on Meta as he offers an example options trade for the Mag 7 stock.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Breakaway
Meta, Amazon, NFLX, Tesla, Nvidia, Palantir, Apple

Breakaway

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 36:05


Wealth Management can be a scam. Spoke to a 35-year old paying XX 1.5% a year to manage his $5.5M. If he keeps going until retirement, he'll end up paying $6M in fees and end with ~$14M less than using a Vanguard ETFAI:   I was completely honest. I said I just typed it into AI. if you're not using AI now you're stupid. Gambling:Chauncey Billips arrested!! MarketsFed Rate CutThe latest quarter-point cut will reduce the Fed's benchmark short-term interest rate to between 3.75% and 4%Effects Money Market almost immediately. VMFXX's 7-day yield 4.05% and SPAXX.Juices economy. Less expensive to borrow, so can invest, build etc.. AppleSlow to AI. But will figure it out. iPhone 17 awesome. Meta Earning ResultsRevenue $50b. Record! UCAN 43% (Side note…S&P 500 is international).CapEx $50b YTD vs $24b last year. Double!!!Stock down 11%AmazonUp 10% plus in after-hours. $180b in the quarterI'll never sell: Package everyday. Andy Jasse Memo cultureTeslaTesla Earnings. Record Revenue. $28b.Energy up 44% !!!!Revenue $3.4b and $2.3 cost. $1b in profitUS grid is only 50% productive. Can double with batteries. Other Services up 25%.Elon Remarks. Play at 11.00 Play thur 15.00Leader in Realworld AI. ShockwaveDan Ives:No Drivers in Austin prior to year end. Taking a VERY conservative strategy!Nvidia & PalantirPLAY Jensen Huang on the importance of of Palantir and their ontology stackAlex and Jensen speaking together. Autonomous DrivingNVIDIA Drive SoftwareNEWS: Nvidia today announced it is partnering with Uber to help build the "world's largest Level 4 autonomous fleet, targeting 100,000 Robotaxis starting in 2027.NetflixEarnings LetterEarnings CallHighlights:Talked about personalized ad targeting. THIS IS HUGE!KPop Demon Hunters, which is now our most popular film ever (325M views)Top 10 movies here. Sharing view % growingWhy Netflix?Grown organically. WB and other mergers/acquisitions are a mess: Cultural and bureaucratic. Same core execs: Ted, Greg and David! Perfect mix of creative and Tech. No-one even close in tech. This helps ad money! Revenue and YoY % growth by Region:UCAN: $5.1b17%EMEA:$3.7b18%LatAm: $1.4b10%APAC $1.4b21%~43-45% of Revenue is US

The Information's 411
Big Tech Earnings Analysis, Media Startup Fact-Checking AI, and Grammarly's Rebrand | Oct 30, 2025

The Information's 411

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 59:17


The Information's Erin Woo and Aaron Holmes talk with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about Google and Microsoft's accelerating cloud growth and soaring CapEx spending. We also talk with Theory Ventures' Tomasz Tunguz about Mark Zuckerberg's aggressive AI investment mode and the lack of predictability in ad revenue, and Bloomberg Beta's Roy Bahat about how startups compete with big tech's massive CapEx and why AI will replace 100% of jobs. Then, Shishir Mehrotra and Rahul Vohra discuss Grammarly's rebrand to Superhuman, the launch of their AI assistant, Superhuman Go, and data privacy. The Information's CEO Jessica Lessin speaks with Reporter Natasha Mascarenhas about the WTF Summit takeaways, and with Lucy Guo about why creators are resistant to AI tools. Lastly, we get into Campbell Brown's new AI fact-checking startup, Forum AI, with Natasha Mascarenhas.TITV airs on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Subscribe to: - The Information on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation4080/?sub_confirmation=1- The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agenda

Paretopodden
AI & Energi: Hvorfor ser alle mot Norge?

Paretopodden

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 30:42


AI-kappløpet skyter fart – og det krever enorme mengder strøm. De største selskapene i verden, såkalte «hyperscalerne», har annonsert rundt USD 2.8tr i CAPEX frem til 2029 og globalt er summen oppe i USD 5.5tr. Det tilsvarer en CAGR på 56 % over den neste 5-års perioden. Bare siden 2023 har AI investeringer økt med USD 300bn og hyperscalernes del av total S&P CAPEX er på hele 27 %.I den nyeste episoden av Paretopodden får vi besøk av Sindre Wilberg fra Pareto Securities' Power & Renewables-team. Han forklarer hvordan Norge – med sin unike tilgang på ren kraft – kan bli en nøkkelspiller i det globale AI-kappløpet. AI-modellene blir stadig smartere og raskere, men dette betyr også at de blir mer energikrevende. Og her ligger det en enorm mulighet for Norge til å spille en viktig rolle i utviklingen fremover. Disclaimer:Pareto Securities' podkaster inneholder ikke profesjonell rådgivning, og skal ikke betraktes som investeringsrådgivning. Handel i verdipapirer medfører til enhver tid risiko, og historisk avkastning er ingen garanti for fremtidig avkastning. Pareto Securities er verken rettslig eller økonomisk ansvarlig for direkte eller indirekte tap, eller andre kostnader som måtte påløpe ved bruk av informasjon i denne podkasten.Se våre nettsider https://paretosec.com/our-firm/compliance/ for mer informasjon og full disclaimer. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive
Sam Dickie: Fisher Funds expert on AI driving record US capex spending

Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 4:01 Transcription Available


New data shows AI is still holding strong in current financial markets. Meta, Microsoft and Google recently unveiled their earnings, and the data indicates there's clear demand for AI. Same Dickie from Fisher Funds explained further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

a16z
Building the Real-World Infrastructure for AI, with Google, Cisco & a16z

a16z

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 32:57


AI isn't just changing software, it's causing the biggest buildout of physical infrastructure in modern history.In this episode, Raghu Raghuram (a16z) speaks with Amin Vahdat, VP and GM of AI and Infrastructure at Google, and Jeetu Patel, President and Chief Product Officer at Cisco, about the unprecedented scale of what's being built — from chips to power grids to global data centers.They discuss the new “AI industrial revolution,” where power, compute, and network are the new scarce resources; how geopolitical competition is shaping chip design and data center placement; and why the next generation of AI infrastructure will demand co-design across hardware, software, and networking.The conversation also covers how enterprises will adapt, why we're still in the earliest phase of this CapEx supercycle, and how AI inference, reinforcement learning, and multi-site computing will transform how systems are built and run. Resources:Follow Raghu on X: https://x.com/RaghuRaghuramFollow Jeetu on X: https://x.com/jpatel41Follow Amin on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/vahdat/ Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zListen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYXListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenbergPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Stay Updated:Find a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Podcast on SpotifyListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Excess Returns
The $5 Trillion Question | Kai Wu on the Risks of the Mag Seven's Big AI CapEx Bet

Excess Returns

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 67:18


Kai Wu of Sparkline Capital joins Excess Returns to discuss his paper Surviving the AI CapEx Boom. In this episode, Kai breaks down the unprecedented level of investment in AI infrastructure, why today's AI buildout mirrors past technology booms, and what it all means for investors. He explores the parallels between AI and historic bubbles, the implications of massive corporate CapEx spending, and where value might ultimately be captured as the cycle plays out.Topics covered:Why big tech's CapEx spending has exploded and how much they're investingThe trillions in revenue needed to justify AI infrastructure spendingHistorical parallels with the railroad and dot-com buildoutsWhy companies that invest heavily often underperformHow the Mag 7 are shifting from asset-light to asset-heavy businessesThe risks of “circular deals” and financial entanglement in AIWhy the AI race resembles a prisoner's dilemmaWhich layers of the AI stack may capture long-term valueHow early adopters and infrastructure players differ in capital intensity and returnsWhere investors might find opportunity beyond the obvious AI namesTimestamps:00:00 Introduction and overview of AI CapEx boom03:00 Why Kai researched AI investment cycles05:00 Scale of big tech's CapEx spending07:00 Revenue needed to justify AI infrastructure08:30 Market concentration and valuation risks11:30 Historical parallels: railroads, internet, and AI14:30 The capital cycle and overinvestment dynamics17:30 “This time is different?” and lessons from bubbles18:00 Factor investing and high-asset-growth underperformance21:00 Sector and firm-level CapEx trends22:30 Winner-take-all dynamics and competitive pressure26:00 How the Mag 7's business model is changing30:00 Comparing tech CapEx to utilities34:00 The circular deal problem and financial risk37:30 The AI arms race as a prisoner's dilemma40:30 Will AI be winner-take-all?43:30 Lessons from the railroad and dot-com eras47:00 Where the value is captured in infrastructure vs adoption48:00 Identifying early AI adopters and hidden beneficiaries50:30 Sector and geographic AI exposure54:00 Capital intensity and valuation differences between infrastructure and adopters

TD Ameritrade Network
Homebuyers "Coming Off the Sidelines," Fed's Tone & CapEx Key in Mag 7 Earnings

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 7:05


Pending home sales came in flat below expectations, though Kevin Green says its still an improvement from the prior print. He adds that an uptick in mortgage applications shows prospective homebuyers are becoming more interested in the housing market. As for the FOMC, Kevin will keep an eye on commentary regarding quantitative tightening and explains that it could give a boost to financial stocks. On today's serving of Mag 7 earnings, he says it will be all about how Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), and Alphabet (GOOGL) handle A.I. and CapEx spending.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

TD Ameritrade Network
Dickens: GOOGL "Massively Undervalued," Big Tech Remains in A.I. Arms Race

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 7:47


Big Tech will continue to put up big money for A.I. buildout, says Steven Dickens. Even if there's no pickup in CapEx spend from Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), or Alphabet (GOOGL), he expects the spend to remain the same or see little change. As for Alphabet, Steven sees supreme value in the Mag 7 giant's core business and strategic ventures. Tom White offers an example options trade for Alphabet.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Multifamily Wealth Podcast
#302: The Importance of "Leading With Your CapEx" and Why You Should Over-Renovate Units Early In A Hold Period

The Multifamily Wealth Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 13:57


In this solo episode, Axel breaks down one of the most overlooked aspects of multifamily ownership—the timing of your CapEx spending. Many investors wait until systems fail before addressing roofs, heating, or parking lots, but Axel explains why this “defer and react” approach can actually hurt you long-term.He shares why leading with your CapEx, creates a more stable operation and more benefits around it. Axel also discusses why you should consider over-renovating one of your first few units to test what the market will bear and adjust your strategy early on.This episode is packed with practical, experience-driven advice for anyone managing value-add or long-term hold multifamily assets.What You'll Learn in This Episode:Why waiting to spend CapEx until systems fail can backfireThe operational and financial benefits of leading with your CapExHow proactive CapEx planning simplifies long-term cash managementWhy early CapEx investment can subtly boost resident quality and retentionHow to test the market by over-renovating one early unit to gauge demand and pricingAre you looking to invest in real estate, but don't want to deal with the hassle of finding great deals, signing on debt, and managing tenants? Aligned Real Estate Partners provides investment opportunities to passive investors looking for the returns, stability, and tax benefits multifamily real estate offers, but without the work - join our investor club to be notified of future investment opportunities.NH Multifamily Fund III Details:Download The OM For The NH Multifamily Fund IIIAccess The Deal Room For The NH Multifamily Fund IIIConnect with Axel:Follow him on InstagramConnect with him on LinkedinSubscribe to our YouTube channelLearn more about Aligned Real Estate Partners

Voice of the DBA
Reducing Cloud Cost

Voice of the DBA

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 3:40


Cloud costs are high and growing. Some orgs think they're out of control and are trying to limit spend. Some orgs are looking to leave the cloud. A lot of IT spend over the years has been seen as a cost center, with many executives trying to limit the growth or spend, even while they aim for digital transformations of their businesses. Throughout my career, it's been interesting seeing the tension of groups trying to take advantage of technology and the finance departments trying to manage costs. The cloud brings some of the same debates/arguments/concerns to the forefront. Partially because of scale, as we can add cloud resources much quicker than we can with a CapEx purchase. Partially because we've also often lost some control over budgeting with the move to OpEx and subscription things. Read the rest of Reducing Cloud Cost

ARC ENERGY IDEAS
LNG Ambition, Pipelines, and the Climate Debate in Canada

ARC ENERGY IDEAS

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 37:24


This week on the podcast, Jackie and Peter begin with a roundup of the latest developments in Canadian energy. They start by discussing Prime Minister Carney's remarks at the ASEAN Summit in Malaysia, where he suggested that Canada could export up to 50 million tonnes of LNG per year (about 6.5 Bcf/d) by 2030, with the potential to double that by 2040. They then turn to the upcoming federal budget, which is expected to include details about Canada's Climate Competitiveness Plan. Another key topic is President Trump's decision to suspend trade talks with Canada following controversy over Ontario's free-trade advertisement. Next, the hosts reflect on Peter's recent commentary in The Hub, titled “Even if Alberta gets a new pipeline, what's next for the oilsands?” Finally, Jackie talks about her recent appearance on a CBC podcast that explored whether Canada can build pipelines while fighting climate change. She explains why she felt the show's coverage was not balanced and shares her broader concerns about how climate and energy topics are often framed in mainstream Canadian media.Content referenced in this podcast: The Globe and Mail, “Carney's climate vision is to deprioritize emissions targets, focus on economic advantages” (October 14, 2025) The Hub “Peter Tertzakian: Even if Alberta gets a new pipeline, what's next for the oilsands?” (October 4, 2025) CAPP Data Centre, “The Economic Impact of Canadian Oil and Gas,” see slide 23 titled “Canada's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by Industry | 2024” Government of Canada Publications, “Public Opinion Research on the National Adaptation Strategy,” (March 2025), see page 6: “A vast majority of people living in Canada (84%) consider climate change an important issue” Angus Reid Institute, “Pipeline Push: Majority of Canadians, including BC Residents support the idea of a pipeline to the north coast” (October 9, 2025) CBC Ideas Podcast “Can we have new pipelines and curb climate change too?” October 7, 2025Please review our disclaimer at: https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinstLinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple PodcastsAmazon MusicSpotify 

Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast
Build, Buy or Expand: Growth Strategies in a Shifting Regulatory Landscape with Wipfli

Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2025 19:36 Transcription Available


This week, we're sitting down with Kelly Arduino and Brandon Christopherson of Wipfli, a leading accounting and consulting firm, to discuss growth strategies and the latest market updates. Together, they unpack how today's market forces like tariffs, interest rates, and tax reforms are influencing M&A in senior living.Produced by Solinity Marketing.Sponsored by Aline, NIC MAP, Procare HR, Sage, Hamilton CapTel, Service Master, The Bridge Group Construction and Solinity. Apply to become a Bridge the Gap Ambassador.Connect with BTG on social media:YouTubeInstagramFacebookTwitterLinkedInTikTokMeet the Hosts:Lucas McCurdy, @SeniorLivingFan Owner, The Bridge Group Construction; Senior Living Construction Renovation, CapEx, and Reposition. Joshua Crisp, Founder and CEO, Solinity; Senior Living Development, Management, Marketing and Consulting.

Unsupervised Learning
AI Round Up: Ari Morcos from Datalogy AI and Rob Toews from Radical VC on Karpathy Reactions, OpenAI's Dealmaking, & Bubble Reality Check

Unsupervised Learning

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 76:53


This episode features Rob Toews from Radical Ventures and Ari Morcos, Head of Research at Datology AI, reacting to Andrej Karpathy's recent statement that AGI is at least a decade away and that current AI capabilities are "slop." The discussion explores whether we're in an AI bubble, with both guests pushing back on overly bearish narratives while acknowledging legitimate concerns about hype and excessive CapEx spending. They debate the sustainability of AI scaling, examining whether continued progress will come from massive compute increases or from efficiency gains through better data quality, architectural innovations, and post-training techniques like reinforcement learning. The conversation also tackles which companies truly need frontier models versus those that can succeed with slightly-behind-the-curve alternatives, the surprisingly static landscape of AI application categories (coding, healthcare, and legal remain dominant), and emerging opportunities from brain-computer interfaces to more efficient scaling methods. (0:00) Intro(1:04) Debating the AI Bubble(1:50) Over-Hyping AI: Realities and Misconceptions(3:21) Enterprise AI and Data Center Investments(7:46) Consumer Adoption and Monetization Challenges(8:55) AI in Browsers and the Future of Internet Use(14:37) Deepfakes and Ethical Concerns(26:29) AI's Impact on Job Markets and Training(31:38) Google and Anthropic: Strategic Partnerships(34:51) OpenAI's Strategic Deals and Future Prospects(37:12) The Evolution of Vibe Coding(44:35) AI Outside of San Francisco(48:09) Data Moats in AI Startups(50:38) Comparing AI to the Human Brain(56:07) The Role of Physical Infrastructure in AI(56:55) The Potential of Chinese AI Models(1:03:15) Apple's AI Strategy(1:12:35) The Future of AI Applications With your co-hosts: @jacobeffron - Partner at Redpoint, Former PM Flatiron Health @patrickachase - Partner at Redpoint, Former ML Engineer LinkedIn @ericabrescia - Former COO Github, Founder Bitnami (acq'd by VMWare) @jordan_segall - Partner at Redpoint

The Wireless Way, with Chris Whitaker
The Business Case for Leaning into Mobility and Fleet IoT and How Wireless is feeding AI data, conversation with Max Silber from MetTel.

The Wireless Way, with Chris Whitaker

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 45:06 Transcription Available


Send us a textIn this episode of 'The Wireless Way,' host Chris welcomes Max Silber, Vice President of Mobility and IoT at MetTel, for an in-depth conversation on the latest trends and innovations in mobility and IoT. They discuss MetTel's advancements in mobile device management, IoT connectivity, fleet solutions, and mobile threat defense. Max shares insights on the importance of lifecycle management, the role of AI in edge data collection, and strategies for helping companies transition from CapEx to OpEx models. They also cover the significance of secure mobile deployments and how new technologies are enhancing safety in fleet management. Max offers practical advice for channel partners on expanding their mobility and IoT portfolios to drive revenue and solve customer problems. Tune in for a detailed look at the evolving landscape of wireless technology. 00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome00:37 Max Silberg's Background and Experience03:30 Personal Insights and Early Career06:43 Transition to Mobility and IOT11:49 Business Growth and Industry Trends17:37 Mobile Device Management and Security21:12 Introduction to Mobility in Business21:23 Exploring IoT and Fleet Management22:49 AI and Real-Time Data in Fleet Management27:00 Challenges and Opportunities in Mobility Sales30:55 Strategies for Engaging Customers36:10 The Importance of Data in AI40:19 Final Thoughts and Call to Action Support the showCheck out my website https://thewirelessway.net/ use the contact button to send request and feedback.

TD Ameritrade Network
Johnson: Tech CapEx Powers Market, TSLA Speculative Play, GOOGL & META's Ad Wildcard

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 8:02


Cory Johnson's big picture on tech is that it continues to drive markets and the economy, primarily due to capex spending on A.I. On the earnings picture, he liked IBM Corp.'s (IBM) "pretty good" quarter but didn't lean on Tesla's (TSLA) record revenue, believing the company relies too much on future prospects. Turning to next week, Cory offers a warning on Meta Platforms (META) and Alphabet (GOOGL) when it comes to advertising revenue.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Investor Fuel Real Estate Investing Mastermind - Audio Version
From Realtor to 31 Doors: Detroit Cash Flow, CapEx/Vacancy Buffers, and Investor Mindset w/ Joe Hammel

Investor Fuel Real Estate Investing Mastermind - Audio Version

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 20:43


In this episode of the Real Estate Pros podcast, host Erika speaks with Joe Hammel, an investor and realtor from Michigan. Joe shares his journey into real estate, the challenges he faced during his first year, and the strategies he employs to identify profitable investment opportunities. He discusses the importance of networking, learning from mistakes, and maintaining a resilient mindset in the competitive real estate market. Joe also highlights the unique approach of his team at Fire Realty and their commitment to educating clients and fostering long-term relationships.   Professional Real Estate Investors - How we can help you: Investor Fuel Mastermind:  Learn more about the Investor Fuel Mastermind, including 100% deal financing, massive discounts from vendors and sponsors you're already using, our world class community of over 150 members, and SO much more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/apply   Investor Machine Marketing Partnership:  Are you looking for consistent, high quality lead generation? Investor Machine is America's #1 lead generation service professional investors. Investor Machine provides true ‘white glove' support to help you build the perfect marketing plan, then we'll execute it for you…talking and working together on an ongoing basis to help you hit YOUR goals! Learn more here: http://www.investormachine.com   Coaching with Mike Hambright:  Interested in 1 on 1 coaching with Mike Hambright? Mike coaches entrepreneurs looking to level up, build coaching or service based businesses (Mike runs multiple 7 and 8 figure a year businesses), building a coaching program and more. Learn more here: https://investorfuel.com/coachingwithmike   Attend a Vacation/Mastermind Retreat with Mike Hambright: Interested in joining a “mini-mastermind” with Mike and his private clients on an upcoming “Retreat”, either at locations like Cabo San Lucas, Napa, Park City ski trip, Yellowstone, or even at Mike's East Texas “Big H Ranch”? Learn more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/retreat   Property Insurance: Join the largest and most investor friendly property insurance provider in 2 minutes. Free to join, and insure all your flips and rentals within minutes! There is NO easier insurance provider on the planet (turn insurance on or off in 1 minute without talking to anyone!), and there's no 15-30% agent mark up through this platform!  Register here: https://myinvestorinsurance.com/   New Real Estate Investors - How we can work together: Investor Fuel Club (Coaching and Deal Partner Community): Looking to kickstart your real estate investing career? Join our one of a kind Coaching Community, Investor Fuel Club, where you'll get trained by some of the best real estate investors in America, and partner with them on deals! You don't need $ for deals…we'll partner with you and hold your hand along the way! Learn More here: http://www.investorfuel.com/club   —--------------------

Thoughts on the Market
How to Navigate U.S.-China Tensions

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 3:59


Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Michael Zezas discuss the latest developments in U.S.-China relations and how they could affect investors.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy. Today, we're talking about the U.S. and China—why the relationship remains complicated, and what it means for markets. It's Tuesday, Oct 21st, at 12:30pm in New York. If you've been following headlines, you know that U.S.-China relations are rarely out of the news. But beneath the surface, the dynamics are more nuanced than the daily soundbytes suggest. Investors often ask: Are we headed for a decoupling of the two economies, or is there room for cooperation? The answer, as always, is—it's complicated. Let's start with the basics. The U.S. and China are deeply intertwined economically, but strategic competition has intensified. Recent years have seen tariffs, export controls, and restrictions on technology transfer. Yet, there's still plenty of trade between the two countries, and both economies are dependent on each other for growth and innovation. So what's going on now? In recent weeks, China has moved to tighten rare earth export controls and the U.S. has proposed 100 percent tariffs in return. If this came to pass, these events could mark a clear economic split. But given the interdependencies we just cited, neither Washington nor Beijing seems eager for a true split, at least not anytime soon. The economic costs would be staggering, and both sides know it. So, a truce seems more likely, perhaps with somewhat different terms than the narrow semis-for-rare earths agreement they made this spring. And longer term, this episode seems to be a part of a broader dynamic, where rolling negotiations and truces are more likely than either a durable trade peace or a hard economic decoupling. For fixed income investors, this drives some important considerations. First, U.S. industrial policy is ramping up, with clear implications for AI infrastructure. AI is an area where the U.S. views it as essential that they outcompete China. Supported by renewed CapEx incentives from the latest tax bill, it's clear to us that U.S. companies will be pushing further into AI development, where my colleagues have identified $2.9 trillion of data center financing needs over the next three years, about half of which will come from various credit markets. And for credit investors, this presents an important opportunity. Another consideration is how markets will balance near-term growth risks with an array of medium term growth possibilities. As our U.S. economics team has pointed out, the evidence suggests that corporates haven't yet been forced to make tough decisions about passing on or absorbing tariff costs, underscoring that trade-related growth pressures aren't yet in the rearview. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown doesn't help either. It's all a good argument for why bond yields could move lower in the near term. But also, we should expect yield curves could steepen more, with higher relative yields in longer maturities. This would reflect greater uncertainties around higher fiscal deficits, inflation, and economic growth. Our economists have been calling out the mixed messages in economic data, as well as a U.S. fiscal sustainability picture that appears reliant on acceleration in corporate CapEx for a manufacturing and AI-driven growth burst. In sum, the U.S.-China relationship is evolving, with global implications that don't lend themselves to easy narratives or quick fixes. Our challenge will continue to be crafting investment strategies that reflect durable policy undercurrents, the signal amid news headline noise. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague.

Excess Returns
The Only Two Things That Matter | Adam Parker on Growth, Rates, and What Comes Next

Excess Returns

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 58:48


Adam Parker, founder and CEO of Trivariate and Trivector Research, joins Excess Returns to discuss how fundamental, quantitative, and macro perspectives intersect to shape markets today. Parker shares his long-term bullish case for U.S. equities, why traditional valuation signals no longer work, the biggest risks he sees for investors, and how AI, inflation, and market structure are reshaping opportunities and risks in real time.Main topics covered:Why combining fundamental, quantitative, and macro analysis gives a clearer view of marketsThe case for the S&P 500 reaching 10,000 by 2030Structural reasons why market multiples may stay higher for longerThe key bear cases: hyperscaler CapEx risk, fiscal deficits, and AI-driven unemploymentComparing today's market to the dot-com eraWhy traditional recession indicators have failedHow COVID changed the economic cycle and business synchronizationInflation, tariffs, and what the Fed is really watchingWhy valuation is a broken signal for stock pickingThe quant factors that matter most todayETF factor exposures and hidden risksHow to think about the 60/40 portfolio, diversification, and private marketsWhy U.S. innovation and margins make it the dominant equity marketKey lessons and philosophies for long-term investorsTimestamps:00:00 What really drives equity investing03:00 Adam Parker's background and multi-lens approach05:00 Why he's long-term bullish and sees S&P 10,00008:00 Structural margin expansion and AI productivity09:00 The three major bear cases14:00 How today compares to the 1990s tech bubble18:00 Why the economy has stayed resilient20:00 COVID's impact on business cycles23:00 Market structure, inventory, and margins24:00 Inflation, tariffs, and Fed outlook29:00 Deficits and why timing macro risks is hard32:00 Large vs small cap dynamics37:00 Why valuation doesn't work41:00 Key quant factors to watch43:00 ETF grading and hidden exposures46:00 The 60/40 portfolio and asset allocation51:00 U.S. vs Europe and innovation advantage55:00 Lessons for investors and closing thoughts

Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast
Q3 Recap with NIC MAP's Arick Morton and Kyle Gardner

Bridge the Gap: The Senior Living Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 16:01 Transcription Available


Senior housing is evolving, and data is leading the way. In this episode, Arick Morton and Kyle Gardner of NIC MAP Vision join the show to unpack the most pressing trends shaping senior living, from record-high demand and limited supply to how AI and analytics are transforming investment and operational strategies. Discover how NIC MAP's newest innovation, Rate Intelligence, is empowering operators and investors with transparent, building-level data and insights never before available in the industry.This episode was recorded at the NIC Fall Conference 2025.Produced by Solinity Marketing.Sponsored by Aline, NIC MAP, Procare HR, Sage, Hamilton CapTel, Service Master, The Bridge Group Construction and Solinity. Become a sponsor of the Bridge the Gap Network.Connect with BTG on social media:YouTubeInstagramFacebookTwitterLinkedInTikTokMeet the Hosts:Lucas McCurdy, @SeniorLivingFan Owner, The Bridge Group Construction; Senior Living Construction Renovation, CapEx, and Reposition. Joshua Crisp, Founder and CEO, Solinity; Senior Living Development, Management, Marketing and Consulting.

Global Investors: Foreign Investing In US Real Estate with Charles Carillo
SS252: Property Expenses Increase as Properties Get Older

Global Investors: Foreign Investing In US Real Estate with Charles Carillo

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2025 16:04 Transcription Available


Why do older multifamily properties cost more to operate and do they still make investors money? In this episode of Strategy Saturday, Charles Carillo breaks down the truth behind older vs. newer multifamily investments, comparing operating expenses, CapEx budgeting, rent collection trends, and insurance costs across property vintages. Key Insights: Aging buildings often hide deferred maintenance that kills cash flow Insurance premiums increase as properties age Utility inefficiency drives tenant turnover and rent loss With the right CapEx plan, older properties can outperform newer ones

Thoughts on the Market
Credit Market's Three Big Debates

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 11:16


With Morgan Stanley's European Leveraged Finance Conference underway, our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets joins Chief Fixed Income Strategist Vishy Tirupattur to discuss private credit, M&A activity and AI infrastructure.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan StanleyVishy Tirupattur: And I'm Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist.Andrew Sheets: Today, as we're hosting the Morgan Stanley European Leveraged Finance Conference, a discussion of three of the biggest topics on the minds of credit investors worldwide.It's Thursday, October 16th at 4pm in London.Vishy, it's so great to catch up with you here in London. I know you've been running around the world, quite literally, talking to investors about some of the biggest debates in credit – and that's exactly what we wanted to talk. We're here at Morgan Stanley's European Leveraged Finance Conference. We're talking with investors about the biggest debates, the biggest developments in credit markets, and there are really kind of three topics that stand out.There's what's going on with private credit? What's going on with the merger and acquisition, the M&A cycle? And how are we going to fund all of this AI infrastructure?And so maybe I'll throw the first question to you. We hear a lot about private credit, and so maybe just for the listener who's looking at a lot of different things. First, how do you define it? What are we really talking about when we're talking about private credit?Vishy Tirupattur: So, Andrew, when we talk about private credit, the most common understanding of private credit is lending by non-banks to small and medium sized companies. And we probably will discuss a bit later that this definition is actually expanding much beyond this narrow definition. So, when you think about private credit and spend time understanding what is the credit in private credit, what it boils down to is on average, on a leveraged basis, the credit in private credit is comparable to, say CCC to B - on a coverage basis to the public markets.So, the credits in the private credit market are weaker. But on the other hand, the quality of covenants in these deals is significantly better compared to the public credit markets. So, that's the credit in private credit.Andrew Sheets: So, Vishy, with that in mind then, what is the concern in this market? Or conversely, where do people see the opportunity?Vishy Tirupattur: So, the concern in this market comes from the opaqueness in these deals. Many of these private credit borrowers are not public filers. So not much is well known about what the underlying details are. But in a sense, a good part of the public markets, whether it's in high yield bonds or in the public, broadly syndicated leveraged loans are also not public filers. So, there is information asymmetry in those markets as well.So, the issue is not the opaqueness of private markets, but opaqueness in credit in general. But that said, when you look at the metrics of leverage, coverage, cash on balance sheet…Andrew Sheets: Because we can get some kind of high-level sense of what is in these portfolios...Vishy Tirupattur: Yeah. And we look at all those metrics, and we look at a wide range of metrics. We don't get to the conclusion that we are at a precipice of some systemic risk exposure in credit. On the other hand, there are idiosyncratic issues. And these idiosyncratic issues have always been there and will remain there. And we would expect that the default rates are sticky around these levels, which are slightly above the long-term average levels, and we expect that to remain.Andrew Sheets: So, you may see more dispersion within these portfolios. These are weaker, more cyclical, more levered companies. But overall, this is not something that we think at the moment is going to interrupt the credit cycle or the broader markets dynamic.Vishy Tirupattur: Absolutely. That is exactly where we come down to.So, Andrew, let me throw another question back at you. There's a lot of talk of growing M&A, growing LBO activity. And that could potentially lead to some challenges on the credit front. How do you look at it?Andrew Sheets: So, I'd like to actually build upon your answer from private credit, right? Because I think a lot of the questions that we're getting from investors are around this question of how far along in this always, kind of, cyclical process; ebb and flow of lending aggressiveness are we? And, you know, this is a cycle that goes back a hundred years – of lenders becoming more conservative and tighter with lending. And then as times get good, they become somewhat looser. And initially that's fine. And then eventually something, something happens.And so, I think we've seen the development of new markets like private credit that have opened up new lending opportunities and then also new questions. And I think we've also seen this question come up around M&A and corporate activity.And as we start to see headlines of very large leveraged buyouts or LBOs, as we start to see more merger and acquisition – M&A – activity coming back; something we've at Morgan Stanley been believers in. Are we really starting to see the things that we saw in the year 2000, or in the year 2007, when you saw very active capital markets actually coinciding with kind of near the peak of equity markets near the top of major market cycles.And in short, we do not think we're there yet. If we look at the actual volumes that we're seeing, we're actually a little bit below average in terms of corporate activity. There's really been a dearth of corporate activity after COVID. We're still catching up. Secondly, the big transactions that we're seeing are still more conservatively structured, which isn't usually what you see right at the end. And so, I think between these two things with still a lot of supportive factors for more corporate activity, we think we have further to go.Vishy Tirupattur: On that point, Andrew, I think if you look at the LBOs that are happening today versus the LBOs that happened in the 2007 era, the equity contribution is dramatically different. You know, equity to debt, these LBOs that are happening today [are] of a substantially higher amount of equity contribution compared to the LBOs we saw pre-Financial Crisis…Andrew Sheets: That's such a great point. And the listener may not know this, but Vishy and I were working together at Morgan Stanley prior to the Financial Crisis, and we were working in credit research when a lot of these LBOs were happening, and…Vishy Tirupattur: And I used to be tall and good looking.Andrew Sheets: (laughs) And they were just very different. We're still not there. If you go back and pull the numbers, you're looking at transactions still that are far more conservative than what we saw then. So, you know, this activity is cyclical, and I think we do have to watch deregulation, right? You saw a lot of regulations come in after the Financial Crisis that led to more conservative lending. If those regulations get rolled back, we could really move back towards more aggressive lending. But we haven't quite seen that yet.Vishy Tirupattur: Absolutely not.Andrew Sheets: And Vishy, maybe the third question that comes up a lot. We've covered private credit, which is very topical. We've covered kind of corporate aggressiveness. But maybe the icing on the cake. The biggest question is AI – and is AI spending?And it just feels like every day you come into the office and there's another headline on CNBC or Bloomberg about another mega AI funding deal. And the question is, okay, where's all that money going to come from?And maybe some of it comes from these companies themselves. They're very profitable, but credit might have to fill in some of the gaps. And you and some of our colleagues have done a lot of work on this. Where do you think kind of the lending story and the borrowing story fits into this broader AI theme?Vishy Tirupattur: Our estimate of simply data center related CapEx requirements are close to $3 trillion. You add the power required for the data centers and add another $300-400 billion. So, a lot of this CapEx will come from – roughly about half might come from the operating cash flows of the hyperscalers. But the rest, so [$]1.5 trillion plus, has to come through various channels of credit.So, unsecured corporate credit, we think will play a fairly small role in this. Of that [$]1.5 trillion plus, maybe [$]200 billion to come from unsecured credit issuance by these hyperscalers, and perhaps some of the securitized markets, such as ABS and CMBS that rely on stabilized cash flows may be another 1[$]50 billion. But a different version of private credit, what we will call ABF or asset based finance, will play a very big role. So north of [$]800 billion we think will come from that kind of a private credit version of investment grade, or a private credit markets developing. So, this market is very much in the developmental mode.So, one way or the other, for AI to go from where it is today to substantially improving productivity and the earnings of companies that has to go through CapEx; and that CapEx needs to go through credit markets.Andrew Sheets: And I think that is so fascinating because, right Vishy, so much of the spending is still ahead of us. It hasn't even really started, if you look at the numbers.Vishy Tirupattur: Absolutely. We are in the early stages of this CapEx cycle. We should expect to see a lot more CapEx and that CapEx train has to run through credit markets.Andrew Sheets: So, Vishy, there's obviously a lot of history in financial markets of larger CapEx booms, and some of them work out well, and some of them don't. I mean, if you are trying to think about some of the dynamics of this funding for AI and data centers more broadly versus some of these other CapEx cycles that investors might be familiar with. Are there some similar dynamics and some key differences that you try to keep in mind?Vishy Tirupattur: So, in terms of similarities, you know, they're big numbers, whichever way you cut it, these numbers are going to be big dollar numbers.But there are substantial differences between the most recent CapEx boom that we saw towards the end of the late 90s, early 2000s; we saw a massive telecom boom, telecom related CapEx. The big difference is that spending was done by – predominantly by companies that had put debt on their balance sheet. They were already very leveraged. They were just barely investment grade or some below investment grade companies with not much cash on their balance sheet.And you contrast that with today's world, much of this is being done by highly rated companies; the hyperscalers or between, you know, A+ to AAA rated companies, with a lot of cash on their balance sheets and with very little outstanding debt on their part.On top of that, the kind of channels that exist today, you know, data center, ABS and CMBS, asset-based finance, joint venture kind of financing. All of these channels were simply not available back then. And the fact that they all are available today means that this risk of CapEx is actually much more widely distributed.So that makes me feel a lot better about the evolution of this CapEx cycle compared to the most recent one we saw.Andrew Sheets: Private credit, a rise in M&A and a very active funding market for AI. Three big topics that are defining the credit debate today. Vishy, thanks for taking the time to talk.Vishy Tirupattur: Andrew, always fun to hang with youAndrew Sheets: And thank you for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us review wherever you listen and tell a friend or colleague about us today.

Everyday AI Podcast – An AI and ChatGPT Podcast
Ep 633: The 3 Big Obstacles Holding AI Adoption Back

Everyday AI Podcast – An AI and ChatGPT Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 33:04


Jeetu Patel knows a few AI secrets. As the President of one of the largest companies in the world, he's helped pave the AI adoption roadmap. At Cisco, they provide full-stack, enterprise AI solutions spanning infrastructure, security, observability, and operations to the world's largest companies. So naturally, Jeetu could write a legit playbook on what's slowing enterprises down in the AI fast lane and how they can overcome those bottlenecks. And naturally, Jeetu is gonna share it all with us. The 3 Big Obstacles Holding AI Adoption Back -- An Everyday AI Chat with Cisco President Jeetu PatelNewsletter: Sign up for our free daily newsletterMore on this Episode:Episode PageJoin the discussion on LinkedIn: Thoughts on this? Join the convo on LinkedIn and connect with other AI leaders.Upcoming Episodes: Check out the upcoming Everyday AI Livestream lineupWebsite: YourEverydayAI.comEmail The Show: info@youreverydayai.comConnect with Jordan on LinkedInTopics Covered in This Episode:Enterprise AI Adoption Rates & ChallengesAI Workflow Automation Phase ExplainedThree Big Obstacles to AI AdoptionInfrastructure Constraints for Enterprise AITrust Deficit in AI SystemsData Gaps Impacting AI SuccessMeasuring ROI on Enterprise AI DeploymentFuture Trends: Agentic AI and Original InsightsTimestamps:00:00 AI Adoption Challenges in Enterprise05:18 AI Adaptation: The Key Strength08:56 AI Infrastructure and Trust Challenges10:23 Building Trust and Harnessing Data13:27 Unsatiated Demand Signals Growth19:12 Proactive AI Model Safeguards22:07 AI Strategy and Business Growth26:09 Key Metrics for AI Success28:10 Guardrails for AI Vulnerabilities31:34 AI Unlocking Revolutionary DiscoveriesKeywords:AI adoption, obstacles to AI adoption, enterprise AI, generative AI, AI strategies, chatbots, autonomous agents, workflow automation, business productivity automation, infrastructure for AI, AI power consumption, data center capacity, compute capacity, GPUs, Nvidia, AMD, network bandwidth, CapEx in AI, AI bubble, national security and AI, economic growth and AI, AI trust deficit, securing AI, AI safety, AI hallucinations, large language models, model unpredictability, AI guardrails, algorithmic jailbreak, AI security stack, AI defense, company data as moat, AI data pipeline, data gap in AI, machine data, human data, synthetic data, time series data, data correlation, AI model training, AI ROI, trust in AI systems, agentic workflows, future of AI, robotics, humanoid AI, physical AI, original insights with AI, economic prosperity with AI, AI-generated knowledge, workflow automation with AI agents, scaling AI in enterprisesSend Everyday AI and Jordan a text message. (We can't reply back unless you leave contact info) Ready for ROI on GenAI? Go to youreverydayai.com/partner