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Bitcoin's brutal six-week ETF bleed is finally easing. Santiago Capital's blockbuster 84-page report from Brent Johnson warning that the dollar can't die of weakness — only of STRENGTH, when a sustained DXY spike forces enough sovereign and corporate defaults to compel an alternative system — and today's setup is the cleanest macro inflection point we've seen all cycle. We break down whether the ETF pain peak signals the cycle bottom, what a 2-year yield breakout means for Bitcoin, and why Brent Johnson's "dollar dies of strength" thesis is the most important macro framework you're not hearing about. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This Flashback Friday is from episode 1492, published last June 24, 2020. Jason Hartman talks about the U.S. dollar and its strength through pandemic times, while Steven Roach has differing opinions. Will the dollar decline because of coronavirus or will the global currency maintain its value? Also, record low interest rates caused the sale of new homes to jump in May. Brent Johnson returns to the show to discuss the broad term currency as it pertains to gold, the U.S. dollar, and many other currencies around the world. Brent shares his views on gold and the role it plays. As well, Brent and Jason discuss what is needed for money to be loaned into existence. Websites: JasonHartman.com/asset SantiagoCapital.com twitter: @santiagoaufund www.JasonHartman.com www.JasonHartman.com/properties Jason Hartman Quick Start Jason Hartman PropertyCast (Libsyn) Jason Hartman PropertyCast (iTunes) _______________________________________________________________ Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Brent Johnson from Santiago Capital returns to the podcast so we can compare notes on what's happening in the US's quest to redollarize the world while Donald Trump remakes the map of the Middle East and rewires global trade.I asked Brent to come in and do an overview of the coming US stablecoin system and what that means for both the Fed and global central banking.Show Notes:Brent on XSantiago CapitalTom on XGGnG on Patreon
Many think the war in Iran is weakening (some claim ruining) the prospects for the US generally and the dollar specifically.Others argue the exact opposite.So which is more likely?To make sense of it all for us, Brent Johnson, develop of the Dollar Milkshake Theory and CEO of Santiago Capital joined me today for a livestream.It was an extremely thoughtful discussion of not just where the dollar is likely headed, but also of the dynamics of global power.#dollar #iranwar #fiatcurrency _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
As the US/Israeli war vs Iran continues to unfold, what will its legacy be for the US dollar specifically, and American hegemony in general? Is this the beginning of a reset toward stability, another leg up in markets, and lower inflation -or- are the early stages of a broader economic unraveling tied to supply shocks, currency stress, and geopolitical fragmentation?Simply put, what comes next?To unpack for us, we have the good fortune to be joined by Dr Marc Faber, Editor and Publisher of ‘'The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report" & Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#dollar #iranwar #commodities _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Brent Johnson, founder and CEO of Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, joins The Julia La Roche Show in-studio for a wide-ranging conversation on why the world most investors grew up in is over. Johnson argues that power now matters more than economics — that the old framework of spreadsheets and cash flows is no longer sufficient when supply chains, national security, and geopolitical competition determine outcomes. He breaks down the US-China power competition, the implications of the Iran conflict for energy, food prices, and portfolios, and why he remains in US equities despite the consensus rotation into emerging markets. He also updates his Dollar Milkshake Theory, makes a provocative case that what comes after the American Republic is the American Empire, and explains why stablecoins may be the most underappreciated geopolitical tool the US has right now.Links: Twitter/X: https://x.com/SantiagoAuFundYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@milkshakespodSubstack: https://research.santiagocapital.com/0:00 Intro & welcome Brent Johnson1:05 Current macro picture: the world has changed & power matters more than economics4:37 Signposts reinforcing the thesis — Trump as symptom, not cause5:42 What the paradigm shift means for investors — the law of one price is gone8:25 The high angst/low drawdown paradox — markets only down 10% but everyone's acting like it's 30%9:43 Conviction vs. confliction — investing for what will happen vs. what you want to happen13:23 Iran: thinking through the probabilities without the certainty16:27 The US is still the most powerful country in the world — what that means for portfolios18:01 Portfolio implications of the Iran scenarios — energy, food prices, the Strait of Hormuz21:23 It's all about US-China — the prisoner exchange and the technology race29:16 Where Brent is putting money right now — capital preservation, cash, gold, US equities31:12 Why he's NOT rotating into emerging markets — the four scenarios framework34:09 The Dollar Milkshake Theory explained — and how it's held up in 2025-2639:29 Stablecoins: what Brent got wrong and why they matter more than he thought46:26 CBDCs vs stablecoins — and the coming conflict between the Fed and the Treasury50:05 The Fed: cut, hike or hold? 52:48 Japan: the yen trap, JGBs, and why it matters for everyone54:46 What question nobody asks Brent but should56:33 What keeps him up at night and what makes him optimistic57:44 The Roman Republic vs the Roman Empire — is America heading toward empire not collapse1:01:40 Parting thoughts: find a community of people you trust who disagree with you
Markets are nervous as it feels like an either-or setup soon with the US-Europe relationship over the Trump administration's apparent intent to "take" or "buy" Greenland - are we set for a TACO and a deal or a significant break in the transatlantic alliance, both in terms of defense and trade? Also, history is being made with the treatment of Venezuela's oil revenues, US treasury yields may finally be on the move, earnings season is revving up and much more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. As noted on today's pod, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital interviewed Rabobank's visionary macro strategist Michael Every - a must watch. Also, an X account of unknown authenticity but with many provocative takes on many pressing issues of late points out the novel treatment of Venezuela's oil revenues and what this could indicate. For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital discusses what he believes to be the decline of the U.S. republic and rise of the American Empire. He explains his “Dollar Milkshake Theory” and how essentially Washington is the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry. Pax Americana will continue its rampage and what it is doing with stablecoins is going to even further its reach. Watch on BitChute / Brighteon / Rumble / Substack / YouTube *Support Geopolitics & Empire! Become a Member https://geopoliticsandempire.substack.com Donate https://geopoliticsandempire.com/donations Consult https://geopoliticsandempire.com/consultation **Listen Ad-Free for $4.99 a Month or $49.99 a Year! Apple Subscriptions https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/geopolitics-empire/id1003465597 Supercast https://geopoliticsandempire.supercast.com ***Visit Our Affiliates & Sponsors! Above Phone https://abovephone.com/?above=geopolitics American Gold Exchange https://www.amergold.com/geopolitics easyDNS (15% off with GEOPOLITICS) https://easydns.com Escape The Technocracy (15% off with GEOPOLITICS) https://escapethetechnocracy.com/geopolitics Outbound Mexico https://outboundmx.com PassVult https://passvult.com Sociatates Civis https://societates-civis.com StartMail https://www.startmail.com/partner/?ref=ngu4nzr Wise Wolf Gold https://www.wolfpack.gold/?ref=geopolitics Websites Santiago Capital https://santiagocapital.com Substack https://research.santiagocapital.com YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@MilkshakesPod X https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund About Brent Johnson Brent Johnson brings twenty-five years of experience in the financial markets to his position as CEO of Santiago Capital. He enjoyed more than nine years as a Managing Director at BakerAvenue, a $2.5 Billion Asset Manager and Wealth Management firm, with offices in San Francisco, Dallas and New York. During his time there he was the lead advisor for several of the firms largest clients. Prior to joining BakerAvenue, Brent spent nine years at Credit Suisse in their private client group. He got his start as part of the training program at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette (DLJ) in New York prior to moving to San Francisco. He joined Credit Suisse in the fall of 2000 when the bank purchased DLJ. Earlier in his career, Brent was a financial auditor for Philip Morris Management Company in New York City where he performed audits at the company's headquarters as well as subsidiaries in Germany, Hong Kong, and Richmond, Virginia. In addition to his role at Santiago Capital, he is also a member of the Advisory Board for Monetary Metals, a platform that allows investors to earn a yield on gold, paid in gold, by leasing and lending to qualified precious metals businesses in the industry. Brent regularly gives interviews and speaks at conferences regarding precious metals, currencies & macroeconomic trends. He is well known as the originator of the “Dollar Milkshake Theory” and his views have been quoted in numerous print, online and television outlets. He lives in San Juan, Puerto Rico with his wife Mary and son Moses. *Podcast intro music used with permission is from the song “The Queens Jig” by the fantastic “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)
Brent Johnson is the CEO of Santiago Capital and host of Milkshakes Pod on YT. He talks being delayed in Colombia during the events in Venezuela, how it was the geopolitical red line, why the dollar may strengthen, and much more. PLEASE SUBSCRIBE LIKE AND SHARE THIS PODCAST!!! Watch Show Rumble- https://rumble.com/v7446i6-venezuela-a-geopolitical-red-line-brent-johnson.html YouTube- https://youtu.be/R64Z6KLJa4Y Follow Me X- https://x.com/CoffeeandaMike IG- https://www.instagram.com/coffeeandamike/ Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/CoffeeandaMike/ YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@Coffeeandamike Rumble- https://rumble.com/search/all?q=coffee%20and%20a%20mike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Apple Podcasts- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/coffee-and-a-mike/id1436799008 Gab- https://gab.com/CoffeeandaMike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Website- www.coffeeandamike.com Email- info@coffeeandamike.com Support My Work Venmo- https://www.venmo.com/u/coffeeandamike Paypal- https://www.paypal.com/biz/profile/Coffeeandamike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Patreon- http://patreon.com/coffeeandamike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Cash App- https://cash.app/$coffeeandamike Buy Me a Coffee- https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeandamike Bitcoin- coffeeandamike@strike.me Mail Check or Money Order- Coffee and a Mike LLC P.O. Box 25383 Scottsdale, AZ 85255-9998 Follow Brent X- https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund?s=20 YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@MilkshakesPod Substack- https://substack.com/@santiagocapital Website- https://santiagocapital.com/ Sponsors Vaulted/Precious Metals- https://vaulted.blbvux.net/coffeeandamike McAlvany Precious Metals- https://mcalvany.com/coffeeandamike/ Independence Ark Natural Farming- https://www.independenceark.com/
In this episode, Lance Roberts sits down with Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, to break down what's really happening with the U.S. dollar, the global monetary system, and why AI is accelerating a geopolitical and economic power shift. If you're looking for big-picture insights on the future of the dollar, geopolitics, AI-driven capital flows, and where long-term investing tailwinds are forming—this is a must-watch. 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Dollar Pessimism is Everywhere 3:32 - Why the Dollar Loses Purchasing Power: Inflation 5:08 - How Reserve Currencies Work - Why the Dollar is the Global Reserve Currency 6:30 - Why Oil is Priced in Dollars 9:07 - Reserve Currency Storage - Rule of Law & Liquidity Stability; effects of Euro Conversion on Reserves 11:10 - Ronald Regan clip, "Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" 13:00 - Why the Dollar needs not be too strong or too weak (Chart - US Dollar Index) 16:00 - The Debt based monetary system 16:42 - The Carry Trade 19:59 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory - 21:00 - What a Falling Dollar would indicate 22:00 - The Impact of Where Money is Being Spent for AI Buildout - the multiplier effect; will this attract more foreign capital into the US? 25:11 - AI is transformational - Separation of East from West is happening; outcome is existential to the US 26:22 - The Office of Strategic Capital - 27:07 - The Race to Win AI - leadership in the global economy 28:53 - Two hang ups - Power generation/transmission grid 29:46 - Looking for the investing tailwinds 31:23 - The Fed's Return to QE 35:08 - Stablecoin vs Bitcoin - Digital Token, linked to a specific asset or commodity; Bitcoin which suffers from volatility 38:14 - The Genius Act - official blessing of Stablecoin; geopolitical implications 39:24 - The potential to become a new Eurodollar market - the importance of sovereignty for a nation 42:58 - Using Money as a weapon 44:46 - Stablecoin Implications for Investors - impact on Treasuries 47:14 - Currency Manipulation - China vs U.S. 50:30 - AI is overpriced - Looking ahead: short term cautious; buy the dip; Energy assets, including nuclear; critical minerals are national security implications 52:08 - Precious Metals outlook: If you own them, don't sell them; 53:40 - Opportunity in Energy Sector; Will VanLowe/Quantum - Energy Demand vs available supply imbalance 54:34 - The LNG supply gap solution 56:25 - How to Find Brent Johnson Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Brent Johnson, CEO, Santiago Capital, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QYUME1I-SDg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAug2oeXwuQUeSf8Hd6AFR5O9&index=4 ------- Our Previous show, "Bear Markets Are a Good Thing," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdlhQgMthW4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "QE Is Coming: The 2008 Roots Of Fed Dominance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/qe-is-coming-the-2008-roots-of-fed-dominance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BrentJohnson #USDollar #AIInvesting #GlobalMacro #FinancialMarkets
This final episode of 2025 features Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital discussing the year's volatility and the structural global regime shift underway, operating at the intersection of capital flows and geopolitics. Johnson argues that President Trump has effectively dismantled the post-World War II rules-based order by unapologetically saying the U.S. is now acting solely for its own benefit, creating a "brave new world" for markets. A key misunderstanding among investors is the belief that the U.S. will inevitably lose its place in the world, yet Johnson maintains that the Western Hemisphere still provides the best relative opportunities for asset allocation. This shift is marked by the move toward centrally planned, state-sponsored markets, exemplified by the Department of War's Office of Strategic Capital (OSC), which acts as a 21st-century Manhattan Project to secure supply chains. The OSC facilitates this by using public-private partnerships to match government funds with private capital, thereby financing the re-shoring and remilitarization of strategic industries. This government focus on national security is expected to override environmental concerns, creating opportunities in North American natural resource sectors, like energy, earth minerals, gold, and silver, over the next decade or two. This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Revival Gold is one of the largest pure gold mine developer operating in the United States. The Company is advancing the Mercur Gold Project in Utah and mine permitting preparations and ongoing exploration at the Beartrack-Arnett Gold Project located in Idaho. Revival Gold is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange under the ticker symbol “RVG” and trades on the OTCQX Market under the ticker symbol “RVLGF”. Learn more about the company at revival-dash-gold.comVizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Equinox has recently completed the business combination with Calibre Mining to create an Americas-focused diversified gold producer with a portfolio of mines in five countries, anchored by two high-profile, long-life Canadian gold mines, Greenstone and Valentine. Learn more about the business and its operations at equinoxgold.com Integra Resources is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
Join us as Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital shares his expert analysis on the US Economic Outlook and potential Market Corrections. In this episode, Brent evaluates the current health of the economy, offering a nuanced perspective on its strengths and vulnerabilities. We also delve into the geopolitical implications of tariffs, exploring how they influence global trade and economic stability. Additionally, Brent discusses the ongoing battle between interest rates and inflation, shedding light on their complex interplay and potential impact on future economic trends. This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Revival Gold is one of the largest pure gold mine developer operating in the United States. The Company is advancing the Mercur Gold Project in Utah and mine permitting preparations and ongoing exploration at the Beartrack-Arnett Gold Project located in Idaho. Revival Gold is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange under the ticker symbol “RVG” and trades on the OTCQX Market under the ticker symbol “RVLGF”. Learn more about the company at revival-dash-gold.comVizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Equinox has recently completed the business combination with Calibre Mining to create an Americas-focused diversified gold producer with a portfolio of mines in five countries, anchored by two high-profile, long-life Canadian gold mines, Greenstone and Valentine. Learn more about the business and its operations at equinoxgold.com Integra is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
The dollar has weakened considerably so far this year.Amidst the new US Adminstration's hardball trade tactics, critics claim that foreigners are ramping up their de-dollarization efforts, buying less US debt, and that the days of the dollar as the dominant world reserve currency are ending.How much truth, if any, underlies this?For answers, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory.Brent thinks the dollar has become quite oversold, so don't be surprised to see it rally.Also, he thinks it's more likely than not that a stock market correction will happen by September.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#dollar #marketcorrection #geopolitics _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Brent Johnson of "Dollar Milkshake" fame and CEO of Santiago Capital joins me for a talk about the past, present, and future of the so-called Rules Based Order and how that intersects with our worldviews on markets and potential investments.Brent describes his education and training in the post-WWII institutional framework and his evolution into the realist approach he takes to these subjects today.Show Notes:Brent on XSantiago CapitalTom on XGGnG on Patreon
Know Your Risk Radio with Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer, Bulwark Capital Management
June 17, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the dollar with Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital.
Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://2ly.link/26yH8 Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital joins Jay to break down what most people are missing about America's global position. While headlines warn of U.S. decline, Johnson argues the real story is a relative game and the rest of the world may be worse off. From trade wars and political cycles to China's debt bomb and the future of rare earths, this conversation dives into the fractures beneath the surface of globalization. If you're looking to understand where the world is headed and who might get knocked off the road first then don't miss this one. Follow Brent on X: https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund https://santiagocapital.com/ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international 00:00 – Intro 06:18 – Can the U.S. Realistically Restore Industry? 15:43 – Is China Better Prepared Than in 2008? 23:36 – The Role of Narrative: Who's Really Collapsing? 31:41 – Can U.S. Adversaries Retaliate at the Same Level? 37:07 – Who Owns China's Debt and Why It Matters 44:17 – Defaults and Fort Knox 51:12 – Roman Parallels and the Rise of an American Empire 56:17 – Where Capital Will Flow Next: Defensive vs. Offensive Allocation Copyright © 2025 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
Of all the disruptive policies President Trump has made so far in his second term, his hardball strategy to reform global trade has received the most scorn.His detractors call it "non-sensical" and "hamfisted".That it's based on faulty logic, poor math, and has done grave injury to relations with our closest allies.They fear it's actually driving the rest of the world into China's -- our chief competitor's -- arms. And as a result, substantially damaging America's future prospects.Is this true?And is this the reason why bond yields are rising, the dollar is weakening, and gold is soaring?And most importantly, will China end up drinking America's milkshake?For answers, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital and publisher of The Macro Alchemist.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#china #tradewar #dollar _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Interview recorded - 21st of April, 2025 On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming on Brent Johnson. Brent is the CEO of Santiago Capital, has twenty years experience in financial markets and is well known for coining the “Milkshake theory”.During our conversation we touched on the Milkshake theory, the risk of a sovereign crisis, what this means for the markets currently, realignment of the world worder, who are the losers and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:22 - Milkshake theory4:15 - Sovereign crisis7:20 - All things link back to debt & dollar?9:14 - China worse than the West?11:28 - Misallocation of capital?16:40 - Swap lines20:31 - What is happening in the economy?24:16 - Foreigners selling US assets?26:31 - Dollar shortage28:39 - Realignment of world order32:09 - Who is the loser?35:31 - Impact investment approach?38:56 - One message to takeaway?Brent Johnson brings over twenty years of experience in the financial markets to his position as CEO of Santiago Capital. Prior to that, Brent enjoyed more than nine years as a Managing Director at BakerAvenue Asset Management, a multi-billion dollar asset manager and wealth management firm. He was the lead advisor for several of the firm's largest clients. Before joining BakerAvenue, Brent spent nine years at Credit Suisse in their private client group. He got his start as part of the training program at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette (DLJ) which became part of Credit Suisse in the fall of 2000. Brent regularly gives interviews and speaks at conferences regarding financial markets & macroeconomic trends. His views have been quoted in numerous print, online and television outlets. Brent Johnson -Fund - https://santiagocapital.com/X - https://x.com/SantiagoAuFundNewsletter - https://macroalchemist.com/YouTube - @MilkshakesPod WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson comes back to the podcast to discuss the current state of the Dollar Milkshake in the context of Donald Trump's upending the old global financial business model. It's a sober look at how and why today's turmoil is not tomorrow's dollar crisis. Show Notes:Brent on XSantiago CapitalTom on XGold, Goats 'n Guns Patreon
In this episode of Soar Financially, Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and the mind behind the “Dollar Milkshake” theory, returns to unpack the escalating global financial war.From capital controls to Fortress America, Brent reveals why the dollar will rise, why Europe is in trouble, and what comes next for gold, bonds, and global trade.We dive deep into the EU's €1 trillion gamble, Trump's real strategy, the future of swap lines, and why capital is fleeing both directions.#dollar #europe #gold ----------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------
In this conversation, Trevor welcomes in Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson to delve into the complexities surrounding the Mar-A-Lago Accord, a conceptual restructuring of US debt and the implications of a new monetary system under the Trump administration. The idea is a theoretical, and as of yet unconfirmed, plan under consideration by the Trump administration. It aims to restructure global trade and financial systems, specifically addressing the U.S. national debt and trade imbalances. Key objectives include weakening the U.S. dollar, incentivizing domestic fixed-asset investment, and fundamentally altering the terms of international security arrangements. It draws comparisons to historical currency accords like Bretton Woods and the Plaza Accord, suggesting a potentially profound impact on the global economic order.Brent and Trevor discuss the potential revaluation of the US dollar, the challenges of de-dollarization, and the intertwining of economic and national security policies. The dialogue emphasizes the need for a coordinated approach to address the urgent issues facing the US economy and the global financial system. In this conversation, Brent Johnson discusses the complexities of the U.S. economy, focusing on the monetization of the balance sheet, the implications of tariffs, and the evolving dynamics of global trade, particularly with China and Russia. He emphasizes the potential for a gold revaluation and its impact on financial markets, while also exploring investment strategies in uncertain times.This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Vizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Calibre Mining is a Canadian-listed, Americas focused, growing mid-tier gold producer with a strong pipeline of development and exploration opportunities across Newfoundland & Labrador in Canada, Nevada and Washington in the USA, and Nicaragua. With a strong balance sheet, a proven management team, strong operating cash flow, accretive development projects and district-scale exploration opportunities Calibre will unlock significant value.https://www.calibremining.com/Integra is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
As we head into a new year, there are a lot of questions swirling about money: Will the dollar's strength vs other world currencies continue into 2025? And even if so, will it continue to lose purchasing power vs real things? Will gold continue to be aggressively purchased by the world's central banks? By investors? Is Bitcoin "winning" the store of value war? To discuss all these and more, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, and developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory. Brent is "extra cautious" right now given Wall Street's exuberance. At these high levels of euphoria, he fears the 2025 market could look a lot like 2022 rough year. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
The U.S. Dollar faces rising competition from cryptocurrencies and even the idea of a BRICS currency. But in this episode of Market Overtime, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital says it won't matter. Get ready to take his "Dollar Milkshake Theory" (inspiration from Daniel Plainview and "There Will Be Blood") for a spin, and find out why Gold & Equities could SOAR from current levels as a result of a higher Dollar. For more from Brent, check out his channel here: @MilkshakesPod ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Brent Johnson, founder and CEO of Santiago Capital, returns for episode 196, in which he discusses the current macro landscape, focusing on Fed policy, global markets, and his Dollar Milkshake Theory. He explores gold's role as a signal of economic stress, the dynamics of carry trades, and potential market volatility ahead. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.9% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 8/23/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. Links: Twitter/X: https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@milkshakespod Macro Alchemist: https://macroalchemist.com/ 0:00 Welcome Brent Johnson 1:05 Current macro picture and Fed policy 4:40 Challenges of engineering a soft landing 8:54 What is gold signaling? 14:22 Global demand for gold 17:29 Dollar Milkshake Theory explained 24:11 Geopolitical implications of the dollar system 30:22 Market outlook 37:42 Are markets in a bubble? 41:51 Gold price outlook 45:35 2024 election impact on markets 49:24 Yen carry trade and broader carry trade risks 56:17 The global system as one big carry trade 59:03 Closing thoughts and where to find Brent's work
On today's show we are talking about a new paper published last Friday by Brent Johnson and Michael Peregrine of Santiago Capital. Brent Johnson is famous for his dollar milkshake theory. This 44 page article is a deep dive into the Japanese carry trade. Many of you might remember a banking crisis that erupted in Japan last month as a result of the implosion of widespread carry trade activity. While the Yen is likely to rise in the short term when the carry trade truly blows up, it is probably going to fall after that. As I said, the BOJ can protect the bond market or the currency, but not both. So why do we care about this? If Japan dumps a trillion dollars worth of US Treasuries in a short time period, we could see the supply of US Treasuries exceed demand. That means a sharp and unexpected rise in the yield for US Treasuries which will impact the cost of borrowing for real estate investors. Just because the Fed is in a lowering cycle for the Fed Funds rate, doesn't mean that the cost of borrowing for real estate investors will follow suit. -------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, joins Anthony Scaramucci for a deep-dive conversation that reveals the painful realities of attempting de-dollarization and the enduring global power of the US dollar. Brent, renowned for his “Dollar Milkshake Theory,” also shares unique insights on Bitcoin, his outlook on China's economy, advice for young finance professionals, and much more. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.wealthion.com Chapters: 1:38 - The Origin of Brent Johnson's Dollar Milkshake Theory 15:48 - Can the BRICS Countries De-Dollarize? 19:26 - Can a Trump Administration Weaken the Dollar? 23:58 - Bitcoin's Role in Global Finance 27:29 - Actionable Investing Advice from Brent 31:58 - Audience Question: Are Current Stock Valuations Sustainable? 32:34 - Audience Question: Thoughts on Returning to the Gold Standard 33:45 - Audience Question: Outlook for China's Economy 34:43 - Audience Question: Advice for Young Finance Professionals #BrentJohnson #DeDollarization #USDollar #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #Bitcoin #CurrencyWars #EconomicOutlook #AnthonyScaramucci #InvestmentStrategy #SantiagoCapital #GlobalFinance #USDEndurance #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/
The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for dollars to pay off their debts, further boosting the dollar's value. This could lead to a "dollar milkshake effect" where money flows heavily into the US, inflating asset prices there. They also explore Modern Monetary Theory's role in this scenario, suggesting the US government's printing of money can continue to fuel dollar demand for some time. #BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyStrength #FinancialMarkets #DebtCrisis #USDollar #Petrodollar #CapitalMarkets #MMT #Inflation #AssetPrices Key Takeaways: 0:28 The Dollar Milkshake theory and the debt crisis 6:45 The straw and the US dollar's best deal 10:46 Modern Monetary Theory 12:01 Kicking the can down the road- for how long? 14:32 The storm before the storm 17:32 An "End of the world" scenario 19:07 Weak dollar vs. strong dollar, inflation vs. deflation 22:33 Echo chambers and the big social craziness coming Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for dollars to pay off their debts, further boosting the dollar's value. This could lead to a "dollar milkshake effect" where money flows heavily into the US, inflating asset prices there. They also explore Modern Monetary Theory's role in this scenario, suggesting the US government's printing of money can continue to fuel dollar demand for some time. #BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyStrength #FinancialMarkets #DebtCrisis #USDollar #Petrodollar #CapitalMarkets #MMT #Inflation #AssetPrices Key Takeaways: 0:46 The Dollar Milkshake theory and the debt crisis 7:03 The straw and the US dollar's best deal 11:04 Modern Monetary Theory 12:19 Kicking the can down the road- for how long? 14:49 The storm before the storm 17:49 An "End of the world" scenario 19:25 Weak dollar vs. strong dollar, inflation vs. deflation 22:50 Echo chambers and the big social craziness coming Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Jason welcomes you from Salzburg, Austria, discussing the recent tragic events in the U.S., the media's coverage, and new home sales. He criticizes the misleading nature of news about declining home prices, explaining that homebuilders are constructing smaller, cheaper homes to address affordability issues. The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for dollars to pay off their debts, further boosting the dollar's value. This could lead to a "dollar milkshake effect" where money flows heavily into the US, inflating asset prices there. The interview also explores Modern Monetary Theory's role in this scenario, suggesting the US government's printing of money can continue to fuel dollar demand for some time. #BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyStrength #FinancialMarkets #DebtCrisis #USDollar #Petrodollar #CapitalMarkets #MMT #Inflation #AssetPrices Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:34 Greetings from Europe 2:59 The Trump assassination news media in Europe and the 'Thought Police' 8:26 New home sales Jason's interview with Brent Johnson 13:24 The Dollar Milkshake theory and the debt crisis 19:41 The straw and the US dollar's best deal 23:42 Modern Monetary Theory 24:57 Kicking the can down the road- for how long? 27:28 The storm before the storm 30:28 An "End of the world" scenario 32:03 Weak dollar vs. strong dollar, inflation vs. deflation 35:29 echo chambers and the big social craziness coming Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
“The reason the U.S. needs to print more money is because there's a demand for it,” says Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory. He tells Daniela Cambone that the petrodollar will not be jeopardized despite recent headlines. Johnson explains the history behind why Saudi Arabia began selling oil primarily in dollars in the 1970s and why this practice will continue. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310
Brent Johnson returns to update us on his famous Dollar Milkshake Theory. Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, joins Raoul to share the story of how he came to develop his now-famous Dollar Milkshake Theory, and what's changed since he made his initial predictions in 2018. Raoul and Brent also examine how geopolitics could affect the dollar's strength, what this all means for the future direction of global risk assets, and why the dollar will be the final currency to fail. Recorded on May 28, 2024. Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction and importance of subscribing (00:26) Raoul's journey in macro, crypto, and tech (01:47) Understanding the broken economic system (03:37) Introduction to Brent Johnson and Dollar Milkshake Theory (07:07) Brent's background in wealth management (10:18) Transition from gold bug to dollar bull (17:13) Seeing the world as it is vs. how you want it to be (24:21) The significance of the euro dollar market (27:30) The Dollar Milkshake Theory explained (35:15) Managing portfolios based on reality (50:13) The duality of money and its implications (1:00:45) The cyclical nature of the dollar and future outlook
According to Truflation, the US dollar has lost nearly 25% of its purchasing power since January of 2020. Many everyday Americans struggling to pay their monthly bills may argue that's an understatement. What the US dollar does, vs real things as well as vs other national currencies, has very real implications -- economically, financially & geopolitically -- for everyone watching this video, regardless of where you live. For a better sense of what it's likely to do from here, we're fortunate to speak today with Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, and developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #dollar #currency #inflation --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome back, Santiago Capital founder Brent Johnson. They discuss the current rally in the dollar against other currencies, the big move in gold, and the looming question of persistent inflation. https://bit.ly/3WiZp0d ⚫ Follow Brent on X: https://www.twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund ⚫ Find out More: https://santiagocapital.com/
Joining me on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, for a discussion about global markets and, of course, The Milkshake Theory. Brent explains how he uses the Theory as a framework to help him understand how a sovereign debt and currency crisis might play out and how, though he's been uncertain about markets recently, this framework has helped him navigate the volatility. Brent emphasizes the importance of remaining objective and questioning one's own beliefs, as well as the need to be prepared for drawdowns in asset prices as we discusses the extraordinary bull market in certainty and the importance of diversification. There's also time for a look at the current political situation in the US and its potential impact on the markets with Brent arguing that, while the US may be facing political and economic turmoil, the rest of the world still relies heavily on the US dollar, and a divided US would be a disaster for the global economy. Something for everyone in here… Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.
"I have forced myself to be a rationalist...I force myself to understand that what I think is right or wrong has absolutely zero bearing on what the market is going to do." - Brent Johnson --Our inaugural episode highlights Chase's long-time mentor and friend, Brent Johnson. Brent Johnson is the founder of Santiago Capital and has more than 20 years of experience in finance. Chase and Brent discuss systems thinking, how they draw inspiration from people smarter than themselves, and how removing your own biases is a learned skill required to operate in the markets.--Timestamps:(00:00) - Intro(01:36) - How Chase and Brent Met(06:52) - Ground Rules(07:18) - Charity of Choice: Love4Satos(08:30) - Milkshake Theory Evolution & How to Approach the Markets (13:26) - Systems Thinking(17:31) - George Soros, Imperial Circle, and Liquidity(25:17) - Strong Dollar, Weak Dollar(34:30) - Between Two Pines(36:31) - Changing Thoughts on the Fed Hikes End Goal(37:12) - Getting a Trade Right for the Wrong Reasons(40:44) - Read to "Collect Dots"(43:28) - The "Santiago" Book Characters Behind Santiago Capital(43:57) - Contrarian Views Can Be More Profitable than Consensus Views(46:28) - Conference Tips From a Seasoned Guest Speaker(48:52) - Plugs--This Episode's Charity:Brent chose Love4Satos. The charity is located in Puerto Rico and aims to find forever homes for stray dogs in the continental United StatesWebsite & Where to Donate --Referenced in the Show:1) Imperial Circle Primer - George Soros2) Milkshake Theory 3) 35 Books on Systems Thinking by Category (I recommend #1, #5, and #13).4) The Alchemist by Paulo Coelho5) The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway--Guest Plugs:Brent Johnson X & MilkshakesPod X Milkshake, Markets, and Madness Podcast--Pinecone Macro Research aims to provide unique, well researched analysis of the global markets using a macro framework. Find us here: www.pineconemacro.com Follow us and the show on Twitter: @PineconeMacro & @TaylorMadeMacroSubscribe on Substack: https://substack.com/@pineconemacroresearch--Bulwark Capital Management:
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD.Rothbard, "Nations by Consent": Mises.org/HAP436aHans-Hermann Hoppe, "On Free Immigration and Forced Integration": Mises.org/HAP436bBryan Caplan, "A Radical Case for Open Borders": Mises.org/HAP436cHuman Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFreeEnter to win free admission to the Human Action Conference: Mises.org/HARaffle]]>
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD.The ZeroHedge Debate: Mises.org/HAP437aBob's Post-Game Analysis of the Debate: Mises.org/HAP437bBrent Johnson Explains The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Mises.org/HAP437cBob's Article, 'What Does "Debt-Based" Money Imply for Interest Payments?': Mises.org/HAP437dHuman Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFreeEnter to win free admission to the Human Action Conference: Mises.org/HARaffle
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD. The ZeroHedge Debate: https://Mises.org/HAP437a Bob's Post-Game Analysis of the Debate: https://Mises.org/HAP437b Brent Johnson Explains The Dollar Milkshake Theory: https://Mises.org/HAP437c Bob's Article, 'What Does "Debt-Based" Money Imply for Interest Payments?': https://Mises.org/HAP437d
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD.The ZeroHedge Debate: Mises.org/HAP437aBob's Post-Game Analysis of the Debate: Mises.org/HAP437bBrent Johnson Explains The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Mises.org/HAP437cBob's Article, 'What Does "Debt-Based" Money Imply for Interest Payments?': Mises.org/HAP437dHuman Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFreeEnter to win free admission to the Human Action Conference: Mises.org/HARaffle
Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson provides his market commentary from VRIC on a weekend following new all time highs in the major US indices. But are investors and traders out over thier skis? Brent thinks so, in regards to the unknowns of interest rate policies from the Federal Reserve and geopolitical issues over seas.
In this video, we're witness to a "meeting of the minds" between two top monetary experts, who each will argue their predicted path for the US dollar from here. We're very fortunate to be joined by Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and developer of The Dollar Milkshake Theory, which will serve as the foundation upon which today's discussion will be built. Serving as a counterpoint perspective will be Matthew Piepenburg, Commercial Director at Matterhorn Asset Management AG - GoldSwitzerland This is not a debate so much as a "co-exploration", as there are many points our speakers agree on. But there are definitely a few where they see things differently. And over the next hour, we'll drill down together on those points of differentiation, to see if we can't make the path ahead for the US dollar clearer to discern. Follow Brent on Twitter at @SantiagoAuFund or at https://santiagocapital.com Follow Matt at https://goldswitzerland.com To learn what's in store for this new Thoughtful Money channel, SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ #dollar #money #currency
Follow On The Margin On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/46WWQ6T Follow On The Margin On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3UsnTiM Follow Blockworks Macro On YouTube: https://bit.ly/3NKpujX -- On today's episode, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital returns to On The Margin to share his view on the scorching summer rally in the U.S. dollar against other currencies. The surge in the dollar has been so fast and steady that Johnson expects a pullback, however, he warns that if the dollar continues to skyrocket then “heaven help the world.” -- Follow Brent: https://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- (00:00) Introduction (00:43) Where Is The Dollar Headed? (11:59) Federal Reserve and Treasury Bond Prices (21:19) Blockworks Research Ad (22:07) Japan & China (38:00) Chapter: Inflation and Interest Rates (44:20) Chapter: Brent's Views on Recession Risk -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Santiago Capital founder Brent Johnson to the show. They discuss the reasons Brent thinks the U.S. Dollar bull market isn't over yet, and why Brent thinks new highs for the dollar index are still to come. https://bit.ly/3EjuaYB Download Brent's charts: https://bit.ly/44xYY2r Download Big Picture Trading chartbook
Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson joins me for a frank discussion on the role of the US dollar, it's present and it's future. Brent and I come to similar conclusions about the potential paths in front of us and how to capitalize on them with your investing strategies.Show Notes:Expat Money Summit Santiago CapitalBrent on Twitter
We have an important two part episode this week for the long-form. First, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital joins us to talk about how a single company can move the entire stock market this week, amidst the looming debt ceiling deadline just a week away. We also talk about gold's fall from grace during this volatile time, but why some commodities of perked Brent's interest. We then turn to Chris Berry fo talk about the massive lithium deal car manufacturer Ford announced earlier this week. What does it mean for the lithium supply chains for American OEMs? And is the Inflation Reduction Act doing what it has set out to do? We'd like to thank our sponsors: Western Copper and Gold is focused on developing the world-class Casino project in Canada's Yukon Territory. The Casino project consists of an impressive 11 billion pounds of copper and 21 million ounces of gold in an overall resource. Western Copper and Gold trades on the TSX and the NYSE American with WRN. Be sure to follow the company via their website, www.westerncopperandgold.com. ASCU is an early-stage copper developer and explorer of the Cactus Mine and its satellite project, Parks/Salyer, both situated on a 4km mine trend on private land in Arizona's porphyry copper district. Opportunity for significant growth and scale exist along the trend, while future capex requirements outlined in the Cactus PEA benefit from significant onsite and nearby access to infrastructure. The Company is led by an executive management team and Board which have a long-standing track record of successful project delivery in North America. For more information, please visit www.arizonasonoran.com. Fireweed Metals is advancing 3 different projects within the Yukon and Northwest Territories, including the flagship Macmillan Pass Project, a large zinc-lead-silver deposit and the Mactung Project, one of the largest and highest-grade tungsten deposits in the world. Fireweed plans to advance these projects through exploration, resource definition, metallurgy, engineering, economic studies and collaboration with indigenous people on the path to production. For more information please visit fireweedmetals.com.
In Episode 275 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas publishes the audio from a recent Twitter Spaces event featuring Brent Johnson and Michael Kao, who were both later joined on stage by Michael Nicoletos and Michael Howell for a dynamic conversation about the explosive appreciation in the relative value of the US Dollar, the sources of Dollar strength, and what could bring an end to its role as the main global reserve currency. Brent Johnson is CEO of Santiago Capital and the author of the “Dollar Milkshake Theory.” Michael Kao is CIO and Portfolio Manager of Kao Family Offices and is well-known for coining “the Dollar Wrecking Ball” as a similar metaphor for describing the dynamics of Dollar hegemony. Michael Nicoletos is a macro investor and the founder and fmr. CIO at AppleTree Capital and Michael Howell is the CEO of CrossBorder Capital and a regular contributor and active member of our Hidden Forces Genius community which you can learn more about at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. Over the last six months, the US Dollar has appreciated tremendously against a basket of international currencies, from the pound sterling and the euro to the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan. Because of the Dollar's outsized role as a global funding currency, Dollar strength often translates into foreign weakness, not just for other currencies, but for their respective economies and asset markets as well. The goal of this conversation is to help deepen your understanding of the dynamics driving Dollar strength, the consequences for the global economy and asset markets the longer it continues, and what the possible end-game could be for economies and governments. You can access the transcripts and intelligence reports of previous episodes by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you have questions about our genius tier, which includes access to the Hidden Forces community, Q&A calls with guests, in-person events, and dinners, you can learn more at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you have further questions, feel free to send an email to info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone else from our team will get right back to you. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 10/03/2022
Today's Stansberry Investor Hour guest is the man behind a theory that Dan says "scares the crap out of me when I think of foreign markets"... We're thrilled to have Brent Johnson, the creator of the famous "dollar milkshake theory," on this week's episode. A seasoned Wall Street veteran with decades of experience in finance and money management, Brent is currently the CEO of Puerto Rico-based Santiago Capital, a wealth management firm focusing on macroeconomic trends. Brent says most folks who have read or heard about his dollar milkshake theory think it's just about the U.S. dollar going higher. But he says there's more to this narrative... He explains how the Federal Reserve's switch to quantitative tightening is like a straw sucking up liquidity from markets worldwide – strengthening the dollar. And it's a story that he says is playing out right now, with a soaring greenback and other currencies in a tailspin... After the global financial crisis, governments and monetary authorities around the world were forced to provide incredible amounts of liquidity... They created this big pool of liquidity, and they kept doubling down on it and doubling down on it... The world mixed this big milkshake of liquidity and capital that needs to go somewhere. But as we get further into this, it's going to cause a global sovereign debt crisis because the debts have just gotten too big. A lot of that capital is going to flow into the U.S. dollar – or U.S. dollar assets – and deprive that liquidity to the rest of the world. As the dollar gets stronger, that attracts more capital and it also puts more pressure on the rest of the world – which makes the U.S. even look more attractive on a relative basis and perpetuates more capital flows. The U.S. dollar is going to "drink the world's milkshake." With another clever analogy, Brent also explains just how much power the buck lends to America. There's a "rigged" poker game playing out where the U.S. has the upper hand – and it has the "biggest stack at the table" with its currency. If any of the other countries "wins a big hand and tries to leave," Uncle Sam's "guards" at the door – or the dollar's privilege as the world's reserve currency – are ready to rob them of their profits. However, he says that the greenback could eventually plummet and end up in the same trouble that other currencies are undergoing... ultimately leaving gold as the "last man standing" at the table. Brent also shares which of his favorite movies served as the inspiration for his theory. And his takeaway for surviving this challenging economic environment should resonate with longtime Investor Hour listeners... It's all about preparing for even the most unthinkable outcomes and building a well-diversified portfolio – or, as Dan always says, "Prepare, don't predict." And this time, Brent's cinematic muse is Lawrence of Arabia... Be prepared. Nothing is certain. "Nothing is written." Any of these ideas that you have that you think are absolutely foolproof, I would throw them in the trash can. Just open your eyes. Be ready for anything.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Santiago Capital founder Brent Johnson to the show to take a deep dive on the U.S. Dollar: Why it didn't crash the way so many people predicted, why it's been so strong, and why Brent says that strength is set to continue.https://bit.ly/3KAyBAR Download Brent's charts: https://bit.ly/3TsiU2C Download Big Picture Trading chartbook
Brent Johnson is the Co-Founder of Santiago Capital. In this conversation, we discuss Brent's infamous "Dollar Milkshake Theory", the current macro enviorntment, the collapse of currencies, Fed interests rates, how Brent is managing capital during an uncertain market, and why Brent does not recommend Bitcoin to his clients at this time. ======================= Since 2018 Copper has been at the forefront of institutional digital asset development. From award winning custody solutions, to creating the first truly off-exchange settlement function, Copper pioneers technology, products, and services, in lock-step with a rapidly changing world. No other infrastructure provider covers as many assets, across as many exchanges, with the speed and security that Copper can offer. To learn how Copper helps the world's largest institutional investors secure their digital assets, head over to copper.co Copper - the unfair advantage. ======================= Compass Mining is the world's first online marketplace for bitcoin mining hardware and hosting. Compass was founded with the goal of making it easy for everyone to mine bitcoin. Visit http://compassmining.io to start mining bitcoin today! ======================= Bullish is a powerful new digital asset exchange built for institutions that delivers the innovations of DeFi in a regulated environment. The Bullish Hybrid Order Book pairs the high-performance of a traditional Central Limit Order Book with automated market making. Powered by deep Bullish Liquidity Pools, backed by the multi-billion dollar Bullish Treasury. So, you can trade with certainty and at scale across variable market conditions. Learn more at Bullish.com or follow @Bullish on Twitter. Because the future belongs to the bullish. *Not investment advice. Digital assets and cryptocurrencies are high risk products. Consult your professional advisor before dealing in them. Bullish's services are available in select locations only and not to U.S persons. Visit https://bullish.com/legal for important information and risk warnings =======================
In Episode 250 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with CEO of Santiago Capital and originator of the “Dollar Milkshake” theory, Brent Johnson. Brent and Demetri discuss his thesis on the Dollar as part of a much larger conversation about the sell-off that we're currently experiencing in risk assets, the dislocations we're seeing in currencies and currency pairs like Dollar-Yen, and how to position yourself as conditions change in real-time. Because so much is happening in markets right now it is challenging to know where to focus your attention, which is why Brent's framework around the role of the US Dollar and its impact on financial flows is crucial for understanding what we're seeing in markets today. We have published countless episodes over the last several years in anticipation of the events that are transpiring today. We think we are in the end-game phase of what in our view has been a forty-year paradigm of falling interest rates, rising debt levels, low inflation, growing inequality, and peak globalization, all of which we believe are in the process of reversing. How that process unfolds and what assets and investments you want to be invested in during this time do not have straightforward answers, but conversations like this one with Brent are crucial in helping you think through the steps required to get you there. You can access the full episode, transcript, and intelligence report to this week's conversation by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 05/12/2022
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