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Of all the disruptive policies President Trump has made so far in his second term, his hardball strategy to reform global trade has received the most scorn.His detractors call it "non-sensical" and "hamfisted".That it's based on faulty logic, poor math, and has done grave injury to relations with our closest allies.They fear it's actually driving the rest of the world into China's -- our chief competitor's -- arms. And as a result, substantially damaging America's future prospects.Is this true?And is this the reason why bond yields are rising, the dollar is weakening, and gold is soaring?And most importantly, will China end up drinking America's milkshake?For answers, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital and publisher of The Macro Alchemist.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#china #tradewar #dollar _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Interview recorded - 21st of April, 2025 On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming on Brent Johnson. Brent is the CEO of Santiago Capital, has twenty years experience in financial markets and is well known for coining the “Milkshake theory”.During our conversation we touched on the Milkshake theory, the risk of a sovereign crisis, what this means for the markets currently, realignment of the world worder, who are the losers and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:22 - Milkshake theory4:15 - Sovereign crisis7:20 - All things link back to debt & dollar?9:14 - China worse than the West?11:28 - Misallocation of capital?16:40 - Swap lines20:31 - What is happening in the economy?24:16 - Foreigners selling US assets?26:31 - Dollar shortage28:39 - Realignment of world order32:09 - Who is the loser?35:31 - Impact investment approach?38:56 - One message to takeaway?Brent Johnson brings over twenty years of experience in the financial markets to his position as CEO of Santiago Capital. Prior to that, Brent enjoyed more than nine years as a Managing Director at BakerAvenue Asset Management, a multi-billion dollar asset manager and wealth management firm. He was the lead advisor for several of the firm's largest clients. Before joining BakerAvenue, Brent spent nine years at Credit Suisse in their private client group. He got his start as part of the training program at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette (DLJ) which became part of Credit Suisse in the fall of 2000. Brent regularly gives interviews and speaks at conferences regarding financial markets & macroeconomic trends. His views have been quoted in numerous print, online and television outlets. Brent Johnson -Fund - https://santiagocapital.com/X - https://x.com/SantiagoAuFundNewsletter - https://macroalchemist.com/YouTube - @MilkshakesPod WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson comes back to the podcast to discuss the current state of the Dollar Milkshake in the context of Donald Trump's upending the old global financial business model. It's a sober look at how and why today's turmoil is not tomorrow's dollar crisis. Show Notes:Brent on XSantiago CapitalTom on XGold, Goats 'n Guns Patreon
In this episode of Soar Financially, Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and the mind behind the “Dollar Milkshake” theory, returns to unpack the escalating global financial war.From capital controls to Fortress America, Brent reveals why the dollar will rise, why Europe is in trouble, and what comes next for gold, bonds, and global trade.We dive deep into the EU's €1 trillion gamble, Trump's real strategy, the future of swap lines, and why capital is fleeing both directions.#dollar #europe #gold ----------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------
In this conversation, Trevor welcomes in Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson to delve into the complexities surrounding the Mar-A-Lago Accord, a conceptual restructuring of US debt and the implications of a new monetary system under the Trump administration. The idea is a theoretical, and as of yet unconfirmed, plan under consideration by the Trump administration. It aims to restructure global trade and financial systems, specifically addressing the U.S. national debt and trade imbalances. Key objectives include weakening the U.S. dollar, incentivizing domestic fixed-asset investment, and fundamentally altering the terms of international security arrangements. It draws comparisons to historical currency accords like Bretton Woods and the Plaza Accord, suggesting a potentially profound impact on the global economic order.Brent and Trevor discuss the potential revaluation of the US dollar, the challenges of de-dollarization, and the intertwining of economic and national security policies. The dialogue emphasizes the need for a coordinated approach to address the urgent issues facing the US economy and the global financial system. In this conversation, Brent Johnson discusses the complexities of the U.S. economy, focusing on the monetization of the balance sheet, the implications of tariffs, and the evolving dynamics of global trade, particularly with China and Russia. He emphasizes the potential for a gold revaluation and its impact on financial markets, while also exploring investment strategies in uncertain times.This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Vizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Calibre Mining is a Canadian-listed, Americas focused, growing mid-tier gold producer with a strong pipeline of development and exploration opportunities across Newfoundland & Labrador in Canada, Nevada and Washington in the USA, and Nicaragua. With a strong balance sheet, a proven management team, strong operating cash flow, accretive development projects and district-scale exploration opportunities Calibre will unlock significant value.https://www.calibremining.com/Integra is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
As we head into a new year, there are a lot of questions swirling about money: Will the dollar's strength vs other world currencies continue into 2025? And even if so, will it continue to lose purchasing power vs real things? Will gold continue to be aggressively purchased by the world's central banks? By investors? Is Bitcoin "winning" the store of value war? To discuss all these and more, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, and developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory. Brent is "extra cautious" right now given Wall Street's exuberance. At these high levels of euphoria, he fears the 2025 market could look a lot like 2022 rough year. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
The U.S. Dollar faces rising competition from cryptocurrencies and even the idea of a BRICS currency. But in this episode of Market Overtime, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital says it won't matter. Get ready to take his "Dollar Milkshake Theory" (inspiration from Daniel Plainview and "There Will Be Blood") for a spin, and find out why Gold & Equities could SOAR from current levels as a result of a higher Dollar. For more from Brent, check out his channel here: @MilkshakesPod ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Brent Johnson, founder and CEO of Santiago Capital, returns for episode 196, in which he discusses the current macro landscape, focusing on Fed policy, global markets, and his Dollar Milkshake Theory. He explores gold's role as a signal of economic stress, the dynamics of carry trades, and potential market volatility ahead. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.9% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 8/23/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. Links: Twitter/X: https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@milkshakespod Macro Alchemist: https://macroalchemist.com/ 0:00 Welcome Brent Johnson 1:05 Current macro picture and Fed policy 4:40 Challenges of engineering a soft landing 8:54 What is gold signaling? 14:22 Global demand for gold 17:29 Dollar Milkshake Theory explained 24:11 Geopolitical implications of the dollar system 30:22 Market outlook 37:42 Are markets in a bubble? 41:51 Gold price outlook 45:35 2024 election impact on markets 49:24 Yen carry trade and broader carry trade risks 56:17 The global system as one big carry trade 59:03 Closing thoughts and where to find Brent's work
On today's show we are talking about a new paper published last Friday by Brent Johnson and Michael Peregrine of Santiago Capital. Brent Johnson is famous for his dollar milkshake theory. This 44 page article is a deep dive into the Japanese carry trade. Many of you might remember a banking crisis that erupted in Japan last month as a result of the implosion of widespread carry trade activity. While the Yen is likely to rise in the short term when the carry trade truly blows up, it is probably going to fall after that. As I said, the BOJ can protect the bond market or the currency, but not both. So why do we care about this? If Japan dumps a trillion dollars worth of US Treasuries in a short time period, we could see the supply of US Treasuries exceed demand. That means a sharp and unexpected rise in the yield for US Treasuries which will impact the cost of borrowing for real estate investors. Just because the Fed is in a lowering cycle for the Fed Funds rate, doesn't mean that the cost of borrowing for real estate investors will follow suit. -------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, joins Anthony Scaramucci for a deep-dive conversation that reveals the painful realities of attempting de-dollarization and the enduring global power of the US dollar. Brent, renowned for his “Dollar Milkshake Theory,” also shares unique insights on Bitcoin, his outlook on China's economy, advice for young finance professionals, and much more. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.wealthion.com Chapters: 1:38 - The Origin of Brent Johnson's Dollar Milkshake Theory 15:48 - Can the BRICS Countries De-Dollarize? 19:26 - Can a Trump Administration Weaken the Dollar? 23:58 - Bitcoin's Role in Global Finance 27:29 - Actionable Investing Advice from Brent 31:58 - Audience Question: Are Current Stock Valuations Sustainable? 32:34 - Audience Question: Thoughts on Returning to the Gold Standard 33:45 - Audience Question: Outlook for China's Economy 34:43 - Audience Question: Advice for Young Finance Professionals #BrentJohnson #DeDollarization #USDollar #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #Bitcoin #CurrencyWars #EconomicOutlook #AnthonyScaramucci #InvestmentStrategy #SantiagoCapital #GlobalFinance #USDEndurance #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/
The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for dollars to pay off their debts, further boosting the dollar's value. This could lead to a "dollar milkshake effect" where money flows heavily into the US, inflating asset prices there. They also explore Modern Monetary Theory's role in this scenario, suggesting the US government's printing of money can continue to fuel dollar demand for some time. #BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyStrength #FinancialMarkets #DebtCrisis #USDollar #Petrodollar #CapitalMarkets #MMT #Inflation #AssetPrices Key Takeaways: 0:28 The Dollar Milkshake theory and the debt crisis 6:45 The straw and the US dollar's best deal 10:46 Modern Monetary Theory 12:01 Kicking the can down the road- for how long? 14:32 The storm before the storm 17:32 An "End of the world" scenario 19:07 Weak dollar vs. strong dollar, inflation vs. deflation 22:33 Echo chambers and the big social craziness coming Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for dollars to pay off their debts, further boosting the dollar's value. This could lead to a "dollar milkshake effect" where money flows heavily into the US, inflating asset prices there. They also explore Modern Monetary Theory's role in this scenario, suggesting the US government's printing of money can continue to fuel dollar demand for some time. #BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyStrength #FinancialMarkets #DebtCrisis #USDollar #Petrodollar #CapitalMarkets #MMT #Inflation #AssetPrices Key Takeaways: 0:46 The Dollar Milkshake theory and the debt crisis 7:03 The straw and the US dollar's best deal 11:04 Modern Monetary Theory 12:19 Kicking the can down the road- for how long? 14:49 The storm before the storm 17:49 An "End of the world" scenario 19:25 Weak dollar vs. strong dollar, inflation vs. deflation 22:50 Echo chambers and the big social craziness coming Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Jason welcomes you from Salzburg, Austria, discussing the recent tragic events in the U.S., the media's coverage, and new home sales. He criticizes the misleading nature of news about declining home prices, explaining that homebuilders are constructing smaller, cheaper homes to address affordability issues. The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for dollars to pay off their debts, further boosting the dollar's value. This could lead to a "dollar milkshake effect" where money flows heavily into the US, inflating asset prices there. The interview also explores Modern Monetary Theory's role in this scenario, suggesting the US government's printing of money can continue to fuel dollar demand for some time. #BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyStrength #FinancialMarkets #DebtCrisis #USDollar #Petrodollar #CapitalMarkets #MMT #Inflation #AssetPrices Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:34 Greetings from Europe 2:59 The Trump assassination news media in Europe and the 'Thought Police' 8:26 New home sales Jason's interview with Brent Johnson 13:24 The Dollar Milkshake theory and the debt crisis 19:41 The straw and the US dollar's best deal 23:42 Modern Monetary Theory 24:57 Kicking the can down the road- for how long? 27:28 The storm before the storm 30:28 An "End of the world" scenario 32:03 Weak dollar vs. strong dollar, inflation vs. deflation 35:29 echo chambers and the big social craziness coming Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
“The reason the U.S. needs to print more money is because there's a demand for it,” says Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory. He tells Daniela Cambone that the petrodollar will not be jeopardized despite recent headlines. Johnson explains the history behind why Saudi Arabia began selling oil primarily in dollars in the 1970s and why this practice will continue. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310
Host: Tracy Shuchart Guests: Hugh Hendry and Brent Johnson Hugh Hendry Hugh Hendry is a writer, risk-taker, and thought leader on global capital markets. In 2002 he founded Eclectica Asset Management, a hedge fund that delivered uncorrelated returns to clients for over a decade. His prescience in anticipating the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 earned him a reputation as a prophetic iconoclast. Despite stepping back from active fund management, Hendry remains an influential voice in finance, leveraging his deep understanding of market dynamics and his contrarian mindset to provide a unique perspective on economic developments as the Acid Capitalist. Hendry now resides in St. Barts, where he is a leading investor in luxury real estate. Link: https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryBrent JohnsonBrent Johnson brings over twenty years of experience in the financial markets to his position as CEO of Santiago Capital where he manages $175mm for High Net Worth families via separately managed accounts and private funds. Brent enjoyed more than nine years as a Managing Director at BakerAvenue Asset Management, a $2 Billion Asset Manager and Wealth Management firm, with offices in San Francisco, Dallas and New York. He was the lead advisor for several of the firms largest clients. Before joining BakerAvenue, Brent spent nine years at Credit Suisse in their private client group. He got his start as part of the training program at DLJ in New York prior to moving to San Francisco. He joined Credit Suisse in the fall of 2000 when the bank purchased DLJ.Link: https://santiagocapital.com/Disclaimer: This material is presented solely for informational and entertainment purposes and is not to be construed as a recommendation, solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell / long or short any securities, commodities, or any related financial instruments. Please contact a licensed professional before making any investment or trading decisions
Brent Johnson returns to update us on his famous Dollar Milkshake Theory. Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, joins Raoul to share the story of how he came to develop his now-famous Dollar Milkshake Theory, and what's changed since he made his initial predictions in 2018. Raoul and Brent also examine how geopolitics could affect the dollar's strength, what this all means for the future direction of global risk assets, and why the dollar will be the final currency to fail. Recorded on May 28, 2024. Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction and importance of subscribing (00:26) Raoul's journey in macro, crypto, and tech (01:47) Understanding the broken economic system (03:37) Introduction to Brent Johnson and Dollar Milkshake Theory (07:07) Brent's background in wealth management (10:18) Transition from gold bug to dollar bull (17:13) Seeing the world as it is vs. how you want it to be (24:21) The significance of the euro dollar market (27:30) The Dollar Milkshake Theory explained (35:15) Managing portfolios based on reality (50:13) The duality of money and its implications (1:00:45) The cyclical nature of the dollar and future outlook
According to Truflation, the US dollar has lost nearly 25% of its purchasing power since January of 2020. Many everyday Americans struggling to pay their monthly bills may argue that's an understatement. What the US dollar does, vs real things as well as vs other national currencies, has very real implications -- economically, financially & geopolitically -- for everyone watching this video, regardless of where you live. For a better sense of what it's likely to do from here, we're fortunate to speak today with Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, and developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #dollar #currency #inflation --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome back, Santiago Capital founder Brent Johnson. They discuss the current rally in the dollar against other currencies, the big move in gold, and the looming question of persistent inflation. https://bit.ly/3WiZp0d ⚫ Follow Brent on X: https://www.twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund ⚫ Find out More: https://santiagocapital.com/
Joining me on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, for a discussion about global markets and, of course, The Milkshake Theory. Brent explains how he uses the Theory as a framework to help him understand how a sovereign debt and currency crisis might play out and how, though he's been uncertain about markets recently, this framework has helped him navigate the volatility. Brent emphasizes the importance of remaining objective and questioning one's own beliefs, as well as the need to be prepared for drawdowns in asset prices as we discusses the extraordinary bull market in certainty and the importance of diversification. There's also time for a look at the current political situation in the US and its potential impact on the markets with Brent arguing that, while the US may be facing political and economic turmoil, the rest of the world still relies heavily on the US dollar, and a divided US would be a disaster for the global economy. Something for everyone in here… Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.
"I have forced myself to be a rationalist...I force myself to understand that what I think is right or wrong has absolutely zero bearing on what the market is going to do." - Brent Johnson --Our inaugural episode highlights Chase's long-time mentor and friend, Brent Johnson. Brent Johnson is the founder of Santiago Capital and has more than 20 years of experience in finance. Chase and Brent discuss systems thinking, how they draw inspiration from people smarter than themselves, and how removing your own biases is a learned skill required to operate in the markets.--Timestamps:(00:00) - Intro(01:36) - How Chase and Brent Met(06:52) - Ground Rules(07:18) - Charity of Choice: Love4Satos(08:30) - Milkshake Theory Evolution & How to Approach the Markets (13:26) - Systems Thinking(17:31) - George Soros, Imperial Circle, and Liquidity(25:17) - Strong Dollar, Weak Dollar(34:30) - Between Two Pines(36:31) - Changing Thoughts on the Fed Hikes End Goal(37:12) - Getting a Trade Right for the Wrong Reasons(40:44) - Read to "Collect Dots"(43:28) - The "Santiago" Book Characters Behind Santiago Capital(43:57) - Contrarian Views Can Be More Profitable than Consensus Views(46:28) - Conference Tips From a Seasoned Guest Speaker(48:52) - Plugs--This Episode's Charity:Brent chose Love4Satos. The charity is located in Puerto Rico and aims to find forever homes for stray dogs in the continental United StatesWebsite & Where to Donate --Referenced in the Show:1) Imperial Circle Primer - George Soros2) Milkshake Theory 3) 35 Books on Systems Thinking by Category (I recommend #1, #5, and #13).4) The Alchemist by Paulo Coelho5) The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway--Guest Plugs:Brent Johnson X & MilkshakesPod X Milkshake, Markets, and Madness Podcast--Pinecone Macro Research aims to provide unique, well researched analysis of the global markets using a macro framework. Find us here: www.pineconemacro.com Follow us and the show on Twitter: @PineconeMacro & @TaylorMadeMacroSubscribe on Substack: https://substack.com/@pineconemacroresearch--Bulwark Capital Management:
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD.The ZeroHedge Debate: Mises.org/HAP437aBob's Post-Game Analysis of the Debate: Mises.org/HAP437bBrent Johnson Explains The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Mises.org/HAP437cBob's Article, 'What Does "Debt-Based" Money Imply for Interest Payments?': Mises.org/HAP437dHuman Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFreeEnter to win free admission to the Human Action Conference: Mises.org/HARaffle
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD.Rothbard, "Nations by Consent": Mises.org/HAP436aHans-Hermann Hoppe, "On Free Immigration and Forced Integration": Mises.org/HAP436bBryan Caplan, "A Radical Case for Open Borders": Mises.org/HAP436cHuman Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFreeEnter to win free admission to the Human Action Conference: Mises.org/HARaffle]]>
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD.The ZeroHedge Debate: Mises.org/HAP437aBob's Post-Game Analysis of the Debate: Mises.org/HAP437bBrent Johnson Explains The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Mises.org/HAP437cBob's Article, 'What Does "Debt-Based" Money Imply for Interest Payments?': Mises.org/HAP437dHuman Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFreeEnter to win free admission to the Human Action Conference: Mises.org/HARaffle
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital created the "dollar milkshake" theory, which says that in a global sovereign debt crisis, the USD, gold, and US stock market will all rise. He joins Bob for a friendly disagreement over the dynamics of a decline in foreign demand to hold USD. The ZeroHedge Debate: https://Mises.org/HAP437a Bob's Post-Game Analysis of the Debate: https://Mises.org/HAP437b Brent Johnson Explains The Dollar Milkshake Theory: https://Mises.org/HAP437c Bob's Article, 'What Does "Debt-Based" Money Imply for Interest Payments?': https://Mises.org/HAP437d
Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson provides his market commentary from VRIC on a weekend following new all time highs in the major US indices. But are investors and traders out over thier skis? Brent thinks so, in regards to the unknowns of interest rate policies from the Federal Reserve and geopolitical issues over seas.
In this video, we're witness to a "meeting of the minds" between two top monetary experts, who each will argue their predicted path for the US dollar from here. We're very fortunate to be joined by Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and developer of The Dollar Milkshake Theory, which will serve as the foundation upon which today's discussion will be built. Serving as a counterpoint perspective will be Matthew Piepenburg, Commercial Director at Matterhorn Asset Management AG - GoldSwitzerland This is not a debate so much as a "co-exploration", as there are many points our speakers agree on. But there are definitely a few where they see things differently. And over the next hour, we'll drill down together on those points of differentiation, to see if we can't make the path ahead for the US dollar clearer to discern. Follow Brent on Twitter at @SantiagoAuFund or at https://santiagocapital.com Follow Matt at https://goldswitzerland.com To learn what's in store for this new Thoughtful Money channel, SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ #dollar #money #currency
Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital and the Milkshake Theory joins us to provide his latest thoughts on Gold, the US Dollar, and the factors driving current trends. The main takeaway is that the dollar remains in an uptrend and that the prospects of the dollar and Gold rising together soon are increasing. 0:00 Intro1:35 General View of US Dollar6:03 Dollar Impact on Asset Classes9:00 How Much War Premium in Gold11:30 Drivers of Gold Breakout14:25 Gold & US Dollar Rise Together19:15 Bond Market Impact on Gold23:15 How to Follow Brent
Brent Johnson brings over twenty years of experience in the financial markets to his position as CEO of Santiago Capital. He covers everything from the quirks of the dollar to the unpredictable price moves of gold. He decodes the enigma of interest rates, yield curves, and the intricate dance of global currencies and exposes the deliberate dance orchestrated by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The revelation that the U.S. might wield its interest rates as a strategic economic tool sends shockwaves through the conversation. Could the last hundred basis points of rate hikes be more than just monetary policy for the U.S.? He speculates on the geopolitical chess match, suggesting that the U.S. may be flexing its economic muscles on the world stage. Johnson also shares his bullish outlook on gold, emphasizing its role as a long-term portfolio cornerstone. Follow @jimiuorio @Bob_Iaccino Produced by Haynow Media
Follow On The Margin On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/46WWQ6T Follow On The Margin On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3UsnTiM Follow Blockworks Macro On YouTube: https://bit.ly/3NKpujX -- On today's episode, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital returns to On The Margin to share his view on the scorching summer rally in the U.S. dollar against other currencies. The surge in the dollar has been so fast and steady that Johnson expects a pullback, however, he warns that if the dollar continues to skyrocket then “heaven help the world.” -- Follow Brent: https://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- (00:00) Introduction (00:43) Where Is The Dollar Headed? (11:59) Federal Reserve and Treasury Bond Prices (21:19) Blockworks Research Ad (22:07) Japan & China (38:00) Chapter: Inflation and Interest Rates (44:20) Chapter: Brent's Views on Recession Risk -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Santiago Capital founder Brent Johnson to the show. They discuss the reasons Brent thinks the U.S. Dollar bull market isn't over yet, and why Brent thinks new highs for the dollar index are still to come. https://bit.ly/3EjuaYB Download Brent's charts: https://bit.ly/44xYY2r Download Big Picture Trading chartbook
Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson joins me for a frank discussion on the role of the US dollar, it's present and it's future. Brent and I come to similar conclusions about the potential paths in front of us and how to capitalize on them with your investing strategies.Show Notes:Expat Money Summit Santiago CapitalBrent on Twitter
Brent Johnson (@SantiagoAuFund), the CEO of Puerto Rico-based wealth management firm Santiago Capital and the creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, returns to the podcast for episode 79. Brent, who believes we're heading for a currency crisis, is the creator of The Dollar Milkshake Theory, a framework he developed to explain how a sovereign debt and currency crisis might play out. He explained how the world was flooded with liquidity thanks to extraordinary monetary policies following the Global Financial Crisis. The Dollar Milkshake is a simplified way to demonstrate how capital — all of the liquidity that makes up the “milkshake” — would flee the rest of the world and get sucked up by the U.S. Dollar (the straw) and U.S.-based markets creating a myriad of problems globally. During this conversation, Brent explains his Dollar Milkshake Theory and what's changed since publicly sharing his thesis five years ago. Brent weighed in on the de-dollarization narrative and why he expects the U.S. dollar to go higher. He also made a case for investing in gold. 0:00 Show Open 1:22 Welcome Brent Johnson 2:04 Macro framework 2:57 Heading toward a sovereign debt and currency crisis 4:04 Rate hikes will likely pinch economy in back half of the year 4:50 The Dollar Milkshake Theory, explained 6:52 Why we'll likely see easy money again 7:45 “This is not a story that ends well” 10:00 Has the Dollar Milkshake Theory changed in 5 years? 13:42 Last year solidified our thesis 17:37 Catalysts for a higher dollar 19:19 Credit crunch 21:43 Geopolitical concerns 22:40 De-dollarization 29:49 A blowback from rate hikes? 35:00 Headlines don't match reality 37:33 Debt ceiling short-term and long-term implications 44:14 Why is the Fed continuing to hike? 48:20 Why the Fed will pivot 50:05 Regional banks 52:52 Owning physical gold as an insurance policy 55:05 Cash for optionality 56:56 Camino de Santiago 1:01:01 Parting thoughts
Óscar Contardo nació en Curicó, Chile, en 1974). Estudió periodismo en la Universidad de Chile. Entre 1996 y 2010, trabajó en el suplemento “Artes y Letras”, de El Mercurio. Sus artículos han sido publicados en las revistas “Sábado” y en Gatopardo. Actualmente es columnista del diario La Tercera. Algunos de sus trabajos han sido incluidos en los libros Crónicas de carnaval (2006); Crónicas de otro planeta (2009); Las cien mejores crónicas de 2010 (2010); Los Malditos (2011) y Extremas (2019). Es coautor de La era ochentera: tevé, pop y under en el Chile de los ochentas (2005) y antologador de Volver a los 17, recuerdos de una generación en dictadura (2013). Ha publicado como autor los libros Siútico: arribismo, abajismo y vida social en Chile (2008); Raro: una historia gay de Chile (2011); Santiago Capital (2012); Luis Oyarzún: Un paseo con los dioses (2013); Rebaño (2018); Antes de que fuera octubre (2020), ganador del premio Mejores Obras Literarias del Ministerio de las Culturas y las Artes; y Clase media: un mito a la medida (2022) Contardo es el autor de otro libro reciente, Loca fuerte. Retrato de Pedro Lemebel (Ediciones UDP), biografía del legendario artista chileno, autor de la novela Tengo miedo torero y maestro de cronistas latinoamericanos fallecido en 2015. El libro de Contardo no narra la historia de un mito, sino la de un hombre complejo, a veces tierno, siempre rabioso, cuya voz no se ha apagado con la muerte. En la sección En voz alta, Roxana Amed leyó el poema “Tu voz”, del libro “Los trabajos y las noches” de Alejandra Pizarnik, Roxana nació en Buenos Aires, es cantante, productora, compositora, multi instrumentista y entrenadora vocal. Realizó posgrados en literatura española y cine. Se crió en una familia de raíces italianas y de Medio Oriente. Su disco “Unánime” acaba de ser nominado en los Premios Gardel en la categoría Mejor Álbum de Jazz y el 9 de junio lanzará su nuevo trabajo discográfico: LOS TRABAJOS Y LAS NOCHES. Se trata de un material en el que musicaliza la poesía de Alejandra Pizarnik. En la sección Mesita de luz, la periodista Florencia Halfon nos habló de “Anatomía de un instante” de Javier Cercas Florencia Halfon es periodista, integró las redacciones de Crítica y Tiempo Argentino. Actualmente escribe en Cenital, es columnista de “La Negra Pop” el programa de Elizabeth Vernaci y conduce “Ahora dicen” por Futurock y acaba de publicar “Favio vigente”, un libro en el que a partir de conversaciones, viajes e investigación periodística, retrata a Leonardo Favio a través de las pasiones que motorizaron la vida y la obra del artista popular: sus afectos, el cine, la música y la militancia. En Bienvenidos, Hinde habló de “Mujeres silenciadas” en la Edad Media, de Sandra Ferrer (Punto de vista editores) y “El pozo y la pirámide”, de Diego Bentivegna (Audisea), en Libros que sí recomendó “Amor a Roma”, de Charlie Feiling (La bestia equilátera) y “V13”, de Emmanuel Carrere (Anagrama) y finalizó el programa con la mención “Una flor en el jardín del mal” de Daniel Bohm (cienvolando) y “Cada cual aguanta sus trapos” (3Banderas editores) de Alberto Fernández de Rosa
We have an important two part episode this week for the long-form. First, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital joins us to talk about how a single company can move the entire stock market this week, amidst the looming debt ceiling deadline just a week away. We also talk about gold's fall from grace during this volatile time, but why some commodities of perked Brent's interest. We then turn to Chris Berry fo talk about the massive lithium deal car manufacturer Ford announced earlier this week. What does it mean for the lithium supply chains for American OEMs? And is the Inflation Reduction Act doing what it has set out to do? We'd like to thank our sponsors: Western Copper and Gold is focused on developing the world-class Casino project in Canada's Yukon Territory. The Casino project consists of an impressive 11 billion pounds of copper and 21 million ounces of gold in an overall resource. Western Copper and Gold trades on the TSX and the NYSE American with WRN. Be sure to follow the company via their website, www.westerncopperandgold.com. ASCU is an early-stage copper developer and explorer of the Cactus Mine and its satellite project, Parks/Salyer, both situated on a 4km mine trend on private land in Arizona's porphyry copper district. Opportunity for significant growth and scale exist along the trend, while future capex requirements outlined in the Cactus PEA benefit from significant onsite and nearby access to infrastructure. The Company is led by an executive management team and Board which have a long-standing track record of successful project delivery in North America. For more information, please visit www.arizonasonoran.com. Fireweed Metals is advancing 3 different projects within the Yukon and Northwest Territories, including the flagship Macmillan Pass Project, a large zinc-lead-silver deposit and the Mactung Project, one of the largest and highest-grade tungsten deposits in the world. Fireweed plans to advance these projects through exploration, resource definition, metallurgy, engineering, economic studies and collaboration with indigenous people on the path to production. For more information please visit fireweedmetals.com.
Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, @MilkshakesPod has a very unique perspective being a US dollar bull and a Gold bull.In this interview he discuss potential scenarios for this year. These include what could happen in a recession and how the dollar would be impacted. He also sees potential for a rebound in the dollar but would not be surprised if the dollar makes a lower low after said rebound.Brent thinks that the correction Gold could continue into summer but Gold then could be poised for the next big leg higher. 0:00 Intro1:53 Dollar Not Going to Collapse7:34 Impact of Recession8:38 Brent on Recession13:45 Different Scenario17:40 Very Big Picture18:30 Brent on Dollar, Gold, Stocks22:15 Brent Scenario Dow Outperforms23:20 Brent Outlook on Gold & Silver25:30 Where to Follow26:45 Favorite Milkshake
Dire headlines predicting the end of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency have dominated the news in recent weeks. BRICs countries are announcing more and more trade deals that will settle currencies other than the dollar. How serious a threat is this REALLY to the dollar? And on what kind of timeline? For answers, we head to the dollar expert himself, Brent Johnson CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, and developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory -- which was hands-down one of the most powerfully-explanative frameworks that defined the action in global currencies in 2022. ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter: https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 #dollar #money #currency ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.
Watch this on YouTube! Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital joins us to talk The Dollar Milkshake Theory. He also gives us his portfolio allocation to go to financial war. 25% Gold, 25% Real Estate, 25% US Equities, 25% Cash. Brent's Website Follow us on Social Media: Twitter Facebook Instagram Linkedin Precious Metals Steve Style: https://www.stevebartonmoney.com/contact-2 Website: https://www.stevebartonmoney.com/ Email: stevebartonmoney@gmail.com DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser, do not take this as financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. This is just what I am doing. AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact our opinion. We recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because we are looking for the small commission.
This week we talk with Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital for the MSD long-form. Brent is well-known for his Dollar Milkshake Theory which, simply put, describes why the dollar and gold will rise into a sovereign debt crisis. His theory is well know throughout the finance community. So Brent and Trevor talk about some early career moments and how to started crafting this theory. Why does he feel the dollar will remain the strongest currency when so many people are calling for its demise? And how could gold follow its path? We chat about these ideas and what it means for the entire commodity complex and if we are already starting to see this theory play out today. We'd like to thank our sponsors: Western Copper and Gold is focused on developing the world-class Casino project in Canada's Yukon Territory. The Casino project consists of an impressive 11 billion pounds of copper and 21 million ounces of gold in an overall resource. Western Copper and Gold trades on the TSX and the NYSE American with WRN. Be sure to follow the company via their website, www.westerncopperandgold.com. ASCU is an early-stage copper developer and explorer of the Cactus Mine and its satellite project, Parks/Salyer, both situated on a 4km mine trend on private land in Arizona's porphyry copper district. Opportunity for significant growth and scale exist along the trend, while future capex requirements outlined in the Cactus PEA benefit from significant onsite and nearby access to infrastructure. The Company is led by an executive management team and Board which have a long-standing track record of successful project delivery in North America. For more information, please visit www.arizonasonoran.com. Fireweed Metals is advancing 3 different projects within the Yukon and Northwest Territories, including the flagship Macmillan Pass Project, a large zinc-lead-silver deposit and the Mactung Project, one of the largest and highest-grade tungsten deposits in the world. Fireweed plans to advance these projects through exploration, resource definition, metallurgy, engineering, economic studies and collaboration with indigenous people on the path to production. For more information please visit fireweedmetals.com.
On today's episode of On the Margin, we are joined by Brent Johnson CEO of Santiago Capital for a discussion on the macro forces that drove markets in 2022 and what to expect heading into 2023. The story of 2022 was the U.S Dollar says Brent, long known for his "Dollar milkshake theory". With the Dollar surging all throughout 2022, Brent walks through the effect it had on other markets from bonds, equities and Gold. Warning of the bear market rallies of 2022, Brent remains cautious on risk assets heading into 2023 as the Fed continues tightening financial conditions. Finally, Brent shares his outlook for 2023 where he expects more volatility, uncertainty and geopolitical risk. Sharing his view through the lens of The Fourth Turning, Brent highlights the most important factors to pay attention to in 2023 and beyond, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Brent: https://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:16) The Macro Story of 2022 (03:55) The Fed Will Continue Raising Rates Into 2023 (06:33) Did The Fed Loose Credibility In 2022? (11:08) Everybody's Looking At The Fed, What About Other Central Banks? (16:01) What Is Happening With The BoJ? (26:15) We Are In The Heart of Triffin's Dilemma (32:29) The Fourth Turning (40:50) Brent's Big Calls For 2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Is the dollar heading to new heights or new lows? Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital joins the Gold Exchange Podcast LIVE in New Orleans! Listen to Brent discuss the historic rise of the DXY, the effects on (d)emerging markets, and how he sees a currency and sovereign debt crisis playing out. Will Powell be able to solve Triffin's Dilemma? Can foreign central banks escape the zugzwang position? Will the financial justice warriors finally be vindicated? Watch the full episode to find out!
The whole world is based off energy, so shutting down energy through governments' inflationary policies, has it put too much pressure on sovereigns? Germany, for example has been a net exporter, but now they are a net importer and the costs have become so high that they had to shut down manufacturing... Most of Inflation is caused by the energy crisis. Inflation and Energy are so intertwined that this could lead to the end of this sovereign debt cycle. These nations are dumping US treasuries to bring in money to get more energy. All while Jerome Powell and the Fed have stated they are going to "keep at it, until the job is done" when it comes to inflation and interest rates... But many believe they are going to pivot sooner than later which is causing the recent rally in the markets! So are the markets calling a Fed bluff? I discuss all this and more with my guest Brent Johnson from Santiago Capital. Brent Johnson Twitter: @SantiagoAuFundSantiago Capital: santiagocapital.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Brent Johnson is the CEO of Santiago Capital and an author of a popular Dollar Milkshake Theory. In this episode, Brent explains his theory of why we inevitably will see a strong dollar, shares his opinion on the role of Bitcoin, and provides some personal finance tips on what to do during an upcoming recession. Brent Johnson: https://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER https://www.getrevue.co/profile/TheWolfDen GET UP TO A $8,000 BONUS IN USDT AND TRADE ALL SPOT PAIRS ON BITGET FOR ZERO FEES! ►► https://thewolfofallstreets.info/bitget Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://twitter.com/scottmelker Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wolfofallstreets Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.io Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.
Brent Johnson, the CEO of Puerto Rico-based wealth management firm Santiago Capital and the creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, joins Julia on episode 22. Brent's view is that we're heading for a currency crisis. The Dollar Milkshake Theory is a framework Brent developed to explain how a sovereign debt and currency crisis might play out. He explained how the world was flooded with liquidity thanks to extraordinary monetary policies following the Global Financial Crisis. The Dollar Milkshake is a simplified way to demonstrate how capital — all of the liquidity that makes up the “milkshake” — would flee the rest of the world and get sucked up by the U.S. Dollar (the straw) and U.S.-based markets creating a myriad of problems globally. During this conversation, Brent explains his Dollar Milkshake Theory, where he thinks we are within that framework, and why the U.S. Dollar's explosion to the upside could cause problems to pop up worldwide. Elsewhere, Brent discussed how to navigate a currency crisis, the case for investing in gold, why everyone should have cash, and his concerns about bitcoin. 0:00 Intro/background 1:25 Macro views, focus on currencies 2:41 Explanation of the Dollar Milkshake Theory 6:39 Where are we in the Dollar Milkshake framework? 10:26 What could be the endgame? 13:16 Why should individuals care about the implications of currencies? 19:39 How currency problems will create contagion 26:37 Weaponization of the Dollar 33:17 Views on The Fed 37:55 How to navigate a currency crisis 41:29 Investing in gold 43:52 Advice for CEOs and companies navigating currency headwinds 45:28 Everybody should have cash 47:42 A complicated relationship with Bitcoin 50:00 What a new monetary system could look like 53:41 The Dollar Milkshake Theory doesn't have a happy ending… 56:23 Think for yourself but think about what's going to happen
In Episode 275 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas publishes the audio from a recent Twitter Spaces event featuring Brent Johnson and Michael Kao, who were both later joined on stage by Michael Nicoletos and Michael Howell for a dynamic conversation about the explosive appreciation in the relative value of the US Dollar, the sources of Dollar strength, and what could bring an end to its role as the main global reserve currency. Brent Johnson is CEO of Santiago Capital and the author of the “Dollar Milkshake Theory.” Michael Kao is CIO and Portfolio Manager of Kao Family Offices and is well-known for coining “the Dollar Wrecking Ball” as a similar metaphor for describing the dynamics of Dollar hegemony. Michael Nicoletos is a macro investor and the founder and fmr. CIO at AppleTree Capital and Michael Howell is the CEO of CrossBorder Capital and a regular contributor and active member of our Hidden Forces Genius community which you can learn more about at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. Over the last six months, the US Dollar has appreciated tremendously against a basket of international currencies, from the pound sterling and the euro to the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan. Because of the Dollar's outsized role as a global funding currency, Dollar strength often translates into foreign weakness, not just for other currencies, but for their respective economies and asset markets as well. The goal of this conversation is to help deepen your understanding of the dynamics driving Dollar strength, the consequences for the global economy and asset markets the longer it continues, and what the possible end-game could be for economies and governments. You can access the transcripts and intelligence reports of previous episodes by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you have questions about our genius tier, which includes access to the Hidden Forces community, Q&A calls with guests, in-person events, and dinners, you can learn more at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you have further questions, feel free to send an email to info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone else from our team will get right back to you. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 10/03/2022
We didnt come up with the dollar milkshake theory but it has played out surprisingly well. Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital came up with the theory before the pandemic. It predicts a massive run-up in the dollar and capital flows into the U.S. as other countries are forced to print currency to get dollars to get the things they need. Nate then discusses the question on whether or not its better to be a specialist or a jack of all trades to build wealth. We hope you enjoy the episode.
Today's Stansberry Investor Hour guest is the man behind a theory that Dan says "scares the crap out of me when I think of foreign markets"... We're thrilled to have Brent Johnson, the creator of the famous "dollar milkshake theory," on this week's episode. A seasoned Wall Street veteran with decades of experience in finance and money management, Brent is currently the CEO of Puerto Rico-based Santiago Capital, a wealth management firm focusing on macroeconomic trends. Brent says most folks who have read or heard about his dollar milkshake theory think it's just about the U.S. dollar going higher. But he says there's more to this narrative... He explains how the Federal Reserve's switch to quantitative tightening is like a straw sucking up liquidity from markets worldwide – strengthening the dollar. And it's a story that he says is playing out right now, with a soaring greenback and other currencies in a tailspin... After the global financial crisis, governments and monetary authorities around the world were forced to provide incredible amounts of liquidity... They created this big pool of liquidity, and they kept doubling down on it and doubling down on it... The world mixed this big milkshake of liquidity and capital that needs to go somewhere. But as we get further into this, it's going to cause a global sovereign debt crisis because the debts have just gotten too big. A lot of that capital is going to flow into the U.S. dollar – or U.S. dollar assets – and deprive that liquidity to the rest of the world. As the dollar gets stronger, that attracts more capital and it also puts more pressure on the rest of the world – which makes the U.S. even look more attractive on a relative basis and perpetuates more capital flows. The U.S. dollar is going to "drink the world's milkshake." With another clever analogy, Brent also explains just how much power the buck lends to America. There's a "rigged" poker game playing out where the U.S. has the upper hand – and it has the "biggest stack at the table" with its currency. If any of the other countries "wins a big hand and tries to leave," Uncle Sam's "guards" at the door – or the dollar's privilege as the world's reserve currency – are ready to rob them of their profits. However, he says that the greenback could eventually plummet and end up in the same trouble that other currencies are undergoing... ultimately leaving gold as the "last man standing" at the table. Brent also shares which of his favorite movies served as the inspiration for his theory. And his takeaway for surviving this challenging economic environment should resonate with longtime Investor Hour listeners... It's all about preparing for even the most unthinkable outcomes and building a well-diversified portfolio – or, as Dan always says, "Prepare, don't predict." And this time, Brent's cinematic muse is Lawrence of Arabia... Be prepared. Nothing is certain. "Nothing is written." Any of these ideas that you have that you think are absolutely foolproof, I would throw them in the trash can. Just open your eyes. Be ready for anything.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Santiago Capital founder Brent Johnson to the show to take a deep dive on the U.S. Dollar: Why it didn't crash the way so many people predicted, why it's been so strong, and why Brent says that strength is set to continue.https://bit.ly/3KAyBAR Download Brent's charts: https://bit.ly/3TsiU2C Download Big Picture Trading chartbook
Founder and CEO of Santiago Capital, Brent Johnson joins us to answer your questions on precious metals and currency markets. Subscribe to our weekly newsletter www.sprottmoney.com/news-letter. Have questions for us? Send them to submissions@sprottmoney.com or simply leave a comment here.
Brent Johnson is the Co-Founder of Santiago Capital. In this conversation, we discuss Brent's infamous "Dollar Milkshake Theory", the current macro enviorntment, the collapse of currencies, Fed interests rates, how Brent is managing capital during an uncertain market, and why Brent does not recommend Bitcoin to his clients at this time. ======================= Since 2018 Copper has been at the forefront of institutional digital asset development. From award winning custody solutions, to creating the first truly off-exchange settlement function, Copper pioneers technology, products, and services, in lock-step with a rapidly changing world. No other infrastructure provider covers as many assets, across as many exchanges, with the speed and security that Copper can offer. To learn how Copper helps the world's largest institutional investors secure their digital assets, head over to copper.co Copper - the unfair advantage. ======================= Compass Mining is the world's first online marketplace for bitcoin mining hardware and hosting. Compass was founded with the goal of making it easy for everyone to mine bitcoin. Visit http://compassmining.io to start mining bitcoin today! ======================= Bullish is a powerful new digital asset exchange built for institutions that delivers the innovations of DeFi in a regulated environment. The Bullish Hybrid Order Book pairs the high-performance of a traditional Central Limit Order Book with automated market making. Powered by deep Bullish Liquidity Pools, backed by the multi-billion dollar Bullish Treasury. So, you can trade with certainty and at scale across variable market conditions. Learn more at Bullish.com or follow @Bullish on Twitter. Because the future belongs to the bullish. *Not investment advice. Digital assets and cryptocurrencies are high risk products. Consult your professional advisor before dealing in them. Bullish's services are available in select locations only and not to U.S persons. Visit https://bullish.com/legal for important information and risk warnings =======================
In Episode 250 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with CEO of Santiago Capital and originator of the “Dollar Milkshake” theory, Brent Johnson. Brent and Demetri discuss his thesis on the Dollar as part of a much larger conversation about the sell-off that we're currently experiencing in risk assets, the dislocations we're seeing in currencies and currency pairs like Dollar-Yen, and how to position yourself as conditions change in real-time. Because so much is happening in markets right now it is challenging to know where to focus your attention, which is why Brent's framework around the role of the US Dollar and its impact on financial flows is crucial for understanding what we're seeing in markets today. We have published countless episodes over the last several years in anticipation of the events that are transpiring today. We think we are in the end-game phase of what in our view has been a forty-year paradigm of falling interest rates, rising debt levels, low inflation, growing inequality, and peak globalization, all of which we believe are in the process of reversing. How that process unfolds and what assets and investments you want to be invested in during this time do not have straightforward answers, but conversations like this one with Brent are crucial in helping you think through the steps required to get you there. You can access the full episode, transcript, and intelligence report to this week's conversation by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 05/12/2022
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