Podcasts about fed day

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Best podcasts about fed day

Latest podcast episodes about fed day

Lagniappe
The Market Reacts to Fed Day

Lagniappe

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2025 24:44


Coming off of Fed Day, we'll talk about market reactions and the implications for inflation and interest rates. We also explore bond market dynamics, shifts in global market trends, and the resurgence of European markets. We then delve into the housing market insights, from what's happening here locally in New Orleans to migration trends across various states, highlighting the unique challenges and opportunities in the current economic environment. Key Takeaways [0:17] - Fed Day reactions and why we're not seeing stagflation  [04:20] - Interest rates and bond market dynamics [8:06] - Shifts in global market trends [09:17] - What spot shipping rates mean for inflation [13:33] - The Mag 7 & why diversification is working [16:41] - Housing market and U.S. migration trends View Transcript Links Truflation MSCI Index performance Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF Zillow downgrades its 2025 home price forecast Time Out ranks New Orleans as World's Best Food City Uhaul growth states Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Podcasts lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener's individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener's choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

Arcadia Economics
Fed Day Arrives, As Bank Warns Of Growing Risk Of Silver Squeeze

Arcadia Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 18:50


Fed Day Arrives, As Bank Warns Of Growing Risk Of Silver Squeeze The Fed day is finally here, where the markets are largely expecting the Fed to leave interest rates unchanged. Although as that's happening, another bank is warning of a short squeeze in the silver market. So Vince Lanci explains what they're saying, and catches you up to speed on all of the precious metals news. So to find out more, click to watch the video now! - Get access to Arcadia's Daily Gold and Silver updates here: https://goldandsilverdaily.substack.com/ - To get your very own 'Silver Chopper Ben' statue go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/chopper-ben-landing-page/ - Join our free email list to be notified when a new video comes out: click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - Follow Arcadia Economics on twitter at: https://x.com/ArcadiaEconomic - To get your copy of 'The Big Silver Short' (paperback or audio) go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ - Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 - #silver #silverprice #gold And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD)Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise

Markets & Mortgages
Ep. 377 | It's Fed Day With a Side of Tariffs

Markets & Mortgages

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 20:43


SUMMARY: It is a Fed Day and while the rate decision might not matter the forward guidance definitely will, housing starts skyrocket in February while homebuilder confidence falls in March as tariff uncertainty hits home builders, and retail sales fall as consumer pullback spending because of higher pricesDISCLAIMER: TowneBank Mortgage, NMLS #512138, is an equal housing lender. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Hosted by Tyler Cralle #2028201

Linea mercati
The Street | Fed: tassi fermi, previsti ancora due tagli nel 2025 e le altre storie da Wall Street

Linea mercati

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 3:59


Wall Street in rialzo nel Fed Day; I Magnifici 7 recuperano con Nvidia e Tesla; Fed: tassi fermi, previsti ancora due tagli nel 2025; Fed: il QT rallenta, giù le stime del Pil, su quelle dell'inflazione Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Martinis with Scott
339. Mornings With Scott – Live! – Merchant Cash Advance Restructurings

Martinis with Scott

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 35:19


• Fed Day – expect a wait and see approach• Telus building sovereign AI factory in Quebec• Glencore looks to buy insolvent recycler Li-Cycle Holdings Corp.• Canadian beer cans to be double tariffed• Robert DiNozzi's article on Merchant Cash Advance restructurings• Earn More Profit; Raise Business Capital  https://thescottsinclair.myshopify.com/• Virtual, Fractional Accounting Services (Bookkeeping, Controller, CFO)https://www.sinclairrange.com/2024/10/sinclair-range-offers-fractional-cfo-controller-and-accounting-services-for-small-businesses/

One Rental At A Time
Fed Day Review

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2025 15:15


The Fed has spoken—now what? In this episode, we break down the key takeaways from the latest Fed meeting, what it means for interest rates, the economy, and your investments. Did they signal a pivot, hold firm, or surprise the markets? Tune in for expert analysis on what's next and how to prepare for the road ahead! Links & Resources Follow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠ Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠ Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

HousingWire Daily
Logan Mohtashami on Fed day and mortgage rates

HousingWire Daily

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2025 18:52


On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about Fed day, mortgage rates and new home sales. Related to this episode: Why new-home sales are disappointing, despite beating estimates | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire   Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Vertical Research Advisory
VRA Investing Podcast: Fed Day Analysis, Major Earnings, And The Markets Reaction - Tyler Herriage - January 29, 2025

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2025 22:11


In today's episode, Tyler provides in-depth coverage of the latest moves from J Powell and the Federal Reserve, including President Trump's reaction to the first FOMC of 2025. We will also cover the day's stock market action, including a detailed analysis of key earnings reports that came in today after the market close. Tune in as Tyler breaks down another exciting day of Stock Market action

DH Unplugged
DHUnplugged #733: Santa Quantum!

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 25, 2024 65:56


Shutdown..... AVERTED Mergers - Auto Industry big move Lots of Trump Talk The Market's new favorite stocks PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter DONATIONS ? Thank you for all who gave to the Thanksgiving Holiday Campaign... Warm-Up - Shutdown..... AVERTED - Mergers - Auto Industry big move - Lots of Trump Talk - Deli Stock Scheme - Update - Holiday Tidings! - Markets - S&P 500 Equal weight down 6% MTD, Small Caps down 8% - The New favs? Quantum Computing Stocks - Santa Like them..... - Index inclusion has become a thing Checking out the early CTP Cup Standings EVERYONE IS IN! - 7 Contestants.... Fed Meeting Dec 18th - Fed freaked out markets - All of a sudden they are projecting that inflation is not going to come down to their 2% level into 2026 - DJIA was donw 1000 points and it was an ugly day overall. - Onc day later, PCE comes out not too far aay from assumptions and market takes off - Just goes to show that DJIA - Records? - Follow up - it was 10 days and the last time that happened was 1974 Meanwhile - XMAS Rally - Once big day down, then a test and BOUNCE - Most of the Fed Day losses have been wipe out - still much damage in December --- Once again - Mega cap holding things up ---- EVEN though 10Yr >4.6%  - this is an important price point... Failed  couple of times before. Quantum Computing Stocks - Ever since Alphabet (Google) announced that they made progress, been some crazy moves on a few names - with YTD returns -- D-Wave Quantum Inc  QBTS  (825%) -- Rigetti Computing Inc   RGTI  (1,050%) -- Quantum Computing Inc   QUBT  (1,900%) -- Defiance Quantum ETF   QTUM (51%) -- IONQ Inc    IONQ   (240%) ---(none seem to be making any money  - actually losing a ton) More Quantum - Willow's speed is almost incomprehensible — according to Google, it's able to perform a computation in under five minutes that would take one of today's fastest supercomputers 10 septillion years to solve. Ten septillion is 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years. - Concern has turned to the potential for this technology to break down crypto (or other) cryptography. --- It may take years - but this could be something we need to watch as a byproduct, the need for better security from quantum hacks Auto Merger - Japanese automakers Nissan and Honda on Monday announced they had entered into official talks to merge and create the world's third-largest automaker by sales. - The deal would aim to share intelligence and resources and deliver economies of scale and synergies while protecting both brands - Nissan's strategic partner Mitsubishi has been offered the chance to join the new group and will take a decision by the end of January 2025. - Lots of things to iron out before this deal gets done Index Traders - Hang on... - Huge moves to reset these days - Companies are competing to get to NASDAQ and NYSE to gain inclusion as they know share prices will potentially pop - Palatntir is banking on that as they said in their recent announcement and one reason was to get inclusion in the NASDAQ 100 - These kind of index changes has buig impacts on stocks - - ALSO, there should be some movement over the next month as there will be re-balancing going on as 2024 big run for markets/stocks Trump Talk/Plans - Trump said he will not let the canal fall into the 'wrong hands' - Trump accused Panama of charging excessive fees to use the canal - Panama's President Mulino defends canal's independence and fees - US handed over control of the canal in 1999 - Talk that we could take it back - Twitter: "Every square meter of the Panama Canal and the surrounding area belongs to Panama and will c...

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Blinder Speaks Out on Fed Day

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 19, 2024 52:10


Inside Economics had the fortune to have Alan Blinder, Princeton University economics professor, former Vice Chair of the Fed, and author of the recent book “The Monetary and Fiscal Policy History of the United States, 1961-2021” join the podcast on the day the Fed cut rates but warned investors not to count on more rate cuts anytime soon. At least not until Fed officials get a fix on incoming President Trump's economic policies, ranging from tariffs and deportations to tax cuts and Fed independence, and their fallout.  Guest: Alan S. Blinder - Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Pinceton UniversityGet more information on Alan Blinder's book - A Monetary and Fiscal History of the United States, 1961-2021Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
12-18-24 Dump The 60 - 40 For 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2024 46:38


It's Fed Day with it's much anticipated rate cut; what will matter more is the Fed's dot-plot and comments on expectations for 2025. Meanwhile on Wall Street, sloppy trading continues as fund manager rebalance portfolios. Markets are sitting on the 20-DMA and holding firm. The Healthcare Sector is the year's worst performer: Will it offer the most opportunity in 2025? This sector tends to perform better AFTER elections. Lance reveals a new temptation on his route to work each morning; Lance and Danny comment on the notion of dumping the traditional 60/40 portfolio in favor of 100% stocks for retirement, with charts and graphs. More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower? SEG-1: Fed Day - What Will They Say? SEG-2: Dumping the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-3: So You Think You Can Beat the Market? SEG-4: Why No One Wants Value Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w SSenior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunities Ahead in Beaten Down Stocks?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HqWOpYV_Qs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
12-18-24 Dump the 60/40 for 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2024 46:39


It's Fed Day with it's much anticipated rate cut; what will matter more is the Fed's dot-plot and comments on expectations for 2025. Meanwhile on Wall Street, sloppy trading continues as fund manager rebalance portfolios. Markets are sitting on the 20-DMA and holding firm. The Healthcare Sector is the year's worst performer: Will it offer the most opportunity in 2025? This sector tends to perform better AFTER elections. Lance reveals a new temptation on his route to work each morning; Lance and Danny comment on the notion of dumping the traditional 60/40 portfolio in favor of 100% stocks for retirement, with charts and graphs. More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower? SEG-1: Fed Day - What Will They Say? SEG-2: Dumping the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-3: So You Think You Can Beat the Market? SEG-4: Why No One Wants Value Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w SSenior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunities Ahead in Beaten Down Stocks?," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HqWOpYV_Qs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Moving Markets: Daily News

Today's main event is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated interest rate decision. Recent US economic data releases have been mixed, but investors are heavily betting on a 25 basis point cut. Meanwhile, German economic data has also been mixed as the country continues to navigate choppy waters. Over in Asia, a potential merger between Japanese car giants Nissan and Honda is making headlines. In commodities, cocoa prices have risen to new record highs, while oil and gold are trading in narrow ranges ahead of the US interest rate announcement. We're joined today by Leonardo Pellandini from our Equity Strategy Research team, who explains why US equities remain in favour.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:34 Markets wrap-up by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)06:56 Why US equities remain in favour: Leonardo Pellandini (Equity Strategy Research)10:34 Closing remarks by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition
Japan's Carmakers Mull a Merger, Fed Day & The Costs of Going Green Fast

Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2024 21:58 Transcription Available


Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes.On today's podcast:(1) Honda and Nissan are exploring a merger, according to people familiar with the matter, that would create a singular rival to Toyota in Japan and better position the combined company to face competitive challenges around the world. (2) Federal Reserve officials are likely to lower borrowing costs for a third-straight meeting this week while also signaling fewer interest-rate cuts next year than previously projected.(3) First it was a collapse in the currency. Now the rest of Brazil’s financial markets are in the cross-hairs as investors lose faith in the government’s ability to contain a deepening fiscal crisis.(4) UK government borrowing costs rose to the highest level in decades relative to Germany’s, as traders grew increasingly skeptical over how much more easing the Bank of England will manage to deliver next year.(5) The UK government risks baking in higher energy costs for consumers as it pushes to meet a challenging — and upgraded — target to decarbonize the country’s power supply by 2030.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
11-7-24 Fed Day Arrives

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2024 46:01


In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving 96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say. SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting Preview SEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next? SEG-3: Economic Reporting Preview SEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep's Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

One Rental At A Time
Fed Day - Has Everything Changed

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2024 15:03


Today could be the turning point everyone's been waiting for! Has the Fed just set the stage for a new economic landscape? In this episode, we break down the latest Fed moves, what they mean for inflation, interest rates, and your financial future. Get the insights you need as we explore how one pivotal day might change everything! Links & Resources Follow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠ Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠ Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

The Real Investment Show Podcast
11-7-24 Fed Day Arrives!

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2024 46:02


In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving  96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say.  SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting Preview SEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next? SEG-3: Economic Reporting Preview SEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,  w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep's Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast by 10minutestocktrader.com
How to trade when the Fed lowers rates? | 9.18.24 OVTLYR Trading Room

How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast by 10minutestocktrader.com

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2024 49:09


In today's video, we dive into a Fed Day market analysis, reviewing how traders reacted to the latest announcements and highlighting key opportunities. Trading around major economic events can often feel like a rollercoaster, but today's market was surprisingly stable, closing only 18 basis points from yesterday. Despite this calm, sharp traders found ways to profit by recognizing the right signals. We begin by analyzing the intraday chart, which showed a volume spike that led to a brief rally, followed by a reversal. For those who managed to catch both moves, it was an excellent opportunity for quick gains. We break down these setups so that even if you missed this trade, you'll learn how to spot similar opportunities in the future. One standout stock today was Zillow ($Z), which saw a 5% spike. If you were watching the 62-strike options, they doubled in price in under 30 minutes. This kind of move, especially on Fed Day, shows why staying engaged with the market pays off. Next, we dive into the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. This signals more rate cuts are likely, impacting inflation and the broader economy. We explore how this news can influence longer-term trades and how the Fed's projections on inflation and unemployment could shape various industries. Another surprise mover was Lunar ($LUNR), which shot past $8 after weeks of trading between $3 and $5. It wasn't on our watchlist, but traders who caught this move saw solid returns. This reinforces the value of watching stocks that may not be in the spotlight but have breakout potential. We also discuss how to use the CME FedWatch tool, which tracks rate hike or cut probabilities. On days like today, even slight changes in expectations can move the market significantly, making it a must-have tool for traders. Market breadth was also notable, with 63 stocks making bullish moves despite the calm market close. We show how to use market breadth indicators to stay ahead of trends, even when broader indices remain flat. For those following our "golden ticket" strategy, we covered how to use moving averages like the 10 over 20 to identify trends. While SPY is showing bullish signals, we also discuss how to watch for potential sell signals to manage risk effectively. Finally, we discuss how to manage risk by adjusting position sizes using ATR (Average True Range) and explore how order blocks can help time entries and exits more effectively. If you want to improve your trading and spot new opportunities, check out the full video, where we cover everything from intraday action to macro trends. #FedDay #Zillow #Lunar #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #Volatility Be sure to like and subscribe, and let us know how your trades went today!

The Investing Podcast
Fed Day & PMI Sells Inhaler Maker to Molex | September 18, 2024 – Morning Market Briefing

The Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 14:04


Andrew, Pedro, & Tom preview Fed Day and discuss PMI selling their inhaler maker Vectura to Molex. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure

Closing Bell
Closing Bell Overtime: Fed Day Special 9/18/24

Closing Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 42:47


Stocks closed mostly lower after the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points in the first cut since the early days of the pandemic. Jefferies' David Zervos and BD8's Barbara Doran discuss the market reaction and where stocks could head in the post-cut world. Investor Dan Niles talks about the impact on tech stocks and energy. Mark Mobius breaks down global market opportunities. Former Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren weighs in on where Fed policy could head next. 

One Rental At A Time
FED DAY!!! What Breaks First?

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 18:30


In this high-stakes episode, all eyes are on the Fed as they prepare for their next big move. Will interest rates rise, and if so, what will break first—stocks, real estate, or the broader economy? The stakes couldn't be higher! Links & Resources Follow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠ Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠ Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

Bloomberg Talks
Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok Talks Fed Day & Outlook

Bloomberg Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 7:44 Transcription Available


Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok discusses Fed Day and outlook. Slok speaks with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Talks
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen Talks Fed Day & Election

Bloomberg Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 13:50 Transcription Available


Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen discusses Fed Day and the presidential election. Posen speaks with Bloomberg's Dani Burger.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Vertical Research Advisory
VRA Investing Podcast: Fed Day Is Here! What Rate Cuts Mean For The Market - Tyler Herriage - September 18, 2024

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 24:23


In today's episode, Tyler breaks down the latest market action following a highly anticipated Federal Reserve FOMC meeting. We'll dive into what the 50 bps cut means for the future for stocks, and perhaps more importantly, when the Fed will restart the money printer (Hint: It's already happening). Finally, Tyler wraps with a recap of today's sector performance and the latest in our VRA Commodity Watch. Tune into today's podcast to learn more

WGY Mornings with Doug Goudie
Ryan Bouchey of Let's Talk Money on Fed Day

WGY Mornings with Doug Goudie

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 6:03


Got an opinion? On the iHeartRadio app, tap the red microphone to record & send us your thoughts. Don't have the app? Get it free here ---> https://news.iheart.com/apps/ Follow us: Instagram - wgyradio X - WGYMornings Facebook - 810wgy & WGYMornings

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
9-17-24 Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2024 46:11


Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, to be concluded with the latest interest rate announcement. Markets' expectations are for a half-percent cut; could a quarter-percent cut create disappointment on Wall Street? Microsoft announces and increase in its dividend payment (very different from a stock buy back). Kamala Harris' plans to raise taxes on corporations is in fact an crease in taxes on consumers; corporations are tax collectors for the government. Markets' rally in anticipation of Fed day tomorrow. The stock buyback window begins to close today ahead of the next earnings season, removing some of the lift to markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the pro's an con's of momentum investing (with charts); answers to chatroom and email questions on purchasing ETF's and Treasuries, and the uniquely Texan phrase, going "whole hog." Lance defends comments on the Value of the Dollar vs purchasing power of the dollar (with charts), referenced to article on "Conviction" (link is found below). Investing in Gold, pro's and con's, doesn't have to be an all-or-none proposition. SEG-1: Fed Rate Cut Decision Expectations SEG-2: Momentum Investing Works on the Way Up... SEG-3: ETF Purchasing Philosophy & Post-Fed Treasuries SEG-4: The Value of the Dollar vs Purchasing Power Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn't" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prep for Fed Day" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n6Lk71KYwyw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes #Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
9-17-24 Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge...Until it Doesn't

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2024 46:12


Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, to be concluded with the latest interest rate announcement. Markets' expectations are for a half-percent cut; could a quarter-percent cut create disappointment on Wall Street? Microsoft announces and increase in its dividend payment (very different from a stock buy back). Kamala Harris' plans to raise taxes on corporations is in fact an crease in taxes on consumers; corporations are tax collectors for the government. Markets' rally in anticipation of Fed day tomorrow. The stock buyback window begins to close today ahead of the next earnings season, removing some of the lift to markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the pro's an con's of momentum investing (with charts); answers to chatroom and email questions on purchasing ETF's and Treasuries, and the uniquely Texan phrase, going "whole hog." Lance defends comments on the Value of the Dollar vs purchasing power of the dollar (with charts), referenced to article on "Conviction" (link is found below). Investing in Gold, pro's and con's, doesn't have to be an all-or-none proposition. SEG-1: Fed Rate Cut Decision Expectations SEG-2: Momentum Investing Works on the Way Up... SEG-3: ETF Purchasing Philosophy & Post-Fed Treasuries SEG-4: The Value of the Dollar vs Purchasing Power Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn't" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prep for Fed Day" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n6Lk71KYwyw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning  #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes #Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
9-17-24 Markets Prep for Fed Day

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2024 4:07


Tomorrow is The Big Day for markets as the Fed makes known its intentions for interest rates. Markets have been rallying nicely in anticipation; yesterday, pushing up to all-time highs and finishing positive. Markets remain in a consolidation range, and tomorrow's Fed decision will determine the markets' direction. Note that today begins the closure of the stock buyback window, removing an element of "lift" from markets. With the next earnings season just two weeks away, that buying power will begin to fade. Meanwhile, a buy signal remains in place with markets at very high levels, so there could still be some upside to come, although somewhat limited. This is still a good time to trim risk from portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n6Lk71KYwyw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #YenCarryTrade #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Monday Morning Minutes
Dovish Fed Day Flies Into Sahm Recession Signal on Friday (E176)

Monday Morning Minutes

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 2, 2024 31:57


DoubleLine Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall and Macro Asset Allocation Analyst Mark Kimbrough cover a very exciting market week of July 29-Aug. 2, including a very rough Friday for stocks. Eric and Mark review the end-of-week selloff in stocks triggered by ... Read More

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-31-24 Navigating Financial Freedom On Your Own Terms

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2024 46:17


It's Fed Day, and Lance Roberts previews potential outcomes to be announced Thursday afternoon. Earnings season continues, with MSFT reporting revenue of only 29% for the quarter vs the anticipated 30% growth. Shucks. Our take on what to take from the NASDAQ correction: Opportunity. Markets are "flirting w disaster" around the 50-DMA: what will be the Black Swan Event (and why would anyone wish for it)? The illusion of wealth in America; Lance and Danny discuss the importance of questioning financial assumptions and societal expectations; how these expectations can lead to unnecessary financial strain: Challenging the notion of "have to" when it comes to financial decisions; the pressure to spend large amounts on weddings and college education; questioning the necessity of certain expenses; the importance of evaluating financial priorities; encouraging viewers to make informed financial choices based on their unique circumstances. SEG-1: Fed Day Preview & NASDAQ Correction SEG-2: Flirting w Disaster at the 50-DMA SEC-3: The Illusion of Wealth in America SEG-4: Bankrupting Your Retirement for Your Children? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn't Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "NASDAQ Correction: Here's Our Take" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea9nQUqvgMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio's Performance " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #FutureFinancialFreedom #WeddingExpenses #CollegeExpenses #FinancialPriorities #Budgeting #FinancialDecisions #FinancialGoals #FinancialResponsibility #MoneyManagement #FinancialIndependence #FinancialSecurity #FinancialStress #FinancialExpectations #FinancialObligations #FinancialTradeOffs #FinancialSacrifices #FinancialChoices #FinancialMindset #Markets #Money #Investing"

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-31-24 Navigating Financial Freedom on Your Own Terms

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2024 46:18


It's Fed Day, and Lance Roberts previews potential outcomes to be announced Thursday afternoon. Earnings season continues, with MSFT reporting revenue of only 29% for the quarter vs the anticipated 30% growth. Shucks. Our take on what to take from the NASDAQ correction: Opportunity. Markets are "flirting w disaster" around the 50-DMA: what will be the Black Swan Event (and why would anyone wish for it)? The illusion of wealth in America; Lance and Danny discuss the importance of questioning financial assumptions and societal expectations; how these expectations can lead to unnecessary financial strain: Challenging the notion of "have to" when it comes to financial decisions; the pressure to spend large amounts on weddings and college education; questioning the necessity of certain expenses; the importance of evaluating financial priorities; encouraging viewers to make informed financial choices based on their unique circumstances.  SEG-1: Fed Day Preview & NASDAQ Correction SEG-2: Flirting w Disaster at the 50-DMA SEC-3: The Illusion of Wealth in America SEG-4: Bankrupting Your Retirement for Your Children? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn't Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "NASDAQ Correction: Here's Our Take" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea9nQUqvgMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio's Performance " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #FutureFinancialFreedom #WeddingExpenses #CollegeExpenses #FinancialPriorities #Budgeting #FinancialDecisions #FinancialGoals #FinancialResponsibility #MoneyManagement #FinancialIndependence #FinancialSecurity #FinancialStress #FinancialExpectations #FinancialObligations #FinancialTradeOffs #FinancialSacrifices #FinancialChoices #FinancialMindset  #Markets #Money #Investing"

Bloomberg Talks
Professor Raghuram Rajan Talks Fed Day Preview

Bloomberg Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2024 9:52 Transcription Available


University of Chicago Booth Professor Raghuram Rajan discusses his outlook and preview to the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates. He spoke to Bloomberg's Scarlet Fu and Romaine Bostick. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

One Rental At A Time
HOME PRICES TO FALL!!! Redfin CEO

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2024 17:56


In this episode of "One Rental at a Time," we delve into the latest economic indicators and predictions about the housing market. We discuss key updates from the Federal Reserve, including the dot plot and unemployment claims, and provide a detailed analysis of the recent PPI and CPI reports. Highlighting insights from Redfin's CEO, we explore the anticipated decline in home prices and what it means for potential buyers and investors. Tune in to understand the dynamics at play and how you can leverage this information in your real estate strategy. [00:00] - Introduction and overview of Fed Day dot plot, PPI, and unemployment claims. [00:27] - Insight from Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal on the Fed's potential late actions. [01:07] - Discussing the Fed's PTSD from past inflation calls and expected aggressive cuts. [02:24] - Breaking down the PPI report: headline and core figures better than expected. [04:11] - Analysis of weekly unemployment claims and its implications on the Fed's projections. [05:08] - Mortgage rates drop below 7% and the potential impact on the housing market. [06:10] - Understanding the Fed's dot plot and economic projections. [09:11] - Critical evaluation of the Fed's unemployment and GDP forecasts. [11:09] - Exploring "super core" inflation and its significance. [12:56] - Jerome Powell's remarks on job data accuracy and economic outlook. [15:11] - Redfin CEO predicts a 1% drop in home prices due to increased selling pressure. One Rental at a Time School: https://onerentalatatime.com/school - Join the school community for exclusive content, boot camps, and live sessions with real estate experts. Nick Timiraos, Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/nick-timiraos - Follow Nick Timiraos for insights on the Federal Reserve and economic policies. Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

One Rental At A Time
Mortgage Demand Explodes as Rates Fall

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2024 10:51


In today's episode of "One Rental at a Time," we discuss the recent surge in mortgage applications as interest rates fall, the implications of the latest Federal Reserve meeting, and a significant change in VA mortgage guidelines. We also explore market dynamics and the potential opportunities for buyers in the current real estate environment. Tune in to hear expert insights and advice on navigating these changes and making the most of the current market conditions. [00:00] - Introduction and overview of the Fed Day meeting. [00:30] - Impact of CPI and core inflation numbers on mortgage rates. [01:52] - Surge in mortgage applications and refinancing due to falling rates. [02:21] - Seasonal peak in home sales prices and current market cooling trends. [03:06] - Increased inventory and longer days on market in various regions. [03:33] - Importance of studying your local market for real estate opportunities. [04:26] - Changes to VA mortgage guidelines allowing buyers to pay their agents. [05:20] - Implications of new buyer broker agreements in real estate transactions. [07:33] - Encouragement to get pre-approved and the benefits of working with a great mortgage broker. [17:05] - Invitation to join the "One Rental at a Time" school community for more in-depth learning. Great Mortgage Broker: https://greatmortgagebroker.com - Get pre-approved and connect with Matt and his team across 48 states. One Rental at a Time School: https://onerentalatatime.com/school - Join the school community for masterclasses, boot camps, and live sessions with real estate experts. Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

DRUNKENOMICS
June Fed Day Bash

DRUNKENOMICS

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2024 36:57


Welp. I finally did it; I had enough drinks and tried to solve all the world's problems while the mics were hot. Sorry if the ideas suck, but at least we were able to talk about the recent inflation print, elections among some of the BRICS countries, and the Fed meeting from earlier today. But seriously, it'd be nice to have a world where we didn't all depend on the Fed to solve the problems they indirectly create. Find us on Twitter, Instagram, & Facebook @DRUNKENOMICAL Merch: drunkenomics.myspreadshop.com Patreon: patreon.com/drunkenomics Stay Drunkenomical y'all!

Bloomberg Talks
PIMCO Managing Director and Global Economic Advisor Richard Clarida Talks Fed Day

Bloomberg Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2024 9:25 Transcription Available


PIMCO Managing Director and Global Economic Advisor Richard Clarida discusses the latest Fed Day. Clarida speaks to Bloomberg's Guy Johnson about the Fed Day news and what to expect going forward.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
6-12-24 Managing Risk And Return With Individual Treasury Bonds

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2024 46:40


It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk. SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions SEG-4: How We Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It's Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
6-12-24 Managing Risk and Return with Individual Treasury Bonds

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2024 46:41


It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk. SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions SEG-4: How We Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It's Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here:  https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

Good News In Real Estate
Fed-Day: a look at inflation and interest rates, plus Something to Ponder; and Rocco from Sileo Insurance is helping seniors find the right policy.

Good News In Real Estate

Play Episode Listen Later May 4, 2024 50:16


HousingWire Daily
Logan Mohtashami on Fed day, inventory and home prices

HousingWire Daily

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2024 30:27


On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about what happened to rates after Fed day and where inventory and home prices are in this spring buying season. Related to this episode: Fed holds rates steady for the sixth straight time HousingWire | YouTube Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast examines the most compelling articles reported across HW Media. Each morning, we provide our listeners with a deeper look into the stories coming across our newsrooms that are helping Move Markets Forward. Hosted and produced by the HW Media team. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

fed inventory home prices fed day logan mohtashami hw media housingwire daily move markets forward
Lagniappe
The Market Reacts to Fed Day

Lagniappe

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2024 28:20


As earnings and economic growth deliver above expectations, the market is digesting new information from Jerome Powell and the Fed that rate cuts aren't coming soon. We'll look back at the last 30 years of returns and ahead to the next 10 years of prices, discuss offshoring jobs, and give bond market and inflation updates. Key Takeaways [00:19] - Fed Day breakdown [05:07] - April brought a much-needed market reset [09:16] - Looking back at the last 30 years' returns + what to expect over the next 10 [16:50] - The efficiency of offshoring jobs [24:51] - Bond market + inflation updates Links YTD we see 10 of 11 sectors are higher, with cyclical areas like energy, industrials and financials leading the way So far, in Q1, the #EPS surprises have been the highest since 2021 with the dispersion of results elevated Did you know the S&P 500 was up 9 of the past 10 years in May? 30 Years of financial market returns Prices 10 years from now Faber: I'm so bullish on US stocks I think you should invest most of your money here The lagging components of the inflation basket Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Podcasts lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
5-1-24 What Happens When Companies Miss?

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2024 46:39


Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings. SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market Correction SEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss? SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than Expected SEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
5-1-24 What Happens When Companies Miss?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2024 46:40


Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings.  SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market Correction SEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss? SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than Expected SEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing

One Rental At A Time
Fed Day, Banking Crisis, Economic Forecast Tweaks, Avg Net worth, Vegas Bonus

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2024 12:58


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One Rental At A Time
Fed Day Surprise, Rate Cuts Started, FHFA Housing Pain, Las Vegas Deal

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2024 16:36


*NEW ITEM!* Purchase my newest book! "15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires" https://amzn.to/3CGOWOU

One Rental At A Time
It is Fed Day!! What to expect_ Job Market Getting Soft_ Price Crash 83%!!!

One Rental At A Time

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 8, 2024 11:10


*NEW ITEM!* Purchase my newest book! "15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires" https://amzn.to/3CGOWOU

The Dividend Cafe
The DC Today - Wednesday, December 13, 2023

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2023 9:07


Today's Post -https://bahnsen.co/46RNNmw This may have been the least anticipated Fed Day in nearly two years, with the futures market serving up a 100% chance of no rate change ever since the last Fed meeting. That said, the Fed chair talking after a rate announcement always has the possibility of moving markets. Today, he moved markets. That he didn't even remotely push back against market expectations for rate cuts next year was a surprise, but the dot plot actually showing three rate cuts in 2024 was a huge surprise. Now, I have been saying it for months, and fed futures have been forecasting it, so maybe this market response seems overdone – but for Jay Powell to just say it? Today was like reading a future history book. I think it is important to note that the Fed Funds Futures are currently pricing in a 100% chance of a 100 basis point reduction (1%) in the Fed Funds Rate by this time next year. There is a 24% chance of it being down 1.25%, a 37% chance of it being down 1.50%, and a 26% chance of it being down 1.75% – all by next year. The most “hawkish” expectation is a 100 basis point cut. All stock market indexes were up the SAME. And I am pretty much sure this was the biggest bond rally of my career in a single day, as the 2-year yield dropped THIRTY BASIS POINTS and the 10-year dropped EIGHTEEN BASIS POINTS. Ay yi yi. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

The Dividend Cafe
The DC Today - Wednesday, November 1, 2023

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 1, 2023 11:08


Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3tYWGgn So the market closed the month of October down -1.35% in the Dow, down -2.2% in the S&P, and -3.4% in the Nasdaq. Let's just say those numbers got a lot better the last two days, though. And then today was noteworthy as well … Fed Day is the best day, and today the Fed kept rates where they were, as expected. The market was up +100 when Powell began talking, it went up to +200, then gave that back, then went up +250, and closed just a tad below that level. More importantly, bonds rallied viciously – with each maturity from two to ten years on the treasury curve seeing yields drop over 10 basis points. His only comments about quantitative tightening were that they were not, at this time, considering slowing down or ceasing their “run-off” of the balance sheet. The word “run-off” is key because they are not actively selling bonds – they are letting about $80 billion of bonds mature per month and not reinvesting the proceeds. This is a form of tightening, but less aggressive than some have suggested. Bottom line – Powell was pretty clear that they know financial conditions are, themselves, doing their work for them, and while he skirted around QT it is hard to see how anyone could hear what he said today and conclude any additional rate hikes are coming. As mentioned yesterday the rally on Monday saw 2.5 advancers for every 1 decliner, and yesterday it repeated at 2.3 to 1. A year ago when the market bottomed and a nine-month rally began the breadth of the rally was consistently above 5-to-1 and sometimes well above 10-to-1. Market participation is still too thin to feel good about things. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com