Podcasts about real vision

Andreas Steno, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics at Steno Research, to break down Moody's U.S. debt downgrade, Trump's Middle East investment tour, and bitcoin's price action amid rising bond yields.

Tom welcomes back Lyn Alden, Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, to the show to discuss the intricacies of trade deficits, the role of the US dollar as a global reserve currency, and the broader economic implications for the United States. Lyn explains that a trade deficit occurs when a country imports more than it exports, and while some countries experience this cyclically, others, like India, have managed structural deficits by investing in long-term growth rather than overconsumption. The US, however, faces a unique challenge: its trade deficit is deeply tied to its status as the world's reserve currency, which creates an excess demand for dollars and makes it difficult to manufacture competitively. Lyn highlights that the dollar's strength perpetuates this cycle, making imports expensive and exports cheaper, while also forcing the US to rely on foreign investment to fund its deficits. This dynamic has contributed to deindustrialization and a shift in economic power globally. She contrasts this with historical examples like the UK during the Bretton Woods era, where a similar situation led to stagnation before the rise of new powers like the US. The discussion shifts to fiscal dominance, where large government deficits constrain monetary policy, making central banks more reliant on fiscal authorities. Lyn notes that the Fed is increasingly limited in its ability to control inflation due to these fiscal pressures. She also addresses Trump's tariff policies, arguing they harm domestic industries and shift costs onto American consumers while failing to address the root causes of trade imbalances. Inflationary pressures from tariffs are uneven, with specific sectors facing price increases while others experience disinflation. Lyn emphasizes that sustained inflation requires broader money supply growth, which has not been a significant factor in recent years. She concludes by exploring alternatives like gold and Bitcoin as potential reserve assets, suggesting that diversification into neutral reserves could help mitigate risks but remains largely theoretical at this stage. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Trade Deficits & Tariffs5:02 - Sustainable Economics?10:33 - Dollar & Liquidity14:02 - Fiat Currency 'Growth'15:49 - Fed & Fiat Deflation?21:40 - Tariff Model & Truth25:05 - Gold, Bitcoin, & Dollar28:30 - Trade, Tariffs, & Conflict33:04 - Bond Market Impacts36:36 - Taxes & Gradual Tariffs39:05 - DOGE & Reducing Deficits42:00 - Fiscal Dominance46:23 - Devaluing/Lower Dollar?49:43 - U.S. Gov't Buying Gold?52:20 - Bitcoin Reserve?56:09 - Tariffs & Inflation Effects59:40 - Watch for Fiscal Issues1:00:50 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/LynAldenContactWebsite: https://www.lynalden.com/ Lyn Alden is editor and publisher of LynAlden.com, where she has both a subscription and a free financial newsletter. She says, "Her background lies at the intersection of engineering and finance." Her site provides investment research and strategy, covering stocks, precious metals, international equities, and alternative investments, with a specialization in asset allocation. Whether you're new to investing or experienced, there's a lot there for you. Lyn has a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering and a master's degree in engineering management, focusing on engineering economics and financial modeling. She oversees the finances and day-to-day operations of an engineering facility. She has been performing investment research for over fifteen years in various public and private capacities. Her work has been editorially featured or cited on Business Insider, Marketwatch, Time's Money Magazine, The Daily Telegraph, The Philadelphia Inquirer, The Street, CNBC, US News and World Report, Kiplinger, and The Huffington Post. She has also appeared on Real Vision, The Investor's Podcast Network, The Rebel Capitalist Show, The Market Huddle, and many other podcasts.

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics at Steno Research, to unpack the U.S.-China trade agreement, the market's reaction, and the key narratives and risks investors need to watch right now.

Rekt co-founders OSF and Mando, also the author of the Mando Minutes newsletter, are back to discuss the biggest narratives and themes driving cryptocurrencies right now. They explore whether Bitcoin Dominance has peaked as it surges past $100,000 once again, ether leading the altcoin market gains following its Pectra upgrade, U.S. stablecoin regulation hitting a significant snag, and much more. Check out REKT's affiliate partner Arch Public and their algorithmic trading platform for free at realvision.com/arch

Raoul Pal, CEO of Real Vision and Global Macro Investor, shares his brutally honest guide to building wealth in crypto without getting destroyed along the way.From his controversial 70% allocation to SUI to why buying a house with crypto profits means "winning the game of life," Raoul reveals the simple yet powerful strategies most investors overlook. In this episode:• The simple Bitcoin strategy every beginner should follow• Why Raoul moved from Solana to being 70% in SUI• The overlooked long-term value of NFTs and digital art• How AI's advancement is reshaping consciousness itself& more! __________________________________PARTNERS

Jared Dillian, author of the Daily Dirtnap newsletter, joins Ash Bennington to discuss why he's long on gold and foreign equities, and why he believes a U.S. recession is inevitable.

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host, Mikkel Rosenvold, the company's partner and head of geopolitics, to dissect whether Donald Trump's trade war strategy is bearing fruit as China purchases U.S. Treasuries. Plus, they examine what sparked a sudden volatility spike in the New Taiwan dollar.

Rekt co-founder and author of the Mando Minutes newsletter, Mando, is joined by Wizard of SoHo, former macro trader turned CIO at 100X Capital, to discuss the narratives and themes driving cryptocurrencies right now. They explore the U.S.-China trade thaw, this week's economic data, BTC's increasing dominance despite some altcoin recovery, and much more. Later in the show, they are joined by Andrew Parish from Arch Public, Real Vision's affiliate partner (go to realvision.com/arch to try algorithmic trading for free).

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm's partner and head of geopolitics, to examine the latest news and trends driving global markets. From Ukraine-Russia ceasefire talks to the U.S.-China trade war, dollar debasement, and the bitcoin rally, they cover it all.

Tom welcomes back Tavi Costa, Portfolio Manager at Crescat Capital, to discuss the current state of gold, silver, mining stocks, and broader economic trends. Costa emphasizes that despite technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions in gold, the underlying macroeconomic factors point to continued strength in precious metals. He highlights the role of central banks, particularly in emerging markets like China, Russia, and Turkey, which have been significant buyers of gold. Costa argues that gold's revaluation is driven by global debt imbalances, de-globalization trends, and countries seeking to stabilize their monetary systems. He also explains how higher gold prices can increase the U.S. Treasury's cash reserves, enabling buybacks of Treasuries without quantitative easing, which he believes will be a critical tool for managing debt. Costa is bullish on mining stocks, noting they are historically undervalued relative to U.S. equities and have outperformed over the past decade. He suggests that as global infrastructure needs grow and supply chains shift, mining companies will play a crucial role in meeting demand for essential commodities. Additionally, he points out the attractive valuations of silver, given its high gold-to-silver ratio, which he believes could lead to significant price appreciation. The discussion also touches on the U.S. dollar's structural downtrend, driven by high debt levels and interest payment burdens, and how this impacts emerging markets positively. Costa predicts that lower yields on short-term Treasuries will benefit miners and other sectors. He concludes by advocating for increased exposure to energy stocks due to geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introductions0:38 - Technical Bear Signals?5:54 - Monetizing U.S. Assets11:08 - Gold Re-Valuation Chart15:00 - Tariffs & Fed Policy20:08 - Dollar Struct Downtrend26:10 - Mining Stock Value31:30 - A Correction Coming?35:33 - GS Ratio Imbalances40:09 - Gaining Metal Exposure43:43 - Education & Sentiment47:00 - Mkt. Rotation & Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/tavicostaX: https://x.com/crescat_capitalWebsite: https://crescat.net Otavio ("Tavi") Costa is a Member and Portfolio Manager at Crescat Capital and has been with the firm since 2013. He built Crescat's macro model that identifies the current stage of the U.S. economic cycle through a combination of 16 factors. His research is regularly featured in financial publications such as Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, CCN, Financial Post, The Globe and Mail, Real Vision, and Reuters. Tavi is a native of São Paulo, Brazil, and fluent in Portuguese, Spanish, and English. Before joining Crescat, he worked with the underwriting of financial products and international business at Braservice, a large logistics company in Brazil. Tavi graduated cum laude from Lindenwood University in St. Louis with a B.A. degree in Business Administration with an emphasis in Finance and a minor in Spanish. Tavi played NCAA Division 1 tennis for Liberty University.

Ash Bennington sits down with 3Fourteen Research founder Warren Pies to unpack the unsettling post-Liberation Day market action. With gold rallying as the U.S. dollar, bonds, and equities selloff, Warren explains why a real money exodus from historically trusted assets is underway — and when he expects the trend to end.

In this solo edition of Macro Mondays, Andreas Steno Larsen dives into the biggest stories rattling global markets, from Trump's rumored move against Powell, and the escalating tariff and capital war with China, to gold's surge, Bitcoin's breakout and why all roads now lead to a weaker dollar.

Rekt co-founder and author of the Mando Minutes newsletter, Mando, is joined by Sergio Silva, CEO, of The Meebit Company, to discuss the narratives and themes driving the crypto market right now. From escalating U.S.-China trade tensions under Trump to Powell's remarks from this week's Economic Club of Chicago, they explore how these could impact crypto, risk assets, and investor sentiment. Later in the show, they are joined by Andrew Parish from Arch Public, Real Vision's affiliate partner (go to realvision.com/arch to try algorithmic trading for free).